Civilization WatchFirst appeared in print in The Rhinoceros Times, Greensboro, NC

By Orson Scott Card

October 29, 2006

The Only Issue This Election Day

There is only one issue in this election that will matter five or ten years from
now, and that's the War on Terror.

And the success of the War on Terror now teeters on the fulcrum of this
election.

If control of the House passes into Democratic hands, there are enough
withdraw-on-a-timetable Democrats in positions of prominence that it will not
only seem to be a victory for our enemies, it will be one.

Unfortunately, the opposite is not the case -- if the Republican Party remains
in control of both houses of Congress there is no guarantee that the outcome of
the present war will be favorable for us or anyone else.

But at least there will be a chance.

I say this as a Democrat, for whom the Republican domination of government
threatens many values that I hold to be important to America's role as a light
among nations.

But there are no values that matter to me that will not be gravely endangered if
we lose this war. And since the Democratic Party seems hellbent on losing it --
and in the most damaging possible way -- I have no choice but to advocate
that my party be kept from getting its hands on the reins of national power,
until it proves itself once again to be capable of recognizing our core national
interests instead of its own temporary partisan advantages.

To all intents and purposes, when the Democratic Party jettisoned Joseph
Lieberman over the issue of his support of this war, they kicked me out as well.
The party of Harry Truman and Daniel Patrick Moynihan -- the party I joined
back in the 1970s -- is dead. Of suicide.

The "War on Terror"

I recently read an opinion piece in which the author ridiculed the very concept
of a "war on terror," saying that it makes as much sense as if, after Pearl
Harbor, FDR had declared a "war on aviation."

Without belaboring the obvious shortcomings of the analogy, I will agree with
the central premise. The name "war on terror" clearly conceals the fact that we
are really at war with specific groups and specific nations; we can no more
make war on a methodology than we can make war on nitrogen.

However, there are several excellent reasons why "War on Terror" is the only
possible name for this war.

1. This is not a war that can be named for any particular nation or region. To
call it "The Iraq War" or the "Afghanistan War" would lead to the horrible
mistake of thinking that victory would consist of toppling certain governments
and then going home.

In fact, it is precisely the name "War in Iraq" that is leading to the deep
misconceptions that drive the Democratic position on the war. If this were in
fact a war on Iraq, then in one sense we won precisely when President Bush
declared victory right after we occupied Baghdad. And in another sense, we
might not see victory for another five years, or even a decade -- a decade in
which Americans will be dying alongside Iraqis. For a "War in Iraq" to linger
this way is almost too painful to contemplate.

But we are not waging a "War in Iraq." We are waging a world war, in which
the campaigns to topple the governments of Iraq and Afghanistan were
brilliantly successful, and the current "lukewarm" war demands great patience
and determination from the American people as we ready ourselves for the next
phase.

2. We cannot name this war for our actual enemies, either, because there is no
way to name them accurately without including some form of the word "Islam"
or "Muslim."

It is our enemies who want to identify this as a war between Islam and the
West. If we allow this to happen, we run the risk of achieving the worst of all
possible outcomes: The unification of one or both of the great factions of
worldwide Islam under a single banner.

President Bush and his administration have shown their grasp of our present
danger by stoutly resisting all attempts to rename this war. We call it a "War
on Terror" because that allows us to cast it, not as a war against the Muslim
people, with all their frustrations and hopes, but a war in which most Muslims
are not our enemies at all.

That can be galling for many Americans. When, after the fall of the towers on
9/11, Palestinians and others poured into the streets, rejoicing, it was
tempting to say, A plague on all of them!

But it is precisely those people -- the common people of the Muslim world,
most of whom hate us (or claim to hate us, when asked by pollsters in police
states) -- whom we must treat as if they were not our enemies. They are the
ones we must win over for us to have any hope of victory without a bloodbath
poured out on most of the nations of the world.

