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Trade Augsburg in Bundesliga Bottom-Two Betting

2016-03-14

It would appear that Augsburg, Bremen, Darmstadt, Frankfurt and Hoffenheim are battling to avoid joining Hannover in the second tier of German football automatically. Bookmakers are divided as to which side should be the German Bundesliga relegation second favourite, with Darmstadt, Frankfurt and Hoffenheim each having its strident critics. Darmstadt is in freefall down the German Bundesliga ladder but it does have home games against Frankfurt, Ingolstadt and Stuttgart to come, plus it is possible that its toughest two assignments – away to Hertha and home to Monchengladbach – may end up being easier than they look currently because they are set for the final two rounds, by which stage issues towards the top of the ladder may have been resolved.

Frankfurt has a new manager, Niko Kovac, and Eintracht have to play the other four teams in the German Bundesliga’s bottom five, including both Hannover and Hoffenheim on its own pitch. Hoffenheim’s German Bundesliga program probably entitles it to be the relegation second favourite because, while the Kraichgauer have dates with Frankfurt and Hannover, they have no home matches versus teams in the bottom eight.

As a back-to-lay bet in German Bundesliga relegation, it is hard to go past Augsburg due to the odds of 8/19.00+8008.008.00-0.13 that 888Sport and Unibet are offering about the Fuggerstadter finishing the 34-round competition in the bottom two.

As short as odds of 4/15.00+4004.004.00-0.25 with Bwin to be one of the two teams relegated from the German Bundesliga automatically, Augsburg’s upcoming fixtures leads one to think that the Fuggerstadter are likely to fall in price as the race to remain in the top flight heats up over the coming weeks.

Hannover is seven points and several goals adrift of safety and most bookmakers have given up on the Reds retaining its German Bundesliga status that it regained in 2002. Hannover is yet to visit either first-placed Bayern Munchen or the season’s surprise packet, third-placed Hertha, so its last eight German Bundesliga games do not constitute the softest of schedules – the Reds have to face four of the top five.

However, instead of backing Hoffenheim at odds of 11/43.75+2752.752.75-0.36 with 888Sport and Unibet, one wants to bet on Augsburg at 8/19.00+8008.008.00-0.13 with the same bookmakers. Ausgburg’s German Bundesliga schedule is tough, with the Fuggerstadter lining up against only one side below it on the ladder and running into three of the top six teams. But it is the order in which Augsburg meets its German Bundesliga opponents that has swayed one’s view – the Fuggerstadter’s foes in order will be Dortmund (home), Mainz (away), Bremen (away), Stuttgart (home), Wolfsburg (away), Koln (home), Schalke (away) and Hamburg (home). One does not expect Ausgburg to get anything from its next two German Bundesliga games and back-to-back losses would result in it running out at Bremen in the second week of April on 27 points and quite possibly in the drop zone.

It feels like more than 10 months since Augsburg finished fifth in last season’s German Bundesliga and qualified for the UEFA Europa League. This term has been a disaster on every front and one of the reasons why Augsburg is at the wrong end of the German Bundesliga ladder is that it has posted just two victories in its 13 home matches and one of them was a 2-0 win over the cellar dweller, Hannover.

Back Augsburg at odds of 8/19.00+8008.008.00-0.13 to be relegated from the German Bundesliga and look to trade your position if the Fuggerstadter’s price halves. There is an excellent chance of that happening because, in all honesty, Augsburg should shorten before another German Bundesliga ball is kicked – 888Sport and Unibet are some way out of line.

Tips Summary

Augsburg to be relegated from the Bundesliga
Season 2015/16
Odds: 8/19.00+8008.008.00-0.13

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About The Author

Eric has been sports journalist for over 20 years and has traveled the world covering the top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting, and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.