Don't judge rail report by its partisan cover

When it comes to
attention-grabbing covers, the title "Great Rail Disasters" with an
illustration of a train wreck is tough to beat for creating a sense of danger
and drama, Ted Jackovics wrote in the Tampa, Fla., Tribune website. Inside, the
44-page American Dream Coalition report focuses on "foolish
investments" and "pork barrel spending" in a critique of rail as
a passenger transportation alternative.

Last summer, the
Gainesville-based coalition that lobbies for political support for automobile
use and home ownership published "Why Florida Should Not Build High Speed
Rail," a 29-page sequel to its 2004 and 2005 studies, including the
chapter "Bullet Trains to Bankruptcy."

For every in-depth,
statistically laden report by think tanks such as the Reason Foundation,
Heritage Foundation and Cato Institute that challenge rail transportation,
there's an equally cogent, heavily researched study that makes the opposite
case.

The Washington-based Center
for Transportation Excellence, for example, posts a point-and-counterpoint
summary of rail issues at www.cfte.org/critics /what.asp, stating that public
transportation critics can be influenced by personal beliefs, political agendas
or potential harm to an industry they represent.

The Midwest High Speed Rail
Association published a fact versus fiction list to support high-speed rail,
including a response to this Cato Institute statement in July: "No high
speed rail in the United States will ever pay its operating, much less capital
costs."

The rail association argued
that Amtrak's high-speed Acela, between Boston and Washington, covers operating
costs, and that revenue from proposed high speed lines in California and
Florida would exceed annual expenses.

So what's a resident who
wants to make an informed decision about paying for it to do?

That question will become
increasingly relevant in the Tampa Bay area. Hillsborough County voters are
expected to vote in November on a referendum to add a 1-cent surcharge to pay
for the area's first light rail system and other transportation improvements.

Within weeks, the Obama
administration is expected to reveal its decision on whether Florida will get
federal stimulus money for a high-speed rail line between Tampa and Orlando.
But if the state gets only a portion of the $2.6 billion it seeks, Floridians
are likely to be asked for additional financial and lobbying support.

"All of this can be
confusing, admittedly so," said Ed Braddy, executive director of the
American Dream Coalition, who parlayed experience from a sometimes
confrontational position on the Gainesville City Commission to his current role
after reaching term limits.

"One of the key things
people should try to do on these issues is to take an 'apples to apples'
comparison," Braddy said. "Statistics can be squeezed in ways to give
many types of answers."

Todd Litman, executive
director of the Victoria Transport Policy Institute in British Columbia,
published a 55-page report on "Evaluating Rail Transit Criticism" in
September, including point-by-point challenges to "Great Rail
Disasters."

"People have done a
pretty good job of making money by telling people what they like to hear,"
Litman said. He cited the libertarian Reason Foundation for making arguments
that validate the idea of auto dependence and sprawl.

"Then when it becomes
a pro-con argument, people in the media profession try to get two sides of a
story," Litman said. That can result in positions that may not be valid
getting the same exposure as those passing the muster of scientific rigor, he
said.

Litman suggested that
people trying to formulate an opinion on a transit option ask whether the
argument leads toward a goal.

"It's easy to be critical
of a point when you don't have to come up with a solution to a problem,"
Litman said.

Advocates and critics of
the area's high-speed rail and light rail proposals have raised myriad points
supporting and opposing new rail networks.

The following are among the
most common rail transit issues nationwide, which the American Dream Coalition
has cited in its reports. Background about the local situation is provided from
recent Tribune news reports:

•Can rail transit reduce
rush-hour freeway congestion?

Coalition's claim: Some
rail transit lines may have a marginal effect on congestion, but the cost is
"exorbitant." Beyond New York and a few other cities, rail transit
carries too few people to noticeably reduce congestion.

Bay area issue: A study by
the Texas Transportation Institute ranked Bay area highway congestion as the
11th worst nationwide, with drivers spending an average of 47 hours a year in
traffic.

That indicates local
motorists feel the impact of congestion. But in their rail project guidelines,
federal officials do not include congestion reduction as a major justification
for funding.

Local officials generally
focus on the alternatives intercity high-speed rail and local light rail would
provide to avoid the highway congestion, rather than what impact rail transit
would have on interstate congestion.

•Should rail be subsidized
as a transportation alternative since highways have long been subsidized?

Coalition's claim: Net
subsidies to highways in 2006 were $25.1 billion, based on a Federal Highway
Administration report, or a half-penny per passenger mile, compared with public
transit subsidies of 61 cents per passenger mile, according to a Federal
Transit Administration report.

Bay area issue: State
officials cite investment reports by two consultants, reviewed by a University
of South Florida team, that project high-speed rail revenue will cover
operational costs, so there would not be a need for a public subsidy beyond the
$2.6 billion in federal money that would be provide to build and equip the
system.

For light rail,
Hillsborough County taxpayers will determine whether a 1-cent sales tax, which
would also provide other mobility funding, is worth approving in hopes local
transportation will improve. Approval of the surcharge would indicate a
commitment to backing light rail to federal authorities, who could provide some
degree of matching funds. Detailed cost estimates are not available.

Planners say there is no
more space for interstate expansion to alleviate future congestion. During the
past 30 years, the Bay area population and commute delays have more than
doubled, the Tampa Bay Area Regional Transportation Authority reported. By
2050, the population is expected to double again, and traffic congestion is
expected to triple, TBARTA said.

Bay area issue: As one of a
handful of major U.S. cities without local rail alternatives, Tampa competes
with cities such as Charlotte, N.C., that offer rail as part of commuting and
livability packages for business retention, expansion and recruitment.

Former Charlotte Mayor
Patrick McCrory said in a November visit to Tampa that his city has enjoyed a
big recruiting advantage over cities without rail transit systems.

Bay area issue: Much
residential development is sprawled beyond employment centers, so changes in
fuel costs can play a major role in household budgets. Amtrak and the
Hillsborough Area Regional Transit Authority posted record ridership in Tampa
in 2008 when fuel costs soared.

•Is rail transit faster
than auto traffic.

Coalition's claim: Although
top speeds for light rail trains can reach 55 mph, the average speed is more
like 20 mph, lower than what would likely be the average speed of an auto.

Bay area issue: Specific
routes have not been chosen for light rail lines in Tampa, but it is possible
that local light rail lines would cross city streets as they do in downtown
Portland, Ore.; Denver; and Buffalo, N.Y.; requiring lower speeds.

High-speed rail between
Tampa and Disney would take 38 minutes station to station, but connection times
must be added at both ends of the trip.