When Secretary of State Hillary Clinton signed off on restarting funding to Egypt's military in March, it sparked an immediate outcry on Capitol Hill from those who thought the the United States was giving up leverage to ensure the military rulers saw through on their commitment to relinquishing power to a democratically elected government.

Those fears were realized this past week as Egypt's court forced the dissolution of parliament and the military asserted its powers once again ahead of the weekend's runoff elections.

The court ruling has thrown the future of the transition into question, and now a key senator is warning it could once again throw the $1.3 billion in military aid to Egypt into uncertainty.

"I have made clear to the State Department that, despite the earlier waiver of the conditions I authored, I would not want to see the U.S. government write checks for contracts with Egypt's military under the present uncertain circumstances," Sen. Patrick Leahy, D-Vermont, said in a statement on Friday. Leahy wrote the law that allowed Clinton to approve money for the Egyptian government without certifying that the military government was moving to democratic transition.

At the time of Clinton signing off, a State Department official told CNN's Jill Dougherty that the decision was to help a "strategic partnership" and the State Department would "maintain the flexibility to make adjustments to our Foreign Military Financing program at any time if conditions require it."

Whether the events of the past week will lead to such "adjustments" remains to be seen. But that money is one of the few levers the United States has right now in trying to influence the process, or at the very least express its concern about the potential course of Egypt's transition.

Withholding the money may not change the military's behavior but that is not the real issue for the United States, said Michele Dunne, a Middle East analyst at the Atlantic Council.

"The question is not can we control the behavior of the military in Egypt but the question is do we want to continue to give that level of support to a military that is preventing a democratic transition," Dunne said. "We can't control their actions."

While the money is substantial, the notion that stopping the money would have much effect is "existential," said Middle East analyst Jon Alterman, who is the Zbigniew Brzezinski Chair in Global Security and Geostrategy and also is director of the Middle East Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

"If the last 18 months have shown anything, it's that the Egyptian military is playing a long game," Alterman told CNN.com's Security Clearance in an e-mail on Sunday.

Still, Alterman noted the U.S. has the ability to assert some influence, as was the case when Egypt cracked down on American non-governmental organizations, and the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff traveled to Egypt in part to discuss the impasse.

"Gen. (Martin) Dempsey went to Egypt to try to free the NGO workers, and they couldn't leave for two months. To Americans it looked like a stick in the eye. Semi-official Egyptians keep telling me that Dempsey ended up getting what he wanted, just not immediately," Alterman said.

The military-to-military ties between the United States and Egypt are among the few non-monetary influences the U.S. has. For years, Egyptian military officers have come to the U.S. to train, which has created a deep relationship between the two entities. So, after last week's court ruling and the fallout, Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta was quick to call the head of the Egyptian military, Field Marshal Mohamed Hussein Tantawi.

In the call last Friday, Panetta " highlighted the need to move forward expeditiously with Egypt's political transition, including conducting new legislative elections as soon as possible," according to a statement from Pentagon spokesman George Little.

Tantawi, according to the statement, said the Egyptian military was committed to "free and fair " elections and to transferring power to an elected government by July 1.

The U.S. military is hopeful the military relationship it has with Egyptian forces can be maintained, military officials said on Monday.

“We’d like it to continue,” said Pentagon spokesman Captain John Kirby, “That is our hope and expectation.”

Clinton said Thursday the U.S. was "engaged with Egypt" but "concerned about recent decrees" by the military that, though temporary, "appear to expand the power of the military to detain civilians and to roll back civil liberties."

"There can be no going back on the democratic transition called for by the Egyptian people. The decisions on specific issues, of course, belong to the Egyptian people and their elected leaders," Clinton told reporters.

There are more extreme measures the United States could take including coordinating with other allies who have significant relationships with Egypt, such as the British, French and Japanese. Also, Egypt is "badly in need" of assistance from the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, observed Dunne.

"I am not saying the United States should go there now," said Dunne, noting that it would be an extreme for pressure. "That would be a big deal."

But as Dunne noted, it is the Egyptian military, not the United States, that promised democratic reform.

"It's not like we forced this on them," Dunne told Security Clearance.

The money is also part of a grand bargain the United States has with Egypt to guarantee its peace with Israel. With much of the region in turmoil, especially Syria, the U.S. aid is as much an investment in Israeli security as it is in Egyptian reform.

