Whilst the year will start with Michael Gove looking increasingly insecure in his position, it will ultimately be Andrew Lansley whose position is threatened most, after his ambitious and rapid set of NHS reforms inevitably come a cropper somewhere along the line.

David Laws will return to government.

The decision on Murdoch’s attempt to take complete control of BSkyB will ultimately be to deny him his wish, having first undergone several months more investigation.

Lib Dem autumn conference will see attacks on the leadership, with councillors who lost their seats in May out for blood.

The economy will not suffer a double dip, although it will start the year sluggishly, and by the end of the year things will be looking up.

Lib Dem leadership will contribute to progress on a legal vehicle at COP 17.

Alan Johnson will not be Shadow Chancellor by the end of the year.

The Independent will not be being published in its current form by the end of the year.

House of Lords reform will not be scuppered by the House of Lords itself, and by the end of the year it will be fairly certain that elections for the House of Lords will take place within the next 10 years.