Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Both Tim Harper and Dan Gardiner have called for a public inquiry into the robocall scandal. Yesterday Gardiner wrote:

The Conservatives insist they want the truth to be exposed. If that's
true, they must appoint a fully independent, fully empowered judicial
inquiry.

And why shouldn't they? To paraphrase what many
Conservatives said about warrantless Internet surveillance, they have
nothing to fear if they have nothing to hide.

A public inquiry is the last thing Stephen Harper wants. He knows how the Gomery inquiry doomed Paul Martin's government and how it enabled his own. Despite his suggestions that opposition parties bring their evidence to Elections Canada, he will do everything he can do deny the agency access to any and all the information he possesses. Every effort will be made to run out the clock on this scandal.

Tim Harper reviews other successful attempts by this government to subvert its opposition:

When the Conservatives twice shut down this place there were sporadic
protests and rallies packed with opposition operatives, but most
Canadians couldn’t spell prorogue, let alone care about the
ramifications.

When they were found to have violated Elections Canada spending rules
in the so-called “in-and-out” case, Canadians not only yawned, they
couldn’t understand the accounting skullduggery.

When they were found in contempt of Parliament, Conservative
strategists boldly stated that a breach of an arcane rule would make no
difference to voters, and they were right.

When they booted unfriendlies from their campaign rallies, limited
journalists to a set number of questions and used supporters to boo the
questions they didn’t like, the nation shrugged.

The Harper government will do everything in its power to put this fire out. It will be up to the opposition parties, Elections Canada, the Canadian press and -- ultimately -- Canadian voters to keep it burning. As Tim Harper suggests, it's time for Canadians to get angry.

Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Bob Rae stood up in the House yesterday to announce that one of the members of the Liberal research staff -- Adam Carroll -- was responsible for the Twitter account which savaged Public Safety Minister Vic Toews:

"I want to offer to the minister my personal apology to him," Rae said.
"Matters of personal and private conduct are not to be the subject of
political attack or political rhetoric."

Rae's apology should be set against the Conservative response to Speaker Andrew Scheer's ruling that robocalls which spread misleading information about Irwin Cotler -- the callers claimed that Cotler's retirement was imminent -- was "reprehensible" behaviour. Peter Van Loan stood up in the House and claimed that the callers were merely practicing their right to "free speech."

The differences couldn't be more stark. And, therefore, the prime minister's strategy to simply deny any party involvement in the widening scandal is not at all surprising. He and his party live in an alternate moral universe. They -- as Mr. Toews tirade about opposition to his surveillance bill attests -- see themselves on the side of righteousness. It's "the others" who are on the side of Satan.

It is up to the opposition parties to hold the government to account. The Harper Party never admits a mistake.

But Lawrence Martin provides a catalogue of Tory subversion, starting with their first victory and the In and Out Affair. He then provides a list of twenty-one other transgressions -- including Tony Clement's "border security" spending in his riding, smearing Richard Colvin over Afghan prisoner documents, and smearing Irwin Cotler by using the same telephone techniques employed in the last election.

Martin's point is that this kind of behaviour is not isolated. It's standard operating procedure -- and it has been standard operating procedure from the beginning.

After awhile, things become painfully obvious. MacKay's claim that there is no need to further investigate the Robocall affair is akin to saying the coming of Spring is an isolated incident.

Sunday, February 26, 2012

For five years, political pundits marvelled at how Stephen Harper managed to avoid being held accountable for actions and policies which most Canadians find abhorrent. He was the Teflon prime minister. Two weeks ago, the government's Internet surveillance bill blew up in its face. Last week, the Robocall scandal hit the headlines. And, finally, things are beginning to stick:

It beggars belief that local campaign workers in 18 different ridings
could have separately hit upon the same scam, or carried it out without
the knowledge of anyone outside the riding. The notion that the whole
thing could be put down to one over-zealous young campaign worker, as
some are putting about, is even less credible. Whoever did this would
not only have to have the capacity to organize and fund a national
robocalling operation. They would also have to have the lists of names
and phone numbers to call. Such information would be closely held with
respect to the party’s own supporters. But how many people in the party
would have access to lists of Liberal supporters? And how did they get
them?

More than that, he writes, this breech speaks volumes about the culture of the Conservative Party:

It is a party that believes it has had to fight twice as hard to get
where it is, a belief that has only hardened through each of the many
compromises it has made on the way. The progression is sadly familiar.
Having first compromised its beliefs, a party finds it is easier to
compromise its principles; having compromised its principles, it learns
to compromise its ethics; and compromises of ethics, as we have seen in
other parties, lead sooner or later to compromises with the law.

It is a culture which Stephen Harper carries in his bone marrow. He was probably not told specifically of the operation -- on purpose. But Bob Rae is right:

Saturday, February 25, 2012

Things have not been going well for Mitt Romney. His speech in Detroit fell flat. And, this week, he made yet another gaffe. On the subject of the economy, he diverged radically from Republican doctrine. Cutting spending, he said, was a simplistic solution to America's problems:

If you just cut, if all you’re thinking about doing is cutting spending, as you cut spending you’ll slow down the economy.”

Republicans were aghast. Almost immediately, he issued a clarification. A Romney spokesman said,“The governor’s point was that simply slashing the budget, with no
affirmative pro-growth policies, is insufficient to get the economy
turned around.”

Paul Krugman claims that the gaffe proves Romney is a "closet Keynesian." In fact, he writes, Romney's real problem is that he isn't a Republican -- at least as Republicans define themselves in 2012. He keeps trying to please the Republican base. And that, writes Krugman, is why Romney is running a campaign "of almost pathological dishonesty:"

Every one of the Romney campaign’s major themes, from the attacks on
President Obama for going around the world apologizing for America (he
didn’t), to the insistence that Romneycare and Obamacare are very
different (they’re virtually identical), to the claim that Mr. Obama has
lost millions of jobs (which is only true if you count the first few
months of his administration, before any of his policies had taken
effect), is either an outright falsehood or deeply deceptive.