U.S. officials also point out that, when it comes to nations that are weathering the storms of the "Arab Spring," Egypt is "too big to fail," a bellwether for other countries of the region. The Obama administration must tread carefully between pushing Egypt to do the right thing and shoving it into further disorder.

The USS Liberty was deliberately attacked by isarel....whats more disgusting is that the IDF/Hasbara have white washed and sanitized the USS Liberty Wikipedia page to the point where it completely contradicts USS Liberty survivors....

jews = human garbage

June 19, 2012 at 10:08 am |

BigTex1

We will never cut aid to Egypt because, in essence, it is aid to Israel. The money has never gone to help the Egyptian people...it went into Hosni Mubarak's wallet in exchange for watching Israel occupy its Muslim neighbors. That's why Hosni was one of the richest men in the world. If we cut off the money, Israel will be at war with Egypt in 2 months. This tax payer says stop the funding....Israel can pay its own bribes, or learn to behave.

The real question is this, and it is similar to the one in Gaza: Should the US support a democratically elected Terrorist organization, such as the Muslim Brotherhood? It's espoused goal is an Arab Caliphate, spanning the entire Middle East, with it's Capitol in Jerusalem.

The US has been giving money to Egypt so that they can use the money to buy military equipment from contractors in the US. The problem is, they aren't using the money for that anymore since the Arab spring.

I don't see the aid continuing unless Egypt starts buying more gear from the US contractors.

CUT ALL FOREIGN AID! WE need the money at home! Why is there not a bigger outrage over the fact that Washington has us over $14 TRILLION (that's $14,000,000,000,000.00) and they are literally GIVING money away to foreign powers!

Why the USA even has a "Foreign Military Financing program" is beyond me. With all our debt and economic woes, is this type of spending really necessary? We the people are clearly no longer caring if we allow this to continue, and such apathy contributes to our downfall.

Israel has been our welfare nation since 1948. They never have and never will lift a finger to help the USA in any way.
They are a give me, give me, give me nation.
But their are some great Israelies who don't feel this way. It's too bad they are not in power.

Some of these comments are full of hatred and ignorance. That kind of hurts me. I am a Muslim and live in the U.S and some of this stuff really hurts me. I wish some people would just respect another person's beliefs.

Wouldn’t it be nice that if once the US closed the check book? Told the Egyptian or whatever army you take whatever actions you feel you need to do. It’s between you and your citizens. If we are happy with the results we can take about continuing some aid. If not the foreign army is on their own.

Just wondering. how many nwo do we've got right now? The illuminatum wants a nwo. 1. We've got the communists that want a nwo. 2. we've got the pakistanies that want a nwo..3. Now Europe wants a nwo .. USA..
How many nwo do we've got? Maybe indian want a nwo..

Obama promised 1,5 billion $ aid to Egypt (my news). I believe the west should give aid to Christians (the kopts) alone. Have some project over there. They live in dirt. Well.. from dirt you can make energy; green energy. We'll invest with our innovation, give the Christians a job. Why? Because those muslims like to segregate. They want nothing to do with Christian Egypts... but kidnap, rape, torture, get some Arab tourism over to Egypt.

Thank you so much, first time I see someone talking about Christians in Egypt and the dilema they live through every single day. Threats of being slaughtered, forced to wear Higab, and calls to compel them to pay money for the coming Islamic ruler that is in addition to the taxes they pay the government.

Democracy (on voters value) + demography = outcome
Demo in Greek means the people decide. They decide to choose 'untermensch' and 'übermench' rules by voting for that Islamic brotherhood. Means their country will suppress every non-muslim in the country. Because it's the will of the people. The majority is muslim (demography). Would Africa give aid to America, when America would suppress certain African in the USA? Would America accept it?

Oh wait, muslims believe in one nazi society.. my mistake they call it caliphate. NWO. The west doesn't believe in a nazi caliphate. We've got democracy. Oh.. wait.. some people think there's a chance on EUSSR. One thing I hate is communism (also called progressive policy) and Islam.

Oh wait, muslims believe in one nazi society.. my mistake they call it caliphate. NWO. The west doesn't believe in a nazi caliphate. We've got democracy. Oh.. wait.. some people think there's a chance on EUSSR.. want to kill us all.

