By now you’ve likely heard of the concept of crowdfunding. Maybe you’ve even ran a campaign for yourself or used a crowdfunding platform to give money to a cause. When most people think of crowdfunding, they think of using it to raise money for charity, like Go Fund Me, or to help grow a business, like Kickstarter. But one sector of crowdfunding that is steadily growing is crowdfunding for commercial real estate investments. It’s exactly what it sounds like. A group (or “crowd”) of fellow CRE investors purchase shares of a property or properties. Their combined resources allow them to jointly own CRE properties that none could afford to invest in individually.

On paper – or should we say on the internet – it’s a seemingly simple concept with obvious benefits. But it’s not without drawbacks too. Next we’re going to take a closer look at the pros and cons of crowdfunding for commercial real estate, and how this investment option may or may not be a good fit for you.

The Pros –

Affordable Price of Entry

Most people don’t have millions of dollars, even a hundred thousand dollars to put into a commercial real estate investment. This obstacle no longer has to stop interested investors from getting in on a great CRE deal. Through crowdfunding, pooling together funds is simple and fast. Commonly the price of entry is anywhere from $1,000 to $5,000. Compare this to outright owning your own investment property and you’ll see that this price of entry makes crowdfunding a really affordable opportunity.

Control of Your Cash

Compared to putting your money in a real estate investment trust (REIT), CRE crowdfunding gives you a lot more control and oversight. You get to choose exactly the type of property you want to invest in; you’re not relying on a trust manager to do this for you. For some investors, they love the thrill of the hunt of doing their own research and finding just the right property to invest in. If this is you, then you’ll enjoy that crowdfunding gives you control over when and how you invest your cash.

Diversity

Having a diverse investment portfolio is important. You want to be sure you’re not betting on just one horse. Through crowdfunding, you can invest in many different CRE properties within different sectors and classes. Even if you only have a moderate amount of money to invest, because the entry price for crowdfunding is so reasonable, this gives you the opportunity to diversify where your money is going.

Stability

No investment is completely stable, but when compared to traditional stocks and bonds, a CRE crowdfunded investment offers more stability because it’s not at the mercy of the stock market. Yes, other factors within the economy will certainly impact the value of the property, among other things; however, this is rarely an overnight change and can usually be predicted well in advance.

The Cons –

Longer-Term Commitment

When using crowdfunding to invest in commercial real estate, you’ll need to abide by your operating agreement. Usually when you invest, you have to lock this in for a set period of time. Sometimes this is several months, other times it’s several years. No matter how you look at it, crowdfunding investments are not easy to liquidate. They take time – and time isn’t always something people have, especially when it locks away cash that could be needed elsewhere.

Little to No Say in the Property

In the pros section we mentioned how CRE Crowdfunding gives you more control; however it’s important to note that really only pertains to your money. When it comes to the actual investment property, you have little to no say in the project. As a smart investor, you should do your homework to be sure you agree with the plans for the property and how it will be managed. Because after you invest, your opinion will most likely not be solicited.

The Unknowns

CRE crowdfunding most certainly has its risks. If you can tolerate these risks, then there is the potential for a high reward. A lot of the risks revolve around the unknown. Will the project stay on budget? Will it be completed on time? Will the property be managed as intended? Will the predictions and assumptions for the investment hold true? If you don’t like the risk and worry of the unknowns, CRE crowdfunding could really weigh you down.

Fees, Fees and More Fees

One final con is that there are a lot of hidden fees that could catch you off guard. The crowdfunding platform itself will apply fees to your investment. This varies from platform to platform, so be sure to read the fine print. Additionally, the investment property may also slap on additional costs for things like a construction fee, management fee, etc. Again, be sure to closely and carefully read every piece of your operating agreement because this is where you should uncover these fees before you sign on the dotted line.

The real takeaway here is that, like anything, crowdfunding for commercial real estate has its ups and downs. A smart investor will closely consider each side and weigh the risk versus the reward. Even with its cons, crowdfunding is a valuable investment opportunity that cannot be ignored, especially if you’re looking for ways to diversify your investment portfolio.

