Guardian/ICM polls + UK Independence party (Ukip) | The Guardianhttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/series/guardian-icm-polls+ukip
Indexen-gbGuardian News and Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved. 2015Wed, 04 Mar 2015 01:19:18 GMT2015-03-04T01:19:18Zen-gbGuardian News and Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved. 2015The Guardianhttp://assets.guim.co.uk/images/guardian-logo-rss.c45beb1bafa34b347ac333af2e6fe23f.pnghttp://www.theguardian.com
Labour lead falls as Greens hit 20-year high in Guardian/ICM pollhttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/jan/20/poll-labour-lead-fall-green-conservative-lib-dem-ukip
<p>Conservatives, Lib Dems and Labour record lowest-ever combined total as UKip falls but SNP and Greens make gains</p><p>Labour’s lead is down to three points according to the latest Guardian/ICM poll as data shows that the combined score for the three main parties is at an all-time low.</p><p>Ed Miliband’s party is not trusted to run the recovering economy, but the modest Tory rise is accompanied by rising concern about the NHS, seen by voters as the No 1 issue.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/jan/20/poll-labour-lead-fall-green-conservative-lib-dem-ukip">Continue reading...</a>General election 2015PoliticsLabourConservativesLiberal DemocratsUK Independence party (Ukip)Green partyTue, 20 Jan 2015 13:57:03 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/jan/20/poll-labour-lead-fall-green-conservative-lib-dem-ukipPhotograph: Andy Rain/EPAGreen Party leader Natalie Bennett unveils the general election campaign poster in London.Photograph: Andy Rain/EPAGreen Party leader Natalie Bennett unveils the general election campaign poster in London.Photograph: Guardian GraphicsPhotograph: Guardian GraphicsTom Clark2015-01-20T13:57:03ZICM/Guardian poll: support for Labour drops amid criticism of Ed Milibandhttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/nov/10/icm-guardian-poll-support-labour-drops-criticism-ed-miliband
Support for three main parties remains close to record low as Ukip, Greens and nationalist parties pick up support<p>Labour’s poll rating has dropped three percentage points on <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/13/ukip-support-surges-after-byelection-success-guardian-icm-poll">last month’s</a>, reducing its lead to the slenderest of margins over the Conservatives, according to Guardian/ICM research.</p><p>The party led by the under-pressure Ed Miliband registered support of 32%, retaining a single-point advantage because the Tories have failed to improve on the dismal 31% that they recorded in October.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/nov/10/icm-guardian-poll-support-labour-drops-criticism-ed-miliband">Continue reading...</a>Opinion pollsPoliticsLabourLiberal DemocratsConservativesUK Independence party (Ukip)Green partyEd MilibandNigel FarageGeneral election 2015Mon, 10 Nov 2014 19:19:00 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/nov/10/icm-guardian-poll-support-labour-drops-criticism-ed-milibandPhotograph: Mark Thomas/REXEd Miliband's personal ratings also plunged to a record low in polling conducted on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Photograph: Mark Thomas/REXPhotograph: Mark Thomas/REXEd Miliband's personal ratings also plunged to a record low in polling conducted on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Photograph: Mark Thomas/REXTom Clark2014-11-10T19:19:00ZUkip support surges after byelection success - Guardian/ICM pollhttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/13/ukip-support-surges-after-byelection-success-guardian-icm-poll
Latest survey shows 14% now say they would vote for Nigel Farage’s party, 35% would vote Labour and 31% Conservative<p>Ukip support has surged after its strong showing in two byelections last week, causing particular problems for the Conservatives’ ratings, according to a Guardian/ICM poll.</p><p>Ukip has bounced up five points on <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/sep/15/independent-scotland-not-use-pound-english-welsh-voters" title="">last month</a>, with 14% of those polled now saying they would vote for the party. Labour remains at 35% and much of the advance made by Nigel Farage’s party appears to come at the expense of the Conservative party, which drops back two points to 31%.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/13/ukip-support-surges-after-byelection-success-guardian-icm-poll">Continue reading...</a>UK Independence party (Ukip)General election 2015PoliticsLabourLiberal-Conservative coalitionConservativesLiberal DemocratsNigel FarageDavid CameronEd MilibandUK newsMon, 13 Oct 2014 14:44:30 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/13/ukip-support-surges-after-byelection-success-guardian-icm-pollPhotograph: Will Oliver/EPAUkip leader, Nigel Farage (right), with Douglas Carswell after he won the Clacton byelection. Photograph: Will Oliver/EPAPhotograph: Will Oliver/EPAUkip leader, Nigel Farage (right), with Douglas Carswell after he won the Clacton byelection. Photograph: Will Oliver/EPATom Clark2014-10-13T14:44:30ZVoters trust Cameron-Osborne most with the economy, poll findshttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/06/voters-trust-cameron-osborne-most-with-the-economy-poll-finds
