The Screen Actors Guild awards have been announced, and they contain both upsets and the expected. The Supporting Male & Female Actor and Leading Female Actor categories at the Oscars seem like a give, with Simmons, Arquette and Moore all wining in their respective categories at the SAGs. It’s almost impossible to imagine these three not being the Academy Award winners in 4 weeks time.

In what some would call a major upset, Eddie Redmayne took home the SAG for leading actor. Keaton would have probably been the favourite here, so this was a surprise. Both men won Golden Globes, but the SAG has to tip the scales in Redmayne’s favour. It certainly seems that the other three nominees are completely out of the Oscar race now.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

Julianne Moore Still Alice

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

J.K. Simmons Whiplash

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Patricia Arquette Boyhood

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

The cast of Birdman

A full list of SAG award winners (including the television categories) can be found here.

Producers Guild Awards

The 26th annual Producers Guild Awards gave their top honour to Birdman, giving the film an edge over Boyhood in the best picture Oscar race. How much of an edge? From Deadline, “Since instituting the top prize in 1989, they have deviated from the ultimate Academy (whose producers they also vet) Best Picture choice six times, most recently in 2006 when they chose Little Miss Sunshine while Oscar went with The Departed“. So while it’s not a given, it is a strong tick in Birdman‘s column, as is the win for ensemble cast at the SAGs – the industry likes Birdman.

The PGAs give absolutely no indication as to which animated or documentary film will win their respective Oscar categories, as PGA winners The LEGO Movie and Life Itself are not nominated in the best animated film or best documentary film categories.