How do you feel about crowdfunding for commercial real estate? Is there something we missed on our list? Share your thoughts by leaving a comment below!

According to the data from the U.S. Census American Community Survey, released on September 15, Central Pennsylvania is following in suit with greater Philadelphia – and the rest of the nation – which is experiencing an increase in median household incomes. Taking into consideration Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon and York Counties, here are some of the most notable trends published in the report.

The highest median household income is Cumberland County at $63,890; in contrast, the lowest median household income is Lebanon County at $52,571. Lancaster County increased the most in the last year, by $1,859. Decreasing the most was Lebanon County, by $1,497.

Lancaster County has the lowest median income for Black or African American households at $32,445. While the lowest median income for Hispanic or Latino households is Lebanon County at $25,422. The greatest difference in median income between male versus female householder (with no spouse present) is $18,429 in Cumberland County.

For all counties, the highest median income was for householders between the ages of 45 to 64 years old and for households of married couple families. Also, female householders (with no spouse present) always earned less than male householders (with no spouse present).

If you’re curious what other trends emerged and what these trends tell us about the health of our local economy, let’s take a closer look at each county’s specific numbers.

Cumberland County, Pennsylvania

The 2016 median household income in Cumberland County is $63,890. This number is up from $62,759 in 2014 and is the highest median income we have seen this decade. For householders between the ages of 45 to 64 years old, the median income rises to $78,960. Households of married couple families have the highest median income at $87,714. A male householder with no wife present has a median income of $54,837. In contrast, a female householder with no husband present has a median income of just $36,408. Black or African American households had a median income of $32,661 and Hispanic or Latino households had a median income of $35,097.

Dauphin County, Pennsylvania

The 2016 median household income in Dauphin County is $54,232. Up from $52,975 in 2014, this number has been on an almost steady rise for the last decade. For householders between the ages of 45 to 64 years old, the median income rises to $63,373. Households of married couple families have the highest median income at $79,328. A male householder with no wife present has a median income of $46,430. In contrast, a female householder with no husband present has a median income of just $35,520. Black or African American households had a median income of $37,823 and Hispanic or Latino households had a median income of $33,947.

Lancaster County Pennsylvania

The 2016 median household income in Lancaster County is $59,262. This county experienced the greatest increase in the Central PA region over the last year. Rising from $57,403 by $1,859, this is also the highest number we have seen this decade, which is especially notable since median income took a dip in 2010, falling to $51,740.

For householders between the ages of 45 to 64 years old, the median income rises to $73,155. Households of married couple families have the highest median income at $78,218. A male householder with no wife present has a median income of $47,391. In contrast, a female householder with no husband present has a median income of just $36,925. Black or African American households had a median income of $32,445 and Hispanic or Latino households had a median income of $38,125.

Lebanon County Pennsylvania

The 2016 median household income in Lebanon County is $52,571. Down from 2014’s median income of $54,068, Lebanon County experienced several ups and downs throughout the past decade. For householders between the ages of 45 to 64 years old, the median income rises to $60,578. Households of married couple families have the highest median income at $73,219. A male householder with no wife present has a median income of $44,239. In contrast, a female householder with no husband present has a median income of just $34,383. Black or African American households had a median income of $34,662 and Hispanic or Latino households had a median income of $25,422.

York County, Pennsylvania

The 2016 median household income in York County is $58,409. This was another Central PA county that decreased since 2014, though ever so slightly by just $178 ($58,587 in 2014). With several ups and downs in median income, the number has still mostly been on the rise over the past decade.

For householders between the ages of 45 to 64 years old, the median income rises to $72,004. Households of married couple families have the highest median income at $81,711. A male householder with no wife present has a median income of $46,681. In contrast, a female householder with no husband present has a median income of just $33,911. Black or African American households had a median income of $44,525 and Hispanic or Latino households had a median income of $33,182

Our Analysis

Increasing median household income is just one trend that affects commercial real estate. The local employment gains continue to be strong, with seasonally adjusted unemployment rate holding below 5.0 percent. This adds to the demand for housing in a variety of forms: for office space, for the retail sector and for industrial/distribution facilities.