<strong>Exclusive:</strong> Latest ICM poll shores up Conservative advantage over opposition, but reveals growing mistrust of political leaders<p>The Conservative party has shored up its advantage on the crucial economic battleground for the 2015 general election, according to a new ICM poll shared exclusively with the Guardian.</p><p>After David Cameron’s well-reviewed conference speech last week, which promised income tax cuts, 39% of voters say the prime minister and the chancellor, George Osborne, are the team they would most trust “to manage the economy properly”, compared with just 19% who say they would trust the opposition Labour leader, Ed Miliband and his shadow chancellor, Ed Balls.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/06/voters-trust-cameron-osborne-most-with-the-economy-poll-finds">Continue reading...</a>Economic policyPoliticsDavid CameronGeorge OsborneLiberal-Conservative coalitionConservativesLiberal DemocratsEd MilibandNick CleggNigel FarageUK Independence party (Ukip)LabourUK newsMon, 06 Oct 2014 17:53:03 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/06/voters-trust-cameron-osborne-most-with-the-economy-poll-findsPhotograph: /ReutersChancellor George Osborne (L) sits next to prime minister David Cameron after presenting his budget to the House of Commons in March. Photograph: ReutersPhotograph: /ReutersChancellor George Osborne (L) sits next to prime minister David Cameron after presenting his budget to the House of Commons in March. Photograph: ReutersTom Clark2014-10-06T17:53:03ZUkip support plummets to push Tories back into the leadhttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jul/14/ukip-guardian-icm-poll-tories-labour-nigel-farage
Poll shows Tories picking up majority of deserters as Farage's party drops back into single figures, with Labour on 33%<p>Ukip support has plunged back from its high point of the European elections, giving a boost to all the established Westminster parties and pushing the Tories into the lead, according to a new Guardian/ICM poll.</p><p>Nigel Farage's party drops back into single figures to stand on 9%, down seven points from last month's score of 16%. The Tories pick up the lion's share of these deserters, gaining three points to climb to 34%, enough to put them a single point ahead of Labour, even though the opposition also edges up one to 33%.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jul/14/ukip-guardian-icm-poll-tories-labour-nigel-farage">Continue reading...</a>UK Independence party (Ukip)ConservativesLiberal DemocratsPoliticsLabourUK newsNigel FarageDavid CameronGeneral election 2015European electionsMon, 14 Jul 2014 17:28:20 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jul/14/ukip-guardian-icm-poll-tories-labour-nigel-farageGareth Fuller/PAUkip are down seven points from last month’s score of 16%. Photograph: Gareth Fuller/PAGareth Fuller/PAUkip are down seven points from last month’s score of 16%. Photograph: Gareth Fuller/PATom Clark2014-07-14T17:28:20ZPopularity of Miliband and Clegg falls to lowest levels recorded by ICM pollhttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jun/17/ed-miliband-nick-clegg-fall-lowest-popularity-guardian-icm
Labour leader's satisfaction rating slips from -25 to -39 and deputy prime minister's falls 16 points to -37 from May to June<p>Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg both suffered a sharp drop in their personal popularity between May and June, falling to their lowest figures ever recorded in a Guardian-ICM poll. David Cameron also took a hit but his score looks like a victory by comparison.</p><p>In figures that will concern the Labour leader's team, Miliband's net satisfaction rating slipped from -25 to -39; the figure is the difference between the 22% who said he was doing a good job and the 61% who said the opposite. The drop from May's rating is thought to be largely due to previous don't knows firming up with a negative opinion of his performance.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jun/17/ed-miliband-nick-clegg-fall-lowest-popularity-guardian-icm">Continue reading...</a>PoliticsEd MilibandNick CleggLabourLiberal DemocratsUK Independence party (Ukip)Nigel FarageEuropean electionsConservativesUK newsTue, 17 Jun 2014 13:44:57 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jun/17/ed-miliband-nick-clegg-fall-lowest-popularity-guardian-icmTim Goode/PALabour party leader Ed Miliband whose popularity has fallen to -39. Photograph: Tim Goode/PATim Goode/PALabour party leader Ed Miliband whose popularity has fallen to -39. Photograph: Tim Goode/PAPatrick Wintour2014-06-17T13:44:57ZSupport for Tories falls three points after post-budget bouncehttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/apr/14/support-tories-falls-budget-boost-deflated-maria-miller-row
