I don't think they'll hit 40 either. All I said was it's not the unattainable feat that you're making it out to be. You're basically expecting Katz to hit just a little over half the HRs he did last year, JaCoby not to improve much at all, and Bregman and Ross to not do much. You used last year's homerun totals to predict what will happen this year between them collectively, but don't use last year's total to predict what you think Katz will do. 40 obviously would be impressive, but you seem to think Katz is going to regress, Jones won't improve his numbers much, Ross hits about the same (wouldn't surprise me), and Bregman will contribute very little. For as much as you think people are being too optimistic, you're being equally pessimistic for whatever reason.

It isn't far fetched but I would be surprised if they reached 40. It really depends on if Jones remains as patient as he has shown so far. He has the potential for 12-14. I think Katz had a career year last season and is more likely to hit 6-8 than 10+. Same for Bregman, I don't think he is the HR hitter that everyone is expecting or hoping for, but he will be a solid producer.

quote:I don't think they'll hit 40 either. All I said was it's not the unattainable feat that you're making it out to be. You're basically expecting Katz to hit just a little over half the HRs he did last year, JaCoby not to improve much at all, and Bregman and Ross to not do much. You used last year's homerun totals to predict what will happen this year between them collectively, but don't use last year's total to predict what you think Katz will do. 40 obviously would be impressive, but you seem to think Katz is going to regress, Jones won't improve his numbers much, Ross hits about the same (wouldn't surprise me), and Bregman will contribute very little. For as much as you think people are being too optimistic, you're being equally pessimistic for whatever reason.

quote:and someone said we'll have 4 people with 10? am i being trolled?

Damn some of you take everything on this board and turn it into the biggest thing ever. I said I think we will probably have 3 guys. I think there is a very outside chance of 4. I wouldn't put money on it.

I certainly don't see how some of you think it is so unrealistic that we get 40 between those 4 guys. I guess you don't understand how guys get better from one year to the next. You're telling me you don't think Jones has the ability to reach double digits? Or Katz who led the team with 13 a year ago? Or that Bregman doesn't have power?

Give me a freaking break. 40 is very attainable. It is a high goal, but a very attainable one if those guys have great season which they are all more than capable of having.

Damn this was intended to just be a fun conversation to shoot some shite back and forth about baseball and people are acting like the fricking sky is falling because we are talking about how many homeruns LSU will hit this year. There isn't a hell of a lot more to talk about after 4 games that hasn't already been discussed.

expecting the best power hitter on the team last year to hit half the homeruns he did last year and a top 50 MLB prospect to not improve at all is not a metter of being realistic. it's a reflection on our down homerun numbers as a team the past coupe of seasons and assuming things won't change at all. it's also a reflection of assuming bregman is overrated when you've had exactly 4 games to come to that determination. just curious, how many do you think those 4 will total? I'd personally put the over/under around 33. You seem to insinuate the number will be about 25 or less and that 40 homeruns is a huge number or something. I also feel like you're putting far too much stock in what Jones did last year. I realize that we only hit 42 as a team last year, but players do improve believe it or not.