FANTASY FOOTBALL ARTICLES

State of the Team by Fantasy Position - AFC South David Dorey
July 23, 2008

This series of analysis on the 32 NFL teams takes a look at where teams have been over the last three years for each position - where they have ranked in the most notable categories and the hard statistics produced. This is to give a view of each team heading into training camp and what they most likely need to improve on this season and where their strengths lie that likely won't need any changes. Ending each team review is a brief summation of what to watch in training camp in August to uncover those developing situations that you can take advantage. Combining where teams have come from and what they have done in free agency and the NFL draft gives you the very same thing that NFL coaches are looking at as they attempt to improve their team for 2007.

Quarterback - The passing game in Houston came together for franchise marks but it happened with a split between Matt Schaub and Sage Rosenfels. Both quarterbacks meshed with the new offense and this year new OC Kyle Shanahan will be running the same scheme anyway. What has to happen is Schaub has to remain healthy this season and not give Rosenfels any more chances to play. The coaching staff have no qualms about turning to Rosenfels after he won four of his five starts last year. Schaub was plenty effective when healthy in 2007, he just has to string together 16 games without heading to the sideline. This area is a team strength.

RB

Carries

Rush YD

YPC

Rush TD

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

Rcv TD

Rank YD

Rank TY

Rank TD

2005

366

1485

4.1

8

91

72

79%

607

5

18

21

23

2006

362

1439

4

11

114

91

80%

574

1

26

21

15

2007

372

1493

4.0

10

105

81

77%

486

2

23

26

18

Running Backs - No matter how you spin it, this is not a team strength. The Texans opted to get a veteran running back last year and paid the big bucks for a 30-year old Ahman Green. He last for only six games before being injured as he has done every season for years. Green returns as a healthy 31-year old running back who will try to prove that he did not hit the wall on durability long before the Texans picked him up. To hedge their bets, the Texans got another veteran running back in Chris Brown who may have an even lengthier injury history than Green has (and in half the time no less). Chris Taylor missed most of last year with a knee injury and will be in the mix. They also drafted the small and fast Steve Slaton who will mix in as a third time back and a receiver out of the backfield. He has speed that no other back has.

As with any Kubiak backfield, training camp will largely exist to get you to believe the wrong thing about the running backs. Green won't be pushed because he is too brittle and Brown may not get a ton of playing time as well. It could end up to appear that Slaton is the main contributor in preseason games but that won't happen in the regular season unless or until the other backs are injured. Like last year.

WR

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

YPR

Rcv TD

Ranks YD

Rank TD

2005

298

170

57%

1838

10.8

10

27

23

2006

273

182

67%

1918

10.5

6

20

31

2007

297

186

63%

2529

13.6

16

11

13

Wide Receivers - The wide receivers really stepped up last year and that was with Andre Johnson missing half the season. Kevin Walter returns as the #2 and his 800 yards on 65 catches with four scores were solid. The biggest find from last year was Andre Davis who had 583 yards and three scores largely replacing Johnson but still had some nice catches from the slot later in the year. The trio are as strong a group as the Texans have ever had and if Johnson can remain healthy - and there is no reason to expect otherwise - then this group is not only strong but plays well with or without Matt Schaub or Johnson. Training camp can help Jacoby Jones get more chances to show the coaches that he is worthy of playing time but he'll be hard pressed to get ahead of the three starters. The change to Schaub (and Rosenfels) had a dramatic effect on this group. Then again, maybe all that was needed was the absence of David Carr.

TE

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

YPR

Rcv TD

Ranks YD

Rank TD

2005

43

28

65%

216

7.7

0

29

30

2006

88

56

64%

537

9.6

7

18

9

2007

111

73

66%

862

11.8

6

9

13

Tight Ends - Like the wideouts, the switch away from Carr left the tight ends with franchise best numbers in yardage. Owen Daniels had virtually all his best games with Schaub last year but they also happened while Andre Johnson was out. No changes here and reasons to believe that Daniels has already hit his ceiling barring injuries to the wideouts.

