JUST when I thought I’d cracked this along came Liverpool … the old Liverpool who we knew we couldn’t trust.

I used to have a rule about never backing them odds on away from home but Jurgen Klopp rewrote that with some scintillating displays until yesterday.

They were a big letdown against a Newcastle though and I lost 2pts on two Super Singles on Liverpool. I didn’t see one comment favouring Newcastle before the game but well done to the hindsight merchants who backed them.

After Liverpool along came Athletic Bilbao and another tale of woe. I needed them to beat Malaga at home to bring up the Top Treble and a third Super Single was on prolific striker Aritz Aduriz to score. The only way Malaga were going to avoid defeat was if Bilbao did something stupid. Step forward Mikel San Jose to collect a stupid red card – if I was the manager I’d show him the way to San Jose.

My goals treble I did choose to cover and that was the correct decision as as there was never a third goals at Eintracht Frankfurt.

Greg fared better with two winners and his only loser was so unlucky as Feyenoord scored their opener 30 seconds after the 30-minute mark. Feyenoord landed his £10 to £100 Challenge but and it’s me who is starting again thanks to Liverpool.

Tonight the big game is Everton v Crystal Palace while in the FA Cup Grimsby entertain Shrewsbury. I called Liverpool badly yesterday and may be wrong about the Everton game but here goes.

Everton have netted 16 goals in their last five home matches and Romelu Lukaku has scored in his previous four outings. To win the Toffees are 21-20 with the likes of bet365 and William Hill while Lukaku is 6-5 with Ladbrokes to net.

Those are great stats but on the other hand Palace have conceded just five in six away games and won four of those matches. They were sublime in putting five past Newcastle last time out and crucially have won 3-2 on their two recent visits to Goodison.

Everton crumbled against Bournemouth last weekend and that’s a concern. So taking into account Palace’s away form and record at Goodison I’m taking them not to lose. That pays 7-8 at 888sport and for the Super Single I’m on Palace draw no bet at 9-5 with 888sport.

Greg’s tipped over 2.5 goals and I wouldn’t argue with that and I’ll also consider both teams to score at 4-6 with BetVictor.

Start the treble with another team not to lose and that’s Grimsby. They have lost just one of their last 18 matches and the National League side should give their League One opponents a tough examination.

Of the three Scottish Cup games one has been postponed – Wick v Linlithgow – and the other two aren’t easy to call. Arbroath-Cowdenbeath could go either way and the all non-league clash between Lothian Thistle and Huntly is one where I believe both will score following their 1-1 draw in the original tie. Add both scoring on Spartans’ plastic pitch which is being used for the match to the treble.

And complete it with under 2.5 goals in the Portuguese League clash between Guimaraes and Rio Ave. Five of the last six meetings have gone that way including two 0-0s and two 1-0s.

There have been seven goals in Guimaraes’s five home matches and four of their last six in all competitions have gone under. It’s the same stat for Rio’s last six and the only figure that goes against this bet is 22 goals in their five away encounters.

mr fixit
everton 2nd highest home scorers (16 scored in 7 games) v palace (5 conceded in 6 games) meanest away defence.
what is the rule of thumb when you get both ends of the spectrum like this.
attack, defence or somewhere in-between ???

Right. Just to get things out the way. Huggy has been kindly posting for me while I’ve had technical issues.
A nice end to the MLS season after my write up pretty much came through. I did suggest that if the game was played on a neutral ground, the Timbers would have been favourites, and rightly so are now the MLS champions.

MLS Cup Final – 9:00PM

Over 10 Total Corners @ 10/11 @ 365/Titanbet – 11 points (Obviously don’t stake that much but I can afford to lose it. There will be cover available if we get plenty in the first half) **WIN**

Secondly, I’d like to have answers as to why I’ve had to mask my IP address to be able to post again? Tried making a new account with new email but to no avail, so thought I’d try my luck after being given some advice of getting a free VPN, and wouldn’t you know it, I can post again? Tell me if I’m incorrect but it would seem that my IP had been blocked from being able to post on the site?

Things are going well at Goodison and they have certainly found where the net is over the PSG few weeks! They’ve scored 16 in their last 5 matches and with big Lakakua firing in all cylinders they should be be good for another few goals! Palace have their own goal threat and will be bouyed after last week’s hammering of Newcastle! Can see both teams netting here and tbat should lead us to goals!

