People are in for a big surprise there. The Colts outperformed everyone's advanced statistical analysis that I saw last year. (Carolina way underperformed, btw.) They could always improve in the offseason or have another relatively "lucky" year, but they are definitely a candidate for a major regression this season. If I was a pro analyst I'd be putting some weight behind that minority prediction.

"I’m never under the assumption that you draft for need. You draft the best available football player on the board. ... Because, in the long run, they are the ones who will help you win the most games." - Scot McCloughan