The committee can weigh each part of the criteria as each member feels. So if a member values head to head over conference championship, then that is how that member sees it. The committee has said over and over again that the goal is to get the 4 best teams in and that those other criteria are only used as "tie breakers". This past Tuesday, they said that the gap between psu and osu is huge but the gap between Washington and Michigan was razor thin. However that was before Colorado got smoked.

I think a Clemson loss Michigan has the upper edge over Wisconsin and PSU. That would mean osu-Washington match up and I'm still not sold on Washington.