2011-12-05

Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 13, Sunday

San Francisco and Green Bay have clinched their divisions, and San Francisco looks artificially strong after destroying my Rams 26-0 yesterday. More analysis to come after MNF.

TEAM

Record

Div

Plyff

WC

Qtr

Semi

Champ

SF

10-2

+

+

98.245

62.524

37.167

21.560

HOU

9-3

99.307

99.635

84.332

49.140

27.897

14.617

GB

12-0

+

+

99.975

64.951

32.662

17.485

BAL

9-3

76.902

99.762

91.924

53.879

28.053

13.937

NE

9-3

98.879

99.642

85.006

43.570

22.005

10.419

NO

9-3

95.604

99.822

64.418

27.272

13.809

6.807

PIT

9-3

23.080

99.741

76.105

35.199

16.253

7.198

CHI

7-5

-

70.618

33.340

11.706

4.446

1.761

DET

7-5

-

59.767

29.561

10.320

3.902

1.544

DAL

7-5

84.882

87.262

42.669

13.964

5.018

1.896

MIA

4-8

-

0.006

0.002

0.001

0.000

0.000

NYJ

7-5

1.109

45.872

16.577

5.717

2.106

0.716

ATL

7-5

4.396

62.345

24.971

7.745

2.622

0.924

TEN

7-5

0.693

29.047

9.991

3.356

1.202

0.394

CIN

7-5

0.018

18.691

6.286

2.066

0.714

0.227

PHI

4-8

0.502

0.532

0.203

0.050

0.013

0.004

BUF

5-7

0.012

0.124

0.035

0.009

0.002

0.001

SD

4-7

0.937

1.147

0.321

0.082

0.022

0.006

NYG

6-6

14.607

16.087

5.650

1.259

0.311

0.082

CAR

4-8

-

0.014

0.004

0.001

0.000

0.000

OAK

7-5

35.783

41.027

11.425

2.773

0.706

0.169

SEA

5-7

-

2.328

0.648

0.141

0.034

0.008

DEN

7-5

61.084

63.100

17.666

4.165

1.034

0.242

ARI

5-7

-

1.111

0.292

0.063

0.015

0.004

WAS

4-8

0.008

0.083

0.019

0.003

0.001

0.000

MIN

2-10

-

-

-

-

-

-

CLE

4-8

-

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

JAC

3-8

-

0.004

0.001

0.000

0.000

0.000

TB

4-8

-

0.030

0.005

0.001

0.000

0.000

KC

5-7

2.196

2.204

0.330

0.043

0.006

0.001

IND

0-12

-

-

-

-

-

-

STL

2-10

-

-

-

-

-

-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 12, Sunday)