Nation Building

Another charge against the Bush administration's conduct of the war is that
they are engaged in the hopeless task of "nation-building." And this is true --
except for the word "hopeless."

But what is the alternative? I've heard several, each more disastrous and
impossible and even shameful than the one before.

In the New Testament, Jesus once used the analogy of a person who was
possessed by a devil. When you cast out the devil, don't you leave an empty
house, swept clean, to which seven devils will now come to live, making things
worse than ever?

No matter which miserable dictatorship we moved against after the Taliban --
and we had no choice but to keep moving on if we were to eradicate the grave
danger we faced (and face) -- we would have faced the same problem in Syria
or Iraq or Sudan that we had in Afghanistan: We had to establish order in a
nation that had never actually become a nation.

The boundaries on the ground in the Middle East were not formed in the
traditional way -- by compromise or war. Instead, European powers drew lines
that pleased their fancy. The lines did not create the hatreds that plague the
region, but they guaranteed that traditional enemies would have to face each
other within these boundaries.

It is in part because of the resulting chaos and oppression that groups like the
Taliban and Al-Qaeda and the Shiite fundamentalists of Iran have been given
an opportunity to offer the solution of returning to the core values of Islam --
as defined, of course, to their private advantage.

If we topple one government and then walk away, the result in any Middle
Eastern nation would be civil war, and the probable winner would be the well-funded international terrorist groups that do not shrink from wholesale murder
in pursuing their cause.

Just as Kerensky's attempt at a liberal government in revolutionary Russia was
almost instantly snuffed out by Lenin's Bolshevik thugs in 1917, so also would
any attempt at unified democratic government in Iraq, Iran, Syria, or
Afghanistan be quickly converted into Islamo-fascism of one stripe or another.

And if that happened, Islamicist puritanism would be seen in every nation as
the "wave of the future." Just as, when Nazi Germany was in the ascendant,
the nations of southeastern Europe quickly made their accommodation with
Hitler, since the alternative was to be swept away like Poland, France, or
Yugoslavia, so also would nominally democratic nations adopt the trappings of
Islamicism -- if they weren't already toppled by puritan revolutions from
within.

Democracy -- the Other Hope

Wherever Islamicism has been tried, the result has been identical to
Communism's miserable track record. The people are oppressed; the worst
sort of vigilantes and thugs terrorize the population; the new power elite,
regardless of their supposed piety and dedication to a holy cause, is quickly
corrupted and comes to love the wealth and privileges of power.

When there is no hope of deliverance, the people have no choice but to bow
under the tyrant's lash, pretending to be true believers while yearning for relief.
In Russia it came ... after more than seventy years. China and Cuba are still
waiting -- but then, they started later.

So it would be in the Muslim world -- if Islamicism were ever able to come to
seem inevitable and irresistible.

You know: If America withdrew from Iraq and Afghanistan and exposed
everyone who had cooperated with us to reprisals.

As happened in South Vietnam. The negotiated peace was more or less holding
after American withdrawal. But then a Democratic Congress refused to
authorize any further support for the South Vietnamese government. No more
armaments. No more budget.

In other words, we forcibly disarmed our allies, while their enemies continued
to be supplied by the great Communist powers. The message was clear: Those
who rely on America are fools. We didn't even have the decency to arrange for
the evacuation of the people who had trusted us and risked the most in
supporting what they thought was our mutual cause.

We did it again, this time in the Muslim world, in 1991, when Bush Senior
encouraged a revolt against Saddam. He meant for the senior military officers
to get rid of him in a coup; instead, the common people in the Shiite south rose
up against Saddam.

Bush Senior did nothing as Saddam moved in and slaughtered them. The
tragedy is that all it would have taken is a show of force on our part in support
of the rebels, and Saddam's officers would have toppled him. Only when it
became clear that we would do nothing did it become impossible for any high-ranking officials to take action. For the price of the relatively easy military
action that would have made Saddam turn his troops around and leave the
Shiite south, we could have gotten rid of him then -- and had grateful friends,
perhaps, in the Shiite south.

