How much does month to month (and year to year) variance in weather affect the calculated park factors?

Eno Sarris

12:14

Weather is the biggest driver of power in terms of park factors, so yeah, regional weather patterns could be important. I'd be interested in looking at Baltimore, which is super hot on average, but probably isn't very hot in April.

Josh

12:14

Hey Eno! What are your thoughts on CJ Cron in 2016? Do you see a breakthrough considering his solid second half in 2015?

Eno Sarris

12:15

Even his second half (.258 with a .190 ISO, regular BABIP) is only slightly scintillating. Grades him out to a .260/20 type first baseman, which is meh.

Ampersand

12:15

A beer story for you Eno! Vacation to LA, visit the Bruery. Drink 11 small pours of beers between 8% and 18% ABV. Girlfriend drives us back home and I pass out at 6pm. Wake up at midnight, everything is pitch black, I feel well-rested and wide awake and very confused. Also, Mocha Wednesday is the best.

Merv and Make Thronemerry

12:16

Admit that someone mistook you for Geno Harris once!

Bork

12:16

Crystal Castles is pretty much the ventilation system with noises that you think might be voices but might just be noises so I was close

Eno Sarris

12:16

We're getting going here.

Ryan

12:17

We need Eno pitcher ranks!

Eno Sarris

12:17

Coming soon!

Paul

12:17

Sano over Pence?!?!?

Eno Sarris

12:18

.260 with 40 HR+SB for Sano vs .270 with 30 HR+SB for Pence. Yah I take Sano.

Larry David

12:18

Do you agree that there's something to this "Stanton is injury prone" business? Averaged 121.6 games since 2011 season, which doesn't seem great.

Eno Sarris

12:19

One injury wasn't really his fault, but it doesn't seem like he comes back well from his injuries. I'll give him 140 or so this year.

Halp

12:19

For your arsenal scores if a pitcher has 3 pitches where one elite pitch is driving his entire score is there an easy way to tell?

Eno Sarris

12:19

Not really. I'll have to think about it. Maybe just a quick inventory of his pitches in your head.

StarDestroyer

12:19

Francis Martes or Jose De Leon? (Assuming they both arrived in MLB at the same time, who do you like better?)

Eno Sarris

12:19

De Leon

Prince Wednesday

12:19

Do you see anything that suggests increased production from Christian Yelich? I know he's only 24, but dude is a ground ball machine.

Eno Sarris

12:20

Not really. Heyward was similar but by now Heyward had already added fly balls. I see Brett Gardner as the best case scenario for Yelich at this point.

12:21

I've enjoyed this song v much done by a few different bands. Here's the original.

12:21

Johnny5Alive

12:22

Rosenthal says the rays are suffering from the QO system because they are in position to sign a impact FA but can't sacrifice the 1st round pick. Ironic, since they whole point of the system was to offer compensation, especially to small market teams who would constantly be losing top free agents.

Eno Sarris

12:22

Unintended Consequences is a law.

Art Vandelay

12:23

Now that Terry Ryan has basically assured Duffey's spot in the Twins rotation, do you think that gives him some late round value or is he strictly a streaming option?

Eno Sarris

12:24

Maybe. If he pairs the four-seam with the change and basically doesn't throw the sinker much at all, he can have a 7mph differential and some nice movement relative to his fastball. That's probably why his change did well in short sample last year. But the more he throws his sinker, the more his change looks like the sinker and the more he becomes a two-pitch pitcher with a 90 mph fastball. Not high up on my list of sleepers.

brad

12:24

will turner start season as ss for nats?

Eno Sarris

12:24

Espinosa more likely. But I think Turner will end the season at SS for the Nats.

Jeff

12:25

Eno, in a small sample Villar made a jump in contact rate both in and out of the zone to near league average, am I crazy for thinking he could be a late sleeper based on his category juice 9 HRs, 24 SBs in 400+ PA last two years?

Eno Sarris

12:26

25 with all the opportunity in the world. Even his projection, pushed out to a full season (.240/12/35) would make him a top 15 shortstop at worst. And even if Arcia comes up, Gennett not looking like a starter and Hill might be toast. I absolutely like him some. 10.2% whiff rate could pair with a 24% K rate and make him usable.

Miketron

12:26

Do you think Grimm can get into the closer conversation in Chicago? Maddon didn't seem to attached to Rondon

Eno Sarris

12:27

Sergio Romo said Grimm had the nastiest stuff he'd seen all year, so he's in the conversation. But Strop might be next? Then again, Strop's command has him on shaky ground, too. I could see three guys with 7+ saves in that bullpen this year. Handcuffing necessary.

Justin

12:27

love crystal castles...I got Pollock for $19 in an NL only $250 7x7 (OBP)....an owner trying to nab him has J. Turner $2, D.Peralta $6 and Gricuk $6....which 2 should (if any) should I ask for?

Are you a fan of the enjoy by series? If so have you have the unfiltered 2/14?

Eno Sarris

12:28

yes, yes, yes.

MRK III

12:28

Is it just me, or are a TON of teams using platoons this year? Seems like a majority of the league has a position being split. Is this just a blip, or the start of a long-term, pervasive trend? It's kind of a bummer for fantasy...

Eno Sarris

12:28

Death by running back committee. It's been around for a long time in baseball but it's definitely happening a lot right now.