For months, we’ve been updating our estimates with each new poll. Today, it’s Election Day, what we’ve all been waiting for, and there will be no more updates. You can chart different paths to victory below. Here’s how our estimates have changed over time:

Posted on March 18, 2017by sundancePresident Trump’s U.S. trade policy of “America First”, free but FAIR trade, came to the forefront in Germany as Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin subtly yet firmly pushed back against language that affirmed globalism and multilateral trade.According to the Washington Post German officials urged Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin to agree to their customary modern free trade language in the G20’s joint statement.However, the U.S. Treasury Secretary refused their request and instead urged adoption of more general wording allowing each nation to make their own determinations of what constitutes “free and fair trade” with their own best interests in mind.This approach is the basis for one-on-one bilateral trade. It is also the starting point toward negotiating exceptional trade deals by providing leverage which allows President Trump, Secretary Ross and Trade Rep Lighthizer to frame proposals (by competing nations) against each other. By holding firm to the basic trade outlook Secretary Mnuchin is setting the table for the U.S. trade team to renegotiate everything.The disconnect from the traditional economic group-think of the G20 finance ministers is a direct break from the past two decades. This central approach reflects the baseline change in ongoing U.S. trade policy. It would appear President Trump and his economic team are more concerned about the interests of American workers than foreign nationals. Go figure.Secretary Mnuchin suggested adding more general language committing to “strengthen the contribution of trade.” A version of that sentence was included in the statement, despite criticisms from some G20 finance ministers that it was pointless.Continue reading →

Oliver Dollimore Mar 18th, 2017 5:03 pm 50 CommentsSecretary of State Rex Tillerson’s latest actions prove that he and the Trump administration will not back down or be bullied by the liberal press.

Tillerson was asked by an IJR writer about what exactly he plans to do now that the media has been barred from the world-traveling plane. He responded by saying “I will now spend time working and doing what a Secretary of State should do, I wasn’t hired to do interviews, I was hired to be a diplomat”.This will be vastly different from previous administrations, which tended to have lengthy, fruitless discussions with the news outlets.
Tillerson defended himself in an interview explaining how major news outlets already have bureau offices in the countries he is visiting. Tillerson told the press, “They have bureau offices. They have people there. So it’s not like they can’t cover what’s happening there. The only thing that’s missing is the chance to talk and more in the air.”
However once again the main stream media has taken Tillerson’s comments out of proportion. With some media organisations saying the Trump administration is silencing free speech and shutting out any hostile media.
The Daily Caller reported:

The U.S. diplomatic press corps was deeply angered when the Department of State announced it did not intend on bringing any members of the press corps aboard the secretary’s aircraft. “The State Department Correspondents’ Association is disappointed that Secretary Tillerson chose to travel this week to North Asia without a full contingent of the diplomatic press corps or even a pool reporter,” the group said in a statement.
Tillerson defended his action, saying, “There’s this long tradition that the Secretary spends time on the plane with the press. I don’t know that I’ll do a lot of that. I’m just not … that’s not the way I tend to work. That’s not the way I tend to spend my time. I spend my time working on this airplane.”

Oliver Dollimore Mar 18th, 2017 5:08 pm 78 CommentsIn case you missed it — MSNBC host Rachel Maddow talked up a big release on Trump taxes earlier this week.
The release ended up being a rather large titanic size flop.The only information she actually ended up releasing was that Trump is a very successful tax-paying American businessman.Things looked slightly better for Rachel earlier this week, as this big “tax” reveal led to a successful night of ratings.Her ratings were not only a record for her show but they were also a record across cable television. With over four million people watching her as she unveiled Donald Trump’s leaked tax figures from 2005.However this didn’t last long as “The Rachel Maddow Show” saw its ratings plummet 36 percent the night after.Fox News Reports

That drop was even sharper in the key demographic of 25 to 54-year-olds, the viewership of which fell 54 percent, Sandra Smith reported. Maddow received criticism from all sides after she and journalist David Cay Johnston revealed Trump’s tax forms on national television.Geraldo Rivera said it was Maddow’s “Al Capone’s Vault” moment, referencing a 1986 report in which he opened the mobster’s vault live, to find little of value.On “The O’Reilly Factor,” Bill O’Reilly said Maddow’s broadcast is the latest event in a “circus of ideology and cynicism” surrounding the president.Additionally, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) pointed out that Trump’s tax rate reflected on the forms was far greater than that of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who is often critical of those who don’t “pay their fair share.”

