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After 1/11 events, the following athletes are provisionally in a qualifying position from the World Surf League. Note: athletes from Hawaii are marked with (HAW) and athletes from French Polynesia with (PYF) as they compete separately in Surfing.

Men

Itali Ferreira

Kolohe Andino

Jordy Smith

(HAW) John John Florence

Gabriel Medina

Wade Carmichael

Owen Wright

(PYF) Michel Bourez

Kanoa Igarashi

Jérémy Florès

The countries who will qualify from the WSL are already almost predetermined. Only Leonardo Fioravanti can change the status quo, but he appears to be one of the weaker athlete on tour. The WSL is very, very heavy on Australians, Americans and Brazilians and the selection battles between those athletes will be the real story.

Women

Caroline Marks

(HAW) Carissa Moore

Sally Fitzgibbons

Stephanie Gilmore

Tatiana Weston-Webb

Johanne Defay

Brisa Hennessy

Paige Hareb

As far as country quotas go, the only question is whether can get a second quota and, if so, which of , or will qualify. Silvana Lima, the second Brazilian, is injured but should be able to qualify if she regains her form.

The only other qualification battle worth watching is the bloodbath that will be the American qualification process: they have 7 athletes in the top 12.

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After 2/11 events, the following athletes are provisionally in a qualifying position from the World Surf League. Note: athletes from Hawaii are marked with (HAW) as they compete separately in Surfing. I am only including athletes that are qualified to compete on the tour in the selection battle (theoretically an athlete that isn't on tour could qualify for enough events to be selected, but this is unlikely).

Men

(HAW) John John Florence

Italo Ferreira

Jordy Smith

Filipe Toledo

Kolohe Andino

Ryan Callinan

Owen Wright

Kanoa Igarashi

Michel Bourez

Jérémy Florès

The first athlete not qualified is Ricardo Christie, followed by Leonardo Fioravanti.

American selection battle:

(HAW) John John Florence - 16,085 points

Kolohe Andino - 9,130 points

Conner Coffin - 8,065 points

(HAW) Seth Moniz - 8,065 points

Kelly Slater - 5,010 points

(HAW) Ezekiel Lau - 2,660 points

Griffin Colapinto - 1,595 points

(HAW) Sebastian Zietz - 1,330 points

Brazilian selection battle:

Italo Ferreira - 14,745 points

Filipe Toledo - 11,120 points

Gabriel Medina - 9,490 points

Wilian Cardoso - 6,640 points

Yago Dora - 4,650 points

Peterson Crisanto - 4,650 points

Deivid Silva - 4,650 points

Michael Rodrigues - 2,660 points

Jesse Mendes - 1,595 points

Jadson Andre - 1,595 points

Adriano de Souza - 530 points

Australian selection battle:

Ryan Callinan - 7,415 points

Owen Wright - 6,640 points

Wade Carmichael - 5,010 points

Mikey Wright - 4,650 points

Reef Heazlewood - 4,650 points

Julian Wilson - 2,660 points

Adrian Buchan - 2,660 points

Soli Bailey - 2,660 points

Jack Freestone - 2,660 points

French selection battle:

Michel Bourez - 4,650 points

Jérémy Florès - 4,650 points

Joan Duru - 1,595 points

Women

Caroline Marks

(HAW) Malia Manuel

Stephanie Gilmore

Sally Fitzgibbons

Tatiana Weston-Webb

Johanne Defay

Brisa Hennessy

Paige Hareb

The only unqualified athlete is Silvana Lima, who has yet to compete this year due to an injury. She will likely go ahead of Hareb if she recovers this season.

