At best, this system could strengthen into a Tropical Storm but the real threat will be flooding. Hurricane Hunter aircraft are investigating on Monday afternoon as the disturbance moves northward toward the Louisiana coast at 7kts. Regardless of the track of its center, widespread rain will likely be the primary concern for much of the Gulf coast starting late Tuesday and continuing through late week.

The system will continue moving northward in the coming days and should stay far enough west of Southwest Florida to not be a huge issue for us. It is now producing 40 miles per hour sustained winds as it moves west at 23 miles per hour. Some areas could see isolated heavy rain.

Total rainfall on Tuesday is expected to be between two and four inches over the Windward Islands.

The wind shear is expected to increase in the days ahead, which could cause this future tropical storm to dissipate or weaken in the Caribbean by mid-week.

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