After two years of declines, crude oil prices have been on the rebound, up around 30% since mid-February to around $50 per barrel. While the bulls are predicting oil prices will trend higher over the coming months, weak economic data and a world flooded with unwanted oil will put serious pressure on oil prices—and could send oil prices considerably lower throughout the coming months.

Oil Price Outlook Turns Bearish

Oil prices crashed from above $100 per barrel in July 2014 to under $30 per barrel this past February. Over the last two years, oil prices have tanked on weak economic indicators from Europe, China, Russia, and the U.S.

Crude oil prices faced additional pressure in November 2014 when the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) announced it had no intention of cutting its output. This effectively flooded the global markets with crude oil no one wanted.

By February 2016, oil prices had fallen 70% to a more than 10-year low of around $27.50 per barrel. But then, seemingly out of nowhere, oil prices began to rebound in mid-February. Over the next four months, oil prices staged a comeback, rising close to 80% and hitting a one-year high of $51 per barrel.

Oil prices rebounded on slowing U.S. crude oil output, better-than-expected U.S. jobs data, and increased investor sentiment. But thanks to ongoing geopolitical issues and a raft of weak economic data, the bull market in oil prices will be short lived.

Five Reasons Why Oil Prices Will Fall in the Near Term

There are growing worries that Britain will vote to leave the European Union. There is uncertainty about the vote, which takes place on June 23, with the “Leave” camp slightly ahead in most polls.

Economic data coming out of the U.S., the world’s biggest economy, China, the second biggest economy, Japan, the third biggest economy, and the Eurozone, the world’s biggest economic region, remains fragile.

The World Bank downgraded its forecast for global growth again this year to just 2.4% from its 2.9% prediction in January. The sluggish projections are a result of anemic growth in advanced economies, low commodity prices, and weak global trade.1

In the midst of global economic malaise and dwindling demand for crude oil, OPEC and other oil-producing countries continue to pump out more oil. It’s basic supply-and-demand metrics. OPEC’s daily output is up 24,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 32.1 million. Iran, which has the fourth largest oil reserves in the world, had its oil sanctions lifted in January. The country is on track to produce 3.5 million bpd, putting it back to its pre-sanction levels.2

Lastly, rising oil prices have encouraged some North American producers to reactivate a number of rigs. Despite the recent increase in oil prices, even OPEC has warned that there is “still a massive global supply overhang.”3

Learn-To-Trade.com—Toronto’s Leader in Stock Market Trading Courses

Oil prices may look healthy right now, but there are a number of reasons why crude oil prices will fall in the near term. That said, there are proven investing strategies investors can use to profit from declining oil prices. The same strategies can also be used to help you make money on falling precious metal prices and equities in general.

Learn-To-Trade.com is the leading and oldest provider of stock market trading courses in Canada. Led by licensed industry professionals, its extensive stock market trading courses help its members navigate today’s complex and fast-paced markets.

Learn-To-Trade.com also has a unique Lifetime Membership that allows you to re-attend any part of the program you like, as many times as you like. To learn more about Learn-To-Trade.com’s stock market trading courses, contact us at 416-510-5560 or by e-mail at info@learn-to-trade.com.

George Karpouzis is the co-founder of Learn-to-Trade and has been personally providing education and mentoring to over 3000 members since 1999. George has been trading in the stocks, options, futures and forex markets using technical analysis since 1986. With the help of advancements in trading technology the Learn To Trade program is now accessible worldwide. His background and passion for teaching brings an invaluable asset to our members. George is constantly striving to improve the program content and develop new strategic relationships for the benefit of the members. Add me to your G+

Testimonial 3

I wanted to let you know that I had taken your course in the fall of 2013. I took your advice and used demo accounts for the last quarter of 2013. I switched to real money trading account in the Near Year, when I finally felt comfortable. Following the lessons taught to me by you (don’t jump on a moving train, peaks and valleys, EMA..etc), I wanted to let you know that I have been successful beyond my own expectations. Thank you very much – taking the Learn-to-Trade course was, by far, the best decision I made in my business career.

