Global warming will be set to exceed the most stringent goal set inside the Paris agreement ‘by around 2040’ on current trends, threatening economic growth, according to a draft UN report in which will be the starkest warning yet of the risks of climate change.

Governments can still cap temperatures below the strict 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7° Fahrenheit) ceiling only with “rapid as well as far-reaching” transitions inside the globe economy, according to the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

The final government draft, obtained by Reuters as well as dated June 4, will be due for publication in October in South Korea after revisions as well as approval by governments. in which will be the main scientific guide for combating climate change.

“If emissions continue at their present rate, human-induced warming will exceed 1.5°C by around 2040,” according to the draft, which broadly reaffirms findings in an earlier draft in January yet will be more robust after 25,000 comments via experts as well as a wider pool of scientific literature.