That is part of our track record: Two times we persuaded people to commit
themselves to action against oppressive enemies, only to abandon them. Do
you think that would-be rebels in Iran and Syria and North Korea don't
remember those lessons?

Fortunately, there are other lessons as well: West Germany and Japan, Taiwan
and South Korea, where liberated nations were protected. In the first two, we
took on the task of nation building and transformed both political cultures into
democracies. In the latter two, we tolerated strongman dictatorships for many
years, but eventually we made it clear that it was time for democracy, and
under our protective umbrella, the governments were transformed and
oppression ended.

So ... which America is operating now in the Muslim world?

In Iraq and Afghanistan -- but especially Iraq -- President Bush is behaving
according to America's best and most honorable tradition. We did not come to
destroy, we came to liberate and rescue, he says -- by word and deed. We
bring freedom and opportunity. Our money will help rebuild your devastated
(or never built-up) economies; our expertise will help train your most talented
people to be ready for prosperity and self-government; and our military will
keep enemies from overwhelming you as you reinvent yourselves.

Instead of leaving an empty house, swept clean but unprotected, waiting for the
devils of Islamic puritanism to come take over, President Bush has sworn that
America will bring democracy, and that American soldiers will do their best to
protect the decent, ordinary people until they are able to protect themselves.

The Competing Stories

Here's the story the Islamic puritans are telling: The West is full of terrible evils
-- atheism, sexual filth of all kinds -- in defiance of God's will. So seductive
are the wiles of Shaitan that many Muslims aspire to dress, act, and live like
westerners. Only by turning to full enforcement of ancient Muslim law can
Islam purify itself and resist the blandishments of the west. It's evil on one
side, God on the other.

If all we had to answer them was Hollywood movies, politically correct anti-religious dogmas, and the other trappings of a West that is almost as decadent
as the Islamicists claim, then we would only prove their point.

Instead, President Bush has offered something quite different. We don't want
to turn you into mini-Americas, he says. We offer you, instead, democracy, in
which you can choose for yourselves what parts of western culture to adopt.
You will govern yourselves. It isn't a choice between wickedness and
righteousness, it's a choice between freedom and oppression.

In other words, through nation-building, through the promise of democracy,
Bush has created a rallying point with far stronger resonance than anything
the Islamic puritans have to offer.

What is their program, after all? We'll take your sons and get them to blow
themselves up in order to murder westerners! Forget the rhetoric -- Muslim
parents are human beings, and there is nothing more devastating than to lose
a child. The only consolation is when it seems to be in a noble cause. But
because of President Bush's promise of democracy, the Muslim puritan cause
does not seem noble to more and more Muslims.

Even if they live in countries (or neighborhoods) where they dare not speak up
-- yet -- they do not want any of their children to die just so that the rest of
them can live and suffer in slavery to a privileged, selfish class of elitist tyrants.

President Bush's story offers the common people hope of living decent lives and
seeing their children live to adulthood, to grow old surrounded by
grandchildren.

The Al-Qaeda, Ayatollah story promises them dead children and the lash.

There are, of course, fanatics who will embrace Islamic terrorism because they
choose to blind themselves to the truth and embrace the noble-seeming lies of
the tyrants. Al-Qaeda does not lack for recruits.

But it also does not lack for people who fear and hate them. There are few pro-Al-Qaeda demonstrations on the Arab street. The people remember the images
of liberated Iraqis tearing down the images of Saddam. And they know --
because they have relatives and friends, they hear from merchants and
travelers -- that in most of Iraq, there is freedom and prosperity like never
before.

They're getting the story, at the level of gossip and personal anecdote, that the
anti-American media -- you know, Al-Jazirah and the New York Times -- never
report: The Americans really mean to give the Iraqis self-government.

