The animosity between Likud and Kahol Lavan is sad given how close the two parties are in policy positions. It seems to be a matter of how much to annex and the Nation State law, which Kahol Lavan opposes to support our Druze soldiers. Also, how much influence the religious parties should have. This is crazy. Lieberman has sat with them before. The real divide is Bibi. Sad that we are having so many elections because of a personality issue.

agreed. its similar to the situation in the US where most democrats oppose trump even when he does something positive.
The way to succeed in a democracy is to act the way the people want you to and not just act to fill your ego. not one person wants another election but the politicians just can’t seem to understand that they themselves are the impediment to a functioning government…

Prediction: This time they will make the marriage, with a strong coalition of Likud + Kahol Lavan + Yisrael Beitenu = 77 seats. KL’s acceptance of the Deal of the Century means that they will not get any Joint List recommendations for Ganz, or Joint List support for a blocking majority — and KL knows it. KL’s only chance is to form a coalition with Likud. They can’t get there with Labor/Meretz and YB.

Initially, it will look like the Joint List is the opposition, but some combination of Shas, United Torah Judaism and Yamina will join together to prevent that from happening. So, the outcome will be a secular Right to Center-Right government with a religious Right Wing Opposition. Labor/Meretz and the Joint List will be out in the cold.

I believe that Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister, likely with a rotation agreement allowing Ganz to get it in two years. Netanyahu is in a much stronger position. He will have more recommendations (56, as opposed to 44 for Ganz) and Ganz knows he has absolutely zero chance of being in the government without Likud. (Even his “blocking majority” is gone now.) By contrast, Netanyahu could, at least in theory, get there with his usual coalition plus YB.

Netanyahu could also potentially get in if lightning strikes and Otzma actually crosses the threshold and the right winds up with 61. If that were to happen, Netanyahu would really be in the catbird seat and could dictate terms to KL, if he didn’t want to lead with only a slender right-wing majority.

won’t happen , Liberman will be the one out in the cold. note a very significant poll of a year ago which noted that fully 1/3rd of Likud voters had Shas as a second choice. This matters for Likud’s future

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Panels conducted a poll of 527 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by 103 FM Radio on May 27 2020. The poll was conducted on May 26. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 41 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)15 [15] The Joint List (Odeh)14 [16] Yesh Atid – Telem (Lapid)12 [15] Blue & White/Israel […]

Direct Polls conducted a poll of 602 people with a 4.1% of margin of error that was published on March 20 2020. The poll was conducted March 19. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 40 [36] Likud (Netanyahu)30 [33] Blue & White (Gantz)15 [15] The Joint List – Hadash-Taal-Raam-Balad (Odeh)08 [09] Shas (Deri)07 [07] United Torah […]