Worldwide telecoms service revenue will continue to grow and will reach USD1.79 trillion in 2019, driven by increasing service penetration in emerging markets and mobile handset data spending in developed regions. This report provides an update of our 5-year forecast of more than 100 mobile and fixed KPIs for the worldwide telecoms market.

Table Of Contents

The Global telecoms market: interim forecast update 2014-2019

Table of contents

6.Executive summary

7.Global telecoms revenue will continue to grow through 2019, driven by emerging markets and mobile handset data in developed regions

8.Mobile handset data services will have the highest revenue growth by far in all regions and offer significant monetisation opportunities

9.Retail revenue will grow in all regions through 2019 except Europe where price competition and regulation is more intense; NA will peak in 2017

10.Smartphones and LTE: Smartphone adoption will maintain momentum in emerging markets, but LTE will be mainly confined to developed markets

11.Key changes since our previous forecast: LTE take-up is faster than anticipated in many markets and will accelerate the shift to data services

12.Forecast revision: The revenue growth outlook is almost unchanged, but currency depreciation drove a revision to the 2013 revenue base

13.Individual regional forecasts

14.Central and Eastern Europe: The revenue forecast is almost unchanged, but the shift from voice to data is faster than expected

15.Central and Eastern Europe: Revenue has already peaked in most markets - Turkey will be the last to peak, in 2017

16.Developed Asia-Pacific: Historical revenue has been revised downwards, but the growth outlook has improved

17.Developed Asia-Pacific: Revenue will grow in most markets through 2019; IPTV take-up is fast and will drive fixed revenue

18.Emerging Asia-Pacific: The revenue forecast is almost unchanged, but fixed-mobile voice substitution will accelerate

19.Emerging Asia-Pacific: China will have the fastest-growing market and handset data will generate 69% of its revenue growth

20.Latin America: Revenue has been revised downwards because of currency depreciation, but the outlook for growth has improved

21.Latin America: The two largest markets, Brazil and Mexico, will grow slowly because of competition

22.Middle East and North Africa: Smartphone take-up is accelerating and will drive handset data revenue growth faster than anticipated

23.Middle East and North Africa: GCC countries will account for most of the region's revenue growth through 2019, led by Qatar

24.North America: Revenue will grow until 2017, driven by data services, but we have revised historical fixed revenue downwards

25.North America: The USA dominates the NA telecoms market, and both markets will grow until 2017

26.Sub-Saharan Africa: Historical revenue figures and forecasts have been revised down because of currency depreciation

27.Sub-Saharan Africa: Fixed telecoms will remain insignificant, but mobile revenue will grow further because penetration is still low