Guardian/ICM poll finds Conservatives down to 32% as Ed Balls vows to continue campaigning on the cost of living<p>The budget has failed to boost the Conservatives with voters, according to a new Guardian/ICM poll, as the shadow chancellor, Ed Balls, says Labour will continue to talk about the cost of living because people are likely to be worse off at the next election than in 2010.</p><p>The Tories have dropped three points to 32% over the month since March despite the positive media reaction to George Osborne's &quot;budget for savers&quot;.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/apr/14/support-tories-falls-budget-boost-deflated-maria-miller-row">Continue reading...</a>Opinion pollsPoliticsConservativesLabourLiberal DemocratsUK Independence party (Ukip)European electionsEuropean UnionUK newsMon, 14 Apr 2014 20:10:00 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/apr/14/support-tories-falls-budget-boost-deflated-maria-miller-rowJoshua Roberts/ReutersThe Tories would have hoped for a poll bounce after George Osborne’s 'budget for savers' was lauded in the media. Photograph: Joshua Roberts/ReutersJoshua Roberts/ReutersThe Tories would have hoped for a poll bounce after George Osborne’s 'budget for savers' was lauded in the media. Photograph: Joshua Roberts/ReutersTom Clark, Rowena Mason and Katie Allen2014-04-14T20:10:00ZOne in five could vote Ukip in European elections, ICM poll showshttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/feb/10/ukip-better-2009-european-elections-guardian-icm-poll
Support for Nigel Farage's party rises to 20% in relation to May's elections, compared with 35% for Labour and 25% for Tories<p>Ukip can expect the support of one in five voters in May's European elections, the latest Guardian/ICM poll shows, although Nigel Farage's party remains in third place behind Labour and the Conservatives.</p><p>The research reveals that Ed Miliband's party remains comfortably in the lead when people are asked about the European elections – on 35%, with the Tories in second, on 25%. The pro-European Liberal Democrats languish on 9%, just ahead of the Greens, who are on 7%.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/feb/10/ukip-better-2009-european-elections-guardian-icm-poll">Continue reading...</a>Opinion pollsPoliticsEuropean electionsEuropean UnionNigel FarageUK Independence party (Ukip)LabourConservativesLiberal DemocratsNick CleggDavid CameronEd MilibandMon, 10 Feb 2014 18:35:00 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/feb/10/ukip-better-2009-european-elections-guardian-icm-pollGraphicGraphicMatt Cardy/Getty ImagesThe Ukip leader, Nigel Farage, visits a flood-hit area of the Somerset Levels: if support for his party remains at 20%, it would represent a three-point advance on the 17% showing it achieved in 2009. Photograph: Matt Cardy/Getty ImagesMatt Cardy/Getty ImagesThe Ukip leader, Nigel Farage, visits a flood-hit area of the Somerset Levels: if support for his party remains at 20%, it would represent a three-point advance on the 17% showing it achieved in 2009. Photograph: Matt Cardy/Getty ImagesTom Clark2014-02-10T18:35:00ZSupport for Labour shrinks as faith in recovery grows, ICM poll findshttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jan/13/support-labour-shrinks-economic-recovery-icm-poll
Labour drops two points to 35% – three points ahead of Tories – as more people express optimism about their financial position<p>Support for Labour is sinking as faith in the UK's economic recovery builds, according to a new Guardian/ICM poll.</p><p>Ed Miliband's party drops two points on the month to stand at 35%, which is just three points ahead of David Cameron's Conservatives, who stand still on 32%. Labour's lead in the Guardian's <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2009/oct/21/icm-poll-data-labour-conservatives" title="">respected 30-year polling series</a> is thus squeezed to three percentage points, down <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/dec/09/no-gains-economic-recovery-tories-cut-labour-lead-icm-guardian-poll" title="">from five last month</a> and <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/nov/11/guardian-icm-poll-labour-lead-tories-miliband-cameron" title="">eight points in November</a>.