Brazilian politics has always been a bruising contact sport, but the upcoming October 7th elections are even more of a rollercoaster than usual. The highlights are: Lula remains the electoral favorite, but several subsequent court decisions won't let him run, so his PT (Worker's Party) is running Fernando Haddad as...

At Asymmetrica, we are continuing to monitor both the two bilateral NAFTA negotiations (US-Mexico and US-Canada) and the impact on forex risk. While the Canadian dollar remains calm, our Predata signals are revealing nervousness regarding the Mexican peso. On September 1st, the activity around the underlying digital media that are...

Mexico’s July 1st presidential election took place in a context of high polarization marked by the general rejection of the policies of the traditional parties PRI and PAN. Corruption at all levels of the federal, state and municipal government, together with the high figures of violence (political, by the cartels),...

by Maria Teresa Belandria, Fulbright Research Scholar Visiting Professor at William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies at National Defense University, and Asymmetrica consultant (this is the English version of the previous blog by Ms. Belandria) On Sunday, 27 May 2018 the first round of elections was held in...

The result of Sunday's first round elections in Colombia (which had that country's highest electoral participation in 20 years) are that conservative candidate Iván Duque will face former M-19 guerrillero (and local chavista) Gustavo Petro in June 17th's second round of voting. We predict Iván Duque will win Colombia's presidency. Here are the scenarios....

The chatter in the world of Venezuela watchers this week was about Harvard professor Ricardo Hausmann's proposal for a D-Day Venezuela: he argued the opposition-controlled National Assembly should use its power as the internationally-recognized legitimate government to depose Maduro and request an international military intervention to assist it in restoring...

Today the joint forces of diplomacy, finance and military might closed in on the regime of Venezuela's president Nicolás Maduro, hastening its demise. Here is what happened today: EU issued sanctions on Venezuela. This significantly complicates next week's renegotiations in Caracas of $160 billion of debt. The negotiations were unsavory...