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AUD/USD 24.08.2016
The Australian dollar edged up, pulling away from a low 0.7588 touched following weaker-than-expected Australian construction data release. The gains in the major remains capped as the U.S. dollar recovered across the broad ahead of Fed Chair Yellen speech o Friday. The Aussie trades flat at 0.7616, attempting to sustain gains. On the higher side any break above 0.7650 will take the pair till 0.7700/0.7760. The major support is around 0.7575 and break below will drag the pair till 0.7535/0.7480.

AUD/USD 25.08.2016
The Australian dollar trimmed gains after rising to sessions high of 0.7603. The major is seen consolidating the downside so far this week, as investors remain cautious ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium, amid lower oil prices. The Aussie trades flat at 0.7617, within the range of 2-week low hit on Monday. However, the recovery mode looks fragile as persisting cautious sentiment is expected to extend into Friday. On the higher side, any break above 0.7650 (200 HMA) will take the pair till 0.7700/0.7760. The major support is around 0.7575 and break below will drag it till 0.7535/0.7480.

AUD/USD 29.08.2016
The Australian dollar declined to its lowest level in nearly a month as investors increased their bets on a U.S. interest rate hike after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellens upbeat assessment of the economy. The major declined to an early low of 0.7525, its lowest level since Aug. 2, however, it regained some ground to trade flat at 0.7554. On the higher side, any break above 0.7620 (9-day MA) will take the pair till 0.7700/0.7760 is possible. The major support is around 0.7550 (55- day EMA) and break below will drag it till 0.7520/0.7490.

AUD/USD 07.09.2016
The Australian dollar declined, but reversed most of daily losses as the economy posted a mixed Q2 GDP print. Australias GDP for 2016 showed a growth of 0.5 percent in the second quarter, as against expectations of a 0.6 percent growth, however, it expanded at its fastest annual pace in four years, posting a rise of 3.3 percent. The Aussie trades lower at 0.7681, recovering from sessions low of 0.7651. On the higher side, any break above 0.7660 will take the pair till 0.7700/0.7760. The major support is around 0.7580 and break below will drag it till 0.7515/0.7490.

AUD/USD climbs above 200-hour after boost from RBA but falls back down

The pair is now tracking lower again.The failed test here indicates that bulls are not quite back yet in the driver's seat.

The euphoria from the RBA's optimism is starting to fade, and are we really surprised?

The upgraded core inflation forecast is nowhere near enough to justify rate hikes this year, and unless inflationary pressures start improving further it's pretty much all the same with regards to the RBA.

The timing of rate hikes remain some time in Q2 2019, that is if things don't get worse from here.

AUD/USD climbs above 200-hour after boost from RBA but falls back down

The pair is now tracking lower again.The failed test here indicates that bulls are not quite back yet in the driver's seat.

The euphoria from the RBA's optimism is starting to fade, and are we really surprised?

The upgraded core inflation forecast is nowhere near enough to justify rate hikes this year, and unless inflationary pressures start improving further it's pretty much all the same with regards to the RBA.

The timing of rate hikes remain some time in Q2 2019, that is if things don't get worse from here.

Last 2 weeks I was my intention was sell trade here! But, right now I see buyers are trying hard to operate this trading pair, if they can break the level of 0.7782 then I would like to change my site from bearish to bullish.

Jane Foley, Senior FX Strategist at Rabobank, suggests that tomorrow will bring the release of Australia’s Q2 CPI inflation report, which should freshen the debate as to when the RBA are likely to pull the trigger on interest rates. Key Quotes“The minutes of the July 3 policy meeting underpinned the view of policy makers that “the next move in the cash rate would more likely be an increase than a decrease”. However, there is good reason for the RBA to remain cautious in the months ahead.”“While a stronger than expected data release yesterday would be supportive for the AUD, we continue to see downside risk medium-term towards AUD/USD0.71 on a 9 to 12 mth view. Consequently we would favour selling AUD/USD on rallies in the event of stronger than expected CPI data.”“Driven by higher petrol prices, the consensus expectation for tomorrow’s CPI release stands at 2.2% y/y for the headline series. This would put the inflation rate back within the confines of the RBA’s 2% to 3% target band.”“That said, the RBA puts emphasis on the measure of CPI inflation which excludes volatile items (such as food and energy) and on the weighted and trimmed mean. All of these measures are expected to come in below the headline rate at around the 1.9% which is consistent with still subdued growth in consumption and low wage increase.”“There are a few other factors which justify a wait and see outlook from policymakers. Firstly, since Australia did not fall into recession as a consequence of the global financial crisis, RBA was not forced to adopt the same emergency policy stance as many other central banks. As a consequence, with rates already at 1.5% there is far less pressure for the RBA to normalise.”“Although the current value of AUD/CNY is well within the confines of the range that has held for the past couple of years, fears that the Chinese authorities could use monetary policy stimulus to offset the impact of trade wars with the US opens the risk of further CNY weakness. This could have a significant impact on the competitiveness of China’s trading partners and commodities exporters, including Australia, would likely be amongst those most impacted.”“Assuming that Australian core CPI remains benign in Q2, we expect the RBA to retain a cautious approach to policy.”“Given the likelihood of a September rate rise from the Fed and our expectations of further broad-based USD gains, we favour further downside in AUD/USD in the coming months.”

The Aussie is back into consolidation ranges near the 0.74 level as buyers and sellers play tug of war.
China data is due this week, and the econ calendar for the AUD remains limited.
The AUD/USD opens the new week trading close to the 0.7400 handle, a level that has drawn in price action repeatedly since the pair first dropped into the major level back in June.
The economic calendar sees a slow start to the week for the AUD, and the first real meaningful reading won't come until early Tuesday, with New Home Sales expected early in the day. Building Permits will also be printing at 01:30 GMT Tuesday, which are tentatively expected to remain steady at 0.0%, after the previous period's disappointing -3.2% contraction.
A strong US Dollar is keeping the Aussie under wraps, with expectancy for a steady clip to US Federal Reserve rate hikes still on the cards, which would only fuel a continued strengthening USD over the AUD, and the high Greenback is also seeing metals prices under pressure as well, further constraining the AUD across the broader markets. US-China trade war tensions continue to simmer, and a projected slowdown in the Chinese economy will further hamper bullish attempts to push the Aussie higher, though efforts by China's authorities to avert a slowdown could have a bolstering effect on the Aussie, limiting downside moves.