Tuesday, October 13, 2015

New Totals with Twin Cities 2015

Alright folks, with Twin Cities added to the totals we are looking at the following Age Group qualifier data:

AG

2014 Qualifiers

2014 AG Total

% Qualifiers

2015 Qualifiers

2015 AG Total

% Qualifiers

F18-34

320

2984

10.72%

310

2774

11.18%

F35-39

204

1295

15.75%

191

1199

15.93%

F40-44

160

995

16.08%

149

930

16.02%

F45-49

140

613

22.84%

142

616

23.05%

F50-54

77

431

17.87%

97

417

23.26%

F55-59

53

244

21.72%

47

219

21.46%

F60-64

25

98

25.51%

18

98

18.37%

F65-69

9

26

34.62%

10

33

30.30%

F70-74

0

7

0.00%

1

5

20.00%

F75-79

0

2

0.00%

0

1

0.00%

F80+

0

0

0.00%

0

1

0.00%

M18-34

245

2601

9.42%

203

2463

8.24%

M35-39

137

1231

11.13%

130

1274

10.20%

M40-44

124

1146

10.82%

129

1130

11.42%

M45-49

176

974

18.07%

136

913

14.90%

M50-54

150

809

18.54%

138

780

17.69%

M55-59

106

601

17.64%

81

565

14.34%

M60-64

56

298

18.79%

57

306

18.63%

M65-69

32

143

22.38%

28

129

21.71%

M70-74

19

60

31.67%

9

45

20.00%

M75-79

2

12

16.67%

6

17

35.29%

M80+

0

1

0.00%

1

5

20.00%

Totals

2035

14571

15.46%

1883

13920

16.91%

Still trending with higher qualification percentages, but lower number of qualifiers.

2014 Margins as a percentage:

AG

< 1 min

1 - 2 min

2 - 3 min

3 - 4 min

4 - 5 min

5 - 10 min

10 - 20 min

20 > min

F18-34

4.38%

6.88%

6.56%

4.06%

5.94%

20.31%

25.00%

26.88%

F35-39

5.88%

4.41%

7.35%

5.88%

5.39%

22.06%

26.47%

22.55%

F40-44

6.25%

5.63%

7.50%

6.25%

3.13%

25.00%

22.50%

23.75%

F45-49

4.29%

4.29%

8.57%

4.29%

7.14%

16.43%

22.86%

32.14%

F50-54

6.49%

7.79%

5.19%

1.30%

3.90%

18.18%

35.06%

22.08%

F55-59

1.89%

0.00%

0.00%

1.89%

3.77%

18.87%

37.74%

35.85%

F60-64

12.00%

0.00%

4.00%

8.00%

12.00%

20.00%

28.00%

16.00%

F65-69

11.11%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

11.11%

11.11%

33.33%

33.33%

F70-74

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

F75-79

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

F80+

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

M18-34

6.53%

6.12%

4.08%

2.86%

6.53%

20.00%

24.49%

29.39%

M35-39

8.03%

4.38%

2.92%

8.03%

9.49%

21.17%

29.20%

16.79%

M40-44

10.48%

8.06%

8.06%

3.23%

5.65%

19.35%

27.42%

17.74%

M45-49

8.52%

5.68%

7.39%

3.98%

3.98%

18.18%

29.55%

22.73%

M50-54

6.00%

7.33%

4.00%

2.67%

4.00%

24.00%

23.33%

28.67%

M55-59

3.77%

3.77%

6.60%

3.77%

2.83%

23.58%

24.53%

31.13%

M60-64

3.57%

5.36%

1.79%

1.79%

5.36%

19.64%

23.21%

39.29%

M65-69

9.38%

6.25%

3.13%

3.13%

3.13%

21.88%

21.88%

31.25%

M70-74

0.00%

0.00%

5.26%

10.53%

0.00%

10.53%

21.05%

52.63%

M75-79

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

50.00%

0.00%

50.00%

M80+

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

4.94%

3.45%

3.75%

3.26%

4.24%

17.29%

20.71%

24.19%

2015 Margins as a percentage:

AG

< 1 min

1 - 2 min

2 - 3 min

3 - 4 min

4 - 5 min

5 - 10 min

10 - 20 min

20 > min

F18-34

2.90%

3.55%

3.55%

6.13%

3.87%

21.29%

28.39%

30.32%

F35-39

5.24%

6.81%

4.71%

5.76%

2.09%

22.51%

28.27%

24.61%

F40-44

2.68%

7.38%

3.36%

4.70%

6.04%

22.15%

22.15%

31.54%

F45-49

4.93%

7.75%

1.41%

6.34%

3.52%

20.42%

23.94%

31.69%

F50-54

4.12%

4.12%

9.28%

5.15%

6.19%

12.37%

22.68%

36.08%

F55-59

2.13%

4.26%

6.38%

0.00%

2.13%

8.51%

42.55%

34.04%

F60-64

0.00%

5.56%

11.11%

5.56%

0.00%

11.11%

22.22%

44.44%

F65-69

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

10.00%

40.00%

50.00%

F70-74

100.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

F75-79

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

F80+

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

M18-34

6.90%

7.39%

3.45%

7.39%

3.94%

25.12%

23.15%

22.66%

M35-39

5.38%

2.31%

6.15%

6.15%

6.92%

21.54%

31.54%

20.00%

M40-44

10.08%

6.20%

3.10%

3.88%

1.55%

27.13%

24.03%

24.03%

M45-49

8.09%

5.15%

7.35%

5.15%

2.94%

18.38%

24.26%

28.68%

M50-54

3.62%

1.45%

3.62%

6.52%

7.25%

21.74%

29.71%

26.09%

M55-59

4.94%

3.70%

4.94%

2.47%

3.70%

8.64%

34.57%

37.04%

M60-64

3.51%

7.02%

3.51%

7.02%

5.26%

19.30%

21.05%

33.33%

M65-69

3.57%

3.57%

0.00%

10.71%

3.57%

21.43%

28.57%

28.57%

M70-74

0.00%

0.00%

11.11%

0.00%

0.00%

33.33%

11.11%

44.44%

M75-79

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

33.33%

0.00%

66.67%

M80+

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

100.00%

7.64%

3.46%

3.77%

3.77%

2.68%

16.29%

20.83%

32.47%

Similar pattern continues, trending towards qualifying with more time - though these averages will be skewed by age groups with few qualifiers (see F70-74 - makes the <1 min group look bigger). Kind of why I don't really know that I like the age group margin breakdown as it gets a little weird in the smaller qualifying age groups.

Now for the number everyone cares about. What is the current prediction.