I will create an archive folder for NFL sheets inside the primary link from post #1 of this thread. Same drill as the baseball forum. In fact, the link in post #1 will remain constant through the season. Each week I will move the previous week's sheets into the archive folder and post the upcoming weeks thread in it's own folder.

i think vegas has tricked people into think the texans are a trap judging by this forum...

I try avoid reading into things like this. It can only cloud the true probability of the game. As far as my numbers show, the Texans should win this game approximately 71% of the time. Historically, teams with this winning percentage have an average margin of victory of about 9 ppg. Oddsmakers set a pretty fair line here.. it's not a trap or anything else. It just is what it is.

Turnovers are not factored into the model. Turnovers in the NFL have very little to do with skill.. footballs are a very weird shape and they tend to do unpredictable things. I've found that it's best to avoid throwing them into the equation if possible. Better to keep it simple by looking at offensive/defensive match-ups.

have a punt silly i do not believe the jets can stop the pass rush of the texans they triple team watt and brooks reed comes through easy, lucky to get away with that sack strip earlier, wouldnt be surprised to see more.

I will create an archive folder for NFL sheets inside the primary link from post #1 of this thread. Same drill as the baseball forum. In fact, the link in post #1 will remain constant through the season. Each week I will move the previous week's sheets into the archive folder and post the upcoming weeks thread in it's own folder.

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