U.S. housing starts fall; producer prices nudge up

U.S. housing starts unexpectedly fell in January likely as bad weather disrupted building activity in some parts of the country, in what could be a temporary setback for the housing market recovery.

Other data on Wednesday showed producer prices rose last month and there were signs of an uptick in underlying producer inflation. Inflation is being watched closely for signs of whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year.

A shaky economic outlook and a sharp stock market sell-off have reduced the chances of the U.S. central bank tightening monetary policy further after it hiked its key overnight interest rate in December for the first time in nearly a decade.

Groundbreaking fell 3.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 1.099 million units, the Commerce Department said. Starts dropped in the Northeast, which was blanketed by snowstorms last month, and also tumbled in the Midwest.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast housing starts rising to a 1.17 million-unit pace last month.

The dollar rose against the euro after the data, while prices for U.S. Treasury debt extended losses.

The housing starts data came on the heels of a survey on Tuesday showing confidence among homebuilders fell in February amid concerns over "the high cost and lack of availability of lots and labor." Builders were also less optimistic about current sales.

Around 8% (5 of 66) of experts said San Diego is in a housing bubble. The median home price is $521,200 and values are up 6.4% in the last year, according to Zillow. About 9% see the market at risk of entering a bubble in the next 12 months.​

Nearly 9% of experts see L.A. in a housing bubble. The median home price is $554,100, up 7.1% in the last year. Another near 9% said L.A. is at risk of entering a bubble in the next 12 months.

Around 12% (8 of 66) of experts said Houston is in a housing bubble. The median home price is $141,300, and home values are up 8.5% in the last year.

Nearly 9% (6 of 66) of experts said Seattle is in a housing bubble. The median home price is $521,400 and values are up 12.7% in the last year.

Bay Area home prices continue to rise dramatically, as much as 14.7% in the last year.

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Though residential construction accounts for a small fraction of gross domestic product, the decline in starts at the beginning of the year suggests that an anticipated rebound in economic growth will be modest.

The economy grew at a 0.7 percent annual pace in the fourth quarter after consumer spending moderated and the robust dollar hurt exports. GDP growth was also restrained by efforts by businesses to sell inventory and cuts in capital goods spending by energy firms.

Economic growth estimates for the first quarter are currently around a 2 percent rate.

STARTS FALL BROADLY

In January, single-family housing starts, the largest segment of the market, fell 3.9 percent to a 731,000-unit pace. Single-family starts tumbled 14.1 percent in the Northeast and fell 3.8 percent in the Midwest. Overall starts in the Midwest plummeted 12.8 percent last month to their lowest level in nearly a year.

Groundbreaking on single-family projects was unchanged in the South, where most home building takes place. Single-family starts in the West dropped 10 percent.

Building permits dipped 0.2 percent to a 1.202 million-unit rate last month. Permits for the construction of single-family homes fell 1.6 percent last month. Multi-family building permits increased 2.1 percent.

In a second report, the Labor Department said its producer price index edged up 0.1 percent in January after slipping 0.2 percent in December. In the 12 months through January, the PPI decreased 0.2 percent after declining 1.0 percent in December.

The index for final demand services increased 0.5 percent in January, increasing for a third straight month. A 4.0 percent jump in margins for machinery and equipment accounted for nearly half of the increase in prices for services last month.

There were also increases in prices related to securities brokerage and dealing, loan services, apparel, footwear and accessories retailing, as well as fuels and lubricants retailing.

Goods prices fell 0.7 percent after a similar drop in December. A key measure of underlying producer price pressures that excludes food, energy and trade services rose 0.2 percent last month after advancing by the same margin in December.

The so-called core PPI was up 0.8 percent in the 12 months through January.