Oil, stock markets slide after IEA predicts even lower crude prices

Oil and markets continued to slide on Wednesday after the head of the International Energy Agency predicted a decline in crude prices and weaker oil investment in 2016.

Oil is at its lowest level since early 2009, with the West Texas Intermediate contract falling below $37 US a barrel today before recovering to $37.11 in mid-afternoon.

Brent oil for international delivery was down 21 cents to $40.

Fatih Birol, executive director of the Paris-based IEA, said oil prices could fall in 2016.

“When we look at 2016, I don’t see many reasons why we can see upward pressure on the prices… Demand is weaker and we may well see Iran come back [to the market] and there will be a lot of oil,” Birol said from the sidelines of the COP21 climate conference in Paris

The IEA monitors demand and supply of energy worldwide. He said falling oil prices could affect many oil-consuming countries’ resolve to switch away from fossil fuels.

Oil investment down 20%

Birol said that IEA estimates indicated that investment in the oil industry fell by more by 20 per cent in 2015 – the steepest decline in history. A further decline is seen in 2016.

The Canadian oilpatch has been hoping for higher prices, because much Canadian production is not economically viable at current price levels.

However, OPEC’s decision to leave output at current levels makes it less likely that the worldwide oversupply of oil will ease.

The Canadian dollar came down with the price of crude, falling to below 73.50 cents US in the morning before bouncing higher to 73.61.

Markets were down in Asia and Europe overnight after most commodities continued to fall in price because of fresh signs that the Chinese economy is slowing. Chinese exports fell by 6.5 per cent last month.

The TSX, which has fallen with energy stocks, was down six points to 12,916, its lowest level in two years.

New York’s Dow index fell 98 points to 17,467, while the broader S&P index was down four points to 2,043.