India is passing through her most critical - perhaps dangerous - times. World's largest Democracy, India has today become the largest cesspool of official corruption, crime, political opportunism and caste/communal animosities. Political Parties are now Family Corporates, Bureaucracy their franchisee and crony capitalists their partners as they embark upon plundering the Nation together. Time for India to wake up and restart! One Anna or Kejriwal is not enough - Karan Kharb

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Saturday, December 08, 2012

Siachen Demilitarisation - Fees for Peace?

Karan Kharb

'Who dares wins'

Siachen
and Sir Creek are back on the menu again. The Track II diplomacy to bring about
a rapprochement between India and Pakistan is interesting in many ways. Official
bilateral conclaves having failed to make much headway in ‘confidence building
measures’, the Track II peace initiative is now joined by those who have fought
fierce battles against each other – the military veterans from both sides of
the border and the Line of Control (LoC). Sworn enemies and acclaimed warriors
then, they now realise futility of war and advise India to abandon its defences
to ‘demilitarise’ Siachen complex at one end and reconcile to Pakistan’s idea
of border alignment at Sir Creek.

Siachen
Glacier, the highest battlefield of the world, is at the northern extremity of
the LoC in J&K. Sir Creek is the lowest point at its southern end where the
Indo-Pak border meets the Arabian Sea. There is no human habitation at either
location. Siachen, they say, is a wasteland bereft of life and resources taking
avoidable toll of soldiers besides being a huge burden on the defence exchequers.
Sir Creek, likewise is a mass of uninhabitable marshlands where the alignment
of the IB is in dispute for about 100 kilometres.India believes it runs along midcourse of the
stream; Pakistan believes it runs along the eastern edge of the creek.

Since
an unresolved terminal point of Indo-Pak border at Sir Creek estuary
controverts alignment of maritime boundaries and EEZs, there have been problems
like fishermen and trawlers straying into disputed areas.Clearly, there is a case for amicable
resolution of the alignment of the border that actually exists but is being
interpreted differently. In the case of Siachen, on the other hand, its present
status does not affect life of common people on either side of the border in
any way. Logically, since it lies beyond point NJ 9842, the Indian Army
deployment violates neither the LoC nor any Treaty or Agreement. No doubt, for
twenty years since 1984, numerous attempts were made by the Pakistan Army to
wrest control of these heights but in vain.Saltoro ridge and heights dominating the complex are under Indian
control while the Pakistan Army is holding lower western reaches of the range. The
situation has been quiet since the ceasefire agreement of 2003.

Ideally,
as civilised progressive societies of modern world, India, Pakistan and China
should have no need to hold their borders militarily. Economic cooperation, technology
exchange, trade and cultural exchange and development programmes should have
been the hallmarks of good neighbourliness instead of an atmosphere of
animosity and suspicion. It is strange that eminent media houses like Times of
India, Jung and the ‘freelance’ Track II group of senior military veterans have
ignored issues that are far more vital and notorious for derailing every peace
move in the past and continue to be the main threat even now, for instance, Anti-India
Terrorist Camps in Pakistan, Role of ISI in sponsoring terror attacks (Mumbai
26/11 gave ample evidence), Pakistan harbouring some of India’s most wanted
criminals, ignoring evidence given by India to substantiate such claims. When
seen in the light of such momentous issues, ‘demilitarisation’ of Siachen becomes
too tiny and insignificant to be traded for larger objectives like peace and friendship
between India and Pakistan.

There
is a value difference in the perceptions of people and authorities in the two
countries over the issue though. In Pakistan, the Government, the Army and the media
perceive withdrawal of the Indian troops from Siachen a great strategic
advantage over India. This is quite
understandable because this way they would be achieving peacefully what they
could not by force.In India, however,
the perception is somewhat squinted – the Army does not want to lose its vital
ground of Siachen which they have fought for valiantly and kept since 1984
having sacrificed nearly a thousand precious lives. But the government, a
section of media and, ironically, a small group of military veterans are verily
inclined in favour of the Pakistani proposal to ‘demilitarise’ (read ‘hand
over’) the region and declare it as ‘Peace Park’ – an idea that was first
mooted at the 5th World Parks Congress held in Durban in Sep 2003. The thought would be noble and praiseworthy if only
there were not a history of Pakistan betraying all previous peace initiatives from
India.

A History of Killing Peace
Initiatives!

