it was at the end. look at the gyrations, right after the republicanconvention,georgew. bushgoesup and al gore gets back in the hunt. come to the first debate with gore ahead but this is when he sighed so much, look, al gore comes down and in the second debate, that moment you talked about a few moments ago, rob portman filling in for al gore prepared george w. bush for this. >> that's what the question in this campaign is about. it's not only what your philosophy and what's your position on issues, but can you get things done, and i believe i can. >> all right. >> what about the norwood bill? >> a priceless moment there from george w. bush. went or very narrowly, built a little bit of a lead and kept it until the very end and more recently in 2004, george w. bush running for re-election. again, a very competitive close race with john kerry for a long time. after the first debate george w. bush came down, a lot of people said that he was shaky in that debate, didn't answer a question about the iraq war very well and stabilized the race a little bit and in the end, in the final debate, look at

in the debate preps withgovernorgeorgew. bushin2000, i did that. and governor bush's reaction was of course, he's not going to do that. that's ridiculous. >> but can he get things done? >> that's exactly what gore did. >> and i believe i can. >> did he practice a nod or did you just -- warn him he was going to physically approach him. >> i think the point is that governor bush was ready for it and that was not a high point for vice president gore. >> that's fascinating, that they knew gore was going to try to sort of physically approach him. >> that's right. as senator portman said, it's because he spent so much time studying al gore at the time, studying his debates with bill bradley's from the primaries that year. really invaded his personal space. >> it's all about research. we know how governor romney has been preparing the las couple of days. how does he prepare in these last hours or last day or so? >> we're told tonight he went to the cheesecake factory with his sons and some grandchildren. his aides say in the hours before what is critical for him is to get into the green room, to b

john kerry did very well.thengeorgew. bushcameback and did better at the next debate. but he did narrow the gap after that first debate. and in a race that's as closes a this, wolf, that could make all the difference. >> very close in florida and virginia, for example and a debate tonight could impact the undecided voters. thanks, gloria. >> uh-huh. >>> you want to talk about the trial of the century, it could have happened if the raid in pakistan had unfolded differently. and a woman who came close to death in portland, maine's harbor can thank her lucky stars for some alert bystanders ready to help her. everyone has goals. take the steps to reach yours, with us with real advice, for real goals. the us bank wealth management advisor can help you. every step of the way. from big steps, to little steps. since 1863 we've helped guide our clients, so they can take the steps to help grow, preserve, and pass along their wealth. so their footeps can help the next generation find their own path. all of us serving you. us bank this single scoop of gain gives more freshness than a whole b

forward to1982.georgeh.w.bushwason the ropes over bill clinton when casper weinberger was imply indicated in the iran/contra scandal shortly before election day. bad news for bush that he did not need. in 2004 a classic october surprise. osama bin laden released a video on october 29th just four days before election day in a raz orthin race between president bush and john kerry. three years after 9/11 it served as a reminder of the terrorist threat and strategists in both parties believed helped president bush. more recently the term october surprise has come to mean a seismic event in the fall of an election year though most have centered around foreign policy others have been about the economy like in 2008. when the economy imploded, john mccain's advisers say his campaign collapsed along with it and never recovered. historians say in order for an october surprise to have a real 11th hour impact it has to feed into a narrative that already exist, whether it's carter's ineffectiveness or questions about mccain's credentials on the economy. >> it's not so much that suddenly eure

was homeland security advisor duringthegeorgew. bushadministration,as we often point out, she currently serves on the cia's external advisory committee and recently traveled to libya with her employer, mcandrews and forbes. she had actually met with ambassador stevens. what do you make of the pictures you see of what arwa's talking about? >> as i listen to arwa, it just reinforces what we said last week and we've said from the beginning. investigators have to go there, even if you didn't have all the physical evidence there that arwa just described to our viewers, you would want to know from the witness interviews, anderson, you would want to know measurements, you would want to be able to take people through it to really understand what the dynamic was. but then you see things like handprints and blood samples. one of the things, the first thing you would do, i'll give you an example, that is you would take the blood sample off the toilet and the bidet and see whether or not it matched first to the ambassador's. did he fall. there's all sorts of things you would want to know. you know,

pursuedbygeorgew. bushthatgot us into this mess, i think the american people are going to see that and look past what is admittedly not the president's best night. i give it to governor romney on style points. but on substance, and that's what matters, the president wins and should. >> you're a friend of the president's. you know him better than almost anybody in the political world, certainly. what went wrong, do you think? what was the thinking? was there something we didn't know about? people suggesting he may have been given bad news just to explain the sort of strangely morose mood he seemed to be in. >> i really don't know. i wasn't i denver. i know whenever i go to denver it takes me a little while to adjust to the altitude. i don't know whether that was -- i'm purely speculating, piers. i just don't know. i do think that the president was right on the substance, but it would have been great to see more energy. i think the general public and certainly many of the pundits have said so, and i'll bet the president is saying that to himself. i'll tell you, i was on the stre

,georgew. bushstillwon. and this election's going to be decided in the end based on how those last undecided persuadable voters fall and based on who does a better job of getting their vote to the polls and that's what will decide the outcome. >> cornell, i mean, i heard what you said before, but i got to i guess, the more i think about it, i got to push back more on this because even the president's final statement at the end, which is something i assume is the most easy thing to rehearse, at the end it seemed kind of like he was like well, i'll keep trying. i think -- i don't want to -- i'm paraphrasing it that way. >> anderson, i don't think that's fair at all. two things here. one is i've got to push back on one of the things. the predicate that you just laid out about sort of why mitt romney had such a great performance about how he was factually on health care, the critique of the president's health care was a flat-out lie. the government takeover of health care, every fact checker in the world has said that's just not true. the idea that you're going to lose your health insu

.georgew. bushwasthe second worst since roosevelt, so there was obviously a problem president obama was handed when he came to office. look as what he's been handed and look what it's been run up to. if you take the average yearly deficits and put them up as a percentage of gdp or what the country was producing at the time, the size of the deficit compared with the economy, under president obama's watch sill the biggest size of a deficit as compared with the economy, still the biggest since roosevelt. look at roosevelt, look back at fdr. the deficit then was nearly as big and that deficit was almost erased. how did roosevelt do that? created social security and levied heavier taxes, programs for housing and agriculture, put new controls over banks, public utilities and created enormous work relief programs for the unemployed. sounds similar to the president's proposals today, but unlike the last four years fdr saw the unemployment drop, millions of jobs created, gdp jumped, the deficit shrank and the middle class saw a huge expansion that lasted for decades, a building of the middle

with the president on my last day. >> reporter: leonard rodriguez outreach strategyforgeorgew. bush's presidentialcampaigns. we met in his san antonio home. how do they fall into this pit fall of appearing? >> talking one way to a particular group of individuals, and then going to the next event and talking predominantly to a group of hispanic individuals. it forces the candidate to look out there and now know he is talking and delivering a message that has to bring these two groups of people together. >> reporter: television ads offer a snapshot to president obama and mitt romney's strategy in courting voters. the obama campaign is using latino celebrities targeting specific issues like education, immigration and even the appointment of sonya sote omier. mitt romney is using family. he talks about american values and bipartisanship. the chief marketing officer of cultural strategy, he sees obama and romney targeting specific groups in the latino community. romney chasing the more conservative cuban american vote, obama focusing on puerto rican and mexican american votes. he says to get these vot

was appointed by bill carolina tochb and was in that post on9/11.georgew. bushlaternamed him cia director, a job he left 23 days after obama came into office. he's now an adviser to the romney campaign. welcome back to the show, general hayden. >> good morning, fareed. thank you. >> there are two possibilities, one, that this is a bunch of bad guys, militants, that got lucky. the other is this is a systematic campaign perhaps directed by one of the major al qaeda affiliates, if not al qaeda central. you know, this is, in fact, a -- you know, the execution of a long planned attack against the united states. which do you think seems more plausible? >> well, fareed, this is all fuzzy and it's just not fuzzy in our analyst. it's fuzzy in real life. if you look at al qaeda, i'll give you three tears. you gievet al qaeda prime still in pakistan and the border. i think we both agree they are not what they used to be an probably never will be. then you've got the al qaeda affiliates in the arabian pence will and then the al qaeda inspired. frankly, i think this attack was conducted by a group tha

. that was the moment in 1992 thenpresidentgeorgeh.w.bushlookedat his watch during the debate with bill clinton and ross perot. want to talk to dean, a stand-up comedian, writer, and, of course, contributor. dean, you know performing. you have studied these two guys. you write in your blog the candidates who are funny in the debates tend to get elected. what do you think? either one of these guys going to get a laugh? >> i think they're going to try. i'll be honest with you. let's be honest, you don't need a political consultant to tell you, if you make people laugh, you're creating a bomb with them. you're getting an organic disorderly action. they're laughing and they're feeling more warm to you, and i think it's a thing that's overlooked by mft candidates. i think look at ronald reagan's joke. classic. he used it. he destroyed an issue and made himself more likable at the same time. >> do they need to go in with a strategy to be funny, because sometimes when you plan these things and you bomb, it looks even worse. >> i can tell you, i have told many jokes that have bombed in my career. i can

. in2004,georgew. bushgotoutspent by $100 million. so the unions and the super pacs on the left and george soros funded super pacs, you're going to have plenty of money. i'm not worried about that. what i'm very excited about is having the resources to respond to your attacks. >> this is actually an important point. dan eagan has an important piece that folks should take a look at. between charlie and all the other groups out there, they've had a lot of money. whether that money has been strategic strategically spent is the question. we've focused a laser on the middle class. there's a week in august where restore had an ad up about jobs, crossroads had an ad up about the debt. >> those are three republican-oriented super pacs. >> romney was advertising on welfare reform. if you're a voter in toledo, you're saying what is the story they're trying to tell about president obama? i get that they don't like him but what is the strategy here? on the republican side, a reason that the money has slowed down a little bit is that people are disappointed with the overall big picture, exts

usa captain davis love iii inserts cup spectators michael jordan,presidentgeorgew. bushandthe reverend jesse jackson into the lineup, or make lee westwood a u.s. citizen. so funny, because he wasn't playing well. marty mcfly shows team europe captain how to go back in time, last friday morning will do. number five, team europe wins eight of the remaining 12 matches to retain the cup. team usa has a two-day lead that cup casts pray for. it's as difficult as trying to climb mount everest wearing flip-flops and cargo shorts. he still wasn't finished. if mrs. potter had had quinn uplets and they all played golf. he beat himself up, originally tipping europe. yes, i picked europe to win, i also picked samsung over apple, the wicked witch over dorothy and savannah state over florida. i

the automobile industry, major players, gm and chrysler, to go bankrupt.thegeorgew. busheconomicpolicy created this recession. we were losing 800,000 jobs a month when president obama came to office. we have created more than 5 million new private sector jobs. we're moving in the right direction. why in the world would we want to go backward? >> you look at these poll numbers outside of the big one. look at e economy. the question was obama doesn't know how to turn the economy around. this is the pew poll again. 54% now say they agree with that. that's problematic. pew questioned likely female voters. the numbers were heavily in the president's favor, 56% to mitt romney's 38%. now that's tied. that has to be problematic for the president who has been touting his lead with female voters. whether or not you support mitt romney strongly, now 67% up from 56% last month. do you think the invoice presidential debate will turn the tide for the democrats? >> two presidential debates, a lot of campaigning and some events that you and i can't even predict are going to occur in the next four week

debate in1992,georgeh.w.bushdeliberatelylooks at his watch and pays for it when the audience and voters see it as disrespectful. >> there are differences. >> reporter: body language makes a difference in a debate between al gore and george w. bush as well. gore sighs over and over again and bush surprises by winning the debate and the election. both president obama and governor romney are seasoned debaters, and expertes say neither are prone to making major gaffes. but if there is one thing that history has taught us when it comes to presidential debates, expect the unexpected. anderson cooper, cnn. >>> once again, the night is tomorrow, the president versus his challenger, face to face, special coverage begins at 7:00 eastern, right here on cnn and on cnn.com. >>> a lot more news developing this hour. watch this. america's top guy in afghanistan says he will not allow troops to be murdered. but do these insider attacks mean a change in strategy is coming? i'm brooke baldwin. the news is now. >>> one pilot calls it embarrassing. seats coming loose on a major airline. is this

that was caused by the republican policiesingeorgew. bush's tenure,and, you know, a lot of them are holding down -- trying to hold down more than one job, some more than two jobs. so i really think it's incumbent upon the parties to really reach out to them to let them know that they are the deciding factor, and that this is about making sure that their families reach the american dream, and we've seen in poll after poll, democrats win the majority of support of latino voters right now. president obama, you had an nbc telemundo poll, having president obama at more than 70%. there's a survey coming out monday of latina moms where president obama is at 92%. so these are not good numbers for the republicans if they really want to see the white house in november. >> amy, changing topics here. big bird. we can't not talk about big bird. he's become the big talker. pbs, though, just a small fraction of the federal budget, as obama is quick to point out. so why do you think the push by romney to end the funding? >> for big bird? >> well, for pbs, sure. >> right. well, he said he was a fan of big b

he was trying to say is that the middle class was buriedurntdgeorgew. bushandthat's what started the problems for the middle class and that the obama administration has started to pull it out by its boot straps. and so the obama campaign just in case we didn't get that has a statement that says that the romney campaign is taking this entirely out of context. it's obviously in looking at the full transcript that joe biden was talking about the fact that the middle class was buried under failed bush policies. and of course they say romney/ryan would change all that. however, this is an opportunity, which the romney campaign is taking to say, you know what, we agree with you. the middle class has been buried and we're going to change that. imagine this as kind of the dry season in the west in the summer. and any match or any lightning strike is going to start a huge fire. and that's what's going on here the closer we get to the election. >> this is coming a day before the debate. how detrimental could this be for the obama campaign? >> i'm sure the obama campaign is thinking this is

h.w.bushwasalready on the ropes against bill clinton over a sluggish economy, when casper wineberger, former president ronald reagan's defense secretary, was implicated in the iran contrascandal shortly before election day. bad news that bush, who served as reagan's vice president, did not need. in 2004, a classic october surprise. osama bin laden released a video on october 29th, just four days before election day in a razor-thin race between president bush and john kerry. three years after 9/11, it served as a reminder of the terrorist threat and strategists in both parties believed helped president bush. more recently the term october surprise has come to mean a seismic event in the fall of an election year. though most have centered around foreign policy, others have been about the economy, like in 2008. when the economy imploded, john mccain's advisors say his campaign collapsed along with it and never recovered. historians say in order for an october surprise to have a real 11th hour impact, it has to feed into a narrative that already exists, whether it's carter's i

is extremely important as you said at thetop,georgeh.w.bushbackin 1992 was seen looking at his watch when one of the audience members was asking a question. that was terrible for him. it looked like he didn't care about the audience member or the concerns that audience member had. so body language will be extremely important. so when you look at these camera angles being shown tomorrow night, not only listening to the words but see how the candidates react because that will be a very, very important part of how they are determined about who won or lost tomorrow night, ashleigh. >> president obama mentioned that the homework is a drag. and i think we all agree that homework is a drag. when do they find time for the kind of homework they have to do? and is this really the job of the campaign and debate preppers to make sure they have absolutely everything they need? because they're not really watching a lot of tv right now. >> reporter: well, no. but, of course, you know, i think my children and your children would agree, homewo is a drag. who likes doing it? but it's so important they do f