Poor Rachel lost 2 million viewers in one day.
Congratulations.Americans know a fraud when they see one.

Cristina Laila Mar 18th, 2017 3:49 pm79 CommentsMany conservatives believe that liberalism is a mental disorder and this report from Yahoo News confirms it. Trump is haunting liberals in their sleep, forcing them to turn to drugs and alcohol and even causing them to gain weight.Winning!Yahoo News reports on some of the nightmares liberals are having:

Susan Rogers, a poet and attorney in California, is “hurtling through space with no direction” on a plane that, she discovers with horror, has no pilot.Rachelle Pachtman, who does canine rescue on New York’s Upper West Side, is searching fruitlessly through her refrigerator for something to serve Michelle and Barack Obama, who have just happened to drop by for lunch.

And of course they have to have a story about a transgender in there because transgenders are at the top of the Marxist ladder right now but are in grave danger because Trump is coming for them…

Alicia Bowman, a journalist from East Penn, Pa., is racing frantically through a train that is heading the wrong way, flinging off her belongings so she can run faster, calling frantically for her son, who is transgender.

All of a sudden this woman is afraid her son and nephew will be sent to war even though Obama held a record for having been at war for everyday of his Presidency…

“I’m afraid my son and nephew will be sent to a war I don’t believe in,” says Linda Cliff Derbacher, a former neonatal nurse now living in Southern California.

And of course the gold medal goes to this hysterical lady who thinks after generations of her family being American citizens, she will be targeted because of her surname…

“I worry that even though my family members have been American citizens for generations we will be targeted … because of our surnames and our looks,” says Soraida Justiniano of Palm Harbor, Fla.

Apparently Trump has forced some liberals to turn to alcohol and drugs…

Of course, there are those who skip all of the above and go straight to the medicine or the liquor cabinet. Kasie Shiflett, a bartender and waitress at Dino’s Gourmet in Plattsburgh, N.Y., turns to Tylenol PM. Mary Molina, a retired clinical research assistant in Durham, N.C., rotates among bourbon, vodka, or melatonin, depending on the night.“Medical marijuana and Glenfiddich,” quips Frederic Alan Maxwell, a researcher in Portland, Ore. “Plus nonmedical marijuana and Glenfiddich.”And when author Cathryn Jakobson Ramin brought up her troubled sleep with her new internist the other day, she left the appointment with a prescription for Seroquel and a two-page handout about sleep that the doctor had “just written because so many of her patients had the same problem lately.”

This liberal lady can’t seem to put the fork down as she has resorted to ‘stress snacking’ because of Trump..I’m not tired of winning, folks!

Allison Slater Tate, for instance, is having no problem with shuteye in Orlando. Possibly because she’s been stress-snacking since Election night.“I’ve gained the Trump 15, but I can sleep,” she says.

In reality, these liberals are having nightmares because of the hysterics and degenerates in the fake news media who constantly publish propaganda pieces. None of their fears are based on reality. This how liberalism works. It’s built on a foundation of lies, propped up by fake news with mutually accepted delusion.Read about other nightmares liberals are having here.

Remember the date of March 13, 2017. It was the day President Trump was guaranteed his re-election and Republican congressional gains in 2018 and 2020.

It's not complicated. Follow along.
The Congressional Budget Office released its study of Trump and Paul Ryan's plan to repeal Obamacare and begin to reform our healthcare system. It had many numbers. Only two mattered: taxes and spending.Washington Examiner

CBO announced that the repeal bill reduces taxes by almost $900 billion and reduces federal spending by $1.2 trillion over the next decade. This reduces deficit spending by $300 billion over the next 10 years. Thus the CBO, as official umpire, announced that the GOP Obamacare repeal plan may be enacted through "reconciliation," the process that requires a simple majority in the House and only 51 votes in the Senate. No filibuster allowed.

