I think we all knew deep down it was a delta (even the dept of commerce).

Quoting: TS66

Agreed. reverse umbra magnetism on first appearance jan 09.

I am really liking the glassing off on the lower right hand. Shows a large area for future complexity in any future coronal loops; If the differential rotation keeps up and the central umbra hold tight, we may see some cme's as the region contracts... probably 2 days time.

I just keep thinking this in hope terms. The penumbra seems to be breaking down (although this could just be the expansion of an future contraction)...

it appears that there is CME activity going on to the southwest of 1654that whole area we have been talking about seeing the southern part of the magnetic conncetion [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] to see this best, watch the movie for all of today on SDO in the AIA 094, 335, 193

Did anyone notice the flare from the spot behind 54? A little spot behind and slightly above. Is that the other part of 54? I set the clock for 0:00 on the 11th, then used the step option to catch it. It happens only two steps in

Spread the word, change the collective conscious......THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide

Well Bz is wide open, but I'm not aware of any inbound CMEs, or coronal hole streams for today. I'm sure we will, but it takes a couple days, and the prediction models haven't updated yet for today's activity.

I think we all knew deep down it was a delta (even the dept of commerce).

Quoting: TS66

Agreed. reverse umbra magnetism on first appearance jan 09.

I am really liking the glassing off on the lower right hand. Shows a large area for future complexity in any future coronal loops; If the differential rotation keeps up and the central umbra hold tight, we may see some cme's as the region contracts... probably 2 days time.

I just keep thinking this in hope terms. The penumbra seems to be breaking down (although this could just be the expansion of an future contraction)...

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23231420

I see as many as 8 Delta spots on 1654 (where pos & neg umbra are less than 2* of eachother). This magnetic complexity is what increases the chance of flaring, rather than how tight the penumbra is "wrapped " IMHO.

@hughAre you under the opinion that the umbra is contracting / in which case potentially setting stage for future cme's?

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23231420

No, I'm not sure what you mean. There are multiple Umbrae and I haven't noticed anything contracting with this region. CMEs and what triggers them is matter of much mystery and study by the top heliophysicists. I just sit back and watch; enjoying the beauty of it. I have noticed, however, lots of material, and filamentary plasma in and around 1654 & 52. It's just waiting for the right flare configuration and strength to release a big CME.

***The double-hump of that last flare appears to be that connection to 1652. Watch both regions flaring in unison in the Big Bear Observatory movie loop: