-two. it is not entirely the unthinkable. let's go over one of the most plausiblepossibilities.rightnowpresidentobamacansafely count on 201 electoral votes. that is unchanged from yesterday. romney can safely count on 191. that is changed. that has changed because north carolina, and let me bring this up today here. north carolina was moved to the tossup category just yesterday. that accounts for the 15 votes that moved away. so where he had at 206, 206 to 201, now 191. and let's turn now tto of romney who needs to win north carolina. he is still up in the polls by a significant margin, but four points. yesterday it was more than five. we have that. romney would need also to win, just as before, the state of florida, 29 votes. let's get that. and he is up two points in florida. he also needs virginia where he is up by one point. let's go there. he is building 248. colorado, where both candidates are tied up right now 48-48. we will give that to governor romney as well. we will move that into his column, 257. president obama right now is up by two in iowa, what the purpose of this scenario we will a

there are three possible outcomesrightnow,cseobamawin,close romne win o b romneyin and if you talk to some republicans, both connected to the campaign and one step away from the center of the campaign they are starting to talk about the possibility and you see in the republicans movement into pennsylvania, minnesota, and perhaps michigan the possibility that they are not just trying to hedge their bets or trying to expand the map out of desperation but a real belief this thing could be bigger, an oregon polls that show the shows the race close, certainly closer than the president won four years ago i thinthe momenms with romney and the obama people are not just spinning when they say, look, out of that first debate in denver he doesn't have momentum where he overwhelmed us he brought home the base be does president's in number has not chanced by any means but pretty pistol hid and that means governor romney has upward momentum or has had it, maybe that has stalled we don't really though but the president does not have bad momentum he is not collapsing in any way, i think that the momentum

more about you? >>presidentobama. >>right. >>rose: must be 4 who is better in foreign policy? >> president obama. >> rose: right. >> what would you add to that? those are the basic kind of -- >> well there is a different variations of cares about people, who understands the middle class. i thought all along, governor romney on those questions, those character and trade questions, governor romney needed to do three things. on cares about you, understands the middle class be closer than he could have been, he couldn't lose those by large double digit margins and narrowed those. couldn't win them, had no narrow them. had plans for the economy needed a significant lead. the president has been ahead at times, kind of remarkable and three is, is favorable, unfavorable, governor romney went into the general election season based on most polls as the worst nominee of either party ever in terms of do you like this person or not? do you think of them favorably, unfavorably, he has really improved and in fact in some polling he went past the president on that measure. and that is to go

idea is the public, people that votes are the ones that are behind times. ifaultedobamarightfromthe beginning running through -- followed obama running through the candidacy and being elected president. file like these people don't know anything because they don't really study what is said and done. i have been keeping up with it. news is one of my favorite things and i have keep keeping up with it all this time. i just feel like it's wrong for them not to know and it's for the republicans to tell them what to do. >> ma'am, we will leave it there. gideon moore, tell us about the efforts going on with the republican party in mecklenburg county as far as getting information out about your candidate and registered voters out to the polling places. >> full throttle approach. we are using social media back in 2008, not set up for twitter or face bak. now we have almost 6,000 followers on twitter and over 3,000 followers on facebook. those are things where we're using just to keep our activists up to date and motivated to keep doing the work we need. obviously right now, it's all comi

in a big way at those polling stations. those measures, take advantage of those.presidentobamarightnowspeaking in mentor, ohio. let's listen in. >> -- how proud i am of erin and her sisters and their whole family. give them a big round of applause. [ applause ] there they are right there! erin was pretty excited about meeting me. she saw justin bieber the other day. so i'm like the second most exciting person she's met. the in the last few days. no. my understanding also is that this man right here just w-- ths band just won the state championship. best band in the house in ohio! in the house! congratulations! and the football team is in its first play-off game tonight. so the cardinals have a lot going on right now. despite all that, the fact you still came out i'm grateful for. so thank you. for the past several days, all of us have been focused on one of the worst hurricanes in our lifetimes. and each day i've been getting on calls with mayors and governors, county officials just trying to make sure that people are getting able to help. i tell them the entire country is behind them

