NFL Week 16 Betting Recap

NFL Week 16 Betting Recap

– In Week 16, underdogs went 11-5 pushing their season record to 122-111 ATS. Home teams went 9-7 ATS in Week 14 pushing them to 115-115 ATS on the season. It was also a profitable week for contrarian betting with teams receiving less than 40% of spread bets going 7-4 ATS.

– On Sunday the Dallas Cowboys destroyed the Indianapolis Colts by a final score of 42-7. That doesn’t bode well for Andrew Luck and company who opened as 7-point road favorites this weekend against the Titans.

This year NFL teams are 1-13 ATS the week after playing the #Cowboys. Only Arizona in Week 10 was able to cover after playing Dallas.

-Entering the final week of the regular season, five NFC teams have already clinched a playoff berth but the NFC South is still up for grabs. Carolina (6-8-1) can clinch the division with a win over the Falcons (6-9). Atlanta opened as 3-point favorites at Pinnacle but have already moved to -4 across the sports betting marketplace. Before Sunday’s action, we tweeted the following divisional odds:

Falcons will play the Panthers next week for the NFC South title. Heading into today, NO was -250 to win the division, ATL +375, CAR +550. — SportsInsights.com (@SportsInsights) December 21, 2014

– For what it’s worth, the Falcons (+3500) also have slightly better odds of winning the NFC than the Panthers (+5500). – Each week former Caesars oddsmaker Todd Fuhrman tweets out the teams being pounded by sharp money and the teams being hammered by the public. In week 16, the Pros went 3-1 ATS while the Joe’s went 1-3.

– NFL Week 17 current lines at Pinnacle versus preseason lines(Note: Week 17 lines were projected using the previous game between the two teams and adjusting for home field advantage — typically valued at 3-points.)

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-4 | -2)

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (N/A | -6)

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (+6.5 | -1.5)

Indianapolis Colts (-7 | -1.5) at Tennessee Titans

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-7.5 | -7)

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-10 | -10)

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5 | -4)

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-6 | -5)

Chicago Bears (+6.5 | -1) at Minnesota Vikings

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (N/A | -9.5)

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-3 | -1.5)

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3 | -3)

New Orleans Saints (-3.5 | -1.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (N/A | -16)

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-6 | -8.5)

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-13 | -12)

– Largest discrepancies between current Pinnacle lines and preseason lines from CG Technologies:

Cowboys: 8 points

Vikings: 7.5 points

Colts: 6.5 points

– You can view the latest odds and public betting trends on our free NFL odds page, but here are some key Week 17 injuries to monitor:

Bengals WR A.J. Green, Arm, Questionable

Browns QB Brian Hoyer, Shoulder, Questionable

Browns CB Joe Haden, Shoulder, Questionable

Chargers QB Philip Rivers, Back, Probable

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers, Calf, Probable

Colts WR T.Y. Hilton, Hamstring, Questionable

Patriots WR Julian Edelman, Thigh, Questionable

Jets WR Percy Harvin, Ribs, Questionable

Jets C Nick Mangold, Knee, Out

Bills DT Marcell Dareus, Knee, Questionable

– With Johnny Manziel out for the season and Brian Hoyer listed as questionable, rookie quarterback Connor Shaw could be in line for his first career start. In Arizona, a rookie will definitely be behind center as Logan Thomas will start against the 49ers.

– The MVP odds have not been updated, but here are last week’s odds from Sportsbook.com:

Aaron Rodgers (-800)

Tom Brady (+400)

JJ Watt (+1000)

DeMarco Murray (+1200)

Peyton Manning (+1500)

Andrew Luck (+3000)

LeVeon Bell (+5000)

Rob Gronkowski (+10000)

– Have any questions for the staff at Sports Insights? Utilize our live chat to speak with a customer service representative or e-mail us at help@sportsinsights.com.