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THE_atvman:It's an unfortunate truth. If you live in a state with heavy bias one way or the other, your vote means nothing. The electoral college is outdated, plain and simple.

red_dog007:No it doesn't!

"Waste" your vote on Gary Johnson then! All he needs is 5% of the vote and together we can help end this two party system!!! Clearly isn't working for us, especially as both these parties are becoming more and more the same. Obama's presidency is a prime example of how the United States is rapidly becoming a one-party system.

If you end the two-party system, then reaching 270 electoral votes is pretty hard. Back in the 1800's, I think congress had to pick a president a few times because there were so many parties trying to electoral votes.

In 2004, the Princeton Election Consortium was able to exactly capture the outcome of the Electoral College vote. In 2008, they were off by just one E.C. vote. As of November 4th, according to the Princeton Election Consortium, President Obama has a 98.2 % chance of winning reelection by an E.C. vote of 319-219.

Obama enjoyed wide leads in state polling during most of the race. That narrowed when Romney’s image improved as a result of the October presidential debates. Susquehanna found 48 percent of voters view Romney favorably, the first time he tied Obama on that measure. A Trib poll in September found Obama with a 47 percent favorability rating, compared with Romney’s 41 percent.

Pennsylvania’s sudden emergence as a state up for grabs shouldn’t surprise anyone, Lee said. Even when state polls showed a wide gap in Obama’s favor, the president rarely registered more than 50 percent, he said.

ChibiSF:In 2004, the Princeton Election Consortium was able to exactly capture the outcome of the Electoral College vote. In 2008, they were off by just one E.C. vote. As of November 4th, according to the Princeton Election Consortium, President Obama has a 98.2 % chance of winning reelection by an E.C. vote of 319-219.

According to their updated analysis, Romney is projected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes -- down five votes from their initial prediction -- and short of the 270 needed to win.

While many election forecast models are based on the popular vote, the model developed by Bickers and Berry is based on the Electoral College and is the only one of its type to include more than one state-level measure of economic conditions. They included economic data from all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

ChibiSF:In 2004, the Princeton Election Consortium was able to exactly capture the outcome of the Electoral College vote. In 2008, they were off by just one E.C. vote. As of November 4th, according to the Princeton Election Consortium, President Obama has a 98.2 % chance of winning reelection by an E.C. vote of 319-219.

-Dequindre-:Second University of Colorado Prediction: Romney Landslide 330 to 208

According to their updated analysis, Romney is projected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes -- down five votes from their initial prediction -- and short of the 270 needed to win.

While many election forecast models are based on the popular vote, the model developed by Bickers and Berry is based on the Electoral College and is the only one of its type to include more than one state-level measure of economic conditions. They included economic data from all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

ChibiSF:In 2004, the Princeton Election Consortium was able to exactly capture the outcome of the Electoral College vote. In 2008, they were off by just one E.C. vote. As of November 4th, according to the Princeton Election Consortium, President Obama has a 98.2 % chance of winning reelection by an E.C. vote of 319-219.

-Dequindre-:Second University of Colorado Prediction: Romney Landslide 330 to 208

According to their updated analysis, Romney is projected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes -- down five votes from their initial prediction -- and short of the 270 needed to win.

While many election forecast models are based on the popular vote, the model developed by Bickers and Berry is based on the Electoral College and is the only one of its type to include more than one state-level measure of economic conditions. They included economic data from all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

77% likelihood Romney wins popular vote, according to famous U of Colorado study

The University of Colorado (CU) prediction renowned for perfect accuracy will predict a popular-vote win for Mitt Romney later this month, Campus Reform has learned.

The poll has accurately predicted every presidential election since it was developed in 1980. It is unique in that it employs factors outside of state economic indicators to predict the next president.

“Our model indicates that Governor Romney has a 77 percent likelihood of winning the popular vote,” said Berry.