Thank you for stopping by the Weather Watch 12 blog! One of the coldest February's ever is now history in Milwaukee. As we turn the page to March, the look and feel of winter is hanging on. In today's blog we recap February and look ahead to a wintry mix that enters the forecast early this week.

Let's start with the bitter cold from February. February 2015 was the coldest February since 1936 and ranks as the 6th coldest on record in Milwaukee! This February was colder than February 2014, and just 0.2° away from January 2014's average monthly temperature! Incredible!

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February 2015 had 19.6" of snow in Milwaukee...or double the monthly average.

March 1 starts Meteorological spring...but you won't really notice. The same look and feel of winter hangs on. In fact, early this week a winter storm will move across Wisconsin. As with any storm, the track is key to the amount and type of precipitation that falls.

This system looks to move a little farther north and bring slightly milder temperatures in the 30s to southeast Wisconsin. That brings the possibility of a wintry mix or rain to the area.

Let's take a look at Futurecast for Tuesday. Precipitation may impact the morning commute on Tuesday. Most areas will see the precipitation start as snow, then areas from Madison to Milwaukee will see a transition to a wintry mix(snow, sleet, freezing rain, rain).

As milder air works into the storm a change to rain is possible in far southeast Wisconsin. Futurecast below shows rain(green color) by late Tuesday morning near Milwaukee and over Kenosha and Lake Geneva. This one model run keeps northern locations like Waupun and Sheboygan as snow.

Since we are still 36+ hours away from the start of the precipitation the exact track will continue to waver. A shift north will push more mix/rain across our area, while a shift south would mean more snow and colder temperatures.

As of this writing here is a breakdown of what you can expect on Tuesday.

Snow totals are very tough to forecast in a scenario like this, but if the forecast plays out close to the maps above -- areas near the WI-IL border would likely see less than 1" snow, while northern locations would see 2"+. This system looks like it will favor central or northern Wisconsin with the heavier snow totals.