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These two teams played 6 head-to-head matches in the last 3 seasons, all of which but one turned out to be very close and tough. A tough game like that is expected today and stats says that they went over the set margin only two other times (three unders in the last three games). Cangas is simply brilliant in defense, which will be their strength today. The goalkeepers at each team are great - veteran Hombrados at the home team (third best in the league) and Cangas' Lamariano, who is the top goal keeper in the championship (40% efficiency). Gualdalajara know they need to try hard and play tough defense if they want to win and Cangas already prove how good they are on that end of the floor by limiting the offense-oriented Huesca, Granollers and Anaitasuna to 21 goals respectively. Yuu can find the bet at Marathon at 54,5 margin at 1,65 in case you want a bit safer option.
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Barcelona need to step it up to prepare for Champions League games to come. Regardless of the shuffling Pascual will do, Barcelona's greatest weapons are two goal keepers, who always finish with some 20 saves. Two wings score at least 15 goals per game combined. God defense and unstoppable fastbreaks are what Barcelona use to score easy goals. Cangas, on the other hand, struggled with defense last season. They were one of the worst teams in that respect with over 28 goals conceded per game. Despite saying they will work on that, the season start doesn't suggest that as they conceded 37 goals in each of the two games. They will rest some key players today. They lost by 20 points and conceded 43 last season when trying to do their best. This game could have a similar outcome. Team over at Barcelona could be a better choice but since that offer is not that widely available, I'm going with handicap at the home team.
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Naturhouse is too tough a challenge for Benidorm. Logorno usually start the games well, having gotten over this margin in almost every half time of the games they won (Guadalajara +8, Sagunto +5, Huesca +8, Ademar +7, Meshkov +6). The only time they didn't go over this margin in the first round against Cuenca and the games they lost (Granollers, Kiel i PSG). It's expected for them to start fiercely today and take the lead, which would allow the coach to give a break to some of his players later in the game ahead of the very important match with Zagreb on Sunday. Benidorm have never been down by the number of goals this margin is set to at half time, but they never played such a top level team as Naturhouse. They struggled in the first halves even in the games they later went on to win. The score against Sagunta at half time was 11-11, they were 3 goals down with Cangas and Cuenca. But they were three goals up in the Huesca game, and lost it in the end. With Benidorm not being able to count on their top defense player Cernov and facing the most efficient offense in the league, I think this is a very good bet.
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The main reason for this tip is the fact visiting team have already surrendered. Their coach Jimenez said he doesn't care about the possible embarrassment. He doesn't want to put more pressure on his key players because he already doesn't have a lot of choice when it comes to the line up and he can't afford any injuries in such an insignificant game. Carlos Casas and defense specialist Mendoza didn't even travel to Barcelona. It seems like his two key players and top scorers Balaguer and Renaud won't play much either. Both have minor injuries and the coach won't take any chances today ahead of a very important game against Zamora. On the other hand, Pascual has an excellent team at his disposal. Their tough defense and aggressive offense have proved deadly for Ciudad Encantada last season, when the opponent played with all of their top players. They lost 41-21 back then, and I expect a similar outcome today.
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Two offensively minded teams, and two top offenses in the league in a game with no importance so attacks and attractive moves will dominate the event. Naturhouse have rarely gone under 30 goals in the second part of the season while Barcelona have not gone under 30 in 29 games, while they scored over 40 goals in 12 out of 29. Over is a logical choice, and I would even dare to take a higher margin as this game could very much end at about 70 goals or more.
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Angola is severely underrated by the bookmakers in this game and I don't understand why. Even though I could go for a clean win by the African team, I will go for safer option that I have more faith in. In general, Angola never had any problems with scoring goals and converting their chances. Even in a bad game, they go over this margin with ease regardless of the way they are playing, and if they are motivated then they score 30 without too many problems. Their defense is the shaky part and if I were to decide how many goals they concede, I wouldn't have any major doubts. For instance, they only had one game in the last World Cup in which they scored less than 23 goals and that was against Norway that was crushing everything in their path. They scored 26 against very defensively oriented Montenegro, 31 against Russia, 29 against Croatia and that team has a very similar style to Polantd. Before the tournament started, they scored 21 against the hosts in a game in which their coach rotated every possible position both in offense and defense. They scored 34 against Macedonia and 29 against Croatia in the remaining 2 preparation games. Even though we are in for a tough and unpredictable game, I am sure Angola will go over the 23-goal margin.
