Author
Topic: Top is in (Read 675721 times)

Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes. The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions. Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes. The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions. Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

wait - I'm confused. Is this a satirical thread or a serious one...? Because that sounds like suspiciously good advice...

Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes. The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions. Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

wait - I'm confused. Is this a satirical thread or a serious one...? Because that sounds like suspiciously good advice...

I think Sol is playing the straight man while most others are being satirical.

Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes. The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions. Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

wait - I'm confused. Is this a satirical thread or a serious one...? Because that sounds like suspiciously good advice...

Hard to say. I personally can't take any post seriously if it doesn't at least mention bacon

I got a little bit of cash sloshing around in retirement accounts.. think I might roll that into VTSAX today.

I sold 1200 shares of VTI at close, down 3.7% from the peak, err I mean the top. About 11% of my stock Market assets, If I had more time, I might have sold some VTSAX.This made me decide to get my AA more in line for an almost 63 year old.

Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes. The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions. Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

Good timing for some investing. Sold some property recently so I've dumped 100k into VTSAX over the last three big drops.

I'm trying to not change my DCA plan in response to dips, just like I try not to change it in response to spikes. The whole point is to invest what you can regularly regardless of market conditions. Could go up, could go down, in either case you should be investing regularly.

Just a coincidence is all. Just sold the property and cleared the check. Convenient!

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years" "It might be time for some investors to take cover" "Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up" "If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried""Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years" "It might be time for some investors to take cover" "Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up" "If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried""Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

And they were not saying these things a month ago, when the market was still lower than it is now. So confuse.

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years" "It might be time for some investors to take cover" "Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up" "If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried""Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

OMFG. the Dow has crashed, sunk, imploded to levels not seen since......wait for it.... January 11, 2018!!!!!!

Sorry about the excessive use of exclamation points and words beginning with exc...

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years" "It might be time for some investors to take cover" "Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up" "If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried""Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

And they were not saying these things a month ago, when the market was still lower than it is now. So confuse.

Edit: bacon.

The only time a CNBC commentator is going to advise you to sell is when the stock is already plummeting. They're so used to bulls that when the market stops to catch its breath they have no fucking clue what to say.

The rate of change of the rate of change of the rate of change of upward progress towards real arbitrage-neutral pareto-optimized COLA rates of neo-classical meltup is increasing at a heretofore unforeseen, momentous if you will, rate, per unit of trailing 5 week altcoin median bid/ask spread. The charts don't lie.

Clear as day folks, the top has been in for some time now. Wake up sheeple.

I got a little bit of cash sloshing around in retirement accounts.. think I might roll that into VTSAX today.

I sold 1200 shares of VTI at close, down 3.7% from the peak, err I mean the top. About 11% of my stock Market assets, If I had more time, I might have sold some VTSAX.This made me decide to get my AA more in line for an almost 63 year old.

What AA you aiming for out of interest?

I'm aimimg for less stock exposure, but don't want bonds.I might end up holding cash for a while. But I do like the REIT preferreds as a proxy for bonds, especially after the hit they have taken lately.Although, I'm not sure it is over for them, with expected interest rate increases.At the end of 2017 I had, 83% stocks, VTSAX, VTI, Several REITs or Preferred REITs. 9% land contract paying me 8%2.7% bond fund 5% cash, some of this is cash and some is business inventory.

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years" "It might be time for some investors to take cover" "Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up" "If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried""Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

This was my favorite:

"Bitcoin, Ripple, And Other Cryptocurrency Sell-off Spreads To Stocks"

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years" "It might be time for some investors to take cover" "Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up" "If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried""Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

This was my favorite:

"Bitcoin, Ripple, And Other Cryptocurrency Sell-off Spreads To Stocks"

"Dow plunges 665 points as stocks post worst week in 2 years" "It might be time for some investors to take cover" "Stock plunge may not end until interest rates stop going up" "If the S&P 500 drops below this level, traders will start to get really worried""Volatile enough? Wall Street's fear gauge on track for largest weekly rise in 5 months "

It's amazing how quickly commentators latch on to hysteria.

Yup, yesterday was my last day of work, and the above is what I saw today on my first day of FIRE. So... my bad, sorry guys. That was definitely the top!

I've done some additional analysis and consulted experts. It seems clear we're near a level 8 S-Class meltup, likely to be followed by a fade from the high top.

Do you have any DCF analysis to back this kind of claim up?

UGH. Aside from the (frankly pretty definitive) charts I posted above, AND the earlier youtube link FROM 2015 titled "topisin", the only thing I'm at liberty to say is that if proof is what you seek then you might want to look in to what the government never wants you to look into in times like these, by which I of course mean pudding futures.

Nay! I already post too much as myself, I don't have time for secret double lives.

Suuuure. Bringing up the secret thorstache puppet account to try and get us looking at others!

If you look at the thorstach account post history, you can see that it has only participated in TWO threads on the forum, both about market timing. How many other people do you know on the forum who have only ever posted in two threads? About the same topic, one of which they started themselves and then kept alive for a year?

This person has got to be a forum regular. Their regular account probably has thousands of posts. They've been around a long time, probably while using their primary account to periodically express a very strong opinion (pro or con, 50/50 chances IMO) about market timing. I think that limits it to a hundred or so possible people, at most. The average poster just doesn't think to make sock puppet accounts.

I would find it hard to believe the thorstache account belongs to an individual who has never posted elsewhere on the forum. The mods could check IPs, of course, but at this point it's kind of like a great magic trick and I'm not sure I really want to know how it's done.

thorstach, please tell me when to get back in the market. I sold it all on your advice and am patiently waiting in cash for you to give me the go-ahead to get back in.

Nay! I already post too much as myself, I don't have time for secret double lives.

Suuuure. Bringing up the secret thorstache puppet account to try and get us looking at others!

If you look at the thorstach account post history, you can see that it has only participated in TWO threads on the forum, both about market timing. How many other people do you know on the forum who have only ever posted in two threads? About the same topic, one of which they started themselves and then kept alive for a year?

This person has got to be a forum regular. Their regular account probably has thousands of posts. They've been around a long time, probably while using their primary account to periodically express a very strong opinion (pro or con, 50/50 chances IMO) about market timing. I think that limits it to a hundred or so possible people, at most. The average poster just doesn't think to make sock puppet accounts.

I would find it hard to believe the thorstache account belongs to an individual who has never posted elsewhere on the forum. The mods could check IPs, of course, but at this point it's kind of like a great magic trick and I'm not sure I really want to know how it's done.

thorstach, please tell me when to get back in the market. I sold it all on your advice and am patiently waiting in cash for you to give me the go-ahead to get back in.

I do note that someone looking at you could check all the requirement boxes you listed ;)

If he is a regular, it seems odd that he'd login (presumably to read this thread) without posting.You'd think that a forum-regular would use their primary identity for reading, and only occasionally login as the shill account in order to immediately make a post.