This is what the Lord says to me:"Go, post a lookout and have him report what he sees.When he sees chariots with teams of horses, riders on donkeys or riders on camels, let him be alert, fully alert." And the lookout shouted, "Day after day, my Lord, I stand on the watchtower; every night I stay at my post.Isaiah 21: 6-8

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Monday, April 12, 2010

Iran has reportedly been building an attack plan which would Occupy Iraq and occupy Jordan, among other countries. The plan, code named Al-Mahdaviya has apparently been underway for some time, and is regularly updated. I personally believe the plan, as reported, is too ambitious to accomplish soon, and will require a generation to implement. The details, if true provides great insight into the plans of the Shiite government, if not the people. Those looking at the evidence that such a plan is underway would note that Iran has been successfully accumulating weapons to support such an attack. For example, there is a recent report that the Islamic Revolutionary Guards has armed its Russian SS4 surface-to-surface missiles with chemical warheads. According to the report, the chemicals in the warheads are mustard, sarin, and cyanide gas; the missiles have a range of 2,000 km and are aimed at the Gulf countries and other Arab countries.There are many sources for the report but they all seem to all draw on the March 3, 2010 report of the Kuwaiti daily paper Al-Siyassa which allegedly quoted an anti-Iran Ahwazi group called The Islamic Sunni-Ahwazi Organization.

In Africa, the question is a serious one: Does Iran plan to invade and occupy its neighbors?

-Shimron Issachar

Ahwazi Organization: Iran Is Threatening Gulf States with SSMs Armed with Chemical Warheads

Add to this the report that Iran has been building an offense plan code named Al-Mahdaviya . Ipersonally believe the plan is too ambishous to accomplish soon, and will require a generation to implement.

