** WTSR20 WSSS 261800 ***
NO STORM WARNING=
** WTAU06 APRF 270051 ***
IDW23200
40:0:1:24:15S125E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0034UTC 27 MARCH 2006
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC developing tropical low located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal one degrees South [15.1S]
Longitude one hundred and twenty four decimal three degrees East [124.3E]
Recent movement : West at 4 knots.
Maximum winds : 30 knots.
Central pressure : 994hPa.
The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 12
hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 40 knots by 1200UTC 27 March and
to 50 knots by 0000UTC 28 March.
Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0000UTC 28 March with
high seas and moderate increasing swell.
Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 35 knots by 1200UTC 27 March with
very rough seas and moderate increasing swell.
At 1200UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.6 East
Central pressure 988hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 15.8 South 122.2 East
Central pressure 980hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0700UTC 27 March 2006
WEATHER PERTH
** WTAU06 APRF 270051 ***
IDW23200
40:0:1:24:15S125E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0034UTC 27 MARCH 2006
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC developing tropical low located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal one degrees South [15.1S]
Longitude one hundred and twenty four decimal three degrees East [124.3E]
Recent movement : West at 4 knots.
Maximum winds : 30 knots.
Central pressure : 994hPa.
The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 12
hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 40 knots by 1200UTC 27 March and
to 50 knots by 0000UTC 28 March.
Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0000UTC 28 March with
high seas and moderate increasing swell.
Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 35 knots by 1200UTC 27 March with
very rough seas and moderate increasing swell.
At 1200UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.6 East
Central pressure 988hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 15.8 South 122.2 East
Central pressure 980hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0700UTC 27 March 2006
WEATHER PERTH
** WTAU07 APRF 270151 ***
IDW23300
40:0:1:24:15S102E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0141UTC 27 MARCH 2006
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC a developing tropical low was relocated by satellite imagery to
within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal five degrees South [15.5S]
Longitude one hundred and two decimal zero degrees East [102.0E]
Recent movement : South at 7 knots.
Maximum winds : 30 knots.
Central pressure : 996hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 to 18 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 1200UTC 27 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 16.7 South 101.9 East
Central pressure 992hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 17.6 South 101.6 East
Central pressure 988hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0800UTC 27 March 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
** WTAU07 APRF 270151 ***
IDW23300
40:0:1:24:15S102E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0141UTC 27 MARCH 2006
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC a developing tropical low was relocated by satellite imagery to
within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal five degrees South [15.5S]
Longitude one hundred and two decimal zero degrees East [102.0E]
Recent movement : South at 7 knots.
Maximum winds : 30 knots.
Central pressure : 996hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 to 18 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 1200UTC 27 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 16.7 South 101.9 East
Central pressure 992hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 17.6 South 101.6 East
Central pressure 988hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0800UTC 27 March 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
** WTXS31 PGTW 270300 ***
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/262121Z MAR 06//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 14.9S 124.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S 124.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.3S 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 15.9S 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.3S 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.7S 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 17.7S 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 15.0S 124.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (NONAME), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. A 270002Z SSMI
PASS CLEARLY DEPICTS AN ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) OVER WATER, AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP
CONVECTION BEGINNING TO ENCIRCLE THE LLCC. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED
TO TRACK TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A BUILDING LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. TC 20s
WILL INTENSIFY STEADILY DUE TO HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 262121Z MAR 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 262130 ). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z
IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.//
** WTAU05 APRF 270257 ***
IDW23100
40:3:1:24:20S112E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0250UTC 27 MARCH 2006
CANCELLATION OF
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0200UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 10 nautical miles of
Latitude twenty decimal nine South [20.9S]
Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal six East [111.6E]
Recent movement : south southwest at 7 knots.
Maximum winds : 30 knots.
Central pressure : 994 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Gales are no longer expected from this system.
FORECAST
Gales are no longer expected from this system. Winds will continue to ease
during the next 12 hours.
No further warnings will be issued for this system.
WEATHER PERTH
** WTAU05 APRF 270257 ***
IDW23100
40:3:1:24:20S112E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0250UTC 27 MARCH 2006
CANCELLATION OF
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0200UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 10 nautical miles of
Latitude twenty decimal nine South [20.9S]
Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal six East [111.6E]
Recent movement : south southwest at 7 knots.
