The simplest prediction to make is that Arsenal are poor away from home, so Leicester will win. But things are never that simple. Here is Arsenal’s position just looking at away games

Pos

Team

P

W

D

L

F

A

GD

Pts

1

Liverpool

18

12

5

1

31

10

21

41

2

Manchester City

17

12

2

3

33

10

23

38

3

Tottenham Hotspur

18

11

0

7

33

22

11

33

4

Manchester United

18

9

2

7

31

28

3

29

5

Chelsea

17

9

1

7

23

26

-3

28

6

Crystal Palace

18

8

2

8

29

28

1

26

7

Leicester City

18

7

4

7

27

27

0

25

8

Watford

18

6

5

7

26

28

-2

23

9

Arsenal

17

6

4

7

28

31

-3

22

Leicester’s home form is actually not that much more exciting. Remember, we have 22 points away from home…

Pos

Team

P

W

D

L

F

A

GD

Pts

1

Manchester City

18

17

0

1

56

12

44

51

2

Liverpool

17

15

2

0

48

10

38

47

3

Arsenal

18

14

2

2

41

15

26

44

4

Chelsea

18

11

6

1

36

12

24

39

5

Tottenham Hotspur

17

12

1

4

32

13

19

37

6

Manchester United

17

10

5

2

32

22

10

35

7

Everton

18

9

4

5

28

21

7

31

8

Wolverhampton Wanderers

18

9

4

5

27

21

6

31

9

West Ham United

18

8

4

6

29

27

2

28

10

Watford

17

8

3

6

24

22

2

27

11

AFC Bournemouth

18

7

5

6

29

25

4

26

12

Newcastle United

18

8

1

9

22

22

0

25

13

Leicester City

17

7

2

8

21

20

1

23

Leicester’s home form could be our salvation here – they have only one more point at home than Arsenal does away, and the goal difference (+1) is not too far away from Arsenal’s (-3). We have actually scored 10 more away goals than Leicester has home goals this season. They have lost more games at home than we have lost away from home.

These sort of figures point to a draw as a possible outcome, although Arsenal’s ability to score might just see us edge it.

But if we look at Arsenal’s recent league form overall it does not look that brilliant:

Date

Game

Res

Score

01 Apr 2019

Arsenal v Newcastle United

W

2-0

07 Apr 2019

Everton v Arsenal

L

1-0

15 Apr 2019

Watford v Arsenal

W

0-1

21 Apr 2019

Arsenal v Crystal Palace

L

2-3

24 Apr 2019

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Arsenal

L

3-1

As for Leicester…

Date

Game

Res

Score

16 Mar 2019

Burnley v Leicester City

W

1-2

30 Mar 2019

Leicester City v AFC Bournemouth

W

2-0

06 Apr 2019

Huddersfield Town v Leicester City

W

1-4

12 Apr 2019

Leicester City v Newcastle United

L

0-1

20 Apr 2019

West Ham United v Leicester City

D

2-2

In the last five we have two wins and three defeats. Leicester have three wins, one defeat and one draw. So a better recent record for them.

But we might find a ray of hope in the fact that the list of games Leicester have played includes Burnley (currently 15th), Bournemouth (14th), Huddersfield (20th), West Ham (11th) and Newcastle (13th). Not a top ten club among them. Three of Arsenal’s opponents are in the top 10. OK I am straw clutching, but it is better medically to do that rather than go down the pub.

Leicester have also scored 21 goals fewer than Arsenal this season and conceded one goal more which appears to give us something of an edge.

If we look at Premier League games between the two sides across the years we can see that we have had the upper hand…

Date

Game

Res

Score

11 Feb 1995

Arsenal v Leicester City

D

1-1

24 Aug 1996

Leicester City v Arsenal

W

0-2

12 Apr 1997

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

2-0

27 Aug 1997

Leicester City v Arsenal

D

3-3

26 Dec 1997

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

2-1

12 Sep 1998

Leicester City v Arsenal

D

1-1

20 Feb 1999

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

5-0

07 Aug 1999

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

2-1

04 Dec 1999

Leicester City v Arsenal

W

0-3

26 Dec 2000

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

6-1

20 Jan 2001

Leicester City v Arsenal

D

0-0

25 Aug 2001

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

4-0

23 Jan 2002

Leicester City v Arsenal

W

1-3

06 Dec 2003

Leicester City v Arsenal

D

1-1

15 May 2004

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

2-1

31 Aug 2014

Leicester City v Arsenal

D

1-1

10 Feb 2015

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

2-1

26 Sep 2015

Leicester City v Arsenal

W

2-5

14 Feb 2016

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

2-1

20 Aug 2016

Leicester City v Arsenal

D

0-0

26 Apr 2017

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

1-0

11 Aug 2017

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

4-3

09 May 2018

Leicester City v Arsenal

L

3-1

22 Oct 2018

Arsenal v Leicester City

W

3-1

One defeat in 24 (just on a year ago) and just six draws. The rest are Arsenal wins. Indeed those of us who were at the 26 September 2015 game will I am sure still remember it. It really was a rather jolly occasion. For this one the BBC football website is predicting 1-1.

And the BBC have this couple of goodies:

Arsenal have never lost a Premier League game that has kicked off at midday, winning 15 such matches and drawing four.

The Gunners are also at risk of conceding at least three goals in three consecutive top-flight matches for the first time since 1967.

Hope for the best. I think we are limited in attacking options since Welb’s injury. I could be wrong but I feel our away form suffered more when he got injured. Besides we got another chance. Emery should not let this go. A win takes us closer to Spurs. Hope for a draw at Utd and Chelsea. A Chelsea win is the worst case. A utd win is bad too.

Good luck as well to our Women who take on Brighton in their penultimate game of the season. A win will see them crowned WSL Champions. They kick off 15 minutes later than the men and the game is live on BT Sport for those of you in the UK. The match is at the main Brighton Amex stadium and tickets are available on the gate at a ridiculously cheap price of £3 with concessions even cheaper.

If you can get there please go along and help make the match have the biggest crowd in WSL history.

Going in into the 2nd half of the match without AMN who has been sent off forcing Arsenal to play a Gunner down in the match against Leicester full eleven when the 2nd half resumes. But can Arsenal possibly pull the chestnuts out of the fire in the game to score goals against Leicester to beat them and come away from the King Power Stadium with all the 3 points at stake in the match? It’s a possibility I expect Arsenal to make possible in this match irrespective of the match referee harshness to them.