Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Total

1 week ago 15/5/18

2 weeks ago 8/5/18

4 weeks ago 24/4/18

Election 2 Jul 16

Liberal

38%

34%

35%

35%

National

2%

4%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

40%

38%

38%

37%

42.0%

Labor

36%

36%

37%

36%

34.7%

Greens

10%

10%

10%

11%

10.2%

Nick Xenophon Team

1%

2%

2%

2%

Pauline Hanson’s One Nation

8%

7%

6%

8%

Other/Independent

6%

6%

6%

6%

13.1%

2 party preferred

Liberal National

49%

48%

47%

47%

50.4%

Labor

51%

52%

53%

53%

49.6%

Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Q. The Government’s budget proposes to provide a tax cut of $530 for middle and lower income earners from next year, and then in seven years change the tax rates so that workers earning between $40,000 and $200,000 pay the same rate of tax. Labor proposes to provide a larger tax cut of $928 for middle and lower income earners, and ask those in the top tax bracket to pay a little more to help reduce the deficit. Which of these proposals do you prefer?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

The Government proposal

33%

15%

63%

17%

28%

The Labor proposal

45%

75%

23%

62%

43%

Don’t know

22%

95

14%

21%

29%

45% prefer the Labor tax plan and 33% the Government’s plan.

All income groups except those earning $2,000+ pw strongly favour the Labor plan. Those earning more than $2,000 pw favour then Government plan 44% to 39%.

There was majority support for not providing tax cuts for large business (60%) and for tightening negative gearing and tax concessions for investors (50%). Respondents were also more likely to support preventing income splitting in family trusts (42% support/22% oppose) and limiting tax credits on investments to people who pay tax (42%/27%).

They were split on cutting spending on government agencies like ASIC (36%/39%) and more likely to oppose cutting spending on the ABC (35%/45%).

Respondents were evenly divided on which party they would trust most to manage a fair tax system. 32% favoured the Labor Party and 32% favoured the Liberal and National parties. 22% thought there was no difference.

Those earning less than $1,500 pw trust Labor more (34% Labor/27% Liberal-National), and those earning more than $1,500 pw trust the Liberals a little more (33% Labor/37% Liberal-National).