Did you follow the link to the Boston page? Bard and Aceves are clearly entered in the rotation, with ~20 starts apiece. I’m not willing to go any higher than that yet.
*Beautiful theories about position changes in January are, more often than not, slain by cruel facts in March and April.
*Reliever to starter conversions have a high risk of being reversed at any time during the season

I have a very hard time believing that both Aceves and Bard will make 25 starts, and I’d there’s a ~20% chance that one of them makes no starts at all. I’m listening to what the team says is their plan, but I’m also passing my judgement on the likelihood that the plan will work all season long. I sure as hell would not go into a fantasy draft now and pay either one of them the price of a full-time starter.

Once they manage to take a few successful starting turns in spring I’ll revise upwards.

Clay, are the relief->starter projections adjusted for role? It seems like Chris Sale, Neftali Feliz, Aceves and Bard are projected to perform at the same rates they’d projected to have as relievers, but with more innings as starters. Relievers moved to the rotation should see a degradation in rate of performance, something like 15-20% higher in ERA. If that’s already in there, nevermind.

* One of the Mets front office staff — I think DePodesta? — has said that the way the team intends to treat SP prospects is by giving them one-way tickets to NYC. That is, when a SP comes up, it is with the expectation that he not go back to AAA. I think you’ll see more of Hefner and Schwindin and less of Familia and perhaps Mejia. You may also see some Matt Harvey, if the team thinks he can go from September call-up to Opening Day 2013 rotation. But that’s a minor nit.

* Another minor nit: Beato almost certainly will not make the team out of camp.

Good stuff, tho.

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