30 Jun 2014

The European Parliament met yesterday [3rd June] to
discuss the implications of the European Union elections and begin selecting
new leaders for the parliament. African countries, like the rest of the world,
will be closely watching the repercussions of the latest EU “earthquake” (in
the words of French President Francois Hollande) on their economies and
citizens. These election results are once again the consequence of the
2008 financial crisis, only now—six years later—the crisis’ impact has moved
beyond the initial effects on the financial sector and global trade to the
socio-economic and political fabric of societies across the globe.

On May 25, 2014, Europe experienced an unprecedented
political pivot to the far right, as European Union countries elected their
leaders for the next five years. Seven countries of the EU (what I will call
the EU7) voted to send far-right parties to Brussels. In France, these parties
received 25 percent of the national vote; Denmark, 23 percent; the U.K., 20
percent; Austria, 20 percent; Hungary, 15 percent; Finland, 13 percent; and
Greece, 12 percent.[1]Thus,
the far right collectively will hold over 30 percent of the seats in the new EU
parliament.

Lack of growth in Europe has dimmed the enthusiasm of
integration and openness that formed the hallmark of the EU. The economics of
the EU have changed: It started with 15 countries at the end of 2003 and growth
rates of 3.9 percent on average, to 28 countries and an average growth rate of
-0.4 percent in 2012. Of the seven countries that voted to shift to the far
right, growth has plummeted from 4.2 percent in 2000 to -1.2 percent in 2012.
Unemployment rose from 7.3 percent in 2000 to 10.3 percent in 2012 in these
countries over the same period. Worse still, many of these countries have gone
through five years of no growth. As a consequence, a sense of economic despair
is growing among the middle and lower classes. This difficult economic
situation will be the backdrop of the meetings on Tuesday.

As they convene, the new members of the European parliament
will not only begin to address the challenges of governing Europe and growing
its economy; they will also examine their relationship with Africa. A number of
issues pertaining to the EU’s relationship with Africa—including trade,
openness and the Economic Partnership Agreement, immigration, development
assistance and peacekeeping—will be under scrutiny. African leaders and their
populations are watching to see how these important issues are addressed.

Trade and the
Anti-Globalization Movement

Unlike the EU7, Africa is experiencing unprecedented growth:
It is expected to grow at 5.5 percent in 2014. Trade with the rest of the world
is fuelling this growth, and trade with the EU is an important component.
Exports from Africa to the whole of the EU have increased from $95 billion in
2000 to $209 billion in 2013. Even if the overall share has been decreasing,
this trade remains significant. The largest exporters to Africa from the
EU in 2013 were France (18 percent of all EU exports), Germany (14 percent),
Italy (13 percent) and Spain (11 percent). Spain (17 percent of all EU
imports), Italy (16 percent), France (16 percent), the United Kingdom (13
percent) and Germany (12 percent) were the largest importers. Manufactured
goods accounted for 70 percent of all EU exports to Africa in 2013, while energy
made up 64 percent of imports. The major trading partners with the EU are South
Africa, Nigeria, Algeria and Libya.

To deepen trade relations, Africa and Europe have been
negotiating regional economic partnership agreements expected to increase access
of African countries to European markets—the most advanced of these discussions
being the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with the members of the Economic
Community of West African States (ECOWAS), the largest regional trading block
in sub-Saharan Africa. Negotiations on these agreements are set to conclude
this year.

The negotiation of EPAs thus focuses on narrow market access
considerations. African countries keep their preferential access to the EU
market, with some minor improvements in the rules of origin, in return for
opening up their markets to the EU over a defined transitional period. The
EPAs, like many trade agreements under discussion, have become increasingly
controversial for African countries, especially in the larger countries with industrial
policies that seek to develop domestic industry by protecting local firms using
trade barriers as a tool. To date no African countries have signed a full EPA,
and only 14 of 45 countries have agreed to an interim one.

The questions for policymakers and those involved in the
discussions are: What impact will the new parliament have on the direction of
the negotiations and will the parameters of the negotiations change to reflect
the new political leanings in Brussels? How will African countries react to
this new landscape?

