Saturday, April 22, 2017

Income testing – can I bring a formula sheet?

Low income. Middle
income. Regressive taxation. It’s
election time, so these words are being thrown around like cheap candy at a
small town parade. Whenever some new
benefit or tax is proposed, an argument pops up faster than the new Massey
Bridge – how does this impact the ‘rich’ compared to the ‘not-so-rich,’ with
scorn for policies that appear to give greater benefits to the well off.

Income testing is often proposed as a solution to these issues,
a way of distributing taxes and benefits in a more equitable manner. Both the NDP and Green party platforms
include new or expanded use of income testing for various measures, such as

Daycare

Climate action rebate

Expanding rental assistance

Student loan interest

Education grants

Homeowner grant

Progressive property tax

Low income benefit

The Liberal platform doesn’t speak of many particulars on
this matter, but their platform document mostly consists of “holy crap, we’re
awesome” and “bewaaaaare the 1990’s…..” so, we’ll just leave it aside.

The
challenge with income tested programs is they effectively increase the tax rate
on low-income earners earnings. So
what’s meant to provide a progressive distribution of taxes and benefits can
end up asserting itself in a very regressive manner.

If
you are a high income earner and earn an additional dollar, you pay your
marginal tax rate on it. If you’re a low
income earner and you earn an additional dollar, you pay your (lower) marginal
tax rate on it, but you also lose various benefits due to having a higher
income. Those losses of benefits are
effectively a tax on low income earners.

A
few years ago the CD Howe institute looked at this and put out a study
of the marginal effective tax rate for families in the western
provinces. It was a good look, but some
of the various benefits have changed (e.g. Canada Child Benefit) and they
didn’t include certain costs and benefits, such as MSP premiums. So I figured I’d take a crack at it using the
latest tax rates and benefits for BC.

I
looked at a single parent of two school age children, as they have more
potential benefits available to them (and to be clawed back) and are often the
type of people we are concerned with when talking about low income
families. I considered looking at a dual
parent family, but things get crazier than Miley Cyrus’s hair, and the numbers
for a single parent are enough to get the point across.

I
wanted to estimate a taxpayer’s average and marginal tax rates across various
income levels, accounting not only for income tax, but all the various
additional taxes, fees, and income tested benefits to assess just how much income
is taxed back as you increase your wages.
So I looked at a Costco warehouse pack of various taxes and benefits.

Basically, I assumed that the taxpayer was going to pay all
their obligations personally, and that they would claim any benefits they are
eligible for. Various tax rates came
from taxtips.ca, Canada
Child Benefit, WITB, and BC Family bonus from the CRA benefits estimator,
BC Rental Assistance from their
estimator (assuming renting in Metro Vancouver), and MSP from the BC
government website. Estimating BC
childcare subsidies was a pain in the ass, and calculated by hand using the
formulae and tables in the regulations. All
were done using current or 2017 rates, except for the CRA benefits estimator as
it only goes to 2016.

I
then estimated the various taxes and benefits for someone earning wages of $0
to $50,000 in $5,000 increments. For
each wage level, I calculated the total income including all benefits, the
total taxes, including MSP and payroll taxes, and determined the average tax
rate at that income level.

For
each increment of $5,000 in wages, I calculated the additional gross income (easy,
exactly $5,000 in each case), the additional net income (additional income
after taxes and benefits are adjusted) and calculated the marginal tax rate on
that $5,000 of additional earning.This
marginal tax rate was based on the amount of after tax income gained compared
to the gain in gross earnings, and accounted for increases in taxes payed and
reductions in benefits received.For
example, if you earned an extra $5000 in wages, but payed an extra $500 in
taxes and lost $1000 in benefits, the marginal tax rate would be 30%.

The
CD Howe study I mentioned above found BC dual income families face a marginal
effective tax rate that was slightly negative up until about $15,000 of income,
at which point it shot up to between 20% and 60%, before levelling off around
35%.

When you add in more income tested benefits, the numbers
gets worse. However, the general pattern I found is very similar to that in the
CD Howe study. Plotting it out, we see many interesting things.

Firstly,
with zero taxable income, a single parent can get over $27,000 in various forms
of income/government benefits. And this
is not including social services such as CPP, EI, or income assistance (though
those would all be taxable income, and thus move the person up the chart).

Secondly,
going from $5,000 to $10,000 in taxable income, there is a negative marginal
tax rate, that is after tax income rises faster than gross income, hooray!This is due to the Working Income Tax
Benefit, which is a refundable tax credit.Sadly, once we get past $15,000 in taxable income, things turn very not
hooray.

Moving
from $15,000 to $25,000, there is actually an effective marginal tax rate that
is greater than 100%. I always harp
on people who say “I don’t want to earn more, it’ll put me in a higher tax
bracket,” because the way income taxes work, you never lose more in taxes than
you gain in income.Well, apparently you
can.If you are a single parent earning
in the $15,000 to $25,000 range and claiming all these benefits, earning an
extra dollar of taxable income will mean you take home 20 cents less than you
did before.

I
know everyone likes to harp on MSP as being regressive, but MSP has barely even
started at this point. The key drivers here are the loss of rental assistance
and childcare subsidies.

Moving
up in income from $30,000, the marginal tax rate drops off from 80% down to 50%
as various benefits are lost (and thus no longer clawed back) and MSP premiums climbe and then level out.Side note since I know someone will ask – I
ran this with the 2016 MSP premiums as well, when they were twice as much.It shifted things around a bit, slightly
higher marginal tax rates in the $20-30k range, slightly lower in the $30k+,
but the numbers were all within 5-10 points.Likewise, eliminating MSP entirely makes an equivalent impact in the other direct.The chart below shows where the taxes and
clawbacks are coming from for two of the higher marginal effective tax rates.

Out
of curiosity, I also did the analysis for a single adult, with far fewer
benefits available.While the magnitude
of the marginal rates were much smaller due to this, the pattern was still the
same – negative rates until $10,000, peaking at around 44% at $20,000, then
dropping down and levelling off at 32%.

Also
out of curiosity I looked at the marginal rate of increasing a single parent’s
income from $100,000 to $105,000. Since
your MSP, CPP and EI are already maxed out, and the only benefit still
remaining is a small amount of the Canada Child Benefit, despite having much
higher marginal income tax rates, the effective marginal tax rate at this level is only
(only!) 43%.

None
of this is to say income testing is good or bad, or the alternatives are
necessarily better or worse. Different hammers
for cracking different skulls and all that.
Since apparently mullets are a thing again this election, all this is to
say that while income testing is progressive business up front, it
has a regressive party going on in the back. What's the incentive to earn more if you're only going to keep 20% of it or worse.

Compounding this is the un-coordinated nature of the various benefits
from different levels of government, and we end up with the situation where a
single parent can take more money home by earning less. I struggle to see anything progressive in
that.