De La Hoya said to WhamBamSe “It’s going to be a tough fight. It’s going to be a physical fight, which Robert is going to make. And we have to wait and see if Father Time is maybe catching up? [with Floyd] Who knows? I’m going to go with Guerrero by decision.”

Based on how Guerrero looked in his last two fights against Selcuk Aydin and Andre Berto, I’d have to say the chances of Guerrero winning a decision aren’t too good unless he finds some power and hand speed. Guerrero is too much of an old fashioned plodder to beat Mayweather with the way he’s fighting now.

In the lower weights, it didn’t matter too much that Guerrero was painfully slow and lacked the ability to move around the ring, but at welterweight against Mayweather, it matters a lot. Guerrero is going to be found out on May 4th, and De La Hoya will be proven wrong.

The difference in talent between the last two guys Guerrero beat and Mayweather are huge. There’s no comparisons, and a lot of boxing fans are forgetting that when they size up the Mayweather-Guerrero fight. If we saw Guerrero beat someone like Devon Alexander, Keith Thurman or Kell Brook, then there would be more of a reason to get excited about his chances against Mayweather, but those aren’t the guys Guerrero beat.

Golden Boy set him up with an aging Berto, who was coming off of a long layoff and hasn’t looked good in years, and an unproven Aydin. Naturally, Guerrero was going to win those fights because everything was stacked in his favor. Almost any decent welterweight would have beaten Aydin and Berto last year.