Nationalism and
Immigration

Nationalism is on the rise in all of the EU7 countries. For
example, 17 percent of the French electorate reported that immigration is the
most important issue facing France and Europe, ahead of their concerns for
jobs, growth and macro-economic stability. The tension here is that, despite
the rapid growth witnessed in Africa, migration from Africa to Europe continues
to increase. In 2010, the stock of African migrants in France, the U.K. and
Denmark—the top three right-wing countries of the new EU parliament—was 2.8
million, 1.2 million and 38,000, respectively. A significant share of migrants
to France is from Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia, countries where economic growth
has stalled due to, among other things, prolonged political crisis.
However, the migrants to the U.K. from Africa originate from Nigeria,
Ghana and South Africa, where growth—driven mainly by the natural resource
sectors—has on average been high but not inclusive.

The new EU parliament may embrace the idea of the French far
right Front National party to reduce the number of migrants admitted into
Europe by over 80 percent. The policy of deportation may also be
accelerated. This would have important implications for Africa. In an environment
of high unemployment in Africa, a repatriation policy for even 1 percent of the
nearly 3 million migrants in France today will only fuel social unrest on both
sides with unwanted social and political consequences. Will the EU7 be ready
for this?

In addition, many African countries are taking on the issue
of immigration as a human rights issue and demanding better treatment of their
citizens in Europe. More countries are increasingly demanding that European
countries sign conventions on the treatment of migrants. If providing better
living conditions for African migrants is seen as costly by European countries,
it could provide a justification for tighter policies towards migrants and
encourage repatriations. How will African countries react to this new
environment?

South-South
Collaboration

In the meantime, might the EU vote for an African pivot
towards emerging market countries like China, India, Turkey and Brazil? During
the crisis, Africa benefitted from increased trade with emerging market countries
like China and India to maintain its high growth levels. Greater trade openness
with emerging market economies helped African countries diversify their trade
relations. While slow growth in Europe has led to a drop in exports from Africa
to the EU, exports to China have increased. In addition, bilateral relations
with China have gone from strength to strength, and, despite some setbacks,
African countries are keen to take advantage of the increased resources from
China. Could the recent EU also serve to deepen South-South collaboration? What
further impact will the EU vote have on increased South-South trade?

Development
Assistance and Peacekeeping

Development assistance from Europe remains high even as
official aid allocations from the EU to Africa have fallen since 2011. Despite
them economic crisis, many countries tried to protect development assistance,
but now these efforts may be under threat. In 2012, only the U.K., Denmark,
Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden met the United Nation’s pledge
to provide more than 0.7 percent of their GNI in development assistance. Today,
the U.K. is the second-largest donor to Africa after the United States, France
is the fourth largest, and Denmark is the eleventh. While FDI has grown
significantly, development assistance remains an important source of resources
for many countries, especially the fragile and conflict-affected countries with
no access to other sources of funds.

In addition to development assistance, Africa relies heavily
on the EU for peacekeeping. Currently there are over four EU peacekeeping
missions on the continent in the Central African Republic (CAR), Mali, South
Sudan and the Democratic Republic of Congo. In Libya and Egypt, some support is
also being provided. In addition, the French took the lead in organizing the
international community to restore stability during the recent crises in the
CAR, Mali and Libya. With a new EU parliament likely to focus on internal
issues, there are now legitimate concerns among African leaders that this
assistance could decrease.

African leaders will have to wait to see what the new
members of the European Parliament hold for the future of collaboration with
Africa. In the meantime, a number of lessons from regional integration in
Europe are evident and could help to bolster efforts at regional integration
throughout Africa.

[1] The
other big surprise of the election came from Italy—where the new Prime Minister
Matteo Renzi’s Democratic party won a historic 40 percent of the vote. The
largest country in the union, Germany, had no big surprises as the main
conservative parties, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Christian
Social Union (CSU), together won 35 percent of the vote.

Vera Songwe is a nonresident senior fellow with the Africa Growth
Initiative and lead economist at the World Bank. Most recently, she
was the adviser to managing director Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, who oversaw
the World Bank Operations in the Africa, Europe and Central Asia and South Asia
regions, as well as human resources.

The views expressed here are those of the author and may not represent those
of ECDPMPhoto courtesy of The Council of the European Union

16 Jun 2014

Political summits are known for sweeping declarations that
are, more often than not, forgotten as soon as the ink is dry. The
April 2014 EU-Africa summit, held in Brussels, appears to be no exception.
Leaders from both sides unanimously proclaimed the need for a fundamental shift
from aid to trade as agent of poverty reduction, but their actions did not
stray far from the status quo, write

Clara Weinhardt and Fabian Bohnenberger.

