EXCLUSIVE: South Sudan economy on the verge of collapse, World Bank warns

May 6, 2012 (WASHINGTON) – The newly independent state of South Sudan is quickly headed towards an economic cliff in light of its decision to shut down oil production which went into effect earlier this year, says a confidential report by the World Bank.

South Sudanese finance officials at signing of the treaty to become World Bank/IMF’s newest member (AFP File photo)

South Sudan took with it 75% of the oil reserves that existed when it was united with the north. But the landlocked nation could only export its oil through the pipelines that run through Sudan’s territories and end at the Red Sea port city.

Following a bitter row over how much Juba should pay Khartoum for the service, South Sudan made a unilateral decision to suspend oil production in response to Sudan’s seizure of a portion of the exported oil to make up for what it says are unpaid transit fees.

South Sudanese officials insisted that even though oil exports constitutes 98% of Juba’s revenue, they are capable of surviving until an alternative pipeline is built. They also stress that just as much as the people of South Sudan were able to live through a long and devastating civil war with the north they could manage few years of economic hardships.

But a briefing by a senior World Bank official on March 1 obtained by Sudan Tribune paints a very bleak picture of what awaits South Sudan’s economy in the months ahead.

"[T]he World Bank has never seen a situation as dramatic as the one faced by South Sudan," the World Bank’s Director of Economic Policy and Poverty Reduction Programs for Africa Marcelo Giugale is quoted as telling representatives of the major donor groups including the United States, United Kingdom, European Union (EU), Norway and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) among others.

The same presentation was given to the top officials in South Sudan on February 29, 2012.

Giugale told the donors that neither South Sudan president Salva Kiir nor senior member of his cabinet "were aware of the economic implications of the [oil] shutdown".

According to the transcript, the World Bank official "candidly said that the decision was shocking and that officials present had not internalized nor understood the consequences of the decision".

South Sudan is a unique and unprecedented situation globally, Giugale said because "countries in crisis usually face a collapse in growth rather than of GDP".

As a result of a "sharp" drop in influx of hard currency and once citizens in South Sudan realize that value of their local currency is slipping "there will be a run for the dollars and families with dollars will almost certainly shift them outside the country".

Giugale pointed out that because most South Sudanese are not fully financial literate the run on the point has not yet happened.

"Once it starts, the currency will almost certainly collapse," Giugale says.

The World Bank official went on to analyse the situation of South Sudan’s foreign reserves and it is estimated that even with austerity measures adopted by the government in Juba, depletion of reserves can occur by next July "at which point state collapse becomes a real possibility".

If South Sudan takes the drastic measure of cutting monthly spending by 77%, the reserves can only last until December 2013.

The social impact of the oil shutdown is no less daunting as Giugale points out. The percentage of population in living in poverty will jump from 51% in 2012 to 83% in 2013. In gross numbers 3.6 million more people will fall below the poverty line.

Under-five child mortality will double from 10% live births in 2012 to 20% in 2013 and school enrollment will drop from 50% to 20% over the same time period.

Giugale also dismissed arguments made by South Sudanese officials that a large percentage of the population will be immune from the impact because it is not part of the cash economy.

"Even the poorest households interact with the cash economy during the three-five month hunger gap through some form of trade, usually livestock. The terms of trade for livestock (goats and cattle) will depreciate sharply against imported staple food commodities pushing millions of households out of the market and deepening food insecurity. This is likely to occur at the height of the planting and harvest season, with profound implications for the next two-three productive cycles" Giugale says.

NO VIABLE ALTERNATIVE

The options before South Sudan are very limited and include implementation of severe austerity measures and establishing social safety net programs.

Even if Juba were to triple non-oil revenue as they project its impact will be "negligible" the World Bank official says.

Giugale stated that the World Bank analysis might help speed up reforms within South Sudan’s civil service that were otherwise not possible. But he cautioned that an economic collapse "could result in social and political fragmentation, unrest and instability".

The G-6 donors group reacted to the World Bank finding by issuing a warning to South Sudan government that they are not prepared to fill the fiscal gap and as the situation continues they will not support the programs asked for by Juba.

"We anticipate a reorientation of our programs to protect the vulnerable, focused on life saving interventions. We cannot additionally implement the aid strategies that have been agreed upon," the donors said.

South Sudan is urged by the donors to resolve the current standoff with Khartoum over the oil exports in order to build its institutions and capacity.

The United Nations Security Council (UNSC) on Wednesday ordered Sudan and South Sudan to return to negotiations within two weeks and resolve several issues including oil within four months.

Any side that fails to comply or cooperate with mediation could face sanctions, according to the UNSC resolution.

