Tanzania has weathered the adverse shocks of recent years relatively well. Revenue collection for 2010-11 has fallen short of targets, constraining public spending and contributing to the emergence of arrears. Monetary policy has become less accommodative. The near-term economic outlook is subject to a higher-than-average degree of uncertainty with a rising risk of donor aid shortfalls and higher international fuel prices. Over the medium term, growth could gradually rise to 71/2 percent--thanks to large investments in mining and continued growth in the non-mining economy.