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NFL Picks

NFL Week 15 Player Prop Picks

We have
only a few weeks of the regular season remaining, and I am back once again this
weekend with two more player props from Bet365. Both of these NFL Odds are
touchdowns props, and I think both have some great respective value.

TD Scorer

The
return of Jay Cutler is going to do some things to the Bears’ offense. Even
though Josh McCown played extremely well in Cutler’s second absence, he was the
quarterback who electrified 2nd year wide receiver, Alshon Jeffery.
Brandon Marshall was somewhat forgotten because of how good Jeffery has been
over the last several weeks.

However
with the return of Cutler, it’s likely that we see the return of Marshall as
the Bears’ number one receiver. Marshall was getting a majority of the Bears’
red zone looks when Cutler was healthy, and now with him back under center, I
expect those looks to return.

An even
larger factor to this pick is Joe Haden will likely spend most of his time
defending Jeffery, which will lead to a lot of looks towards Marshall’s way
this week. Marshall has spent most of his snaps in the slot, and Haden does not
play the slot corner position for the Browns. If Haden stays locked in on
Jeffery, that means the NFL Odds for Marshall to score this week are looking
even better.

Even
though it’s only -110 for Marshall to get into the end zone this week, with
Cutler returning and Haden on Jeffery, I’m all over this NFL pick. I expect
double-digit targets this week for Marshall, and one or more of them will
likely be in the red zone.

While
this next guy doesn’t have anywhere near the touchdown chances of Marshall, I
think he could see a lot of work this week. Rookie tight end, Zach Ertz had a
huge game for the Eagles two weeks ago against the Cardinals, and even though
he was held without a catch this past week, I think we see a resurgence in Week
15.

At +250,
Ertz’ touchdown price is through the roof, and it’s not that inconceivable to
expect a touchdown from him. Two weeks ago against the worst tight end defense
in the NFL, Ertz went off for two touchdowns. This week the Eagles welcome in
the Vikings, the 2nd worst tight end defense in the NFL.

The
Vikings have given up 11 touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season, and
while the Eagles don’t use their tight ends much, they do when the matchups are
right. The Vikings will likely be without Adrian Peterson and his backup Toby
Gerhart, so their offense is really going to be limited. The Eagles will want
to employ a conservative approach this week, with plenty of LeSean McCoy and
the tight ends. Chip Kelly’s offense will likely have the ball a lot in this
game.

While
Ertz hasn’t been a consistent threat this season, the price of +250 is way too
appealing to me today. The Vikings gave up two touchdowns last week to Dennis
Pitta, and now they have given up an average of five touchdowns in their last
six games to opposing tight ends.