Brexit could spell the end for the EU as it currently exists, Michael Gove suggested today - with the UK's decision spreading a "contagion" of democracy across the continent.

"For Europe, Britain voting to leave will be the beginning of something potentially even more exciting - the democratic liberation of a whole Continent.

If we vote to leave we will have - in the words of a former British Prime Minister - saved our country by our exertions and Europe by our example.

We will have confirmed that we believe our best days lie ahead, that we believe our children can build a better future, that this country’s instincts and institutions, its people and its principles, are capable not just of making our society freer, fairer and richer but also once more of setting an inspirational example to the world. It is a noble ambition and one I hope this country will unite behind in the weeks to come."

Michael GoveCredit:
Reuters

Treasury to issue new warning over mortgages and food prices

George Osborne will use a second Treasury analysis to warn families their mortgages will go up and they will face higher prices at supermarkets if they back a Brexit.

George Osborne was savaged in the Commons over the Treasury's EU referendum dossierCredit:
AFP

Mr Osborne was forced to defend himself against fellow Tories Sir Edward Leigh and Stewart Jackson while being questioned in the Commons over Brexit. The Treasury document was described as a "dodgy dossier".

Osborne under attack from own side over Brexit

02:05

UK could thrive in free trade zone

The UK would thrive as a member of the European free trade zone without being bound by restrictions imposed from Brussels if the country backed Brexit, Mr Gove said, as he set out his vision of life outside the EU.

The Vote Leave campaign chief said it was "ridiculous" and "preposterous" to suggest that European Union leaders would attempt to block trading links with the UK after the June 23 referendum.

The Justice Secretary also insisted that David Cameron would be prevented from carrying out his plan to trigger the two-year timetable to quit the EU immediately if Leave won, as "no responsible government" would do that.

Tory Cabinet minister Mr Gove warned that the UK would be held "hostage" by Brussels if it voted Remain, as he claimed the Prime Minister's efforts to block "ever closer union" would not halt the process of closer integration.

Businesses urged to speak out

In a speech to the London Stock Exchange, pro-Remain minister Anna Soubry urged businesses to speak out ahead of the referendum.

The business minister said: "It's right for us to belong to a group of countries with whom we have so much in common, whether it's the values of human rights, democracy or how we do business.

"That's why it's imperative we hear loud and clear the voices of all businesses so that the British people have all the facts and hear all the arguments before they cast their vote on June 23."

Leaving EU would hit entrepreneurs growing their businesses

A leading expert in entrepreneurism and business claims it is in the UK’s best interests to stay in the EU or face business uncertainty that could damage the enterprise ecosystem.

Johnny Luk, the CEO of the National Association of College and University Entrepreneurs (NACUE), believes the UK voting to leave the EU could have a detrimental effect on budding entrepreneurs starting up or growing their business.

He said: ''I have not read much reassuring policy that addresses what trade tariffs we will receive, what policy coordination would look like or why a nation like America or China would consider us a better trade partner when we are out rather than in, when they have explicitly told us they think it is madness.

Johnny Luk, the CEO of the National Association of College and University Entrepreneurs

“In a world where we should be working closer with other countries, bringing people together, coordinating against security threats, we shouldn't instead blame immigrants for our problems or build up walls, metaphorical or otherwise.

“From an entrepreneurial perspective, the UK is a country known for producing talented and creative business ideas and Brexit does nothing to help it.

“We look at Japan, a great nation, but with a stagnating and ageing economy, restrained by a supremely tight immigration system - not an encouraging role model for us."

Slippery subject

Michael Gove said fishing was "very close to my heart" - but then blundered over the names of two major ports as he attacked the EU's common fisheries policy.

The Justice Secretary said his father's business as a fish merchant in Aberdeen had collapsed, partly as a result of the rules set in Brussels.

But he was mocked on Twitter after stumbling over the names of two Scottish ports - referring to Peterborough and Fraserhead rather than Fraserburgh and Peterhead.

Peterhead's fish marketCredit:
Telegraph

Answering questions following a speech on Brexit he said the common fisheries policy was a "symbol of what we lost when we entered the EU".

He said: "Some in this audience might know that my father inherited a fish merchant's business in Aberdeen from my grandfather and that business went to the wall, partly as a result of the common fisheries policy.

"The common fisheries policy essentially gave other European Union nations unfettered access to our fish stocks and - I would hope - that if we leave the European Union we can once more see the ports of Peterborough and Frasherhead and Grimsby flourishing, because we will take back control of our territorial waters.

