>> Friday, March 28, 2014

As cold front is nearing the western side of the mountains today, and out ahead of it today and tonight, we will have some showers at times in the Carolinas.

Severe weather is a good possibility today from eastern Texas across the Lower Mississippi Valley this evening. This will be in association with an area of low pressure that will develop along that cold front.

That low pressure area will then lift up into the Virginias tomorrrow, placing the Carolinas in the warm sector of the system. Look for some rain at times tomorrow, and then as the low nears, some thunderstorms will becoming increasingly possible Saturday afternoon and evening.

This will be a high shear but low instability environment, and the exact degree of instability will determine the nature of any possible severe weather threat. We will closely monitor things tomorrow, and you need to have a way of hearing watches and warnings tomorrow afternoon and evening should they be required.

>> Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Lows dipped into the 20s in many piedmont spots this morning, and some mountains spots even made it down into the single digits. That's quite cold, especially for late March.

We will have lots of sun today, but it will be a chilly day with highs only in the 40s in many spots. Obviously, the mountains will be colder.

Warmer air begins to work in tomorrow, and then we will have some showers in our Friday forecast as our next system nears.

It then appears and area of low pressure will spin up along the trailing cold front near the Ozarks late Friday and lift just to our north Saturday. This will being in some Saturday showers as well as the potential of a few storms. We will need to keep a watch in instability values Saturday afternoon to see if a severe threat might materialize somewhere in the region.

>> Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Storm system is moving through the region this morning, and some areas could pick up a little bit of snow accumulation on grassy and elevated surfaces. This is not a huge deal at all for most outside the mountains.

Some rain showers will remain possible at times this afternoon, then a big-time surge of cold air takes over tonight through tomorrow.

>> Monday, March 24, 2014

After some rain at times yesterday, we are back to sunshine for our Monday. But it will be a chilly day with many highs 10-15 degrees below average across the region.

An area of low pressure will gradually organize in the Gulf by this evening and then lift up off the Carolina coast tomorrow. The system is not going to take a track, or be at an intensity while it's near here, to give heavy precip to the region. However, many spots will have some light precip at times tomorrow.

Tomorrow morning, roughly along and to the north and west of I-85, some of that light precip will likely be in the form of some light snow. It's possible some areas could see a quick dusting on some elevated surfaces, but it just doesn't look like there will be enough precipitation to be a big deal.

This low pressure will bomb out and turn into a monster low off of the Northeast coast and through the Canadian Maritimes. See the video for more on this.

Following the system, a significant plunge of cold air arrives with temps well down into the 20s Wednesday morning and highs in the 40s Wednesday afternoon in spite of sunshine.