Underlying inflation is extremely tame, providing no impetus for significantly higher rates. Lending rates and fixed income rates of return will remain low by historical standards. For most metro areas (including Central Pennsylvania) and property types, lower oil prices have been a net positive. Spending less on gasoline encourages consumers to spend more on other items, which helps retail and hotel market fundamentals.

Lower prices directly translate into an increase in household disposable income. Overall, the commercial property market in 2017 will continue to be characterized by strong fundamentals, increased investor flows and high transaction volume.

What median income was most surprising to you? What do you think some these trends say about the health of our local economy? Share your thoughts by commenting below!

Since the legalization of medical marijuana in April, the Pennsylvania Department of Health has placed a lot of focus on developing a program that is expected to be operational by 2018. In fact, temporary regulations were just rolled out to give growers and processors an idea of the rules they will need to follow.

All types of industries are anxiously anticipating the economic impact of legalized medical marijuana. For some businesses, it will be a major boost. For others, it will hardly move the needle. It makes sense that growing, processing and dispensing will require new space, but how much will this really impact real estate? Let’s take a look.

The Potential Impact on Local Real Estate

While it may seem like medical marijuana growers and processors will be filling up industrial real estate space all across the commonwealth, this isn’t the case. Strict regulations allow for limited growing permits based on factors such as population, access to transportation and the number of people who have qualifying conditions for medical marijuana.

In total, there are 50 dispensary permits (which include 3 locations per permit), 25 grower/processor permits and 8 clinical research permits (which include grower/processor ability and 6 dispensary locations, but must be partnered with a medical research facility). The 25 grower/processor permits plus the 8 clinical research permits mean that just 33 growing locations are permitted. Spread out across Pennsylvania, this is not a huge impact on industrial real estate.

Growers and processors will be looking for warehouses of various sizes between 50,000 and 200,000 square-feet in size. They may also be interested in a property with extra land to use for constructing greenhouses. There are enough existing properties that fit this criteria that it is not expected that new warehouses will be built for the specific purpose of growing medical marijuana. Rather, vacant warehouses will be gutted and retrofitted with water systems, climate control and HVAC.

Additionally, regulations allow for 198 dispensary locations where medical marijuana can be purchased by people with qualifying conditions. Each will require real estate that’s a mix between retail and office space.

“Dispensaries will be a combination of your local Rite Aid and a doctor’s office,” explains Andrew Blasco, Executive Director of Pennsylvania Medical Cannabis Industry Group (PAMCIG). “They will sell medical marijuana and related items like vaporizers in a secure and clinic-like environment.”

The biggest impact won’t be the sale of real estate. Rather, it’s the 12,000 permanent jobs plus many more temporary jobs created by the 198 dispensaries and 33 growing and processing locations.

The Industry to Benefit the Most

So if it’s not real estate, then what industry really stands to benefit the most from the legalization of medical marijuana? The answer may surprise you. Growing and processing requires a great deal of energy. Electric power companies will essentially gain a whole new industry of very loyal customers who rely upon energy use 24/7.

“Each growing and processing location will use about the same amount of electricity as a 16-story hotel. Combined, that’s like Pennsylvania gaining 33 new hotels and fully powering them around the clock,” says Blasco.

Additionally, there will be a niche market for architects, engineers and contractors who specialize in retrofitting warehouses to be used for growing medical marijuana. These facilities have very specific requirements, not only for climate control but for security purposes. Companies with this specialty would be highly sought after by permit holders.

While there is a lot we can anticipate, the full impact of the legalization of medical marijuana won’t be felt until regulations are finalized and businesses are able to begin growing. PAMCIG expects regulations for grower/processors to be done by mid-late September, while temporary regulations for the entire program can be expected to be completed by Christmas.

When it comes to real estate transactions, everyone knows that commissions are involved; it’s how brokers get paid! But what’s not so common knowledge are the various details surrounding these commissions like who actually gets paid, who’s responsible for paying and how much is owed.

