St. Louis Cardinals

At the beginning of the season it would have been easy to pencil the Cards into the playoffs but they have never had that great stretch of ball to solidify their slot.

Given their experience they are still a nice bet at this point but if they lose some of these games to the Pirates things will start getting really tight.

The offense has been really frustrating of late, in their last 10 they have scored more than three runs just three times.

Don’t feel bad if you don’t know too much about Luke Weaver, this is just his fifth start in the Majors. So far the results have been solid. He has proven he can miss bats with 26 strikeouts in just 21 innings.

Three of his four starts have come against teams out of the race so this is a pretty big moment for the rookie.

Also, three of his four starts have been on the road. His last two outings have been good so he might be settling in.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates are just .500 but that has been enough for them to come into this week in the race.

To some they are a a true wild card but I see them fading this month and unlikely to finish above .500.

Nothing has come together for this group and there is little evidence to suggest they can hit or pitch well enough to go on the kind of run that would be needed.

The highlight of the year has been the continued development of Gregory Polanco, who leads the team in homers with 21.

I am not a big fan of Ryan Vogelsong. Even when he was getting results with San Francisco I was iffy about him and he has been nothing special upon is return to Pittsburgh.

However, he had put together a string of a few good starts in a row before running into the Cubs last week. Also, his splits show that he is much more effective at home.

He makes me very nervous but I suppose he is spot playable.

MLB Baseball Betting Trends:

STL are 9-4 in their last 13 road games.

PIT are 3-7 in Vogelsongs last 10 starts.

PIT are 3-7 in Vogelsongs last 10 starts on grass.

Free St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Prediction:

Hard line to make here with the Cards in the race for sure but Pittsburgh teetering. Throw in a complete unknown vs. a shaky veteran on the hill and the oddsmakers probably had a hell of a time with this one.

4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Pittsburgh +104

When a game is a true toss up you have to go with the side that gives you more value. That is Pittsburgh, and there is certainly nothing wrong with backing home division dogs in a pennant race.

Vogelsong makes me queasy but he can be good enough.

MLB Free Score Prediction: Pittsburgh 5 – St. Louis 4

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About The Wiesguy

5 Long years ago in a galaxy far far away the Wiesguy was a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Now...not so much. A true expert. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.

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