In the Millions, Jonker will concede 2 kg to the filly Sunlight so that converts to:

Sunlight --> 0.9 lengths (1.8 kg) --> Jonker

Of course the all important barrier draw may affect the final outcome, as will the pace in the race and other factors.

There is no obvious comparison for Ef Troop to the other two.

But we can get a line on Ef Troop vs. Meryl via Crockett.

Ef Troop beat Crockett by 5.3 lengths (10.6 kg) at level weights in the Phelan Ready. Crockett was then beaten 4.75 lengths (9.5 kg) by Meryl but conceded 2 kg to the filly in the McLachlan so the dominance was 7.5 kg.

Thus we can say

Ef Troop --> 1.55 lengths (3.1 kg) --> Meryl

Meryl is $15 and has the advantage of being the only one of the four proven over 1200m. And she is a "run on" horse whereas the others are "on pacers".

The rest of the form for Ef Troop is obscure. The only think worth mentioning is that Ef Troop beat Commissioner by 11.6 lengths at level weights in the Phelan Ready (23.1 kg).

Commissioner has come back to Sydney for two runs and was beaten 7.3 kg by Futooh today and was beaten 2 kg by Into The Abyss previous start, which makes the 23.1 kg margin of the Phelan Ready look very impressive.

So I'm envisaging a fast pace and the strongest horse of those 3 prevailing. Ef Troop, Sunlight and Jonker all look good horses but impossible to compare.

I thought Meryl and Quackerjack were the "run on" horses and should be included in exotics.

In the 3YO Pierata picks himself but a little worried about the barrier and if he might get smothered a bit reducing his momentum toward the end of the race.

The obvious danger is the Kris Lees horse Sasso Corbaro who has not been tested recently. Oliver booking is a good move IMO.

I thought it was strange that they put a cross-over nose band on Whypeeo last start when he seemed to be in such good form. Racing Australia web site reporting that it is coming off tomorrow. So perhaps he might get back to the form that saw him beat Pierata two starts back.

Itís shaping up to be a great day. Here with Mono & other forumites expected to arrive shortly Which horse couldnít get a flight out of Melb & had their owner pay $65k to charter a plane to compete in the 2yo ?

Hi FOURS: I Never throw anything away these days, due to your past guidance ringing in the ears; and especially when the computer says so; or even WHOA !!!!: If you saw the full computer analysis of the MM 2yo event, there is no way I could or would have overlooked No 5 Fullazaboot.

Unfortunately the changed TAB download Format of the Form data, has for the time being, beaten me in trying to make the necessary software changes. However I will get there, but have had to put this aside for a months break. The TAB supplied form data for the Magic Millions race was all with less than four last race data lines so the old program worked perfectly and with quite a clear result. The new TAB Form supplies up to 10 races of data per runner, so things should move up a notch, once the changes are made.

Gee does anyone feel sorry for the connections of Jonker who was poleaxed out of the race. Not me. As the old saying goes " as you sew, so shall you reap ". Disloyal mob got what they deserved. Contrast that mob with the Hayes Family who have again stuck with the "unfashionable " Cory Parish and got the chocolates with the old timer., Jaquinot Bay at Flemington Today. I guess class will always take you along way.

Gee does anyone feel sorry for the connections of Jonker who was poleaxed out of the race. Not me. As the old saying goes " as you sew, so shall you reap ". Disloyal mob got what they deserved. Contrast that mob with the Hayes Family who have again stuck with the "unfashionable " Cory Parish and got the chocolates with the old timer., Jaquinot Bay at Flemington Today. I guess class will always take you along way.

You are a "class act"

Stewards Report:

RACE 8: Magic Millions 2YO Classic (R.L.) Ė 1200m

All runners in this event were vetted prior to today and cleared to start.

SKYRAY Ė After striking its hind quarters in the stall area, was re-examined behind the barriers and cleared to start. Slow into stride.

FULLAZABOOT Ė Slow into stride. Inconvenienced near the 800m from interference in front.

