Contest Metrics – Margaret River

We have included the data for Jay Davies, Jack Robinson, Yadin Nicol and Jacob Wilcox in case they are added to the draw via a trials win.

All of our our 'career' average heat score and win % statistics are taken from 2013-2018 WSL contest seasons. They do not reflect the entire careers of surfers who have been on tour longer than that.

A successful fantasy player never relies on past results or projections alone; we suggest that you check the forecast, sort through the particular conditions data that you deem most relevant and pick out a team that you feel balances the metrics as well as your gut.

Margaret River Metrics 2018

Key:
Win % - percentage of heat wins from 2013-2017
AHS - average heat score across all heats 2013-2017
2018 win% - percentage of heats won in current season
2018 AHS - average heat score for current season
EAHS - AHS across all heats for this event 2013-2017
E.Heats - number of heats surfed at this event 2013-2017
4-6' - average heat score in wave heights 4-6' (2013-2017)
6-8' - average heat score in wave heights 6-8' (2013-2017)
8-10+' - average heat score in wave heights 8-10+' (2013-2017)
Left/Right - average heat score in breaks offering both lefts and rights (2013-2017)
Rights - average heat score in right-hander specific breaks (2013-2017)
Reefs- average heat score in reef breaks (2013-2017)
Proj AHS - projected AHS based on the data presented in this table
Proj Score - projected score for the entire event using AHS and win percentage data

* 2018 win percentages count a 2nd place finish in R4 as a win because it allows a surfer to progress

Surfer

Win %*

AHS

2018 win%

2018 AHS

EAHS

E.Heats

4-6'

6-8'

8-10+'

Left/Right

Rights

Reefs

Proj AHS

Proj Score

John John Florence

65.45

14.6

25

10.45

16.62

17

14.65

15.46

16.65

14.37

15.2

15.48

13.61

104.797

Gabriel Medina

65.95

13.63

62.5

12.64

11.78

12

14.41

14.28

13.89

14.34

13.88

14

12.21

94.017

Jordy Smith

58.5

13.05

50

13.14

13.42

17

13.73

14.41

10.26

14.11

14.66

12.5

12.32

81.312

Julian Wilson

57.01

12.57

87.5

11.92

14.17

18

12.95

13.21

11.53

12.98

13.94

12.92

12.06

79.596

Joel Parkinson

54.59

12.97

40

12

13.11

16

13.63

13.04

12.19

12.45

14.63

13.02

12.1

63.525

Adriano de Souza

56.05

13.04

42.86

11.45

13.4

20

13.31

12.61

12.7

13.66

13.98

12.02

11.75

61.6875

Italo Ferreira

52.99

12.25

77.78

14.39

13.74

9

13.22

12.52

11.43

13.02

13.99

12.37

12.05

63.2625

Filipe Toledo

52.58

13.16

57.14

12.72

12.14

13

13.49

11.75

11.63

13.8

14.42

10.85

11.45

60.1125

Owen Wright

51.05

13.34

75

11.47

11.94

13

13.92

12.29

14.02

12.87

13.32

13.25

11.64

46.56

Michel Bourez

49.24

11.74

75

13.28

13.06

20

12.46

11.31

11.77

11.25

13.63

12.24

11.51

46.04

Adrian Buchan

45.56

12.46

75

12.34

11.83

13

13.3

13.1

11.9

12.47

12.71

12.85

11.45

45.8

Kolohe Andino

46.52

12.47

50

10.14

12.28

15

12.94

11.87

12.64

12.69

12.51

12.36

11.07

44.28

Jeremy Flores

42.42

12.77

50

12.02

14.38

13

12.44

13.6

12.33

12.17

13.22

13.67

12.13

35.48025

Frederico Morais

45.61

12.65

50

10.95

9.45

2

11.64

14.1

12.97

12.23

13.67

9.47

10.41

30.44925

Sebastian Zietz

40.66

12.08

20

10.4

13.71

18

12.45

12.61

11.39

12.26

13.19

12.35

11.46

33.5205

Mikey Wright

44.44

12.66

50

11.09

0

13.77

12.67

10.48

30.654

Connor O'Leary

42.86

11.79

25

9.5

11.89

3

11.52

12.97

11.42

11.58

11.34

12.51

10.66

31.1805

Matt Wilkinson

44.63

11.13

40

11.35

9.81

10

11.59

11.65

11.26

11.37

12.81

10.64

10.2

29.835

Kanoa Igarashi

41.77

10.47

40

11.14

11.38

6

10.91

10.03

10.34

11.87

11.09

10.02

9.78

27.873

Michael February

50

9.54

25

8.23

0

10.1

9.54

7.82

22.287

Willian Cardoso

35.71

13

33.33

11.37

0

13.28

13

11.34

10.79

30.7515

Caio Ibelli

35.37

10.98

0

9.89

13.06

8

11.31

12.97

14.16

11.46

12.89

10.74

10.78

30.723

Conner Coffin

35.8

10.74

42.86

10.42

10.82

7

11.96

11.18

14.21

11.57

12.91

10.69

10.28

29.298

Yadin Nicol

33.33

10.72

13.29

4

10.79

12.7

9.26

12.91

12.44

10.98

31.293

Jay Davies

30

12.78

13.14

8

13.17

10.96

14.15

12.05

13.51

12.78

11.58

21.423

Miguel Pupo

35.95

10.99

9.43

12

11.47

10.87

8.9

11.71

12.22

9.74

9.61

17.7785

Ian Gouveia

32.35

11.34

0

8.75

12.09

2

12.44

11.69

10.47

11.35

11.17

11.71

10.38

19.203

Joan Duru

29.27

12.6

0

11.78

8.27

2

12.31

13.7

7.99

12.45

12.77

11.5

10.5

19.425

Yago Dora

30.77

12.36

0

10.32

0

13.9

10.33

9.43

14.23

10.32

9.88

9.7

17.945

Ezekiel Lau

29.73

11.55

42.86

9.1

10

2

11.57

12.29

10.59

11.77

12.34

9.77

9.89

18.2965

Tomas Hermes

31.25

11.07

50

10.66

0

11.44

9.82

11.72

10.75

9.21

16.578

Keanu Asing

28.57

10.4

0

9.36

7.35

4

11.33

10.02

5.86

10.81

11.31

9.38

8.83

15.894

Wade Carmichael

27.27

10.64

42.86

11.47

0

12.3

6

3.73

6

11.97

4.87

8.23

14.814

Jesse Mendes

22.22

11.12

20

11.21

10.37

2

11.07

9.67

11.65

11.08

10.37

9.7

17.46

Jacob Wilcox

22.22

11.52

11.2

5

4.4

13.07

12.74

12.88

10.44

11.2

9.47

17.046

Jack Robinson

0

8.48

12.04

2

4.63

12.19

5.06

12.19

4.63

8.48

7.56

13.61

Margaret River Place History

Empty fields denote absent/injured surfer.

Results only include WCT events at Margaret River, not QS results (the event has been running since 1985).

It should be noted that John John also won this event as a QS Prime event in 2012

Balyn grew up on the east coast of Australia, nourishing his passion for surfing through a diet of empty beach breaks, Taylor Steele VHS cassettes and poor amateur competition results. As one of the head writers/analysts for Surf-Stats, he is as comfortable tearing through spreadsheets as he is 6' left-handers.