UFC on FX 6 and TUF 16 Finale Predictions- Kamikaze Overdrive MMA

UFC on FX 6: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson and Ultimate Fighter 16 Finale: Team Nelson vs Team Carwin Predictions- This Episode of the show covers Predictions for the 4 Main Card Fights on the UFC on FX 6: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson card and 6 predictions for the Ultimate Fighter 16 Finale: Team Nelson vs Team Carwin. UFC on FX 6: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson and Ultimate Fighter 16 Finale: Team Nelson vs Team Carwinvs Diaz Prelim predictions are available at Kamikazeoverdrive.net

Joey Beltran $3.60 vs Igor Pokrajac $1.29- Beltran is best known for his ability to take a beating and stick around. Unfortunately taking a good ass kicking doesn’t always and recently hasn’t equated to victories. The trend that Pokrajac’s losses have been influenced by a heavy ground based attack from his opponents seems to be a valid one with 3 fights based on takedowns and one a submission defeat. Beltran really isn’t known for either and I don’t see that changing any time soon. Beltran tries to remain technical and use footwork and jabs to set up his power, but in this fight he needs to brawl the boxer. If Beltran can get inside and land some damaging shots he could change the face of the fight, but even so we really haven’t seen him demonstrate that big one punch knockout ability. His only TKO win in the UFC came when his opponent couldn’t maintain the pace and faded leading to the TKO stoppage on the mat. I don’t see Igor falling into that trap, in fact I actually expect to see Pokrajac’s shooting and taking Beltran down frequently in the fight. This should make Joey hesitate when he comes forward and give Igor an added edge to the technical advantage he already has. Joey took some huge shots against Te-Huna and stuck it out, but there were some close moments. Igor has power, enough to KO Joey I don’t know, but it is clear a career of damage is starting to take its toll for Beltran. I would use Igor in combination with Pierce as I already mentioned and on most parlays. For a single bet he doesn’t offer a huge return, but I think he is a fairly safe bet. For Beltran he has a puncher’s chance, but not a very good one- stay away from him.
Mike Pierce/ Seth Baczynski Total Rounds Over 2.5- Both guys have the ability to finish fights, but I think this one is going deep into round three and probably to the judges. Baczynski’s size should create just enough problems for Pierce that he can’t put him away, but Mike should be able to grind out the win over 15 minutes. This fight might not be the prettiest, but this bet puts you on the right side of that possibility.
T.J. Waldburger $1.71 vs Nick Catone $2.10
Quickly looking over this card we have an absurd amount of ‘unknown factors’ with multiple fighters either debuting, returning after a long layoff, or changing division (sometimes more then just one of these) and this fight is no different. Catone fits into the last category. The guy is a powerful wrestler and if the cut goes well he could be dangerous at 170, but that is a big cut that can take a lot out of a fighter. Waldburger relies on speed to set up his submission. The way in which he was able to knock Stumpf off balance with a kick and then instantly jump on his back was outstanding. He did something similar in his win over Jake Hecht as well, jumping him before Jake could properly react and finishing the fight. Even the great submission defense artist Brian Ebersole was put in a few tough spots with TJ attacking aggressively and locking in subs that would finish most. I don’t like how Catone’s greatest attribute, his wrestling, puts him directly in the line of fire and if Catone makes a mistake he might not get a chance to recover. Waldburger’s chin issues are real and if Catone connects he could crumple, but that is a risk I am willing to take here. I think a small bet on Catone is worth a shot, he has some value at anything over $2.00 and he does have a strong wrestling base which could be enough to defend the multiple submission attempts that will be coming his way. For Waldburger, I would suggest a decent single bet on him as he does have a nice return. I also intend to use him a couple of my big parlays, but because of his rather large knockout numbers I will have some big potential payouts devoid of his name as well.