Morning Madness: Friday, Feb. 17

The Big Ten has taken a bit of a beating from outside its borders lately. The men's basketball selection committee, just last weekend, didn't see fit to include a single Big Ten team in its mid-February dry-run seeding of the top 16 teams for the mid-March NCAA tournament.

Nobody inside the Big Ten cares if anyone thinks the glass is half-full or half-empty, though. They're too busy beating up on each other to worry about what outsiders think.

In case you missed it

• Case in point Thursday night: No. 11 Wisconsin lost its second straight Big Ten punchout, this time to unranked but surging Michigan 64-58. The loss drops the Badgers into a three-way Big Ten first-place tie with Maryland and Purdue.

• Then, of course, you have the runaways (see Zips, Catamounts, below). No. 1 Gonzaga wiped out San Francisco on Thursday night. The Bulldogs are 27-0 and lead the West Coast Conference by two games, and they've already beaten the second-place team, Saint Mary's, twice.

• Don't look for any Top 25 games tonight. By our calculations, there are (beep, boop, boop, beep, bop) ... ZERO games involving AP Top 25 teams. Unranked Valparaiso and Oakland are squaring off in a key Horizon Conference matchup. Valpo has a two-game lead, but Oakland has won four in a row, and the game's at Oakland (7 ET, ESPN2).

• On Sunday, No. 23 Maryland's game at No. 11 Wisconsin (1 ET, CBS) gets top billing, but this one's intriguing, too: Georgetown, 14-12 and fighting to stay relevant to the selection committee, travels to No. 20 Creighton, 21-5 (3:30 ET, FS1). No team has made the tournament with more than 14 losses, and Georgetown still has No. 2 Villanova on its schedule, not to mention a tough Big East tournament to maneuver. Tough row for the Hoyas to hoe.

Valparaiso is one of a handful of teams -- a big handful, OK? -- that are dominating conference play. The Crusaders can snag an almost insurmountable lead in the Horizon if they win Friday night against Oakland.

To win your Bracket Challenge group, yes, you have to pick some upsets. We know. We've crunched the numbers.

MARCH MADNESS SHOP

The problem, of course, is figuring out where you're more likely to find an upset. We pored over years of data from our Bracket Challenge Game to determine which seeds people pick too much to spring a surprise and which ones we don't we pick enough (based on actual outcomes).