(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.Years
within or near core1873,1874tsbr,1876,1878,1883br,1884,1887-2tsbr,1894br,1896br,1899ts,1905tsbr,1908,1909,1916ts,1924tsbr,1927bdts,1930ts,1938tsbr,1939bdts,1949tsbd,1955,1958br,1963m,1966m,1975tsbr,1979ts,1994ts,1998,2000ts,2006ts,2007ts,2007tsbr,2008,2010,2012ts,2012brm,2015ts,2016m,2017brm40
times in 146yrs end of 2017

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(usually within 60 miles to include small hurricanes)(13h)once every 11.23 years

Average years between major hurricane hits.(3) once every 48.67 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)95mph

Statistically when this
area should be affected nextaffected in 2017

Last affected
by2017 Sept 8th Hurricane Irma passes north by 85 miles with 150mph winds while moving west.

This areas hurricane
past1873 Sept 28th,105mph from the SSE passes just south while turning west.1876 Sept 14th,80mph from the ESE1878 sept 5th a cat 1,80mph hits while moving WNW ,hundreds drowned.1884 Oct 9th just west from the south with 80mph winds1908 Sept 29th, 85mph from the SSE1909 Aug 23rd,85mph from the ESE1955 sept 13th,Hurricane Hilda hits from the east with 80mph winds1963 hurricane Flora Oct 4th, 120mph moved slowly over the area over 50 inches of rain fell kills 1,000 in cuba oct 8th sugar crops destroyed Newspaper article1966 sept 30th hurricane Inez hits with sustained winds near 135mph 6 to 10 ft storm surge. 138mph reported at shore as rapid intensification happen between Haiti & Cuba. 5 Killed in Cuba & 30 injured.1998 Sept 23rd
hurricane Georges passes to south with 75mph winds dumping heavy rain, 4 killed 20,000 left homeless crops badly damaged
2008,Sept 8th Hurricane Ike hits with 105mph winds from the east.In Baracoa, resident William Montoya Sanchez, 39, said low-lying areas of the city were unrecognizable after Ike's passage, with roofs torn from homes and trees uprooted from the ground. State media said at least 200 homes were damaged beyond repair as the storm-surge pounded Baracoa's seawall and rose as high as nearby five-story buildings, sending people scrambling away from the seaside. Authorities said La Farola road, which connects Baracoa with the provincial capital in Guantanamo, was closed due to mudslides. Gusts reported to 86mph,Damage photo | photo of surge | Ike model history | Ike aftermath from Baracoa
2010 Nov 5th Hurricane Tomas passes just east with 80mph winds while moving NNE causes a minor surge. Tomas model history
2016 Oct 4th,Hurricane Matthew hits with 130mph winds while moving north causing heavy damage but no deaths. In the city of Baracoa, which was traversed
by Matthew’s western eyewall, widespread structural damage to homes and other buildings
resulted from the category 3 winds and storm surge. In Baracoa, 90% of the homes there were damaged or completely
destroyed.Media reports from Baracoa also indicate that hundreds of homes
were damaged or destroyed by the storm surge flooding, including more than 30 houses washed
away, and that the coastal highway on the south side of the city was completely eroded and made
impassable in large stretches(per NHC) Radar Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School | Matthew timeline | NHC final report