Perhaps equally important, the $300 billion in deficit reduction gives Republicans a great deal of wiggle room to amend their basic plan to win votes in the House and Senate to win those 218 congressmen and 51 senators. Tax cuts can be added into the mix. Thanks to the CBO score and the underlying power of the legislation, Obamacare repeal will now pass. The path is clear.
Yes, Democrats tried to focus on the CBO's guestimate as to how many Americans would choose to buy Obamacare insurance without the threat of fines and taxes. Answer: very few. This speaks to how unattractive Obamacare insurance products were and are.
The GOP legislation empowers, strengthens, and expands Health Savings Accounts and other consumer-directed tools such as Flexible Spending Accounts, and creates high-risk pools to take care of those with pre-existing conditions without burdening all other insurance buyers with those costs. Tax credits will help lower-income Americans afford the insurance they want.
The attractiveness of consumer-driven healthcare and the failure of Obamacare's insurance products — on price and quality — will drive Trump's plan forward. Name-calling and dire predictions will not survive contact with reality, or be remembered two Novembers from now.
Passage of Trump's repeal of Obamacare means the baseline for revenue — against which tax reform must be compared for it to pass inside reconciliation — is about $1 trillion lower. This means that the tax cut/tax reform package will also pass as the power of the lower business tax rate, the immediate full business expensing, and the abolition of the Death Tax and AMT will drive House and Senate members to pass the bill that will spur economic growth in time for the 2018 and 2020 election.Also from the Washington ExaminerArizona artist claims she's receiving death threats over anti-Trump billboard

The CBO score makes the passage of Obamacare repeal possible and likely. Obamacare repeal makes it easier to pass the tax cut/reform.
Lower tax rates, full expensing, and trillions in lower taxes will drive economic growth to Reagan-era rates. Such growth wins elections.
QED.Grover Norquist (@GroverNorquist) is a contributor to the Washington Examiner's Beltway Confidential blog. He is the president of Americans for Tax Reform.

Remember the date of March 13, 2017. It was the day President Trump was guaranteed his re-election and Republican congressional gains in 2018 and 2020.
It's not complicated. Follow along.
The Congressional Budget Office released its study of Trump and Paul Ryan's plan to repeal Obamacare and begin to reform our healthcare system. It had many numbers. Only two mattered: taxes and spending.Latest Videos

CBO announced that the repeal bill reduces taxes by almost $900 billion and reduces federal spending by $1.2 trillion over the next decade. This reduces deficit spending by $300 billion over the next 10 years. Thus the CBO, as official umpire, announced that the GOP Obamacare repeal plan may be enacted through "reconciliation," the process that requires a simple majority in the House and only 51 votes in the Senate. No filibuster allowed.
Perhaps equally important, the $300 billion in deficit reduction gives Republicans a great deal of wiggle room to amend their basic plan to win votes in the House and Senate to win those 218 congressmen and 51 senators. Tax cuts can be added into the mix. Thanks to the CBO score and the underlying power of the legislation, Obamacare repeal will now pass. The path is clear.
Yes, Democrats tried to focus on the CBO's guestimate as to how many Americans would choose to buy Obamacare insurance without the threat of fines and taxes. Answer: very few. This speaks to how unattractive Obamacare insurance products were and are.
The GOP legislation empowers, strengthens, and expands Health Savings Accounts and other consumer-directed tools such as Flexible Spending Accounts, and creates high-risk pools to take care of those with pre-existing conditions without burdening all other insurance buyers with those costs. Tax credits will help lower-income Americans afford the insurance they want.
The attractiveness of consumer-driven healthcare and the failure of Obamacare's insurance products — on price and quality — will drive Trump's plan forward. Name-calling and dire predictions will not survive contact with reality, or be remembered two Novembers from now.
Passage of Trump's repeal of Obamacare means the baseline for revenue — against which tax reform must be compared for it to pass inside reconciliation — is about $1 trillion lower. This means that the tax cut/tax reform package will also pass as the power of the lower business tax rate, the immediate full business expensing, and the abolition of the Death Tax and AMT will drive House and Senate members to pass the bill that will spur economic growth in time for the 2018 and 2020 election.Also from the Washington ExaminerArizona artist claims she's receiving death threats over anti-Trump billboard

The CBO score makes the passage of Obamacare repeal possible and likely. Obamacare repeal makes it easier to pass the tax cut/reform.
Lower tax rates, full expensing, and trillions in lower taxes will drive economic growth to Reagan-era rates. Such growth wins elections.
QED.Grover Norquist (@GroverNorquist) is a contributor to the Washington Examiner's Beltway Confidential blog. He is the president of Americans for Tax Reform.

