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977 Picks R:W518 L443 P16 %W 0.53% | Streak 3 L10: W6 L4 P0

NFLfinishedIndianapolis @ Kansas City01/12 4:35 PMRelease 01/12 08:20

KANSAS CITY -5 (-110)Analysis

The Indianapolis Colts are a dome team going to the cold in Kansas
City. The Chiefs defense is not as bad as many say they are. Look for
Kansas City to rudely welcome the Colts to town with a blowout win on
Saturday. The Chiefs head to the AFC title game.

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1410 Picks R:W720 L667 P23 %W 0.51% | Streak 0 L10: W4 L6 P0

NFLfinishedIndianapolis @ Kansas City01/12 4:35 PMRelease 01/10 11:06

INDIANAPOLIS +5.5 (-107)Analysis

Wish I'd gotten 6, but I'll still take the points with a Colts team on a 10-1 straight-up run. They've also covered seven straight versus winning teams. The Chiefs do one thing well defensively -- rush the passer. But Indy has the best O-line protection in the league. Grab the points as this one goes down to the wire.

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767 Picks R:W384 L360 P23 %W 0.50% | Streak 0 L10: W5 L5 P0

NFLfinishedIndianapolis @ Kansas City01/12 4:35 PMRelease 01/11 10:47

UNDER 57 (-110)Analysis

Luck versus Mahomes. A score-fest, right? Not so fast. Over the last 10
weeks of the season, no team gave up fewer points than Indianapolis,
which was overshadowed by QB Andrew Luck’s excellence, and the Colts
nearly shut out Houston last weekend.

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197 Picks R:W97 L94 P6 %W 0.49% | Streak 0 L10: W7 L3 P0

NFLfinishedIndianapolis @ Kansas City01/12 4:35 PMRelease 01/09 16:50

INDIANAPOLIS +5.5 (-110)Analysis

The Colts are on a 10-1 run and I think they'll give the
Chiefs all they can handle. Marlon Mack rushed for 148 yards against
Houston, and K.C. can't stop the run. The Chiefs will score a lot too,
even without Kareem Hunt, but I think this is a field-goal game. Grab
the points.

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548 Picks R:W266 L265 P17 %W 0.49% | Streak 2 L10: W3 L7 P0

NFLfinishedIndianapolis @ Kansas City01/12 4:35 PMRelease 01/08 18:10

OVER 57 (-110)Analysis

The Colts defense has played well during their current 10-1 streak, but
here are the quarterbacks that have started against them: Deshaun Watson
(twice), Derek Anderson, Derek Carr, Blake Bortles, Marcus Mariota
(left with injury), Ryan Tannehill, Cody Kessler, Dak Prescott, Eli
Manning, Blaine Gabbert.

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258 Picks R:W121 L124 P13 %W 0.47% | Streak 0 L10: W4 L6 P0

NFLfinishedIndianapolis @ Kansas City01/12 4:35 PMRelease 01/12 15:25

INDIANAPOLIS +5 (-109)Analysis

This is a tough pick, but the snowfall in Kansas City coupled with a potential absence of safety Eric Berry have me leaning towards Indianapolis here. Andrew Luck is fully back to form and has an offensive line that will keep the Chiefs' pass rushers at bay and give him time to deliver the ball.

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267 Picks R:W117 L144 P6 %W 0.44% | Streak 0 L10: W5 L5 P0

NFLfinishedIndianapolis @ Kansas City01/12 4:35 PMRelease 01/12 18:24

OVER 54.5 (-110)Analysis

The total was efficient at 56-57 but the weather has pushed this into a solid value bet at 54.5 or 54 if you can find it. Wind is the element that impacts the total more than anything, and the wind isn't going to be much of a factor here. My number is still 57.5 so I'm the Over.

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267 Picks R:W117 L144 P6 %W 0.44% | Streak 0 L10: W5 L5 P0

NFLfinishedIndianapolis @ Kansas City01/12 4:35 PMRelease 01/12 18:24

KANSAS CITY -4.5 (-110)Analysis

I missed this game at open but finally got the line movement I was looking for with the weather. The public perception that the weather helps the Colts more than the Chiefs is wrong. My number on this game was KC -6.5 and is currently KC -7 under these conditions. The home field advantage is 10x more important than the weather when the wind isn't blowing 15+ MPH. Lay it with the Chiefs.