You hear about the power outages in Iraq and it's always somehow Bush's
fault. What nobody points out is that these outages come in places where
Saddam barely offered electricity at all. The reason the new power systems
can't cope is because the newly prosperous Iraqi people are buying -- and
plugging in -- vast quantities of electrical appliances they could never afford to
buy before! When a town that used to have two dozen refrigerators and
washing machines now has two thousand of each, the old power supply is
never going to do the job.

"Americans Won't Stay"

How do the Islamicist tyrants answer the obvious success and growing appeal
of Bush's democracy program?

They kill people, of course.

But they also tell the story, over and over: "America will never stick it out.
We'll keep killing Americans till they give up and go away, and then you will
answer to us!"

Until they believe that the Islamofascists are never coming into power, many
people will remain afraid to commit themselves to democracy.

Under those circumstances, the remarkable thing is how courageously the
Shiites of the south have embraced democracy, and how many of them are
beginning to trust that we mean what we say.

But against Bush's promises and the actions of our brave and decent soldiers,
the tyrants can set the behavior of Bush's political opponents, who are doing
their best to promote the propaganda of the tyrants. Every Congressman who
says "We must set a timetable for departure" is providing ammunition to the
tyrants in their campaign of terror.

Because even more than they fear terrorist bombs, the pro-democracy forces
within Iraq and Afghanistan fear American withdrawal. Every speech
threatening withdrawal is a bomb going off in Baghdad, killing, not people, but
the will to resist the tyrants.

Bin Laden predicted it. The Democratic Party in America is following his script
exactly.

Can We Win?

That is certainly not what most who call for withdrawal intend. They see
Americans dying and they have no hope of victory. The Iraq War (as they call
it) is costing lives and shows no sign of ending. Meanwhile, Iran is getting
nuclear weapons, North Korea already has them, Syria and Iran are sponsoring
continuing and escalating attacks on Israel -- how can we possibly "win" a war
that threatens constantly to widen? Let's cut our losses, retire to our shores,
and ...

And will you please stop and think for a moment?

There is no withdrawal to our shores. American prosperity requires free trade
throughout most of the world. Free trade has depended for decades on
American might. If we withdraw now, we announce to the world that if you
just kill enough Americans, the big boys will go home and let you do whatever
you want.

Every American in the world then becomes a target. And, because we have
announced that we will do nothing to protect them, we will soon be trading
only with nations that have enough strength to protect their own shores and
borders.

Only ... what nations are those? Not Taiwan. If they saw us abandon Iraq,
what conclusion could they reach except this one: They'd better accommodate
with China now, when they can still get decent terms, than wait for America to
walk away from them the way we walked away from Vietnam and Iraq.

We cannot win by going home. In a short time, "home" would become a very
different place, as our own prosperity and safety steadily diminished.
Isolationism is a dead end. If we lose our will to protect the things that support
our own prosperity, then what can we expect but the end of that prosperity --
and of any vestige of safety, as well?

The frustrating thing is that if people would just look, honestly, at the readily
available data from the Muslim world, they would realize that we are winning
and that the course President Bush is pursuing is, in fact, the wisest one.

Mistakes

Critics of Bush love to cite the many "mistakes" his administration has made.
Most of these "mistakes" are arguable -- are they mistakes at all? -- and when
you sum up the others, with any kind of rational understanding of military
history, the only possible conclusion is that this is the best-run war in history,
with the fewest mistakes. And most of the mistakes we've made are the kind
that become clear to morning-after quarterbacks but were difficult to avoid in
the fog of war.

Worse yet, Bush's opponents invariably depict these mistakes as being the
result of deliberately chosen policies -- a ludicrous charge, but one that is
taken seriously by an astonishing number of people who should know better.
The game, you see, is blame. It's not enough to say, Bush made a mistake.
You have to say, Bush deliberately did it wrong for evil purposes and he must
be punished.

But let's accept the fairy tale that this war has been badly run. That still does
not change the fact that on all of the biggest points, Bush has made exactly the
right choice -- and he has been the only one who has even seen the need to
make those choices!

