Re: OK, i am a Newbie to the tennis betting, but Should i go for it SERIOUSLY?

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Originally Posted by ryan23

Yes offcourse Ferrer should win like Cornet should but theres no logic sometimes in tennis gambling like all gambling, just remember if it was easy we would all be millionaires

I agree with you Ryan. Let me do this on paper little longer and i will let you guys know what i am picking. I have money already in the off shore accounts in Caribbean. but i don't have any open accounts in Europian books. Wonder if should open one there ????? and Is what Nastoff is saying about you can change your bet in middle of the match true ? My off shore books won't let you change once the match starts. thanks.

That will be the last victory of Rafa for quite some time.. With his joke mentality and pathetic game, I hope the disgusting player loses every single match next season. He's disgraceful. He should just retire. He's a joke.

That will be the last victory of Rafa for quite some time.. With his joke mentality and pathetic game, I hope the disgusting player loses every single match next season. He's disgraceful. He should just retire. He's a joke.

Re: OK, i am a Newbie to the tennis betting, but Should i go for it SERIOUSLY?

Quote:

Originally Posted by FedAce

Ok so lets just say that i bet on Andy Murray on every single match he plays for the year. I should come out way ahead, right ?

Actually , I think it is interesting idea. To pick one player who you think will have great success and bet on every match he plays. I wonder if anyone tried it? Most obvious example is Rafa on clay. Everyone knows he is the best claycourter,but you can still make money using this very common knowledge.Rafa played 23 matches on clay this year and won 22. Of course his odds in early rounds were very low, perhaps 1.03 or 1.04. But I´m sure in QF, SF, Finals against players like Ferrer, Davydenko, Djokovic , Fed, his odds were lot higher, up until 1.6 at least against Fed . Lets say 500 bucks on every Rafa match on clay, lets say average odds on Nadal @1.15.
Total stake 500x23 = 11 500
Total return 500 x 22 x 1.15 = 12 650
Profit 1150 bucks. Too bad I didnt have this idea before clay season started

Laying out a total of 11.5k just to pick up over a k over the course of 23 matches is not the best idea in the world. Jig tried it this season and it was going well until the Ferrero match where he got stung. For the large part, it does seem like easy money when you have a player that dominant.

However, if you've got 11.5k to play with you should be able to find selections at far more backable prices to make use of, risking far less and potentially winning alot more.

At the end of the day, backing in this manner (re:Nadal) can only be done in very exceptional circumstances over very short periods of time, and even then it can be destroyed in an instant because of one off day, as happened with Nadal/Ferrero and the blisters/tiredness etc.

Not the way to go.

If you did want to back a player over the course of a season, it would have to be a player yet to explode who you believed would do over the course of the season, thus being able to back them at consistent stakes throughout the season at odds against. And again, this is only ever going to last for a short period, as the books would soon be adjusting the prices on said player.

All in all, it's unworkable either way for sustained and continued growth.

Re: OK, i am a Newbie to the tennis betting, but Should i go for it SERIOUSLY?

Quote:

Originally Posted by jayjay

Laying out a total of 11.5k just to pick up over a k over the course of 23 matches is not the best idea in the world. Jig tried it this season and it was going well until the Ferrero match where he got stung. For the large part, it does seem like easy money when you have a player that dominant.

However, if you've got 11.5k to play with you should be able to find selections at far more backable prices to make use of, risking far less and potentially winning alot more.

At the end of the day, backing in this manner (re:Nadal) can only be done in very exceptional circumstances over very short periods of time, and even then it can be destroyed in an instant because of one off day, as happened with Nadal/Ferrero and the blisters/tiredness etc.

Not the way to go.

If you did want to back a player over the course of a season, it would have to be a player yet to explode who you believed would do over the course of the season, thus being able to back them at consistent stakes throughout the season at odds against. And again, this is only ever going to last for a short period, as the books would soon be adjusting the prices on said player.

All in all, it's unworkable either way for sustained and continued growth.

I meant 500 bucks on every match, when match is over you get back your stake with profit and can do it again in next round. You dont have to have 11 K free money to spend. Of course there is always risk to lose your stake like happened against Ferrero, but as long you dont put your previous profit in, it should work. As for books adjust to players success.. they do, but I dont think we`ll see Rafa @1.05 against Fed in clay final any time soon. Rafa won in Monte Carlo and his odds in Hamburg final were not significantly shorter. Rafa won in Hamburg and his odds in RG final were still around 1.5-1.6. Rafa destroyed Fed in RG, won in Queens and he was still underdog in Wimby final. We have to keep in mind that there are plenty of morons ( including myself) who dont like to bet on fav and who hope that miraculous upset will happen just 3 hours after they put their last money on underdog.