"I recognise that fishing is perhaps not the most high employment industry in this country, but it's a symbol of what we lost when we entered the EU, control over national resources that if we retained them we could have husbanded in our interest and indeed in the interest of others."

Twitter users soon picked up on Mr Gove's error.

Fishing is very close to my heart, says Gove. Then cites Peterburgh and Fraserhead!! Confused, Mr Gove?

Michael Gove speech was 'rhetoric'

Alan Johnson has criticised the economic case behind Michael Gove's desire for Britain to leave the European Union.

Alan Johnson MPCredit:
PA

Mr Johnson, chairman of the Labour In for Britain campaign, told the BBC's World at One: "What he is asking us to do is to leave the biggest commercial market in the world where we can export without tariffs."

He said that voting for Brexit would be to "walk off into something that we now understand is a bit of Michael Gove rhetoric".

'Vintage Gove, a lot of rhetoric but utterly delusional'

"First Michael Gove tried to rewrite our children's history books, now he is trying to rewrite their future.

This speech was vintage Gove – it delivered a lot of rhetoric, had a few nice turns of phrase but was utterly delusional in practice.

It seems to paint leaving Europe as some Athenian self-governing dream. But this idea does not hold up to even the most basic scrutiny. The average family will be worse off but I assume Michael will not feel that pinch.

Gove also attacked the influence of the charter of fundamental rights - it’s simplistic attacks like that show that the Justice Secretary doesn’t understand the issues he is talking about.”

Obama can decide whether to comment on EU referendum, No 10 spokesman says

David Cameron's official spokesman said it "will be for the President to decide" whether to make any comment about the EU referendum during his visit.

Barack Obama may use his UK visit to extol the virtues of EU membership for BritainCredit:
REUTERS

Asked whether pro-Brexit former work and pensions secretary Iain Duncan Smith was right to claim the PM had "gone on bended knee" to beg the President to speak out in favour of continued UK membership, the spokesman said: "I certainly haven't seen that."

She added: "This is an opportunity for the Prime Minister to engage with the leader of a country with whom we have a special and essential relationship, that is a partner in the G7 and G20 and where we are working together to advance our interests, both in terms of security and the economy."

Cameron urged to raise human rights with Indonesian president on his UK visit

Away from Michael Gove's keynote speech this morning, David Cameron has been urged to raise human rights in Indonesia, including the fate of a British woman on death row there, during the visit by President Joko Widodo.

Amnesty International called on the Prime Minister to challenge Mr Widodo on his decision to re-implement the death penalty for drug offenders after his predecessors oversaw an unofficial moratorium on executions.

In a high-profile two-day trip, the Indonesian leader will address both Houses of Parliament and meet Mr Cameron on Downing Street, nine months after the Prime Minister visited Jakarta during an Asian tour last year.

The visit will focus on trade deals as part of a Government effort to expand British commercial ties in Asia.

But Amnesty led calls for Mr Cameron to push his guest on his “ruthless” war on drugs which included 14 high-profile executions last year.

Lindsay Sandiford, a 59-year-old Briton sentenced to death in Bali in 2013 for drug trafficking, could be among the next group of prisoners executed by firing squad.

Mr Widodo has already defended his decision to start implementing the death penalty for drug offenders during his European tour. In Berlin on Monday, he described drug trafficking a “national emergency” after Chancellor Angela Merkel talked of German opposition to capital punishment.

There are currently more than 130 people – including foreign nationals – on death row in Indonesia, mostly for drug crimes. Authorities recently said that the country is preparing to execute more foreigners convicted of drug offences.

"Trade deals must not be made by the UK government at the expense of condemning the deeply troubling human rights abuses which have taken place under president Widodo's leadership,” said Papang Hidayat, Indonesia researcher at Amnesty International,

"This is a president whose ruthless 'war on drugs' led to 14 executions last year to the horror of the watching world, with more promised for this year.

Campaigners have also highlighted the imposition of harsh Islamic sharia law punishments in the semi-autonomous province of Aceh.

A 60-year-old Christian woman was last week whipped nearly 30 times for selling alcohol. She was the first non-Muslim to be punished under the strict religious code.

Indonesia is the world’s most populous Muslim-majority nation. But Aceh is the only province to impose sharia law.

