I recently came across an interesting article, discussing the evolution of the popular phrase “Better that 10 guilty men go free, than 1 innocent man go to prison.” More specifically, it discusses how the exact ratio has varied throughout all of human history. A perfect demonstration that as poetic as the phrase may sound, coming … Continue reading Better that 10 Innocent Men be Murdered→

Source I'm a pragmatist when it comes to immigration, and I think it's hard to find politicians who are willing to publicly stake out pragmatic positions on this issue. Here's my blueprint for what I think immigration reform should look like. End Illegal Immigration We are all for immigration, but through the proper channels, and … Continue reading A Centrist Blueprint for Immigration Reform→

Source When Dave first heard about the basilisk from a believer, he scratched his head in confusion. “I have to give all my money to help build a super AI. And if I don't, it will one day resurrect me from the dead and torture me?” It sounded too comical to believe. And if he … Continue reading Dave’s Basilisk→

Source Virtually every election season, we’re treated to a chorus on job creation. Who has saved more jobs. How will they protect your job. And who is going to be the grinch that takes your job away. But perhaps our focus is misguided. Perhaps we should be focused not on creating jobs, but on eliminating … Continue reading Prosperity Comes From Eliminating Jobs, Not Saving Them→

Source In recent weeks, we have seen much hand wringing over the role that Social Media, Special Interests, Fake news, and Foreign Governments have played, in determining the outcomes of our political processes. To be sure, there is great merit in all of these accusations. Lobbyists should not be able to veto bills that serve … Continue reading A Democracy that Cannot be Hacked→

In an earlier article, we discussed the primary factors that drive long-term stock market returns. Namely: Earnings yield Real GDP growth Inflation We also discussed ignoring fluctuations in the PE Ratio, because: PE ratios tend to be cyclic, and do not increase or decrease in perpetuity Over the long term, fluctuations in the PE ratio … Continue reading Correlation between Stock-Market-Returns, GDP Growth and PE Ratios→

Source “The stock market is nothing more than a ponzi scheme”“It’s all just fake money”“Stocks prices are completely arbitrary. It can rise or crash any day” Chances are, you’ve heard some variation of the above, many times in your life. It’s hardly surprising - stocks play a crucial role in our economy and personal savings. … Continue reading What drives Stock Market Returns?→

Source One of the most interesting paradoxes studied by Philosophers, is also one that challenges our entire approach to science and knowledge gathering. Despite its monumental importance, there currently exist no satisfying resolution to this paradox. Which is unfortunate, because by studying this paradox, and learning how to resolve it, we all stand to benefit … Continue reading Solving the Raven-Paradox and Improving the Way we do Science→

Source As a lifelong agnostic, I never thought that I would find myself arguing for the existence of “souls”, much less claiming that I’ve found proof through Philosophical reasoning. And yet, as I consider the alternative, I find myself unable to accept any other conclusion. If we were to assume that human consciousness arises purely … Continue reading Philosophical Proof for the Human Soul→