Using company dividend policy to predict future earnings and growth opportunities

by Chien, Ming-Jr

Abstract (Summary)

The purpose of the article is to analyze the relationship among dividend policy,future earnings and growth opportunities.And the results are below:
1.Total dividend and cash dividend can predict future earnings,but stock dividend can only reflect current earnings
2.total dividend and stock dividend are signaling effect,but I have a diffent result in cash dividend.
Using MBA,MBE and E/P as substitute variables,it is contracting effect.But using R&D as a substitute variable,it is signaling effect.