Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 30 2015
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on just-upgraded
Hurricane Joaquin, located a few hundred miles east-northeast of the
central Bahamas.
1. A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms over the central
Atlantic several hundred miles northeast of the northern Leeward
Islands is associated with a frontal trough and the remnants of Ida.
This system has become a little better organized since yesterday,
and additional gradual development is possible during the next
several days while it moves slowly northwestward. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.
Forecaster Beven

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
ASSOCIATED WITH A 1009 MB SURFACE LOW...REMNANTS OF
IDA...CENTERED NEAR 25N58W AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONTAL TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM THE LOW TO 23N52W. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A
BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHILE IT MOVES NW.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN
46W-63W. THE CHANCE OF FORMATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS
MEDIUM.