Monday, July 19, 2010

Democrats Suddenly Winning Generic Congressional Race

For the first time since March, the Democrats have a statistically significant lead on a generic Congressional ballot, according to the latest Gallup poll. The Democrats lead by 6 points.

The Gallup poll shows that the Democrats' gain comes largely from Independent voters shifting towards Democrats. It is unclear what caused the shift, or whether it will last.

Gallup suggests that passage of the financial reform legislation, which most voters favor, could have caused the jump. Perhaps the shift has less to do with the Democrats' performance, than with disarray among Republicans.

3 comments:

Makes sense. Voters are realizing the R's don't have a plan beyond cut taxes on the rich and the powerful and pretend you'll Laffer Curve your way to a balanced budget.

As much as I disagree with most of the President's policies, I have to give him credit on one recent point he made. The R's just got finished driving the car into the ditch, do we really want to give them the keys back? This is by no means an endorsement of the D's, but it is an endorsement for ideas that go beyond tax cuts for the rich, or spending money we don't have. How about tax cuts on the middle and realizing that both Social Security and Medicare are only sustainable by raising the eligibility age to about 71 and Team America World Police makes for both bad movies and bad fiscal policy?

Josh, I think that all of your points are really, really good ones (except that I agree with more Obama policies than you do, I think - not all, but more).

I just wanted to say I agree and add one extra thought. I think that Prof. H's point, made in other posts, about states having chosen Tea Party candidates in the Republican primaries (like Rubio and Angle), that have Cheney+ type policies, has been a factor in moving independent & moderate voters in the direction of the Dems. I mean even Harry Reid appears to be on the road to winning and I think it's safe to say a good percentage of Nevadans hate him.

About Me and the Blog

Professor Darren Hutchinson teaches Constitutional Law, Remedies, Race and the Law, and a Civil Rights Seminar at the University of Florida Levin College of Law. Professor Hutchinson also holds the prestigious Stephen C. O’Connell Chair.
Professor Hutchinson received a B.A. from the University of Pennsylvania and a J.D. from Yale Law School. Before teaching law, Professor Hutchinson practiced commercial litigation at Cleary, Gottlieb, Steen and Hamilton in New York City. He also clerked for the late Honorable Mary Johnson Lowe, a former United States District Judge in the Southern District of New York.
Professor Hutchinson's research has appeared in many prestigious journals including the Cornell Law Review, Washington University Law Review, UCLA Law Review, University of Michigan Journal of Race and Law, and University of Pennsylvania Journal of Constitutional Law.
He has also presented his research at numerous universities, including Yale, Stanford, Columbia, University of Pennsylvania, University of Michigan, University of California at Berkeley, University of Virginia, Cornell, Georgetown, and Boston University.

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