I am actually predicting “This is Us” to be shut out of the lead and supporting categories, with Bright supporting my skepticism, “After the drop-off last year that we saw with ‘This is Us,’ for the people in the TV Academy, that trajectory is just going to keep on going that way.” I have “Succession” as a beneficiary, including nominations for lead Jeremy Strong and supporting Matthew Macfadyen, who both have 100/1 odds per Gold Derby’s combined predictions. Bright is further wary of perennial nominees like Jonathan Banks (ranking him sixth in his category after four nominations for his “Better Call Saul” role), Lena Headey (ranking her sixth in her category after four consecutive nominations) and Robin Wright (predicting her first snub for “House of Cards” after five nominations).