Patriots (-9.5) at Dolphins

If New England already had the No. 1 seed locked up, this game would be a much different story. The Patriots are still playing for that seed though, so I’ll have to take them with the win. However, Miami has something to play for too, so I won’t take the Pats with that much of a lead.

Jaguars (+4.5) at Colts

Not really sure how to predict games that don’t matter, but I’ll go ahead and take Andrew Luck and the Colts over a poor Jacksonville team.

Panthers (+6) at Buccaneers

The Bucs disappointed me over the last couple weeks, as I’ve been rooting for them. Now they need a super-miracle to make the playoffs. They won’t make it in, but they should win this game at home. Not by a touchdown, though.

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Bears (+5) at Vikings

This is a tough one, but I’ll take Minnesota’s defense to help the Vikings squeeze out a small-margin victory.

Browns (+6) at Steelers

Pittsburgh is pretty much throwing this game, deciding to rest its players since the Steelers are locked in the No. 3 seed. Honestly, I think Pittsburgh is still a better team, backups or not, so I’ll take a Steelers win by less than six points.

Bills (-3.5) at Jets

E.J. Manuel vs. Ryan Fitzpatrick. Oh boy. Get your popcorn. This should be a tough one to watch. I think Buffalo’s defense will keep them in this game, and Fitzpatrick might throw another two or three picks. Give me the Bills by 4+.

Cowboys (+4) at Eagles

For some reason, Dallas could be playing its starters. I’m not sure why, but I envision the Cowboys smartening up and sitting the starters sometime during the game. I’ll take Philly at home to close the season by less than four.

Ravens (+2.5) at Bengals

Two more teams with nothing to play for, but Baltimore would love nothing more than to take frustrations out on a division rival to close the season. Here’s another game where I’ll take the ‘dogs.

Chiefs (-6) at Chargers

As always, our detailed Chiefs picks are coming Saturday morning. I’m taking Kansas City by more than six.

Raiders (+1) at Broncos

I’ve gone back and forth with this one, but ultimately I can’t take the Raiders with Matt McGloin going up against Aqib Talib and Chris Harris on the road. Much like Baltimore, Denver is angry and wants to knock off a division foe to cap off 2016.

Seahawks (-9.5) at 49ers

Seattle is playing for a possible first-round bye, so they should be able to destroy San Francisco no problem. This line may actually be too small.

Cardinals (-6) at Rams

LA has lost six in a row and Arizona is coming off a win over Seattle. Yeah, I’ll take the Cardinals here by 6+.

Saints (+6.5) at Falcons

Not much analysis for this one — I’ll take the home team playing for a first-round bye over a Saints team with no reason to play.

Giants (+7.5) at Redskins

New York also plans to play its starters (what’s the deal with these NFC East teams?) while Washington is playing for a possible playoff spot. The Redskins will want this one more, so I’ll take them in the end by less than seven.

Packers (-3.5) at Lions

This could be the best game of the weekend. I’ll definitely be watching, and you should too. With Green Bay on a roll and hitting its stride, I think they take out Detroit and win the NFC North.

My Week 16 record: 9-7*
My overall record: 164-74-2*

*Keep in mind, this is my record in predicting matchups straight up, not against the spread.