US election campaign diary: 6 days to go

The polls in this campaign are up and down faster than the elevators in Trump Tower at the moment…so can they be trusted?

Donald Trump himself was blasting their accuracy for months, claiming they were rigged against him….until this week when he started to hit the lead, and now all of a sudden he’s spruiking their results.

Hillary Clinton has also shown in the last couple of days that she believes the polls too – this week she has more than doubled her advertising spend in a desperate 11th hour bid to resuscitate her run for the White House.

And it seems the wider public believes them too…it’s very interesting look at some of the reaction in the wider community to the potential success of both candidates.

Ms Clinton led in the polls throughout October, and it’s no coincidence that October saw record levels of gun sales across the US as weapons enthusiasts feared that if the Democrats won this, they’d set their sights on tightening gun laws.

And yesterday as Mr Trump hit the lead in polls for the first time in six months, a shudder went through global financial markets…almost all major European and Asian markets plunged as international investors feared the ramifications of the Republican candidate potentially taking the top job.

With six days to go, this election could go either way – and here are a couple of interesting little statistics that could sway which side claims victory on November 8.

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Firstly, in early voting the turn out so far from African American voters is down significantly – it was to be expected given that Barack Obama isn’t running this time around, but either way it’s bad news for the Democrats.

Then when you look at the all-important swing states, there has been slightly more support for Mr Trump than Ms Clinton at the majority of locations.

The issue for Mr Trump though is that he can’t afford to lose a single swing state – and not only that he then needs to steal one or two traditionally Democrat states as well if he is to become President.

So long story short – it’s too tight to call right now, and an argument can be made for either candidate.