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A Comparative Study of the Indicators of Success on the PGA Tour: A Panel Data Analysis Authors: Amarendra Sharma, Patrick Reilly Elmira College

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Introduction Increase in the use of statistics in sports. Main golf statistics of interest- The drive (driving accuracy and driving distance) The approach (greens-in-regulation) The putt (average putts per round) “Slow and steady loses the race?” The need for different variables. Purpose- To study the predictability of scoring, earnings, and top ten performances among golfers on the PGA Tour.

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Heiny (2008) Effects of technology Increase in driving distance Importance of driving accuracy found to be diminishing Putting and greens in regulation still dominate the forecasts.

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Data Data set includes 20 professional golfers over a 13 year period from 2000-2012. Variables Scoring average (SA) Top 10 finishes per event (T10/E) Earnings per event (E/E) Driving distance (DD) Driving accuracy (DA) Greens in regulation (GIR) Putts per round (P/R)

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Conclusion Putting and approach ability strongly affect scoring, earnings, and top 10 finishes on the PGA Tour. Top 10 finishes per event is a better measure of success than earnings per event. Unique perspectives- Shows the importance of top 10 finishes. The only paper that exploits the panel nature of the data that allows us to control for the player specific heterogeneities in a dynamic setting.

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Questions 1.Given the format of winnings in professional golf tournaments, how could it be beneficial to be a streaky player? 2.Does the data show that it is always better to hit more fairways, even when it is at the expense of distance? 3.What are the two main variables that consistently impact scoring, earnings, and top 10 finishes on the PGA Tour? 4.One would expect that earnings per event and top 10 finishes per event would be able to predict success on the PGA Tour to about the same degree. Does the data show that one is better than the other?