JONKER Ė Struck the running rail near the 800m and was severely checked. Jockey M. McGillivray (EF TROOP) pleaded guilty to a charge of careless riding in that after the 900m he permitted his mount to shift in whilst riding it along taking SUNLIGHT in onto SECRET LADY, which was carried across the running of JONKER, which struck the running rail and was severely checked near the 800m. Bearing in mind the severity of the interference, the status of the race and the degree of carelessness jockey McGillivrays licence to ride in races was suspended for a period of one (1) month to commence midnight 13 January 2018 and expire midnight 13 February 2018. A post race veterinary examination of JONKER revealed it to have sustained multiple abrasions to all 4 legs.

Yes I can read Stewards Reports as well. My point is that I didn't sack the hoop who put all the effort in to replace him with "so called best jockey in the world ". You can tell a lot about people if they understand the word "loyalty ".

Yes I can read Stewards Reports as well. My point is that I didn't sack the hoop who put all the effort in to replace him with "so called best jockey in the world ". You can tell a lot about people if they understand the word "loyalty ".

Aaron Bullock didn't seem fazed by it and only rode his first winner in town today at Randwick.

He is by no means the first young jockey to be replaced by a senior rider in a big race, let alone a $2 million race. That is hardly cause for celebration if through no fault of their own the horse gets almost put through the running rail.

A reminder of my very simple system which appears to crop up quite often in QLD races for young horses for decent prize money.......

Simply back ..... for the place... any horse paying >$15.00 the place with a career strike rate >50%

Only one qualifier in the Magic Millions - Fullazaboot $18.80 the place fixed.

No doubt Peter Mair would claim some kind of insider knowledge but in reality its simply a little thought applied to value and strike rate. A little more thought can take this a lot further as pegasybers notes have pointed out.

One interpretation of MM racing is that, with a restricted field of possible contenders, there will be a couple of standouts and too many also rans battling for the minor placing spots -- but possibly enough congestion in overcrowded fields to cause a boilover.

Yesterday the main quadrella paid some $110 -- reflecting the standouts beating the also-ran congestion -- but the F4 dividends across the day were more like lucky lotto tickets (and I am pleased that 'fours' got lucky).

This may not matter much but the hype around MM day is hardly good for a floundering Queensland racing industry -- it is not even Queensland racing -- it is MM racing run in Queensland.

One interpretation of MM racing is that, with a restricted field of possible contenders, there will be a couple of standouts and too many also rans battling for the minor placing spots -- but possibly enough congestion in overcrowded fields to cause a boilover.

What "boilovers" were caused by congestion. Have you watched the replays?

FFS Mair if itís not Qld racing where the fark is it being held? Where did all these international & interstae te visitors fly / drive to? Not Qld racing you are fín kidding you daft prick the lack of sunlight behind your keyboard has severely affected your grey matter Go play with your grandkids as you clearly donít enjoy any aspect of racing at all anymore You have made some ridiculous statements from the top shelf but this one may be the best yet Give it a rest ya tool! PS it was s bloody fantastic day at the track well done Cookie and crew

Houtzen does look good but is well found @ $1.85 (B365 offering money back for 2nd & 3rd)

I'm having something on I Am Queen as it was slaughtered last start, worth a throw at the stumps with the 20s on offer.

Another well found one in Outback Barbie off the shocking ride last start, $2.40 is short enough though. Bondi could be a knock out, he's always promised something

Leaning to the Waterhouse Unite and Conquer, we are getting better odds due to the barrier but that seems the best form line here, If that form line doesn't stand up then it could be Phelan Ready like at any odds

Something small on Sambro in the last from 11,13 & 14 but it's a raffle

Gin, with a bit of luck I reckon Usain Bowler can knock Houtzen off but its a day Im going very wideGot Umberto in the 3rd and also with you on I am Queen. Paqurri & Zizzis at massive odds in the guineasCruz in the last