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Richmond have been posted at the $1.40 quote in the head to head betting and are favourites on the back of their superior record this season. They won 18 of their 22 regular season games and qualified in top position, while Collingwood claimed 15 victories on their way to finishing 3rd.

Richmond also head in with a fresh list, having had the week off after their 31 point Qualifying Final win over Hawthorn, while Collingwood will have had just six days recover from their most recent final, a 10 point win over the GWS Giants.

The clash between the two sides is a mouth watering one to say the least. Close to 100,000 fans are expected at the MCG and the portion of those that belong to the ‘Magpie Army’ can head in with some degree of optimism, despite their sides underdog status as Collingwood ranked higher than Richmond in a number of statistical measures over the course of the 2018 home and away season.

They were No.1 in the competition for disposals, 3rd for contested possession and 4th for clearances. Richmond were were 14th, 8th and 17th in these measures. Look for Scott Pendlebury, Taylor Adams and Steele Sidebottom to find plenty of the ball, while Brodie Grundy should get on top in the ruck.

However, Richmond have shown that they can absorb pretty much anything at the MCG and were 2nd for points conceeded, while Collingwood were 8th in this area. The Tigers will look to force their opposition into error before capitalising.

The battle between Richmond’s defenders and Collingwood’s forwards will be pivotal. The likes of Alex Rance ,Dylan Grimes and Nick Vlaustin will look to contain Will Hoskin-Elliot, Jordan De Goey and Josh Thomas, who have combined for 113 goals this season.

At the other end of the ground, the competition’s leading goal kicker, Jack Riewoldt, will be looking to make his mark, while Daniel Rioli and Josh Caddy are others that will present a danger to the Magpies.

Richmond have no major injury concerns. Dustin Martin and Daniel Rioli left training early during a session last week but are expected to play. Dan Butler may sneak back into the side after missing the Qualifying Final with injury, while Brandon Ellis is waiting in the wings.

Collingwood pulled up without any injuries out of the Giants win. Darcy Moore and Ben Reid are among those that are on the return from injury and it will be interesting to see whether Nathan Buckley rolls the dice on either of those two. Both are lacking match fitness.

Richmond have won the past four games between the two sides by an average margin of 26 points. They met in Round 2 this season and Round 19 with those games going the way of the Tigers by 28 and 43 points.

A feature of both of those clashes was that Collingwood stuck with Richmond until three-quarter time before the Tigers produced big last terms. In the most recent encounter, Jack Riewoldt and Dustin Martin combined for six goals for Richmond, while Brodie Grundy, Stele Sidebottom and Scott Pendlebury were very solid for the Magpies.

The two sides have not faced each other in a final since the 1980 Grand Final, which went the way of Richmond by a then record margin of 80 points. The Tigers are unbeaten at the MCG this year. Collingwood are nine from 15 at the venue in 2018.

Any fear of a premiership hangover for the Richmond Tigers has been quickly eradicated after just five rounds. The Tigers are showing that 2017 was no fluke. They play fast, with aggression and most importantly, immense pressure.

The Tigers are breaking new ground and old stereotypes with every passing week. They are on top of the AFL ladder for the first time since 1995 and for the first time since sports betting has been legal in Australia, Richmond are premiership favourites.

The Tigers have won 11 consecutive games at the MCG, a streak that dates back to Round 13, 2017. During that 11-game span, the Tigers have an average winning margin of 38.9 points and have held their opponents to an average of just 61 points.

Both Richmond and Collingwood are coming off short breaks, having both been involved in the Anzac Eve and Anzac Day games. The Tigers do get the extra day’s rest, having played on the Tuesday Night.

The Tigers simply demolished Melbourne after quarter-time, running away 46-point winners. It was a scrappy first-quarter, with only three goals kicked for the term. After that, it was all Richmond, with the Tigers kicking 13 goals to seven.

The pressure from the Tigers was immense. This made for a hard-fought contest that included a combined 342 contested possessions and 157 tackles.

Collingwood was also involved in a tight first-quarter tussle before streaking away with a dominant 49-point victory on Anzac Day. The Pies were made to work in the first-term, but limited a stagnant Essendon to just one goal between quarter-time and three-quarter time.

The Pies are surprisingly many so far this season, including myself who had them well out of the top-eight at the start of the season. The Pies have now won three matches in a row, with wins over Carlton, Adelaide and Essendon.

The one worry I have about Collingwood is, they were beaten convincingly in Clearances by Essendon (34-25) and 26-11 at Stoppages. That stat obviously didn’t amount to anything on the day, however, if they allow Richmond to rack up those clearances, we will see a vastly different result on Sunday.

There were mumbles that Jamie Elliott could return in Round 6 against the Tigers, however, he isn’t in the selected team and must wait another week. Jarryd Blair returns for the Pies. Nick Vlastuin, Josh Caddy and Jack Graham are all In’s for the Tigers. With those inclusions, goalsneak and future colt hero at the Tigers Jack Higgins is back on the extended bench and is in danger of being dropped again.

Richmond has won four of their last five games against Collingwood, including a 91-point victory in Round 21, 2015. While the Tigers are looking for their 12th consecutive victory at the MCG, the Pies are looking for their fourth consecutive win for the first time since 2015.

Although I’ve been impressed with Collingwood in the last three weeks, Richmond is a different kettle of fish. I have the Tigers clearly in a class of their own after five weeks of Football and It’s going to take a terrific effort by the Pies to stay close to the in-form Tigers on Sunday.