Kingfish note: Keep in mind this is a Brad Chism "poll". Meaning he is probably has an agenda. There are no crosstabs or other information that will allow one to seriously analyze this poll. The undecided number of voters seems somewhat low but then again, most of these guys ran for Mayor in 2014 so they are not exactly unknown to the voters.

the poll really doesn't surprise me and MAY be an accurate reflection of sentiment. I was an early supporter of Yarber in last election---I am terribly disappointed but not surprised at his dismal performance and will NOT support him THIS time. I believe I was interviewed for this poll and could not respond with "none of the above" when asked who I would support in the "upcoming"!!!!!

At this point, I don't care who wins as long as it's not Yarber. Had high hopes for him, but he has been quite the disappointment. Needs to focus on his talents (preaching and skirt-chasing). Thanks for NOTHING TONY T

An easy search of the last decade of JJ will demonstrate that Brad Chism is full of shit. 22/71 split? Chism HAS NO WAY OF KNOWING the 2013 primary ethnicity split. NONE. So the rest of his commentary is pure crap.

To the person who said John Horhn has the most sense, Where did you unearth this information. I will admit, he is very good at shaking down lobbyist, so if that is what you are looking for, go for him.

What kind of a sample size is 528? Does that group of 528 serve as a good rep of Jackson? Or is it just 528 people overrepresented in one particular region? This is an awful study because we don't need the commentary as much as we do background on his assumptions of the numbers and figures he used! What a clown! Sad!

10:22 and 11:19 Remember Chism nailed the McDaniel v. Cochran race in primary and runoff in '14. And the Lumumba/Lee runoff in '13. Somebody find the cross tabs. His memo says there is weighting for demographics. (If) 500+ random sample, then decent margin of error.

How do you know Horhn graduated from Centre. I have caught him in some irregularities in some of his statements, etc. Also, "he spent some time at Duke". This could mean he went to a state of Mississippi paid for weekend seminar. By the way, I visited MIT and Harvard ON THE SAME DAY.

It should be noted that a current 1% STC member's business's partner (padre) is raising money by sending out personal letters asking for support for Horhn while he is slowing down current mayor. Political retribution? Perhaps. A recusal should be in order till after the election for him and others on commission with campaign conflicts. Full and complete disclosure should be required of the members…of any and all campaign support/ties of them and their business partners.

I don't put much credibility in Chism's 'poll', but IMHO his numbers probably approach reality today - and that is based solely on my gut. I have felt all along that AL would lead the first primary with +/- 25%. Thought Graham and Hohrn were running close for second place at mid to high teens. Would have put Crudup a little higher than this poll, and Yarbor last of the top five at 5 or 6%.

Chism's client could have saved a lot of money and just taken my gut feelings and gotten the same info - of course, mine are factored with no undecideds and closer to the May election date.

A poll sample of 500 plus is a decent sized sample; haven't read the details of this package but if it was based on a landline sample I wouldn't give it the time of day. Also if it didn't include a live questioner but used the cheap touchtone process it was a waste of paper to print it out.

End question - who makes second place for the runoff with Lumumba. Whoever that is will be the next Mayor.

4:30 - is that individual that you refer to a business partner of the candidate, Mayor Yarber? He is a member of the commission and two of his staff members are also commissioners. Don't know if that counts as a business partner, but surely their being involved in the mayors race should require that they recuse themselves.

Frankly it is true that your boss, the Mayor, is losing bad in thisn election. But that doesn't mean that a member of the commission should have to recuse themselves from this public service position and especially because a commissioner's business partner being involved in politics certainly would not come close to having any kind of conflict. Seems to me that most anybody that is publicly involved in local politics is a good thing, not something to try to demean. And not supporting the body-painted fundraiser's candidate is a good thing, not bad.

Since when does serving on a nonpaying commission mean that a citizen can't be involved in politics? Not just a citizen's business partner, but the individual himself is totally free. And while I don't think there is any attempt to slow down Yarbor, any effort that keeps him from throwing away our tax dollars to feather his or his supporters nest is a good thing, not a bad one. Except, of course, if 4:30 happens to be one of those who's nest is getting feathered.

I work in all areas of Jackson and talk to many people, I agree with the ranking and most of his conclusions. I would like to see a list of financial backers for all candidates, I do know Ditto & the State Street group are backing Horhn & Antar is backed by the Soros & Obama groups DFA & Action for America. Graham is backed by a lot of the contractors. Please see if there is a full list of contributors and post the information. I know Graham has been involved in questionable bids & contracts his whole time in public life.

So Ditto and State Street are supporting Horhn and he continues to be on the commission? That makes a lot of sense. He has every right to exercise his right to support the candidate of his choice or his dad's & business owner …but he should do so after he recuses himself or resigns from the commission. Otherwise it's a major conflict of interest. Period.