fromharrisburgrightnow.the polls show that romney is narrowing the gapwithobamainthat state. can he realistically hope to take the state this late in the game? >> reporter: no doubt about it. 90 minutes from me at the airport you'll have paul ryan, the republican running mate holding a rally. yeah, tomorrow mitt romney is going to be in suburban philadelphia. that's the swing part of the state, the part of the state that really determines who wins pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes. the obama campaign is not taking this sitting down. jill biden is coming to pennsylvania to campaign today. and one of the big guns on the obama side, the former president clinton will be campaigning here in pennsylvania on monday. fred, i got here last night. i turned on the tv watching the local news. a lot of campaign ads. you know what? in the final nine days of this campaign in pennsylvania, $10 million worth of ads. most of them from the romney campaign and its allies. they're outspending the obama campaign 2 to 1. fred, nobody, no republican has won pennsylvania since 1988 in a presidential

industries so the trend does actually matter, and the trend favorspresidentobamarightnow.>> so john, you close it up for me. ohio. you guys are there. it is so important. i mean, people in ohio must feel like the belle of the ball. everybody wants their vote. they have spent so much advertising money. >> they know it. >> if romney loses ohio, john, can he win the election? >> the path is very, very, very difficult without ohio, and that's why the obama camp has made it a fire wall, which is the reversal of political trends in the past. usually ohio is the republican firewall in the election. a couple things, the fact that ohio use unemployment rate is lower than the nation's, very rare, hasn't happened in decades. obama campaign has invested heavily in early voting, president obama had a very significant lead among those voters, so the romney camp is going to be all about election day. that's their -- that's their long ball but it could not be closer. every vote matters here in ohio. both camps doing everything they can to get out their vote on tuesday. >> every vote matters everywh e e

't change. >> cenk:presidentobama's campaignteam, you're welcome.allrightnowwe're going to bring in michael shure our political correspondent. i understand that we in the midst of all this campaigning do not have campaigning in some places. what are they and why? >> there are reasons he is not in certain places. he is going to be in ohio, wisconsin, iowa, colorado, one stop scheduled in new hampshire one in virginia. he does not have any stops in north carolina, nor in michigan. he doesn't have a stop in minnesota or pennsylvania. the threeness, you look at that map there, you see those three states in blue? they're going to stay blue. the president's people follow the president follow the money you know, up until now. we'll get to why money's being spent in other places. you follow the president he's not going to those states, because he knows he has them. not going to north carolina. the people in chicago don't think it's worth going there. even though they're voting. >> cenk: if you've won north carolina, you've won virginia and so many other states, you're already president o

to win. but i think the polling is misleading to show that itisobamarightnowthan it is. it depends on who shows up, what is the weather like. a whole bunch of factors play in this what does the storm do. >> gavin: here's what people are thinking as that meet something occurring. >> yes, and we're going to know--we're still going to be in the field on monday, and the election is on tuesday. >> gavin: interesting. >> there is not going to be whole lot of value being in the field on monday because it will be too late for them to publish the results. then we'll be able to say who did you vote for in realtime in an exit poll on a whole other level. >> we're not saying that we're better but we feel just as good as phone polling and it doesn't actually cost us anything. phone polling is really expensive. >> gavin: i've spent plenty of money in polling. let me put it in perspective. when i was running for mayor, i would do a comprehensive poll. it would cost about $30,000 to 35 they had to a simple baseline poll. this is in the city. if you want to go statewide and get a broader swath you'

to the middle. >> let me just say do i not have a hard time seeingwhatobamameantrightthere.he was connecting romney to a republican party that for instance presented a jobs bill. refused to cooperate, refused to critic. republican party obstructed just about the entire obama agenda for the last four years. the republican party whose leader in the senate -- >> it's an inspiring message to get revenge on people you've never met. >> it is a response to a republican senate leader who said his first priority was defeating barack obama for re-election. his first priority as a leader in the legislative branch the office defeat barack obama. >> so get revenge for something he said four years ago. >> spent four years obstructing the agenda. i know what he said. >> dr. jay thanks for hanging with us on saturday. up next our weekend cycle. both candidates taking the race to iowa and that's our state of the day as "the cycle" rolls on live from democracy plaza. >> you can look at my record. you can see i can bring change. i helped bring it. the difference between us he made promises he co