Yet the summit declaration deserves attention for bringing
to the forefront some of the fundamental obstacles that block the
long-proclaimed goal of poverty reduction through trade-based partnerships.
Both sides mistakenly equate job creation and economic growth with the
reduction of poverty. Moreover, neither side seems to have a clear
understanding of what rights and obligations accompany such a shift to
trade-based policies. Until both shortcomings are addressed, the tremendous
potential of trade for poverty reduction cannot be realised.

The Missing Link

European and African leaders both recognise that a shift
from aid to trade (and investment) would lead to job creation, economic growth
and poverty reduction. While properly designed trade policies can arguably
contribute to economic development, they are not an automatic mechanism for
poverty reduction. Higher incomes do contribute to a reduction in the number of
people living below the poverty line, but the gains made by increased trade
cooperation are not distributed equally — and it is often the poor that miss
out.

More than half of the population of Nigeria, Africa’s biggest
economic powerhouse, continues to live below the poverty line of less
than $1 per day. Shifting from aid to trade policies is unlikely to make a
significant contribution to poverty reduction unless distributional policies
and social investment are targeted as well. This is a major challenge for
African governments who have so far refused to tackle the issue of staggering
inequality.

How European trade policies fit in with poverty reduction
strategies remains unclear, while some of the EU’s economic aims may even come
in conflict with the poverty reduction agenda. Africa’s resource sector
industries are infamous for their deleterious effects on sustainable
development, and are of strategic interest for Europe.

Partnership of Equals?

Part of the intention behind the call for a shift from aid
to trade is the desire for an EU-Africa relationship that is a “partnership of
equals”. More than half a century after the first wave of independence, it is
time to acknowledge the evolution of the EU-Africa relationship from its
traditionally patronising donor-recipient arrangement towards a more
egalitarian, business-like trade partnership. Yet the EU and African sides are
caught up in internal contradictions regarding the roles they want to play in
their relationship. The EU points out Africa’s unprecedented economic and
demographic growth, at a time of European stagnation, as the key motive for a
shift towards mutual obligations. At the same time, Europe insists on its right
to set the agenda on economic reforms. The EU largely determined the model that
Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) between the partners ought to follow. It
also set October 2014 as a new deadline for the EPA negotiations, despite
heavy criticism from the African side.

African countries seem divided on how to accept the
principle of greater reciprocity as a new basis of their trade relationship.
While many countries lobby hard for having an equal say at the negotiating
table, there is a reluctance to accept equal obligations given existing asymmetries
in economic development. In the EPA negotiations, West Africa fought hard to
lower its market opening commitments from 80 percent to 70 percent
vis-à-vis its European counterpart, and demanded “aid-for-trade” to be part of
the agenda. It is therefore far from clear that a trade-based “partnership of
equals” will lead to an increase in cooperation, or even contribute to poverty
reduction.

The Way Forward

The arguments for a shift in EU-Africa relations from aid to
trade are not substantive in the face of a missing causal link between economic
growth and poverty reduction. An open acknowledgement of the obstacles that lie
in the way of a development-oriented trade partnership is needed if the
relationship is to move forward successfully. Economic policies can only
contribute to poverty reduction if distributional and social policies enable
so-called “pro-poor growth” — something which African countries need to
prioritise if they are to take on a trade-based economic agenda. The African
side’s demand for “aid-for-trade” underline that it makes little sense to treat
trade as an isolated policy sector. Improving trade policies as an end in
itself is pointless if you have nothing to trade, or lack the capacity to put
new trade agreements into practice.

The blind spots in the recent summit declaration show that a
real discussion about these fundamental preconditions is urgently needed for
any trade-based partnership. A key priority for the new European Parliament
elected on May 25 and the reshuffled Commission should be an increase in
resources towards developing a joint strategic approach on EU-Africa trade
relations.

The call for a shift from aid to trade is, however, not a
lost cause. While EPAs are not exactly a success story yet, they do hint at the
potential that an EU-Africa trade partnership holds for moving the development
agenda forward. Not only did the prospect of greater trade openness provoke a
great deal of economic and political analysis within African countries on trade
policies, it has also strengthened and diversified existing trade-policy making
institutions. These developments were driven forward by the African side in a
proactive way rarely seen in response to past handouts of European financial
aid.