Responding
from the syndrome of ‘once bitten twice shy’, many Indians suspect this noble
looking package of peace and tranquillity from Pakistan of containing something
sinister to dispossess India of her vital assets. There is enough in the living
memory that feeds these suspicions in the Indian mind. The chronology of peace initiatives between
both the countries substantiates these suspicions because nearly every move has
been followed by a sinister move against India – almost always.Here is how India’s confidence has been consistently
shattered in the past:-

·The first ever conflict between India and
Pakistan in 1947-48 was rooted in sheer deceit. Within eight weeks of the
Partition, Pakistani irredentist forces including Army and para-military forces
infiltrated into J&K to annex it by force. Had the Indian Army not been
restrained in December 1948 by India’s own Prime Minister Pandit Nehru, the
J&K problem would not have festered through so many wars and terror to
remain what it is now. As per the UN resolution of 05 Jan 1949, Pakistan was
required to ‘withdraw its forces, both regular and irregular’ from the occupied
territory. Even so, Pakistan has not only ditched those resolutions and agreements
but also has continued to fuel insurgency and terrorism unabated ever since.

·President Ayub Khan and Prime Minister Lal
Bahadur Shastri had first agreed and signed for peace in June 1965 bringing the
Kutch conflict to a halt.Yet, Pakistan
launched ‘Op Gibraltar’ infiltrating combatants in the guise of marauders into
J&K in Aug 1965.It led a shocked
Shastri to whine, “Even before the ink of Kutch Agreement had dried up,
Pakistan has raised its hood to strike again.” At Tashkent, Prime Minister
Shastri signed an agreement with President Ayub agreeing to withdraw from all Pak
territories captured by the Indian Army – an overarching generosity that took
Shastri’s life.

·At Kargil, defences were only temporarily
vacated – say, ‘demilitarised’
(for the time being at least) – by Indian troops every winter trusting their Pakistani counterparts
would not violate the Shimla Agreement and established norms. But India’s trust
was betrayed by Pakistani troops infiltrating and occupying these positions
surreptitiously in the guise of local shepherds. What’s more, Prime Ministers
Atal Bihari Vajpayee and Nawaz Sharif were singing peace and harmony in Lahore in
February 1999 even as the Pakistani troops were infiltrating and occupying
Indian positions.We signed for peace
but were served War at Kargil that cost us over 500 youthful lives.

·In 2001, although the Agra summit failed to reach
a formal agreement, President Parvez Musharraf and Prime Minister Atal Bihari
Vajpayee gave a joint call to ‘burry the bitter past’ and move towards peace. Musharraf
had even invited Vajpayee to visit Pakistan.As if all good initiatives must be followed by sinister inimical teasers,
the roller-coaster journey to peace was once again blasted by the LeT/JM attack
on India’s Parliament on 13 December 2001 – an audacious attack on the
sovereignty of India bringing both the countries on the verge of war with both the
armies mobilised and remaining deployed along borders for almost a year.

·An important landmark in the process of
confidence building measures (CBMs) was opening of historic trade route (Srinagar
– Muzaffarabad) across the LoC in 2008. The process of Confidence building
measures (CBMs) between the two countries was just gaining momentum. Economic
cooperation and trade between the two countries was just picking up when a
fully trained band of terrorists struck Mumbai on 26 November 2008 creating
havoc in the city.Revelations by Kasab
and David Headley confirm that Mumbai 26/11 was the handiwork of ISI.

·Even as the eerie lull of incident free times continues,
the ‘demilitarisation’ proposal from Pakistan and its advocates raises uneasy curiosity:
Wow! Is Pakistan really meaning it this time?

A Stratagem
or Philosophy of Peace?

Now, in the realm of this realpolitik, let us analyse what has driven
Pakistan to seek demilitarisation of Siachen. Anybody who controls Siachen will
influence life in the Nubra and the Shyok valleys. Freedom of unhindered
movement between Aksai Chin and Baltistan, Shaksgam valley will also be very restricted.
Siachen Complex may also serve as a
suitable firm base for developing operations northwards (Karakoram highway) if
required.

China continues to hold Aksaichin and, in collusion with Pakistan, it has
steadily increased its presence beyond Shaksgam Valley into Baltistan. China
has been developing surface communication network in this region to facilitate all
weather transportation of goods and military between West Tibet and ethnically
sensitive province of Xingjiang. In fact, the road connecting Lhasa to Kashgar
in Xingjiang province runs almost parallel to India-China border and cuts
through Aksaichin. India’s presence at Siachen and enhanced influence in the
region is naturally a cause of concern for China in such a scenario.

