Despite Oprah Winfrey's support for Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, New York Sen. Hillary Clinton
has overwhelming leads, especially among women, in Democratic primaries in three critical swing
states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to Quinnipiac University's Swing State Poll, three
simultaneous surveys of voters in states that have been pivotal in presidential elections since 1964.

Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani leads the Republican pack in each state, but
with a lackluster 30-percent support, while former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee is gaining, the
independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

In each state, Clinton is seen as the best candidate in either party to handle the immigration
issue. By substantial majorities, almost 4 - 1 in Ohio and Pennsylvania, voters favor immigration
reform that emphasizes stricter enforcement of laws against illegal immigrants rather than
integrating illegal immigrants into American society.

And 20 to 25 percent of voters in each state would vote against a presidential candidate who
disagreed with them on immigration policy, even if they agreed on everything else.

"These Democratic primary numbers are a good indication that despite the tight three-way
race in Iowa, the fight for the nomination is not very close and that Sen. Clinton's lead remains very
large and deep," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling
Institute.

"The Republican primary race remains as muddled as the Democratic side seems clear in
these three big states. Mayor Giuliani carries double-digit leads in all three states, but Republicans
overall say they are much more likely to change their minds."

"The vast majority of voters think the primary focus of immigration reform is about stricter
enforcement rather than integrating illegal immigrants into American society - although that is
slightly less true among Democrats than voters overall," Brown added.

"There are also a significant number of voters who say immigration could be a deal-breaker
in their presidential vote."

"The matchups between Sen. Clinton and Mayor Giuliani have gone back and forth, and
the year closes with Clinton holding a small to medium lead in two of the big three and tied in the
third. Sen. McCain also has improved his numbers when matched against Sen. Clinton, which
reflects the general sense nationally that those who had predicted his political demise may have
been speaking too soon."

Florida Findings

Looking at other possible 2008 presidential matchups in Florida, the Quinnipiac University
Swing State Poll finds:

By a 52 - 41 percent margin, Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton.
Favorability ratings for other contenders are:

48 - 34 percent for Giuliani;

44 - 28 percent for McCain;

43 - 31 percent for Obama;

42 - 35 percent for Edwards;

Negative 25 - 28 percent for Thompson;

29 - 27 percent for Romney;

56 percent don't know enough about Huckabee to form an opinion.

Clinton would do the best job handling immigration, 18 percent of Florida voters say, while
10 percent name Giuliani and 7 percent cite Obama. No other candidate scores above 6 percent.

By a 66 - 24 percent margin, Florida voters favor enforcement over integration in
immigration reform. And 25 percent of Florida voters say they would vote against a presidential
candidate who disagreed on integration policy, even if they agreed on everything else.

"Sen. Clinton is over 50 percent in the Democratic primary, an enviable place to be with
less than two months before the voting," Brown said.

Clinton would do the best job on immigration, 18 percent of Ohio voters say, with 9 percent
each for Giuliani and Obama and 8 percent who name McCain. Ohio voters prefer strict
enforcement over integration of illegal immigrants 71 - 20 percent and 22 percent say they would
vote against a candidate who disagrees with them only on the immigration issue.

"Ohio is a good example that the immigration issue plays far from the border and how
important it could be. Among independents there, 27 percent say that they would not vote for a
candidate they generally agreed with if they completely disagreed with the candidate on
immigration," Brown said.

Clinton is the best candidate on the immigration issue, 16 percent of Pennsylvania voters say,
while 12 percent name Giuliani, 7 percent name Obama and 6 percent name McCain.

Pennsylvania voters favor enforcement over integration of illegal immigrants 72 - 19 percent
and 20 percent say they will not vote for a candidate who disagrees with them on immigration alone.

"Pennsylvania is still Clinton and Giuliani country. But watch out if Giuliani falters,
because Sen. McCain has topped or tied Clinton in four of the last six general election match ups
there," said Clay Richards, Assistant Director of the Quinnipiac University polling institute.
"Gov. Huckabee has come from nowhere to 13 points to tie McCain, but 13 percent doesn't win a
nomination, just puts him on the platform to move up if Rudy falls.

"On immigration, the voters have no clear idea who the best candidate is, but want one who
favors stricter enforcement."
From November 26 - December 3, Quinnipiac University surveyed:

1,124 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent, including 440 Republicans, with a
margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent, and 424 Democrats, with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percent;

1,178 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent, including 418 Republicans with a
margin of error of +/- 4.8 percent, and 436 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent;

1,092 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent, including 483 Republicans
with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percent and 462 Democrats, with a margin of error of
+/- 4.6 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide
as a public service and for research.
For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were
being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd,
John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, and Bill Richardson for
whom would you vote?

2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were
being held today, and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan
Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo and Fred Thompson for
whom would you vote?

19. Do you think immigration reform should primarily move in the direction of
integrating illegal immigrants into American society or in the direction of
stricter enforcement of laws against illegal immigration?