Centument Review

It is expected to meet with the Ministers of Finance and Member States of the Group of Twenty evening to shaping the global economic development strategy and address the situation of the financial imbalances between the economies of the industrialized countries and emerging economies. And will pay the industrialized countries in meeting today’s demands repeated to boost consumer spending in emerging countries to compensate for the deterioration of consumer spending in industrialized nations after the financial crisis, while longer consumer spending in industrialized nations biggest catalyst for the exports of emerging countries which formed the accumulation of surplus balance of trade in emerging countries over the past the last ten.
Comes the demands of industrialized countries to prevent the affected industrial production sector and the services sector from falling demand in industrialized countries after the consumer loans burdened shoulders of individuals in industrialized nations, which renewed concerns over the ability of banks in the industrialized countries to contribute to the return of a dynamic global economy.

The demands of industrial nations may be translated on the ground after signs emerged for the adoption of Chinese monetary policy for the option of a gradual rise of the yuan exchange rate against the US dollar, while the most important of these signs that might push the Chinese government to adopt raise the yuan’s exchange rate option is the high rates of inflation in the Chinese economy to 5.4 per cent – a level not seen in the Chinese economy since September 2008.

On the other hand, will negotiate the emerging countries, particularly China on the criteria that will be awarded to detect the case of financial imbalances, also includes those standards measurement method over financial flows on financial assets to avoid a repeat of the financial crisis as well as to measure the impact of the trade deficit on the Member States of the mechanism Group of Twenty emerging countries and the possibility of an initiative to alleviate the trade deficit in industrialized countries.

It also includes those criteria to adopt policies to reduce public debt among industrialized nations put public budgets of the governments in the Member States of the Group of Twenty aimed at reducing the deficit in that government budgets.

This comes at a time when the reactions witnessed by the Chinese government a gradual improvement in part to raise the yuan’s exchange rate, but the Chinese government has asked the United States to ease restrictions on the advanced US technology exports as an initiative of them to indicate the participation of the parties in resolving obstacles fiscal imbalances in trade . Prime Minister of China, said that his government will adopt all available options, including the yuan exchange rate to prevent the worsening of inflationary pressures as quoted by the news agency «Xinhua» Chinese.

He said Chinese Vice Minister of Commerce said in a statement last week with the newspaper «China Daily» that the government will facilitate the import procedures, a move in line with an earlier cut of tariffs, which refers to the flow of imports to China steadily in the future.

These statements are from the Chinese government before the first of its kind regarding the use of the yuan exchange rate to curb inflation.

Capital markets and expects to see the yuan’s exchange rate against the US Dollar increased significantly during this year, which promotes the growth of domestic demand in China to imports from industrialized countries, which is considered a positive development in addressing financial imbalances in the global economy file.

It scored yuan’s exchange rate rise against the US dollar not seen for 17 years at 6.53 per US dollar levels.

The yuan’s exchange rate against the US dollar at 1.71 in 1981 and then gradually began to decline until it reached 8.32 yuan per dollar in 1997, boosting the ability of the Chinese economy to push exports wheel around rapidly.

Since the year 1997 saw the yuan’s exchange rate rise against the US dollar in an attempt by industrialized countries to rein in the surplus in the Chinese trade balance, however, those efforts have not achieved tangible success only in the last five years where the yuan exchange rate rose to 6.9 in 2008 and remained at that levels to the beginning of 2010, which then began to push the Chinese government in the exchange rate to gradually rise against the US dollar until it reached its current levels at 6.53 yuan per US dollar.

And it saw a trade surplus in China is a significant reduction from the level in 2008 at $ 295 billion to $ 183 billion level in 2010, and that recent data could push the trade balance is expected to continue to shrink the surplus in the trade balance to lower levels during the year. And based expectations of a continued contraction in the surplus in the trade balance on the high cost of labor and raw materials, increasing the cost of Chinese products prices in the international markets, in addition to the pivotal role of the rise of the yuan exchange rate, which cast a shadow on the ability of the Chinese economy in the preservation of historical levels of trade surplus.

And the form of the surplus in the trade balance of China’s economy in support of the foreign exchange reserves of the Chinese government, which is considered the world’s largest, reaching levels of those reserves to $ 3 trillion according to data released by the Central Bank of China yesterday.

Since the worsening of the financial crisis pushed the United States through the US Treasury Minister to criticize the economic policy of the Chinese government, which affected the economies of industrial countries’ exports compete with China’s export capacity.

In a remarkable development, trade balance recorded a deficit of the Chinese economy by about 1.02 billion US dollars after the rise in China’s imports of goods and raw materials prices during the first quarter of this year, according to data released by the Chinese Customs Administration yesterday.

This represents a deficit in the trade balance of China’s economy a remarkable development in the yuan’s exchange rate against the US dollar file, which will be one of the most important issues that will be discussed at the finance ministers of the Group of Twenty meeting this evening in Washington DC.

It is likely that the persistence of the trade deficit of the Chinese economy this year to justify appropriate to ease the lifting of the yuan’s exchange rate by industrialized countries toward the Chinese government claims.

And witnessed China’s exports rose by 26.5 per cent to $ 399 billion in the first quarter of this year compared to an increase China’s imports by about 32.6 per cent to $ 400 billion in the same period, suggesting a role of rising Chinese yuan’s exchange rate against the dollar in the curb export growth rate about slower than the growth rate of imports, which is the response by the Chinese government to the pressures faced by the industrial countries regarding the treatment of the case of financial imbalances in the international balance of trade between the industrialized countries and emerging countries.

Rising import goods and raw materials prices was not a contributor only in the incidence of trade deficit is the first since 2004, the Chinese dragon, but moved the impact of rising commodity and raw material prices to the domestic consumer who saw inflationary pressures, prompting the Chinese government to adopt to allow a gradual rise of the exchange rate policy the yuan against the US dollar.

Central Bank of China has raised interest rates four times during the past 6 months to rein in credit liquidity flow in the Chinese economy, but that did not achieve what begging him the Chinese government as a result of the survival of interest rates at 3.25 percent, which is below inflation taking place in the Chinese economy at five in percent according to the National Bureau of Statistics data.

According to Broadcast network «Phoenix» Chinese, leaked inflation data was supposed issued this morning indicate an increase in inflation to 5.4 per cent in March (مارس) the past which confirms that what is done by the Central Bank of China to raise the proportion of reserve requirements for local banks to Twenty percent to curb liquidity flowing in the Chinese economy did not succeed in curbing high inflation.

Oil prices have formed an influential factor affecting import prices, as the cost of oil imports recorded a nearly $ 44 billion, according to Chinese Customs Administration data. And steel prices came in second place with a total of up to $ 28 billion, which is up to the cost of imports of iron by about 83 per cent, which confirms the face of the Chinese economy to imported inflationary pressures.

The China’s imports of copper reflection of the rates of the largest consumption in the world of that metal, where copper consumption rose by about 30 per cent to 305 thousand metric tons in March, compared to 236 thousand metric tons in February (فبراير) the past, but this increase did not offset lower consumption since last year while consumption witnessed 456 thousand metric tons and that the form of concern to exporters of copper in the ability of the Chinese economy to maintain strong demand rates, but the timing of those degraded data coincides with the beginning of the calendar year in Chinese, where industrial activity at least significantly.