EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

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EUR/USD's break of 1.1818 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 1.1879 is completed at 1.1729. And, rebound from 1.1669 is resuming. More importantly, it revives that case that corrective fall from 1.2091 has completed at 1.1669, ahead of 1.1661 support. Intraday bias is now back on the upside for 1.1879 first. Break will pave the way to retest 1.2091 high. On the downside, below 1.1729 will bring retest of 1.1669 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is not finished yet. It's expected to continue after pull back from 1.2091 completes. And, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. However, it should be noted that there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, such rebound from 1.0399 could be a correction. And the long term fall from 1.6039 (2008 high) could resume. Hence, we'd be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside.