Conor Lamb will win Western Pennsylvania's special election race for Congress on Tuesday if there is a surge in Democratic turnout similar to what has been seen in other special elections over the past year, according to a Monmouth University poll out Monday.

Monmouth said Lamb holds a slim advantage within the margin of error, 49 percent to 47 percent, if the election has a lower turnout similar to what is normally seen in midterm elections. If turnout is higher across the board, similar to a presidential election year, Lamb would defeat Saccone, 51 percent to 44 percent.

Saccone held an advantage over Lamb in all three polling scenarios last month.

And so it begins . . . The least like scenario (turnout similar to a presidential election year) grabs the headline while the next least like scenario (turnout similar to a mid-term) is in second place. What isn't mentioned is the most likely scenario, turnout for a special election, which is predicted at 30% based on absentee requests.

District 18: Show up an vote for the frumpy old guy whose military experience is at least authentic. The photogenic young guy went straight from boot camp to a cherry-picked assignment in OKINAWA where he spent less than two years behind a desk working with legal papers where he was allowed to transfer into the reserves and an appointment to a federal prosecutor's office by you know which administration.

FReepers, 87.248% of the Third Quarter FReep-a-thon goal has been met. Click above and pencil in your donation now. Please folks, lets end this FReepathon.Thank you!...this is a general all-purpose message, and should not be seen as targeting any individual I am responding to...

as i said to a woman in the gym this morning, a woman very active in local GOP politics- the GOPe has done nothing to turn out the base and vote...if we lose once again there is blood on the hands of the GOPe...

11
posted on 03/12/2018 2:41:01 PM PDT
by God luvs America
(63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)

Trump’s point about Lamb, made repeatedly at his recent rally, is that no matter how conservative he appears (or even really is), the Demonrats impose srict party loyalty and punish those who do not adhere to it. He will vote the way Pelosi tells him to vote.

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