Peyton Manning hits Broncos tight end Julius Thomas with a completion in the first half at Dallas on Sunday. (Joe Amon, The Denver Post)

According to the excellent stats site Football Outsiders[1], the Broncos have a 99.1 percent chance of making the playoffs, based on their performance through Week Five of the season. That 99.1 percent chance is the highest among the 32 NFL teams; next best are the Seahawks, who have a 97.8 percent chance, according to the site.

The Broncos’ divisional rivals, the Chiefs, have a 92.2 percent chance, second-best among AFC teams.

According to the same model, the Broncos also have the best odds of winning the Super Bowl, with a 26.8 percent chance. Seattle is again next, with 20.8 percent. In addition, the site provides the odds of teams going undefeated; the Broncos’ 3.3 percent chance is slim, but it’s still the highest in the NFL.

The model that Football Outsiders uses to compute these numbers plays out the season 50,000 times. Check out all of the percentages here[2].