The EIU view

The economy will continue to be affected by global economic trends—especially conditions in Europe, China and the US which remain the country’s major trading partners—and economic growth is expected to decline in 2019. Political stability will be supported by strong democratic institutions as well as respect for political freedom. However, tensions between the opposition and the ruling coalition will increase in the run-up to the next general election in December.

Government announces electoral reforms
We expect the reform will once again be postponed until after the December 2019 legislative election as Alliance Lepep will struggle to gather the required support to pass the bill.