A long pondered but only lately realized blog about economics, politics, evaluation, econometrics, academia, college football and whatever else comes to mind.

Monday, June 22, 2009

Policy foresight

I've had a couple of discussions over the past few weeks about whether or not people could see a certain policy change coming, as with school desegregation. I think this graph from Andrew Gelman's blog puts the question to rest, at least for gay marriage.