From the beginning of June until the end of the season, Hosmer was exceptional, posting a line of .318/.367/.494 (.862 OPS) over 482 PAs. He had 16 HRs, 26 doubles, 68 runs scored, 63 RBIs, and 8 SBs during that span.

Extrapolate those numbers to a 162-game average and you're looking at 24 HRs, 39 doubles, 94 RBIs, 102 runs scored, and 12 SBs. He just turned 24 today.

Personally, in a 5x5 league, I'd rank him #6 (behind Goldy, Encarnacion, Davis, Freeman and Votto). I'd have him ahead of Prince right now, because I think he can hit for a higher average, and get into double digits in SBs again. I don't think there will be that much of a difference between their power numbers.

Long way from making up a draft list, but tentatively I'd say I'd have him about 28 overall in an AL-league. I definitely would not put him ahead of Fielder. No matter a youngster's upside, and this one has been considerably hyped, I don't think taking a portion of ABs and then calculating over a full season is a good practice.

Long way from making up a draft list, but tentatively I'd say I'd have him about 28 overall in an AL-league. I definitely would not put him ahead of Fielder. No matter a youngster's upside, and this one has been considerably hyped, I don't think taking a portion of ABs and then calculating over a full season is a good practice.

Maybe I'm drunk and adding up wrong, but I don't think so: Hosmer had 479 PAs since June 1st. Yeah, still not a small sample size, but neither are the 195 PAs before then. Anyway you slice it, it's about 30% of a year's PAs you want to ignore. Why cut Hosmer the slack? I"ll gladly take him ahead of Fielder in 2015, after he shows consistent superiority over Fielder in a full 162-game, 600 PA + season in 2014.

Even if Hosmer reached his full potential, I don't think he can put up these type of #'s. Getting to the 200 mark in ribbies and runs would require help from his teammates, and KC's lineup is not strong.

Long way from making up a draft list, but tentatively I'd say I'd have him about 28 overall in an AL-league. I definitely would not put him ahead of Fielder. No matter a youngster's upside, and this one has been considerably hyped, I don't think taking a portion of ABs and then calculating over a full season is a good practice.

482 PAs is not exactly a small portion to extrapolate from...

Maybe I'm drunk and adding up wrong, but I don't think so: Hosmer had 479 PAs since June 1st. Yeah, still not a small sample size, but neither are the 195 PAs before then. Anyway you slice it, it's about 30% of a year's PAs you want to ignore. Why cut Hosmer the slack? I"ll gladly take him ahead of Fielder in 2015, after he shows consistent superiority over Fielder in a full 162-game, 600 PA + season in 2014.

I realized after I posted that you were probably counting sac flies and HBPs, making it 482 since June for Hosmer and 197 before. Sorry to get so nitpicky. When I first added it up, I mistakenly thought there was a bigger difference.

Interesting discussion here. He's had a couple of good 1/2 seasons and a couple really bad ones. He did show consistency this year from June on, and hit .299 at Kauffman with 10 HR's, so his home park didn't really penalize him. I'd like to see how his hr/fb rate compared to previous years since it can have some predictive value for increased power. I'd say at his age with almost 3 full seasons under his belt it's reasonable to expect some more improvement in the power department, so a .300 BA with 25 HR's seems pretty fair for a very early projection. The steals to me are just gravy.

"A Humble Man of Grace and Dignity. A Captain Who Led by Example. Proud of the Pinstripes Tradition and Dedicated to the Pursuit of Excellence. A Yankee Forever." Don Mattingly's plaque in Monument Park

Even if Hosmer reached his full potential, I don't think he can put up these type of #'s. Getting to the 200 mark in ribbies and runs would require help from his teammates, and KC's lineup is not strong.

I don't think anyone said Hosmer would put up Fielder numbers, rather that Fielder is on the decline.

Even if Hosmer reached his full potential, I don't think he can put up these type of #'s. Getting to the 200 mark in ribbies and runs would require help from his teammates, and KC's lineup is not strong.

I don't think anyone said Hosmer would put up Fielder numbers, rather that Fielder is on the decline.

Fielder turns 30 in May. Far too young to be talking about a decline. Think he could still have 1 or two more "monster" years in him. Even "extrapolating" the best for Hosmer, he would only be slightly better (in steals and maybe average; homers and ribbies would be about the same) than the "down" Fielder of 2012-13.

Right now I have Fielder at 13th in my AL-only; Hosmer would be at about 25, 26.

April & May he had HR/FB% of 0% and 5.6% respectively. Both were unsustainable for a player of his caliber (career 12.6% so it was bound to go up). After that it ranged from 9.1%-27.3% in each in the last 4 months. The average 1B has a HR/FB% of 14.1%.

I would safely bank him for 20 HR and 90 RBI and a .290 BA, with room for more (very talented).

April & May he had HR/FB% of 0% and 5.6% respectively. Both were unsustainable for a player of his caliber (career 12.6% so it was bound to go up). After that it ranged from 9.1%-27.3% in each in the last 4 months. The average 1B has a HR/FB% of 14.1%.

I would safely bank him for 20 HR and 90 RBI and a .290 BA, with room for more (very talented).

"A Humble Man of Grace and Dignity. A Captain Who Led by Example. Proud of the Pinstripes Tradition and Dedicated to the Pursuit of Excellence. A Yankee Forever." Don Mattingly's plaque in Monument Park