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Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks NBA Finals Game 6 Expert Tips, Picks, Odds and Predictions – NBA Playoffs Betting Tips 6/12/11: As the NBA Finals return to Miami, the Dallas Mavericks find themselves one win away from avenging a 2006 collapse in the Finals and celebrating the organization’s first championship. They also find themselves with a cushy 5 ½ points from the oddsmakers. Meanwhile, the Heat are facing a pair of must win games if they want to rally from a 3-2 deficit and live up to the lofty expectations placed on them from the start of the season. In what has already been a close, back-and-forth affair, the intensity level in Game 6 is only going to increase. It’s time to see which team can stand up to the pressure and get the job done in crunch time.

Based off what we’ve seen in the first five games of the series, the advantage has to go to the Mavericks. Dallas has owned the fourth quarter throughout the series. Led by the incredible shooting of Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas made a late charge in the first four games of the series, stealing away Game 2 and Game 4. In Game 5, the Mavericks didn’t need to stage a comeback, but they outplayed the heat once again in the final quarter, closing out Miami down the stretch.

The Heat have done the complete opposite throughout this series. Miami has completely abandoned its offense during the fourth quarter of games, becoming stagnant and settling for long jumpshots rather than continuing to penetrate and attack the rim. The result has been long scoreless stretches that have allowed the Mavericks to fight their way back into games, and on two occasions, snatch the victory away. Worse yet, two-time MVP LeBron James has been virtually nonexistent in the fourth quarter of games. James isn’t just missing shots. He isn’t even shooting. James may be one of the NBA’s elite players, but he has been invisible when the Heat have needed him the most.

Despite all the fourth quarter mishaps for Miami, the Heat do have home court advantage working in their favor in Game 6. That being said, Dallas was able to overcome a 15-point fourth quarter deficit in the final six minutes to win Game 2 in Miami. The Heat may be more comfortable playing in front of their home crowd, but the Mavericks certainly aren’t going to be intimidated. Home court advantage alone isn’t going to win Sunday’s game for Miami.

While the 3-2 deficit and the inexplicable play of James both have to be major concerns for the Heat, the tempo of Game 5 may be the most troublesome factor. Even in losing Game 2 and Game 4, Miami made the Mavericks play at their pace. In Game 5, Dallas made both teams plat at quicker pace, cracking 100 points for the first time in the series. The Mavericks finally established their 3-point shooters and made the heralded Miami defense look slow and exploitable.

Even though Miami has looked like the better team for longer stretches during this series, the end results are all that count, and Dallas has proven time and again they are the better team in crunch time. Home court advantage will be a factor as well as the stellar play of Dwyane Wade, but there are an awful lot of issues the Heat have to address. Can Miami really figure out how to recapture the tempo, slow down the Dallas offense, and get James straightened out amid the pressure of an elimination game in the NBA Finals?

When the Heat allowed Dallas to come back and win Game 2 instead of finishing them off, they gave the Mavericks hope. The confidence of Nowitzki and company has only grown since. Dallas has the momentum entering Game 6, and while the Heat search for answers, the Mavericks have a golden opportunity to win the title. Miami may be able to scratch out a win on sheer desperation, but the Mavericks will be in it until the end win or loss. Check the latest NBA lines and place bets at BookMaker Sportsbook – A+ Rated Sportsbook and “Where the Line Originates”!

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Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks NBA Finals Game 5 Free Tips, Lines, Odds, Props and Betting Markets – NBA Finals Betting 6/9/11: Another come from behind win by the Mavericks has this series knotted at 2-2 heading into Thursday night’s Game 5. This series has been remarkably evenly matched, and the last three games have each been decided by three points or less. All three contests have featured game-tying or game-winning shot attempts that have been missed at the buzzer. It is the first time since 1948 that three consecutive finals games have been decided by such a small margin, and if it happens again Thursday, it will be a new NBA record. The series has been so close, that neither team is favored in Thursday’s matchup.

If you break the series down minute by minute, the Miami Heat have been the superior team. However, a less than spectacular six-minute stretch in the fourth quarter of Game 2 and a nine-minute stretch in the fourth quarter Game 4 have proven to be very costly for Miami’s title hopes. Dallas almost seems comfortable playing from behind, and the Heat simply don’t have an answer for the late-game surges by the Mavericks. Essentially, the games are boiling down to whether or not Dallas has enough time to storm back or if the Heat are able to hang on. The contrast in styles has been equally effective for both teams thus far, and entering Game 5, neither team has been able to win back-to-back games.

