JUNE 10: MR FIXIT’S TOP TIPS

THE panic’s over – for now! Four Super Single winners in a row have wiped out early June losses and I’m back in profit.

I wasn’t really worried – although plenty were going by some comments – because I know how easy it is to turn things around but it’s nice to be back in black.

After Shamrock Rovers and America Women -1 gave me two successes on Monday and early Tuesday mormning I came up trumps with two both to score singles – St Pat’s v Bohemians at 5-4 and Bologna v Pescara at evens. Three Super Single winners in one day – I think that’s a first.

Now I need to turn my attention to the Daily Double/Top Treble which is 10pts down after England women failed to net against France in a 1-0 defeat.

Wednesday’s another quiet night with a couple of international friendlies – Germany v USA and Switzerland v Liechtenstein – and it’s obvious both to score and overs will be popular in the match in Cologne.

USA have netted in all of their 11 matches since the World Cup and stunned Holland with 4-3 win last week. Per Mertesacker and Philipp Lahm have retired and since then the Germans have conceded four to Argentina, two to Poland in a Euro qualifier and even two in a 2-2 friendly draw with Australia.

Bookies know the score though so btts pays no bigger than 1-2 while over 2.5 goals is just 4-6 at bet365 and Ladbrokes. Either could be on a double or treble and another point to note is German keeper Manuel Neuer being injured.

There are two lower-league games in Sweden and a couple of Spanish play-offs and that’s about it. In Sweden stats suggest both to score and possibly overs at Degerfors v AFC United. Both have netted in the last five meetings between the sides with four going over 2.5 goals and both have hit the target in AFC’s last seven.

Both to score pays 4-6 at bet365 and Ladbrokes and over 2.5 goals is priced much better at 4-5 with Ladbrokes. Another stat that stands out is the fact AFC have drawn 1-1 in five of their last 11 matches and another pays 6-1 at Paddy Power and bet365.

The other Superettan clash sees GAIS welcome Utsikten and there is little to go on here. GAIS won 3-0 away in the only meeting of the sides and have gone down just once at home in seven meetings so justify their billing as 5-6 favourites with BetVictor.

Las Palmas entertain Valladolid in the first leg of a semi-final play-off and they had the better of the meetings in the regular season, drawing 1-1 at home and winning 2-1 away. It could be tight again.

In a Segunda B second-leg play-off Gimnastic travel to Real Oviedo leading 2-1 from the first leg and there could be goals again. Seven out of eight of Gimnastic’s matches have seen both score and it’s the same record when watching Oviedo.

I’ve started studying Copa America but you could do worse than check out the excellent previews on all three groups and team-by-team guide on We Love Betting, with guest input from Tim Vickery.

We Love Betting’s Mark O’Haire has done a fine job and I don’t have the time to match his efforts.

Having looked at tonight’s games I’m doing a form and stats-based goals treble for low stakes. If you don’t fancy the btts treble try singles or doubles with Oviedo the one I’d doubt most.

For the Super Single I’m putting 8pts – the remainder of my daily allowance – on Brazil against Honduras in their final warm-up before Copa America. Brazil won’t bust a gut ahead of Sunday’s Copa America opener but Dunga will want to maintain his 100 per cent record since taking over after the World Cup shambles.

He has won nine friendlies out of nine – keeping seven clean sheets – and wants to go into the tournament with a perfect 10. Neymar could get a runout after joining the squad following Barcelona’s World Cup triumph but Luis Gustavo and Oscar have been ruled out of the tournament in Chile so Dunga has some changes to consider.

Honduras are unlikely to trouble the Brazilians too much and I’m fully confident of a home win in Porto Alegre which is of course a short price at around 1-6.

It has the feel of a 2-0 or 3-0 Brazilian win so let’s go 4pts on Brazil to win to nil and 4pts on Brazil -2 Asian Handicap. If Neymar starts he’s worth backing at 13-5 with William Hill to score first.

Remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for more video tips and chat.
And don’t miss their excellent guide to Copa America with contributions from Tim Vickery.

Meanwhile, Raaljaca’s goals thread started recently and he’s asking for donations to two cancer charities. In June we’re supporting another cause in the shape of Projects Abroad who send volunteers to work in poor countries all over the world.

My student daughter is raising money for a trip to a Romanian orphanage and this month all Buy a Beer donations (£3 minimum) will be passed on to Projects Abroad so click the button if you want to help.

Hull I agree, looks a good shout robbo. I’ve got them & Ukraine u20 both over 1.5tgs in an acca with the 2 aussie cup games over 2.5mgs and Australia to win the 2nd test v west indies. Pays nearly 7/1!