options of boxes, romney ontheright, obamaonthe left, mr. nuts chose to do his business ontheright. apparentlyit's a stamp of disapproval for the republican hopeful. mr. nuts has a short history of picking losers. owners say he foresaw the defeat of the pittsburgh steelers in super bowl xlv and the patriots the following year. so he has some credibility. >> mr. nuts is two for two. >> there you go. >> we'll see if he's right. who knows. >>> well, the giants good luck charm at the zoo finally got a name. they are going to call him romo. >> perfect. >> like that. >> not mr. nuts. >> no. but the orange headed monkey was born during the nlcs series before the giants even made it to the world series and the team had nothing but success after her birth. she is named romo after giants closer sergio romo. zookeepers say the name fits with the little monkey's personality. >> i want to see the monkey's daddy. a redhead is unusual. >> i'm not part of this conversation. >> that's it for cbs 5 news at noon. captions by: caption colorado comments@captioncolorado.com

" is going to endorsebarackobama. youknow "the new york times" is going to endorsebarackobama. >>right. clearlythe newspapers matter in local elections and can matter in low turnout primaries. the "des moines register" and caucuses is gold. the argument is it's not just saying, hey, votes for this guy, a newspaper like the "times" makes arguments in favor of a candidacy, which can get picked up by others and commentators. does that just disappear into the echo chamber? >> i think it largely does. i agree with lauren. i would point out that many of these editorials are substantive in their pointing -- they're pointing out important stuff which goes to our last conversation. i'm not sure about the "des moines ridgester's" endorsement. i don't know how many people are really left who are in that persuadable category -- >> about 12. >> right. so 12 people -- >> in ohio -- >> maybe that will make a difference. >> i think you have to make tv ads out of joan doermof endorsem to have impact. >> they don't have the impact they used to. >> i think tv sad a good idea except that a lot of people

. >>> those that want to see x factor will be on my 28. we willberightback.presidentobama: there'sjust no quit in america... and you're seeing that r now. over five million new jobs. exports up forty one percent. home values... rising. our auto industry... back. and our heroes are coming home. we're not there yet, but we've made real progress and the... last thing we should do is turn back now. here's my plan for the next four years: making education and training a national priority; building on our manufacturing boom; boosting american-made energy; reducing the deficits responsibly by cutting where... we can, and asking the wealthy to pay a little more. and ending the war in afghanistan, so we can... do some nation-building here at home. that's the right path. so read my plan, compare it to governor romney's... and decide which is better for you. it's an honor to be your president... and i'm asking for your vote... so together, we can keep moving america forward. i'm barack obama and i approve this message. athat's what the plan georged allen supports... would cost our economy. newspa

. >>stephanie:right. newsurveysinwhichobamaheld a solid lead in ohio, eight point lead in wisconsin, but romney aids insisted things are on the right track. >> of course she didn't. of course we are. of course we are on the right wrack. >> stephanie: we feel we are in a very good place and this race is exactly where we wanted to be. and their political director said right now their firewalls are burning. >> firewalls don't burn they prevent burning from getting through. >> i assumed there was a wall of fire. [ mocking laughter ] >> oh, my god. >> stephanie: there has been little movement since his first debate surge. several pollsters are suggesting that mitt romney is claiming the polls are wrong across the board. i imagine mitt romney -- is he still collecting unneeded canned goods at this point? that the red cross -- not specifically we don't need that please don't send that. >> yeah. ♪ there are all kinds of goods, canned goods, vacuum packed on your grocery's shelve ♪ ♪ in the value of the giant douche bag ♪ [ laughter ] >> stephanie: back with sexy l

