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Q4 2013: Time to Get Creative

An analysis of 4th Quarter 2013 economic indices

Puerto Rico’s economy continues immersed in a recession that began in 2006 and continues today with high unemployment, low workforce participation, a declining population, and challenges facing its key pharmaceutical sector. At the start of 2013, Puerto Rico had a new Governor with hopes of a long-awaited change in all branches of the PR Government and the Island economy. As of 4Q 2013 and despite great efforts to spur the economy and reduce the central government’s fiscal deficit, the situation remains challenging and requires a commitment to action both from the public as well as the private sector. As the year ended, Moody’s announced it had a negative outlook on PR’s GO bonds and its decision to downgrade to speculative (junk) status would be revisited within 90 days. As of February 2014, all three rating agencies had downgraded PR”s GOs. An analysis of 4Q 2013 quarterly indices signals it is time to be creative regarding solutions to the economic and fiscal crisis.

Online Offer11% discount on Hurricane Maria's Impact Study!Expires Dec 20, 2018Christmas special: Buy the research study: How Hurricane Maria Forges PR’s Economic Future before December 20th 2018 and get an 11% discount.The study examines five core areas that are set to determine PR’s outlook and likely performance. Just as important, we can bring value to your decision making process by helping you gain a deeper insight into PR’s emerging risk profile.

Five questions lead the discussion:

How large is the devastation caused by Maria in comparison with other natural disasters?What will it take to rebuild its physical infrastructure and how will government reorganize itself?What are the possible scenarios for payment of PR’s public debt?What is the path forward with macroeconomic scenarios in the short (1 yr.), medium (3 yrs.), and long term (5 yrs.)?Where have the new business opportunities landed? ...

Christmas special: Buy the research study: How Hurricane Maria Forges PR’s Economic Future before December 20th 2018 and get an 11% discount.The study examines five core areas that are set to determine PR’s outlook and likely performance. Just as important, we can bring value to your decision making process by helping you gain a deeper insight into PR’s emerging risk profile.

Five questions lead the discussion:

How large is the devastation caused by Maria in comparison with other natural disasters?What will it take to rebuild its physical infrastructure and how will government reorganize itself?What are the possible scenarios for payment of PR’s public debt?What is the path forward with macroeconomic scenarios in the short (1 yr.), medium (3 yrs.), and long term (5 yrs.)?Where have the new business opportunities landed? ...