Germany Ifo Business Climate Index

The Ifo Business Climate Index in Germany dropped 1.3 points from a month earlier to 97.9 in May 2019, the lowest level since November 2014 and below market expectations of 99.1. The gauge of current conditions slumped to 100.6 from 103.4 in April, while the business expectations sub-index was unchanged at 95.3. Sentiment deteriorated among manufacturers (4.0 vs 4.1), service providers (20.9 vs 26.4), and wholesalers & retailers (5.4 vs 7.1); while confidence among constructors improved (24.4 vs 21.7). Business Confidence in Germany averaged 98.14 Index Points from 1991 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 109.80 Index Points in January of 1991 and a record low of 79.80 Index Points in March of 2009.

Business Confidence in Germany is expected to be 97.50 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Business Confidence in Germany to stand at 103.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Germany Ifo Business Climate Index is projected to trend around 102.00 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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Germany Ifo Business Climate Index

In Germany, the IFO Business Climate Index measures entrepreneurs’ sentiment about current business situation and their expectations for the next 6 months. The survey is made by phone and covers 7 000 firms in manufacturing, construction, wholesaling and retailing industry. The Business Climate Balance is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of executives that are optimistic and the share that are pessimistic. This balance can take values between -100 (all responding firms assess their situation as poor and expect business to deteriorate) and +100 (all responding firms assessed their situation as good and expect an improvement in their business). For the calculation of the IFO Business Climate Index, the Balance is normalized to the average of a base year (currently 2005). This page provides the latest reported value for - Germany Business Confidence - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. Germany Ifo Business Climate Index - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on May of 2019.