The original in service date was supposed to be 2014 but since NASA is already saying 2015 at this early stage then I think that it is highly probable that there will still be further delays and 2016 looks a better bet.

As for Hillary Clinton wanting to speed things up, I'll believe it when I see it (never take anything a politician says seriously). Also just because the senate wants to give NASA extra money does not mean they will get it and the wrangling back and forth between congress and the senate is likely to cause more financial problems for NASA as it will probably delay when it knows what money it is going to get.

_________________A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step.

Seems to me that if COTS actually produces a craft capable of ISS crew rotation they will be able to drop half a dozen Orion flights to the ISS and free up a stack of cash to use on the lunar program. With NASA unlikely to get much extra money I see little hope of them reaching the moon by 2018 unless COTS works out.

_________________A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step.

Basically it's currently a bit on a hold, wait and see status as the next US Presidental elections are this year. For example Democrat Hillary Clinton wants to boost science in general and in particular space. Republican Rudy Guiliani expressed similar plans for NASA during his visit in Florida a few days ago.

_________________"The hardest hurdle to space isn't the technicalities and money. But rather, the courage and the will to do it." - Burt Rutan.