IMD's forecast of 97% rainfall comes with a model error of (plus-minus) 5%.

The forecaster also said that there is nil possibility of a big nationwide drought or deficient rainfall when the total cumulative seasonal rainfall across the country falls below 90 per cent of LPA.

The four-month monsoon season provides about 70 per cent of the country's annual rainfall.

This is the third uninterrupted year when the IMD forecasted the normal monsoon rains in the nation. Since 2012, IMD is also using the dynamical global climate forecasting system (CFS) model developed under the Monsoon Mission to generate forecasts.

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