Crunching The Sc Numbers

January 28, 2008

Let's say, for instance, that African American
voters represented just 20 percent of the total electorate in South
Carolina instead of the 55 percent they did -- closer to, say, their
share of the New York Democratic electorate. Assuming each candidate
won the same proportionate support within each racial group, then Obama
still would have won the primary with 34.6 percent of the overall vote
to 32.6 percent for Clinton and 32.4 percent for former North Carolina
senator John Edwards.