American selection battle (where the real action is on the women's side, the US has 7 of the top 12):

Caroline Marks - 16,085 points

(HAW) Malia Manuel - 13,885 points

Courtney Conlogue - 12,610 points

(HAW) Carissa Moore - 12,545 points

Lakey Peterson - 8,695

Sage Erickson - 7,355

(HAW) Coco Ho - 7,355

Australian selection battle:

Stephanie Gilmore - 9,490 points

Sally Fitzgibbons - 8,695 points

Nikki Van Dijk - 5,220 points

Bronte Macaulay - 5,220 points

Macy Callaghan - 5,220 points

Tyler Wright - 2,090 points

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After 3/11 events, the following athletes are provisionally in a qualifying position from the World Surf League. Note: athletes from Hawaii are marked with (HAW) as they compete separately in Surfing. I am only including athletes that are qualified to compete on the tour in the selection battle (theoretically an athlete that isn't on tour could qualify for enough events to be selected, but this is unlikely).

Men

(HAW) John John Florence

Kanoa Igarashi

Italo Ferreira

Filipe Toledo

Kolohe Andino

Jordy Smith

Jérémy Florès

Wade Carmichael

Ryan Callinan

Michel Bourez

Michel Bourez had a good result in Bali, which allowed him to increase his gap over Leonardo Fioravanti.

American selection battle:

(HAW)John John Florence- 17,415 points

Kolohe Andino- 13,875 points

Conner Coffin - 11,385 points

Kelly Slater - 11,095 points

(HAW) Seth Moniz - 9,395 points

(HAW) Ezekiel Lau - 2,925 points

Griffin Colapinto - 2,925 points

(HAW) Sebastian Zietz - 1,860 points

A semi-final appearance has propelled 47 year old Kelly Slater, the greatest contest surfer in history and a big influence in getting Surfing in the Olympics, into contention for a spot on the American team.

Brazilian selection battle:

Italo Ferreira- 16,075 points

Filipe Toledo- 15,865 points

Gabriel Medina - 10,820 points

Michael Rogrigues - 8,745 points

Wilian Cardoso - 7,970 points

Yago Dora - 5,980 points

Peterson Crisanto - 5,980 points

Deivid Silva - 5,980 points

Jesse Mendes - 4,915 points

Jadson Andre - 2,925 points

Adriano de Souza - 795 points

Michael Rogrigues put himself in the conversation for a potential Olympic spot with a semi-final finish in Bali.

Australian selection battle:

Wade Carmichael - 10,820 points

Ryan Callinan- 10,735 points

Owen Wright- 7,970 points

Adrian Buchan - 7,405 points

Mikey Wright - 5,980 points

Julian Wilson - 5,980 points

Jack Freestone - 5,980 points

Soli Bailey - 2,925 points

Carmichael moves up two spots to take the lead of the Australian battle.

French selection battle:

Jérémy Florès- 12,450 points

Michel Bourez- 7,970 points

Joan Duru - 4,915 points

Florès takes a commanding lead over Bourez and Duru thanks to a runners-up finish in Bali.

Women

Stephanie Gilmore

Caroline Marks

Courtney Conlogue

Sally Fitzgibbons

Brisa Hennessy

Tatiana Weston-Webb

Johanne Defay

Silvana Lima

Lima comes back from injury and competes for the first time this season, immediately overtaking Paige Hareb for the last automatic qualification spot.

American selection battle (where the real action is on the women's side, the US has 7 of the top 12):

Caroline Marks- 18,695 points

Courtney Conlogue - 17,355 points

(HAW) Carissa Moore - 17,290 points

(HAW)Malia Manuel- 16,495 points

Lakey Peterson - 11,305

(HAW) Coco Ho - 9,965

The American selection has developed into an extremely close four way race between Marks, Conlogue, Moore and Manuel. They are all basically within one round win of each other at the moment.

Australian selection battle:

Stephanie Gilmore- 19,490 points

Sally Fitzgibbons- 16,495 points

Nikki Van Dijk - 11,305 points

Bronte Macaulay - 9,965 points

Macy Callaghan - 6,265 points

Tyler Wright - 3,135 points

Van Dijk finished third in Bali, but it didn't help her get a place in Tokyo as Gilmore and Fitzgibbons finished 1-2.