Can you imagine if Katia and TD 13 came through our area? Would probably be over 4" from TD 13 and who knows from Katia. Projections for Katia have recently taken a bad turn towards the west rather than towards the north.

I think we need to watch hydro trends very closely the next seven days. Lots of anomalous moisture across the contiguous United States that will bring someone heavy rain.

Can you imagine if Katia and TD 13 came through our area? Would probably be over 4" from TD 13 and who knows from Katia. Projections for Katia have recently taken a bad turn towards the west rather than towards the north.

I loved DiffEQ. It seemed after the struggles of Calc I,II & III...DiffEQ was so easy to grasp. It's like the bring you along slowly with the Calc's that lead up to DiffEQ. Then it all falls in place. That is what I remember. It's been a long time since I was in college. Back in the early to mid 80's.

When you start to apply calculus in your problem solving it will click eventually. It's truly amazing that through Calculus we get a better understanding of Physics. I couldn't imagine being around people like Newton and their thoughts. Just truly brilliant people back then that came up with theories on Physics and Calculus.

I hope it will click eventually because after 2 days I can hardly keep up with the professor's very quick writing skills. I had a good grasp on Calculus 1, but not so much with Calc II. I've also felt amazed at how smart those guys mast have been, especially for their time.

The current forecast "cone" on TWC's homepage is the largest i have ever seen. It's actually a sphere and pathetic for them to even put it up. I could have made that myself.

Quoting wunderstorm87:I'm taking Calc & Stats both right now and already in the first 3 days I can see they are significantly different courses. It's interesting how you could take calc your junior year because I was always in the highest math classes and took algebra 1 in middle school and still could only take calc senior year.

Wow...just looked at Doppler velocities and the GTG shear is very strong with this (70 to 100kts). This is not a borderline TVS. Rarely do you see rotation that strong not produce at least a funnel cloud. It's going to be tough to spot at night now.

* AT 910 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE STORM CONTAINING THE POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS NEAR CAMERON...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE... DRIFTWOOD... SINNEMAHONING...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANSTHAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAYALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY.

Quoting Mason803:hpc has a bullseye of over 24" of qpf on their 5 day precip forecast. that is just crazy.

That's just incredible for the New Orleans area. It's probably not the most certain forecast given the track and development uncertainty for 93L, however. Regardless of development/track, at least 10" will probably occur somewhere given the copious amount of tropical moisture already heading northward over the area.

Places in the northeast need to watch this system and not just Katia. Another tropical system in an already saturated area would be very serious regardless of the wind speed (what the media tends to focus on or hype up).

That set up looks exactly like what I had except I took Calc and stats at the same time. Had to re-take Calc 1 last year and then took Calc 2 for the first time, which was the hardest math i've ever taken. Lots of silly formulas for different way to sum complicated series/sequences (seemed useless to me). Blizz, I agree with your finding of how the course seems to care more about where the formula came from then where it's actually useful (it all seemed backwards).

TRP I'm taking DiffEq, what did you think of it?

I loved DiffEQ. It seemed after the struggles of Calc I,II & III...DiffEQ was so easy to grasp. It's like the bring you along slowly with the Calc's that lead up to DiffEQ. Then it all falls in place. That is what I remember. It's been a long time since I was in college. Back in the early to mid 80's.

When you start to apply calculus in your problem solving it will click eventually. It's truly amazing that through Calculus we get a better understanding of Physics. I couldn't imagine being around people like Newton and their thoughts. Just truly brilliant people back then that came up with theories on Physics and Calculus.

If you all had gone the English Lit/Philosophy route, you could have avoided math altogether. Unfortunately, though, that worthless combination of degrees requires an advanced degree before you can secure employment. Which requires more loans. Which complicates repayment with all kinds of "we just added accruing interest to your total balance while you were in school" and "you can repay your loans individually at a 99.9% interest rate or you can consolidate your repayment at a much lower 99.89% interest rate" mumbo jumbo. Which then requires math. I guess sticking with math isn't such a bad idea.

On a related(?) note, what's with the tropics in the Gulf? First they say Texas will finally get rain. Then models drench New Orleans. Now everything is east through FL/GA and up the eastern seaboard with more drenching rain? When will we see snow?

Quoting wunderstorm87:I'm taking Calc & Stats both right now and already in the first 3 days I can see they are significantly different courses. It's interesting how you could take calc your junior year because I was always in the highest math classes and took algebra 1 in middle school and still could only take calc senior year.

Did you double up in any of those classes or did Central Dauphin just eliminate one of them completely/combine it with another?

That set up looks exactly like what I had except I took Calc and stats at the same time. Had to re-take Calc 1 last year and then took Calc 2 for the first time, which was the hardest math i've ever taken. Lots of silly formulas for different way to sum complicated series/sequences (seemed useless to me). Blizz, I agree with your finding of how the course seems to care more about where the formula came from then where it's actually useful (it all seemed backwards).

