Saturday, June 21, 2008

Cross-Talk: A Different Picture of Global Equity Returns

In my last post, I illustrated the global bear market across the U.S., Asia, and Europe via country-specific ETFs. A number of readers pointed out that some countries are up on the year, and that is correct.

In the graph above, I plotted year-to-date returns for the U.S. (SPY); Australia (EWA); Canada (EWC); Russia (RSX); South Africa (EZA); and Brazil (EWZ). I included these countries alongside the U.S. to illustrate the more favorable performance among resource-rich economies. The exception is South Africa which has seen a weak currency, power shortages, and social unrest over the past year.

As oil producers, Canada, Russia, and Brazil have performed positively, even as large oil consumers, such as China, have been relatively weak. Since mid-May, however, with some toppiness in oil prices and intimations of greater supply from the Saudis, even the stock markets of the oil producers have undergone a correction..

About Me

Author of The Psychology of Trading (Wiley, 2003), Enhancing Trader Performance (Wiley, 2006), The Daily Trading Coach (Wiley, 2009), and Trading Psychology 2.0 (Wiley, 2015) with an interest in using historical patterns in markets to find a trading edge. As a performance coach for portfolio managers and traders at financial organizations, I am also interested in performance enhancement among traders, drawing upon research from expert performers in various fields. I took a leave from blogging starting May, 2010 due to my role at a global macro hedge fund. Blogging resumed in February, 2014, along with regular posting to Twitter and StockTwits (@steenbab). I teach brief therapy as Clinical Associate Professor at SUNY Upstate in Syracuse, with a particular emphasis of solution-focused "therapies for the mentally well". Co-editor of The Art and Science of Brief Psychotherapies (American Psychiatric Press, 2012). I don't offer coaching for individual traders, but welcome questions and comments at steenbab at aol dot com.