This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs),other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

JULY 2005 KEY POINTS

Trend

The July 2005 trend estimate (81,678) for the sales of new motor vehicles decreased 0.6% over the June 2005 estimate. It represents the fifth consecutive month of decline, however the trend estimate for July 2005 is 2.9% higher than the July 2004 estimate (79,356).

In July 2005, decreases were recorded in the trend estimate for sales of new passenger vehicles (-0.5%) and sport utility vehicles (-1.9%) compared with June 2005, while sales of other vehicles remained stable. Compared with July 2004, increases were recorded for sales of passenger vehicles (4.5%) and other vehicles (3.6%), however sales of sports utility vehicles decreased 2.9%.

Most states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in July 2005 compared with June 2005. South Australia (-1.6%) and New South Wales (-1.4%) recorded the largest decreases, while the Northern Territory recorded the largest increase (0.8%) over the same period. When compared with July 2004, all states and territories excluding New South Wales and South Australia recorded increases in July 2005, with the Northern Territory (9.5%) and Queensland (8.5%) recording the largest increases.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles for July 2005 (82,114) recorded an increase (0.4%) over June 2005. When compared with July 2004 (78,279) the seasonally adjusted estimate increased 4.9%.

Increases were recorded in the seasonally adjusted sales of new passenger vehicles (0.5%) and sports utility vehicles (2.1%) in July 2005 compared with June 2005, while sales of other new motor vehicles decreased (-1.3%).

Most states and territories recorded decreases in the seasonally adjusted estimates for sales of new motor vehicles in July 2005 compared with June 2005. Tasmania (-8.1%) and the Northern Territory (-4.7%) recorded the largest decreases, while the Australian Capital Territory (6.8%) and Western Australia (4.4%) recorded the largest increases.

Sales Of New Motor Vehicles, July 2005

NSW

Vic.

Qld

SA

WA

Tas.(a)

NT(a)

ACT(a)

Aust.

Vehicle Sales

Seasonally Adjusted

25,285

21,252

18,378

5,137

8,317

1,642

825

1,278

82,114

Trend

24,939

21,202

18,481

5,215

8,122

1,675

832

1,212

81,678

Percentage Change From Previous Month

Seasonally Adjusted

1.9

-0.4

-1.1

-2.3

4.4

-8.1

-4.7

6.8

0.4

Trend

-1.4

-0.3

0.1

-1.6

-0.0

-0.7

0.8

-1.2

-0.6

Percentage Change From Previous Year

Seasonally Adjusted

0.4

7.5

6.9

0.7

9.9

3.6

21.0

6.9

4.9

Trend

-1.5

3.4

8.5

-1.0

6.4

0.9

9.5

1.5

2.9

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES
TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1

The August 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the July 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.8%.

2

The August 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the July 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.8%.

The percentage change of 3.8% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.8%.

SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES

Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)

Sports utility vehicles (No.)

Other vehicles (No.)

Total vehicles (No.)

Change passenger vehicles (%)

Change sports utility vehicles (%)

Change other vehicles (%)

Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2004

May

46,168

15,052

17,059

78,279

4.7

21.9

14.7

9.8

June

58,284

17,981

20,947

97,212

26.2

19.5

22.8

24.2

July

46,724

14,442

15,869

77,035

-19.8

-19.7

-24.2

-20.8

August

48,649

14,910

15,685

79,244

4.1

3.2

-1.2

2.9

September

49,911

14,715

15,826

80,452

2.6

-1.3

0.9

1.5

October

52,290

13,907

15,470

81,667

4.8

-5.5

-2.2

1.5

November

52,888

15,257

16,190

84,335

1.1

9.7

4.7

3.3

December

48,673

14,311

15,996

78,980

-8.0

-6.2

-1.2

-6.3

2005

January

43,075

13,826

12,664

69,565

-11.5

-3.4

-20.8

-11.9

February

50,645

15,478

14,886

81,009

17.6

11.9

17.5

16.5

March

53,280

17,348

15,798

86,426

5.2

12.1

6.1

6.7

April

46,645

13,749

15,936

76,330

-12.5

-20.7

0.9

-11.7

May

50,420

15,329

17,981

83,730

8.1

11.5

12.8

9.7

June

60,720

18,229

22,958

101,907

20.4

18.9

27.7

21.7

July

48,931

13,716

15,652

78,299

-19.4

-24.8

-31.8

-23.2

Seasonally Adjusted

2004

May

47,831

14,659

15,983

78,473

-1.4

9.0

1.1

0.9

June

49,247

14,460

15,523

79,230

3.0

-1.4

-2.9

1.0

July

47,483

14,742

16,054

78,279

-3.6

2.0

3.4

-1.2

August

48,396

14,946

15,891

79,233

1.9

1.4

-1.0

1.2

September

50,012

15,219

16,205

81,436

3.3

1.8

2.0

2.8

October

51,650

15,429

16,450

83,529

3.3

1.4

1.5

2.6

November

50,121

15,045

15,793

80,959

-3.0

-2.5

-4.0

-3.1

December

48,006

14,378

16,109

78,493

-4.2

-4.4

2.0

-3.0

2005

January

52,429

15,933

17,018

85,380

9.2

10.8

5.6

8.8

February

52,627

16,205

16,085

84,917

0.4

1.7

-5.5

-0.5

March

50,281

15,831

15,604

81,716

-4.5

-2.3

-3.0

-3.8

April

51,230

14,995

16,860

83,085

1.9

-5.3

8.0

1.7

May

51,138

14,553

16,529

82,220

-0.2

-2.9

-2.0

-1.0

June

50,906

14,314

16,583

81,803

-0.5

-1.6

0.3

-0.5

July

51,136

14,617

16,361

82,114

0.5

2.1

-1.3

0.4

Trend

2004

May

48,338

14,134

15,963

78,435

-0.3

2.0

-0.2

0.2

June

48,400

14,473

15,932

78,805

0.1

2.4

-0.2

0.5

July

48,660

14,775

15,921

79,356

0.5

2.1

-0.1

0.7

August

49,019

14,975

15,968

79,962

0.7

1.4

0.3

0.8

September

49,473

15,087

16,078

80,638

0.9

0.7

0.7

0.8

October

49,952

15,202

16,176

81,330

1.0

0.8

0.6

0.9

November

50,388

15,365

16,229

81,982

0.9

1.1

0.3

0.8

December

50,750

15,546

16,250

82,546

0.7

1.2

0.1

0.7

2005

January

51,012

15,657

16,263

82,932

0.5

0.7

0.1

0.5

February

51,148

15,639

16,293

83,080

0.3

-0.1

0.2

0.2

March

51,236

15,475

16,340

83,051

0.2

-1.0

0.3

-0.0

April

51,255

15,205

16,394

82,854

0.0

-1.7

0.3

-0.2

May

51,179

14,895

16,442

82,516

-0.1

-2.0

0.3

-0.4

June

51,103

14,614

16,480

82,197

-0.1

-1.9

0.2

-0.4

July

50,849

14,341

16,488

81,678

-0.5

-1.9

0.0

-0.6

Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration

NSW

Vic.

Qld

SA

WA

Tas.(a)

NT(a)

ACT(a)

Aust.

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

Original

2004

May

25,649

20,106

16,373

5,215

7,296

1,513

918

1,209

78,279

June

31,438

23,929

22,026

6,436

8,969

1,982

958

1,474

97,212

July

25,031

19,410

17,141

4,949

7,228

1,449

646

1,181

77,035

August

24,795

20,850

17,269

5,414

7,513

1,585

677

1,141

79,244

September

25,241

20,821

17,188

5,289

8,177

1,855

739

1,142

80,452

October

25,621

22,747

16,079

5,413

7,875

1,981

709

1,242

81,667

November

26,619

23,052

17,117

5,450

8,157

1,944

694

1,302

84,335

December

24,315

21,700

16,537

4,998

7,341

2,245

647

1,197

78,980

2005

January

22,467

18,015

14,530

4,466

6,931

1,478

560

1,118

69,565

February

25,754

20,580

17,837

5,489

7,880

1,431

776

1,262

81,009

March

27,474

21,963

19,114

5,452

8,623

1,571

888

1,341

86,426

April

24,329

19,497

16,789

5,034

7,329

1,371

858

1,123

76,330

May

26,204

21,882

18,221

5,534

8,066

1,639

912

1,272

83,730

June

30,695

25,402

24,613

6,561

9,986

2,052

1,183

1,415

101,907

July

24,905

19,923

17,559

4,794

7,684

1,435

764

1,235

78,299

Seasonally Adjusted

2004

May

25,251

20,332

16,640

5,208

7,512

1,527

789

1,214

78,473

June

25,519

20,484

16,980

5,245

7,244

1,818

718

1,222

79,230

July

25,188

19,778

17,184

5,100

7,567

1,585

682

1,195

78,279

August

25,109

20,676

17,075

5,326

7,640

1,546

735

1,126

79,233

September

25,633

20,914

17,267

5,408

8,415

1,773

809

1,217

81,436

October

25,913

22,817

17,304

5,649

7,891

1,937

764

1,254

83,529

November

25,641

21,437

16,975

5,252

8,027

1,680

708

1,239

80,959

December

25,153

21,063

16,849

4,740

7,153

1,673

703

1,159

78,493

2005

January

27,219

22,315

17,975

5,605

8,352

1,847

742

1,325

85,380

February

27,144

21,686

18,421

5,614

8,123

1,721

862

1,346

84,917

March

26,162

21,030

17,564

5,352

7,719

1,749

783

1,357

81,716

April

25,993

21,266

18,580

5,439

8,259

1,626

780

1,142

83,085

May

25,342

21,430

18,299

5,412

8,058

1,664

792

1,223

82,220

June

24,807

21,339

18,586

5,258

7,963

1,787

866

1,197

81,803

July

25,285

21,252

18,378

5,137

8,317

1,642

825

1,278

82,114

Trend

2004

May

25,334

20,285

16,781

5,172

7,339

1,566

762

1,196

78,435

June

25,296

20,328

16,925

5,215

7,471

1,614

761

1,195

78,805

July

25,307

20,505

17,032

5,268

7,630

1,660

760

1,194

79,356

August

25,337

20,796

17,092

5,313

7,775

1,701

754

1,194

79,962

September

25,436

21,158

17,132

5,342

7,894

1,731

748

1,197

80,638

October

25,627

21,499

17,168

5,362

7,965

1,752

745

1,212

81,330

November

25,896

21,725

17,247

5,375

7,988

1,767

746

1,238

81,982

December

26,197

21,782

17,404

5,391

7,989

1,768

750

1,265

82,546

2005

January

26,409

21,700

17,632

5,413

7,982

1,755

759

1,282

82,932

February

26,431

21,553

17,885

5,430

7,994

1,731

774

1,282

83,080

March

26,264

21,434

18,110

5,437

8,027

1,715

792

1,272

83,051

April

25,963

21,372

18,277

5,415

8,061

1,705

806

1,255

82,854

May

25,608

21,317

18,389

5,363

8,088

1,696

817

1,238

82,516

June

25,288

21,276

18,470

5,301

8,123

1,687

825

1,227

82,197

July

24,939

21,202

18,481

5,215

8,122

1,675

832

1,212

81,678

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

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