(ST)

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7 May 2012 08:16, by Kurnyel

Kiir and Machar Pagan Amun put money in their village so the south sudan had already collapsed

WE can endure the short time hardship knowing that our wealth is intact underneath of soil and will extract next time to boost our economy. We are not like "desert lizards" or call them "mosquitoes" of Khartoum. The dollar in Khartoum is 8 pounds while in Juba is only 5 pounds.

Diit, you are a megalomeniac brain-washed ignorant! Who will lend some-body who cann’t pay his debts? Who will take a risk for 10 pounds, not billions? How much will be the interest rate 50%? You understand nothing about finance!

We are not debted like you in Khartoum. Our President is not a criminal who is indicted by ICC. Our defense minister and governors are free people not criminals. We have huge resources, not in the empty desert like you. Why not get such loans. We have already processed some of them. Just watch!

Diit, you are not cheating me, you are cheating yourself. Let be our president, defence minister , we ourselves are the worst pple on Earth; does that mean SS economy wont collapse?Watch what? You said that when shut theoil pipe-line, and we watched!; you said it when you occupied Heglig, and we watched!Don’t you watch yourself.Be good or bad for your ownself, not because we are bad or good...co

Diit, ...That you have resources, you mean potential resources, who doubt?! You have, but it is a drop in the ocean compared to Congo, yet it is still a very poor country! You can’t pursue the agenda of war, belligrency & hatred with development agenda. Who will invest in a war zone; who will give loan to a country were war comes first? Think!

To prove by point read new book, written by Dr Douglas
He said, Dinka and Nuer in Sudan are one of East African gaints People, he said " if they were slave, you would see tallest people in 70s and 80s in Europe and Middle East" but black people you see around middle and europe are no difference to black people you see in north sudan and horn of Africa. therefore

Talentboy, who is talking about slavery here? Is it your complex? That you are black doesn’t mean you are slave.Dr. Douglas’ ancesters used to enslave Africa, now appearing as the moral protector of blacks against slavery!By instilling this complex makes you feel inferior infront your protector.The port which were used by the Christian white-man to ship slave to Europe & America, are in west Afric

Then you who understand Economic show us what you government did to save your collapsing pound? Arab countries are fed up with your lies and refused to pay you even Qatar the staunched supporter of your government in Khartoum.

Dit,
You are right. Our economy is not bad and we can endure since most of products are imports anyways, that includes imports from Sudan, Kenya, Uganda and all arround the world. For the meantime, our dollars will stay intact, since we have local foods to support ourselves as pre-CPA period. The speculators are halucinating.

Sudan can write any fake headline about South Sudan anyway they want, but they cannot alter the reality about South Sudan.

South Sudan shut-down the pipeline in January that used to transit half a million barrels of crude oil daily and another one recently in April at Panthou that transit 115,000 barrels daily, these are all the facts.

Sudan has been under sanction since 1990s and nothing happened to their economy, so they will not effect anything to Khartoum.
Bashir has nothing to do with UNSC, he even laugh at them, he is superior since he got two supporters against Americans will.
Only South Sudan will suffer, unless fight to remove criminal party in Khartoum.

jech ahmer, you made the right formula, but came up with wrong answer!If , according to only SS will suffer, why removing " criminal" party in Khartoum? Wouldn’t be the right answer to your formula to remove the party which made it’s pple to suffer! Think rationally, since you can’t fight against Khartoum!

South Sudan’s economy will not collapse, these are warnings from those who were benefiting from our oil, they need us to re-open our oil so that they will benefit from it, by stealing our oil again, no way this time we are independent state, let the world Bank, which is surely a Khartoum Bank spreading this false news, let it warn South Sudan 10000000 times but nothing will happen to South Sudan.

WE can endure the short time hardship knowing that our wealth is intact underneath of soil and will extract next time to boost our economy. We are not like "desert lizards" or call them "mosquitoes" of Khartoum. The dollar in Khartoum is 8 pounds while in Juba is only 5 pounds.

Mi Dit are you sure there is nobody going to defect if the situation got worst? Because I know our brother will defect and claimed that Dinkas mislead the country in crisis, I am still have trauma of defection during the war, I hope we are all involved in the leading of the country exclusively so there will be no defection than you,

To Dinka Dominated SPLA/M(Mangoor) please don,t divert the attentions of South Sudanese people from terrorists of Sudan to South Sudan why you are so suspicious for your leader, please don,t worry we will survive this is just advance warning from the World Bank no economice will callapse beleive me people are working so hard.

