Bringing together my own and other people's visions, thoughts, and beliefs on matters like leadership, change, and personal development. Featuring essays, quotes, book reviews and more. Drawing from people around the globe, known and unknown, alive and deceased,all wise or inspiring in one way or another. Integrating management, psychology, philosophy, taoism, nature, science, art forms, current affairs and not to forget: daily life. The best life to live!

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If you do not adapt, if you do not learn, you will wither, you will die.

Thursday, March 31, 2016

What you think. How you think.

Why would
I reinvent and rewrite what others have already produced?
Below you find some of the many thoughts of Philip E. Tetlock as discussed in
his book “Expert Political Judgment – How good is it? How can we know?” (2005,
Princeton University Press)

Tetlock
is a professor of leadership at the University of California, Berkeley who
poses interesting questions such as:

- Do you
accept ambiguity and contradiction as inevitable features of life?

- Do you
update your beliefs in response to evidence?

- Do you
realize it’s very human to engage in self-serving reasoning?

- Do you focus on Who
got what right or do you focus on Who changed their mind when they were
wrong?

- Do you know whenever you become a prisoner of your pre-conceptions?

There is
so much more to ask and there is so much more to say about our thinking but I’ll
stick with the following: You are likely reluctant to acknowledge that you were
wrong and you are probably reluctant
to change your mind. Both can be very damaging, in the workplace and in
your private life. Tetlock references laboratory experiments on belief
perseverance (the tendency to cling to your initial belief even after
receiving new information that contradicts or dis- confirms the basis of that belief) that show us that we use cognitive strategies to
justify holding firm in order to diffuse threats to our professional
self-esteem. Add to this our collective preference for simplicity and our
aversion to ambiguity and dissonance and you can see how our thinking can become
pretty messy and biased.

So my
question to you is: What is it that you
do to de-bias your thinking? And please remember: It’s not just about what you think. What matters at least as much is how you think.

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