Negotiating new trade deals

No free movement, no budget contributions, no EU law

The media are now receiving a briefing from a Vote Leave spokesman. He confirms they are campaigning for free trade with no free movement, no budget contributions and most definitely no longer allowing the supremacy of EU law.

Difficult questions

Michael Gove on George Osborne

Asked by The Telegraph's Laura Hughes whether he was offended at being called "economically illiterate" by his Government colleagues, Michael Gove responds: "No, George has called me much worse in private."

Britain would have access to free trade in Europe

Michael Gove proposes that the UK should become a part of a free trade area covering the whole of Europe, enjoying access to the single market. He has been quizzed several times on how a post-Brexit Britain's economy would look.

'Brexit will save our country by our exertions and Europe by our example'

Some final words from Michael Gove's speech. He is now taking questions from his audience:

"For Europe, Britain voting to leave will be the beginning of something potentially even more exciting - the democratic liberation of a whole Continent.

If we vote to leave we will have - in the words of a former British Prime Minister - saved our country by our exertions and Europe by our example.

We will have confirmed that we believe our best days lie ahead, that we believe our children can build a better future, that this country’s instincts and institutions, its people and its principles, are capable not just of making our society freer, fairer and richer but also once more of setting an inspirational example to the world. It is a noble ambition and one I hope this country will unite behind in the weeks to come."

Gove: Britain needs points-based immigration

Michael Gove calls for an Australian-based points system for immigrationCredit:
EPA

We could also benefit economically from the control of immigration, he says.

"At the moment any EU citizen can come to the UK to settle, work, claim benefits and use the NHS. We have no proper control over whether that individual’s presence here is economically beneficial, conducive to the public good or in our national interest.

"We cannot effectively screen new arrivals for qualifications, extremist connections or past criminality. We have given away control over how we implement the vital 1951 UN Convention on asylum to the European court. We cannot even deport convicted murderers.' "Further, there are five more countries - Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Turkey - in the queue to join the EU - and the European Commission, as we have just experienced ourselves during the recent negotiation process, regards ‘free movement’ as an inviolable principle of EU membership...

"And my ambition is not a Utopian ideal - it’s an Australian reality. Instead of a European open-door migration policy we could - if a future Government wanted it - have an Australian points-based migration policy. We could emulate that country’s admirable record of taking in genuine refugees, giving a welcome to hard-working new citizens and building a successful multi-racial society without giving into people-smugglers, illegal migration or subversion of our borders."

'Why would any of them wish to commit an act of profound economic self-harm?'

Michael Gove says that it has been suggested that all 27 nations of the EU would put every other priority aside and labour night and day for months to bury their own individual differences and harm their own individual interests just to punish Britain.

Michael Gove delivering his pro-Brexit speechCredit:
REUTERS

He says the idea that the German government would damage its car manufactures- and impoverish workers in those factories- to make a political point; or that France would ignore its farmers; or the Italian government would undermine struggling industries just to please Brussels, is "ridiculous".

"Why would any of them wish to commit an act of profound economic self-harm?" he says as he used Stephen Crabb's exact phrase to make the opposite point.

'In campaign operating to a script written by George R.R Martin'

Michael Gove says that some in the Remain campaign seek to "imply, insinuate and sometimes just declare, that if we left the EU we would not be able to take the train or fly cheaply to European nations.

"If, by some miracle, we somehow manganese to make it to distant Calais or exotic Boulogne we would find that- unique among developed nations- or mobile telephones would no longer work.

"And heaven help us if we fell ill, as citizens would be barred from all of Europe'a hospitals and left to expire unmourned in some foreign field."

He jokes that the In campaign claim out football teams would be "denuded of foreign players, so Premier league matches would have to become - at best- five aside contests."

Author George R.R MartinCredit:
AP

The justice secretary says he sometimes thinks the In campaign is operating to a script written by George R.R Martin and Stephen King.

Britain sanctioned more so than North Korea? That's the 'Remain' conspiracy

Some colourful metaphors coming out of this speech by Michael Gove.

"The City of London would become a ghost town, our manufacturing industries would be sanctioned more punitively than even communist North Korea, decades would pass before a single British Land Rover or Mr Kipling cake could ever again be sold in France and in the meantime our farmers would have been driven from the land by poverty worse than the Potato Famine. To cap it all, an alliance of Vladimir Putin, Marine Le Pen and Donald Trump, emboldened by our weakness, would, like some geopolitical equivalent of the Penguin, Catwoman and the Joker, be liberated to spread chaos worldwide and subvert our democracy."

