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ABC’s of 21st century cities: January series

As an architect, what intrigues me about the future is the fact that we are constantly imagining and shaping it. Other than our own brilliant new buildings (she says modestly), we usually think it will be a lot like today– only more. Architects are project-oriented. Space is our domain; we think in terms of a particular situation.

As a futurist, what intrigues me about the future is the fact that we can freely replace one future with another and fearlessly explore decades, even centuries, ahead. Futurists are large-pattern, context-oriented. Time is our domain; we think in terms of decades more than years.

I marry these two methods to try to understand where our cities are headed. This month, I offer you an alphabet of future cities, twenty-six slices that reveal, explore, and imagine what we might build and how we might live, work, and play in 2020, 2030, or 2050.

Our most advanced, high performing cities are technology-intense. In these gazelle cities, people believe innovation is part of their DNA. They aim to show the rest of the world how to build, more specifically, how to live. New transportation, environmental, and communication methods take root. Hi-tech companies and creative people flock to these Meccas.

On the other end of the spectrum in African, Middle Eastern, and Southeast Asian cities, people wish for indoor plumbing, clean water, fresh air. The same enemies that London and New York conquered in the 1800s strangle the people of Lagos and New Delhi today but at a mind-boggling scale.

What happens is a massive urban divide. The greater our technological advances, the greater the gap. Somewhere, some city will still be fighting to supply basic services with primitive solutions while cities with the highest levels of tech reach further and further, stretching the extremes.

It’s not all about resources and technology.

The urban divide occurs inside of countries too. Portland, Oregon began a green revolution in the late 1970s resulting in a dense, mixed use, transit oriented city. Dallas continues to bank on more highways and low density perimeter sprawl. The varied approaches reflect different priorities and offer radically different lifestyles. Over time, these bets will pay off or they will cost the cities and their residents dearly.

Paradoxically primitive sometimes works better than intensive technology. The current generation may be the first to employ just-right-tech or even un-tech. As a new form of intelligence, future gens will know when to switch off. Similarly for cities, high-rise, high-speed tech is not always the most livable, functional, beautiful, or viable response.

What will we do?

In the next forty years, the world population is likely to grow by two billion people. Nearly all of those people will live in

the cities of emerging economies, half in slums and nearly all in poverty. In contrast, western countries are faced with aging infrastructure and older populations. America is expected to grow by as much as one hundred million people, one-third as immigrants.

It’s said that this is the century of urbanization. In 2007, for the first time in history, the majority of people live in cities. We built American cities according to what we knew in 1950, just as Europe built cities with technologies and lifestyles of prior centuries. Now we know more.

Unlike any other time in history, cities and buildings are ready to be more than a roof and four walls. They can expand our quality of life or destroy it. Beyond shelter, buildings and cities can feed our spirits and replenish the environment. Or they can be a curse, a deathtrap, a monstrous albatross.

26 significant, provocative, intriguing ideas

In ten, twenty, thirty years, how will you build, work or live differently? What will it mean to your children or to their children? Will your city, your neighborhood, your home feed your soul or anger you?

Scott, you got it exactly. It’s selective, one set of ideas, not an encyclopedia. Part strategic, part preference. I pick ideas that seem to jump out. and I respond to suggestions too! got questions or ideas? let me know. My perspective has changed enormously from futures thinking, so maybe you can pick up on some of that and add what you are seeing happen. thanks for reading and commenting!

Technological advancements make the economy grow, and all the technological advancements have lead to the tremendous success and growth man has made over the period of time. Technology has changed the life style and now life style is more easy. Take example of online shopping, now it is done through online shopping site making this tedious activity more comfortable

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granny — With all this hoopla about Gidget, Moondoggie and their 5 kids, Abramoff’s conviction flew completely under the radar screen today — you know Repubs are heaving a sigh of relief. P.S. Am I the only one who noticed her son is deploying to Iraq on 9/11 — who did they have to pay off to make that happen?

I agree that things are so much different now than when we were kids. But I am enjoying so much watching my own children grow up. My oldest, just turned 9, and she is truly becoming a sweet little lady. I can’t say this about everyone, because everyone is different, but I truly believe if we actually think about our kids, what type of people we want them to be, and make it our priorities to raise responsible people, then we will. Great post! I’m glad you were able to realize your dream, thats the stuff life is made of!Hugs,Eliza

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Firstly: ILU!!! Book-Holmesian geeks who actually liked this movie, unite!Secondly: this movie had me from the moment it was revealed that he was shooting the VR into the wall. *loves* (what a fantastically done sequence that was, as I didn’t realize that was what they were doing, so totally canon, until the momentary reveal at the end of it.)Thirdly: wow. I had never thought about it, but you know what? THAT passage from “The Three Garridebs”: I believe I have finally pinpointed the birth of my love of slash, circa age 12. Because DAMN, that was one of my top favorite moments in the series, ever. The More You Know.