Still cannot believe this didn’t land. Managed to cover the bet for under 2.5 so close enough to winnings returned and then some on this so no real loss however after 2 goals in the first 14 minutes it looked a cert.

If anyone had the misfortune of watching the game then you’ll already know that Spain Women were nothing short of dreadful. If anybody wants to watch how not to score in a football match the highlights of this will be available somewhere. It was borderline painful and embarrassing how they missed chance after chance.

Onto tomorrow and again with not a great deal screaming out apart from friendlies i’m not sure what to go for. Any insight would be appreciated as always!

Had a nice little double come in which took the edge off me going in-play for a third goal in the spain women game, ironically whilst waiting for my bet to be paid, my first choice in the spain game was for overs 0.5 tmg’s, that came in and an equaliser whilst I waited, finally dropped my bet on which I felt was a banker and it failed to materialise. I am gonna revert back to betting only on games I have eyes-on to judge. having watched England against the French, I watched them shut out the game. England women were not really at the races today but a quick 10 on france to hold out for the last 15 mins gave me a 2/5.
Later on, I had St Patricks to win and Brazil a/h -1/-1.5, got a 1/2 and a 7/10 to ease my earlier losses.
Having seen the English women, they were dire, but the Americans have so far impressed me. Tournament winners potentially?

Horsing please refrain from swearing and being nasty to people on here ok. After nice two trebles came in Sunday iv got a rolling 6 fold acca mon-fri going,first 4 are in after shamrock,Jonkoppings,St pats and botofogo all won. Waiting on atletico mg tonite and then Belgium Friday. £3 returns jus over £4G . chicken feed I know but still be nice.

Over 2.5 goals was a loser for me in the columbia game which was annoying columbia hit the post aswell but onto the next bet. 2 bets catch my eye today which has some good value. 1) btts to score in the 2nd half of Germany vs usa 7/4 2)Vallodlid vs las palmas btts to score at 11/10. Prices are both from will hill.

4 out of 6 of the last games for las palmas have btts have scored and in Vallodlid btts have scored 4 out of 5 of there last games just a little bit of stats to back up what I’m predicting any suggestions welcome good luck all

Lithuania ladies SRC Dainava @ 10am may be worth a small punt for goals. Last meeting a month ago ended 10-1. Goal line is 6 on 365. Gone for that and will follow first half inplay. Estonia ladies also have a game at 6pm Levadia Tallinn – no goal line as yet – but last match was 5-1 …

WasClueless, only side who can trouble them are Norway, in my opinion, and they meet tomorrow so will be kept separate after group stages. Ivory Coast are odds on and being backed to beat Thailand tomorrow which makes Germany look even better given their 10-0 win as opposed to Norways 4-0 in the first matches. I would have Germany at 10/11 at the very most so 2/1 is perfectly acceptable for my £3 with Ladbrokes…

I was on ukraine first goal i had to show a little confidence in my own bet haha.
dont like tipping next goal but some may have got on that hopefully. Ukraine have looked really interested in this cup so far. Looks like may have called usa game wrong though but still time for colombia to qualify… I hope

In the past 24 hours on here, I’ve read ‘rug munchers’, ‘bitches’ and ‘split arses’ in reference to the Women’s World Cup…is this really deemed acceptable by the majority on here, or by the moderators?

Aj I do mate, the game that kicked off at 9.30 I’ve got in my treble for over 2.5 but I reckon it could easily go over 4.5. Unfortunately it’s not in play and can’t find the score anywhere at all so may have to wait til later to find the results. The second FFA cup game looks good too but I’ve found these games tend to have more action in the second halves and throw up some good in play opportunities. So keep an eye on here I’m gonna see how the game I’d going and probably do something in play

Hampy I needed them to score for my treble but was dead nervous watching the clock ticking down, thought they’d settle for extra time as they weren’t attacking but thank god they did

Surprised how decent senegal u20s are. Look like they have more of an idea what to do than the senior squad.
melvo scored alot for hungary u20s in this cup. May have to keep an eye out for that name in furture

Not something I’d usually say, but Australia to win the 2nd test match (cricket) starting tomorrow v the west indies is printing money too at 3/10. I’m gonna check the weather but even still unless there’s 3 days of rain, which is not likely, they will comfortably beat them.

Harry – Done a bit of checking on Glenorchy Knights who have conceded 56 in 10 games (thanks for the tip) … there season doesn’t get any easier as they play the top 2 in the league in the next 2 games. 2 dates for the diary:
13/6 Glenorchy v Hobart (2nd top) (last game 8-0)
21/6 Olympia (top) v Glenorchy (last game 8-0)

Anyone know a particular bookies which do a great sign up offer? Going to be fairly big on the Germany Women World Cup outright to win and fancy a matched bonus but not feeling rolling over half a dozen times?

