I gambled 1650 times exactly and charted what I got. Unfortunately I was unable to get the 10gs lockbox reward even ONCE, indicating how rare it is. I know it exists since someone did mention they won it in global. Anyway for those interested, here is the data, in % and raw figures.

500 silver: 221 times, 13.394%5000 silver: 0 (I'm unsure if this reward even exists. I've never obtained it in my entire, illustrious career of gambling since 1.4. If it does, then it must be just as rare, if not more rare than 10gs!)

Conclusions:

1. As such, we can see that Soldier Valor is the most common alchemy lockbox reward, followed by Knight Valor. Therefore players stuck in the might level of SV/KV raids may want to consider gambling to supplement their might growth, ESPECIALLY SV raid players.

2. Squire Valor, Captain Valor, 500 silver, and 10 hero tokens rewards seem to be at about equal rates. Trying to get a moderate amount of these items (notably Captain Valor) should be reasonable with a decent sum of money.

3. Gold shield reward has been DRASTICALLY reduced this patch. I could swear it was about close to 15% in v1.4. Gambling for GS is now no longer profitable/viable unless you have HUGE amounts of silver.

P.S. this experiment took me a gross amount of 8.25m silver (not counting the earnings made back from 500s lockbox rewards). I would have gambled more but I'm saving some silver for upcoming enchantments not yet released, just in case

Bbbb wrote:The calculations I ran on the 1.4 lockboxes was that gold was about a 17% drop. The good news at least is that free app GS is much easier to get now than back when 1.4 was released.

Venan has been quiet, except for Lord_Venan's one comment, but wild irresponsible speculation among players has it, that Venan was forced to nerfed gs and improved valor because of extreme hoarding. Some characters had saved 50+ million silver coins waiting for next valor, after Knight Valor, to be added to lockbox. If true, I would expect gs to go up after extreme hoarding done with. If extreme hoarding continues, I expect gs to remain the same.

Body:Still early Data, but it appears Alchemist Lockbox should now be nicknamed "Valor Lockbox". Several sources have reported increased Gold Shield Loot Drops. If this is not an observational bias, this would indicate that Venan's solution to extreme hoarding is to increase Loot Drops but reduce Lockbox Gold Shields to make it fair to new characters and players since they would get the increased Loot Drops at the same time v1.0 characters and original players get the increased Loot Drops.

I can't seem to find hard data on this anywhere, so I'm starting this topic up to gather the information. If anyone out there know what can drop from these chests, please post it here, but what I'm mostly looking for in order to get a good chart up is data points. I don't have the spare silver to get a ton of them, but if any of you do please post what you get each time. All I have is what I've seen, and I didn't think to write it down at the time so I won't write details I don't know for sure.