EU is an 'empire', warns Michael Gove

Michael Gove likens the EU to failing historical empires.

"The former President of the Commission himself, Manuel Barroso, likes to describe the EU as an ‘empire ... because we have the dimension of empires’.2 The facts suggest he has a point though not quite the one he intended.

It is a fact that the EU is a multi-national federation with no democratically elected leader or Government, with policies decided by a central bureaucracy, with a mock parliament which enjoys no popular mandate for action and with peripheries which are either impoverished or agitating for secession.

It’s a fact that also describes Austria-Hungary under the Habsburgs, the Russian Empire under Nicholas the Second, Rome under its later Emperors or the Ottoman Empire in its final years.

It is hardly a model for either economic dynamism or social progress. Which is why we should not be surprised that the countries of the EU are proving neither particularly economically dynamic or socially progressive."

Free trade will be open to Britain

There is a free trade zone stretching from Iceland to Turkey that all European nations have access to, regardless of whether they are in or out of the euro or EU, he says.

" After we vote to leave we will stay in this zone.

"The suggestion that Bosnia, Serbia, Albania and the Ukraine would stay part of this free trade area - and Britain would be on the outside with just Belarus - is as credible as Jean-Claude Juncker joining UKIP."

Michael Gove: 'In campaign want us to believe Britain is beaten and broken'

Michael Gove is up and says the case for leaving is crouched "overwhelmingly in negative and pessimistic terms".

He says the In campaign want us to believe that Britain is "beaten and broken" and can't survive without the help of the EU.

If Britain leaves, he says, they want us to believe that "all the terror of the earth will be unleashed upon our head."

"The In Campaign want us to believe that Britain is beaten and broken... If we dare to assert ourselves all the terrors of the world will be unleashed upon our head. You'd think for Britain to leave would be to boldly go where no man has gone before, but in fact it would be to go where the majority of countries are."

Remain camp plays trick on Vote Leave

As journalists file into the building where Michael Gove is about to deliver his major pro-Brexit speech, Stronger In campaigners were handing out these booklets designed to look like a Vote Leave manifesto...

'Future of NHS is on thin ice if Britain leaves EU'

Norman Baker, the Liberal Democrat's health spokesman, has warned that the NHS is "already on thin ice" and could suffer if Britain left the EU.

Norman Baker MPCredit:
Telegraph/Philip Hollis

Speaking about the Treasury assessment of the impact of Brexit on the NHS, Mr Lamb said:

“The future security and stability of our NHS is already on thin ice.

This Conservative Government is pushing it to breaking point, and no-one is facing up to the danger. The latest warnings about the impact of Brexit on our economy will make a perilous situation even worse.

The funding gap in the NHS needs urgent attention, not greater uncertainty. We must work across party lines to stop the Leave campaign from inflicting a deeper wound on our health service.

We must not leave the future of the NHS in the hands of Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage – men who have both advocated that British people should start paying to use our health service.”

'Obama has a right to speak out on EU'

Former foreign secretary Lord Hague has defended Barack Obama's right to make clear during his visit to Britain later this week that it is "unambiguously" in American interests for the UK to remain in the European Union.

Prominent Brexiteers have insisted the US president should not intervene in the campaign for the June 23 referendum on EU membership, with London Mayor Boris Johnson suggesting it would be "hypocritical" for Mr Obama to urge the UK to remain in a multi-national bloc of a kind which the USA would not join.

Barack ObamaCredit:
AP

But Lord Hague said Mr Obama is "entitled" to voice his concerns about the impact of UK withdrawal from the EU during the two-day visit, and said it would be wrong for British politicians to be "precious and sensitive" about it.

Writing in The Telegraph, the former Cabinet minister said: "The president has the right wherever he is to explain what is in the interests of the United States of America. And since the US is our one indispensable ally, our biggest single trading partner and the ultimate guarantor of our security, its interests matter to everyone in Britain whether we like it or not.

"When Obama gives his hint, nudge, direct appeal or whatever he chooses to say on Friday, it will not be on some vague basis that it would be handy if Europe had one phone number. His comments will reflect the analysis of all the foreign policy advisers to this Democrat administration, and indeed to the previous Republican one, that it is, unambiguously, in the interests of the United States that Britain stays in the EU."

