Maybe he has a lot fewer horses in the yard due to his abysmal strike rate in previous years? Trainer patterns can be a goldmine - until they stop working for no apparent reason! I used to have a cast iron system based on Saeed Bin Suroor + first time in a handicap which averaged 30 points profit with a 24 percent strike rate every year from 2009-2013...Last year 2 winners from 29 runners and a 23 point loss

This has been covered recently elsewhere and the explanation is that Alan Berry is very good at going for early season handicaps notably at Hamilton and has a good record in these going back a few years. By the end of the turf season the stats will be more or less back to normal.