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I question their numbers. The €9bn is an overspend, directed in security/kindness towards the population, and surely would be significantly reduced in the event of reunification. And we’ve already seen evidence that reintegrating both economies generates greater prosperity.

I just find it impossible to believe that such a referendum would fail in the south. FG and Labour would be the only parties that could credibly argue against and they hardly have a lot of credit with the public.

Might depend on how a referendum is worded. How about Northern Ireland remaining devolved, with the same arrangements as now but with the UK (English by then) and RoI governments switching roles as sovereign state and guarantor of minority rights respectively?

The Greens years ago used to speak about a kind of multichoice referendum.Could this be a runner- united ireland, joint authority, status quo, repartition(yikes!), federal ireland etc. Might provide for an interesting election campaign.
We’re definitely living in interesting times- will those who believe in the two nations theory be proved right or those who believe in the primacy of economics. Will unionists want a union with London no matter what?

The key would be to convince the Others – social liberals may buy in to unity if the economic benefits are prioritised over cultural arguments. Would imagine a federal republic involving devolution to Dublin, Munster, Leinster, Connacht and Ulster/NI could be a political salve.