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MLB Picks

MLB Picks: Take Royals -130 over Yankees

Our sports betting guru Ross
Benjamin previews Saturday's American League game between the Yankees and Royals.
Read his informative article filled with pertinent MLB odds information which
concludes with a free pick.

A Pair of Underachieving TeamsThe Royals host the
Yankees on Saturday at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri with the first
pitch slated for 7:15 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds
the Royals are a -130 money line home favorite and the posted total is 8.0.
Heading into this weekend's action, the Yankees had won their last 4 at Kansas
City, and have defeated the Royals in 7 of their last 9 overall. These clubs
have seen 6 of their last 8 meetings go under the total.

[gameodds]3/287011/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

The Starting PitchersThe Yankees will send
right-hander David Phelps to the hill today. Phelps is just 1-5 in his team
starts this season with a 4.19 ERA. He's coming off a terrible start last
Monday at home versus Seattle. In that outing Phelps allowed 6 earned runs in
6.0 innings of work during a 10-2 loss to the Mariners. On a positive note,
Phelps has gone 8-3 in his last 11 team starts versus an opponent with a losing
record.

The Royals will send
southpaw hurler Daniel Duffy out to the mound on Saturday. Duffy comes off what
was arguably the best start of his career Monday in St. Louis. The lefty tossed
6.0 innings of scoreless baseball while allowing just 1-hit. Duffy has now gone
10-4 in his last 14 team starts overall. The bad news is that Duffy hasn't
fared well in 2 career starts versus the Yankees. In those 2 outings he's
posted a mammoth 10.80 ERA and 2.16 WHIP.

Yankees Bats Silent of LateHeading into this
weekend series with Kansas City the Yankees offense has been anemic scoring
just a combined 16-runs over their last 7-games. The other bad news in that
regard is they will be facing a southpaw starter tonight, and the Bronx Bombers
have hit a paltry .196 over their previous 10-games in that role. The Yankees
have seen just 11 of their last 40 road games go over the total when they face
a left-handed starting pitcher. On a profitable note, the Yankees are 13-3 in
their last 16 road games when facing a southpaw starter.

Ready for a Royals SurgeThe start to the season
has been bit of a disappointment for a Royals team that entered the season with
high expectations, and as a club that many experts labeled as a legitimate
playoff contender. The good news is there's still a lot of baseball left to be
played, and the Royals are coming off a momentum building series that saw them
take 3 of 4 from St. Louis. Despite the uneven start, they now find themselves
just 4.0 games behind the first place Detroit Tigers in the AL Central. Many of
you would be surprised to know that Kansas City is a stellar 38-17 in their
last 55-games as a money line favorite of -110 to -150.

Final AnalysisIt seems very strange to
look at the overnight lines and spot The Royals as a rare favorite versus the
Yankees. Painfully as it may seem for Yankees fans to face, you can certainly
make a strong case for Kansas City to be the better team in this matchup as of
this juncture. The Yankees will almost assuredly get the majority of the market
share as an underdog in this spot. I like the hungrier home team to get the
cash here.