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Villa de Aranda are on the upswing, playing better with every game. Beating Granollers in an away game is the best proof of that (up to that game Granollers only loss was to the untouchable Barcelona). Despite their good roster, the away team are playing rather unsteadily, and as they are missing two of their best players today too, a victory for the home team seems a great bet at these odds. The away team have not played a game in 15 days, and could not practice at a normal pace either as they were missing four players, so they had to use juniors to be able to put together a normal training session. The home team are highly motivated after three consecutive wins, and will do all they can to get a fourth in home court.
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Buducnost is undoubtedly the better team, as the first match in Podgorica demonstrated. However, they will not cover this handicap today in my opinion, for several reasons:They are looking for a win today, a must-win situation, and this will bring extra tension, that will make them go for game control, and not chasing a score, as the goal ratio does not count vs the Polish team. Adzic is a coach that likes to control the match. If a big lead is possible he allows it, but he plays differently in away games where the aim is to take both points, calming down the game and with tactical discipline being crucial while the run-and-gun of scoring is secondary. Lublin are also a different team at home, playing much better and more relaxed than in away games. The Danes felt it, barely making it through, as well as Ferencvaros, who left Lublin with +2, while winning +15 in the first game in Budapest. Apart from that, Adzic must preserve his team for the key home game with Ferencvaros next week, where he will need all available weapons at his disposal. The home team playing relaxed and well when there is no pressure to achieve a result, the nervous away team looking to control the entire course of the game and get both points, and the excellent strategist Adzic who will know how to close down a game are all reasons why I think Buducnost will not manage to cover this handicap.
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Last year's Champions League finalists are starting this season determined to go all the way. Norwegian national team wrapped in a club. Scandinavian style of handball is a style in which there is no mercy and teams grind their opponents for 60 minutes. They have been playing together for a long time and they know each other well. Do we need to say more in the favor of the home team? On the other hand, Podravka are not even a shadow of the team they used to be and even that Podravka would have struggled to lose by less than eight goals in Norway. Girls playing for Podravka are either from younger selections (Dragisic, Kapitanovic, Covic) or are from teams that had no significant role in Croatian league, yet alone some bigger competition (Vukojevic and Vidak from Zelina, Havic from Zamet, Nemaskalo from Sesvete). Only Trifunovic and Zivkovic played in better clubs, but there they were only fringe players, which led to them leaving those clubs. Podravka opened the Regional league with a convincing defeat against average Lokomotiva (-6), a team they used to beat with ease, then they took a point against decimated Buducnost that came to Koprivnica with only half of their team and before they went to Norway they were completely outplayed against Krim (-16). That same Krim lost last year in Champions League semi-finals 27-19 against Larvikat at home. That is not a good sign for young and inexperienced Podravka team in their first Champions League match this season. It will help to convince you if we say that young Andrea Covic (one of the more important defensive players and the only substitution for Vesna Milanovic-Litre) stayed in Koprivnica due to knee injury and the whole expedition had troubles on their trip and the trip lasted much longer than expect, which caused much nervousness inside the team.
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For years now Granollers's game is based on solid attack. Their matches are always fast paced and they score lots of goals. They have many young players in the team and they feel very comfortable when rushing up and down the court. In the first three rounds they played against very defensive teams and despite that fact Granollers was very close to the margin of 30 goals in every match. In one of those matches they scored more than 30 goals, and that was against the team that also tends to outplay their opponent and doesn't care about the defense that much. Their opponent today will be the team with top goalscorer in the league (7 goals per game in average) in starting lineup. Puerto Sagunto also likes to play attacking handball and they often score more than 25 goals. In the last round they scored 30 goals against Gijon, a very defensive team. Recently they played against Ademar (team very similar to Granollers), they scored 27 goals and total goals scored in the match went well over the margin (59). Today I expect a similar match. I think we should see 55 or more goals.
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Bidasoa scored only 41 goals in the first two rounds. They had scoring problems also in the preseason, going over this margin only in the games against second-division sides Zarautz and Barakaldo, and they lost those games as well. This is a game where both teams desperately need points, so the concentration will be highest on defense, much less on offense. Aragon have lost a big part of the offense with the departure of Alex Dushebaev, but not so much on defense, their defense is still very firm and aggressive. They play a 6-0 zone that's not suitable at all for the visitors, who are having trouble with outside shooting, as they lack good shooters and find it hard to find a way to opponents' goal. It's possible that Bidasoa, by changing their defensive formation, could force the home team into playing faster, but I still doubt they could score 25 goals.
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