If Romney does become the Republican nominee, he will have done so at a terrible price. He will have convinced voters that he believes in convenience. No one questions his devotion to his family or his religion. But, more and more, they are concluding that his political principles depend on which way the wind is blowing.

Friday, February 24, 2012

in both Canada and the United States, the conservative parties are now
controlled by virulent wings that are prepared to go to aggressive lengths
to achieve their ambitions. The danger is that, in the name of freedom,
they bring forth the contrary.

Martin then goes on to catalogue the Harper government's attempts to move in exactly the opposite direction from the one it professes:

Last week, the Conservatives were planning to go ahead with
a system of national online surveillance. But a national outcry against
the plan (originally advocated by the Liberals) will likely force
amendments.

Earlier in the month, from a government that took no umbrage at Guantanamo-style justice, came the decision to accept
information derived from torture from foreign governments, in some
cases. The Conservatives, we recall, have also vowed to bring back
long-expired post-9/11 antiterrorism powers that allow Canadians to be
locked up without charges.

Freedom of expression has also been in the news. Last week,
disgusted representatives from the Canadian science community sent an
open letter to the Prime Minister calling for him to stop muzzling
federal researchers. Under the government’s extensive vetting system,
civil servants and diplomats are less free to voice their views than
they have ever been. Also recently, opponents of the Northern Gateway
pipeline were pilloried as foreign-financed radicals and, according to
one sworn affidavit, as enemies of the state. And during last fall’s Durban summit on climate change, the Conservatives denied opposition members their usual right to accreditation.

Yesterday came the report from Elections Canada that, during the last election, a firm made telephone calls telling voters that the location of their polls had changed. It was a crude attempt to suppress opposition votes. The firm, Racknine, was under contract to the Conservative Party.

The pattern is pretty obvious. The Conservatives do not practice what they preach. There is no limit to the liberties they will take to suppress the liberties of individual Canadians. In fact, Martin writes:

The accumulation of dirty tricks is beginning to sound like something
out of Nixonland. The last election, we recall, was the one where
citizens were hauled out of Conservative campaign rallies for the sin of
having marginal ties to other parties.

Thursday, February 23, 2012

Paul Martin may have earned his reputation as Mr. Dithers. But, as Geoffrey Stevens points out, he possesses something that Stephen Harper and Vic Toews lack -- grace under pressure. Toews' wild diatribe about "standing with child pornographers" was not the first such Conservative outburst on that subject. Back in 2004, in what Stevens calls the "frenzied finale" to that election campaign,

the Conservatives, then in opposition, issued a pair of press
releases attacking their opponents — then prime minister Paul Martin and
the Liberals and Jack Layton and the NDP — for being in favour of child
pornography

There was a kiddie porn/murder trial in Toronto in the news at the time,
and the Conservative war room saw an opportunity to exploit the
public's revulsion. They issued a gratuitous press release headed: "The
NDP Caucus Supports Child Pornography?" and a second: "Paul Martin
Supports Child Pornography?" That release stated: "Today, Martin says
he's against child pornography. But his voting record proves
otherwise."

Challenged by reporters later that day, Harper did not give an inch.
"I'm not going to, in any way, give the Liberal Party any break in its
record on child pornography," he said at a campaign stop. "It is
disgraceful, they have had multiple opportunities to do something about
it, and they have refused. ...I will attack them on it, and if (the
Liberals) want to fight the rest of the election on it, good luck to
them."

Martin's response was simple and direct:

"Look," he told reporters, "this is personal. I am a father and I
am a husband, and he has crossed the line. He should apologize.

"Martin didn't get an apology. However, the Tory war room did retract
the release attacking Martin, although not the one attacking Layton and
the NDP.

That response says a lot about Paul Martin. It says even more about Steven Harper. Martin possessed grace under pressure. Harper doesn't know what grace -- under pressure or otherwise -- is.

Incidentally, "grace under pressure" was Hemingway's definition of courage.

Government workers are laid off to save money, which leads to higher
unemployment. Higher unemployment reduces tax revenues, thereby widening
fiscal deficits. Governments are forced to borrow more to cover these
shortfalls, thus increasing debt.

We should have learned that lesson during the Great Depression. Our leaders, who lack long term memories, have forgotten it. There is one similarity, though, between Ontario and the Euro nations. Ontario is hobbled by a currency it can't control:

Spain for instance, is unable to make its exports more competitive
through currency devaluation because it no longer has a national
currency to devalue. Instead it uses the euro over which it has
virtually no control.

In the same way, Ontario manufacturers are losing export markets
because the currency they use — the Canadian dollar — is priced too
high.

One reason why Caterpillar Inc. was encouraged to move its locomotive
operations from Ontario to Indiana this year is that Canada no longer
has a currency advantage in American markets.

Canadians are so damn lucky. We just dig and pump and cut and ship,
and we never seem to run out. We just hope commodities prices remain
high.

All those resources can be a fool’s game. Pumping and
digging and cutting can keep the country comfortable, but they do little
to address the country’s biggest challenge – a sagging competitive
position. All those natural resources soak up capital; they usually
don’t require much innovation or processing.

After World War II, we invested heavily in industry, throwing off our traditional roles as hewers of wood and drawers of water. The Harper government -- as is true in so many ways -- wants to return us to the past. It exploits Canada's resources while it lets the country's industrial base atrophy.

Ontario's challenge is to reinvigorate its industrial heartland -- without help from Ottawa. It cannot do that if it makes draconian cuts now.

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Already, [Mayor Rob] Ford has inflicted serious damage on the city, painful, but
none of it fatal. However, if a group of his designated cronies actually
does fire Toronto Transit Commission chief general manager Gary Webster
Tuesday afternoon as expected, it will be time to start worrying about
the future of things.

