re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™

quote:OU was the first to expose it last week, and WV will do the same this week.

Not gonna argue with you there. I didn't bet Tech against Iowa St for that reason and they came out an played a decent game on the road, for that reason I bet them against OU and got burnt.

I think the only thing they can hang their hat on for Tech is looking at the model Maryland provided, Tech seems to have a similar style defense, and a much better offense.

Like I said I doubt I play either side, I just wanted to give reasons why the so called "sharps" may like Tech. Because to the average bettor, this game is an absolute no brainer. Just shocks me that Vegas gets so cocky in these spots, I guess they really fear they would get pounded by the wise guys, but still 85% of the money is going to come in on WVU.

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™(Posted by dcrews on 10/8/12 at 4:59 pm to dgtiger3)

You're obviously more experienced at this than I am (so I say this reluctantly), but considering Oklahoma is the first legitimate non middle school team Texas Tech has played, their stats almost mean zero to me.

Opponents

NW State Texas State New Mexico Iowa State Oklahoma (Lost by 3 TD's)

Again, I am a novice at this sports betting thing, but I can't take any defensive stat from Texas Tech seriously with those opponents.

Not to mention their only legit competition, OU, smashed them on their own field. As square as it sounds, I can't in good conscience take Tech to stop an offense like WVU's. I just can't.

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™(Posted by dgtiger3 on 10/8/12 at 5:31 pm to dcrews)

quote:You're obviously more experienced at this than I am (so I say this reluctantly)

Your good people dcrews, and everyone is only as good as their next bet.

But in all honesty I just like to throw my two cents in the forum. The bet thread has been real strong the last few weeks and we have a ton of posters in here with some real knowledge. Tots, Tebow, rocket, Hole, avatiger, bamafan, ChemE, all come to mind (I know I am leaving people out so spare me). The people who just pop in this thread have a few winning weeks in a row now which is great.

re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™(Posted by dgtiger3 on 10/8/12 at 6:26 pm to dgtiger3)

At first glance here are some plays that I really like this week... In order of how strongly my early numbers feel about them. North Carolina -6.5 Navy +2.5 Maryland +2.5 Kansas State -6.5 Indiana +17 Duke +9.5 Texas +3