Nate Silver: the man who knows everything

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Nate Silver is good at statistics. Last year he correctly predicted election results for all 50 US states. Now he’s America’s superstar number-cruncher. But what’s he got to say about Britain?

From an eyrie high above midtown Manhattan, Nate Silver trains his beady,
statistically accurate eye over the Hudson River. Clouds scuttle through the
sky over New Jersey, a meteorological event predicted by local weather
forecasters, and the traffic far below behaves as it should, dependably
disappearing into the Lincoln Tunnel.

Silver has been up all night making longer-range forecasts, attempting to
predict how Americans will feel about gay marriage in 2016 and what they
will think in 2020 based on historic trends. At 6am he went to bed having
concluded that voters in precisely 32 states would, on balance, probably