“Computers in the future may have 1000 vaccum tubes…”

“Computers in the future may have only 1,000 vaccuum tubes and perhaps weigh only 1.5 tons” – Popular Mechanics article, March 1949

The above quote amply demonstrates the problems with predicting the future. This is because the future does not always evolve linearly from the past – there are often unforeseen quantum leaps in technology that have unpredictable consequences.

Technological Progress and Innovation Tweet “Any study of the history of technological development reveals that technological progress comes from doing things differently in an unpredictable way. Pocket calculators are not built with vacuum...

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