prediction: Gordon Brown will be the ‘next’ PM

I posted on twitter earlier today that I’m going to make an election prediction. I’ve been pretty sure about this since the Tories launched their moronic ‘I’ll cut the deficit, not the NHS’ poster – or, as I like to call it, the ‘will we cut the NHS? won’t we? How lucky do you feel?”.

Obviously this is foolish. No one should ever make a prediction which can so easily be proved wrong. Especially when, of the likely outcomes, the result I expect is the one I want.

But now is the time to be brave and make my call. Here are my ten tweets from earlier, explaining why:

Grand as always Adam – when you say that this is the best of the likely outcomes, is that because you don’t think Clegg for PM is possible, or because you’d rather have Brown? I figure the top of the Green wishlist is electoral reform – what do you reckon the most likely way of getting this is?
Hope all well
Jock

Why would Clegg want to align his party with the chimaera of Gordon Brown & 13 years of illiberal Labour government? I’m not sure even a new Labour leader (definitely not a new New Labour leader, which rules out most of the current cabinet) would sweeten the deal.

Clegg has to run any coalition deals past LD MPs, their FEC, and a special conference. I suspect their preference will be to demand Brown goes AND “confidence and supply” to get good policies through. The ideal situation is that they get PR reform, and another election is called next year.

Either way, I reckon Brown is dead in the water. I suppose it might be nice the sooner Labour MPs dug their knives in.