Here essentially are my thoughts. Tried to jam-pack the situation as clearly as possible. Either way, heaviest snows likely N&W of I-95 (again). Could be some good front-end snow though, unlike previous times.

This actually looks exciting...(tells ya what kind of winter NYC has thus far)
Seeing some really juicy CAPE values, and models only intensify the line en-route to NYC/Jersey Shore/Long Island. Will that happen verbatim? I don't know. But a quick C-2" with some blinding snow can't be ruled out!

Here's my second call...
https://twitter.com/AWxNYC/status/1089990370153455616
I'm honestly a bit concerned no secondary reinforcement and such cold air will dry up totals, so the max may not be 4-6 (iso 8) but like a 3-5. NYC again may get screwed (i.e. me).

What does the GFS stand for again?!
BTW, if looking at the NAM 3km...wet bulb temps remain 32/33 around NYC. 850-tongue not-as-pronounced (about 2-4 C around NYC). Some positive signs mixed in with the negative signs (already discussed before) so far today.

Overall nice shifts in the 0z data thus far...now let's keep it going the same direction!
I'll probably tweak these numbers tomorrow...but I like where they are at right now.
And as for snowfall, I like this as a first-call. Would move the sleet/frz potential a bit further NE to encompass most of CT, and leave behind only the Lehigh Valley and in-between 287/84.
Let's see what happens with the Euro and beyond!