Training Camp Fantasy Angle -Really the only notable change that can come out of training camp is a better picture of how the running backs will be used. Sadly, about the only real clarity is if a few of them are injured and force the Texans to only rely on one or two guys. Expect to see Chris Brown some in preseason games but mostly Slaton and Taylor will get the dangerous work. Ahman Green would do well to remain healthy by watching practice from a second-story window.

Indianapolis Colts

QB

Carries

Rush YD

Rush TD

Pass

Comp

Comp %

Pass YD

YPP

Pass TD

Int

Rank YD

Rank TD

2005

45

46

0

515

348

68%

4191

12

31

11

4

2

2006

23

36

4

557

362

65%

4397

12.1

31

9

2

1

2007

26

-9

3

551

355

64%

4172

11.8

32

14

8

5

Quarterback - The interesting fact about Peyton Manning this season is that he had almost the exact same season as he did in 2006 but instead of ranking #2 in yards and #1 in touchdowns, he was only 8th and 5th respectively. No change in Manning, just magic good years by several other quarterbacks. Manning remains the premier quarterback in the league.

RB

Carries

Rush YD

YPC

Rush TD

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

Rcv TD

Rank YD

Rank TY

Rank TD

2005

420

1657

3.9

18

72

61

85%

463

1

15

17

5

2006

416

1726

4.1

13

97

76

78%

576

1

13

16

14

2007

447

1746

3.9

17

94

62

66%

500

5

9

14

2

Running Backs - Joseph Addai turned into a scoring machine last year. But while Dominic Rhodes was gone in 2007, Addai still shared the ball and Kenton Keith ended up with 121 carries for 533 yards and three scores. That wasn't nearly as obtrusive as Rhodes who carried 233 times for 641 yards and five scores during Addai's rookie season. But now both Rhodes and Keith are on the team. Training camp should help determine the pecking order behind Addai and Keith may be released after falling from grace thanks to an arrest record. The Colts also drafted Mike Hart who could do himself some favors in preseason games with a nice showing. Otherwise it will all but certainly be Rhodes job again this year though with less work than in 2006.

WR

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

YPR

Rcv TD

Ranks YD

Rank TD

2005

352

227

64%

2971

13.1

21

4

2

2006

325

200

62%

2873

14.4

23

6

2

2007

299

188

63%

2564

13.6

15

9

14

Wide Receivers - The loss of Marvin Harrison didn't really have a major effect overall on this unit other than the touchdowns scored dropped dramatically in a season where most teams had much bigger production. Reggie Wayne stepped up in a big way and set personal bests in receptions (104) and yardage (1510). Anthony Gonzalez managed 576 yards on 37 catches with three scores while missing three full games as well. Harrison has been cleared to return to practice and is expected to be in training camp but after undergoing offseason knee-surgery and only playing in three healthy games last year, expect the Colts to take it easy with Harrison. It would be great to see him healthy and making plays in preseason games, but that is unlikely to happen. Gonzalez will move back to the slot for now at least.

TE

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

YPR

Rcv TD

Ranks YD

Rank TD

2005

93

60

65%

757

12.6

9

11

2

2006

133

85

64%

946

11.1

6

6

12

2007

164

107

65%

1123

10.5

12

4

1

Tight Ends - Dallas Clark led all NFL tight ends last year when he scored 11 touchdowns. It was a career year for him with 58 catches for 616 yards but the oddity was that he had seven games with less than 25 yards. He either had a great game or a very low point game. Clark remains a big part of the offense but the return of Harrison - potentially anyway - and even Rhodes could work against Clark repeating 2007.

Training Camp Fantasy Angle -There isn't a lot that is going to come out of training camp that would change fantasy wisdom about players other than the health of Harrison (as best that can be determined) and if Keith gets released or otherwise clears the path for Rhodes to be the primary back-up. Pretty standard camp for the Colts other than the Harrison watch.

