NBA Daily Fantasy Projections and Value Plays - February 22, 2015

Before we jump into the projections and value plays for today, I just wanted to point out two new tools we recently added to the site.

The first is the NBA Daily Value Tracker which gives a complete breakdown of each NBA player from value perspective - for those who don't know, value is a measure of the relationship between the fantasy production of the player and their fantasy cost.

The second tools is the Defense vs. Position Report which details the daily fantasy production of each position against a team's defense - for example, this will allow you to get an understanding of how Centers do against the Miami Heat (14th best defense).

With that out of the way, here is a look, based on our internal projections, of how players in today's games are set to perform tonight and where you can find some value. Check out the optimal lineup at the end of the article - yesterday's lineup put up 249.7 points.

Note: make sure to keep an eye on injury and lineup reports! Also FanDuel is hosting a one-day $200,000 tournament where the winner takes home $20,000! Entry fee is just $25! Join FanDuel!

Centers

Here is a look at our projections for FanDuel Centers tonight including their Ceiling, Project, Ceiling, and Value:

Player

Team

Salary

Ceiling

Projection

Floor

Value

Nikola Vucevic

ORL

8600

52.999

39.512

26.026

4.594

Andre Drummond

DET

8300

51.886

37.810

23.734

4.555

Al Jefferson

CHA

8300

47.098

34.772

22.447

4.189

Marc Gasol

MEM

7900

42.153

32.953

23.753

4.171

Al Horford

ATL

8200

43.815

31.895

19.974

3.890

Jusuf Nurkic

DEN

5600

45.395

31.592

17.789

5.641

Andrew Bogut

GS

5300

51.261

28.299

5.336

5.339

Marcin Gortat

WAS

5200

32.963

23.708

14.454

4.559

Jordan Hill

LAL

5800

31.029

23.252

15.475

4.009

Robin Lopez

POR

5100

33.184

23.005

12.826

4.511

Roy Hibbert

IND

5700

34.958

22.970

10.982

4.030

Enes Kanter

OKC

5900

32.433

22.800

13.167

3.864

Larry Sanders

MIL

5100

32.223

22.381

12.539

4.389

Tyson Chandler

DAL

6300

30.397

21.634

12.871

3.434

Tyler Zeller

BOS

4800

29.692

20.755

11.817

4.324

Zaza Pachulia

MIL

5100

30.732

20.400

10.068

4.000

Kosta Koufos

MEM

3800

27.472

16.614

5.756

4.372

Dewayne Dedmon

ORL

3500

26.301

16.209

6.118

4.631

Miles Plumlee

MIL

3700

25.578

16.140

6.702

4.362

Robert Sacre

LAL

4200

24.447

15.504

6.561

3.691

Chris Kaman

POR

3900

21.383

14.391

7.399

3.690

Meyers Leonard

POR

3500

22.479

13.973

5.466

3.992

Henry Sims

PHI

3500

16.458

10.900

5.343

3.114

Ian Mahinmi

IND

3500

16.578

10.687

4.796

3.053

JaVale McGee

PHI

3500

17.796

8.472

0.000

2.421

DeJuan Blair

WAS

3500

17.582

8.237

0.000

2.353

Shayne Whittington

IND

3500

17.003

8.099

0.000

2.314

Jason Maxiell

CHA

3700

15.599

7.959

0.319

2.151

Pero Antic

ATL

3500

13.743

7.785

1.827

2.224

Festus Ezeli

GS

3500

10.418

6.618

2.818

1.891

Johnny O'Bryant

MIL

3500

10.618

5.548

0.478

1.585

Lavoy Allen

IND

3500

8.558

5.404

2.250

1.544

Ronny Turiaf

PHI

3500

3.733

2.653

1.573

0.758

Joel Anthony

DET

3500

4.262

1.978

0.000

0.565

Ognjen Kuzmic

GS

3500

3.698

1.633

0.000

0.467

Power Forwards

Here is a look at our projections for FanDuel Power Forwards tonight including their Ceiling, Project, Ceiling, and Value:

