Ummmm....you read that Todd Palin “RECENTLY” had a DUI. News Flash.....it was 22 YEARS AGO!!!!!! Can we do a fine tooth comb analysis on what Obama was doing 22 years ago????? Get your facts straight before you start to hurl crap like this around.

Problem is we need more than the base to win. Have to watch the state polls. I have felt from the beginning it would take a miracle from our Maker to win. Do we deserve that miracle? I say some of us do. LOL. Keep praying.

It takes the wind out of the GOP sails, just when it was getting in gear.

Plus, the Gustav storm took the minds off of the Republican convention.... just when the GOP needed good publicity.

Up until Sunday, the McCain team had been masterful at releasing info in a timely way.

McCain and Palin KNEW they would eventually have to make this pregnancy thing public ... they should have somehow figured a way to inform the public right up front, instead of having it look like it was a big deep dark secret that was outed by the left wing kooks.

Yep. Because the electorate is more heavily Dem than in 2004. My feeling it will depend on which side does the better job of getting its voters out. Obama has that registration advantage going for him and of course registration isn't everything but with the GOP brand nane as battered as it has been, its a huge plus. And he has the cheerleading MSM in his corner to help him win.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

Now we have - for the first time since Saddleback - a chance to focus some positives on McCain nationally. Palin has the advantage of not just low expectations - but beneath-the-earth low expectations, and can shock the world by giving a great performance.

Mind you, all of the “dirt” will be old news very fast - it always is. The media jumped the gun on this - attacked too personal and too early - and will pay the price for being too eager.

The tide turns at the end of this week. The worst has past, and the sunny days are ahead of us. It only gets better from here, and the Obama folks know it.

112
posted on 09/02/2008 7:09:32 AM PDT
by TitansAFC
(In 2008, please vote GOP and show us that you love your country more than you hate John McCain)

I’m going to say this once, as a former Romney supporter, this was a good pick.. I don’t there would be much excitement with Romney. To be honest I’m quite disgusted with some of the Romney supporters who does not like this pick.

113
posted on 09/02/2008 7:10:01 AM PDT
by KevinDavis
(If Obama can't handle a town hall debate, then he can't handle the job of being President.)

Let’s wait until all the polls shift from counting REGISTERED VOTERS to counting LIKELY VOTERS, which they haven’t yet done.

Then we’ll get a true picture.

Shouldn’t need to remind Freepers, but a lead in the polls for Obama can come from super-high majorities in the more populous states such as California and New York — but this doesn’t translate into an Electoral College majority by any means.

...”Crawford made one particularly interesting observation: he said that he reviewed the past 3 election cycles of Labor Day/post-convention polls, & in 2 out of the last 3, whoever was ahead on Labor Day lost in the general election in November....”

Hillary got 18 million votes, assume 50% of those were from women... that’s 9 Million women. If you assume 10% will vote McCain/Palin so they can vote for a woman and/or spite Fauxbama, that’s nearly 1 Million votes.. that’s a very significant amount of votes in an election that will likely have about 110-120 Million voters total.

The idea that democrats went home post convention is not suprising. The question is how strong they are for the guy, and Fauxbama’s support even among dems is not deep. These numbers can change, but even if they don’t victory is not going to come from the 80% of dems who are going to vote dem regardless of the nominee, or the 80% of repubs who are going to vote R no matter who the nominee is. its the 40% of the rest of the voters who will decide the election.

I respectfully disagree with your position regarding the loss of good will. The message being transmitted is that it is not OK to get pregnant at 17 and that the right thing to do, if it happens is not to kill the baby, but to marry the Father and keep the baby.

This is the message that incenses the left! Babies are for killing, in their eyes!

122
posted on 09/02/2008 7:11:56 AM PDT
by Redleg Duke
("All gave some, and some gave all!")

Rasmussen called 2004 within 1 point for both Bush and Kerry. His final numbers were Bush 50.2, Kerry 48.5. The election result was Bush 50.7 Kerry 48.3. He also called all 24 state races that he polled in 2006 correctly.

This is the real state of the race right now. Obama got a bump out of his convention while it’s too early to see a GOP bump. So far, I say again, so far, Palin isn’t pulling the PUMAs.

McCain knew about the pregnancy, relax. There is no counter that is needed, the MSM leftists are attacking a 17 year old girl who has nothing to do with anything, this is a sure fire backfire among the voters that matter. Frankly I hope the leftist bloggers keep on going over the top frothing at the mouth.

I don’t think it’s about McCain. The drop is more because of Palin. Not all are sold on her. Not all are thrilled at her daughter’s pregnancy. Notice the only new news besides the hurricane is Sarah Palin’s daughter’s pregnancy. It has to be linked to that.

