Moveable Feast Cafe 2018/11/01 … Open Thread

2018/11/01 06:00:01Welcome to the ‘Moveable Feast Cafe’. The ‘Moveable Feast’ is an open thread where readers can post wide ranging observations, articles, rants, off topic and have animate discussions of the issues of the day.

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Prince Ahmad bin Abdulaziz, the younger brother of King Salman, has returned to Saudi Arabia after a prolonged absence in London, to mount a challenge to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman or find someone who can.

The septuagenarian prince, an open critic of bin Salman (MBS), has travelled with security guarantees given by US and UK officials.

“He and others in the family have realised that MBS has become toxic,” a Saudi source close to Prince Ahmad told Middle East Eye.

“The prince wants to play a role to make these changes, which means either he himself will play a major role in any new arrangement or to help to choose an alternative to MBS.”

The source said that the prince returned “after discussion with US and UK officials”, who assured him they would not let him be harmed and encouraged him to play the role of usurper……….” etc

Pareto’s thesis was that elites always rule. There is always the domination of the minority over the majority. And history is just the story of one elite replacing another. This is what he called the “circulation of elites”. When the current elite starts to decline, it is challenged and makes way for another. Pareto thought that this came about in two ways: either through assimilation, the new elite merging with elements of the old, or through revolution, the new elite wiping out the old. He used the metaphor of a river to make his point. Most of the time, the river flows continuously, smoothly incorporating its tributaries, but sometimes, after a storm, it floods and breaks its banks.

Drawing on his Italian predecessor Machiavelli, Pareto identified two types of elite rulers. The first, whom he called the “foxes”, are those who dominate mainly through combinazioni (“combination”): deceit, cunning, manipulation and co-optation. Their rule is characterised by decentralisation, plurality and scepticism, and they are uneasy with the use of force. “Lions”, on the other hand, are more conservative. They emphasise unity, homogeneity, established ways, the established faith, and rule through small, centralised and hierarchical bureaucracies, and they are far more at ease with the use of force than the devious foxes. History is the slow swing of the pendulum from one type of elite to the other, from foxes to lions and back again.
…[]…
In the last years of his life, Pareto offered a commentary on Italy in the 1920s. He denounced the state’s inability to enforce its decisions and the way that Italians spent their time flaunting their ability to break the law and get away with it. He coined the phrase “demagogic plutocracy” to characterise the period, in which the rich ruled behind a façade of democratic politics. He thought this particularly insidious for two reasons: those in power were more interested in siphoning off wealth for their personal ends than encouraging the production of new wealth, and consequently undermined national prosperity (remember Pareto’s training as an economist); and, as the demagogic elites govern through deceit and cunning, they are able to mask their rule for longer periods.

Much has been made of Trump’s “populism”, but the term “demagogic plutocrat” seems particularly apt for him, too: he is a wealthy man who will advance the interests of his small clique to the detriment of the well-being of the nation, all behind the smokescreen of democratic politics.

There are other ways in which Pareto can help us understand our predicament. After all, he coined the 80/20 rule, of which we hear an intensified echo in the idea of “the One Per Cent”. Trump is a fully paid-up member of the One Per Cent, a group that he claims to be defending the 99 Per Cent from (or, perhaps, he is an unpaid-up member, given that what unites the One Per Cent is its reluctance to pay taxes). When we perceive the natural inequality of the distribution of resources as expressed through Pareto’s “power law”, we are intellectually empowered to try to do something about it.

Would you please your cite your evidence that President Trump is working for the 1% rather than 99% of US citizens?

At this 21-month point in his administration, US unemployment is at 50-year record lows, employment has never been greater and middle class / blue collar wages, that were stagnant for 20-years, are rising at an annual rate of 2.8 – 3%.

Moreover, the US Chamber of Commerce and Business Roundtable — the voice of the globalist 1% who outsourced American manufacturing, largely to China, and closed 70,000 manufacturing plants — are throwing $ millions at Senate and Congressional candidates opposed to the President’s policies.

Many of President Trump’s initiatives — e.g. in the Middle East — may be open to question. But his determination to lift employment and wages of the US 99% is palpable.

