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September: The Senate Monthly 10

6. WISCONSIN (Down 1 spot) – While at least three Republicans have signaled they’ll pursue Sen. Herb Kohl’s open seat, Rep. Tammy Baldwin has emerged as the front-runner and possibly the sole contender on the Democratic side. That gives the Madison-based congresswoman time to shore up support with an eye toward the general election. Former Rep. Mark Neumann and Assembly Speaker Jeff Fitzgerald are prepping for a showdown with former Gov. Tommy Thompson over what it means to be a conservative in the tea party era inside the nation’s most polarized state.

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No recent public polling

7. FLORIDA — Adam Hasner’s CPAC straw poll victory served as an early validator that his effort to be seen as the most credible conservative in the race is paying off. But Democrats continue to enjoy the bitter sniping between the Hasner and George LeMieux camps. The two sides rarely miss a chance at taking a shot — whether it’s over Hasner’s ethics violation and business back taxes or LeMieux’s ties to disgraced former party chair Jim Greer. A majority of Republicans remain undecided on who the nominee should be, which for now benefits Sen. Bill Nelson.

8. OHIO — Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown is showing some separation from Obama. The new Quinnipiac survey pegs the incumbent’s approval rating at 52 percent, a full 10 points ahead of the president, who is at his lowest point in this particular survey. Meanwhile, Josh Mandel has been attacked from all sides for failing to file his personal financial disclosure forms. Mandel’s recent hesitation to endorse a plan to build an energy plant in Piketon put him at odds with Speaker John Boehner and Sen. Rob Portman, who have lauded the project for the 4,000 jobs it would create.

9. NEBRASKA (New) — The Cornhusker State makes its first-ever appearance on the cycle’s Monthly 10, largely due to the growing uncertainty boiling in the GOP primary. Sen. Ben Nelson remains the Democrat most likely to lose next year, but self-inflicted stumbles by GOP Attorney General Jon Bruning — which led to the ousting of his media consultant — are giving Democrats hope that a messy primary could hobble the GOP nominee. Republicans insist that State Treasurer Don Stenberg — who is racking up endorsements — or state Sen. Deb Fischer could beat Nelson. But Stenberg’s lost three times before, and Fischer is mostly unknown statewide.

Who Won September: Nelson

No recent public polling

10. MICHIGAN (Down 1 spot) — Pete Hoekstra’s endorsement train continued to chug along, as the former congressman racked up backing from former colleagues, state lawmakers and even Michele Bachmann. But backers of charter school advocate Clark Durant want to pop that balloon of inevitability, and are working to point out the similarities between Hoekstra’s record in Washington and Democrat Debbie Stabenow’s. Early polling relays that Durant has a ways to go to be considered credible, but data obtained by The Hill also demonstrates Stabenow’s staying power in a difficult environment.
Who Won September: Stabenow

Readers' Comments (2)

"MONTANA — No other match-up reverts to local issues more than the Denny Rehberg-Jon Tester fight in Montana. Squabbles over environmental regulations."

AMERIKA NEEDS A REPUBLICAN SENATOR FROM MONTANA TO PUT THE CRAZIES ON A SHORT LEASH!

THE MULTI MILLION OBAMA SUBSIDEZED SWINDLE MILLS ARE KILLING MASSIVE NUMBERS OF BIRDS!

where are the administration complaints against swindle mills?

The Obama Administration's hostility to oil and gas exploration is well known, but last week it took an especially fowl turn. The U.S. Attorney for North Dakota hauled seven oil and natural gas companies into federal court for killing 28 migratory birds that were found dead near oil waste lagoons. You may not be surprised to learn that the Administration isn't prosecuting wind companies for similar offenses.

Continental Resources is accused of violating the 1918 Migratory Bird Treaty Act because "on or about May 6, 2011 in the District of North Dakota" the company "did take [kill] one Say's Phoebe,"

warren beat scott brown no way in hell but love the lefty loon poll nice try but it wont work he is liked by rep and ind no matter how you look at it shes way to far left im telling you not going to happen