Currently the probability of at least one major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coast is 42%, compared to the usual 52% average. But there is also a 24% chance of a major hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast.

While it is an early forecast, the CSU report has an accurate track record – 80%, correctly calling 28 of 35 anticipated above and below-average seasons.

AccuWeather also made its early predictions, anticipating 10 named storms, five hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

Whoever proves correct, it only takes one hurricane to have a major impact.