PS — Trump made his money building / managing hotels, resorts, golf clubs, rental and condominium apartments. In a way, his is a very old-fashioned, real property portfolio. No surprise, his current economic policy seems to favor old-fashioned “US Main Street” — rather than an outsourced, globalist nowhere.

“Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.2 percent from July 2017 to July 2018. The decline in real average hourly earnings combined with the 0.3-percent increase in the average workweek resulted in a 0.1-percent increase in real average weekly earnings over this 12-month period.

For production and nonsupervisory employees, real average hourly earnings decreased 0.4 percent, seasonally adjusted, over the 12 months ending July 2018. The decline in real average hourly earnings combined with a 0.3-percent increase in the average workweek resulted in a 0.1-percent decrease in real average weekly earnings over this 12-month period.”

Shortly after signing the tax cut package that will add nearly $2 trillion to the deficit over a decade, Trump proposed a budget that would cut $1.3 trillion for Medicare, Medicaid, and the Affordable Cart Act. The House Republican budget went even further, proposing $2.1 trillion in health care cuts.

Both budget proposals contained hundreds of billions more in cuts to food assistance, income security, education, and more.

Working families are seeing little benefit from the Trump-GOP tax giveaway — and would be devastated by the cuts to services that have been proposed to help pay for it. But a few people are basking in their new tax-cut windfalls:

President Trump: Though he claimed his tax plan would “cost him a fortune,” the new law will undoubtedly make him one.
…[]…
While this elite group of tax-law winners are enjoying their tax-cut spoils, the majority of Americans are left holding the bag.

” It is based on a survey of employer payrolls conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the final month of each quarter. The idea is that wage pressure increases in lockstep with inflation because compensation tends to increase before companies hike prices for consumers. Therefore, it is considered an inflationary tailwind when the Employment Cost Index exhibits a steepening trend line or a greater than expected increase for a given period.”

I’m now retired, but after a lifetime mostly spend working for corporations, compensation never increases before they raise prices to customers. Actually, its probably more accurate to say that compensation just never increases. Period. But every once in awhile they might get dragged kicking and screaming into giving people a minor raise that does not keep up with inflation.

BTW, an economist named John Williams keeps a useful website called Shadowstats. He has charts of how inflation would be if they still used the pre-1980 definition of the Consumer Price Index (ie, pre-Reagan) and the pre-1990 definition. I know this will shock the Trumpettes, but since government payments were indexed to the inflation rate, the government started lying about the inflation rate in order to be able to spend more money on bombs and missiles and carriers and nuclear weapons and overthrowing governments instead of wasting that money keeping people alive and not hungry. After all, the government would never lie.

According to these charts, the pre-Reagan way of computing the CPI would have 2018 at about 10%.

Which is just the maths saying what people already know. Everything keeps getting more expensive, even when the government says that $2 gallon of milk should only cost $0.04 more due to the 2% inflation they report.

Of course there are things that did not exist at any price in 1970 USA, but generally for those things working class people need and or want what cost a dollar then costs 10 dollars now… I would not quibble about details. Some econ guys say that once a people loose faith in a currency there follows a sudden loss of value, and that this suppressed truth about the real inflation rate will naturally have such a “home to roost” event, soon.

Trump named a cabinet of billionaires. And bragged about it. Said he wouldn’t have considered seriously anyone who isn’t a billionaires.

Billionaires are a tiny fraction of the 1%. I think the cut off line was $400k of income to be in the 1%. Something like that.

Trump and the Congress Repulblicans passed a giant tax cut for …. wait for it … billionaires. Billionaires and big corporations.

Unemployment is a fake number. Now that the emergency is over, unemployment benefits last something like 13 weeks. Unemployment percentages only measure those on unemployment. The real number is much higher, once you count what given the Orwellian name of “discouraged workers”. You can see this because wages are not rising. The bankers keep saying that at these unemployment numbers, they expect wages to rise, any time now, wait for it, sooner or later. The real answer is that there are still lots of people for any job so they can threaten to fire anyone who wants a raise and replace them.

The old joke from the Obama era is still true. A worker says “Yes, I know there are more jobs. I’ve got three of them.”