Jacksonville Jaguars

QB

Carries

Rush YD

Rush TD

Pass

Comp

Comp %

Pass YD

YPP

Pass TD

Int

Rank YD

Rank TD

2005

65

240

5

484

281

58%

3340

11.9

21

6

21

15

2006

74

317

4

447

267

60%

3059

11.5

17

14

24

24

2007

68

242

1

469

288

61%

3495

12.1

28

8

20

10

Quarterback - David Garrard gets to knowingly go through his first training camp as the starter and while the decision to dump Leftwich may have seemed hasty last year, it certainly looks like the right decision was made. Completions, pass yards and touchdowns all were up. Garrard needs to work with new receivers Jerry Porter and Troy Williamson but Porter will miss camp with a partially torn hamstring and there is no guarantee that Williamson has learned to catch yet. Garrard has a chance for an even better second year as a starter though it may take a few weeks in to take shape. More than anything, he just needs to remain healthy this year since that was the biggest knock against the departed Byron Leftwich.

RB

Carries

Rush YD

YPC

Rush TD

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

Rcv TD

Rank YD

Rank TY

Rank TD

2005

423

1665

3.9

13

86

63

73%

431

0

14

20

12

2006

424

2206

5.2

19

106

75

71%

713

3

2

3

3

2007

445

2116

4.8

17

89

61

69%

568

2

2

3

4

Running Backs - Since the Jaguars spent their 2.28 pick in 2006 on Maurice Jones-Drew, the offense has never been the same - in a very good way. For the last two seasons, Fred Taylor has been extending his career and remaining fresh late in the season and the Jaguars have ranked #3 in running back rushing yards and no worse than #4 in rushing touchdowns from the unit. This is one of the most formidable rushing attacks in the NFL and training camp is just there to keep them fresh enough to head into the season already warmed up.

The Jaguars will be determining on the depth chart for tailbacks since LaBrandon Toefield is gone and will see if Montell Owens or the rookie Chauncey Washington will be first in line in case of an injury to one of the starters.

WR

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

YPR

Rcv TD

Ranks YD

Rank TD

2005

343

185

54%

2596

14

18

8

7

2006

250

135

54%

1830

13.6

10

24

22

2007

270

155

57%

2191

14.1

22

21

6

Wide Receivers - The switch to David Garrard had two main effects. First he was outstanding at limiting turnovers unlike Leftwich. Secondly, he managed to make the wideouts become a constant source of touchdowns each week. Training camp is worth watching here but the problem is that Jerry Porter was expected to assume the #1 role but is recuperating from a torn hamstring and won't be back until around the start of the season. Losing out on a chance to gain chemistry between Porter and Garrard is very unfortunate. The Jaguars also acquired Troy Williamson from the Vikings in the hopes that he can become a speedy slot receiver and the new surroundings may somehow help him actually catch the ball. Reggie Williams will be the other starter thanks to catching ten touchdowns last year including six of the final seven games.

Legal woes for Matt Jones may sink his already listing career and Dennis Northcutt is always hanging around. Training camp will be useful to get Garrard some work with the crew but the absence of Porter hurts. It would be nice to see Williamson catch a few long passes in preseason games. Be kind of new too.

TE

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

YPR

Rcv TD

Ranks YD

Rank TD

2005

59

34

58%

326

9.6

3

26

19

2006

93

57

61%

516

9.1

4

21

19

2007

108

72

67%

736

10.2

4

11

21

Tight Ends - The Jaguars actually relied on their tight ends more last season but the reality was that it used five different players to generate those apparently average rankings. Marcedes Lewis led all tight ends but still only managed 37 catches for 391 yards and two scores - nothing with much fantasy significance. The presence of new wideouts may bring tight end numbers down even further.

Training Camp Fantasy Angle -There isn't a lot to accomplish this year with the offense entering its second season in the current scheme. Jerry Porter should be working with Garrard but will miss camp so outside of Reggie Williams, there will be competition for the #2 in camp which then disappears when the pricey Porter is ready to return. The Jaguars are poised for a very nice year and training camp just needs to warm them up for the season.