Aid?? Let me tell this our major party in Holland is willing to research on that aid. Of course we should give aid to Egypt. Aid to provide the Christians in Egypt with weapons, scholarship. Aid like.. pepper spray for 700 Christian girls that kidnapped, raped, tortured, out hungered, forced to convert to Islam. Why should we give aid? There's no need to. Enough Arab tourism now, that want to marry some raped, tortured Christian girl. The west is no longer needed. Islam rules!!
Or.. we could give aid to Christians there. Muslims like to segregate, they don't believe in one nazi society, everything that lives on Egyptian land, and is Christian, might be filth for them, worth to protect for us.

When you're between a rock and a hard place, sometimes you have to choose the less bad option.
The US has dealt with Egyptian military the past 40 years and they have kept the peace. Muslim Brotherhood...... now that even sounds scary.

The U.S. will never cut off aid to Egypt, no matter what! If it ever did, it would lose control and the Washington bureaucrats will never stand for that. In fact, that would be one of the better things to happen to Egypt as that country would become more independent from the West than is present.

How a country can be in debt up to its eyes and still be willing to give money away to people who would just as soon see you destroyed is beyond me. Stop with the foreign aid until our house is in order...THEN consider giving but only to places who are on the same wavelength. Say NO to Islamists, NO to dictators.

Without a government? The de facto government is the military, and that is where our foreign aid has been going. Why have the pretense of representative democrcy if only an outcome acceptable to us and our stooges will be tolerated? The military can invalidate the outcome of elections by force, but they can't deliver the vote, i.e., it is a military dictatorship.

Exactly. I would rather see the military in charge than the populace. If the people take over the country, they will oppress the minorities, much like what happened in Iraq. In Iraq, there was a vibrant Christian community, and now it is largely gone due to oppression by the majority Sunni muslims.
I stand with the religious minorities and women, not the barbaric islamist majority.
Countries in the middle east are better off under dictators than the uncivilized populace

lol, no... US didn't restart the payment to the Egyptian military because of they are not interfering with Egyptian democracy. US is paying the military to do exactly what it just did, to stop the muslim brotherhood from taking over Egyptian government in accordance to the popular and democratic will of the Egyptian people.

"Why are we still paying off other countries to leave Israel alone? If they can't hold on to their country by themselves, do they even deserve to have it?"

Just an ignorant statement if there ever was one. Israel's been defending their own country for the better part of 70 years since its independence. They're not like Kuwait or Afghanistan or Vietnam who the respective REPUBLICAN Presidents at the time were inclined to send troops in to defend. Name one war involving Israel that the US participated in. Bet you can't. You can complain all you want about the US supporting Israel with foreign aid; but that should go triple for the real countries in the Middle East like Saudi Arabia and Iraq who would just as well want nothing to do with us besides our investment in their oil reserves.

Killery Clinton strikes again. Why do we support military rule, of ya because we are ruled by the military industrial complex, not governed by our free elected government. This world is falling into the crapper.

cbr do u really believe that bull you wrote? no one monitors the money given as aid. that is why so many dictators and others just pocket the cash. we won't become isolationists if we stop given tax payers dollars away. we would become the greatest country on earth, everyone would want to live here if we spend the money on our country.

Matt your right. The whole process su?ks. our politians talk about cutting everything to balance the deficit.
but no one talks about the billions of our tax payers dollars given freely to every country but the US. we are becoming a third world nation, why not give aid to the american citizens. also no one talks about the super billions of dollars the military spends fighting useless wars. look at our drone policy we spend 400 to 600 thousand on a missle thats launched from a drone. we kill one so called enemy. then another takes the dead enemy place. so lets figure there a couple milliion islam worshipping people. if we spend 400 thousand to kill each one who takes the place ot the other, what will that cost us?

I was in the military and never understood this about our government. Why do we feel the need to spend money that this country doesn't have? It's not just Egypt; South Korea, Israel, Afghanistan/Iraq, the list goes on. It's upwards of $30billion anually we spend to help "aid developing countries". Why should we foot the bill for ANY country other than our own? Americans need to worry about their own "backyard" and the mess we've created at home, not the government's special interests around the world. Reform Wall Street, Rebuild our infrastructure, do something that actually benefits Americans! I could give two sh**s about Egypt, and why should I, let them take care of their own problems. They've been a functioning society for thousands of years, what makes America (>250yrs old) think that we have the right to tell them how to govern themselves?