Diu J.Kuek I don’t hate what you said but I need some assurances from you that no matter what will happen there will be no defection that is all I want from you and I will he certainty thank you, you know what I am talking about.

Dinka please just continue whatever you want put as comment is upto you I don,t care its your nature always you are wishes for the destruction of South Sudan but Almighty God will avert your devil tribal wish.
God bless South Sudan,

Brother why are you calling God against me while i never defected and i will not going to defect, what i when to say is that can we stay together even if the so call IMF annalist are going to be true?,
I hope you will die with me this time without stabbed me at the back because Bashir is going to fund those he know can do his dirty job to cause a problem in the country,

My dear compatriot Dinka Dominated SPLA/M don,t lead our national discussion to tribalism hatred please I don,t have time for responding your such a nonsense comments, I am so busy with terrorists who threated to national interests.
But I called God to be with people of S.Sudan but not to punishing you.

Diu J.Kuek.A man can get a dog barking at him and still go ahead.Leave this Dinka Dominated Illitracy talking nonsenses as it is not a first time for him.He is an Arabs’ Agent and I believe he is Mohamed Ali,Jallaby,Kurnyel,Northern Sudanese..cycling with different names.God will punish him,his days are numbered as always leaves the very sweety part of topics.Death to him!!

Ruach Kur Nyel, why are you so up sad my country man why are you suspicious?, are you nyagat or what? What I just need from you this time is your brotherly assurance that there will be no defection if the situation get worst as it happened so many times. Don’t called death against me I am not a nyagat or have any blood of innocence Nuer people in my hands,
God bless the wise man like me who

cannot and will never ever forget what happened in the post,
Ruach just tell me me that there will be no defection and i will stop telling the truth about criminals.
Ruach I am educated more than you can’t Imagine so don’t say words like Illiteracy thank you brother.

What made you to ask that silly question on behalf of Khartoum? Have they paid you to ask that question so that you divide us on this forum? Or are you one of the many Jalabas who are ashamed of their names internationlly and use South Sudanese names on this forum?

Mi Dit brother or should I called you big Man brother, I am not from fake Arab brother, I just want some assurances from you that there will be no Mi tot food in the south which is always a source of defection in our lives,
Please give me or us an assurance that we are all going to die protecting our country now and I will stop there forever without bringing up the post trauma of radical

defection from my brother in the SPLA/M , I am a bit concern about some of our brothers will be drawn by food in critical situation if those IMF still publishing this shame article which is full of rubbish than what came to my mind is how will our brother are going to react to this because Bashir will fund anyone he see as a food lover and anti SPLA/M to do their dirty job as usually , thank you

WE KNOW YOUR TRUE COWARD COLOR NOW. FIRST OF ALL WE DON’T HAVE ECONOMIC TO COLLAPSE. AS A NEW NATION WHO IS ALLY WITH ISRAEL MAKE PEOPLE WHO ARE ISRAEL ENEMY GET JEALOUS. IF WE SPENT 30YEARS DYING FROM ALL SORT OF THING WHAT MAKE YOU THING OF NOW. WE ARE BETTER THEN BEFORE.

DeltaBravo
You are stupid vain, what do you know about south Sudan? Leave alone that you know, I am the first south Sudanese diplomat want to Jews state than Kiir Mayardit, I know how is our friendship level are, I am not an Arab man because if I was? Than Kiir Mayardit is also an Arab and there is no way that you cloud late your country is rule by Arab. Street language is not what I am

Dinka Dominated SPLM, Is it not a shame to the Republic of South Sudan to assign you as its DIPLOMAT? Are you not a street boy rather than being diplomat? It is very shameful to hear from you that you are a dipomat. Or are you among the boys who came last August with laptop computers in their hands with their lower teeth removed and requested for diplomatic passport?. Shame on you with your foolis

Mr Viper i agree with you. H e was the one leadin those who came holdin laptop with their lower teeth removed beggin 4 diplomatic passport. Dinka dominated SPLM is the one who don’t fear shame like prositite.How can a begger become a diplomat? please Dinka dominated SPLM do your work, u r known for that go on begging that is your professional and take ur dirty mouth away from such issues i warn u.

World bank have warned South Sudan to solve the outstanding issues between the North and South so it can export it’s oil through the North"sound like a setup being up done politically by those arab league,persuading the world bank to make a negative comment against the South to it can accept the $34 deal being offered by Khartoum.

Quit wrangling ya ! Defect or not defect RIAK MACHAR is not going to go nowhere this time. Because his DUMP POLITICAL of looting acquitted civilians where he was sanction by HUMAN RIGHT WATCH [HRW]or AGENCIES from getting assistance was in records world wide. Otherwise who give a fuck ? No nuer love OMAR BASHIR to follow him either !