them know when to fold them ♪ ♪ know when to walk away >> that was formerpresidentgeorgeh.w.bushreferencingwhat may have been the most important role in poker and in life. you got to know when to hold them and when to fold them. the man who made that phrase famous is with me tonight, kenny rogers. kenny, welcome. >> thank you so. . thanks for having me. >> what is it like to hear an american president just casually referencing you. >> i have to tell you, he has always been so nice to me. they used to send -- he and barbara used to send me hand-written birthday cards every year. there's a picture of me and barbara and she used to say that's her, what i it, mount vernon -- rushmore. they've always been so sweet to me. >> amazing. do i see your politics lean the republican way? >> well, yeah. you can assume that. >> so after the debate you must be a happy guy this week? >> i thought it went really well. i have to admit, i thought it went well. in all fairness, i really wanted obama to be a great president. i really did. but you know, i think, and i wasn't thrilled with romney but

contentious in the past. in 1984, then vicepresidentgeorgeh.w.bushseemedcondescending towards his opponent, congresswoman geraldine ferraro. >> let me help you with the difference between iran and the embassy in lebanon. >> let me just say first of all that i almost resent vice president bush, your patronizing attitude that you have to teach me about foreign policy. >> in 1988, dan quayle's self comparisons to john f. kennedy drew this blistering response from his opponent, lloyd benson. >> senator, you are no jack kennedy. >> the debate in 1992 was described as a free-for-all with dan quayle and al gore continually interrupting each other. >> in foreign countries -- >> just not -- >> foreign aid -- senator, it's in your book. >> vice president dick cheney and senator john edwards barely kept their debate civil in 2004, with cheney blasting edwards for his attendance record in congress. >> the first time i ever met you was when you walked on the stage tonight. >> in thursday's debate, biden is expected to go after paul ryan on issues like medicaid, social security and foreign poli

. >> reporter: leonard rodriguez coordinated strategyforgeorgew. bush's presidentialcampaign. we met in his san antonio home. >> how do candidates fall into this pitfall of appearing to pandering to a bloc. >> talking one way to a group of individuals and then going into the next event and talking predominantly to a group of hispanic individuals. it forces a candidate to look out there, know he's not talking and delivering a message that has to bring the two groups of people together. >> reporter: television ads offer a snapshot to president obama and mitt romney's strategy in courting latino voters. the obama campaign is using latino celebrities, targeting education, immigration and the appointment of sonia sotomayor as the first hispanic justice on the supreme court. but the romney campaign is using family. mitt romney's son, craig, who speaks fluent spanish, talks about american values and bipartisanship. this is the chief marketing offer of cultural strategies, he's analyzed the marketing strategies and sees obama and romney targeting specific groups in the latino community. romney chas

2000, newsbroke,georgew. bushhadbeen arrested for drunk driving, granted that happened way back in the '70s. how was he able to overcome that story so close to the election? >> well, you know, he can't really overcome it. he just didn't pay a high enough price. everybody will recall, of course, that he actually lost the popular vote in that race, even though he won the electoral vote. where as he was up by about five points before that story broke. i think it is pretty clear that that cost him some votes but didn't cost him quite enough to actually cost him the election. >> so, aaron, what is our october surprise? or have we already seen it? >> i don't know we have yet. some people are talking about the debate as the october surprise. some people are talking about the jobs report. i'm not sure either of those are really a huge game changing event in and of themselves. the beauty of the october surprise is that we don't know what it is before it happens. but a lot of times these things happen, have to do with foreign policy, obviously, the release of the osama bin laden tape in 2

