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Torino – Sassuolo

BE AWARE THAT THIS IS A BET WITH A DECENT RISK.

Before you read my preview you should know that all of my previews are based on statistics, news, earlier results, the form of the day and what’s on stake. All these components make a good preview in my opinion. Good luck.

Torino and Sassuolo meet each other in a game that will be just for fun with nothing at stake. And of course it will be a game for us as betters! And I do see opportunities here.

Torino had a decent season and are currently in 9th position after 37 games. They won 12 of them, drew 14 and lost 11. In these games they scored 66 goals and conceded 63. Their averages are 1.78 goals scored and 1.70 conceded. They mostly were a pain in the ass for the big teams, but dropped some points against the lower ranked teams. Their home results are not that different from their overall results. The got a little more points at home (7 points more). Their averages are a little higher with 2.11 goals scored per game and 1.56 goals conceded.

The fact that Torino are done with their season for a while is clear if we look at their latest results. Torino won only one game in their last 5 (L L D D W) and this was a win over Chievo (14) and this one was in the period where they still hoped for a European miracle. In these last 5 games Torino scored 6 goals and conceded 10. It gives them a scoring average of 1.2 goals per game and an average of 2 goals allowed per game which is a huge difference with their overall averages. It is clear that Torino is not in form lately. Torino will suffer some injury’s in this game as they miss key players Ljajic (33), Zappacosta (29), Carlao (31) and Lopez (16). These players together are good for 18 goals of the 66 goals this season.

♣ Huge difference in overall averages (1.78/1.70) and last 5 games (1.2/2)

♣ Terrible form lately

Sassuolo are not that different from Torino. They ended in 11th position in the Serie A with 4 points less than Torino. They won 13, drew 7 and lost 17 in 37 games in which they scored 55 goals and conceded 58. Their averages on these games are 1.49 scored and 1.59 conceded per game. Compared to Torino they score a little less goals but they also concede less goals per game. Away Sassuolo ended in 8th position with 28 goals scored and 30 conceded in 18 games giving them an average of 1.47 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. So they concede a little more away from home but they score almost the same number of goals.

Here comes the interesting part. Sassuolo their latest form is amazing. They are unbeaten for 7 games in a row in the Serie A and this includes big games against Inter (2-1 win), Fiorentina (2-2), Napoli (2-2) and Atalanta (1-1). In the last 5 games of Sassuolo they scored 15 goals and conceded 8 which brings averages like 3 goals scored per game and 1.6 goals conceded per game. Compare this to their overall averages of 1.49 and 1.59, huge difference.

Sassuolo will only miss Duncan (21) and Ricci (24) who have scored 3 goals so far together.

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Karlovic versus Tsitsipas

Before you read my preview you should know that all of my previews are based on statistics, news, earlier results, the form of the day and what’s on stake. All these components make a good preview in my opinion. Good luck.

Finally, Rolland Garros. Actually I have been waiting for this!

An interesting game in my eyes is Karlovic versus Tsitsipas. Karlovic is one of my favourite players and one reason is his stunning serve. For a long time the record of fastest service was on his name. Karlovic is more of a grass player, this is where he gets his best results. His results on clay have not been that good for a while but he did get two pretty good wins lately against Bautista-Agut and Dzumhur, who are not bad players at all.

Karlovic have had the time to prepare for Roland Garros since his last match he played at 10/05 which is more than two weeks a go so he should be fully prepared. He have never faced Tsitsipas before on any surface till this meeting. Last year Karlovic reached to round 3 in RG and I do see him reach at least second round here. In 2016 Karlovic lost only one big tournament in the first round. Tsitsipas should not be dangerous to him in my opinion.

Tsitsipas is in better form than Karlovic on clay with 4 wins in the last 5 but all against lower ranked players than Karlovic. The only player who is higher ranked and got beaten by Tsitsipas lately is Vesely. He got beaten with 1:2 with a tiebreak in the last set.

Tsitsipas will have a hard job breaking Karlovic as Karlovic his right handed serve will be deadly if he serves it well on the left of Tsitsipas as he is a right-handed player as well. I do not think that Tsitsipas will have an answer to this.

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Lorient – Troyes

Before you read my preview you should know that all of my previews are based on statistics, news, earlier results, the form of the day and what’s on stake. All these components make a good preview in my opinion. Good luck.

Lorient is will have to dig deep to find the strength to turnover a 2-1 loss away from home against Troyes. Troyes has shown that they are really willing to fight for their promotion and as everyone expected they got a win at home. I actually did not expect a Troyes win there. Even tough the difference in quality between the bottom of the Ligue 1 and the top of the ligue 2 is not that big, there is certainly a difference in quality. Lorient is a team with quality who created quite a fight against some big opponents.

Lorient ended in 18th position with 44 goals scored and 70(!) conceded in 38 games. Their scoring average is 1,15 and they conceded 1,84 goals per game on average. The Lorient form has been terrible without a single win in the last 5 games (L D L D L). Their last win is from 22-04-2017. We should notice that it was not a small win (5-1) and that the win was at home against Metz. Metz does not seem interesting to me, the fact that it was at home does. Lorient did not lose a game at home in the last 4 games played. The last game they lost at home was against PSG where they did put up a fight (1-2 loss) and the games before were a loss against Marseille and one against Nice.

So we can conclude that they do show good results at home where they are stronger. At home Lorient ended in 16th position with 25 goals scored in 19 games and 29 conceded. Their average here is 1.32 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Please notice the difference in their overall averages and their home averages.Lorient scored 9 goals in their last 5 games at home and conceded only 5 which gives them an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded. So their average in the last 5 games is even better. Lorient dictated the game at Troyes more than Troyes did and here at their own Stadium they will dictate it even more.

Marveaux (24) and Hamel (3) will be out for this match. Together these two players are good for 6 goals in this season. Moukandjo who had to start from the bench last game will most likely be fit enough to start this one. He is the top goalgetter of Lorient with 13 goals so far this season.

KEYSTATS

♣ Lorient get better results at home

♣ Huge difference in the averages overall (1.15/1.84) and last 5 at home (1.8/1)

Troyes on the other hand is in quite good form. They have been unbeaten for 7 games in a row. Still it is Ligue 2, hard to compare this to Ligue 1. Troyes got to these play-offs by ending in 3rd place in the Ligue 2. They scored 59 goals and conceded 43 in 38 games which brings averages as 1.37 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded. Still if we look at Troyes away in Ligue 2 it is surprising that they end in 7th based on just the away games. With 6 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in 19 away games. They scored 25 goals and conceded 29 in these 19 games. It gives an average of 1,31 goals scored and 1,53 goals conceded.

So the thing that I noticed is that they seem to allow more goals away from home where there scoring average is almost the same. Their last 5 games also show the difference between their games at home and away. Troyes won 3, lost 1 and drew 1 away. Scoring 11 goals in these games but also allowing 9 in these games. This again shows that Troyes allow a lot more goals away from home than they do at home. Troyes did not control the game at home and they will certainly not control this one. They will most likely defend their win at home, but I do not think that the win at home will be enough.

No one will be out for this one at the Troyes site as far as I know. Whenever someone has other information please place it in the comments. I will comment as well whenever I see any news.