Player

Team

Salary

Ceiling

Projection

Floor

Value

LaMarcus Aldridge

POR

9300

48.835

36.683

24.531

3.944

Greg Monroe

DET

7700

48.193

34.036

19.879

4.420

Zach Randolph

MEM

8500

44.370

33.846

23.321

3.982

Paul Millsap

ATL

7600

43.383

31.821

20.259

4.187

Dirk Nowitzki

DAL

6300

40.163

29.562

18.960

4.692

David West

IND

6700

37.651

27.417

17.183

4.092

Serge Ibaka

OKC

7100

37.790

26.955

16.121

3.796

Nerlens Noel

PHI

6500

39.791

26.673

13.556

4.104

Kenneth Faried

DEN

6200

35.272

23.767

12.262

3.833

Ed Davis

LAL

6000

34.000

22.493

10.986

3.749

John Henson

MIL

5200

34.365

20.683

7.000

3.977

Carlos Boozer

LAL

5600

30.675

20.445

10.215

3.651

Brandon Bass

BOS

4800

31.732

20.444

9.157

4.259

Nene Hilario

WAS

5300

30.718

20.387

10.057

3.847

Luis Scola

IND

4300

28.166

19.517

10.868

4.539

Cody Zeller

CHA

4900

29.566

18.579

7.593

3.792

David Lee

GS

5300

24.343

18.249

12.154

3.443

Darrell Arthur

DEN

3500

26.840

17.233

7.625

4.924

Mitch McGary

OKC

3800

32.266

16.354

0.442

4.304

Amar'e Stoudemire

DAL

5200

23.281

16.243

9.205

3.124

Nick Collison

OKC

3800

27.982

16.082

4.182

4.232

Kevin Seraphin

WAS

3600

24.523

16.027

7.531

4.452

Mike Scott

ATL

3500

24.590

15.898

7.205

4.542

J.J. Hickson

DEN

4000

22.979

15.744

8.510

3.936

Marvin Williams

CHA

4200

23.743

15.275

6.807

3.637

Jerami Grant

PHI

3800

24.194

15.093

5.993

3.972

Drew Gooden

WAS

3600

31.313

15.026

0.000

4.174

Jakarr Sampson

PHI

3600

37.119

14.970

0.000

4.158

Marreese Speights

GS

4100

21.193

13.802

6.411

3.366

Tarik Black

LAL

3500

23.116

13.783

4.450

3.938

Charlie Villanueva

DAL

3800

24.571

13.456

2.341

3.541

Kenyon Martin

MIL

3600

22.075

12.883

3.690

3.578

Kris Humphries

WAS

4500

20.378

12.487

4.597

2.775

Ryan Kelly

LAL

3500

22.416

11.774

1.132

3.364

Anthony Tolliver

DET

3700

22.972

11.694

0.416

3.161

Thomas Robinson

DEN

3500

18.680

10.540

2.400

3.012

Ersan Ilyasova

MIL

3500

16.500

9.762

3.025

2.789

Kyle O'Quinn

ORL

3500

14.641

9.329

4.017

2.665

Channing Frye

ORL

3500

14.167

9.295

4.423

2.656

Elton Brand

ATL

3500

15.578

9.193

2.809

2.627

Jonas Jerebko

BOS

3500

15.426

9.173

2.921

2.621

Dwight Powell

DAL

3500

16.108

9.038

1.967

2.582

Greg Smith

DAL

3500

17.646

8.938

0.231

2.554

Noah Vonleh

CHA

3600

13.391

8.815

4.239

2.449

Jon Leuer

MEM

3500

14.819

8.801

2.783

2.515

Andrew Nicholson

ORL

3500

17.024

8.339

0.000

2.382

Malcolm Thomas

PHI

3500

13.361

7.078

0.796

2.022

Aaron Gordon

ORL

3500

11.119

6.965

2.811

1.990

Jarnell Stokes

MEM

3500

14.995

5.703

0.000

1.629

Mike Muscala

ATL

3500

9.122

4.883

0.643

1.395

Furkan Aldemir

PHI

3500

7.813

4.387

0.962

1.254

Tyrus Thomas

MEM

3500

6.979

3.404

0.000

0.973

James Michael McAdoo

GS

3500

5.661

3.200

0.740

0.914

Shavlik Randolph

BOS

3500

7.236

3.104

0.000

0.887

Point Guards

Here is a look at our projections for FanDuel Point Guards tonight including their Ceiling, Project, Ceiling, and Value:

