Life expectancy trends revealed

The study is based on Office for National Statistics data combined with advanced mathematical modelling

Published:09:46Friday 01 May 2015

AVERAGE life expectancy for women in England and Wales could be approaching 90 by 2030, a new study has found.

Men are also set to live longer than official estimates predict as the historic gender gap narrows.

The study, based on Office for National Statistics data combined with advanced mathematical modelling, suggests that average life expectancy for women will rise from 83.3 in 2012 to 87.6 in 2030. For men, it is predicted to increase from 79.5 to 85.7 over the same period.

Locally the life expectancy for men is 81.5 in Adur, 80.28 in Worthing, 80.98 in Arun, 82.78 in Horsham and 79.7 in Brighton and Hove.

The forecasts for 2030 are higher than those issued by the Office for National Statistics by 2.4 years for men and one year for women.

But the upward trend masks significant regional differences, the research shows.

By 2030, people in affluent southern England and well-off districts of London are expected to be living more than eight years longer than those in northern urban centres such as Blackpool, Liverpool and Manchester, as well as South Wales.​