Yet, for such constructive steps to be promoted
systematically and successfully, European and African leaders need to clearly
define the roles they are to play in a development-oriented trade partnership.
Equal treatment of parties that are unequal in economic terms is likely to
result in unequal outcomes at the negotiating table. The European side needs to
be willing to respond to the African side’s demands — even if this means
prolonging asymmetrical preferences in what cannot yet be considered a
“partnership of equals” in economic terms. African leaders need to realise that
they cannot have it all: balancing the desire to have equal weight at the
negotiating table with demands for aid and flexibility will be a delicate, but
important task for building a development-oriented trade partnership with the
EU.

Clara Weinhardt is a research associate and Fabian Bohnenberger a research assistant at the Global Public Policy Institute in Berlin, and are part of its Innovation in Development team.

11 Jun 2014

In recent weeks, the G8 has been making the headlines as Russia’s membership is threatened by its grab of the Crimean Peninsula from Ukraine.

But the G8 club of rich countries is itself responsible for enabling another kind of takeover. A report released this week by the World Development Movement has exposed how the New Alliance for Food Security and Nutrition, a project launched by the G8 in 2012, is supporting a corporate scramble for Africa.

An example of the latest kind of public-private partnerships (PPPs), the initiative requires African countries to change their policies to facilitate the expansion of agribusiness in exchange for aid money from G8 countries and commitments from multinational companies to invest. The scheme was launched with claims that it will lift 50 million people out of poverty within a decade.

For companies like seed giant Monsanto and tax-dodging brewer SABMiller, which are looking for new sources of raw materials and markets for their products, the New Alliance promises clear benefits. But claims that the initiative will create a win-win situation are at best misguided. The New Alliance will strengthen the hand of such companies at the expense of the small-scale food producers who currently feed most of the continent. As a result, we can expect increased inequality and rising poverty among farmers.

Land-grabbing is a major threat to small-scale food producers, with female farmers often the worst affected. Million of hectares of African land have been sold or leased to foreign investors in recent years, yet as part of the New Alliance, African countries have been pushed to amend their land laws, making it even easier for big companies to take over land.

In addition, African governments are being told to reform their trade systems, committing to not restrict exports even at times of food shortage among their own people. African countries are also being pushed to curtail the ability of farmers to save and exchange seeds that they have bred themselves, forcing them instead to buy seed produced by one of a shrinking number of global seed companies.

Corporate takeover

That the New Alliance is driven by the interests of corporations is clear from the countries it has targeted. So far, ten countries are involved: Benin, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Ghana, the Ivory Coast, Malawi, Mozambique, Nigeria, Senegal and Tanzania. These countries are appealing places for agribusiness companies to expand, with estimated economic growth rates averaging 6.7% in 2012, compared to an average of 4.9% for sub-Saharan Africa as a whole. Most are also coastal countries, meaning easy access for imports of fertilisers and pesticides, and exports of agricultural produce.

However, only one of the countries involved − Ethiopia − features amongst the ten African countries with the worst problems of hunger. Meanwhile, landlocked countries such as Burundi, the Central African Republic and Chad, all in the bottom ten in terms of hunger, have also been ignored.

This is not the first time rich countries have dreamed up schemes that benefit themselves and attempted to pass them off as beneficial to Africans. The projects being promoted as part of the New Alliance bear a striking resemblance to the 19th Century colonial takeover. Zones known as agricultural growth corridors are being demarcated for the expansion of industrial agriculture, with infrastructure such as ports and roads mirroring (and sometimes literally building on) colonial-era railways constructed to extract resources from the continent. Such schemes are already underway in Mozambique and Tanzania, supported with aid money channeled through the New Alliance, and there are plans for similar projects in other countries including Kenya.

This time round, the justification is the need to ‘feed the world’. But the link between food production and levels of hunger is weak. The world can produce enough food for 12 billion people, yet around one billion of the seven billion people currently on the planet go hungry. In sub-Saharan Africa, food production has been rising more than the population has grown, yet under nutrition has affected more and more of people. I n the 20 years leading up to 2011, per capita food production rose by 10%, while the number of people going hungry increased by 40%.

