Rejecting the Paris Agreement is good logic and good policy

Trump’s rejection of the Paris Climate Agreement seems like a small thing in the big picture of world affairs, but the fact that liberal news outlets are still buzzing about it days later may make you suspect it must have had some significance. And you would be right. As we have always known, “global warming” and now “climate change” have always been about redirected “global money” and “social change” engineered by the would-be grand benevolent overseers of a new world disorder. In short, it was always a scare tactic for a huge wealth redistribution scheme.

Hearing the continued buzz about it all reminded me I had written up the issue years ago in my book on biblical logic and fallacies. The arguments and conclusions I arrived at back then are just as true and all the more relevant today. Here’s the brief excerpt:

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Fallacies of Cause. . . .

Cum Hoc Ergo Propert Hoc

A second Fallacy of Cause confuses simultaneity for causation. In other words, just because two things occur at or near the same time, someone may fallaciously assume that one caused the other. We call this Cum Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc, which is Latin for “With this, therefore because of this.” The same exposure of folly as the After This Fallacy applies here to the With This Fallacy: a myriad of possible causes exist—many we may not even see or know of—for every given occurrence. This creates a high probability for false causes, even for events that seem to concur in time. Correlation in time cannot guarantee a causal link. . . .

Hot Air Pushes Global Warming

A more concerning example comes from Al Gore’s crusade against global warming. In his video An Inconvenient Truth, he uses correlational data to back his points: “If you look at a thousand years worth of temperature, and compare it to a thousand years of CO2, you can see how well they fit together.” He admits that the relationship between carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and temperature is very complicated, but states that the most important relationship is this: “when there is more Carbon Dioxide, the temperature gets warmer, because it traps more heat from the sun inside.” Gore, famously now, presents pictures of melted glaciers and icecaps, along with warnings of increases in hurricanes and storms, flooded port cities due to rising ocean levels, and other climate catastrophes should we not immediately begin to reduce carbon emissions and our use of hydrocarbons (a scare-tactic, or Appeal to Fear). More importantly, he correlates modern human activity with the increase in carbon dioxide levels, implying that since humans cause global warming we must take drastic measures to reduce it.

Of course, all of this abuses the “With This” correlational fallacy many times over. To begin with, CO2 is not the primary cause of the “greenhouse effect” that results in higher temperatures. At least two other factors greatly outweigh it: solar activity and another more important greenhouse gas, water vapor. The Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine argues in a detailed paper, “Atmospheric temperature is regulated by the sun, which fluctuates in activity . . . by the green-house effect, largely caused by atmospheric water vapor (H2O); and by other phenomena that are more poorly understood.”1 Changes in solar radiation correlate more closely and for a longer period of history with temperature changes than do Gore’s graphs of CO2. As well, “While major greenhouse gas H2O substantially warms the Earth, minor greenhouse gases such as CO2 have little effect.”2

On top of this, while global temperatures have indeed risen in recent decades, proponents of Gore’s scare-tactics rarely mention that temperatures for centuries prior cooled considerably. The current rise merely corrects the previous “Little Ice Age.” The warming trend has occurred for much longer than Gore emphasizes, and has created effects that belie more of his claims:

Measurements show that the trend of seven inches per century increase in sea level and the shortening trend in average glacier length both began a century before 1940, yet eighty-four percent of total annual human hydrocarbon use occurred only after 1940. Moreover, neither of these trends has accelerated during the period between 1940 and 2007, while hydrocarbon use increased six fold.3

This scientific paper, which stands behind a petition signed by over 31,000 American scientists, concludes,

There are no experimental data to support the hypothesis that increases in human hydrocarbon use or in atmospheric carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are causing or can be expected to cause unfavorable changes in global temperature, weather, or landscape. There is no reason to limit human production of CO2, CH4, or other minor greenhouse gases as has been proposed.4

So it seems that despite his claims about having a “scientific consensus” (a fallacious Appeal to Authority), other obvious, more relevant, and powerful causes exist to explain global temperature changes than those claimed by Al Gore (as well as the United Nations, and those who follow it). Al’s An Inconvenient Truth contains little more than one big craftily presented With This, Because of This Fallacy (packaged with a few other fallacies).

