The Ames straw poll is many things: state fair with carnival rides, political convention, fundraiser for the Iowa Republican Party, test of a candidate’s organizational strength, and what some might describe as an institutionalized if genteel day of bribery.

But the quirky poll is also testimony to the paradoxical ability of Iowans, who pride themselves on their modesty, to capture the media spotlight. More than 700 news outlets have been credentialed this year, including organizations from Australia, South Korea, Slovenia and Sweden, Iowa Republican spokesman Casey Mills said.— Robin Abcarian, Los Angeles Times

By all accounts, the outcome of the straw poll remained up for grabs in an uncertain and still-growing field of candidates, with Tim Pawlenty, fellow Minnesotan Rep. Michele Bachmann and Texas Rep. Ron Paul all in position to perform well after weeks building support across the state.

“It’s probably as unpredictable a straw poll as we have had,” said Matt Strawn, Iowa Republican Party chairman.— Amy Gardner, Washington Post

What really matters Saturday is whether a candidate exceeds expectations. That puts Bachman and Pawlenty in the hot seat. She’s expected to win and he’ll be damaged if he doesn’t “do well,” meaning win, place, or show.

And while neither Romney or Perry are contesting the Straw Poll, both could be damaged if the press decides their vote totals aren’t what the media think they should be. This is especially true for Perry: Independent groups are actively working to turn out supporters for the straw poll.— Republican strategist Karl Rove at FoxNews.com

Put an asterisk by the name of Saturday’s Ames straw poll winner.

Whoever wins the presidential trial ballot there is going to find their moment — and momentum — cut short by Rick Perry’s plan to announce his entry into the race in South Carolina, at the same time the Iowa balloting is under way.

That singular act of scene-stealing has prompted hand-wringing and hurt feelings from Iowans concerned about their state’s prized place in the political pecking order. And the real casualty is the field of candidates competing at the straw poll, who are about to have their buzz stepped on by a Texas-sized boot heel.— Molly Ball, Politico

There are many unusual sights at the Iowa State Fair. A life-sized cow carved from butter. Deep-fried sticks of actual butter. A bull the size of a truck that could haul tons of butter. And, Friday, a human magnet named Sarah Palin.

The former Alaska governor and veep nominee spent an hour or more at the fair, barely visible through a scrum of cameras and fairgoers as she dropped hints and dished on, among others, Gov. Rick Perry.

“I was surprised that he had changed his position” on whether he was going to run, she said, “but I’m glad that he’s going to be in there.”
—Todd J. Gillman, Dallas Morning News