Teams with Logarithmic Per Capita Factor

The natural logarithm of population is used to compensate for the non-linear scale of FIFA ranking. The difference between actual and compensated rank will then show how much each country punches above or below their weight.

There now follows a list of teams with Logarithmic Per Capita Factor

Rank

Fifa Rank

Difference

Country

Points

ln(Population)

Points Per ln(Head)

1

1

0

Argentina

1603

17.50

91.59

2

7

+5

Brazil

1672

19.05

87.76

3

5

+2

Chile

1411

16.60

85.02

4

4

0

Germany

1464

18.23

80.32

5

2

-3

Belgium

1281

16.16

79.29

6

8

+2

Portugal

1259

16.18

77.83

7

3

-4

Colombia

1348

17.59

76.63

8

15

+7

Switzerland

1212

15.83

76.55

9

26

+17

Wales

1119

14.88

75.20

10

9

-1

Uruguay

1097

15.05

72.90

11

17

+6

France

1294

17.92

72.19

12

34

+22

Iceland

872

12.62

69.11

13

6

-7

Spain

1204

17.51

68.74

14

28

+14

Poland

1183

17.47

67.73

15

27

+12

Croatia

1016

15.32

66.33

16

12

-4

Italy

1165

17.88

65.16

17

11

-6

England

1103

17.74

62.19

18

47

+29

Peru

1044

17.16

60.84

19

23

+4

Costa Rica

902

15.22

59.26

20

16

-4

Mexico

1076

18.49

58.19

21

25

+4

Northern Ireland

823

14.35

57.34

22

24

+2

Slovakia

846

15.51

54.55

23

33

+10

Republic of Ireland

823

15.22

54.08

24

21

-3

Bosnia and Herzegovina

815

15.32

53.20

25

13

-12

Ecuador

839

16.42

51.09

26

44

+18

Egypt

910

18.18

50.05

27

20

-7

Hungary

801

16.12

49.70

28

40

+12

Senegal

805

16.30

49.39

29

35

+6

Sweden

768

16.01

47.96

30

10

-20

Austria

762

15.92

47.87

31

18

-13

Turkey

863

18.07

47.76

32

14

-18

Netherlands

792

16.62

47.66

33

43

+10

Paraguay

738

15.69

47.04

34

57

+23

Cameroon

779

16.67

46.73

35

72

+37

Burkina Faso

765

16.40

46.65

36

38

+2

Iran

820

18.05

45.44

37

39

+2

Greece

730

16.18

45.10

38

46

+8

Tunisia

701

16.14

43.44

39

31

-8

USA

847

19.51

43.40

40

19

-21

Ukraine

761

17.66

43.09

41

37

-4

Denmark

657

15.51

42.36

42

56

+14

Slovenia

614

14.51

42.31

43

30

-13

Czech Republic

679

16.14

42.07

44

87

+43

Montenegro

560

13.34

41.98

45

53

+8

Serbia

671

16.13

41.59

46

55

+9

Panama

607

15.02

40.42

47

36

-11

Ghana

682

16.92

40.30

48

22

-26

Romania

676

16.92

39.95

49

86

+37

Faroe Islands

431

10.81

39.87

50

51

+1

Congo DR

712

17.95

39.66

51

49

-2

Korea Republic

700

17.70

39.54

52

58

+6

Australia

661

16.82

39.29

53

60

+7

Nigeria

726

18.70

38.83

54

68

+14

Bulgaria

614

15.82

38.82

55

42

-13

Scotland

589

15.44

38.15

56

64

+8

Saudi Arabia

646

17.11

37.75

57

52

-5

Japan

685

18.66

36.70

58

61

+3

Morocco

633

17.32

36.55

59

32

-27

Algeria

628

17.32

36.25

60

70

+10

Israel

557

15.66

35.56

61

98

+37

Armenia

527

14.90

35.36

62

41

-21

Albania

533

15.10

35.31

63

76

+13

Venezuela

595

17.14

34.72

64

65

+1

Uzbekistan

586

17.12

34.22

65

73

+8

