Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2011-12 season in May, 2012. (includes results from January 2- May 13, 2012):

Program

Status

Renew/ Cancel Index

The L.A. Complex

canceled

0.40

Ringer*

canceled

0.68

Nikita (F)

renewed

0.69

Gossip Girl

renewed

0.82

Hart Of Dixie

renewed

0.84

90210

renewed

0.98

The Secret Circle

canceled

0.99

One Tree Hill*

final season

1.07

Supernatural (F)

renewed

1.09

Vampire Diaries

renewed

1.83

-
After having them as "toss ups" for renewal or cancellation for most of the year, I predicted cancellation for both Nikita and Hart Of Dixie, and blew both those calls. After being moved to a "toss up" late in the season, I predicted that The Secret Circle would be renewed, and blew that call too. Props to Robert who called both Hart of Dixie and The Secret Circle correctly, and missed only Nikita.

My guess is that the late season swoon by The Secret Circle killed it, and I have so little experience with shows that have ratings dives late, I was unable to take it fully into account.

5/18 Update: As expected, The L.A. Complex was nowhere to be found on the CW 2012-13 schedule. It will never air during the US broadcast season again. It will live on in Canada, and wouldn't stun me if it aired during the summer in the US, but we will have to wait and see.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

- certain to be cancelled by May, 2012

:cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2012

- toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2012

- more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2012

- certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

I’m really upset they canclled the Secret Circle i really liked that show i was excited to see what was going to happen next with cassie and her dark magic.

liz

I can’t believe they canceled the secret circle!!! it is such a good show and to end it the way they did thats bull crap

ME

Ok what are the prediction for premier demos for the fall!

ME

Ok what are the prediction for premiere demos for the fall! Where is Nikita going to start? Hopefully the fan base can lobby more support for next year.

Alexis

So, so happy that Nikita got renewed! We’ve got at least one more year of ass-kicking, twists and general awesomeness to look forward to. “Here we go again”, indeed.

Ralph

I thought the L.A Complex was renewed??

Hailey

Secret circle does not deserve to be cancelled; it was a great show and left us all on the edge of our seats. Every detail was put in place perfectly! I loved the (keep you guessing) factor and the twists just kept coming. The final episodes really wrapped it up nicely and the finally was a hit. The ending seconds made us want a second season, I am truly dissapointed with the cancelation. And to replace it with the “reality” show about the hotel staff is nothing America needs, we need something different that makes us think there is something els out there; not just parying and drama. This is truly depressing.

c.c

Would have kept secret circle and tossed nikita tsc had just began and was barly getting good in action

Nonymouse

The only show that I watch from the CW is Supernatural, however I am not going to brag about it, I was only watching this season for signs of improvement. Still a descent show, but I hope the storyline/writing gets improved upon. I tried watching Nikita, but, lost interest after the 3rd episode.

I have to admit though that compared to other networks, the CW usually gives shows more of a chance. So when a show gets cancelled from the CW, I usually don’t mind, FOX on the other hand………..don’t get me started.

Mouse

Tsc should not have been cancelled it is the best show next to Supernatural and all y’all want is to have stupid shows like Nikia and HoD and 90210 that show should have never come on the air which shows people how stupid the tv exc are

honeybunny

Why is the secret circle cancelled?!?!?!? That was an amazing show with awesome actors, and was super popular. I don’t get it.

Maria Sykes BSc(Hons)

NOT happy with the cancellations of Ringer and Secret Circle….not happy AT ALL AAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH…..bring them back!!!!!!!!!!!!

Hannah

Secret Circle should have been renewed. That show was pretty good, even though some people may have thought it was goofy. The season finale ended as if another season was going to occur so no one knows how everything turns out. I doubt the beauty and the beast show will have better ratings.

Haley

Thats bull***t that Ringer is cancelled.!!!! it needs to be renewed. ASAP!

Amy

Secret Circle is the only show I watched on CW I am really going to miss the show. I watched every week and if I couldn’t I recorded it. Going to Miss you Lots Secret Circle!

Yve

Can’t the CW give us closure? How about a 2hr made for tv movie? We have to know what happened to Malcom, who does Bridget end up with? What happens to Siobhan and the twins? Please CW give us closure!

sabrina

OMG no lie ringer was a good show! and i watch alot of show and this was the best IM SAD!!!

Hell

Sooo upset to hear The Secret Circle is cancelled, I never got to watch it on tv due to my super busy schedule, but I recently started watching it online (before I knew it got cancelled) & it’s getting so good! It had so muuch potential. Seriously viewers these days are ruining our lives!

secretcirclelover

bring back secret cirlce. it was the best show. you have vampire show for the vampire lovers but what about the witch and magic lovers? They keep all these other stupid shows runner that no one really watches, why cancel this one good show.

Joyce

Wow!!! You cancelled The Secret Circle, i was really getting into that show. Guess i will only turn to your channel for The People,s Court and America,s Next Top Model, i think these shows are on The CW. Hopefully Syfy will pick up The Secret Circle.