Tuesday, August 7, 2018

As I mentioned several days ago, my friends down at NHC must be bored due to the lack of activity in the Atlantic. Now I’m sure of it since they named a storm (Debby) so far out and so far north in the Atlantic that years ago, (before satellites) we wouldn’t have known about it. Debby is only a threat to shipping and will be gone within 1-2 days. Several tropical waves are becoming better defined coming off of Africa, but none of them show development & computer models indicate that trend will continue. We do have an upper low over the western Gulf with another one near Key West. We are locked in to a daily shower pattern that favors coastal development at night redeveloping inland during daytime heating. These are typical slow moving August T-Storms where one neighborhood gets slammed while several blocks down the road receives very little. Vivid lightning accompanies these storms so “when thunder roars, get indoors”.

Hurricane Hector is churning (Cat 4) heading just far enough south of Hawaii to spare the big island any major impacts. Hurricane John absorbed Ileana while Christy is also predicted to be swallowed up by John’s circulation. Active Eastern Pacific usually means a quiet Atlantic. No signs of that pattern changing during the next 10-14 days. Stay tuned!