It just looks like CDA may have found a third dissident who is opposed to cooperation with Wilders. This is because a few CDA MPs moved into government, leaving their seats behind. These seats are now filling up with other CDA politicians, and at least one of them has publicly come out against working with Wilders.

For the number game this means that IF all three CDA dissidents would vote against a motion while the rest of CDA, VVD and PVV and SGP would vote along, the vote would end in a parliamentary draw. And I actually have no idea what happens then.

In reality, we'll have to see how much division the CDA actually may get. It always has been a party which can close the ranks, particularly when their political power is at risk.