In terms of pressure, the Mavericks probably need to win Game 5 more than the Heat do. The last thing the Mavericks want to do is leave their home court in a 3-2 hole because the chances of Dallas winning a Game 6 and Game 7 in Miami are slim. That being said, the Heat by no means want to head home down 3-2 either, but any team in the NBA would rather face two must win games at home than on the road.

The fourth quarter will likely decide things once again Thursday, and the play of LeBron James on both ends of he court will go a long way to determining which team emerges victorious. Through the first four games combined, James has tallied a lackluster 9 points on 3-12 shooting in the fourth quarter. Compare that to Dirk Nowitzki, who has poured in 44 points on 12-24 shooting, including a perfect 18-18 from the foul line, during fourth quarters if this series. Despite his lack of offensive contributions, the Heat have still been able to win the two games when James shut down Jason Terry in the final quarter. He doesn’t necessarily have to be the closer on offense, but the Heat need James to contribute on one end of the court if they are going to win.

Nowitzki and Dwyane Wade will continue to be the main scoring options for both sides, and it is safe to say that the finals MVP is going to Wade if Miami wins and Nowitzki if Dallas gets it done. The question at this point is whether either player will have an off game. Considering how great both have been thus far, there is always a chance it could happen. If Nowitzki sputters, Dallas is in serious trouble, while there is a chance that Miami’s other stars could overcome a rough night from Wade.

In the end, Game 5 is going to be decided by the play of James. He is either going to rebound from the worst playoff performance of his career with a statement game, or he is going to continue to be passive on both ends of the court. Unfortunately for Miami, the two-time MVP has shown few signs of having the confidence needed to live up to all the expectations on the biggest stage in the NBA. Look for Wade to continue to dominate, only to see another fourth quarter comeback by the Mavericks push the Heat to the brink of elimination.

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Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks NBA Finals Game 5 Expert Tips, Picks, Odds and Predictions – NBA Playoffs Betting Tips 6/9/11: Two time MVP LeBron James will remain in Dallas with his Miami Heat to take on the big German sharp shooter Dirk Nowitzki and the Dallas Mavericks for game 5 of the NBA Finals at the American Airlines Center at 9:00 PM ET on ABC Sports. The Mavericks evened the series 2-2 with a home victory on Tuesday evening leaving the Finals a best of 3 with tonight’s game the last at home for the Mavs before returning to Miami for the final game or two if necessary.

Nowitzki was sick on Tuesday with a temperature reportedly over 101 degrees but still came through in the clutch with a layup to put the Mavs up 3 points for good. The Heat could not convert a clean inbound pass to Dwayne Wade and had to heave a desperation shot to try and tie the game and go to overtime. This series is shaping up as one of the closest ever with the last 3 games not being decided till the last shot and no 4 games in the Finals have ever been decided by fewer than 3 points. The odds makers at Bodog have the Dallas Mavericks a -1 point favorite at home against the Miami Heat.

The Heatles continued to look to Wade for scoring with 32 points Tuesday to go with 6 rebounds and 2 assists but couldn’t make the big shot down the stretch and missed a big free throw that would have tied the game with seconds left. Big Chris Bosh continued to score with 24 points and 6 rebounds as the only other Heat cager with double figures scoring. James was held to just 8 points the lowest output of his 90 career playoff games and has had to answer questions about his no show since. Vegas odds makers have the Miami Heat -175 to win the 2010-2011 NBA Championship.

The Mavericks on the other hand had 5 players in double figures scoring led by Dirk’s 21 points and 11 rebounds while being clearly under the weather. Reserve Jason Terry chipped in 17 points but big Tyson Chandler had his best game with 13 points and pulling down a game high 16 rebounds. The Mavs need a win tonight to have any chance at getting their first NBA Championship. Vegas odds makers have the over/under for the total score at 186 points combined of the Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat. I predict a Heat upset win on the road for game 5 and close out in 6 at home.

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Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks NBA Finals Game 4 Expert Tips, Picks, Odds and Predictions – NBA Playoffs Betting Tips 6/7/11: Coming off back-to-back games decided by just two points for the first time in the NBA finals since 1998, the Heat and Mavericks have already provided plenty of drama heading into Game 4 in Dallas. Miami has a 2-1 edge, but Dallas has proven more than capable of erasing and overcoming double digit deficits. Despite trailing in the series, the Mavericks enter Tuesday night’s matchup as 3-point favorites.

