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The decrease is not surprising: The buyers are not stupid and can see the storm coming at the horizon. They are waiting for the 2.0 Leaf’s to be blown into their driveways, and maybe also Model 3s. Why should they buy an ICE now?

BTW: Porsche has announced a few days ago that they will stop selling diesel powered cars. Not 2022, not 2020, NOW. You can’t order a new diesel Porsche at this point any more.

So, BEVs at 23%. That is good news! I concur that things will pick up when the new LEAF arrives and later when the Tesla Model 3 arrives. At this rate, next year will see BEVs at over half the total car market. When Model Y and Tesla Pick-up trucks arrive it will be all over for the ICE market in Norway.

True! Add Mercedes EQ, Audi e-Tron, Jaguar i-Pace, VW Crozz and perhaps the long range Leaf to the math, and it’s no wonder some people are holding out. I bet sales will sharply increase over the year. And I think it’s worth noticing that ICE care sales are even more sluggish. Could be a sign a significant number of buyers are planning to go all out EV.

Yes, to sell a used ICE car in Norway now is very difficult. People have to drop the price a lot to move the car, especially Diesel. There are 39285 used Diesel cars for sale on the most popular internet sales place in Norway, and 21125 petrol cars, while the electric amounts to 2538 with prices that are very high. Car dealers is very keen on getting hold on used electric cars, but very reluctant to used ICE cars. A big part of the reason are growing toll roads with free pass for electric cars and toll amounting to up to 4-5000 Euro each year for ICE cars if you have 2-3 passings each day.

Also, the true “Sale” is not registered as a sale before the car is registered on the road, so that can be many months after the real sale.

There’s huge supply problems for basically any electric car to the Norwegian market these days. I’ve even seen one Ford Focus Electric that was newly registered, and that’s a sign everything else is hard to get your hands on. There’s up to a year of waiting just to get an e-Golf if you order now, and while deliveries of the new LEAF have begun, it’s impossible to even book a test drive.

That plus the fact that upcoming electric cars are part of the mainstream media news – and not just for the Model 3 – goes some way to explain why car sales are slowing. If all the EVs on the market were available with a few weeks delivery we would see not only much higher total sales, but also a much bigger share of electric cars.