TeamRankings.com: Team Rankings operates differently than the other bracketologists, simulating the rest of the regular season to project each team’s numerical odds of making the big dance. They do this every day, making the site an interesting read every day.

“The season doesn’t end today,” they say on their site. “We simulate out everything that could still happen; other people don’t.”

Team Rankings’ Bona simulation gives the team a 60 percent chance to make the NCAA Tournament, with a 53.2 percent chance of getting an at-large bid. SBU is projected to win three of the last four regular season games, with St. Joe’s as the lone predicted loss, and be a 10-seed in the tourney: https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-tournament/bracketology/