4/7 MLB DFS: Chase that money Tuesday

Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our analysis will help you consistently build winning rosters over the long run.

Weather:

STL at CHC – PPD (this news broke late so you will still see player names in the Analysis)

TEX at OAK – Another game with precipitation issues that we’ll be monitoring closely.

Game forecasts by Meteorologist Mark Paquette beneath the Analysis. If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Top Play:

Buster Posey (ARI) – Posey is the top ranked catcher in our model and, because of the viable salary relief options at other positions, can easily be squeezed into cash game lineups. Posey has accumulated a .351 wOBA and a cool .153 ISO against RHP since 2012. His matchup against Rubby De La Rosa is exceptional. In a limited Major League sample (56 innings), De La Rosa has a below average K percentage (17.6 percent) and allows plenty of hard contact (1.60 HR/9). A shift from Fenway Park to Chase Field won’t do him any favors. According to ESPN park factors from last season, Fenway Park was ranked 27th in home runs while Chase Field was ranked seventh. I view Posey as a great play in all formats tonight, especially given the gap between him and the rest of his peers.

Next in line:

Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) – Lucroy ranks slightly below Posey in our model but I think the gap is a bit wider. The Brewers take on Jordan Lyles, who limits hard contact to RHB (18.7 line drive percentage) and while he allows a good amount of contact (18.2 strike out percentage), he keeps the ball in the ground for the most part (53.9 groundball percentage). Hitting second in the lineup increases his opportunities and Lucroy has posted a .351 wOBA and .164 ISO over the last few years but his matchup isn’t as good as Posey’s matchup. If you want a cheaper option than Posey, Lucroy should be considered but I would rather have Posey in my cash game lineups due to his favorable matchup.

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