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Ohio: McCain/Palin 48%, Obama/Biden 45%; Florida: McCain/Palin 48%, Obama/Biden 46% Below are the poll results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted October 20-22, 2008. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. Below are the results of a three-day poll of likely voters in the state of Ohio. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Ohio, aged 18+, and conducted October 20-22, 2008 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/results.htm

North Carolina, for years a safely Republican state, has been seesawing up and down between the two presidential candidates in recent weeks. John McCain now leads Barack Obama by two points, 50% to 48%, in the Tar Heel State, according to a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ...ntial_election

I don't get too excited about polls one way or the other. I think McCain/Palin is going to stomp the piss out of the O and Joe because the news media has tried to brainwash everyone. Those dummies in Chicago can get the torches ready to burn down the stage for Obama's celebration party election night.

Some Independents might not care about Obama's trip to Hawaii to see his grandmother. Conversely, other Independents may see it as a cover up of his birth certificate and think this sucker is hiding something.

As has been the case in just about every presidential election cycle in recent memory, the polls are showing the Democratic candidate pulling away in October.

In just three elections of the last ten has this trend held up.

Why this is true is hard to say.

What is true is there are no credible reports of the major voting blocks: White women, White men, Catholics or Evangelical Christians moving to support Barack Obama in numbers he will need.

Of these groups the most immovable for Obama will be White males who will be 43% of the electorate.

For a variety of reasons no Democrat has won White males since 1964. The percentage of White males backing Democrats for president fell to 36% in 2004. As things stand, Obama does not appear headed to get even that much backing.

How low can this column sink for Obama ?

A just completed poll of America’s Military might provide a clue as to what the White male numbers could be this year.

The Military Times asked 4300 of its readers whom they supported. John McCain leads 68/23.

Admittedly this survey was of a conservative universe. Yet given the White male make up of the military ( 65%) and its exact match with the population in general, the gap from 36% to 23% suggests White males might be finding Obama especially hard to support.

Our military is 62/38 male. John McCain is leading among military females with 53%.

A September AP-Yahoo poll of only White Democrats suggests Obama’s White male support is not growing. AP-Yahoo said one third of White Democrats and 40% of all White Americans hold negative opinions of Blacks. Or was it of Obama himself? Can anyone say for sure that these folks will change their mind by November 4th? http://www.collinsreport.net/