It’s the final week of the regular season, and an unusually large number of playoff-bound teams have little to no incentive to win. Two teams (Kansas City and the LA Rams) have announced that they will be resting their key starters, which makes a lot of sense given their position and that they won’t have…

So many reasons to love bowl confidence pools. There’s still a ton of noise, but so much more signal than when just picking games. Couple that with a healthy 41-game slate and it’s not a bad situation for identifying the better models and experts. Really we need about 10 years to do that, but there’s…

These individual game grades reflect a team’s performance — controlling for home field and strength of opponent — through the lens of the Massey-Peabody ratings. Percentile rating is normalized relative to historical games, and expected score differential is a team’s expected margin of victory against an average team on a neutral field. # season tm week…