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Malaysian economy to face sharp slowdown as LI records largest drop in March - DOSM

KUALA LUMPUR, May 22 -- The Leading Indicator (LI) for March 2020 recorded its largest monthly drop since November 1991, following the imposition of a two-week Movement Control Order (MCO) beginning on March 18 to curb the spread of COVID-19.

The Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM) chief statistician Datuk Seri Dr Mohd Uzir Mahidin said based on the previous global economic crises, it found the expectation of LI for the next four to six months to reflects the forthcoming reality of the economic recession.

The department in its latest Malaysian Economic Indicators: Leading, Coincident & Lagging Indexes for March 2020 showed the LI declined further to negative 4.9 per cent in March 2020 from negative 0.8 per cent in the previous month.

The significant decrease were mainly attributed by Expected Sales Value in the Manufacturing sector (-1.7 per cent) and Number of New Companies Registered (-1.6 per cent).

Concurrently, the annual change of LI recorded negative 3.6 per cent in March 2020 as against 1.7 per cent in February 2020.

The sharp drop in the LI reflects the shutting down in non-essential business activities following the unprecedented restrictions in people's movement to curb the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Thus, it is expected that the Malaysian economy will be facing a sharp slowdown in the near future."

At a press conference later, Mohd Uzir said the LI for Malaysia and the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) showed a similar trend where both indices showed flagging economy in March compared to the corresponding month in 2019.

The performance was in line with that of the United States (US), Australia, Korea, Indonesia, and Japan

The year-on-year LI for Malaysia recorded negative 3.6 per cent in March 2020 following declining expected Sales, Manufacturing (-6.3 per cent), Bursa Malaysia Industrial Index (-10.4 per cent, Real Import of Other Basic Precious & Other Non-ferrous Metals (- 17.8 per cent), Number of Companies Listed (-39.5 per cent), Number of Residential Units Approved for Construction (-58.6 per cent), Real Money Supply M1 (8.1 per cent), and Real Import of Semiconductors (12.1 per cent).

Month-on-month LI for the United Kingdom, Germany, the US, Brazil, Euro, Euro Area, Australia, South Korea, Spain and Malaysia showed a decline except for China.

Global energy investment expected to fall by record 20 percent in 2020 due to COVID-19 – IEA

MOSCOW, May 27 -- The world’s investment in the energy sector is projected to plummet by a record-high 20 percent year-on-year in 2020 as a consequence of the energy crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak, Sputnik news agency quoted the International Energy Agency (IEA) as saying on Wednesday.