Labs Outlook 2010: The Future Is Bright for HTML 5 and Tablets, but Perhaps Not for Cloud Computing

The future looks bright for HTML 5, as more browsers and Web apps take advantage of its capabilities, and tablets, which will get a push from major vendors. Storm clouds may be brewing, however, for cloud computing and Google's Chrome OS.

"Are you Madame Sinclair, the fortune teller? I really need your help.
I have to write a column looking ahead to technology in 2010, and my
predictions are coming up empty."
"Yes, I am Madame Sinclair, and I can help you with your predictions.
But first I would like to let you know that I am running a special. For just
$1,000 you get a full year of readings. I am calling it the Sinclair 1000.
Interested?"

"Yes, yes, of course. Madame Sinclair knew that you would say this, but
I have to ask or my business partner gets angry.
"So, what do we see in 2010? It is foggy ... wait! I see, I see ... a
new sitcom about vampires starring Kevin James and Brad Garrett as two
bloodsuckers looking for love in the big city. It's called 'Life Sucks.'"
"Madame Sinclair, can we stick to the technology predictions?"

"Yes, yes. It's coming ... I see four letters and a number ...homl, mlmt ..."
"Is it HTML?"
"Yes, that's it. HTML 5. As this next version of the language of the
Web moves closer to becoming a full standard, more browsers and Web
applications will take advantage of its capabilities, leading to improved use
of media, more interactivity and greater desktop integration-all of which will
move us closer to the reality of the Web as operating system."
"That's good. I can use that. What else?"
"It is not clear. I see ... Books? ... Bricks? ... Slates? ... Oh,
tablets! Yes, tablets will be big news in 2010. Major vendors will once again
be pushing the tablet as a PC. They will be interesting, and show promise as
entertainment and media devices. But they will fail to make inroads in business
and daily computer use, where, let's face it, you really need a keyboard-at
least until you can use your mind to input text into a computer. Would you like
to know what year that will happen?"
"Um, no. Let's stick to 2010 for now. Do you see anything else?"
"I am looking. This is strange. My vision is cloudy, very cloudy. Oh,
wait! It is the cloud that I am seeing! The continued push to use cloud
computing in all aspects of business and personal computing will suffer a few
setbacks in 2010, as high-profile data losses and outages lead many to find
that they can't always rely on applications and data in the cloud to get their
business done.
"Ah, now the visions are coming fast. Google will face regulatory
challenges on the Chrome OS because it can't use third-party Web browsers. The
continued use of augmented reality to mix real-world places and objects with
the virtual world will lead to major privacy violations. Major ISPs and
wireless carriers will pull out all of their lobbying weapons to try to stop
network neutrality. And Megan Fox will start dating Steve Wozniak."
"What?!"
"OK, Madame Sinclair was kidding with that last one. I just wanted to
make sure you were paying attention. So, has Madame Sinclair given you enough
of a look into the future?"
"Yeah, I think I can use this. Do you have any other predictions?"
"Well, Madame Sinclair can tell you that Facebook will make changes to
its interface that will annoy many users and lead to petition drives to roll
back the changes, but you don't have to be a fortune teller to know that."
Chief Technology Analyst Jim Rapoza can be reached at jrapoza@eweek.com.

Jim Rapoza, Chief Technology Analyst, eWEEK.For nearly fifteen years, Jim Rapoza has evaluated products and technologies in almost every technology category for eWEEK. Mr Rapoza's current technology focus is on all categories of emerging information technology though he continues to focus on core technology areas that include: content management systems, portal applications, Web publishing tools and security. Mr. Rapoza has coordinated several evaluations at enterprise organizations, including USA Today and The Prudential, to measure the capability of products and services under real-world conditions and against real-world criteria. Jim Rapoza's award-winning weekly column, Tech Directions, delves into all areas of technologies and the challenges of managing and deploying technology today.