Coach Brad Fittler has named an unchanged squad from the one which scored a big win in Game 2.

2019 State of Origin Game 3 Prediction

All the momentum is with the New South Wales’ Blues and they’re going to be awfully tough to beat on July 10 in Sydney.

Having the home crowd in their favour will help and given how easily they won Game 2 in Perth, it’s tough to see them regressing back to their Game 1 form.

However, Queensland performs best when they’re written off. Bookmakers currently have Queensland as the $2.90 underdogs and that’s fair given their Perth performance, but memories are short lived in State of Origin.

Queensland have a knack of performing best with their backs against the wall and they’re firmly against the wall here. Losing Kayln Ponga is a big loss and they don’t have an experience Origin player to take his place. Corey Norman comes into the squad on the biggest possible occasion.

It’s a tough spot for the Eels’ player but if he plays up to his usual standard, it could open up the Blues’ defense in the second half.

New South Wales are starting to gain ascendency in the State of Origin series. The forwards did everything they needed to do in Game 2 and we’re not sure Queensland has the muscle to contain the big and mobile pack.

That’s where Game 2 was won. Queensland has the best backline but very little go-forward ball to use. The Blues were able to scoot out of dummy-half and give their talented backline every chance with the ball.

Queensland will be better-suited if this game stays dry, which is why their odds drifted for Game 2. Bookmakers have the line set at 6.5 and given the importance of this game, we’re predicting a close game.

State of Origin Game 3 First Try scorer tips

There’s plenty of money coming for Josh Addo-Carr and that’s hardly surprising. Sportsbet opened his odds at $8 and he has already firmed into $7.50.

The Melbourne Storm/NSW winger has speed to burn and it’s often the wingers that score first in State of Origin.

He has been in good try-scoring form and New South Wales could make a positive start to this game in front on their home crowd.

Another Blues player who is full of confidence is Blake Ferguson. He’s in fine form in the NRL and his odds have also been met positively by punters.

Ferguson is a rangy player who is currently an $8.50 chance with bookmakers. That’s some good value, especially if he can get on the end of a James Maloney bomb in the early stages of the game.

For the Queenslanders, we’re looking at Dane Gagai to wake up after a dismal performance in Game 2. He was the star of the show in Game 1, scoring two tries and one at the most important time, but he went quiet in Perth.

If the Maroons are going to be competitive, players like Dane Gagai will need to show up in the early stages. Look for Gagai ($11) and teammate Michael Morgan ($15) to make an early impression in Sydney.