August 2, 2015

NBC/WSJ Have Trump At 19% in National GOP Primary

I would have had this up earlier, but Windows 10 took almost 80 minutes from beginning to end to install on my laptop. NBC News and The Wall Street Journal have come out with their view of the Republican primary race and it has Donald Trump only at 19%.

July 31, 2015

Trumps Hits 30% in IA

Donald Trump is now doubling up on Scott Walker in the state of Iowa according to a new poll from Gravis Marketing and OANN as Republicans continue their destructive path of making Donald Trump the face of the Republican Party.

So it appears at least the voters who attended our local county Lincoln Day Dinner last night at least have some sanity. Note, no Donald Trump, Ted Cruz or Ben Carson in the top three. We also got to hear from Florida US Senate candidate David Jolly:

I will say winning an election really helps with enthusiasm in the Republican Party. Everyone outside Maryland knows about Larry Hogan becoming Governor, but we were also able to win at the local level back in November for the first time in twenty years and the increase in excitement for Republicans in Maryland and Howard County even nine months later is still very high. Meanwhile, Rasmussen Reports has put out their primary poll to add to the Fox News’ mix.

This poll was done July 26-27 among 471 likely voters. Add this to Quinnipiac University’s poll yesterday and I am sure a slew of others dumping out polls leading up to Thursday’s debate, we should be in for a treat if you like polling.

This poll was done July 18-28 among 1902 likely voters. It does seem odd is that they did not include all the candidates, incuding Mike Huckabee, Carly Fiorina, George Pataki, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum, Rick Perry, and Chris Christie.

July 26, 2015

Trump Leads GOP Nationally and in NH, Second Place in IA

The disaster for the Republican Party that is Donald Trump continues unabated today as we have a set of polls showing how utterly blind to reality a large chunk of Republican voters are both nationally and in the two early states of Iowa and New Hampshire. Donald Trump is now on top of the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll.

This poll was done July 22-25 among registered voters. But wait, it gets worse. NBC News and Marist College released polls for Iowa and New Hampshire this morning that shows Trump surging in both of these early states.

Just absolutely mind boggling that there are this many Republican voters who really want Donald Trump to be the face of the party. On the Democratic side, Hillary CLcinton still leads in both states by double digits.

Both sets of polls were done July 14-21 among registered voters in each party.

What is really depressing is that even if Republican voters eventually manage to avoid the embarrassment of Donald Trump being the face of the party, the damage that has already been done to the brand may be something that won’t be recoverable in 2016.

July 24, 2015

Vitter Trails Edwards in LA

Since we hit 1000 comments, I guess I should get a new thread up. Could David Vitter actually lose the gubernatorial seat for Republicans in Louisiana? A new poll just made public done by Market Insight indicates he is currently trailing the jungle primary.

This articel onyl indicates this poll was done in “late June”. The good news for Vitter is that the combined Republican vite hits 50%, meaning he would at least have that in his favor in the runoff election.