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NBA Picks

Parker & Spurs to 'Cover' vs Cavaliers

Cleveland has been a hot mess this season, and things don’t get any easier with the Spurs coming to town. The NBA Odds have San Antonio as -6 ½ road favorites, with a total of 203.

San Antonio is an astonishing 19-5 SU and 14-10 ATS as road
favorites this season, so will they continue their road dominance against the
East, or will the short handed Cavs come up with a big cash at home?

Parker over there

Tony
Parker made his return for the Spurs a few nights ago and he picked up right
where he left off, scoring 20+ points and leading the Spurs to a win. The Spurs
finally have a fully healthy roster, and they seem poised for a big run in the
final 25 games of the season.

The Cavs
on the other hand are still dealing with some troubling injuries, most notably
to Anderson Varejao, who looks like he will miss another game. Without him, the
Cavs stand little chance of slowing down either Tiago Splitter or more
importantly, Tim Duncan. Tristan Thompson will likely defend Duncan tonight, and
even though it’s not a horrible matchup, this is Duncan, and he will surely
have 20 points and 10 rebounds tonight unless San Antonio is up by 40 points at
half time.

Parker
should have a big game as well going against Kyrie Irving’s invisible defense.
The Spurs not only have the ability to score at will tonight with one of their
mismatches, but their defense should be superb. Kawhi Leonard is playing well
off of his injury, and against Luol Deng, he should slow down one of the Cavs’
main weapons. Other than Irving, Cleveland won’t be able to score the ball
tonight, and it will lead to the Spurs having excellent NBA Odds value on the
road.

The Sharp Pick

With
Parker back for the Spurs, and Varejao still out for the Cavs, the Cleveland
defense stands no chance tonight. The Spurs have been undervalued all season on
the road at 17-13 ATS, and this is another perfect example of the sportsbooks
not giving the Spurs the benefit of the doubt. Now that San Antonio is fully
healthy, they should run through the Cavs.

In their
first meeting this season, San Antonio cruised to a 126-96 win back in
November. That was when Varejao was healthy, and well before the Bulls traded
them Deng for nothing. That makes this spread almost laughable to me. Obviously
anything could happen, and the Cavs might lose by two points in a tight game
all the way through, but my better judgment tells me a blowout is coming.

The
Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Cavs, and after winning
six games in a row SU and almost convincing people they were turning things
around, the Cavs have gone 2-4 SU since that streak, and they are almost
destined for the lottery at this point. The Spurs have the advantage at every
position tonight, and their bench should be well rested now that they don’t all
have to play 30 minutes a night. This season, the Spurs are 8-4 ATS on the road
against the East. Don't hesitate to take the Spurs in your NBA picks for tonight.