KurNyel.You and your Sultan Bashir will collapse very soon.All Al Qaeda groups are going one by one and day by day.Your days and Bashir are numbered and you are nearly to go and join your Mohamed in the hell.

every body knows that south sudan is going to collapse completely since the spla have no vision of developing the country,they think only of war,that is what they know best!!please tell me,what the direct gain of the south sudanese in going to war with the north in this critical time? is your goal ts to topple down ncp in the north? then what next?are going back to north? if so why you separate?

Mr Kur Nyel I thought that you were from the same background but now you proved me right that you are just Dinka Bor man who is not happy with the SSG God will punish you brother you don’t hate the country but just hate a person you don’t like, Dinka are my favour follow by Ngok Dinkas

so all you insects can do is wish that israel storms in? hahahahahahaa you mean israel which is kicking her own insects from insect land back to insect land?????? hahahahahaa israel doesn’t give a shit about insects hahahahaha

israel has its own problems with Egypt , Turkey ,Iran and the rest of the Arab world. it has no time for insects.......hahahahahaha

To northern sudanese.
The term insect used by president Albshir is directed towards the SPLM. Generalizing this term and calling all people from south Sudan insects is not acceptable. As a Muslim if you are you should know Islam respect people from all background and value their being.
Our brother from South Sudan has special place in our hearts.

Wadomba, I absolutely agree with you 100%. SS are pple just like us.They are not insects & shouldn’t be called like that. Anger & frustration from stupid comments from stuiped guys should not descend us that low. Calling them insects is against Islam and against the brotherhood which exist between us for centuries.SPLA crimes against the pple of S & N Sudan are commited by theifs & thugs...co

who betrayed the same goals which they claimed that they were fighting for. You can’t steel money from a poor hungry man who can’t afford his " once a day meal" You can’t send other pple children for an unnecessary war, while your children are living in luxury villas abroad, getting the best quality of life, education & healt care.This dirty & filthy greed & selfishness.

how could you call us insects when it is you who have been living on southerners blood like lice (Elgamul) food sortage povert, was there now we are free to shake all your evil wishes and will make sure you account to all the evil things you did to us, ibrahim Abut, Sir elkhitim masscured all the educated southerners in 1965, u will be accountable ?? ?????? ?????? ? ???? ?????

We should not be carried away by the current crisis in relation and spread hatered against our brothers. Even using the term insect to describe SPLM is unfortunate.
Respect should come first then trust will follow and then we can build a good relationship which is much needed by both of us.
I can not see the death of children or their drop from schools is going to please anybody in north or south.

Wadombda, I couldn’t agree more. Hatred will burn us all.We need to preach peace. In Islam, one of the names of God is peace.Allah has ordered us to submit to peace even if we are victories.Enemosity & hatred are against Islam!

The so called Analysts should understand that we have no investments to lose! If the economy collapse, than it is better to die rather than being cowardly robbed by the monster! Let it collapses instead!

Heglig oilfield is going to be burnt down again in the next few days. It is a plan and it will be executed! And again, I don’t see why northern sudanese are so happy about the collapse of south sudanese economy? We haven’t beg any northerner!

Bashir has yesterday felt the pain which south sudanese are feeling right now...........yesterday as he was speaking about sudan economy, of course he would have been told about the south so he felt sad for them...........

Northern, think about fake Arab been kick out of Sudan soon before dancing, if you think our life in South Sudan depend on world Bank, then you are blind fooled, during the war there were nothing called world bank predicting what economy to speak with, keep dancing but your wishes will not come true

We south Sudanese have no ears for an international conspiracy spearheaded by the world bank. Our govt can survive for well over six yrs while our alternative pipeline currently under construction will finishes in two yrs.

North Sudanese(slave)
I read a new book about South and North of sudan,
apparently no such called arab in Sudan but children slave mostly Nunian,Fur Berber and Funj. the writer conclude Dinka and Nuer were skilled warrior and Arabs were not able to Islamist them. so the truth is omer and other dark skinned arab speaking slave should free themselves from being arabised by Egyptian.

Mohammed Ali,
AHAHAHA bro, how low can you go. just hate hate hate and insulting southsudanese because they are fighting for right that have long been violated by self-hated African who inferiorly claims to be Arabs.that will not help you either.