The jong PSV game has already been mentioned on here. I think NAC can score 2 against them, PSV conceded 19 in their last 6 home games. NAC is one of the best attacking sides in this league, scoring 15 in their last 5 games. The game is played at the stadium of FC Eindhoven, this is the first home game PSV play on this plastic pitch and their will be a big away support.

Rio Ave only failed to score once this season, in their last home game. They scored most goals away from home with 12 goals in 5 away games (3-2-3-2-2). They play away at Guimaraes who have kept 3 clean sheets this season and only 1 clean sheet at home against bottom team Tondela. These teams played in the league cup in October which resulted in a 3-2 home win for Rio Ave. I think Rio Ave should be able to score a goal tonight.

Finally decided to get myself an account after lurking for a while and first time posting here… but just wondered if anybody has any experience with the Belgian U21 league? 5 matches in it this evening and a few of them look like they could be decent for goals?

Lok Plvdiv have really struggles away from home and only scored 2 goals in their first 9 away matches. Today they are down to a bare bones of a team and only have 19 players available. Slavia Sofia have scored 6 in their opening 9 home matches. I think Slavia Sofia will take the win as I am sure most people will but I think it is going to be a boring match and very low scoring, maybe 1-0 or 2-0 to Slavia. The best bet for me is therefore Under 2.5 and hope Plovdiv can just concentrate on making a Brick Wall!

its okay slating liverpool mr f but you can’t expect them to win 6-1 every game the players have had a hectic schedule and were playing a newcastle side that are desperate for points and were due a bad game and thats all it was with a perfectly good goal ruled out,betting wise it was naivity on your part and more so for saying you will quite happily back spurs v newcastle again more naivity as newcastle have done well aginst man utd chelsea etc so i would advise people not to go backing spurs willy nilly as mr f clearly does not understand the premier league very well.every game in the premier league nowadays is a tough game no matter who you play.

macathered, I understand the Premier League as much as you or anyone else.
In fact I understand it well enough to have made Leicester 2+ my Saturday Super Single – I didn’t see any criticism of that one.
This season it’s unpredictable and we know it. Your comment is nonsense really and it’s easy to say after the even that Liverpool were a bad bet.
I never said Liverpool should win 6-1 and I had 2pts on Liverpool – that’s all.
And when I consider team news etc I probably will back Spurs to beat Newcastle at the weekend.

Mccathered, i lost a lot on pool but i also will back Spurs to get a few goals against toon as once in a while toon will pull a rabbit out of the hat but mostly will get whipped this season as they are a basket case.
I don’t think we saw you predict a toon win on here did we?

maccathered, I tipped them on Wednesday to get best prices – there was no team news to suggest Klopp would make 6 changes until the line-up was revealed.
Sometimes going early works and sometimes it doesn’t. You didn’t back Newcastle before the game – that’s my point.
It’s incredibly easy to have a go after the result but there were dissenting voices before the game.
But to claim I know nothing about Premier League football because Liverpool lost is ignorance.

Mr f and gregg, any other tipsters? Why don’t you ever advise back in play or even just before the game?(when the market has calmed back down). When the odds more often than not ,go up. And most top leagues don’t concede early goals any way!. I often bet no goal before 28 mins………on man u ,west brom , leicester , Swansea. Palace. Teams always play safe for first ten mins!
I liked reading hull shaker write, wait to see how the games going.
As soon as I saw Allen starting and no Sturridge added to Newcastle lining up with a powerhouse midfield and de Jong in behind cisse ,I was confident of not many goals(had very small bet on Sturridge and a goal after 70mins(inspired by gregg) This thread is well over egar to deposit funds in advance, on games without news. Or games that are highly unlikely to have, an early goal going in. Pointing out Chelsea as never scoring early goals!
I have no understanding of where the advantage lies in backing so early, apart from not loosing your money before hand?

the don cossack, I do a inplay bets and I’m sure Greg does.
However, I don’t like tipping inplay unless I’m watching the game.
On Saturdays I’m at the football and most busy football nights I’m working on the sports desk so it’s impossible for me to do.

Mr Fixit everybody and their dug was on Liverpool yesterday.A few scousers were on 5 live last night saying Lallana and Sturridge should have started and lets not forget about that chopped off goal . Tough one to call tonight as Palace aint no wall flowers.

