My Biography: In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula... More

Apple, Inc. is doing what it likes to do, suck in investors prior to a pull-back. The next Forecast Pull-Back won't be for awhile so my advice to Investors is to do what you want to do but be Warned. My short-term Forecast is not for a big pull-back but for further topping.

My weekly study of all my High Profile Technology / Hardware - says that this Apple is not as juicy as in the past. My weekly studies are fun for me and Apple, Inc. is or was the "Darling of Wall Street" and will be said to have been one of the leaders of the coming Bear Market. I am please to have called the high in late summer of 2012. I have spent so much time and experience in the study of Companies like (AAPL).

My objective is to identify changing trends for my Forecasting Analytics. Simple stated, I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this Sector and Industry Group.

This week's Commentary on - Apple, Inc. (AAPL) - covers all of my Indicators, both Fundamentally for Valuations and Technically for Momentum. There is much to cover to provide my best possible Forecast and Opinion.

My Mission is to provide guidance and direction for conservatively providing consistent annual and superior profitable results for each Formal Recommendation I make to my Clients.

The Difference Between You and the Pros: Clearly you should be profitable and making money by owning Apple, Inc. Via my Emails, I have found that many Investors are struggling with other securities they are holding. I have offered direction to hundreds of Investors and can share with you why you are perhaps holding losing securities and provide a conservative and low risk remedy.

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Forecast & Opinion from my Study / Analytics:

Apple, Inc. and quite a number of other Technology Sector Companies are still not tracking well with the General Market. Although (AAPL) remains in a meaningful Pull-Back, (current rally accepted) however it is always an excellent contributor to my Analytics.

I initiated positions in Apple, Inc. in March 2009 @ $83. I took my Clients to Cash in November 2012 @ $565. and made select Short-Sell recommendations to specific Clients. That is a gain of 581% in Three and one half years (3.5 yrs.) and 166% average per year.

At that time I also offered this Warning repeatedly: (AAPL) is currently giving -- both Fundamental and Technical - - Bearish "Warnings" that if ignored will be costly.

The below Table is for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts. If you are seeking, what I call "Pazazz Performance" - - please Email me to open a dialog.

Typically, "Pazazz Performance" comes from like (AAPL). Over the years Apple, Inc. has been able to offer much better performance than many of my Blue Chip / Bellwether Companies and ETFs. There are a large number of Pazazz Companies in my stable and they all are outperforming Apple. If you are interested in very low and conservative guidance and direction - and - superior performance with your portfolio you might want to visits with me by Email.

Forecasted Performance - - - Bearish Cycle -- Beginning - Late 2012:

The below Table is also for your review, questions and perhaps thoughts.

Special Note: In this article onApple, Inc.I have very profitable completed Forecasting and Owning select Apple, Inc. during the above Bullish Cycle and am now working in and with the below Bearish Cycle.

I do not share with the Investing Public my Short Sale Positions during Bearish Cycles - they are exclusively for my Clients with an Asset Allocation Model of "Aggressive Growth."

However, I do continue to share my Forecasts with all. As for Formal Recommendations - they are private thing between myself and my Clients.

All Companies operate, that is move the in a similar manner. It is just a matter of monitoring or forecasting the right ones. I Do That Very Well!

Thanks for your interest in my Forecasts - work / analytics . . .

My Forecast is not as bright as you may think! (I will be more specific upon request).

If you own or are considering owning Technology Companies, the securities are (as always) both strong and weak. Apple, Inc. is currently weak with nothing from my approach to Forecasting to support Buying or Owning it for the foreseeable future. My Fundamental Valuation is less than positive compared to years past. There I have placed it on a Strong Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

My Analytics (weighting) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in profitable managing money. At this time my Valuations of (AAPL) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are improving from being negative but are not impressive.

My Opinion is to HOLD-CASH and not participate in all the hoop-law that is presented so freely, these days. If it is to regain prominence in the coming months, believe me I will be ready to turn bullish again. Until then . . .

Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ): My Analytics (weighting 40%) for my Fundamental Valuation play a vital role in my being profitable in managing money "wisely." At this time my Valuations of (AAPL) are not as positive at perhaps you are being told by other sources. Plainly stated they are Improving and then Descending again. I also expect Revenue Growth to start on a Decline. This does not make for a positive fundamental valuation of any Company.

Technically - ( weighting - - 35% ): Even with this fine Company, my Indicators are continuing to suggest topping and then sideways to down. It is seriously off its highs of $684. selling for $525. The current rally is well in place but I do not expect it to move a lot higher before turning Sideways to Down again. This rally and the impending pull-back will tell a compelling story as to the future direction of the price of (AAPL).

I will personally and promptly reply to any serious investor's inquiry as to my very cautious position for(AAPL)!

It has NOT always been like you are being told by so many who do not take the time to "Investing Wisely" and doing their homework well. Apple, Inc. (AAPL) has taken some big hits over the years. Have a look.

"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with Discipline & Patience) and is what separates the Average Investor and Mutual Funds from the profits that come with long-hours / hard work and "Selectivity." You might like to read my most-recent article on why I believe Selectivity is so critical for profiting in today's Marketplace. You might want to check out "Be Selective II - Just Click - - > http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/121308-steven-bauer/2066602-flash-update-be-selective-ii

Here are a number of the Component Companies / Peers in the Technology Hardware Industry Group that I focus on rather frequently: AAPL, EMC, NTAP, DELL, HPQ, DDD, FIO, WDC, SGI, SSYS, STX, SMT, AUO, NCR.

If I can be of help just Email me. Serious Investors Only - Please!

senorstevedrmx@yahoo.com

Should you wish to read my latest article on the following Companies and ETFs - - Just Click on the Symbol. You will be taken (Linked) to my most current article as well at my last 20 articles on that Company or ETF. (It is an excellent way to gain insight into the accuracy of my Forecasts and Opinions). Just so you know you will have access to over 600 articles where I share my Analytics. In addition I have recently published all 500 of the S&P 500 Large-Cap component Companies. And, 200 of each of the S&P 400 Mid-Cap and S&P 600 Small-Cap component Companies. I stay quite busy doing my homework for my Clients.

I hope you will find my "stuff" very well worth your Time and very Accurate.

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