Ryan Faulk of the Alternative Hypothesis, who I respect greatly, recently put out this video. I’d highly suggest watching it before reading this post. I have a few issues with the assertions he makes, which I will outline below.

Firstly, he brings up the high conservative/republican birthrate as reason to be optimistic. He has a strange idea that the Republican Party and conservatives broadly will support White interests. While it’s true that the majority of republican voters are white, and that the party is implicitly white in that sense, it’s not the case that republicans or the Republican Party implicitly represent white interests. This is a folly I see white nationalists make constantly, but it is categorically false. Indeed, the majority of republicans support some sort of amnesty for illegal aliens.

Granted, Ryan mentions in the video that “extreme conservatives” have higher birth rates, but he doesn’t define this term, so I’m unsure of what he means. But at any rate, it’s obvious that the majority of republicans and conservatives are not our friends. This should be obvious even without statistical backing. However, Ryan or someone who shares his views may retort that the current Republican Party aligns more with our goals than with the goals of most republicans. I do not share this view. Yes, they may be against amnesty, and may now be talking about restricting legal immigration as well. But of course, Ryan himself could tell you full well that immigration restrictionism isn’t enough.

Ryan also brings up Gen Z and how they are supposedly “more conservative.” Now leaving aside my skepticism about this data, it’s worth noting an important confounding factor: the fact that a large number of Generation Zers have not yet been through the university system. A 2012 survey shows that the majority of university students lean leftist, and that a large percentage of nominally “conservative” students also support leftist policies such as same-sex marriage. And yes, I am aware of the fact that political ideation is heritable, and that there might be some selection bias at play here. But I’d be very interested to see opinion polls of Millennials *before* the majority of them entered the university system. I have a hunch that going through the modern university system may play a not-too insignificant role in the extreme liberalism of millennials.

So in conclusion, I do not share Ryan’s optimistic attitudes towards America’s future. Of course, none of us are clairvoyant, and we can’t predict with certainty what shape the country’s future will take. But I think there is good reason to be skeptical of all “whitepills”. The situation remains dire, and a glint of hope is always just a glint.