Ranoria wrote:In my opinion, not only that, but JJ Watt is due for a game against the Pats. I'm always hyped to see him go after Brady, because Brady, in my opinion, is fine until you move him from his spot (Goff's the same way, but Brady is certainly better under pressure), and Clowney is healthy.

Texans are 1-9 all time vs Pats with the lone win coming at Houston. I'd love to see the Pats lose their home opener, but with that said, i don't expect it.

Just got a feeling, ya know? Besides, Brady's due to drop off big.

Fan of football, the Murican kind.I go by Ran. Unless, of course, you want to type out Ranoria. That's your decision.♂♀Copy and Paste this in your sig if you know there are 2 genders and didn't fail biology♂♀

Hey, Peyton went from 4,700 yards, 39 TDs, and 15 INT to absolute garbage as a passer. Arm was just completely gone. Granted, he threw the ball over 1200 times in the two seasons prior as compared to Brady's just over 1,000, so who knows?

Fan of football, the Murican kind.I go by Ran. Unless, of course, you want to type out Ranoria. That's your decision.♂♀Copy and Paste this in your sig if you know there are 2 genders and didn't fail biology♂♀

Ranoria wrote:In my opinion, not only that, but JJ Watt is due for a game against the Pats. I'm always hyped to see him go after Brady, because Brady, in my opinion, is fine until you move him from his spot (Goff's the same way, but Brady is certainly better under pressure), and Clowney is healthy.

Texans are 1-9 all time vs Pats with the lone win coming at Houston. I'd love to see the Pats lose their home opener, but with that said, i don't expect it.

I don't necessarily expect it either, but I do think it could happen. History favors the Pats, but I do think this Texans team is better than most of the 9 the Patriots have beaten in the past.

Hi folks! Damukuni here. If you're part of NS Sports, you'll know me as the Chief Executive and WA Delegate of Esportiva.

Now that the regular NFL season is about to start, FiveThirtyEight has released their live Elo prediction grid. I mused over last year's project with a few people from the NS Sports community. Why not, I wondered aloud, take the Elo ratings from the 32 NFL teams, as told by 538, and plug them into one of the most used NS Sports score generators which we use in our sports roleplays? That being said, here's how my simulation will work:

xkoranatexkoranate was developed by long-time NS Sporter Commerce Heights, currently the director of UICA, the overseer of the global domestic soccer team competition (t=3108) in NS Sports. Since its inception, it has been expanded to include nearly a hundred different sport-related disciplines. Many disciples have multiple formulas for calculating projected scores. The latest version, 0.3.3, can be downloaded here if you are interested in trying this program out for yourself (but it comes with no documentation or warranty, although the #nssport channel on EsperNet IRC or the NS Sport Discord might be able to help).

Schiavone-Qutari International Scorination (SQIS)The SQIS formula, devised by former long-time NS Sporters Schiavonia (CTEd 2016) and Qutar (CTEd 2012), is a popular formula for scorinating (soccer) football games. The formula was expanded officially to American football sometime after the (soccer) football method was developed. An unofficial expansion to ice hockey was created by Free Republics.

The "Scorination" Itself538 uses 1500 as the centering point of its Elo rating system. 1500 therefore represents the most mediocre team in the NFL. You can see the whole Elo table on the aforementioned 538 site. These Elo ratings now translate to skill bonuses, commonly called roleplay (RP) bonus in the NS Sport community. The minimum possible skill is 0 (zero), and the maximum possible skill is 3000. No team will ever reach either rating extreme, but 0-3000 is a common range if the centering point is 1500.

The NFL schedule is then input into xkoranate as any number of single matches. Because modified "sudden-death" overtime is used in the NFL, the formula for sudden-death overtime is used.

Posting ScheduleWith the exception of this week, postings will be made every Wednesday night at 9 PM US Eastern time.

And, of course, once again, these are just my predictions, not a formal measurement of actual NFL team performance.

