Poll Stats, "What If", Fun Facts, and Trivia

Many thanks to Captain Cook and Mark for all their
hard work putting this very interesting information together!

Hello TI fans everywhere!

By now you are all celebrating or lamenting your favorite star's finish
in this year's Media Boy Poll. So to follow tradition and add some additional fun to
all this, the committee has compiled some stats and trivia about this
year's list. Enjoy!

Captain Cook

What if we only counted 1st Place Votes?:

Here's what the winner list would have looked like if we had counted
ONLY first place votes.

Note that when counting only first place votes, Haley Joel Osment drops
from 1 to 5. Kevin Zegers jumps from 6 to 3. Blake Foster jumps from
22 to 8. David Gallagher drops from 9 to 13.

Top Finishers in Total Mentions,
*NOT INCLUDING* Honorable Mentions:

The total number of votes for a star, irrespective of position on the
ballot, but not including honorable mentions. Only those with 5 or more
mentions are included. Actual finish is in parentheses only for the
actual Top-20 finishers.

"What if" Place

Name (Actual finish is in parentheses only for the actual
Top-20 finishers.)

Top Finishers in Total Mentions,
*INCLUDING* Honorable Mentions:

The total number of votes for a star, irrespective of position on the
ballot, including honorable mentions. Only those with 5 or more mentions
are included. Actual finish is in parentheses only for the actual
Top-20 finishers.

"What if" Place

Name (Actual finish is in parentheses only for the
actual Top-20 finishers.)

In this scenario, Jesse McCartney drops from 2 to 5. Frankie Muniz
jumps from 7 to 3. Kevin Zegers drops from 6 to 7. Blake Foster
drops from 22 to 39. Eric Lloyd jumps 40 spots from 79 to 39.

Top-10 if we had Included Honorable Mentions in
the Count as 1 Point Each:

(Actual Finish)

"What if" Place

Name

Actual Points

HMs

"What if" points

(1)

1

Haley Joel Osment

283

5

288

(2)

2

Jesse McCartney

279

8

287

(3)

3

Daniel Radcliffe

274

12

286

(4)

4

Aaron Carter

259

9

268

(5)

5

Billy Gilman

233

12

245

(6)

6

Kevin Zegers

232

5

237

(7)

7

Frankie Muniz

218

17

235

(8)

8

Justin Berfield

156

13

169

(9)

9

David Gallagher

152

10

162

(10)

10

Chris Trousdale

139

4

143

In this scenario, notice how the top three spots narrow! Some other
gaps tighten as well (e.g. between Frankie & Kevin). But the top 10
remains completely unchanged. Applying this count further down the list,
the first switch in finish would be at 13th/14th places between Frankie
Galasso and Alex D. Linz. Next change would be at 20th place, giving it
to Jamie Bell over Gregory Smith. All in all, this new scenario is not
significantly different from the current one, although it must be
remembered that only a fourth of the ballots had HM's.

Top-10, if we Dropped 5th Place from the Ballot:

In other words, if we tallied points only for places 1-4:

"What if" Place

Name

"What if" points

1

Haley Joel Osment

271

2

Jesse McCartney

269

3-4

Daniel Radcliffe, Aaron Carter

251

5

Billy Gilman

222

6

Kevin Zegers

215

7

Frankie Muniz

214

8

Justin Berfield

148

9

David Gallagher

142

10

Chris Trousdale

127

Note that the top 10 remains virtually unchanged, though some gaps
narrow or widen. Only Daniel Radcliffe (with 23 fifth place votes) is
slightly affected. He has to share third place instead of owning it
outright. Glancing further down the list reveals that we would have
to drop all the way to 19th place before fifth place votes make a
difference in finish.

Total number of ballots that included
Honorable Mentions: 89. That's close to one out of four.

Number of ballots tossed for ballot-box stuffing:
72 (359 ballots counted out of 431 received). That seems like a large
number but in terms of percentage, it's only 16.7% of the ballots. Last
year Lono tossed 23.7% of the ballots (32 ballots tossed, 103 counted, 135
total). It's very unfortunate that people feel they must find a way
to cheat the poll and skew the results. We did not enjoy throwing
out ballots, but we're sure that everyone wants the poll to be fair.
Hopefully people will not try to cheat next year.

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