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Video: Cash-strapped USPS could cancel Saturday delivery

>>>good evening. we are continuing to cover the ongoing tragedy in chile as we will in a moment. tonight we begin the broadcast with an american institution facing some big changes, which in turn will affect all americans. because life has changed, the
post office
was once one of the landmarks in town, every town. because many of us send and receive count levee mails every day, the
u.s. postal service
is feeling it and being forced to change with the times. in fact, it appears to be scrambling to remake the way it does business now. we start with tom costello in our washington newsroom tonight. tom, good evening.

>>reporter: hi, brian. if the
postal service
were a stand-alone business it might be asking for a government bailout. it's not. it doesn't get any taxpayer assistance, but three outside consultants said if it's going to survive, things have got to change fast. there may be no bigger example of how the internet is changing the way america lives,
online banking
, shopping and e-mail mean far fewer bills, letters, catalogs and direct marketing flowing through the mail. total mail volume is already down a whopping 16% just since
2006
. over the next decade, volume is expected to drop another 15% to 34%. without quick action, the
postal service
budget shortfall will climb from $7 billion this year to $238 billion by
2020
. today the post
master general
spelled it out.

>>the
postal service
is facing a severe
income gap
that we absolutely have to close.

>>reporter: the
postal service
has a plan. cancel saturday
mail delivery
as soon as next year. close inefficient
post offices
, raise postage rates and open kiosk in grocery store and pharmacies to reach more customers. in california, elaine lewis doesn't like the idea.

>>if i ordered something for christmas or birthday and if i'm not going to get it on a saturday, that's an extra day.

>>reporter: it's up to congress to approve the changes. in the past it said no, but this time it may be prepared to act.

>>the
postal service
is going to run a deficit over the next ten years of over $200 billion if we do nothing. nothing is not an option.

>>reporter: conscious repeatedly hamstrung the
postal service
making it illegal to close
post offices
and requiring it to prepay all retiree benefits upfront, something no other agency must do. today the postal
board of governors
urged congress to act quickly.

>>the
postal service
finds itself on a course that is simply unsustainable.

>>reporter: the word "dire" was repeatedly used
over and over
again today. one of the options not being discussed for the
postal service
is lay-offs. more than 650,000 postal workers will keep their jobs for now.

WASHINGTON — The post office is renewing its drive to drop Saturday delivery — and plans a rate increase — in an effort to fend off a projected $7 billion loss this year.

Without drastic action the agency could face a cumulative loss of $238 billion over 10 years, Postmaster General John Potter said in releasing a series of consultant reports on agency operations and its outlook.

"The projections going forward are not bright," Potter told reporters in a briefing. But, he added, "all is not lost ... we can right this ship."

Sen. Tom Carper, D-Del., chairman of the Senate subcommittee with oversight authority over the Postal Service, called on Congress to give the post office the flexibility to deal with its future needs.

"In light of the serious financial challenges facing the Postal Service, postal management must be allowed to make the business decisions they need to stay competitive and viable in the years to come. As we have seen, it is not productive for Congress to act like a 535-member board of directors and constantly second-guess these necessary changes," Carper said in a statement.

Frederic V. Rolando, president of the National Association of Letter Carriers, also urged Congress to provide the post office with "financial breathing room," but he opposed eliminating one day of delivery.

"I do not believe that weakening our commitment of six-day service to the public will enhance the long-term position of the Postal Service as a critical element in our nation's economic infrastructure," Rolando said."

As Americans turn more and more from paper to electronic communications, the number of items handled by the post office fell from 213 billion in 2006 to 177 billion last year. Volume is expected to shrink to 150 billion by 2020.

At the same time, the type of material sent is shifting from first-class mail to the less lucrative standard mail, such as advertising.

And as people set up new homes and businesses, the number of places mail must be delivered is constantly increasing.

The agency has asked Congress for permission to reduce delivery days and has previously discussed the need for other changes such as closing some offices.

Cutting back Saturday home delivery, however, does not mean post offices would close that day.

There seemed to be concern on the part of Congress that officials had not looked at all possible options, Potter said, adding that was part of the reason for the three consultant studies.

Potter said he would like to see mail delivery cut to five days a week starting next year.

Later this month, he said, the Postal Service will ask the independent Postal Regulatory Commission to review its plans for the service reduction.

Under the law, the agency is not supposed to raise rates more than the amount of inflation, but there is a loophole allowing for higher increases in extraordinary situations such as the current recession and drop in mail volume.

"We intend to use that tool," Potter said.

He said the USPS's governing board is engaged in lively discussions of rate increases, though he declined to speculate on a new price. Currently, first-class stamps cost 44 cents. Rates for other classes vary.

"We need to walk slowly and very, very careful" in raising prices, Potter said, noting that increases can also drive business away.

A proposal before the Postal Regulatory Commission has estimated that increases of 3 percent this year and 10 percent next year would be needed to get the agency back to break-even.

While suggestions to close local post offices always draw complaints, Potter said the current system could be improved by opening more postal facilities in places like convenience stores and supermarkets. A few Office Depot stores are already doing this, he said.

The average post office has 600 patrons a week, Potter said, while the average supermarket brings in 20,000 people each week and is open longer hours and more days.

Only after such new facilities were available would a local post office close, he said.

Money-saving ideas considered and dismissed by the consultants included reducing the efficiency of mail delivery, Potter said.

Currently, the standard is to deliver first-class mail in one-to-three days, depending on the distance traveled. Reducing this to two-to-five days could save money by allowing more use of ground transport, but Potter said it would also reduce the value of mail use, especially to businesses.

Another possibility would be to ask Congress for a subsidy, but noting the current financial conditions Potter said "we do not plan to pursue that." The post office has not received taxpayer subsidies for its operations since the early 1980s.

Potter said the agency is looking to new types of mail services to offer but will not seek to get into other types of business, such as banking, which are offered by many foreign postal services.

The agency has cut its work force from a peak of 800,000 career employees to currently about 600,000, and Potter said it wants to use more part-time people in the future. Over the next 10 years some 300,000 postal workers will become eligible to retire and that will offer an opportunity to make this change, he said.

A major problem for the agency is a new requirement for an annual payment of $5.5 billion to prepay expected medical benefits for retirees. Most businesses handle that cost on a pay-as-you-go basis and Potter said he is seeking congressional approval for the post office to go back to that standard.

The consultant reports, costing a total of $4.9 million, involved volume and revenue forecasts prepared by the Boston Consulting Group, revenue research by Accenture and a combined business forecast prepared by McKinsey & Company.

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