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Nigeria: Four reasons why oil production may be vulnerable

Report summary

Wood Mackenzie's sister company, Verisk Maplecroft, examines recent developments in the Niger Delta. The fragile peace in the region is on the cusp of breaking down again. Militant groups are running out of patience, the government is unable to deliver on its promises, the president is a ‘lame duck’, and the umbrella group negotiating on behalf of the militants shows signs of disintegration. All of this suggests that the current period of ostensible tranquillity in the oil producing Niger Delta could be over soon as the country heads towards elections in 2019.

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