Irish Stallion Farms EBF Brownstown Stakes (Group 3)

Fairyhouse

Race Overview

This seven furlong Group 3 contest is open to fillies and mares aged three years old and upwards and is staged at the testing right-handed Fairyhouse racecourse in Ireland.

The race is usually won by a decent performer, making it all the more remarkable that the all-conquering Aidan O’Brien has yet to win the race to date, although with two of the seven runners this time he looks as though he’s keen on adding the Brownstown Stakes to his CV.

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Favourite Could It Be Love

Donnacha O’Brien’s mount was a fine runner-up in May’s Group 1 Tattersalls Irish 1000 Guineas, is rated some way clear of her rivals on official figures and comes here on the back of a big run at Royal Ascot where she finished a brave third to Expert Eye in the Group 3 Jersey Stakes having made most of the running.

Other Contenders

Lightning Quick, sixth in the Irish 1000 Guineas is interesting reverting to this trip but has to improve, British raider Lincoln Rocks,trained by David O’Meara and ridden by Danny Tudhope (pictures) won’t go down without a fight, while Xenophobia has been running well of late although this is tough. Hence, Damselfy, and Wisdom Mind make up the field.

Race Analysis

This race very much revolves around Aidan O’Brien’s good filly COULD IT BE LOVE who should be good enough to win here if her recent effort at Royal Ascot hasn’t taken its toll. The daughter of War Front was ridden agressively from the front in the French 1000 Guineas before fading late on, and similar tactics were employed in the Irish equivalent to better effect, where she went clear and eventually found only Alpha Centauri too good for her.

Dropped back to seven furlongs for the Group 3 Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot 18 days ago she again kicked clear, only to be caught by the high-class Expert Eye, eventually holding on for a brave third place. She faces lesser rivals this time and should gain a deserved win if Donnacha O’Brien gets the fractions right.

British raider Lincoln Rocks, narrowly beaten in the Group 3 Chartwell Fillies Stakes at Lingfield in May, was a distant last of 11 in the Group 2 Duke of Cambridge Stakes at Royal Ascot last time and will need to bounce back to pose any threat to the likely market principals. She has plenty do at the wieghts.

The potential improver is Johnny Murtagh’s Lightning Quick, who showed good form in her first three stars when trained by Ger Lyons, beating another of today’s rivals Xenophobia by three-quarters-of-a-length in the Group 3 Athasi Stakes over this trip at Naas in May. On her first start for Murtagh, she ran well to finish sixth in the Irish 1000 Guineas, staying on at the finish, so this drop back to seven is an interesting move. One suspects they may ride her more positively this time having dropped her out the back at the Curragh. Having had just four starts to date this daughter of Frankel has the potential to get better and she could be the one most likely to expose any flaws in the favourite.

Xenophobia is 7lb better off with Lightning Quick compared to at Naas so has claims to reverse the form on that basis, but the three-year-old looks the more progressive and she will do well to reverse the placings. Aidan O’Brien’s second-string Hence is a fair filly and was a respectable ninth in the Sanndringham Handicap at Royal Ascot. She needs to produce much more to figure, a comment tha also applies to Jospeh O’Brien’s pair of Damselfly and Wisdom Mind.

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Written by Paul Alster

Paul Alster has been part of the British and international racing media for more than three decades working as a race commentator, TV/radio presenter, journalist, betting correspondent, SP returner, and form analyst. He’s always sought out overpriced runners in handicap races, a quest that excites him as much now as it did at the start of his career.

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