Political risk ‘eroding’ infrastructure investment

Jessica Yun

— 1 minute read

13 October 2017

Within the span of a year, the number of investors ‘highly likely’ to invest in Australia fell from 94 per cent to 70 per cent, according to Perpetual, with political risk identified as the foremost challenge to investment.

The latest annual Australian Infrastructure Investment Report, jointly produced by Perpetual and Infrastructure Partnerships Australia (IPA), reveals that investors have been “spooked” by rapid interventions in policy surrounding infrastructure.

Of the 26 domestic and global investors, fund managers, developers and industry professionals who participated in the research report, 62 per cent of investors felt “political risk” to be the ‘most significant challenge to investing in Australian infrastructure’, almost doubling since last year (35 per cent).

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>The latest annual Australian Infrastructure Investment Report, jointly produced by Perpetual and Infrastructure Partnerships Australia (IPA), reveals that investors have been “spooked” by rapid interventions in policy surrounding infrastructure.

Of the 26 domestic and global investors, fund managers, developers and industry professionals who participated in the research report, 62 per cent of investors felt “political risk” to be the ‘most significant challenge to investing in Australian infrastructure’, almost doubling since last year (35 per cent).

Source: Perpetual

Reflecting on the report findings, IPA chief executive Brendan Lyon said investor sentiment about the infrastructure sector was similar to that typically associated with emerging economies.

“Two-thirds of investors are spooked by the federal government’s unpredictable policies on energy and other market interventions planned or under consideration,” he said.

Mr Lyon pointed to statistics that saw a striking drop in South Australian investment from 75 per cent to 4 per cent.

“Given the increasingly urgent need for major investments in electricity, it’s very worrying three in four investors are badly spooked by energy policy uncertainty,” he said.

“This shows an urgent need for the federal government and Opposition to stop the political games and agree [on] the rules on electricity.”

Politicisation of major projects were also forcing new players in the market to seek smaller investment opportunities in non-traditional infrastructure assets, the report indicated.

According to the report, a majority of participants shared similar views of “discordant” state and federal policy and a fast-paced change in “law and practice”.

A number of particular challenges to investing were identified, such as the Commonwealth government’s move to “try to finance infrastructure instead of fundingit”, an unclear national energy policy, as well as the review of the stapled structures tax policy.

The cool sentiment overall was an example of investors’ willingness to “punish jurisdictions for poor behaviour”.

However, there were a number of upsides: when asked ‘what makes Australia attractive for infrastructure investments?’, investors felt the most attractive attribute was Australia’s “track record of infrastructure businesses”, which rose to 69 per cent this year from 50 per cent in the year before.

Furthermore, 78 per cent felt visibility of the Australian infrastructure pipeline had improved through infrastructure bodies.

Roads proved to be the preferred Australian asset to invest in at 62 per cent, but this had fallen from 70 per cent in 2016 and 73 per cent in 2015.

The report also indicated most participants felt Australia’s global standing was better than average or a ‘clear leader’, but that domestic political risk was “eroding” Australia’s value proposition.