Take North Korea, for instance. Bush recognized instantly that North Korea,
with China as its sponsor and protector, is simply beyond the reach of
American power at this time. This will not always be true, but his
administration is pursuing a careful, quiet, firm policy of diplomatic pressure
on China to do what must be done to curb North Korean insanity.

What about Iran? The idea of a ground war in Iran -- especially when we're
still fighting in Iraq -- seems impossible.

But it is also probably unnecessary. Because Iran's present government is not
just hated, it is also losing its grip on power.

Not on the trappings of power -- they control the "elections" to such a point
that nobody can be nominated without the approval of the ayatollahs.

But government power -- even in democracies -- depends absolutely on the
will of the people to obey. And when you rule by tyranny and oppression, the
obedience of the people comes from the credibility of the threat of violence from
the government.

The obvious examples are Red Square in Moscow and Tiananmen Square in
Beijing. In Moscow, when Yeltsin and the pro-democracy demonstrators defied
the tanks, the Russian Army did not open fire. Why not? Either they refused to
obey the order to shoot, or the order was not given -- but if it was not given, it
was almost certainly because the tyrants knew that it would not be obeyed.

In other words, the government had lost the ability to inflict deadly force on its
own population.

In Tiananmen Square, however, the government gave the order and the troops
did fire. As a result, the tyranny continued -- and continues to this day.

Tyrannies only continue in power when they can give the order to kill their own
people and be obeyed.

In Iran, there have been several incidents in the past months and years where
troops refused to fire on demonstrators. This is huge news (virtually
unreported in the West, of course), because of what it means: The ayatollahs'
days are numbered.

If President Bush invaded Iran on the ground, bombing Iranian cities and
killing Iranian soldiers, he would accomplish only what Hitler did by invading
Russia -- uniting an oppressed people in support of a hated tyrant.

But, as was pointed out in a pair of excellent analytical pieces in the most
recent Commentary magazine, we don't have to do anything of the kind.

Oil Is Our Weapon, Too

Iran's ace-in-the-hole is not its nuclear weapon -- in their rational moments,
even the most rabid of the ayatollahs must understand that if they ever used
(or allowed someone else to use) a nuclear weapon, we would destroy them,
period. That nuke is meant only as a deterrent -- it can't be used any other
way -- and while there's a remote chance that Iran might allow their nukes to
be put into the hands of some terrorist group, it would have to be a group they
control absolutely. In other words, it would not be Al-Qaeda. (Though
Hezbollah would be bad enough.)

The real threat from Iran is their ability to shut down the Persian Gulf and cut
off the world's supply of oil from Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, and the Gulf nations.

That would not really bother the United States -- gas prices would shoot up on
the open market, of course, but we can get by on oil provided by non-Gulf
sources.

Not so for the rest of the world, though. And Iran is poised, with small boats
and thousands of missiles, to shut down all oil production and transportation
in the Persian Gulf.

What few seem to realize (according to the article in Commentary) is that Iran is
far more dependent on oil revenues than we are on getting their oil. When
President Bush determines that he has given the Iranians ample chance to
demonstrate to the few rational statesmen left in Europe that there is no
possibility of meaningful negotiations with the tyrants of Tehran, his obvious
course of action is to shut down Iranian power in the gulf and seize their oil
assets.

If we strike first, we can eliminate their ability to do mischief in the gulf quite
readily. Their forces, however numerous, are pathetically vulnerable. Unlike
their dispersed and shielded nuclear development capability, their military
forces in the gulf are in obvious and accessible positions.

So are their own oil assets. They are as dependent on the Gulf to reach the
world oil market as any of their neighbors. If we seize their oil platforms,
destroy their shipping, and impose an absolute blockade on Iranian shipping in
the Gulf -- while eliminating their ability to damage anybody else's shipping --
how long do you think the tyranny would remain in power?

Here's a hint: They'd run out of money very, very quickly.

