That shouldn't provide any hope for the fans of Terminator: Sarah Connor Chronicles or Prison Break. The former's move to Friday is unlikely to save it, and the latter's days also seem numbered.

While the Renew / Cancel index is most geared toward predicting potential renewal for *next* season, my color coding of the shows are guesses on what might happen this season: Cancelled/Not Returning, Not Likely To Be Renewed, orRenewal Likely for 2009-10.

FOX SHOWS

Net

STD 18-49 (LIVE+SD) (000)

Network Avg. STD 18-49

Renew/ Cancel index

Status

DO NOT DISTURB

FOX

2,097

3,530

0.59

cancelled

'TIL DEATH

FOX

2,364

3,530

0.67

TERMINATOR: SARAH CONNOR CHRONICLES

FOX

2,726

3,530

0.77

PRISON BREAK (1)

FOX

2,988

3,530

0.85

final season

AMERICAN DAD

FOX

3,772

3,530

1.07

KING OF THE HILL

FOX

3,944

3,530

1.12

not renewed

BONES

FOX

4,200

3,530

1.19

FRINGE

FOX

4,367

3,530

1.24

SIMPSONS

FOX

4,896

3,530

1.39

FAMILY GUY

FOX

4,944

3,530

1.40

HOUSE

FOX

6,059

3,530

1.72

-
The Renew/Cancel Index is a show's Season To Date adults 18-49 viewership divided by its networks Season to Date average 18-49 viewership.

Remember that plenty can change before the end of the season, particularly for the shows with indexes between 0.80 and last season’s renewal line of 0.92. The list is presented in a (and has to be, since I cannot predict future ratings) “what would happen if the season ended today” mode. Could the renewal line be 0.86 this season? Possibly. It might also be 0.95. Might it be 0.70? No chance.