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Africa’s western Diaspora: To return or not to return

Unemployment in Europe and the United States is pushing many African immigrants to consider returning home.

FOR GENERATIONS now, the post-industrial economies of Europe and North
America have bewitched Africans with their gleaming semblance of success,
modernity and the promise of a secure and prosperous future. For the
continent’s well-heeled and educated as well as for the unschooled but skilled
in the arts of determination, life in London or New York, or Paris is well
worth striving for. Or is it?

Since the onset of the global financial crisis in 2008, trouble has
crept into paradise and the dream, either of success and happiness in the west,
or of a triumphal return to the homeland, has taken on a rather disillusioning
twist for many. ‘Arduous, long and uneven’ is how the governor of the Bank of
England Sir Mervyn King described the British economy’s path to recovery. In
the same week, the IMF also was unveiling a dampening prognosis of the global
economy’s growth prospects.

The global economy’s growth forecast for 2012 had now come down to 3.25
per cent from an earlier forecast of 4 per cent, it said. From the UK’s Office
of National Statistics (ONS), figures told of over 2.6m people unemployed and
record numbers claiming unemployment benefit - 1.6m in all. Despite the
coalition government’s austerity measures of budget cuts, no growth ensued and
the economy contracted by 0.2 per cent in the last quarter of 2011.

Across the pond in the US, the same depressing numeric narrative holds
sway: 13.1m people out of work despite a marginal 0.6 per cent decline in the
unemployment rate since August 2011. In the EU, the unemployment rate stands at
9.8 per cent as of November 2011.Nobel Prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz
sums up the sense of gloom thus: ‘Fundamental problems in the US and Europe are
deep. Looking at it from the point of view of the US workers, no one really
anticipates us being back to normal before 2017, and that’s optimistic.’

But whilst Sub-Saharan Africa remains vulnerable to contagion from the
global financial crisis and could well be sucked into its vortex if the global
crisis persists, its current economic outlook is in sharp contrast to the
west’s. Mouth watering growth figures litter Africa’s economic terrain, and the
IMF puts average growth estimates for 2012 between 5.25 and 5.75 per cent.

In fact, across the length of the continent, several countries having
been growing phenomenally and consistently over the last few years. There is a
new spring in their step, with their citizens making entrepreneurial forays into
the various sectors of their fledgling economies and generally loooking ahead
with a renewed sense of optimism and self-belief. So, is it time for the
African diapora to call time on their stay in the west and return home?
Anecdotal evidence from a number of African countries shows there is a steady
pattern of return which has in no small measure been bolstered by the economic
recession in the west.

In the US, there is a growing number of Africans who are courageously
binning the shards of their broken American dreams and taking the brave step
homewards. Others are not so lucky though, having spent years working as
undocumented aliens in the shadow of Uncle Sam’s immigration authorities and
living off cash in hand jobs when the economy was good. But now they can barely
afford the one-way ticket back to Africa.

Packing his bags: Maina prepares to leave the US for Kenya

Sammy Maina, a Kenyan immigrant who was until last year based in the
US, said chasing the American dream was so demanding that it had cost several
of his African friends their marriages and even led some to commit suicide. ‘It
is very difficult right now and so many people are packing and going back to
Kenya in big, big numbers,’ he told the BBC. Up to one million Africans are
estimated to live in the US and according to the homeland security department,
130,000 Africans migrate legally to the US each year. Some Senegalese community
organisers in New York also revealed they were inundated with requests from
expatriates who have lost their jobs, are facing homelessness, and who want
financial help to return home.

Nigeria is one country that is receiving a steady flow of returnees
from its western-based diaspora in a move that is turning out to be a brain
gain for the country. Media reports suggest the return of foreign-based
professionals has tightened competition on the job market, with recruiters
receiving ‘a deluge of applications’ from foreign-based jobseekers desirous of
returning home.

‘At the height of the recession in Europe and the US it was crazy
because everyone was getting in touch saying they wanted to go home,’ says Ade
Odutola from the job recruitment website Wazobiajobs.com. ‘It’s calmed down a
bit now but lots of Nigerians who left in the 1980s and early 90s are now
seeing other people being successful back home and that’s a real magnet pulling
them back.’