Whether you’re the tenant or landlord in the deal, you’ll want to have clear answers to all of these questions before working with a broker or proceeding with any real estate deal. Understanding the “fine print” will help alleviate the stress and potential pitfalls of being uninformed regarding commissions.

Let’s take a look at some of the most essential questions surrounding this important real estate topic…and their answers!

What parties earn a commission?

Typically, a commission is paid to both the listing agent/landlord representative and the tenant representative, if a real estate transaction has both of these parties involved and they are different from one another (here’s why they should be!).

It’s important to note that if you are a tenant looking for a property, you will want to have your tenant representative with you from the very first time you see a property. If another agent (whether you know them/asked them or not and regardless of whether they represent both buyers and sellers) bring you to a property, he/she is legally entitled to a portion of the leasing commission as the “procuring” agent.

You may never see this agent again or benefit from their advice/expertise, but since that agent showed you the property, that agent will be paid a commission. This complicates the situation if you should choose to then hire a tenant rep different from the initial agent who showed you the property – and a commission dispute may ensue. To avoid all this trouble, it is best to establish your tenant rep from the beginning and have only him or her show you properties!

Who is responsible for paying this commission?

After a lease is signed, it is typically the responsibility of the landlord (or property owner) to pay a commission to both the listing agent/landlord representative and the tenant representative. As the tenant, it is not usually assumed to be your responsibility to pay a commission to your broker. This is paid by the landlord at the time the lease is executed, unless otherwise negotiated.

How is the amount of commission determined?

The cost of commission varies and commission is most often calculated as a percentage of the lease value (also referred to as “total consideration”). When the signed lease has been executed and the tenant takes occupancy, generally one-half of the commission (paid by the landlord) is paid to the landlord rep and one-half of the commission is paid to the tenant rep.

For example, a tenant signs a 3-year lease for a 2,000 square-foot space at $20 per SF per year. The total consideration = $120,000 (2,000 SF * $20/SF per year * 3 years). The property owner pays a 6% commission (one-half to landlord rep and one-half to tenant rep). The total commission = $7,200 ($120,000 * 0.06).

It’s also worth noting that an agent may “split” their total piece of the commission, sharing it in some proportion with their broker. Commission splits range anywhere from 50/50 (most common) to 90/10, in favor of the agent.

Real estate services are NOT free.

Real estate transactions typically include commissions that are shared by the agents or advisors representing each party. Even though the property owner writes the commission check, it’s ultimately the tenant that funds the commission – in the form of rent payments (for leases) or purchase proceeds (for sales). Make certain that you are receiving full value from your “side” of the commission by having an unbiased, experienced, licensed real estate advisor assist you with the research for suitable spaces and in the negotiation of acceptable terms and conditions.

Do you have another question about real estate commissions that wasn’t answered in this article? Ask us!

By now you have likely heard about the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voting in December to raise the federal funds rate for the first time in almost 10 years. And if you haven’t, well, it’s time to take a crash course in what’s going on, and specifically how it will impact our local economy!

Mostly symbolic, this initial rate increase was just the first step in what will likely be a drawn-out process of monetary policy normalization. An important conclusion we can draw, is that it reflects the FOMC’s belief that the labor market is close enough to full employment.

While a 25-basis-point increase alone is not very significant, what matters most is where things head next. We can reason that the monetary policy, via the federal funds rate, will remain favorable in the near future. Also, current market conditions suggest inflation will remain below 2% for the next 10 years.

With a basic background as to what’s going on, let’s dive a little deeper into what this activity means for our economy, specifically for commercial real estate.

The Impact on Commercial Real Estate

It’s not the federal funds target rate or even the 10-year rate that impact commercial real estate the most, but rather economic growth and job creation. These factors have greater influence over lower vacancy rates and higher rental rates that really impact a building’s pro forma. Simply put, economic growth has a far greater influence on property values.

