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目錄

"Telecoms retail revenue decline in Western Europe will be slower than in previous years, falling at a CAGR of -0.5% between 2016 and 2021."

Slower revenue decline in Western Europe is a result of increasing take-up of 4G technology-based services and next-generation access (NGA) fixed broadband services. Fast, reliable and generating more revenue, fixed broadband (FBB) connections and mobile data services will help to offset declining traditional voice revenue and become key revenue contributors by 2021.

This report and data annex provide:

a full update of our 5-year forecast of 345 mobile and fixed key performance indicators (KPIs) for Western Europe as a whole and for 16 individual countries

an explanation of the key drivers and assumptions that underpin the forecasts, along with discussion of the implications for fixed and mobile operators

an explanation of the significant changes to our previous forecasts for the region.

Coverage

Geographical coverage

Key performance indicators

Regions modelled

Western Europe (WE)

Countries modelled individually

Austria

Belgium

Denmark

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Ireland

Italy

Netherlands

Norway

Portugal

Spain

Sweden

Switzerland

UK

Connections

Mobile

Handset, mobile broadband, IoT

Prepaid, contract

2G, 3G, 4G, 5G

Smartphone, non-smartphone

Fixed

Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up

Narrowband voice, VoBB

DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Fixed and mobile voice traffic

Outgoing minutes, MoU

Revenue

Mobile

Service, retail

Prepaid, contract

Handset, mobile broadband, IoT

Handset voice, messaging, data

Fixed

Service, retail

Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS

DSL, FTTP/B, cable, BFWA, other

Mobile ARPU

SIMs, handset

Prepaid, contract

Handset voice, data

Table of Contents

5. Executive summary and regional forecasts

6. Total telecoms revenue growth in Western Europe will continue to decline between 2016 and 2021 but at a slower pace

7. Smartphones and 4G/5G: Smartphones will account for 93% of handsets and 4G/5G penetration will reach 84% by 2021

8. Fixed services: NGA connections will account for 73% of the total broadband lines and VDSL will be the leading access technology in 2021