In a painstaking process this alternate history storyline has been researched and is presented for your entertainment.
By using historical documents from the US Joint Chiefs of Staff we know exactly what the contingency plans were in the case of an expected Soviet attack in 1946.

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Book One World War Three 1946

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Thursday, July 24, 2014

Carpet to Em

Everything was in place
and the trap was set. Novikov brought in every jet in the Soviet arsenal even
the 53 AR234s jet bombers who only had rear fighting 20 mm cannons. The plan
was to distract the P-80 Shooting stars as much as they could and let the conventional
fighters and the ramming squadrons deal death blows outside of the range of the
close to a thousand 90mm anti-aircraft guns complete with hundreds of thousands
of captured VT proximity fused munitions. These deadly fuses were the ones that
increase the hit rate by a factor of seven of the US 90mm guns that devastated
the Kamikaze attacks near the end of the last war. The program that developed
these fuses was the third most costly program of World War Two, just behind the
atomic bomb and the B-29 bomber. A hundred and twenty three Wasserfal, Stalin’s
Fire missile sites surrounded Baku and the Pe-9 Beach with 8 X4 air to air
missiles each was now augmented by newly retrofitted Tu2Ss carrying 4 air to
air missiles each. 93 Pe-9 Beaches and 167 Tu2S Bats were stationed in a
massive air field complex west north west of Baku at a distance of 245 km.
These massive airfield complexes could cover both Baku and the oil fields to
the northwest for the longer ranged aircraft. They were built over 6 months ago
and had just received their hundreds of planes over the last few days.

Supplies were strewn all
about as the hasty placement of fuel drums, bombs, spare parts and ammunition
lay in the open fields in huge piles. It was also a staging area complete with
train unloading facilities for the Stalin’s Fire SAM missile and hundreds were
lying about or were just being off loaded from the trains that were coming in
hourly. As soon as the US bombers were spotted on the radar the longer ranged
bombers launched as fast as possible to be in position over the expected
approach avenue to Baku.

Baku itself was like a
porcupine bristling with SAM missiles and close to five hundred anti-aircraft
guns of all ranges and stopping power. All oiled and waiting to receive the
deadly shells that could mean death to many a bomber crew. The remaining oil
production facilities that missed the first atomic bomb attack had been
hardened as much as possible. There was still close to 25 square miles of oil production
facilities and wells that the errant atomic bomb had missed and Baku was
running at 30% efficiency still. It was also being repaired 24 hours a day
despite the horrors of radiation.

Many of the interceptor
squadrons were fairly close to Baku because of their short ranges. The jet
fighters in particular were grouped around the area outside of the nuclear
radiation zone of course. Many were based to the southwest to intercept bombers
on the ingress and to the northwest to intercept them after they left the flak
and missile killing zone planned for them.

Ground spotters picked
up the massive raid coming from the south before the radar did. The
communication lines and radios were heating up with every minute. Counts of the
bomber stream and circling jet fighters came pouring in. Many were wild guesses
but some were pretty accurate. There was no way to hide this massive moving
carpet in the sky droning on towards Baku.

The area around Baku was
as ready as it ever will be. More jet fighters would have been nice but their
shortage was not critical. The older liquid fuel Stalin’s Fire missiles started
to be fueled and the solid fuel models got ready for launch as well. By now all
the malcontents among the Chechen women had been weeded out. They were now a
compliant bunch and ready to do their Soviet masters bidding. There formidable
skills were crucial in the initial stages of launch. The first few minutes of
wire guided flight set the missiles up for success if place at the best angle
for the internal missile guidance system to take over and hone in on the lead
bombers.

They always went for the
lead bombers for two reasons. One was to cripple the leadership of the raid; this
had worked brilliantly in the first big raid attempted on Leningrad, and the
other was to disrupt the formations and to possibly destroy the moral of the
following crews. Crews who could find themselves thrown into the position of
prime target by becoming the lead bombers by attrition. It would certainly be
unnerving to see your leaders picked off one by one and then you become the
object of attention for a guided missile coming unerringly towards your bomber.
There would be nothing you could do but pray.

The formation that
created and made carpet bombing effective would also increase the havoc of an
exploding SAM missile with a warhead of a quarter ton of high explosives. These
warhead have already demonstrate the ability to take down as many as 4 bombers
with each explosion in other attacks. I would not be too hard to predict that
any number of bombers would start to distance themselves from the lead bombers
no matter how brave the crews.

Carpet bombing had only
been tried on a helpless and prostrate opponent. The Soviets were far from
helpless as has been amply demonstrated. The possible addition of proximity
fuses of American make, in the warheads of the Stalin’s Fire missiles was also
a major concern. Jammers had been placed in bombers spread throughout the
formations, but who knew what counter measures the Soviets and their pet German
scientists had cooked up for this defense in depth of their last remaining
major oil field and production facility.

Each of the bomber
formation knew who the bombers were that had the jammers aboard and were sure
to try and get as close to this unit as possible. No one had any true idea of
the range of the jammer or if it would even work. The VVS had made it work over
Great Britain but once again the US was playing catchup. Do you show élan and
strength and just bore in, or do you test the waters first. With LeMay in
charge, you bore right in. Damn the missiles full speed ahead, as it were.

And it looked like that
was exactly what was going to happen. The formations of bombers headed straight
for the untouched streets and oil production facilities of Baku. The missile
crews checked and re-check their equipment and the short range jets started to
launch as the B-29s and P80 jet fighters closed in, climbing in breath taking
speed compared to their propeller driven ancestors. This was sure to be an epic
battle fought on the enemies turf by SAC against the best the VVS had to offer.
Novikov had done an outstanding job of putting a hasty defense together and
LeMay had done the same with his attack.

At about 125 miles out
from Baku the bomber stream took a 45 degree turn to the Northwest. They
were now headed almost due north in a classic dogleg to the left. It took over
15 minutes before someone figured out what was going on and rushed in to inform
the Stavka and more importantly Novikov. Normally he would have left the
tactics to his staff but this was too important to leave to others. In that 15
minutes the lead planes traveled 55 miles closer to the target. Those 55 miles
meant that the short range He 162 Stalin’s Dart jet interceptor was out of position.
That 55 miles meant that the vast majority of the Stalin’s Fire SAMs would not
be in position as well for optimal interception and if the course of the
bombers held, they would not be in range. The conventional Yak 9s, Yak 3s and
the La 7s along with the Pe 9 and Tu2S bats armed with the X4 missile could
make the adjustment but hundreds of AA guns could not. But of course, neither
would the remaining oil fields of Baku which would remain untouched this day.

Within a minute of being
told about the course change Novikov knew what LeMay was up to. He was after
the massive air fields newly built near Barda and Yeviakh. More importantly the
real target was the supplies and grounds crews there. LeMay was doing the same
thing to him that he had done to the British. Everyone was so confident that
LeMay would go for the jugular, that no thought of what a truly tempting target
the supply depots were had been broached in any meeting or briefing. As the
Brits gave no thought to their bone yards so the VVS brain trust gave no
thoughts to their true weakness. The months of supplies uprooted from the
English Channel area and hastily move to undefended depots easily observed from
the air.

All that could reach
though the steady stream of orders he boomed out was the thought of what Stalin
would do when he found out, and how he could blame this on Beria. Novikov knew
what was coming. He had seen the aftermath of a carpet bombing mission in
Toulouse. Nothing of value would be left for miles around each of his depots
and no appreciable amount of supplies would survive. More importantly his
valued ground crews and mechanics would be blown to bits. He immediately
ordered an evacuation of the two air complexes as his first priority. There was
nothing he could do about the supplies. They would be gone in a matter of minutes
in billowing columns of smoke and monstrous explosions.

He ordered his men to
use the fastest evacuation route available leading away from the areas that
were sure to be devastated in a matter of 15 minutes of less. Luckily the areas
that could effectively be carpet bombed were fairly small in square kilometers
so that 15 minutes should get most away from the kill zone. Now if he were
LeMay he would send his fighters to track down any surviving personnel, so he
further ordered that the ground crews to disperse after they traveled 15 km
from the presumed target area.

Victor whispered in his
ear that they should move all fighters capable of mounting a threat to the area
over the evacuation sites to defend the troops from strafing P-80 Shooting
Stars. Even a Yak 9 if flown properly had a chance of catching a jet going low
and slow searching for human targets. If nothing else they would provide a
distraction to the much faster US jet fighters and prevent them from doing
their murderous business. It would do no good to move the shorter legged Soviet
jets to the area. He suggested it was best to keep them over Baku as CAP just
in case. Novikov was a master at knowing a good idea when he heard one
and then rewarding those who suggested them.

And so the orders were
given and now all he could do was to wait. Wait to see his fate. Wait to hear
if all he lost was a few weeks of supplies and spare parts or if he would lose
the years of experience and knowledge stored in the fragile craniums of his
men. Had he lost the incredible advantage that Beria had provided to him with
the foreknowledge of what the enemy was planning? Did he finally have to truly
match wits with the man who destroyed Japan from the air? So far he was losing
and losing badly. Stalin would not let that continue for long he was sure.

ENOUGH! He thought to
himself. Get off your ass and save those men! Plenty of time to face the grim
prospects of being tortured or making the choice to use his fancy pistol on
himself. He really did care for
the ground crews and mechanics more than the arrogant pilots.

“Tell Klokov to move the
Pe-9s Southwest at all speed. They may be able to catch some Amerikosi
cripples. Have the MiG 9s with the drop tanks cover them. If nothing else maybe
we can draw some blood and gain some experience against the Amerikosi jets.
Have him use the AR 234 as well to draw off some more fighters. Send some Yak
9DDs to see if they can pinpoint the bases for the fighters. I suspect they
have to be based in Turkey and the Red Army will have to attend to that.”

Now to prepare my
personal defense, he thought. Will the
attacks come from Beria or directly from the Kremlin at the behest of Stalin?
Beria has as much to lose as I do if it is fully discovered what really
happened so I believe it is going to come from Stalin...if anyone.