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Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans : Week 12 of the NFL season closes on a climactic note as the Houston Texans host the Tennessee Titans in a crucial divisional matchup on “Monday Night Football.” Kickoff from NRG Stadium is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. While the Texans have won seven straight after an 0-3 start, the Titans

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans live

The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering Week 12 on a blistering 12-0 run. For the season, it is now 26-9 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 74-43. And when it comes to all straight-up picks, the model is 105-53 this season, again ranking in the top 10 on NFL Pick Watch. com. Anybody who has been following it is way, way up.

Now the model has dialed in on Titans vs. Texans. We can tell you it’s leaning over, but it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

The model has factored in that the Texans have taken control of the AFC South with their defense — notably Jadeveon Clowney and J.J. Watt, who have combined for 16.5 of the team’s 28 sacks. Both made keys sacks last week against the Redskins to secure a 23-21 victory. Over their past six games, the Texans have allowed only 97 points, an average of just 16 per game.

Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson continues to show better pocket awareness in his sophomore year. While the quarterback often bolted at the first sign of trouble last season, this year he’s buying time to find open receivers. For the season, he has 18 touchdown passes and 275 rushing yards.

Mariota suffered a stinger last week against the Colts, but was removed from the injury report this week and will start on Monday Night Football. He’s fresh off throwing four touchdowns and no interjceptions in back-to-back victories against the Cowboys and Patriots.

Despite allowing 38 to the Colts last week, the Titans still have the second-stiffest scoring defense in the league at 18.9 points. Led by Wesley Woodyard’s team-high 65 tackles — 3.5 of them sacks — Tennessee’s front seven is adept at containing opposing quarterbacks, which allows their strong secondary to stick with receivers