According to a new poll from the University of California at Berkeley and YouGov (5/12-24; 1,113 CA adult citizens), with a sample that skews decidedly to the left, Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) is again projected to easily secure first place for Tuesday’s jungle primary. Now, however, a Republican candidate appears favored to secure second place, which pleases the state GOP leadership and would give Mr. Newsom an easy general election run.

Mr. Newsom claims 30% support from the polling respondents. Businessman John Cox, a former presidential and Illinois US Senate candidate, is second with 14%, followed closely by Republican state Assemblyman Travis Allen, at 12%. State Treasurer John Chiang (D) has 9%, and former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (D), often believed to be the toughest general election opponent for Newsom, places fifth with only 8% support.