BMI View: Bahrain's economy remains on a recovery path heading into 2014, boosted by a normalisation of oil output, continued improvements in non-oil business activity, and steadfast fiscal support from the government. We forecast real GDP growth of 4.3% this year and 3.4% in 2014, up slightly from our previous projections of 3.7% and 3.2%. There is the potential for a robust recovery in private consumption in 2013, helped by strong base effects after growth of only 0.7% in 2012. We forecast an increase of 5.0% in private consumption in 2014, which will have positive implications for food and drink spending.