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jan/13/support-labour-shrinks-economic-recovery-icm-poll">Continue reading...</a>Opinion pollsPoliticsLabourConservativesLiberal DemocratsUK Independence party (Ukip)Immigration and asylumUK newsEconomicsBusinessEconomic policyEconomic recoveryTue, 14 Jan 2014 00:01:00 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jan/13/support-labour-shrinks-economic-recovery-icm-pollGraphicStefan Rousseau/PAThe latest poll comes as Ed Miliband prepares for a major speech on the economy. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/PAStefan Rousseau/PAThe latest poll comes as Ed Miliband prepares for a major speech on the economy. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/PATom Clark2014-01-14T00:01:00ZGuardian/ICM poll: Labour lead over Tories widens to eight pointshttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/nov/11/guardian-icm-poll-labour-lead-tories-miliband-cameron
Ed Miliband also outperforms David Cameron on several personal scores – but not on question of who makes best PM<p>Labour has forged an eight-point lead over the Conservatives, the biggest since March, in a Guardian/ICM poll. The poll also shows that the party leader, Ed Miliband, is outperforming David Cameron on several personal scores – but not on the crucial question of who makes the best prime minister.</p><p>The past month has seen the <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24668687" title="">fastest economic growth</a> reported in three years, but political debate has been dominated by rising energy bills, and the Conservatives have failed to cash in. They stand at 30%, down four points on the month, while Labour has held steady on 38%. The Liberal Democrats have gained one point since October to stand at 13%, while Ukip has climbed two to 10%. The combined score of the assorted minor parties also rises by two, to 10%.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/nov/11/guardian-icm-poll-labour-lead-tories-miliband-cameron">Continue reading...</a>Opinion pollsLabourLiberal DemocratsConservativesUK newsUK Independence party (Ukip)Green partyScottish National party (SNP)Ed MilibandDavid CameronNick CleggNigel FarageMon, 11 Nov 2013 17:34:05 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/nov/11/guardian-icm-poll-labour-lead-tories-miliband-cameronAndrew Milligan/PAThirty-two percent of voters rate Miliband as 'more honest than most politicians', compared with the 29% who say the same of Cameron. Photograph: Andrew Milligan/PAAndrew Milligan/PAThirty-two percent of voters rate Miliband as 'more honest than most politicians', compared with the 29% who say the same of Cameron. Photograph: Andrew Milligan/PATom Clark2013-11-11T17:34:05ZGuardian/ICM poll: public confidence in Tories' economic competence surgeshttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/aug/12/guardian-icm-poll-tories-economic-confidence
Percentage of people prepared to back Tory team for economic competence soars to 40% from 28% in June<p>A growing proportion of the public believe David Cameron and George Osborne are more capable of managing the economy than their Labour rivals, according to the latest ICM poll for the Guardian.</p><p>The proportion of people prepared to back the Tory team for economic competence has soared to 40% from 28% in June. The findings will make grim post-holiday reading for the Labour leader, Ed Miliband, who along with shadow chancellor Ed Balls has seen a much smaller rise in credibility, with 24% of the public preferring them compared with 19% two months ago.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/aug/12/guardian-icm-poll-tories-economic-confidence">Continue reading...</a>Opinion pollsEconomic policyPoliticsLabourConservativesLiberal DemocratsUK Independence party (Ukip)Economic growth (GDP)EconomicsBusinessUK newsEd MilibandChris BryantMon, 12 Aug 2013 21:07:00 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/aug/12/guardian-icm-poll-tories-economic-confidenceMarco Secchi/Getty ImagesGrowing numbers of people believe that David Cameron and George Osborne are more capable of managing the economy than their Labour rivals, according to the poll. Photograph: Marco Secchi/Getty ImagesMarco Secchi/Getty ImagesGrowing numbers of people believe that David Cameron and George Osborne are more capable of managing the economy than their Labour rivals, according to the poll. Photograph: Marco Secchi/Getty ImagesRajeev Syal, Rowena Mason and Simon Neville2013-08-12T21:07:00ZTories draw neck and neck with Labour as Ukip support fallshttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/jul/15/tories-labour-ukip-guardian-icm-poll
