Monday, June 14, 2010

Voting Time

Here are the finalists on where we'll poll this weekend, voting is open until Thursday morning:

-Georgia. I still think this is a bit of a sleeper Senate race with Johnny Isakson posting mediocre approval numbers the last time we polled there. And the Governor's race is very competitive as well.

-Maine. It would be interesting to see how the Governor's race looks now that the field is set and I'm also always interested in seeing Olympia Snowe's approval numbers, particularly among Republicans.

-New Mexico. Another one where the Governor's race is now set and the other good thing about polling the state is that with only 3 Congressional districts we can take a look at each of its House races as well.

-Ohio. Not exactly an under polled state but we haven't looked at it in three months. It seems like things are looking up for both Ted Strickland and Lee Fisher and I'm interested to see if our figures corroborate that.

-Oregon. The post-primary polling on this now set Governor's race has somewhat surprisingly shown Republican Chris Dudley ahead. I'm curious to see if we confirm that.

-Pennsylvania. There really hasn't been all that much post primary Sestak-Toomey polling. With Sestak's victory over Arlen Specter now four weeks in the rear view mirror does he still have the momentum?

-Texas. For the second biggest state in the country Texas sure is under polled. The Governor's race is important but my greatest interest here might be seeing public opinion on what conference voters want the Longhorns and the Aggies playing in next year.

-Washington. One of the biggest races we haven't polled yet this cycle- or is it even a big race? There's not a lot of consensus in the Patty Murray-Dino Rossi polling to data.

-Wisconsin. The conventional wisdom was that this race would only be competitive if Tommy Thompson took the plunge but Russ Feingold's approval numbers haven't been overwhelming- they have been solid, just not phenomenal. Worth a look.

21 comments:

DBL
said...

While several Senate races interest me the prospect of getting a few actual House polls puts New Mexico over the top. You surprised people by showing NM-3 might be competitive. Could they all be in play?

I suppose you could poll Maine's two districts, but I'd be surprised if either Scontras or Levesque were within 10 points. Most of the experts have 84-105 Democratic seats in play and only RCP has Maine 1 listed as high as "Likely Democrat."

I'm a Washington resident who voted for polling PA. If you poll WA, please poll Didier as well as Rossi. I live in Lakewood and I see Didier bumper stickers and signs as well as Murray but no visible signs of Rossi support in my area. I'm interested to see the depth of Didier support. The Republican PC in my precinct thinks Didier will win the primary and that November will be a Murray-Didier contest.

I really think if Maine gets it you should also include so House numbers. Maine has never been super Democratic and could possibly be joining neighboring New Hampshire in turning against the Democrats.

If you poll Maine, do break down results by congressional district and include all of the gubernatorial candidates -- well, at least the Republican and Democratic candidates and independents Cutler and Moody.

Write-in vote: Would it be possible for you to poll SC and include a question "Who did you vote for in the Democratic Senate primary?" (with similar questions about the governor/etc. primaries as a control group.)

"Write-in vote: Would it be possible for you to poll SC and include a question "Who did you vote for in the Democratic Senate primary?" (with similar questions about the governor/etc. primaries as a control group.)"

That would be very, very interesting, but we want to broaden our horizons after doing SC twice in the last month, including the weekend before the primary.

"Jensen did you poll Carol Mosley Braun's favoribles in Il. I'm interested to see how she is currently viewed by them."

I'd say Texas from these choices, but what I'd really like to see polled are some House races in Minnesota. You guys polled MN-06 once, so either polling that again or polling MN-03, where Erik Paulsen is running for a second term in an Obama district would be interesting.