In holdover box office news for Friday, Black Panther returned to 154 theaters this weekend, in a pretty clear sign that Disney and Marvel want that $700 million milestone. The Chadwick Boseman MCU action drama earned another $8,000 on Friday to bring its domestic total up to $699.914m. We’re presumably looking at a $24k weekend (+69%) for a new domestic cume of $699.93m. It’ll still have around $69k to go, but A) Spectre needed a lot longer to get from $199m to $200m, and B) I can’t imagine Disney isn’t considering an MCU triple-feature event for the end of the summer.

In holdover news for movies that didn’t come out 5.5 months ago, Sony’s Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation earned another $6.7 million (-60%) on its second Friday to bring its domestic total to $74.6m. Comparatively, Hotel Transylvania 2 (-43% for a $7.497m day-eight gross) and Hotel Transylvania (-40% for a $6.487m day-eight gross) held up much better than the current threequel. We can expect a $22m (-49%) weekend and an $89.714m ten-day cume for the $80m Adam Sandler/Selena Gomez flick. It’s a harsh drop, on par with the 51% drop for The Emoji Movie, but we may still be looking at a $150m+ domestic total.

Marvel’s Ant-Man and the Wasp earned $4.4 million (-46%) on its third Friday, crossing the $150m mark and setting the stage for a likely $15.4m (-47%) third weekend and $163m 17-day cume. It should be just over/under the $180m (sans inflation) domestic total of Ant-Man next week. If it continues to hold like Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (1.29x its 17-day total), then it’ll get to $210m domestic. Even legs from this point closer to Age of Ultron and Iron Man 2 (around 1.24x the 17-day totals) gets it past $200m. At this point, its biggest threat is Walt Disney’s own Christopher Robin debuting on Aug. 3.

Walt Disney’s Incredibles 2 earned another $3.154 million (-32%) on its sixth Friday for a likely $11m (-38%) weekend and $556m 39-day total. We’re probably looking at a domestic total of around $580m by the time this one wraps up. Again, the biggest threat it faces is not next weekend’s animated Teen Titans GO to the Movies or even Mission: Impossible Fallout, but the Winnie the Pooh movie opening in two weeks. Disney is arguably sacrificing the individual grosses of their individual releases in order to control the market share, a strategy that will likely increase after they buy Fox.

Universal/Comcast Corp.’s Skyscraper took a brutal 66% dive on its second Friday, earning $3.148 million for a likely $10.64m (-57%) second weekend and $46.4m ten-day total. The movie only cost $125m to produce and its relative underperformance occurs as Universal and Legendary are both basking in Fallen Kingdom and Mamma Mia bucks. As for Dwayne Johnson, he’s coming off the biggest non-Fast and Furious movie of his career and even Rampage came within $10m of becoming the biggest video game movie ever. Even DiCaprio had J. Edgar mixed up with the likes of Shutter Island and The Great Gatsby. He’ll survive.

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom should earn around $10.275m (-37%) in its fifth weekend for a $383.17m domestic total. At this point, barring a collapse, it’ll make it past $400m in early August as it makes a run at $1.2 billion worldwide. Blumhouse’s The First Purge will earn $4.6m (-51%) in its third weekend for a $59.811m 19-day total. It’s still doing fine even if it won’t top $80m domestic. Annapurna's Sorry to Bother You expanded to 1,050 theaters in its third weekend for a likely $2.44m (-42%) weekend and rock-solid $9.87m 17-day total. Blindspotting may provide competition next weekend, but that’s a somewhat neat problem to have.

I've studied the film industry, both academically and informally, and with an emphasis in box office analysis, for 28 years. I have extensively written about all of said subjects for the last ten years. My outlets for film criticism, box office commentary, and film-skewing s...