SEP 13: TENNIS AND OTHER SPORTS TIPS

THE big two of tennis collide at Flushing Meadows tonight with the US Open title on the line.

Both Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer have been in imperious form on their surge to the final and it has the makings of a cracker.

Federer, trying to win his first Grand Slam for three years after a four-set defeat to the world No.1 at Wimbledon this summer, will take confidence from his recent Cincinnati Masters win over Djokovic.

The Swiss is 6-5 at Boylesports for victory and I’ll be having some of that to cover my 4-1 ante-post bet of Djokovic-Federer straight forecast.

Djokovic is 16-19 at Marathonbet to claim a third major title of the year and over 3.5 sets pays 2-5 at Paddy Power.

England’s cricketer’s attempt to complete their ODI series comeback from 2-0 down when they face Australia in the decider at Old Trafford and there’s also NFL action worth a punt so post your tips and chat here and good luck with your bets.

Quite simply in my opinion the best bet of week 1
The Redskins could be a contender this season to be winless
Kirk Cousins taking over from Robert Griffin III is a step back and he should expect to be sacked multiple times on Sunday against what could end up one of the best defences this season

I am only curious because RGII has done nothing this pre-season or last season to suggest he is still the same player that entered the league in his rookie year. From my limited knowledge on the game, RGIII in the pre-season games did not progress through his reads, he held on to the ball for too long and he himself was sacked multiple times. I think this can be illustrated by the Redkins game against Detroit in the pre-season. Redskins were a mess with RGIII under center. He got hurt, Cousins came into the game, Redskins won the game (albeit Lions playng second string offense).

But my point is, whilst Cousins is no Andrew Luck nor does he have the supposed athletic ability of RGIII (which has hardly been show-cased since his injury) you can tell from films that he understands defenses, progress through his reads and is not as injury-prone as RGIII who from the press, seems not to be a good leader of men, self-focused and that is not what the team wants from a QB who the organization mortgaged their future on.

BigB good point re RG3 seems like he isn’t interested in football and doing the hard work needed to succeed so I don’t think cousins is a step back more of a sideways shuffle, can’t really see him hitting Jackson for huge gains and garcon isn’t great. I expect cousins to be under pressure constantly and dumping ball off to Jordan reed all night. Got miami D in my fantasy team and I think they will be strong this year so expecting them to see off Washington tonight

BigB think San Francisco will give a run for money as being worst team and my vikes will show that on Tuesday. Did my picks Thursday mate will stick them up in bit just at farm seeing to horses at min will sort when get back, look out for chief, Jordan and picksix amongst others we got things pretty spot on Thursday night hoping for more of same tonight

Gruden may see Cousins as a short term solution as he and Griffin III don’t agree on things, I am not saying Griffin III is some sort of Superstar but he does offer more than cousins
Cousins when in trouble makes far too many wrong decisions which will cost Gruden his job

Gruden may see Cousins as a short term solution as he and Griffin III don’t agree on things, I am not saying Griffin III is some sort of Superstar but he does offer more than cousins
Cousins when in trouble makes far too many wrong decisions which will cost Gruden his job

So the moment is finally upon us. After a crazy two weeks, with upsets aplenty to keep us entertained, the two best players in men’s tennis, by some distance right now, go head to head.

Roger Federer and Novak Djokoic have played over 40 times and have a near even H2H record, but I’m not going to delve into stats and history here. I’m also not really going to tip anything much as I had Roger outright as one of my best picks so will be happy financially and emotionally if the great man can get the job done.

For anyone not on Roger already, but who thinks he will win today, I would recommend considering 3-1 @ 5/1. It’s unlikely, though definitely not impossible, that he would roll Novak in 3. Similarly, a 3-2 scoreline would be more likely to go Novaks way than Rogers. 3-1 seems to likelist outcome if it does go the veterans way.

My top piece of advice though is, crack open a beer, sit back, relax and enjoy the spectacle. We are truly lucky to be able to see, one again, the greatest player of all time, still playing some of the best ever tennis at the age of 34, taking on today’s best player and one of the greatest counter punchers there’s ever been. It will be a moment for the ages, one talked about for decades to come, if Federer can lift another slam at this stage in he career. You won’t want to miss it if it happens!

