Brazil vs Peru prediction: Brazil 2-0 Peru

Every year that the South American Championship or Copa América has been played in Brazil, they have won it.

Will that trend continue in 2019?

Tite’s side have swept all before them in this tournament but have one more hurdle to get over.

They surely weren’t expecting that hurdle to be Peru.

Los Incas have massively upset the odds to get to this final but must cause one of the biggest shocks in Copa América final history to win this one.

Will it be a time for partying or mourning at the iconic Estádio do Maracanã?

SAINT PETERSBURG, RUSSIA – JUNE 22: Alisson of Brazil gives his team instructions during the 2018 FIFA World Cup Russia group E match between Brazil and Costa Rica at Saint Petersburg Stadium on June 22, 2018 in Saint Petersburg, Russia. (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)

Brazil vs Peru: Match preview

After the 7-1 demolition at the hands of Germany in the semi-finals of the last tournament they hosted, winning this competition was seen as a must.

However, Seleção didn’t get off to the ideal start.

They stumbled past Bolivia before being held to a 0-0 draw by Venezuela.

However, they sprang into life in the third group game, hammering Peru 5-0 at Arena Corinthians.

The goals then dried up for their quarter-final tie with Paraguay.

They could not find a way through and it went to penalties.

Alisson was the hero and Gabriel Jesus was the man to convert the decisive penalty.

Paraguay gave them a real scare but Brazil got through 4-3 on penalties.

That set up a colossal semi-final showdown with rivals Argentina.

The Mineirão was the setting of their collapse against Germany but they weren’t going to make the same mistakes this time.

After 20 minutes, Dani Alves’ run down the right, found Firmino who squared it across to Jesus.

Tap-in. 1-0 Brazil.

In the second half, it was roles reversed.

With 20 minutes remaining, Jesus set up Firmino who booked Brazil’s place in the final.

They have now beaten Argentina in all of their last five Copa América meetings.

Tuesday’s success followed quarter-final victories in 1995 and 1999 as well as wins in the finals’ of 2004 and 2007.

In this tournament, they’re yet to concede a goal which bodes well for them.

As does the fact they have not lost a Copa América match in which they scored first since a 2-1 defeat to Bolivia in 1979.

Since then they have a record of 42 wins and nine draws in Copa matches in which they’ve broken the deadlock.

This side are massive favourites in this one so will they be celebrating come full time?

PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC – MARCH 26: Roberto Firmino of Brazil in action during the international friendly match between the Czech Republic and Brazil at Sinobo Stadium on March 26, 2019 in Prague, Czech Republic. (Photo by Thomas Eisenhuth/Bongarts/Getty Images)

Can Peru cause a seismic shock?

In stark contrast, no one predicted that Peru would get through to this final.

They only got through the group stages as one of the best ranked third-placed teams.

That’s after a goalless draw with Venezuela, a 3-1 victory over Bolivia and that 5-0 drubbing at the hands of Brazil.

That meant they were to take on Uruguay in the quarter-finals.

It’s fair to say, it was a backs to the wall performance from Ricardo Gareca’s side.

Uruguay had three goals disallowed but Peru were able to force penalties.

Luis Suárez was up first but he saw his effort saved by Pedro Gallese.

That would prove costly.

Paolo Guerrero, Raúl Ruidíaz, Yoshimar Yotún, Luis Advíncula and Edison Flores all scored as Peru went through 5-4 in the shootout.

In the semi-finals on Wednesday, they met the 2015 and 2016 winners of this competition; Chile.

Peruvian fans far and wide will never forget the events that occurred in Porto Alegre.

They had a shock lead after just 20 minutes through Edison Flores’ stunning volley.

Then, just before half time, Yoshimar Yotún smashed into an empty net from the edge of the box after a calamitous goalkeeping error.

2-0 Peru.

The second half was essentially attack against defence but Chile could not find a way through.

In stoppage time, Paolo Guerrero rounded the goalkeeper and sealed one of the most famous wins in Peru’s history.

The celebrations at Arena do Grêmio went on well into the night.

That’s because Peru are playing in their second Copa América Final with the other coming in 1975 when they beat Colombia.

Their only other South American title came way back in 1939 so this is a huge occasion for Peru.

They’ve knocked out the most successful side in Copa América history and the holders so can they now defeat the hosts?

Brazil team news vs Peru

SAO PAULO, BRAZIL – JUNE 14: Philippe Coutinho of Brazil in action during the Copa América Brazil 2019 group A match between Brazil and Bolivia at Morumbi Stadium on June 14, 2019 in Sao Paulo, Brazil. (Photo by Buda Mendes/Getty Images)

Tite has a settled side and has not made very many changes during this tournament.

He is, of course, without Marcelo, Fabinho, Vinícius Júnior and Neymar but he still has an enviably strong squad.

Alisson will keep his place in goal ahead of Ederson; the Liverpool keeper has kept a clean sheet in each of his last nine games for club and country.

In defence, Dani Alves is captaining his nation at this tournament.

Only four Brazilians have made more appearances at Copa Américas than his 18 and he’ll make that 19 here.

Marquinhos is expected to miss out after getting injured in the semi-final so Miranda is likely to come in not Éder Militão.

Alex Sandro will keep his place ahead of Filipe Luís at left-back.

In midfield, Casemiro will partner Arthur with Fernandinho once again left out.

Further forward, Grêmio’s Everton has been one of the stars of this tournament and will keep his place.

Philippe Coutinho will play in a central role with Gabriel Jesus on the right and Roberto Firmino through the middle.

It is clear that Tite wants to get both Jesus and Firmino into his side and playing Jesus wide allows him to do that.

It’s easy to see why.

Roberto Firmino has had a hand in five of Brazil’s 10 goals so far in this tournament; scoring two and assisting three.

Meanwhile, Gabriel Jesus’ goal against Argentina ended a run of nine competitive games without scoring for his national team and that was his first goal at a major tournament.

Richarlison started the tournament opener but will be happy just to be on the bench now after recovering from the mumps.

This side should just have far too much quality for Peru.

Peru team news vs Brazil

LIMA, PERU – MAY 26: Players of Peru pose for a team photo during an open training session ahead of FIFA World Cup Russia 2018 on May 26, 2018 in Lima, Peru. (Photo by Leonardo Fernandez/Getty Images)

As for Los Incas, they certainly do not have the star quality that their opponents can boast.

Goalkeeper Pedro Gallese made seven saves against Chile, the most for a Peruvian goalkeeper in any of their last 21 games at Copa Américas.

He is one of eight members of this squad who were also in Chile four years ago when Peru finished third.

Rayo Vallecano right-back Luis Advíncula has been so impressive in this tournament but will be tested here.

Carlos Zambrano is their best centre-back and will once again be key.

They have a very solid midfield trio.

Yoshimar Yotún, Christian Cueva and Renato Tapia may not be the most talented but they are the hardest working.

Edison Flores, another central midfielder, will be pushed out wide once again to increase defensive solidity.

They have a real problem on the right-wing though.

Jefferson Farfán of Lokomotiv Moscow is out with a knee injury and André Carrillo is a major doubt after going off injured on Wednesday.

Portland Timbers’ Andy Polo, who came on in the semi-final, is likely to get a rare start.

Up front, will be their captain and talisman.

After his goal against Chile, Paolo Guerrero is now the currently active player who’s scored the most goals in Copa América tournaments (13), and is the joint-third all-time top scorer in the competition.

Will he add a goal in a final to his impressive CV?

Ricardo Gareca’s side are massive underdogs in this game and they’ve done amazingly well to get to this final.

However, this game at the Estádio do Maracanã will surely be just a step too far for them.

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