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Thursday, June 4, 2015

UPDATE: The local health department now reports the infected person flew into the Springfield - Branson airport on "Friday" ( May 29th): Clearly this case could rapidly have Nationwide fallout with a potentially vaccine resistant measles outbreak.

The Missouri Health Department is reporting that a Foreign Traveler brought measles into Branson Missouri. The infected person has been placed in isolation since May 31st.

Unfortunately given today's political environment it is unclear whether "Foreign Traveler" means tourist or illegal alien. Its an important distinction given that a tourist would likely have exposed many people for an extended period of time while visiting the many musical theater shows in Branson. Whereas, an illegal alien may have less exposure to tourists.

In either case, we believe that because of the extended exposures of crowds attending infected musical theaters that this measles outbreak may be much worse than last year's Disneyland outbreak where potential exposure times were small.

Its also important to note that the MMR vaccines appear to have a high failure rate with the genotype B3 measles which has been recently entering the USA from Mexico and the Philippines.

Because of the high vaccine failure rates, we believe avoidance of infected locations is wise. Obviously going to Branson will remain risky for the near future.

Tuesday, June 2, 2015

The Centers for Disease Control just released an alert warning doctors about the risk, spread, and treatment of Bird Flu in the United States. The risk is tied to the outbreak of Bird Flu in US poultry flocks.

Because of the Summer type weather, our risk analysis is that the immediate primary risk comes from direct contact with bird feces, dead birds, infected humans, and locations where bird flu may become aerosolized (such as County Fairs, Poultry Farms and Medical Facilities)

We do not expect wide spread fatal human to human spread within the next 4 months. But we do see an increased risk for disruptions to the national medical system.

Thursday, March 26, 2015

(1) Exposure to more than 1 Cubic Millimeter of Ebola infected blood "overwhelms" the vaccine(s)
(2) FDA's 10 years of required vaccine dosing safety studies have been whittled down to just 3 months of guess work
(3) Ebola vaccines have induced early Ebola type symptoms in those given them

Those three facts bring us to the very unusual Ebola outbreak in Sierra Leone among foreign health care workers. Strangely that outbreak has coincided with the planned vaccination of foreign health care workers in Sierra Leone.

We knew something unprecedented had happened when we broke the news on Twitter that all 3 Ebola Air Ambulances were in Africa at the same time; the situation became even more concerning as these Air Ambulances started making same day flight turnarounds to go back to Africa to collect more and more Ebola exposed Health Care Workers (HCW's). As it stands 16 HCW's have returned to the USA, while others are in treatment or under observation in England, Honduras and New Zealand.

The USA victims are the most concerning as CDC is housing these Ebola exposed victims in hotels outside of Ebola treatment centers in order to save money on hospital care. The CDC has decided that it is a "sure thing" that pre-symptomatic airborne Ebola transmission is impossible, where as the US Army believes cold weather airborne transmission of Ebola is to be expected.

If we had to make a conjecture, it would be that the symptoms of an Ebola exposure to a health care worker(s) was ignored because that worker had received a dose of Ebola vaccine known to trigger similar symptoms. As such, that Doctor/Nurse did not self quarantine but instead continued to interact with the other HCW's and thusly exposing them to Ebola.

However, what is not conjecture is that the public is being sold a billion dollar load of poles when it comes to the Ebola vaccine(s) and their stockpiling. Of course we don't expect you to take our word for it, thats why in the attached video we include key excerpts from the National Institutes Of Health's [NIH] 8 hour long "Immunology of Protection from Ebola Virus Infection" video conference.

The key takeaways from NIH's conference are:

(1) The experts freely admit that even exposure to vomit is enough to overwhelm the Ebola vaccine(s)
(2) The current Ebola "Challange Dose" being used simulates a person in a Bio-Safety Level 4 Space suit having a minor needle prick and being exposed to a measly one cubic millimeter of blood.
(3) The vaccines producers would like to cut "Challenge dose" down by a factor of 100 times

Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Based on Obama's attempt to disrupt the US commercial supply of M855 ammunition, we expect that US / NATO infantry weapons which use M855 ammunition will soon start flowing into the Ukraine and surrounding former Soviet States.

Ukraine needs NATO caliber rifles as it likely faces a shortage of ammunition for its unique late Soviet era infantry rifle. Last year in that regard, Obama banned the US importation of the Soviet 7N6 5.45x39.5 round in order to shore up in theater Soviet caliber ammo supplies for Ukraine.

Since then, Ukraine has had its ammunition factories fall to the Novorussia rebels. And, the supply of Soviet ammo which had been redirected away from US consumers must now be rapidly decreasing. Unfortunately for the Ukraine, only Russia has massive capability to cost effectively supply their unique Soviet rifle ammunition needs.

Given that situation, it seems that the time now has come for America to stealthily shore up the supply of NATO military M855 ball ammo in Eastern Europe for use in those M16's we expect to see start showing up in the Ukraine. As such, Obama's likely illegal reclassification of M855 ammo as "armor piercing" will immediately stop all shipments of such ammo departing from European docks to the USA; and thusly quietly shore up needed NATO caliber ammo supplies in Eastern Europe.

