Iceland U21 vs N. Ireland U21

Iceland chances for qualification all but gone as they won’t take 1st place anyway while only 4 best 2nd placed teams progress. And results vs bottom sides doesn’t count in 2nd placed team ranking so Iceland at the moment have 5 points (-6 they took from matches vs Estonia) while minimum 12 points required already to be among best 2nd placed teams. Their main star A. Gudmundsson (A 8/6, top-scorer) was called to 1st team along with J. Thorsteinsson (M 7/0) who was suspended for this game anyway. M. Anderson (M 5/0) is out injured while H. Gudmundsson (M 7/1), S. Ólafsson (G 6/0) were not called up. Apart from Thorsteinsson all above mentioned players were in starting XI vs NI in March game where NI bossed game outshooting opponents 21-4 (6-1 on target); 12-1corners; 57-43 possession. Now Iceland will have weaker squad and going to lack motivation.

Northern Ireland earned heroic win in Spain so saved qualification hopes. They are in must win situation in this game and in last round they face direct rival for 2nd place Slovakia at home if they win both games they can be one of four best placed teams. Dummigan (6/0) is back with squad overwise NI has same squad like in last game vs Spain.

Iceland will be missing some key players while NI is in must win situation so I’m backing visitors