Benfica vs Porto O Clássico Betting tips, predictions, head to head

Benfica host Porto on Sunday evening at the Estádio da Luz, kicking off at 5:30pm local time. The match is referred to as ‘O Clássico’ as the two most decorated teams in Portuguese history go head to head. The team that usually comes out on top in the head to head fixtures has a huge advantage of their rivals and tends to win go on and win the league. At this moment in time, neither side are top of the league as Braga have unexpectedly taken top spot.

Home Team: Benfica

Benfica are in the 3rd position in the league, two points behind Braga and one point behind their upcoming opponents Porto. After failing to win their 5th consecutive championship last season, they will now try to reclaim their title from Porto. Benfica are still undefeated this season in the league, but have dropped points at home to their local rivals Sporting Lisbon, and in their last match against Chaves in a 2-2 draw, conceding a goal in the 94th minute. Rafa Silva got the two goals in that draw, and he has also scored 4 goals in their last four games. Benfica effectively lost the title courtesy of losing this particular fixture last season, so the club know how vital it will be to get some revenge on Porto and leapfrog them in the league.

Away Team: Porto

Porto are the defending champions in Portugal, having won the title in May for the first time in 5 years. The side are 2nd in the league after winning 6 out of their first 7 matches. The one defeat that they had endured was at home to Vitoria SC, when they were leading 2-0 at half time, only to collapse in the second half and lose 3-2. Since that defeat, they have managed to bounce back effectively, and in the last game overcome a stubborn Tondela side 1-0 on their 125th birthday. Cameroonian striker Vincent Aboubakar is likely to be missing for the huge match after picking up an injury in their last outing. The top scorer will be a miss for Porto, but with other attacking talent such as Brahimi and Marega, Porto will still fancy themselves in getting an important result on their rival’s turf.

Head to Head

The two teams have a similar record against each other in the head to head, as usually the clashes are very close, and more than often end up being a draw. There was only one goal in last season’s two fixtures, with the game in Porto finishing 0-0, and then Porto won the game in Benfica 1-0, courtesy of a last minute goal from Porto captain Hector Herrera. Benfica haven’t beaten Porto in their last seven attempts, but in that period, Porto have only won twice themselves. Benfica’s last win at home to Porto was back in January 2014, winning 2-0 on that occasion. The games tend to be low scoring as there hasn’t been a game with over 3 goals since 2014, and in the last 7 matches there have only been 9 goals.

Predictions and Betting Tips

Benfica are slight favourites at 7/5 to win the match, with Porto 2/1 to repeat last year’s success. A draw is at 9/4. Based on recent results between the two, the most likely result will be a draw here, and that will also reward you with the most money. I’d go for a 1-1 draw in this match, which is at 5/1.

As there hasn’t been more than 3 goals in a fixture since 2014, it may be worth betting on there to be less than 3.5 goals in this game at 2/7. If there is going to be a winner, I’d probably opt for Benfica as they are due a home win against their bitter rivals, and with Porto having some key injuries, Benfica may edge it. For Benfica to win to nil, they are at 14/5 which I believe are fairly generous odds.

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