Replay successes are inching back up toward 50%

2016 final replay statistics

For the second year in a row, the replay reversal rate among head coaches has climbed following a steep drop coinciding with the introduction of connecting the referee to the New York command center in 2014. The success of the red flag has not yet exceeded, or even reached, the halfway point like in years prior to 2014, but coaches are nearing that mark, finishing over 48% in a the regular-season reversal rate of calls made on the field.

Update 2/6: Including the postseason, the total was one failed challenge under 50 percent. The final challenge of the season was two plays before the two-minute warning of the fourth quarter of the Super Bowl, which confirmed the call on the field.

Five coaches who will no longer be with their respective teams for the 2017 season placed at the top of the list among all coaches, winning more than half of their challenges from the year. Notably, Gary Kubiak, who has stepped down as the head coach of the Broncos, challenged and won four time this season — the highest perfect record in the last four seasons. On the other hand, coaches who made the postseason ranked near the top or the bottom of the list. Bill Belichick, Jack Del Rio, Dan Quinn, and an improving Ron Rivera are among the best challengers, while Bill O’Brien, Ben McAdoo, and Mike Tomlin are down at the bottom. Only two coaches challenged ten or more times this year, and neither of those teams (Eagles and Rams) made the playoffs. Conversely, in 2015, the most frequent red flag tossers were in the postseason. Los Angeles interim coach John Fassel was the only one of the three interim coaches to make any challenges.

Ironically, Marvin Lewis, a member of the Competition Committee who had six reversals last season, finished 2016 as the only coach shut out this season with three unsuccessful tries.

Jason Garrett and Andy Reid, whose coaching staffs led the NFC and AFC, respectively, in the Pro Bowl each challenged once during the all-star game. Garrett won his challenge and Reid lost his. The replay official also buzzed down for a ruling review near the end of the game that stood.

The rate of reversals by replay officials has fluctuated over the last four seasons. Successful reviews initiated by the booth are down slightly this year compared to 2015.

Coach

Reversals

Challenges

Success %

Postseason

Challenges

Overall %

1

Gary Kubiak

†

DEN

4

4

1.000

2

Bill Belichick

*

NE

1

1

1.000

0

0

1.000

3

Ron Rivera

CAR

4

5

.800

Mike McCoy

†

SD

3

4

.800

5

Gus Bradley

†

JAX

5

7

.714

6

Jack Del Rio

*

OAK

4

6

.667

0

1

.571

Dan Quinn

*

ATL

2

3

.667

4

5

.750

Adam Gase

* ¹

MIA

2

3

.667

0

0

.667

9

Doug Pederson

¹

PHI

7

11

.636

10

Todd Bowles

NYJ

5

8

.625

11

Mike McCarthy

*

GB

3

5

.600

0

0

.600

Chip Kelly

†

SF

3

5

.600

Jay Gruden

WAS

3

5

.600

14

Rex Ryan

†

BUF

5

9

.556

15

Chuck Pagano

IND

3

6

.500

Mike Zimmer

MIN

3

6

.500

Jim Caldwell

*

DET

2

4

.500

0

0

.500

18

Sean Payton

NO

4

9

.444

19

Pete Carroll

*

SEA

3

7

.429

1

1

.500

20

John Harbaugh

BAL

2

5

.400

Hue Jackson

CLE

2

5

.400

—

Replay booth

NFL

66

177

.373

5

11

.378

22

John Fox

CHI

2

6

.333

Jason Garrett

*

DAL

1

3

.333

0

0

.333

Andy Reid

*

KC

1

3

.333

0

0

.333

Ben McAdoo

* ¹

NYG

1

3

.333

0

0

.333

Mike Tomlin

*

PIT

1

3

.333

1

2

.400

Dirk Koetter

¹

TB

1

3

.333

28

Jeff Fisher

†

LA

3

10

.300

29

Bill O’Brien

*

HOU

1

4

.250

0

0

.250

John Fassel

† ‡

LA

1

4

.250

31

Bruce Arians

AZ

1

5

.200

32

Mike Mularkey

TEN

1

7

.143

33

Marvin Lewis

CIN

0

3

.000

—

Anthony Lynn

† ‡

BUF

0

0

—

Doug Marrone

‡

JAX

0

0

—

Coach’s total

84

172

.488

6

9

.497

(2015 final replay statistics) Totals including the replay official: 160/359, .446 (regular season and postseason)
¹-First-year head coach, not including interim assignments. *-Playoff team. †-No longer with team or head coach. ‡-Interim coach. Source: NFL game statistics.

A potentially controversial sequence of events occurred late in the second half of the Packers-Falcons game when it appeared that two different players possibly threw punches that could’ve have warranted ejections.