AVAILABLE Last checked: 30 Minutes ago!

A yale graduate with his phd in psychology expert political judgment is the result of his 20 year statistical study of nearly 300 impeccably credentialed political pundits responding to more than 80000 questions in total. Expert political judgment how good is it how can we know new edition philip e tetlock with a new preface by the author they might do well to obtain a copy of phillip tetlocks new book expert political judgment how good is it how can we know it is a major advance in our understanding of expert judgment in the vitally important . Philip tetlocks book expert political judgment wants to know something very simple that is very difficult to find out through research tetlock wants to know how people can make good predictions about big social economic and political issues. Political judgment how good is it how can we know philip e tetlock princeton university press princeton and oxford resulting cognitive portrait of expert political judgment is not altogether flattering but i hope that research participants even the hedgehogs . This book is predicated on the assumption that even if we cannot capture all of the subtle counterfactual and moral facets of good judgment we can advance the cause of holding political observers accountable to independent standards of empirical accuracy and logical rigor