Comments

Does this poll include the people who have voted early? Just curious about that.

Whoever wins the election, neither Obama nor McCAIN support single payer universal health care. I would like people to go tohttp://poll.democratz.org and answer a single poll question on Single Payer Universal Health Care.

These are mysterious numbers, particularly because Obama normally does better in the RV sample than the LV sample, since many first-time voters are screened from the latter sample. Can anyone vouch for the quality of Datamar information?

Look at the cross-tabs & the disclaimer. They say 51% of people have already voted, but give no indication of how they dealt with that component of the sample. They also say the re-weight "as necessary" without giving details.

If they discarded those who already voted, this makes sense, since Obama is probably up substantially with those who have voted.

I can't comment on the rest of their numbers, but the "have you voted" response is overstate based on real numbers. The sample has a 51% already voted (as of 10/30) Florid stats are 46.7% as of 11/1 (that is, it includes 10/31)
Considering the daily turnout that is a statistically significant error.

This is taken from a Pennsacola (sp?) newspaper's write-up of the new Mason-Dixon poll in FL.
What's wrong with the math here???????

A survey conducted Wednesday and Thursday by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research shows Obama ahead 49 percent to 47 percent, with 7 percent of voters still undecided. The lead is well within the poll’s 4 percent margin of error.

laguna: I'm convinced that there will be a media conspiracy to slow count the Virginia vote if it looks like Obama's going to win in order to delay calling it until at least 9pm EST, 8pm CST in order to minimize the damage to downballot races.

Post a comment

Name:

Email Address:

URL:

Comments: (you may use HTML tags for style)

Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.