>> Friday, February 28, 2014

Highs today will struggle into the low to mid 40s across the piedmont of NC under a mostly sunny sky. Then late tonight and tomorrow morning, a weakening disturbance will roll into the region and generate some very light precip. In many spots, it will not even be enough precip to measure. However, temperatures across NC will be below freezing, so the light precip could be some very brief, very light freezing drizzle or light freezing rain. There will NOT be enough precip for this to be a high-impact event, but I cannot totally rule out a slick spot or two on an elevated surface.

This would be an extremely short-lived thing...sun will build in tomorrow with highs reaching the upper 40s. Highs Sunday then surge into the low and mid 60s ahead of our next cold front.

That next system rolls in Monday with a round of rain for most of the region.

Later next week, there continue to be indications of a more significant system. The GFS is a big rain event, the European is a very chilly rain event, and the Canadian indicated a big western Carolinas snow storm.

Any of those options are possible...lots of moving pieces. See the video for more.

>> Thursday, February 27, 2014

Highs today will be a little below average, and we will have some fairly gusty winds as a cold front moves through. With dry ground conditions, low humidity, and breeziness, the risk of wildfires is enhanced today.

That cold front will usher in even chillier air for tonight and tomorrow. Lots of piedmont spots will have lower 20s tonight, and some teens are possible in the normally colder locations. Highs Friday will only be in the low to mid 40s.

A weakening disturbance arrives Saturday morning and could bring some light wintry precip to parts of the region. Most models are only generating trace amounts of precipitation, and that is probably the correct idea. However, the NAM is much more aggressive with precip amounts than the other models. While I thin it's unlikely that solution is correct, it bears watching.

What precip does fall could be a brief, light wintry mix....maybe freezing rain primarily in NC. But again, at this point I am not expecting a big deal.

Another system rolls in Monday and brings some rain. Then we will watch for yet another system later next week. There remain some interesting possibilities with that one....see the video for more.