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Where will the US have it's next war?

That country seems to be engaged in a war at most of the time in it's history. Afghanistan is going to be wound down by the end of 2014 so what's next? Iran? Syria?

Of course there is the war on terror but can that really be called a war in it's own right? (a secondary issue)...

Is the reason America engages in war so often because it's a prerequisite for their political agenda on earth (the exportation of democracy loosely put). What some call Imperialism? 'America must remain a beacon of Democracy to all those who seek freedom' blah blah...the so-called stable transitioning of countries to democracy and so forth. Isn't the imposition of the american political system on others a restriction in itself indeed a constraint for those countries for which the US seeks to "liberate" in giving them self-determination??

OK folks keep it civil and correct me as you must but let's have a good discussion.

Re: Where will the US have it's next war?

The rest is in regards to Iran, which does have oil and sits on a strategic water way for the shipment of oil.

From what I've gathered, and these aren't my opinions, neither are they the only opinions of leaders and experts:

Iran could destabilize the region if they build nukes and countries like Saudi Arabia have all but begged us to strike them, but they aren't there yet (possibly up to 2 years or more out) and sabotage seems to be delaying them for now. Besides, most U.S. experts agree that striking Iran's facilities would merely delay them from building nukes. Sanctions have been tried for decades and they don't work. Only a ground invasion (occupation) could prevent them from continuing and a ground invasion isn't likely anytime soon.

Israel isn't capable of taking on Iran by itself. They could do a first strike but the potential costs to them aren't worth the small gains. They are surrounded by Arab states just waiting for an excuse like that to go after them.

It's worth noting most experts agree that the 1991 gulf war and invasion of Iraq solidified the Iranian's decision to build nuclear weapons. It scared the shit out of them. The subsequent Iraq and Afghanistan wars haven't helped either.

Re: Where will the US have it's next war?

No, cgymike, helping people to achieve Democracy is not imposing a system upon anyone. It gives the people the ability to decide for themselves. What they do with it is up to them.
As for the next war, I cannot see us engaging Iran in a ground war. Obama is allowing them to develop nuclear weapons. I am not saying we should try to stop them. There is no good answer.
But what will Iran do with them? That will probably determine where the next war will be. If they use nuclear weapons, it is probable that the only effective defense is an all out nuclear retaliation.

Re: Where will the US have it's next war?

I think with the current administration it is anyone's guess. The guy in the White House is a military illiterate. He repeatedly goes against military advise for no reason whatsoever. The current foreign policy is ineffective, naive and illiterate as well. Deaths of coalition soldiers skyrocketed under the current administration since 2008. The current administration has killed more soldiers which were deployed in Afghanistan in 4 years than the former administration did in 8 years. One can only conclude wherever the war is it will make no sense logically and cause the death of as many American servicemen as possible. As far as spreading democracy across the world, if is an exercise in futility to try to attempt to install democracy in the middle east. They don't understand it. They don't want it. They will destroy any attempt at it.

Re: Where will the US have it's next war?

Africa will be the next place we have troop involvement. Unless something extraordinary occurs.

The involvement will follow world outcry at the atrocities committed in the lawless regions. What atrocity will catch the attention of the western world I have no idea yet.

This administration has successfully and purposefully extracted us from conflict and will not start another unless pushed into it by forces beyond our control. Such as a successful attack like 9/11.

It is much more likely that the 'fighting' will occur electronically and not in the public eye and not with people. Cyber is the next battlefield.

We have little interest in Mali so Africa is out of the question.

I think cyberwars with China and the reversion of manufacturing to the US may happen. China is already a "transfer station" for much of the world and said pollution will catch up with them in the next decade or so.

Re: Where will the US have it's next war?

Originally Posted by maxpowr9

We have little interest in Mali so Africa is out of the question.

I think cyberwars with China and the reversion of manufacturing to the US may happen. China is already a "transfer station" for much of the world and said pollution will catch up with them in the next decade or so.

We have little interest in WW Five so China is out of the question.

Mali is the french deal that we fully supported. We didn't have 'interest' because this current admin has the desire to extract and not involve. We did plenty but the french did the work. The way we would like many things to go.

I am pretty sure we didn't stand up the fourth fleet for South America and AFRICOM for Africa because we have little interest. Europe is handling most its own issues wth nudging from us when necessary. Russia and China are entrenched. ASEAN prefers the delicate balance that borders on belligerence but doesn't actually go to war. South America needs to stand up on its own and has the ability potentially so soft hands work better there. Africa is a complete fucking mess. So armed influence is going to occur there. Add to the fact that SA and AF are the only places left with real and exploitable resources and you have the winners.

Everyone can be great, because everyone can serve.~ Martin Luther King, Jr.

Re: Where will the US have it's next war?

Originally Posted by Durango95

I think with the current administration it is anyone's guess. The guy in the White House is a military illiterate. He repeatedly goes against military advise for no reason whatsoever. The current foreign policy is ineffective, naive and illiterate as well. Deaths of coalition soldiers skyrocketed under the current administration since 2008. The current administration has killed more soldiers which were deployed in Afghanistan in 4 years than the former administration did in 8 years. One can only conclude wherever the war is it will make no sense logically and cause the death of as many American servicemen as possible. As far as spreading democracy across the world, if is an exercise in futility to try to attempt to install democracy in the middle east. They don't understand it. They don't want it. They will destroy any attempt at it.