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NFL Picks

St. Louis Rams vs. Green Bay Packers Free Week 5 NFL Picks

St. Louis has gotten up for division games as they beat Seattle to open the season, then won at Arizona. Can they compete with the elite Packers in Green Bay?

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -10 +100 at Pinnacle
The NFL odds for this game opened at -10 for the Packers and that is where it has stayed, and while the Rams are supposed to have a great defense, it has been inconsistent. There is no room for inconsistency when you're playing Rodgers, who threw five touchdowns against the Chiefs, including three to Randall Cobb, and it doesn't seem to matter what happens, who gets hurt, or anything like that. And while Rodgers gets most of the headlines, Green Bay's defense has been excellent this season, ranking third in the league in points allowed. They're also the favorite to win the Super Bowl now as well, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see this line get to -11 by kickoff.

Injuries
LB Alec Ogletree had ankle surgery this week, although he won't go on the injuried-reserve list. Besides that, the Rams are going to Lambeau healthy, which is a good start if you want to take on the Packers in Green Bay.

T Bryan Bulaga is going to test his knee on some football-related activities this week and while he won't play this week, that is a start. WR Devante Adams is out of a walking boot at least, but again, he probably won't play this week for the Packers as he battles a sprained ankle.

Trends
The Rams have covered in just two of their last seven games, while the Packers have covered in their last five. They've also covered in eight of their last 10 at home to no one's surprise, while the Rams have split their last 10 ATS on the road.

The Packers are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 against the Rams, covering in six of those games. In Green Bay, the Packers are 7-3 SU against the Rams, but the two have split those 10 meetings ATS.