Damn I got that at -305 and yeah I should have just went with that for the event and nothing else. Honestly that Edgar fight hurt and so did the Pedro split. Who would have thought a bjj guy who never really showed great striking finishes a guy who has never been finished and is one of the most durable fighters ever…dern fight hurt as well, had itd and she never really committed in a takedown except for the one she got and nearly finished her but runs out of time. Just never really got a better rhythm going on tonight. Hope you did okay!

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I was basically on the same stuff you were. Was rather heavy on dern -3.5 and I played her itd for a unit. Had a 2u parlay of Dodson and Edgar. And had about 3.5 units on Edgar ml.

So yea my night sucked

+15 units last week. -12 units this week

And ncaab has been crushing me 2 weeks straight.

I had about 13 units on cyborg tko. If Frankie Won I would’ve profited tonight. Had some decent plays but a few spilts didn’t go my way, dern derped and Frankie got knocked out.

I wanted to bet 12 fights go to a dec wasnt a prop so I bet 8 9 and 10 fights go to a dec for 25 each
8+1111
9+2925
10+12500
0 1 and 2 fights end in ko for 25
0-+10800
1-+1765
2-+578
0,7,6,5 fights end in sub all for 25
0-+1610
5-+1022
6-+2775
7-+10200

I was in vegas for the last event I came up about 1800 so hopefully I can keep the streak alive

-10u week, but that's coming off +43u in the 2 weeks before so it's not too bad. Should have played the u2.5 for the same price I got Dariush ITD at, honestly. Crazy upset insurance in exchange for not being covered for the last half-round is probably the right play.

Bit of a fucky card all around, between the Caraway dec, Lombard being DQ'd, Souk managing to play himself out of a miracle comeback KO (Though, to be honest, a Souk win still would have been -EV as all hell) and Hernandez blitzing a slow-starting Dariush.

Weird night for me with no live betting since I couldn't watch fights live. Ended up with a profit despite Dern not finishing or covering -3.5 and Frankie getting KO'd. I actually had a nice random little parlay that paid very big of Dern dec+O'Malley dec+Ortega itd though which ultimately is what put me in the black for the night. That along with Ottow itd and -3.5 and Arlovski ML cashing.

i am SUPER impressed, too, dont get me wrong. @Oblivian called it correctly about Ortega's stand up being as dangerous as his ground game in this fight. But how many rounds has Ortega won in his UFC career? 1, maybe 2?

edit: i meant rounds, not fights. edited earlier post

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I really think Edgar should have wrestled in that fight. Ortega really is as dangerous standing as on the ground, and I think Edgar is more vulnerable standing against him. Ortega's ground game is outstanding, but I honestly think it's overrated. People act like it's instant sub if you go to the ground with him. For a grappler as good as Edgar, he would be able to hang and probably succeed there.