NY Jets Draft Pick Scenarios For Week 17

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After the loss to the San Diego Chargers I am starting to think the Jets want to get the highest pick that they can and so far that would put them into a 5-way tie for the 6th pick in the draft. This scenario involves 7 games.

SOS after all games are played with best case scenarioJets 129-125-2 or 130-126Bills 124-130-2 or 125-131Titans 130-126Cardinals 140-112-4 or 142-114Browns 127-128Panthers in worst case scenario 132-124Buccaneers if both Rams & Vikings win 131-124-1Buccaneers if only Rams or Vikings win 130-125-1

After that the Jets and Titans are tied for the 8th pick after both Buffalo and the Browns beat them out on SOS and the Jets would win the tiebreaker based on having the worse conference record (4-8 vs. 5-7). The Chargers would easily finish with a worse SOS so they can’t lose against the Raiders if the Jets want to get the #8 pick. The Panther can lose and won’t impact the Jets chances. The Buccaneers can lose but the Rams or Vikings have to win or else they would edge out the Jets by a half game.

To recap the only scenario in which the Jets can get the 8th pick if the following occurs:

Moving on to the worst case scenario, if the Jets win and with some help the worst they can do is be in a 5-way tie for the 16th pick.

The scenario

Jets winSteelers loseDolphins loseSaints loseBuccaneers lose

If the above happens then the Jets, Dolphins, Steelers, Panthers, & Saints would be tied at 7-9. The Chargers can also finish at 7-9 but the Chargers can’t beat the Jets in SOS so they won’t be a factor aside from their winning the game.

What we’ve learned here is that it would be better off for the Saints to beat the Panthers as the Jets would lose to both of them in the event of a tie so for the actual worst case scenario the Jets would have to want the Saints to win to only be bumped up 1 spot rather than 2 spots. The Buccaneers also have to lose, otherwise they too would also finish ahead of the Jets in SOS as they would finish 3 games ahead of the Jets in my calculations.So to sum it up the worst case scenario for the Jets is as follows: