Stock Momentum Reversal Trading Method

After a few years of testing with both ETF’s and then individual stocks, we rolled out our MRM (momentum reversal method) platform at my ATP subscription service in November 2011. This is now beginning to get alot of attention in the trading community as in addition to the ATP service, I have shared some of the real time MRM type plays online with some very top notch traders.

In essence, my work revolves around crowd psychology or what I call “Crowd Behavior”. If there is one thing in the stock markets that never changes, it’s how crowds react to news, events, and also how they over-react more importantly. My MRM system helps to define where the crowd may be over-reacting on the upside and also obviously the downside of a move in a security. Knowing roughly where that upside and downside exhaustion point may be, can obviously be a huge tool in a traders tool box.

Let’s be honest, the Holy Grail of investing and or position trading would be to buy low and sell high as often as possible with as few mistakes as possible right? The ATP MRM crowd based timing method is what that aims to do, a lofty goal but one we feel we are achieving on a regular basis. The major problem most investors have is selling out of a position at the extreme areas of “Pain”, where your emotions take over and you cant take the paper loss any longer and you sell. The other issue is chasing stocks higher because the adrenaline and excitement of owning a stock that is rushing higher is too hard to pass up.

Both of those investor psychology based decisions are made in panic buy and panic sell modes. That leads to a recipe for disaster for a trading account over time. Instead, what we want to do is the opposite right? We want to calmly buy shares in a stock that has become oversold due to emotional responses from the crowd, and sell into a huge rally where the crowd has become overly exuberant. What if you could do that on a regular basis all the time with cool and calm nerves of steel?

Our MRM trading system at ATP allows us as best as we can to cooly and calmly enter into oversold stocks right near the apex of the lows, and then quietly exit into the rush as the stock reverses back to the upside.

Recent examples include the ETF NUGT. This is a 300% leveraged ETF to the Gold Stock Index. Now we all know the Gold Stocks have been under severe pressure of late as the GDX ETF has cratered from its highs over the last many months. My MRM system though kept us out of the gold stocks, until very recently when we saw the idea entry point for a swing. Based on the GDX falling into the 49 and below level, my MRM targets said we were at an extreme emotional bottom using my 1 day, 3 day, and weekly crowd indicators. We therefore entered calmly into NUGT at 15.61, and within 48 hours we saw that ETF rally to 17.81! We sold at 16.80 and 17.10 for 1/2 and 1/2 tranches to pocket 7-10% gains inside of 2 days. The move from 15.61 to 17.81 was a 14% move inside of 48 hours!! We also knew to sell into that rally because just a few short days later the NUGT had fallen all the way back to 15.30 per share. My MRM method then said 15.31 was another entry buy, and 24 hours later NUGT was up another 7%! So in the span of 6 trading days, MRM gave out an 8.5% blended return, and then followed it up with another 7% return. Thats 15.5% of return with low downside risk in 6 trading days on just one ETF position!

We usually apply this type of work to MRM Positions that we actually intend to position ourselves in weeks not days. However, if we do get extreme moves in a short period of time, we always look to trim back some of those profits in the position. The samples above are what I call “Active Trades” at my ATP service, these are intended to days not weeks in holding period. Keep in mind alot of our work is in an Active MRM portfolio where again, we are holding swing positions for weeks and not days, so it does not require as much daily work by our partners.

Some additional recent samples include CVV which we entered twice for profits inside of a few months. We banked 13-16% gains on one swing, waited weeks and entered again. The stock actually dropped below our MRM entry and we held on knowing that it was likely bottoming out amidst panic emotional selling at 10.66 per share. A few weeks later our patience paid off as the stock rose to 13.80 per share. Most traders would have taken the loss below $11 per share, and missed the reversal back up for 25% or more. When you take a loss that way, you must then replace that position with another trade that gains 25% or more in this case. MRM helps to avoid panic selling, and often to take advantage of panic drops in a stock to buy more.

David talks live about MRM method You can also download the mp3 audio file for this interview on your computer by clicking here WITH A RIGHT BUTTON CLICK and selecting SAVE FILE AS from the drop down menu.

Consider joining us for 90 days trial period and play along. We provide all the alerts in real time via Email and internet posting. We provide daily updates on all positions and 24/7 Email access to me for any questions.Learn more and sign up at www.activetradingpartners.com/mrm

Dave Banister is the Chief Investment Strategist and commentator for ActiveTradingPartners.com. David has written numerous market forecast articles on various sites (MarketOracle.co.uk, 321Gold.com, Gold-Eagle.com, TheStreet.Com etc. ) that have proven to be extremely accurate at major junctures.

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.(c) 2005-2019 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use.
From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.