With that, here's my predictions for Week 1!

NOTE: The home team is listed on the LEFT as per NS Sports conventions.

Okay, I guess it's about time to make this public. Anyone who has posted their picks on this thread is included in my spreadsheet. If you don't want me to track your picks, just tell me and I'll remove you. Similarly, I'd be happy to add anyone who hasn't made picks yet, even if they don't post for week 1. Any suggestions for changes or new features are welcome!

Last edited by Kohr on Thu Sep 06, 2018 4:28 pm, edited 2 times in total.

Kohr wrote:Okay, I guess it's about time to make this public. Anyone who has posted their picks on this thread is included in my spreadsheet. If you don't want me to track your picks, just tell me and I'll remove you. Similarly, I'd be happy to add anyone who hasn't made picks yet, even if they don't post for week 1. Any suggestions for changes or new features are welcome!

What the Hell. I know more about football than Mel Kiper. I bet I nail this. I shall dominate the spreadsheet!

Eagles over Falcons.Colts over BengalsBills over RavensSaints over BucsPatriots over TexansVikings over 49'ersTitans over DolphinsJags over GiantsSteelers over BrownsChiefs over ChargersPanthers over CowboysCardinals over RedskinsSeahawks over DenverPackers over BearsJets over LionsRams over Raiders

Last edited by Ameriganastan on Thu Sep 06, 2018 4:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Kohr wrote:Okay, I guess it's about time to make this public. Anyone who has posted their picks on this thread is included in my spreadsheet. If you don't want me to track your picks, just tell me and I'll remove you. Similarly, I'd be happy to add anyone who hasn't made picks yet, even if they don't post for week 1. Any suggestions for changes or new features are welcome!

Very nicely done.

Hey, thanks!

Ameriganastan wrote:What the Hell. I know more about football than Mel Kiper. I bet I nail this. I shall dominate the spreadsheet!

Eagles over Falcons.Colts over BengalsBills over RavensSaints over BucsPatriots over TexansVikings over 49'ersTitans over DolphinsJags over GiantsSteelers over BrownsChiefs over ChargersPanthers over CowboysCardinals over RedskinsSeahawks over DenverPackers over BearsJets over LionsRams over Raiders

Picking against your own team, I see.

Last edited by Kohr on Thu Sep 06, 2018 4:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Falcons over EaglesColts over BengalsRavens over BillsSaints over BucsPatriots over Texans49’ers over Vikings Titans over DolphinsJags over GiantsSteelers over BrownsChiefs over ChargersPanthers over CowboysCardinals over RedskinsSeahawks over DenverPackers over BearsJets over LionsRams over Raiders

Male, centrist cultural nationalist, lives somewhere in the Deep South, loves dogs particularly German Shepherds, give me any good Irish or Scottish whiskey and I will be your friend for life. I'mGAY!

I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo! >The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not? >>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.Click for Da Funies

So the NFL figures out what a catch is. But can’t call pass interference correctly?!

Male, centrist cultural nationalist, lives somewhere in the Deep South, loves dogs particularly German Shepherds, give me any good Irish or Scottish whiskey and I will be your friend for life. I'mGAY!

I'm agent #69 in the Gaystapo! >The Sons of Adam: I'd crown myself monarch... cuz why not? >>Dumb Ideologies: Why not turn yourself into a penguin and build an igloo at the centre of the Earth?>Xovland: I keep getting ads for printer ink. Sometimes, when you get that feeling down there, you have to look at some steamy printer pictures.Click for Da Funies

I think Atlanta’s offense would be pretty easy to run. Have 9 guys pass block, keep Devonta Freeman off the field, since you’re passing every down, and throw it to Julio.

Fan of football, the Murican kind.I go by Ran. Unless, of course, you want to type out Ranoria. That's your decision.♂♀Copy and Paste this in your sig if you know there are 2 genders and didn't fail biology♂♀