Honestly, I do not know. My sense from his comments is that he is a decent guy, with good intentions, and he genuinely believes the changes he is talking about are likely to come about. Be he will not personally drive the changes. He is merely a spokesman. His accuracy will depend on the actions of people in the military (and key civilians) and he cannot control these other people. So he, like the rest of us, may be surprised by how actual events do play out.

Two reasons that I have established a thread to follow his comments are:

1 / He speaks clearly about what he expects to come, and offers some defined timelines

2 / His deadlines are not far away (say end-of-May), and so we will not have to wait long, or waste much more time if he proves to be inaccurate - just another purveyor of dreamlike "hopium." On the other hand, if he proves accurate, it may be important to have an early understanding of how the events he describes may play out.