Prediction time

Weird vibe to predictions this year. The stats-based systems like the A’s chances better than most humans. PECOTA’s latest update has the A’s at 84-78, winning the division over the injury-plagued Angels by three games.

Except for statheads, most predictions I’ve seen have the team finishing second, or in some cases, third.

I’m not terribly optimistic. You build a team around proven starters, and the A’s have zero. Expect quite a few days, especially on the road, when the team gets blown out early. A Jamie Moyer type would look mighty solid right now. My main hope is that by midseason, Billy Beane, Bob Geren and Curt Young will have found four pitchers who can be relied on for six innings. Five quality starters is almost too much to hope.

Prediction: 80-82, second place.

What’s your prediction? Bragging rights will only be awarded in October if you provide a season record and a place.