yeah you can get lucky.. many have, steve gibson of security now got a little lucky finding his block within a week. Dont recall his hash rate but it wasnt something so high that he should have found one in a week.

So yeah it is a crap shoot... I was just looking at it from the other side of the coin. Sure you are just as likely to find one in a week, as someone is to sit there for 2 years and not find one at all.

Thanks for all the replies guys. I think I will stick to pooling. When I get my second rig up and running, I might have it run solo for a month or two and see what happens before I throw it into a pool.