Daily Archives: November 11, 2019

Good evening, everyone. Before we get to tracking, let me say one more thanks to all our Veterans!! Arctic cold and light accumulating snows are taking control of the weather this evening and I have you all set to do some winter weather tracking.

The Winter Weather Advisory now includes the entire state and much of the surrounding states…

This won’t be a lot of snow, but a general coating up to 2″ across the entire region. Much of that will be on grassy and elevated surfaces. With the arctic air moving in, all that water will turn to ice pretty quickly and that will lead to some slick travel developing. Lows by morning range from the mid teens to low 20s. Wind chills will be in the single digits.

Highs Tuesday stay in the 20s with a wind chill in the teens. That northwest flow from Lake Michigan should keep snow showers and flurries going across areas of central and eastern Kentucky. Wednesday morning lows may reach record levels in the low teens with some valleys trying to sneak into the high single digits.

Good afternoon, folks. Our arctic front continues to race into the region, bringing a major drop in temps, with the first light snowfall of the cold weather season behind it. This won’t be a lot of snow, but it’s not bad considering it’s the first one and it’s coming in early November.

A Winter Weather Advisory is out for much of Kentucky, but the NWS decided to skip several counties for some strange reason. How is anyone supposed to convey a consistent public message with this kind of a map?

Hopefully, they do the right thing and include the entire state in the advisory. This isn’t a monster event by any means, but it’s the first of the season, its happening as arctic air surges in, freezing up some roads and it’s still only early November. Plus, low end events seem to bring about some of the worst in road conditions.

I’ve also talked about the plume of snow showers coming from Lake Michigan early Tuesday. The GFS shows this perfectly…

I’m going to continue to roll with the First Call map with a general coating-2″ for the entire region…

Slick roads may develop as temps crash below freezing. This will likely lead to some delays and cancellations on Tuesday.

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and with another update here on KWC this evening. With the first of many times this upcoming winter, I leave you with the infamous winter weather tracking toys…

Good Monday, everyone. On this Veterans Day, I want to say a big THANK YOU to all the brave men and women who have served and are currently serving this amazing country we live in. In terms of the holiday weather, we have a pretty awesomely wicked weather day taking shape across Kentucky and surrounding states. A mild first half of the day will be followed by a big time blast of winter to end it. This will be complete with the first light snowfall of the young season and the potential for record lows as arctic air settles in.

Let’s get this party started with some fresh thoughts:

You’re going to spend much of the day thinking I’m crazy. Why? Because temps may reach the low and mid 60s across the eastern half of the state into early this afternoon.

Then the arctic front arrives and you guys will be like… Ok, I get it now.

The temp drop will be prolific from west to east from late this afternoon through the wee hours of Tuesday morning. Readings that are in the 60s today will bottom out in the teens and low 20s by Tuesday morning.

Rain develops along and ahead of the front then quickly switches over to light to moderate snow behind it. This band may have some “hot spots” within it as it rolls to the east. Those would be overachieving areas.

Widespread enhancement of the snow is possible across southeastern Kentucky late tonight.

Snow showers and flurries will be noted into Tuesday on a strong northwesterly flow off Lake Michigan.

Snow accumulations are likely across the entire region. I’m going to keep the current coating-2″ with the potential for locally higher amounts in the southeast. There’s a chance I upgrade the numbers bu a little.

With such a rapid temperature drop while it’s snowing, a flash freeze is very possible. This could lead to some issues on area roads. I do expect some delays and cancellations Tuesday morning. Don’t assume it will be your school, though. 🙂

Single digit wind chills are possible Tuesday morning and again Wednesday morning. Record or near record lows will also be possible Wednesday.

As I said, I’m going to roll with the First Call map for now…

The forecast models are now going for a general 1″-3″ for much of the state, with some higher totals possible in the southeast…

GFS

NAM

Hi Res NAM

GFS Ensembles

European

You can also see those “hot spots” showing up in some areas.

I will have updates later today, including around noon-ish. I will have lots of winter weather tracking tools then, too.