Damages from June 13 hailstorm in Dallas may be $2 billion

Insured damage from a massive 3-hour hailstorm that pummeled Dallas, Texas on Wednesday, June 13, may reach $2 billion, said the Southwestern Insurance Information Service (SIIS) on Friday. If true, this would be the fourth billion-dollar U.S. weather disaster of 2012. A cluster of three severe thunderstorms dropped hail the size of baseballs over a heavily populated area, damaging thousands of cars, puncturing skylights at a local mall, and shattering the expensive tile roofs of hundreds of homes. It was the second major hailstorm to hit the region this year; an April 3 event cost close to $500 million, and damaged 110 airplanes at the DFW airport. You can see a radar image of the June 13 storm using our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on.

One of the most expensive hailstorms of all-timeThe June 13 hailstorm will rank as one of the most expensive of all-time, according to statistics of billion-dollar disasters maintained by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and a list of damaging hail events maintained at Wikipedia. Wikipedia lists only three hailstorms in U.S. history with damages exceeding $1 billion:

1) The April 10, 2001 St. Louis, Missouri hailstorm. This costliest hailstorm in U.S. history, costing $2+ billion, struck the I-70 corridor of eastern Kansas, across Missouri, into southwestern Illinois.

2) The May 5, 1995 Mayfest Storm in Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas. Severe thunderstorms produced hail the size of softballs, causing $1.1 billion in insured losses, and total damage of $2 billion.

3) The July 11, 1990 hailstorm in Colorado. Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing $625 million in total damage ($1.1 billion in damage adjusted to 2011 dollars.)

Video 1. News coverage of the June 13, 2012 hailstorm in Dallas, Texas, from local TV station News8. The aerial shots of a fog-shrouded golf course covered with ice are quite remarkable.

Six global billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2012There have been five global billion-dollar weather disasters as of the end of May, said Aon Benfield in their latest May Catastrophe Recap. Three of these were in the U.S. With the addition of the June 13 Dallas hailstorm, the global total would rise to six and the U.S. total to four. The most expensive weather-related disaster of 2012 has been the March 2 - 3 tornado and severe weather outbreak in the Midwest and Southeast U.S., which killed 41 people and caused $3 billion in damage. The second most expensive was the severe thunderstorms and heavy rains that hit China during late April and early May, bringing flooding, landslides, and damaging hail to the Gansu, Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. Over 143,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, with $2.68 billion in damage. Two other severe weather outbreaks in the U.S. topped the $1 billion mark in damages in 2012: the April 27 - 29 event in the Midwest ($1.5 billion in damage), and an April 2 - 4 severe weather outbreak in Texas that did a tremendous amount of hail damage near Dallas/Ft. Worth ($1 billion.) A fourth severe weather event, April 13 - 15 in the Plains and Midwest, is very close the $1 billion mark ($950 million in damage.) Another weather disasters that might approach the $1 billion mark is the frosts and freezes that decimated Midwest fruit trees after 2012's "summer in March" heat wave. Agricultural damage in Michigan alone has been estimated by the state to be $223.5 million--including $130 million to cherry and apple orchards. The pace and cost of billion-dollar weather disasters in 2012 is well below that of 2011, which had had fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters between January and May (nine in the U.S.) These 2011 disasters cost $73 billion, compared to the $10 billion price tag of 2012's five-billion dollar disasters from January - May.

Super Typhoon Guchol headed towards TokyoSuper Typhoon Guchol , a powerful Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds, is churning through the Western Pacific towards Japan, and is expected to pass close to Tokyo late Tuesday night local time. As Guchol approaches Japan on Monday and Tuesday morning, ocean temperatures will cool below 26°C and wind shear will increase, which should cause significant weakening of the typhoon. By the time of closest approach to Tokyo, I expect Guchol will most likely be a tropical storm, but could be a Category 1 typhoon.

The Atlantic is quietThere are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

Then whatever is contaminating it contaminated the GFS as well, and as I previously mentioned the HWRF during Carlotta showed this happening as well. The HWRF received a significant upgrade and is now able to see in much higher resolution than the other models - it was accurate saying that Carlotta would go where it went and that it would defiy the NHC predictions of intensity and attempt to become a major hurricane. It was also accurate in the intensity of Beryl. This is the 18z HWRF from yesterday, as I don't have a more recent update this is what it was showing.

The HWRF's resolution does decrease outside the inner nest, from 9km to 27km, and the boundary conditions are supplied to the model by the GFS.

