The big winner in the Virginia Democratic primary for Governor continues to be ‘undecided.’ 46% of voters have not made their minds up, down slightly from 53% in PPP’s first monthly tracking poll of the race.

Last month McAuliffe and Moran were tied at 18% with Deeds further back at 11%. The basic contour of the race has not changed much over the last four weeks with McAuliffe and Deeds each picking up an additional three points and Moran gaining by one.

Helping McAuliffe to his small lead is holding the advantage among black voters, 26-16 over Moran. He has led with that demographic in both of our polls. He is particularly weak though with independent voters, carrying 11%, well behind both Deeds and Moran. He was similarly week in that demographic a month ago, carrying only 9%.

Unless voters start paying attention, this race is likely to remain tight right up until the finish. Most likely, the winner will be whoever can get the most supporters to the poll in what is likely to be a low-turnout primary.