I used to work with real estate developers. They are generally scum who will rip you off, and use any trick in the book to avoid paying their bills. I know, a part of my job was to call real estate developers and try to get them to pay their bills. And there were always a stack of them who you learned not to do work for because they used Trump’s trick of declaring bankruptcy to stiff the people who’d done work for them.

And, as a group, real estate developers were the far-est of the far right in political opinions. If they weren’t in the 1%, they were lying, cheating and probably killing to ge there. Their attitude to the 99% would be to run them over if they got in the way of their luxury SUV.

BTW, the people who’ve had a very good time are exactly the same globalist elite you mention. The economic stat that Trump himself constantly cites in blowing his own horn is how much the stock market has gone up. In case you are confused by this modern world, Wall Street is definitely not Main Street.

The good news is that Trump is about to get his hiney kicked and hard. I don’t like Nancy Pelosi, but its because she’s the sort of millionaire scum who will cut a deal with Trump. But better get used to hearing her called Mrs. Speaker.

There is ONLY one way to cope with beasts: To kill them, has been that way a hundred thousand years ago, and is so now. Obviously mankind wouldn’t be were it is now had they not succesfully coped with the threat of wild beasts by eradicating them atleast from their perimeter.

There is no reason, why the same should not be applied now. Foxes and Lions are easy to identify through psychological screening as we now know early on.

The further development of the human race is dependent on this, because the risks grow steadily they pose and the huge wastage they produce.

Perhaps we need more mature matriarchially oriented societies, they most likely don’t have the scruples to eradicate the beasts without mercy.

There are several “traces” that suggest the MI6 curated the death of FDR. Taken altogether with the historical context, and the foreign and domestic policy changes – getting into the details of the individuals and their class and ways of living – all these aspects match closely with two outstanding claims. Gore Vidal tells it that Stalin suggested to Elanor R that FDR was murdered, poisoned. David Irving, additionally, argues that’s the case. I believe that some diligent hunting will lead to obscure sources that would clarify, Irving is a probable source for leads, so is Elliot R’s writing, and Gore’s too. Of course there were several prior attempts to kill or remove FDR, those failed… Well, that alone seems to imply that they’d keep at trying…

The troubled Mr Irving’s thoroughly researched but iconoclastic claims are easy to find on youtube, I think. He says, I think, that FDR was poisoned by White Russians being run by MI6, and Winston would be a primary author. You have to keep the entire business in perspective with the war in Europe – the whole idea was that the Germans would destroy the Reds and themselves, but the Reds were going to win! Roosevelt was planning to continue cooperative policies with USSR, huge sums of money…this had to be prevented at any cost…and it was done. Otherwise USSR would dominate Heartland and America would dominate the Americas…

I stopped hunting this down when it became clear enough to be regarded as fact, according to my internal “BS Detector” (that’s a Hemingway term) and I understand matters now within a structure that posits MI6 did that murder. Also it became clear enough that a proper forensic examination was not performed…in this it follows too the general protocols of realpolitik – which themselves follow those of crime syndicates. That’s typical…and they always try to fiddle the corpse because it is the best evidence.

When I mentioned it, and Vera Lynn, I was being satirical… The entire point being that mercy and the related Good do not coexist with intelops. Indeed, both the Ends and the Means must be both just, and doing politics by murder is a poor and desperate act because the outcomes cannot be controlled. VVP said recently something along these lines…about rule-by-fear…being problematic. In that example of course we can see how to react to such things – fear nothing – and presto, your opponent becomes weak, you become strong.

Back in the time of oldie commies in Romania, I read a book about world war two from the Library, where it stated that FDR “was an impediment” in the way of those who wanted to throw the A bomb on Japan because he doesn’t wanted to provoke the Soviet Union. So came to power Harry S Truman who did the job.
PS. I wonder what happened with those books in Romania, left in the state libraries after the U-turn in 1989…I can imagine though. The same fate probably as in all former socialist eastern European states. What a pity I don’t have a time machine to go back and pick them up.

Interesting site. What is said there is congruent with most everything – all the bits fit together. I suspect that the moon landings were real – they say that the boffins can see the scrapmetal remains on the surface, and of course radio direction finding would reveal false transmissions. Suspect – I am open to argument about the landings. The rest? It fits and makes sense.

