Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed

Probability

Win Odds

1

2.3%

4.4%

2

6.3%

2.5%

3

10.1%

1.5%

4

13.8%

0.9%

5

15.8%

0.5%

6

13.9%

0.3%

7

9.6%

0.2%

8

7.3%

0.2%

9

5.5%

0.1%

10

3.4%

0.1%

11

1.4%

0.0%

12

0.3%

0.0%

13

0.0%

-

14

0.0%

-

15

0.0%

-

16

0.0%

-

OVERALL

0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.

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