447
FPUS51 KBTV 240823
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
423 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2000
NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-241500-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
423 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2000
.TODAY...SHOWERS ENDING BY MIDDAY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. HIGH 65 TO
70. SOUTHEAST WIND BECOMING SOUTH AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
LOW 50 TO 55. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM. HIGH 65 TO 70. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 65 TO 70.
.SATURDAY...SUNSHINE FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW 45 TO 50.
HIGH 70 TO 75
.SUNDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 50 TO 55. HIGH 65
TO 70.
$$
VTZ003-004-006>008-010-241500-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
423 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2000
.TODAY...SHOWERS THROUGH MIDDAY...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. HIGH IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WIND BECOMING SOUTH AT 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOW AROUND 50. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM. HIGH IN THE MID 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGH IN THE
60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE 40S. HIGH AROUND 70.
.SUNDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH 65
TO 70.
$$
VTZ011-012-241500-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
423 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2000
.TODAY...SHOWERS THROUGH MIDDAY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. HIGH 65 TO
70. WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
LOW 45 TO 50. LIGHT WIND. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM. HIGH 65 TO 70. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN CLEARING. LOW IN THE
MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 65 TO 70.
.SATURDAY...SUNSHINE FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW 45 TO 50.
HIGH 70 TO 75.
.SUNDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 50 TO 55. HIGH 65
TO 75.
$$
NYZ026-027-241500-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
423 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2000
.TODAY...SHOWERS ENDING BY MID TO LATE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. HIGH AROUND
70. LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
LOW 50 TO 55. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40
PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM. HIGH IN THE MID 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 65 TO 70.
.SATURDAY..SUNSHINE FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW 45 TO 50.
HIGH 70 TO 75.
.SUNDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 50 TO 55. HIGH 65
TO 70.
$$
NYZ029>031-034-241500-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
423 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2000
.TODAY...SHOWERS ENDING BY LATE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. HIGH 65 TO
70. WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
LOW AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40
PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY SHOWERS LIKELY. CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM.
HIGH 60 TO 65. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGH IN THE
60S.
.SATURDAY...SUNSHINE FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW IN THE 40S.
HIGH AROUND 70.
.SUNDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH 65
TO 70.
$$
WGH
[INLINE]
_Links - (1) NEW: [1]FREE SOFTWARE (2) NEW: Live Radar and
Graphics [2]http://weather.gov _
_________________________________________________________________
FXUS61 KBTV 240819
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
418 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2000
FIRST BAND OF SHOWERS OVER FCST AREA ATTM AND WILL MOVE THRU AND END
BY MIDDAY OVER VT ZONES...WITH SKIES BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
HOWEVER...BUFKIT SOUNDING SHOW THAT AIRMASS WILL DESTABILIZE THIS
AFTERNOON AS GOOD DRYING DEVELOPS IN MID LEVELS. WATER VAPOR LOOP
SHOWS THIS OVER GRTLKS ATTM. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW WET BULB ZERO TO
DROP TO AROUND 5500 TO 6000 FT THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME HAIL IN ANY TSTMS THAT DEVELOP. ALSO...SPC HAS FCST AREA
IN SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE TSTMS TODAY. HAVE BEEFED UP WORDING IN
ZONE FORECASTS TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS IN ANY TSTMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. A CHC OF SHOWERS
AND TSTMS TONIGHT AS CLOSED UPR LOW AND TROF APPROACH AREA
OVERNIGHT.
ON THU...MODEL SHOW COLD POOL ALOFT TO BE OVER AREA AS CLOSED UPR
LOW SLIDES EAST OF OUR FCST AREA ON THU. WILL GO WITH LIKELY POPS
FOR SHOWERS ON THU...AND WILL ALSO INCLUDE A CHC OF A ISOLD TSTM.
SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO EARLY THU NIGHT BEFORE SKIES BECOME PARTLY
CLOUDY.
ON FRI...AVN MODEL STILL SHOWS COLD ADVECTION OVER FCST AREA...SO
WILL ADD A CHC OF SPRINKLES TO THE ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHERN GREEN
MT ZONES.
MOS TEMPS LOOK REASONABLE...EXCEPT HAVE GONE BLO MOS MAX
TEMPS FOR THU. MOS POPS LOOK REASONABLE.
