NEW YORK, Oct. 25 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Syncora Holdings Ltd. today announced that its wholly-owned, New York domiciled financial guarantee subsidiary, Syncora Guarantee Inc. ("Syncora Guarantee" or the "Company"), estimates that, based on information available to date, it will record a decrease in its statutory policyholders' surplus of approximately $25 million to $40 million for the third quarter of 2010, principally as a result of adverse development with respect to residential mortgage backed securities and other guaranteed transactions. The Company previously reported statutory policyholders' surplus of $143.8 million as of June 30, 2010.

In connection with the adverse development of its reserves, Syncora Guarantee has identified a potential mismatch of future long-term claim payments and reimbursement of such claim payments which may impact liquidity at that time. If not mitigated these issues could materially impair the Company's ability to satisfy its future obligations. Syncora is actively exploring means of addressing the liquidity, surplus and other challenges that it faces.

In addition, Syncora Guarantee expects the discount rate used in the calculation of its reserves and loss adjustment expenses at December 31, 2010 to be lower, as compared to that used in prior periods during 2010 and as of December 31, 2009. While this discount rate is only one factor in the calculation of such reserves, a decrease in this rate will cause the Company's reserves and loss adjustment expenses to increase and such increase may have a material adverse effect on the Company's policyholders' surplus.

This release contains statements about future results, plans and events that may constitute "forward looking" statements. The use of terms such as "may," "will," expects," projects," and "should" indicate the presence of forward-looking statements. You are cautioned that these statements are not guarantees of future results, plans or events and such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Syncora Guarantee's control. These factors include, but are not limited to: Syncora Guarantee's ability to maintain minimum policyholders' surplus; higher losses and adverse development of reserves on guaranteed obligations due to deterioration in the credit and mortgage markets; the suspension of writing substantially all new business; uncertainty as to the fair value of credit default swap ("CDS") contracts and liabilities thereon; decision by Syncora Guarantee's, Syncora Capital Assurance Inc.'s or Syncora Guarantee (U.K.) Limited's regulators to take regulatory action such as administration, rehabilitation or liquidation of such entity at any time; Syncora Capital Assurance Inc.'s payment of amounts under the surplus notes issued to Syncora Guarantee; Syncora Capital Assurance Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Syncora Guarantee, being required to make mark-to-market termination payments under its CDS contracts; the ability of each of Syncora Guarantee and Syncora to continue as a going concern; payment of claims on guaranteed obligations and residential mortgage backed securities ("RMBS"); bankruptcy events involving counterparties to CDS contracts; the potential loss of certain control rights under certain financial guarantee insurance; non-payment of premium and make-wholes owed or cancellation of policies; effect of the non-payment of dividends on Syncora's series A preference shares on the composition of Syncora's Board of Directors; uncertainty in portfolio modeling which makes it difficult to estimate potential paid claims and loss reserves; reduced availability of funds due to the purchase of certain RMBS and the potential inability to convert those assets to cash at their carrying value; reduced availability of funds due to capitalization of Syncora Capital Assurance Inc.; reduced availability of funds due to consideration paid in connection with the master transaction agreement between Syncora Guarantee and certain financial counterparties to its CDS contracts (the "2009 MTA"); potential adverse developments at Syncora Capital Assurance Inc. and recapture of business to be ceded to Syncora Capital Assurance Inc. under the 2009 MTA; the financial condition of Syncora Guarantee (U.K.) Limited and action by the Financial Services Authority, whether by means of cessation or suspension of amounts owing to Syncora Guarantee or by termination of the reinsurance agreement between Syncora Guarantee and Syncora Guarantee (U.K.) Limited or otherwise; requirement of Syncora Guarantee to provide Syncora Guarantee (U.K.) Limited with sufficient funds to maintain its minimum solvency margin; challenges to the Master Commutation, Release and Restructuring Agreement dated July 28, 2008, as amended, and related commutations and releases and/or the 2009 MTA; defaults by counterparties to reinsurance arrangements; the interconnectedness of risks that affect Syncora Guarantee's and its affiliates' reinsurance and insurance portfolio and financial guarantee products; termination payments related to less traditional products, including CDS contracts, possibly in excess of current resources; nonpayment of premiums by policyholders; changes in accounting policies or practices or the application thereof; changes in officers or key employees; further deterioration in general economic conditions, including as a result of the financial crisis as well as inflation or deflation, interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates and other factors and the effects of disruption or economic contraction due to catastrophic events or terrorist acts; the commencement of new litigation or investigations or the outcome of current and new litigation or investigations; legislative or regulatory developments, including changes in tax laws and regulation of mortgages; losses from fraudulent conduct due to unconditional and irrevocable nature of financial guarantee insurance; problems with the transaction servicers in relation to structured finance transactions; limitations on the availability of net operating loss carry forwards; uncertainty as to federal income tax treatment of CDS contracts; conflicts of interests with significant shareholders of Syncora; limitations on the transferability of the common shares of Syncora and other additional factors, risks or uncertainties described in Syncora's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2008, as amended and in the financial statements of Syncora, Syncora Guarantee and Syncora Capital Assurance Inc. posted at http://www.syncora.com. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward looking statements which speak only as of the date they are made. Syncora does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect the effects of circumstances or events that arise after the date the forward-looking statements are made.