Packers and Patriots will slow their pace in Week 11

Welcome to Snaps, Pace, and Stats, which examines trends in snap totals and no-huddle usage. This year I’ll be looking at individual players on Fridays in Advanced Matchup Plays, and it will appear both here and on RotoGrinders. Before that, however, it is helpful to take a 30,000-foot view of the upcoming games, in the hope of finding out which ones will be played on fertile fantasy soil.

Rank

Week 10 Snaps

2015 Snaps/Game

Opponent Wk 10 Snps

2015 Opp Snps/Gm

1

Philadelphia (88)

Houston (72.7)

Miami (88)

Carolina (69.9)

2

Arizona (84)

Philadelphia (70.8)

Seattle (84)

Oakland (69.3)

3

Green Bay (82)

San Diego (69.8)

Detroit (82)

Philadelphia (69.1)

4

Jacksonville (70)

New Orleans (69.6)

Baltimore (70)

N.Y. Giants (68.8)

5

N.Y. Giants (70)

Atlanta (69.2)

New England (70)

Miami (68.7)

Oakland at Detroit

Neither team has run a ton of plays, although the Lions do average a whopping 21.4 more snaps per game at home. Oakland is 21st in plays-per-game (63), and Detroit is 17th (63.8). They are middling in terms of no-huddle rate, with the Raiders ranking 14th (8.1 percent) and the Lions 17th (7.3 percent). Yet both are in the top-10 for most points allowed per snap, and the matchup shapes up to produce more plays than these offenses typically run.

Although the Raiders’ previously stout run defense (+17.7; 13th) was gashed by Adrian Peterson, it didn’t wear down until the fourth quarter, and the Lions can’t run at all (-2.1; 29th). Both teams rank in the bottom-five in per-game rushing attempts. Detroit averages the third-most passes per game, and Oakland’s fifth-rated passing game (+11.4) averages the 12th-most. The Lions rank 26th for pass coverage (-18.8) and the Raiders are even worse (-20.6; 29th).