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For the first half of the week it looked like equities may finish the week in the green. The optimism came to a halt after Japan, China, and Europe released disappointing economic data, which stoked global growth concerns. Retail sales and industrial production in China missed expectations, while the Eurozone released disappointing flash PMIs. This poor economic data coincides with continued trade concerns, an Italian budget standoff, and continued uncertainty around Brexit, after Prime Minister Theresa May survived a no-confidence vote. Read more from Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

During their meeting, Trump and Xi agreed to a trade truce and put a 90-day cease fire on the trade war. Markets opened higher Monday on the news. White House economic advisor, Larry Kudlow said that trade negations will happen quickly and result in a positive outcome within the 90 days. Questions remain, as conflicting statements from the White House regarding the start date of the 90-day truce added to the uncertainty. With time to digest the news, the Monday’s gains were quickly wiped away as the week moved alon. Read more from Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

All eyes will be on the much anticipated high-stakes meeting between U.S. President Trump and China President Xi Jinping at the G-20 summit this weekend. Optimism is growing for a deal to be hatched, which I find unlikely. There are too many moving parts to conjure up a grand deal over a dinner date. Instead, I look for a constructive meeting that gives Trump enough motivation to delay/remove the upcoming increase in existing 10% tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese goods to 25%, while the two sides negotiate a trade pact. I think both sides are looking for some momentum – President Trump recently lost control of the House of Representatives and is looking for a “win”, while the Chinese economy is struggling and in need of a boost – which will lead to softened tones and a more constructive discussion. Read more from Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

Homebuilder confidence, measured by the National Association of Home Builders’ monthly confidence index, fell eight points to a reading of 60 in November. The 60 reading is the lowest since 2016 and missed forecasts of a flat reading. Effecting confidence was the increasing material costs, tight labor market, rising mortgage rates, and the shrinking supply of lots.
Housing starts increased to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.228 million in October, which was a 1.5% increase according to the Commerce Department. The reading was a 2.9% decline from a year earlier. Permits decreased 0.6% from September and was 6% lower than the year prior. Additionally, housing affordability continues to drop due to increasing mortgage rates and home prices. Read more from Ryan Nauman's Weekly Recap and subscribe to have it delivered to your inbox each week!

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