2016 Presidential Election Live Results

As each state is called, it will be colored on the map. Click it for an interactive version.

This page will automatically reload every five minutes. As each state is called, the result will also appear in the table, along with an updated probability of victory for each candidate based on 25,000 simulations on the remaining undecided states. Methodology

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Methodology

The underlying probabilities (for uncalled states) are based primarily on the final polling averages in each state. We take those averages and turn them into a probability that a candidate will win the state and its electoral votes. From there it is a mathematical calculation, one that is highly dependent on the accuracy of the state-level polling. Barring any surprises in the ‘safe’ states, the statistics (other than Total Electoral Votes') will not vary all that much until one or more battleground states is called.

^Any states won by a 3rd party will show as 0 electoral votes in the table.

+If a third party wins one or more states, this will include the probability of non-tie scenarios where none of the three electoral vote winners reaches 270. Whether tied or not, if nobody reaches 270, the House of Representatives will select the next President.

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