The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly Trump Change survey finds that 76% of Likely Republican Voters think the billionaire businessman is likely to be their presidential nominee, including 38% who say it’s Very Likely. The latter figure is down only slightly from 40% last week, but a month ago 59% of Republicans said a Trump nomination was Very Likely, a figure that’s been falling ever since. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Among all likely voters this week, 67% believe Trump is the likely GOP nominee, with 30% who say it’s Very Likely. This is little changed from last week. But four weeks ago, 46% of all voters said Trump was Very Likely to be nominated.

Twenty-seven percent (27%) say Trump is unlikely to win the nomination, although that includes only nine percent (9%) who feel it’s Not At All Likely.

Unchanged from last week are the 18% of Republicans who see a Trump nomination as unlikely, but just four percent (4%) think it’s Not At All Likely.

The latest findings suggest that Trump is in a holding pattern after his forward momentum was halted by several campaign gaffes, millions of dollars in negative advertising directed at him by some in his party and his loss of the Wisconsin primary. But the recent loss of Colorado’s delegates to Cruz doesn’t appear to have hurt him nationally, perhaps because of the questions that have been raised about that process.

The survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted on April 13-14, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

The survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted on April 13-14, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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