Pages

About

We are all Suspicious0bservers.

Monday, April 25, 2016

The Most Dangerous Divergence

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/25/2016 08:16 -0400http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-04-25/most-dangerous-divergenceSubmitted by Jim Quinn via The Burning Platform blog,The chart below would appear to be in conflict with the results of a recent Gallup poll regarding stock ownership by Americans.
The ratio of household equities to money market fund assets is near a
record high, 60% above the 2007 high and 30% above the 1999 internet
bubble high. The chart would appear to prove irrational exuberance among the general populace.In reality, the lowest percentage of Americans currently own stock over the last two decades. With
the stock market within spitting distance of all-time highs, only 52%
of Americans own stock, down from 65% in 2007. As the stock market has
gone up, average Americans have left the market. They realize it is a rigged game and they are nothing but muppets to the Wall Street shysters.

The reason the ratio of household equities to money market
funds is so high is due to the Federal Reserve’s “Save a Wall Street
Banker” policies implemented over the last seven years. When
you purposely destroy the lives of senior citizens by reducing interest
rates to “emergency” levels of 0% and keep them there six years after
the great recession is over, it tends to reduce the amount of savings in
money market funds. The divergence created by the Fed’s insane policies
is borne out by the data.The average middle class American has experienced two Fed
induced financial collapses since 2000, with another coming down the
tracks in the very near future. They have been impoverished by
the Fed’s ZIRP and QE policies, sold to the masses as saving Main
Street, but really designed to save and further enrich Wall Street. The
entire engineered stock market rally has been designed by the Fed, Wall
Street bankers, and the CEO’s of corporate America who have bought back
hundreds of billions of their stock, in order to enrich the .1% and
their lackeys.The average middle class American has rationally exited the rigged stock market and refuse to be lured back in. Back
in 2007, nearly three in four middle-class Americans, with annual
household incomes ranging from $30,000 to $74,999, said they invested
money in the stock market according to Gallup polling.Today, only 50% report having stock investments. This 22% drop is more than double the changes seen in stock investing among higher and lower income groups. Millions of middle class families have had to liquidate stock holdings just to survive in this ongoing Main Street recession.
The data indicates an extremely dangerous coming scenario. The middle
class is already angry, disillusioned, suspicious of the establishment,
and impoverished by Fed induced inflation, Fed induced lack of interest
income and Obama induced Obamacare disaster. Those making less than
$75,000 are invested in the stock market at an all-time low level, and
what they do have invested is a pittance compared to what the ultra-rich
have in the market.
The millennial generation also has a record low level of stock
ownership, as they carry massive levels of student loan debt, have less
job opportunities as Boomers can’t afford to leave the job market, pay
skyrocketing rents, and deal with a Fed induced over-priced housing
market. They don’t trust the establishment, government, or Wall Street.
The angry older middle class are venting their anger by supporting Trump
for president. The pissed off younger generations are throwing a monkey
wrench into the coronation of Queen Hillary by supporting Sanders in
droves.
The dangerous divergence begins to come into focus. Every credible
stock market valuation used over the last 100 years is now at extreme
levels only seen in 1929, 2000, and 2007. The Shiller P/E ratio now
stands at 26.4, putting valuations in the highest decile throughout
history, indicating likely real returns of 0.5% over the next 10 years.
As stock prices push towards all time highs, corporate profits continue
to plunge. A 40% to 60% decline in stocks is essentially baked into the
cake.Millions of upper middle class professionals have bought into the establishment propaganda.
They actually believe the Federal Reserve is infallible and can keep
stock prices elevated for eternity. Despite conclusive evidence the Fed
failed in 2000/2001 and again in 2008/2009, the willfully ignorant stock
market participants are putting their faith in highly educated
academics whose insane monetary machinations have led to a global
recession and global debt levels imperiling the worldwide global
economy.The last remaining threads keeping the country from imploding have been the rising stock market and the home price recovery.
Both recoveries have been engineered through Fed easy money, Wall
Street fraud, and mainstream media propaganda. Neither is based on a
solid foundation of free market true demand. When the bottom gives out,
it will drastically impact the upper middle class and people who pass
for rich in this day and age. When the tide goes out for the third time
in the last sixteen years, millions will be revealed to be swimming
naked and in debt up to their eyeballs.The dangerous divergence will then take a nasty turn.
The bottom half of the 1% will now be as angry as the 99%. Any attempt
by the establishment to further screw the nation by bailing themselves
out will be met with violent disapproval. The country is a powder keg.
The upcoming election is guaranteed to inflame opposing factions. A
stock market crash in the next six months would sow the seeds of
financial, political, and social upheaval not seen in this country since
the 1960s. The established social order will be swept away in a swirl of chaos and retribution. The dangerous divergence will be resolved.