Thursday, October 25, 2012

Sixty Percent of the Time, It Works Everytime

Last week continued my 60% success rate with another 3-2
record. Slow and steady wins the race.

Last week

3-2 SU

3-2 ATS

Season Stats

31-8 SU

22-15 ATS

K-State @ Texas
Tech +7.5

K-State is on a roll with Collin Klein destroying Geno Smith
and the rest of the Mountaineers’ hope of any national recognition last weekend.
Texas Tech is playing inspired football, too, since their loss to Oklahoma and
can create a tie for first place in the conference by winning on Saturday. Tech
has probably the toughest defense K-State has seen to date, with the exception
of Oklahoma, and an offense that can score.

K-State wins a close one, closer than the 7.5

Baylor @ Iowa State
-2.5

Iowa State is in need of a Quarterback. Any Quarterback will
do. Barnett and Jantz have exhausted their abilities. However, they have been
missing their starting running back, White, and last week sorely missed #19,
Jared Lentz, both of whom could start again this week. Baylor has the worst
defense in the league by far. The good thing for both teams this week is
nothing makes a weak defense look good than a bad offense (see Oklahoma State’s
stats against Iowa State), and vise versa. We’ll see which wins on Saturday; a
totally movable object or a destructible force.

My guess; Iowa State gets back on track with a win.

Texas A&M @
Auburn +14

The Chiczk Countdown continues and this week stands at 30
days before he is ultimately released from his head coaching duties. Texas
A&M may expedite his departure, however. This could be a trap game for
Texas A&M, however. They are coming off a crushing loss to the LSU Tigers
and have undefeated Mississippi State and Alabama looming over their schedule
the following two weeks. This sandwich game could get the best of them. I
wouldn’t be surprised if Auburn pulls off the upset here, but I certainly think
they’ll do just enough to lose by less than 14

Take Auburn and the points

UNLV @ San Diego
State -18

I heard recently that UNLV is the best 1-7 team in the
nation. What high accolades. They are 6-2 ATS this season, and have proven they
can keep games close-ish. San Diego State is not afraid to score, so
that is a little scary, but I believe 18 is too much to give here.

Take UNLV and the points

GOTW

Notre Dame @ Oklahoma
-10

Notre Dame’s schedule looked daunting at the beginning of
the season with early matchups with Michigan and Michigan State. After nine
weeks of football, however, it is less than stellar. I was high on the Fighting
Irish early on too, but their offense is starting to show its true colors and
as Iowa State fans can attest, that will lead to some losses against better
talent. Oklahoma has the better talent and Bob Stoop’s Sooners are nearly
unbeatable at home. Ten is a lot on paper, but I do not see this being a close
game at all.