Saturday, December 4, 2010

Hawaii vs UNLV, 34, 65.5

Late Saturday night, the Runnin’ Rebels travel to Hawaii to face the 25th ranked team in the nation. UNLV is 2-10 on the season, while Hawaii is 9-3, but the key statistic to know, is that Hawaii is 10-2 ATS this season, which is by far the best ATS record in the nation. Hawaii has covered their last 6 spreads and 3 of those 6 spreads were 28 points or higher, while on the other side of the ball, UNLV is 0-6 on the road this season and has lost their last 5 games against the spread [and they were underdogs in those games by 24, 19 and 27 points]. When these two teams face off late Saturday night, only one team will be on top of their game.

UNLV is absolutely decimated for this match up with 9 players listed as doubtful and with the Runnin’ Rebels not even playing their upper classman in this game because of the head coach not happy with their performance and wanting to go with youthful talent. UNLV defeated Hawaii last year in Las Vegas by a point, and my analysis shows that Hawaii will be a extremely motivated team at home on this given night. Hawaii will be saying goodbye to 30 seniors in this game and will put a beating on a UNLV team that will already be on vacation by the time this game kicks off. Hawaii has scored 20 more points and given up 16 fewer points per game than UNLV and all of these different numbers will show its head very early in this game. UNLV is 3-13 ATS against the WAC in their last 16 games, while Hawaii 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take a play on the Rainbow Warriors here to lay a thrashing on the Runnin’ Rebels.