Conservative support surges to see main parties level for first time since March 2012 on 36% of the vote in Guardian/ICM poll<p>The Conservatives have surged to sit alongside Labour in the polls for the first time in nearly 18 months, largely owing to a sharp fall in support for Ukip, according to the <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/datablog/2013/jul/15/tories-level-labour-poll-full-results" title="">latest ICM monthly poll for the Guardian</a>.</p><p>Labour will be alarmed that the two main parties are neck and neck despite the economy showing only tentative signs of starting to recover.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/jul/15/tories-labour-ukip-guardian-icm-poll">Continue reading...</a>ConservativesLabourOpinion pollsLiberal DemocratsPoliticsUK Independence party (Ukip)UK newsMon, 15 Jul 2013 20:19:00 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/jul/15/tories-labour-ukip-guardian-icm-pollJordan Mansfield/Getty ImagesDavid Cameron at No 10. Conservatives are convinced that as growth picks up, the polls will swing decisively to them. Photograph: Jordan Mansfield/Getty ImagesJordan Mansfield/Getty ImagesDavid Cameron at No 10. Conservatives are convinced that as growth picks up, the polls will swing decisively to them. Photograph: Jordan Mansfield/Getty ImagesPatrick Wintour, political editor2013-07-15T20:19:00ZUkip support falls back but main parties remain weak on economyhttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/jun/11/ukip-support-falls-main-parties-weak
Guardian/ICM poll finds Ukip down six points but Labour and Tory leadership both polling badly on economic competence<p>Ukip has fallen back from the giddying heights it reached after May's council elections, although the party remains a force to be reckoned with – as does the anti-political mood it represents.</p><p>That is the message of a new Guardian/ICM poll, which shows that Ukip has slipped back by a substantial six points from last month's record-breaking level of support – leaving it on 12%.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/jun/11/ukip-support-falls-main-parties-weak">Continue reading...</a>Opinion pollsUK Independence party (Ukip)PoliticsLabourConservativesLiberal DemocratsUK newsEconomic policyDavid CameronEd MilibandGeorge OsborneEd BallsNigel FarageTue, 11 Jun 2013 11:54:15 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/jun/11/ukip-support-falls-main-parties-weakguardian.co.ukguardian.co.ukMartin Argles/GuardianSupport for Nigel Farage's party stands at 12%, down six from last month's high. Photograph: Martin Argles for the GuardianMartin Argles/GuardianSupport for Nigel Farage's party stands at 12%, down six from last month's high. Photograph: Martin Argles for the GuardianTom Clark2013-06-11T11:54:15ZDavid Cameron offers olive branch on EU referendum as Ukip soarshttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/may/13/david-cameron-eu-ukip
Prime minister endorses early referendum bill as major parties hit in Guardian poll<p>David Cameron is to table his own draft bill introducing an in-out EU referendum in an attempt to douse the Eurosceptic surge within the Conservative party and in the face of a doubling of support for Ukip in a new Guardian/ICM poll.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/may/13/david-cameron-eu-ukip">Continue reading...</a>EU referendumForeign policyEuropean UnionUK newsPoliticsOpinion pollsDavid CameronConservativesUK Independence party (Ukip)Liberal DemocratsLabourNigel FarageTue, 14 May 2013 07:23:00 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/may/13/david-cameron-eu-ukipJacquelyn Martin/APDavid Cameron is prepared to offer formal Tory backing for a private members' bill that will guarantee a referendum on the EU. Photograph: Jacquelyn Martin/APNicholas Watt in Washington, Patrick Wintour and Tom Clark2013-05-14T07:23:00ZGuardian/ICM poll: none of the above | Editorialhttp://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/may/13/guardian-icm-poll-ukip-coalition
In the potentially malign political landscape that is emerging, Mr Farage seems to meet an appetite for dramatic solutions<p>Opinion polls are the miners' canaries of democracy: on occasion they indicate something very nasty indeed coming down the tunnel. So our latest <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2013/may/13/farage-factor-ukip-support-record" title="">Guardian/ICM poll</a> ought to keep every political leader awake at night. The &quot;none of the above&quot; party is now vying with the Tories for second place; a total of 27% of voters are opting either for Ukip or one of the nationalist parties or the Greens. That's a record jump of 11 points on last month, and it includes a small but worrying increase in support for the BNP. It's not just a governing party problem either, now. The surge for the &quot;others&quot; has hit them all. Each has lost four points in a rejection of British mainstream politics without modern precedent. Party leaders have some very hard thinking to do.