While the GOP continues with the current circular firing squad, O is accumulating big bucks. It's going to be much closer than most posters here would like to believe, or maybe not if a Bachmann or Palin or Perry get nominated.

7:12 pm August 26, 2011

Gary wrote:

I live in North Carolina, which is one of those purple states that went for Obama in 2008. I think he won in North Carolina because there was so little enthusiasm for McCain, the "maverick" moderate RINO. To me, there is no difference between a RINO republican and a LIBERAL democrat. Consequently, as I recall, I didn't even bothered to vote. But I can assure you that in 2012 I will be there to vote Obama out if I have to crawl over broken glass on my hands and knees.

7:34 pm August 26, 2011

Matthew Coons wrote:

If, as the analysis says "No President has ever been re-elected with Gallup job approval under 47%", why are the purple states 44-49%? Maybe it is margin of error, but if that is it, shouldn't the range be 44-50%, assuming a 3% margin of error? If the margin of error is only 2%, that would give us 45-49%. It seems that either all the 50% states should be in the purple column or all the states under 45% should be in the red column. If we make the purple states 44-50%, that puts, at least, Michigan and Wisconsin purple bringing BO's numbers down to 189 and purple up to 187. If we use 45-49%, red goes up to 193 and purple goes down to 128. It doesn't seem to make sense to only count two up from the 47% mark as purple but three down as purple. It seems it should be either three up and three down or two off in either direction to be counted as a purple state. And if we do that we find that either BO's numbers go down and purple goes up or purple's numbers go down and red's numbers go up.
And if we put those above 47 in the blue column and those below 47 in the red column, Obama gets 267 votes with Florida, once again, being the deciding state. But does anyone actually think a state like GA will vote for BO and a state like OR will vote for the Republican? But a switch of those two states still leaves Florida as the deciding state.

7:42 pm August 26, 2011

T. Stamps wrote:

You must have stayed up all night on this silly article. Have a good.

8:03 pm August 26, 2011

Anonymous wrote:

Mr Obama is doomed... He made big mistakes over this time period so this data doesn't begin to reflect how his approval numbers are today. He only recently tried to scare/threaten our grandparents into raising the debt ceiling. How low was that little stunt... Are those numbers reflected in this study? I think not. Mr Obama is a one term president. Maybe Habitat for Humanity is hiring...

10:40 pm August 26, 2011

Kevin wrote:

Georgians tend to be polite. If Mr. Obama wins Georgia in 2012, it will be in a huge landslide like the one Reagan enjoyed in 1984. This just serves to illustrate the limitations in this poll methodology. In reality, Mr. Obama has almost zero chance to carry Georgia in 2012. Take the rest of these poll extrapolation results with a grain of salt.

11:13 pm August 26, 2011

Romney 2012 wrote:

If he's not the best GOP candidate, I don't know who is! I want one of them RomneyCare programs, and I also want him to do that thing he'd said he'd do to the S&P municipal debt analysts (that things about raisin them taxes so that we can pay our bills).

ROMNEY 2012

4:29 am August 27, 2011

Peter wrote:

It is simply incredible to me that most and I mean most would even consider thids"empty can" for any public office never mind a second term.

The fact is that Obama's power base consists of those who are angry,disenfranchised and racist. No,one doesn't have to be Caucasian to be racist as Obama although,he denies it uses class warfare and race in his disingenuous finger pointing charade to instill fear add hate amongst the American people. I quote"if they bring a knife,we will bring a gun" "they will try to use my name,my race to frighten you". I inherited all these problems from George Bush and almost three years into my Presidency I did "everything right and was a victim of bad luck"

The truth is in speech after speech which is saying a lot as the guy never stops conning people,making false claims about accomplishments that an ignoramus can see are not true and forgetting(no way) that he said and I quote" Once I am in the White House,I own it" An incredible attempt to blame anyone and everyone became his "rap" as he failed at everything he swore he would do.

He swore unemployment would be 8% or less by the end of year one. The fact is that if those who have given up are counted the rate is 15% or higher at the end of three years.

We kept hearing about "green shoots" and the summer of economic success that never happened and that was two years ago. Every person Obama brought in as his "economic team has left or been asked to leave. These were Obama's crew,hand picked by our "leader.

Obama swore that he had a plan. It couldn't have been the $875 billion of taxpayer money he took to enact a "jobs" program which produced NO net jobs even when the stats are doctored to include jobs saved which is a used car salesman way of selling you a oiece of junk which dies after you drive it out of the dealership.

