Opinion poll: BJP likely get 19 seats in Bihar; JD-U to be reduced to 6

Opinion poll: BJP likely get 19 seats in Bihar; JD-U to be reduced to 6

According to the ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll, the National Democratic Alliance will emerge as the gainer with 21 seats in the Lok Sabha polls, the Janata Dal-United will face the heat of break-up; will get 6 seats

In Bihar, the Bharatiya Janata Party likely to emerge as the largest party with 33 per cent vote share and 19 seats in the upcoming Lok Sabha polls, the poll says. The BJP had got a vote share of 13.98 per cent and 11 seats in Bihar in the 2009 elections.

Alliance Scenario

INC+RJD & BJP+LJP

Party

Vote share

Seat

INC+

26

12

BJP+

38

21

JD(U)

12

6

Others

24

1

TOTAL

100

40

Lalu Prasad Yadav’s Rashtriya Janata Dal will bounce back, and will get around 10 seats in Bihar, according to the poll. According to the poll, the RJD will likely gain from the loss of the JD-U, and is predicted to get 10 seats with a vote share of 17 per cent. The RJD had gotten 4 seats in the 2009 general elections.

The JD-U will face the heat of the break-up from the BJP, and may shrink to 6 seats in 2014 compared with 20 seats in 2009. As per the poll, the JDU’s vote share may reduce to 12 per cent compared with 23.8 per cent and 20 seats in the 2009 general elections.

The poll says that the Congress is likely to get only 2 seats in the 40-seat house of Bihar. Ram Vilas Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party likely to get 2 seats. As per the poll, the BJP in alliance with the LJP is likely to hit 38 per cent vote share and 21 seats in Bihar. Congress-RJD predicted to get a vote share of 26 per cent with 12 seats.

Image: Supporters of Hindu nationalist Narendra Modi, prime ministerial candidate for the Bharatiya Janata Party and Gujarat's chief minister, cheer before the start of a rallyPhotographs: Adnan Abidi/Reuters

Trinamool Congress is likely to emerge as the largest party

In West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee’s All India Trinamool Congress is likely to emerge as the largest party with 28 seats, the poll says

The TMC is likely to emerge as the largest party in West Bengal with 28 seats and 41 per cent vote share, predicts the poll. It’s a major gain for the party; the party had got 30.51 per cent vote share and 19 seats in West Bengal in the 2009 LS polls.

The poll says the Left parties are likely to get 10 seats and a 31 per cent vote share compared with 43.09 per cent vote share and 15 seats in the 2009 LS polls.

The Congress is predicted to get 3 seats with a vote share of 8 per cent compared with 6 seats in the 2009 polls. The BJP is likely to get 1 seat with a vote share of 14 per cent in compared with 6.22 per cent in the 2009 polls.

The poll says that the Communist Party of India-Marxist is predicted to get around 6 seats compared with 10 seats in the January 2014 opinion polls. The CPI likely to get 2 seats in the 2014 LS polls.

Image: Mamata Banerjee, chief minister of West Bengal and Trinamool Congress chief, addresses her supporters in front of a portrait of Mahatma Gandhi during a rally ahead of the 2014 general elections, in New Delhi.Photographs: Anindito Mukherjee/Reuters