By this time next week, no matter what happens in Miami, attention will shift to New York, where the league will hold its draft on Thursday. There are still a slew of moving pieces—teams looking to trade up, looking to trade down, coaching vacancies unfilled, front office turmoil—but the picture is starting to clear up. A little, at least.

1. Cleveland. Nerlens Noel, PF/C, Kentucky. So far, it looks as though the Cavaliers will stick with conventional wisdom and take Noel, ACL injury and all.

2. Orlando. Victor Oladipo, SG, Indiana. There are not many sure things in this draft, but Oladipo appears to be one, which is why he has bolted up the board all the way to No. 2. Remains to be seen whether the Magic wind up with him or if they trade down—Minnesota wants him badly.

3. Washington. Otto Porter, SF, Georgetown. Porter visited the Wizards for a workout this weekend, and provided nothing crazy happens with picks No. 1 or 2, there is no chance he gets past Washington here.

4. Charlotte. Anthony Bennett, SF/PF, UNLV. Best available player for Charlotte here is Ben McLemore, but the team is so heavy on guards, they need to bolster the frontcourt. Bennett is a tweener, which is a problem, but he makes up for his height with length.

5. Phoenix. Ben McLemore, SG, Kansas. McLemore could go No. 1, or he could tumble. It is hard to imagine him tumbling past Phoenix, which needs the kind of focal-point scorer McLemore could become.

6. New Orleans. Alex Len, C, Maryland. Len is coming off foot surgery after the season, but he played enough at Maryland to get the attention of scouts. He is a legit center, and many feel he can be more offensively productive than he was with the Terps.

7. Sacramento. Trey Burke, PG, Michigan. The Kings could go in just about any direction, having just hired a general manager and coach, sitting with a scattershot roster. They need leaders and winners, though, and either Burke or C.J. McCollum would fit that bill.

8. Detroit. C.J. McCollum, PG/SG, Lehigh. The Pistons might take a pure point guard here, and if so, it will be playmaker Michael Carter-Williams. But McCollum has been selling himself as a combo point man in the mold of Stephen Curry. Sounds good from here.

9. Minnesota. Sergey Karasev, SG, Russia. Yes, this is high for Karasev. But he has a great jump shot, and the Timberwolves need more guys with great jump shots. Not sure the Wolves wind up keeping this pick, which would, of course, drop Karasev. They could go for Shabazz Muhammad or Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, too.

10. Portland. Shabazz Muhammad, G/F, UCLA. Muhammad has had pretty good workouts, and the off-court controversies that cropped up around him have pretty much been quelled—most of what’s happened wasn’t his fault. The real question teams have is this: Is he quick enough to play 2-guard?

11. Philadelphia. Cody Zeller, C, Indiana. After slipping, Zeller restored his good name with an excellent showing in Chicago, and has done well in workouts. Problem is, most of the teams in the Top 10 are looking for perimeter help.

12. Oklahoma City (from Houston via Toronto). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG, Georgia. With a championship contender, the Thunder’s play will be to draft the best talent available. Caldwell-Pope is a terrific athlete with upside.

13. Dallas. Lucas Nogueira, C, Brazil. Not sure what the Mavs do with this pick. They could do a draft-and-stash, or they could trade it to create more space for their run at Dwight Howard and Chris Paul.

14. Utah. Michael Carter-Williams, PG, Syracuse. Carter-Williams could land with the Kings, Pistons or Mavericks, but for the Jazz—who started Mo Williams at point last year—this would be a dream scenario.

15. Milwaukee. Shane Larkin, PG, Miami. The Bucks have a crucial summer ahead, with Monta Ellis opting out and Brandon Jennings in restricted free agency. Perimeter players are a must, and Larking had an impressive workout.

16. Boston. Dennis Schroeder, PG, Germany. It is widely believed that the Celtics promised to draft Schroeder—a Rondo-like point man—if he is available here. He might not last this long, but the Celtics could get their man.

17. Atlanta. Steven Adams, C, Pittsburgh. Adams has interest from several lottery teams, including Philadelphia and Dallas, but again, most teams in the upper reaches are looking for guards. He’d make a nice fit on a rebuilding Hawks team.

18. Atlanta (from Brooklyn via Houston). Tim Hardaway Jr., SG, Michigan. Hardaway is a tough, versatile off guard who can score and play defense. The Hawks are looking for that type of player.

19. Cleveland (from L.A. Lakers). Giannis Adetokunbo, SF, Greece. The Cavs could be willing to move this pick, seeing as their lottery pick will give them five players chosen in the Top 20 in three drafts. They want some veteran help. If they keep it, Adetokunbo is a good gamble, and will stay in Europe.

20. Chicago. Gorgui Dieng, C, Louisville. The Bulls need depth at every position, and while they could go with an off-guard here, Dieng is a big guy who is ready to contribute defensively.

21. Utah (from Golden State). Kelly Olynyk, C, Gonzaga. Someone is going to slip on draft day, and signs point to Olynyk. He can shoot, but teams are too worried about his lack of muscle and defense to use a lottery pick on him.

22. Brooklyn. Mason Plumlee, PF, Duke. Kris Humphries was a disappointment, Reggie Evans was a starter, and Andray Blatche was a nice surprise, but who knows if you can count on that again? The Nets need to add some frontcourt depth, and Plumlee is the pick.

23. Indiana. Jamaal Franklin, SG, San Diego State. It’s incredible that the Pacers made it within a whisker of the Finals with the bench they had. They need scoring punch, and Franklin can provide points in bunches.

24. New York. Glen Rice Jr., SG, D-League. Rice is one of the most intriguing prospects on the board. Three suspensions at Georgia Tech are a problem, but when he got to the D-League he was fantastic. The Knicks are never opposed to draft-day gambles.

25. L.A. Clippers. Rudy Gobert, C, France. Gobert is a tough one to place. He will need a lot of time to develop, but he has great potential—enough that he could land in the lottery, where he was in our last mock draft. The Clippers are thinking point guard (Isaiah Canaan, Erick Green, Pierre Jackson, Nate Wolters) here. But Gobert is a good risk.

26. Minnesota (from Memphis). Mike Muscala, C, Bucknell. He’s a good shooter for a big man, and has already demonstrated that he can add muscle. He’s a Minnesota guy, so what the heck, the Wolves stay local.

27. Denver. Ray McCallum, PG, Detroit. Hard to say what Denver is going to do, seeing as they just had their front office cleaned out. But Andre Miller can’t play forever, and McCallum had a good workout in Denver. Reggie Bullock is possible here, too.

28. San Antonio. James Ennis, SG/SF, Long Beach State. Ennis is big (6-7) and a very good athlete, averaging 16.5 points and 6.7 rebounds as a senior. He can defend and score, the kind of under-the-radar prospect that the Spurs seem to dig up.

29. Oklahoma City. Tony Snell, G/F, New Mexico. Snell is a big shooting guard who is proving to teams that, yes, he can play shooting guard. He played the 3—and even the 4—at New Mexico.

30. Phoenix (from Miami via Lakers). Jeff Withey, C, Kansas. Withey can rebound and he can block shots. He might slip into the high second round, but he has enough known skill to warrant a first round pick.