Agustino Fontevecchia
, ContributorFrom global billionaires to art market fraud, I cover power and moneyOpinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own.

Beyond putting the U.S. on the verge of default, the government shutdown clearly had an economic impact, shaving as much as 2% off annualized GDP growth. The debt ceiling showdown between President Obama and Speaker Boehner also forced federal statistics agencies to delay their relapse of important data, yet the Bureau of Labor Statistics is now ready to issue the September jobs report, scheduled for Tuesday 22, which should show non-farm payrolls expanding by 200,000, according to
Barclays.

An angry Obama blasted the GOP, and the tea party specifically, for playing with the full faith and credit of the U.S. - Image credit: Getty Images via @daylife

Markets were forced to fly blind over the past few weeks as the government shutdown deprived investors of crucial economic data. Arguably the most important data point, the jobs report, was never released on October 4, as Democrats and Republicans exchanged blows in Washington.

With the shutdown becoming a thing of the past, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released an updated schedule of its upcoming data reports. The September jobs number will be released on October 22, and it could come relatively strong. Despite the negative economic impact of the shutdown, and the hundreds of thousands of furloughed workers, Barclays estimates the economy added 200,000 jobs in September, with the unemployment rate falling one-tenth of a percentage point to 7.2%.

They point to falling jobless claims, which continue to trend lower. The economy did take a hit from the protracted shutdown, with Standard & Poor’s estimating it shaved 0.6 percentage points off annualized fourth quarter GDP growth, or about $24 billion which effectively was taken out of the economy. An index of sales managers is more extreme, noting U.S. GDP was cut by 2%. Major companies, from
Boeing,
Lockheed Martin, and United Technologies, to Walmart and Costco acknowledged the effects, while the Fed’s beige book revealed business owners were unsettled by rising uncertainty.

A 200,000 print for nonfarm payrolls would suggest the labor market is increasingly resilient. That number would top both the September jobs report, where the economy added 169,000 jobs, and the September ADP report which came in at 166,000. It would also set the bar higher for the October jobs report, delayed one week to November 8, and would serve as further evidence for the Federal Reserve that the economy is improving, despite the self-inflicted pain caused by the shutdown.