Profile: One of the best starting pitching prospects in baseball, Julio Teheran has a bright future ahead of him. But don’t expect to see him blossom into a star quite so soon. In Triple-A last season, Teheran struck out 20.7% of opposing batters -- good, but not commensurate with his gaudy scouting reports. In his brief Major League stint, he induced opposing batters to swing and miss at just 6.3% of his pitches, which is considerably below average. He will improve if he refines his curveball and changeup, but right now if he is put in a Major League rotation he will post low strikeout totals. This isn’t helped by the fact that he is a heavy fly ball pitcher, based on PITCH F/x data and his Minor League groundball totals. He will also have to compete with Mike Minor for a rotation spot unless the Braves deal a starter, so playing time is another concern. Teheran is a great young pitcher, but he’s not a good bet to provide value as a starter in 2012. Let others get caught in the hype on draft day. (Josh Weinstock)

The Quick Opinion: Julio Teheran is a special prospect, but do not expect big returns from him this year. Let others get sucked in by his prospect hype.

Profile: Profile: Julio Teheran was the minor league's most disappointing pitcher in 2012 due to waning velocity and pitching movement. The culprit? A change in his mechanics which I analysed at the end of the season. Teheran still has the potential to be a front of the rotation starter, so don't sell low so him. Monitor discussions of right hander's mechanics and velocity in 2013 along with the development of his secondary pitches before making any hasty decision. Fantasy baseball is all about upside so he may be a strong buy low candidate after off-season prospect lists surface. (JD Sussman)

The Quick Opinion: Teheran's development stagnated in 2012 due to unnecessary tinkering with his mechanics. If he is unable to regain his velocity and improve his secondary offerings his value will continue to plummet. (JD Sussman)

Profile: The one-time top pitching prospect finally made good on his promise after struggling at Triple-A in 2012 and seeing his star dim. Though his velocity was down from when he made his MLB debut in 2011, he essentially ditched his change-up, and traded half of his curve balls for a new slider. That pitch generated a ton of swings and misses and led to a swinging strike rate that ranked 19th among qualified starters. He continued to display impeccable control as well, while the only real blemish in his skill set is a fly ball tendency. While his SIERA and inflated strand rate both suggest he was a bit lucky, this was a legitimate breakout. (Mike Podhorzer)

The Quick Opinion: After a forgettable April, Teheran found his strikeout pitch and enjoyed a true breakout season. While his ERA is likely to rise, he should post an above-average strikeout rate and pair it with strong control, leading to another solid performance and an ERA in the mid-to-high 3.00 range.

Profile: After struggling at Triple-A in 2012, Julio Teheran has now posted back-to-back promising seasons in his rookie and sophomore campaigns. The soon to be 24-year-old threw 220 innings last year and recorded another 14 win season, making him one of the more reliable young starters in the game. Teheran made strides by utilizing his two-seamer and changeup more, which allowed him to maintain an almost identical strikeout-to-walk ratio while he pushed his home run per nine inning mark below one.There is a bit of concern that Teheran is a dramatic fly ball pitcher and the Braves just replaced Justin Upton and Jason Heyward with Zoilo Almonte and Nick Markakis. That is a dramatic downgrade defensively and could lead to his ERA pushing up closer to his peripheral statistics. Teheran's career ERA of 3.16 is significantly lower than his career FIP of 3.66, so the hope is that Teheran continues to make strides in becoming a better pitcher to help mitigate the expected rise in his ERA from the change in outfield defense. Regardless, Teheran is a young and impressive starter and should be drafted accordingly in all fantasy formats. (Ben Duronio)

The Quick Opinion: Teheran avoided a sophomore slump and threw a very respectable 220 innings last season. The soon to be 24-year-old will have a worse defense behind him last year, but he is a reliable starter who has upside remaining.

Profile: Teheran’s inflated ERA in 2015 can be traced back in part to his struggles against lefties, as their production against him was fifth-highest of qualified starters. He lowered his release point in 2015 and traded sink on his change and slider for horizontal movement. Lefties torched the change and hit .358 against it, but only hit .246 off the slider. Lefties had never hit better than .200 off the pitch, and it looks like that is going to be his weapon of choice against them. He generated ground balls at his highest rate ever (39.7%) but his sinker was only beat into the ground 48.6% of the time. His slider garnered a 22.7% whiff rate, and 2015 was the first time he deployed his change more than the slide piece. His worst ever strand rate of 73.8% wasn’t his biggest downfall, but his 13.0% home runs per fly ball hurt him a lot, and it was the 14th-worst amongst starters. That should fall in 2016, and you can be confident in 180+ innings with 160+ strikeouts. You should be able to buy low on him, and he’ll look good in your stable of starters, but the change in his pitching mix and their movements may mean that the future is not necessarily much better than last season's work. (Darren Schienbein)

The Quick Opinion: An ERA over four wasn’t something owners of Julio Teheran were thankful for in 2015. Steamer isn’t projecting a terrible amount of improvement on that number. He’s the Braves best starter heading in to 2016, and there is still plenty of room for growth from a guy who will only be 25 on opening day.

Profile: It's starting to become a thing: Julio Teheran has pitched four full seasons in the majors at this point, and in every one, his ERA has outperformed his FIP by at least 0.35 points. On a surface level, it's easy to point to the reasons why: in 2016, for example, Teheran finished with a BABIP of .260 (vs. an average .298 BABIP for all starters) and a 77.8% strand rate (vs. 72.2%). Teheran has been a flyball pitcher for most of his career (41.0% FB rate), which could at least partially explain the low BABIP, though his infield fly rate and flyball exit velocity are both near average. He also had some issues with the speed of his fastball, especially near the start of the year. Teheran did cut his walk rate significantly from his 3.27 BB/9 in 2015, and he ramped up usage of his very effective slider, so his strong 3.21 ERA last year may well be indicative of some improvement compared to his 4.04 rate in 2014. There's still the danger, though, that he could end up closer to a league-average starter than the ace the Braves are counting on him to be. Don't pick Teheran at the SP2/3 slot he's likely to be drafted at this spring, but if he falls a little bit further, there's some upside if he somehow manages to keep the magic going. (Brice Russ)

The Quick Opinion: Teheran is a good pitcher, but it's not completely clear that he'll continue to outperform his ERA estimators. He'll likely be more of a top-40 SP than a top-25 one in 2017.