NCAA Tournament Bracket Projections: Final

I spent a ridiculous amount of time today going back over teams, seeds, and profiles, and all that thinking and over-thinking has led to a handful of changes. Most notably, I am putting Green Bay in the field in place of SMU. The Mustangs played an incredibly weak non-conference schedule (ranked 296th to be exact), and while they have four great wins in the AAC, they also have three sub-100 losses and no other wins against the Top 100. In fact, SMU has just five wins against the Top 130 teams in the RPI.

As for the Phoenix, I keep coming back to the fact that the committee has rewarded a mid-major team that was upended in its conference tournament – Iona two years ago and Middle Tennessee last season. In my estimation, Green Bay’s win over Virginia and the fact that it played Wisconsin down to the wire give them the best chance to steal a bid this year. Louisiana Tech was the other team I considered given their win at Oklahoma.

Even though Michigan lost the Big Ten Championship, I left the Wolverines on the one line instead of moving Virginia or Villanova up. While the Cavaliers won the ACC regular season and tournament titles, Michigan has more Top 25 and Top 50 victories and significantly more Top 50 road wins. As for ‘Nova, the Wildcats have a November win over Kansas, but they have zero wins over other teams I have as an eight seed or better. They have had a great season and avoided a bad loss until the Big East Tournament, but their body of work doesn’t stack up to Michigan’s.

SOUTH (MEMPHIS)

WEST (ANAHEIM)

Orlando

San Diego

1) Florida (31-2)

1) Arizona (29-4)

16) Coastal Carolina (21-12)/Texas So. (18-14)

16) Albany (18-14)

8)George Washington (24-8)

8) Gonzaga (28-6)

9) Oklahoma St. (21-12)

9) Saint Joseph’s (24-9)

Spokane

Spokane

5) UCLA (26-8)

5) Connecticut (26-8)

12) North Dakota St. (25-6)

12) Stephen F. Austin (31-2)

4) Creighton (26-7)

4) San Diego St. (29-5)

13) Manhattan (25-7)

13) Delaware (25-9)

Buffalo

Raleigh

6) Baylor (24-11)

6) VCU (26-8)

11) Providence (23-11)

11) Nebraska (19-12)/Tennessee (21-12)

3) Michigan St. (27-8)

3) Duke (25-8)

14) Eastern Kentucky (24-9)

14) Mercer (26-8)

St. Louis

Buffalo

7) Massachusetts (24-8)

7) Texas (23-10)

10) Stanford (21-12)

10) Arizona St. (21-11)

2) Kansas (24-9)

2) Villanova (28-4)

15) NC Central (28-5)

15) American (20-12)

EAST (NEW YORK)

MIDWEST (INDIANAPOLIS)

Milwaukee

St. Louis

1) Michigan (25-8)

1) Wichita St. (34-0)

16) Weber St. (19-11)

16) Cal Poly (13-19)/Mount St. Mary’s (16-16)

8) Memphis (23-9)

8) Oregon (23-9)

9) Colorado (23-11)

9) Kansas St. (20-12)

Orlando

San Diego

5) North Carolina (23-9)

5) Ohio St. (25-9)

12) BYU (23-11)/Green Bay (24-6)

12) Harvard (26-4)

4) Cincinnati (27-6)

4) Syracuse (27-5)

13) Western Michigan (24-9)

13) Tulsa (21-12)

San Antonio

San Antonio

6) New Mexico (27-6)

6) Oklahoma (23-9)

11) Dayton (23-10)

11) Xavier (21-12)

3) Iowa St. (26-7)

3) Louisville (29-5)

14) LA-Lafayette (23-11)

14) New Mexico St. (26-9)

Raleigh

Milwaukee

7) Kentucky (24-10)

7) Saint Louis (26-6)

10) Iowa (20-12)

10) Pittsburgh (25-9)

2) Virginia (28-6)

2) Wisconsin (26-7)

15) Milwaukee (21-13)

15) Wofford (20-12)

—————————————————————————————————————

Last Four In

Nebraska (19-12)

Tennessee (21-12)

BYU (23-11)

Green Bay (24-6)

Other Teams Considered

SMU (23-9)

Louisiana Tech (27-7)

California (19-13)

Minnesota (20-13)

Arkansas (21-11)

North Carolina State (21-13)

Florida St. (19-13)

Southern Miss (27-6)

*******

Here is how the bids broke down by conference. Teams denoted with a * have clinched their conference’s automatic bid.

While Andy was born and raised in Indiana, he would like to point out that he grew up shooting hoops in his driveway and not against the side of a barn like you see in all the March Madness promos or in the middle of a field like Jimmy Chitwood. Andy ranks among the top bracketologists according to the Bracket Matrix and has provided his projections to Fox Sports for the past three seasons. When not compiling excuses for missing work during the NCAA Tournament, Andy enjoys spending time with his wife and two daughters. He is a proud IU graduate and co-hosts The Assembly Call postgame show following every IU game. Twitter: @AndyBottoms

Comments

First, they would need Villanova and Kansas not to win their conference tournaments, especially Villanova. As far as what Wisconsin itself would need to do, I think they at least need to get to the finals, which would mean wins over Minnesota (probably) and Michigan St. or Iowa. It’s hard to make an argument that they could lose in the finals and still get a one seed since the best team on the other side of the bracket (Michigan) would probably get a one seed if they beat Wisconsin in the final. And while a loss to Nebraska or OSU wouldn’t be a bad RPI loss, it probably wouldn’t be the kind of loss that the committee would just gloss over either.

So in short, root against Nova and KU and win the Big Ten Tournament is probably the most likely route to a one seed.

I am planning to write this up as the intro later, but I compared GB to MTSU last season, and while the UVA win is better than MTSU’s win over Ole Miss, a number of other things about their profile are not. Would love to see them get in but not seeing it at this point.

Nebraska’s biggest issue is that they did nothing in the non-conference, which magnifies the impact of a few sub-100 losses. Miles has done a great job there though, and there a team I would love to see get in.

West Virginia has some nice wins but are still just 10-13 against the RPI Top 200. Poor non-con performance as well.

Winning 11 out of 14 to finish off B1G season not good enough – capped off by beating equally white-hot Wisconsin? We’re not getting into the dumb ESPN BPI rankings, or dropping a few in December while still a work in progress…

I’m not disputing that Nebraska is a good basketball team and deserves a bid, but the committee looks at the whole body of work and at least says the last 10 games are no more important than the first 10. Nebraska’s best non-con wins are over Georgia, Miami (FL), and Florida Gulf Coast, and they are just 4-10 away from home, including losses to UAB, Purdue, and Penn St. I’d love to see them get in, but it’s just not a done deal yet in my eyes.

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I feel like they need to win the ACC Tournament. They don’t have any Top 40 wins, have three sub-100 losses, and are just 13-12 against the RPI Top 200. If they beat Syracuse and Duke, then they would start to generate some buzz, but I’m just not convinced that would be enough as much as I’d enjoy watching TJ Warren in the tournament.

Also, shouldnt UNC be a 4 and Michigan State be a 5 based on the fact that UNC is ranked much higher and they beat them in East Lansing (?). And why is Duke so high? I really dont think they should be 3, I think 4 or 5. They have 4 road wins (GT, BC, PITT, MIAMI) and 5 road losses (Cuse, UNC, ND, Clemson, Wake). They only have 2 notable wins against Michigan and UNC (both at home). At least you put them lower than ESPN’s 2 seed prediction

UNC and MSU was very close. For UNC, you have the 3 (or 4 if you include Belmont) questionable losses, while MSU hasn’t lost to anyone outside of the Top 70. The Spartans also have more Top 50 wins, but for them, the biggest challenge is how to factor in all the injuries and who was really playing during their losses. I gave them the slight edge but wouldn’t argue with anyone who puts UNC there instead.

As for Duke, I toyed with the idea of putting them on the four line, but I gave them the nod due to a higher strength of schedule than Cincinnati or SDSU and the fact that they have four Top 25 wins (Michigan, Cuse, UNC, UVA) compared to just one for UC and SDSU. Again, I have no issue with people putting them on the four line, but my guess is the committee gives them the benefit of the doubt.

I guess the simple answer is that there’s no way an undefeated team isn’t getting a one seed, and while it technically shouldn’t matter, I think the fact that they made the Final Four last year and had Louisville on the ropes is a factor as well. They did beat Saint Louis, BYU, and Tennessee in the non-conference, and I think they did a decent job of trying to schedule tough in the non-conference knowing that the MVC would be down this year. Unfortunately for them Tennessee and Alabama haven’t been as good as many expected.

For what it’s worth, they have high Pomeroy numbers, and there are plenty of good teams who have taken the kinds of bad losses that Wichita St. has avoided. I’m not going to tell you that you could drop Wichita St. in another league and they’d win it, but I am confident in saying they would be competitive. The truth is that we don’t know how they’d fare in another league, and we don’t know how other teams would have fared against WSU’s schedule. What we do know is that they won 34 games, and I do think they’re a strong team. It’s certainly made for some good debate late in the year.

You know how hard it is to go undefeated? You don’t think everyone in the conference wasn’t doing their best to beat them? I’m guessing Florida was the only other men’s team to go undefeated in their conference. What basketball factory school is going to sign up to play them next year? Duke? NC? Kansas? You bet they deserve a #1

The third team to go undefeated in league play was Stephen F. Austin in the Southland, but your point is well taken. Like I said in my initial reply, we’ll never know if another team could go 34-0 against Wichita State’s schedule. What we do know is that they were able to, and they deserve a lot of credit for it.

Andy, Thanks for the helpful pre-tourney analysis and insight for what many consider the best sporting event of the year.
Here’s a tip for you: watch your backside, it’s now likely that Kelvin Sampson might want to punch you in the face.

I think they definitely have a chance for a 2 seed, but they would need to win the ACC Tournament and get some help to get on the one line.

One thing to point out is that the polls really don’t have any bearing on where the committee seeds teams.

When you look at their profile, there are two things holding them back relatively speaking. One is that they are just 7-7 away from home and just 4-5 in true road games. The other is that they have two losses to teams outside of the RPI Top 100. Those definitely don’t cancel out the fact they have five Top 30 wins (four of which were at home), but most other teams in the top few lines have better road records and fewer “bad” losses.

Hi Oliver,Thanks for the code. I just tried the project and it doesn’t work. I’m using latest chrome browser. The error happens trying to send info back to the client:ConnectionSocket.Send(Encoding.UTF8.GetBytes(message)); line 393 in WebSocketServer.cserror is: “An established connection was aborted by the software in your host machine”. I did turn off the firewall, so its not that.Anything you can think of?

Lucas is kind of grouchy but really good at heart like Shrek. I love the romance in movies and books too with happy endings I have always blamed my mom for this because she was always a Disney fanatic. We used to wake up on Saturday morning with her singing Disney songs while she made our pancakes lol! Love my mom even though she warped me !

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I am exploring the Internet as I never have before. I have more time since I reitred. There are a lot of topics on the Internet and I am reading on many of those and commenting. You have made your blog more interesting than most that I read. Thanks for that. I am approaching this from all sides, sonce I recently started my own website with its own blog. There was a place to include an email and address, so I have done that. I hope you approve that I did this. It seems to be customary so I went ahead with it. TheVeryBest2You 13 9

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they should’ve brought back atleast one more if not even 2 more of the old maps. but im still buyin the package. and i dnt know why every1 is complaining about the price, ya’ll spend more money on pointless things but dnt realise it

Les raissons has the rare distinction of being one of the few machine books with an English correlate. Isaac de Caus was also an architect. He is best known for his work in England where he collaborated with Inigo Jones. His Nouvelle invention de lever l’eau was published in 1657. An English translation, New and Rare Inventions of Water Works appeared in 1659, the same year as Les raissons. It’s unclear to me if the text of the two works is identical but many of the plates are. Similarly, the exact relationship between Isaac and Solomon is unclear. Were they brothers? Uncle and nephew?

ToivoS..it’s jointly written and clearly signed by Hillary and Flynt. When an article is signed by two partners the use of “I” for the beliefs of one or the other is proscribed, nor would the use of “we” be accurate, given the intent to represent the words and position that one of the signers has taken. Using quotes reflects that Hillary’s words were spoken in another media or on another occasion, and is accurate and desirable.It is written and signed appropriately.

. BTW, the ER20s are not allowed to cross the border into Chinese territories as these locos were made with top-of the line muffling technologies which makes them subject to the EU order banning all military export to China. (well, I suppose you could kill someone with a train like wt no.51 did back in 1959)

Same transactions on my bank account (I am from South Africa)All the transactions are UK based which I visited recently. I only used my card to access Boingo wireless at Heathrow airport – so, they must have let my details slip out.Card stopped – but will be contacting Streamline Harrogate, Worldpay (holding company), Boingo for being the weak link and the authorities about this.

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Another thing I have really noticed is that for many people, low credit score is the reaction of circumstances over and above their control. By way of example they may be actually saddled with illness so they have excessive bills for collections. It may be due to a occupation loss or maybe the inability to go to work. Sometimes breakup can truly send the budget in a downward direction. Many thanks for sharing your notions on this blog.

“Uncle Williamâ€™s great interest in life was his work. When he married in 19R7, they lived in Eskbank,”19R7?“In the summer of 1991, my uncle and aunt took a house near Melrose and invited all the six of us there for the summer holidays. ”1991?

“That I will not comment on, but they do not understand it exactly.”Of course they don't understand. Killing a kuffar isn't a criminal offense to them. Six against one, always brave when they're in their packs, but we will see how brave they really are when the shiite in Europe hits the fan.

I know this if off topic but I’m looking into starting my own weblog and was curious what all is required to get set up? I’m assuming having a blog like yours would cost a pretty penny? I’m not very web smart so I’m not 100% certain. Any suggestions or advice would be greatly appreciated. Thanks

Rebecca’s latest post rejects Dawkin – the person, not the argument – because he is a “wealthy old heterosexual white man!” [sic]If Dawkins had supported her position, do you suppose she would have dismissed him on the same grounds?

You never fail to come up with things I have never done, or sometimes have ever even heard of. I would love to do things like that! You and I could do a City Mouse/Country Mouse or that Kate Winslet and Cameron Diaz Holiday movie thing and switch places for a week.

I’d just like to say that STORIES ABOUT pubic hair always amuse me, as does above mentioned hair. Needless to say, you are braver than I in having hair ripped out from a most sensitive area. Then again, try electrolosis on your face and maybe we can call it an even contest.Hopefully, everything (snicker) came out all right!

