The US Dollar may be vulnerable to renewed selling against the Japanese Yen after prices cleared support at the bottom of a rising channel in play since early February. Sellers are testing the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion at 101.28, with a daily close below that eyeing the 76.4% level at 100.87. Resistance is in the 101.61-74 area, marked by the 50% Fib and the channel floor. A turn above that clears the way for a test the 38.2% expansion at 101.94.

Risk/reward considerations argue against taking a trade at present withprices wedged too closely between near-term up- and down-side technical barriers. We will continue to wait on the sidelines for the time being.