Back to winning ways thank god. Just seen on Gungahlin’s twitter (courtesy of AJ) they’re 3 up just after half time. Also didn’t realise Serbia scored in 92nd minute, I’m glad I was asleep or I’d have been all over the place!

Johnny probably not, btts in the Germany game looks good as I’m sure a lot others are on it, both teams score and concede regularly in friendlies. Germany’s last 4 home friendlies have been 2-2 2-4 6-1 2-2. USA last 4 away friendlies have been 3-4 1-1 3-2 3-2. The last 3 friendlies head to head have been 4-3 4-1 4-2. I’m not tipping anything else as I went 10 points on my treble this morning but I’ll probably double this btts with something, most likely the corner boys’ corner bet, or a variation of it

Raal agree with you on the Germans. Only side I have seen who can play football without making an individual error every 10 seconds. Don’t care what feminists we have around, the standard of football is awful and to be honest I don’t know why they bother. Only side half decent is those Germans.

I don’t know what’s happened but the best odds for this are now 3/4. If anyone missed the boat and fancies a safe ish group forecast bet I’ve got an alternate that I’ve just put 3 points on as I felt 5 points on the above was not enough

My thinking is this is more or less the same bet, as group C seems the easiest to call. Granted I don’t know much about Peruvian or Venezuelan football but I know enough about the other 2 to know they should beat both teams easily enough

Interesting game at 1.30 Thailand v Vietnam u23 . I’ve gone over 2.5 goals and also a btts. Conceded 1 goal between them but surely got to be some goals now they play each other hoping for a 2-1 result

Having read the guide on Copa America from WeLoveBetting (and given limited Bet365 markets for the group stage -winner only). I have gone for a small treble:
Group A – Chile (small danger is Equador)
Group B – Argentina (danger is Uraguay)
Group C – Brazil (danger is Columbia

Other notes I made were Paraguay are poor, Jamaica even worse. Peru concede a lot of goals. Mexico will be a second string team. Venezuela – goals have dried up and will struggle against pace with a disrupted 9 month build up.

Top scorer is a tricky one – Argentina may gang in a few in the group stages V Paraguay and Jamaica (so look Messi (very short odds!) or Aguero. Or for Brazil Neymar is obvious or the guide calls out Firmino (at about 20/1)

Recommend the guide as its pretty comprehensive for people who don’t know a lot about South American football (Like me)!

WasClueless, 3 groups with a total of 12 teams has the top 2 virtually picking themselves. Boylesports offered a dual forecast yesterday of ARGENTINA/URUGUAY at 1/2 and same price for BRAZIL/COLOMBIA and it lasted virtually minutes before they took it down. That double pays 5/4 for the few who managed to get on before they shut the book.

WC my other 2 small bets other than my group stage bets were Colombia to win and James Rodriguez top scorer both EW. The world cup wasn’t long ago at all and for me they looked like more of a ‘team’ than the others which could take them a long way

Harry, sometimes I would love to do cash bets on these type of selections but in Edinburgh we have no BetVictor, Paddy Power, Boylesports or Stan James shops. Pathetic from that lot so open in Edinburgh soon please!!!!!! Coral, Hills and Ladbrokes have over 70 shops here between them.

Not one side will arrive at the tournament without a flaw or two but I really like the look of Colombia. I reckon they’re a decent bet to top Group C at the prices but should they finish second, they’ll get an easier passage to the final – avoiding Argentina, Uruguay and Brazil. A probable last eight encounter with Ecuador is negotiable before that potential semi with the hosts.

Los Cafeteros might be rebuilding their defence but Jose Pekerman’s men possess the tools to really trouble Chile. At 6/1 (Paddy Power) they look underrated and can continue their journey towards the head of the South American football table. We’ll add them as an each-way prospect too, ensuring we won’t end up empty-handed should they fail in the final.

Can anyone shed some light on why IRAKLIS are 4/1 in my local bookies, i see they aree already promoted yes but what about the federal decision to give them 7 extra points, are they worth a bet or a plus 1 bet…

It’s no different down here mate With the exception of the odd pp and SJ shop it’s full of corals and ladbrokes mostly and a few williamhills. Have you any idea why the Malta price is so generous considering the away fixture was 1-1?

Malta are poor Harry but head to head with Bulgaria does see them score more often than not. Malta were backed heavily to beat Lithuania earlier in the week for no apparent reason and won 2-0, they are capable of scoring Harry as they have nothing to lose now.

