Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2012-10-08 Version:7

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

270 |

538 |

Dem

303

Rep

235

Ind

0

Confidence States Won

270 |

538 |

Dem

263

Rep

206

Ind

0

Tos

69

State Pick-ups

Gain

Loss

Hold

Net Gain

ST

CD

EV

ST

CD

EV

ST

CD

EV

Dem

0

0

0

-3

-1

-56

26

2

303

-56

Rep

+3

+1

+56

0

0

0

22

2

179

+56

Ind

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Analysis

The first debate saw a surprising strong performance by Mitt Romney, so he's now near to Obama in national polls

Willard need to win al the four toss-up states (Florida-Ohio-Virginia-Colorado) to unseat Obama and the president is still performing quite good in the decisive four swing states, especially in Ohio and it's pratically impossible for Romney to win the White House without Ohio