If you enjoy reading Brussels Playbook, please share it with your colleagues and friends.

Team Juncker turns two: On October 24, 2014, the European Parliament voted in the Juncker Commission. They took office a week later on November 1. Also, the United Nations turns 71.

The ‘Calais Jungle’ will be dismantled from 8 a.m. today local time. Expect more clashes on-site and tension between Paris and London during the week of dismantlement.

Lithuanians voted Sunday, agrarians set to be surprise winners: “A centrist agrarian party that was previously represented by a single parliamentarian has won a shock victory in Lithuanian elections,” reports the BBC. The Lithuanian Peasants and Green Union won nearly 40 percent of seats, all but ending the possibility Homeland Union leader Gabrielius Landsbergis will become PM. http://bbc.in/2f6QMSL

**A message from the EPP Group: “The EU needs to speak with one voice on Syria and Russia” our Chairman Manfred Weber called on EU heads of state and government. This week in the plenary debate on the results of the European Council he will evaluate if the decisions taken have fulfilled expectations. The plenary will also debate EU’s security laws one year after the Paris attacks. Read more about our priorities this week.**

GOOD ADMINISTRATION AWARD LAUNCHING TODAY: The European Ombudsman is launching an award for good administration open to staff in all EU institutions, agencies and bodies. Emily O’Reilly said it was her job to recognize officials making a positive difference as well as investigate examples of maladministration. Nominate someone here: http://bit.ly/2eIj2b9

CETA, CETA, EU-EATER … LOOKING FOR WHITE SMOKE: The EU has given Belgium until tonight to commit to signing CETA on Thursday, otherwise the summit with Canadian PM Justin Trudeau will be canceled. Belgian Prime Minister Charles Michel is expected to call European Council President Donald Tusk with news, though Elio di Rupo, former Belgian PM and current head of the Wallon Socialist Party, told Belgian TV on Sunday: “More time needed.” POLITICO | Reuters

Schulz takes charge: As the EU summit closed, both European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker and Tusk predicted a deal by Monday, but it was European Parliament President Martin Schulz who took the bull by the horns and met with Canadian Trade Minister Chrystia Freeland on Saturday morning, after she walked out of fruitless talks with the Walloon government. It was a pose that had some, including Der Standard‘s Thomas Mayer, labeling Schulz “the most important Social Democratic in Europe” — above even French President François Hollande and Italy’s PM Matteo Renzi. http://bit.ly/2evhEej

Meet Monsieur Magnette, the man who made Canada weep: Laurens Cerulus has the profile: “Wallonia’s Minister-President Paul Magnette has hauled Belgium’s Francophone Socialist Party out of a political ditch and into the global spotlight … Magnette was in need of a popular cause to rally his troops, all too aware that Belgium’s Marxist PTB party was making deep inroads … Magnette’s defiant obstinance … has allowed him to rebuild his political stock as an international Socialist figurehead and punch back at the rise of the far-left.” http://politi.co/2f6RU8O

Pittella leaves Walloons on their own: Gianni Pittella, Parliament’s Socialist group leader, called for ratification of CETA and said in a written statement: “If a small community is able to hold 500 million EU citizens hostage — whether one agrees with the specific reasons or not — there is a clear problem with the decision-making process.” http://bit.ly/2dA6Uf5

Wallonia silent in EU decision-making on CETA: Wallonia sends seven representatives to the EU’s Committee of the Regions, yet none of them appear to have said a word about CETA over the past seven years. In fact, when Playbook searched the committee’s website, the internal search engine repeatedly asked if in fact Playbook wanted to know about “Citta.”

CETA stat du jour: For Wallonia, CETA is going to be a largely theoretical concept either way: because the region hardly does any trade with Canada. http://bit.ly/2ev8gHr h/t Matthew Lowry.

Playbook poll: Wallonia said its stance on CETA is about protecting certain social and environmental standards, which it says a trade deal with Canada would put at risk. Playbook asked Twitter followers where they would prefer to live: Wallonia or Canada. More than 1,600 voted, 2-to-1 in favor of Canada. http://bit.ly/2eHKQew

TTIP QUOTE DU JOUR: “This agreement needs to be revised profoundly if there is to be an agreement one of these days,” François Hollande said in Brussels Friday.

PARLIAMENT — THIS WEEK IN PLENARY: MEPs are in Strasbourg a second time this month to dissect the EU leaders summit and the Commission 2017 work program. They’ll also vote to increase the 2017 EU budget, setting them on a collision course with national governments in particular. Also on the agenda: a resolution calling for Danish-style limits for trans fats in food products, and a vote for a report calling for a new mechanism to track fundamental rights in all EU countries. http://bit.ly/2ezuvdC

THE PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW — WITH ESTONIAN PRIME MINISTER TAAVI RÕIVAS: The 37-year-old Estonian leader took time out after Friday’s summit to pay a visit to POLITICO’s office. The first thing we noticed: his distinctive monogrammed watch — made largely out of wood — by Wooch, an Estonian start-up. You can buy the unmonogrammed version from €169. Playbook hears there’s a waiting list for the fancy one.