Abraham, if hate SS , I would suport your blindnes! Besause the whole world see your govenment is strangulating it’s pple brutaly, killing the poor,hungry ,staving & innocent pple, who don’t care about NCP or SPLA, about Salva or Basheer.Ironically , you see this as a conspiracy by the world bank.This is an act of brainless , heratless creature.5 millions are starving while you are abroad enjoying

Norther,
do you really believe the western analysts? let me tell you the truth, they don’t know what they are talking about. south sudan oil money was only saving 20% of the population. and losing it will not be felt by the majority of the south sudanese. so you are exciting and laughing for nothing.

TO BE SINCERE WITH YOU BROTHER. WE DON’T HAVE ECONOMY TO COLLAPSE HERE. FIRST OF ALL WE DON’T HAVE STOCK MARKET READING IT MAKE ME LAUGH EVEN. DON’T BELIEVE THIS PEOPLE THEIR AIM IS TO MAKE US BORROW MORE MONEY FROM THEM, SO THAT WE GET IN DEBT LIKE NORTH SUDAN.

no economy to collapse? the money you’re looting is the economy. which economy are lookig for Bhar Gazalian?.
are you among those who looted south sudan money?, or are your uncles the one stealing our resources?, 10 billion sounded very good in your mouth, it is not easy these to lend money to such a corrupt government like the one in south sudan, what will be the guarantee that they will pay back

AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH SAF WHAT? SPLA IS BETTER THEN SAF WHY THEY RUN LIKE CHICKENS IN TH FARM FROM PANTHOU. AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH. WITHOUT FUR,NUBIAN, FUNJ, BEJA, SOUTHERNERS. YOU CAN NOT BE STRONG WITHOUT THE ABOVE GROUP I MENTION. TALK OF EGYPT AS STRONG ARMY NOT DESERT RAT LIKE SAF AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH

s.sudan can borrow more than 10 billions from its friends .kiir said he is going to build a powerful air defence system.that can cost more than 15 billion USD.every single cash u get u have to burn it in that war with the north

The World Bank must be made aware that, there was no economy to collapse in South Sudan because there wasn’t really an economy there for the last two hundred years after Mohamed Ali and his sons invaded the North, installed racist regime and established raiding posts in the South. The reason was only one, the man made disaster. So where was the World Bank? South Sudan economy will rise and prevail

don’t blame arabs anymore its our mismanagement that led to this disater, what happent to oil resource since CPA was signed in 2005?, where are those monies?, we must learn to accept the trust. yes our country will collapse, who to blame? Kiir and his relatives and few SPLM greedy cadres. ss people must look for urgent change.

Akol Liai,
Yes bro, you are correct! World Bank & their Arabs haters want to force us sign useless oil deal. The West is after our oil, they want it at all cost, whether through propaganda, conspiracy, or scare tactics. It will never happen unless Khartoum accept $1 per barrel transit fees. if not we will wait untill alternative pipeline is constructed.

i can write shit,crap,truth, facts whatever i want on a website established by my country sudan..........you shouldn’t comment on the website of your enemy, go comment on a south sudan tribune............why visiting your enemies website?

Please be advised that Sudan Tribune is neither Sudanese nor South Sudanese website. The people working for ST come from both countries and we will not tolerate any attempts to impose a unilateral identity on the website.

We can never be too sure about the people who work for ST but we can only judge from the news we read. The name of this website is a unilateral identity in itself regardless of the people working for it. I hope ST can prove to be a reliable and neutral source of news.

This website was established before Sudan became two countries. Therefore it still belongs to the people it was created to service, whether in the north or the south and regardless of the new political reality on the ground.

There’s no doubt that ST is a neutral site, but also there’s no other place better than ST for both Sudans to battle it out online when the sounds of the guns stop. Infact, it’s the only place where I can find those whom I don’t like: Mohammed Ali, Corrector, Solider and the rest.

what amaze me kiir,bagan,machar and all ss leaders don’t want to give up SOME of billions they loooted to help and save their ppl.they wag a war with north in heglig and they r cutting salaries to fund that war.they still don’t want to fund that war with SOME of the billions they loooted.do u really expect a bright future with leaders who don’t want to sacrifice a little for their ppl??!!!!!!!!

No countries built be world bank, led them exaggerate the situation but we are not be blind-fool to accept our oil to be steal by criminals in the Khartoum,yes they are right, the government in Juba were caught unprepared for the last six years, though they knew they are dealing with unpredictable partners in NCP, but nevertheless we will not accept unfair deal to transport our oil through them

World bank is another agent of Khartoum regime, this is not the time that you can show us how worst or good Our economy was, we have leaving like that witho oil for decades, your opinion was favouring north Sudan, you were telling us indirectly to resume oil production with north Sudan, we will never do that in our life, its northern economy that was at the verge of collapse, you are helping them

Let our government better save the economy. What worries me much more is the infant mortality rate and living below the poverty line, that would not be good.I think it’s high time we start talking about saving our economy by exporting the oil while keeping our eyes alert over the transpotation routes to avoid any tricks made by KHT.GoSS wake up to this call by the world Bank for a better RoSS!!

bauer,
u must understand that heglig invation changed everything.it is the north that don’t want to trasport ss oil even if u offer 50% of it.in 2 years north will export more than 350000 barrel per day from BALILA & ALTHOMA.exporting through north is history.u better start thinking WHY ISRAEL AND USA DIDN’T START FUNDING LAMU PROJECT YET? WHY THEY DON’T WANT SS OIL TO BE EXPORTED ?

what do you know about economy?...just shut up and worry about the looming doom in eastern sudan. It was becuase fuck up sudanese economy that was why the minister of finance and eastern sudan governor were figthing over some pennies. pathetic!...look, soon it will be el beshit fighting with his new weded 2nd VP over pennies not paid to darfur DDP.

Soldier, he calls himself, who is actually a northerner can pretend however he wants, but the bottomline is, we are not going down that easily. You idiotic terrorists can celebrate to this shallow WB assessments but know that your doom day is looming. you will be refugee soon or die and never have sex with 7777777777 fucken virgins hahaha. These beings are pure hypocrites!!

Why? because I said you will never fuck 7777777777 virgins? sorry dog. Its fact it will not happen, and let not be decieved by devil like mosquito beshit. hahahahahahahahahahahhahahahahhahahahhahahhahahahhahahhahh

the world gang bang try to exaggerate of what is going on in south sudan that how they conveince nation because they looking for chance to intervein to take over the naturol resouces The world is governed by institutions that are not democratic - the World Bank, the IMF, the WTO.

Empirio, you are wise, that is what the world financial institutions are looking for. The world Bank wants to take South Sudan resources in a pretext of economic collapse. First of all, when did South Sudan have an economy that is now said to be on the verge of collapse? South Sudan economy is yet to develop when South is in full control. One man’s report is a bully report, nonsense!

the world is not exaggrating.. just call juba if you are noy in south to check how life has become difficult for ordineries
the fuel gallon is 60 south sudanese pound
suger kilo reach up to 20 if found

your humanitarian commissioner just yesterday annonced that five south sudanese states starving and 3.something have no food at all
when will you wake up andface your dire situations

am in south at the moment,if you understand econmic do not beleive the world thugs all these bullshit forcast from the madia or whatever is nonesence even the sudan econmic is worest than south is just sudantribune waggin pyschological war against southerns

The SPLM is trying very hard to damage Sudan’s economy that is has forgotten about its own economy in the process. Some insect were very happy a few days ago when ST news read Sudan inflation is up 21% in the first quarter. But little to they know that while Sudan’s economy is threatend with shrinking, south sudan economy is threatend with collapsing.

That outdated report of March 2012 should be updated. South Sudan is now processing a total of 10 billion dollars loan from different friends in the international community. That amount will keep our economy moving for three years and by that time our huge oil will go back to market. We are a free nation with free leaders, NOT the indicted ones with billions of heavy debts collapsing them.

are you among those who looted south sudan momey?, or are your uncles the one stealing our resources?, 10 billion sounded very good in your mouth, it is not easy these to lend money to such a corrupt government like the one in south sudan, what will be the guarantee that they will pay back.

please ask your donkey bashir how sudan econmic look like the problem he doesnt understand econmoy or you better ask nafia ali nafia,no doubt all the NCP top dog will deceive you for life arevage sudanese are donkey follower dont even laugh at south because sudantribune is untrusted sources

south sudan live for many years with out many in pocket. why should this short time be a problem yet people are going be farming with out fear. Farming has always been the way people in south sudan depend since arabs used to loot oil revenue and used it in the north!!!!! Let those who are bribed to falsely forecast unbase information be ashame of them selves.

SS depends in it’s foreign policy upon an igronant theif and lier called Pagan, who thinks that international relationship & negotiations could be conducted by bluffing & cheating.He is co-ordinating with his communist commarades building their dreams upon wishful thinking & day dreams. They stopped oil dreaming that this will affect & hurt Sudan.Consequently Arman will lead demonstration to ...co

..with General Al Hilo waging a war to become president of Sudan!This i a fallacy, Arman couldn’t stage a demonstration in Khartoum when SPLA was on power here in Khartou.Unfortunately the reverse could happen,which will certainly hurt us as well.If there is any person within the SPLA with a very little political wisdom, should have understood that creating instabilty in Sudan will hurt SS as well

To me people suffering is not a source of joy. Being on the verge of collapse means very shortly the Govt. of SS will not be able to pay salaries, fund education and health sectors etc. or provide hard currency for medicine and food supplies. U ppl. should do something to reverse this ugly process. SPLA/M thugs are 100% responsible for this tragedy.

Konan, certainly it should not be a source of joy. Who will be happy to see the misery other human fellows? This will even affect us economicaly and socially.My god, looking at things neutrally & with an open mind these stupid thugs had given the NCP to kill them & volutary used them against themselves! Stopping oil & wagging an un winnable war!

what economic collapse?, there is looting collapse, no more money to loot. My worry is the looters may now resort to selling the available assets including military hardware to keep their bank accounts intact. As for the poor and needy, they will continue to suffer as usual.

South Sudanese officials insisted that even though oil exports constitutes 98% of Juba’s revenue, they are capable of surviving until an alternative pipeline is built. They also stress that just as much as the people of South Sudan were able to live through a long and devastating civil war with the north they could manage few years of economic hardships.

I’m not surprised when a country choose an ignorant president who want to take it back to war before its first anniversary they should expect to be going from one doom to another, corruption, hunger,ethic cleanising,violence, diseases,lack of infrastructure and dictatorship,what a curse come back to your big brother in the north as soon as possible.

North Sudanese(slave)
I read a new book about South and North of sudan,
apparently no such called arab in Sudan but children slave mostly Nunian,Fur Berber and Funj. the writer conclude Dinka and Nuer were skilled warrior and Arabs were not able to Islamist them. so the truth is omer and other dark skinned arab speaking slave should free themselves from being arabised by Egyptian.

To prove by point read new book, written by Dr Douglas
He said, Dinka and Nuer in Sudan are one of East African gaints People, he said " if they were slave, you would see tallest people in 70s and 80s in Europe and Middle East" but black people you see around middle and europe are no difference to black people you see in north sudan and horn of Africa. therefore

North sudanese (slave),
I would rather be called insect than Being known as invisible slave.
I am really angry at you ( Nubian) who allow them enslave and again you are trained to fight you brothers. Look at sudan army and look south Sudan army. I don’t see Arabs or brown people which are still black.
The simple answer is if an insect, you are insect too. But i am not coloured person like you

North Sudanese(cockroaches),
I am so sorry to hear about your background, that you people were poor and did not have an single human belonging, thing live-stocks and more thing you see in the south today. you were vulnerable and unable to fight arab (egyptian and turks) and became slave in 16 century.
You dont it because your master left because european war and arabs

Talentboy,judging from your English , I would say that you understood nothing from the book you read. Nothing wrong with not speaking English, it is not our language, but you better try to understand first, before jumping to conclusion.I have nothing against Neur or Dinka or any other tribe in Sudan or any other race!Darfur had it’s own kingdom untill probably the 18th century....

..and Darfur is much rich with cattle than in SS. Nobody will say that Nubia had nothing, Nubia had the first civilization on Earth! They ruled Egypt & up to Palastine.Sennar " the blue or black sultanat" was the first African Islamic state, established in Sennar, after they destroyed the Christian Nubian Kingdom in Alodia " in Soba" just south Khartoum.

.That we are black, doesn’t mean that we are slaves.Northern Africans in Algeria and Morroco used to enslave white Amercans untill probably the 17th 0r 18th. The concept that since you are black means that you could be enslaved , is what the Christian white man used to degrade African & morally to assasinate their character, when they enslaved all of Africa.This had created deep ineriority complex

mohammed (real slave),
What do know mr Ali?
If you were proud Nubian like me, why would you called youselves Arabs, if you were fighting with to change Sudan identify, south Sudan would have not break away but you let yourselves down and forgot the true Africas first civilized people.

what a shock report delivered by world bank officials ,this report should go directly to the top leaders in the Republic of south sudan,those who have stored money in their houses instead of investing this money so that some citizens get job,will it be good for them to see their citizens starving.money fruad must stop in s.sudan.

mohammed ali (real slave),
You were force to called yourselves Arabs for you masters after they enslave you, parelised, Islamist you, take your women as sex slave and those women give birth to your forth fathers, and you know very well children are called after theirs father, that how some think they are Arab.
Get my point. Do not get angry these are truth and will remain truth for ever.

talentboy2
why are you insect so focused on this arab/afro issue?
this crap has nothing to do with what is happening today, what is happening today is that you divided the country just for the sake of a white man.do you know how much our historical leaders struggled for The Sudan?
Mohammed Ahmed AlMahdi
Alkhalifa Abdullah (my grandad)
Al zubeir
Ismail Alazhari

when europeans say there economy collapsed then they mean a few bilions lost.....or when they lose 7% of gdp they also call that collapse....

south sudan is nothing compared to greece.....greece is in a completely different world....if someone has no job in greece, he still has income,a house,education a life.....if someone in south sudan has no job, he will have nothing and will die....

