That game about gave me a heart attack at the end. I can't imagine what it is like to be a Cowboys fan and watch that debacle every week. That right hand landing out of bounds paid for my weekend.

As a wretched Cowboys fan, that -2 on NYG did seem like easy money....especially at 23-0. Definitely a tale of 2 games. But lost by some fingers (and 4 int's, and poor playcalling on 2nd & 1, and 2 fumble -- a typical team effort).

But anytime I bet against my teams, I'm trying to bet w/ my brain and not my heart....BUT it is money I don't mind losing. Ha. When Dallas was coming back, I was pretty excited.

I've been a fan since birth (thanks Dad!), and won't change teams regardless of how high the frustration gets w/ Jerry, Tony, Garrett, etc. I cheered as hard and watched all the games when 1-15 as in good years. But it is frustrating, and the blame starts at the top.

As a wretched Cowboys fan, that -2 on NYG did seem like easy money....especially at 23-0. Definitely a tale of 2 games. But lost by some fingers (and 4 int's, and poor playcalling on 2nd & 1, and 2 fumble -- a typical team effort).

But anytime I bet against my teams, I'm trying to bet w/ my brain and not my heart....BUT it is money I don't mind losing. Ha. When Dallas was coming back, I was pretty excited.

I've been a fan since birth (thanks Dad!), and won't change teams regardless of how high the frustration gets w/ Jerry, Tony, Garrett, etc. I cheered as hard and watched all the games when 1-15 as in good years. But it is frustrating, and the blame starts at the top.

Great way to put it. For some reason I took Arkansas -6 Saturday. Third time I have bet my team this year, and the other two were ULM and Bama. I took Bama, obviously. So I guess I am 1/3 when betting hog games. I'm done with that.

At halftime, the line was Ole Miss +4. I took that for 50 bucks and felt great about it. Friend sitting with me was so offended I bet against the hogs. I told him if I lose my bet, we probably win the game and I'm fine with it. He bitched at me the whole second half. It was Win-Win in my opinion.

edit: my NCAA lines aren't available yet online and it is irritating me. I am determined to start locking better numbers in early in the week but that is hard to do when you can't see them.

Great way to put it. For some reason I took Arkansas -6 Saturday. Third time I have bet my team this year, and the other two were ULM and Bama. I took Bama, obviously. So I guess I am 1/3 when betting hog games. I'm done with that.

At halftime, the line was Ole Miss +4. I took that for 50 bucks and felt great about it. Friend sitting with me was so offended I bet against the hogs. I told him if I lose my bet, we probably win the game and I'm fine with it. He bitched at me the whole second half. It was Win-Win in my opinion.

edit: my NCAA lines aren't available yet online and it is irritating me. I am determined to start locking better numbers in early in the week but that is hard to do when you can't see them.

In trying to find information on databases and spreadsheets, I dug up an old article that I ran across in 2010 that you might find interesting for a few points:

it quantified the "bet on a home dog on Monday Night Football": 87-71 as of 2010 (or 55%); and

It also has 3 "system" bets that are rare, very complicated, and very successful:1) College basketball: a final four bet that between 1991 & 2010 was 16-0 ATS (play against a final four team coming off of 4 wins ATS if it's priced from +2 to +9 & is matched against a 0.800 or better opponent);2) NBA: a bet that between 1990 & 2010 was 16-0 ATS (play for a 0.657 or better team that's playing with revenge from an 8 point or worse loss to a 0.500 or better opponent, off a win that covered the previous night); and3) College football: a bet that between 1980 & 2010 was 14-0 (play against an fbs team in its first road game, if it's the 1st or 2d game of the season, and if it's matched against a non-conference foe, off back-to-back losses, with its most recent loss at home, provided the home team isn't favored by more than 14 points).

That 55% you are talking about 81-71 doesn't work for me. If a unit is 100.00 with those numbers you win 8100.00 and lost 7810.00. Using 150 games that a little less than a 2 dollar per game profit. Percentage needs to be a minimum of 62% for me to even consider using a trend. Not a trend guy.

That 55% you are talking about 81-71 doesn't work for me. If a unit is 100.00 with those numbers you win 8100.00 and lost 7810.00. Using 150 games that a little less than a 2 dollar per game profit. Percentage needs to be a minimum of 62% for me to even consider using a trend. Not a trend guy.

I would have guessed that the MNF home dog percentage would have been higher. I haven't been a trend guy to date, but I'm not above looking for trends to see if they support my leans or increasing my units played if a trend does support my lean.

I would have guessed that the MNF home dog percentage would have been higher. I haven't been a trend guy to date, but I'm not above looking for trends to see if they support my leans or increasing my units played if a trend does support my lean.

Oh I hear you and agree. No such thing as too much info when it comes to this stuff.

I've never wagered on NBA. Think I am going to do some real small bets to get the feel for it. Anything I need to know about basketball wagers in general?

just did a parlay for shnits and giggles

bulls -6clippers -3.5lakers -2.5 @ blazers

Eh I used to play the nba quite a bit when I followed it more. Barkley, Bird, Jordan, magic, during those days. I memory serves look hard against the team playing in consecutive nights especially if thy are the road team and favored.

I'm going to put 1 unit on the Chiefs tonight +7. Cheifs are bad, but Chargers haven't looked much better and were down right awful last week. And I'm going to stick to football picks in here for my record, but if you guys still are trying to dabble on NBA games take the Spurs tonight.

I'm going to put 1 unit on the Chiefs tonight +7. Cheifs are bad, but Chargers haven't looked much better and were down right awful last week. And I'm going to stick to football picks in here for my record, but if you guys still are trying to dabble on NBA games take the Spurs tonight.

Lol thanks ad prob a good pick, but NBA for the most part no way. That could hange though. Never know. Good luck!

I couldn't do this year long. I throw in NBA or College Basketball games every now and then, but there are just way too many of them. I'll glance at those lines from time to time, but something really has to stick out. And I'm a bigger basketball fan, so can't say the temptation isn't there.

Big 2-0 Thursday night. I'm killing Thursday night football. To say I'm on the best run of my life is an understatement . I imagine I'll cool off again eventually, but for now I am on fire and enjoying the ride.