D: Delaney and Kennedy III both get 15 delegates (18.3% and 18.1% respectively)

R: Trump wins with 64.7% of the vote

South Carolina

D: Kennedy III wins with 31.7%

R: John Kasich wins with 38.6%

National polling for March 1, 2020

Republicans:

Trump: 47.3%

Kasich: 23.4%

Flake: 7.6%

Johnson: 5.7%

Democrats

Booker: 14.4%

Steyer: 13.4%

Kennedy III: 12.3%

Kerry: 11%

McAuliffe: 10.9%

Gillibrand: 10.7%

Merkley: 8.5%

O'Malley: 6.4%

Castro: 4.7%

Delaney: 4.2%

Delegate count:

Kennedy III: 79

Delaney: 61

Kerry: 45

Kasich: 67

Flake: 36

Trump: 22

Johnson: 8

There also seems to be a strange glitch where for one week the polling numbers are wild numbers, but then adjusts back to normal the next week. It has only happened with the Democrats. as you can see, Merkley was actually polling in the negatives. It does not effect the state polls though

D: Delaney and Kennedy III both get 15 delegates (18.3% and 18.1% respectively)

R: Trump wins with 64.7% of the vote

South Carolina

D: Kennedy III wins with 31.7%

R: John Kasich wins with 38.6%

National polling for March 1, 2020

Republicans:

Trump: 47.3%

Kasich: 23.4%

Flake: 7.6%

Johnson: 5.7%

Democrats

Booker: 14.4%

Steyer: 13.4%

Kennedy III: 12.3%

Kerry: 11%

McAuliffe: 10.9%

Gillibrand: 10.7%

Merkley: 8.5%

O'Malley: 6.4%

Castro: 4.7%

Delaney: 4.2%

Delegate count:

Kennedy III: 79

Delaney: 61

Kerry: 45

Kasich: 67

Flake: 36

Trump: 22

Johnson: 8

There also seems to be a strange glitch where for one week the polling numbers are wild numbers, but then adjusts back to normal the next week. It has only happened with the Democrats. as you can see, Merkley was actually polling in the negatives. It does not effect the state polls though

The glitch is odd. I don't know what accounts for that.

I wish candidates dropped out before and just after Iowa. It seems like everyone stays in for way too long.

With DC being the only primary left, it appears everyone unleashed every single ad known to man, because the ad power for Kerry and McAuliffe is well over 100 in DC, thus giving them a momentum of +20 (Steyer is at +30)

June 17

Kerry wins DC

Primaries are over. Trump will be the republican nominee but things are still well undecided for the democrats. Here are the results (note that Delaney had 77 delegates and Gillibrand had 53)

Trump wins Republican Convention and announces that Dwayne Johnson will be his running mate!

General Election Polling July 27 2020

Democrats: 45.4%

Trump: 43.1%

Kokesh: 0.6%

Stein: 0.4%

July 31st

Democratic Convention

Round 1:

Gillibrand is removed from the running, her 53 delegates go to Jeff Merkley

Round 2:

Delaney is removed from the running, his 77 delegates go to Martin O'Malley

Round 3:

Castro is removed from the running, his 119 delegates go to Joe Kennedy III

Round 4:

O'Malley is removed from the running, his 174 delegates go to Tom Steyer

Round 5:

Kennedy III is removed from the running, his 549 delegates go to John Kerry

Here's where that leaves us:

Kerry: 1406

Steyer: 1303

McAuliffe: 805

Booker: 662

Merkley: 589

Round 6:

Merkley is removed from the running, his 549 delegates go to John Kerry

Round 7:

Booker is removed from the running, his 662 delegates go to Terry McAuliffe

Round 8:

Steyer is removed from the running, his 1303 delegates go to Terry McAuliffe

Terry McAuliffe has been named the democratic nominee and chooses former attorney general Eric Holder as his running mate!

Personally, while I wasn't a big fan of any of the leaders, I would have preferred Steyer or Booker than McAuliffe. If this were actually to happen in 2020, it would appear the democrats didn't learn much that people don't want an establishment candidate