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put a post up here about a week or so ago, and waited before I questioned it, as it did have links to back it up.It has never appeared? It was not rude or offensive, simply referred to the political correctness we are all forced to accept in our states and why this was creating a terrible rift in the union altogether. Especially in the UK, as the public resent so much of it and we are told it has to be applied because of our union with Europe. Why was it considered unsuitable for publication on this forum? Please.

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129 Posted by 73 on 11July 29, 2012 at 1b1:45 am 40 2e3Hi Rick,I wish there was a sister/brother hood. So many fabulous bloggers that are men…Oh well, whoever started this will probably come out for the guys too.DonnaDonna Merrill recently posted..

I completely support gay marriage it’s just most black people being strong christians and/or raised in a homophobic household don’t believe the same thing. For the most part black people voted against gay marriage mostly because of how they were raised and their religion. It’s also not just the black people it’s all the homophobes and christians in general.References : Was this answer helpful?

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a lot about how Frances judged Mary in aftermath to execution of Jane, as well as male family members, ie what was this woman capable of? …Elizabeth put in Tower same day Harry was beheaded. Pity about Belvoir letter. I will check out mss but doubt we will learn anything new

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No, it’s actually about a bunch of whiny crybabies looking for something to bash Christie about. Mission Accomplished. P.S. Enjoy the “victory” whilst it lasts, the Governor will be back tan, rested and ready the first week in January.

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Just a little note; that hand is putting on face paint on the little boy. I thought about doing the paint in just red but then he would look like a clown and I did not want to ‘go there’… though clowns are almost as creepy as devils…

ok i want to know for those that claim kobe was hogging the ball. please kindly tell us who should have been shooting instead of kobe. perhaps ron artest he of the 1 for 10 game. he is definitely more reliable. or pau gasol who is afraid to go inside? who exactly would have been a better option?

Oh my word girl – you did far more than tag along…you were awesome! I love these pictures. It’s so cool to see alot of the same pictures I took but from another angle, they are beautiful.And I definitely cracked up reading about the guys looking at you, that was so funny

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If your talking about the article that’s written on the Money Fix, I’ll have to disappoint you guy’s.Didn’t write that one myself but most of the other articles I did, especially the ones about money and the system.Thanks for the good comment.It’s good to hear you like my blog.

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Good post, Ken. Sadly, it is also a true post. Yes, there are things that need to be changed in our country, but there are also things that continue to be great. It seems that those things are the ones Obama wants to try to change. It is amazing at how many people I see and hear that are looking to the federal government for everything they need, instead of working hard and trying to better themselves. That is the kind of change this President has brought about and it is not the kind of change that will better our country.

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Obama has lied about almost everything including who he really may be. Yet, people believed in him a second time in spite of his lies, deception and evasions. This indicates a problem with the people and that is hard to overcome.

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Brent and Michelle – thanks again for sharing a part of your lives with us!I can barely see typing again – the tears of joy are filling my eyes!Much love and prayers as you begin another walk in deep faith!Jill

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that the status "No Issues" so I checked by data for April and I am having the same issue where when I apply an advanced segment I get no data. Is there an estimated timeframe for when this will be fixed?Thanks

THIS IS PATHETIC ….JUST.A SEGMENT OF AN ACN PARTY, WHAT DO WE EXPECT IF THEY HAVE TO GAIN THE PRESIDENTIAL SEAT …….ALL POLITICAL PARTIES IN NIGERIA ARE USELESS…..THEY DONT HAVE THE INTEREST OF THE MASSES. MAY GOD HELP US

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Yeah,how ofte this happens.We take something that happens so seriously and are totally put down by it,it seems to occupy our whole life for a short span of time,and after a while,we start thinking “Oh God! Was I worrying about something so trivial all along??”.Nevertheless,I’m glad your happy as of now.Keep up the cheer.And yeah,specs cannot take away my DDN’s charm

Your son is so cute. Hey by the way how to make the tapioca noodle. Is it called ‘chee hun kun’ ah? Over at my place there is a tai chow who sell this but now the tai chow shop chap lup liao. Kind of miss this noodle but my ang and my kids dont like it.

Oh yea I do all these but not the ribbon holder…. plus I have one with salt by the sink for a scrub for greasy pans…. Larger ones in my bathroom with finely ground oatmeal for a facial … Smaller one with my eye make-up remover oil recipe…..

looks gorgeous, I've been eyeing up those velveteens but not taken the plunge yet.thanks for the link to the tute it's ideal for the bundle of Loulouthi I have waiting to be used.Must finish WIP first though.