Recently heavy evidence for Hitler surviving the war in remote Argentina German Colony has surfaced. Gradually all the poisons that lurk in the mud rise to give themselves away – by odor at the least!

The “textbook” is pretty clear – at critical moments in History, inflection points arise and Major Policy hinges on a death – a series of deaths at such times may include real coincidences, but it’s obvious that most are not accidental or natural.

@ parrhesiastes
… Man and Moon saga … the entry of truth is here …
The introducer says “quiet dignity” … meaning, thankyou for not exposing our lies and wrecking this event, but then much is said and stated beginning with …
” … ‘Parrots don’t fly well’ … but they are good at ‘repeating what they’re told’ … ”
Apollo 11 25th Anniversaryhttps://youtu.be/UeQriZqkKIk?t=138
(is this clear enough and loud enough ! )

Good find ! I smelled that FDR was killed when I read Montefiore’s book about Stalin, and thought it had been him. But MI6 indeed makes perfect sense, much more so than Uncle Joe – after all – as soon the Yanks arrived in Europe late 42, things started to get very, very bad for the Limeys in Europe.

“Corruption of Innocence with no Mitigation”
the charge is filed and properly leveled
Bergoglio finally by his own sins bedeviled
by counter motion claims his exculpation

Let his soul show up here, let’s put this to test
It is not my fault he won’t do for all what is best
clean up his own act and the church viper nest
Great crimes are still hidden by his refusal to act
Worse ones continue as he cuts his friends slack

The Pope ( like MBS)–let him think he’s just too big to fail
Soon before me (and my minions) he’ll shake and he’ll quail
Perversion and evil always show up at my door
So these ones are mine, I move, mine–evermore!

Earthly Kings and Queens for these step aside
but not in this court do these get a free ride
Judgement I’ll have since the verdict is clear
they’ll pay for their crimes – the cost will be dear

Idiot Isil plans a martyr to make of this Pope
For heaven and earth, that’s such a rich joke
No matter on earth—my motion is clear
for heaven’s sake summons him to appear…here.

For the sake of the children there’s no time to waste
and so with this motion I do rest my case.

Micha-el–for the Defense:

All in good Time when the order is given
until then, may he become shriven.

Gentlemen . . . look around you at the gifts of God, the clear sky, the pure air, the tender grass, the birds; nature is beautiful and sinless, and we, only we are godless and foolish, and we don’t understand that life is a paradise, for we have only to understand that and it will at once be fulfilled in all its beauty, we shall embrace each other and weep.”
Fyodor Dostoevsky “The Brothers Karamazov”

The whole sentence keeps resonating until today, we the gentle men and women seems to never learn, being more and more foolish in our stubborn attitude, with each passing day going deeper and deeper in our self created mud.

Primitive idea of a modern theory of stuff; based on my ignorance and grasping: Fire ascends, Water descends, and Earth remains; the example given as proof of the Trinity by St Spyridon – with power, in the Spirit; fire is the commanded and created light of Creation, water is the true substance of the Word that was spoken, Earth is the Word of creation made flesh in the power of the Spirit. Law, Light and Life. A trinity of creation.

… lacking the fourth element, the air
analogy of the nonexistence of matter
in the configurations of meaning
hence we can have a universe in our brain
but still lacking a lot of invisible ‘stuff’
seemingly ordering our premonition
called God or gods, archetypes, numen
waiting for body and soul to mirror
spirit and soul

