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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
NOON EDT TUE OCT 15 1991
...TROPICAL STORM FABIAN FORMS JUST SOUTH OF WESTERN CUBA...
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA
FOR CUBA FROM HAVANA EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA...INCLUDING THE ISLE
OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS FROM GREAT INAGUA
NORTHWESTWARD.
NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTS...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED
AND IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM. HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE NOW
SPREADING OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF CUBA WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY
EXTENDING NORTHWARD OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
AT NOON EDT...1600Z...THE CENTER OF FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES
...85 KM...SOUTH OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...AND
SOME STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN COMBINATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FABIAN
IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING SOME SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA
...INCLUDING THE KEYS...AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INCREASE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...GENERATING
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF AS MUCH AS 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
SMALL CRAFT IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND CLOSELY
MONITOR FUTURE ADVISORIES ON THIS SYSTEM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
REPEATING THE NOON EDT POSITION...20.7 N... 83.3 W. MOVEMENT
...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY ISSUANCE
AT 6 PM EDT.
SHEETS