Here's another hint: Their military is already refusing to obey their most
outrageous orders. When the military finds themselves saddled with a
government that has brought the destruction of most of their oil revenues, all
because of their insane determination to take on the United States, how long
before the ayatollahs are arrested and sent home? Or else made irrelevant by
placing a "committee of public safety" above them, to veto their decisions and
make peace with the West?

Maybe it wouldn't turn out that way. But it's our best chance -- and that's the
chance that Bush is obviously preparing for. He has made no attempt to
prepare the American people for an invasion of Iran. But he has made it
crystal clear that Iranian misbehavior will not be tolerated -- and that regime
change is the desired outcome.

If Iran's ayatollahs were toppled, how long would Syria continue to misbehave?
Answer: About fifteen minutes. Syria is a poor country. They are only able to
make trouble because they have Iran's support.

Shiites and Sunnis

Here's the other asset we have that no one seems to take into account when
judging Bush's conduct of the War on Terror: We are really caught up in an
ancient civil war between Shiites and Sunnis.

Al-Qaeda on the Sunni side and Iran's ayatollahs on the Shiite side have both
been playing the same game all along. They don't seriously think that they can
conquer the United States (yet) -- so why have they been provoking us?

Because they're belling the cat. Or poking the bull with sticks. Why? Because
they are performing on the stage of world Islam, putting on rival plays. Both
plays have the same message: Look, we're the heroes who have God on our
side, because we're the ones who have provoked the great Shaitan and gotten
away with it!

Iran's Shiites had the upper hand for quite a while, bringing down one U.S.
President (Carter) and getting another -- tough-guy Reagan -- to withdraw the
Marines from Lebanon and then come begging to Iran's door in his stupid,
cowardly arms-for-hostages deal.

Then Al-Qaeda had the upper hand in their play, showing the Muslim world
that it was the Sunnis who were blowing up American boats and embassies
and, finally, the twin towers in New York City itself.

It's all theatre. It's all an effort by Bin Laden to restore the Caliphate with
himself, of course, as Caliph -- spiritual dictator of the Muslim world. The
goal? Not just to unite Sunni Islam under a Caliph again, but to then make
war on and crush Shiite resistance. That is the prize. Only when it is won
would a united Islam be ready to conquer the rest of the world, finishing the
task that was left unfinished by previous waves of Muslim conquest.

Meanwhile, Iran's ayatollahs are trying to show the Muslim world that it is
they, the Shiite leaders, who have God on their side. That was what the recent
campaign in Lebanon was all about -- to steal the glory back from Al-Qaeda.

But wait. It's even more complicated than that. Because there are other
divisions within the Muslim world. Iraqi Shiites have no love for, and do not
accept the authority of, the Persian clerics. Arabic-speaking Shiites have no
desire to have Farsi-speaking Shiites rule over them.

So we have an amazingly convoluted situation in the middle east. Iran and its
puppet, Syria, are cooperating in support of the Sunni resistance in Iraq. Why?
It's not because Syria's rulers are nominally Baathist as Saddam was --
Baathism is dead. Instead, it's the ancient tribalism that is at the fore. Syria's
rulers are members of a tiny religious minority that is an offshoot of Shia, and
thus they help Iran maintain access to its Shiite allies in Lebanon partly in
order to shore up their own position vis-a-vis their own mostly-Sunni
population.

So why are these Shiites and crypto-Shiites supporting the Sunnis in
Baghdad?

Because anything that keeps America distracted is good for them. And if the
Americans do pack up and go home, then the Shiites can claim the victory --
even though it's mostly Sunnis who are blowing themselves up in Israel and
Baghdad.

Besides, the Sunni insurgents in Iraq are keeping the Iraqi Shiites off balance.
The last thing the Iranian ayatollahs want is for Iraq to become a democratic
nation with a Shiite majority, because at that moment it will be the Iraqi Shiite
leaders who will have the most credibility as leaders of the Shiite wing of Islam.

