Week 4 NFL Picks2 min read

Big week for us last week, the Aaron Rodgers’ comeback in the 4th capped off a wild day that included a winner on the no-touchdown call in Detroit.

Last Week 4-1

Overall 9-6

Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons -8

Yes, I know we lost last week picking against the Bills, but that was in Old Orchard and against a wonky Broncos team. This week, despite the big points we’re giving up, I like Atlanta at home. The Falcons have played well since their near defeat in Chicago in Week 1 and I expect the defense to pick up their play against a decent-at-best Bills’ offense. Buffalo has yet to face an offense as potent as Atlanta and I expect the Falcons to score.

Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots OVER 49

I would love to take the Pats, but the spread is too big at -9 with how poorly the defense has played. That being said, Carolina hasn’t looked that great on offense, Cam is obviously still getting his shoulder strength back. It feels like Brady knows he is going to have to score in bundles to win games and is finding ways to do it. I think the Pats can score 35 points easily, leaving Carolina to put up a meager 14, I’ll take my chances on the over.

Cincinnati Bengals -3.5 at Cleveland Browns

The Browns just aren’t a good football team, Kizer has not performed well thus far and they cannot seem to get the running game going. Cincinnati finally woke up their offense and are primed for a road win this week. Not to mention the defense gets Vontaze Burfict back this week.

Tennessee Titans -1.5 at Houston Texans

I am not convinced the Texans are a good team. And while I still might not be sold on Tennessee as a playoff team, I certainly like Marcus Mariota and that offense over the weapons, or lack thereof, that the Texans have. Oh, and the Titans have scored 30+ points in the past two games.

New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3

I was between quite a few games for my final pick but decided to go against the stunningly bad New York Football Giants on the road. Tampa looked bad last week. No way around it. They gave up 34 points to Case Keenum. Maybe it’s the Hard Knocks hype, but I think Tampa is a solid team and the defense is far better than they played last week. I also LOVE Gerald McCoy going up against that porous NY o-line. It’s on Jameis to limit turnovers and get the ball to his playmakers.