Boston Legal (which is its last season anyway) and ‘Til Death are the scripted shows most likely to be cancelled in the new 2008-9 broadcast television season. In fact, Fox’s Do Not Disturb was the most likely to be cancelled, but Fox beat everyone to it and already cancelled the show! The other scripted shows in significant danger of being cancelled are The New Adventures of Old Christine, Lipstick Jungle, Knight Rider, Terminator: Sarah Connor Chronicles, Gary Unmarried, and My Name is Earl…

How did TV By the Numbers come up with the list? They found that last season, the future of a show was nearly directly related to its adults 18-49 average viewers divided by its networks 18-49 average viewers. Many other factors may matter, but they all seemed to boil down to that one number. Last season, if a show had better than 92% of its network’s average 18-49 viewership it was pretty safe, below that level it was in danger. I’m very confident that their list will still indicate the shows most likely to be cancelled compared to those less likely to be cancelled.

Here is their list (the top is most likely to be cancelled and the bottom is least likely)

1. Do Not Disturb2. Boston Legal3. Til Death4. Old Christine — I just saw this show and I can’t believe its about to be canceelled. Old Chrisitine is supremely underappreciated.5. Lipstick Jungle6. Knight Rider7. Terminator8. Gary Unmarried9. My Name Is Earl — I loved this show.10. Privileged11. Prison Break12. The Unit13. Cold Case14. Ugly Betty15. Without a Trace16. Without a Trace17. E.R (last season anyway)18. Bones19. American Dad20. King of the Hill21. Law & Order: SVU22. The Mentalist23. The Big Bang Theory24. NCIS25. Supernatural26. Brothers & Sisters27. Worst Week28. CSI: NY29. One Tree Hill30. How I met Your Mother — Oh, God, please no.31. Fringe32. Gossip Girl33. Smallville34. The Office — I’ll miss 35. Family Guy36. The Simpsons37. Heroes38. Criminal Minds39. 90210 (already renewed)40. CSI: Miami41. Two and a Half Men42. House43. Desperate Housewives44. Grey’s Anatomy

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