Maximum winds : 30 knots.
Central pressure : 994 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Gales are no longer expected from this system.
FORECAST
Gales are no longer expected from this system. Winds will continue to ease
during the next 12 hours.
No further warnings will be issued for this system.
WEATHER PERTH
** WTAU06 APRF 270356 ***
IDW23200
40:0:1:24:15S124E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0354UTC 27 MARCH 2006
UPDATED
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0300UTC Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal zero degrees South [15.0S]
Longitude one hundred and twenty three decimal nine degrees East [123.9E]
Recent movement : West at 5 knots.
Maximum winds : 35 knots.
Central pressure : 990hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 35 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 70 nautical miles of
the centre by 0300UTC 28 March.
FORECAST
Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 40 knots by 1200UTC 27 March and
to 50 knots by 0000UTC 28 March.
Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0000UTC 28 March with
high seas and moderate increasing swell.
Within 35 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 70 nautical miles of the
centre by 0300UTC 28 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and
moderate increasing swell.
At 1200UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.6 East
Central pressure 986hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 15.8 South 122.2 East
Central pressure 980hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
This warning updated to indicate the system has reached cyclone intensity.
Next warning issued by 0700UTC 27 March 2006
WEATHER PERTH
** WTAU06 APRF 270356 ***
IDW23200
40:0:1:24:15S124E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0354UTC 27 MARCH 2006
UPDATED
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0300UTC Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal zero degrees South [15.0S]
Longitude one hundred and twenty three decimal nine degrees East [123.9E]
Recent movement : West at 5 knots.
Maximum winds : 35 knots.
Central pressure : 990hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 35 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 70 nautical miles of
the centre by 0300UTC 28 March.
FORECAST
Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 40 knots by 1200UTC 27 March and
to 50 knots by 0000UTC 28 March.
Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0000UTC 28 March with
high seas and moderate increasing swell.
Within 35 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 70 nautical miles of the
centre by 0300UTC 28 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and
moderate increasing swell.
At 1200UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.6 East
Central pressure 986hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 15.8 South 122.2 East
Central pressure 980hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
This warning updated to indicate the system has reached cyclone intensity.
Next warning issued by 0700UTC 27 March 2006
WEATHER PERTH
** WTAU07 APRF 270522 ***
IDW23300
40:0:1:24:15S102E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0521UTC 27 MARCH 2006
CANCELLATION OF
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
A tropical low with a weak broad circulation was located at 0600UTC within 45
nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal zero degrees South [15.0S]
Longitude one hundred and two decimal zero degrees East [102.0E]
The low is no longer expected to develop into a tropical cyclone within 24
hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Gales are no longer expected within 24 hours.
FORECAST
The low is no longer expected to develop into a tropical cyclone within 24
hours. There is limited prospects of the system developing into a tropical
cyclone but it will be monitored for signs of development and a warning will be
issued if required.
No further warnings will be issued for this system unless it shows signs of
development.
WEATHER PERTH
** WTAU07 APRF 270522 ***
IDW23300
40:0:1:24:15S102E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0521UTC 27 MARCH 2006
CANCELLATION OF
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
A tropical low with a weak broad circulation was located at 0600UTC within 45
nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal zero degrees South [15.0S]
Longitude one hundred and two decimal zero degrees East [102.0E]
The low is no longer expected to develop into a tropical cyclone within 24
hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Gales are no longer expected within 24 hours.
FORECAST
The low is no longer expected to develop into a tropical cyclone within 24
hours. There is limited prospects of the system developing into a tropical
cyclone but it will be monitored for signs of development and a warning will be
issued if required.
No further warnings will be issued for this system unless it shows signs of
development.
WEATHER PERTH
** WTIN20 DEMS 270530 ***
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
------------------------
DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 27-03-2006 (.)
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN
(THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT
24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.)
CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND
ADJOINING SOUTH EAST BAY OF BENGAL (.)
RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES THROUGH 14.0 DEG NORTH OVER
THE INDIAN REGION (.)
====