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“At the time there was talk in Uganda about helicopter scientists—whites from the United States and Europe who just parachuted in, took data, and didn’t work with local African experts.I was the only American woman in the room, and it was a tough audience.Education is free, corruption is rare, crime rates are low, and the nation has never been at war.Citizens are loyal: A visitor quickly learns that even mild criticism of anything related to Botswana is considered impolite.Otherwise it would be irrelevant.”The idea that long-term simultaneous partnerships might increase the spread of HIV was first proposed by British epidemiologists Robert May and Charlotte Watts in 1992.But Morris had not seen their article when she set out for Uganda in 1993, and her mathematical tools were not up to the complicated task of modeling multiple long-term partnerships anyway.In the 1980s Australian demographer John Caldwell insisted that the virus was spreading rapidly in Africa simply because people there tended to have more sexual partners than people elsewhere.

At the time, Uganda had one of the highest HIV-infection rates in the world, so she flew there in 1993 to gather data on sexual behavior.“Just after I arrived in Uganda, I had to give a lecture to Ugandan doctors at the medical school in Kampala, telling them what I planned to do,” she recalls.Chin believes it’s the only possible explanation: “People tell me not to say it, but I strongly believe it.” Some studies do show that Africans have more—but not vastly more—sexual partners, on average, than people in Western countries.For example, a study of sexual behavior in Zimbabwe, where roughly 33 percent of adults are HIV-positive, found that in a single year, most people have between one and three sexual partners.The growing disaster has forced AIDS experts to reconsider old theories about how HIV spreads in Africa.Outside of sub-Saharan Africa, many HIV-positive people are injecting drug users, prostitutes, and highly promiscuous homosexual men who may have hundreds of different sexual partners every year.