Using temporal context to improve biosurveillance.

@article{Reis2003UsingTC,
title={Using temporal context to improve biosurveillance.},
author={Ben Y. Reis and Marcello Pagano and Kenneth D. Mandl},
journal={Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
year={2003},
volume={100 4},
pages={1961-5}
}

Current efforts to detect covert bioterrorist attacks from increases in hospital visit rates are plagued by the unpredictable nature of these rates. Although many current systems evaluate hospital visit data 1 day at a time, we investigate evaluating multiple days at once to lessen the effects of this unpredictability and to improve both the timeliness and sensitivity of detection. To test this approach, we introduce simulated disease outbreaks of varying shapes, magnitudes, and durations into… CONTINUE READING