Get a grip maccathered mate, everyone and their granny will have been on Liverpool yesterday! If you’re bitter about losing your money then maybe you shouldn’t have backed them if you didn’t fancy them and if you didn’t lose money on them (which I highly doubt) then you shouldn’t have your knickers in a twist! Just in case you’ve been living in a cave for the last 6 weeks, Pool are unbeaten away since Klopp took over (5 games) and have visited some of the most difficult grounds in the country in that period as well as winning in Russia, a notoriously difficult place to play. They’ve demolished City (2nd best home record 14/15), Chelsea (Best home record 14/15) and Southampton (5th best home record 14/15) on their own patch as well as drawing with Tottenham (unbeaten since the 1st day of the season) in Klopps first game. The only people who would have backed Newcastle are a few of the home support who bet with their heart rather than their head, and if they do that every week, they’ll be skint for the majority of the season. Give us your tips for this weekends premier league fixtures on the Friday, rather than the Monday. Cheers

davisam, well summed up.
At the weekend Man Utd, Man City, Chelsea, Spurs, Liverpool, Barcelona, Bayern and Milan among others failed to win.
The only side I put on the top tips was Liverpool. It was one of those weekends.

I only know of one guy that backed the Toon this weekend and unfortunately I had my bet done before I saw his prediction. Everybody else had the Pool to win, and by a few goals.
I blame Benteke for not putting away that first half chance(and then the floodgates would have probably opened) and probably Klopp for not starting Sturridge and that linesman for ruling out Morenos goal.
I’m staying well away from Liverpool from now on. Thats the 4th time theyve caught me this season.

And there was me advising Stephen to put it all on Liverpool and now he’s flying it again lol

mrfurious, once I saw the starting line-up I had doubts.
Sturridge and Origi scored 5 between them at Southampton and Lallana was also superb yet all were on the bench.
Maybe Klopp wasn’t complacent and like many punters wrote Liverpool off.

i was at yesterdays game and the biggest problem was lucas and allen both playing together,they did v southampton but a lot of people missed two vital facts that would/should have swayed any punter,emre can was banned and he has been pivotal to liverpools success and henderson on the bench,so in reality we started with two holding midfielders not a mistake by klopp either henderson had a niggle or he would not risk him either way this was almost certain the reason why liverpool lost that game.

Jordan, you probably have a dynamic (changes every time you go on net) IP address that has been re issued by your net provider and it has subsequently been banned by the website for something the new user did. If that makes sense lol.

UPDATE: Cashed out on 2-0 result at half-time for double my stake as can’t see it staying 2-0 (Plovdiv down to 10 men).
Hopeful win to nil bet will come in though as would be a surprise for Plovdiv to score now?

Haven’t had a form of reply as of yet but I’m sure they’ll get to it. Of the time I’ve been on here I’ve only been barred from posting once, and that was a precaution about a certain ‘H’. Can’t see what I would have done to spam the site but hopefully its all resolved soon.

Nothing from me tonight. I do like Gregs goal bet at Goodison but the Premier League has been a liability this weekend. Other thoughts were Lukaku Anytime @ 6/4 @ Bwin or an Everton 1st half goal @ 17/20 @ Betfair. Deciding to leave it though. Good luck with your bets gents.

Jordan, apolgies if you feel frustrated but admin have made 2 replies to you on the site and explained the situation.
You should know you haven’t been banned and it’s obviously a technical problem.
Anyone who has banned earns it and is told.
I didn’t say you had spammed the site – I said there was a spamming issue which admin have explained in the replies to you.
If you or anyone else have any problems or queries simply email us – but you won’t get a response at 4am or around that time.

Mr F I had emailed admin Friday evening and again yesterday evening. Not at 4:00AM after having checked the NFL results and my emails, where somebody had given me the advice as to try masking my IP. I’ve just seen the replies from admin on the site but can’t see what that has to do with only my IP address, as nobody else seems to be having problems, but they said they are working on it so all I can do is wait. Thanks for the added information though.

Lok Plvdiv have really struggles away from home and only scored 2 goals in their first 9 away matches. Today they are down to a bare bones of a team and only have 19 players available. Slavia Sofia have scored 6 in their opening 9 home matches. I think Slavia Sofia will take the win as I am sure most people will but I think it is going to be a boring match and very low scoring, maybe 1-0 or 2-0 to Slavia. The best bet for me is therefore Under 2.5 and hope Plovdiv can just concentrate on making a Brick Wall!