Through the first three games, there are a few things that have remained constant. Miami can’t stop Dirk Nowitzki, and Dallas doesn’t have an answer for Dwyane Wade. The Heat have made a habit of building big leads, but the Mavericks always seem to have a run to answer the challenge. The end result has been a close series that has come down to the final shot in each of the last two games.

As close as the last two games have been, it’s hard to forget just how close this series was from being 3-0 in favor of Miami. It took an incredible collapse by the Heat in Game 2 to open the door for Dallas. Nowitzki deserves a lot of credit for taking and making every big shot during the comeback, but had the LeBron James decided to continue to attack the basket rather than settle for jump shots, the Mavericks don’t win the game.

There is a reason that Miami has been able to build big lead after big lead, forcing Dallas to constantly play from behind. The Heat defense has been able to completely shut down the perimeter players for the Mavericks. Nowitzki has scored at will, but Miami has made Dallas a one-dimensional club. Entering the series, depth was expected to be one of Mavericks’ biggest assets. Instead, it has been a non-factor. Dallas fans have been begging for someone to step up and help Nowitzki, but it probably isn’t going to happen.

On the offensive end, the Heat have taken advantage of the available mismatches. James and Wade have played above the rim and scored in transition early in games, and Wade has taken over as the closer in the fourth quarter. After a slow start, even Chris Bosh has begun taking advantage of his wide open looks. While Dallas has done a respectable job at containing James in the series, the Heat have a luxury that the Mavericks don’t. Miami has a pair of superstars, and Bosh is a legitimate scorer as well.

Miami’s focus for a full 48 minutes can certainly be questioned, but the talent on the team cannot. Despite the final scores, anyone that has watched the games has to agree that Miami is the better team, even if Nowitzki is the best player on court. It is very rare that bettors have a chance to take the better team and get three points, which makes the Game 4 matchup all the more enticing.

Expect Dallas to be playing from behind once again in Tuesday’s contest. James will continue to make Jason Terry a non-factor, and the rest of the Mavericks’ 3-point shooters will continue to shoot blanks. Meanwhile, Wade will continue to knife through the Dallas defense. Even if Nowitzki can lead another miracle rally, the Mavericks won’t win by much.

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Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks NBA Finals Game 3 Expert Picks, Odds and Predictions – NBA Playoffs Betting Preview 6/5/11: Forward LeBron James will regroup the stunned Miami Heat as they head on the road to the American Airlines Center to take on big sharp shooter Dirk Nowitzki and the Dallas Mavericks for game 3 of the NBA Finals on Sunday evening at 8:00 PM ET on ABC Sports. The Mavericks came back from 15 points down with about 6 minutes left in the 4th quarter to beat the Heat at home 95-93 and even the series 1-1 with the next 3 games in Dallas and games 6 & 7 back in Miami if necessary. The odds makers at Bodog have the Dallas Mavericks a -2 point favorite at home against the Miami Heat.

Nowitzki’s injured left hand looked fine as he finished off the comeback with a drive past Chris Bosh to the left and the game winning layup with his left hand en route to 24 points as well as 11 boards and 4 assists to lead Dallas to the victory. Forward Shawn Marion had another productive night with 20 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists while big Tyson Chandler pulled down 7 boards with 13 points. Point Guard Jason Kidd only scored 6 points but had 8 rebounds and 5 assists and Jason Terry came off the bench to chip in 16 points as well. The Mavs improved their rebounding and showed a better ability to score on the vaunted Heat defense in game 2. Vegas odds makers have the over/under for the total score at 186 points combined of the Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat.

The Heatles looked good through 3 ½ quarters and shooting guard Dwayne Wade finally seemed to be getting to the rim and scoring with 36 points to go along with 5 boards and 6 assists for the game. But down the stretch the Heat offense went to the “prevent defense” used unsuccessfully by football teams, but their version was to milk the shot clock down and launch a difficult 2 or 3 point shot in hopes it would put the game away. LeBron finished with 20 points 8 rebounds and 4 assist while Bosh added 12 points and 8 boards to go with his brief bad defense. Miami’s bench only scored 11 total points 9 by Mario Chalmers. Vegas odds makers have the Miami Heat -175 to win the 2010-2011 NBA Championship.