,presidentobama. rightnowin ohio. and he is in springfield, ohio, i think. and as i say he's all of our president, but he's your boss as a member of the cabinet. let's hear what he has to say. >> probable journey for more than two centuries and it's also guided us and carried us through the trials and tribulations of the last four years. in 2008 we were in the middle of two wars and the worst economic crisis since the great depression. today, our businesses have created 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we learned companies hired more workers in october than any time in the last eight months. the american auto industry is back on top. home values, housing starts are on the rise. we're less dependent on foreign oil than any time in the last 20 years. because of the service and sacrifice of our brave men and women in uniform the war in iraq is over, the war in afghanistan is ending, al qaeda has been decimated, osama bin laden is dead. [ applause ] >> we're on the move, ohio. we've made real progress these last four years. the reason all of you are here today, the reason i'm here toda

ago. the bumpsthatobamagotfrom the second set has stabilize. unless you knowyou'reright, unlessthis abc news poll in ohio, to me is stark news. >> you mean the ohio poll. >> that changes the equation. the last three weeks, look at owl of the swing states polls, everything in them, it's been the same race. >> nicolle wallace, that first ra debate. >> i agree that the polls in ohio is really the only one that matters. i don't buy that there's a path without ohio for romney. so, what they're pointing to this morning, what does suggest something that may be destabilizing the post-debate stability, the demos moines register editorial could have a ripple effect in that part of the country. if the polls show them even, that could change the me mentality of the voters in ohio. try to neutralize of false attacks about the auto bankruptcy. >> that's become the big issue in ohio. the auto bailout. the other argument from stephanie cutter, 20% of voters in ohio have voted. >> and in north carolina, maryland, georgia. stephanie cutter is right about this. lot of lines on the east coast. i a

. >> bill:allright. soonceagain,mr.obamadidn'texplain what happened on 9/11 in libya. once again he said his administration is investigating. but so much, so much misinformation has been but the out there by the obama administration you would think that six weeks after the attack some kind of clarity could be put forth by the president he doesn't have to do it because the press is not pushing him. brian williams, one of the few journalists mr. obama is talking with, had a chance to ask him some tough questions, mr. williams passed. >> the assessment of your intelligence community as we stand here is that it was a spontaneous terrorist attack. were you happy with what you were able to learn as it unfolded? it went on for several hours. >> well, as i have said, brian, we're going to do a full investigation, obviously when four americans are killed, you know, you have to do some soul searches in terms of making sure that all our systems are where they need to be. and that's what we're going to find out. but, who what i'm confident about is that we will be able to figure out who perpetr

competitive under five points so while it does narrowly favorpresidentobamarightnow,keep in mind, these are all very competitive states, three, four points. >> woodruff: and, margaret, to that point and the point you were making a minute ago, what is it that the obama folks feel they ndto in the final days? >> if today is a road map for the next few days, what they feel they need to do is return to the high ground, so to speak. today you did not here a lot of rom indonesia, you heard a lot of "look at the storm, this is what we can do -- romnesia" we need to hold hands and buckle down. they want that to be the message and for president obama to be able to close the final days of this race with him saying i'm your president and i will continue to be a president and bring everyone together. he would love to return to th hope and change message. he hasn't been able to do so in recent weeks because they were playing from a weakened position. this allows them make that transition and they'll take it. >> woodruff: well, we hear you both. you guys will be watching from now until electi

it another way, that mitt romney is going to either win or equal,right, presidentobama's record with the women's vote, i think that would be -- i think the facts show that would be a disaster for american women in terms of their standing and if they go that way, it's almost -- i hate to say it it's almost they'll deserve what they get. >> right. i can't -- i certainly don't think that the democrats have not said enough about it. you know? it seems like every campaign email and video reminds women of republican's record on rape -- not record on rapes, but comments on rape and records on abortion and birth control. and you are talking about health care medicare by disproportionately affect women. women tend to outlive men, and these programs are strongly relied on by women. >> bill: there may be other issues where they are close where they stand o are they similar in position or there's not that much of a big difference, when it comes to women's issues there is no doubt about it, that president obama is absolutely on the right side and mitt romney is dead wro