Can anyone shed some light on why IRAKLIS are 4/1 in my local bookies, i see they aree already promoted yes but what about the federal decision to give them 7 extra points, are they worth a bet or a plus 1 bet…

Js hercules of finland worth a look. They are top and play bottom side ops who have scored 9 but conceeded 34 and lost 6/6 games.
goal line is 5,5.5
ops in their last 2 games have conceeded 16 goals. 9 and 7
asian handicap is -4 at 1.90
and to be honest looking at some results they both should come in.

Last Malta v Bulgaria game in November was 1-1 (mind you that was there only goal in 5 qualifying games!, but they managed 2 v Lithuania in the friendly … on balance and at those odds will give it a go!!

The only game that sticks out to me is in the Slovakia 3 Liga at 4:30.

Nova Bana v OFK Teplika

OFK Teplika are top of the league and need one more win to guarantee the title. They’ve lost once all season and that was back in August, with the past 8 games seeing two draws and six wins. Their opponents are midtable and have nothing to play for, in their last 8 games they’ve won once, drawn twice and lost the rest. The previous meeting was 2-1 to Teplika and they’ve won 5 of their last 6 on the road. I don’t like betting on WDW in obscure leagues but the stats point to an away win at 8/11.

Nightowl i made them up 😉
nah go on soccervista mate go down to finland leagues and think it was the first one available. It will bring league up at the bottom of the page. If you click on the teams where says fixtures it should bring up past results for the team you clicked on.
They are only 7 games through this league but hercules have beat 3rd and 4th from bottom easily covering this goal line.
not one id stake too much as know nothing about them but defo worth it for a pot builder.
Finding hard to find much between now and sunday to be honest

Harry/Raal- can anyone explain the dual forecast for me please? Does it mean the order they appear i.e. Brazil then Colombia or does it not matter as long as they are in the top two? It may seem silly but I would prefer to know what I am betting on!

Straight forecast for Argentina/Uruguay group b pays 10/11 whereas dual forecast is 4/9. That’s probably the easiest group to call in terms of the straight forecast for me as Brazil are expected to win group c but nobody would be too surprised if Colombia beat them

Nightowl no worries pal. Ive used soccervista for years and didnt know could do that with stats etc. Richard on here pointed it out few weeks back. Useful for these little leagues like you say. Looks decent doesnt it. Hopefully its like the blackbird one i spotted not long ago and flown in. No pun intended

I fancy this quite strongly however I’m only personally putting one point on it as I over staked yesterday and it bit me on the arse and I’ve already used 10 points this morning. Feel free to stake as you wish. I’d recommend 2-4 points depending on how strongly you fancy it yourselves

Lithuania womem game been lousy. Only value really been on halftime win inplay. Not losing any more dosh on that.
Honka women game at 430 these two played other day and finished 3-1 to away side. Can be alot of goals in this but id wait inplay to see if can get maybe over 3 goal line. May not get the chance though

Regarding cooma tigers, I messaged 365 saying get on it with it and they responded their official sources have not yet confirmed the result. To which I replied if I found the result 5 hours ago then surely your official sources need reevaluating. No reply yet

Just a heads up for anyone interested that Steve Maclaren to be next Newcastle manager is still available at Betsafe at 1.45. Ive been putting bets all day on it and from what reports are saying he coule be announced later on today.

The world champions take on the USA before the European Championship qualifier at the weekend and the head coach wants to test out some of the fringe players included in his squad.
Germany national team boss Joachim Löw wants to use the friendly with the United States on Wednesday to test out the new players in his squad.
“Basically, I want to make the most of the number of substitutions to keep the burden on the players as low as is possible,” he said at a press conference on Tuesday in Cologne.

Cheers Mr O. I posted an alternative this morning as I’m guessing most don’t have bwin accounts. Rather than just Colombia top 2 you can exchange it for Colombia and Brazil dual forecast as that group looks pretty safe. At least everyone’s got flexibility on it anyway

Changed my mind on the Copa Group betting after advice from Harry / Raal (thanks guys) … opened an account with BetVictor
Group A – Top 2 Chile
Group B – Duel Forecast Argentina / Uraguay
Group C – Duel Forecast Brazil / Columbia
Think it paid about 2/1
Could have gone big (about 6/1) with Chile to win the group but decided not to!!

Should be interesting … gone under 6.5 on the Gintra ladies … and >5, 5.5 on the JS Hercules game … knowing my luck I will have got them the wrong way round!!

Cashed out on the Gintra Ladies 0-0 at nearly HT (about 80% profit returned) – never know with these ladies – half the best team might have been ironing in the first half.
Great tip on the Hercules game Hampy!!