That’s not to say the commercial real estate sector hasn’t benefitted from the Fed’s massive injection of liquidity into the economy over the past seven years. Overall, prices have nearly recovered, and for some real estate segments, local markets prices actually exceed pre-recession peaks.

With the FOMC’s goal of normalizing interest rates, it’s reasonable to be concerned that rising rates will reduce investor demand for commercial real estate. However, I expect that commercial real estate prices and returns will continue to be attractive even in a rising interest rate environment.

More Than One Factor Impacting Interest Rates

There is more than one factor driving long-term interest rates. Take for example inflation (a major driver of longer-term yields) which is expected to remain low over the next decade. Additionally, our nation’s overall improving economic conditions, including a strong labor market, have helped to drive the Fed’s decisions. Nonfarm payrolls have increased by just more than 5.5 million jobs since the end of 2013. It is likely that 2014 and 2015 will be the strongest back-to-back job growth years since 1998 and 1999. Job growth is another major factor that continues to drive the improving leasing market fundamentals across the nation.

On a National Level

If we look to history for examples as to what to expect next, it’s that a rising federal funds rate has most often coincided with tightening commercial real estate markets and rising prices. Two similar instances have both been accompanied by rising office occupancy rates.

From 1993 to 2000 the federal funds rate rose from 3.0% to 6.5%. Office occupancy during that period increased from 79.6% to 90.9%. Similarly, from 2003 to 2007 the federal funds rate rose from 1.0% to 4.25% and office occupancy increased from 80.5% to 87.1%.

What we are currently seeing on a national level follows suit with these predictions. Commercial space is being absorbed, vacancy rates are falling and rental rates are rising. In third quarter 2015, the national office vacancy rate fell to 14.2%, its lowest level in seven years.

What’s Next?

According to F.N.B. Wealth Management, traders now believe the Fed is likely to hike rates just once in 2016, most likely not before September. This contrasts with earlier predictions that the Fed could move two or three times this year. As it pertains to commercial real estate, we should take this news in stride. Thus far, the federal interest rate hike has signaled a recovering economy and has not deterred investors and developers from diving into the market. An increase in absorption and rental rates and a decrease in vacancy rates are welcome side effects that are far more positive than what many other industries may be experiencing as a result of these economic changes.

For Central Pennsylvania’s commercial real estate investors, sellers and brokers, we should use what history has already taught us about the typical “tightening cycle” to our advantage to determine how we monitor and approach the market over the coming years.

Do you have an opinion on how federal interest rate hikes will impact the commercial real estate market at a local or national level? Join in the conversation by commenting below!

Are you ready to start off 2016 with some good news? The industrial real estate market in Central Pennsylvania is riding a wave of robust economic growth and all signs point to a continuing boom that could be the greatest in the sector’s history!

Looking at the fourth quarter data, our latest research confirms that the industrial sector of the local real estate market has now absorbed over 8.5 million square feet of warehouse space since first quarter 2015. With virtually every industrial sector experiencing increased demand—from data processing hubs to distribution space and manufacturing centers—the four quarters of 2015 saw more demand for industrial space than compared to the last 20 years.

What exactly is driving this demand and what other trends can we expect to result from this economic growth? Let’s take a look!

Three factors driving this high level of industrial demand:

Employment: Across the nation, the real GDP has been expanding at a better than 4% growth rate since April of 2014 (nearly 150 bps higher than the historical norm). The faster rate of growth has triggered a burst of new hiring across nearly all job sectors and geographies. The U.S. economy created 2.9 million net new nonfarm jobs in 2014, and more specifically, industrial employment grew by 442,000 net new payrolls in 2014 – the most industrial-related job growth in 17 years.

Looking specifically at Harrisburg-Carlisle MSA, the unemployment rate is 3.5 percent as of November 2015 and the lowest it has been in recent months. We also closed the year with 294,626 nonfarm jobs which is nearly 7,500 more jobs than last year at this time and among the highest we have seen throughout 2015.

