A Windy Friday

By garylezak, on February 24th, 2012

Good morning bloggers,

Tonight on 41 Action News we have two special segments with Toby Tobin, one at 6 PM and the second at 10 PM. And, then Monday night at 10 PM is our spring forecast. We will be showing our severe weather calendar as it appears we are going to have a somewhat active severe weather season in our viewing area.

On Monday night we opened the discussion about a fantasy snowstorm that was beginning to be predicted by the computer models. At that time I thought we had a pretty good chance of having a winter storm early next week. Unless something changes significantly it now appears the winter part of next week’s storm will be way to the north. Here is how it has looked day by day:

7 Days out…….29 degrees and 1 foot of snow

6 Days out…….49 degrees with rain

5 Days out…….50s to near 60 Monday with a cold front & rain showers. Cold air moves in with a few snow showers or flurries and a temperature drop into the 20s Wednesday. A disorganized storm on this model run!

4 Days out…….A cold front blows through Tuesday evening. One band of showers, possibly a few thunderstorms and a temperature surge to 65 degrees on Tuesday ahead of the cold front, maybe even warmer. The snowstorm develops over the far northern plains as the winter effects from this storm system go way to the north. If you are wondering about severe weather with this system think about how low the dew points are forecast to be. They may inch into the upper 40s which just isn’t enough moisture.

Well, there you go bloggers. I seriously thought earlier in the week that there was some potential for a winter storm next week. I decided to track it this way because it may be our last chance of a winter storm this season. We still have to pay close attention in the coming days and weeks before spring completely takes over. I hope you enjoyed this little tracking I did for fun with the blog. Let’s see what happens with this storm that is now just a series of waves out over the Pacific Ocean.

Today’s winter storm is moving across the heart of Michigan with about a half foot of snow up there. We are going to be threatening the all time record low seasonal snowfall total very soon. The only significant snow of the entire season was sort of a fluke when we had the 2 inches on February 13th. That was just 11 days ago, but it seems like even longer. That was it and we are sitting at 3.1″, which is 1.4″ below the all time record low snowfall total of 4.5″.

47 comments to A Windy Friday

1: Gary…I heard you chose Missouri to win tomorrow. Can you back up your statement please? I don’t think that predicition fits the LRC pattern….

2: I’m very interested in seeing your Spring forecast because we are overdue for an active severe weather season. Hasn’t it been over the last few years that we have been too cold? I remember cold fronts just shoving all the warm air down to the Yucatan over the past few years.

First of all I am not a Missouri fan, far from it. I am neutral as I am a Sooner fan. I really don’t like either team that much. I appreciate the success both teams are having this season, however. I do think Missouri has a shot at beating KU tomorrow. But, realistically I know it will be very difficult to beat KU at the Field house. I hope it’s a great game.

Stormy will make her prediction on the 6 PM newscast tonight. One bark for KU, and two barks for MU. Her accuracy has been around 50%.

Old Man Winter Died on Nov. 12th 2011. He was the President and CEO of winter. So, they had to elect a new guy and he has been struggling on how to perform his new job. The report shows that they think Spring and Fall had something to do with his death.

I just spoke with the new CEO and he claims that he will deliver one last blast of snow in March and he promised to be back in full force for the start of the 2012-2013 winter season. He mentioned that Spring has much more in it’s budget then he currently has and that’s the reason for them winning out. He is sorry to all the snow lovers and he will work hard to make it up down the road. He also stated that the last CEO that has since passed went on a generous spree the last few years and was just handing out inches of snow in the bulk.

Hey Gary, one of my FB friends who still lives in Mineral Wells, Texas where I went to high school “liked” my FB comment that said you mentioned Mineral Wells on your weathercasts last night b/c it was 80 degrees there. I miss those warm early spring days. I used spend a week in Mineral Wells visiting my mom every March to get a head start on warm spring weather. Since her passing 2 years ago in March I haven’t been back.

As for next week’s storm threat, just saw a nice GFS forecast dewpoint map valid next Tues at noon showing 55 degree dewpoints knocking on the S side of KC and 50 deg dewpoints to SE Nebraska and SW Iowa. If we get sufficient surface warming and sufficiently strong upper air dynamics, that should be sufficient to set off at least a few potentially severe thunderstorms near our local area Tues. afternoon or evening, most likely just S or SE of us though.

So many GayU fans on this blog.. I’ll be laughing while you are all crying after we take this last border showdown from you on your own court. Everyone in the United States knows Ku had basketball and ONLY basketball. Get back at me when you can compete in more than one sport. And to those who are going to cry about this being a weather blog!.. Do us a favor and shit up before you comment lol. That’s my jacksmack

Again, when you can talk about another sport besides your one and only basketball get back to me. With Mizzou gone next year you guys Might win all your games lol.. In a WEAK big whatever they’re going to call it. Oh and theo I truly hope a tornado picks up your house and throws it hundreds of feet from where it was originally built this spring

Ok…someone tried to argue this last time. You guys have won no big 12 regular season championships. You won 1 title in 1952 in baseball. You lead the football series by 1 game. I’d take a revenue team that continues to dominate than all of my teams being mediocrity.

Good lookin’ forecast man, winter’s over baby! I think maybe some of the mu fans are still a little sore from the (3rd) a$$ whoopin’ this year the cats laid on them the other night. Good luck in the SEC.

Oh god F00dl3 I knew it was coming.. Who made you in charge of the blog? Yes, it is indeed a weather blog, but when there isn’t a dang thing going on besides some exciting flurries coming our way we can talk about whatever we want. Skip past the non weather related stuff if you don’t want to see it. There will be no accumulation of snow tonight or the rest of this “winter” you all should have just given up with me weeks ago.

There is one last snow shower moving across the KC metro area. The heaviest snow will be near downtown at 8:45 PM, and then that’s it. Can you imagine this same line in April? It would have been a line of thunderstorms.

Just had a moderate snow shower with huge flakes here at Whiteman AFB. Lasted about 10 min and is now tapering off. Looks like a very nice week ahead. The trees look like they are about to leaf out. Bring on Spring!!

You don’t have to have 60s dewpoints for tornadoes. Look back at March 12th, 2006. While the afternoon storms had 60s dewpoints, the tornadic storms in the morning that produced a few tornadoes and baseball hail only had 51 degree dewpoints to work with. Never underestimate the power of a dynamic storm system!