So, I hate to ask questions without doing some research, but I am not entirely sure if I am understanding some of the data I have looked at.

My understanding the last time we had an el nino event of this strength the Lone Peak / Big Sky area saw above average snow falls, not significantly, but bestsnow.net still lists them as above average. Mean while Bridger bowl reports below average. Is it likely we can expect that same kind of weather with this event? It seems strange looking at the maps that south western Montana would see anything "Above average" based on the visual ive been presented with here.

Thanks!

Nothing in life is guaranteed, and the sun shines on a dog's ass now and then. When it comes to El Nino, 70% of the time, it works every time.

So far the entire ENSO has thrown the predictions and models right out the window. Hurricane Patrica is a fine example of an amplification the likes of which most of our models don't seem to handle very well.