"Joe Maimon" <jmaimon at chl.com> wrote:
a set of assumptions detailed below, in response to Ted Mittelstaedt.
The fact is that anybody can write or assume anything since none of us
has a crystal ball.
So these are my assumptions:
- the world will change tomorrow.
- Today's internet access will be different tomorrow.
- v4 is fine for today's use, but it clearly isn't for tomorrow's
world.
- Progress cannot be stopped - it's the sad truth.
oh, and I forget not:
"Failing to prepare (for v6) is to prepare for failure"
Olivier
--
Olivier MJ Crepin-Leblond, Ph.D
Global Information Highway Ltd
http://www.gih.com/ocl.html
>>> Ted Mittelstaedt wrote:
>> > The fact is that once IPv4 has run out, it is in the best
interests of
> > -everyone- on the Internet to
> > switch to IPv6 as quickly as possible. As soon as the Internet
reaches
> > a tipping point of IPv6
> > switchees, then there will be a stampede of IPv4 holders to IPv6
and
> > then there will be PLENTY
> > of worthless abandonded IPv4 available for those orgs who believe
that
> > the rest of the world will
> > continue to dual-stack forever, just for them.
>> Those are one set of assumptions.
>> Another set of assumptions about what happens upon runout are:
>> a) most people will prefer to keep using ipv4 without changing
anything
> unless they have an urgent need to grow
>> b) they will grow by trying to obtain ipv4 by any practical or cost
> effective method available, such as black market or internal
reclamation
> and by pressure on registries for grey/white markets and
reclamation
> and other interesting ideas such as reclaiming class e
>> c) users will treat ipv6 only as the least desirable option
>> d) ipv6 will not become desirable over rfc1918 ipv4 for the masses
until
> seamless operation with the rest of the ipv4 network is commonplace
and
> reliable
>> e) given all above, a "tipping" point may not be reached many years
and
> until then ipv6 is just a slightly more usable form of rfc1918 from
an
> end-user perspective
>> f) people who are happy with their ipv4 will feel no need to impose
ipv6
> dual stack on their user population until they ask for it and there
is a
> real and practical benefit for them to do so and the downsides to
their
> network arent outweighed by these benefits
>> g) ipv4 will remain scarce and valuable for years to come
>>>> _______________________________________________
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