Bonnie barely alive

Tropical Depression Bonnie is barely clinging to life. Wind shear of 25 knots and dry air from an upper-level low pressure system over the Gulf of Mexico are taking their toll on Bonnie, which is now just a swirl of low clouds accompanied by a small clump of heavy thunderstorms on the north side of the center of circulation. These thunderstorms are now visible on New Orleans long range radar, and will arrive in coastal Louisiana early this afternoon, well ahead of the center. The Hurricane Hunters are in Bonnie, and have found a much weaker storm with top winds of just 30 mph.

Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Tropical Depression Bonnie. At the time, Bonnie had sustained winds of 30 mph.

Forecast for BonnieThe current NHC forecast for Bonnie looks good, with the storm making landfall in Louisiana near 9pm CDT Saturday night. According to the latest tide information, this will be near the time of low tide. This will result in much less oil entering the Louisiana marshlands than occurred during Hurricane Alex in June. That storm brought a storm surge of 2 - 4 feet and sustained winds of 20 - 30 mph that lasted for several days, including several high tide cycles. Bonnie will be lucky to be a tropical depression at landfall, and should only create a storm surge of 1 - 2 feet that will come at low tide. This will result in a storm tide level that will inundate land to at most one foot above ground level.

Elsewhere in the tropicsThere are no other threat areas of concern today. The only model calling for possible tropical development in the next week is the NOGAPS model, which predicts a strong tropical disturbance could form off the coast of Nicaragua in the Southwest Caribbean about a week from now.

Next updateThe next updates will be by wunderground meteorologists Rob Carver and Shaun Tanner. I'm taking advantage of a break in the tropical action to take a few days away. I'll be back blogging on Friday, at the latest.

Yeah, I know you said you've never experienced 80F weather. Well, it's 11:15pm and it's 79F, heat index of 83F and a dew point of 77F! LOL. In the dog days of summer, it's never comfortable outside here.

Yeah, I know you said you've never experienced 80F weather. Well, it's 11:15pm and it's 79F, heat index of 83F and a dew point of 77F! LOL. In the dog days of summer, it's never comfortable outside here.

Yeah but we don't care because, well, it's over land lol. Odd that they designated it this morning after it was already inland. They could have at any other time over the last 2 days when it was over water. Yet more rain for Mexico which is very bad for them.

That's what happens with reversing El Ninos, and wow, that is dang cold for the gulf coast!

Yeah, I know you said you've never experienced 80F weather. Well, it's 11:15pm and it's 79F, heat index of 83F and a dew point of 77F! LOL. In the dog days of summer, it's never comfortable outside here.

Challenger very darn near made it, the O-Rings failed as soon as the boosters ignited but aluminum got stuck in one of the failing booster rings called 'O-rings', it got knocked out when Challenger hit a sharp area of shear about 30,000 in the air. Several airline pilots reported high turbulence at that altitude flying near the launch pad and noted Challenger still on the pad thinking that the wind shear was the reason Challenger was still grounded.

Almost wasnt close enough sadly =( I dont know enough about the event to speak much about it but I do know there were alot of irate indivuals who were angry about the go ahead with the less than optimal weather.

Quoting RedStickCasterette:Quoting Bordonaro:Without medical insurance I sincerely doubt any for profit hospital will do anything but tell me," You are stabilized, patiently wait your turn at JPS for surgery"!!

To top things off, the 3 coronary arteries that supply the main blood supply to my heart are 20,30 and 40% blocked. They stated that it was not necessary to install stints in those blood vessels in my heart, stating the blockages were not critical.

And I asked the doctor's WHY I have tingling and sharp pains in my head and my left arm, and pressure in my chest for 15 days non-stop. Of course, they did NOT have an answer!!!

Oh that's scary but I think you will do okay and come through it. I just wonder what they are thinking? Perhaps better to wait than the risks of surgery or stents on the others?

The DR at JPS said the protocol states any blockages <60% are not stinted. He also checked the renal arteries feeding the kidneys and they are clear.

The chest pressure and tingling in my left arm may be related to the catoroid blockage, but they're not real sure. They believe I will be ok as long as I take my meds and remain calm.

Quoting SouthALWX:NASA: note to self, icicles plus space shuttle = boom. got it. I still dont understand how they could see that and still go through with it. We learned alot that day .. the biggest thing being that it's easier for something to go wrong than everything to go right.

Challenger very darn near made it, the O-Rings failed as soon as the boosters ignited but aluminum got stuck in one of the failing booster rings called 'O-rings', it got knocked out when Challenger hit a sharp area of shear about 30,000 in the air. Several airline pilots reported high turbulence at that altitude flying near the launch pad and noted Challenger still on the pad thinking that the wind shear was the reason Challenger was still grounded.

I've seen N-G use it before, but I don't think he's given out the link while I was there. Either that, or I wasn't paying attention. Did you know he has a blog on the Houston Chronicle website? You should check it out sometime if you haven't already. If anyone is interested, here it is!

Yea, temps got very low that night in Florida too. This formed on the space shuttle launch pad. The rest of course, is history

NASA: note to self, icicles plus space shuttle = boom. got it. I still dont understand how they could see that and still go through with it. We learned alot that day .. the biggest thing being that it's easier for something to go wrong than everything to go right.

Quoting Bordonaro:Without medical insurance I sincerely doubt any for profit hospital will do anything but tell me," You are stabilized, patiently wait your turn at JPS for surgery"!!

To top things off, the 3 coronary arteries that supply the main blood supply to my heart are 20,30 and 40% blocked. They stated that it was not necessary to install stints in those blood vessels in my heart, stating the blockages were not critical.

And I asked the doctor's WHY I have tingling and sharp pains in my head and my left arm, and pressure in my chest for 15 days non-stop. Of course, they did NOT have an answer!!!

Oh that's scary but I think you will do okay and come through it. I just wonder what they are thinking? Perhaps better to wait than the risks of surgery or stents on the others?