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1 Collective responses in Latin America and Ireland to neoliberalization in a time of crisis: Where are the pots and pans? Barry Cannon, and Mary P. Murphy, Dept. of Sociology, National University of Ireland, Maynooth Paper presented at NUIM 14 June 2104

2 Introduction Seeks to assess nature, extent and depth of popular response in Ireland to the current financial crisis and its possible political impact in the medium to long term. Uses Silva s (2009) framework on popular responses in Latin America to that region s debt crisis of the 1980s and 1990s.

3 Silva (2009) Uses Polanyi s (1949) theory of double movement : imposition of market society disrupts people s ability to fulfil vital needs; multiple social groups seek protection from the state to insulate them from market forces; Need to assess if there is sufficient: motivation for a double movement to occur i.e.the imposition of market society, leading to economic crisis and causing stark socioeconomic inequalities. capacity among anti-neoliberal forces to force change away from neoliberal precepts..

4 Silva (2009) - Motivation Factors Indicators Long-term market society project 1. First stage reforms: balanced budgets, restrictive monetary policies, liberalization policies in finance, investment, trade and agriculture, emphasis on foreign private investment, privatization, labour reforms; 2. Second stage reforms: privatization, decentralization, retraction of universal access to services, expansion of powers of finance ministers and central banks etc. 3. Political reforms: insulating economics from politics. Stark political and socioeconomic exclusion 1. Increased levels of unemployment, informality, underemployment, inequality and poverty with lower incomes per capita. 2. political exclusion: reduction of institutional channels for popular sector demands; use of facilities to stifle debate and expedite reform; weakened legislature; consensus among major parties in favour of neoliberalism; dismissal of the legitimacy of popular sector grievances, claims and demands; betrayal of election and other promises by political parties. Economic volatility and crisis 1. Wide swings in growth. 2. State and government seeming incapable of fulfilling its economic and welfare functions; 3. Persistence with procyclical, deflationary economic policies which reinforce the logic of the market

5 Silva (2009) - Capacity Factors Indicators 1. Associational political space, Existence of a democratic system of government. 2. Constructing associational power and forging Creating new organizations and recasting collective power existing ones; Coalition building across new, recast and traditional movement organizations and across clusters of power; Issue framing and brokerage mechanisms to link protest groups; 3. Reformist thrust to major protest groups or significant armed conflict Advocacy for reform of neoliberalism not the replacement of capitalism.

6 Silva (2009) Latin America Argues that there was an attempt to impose market society in the region in 1980s/90s This caused a double movement in some Latin American countries leading to end of neoliberalism; Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador and Venezuela Did not happen in Chile and Peru as one or the other, or both, conditions were not met; Do the conditions exist in Ireland? If so what prospects for a turn away from neoliberalism?

7 Ireland: Motivation Ireland displays some indicators that satisfy Silva s conditions for a double movement to occur. A long term market society project is taking place, from the 1980s, to the 2008 crisis and right through to the present. There has been economic volatility and there is evidence of social and political exclusion. Less extreme in form than in Latin America or even in Spain and Greece, May not be sufficient to provoke a determined counter-reaction from popular sectors that may force a change of course. Such a reaction would at any rate be dependent on capacity of popular sectors to launch and sustain such a reaction.

8 Ireland: Capacity There have been a wide range of national and local protest in Ireland over the last six years these have not coalesced into a determined, united counter movement; Trade unions key mobilizing role: has adopted a largely defensive strategy which limits its capacity for narrative and alliance building with others. Contemporary Irish civil society passive : dominance by state and market co-option, funding pressures etc. Limits its ability to represent popular sectors, form narratives and build alliances. Indigenous Irish pro-neoliberal forces remain far stronger than contending forces: Powerful international allies (troika, corporations); Internalization of neoliberalism and free market ideology by Irish society; Largely right wing media makes it difficult for progressive groups to popularise ideas about alternatives to austerity. Course of events in Ireland will depend much on those overseas, especially in Europe, both at elite and grassroots level.

9 Ireland Factors Ireland Long-term market society project creating stark political and socioeconomic exclusion (Yes/No) No. Market economy with significant, but lessening, political and socioeconomic inclusion. 1. Economic volatility and crisis (Yes/No) Yes. Less so in latter years but with potential for more. 1. Associational political space, favourable/notfavourable Favourable, democratic regime but with some closing down of associational space. 1. Reformist thrust to major protest groups (Yes/No) Yes, insofar as protest exists but anti austerity not the same frame as reforming neoliberalism life for all 1. Issue framing and brokerage mechanisms to link protest groups (Yes/No) Outcome No. There have been attempts at this but mostly unsuccessful. To be continued

10 Conclusions: Learning from Latin America? (Tentative!) Develop reformist agendas framed in clearer anti neoliberal terms but bringing together popular and middle class demands; Need for Irish left to work in a complementary rather than antagonistic way and to organise popular campaigns that unite rather than divide. Irish NGOs need to avoid mediating or filtering popular protest and framing demands in sectoral and micro fashion. Irish academics have to take more seriously the challenge of contributing to public discourse. Irish citizens have to challenge the assumption of stoicism and passivity that has so far characterised their response to crisis. Need to link with European campaigns, longer term issues (water); Framing water liberalization in context of environmentalism and antineoliberalism; Eurozone still volatile: long time frame International

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