Public-Peasant Partnerships

Currently, an estimated 70% of the global population is fed by small-scale food producers, who use no more than 30% of the world’s arable land and 20% of the fossil fuel used by agriculture. In this context, the corporate-controlled industrial model of agriculture being promoted through schemes like the New Alliance starts to look like it should be consigned to the scrapheap.

It’s not surprising therefore that farmers groups and civil society organisations from across the African continent are condemning schemes like the New Alliance as the “new wave of colonialism”. And just as Africans demanded their sovereignty in the early 20th Century, many are now demanding food sovereignty.

A framework developed by peasants, farm workers, urban food producers, pastoralists, fisherfolk and environmental groups from around the world, puts food sovereignty and people’s right to food ahead of corporate profits. It demands that those who produce food have control of the resources they need to do so. If government support for agriculture was channeled to small-scale food producers rather than multinational companies, this would be achievable. What is needed, as Mamadou Cissokho, honorary president of West African farmers network, puts it, are real PPPs: public-peasant partnerships.

For more information about the World Development Movement's campaign, click here.

Christine is policy and campaigns officer for WDM’s food speculation campaign. Follow her on twitter @christineehaigh

3 Jun 2014

It is commonly heard
amongst trade negotiators that “no deal is better than a bad deal." This
refrain probably doesn’t apply in the case of Côte d’Ivoire’s EPA negotiations
with the EU where no agreement would turn out to be a very bad deal for many of
their leading exporters, especially of agricultural products. The Côte
d’Ivoire Government is working with its civil society, business and government
partners throughout West Africa and at home to find a solution.

When senior officials and chief negotiators from West Africa
and the EU reached a deal on a regional EPA earlier this year, it appeared to
be a result which guaranteed market access to the EU while reinforcing West
Africa’s trade integration. However, the signature of this agreement has
since been delayed and its content is being called into question as Nigeria and
other countries assess whether the deal is in the interest of their
economies.

If key partners in the West African region choose not to
sign and implement the regional EPA, Côte d’Ivoire will face a daunting choice
– lose its preferential access to the European market or undermine its regional
integration with West Africa under the ECOWAS Trade Liberalisation Scheme
(ETLS). It is a very difficult position for a country which prides itself
as both the motor for integration in West Africa and the region’s biggest
(non-oil) exporter to Europe.

The Ministry for African Integration (which is responsible
for EPA negotiations as well as West African regional integration) has a very
clear view on this potential dilemma. “Our Leaders have given us a
mandate to negotiate a regional EPA which promotes development and reinforces
regional integration in West Africa” says Stéphane Aka Anghi, Conseiller
Technique at the Ministry of African Integration, “as long as a regional
EPA remains on the agenda, it is our plan A, B and C”.

Market access to the
European Union

Côte d’Ivoire officials are acutely aware of what they stand
to lose if no reciprocal free trade agreement is reached with the EU by October
2014. Chief among their concerns is preferential access to the EU for
their main exports including cocoa, bananas, wood, tuna and a range of other
products.

Without continued duty-free quota-free access to the EU
market, these industries could disappear or, at the very least, they would
suffer drastic reductions in exports. Exports of these products at
preferential rates account for one third of Côte d’Ivoire’s total exports to
Europe and generate millions of jobs, especially in vulnerable rural
communities.

In the case of tuna and the four canneries which the
industry supports in Côte d’Ivoire, exports to the EU are the backbone of the
business. With trade preferences removed, and no EPA in place, tariffs
would rise from zero percent to over 20 percent – a move that could wipe out
the entirety of Côte d’Ivoire’s exports to Europe. Ivorian industry is
already coming under increased competition due to preference erosion with
respect to some competitor countries, such as South Korea which can now export
tuna at a tariff of 12 percent under the EU-Korea FTA.

However, failure to reach a deal would not just undermine
Côte d’Ivoire’s exports of primary products to Europe - it could also reverse
the industrialisation process already underway in some sectors. The case
of cocoa illustrates the dilemma they are facing.

Côte d’Ivoire is the world’s leading producer of cocoa (it
is responsible for around one third of global production) and the sector is
directly or indirectly responsible for millions of livelihoods in the country.
Côte d’Ivoire is currently using its comparative advantage in cocoa to
move up the value chain and start exporting value-added cocoa products.
While this process is in its infancy, it is a promising sector which could
create higher paying industrial jobs and contribute to the country’s
development.

