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NBA FREE PICK: Grizzlies -4

Denver vs. Memphis, 02/17/2012 20:00
Point Spread: -4/-105 Memphis

The Grizzlies are getting no respect at all in this game. Memphis has won four of their last 5 overall and are plenty rested for the depleted Nuggets tonight. The Grizzlies have had to play just one road game in the last 12 days. The Nuggets will be playing their third road game in a week, but most importantly they will be playing without Danilo Gallinari, Nene, and possibly Timofey Mozgov(Game-Time-Decision).

While the Nuggets have a deep bench, Gallinari and Nene are two guys they really need in the lineup to play their best basketball. Injuries are a big reason why Denver is just 2-6 over their last 8 games. To give you an idea of how bad Denver is playing, four of those losses came at home, where they play their best.

Another reason to like the Grizzlies here is the fact that they are 3-1 SU & ATS in games played in Memphis over the last three seasons. That lone road game for the Grizzlies just so happened to be their last game, which they won 105-100 at New Jersey. Memphis is 11-2 ATS in home games off a road win over the last 2 seasons. The Grizzlies are also 32-19 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. BET MEMPHIS!

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