Strategic Asia 2010-11

Asia's Rising Power and America's Continued Purpose

edited by Ashley J. Tellis, Andrew Marble, Travis Tanner

Publication Year: 2010

Strategic Asia 2010-11: Asia’s Rising Power and America’s Continued Purpose marks the tenth anniversary edition of NBR’s Strategic Asia series and takes stock of the Strategic Asia region by providing an integrated perspective on the major issues that influen

Title Page, Copyright

Contents

Preface

That the Strategic Asia Program has survived the vicissitudes of the past
ten years—even prospered through them—is a remarkable testament not
only to the need for the program but to the tremendous people who have
led and otherwise contributed to it. With only myself to blame, it took all
of the 1990s to figure out...

Strategic Asia 2010–11 Overview

Strategic Asia: Continuing Success with Continuing Risks

Power in the international system continues to shift to Asia from the West,
spurred by the superior growth of Asia’s major economies. This growth is
not uniform, however, and is causing a new struggle for strategic alignments
among Asian states and with the U.S. While Asia’s rise has brought new
opportunities, it has...

Strategic Asia 2010–11 Thematic Studies

The Geopolitics of Strategic Asia, 2000–2020

No student of geopolitics should be surprised by the conclusion that the
future shape of Strategic Asia will be determined in large part by the power
and preferences of its two biggest players. If China’s economy falters, the U.S.
will remain dominant in...

Asia and the World Economy in 2030: Growth, Integration, and Governance

Between 1990 and 2030, Asia and the West (defined as the U.S. and Europe)
will have roughly traded places in terms of output and other measures of
economic mass. Asia’s rise will require adjustments around the world but
should have a conservative influence on the world system. Given the region’s
stake in global...

Military Modernization in the Asia-Pacific: Assessing New Capabilities

Asia-Pacific militaries have added considerably to their arsenals over the
past fifteen years. Military modernization in the region has been propelled
by regional geopolitical forces, enabled by robust defense spending and
a buyer’s market in international arms, and stirred by the transformative
promise of network...

The Rise of Energy and Resource Nationalism in Asia

Energy and resource security have become critical issues on the economic
and strategic agenda in Asia as demand and dependence on imported
supplies grow. Regional powers, most notably China, have responded
with nationalistic strategies to secure control over energy and commodity
supplies. China, India, and other...

The Implications of Expanded Nuclear Energy in Asia

Asia’s rapid growth in nuclear power use will significantly influence safe and
secure operation of nuclear facilities, the global nuclear supply chain, and the
potential for further nuclear weapons proliferation. Although further growth
may occur in nuclear...

Asia’s Security and the Contested Global Commons

Asia’s rise and America’s geopolitical preeminence have been dependent
on the physical openness of the global commons—the seas, air, space, and
cyberspace—which has been sustained by U.S. military dominance since
the end of World War II. Yet the emergence of new Asian military powers
is creating pivotal...

Climate Change and Environmental Impact

Climate change models predict significant climate effects throughout the
region. Dry areas will become drier and wet areas will become wetter.
Coastal storms will increase in frequency and intensity. The monsoon
may transform in dramatic ways. This situation is driven by many factors,
including rapid...

Over the coming decades, the demographic profiles of the major powers of
the Asia-Pacific region—China, India, Japan, Russia, and the U.S.—stand
to be transformed significantly. Impending changes will directly affect the
ability of these...

Politico-Economic and Radical Islamic Challenges to Democracy in Asia

Though the region’s established democracies, notably Japan and India,
seem stable, the global wave of democracy has seemingly stalled in most
other states in Asia. First, Asia’s established democracies have followed
multiple paths toward democratization that may not prove easily replicable
elsewhere in the region...

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