ArdenI love the idea of an amnesiac’s death having to be “confirmed”–as though his amnesia, like a spirit, flowed from his nostrils on the last breath and seeped into the brains of those around him. “He’s dead.” “Who’s dead?” “I don’t remember. What?”“I didn’t say anything.” “Who are you, and what do you want?” December 8th 2008 – 4:30pm

The verses from James are looming over Miranda. The facade she has erected may be crumbling, but that Bible from the mysterious stranger is still on board, waiting to share its Godly wisdom. Needing a man, whatever the cost, is a character defect to be sure. Sounds like we’ve all fallen into that trap at one time or another. Thanks for that. : )

Good luck getting people behind this one. Though you make some VERY fascinating points, youre going to have to do more than bring up a few things that may be different than what weve already heard. What are trying to say here? What do you want us to think? It seems like you cant really get behind a unique thought. Anyway, thats just my opinion.

Thanks for the different tips contributed on this web site. I have noticed that many insurance carriers offer customers generous discounts if they elect to insure more and more cars with them. A significant number of households currently have several cars these days, particularly those with mature teenage kids still residing at home, along with the savings in policies can certainly soon increase. So it is good to look for a good deal.

Youre so cool! I dont suppose Ive learn anything like this before. So good to search out any person with some original thoughts on this subject. realy thanks for starting this up. this website is one thing that is needed on the internet, somebody with just a little originality. useful job for bringing something new to the web!

this is so wonderful and we are so very proud of you and all that you do. God’s blessings are over you always and may He always walk with you, with His hand upon you. You are His child and that will never, ever change. PTL!!!! Love you always, Mom

Juz for your knowledge that the team is called Black Knights is not because of its colors but the color of the Knight that is used in Chess. sooo pls dun mention about the name and colors of the f16 doesn’t match. Anyway, red and white represent national colors of Singapore. It will never change, never.

Dan,Thanks for the kind words. I think the landscapes and a nice digital camera made my task easier. I wish I knew more about photography (and all the options my camera has!). The trip was indeed very rewarding; the American West is a thing of sublime beauty for sure. Studying geology in a university out there strikes me as a delightful way to spend one’s life.

Shame when networks adopt the ‘roll over and die’ position. What a waste of circa $200 million.The GBP isn’t what it used to be (almost 3 for 1 when DMG entered Australia), the world economy isn’t what it used to be and DMGRA’s UK parent owners, a listed company are facing pressure from investors. Couldn’t get much worse for them.

I wonder do all Canadians speak French as their first language. Glad to read you having a great time in Montreal. I heard Banff a beatiful place to visit and speand some quiet time. Maybe that be a cool place to visit next time…Have a bless and great weekend.=:O)

have been reading along. I want to express my admiration of your writing skill and ability to make reader to read the while thing to the end. I would like to read more of your blogs and to share my thoughts with you.

936c248Picked up the Teisco Melody last night and unfortunately one of the axial caps (a 80MFD x 150WV) is broken right at the cap (unable to solder back on), so the task of trying to track down replacements is on. There’s nothing in Vancouver, BC that I can purchase from local suppliers (with the exception of a couple of radial 100MFD x 160WV or 100MFD x 250V). Any advice on where I can buy replacements would be most welcome as I can put in the radials now to get the amp up and running but would like to get axials as they look more like stock units.Jim19a6bb

| “If you enjoy the sounds of Red, Skillet, Thousand Foot Krutch, or Linkin Park, youâ€™ll dig this.”or, “If you are the majority of Indie Vision Music.com, then you probably won’t dig this.” ;)Anyway this song is alright. Reminds me a little bit of Comatose in that it has that “epic” vibe to it. Nothing that really compels me to push replay though.

Thanks for your marvelous posting! I seriously enjoyed reading it, you could be a great author.I will make sure to bookmark your blog and definitely will come back in the future. I want to encourage continue your great posts, have a nice evening!

I sent Lance an email telling him to give up his congressional health care.He wrote this back: "You may be pleased to know that I do not participate in the federal employees health benefits (FEHB) program. In fact I have never been enrolled in the federal health care program since being elected to Congress in Nov. 2008. Many members of Congress may get their health care coverage through FEHB but I do not."is this true?

Of course you are proud, a published author for a daughter! My love of herbs is what originally directed me to your garden. I think I love them best for the scents, because I often grow some that I never use other than enjoying their scent.

Count me in with Bronze Trinity and Ross. I could say a lot more, I suppose, but figure I’ll leave that space for someone who needs it. Vic is guilty. Vic is a damned fool. Let’s face it. Now let’s move on.

We have tried to provide unconditional love to all of our children and grandchildren over the years and feel very rewarded by the fact thatour children (Betsy being the oldest) give their families the same unconditionallove. How proud we are of our new author who has been able to put togetherher Zen-Mama stories that express the need for all of us to let go of our fearsand need for control, and replace that with unconditional love.[]

i am on my 2nd week of insanity…. I am loving this workout and i feel like I am pushing myself and sweating my butt off, but i am only burning about 200 calories a workout…. i havent really seen any changes yet, but i dont wanna give up… any advice or suggestions?

Write more, thats all I have to say. Literally, it seems as though you relied on the video to make your point. You clearly know what youre talking about, why throw away your intelligence on just posting videos to your blog when you could be giving us something enlightening to read?

