Most haven’t been swayed by Django Unchained’s reception – I have. Of all the films to shake up the perceived frontrunners, Quentin Tarantino’s effort has the momentum behind it at the moment to make a play. A late release date may have contributed to that momentum, but the big question now is if it can secure the nomination – it’s perceived weakness rest in the fact that voting bodies may not have seen the picture to have vouched for it.

Any of the five second-tier contenders can easily secure a nomination, though I’d look out for both The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, which has a SAG ensemble nod to its credit, and Skyfall. Box office hasn’t been that much of a conversation point for films outside of the surprising success of Lincoln and Argo, but the fact that the James Bond film has made over a billion dollars worldwide is significant. With both Judi Dench and Javier Bardem threatening in their respective categories, Skyfall’s chances of a Best Picture nomination doesn’t look entirely out of reach – with no James Bond film securing a Best Picture nomination, there’s always a time for firsts.