Its chances for anything beyond the Globes have been downplayed this whole season. A week ago if you so much as suggested that it might be even a fringe contender for PGA and ACE nominations, you would’ve been laughed out of every awards season forum. Why?

Personally, though I never thought of it as a major contender for BP/BD, it seemed logical to expect this film to have some noticeable presence throughout the awards season. It’s an Aaron Sorkin film, which means it will be seen by much of the industry. On top of that, it has received generally positive reviews from critics and has proven to be a crowd-pleaser. So why has it not been taken more seriously?

Because it missed out on SAG and the critics groups. Right now it is benefitting from being one of the only American studio films amidst a bunch of indies. If it does well on it’s wide release, it could be a late breaking contender like Hidden Figures or American Sniper.

Molly’s Game = Nightcrawler. I dont expect it’s guild run to translate to Oscar. Chastain missed SAG to Dench.

Not at all. Nightcrawler was unexpected an indie hit that was too dark for the academy. Molly’s Game is a studio film that was positioned to do well at Awards season. If anything, I, Tonya = Nightcrawler.

Chastain is also usually involved in many late-season Oscars non-starters (see “A Most Violent Year,” “Miss Sloane,” for receipts). Many probably thought that “Molly’s Game” would follow suit and Chastain’s poor timing luck.

This movie won’t go anywhere. It’s only chance is Adapted Screenplay for reasons we already know. And it can even miss that one.

Chastain certainly got a boost with PGA, I can imagine people going crazy thinking she has a shot and in the end, it could very well happen. I think she could end up being that Joy/Loving nomination you were so sure wouldn’t happen and then it did.

One thing’s for sure, Jessica Chastain NEEDS to add in her contracts a clause that prevents her Oscar films from debuting too late and too under the radar. She’ll never get a third nomination if they keep screwing up her films like this.

Molly’s Game = Nightcrawler. I dont expect it’s guild run to translate to Oscar. Chastain missed SAG to Dench.

Not at all. Nightcrawler was unexpected an indie hit that was too dark for the academy. Molly’s Game is a studio film that was positioned to do well at Awards season. If anything, I, Tonya = Nightcrawler.

Seriously? You’re gonna make me waste my time and consult the exact same Wikipedia page you probably looked at just to prove myself right? The movie was bankrolled by Sony under a separate division that allowed Amy Pascal to remain employed. STX is the distributor.

Get Latest Hollywood Predictions

Join more than 60,000 Hollywood insiders who get our email blast full of who’s up/ who’s down in hottest award and reality TV races. Also remember to sign up your pals and colleagues: It’s free and easy. Click Here!