Do you have a "decent" chance of flipping 7 heads in a row? It's about the same probability.

99.3% is more
e like rolling heads 298 out of 300 times.

you're kidding, right?

298 divided by 300=99.33%

That is not how probability works.

Each coin flip is an independent event, with a 50% (neglecting the fact that the heads side of a coin has slightly more raised metal, and that affects the toss slightly) of flipping a heads and a 50% chance of flipping a tails.

Since any two coin tosses are independent of one another, that 50% chance of a heads stays the same for each toss. When examining a series of tosses, to figure out the total probability of flipping two heads is:

(1/2) x (1/2) = 1/4

You can prove this by drawing an "outcome" tree for the two tosses and counting how many of the possible scenarios are two heads. You'll find that there are 4 possible scenarios, only 1 of which consists of 2 heads.

Flipping heads 298 times out of 300 is roughly equivalent to (1/2)^300, which is a tiny, tiny, tiny number. A virtual impossibility, for all intents and purposes not possible._________________

I say leave it alone. It's a decision that your coach has to make. If you make teams always go for 2 you're removing a bit of strategy from the game...and if you make getting just 1 point less likely, teams will always end up going for 2 anyway with the same result.