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Monday, February 08, 2010

Ramiro Valdes visit according to Teodoro Petkoff

I do not have time to translate this editorial of Tal Cual today. But Teodoro seems to be quite well informed, and intuitive, about Ramiro Valdes visit real objectives. A fascinating read where the main point would be that Fidel is getting scared that Chavez is losing control of the situation. Think about it: it is not enough for Fidel to make sure Chavez is in office, it is essential that the flow of money to Cuba keeps going on. Fidel is not about to lose his colony! Use your Google translation toll if needed!

11 comments:

Petkoff could well be right. However, all of this depends on one man. Wish him a long life if you may. If he disappears then there is nobody within or outside of Chavismo who can pick up the pieces, the rest of Chavismo has got as much appeal to the voters as the oppo (or a dead fish). Likely outcome is another military gov. If of Chavista leaning then Cuba may get another breadth of fresh air (for how long though?). If Anti-Chavista then the top layer of PSUV can kiss their ass goodbye Pinochet or Videla style. Looks to me like all alternatives with or without Chavez are really appetizing.

But what, in this case, would have motivated Chavez to accept this? Ten years ago his ego was certainly small enough that he would have simply accepted an order from Fidel, but I can't believe that would be possible now.

By the way, "Valdés vino, vio y se fue"? Did he really leave? If so, then yes, the visit was really a strange thing. I'm not sure I buy this explanation, as I said, but if he's already gone I have no theory. Unless he's coming back again soon.

1979BP, let me put it this way. They say that a foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds. Well, I would add that a foolish incosistency is the sign of little minds. If you look closely, there are any number of things that don't make sense in the big picture - and that's because there is no big picture. Everything is ad hoc, at the moment, seat of the pants, try to come up with the best possible plan to get us past the current problem. Not solve it, just get past it.

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