The Battle of Mosul is one of the biggest events in the fight against DAESH. The existence of DAESH in Iraqi territory is subject to the control of this city, the second city of the country. Actors, operational environment and materiel: To understand the current situation and set future valid hypothesis in this analysis prior review of the different elements of the stage will be held.

In this scenario, the actors are playing on two different levels: those for which DAESH and the offense itself are the main target (DAESH, Iraq, Hashid Al Watani, Hashid Shaabi) and those for which both DAESH and the offensive are tools in the service of a higher interest (Coalition, Turkey, Kurds). The most important of this scenario is not how the operations are carried out, how much time they waste or how many DAESH militants or Iraqi soldiers perish, but what will happen when the dust settles and Mosul stop being the centre of attention.

Finally, it should not be ignored that Hashid Shaabi Shiite militias, allies of the Middle East Shiite governments, could try to encircle DAESH by the West to avoid the transfer of the minions of the Caliphate to Syrian territory, regardless of USA’s will. ¿Will this defeat mean the end of DAESH in Iraq? Will it increase the pressure over Russian interests in the region? What will happen with the militants returning disillusioned by the end of the Caliphate dream? Will a victorious Kurds see strengthened their claims?