One-line summary: The Raiders are 2-0 against the Vegas point-spread so far, and I’ve ridden right along with them, though I’ve stumbled elsewhere.

As Dennis Allen and I are both thinking: Why mess up a good thing? I’m sticking with the Raiders plus the large number Monday night in Denver, and if that’s a mistake, at least I’ll go down wearing Silver & Black.

Right to the picks, which are coming in a little late this week, understandably with all the stuff going on–America’s Cup, A’s pennant race, that other NFL team in the area…

1. PURDY (last week 3-0, overall 4-1-1)/

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-Picks TBA.

* 49ERS -10, over Indianapolis. Purdy comment: Colts are still overrated and a running back trade won’t cure problem.

* DENVER -15, over Raiders. Purdy comment: That’s a whole lot of points but I’ve seen the Raiders get steamrolled on Monday night in Denver before when the Broncos didn’t have Manning and the Raiders had a more seasoned quarterback.

* MINNESOTA -6.5 over Cleveland. Purdy comment: Browns are in tatters. Vikings are still playing inside their noisy dome. The point spread should be bigger.

T2. KAWAKAMI (last week 1-2, overall 4-2)/

* 49ERS -10, over Indianapolis. My comment: Indy plucking TB Trent Richardson from Cleveland yesterday puts a new spin on this game, but shouldn’t change the general shape of it unless Richardson improves Indy’s offensive line all by himself.

The Colts are what we saw vs. the Raiders in Week 1: Andrew Luck can move the ball when the passing game is clicking, but the Colts aren’t yet a power run team and a few days of Richardson won’t immediately change that.

Plus Indy is very suspect on defense, as Terrelle Pryor displayed. I suspect Indy will try to push around the 49ers receivers the same way Seattle did… and won’t get it done. I also suspect the 49ers will have a large desire to run the ball down the Colts’ throats, and will achieve at least partial success.

Something like 49ers 30-13.

* RAIDERS +15, over Denver. My comment: Sure, this could get out of control fast. Peyton Manning and those receivers are red-hot, Denver is very tough in the Mile High air, and the Raiders could start messing up right off the bat under prime-time pressure.

I’m still grabbing the points because the Raiders D is semi-built to handle big pass attacks and the loss of LT Ryan Clady could make Denver a little suspect against a decent pass rush, which the Raiders have been getting.

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I think Darren McFadden will be limited, but will pop one long run, I think Pryor will scramble well–though he might throw an INT or two–and I think the Broncos will play it conservatively with Clady out.

Something like Denver 27-13, a close-call Raiders cover.

* PITTSBURGH +2.5, over Chicago: My comment: The Steelers as a backs-against-the-wall home dog? I have to take that, even though I’m sure not how they’re going to move the ball against the Bears D. Somehow, Pittsburgh will rally it up for a fourth-quarter victory, I’m guessing.

T2. RYAN (last week 3-0, overall 4-2)/

* 49ERS -10, over Indianapolis. Ryan comment: This is the kind of workmanlike game the 49ers have feasted on with Harbaugh. Colts don’t have the defensive manpower to stay with the Niners, and tricks don’t work. I don’t think the fourth quarter is going to matter in this one.

* RAIDERS +15, over Denver. Ryan comment: That’s such a big number in the NFL, I can see the Raiders getting a pride touchdown at the end. And the Raiders do have pride. I can’t see them winning, but I can see Raider Nation feeling OK about this game.

* TENNESSEE -3, over San Diego. Ryan comment: With a destruction of Pittsburgh and a near-miss in Houston, the Titans are shaping up as a good candidate for surprise team of 2013. Chargers took advantage of a bad Philly D; they won’t do it to Tennessee.

4. BACH (last week 1-2, overall 2-4)/

–Bach intro: Wow. What a strange start to the season. Who would have thought that Kansas City would be 3-0?! My gauge is off, but I’ll give it another go:

* INDIANAPOLIS +10, over 49ers. Bach comment: For the record, I don’t like the spreads in any of this week’s game, so this is a 50-50 proposition for me. I believe they 49ers will correct the mistakes that killed them in Seattle and get Frank Gore into a rhythm. I expect the 49ers to win, but with a Vernon Davis who hasn’t practiced all week and a few injury questions yet to be answered on the defense, not by 10.

* DENVER -15, over Raiders. Bach comment: Oakland is finding its way and building an identity on its run game. Denver knows the strengths of its team and there are many.

* MINNESOTA -6.5, over Cleveland. Bach comment: “Hey! We may have traded away our top offensive player after only two games. But we still believe in this team. Now, go crush the Vikings and the league’s top running back on the road and do us proud!” Don’t see it happening.