On March 3, 2010, the Kuwaiti daily Al-Siyassa published a report[1] by an anti-Iran Ahwazi group called The Islamic Sunni-Ahwazi Organization, which said that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) had armed its Russian SS4 surface-to-surface (SSM) missiles with chemical warheads. According to the report, the chemicals in the warheads are mustard, sarin, and cyanide gas; the missiles have a range of 2,000 km and are aimed at the Gulf countries and other Arab countries.[2] It also stated that the IRGC has stepped up biological weapons research at the Damghan laboratories.The Ahwazi group also claimed in the report that Iran has a military project called Al-Mahdaviya under which Iran would occupy Iraq as well as Jordan by advancing along five axes. The main points of the plan include the use of the Arab Ahwaz district as a forward operating base and jumping-off point for the occupation; the plan also has intelligence, economic, and cultural/propaganda aspects. The organization stated in the report that Iran is planning to uproot millions of the Arab residents of western Ahwaz so that it can secure the border with Iraq, and defend its oil and gas fields in the region.Ahwazi Organization: The IRGC Armed SS4 Missiles with Fragmentation Warheads and with Sarin, Mustard, and Cyanide GasThe report states that in its striving for regional hegemony, Iran is using terrorism, developing nuclear, missile, and satellite projects, and operating on military, propaganda, and sectarian levels. The group added in the report that it had uncovered an Iranian plan to turn Ahwaz province, with the largest Sunni Arab population in Iran, into a military intelligence base, and to send a large number of Iranian Shi’ite clerics to the province to wage a sectarian propaganda campaign and to brainwash young Arabs there. According to the report, the plan is aimed at using the Arab province as a base for gathering information and spying against the Arab countries in the Gulf, using espionage networks based there, and in order to threaten the security of Iraq and of the Gulf.The report quotes an IRGC source who confirmed that the SS4 SSMs had all been brought to the Kalla Doz (sic) military factory near the city of Karaj, which is suspected of carrying out nuclear and chemical activity. The source also said that conventional warheads for some of these missiles had been brought to the Aghajari military chemical plant, located east of Ahwaz between the cities of Al-Amidiyya and Behabahan, where these warheads had been armed with fragmentation charges and with Sarin, mustard, and cyanide gas manufactured in Iranian factories capable of an output of several tons of these substances.According to the source, in the summer of 2008, IRGC commands had received secret orders to set up the missiles on moving platforms near the cities of Al-Hamidiyya and Al-Khafajiyya, and to aim them at the Arab Gulf states. He said that the missiles could reach targets such as ports, airports, and oil and gas industrial zones, and that they had especially deadly potential against population centers.The source confirmed that the IRGC is again working on construction and expansion of the military Darkhovin plants, and that the plant closest to the cities of Abadan and Al-Falahiyya and to the Karun River, which operates on light water, would be completed in 2013. The report said that the plant, which is about 7 square km in area, is operating secretly as part of Iran’s nuclear program.The report states that on November 29, 2009, the Ahwazi group’s field command had warned in the Kuwaiti Al-Siyassa daily that dozens of Chinese and Russian experts and scientists specializing in the manufacture of conventional and biological weapons were already at work in “secret camps” near the Darhkovin facilities. According to the report, the source added that Iran had a wide-scale germ warfare program, of which the Lavizan site north of Tehran had been the most important element until it was uncovered.The report said that currently the IRGC is stepping up research for its military biological project at the Damghan laboratory in Samnan.Ahwazi Organization: Iraq Has Military Plan for Invading Iraq and Jordan along Five Routes of AdvanceThe report states that in 2005, the IRGC operational headquarters prepared a plan for attacking Jordan via Iraq, and that a map outlining this plan was leaked to the Ahwazi organization in May of that year. The organization assesses that the plan was formulated following Iran’s success in training death squads in Iraq and in spreading anarchy there, and following the warnings voiced in December 2004 by Jordanian King ‘Abdallah II regarding the threat posed by the “Shi’ite Iranian crescent” in the region.The five axes of advance detailed in the report are: 1. Piranshahr to Rowanduz; 2. Ghasre-Shirin to Khanaqin; 3. Mehran to Al-Kut; 4. Ahwazi Basatin to Al-Amara; 5. Abadan to Basra. The report claims that Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei approved the plan and instructed the IRGC to prepare for its implementation, and that it was subsequently updated to include additional countries.The goals of the Mahdaviya project, according to the report, include the following: suppressing the Sunni movements in Iran, especially the Ahwazi movements operating in the west of the country and the Balouchi movements operating in the east, and quashing their military activity against the Iranian regime; preparing for mass abductions and killings of dissidents in Ahwaz province; disguising the wide-scale settlement and transfer activities being carried out in Ahwaz by the Iranian regime; militarizing Ahwaz and turning it into a sectarian protectorate and forward base for intelligence and military activity, in order to promote Iran’s political and military goals in the