RS

FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

Carol Shea-Porter (D, NH) in trouble.

There’s a lot of good news in this WMUR Granite State poll (as of this moment, we’re looking at retaining Gregg’s seat, and picking up both House seats), but Shea-Porter’s numbers are the most immediately interesting. 35/40 approval/disapproval (the worst she’s ever had); and she loses to all four hypothetical candidates:

In a race between Shea Porter and her best known challenger, Frank Guinta, 43% of likely 1st CD voters say they would vote for Guinta, 33% would vote for Shea Porter, 2% prefer some other candidate, and 22% are undecided.

In a matchup with Rich Ashooh, 36% of likely 1st CD voters say they would vote for Ashooh, 33% would vote for Shea Porter, 3% prefer some other candidate, and 28% are undecided.

In a matchup with Bob Bestani, 36% of likely 1st CD voters say they would vote for Bestani, 33% would vote for Shea Porter, 2% prefer some other candidate, and 30% are undecided.

And in a matchup with Sean Mahoney, 39% of likely 1st CD voters say they would vote for Mahoney, 32% would vote for Shea Porter, 1% prefer some other candidate, and 28% are undecided.

“Shea Porter does not break 40% against any of her challengers a sign that she faces an extremely difficult challenge to keep her seat,” said [Andrew Smith, Director of the UNH Survey Center].

NOWHampshire.com has more, and by ‘more’ I mean ‘a collection of her more egregious video moments.’ Although that implies that she has video moments which are not egregious, which I suppose wouldn’t actually violate any laws of physics…

Moe Lane

PS: In case you haven’t noticed, I more-or-less look forward to skimming through Shea-Porter’s concession speech the day after Election Night, before I forget her existence utterly.

PPS: Frank Guinta & Bob Bestani have websites. I’m more inclined to the former, but the final decision will be up to New Hampshire voters.