Figure 11-5: Future trends
in area-averaged annual mean temperature increase over land regions of Asia as
simulated by CCSR/NIES AOGCM for IS92a and SRES emission scenarios. Because the
climate sensitivity of model versions used for the new (SRES) and old (IS92a)
sets of simulations are different, temperature trends shown are scaled so they
can be compared directly; trends for IS92a scenarios are scaled by a factor of
1.56, which is the ratio of climate sensitivity averaged over Asia of new model
version to that of old version. Also note that only the direct effect of sulfate
aerosols is considered in the IS92a GHG+Aerosols simulation, whereas the direct
and indirect effects of sulfate and carbon aerosols are considered in SRES simulations.