Week 11 - Retrospective

Here are the accuracy results (accuracy = percentage of time a higher tier results in a higher median score than a lower tier) since week 6:

Week

QB

RB

WR

TE

K

DST

6

50

100

90

73.3

66.7

80

7

90

80

86.7

80

50

83.3

8

100

90

73.3

86.7

83.3

100

9

80

100

86.7

90

83.3

80

10

90

86.7

71.4

60

33.3

50

11

90

90

86.7

80

66.7

83.3

Average

83.3

91.1

82.5

78.3

63.9

79.4

So far, we see that RB is the most predictable, followed by QB and WR, followed by TE and DST, and finally K is the least predictable. At least predicting kickers is slightly better than random (random guessing yields 50% accuracy).