Miami will have a player on there hands if they can get Jordan Cameron going was one the best TE in the league before those injuries definetely on if the dark horses I can’t see washinhton troubling them on defence

Sneaky sneaky feeling that Mariota is going to win the rookie QB battle today in Tampa. You heard it here first, and if it fails you never heard it at all Think I’ll be watching that one instead of the Broncos game.

it seems unlikely considering he hasnt had a KO in 8 years (ortiz KO was not legit) but berto really is garbage, his attempt at a shoulder roll is laughable, he is extremely hit table and is a c level fighter, look for him to get caught repeatably by floyd’s check left hook.

certainly wont be betting high stakes on this one, the less risky picks this weekend:

Vanes Martirosyan 2/7 to win *won* and 1/2 points *won* younger, more power and has only lost to the best 2 young undefeated propspects.unlikely he’ll stop smith, as he’s never been stopped.

Roman martinez 4/9 to win *void* i cant decide whether he’ll win on points or stop salido.
salido’s chin is totally gone, he loses points for low blows practically every fight and is at the end of his career.

anthony joshua rnds 1-3 3/10 KO *won* in round 2 9/4 *lose*
Gary Cornish is an undefeated 6 foot 9 beast who has won every fight in the amaeteurs and pro’s.
sounds good enough for odds of 15/1.
unfortunately for gary i wont even be putting a quid on it, he has little power to keep AJ off and his chin is very suspect, he also has little to no defense, look for joshua to end it on the ropes in the 1st or 2nd round.

George groves v badou jack: to go the distance 10/11 *won*
If this was pre froch groves i would go for a groves KO here, badou was KO’d in the first round agaisnt a journeyman a year ago.
unfortunately for george he has been ‘cobra’d’ as carl put it. he is not the same fighter he was who stopped paul smith in 2 rounds and beat james degale.
i think this will go to the cards, groves fades late and i think jack will win the last 4-5 rounds which makes it tough to call the winner.

Ladbrokes have any other player anytime touchdown market on all games but for the packers game they haven’t included janis and the price is 12/5 if any of you find any value in that; means you get a defense touchdown chucked in but are losing about 40 percent profit if janis scores. I’ve placed 20 quid on both cause I couldn’t make my mind up

Jordan will you be positing your points performance on the NFL like you do on the footy or will it be a combined one that you do . I am looking to join you in the near future on the NFL stuff you see . Also I couldn’t focus after the United game yesterday as was pretty low at how poorly we played so just to also add congrats on the 3 points mate big bens goal is my only highlight lol . You deserved the win so can’t complain

Danny I will be mate. I’ll do it on a weekly basis. So after tomorrows Viking/49ers game (which I have bets on) I’ll add everything up as that’ll be week 1 done. Currently it’s 3 points staked 7.2 returned. Hoping for better numbers by tomorrow morning.

You know I wouldn’t rub it in your face. We didn’t play brilliant but we scored three goals, imo, Young did his standard frog dive to win the free kick, it was a soft penalty but I still think it was a pen. Clearly didn’t get the ball but Herrera made a meal of it, and Martial, well, that was brilliant but he got lucky because the ball bounced off him to go past Skrtel. Without Coutinho and Henderson your chances were slim but we already knew that.

Yeah mate I agree never a free kick but it was a pen . I know you would t run it in mate we are a rare breed of fan of our clubs which look to analyse our performances with honesty and we can’t ask for more than that . On my predictions I had it down as 2-0 United before a ball was kicked so not surprised by the result . Well you are already in profit with the NFL good start I think I will watch the games tonight then see how things go I understand the rules so that’s good but I don’t know much about it other than that I will cheer on your selections from s watching brief this weekend but as always the very best of luck mate

Jordan I think lacy wincast is a great bet can’t see any hope for Chicago and with nelson out and cobb being doubtful I’d expect him to see a lot of action he is 5/4 with coral so looks like I will be cheering your boys on (thru gritted teeth)

If the bills want to win they will have to relly on what they do on the ground. Colts were poor in Rush defence last year and although added to the line in offseason I still think they will struggle against the most elusive runner in the league
Shaddyyyy

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

* Green Bay Packers – 4 @ 10/11 (now 4/6)

Maybe not a cert as I felt this was a few months ago with this one but still confident of it. The packers are second to the Cowboys on o line talent and have the man himself throwing the ball so those wideout injuries shouldn’t looked into too much

Green Bay Packers Danny. Currently the best QB in the league (in my biased opinion ) Most neutrals would and should agree though as he was last years MVP.

Lee you traitor haha, na Cutlers record is abysmal against us. Think he’s thrown 22 interceptions in 11 games. Hopefully the same continues. Agree that the Lacy Wincast is a good price but max bet of £20 @ Co-ral if I’m correct, so I’d be tempted on the EVS @ WillHill on a bigger stake.

