Do not underestimate the implicit self-loathing of even the most outwardly patriotic, traditionalist pink skins. The inchoate identitarianism that seemed so salient in 2015 is still a long, long way from maturity.

The security is run by our good friends at Google, so I don't think it's dangerous... at least not in terms of computer viral threats!

MSS,

Indeed!

Dan/Todd,

Right. 538 had a recent post noting the very modest correlation between favorability and electoral support. This post shouldn't be taken too seriously, but I did find it funny, and I'm to the point where I recognize these kinds of patterns immediately. I suppose that means I've become an identitarian.

Mil-Tech Bard,

Reuters/Ipsos online surveys have consistently shown Trump's advantage to be higher than all the phone-based surveys do. This lends credence to a reverse Bradley effect, since people feel more anonymity interacting with a monitor than they do interacting with another human being. We are counting on you to be correct tonight!

Fox News reports that 60% of their early entrance polling shows on the GOP side, Evangelicals make up 60% of early attendees. Cruz leads Trump by only 2% among evangelicals and Rubio by 3%

40% of early attendees were new to the caucus system on the GOP side. Trump leads them by a wide margin then 2nd is Rubio.

With this high turnout of evangelicals, this is a must win race for Cruz. The rest of the states won’t have that high number. He needs to win big.

9:40CST: Multiple reports–from CNN to the Des Moines Register–suggest that Republicans will have a record turnout north of 150,000 caucus-goers

NB: Trump did bring in a record number of new Caucus goers. This seems to have swept in a fair number of Rubio voters and didn't give Trump enough margin for the all out evangelical effort Cruz put in.