Rosehill Race 7: Civic Stakes 1350m

01/07/2016: Vergara comes off a recent trial placing and generally races well fresh. Gets good class relief here from two last runs of last preparation when she acquitted herself really well in Group 1 company. Won 2 from 3 at distance and goes well this track. Will give this a mighty shake if anywhere near ready. Ninth Legion is a class act when right and last start broke a progression of some poor runs when winner this distance at Listed level at Ipswich. Has found form again and rates highly in this. Oxford Poet has strong record this track and could ping straight to there lead here and give them all something to run down. Fitter for 2 runs back and should be nearing peak. Snippets Land was a Group 3 winner 2 runs back at Doomben then not too far off them at Group 2 level last time when beaten less than 3 lengths at Eagle Farm. Drawn well and has the class to win this if things go his way. Marenostro has to break new ground to win this but goes well this track and has good career strike rates. The wetter the better for this bloke but may not get those conditions here. Place chance looks best. Office Bearer draws well and best career form at least puts him in the mix for a place if nothing else.

If you like one of the mid fielders or back markers I would suggest making sure you receive odds commensurate to the risk as there will be problems. I only have Vergara and Oxford Poet leading so they should be one, two fairly swiftly and my on pacers Marenostro and Office Bearer will just lob in their slipstream. I suspect this will be the order after 150 metres and from there the pace will slacken until just before the home turn where the leaders will say “go” and the on pacers will chase accordingly. This will leave the rest of the field flat footed so be really careful: this is a dangerous race, pace wise.

CHANCES

Civic Stakes 1350m

Order

Margin

Vergara

PLUS: Drops in grade, won 2 from 3 at distance, goes well this track, draws well.