Yeah looks promising! Glad to finally have some more wintry blasts come through to make things exciting. Here's the prognosis for the final week of March 2017...

Currently we have a low pressure trough dipping into our neck of the woods from the west/northwest, as well as the monsoon still in progress across tropical Northern Australia. And of course Cyclone Debbie intensifying over the Coral Sea, heading towards Queensland!

Also on satellite, just off the Southwest WA coast, a deepening low pressure system and intense cold front have been set free from Antarctica. Expect this winter storm to enter the Bight from the Southern Ocean tomorrow and then interact with the preceding trough. Winds ahead of the storm swing around into a hot northerly airflow across Victoria late-tomorrow, likely strengthening to gale-force, sending temperatures soaring well into the 30s on Monday before the change strikes (32°C for Melbourne, 34°C for Mildura), and raising the risk of fire. Sunny at first, then cloud increasing with showers and potentially severe thunderstorms likely with the change.

Warmth makes a brief return ahead of a more significant polar blast scheduled for Wednesday and Thursday. No mention of snow in the official forecasts... yet, but that could change! ACCESS hints at the possibility of a brief ECL spinning up on Thursday btw!

Reached a hot, somewhat humid, mostly sunny 30.6°C here in Belgrave. Took a while for the morning low cloud to completely burn off, but boy the Sun had a kick!

Currently around 27°C, with a slight cooling breeze.

Forgot to mention that we had no measurable rainfall last night or this morning.

Loving the satellite imagery atm, looks like Cyclone Debbie's competing with the impending cold front for my attention lol. The winter storm is now entering the Bight, and the northerly airflow should strengthen tomorrow ahead of the change; no SWW out for Victoria yet but could be damaging gales tomorrow. 32°C for Melbourne, 34°C for Mildura, and 35°C for the Sale/Bairnsdale region. Still likely to see storms erupting with the front's passage tomorrow, hopefully with heavy rain.

Yeah spot on p! Gun be hot and windyFor say the first 2/3 of tommoz,thenPotentially a nice storm/line of rain rolling Through tommoz arvo,with hopefully a niceDrop of rain!I'm not sure, but this should/hopefully be theLast of any half chance of fires around here untilLater this year😀

Access g looking rather chilly on ThursdayWith a fair chance of snow for southern range(Baw Baw)And maybe some more welcome train

Ventusky has some quite intense land gales and wind shear associated with tomorrow's front! CAPE values aren't that great, but based on lifted index readings it could be one stormy frontal system! Not neccessarily supercellular though, but wouldn't be surprised if we get a fast-moving squall line!

Every time we get weather setups like this, I keep flashbacks of March 21st 2013, the day we had those tornadoes tear through Northern Victoria and along the Murray River, especially Yarrawonga/Mulwala! No supercells here that day, but it was one wild, windy, stormy day nonetheless.

DAMAGING WINDS, northerly averaging 50 to 60 km/h with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are expected to develop from the west during Monday morning ahead of a squally west to southwesterly change reaching the west later in the morning, central districts in the early afternoon and Gippsland later in the afternoon. Wind gusts of 100km/h are possible in elevated areas, coastal areas, particularly near and immediately following the change. Wind gusts of 100km/h are also possible with thunderstorms in central and eastern parts during the afternoon.

Winds are expected to rapidly ease an hour or two after change.

Locations which may be affected include Warrnambool, Seymour, Maryborough, Ballarat, Geelong, Melbourne, Traralgon and Bairnsdale.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should: * Move vehicles under cover or away from trees; * Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony; * Keep clear of fallen power lines;

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 am AEDT Monday.

Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 217. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

To go out on a limb, if one went by ACCESS this morning and the cloud in the sat. pics, we won't get to the forecast 35C and could get up to 30mm...............some big rain shown over a small area and we are very close to under it.

The change is entering metropolitan Melbourne now and should hit my side of the bay in an hour or so! And check out that fast-moving storm front that's suddenly erupted over the Western Plains and down to Cape Otway over the past hour!!

And check out that fast-moving storm front that's suddenly erupted over the Western Plains and down to Cape Otway over the past hour!!

Yes, ASF. Like three ocean waves - can see them in both radar and sat images. 35C here atm with only moderate NWly wind.

Yes indeed TB! And the first "ocean wave" has arrived, it started raining quite heavily about 5 minutes ago!

The main change itself arrived at 1:46pm, accompanied by a wild-looking shelfie, and howling winds that abruptly swung from northwest to southeast; it got dark and cloudy about 1:30pm. Temperature's dropping sharply now, currently around 23°C, having peaked at 32.7°C.

The main storm front has reached Geelong, and should slam head-on into Melbourne over the next hour! Camera ready for action!! =D

Just look at the Melbourne (Laverton) radar, it's going ballistic all across the metropolitan area! The main storm front is still closing in fast, but storms are firing up super-quick ahead of it, with some very nasty cells with dark red (and lightning) now forming over the eastern suburbs! One of which is heading straight at me from the northwest!! =D

Had a momentary power surge here about 10 minutes ago, collected 2.1mm of rain so far. Peak rainfall rate on my weather station is 3.8mm/hr. Temperature's down to 21°C and falling. Barometric pressure reading 1007hPa, having bottomed at 1003hPa.