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RBI's repo rate hike: Two factors that took the market by surprise
The decision to raise the repo rate by 25 bps is surprising for two reasons. The first is that it is being done in expectation of inflation increasing in the coming months, though the targeted rate at 4.8-4.9% is still below the 6% upper band. This was not the stance taken earlier, even as inflation increased and expectations were in the upward direction. The second is that the decision was unanimous, which has rarely been the case in past policies where not more than 2 members spoke of rate hikes or assumed a hawkish tone. READ MORE
MARKET COMMENT Dheeraj Singh – Head of Investments & Fund Manager – Fixed Income, Taurus Mutual Fund
The decision on interest rate hike was generally expected ever since the release of the last monetary policy committee meeting minutes indicated that the committee members were leaning towards a hike in policy rates. The markets will probably take solace in the fact that the central bank continues to maintain a neutral stance and has not moved towards a removal of accommodation stance. This suggests that, unless further inflation prints are significantly higher, the August committee meeting may keep policy rates unchanged. Higher inflation in the immediate future could however increase the probability of a further increase in policy rates MARKET COMMENT Motilal Oswal, chairman & managing director, Motilal Oswal Financial Services
RBI Governor changed the rate little higher, as at this juncture that was the best thing to do. India is in a situation where anything sharp can hurt economy. If we raise the Interest rates too fast & too sharp and try tightening the money supply, it can hurt the corporate earnings that are just about on cusp of expanding. Lowering of interest further was not the case at all, as global volatility due to crude oil prices and rate tightening never offered that option.
At the current levels, markets are looking little expensive but for a reason of expectation of earning momentum kicking in. We think even the correction in the mid-caps is overdone and they should start stabilising. It would be a good idea to commit some capital into well-managed mid-cap mutual funds, as the recovery in earnings will bring the quick buoyancy. Broad markets are currently holding well and we think have a case to move higher towards 11,000 Nifty mark in the short term MARKET COMMENT Shishir Baijal, Chairman & Managing Director, Knight Frank India
The RBI’s stance of increasing the policy rate by 25bps is in line with our expectation considering that the crude oil flared inflation level and the interest rates in the broader economy have been marching higher for some time now. However, this increase in policy rate will delay the revival of the country’s housing market, which after suffering a prolonged period of slump has just begun to show early signs of improvement on account of uptick in affordable housing Nifty Realty index gained 1.5%
COMPANY
LATEST
PREV CLOSE
GAIN()
GAIN(%)
VOLUME
INDBULL.REALEST.
177.95
172.15
5.80
3.37
8607447
GODREJ PROPERT.
726.20
706.35
19.85
2.81
111348
PHOENIX MILLS
664.90
649.15
15.75
2.43
73821
OBEROI REALTY
509.15
501.55
7.60
1.52
208971
UNITECH
4.15
4.10
0.05
1.22
9894359
Nifty PSU Bank index gains 2.5% post RBI policy
COMPANY
LATEST
PREV CLOSE
GAIN()
GAIN(%)
VOLUME
ALLAHABAD BANK
43.30
39.75
3.55
8.93
10478877
INDIAN BANK
347.95
330.20
17.75
5.38
1892339
UNION BANK (I)
90.60
87.00
3.60
4.14
7594762
ORIENTAL BANK
78.60
75.85
2.75
3.63
2654392
SYNDICATE BANK
48.65
47.15
1.50
3.18
2665106

Markets ended higher after the RBI maintained neutral stance in its second policy decision of FY19. The central bank hiked repo rate by 25 bps to 6.25%, in line with market expectations. This is the first rate hike in over four years, reverse repo rate adjusts to 6%. All six members on the rate panel voted for an increase.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended the day at 35,179, up 276 points, while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,685, up 91 points

RBI also revised its retail inflation estimate for 2018-19 to 4.8-4.9 per cent for the first half, and 4.7 per cent for the second. The MPC said that a sharp and durable increase in global crude oil price was seen as a key risk to retail inflation. The central bank retained its gross domestic product (GDP) growth projection at 7.4 per cent for 2018-19.

The MPC decision was in line with a Reuters poll, where an increasing number of economists expected the RBI to raise interest rates, even as some said the rate might be held for now in preparation for an August hike.

Shares of rate sensitive sectors such as bank, real estate and automobiles are trading firm after RBI monetary policy decision. Nifty PSU Bank, Nifty Realty and Nifty Auto were up more than 1% each.

Amomg individual stocks, State Bank of India (SBI), Bank of India and Allahabad Bank from the banking, Indiabulls Real Estate, Godrej Properties and Oberoi Realty from real estate and Tata Motors, Eicher Motors, Bosch and Bharat Forge from auto sector were up more than 2% on the NSE.

MSCI’s world equity index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, was up 0.24 percent, mainly as a result of a strong showing from Asian stocks. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.63 per cent.

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Markets ended higher after the RBI maintained neutral stance in its second policy decision of FY19

Markets ended higher after the RBI maintained neutral stance in its second policy decision of FY19. The central bank hiked repo rate by 25 bps to 6.25%, in line with market expectations. This is the first rate hike in over four years, reverse repo rate adjusts to 6%. All six members on the rate panel voted for an increase.

The S&P BSE Sensex ended the day at 35,179, up 276 points, while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,685, up 91 points

RBI also revised its retail inflation estimate for 2018-19 to 4.8-4.9 per cent for the first half, and 4.7 per cent for the second. The MPC said that a sharp and durable increase in global crude oil price was seen as a key risk to retail inflation. The central bank retained its gross domestic product (GDP) growth projection at 7.4 per cent for 2018-19.

The MPC decision was in line with a Reuters poll, where an increasing number of economists expected the RBI to raise interest rates, even as some said the rate might be held for now in preparation for an August hike.

Shares of rate sensitive sectors such as bank, real estate and automobiles are trading firm after RBI monetary policy decision. Nifty PSU Bank, Nifty Realty and Nifty Auto were up more than 1% each.

Amomg individual stocks, State Bank of India (SBI), Bank of India and Allahabad Bank from the banking, Indiabulls Real Estate, Godrej Properties and Oberoi Realty from real estate and Tata Motors, Eicher Motors, Bosch and Bharat Forge from auto sector were up more than 2% on the NSE.

MSCI’s world equity index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, was up 0.24 percent, mainly as a result of a strong showing from Asian stocks. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.63 per cent.