Here are the Week 17 matchups for the remaining eligible teams (those teams are highlighted in bold):

Bengals at RavensBills at Dolphins
Jaguars at Titans
Raiders at Chargers

Whoever holds the fifth seed after Week 17 will take on the Chiefs in round one of the playoffs. Here are the scenarios for each team to earn the fifth seed:

-The Ravens need a win/tie OR a Titans loss and Bills loss.

-The Titans need a win and a Ravens loss.

-The Bills need a win, a Ravens loss and a Titans loss/tie.

-There’s no scenario for the Chargers to get the fifth seed that I can find, so they won’t play K.C. in round one.

-I think there may be extra scenarios when multiple ties are involved, but that outcome is highly unlikely.

So that settles it. The Chiefs will face either the Ravens, Bills or Titans in round one of the playoffs. Given the scenarios, the odds are that Baltimore will be the team taking on K.C. This is the NFL, though, so don’t rule out anything (even the crazy tie scenarios).

If you’re curious about more NFL playoff scenarios, check out the tweet below as well as ESPN’s playoff machine.