Michael Gove is trying to 'wish away reality'

Alan Johnson, chairman of Labour In For Britain campaignCredit:
AFP/Getty

Responding to the Justice Secretary's speech in London today, Mr Johnson, chairman of the Labour In for Britain Campaign, said:

"Michael Gove wants to wish away reality, but the truth is every credible independent forecaster says Brexit will hurt our economy. The fact is Britain is better off remaining in the EU and no amount of false promises and bluster from the leave camp can change that.

Reports from the IMF, the LSE, Oxford Economics the CBI and others all show how important it is to jobs and our economy to remain in the EU. But it's vital for workers’ rights, protecting our environment and keeping our social protections too - all issues that the Leave campaign have no credibility on and no interest in."

Britain would struggle to replace 33,000 midwives and nurses who come from the EU

Cathy Warwick, chief executive of the Royal College of Midwives, has told Sky News that Britain would be "hard-pressed" to find enough midwives and nurses trained in the UK to replace the 33,000 from other EU countries who currently work in the NHS.

Asked whether she would welcome the £350million a week that Britain pays to the EU being spent on the NHS instead, she said expect a "significant economic shock" which would not result in any extra funding being available.

Michael Gove's Brexit argument dismissed as 'simplistic'

Dominic Grieve, the former Attorney General, has just dismissed many of the arguments being made by Michael Gove this morning.

Mr Grieve said that Mr Gove's arguments appeared to be the result of "a sort of single-issue obsession, so he is no longer seeing the wood for the trees".

Mr Grieve, who chairs Parliament's Intelligence and Security Committee, said the Justice Secretary's warnings about the possible impact of the European Court of Justice on Britain's security were "unfounded and indeed untenable".

Dominic Grieve, the former Attorney GeneralCredit:
Telegraph

The Beaconsfield MP, who is backing the Remain side, told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "The problem I have with what Michael says is that he has had a fairly consistent pattern since the start of this referendum campaign of coming out with statements which simply don't bear proper scrutiny.

"He alleged that the Prime Minister's Brussels agreement wasn't worth the paper it's written on, and no international lawyer has agreed with him. Indeed, I don't think his own department would agree with him on that."

There had "never" been any suggestion of concern from the Five Eyes countries over the ECJ hampering intelligence co-operation and Mr Gove appeared to be "labouring under a very serious misunderstanding" about the Court's powers, said Mr Grieve.

The referendum debate was not helped by "simplistic statements which are not backed by any credible evidence", said Mr Grieve.

And he added: "The examples put forward by Michael are general in their nature, they are not sustained by clear evidence and in some cases they seem to me to be the result of a sort of single-issue obsession, so he is no longer seeing the wood for the trees."

Chuka demolishes the big conspiracy theory

Remain campaigner and Labour MP Chuka Umunna, on ITV's Good Morning Britain, had this to say:

"Essentially, those who want us to leave can't answer the question 'Will we be able to have all the benefits that we have in the EU, being part of that big, free trade, single market trading zone if we come out, can you guarantee that?'

"They don't have an answer to that in the event that we leave. So instead they go to this big conspiracy theory that somehow you have got the country's biggest unions - so Len McCluskey, the head of Unite, and Dave Prentis, the head of Unison - in cahoots with those well-known socialists at the CBI, the big business organisation, and the IMF's Christine Lagarde - all of this being orchestrated by Len McCluskey's new best friend. the Tory Chancellor George Osborne, aided and abetted by President Obama, all campaigning against Brexit."

Michael Gove paints picture of 'friendly' post-Brexit trade

Michael Gove is being pressed by Radio 4's Today programme to outline a "positive" vision of a post-Brexit Britain.

He says he would expect "free trade and friendly co-operation" between Britain and the EU.

Michael GoveCredit:
PA

The Justice Secretary says we could "take back control" of trade, but admitted we could not be part of the single market. He said that Britain "knows what it is in the interests" of the economies of France and Germany and they would continue to trade with us anyway.

"They are not going to want to erect new barriers to trade with us," he said.

George Osborne: 'Britain would be poorer' after Brexit

Treasury analysis predicted that withdrawal would mean public services could suffer to the tune of £36 billion a year.

Leave campaigners dismissed the 200-page government analysis as a "dodgy" document, and the methodology used was widely mocked on social media.

