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Short thoughts and the occasional essay on startups, analytics and technology

experts

Yesterday I saw an announcement for Microsoft Prediction Lab which allows users to predict upcoming events such as elections. While prediction markets are nothing new—the Iowa Electronics Market has been operational since 1988 and, over time, has routinely outperformed traditional polls—I have not heard about them as much recently. Google Trends seems to validate the idea that their popularity has waned, with a slow…Read more →