Hudson Valley Weather is tracking two scenarios. They believe there's a 50% chance of large snow event or a 50% chance of a wintery mix.

"At this point… it’s probably a 50/50 toss up, between which scenario is more likely. Unfortunately, time is the only solution to this mystery. As we get closer… we should have a better idea. What is quite unlikely… is that this storm completely misses us, Hudson Valley Weather wrote Tuesday morning.