region; carrying out structured propaganda campaigns in the Arabian Gulf and the Middle East, aimed at inculcating a spirit of defeatism and submission to Iran as an imperial force and at spreading Shi’ite thought throughout the Arabian Gulf; turning Ahwaz into a safe haven for all the Iranian-aided movements in the region, and into a stronghold for most of the Iranian associations and organizations operating in Arab countries, according to the model of the movements and parties that Iran has planted in Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen.Citing the IRGC source, the report adds that Mohammad Mousavi Jazayeri, who is Khamenei’s representative in Ahwaz and the acting governor of the province, directs the Mahdaviya project and the wide-scale campaign for spreading the Shi’a throughout the Gulf region.Ahwazi Organization: Regime Leaders and Senior IRGC and Intelligence Officials Held Secret Meeting in AhwazThe report says that the project’s military-intelligence dimension was secretly put into action in 2003 on direct orders from Khamenei, and was expanded after a March 2006 meeting between Khamenei and Jazayeri during the former’s visit to Ahwaz. It is also claimed that leaders of the Iranian regime held a large conference in the province in April 2009. At the periphery of this conference, which was chaired by Jazayeri, a small group of regime leaders and senior IRGC and intelligence officials met at the Basij headquarters in Ahwaz, located at a university in the province’s administrative capital. Among those present were Ali Shafei, a commander of the Iranian Hizbullah in Ahwaz; Mohsen Araki, former head of the revolutionary courts in the province; Ali Fallahian, founder of the Islamic Republic party and former Iranian intelligence minister; and Mohsen Khaidari, Friday prayer leader in Ahwaz.It is stated that a committee was formed to facilitate the implementation of the sectarian-intelligence plan, supervised by Jazayeri and headed by Majid Alavi. The latter, the report says, operated in Saudi Arabia and Sudan for eight years as a secret agent of the Iranian Intelligence Ministry. Shortly after the April 2009 meeting, in July 2009, he was appointed acting Intelligence Minister in Ahmadinejad’s government, following the resignation of Mohseni-Ajei.It is claimed that IRGC official Ali Qomi, former Iranian consul in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, was placed in charge of the project’s financial committee, while Mohammad Hossein Faroughi, former charge d’affair in the Iranian representation in Kuwait, was appointed as the project’s first director in the Gulf, in charge of recruiting personnel outside Iran and coordinating the activity of various Iranian networks in the region.At the April 2009 meeting, the participants approved Jazayeri’s proposal to establish the project headquarters in Ahwaz and to place Ali Fallahian in charge of the project’s security aspects. (His other tasks, according to the report, include overseeing the training of foreign recruits alongside Hizbullah members in camps in western Ahwaz, smuggling arms into specific areas in the Gulf, and arranging visas for operatives entering and departing Iran).The report also claims that Ruhollah Hosseinian, a security advisor to Ahmadinejad and one of the founders of the armed Iranian organization Ansar-e Hizbullah, “who has expertise in the area of assassinations and abductions,” has been appointed acting commander of Ansar-e Hizbullah in Ahwaz. Working under his command is General Sarhank Karim Karimi Tebah, a senior official in Iran’s foreign intelligence apparatus, who in 2002-2006 operated in Saudi Arabia as a spy for the IRGC.It is claimed further that Hosseinian appointed senior IRGC official Hassan Farhan Oda Khaledi as commander of the Fedayan-e Imam-i Ali organization, whose headquarters are located in Ahwaz. This is a secret military-intelligence organization founded in July 2007, whose members operate in plainclothes. Two thousand of them participated in training activities of the Ashura Brigades in Darkhovin in November 2009.Ahwazi Organization: The Regime Plans to Iranize AhwazThe report also refers to the project’s cultural and propaganda dimensions, and the plan to Iranize Ahwaz. It claims that, under Jazayeri’s supervision, clerics and mosque imams use various media outlets to spread Shi’ite and pro-regime propaganda, as part of an attempt to carry out a comprehensive cultural revolution in the province. It further states that there is a plan to evacuate 15 villages and cities in Ahwaz, inhabited by some four million Arabs, for the purpose of converting Basatin into a tourism and free trade hub with an international airport. This, in order to create investment opportunities for IRGC-owned companies, and in order to replace the area’s Sunni Arab population with Shi’ites, with an eye to protecting the province’s numerous oil and gas fields.Endnotes:[1] Al-Siyassa (Kuwait), March 3, 2010. http://www.al-seyassah.com/Portals/0/pdf/10/Mar/03/29.pdf[2] It should be noted that in a May 10, 2008 Friday sermon, Expediency Council Secretary Hashemi Rafsanjani indicated that Iran possessed chemical weapon capabilities, but said that it had chosen not to employ them during the Iran-Iraq war despite Iraq’s use of such weapons against Iran. Rafsanjani said: “In our battles with the Saddam [Hussein] regime, we proved that we do not use forbidden and unconventional weapons. [The Iraqis] targeted us with chemical weapons for years, and even now there are daily reports in our press about deaths resulting from [those] chemical attacks. Years have passed, but people are still suffering from [the consequences] of these attacks. Iran could have retaliated in kind, but refrained from doing so in order to avoid harming the Iraqi people. www.dnf.ir, May 10, 2008.