In southward expansion of China’s interests, it has invested heavily in
developing Pakistan’s Gwadar into deep-water port. With most of the ‘Friendship
Highway’, another name for the Karakoram Highway, having been upgraded in width
from 10 m to 30 m enhancing its transport capacity by three times, China’s
access to West Asia by land route will now be speedier and more economical – a great
strategic and commercial gain indeed. Indian presence near Karakoram and
Aksaichin would be naturally irksome not only for Pakistan but also for China. Demilitarisation
of Siachen is therefore a strategic necessity for both.

The region holds other attractions too. Not yet fully explored though,
the region is potentially rich in natural resources including minerals,
precious stones, metals, oil and hydrocarbons. The Glacier itself is vast
reservoir of fresh water – a resource that will be critical for survival in the
future. These resources are valuable assets to attract all and sundry. Naturally,
Siachen assumes strategic significance for India, Pakistan and even China because
it forms a hub between Shaksgam Valley, Karakoram pass and Aksai Chin. Therefore,
holding Siachen is vital for India to prevent ingress not only from Pakistan
but also from China.

All these attributes add to Siachen’s military value. Having failed to
capture these dominating heights militarily, Pakistan has also attempted to isolate
Siachen by infiltrating and occupying heights in Kargil Sector in 1999. Since
that attempt also failed, it now plans to get it through a currently more
fashionable non-military route like rallying support from the environmentalists
and innocuously clothed peace vendors, military veterans and media on both
sides of the border. Incidentally, it was an Italian ecologist Giuliani Tallone
who first proposed setting up of the ‘Siachen Peace Park’ at the Durban Conference
in 2003. With Ottavio Quattrocchi still haunting the Indian memory for his hideous
role in Bofors scam, could it be yet another fiddle playing ominous ball with
Pakistan to beat India at Siachen?

The hyperbole of pious intentions is deeply intriguing. Whole world
knows that it was the Pakistan Army that had first planned to occupy these
heights in summer 1984.The Indian Army
only pre-empted and occupied strategic heights before the former could reach
there in April 1984.The Pakistan Army has
since then launched many attacks to dislodge the Indian Army from Saltoro ridge
in the longest fought military conflict for 20 years. They now call it ‘futile’
to hold these chilly hills and want the area ‘demilitarised’. Were they
fighting all this while to capture and hold these heights or to bestow serenity
on these mountains? Nothing can be more preposterous than this proposal of
‘demilitarisation of Siachen’ coming from an Army that has fought longest to
gain control of the same positions.

Cost of
National Security?

In support of their argument for ‘demilitarisation’ of Siachen, the
lobbyists have inspired emergence of a school of thought in the Indian media
and military veterans who question the high rate of casualties and prohibitive
maintenance costs involved in holding defences as one of the reasons for the
Indian troops to vacate Siachen. However, the argument that Siachen is a very
costly battlefield in terms of money as well as human life is also no longer true
today. In the initial stages when there was no infrastructure on these heights,
casualties and costs were undoubtedly high.More casualties were suffered due to unexplored hostile terrain and extremely
severe climatic conditions where mercury dips as low as minus 58 degree Celsius
making soldiers vulnerable to chilblain, frostbite, pulmonary oedema and
accidents – a phenomenon that claimed lives and limbs more than combat.

That was until the infrastructure was built to match the harsh
conditions of weather and terrain. With essential infrastructure now in place,
the costs of maintenance have gone down considerably.
It is now comparable with any other high altitude areas in J&K. Consequent
to the ceasefire agreement of 2003 between the opposing forces, battle
casualties are also now negligible.Moreover,
Siachen is not the only air-maintained forward position in our context. There
are many other posts in inaccessible high altitude areas in the East, North and
other locations in J&K where forward posts are maintained by air even
today. We cannot factor natural calamities in our reckoning of costs to life
and property. Catastrophes can befall anyone anywhere from tsunami at sea level
to avalanches in high mountains.

Above all, nothing is ever costlier in terms of life and money than
wars for nations. It is therefore necessary to keep war at bay or win it
decisively if and when thrust upon us. And the best way to keep war away is
being always prepared for it.No
financial cost is, therefore, too high for keeping national security intact and
maintaining our Armed Forces at the peak of their operational preparedness at
all times, which at present has many holes that need to be plugged.

The question that arises in this scenario is: If peace, friendship and
cooperation between India and Pakistan were the genuine aim, why limit the idea
of ‘demilitarisation’ to Siachen alone? Why not make entire South Asia a
‘Continent of Peace and Prosperity’.

The first step to proceed in that
direction is to dismantle all Terror Training Camps and facilities in Pakistan and POK, lock up the
likes of Hafiz Mohd Sayeed, LeT and other terrorist gangs transparently and effectively. Will Pakistan do it?

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