I am watching todays result in sth Qld Dave. For the last few days the BoM forecasts have mostly been too high.
Today has been similar – most places have not reached BoM forecast numbers.
Forecast vs Actual
Brisbane 39 — 37.5
Ipswich 41 —-37.5 (Amberley)
Normanton 40 —-37.1
Roma 38 —34.7
Charleville 37—35
Longreach 41 —37.7
Townsville 34—-31.5
There is a few. This follows on from days of over-egging forecasts for southern Qld.
Will have another look in the morning

This is a very interesting analysis. I had sensed that forecasts were generally positively stretched and ambitious but had not realized how systematic and widespread the propaganda effort was. It is certainly true that people judge weather by forecasts as much as in actual experience. As usual they are not interested in facts or science but only in politics.

When I was a forecaster nearly 40 years ago 3 deg C was a major error. Of course they have trouble when the weather changes. Persistence is the best forecasting technique. Tomorrow will be like today works well except when the weather changes.