If Côte d’Ivoire finds itself under the Generalised System
of Preferences (GSP) later this year, its cocoa industry will certainly survive
in some form. However, the high tariffs in the form of mixed or specific
duties on finished chocolate products, as well as the 9.6 percent ad valorem
rate for cocoa paste, would drive Côte d’Ivoire back down the value chain to
being a mere commodities exporter (with duty-free entry for cocoa beans).

Solidarity with the
West African region

It is too early to start thinking about a plan B and Côte
d’Ivoire continues to invest fully in reaching agreement on a regional EPA
which preserves its market access to Europe and strengthens regional
integration. However, many actors in the region are starting to think
about what might happen if the regional deal falls through and various ECOWAS
countries, including Côte d’Ivoire, start to seriously consider bilateral deals
with the EU.

Such bilateral deals, rather than a region-wide EPA, would
make the West African common market unworkable and Côte d’Ivoire could lose
many of the benefits it currently enjoys under the ETLS. These benefits
include preferential access into the markets of other West African countries
for products which have been approved under the ETLS.

Côte d’Ivoire understands the importance of West Africa’s
regional integration - it has played a key role in driving the process and is
responsible for around one quarter of trade in the region. Further, for
some of its industries, and especially for processed and industrial products,
West Africa represents a much more significant market than Europe.

For the Grand Moulins d’Abidjan, with their towers visible
from all around the city, any move away from Côte d’Ivoire’s integration with
West Africa would be disastrous. They do not export to the EU, but
harvest one fifth of their turnover from trade in West Africa. Flour is a
highly sensitive product in the region and their preferential access to markets
is thanks to the ETLS.

Each country in the region has to manage its own nuances and
trade interests. For example, Ghana is at a similar stage of development
to Côte d’Ivoire and is facing a similar dilemma, however it has a different
export profile and this has influenced its approach to EPA negotiations.
Ghana’s overall exports to the EU are worth only half of what Côte d’Ivoire
exports. Moreover Ghana has gone further along the path of producing
industrial products for the West African market and has developed a range of
employment-generating sectors such as plastics, pharmaceuticals and wood and
furniture products.

Nevertheless, the failure to reach a deal in the EPA
negotiations would see Ghana lose access to the EU market for certain key
commodities such as bananas, tuna and cocoa. Despite the importance of
the regional market for Ghana’s processed products, it would be unlikely to
seriously consider any outcome which resulted in lost access to Europe for
these important commodities.

Fragmentation of West
African trade policy

Many in West Africa argue that if a regional EPA cannot be
delivered then Côte d’Ivoire should sacrifice its access to the EU market and
prioritise regional integration under the ETLS. Nigeria adopted a similar
path when it chose not to sign an interim EPA in 2007 and saw its preferential
access to the EU downgraded from the Cotonou regime to the less-generous
GSP.

However, the trade flows suggest that this would be a much
more difficult decision for Côte d’Ivoire as it is responsible for almost forty
percent of West Africa’s non-oil exports to the EU. Despite the much
larger size of its overall economy, Nigeria’s non-oil exports to the EU are
worth only one third of what Côte d’Ivoire exports. In addition, Côte
d’Ivoire trades more in those products covered by Cotonou but excluded from the
GSP (such as cocoa and bananas), compared to Nigeria’s overwhelming reliance on
petrol exports to the EU which remain duty free even under the GSP regime.

While a bilateral EPA between Côte d’Ivoire and the EU would
undermine West Africa’s goal of integration, the reality is that trade policy
has been fragmented in the region since the EU’s Cotonou regime was found to be
inconsistent with WTO rules in the 1990s.

Out of 16 countries in West Africa (the 15 members of ECOWAS
plus Mauritania which has joined the bloc for the purpose of EPA negotiations),
12 are currently classified as LDCs and qualify for duty-free quota-free
treatment under the EU’s “Everything But Arms” regime. These countries
have tended to be less supportive of opening their markets to competition from
Europe as they have little risk of losing preferential access to the EU in the
near future. Nevertheless, these countries aspire to graduating from LDC
status and would be adversely affected by any developments, which undermine
ECOWAS trade integration.

Cape Verde, which graduated from LDC status in 2008, exports
to the EU under a regime which no other West African country shares. In
December 2011, it became the first African country to gain GSP+ access to the
EU market, though this access must be regularly renegotiated and it remains conditional
on satisfying certain criteria relating to human rights, labour rights and the
environment.

