Thursday, April 20, 2017

Just for the sheer hell of it, we might as well have a Poll of Polls for Scottish voting intentions at the general election. I was going to check which methodology I used last time around...and then I realised I knew exactly which methodology I used, because the last general election was only about fifteen seconds ago.

As before, Scottish subsamples of GB-wide polls will be taken into account, because they often represent the only up-to-date information we have. That's obviously unsatisfactory because the figures are not properly weighted, but an average of several subsamples shouldn't lead us quite as wildly astray as an individual subsample might. Whenever a full-scale Scottish poll comes along, that will be given ten times the weight of a subsample. At the moment all we have from the last week are three subsamples (two from ICM and one from YouGov), so the following figures should be treated with great caution...

I have a new article at the TalkRadio website arguing that the election could be an opportunity in disguise for Jeremy Corbyn, and a risk in disguise for Ruth Davidson. That's not a prediction of how I think things will play out, but just a reminder that the outcome of this campaign is not yet set in stone. You can read the article HERE.

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Kezia Dugdale describing the Labour party as a "progressive alliance" reminded me of Voltaire's joke about the Holy Roman Empire - "it was neither holy, nor Roman, nor an empire".

In relation to the Talk Radio article I think you are being naïve about the Brit Nat Media playing fair by the rules of election coverage James. Oh and that Media will not challenge the Ruthless one either.

The Media is going to go all out to destroy any opposition to destroy any opposition to the present day High Priestess of the Thatcher Cult in this GE.

Davidson will be joined at the hip with kipper Theresa in the mind of the scottish public so there's no question she is going to take a hit. The comically desperate attempts by the BBC and westminster bubble media to portray her as cuddly Rape Clause Ruth were always doomed to failure.

Corbyn is simply waaay out of his depth. He was never leadership material. So despite the Corbynistas protestations that he was a different kind of Labour Leader his refusal to countenance an anti-Tory progressive alliance with the SNP was done precisely because he is just as scared of the right-wing BritNat tabloids as little Ed Milliband was. Same old shit, same old weak ineffectual Labour.

You can't polish a turd as May's own party and P.R. handlers realise. Which is precisely why she is running a mile from debating anyone, even, as the polls show, one of the most unelectable Labour party leaders for decades. Something the scottish public at least will hardly have missed.

Nor has it gone unnoticed by the public at large that the Crown Prosecution Service possibly charging as many as 30 Tory MPs and election staffers for electoral Expenses Fraud might, just might, have something to do with this hilariously chaotic panic snap election.

The BBC and almost every other westminster bubble broadcaster might want to brush it under the carpet but I'm afraid they have, as usual, overestimated their importance with a public which is moving ever more rapidly to getting most of their News from social media, family and friends.

Nat sis, Tories and Labour supporting giving taxpayers money to people who left the UK in the form of pension top ups. And the streets in Scotland are overwhelmed with begging on the streets due to Nat si policies.

Repugnant moneygrubbing Labour goon Ian Murray is so utterly desperate to cling on to his own job (off the back of tory votes) he just threw entire Scottish Labour Party and their councillors under the bus as he demanded Labour voters vote for the tories everywhere in scotland but in his own seat.

Alasdair Allan‏Verified account @alasdairallan 8 hours ago

Labour's last MP in Scotland seems to be saying vote Tory in some seats "to defeat the SNP". Warped priorities.

Dolly the former English Sheep getting plenty of air time. Is she being groomed tae take over fae Knickerless!Born in England lived in NI. Wants Scotland tae leave the Union. Could it be hatred of the British! Interesting indeed.

How to qualify to be a Nat si. 1. Hate your fellow Scottish Unionists who are decendents of hard working people who raised Scotland from the gutter. 2. Hate the English even more. 3. Hate anyone who does not conform to the Nat si indoctrination. 4. Sell out Scotland to the EU.

I think you are dead right about the possibility of a redeeming performance for Corbyn and trouble ahead for Davidson. Davidson is a hard brexiteer now, and Tories at both Scottish and British levels will be forced to explain what hard Brexit means in their manifesto, what the implication for the economy, exporters, and the public services will be, and why none of this contradicts what they were all (esp Davidson) were saying before the Brexitrendum. Its going to be very hard for Ruth to dance on that pin, and I suspect there will be a Scottish debate even if there is not a UK debate.

I have a hard brexit just now but saving it for Knickerless and Dolly the Sheep.Real men do not have a soft brexit. You Nat sis are going tae get pumped with a hard brexit and the Scottish people will remain in the Union.

There is the possibility that Greens will choose not to run candidates at least in some constituencies which could influence the outcome. In the meantime, I'm trying to recall what the most recent Scottish Westminster poll was as, as James points out, the subsamples have to be viewed with great caution.

Good points James I would never even think about some of because I could never vote Tory or Labour for that matter,I see them as part of the Establishment Party along with the slugs that get called Lib-Dems.I usually call them the Westminster party with 2 alias'. I see its Disqus you get for verification unfortunately they have my email wrong the "s" is missing in Charles,and so I cant verify that its me.I did like the post on talk radio though.

I started to read some of the comments then got to the prat GWC and it puts me off bothering with comments,I had to leave the one about verification here and one the Facebook share.I doubt I'll even bother with comments anymore and I suspect I'm not the only one not bothering because of idiots wasting other peoples work.The inability to build makes them destroy the good works of others.We have had enough of them useless pieces of flesh gorging on what others earn parasites and no use to man nor beast.

Is that right Tory boy. You Nat sis have been knobled. You are so thick in the heid that you actually think no one notices your continuation of Thatcherite policies. Corbyn to his credit has seen through you scumbags since you took power.

The above poster knows the Unionists will prevail thus the desperation and the repetitive similar post. And in denial that the Nat sis are more to the right of the Tories. Probably a religious fanatic.

Jock nat sis do not know they are Tories. Thick as shite they are. Giving a bus pass to the elderly makes them think they are socialist. And meanwhile they hand out taxpayers money to the Thatcherite privatised companies. Ye hiv tae laugh.