Hampy – I am a coward and cashed out on the Finland game at 55 mins … nice profit still … also the Gintra ladies seem to be back from ironing and have banged in 5 in the second half – glad I cashed out on that one!!

WC you may want to double check you’ve picked the right selections and not gone for straight forecast because it should only pay 11/10 at most. Chile are 1/30 or something for top 2 and group b and c dual forecasts are only around 4/9 each I believe

Anyone fancying a bet on copa America top scorers might want to check out corals offer if you bet £20 on a player to be top scorer you get £5 free bet for every goal they score excluding shootouts . Might be good if you fancy a player to score 4+ . Just passing it on incase someone’s interested

Danny you give them your payment details and you will only be charged if your application is successful. I’ve applied for four tickets to the final category D (£85 each) and four for each semi category D (£65 each).

‘You will now be asked to provide your credit card details. We will store your payment details securely and only charge you if you are successful in the random selection process. It will take place following the closing of the ticket portal between 13th July and 15th August 2015.

Please ensure that your credit card limit covers your application amount during this period (including the delivery costs) as failed payments will be not be retried and your application will automatically be rejected.’

Mr f I love these Swedish games got the double up on the over 3.5mgs just waiting on the Germany v USA game over 3.5mgs for another £400 this time off a £20 stake… Golden question would you advise cover now or leave it for first 15-20 mind see if any goals??? You said last night you wouldn’t cover..l looking at Germany’s defence it doesn’t look great so should be goals??

mistake we made Jordan was doing it with debit rather than credit card we thought doing it that way would give a better chance of getting tickets as event got the cash rite away rather than turned down CC payments etc never worked out that way…………….

Din’t officially post up anything today after the mare of Spain & Costa Rica not going overs last night so stuck on a couple of private bets

Had a treble of BTTS in the Degerfors and AFC United game, and an over 2.5 double in the Germany and Brazil friendlies as well as a double of BTTS Yes in the Germany game and BTTS no in the Brazil game..

Only concern at this point is, will Brazil land the overs tonight? I believe they’ll shut out Honduras but will they be motivated enough to paste them 3-0 or over?

Mr Fixit weldone on the predictions on the top treble.
it looks close to coming in, ur top treble record @ some point seem to impress me
i had done some calculations.and notice that
@ odds of 2/1
if anybody placed 14 bets over 2 weeks following ur tips. and u equal 5 wins out of every 14 top treble.
it should land anybody following on decent profit of 105% ROI
E.g a bank roll of $1000 using 14 wagers of $70 each….will become $1050 @the end of 2weeks after losing an amazing 9 of 14 wagers (35.7%strike rate)
a roller coaster feeling if u hit 9 out 14
$1000 will be $1890
this strategy is employed for the high rollers who wants decent profit overtime
thanks in advance if u look this up and give it a thought

I fancy this quite strongly however I’m only personally putting one point on it as I over staked yesterday and it bit me on the arse and I’ve already used 10 points this morning. Feel free to stake as you wish. I’d recommend 2-4 points depending on how strongly you fancy it yourselves

*WON*

Wish I backed this with bigger balls but discipline needs to come first and I was over staking already. Still a wins a win mustn’t grumble

Cracking result and an even more cracking game but you can’t help wonder and think after seeing a performance like that from the USA how much better they actually play compared to our lot? so much drive, energy and passion.. even for a bloody friendly!

had scores 2-2 on Germany game and 3-1 on Oviedo grrr. Your early morning double let me stick a couple of points profit on it Harry so no harm no foul. Be on Mr f’s singles and hopefully waking on the right side of the bed. GLA

evening hull sir, never even got a chance to look at Iceland even after comments earlier on raals thread been too wrapped up on main bats and getting back in black, hope alls went well for you tonite……… 😉

hi, i am a Nigerian
tomorrow the u-20 boys takes centre stage. The German side are tournament favourite..buh if u consider than the german youth team captain himself is a Nigerian, u might begin to av a rethink. His father Nigerian.
tips
————————————————
GER – NIG U20
over 3.5 mgs @ 1.28/1

Nigeria and both team to score @ 5.25/1

Nigeria to qualify 2.95/1
———————————————–
the last 2 are based on my sentiments as a Nigerian….will strongly discourage following.
if u do, very low stake. it is upset based

starting to favour thes scenario bets via betsafe martin odegaard debut, mclaren next newcastle manager and now iv seen day 4 of the copa america daily draws under 0.5 which seats columbia v venezuela and brazil v peru for neither team to draw is 1.45 I think its good pot odds especially to top up a bet