UNLOCKED: Line Matching – October 10th

Line Matching is typically reserved for Premium Members ONLY, but we are having issues with Users signing-in, so it will be released for FREE today until we get this issue resolved.

This post looks at which teams will have an advantage at 5v5. It looks at which lines the home-team will try and match-up against and which line could have an edge. It does not take power-play or goaltending into consideration.

STATS

All totals are per 60 minutes of 5v5 ice time.

SCF/SCA- Scoring chances for and against

CF/CA – Corsi for and against

HDCF/HDCA – High-danger Chances for and against

Matchups

Which lines the Home team is expected to be matched up against.

Index

1️⃣ – Indicates PP1 Usage
2️⃣ – Indicates PP2 Usage

Philadelphia Flyers @ Ottawa Senators

Advantage

Matchup

PHI2

OTT1

OTT1

Not a hard match

LW

O. Lindblom 2️⃣

LW

R. Dzingel 1️⃣

C

N. Patrick 2️⃣

C

Z. Smith 2️⃣

RW

T. Konecny 2️⃣

RW

M. Stone 1️⃣

Sample: 111:37 TOI (Konecny & Patrick)

Sample: 33:19 TOI (Smith & Stone this season)

OFF: 47 CF, 21 SCF, 13 HDCF

OFF: 73 CF, 33 SCF, 16 HDCF

DEF: 85 CA, 41 SCA, 17 HDCA

DEF: 58 CA, 24 SCA, 13 HDCA

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖

PHI3

OTT2

N/A

Not a hard match

LW

J. Weal

LW

B. Tkachuk

C

M. Vorobyov 2️⃣

C

M. Duchene 1️⃣

RW

W. Simmonds 1️⃣

RW

M. Boedker

Sample: 351:27 TOI (Weal & Simmonds)

Sample: No Sample-Tkachuk is a rookie and Boedker is new to the team

OFF: 56 CF, 24 SCF, 9 HDCF

OFF: N/A

DEF: 55 CA, 24 SCA, 10 HDCA

DEF: N/A

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖

PHI1

OTT3

PHI1

Not a hard match

LW

C. Giroux 1️⃣

LW

A. Formenton

C

S. Couturier 1️⃣

C

C. Tierney 2️⃣

RW

J. Voracek 1️⃣

RW

B. Ryan 1️⃣

Sample: 376:04 TOI

Sample: 17:13 TOI

OFF: 65 CF, 27 SCF, 12 HDCF

OFF: 28 CF, 18 SCF, 10 HDCF

DEF: 50 CA, 25 SCA, 10 HDCA

DEF: 71 CA, 28 SCA, 7 HDCA

Analysis: The Senators have juggled their lines since their home opener, which makes the matchups for tonight’s game difficult to predict. The Tierney line should see Philly 1 for the majority of their ice tmie, which is obviously a big win for Giroux and company. Ottawa 1 should dominate Philly 2 whenever they are on the ice together, but how much time they see against them is up in the air. The top-heavy nature of the Flyers’ attack means the Senators might not have a choice but to play Smith and Stone against the Flyers’ top line. Regardless of the matchups, Ottawa 1 and Philly 1 both make for viable stacks tonight. Both teams have suffered from sub-par goaltending, so this could turn into a high-scoring affair.

Vegas Golden Knights @ Washington Capitals

Advantage

Matchup

VGK2

WSH1

Even

Not a hard match

LW

M. Pacioretty 2️⃣

LW

A. Ovechkin 1️⃣

C

E. Haula 2️⃣

C

E. Kuznetsov 1️⃣

RW

T. Nosek 1️⃣

RW

B. Conolly 2️⃣

Sample: 40:46 TOI (Pacioretty & Haula)

Sample: 557:00 TOI (Ovechkin & Kuznetsov)