Nigeria has been under the GSP scheme since 2007 and Ghana
and Côte d’Ivoire have had their duty-free quota-free preferences extended
since they initialled interim EPAs in December 2007.

Even if Côte d’Ivoire and other non-LDCs in the region
renounce the EPA with the EU, they would still be a long way from having a
harmonised and coherent trade policy in West Africa. There would be
several different regimes governing trade relations with their most important
export destination - the European Union. Further, some countries in the
region have already started entering into bilateral deals with other trade
partners.

Conclusion

The next few months will be critical in determining the
future of trade policy in West Africa, especially with regard to access to the
European market and regional integration under the ETLS. Notwithstanding
the different circumstances in each of their economies, ECOWAS countries are working
hard with their civil society, business groups and development partners to find
a solution.

No deal in the EPA negotiations may turn out to be a very
bad deal for key industries in Côte d’Ivoire and other ECOWAS countries.
They have a strong interest in finding a way to retain an integrated West
African region with continued access to the European market.

Ben Czapnik is an Adviser for the International Trade
Centre. He has worked with the government, private sector and civil society of
Côte d’Ivoire on EPA and regional integration issues under the Programme
d’Appui au Commerce et à l’Intégration Régionale (PACIR)

This article initially appeared in ICTSD'sBridges Africa, Volume 3 - Number 5

The Photo is courtesy of Desomurchu Archive Gallery

The views expressed herein are those of the author and do
not necessarily reflect the views of ECDPM

2 Jun 2014

Showing up at a summit
can be key to a politician's image and communications strategy, but the power
of a well-planned absence or boycott is all too tempting for some. The sick
no-shows, also, manage to use the doctrine of silence surrounding the health of
African leaders to their advantage. The Europe-Africa summit in April provided
just the right platform for drama brewed in the African pot, writes The Africa Report.

No-shows at the EU-
Africa summit

It was billed as the people's summit and it was just that –
although not in the way envisaged by the planners of the Africa-European Union
(EU) conference in Brussels on 2-3 April. Among the no-shows, South Africa's
Jacob Zuma led the pack in solidarity with Zimbabwe's Robert Mugabe, who
boycotted the conference because his wife Grace was refused a visa. The sick
no-shows included Côte d'Ivoire's Alassane Ouattara and Algeria's Abdelaziz
Bouteflika, with the latter also busy running a virtual election campaign.
Morocco's King Mohammed VI declined to attend following rumours that
representatives from the Polisario Front, on South Africa's urging, might be
attending.

Odd couples, rare birds

Among the shows, the star turn was Nigeria's Goodluck
Jonathan, who beamed that his country's economy was bigger than Jacob Zuma's.
There was also a rare sighting of Cameroon's Paul Biya, along with the old
guard Francophone elite, Gabon's Ali Ben Bongo Ondimba and Congo-Brazzaville's
Denis Sassou Nguesso. Despite elections and rocky economies, the euro elite
were out in force. Affectionately known as the 'odd couple', European Council
president Herman Van Rompuy and EU Council vice-president Catherine Ashton were
ubiquitous.

Business and Security

Although the summit was preceded by a business forum,
attended by a large and investment-hungry Zimbabwe delegation, the main
business was security. Central African Republic's (CAR) Catherine Samba-Panza
had meetings with French President Hollande and the United Nations's Ban
Ki-Moon. On the agenda was the despatch of 1,000 European troops to Bangui.
Niger's Mahamadou Issoufou went to brussels with a sheaf of well-prepared
demands for military and development aid. After recent tensions between Mali
and France, Issoufou is now Europe's ally of choice in the Sahel.

Keeping the Peace

The chair of the AU Commission, Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma,
jointly ran the key meetings with Van Rompuy, despite her concerns about euro
dominance on security in Africa. there was some confusion, however, about the
AU's attitude to aid offers after the EU pledged €800m ($1.1bn) for its new
African peace facility. Another tactic is being tried by Rwanda's Paul Kagame,
who turned up in brussels having just given an interview to our sister
magazine, Jeune Afrique, accusing the Belgian and French governments of direct
participation in the 1994 genocide. Just 20 years after the genocide, Rwanda
has sent more than 4,500 peacekeeping troops to Sudan, South Sudan, CAR, Côte
d'Ivoire, Liberia and Mali.