January 2020 – IceCap Global Outlook “The Invisible Man”

The current economic expansion has achieved 2 significant milestones. And what makes these milestones special is that when combined together, they create an economic paradox.

For starters, the current economic expansion has set the record as the longest period of continuous economic growth in US history.

While at the same time, it has also set the record as being the weakest period of continuous economic growth in US history.

This should raise questions as well as concerns.

The answer to the primary question is as follows: this economic expansion has been completely supported and enabled by unorthodox interest policies by global central banks. Zero % and Negative % interest rates around the world have allowed economies to maintain positive, yet muted growth.

The concern with this economic experience is that the majority of this growth has been artificially created.

In this IceCap Global Outlook, we examine the invisible hand and why it is the key to understanding why economic growth is so weak, and better still – what happens next.