First, I’m expecting this event to be for Microsoft’s devices only, and not include devices from other companies. I’m told that Microsoft will be holding a separate event in San Francisco later in October for its partners’ devices.

I do expect Microsoft to announce new Lumia flagships, a new Surface Pro 4, and a new Microsoft Band 2 at this event. I was previously told that the Lumias would launch in September and that the Surface launch would be separate. But after internal debates about the relative merits of doing a single big-bang announcement, Microsoft has obviously decided to do it all at once. That is just fine with me.

Surface Pro 4 will—I think—share the same basic form factor as Surface Pro 3 but will be thinner and lighter, and will include the latest Intel Skylake processors and—I hope—a Windows Hello-compatible camera.

I’ve not heard a thing about a new Surface mini, but I have heard more nebulously to expect a surprise from Surface. That could be anything, obviously. But I would love to hear about a Windows 10 Mobile-based Surface mini tablet.

Finally, I’ve heard that the Microsoft Band 2 will be smaller, lighter and more comfortable than the original unit, and will be curved, with a curved display. I suspect it will be marketed more broadly than the original as well.

Will there be surprises beyond that? Maybe. Could a lot of this be wrong? Sure. But for the legions of Microsoft watchers waiting for a sign of life, you now have a date to mark on your calendar. See you in New York!