Week 9 - Retrospective

Here is the fourth iteration of the retrospective. Some noteworthy points:

- RB and WR remain the most predictable (tiers are most accurate)
- QB also, but there are more high outlier performances than RB/WR
- TE was near perfect last week, for the first time. Past weeks have been noisy.
- K remains noisy, four weeks running

If anyone has spotted anything noteworthy this week or in prior weeks, I'd love to hear it (via twitter or comment below)

For the first time, TE tiers were near monotonic (almost perfect tier predictions). In the past few weeks, TE have been noisy, which I had attributed to the fact that a large percentage of TE points are generate by touchdowns (which are inherently more noisy than point by yardage).

While TE performances were more in line with expectations this week, more players in tier 1 this week also helped.

K
Tier 1 median: 8
Tier 2 median: 6
Tier 3 median: 7
Tier 4 median: 6

Kickers remain noisy. The amount of predictive power in predicting kickers using this model remains questionable.