Ford and his brother -- who claims that the TTC needs "an enema" -- have never had a sense of how things work in a democracy. Hume writes:

Ford’s actions demonstrate a degree of disrespect that raises the
question of his ability to lead. Governance itself doesn’t care about
outcomes; only how they are reached. That’s why process matters,
especially in a democracy, which by its nature, is divided and
fractious.

An apostle of the New Philistinism, Ford represents the revenge of those who are guided by their guts, instead of their heads. They are apostles of Ignorance.Their politics stretch well beyond city hall. Vic Toews treated us to more of the same last week in Ottawa. Claiming to believe in limited government, they insist that power be concentrated in fewer and fewer hands.

Ford and Toews offer stark proof that today's apostles of limited government are people of limited talent and limited vision.

Monday, February 20, 2012

Before Stephen Harper and Dalton McGunity introduce their austerity budgets next month, they would do well to read Paul Krugman's column in this morning's New York Times. The advocates of austerity are everywhere these days. Unfortunately, Krugman writes, they have "substituted moralizing for analysis, fantasizing for the lessons of history."

This is particularly true in Europe, where Greece has become the tar baby no one wants to go near. But the consequences of European economic policy are now clear: "Greece and Ireland have had double-digit declines in output, Spain has
23 percent unemployment, Britain’s slump has now gone on longer than its
slump in the 1930s."

Specifically, in early 2010, austerity economics — the insistence that
governments should slash spending even in the face of high unemployment —
became all the rage in European capitals. The doctrine asserted that
the direct negative effects of spending cuts on employment would be
offset by changes in “confidence,” that savage spending cuts would lead
to a surge in consumer and business spending, while nations failing to
make such cuts would see capital flight and soaring interest rates. If
this sounds to you like something Herbert Hoover might have said, you’re
right: It does and he did.

Now the results are in — and they’re exactly what three generations’
worth of economic analysis and all the lessons of history should have
told you would happen. The confidence fairy has failed to show up: none
of the countries slashing spending have seen the predicted
private-sector surge. Instead, the depressing effects of fiscal
austerity have been reinforced by falling private spending.

Krugman has never argued that debt is no problem. It must be paid down. But timing is everything. And the time to pay it down is not when unemployment is high. Austerity merely creates more unemployment, and deficits rise. Worse still, policy makers become even more divorced from the people in the streets -- who, in turn, become increasingly restless and angry.

Sunday, February 19, 2012

Word on the street is that Gary Webster is about to lose his job. His mistake was to cross mayor Rob Ford. Ford is smarting, after city council scuttled his plan to expand Toronto's subway. Royson James writes in the Toronto Star:

For more than a year, Mayor Rob Ford has schemed to get Webster out
of the way. Webster’s sin? He spoke truth to power. He told Ford he
could not support the mayor’s subway plan because it did not make sense
any more.

Ford wanted to expand the subway east, along Shepard Avenue to Scarborough. He asked Webster to prepare a study on the costs and benefits of the project. Webster did just that, and reported that the Sheppard extension did not make economic sense:

Ridership along Sheppard is less than a third of projections. Job growth
at the North York and Scarborough terminuses are abysmal. Projections
had called for 93,400 jobs in North York centre and 65,000 in
Scarborough Centre by 2006. In fact, the combined total for both centres
is fewer than 44,000.

Ford ordered that the report be mothballed. But Karen Stintz, the chair of the TTC, made the report public; and council ditched Ford's subway plan in favour of an LRT line, which would run above ground and cost less to construct. Ford was furious. He can't fire Stintz; but his allies have enough votes to fire Webster.

Saturday, February 18, 2012

Both Jeffrey Simpson and Chantal Hebert wrote this week about what is happening in Alberta and Ontario. Simpson captured the Dickensian contrast quite accurately:

Alberta’s government will get bigger in spending and personnel; Mr.
Drummond said Ontario’s must shrink. Alberta is heading for big
surpluses, Ontario for large deficits – $30-billion in 2017-2018, Mr.
Drummond reckons, if nothing is done. Alberta has no provincial debt;
Ontario’s debt has reached a ratio of 35 per cent of the provincial
economy and is going higher. Alberta has the highest bond rating;
Moody’s Investor Service just knocked down Ontario’s from stable to
negative.

But it's Tom Walkom who actually got down to cases. If Dalton McGuinty makes the cuts Drummond is recommending, people will be thrown out of work:

Rough calculations, based on his figures and finance department
estimates, suggest that the Drummond plan will end up throwing roughly
250,000 additional Ontarians out of work by 2018. Even without another
global crisis, that translates into an unemployment rate of about 11 per
cent.

That's the problem with implementing austerity in tough economic times. When people are unemployed, government tax receipts go down -- and deficits go up.

This is not the first time it has been the best of times for Alberta and the worst of times for Eastern Canada. Back in the seventies, after the Arabs raised the price of oil, interest rates spiked along with oil prices. Eastern Canada was thrown into an economic funk. In an effort to share the pain, the Trudeau government introduced the National Energy Program. To this day, the phrase infuriates Stephen Harper.

The problem with the NEP was that it was imposed shared sacrifice. And its failure has made any mention of shared sacrifice suspect. But that is exactly what is required now.

We know where Stephen Harper stands on the issue. He is concentrating on selling oil to the Chinese. Yet he said nothing when Caterpillar moved its locomotive operations to Indiana at the end of January. However, if unemployment in Ontario spikes, so does the federal deficit. The prime minister from Alberta cannot afford to neglect Ontario.

Meanwhile,
there is no talk of trimming other pension plans — especially the RRSP,
but also the tax-free savings account — that benefit those with ample
money to save. Fewer than one-third of Canadians contribute to RRSPs,
and a tiny number make the maximum contribution of $22,000 a year. But,
by some estimates, RRSP breaks for the richest Canadians cost the
treasury $12 billion in 2010.

