Just looking back at last year. Rigged beyond belief...it's no wonder most bookies haven't put up odds. It's just a matter of who conveniently wins but there is no rhyme or reason why one artist wins in one category but gets snubbed in another.

Nicki Minaj was favourite for this but the money is going on Taylor. Again, bang on trend from an artists who appeals to kids and hipsters alike

Mark Ronson - Uptown Funk - best male video

Imagine what this would have been like if it had been released in the summer and not over the festive period? Maybe that was part of it's appeal. Again the money seems to be going on Ronson from scooping the prize.

Hozier - Take Me To Church - best rock video

This song created a lot of buzz of it's video embracing gay relations and I think that alone will carry it to the prize.

Pity that you can't back more than singles. Odds are short but hopefully they'll come in!

Have been hunting high and low as to who have still got odds up and it appears only Betfair, 188Bet and sportsbet.com.au (Paddy Power's Australian sports betting arm) have any. A few have 'Video of the Year' odds but that's about it.

Should have nailed those opening 15/8 odds that Betfair were offering on 'Bad Blood'. I'd be very surprised if anyone else won although 'Alright' jumped from 21.00 to 4.50 over at 188Bet. It was Betfair's original favourite to win.

I'm suspicious as to why Taylor isn't at worse odds. Not a done deal but 'Bad Blood' should still win.

I think MTV want to split the prizes up and this could be a good opportunity to shut up the critics with a convenient win for Nicki. They might easily give her Best Hip-Hop Video or ABSOLUTELY NOTHING though. Nicki was 7.00 at 188Bet and now into 2.80 so 9.00 at sportsbet.com.au is tremendous 'value' but will Nicki win?

Two of these outsiders are performing and even though that usually means nothing, I think the odds that they're being offered at is worth a very speculative bet. 8/1 for The Weeknd and 33/1 for Nick Jonas are crazy odds. 12/1 on Kendrick Lamar is even more insane but I strongly suspect he's going to generally get ignored apart from being on Taylor Swift's 'Bad Blood'.

MTV has the tendency to shun nominees even if they are popular and I'm banking on that as MTV pick either The Weeknd or Nick Jonas over the three that are nominated for 'Video of the Year'. For some curious reason, I'm siding with Nick Jonas as a big favour to Miley Cyrus.

I don't think Ed Sheeran will factor this year even after winning last year. He won't make it back-to-back wins. Few ever do.

Absolutely no change in the odds at Betfair which is remarkable. Hozier is the PC choice and would probably win but I suspect that we're gonna get a "DAFUQ!?" winner here with those perennial underachievers Fall Out Boy somehow prevailing instead.

My usual logic is "You turn up to perform, you win!" so Walk the Moon are the more likelier winners but this is MTV. Lorde's 'Royals' won this last year after all.

Interesting...ish. Someone's taken the opinion that Hozier's winning Best Rock Video at sportsbet.com.au and he's gone from 2.20 into 1.80. Walk the Moon 2.30, Florence 6.00, Fall Out Boy shortens slightly into 11.00 and Arctic Monkeys 12.00.

Sentimentality probably puts 'See You Again' as a favourite and only the MTV fanbase can still really get upset about Paul Walker's death (that and demented 'Fast & Furious' fans). Will Kendrick Lamar go home empty-handed? If Nicki wins Female then Kendrick might get this instead. Doubt Minaj wins both Female AND Hip Hop.

GoldDerby are mostly high on George Ezra. Everybody else is going with Fetty Wap. With a potential lack of black winners, they've surely gotta go with Fetty Wap even if he is destined to be forgotten in twelve months time.

Also, Fetty is the only American nominated (three British and one Australian).

Nicki Minaj was favourite for this but the money is going on Taylor. Again, bang on trend from an artists who appeals to kids and hipsters alike

Mark Ronson - Uptown Funk - best male video

Imagine what this would have been like if it had been released in the summer and not over the festive period? Maybe that was part of it's appeal. Again the money seems to be going on Ronson from scooping the prize.

Hozier - Take Me To Church - best rock video

This song created a lot of buzz of it's video embracing gay relations and I think that alone will carry it to the prize.

Pity that you can't back more than singles. Odds are short but hopefully they'll come in!
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I loved how they did it in the 'old days' but GoldDerby now do 'aggregate scoring' rather than 'individual scoring' so you know which person has ranked nominees. The new format? You have no idea let alone how there are betting odds attached!

It's awful. The links in the last year's posts do NOT work. for example. They had a good thing then turned into something rather odd.

GOLDDERBY CONSENSUS PREDICTION: Beyonce apparently.MY PREDICTION: Beyonce is here to collect the big prize and try and derail the Adele Grammys train here even if 'Hold Up' is one of the worst things ever by Beyonce. 'Formation' though might be good enough to 'forgive' Beyonce though.

Am I backing it at 2/1 ON though? No as Kanye West who will be there, could easily be the mega huge spoiler here.

GOLDDERBY CONSENSUS PREDICTION: Adele apparently.MY PREDICTION: For a bit of variety they may very well give this to Rihanna. Adele apparently won't be turning up and could easily be this year's designated 'VotY' nominee who gets shut out...this is a MTV crowd NOT a Grammys crowd.

...with Rihanna opening the show, getting the Michael Jackson Video Vanguard award and at odds of 3/1, I'm taking a punt on that that she ain't turning up without collecting an actual competitive award.

Ariana Grande could be a surprise spoiler unless this is a 'Beyonce must win everything' night. As I reiterate 'Hold Up' as a piece of music is awful. As a music video? It's fairly provocative if you've seen it from 'Lemonade' (smashing things with a baseball bat!) but it's generally not available online what with it being part of the visual album that you have to buy to view.

GOLDDERBY CONSENSUS PREDICTION: Drake apparently.MY PREDICTION: What a weird category. I suppose Paddy might know something but Drake should be favourite yet as stated he might not even be there...and the likes of Desiigner ("WHO!?") and 2 Chainz have aisle seats.

I get the odd feeling that Kanye West might present this and give this award to his protege, Desiigner but at 5/1 ON I'm not at all interested.

Abstaining from a bet on this category but Drake would be my call at a juicy 4/1 if I were to have one AND knew that he'd be there on Sunday night/Monday morning.

GOLDDERBY CONSENSUS PREDICTION: Justin Bieber apparently.MY PREDICTION: Ordinarily 8/1 on Justin Bieber is fantastic odds in what is supposedly a fanvote but I don't even know if that spoiled brat is going to turn up....Madison Square Garden in New York is a helluva long way from Los Angeles after all and the VMAs don't tend to give awards to people who don't turn up.

Alessia Cara is the first act on the preshow but that likely won't allow her to cause an almighty upset. Adele is very likely a 'no show' so who will win this!?

Beyonce would be my favourite if pressed but no bet here as I think Ariana Grande could kind of cause an upset here just as she's a nice enough gal despite her 'bakery shenanigans'.

Ho-hum. MTV could have killed two proverbial birds with one stone but nope, they had to give the only white guy in the final five an award (also beating out two 'VotY' nominees to boot!) then follow it up with Kanye West rambling for four minutes.

I hate the MTV VMAs!

Long long performance break before the next awards. It's 3:42am right now and Beyonce has just performed and only two 'big' awards have been handed out so far.

Britney Spears has to follow Beyonce. Cruel stuff, showbiz.

Britney Spears was lip-synching and not dancing very well apparently. Meh.