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Wanted to add too – my comment on the quality achieved so far in the Chrome has nothing to do with the generally right idea of having the HTML5 standard rid of any heavy plugins. As soon as the test stage is over and the product is ready, it will be a really good thing to go with

pretty, but i like you in warmer colors. this just seems to cool – almost grey on you. the colors are missing something for you.i have to add THANK YOU for the mac unsung heros. i just got my first lipglass in nyymphette and lippie in sandy b. omg. i am in love love love. also got blotting powder. all are fabulous. i am now in love with MAC for life. i’m a lifer.

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"I'm not now–despite the fact that overall I had a better time with my black friends. The only people I kept in touch with after I moved are black."Now you see Kylie, some of my best friends are white, too.

I’ll gear this review to 2 types of people: current Zune owners who are considering an upgrade, and people trying to decide between a Zune and an iPod. (There are other players worth considering out there, like the Sony Walkman X, but I hope this gives you enough info to make an informed decision of the Zune vs players other than the iPod line as well.)

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What a wonderful parish … my parents live near Phila., and I plan to make Mater Ecclesiae my place of worship whenever I am visiting home.I was there for the recent closing Mass for the 40 hrs devotion — what a joy.

That is very true. Smelling perfumes with other people from all around the world is both a great and a novel experience in understanding and experiencing perfumes.I wish with all my heart we could organize a meeting for all of us together – people we already know through our mutual perfume quests.

Hi Aimee,We have the same two videos on our blog today, too. Kenn Bell, the filmmaker will be opening tonight’s #BlogPawsChat on Twitter at 8pm ET, sharing his thoughts on 9/11 the Hero SAR Dogs.Hope to see you there!Cokes

This design is incredible! You definitely know how to keep a reader entertained.Between your wit and your videos, I was almost moved tostart my own blog (well, almost…HaHa!) Wonderful job. Ireally loved what you had to say, and more than that, how you presented it.Too cool!

Very good blog! Do you have any tips and hints for aspiring writers? I’m hoping to start my own site soon but I’m a little lost on everything. Would you advise starting with a free platform like WordPress or go for a paid option? There are so many options out there that I’m totally confused .. Any recommendations? Appreciate it!

I’m so excited to see what people end up with. I realize I didn’t specify that people should weigh their plastic because not everyone has as sensitive a scale as I do. It’s a kitchen scale that measures by the .1 ounce. (Do you use ounces or grams in Tunisia?) And I’m certainly not going to recommend anyone go out and buy that brand new piece of plastic!

Hello there! I know this is somewhat off topic but I was wondering if you knew where I could locate a captcha plugin for my comment form? I’m using the same blog platform as yours and I’m having problems finding one? Thanks a lot!

I also hear the content of my fridge and pantry constantly calling 'eat me'… and it's hard to resist the temptation.the bun looks perfect and I like the use of the leftover pork. Have a great day. Michael

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If you’re using an external flash probably the easiest thing to do is to buy a diffuser to fit on the front of it. Mine cost about Â£5 of E-Bay and works a treat.I’d love to see a picture of that tupperware set up. That’s definitely the Wallace & Gromit flash-0-matic

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Its great, Melissa! I love sweater coats but don’t have time to make one. What I would do is turn the air conditioner up and sit in my coat until winter. LolYes, being creative feeds something in me too. I have to have something going all the time.Congrats on your good work! Looks great even without buttons…Nice choise of colors too.Cher

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SAS,The idea or runing an attack line into a burning structure, or climbing onto the roof of a burning building to wack it with an ax to ventilate it goes against what most of find to be the normal response. My hat is off to those who do the job.

Well put Jessica! I think I’m going to have write a seperate post on this issue because I think there is alot of confusion about the meaning of emotional dependence in our society because of how it has been villainized by words like co-dependent.

The Absent Game…Among me and my husband we’ve owned extra MP3 gamers through the years than I can count, which includes Sansas, iRivers, iPods (common & touch), the Ibiza Rhapsody, etc. But, the last few decades I’ve settled down to one line of players….

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It looks like a nice rifle. I wish Iowa would let me own suppressors. I’ve got a question, why is there absolutely no mention of the Thompson Center Venture on this site? If they made a version with a threaded barrel I think they’d be even more fantastic. Street price is under 500 and they guarantee sub moa. Just sayin

WVU should definetly be considered for the tourney, yea they may not have the most impressive record, but definetly quality wins in the big12 especiallly if the committee doesnt go by seeds or records they have to figure that WVU has the potential to make a run as much as any team in the country, and being the next team cut out of the big12 for the tournament com’ on man

West Virginia does have five really solid wins, but there are a couple big issues for them as well. The first is that they are 10-13 against the RPI Top 200. I have not even tried to check historically to see if there is any precedent for that, but that’s three games under .500 against more than half of the D-1 teams. The other issue is their non-conference performance where they went 8-5 with losses to Va Tech (#237) and Purdue (#138). Their best non-con wins were against William & Mary (#119), Old Dominion (#171), and Duquesne (#179). Road woes are a smaller factor, as outside of the win at Baylor, the Mountaineers haven’t beaten anyone in the Top 100 away from home and have just four total wins outside the state of WV.

