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Friday, November 13, 2015

The Secret to Failure

The
No-Fly Zone: “From the start, our goal has been first to contain,
and we have contained them.” –President
Barack Obama

And from the start this was the
goal in Syria as well, that is, to contain the conflict. At one point the
administration really thought that it had succeeded in doing so. The result of
this delusional approach: Syria’s “contained” conflict has somehow managed to: 1)
facilitate the reemergence of an old regional empire (Iran) as well as a
recently deceased one (Russia); 2) reinvigorate a dying terrorist organization
(IS/Daesh) allowing it to regenerate and metastasize into a global threat (the
very threat that Obama had declared contained hours before the Paris
terrorist attacks); and 3) create a major refugee problem on a scale not
seen since the end of WWII, which is currently threatening the stability of
Europe!!!

It’s time we dispensed with this
dangerous and deadly myth of “conflict containment.” We live in a hyper
globalized world where the operations of death cults and their unity is more a
matter of ethos than organizational structure, and where the requisite tactical
and logistical knowhow is available literally at one’s fingertips. Containment
in these circumstances is well-nigh impossible, and the only viable strategy
for combatting this phenomenon is the adoption of a long-term plan that seeks
to tackle the root causes involved: autocracy, corruption and underdevelopment.

There are also problems that need
to be tackled within the confines of all existing democracies, including
development of ghettoes, better integration and inclusion policies for migrants
and combatting domestic racism. The Paris attackers are almost certainly young
unemployed and angry children of Muslim immigrants living in the banlieues,
the suburban low-income housing projects that sprang around Paris since the
1970s.

In the meantime, the
Responsibility to Protect should be invoked and deployed as often as needed in
order to prevent or halt ongoing mass slaughter. There should be no room in
this world for people like Bashar al-Assad. Strong leadership by the U.S. and
EU can convince the Russians, the Iranians and the Chinese of the need to move
beyond reliance on such maniacal figures and regimes to secure their interests.
The upcoming G-20 Summit should be used to tackle this thorny issue of linkage
between the behavior of certain authoritarian regimes and the threat of global terrorism.
But I hold little hope or delusions in this regard. None of the leaders
involved seems to have the necessary moral fiber and vision to make a serious
appeal in this regard.

But what is even more terrifying
is the prospects of witnessing people like the leaders of Russia and China, and
perhaps even India, South Africa, Brazil and Argentina, actually pushing for
the reverse proposition: that is, for the necessity of relying on people like
Assad in the fight against IS/Daesh and other death cults.

Bleaker still is the prospect for
blaming refugees, and adopting even more stringent policies towards their
integration, thus, creating even more problems for the future, and radicalizing
people who are simply looking for the security and liberty that they could not
find at home, and who would have preferred to find it there, if only the
powers-that-be in this world chose to help rather than wring their hands.

On an even bleaker note, attacks
like the one that took place in Paris, and mass slaughter like the one we
continue to witness in Syria might just represent the tip of the iceberg of
what is bound to come next as a result of our moral cowardice today. And the
innocent will continue to suffer, while hatemongers thrive.

Note

It’s significant to note here as
well that the policy of containment comes only after an ill-considered policy
of haphazard intervention failed. In Syria, it came after President Obama announced
that Assad must go, then, doing nothing to make this outcome possible. In
relation to IS/Daesh, it came a year after a policy to “degrade and ultimately
destroy” IS seems to have failed, largely due to the Obama Administration’s
unwillingness to devote the necessary human and material resources to see it through.

The point: failure is the
destiny of those who are unable or unwilling to follow through on their
promises and declarations, to make serious commitment to the cause they claimed
to be championing, and to match their actions to their rhetoric, and vice
versa. Obama set goals, drew red lines and made promises, then, he repeatedly
failed to adopt the right actions needed to achieve, enforce and fulfill them.
His is a failure to lead on a mass-scale.

In regard to the Paris Attacks,
and barring the unlikely revelation that they were actually carried out by a
non-Islamist group, there is an urgent need, now more than ever, for France to
match its actions to rhetoric and show the necessary moral leadership in regard
both to the Syria Conflict and the Refugee Crisis. Should the G-20 Summit and
the upcoming Vienna meetings end without agreement on a plan for Syria that
promises to rid us both of Assad and IS/Daesh, France should probably call on
NATO to take charge of the situation and enforce its own plan in this regard,
despite the inherent risks stemming mostly out of Russia’s presence along the Syrian
coast.

I do not expect this course of
action, but I advocate it while fully aware of the costs and risks involved.
Waiting will decrease neither cost nor risk; on the contrary, it will only
serve to increase them, exponentially.

Go ahead, patronize me!

About Ammar

Ammar Abdulhamid is a Syrian-American author and pro-democracy activist based in Silver Spring, Maryland. He is the founder of the Tharwa Foundation, a nonprofit dedicated to democracy promotion. His personal website and entries from his older blogs can be accessed here.

The Delirica

The Delirica is a companion blog to the Daily Digest of Global Delirium meant to highlight certain DDGD items by publishing them as separate posts. Also, the Delirica republishes articles by Ammar that appeared on other sites since 2016. Older articles can be found on Ammar's internet archive: Ammar.World