Did Roe v Wade Reduce Crime?

There has been a controversial meme circulating for several years which holds that the abortion right resulted unintentionally in a reduction in crime. The idea, I think, is that the fetuses who became medical waste would, but for being aborted, have become children raised in unstable homes and poor environments, leading many, thereafter, to commit crimes in disproportionate numbers. It has raised hackles, as well it should.

LEVITT:So, what does this legalized abortion have to do with crime? Well, the argument’s really simple, that there’s enormous volumes of scholarship going back fifty years that suggests that unwanted children are at risk for crime. Basically if your mother doesn’t love you, nothing very good is going to happen to you in your life. It’s also pretty clear that after legalized abortion became available, the number of unwanted children plummeted, so we see that the number of domestic children put up for adoption went way down. And in surveys, if you ask women whether they had unwanted births, those went way down as well. So, those two simple pieces of the argument are all it takes. Unwanted children are at risk for crime, and after legalized abortion the number of unwanted children went way down. Therefore, after legalized abortion, crime should go way down if you wait sixteen to eighteen years to the point where that cohort exposed to legalized abortion actually becomes old enough to be in the criminal ages.

DUBNER: That was the theory, at least. And as Levitt found, the data backed it up: Roe v. Wade, a decision meant to increase a woman’s reproductive control, was never intended to decrease crime in the U.S. But it did! Again, like the ultrasound [led to sex selection abortion], a natal development that had the most unintended of consequences.

Even if true, it is irrelevant to the morality of the matter (which the program didn’t address). But I don’t think one can come anywhere near stating that abortion caused a reduction in crime directly—in a 1 + 1 = 2 type formula—as asserted by the show’s hosts.

Remember, the post Roe era was also the time of increased “law and order” campaigns. The Feds and states throughout the USA toughened criminal punishments, took much sentencing discretion out of the hands of judges with minimum jail requirements, etc. We built new prisons by the score. “Three Strikes” laws put repeat violent criminals away, using even non violent crimes as the basis. Whether one agrees with those policies or not, they certainly impacted the crime rate. In fact, so much was spent on incarcerating people that some complain more is spent on prisons than schools.

Other factors no doubt went into the reduced crime rate as well. For example, many states stopped treating marijuana possession as a felony. If something ceases to be criminal, the crime rate goes down.

So, did abortion reduce the crime rate? Who knows? Who cares? It really doesn’t matter—unless one thinks that we have to encourage “certain people” not to procreate as a means of reducing crime. If we go there, we are off a moral cliff that looks an awful lot like the old eugenics.