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Its is cory and lea. They are rather close and maybe they are kissingyou can see Cory’s hand on her arm and they are smiling. if they are datingthen just let it be. and move on. you really need to get glasses to say thatlooks nothing like Cory or Lea.

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thx, chris! isn't it funny to see the philosophers (and mystics) ahead of the curve?!? and I'm giddy to see scientists *proving* what works! so cool! and I just printed out that article. excited to read her book!!! appreciate your support and excited to share more!

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How are you creating true wealth? creating wealth is good but you also have to see what costs your present lifestyle includes and if you can cover them without working. That isï»¿ the wealth i am after. Wealth that will cover my costs and allow me to save and invest. I want to retire young. =]

One last question: Does the SOL expire 4 years to the day of the personal injury accident 04/30/2012 or one month before? The insurance company isn’t returning our phone calls; so we may need to look for lawyer #3.

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Write more, thats all I have to say. Literally, it seems as though you relied on the video to make your point. You obviously know what youre talking about, why waste your intelligence on just posting videos to your weblog when you could be giving us something informative to read?

Hi Graham, thanks mate and happy new year to you too! …sounds like we both enjoyed lastnite mate it was one of the best I’ve ever enjoyed with the naughty little minx! ….if I’ve got it right Graham tho we’re not going to be seeing as much of Amanda soon which I don’t want to even think about right now! …………Davey.

PUNCH, this is poor journalism. By this your jaundiced report, I join millions of Nigerians to condemn you for misrepresentation of facts. I will cease to buy your paper and shall make efforts to dissuade well meaning discerning individuals from buying your Punch of lies

Wow! What in the hell is wrong with you? Wake up. Look at this post…I’ve allowed every single comment to post and I haven’t deleted a single one. You can’t even comment on CP’s blogposts. I don’t delete anything and I always allow for posts that disagree with me. So you’re wrong about that.

I can’t remember if I mentioned this in the post or not, but I’m more or less a Christian metal head and enjoy the music thoroughly. I’ve also been to my share of concerts, and have seen the Gospel clearly shared and the audience prayed over several times before some of these bands play their music.So needless to say, I’m all for it both as a style of music, and a ministry tool.As far the worship services goes, I’m not pushing it in that venue for obvious reasons!

I thought about a private invitation only blog/wiki where you could do realtime editing with some trusted friends/editors. I suspect if you can get people to do it, the quality should rise dramatically.Cheers

I think this approach makes sense. We almost lost the whole thing when the Pacifica Board back when decided to dissolve the network AFTER selling off the station’s liscences (hot property, smack in the middle of the FM dial). The danger, certainly at KPFA, is that the station does not control its own liscence, and thus cannot disaffiliate from the disfunctional national organization. The station is in trouble, but with the pacifica millstone around its neck, its doomed.

‘Science is the use of evidence to construct testable explanations and predictions of natural phenomena, as well as the knowledge generated through this process. You should try studying it, so you won’t be so ignorant of what is known.

May I say Amen to Jayne’s comment and may I also say congrats on losing your “faith,” as put that way, I’m guessing it was based on the limited doctrines of a religion, complete with all the “answers.” It’s the questions that matter. And if I may take liberties with “Notes on a Beautiful Sadness” I would change a couple of words and put it this way” . . .down the hallwayof years past and years to come there will always be a doorwayinto light, an invitation to come into daywhole and brave and hungry, and the worlditself will dance toward us in a red dressof possibility

Jenna, I saw the Spud and Chloe update this AM which led me to the new Henry sweater on Petite Purls. It is darling! Love the colors you picked. You are very talented. Thanks for offering such a precious design. And your kid is pretty darn cute, too, on the blog.

I totally want everything in TTH’s closet. She rocks! My other favorite look from this set is the last pic – I must try pairing black and white patterns with a bold color (-just like how you paired the black and white polka dots with the sunny yellow.)

You lost me, buddy. I mean, I suppose I get what youre saying. I get where youre coming from. But you just seem to have forgotten that there are people out there who can see this issue for what it really is and may not agree with you. You seem to alienate a whole bunch of people who might have been fans of your blog.

Thank you for the sensible critique. Me and my neighbor were just preparing to do some research on this. We got a grab a book from our local library but I think I learned more from this post. I am very glad to see such wonderful information being shared freely out there.

Nosmo King, "My ancestors died defeating slavery. So? Next subject please."We need to also honor those who fought to free the slaves. Otherwise, FN blog would not be here today. Of course, don't expect any Blacks to be grateful. I am Black and I have never met a grateful Negro in America. But I have met plenty who complain.On the other hand, Asians and Latinos are quietly working their way into the mainstream of America.Blacks are not only trying to fight the Whites, they are having tremendous success fighting each other.