I don’t see any logic in IMF trying to scare South Sudan off by saying economy will collapse. If you live in a hut most of your life, have cattle and have milk and (assida) on your side, then who cares about a collapse in the economy. Our generation and our father’s generation grew up just like that. If that’s what collapes is all about, then we’re safe in South Sudan

The economy of Greece has a debt problem, and they are getting plenty of assistance from The EU. S.Sudan doesn’t even have an economy, and everyone is refusing to give assistance. Even China pegged its 8 Billion USD development loans on conditions that S.Sudan fixes its relations with Sudan. Soon you will see hyper inflation. Your country is beyond fucked. It’s a hopeless case. Bitch.

N sudan will reject any pressures from the UN to export ss oil through it coz ss is consedered an enemy state to the N.if north allows S to use its piplines S will defenitly use it to wag new wars with N. s.sudan needs new educated leaders that knows politics .

bashir gave south ppl a stable rich country with ready made oil fields .But SPLA is destroying and turning it to a mess in less than a year by loooting and waging useless wars.belive me i am not happy.

South Sudan should not have join IMF early like this.
IMF is a problem for the country who does not know business interest well. IMF make difficult,expensive,dictate, for a poor country for their advantage. The country join must good in business to deal with them.

We Southerners are playing with fire.We simply do not have alternatives of export, and by saying we will survive two years and comparing it to times of war is simply absurd statement. There is no country that will simply survive while depending on donors. As a matter of fact, the donor community have indicated they will not support what South Sudan government is looking!

Hello Nguetbuny de Luelpiny
We have no Alternative but to ask IMF for help. China will not be enough to fill the fiscal budget needed. If the government cannot support its soldiers, what about the civilians? If i were you, I will encourage my family to go back farming, tough times are coming!

The worst article that you’ll not be able to read is when your ICC most wanted crimnial, fake Arab mosquito head of state is arrested and handed over to the Hague, which is also will be South Sudanese’s most read article ever.

Japan was hit by two devastating nuclear bombs in world war two when IMF did not exisit, and survived. However, South Sudan will survive despite that it’s not hit by any bomb, and despite that the IMF exists, because we South Sudanese have the power and the will to endure all kinds of weather, so let’s not back down to IMF. If half of us die the other half will survive, and will build the pipline.

What is it that you dont understand you cunt? There is a huge difference between a collapse of growth and a collapse of GDP. A collapse of growth is very very bad, a collapse of GDP means your completely fucked. S.Sudan’s GDP is collapsing. That means your fucked. As if you’re comparing your cuntish country with a super power like japan!.. fucking cunt.

acuil deng,
u can’t compare ss with japan .ss don’t have any access to the ocean.japan isreal south koria and all powerful countries do.seaport is an essential element .if ur a landlocked u r not 100% independent.u will be always dependent on someone else who have a seaport and will be taking extra fees for transporting ur comodities

My comparison was soley based on endurance of the people, but if you’re talking about landlocked countries like: Austria, Belarus, Czech republic and Switzerland; however, they’re all way a head of Sudan which has a coast line. So if you’re landlocked, or on the red sea it’s the same thing, both economies are suffering.

if u have seaports u can even survive hard international sanctions like sudan did in the past.since the 80s sudan have been under sanctions but managed to produce oil, build oil pipelines,dams,hospitals.... etc.

That’s right, you build all that with what your government stole from South Sudan. Surprisingly no hand was cut off. Are guys Jewish now and not Muslims? Oh I forgot, it’s stolen in the name of Allah, so it should be ok.

Corrector(war slave),
shut-up
come and fight for your masters who enjoying their freedom in khatoum and egypt, while you(warslave) are dying on our borders. you are bunch of hopeless people on this planet.
look at Taha and other slave who been brainwash that you are black slave and fight for those who resist slaver Southerners.

What a lunacy! South Sudan must never rely on sudan’s pipeline or it bilateral trade because the could use these in form of sanctions if ties went bad,we’re indep. People and there4 we’ve 2b responsible 4our decision not dictated on us by third parties like imf,wb or unsc please.sudan’s not a trusted partner,look at who’ de moronically try to block some basics coming 2 south few months ago.

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