NATO Expansion - Analytical Perspectives

1999

Full steam ahead for the NATO invitees Nikolaus W. Behner; Yvan P. Boilard (Faculty Advisor) Air Command and Staff College 1999 - short and long term benefits and costs to NATO and the new members as well as the military implications.

NATO Enlargement - Round Two: Prudence or Folly? Gordon B. Hendrickson; Charles E. Costanzo (Faculty Advisor) Air Command and Staff College 1999 -- An additional round of NATO expansion, especially so soon after the first round, would be at best imprudent and at worst irresponsible and foolhardy.

America and Europe: A Partnership for a New Era RAND February 1997 - RAND authors call for transforming the outmoded cold war alliance into an ambitious new compact for promoting the economic and strategic interests of the Atlantic community throughout the world.

PUBLIC INDIFFERENT ABOUT NATO EXPANSION Pew Research Center - January 24, 1997 The American public continues to support the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) but is
uninterested and equivocal about the question of expanding the alliance to include some former
Soviet satellites in East Europe. ... only a narrow plurality want its
membership expanded (45% to 40%). Few Americans are thinking about the issue -- just 20% have
followed the debate about enlargement very closely (5%) or fairly closely (15%).

Stopping the Decline in US-Russian Relations Robert Blackwill, Arnold Horelick, Sam Nunn - 1996 RAND P-7986 "US-Russian relations are poised to resume their
downward drift toward mutual alienation. The time remaining to arrest that trend before NATO
enlargement further accelerates it is short."

Enlarging NATO: The Russia Factor Richard L. Kugler 1996 RAND MR-690-OSD - NATO "enlargement can help temper East Central Europe's dangerous new-era
geopolitics (geopolitics being the process by which nations interact as they try to attain their strategic
objectives). It also offers an historic opportunity to bring new European democracies into the Western
family of nations. Yet it will draw the West into a region of chronic turmoil."

NATO Enlargement and the Baltic States - 1996 RAND RP-548 Dealing with the Baltics in the context of NATO enlargement is one of the most delicate questions facing the Alliance. This study examines the need to develop a strategy for
stengthening Baltic independence and anchoring these states in the West, for a variety of compelling
reasons.

Admitting New Members: Can NATO Afford the Costs? 1995 RAND P-7903 " the burden on current NATO members to defend the Central Front, if there were a resurgent Russian threat to the alliance, would be greater if Poland were not a member of the alliance than if Poland were a member."

NATO at the Crossroads: Reexamining America's Role in Europe. B.C. Schwarz RAND IP-133- 1994 "Current debate suggests that NATO must extend eastwards or risk falling apart ... the dissolution of NATO should not be immediately assumed to be bad for the United States. For example, if the volatile Eurasian countries join NATO, the United States risks involvement in border wars in which it has no national interest."