I concur with that “primitive idea”,Chris. The entire Life on this planet is the wonder itself, no atheist whatsoever can prove the opposite when even the scientists talk openly on a wonder, too many known and unknown, discovered and undiscovered details have come together to bring and make life possible, with a precise rule. Without a super intelligent influence, without that Word, it simply couldn’t be at all. And the Earth is just a tiny place in the Universe we know of, who can imagine what is beyond, couldn’t be other places like this one ? maybe with or under other physical rules, who knows that for sure if they are not ? We the humans, as a plant with roots in a garden, who doesn’t know what is in the neighbor’s garden, we try to convince ourselves that we are the only ones who can think, who can feel, who can innovate, create things which ease our lives and so on.(maybe that we are the only ones who can destroy our own lives and planet)
I also have a “primitive idea” : we are part of a large scale Experiment, an experiment which is counted in millions of years which is called evolution. That evolution is the evolution of the spirit, of our spirit, of our souls and our mind, the mind connects the spirit, the body and the soul in this earthly life, always learning and accumulating experience. I don’t think that one single life (which can be very short sometimes), is enough to learn some lessons…I cannot imagine that a seven year old kid who stole from the church and after that he died in an accident, will go to Hell instantly, without appeal on “court”. Many such examples abound in life, much harsher and questionable. I won’t discuss and enter in religious questions, rather in the logic of Creation and that of Life. Without a logic, there wouldn’t be life at all, there are certain Rules which have to be kept by all, being approved by all at the beginning. And here lies the hard part of the experiment, because this experiment is an endeavor required for a spiritual evolution, accepted on free will, we can make good or we can make bad to others and to ourselves cause everything is interconnected, the bad or good, sooner or later will return to its sender. Are we patient ? no, we aren’t. Oh, how far I am from that good way…

One has to think about the recent events involving the split between Constantinople and Moscow. That the Patriarch of Constantinople was under political pressure was never in any doubt. We had several events prior to the decision to grant autocephaly to the so-called Ukrainian Church of the Kiev Patriarchate, which clearly indicated that the Empire of Chaos will target the Orthodox world next.

– Deteriorating relations between Turkey and the US. As we all know, the Patriarch of Constantinople is a Turkish citizen. As Turkey started to drift from the US camp and build closer cooperation with Russia, Washington may have deemed it was time to use the Patriarch against Turkey as well.

– A diplomatic row between Greece and Moscow, in which Athens accused Russia of meddling in the agreement to re-name Macedonia (an agreement backed and demanded by the West). Greece expelled Russian diplomats. It came at the time when Russia and Turkey started a closer cooperation, which caused fears in Athens. Greece seems to be drifting in Western camp.

– Macedonia being dragged into NATO, kicking and screaming and with unprecedented pressure. The US ambassador stayed in the parliament building as the MP’s discussed the constitutional amendments allowing for the name change and subsequent NATO and EU membership. The govt could not secure the required 2/3 majority so Western officials, from EU ones to Merkel all visited Skopje openly calling for the agreement to be adopted even though the referendum failed.

Now we have Constantinople openly intervening on the behalf of the Empire by splitting the Orthodox world (or trying to). Many Orthodox churches would need to take sides in the case of the schism escalating. Whatever they choose, there will be consequences.
Although perhaps unintended, the granting of autocephaly to Ukraine may embolden other churches to see the same for themselves, such as the so-called ‘Church of Macedonia’ Montenegro or even Croatia.

Putin recently spoke about the event for the first time, saying it might have grave consequences. It’s far from being limited to Ukraine and Russia, as it involves most of the Orthodox world, as well as Turkey, because of well-known reasons.
But every conflict, in the end, makes things clearer, we will at least know openly who serves the Empire and its anti-Christian agenda and who remains true to Orthodoxy.
The gambit of the Patriarch of Constantinople may cost him much in the end and have unintended consequences.
Instead of fulfilling his wet dream of becoming the Eastern Pope, he will facilitate the final collapse of the ancient, but fallen Patriarchate of Constantinople. It’s the Patriarchate that lost the Empire, the ‘worldly’ sword back in 1453. Without the backing of the Imperial authority, Constantinople was reduced to a relict that threw itself in the arms of the Vatican.
Two times the peoples of Constantinople and the Empire and Orthodox lands beyond its borders rejected the union with the Vatican, even at the cost of enduring persecutions. Back then it was the Orthodox Church that saved the state, now it’s the church that needs aid from the State in resisting the attempts of the enemy to divide and weaken it.