George Osborne issues a stark Brexit warningCredit:
AFP

The Chancellor, who fill questions from MPs today, tried to make light of criticism of the equation used by the Treasury to calculate the figures by joking: "That's a gravity model - a regression gravity model with a general equilibrium NiGEM model for the economy. Obvs."

Speaking on ITV's The Agenda, Mr Osborne said:

"One of the things we've proved, if you don't have as much money coming into the country, either you have a big hole in your public finances, or you put income tax up by eight pence.

"Let's be clear, Britain would be poorer. Don't pretend that the economy won't suffer."

The Chancellor also faced questions over the assumption used in the document that net migration would be 185,000 a year from 2021 onwards - far in excess of the Government's goal of reducing it to the "tens of thousands" - with Leave supporters arguing that the Treasury had failed to take into account the costs of coping with an ever-growing population.

Michael Gove to accuse Remain camp of treating voters like children

Staying in the EU will see steep levels of immigration, Justice Secretary Michael Gove is warning, as he accused the Remain side of treating voters like children.

In a hard-hitting speech, the Cabinet heavyweight will insist remaining in the EU is the danger option as the ability of Britain's intelligence services to keep the country safe would be "undermined" by the European Court of Justice unless Brexit won.

The prominent Leave campaigner insists the Government has admitted in a Treasury document warning of the economic costs of withdrawal that immigration will soar if Britain stays in the EU.

"The Remain campaign want us to believe that Britain is beaten and broken. It treats people like mere children, capable of being frightened into obedience by conjuring up new bogeymen every night.

If we vote to remain ... we'll be told by Brussels to 'shut up and suck it up'."

Mr Gove will add: "The report from the Treasury is an official admission from the In campaign that if we vote to stay in the EU then immigration will continue to increase by hundreds of thousands year on year.

Michael Gove, the Justice SecretaryCredit:
Telegraph/Eddie Mulholland

"Over 250,000 people came to Britain from Europe last year. As long as we are in the EU we cannot control our borders and cannot develop an immigration policy which is both truly humane and in our long-term economic interests."

Mr Gove says the European Court of Justice (ECJ) is poised to damage Britain's "Five Eyes" intelligence-sharing pact with the US, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, through the Charter of Fundamental Rights.

"The ECJ has recently used the charter to make clear that it can determine how our intelligence services monitor suspected terrorists.

"How long before the ECJ starts undermining the Five Eyes intelligence-sharing agreements that have been a foundation of British security since 1945, and which are the source of jealousy and suspicion in Brussels?"

Remain pulls ahead of Leave in EU referendum poll as David Cameron's leaflet hits home

Sir Lynton Crosby, the strategist behind the Conservative's election victory, says that the Remain campaign is pulling ahead as the referendum approaches. Here is his analysis of the current situation.

As the countdown to the referendum begins its final phase the Remain campaign has seen further improvement in its positionaccording to the latest ORB Poll for the The Telegraph.

While there is a growing majority preference among UK voters for Britain to remain in the EU, the risk for the Remain campaign as identified in previous ORB polls continues to be that Leave voters are more motivated to vote at this stage of the referendum campaign.

Sir Lynton Crosby

However, the gap in motivation to turnout and vote between the two sides is closing. The latest ORB poll shows those who want the UK to remain in the EU are becoming more motivated to vote. This research shows that turnout overall is up three points (to 67 per cent).

This turnout jump is completely down to an increase in motivation among Remain voters – where 65% (up four points since the previous track) are now likely to cast a vote. Contrastingly, there has been no change in motivation among Leave voters, with 70 per cent saying that they are definite to vote on referendum day.

If a referendum was held today, Remain would secure 52 per cent of the vote, an increase of three points since the previous ORB poll, while Leave would secure 43 per cent of the vote, a decrease of five points since the previous poll. But this isn’t solely down to an improvement in turnout among Remain voters.

The Remain campaign has also persuaded more voters of the case for staying in the EU. This can be seen by the fact that even without applying a likelihood to vote filter, support for the Remain campaign has improved by two points (to 53 per cent), while support for the Leave campaign has fallen by three points (to 41 per cent).

Greater voter contact from the Remain campaign and public perceptions of their performance could be directly related.

The proportion of those saying Remain is running the better campaign has increased by 5 points to 39 per cent while those saying the same of the Leave campaign has fallen by ten points to 25 per cent.

Equally, those saying they have heard the most from the Remain campaign has increased by 12 points to 44%, while those saying the same of the Leave campaign has again fallen by ten points to 25 per cent.