sdrl (2)

While guests on CNBS CNBC and Bloomberg are busy encouraging you to buy oil names which are down over 50%, I wouldn't expect to reap any big rewards any time soon. In fact I believe there will be much more pain ahead, depending on the strength of the company you chose. Iran sanctions may be giving it a boost near term but once they're lifted (or eased) their production is expected to double which is once again, bearish for this oversupplied market

While everyone is in agreement that crude oil is in a bear market, quite often one strategy is to buy the laggard and anticipate it to outperform the following year. The trouble with crude oil however, are the…

After Friday's spectacular 10% sell off in black gold, I went back to my earlier post on shorting crude oil and felt pretty darn good as I made myself a turkey sandwich for lunch. Some would say it was a capitulation bottom but I just didn't see the volume which would come with such a move. Yes there was heavy selling but it was funds getting OUT of energy names and forced selling - not buying a dip. Sure, it can snap back and a near term bottom is most likely in but I will not be trading that. The top is in in my opinion. I will view any move higher (without an event risk occurring) as an opportunity to re-short at a higher level.

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