Haiti

537

15.93

33.71

66

84

+18

Honduras

524

15.81

33.15

67

69

+2

United Arab Emirates

453

14.15

32.01

68

48

-20

Cape Verde Islands

418

13.12

31.86

69

63

-6

Trinidad and Tobago

439

13.88

31.63

70

62

-8

Mali

504

16.28

30.96

71

45

-26

Jamaica

458

14.84

30.87

72

67

-5

South Africa

539

17.67

30.50

73

29

-44

Russia

561

18.78

29.88

74

54

-20

Guinea

474

16.09

29.47

75

81

+6

Bolivia

460

16.03

28.70

76

85

+9

Gabon

392

14.14

27.72

77

71

-6

Uganda

463

17.07

27.13

78

82

+4

Qatar

369

13.69

26.95

79

77

-2

Belarus

428

16.15

26.51

80

59

-21

Congo

392

14.90

26.31

81

94

+13

Syria

426

16.78

25.39

82

83

+1

Cyprus

343

13.58

25.26

83

50

-33

Norway

387

15.34

25.22

84

74

-10

Benin

396

15.95

24.83

85

107

+22

Kenya

428

17.45

24.52

86

90

+4

Estonia

331

14.10

23.48

87

101

+14

Libya

361

15.53

23.25

88

105

+17

Lithuania

331

15.09

21.94

89

75

-14

Equatorial Guinea

287

13.22

21.71

90

66

-24

Finland

335

15.47

21.65

91

88

-3

Guatemala

352

16.36

21.52

92

91

-1

Togo

320

15.53

20.61

93

78

-15

Zambia

334

16.26

20.54

94

80

-14

China PR

425

21.00

20.24

95

79

-16

Jordan

311

15.68

19.83

96

113

+17

New Zealand

301

15.23

19.76

97

93

-4

Oman

290

14.95

19.40

98

92

-6

Mozambique

323

16.75

19.28

99

99

0

Zimbabwe

304

16.33

18.61

100

97

-3

Latvia

265

14.63

18.11

101

89

-12

Canada

312

17.26

18.07

102

109

+7

Georgia

274

15.35

17.85

103

96

-7

Rwanda

285

16.14

17.66

104

108

+4

Bahrain

232

13.28

17.47

105

95

-10

Iraq

278

17.13

16.23

106

110

+4

FYR Macedonia

225

14.53

15.48

107

103

-4

Ethiopia

265

17.76

14.92

108

100

-8

Thailand

245

17.96

13.64

109

102

-7

Angola

189

16.31

11.59

110

112

+2

Mauritius

147

14.07

10.44

111

114

+3

Moldova

142

15.28

9.29

112

106

-6

Sudan

155

17.45

8.88

113

111

-2

Barbados

110

12.55

8.77

114

116

+2

Gambia

120

14.35

8.36

115

104

-11

Cuba

124

16.25

7.63

116

115

-1

Guam

82

12.01

6.83

117

118

+1

Andorra

66

11.28

5.85

118

117

-1

San Marino

12

10.36

1.16

119

0

-119

Gibraltar

0

inf

0.00

120

0

-120

S%C3%A3o Tom%C3%A9 e Pr%C3%ADncipe

0

inf

0.00

121

0

-121

Kosovo

0

inf

0.00

122

0

-122

Cura%C3%A7ao

0

inf

0.00

123

0

-123

C%F4te d%5C%27Ivoire

0

inf

0.00

124

0

-124

Bahamas

0

inf

0.00

125

0

-125

Anguilla

0

inf

0.00

126

0

-126

Papua New Guinea

154

inf

0.00

127

0

-127

Cook Islands

64

inf

0.00

128

0

-128

Djibouti

53

inf

0.00

129

0

-129

Somalia

0

inf

0.00

130

0

-130

Mongolia

34

inf

0.00

131

0

-131

Eritrea

0

inf

0.00

132

0

-132

American Samoa

64

inf

0.00

133

0

-133

Tonga

0

inf

0.00

134

0

-134

South Sudan

186

inf

0.00

135

0

-135

Vanuatu

94

inf

0.00

136

0

-136

Samoa

64

inf

0.00

137

0

-137

British Virgin Islands

5

inf

0.00

138

0

-138

Turks and Caicos Islands

20

inf

0.00

139

0

-139

