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Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western RegionIssued at 2:00 pm WST on Wednesday 8 November 2017for the period until midnight WST Saturday 11 November 2017.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

There are no significant tropical lows in the Western Region at present and noneare expected to develop over the next three days.A weak tropical low lies to the west of Sumatra, Indonesia and north of theWestern Region. The system will move slowly south and develop further onThursday and Friday before taking a more westward track from Saturday andSunday. It is likely to stay north of the Western Region, however if it doesmove into the far northwest parts it will likely be as a tropical low.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on: Thursday: Very Low Friday: Very Low Saturday: Very Low

Tropical cyclone development possibility:Suspect area with minimum pressure 1010 mb is observed in Indian Ocean near 6.1S 97.4E, about 642km west north west of Bengkul , and moving slowly to the South.

Note:Small possibility means possibility for the suspect area to develop into tropical cyclone is less than 10%.Medium possibility means possibility for the suspect area to develop into tropical cyclone is about 20%-40%.Large possibility means possibility for the suspect area to develop into tropical cyclone is more than 50%.

Southern Indonesia area is area within equator to 11 S and 90 to 141 E.