Obama swore that beginning day one he would go over the budget line by line and forbid pork,earmarks while eliminating failed programs,unnecessary Government Bureaucracy along with agencies that were obsolete,nonproductive,duplicated and duplicated at an enormous cost. Not only did he do "none of the above" but he grew government exponentially,started new agencies,hired Czars,Czars in America who were aka advisers to pervert the system of "checks and balances". The Shyster that he is,the narcissist he is thought he found a way regardless of the perversion to cheat the people,mock the Constitution knowing his buddies had no chance of surviving Congressional vetting. Worse yet is that the people he chose would report to no one but him. No accountability and obviously a perversion of the system the Founders sought and the Constitution,if nothing else was written to guarantee a megalomaniac like this,an extremist,an ideologue could not violate the rights of the people,could not eliminate fair representation,could not usurp that which is allowed with the type of legislation,the perversions,the redistribution of income and services,the creation of a program of Socialized Healthcare,the shunning of due process,the use of the Justice Department as his own KGB. In fact,that is what we got.

This President committed not to save the economy which is the engine of everything . The economy creates jobs,it allow a good quality of life,it was the glue that so many millions worked for,fought for and died for. Obama,with a "bullet proof Congress for two years and the Senate now chose NOT to address the Cancer,the budget,the debt that was sinking the country. He had two years to make a budget which he did not. He,his Congress,his impotence and his egocentric need to establish his "legacy" took precedent over what was most important,what was urgent ,what made everything possible for 200+ years.

Yes,it was freedom,opportunity and the American Dream that brought many millions here with pride,a work ethic and an indomitable desire to build a present for themselves and a future for their children. Clinton"it's the economy stupid" and Obama the stupid chose to focus on an unconstitutional socialization of this country and a legacy instead. There are 26 states Attorney's General suing this WMD of a plan,a plan that is so flawed and already so expensive that all Obama preached will never happen and the quality for care,the joke that 15-35 million more people will reduce the deficit.

Obama is a compulsive liar at best and something much more sinister at worst. He committed at least one "impeachable offense when he sent forces into Libya,a direct violation of the "War Powers Act. LBJ did the war that wasn't a war as 58,000 Americans were killed but there was no War Powers Act. He still should have been impeached but we got Nixon instead and he was.

5:10 am August 27, 2011

Numbers Please wrote:

Would be interesting if someone in the media would take the time and effort to post numbers reflecting state by state unemployment rates, food stamp recipients, union memberships, percentage of state and local government employees, voter registrations, etc., etc. alongside the approval rating poll numbers. Yes, I'm sure I could do that type of analysis on my own, but I would think people getting paid and making a living in the media outlets would get creative once in awhile. Its really a sad state of affairs that with so many outlets in America that a real vacuum of meaningful information is almost nonexistent (or is it suppressed?).

7:05 am August 27, 2011

Ken from Austin, TX wrote:

Cut, cap, and balance; everything else is trivial.

8:46 am August 27, 2011

Mike Donovan wrote:

This empty suit is finished.

10:39 am August 27, 2011

Anonymous too wrote:

Obama has been shown to be an incompetent leader with leftist beliefs. THere is no putting that genie back in the bottle - no matter how much help the media gives to him. He is a failure and so are his leftist policies and keynesian spending. As long as the Republicans nominate a ticket that is not too conservative, they will win in a walk. THe Community Organizer has no clothes....

7:53 pm August 28, 2011

physicsisking wrote:

With God on your side, who could be against you.

That is the entire underlying moral purpose and psychological purpose of the Tea Party and the conservatives.

It was never about small government. It was about THEIR GOVERNMENT.

In the past month or so since the debt battle, the Tea Party and conservatives have done nothing but go back on their small government principles.

It is time for Ron Paul.

The Republicans AND the Tea Party are frauds.

Ron Paul is committed to ending the hostage situation for this country. Powerful elderly groups, through the AARP, are controlling nearly 50% of our national budget, directing the future trajectory of the debt, and have the future of the young and this country in their greedy hands.

We rant and rave against teachers and their unions. Name a teachers' union that waves its finger and the entire congress wets its pants.

The AARP is the most powerful union thug organization in this country. And unless we can rip their greedy, shriveled, wrinkled fingers off the future of the young and our budget this nation is through.

I know, I know. Calling the AARP a union is ridiculous. No, it is not. They fight, threaten, and throw cash and threats at those who will not support lavish living standards and medical benefits for the old through a government mandated, statutory defined pension plan.

Their mechanisms of operation and their outcomes are entirely consonant with the operation of an industrial union.

9:41 pm August 28, 2011

Pollination wrote:

Will be a huge win in the electoral college for President Obama if Perry is the republican nominee. May be a little closer if Romney gets it but that is most unlikely.

10:20 am August 29, 2011

Maxwell wrote:

cue The Who... "We Won't Be Fooled Again"

10:23 am August 29, 2011

Maxwell wrote:

I'm hoping that Romney will continue to refrain from attacking Perry and both men stay focused on the issues and Obama's failed policies, this would make for a very strong ticket when Romney is asked to be Perry's VP.

3:20 pm August 30, 2011

James W. Maloney, Chapel Hill, NC wrote:

It's a long way to the election, but this is one excellent way to look at the possible results. The thesis is valid at any point from now to the election. However, the results will determine the validity.

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