Over the last 12 years teams that earned more points than the previous year and accumulated....
12 or more points - Weaker or same record 164 of 216 (75.9%)
24 or more points - Weaker or same record 47 of 55 (85.4%)
35 or more points - Weaker record 13 of 15 (86.7%)

The good news? Exceptions to the above trends sometimes manage to win MNCs:

One thing I pointed out in past years is that the National Champ does have a good shot at appearing on these lists. In the past 12 years there have been 13 National Champs (LSU and USC were co-champs in ‘03) with 11 of the 13 having earned 12 or more points in the draft the previous year.