It gives hope that the Orthodox people and Orthodox Church suffered through harder times than it’s the case today. Both the Ottoman/Tatar rule, Fascism and Communism. Today it has likely the most wicked enemy to endure: godless, anti-Christian secularism bent on uprooting all the traditional aspects of society and alienating people from each other, with the ultimate goal of destroying the identity men and reducing them to slaves.
If there is a way to stop it, that is Orthodoxy, which is already showing to be more vital than the fallen churches of the West.

Engdahl on the zpc/nwo (or zionazi-nazi, israeloamerican) economic war strategy. He doesn’t talk about counters to this being employed, so really only half the story. But still, useful on what the zionazis are up to.

Washington’s Silent Weapon for Not-so-quiet Wars. “A World Full of Dollars”, A 2019 Global Economic Crisis

“Today by far the deadliest weapon of mass destruction in Washington’s arsenal lies not with the Pentagon or its traditional killing machines. It’s de facto a silent weapon: the ability of Washington to control the global supply of money, of dollars, through actions of the privately-owned Federal Reserve in coordination with the US Treasury and select Wall Street financial groups. Developed over a period of decades since the decoupling of the dollar from gold by Nixon in August, 1971, today control of the dollar is a financial weapon that few if any rival nations are prepared to withstand, at least not yet.”

Will those soldiers serving israel’s quisling regime in dc be shooting women and kids with expanding bullets (that leave fist sized exit wounds), like the zionazi subhumans are using against humans in Palestine? Perhaps they’ll just depend on massa israel’s training manuals, instead?

What one is seeing here is the usa being completely taken over by the israeli likud, this is israel murdering Palestinians and getting off on it, pindo colonized style, true jail house sukas, the country is an unabashed colony of these israeli nazi throwbacks. And the subhuman things sre proud of it.

The video is a delight from an analytical point of view with layers of meaning. Trump wants to rule the world and he is convinced of his own righteousness and exceptionalism and ability to rule the world. He is very street smart and incredibly dangerous for free people, is my assessment after watching that video and rearranging the deliberately crafted unstructured nature. Buffoonery is a mere tactic. It is when the buffoonery mask slips, that we see the creature and it is a creature that makes you and me subject to the creature. He owns us, dammit! We have a genuine emperor of the world that emerges and you and I must be thankful for his largess and now go and eat your MacDonalds human. In that video Trump is standing in front of a gold decorative wall thing … for the highly visual folks among us .. take a good look at how the hair of the creature blends just exactly with the color of the gold as the lights of the cameras play in that region. That was of course just a coincidence *not*. For the auditory among us, listen to the litany of hot buttons, dropped into the speech just sufficient times to create cognitive dissonance, of course then immediately uncomfortableness, of course then followed by sweeping statement that makes the listener comfortable again … like embracing a universal value – this pattern is rhythmic. For the feeling types, intuitive and kineasthetic types, you’ll get the feeling. This is not your folksy grandfatherly stable genius speaking, although the sense of ‘the greater being’ comes through in somewhat of a grandfatherly manner with simplified teachings aimed at 8-graders. If I really wanted to get in trouble, I’ll mention the name of the technique but I don’t want to get into trouble so I’ll not do that.

Who created this crisis? No, it is not the ubiquitous Soros. It is a political gift. Who needed a political gift? See the dissonance here? London Paul said that of course the military is wanted on the Southern Border – did anyone think this was by accident? It is by design. I was saying to some friends that I can think of at least 5 ways to solve this crisis without violence, legally and with restitution of the continual destabilization of the Central American area of the world in the ‘continual Central American war against those damn commies’. This is a crisis that wants to be there, because it is needed and as such manufactured. Who Dun It? As usual, the people are the unwitting pawns. We’re creating our own little Gaza strip – its not only Israel that can have one! It is all the latest fashion, we all need a Gaza strip! The creature has a firm belief – It believes it is not mortal and the usual natural laws of earth and those of God do not apply.

If stones are fire-arms then I shall be delighted to see US cops and US military equip their Illustrious and Glorious Fighting men (and girls) with the latest rocks – obviously synthetic rocks from Luckup Industrial Minerals Division, at 1,000 bucks per rock…. Of course these work only with state of the art catapults…that require constant and expensive maintenance by Luckup Services Division….

