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RI has been doing these prospect profiles all day along with their respective chances that they will land as a redskin with the 4th pick...what i dont get is that how come the total percentage chances add up to greater than 100 percent...i mean there is only one player that can be picked...shouldnt the sum of the chances for each player equal to 100 percent?

Posted by Michael David Smith on April 22, 2010 5:12 PM ET
One of the more intriguing draft rumors floating around today involves a new team that may have an interest in acquiring Washington Redskins defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth: The Minnesota Vikings.

A league source told PFT that the Vikings are in "hot pursuit" of Haynesworth.

The rumor we heard lines up with something Judd Zulgad of the Star Tribune wrote today, indicating ESPN's John Clayton had mentioned that the Vikings had contacted the Redskins about Haynesworth. Although Redskins coach Mike Shanahan has said there have been no Haynesworth trade talks, most people believe that Haynesworth would be available.

Haynesworth would seem to be a better fit in the Vikings' 4-3 defense than in the new 3-4 that the Redskins are installing. In Minnesota, Haynesworth would join a defensive line that already has defensive tackles Kevin Williams and Pat Williams, both of whom are still potentially facing four-game suspensions over a 2008 positive test for a prescription diuretic.

Vikings in "hot pursuit" of Haynesworth
Posted by Michael David Smith on April 22, 2010 5:12 PM ET
One of the more intriguing draft rumors floating around today involves a new team that may have an interest in acquiring Washington Redskins defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth: The Minnesota Vikings.

A league source told PFT that the Vikings are in "hot pursuit" of Haynesworth.

The rumor we heard lines up with something Judd Zulgad of the Star Tribune wrote today, indicating ESPN's John Clayton had mentioned that the Vikings had contacted the Redskins about Haynesworth. Although Redskins coach Mike Shanahan has said there have been no Haynesworth trade talks, most people believe that Haynesworth would be available.

Haynesworth would seem to be a better fit in the Vikings' 4-3 defense than in the new 3-4 that the Redskins are installing. In Minnesota, Haynesworth would join a defensive line that already has defensive tackles Kevin Williams and Pat Williams, both of whom are still potentially facing four-game suspensions over a 2008 positive test for a prescription diuretic.

sounds about right. and it doesn't need to add up to 100% since it's not addressing the relative probabilities of mutually exclusive outcomes. more like a futures prediction market or house odds in vegas, representing the cumulative wisdom of the seven respondents with respect to potentially independent events...

...unlike the asinine WP posts re: our first pick. I'm not usually into dogging the folks who provide this forum, but that was some pretty weak stuff.

in any case, after getting Cow Sense beef management software recompiled and running, with minor tweaks to the source code, I think AH and JC will be gone by the end of the weekend. but the confidence intervals are wide. not sure about the other guys.

The Skins need to trade down, they can get a good free safety later like Major Wright or Nate Allen. I would be quite content getting a tackle like Davis in the middle of Round 1, and the extra picks to address all our other needs. If you want to talk draft check out Fanspeak.com and our live draft chat http://fanspeak.com/more/nfl-draft-page/

"NFL sources" tell beat writer Judd Zulgad that an Albert Haynesworth trade to the Vikings isn't going to happen.
That didn't take long. It's not clear if it's the Redskins or Vikings refusing to pull the trigger here. The Vikings may not be willing to part with a high draft pick with Pat Williams and Kevin Williams already in pace.

How pis-sed will JAX fans be if Tebow is gone before JAX's 2nd round pick (42)? And there is no way Jags can use their #10 pick in the first round on him.

Damned if they do and dont.

You have to wonder if the NFL has unofficially asked a "favor" of the other teams to pass on Tebow until Jags get a shot in the 2nd round.

And maybe Tebow's agent knows he is not going to be touched in the 1st round for this reason and why he sent him home to Jacksonville.

Although the statement from the Agent that he went home to Jacksonville "to be with family" does sound better..than "The Fix is In". No one is going to touch him in the 1st Round so the Jags can select him in the 2nd.