Brown caught "only" 106 passes for 1,284 yards and 12 TDs while sitting Week 17 after the Steelers locked up their playoff seed. Prorate Brown's stats over the full calendar and they bump to 113-1,369-13. Not bad for a down year. Brown's targets (154) were down from the last two seasons, however, as was his per-play efficiency (12.1 YPC, 8.3 YPT.) Part of it was his lack of downfield catches (only three for 40-plus), but Brown had only four in 2014 and still managed 9.4 YPT. Perhaps QB Ben Roethlisberger, now 35 and having taken a savage beating over the years, is slipping -- Roethlisberger's 7.5 YPA was his lowest since 2013, he performed especially poorly on the road and he considered retiring this offseason. But Roethlisberger was even worse in 2013, the year when Brown broke out with 9.0 YPT, and both improved the following year. Brown's double-digit scores came despite a lack of red-zone work (15 targets, down from 24 in 2015, 34 in 2014), something that's not sustainable even for the greats, especially when the downfield piece is missing. Moreover, the return of the explosive, 6-4 Martavis Bryant would only perpetuate that trend. At 29, Brown is still in his late prime and is the most durable of the top WR, not missing a game to injury since 2012. He probably has the highest floor -- so long as his quarterback holds up for most of the year.

After seeing an ungodly 203 targets in 2015, Jones got only 129 looks in 14 games last season. But in the league's most efficient offense, Jones made the most of them, ranking first among the NFL's 41 100-target receivers with 10.7 YPT and second with 17.0 YPC. As a result, he finished second in yards (1,409) despite the two missed contests. Per usual, Jones was a red-zone afterthought (only 10 targets), and he scored only six times, oddly par for the course for a 6-3, 220-pound, Hall-of-Fame-level WR who has scored 10 TDs only once. The Falcons rarely look his way when they get close. Despite the low volume, Jones was second in catches of 20-plus (27) -- his 4.34 40 speed apparently still intact more than half a decade after it was tested at the Combine -- and had five catches of 40-plus (T-8th). The Falcons added no weapons of note this offseason, so Jones will reprise his role as the team's unquestioned top target. But at age 28, and prone to nagging injuries, including a surgically repaired toe from which he's still recovering at press time, he comes with more injury risk than the other top options. But with durable and reliable Matt Ryan under center, Jones has very little performance risk -- even with offensive mastermind Kyle Shanahan leaving for San Francisco. In fact, it's possible Jones could even see more red-zone looks this season.

Jerry Rice had Bill Walsh and Joe Montana. Randy Moss, Bill Belichick and Tom Brady. Beckham Jr., sadly, is saddled with present-day Eli Manning and Ben McAdoo. Still, Beckham managed a 101-1,367-10 line, making it his third straight year of 90-1,300- 10 to start his career, something no other player has done. Beckham's efficiency dropped off significantly, however, with only 13.5 YPC and 8.1 YPT, easily the lowest marks of his career, tracking Manning's slide to 6.7 YPA in his age-35 season. At 5-11, 198, Beckham has average size, but his large hands, leaping ability and skill at catching one-handed make him a good red-zone target, something the Giants recognize as he was tied for second in red-zone looks with 23 and fifth with seven targets inside the five. Beckham runs a 4.43 40, but looks even faster in pads, taking short throws to the house and finishing third among WR with 518 yards after the catch. For all his skill and opportunity, Beckham is part of a low-octane offense (24th in YPP) with an easily outsmarted head coach who alternates between neglecting Beckham and forcing the ball to him at inopportune times. Moreover, the Giants also added two more pass catchers this offseason in Brandon Marshall and Evan Engram, and last year's second-round pick Sterling Shepard will have a role, so Beckham could lose a few opportunities.

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