Week 1 Fantasy Football Tiers

Welcome back to fantasy football! Week 1 tiers and ranks are online. A few things have changed behind the scenes since last year. Most notably, the charts are now near real time (updating every hour). I welcome any feedback, comments, and questions on twitter. Enough chatter; let's win some championships.

IntroductionIn this fantasy football model, I take aggregated expert ranking data from Fantasypros.com and pass it into a statistical clustering algorithm called a Gaussian mixture model. The algorithm finds players who are ranked similarly and discovers natural tiers within the data. The results is a series of simple charts that can help you decide your fantasy football line up each week. Match ups, injuries, strength of offense and defense are all accounted for. For more intuition behind the model, you can read this introduction.

Tips

(1) Favor higher tier players.(2) When choosing between players of the same tier, flip a coin or go with your gut. If experts are 50/50, there's no wrong choice.(3) Fill your non-Flex positions first. Then use the Flex charts.