A new poll shows incumbent Republican Sen. Marco Rubio and Florida Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy with commanding leads in their U.S. Senate primaries, but facing a close contest in the general election.

The survey by Mason Dixon Polling & Research, shows a general election matchup in the race puts Rubio at 46 percent and Democratic south Florida Congressman Patrick Murphy at 43 percent. The poll’s margin for error is at plus or minus four percent.

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The same poll has Rubio beating Manatee County home builder Carlos Beruff by 39 points and Murphy beating Orlando Congressman Alan Grayson by 33 points in their respective primaries. The primary election is next Tuesday.

Carol Cox, Democratic analyst, said, “Rubio has said several times that he didn’t really enjoy being a Senator. He didn’t think it was worth his time and that he got back into the race for what some people will say was opportunism. I think voters will see through that and vote for Murphy.”

Republican analyst Eddie Fernandez said, “The Holy Grail of Florida politics: it’s Hispanics and it’s independents and that poll showing that he (Rubio) has a substantial lead in that, with carry, and I think it will actually multiply going into the General election in November.

The poll does show Murphy trailing in his appeal to Latinos and independents, but Rubio’s unfavorable rating, at 35 percent, is more than three times Murphy’s, laying the groundwork for a negative campaign fight.

“I think he (Rubio) needs to counter-punch and counterattack on Patrick Murphy’s resume, on some of the questions that can be raised about Patrick Murphy’s history. And with that two pronged approach, I think he has a very good chance of maintaining his seat,” Fernandez said.

“You’re going to see, Murphy and the Democratic party come out against Rubio, but it’s against what Rubio has done, or more fairly, what Rubio has not done for the State of Florida,” Cox said.

Central Florida is where the two are closest among the various regions of the state, with Rubio up 49 percent to 44 percent.