“The UN General Assembly has overwhelmingly adopted its 27th annual resolution calling for an end to the US economic embargo on Cuba after a failed bid by Washington to amend the text to push the Caribbean island to improve its human rights record. 189 countries voted in support of the resolution, while the US and Israel voted against it, with Ukraine and Moldova abstaining.”

The israelis couldn’t even muster more than their pindo usuals beyond a couple of their munor colonies.

Since Washington has been using SWIFT as a club for several years now, everyone has alternatives ready.

And, come to think of it, its a very hollow threat. The only nation right now who is not prepared to do without SWIFT is the USA. So, if the USA cuts off SWIFT, its the Americans who’s ATM cards won’t work.

With most bands, when they play a cover of somebody else’s tune, you get an urge to go listen to the original.

Good bands can play a cover song and get away with it.

When a great band plays a cover song, they change the song and make it their own, and from that moment forward you can’t imagine listening to anyone else play it and the original performance sounds a bit weak and shallow.

My model of the American voting public is that there is roughly 40% who back the Republicans no matter what, and about 40% that back the Democrats no matter what. If you look at past Presidential elections, even during the blowouts, when one side wins by a landslide, they losing side never drops below the low 40’s. So even their worst candidates get at least that much support.

Trump’s approval rating averages around 41 to 42%. it varies some depending on who takes the poll, and of course partisans can really stretch the numbers. But, when you see it all averaged together, Trump is about at 41-42%.

Which means, only the die-hard Republicans support Trump. No one else. Meanwhile, his Disapprove numbers are at 53-54%. Which means that not only do the die-hard democrats disapprove of Trump, but a good portion of that middle 20% does as well.

And, you see the same numbers if you look at polls for a Generic Congress ballot. Democrats are way ahead and Trump’s support is down to the die-hard Republicans. A site that tends to lean Repbulican, Real Clear Politics, has the average of the Right Direction-Wrong Direction poll question as 54-39% that America is going the wrong direction.

Anyone who’s been involved in American elections knows that middle 20% is where elections are won and lost. Trump’s con worked once in 2016 because he pretended to want to change things and Drain the Swamp. This is what swayed the middle 20%. And the Democrats also lost because the top Dems rigged the nomination to go to Crooked Hillary, and she did worse with that middle 20% than Trump did. But by now, the Middle 20% are wise to Trump’s con game and have left the building.

Trump is running a very polarizing campaign, making outrageous statements at rallies to try to get the hard right in line. Scary stories that human rights refugees might actually want asylum from the governments that Obama’s coup put into power and that Trump also really likes. Goebbels couldn’t do better. But the thing that sort of campaigning is that it is good at mobilizing your base, but they tend to drive the middle 20% away. It works best in very low turnout elections where getting your base to vote more than the other person’s is the key to winning. But, this won’t be a low-turnout election. Far from it. Lots of people have been waiting to vote for 2 years and are chomping at the bit. Lots of people have been counting the days until they can cast this vote.

As usual, the question is does Trump know what he is doing, or is he just stupid? I get the impression that this is the only way Trump in his limited political experience knows how to campaign. That Trump would probably fire an adviser who suggested a different tactic. But, if Trump does know what he’s doing, then he’s desperate. Trying to rally the base just before an election is a losing campaign tactic, for the very reason that it drives the middle away. A smart campaign gets its base in line early, when the media pays less attention, then works from that strong base to add the middle down the stretch. If you see a candidate having to activate their base just before the election, that’s usually because the internal poll numbers tell them that even their base isn’t very excited about them. That always means they lose.

So, is Trump just being his normal, natural stupid self and running a campaign of hate because he doesn’t know how to do anything else? Or, are Trump’s polls telling him that he’d better try to rally his base because even they are weak right now? Either way, its the hallmark of a losing campaign if you’ve watched a lot of American campaigns.

And, btw, another classic hallmark of a losing campaign is when they tell their supporters “Don’t believe the polls.”

Get used to hearing “Madam Speaker Pelosi.” I can’t stand her. But get used to hearing that.

“Attention Passengers on the Left Side of this aircraft: Extreme turbulence ahead…...it’s The Storm we are going through now. Do not leave you seats to try to get to the rest room to toss your cookies. Look behind the airline magazine on the back of the seat in front of you……there you will find a bag…..toss your cookies in the bag…. and hold on a few more days!

