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China, India, Russia, and Brazil boast the 2nd, 4th, 8th, and 9th largest domestic markets in the world, respectively. This has provided a buffer in the face of the economic crisis because they depend less on exports than the average developing country: the sheer size of BRIC economies means that their companies can rely on millions of domestic customers when foreign demand declines. A distinction emerges with Russia with regard to the size and structure of the export component of the market size pillar: Russia is less sheltered from price and demand shocks than the others, given the structure of its output.

39 in the EU15). Stronger private and public institutions would ultimately reduce vulnerability related to greater integration with the global economy. The present crisis has also highlighted weaknesses in the countries’ financial sectors. 7 This was attributable to, among other factors, foreign direct investment from Western European banks (including the associated transfer of know-how),8 as well as fairly solid financial policy frameworks. Because of this relative strength, no systemic failures of banking systems have been observed to date, despite significant pressures.

The second wave of contagion, and the steep drop in global demand— especially in the European Union, which remains the main export destination for these countries—further drove them into recession. 5 Open economies that were highly exposed to foreign currency borrowing and that ran large current account deficits, such as the Baltic States, were hardest hit. While these are expected to register negative double-digit growth rates in 2009, Poland, the Slovak Republic, and the Czech Republic will suffer from much milder recessions (see Table 1).