So do I. As I said, it took place in March 2011, fourteen months before the IOC chose Tokyo as one of the Final Three. I am sure the IOC was well aware of the problems arising from Fukushima when it made the selection.

I think Japan will. I saw bits of the presentations from both Istanbul and Tokyo, and Istanbul's was woefully uninspiring in comparison. The last guy who talked (I think it was the mayor?) kept on repeating the same old spiels without addressing the major issues surrounding the bid. Tokyo, OTOH, was more rousing, sharper, and to the point.

Personally, I'd love if either Istanbul or Madrid got it. It's rare that I'll have been to two of the bidding cities (I've been to Istanbul and loved it, and I'll be touring Spain and Portugal in late October), and I think it'd be a lovely coincidence if Madrid gets it as our decision to visit in October was made unawares of the Olympic bid.

I want to give the IOC the benefit of the doubt but I am so weary of both them and FIFA. So I'll just wish the bidding cities good luck and say there seems to be no great choice here. Istanbul could provoke more protests, Madrid and Spain is broke and Tokyo is a short distance away from Fukushima. But if I had to pick one it would be Tokyo.