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Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Weather Outlook for USATF 5K Cross Country Championship November 8 in Carmel, IN.

October 14 2014.

This is for runners who are coming to Indianapolis for the
USATF 5K XC in Carmel, IN. (a suburb of Indianapolis) and are wondering about weather for the day of
the race.

I went to Weather Underground and looked up November 8 and traced it
back through to the turn of the millennium (2000). The average temperature
range listed was 38F to 56F. With races scheduled from 10 am to noon that means
mid 40’s to low 50’s, ideal for a crisp cool cross country run.

Of course you
don’t necessarily get average. In looking back over the past 13 years about the
coolest you’re likely to get at race time seems to be mid to upper 30’s and the
warmest in the low to mid 60’s, both tolerable although not ideal.

What about
rain? Possible, of course, but over the past 13 years there were only two years
that had measurable rain and, as it happened, in both cases the rain fell at
other times of the day, in one case in the wee hours of the morning 3:30 am to
5:45 am and in the other in late afternoon,
4 pm to 5:30 pm. There are no guarantees ever with the weather but no reason to
worry about it more than normal. Check the 5-day forecast once we get into
November.