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Key Reported Road Casualties Scotland 2016

8.1 The following section provides information on the progress made towards each of the casualty reduction targets set out in Scotland's Road Safety Framework to 2020 (see section 11.5 for more information about the Framework).

8.2 Progress is assessed towards a milestone in 2015 and the final target by means of an indicative trend based on a constant annual percentage reduction (see section 11.6 for more information). Detailed tables for each of the targets, including a breakdown by mode and historic data are included in Tables 5 to 9.

Target: 40% reduction in those killed by 2020

8.3 There were 191 people killed in 2016, a 35% reduction since the 2004-08 baseline average. The decrease seen to 2016 is less than that required to achieve the 2020 milestone reduction (40%). Figure 4 shows that the total number of fatalities in 2016 was below the indicative line required to achieve the target [Table 5].

Figure 4: Progress to casualty reduction target: Casualties killed

Target: 55% reduction in those seriously injured by 2020

8.4 There were 1,693 serious injuries in 2016, a 35% reduction since the 2004-08 baseline level. The decrease seen to 2016 has not yet reached the framework target for 2020 (a reduction of 55% from 2004-08) [Table 6].

8.5 Due to small numbers and year-to-year fluctuations this target is measured using a three year average. An average of 8 children a year were killed in the 2014-2016 period, a 50% reduction since the 2004-2008 baseline. The current reduction seen to 2016 is the same as that required by the 2020 target [Table 7].

Figure 6: Progress to casualty reduction target: Children killed

Target: 65% reduction in children seriously injured by 2020

8.6 167 children recorded as seriously injured in 2016, a 49% reduction since the 2004-08 baseline. The decrease to 2016 is less than that required to achieve the 2020 milestone reduction (65%) [Table 8].

8.7 Table 9 shows that the 2016 slight casualty rate was 19.37 casualties per 100 million vehicle kilometres. This was a 40% reduction since the 2004-08 baseline and is therefore greater than the reduction required to achieve the 2020 target [Table 9].

Table 5: People killed by mode of transport, 1994 – 2016

Pedestrian

Pedal cycle

Motor cycle

Car

Bus / coach

Goods1

Other2

All road users

1994-98 ave

104

11

31

209

3

15

5

378

1994

111

5

24

197

9

14

3

363

1995

121

11

33

221

1

19

3

409

1996

106

15

29

185

3

14

5

357

1997

87

9

37

219

2

16

7

377

1998

96

13

33

223

1

13

6

385

1999

89

8

30

169

1

11

2

310

2000

72

12

40

182

1

15

4

326

2001

76

10

49

194

0

14

5

348

2002

73

8

46

154

0

21

2

304

2003

63

14

50

189

1

14

5

336

2004

76

7

42

167

3

12

1

308

2005

66

16

34

153

0

15

2

286

2006

61

10

58

175

0

8

2

314

2007

60

4

40

160

0

15

2

281

2008

60

9

34

153

1

8

5

270

2009

47

5

43

116

0

5

0

216

2010

47

7

35

105

1

8

5

208

2011

43

7

33

89

1

9

3

185

2012

59

9

21

73

1

13

0

176

2013

38

13

23

89

2

5

2

172

2014

59

8

30

94

1

2

9

203

2015

44

5

27

75

1

13

3

168

2016 prov.

32

8

30

106

3

6

6

191

2004-08 average

65

9

42

162

1

12

2

292

2012-16 average

46

9

26

87

2

8

4

182

Numbers in 2016

44

6

28

110

1

8

2

198

implied by target

2016 % change:

*

*

*

41%

*

*

*

14%

on 2015

on 04-08 ave

-50%

*

*

-34%

*

*

*

-35%

* A percentage change is not shown if the denominator is 50 or fewer.
1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.
2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.

Table 6: People seriously injured by mode of transport, 1994 – 2016

Pedestrian

Pedal cycle

Motor cycle

Car

Bus / coach

Goods1

Other2

All road users

1994-98 ave

1,272

238

324

2,292

93

156

84

4,460

1994

1,536

311

329

2,607

141

197

87

5,208

1995

1,466

281

362

2,432

104

192

93

4,930

1996

1,173

201

271

2,108

93

123

72

4,041

1997

1,124

201

321

2,146

53

120

82

4,047

1998

1,060

197

338

2,167

75

150

85

4,072

1999

1,054

181

401

1,835

82

133

79

3,765

2000

925

164

435

1,796

79

106

63

3,568

2001

842

161

405

1,758

62

115

67

3,410

2002

820

144

410

1,628

59

120

48

3,229

2003

712

125

367

1,511

69

114

59

2,957

2004

674

121

353

1,414

63

83

58

2,766

2005

677

116

371

1,304

63

83

52

2,666

2006

688

131

352

1,258

57

91

58

2,635

2007

594

147

381

1,110

33

87

33

2,385

2008

645

155

396

1,203

59

65

52

2,575

2009

509

152

332

1,135

36

73

50

2,287

2010

457

138

319

903

52

60

40

1,969

2011

515

156

293

758

51

63

44

1,880

2012

461

169

343

847

44

68

49

1,981

2013

403

149

281

720

34

45

39

1,671

2014

422

159

326

686

28

51

31

1,703

2015

424

164

257

639

49

46

21

1,600

2016 prov.

397

147

268

758

42

55

26

1,693

2004-08 average

656

134

371

1,258

55

82

51

2,605

2012-16 average

421

158

295

730

39

53

33

1,730

Numbers in 2016

374

76

211

717

31

47

29

1,485

implied by target

2015 % change:

-6%

-10%

4%

19%

*

*

*

6%

on 2015

on 04-08 ave

-39%

10%

-28%

-40%

-24%

-33%

-49%

-35%

* A percentage change is not shown if the denominator is 50 or fewer.
1. Light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles.
2. Taxis, minibuses and other modes of transport.