Game of Drones: ASX Stock Set for Aerial Uplift?

PUBLISHED: 23-11-2015

The summer holidays are just around the corner and it’s almost time to fill the stocking, crack open a beer, wine or soft drink, or just reward yourself with a nifty little toy for all the hard work you’ve put in during the year.

And one of the prized possessions on your shopping list may well be a drone.

But beyond being a great idea for a Christmas present, the main cash to be made from drones is in supplying to the emergency and first responder market.

The global market for Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) – the technical term for drones – is estimated to grow from US$6.76BN in 2014 to US$10.57BN by 2020.

One stock that has just caught our attention is a relatively unknown ASX-listed technology company selling not only into the drone market, but also very useful products for military and law enforcement agencies, including the Australian Defence Force.

This company is currently generating revenue right now from its comprehensive range of military equipment and products – in fact revenue doubled last FY alone.

But its latest product could be a game changer...

This Company’s latest tech generates detailed aerial imagery in real time from a drone, and superimposes it onto existing maps such as Google Maps.

Here is just a sample of the step change in surveillance that this company will soon be able to provide:

UAS video in context on Google Maps.

That’s right, this kind of rich, real time footage is all done in real-time – from a drone...

This company’s latest product may soon be a must have for drones in use by government, law enforcement, and first responder agencies – and consequently has significant commercial potential.

Beside the drone technology, the company was awarded a contract by the US Department of Defence, which will see its advanced lightweight hard armour plates rigorously tested.

If this company satisfies the US DoD that its armour plates are up to scratch, this could rapidly open the gates on large defence contracts.

Validation from the US DoD would also validate this tech in the wider, global market...

The Company is currently valued at just $8.25M and is tightly held – and given there are major catalysts on the horizon, this stock could move quickly.

At the same time, this is a small tech company and a speculative stock – please do your own research before considering as an investment.

So with over $12M in annual sales, $10M in equity funding if needed, and zero debt, we introduce you to:

XTEK LtdASX:XTE

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XTEK Ltd (ASX:XTE) is a small but thriving defence contractor that secured over $12M worth of sales last year. The company, founded in 1978 and listed in 2005, has quietly gone about developing a range of products for military and security purposes.

XTE doubled its revenue from FY14 to FY15.

Beyond its existing sales, after years of intensive research and development (R&D), XTE has produced two distinctive and cutting-edge innovations:

XTclave
TM
(body armour), and;

XTatlas
TM
(contextual, real time video for drones) which should give it a much larger springboard to bounce into the global $2.1TN defence industry.

This company is also just months away from finding out whether the US Department of Defence (DoD) would like to embrace its manufacturing technology for the production of future extra light and strong body armour.

So far we’ve only concentrated mainly on the drones aspect to this company, but a potential armour deal with the US DoD...

...could unlock a huge contract into what is a very large American market.

The US has one of the highest spending military bodies in the world, spending over $600BN per year – and what they buy often has an impact on the wider market.

This news could be a major catalyst for XTE.

In the coming months and after an intense two-year trial period, the US Armed Forces will finally see first-hand the benefits of XTE’s product.

In fact Composite Forecasts and Consulting LLC predicts the production for UAS for military is forecast to grow from 4,500 units in 2015 to 7,000 in 2020. Meanwhile civil UAS production is forecast to grow from approximately 2,500 units in 2015 to over 20,000 units in 2020.

Forecast Production for Military UAS to 2022.

And the numbers as stated earlier will see the global UAS market rise to $US$10.57BN by 2020 and Commercial US market to grow to $US1.27BN.

$10M equity placement facility

As with all small cap stocks that are still trying to bloom, having the necessary capital to conduct operations is pivotal.

This is another point which makes XTE attractive.

XTE has zero debt, but more importantly, has access to $10M in equity financing if needed.

XTE has the ability to issue shares up to the value of $10M at a 5% discount to a VWAP over the placement period, with the deal structured in XTE’s favour so that XTE retains control of the pricing and draw down of the facility.

The facility allows for
Kentgrove
to provide XTE with a series of placements valued between $100,000 and $500,000 over the coming three years which should enable that XTE is able to fund the rollout its XTclave and XTatlas technologies for the foreseeable future.

Given the sales potential here, let’s find out what XTE’s key products are all about.

XTatlasTM

XTatlas is a unique, real-time mapping solution that uses drones to obtain a highly detailed video view of any terrain and overlay it with existing maps that are available such as Google Maps.

XTatlas essentially allows the user to scout swathes of territory via real-time video footage captured from a drone, and overlay this onto any existing map.

XTE’s XTatlas allows the user to overlay live video footage taken from a drone onto an existing map – in real time.

Prior to XTE’s solution, accurate mapping was done manually after the drone had already landed.

With XTatlas all of that can be done in real-time which vastly improves surveillance situational awareness... imagine the implications and uses of this new technology.

