While FanGraphs is usually just known for its work in advanced baseball metrics, Cameron's report draws from the win probability graphs featured on Advanced NFL Stats as well as FanGraphs' own data.

So how did Cameron come up with 0.16 percent? It's simple, really. You know, once you get past the advanced metrics that go into the two organization's win probability platforms.

In the waning minutes of the Patriots' Sunday afternoon game against the New Orleans Saints, New England saw its win probability dip down to about a mere four percent. Meanwhile, the Red Sox were in a similar position in the eighth innings against the Detroit Tigers, also seeing a four percent win probability.

So, what are the chances of a 100:4 (or 25:1) longshot pulling off a win on the heels of another 25:1 underdog? Yup, it's 0.16 percent, or 625:1.

For a much cooler visual example of the way the Red Sox and Patriots beat the odds, here's a look at the live win probability charts for both teams: