Should-Read: Roberto Bonfatti and Kevin Hjortshøj O’Rourke: Growth, Import Dependence and War: "Existing theories of pre-emptive war typically predict that the leading country may choose to launch a war on a follower who is catching up...

Must-Read: On one level, simply do not panic: Obama12 52.9%, Obama08 51.0%, Bush04 50.7%, Gore00 48.4%, Kerry04 48.3%, Clinton16 48.0%, Bush00 47.9%, Romney12 47.2%, Trump16 46.2%, McCain08 45.7%. This is the same country with the same activated political coalitions we have seen since 2000. Trump ...