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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2001
...CORRECTED TO ADD HEADLINE...
...ERIN MOVING ERRATICALLY NORTHEASTWARD...WATCH FOR FLORIDA
EAST COAST...
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND
FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF
THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM
CHOKOLOSKEE TO TARPON SPRINGS.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT
145 MILES...235 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA.
GABRIELLE IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH
... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST LATE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GABRIELLE TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT
REACHES THE COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH GABRIELLE ARE SPREADING OVER PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE KEYS. VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL...LOCALLY IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES...IS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND KEYS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. SOME
PARTS OF SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE ALREADY SATURATED...AND THERE
IS A SERIOUS FLOOD THREAT IN THESE AREAS. CONSULT STATEMENTS FROM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICES FOR DETAILS.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IS LIKELY NEAR AND
TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.
THERE IS THE RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND THE KEYS.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...25.5 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT...FRIDAY.
FORECASTER BEVEN
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