Biden is routinely leading the polls. 26% in the last poll. Sanders at 19%. O'Rourke came in 3rd with 8%. There are a few 5% (Warren and Booker) and the rest are 2% and 1%. Then there are the 0%. I'd call Biden and Sanders top tier in this poll. O'Rourke, Warren, Booker as 2nd tier. The 1-2% as 3rd tier and the 0% people as 4th tier.

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Considering the man sitting in the White House wasn't considered "top tier" at the start of the Republican primaries in 2015 - some, at the time, even questioned how serious his bid really was - anything can happen...

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Considering the man sitting in the White House wasn't considered "top tier" at the start of the Republican primaries in 2015 - some, at the time, even questioned how serious his bid really was - anything can happen...

This is more what I mean, @vcczar but I accidentally hit submit too soon and then got totally sidetracked-- apologies.

Before 2016, Hillary was consistently FAR ahead (I believe at least in the 40s) in 2014 and early 2015, compared to Biden in the mid-20s (with a close challenger in Sanders.) The argument could also then be made that Biden has under-performed in past presidential primaries, and that Sanders may have more baggage due to Clinton supporters' annoyance with him (as compared to when he entered in 2015 a relative unknown.) I don't think these polls count for much before people actually start to announce, particularly considering some precedent.

This is more what I mean, @vcczar but I accidentally hit submit too soon and then got totally sidetracked-- apologies.

Before 2016, Hillary was consistently FAR ahead (I believe at least in the 40s) in 2014 and early 2015, compared to Biden in the mid-20s (with a close challenger in Sanders.) The argument could also then be made that Biden has under-performed in past presidential primaries, and that Sanders may have more baggage due to Clinton supporters' annoyance with him (as compared to when he entered in 2015 a relative unknown.) I don't think these polls count for much before people actually start to announce, particularly considering some precedent.

I'm talking about tiers as in initial candidate power. For the sake of the game, I'm asking how strong each candidate should be in initial support.

I have him at about 8%, and behind Biden and Bernie. I should possibly increase him, however. He;s clearly the favorite of those not wanting an 70+ year old. He beats Harris and Booker, which isn't a good sign for them.