Could a deep Big 12 run get them into the conversation? Sure, but they have too many blemishes for me as of today.

I’m stunned that practically every bracketologist not only has SMU in, but on average comfortably in around a 9 seed. I realize they have 4 top 50 wins, but with an overall RPI in the mid-40s, an awful non-conference schedule and weak overall strength of schedule, they are a classic case of a bubble team asking to be punished by the committee for soft scheduling. I think they’re a bubble team that needs to do some damage in the conference tournament or else get left out completely.

Also, I think a lot of bracketologists haven’t adjusted enough for recent events. Iowa/Nebraska is a clear case — in the same conference, no less. A few weeks ago, Iowa had a much better profile. Now, it is very close, or Nebraska has a slightly better one, yet most have Iowa safely in, and Nebraska as a bubble team. Iowa’s slide and Nebraska’s surge are being underappreciated.

Good points on SMU. To me, once you get around the 8-9 range this year, you could pretty much throw the teams in a hat. Everyone has at least a few decent wins and at least one seemingly inexplicable loss. I wouldn’t argue moving them down a line, but I think they do have enough high level performances that the infamous “eye test” comes into play.

As for the Nebraska/Iowa argument, this really puts the committee’s stance that the last 10 games matter as much as the first 10 games to the test. When comparing the two, Iowa does have a Top 50 non-conference win over Xavier, and they don’t have any sub-100 losses where Nebraska has three. On the flip side, Iowa has basically beaten two good teams in the last two months (three if you count Minnesota), and over that same time period Nebraska has four if you count the Gophers. A lot of that has to do with the way Nebraska’s Big Ten schedule was front loaded.

All that being said, I 1,000% percent agree that Nebraska is playing better basketball right now, but unfortunately that doesn’t mean as much as it probably should so long as the committee focuses on the entire body of work.

Mostly agree with your bracket, nice job. What teams do you see exiting earlier than they should, going farther than they should, going on a cinderella run, and winning the national champion championship.

I see Duke, Wisconsin, and Cincy exiting early. Cincy cant score, Duke has done nothing away from Cameron and relies on the 3 too much, and i dont know what to think of Wisconsin.

I see UNC, Louisville, VCU, and OK State going farther than they should. Louisville’s and VCU’s havoc defense is hard to beat, OK State is way better than a 9 seed even though their resume doesnt show it, and UNC can beat anybody but also lose to anybody.

Based on recent history, I think Wisconsin could exit early, and I think defensive issues could get Duke or Creighton knocked off if they run into a solid offensive team. On the 4 line, Cincinnati and SDSU have the opposite issue in that they are great on D but can slump offensively.

As for your second question, I like your Louisville and UNC picks. Oregon is intriguing too, as I thought they would be better overall, slumped in the middle, but are playing well of late. SMU is intriguing too.

Cinderellas: I like North Dakota St. (assuming they win tonight), La Tech is tough, Manhattan has some solid players, and NC Central is a 15 that would be a tough draw if you’re looking further down the list.

For the last one, Florida has been outstanding when at full strength so it’s tough to pick against them. Back injuries to Grant for Cuse and Embiid for KU could derail those teams, but I like them if healthy. Louisville is playing great, and Iowa St. could go on a run if they get hot from 3. And for all the people knocking Wichita St., I really do think they are a solid team that could get back to the Final Four for a second year.

Right now, I’d put Wisconsin there and think that is Michigan or Wisconsin win the Big Ten Tournament, either could easily get the one seed. Kansas is tricky since they won’t have Embiid and his status is up in the air. If they win it without him and Wisconsin wins, it could be a coin flip.

It would be unprecedented, but at the same time their schedule strength is unprecedented as well. If they run the table without Embiid in the B12 Tournament, I think they have a legit shot at a one seed depending on what happens in the Big Ten.

For me, it most closely ties back to their records away from home and bad losses. Iowa is 7-7 in road/neutral games with wins over Xavier (neutral) and at Ohio St. and Illinois. Minnesota is 3-9 away from home, with all 3 wins worse than the 3 I listed for Iowa based on RPI. Iowa has also avoided sub-100 losses, while the Gophers have two.

The short answer Andy is ‘NO’:-). I had some straight from the yellow belly when I first went in 1995, and thought it was delicious, and anything I’ve ever tasted since from a bottle hasnt been as nice. Cool post Andy; Kvas is actually quite a serious subject!:-) Even from a bottle its beats the pants off western soft-drinks.

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No Slappz you get ONE warning. YOU DO NOT WANT IT WITH ME. YOU CAN MESS WITH ANYBODY ELSE BUT TRUST AND BELIEVE I'M THE WRONG CHICK TO FOOL WITH.Besides West Midwood is some bullshit you made up like East Williamsburg. Have a great night all.