Tennessee Titans

QB

Carries

Rush YD

Rush TD

Pass

Comp

Comp %

Pass YD

YPP

Pass TD

Int

Rank YD

Rank TD

2005

40

181

1

591

357

60%

3771

10.6

20

14

10

17

2006

82

553

7

446

226

51%

2748

12.2

13

19

31

30

2007

96

392

3

464

288

62%

3077

10.7

9

17

27

32

Quarterback - Vince Young enters his third season but he took a step backwards in 2007 when he ranked only 27th in passing yards and then the Titans ended up dead last in passing touchdowns. Even the rushing totals fell from seven to only three last year. Of course that drop is typical for rushing quarterbacks and Young is getting better in the passing game even if the Titans seem hell bent on denying him any talented receivers. Last year was led by Justin Gage who only had 55 catches for 750 yards and two scores. Justin McCareins does return to the Titans and while he has played with returning OC Mike Heimerdinger, he has never played with Vince Young. The Titans did pick up Falcons cast-off Alge Crumpler as well but Young still has a sub-par group to work with. It would be very encouraging if Young can shine in preseason games as a passer. It might be a bit unexpected though.

RB

Carries

Rush YD

YPC

Rush TD

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

Rcv TD

Rank YD

Rank TY

Rank TD

2005

351

1323

3.8

7

85

57

67%

557

3

26

27

27

2006

379

1632

4.3

7

74

49

66%

280

0

20

26

27

2007

437

1699

3.9

14

73

54

74%

355

0

10

23

14

Running Backs - This should be an interesting area. The Titans return LenDale White who rushed for 1110 yards and seven scores last year despite playing with a torn meniscus (since fixed). And they also drafted Chris Johnson which should create a tremendous thunder and lightning" duo with White. Johnson is a bit under-sized but a true burner who can run a sub-4.3/40. No doubt that White gets all the goal line and inside work but Johnson can be used anywhere. The Titans will toy around with him being a relief runner, a third down receiver out of the backfield and even potentially splitting him out wide to get a good match-up. If that works it could benefit Vince Young's passing and ratchet the entire offense up a notch. It is definitely worth watching with the caveat that Johnson needs to show up against opponent's first team defenses and not just second half scrubs.

WR

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

YPR

Rcv TD

Ranks YD

Rank TD

2005

283

150

53%

1862

12.4

9

26

26

2006

265

123

46%

1835

14.9

9

23

25

2007

322

183

57%

2283

12.5

8

18

25

Wide Receivers - No real change here - it is still a mess. Justin Gage worked his way into being a starter in 2007 and looked great compared to the rest of this crew but in reality only had 55 catches for 750 yards. Justin McCareins returns and will likely become the #2 wideout but there is still Brandon Jones, Roydell Williams, Lavelle Hawkins, Mike Williams and a smattering of other wideouts trying to make the team. Roydell is returning from ankle surgery and has already been passed up. The passing numbers are anemic in Tennessee and the touchdowns were the worst in the league last year. This unit either must see Young take a very visible step up and form chemistry with Gage and McCareins or this will just be another year of musical chairs for the Titans wideouts.

TE

Target

Rcv

Catch %

Catch YD

YPR

Rcv TD

Ranks YD

Rank TD

2005

215

149

69%

1359

9.1

8

1

4

2006

103

51

50%

602

11.8

4

15

18

2007

106

63

59%

606

9.6

1

16

30

Tight Ends - The switch to Vince Young has all but killed the fantasy potential of this unit. The return of OC Mike Heimerdinger could help turn the offense back to using the tight end but all that is left is Bo Scaife who only had 46 catches for 421 yards and one score as the primary tight end last year. Alge Crumpler has been acquired but there are questions about his skills eroding. He only posted 42 catches for 444 yards last year without Vick throwing every pass to him. The biggest factor that Crumpler may have here is ruining whatever fantasy value that Scaife had. Crumpler has a name from the past but no longer is in an offense dedicated to making him the primary receiver. It is worth a watch since Crumpler has lost weight and looks to resume his career.

Training Camp Fantasy Angle - The passing game of the Titans has been a major disappointment since Vince Young took over and he needs to show that 2007 was just a sophomore slump and not a sign that he'll always struggle to be a true NFL passer. Adding Justin McCareins and Alge Crumpler doesn't hurt but how much it helps remains to be seen and mostly relies on Young.

The Titans camp is definitely worth watching if only to see what Chris "all I see is heels" Johnson can do in the NFL. His speed could be deadly weapon for the Titans if they use him correctly and training camp should indicate how quickly he can become a receiver of any measure in the offense. Check on Johnson's stats from preseason games if nothing else.