</p><p>Almost the only certainty in all this is that a row over the tactics of a European referendum, such as the one distracting David Cameron as he tries to do business with President Obama, will only confirm voters in their suspicion that politicians inhabit a parallel universe. It is clear from the regular <a href="http://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/3135/EconomistIpsos-MORI-February-2013-Issues-Index.aspx" title="">Ipsos-Mori issues index</a> that – as Ed Miliband <a href="http://www.labour.org.uk/ed-milibands-speech-to-progress-annual-conference" title="">pointed out again</a> at the weekend – it is not Europe but the economy that remains by far the biggest concern for most voters. Since 2005, when the rejection of the European constitution appeared to mark the high water mark of integration, the <a href="https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/333243901416726528/photo/1" title="">proportion of voters reporting that they are concerned about Europe</a> has never gone above 10%, even if it has recently risen slightly amid the eurozone's woes.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/may/13/guardian-icm-poll-ukip-coalition">Continue reading...</a>UK Independence party (Ukip)Liberal-Conservative coalitionConservativesLiberal DemocratsPoliticsLabourNigel FarageUK newsMon, 13 May 2013 21:19:28 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/may/13/guardian-icm-poll-ukip-coalitionEditorial2013-05-13T21:19:28ZUkip surge in polls unprecedented since creation of the SDP in 1981http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/may/13/ukip-surge-polls-unprecedented
• Potential effect on general election hard to predict<br />• Tories suffer, but Labour and Lib Dems also hit<p>In the hunt for historical precedents for Ukip's breakthrough today, three full decades of Guardian/ICM polling disappoint. The Green party briefly registered 8% in July 1989, after performing spectacularly well in the European elections of the same year, but that is less than half the 18% achieved by the surging fourth party which has leaped into third place.</p><p>To find a sharper disruption to the settled pattern of polling it is necessary to go back to the creation of the SDP in 1981. Gallup briefly recorded that party's new alliance with the Liberals hitting a startling 50%.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/may/13/ukip-surge-polls-unprecedented">Continue reading...</a>UK Independence party (Ukip)PoliticsOpinion pollsLabourConservativesLiberal DemocratsMon, 13 May 2013 18:22:02 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/may/13/ukip-surge-polls-unprecedentedSportsphoto Ltd./AllstarIn the recent council elections Ukip surprised number-crunchers by picking up as many seats as it did by winning where it mattered. Photograph: Sportsphoto Ltd./AllstarSportsphoto Ltd./AllstarIn the recent council elections Ukip surprised number-crunchers by picking up as many seats as it did by winning where it mattered. Photograph: Sportsphoto Ltd./AllstarTom Clark2013-05-13T18:22:02ZWhat if Ukip's rise is more than a blip? | John Harrishttp://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/may/13/ukip-rise-more-than-blip
The Guardian/ICM poll showing voters turning away from established parties could be the shape of things to come<p>What will the average Westminster politician think when he or she sees this fascinating, potentially watershed poll, and begins to digest what might happen if it represents not a blip, but the shape of things to come?</p><p>As often happens, perhaps the best thing is to step outside the usual terms of debate and quote Bob Dylan. Specifically, Ballad of a Thin Man, released as the world was tilting in all kinds of directions in 1965: &quot;Something is happening here, but you don't know what it is/Do you, Mr Jones?&quot;</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/may/13/ukip-rise-more-than-blip">Continue reading...</a>Opinion pollsPoliticsConservativesLabourLiberal DemocratsUK Independence party (Ukip)Mon, 13 May 2013 17:00:04 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/may/13/ukip-rise-more-than-blipOlivia Harris/REUTERSThee professionalisation of politics has created not just disaffection but also the gaping hole into which Nigel Farage has been only too happy to jump. Photograph: Olivia Harris/REUTERSOlivia Harris/REUTERSThee professionalisation of politics has created not just disaffection but also the gaping hole into which Nigel Farage has been only too happy to jump. Photograph: Olivia Harris/REUTERSJohn Harris2013-05-13T17:00:04ZFarage factor powers Ukip support to record highhttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/may/13/farage-factor-ukip-support-record