The issues differ for different
levels of government and different parties hold power across the
country. But the austerity refrain is the same: protect the rich, hit
the middle class and leave the poor for later.

It should be remembered that the financial structure we operate under did not occur by accident. Our politicians have carefully chosen who they will reward. I write as someone who has been able to use that system to fund my wife's and my retirement.

But, given the circumstances we now face -- which, again, did not occur by accident -- I have to ask a simple question: "What is fair?" We shall see how the McGuinty government answers that question. We already know Stephen Harper's answer.

Meanwhile, Riley -- a writer of uncommonly good sense -- reminds us that politicians lead a sheltered life:

Political leaders, and their advisers, live in a sheltered world
where seniors golf in Florida all winter, families waste money on
snowmobiles instead of saving for their golden years, and people are
eager to work past 67 because they have absorbing, well-paid jobs.

Thursday, February 16, 2012

Don Drummond has thrown the fat in the fire. If you lived through the Harris years, Martin Regg Cohen writes, you're going to remember what is about to happen again. But this time, he predicts, it will be different:

Rather than across-the-board cuts from the late ’90s, look for
out-of-the-box thinking: No welfare cuts or reckless hospital closings,
but consolidation and transformation. And communication.

It would be nice if that happens. We're seeing the Harris scenario unfold in Ottawa as several of his alumni attempt to steer the ship of state. But, even if the McGunity government goes about making the cuts differently, it's going to be difficult to get Ontarians to buy the notion of shared sacrifice. We have lived through thirty years of unbridled individualism. A whole generation knows no other way.

Wednesday, February 15, 2012

When Vic Toews proclaimed this week that those who didn't stand with the government "stand with the child pornographers," Ann Cavoukian -- Ontario's Privacy Commissioner -- responded, "What it showed to me was the weakness of their case."

It was a telling comment. Whether it's the Harper Party's defence of trickle down economics, its push for more prisons -- despite a crime rate which has dropped for forty years -- or its argument that the Old Age Security system is "unsustainable," this government continues to defend the indefensible.

The same pattern applies to the Prime Minister's increasingly bellicose rhetoric on the subject of Iran. Scott Taylor writes that:

No doubt Harper’s ego has been inflated over the accolades and honours
bestowed upon Canada for the nominal leadership role we played in the
NATO dog pack’s ravaging of a hapless Libya.

As the international community, led by the U.S. State Department,
pushes ever closer to a military intervention in Syria, Harper has
publicly expressed his disappointment at China’s and Russia’s refusals
to sanction a UN mandate against the Assad regime.

In other words, Harper is spoiling for a fight. Going one step further
in the case of Iran, Harper has embarked on a one-man fear-mongering
campaign to paint the Persian Peril as an imminent threat to world
safety.

It matters not that Harper actually believed the Bush administration’s
falsified documentation regarding Saddam Hussein’s non-existent weapons
of mass destruction. Had he been prime minister, Harper would have
happily joined the U.S.-led coalition of the willing and invaded Iraq
under false pretences.
This time, of course, is different, and although Canada has no
independent intelligence-gathering capability inside Iran, Harper is
convinced that the CIA has got things right this time.

"The evidence is just growing overwhelming," Harper told Canadian reporters.

When this prime minister claims that the evidence is overwhelming, that's code for the fact that supporting data doesn't exist. The truth is that he and his minions suffer from paranoid delusions. The problem is that the world is full of people who are not like the Harper Party -- and, therefore, these agents of evil are a perpetual threat. It's not enough to defeat "them" in an election. "They" must be destroyed.

That's what happens when you hand the reins of power over to the paranoid.

Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Ten months after the fact, the so-called Quebec orange wave feels more
like a devastating flash flood for Quebec’s federal representation than
the precursor of a lasting New Democrat tide in the province’s
politics.

With 58 MPs, the biggest Quebec membership drive in the party’s
history underway and two candidates with strong local roots in the race,
the party did not come close to filling the 500 seats of a downtown
Quebec hall.

Much depends on who the party chooses as its leader. That leader will have to convince Quebecers that he or she knows who they are, while convincing the rest of Canada that it matters as much as Quebec does. It's not an easy task -- particularly, as Lysanne Gagnon notes, because the two solitudes are getting more solitary:

Quebecers have lost the thin interest they had about the rest of
Canada, where, on the other hand, there is a growing feeling of
irritation mounting against Quebec – Quebec and its fat equalization
payments that serve to finance fancy programs like $7-a-day daycare.
This anger is still muted and expressed in rather polite terms – this is
English Canada after all – but it is bound to increase as the centre of
gravity moves to the West.

In Ottawa, the powers-that-be are unconcerned.They are convinced that recognizing Quebec as " a nation within a nation" has done the trick. The province, they say, has decided to exist in its own parallel universe and will not impede the Harper juggernaut.

That notion comes straight out of the George A. Custer Handbook On Leadership. The Harper government has gone out of its way to antagonize Quebec --by appointing a unilingual spokesman for the prime minister and a unilingual Supreme Court Justice. Worst of all, it has ignored Quebec's concerns about the omnibus crime bill, while insisting that the province bear its share of the costs.

The Harper Party assumes that, because no charismatic champion is presently on the scene, sovereignty is dead. That issue is never dead. And the charismatic leader is always there, although not immediately recognized. All he or she has to do is strike the match. The Harperites have produced all kinds of combustible material.

They don't, however, understand how easy it is to start a brush fire -- and how hard it is to put it out.

Monday, February 13, 2012

Anne Richards, the late Governor of Texas, once said that the man who succeeded her -- George W. Bush -- was born "with a silver foot in his mouth." Mitt Romney suffers from the same disease. Over the weekend, he told the Conservative Political Action Conference that he was a "severely conservative governor." It was an interesting choice of words. And as awkward as the phrase might be, it surely describes today's Republican Party.

Anyone with a passing acquaintance with U.S. history understands the
power of the appeal that less government is the best defence of liberty.
They will also know that, in such a diverse country, with so many
regional, religious and ethnic cleavages, social and political movements
of all sorts have always sprouted.

That evangelicals are so
powerful today harkens back to the Pilgrims and the Quakers, the Great
Revivals, William Jennings Bryan, spiritualists, Social Gospellers,
Billy Graham, the Elmer Gantry types and all the television evangelists
of past and present.

That Mr. Paul’s supporters are isolationists
to the core recalls Washington’s “no foreign entanglements,” Charles
Lindberg, William McCormick and the many other Midwestern isolationists
of yesteryear. That rank-and-file Republicans see conspiracies against
their liberties from within and without reminds us of witch hunts from
Salem to Joe McCarthy.

That Fox News roasts the President echoes
Father Charles Coughlin’s radio programs blasting Franklin D. Roosevelt.
That the two parties are so divided on almost everything is nothing
new, since, in the early decades of the new country, Federalists and
Republicans fought over everything. Even such an idealized persona as
Thomas Jefferson paid newspaper hacks to write scurrilous articles about
his principal rival, John Adams. That race underpins voting patterns
and social attitudes is nothing new at all.

For decades the G.O.P. has won elections by
appealing to social and racial divisions, only to turn after each
victory to deregulation and tax cuts for the wealthy — a process that
reached its epitome when George W. Bush won re-election by posing as
America’s defender against gay married terrorists, then announced that
he had a mandate to privatize Social Security.

Over time, however, this strategy created a base that really believed in
all the hokum — and now the party elite has lost control.

The patients have taken over the asylum. It's no wonder that the GOP is so severely misguided.

Sunday, February 12, 2012

As the Harper Conservatives peddle the myth that the Old Age Security program is unsustainable, we should be prepared for the next assault. It comes in the form of Charles Murray's latest book, Coming Apart. Murray, who has been criticizing the welfare state for decades, advances the thesis that our current economic malaise is not about money. It's about morals. The root cause of our problems, Murray argues, is the decline of the traditional family.

Conservatives are very good magicians. They are well versed in the art of creating distractions. Paul Krugman writes that:

. . . the truth is that some indicators of social dysfunction have
improved dramatically even as traditional families continue to lose
ground. As far as I can tell, Mr. Murray never mentions either the
plunge in teenage pregnancies among all racial groups since 1990 or the
60 percent decline in violent crime since the mid-90s. Could it be that
traditional families aren’t as crucial to social cohesion as advertised?

Still, something is clearly happening to the traditional working-class
family. The question is what. And it is, frankly, amazing how quickly
and blithely conservatives dismiss the seemingly obvious answer: A
drastic reduction in the work opportunities available to less-educated
men.

High school graduates who went to work for GM, Ford or Chrysler used to have it made. Micheal Moore chronicled their story in Roger and Me. Now, Krugman writes:

For lower-education working men, however, it has been all negative.
Adjusted for inflation, entry-level wages of male high school graduates
have fallen 23 percent since 1973. Meanwhile, employment benefits have
collapsed. In 1980, 65 percent of recent high-school graduates working
in the private sector had health benefits, but, by 2009, that was down
to 29 percent.

So we have become a society in which less-educated men have great
difficulty finding jobs with decent wages and good benefits. Yet somehow
we’re supposed to be surprised that such men have become less likely to
participate in the work force or get married, and conclude that there
must have been some mysterious moral collapse caused by snooty liberals.
And Mr. Murray also tells us that working-class marriages, when they do
happen, have become less happy; strange to say, money problems will do
that.

There is a moral crisis. But it's not the fault of the poor. However, Mr. Harper is targeting precisely those people. It's remarkable how supposedly bright people can put the cart before the horse. Poverty is not caused by poor people.

Saturday, February 11, 2012

Some commentators looked at this week's census numbers and saw blue skies and sunshine for Stephen Harper's Conservatives. As Jeffrey Simpson notes in today's Globe and Mail, the term "conservative" is a misnomer. Today's conservative governments are anything but conservative. Consider Alberta:

But successive Alberta governments – not real but faux conservatives –
spent rather than saved, figuring, one presumes, that resource revenues
would just keep pouring into the treasury. And most politicians, even of
the ostensibly most conservative variety, really, really like to spend
to get re-elected. (See Ronald Reagan, George W. Bush and Stephen
Harper.)

The heartland of Canadian conservatism isn't conservative at all:

Thursday’s budget projected a staggering $15.9-billion in non-renewable
resource revenues, most of which will be spent. All Premier Alison
Redford would say is that she plans a “conversation” with Albertans
about reducing reliance on non-renewable revenue.

Such was not always the case:

Decades ago, with the oil and gas industry beginning to boom,
Alberta’s wisest postwar premier, Peter Lougheed, pondered this bonanza.
Being a real conservative – that is, someone who wanted to conserve and
preserve – Mr. Lougheed invited his fellow citizens to put some of
their riches into a fund for tomorrow.

Thus was born the Heritage
Fund, an idea brilliant in conception, flawed in execution. As of
September, the Heritage Fund contained $14.7-billion. More than 35 years
since inception, the fund has produced $32-billion in revenue for
Albertans.

Lougheed wanted to use the interest from the fund to help finance government and build an industrial base. But the leaders who followed him saw an endless stream of revenues. There was no need to save for a rainy day. Lougheed also warned about unrestrained development of the oil sands. But when he retired, his policies -- and his advice -- went down the memory hole.

And so today we have a prime minister who claims that Canada is an "energy superpower" -- while the country's industrial base disappears. He's a faux conservative.

Friday, February 10, 2012

Our government is committed to ensuring that Canada has
the infrastructure necessary to move our energy resources to
those diversified markets,” Harper said. “We will uphold our
responsibility to put the interests of Canadians ahead of
foreign money and influence that seek to obstruct development in Canada.

In 2006, Prime Minister Harper said, “Poor air quality isn’t just a minor
irritant to be endured. It is a serious problem that poses an
increasing risk to the health and well-being of Canadians.”

In 2007, Harper said, "climate change is the greatest threat to the future of humanity." During his five years in minority government, he blamed Canada's environmental failings on previous Liberal governments. But, Boyd writes:

Five years later, the Conservatives have continued the Liberal tradition
of addressing climate change through grand pronouncements, ineffective
policies, and counterproductive actions. The federal home energy
retrofit program has been canceled, reinstated, and canceled again.
Canada allocated a smaller proportion of the recession-induced federal
stimulus to green infrastructure and renewable energy than any other
nation. After years of surreptitiously undermining climate change
negotiations, Canada brazenly joined the US as the only countries in the
world to renounce their commitments under the Kyoto Protocol, using
false arguments to do so.

And consider what has happened to our standing in the world during that time:

That Canada has become an international laggard in environmental
policy and practice is now an incontrovertible fact. In 2009, the
Conference Board of Canada ranked Canada 15th out of 17 wealthy
industrialized nations on environmental performance. In 2010,
researchers at Simon Fraser University ranked Canada 24th out of 25 OECD
nations on environmental performance.

Yale and Columbia ranked Canada 37th in their 2012 Environmental
Performance Index, far behind green leaders such as Sweden, Norway, and
Costa Rica, and trailing major industrial economies including Germany,
France, Japan, and Brazil. Worse yet, our performance is deteriorating,
as we rank 52nd in terms of progress over the 2000-2010 period.

Thursday, February 09, 2012

Tom Walkom writes that, as things stand, not much could have been done to keep the doomed Electro-Motive plant in London. He points out that Bombardier no longer manufactures locomotives in Canada. It buys them from a Catapillar plant in Mexico. The problem lies not so much with Caterpillar or Bombardier, but with the rules of the game. "The real villain," he writes, "is unrestrained globalization.

As long as goods and capital are free to move unimpeded across
national borders, companies — even nice ones — will locate where wages
are cheap.

All of this could be changed. But to do so would require the
fundamental rethinking of belief in the unalloyed virtue of free trade, a
belief that the country’s political and business classes accept on
faith.

removed tariffs on cars, trucks, buses, tires, and automotive parts between the two countries, greatly benefiting the large American car makers. In exchange the big three car makers (General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler) and later Volvo
agreed that automobile production in Canada would not fall below 1964
levels and that they would ensure the same production-sales ratio in
Canada.

American manufacturers unloaded health care costs onto the Canadian government; and they manufactured product in Canadian dollars. Those advantages went to the bottom line. In return, Canadians got thousands of manufacturing jobs and lower cost automobiles. It's true that most of the jobs went to southern Ontario and were not evenly distributed -- just as resource extraction jobs are now going to the prairies.

The point is that the Autopact was a win-win for both countries. What has occurred over the last thirty years is a race to the bottom. Without new rules, capital will always flow to the lowest cost locations. In the new economy, the winner takes all. And that new paradigm now figures in our politics. Stephen Harper only got 25% of all Canadian votes. But he's now in the catbird seat.

Generally speaking, it's not a good idea to go backwards. But, if we're looking for a road map to the future, we could begin to look to what we used to have. The Autopact is dead. But the model isn't. The rules have to change.

The old Conservative brand, associated with prime ministers like John
Diefenbaker and Joe Clark, emphasized practicality melded with
compassion. The new one focuses on pride, patriotism and toughness.

Compassionate conservatism disappeared soon after George W. Bush -- who claimed that's what he stood for -- became president. Taking its cue from George W, the three hallmarks of the new conservatism are on display twenty-four hours a day:

Martial valour is an integral part of this new image. From that stems
Harper’s emphasis on the military, as well as the alacrity with which
he sends Canadian troops to wage war in unlikely countries like Libya.

Toughness is expressed by the government’s emphasis on jails and
mandatory sentencing, as well as its take-no-prisoners approach to
political foes.

But above all, the Conservatives want to brand themselves as the
party of patriots. Hence the reinvention of old symbols —such as putting
the word “royal” back in the Royal Canadian Air Force.

What it all adds up to, writes Dan Gardiner, is "the politics of ruthlessness." It is the product of a man who has spent all his life in politics, and who spends all his time on politics:

When politics is everything, when opponents are enemies, when there’s
hatred in your belly, certain things follow. Ruthlessness, for one.
Personal attacks. A refusal to accept the legitimacy of different views
and to work with those who hold them.

Stephen Harper is only one
man, of course, but unlike every Liberal prime minister his dominance of
his party is total. He effectively built it from the ground up. It is
his party. And its personality mirrors that of its creator and master.

As others have pointed out, the government is controlled by the Harper Party -- whose raison d'etre is control. It is, quite simply, opposed to democracy.

From 2007 to 2011, Canada’s economic performance put us in the middle of
the pack in GDP growth among 34 industrialized countries. Our
unemployment rate is currently rising and nearing the U.S. level. It’s
true that, comparatively speaking, we’re doing well on a number of other
economic indices. But given the advantages the Conservatives enjoyed
when they took office – the big surplus, the well-regulated financial
sector, the natural-resource-laden riches – how much of an
accomplishment is it? When you start a race a lap ahead of the field,
how hard is it to be among the leaders?

The Harperites are very good at dumping information down the memory hole. But, Martin writes, it's good to recall a little history:

Let’s recall the two-point GST cut that tore a giant hole in the
revenue base, accounting for a good deal of the deficit. Let’s recall
the prerecession spending – having inherited a $13-billion surplus, the
Harper/Flaherty team spent so excessively that we were close to a
deficit by the time the recession began. Let’s recall the slashing of
corporate tax rates and the government’s easing of mortgage rules and
backing of risky loans that further bled the treasury.

Put it all
together and what it shows is that, with more prudent fiscal management
from the same guy who lectured other countries on debt in Davos, we
could have coped with the recession without driving our treasury into a
large deficit hole.

Martin ends his article by quoting an official at the finance department. When asked what the Harper government had done well, he answered, "The PR."

Indeed. Stephen Harper runs a superbly competent PR machine. He does not run a competent government.

Monday, February 06, 2012

"A gaffe," Michael Kingsley wrote, "is when a politician tells the truth." Americans have been treated to several examples of this phenomenon as Mitt Romney seeks the presidency. Last week, Vic Toews treated Canadians to a homegrown version of the same. "I don't know if statistics demonstrate if crime is down," he told a Senate committee. "I'm focused on danger."

Stephen Harper used the same argument in Davos when he implied that the Old Age Security system is unsustainable. The truth is, writes Robert Brown in today's Globe and Mail, that the system is quite sustainable:

The Chief Actuary of the OAS system reports regularly (and publicly)
on the system’s financial health. In his last published report (the
eighth, in 2008), he confirms that the cost of OAS (including the
Guaranteed Income Supplement) would rise to $108-billion in 2030. He
also points out that, while there were 4.7 Canadians aged 20 to 64 per
individual aged 65+ in 2007, that ratio would fall to 2.4 in 2030, or
almost in half.

But there are other attributes that need to be
remembered. First, OAS is taxable income, so a lot of the moneys paid
out go straight back to Ottawa. Second, the OAS is further clawed back
depending on your income. If your income exceeds $67,668, then you lose
your OAS at a 15-per-cent clawback rate. If you have income of $110,123
or more, you get no OAS at all.

For the GIS, the clawback rate is
50 per cent starting at $3,500, so if you have income in your own right
of $16,230 (other than the OAS), you get no GIS. Finally, OAS/GIS costs
rise with the consumer price index, whereas tax revenue rises with the
growth in GDP. The latter usually rises faster than the former.

So do we need to worry about the sustainability of OAS? Not according to the Chief Actuary.

We don't need new prisons. But we will get them. A significant portion of the costs will be downloaded to the provinces. And, because those costs will not be on Ottawa's books, the Harperites will claim that they are prudent managers.

It's when they make statements like Toews made last week that the truth comes out.

Sunday, February 05, 2012

Under the Harper government, Canada lost its bid for a Security Council
seat – the first time it had ever been defeated. Were a vote held today,
chances are Canada would get even fewer votes.

Consider Canada's performance on the world stage since Stephen Harper became prime minister:

The latest egregious example of truculent morality was this week’s visit
by Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird and Finance Minister Jim
Flaherty to the West Bank. At a meeting with the most moderate
leadership in Palestinian Authority history, the Canadians lectured the
Palestinians on the terrible mistake they’d made in seeking United
Nations membership, a bid that won strong support in the General
Assembly.

The week before the West Bank lecture, the Prime Minister was telling
Europeans how they should deal with their economic crisis during a
speech in Davos. This likely impressed Canadians, but not Europeans. The
last thing they need is gratuitous advice from a North American country
that, frankly, doesn’t count for much in Europe, as anyone who’s lived
there knows. And the advice is especially unwelcome when it’s layered
with self-applause by Canadians about how well their economy has done.

In
climate-change negotiations, the government’s attitude of palpable
disdain for the Kyoto Protocol, coupled with its own deplorable record
of inaction against greenhouse-gas emissions, shredded whatever
credibility Canada might have aspired to enjoy.

And so it goes. Canada has caught what used to be an American disease -- telling the world that it should be more like us. The American authors Eugene Burdick and William Lederer wrote a novel about this kind of international smugness, The Ugly American.

Stephen Harper says he is hell bent on transforming Canada. Do we really want to go there? Are we to be known as the home of the smugly stupid?

Saturday, February 04, 2012

It's been quite a week. It began with Mitt Romney declaring, "I'm not concerned about the very poor. We have a safety net there." It ended with Caterpillar shutting down its locomotive plant in London, Ontario and moving operations to Indiana -- two days after Governor Mitch Daniels signed legislation making Indiana a right to work state.

It's not that Caterpillar is in trouble. Last year the corporation made $4.9 billion -- an increase of 83% over last year. Caterpillar bought the plant from General Motors in 2010. In 2008, Prime Minister Stephen Harper gave the plant $5 million in federal tax breaks on the theory that such largesse created jobs. On January 1st, Cat locked out its workers and issued an ultimatum -- accept a 50% pay cut or we'll shut down operations. All that was needed was Governor Daniels cooperation.

Mr. Romney claims that America needs the same medicine. The problem is that, while taxes would be cut for the wealthy, they would rise on those who make much less money. As Paul Krugman pointed out yesterday:

According to the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center, Mr. Romney’s tax plan
would actually raise taxes on many lower-income Americans, while sharply
cutting taxes at the top end. More than 80 percent of the tax cuts
would go to people making more than $200,000 a year, almost half to
those making more than $1 million a year, with the average member of the
million-plus club getting a $145,000 tax break.

So where is that safety net? And what about Romney's claim that -- because of a huge, unwieldy bureaucracy -- “very little of the money that’s actually needed by those that really
need help, those that can’t care for themselves, actually reaches them?”

Krugman takes on that argument, too. Once again, what Romney says is simply not true:

This claim, like much of what Mr. Romney says, was completely false:
U.S. poverty programs have nothing like as much bureaucracy and overhead
as, say, private health insurance companies. As the Center on Budget
and Policy Priorities has documented, between 90 percent and 99 percent
of the dollars allocated to safety-net programs do, in fact, reach the
beneficiaries.

