Can Harper withstand the current scandals and stay in power?

This week, a Conservative MP resigned over transparency and accountability, and new details emerged about the Nigel Wright - Mike Duffy payoff. Traditional supporters and sympathetic voices in the media are scathing about Harper's conduct and handling of the current crisis. All this comes in advance of a Conservative Party convention in Calgary at the end of June. Can he survive as the prime minister and as the leader of the Conservative Party?

Choices

Yes. Of course, his voting base won't be impacted much by all this.

No. With dissent now spreading to his own party, his days at 24 Sussex are numbered.

Yes, but he's been wounded enough that he could well lose the next election.

It could go either way, but depends on the opposition's effectiveness over the next weeks.