Friday, June 22, 2012

For Interested Readers, Thane and Panvel current rainfall put up on Vagaries' Readings Page (Bottom of Page)..those interested, try to observe the pressure movement on vagaries readings and the corresponding rainfall on that day...observe the pressure to judge the rainfall.

See Inter Active Page for Pradeep's Superb list of SWM Toppers...

In N.I.Karnataka, SWM rainfall is deficit (upto 23rd June) to the extent of -50%. Bellary District being the most deficit, at -80%. The District has received only 11 mms against a normal expected of 55 mms. Dharwad is showing a deficit of -69%. The lone District (N.I. Karnataka) in the positive is Bidar, at +28%.

Even the coastal region and Malnad regions are deficit, being -28% and -39% respectively.

The average deficit for the State of Karnataka till June 23rd works out to -41%.

In Ramanagara, rains are deficit to the extent of -86% !The whole region is now facing deficit rains this season to the extent of -69%.

Diagram shows only 3 days of rain in June as yet.

Hotter days throughout the month..

Effective strong Easterly Winds North of the Monsoon Trough in the North, Pushes the SWM into UP, Reaching upto Lucknow on Friday, 22nd June. It has also moved into most of Nepal, barring Extereme Western Parts .See Current Weather Page..

16 comments:

Absolutely correct Rajesh sir. Even in normal years (2010,2009,2008...) past 5-10 years Bangalore rain has decreased, sometimes it does not even rain 500mm in entire year. South interior peninsular India is in for desertification. Now Bangalore is hot like summer.

Cmdr Potey: W.Vidarbha it seems will not have meaningfull increase in rainfall till Thursday 28th, at least. Almost dry, except some local convective showers, in isolated pockets. But no widespread rain from any systems or mass cloudings. Day temperatures may rise to 38/39c levels.ananth: Just put up Mumbai forecast..

@rajesh i desperately hope that ur forecast proves wrong this tymm for the sake of rain lovers .........was very depressed wen u said that this rain spell will be short lived ,,nights r hell at panvel ,,feel like going to mah native in vengurla south konkan wich is enjoying daily rains nd cool clime!!!

situation is quite grim in most of maharashtra it seems !!!mahabaleshwar has received only 101 mm of rain since 1st june till 8 30 hrs 23 th june!!!north of ratnagiri all stations r in deficit!!!nd the rains havent penetrated much beyond the coat in the interiors!!!!

junaid: even i hope that we get more rain than my estimates...at least my june total forecasted will come somewhere close to 550 mms -:)Mahableshwar total till 5,30pm 23rd is 339 mms.Vengurla is 730 mms. Malvan is highest with 949 mms.

anonymous: Concerned, yes...but i would not worry, as such the COLA and other models change their runs depending on the situation...i know the MJO is weak and will remain so till 30th june at least..junaid: check vagries'readings page, Panvel updated...