I have been banned from most of my favourite websites in the world over the last 20 years or so including the one I am going to link to. I have never been banned by The Saker, nor Off-Guardian, nor the Moon of Alabama. I have so much respect for you guys, and the people who comment on your blogs. I rarely post there, but I read you every day.

Sometimes after being banned, I am allowed to post again a few years later.

“”THE WEEKEND ESSAY: Why Gab is a victim of the “liberal” Establishment’s obsession with suppression”

“This is one of those rare occasions when I would appreciate readers making a special effort to maximise the audience for this post. It probably encapsulates The Slog’s philosophy better than any other single piece since 2010.”

Besides Kanye West and former Tucson Police Officer Brandon Tatum perhaps the most well known person for leading the Black Exit From the Democrat Plantation is Candace Owens, who can handle the Fake News, thank you:

Major discovery of Ben Leigh Smith’s vessel which sank off Franz Josef Land in 1881 sandwiched between two giant icebergs.

Unusually, the Eira did not have its name displayed – except on the ship’s bell which had been taken by the crew when they abandoned her when the vessel became caught in dangerous ice floes.
Items recovered from the Eira have been passed to the Museum of the World Ocean in Kaliningrad.
While ‘largely forgotten’ today as a polar explorer in his homeland, Russians salute his ‘great input into the discovery and early exploration of the Franz Josef Archipelago’.
The intrepid explorer had set out on 14 June 1881 on the Eira, with 25 crew, a cat, a canary and Bob the dog.
His key interest was deep sea currents, as well as seeking new territories in the Arctic.
But they were forced to spend ten months including a bitter winter in the Franz Josef Land archipelago in the Arctic.
Known as Britain’s ‘forgotten explorer’ because he shunned the self-promotion of Victorian rivals, he led his men the following year in four lifeboats with sails made from salvaged tablecloths on a perilous crossing to Novaya Zemlya where they were rescued by a British search party.http://www.siberiantimes.com/other/others/news/fragment-of-19th-century-scottish-rum-flagon-proves-arctic-wreck-is-famous-explorers-vessel-eira/

Alchemy has, in its much touted, and all-manifold insight, decreed the Four Elements, or states of matter, to be the foundation-stone, and divine ark, of all things knowable; all that lacks is merely a proven formula for the relative-relationship of the darkly impinging forces (but it isn’t lacking, merely hiding in plain sight; we do know, but just can’t say why). So there you have it, the magis have decreed a new, and steadily simple, vision of the universe of: Fire, Water, Earth and Air! What more can we wish for? an elixir of eternal life? No, we can die satisfied that no stone is left unturned; satisfied that meaning exists, where none before saw any lasting impulse. So let’s give our rock-solid, and fast-burning faith, some well deserved Airtime!

I can not be silent any longer, nor can I risk the credibility of this book by hiding
reality behind false names and obscured identity (though I have used initials for
the last names of some active field personnel, to protect their lives).
Iacta alea est. The die is cast.https://archive.org/details/ByWayOfDeception

I wrote this book to make known the truth about my journey. I have no doubt
that there are those who would prefer that their account of the events be the
record and who will do all in their power to make it so.
Because the complexity of the subject matter I decided that a book was the
most appropriate medium through which to convey the facts. I also decided
to present the material in more or less chronological order.http://educate-yourself.org/cn/The-Other-Side-of-Deception-1994-Victor-Ostrovsky.pdf

Plausible? Yes, I think so. True? Probably, if only because it is the only “option” left open to the delusional nazi junta…

Consider: “The war in Syria has shown that when it comes to conventional weapons, the US Armed Forces are no longer the top dog. Russia is now in control. Moscow has brought a new resource onto the war pitch: the most recent generation of hypersonic nuclear carriers. This introduction should see Russia getting ahead of the United States in nuclear warfare. Unwilling to lag behind and seeking to make up lost ground, the Pentagon intends to profit – in as much as time remains for it to do so— from its quantitative superiority, to impose its choices on Russia and China.”

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