Player

Team

Salary

Ceiling

Projection

Floor

Value

Russell Westbrook

OKC

11000

64.610

48.130

31.650

4.375

Stephen Curry

GS

10200

56.880

43.130

29.380

4.228

Ty Lawson

DEN

8400

52.293

39.483

26.673

4.700

John Wall

WAS

9100

47.948

36.838

25.728

4.048

Damian Lillard

POR

8400

45.680

34.080

22.480

4.057

Jeff Teague

ATL

7200

44.458

31.672

18.887

4.399

Isaiah Thomas

BOS

6000

43.265

29.165

15.066

4.861

George Hill

IND

5400

38.483

27.305

16.127

5.056

Elfrid Payton

ORL

6000

39.159

26.817

14.475

4.470

Mo Williams

CHA

5400

37.323

25.668

14.013

4.753

Tony Wroten

PHI

6300

37.175

24.539

11.903

3.895

Mike Conley

MEM

6500

35.411

24.114

12.817

3.710

D.J. Augustin

OKC

7200

35.133

23.149

11.164

3.215

Marcus Smart

BOS

5000

33.395

22.909

12.423

4.582

Jordan Clarkson

LAL

5100

34.072

19.720

5.368

3.867

Brian Roberts

CHA

5100

29.566

18.472

7.377

3.622

Rajon Rondo

DAL

5700

26.890

18.362

9.834

3.221

Devin Harris

DAL

4700

28.713

18.240

7.768

3.881

Jerryd Bayless

MIL

4400

28.994

18.014

7.034

4.094

Jeremy Lin

LAL

4500

27.110

17.804

8.498

3.956

Jose Juan Barea

DAL

4600

26.312

17.498

8.684

3.804

Dennis Schroder

ATL

5000

26.497

17.263

8.030

3.453

Reggie Jackson

DET

4400

24.426

17.256

10.086

3.922

Nate Robinson

BOS

4800

29.613

17.068

4.523

3.556

Jameer Nelson

DEN

4300

26.209

16.272

6.334

3.784

C.J. Watson

IND

4400

24.041

15.791

7.541

3.589

Beno Udrih

MEM

3700

23.911

15.501

7.091

4.189

John Lucas

DET

3500

21.002

13.532

6.062

3.866

Garrett Temple

WAS

3500

30.679

13.194

0.000

3.770

Steve Blake

POR

3500

21.896

12.552

3.208

3.586

Ramon Sessions

WAS

3500

20.795

11.979

3.163

3.423

Nick Calathes

MEM

3500

19.982

11.640

3.298

3.326

Ronnie Price

LAL

3700

19.260

11.363

3.465

3.071

Shaun Livingston

GS

3500

17.433

10.818

4.203

3.091

Luke Ridnour

ORL

3500

16.662

9.485

2.307

2.710

Larry Drew II

PHI

3500

14.595

8.838

3.080

2.525

Jorge Gutierrez

MIL

3500

17.112

8.732

0.351

2.495

Tyler Ennis

MIL

3500

13.760

6.810

0.000

1.946

Raymond Felton

DAL

3500

17.669

6.653

0.000

1.901

Shelvin Mack

ATL

3500

10.920

6.382

1.845

1.823

Jannero Pargo

CHA

3500

8.447

4.406

0.365

1.259

Donald Sloan

IND

3600

5.676

3.688

1.699

1.024

Isaiah Canaan

PHI

3500

5.002

2.406

0.000

0.687

Phil (Flip) Pressey

BOS

3500

3.880

2.032

0.184

0.581

Kalin Lucas

MEM

3500

2.000

2.000

2.000

0.571

Troy Daniels

CHA

3500

2.879

1.171

0.000

0.335

Russ Smith

MEM

3500

4.200

0.423

0.000

0.121

Small Forward

Here is a look at our projections for FanDuel Small Forwards tonight including their Ceiling, Project, Ceiling, and Value:

Player

Team

Salary

Ceiling

Projection

Floor

Value

Draymond Green

GS

7000

42.900

30.660

18.420

4.380

Wilson Chandler

DEN

5900

36.356

25.697

15.038

4.355

Robert Covington

PHI

6300

39.135

25.458

11.781

4.041

Khris Middleton

MIL

6500

36.686

24.680

12.673

3.797

Gerald Henderson

CHA

5700

35.998

23.947

11.896

4.201

Jared Dudley

MIL

4900

37.262

23.323

9.384

4.760

Jeff Green

MEM

4900

32.935

23.145

13.355

4.723

DeMarre Carroll

ATL

5400

34.353

22.929

11.505

4.246

Nicolas Batum

POR

5600

32.867

22.883

12.899

4.086

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute

PHI

5000

32.673

22.876

13.079

4.575

Paul Pierce

WAS

4400

31.072

20.951

10.831

4.762

C.J. Miles

IND

4700

31.974

20.254

8.534

4.309

Al-Farouq Aminu

DAL

4800

35.016

18.970

2.923

3.952

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist

CHA

5700

26.213

18.380

10.548

3.225

Danilo Gallinari

DEN

3800

27.012

17.178

7.345

4.521

Andre Iguodala

GS

4500

26.288

17.175

8.063

3.817

Harrison Barnes

GS

4400

22.936

16.950

10.964

3.852

Wesley Johnson

LAL

4000

25.280

16.512

7.743

4.128

Hollis Thompson

PHI

4000

25.952

16.072

6.191

4.018

Jae Crowder

BOS

4000

27.479

14.695

1.911

3.674

Rasual Butler

WAS

3500

24.809

13.942

3.074

3.983

Otto Porter

WAS

3700

22.152

13.440

4.729

3.633

Solomon Hill

IND

3900

19.859

13.424

6.989

3.442

Kyle Singler

OKC

3500

22.514

13.316

4.118

3.805

Jeffery Taylor

CHA

3500

30.669

12.665

0.000

3.618

Caron Butler

DET

3900

20.613

12.045

3.477

3.088

James Young

BOS

3500

18.563

9.375

0.186

2.678

Dorell Wright

POR

3500

13.646

8.350

3.054

2.386

Alonzo Gee

POR

3500

17.078

8.114

0.000

2.318

Damjan Rudez

IND

3600

15.128

7.895

0.663

2.193

Steve Novak

OKC

3500

22.982

7.819

0.000

2.234

Luigi Datome

BOS

3500

14.096

6.635

0.000

1.896

Martell Webster

WAS

3500

12.769

6.442

0.115

1.841

Jeremy Lamb

OKC

3500

9.397

4.398

0.000

1.256

Maurice Harkless

ORL

3500

7.934

4.358

0.782

1.245

Perry Jones III

OKC

3500

8.113

4.291

0.469

1.226

Quincy Miller

DET

3500

8.809

3.894

0.000

1.113

Chris Copeland

IND

3500

7.638

3.819

0.000

1.091

JaMychal Green

MEM

3500

7.517

3.669

0.000

1.048

Richard Jefferson

DAL

3500

8.750

3.581

0.000

1.023

Cartier Martin

DET

3500

8.980

3.578

0.000

1.022

Drew Gordon

PHI

3500

6.253

3.175

0.098

0.907

Gerald Wallace

BOS

3500

5.739

2.659

0.000

0.760

Justin Holiday

GS

3500

3.715

2.002

0.290

0.572

Andrei Kirilenko

PHI

3500

3.173

1.398

0.000

0.399

Victor Claver

DEN

3500

3.667

1.303

0.000

0.372

Chris Douglas-Roberts

BOS

3500

1.911

0.804

0.000

0.230

Shooting Guard

Here is a look at our projections for FanDuel Small Forwards tonight including their Ceiling, Project, Ceiling, and Value:

Player

Team

Salary

Ceiling

Projection

Floor

Value

Monta Ellis

DAL

6800

45.862

32.754

19.647

4.817

Klay Thompson

GS

7100

44.445

30.645

16.845

4.316

Victor Oladipo

ORL

6900

40.843

29.611

18.379

4.291

Evan Turner

BOS

5800

42.268

28.141

14.014

4.852

Giannis Antetokounmpo

MIL

6600

38.809

28.127

17.445

4.262

Jason Richardson

PHI

3800

26.156

26.156

26.156

6.883

Avery Bradley

BOS

5500

37.394

23.824

10.253

4.332

Wesley Matthews

POR

6000

34.001

23.473

12.945

3.912

Kyle Korver

ATL

4700

31.696

21.404

11.111

4.554

Evan Fournier

ORL

4100

32.682

21.382

10.082

5.215

Rodney Stuckey

IND

5100

32.162

20.049

7.937

3.931

O.J. Mayo

MIL

5200

29.847

19.947

10.047

3.836

Tony Allen

MEM

4000

29.316

19.716

10.116

4.929

Dion Waiters

OKC

4500

31.204

19.512

7.820

4.336

Wayne Ellington

LAL

4900

30.202

19.024

7.847

3.883

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

DET

5000

28.732

18.842

8.952

3.768

Jodie Meeks

DET

3800

27.643

17.979

8.316

4.731

Lance Stephenson

CHA

4900

23.381

16.748

10.115

3.418

Nick Young

LAL

3900

25.668

16.692

7.716

4.280

Arron Afflalo

POR

5200

24.407

16.351

8.295

3.144

Kent Bazemore

ATL

4100

25.018

14.496

3.973

3.536

Randy Foye

DEN

3500

27.557

14.432

1.307

4.123

Courtney Lee

MEM

3500

22.003

14.428

6.853

4.122

Leandro Barbosa

GS

3700

24.683

14.413

4.144

3.896

Anthony Morrow

OKC

3600

22.540

14.156

5.773

3.932

C.J. McCollum

POR

3500

24.645

12.735

0.825

3.639

Willie Green

ORL

3700

20.638

12.091

3.544

3.268

P.J. Hairston

CHA

3500

18.668

10.301

1.935

2.943

Andre Roberson

OKC

3500

15.781

9.647

3.514

2.756

Spencer Dinwiddie

DET

3800

17.722

9.508

1.295

2.502

Roy Devyn Marble

ORL

3500

16.999

7.405

0.000

2.116

Ben Gordon

ORL

3500

10.550

5.975

1.400

1.707

Erick Green

DEN

3500

8.563

4.458

0.352

1.274

Elliot Williams

CHA

3500

12.588

4.162

0.000

1.189

Jordan Adams

MEM

3500

8.878

4.126

0.000

1.179

Xavier Henry

LAL

3500

7.467

3.505

0.000

1.002

Brandon Rush

GS

3500

7.346

3.378

0.000

0.965

Gary Harris

DEN

3500

6.380

3.085

0.000

0.881

Will Barton

DEN

3500

6.153

2.960

0.000

0.846

Jared Cunningham

PHI

3500

7.314

2.688

0.000

0.768

John Jenkins

ATL

3500

4.497

2.054

0.000

0.587

Andre Dawkins

BOS

3500

5.458

1.788

0.000

0.511

Allen Crabbe

POR

3500

3.798

1.566

0.000

0.447

Ricky Ledo

DAL

3500

2.532

0.791

0.000

0.226

Malcolm Lee

PHI

3500

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

Optimal Lineup

Here is an optimal lineup (6 pm FanDuel games) using the projections above. Note, these projections are a baseline guide and should give you an indication of what to expect from each player but should be helped by additional analysis.

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