Seychelles

51

inf

0.00

140

0

-140

Comoros

190

inf

0.00

141

0

-141

Solomon Islands

92

inf

0.00

142

0

-142

Cayman Islands

13

inf

0.00

143

0

-143

Macau

77

inf

0.00

144

0

-144

Nepal

110

inf

0.00

145

0

-145

Sri Lanka

34

inf

0.00

146

0

-146

Brunei Darussalam

65

inf

0.00

147

0

-147

Tahiti

167

inf

0.00

148

0

-148

Fiji

90

inf

0.00

149

0

-149

Cambodia

108

inf

0.00

150

0

-150

Chinese Taipei

136

inf

0.00

151

0

-151

Montserrat

26

inf

0.00

152

0

-152

Maldives

175

inf

0.00

153

0

-153

US Virgin Islands

26

inf

0.00

154

0

-154

Yemen

268

inf

0.00

155

0

-155

Laos

107

inf

0.00

156

0

-156

Bangladesh

60

inf

0.00

157

0

-157

Dominica

74

inf

0.00

158

0

-158

Chad

179

inf

0.00

159

0

-159

Pakistan

24

inf

0.00

160

0

-160

Malaysia

145

inf

0.00

161

0

-161

Central African Republic

239

inf

0.00

162

0

-162

Suriname

284

inf

0.00

163

0

-163

New Caledonia

121

inf

0.00

164

0

-164

Indonesia

105

inf

0.00

165

0

-165

Bhutan

123

inf

0.00

166

0

-166

Timor-Leste

52

inf

0.00

167

0

-167

Myanmar

120

inf

0.00

168

0

-168

Malta

86

inf

0.00

169

0

-169

Liberia

192

inf

0.00

170

0

-170

Tajikistan

205

inf

0.00

171

0

-171

Grenada

117

inf

0.00

172

0

-172

Singapore

141

inf

0.00

173

0

-173

India

331

inf

0.00

174

0

-174

Kyrgyzstan

250

inf

0.00

175

0

-175

Guyana

194

inf

0.00

176

0

-176

Puerto Rico

221

inf

0.00

177

0

-177

Vietnam

217

inf

0.00

178

0

-178

Hong Kong

179

inf

0.00

179

0

-179

Liechtenstein

64

inf

0.00

180

0

-180

Turkmenistan

193

inf

0.00

181

0

-181

Kazakhstan

325

inf

0.00

182

0

-182

Guinea-Bissau

346

inf

0.00

183

0

-183

Luxembourg

185

inf

0.00

184

0

-184

Tanzania

218

inf

0.00

185

0

-185

Nicaragua

331

inf

0.00

186

0

-186

Aruba

127

inf

0.00

187

0

-187

Swaziland

378

inf

0.00

188

0

-188

Burundi

192

inf

0.00

189

0

-189

Lebanon

216

inf

0.00

190

0

-190

Bermuda

75

inf

0.00

191

0

-191

St. Lucia

115

inf

0.00

192

0

-192

Afghanistan

161

inf

0.00

193

0

-193

Belize

188

inf

0.00

194

0

-194

Lesotho

181

inf

0.00

195

0

-195

Kuwait

120

inf

0.00

196

0

-196

Korea DPR

289

inf

0.00

197

0

-197

Philippines

254

inf

0.00

198

0

-198

Dominican Republic

184

inf

0.00

199

0

-199

Madagascar

302

inf

0.00

200

0

-200

St. Kitts and Nevis

334

inf

0.00

201

0

-201

Palestine

265

inf

0.00

202

0

-202

Botswana

276

inf

0.00

203

0

-203

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

116

inf

0.00

204

0

-204

Mauritania

359

inf

0.00

205

0

-205

Namibia

346

inf

0.00

206

0

-206

Azerbaijan

386

inf

0.00

207

0

-207

El Salvador

317

inf

0.00

208

0

-208

Sierra Leone

300

inf

0.00

209

0

-209

Antigua and Barbuda

349

inf

0.00

210

0

-210

Niger

235

inf

0.00

211

0

-211

Malawi

291

inf

0.00

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