A Silva via tko in the 4th or 5th
Nogueira via early sub (this fight is a mismatch imo)
Teixera via UD or late stoppage (cant wait for this fight, potential fotn)
E Silva via tko (hopefully but could also get laid on for 3 rounds)
Davis via wrestlefck
Maia via sub (hopefully he will fight to his strengths as his kickboxing is dreadfull and Story could hurt him on the feet)

I think both could win inside 2 mins but Maldonado and especially Bonnar are durable so I'm hoping they can stick iin there. I love watching Bonnar fight and hope he puts in a good account of himself though he needs to mix up the fight and not just stand with anderson.

Big Nog looked pretty rough at the weigh-ins guys. I have been on Herman from the start and I feel even better about it now:

Here are some samples from my bet pack:

Erick Silva 1.71 vs Jon Fitch 2.10
Huge statement fight here for both guys. If Fitch wants to remain in the upper tier this is a must win. Nothing could rejuvenate his career like shutting down a rising star like Erick Silva. Silva on the other hand has made a nice progression up the ladder and now sits on the edge of the pool with the big boys. If he beats a former title contender and the man once considered the best WW not named St-Pierre, he will be on the verge of title contention. When I say on the verge, he still needs 1-2 more big wins but he will have come along way since he started his UFC career not that long ago. What Fitch wants to do is simple- obtain top control and stay there. Get Silva to the ground, keep him there, and beat him up. He is one of the most effective guys at executing this gameplan. It might not be pretty, but he makes it work and Silva will need to avoid giving Jon-boy any openings to get on top. What that means is- no spinning back kicks, no jumping knee strikes, and eliminate any and all high risk maneuvers at least early on. If Silva can show that he is capable of defending the takedown and maybe gets a round in the bag then he can open up and have a little fun. But anything that would leave him vulnerable for a takedown which could result in Fitch getting on top and not getting off of him till the bell goes is a no-no. Silva has serious power and although Fitch has been working to improve his striking he can’t afford to stand long with the Brazilian. Looking back at Fitch’s history; any time he stands with a power puncher he gets beaten up- GSP, Johny Hendricks, Mike Pierce, and even BJ Penn to a lesser extent. Silva is the type of striker that might only need one chance and that is something that Fitch can’t afford to play with. The other thing that comes to mind is the success that BJ had both defending the early takedowns (before he gassed) and attacking Fitch on the ground. If BJ can do it so can Silva who is a talented grappler and will be able to match Fitch’s size and strength (something BJ couldn’t). I have Silva ranked as my #1 value play because he pays decent and I really like him to leave with a win- so single bet and using him on the majority of your parlays it the way to go. For Jon Fitch the higher he goes in value the more my interest will grow. I think Silva takes this fight 9 times out of 10, but if Jon gets up to $2.25 or above I might consider placing a small wager on him considering he is the battle tested veteran taking on a rising talent that is taking a big step up in competition.

Joey Gambino/ Diego Brandao Total Rounds Under 2.5- Brandao is a first round finisher and he is the favourite in this fight so that would imply that an early finish is what many is expected. Gambino has finishing ability to and will go after it should the opportunity arise. Unlike Darren Elkins, if Gambino is dealing with a tired Brandao he will go for the finish instead of trying to grind it out. Both guys can finish, both guys have been finished- take the under.