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Moore Insight: Washington’s I-517 Looks to be on Shaky Ground

October 28, 2013

With just over a week to go before the November 5th general election, Washington’s Initiative 517, which concerns the initiative and referendum process in the state, is opposed by a narrow margin. After hearing the ballot question, 33% of voters plan to or have already voted “yes,” while 40% plan to or have voted “no.” The remaining 27% are undecided or wouldn’t reveal their vote.

Importantly, intensity is stronger on the “no” side – among those who have yet to cast their ballots, 21% say they are a “definite” no vote, while only 11% are a definite “yes” vote.

There is plurality opposition to I-517 in Eastern Washington and the Central Puget Sound region, but a plurality of voters residing in the rest of Western Washington outside Central Puget Sound favor the measure. Both Democrats and Republicans oppose I-517, but Independents are supportive. There are also significant differences in sentiment by age – younger voters (age 18-34) support I-517, while voters age 35-64 are divided and a plurality of seniors are opposed.

Methodology

This Moore Information, Inc. telephone survey was conducted October 23-24, 2013 among a representative sample of 500 likely voters in Washington State. Both cell phone and landline telephone interviews were conducted, using live interviewers. The potential sampling error is plus or minus 4% at the 95% confidence level.