Welcome

About this Site

Welcome to Electoral Vote Predictor, which tracks political polls for U.S. federal elections.
The site was immensely popular in 2004, ranking in
the top 1000 Websites in the world and the top 10 blogs in the
world, with about 700,000 visitors a day. In some surveys, it was
the most popular election site in the country. In 2006, it tracked the
Senate and House elections. In 2008, it tracked the presidential and congressional races and was getting
over 1 million visitors a day at the end. Now it is looking (primarily) at the Senate and House races
for 2010, but also paying some attention to gubernatorial races.

Unlike other sites, which track generic national polls, this site tracks the
state-by-state polls. After all, the presidency is decided by 51 separate state elections, the Senate by
37 separate elections (in 2010) and the House by 435 separate elections.
As new state polls are released, the maps,
spreadsheets, tables, graphs, etc. will be updated. In the maps, the
states with white centers are essentially tossups and are subject to rapid fluctuations.

The main page contains a map showing the state of the polls for the presidency. Putting the mouse
on a state pops up information about the polls there. Clicking on a state goes to a
graph of the polls.

To the right of the map are several links, as follows:

Link name

Description

Downloadable polling data

Raw and processed polling data in multiple formats for you to view and download

Previous report

Link to yesterday's page

Next report

Link to tomorrow's page (except for today)

News

Today's commentary by the Votemaster

Polling methodology and using polls is not
as simple as you might think. The Polling methodology file explains
polling and the methodology used here in detail. The site is updated once
a day, generally by 7 a.m. Eastern Time. For this reason, polls released during the
course of a day will not show up until the next morning. This is the same news cycle
as a (printed) morning newspaper.

Before sending e-mail, PLEASE, PLEASE read the FAQ first.
Your question may be answered there. Please DO NOT send e-mail announcing a new
poll until you have checked the site the next morning. Getting 1000 e-mails
about a poll I already know about is not so much fun.

I am a libertarian and lean towards the Democrats, but I have a lot of respect for traditional conservative Republicans
like Sen. Barry Goldwater, who believed that what consenting adults do in private is none
of the government's business. Like Goldwater and also Bill Clinton, I believe in
balancing the federal budget.

Despite my political preference, I have bent over backwards to be
scrupulously honest about all the numbers, and have carefully designed
the main page to be strictly nonpartisan. Only the political humor page
is somewhat partisan.
If you want an election site that has a pro-Republican bias from beginning to end, including
all over the main page, try
www.electionprojection.com.

Acknowledgments

The primary host for this site is at HostRocket.com.
They have fast servers, redundant fiber-optic connections to the Internet,
and a knowledgeable technical staff. I recommend them highly, especially for business
applications where reliability and customer service are important.