Game-Changing Real Estate Trends in 2018

From housing inventory to price appreciation to generational shifts, look for real estate markets to “reshape” in 2018, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

Game-changer #1: Supply finally catching up with demand

After three years of a shrinking supply of homes for sale, the realtor.com economists predict that the shortfall will finally ease up win the second half of 2018.

“The majority of the year should be challenging for most buyers. But we do expect growth in inventory in the fall,” says Danielle Hale, chief economist for realtor.com.

If housing inventory increases as predicted by fall, that will be the first net inventory gain since 2015.

Bullish construction is the engine that’s turning this ship around, bringing new home inventory to the market and creating opportunity for people to trade up into new homes.

But first time buyers may have to be patient for a while longer.

“Overall, prices are expected to increase, and we’re expecting to see more of that in lower-priced homes,” Hale says.

Along the Front Range, appreciation for homes priced above $750,000 will slow down while homes priced less than $500,000 will continue to see appreciation but not at the rate seen in recent years. This is due to the lack of supply (many builders are focusing on higher price point properties) and a large demand for real estate as a result of continued net migration.

Game-changer #2: Millennials starting to come into their own

The housing market in 2018 will continue to present challenges for millennials but there are some bright spots on the horizon.

Because of the strengthening economy and their developing careers, millennials are taking on larger mortgages and bypassing entry level homes.

As millennials reach their 20s to 30s when they’re settling down and starting families, they’re particularly motivated to buy. Millennials could make up 43% of home buyers taking out a mortgage by the end of 2018, up from an estimated 40% in 2017.

With mortgage rates expected to increase during 2018 due to stronger economic growth, millennials would be wise to buy sooner than later.

Game-changer #3: Tax reform

The new tax plan will change things up, in a nutshell causing short-term rates to rise more rapidly than anticipated as the Federal Reserve seeks to “get ahead” of possible inflation. The tax plan will also flood the market with a little more liquidity, keeping the economy moving at least another year.

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