He maybe over. But he is still our mayor and he deserves the right to lead until he is voted out of office. 1% STC members should be impartial withouf alternative agendas for mayoral candidates of their choice. If they do, they should recuse or abstain if they can't be fair and impartial and do what's in the city's best interest regardless of their endorsement/support of their selectedmayoral candidate.

STC members owe their allegiance to Jackson not some damn Mayor. Yarber has had years now to come up with an agreed upon Master Plan and can't get it done. So take the recusal garbage back to your dump.

As a citizen of Jackson I maintain my right to support any candidate or platform of my choice. As a volunteer member of the 1% STC, my job is to do what I think is in the best interest of Jackson. The Commission is not that of this, or any, administration. The City does have three appointees on it, which were named by Yarber. (he named himself, the interim director of Public Works, and one of the city legal staff.) I am sure that those three all support the Mayor's agenda, but the Mayor's agenda is not automatically the position of the Commission.

For whoever the person is (Yarber or someone on his staff) that think there is a conflict because someone supports someone other than Yarber for Mayor while serving on this commission, get over it. Your argument doesn't make any sense, and certainly doesn't have any foundation or support for it in any law or even in good governing policy.

The Commission will still exist at the end of this year - and whether Yarber is or is not Mayor at that time is yet to be determined. I look forward to working with whoever is the Mayor, and the members of the Council, as we hopefully can work together to move Jackson forward, to improve its infrastructure, and to do so in an economical and reasonable manner, without wasting our limited funds on social programs under cover of infrastructure improvements.

As some one who knows Cong. Thmpson very well, let me tell you the congressman is not and will not support John Horhn. The congressman's friendship with Charlie Horhn does not carry over to his son John. Look at John's supporters. You should know Cong. Thompson would never be associated with them.

I tend to agree with the last post about Bennie Thompson not supporting John, it is rumored he is hedging his best between Antar & Graham as he is only interested in who will throw money to his chosen contractors. Remember what President Harry Truman said, the only way a man becomes rich in public office is by being a crook. This undoubtedly applies to Bennie Thompson.

6:36 - You may be right. I'm left wondering, though, if you actually DO KNOW who Thompson associates with. Perhaps a bunch of tax-cheats? The high rollers who made him a millionaire over twenty years ago? Union organizers? Peanut Oil salesmen who can contribute their product to his many fish frys? White-Hate groups? Where's your list since you seem so well informed?

If you listen to John horhn speeches he bring up Bennie Thompson name every single time. The reason he supports John, he can control him, John will do anything for a donation or a financial contribution, and Bennie kno ws how to play.. listen to horhn say it on most all his interviees... He have a personal relationship with congressman Thompson secret going to work together...

Why are we continuing to discuss the brand name stamped on the Titanic's furniture? As we have learned over the past twenty five or so years, it doesn't make a dime's worth of difference who is running the City Employment Office or managing its bucket of parade-beads or distributing the bounty of Jackson's jar of cookies. Nothing will change for the better. It hasn't for decades so why would it now? The only difference, for those in the crowd is...how can I get me some?

Pete Perry: To what are you referring when you made this remark: "...without wasting our limited funds on social programs under cover of infrastructure improvements"? Specifically I'm asking you what 'social programs' are the recipient of funds that might be used for infrastructure.

I'd like to be able to fully understand your posts which is why I ask.

Like him or not, Chism's polls are historically pretty accurate. The real contest here is between Graham and Horne, since one of them will be in the runoff against Antar. Graham can beat Antar but Horne probably can't. For whatever reason, black voters just don't support him outside of his senate district. That means a vote for Horne is basically a vote for Antar. If you don't want Antar, you have to support Graham.

I will not pretend to amswer for Mr. Perry, but will say that my interpretation is not that "social programs" will be recipients, but that the idea of spending the money on a "pet" project, that is not necessary and benefits , and in spite of the conditions of the many streets and water/sewer lines, is a program of social engineering.

Fix what's currently broken before spending the money in far away corners of the city dreams that benefit the Madison county

3:54 p.m. I will be more than happy to list you several concepts that I am referring to if you will come out from under your Anonymous post. You can do that either by a direct comment here, or by a personal message to me. But I do not intend to get into a commentary on the subject here with a troll for the administration which there are obviously a few posting their comments in this thread.

Make you this deal - let me know who I am dealing with and I will be glad top provide a minimum of six specific areas that I am including in my comments. And while I do agree with 8:24 a.m.'s comments above about 'pet projects' that is not what I had in mind.

Who is the Hottest Reporter in Jackson?

Trollfest '09

Trollfest '07 was such a success that Jackson Jambalaya will once again host Trollfest '09. Catch this great event which will leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Othor Cain and his band, The Black Power Structure headline the night while Sonjay Poontang returns for an encore performance. Former Frank Melton bodyguard Marcus Wright makes his premier appearance at Trollfest singing "I'm a Sweet Transvestite" from "The Rocky Horror Picture Show." Kamikaze will sing his new hit, “How I sold out to da Man.” Robbie Bell again performs: “Mamas, don't let your babies grow up to be Bells” and “Any friend of Ed Peters is a friend of mine”. After the show, Ms. Bell will autograph copies of her mug shot photos. In a salute to “Dancing with the Stars”, Ms. Bell and Hinds County District Attorney Robert Smith will dance the Wango Tango.