Quoting Blizzard92:I had a high A all though Calculus in high school my junior year. Then I took Statistics senior year and did well. Statistics is a completely different type of math, so it is taking me some time remember simple algebra things. It just seems our Calculus here is all about how to derive each theorem, but no examples on how to apply them to problems. It just is much different than my Calc in high school and so far I am struggling.

I'm taking Calc & Stats both right now and already in the first 3 days I can see they are significantly different courses. It's interesting how you could take calc your junior year because I was always in the highest math classes and took algebra 1 in middle school and still could only take calc senior year.

Just curious...why do you find Calc hard? didn't you take it in HS? Believe me I know Calc is not an easy math to grasp at first. Just like Physics is a totally different way of looking at things.

My favorite part of Physics was doing the math. Once I got through DiffEQ, I enjoyed Physics. The problem with Physics for me was coming up with the starting formula in a problem. The rest was cake.

Amazing weather we have been having the past 2 weeks, except for Irene. It's like mid-September mode

I had a high A all though Calculus in high school my junior year. Then I took Statistics senior year and did well. Statistics is a completely different type of math, so it is taking me some time remember simple algebra things. It just seems our Calculus here is all about how to derive each theorem, but no examples on how to apply them to problems. It just is much different than my Calc in high school and so far I am struggling.

The 0z models for 93L/Lee are probably the most worthless I've ever seen in a few years of looking at models for tropical systems. Just about every model has the system going slow and making a loop at some point (then going completely different directions). They're going to have to go "old-school" with this forecast.

What a mess...not what we need after many were criticizing Irene's forecast which was actually good.

I hear 700,000 customers lost power in CT. My family told me that we just got power back as well. I moved back into school yesterday, late, because of Irene. Blizz what are your first impressions of school?

Going okay so far... meteorology and associated lab are so much fun! Calc is pretty hard though, ugh.

Recovering slowly in NJ, Patterson and Denville under water. We were extremely lucky here at Jersey Shore. Most power being restored, some three days without, I was lucky and leant our genny out, they still complained. The weather has been delightful, no humidity, mid eighties. Tomorrow all changes, humidity moving in tonight.

Keeping an eye out for Katia and Lee, hoping they don't meet up. Stay Well.

Slow recovery here in Milford. Lots of folks still without power and many don't expect it back for 2-5 more days. Lots of large trees and limbs down.. a lot more than from the 12/26 blizzard. Some of the videos my friend posted from Woodmont beach were ridiculous.

I was down in Silver Spring, MD to visit family (and miss some rained out Yankee games) and things were pretty tame down there. 40mph gusts.. Pepco still managed to shit the bed for about 12 hours in her neighborhood, though.

We got pretty lucky with this one. I did have to laugh a little bit at a friend who called the storm a 'dud' a few hours before a 60 foot tree fell in his back yard, narrowly missing the house.

Quoting Blizzard92:Yep, still some people all around the Northeast without power. I guess I heard CT suffered its most widespread power outage weather related ever from Irene.

I hear 700,000 customers lost power in CT. My family told me that we just got power back as well. I moved back into school yesterday, late, because of Irene. Blizz what are your first impressions of school?

Quoting originalLT:Hi everyone, just got my power back!Went off Sunday 5:30AM9Large tree branch fell across wires about 5 houses up the street from me. I got 3.80" of rain in my rain guage. Winds were not "horrible", mostly 35-45mph, with some stronger gusts near 60. My Baro. got down to 28.69". I could tell when the center went by, it was to my West, as the pressure started to go up, my winds wre coming out of the SSW, basically over P451's area.Felt really"in the dark" not having power thus no internet or TV. Just had an old transitor battery radio to hear what the outside world was doing. Good to be back! LT

Yep, still some people all around the Northeast without power. I guess I heard CT suffered its most widespread power outage weather related ever from Irene.

Quoting TheRasberryPatch:Hello. Hey Blizz - I was reading a tweet from you last week, Aug. 24th. Very interesting. hahahaha

Did anyone see the pictures of the outer banks and the S-curves in Rodanthe? That area is prone to flooding even when it's not a storm, but WOW. I wonder what the people south of Rodanthe are going to do for supplies and the like?

Wow, that is a struggle, hahahaha. Guess I should be more careful and quickly delete them next time, lol.

Hi everyone, just got my power back!Went off Sunday 5:30AM A Large tree branch fell across wires about 5 houses up the street from me. I got 3.80" of rain in my rain guage. Winds were not "horrible", mostly 35-45mph, with some stronger gusts near 60. My Baro. got down to 28.69". I could tell when the center went by, it was to my West, as the pressure started to go up, my winds wre coming out of the SSW, basically over P451's area.Felt really"in the dark" not having power thus no internet or TV. Just had an old transitor battery radio to hear what the outside world was doing. Good to be back! LT

Hello. Hey Blizz - I was reading a tweet from you last week, Aug. 24th. Very interesting. hahahaha

Did anyone see the pictures of the outer banks and the S-curves in Rodanthe? That area is prone to flooding even when it's not a storm, but WOW. I wonder what the people south of Rodanthe are going to do for supplies and the like?