Monday, April 25, 2011

Conservative Majority, NDP Official Opposition

I suspect I will be moving a lot more Bloc seats to the NDP and possibly more Liberal seats to the Conservatives. As things stand, I have the Conservatives with a majority, NDP as the official opposition and Liberals well on their way sharing the fate of Progressive Conservatives.

Conservative pick ups

Kingston and the Islands from the Liberals
Brampton West from the Liberals
Brampton Springdale from the Liberals
Avalon from the Liberals
Madawaska-Restigouche from the Liberals
Vancouver South form the Liberals
Yukon from the Liberals
Winnipeg South Centre from the Liberals
Eglinton-Lawrence from the Liberals
York Center from the Liberals
Don Valley West from the Liberals
Ajax Pickering from the Liberals
Mississauga South from the Liberals
Richmond Hill from the Liberals
Guelph from the Liberals
London North Center from the Liberals
Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe from the Liberals
Malpeque from the Liberals
Mississauga-Streetsville from Liberals
Bramalea-Gore-Malton from Liberals

NDP pick ups

Hull Aylmer from Liberals
Brossard-La Prairie from Liberals
Winnipeg North from the Liberals
Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca from the Liberals
Saint John's Mount Pearl from the Liberals

Jeanne-Le Ber from the Bloc
Ahuntsic from the Bloc
Compton-Stanstead form the Bloc
Alfred-Pellan from the Bloc
Laval from the Bloc
Brome-Missisquoi from the Bloc
Drummond from the Bloc
Gatineau from the Bloc
Saint-Lambert from the Bloc
Shefford from the Bloc

Vancouver Island North from the Conservatives
Pontiac from the Conservatives
Surrey North from the Conservatives
Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar from the Conservatives
Beauport-Limoilo from the Conservatives

It’s probably not the right time to say this, but despite his baggage I think Bob Rae would have been a better challenger to Harper. Ignatieff has done his best this campaign, but he simply conveys a right-wing impression to voters. Rae is clearly center-left and would have made a better foil for Harper. Further, Rae would have been better at neutralizing the NDP vote.