System in Caribbean has 70 percent chance of tropical development

This forecast is very close to what we consider an average season - 12 named storms, 6.5 hurricanes and two major hurricanes.

Tropical Depression Three was 525 miles west of Bermuda at 6pm, with winds of about 30mph and gusts of 40mph.

On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will approach the Lesser Antilles over the weekend, cross the island chain late Sunday or Monday, and move south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Monday and Monday night.

The top sustained winds around Beryl increased to 65 miles per hour, but the storm is still very small in overall diameter.

"Weakening is expected once Beryl reaches the eastern Caribbean Sea on Monday", forecasters said. Tropical storm watches are in effect for Barbados, St. Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe, St. Martin and St. Barthelemy.

High pressure over the Great Lakes will continue to bring breezy and cooler weather to Hampton Roads while Tropical Depression #3 continues to slowly strengthen off the North Carolina coast. While disorganized, showers and storms continue to develop in this areas and conditions may become more favorable for tropical development over the next few days.

The National Hurricane Center forecast cone that we show on WECT products is the official and best resource for storm intensity and track information.

Still, the storm is expected to impact some islands in the Caribbean even if it doesn't directly pass over them. Beryl has turned more towards the WNW since yesterday and the center of the storm is now mostly devoid of strong convection.

The team also lowered its forecast of major hurricanes - Category 3 and above - from three to one and decreased the probability of a direct hit on the USA coast from a major hurricane from 63 percent to 39 percent. Four of those storms are projected to be hurricanes with wind speeds of 74 miles per hour (119 kilometers per hour).

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