Another Sam Webb Gut Feeling

I just listened to this morning's Recruiting Round up, and Sam mentioned that he had a "gut feeling" that we would have at least one more commit before the spring game. He doesn't provide any clues who, although the podcast is full of content today.

Yeah. Do a google search for "chicks in swimsuits" or "bikini" or "boobs" or any number of possibilities. An unimaginably vast collection of pictures of scantily- or un-clad women awaits - that's why Al Gore invented the Internet - so you don't need to get all super-excited and frustrated by tiny little 100x100 pictures of quasi-porn.

Seriously though - the concept of a "knowledgeable recruiting guy" loses meaning when you are talking about 17 & 18 year olds who can change their minds. That said, if you go to michigan.scout.com and check out the prospect list under football recruiting, there's not a whole lot of 5 stars considering Michigan right now. Could get to a Top 10 class with a whole lot of 4 stars, but it seems unlikely. May need to wait until 2012 for a better shot.

there are only 11 players currently rated 5 star on Scout and 4 of them have Michigan at least on their lists on there. They normally have about 50 players at 5 star. If the ratio held, then we'd have at least 16 or 17 guys with a 5 star rating who were at least listing Michigan.

I don't know how close he is to anything haven't followed recruiting that close yet with all the good basketball on. Just have seen his name and UM in the same sentence a lot and he hadn't been mentioned yet.

With 3 more weeks until the spring game and all the visits lined up, I would be shocked if there wasn't AT LEAST one more commit. Personally, I have a "gut feeling" we will have 3 more by the end of that weekend. However, no one pays money to hear about my gut.

While it is nice to have a group of players "commit" to our class - these guys haven't even received official written offers. The chances they remain committed to us for the next 11(?) months isn't amazing.

They're really only nice so that other high profile recruits will see stability because there are other solid players in the class. Many of these verbal commits will still take recruiting trips to other places - where anything could happen.

Although a verbal commitment is not 100%, there's still a very high probability that a guy who verbals with us, signs with us. Last year we had what, 4 decommits? The kicker, Crawford, Hart and Fisher. We signed 22 kids, so 26 kids verballed at one point, and 22 signed. That's 85%. And msot of those were due to a coaching change, maybe all of them.

So, if someone told me a good player committed to UM but there was only an 85% chance he signed, I'd say that sounds pretty good.

Just got off the phone with my dad, who is at EMU today with Matthew for a track meet. Tom Lemming is in Ann Arbor this weekend, and he made it out to EMU to meet my brother. Lemming told Matthew that he'll be recommending him for both the Army and UA All-American games. My dad also told me that he and Matthew are probably heading over to Ann Arbor after the track meet to visit with the coaches.