One (possibly bad) poll result showing Obama 6 points up when he should be up 15 after his convention doesn’t say much. One day’s polling isn’t a trend. It could just be “noise,” as they call it. Before the Dem convention, if we had been told Obabma would only be up 6 immediately after, we would have been dancing in the streets.

I dont think its about McCain. The drop is more because of Palin. Not all are sold on her. Not all are thrilled at her daughters pregnancy. Notice the only new news besides the hurricane is Sarah Palins daughters pregnancy. It has to be linked to that.

Actually that is not so bad then because that can change once the disappointment is done and over.

Right now, it seems like McCain made a mistake in picking Palin by not knowing about the pregnancy, Palin must dispell that perception, the sooner, the better.

McCain knew. It was an “open secret” in Alaska. Sarah did tell him. I'd bet ya many are cheering her on but inside they are disgusted. If the pregnancy thingie with her daughter didn’t pop up, they'd be more warm towards the idea of Sarah being a VP.

The polls measure reality. For there to be any chance at all now requires two things:

1) A strong convention

2) An opportunity for her to do what she was selected to do. That is win moderate women voters over. That’s not going to happen if every other minute of the day there is perpetual talk about what a right wing zealot she is wrt abortion. Abortion needs to be off the front page ASAP. It does NOT win moderate women. By definition, they don’t CARE about abortion in either direction. Bible thumping and screaming in their faces about how evil it is will just send them the other direction.

And as depressing as it is, the fact of the matter is that after 8 years of a party’s administration, the other party usually wins. Do I think McCain can win, yes? Do I think McCain will win, yes? I, personally think the debates will be where we see McCain pull ahead.

Governor Sarah Palin needs an acceptance speech and she needs a stump speech.

I hope that the McCain campaign as they write these speeches for her has the wit to seize on an affirmative theme and not play defense respecting her experience level for the job. Nor should this should be a get acquainted speech rather it should be a hard-hitting action oriented speech emphasizing her vision of rooting out corruption, eliminating waste, and checking spending on the federal level as she did in Alaska.

Her single concession to the issue of qualification for the job should be by way of humor to demonstrate that she has more experience than does Barak Obama. Like Reagan's crack about his own age compared to his opponent's youthand inexperience, this could end the issue forever.

They should never again permit her to appear on the platform as she did in Missouri without her hair being attractively arranged in a professional looking manner.

Her speech advisers must get her to pitch her voice lower and pace the delivery. She must never forget that although she will be making her speech to a convention full of roaring Republicans her real audience is sitting at home in a quiet room and wants to hear someone whose voice timbre suggests she can step into the ultimate role if it comes to that. She did not appear to good effect in these histrionic concerns in her Missouri appearance. Content is even less important than form and self-assurance.

In other words, the acceptance speech and the stump speech, the hairdo and the voice control are only important as means to demonstrate that Governor Palin has the requisite gravitas to play in the big leagues.

She gets one chance in her acceptance speech and the whole election could actually turn on it.

Despite all the national attention that has been focused on Sarah Palin, public perceptions of the Alaska Governor have changed little in the last few days. She is still viewed favorably by just over half of all voters. A separate survey found that Obama is number one and Palin number two on the list of candidates people would like to meet.

“The pregnancy of Palin’s daughter is gonna hurt McCain ticket..... simply because a teen pregnancy goes against everything the Republican Party stands for.”

Exactly. No one wants to say too mauch about it. Obama scares people ... As fod Dad being DUI, well, what could would think highly of themself when they’re “Mr. Mom” with a single preggie daughter and Mom’s not around and too busy? Just because people aren’t talking about it doesn’t mean they aren’t thinking about it ... .

“...tells us that Obamas Dem support rate is very close to McCains GOP support rate.”

Gallup’s discussion today says exactly that. For the first time, BHO is getting the same support from Dems as McCain’s getting from Reps.

The GOP needs a heckuva convention, which is going to be hard to do with Hurricane Hanna for the MSM to talk about, when they’re not talking about Palin’s support for abstinence-only sex education.

Palin’s personable and she handles herself well. Were I McCain, I’d get her out on the chick show circuit and let her state her case to Oprah and the View nags, Regis and whatshername, etc... If she’s gonna pull PUMAs, she needs to go where they are and state her case.

Even my ultra conservative 49 year old daughter, who works for our local Republican party, was upset...We're hoping that Sarah can keep up her enthusiasm...it's not easy when you know your daughter is hurting, and Bristol has to be hurting with her condition blasted all over the news...

and what about her boyfriend...he and his parents can't be too happy about all the hoopla either.

If Sarah hits a home run with her speech Wednesday night, and I sure hope she does, it will be wonderful, and in a week or two this will be old news.

150
posted on 09/02/2008 7:20:54 AM PDT
by Auntie Toots
(The GOP has taken on a new life..)

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