Manufacturing: Adding to the good news is the ISM Manufacturing Index, which has been in solid expansion mode for 25 consecutive quarters. Such robust trends have led to a 5.2% year-over-year increase (nationally) in industrial production—a rate of growth that went unmatched throughout the 2000’s.

Oil Prices: The past six months of continually falling oil prices have given the bulk of the U.S. economy an additional boost and will provide another tailwind for growth moving forward. Since June of 2014, crude oil prices (WTI) have declined more than 50%, making the national average gas price $2.17 per gallon as of mid-January, 2015. Most consumers and businesses are responding favorably to the drop in energy prices, and consumer spending has ramped up for vehicle sales, durable goods, building materials, clothing and accessories, food and beverage, etc.

In the Harrisburg-Carlisle MSA, oil prices are down about 18.6 percent from last winter, beating the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s prediction of a 15 percent drop this winter. The average for heating oil was $2.999 on Dec. 1, according to the Energy Information Administration, compared with $3.683 a year ago. Local Marcellus Shale production has helped keep oil prices low while also adding jobs to the economy.

Final Takeaways

All of these factors bode well for industrial real estate, even as the rising value of the dollar and weakening economic conditions abroad present headwinds for the year ahead.

Additionally, new construction activity is showing no signs of slowing as there is currently 3.5 million square feet under construction in the Central Pennsylvania Submarket, of which 98% is being constructed on spec. The majority of new spec inventory is expected to deliver in the first quarter of 2016 and will push the overall vacancy rate northward for the market.

Despite the large amount of spec space coming online next quarter, tenant demand has been particularly strong in new inventory constructed over the past two years, evidenced by the market’s low vacancy and strong positive absorption.

The new space that has come into the market at the end of 2015 should continue this trend and generate a significant amount of activity in the near-term.

Which of the market factors discussed do you believe will be most powerful in 2016 and beyond? Join in the conversation by commenting below!

Earlier this summer the Tri-County Regional Planning Commission (representing Cumberland, Dauphin and Perry counties) met to discuss current and future socio-economic trends that will influence land-use decisions and related impacts.

The data and statistics shared provided insight into some powerful trends that are emerging in the local real estate market. Based upon the growing population of both Baby Boomers and Millennials that will continue to make up the majority of our population in the Harrisburg Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) well into the future, these generations are going to have a profound impact on our economy.

While you might think the demographics of these generations would both want a large home in the suburbs, you would be mistaken. Rather, for various reasons, both Baby Boomers and Millennials are anticipated to drive the demand for rental units. Let’s now take a closer look at what exactly is causing this trend and the implications it will have on local economic growth.

The Cause: What’s fueling this trend?

According to the information shared by the Tri-County Regional Planning Commission, this year, Millennials (age 15-34) will make up one-third of all adults in the United States and will finally outnumber Baby Boomers. While the ultimate goal for these Millennials, especially ones who have started a family, is to move into the suburbs, the majority of this generation doesn’t yet have the savings they need for a down payment on a home, thus the necessity of renting. Additionally, more than half of millennials are likely to move in the next five years, making renting housing even more of a convenient and desirable option.

Now let’s take a look at why Baby Boomers are also fueling the demand for rental units. Nationally, one in five people are expected to be over the age 65 by 2030. Older Empty Nesters (age 65-74) are the fastest growing segment of the population in Harrisburg MSA. While this reflects a growing aging population, Baby Boomers are not yet ready to slow down. They are mobile, social and want to remain as active and independent as they can. Rather than being strapped down by caring for a home that is too large for their empty nest, Baby Boomers are moving into luxury rental units that give them ultimate flexibility, freedom and a close-knit community.

The Effect: What does this means for economic growth?

Baby Boomers are currently our most affluent generation and will be responsible for the largest transfer of wealth over the next 30 years. With that said, Baby Boomers will actually hurt economic growth by not spending their money on things like housing, insurance, appliances and apparel. Rather, they prefer to spend their income on entertainment, travel and social experiences. To further illustrate this point, in Harrisburg MSA, the average household expenditures by 2015 show people spending as much on entertainment as they do housing.