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Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat NBA Finals Game 2 Expert Picks, Odds and Predictions – NBA Playoffs Betting Preview 6/2/11: An injured All-Star sharpshooter Dirk Nowitzki will take the court again at the American Airlines Arena with his Dallas Mavericks to take on 2006 Finals MVP Dwayne Wade and the white hot Miami Heat on Thursday evening at 9:00 PM ET on ABC Sports for game 2 of the NBA Finals. The Heat won game 1 on Tuesday 92-84 at home to take a 1-0 series lead in the best of seven that follows a 2-3-2 format with 2 games at Miami, followed by 3 (if necessary) at Dallas, and the games 6 & 7 back at Miami if the series were to go that far.

Nowitzki injured a tendon in a fingertip on his non shooting left hand in game 1 but insists he is ok and it will not negatively affect him in game 2 tonight. During game one the Heat defended Dirk pretty successfully with Joel Anthony and Udonis Haslem on him most of the night and double teaming him often. Dirk still got his points but the role players and bench didn’t step up for the Mavericks as it has in earlier series victories. The NBA Finals is a series of adjustments and Dallas better be turning up something to get more scoring against a tenacious Heat defense. The odds makers at Bodog have the Miami Heat a -4 1/2 point favorite at home against the Dallas Mavericks.

The Heat were led by the big three who totaled just 65 points with forward LeBron James scoring 24 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assist in 45 minutes of action. Wade followed with 22 points, 10 boards and 6 assists but seemed hesitant early but made big plays down the stretch while big Chris Bosh added 19 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists in another quality outing. Backup point guard Mario Chalmers came off the bench to score 12 points and along with Haslem and Mike Miller were very effective. Vegas odds makers have the Miami Heat -175 to win the 2010-2011 NBA Championship.

Nowitzki poured in 27 points one below his playoff average but hit just 7 of 18 shots while grabbing 8 rebounds and Jason Terry added 12 points but all in the first half off the bench. A bright spot on offense was forward Shawn Merion who was once with the Heat who moved well without the ball to add 16 points pulled down 10 boards and dished 4 dimes. Vegas odds makers have the over/under for the total score at 186 points combined of the Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat.

I predict the Heatles win again at home to stay undefeated at home throughout the playoffs and take a 2-0 lead to Dallas!

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Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat NBA Finals Game 1 Expert Picks, Odds and Predictions – NBA Playoffs Betting Preview 5/31/11: Big high scoring forward Dirk Nowitzki will lead the Dallas Mavericks on the road to the American Airlines Arena to take on a hungry 2 time MVP LeBron James and the Miami Heat on Tuesday night at 9:00 PM ET on ABC Sports for game 1 of the NBA Finals. This is a rematch of the 2006 NBA Finals won by Miami who fell behind 2-0 but came back with 4 consecutive victories for their first NBA Championship but only two players from each team remain. Miami still has shooting guard Dwayne Wade and Udonis Haslem while the Mavs bring back Nowitzki and Jason Terry from the 2006 teams. The odds makers at Bodog have the Miami Heat a -4 1/2 point favorite at home against the Dallas Mavericks.

Dallas and Miami have the same playoff record of 12-3 but neither has been an easy road to the playoffs. Dallas ousted the Portland Trailblazers 4-2, and then swept the two time defending champion Los Angeles Lakers in 4 to eliminate the dream series of Miami/LA in the finals. The Mavs then sent home the young and talented Oklahoma City Thunder to get back to the Finals and take on the Miami Heat. Since 1999 only 3 teams have come out of the West to make the Finals, LA 7 times, San Antonio 4 times and now the Mavs for the second. Nowitzki has been outstanding averaging 28.4 points per game second in the NBA Playoffs to go along with 7.5 rebounds per game and showing seasoned leadership for them down the stretch. Vegas odds makers have the over/under for the total score at 187 points combined of the Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat.

The Heat are also at 12-3 in the playoffs and just 4 games away from another NBA Championship and the first since the Heatles came together last summer with this goal in mind. The Heat was focused with a 4-1 series victory over Philadelphia to get to the defending Eastern Conference Champion Boston Celtics. The Heat out played Boston physically and showed a resolve they didn’t seem to have during the regular season resulting in another 4-1 series win. The Eastern Conference finals brought a different test that the Heat and especially LeBron James stepped up on conquered with another 4-1 series triumph to get back to the finals. LeBron leads the Heat with a 26 point average for the playoffs but the big three have all had success at one point or another. Vegas odds makers have the Miami Heat -175 to win the 2010-2011 NBA Championship.

I predict a Heat Victory in Game 1 at home and win the series in 5 overall!

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