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We are heading towards the highs, so whilst my bias is long, I'm looking for 2022 & the old high as potential failure points.

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As per yesterdays prep, the weekly profile is still showing a nice trend with the volume areas holding. So today looking at 2105 to hold on a pullback. If not & we work our way thru the top node down thru 2100, I'd expect us to start working our way down towards 2080.

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Yesterday we had eyes on 2095 and that held in the day session. Today that area is still of interest but I think the 2105 is more interesting.

So a fairly simple day - hoping for a downside test for people to join to the upside.

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Heading back to the highs, so all eyes on 2126.25. If we can break through and then roll over, I think we'll have a high participation downside move. As with all highs, there may be buyers above it. It does seem unlikely at this point in time but we do need to consider he scenario where we pop through and then we get a good run upside.

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We can see that last week the pattern was "move - consolidate - move - consolidate - move". The highest consolidation area is 2110-2114. So below I'll be thinking longs are in trouble.

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Also watching the day session low of 2115 as potential support today, although pullbacks have been few and far between in the past few days.

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Volume is good for the time of year, so let's hope that continues. We have come up as far as out 2102.50 level. it did look like we are on the way for a test of the highs but we've stalled here. We'll need to shake out of this small range or we'll be in danger of spending the whole week in it.

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The range is evident here - from 2084.75 up to about 2103.75. Trading within that range will be tricky unless we have a good developing intraday level to lean on. I'll be looking to fade the extremes of this range and only expecting decent participation when it breaks.

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Not much commitment either way on the split profiles, so again, expect indecision in this range.

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Volume is still decent. I still have a short bias, looking for a test of 56.75.

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As per yesterday, the 2081 level was potentially a level of support because of the lower distribution of trading from last week being below that point. We got as far as 2081.50 yesterday.

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So on a longer term basis, I think we need to test a low to see where the buyers are (and hoping the range isn't contracting), I think we now have to consider the possibility of Mondays day session range as potentially trapping us for the rest of the week. If we do start making a move up, we could well stall at 2099. The reasoning is simply that it is summer time and if we start to show a lack of directional conviction, traders may be a little more inclined to write it off as summer time action.

So an eye on a drop off of volume, especially if 2080-2081 holds. If it breaks, then we should get some more commitment.

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Today it's looking more indecisive. We had a spike up but couldn't stay above 02.50 level. Volume still decent though, so it doesn't appear to be putting anyone off trading...

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We are rotating around the upper distribution from last week. We still have 81 as potential support. We could in theory fade anything above/below the weeks developing value area.

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We had a late pullback at 98.75 yesterday. That's worth watching into the open as is yesterdays day session low. Both seem to have contained most of the overnight trading so far.

So an early trade would be a hold of 98.75 (short) or 90.75 (long). Otherwise, I'll be looking for the fades below 86.50 and above 98 - the developing weekly value area. If we have a decent break out of there, then I expect a bit more commitment but I am really not in a hurry to trade this today as there's no good reason for a directional bias either way.

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I'm still looking for a bit more of a push down to 56.75 otherwise it would indicate a narrowing range. I'd actually like to see it move much further down as I believe people will jump on and help perpetuate any move.

So today, I'm looking for more signs of weakness, if possible after a test of an upside level from yesterday. That's my 'favorite' scenario but obviously not the only potential scenario.

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We can see that yesterday we finally got through the 81 level but the overall profile for the week looks fairly easily distributed. I want to see us stay below the upper distribution from last week around 84.75 and for it to work it's way through the lower distribution towards 60. It's NFP today so that may help or hinder us there.

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On the daily profile, we can see that we had a swift move down as per yesterday (

) and we broke 81 and had pretty much a straight run to 70. So if we can break 70 today, I'd expect another decent run down. We did pull back to 80.75 last night and so far have not broken 84.75 in the overnight session.

So barring any big surprise in NFP, I'm hoping for a push down for most participation. On the upside, I think we'll probably slow down as we get through 84.75, so if it looks bullish, it pays to try to get in early to avoid entering too close to potential chop.