Vic Tafur’s picks for Week 16

Falcons (-3 1/2) at Lions (Saturday): Teams often bounce back from embarrassing losses … but not when it comes by 28 points to the Cardinals. Add Detroit to the list of teams looking for a coach. FALCONS

49ers at Seahawks (pick ’em): Russell Wilson is a lot better than he was in the first meeting and the Niners barely won that one. Justin Smith injury is huge. Seattle fans go hoarse. SEAHAWKS

Raiders at Panthers (-9): Bad teams don’t travel well, something Oakland has proved for 10 years. Cam Newton and Carolina get their third straight win in front of a rejuvenated crowd. PANTHERS

Titans at Packers (-12 1/2): We’ve been riding Green Bay for a while and now Clay Matthews is back with a vengeance. Plus, Tennessee’s been getting blown out against good teams. PACKERS

Colts (-6 1/2) at Chiefs: On Sunday, the Chiefs got shut out by the Raiders, a team that had given up 36 points a game for six weeks. Think about that. Put a stamp on it. KC’s mailed it in. COLTS

Saints at Cowboys (-2 1/2): Tony Romo gets all the blame when Dallas loses and not much credit when it wins. Sucks to be him. Especially when his banged-up defense stinks. SAINTS

Vikings at Texans (-8): Adrian Peterson has been good to us but we can’t run with him again this week. Houston’s too good to not beat a one-dimensional team convincingly. TEXANS

Bills at Dolphins (-4 1/2): Miami came through for us big last week as favorites, and it will do it again here. Ryan Tannehill, coming along nicely, has a big edge over struggling Ryan Fitzpatrick. DOLPHINS

Bengals at Steelers (-3 1/2): Sorry, I’m still not buying the Bengals. Steelers would have won last week if not for a late fumble and that’s a nice spread for experienced, home playoff contender. STEELERS

Patriots (-14 1/2) at Jaguars: That’s a lot of points to lay with a road team. As a cherry on top, Vegas isn’t even giving you an extra half point to take the Jags. Be strong. PATRIOTS

Redskins (-6 1/2) at Eagles: RGIII is back and Philadelphia is whack. But … something smells about this one. The Eagles were playing the Bengals tough last week before fumbles. EAGLES

Rams at Bucs (-3): What’s happened to Tampa Bay? It’s lost four in a row and is playing like it hates coach Greg Schiano all of a sudden. St. Louis is legit. Big day for Sam Bradford. RAMS

Chargers at Jets (-2): I would like to say go with San Diego out of support for the bypassed Tim Tebow, but Philip Rivers fumbles more often than Mark Sanchez did. JETS

Browns at Broncos (-13): Cleveland has been gritty all year but then took a dirt nap last week when RGIII was out for the Redskins and it didn’t respect Kirk Cousins. Easy cover. BROWNS

Bears (-5 1/2) at Cardinals: Chicago is the worst kind of bully. They only beat up on bad teams, especially after losing to good ones. Big day for Matt Forte. BEARS

Giants (-2) at Ravens: Twice before, Peyton Manning has played a team a week before Eli and given his little bro advice. Turns out he hates his brother. Giants will be 0-3 in those games. RAVENS

Record: 119-94-4. I had the Niners over the Patriots and a 10-5 week in the bag before Sanchez dropped it. We’ll take 9-6 and a lot of favorites this week!!!