“quote” Unless some other cyclone comes along there won’t be a new minimum set “end quote”

you should at least add “MOST PROPABLY”

after the arctic currently lacks a few dozen of cm of ice-thickness and by means of bottom melt that continues late into fall a “sudden death” over wider areas cannot totally excluded from considerations.

in addition to ice thickness the ice is way beyond anything normal fragmented and it’s not totally sure whether a GAC is needed to do the kind of damage the GAC in 2012 has inflicted on the ice.

predictions are difficult because many factors come into play but sooner or later there will be a late kind of huge drops in early fall due to the general conditions including surrounding general high water temperatures.

of course the lower the last record has been, the more difficult it will become to set a new one, after all, time is running out late in the melting season and the farther north the last record’s ice edge has been to more it will take to push that further up north in september, once insolation has totally lost it’s power and ultimately the dark is taking over.