Similar to my NFL Performance Ratings these break each team
down using the metrics & statistics I have tested and found to be of the
highest correlation to team success.One
aspect to keep in mind is the ratings above are best when lower compared to NFL
ratings that are best when higher.We
can use these ratings numerous ways, identifying teams that may be over or
under valued, or also for total players identifying which matchups could
produce more or less points.Last key
item of note is these ratings weight each stat equally, where below in my
projected wins & power ratings they are properly weighted to their impact
based on statistical testing.Using an
equal weight for each statistic can add a lot of value to your handicapping
efforts when properly applied.

Next let’s dive into the Power Ratings which use the
Performance Rankings as a base:

HOME

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Power Rating

Power Rating

L.A. Clippers

117.0

113.0

Miami

116.5

112.5

San Antonio

115.3

111.8

Golden State

114.5

111.5

Oklahoma City

115.5

111.5

Dallas

114.1

111.1

Toronto

113.9

110.9

Houston

114.2

110.7

Indiana

114.6

110.6

Phoenix

113.2

110.2

Memphis

112.9

109.9

Minnesota

112.8

109.8

Washington

111.1

108.6

Portland

111.9

108.4

New York

110.2

108.2

Brooklyn

111.2

108.2

Charlotte

110.6

108.1

Chicago

110.9

107.9

New Orleans

110.2

107.7

Detroit

109.4

107.4

Denver

109.8

107.3

Atlanta

109.6

107.1

Sacramento

108.7

106.7

Cleveland

107.8

105.8

Boston

107.2

105.2

Orlando

106.4

104.4

L.A. Lakers

105.5

103.5

Milwaukee

104.9

102.9

Utah

104.8

102.8

Philadelphia

102.0

100.0

These are actually Power Ratings that can be used when
handicapping nightly matchups.

Lastly let’s take a look at wins by team in three critical
buckets: SU to date, ATS to date, SU projected wins at season’s end &
current SOS:

Win %

ATS Win %

Projected Wins

Current SOS

Wins

RANK

Wins

RANK

Wins

RANK

SOS

RANK

L.A. Clippers

0.703

3

0.562

4

57.87

3

0.507

13

Miami

0.694

5

0.471

19

57.10

4

0.543

5

San Antonio

0.781

1

0.548

6

63.28

1

0.574

1

Golden State

0.616

8

0.486

17

50.90

8

0.538

7

Oklahoma City

0.740

2

0.549

5

59.98

2

0.565

2

Dallas

0.595

9

0.541

9

49.07

9

0.530

9

Toronto

0.575

12

0.606

2

47.47

12

0.514

11

Houston

0.681

6

0.529

10

55.07

6

0.554

3

Indiana

0.703

3

0.479

18

56.84

5

0.540

6

Phoenix

0.595

9

0.658

1

48.76

10

0.526

10

Memphis

0.589

11

0.465

22

48.29

11

0.533

8

Minnesota

0.500

16

0.486

15

41.75

16

0.505

14

Washington

0.521

15

0.514

11

43.18

15

0.497

17

Portland

0.640

7

0.547

7

51.69

7

0.545

4

New York

0.419

21

0.432

28

35.06

21

0.467

24

Brooklyn

0.542

14

0.542

8

44.19

14

0.505

14

Charlotte

0.479

17

0.586

3

39.40

17

0.491

18

Chicago

0.562

13

0.486

15

45.39

13

0.513

12

New Orleans

0.438

18

0.471

21

36.28

18

0.491

18

Detroit

0.356

23

0.431

29

30.21

23

0.456

26

Denver

0.438

18

0.452

23

35.82

19

0.491

18

Atlanta

0.431

20

0.437

26

35.16

20

0.479

21

Sacramento

0.342

24

0.471

19

28.48

24

0.469

23

Cleveland

0.400

22

0.493

14

32.71

22

0.470

22

Boston

0.315

26

0.507

13

26.22

26

0.448

27

Orlando

0.284

28

0.437

26

23.80

28

0.435

28

L.A. Lakers

0.342

24

0.514

11

27.39

25

0.503

16

Milwaukee

0.192

30

0.452

23

16.30

30

0.412

30

Utah

0.311

27

0.449

25

24.91

27

0.464

25

Philadelphia

0.219

29

0.397

30

18.04

29

0.420

29

This formula has proved to be very accurate over the years
at projecting not only the order at which teams will finish in the standings
but also the actual wins teams will finish with come the end of the regular
season (and they only get more accurate the deeper into the season we get).Based on these projections the playoffs would
set up like this; in addition I have included all teams in each conference that
have a chance at reaching playoffs.Lastly,
to give a better representation of estimated final record I use where each team
is currently record wise and simply apply my projected winning % for each team
based on my performance ratings to their remaining schedule:

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The SportsBoss is a handicapping "broker" that offers NFL, NBA, NCAA football, NCAA basketball, NHL and MLB picks. The Sports Boss leverages his background which includes both a BS and MBA in Finance to build robust, analytical models which aid in predicting outcomes of games in every sport.