What Estonia told Europe: The threat of “hybrid” attacks from Russia is real and present, and the best response to Russia’s increasing propaganda arsenal is “cherishing media freedom.”

On UK’s summit performance: British PM Theresa May “participated very actively on security and free trade” discussions, which pleased the like-minded Estonian delegation.

Brexit: “I wouldn’t want it to be hard. Any kind of barriers will be hard for both of us.”

On UK immigration debate: Rõivas said he doesn’t know any Estonian, or anyone who knows any Estonian, living on welfare in the U.K.

CETA: “TTIP is not possible without it.”

Should trade deals be less ambitious? “No, no, no. Fundamentally I believe we should be ambitious. We should aim for more free trade in the world. There are some movements that protect today’s jobs but if we do that we also protect against progress.”

Syria: “If Russia continues bombing Aleppo there will be sanctions very fast. Our wish is they stop bombing innocent people, it’s not too much to ask.”

Sharing economy and tax: Uber sends Estonia’s tax department the details of every trip, so the country can “guarantee taxes are paid.” Rõivas said he would “absolutely” use the 2018 Estonian EU presidency try to create EU-scale examples like this, and said Estonia “openly offered our system to other European governments,” but that none had taken up the offer yet, though “there’s interest.”

Keep 5G manufacturing in Europe: Rõivas met with Ericsson last week to recommend the Swedish telecoms equipment firm develop the next generation of technology, known as 5G, in Estonia instead of China.

Rõivas the stand-up comedian: “If it looks like a duck, if it swims like a duck, if it quacks like a duck, it is probably Russia.” And: “Driverless cars are actually too safe. In Italy all they would do is hit the brakes.”

UK — MUTINY ON THE HMS MAY: A great read by Andrew Rawnsley on what it’s like to have multiple cabinet ministers leak to you, and why that isn’t so good for democracy, or indeed a smooth Brexit. http://bit.ly/2f6pVWN

BREXIT CORNER …

Theresa May seeks to keep kingdom united: Fiona Maxwell: “Leaders in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland will have a seat at the table in Brexit discussions in the U.K., British Prime Minister Theresa May will announce Monday. A newly created forum, chaired by Brexit Secretary David Davis, will be offered to the three governments to discuss the U.K’s exit from the EU.” http://politi.co/2exU9ym

A bad cocktail, beautiful meme, or a recipe for hell? If you think “dirty Brexit” sounds like a bad cocktail, you might be right. As Playbook reader Chris Hewson noted: “It’s appropriate that something sounding like a cheap student-night cocktail has emerged from a process resembling bad student politics. Competing cocktail names include: ‘Lone Island Iced Theresa’ and ‘Brexit on the Rocks.'” Send your suggestions, for publication, to rheath@politico.eu.

Which language? Reuters reported Friday that Michel Barnier wants Brexit talks conducted in French. Barnier and the Commission almost immediately denied it. In the world capital of interpretation, it is certain all demands could be accommodated. http://politi.co/2ezoldk

SPAIN — SOCIALISTS END DEADLOCK: Socialists have backed Spain’s conservative government, ending the country’s political impasse and giving Mariano Rajoy a second term as prime minister. Diego Torres: http://politi.co/2f6mTSD

FRANCE — JUPPE AND LE PEN TOP THE FIRST ROUND OF VOTING: Alain Juppé would win the first round of French presidential elections with 37 percent of the vote, well ahead of Marine Le Pen. Possible Socialist Party candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Emmanuel Macron and François Hollande are much further behind. http://bit.ly/2ezvf2d

FRANCE — MACRON TESTS HIS FOLLOWERS’ PATIENCE: Everyone thinks former Economy Minister Emmanuel Macron is running for the French presidency, but he has yet to make it official. In an interview with POLITICO, he insisted everything is under control. “Asked about the risk that the patience of his current or would-be supporters might run thin if he keeps them waiting and guessing, Macron seemed unfazed … Jacques Attali, a former adviser to ex-president François Mitterrand and one of the early mentors of Macron … vented his frustration recently: ‘I’m disappointed that it takes him so long to lay out his vision for France,’ Attali said in a radio interview.” http://politi.co/2e252YG

HUNGARY AND THE MEANING OF FREEDOM …

As thousands of Hungarians celebrate trying to throw off Soviet rule 60 years ago, one Hungarian Playbook reader wrote to Playbook: “There is quite a discrepancy between the fact that Hungary celebrates the ‘freedom fight’ of 1956 and that the freedom of media is in danger (see the recent closure of ‘Népszabadság,’ which translates to ‘People’s Freedom’). I cannot help but think that this year’s national holiday should not be the day of Freedom (‘szabadsag‘) but the day of ‘Népszabadság.'”

