Black book watch from Caulfield Cup Day

A resuming Mossman gelding, a staying mare reaching her top, a new high-profile addition to the Weir stable and a colt who could be home in the Derby comprise this week’s horses to follow.

Oddschecker

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Sat, 20 Oct, 12:00 AM

Super Star Bob – Randwick (Kensington) Race 8: 2nd ($13): After opening $6.50, the massive drift out to $13 late was indicative of his parade. Lacking fitness first-up after no public trial, he’s hit the line excellently to grab second after being one of the first under the stick upon turning. Will derive a stack of benefit from this performance and looks poised to further his consistent record next start over 1200m. With the Spring focus shifting towards Melbourne we could certainly see him taking out a Saturday race in Sydney.

Record: 12:4-1-3

Possible Targets: BM70 over 1200m.

Kenedna – Caulfield Race 6: 2nd ($26): Despite being third-up off two strong trials, the Group 2 winner still looks to have some upside based on her parade. It’s been well-discussed how Ben Melham stole this race up front on I Am A Star, carving up some very slow sectionals. From mid-field this mare has ran exceptionally to reduce the margin to 0.5L. The fact she’s looking for a fast tempo and a further trip add further merit to her performance. Peaked 4th up last preparation when winning the G2 Run to the Roses over 2000m and is set-up to do so again.

Record: 16:6-3-3

Possible Targets: Fillies and Mares race over 2000m, Group company.

Addictive Nature – Caulfield Race 7: 2nd ($2.90): After a stunning jump out, it was no surprise to see him installed an equal favourite with the in-form Trekking. However, very late in betting (particularly on the exchange) Trekking was the one they wanted. That wasn’t the only concern for those invested in this 4yo as he was hampered significantly by So Si Bon early in the straight when trying to build momentum. To pick himself up and run second was outstanding. With further improvement fitness-wise he’ll be going very close next start.

Record: 8:2-2-2

Possible Targets: 1400m, Group Company.

Think’n Big – Caulfield Race 6: 1st ($3.80): Simply dominant. Given a brilliant front-running ride by Tim Clark, the colt has led all the way and bolted in by over 3L, never looking in danger. Despite being a touch colt-ish in the parade he looks an out-and-out Derby-type. It’s possible to envisage a few runners from this race improving lengths (particularly Weir’s) into the Derby, but not enough to see them topple this runner.

Record: 6:4-0-2

Possible Targets: Victorian Derby

Suggested Bets:

Thinkin' Big: Currently $3.20 for the Derby. Suggesting waiting until race day to have a bet.