The world is a volatile place. As a world power we work toward bringing democratic ideals to countries and try to help stabilize the countries. Unfortunately, this takes money and we have been giving aide to foreign countries for many years. We could become isolationists and hide our heads in the sand. That brings consequences as well because securing diplomatic relations requires some give and take.

We do not get instant results and the Secretary of State continues to monitor all situations and walks a very tight line to keep us on an even keel.

So, what with around 17 TRILLION in national debt, you are saying, keep spending and being the world's policeman. And who is going to prop us up when we financially collapse? We will collapse if serious changes aren't made in our governments spending habits. Kind of reminds me of reading the collapse of ancient Rome.

why are we giving eqypt money in the first. we should net be giving anything. everytime we do they still hate us and ask for more. we give other countries money for economic aid, military aid etc. why do we give money to these countries when in this country our states cannot meet their bugets. they lay off teachers, do away with unions, cut all kinds of aid to poor citizens. I SAY USE THE MONEY HERE.
I DONT UNDERSTAND WHY OUR GOVERNMENT GIVES OUR MONEY AWAY.

Obviously US has no idea of what are the main legal reasons for dissolving the parliament. Also, they have no idea what the Islamist are planning for what they call the democratic Egypt. Egypt is turning to another Iran so get your stinky nose out of Egypt's business. The provided aid to the military is mainly to support American interest and had nothing to do with what so called "American democracy"

Do u want the brotherhood or the military? Vote a for Bro and b for M. Count the votes: b wins. They're the same. Israel could care less about Egypt no matter what Arabs and the American press say. War hawks from the Arab domain issue these proclamations to get people whipped up. Whether Egypt is neutral or against Israel does not matter to Israel.It's one more or less country that wants them dead. Big deal. Egypt means zilch to Israel. If u want to blame someone blame your American congress and the voters who put them in office.

israel uses US military aid to fund an israeli arms industry that competes with US companies. According to a report commissioned by the US Army War College, “Israel uses roughly 40 percent of its … military aid, ostensibly earmarked for purchase of US weapons, to buy Israeli-made hardware. It also has won the right to require the Defense Department or US defense contractors to buy Israeli-made equipment or subsystems, paying 50 to 60 cents on every defense dollar the US gives to Israel.”.......................educate yourself dummy!

Salafist group called the Popular Egyptian Islamic Association has come under fire after sending out a warning on Facebook urging its followers not to eat tomatoes because the vegetable (or fruit) is a Christian food.

June 19, 2012 at 6:21 am |

islam is vile

we are at war with Islam , israel is the front line in that war

June 19, 2012 at 6:23 am |

Barry G.

They finally rid themselves of a dictator, and he's replaced by a dictatorial regime–and a military one, at that!

God help the good people of Egypt.

May God give them good and decent leaders–leaders who put the needs of the people, before their own selfish desires.

Day one after vote, Israel and Egypt had a border clash today. This could be a real problem real soon and all other issues will be irrelevant real soon. The Hamas is already coordinating with someone on other areas. I don't think the current administration is going to have anybodies back on this one. Also a report of a Russia ship going to Syria? Not good, not good at all. Arab spring could turn out to be biggest miscalculation in history by the ones that thought this was a good idea.

NASA was antiquated for what we need for the future, we are moving forward to make space more commercially profitable and toward deep space exploration. Look up the article about the Louisville built Dream Chaser for June 2 & 3, 2012 at the denverpost.com

I think you seriously don't grasp the situation. Arab Spring was not an American idea... in fact, the primary point of it all was that it was motivated by the people of the Arab nations. Sure we helped it along, but the alternative was to actively block a democratic movement - something that America did all the time in the past before the age of instant personal media.

The road to actual democracy is long and treacherous, and not all of the countries are likely to make it there. But if you really think this is Obama's doing, you have very peculiar notions.

The only math I know is 16.3 Trillion dollars of debt, and you say there are no Obama messes. At what point do you come to the conclusion that maybe just maybe the Democrats are to responsible for some of this? Yes President Obama has to been a part of the mess in Washington since 2005 when he showed up at the Senate. Then he spent 2007 and 2008 only showing up for key votes.