Steven R

Learn To Trade

4.0

2014-08-20T02:56:18-04:00

Steven R

I wanted to let you know that I had taken your course in the fall of 2013. I took your advice and used demo accounts for the last quarter of 2013. I switched to real money trading account in the Near Year, when I finally felt comfortable. Following the lessons taught to me by you (don’t jump on a moving train, peaks and valleys, EMA..etc), I wanted to let you know that I have been successful beyond my own expectations. Thank you very much – taking the Learn-to-Trade course was, by far, the best decision I made in my business career.

https://www.learn-to-trade.com/testimonials/testimonial-3/

Joseph L

The past options and forex tutorials taught by George were very helpful. I find these tutorials invaluable for a busy person like myself. I was able to keep myself up to date and on track ready to continue the learning process. Thanks for all the help and keep up the great work.

Joseph L

Learn To Trade

4.0

2014-08-20T10:36:37-04:00

Joseph L

The past options and forex tutorials taught by George were very helpful. I find these tutorials invaluable for a busy person like myself. I was able to keep myself up to date and on track ready to continue the learning process. Thanks for all the help and keep up the great work.

https://www.learn-to-trade.com/testimonials/joseph-l/

Harley S

The course is amazing. Where were you 30 years ago?

Harley S

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5.0

2014-08-20T10:37:39-04:00

Harley S

The course is amazing. Where were you 30 years ago?

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Partick M

I learned the basics I needed to trade successfully.

Partick M

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4.0

2014-08-20T10:38:34-04:00

Partick M

I learned the basics I needed to trade successfully.

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Iouri G

I like making money. I’m very happy, so far so good

Iouri G

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2014-08-20T10:39:27-04:00

Iouri G

I like making money. I’m very happy, so far so good

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Akos B

I learned things it would have taken me years to figure out

Akos B

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2014-08-20T10:40:05-04:00

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I learned things it would have taken me years to figure out

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Robert B

There is always someone ready to answer my questions.

Robert B

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2014-08-20T10:40:59-04:00

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There is always someone ready to answer my questions.

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Uldus V

I was impressed with the course’s professionalism and enthusiasm.

Uldus V

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2014-08-20T10:41:40-04:00

Uldus V

I was impressed with the course’s professionalism and enthusiasm.

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Dean K

I wish I knew about trading as a business years ago!

Dean K

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4.0

2014-08-20T10:42:24-04:00

Dean K

I wish I knew about trading as a business years ago!

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Peter P

Learn to Trade provided me with strategy, self-confidence and discipline

Peter P

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4.0

2014-08-20T10:42:57-04:00

Peter P

Learn to Trade provided me with strategy, self-confidence and discipline

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Shelley P

I took your course in 2008 and loved it. Since then I have been using what I learned at Learn-to-Trade to nicely supplement my pension income. Wanting a carefree type of trading, I have for the most part just sold options and made a monthly income which is a nice addition to my pension. I know I never would have made this kind of trading income without Learn-to-Trade. Thank you!

Shelley P

Learn To Trade

5.0

2014-08-20T10:34:39-04:00

Shelley P

I took your course in 2008 and loved it. Since then I have been using what I learned at Learn-to-Trade to nicely supplement my pension income. Wanting a carefree type of trading, I have for the most part just sold options and made a monthly income which is a nice addition to my pension. I know I never would have made this kind of trading income without Learn-to-Trade. Thank you!

https://www.learn-to-trade.com/testimonials/shelley-p/

Amir

Hi George,

I just wanted to thank you again for the amazing work on the tutorials especially Options trading. Prior to joining, I had underestimated the quality of the trainings but they certainly far exceeded my expectations. Only I wish I’d found you 5-10 years ago!

Learn To Trade

5.0

2016-10-07T08:56:52-04:00

Hi George, I just wanted to thank you again for the amazing work on the tutorials especially Options trading. Prior to joining, I had underestimated the quality of the trainings but they certainly far exceeded my expectations. Only I wish I’d found you 5-10 years ago!