Republican Florida Attorney General Charlie Crist and Democratic U.S. Rep. Jim Davis
hold more than 20-point leads in their respective races for the gubernatorial nomination
among likely primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Crist leads Florida Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher 55 - 32 percent among
likely Republican primary voters, including leaners, and 47 - 29 percent among all
registered Republicans, according to the independent Quinnipiac University poll, down
from a 49 - 21 percent Crist lead in a June 29 poll of registered Republicans.

Davis leads Smith 47 - 19 percent among likely Democratic primary voters, with
leaners, and 39 - 15 percent among all registered Democrats, compared to a 32 - 16
percent Davis lead June 29. But the Democratic race is more fluid because 33 percent of
likely voters remain undecided and 64 percent of those who name a candidate say they
might change their mind.

"Although the numbers for the Republican and Democratic primaries look similar,
the situations are not analogous," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac
University Polling Institute.

"The Democratic race for governor remains much more fluid because a third of the
likely voters are undecided and most of the rest say they could still change their minds,"
Brown added.

"Crist's lead over Gallagher looks to be a little more stable because both of those
candidates are better known to Florida voters, and there are far fewer undecided voters in
that race."

"The numbers in both the Republican and Democratic primaries remain fluid,
however, because of the voters' general lack of familiarity with the candidates. It is often
difficult to change voters' perceptions in the final weeks of the campaign, but in these
races - and especially the Democratic one - the candidates are still such blank slates to so
many voters that anything could happen."

In the Republican race, about half the voters favoring both Crist and Gallagher say
they could still change their mind. In the Democratic contest, 60 percent of Davis'
supporters and 70 percent of Smith's said they might change their minds.

From July 19 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,541 Florida registered voters
with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The survey includes 340 likely
Republican primary voters, with a margin of error of +/- 5.3 percentage points, and 319
likely Democratic primary voters, with a margin of error of +/- 5.5 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts
public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and
the nation as a public service and for research.
For additional data-www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeb Bush is handling his job as
Governor?

24. (If registered republican) If the 2006 Republican primary for governor
were being held today and the candidates were Charlie Crist and Tom Gallagher
for whom would you vote? (If undecided q24a) As of today, do you lean more
toward Crist or Gallagher? * This table includes Leaners.

Likely Rep
Primary Vtrs

Crist 55%
Gallagher 32
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) -
DK/NA 12

24a. (If registered republican) If the 2006 Republican primary for Governor
were being held today and the candidates were Charlie Crist and Tom Gallagher
for whom would you vote?

Reg
Rep

Crist 47%
Gallagher 29
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1
DK/NA 21

TREND: (If registered Republican) If the 2006 Republican primary for Governor
were being held today and the candidates were Charlie Crist and Tom Gallagher
for whom would you vote?

25. (If "Crist" q24a) Is your vote more for Crist or more against Gallagher?

CRIST VOTERS Q24a
Reg Likely Rep
Rep Primary Vtrs

For Crist 80% 79%
Against Gallagher 10 9
DK/NA 11 13

26. (If "Gallagher" q24a) Is your vote more for Gallagher or more against
Crist?

GALLAGHER VOTERS Q24a
Reg Likely Rep
Rep Primary Vtrs

For Gallagher 73% 81%
Against Crist 12 9
DK/NA 15 10

28. (If registered democrat) If the 2006 Democratic primary for governor were
being held today and the candidates were Jim Davis and Rod Smith for whom
would you vote? (If undecided q28a) As of today, do you lean more toward Davis
or Smith? This table includes Leaners.

Likely Dem
Primary Vtrs

Davis 47%
Smith 19
SMONE ELSE(VOL) -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) -
DK/NA 33

28a. (If registered democrat) If the 2006 Democratic primary for governor
were being held today and the candidates were Jim Davis and Rod Smith for
whom would you vote?

Reg
Dem

Davis 39%
Smith 15
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2
DK/NA 43

TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2006 Democratic primary for governor were
being held today and the candidates were Jim Davis and Rod Smith, for whom would
you vote?