2018 elections update – 11/10/18

Results since election night have trended to increasing the Democratic win column. It’s great to see how many women and minorities won! The turnout was very high.

On top of that, there are a lot of late ballots in California that are probably going to be really good for Democrats. Maine ranked choice promises to be decent for Democrats. Very easy to imagine ending at D+38/39 in the House at this point

For comparison, the House popular vote in things that are widely considered to be wave elections:2010: R +6.82006: D +8.01994: R +7.1So if we wind up at ~D +7.5 or so, we'll be pretty much exactly in line with those years. https://t.co/BMil3Uuw8j

One of best stories of 2018: Native American Democrat Ruth Anna Buffalo defeated GOP state rep who sponsored voter ID law designed to disenfranchise Native Americans https://t.co/57xItiAqgc via @fawfulfan

Voter turnout update: now up to an estimated 115.2 million people voted for a turnout rate of 48.9%. If this holds, 2018 will beat 1966's 48.7% and will be the highest midterm turnout rate since 1914's 50.4%

Staggering: if every uncalled race breaks as I expect, House Dems' class of 61 freshmen would include *35* women & just 19 white men. By contrast, Republicans' class of 31 would include 29 white men & just *one* woman.