Category Archives: NFL 2013 Weekly Picks

I apologize for the delay in blogging the picks this week. I’ve been driving cross-country the last few days and am just now getting back to normalcy. Last weekend was disappointing, as the Panthers, our big play, let us down. Anyone following my twitter during the game saw that I was more than a little…

That was a pretty freaking awesome weekend of football! As a Chiefs moneyline backer, Saturday afternoon was a little less pleasant, but still, there was not a single boring game the entire weekend. The good news: Massey-Peabody leaned to the correct side in each game (well, there was no correct side in GB/SF as it…

Happy New Year from Cade and me! It’s been an excellent year personally and professionally for both of us. We made improvements to our NFL model and had our best regular season yet, and we recovered from a dreadful start to finish above .500 in our first year of college football picks (with an excellent record…

Merry Christmas everybody! Heading into the final week of the season, our picks appear poised for another profitable year. Last week was another strong week, with our Big Plays going 1-1, our Other Plays 1-0, and Break-Even or Better selections 2-1. In terms of line move value, both Big Plays did not move. Our Falcons pick moved 2.5 points…

Won our two “official” plays last week, lost both of our BEOB picks (one unfortunately pushed at the closing line). Sorry for the delay in getting the ratings updated this week. I run the code and send the ratings to Cade, who normally puts together the graphics, but Cade is traveling to Argentina this week and…

Had a little bump in the road last week, going 2-3 overall (1-0 on Big Plays, 1-3 on Other Plays). This week we have a very small slate of games we like. As has been the case in previous years, the differences between how we value teams and how the market values them gets smaller later in…

We had another profitable week in the NFL, with our two official plays both winning and our leans going 2-2. For the season, we’re now at 61.54% for our “official” plays and 60.23% if you include our Break-Even or Better (which we expect to win at a 52.5%-54% clip). Lines are widely available as of 12:50pm EST…

Coming off of an excellent weekend! Went up to New Haven for the Yale/Harvard game, and then watched the Massey-Peabody picks nearly go undefeated. (Naturally, it was my Redskins that kept us from perfection.) Overall, M-P picks went 7-1 on the weekend, including 3-0 on our Big Plays. The market generally agreed with our numbers, as…

We had a decent performance last week, going 0-1 on Big Plays, 2-0 on Other Plays, and 1-1-1 on Break-Even or Better selections. There was a lot of line movement on games we picked: Green Bay, our big selection, moved from +6 all the way to +3, Arizona moved from -6.5 to -9.5, and Carolina moved from -2.5…

Last week was a bit of a bump in the road for our NFL picks. Our Big Plays went 2-2. Carolina won in San Francisco as a 6-point dog, and Arizona covered our published line of -2.5 by half a point (though this pushed for anyone who played it at -3). Dallas and Green Bay did…