Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion
"...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MADE LANDFALL NEAR LES ANGLAIS IN WESTERN HAITI AT 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING..."
Invest "Disturbance 1: 80% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
As of 8:00 am EDT Tue Oct 4 2016 ...
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a low
pressure area located about 500 miles northeast of Puerto Rico.
Satellite wind data indicate that the low is producing winds to
gale force, and the system could become sufficiently well organized
to result in the formation of a tropical storm later today. The
low is expected to move generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over
the next few days, and upper-level winds are forecast to become
less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent"