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NFL Picks

Best NFL Picks ATS in Week 4 of NFL Betting

The Packers, Falcons and Raiders haven’t played their best football on the road this season, but we think they make up some of the best ATS plays in week 4 of NFL betting. Find out why and what NFL picks we’ve served up.

Green Bay Packers -2.0 vs. Chicago Bears
Since Aaron Rodgers assumed the starting role in Green Bay, the Packers have never gone 1-3 to start the season. Granted the Packers’ offense hasn’t ever struggled quite as it is struggling right now – they are 21st on passing offense with 210.7 yards per game and are averaging a lowly (by their standards) 18 points per game. But last week’s 19-7 debacle in Detroit diluted their stats significantly. Aaron Rodgers has something to prove in this game and – let’s face it – Bears’ defense is nothing to write home about having allowed approximately 20 points against in each game.

NFL Picks: Packers -1.5

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":290617, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]Atlanta Falcons -3.0 vs. Minnesota Vikings
Atlanta Falcons boast the top passing offense in the league with 333.7 passing yards. As well, they are averaging almost 35 points per game. Granted road form is a question mark after a 24-10 defeat to the Bengals in week 2. But the Vikings are going through a transition right now with Teddy Bridgewater taking over the starting role.

Bridgewater may be an upgrade on Matt Cassel, to some extent. But experience counts in a quarterback-driven league. Vikings defense allowed 50 points against New England and New Orleans combined in their last two games. If they had their hands so full with New England and New Orleans, two sides that boast reputable quarterbacks, albeit not playing at their best. How will it fare against Matt Ryan if it breaks down again? Matt Ryan is second on the offensive leaders’ charts with 965 yards tallied, a mere 13 yards less than league-leading Nick Foles. He is also averaging a league-leading 8.69 yards per pass attempt and has seven touchdowns in just three games. If Ryan picks apart the Vikings defense, how will Teddy Bridgewater respond? In preparing our NFL picks, we wonder if he can create the offensive opportunities that would allow the Vikings to keep this game close.

Oakland Raiders +4 vs. Miami Dolphins (London)
On paper, the Dolphins do look better than the Raiders. Based on current form, they have no business being so strongly favoured, even at the expense of a questionable Raiders side that is still figuring things out on offense.

But stats and everything aside, one of the main reasons why we’re going against the Dolphins is because of the effects of travel/jet-lag. The Raiders arrived in London earlier this week, flying out of New England directly, which means they are well acclimatised. The Dolphins aren’t even there yet. Dolphins chose to delay their travel plans until Friday because they wanted to keep everything normal, business as usual with practice, workouts and the sort.

We think the powers that be might be underestimating the severity of jet lag and time difference, and its effect on players. The Dolphins were sluggish in their last two games States-side, all while enjoying the regular schedule. Throwing cross-Atlantic travel into the equation will only make them even more lethargic on the field surely.