This storm has potential, a pretty high potential to be a top ten snowstorm for Louisville. That's top ten ever in the city's history. WE would need 10 inches for that to happen.

First let's start off with the WLKY forecast.....

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There are a couple of factors that could keep us from getting a double digit snow.The main one would be if a large area of thunderstorms developed along the Gulf Coast tomorrow, that would block some of the moisture from streaming this far north. That doesn't always affect the snow area on the north side of the low which is where we will be.The NWS in Louisville discussed this with the Weather Prediction Center in Washington DC and they said they do not expect this to happen.Also, sometimes the precip. totals don't always reach what is expected, especially when there has been such a big increase in the forecast over the last 24 to 36 hours.

For now 6-10 is the forecast and this can be adjusted upward if conditions warrant.I have been showing all of the computer models to show you the potential this storm has. It does mean it will snow 15" like the Euro says it might. It's potential.

If everything comes together, this storm does has the potential to shut down rural areas for the next several days. The weather will be cold all week so there will be little if any melting. Some school districts will be closed all week.

New model updates.....The UKMET still has about .65 precip. which goes to 9-10 inches of snow with a 15:1 snow ratio.

The JMA has .75 precip. which goes to 10-12 inches.

The afternoon NAM has .95" which goes to 14 inches or so.

The NAM has temps at 850mb at -10C to -11C which can bring that 15:1 ratio. It will be a fluffy, dry snow which can accumulate rapidly.In 1996 we had a snowstorm of 8-12 inches with temps in the teens and a gusty wind. It was a brutal storm.

If the models verify, accumulations range from 9 to 15 inches. This will be watched closely during the course of the storm.