Whilst opportunities certainly abound, it is no walk in the park for
returnees, though, as they have to contend with basic infrastructure problems.
Electricity only works for a few hours every day and the streets in Lagos in
particular are clogged with traffic.

Chaotic scenes on the streets of Lagos, Nigeria

A few months ago, the BBC featured Tunde Ogunrinde, a Nigerian fast
food chain operations manager who had swapped life working in management for a
fast food chain in Birmingham, England, for his country of birth two years ago.
‘Growth here was going in the right direction, whereas in Europe it was
flattening out. It’s time to capitalise,’ he said.

Across Africa, economic growth is riding on the back of the global
commodities boom. In Nigeria, it is oil wealth that has made it possible for
employers to pay top dollar to their returning expatriates. If recession
elsewhere leads to a collapse in the demand for oil, Nigeria could still find
itself sucked into the world’s economic problems. ‘Oil drives the economy
here,’ says financial analyst Bismarck Rewane, ‘Oil revenue drives investment,
oil revenue drives government expenditure and consumer purchasing power. That’s
the bottom line.’

South Africa has also seen a steady flow of returnees from its wetsren
diaspora. South African expatriates, often white and well-educated, are
flocking back home from recession-hit UK, Australia, New Zealand and the US. A study by recruitment agency Adcorp shows
that of the 285,000 South Africans, mostly high-qualified Whites, who had left
to work abroad since 1990, almost 40,000 returned home between mid-2009 and
mid-2010.

Some were quite hardpressed and didn’t even have the money to move back
home, according to Tyron Whitley, a returnee from London who now runs a company
that ships returning South Africans’ cars from her Durban base. Her thriving
business is evidence of just how many fellow South Africans are voting with
their feet and returning home.

Media reports from Kenya dating as far back as March 2009 claim that
thousands of Kenyans have been trooping back to their country from overseas
every month, ‘broke and jobless’ as the effects of the global financial crisis
continued to spread. The Nation website quoted a Ministry of Immigration official
as saying that thousands of Kenyans were opting for home instead of languishing
in foreign countries where the economic recession was blighting them to penury.

Following the establishment of a powersharing government and the
adoption of the US dollar as the official currency in Zimbabwe, the resultant
political and economic stability has drawn some of the country’s nationals back
from the diaspora. The topic of return continues to animate Zimbabwean online
forums, with opinion sharply divided on whether it was time for those in the
west to return home and pursue the unfolding opportunities, or hold their
breath until new elections promised by President Robert Mugabe this year but
opposed by Prime Minister Morgan Tvangirai.

‘It’s the basics that we need in place; the politics can sort itself out,’
said UK-based Zimbabwean, Nate Ncube. ‘[First we need] reliable services like
the supply of clean water, electricity, sewage and waste removals, reliable
service provision like affordable health, education and a secure environment
where the rule of law is respected by all. Also, it’s difficult to plan or
budget when there’s constant price fluctuations and talk of a change of
currency.’

Another UK-based Zimbabwean who had just returned from a visit to the
country said his trip had brought his repatriation plans into sharp
perspective. ‘The longer one stays in the west the more difficult it is to
reconcile oneself to the poor standards, like living for long stretches without
electricity or running water, for instance,’ he said. ‘You’ll need thousands of
dollars per term for decent private school education, and if you have family
you’ll need to run two cars as public transport’s pathetic. In short, you can
only return to Zimbabwe if you’re truly sorted, otherwise it’ll be like
jumpinmg into the deep end.’

Prime Minister Tsvangirai was booed by Zimbabweans in London in 2009after he had called on them to return home to rebuild their country.

Lance Mambondiani, a UK-based Zimbabwean investment excutive and
blogger, recently observed that for those Zimbabweans who had migrated to the
UK for better prospects, the economic advantage of being in the diaspora was
premised on a crumbling economy back home where the pound earned a fortune on
the parallel market. But this advantage had vanished with dollarisation of the
Zimbabwean economy, and the European economic downturn had now driven the final
nail in its coffin.

‘To migrate or not to migrate remains an intimately personal decision.
The choice, however, maybe be easier if the global economic crisis continues to
bite,’ concluded Mambondiani.

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