consumption and noted not onlypresidentobama's positionon climate change, but also on swoman'srighttochoose and marriage equality as evidence of a vision different from that of mitt romney. the news came as the president returned to the campaign trail, stopping first in green by, wisconn. he revived his own slogan of 2008 to question mitt romney's ideas. >> governor romney has been using a his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same poalcies that failed ourha country so badly, the very same policies we've been cleaning up after for the past four years. and he is offering them up change. ( laughter ) he's... he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. ( cheers and applause ) and what the governor's offering sure ain't change. >> woodruff: polls currently give the president a slight edge in wisconsin. but nationally, they are mostly dead even. romney spent his day in virginrga tied state, telling a crowd in roanoke, that the president is clueless when it comes to business.a >> and so we came up with an idea la

arerightnow.>> the president has communicated weakness. >> jon: weakness in foreignpolicy!obamaisweaker than coolidge in foreign policy! weaker than polk! weaker than president flinchington j. craphispants. (laughter) as you know, the only president in united states history who ever had his wallet stolen by a baby. (laughter) you don't hear as much about old president craphispants. (laughter) but given obama's foreign policy record, this debate is going to be a bloodbath. >> i congratulate him on taking out osama bin laden. drones are being used in drone strikes and i support that entirely. and feel the president was right. i want to underscore the same point the president made. i felt the same as the president did. i supported his action there. absolutely the right thing to do to have crippling sanctions. (cheers and applause) >> jon: i think romney's leaning obama! (laughter) apparently romney is one of this year's coveted swing voters. look, how closely did mitt romney align himself with what had, i guess up until last night, been the worst foreign policy ever? listen to th

's unfair, but that's what sticks in people's minds. >> in your mind, haspresidentobamamadetherightmove,wrong move? what do you think? >> i think he has made the appropriate move here. he hasn't been too over. that's the key here. you can't be overtly political in how you respond to these kinds of disasters. he obviously will accrue some benefits because he's acting aas commanders in chief are supposed to act and help people on a broad basis. as the remarks of governor christie of new jersey proved, this is a -- he gets bipartisan support out of this disaster. that has to help the bottom line come election day. >> of course, he hasn't been -- president obama wanted to fit in one last campaign paerps in florida, then hurriedly flew back because he realized he couldn't make it back to washington because the storm was coming. so he hasn't acted perfectly along this path, right? >> well, that's true. he has a number of surrogates and i understand bill clinton will be picking up a number of campaign appearances on the campaign trail. so that is going to help matters. president obama ca

signed on.that'sright. ifmitt romney wins the popular vote andbarackobamawinsthe electoral college vote then i think the electoral college will blow up. it will explode. republicans won't stand for that that. >> eliot: jack welch will say its conspiracy. there are other flaws in the voting system. there rampant with the intellectual problems that we have to deal with. >> the point of origin is the constitution which does not confirm the affirmative right to vote. early on the framers passed it over to the states. everything became localized which is why we have 13,000 different voting districts with its own ballot design. ballot designed by count supervisors, while i respect them they're not designers. that's why you get the butterfly ballot. >> eliot: you're being kind to them. you're right by and large they're hard working good folks. sometimes the design errors are simply poor judgment or a mistake. but there are efforts by many people to prevent people to vote. >> absolutely. one of the things that has been so localized ie, chaotic there is too much latitude for cha canary. no

unemploymentrightnowis higher than whenpresidentobamatookoffice in 2009. and that's not good enough to be of any significant, in my opinion, any significant help to gov. romney. and that is 23 million people without work, who are working without, you know, a full-time job who want them or have given up work being all together. >> so you, lou dobbs, take the exact opposite stance that cbs news radio takes? exactly the opposite? >> imagine that. >> but look, come on now, cbs radio goes out to thousands of radio stations, people like me listen to it in their car or when you get up, this and that. you respect -- are a respected economic reporter. you say i don't think it's logical. >> you know they have to spin it the president's way. >> what it portrays a lack of understanding what is happening here and the numbers tell the story. this is a workforce in this country of over 135 million people. we see a net change within that of 171,000 people in one month. it takes about 150,000 of them to just keep up with population growth and suddenly there's economists on the air of cbs that say th

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