Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

2002 Team Efficiency Ratings

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 8/8/2008

These are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings for 2002, measured by our proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system that breaks down every single play and compares a team's performance to the league averaged based on situation in order to determine value over average. (Explained further here.)

OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted based on strength of opponent as well as to consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. SPECIAL DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season. NON-ADJ TOTAL VOA does not include these adjustments.

As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE. LAST YEAR represents 2001 rank.

TEAM

TOTALDVOA

LASTYEAR

NON-ADJTOT VOA

W-L

OFFENSEDVOA

OFF.RANK

DEFENSEDVOA

DEF.RANK

S.T.DVOA

S.T.RANK

1

TB

34.0%

6

36.1%

12-4

-2.5%

21

-33.6%

1

2.9%

8

2

OAK

30.6%

7

28.1%

11-5

24.4%

2

-6.0%

8

0.2%

15

3

PHI

25.3%

2

29.0%

12-4

6.7%

12

-13.8%

4

4.8%

5

4

MIA

25.0%

10

21.3%

9-7

6.2%

13

-16.1%

2

2.7%

9

5

KC

19.5%

20

17.8%

8-8

33.3%

1

16.3%

29

2.5%

10

6

DEN

16.3%

15

14.4%

9-7

16.9%

5

-1.0%

13

-1.7%

20

7

ATL

16.0%

24

17.8%

9-6-1

8.2%

8

-3.4%

11

4.4%

6

8

SF

13.2%

3

11.0%

10-6

19.3%

3

2.5%

18

-3.6%

26

9

NYJ

12.8%

9

9.6%

9-7

18.5%

4

11.0%

26

5.3%

4

10

NE

12.6%

12

9.0%

9-7

7.0%

10

0.3%

15

5.8%

3

11

NO

8.4%

21

8.4%

9-7

1.4%

19

3.1%

19

10.0%

1

12

GB

8.1%

4

14.0%

12-4

2.1%

18

-9.2%

5

-3.3%

25

13

TEN

8.1%

18

10.8%

11-5

9.5%

6

1.7%

17

0.2%

13

14

PIT

7.7%

5

7.3%

10-5-1

6.1%

14

-6.0%

9

-4.4%

28

15

NYG

0.8%

22

6.6%

10-6

5.4%

16

0.3%

14

-4.4%

27

16

CLE

-0.2%

19

-2.8%

9-7

-6.6%

25

-4.4%

10

2.1%

12

TEAM

TOTALDVOA

LASTYEAR

NON-ADJTOT VOA

W-L

OFFENSEDVOA

OFF.RANK

DEFENSEDVOA

DEF.RANK

S.T.DVOA

S.T.RANK

17

BAL

-1.3%

13

-9.9%

7-9

-5.4%

24

-6.6%

6

-2.5%

23

18

STL

-1.6%

1

-6.7%

7-9

-3.7%

22

-2.7%

12

-0.6%

17

19

IND

-1.9%

23

-2.4%

10-6

5.5%

15

5.4%

23

-2.0%

21

20

JAC

-3.4%

16

1.5%

6-10

7.1%

9

9.3%

25

-1.3%

18

21

SEA

-4.3%

17

-7.9%

7-9

6.9%

11

11.4%

27

0.2%

14

22

SD

-4.6%

11

-7.0%

8-8

2.3%

17

5.2%

22

-1.6%

19

23

WAS

-7.7%

14

-9.0%

7-9

-7.1%

26

-6.1%

7

-6.7%

31

24

CAR

-9.2%

29

-8.4%

7-9

-22.9%

31

-13.9%

3

-0.2%

16

25

BUF

-10.5%

31

-10.0%

8-8

-0.2%

20

7.7%

24

-2.6%

24

26

MIN

-12.3%

30

-5.8%

6-10

8.5%

7

15.4%

28

-5.3%

30

27

CHI

-16.3%

8

-17.8%

4-12

-15.1%

27

4.5%

21

3.3%

7

28

DAL

-25.6%

26

-23.3%

5-11

-22.6%

30

0.6%

16

-2.4%

22

29

CIN

-29.2%

27

-27.6%

2-14

-3.7%

23

17.4%

30

-8.1%

32

30

DET

-35.4%

28

-30.9%

3-13

-20.3%

29

21.6%

32

6.5%

2

31

HOU

-39.6%

X

-36.5%

4-12

-37.8%

32

4.1%

20

2.3%

11

32

ARI

-42.0%

25

-46.6%

5-11

-16.2%

28

20.6%

31

-5.2%

29

ESTIMATED WINSuses a statistic known as "Forest Index"
that emphasizes consistency as well as DVOA in the most important specific
situations: red zone defense, first quarter offense, and performance in the
second half when the score is close. It then projects a number of wins
adjusted to a league-average schedule and a league-average rate of
recovering fumbles. It is based on the number of games a team has
played so far, so teams which have not had their bye will appear
higher.

WEIGHTED
DVOA represents an attempt to figure out how a team is playing right
now, as opposed to over the season as a whole, by making recent games more
important than earlier games.

2002 SCHEDULE lists average DVOA of opponents played this season, ranked from hardest
schedule (#1, most positive) to easiest schedule (#32, most negative).