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Scenario Generation and Analysis

The LiST team at the Bloomberg School received a one-year technical support contract from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. The purpose of the contract is to provide technical support to organizations and groups that would like to use LiST to develop scenarios and projections that could help in their strategic planning. While the focus is on large organization and global or regional anaylses, the team is also available to help smaller organizations and projects when time allows. Below we have listed the projects, descriptions and the projection files used for the analyses run to date. For further information about these outputs or to request assistance with running analyses please contact Yvonne Tam atytam@jhsph.edu.

Project

Description

Baseline Values Assumptions

Zip Files

Lancet Midwifery Series – Paper 2

Scaling up interventions which midwives are capable of, at 4 different levels, with different packages of care

Scaling up pneumonia and diarrhea interventions (various packages of only treatment and only preventive interventions) from coverage of the poorest quintile to coverage of the richest quintile to see impact on deaths averted and mortality rates in Bangladesh

Impact of scaling up DTP, Hib, Pneumococcal, Rotavirus and Measles vaccines as a combination and individually to GVAP and GIVS targets on U5 deaths, U5 pertussis, pneumonia, meningitis, diarrhea, and measles deaths, and U5 deaths due to each vaccine

Impact of scaling up DTP, Hib, Pneumococcal, Rotavirus and Measles vaccines as a combination and individually from current national coverage to the richest quintile's coverage on U5 deaths, U5 pertussis, pneumonia, meningitis, diarrhea, and measles deaths, and U5 deaths due to each vaccine

Impact of scaling up DTP, Hib, Pneumo, Rota vaccines individually and as a combo to 90%, and scaling the combo to level of current DTP coverage on deaths averted per 1000 vaccinated This was compared to vaccine coverage of 0%.

To identify the package of interventions that will have the most impact on child mortality reductions in the Luapula province of Zambia, so that these interventions can be used as incentives to supplement the introduction of pneumo vaccine in the province.

To estimate the impact of scaling up coverage of a package of malaria interventions on U5 and maternal malaria deaths averted in two scale-up scenarios – conservative and according to Roll Back Malaria target.

Estimate the impact of scaling up coverage of a package of interventions' (with or without scaling up the contraceptive prevalence rate, and with or without IPTp recommendation) impact on neonatal, U5, maternal mortality rate, rate of stillbirths, U5 deaths and lives saved in Ethiopia