The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Power Line

Team

Pitcher

Estimate

Edge

TAMPA BAY

COBB

-206

BOSTON

DOUBRONT

+206

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

TAMPA BAY team trends

Win/Loss record

Over/Under

Current Year

Last 3 Years

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

O-U

O-U

O-U

in all games

4-5

-2.5

186-151

+8.2

1119-1343

-67.8

4-4

135-185

1105-1253

when the total is 8 to 8.5

2-1

+1

88-61

+19.3

282-293

-1.3

1-2

60-82

264-295

as a road underdog of +100 to +125

1-1

+0.1

21-27

-3.7

102-142

-28.5

0-2

22-23

119-113

in road games

1-2

-0.9

90-77

+17

496-734

-74.7

0-2

76-82

579-596

on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5

1-0

+1.1

40-32

+9

126-154

+5.3

0-1

35-33

140-134

in April games

4-5

-2.5

34-25

+6.8

169-205

-11.5

4-4

23-34

178-179

when playing on Friday

1-0

+1

32-20

+9.1

169-218

-36.9

0-1

22-28

173-199

when playing with a day off

0-0

0

15-15

-1.2

104-146

-19.6

0-0

10-20

114-126

against division opponents

1-2

-1.7

84-63

+9.3

477-564

+25.1

3-0

61-80

477-525

in games played on a grass field

1-2

-0.9

78-71

+11

414-622

-74.5

0-2

66-76

494-500

in night games

3-2

+1

120-99

+6.6

728-896

-66.5

1-3

84-122

739-816

against left-handed starters

2-0

+2.1

61-44

+17.2

307-378

-32.3

1-1

47-52

317-342

after shutting out their opponent

1-1

-0.9

13-18

-9.2

54-60

-3.1

1-1

16-15

49-65

after a win

1-2

-2

102-80

+7.2

535-579

-12.5

2-1

76-98

496-567

when playing against a team with a winning record

2-2

+0.1

98-93

-5.4

541-737

-46.1

0-3

76-104

570-655

BOSTON team trends

Win/Loss record

Over/Under

Current Year

Last 3 Years

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

O-U

O-U

O-U

in all games

5-4

+0.9

166-169

-48.5

1477-1197

-55.7

5-4

165-154

1241-1298

when the total is 8 to 8.5

3-1

+2.4

55-39

+6.3

268-182

+22.4

3-1

44-50

218-224

at home with a money line of -100 to -125

0-1

-1.2

17-17

-2

107-103

-10.6

0-1

20-12

100-97

in home games

1-2

-1.6

82-85

-40.8

784-551

-35.8

1-2

90-68

636-627

at home when the total is 8 to 8.5

0-0

0

18-15

-4.2

104-66

-8.2

0-0

17-16

86-81

in April games

5-4

+0.9

27-30

-11.4

229-161

+26.2

5-4

29-24

177-188

when playing on Friday

1-0

+1.3

24-27

-10.8

227-187

-1.9

1-0

29-18

189-199

against division opponents

5-4

+0.9

69-84

-32.2

599-514

-50.2

5-4

78-70

540-523

in games played on a grass field

3-3

-0.5

146-150

-50

1302-1023

-22.8

3-3

144-136

1062-1138

in night games

2-3

-1.2

110-122

-46.8

1014-812

-39.4

3-2

112-107

852-884

against right-handed starters

3-2

+0.9

106-119

-49.6

1069-827

+1.8

4-1

115-100

876-919

after a loss

2-1

+1.2

78-94

-41.5

657-536

-22.4

2-1

84-79

522-602

when playing against a team with a losing record

2-2

+0.1

71-64

-24.2

746-507

-7.2

3-1

67-62

594-591

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games

Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

Games over the last 3 seasons

TAMPA BAY is 21-15 (+6.2 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

20 of 36 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

Games this season

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

TAMPA BAY is 12-6 (+8.3 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons

11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

Games played at BOSTON this season.

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History

ALEX COBB vs. BOSTON since 1997

COBB is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.125.

His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

ALEX COBB recent starts vs. BOSTON

Date

Opponent

Score

Line

Total

Result

Dec

IP

R

ER

H

HR

BB

SO

Opp Starter

9/26/2012

at BOSTON

4-2

-130

9

Win,Under

W

5

1

1

3

0

3

5

LESTER(L)

9/17/2012

BOSTON

2-5

-185

8

Loss,Under

L

6

4

3

2

1

3

4

COOK(R)

5/25/2012

at BOSTON

7-4

+135

9

Win,Over

W

5

2

1

3

0

4

2

LESTER(L)

FELIX DOUBRONT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997

DOUBRONT is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.567.

His team's record is 3-1 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

FELIX DOUBRONT recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY

Date

Opponent

Score

Line

Total

Result

Dec

IP

R

ER

H

HR

BB

SO

Opp Starter

9/18/2012

at TAMPA BAY

7-5

+155

7.5

Win,Over

W

6

3

3

1

0

5

5

HELLICKSON(R)

5/17/2012

at TAMPA BAY

5-3

+110

8.5

Win,Under

W

5.7

2

1

6

0

4

7

MOORE(L)

4/15/2012

TAMPA BAY

6-4

+105

9.5

Win,Over

5

4

4

9

1

1

7

MOORE(L)

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-871, 112.0 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 57.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (161-117, +21.0 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1059-1054, -130.0 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (157-119, +19.1 units)

Edge=BOSTON

&nbsp

The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (778-682, +8.6 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 54.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (91-76, +5.5 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (879-818, -55.7 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 58.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (104-75, +18.8 units)

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