Quoting Tazmanian:guys what did WunderBlogAdmin tell you guys this is a weather blog olny so post like 260 and 275 sould be posted in your own blogs has they are off topic and sould be posted in your owns blogs and not here on the main weather blog one day you find end up being bannd for posting off topic photos and youtubs that dos not go with this weather blog

this giveing you guys a warning you guys been warned time after time and still he lets you get a way with it well one day you end up with a 24hr bannd or may be even a 4 day bannd from the blog

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICOSOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL HUNDREDMILES CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS ANDTHUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TOOCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT REMAINS NEARLYSTATIONARY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMINGA TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OFDEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS ANDMUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FORTHE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS ANDTHUNDERSTORMS AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW. ANYDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE ISEXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ATABOUT 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOWCHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONEDURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THISSYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONALWEATHER SERVICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

&&

HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BEFOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

Quoting winter123:Is anyone else watching the LLC near Bermuda? It looks like the makings of a STS but not quite coming together right.

May not have time. It looks like it's booking it to the N / NE... trying to remember how far back we have look in the model archives to see when / how this storm was forecast. I vaguely recall some discussion of a storm off the Carolinas oh... maybe 8 - 10 days ago? Before we started talking about the BoC....

I suppose this is off topic but still, I think it's weather related, of sorts.

I can remember (dating myself here) when the "poor kids" in Nova Scotia and Newfoundland brought lobster sandwiches and the "rich kids" brought peanut butter sandwiches to school.

Nowadays (and I do love this one) when a Nor'Easter blows that way, the lobster get tossed out of the ocean and the locals are down there with their green trash bags just scooping the lobster up. Fill up their freezers and no need for a license if they are on shore!

Then whatever is contaminating it contaminated the GFS as well, and as I previously mentioned the HWRF during Carlotta showed this happening as well. The HWRF received a significant upgrade and is now able to see in much higher resolution than the other models - it was accurate saying that Carlotta would go where it went and that it would defiy the NHC predictions of intensity and attempt to become a major hurricane. It was also accurate in the intensity of Beryl. This is the 18z HWRF from yesterday, as I don't have a more recent update this is what it was showing.

That is due to the trough that is attached to our non-tropical low being tagged at 10%, that is predicted to lift out. But, I have my doubts as to if shear will be low enough for anything major. No more than a weak TS if it where to become anything, in my opinion.

Quoting CybrTeddy:The added low in the 18z GFS just makes things way more complicated for development in the BoC.

You have the monsoonal trough lifting northward, the energy in the Caribbean and the tropical wave associated with it and now the much further south than earlier modeled trough digging down, taking out a significant portion of the moisture and sending it into the BoC. During the runs for Carlotta, I noticed exactly this on the HWRF runs though I didn't want to say anything, but it was consistently showing in the more wide range view that a system would try to take shape near Florida and move into the Gulf.

I Don't know about a Bonnie-type system. It would clip south florida and Head due west toward the central gulf before being lifted north which would put it in NOLA, but that could mean we get a decent TS out of it.

The HPC discounted that run saying it was contaiminated today?..It will be interested to see if it keeps being consistent..

Then whatever is contaminating it contaminated the GFS as well, and as I previously mentioned the HWRF during Carlotta showed this happening as well. The HWRF received a significant upgrade and is now able to see in much higher resolution than the other models - it was accurate saying that Carlotta would go where it went and that it would defiy the NHC predictions of intensity and attempt to become a major hurricane. It was also accurate in the intensity of Beryl. This is the 18z HWRF from yesterday, as I don't have a more recent update this is what it was showing.

Ugh.Maybe Next year people... This Tropical Weather Video Thing ain't working out for me afterall :(Sorry to those who were looking forward to it... Just gonna have to deal with my Tropical Weather Outlooks instead... Sorry. With that said, I have to go feed a Huge 90 pound German Shepherd... and two other dogs. Be back in a bit...

Quoting CybrTeddy:The CMC also agrees with the GFS that we could see development in the Bahamas as soon as 60 hours or so, but is much stronger and sends it after reaching Florida towards North Carolina as perhaps a strong TS. This is much less complex development than anything in the BoC, but it will all depend on the shear at the time.

The HPC discounted that run saying it was contaiminated today?..It will be interesting to see if it keeps being consistent..

Quoting CybrTeddy:The CMC also agrees with the GFS that we could see development in the Bahamas as soon as 60 hours or so, but is much stronger and sends it after reaching Florida towards North Carolina as perhaps a strong TS. This is much less complex development than anything in the BoC, but it will all depend on the shear at the time.

Quoting CybrTeddy:The CMC also agrees with the GFS that we could see development in the Bahamas as soon as 60 hours or so, but is much stronger and sends it after reaching Florida towards North Carolina as perhaps a strong TS. This is much less complex development than anything in the BoC, but it will all depend on the shear at the time.

The NOGAPS for a time was also showing a similar situation.But has since dropped it.

The CMC also agrees with the GFS that we could see development in the Bahamas as soon as 60 hours or so, but is much stronger and sends it after reaching Florida towards North Carolina as perhaps a strong TS. This is much less complex development than anything in the BoC, but it will all depend on the shear at the time.