4 comments:

Dan
said...

What about turnout?

Black primary turnout can be very, very low. And Bernie's people are enthusiastic.

Regarding turning, I saw an article about the predominantly black DC suburb of Lanham Maryland planning to extend the vote to high schoolers (presumably to give the teachers extra votes). But what was the primary turnout (since primaries are of course the only the thing that matters for local politics)? The same article added at the end that officials were trying to improve the primary turnout of 6%.

Hillary's Southern wall might not be so impenetrable if turnout is like that...

I used self-identified Democrats to pull both the white and black+Hispanic+Asian figure. Just now tried to look at "likely Democrat primary voter" and the sample sizes were too small for non-whites! However, it is worth noting that Hillary maintains a slight edge over Bernie among white Democrat likely primary voters.

The White democrats are being stupid. I very rarely attribute wisdom to Blacks and Hispanics, but they understand that Hillary Clinton has a fighting chance of beating Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders does not.