Hi, do you have any plans to make OzRunways link to the GPS in a Telstra Ultimate wireless modem? The modem connects my wifi only iPad to superfast broadband, plus it has a GPS in it. The Maps app on the iPad recognises and locates the GPS position, but OzRunways does not.

Wow!, this was a real quality post. In theory I’d like to write like this too – taking time and real effort to make a good article… but what can I say… I keep putting it off and never seem to get something done

I am really loving the theme/design of your blog. Do you ever run into any internet browser compatibility issues? A small number of my blog audience have complained about my website not working correctly in Explorer but looks great in Firefox. Do you have any recommendations to help fix this issue?

Hi there are using WordPress for your site platform? I’m new to the blog world but I’m trying to get started and set up my own. Do you require any html coding knowledge to make your own blog? Any help would be really appreciated!

Thank you Dawn, for the lovely interview.By the way, our winner was chosen…she lives in Presque Isle, Maine. She was thrilled her name was chosen. I can’t wait to hear what she thinks of Zingerman’s. Being a huge Zingerman’s fan, I have to share that we look forward to a gift from there every Christmas. And they have these chocolate brownies…oh my. Got Cody?Sandra

I don’t remember fields, but can remember when the space now occupied by the ramp and steps to the underpass was a bus lay by for the 143 that terminated there (133 to South Croydon on Sundays, a mere 23 miles away). Pedestrians could cross the road safely at street level.

I don’t like to admit it, but I sometimes feel jealous about the relationship our son and daughter-in-law have with her family. They seem to feel closer to them than us. Now that we have grandkids, I try to tell myself that the more love the children get, the better it is for them – but I still find myself resenting the time they spend with ‘the other grandparents.’ Do you have any suggestions for me?

Hi Laurie, sorry to take so long to get to your question. It is getting quite busy around here! Your best bet is to use no finish at all and do a nice job at sanding your polymer covered crochet hooks. With a proper job sanding and buffing you can get a lovely glass like shine. I have tons of sanding and finishing information on this blog. Just type in ‘sanding’ into the search box at the top of the page for a list of past articles and tutorials that will help your with your issue.

Come on! people have the right to voice their opinion, and if you don’t like it look away. This project is really bad, you just have to look at how the welding has been scratched from the tube and the fact that you have to hang your coat on the loop, otherwise it will deformed. This doesn’t add anything to the world is just another wasteful thing screaming for attention.

I'm so crazy, gave me goosebumps reading. I hope you do go visit her best friend sometime in the near future. Before you know it, they'll be on the internet and phone keeping in touch and will remain close friends. I loved this story and the pics!

Hello,You have a beautiful home. My wife and I are considering razing our current home and building similar to what you have completed. I was wondering if you would mind sharing the ballpark cost of the entire project including de-construction. Again, beautiful home. I admire the work your architect has completed and you have decorated beautifully. Thanks.Joe Perez

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Argumentum ad hominem tu quoque. You phrase a question about infanticide by making an accusation about imperial conquest. Please do not waste your time and mine with such amateur rhetorical sleights of hand. I am both a philosopher and a lawyer, which makes me a professional rhetorician. I am taken aback that you actually think me likely to be taken in by such antics. If you have a serious question, ask. If you cannot be serious perhaps because your worldview hinders you from addressing any serious questions, do not ask.

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I’ve been wearing a plain white hemp bracelet for a while now and now I’m wondering what other people think about it. On behalf of the male population, what do females think about hemp bracelets on guys?

you are so right people rebel out and do some crazy stuff at young age but smart person will grow up and get matured from the mistakes. not to mention, angelina has done so many humanitarian work ..she is beautiful both inside and outside DDDD

I agree immensely! That’s exactly what i was thinking! It also worked for the Hunger Games. I think there is just too much conflict about which known actors should play them, so they should be unknown. I also think most of the actors people are suggesting are or look too young, the characters should look older and mature, like in the hunger games.

Every month Real Estate Business Intelligence puts together a short video explaining the real estate trends in various parts of the region. This one focuses on the Maryland Suburbs which includes Prince George's County, MD …

The one and only great thing about Obama is that once racist segregated America within 40 odd years after the heyday of racism elected a black man to the presidency and on doing that truly cleansed itself from a morally very dirty period.

You are so my soul sister it seems you always know what is going on and we think alike. Im dieting….I hate dieting but Im doing it so Im on a whole grain and high fiber kick and this will be an addition to my bored diet food good to see something appealing. Keep them coming girl…Momma’s got weight to shed off!How are the kidos? HOpe sleeping has gotten alot better!

You’ll have to take the site as a whole. Mr Norrie has a candidate statement. His opponent does not (yet). More detail does not entail endorsement. There may be some details that candidates would rather I had not published.

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