METHOD:

We studied all right knees with longitudinal MRI data of the refined Osteoarthritis Initiative Healthy Reference cohort. Baseline osteophytes, effusion-synovitis, Hoffa-synovitis, bone marrow lesions, cartilage lesions, and meniscus morphology and - extrusion were scored semiquantitatively from MR images by an expert reader. Deep and superficial layer cartilage T2 was computed in the medial and lateral femorotibial compartment (MFTC/LFTC) at baseline and at 1- and 4-year follow-up from multi-echo spin-echo MR images. Statistical analyses were performed using UNIANOVA.

RESULTS:

82 participants (age 54.1 ± 7.2y, BMI 24.2 ± 3.0 kg/m²; 61% women, bilateral Kellgren-Lawrence 0) were studied. Number of baseline MRI pathologies was not significantly associated with longitudinal change in MFTC or LFTC cartilage T2 over 1 or 4 years. Feature-specific analyses suggested that presence of baseline MFTC osteophytes may be associated with prolongation in superficial MFTC cartilage T2 over one (0.8 vs. 0.0 ms, p = 0.02) and four years (2.3 vs. 0.9 ms, p = 0.01), and that MFTC meniscal damage or extrusion may be associated with prolongation in deep layer T2 times over the first year (0.7 vs. 2.1 ms, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS:

Our study does not provide evidence that, in knees without radiographic OA, baseline structural MRI abnormalities are strongly related to compositional progression during normal aging and/or the potentially earliest phases of the disease as measured by cartilage T2.