Do none of you fuckers know how equity dilution works? You can’t just take % of equity someone might have in an early stage of a company and multiply by a company’s current market cap. As the company grows and raises more rounds of capital, the ownership % of each prior share holder goes down, unless they have pro rata right and the capital to keep investing in every round to keep their % share the same.

So no, that 10% Apple guy wouldn’t be as rich as Bezos today. Jobs started out with probably 50% share in Apple, but he wasn’t worth half of Apple’s market cap.

Pretty sure they didn't protest every weekend and call him a black supremacist... Or investigate him immediately as he entered office... Or try to impeach him once that didn't work... Or root for a recession so that he wouldn't get reelected... Or... Fly a balloon caricature of him... Or falsely accuse him of rape ... Or false accuse his nominees of rape... Or... Violently protest and attack geriatric supporters of him... Or ... Dox his supporters... Or...

Yes, I do. But I'm also trying to point out that percentages don't work like that.

I'll be honest, I've been drinking so this might not be perfect:

He started with 106k. Yesterday he was down 41k from his position. Relative to his initial investment he was down a hair under 39%, by my calculations.

He's up 71% relative to his low, which is different from your math because you can't just add/subtract two different percentages that are relative to different things (yesterdays low & his initial investment).

Investors are pricing in a 6-8 million subscriber base by the end of the year and a 10 million number would be huge for the stock. But I think investors are severely underestimating Disney+ for several reasons.

1). Consumers are educated on streaming. Netflix has grown to a base of roughly 140 million. Of course, it will take Disney time to grow to a similar number but the one thing lost is that Netflix has trained consumers on streaming services. Disney+ is not going to have to battle the apprehension of consumers like Netflix did at the start. This means people are more likely to jump on and try Disney+ from the start and they are more likely to be aware of the launch because they are familar with Netflix.

2). Price point. The relatively low price coupled with the content (more on it below) makes the subscription an extreme value. And if you want to get the Hulu, ESPN+ bundle the value proposition is even higher. This also makes consumers more likely to at least try the service because of the low barrier to entry. Everyone already owns a streaming device.

3). Content. This is the most important thing that separates Disney+ from Netflix, AppleTV+, and any other would be competitor. The Disney, Marvel, and Star Wars fan bases are rabid. Anyone by itself would be a stream seller but Disney+ gives you all three. And they are all international sellers. Netflix had to put a lot of effort into was growing internationally. Disney+ already has that in.

I'm betting Disney+ has 10 million subscribers in the first 2 weeks. And over 20 million by the end of the year.

The obvious play is calls at (pick your price) in the time frame of the Q1 earnings call early next year. But there is a ton of potential ways to make a shit load of money on this.

TL/DR: Investors are severely underestimating Disney+ and if you go full retard you can get tendies.

This is the end goal for me. I hope in the future I can make 6 or even 7 figures a year trading blue chip stocks with a multi million dollar acc. Even the smallest changes in % can net massive gains in an account the big so I could play those trades super safely and make a yearly salary. But like you mentioned it is super hard and a stressful life I would imagine.
EDIT: Thanks for the gold stranger loool

Last week when I made post about my YOLO tracker I mentioned I was working on an "Options Analyzer" tool. Well... here it finally is you autists. I made a full-on post about it in the r/options sub-reddit fully describing how to use the features. That post can be found here

Otherwise, I will do a very brief explanation on how to use it here, for those of you interested in such scholarly research.

Keep in mind to calculate the prices of the options I use historical data (normally 1-2 days old for higher volume stocks and up to 5-7 days old for stocks with options with low volume (small-cap stocks).

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How to use the tool

It compares options prices and tells you how expensive an option is relative to it's stock price. On my tool, this will be called the "Yield", because if you sold the option for a premium, that's how much you would be collecting, relative to the amount of risk (the stock price).

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For example, if a stock is trading at $100 and it is showing on the "Call Yields" table that 1% OTM option has a yield of 5.00% then it means that if you look into the option chain and find the strike closest to 1% OTM it will cost roughly $5.00 or 5% of what the current stock price is. Don't forget it uses the data from yesterday's or the day before's closing prices. It will tell you the estimated yields for 1%,2%,3%,4%,5%, and 10% OTM so you can compare the loss of premium with going further OTM.

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Another thing this tool can be used for is whether or not you want to buy some FD's expiring next week. It will tell you if an earnings call is attached to the option, which date the earnings is, and how many days until that earnings.

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A fun experiment is to use the "Compare Tickers" section to see your favorite tickers and how expensive their options are. You can also see when earnings are coming up in case you want to make an earnings play to make some sweet sweet tendies. Try searching something like 'JNUG' and 'GLD' and you can see very clearly how much more leveraged JNUG is!

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FINAL STATEMENTS

I want to improve this tool for you guys, I'm even going to work on a spread finder (like looking for your mom on tinder), that will find spreads for your stocks within a range of P.O.P so you can have a list of options plays you want right in front of you.

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If you have any recommendations or suggestions for this tool or for another tool, please let me know because I love working on the site.