Pulse Asia on Tuesday, April 12, said they used using face-to-face interviews to 4,000 registered voters during the survey fieldwork from March 29 – April 3. The research firm said the nationwide survey has a ± 1.5% error margin at the 95% confidence level.

If the May 2016 elections were held during the survey period, 30% of Filipino registered voters would elect Duterte as the country’s next president.

Poe has been relegated to second place (25%) while Vice-President Jejomar C. Binay and former Department of Interior and Local Government (DILG) Secretary Manuel A. Roxas II find themselves statistically tied for third place (20% and 19%, respectively).

Only 2% of registered voters choose to support Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago’s presidential bid.

Pulse Asia said that almost two (2) out of every 10 registered voters with a first choice for president (17%) do not have an alternative candidate for the post. Senator Poe has the most to gain should Davao City Mayor Duterte not pursue his candidacy as 41% of his original voters name her as their alternative presidential candidate.

BBM leads vice presidential race

With 28% of registered voters naming him as their original candidate for vice-president, Senator Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. leads the vice-presidential race.

Of the 50 senatorial candidates in the coming elections, 12 have a statistical chance of making it to the winners’ circle.

Among these probable winners, five (5) are running under the Liberal Party (LP), four (4) are independent candidates, and the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA), Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC), and Akbayan all have a candidate each.

Leading the list of probable winners are Senator Vicente Sotto III (49.4%) and Senate President Franklin M. Drilon (48.9%), both of whom are ranked 1st to 2nd.