How Many Winter Olympic Gold Medals Will Team USA Win

The 2018 Winter Olympics light the flame this Friday, Feb. 8 and run until Feb. 25 from Pyeongchang, South Korea. Currently, the betting odds on the 2018 Winter Olympics USA gold medal count over/under is 10 with the over paying -135 while the under pays +105.

In the 2014 Winter Olympics in Sochi, Russia, USA won 9 gold medals. Team USA won 28 total medals overall at the 2014 Sochi Winter Olympics.

Bet on USA Gold Medal Over 10 because…

USA has won at least 9 gold medals in the last 3 Winter Olympics. In addition to taking home 9 gold medals in Sochi in 2014, USA took home 9 gold medals in Vancouver in 2010. In the 2006 Winter Olympics in Turin, Italy, USA also took home 9 gold medals. At Salt Lake City in 2002, USA took home 10 gold medals.

Bet on USA Gold Medal Under 10 because…

The Russians won’t strive for gold medals for Mother Russia. However, Russian athletes will still compete in the 2018 Winter Olympics. Those Russian athletes that don’t compete are likely to benefit Norway, who is expected to grab up to 40 medals total, and Germany. Canada should also benefit from the Russian athletes that won’t compete.

Team USA? Not so much.

USA Gold Medal Over/Under Prediction

Notice that the odds are over or under 10? That’s an important distinction because USA hasn’t won at least 10 gold medals since the 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City.

Team USA has won 9 gold medals in the past 3 Winter Olympics. To me, that says something about USA’s chances of winning over 10 golds at Pyeongchang this month.

Mikaela Shiffrin burst onto the alpine skiing scene in 2014 with two gold medals, including one in slalom. She’s attempting to repeat that success 4 years later. It’s possible. I’m not holding my breath.

Lindsey Vonn one of the most famous Olympic female skiers of all time, just won an event in December. However, she has a long history of injuries. Vonn winning gold is a toss-up at best. There’s also the hope that athlete Lowell Bailey takes home a medal, any medal, in the biathlon. He finished eighth in the biathlon in 2014. Gold? Not even close.

There’s a huge hope that U.S. Women’s Hockey Team breaks Canada’s stranglehold on gold. I don’t see it happening.

All told, USA winning over 10 gold medals is a possibility. It’s by no means a -135 possibility. I’m willing to take a shot on USA coming up just short. Under 10 gold medals is the much better wager. I believe Team USA leaves Pyeongchang with 9 gold medals, just like they did in Turin, Vancouver, and Sochi.