Thinking about the AO semi final, I am of course not surprised that Federer lost. In fact we all know it could have been a lot worse. Federer got killed by Murray on grass (alright he was wiped but he could have been a bit tired in this match too) and the AO is probably the worst surface Federer could face Murray on. It's the slowest surface apart from clay, and Murray is not that good on clay.

But that got me thinking, would Murray have a good chance to beat Federer on clay NOW? Has Federer become too bad on slow surfaces recently? Murray's movement on clay is still not as good as Nadal, Djokovic or even Federer but given his human backboard style game, could he actually match up well vs Federer despite being underdog vs Ferrer and several other clay naturals?

In Fed's prime I don't give Murray much chance, but if they happen to meet this year on clay at RG, how would that match go down? I'm not sure but I still like to think Federer would win this in 4.

__________________
How to clarky - work out most or only realistic outcome, claim the opposite
Federer, Djokovic, Delpo fan (also like Nalbandian, Dimitrov, Tsonga)

Murray is getting better on clay but its no secret that its his worse surface so i still think Federer has the edge here. I dont really see Murray being the fave in any matchup vs the top 5 on clay at all.

Altho with that said, i really dont think its set in stone who will do the best on clay this year, Ferrer is pretty good on clay and i dont expect Nadal to come straight back to the king of clay since the other main guys have all showed extremely good form this year.

__________________
To be a tennis pro, you have to get good at handling players balls.

yeah i still think Federer would exploit Murray's movement issues on clay nd win, I just get this feeling that by the time they finally do meet on clay Federer will be too past it to win, maybe he'll not have the stamina anymore. But hopefully that's not the case.

__________________
How to clarky - work out most or only realistic outcome, claim the opposite
Federer, Djokovic, Delpo fan (also like Nalbandian, Dimitrov, Tsonga)

I think Murray could beat him. Depends on Federer's preparation this year, though. But I wouldn't be surprised one bit if Federer's consistency and longevity mean he loses to players who only recently have become that good.

I don't have a hard time imagining Murray beating Federer on clay based on the tactics employed in most of their other matches, but the monumental difference in their achievements on clay would make Federer the huge favorite.