OFF: 63 CF, 32 SCF, 11 HDCF

OFF: 59 CF, 30 SCF, 13 HDCF

DEF: 48 CA, 23 SCA, 13 HDCA

DEF: 62 CA, 30 SCA, 15 HDCA

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖

VGK1

WSH2

Even

Hard match

LW

J. Marchessault 1️⃣

LW

J. Vrana 2️⃣

C

W. Karlsson 1️⃣

C

N. Backstrom 1️⃣

RW

R. Smith 1️⃣

RW

T. Oshie 1️⃣

Sample: 708:33 TOI

Sample: 71:13 TOI

OFF: 62 CF, 31 SCF, 12 HDCF

OFF: 57 CF, 30 SCF, 11 HDCF

DEF: 50 CA, 24 SCA, 9 HDCA

DEF: 53 CA, 20 SCA, 7 HDCA

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖

VGK3

WSH3

VGK3

Not a hard match

LW

R. Carpenter 2️⃣

LW

A. Burakovsky

C

C. Eakin

C

L. Eller

RW

O. Lindberg

RW

C. Stephenson 2️⃣

Sample: 134:11 TOI (Nosek & Lindberg)

Sample: 297:00 TOI (Eller & Burakovsky)

OFF: 55 CF, 27 SCF, 9 HDCF

OFF: 58 CF, 27 SCF, 8 HDCF

DEF: 56 CA, 22 SCA, 9 HDCA

DEF: 61 CA, 30 SCA, 15 HDCF

Analysis: The Golden Knights will look to get things back on track in this Stanley Cup Final rematch. Vegas’ new second-line has been strong at even strength and has the slight edge over Washington 1, both those numbers came alongside Paul Stastny. Haula has played well but transitioning to the middle against the likes of Kuznetsov and Ovechkin is a tall order. Vegas 1 and Washington 2 should play out to a wash tonight in what projects to be a relatively low-event matchup. Vegas 3 has a solid advantage over Washington 3 but they don’t see enough ice time to warrant serious consideration as a stack.

Arizona Coyotes @ Anaheim Ducks

Advantage

Matchup

ARI1

ANA1

ANA1 vs ARI1: ARI1

No match

LW

R. Panik 1️⃣

LW

R. Rakell 1️⃣

C

D. Stepan 1️⃣

C

A. Henrique 1️⃣

RW

V. Hinostroza 1️⃣

RW

T. Terry 2️⃣

ANA1 vs ARI2: Even

Sample: 154:36 TOI (Panik & Stepan)

Sample: 107:01 (Rakell & Henrique)

OFF: 75 CF, 32 SCF, 16 HDCF

OFF: 49 CF, 25 SCF, 10 HDCF

ANA1 vs ARI3: Even

DEF: 53 CA, 23 SCA, 12 HDCA

DEF: 61 CA, 27 SCA, 10 HDCA

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖

ARI2

ANA2

ANA2 vs ARI1: ARI1

No match

LW

B. Perlini 2️⃣

LW

M. Comtois 2️⃣

C

C. Keller 1️⃣

C

S. Steel 1️⃣

RW

C. Fischer 2️⃣

RW

J. Silfverberg 1️⃣

ANA2 vs ARI2: Slight ARI2

Sample: 129:43 TOI (Keller & Fischer)

Sample: 36:28 TOI (Comtois & Silfverberg)

OFF: 53 CF, 21 SCF, 9 HDCF

OFF: 37 CF, 23 SCF, 10 HDCF

ANA2 vs ARI3: ARI3

DEF: 65 CA, 27 SCA, 11 HDCA

DEF: 102 CA, 47 SCA, 15 HDCA

➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖

ARI3

ANA3

N/A

No match

LW

M. Grabner

LW

A. Cogliano

C

B. Richardson

C

I. Lundestrom

RW

N. Cousins

RW

K. Sherwood 2️⃣

N/A

Sample: 280:28 (Richardson & Cousins)

Sample: No Sample-Lundestrom and Sherwood are both rookies.

OFF: 59 CF, 29 SCF, 16 HDCF

OFF: N/A

N/A

DEF: 61 CF, 26 SCA, 12 HDCA

DEF: N/A

Analysis: Given all the injuries they’re battling up front right now, the Ducks can’t be expected to do a lot of hard line-matching in this one. The matchups were thrown into the blender for Sunday’s home opener against the Red Wings. First-line centre Adam Henrique didn’t see more than 4 and a half minutes against any single Detroit forward. You can expect this trend to continue tonight, so you’ll have to consider all the potential matchups if you’re targeting this game. Anaheim 2’s sample is very small but it is all we have to go off of and it speaks to how bad Comtois and Silfverberg have been at even strength. Keep in mind that despite their failure to control the pace of play, the Ducks have somehow outscored their opponents 3-0 when their second line is on the ice. Arizona 1 and 2 both make for decent value stacks in this matchup.