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As long as GSP is holding it, then it will be hard because of his already mentioned wrestling hole. He really needs to do something about that, if he wants a real chance (if he could have improved his wrestling/wrestling-defense by a 20% or so, he would be having a rematch with GSP this summer/fall ... improve by 50% and he'd have a solid chance against GSP.)

Other than that, if someone with weaker wrestling happens to take over the championship, then I don't see why Carlos couldn't have as good a chance as anyone else.