The main objective of this research is to demonstrate the skill of the UK Met Office Hadley Centre’s coupled global seasonal forecasting system, GloSea4, as a seasonal forecasting tool for the Southern African Development ...

Seasonal forecast skill over southern Africa may improve through the combination of forecasts. In the southern African region, however, only a small number of institutions have the capability to run global models operationally ...

Tropical cyclone landfall within the southwest Indian Ocean (SWIO) basin occurs on average about 3 times per year over Mozambique and Madagascar. Rainfall associated with tropical cyclones over the interior of southern ...

An analysis was performed on the simulations of various Global Circulation Models regarding the change in favourability of broad circulation anomalies in the lower atmosphere for landfall and further westward penetration ...