Tuesday, March 08, 2016

59 comments:

Anonymous
said...

Michigan has a lower black population than the Southern states. Hillary has a problem with white voters because she concentrates on identity politics not improving lives for all Americans. She will have a problem in the general elections with white voters, in my opinion, because she doesn't have a message for ALL Americans.

A good economy raises all boats.

Trump won both states and it isn't a surprise. Politically correct speech that squelches all speech is soon to be dead. Thank god. Will he be a good president? Who knows. I think he will win, however.

This white redneck from Alabama hears Trump plagiarizing the late George C. Wallace. As a kid, "Guvnah Wallace" was my hero, but there comes a time to grow up. Governor Wallace died with blood on his hands. It's only a matter of time before Trump will have the same legacy. I may not see it in my lifetime, but, we have to change, we have to. I too want to raise all boats, but we have to make sure everybody's boat is sea worthy. I long to see the day at a white southern family reunion where the elderly Uncle says "they all........." is shunned.

The talk of "raising all boats" is just flowery rhetoric. Some boats are battleships, some are yachts, and some are just leaky rafts made out of twigs and driftwood. We can't raise blacks to our level, and we never will. 90% of them seem to fall into the retarded range IQ-wise, and they will never be able to compete in the 21st century. Hell, they had a hard enough time making it through the 20th ...

Paul Sams said...Governor Wallace died with blood on his hands...I long to see the day at a white southern family reunion where the elderly Uncle says "they all........." is shunned.---

Governor Wallace died with a bullet in his spine.

I long to see the day racial panderers are shunned and everyone is judged as individuals.

White guilt is so 1963. 2016 is the year we move beyond the tired old narrative. The democrats have promoted racial acrimony for 50 years in the cause of identity politics, now identity politics is going to steamroll them.

I'm not going to join the chorus of people who unfairly criticized Bernie Sanders for trying to express where he thought white Americans have racial blind spots during the CNN debate the other night; there's plenty of black Americans with racial blind spots too though some of us don't like to admit it.

In the 60's when Trump was acting like a buffoonish clown in school and preparing to ride daddy's coattails around the Vietnam draft and right towards his inherited "success", Bernie was standing up for cilvil rights in Chicago and elsewhere and making his bones as a progressive.

My take on Bernie's upset win in Michigan is that a lot of Democratic primary voters don't like Hillary's attempt to scoop up "Super Delegates", or her unfairly (and falsely) suggesting Bernie didn't support the auto bailout that Republicans like Romney opposed in oder to put the beat-down on unions - bad tactical choice by Hillary to assume that Michigan primary voters were idiots. She paid for it.

I am not at all surprised that Bernie won in Michigan. The state has lost a lot of manufacturing jobs, the home foreclosure rate one of the highest in the country and people realize that Bernie is in this for THEM! Hillary unfortunately says whatever she thinks will make voters choose her, but in the end is a politician to advance herself. So Bernie's message and his integrity resonant with people. I am predicting he will do pretty well in Illinois as well, despite it being HRC's home state, for the same reason.

The other factor that I believe has some impact on the votes, of those who are diligent about following current events, is the deal the FBI made with her IT guy. Seems like common sense that where there is a need for immunity, there must be a crime(s). And as a voter, why pick the candidate that may not be able to run the finish? The super delegates will no doubt vote based on the outcome of the trial, if indeed the May projection is a reality.

Blacks do not have "disdain" for Bernie. Blacks who are more left leaning love him. But,like most liberals, he suffers from another kind of "racial blind spot" that us hard for him to get a grip on. (See his comments about "the ghetto", for instance)

Conversations with friends and relatives ("low information voters") tell me that 30 years of Republicans' demonizing Hillary have taken their toll. I worry that their staying home in November could elect Trump, or whatever genius the Republicans fix up as substitute. Cruz is even scarier. Better demagogic than demented.

Still, a 73 y/o socialist Jew would have it rough in the general election. More bigots to deal with! More dog whistles!

Not one single opinion poll gave Sanders a snowball's chance in hell last night. Not a single one. The smallest lead Clinton had in any poll was 5%. Many had her winning by 20+%.

So two questions;

1. Are the polls in the other rust belt states of Ohio and Illinois equally wrong? If so, we met yet live in interesting times.

2. Early analysis suggests that Sanders has now started to make inroads into that African American vote in the North. Now there are no upcoming votes in the deep south is this a potential problem for Clinton?

Hillary Clinton is winning states that will vote Republican in the general election. The electoral votes will go to Trump. Little Marco is the candidate who offends me the most. I think he might be ignorant more than lying. He says 9/11 was Bill Clinton's fault and Iran is allied with ISIS even though Iran's army is fighting ISIS in Iraq. I noticed he has been practicing delivering his memorized speeches with more emotion since Chris Christie exposed him. In a group that includes psychopaths, racists, and corporate whores, Little Marco stands out as the most disgusting. I am glad to see him do bad in the primaries, but I hope he gets discredited enough to lose his senate seat.

