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Monday, May 27, 2013

David Cameron faces serious problems as Conservative donors threaten to switch to UKIP unless Cameron toughens up on Europe, instead of a swing to the right; he needs to get the EU to fix their entire project; EU internal immigration policy is a good start

Dear All

In politics you need a number of things to
be successfully especially at the high end.

Tory donors have threatened to switch their
allegiance to UKIP unless David Cameron adopts a tougher stance on Europe.

Awhile ago, I came up with an idea, it was
for the EU to adopt an internal immigration policy, at present anyone in the EU
can go and work or live anywhere they so choose.

The freedom of labour is a good idea,
however, the EU hasn’t moved with the times, once it was about 7/8 countries,
now it sits at 27.

Other factors such as the Euro crisis and
the world financial crisis have compounded things, who would have thought in
2013, that Greek pensioners would have to scavenge for food in bins.

The dream of a united Europe is falling
apart.

It needs fixed, but there is a lack of
direction, and the people are angry because of austerity, that anger will push
them towards hard right wing parties and others.

Someone has to speak for the people;
otherwise the EU is doomed at some point in the future.

In Britain, the austerity measures are bad,
but they could be a lot worse, and a lot worse is just round the corner.

My internal EU immigration policy helps fix
some of the problems, but it has to be an EU wide uptake.

In another blow to David Cameron’s
leadership, former Tory treasurer Lord Kalms said he was ‘willing to pack my
bags’ and sign up with UKIP unless the Prime Minister adopted more traditional
Tory policies.

I would suggest that although ‘traditional’
Tory policies appeal to a certain mindset, new ones are the order of the day for
the Conservatives, and have been for decades. The Tories didn’t win the last
election, Gordon Brown lost it.

The upshot of unhappiness is that UKIP
leader Nigel Farage is set to seize on discontent among Tory MPs, and get
fund-raising with an appeal to Cameron’s supporters.

Nigel Farage has been invited by City
financier Crispin Odey to pitch to wealthy donors for support.

Odey says Mr Farage was ‘very, very
attractive’ and a ‘first-rate guy,’ adding: ‘UKIP deserve all the support they
get.’

He told the Sunday Times:

‘I have always been a Conservative but that
loyalty is wearing very, very thin. If UKIP has the right policies, that’s
where we’ll go. I am very, very disenchanted and won’t tolerate being dragged
down into Europe without some fight.’

So, big business wishes to get their feet
under the table with UKIP, it could be a double edge sword, UKIP’s main
strength is that it is a people’s party at present, they don’t wish to lose
that identity and become a mini version of the Conservative Party.

Things look bleak for Cameron, in the
ranks, it is said that, at least one Conservative MP has used a go-between to
discuss switching to UKIP.

Farage has used something I said on the blog
that people in power who try ‘to be all things to all men - that means you are
nothing to nobody’.

If Farage can get backing from more
heavyweight donors, this leads them in a agood position to make an assault on
Westminster parliamentary seats.

Such an outcome would have an effect on
both sides of the border between Scotland and England.

A strong UKIP in the south means that the
SNP can’t run effectively with their anti Tory platform.

The real test of sorts comes in the European
elections, if they do well, they will get more financial support and members.

In Scotland, UKIP hasn’t turned a corner as
they have down south, probably due to poor marketing and lack of people on the
ground, as well as representation in seats.

But despite this, they are seen as a threat
by the SNP and its supporters, which recently led to a bitter confrontation
with protesters in Edinburgh.

Farage
was forced to barricade himself into a pub after angry indy supporting Scots
turned up and started, calling him a ‘racist scumbag’, then they told him to go
back to his own country.

A summit to discuss an electoral pact with
UKIP is also being planned by the Bow Group, this group is becoming more
political and moving away from their current think tank platform, their
president is Sir John Major.

Is a UKIP/ Tory pact possible?

Depends what is on the table, it would help
UKIP enormously, and could be used as a blocker to keep the Labour Party out.

Will 2015 see a UKIP/Tory/Lib Dem pact?

Events dear boy, events, and numbers, UKIP
has a healthy share of the vote but its seats that matter.

Nadine Dorries, the Conservative MP who was
only given back the whip after an unauthorised absence from parliament wants MPs
to seek endorsement from UKIP.

She told Sky’s Murnaghan:

‘It almost seems a nonsense where you have
two people who think and have the same values standing against each other.’

She added:

‘Every Conservative MP has to be adopted by
their Conservative association and then they could seek endorsement from UKIP
with a double logo. After all, we have just recently voted to change the law to
allow that to happen.’

In an interview with the Sunday Times, Farage
came out and said that UKIP was speaking to ‘about 20’ Tory MPs about standing
on a joint ticket.

This is good PR however in practice it can’t
work, who do these MPs answer to?

At some point, the EU has to change, if
they won‘t or can‘t, then UKIP will rise and the pressure to leave the EU
will be unbearable, I think the EU can be fixed, however it has been left to
fester without direction for years.

And for the avoidance of doubt, No to Tony
Blair as EU President!

I think we have had enough of him, and
beside, who wants a proxy in that chair for the American President?