So why would Gore and others present the story this way? Note how he and other liberals intend to “solve” the problem: they propose a tax on carbon emissions as well as a global system of “cap-and-trade” on hydrocarbon usage. In plain language, these measures amount to a redistribution of wealth where more prosperous people and nations that use more fuel end up paying tons of money to third-world nations that do not. “Global Warming” simply acts as a mask and a fear factor for advancing the leftist political agenda, and increasing global government control of free and prosperous nations like the United States. Global warming is not an “inconvenient truth,” it is a convenient lie.5

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You can tell there are fake trolls on here trying to present false arguments.

Kyle Hill

I’m just glad we are not forced to drive Obama cars. I’ve seen some in our area and boy are they LITTLE or what. They are mostly made for city driving not long distance and they almost passed a law where you could only drive that kind of car to save the planet.

In Conjunction some cities such as up in Portland (OR) they almost had a system of taxing you based on how far you drive. If you drove more then 4 miles you’d pay higher at the pump then the person who drove less. It was first brought up in 2010 and died. Last year it was revived and a test run was done for executives/senators only and they didn’t like it. They said (No Go)

Uchimura

On another blog (which shall remain nameless), the phrase “destroy the earth” appears in the titles of half the articles. What happened to rationality?

Kyle Hill

There are two factions fighting for control. The left socialists that want Agenda 21 and a one world UN rule. There are the globalist bankers who don’t care what side they are on as long as it’s the winning one so they gobble up companies till there is hardly any competition and then let the companies stagnate. They only see short term goals.

One thing both groups have in common is they feel that if you don’t vote their way man will cause the end of the world. The global bankers have decided the internet should be taxed and heavily regulated. You shouldn’t be allowed freedom. One way to accomplish that is pushing people towards smartphone GUI. There is a lot of complaints of GUI lately being dumbed down even Apple is doing it. It’s not a mistake or stupidity on their part. It’s by design to keep people locked to their *stores* so you can’t do anything else.

The newest Intel chips since last year are locked with Windows 10 only with no way to duel boot so you have to get one with no OS installed and do the steps yourself so you can put what YOU want on it.

nurse4u4

Michael Crichton’s “State of Fear” puts it all together nicely. Crichton goes beyond the purposly misleading confusion by the liberal media and comes to some sound scientific conclusions. Well done Mr Crichton you will be missed.

Uchimura

Crichton was awesome. He is sorely missed. Wasn’t afraid to break away from the crowd. Great story-teller too.

David Stovall

The earth was 3 to 4 degrees warmer during the Climatic Optimum, 5000 to 8000 years ago, and it was not disaster,, it was paradise. The Sahara was a beautiful grain field and the Nile carried 7 times the water it does now.

daves

Parts of the earth. It wasn’t global.

David Stovall

True , southern hemisphere was cooler. Do you think monkey emissions kept it cooler?. My point is that we don’t know, but I know I don’t know and the most dangerous people are the ones that don’t know that they don’t know, but you seem to know that you don’t know

daves

It is believed that it was caused by changes in earth’s orbit.

David Stovall

And not by my Sears lawn mower. But by axis tilt and eliptical orbits, sun activity, etc., etc.

daves

None of which are happening now.

Uchimura

Yep. Facts are our friends.

PAorangeburg

AMEN! Totally concur with this assessment. Global warming is a BIG LIE!!!!!!

Kyle Hill

Global Warming is real but not man caused. We are not called an interglacial period for nothing. We are between ice ages and that’s why we will have random bits of extreme warmth and yes even drought conditions.

The 90s was littered with a lot of *mini* droughts worldwide at random times. It was quite an exciting time. We are still in a peak for intergalacial warmth for the next 100 years but even then we will have some cold years.

john cummins

See State of Fear by Michael Crichton. Anyway, another always stated fact by the Globaldeegookers is that it’s mainly a problem with cars in N. America and there are too many people, thus we need even more “birth control” and abortion. I’ve been in several “scientific” seminars and these are always the conclusions. Oh, and NO, it’s never volcanoes, it’s hairspray and N. American cars. China? no.

daves

Really? Where did you get this from?

Petru Dans

Paris Agreement is REDISTRIBUTIONS OF WEALTS.is easy to stay in the TENT, whit the camel behind and wait for monthly check!!!