2017-18 NBA Playoff Odds

2017-18 NBA Playoff Odds

For a few weeks, a couple of offshore sportsbooks have been teasing us with NBA playoff odds for a limited number of teams. 5Dimes, for example, only offered odds for the Timberwolves, 76ers, Pelicans, and Lakers.

We now have odds for every team in the league from BetOnline. You can also see how each team’s odds compare to their win totals.

Team

BetOnline (7/13)

Atlanta

Yes: +190
No: -240

Boston

Yes: -800
No: +500

Brooklyn

Yes: +2000
No: -8000

Charlotte

Yes: -175
No: +145

Chicago

Yes: +1000
No: -2000

Cleveland

Yes: -800
No: +500

Dallas

Yes: +400
No: -600

Denver

Yes: -230
No: +180

Detroit

Yes: -160
No: +130

Golden State

Yes: -10000
No: +2500

Houston

Yes: -1250
No: +700

Indiana

Yes: +300
No: -400

LA Clippers

Yes: -160
No: +130

LA Lakers

Yes: +1000
No: -2000

Memphis

Yes: +100
No: -130

Miami

Yes: -200
No: +160

Milwaukee

Yes: -300
No: +240

Minnesota

Yes: -500
No: +350

New Orleans

Yes: +135
No: -165

New York

Yes: +250
No: -325

Oklahoma City

Yes: -550
No: +375

Orlando

Yes: +190
No: -240

Philadelphia

Yes: -175
No: +145

Phoenix

Yes: +2000
No: -8000

Portland

Yes: +100
No: -130

Sacramento

Yes: +1400
No: -4000

San Antonio

Yes: -1000
No: +600

Toronto

Yes: -550
No: +375

Utah

Yes: +180
No: -240

Washington

Yes: -400
No: +300

I’m surprised that the Cavaliers and Celtics aren’t closer to the Warriors, but I’m guessing the limits for these will keep your winnings to a minimum even if you want to max bet them.

There are a handful of teams that could be right around the #8 seed in their conference, with the playoff race in the western conference expected to be especially close. The first five teams are essentially locks, but there are six teams that follow whose implied probabilities range from 69.7% (Denver) to 35.7% (Utah). These teams with odds closer to an even payout on both sides are the ones that bettors can make some money on without taking a huge risk.

Depending on how you feel Anthony Davis and Demarcus Cousins will play together for a full year, there could be some value on New Orleans (Yes: +135). Personally, I don’t love the pair, but some believe that the abundance of talent will eventually outweigh any chemistry or off-court issues.

The Eastern Conference doesn’t have as large of a group of teams near the bubble, but the obvious story will be the 76ers. At -175 to make the playoffs, oddsmakers are clearly “trusting the process”. Philly is bursting at the seems with potential, but the question is whether they will be good now or in a few years. They finished with 28 wins last season, but were a much better team with Joel Embiid on the floor. If he can stay healthy, the additions of Ben Simmons, Markelle Fultz, and JJ Redick should make them a dangerous foe even if there is a learning curve. I wouldn’t be surprised if this number went into the -200 or higher range.

Check back over the offseason to see how the odds updates and analysis. Feel free to comment with any thoughts or questions below, on live chat, or via email at help@sportsinsights.com.