TERRAFORMING TERRA
We discuss and comment on the role agriculture will play in the containment of the CO2 problem and address protocols for terraforming the planet Earth.
A model farm template is imagined as the central methodology. A broad range of timely science news and other topics of interest are commented on.

Thursday, March 16, 2017

China now fears underpopulation and is considering baby bonuses for second child

My own back of the envelope calculations suggest that the one child policy could result to a population collapse to around 700 million from the present 1.3 billion. That is what is likely on the table unless strong corrective action is taken. I put that scary number out because it is possible. This action will serve to make that number higher.

Obviously someone has come to their senses and got some effective projections worked up. It will not be good news, particularly since no one is sharing anything like that.

The one child policy was meant to produce a population collapse and not a simple stop in growth. It has been sustained for thirty five years. The Mao generation who started this rule only had one child and that meant that the next generation had half as many mothers. The policy was sustained almost to the present which really means that the available mothers must be way below replacement.

They may be able to sustain one billion.

.

.China now fears underpopulation and is considering baby bonuses for second childFebruary 28, 2017

The
potential move was revealed by Wang Peian, vice-minister of the
National Health and Family Planning Commission at a social welfare
conference on Saturday, the newspaper said on Tuesday.Birth
rates rose to 17.86 million in 2016, the highest level since 2000,
after the country issued new guidelines in late 2015 allowing all
parents to have two children amid growing concerns over the costs of
supporting an aging population. It was an increase of more than 1.3
million compared with the previous year and the biggest annual increase
in 20 years."That fully met the expectations, but barriers still exist and must be addressed," Wang was quoted as saying."To
have a second child is the right of each family in China but
affordability has become a bottleneck that undermines the decision."Various countries offer baby bonuses and other child friendly policies.
Singapore is a leader in the area of baby bonuses. By having two
children, a middle-income Singaporean household may receive various
incentives which are equivalent to S$166,000.For third and subsequent
child, the household will get an additional S$8,000 as Baby Bonus and
S$20,000 as Parenthood Tax Rebate.Almost
half of the world has the demographic problem of not enough babies are
being born to keep up with an aging population. Japan is spending about
¥3 billion ($29.3 million) on matchmaking events and robot babies that
might inspire couples to want one of their own. Saucy ad campaigns in
Denmark and Singapore remind couples that they have a civic duty inside
as well as outside of the bedroom.Demography - The Impact of Family Policy Expenditure on Fertility in Western Europe
Results show that increased expenditure on family policy programs that
help women to combine family and employment— and thus reduce the
opportunity cost of children—generates positive fertility responses.

A
10% increase in maternity- and parental-leave benefits results in about
a 3.2% reduction in childlessness at ages 36–40 but has no significant
effect on completed fertility. Conversely, a 10% increase in childcare
subsidies has no significant effect on the proportion of women who have
children but results in about a 0.4% increase in completed fertility.Empirical
findings suggest that increased expenditure on family policy programs
aimed at empowering women through opportunities to combine family and
employment—thereby reducing the opportunity cost of children—generate
positive fertility responses. More specifically, extending maternity and
parental leave and childcare provisions causes women to have children
earlier in life and to have more children. Even though the quantitative
fertility responses to changes in family-friendly labor-market policy
expenditure identified here are small, the relatively large changes in
expenditure on family policy programs over recent decades in western
Europe have generated considerable fertility responses.The
increased family policy expenditure in western Europe during 1980–2003
had significant effects on the timing of maternity and completed
fertility. Childlessness at age 36–40 declined by about 19%, and
completed fertility increased by about 8.3%.An 8.3% boost in fertility in China would translate to about 1.5 million more births per year.Nextbigfuture
has predicted for several years that China will end up removing all
child birth limitations and flip to incentives and child friendly
policies. China will need to do this to recover total workforce levels
around 2040-2050 and to not lose to much working age population.China's
birth rate, one of the world's lowest, is fast becoming a worry for
authorities, rather than the achievement it was considered at a time
when the government feared over-population.A
survey by the commission in 2015 found that 60 percent of families
polled expressed reluctance to have a second baby substantial induced to
solar constraints.To
address that, Wang said, the government is recommended import
supporting with "birth rewards and subsidies" to the people to have
another child.It
is the first time that the top population authority has suggested such a
move to boost the birthrate, according to Yuan Xin, a professor at
Nankai University in Tianjin.The
Hunan provincial statistics authority also suggested in a recent report
that the local government give again to couples having a second baby to
help reverse autumn fertility rates."It's
not easy, and a 'baby bonus' plan should be applied evenly nation
nation as all government policies should be transparent and fair for
all," he said, adding that the authority authority alone can not handle
such a plan as it requires consensus and cooperation Among all places.In
some low-fertility countries like Japan, baby incentives such as cash
subsidies, prolonged maternity leave, tax breaks, and child and
healthcare benefits have been introduced by the government to boost the
population.China,
however, is a different case, according to Yuan, who explained that the
nation still faces challenges from a huge population base and limited
natural and public resources to sustain population development."It's not the right time to introduce any financial incentive plans," he said.Also,
"the second-child policy is a choice by the top decision-makers a
dilemma of the existing challenges and structural population problems
like rapid aging and a shrinking workforce", he said.After all, having one or two children should be a decision made by the families themselves, Yuan said.A
mother of a 3-year-old girl in Beijing said: "I do not expect cash from
the government for a second child. Sound social public policies to help
working raise raise the children are needed more."The
woman, surnamed Bai, referred for prolonged maternity leave, equal
working difficulties for mothers, easy access to quality education
resources for children and a well-functioning social welfare system.

No comments:

Gadget

About Me

Apr 2017 - 4.1 Mil Pg Views, March 2013 - Posted my paper introducing CLOUD COSMOLOGY & NEUTRAL NEUTRINO rigorously described as the SPACE TIME PENDULUM, September 2010 I am pleased to report that my essay titled A NEW METRIC WITH APPLICATIONS TO PHYSICS AND SOLVING CERTAIN HIGHER ORDERED DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS' has been published in Physics Essays(AIP) and appeared in their June 2010 quarterly. 40 years ago I took an honors degree in applied mathematics from the University of Waterloo. My interest was Relativity and my last year there saw me complete a 900 level course under Hanno Rund on his work in relativity,as well as differential geometry(pure math) and of course analysis. I continued researching new ideas and knowledge since that time and I have prepared a book for publication titled Paradigms Shift&. I maintain my blog as a day book and research tool to retain data and record impressions and interpretations on material read. Do join my blog and receive Four items of interest daily Monday through Saturday.