Trump’s first budget proposal ... would increase defense spending by $54 billion and then offset that by stripping money from more than 18 other agencies. Some would be hit particularly hard, with reductions of more than 20 percent at the Agriculture, Labor and State departments and of more than 30 percent at the Environmental Protection Agency.

It would also propose eliminating future federal support for the National Endowment for the Arts, the National Endowment for the Humanities and the Corporation for Public Broadcasting. Within EPA alone, 50 programs and 3,200 positions would be eliminated.

... the budget chops funding for the National Institutes of Health by $5.8 billion, or close to 20 percent ... the proposal would eliminate a Transportation Department program that funds nearly $500 million in road projects....

And the Trump administration proposed to eliminate a number of other programs, particularly those that serve low-income Americans and minorities, because it questioned their effectiveness. This included the Low-Income Home Energy Assistance Program, which disburses more than $3 billion annually to help heat homes in the winter. It also proposed abolishing the Community Development Block Grant program, which provides roughly $3 billion in targeted projects related to affordable housing, community development and homelessness programs, among other things....

He proposed cutting combined spending for the State Department and the U.S. Agency for International Development by $10.1 billion, or nearly 29 percent. It would cut an unspecified amount of funding from U.N. peacekeeping efforts.

These aren't sharp cuts that are likely to be explained away as trims of waste, fraud, and abuse. These cuts are meant to be punitive and meant to look punitive. The Trumpers aren't Reaganites insisting that they're just trimming the fat. These folks want you to think that they're cutting into muscle.

As I'm reading about this, I keep thinking about Steve Bannon's fondness for the pseudo-scientific prognostications of William Strauss and Neil Howe, particularly in their book The Fourth Turning. I quoted this a month ago, but let me go back to what the Huffington Post's Paul Blumenthal and JM Rieger wrote about Bannon and Strauss/Howe:

Strauss and Howe postulate that during [the predicted] Fourth Turning crisis, an unexpected leader will emerge from an older generation to lead the nation, and what they call the “Hero” generation (in this case, millennials), to a new order. This person is known as the Grey Champion. An election or another event — perhaps a war — will bring this person to power, and their regime will rule throughout the crisis.

“The winners will now have the power to pursue the more potent, less incrementalist agenda about which they had long dreamed and against which their adversaries had darkly warned,” Strauss and Howe wrote in The Fourth Turning. “This new regime will enthrone itself for the duration of the Crisis. Regardless of its ideology, that new leadership will assert public authority and demand private sacrifice. Where leaders had once been inclined to alleviate societal pressures, they will now aggravate them to command the nation’s attention.” ...

“We’re gonna have to have some dark days before we get to the blue sky of morning again in America,” Bannon warned in 2010. “We are going to have to take some massive pain. Anybody who thinks we don’t have to take pain is, I believe, fooling you.” (Emphasis added.)

I think this is a Fourth Turning budget. I think it's meant to cause disruption and pain. I think it's informed by the belief that it's good to knock the populace around, because that's an inevitable step before we reach the Promised Land.

Of course, the disruptors will be just fine -- the Trumps with their Russian and Chinese capital, Bannon with a nice egg from his Goldman Sachs earnings and his Seinfeld residuals and his former $750,000 Breitbart salary. The apocalypse is for the rest of us.

"We are ready for an unforeseen event that
may or may not occur." --Al Gore, VP :swear:

Seoul (AFP) - Washington's top diplomat visited the Demilitarised Zone dividing the two Koreas to gaze on the North for himself Friday, a day after he declared 20 years of efforts to denuclearise it had failed.

Secretary of State Rex Tillerson is in Asia for his first foray into crisis management, and was to hold talks with South Korea's Acting President Hwang Kyo-Ahn later, after China challenged him to come up with a new way to confront the North Korean nuclear stand-off.

Sure...you think Donaldof has the balls to order a per-emptive attack on North Korea?......

First of all....doing that will clearly shows that he doesn't have a clue about history and if history has shown well is that it is not worth to restart the fight with the North....

I guess Donaldof will find out how bad it can get if he continues that path with the North.....and is going to be the path were many Americans will die for absolutely nothing.

And then I will come back here I will be writing endlessly " I TOLD YOU"!!!

"We are ready for an unforeseen event that
may or may not occur." --Al Gore, VP :swear: