Caribbean low pressure area not likely to develop in next 2 days

An elongated area of low pressure area located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea continues producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development of this system, and there is a low chance, 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause flash floods and mud slides over portions of Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Jamaica, and Cuba as the system moves slowly northward over the next couple of days.