Commentary and Tracking of a Portfolio of Stocks using approach from "The Little Book that Beats the Market" by Joel Greenblatt aka Magic Formula Investing

Saturday, July 25, 2015

Weekend Update MFI Diary - 7/25/15

Weekend Update

Terrible week for me. I am too depressed to even figure out how bad it was. It was like every bit of news was bad news. I had earnings from 6 or 7 of my holdings. Some were bad (like QCOM) and others were dreadful (like UIS and AWRE). The stock market will teach you humility. So I am now up 5.3% on the year. Seems like just a few weeks ago it was 14%. I had a meltdown last year from September onward, hopefully this is not a repeat.

MFI Select

Ok, I did the math. Down a smidgen over 10% this past week. Wow. I am not sure, but that has to be one of my worst MFI weeks ever. Hurt by NHTC down 25%.

8/15/2014

Start

Current

Dividend

Pct Gain

R3K
Gain

CSCO

$24.40

$28.40

$0.80

19.7%

8.2%

AGX

$36.71

$37.13

$0.70

3.1%

8.2%

ITRN

$21.32

$24.70

$0.87

19.9%

8.2%

BRCD

$9.34

$10.07

$0.15

9.5%

8.2%

CBI

$58.25

$48.80

$0.21

-15.9%

8.2%

Totals

7.3%

8.2%

11/15/2014

Start

Current

Dividend

Pct Gain

R3K
Gain

FLR

$64.80

$48.06

$0.63

-24.9%

3.7%

IPCM

$38.45

$51.89

$0.00

35.0%

3.7%

VIAB

$72.29

$56.41

$1.06

-20.5%

3.7%

NHTC

$12.19

$25.22

$0.06

107.4%

3.7%

AWRE

$4.40

$3.38

$0.00

-23.2%

3.7%

Totals

14.8%

3.7%

2/1/2015

Start

Current

Dividend

Pct
Gain

R3K Gain

VEC

$28.00

$23.73

$0.00

-15.3%

5.2%

QCOM

$62.73

$61.64

$0.90

-0.3%

5.2%

VIAB

$63.91

$56.41

$0.73

-10.6%

5.2%

UIS

$22.03

$16.55

$0.00

-24.9%

5.2%

NHTC

$12.44

$25.22

$0.05

103.1%

5.2%

Totals

10.4%

5.2%

5/6/2015

Start

Current

Dividend

Pct Gain

R3K
Gain

CBI

$50.38

$48.80

$0.07

-3.0%

0.0%

PSDV

$4.12

$4.07

$0.00

-1.3%

0.0%

TSRA

$38.94

$34.64

$0.20

-10.5%

0.0%

KORS

$62.24

$39.33

$0.00

-36.8%

0.0%

DEPO

$23.50

$32.60

$0.00

38.7%

0.0%

Totals

-2.6%

0.0%

Category/Tranche

August

November

February

May

Total

Initial
Investment

25,000

25,000

25,000

25,000

100,000

Current Tranche

7.3%

14.8%

10.4%

-2.6%

7.5%

Previous
Tranche

41.4%

14.2%

8.5%

18.3%

19.0%

Tranche -2

14.1%

43.7%

78.3%

33.0%

42.3%

MFI
Overall Gain

73.0%

88.4%

113.5%

53.2%

82.0%

Current Balance

43,251

47,093

53,367

38,312

182,023

R3K
Current Tranche

8.2%

3.7%

5.2%

0.0%

4.3%

R3K Overall Gain

57.8%

62.3%

43.9%

34.2%

49.6%

R3K
Balance

39,446

40,585

35,975

33,552

149,558

Annualized IRR

20.5%

26.5%

35.8%

21.2%

25.8%

Date

Differential

MFI Value

R3K Value

12/1/2012

-2.20%

99,765

101,965

1/1/2013

-1.78%

102,798

104,575

2/1/2013

-2.26%

102,594

104,856

3/1/2013

-2.23%

102,881

105,114

4/1/2013

-0.43%

106,804

107,234

5/1/2013

2.00%

110,423

108,423

6/1/2013

4.75%

115,831

111,085

7/1/2013

4.29%

114,888

110,597

8/1/2013

6.91%

124,799

117,889

9/1/2013

10.46%

124,536

114,079

10/1/2013

19.67%

138,655

118,990

11/1/2013

19.75%

143,514

123,764

12/1/2013

23.70%

150,105

126,405

1/1/2014

26.63%

157,138

130,503

2/1/2014

24.70%

150,619

125,918

3/1/2014

25.66%

158,116

132,458

4/1/2014

30.38%

162,991

132,616

5/1/2014

29.65%

162,428

132,779

6/1/2014

31.44%

167,001

135,559

7/1/2014

39.23%

177,971

138,740

8/1/2014

31.13%

167,054

135,922

9/1/2014

35.90%

177,792

141,892

10/1/2014

29.38%

168,321

138,944

11/1/2014

26.14%

168,810

142,666

12/1/2014

30.22%

176,420

146,198

1/1/2015

28.17%

174,306

146,140

2/1/2015

20.63%

162,833

142,201

3/1/2015

25.15%

175,476

150,324

4/1/2015

29.95%

178,565

148,612

5/1/2015

37.31%

186,655

149,348

6/1/2015

51.53%

202,897

151,371

7/1/2015

62.69%

211,437

148,743

Current

32.47%

182,023

149,558

This final table really tells the story, from $211,437 (assuming I started at $100K) to 182,023 since July 1st. And that is a period where R3K has edged up a bit. Hopefully I'll pull out of the tailspin.