Mike Roselli is a Chicago-based attorney and sports analyst. He runs "The Doggy Juice Podcast" - an analytics-driven podcast that updates listeners on state-by-state sports betting legalization and helps them find value on the betting boards.

The Packers are 4- to 4.5-point favorites at home against Seattle in the final game of the NFL Divisional Round weekend (6:40 p.m. ET, 5:40 p.m. CT, FOX), per betting lines posted on oddsboards as of Thursday.
Fresh off a 17-9 win in Philadelphia on Wild Card Weekend, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks look to continue the strong road form that they have enjoyed all season, going 8-1 straight up and 6-2-1 against the spread away from CenturyLink Field in the regular season and playoffs. They are set to face a Green Bay side that was 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS at home in 2019.
The Packers (13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS) opened as 3.5-point favorites, but the consensus spread ticked up in early trading. Green Bay is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings between these teams, as well as 5-0 ATS in the last five at Lambeau Field.
First-year head coach Matt LaFleur has had extra time to prepare his team for Sunday's matchup, and while he is set to coach his first playoff game, he can lean on the experience of veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who has made 17 postseason appearances over the past decade. The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six January games, and Rodgers' wizardry is a major reason why his team has outperformed postseason expectations in the betting market.
Green Bay received a boost when key offensive lineman Bryan Bulaga [cleared concussion protocol](https://packerswire.usatoday.com/2020/01/08/packers-rt-bryan-bulaga-clears-concussion-protocol-will-play-vs-seahawks/) Wednesday, putting him in line to start against the Seahawks. His presence is needed Sunday, as LaFleur looks to continue to pound the rock. The Packers figure to give running back Aaron Jones plenty of opportunities in this one, especially early on.
__NFL postseason betting:__ [Divisional Round trends, tips](https://www.betchicago.com/nfl-divisional-round-betting-trends-tips-playoffs) | [Super Bowl futures strategy](https://www.betchicago.com/super-bowl-54-betting-strategy-moneyline-futures)
The Seahawks (11-5 SU, 8-8-1 ATS including playoffs) are banged up entering Sunday's contest, especially at [offensive line](https://www.seattletimes.com/sports/seahawks/the-seahawks-injury-report-is-littered-with-offensive-linemen-but-there-are-some-encouraging-signs/). That doesn't bode well for them since Green Bay's biggest strength is its defensive front. Expect the Packers to prioritize putting pressure on Wilson, who was sacked a league-high 48 times over the course of the regular season.
Seattle dealt with cluster injuries at the running back position as the regular season came to a close, a situation that forced management to pluck veteran Marshawn Lynch out of retirement. But Lynch and backfield mate Travis Homer have vastly underperformed, averaging just over one yard per carry. In their wild-card win over Philadelphia, the Seahawks' two RBs combined for 19 rushing yards on 17 carries.
However, the Packers' biggest weakness is their ability to stop opposing rush defenses. They rank No. 23 in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (120.1), so there is a ray of hope for Seattle fans who want to see Lynch ground-and-pound his way down the grass field at Lambeau like times of old.
Based on advanced metrics, both teams in this matchup are overrated. During the regular season, Green Bay ranked No. 20 in net yards per play, while Seattle was 15th. According to [Football Outsiders](https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teameff/2019), the Packers sit No. 15 in DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total defense, while the Seahawks are in the bottom half of the league at No. 18.
Seattle is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as a betting underdog, but it has been fortunate in close contests this season. Including last week's eight-point win over Philadelphia, the Seahawks are 11-2 in one-score games.
Sunday’s total sits at 47. Green Bay averaged just 21.7 points per game during the final four weeks of the season, and UNDER bettors cashed in the Packers' last four games and in seven of their last eight.
The Packers are 8-0 ATS in their last eight contests following an ATS loss. They beat Detroit 23-20 in Week 17, failing to cover as 13.5-point road favorites. We lean Green Bay in this spot against the Seahawks, but the line would need to get to -3 for us to get involved.
__Bookmark us:__ [NFL betting coverage](https://www.betchicago.com/nfl-betting)

<div><div><h3>Download the BetChicago app</h3><p>The latest version of the BetChicago app is available for download, and once you take that step, you’ll be a tap away from the most important news driving the betting market, research and analysis from our editorial team and a line into the knowledge and opinion of some of the country’s biggest and best oddsmakers.
</p><p>You’ll also get the up-to-date futures odds, point spreads, moneylines and totals, as well as scores, schedules, matchups and more.
</p><p>The app gives you quick access to our <a href="https://betchicago.chalkline.com/">free-to-play contests</a> that offer the chance to win cash and other great prizes.
</p><p>Also, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/userregistration">create a BetChicago account</a> to receive email updates and be able to customize notifications, save stories, select your favorite teams and players and more.
Download the BetChicago app at<a href="https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/betchicago/id1404462108?mt=8"> iTunes</a> or <a href="https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.betchicago.app&hl=en_UShttps://itunes.apple.com/us/app/betchicago/id1404462108?mt=8">Google Play</a> today.</p></div></div>

<div><p>As legalized sports betting expands, so too are the wagering options available to gamblers. Sportsbooks are getting more and more creative in what they’re posting on their oddsboards. While traditional pre-event bets – such as point spreads, moneylines and totals – remain popular, live betting is become a larger part of the sports betting experience. Also, prop bets aren’t just for the Super Bowl anymore. In fact, there are props to wager on for practically any sporting event around the world.</p><p>Whether it’s on the <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/nfl-betting">NFL</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/college-football-betting">college football</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/mlb-betting/home">MLB</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/nba-betting">NBA</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/ncaa-basketball-betting">NCAA basketball</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/nhl-betting">NHL</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/soccer-betting">soccer</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/nascar-betting">NASCAR</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/ufc-betting">UFC</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/boxing">boxing</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/horse-racing-odds">horse racing</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/tennis-odds">tennis</a>, entertainment or eSports, it’s difficult to win long term betting on sports. That’s why it’s important to read up on the news that impacts the markets, dig deep into advanced statistics and hear from oddsmakers about how and why lines are moving.</p><p>Here at BetChicago, we follow sports betting from a national and even international perspective, but we put a special emphasis on Chicago, Illinois and the Midwest region. That means, for example, if you’re interested in where the futures odds of the <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/bears-betting">Bears</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/cubs-betting-odds">Cubs</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/white-sox-betting-odds">White Sox</a>, <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/bulls-betting-odds">Bulls</a> and <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/blackhawks-betting-odds">Blackhawks</a> stand, look no further. If you want insight and analysis about the betting lines for <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/big-ten-football-betting-odds">Big Ten football</a> or <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/big-ten-college-basketball-betting-lines-odds-trends-predictions">basketball</a> or <a href="https://www.betchicago.com/notre-dame-football-odds-betting">Notre Dame</a> sports, you’re at the right place.</p></div>