Seahawks QB Russell Wilson to be limited as a passer?

ESPN's John Clayton knows a lot about the NFL. As far as teams go, he probably knows the most about the franchise closest to his home base, the Seahawks. In his recent mailbag column, he was asked which super sophomore quarterback -- Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Russell Wilson -- will have the most statistical success in 2013. He said Luck. Clayton didn't tab Wilson because he thinks Wilson "isn't going to throw more than 26 to 28 passes a game." So, what does that mean for fantasy purposes?

Fantasy Analysis:

Most QBs in the NFL are attempting 30 or more passes per game. Last year, Wilson threw 393 passes, which averages out to about 24.5 per game. So, 26 to 28 would be an improvement. By comparison, Robert Griffin III averaged 26.2 passes in 15 games as a rookie, and he was a top-six fantasy quarterback despite missing a game. Sure, RG3 is a better runner than Wilson, but Wilson is very mobile, and with the help of natural experience and Percy Harvin, he is going to do just fine as a passer, even if he tops out at just 3,500 yards. Low number of attempts be damned; I'm expecting 30 total touchdowns and at least 500 rushing yards out of Wilson this season. He has definite top-five upside.

I think Luck takes a slight step back or stays the same in year 2... I think he showed last year he could live up to the expectations, but had to put the team on his shoulders to do so. I think this year he works on being more of a team leader and pushing others to help out (and have a more balanced team) rather than try and shoulder it all on himself.

Which do you think is the safest bet for this year amongst the young dual-threats - Wilson, Kaepernick or RG III? I'm all for letting the traditional Top 4-5 slide by this year and try and nab 2 of the higher upside guys, more potential stars this year than I've seen before.

Posted by:
SKGamer 06/27/13 02:04 AM

YO SK ! Wilson is DEF the safest pic- + harvin + sea def---maybe luck + bradshaw -upgraded def--- all potentially means more off opportunities----- Wat i want to address is your idea about taking TWO of the these guys ---- VERY NICE --- outside the box--- BUT you may have to give up TOO much with said strategy --- the QB pos is SOOOO deep this year---- it all really depends on your league ( # of teams--roster size--settings--etc) - draft strategy ----your roster when you QB-QB pics ---- Like most analysts i believe in the top tier of 12 --- MAYBE take TWO of them--- especially in a 10 team 15 roster where stafford romo luck are falling to rd 6 -7-8 --- even with that scenario you still got guys like bradford cutler freeman on WAIVER WIRE !! drafting is all about bang for your buck -- these guys here are GOOD at wat they do and will FLAT OUT give you their insight (see article above)--- MY bang for your buck qbs ( outside top 12 ) are dalton bradford freeman