Prime Minister Viktor Orbán warns against Sovietization by Brussels: “People who love their freedom must save Brussels from Sovietization, from people who want to tell us who we should live with in our countries,” he said at a multi-million dollar extravaganza in Budapest. “We want to be a European nation not a nationality within Europe.”

Orbán’s revision of the 1956 revolution: Lili Bayer reports that Orbán’s speech in front of parliament Sunday was “drowned out by protesters whistling and shouting ‘dictator,’” and prominent historian Krisztián Ungváry, who turned up to protest against the speech, was bleeding from the face after a pro-government member of the crowd punched him in the face.

“In the preceding days, Hungarians received recorded phone messages urging them to attend the rally to hear Orbán address the crowd. In a throwback to the government-sponsored commemorations of Communist rule, the streets of Budapest have been filled with large billboards portraying young 1956 street fighters carrying arms. The government has spent tens of millions of euros on the event, commissioning songwriter Desmond Child, who has worked with bands like Aerosmith, to write a theme song.” http://politi.co/2eAQNeY

GERMANY — GET READY FOR MERKEXIT: Mujtaba Rahman writes in an opinion piece: “The turmoil in the United Kingdom has overshadowed the possibility of another dramatic exit from the European scene — if German Chancellor Angela Merkel decides not to run for a fourth term. Although Merkel is still likely to run, the chances that she will choose not to are higher than most people think. And her most likely successor — at least in the short term — would be a disruptive one: her powerful finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble.” http://politi.co/2eXVsuF

CZECH REPUBLIC — CENTRAL EUROPE DOESN’T NEED SAVING: Central Europe “is commonly seen as a region where democracy is in peril,” but it’s no different to Western countries with populist insurgencies, say Jakub Eberle and Benjamin Tallis. http://politi.co/2ezuVAL

ITALY — RENZI TO INVOKE LOOPHOLE FOR BUDGET FLEXIBILITY: Renzi is set to invoke a clause in EU budget rules allowing countries to spend more in “exceptional circumstances,” based on the August earthquake and increased asylum claims. http://bit.ly/2eztGS4

ITALY — HOME BUT NOT ALONE: Sixty-seven percent of Italians between the ages of 18-34 live with their parents. http://bit.ly/2eHJrof

LITHUANIA — ‘EXTREME TOURISM’ RANKLES: New tours are being offered in the largest Roma settlement in the Baltics, Kirtimai, on the outskirts of Vilnius, advertised as an “extreme challenge,” raising concerns. http://politi.co/2eeje2A

CHINA — COMMUNIST CENTRAL COMMITTEE MEETS THIS WEEK: The sixth plenary session of China’s Communist Party’s 18th Central Committee has started this morning and will run through Thursday. The meeting should give clues towards an expected leadership reshuffle in 2017.

US 2016 — THE DANGERS OF A HILLARY CLINTON PRESIDENCY: As Clinton soars in the polls (up by 12 points nationally in one poll Sunday), Ross Douthat looks at the risks of establishment group-think: http://nyti.ms/2eIb6qw

US 2016 — OBAMA’S UNPRECEDENTED DOWN-BALLOT PLAY: Republicans control two-thirds of state governments and the president wants to change that, creating everything from his own Spanish-language ads to robocalls to shift the needle. http://nyti.ms/2exlqB2

FOCUS ON MOLDOVA … Each week Playbook looks at a European country outside the big EU countries, and next up is Moldova, which is heading into presidential elections Sunday.

Until 1940, Moldova, then called Bessarabia, was part of Romania. The Soviet Union, with Nazi Germany’s consent, then absorbed it, before war broke out between the Soviets and Germany. Moldova declared independence in 1991. Four-fifths of Moldovans are of Romanian descent, and the country’s official language is Romanian, although Russian is widely spoken.

Protests demand reunification: Over the weekend, 2,000 protestors in Romania demanded politicians commit to reunification, something that has been off the political agenda since the 1990s. http://dailym.ai/2ezqFB2

The EPP group has a unity candidate among pro-European political parties for the upcoming presidential elections on October 30: Maia Sandu. Laima Andrikienė MEP said in a written statement: “Maia Sandu was the candidate with the highest credentials for fighting corruption and undertaking the most urgent reforms so badly needed in Moldova.”

BRUSSELS CORNER …

500 IDEAS TO IMPROVE BRUSSELS: For a city where the majority of residents are from outside Belgium, Le Soir’s otherwise great initiative seems sorely lacking in diverse voices.

**A message from the EPP Group: What are the political consequences of Brexit? EPP Group think tank, the European Ideas Network, asked the question to a score of experts, academics and MEPs. The U.K. Government announced it did not plan to trigger Article 50 and start formal exit negotiations before April next year. Our Vice-President Paulo Rangel already criticized the U.K. Conservative Party for the idea of compiling lists of foreign citizens in companies and universities.**