Are Any of the Vote Totals Suspicious?

A poster of Iran's opposition candidate Mir-Hossein Mousavi on the ground in Tehran the day after the election

Yes. Support for Ahmadinejad was strangely consistent across the country, a real change from previous elections, when candidates drew different levels of support in different regions.

There were several other puzzlers in the results:

 According to official figures, Ahmadinejad handily beat Mousavi in Mousavi's hometown of Tabriz  a shocking result, given the candidate's popularity in his own region.

 Ahmadinejad beat Mousavi in the big cities, even though Iran's very limited polling and anecdotal evidence indicate that Mousavi is far more popular than the President in cities.

 The official figures put support for the other main reformist candidate, Mehdi Karoubi, at below 1%. That is far less than what was expected, and a drastic departure from the pattern in previous elections.