Why San Antonio will win: The Spurs are the first team since the NBA/ABA merger without a player averaging 30 minutes a game, and only healthy, younger backup guards Marco Belinelli and Patty Mills topped 80 games played. Yet they were the best team in the NBA anyway. They have had no problems with their longtime rivals all season, and they appear ready for another Finals run.

Why Dallas will win: Nowitzki cannot be counted out, and Monta Ellis is a high-level talent who has put it all together this season. And if any coach can handle Gregg Popovich, it's the Mavs' Rick Carlisle.

Did you know? Duncan and Nowitzki, who have been in the same division (and state) and playing the same position since 1998, have played 26 playoff games, with Duncan leading the series 14-12. He holds the regular-season edge a little more comfortably, with a 31-21 split.