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Wednesday, 11 October 2017

8:25 Kempton Racing Tips (11th October)

KEMPTON 7.55
This class 3 conditions race only has 8 runners but its very hard to know what to expect, the top 4 are all dropped in class to run here but 3 of them look as though a longer trip would suit them better and I haven't got a speed rating for any of the 4 and looking at the tissue prices they will be the 1st 4 in the betting with Dougan is my top rated 5th on the tissue prices, maybe the race is best left alone.
KEMPTON 8.25
RUN WITH PRIDE is 0-11 on the all-weather tracks and is only 1-22 with all its runs including a slow time on this surface and distance at Chelmsford.
BILLYOAKES hasn't any course form and its best from Chelmsford would still leave it a few pounds off top spot so it could possibly make the frame but I'm not sure if it can win here.FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN comes out as my top rated and they have booked a good 5lb claiming apprentice to aid their chances and from stall 4 it ought to get a good early position from which to attack late on.
NOBLE DEED comes out 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on dourly at the finish so ought to make the frame.
KYLLUKEY is a front-running sort and has got stall 3 but its times put it a few pounds away from the top rated so I doubt this will be its day but never say never.
EVENING STARLIGHT is versatile with its tactics and will need some luck from a stall 12 draw.
EXQUISITE RUBY is a 3year old who could be a possible danger from stall 1 as it likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish.
ATLANTA BELLE another 3year old and this one is my 3rd top rated it usually likes to race prominently but stall 11 isn't ideal.
LUCKY CLOVER a versatile sort where tactics are concerned and I will expect it to try and be prominent early from stall 2, it's my 4th top rated so could sneak a place.
FIKHAAR is a possible front-running 3-year-old but has no form here and it needs to improve on its Chelmsford time to win this race.
FRANK COOL can race prominently or be held up and it's just outside my top 4 and stall 9 isn't going to help its chances.
MAGS WELL another 3year old who hasn't made the frame in any of its previous 8 races but would need to improve vastly to win here.
SUMMARY: I quite expect Lucky Clover stall2 and Kyllukey stall3 to vie for the lead which will hopefully allow the selection FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN 7/1 get a good early position just behind the leaders either on the rail or 1 off from the rail and then stay on the stronger at the finish.Fairway To Heaven 7/1 3rd