National (48.5%) increases lead over Labour/ Greens (41%)

National
(48.5%) increases lead over Labour/ Greens (41%) – biggest
lead for National since July 2013

• March 06
2014

• Finding No. 5469

• Topic: Federal Poll Public
Opinion

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting
intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and
mobile telephone, with a NZ wide cross-section of 977
electors from February 17 – March 2, 2014. Of all electors
surveyed 3.5% (down 0.5%) didn’t name a party.

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows
National (48.5%, up 0.5%) increasing its lead over a
potential Labour/ Greens alliance (41%, down 1%). Support
for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 1.5%
(up 1%), ACT NZ (1%, unchanged) and United Future 0.5%
(unchanged).

Support for the Labour Party has
risen slightly to 30.5% (up 0.5%), while the Greens have
fallen to 10.5% (down 1.5%), New Zealand First 4.5% (down
1%), Mana Party 0.5% (down 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ
2.5% (up 1.5%) and Internet Party (0%, down 0.5%) while
support for Others is 0% (unchanged).

If a
National Election were held now the latest New Zealand Roy
Morgan Poll shows that National would be returned to
power.

The latest NZ Roy Morgan Government
Confidence Rating is at 141.5pts (up 1.5pts) with 65% (up
1.5pts) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading
in the right direction’ compared to 23.5% (unchanged) that
say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.
This is the highest the NZ Roy Morgan Government
Confidence Rating has been since July
2010.

Gary Morgan
says:

“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll
shows National (48.5%, up 0.5%) with its largest lead over a
potential Labour/ Greens alliance (41%, down 1%) since July
2013. The rise in support for the Government is supported by
the second straight increase in the NZ Roy Morgan Government
Confidence Rating to 141.5 (up 1.5pts) – now at its
highest since July 2010.

“Prime Minister John Key
announced last week that New Zealand’s minimum wage would
increase from $13.75 per hour to $14.25 per hour on April 1.
Although this has been derided as not large enough by Labour
leader David Cunliffe, it appears that New Zealand electors
are growing more confident with Key’s leadership. The
ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating
(133.0) is far higher than across the Tasman in Australia
(109.6) and the New Zealand Dollar has improved in recent
weeks to be trading consistently above 82.5 US
cents.”

Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand
Election were held today which party would receive your
party vote?” This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll
on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both
landline and mobile telephone, with a NZ wide cross-section
of 977 electors from February 17 – March 2, 2014. Of all
electors surveyed 3.5% (down 0.5%) didn’t name a
party.

A full service research organisation specialising in omnibus and syndicated data, Roy Morgan Research has over 70 years' experience in collecting objective, independent information on consumers. Roy Morgan Research was set up in New Zealand in the 1990s and has been collecting information across a wide range of industries in New Zealand ever since. Roy Morgan currently has over 10 years of trended data on a geographically and demographically representative sample of over 12,000 New Zealanders aged 14+.

CONTACT ROY MORGAN RESEARCH

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