Archive for the ‘Blog’

It appears that PinnacleSports has been sold to undisclosed buyers. Whilst rumours are going around that it is a Las Vegas firm, evidence suggests a UK or Ireland company.
And this makes perfect sense. It wasn’t long ago that Pinnacle had to close its doors to all UK customers, and hence would have lost a big chunk of their turnover. Perhaps it’s only a matter of time...

As we have discussed previously, the Kelly criterion is mathematically the optimal method of money management when betting. It takes into consideration the probability, and the odds in working out what percentage of your bank one should bet. The higher the overlay (advantage that you have over the bookmaker) and the shorter the odds, the larger the bet size. Whilst the...

In case you didn’t realise, Sportpunter have a new MLB model, and predictions have been going up daily as shown here: http://www.sportpunter.com/baseball/members/currentbets.htm
More information including probability of totals going over and under, suggested bets etc. will be added. A betting history will start as well.
Updates at this stage might be a little haphazard...

The Perth Wildcats are the Australian basketball champions, defeating Adelaide in a best of three playoff. But the real champions are the subscribers who signed up to Sportpunter’s NBL model this season. It was nice way to finish what has been a massively successful betting season with a small unders victory in the final match of the year.
The record for the year speaks...

There has been some talk about the NBL finals and how the totals and team lineups will play a part. In American basketball as well as a lot of other sports, the total amount scored during playoffs or finals decrease from what normally occurs throughout the regular season.
So does this occur in NBL? Here are the stats from the last few years:
Year RegularSeason Av.Finals...

There has been a bit of talk about how on average the number of goals increases and decreases over the course of a season because of the ice conditions. We’ve had a look at all the data going back to 1989 and the results are interesting.
It is well documented that the number of goals scored in any match has been on the decline, and this is clearly showed in the graph...

The start of the new NCAAB (American College Basketball) season has seen some high scoring matches. Since the year 2000, scores have gradually been decreasing from a high of 142 on average to last years low of 133. However, this season already has seen a massive jump up to 147 points per game. This can be seen in the figures below:
YearAv. Scores
2000/2001142.1
2001/2002141.6
2002/2003139.6
2003/2004138.0
2004/2005137.4
2005/2006137.1
2006/2007137.4
2007/2008137.5
2008/2009135.8
2009/2010136.9
2010/2011136.7
2011/2012134.6
2012/2013133.3
2013/2014147.8
There...

With the Australian Basketball NBL Season 2013/14 set to start on Thursday, we thought we’d take a look at the new rules that should allow higher scoring matches to occur.
The NBL has always been under the pump with regards to low scoring matches ever since they reduced the length of each quarter. But now, whilst there has not been any actual rule changes per-se, referees...

We previously talked about the difference between the original model and the player based model as discussed before. But today, we will outline the 4 games with the biggest difference in probabilities and why. So here they are.
4. Western Bulldogs vs. Sydney. Round 21,2012. At a finishing line of +49.5, our old model rated the bulldogs a 69.8% chance to cover the line....

It’s well documented and observed that on average male tennis players serve faster than females. This is common sense considering that males are much more stronger than females. But how much difference is there really and can the strongest female out serve the weakest male?
Shown below is a graph showing the distribution of female and male players for their average fastest...