Tropical Depression LISA

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
500 PM AST SUN SEP 26 2010
A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS LINGERING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION OF LISA. THIS CONVECTION...HOWEVER...IS
LOCATED OVER 100 N MI FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. IN FACT...DEEP
CONVECTION HAS NOT BEEN WITHIN 100 N MI OF THE CENTER FOR ABOUT THE
LAST 11 HOURS. THEREFORE...LISA NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE AND THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER. SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR OF AT LEAST 30 KT IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS...COUPLED WITH A
STABLE ATMOSPHERE AND A RELATIVELY COOL OCEAN SHOULD PREVENT
REGENERATION.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 335/6. THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 26/2100Z 26.1N 29.4W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12HR VT 27/0600Z 26.8N 30.1W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 27/1800Z 27.9N 31.0W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36HR VT 28/0600Z 29.1N 31.4W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48HR VT 28/1800Z 30.2N 31.4W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72HR VT 29/1800Z 31.4N 31.1W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96HR VT 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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