With
removing Obama from office being the highest priority in America today,
I decided to study the landscape of the 2012 election myself, taking
nothing for granted and a very realistic look at how the 2012 Presidential
race is likely to shape up by November.

You
are about to see why I started saying in 2008, that Obama will be nearly
impossible to remove from office if allowed to complete his first term,
no matter how ugly his first term record would become. Here’s
why I was saying that…

Mitt
Romney is a lock for the GOP nomination based upon 53.2% of the popular
primary vote and 73% of the official GOP delegate count. Santorum in
2nd and Gingrich in 3rd are out of the race and Ron Paul is sitting
at 11.2% of the popular vote, 6% in the delegate count. Barring any
unforeseen miracles, Mitt Romney will emerge from the GOP Convention
as the GOP nominee for the office of President. How people feel about
that is an entirely different discussion left for another day.

Still,
the Real Clear Politics poll averages shows Romney in a popular vote
statistical tie with Obama in a head-to-head fight for the White House,
despite Obama’s disastrous first term record on all fronts. 48
states are winner-takes-all in the Electoral College rules. Only Nebraska
and Maine use a proportionate split based on popular vote margins, which
is essentially a non-factor here.

What
will Romney have to do to defeat Obama?

No
matter what polling data indicates, Romney will begin his post-convention
race to the White House with a significant disadvantage. Polling data
might indicate a statistical tie in popular vote, but the delegate race
isn’t even close.

There
are only 17 solidly Republican states at present that will vote for
the GOP nominee almost no matter who the nominee might be. Those 17
states represent only 146 of 538 delegates, or 270 needed to squeak
out a victory.

There
are 20 solidly Democrat states (counting DC’s 3 delegates)
representing 242 Electoral College delegates. These delegates will go
to the DNC candidate no matter whom the candidate is…

The
baseline starting point for the post-convention White House race is
Obama 242 – Romney 146. Romney starts with a 96 delegate deficit
and will only have a few opportunities to overcome Obama in a race for
the 270 delegates needed to win the Electoral College race.

Obama
needs 28 more delegates to win. Romney needs 124… There are only
150 delegates in play, as you will soon see.

What
States are in play?

At
best, there are only 14 states in play in 2012. The other 36 states
plus D.C. are entirely predictable.

Five
of these states, Arkansas, Colorado, Kentucky, Louisiana and Oklahoma,
are Democrat leaning states demographically, but they all voted against
Barack Obama in 2008 and they are very likely to vote against Barack
Obama again in 2012. Romney can pick up 38 additional delegates here,
but it is not guaranteed. Romney needs at least 86 more even if he holds
all five of these states…

Five
more states, Indiana, Iowa, Nevada, Ohio and Virginia lean Republican
demographically, but voted for Obama in 2008. All five of these states
have Republican Governors now and their influence in turning their states
from Obama in 2008 to Romney in 2012 is key to Romney picking up the
54 delegates represented by these states. Romney will still need 32
more delegates even if he can carry ALL ten of these states.

The
Tea Party will also be key to Romney carrying these ten states. If Tea
Party groups from all across the country focus their energies in the
real battleground states, Romney can likely carry these states narrowing
the margin to just those four states that will truly be a battle.

The
only states left in play after that are Florida, New Hampshire, North
Carolina and Wisconsin, representing 58 delegates. All four of these
states broke for Obama in 2008. Romney will have to win at least 32
of these 58 delegates in order to defeat Obama in November. He must
win three of the four, New Hampshire being the least important strictly
due to delegate count.

What
are the Odds?

Romney
cannot win without holding Arkansas, Colorado, Kentucky, Louisiana and
Oklahoma. In addition, he will have to convert Indiana, Iowa, Nevada,
Ohio and Virginia and pick up an additional 32 delegates from Florida,
New Hampshire, North Carolina and Wisconsin. He will need at least 13
of the 14 states that are in play!

