Another 17% of respondents were not sure which candidate
would be better for their investments. The poll noted that
responses were nearly identical among investors with more than
$50,000 invested and those with less.

Bloomberg and Morning Consult polled 2,001 registered voters, 945
of whom had some money in the stock market. This is a bit less
than the latest Gallup data, which showed a
little more than half of Americans have any money in the
stock market.

And with the
most recent national poll shows Clinton leading Trump by
7 points, the inference we can make here is that the
roughly half of Americans invested in the stock market prefer
Trump more than the general population. (This does, however,
assume that those invested in the stock market care more
about their investments than who ends up being elected — which I
don't think is rock solid.)

We've written previously that over the last century, the stock
market has "predicted"
the winner of the election 19 out of 22 times. If stocks are up
in the three months before the election, the incumbent party
wins. Otherwise, we get a change in power.

We're still about six weeks off from the beginning of
this three-month stretch.

The incumbent victory that follows a rise in the price of stocks
indicates investors are generally happy to continue rolling with
what's been working — if, that is, it's working.

Given that the S&P 500 has gone sideways for about two years
now, perhaps the preference for Trump is an indication that
investors are, more than anything else, simply looking for
something new.