The Purple Cow said..."Early analysis suggests that Sanders has now started to make inroads into that African American vote in the North"---

Across the first 19 states to vote or caucus, the correlation between Bernie’s share of the two candidate vote versus Hillary and the percentage of the state’s population that was black in 2014 is a remarkable r = -0.87.

"Yes it did. Michigan is about half as black as your average southern state:"

You're missing the point.

Michigan is by a long way the most heavily African-American populated state Sanders has won, 14.2% of the total population is black, that’s more than double any other state.

Sanders lost to Clinton among black voters in Michigan but by much less than he lost to her among black voters in any other states. So what I’m saying is, this may be a sign that Sanders will get more support from black voters north of the M-D line.

Almost all the previous states (where black voter intentions have been large enough to measure in exit polls) were in the Southeast and the Southwest. In those southern states Clinton led Sanders among black Democrats voters by an average of 54% . Clinton’s lead in Michigan among black voters is 35%. This may or may not prove to be significant in states similar to Michigan which are coming up very soon.

I thought Sanders was honest until he started talking about how whites don’t know what it’s like to be poor, live in the ghetto or be targeted due to their race. His campaign website also explicitly talks about Mike Brown as a victim of white supremacy as opposed to his own sociopathy and low impulse control.

Are blacks not voting for Sanders because he is Brooklyn Jewish? Or because his voters are mostly white? Interesting how CNN and MSNBC never get around to discussing why Blacks favor Hillary to such a large degree.

The Clinton campaign made damn sure Anderson Cooper asked Sanders about his Jewishness in the Michigan debate. In the heavily Muslim areas of Michigan, that was obviously worth something to Hillary. It was such an obvious Clinton dirty trick, I fully expected it, spoke about it prior – told friends she would get it in somehow but only in Michigan – and hell if it didn’t happen.

I note she did not mention her one Jewish grandparent, or whoever it was, that she constantly talked about when she ran for Senate in New York.

1. Pollsters underestimated how many young people would vote, and their level of support for Sanders. They expected less than 25% of Democratic voters would be under 30 years of age, in fact more than half were under 30. Young Democrat voters are massively more pro Sanders than pro Clinton. Sanders won 81% of voters aged 18 to 29 - pollsters had expected 66%.

2. One polling organisation that predicted a 37% Clinton win only searched for respondents by landline telephones. Less than 45% of Americans under 30 have access to a landline.

3. Pollsters underestimated African American support for Sanders. He won 28% of African American votes, polling organisations had expect less than 20%.

4. Pollsters underestimated how many independents would vote and the level other support for Sanders. They expected 12% of voters to be independents, in fact they constituted 27%. Pollsters had expected them to favour Sanders by 38%, in fact it was 43%.

Mike Ditka will be replaced as a panelist on ESPN's Sunday NFL Countdown, it has been revealed.

The announcement came less than a week after Ditka, both a former player and coach for the Chicago Bears, revealed he believed Barack Obama was the worst president 'we've ever had'. Ditka, who has been a main panelist for the ESPN show since 2006, said Obama was a 'fine man' but not a leader when he went on WABC'S The Bernie & Sid Show last Thursday. 'He would be great to play golf with,' Ditka continued.

'He's not a leader. This country needs leadership. It needs direction. It needs somebody that steps up front.'

Kayleigh McEnany won the nomination for Trump. She is, a Modern Dy Trojan Horse, by far the most visually appealing commentator to a moderate conservative male [young, old, interracial] that internally leads towards FoxNews, but rationalizes his balance by watching CNN. She offers thoughtful, measured, well planned responses to Democratic commentators that makes Trump appear to be a deep thinker. Meanwhile, CNN offers middle aged men and women, that lack mass appeal, while offering their 'outrage' over the offensiveness of Trump. Additionally, the bloggers echo the sentiments of the unattractive.

Trump doubles down on the Sexy Ploy - More Kayleigh, More Melania, More niceties with Megan Kelly, while forcing the Gays - Lemon and Cooper A, to play nice- More hate from ugly Glenn Beck, ugly CNN talking heads, even the attractive minorities do not get the facetime of Trump's #1 Spokeskiller Kayleigh.

I think Trump is unfit for the Presidency, but the people have been effectively manipulated by their own insecurities. The Democrats will lose without a radical substance strategy that constantly attacks and the news media decides to balance the visual manipulation.

If Kayleigh is not shown and Fox uses only Oreilly, Krauthammer, Hannity; Trump loses.

Megan Kelly and Kayleigh deliver the White House to Trump without him offering anything of Substance.

Statewide, 30% of black women voted for Bernie in Michigan, per exit polls.

Hillary's urban numbers in Michigan were a decrease from the south:

"Wayne County, which includes the city of Detroit, is about 40 percent black. Clinton won about 60 percent of the vote there."...."In earlier primaries, she won 71 percent of the vote in Fulton County (Atlanta), 82 percent in Jefferson County (Birmingham, Alabama), 80 percent in Shelby County (Memphis). "

from http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/dip-black-vote-clinton-raises-questions-future-contests-n535011

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