That’s the takeaway from a “50 day” out memo sent to supporters Monday night.

“Four years ago, a neck and neck race between President Obama and Mitt Romney prompted pollster Nate Silver to suggest that Obama should concede Florida, given the expansive ground effort and steep investment in advertisement required to compete in the state. But President Obama won the state by less than 74,000 vote - or under a one percent margin,” it reads.

Come November, we’ll see if this was spin or an insightful take on how the race is shaping up.

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For Florida political news today, the Buzz is your can't-miss-it source. Tampa Bay Times writers offer the latest in Florida politics, the Florida Legislature and the Rick Scott administration. Keep in mind: This is a public forum sponsored and maintained by the Tampa Bay Times. When you post comments here, what you say becomes public and could appear in the newspaper. You are not engaging in private communication with candidates or Times staffers.