What should we think of someone who told us last February that he is very familiar with Egyptians and that the Muslim Brotherhood has only "roughly 100,000 followers in Egypt - which has a population of 82 million" and thus that they couldn't possibly win the election?

By April, though, he was boasting that the "The Brotherhood are [sic] set to win a plurality in September".

With 62% voter turn-out, there were 51 million voters. Even assuming 100% turn-out amongst the Brothers... their 100,000 votes would amount to a mere 0.2% of the total. Yet they received 47% - 24 million votes? (With a more extremist salafi party taking an addition 25% (another 13 million) votes?

Hard to tell if such a person is incredibly ignorant/stupid or just dishonest.Or Ahmadinejad's voice on RJ...?