June 18, 2012 at 11:37 am |

EdL

It makes me feel good to learn our economy has been doing so well for the past 3 1/2 years.

June 18, 2012 at 11:53 am |

TJ

Aeromechanic, check your "jobs" facts and how the math is done (apples to apples) from a good non-bias'ed source. 750K a month lost with none added?? Not a chance.. 60K a month added with none lost?? Not a chance..

June 18, 2012 at 12:08 pm |

bobby

Take the aid away....they are to childish to have it...they have failed.

we need money for USA schools – my childs school is crap with nothing – nothing – and I despair for my child – and yet we send Millions overseas??? I am so mad about it. What about American kids? Why does no-one care about USA?

It is not that simple. US could print another 1.3 billion dollars easy enough, but it would not make anybody better off. These 1.3 billion are payd to American workers for producing some weapons, military equipment and supplies which are then go into US stock piles. Then some older nearly expired staff go out of the stock piles and gets shipped to Egypt. That is how I emagine it works.
If you could turn these workers into teachers and doctors: you would have a choice you have mentioned.

June 18, 2012 at 10:43 am |

VEW2012

I would be simpler to do what we did after WWII retool arms manufacturing to work on infrastructure and renewable energy products....that would be a twofor...less money squandered on aid, and a real benefit internally for our nation.

June 18, 2012 at 11:25 am |

VEW2012

New keyboard...start that paragraph with ...It.

June 18, 2012 at 11:27 am |

ireuel

The United States pays more per student than any other country in the world for education. We are somewhere between 17th and 25th depending on the source in results. If your school is that bad it isn't due to the lack of funding, yes even in the President bush years the Department of Education Budget went up at record rates. Throwing money at a problem is never a answer when bureaucrats are involved.

Military rule in Egypt may be unpalatable, but democratic rule wil be worse. The US insists on fair elections, and the Islamic brotherhood will win. That will be the last election in Egypt for a very long time. The US insisted on "democratic" elections for the Palestinian Authority, and that was the last "democratic" elections ever in Gaza, with Hamas terrorists in control, oppressing women and gays and shooting missiles at their neighbors. Nice job, USA.

The Islamic Brotherhood may not be our best ally, but they haven't really been the bad guys - at least not yet. You are right, however, that any group that takes power is likely to either already be corrupt or become corrupted in the process. Democracy takes time to become the successful - perhaps a full generation or more.

Ahhh yes, the ultimate connundrum for the USA. It's played out numerous times. Do we support democracy or the military dictatorship? We love to say we support democracy but then we know that the democratically elected government won't support the US agenda. The military dictatrships are so good at doing what the US wants. Such a dilemma.

The best solution is to support the democracy which doesn't like us much. That way, we can look good politically, give them humanitarian aid, and eventually start to give them military support. Over a decade or two they will come to love American money more than they hate American ideals - and become a staunch ally.

Not so sure our American dollar 'gifts' buy a whole lot of friends. Countries receiving our generous dollar gifts receive strings that are attached. In other words, their receiving our dollars means they will do as we say or else. Or else meaning we will stop the dollar flow after they have adjusted to its reception. Do the same with our states, you do this or we will cut these generous dollar benefits off..

June 18, 2012 at 12:06 pm |

Sam

O got just what he wanted. Now Egyptians can either be ruled by the militray like the last sixty years or can be ruled by the "Democrat" Muslim Brotherhood under Shariya law.

haha just under a trillion to education? are you delusional? more like a LOT under a trillion, It's barely a blip. The largest item on the budget is the military my friend. I dunno who gave you your facts but you've been severely misled.

1.3 billion to the Egyptian military? No wonder we're broke. Stop it. I would love to see a tally of how much "aid" we send to every country around the world, as well as the money we spend in each country for war purposes. I'm betting it would be enough to properly fund our education system, which is something we certainly are not doing now.

Hey James, I posted it earlier up above, but to sate your curiosity, the US spent $55 billion in 2011, according to the Congressional Research Service. Infuriating when seeing it in hard numbers. We have problems at home, and that $55B could have done wonders for some of the projects we need doing here.

well the courts didn't throw out the presidential election, I suggest that we be patience (and at the most, withold funding till a democratic transition) Egypt is a important element to Israel peace and stability) my reference to my position is this last article last paragraph.

