Well, my sheet shows that Oakland game is at fair value. I think Vegas has set very tight lines on both sides today. Slight lean to the Giants because Cinci has such a poor offense against righties. Even though the model shows some value on the Oakland over.. with both bullpens at full disposal and Verlander capable of going 8 IP without blinking.. I think the 7.5 line is pretty reasonable. I'm laying off this game entirely. If I made a play today, it would be on the Giants, but even that line is tough. There will be better opportunities in the coming weeks.

I only have the Play-In games uploaded. I'll be adding games to the appropriate folder as the playoffs progress. Since Covers removed the hyperlink feature, I'll just keep this thread active and I'll have the rest of the playoffs posted in the subfolders. Feel free to bookmark one of the two links (they will both contain the same information).

Thanks si1ly....I don't post much but really enjoy reading your sheets and thoughts. No accounting for a team playing very well right now (A's)? Good luck.

The models factor play over the last 30 days... but it has minimal impact on the result. I have the model weighted heavily towards full season data. I've found the results to be more accurate the larger the sample size. I think the lines tonight are at fair value.. books got these ones nailed.

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