– This image is probably very special to this couple. I am sure they’ll cherishfor rest of their lives. It seems like it is a special moment for the bride and the groom to step back and enjoy the wedding day. Tara you catch such wonderful special moments and gesture. You have a good eye for things around you.

Thanks for this advice, Gay. It should certainly help the novice (and seasoned) writer from that intimidation with the realization that “writing is a process.” As I read through your wisdom, I detected those foundational writing skills–a heirarchy, if you will–that are critically important in any writing (creative, technical, journalistic, etc.): Unity, Coherence & Harmony, all of which go to content, structure and theme.John

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I have a 7 year old daughter. Interested in learning more about the summer arts camp.Does it run August 13th -31st? What are the start and end times each day? Whatis the cost? Also, can students come on a drop in basis? Do students need to pack a lunch each day? What will the campers do this year? What’s the adult/kid ratio?Thanks you in advance.

I have observed that of all different types of insurance, health care insurance is the most dubious because of the discord between the insurance company’s necessity to remain afloat and the buyer’s need to have insurance. Insurance companies’ income on overall health plans are extremely low, as a result some corporations struggle to make a profit. Thanks for the suggestions you talk about through your blog.

– I’m so glad you’re writing it in your voice. I don’t know that you understand how powerful your voice is. I have never read books like yours. (And you make me scream at you and the MC while I’m reading!) Seriously, you’re you. No one like you. And that’s a beautiful, beautiful thing.March 8, 2011 – 10:00 am

/ This really sounds amazingly like a lot of fun! I’m so glad you found something that opened a new world of people, places, and “finds” to your life. Sometimes, we need to take action to change things, and that certainly is what you have done. I’m impressed!Linda Medrano recently posted..

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People will be able to live forever by having their “brains” uploaded on computer in future. However, only the elite will be allowed to do this. I think it’s so amazing how in forty years, things have changed so much. It seems the change is happening exponentially as technology cna create more advanced technology quicker..-= Gordie RogersÂ´s last blog .. =-.

Fried chicken was one of the things that convinced me this was the way I wanted to eat to forever. I had? Parmesan coated fried chicken breasts tonight for supper, and it was great. It’s so simple and as good as you’ll ever find at KFC or a restaurant. Best of luck!

Hill curried a lot of favor with the Hurleys when RU played [and lost to] St. Peter’s at the refurbished Jersey City Armory last November. The Armory is run by the Jersey City Recreation Department. Guess who is in charge of the Rec Dept.? Bob Hurley.SHU had a chance to play that ‘re-opening’ game but hemmed and hawed and ultimately decided not to play St. Peter’s there until the 08-09 season.

Hi Deniz,Sorry to be so long in answering! Just back from long trip abroad. Average rates are hard to come by. When I edit (which I do very rarely) I charge $10 a page, which seems to be somewhere in the upper middle of the range. A less expensive option is a ms. evaluation, which costs about half and gives you almost as much feedback—the main difference is that you make the changes instead of the editor. You can also go for a partial evaluation. Often, if there are problems in a ms, they show up throughout, so having half the book read will give you as much to go on as having the whole book read.

Meg how brilliant! The process of getting a Year 8 class to help Year 7 to write an animation is an amazing feat. I did a short animation course at the V&A and know just how time consuming it it… to get a group to work on a project of this length with all the artwork and dialogue etc is mind-boggling. Lunch Box (and Meg Harpur)certainly seems something more schools should be involved with. The pupils I'm sure will never forget this experience. How many sessions did it take to reach the final animation?

Greetings,I installed MailShot Pro tonight and created a group and when finished it reported that the group was added to my Contacts List. However, the group did not show up in my Contacts List. Did I miss a settings some place?Regards,David

Tara told me today in the car:”Mum. I’ve finally decided what I want to be when I grow up.””What is that Tara?””An acrobat. I think I would be really good at it and I love the clothes they wear.”End of story. She’s going to be an acrobat. Molly at fifteen now wants to study Criminology and Creative Writing at Melbourne uni ;-)

and what the frick do you mean “unlike Miley”? Miley looks exactly the same with makeup as without it. And while they both have ugly smiles, at least Miley doesnt have a man chin or half as ugly a personality.

OK, I just cant follow all this fro? here, dammit. What happened to the waterbreak weirdness, and that faux-pregnancy stuff? was that all lies? I saw it briefly?on the net two days ago. But it doent seem to feature in reports now. Surely she`ll only sink McCain if they`re true though – `hi Im a bizarre liar`!

I did see, and have been fighting for the right words to thank you. It’s tough for me not to fall back into my Gary, Indiana patois when I come across a rare gem like you. Anyway… Thanks, Maddie. You’re the best.

After checking out a few of the articles on your web page, I seriously appreciate your technique of writing a blog. I saved it to my bookmark website list and will be checking back soon. Please check out my website too and tell me your opinion.

EEC Great article. I have a quick question and have yet to find an answer after much searching on the internet. I am wanting to change the category so it is more specific and hyperlinked. For example, instead of the category on Soulmates Wedding Photography being Professional Services it would say photography with a hyperlink to other photographers in the area. I would like to put eyewear & optometrist both in this area but can’t figure out how. I know other eyecare places have this so it is possible. Do you have any idea how I would go about doing this?!?!

