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MLB Expert Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves

This game could be low scoring as Francisco Liriano (4-6, 3.26 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-32) meet Williams Perez (4-0, 2.78 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (35-38) in the first of a three-game series at PNC Park. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 26 and will air on FSN-S and ROOT-PIT.

Liriano has a 4.00 ERA and a 2-1 record in his career against the Braves, and faces a solid Atlanta offense that's hitting .257 on the year. Andrew McCutchen (.292, 38 Rs, 9 HRs, 44 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Pirates, Perez is 0-0 with a 7.20 ERA, five strikeouts and five walks. Cameron Maybin (.288, 28 Rs, 6 HRs, 36 RBIs, 13 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday.

Pittsburgh is a heavy -188 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Pirates have a winning record of 34-17 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +330. They are 6-2 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Pirates rank fourth in the NL in hits at home with 8.7 per game.

Switching gears, the Braves come into this game with a win percentage of .439 when playing as the underdog (25-32) and an overall money line of +308. The Braves will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Atlanta's run production has dropped to 2.6 runs per game, compared to 4.0 for the duration of the season. The Braves average just 7.1 strikeouts per road game, good for least in the NL.

In their previous three games this season, the Pirates have a 2-1 record. The Pirates will take on a right-hander (Perez) in this game and have a 32-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Liriano will take the mound against the Braves, who have a 4-5 record against lefty starters this season.

Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over

Notes

For the 16th time this season, the Pirates registered at least two errors in a game.

When the Braves play into extra innings, they have a 2-4 record. The Pirates are 2-7 when their games exceed nine innings.

Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Pirates have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.

When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 26-12. The Pirates have a 29-5 record when outhitting opponents.

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