1. Introduction

NHC receives frequent
inquiries on the accuracy and skill of its forecasts and of the
computer models available to it. To help answer these questions,
these verification web pages were established in March 2005. The
development of this resource will be completed in stages;
ultimately all available records dating back to the earliest NHC
forecasts in 1954 will be included. A digital database of NHC
official track forecast errors has been constructed for the period
1970 to the present, and it is this period that is presented
initially here. A digital database of intensity errors has been
constructed dating back to 1990. These pages will be updated as
extensions to the database are completed. Questions on NHC
forecast verifications may be directed to John.P.Cangialosi@noaa.gov.

Note: A number of the
documents included here are in PDF format. You may need to install
the free Acrobat®
Reader to view and print these documents.