NEW YORK (MONEY Magazine) - Home prices across the country will likely keep rising over the next year. While many hot markets on both coasts could see a dramatic slowdown in their growth rates, the forecasters at housing research firm Case Shiller Weiss aren't predicting outright losers anywhere.

Nationally, home values climbed 14 percent last year, or nearly double the 8 percent of 2003, when the bubble talk began in earnest.

Prices are up 20 percent or more in some coastal cities, putting homes out of reach for many. In Los Angeles, for example, just 5 percent of homes sell at prices affordable to a median-income local family.

Don't panic just yet, though. Any pop is unlikely to be nearly as severe as what can happen in the stock market. Local markets can drop 10 to 20 percent, but that's about as bad as it usually gets.

And a crash is merely a paper loss as long as you don't need to move. Meanwhile, you get a roof over your head and, with a little luck, nice neighbors and good public schools too.

Metro area

Median home price

5yr change in avg home price

Growth forecast to June 2006

United States

$190,000

65.1%

7.1%

New York/Northern New Jersey/Long Island/Connecticut

New York City

$435,000

91.2%

12.6%

Nassau/Suffolk, N.Y.

$440,000

92.1%

11.6%

Newark

$330,000

79.0%

11.4%

Bergen/Passaic, N.J.

$390,000

81.9%

11.3%

Middlesex/Somerset/Hunterdon, N.J.

$318,000

87.4%

11.1%

Monmouth/Ocean, N.J.

$328,000

97.0%

11.3%

Jersey City

$300,000

114.2%

N.A.

New Haven/Bridgeport/Stamford/Waterbury/Danbury

$335,000

69.7%

9.0%

Trenton

$230,000

83.4%

11.0%

Los Angeles/Riverside/Orange County

Los Angeles/Long Beach

$442,000

122.3%

5.0%

Riverside/San Bernardino, Calif.

$329,000

137.3%

4.5%

Orange County, Calif.

$610,000

126.3%

6.8%

Ventura, Calif.

$550,000

122.6%

5.8%

Chicago

$254,000

49.6%

8.6%

Washington/Baltimore

Washington

$385,000

107.4%

13.9%

Baltimore

$140,000

85.3%

14.2%

San Francisco/Oakland/San Jose

Oakland

$535,000

96.3%

13.3%

San Francisco

$750,000

67.7%

13.6%

San Jose

$619,000

63.0%

13.9%

Vallejo/Fairfield/Napa, Calif.

$449,000

125.1%

13.8%

Santa Rosa, Calif.

$500,000

107.8%

13.2%

Santa Cruz/Watsonville, Calif.

$599,000

86.2%

13.0%

Boston/Worcester/Lawrence/Lowell/Brockton

$339,000

73.6%

8.0%

Dallas/Fort Worth

Dallas

$137,000

23.1%

N.A.

Fort Worth/Arlington

N.A.

23.5%

N.A.

Philadelphia/Wilmington/Atlantic City

Philadelphia

$180,000

71.0%

11.7%

Atlantic/Cape May, N.J.

$249,000

112.6%

9.4%

Detroit/Ann Arbor/Flint

Detroit

$160,000

24.3%

4.3%

Ann Arbor

$225,000

28.1%

1.2%

Houston

$136,000

25.2%

N.A.

Atlanta

$188,000

25.2%

6.4%

Miami/Fort Lauderdale

Miami

$240,000

106.1%

15.3%

Fort Lauderdale

$257,000

105.8%

16.3%

Phoenix/Mesa

$190,000

53.1%

17.7%

Seattle/Tacoma/Bremerton

Seattle/Bellevue/Everett

$315,000

38.1%

9.1%

Tacoma, Wash.

$212,000

36.9%

4.2%

Minneapolis/St. Paul

$225,000

63.2%

7.4%

Cleveland/Akron

Cleveland/Lorain/Elyria

$153,000

20.0%

4.3%

Akron

$148,000

17.5%

0.7%

San Diego

$554,000

138.3%

5.9%

St. Louis

$129,000

38.1%

N.A.

Tampa/St. Petersburg/Clearwater

$172,000

70.8%

14.7%

Pittsburgh

$108,000

31.1%

N.A.

Denver

$250,000

33.3%

6.0%

Cincinnati/Hamilton

Cincinnati

$172,000

18.9%

4.0%

Hamilton/Middletown, Ohio

$182,000

20.5%

3.2%

Portland, Ore./Vancouver

$226,000

36.6%

9.8%

Sacramento/Yolo

Sacramento

$376,000

131.1%

17.1%

Yolo, Calif.

$379,000

140.9%

17.4%

Kansas City, Mo.

$149,000

30.8%

N.A.

Orlando

$195,000

60.6%

14.3%

Indianapolis

$113,000

18.8%

N.A.

San Antonio

$123,000

24.8%

N.A.

Norfolk/Virginia Beach/Newport News

$168,000

60.9%

N.A.

Las Vegas

$285,000

107.0%

N.A.

Columbus, Ohio

$172,000

22.7%

3.7%

Milwaukee/Waukesha

$199,000

40.5%

N.A.

Charlotte/Gastonia/Rock Hill, N.C.

N.A.

19.1%

N.A.

Salt Lake City/Ogden

$155,000

-0.2%

0.0%

Austin/San Marcos

$151,000

24.9%

N.A.

Nashville

$139,000

19.3%

6.4%

Providence/Warwick/Pawtucket

$257,000

111.7%

17.7%

Raleigh/Durham

$186,000

18.9%

N.A.

Hartford

$228,000

54.1%

8.9%

Buffalo/Niagara Falls

$95,000

27.00%

N.A.

Memphis

$126,000

11.5%

3.2%

West Palm Beach/Boca Raton, Fla.

$282,000

98.0%

21.0%

Jacksonville, Fla.

$154,000

57.4%

N.A.

Dayton/Springfield, Ohio

$135,000

15.1%

0.3%

Fresno

$243,000

129.1%

N.A.

Tucson

$179,000

46.6%

8.5%

Albuquerque

$146,000

13.3%

1.4%

Knoxville

$121,000

27.3%

7.0%

Bakersfield, Calif.

$195,000

114.1%

N.A.

Toledo

$124,000

19.7%

0.6%

Youngstown/Warren, Ohio

$90,000

15.0%

1.8%

Springfield, Mass.

$182,000

64.1%

10.5%

Sarasota/Bradenton

$229,000

83.5%

17.0%

Stockton/Lodi, Calif.

$370,000

126.9%

21.8%

Daytona Beach, Fla.

$153,000

79.9%

22.0%

Lakeland/Winter Haven, Fla.

$133,000

46.5%

9.8%

Johnson City/Kingsport/Bristol (Tenn./Va.)

$90,000

16.2%

4.8%

Lansing/East Lansing

$134,000

33.0%

2.9%

Modesto, Calif.

$305,000

140.5%

15.2%

Fort Myers/Cape Coral, Fla.

$124,000

92.1%

15.1%

Canton/Massillon, Ohio

$129,000

16.7%

2.2%

Salinas, Calif.

$526,000

136.2%

N.A.

Santa Barbara/Santa Maria/Lompoc

$445,000

147.9%

N.A.

Visalia/Tulare/Porterville, Calif.

$190,000

86.1%

N.A.

Fort Pierce/Port St. Lucie, Fla.

$280,000

99.8%

13.7%

New London/Norwich, Conn.

$226,000

71.9%

6.3%

Naples, Fla.

$300,000

109.3%

22.4%

San Luis Obispo/Atascadero/Paso Robles, Calif.

$475,000

137.7%

11.3%

Merced, Calif.

$270,000

126.2%

16.6%

Clarksville/Hopkinsville (Tenn./Ky.)

$95,000

15.3%

4.2%

Chico/Paradise, Calif.

$250,000

119.6%

15.2%

Burlington, Vt.

$226,000

62.7%

7.8%

Barnstable/Yarmouth, Mass.

$369,000

115.7%

5.6%

Punta Gorda, Fla.

$154,000

98.1%

17.5%

Pittsfield, Mass.

$165,000

57.8%

11.1%

NOTES: Data as of 2004 unless otherwise noted.
N.A.: Not applicable or not available.SOURCES: Fiserv CSW, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Housing and Development, National Association of Realtors.