Want to figure out which bubble teams will make the NCAA tournament? You don't need to parse through every team's resume and try to understand the inner workings of the selection committee. Just follow this eight-word set of instructions:

Based on information compiled by The Bracket Project, this success rate looks to be about par for the course among reputable and nationally visible bracket forecasters, ones who actually go to the trouble of "following" all the "teams." EBS gets you to roughly this same level of accuracy with very little effort.

Assuming the EBS leader wins every conference's automatic bid, right now the In/Out at-large line would be drawn under Northwestern. But of course the EBS leader most likely will not win every auto-bid, and that's the biggest reason the bubble line is so hard to draw. If Murray State loses in the OVC tournament, someone else gets eliminated, regardless of their own quality. It's awfully tough to predict those events from here.