Romney says that the safety net doesn't work. Harper says that corporate tax cuts create jobs. Have we clued in yet? We've been played for chumps.

Friday, February 03, 2012

We have nurtured an old curmudgeon. He or she has been with us for a long time. However, we have never had so many of them at the same time. Carol Goar writes in this morning's Toronto Star:

Across jurisdictions, political leaders seem to have forgotten their
authority comes from the people. They don’t bother to listen, explain,
persuade or look for a consensus. They simply pronounce.

She then goes on to illustrate her point with three prominent examples -- Stephen Harper, Dalton McGunity and Rob Ford:

Harper "sprang the imperative of reducing seniors’ benefits on an unwary public,
with no national debate, no explanation for its sudden urgency and no
chance to consider alternatives."

McGuinty tried a different tactic: "In a deft end-run around voters," he

appointed a panel of experts after
last fall’s election to come up with a sweeping plan to cut provincial
costs. The four-member commission, headed by former bank executive and
federal bureaucrat Don Drummond, is to report this month.

Drummond answers to the premier, not the people. It is not clear what
principles he has applied or how he weighed the needs of various
groups. It is not clear whether his blueprint will be open to public
debate.

And then there is Ford:

He bullies or bulldozes anyone who gets in his way. It worked for
about a year. Then a moderate group of city councillors, prodded by
angry Torontonians, found their spines. They opposed most of the
spending cuts in Ford’s 2012 budget and rallied enough votes to win.

Now they are challenging his legal right to scrap provincially
approved transit improvements in favour of subways. The mayor says he
won’t budge. Nothing will happen till this test of wills is resolved.

When Edward R. Morrow took on Senator Joseph McCarthy sixty years ago, he ended his famous broadcast with the question, "How did McCarthy succeed?" Then he provided the answer:

The actions of the junior Senator from Wisconsin have caused alarm and
dismay amongst our allies abroad, and given considerable comfort to our
enemies. And whose fault is that? Not really his. He didn't create this
situation of fear; he merely exploited it -- and rather successfully.
Cassius was right. "The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars, but in
ourselves."

McCarthy had his day on the stage. But courage brought him down. We are at a point in our history when political courage is in short supply. The fault is in ourselves.

Thursday, February 02, 2012

The Harper government is willing to spend money -- on prisons and F35 jets. The simple truth is that it's not willing to spend money on pensions. Therefore, its "improvement" to the pension system is to be voluntary and administered by private financial interests.

For Stephen Harper, a strong public pension system is symptomatic of "a welfare state in the worst sense." That's why he and his party have once again chosen to ignore expert opinion. The Globe and Mail reports that

research prepared at Ottawa’s request argues Canada’s pension system is
in far better shape than the Europeans’, and there’s no need to raise
the retirement age. Edward Whitehouse – who researches pension policy on
behalf of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
and the World Bank – was asked by Ottawa to study and report on how Canada stacks up internationally when it comes to pensions.

Ignoring expert opinion is nothing new for these folks. They have pushed ahead with their "tough on crime agenda," despite evidence and advice that their agenda is counterproductive. But that agenda feeds the party base; and cutting public pensions feeds the upper echelons of that base.

Thomas Klassan -- a political science professor from York University, who has studied the Canadian pension system -- says:

reducing OAS costs is an easy way to save money over the long term
because it can be done unilaterally without negotiating with the
provinces or public-sector unions. “It’s okay to look at Old Age
Security pension payments,” he said, “but I think there’s got to be a
lot more evidence that there’s a problem, and I don’t see that
evidence.”

However, the Harper government has never acted on evidence. Earlier this week, I referred to an article by Richard Cohen on the sad state of the Republican Party. The party, he wrote, has adopted a policy of "belligerent anti-intellectualism, pretending
that knowledge and experience do not matter."

Wednesday, February 01, 2012

In the last six years, the Harper Conservatives have been very good at defining the terms of debate. That is, they have set the premises of those debates, and the opposition parties have accepted those premises.

Their first -- and overriding -- premise was that trickle down economics works. They continue to hold to that premise, even though thirty years of evidence has proved that the benefits of rewarding the rich have not trickled down to those on the bottom rungs of the ladder. In the last election, they argued that coalition government was illegitimate because it would require cooperation with the Bloc Quebecois -- even though the Harrperites had proposed such a coalition to topple the Martin government.

Now they argue that Canada's Pension system is "unsustainable." The term is the prime minister's. But two days ago, Bob Rae rose in the house and destroyed that premise. There is indeed a crisis. But the problem is not that pensions are unsustainable, he said. The problem is income inequality:

Yes, there is a crisis. The prime minister’s answer to that crisis is to
make the rich richer and make the poor poorer. Conservatives have no
problem saying that they will split incomes for middle-class families.
They have no problem granting a significant advantage to people by doing
that income splitting, but they have a serious problem with respect to
the social justice of the people who are making less than $30,000 or
$40,000 a year. That is the problem they have and that is where we have
to say, yes, everyone wants prosperity, but we want prosperity to be
shared. We want the prosperity to be sustainable, but we want that
sustainability not to be applied and supplied on a selective basis.

The Conservatives will deny that Canada has a problem with income inequality. For them, it is a simple fact of life. But what they accept as a fact does not have to be accepted by all parties. In fact, the Conservatives are in denial. They have a record of ignoring facts. Mr. Rae has signalled that his party does not accept income inequality. One hopes that the NDP will also send a similarly strong signal on the subject.

Things will only begin to change in Canada when the opposition parties begin to define the terms of debate.

About Me

A retired English teacher, I now write about public policy and, occasionally, personal experience. I leave it to the reader to determine if I practice what I preached to my students for thirty-two years.