Norcal just took the words right off my little blog post here. I have read many different pieces of writing from Dr. Eaton, and I have loved all of them. Even though I'm a guy, since I have a young daughter who I intend to raise in the outdoors, I wonder why girls were left out of the equation.Interesting.I still might have to pick up the book, though.

I need to choose contentment and stop wishing for things God doesn't want me to have right now. It hurts, but I have to trust that He knows what's best for me. When I spend less energy on wishing for and imagining things I want, I'll have that energy to use toward my future, or for the better good of someone around me.

Mr. White: i have just purhased your book on the Lumix LX5—need urgent help via email if you can.I cannot figure out how to attach the lens ring–have no clue how to open it..and have no idea how to attach the shoulder strap with those two small clips on it.can you bail me out quickly??sure hope so.you make a point of saying how important it is to attach the lens cap but there is no instruction anywhere on how to open that circular clip and run it throught the loops.many thanksbill lissatlanta, georgia

Do what I did and hike yourself to the Goodwill. Got a huge punchbowl with 8 cups, hangers and ladle for 3 bucks (it was half-price day.) Then, when you no longer need it, either donate it back or pass it along to someone who does. Cheaper than red Solo cups.And I would never forsake you, darling! I just try to keep my mouth shut unless I actually have something to say.Try, anyway.

11/11 was my Grandfather’s Birthday too! Must be a special day for special people!! My Raggies would LOVE this comb, I’ve been looking at it for weeks now!! Thanks for a great giveaway, and a great website! (btw, have done #1-2, I don’t have twitter, but I’ll see ya on FB!)

AB, so you are a wite agent provocateur. Either paid…or doing so out of a sense that if you weren't..your life would be meaningless. Funny how wites soil their pants over the idea of meritocracy and a sorta/kinda brown 'Merica. Wites have more to fear from underfunded schools, elimination of pollution controls, and rich not paying taxes. Oh, and the Chinese. Bleating about the eveel urban hordes seeking your horse-faced daughters/sisters/wives misses the risk of Chinese hegemony. But then, to wites, the Chinee are too beneath notice. For now.Mold

Baron–It’s been a couple of years, I think, but I did post on a Bawer essay one time. Don’t remember what it was about and am too tired to scrounge around in Blooger trying to find it.I’m not surprised you’ve forgotten it. I did too until I read your comment.

Brett Slater, of Slater’s Garage. He was talking about exercising your creative muscle.Â It is a good one that makes you feel better about the occasional off the wall idea, or outburst you may have. Â I

OK, seriously, I would never have guessed from the cover that this is 'this' type of book (whatever 'this' type is, but it sounds AMAZING).I mean, I get not MIND-BLOWING, but sometimes the quiet, sweet, unexpected stories can be the ones to touch us the deepest? TOTALLY keeping my eye out for this.WONDERFUL review, as ALWAYS, love! ♥

avoid lengthy paragraphs since large blocks of…text can be intimidating for some people! in addition by breaking up your text you will not be forcing people to maintain their focus to prevent losing their place thus reducing eye strain!blog posting in a way that keeps visitors to…

Excellent post. Saw a disply of Japanese books in Waterstones the other day and they'd actually included an Amy Tan title in there! I suppose they thought 'vaguely oriental' and bunged them all in together.

I'm SO excited to see the full collection! I'm absolutely in love with your minimalistic style, so your Nelly collection will surely be the death of my bank account! EEEEEK SO EXCITED! Well done, Sandra, your hard work is about to pay off!Tatiana xxwww.she–wrote.blogspot.com

13-07-2012 Number four tells how to put moisture into breads, which I think is important, but number one tells how to dry out pizza and make it hard and crunchy instead of soft and moist. Seems a bit strange. But I always want all my baked goods underdone, soft, moist and NOT brown.

yes. The deal fell through anyway when he got cold feet after the inspection and I wasn’t willing to take the dump with its numerous flaws.So yes, like resolutions to start exercising, the end of the year is when many a seller find religion (or sense); and like new years’ resolutions they fade before February.

Larisa – that quote totally describes my son – so thanks and I will remind him. Thanks for the reminder as well that it only takes one teacher – true words. I think we’ll print up the quote and put it up on the refrigerator along with the one “I would rather die than drink from the cup of mediocrity!” thanks so much for reading.

I have to write a research paper and my topic is the First Amendment. I want to write about taking a more absolutist view of it, saying that there are only so many ways to interpret the First Amendment, and that it doesn’t pick sides between money-hogging corporations or the underdog, it just is what it is. But how should I start it, what topic is there to research? I am locked into the subject, I’m afraid, and I don’t have much time left. Any ideas?

skep-tic, this is another myth. people tend to think you will have hugh overhead expense in small school district but there is no evidence supporting this hypothesis. you can pull numbers from any county and probablly you will find exact opposite.