So the leadership of the Iraqi Shiites are perceived as rivals by the ayatollahs of
Iran. Thus the Iranians support the Iraqi Shiites' enemies -- providing the
weapons that are used to murder Shiites in Iraq.

It's an astonishingly twisted game -- and as long as we don't do anything
really, really stupid, like withdrawing from Iraq, all these various treacheries
will inevitably lead to the fall of the tyrants in Iran, and therefore in Syria, and
therefore the taming of Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Bush's game is to keep from letting any of these faction unite, while preparing
to deliver strategic blows that can bring down the ayatollahs at relatively little
cost.

Every action has repercussions. Just as our withdrawal from Iraq would terrify
and silence our allies everywhere, and embolden our enemies, so also would
the fall of the ayatollahs -- particularly if it is as the result of an American
intervention in the Gulf -- make waves everywhere. Democracy would be
perceived as the wave of the future. Our friends in many countries would feel
free to speak up for democracy and pro-American policies -- and their enemies
would be afraid to silence them.

North Korea might go through a paroxysm of defiance -- but they would still
understand the lesson. America will not be bullied by tyrants. We will stand
for democracy, destroying our enemies at the "time and place of our choosing."
Negotiations with North Korea would instantly take on a very different tone;
and China's attitude, too, would become considerably more cooperative with
us.

This is the victory that awaits us -- and it remains possible for two reasons
only:

1. America's brilliant, brave, and well-trained military, which projects not just
power but decency and compassion wherever our soldiers go, and

2. President George W. Bush, who, regardless of his critics and detractors, has
steadfastly pursued the only course that holds the hope of victory without
plunging us into a worldwide war with a united Islam or isolating America in a
world torn by chaos.

Those are the scylla and charybdis that threaten us on either hand. If we do
not win this containable war now, following the plan President Bush has set
forth, we will surely end up fighting far bloodier wars for the next generation.

And the rhetoric of this election proves that we have precious few politicians in
either party who have the brains, will, or courage to be taken seriously as
alternatives to George W. Bush in the guidance of our nation through this
dangerous, complicated world.

If we, the American people, are stupid enough to give control of either or both
houses of Congress to the Democratic Party in this election, we will deserve the
world we find ourselves in five years from now.

But Bush, being the wise and moderate politician that he is, may actually be
able to continue his foreign policy despite the opposition of a Democratic
Congress.

What really scares me is the 2008 election. The Democratic Party is hopeless
-- only clowns seem to be able to rise to prominence there these days, while
they boot out the only Democrats serious about keeping America's future safe.
But the Republicans are almost equally foolish, trying to find somebody who is
farther right than Bush -- somebody who will follow the conservative line far
better than the moderate Bush has ever attempted -- and somebody who will
"kick butt" in foreign policy.

So if we get one of the leading Democrats as our new President in 2009, we'll be
on the road to pusillanimous withdrawal and the resulting chaos in the world.

While if we elect any of the Republicans who are extremist enough to please the
Hannity wing of the party, our resulting belligerence will likely provoke Islam
into unifying behind one of the tyrants, which is every bit as terrifying an
outcome.

I hope somebody emerges in one of the parties, at least, who commits himself
or herself to continuing Bush's careful, wise, moderate, and so-far-successful
policies in the War on Terror.

Meanwhile, we have this election. You have your vote. For the sake of our
children's future -- and for the sake of all good people in the world who don't
get to vote in the only election that matters to their future, too -- vote for no
Congressional candidate who even hints at withdrawing from Iraq or opposing
Bush's leadership in the war. And vote for no candidate who will hand control
of the House of Representatives to those who are sworn to undo Bush's
restrained but steadfast foreign policy in this time of war.

 Many people have asked OSC where they can get the facts behind the rhetoric about the war. A good starting place is: "Who Is Lying About Iraq?" by Norman Podhoretz, who takes on the "Bush Lied, People Died" slogan.