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A Tornado Watch has been issued until midnight for Winnebago, Lee, Ogle, LaSalle, Grundy and Livingston counties. Have multiple ways to receive warnings if any are issued for your area and a plan to access safe shelter if needed

SUMMARY…A few supercells should develop along a residual boundary
from eastern Iowa into west-central Illinois. This activity should
spread east-northeast in northern Illinois through late evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles north northwest of
Burlington IA to 40 miles north northeast of Bloomington IL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION…
553 PM CDT

The weather forecast over the next 12+ hours remains fairly
complicated, and uncertainties abound mainly due to the weak
nature of large-scale forcing for ascent. While a threat for
strong to severe thunderstorms certainly exists this evening and
into the nighttime hours, how this threat materializes remains
tied to mainly subtle mesoscale processes and subtle waves of
synoptic ascent which are both difficult to diagnose and pinpoint
with much certainty.

Surface analysis late this afternoon depicts a northwest to
southeast arcing warm front–reinforced by this morning’s
convection which laid out an outflow boundary–likely just
entering portions of La Salle, Livingston, and Ford Counties.
Dewpoints immediately to the south of this boundary jump into the
70s with breezy south to south-southwesterly winds, and this
seems to be demarcated pretty well by an area of bubbling Cumulus
and HCRs which are steadily building northward. Recent RAP
soundings and SPC mesoanalysis reveal that this is a relatively
high-quality warm sector, with mean mixing ratios pushing 16 g/kg
and decent moisture through a fairly deep layer (up to 700 mb). An
earlier tornadic supercell, which was riding along the northern
extent of this warm frontal boundary, quickly dissipated a few
hours ago as it approached Bloomington, likely as it encountered a
pocket of warmer air aloft with 700 mb temperatures analyzed at
+9 to +10C. This is indicative of lingering capping, which has
thus far suppressed any additional convective initiation attempts
in the warm sector. Recent GOES-16 visible satellite loops reveal
some towering Cu development taking place across West Central
Illinois, however, where capping is lower due to cooler
temperatures aloft.

Farther to our west, an additional area of bubbling cumulus has
been noted across central and eastern Iowa, although recent radar
trends suggest incipient updrafts are struggling to develop.
Large scale forcing for ascent is not strong here, but modest
mid-level height falls (20-40 m/12 hours) are noted in recent
analyses nosing into far northwestern Iowa at the leading edge of
a very subtle shortwave. It’s possible some lingering mesoscale
subsidence is still in place across eastern Iowa in the wake of
this morning’s MCS, tempering additional robust convective
development at this juncture, but conditions do appear favorable
for robust updraft development over the next few hours.

With this all laid out, it does appear there may be two favored
corridors for potential convective development over the next few
hours: /1/ near and south of the incoming warm front and /2/
across eastern Iowa. All modes of severe weather would be possible
across our area, including the threat for a few tornadoes. Deep
layer shear in excess of 50 kts will support rotating storms and
supercell structures and sizable CAPE in the hail growth zone
will foster large hail development, potentially to the size of
golf balls or even larger with some analogs supporting 2″+ hail
not out of the question.

Recent runs of the HRRR have been a bit concerning, developing
robust storms near the incoming warm front and into the I-80
corridor. Locally backed surface flow would support a tornadic
potential with these storms as they interact with the front and
gain access to considerable streamwise vorticity. Think it looks
too aggressive based on latest satellite trends, but we will need
to keep our eyes peeled for development near and south of I-80
during the 8 to 11 PM time frame. The other area of convection–to
our west in eastern Iowa–may attempt to develop into our western
counties later this evening, likely after 10 PM or so. A tornado
threat will continue here, although CAM guidance indicates some
propensity for storms to congeal into clusters which may
eventually deliver more of a damaging wind and hail threat as this
second area of activity pushes eastward into the overnight hours.

Finally, a flash flood potential does exist this evening and
overnight, although the spatial breadth and magnitude of this
threat still is uncertain due to the mesoscale processes involved.
Current thinking is that the Flash Flood Watch captures the
favored corridor well, and no immediate changes are planned.

A school bus was letting a disabled child off of the school bus, when a vehicle went past the school bus. The police officer was nearby and went after the suspect. We been told they were ticketed, but not yet confirmed.

As you know, it is ILLEGAL to pass a school bus when the bus is getting students on or off the bus.

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As of 1 PM: We are monitoring for severe storms this afternoon across the area this afternoon. Best timing for the severe storms could start as early as mid afternoon and continue into the evening hours. Keep a close watch on the forecast for later watches and warnings.

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Winnebago County State’s Attorney Marilyn Hite Ross announces that on May 22nd, 2019, Daniel Feliciano (D.O.B. 2/19/1988) was found guilty of Armed Habitual Criminal, Unlawful Possession of a Weapon by a Felon and Obstructing Identification after a jury trial in front of the Honorable Judge Randy Wilt.

On April 23rd, 2017, at approximately 10:00pm, Rockford Police Officers were called to the 1100 Block of Irving Avenue in reference to a subject with a gun. Upon arrival, Officers saw a man, later identified as the defendant, Daniel Feliciano, standing outside a residence at 1107 Irving Avenue.

When police approached the residence, Feliciano began to walk away from officers to the south of the residence. A black handgun was located along the path the defendant was walking. Officers made contact with the defendant and he gave police a different name. Officers also located firearm ammunition on Feliciano’s person.

Armed Habitual Criminal is a Class X Felony that is punishable by a sentence of 6-30 years in the Illinois Department of Corrections followed by three years of Mandatory Supervised Release.

Unlawful Possession of a Weapon by a Felon is a Class 2 Felony that is punishable by a sentence of 3-14 years in the Illinois Department of Corrections followed by two years of Mandatory Supervised Release. The defendant is eligible for Class X Felony sentencing of 6-30 years in the Department of Corrections for this offense.

Obstructing Identification is a Class A Misdemeanor that is punishable by up to one year in the Winnebago County Jail or probation.

Feliciano is scheduled to appear in front of the Honorable Judge Wilt at 9:00am on June 28th, 2019 in Courtroom 478.

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Sources said 23 year old Jarrion Moore was arrested for the following: Possession with Intent to Deliver Cocaine 1-15 grams, Delivery of 1-15 grams of Cocaine, and Resisting/Obstructing a Peace Officer.

Local police witnessed him allegedly selling drugs near Auburn and Rockton.

Police confronted him, the suspect threw several bags of crack cocaine on the ground and tried to flee.

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