The Senate may be able to pass NCCR (HR 38) if they attach it to a spending or budget bill (appropriation bill). Doing so will allow them to pass it with a simple majority vote of 51-49.

With a government shutdown looming EOY this is possible. I can imagine someone like Sen. Ted Cruz using this tactic to help get the bill passed.

I can't see the conference committee going along with NCCR as a rider on a budget bill.

__________________2A ... Federal Preemption

Thus, the only inquiry that this Court should conduct is to determine whether the firearms prohibited by the Act are protected by the Second Amendment. Because they are, the Act is simply unconstitutional.

The Senate version still would allow carry in any state other than your home state on a NR permit.

Which would be irrelevant if states like VA stop issuing NR permits. VA and PA will absolutely use any excuse to stop issuing NR permits, the gov and AG are as anti-gun as Frosh. If people can get a permit in their home state and its valid everywhere, there is no longer any real reason for issuing NR permits (just like there is no reason to issue NR drivers licenses). Utah is not going to feel compelled to help out New Yorkers.