Such spending habits again strengthen the demand for rental units as they require less money and maintenance than owning a large, single-family home. As a result, we can expect rental prices to remain competitive, and while they may rise slightly in response to demand, they will remain reasonable to both Baby Boomers and Millennials relative to income and in comparison to the cost of owning a home.

As for rental vacancy rates, these are expected to remain low through 2019. This is great news for owners of rental properties and developers who are looking to expand into this area. It’s a safe bet that a growing number of renters will be in the market for housing that will allow them to live life well, while still conserving money for whatever their priorities may be.

How Central PA can best harness this economic growth

Central Pennsylvania would be smart to take note of this important trend. If you identify with either Baby Boomers or Millennials, know that renting may be a viable option for you at this point in your life. With new projects on the rise, you are likely to find some very nice accommodations at competitive prices that are far less than the cost of a mortgage. This will allow you to channel your wealth into saving for a future home of your dreams, or spending it on life experiences you’ve been waiting until retirement to enjoy.

For businesses, real estate brokers and developers, this is also a powerful trend that can impact your industry. Get to know the Baby Boomers and Millennials – their habits, preferences, indulgences and priorities. Appealing to these growing generations will ensure your business will also continue to grow well into the future.

In some way, shape or form, we have all felt the impact of a struggling economy as it tries to heal itself. While data shows that things are heading in the right direction, it will not be a quick or instant fix. Luckily several industries in the Central Pennsylvania region have begun to see a small burst of growth and are projected to lead the way now through 2020 as the top growing industries.

What does the current health of our local workforce look like? And what top five industries are expected to see the most growth over the coming years? Let’s take a closer look at the statistics provided by the Pennsylvania Department of Labor and Industry.

Current Unemployment in Central Pennsylvania and the Commonwealth

As of August 2014, the unemployment rate in Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA MSA was 4.8 percent or an estimated 13,800 people currently without jobs. For the entire commonwealth of Pennsylvania, the current unemployment rate is 5.8 percent or an estimated 367,000 people currently without jobs. From one year ago at this time, this is a 1.6 percent improvement in the Commonwealth’s unemployment rate. What this data is telling us is that things are moving in the right direction, particularly in Central Pennsylvania, just perhaps at a rate slower than what we would prefer.

As this growth continues, it’s important to keep a pulse on the industries that are growing the fastest and how this might impact other areas of our economy, including commercial real estate. Here are the top five growing industries in Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA MSA based upon the highest estimated total employment change for the 2010-2020 time period.

Source: Pennsylvania Department of Labor and Industry

Administrative and Supportive Services

In 2010, it was estimated that there were 14,780 people employed as Administrative and Supportive Professionals. By 2020, this is projected to increase to 18,230 with a total employment change of 3,450 jobs.

Ambulatory Health Care Services

For Ambulatory Health Care Services, it was estimated in 2010 that 12,250 people were employed in this industry. By 2020, this is projected to increase to 14,690 with a total employment change of 2,440 jobs.

Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

In 2010, it was estimated that 14,120 people were employed by the Professional, Scientific and Technical Services industry. By 2020, this is projected to increase to 16,370 with a total employment change of 2,250 jobs.

Food Services and Drinking Places

In 2010 it was estimated that 18,190 people were employed by the Food Services and Drinking Places industry. By 2020, this is projected to increase to 19,890 with a total employment change of 1,700 jobs.

Hospitals

In 2010, it was estimated that 13,980 people were employed by hospitals. By 2020, this is projected to increase to 15,470 with a total employment change of 1,490 jobs.

What this means for the Central Pennsylvania Commercial Real Estate Market

Overall, strong job creation is expected to have a positive impact on the multifamily sector. As for commercial real estate, the demand for office space may also increase, but employers continue to pare per-employee space requirements, carefully considering space needs because of changing technology.

Job reductions in retail and branch banking, largely due to changes in consumer behavior and online technology, will take a toll on housing. This trend may benefit the apartment sector, but could negatively impact the retail real estate sector.

Do you find these growing industries to be expected or surprising? Share your insights by commenting below!