[German government formation, 2017:] A new election is called

Rpitkani
estimated 60% and said “SPD has said they’re not interested in a grand coalition again and being in one for so long seems to have hurt their ability to make a good case to rule in their own right. ”
on 2017-12-16

Bruno Parga
estimated 10% and said “This will likely only happen if GroKo talks collapse, which both the Union and the SPD leadership have a strong interest in avoiding.”
on 2018-01-23