Hedge funds bet big on BofA, other banks

At least 20 top hedge funds boosted their positions in financial institutions in the latest quarter in a sign that Wall Street is ready to bet on more risky sectors in the hope of longer-term rewards.

The push into financials indicates that fund managers including Steven Cohen and John Paulson, who are watched closely as barometers of risk, have shifted from routine merger arbitrage plays to directional bets that have more potential.

The aggressive switch was given credence by stress tests conducted by U.S. regulators that underscored the underlying health and viability of banks -- if they could raise capital.

Low stock prices also made banks a safer play, even if their profitability was still in question, said James McGlynn, manager of the Calvert Large Cap Value fund.

It's a fundamental bet that they won't go to zero, and that liquidity will come into the system over time, said McGlynn, whose fund owns shares in Bank of America and JPMorgan. Big banks have breathing room, he said.

Positions in big financials such as Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase stood out among the holdings of hedge funds in the second quarter, according to a Thomson Reuters analysis of regulatory filings.

The group of 30 hedge funds in the analysis increased their exposure to the financial sector by 56 percent to $59.5 billion in the second quarter compared to the first.

Filings showed at least five of the top funds bought into Bank of America, led by Paulson's purchase of 168 million shares. Shumway Capital Partners, run by Tiger Management alum Chris Shumway, bought 24.1 million shares and Timothy Barakett's Atticus Capital bought 26.9 million.

PROFITS IN QUESTION

The investments in the financial sector speak to improving outlooks for the economy and expectations that organic growth should follow.

Hedge funds are probably looking for companies that are strong in traditional lending roles instead of former profit centers such as structured debt, said Nadia Papagiannis, an analyst at Morningstar in Chicago.

Government-engineered aid over the past year through the U.S. Treasury's Troubled Asset Relief Program and guarantees on unsecured debt also created backstops and tailwinds for banks.

A lasting rebound for bank profits is in question, however, as mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures are rising despite efforts to slow the trend.

Before, financials all moved together and now the distinction is who is strong, Calvert's McGlynn said.

While the trend of increased hedge fund positions in financials was clear, the outlook for gold was less certain.

Lone Pine Capital and others sold more than a net 26 million exchange-traded SPDR Gold Shares last quarter, possibly unwinding hedges on a financial system meltdown, McGlynn said.

Notable funds stayed in or added to gold, however. Vinik Asset Management, run by the former Fidelity Magellan Fund manager Jeff Vinik, made SPDR Gold shares its biggest holding with the purchase of 2.1 million shares.