MAY PUT OUT AN SPS TO HIGHLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TSTMS THIS
AFTERNOON.
.BTV...NONE.
WGH
FXUS61 KBTV 240125
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
925 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2000
STRONG SFC STORM SYS (AND ASSOCIATED STRONG S/W AS SEEN IN H20 VAP
IMAGERY) TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACRS ONT THRU WED. UPR TROF TO MOVE
EAST ACTS THE GREAT LKS REGION TONITE AND ACRS THE FA ON WED.
SECONDARY TROF TO MOVE EAST ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON WED.
21Z RUC SHOWS TEMPS GETTING DOWN INTO THE 50S OVRNITE WITH
SOUTHERLY SFC WINDS INCREASING AS THE NITE PROGRESSES. BEST CAPES TO
REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE FA OVRNITE. LOW-LVL MOISTURE...AND
ASSOCIATED MOISTURE-CONVERGENCE...TO INCREASE ACRS THE THE FA FROM
THE WEST OVRNITE. PW VALUES RANGING FROM AN INCH TO 1.25" ACRS THE
FA WITH THE NOSE OF THE H85 POINTING STRAIGHT AT THE FA FROM THE
SOUTH OVRNITE.
H85 WAA TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE AREA (BEST TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF
THE FA THOUGH) THRU 00Z THU. THETA-E RIDGE TO SLIDE EAST ACRS THE
FA OVRNITE TONITE. LOW-LVL MOISTURE TO LINGER THE LONGEST IN EASTERN
VT EARLY ON WED. LAPSE RATES TO REMAIN HI ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION
OVRNITE AND ACRS THE FA ON WED.
88D MOSAIC/BUFCAN SHOW LARGE AREA OF RA PIVOTING TO THE EAST AND
NORTH ACRS ONT AND NY STATE ATTM. TRACKING THIS AREA OF RA HAS IT
MAKING IT INTO NE/NC VT BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. LTG DATA SHOWS AREA OF
CONVECTION MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST ACRS THE LOWER PENINSULA OF MI
ATTM. LATEST SPC DAY 1 OUTLOOK STILL HAS PART OF THE ST LAW VLY IN
THE GEN TSTM OUTLOOK...BUT FEEL THAT ANY CONVECTION WILL STAY SAFELY
TO THE WEST OF THE FA OVRNITE. REMOVED MENTION OF TSRA FROM NORTHERN
NY ZONES OVRNITE. RIVERS ACRS THE HSA ARE PRETTY LOW AND 1 AND 3-HR
FFG VALUES ARE HIGH (1.4-2.4")...SO FLOODING SHOULDN/T BE A PROBLEM
WITH ANY RAINFALL THAT OCCURS TONITE.
RAINFALL AMTS FROM SFC STATIONS TO THE WEST APPEAR TO INDICATE THAT
THE 12Z MODEL QPF WAS TO BE OVERDONE. HOWEVER...MEASURABLE PCPN AN
ALMOST CERTAINTY OVRNITE ACRS THE FA...SO HAVE PUT A BAG ON THE POPS
FOR THE OVRNITE PERIOD.
SPC HAS MUCH OF FA IN SLIGHT RISK OF SVR FOR WED. CAPES APPEAR TO BE
ON THE ORDER OF 500-1500 J/KG (BEST ACRS NORTHERN NY) ACRS THE FA ON
WED. SFC-H7 SHEAR NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE THOUGH (10-15 M/S) ACRS THE
FA. WET-BULB ZERO LVLS WILL BE LOW...SO HAIL MIGHT BE A FACTOR IN
ANY TSRA. IN ANY EVENT...MORE CONVECTION TO OCCUR ACRS THE FA ON
WED. WILL LET MID-SHIFT EVALUATE 00Z MODEL DATA AND ADDRESS THE NEED
FOR ANY SVR WX OUTLOOK.
JUST A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO FIRST PERIOD TEMPS/WINDS BASED ON
CURRENT OBS TRENDS AND 20Z LAMP DATA. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO
LATER PERIODS OF GOING ZFP. WORK ZONES OUT. WILL WAIT TIL AROUND
10 PM FOR FINAL ZFP ISSUANCE TO ALLOW FOR RA TO OVERSPREAD AS MUCH OF
THE FA AS IT CAN.
.BTV...NONE.
