Scott Walker's eerily consistent support

By Charles Mahtesian

06/01/12 08:13 PM EDT

Almost exactly a month ago, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel’s Craig Gilbert wrote that “public opinion about [Scott] Walker is almost freakishly fixed in place” in the Wisconsin recall election, with no statistically significant movement in his approval rating, favorability rating, or ballot support against Barrett.

I checked in today and looked at the polling since then to see if anything’s changed -- when it comes to ballot support, it hasn’t.

While the spread between Walker and Barrett has typically been tighter in the Democratic polls than the independent surveys, Walker's own score rarely deviates: Support for the Wisconsin GOP governor has been at either 50 or 49 percent in 11 of the 13 polls released since early May.

That’s pretty remarkable consistency. It helps explains why Walker remains the front-runner but also underscores the importance of the Republican GOTV efforts on June .