Seasonable summertime conditions are underway across the region this afternoon, as temperatures warm into the low 90s. Dewpoints, especially along the higher terrain of the plateau, have been able to mix down into the low to mid 60s, keeping humidity levels fairly comfortable by early August standards.

A few isolated thunderstorms aren't entirely out of the question this afternoon across south central Missouri, but most locations should remain dry through sunset. Anything that does develop this afternoon is expected to dissipate fairly quickly with the loss of daytime heating.

A frontal boundary associated with a shortwave moving through the Great Lakes will move south toward the region tomorrow, though at this point it appears that it will stall out just north and east of the County Warning Area. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible along this boundary tomorrow, but it's very much in question how far south activity will make it before fizzling out. For now will maintain slight chance pops along the northern and eastern periphery of the forecast area. For most of the region tomorrow should be very similar to today, with highs again in the low 90s.

Rain chances will then begin to increase Tuesday afternoon and evening, as shortwave undercuts the upper level ridge and moves east across the Great Plains toward the area. One or more complexes of storms are expected to develop and move toward/through the region Tuesday night into Wednesday as a low level jet develops over southern Kansas and Oklahoma. Along with the actual mcs(s), remnant mcvs and/or outflow boundaries likely adding complexity to the overall picture. Any severe weather threat will be highly conditional on clearing and associated destabilization, and this is a short term forecast issue that likely won't become clear until at least Tuesday night/Wednesday morning.

Additional storms will then be possible Thursday during the afternoon, as well as again that night as the low level jet ramps up over the region. Thunderstorm chances will likely persist into at least part of the day on Friday.

Temperatures during the latter portion of the workweek should remain around or just below average, as convection and cloud cover keep things from heating up too much.