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Political junkies love numbers. Forget discussions of abortion or LGBT rights, or what to do about Aleppo, or the future of Social Security; what they obsess over are poll results and electoral vote counts. Among the most popular statistics of all are probability forecasts, which combine poll results...read more

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A series of polls this week shows Democrat Hillary Clinton pulling back ahead of Donald Trump in the 2016 race for the White House, after Trump apparently benefited from a “bump” in his popularity as a result of becoming the presump...

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With Donald Trump now the certain Republican nominee and Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton almost equally certain to be his opponent in the November general election, the focus of politics watchers now shifts to the electoral c...

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