Month: November 2012

Each month, I like to do a market overview and see where the market might be headed. Although there are many frightening predictions, the indicators are actually looking pretty good. Here’s a brief list (which comes from my book, All About Market Indicators (McGraw-Hill, 2011).

AAII Survey: 40% bullish, which is neutral). Note: Over 60% bullish is a sell.

Investor’s Intelligence: 39.3% bullish, which is neutral. Note: Over 50% bullish is a sell.

Put/Call Ratio: .60 (This indicates more calls are being bought, which is slightly bearish (contrary indicator))

ISEE: 176, which is neutral. Note: Over 250 is a sell signal.

VIX: 15.35, which indicates calm among call and put buyers and sellers. Note: Under 12 is a sell signal.

New High-New Low: New highs are expanding, which is a positive sign.

Advance-Decline Line: Rising, which is positive.

Moving Average: The S&P 500 is above the 200-day MA, which is a positive sign.

According to the above indicators, the market signs are positive. Obviously, there could be short-term volatility because of the fiscal cliff negotiations.

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