Can’t believe the Peterson Wincast is 12/5 tomorrow. Surely you’ll be having some of that 😉

Tyler that is a remarkably low total for McCoy considering he will probably get 50 carries a game under Ryan who loves to pound it. So much value to be had in the NFL. Much less risk reward than football.

Absolutely love the passion I’m seeing towards the NFL, it’s got me curious. I’ve watched a few superbowls but never really got into it, so today I decided to get all set up and watch NFL Sunday. I’ll be following a few of your bets Jordan and picksix as I know literally zilch!

The season officially began on Thursday, but this is the big Kick off, Big Kev and the boys, 3 cracking games, redzone and will be having the Chicken later

I wont be doing any ML trebles in week 1 maybe not in week two as we see what is what and their historically a big injury to a star player in week 1, so lets hope that isn’t the case tonight. I will be focusing on the TV matches.

Green Bay @ Chicago

I am using one of my old clichés here, but with some many new faces why not. Chicago have more holes in them than a tramp’s jumper and despite Jordy Nelson being out and Cobb playing not at 100% I think Davante Adams could be in for a big game tonight as QB Rodgers will want to get him involved often and early. I think like Edelman on Thursday he will see multiple receptions, so not only is he my prop bet on the game, I am taking him as a anytime scorer. It is line is set at 65.5 and I think he will get 80+ if not a 100 if Cobb breaks down. It is 20/33 and 11/10 at Paddy Power to score.

Eddy Lacy ran for 98yds and a score against the Bears last season and he will be used to keep their new pass rusher Goldmen off Rodgers. I suspect Lacy will see the endzone and while I cant see GB losing it maybe closer than the odds suggest. Lacy anytime wincast is 5/4 Coral

I have to admit I know very little about the NFL but I decided this season I’d follow your bets (after you got me hooked on NBA last year) and even I can appreciate the defensive job Green Bay Packers did to stop Chicago scoring a touch down. Dare I say it, that could be the difference between making or losing the handicap.

Anyway – enjoying the Sky coverage of the game. I’m still learning what it all means (I’ve watched a few superbowl’s and not really understood what I’m seeing) but it’s all good fun.

The Broncos will have two guys on their O line that have never played a game in the NFL in tackle Ty Sambrailo and center Matt Paradis, going up against a super Ravens D, which is getting back to what it was when Ray Lewis was patrolling that defence. CJ Mosley had a big year last season and they got two pass rushers in Suggs and Dumerville who will be going after Manning all game.

Ravens on offence have seen Torrey Smith go to San Fran, while his replacement Perriman is out along with TE Denis Pitta, so offensively they are relying on Justin Forsett and veteran Steve Smith.

This is the best match of week 1 and the toughest one to call. It is tough to go against Peyton anytime especially at altitude in mile high, and given he threw 7 tds against the Ravens in a 49-27 victory, the season before last.

I am going for a prop bet and just enjoy the game. The Ravens will rely on RB Justin Forsett to pound the yards, take time off the clock and keep Manning on the sidelines, he cant beat you from there. I got him EW for leading rusher and while is matchup is tough, his total is low but I am leaving him in favour of TE Crockett Gilmore who will be targeted over the middle and his total is 24.5yds which is well within reach. It is 10/13 Bet365.

Demaryius Thomas could expose the Ravens secondary, if the inexperience O line can give Manning time in the pocket. There is talk of Manning using the run game more this season but the Ravens are tough to run on. If Denver wins then Manning to Thomas is the key and I will take that wincast at 7/4 Coral. It will be for small stakes as this could go either way, it should be a cracker, I just cant go against Peyton in the home opener at altitude at mile high.

* Lesean McCoy over 74.5 rushing yards @ 5/6
**LOSE**
If the bills want to win they will have to relly on what they do on the ground. Colts were poor in Rush defence last year and although added to the line in offseason I still think they will struggle against the most elusive runner in the league
Shaddyyyy

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

* Green Bay Packers – 4 @ 10/11 (now 4/6)
**WIN**
Maybe not a cert as I felt this was a few months ago with this one but still confident of it. The packers are second to the Cowboys on o line talent and have the man himself throwing the ball so those wideout injuries shouldn’t looked into too much

Picksix, yeah saw it and it is tempting, I read a few different things saying Peyton maybe going to the run game more often this season and the Ravens are tough defensively. I did a tv favs treble at the bookies 15/8 on GB, DEN and Dallas, and that’s why I didn’t go for the total pts. 24 21 or 7 will do me mate.

I haven’t watched american football since I was a wee nipper supporting 49ers when it was first on C4. Have followed your tips today though Jordan and have a feeling I may just start watching again which will please the wife 😉 Cheers mate

By the sounds of things, this is one happy thread right now! Good tipping everyone!! Didn’t put up my Jets v Browns picks because I wasn’t confident betting on teams as disorganized and as poor they were, but had Jets -3.5 and Browns U16.5. That fumble from Josh McCown saved my bacon for the unders!

Jordan, you wanna get yourself to Wembley mate if you not seen a live game. Its a great day out and no aggro with everyone wearing their own teams shirts. I mentioned it to someone on this thread last year who was a regular cant remember his name now, he not been on in ages, his missus was from Florida so he decided to follow the Jags.

Jordan, I’ve been to 3 games, first two when they first came over, but last went 3 seasons ago, we paid around 70 quid each and the seats were good, we have a mate who doesn’t drink so he drove. I always thought you was in England, were are you from

Jags are going to be London’s team in the next couple of year, so I will have to cheer for them. Bortles needs a big season and Julius Thomas great signing, massive blow with Fowler JR getting injured in preseason was looking forward to seeing him.

I definitely didn’t but I won’t be complaining Jordan! To be honest, I never really rated the Chargers defense (the chargers fan on here, please don’t be mad) and I was surprise the Lions total was so low, especially with how good abdullah looked in pre-season, pair him with Megatron and Golden Tate with the arm of Stafford, boy can they score!

But it sounds like a good day for everyone and that’s what matters most! Good job on your pick too Jordan Had Browns under 16.5 and Jets -3.5 too which I didn’t post because I wasn’t too confident, so its a goooooooooood today haha

Yeah I know it mate. Moriota I said on draft day looked better than Winston and should have gone no 1. If it goes wrong for Sam Bradford, I think Chip Kelly will be kicking himself not trading up to get him, whatever the cost was.

Anyone watching the Cards? Getting a bit carried away with today and thinking about betting on the Cards to win, don’t know if I am betting with a clear head or not, did anyone fancy the Cards before the game? I thought about it but decided against it, now I am tempted…

Tyler wouldn’t be surprised to see 30 on the board for each side in that one. Americas game 😀

winnerallright was just a hunch mate. Mariota is the cool calm and collected guy that he has shown. Winston, the live wire who takes too much risks (on and off the field). Mariota = Manning. Winston = Leaf haha

Might have to put a cheeky one on Cards, the odds is currently 10/11! The Cards secondary should be good enough to keep Drew Brees at bay without a legitimate weapon in the pass. Fancy a 4th Quarter take away from the Cards too, but there isn’t a market on that unfortunately!

Jordan this is mannings last season it has to be he’s been sacked 4 times and is overthrowing everything and doesn’t looked poised at all very cringy watching it tbh ide prefer to have Johnny football out there atm

I know mate Tamba Hali and houston are sack machines wouldn’t be surprised if they done some serious damage to peyton

Gaaaaah, Cards just scored a 55 yard TD to end my night on a negative aha. Has anyone got bets down for the games later tonight? Debating whether to put money down or just let it go and sleeeeeeep haha

Cheers Jordan, think I am gonna take the high road too and call it a night. Had quite a few came in, don’t want to get too greedy and give it all back to the bookies just yet haha thanks for the tip though pal, top man

Usually like to think I have good discipline and I don’t know if I’m pushing my luck cos it’s opening weekend but I really like this bet

NFL

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys

* Jason Witten over 50.5 receiving yards @ 10/11

One of the most underrated players in the NFL and while dez gets all the headlines nobody gives Witten much credit. A highly dependable TE and if this game is as free scoring as it should be this should be in at half time

In the house that Jerry built, this looks to be a good one with points being scored. Dallas have one of the best O line in the game and with Murray gone, I cant believe Mcfatten is the answer. They are going to run by committee, and Joseph Randle is first up, and I will take him O58.5yds. If he doesn’t fumble he could be in for a big game, I’m thinking 80+yds. He is 4/5 Bet365.

Giants have a run by committee too with Rashad Jennings, free agent signing Shane Vereen and Andre Williams, and they may use all of those. Last season Giants gave up 31pts and have there best defensive player JPP missing, (he is also missing some fingers)

Dez had 151yds in this fixture last season and he for me is the best WR in the NFL, the beast could feast on this secondary and go over 88.5yds at 5/6 Paddy Power. I fancy Dallas to win this and the Bryant wincast is 6/5 Coral.

Jordan – I hoped that would be the case. 365 have resulted it as a loss, it was an alternative total so there was an option to bet on 42 points exactly (not sure if that makes a difference). Reckon it’s worth getting in touch with them?