tougher sanctions. >> when barack obama came to office, he said, i'mnotgeorgew. bush, sotherefore, i can negotiate with iran. >> he said he would open up all doors but he wasn't going to give you a seat at the table unless you wanted to come and talk peace. >> we have unsolicited advice on the other side of the break including helpful hints for donald trump. stay with us. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] its lightweight construction makes it nimble... ♪ its road gripping performance makes it a cadillac. introducing the all-new cadillac xts. available with advanced all-wheel drive. [ engine revving ] it's bringing the future forward. online outfit piccolo headphones buy now broadway show megapixels place to sleep little roadster war and peace deep sea diving ninja app hipster glasses 5% cash back sign up to get 5% everywhere online through december. only from discover. that make kids happy. and even fewer that make moms happy too. with wholesome noodles and bite sized chicken, nothing brings you together like chicken noodle soup from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. >>> this is

are exactlywhatgeorgew. bush's wereand at the end of the bush era, when obama was coming in, we were losing 700,000 jobs a month. as a result of the deregulation of wall street and romney wants more deregulation. not only was the american financial system on the verge of collapse, so was the entire world hitting us into a tremendous depression, not recession, depression. that's where we were four years ago. we are not in great shape now but the idea of going back to bush's policy more deregulation and more tax breaks for the rich and cutting social security, medicare and medicaid and more free trade so we continue to lose more jobs in this country. the president should say, sorry, we were there for eight years, it failed, we will move in a different direction. >> all points that he had an opportunity to, but he did not make last night, wolf. >> he had good opportunities and he never did mention, as you quo, the 47% comment that mitt romney admitted the closed door fund-raiser back in may down in florida. here's the bottom line question. who deserves the blame for that performance las

. tonight is their 20th anniversary. >>whengeorgeh.w.bushwasgetting a little impatient with the watch, that was a blunder, and replayed over and over, so maybe get the watch out of the way -- >> first lady is giving him debate tip brs. >> i definitely think have you to kind of be mindful that everybody's watching every moment. they'll go back and find the moment. i thought that watch thing, right -- you have to see where you are, pace yourself. but if you are caught on camera -- >> a sigh. >> you think it's about high-minded substance? how many times do you check your watch? >> it's about both, don't you. >> reptile brain, 80% of it. i think -- i think about the debates you remember. it's reptile brain moments, conflict, it's a witty one-liner -- >> there have been great moments where they eventually lost the debate. >> did you sigh, did you look at your watch, did you look sweaty against john f. kennedy. that's what we talk about. >> and your responses. i don't believe jim lehr will allow candidates to throw stuff out there, not offer some kind of specifics. so if you try to dance ar

an incumbent president, whether it was bill clintonversusgeorgeh.w.bush. whenthe incouple beumbent does the challenger does well, they get a boost in the immediate days ahead. >> the challenge for governor romney. it will be interesting to see how the voters score this one. the president is personally popular, even among undecided voters, soft obama supporter who's say i'm not sure about the economy, auto not sure he is a good economic leader. governor romney has to make the case against a man that say popular leader, and to make the case, the point he wanted to make, ahe's a nice guy, hasn't been able to create a job. is governor romney as specific about how he would create them? that's an open question. without a doubt. you look at the reaction left and right. just about everyone is scoring romney the president. >> the president clearly on the defensive. let's talk about swing states. we've seen a tightening in florida and in virginia. not necessarily so much in ohio, but the magic number is 270. walk us through the next 4 1/2 weeks or so. >> let me close the loops so i don't confuse

,georgeh.w.bush, rossperot, they were the candidates at the time, and she said the town hall style doesn't allow -- specifically she saiding for a female moderator to ask some of the tough questions because it really is just kind of passing the mike from person to person. what do you think of that, what her critique? >> i'm not sure what the -- actually i have carol's debate on a dvd in my office, and i was going from the most recent. i have seen charlie gibson, and -- this debate has -- once the table is kind of set by the town hall questioner, there is then time for me to say, hey, wait a second. what about x, y, z? you said this or you said that. you're sort of the -- they launch the discussion, and then the moderator furthers the discussions as you said this and now you say that. that kind of thing. we hope that kind of group effort can pin down both of these men on a variety of issues. >> and watching the last debate, candy, what do you take away with that in terms of how both of these candidates reacted to jim? is there anything that you learned from it or that you saw that y

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