Posts by Peter Green

Gower really didn't do a "decent enough job" in his report. He made multiple important factual errors with regards to the Labour constitution, and he claimed Cunliffe said something seconds after a clip of him emphatically not saying that thing.

And, significantly, the swing is reflected in the regular Government Confidence Rating

I need to edgeler this bit. If your outlier poll has sampled too many National voters, then you'll get increases in party vote, preferred PM, and govt confidence. When they all move together, that's what we expect — it's not evidence that the swings are real.