"U.S. officials also point out that, when it comes to nations that are weathering the storms of the "Arab Spring," Egypt is "too big to fail," a bellwether for other countries of the region. The Obama administration must tread carefully between pushing Egypt to do the right thing and shoving it into further disorder."

Morality? Convert to X-tianity. You'll never have to worry about your guilty conscience ever again.

Morality. ROTFLMAO

June 18, 2012 at 9:47 am |

The Democracy Myth

What morals? Democracy is not a panacea for every ill of the world. What is happening in Egypt is an Egyptian affair. The U.S. has no moral obligation to support this transition. In fact giving money to Egypt without a clear view of the power structure that will emerge is recklessly immoral. Just because a government is democratically elected does not mean that the government is good. Case in point, the Nazi party was democratically elected in the 1930s.

June 18, 2012 at 9:51 am |

Person of Interest

Funny its usually the people that laugh about moral judgments that have never been in a situation to have to actually make a tough one. While I'm agnostic and not Christian like was mentioned, I don't follow morality like most people do I follow a set of standards that I apply to myself.

DoD is right because the USG should represent its people which (having been in several countries around the world) has some of the kindest and most generous in the world. So while the Germans' elected Hitler, US citizens elected our officials. If that fails your moral litmus tests, try one a bit more logical (more my kind, standards): We (USA) supply several countries, and train their officers, that we may someday have to fight for one reason or another. I don't want additional forces unnecessarily lost due to the fact I trained someone how to fight effectively. If that causes the loss of a few thousand jobs I can live with that.

June 18, 2012 at 2:45 pm |

M. Edward

I'd rather see a Military run Egypt then a Muslim Brotherhood run provocateur government. Sometimes the choices we face are either bad or very bad. I vote for bad.

All I know is a friend has been deployed. He doesn't know where he's going.
Can we go 5 years without a war? Or "Police action"? Can someone remind one of these "found fathers" quoters when George Washington said about staying out of other people's business?

I've found most people that quote the founding fathers have only actually read their words used in books authored by people other than a founding father. This "telephone game" has caused the real meanings to be diluted or lost. The day I read some's post on here that actually quotes one of the Federalist Papers or something similar (in context), I may cry with joy.

The Military aid to Egypt has to go. It has been used to prop up and empower a Military that the country can not otherwise afford and now when it is time to re-set how the pie is divided in Egypt the military has stepped it to protect the old order. The best thing we can do is constrain their resources. Same works for Pakistan.

Giving 1.3 billion to Egypt isn't really about the arms to Egypt, it's about the payout to the republican weapons manufacturer that gets the money. They will not give that money back. America does not back free elections, we back anti Islamic regimes. Our claim of spreading Democracy is a joke. More taxpayer dollars thrown away instead of going to Americans.

It 's amazing how most of you, like 98 %, are so naïve and ignorants. Except Genebrady and some other fellows. You don't know your own country because you are misinformed all the time and you THINK you live in a democracy, a democracy that is the worst dictator of the world… You live in a bunch of lies. Well the first thing you should know is that you are SOOOO dependant on everybody else for survival and you came and abused all the arab countries for years for one reason: their oil.
These countries can live without oil but you can't. So YOU need the arabs, not the other way round. and stop talking about the muslims like they are a species. I'm not thrilled about the Muslim Brotherhood news and I'm a Christian living in Egypt but this is what the West gets when it decides after the WW2 to erect a jewish state in the midst of muslim countries completely disregarding their rights and beliefs. Why don't you build a jewish state there, in your deserts next to Las Vegas and leave the Middle East ALONE? That would be the best peace action ever.
Money money money. That's all you know. That's all you will ever know.

True, It is the arms industry that gets the money and who supports it, the GOP. If they don't have wars any where in the world, I bet the arms industry and its bed fellows will manage to make some trouble some where to start a war.

There is no such thing as temporary power when it comes to ant military. We will not be satisfied until every human being on earth has a weapon in their hands. That seams to be the solution to every problem.

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CNN's Security Clearance examines national and global security, terrorism and intelligence, as well as the economic, military, political and diplomatic effects of it around the globe, with contributions from CNN's national security team in Washington and CNN journalists around the world.