The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Power Rating

Estimate

Edge

TROY

ARKANSAS ST

-18

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

TROY - Recent ATS Trends

Against the spread

Over/Under

Straight Up

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

W-L

W-L

O-U

O-U

O-U

W-L

W-L

W-L

in all games

15-9

39-31

87-88

1-0

27-19

80-68

11-17

29-56

93-118

in all lined games

15-9

39-31

87-88

1-0

27-19

80-68

10-14

24-48

73-106

as an underdog

12-7

33-25

62-54

1-0

22-17

50-43

7-12

18-42

38-80

as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points

0-1

2-2

5-4

1-0

2-1

4-3

0-1

0-4

0-9

as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points

0-2

6-5

12-12

1-0

4-4

9-9

0-2

0-11

0-24

in road games

6-5

21-15

42-48

1-0

13-10

39-34

2-11

8-34

26-75

in road lined games

6-5

21-15

42-48

1-0

13-10

39-34

2-9

7-29

24-67

against conference opponents

11-6

26-23

63-64

0-0

20-14

58-54

6-11

17-34

59-71

in February games

3-3

9-11

24-24

0-0

7-7

22-21

2-4

8-12

25-24

on Saturday games

6-2

17-12

37-33

0-0

13-8

33-29

4-5

13-20

42-39

when playing with one or less days rest

9-3

16-11

33-26

0-0

9-6

25-21

6-6

13-17

39-31

after a conference game

11-5

26-21

64-60

0-0

17-14

50-58

7-10

18-32

59-71

off a loss against a conference rival

6-3

15-13

33-31

0-0

12-8

29-27

4-6

11-20

29-38

when playing against a team with a winning record

9-2

17-10

43-39

1-0

9-9

33-36

5-6

10-24

34-58

when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games

Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

TROY - Current Season Performance

Straight Up

Against Spread

Team

Opponent

W-L

Units

W-L

O-U

Score

Half

FG Pct

Reb.

Score

Half

FG Pct

Reb.

All Games

11-17

+1.6

15-9

1-0

62.4

29.3

40.2%

33.0

66.8

30.8

44.6%

36.4

Road Games

3-12

-2.7

7-6

1-0

60.0

28.6

38.7%

32.1

69.9

32.9

45.6%

36.9

Last 5 Games

1-4

-2.6

2-3

0-0

59.8

26.0

40.7%

29.4

71.6

31.4

48.3%

32.4

Conference Games

6-11

-4

11-6

0-0

62.4

29.5

41.5%

32.4

66.8

31.1

44.8%

34.4

TROY Team Statistics

Shooting

3pt Shooting

Free Throws

Rebounding

PPG

Half

FGM-A

Pct

FGM-A

PCT

FTM-A

Pct

Tot

Off

Ast

PF

Stl

TO

Bk

Team Stats (All Games)

62.4

29.3

23-58

40.2%

7-21

31.6%

9-14

69.3%

33

10

12

15

6

11

2

vs opponents surrendering

68

32

24-56

42.9%

6-19

33.8%

14-20

68.6%

35

10

12

18

7

15

4

Team Stats (Road Games)

60.0

28.6

22-57

38.7%

6-22

29.4%

9-13

70.3%

32

10

11

17

5

11

2

Stats Against (All Games)

66.8

30.8

24-53

44.6%

7-19

37.3%

13-19

66.5%

36

9

13

15

5

12

3

vs opponents averaging

67.1

31

24-56

42.7%

6-18

33.4%

14-20

67.8%

35

10

12

18

7

15

4

Stats Against (Road Games)

69.9

32.9

24-53

45.6%

8-19

39.6%

14-22

66.4%

37

10

15

14

5

11

4

ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance

Straight Up

Against Spread

Team

Opponent

W-L

Units

W-L

O-U

Score

Half

FG Pct

Reb.

Score

Half

FG Pct

Reb.

All Games

17-9

-6.6

12-11

0-0

70.2

31.3

41.4%

36.5

62.3

28.8

41.8%

35.1

Home Games

12-2

+1.7

8-4

0-0

72.7

32.4

42.5%

37.7

58.0

27.2

39.7%

33.6

Last 5 Games

4-1

+3

3-2

0-0

75.0

33.2

43.9%

34.6

60.8

31.4

41.1%

31.4

Conference Games

11-6

-5.6

10-7

0-0

69.4

30.8

40.7%

36.8

61.2

28.9

41.3%

34.5

ARKANSAS ST Team Statistics

Shooting

3pt Shooting

Free Throws

Rebounding

PPG

Half

FGM-A

Pct

FGM-A

PCT

FTM-A

Pct

Tot

Off

Ast

PF

Stl

TO

Bk

Team Stats (All Games)

70.2

31.3

23-57

41.4%

7-20

32.7%

17-25

67.8%

36

11

11

17

9

13

3

vs opponents surrendering

69.5

32.6

24-56

43.9%

6-18

34.3%

14-21

68.3%

35

10

13

18

7

15

4

Team Stats (Home Games)

72.7

32.4

24-58

42.5%

6-21

30.8%

17-26

67.3%

38

12

11

16

10

12

3

Stats Against (All Games)

62.3

28.8

22-53

41.8%

6-17

33.0%

12-18

66.3%

35

9

11

20

6

17

3

vs opponents averaging

67.1

30.8

24-56

42.6%

6-18

33.7%

14-20

68.2%

35

10

12

18

7

15

3

Stats Against (Home Games)

58.0

27.2

21-52

39.7%

5-16

30.7%

12-18

64.4%

34

8

8

20

6

18

2

Average power rating of opponents played: TROY 68, ARKANSAS ST 67.7

Head-to-Head Series History

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

TROY is 6-3 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997

TROY is 6-3 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997

6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ARKANSAS ST since 1997

ARKANSAS ST is 2-2 against the spread versus TROY since 1997

ARKANSAS ST is 2-2 straight up against TROY since 1997

3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons.

ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Shooting

3pt shots

Free Throws

Rebounds

Date

Teams

Score

Line

Result

Half

FGM-A

Pct

FGM-A

Pct

FTM-A

Pct

Tot.

OFF

TO

1/24/2013

ARKANSAS ST

67

-7.5

33

19-52

36.5%

9-22

40.9%

20-24

83.3%

34

14

18

TROY

74

SU ATS

26

27-56

48.2%

7-20

35.0%

13-18

72.2%

37

13

15

2/16/2012

TROY

59

138.5

Over

26

24-50

48.0%

5-16

31.2%

6-7

85.7%

25

6

14

ARKANSAS ST

83

-7

SU ATS

35

31-55

56.4%

11-21

52.4%

10-17

58.8%

29

10

7

2/19/2011

ARKANSAS ST

71

-2.5

SU ATS

35

25-59

42.4%

8-20

40.0%

13-17

76.5%

49

15

20

TROY

63

140

Under

34

18-49

36.7%

10-24

41.7%

17-24

70.8%

25

5

13

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TROY in this game

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 54.1% of the time since 1997. (86-73)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 65% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-21)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (165-147)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 55.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-29)

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