Most Previous Obama Voters likely to Vote for Him in 2012

UTICA, NY – A poll of voters who chose Barack Obama in 2008 finds 17% are unlikely to vote for him in 2012 and 48% are less enthusiastic about his candidacy than they were in 2008.

Most (57%) say fear of a Republican in the White House would be a greater motivator to vote for Obama again than the president’s job performance.

The IBOPE Zogby Interactive poll of 1,085 likely voters who said they voted for Obama in 2008 was conducted from April 13-15.

How likely are you to again vote for Barack Obama in 2012?

Response

Total

Very + somewhat likely

65% + 14% = 79%

Not very + not likely at all

4% + 13% = 17%

Not sure

4%

How would you compare your enthusiasm about Barack Obama’s candidacy in 2012 with your enthusiasm for him in 2008?

Response

Total

More enthusiastic

13%

No change

38%

Less enthusiastic

48%

Not sure

1%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Which of these factors would be the most important motivation for you to vote for Barack Obama in 2012?

Response

Total

Happiness with the job he has done as President

28%

Fear about the policies and actions that might take place if a Republican were elected

57%

Neither

13%

Not sure

2%

The interactive poll of 1,085 likely voters has a margin of error of +/-3.0%. A sampling of IBOPE Zogby International’s online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender and education to more accurately reflect the population.