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The San Francisco 49ers have breezed through the playoffs so far without needing much from quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo Photo credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

When making your Jimmy Garoppolo prop bets, the question needs to be asked: Can the San Francisco 49ers really win Super Bowl LIV with Garoppolo only throwing eight times like he did in the NFC Championship Game?

The answer to that is probably not, but I still don’t expect big numbers out of him on Super Bowl Sunday. That will largely impact our Jimmy Garoppolo prop bets. All odds and prop bets are courtesy of FanDuel.

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Date

Sunday, Feb. 2

Time

6:30 p.m. ET

How to watch

FOX

Game odds

Chiefs -1.5, 54.5 over/under

Jimmy Garoppolo prop bets: 240.5 passing yards

We certainly know Garoppolo is capable of throwing for over 240.5 passing yards in Super Bowl LIV. After all, he threw over this number in 10 of his 16 regular season games this season.

Having said that, the game plan has certainly been different in the 49ers’ first two playoff games. Garoppolo has thrown just 27 times in two postseason games so far, the fewest among all 12 quarterbacks in these NFL playoffs.

I expect the 49ers to continue trying to run the football. They’ve been extremely effective on the ground during the NFL playoffs and it’ll take extra time off the clock, which means the ball will be in reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes’ hands for fewer possessions.

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Garoppolo (208 total passing yards) doesn’t have 240.5 passing yards during these entire NFL playoffs. I expect the 49ers to need to throw the ball a little more in Super Bowl LIV, but he currently isn’t anywhere close to 240.5 passing yards.

UNDER (-118)

Jimmy Garoppolo prop bets: 1.5 passing touchdowns

Not to be a Debby Downer again but Garoppolo hasn’t had two or more passing touchdowns since Week 14 in New Orleans — nearly two months ago. The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense allowed 221.4 passing yards per game – 8th best in the NFL. It was significantly better than their run defense (128.2 rushing yards allowed per game – 26th best in the NFL).

I would expect if the 49ers have a big scoring day, it’s thanks to Raheem Mostert and a fierce 49ers rushing attack, not Garoppolo.

If you feel confident in Garoppolo breaking out with two or more passing touchdowns, consider the Super Bowl parlay of Garoppolo throwing for two or more touchdowns and the 49ers to win Super Bowl LIV at +280.

I expect Garoppolo to be in a similar role as he’s been in the NFL playoffs, so I’d take the under.

UNDER (-112)

Jimmy Garoppolo prop bets: 3.5 rushing yards

This one seems flukier than the previous prop bets, so don’t break the bank here, but a small wager on over 3.5 rushing yards seems reasonable. Garoppolo doesn’t run much, averaging just 3.9 rushing yards per game, but it only really takes one broken play and he hits the over.

Garoppolo has rushed four times in each of the first two 49ers playoff games. It’s conceivable if he rushes four times again, he can get over 3.5 rushing yards.

Garoppolo hit the over in five of his last seven regular season games.

OVER (-112)

Jimmy Garoppolo prop bets: 29.5 pass attempts

If you’ve been following along to this point, it’s pretty clear that the 49ers have not asked much of Garoppolo lately. While I expect his workload will increase in the Super Bowl, I expect San Francisco to still be a running-focused team.

As we mentioned, Garoppolo doesn’t have 29.5 passing attempts the entire NFL playoffs. It would be strange to see 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan switch up the game plan dramatically when things have worked so well lately.

Garoppolo hasn’t thrown 30 or more pass attempts since Week 15, in a loss to the Atlanta Falcons. It seems pretty clear that the 49ers are going to dare the Chiefs to stop their running game, just as the Tennessee Titans did in the AFC Championship Game.

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