Guardian/ICM poll sees Ukip double its support in a month amid unprecedented disillusionment with top three parties<p>Support for Britain's established parties is splintering, as Ukip appears poised to break the political mould by doubling its support within a single month, according to a Guardian/ICM poll.</p><p>Nigel Farage's party has surged from its previous record best with ICM, the 9% it notched up in April, to 18% after its council election victories earlier this month.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/may/13/farage-factor-ukip-support-record">Continue reading...</a>UK Independence party (Ukip)Nigel FarageVoter apathyOpinion pollsLabourLiberal DemocratsBNPPoliticsConservativesUK newsMon, 13 May 2013 17:00:02 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/may/13/farage-factor-ukip-support-recordguardian.co.ukGuardian ICM poll May 2013Olivia Harris/ReutersUkip leader Nigel Farage toasts the party's success in the Marquis of Granby pub in Westminster after making big gains in local elections. Photograph: Olivia Harris/ReutersOlivia Harris/ReutersUkip leader Nigel Farage toasts the party's success in the Marquis of Granby pub in Westminster after making big gains in local elections. Photograph: Olivia Harris/ReutersTom Clark2013-05-13T17:00:02ZLabour leads Conservatives by 12 points in pollhttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/feb/11/labour-lead-conservative-12-point-poll
Guardian/ICM poll gives Ed Miliband's party 41% of vote and David Cameron's 29% – the biggest gap in almost a decade<p>Labour has forged a 12-point lead over the Conservatives for the first time in almost a decade, according to a Guardian/ICM poll.</p><p>Ed Miliband's party now stands at 41% of the vote, up three points on <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2013/jan/21/labour-tories-five-points-poll" title="">ICM's January figure</a>, and the Tories are on just 29%, having slipped back four from 33% last month. Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats have sunk two points, to 13%, whereas Ukip has inched up three to 9% – setting a new record for Nigel Farage's anti-European outfit in <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2009/oct/21/icm-poll-data-labour-conservatives" title="">the Guardian/ICM series</a>.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/feb/11/labour-lead-conservative-12-point-poll">Continue reading...</a>LabourPoliticsConservativesLiberal DemocratsUK Independence party (Ukip)Ed MilibandDavid CameronScottish National party (SNP)Green partyBNPPlaid CymruEastleigh byelectionOpinion pollsMon, 11 Feb 2013 14:11:53 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/feb/11/labour-lead-conservative-12-point-pollStefan Rousseau/PALabour leader, Ed Miliband, left, and David Cameron back in May 2012 when the previous poll in the Guardian ICM series was taken. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/PAStefan Rousseau/PALabour leader, Ed Miliband, left, and David Cameron back in May 2012 when the previous poll in the Guardian ICM series was taken. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/PATom Clark2013-02-11T14:11:53ZLabour lead over Tories shrinks to five points, according to Guardian/ICM pollhttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/jan/21/labour-tories-five-points-poll
Tories inch up to 33% while Labour slips to 38%, but majority of voters disagree with government's new cap on benefit rises<p>At the end of a fortnight in which international affairs have moved centre stage, David Cameron has clawed back ground from Labour, according to a Guardian/ICM poll. It shows Labour's poll lead has been squeezed to five points, after three straight months in which the gap <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2009/oct/21/icm-poll-data-labour-conservatives" title="">in the polling series</a> has been a solid eight points.</p><p>The political start to 2013 was dominated by debate in the buildup to the prime minister's scheduled speech on Britain's relations with Europe, which was postponed after the Algerian hostage crisis shifted attention towards terrorism and relations with the Muslim world.</p> <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/jan/21/labour-tories-five-points-poll">Continue reading...</a>Opinion pollsPoliticsConservativesLabourLiberal DemocratsUK Independence party (Ukip)UK newsDavid CameronEd MilibandBenefitsSocietyWelfareMon, 21 Jan 2013 13:35:00 GMThttp://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/jan/21/labour-tories-five-points-pollguardian.co.ukThe latest Guardian ICM poll data shows that Labour's lead over the Conservatives has shrunk to five points. Photograph: guardian.co.ukguardian.co.ukThe latest Guardian ICM poll data shows that Labour's lead over the Conservatives has shrunk to five points. Photograph: guardian.co.ukTom Clark2013-01-21T13:35:00Z