Wrestling returns, except this time it will be a Battle Royal with Othor Cain, Ben Allen, Kim Wade, Haley Fisackerly, Alan Lange, and “Big Cat” Donna Ladd all in the ring at the same time. The Battle Royal will be in a steel cage, no time limit, no referee, and the losers must leave town. Marshand Crisler will be the honorary referee (as it gives him a title without actually having to do anything). Meet KIM Waaaaaade at the Entergy Tent. For five pesos, Kim will sell you a chance to win a deed to a crack house on Ridgeway Street stuffed in the Howard Industries pinata. Don't worry if the pinata is beaten to shreds, as Mr. Wade has Jose, Emmanuel, and Carlos, all illegal immigrants, available as replacements for the it. Upon leaving the Entergy tent, fig leaves will be available in case Entergy literally takes everything you have as part of its Trollfest ticket price adjustment charge.

Donna Ladd of The Jackson Free Press will give several classes on learning how to write. Smearing, writing without factchecking, and reporting only one side of a story will be covered. A donation to pay their taxes will be accepted and she will be signing copies of their former federal tax liens. Ms. Ladd will give a dramatic reading of her two award-winning essays (They received The Jackson Free Press "Best Of" awards.) "Why everything is always about me" and "Why I cover murders better than anyone else in Jackson".

In the spirit of helping those who are less fortunate, Trollfest '09 adopts a cause for which a portion of the proceeds and donations will be donated: Keeping Frank Melton in his home. The “Keep Frank Melton From Being Homeless” booth will sell chances for five dollars to pin the tail on the jackass. John Reeves has graciously volunteered to be the jackass for this honorable excursion into saving Frank's ass. What's an ass between two friends after all? If Mr. Reeves is unable to um, perform, Speaker Billy McCoy has also volunteered as when the word “jackass” was mentioned he immediately ran as fast as he could to sign up. In order to help clean up the legal profession, Adam Kilgore of the Mississippi Bar will be giving away free, round-trip plane tickets to the North Pole where they keep their bar complaint forms (which are NOT available online). If you don't want to go to the North Pole, you can enjoy Brant Brantley's (of the Mississippi Commission on Judicial Performance) free guided tours of the quicksand field over by High Street where all complaints against judges disappear. If for some reason you are unable to control yourself, never fear; Judge Houston Patton will operate his jail where no lawyers are needed or allowed as you just sit there for minutes... hours.... months...years until he decides he is tired of you sitting in his jail. Do not think Judge Patton is a bad judge however as he plans to serve free Mad Dog 20/20 to all inmates.

Trollfest '09 is a pet-friendly event as well. Feel free to bring your dog with you and do not worry if your pet gets hungry, as employees of the Jackson Zoo will be on hand to provide some of their animals as food when it gets to be feeding time for your little loved one.

Relax at the Fox News Tent. Since there are only three blonde reporters in Jackson (being blonde is a requirement for working at Fox News), Megan and Kathryn from WAPT and Wendy from WLBT will be on loan to Fox. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both and a torn-up Obama yard sign will entitle you to free drinks served by Megan, Wendy, and Kathryn. Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required. Just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '09 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.Note: Security provided by INS.

Trollfest '07

Jackson Jambalaya is the home of Trollfest '07. Catch this great event which promises to leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Sonjay Poontang and his band headline the night with a special steel cage, no time limit "loser must leave town" bout between Alan Lange and "Big Cat"Donna Ladd following afterwards. Kamikaze will perform his new song F*** Bush, he's still a _____. Did I mention there was no referee? Dr. Heddy Matthias and Lori Gregory will face off in the undercard dueling with dangling participles and other um, devices. Robbie Bell will perform Her two latest songs: My Best Friends are in the Media and Mama's, Don't Let Your Babies Grow up to be George Bell. Sid Salter of The Clarion-Ledger will host "Pin the Tail on the Trial Lawyer", sponsored by State Farm.

There will be a hugging booth where in exchange for your young son, Frank Melton will give you a loooong hug. Trollfest will have a dunking booth where Muhammed the terrorist will curse you to Allah as you try to hit a target that will drop him into a vat of pig grease. However, in the true spirit of Separate But Equal, Don Imus and someone from NE Jackson will also sit in the dunking booth for an equal amount of time. Tom Head will give a reading for two hours on why he can't figure out who the hell he is. Cliff Cargill will give lessons with his .80 caliber desert eagle, using Frank Melton photos as targets. Tackleberry will be on hand for an autograph session. KIM Waaaaaade will be passing out free titles and deeds to crackhouses formerly owned by The Wood Street Players.

If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!