Abstract

Managing project risk and uncertainty has been a key factor that decide whether the project is successful or not. So the evaluation of loss degree of project risk becomes a very important activity in the project risk management. Based on the shortage of traditional history material evaluation method. In this paper, a new method is proposed, which combine expert evaluation and law regulation to estimate loss degree of project risk, The consequence of risk accident can be measured by minimum estimated damage, expected damage and maximum estimated damage, and in this paper, the loss degree of project risk is evaluated by using decision-making tree, set-valued statistic and transformation method to evaluate.

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