Box Office Predictions: All Hail 'Captain America,' 'God's Not Dead' Holds Its Own

3 Apr 2014

This week, Captain America returns to big numbers, but will they be record breaking?

Sensei’s weekend predictions and revenue results are as follows:

1. Captain America: The Winter Soldier ($93 million) – Put a fork in it, the record for April’s biggest opening will belong to the Captain. Audience buzz is sky high, and Marvel will easily continue its post-Avengers momentum. Film is also set to easily top the original Captain America’s domestic gross ($176 million) in the long run. Shocking results? Perhaps not, the Captain is the “man with the plan” after-all.

2.Noah($20 million)– Sorry Noah, but we knew the captain would be big. This film went for more a “mainstream” feel instead of following the religious story, but now those same audiences will head to Captain America in droves. The film’s word of mouth is awful (a C Cinemascore from audiences doesn’t help), so a big drop is inevitable.

3.Divergent ($11 million)– Film will lose quite a few action audiences to Captain America, but don’t fret. Film will easily break the $100 million domestic mark this week and looks to be very strong in the international arena. For a film with few stars, talk about an impressive box office take.

4. Muppets Most Wanted ($7.2 million)– We already knew this film would come nowhere close to the original Muppets’ domestic gross–adding to the troubles is the film’s enormous marketing budget. Unless things improve drastically, Disney is staring at quite a write-off.

5.God’s Not Dead ($6.9 million) – Faith-based releases are becoming quite popular again in the industry. Thisfeature has fought its way from low screen counts to a very healthy topfive presence. It’s also now Freestyle Releasing’s most successful filmever distributed. That’s quite an impressive box office resume.