BIS Oxford Economics

BIS Shrapnel are excited to announce that Oxford Economics, one of the world’s foremost independent global advisory firms has acquired a controlling stake in BIS Shrapnel. The new company will be renamed BIS Oxford Economics.

Strategic. Thinking.

Choose from a wide range of subscription services and syndicated reports covering Australia, New Zealand, Asia and beyond. Commission a research project. Access our extensive online database. Work with our experienced team of senior strategists.

Building Forecasting

BIS Oxford Economics is known for its analysis and forecasts of the construction industry. We help clients see where residential and non-residential building markets are heading next across Australia, New Zealand and throughout Asia.

Residential Property

BIS Oxford Economics forecasts house prices by Australian capital city and residential markets by state. We have extensive expertise in forecasting the housing market for investors and owner-occupiers, along with having a thorough understanding of demographic trends.

Commercial Property

BIS Oxford Economics has been forecasting movements in Australian commercial property markets since 1988. Our reports on the office, retail, large format retail, hotels and industrial sectors focus on future market trends and what they mean for our clients.

Economics

BIS Oxford Economics compiles detailed research and forecasts for the Australian economy. Over the last 50+ years BIS Oxford Economics has earned an outstanding reputation for picking the major shifts and turning points in the economy.

Infrastructure and Mining

BIS Oxford Economics is highly regarded for its research and forecasting in the infrastructure construction, maintenance, mining, energy and utilities and related sectors. The company publishes numerous multi-client reports and undertakes commissioned projects for clients.

Household Appliances and Products

Forestry

BIS Oxford Economics provides independent analysis and forecasting of wood product markets in Australia, New Zealand, the Pacific Rim, North and South America and Europe. Gain a better understanding of demand, supply and prices in the timber industry world-wide.

Latest analysis from Australia

Households continue to exert a drag on the economy, with the Q4 retail turnover data confirming a broadly subdued picture for spending. But continued strong growth in employment presents some upside...

As expected the RBA kept the cash rate at 1.5%. The Board remains concerned about weak household income growth and consumer spending, but they expect net exports and non-mining business investment and...

Australia’s trade balance slid to a $628m deficit in November, following a downward revision of the October data. Non-rural and services exports both grew by 2% but total exports were broadly flat on...

Growth in Q3 was broadly in line with our forecast, with the economy expanding by 0.6% q/q after an upwardly revised 0.9% expansion in Q2. Private investment was the key driver of demand, contributing...

Australia’s trade surplus tumbled to just A$105m in October, led by a 2.8% m/m drop in exports. The fall in exports was broad-based, with goods decreasing by 3.1% over the month and services by 1.6%....

Jobs growth has been exceptionally robust in 2017 and the unemployment rate has dropped down to 5.4%, prompting some analysts to speculate that there is a case for the central bank to start tightening...

As widely expected, the Board of the Reserve Bank of Australia leftthe cash rate unchanged at 1.5%. The Board noted that global growth momentum remains solid, and that forward-looking indicators for...

Australia’s trade surplus surged to A$1.7bn in September, driven by a 2.9% m/m increase in exports. The pick-up in exports was broad-based, with goods increasing 3.3% over the month and services 1.4%....

Unlike some developed economies, we do not expect the RBA to begin tightening policy in the near term (our previous article discusses the interest rate outlook ). And when the cash rate does begin to...

The trade balance fell to a $460 million surplus in July, a further decline from the historically high levels seen in the first three months of 2017. Exports fell 2.2%, driven down by non-rural goods,...

In line with our forecast, Australia’s economy grew by 0.8% q/q in Q2 2017, equivalent to 1.8% on the year. Government expenditure was the key driver, with current consumption increasing by 1.2% q/q...

The trade balance closed out FY17 with a $0.9 billion surplus, cooling on the back of a strong surplus in May. Driving this was a softening of non-rural exports (-3.6%m/m), while goods imports picked...

As widely expected, the Board of the Reserve Bank decided to maintain the cash rate at 1.5%. The Board highlighted continued improvements in the global economy and strong employment growth over recent...

Building and Construction in Taiwan consists of an annual country report, plus three quarterly updates, and a ‘hotline’ consultancy which allows subscribers to access the consultants involved in the...

​The recent rise in global bond yields reflects both ‘good’ news in the form of stronger growth and possibly also concerns about higher inflation. A possible risk to the global economy in the coming...

The broad rise in bond yields in the advanced economies since the start of the year appears to mainly reflect changes in the implied policy path for interest rates and higher term premia, rather than...

Despite the recent economic strength filtering through to higher market-based inflation expectations, we still consider the upside risks to our CPI inflation forecasts for the advanced economies to be...

​Economic and cultural stresses have eased a little over the past year, based on our updated European populism scorecard. Yet stress levels remain elevated in some countries, most notably in Italy and...

​In our global macro chartbook for January, we summarise our views on current global themes and asset markets, and link to our research highlights over the last month. This month, we focus on how last...

​Prospects for key drivers suggest this period of macro-stability is as durable as the so-called Great Stability (1990-2006), which in turn may prolong the boost to the global economy and asset prices...

​World GDP growth is on course to strengthen in the coming months, based on our analysis of central banks’ credit standards surveys, which show looser corporate credit conditions in the G7 countries...

Growth in global consumer spending power is set to accelerate again in 2018, thanks to stabilising energy bills, positive labour market dynamics, and, in some emerging markets, easing borrowing costs....

​In our global macro chartbook for December, we summarise our views on current global themes and asset markets, and link to our research highlights over the last month. We focus on our above-consensus...

​Most leading indicators of world trade point to growth remaining robust in the next few months, but there are some headwinds, especially from Asia. Overall, we expect trade growth to decelerate next...

A breakdown of recent labour market trends shows that stronger-than-expected labour supply growth in the advanced economies has been broad based. For the majority, the surprise has been partly driven...

We head into 2018 in a fairly optimistic mood. The current upswing is more broadly based than any other since the global financial crisis, and – unusually by recent standards – the new year approaches...

​The global economy may have entered a sustained period of stability. We find that: (i) global macro volatility has plummeted (it’s not just the VIX!); (ii) economic surprises have become more muted;...

Recent Consulting Projects

Growth Areas for Warehousing

A materials handling company engaged BIS Oxford Economics to assist its regional growth strategy, by identifying local areas with the strongest potential nationwide over the next five years in demand for warehousing, transport and distribution services. We provided a PDF report plus supporting charts and figures.

BIS Oxford Economics conducted a research project for a government agency to understand the extent and incidence of insolvency in the construction sector, and to forecast the projected rate of insolvency over the next 5 years. The findings helped the agency concerned to shape an appropriate policy response.

A major funds manager commissioned BIS Oxford Economics to model the demand for selected building materials in the Australian market. The resulting forecasting tool allows the client to inform its investment decisions through a robust understanding of the evolution in building materials intensity.