MURRAY
FXUS61 KBTV 231910
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
309 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2000
SHWRS ASSCD WITH WFNT CRNTLY ADVANCING EWD ACRS W NY AND LK ONT.
MDLS SHW DCNT AREA OF LL CNVGC AND RSLTG UVV MVG THRU RGN TNGT ASSCD
WITH SFC/H8 FNT. THIS COMBINED WITH CRNT RADAR TRENDS SUPPORT CATEG
POPS TNGT. LTNG DATA SHWS SOME STRIKES ARND LAKES AND THREW IN CHC
TSTM W ZNS AS INSTBY ADVANCES EWD. LEFT OUT THUNDER TNGT FOR VT AS
MDL SNDGS ARE RTHR STABLE WITH EVEN ELEVATED INSTBY LACKING. ETA
QPF ARND 1/3-3/4" LOOKS RSNBL BASED ON UPSTREAM PCPN RPTS. AVN QPF
APRS OVRDONE AS SYS IS FAIRLY PROGRESSV.
AREA OF SHWRS WL QUICKLY MOV N AND E OF FA WED AM AS H8 FNT LIFTS
NE. NE VT LAST TO SEE RA END. BIG QUESTION IS POTL FOR SVR WX
DURG AFTN. SPC HAS RGN IN SLGT RISK WITH MOD RISK FTHR S.
IT LOOKS LIKE MCH OF FA (WITH PSBL XCP OF NE VT) WL EVENTUALLY GET
INTO SFC WRM SECTOR WED WITH RH PROFILES SHWG DCNT DRYING TO SUPPORT
SOME SUN. SFC HTG COMBINED WITH GOOD MID LVL COOLG WL RSLT IN
UNSTABLE AMS WITH LI/S -3 TO -5 AND CAPES NR 1000. ALSO H8-H5 LPS
RATES APCHG 7C/KM SO TSTMS APPR TO BE A GOOD BET WED AFTN. HWR...
THUNDER THREAT LESS LKLY NE VT WHERE CLDS/RA WL LINGER LONGER WITH
COOLER TMPS XPCTD AS WFNT WL BE SLOW TO MV THRU.
AS INDCTD BY SPC...MAIN SVR THREAT SHD BE S OF RGN. WND FIELD NOT
IMPRESSV ACRS RGN. MAIN MID LVL JET PUNCHING ACRS OH/PA WHERE SFC-
H5 SHEAR VALUES 25-30 M/S WHICH IS QUITE IMPRESSV. BUT ONLY ARND 10
M/S ACRS FA WHICH IS PRBL NOT ENUF TO SUPPRT ORGANIZED CNVCTN SO
ONLY ISOD SVR XPCTD WITH MAIN THREAT FROM HAIL DUE TO LOW WBZ.
CDNFT SWINGS THRU WED NGT WITH UPR LOW SETTING UP N OF RGN ON THU.
LOTS OF CLDS AND SCT INSTBY SHWRS XPCTD THU AND CANT RULE OUT A TSTM
WITH COLD POOL OVHD. UNDERCUT FWC BY SVRL DGRS THU.
XTNDD...LOOKS FINE FOR FRI/SAT THEN MORE UNSETTLED WX LKLY SUN.
.BTV...NONE.
KJC
This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
Network)
References
1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html
069
ASUS51 KBTV 110805
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2000
VTZ001>014-110900-
.....VERMONT.....
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 32 22 66 S6 30.31R
MONTPELIER CLEAR 29 19 66 CALM 30.30R
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 34 24 67 W7 30.29R
ST. JOHNSBURY N/A 25 22 88 CALM 30.27R
RUTLAND CLOUDY 30 23 74 CALM 30.31R
SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 27 24 89 S6 30.33R WCI 22
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 31 22 69 SW6 30.33R
......KEY......
FAIR - FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12000 FEET, WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY
VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX - HEAT INDEX
Our student forecasts have been completed for the year. They will
resume again in September.
The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service.
_________________________________________________________________
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
423 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2000
.TODAY...SHOWERS THROUGH MIDDAY...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. HIGH IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WIND BECOMING SOUTH AT 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOW AROUND 50. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. CHANCE OF A
THUNDERSTORM. HIGH IN THE MID 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGH IN THE
60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE 40S. HIGH AROUND 70.
.SUNDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH 65
TO 70.
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