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Sunday, September 29, 2013

Western military sources predict an upsurge of tension this week
along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon. Moscow, Tehran and
Damascus may be planning to embarrass Binyamin Netanyahu when he sits
down with President Barack Obama at the White house Monday, Sept. 30,
and addresses the UN General Assembly the next day, Oct. 1.
They see an opportunity to push Israel further out in the cold after
the Obama administration’s brush-off in his rush to pursue relations
with Tehran. Israel is seen as hitting a weak streak as a result of
Washington’s cold shoulder and its own lack of military impetus as
Netanyahu arrives in America to present Israel’s case to the US
President and the international community.
Those sources therefore predict that Russian, Iranian and Syrian
strategists may be planning to goad Israel into an ill-judged and
badly-timed military response at this moment. They can then fit the
Netanyahu government into the frame of the neighborhood warmonger and
disrupter of the hopeful US-Russian partnership for solving the Iranian
and Syrian chemical weapons issues by diplomacy.
All that needs to be done is to place a shipment of advanced or chemical
weapons on the road from Syria to Hizballah in Lebanon to draw forth an
Israeli air strike and start a blaze in a highly explosive sector.
The world would then turn round and say that Iran’s president Hassan
Rouhani was correct when he defamed Israel in New York last week as the
sole cause of Middle East wars in the last 40 years – without
encountering a single dissenting voice in America – and the only nation
in possession of weapons of mass destruction.debkafile’s
sources report that, although President Obama stated last Friday, Sept.
27, that he informed America’s allies, including Israel, of his
landmark phone call to Rouhani, the truth is that he has kept Jerusalem
in the dark on the contacts he initiated on the Iranian and Syrian
issues, although Israel is most vitally affected.
The US-Russian deal for the dismantling of Syria’s chemical arsenal was
sprung on Jerusalem from Geneva on Sept. 14 without warning, as were the
Washington-Tehran exchanges and understandings on Iran’s nuclear
program.
Saturday, Sept. 28, US Secretary John Kerry and Russian Foreign
Minister Sergey Lavrov repeated their Geneva duo performance by
announcing that the UN Security Council had unanimously adopted
Resolution 2118 requiring the elimination of Syria’s chemical stockpile.
All the 15 Council members present appreciated that the motion was
toothless after the US and Russia had agreed to omit penalties for
non-compliance.
The text said: “No party in Syria should use, develop, produce,
acquire, stockpile, retain or transfer chemical weapons.” This wording
strongly recalls Security Council Resolution 1701 which was enacted
seven years ago and banned any transfer of weapons to Hizballah as the
aggressor in the Second Lebanese war against Israel.
This ban was never upheld. In fact, the flow of Iranian and Syrian arms
shipments to Hizballah increased from that day on, providing the Shiite
terrorist organization with one of the most powerful advanced rocket
arsenals in the Arab world.
Even before its enactment, Resolution 2112 was already heading for its
first prevarications Friday with two separate steps by Washington and
Moscow:
1. Two weeks after Kerry’s thunderous rhetoric on the size and
threat to the region of the Syrian chemical stockpile, considered the
third largest in the world, US officials including the State Department
told the media that since most of the stocks are “unweaponized” and
exist in liquid precursors, the entire arsenal could be neutralized in a
shorter period than thought, about nine months.debkafile’s sources
point out that this factoid has been known for months. It doesn’t
address the real difficulties of locating the stocks Bashar Assad has
hidden or transferred, or the difficulty of inspectors reaching them in
areas under combat. At present, UN experts are not even free to move
around Damascus without coming under fire.
2. Lavrov reiterated Saturday that the new resolution absolutely
rules out the use of force or any application of Chapter 7 of the UN
Charter. Any possible use of force n the future under Chapter 7 would
require a new resolution, he said.
Moscow has offered to provide troops to “guard workers and
facilities.” The message is that if any foreign troops are to be allowed
in Syria, they can only be Russian.
As for the “transfer of chemical weapons,” which is barred under the new
resolution, suspicions by Western intelligence that Syrian plans to
sneak part of its arsenal to Hizballah in Lebanon, or has done so
already, apparently reached Beirut. Friday, President Michel Suleiman
hastened to declare: “Syria’s chemical weapons have not been smuggled to
Lebanon and there is no evidence of their presence in the country. debka.com

2 comments:

In the recent words of Henry Kissinger, I do not think Israel will even exist for another 10 years. People in Israel have been living under martial law ever since it's creation in 1948, and the martial law is re-enacted annually. How can you have a "Jewish democracy" when, if you say anything that downsizes any given Jewish person, you are automatically declared an anti-Semite? If I denounce the actions committed by extremists on 9/11, am I an Islamophobe? If I even question the actions committed as a result of 9/11, such as the Patriot Act, the NSA spying or civilian deaths by drone, am I anti-American? Why are humans categorized so? How is this a pretty picture of freedom and democracy? How can any person say that martial law, mass surveillance, manipulation of press, and obstruction of public opinion is anything similar to freedom and democracy? Am I the only person asking these questions?