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Rules Quiz - Port Starboard with a windshift

Boats S (blue, on starboard tack) and P (yellow, on port tack) are both sailing close-hauled and are converging on a beat. P will safely cross S. However, when they are less than 2 boat-lengths apart, the wind shifts to the right ten degrees. S heads up (changes her course) in response to the windshift such that P is unable to keep clear. There is minor contact with no damage or injury, and both boats protest. You are on the protest committee. How would you decide this and why?