October 18, 2012

Obama holds 3-point lead in Colorado

Raleigh, N.C. –
PPP's newest Colorado poll finds Barack Obama holding onto a small lead over
Mitt Romney, 50/47. That's down from a 51/45 advantage before the first Presidential
debate and matches the smallest lead PPP has found for Obama in the state all
year.

Romney's seen the same kind of improvement in his image in Colorado that he
has throughout the country this month. In September his favorability was a net
-6 spread with 45% of voters seeing him favorably to 51% with a negative
opinion. That's improved by 5 points to -1 at 48/49. Meanwhile Obama's seen a
slight decline in his numbers, with his approval dipping from positive ground
at 50/47 to break even at 49/49.

Obama's continuing to lead thanks largely to a 51/42 advantage with
independents. There's a large generational gap in Colorado with voters under 65
supporting Obama 51/46, but seniors preferring Romney 55/43. Romney has a
narrow advantage with white voters at 50/47, but Obama more than offsets that
with big leads among Hispanics (59/38) and other non-white voters (59/29).

Obama has the trust advantage on both the economy (50/46) and Libya (50/44),
lending more credence to the thought that Romney botched that issue during the
debate on Tuesday. When Gary Johnson is included in the poll he gets 4% and
pulls more from Romney than Obama, pushing the President's lead up to 49/44.

“Barack Obama still has the lead in Colorado but it’s a tenuous one,” said
Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “The race is the closest it’s
been all year and it’s trended in Mitt Romney’s direction over the last month.”

Democrats lead the generic legislative ballot 47/42, including a 46/32 lead
with independent voters. John Hickenlooper continues to be one of the most
popular Governors in the country. 54% of voters approve of the job he's doing
to 23% who disapprove, and he leads a generic Republican opponent 56/31.

PPP surveyed 1,000
likely voters from October 16th to 18th. The margin of error for the
survey is +/-3.1%. This poll was not paid for
or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are
conducted through automated telephone interviews.

Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q3 The candidates for President are DemocratBarack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. Ifthe election was today, who would you votefor?Barack Obama................................................ 50%Mitt Romney.................................................... 47%Undecided....................................................... 3%

Q8 Generally speaking, if there was an election forthe state legislature today, would you voteDemocratic or Republican?Democratic............. .47%Republican............. .42%Not sure ................. .11%

Q9 Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or notat all excited about voting in the 2012elections?Very excited ........... .62%Somewhat excited . .26%Not at all excited .... .11%

Q11 Generally speaking, if there was an electiontoday, would you vote for Democratic JohnHickenlooper or his Republican opponent?John Hickenlooper . .56%Republicanopponent.................31%Not sure ................. .13%

Q13 Generally speaking, if there was an electiontoday, would you vote for Democrat Mark Udallor his Republican opponent?Mark Udall.............. .47%Republicanopponent.................39%Not sure ................. .15%

Q16 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.Woman ........................................................... 53%Man................................................................. 47%

Q17 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.Democrat ........................................................ 38%Republican...................................................... 35%Independent/Other.......................................... 27%

Q19 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.18 to 29........................................................... 18%30 to 45........................................................... 30%46 to 65........................................................... 35%Older than 65.................................................. 17%

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