In
other words, Romney will pretty much have to win every state except
the hardcore Democrat states with 242 delegates that Obama already has
in the bag. Romney will have to turn the entire nation RED, or at least
29 of the 50 states. He will have to have a sea to sea landslide in
order to remove Obama from office. Like those odds?

That’s
before we take DNC voter fraud into account…

Democrat
voter fraud was massive in 2008. It will be multiplied exponentially
in 2012.

Florida
is trying to remove over 50,000 DEAD voters from their voter registry
right now, not counting illegal voters, and Obama’s Justice Department
is suing Florida to keep those DEAD voters in the game. Other states
are experiencing similar issues.

SEIU
controls the voting machines in this country and international leftists
in Spain will be counting the votes from many of the states this year.
Odds getting better?

The
lame-stream press and Hollyweird will be 100% in Obama’s pocket
and doing all they can to destroy the Romney family for the next five
months. Picture looking brighter now?

Obama
has such a clear advantage in delegate count that the popular vote almost
doesn’t matter. He only needs to succeed a little in the fraudulent
voter department, to keep Romney from picking up ALL of the delegates
he must pick up to win.

Then
We have the Paul Factor

Rand
Paul is signaling party unity with his recent endorsement of Mitt Romney,
which angered many Ron Paul supporters causing them to turn on Rand.
Although Ron Paul has suspended his campaign in the remaining primary
states, he has not yet officially closed down his campaign and many
supporters are still speculating on opportunities to disrupt the GOP
convention, which will of course open the door even further for Obama’s
re-election.

Republican
and conservative Paul supporters are already making the migration to
Romney, recognizing that removing Obama from office is job #1 in America
circa 2012.

Democrat
supporters are perhaps the angriest Paul fans, as they became Paul supporters
in 2008 when Paul was the only anti-war, pro-gay, pro-legalized marijuana
candidate in the race.

Independents
broke for Obama in 2008. But some independents saw hope in the anti-establishment
message of Ron and Rand Paul. With Ron essentially out of the game,
these voters will likely follow Rand Paul’s lead, or stay home
on Election Day.

That
leaves Paul’s hardcore 21st Century Libertarian supporters and
I have no clue what they will do on November 6, 2012. Many promise to
break to a 3rd Party candidate or stay home. But as the country worsens
under the Obama cabal, some may eventually drop the Libertarian agenda
in favor of the American agenda of stopping Obama’s destruction
of our country. One can hope…

The
VP Pick

Who
Romney chooses as a running mate may be pivotal and this will be no
easy task. He has no choice but to choose someone who can inspire voters
not currently inspired by Romney or Obama.

Yet,
he cannot choose an ineligible running mate like Marco Rubio or Bobby
Jindal, no matter how popular they might be among RNC insiders.

Close
attention should be paid to the States in play when choosing a running
mate.

No
Matter How You Look at It

Mitt
Romney is a long shot with odds in the single digits. All the stars
will have to align for Romney and more specifically, against Obama,
in order for Romney to win.

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But
no matter the overwhelming odds, removing Obama and Clinton from office
is a necessary goal that we simply must find a way to accomplish.

I
can’t imagine any higher priority in America today. Time and resources
spent on anything else will be time and resources wasted. If Obama and
Clinton are not removed from office, nothing else the people do will
matter.

From
my perspective, Romney is no prize. But America is in a corner, between
a rock and a hard place. Those who cannot stomach a “lesser evil”
will have to learn to live with a much greater evil, again.

JB Williams
is a business man, a husband, a father, and a writer. A no nonsense
commentator on American politics, American history, and American philosophy.
He is published nationwide and in many countries around the world. He
is also a Founder of Freedom Force USA and a staunch conservative actively
engaged in returning the power to the right people in America.

You
are about to see why I started saying in 2008, that Obama will be nearly
impossible to remove from office if allowed to complete his first term,
no matter how ugly his first term record would become.