Key to this technology is that the product can be deployed on XTE drones. Take a look at the below video showing the range of drones that XTEK sells.

And here’ a photo of an Aussie soldier going through training for one of the drones:

XTE’s close quarters work with both the US DoD and the Australian DoD, indicates that despite XTE’s small size, it’s still a significant innovator in its industry.

It’s not the size of the dog in the fight, it’s the size of the fight in the dog.

XTE is focused on providing XTatlas to the Defence and Commercial UAS markets. This will include XTatlas software sales, UAS sales and partnerships with multiple UAS suppliers to integrate XTatlas into their own systems and build and sell XTEK XTatlas capable UAS.

XTclaveTM

XTclave is another of XTE’s products that really caught our attention.

In other words, armour that is potentially lighter and stronger than anything else currently being developed.

This technique is rather different to the current status-quo of using air pressure. Liquid pressure is both faster and more powerful than air pressure as well as providing greater precision during manufacturing.

XTE’s patented process facilitates cost savings as well as an improved product.

This translates to equivalent strength for less weight or greater strength for the same weight.

The XTclave could well be a revolution for armour plate production, and it’s all XTE’s.

That’s right – the US Department of Defence has chosen XTE’s tech for its Foreign Comparative Testing (FCT) Program. The mission of this Program is to test items and tech of foreign allies and friends that have what they call a high ‘Technology Readiness Level’, in order to satisfy US DoD requirements.

Needless to say, it’s not easy to get your tech in front of the US Department of Defence – so XTE has done very well to have its tech advance to this stage.

The development period for the contract was initially two years and XTE is about to finally provide the US Military with data of how it’s technology can enhance future armour plate designs.

The US market for hard armour protective plates is estimated to be around US$2.2BN between 2017-2022.

With a bit of luck, XTE will see its superior armour manufacturing process validated by the US DoD...

One of the most compelling aspects to XTE is that it is focusing on using breakthrough technology to develop solutions for the defence industry.

This is important because future wars and conflicts are unlikely to rely more on human beings, but rather, turn to automated machinery such as drones, satellites, remote controlled vehicles and even
humanoid robots
.

Therefore, companies focusing on building and supplying the most robust solutions to enable militaries to reduce their reliance on manpower are likely to have the best chance of long-term success.

Not only that, but these technologies can be further incorporated into day-to-day living as well as into the response of emergency services.

XTE has a strong range of products, generating over $12M in revenue last year and has government contracts coming in – but the company is currently only capped at around $8.25M.

This is the type of scenario we like to look for at
The Next Tech Stock
– an undervalued, tightly held company that may well be poised for a potential re-rate on the back of a big contract.

And should all go well, that contract could be with the US DoD...

Five distinct divisions underpin XTE’s business model

Beyond the XTclave and XTatlas, XTE has a whole suite of other products.

XTE develops, builds and sells its own hardware but to ensure a vast range of solutions, XTE also imports and distributes a range of other products.

Overall, XTE supplies over a hundred different products ranging from rifles to explosives detection kits.

Here’s a summary of what XTE sells into the global defence market:

Weapons & Ancillaries

XTE Weapons and Ancillaries imports and distributes a range of firearms, ammunition, and accessories for use by Defence and Law Enforcement. These include a range of high quality lethal and non-lethal products.

XTE also manufactures customised enhancements which bolt-on to the original product.

Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) aka Drones

XTE is the exclusive Australian agent for US-based AeroVironment to provide its range of UAS, and here are a few of them:

UAS are being deployed increasingly in the commercial sector for their portability and flexibility with a huge variety of applications. These small, lightweight systems can be used in a range of applications, from environmental monitoring and agriculture to surveying and geological services.

Internet giant Amazon is even planning on using drones to deliver your shopping for you:

And even
Australia Post
is in on the action and ready to roll out drone deliveries as early as next year.

Research done by
Drone Analyst
reveals that 82% of consumers surveyed would pay to have their good delivered by a UAV.

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S3 Consortium Pty Ltd (CAR No.433913) is a corporate authorised representative of LeMessurier Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 296877). The information contained in this article is general information only. Any advice is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation nor needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice.

Conflict of Interest Notice

S3 Consortium Pty Ltd does and seeks to do business with companies featured in its articles. As a result, investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this article. Investors should consider this article as only a single factor in making any investment decision. The publishers of this article also wish to disclose that they may hold this stock in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase this stock should be done so after the purchaser has made their own inquires as to the validity of any information in this article.

Publishers Notice

The information contained in this article is current at the finalised date. The information contained in this article is based on sources reasonably considered to be reliable by S3 Consortium Pty Ltd, and available in the public domain. No “insider information” is ever sourced, disclosed or used by S3 Consortium.

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The information in this website is general information only. Any advice is general advice only. Your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have not been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. S3 Consortium Pty Ltd (CAR No.433913) is a corporate authorised representative of LeMessurier Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 296877).