Heat Humidity Return Next Week

Heat Humidity Return Next Week

One thing about troughs in the east is when they lift out, if there is no trough immediately behind it, you get a several day warm up. Looking at the week ahead the next trough to attempt to drop into the Eastern US won’t happen until late in the week. Once this weekend jet stream dip and coastal low pull out we will see a return of heat and humidity for a few days at least. The heat will not be extreme but it will be enough to push temperatures into the upper 80s and lower 90s beginning Tuesday of next week and lasting until Thursday. With the heat will come a gradual increase in humidity. However the ridge that builds in the east is rather flat which lends to the idea that the heat should not reach extreme levels.

HEAT HUMIDITY NEXT WEEK ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTHEAST

The warmest weather relative to average is in the Northeast & Middle Atlantic States with the biggest departures from normal as you go northeast into Northern New England. The scope is rather narrow as much of the Great Lakes & Plains will be below average.

By next Thursday weak troughing is developing again as the first of two short waves begin to swing around. This should being the next cold front late Thursday or Thursday night. There is a stronger second trough behind it and both the GFS & European model seem to want to make something with this trough as it drops into the Midwest.

The character of the troughs are different on the two models but both would imply some sort of cold front approaching and slowly moving through next week. It could wind up being very warm and humid ahead of the second front next weekend but that is a short range issue to work out.

Beyond the 10 day period it appears that the GFS model wants to pull the jet stream up into Canada with an east west ridge from coast to coast which could mean a longer stretch of 4 or 5 days of very warm to hot conditions though that comes late in the forecast period which we know can change somewhat between now and then. It would signal the August dog days should this verify.

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