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Next week is starting to grab my interest. Very typical look for a Dixie threat, potentially a fairly substantial one at that. Lets hope it doesn't get pushed to Saturday because that would not be good for college football games at all. Right now it looks like a Thursday/Friday threat where it needs to hold.

The Euro has struggled with this system in general. The GFS and UKMET both continue to show it so I'm writing off the differences to model inconsistencies until we get a clearer picture as to what to fully expect over the next several days.

And even then.. its still 993 over the Ohio Valley.. that is still a significant severe weather threat..

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There looks to possibly be severe weather along the immediate Gulf Coast on Monday. Also, it seems that this upcoming cold outbreak is modifying, and doesn’t stick around as long as earlier indications showed. GFS, and GFSFV3 both picking up on a more favorable pattern for severe weather Thanksgiving week.

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There looks to possibly be severe weather along the immediate Gulf Coast on Monday. Also, it seems that this upcoming cold outbreak is modifying, and doesn’t stick around as long as earlier indications showed. GFS, and GFSFV3 both picking up on a more favorable pattern for severe weather Thanksgiving week.

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Yikes...something that worries me is that the average Joe doesn't seem to think about a risk of floods in November. It's similar to severe outbreaks, where people associate them with spring and summer but aren't as aware of the "second season".