U.S. Consumer Confidence Preview U.S. Consumer Confidence Preview: July consumer confidence should reveal a decline to 100.0 (median 100.0) from 101.4 in June. This would come along side a decline in Michigan Sentiment to 93.3 in the first July release from 96.1 in June. The IBD/TIPP poll for the month managed to hold steady at 48.1 for a second month.

Redbook Store Sales data reportedWeek of 7/25 Redbook Store Sales up 1.0% for the year

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U.S. S&P Case-Shiller home price preview: U.S. S&P Case-Shiller home price preview: Case-Shiller home prices are forecast to rise 1.7% to 180.2 in May from 177.0 in April. For more detail on home price trends, see our new home sales report.

House Financial Services Committee to hold a hearingThe Committee holds a hearing entitled, "Dodd-Frank Act 5 Years Later: Are We More Prosperous?" on July 28 at 10 am. Webcast Link

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Treasury Market Outlook: bonds are lower in heavy volume Treasury Market Outlook: bonds are lower in heavy volume as a rebound in stocks pared safe haven flows overnight. Treasuries are underperforming with the 10-year yield up over 3 bps to 2.25%. Treasuries are also down ahead of the FOMC meeting and with the advent of supply as the $90 B in coupon offerings begin. U.S. equity futures and European bourses are on the mend, though Asian share markets were mostly lower with China's Shanghai down another 1.7% (but pared a better than 5% decline). Losses slowed there after official implemented new measures to boost equities. There wasn't much market moving data out. UK preliminary GDP rose 0.7% q/q. In the U.S., the FOMC begins its 2-day meeting. No surprises are expected. Earnings news will be important with Anadarko, Ford, Gilead, Merck, Pfizer, Reynolds, UPS, LVMH, Yelp, Wyndham Worldwide, Panera Bread, and GrubHub to name a few. There's not a lot of data on today's slate, with just July consumer confidence, preliminary Markit services PMI, the May Case-Shiller home price index, the July Richmond Fed manufacturing index, and weekly chain store sales. The Treasury sells $26 B in 2-year notes.

Budget battles unlikely to derail Fed rate plans: Budget battles unlikely to derail Fed rate plans: risk of the traditional fall budget showdown and potential government closures have been factored in by the Fed in the past, but WSJ's Hilsenrath thinks it may be different this time around and not be an impediment to a rate hike. "First, Republicans have made it clear they want to avoid a repeat of past shutdowns. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky) vowed last year -- after the GOP won control of the Senate -- there would be no more shutdowns or threats of debt market disruptions. Last week House Speaker John Boehner (R., Ohio) said Congress would likely pass a short-term funding bill to keep the government operating past September. Second, the market backdrop is different today than it was in September 2013. Back then, Fed officials were worried about a 'taper tantrum' in bond markets that pushed interest rates higher in anticipation of a Fed move and knocked emerging markets. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes have held steadily between 2.0-2.5% since mid-February. Third, the Fed is closer to its goal of full employment now and broader headwinds from tight government budgets have diminished."