This is a bit more speculative a representation. The S & P and Down Jones Industrial Average are used in this comparison. The call (on a scale of 1 to 5) is multiplied by a factor so that a smoothed condition mean line is generated on the chart. The factor is arbitrary, it just makes the line fit on the chart in a reasonable location, so the directionality of the call line is relevant – not the degree.

The S & P appears as the red line and the average of the calls for each day (times a factor of 3000) appears in blue.

The DJI is multiplied by a factor of 3000 in the chart below.

Although it is not completely clear, it appears that stock picks tend to trail the market movement. For this reason they generally sound plausible. Calls tend to be more pessimistic at the time the market has been moving down.

5 of Cramer’s FavoritesA few of the stocks that Cramer has recommended in the last year qualify in a special way as “favorites.” They are the stocks that appear the most times in the data with only a buy recommendation.

Wynn Resorts (WYNN) had a range of $27.00 between the lowest and highest 19 buy recommendations.

Weatherford Int’l (WFT)

had a range of

$6.18 between its 16 buy recommendations.

NVIDIA (NVDA) had range of 9.05 between its 15 buy recommendations

Cypress Semiconductor (CY) had a range of 4.58 between its 13 buy recommendations.

Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) had a 17.03range in its 12 buy recommendations.

ConclusionWe are bombarded with predictions and promises regularly in the news and media. Over time, I have grown more and more suspicious of the ability of individuals to consistently predict stock prices by simply having a superficial knowledge of current market motions and a general awareness of current financial news.

I often think about verifying the claims, but often don’t have the time… figured I would at least take a cursory look. I hope this sort of thing becomes more common to keep the media honest.

At least Jim Cramer’s show is cast somewhat in the realm of entertainment. Again, I’ll refer you to Bill Alpert of Barrons who has done more extensive analysis and reporting on Cramer’s recommendations.