The Horse Sense Blog compares the nonsense in today's news with good ol' fashioned horse sense

“…I shall speak forth my sentiments freely and without reserve.… It is only in this way that we can hope to arrive at truth, and fulfill the great responsibility which we hold to God and our country.Should I keep back my opinions at such a time, through fear of giving offense, I should consider myself as guilty of treason towards my country, and of an act of disloyalty toward the Majesty of Heaven, which I revere above all earthly kings.” - Patrick Henry, March 23, 1775

"The further a society drifts from truth the more it will hate those who speak it." - George Orwell

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Tuesday, February 23, 2016

When Bush Dropped Out And His Followers Went To Other Candidates, How Much Was Trump's Lead Hurt?

Here's the Nonsense: When an establishment candidate like Bush drops out of the race, his followers will move to another establishment candidate like Rubio and thereby cut into Trump's lead.Here's the Horse Sense: Studies are showing that just because a candidate drops out of the race doesn't mean that their followers will move to the nearest ideological competitor. In an interesting little article, the Washington Examiner is reporting on a new Rasmussen Reports poll that looks at where Jeb Bush's followers moved their support when Bush dropped out of the race. It's been believed by the other campaigns, the media, and the Republican establishment that if Bush left the race it would hurt Trump as Bush followers would move to another establishment candidate. One of the great hopes of the GOPe (GOP establishment) has been that as the number of Republican candidates in the race diminishes and their followers find other candidates to support, that Trump's lead would not just diminish, but would cause him to fall behind and hopefully leave the race. But this new poll is probably ruining their day.Rasmussen's new poll shows that many Bush supporters have moved to Trump, which has increased his lead in their polling by 5 points. I'm sure that has the GOPe spitting nails.But what they don't understand is that it was inevitable. Elon University Polling did an analysis of the candidate's support and the results are very interesting.

The idea that followers of a particular candidate will all go to their nearest ideological competitor aren't accurate. As you can see, the poll shows 31% of Bush supporters going to Trump. If Kasich were to drop out, 29% of his followers would go to Trump. If Cruz dropped out, 43% of his followers would go to Trump. As you study these results it is apparent that no matter who drops out, Trump remains the frontrunner.This certainly must have the GOPe in distress. The ways for the GOPe to stop Trump are dwindling and it's even questionable if they can at this point.

Saving America Is About Nationalism vs Globalism

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How Should Christians Vote in 2016?

While Donald Trump got the vast majority of the Christian vote in the primaries, now that the primaries are over some who did not support him are struggling with their vote. What should they do? Can they eliminate their responsibility by saying they wash their hands of the election results and either not vote or vote for a candidate that is guaranteed to lose? Or if they look at the Bible will they find that, like Pontius Pilate, they cannot wash their hands of their responsibility? Well known Christian radio and TV host had Janet Parshall on his show to discuss it. You can click here to go to his Facebook page with her excellent response.

IMPORTANT: Candidate Eligibility Is Nothing To Ignore

A lot of people scoff at the issue of candidate eligibility. It's no laughing matter. Because it wasn't taken seriously in 2008, we've had severe changes in our government from which we may never recover. Now, in 2016, we are faced with serious eligibility problems among the Republican candidates. I've spent months pulling together the information included in this lengthy paper. It is an important issue and you should be informed BEFORE YOU VOTE.Click here to read and/or download this information.

For more information and another excellent article and video on the topic click here.

Disclaimer

This work was not created to provide any legal, business,professional, or personal counsel or advice. It is an opinion and should be treated as such. This should not be considered the only source of information. Readers are encouraged to refer to other sources for additional information. TheAuthor shall have no liability or responsibility to any persons,groups, or businesses with respect to any loss or damagecaused, directly or indirectly, by the information provided; claimany responsibility in decisions made by any persons, entity, orcompany based upon the provided information; or make anyguarantees or warranties implied or otherwise to the accuracyof the included material.