Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis – BTC/USD Bounce is Fading

Key Points

Bitcoin price recovered nicely from $7300, but it is struggling to gain traction against the US Dollar.There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at $8,750 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).The pair must hold the $8,400-8450 support area to avoid any further declines toward $8,000.

Bitcoin price is struggling to break a key barrier at $8,800 against the US Dollar. BTC/USD is slightly bearish with an important support around the $8,400-8,450 zone.

Bitcoin Price Bearish Resistance

This past week, there was a sharp drop in bitcoin price below the $8,000 level against the US Dollar. The price declined below the $7,500 support and traded as low as $7,296. Later, it staged an upside recovery and moved above the $7,500 level. It broke the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the $9,912 high to $7,296 low.

Buyers gained traction and pushed the price above $8,000. Moreover, there was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the last drop from the $9,912 high to $7,296 low. However, the upside move was protected by the $9,000 resistance zone and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours). More importantly, a major bearish trend line with resistance at $8,750 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair is acting as a key hurdle. At the moment, the price is moving lower and is currently trading below $8,750 and the 100 SMA.

On the downside, there is a crucial support at $8,400-8,450. BTC must hold the mentioned $8,400 support to avoid a push into the bearish zone. Below $8,400, the price could even break the $8,000 support. On the upside, a successful break and close above $8,800 is needed for buyers to gain control.

Looking at the technical indicators:

4-hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is about to move back in the bearish zone.

4-hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is currently well below the 50 level.