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Current and Expected Conditions of ENSO

The sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly in the Nino3.4 region
(170°W-120°W, 5°N-5°S)
has been in the neutral range lately, through mid-January 2014. There is high likelihood of neutral ENSO conditions enduring through
winter and into the summer of 2014, with probabilities of El Niño or La Niña each less than 38% through that time.