... the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
(CMIP3) multi-model datasets. The datasets are based on the climate scenarios
produced for the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) (IPCC 2007).
We used the outputs from ...

... The first examines feed backs between the cryosphere and surface temperature, hydrology and overlying atmospheric circulation. These feedbacks
are seen clearly in model simulations of the future climate, but they are also
found on daily to seasonal timescales in the present climate. I will show resu ...

... Putting it All Together
Climate models often
test their skill by hind
casting observed
climate from 1860 to
the present.
As the model
sophistication
increases to include
greenhouse gasses,
aerosols, and changes
in solar radiation the
model has improved
prediction.
...

... The most recent set of global climate model projections have been submitted to, and are being analyzed by, the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for the publication of their Fourth Assessment Report in
2007. PICES Working Group 20 was created to perform an evaluation of these projecti ...

... model projections that have
shown that the earth will warm
as much as 11 degrees Fahrenheit
over the next century.
One should be careful when
looking at model projections. After
all, these models are crude representations of the real atmosphere
and are lacking many fundamental processes and interact ...

... potential distribution in 2080 under different future climate and sea-level rise (0, 1, 3, and 6
m) scenarios.
The model exhibited excellent predictive performance with an Area Under the Operating
Curve value of 0.917 ± 0.03. An analysis estimating the relative contributions of each
predictor to the ...