The Endless War: Saudi Arabia Goes on the Offensive Against Iran

Saudi Arabia has gone on the offensive against Iran to protect its interests.
Their involvement in Syria is the first battle in what is going to be a long
bloody conflict that will know no frontiers or limits.

Ongoing Disorders in the island kingdom of Bahrain since February of 2011
have set off alarm bells in Riyadh. The Saudis are convinced that Iran is directing
the protests and fear that the problems will spill over the twenty-five kilometer
long COSWAY into oil rich Al-Qatif, where The bulk of the two million Shia
in the kingdom are concentrated. So far, the Saudis have not had to deal with
demonstrations a serious as those in Bahrain, but success in the island kingdom
could encourage the protestors to become more violent.

Protecting the oil is the first concern of the government. Oil is the sole
source of the national wealth and it is managed by the state owned Saudi Aramco
Corporation. The monopoly of political power by the members of the Saud family
means that all of the wealth of the kingdom is their personal property. Saudi
Arabia is a company country with the twenty-eight million citizens the responsibility
of the Saud Family rulers.

The customary manner of dealing with a problem by the patriarchal regime is
to bury it in money. King Abdullah announced at the height of the Arab Spring
that he was increasing the national budget by 130 billion dollars to be spent
over the coming five years. Government salaries and the minimum wage were raised.
New housing and other benefits are to be provided. At the same time, he plans
to expand the security forces by sixty
thousand men.

While the Saudi king seeks to sooth the unrest among the general population
by adding more government benefits, he will not grant any concessions to the
eight percent of the population that is Shia. He takes seriously the warning
by King Abdullah of Jordan back in 2004 of the danger of a Shia Crescent that
would extend from the coast of Lebanon to Afghanistan. Hezbollah in Lebanon,
Assad in Syria, and the Shia controlled government of Iraq form the links in
the chain.

When the Arab Spring reached Syria, the leaders in Riyadh were given the weapon
to break the chain. Appeals from tribal leaders under attack in Syria to kinsmen
in the Gulf States for assistance could not be ignored. The various blinks
between the Gulf States in several Syrian tribes means that Saudi Arabia and
its close ally Qatar have connections that include at least three million people
out of the Syrian populations of twenty-three million. To show how deep the
bonds go, the leader of the Nijris Tribe in Syria is married to a woman from
the Saud Family.

It is no wonder that Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal said in
February that arming the Syrian rebels was an "excellent idea." He
was supported by Qatari Prime Minister Hamad bin Jassim al-Thani who said, "We
should do whatever necessary to help [the Syrian opposition], including giving
them weapons to defend themselves." The intervention has the nature of a family
and tribal issue that the prominent Saudi cleric Aidh al-Qarni has turned into
a Sunni-Shia War by promoting Assad's death.

The Saudis and their Qatar and United Arab Emirate allies have pledged one
hundred million dollars to pay wages to the fighters. Many of the officers
of the Free Syrian Army are from tribes connected to the Gulf. In effect, the
payment of wages is paying members of associated tribes.

Here, the United States is not a welcomed partner, except as a supplier of
arms. Saudi Arabia sees the role of the United States limited to being a wall
of steel to protect the oil wealth of the Kingdom and the Gulf States from
Iranian aggression. In February of 1945, President Roosevelt at a meeting in
Egypt with Abdel Aziz bin Saud, the founder of modern Saudi Arabia, pledged
to defend the kingdom in exchange for a steady flow of oil.

Since those long ago days when the U.S. was establishing Pax Americana, the
Saudis have lost their trust in the wisdom or the reliability of American policy
makers. The Saudis urged the U.S. not to invade Iraq in 2003 only to have them
ignore Saudi interests in maintaining an Iraqi buffer zone against Iran. The
Saudis had asked the U.S. not to leave a Shia dominated government in Baghdad
that would threaten the Northern frontier of the Kingdom, only to have the
last American soldiers depart in December 2011. With revolution sweeping across
the Middle East, Washington abandoned President Mubarak of Egypt, Saudi Arabia's
favorite non royal leader in the region.

Worried by the possibility of Iranian sponsored insurrections among Shia in
the Gulf States, the Saudis are asserting their power in the region while they
have the advantage. For thirty years, they have been engaged in a proxy war
with the Islamic Republic of Iran. Syria is to be the next battlefield, but
here, there is a critical difference from what were minor skirmishes in Lebanon,
Yemen, and elsewhere. The Saudis with the aid of Qatar, and the UAE is striking
at the core interests of Tehran; and they have through their tribal networks
the advantage over an isolated Islamic Republic.

Tribal and kinship relations are being augmented by the infusion of the Salafi
vision of Islam that is growing in the Gulf States. Money from the Gulf States
has gone into the development of religious centers to spread the fundamentalist
belief. A critical part of the ideology is to be anti-Shia.

Salafism in Saudi Arabia is promulgated by the Wahhabi School of Islam. The
Wahhabi movement began in the eighteenth century and promoted a return to the
fundamentalism of the early followers of the Faith.

The Sauds incorporated the religious movement into their leadership of the
tribes. When the modern state of Saudi Arabia was formed, they were granted
control of the educational system and much else in the society in exchange
for the endorsement of the authoritarian rule.

When the Kingdom used its growing wealth in the 1970s to extend its interests
far from the traditional territory in the battle against the atheistic Soviet
Union, the Wahhabi clergy became missionaries in advancing their ideology through
religious institutions to oppose the Soviets. More than two hundred thousand
jihadists were sent into Afghanistan to fight the Soviet forces and succeeded
in driving them out.

There is no longer a Soviet Union to confront. Today, the enemy is the Islamic
Republic of Iran with what is described by the Wahhabis as a heretical form
of Islam and its involvement in the Shia communities across the region. For
thirteen centuries, the Shia have been kept under control. With the hand of
Iran in the form of the Qud Force reaching into restless communities that number
as many as one hundred and six million people in what is the heart of the Middle
East, the Saudis see a desperate need to crush the foe before it has the means
to pull down the privileged position of the Saud Family and the families of
the other Gulf State rulers.

The war begins in Syria where we can expect that a successor government to
Assad will be declared soon in the Saudi controlled tribal areas even before
Assad is defeated. The territory is likely to adopt the more fundamentalist
principals of the Salafists as it serves as a stepping stone to Iran Itself.
It promises to be a bloody protracted war that will recognize no frontier and
will know no limits by all of the participants.

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