*** LOSER ***
Red card killed any chance, ended 3-0. I think I over worried about this game rather than just reading my own text above and putting on Slavia to win. Apologies

Romania Liga 1 – Petrolul Ploiesti – Dinamo Bucuresti 18:30
Petrolul :
– in the last game Petrolul lose away at Botosani (2-1);
– Petolul is last in Liga 1 with 8 points and -9 goal difference;
– Petrolul in the last 5 home games just lose 1 with Iasi (1-2);
– the home team played less spectacular matches in the league , only 5/20 seen over 2 goals;
Mihai Stoichita – Petrolul’ coach :
” Dinamo is a good team and have a very good coach who organized very well. We also can have a good organization first we rely on this, and after maybe on our inspiration we have to have in this game.”
———————————————————–
Dinamo :
– only a draw (0-0) home against Iasi last round;
– before this round Dinamo was 4th in the league with 34 points and +5 goal difference;
– Dinamo is undefeated in last 4 games with 3 wins and a draw;
– they only lost 1 single game this season away at Craiova(3-0);
Mircea Rednic coach :
” For tomorrow game we have 2 problems : Filip is suspended and Ghomsi who realeased free transfer.”
———————————————————–
Probable teams :
– Petrolul – Pecanha; Peteleu , Genev , Tudose , Pulhac ; Ropotan , Bucsa ; Nepomuceno , Zoubir , Varga , Mousa – (4-3-2-1)
– Beta injured , Benga suspended;
– Dinamo – Cerniauskas; Corbu , Marc , Mevlja , Fai ; Vojnovic , Anton ; Rotariu , Palic , Matei ; Gnohere (4-2-3-1)
– Filip indisponible;
———————————————————-
– Last season Dinamo won 3-0 away after a very good game;
– Petrolul is last with 2/20 victory this season;
– Dinamo has the first chance to win tonight;
———————————————————-
Bet :
– Dinamo DNB (if the match ends draw we’ll get money back) – 8/13 bet365 (NAP)
GL 😉

Hi @davisam a few years ago it was £ 1 a point but i have been very ‘lucky’ and i have slowly but surely increased my overall balance so I am now up to £ 25 a point. I will only put a tip on here once i personally put my own money on, so i dont pick just for the sake of it.
It is completely up to everyone individually to decide a relevant amount, only put on what you can afford to lose!!!!!!!!

that’s a bit more like it after a shocking sunday first times in ages lost a full 10pts in one day, Liverpool not scoring cost me a 19/1 that would of returned 20pts and hull posted ciclon win away at bolivar at 20/1 but though na nae chance more fool me just a fiver on it would of wiped out my days loss………………..

Hi mr f,
Did u put up a betting challenge today? Saw gregs. Just wondering in case i am looking in the incorrect place: cheers love the site, started with €20, 1month ago and still going, although I have made plenty of stupid errors myself and should have gone bust. Yesterday did hurt but I still have €100 in my account thanks to your hard work, it’s a great hobbie, this for me. Take care and keep up the good work.

In-play:
Not sure why Akhisar are 13/8 to beat Sivasspor?
They’ve won their last 5 homes, Sivasspor are in the bottom 3, and 15 points separate the two teams after 13 games…….Akhisar will go 3rd with a win.

Is there anyway that replies to deleted posts can also be deleted? They just sit there piling up at the bottom of the page and it can get quite confusing sometimes where current posts start and end. There’s 6 redundant posts just sitting there today

In-play:
Not sure why Akhisar are 13/8 to beat Sivasspor?
They’ve won their last 5 homes, Sivasspor are in the bottom 3, and 15 points separate the two teams after 13 games…….Akhisar will go 3rd with a win.

Boomster you must make a living out of this.
Amazing insight.
I modified your espanyol tip for them to score one rather than two. Thanks for your tips.
Im on paternity leave at present so this is my only source of income!

@dom77 I just love Footie and love stats, that’s all.
Congrats on the new born and hopefully we can make some money together.
There are loads of top quality tipsters on here, so hopefully we can help each other beat the bookies!

Mine was a mixed bag with winners in the Dutch reserves and USA ladies and returned stakes for the Hyde v Trafford 6/4 and 4/1 DNBs balanced against the Dutch NAP and related goal bets losing.

Ultimately it goes to show that ‘localised’ knowledge is invariably the way to go and Mr Orange tipped NAC to score 2+ in my selected game and (as usual) he was bang on. Well done pal – the man to follow for games in those great Dutch leagues.