The San Francisco 49ers will look to win their first game of the season on Sunday, as they visit the Indianapolis Colts. The 49ers have played better than their 0-4 record might indicate, as their three losses have come by 3, 2 and 3 points. They wil...more

The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Team

Estimate

Edge

SAN FRANCISCO

INDIANAPOLIS

-5

3

Average power rating of opponents played: INDIANAPOLIS 17.3, SAN FRANCISCO 20

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

SAN FRANCISCO Team Trends

Description

Against the spread

Over/Under

Straight Up

Current

Last 3

Since 1992

Current

Last 3

Since 1992

Current

Last 3

Since 1992

W-L

W-L

W-L

O-U

O-U

O-U

W-L

W-L

W-L

in games where the line is +3 to -3

1-0

5-5

42-55

1-0

3-7

51-51

0-1

4-6

48-56

in all games

3-1

14-21

204-211

1-3

18-18

217-207

0-4

7-29

228-200

in all lined games

3-1

14-21

204-211

1-3

18-18

217-207

0-4

7-29

228-200

as an underdog

3-1

14-18

78-99

1-3

17-16

93-88

0-4

7-26

46-138

as a road underdog

2-0

6-10

49-66

0-2

12-5

67-51

0-2

2-15

27-94

as a road underdog of 3 points or less

0-0

0-1

8-16

0-0

0-1

17-9

0-0

0-1

8-19

as a road underdog of 7 points or less

1-0

3-3

32-38

0-1

5-2

41-31

0-1

2-5

21-54

in road games

2-0

6-11

94-106

0-2

12-6

106-98

0-2

2-16

89-120

in road lined games

2-0

6-11

94-106

0-2

12-6

106-98

0-2

2-16

89-120

when playing with 6 or less days rest

2-0

10-16

138-156

1-1

14-13

149-154

0-2

5-22

159-147

against AFC South division opponents

0-0

0-0

7-4

0-0

0-0

6-6

0-0

0-0

5-7

off a division game

2-0

6-6

78-74

1-1

5-7

88-71

0-2

2-10

85-73

off in 2 straight division games

1-0

3-0

38-22

0-1

1-2

35-26

0-1

2-1

38-22

off 3 straight division games

0-0

0-0

14-4

0-0

0-0

9-9

0-0

0-0

14-4

in dome games

1-0

2-4

43-36

0-1

3-3

37-43

0-1

0-6

38-44

in games played on turf

2-0

4-7

59-51

0-2

7-4

56-55

0-2

0-11

53-61

in October games

1-0

3-6

48-48

0-1

5-4

54-42

0-1

1-8

50-48

in non-conference games

0-0

1-6

47-52

0-0

4-4

51-51

0-0

1-7

51-51

after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games

0-0

0-1

37-30

0-0

0-1

34-34

0-0

0-1

46-23

off a loss against a division rival

2-0

5-5

35-28

1-1

3-7

31-33

0-2

2-8

30-34

off 2 straight losses against division rivals

1-0

3-0

10-3

0-1

1-2

8-6

0-1

2-1

8-6

off 3 straight losses against division rivals

0-0

0-0

2-0

0-0

0-0

1-1

0-0

0-0

2-0

off a cover where the team lost as an underdog

2-0

4-1

15-13

1-1

3-2

17-10

0-2

2-3

12-16

off 2 covers where the team lost as an underdog

1-0

1-0

1-2

0-1

0-1

1-2

0-1

0-1

0-3

off 3 covers where the team lost as an underdog

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

off a road loss against a division rival

1-0

3-3

22-17

1-0

1-5

16-23

0-1

1-5

20-19

off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival

2-0

2-1

10-6

1-1

1-2

7-9

0-2

0-3

8-8

off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival

2-0

3-1

19-8

1-1

2-2

14-13

0-2

1-3

17-10

off 2 consecutive close losses by 7 points or less to a division rival

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in INDIANAPOLIS games 58.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-13)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in INDIANAPOLIS games 45% of the time since 1992. (149-182)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-13)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 52.4% of the time since 1992. (167-152)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in INDIANAPOLIS games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-17)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in INDIANAPOLIS games 46.7% of the time since 1992. (163-186)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-15)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 49.4% of the time since 1992. (174-178)

Head-to-Head Series History

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.