Obviously if this is the vignette behind the M855 US consumer ammo ban, it seems clear that DoD sees a greater risk of expanded armed conflict in Eastern Europe than is currently being let on, and wants to quietly prepare for such conflict
Alternatively its possible that the M855 ban is only driven by Obama's hatred of an armed American populace; in which case, all those M16's won't be showing up in Ukraine any time soon. That said, we expect M855 fed rifles to appear on Russia's borders soon.

Sunday, December 21, 2014

After watching the full 8 hours of the "Immunology of Protection from Ebola Virus Infection" workshop (sponsored by the NIAID/NIH, FDA, BARDA, DoD, and CDC) it is abundantly clear that the Ebola vaccine efforts are sadly an expensive and near worthless joke. We say this because at best, if the vaccine designs are perfect, they will only protect those who have been exposed to the most minuscule amounts of Ebola.

The vaccine developers are clear that the proposed vaccines will be utterly overwhelmed if the person is exposed to anything more than a needle prick's worth of virus. And even at that tiny amount, the vaccine researchers are complaining that its too much virus; they want 1/100 of a needle prick's worth of virus, at maximum, to be the challenge standard for the vaccine.

As such, the vaccines in development are not to protect the public; at best, they are designed to offer a modicum of protection to Ebola researchers who may develop small holes in their spacesuits as they are working in the their Bio Safety Level 4 Laboratories. These vaccines would likely NOT have protected either of the Dallas nurses who were infected with Ebola in the course of treating Thomas Duncan.

The researchers at the conference are aware of the fact that these vaccines will offer no real individual protection. In fact it was indicated at the conference that if all goes well and the vaccine is given to a large enough segment of the public, that maybe the vaccines might slightly reduce the virus reproduction number, ie every infected person only makes 2 other people sick instead of 3.

Frankly thats a very large safety gamble to force an experimental vaccine on the population for the outside possibility that it might ever so slightly reduce the reproduction number of the virus. Its pretty clear now why the Government has declared that no one working on the vaccines ,or forcing those vaccines on the public can be held civilly or criminally liable for their work.

At this point, its becoming very clear that the greatest return on research dollar investment is on post exposure treatment with Antibodies and Antivirals; the vaccine work is a joke.

Thursday, December 18, 2014

On December 12 the US Centers for Disease Control reported to the Office Management and Budget [OMB] that CDC expects to interview 3,400 US commercial airline passengers that were seated within 3 feet of an Ebola patient.

"so that CDC can better
assess the risk to individuals who may have been exposed to a
confirmed case of Ebola while traveling to or within the United
States"

Using the conservative estimate that 8 airline passengers are seated within the 3 foot zone set out by the CDC,the CDC is expecting 425 actively infected Ebola patients to fly into the USA next year. We believe the Winter New Year time frame is the high risk period for these entries.

Just as CDC's short sighted Ebola risk assessment and PPE direction lead to the infections of two nurses in the Thomas Duncan Ebola case, the CDC has taken no steps to mitigate the Department of Defense's concern that Winter weather may facilitate a super flu like airborne spread of Ebola. As such, the CDC is counting on Ebola to only spread as it does in warm weather, ie close contact with the VERY sick.

Apparently even the fact that CDC just DOUBLED the number of expected Ebola exposures to US flyers is not enough to raise their concerns. In November the CDC had informed OMB that they expected to interview 1,700 commercial airline passengers, now exactly 1 month later CDC has doubled the number to 3,400 directly exposed airline passengers.

The CDC expects to interview these 3,400 people at 20 minutes each. CDC also informed OMB that CDC expects the 50,000 exposed people who were on these flights but seated further than 3 feet away from the Ebola patient, to call the CDC and be read a "script".

"this script assesses the risk of a plan
passenger who was not in the immediate vicinity of the
Ebola patient but still has concerns about the level of
exposure and risk of contracting the virus."

Tuesday, December 2, 2014

The CDC has notified the Office of Management and Budget that CDC expects to actively monitor 65,250 at risk Ebola travelers entering the USA per year. Obviously CDC came to this number by counting the number of travelers that have already entered the USA in the last 3 months and projecting it out to 12 months.

Reverse engineering CDC's projection, 16,313 Ebola exposed travelers have entered the USA since the Ebola outbreak began. Clearly such a large number of potentially Ebola infected travelers undergoing active monitoring for 21 days creates a huge risk and manpower requirement. To that end, CDC is creating a daily robo-call system to contact these people (in both French and English) everyday for 21 days.

"CDC is also requesting the incorporation of a telephonic, automated
survey administered either through Interactive Voice Response (IVR)
phone system which asks travelers if they have developed a fever or any
other symptoms potentially indicative of Ebola exposure (OMB Control No
0920-1034). This system is used to assist states in actively monitoring
those travelers from Ebola affected countries for 21 days after
arrival. The additional burden requested for the use of the IVR system
is 91,350 hours."

No matter which way CDC attempts to cut it, the Ebola response is currently overwhelming the CDC. Automating aspects of the response may serve to lessen some of that burden, but it comes at the cost of reduced quality and increased risk as as anyone who has ever had to press 1 to hold for a human on an automated voice service system knows,