by CRA Corporate Research Associates

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02 Sep 2014

NB Liberals Still Well Ahead in Voter Intentions Although Gap Narrows

HALIFAX: The NB Liberal Party has maintained its lead over the other provincial parties although the gap has narrowed, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Approximately one-half of New Brunswick decided and leaning voters support the Liberal Party (48%, compared with 53% in May 2014). Meanwhile, three in ten back the governing PC Party (29%, compared with 27%), and one in six support the NDP (17%, unchanged). Green Party support is stable (4%, compared with 3%), while two percent of voters back the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick (compared with less than one percent). The number of residents who are undecided rests at 14 percent (compared with 18%), while four percent refuse to state a preference (unchanged), and seven percent support none of the parties or do not plan to vote (compared with 9%).

Presently, one-third of New Brunswick residents are satisfied with the provincial government (35%, stable compared with three months ago), while a small majority (56%, compared with 54%) are dissatisfied. Meanwhile, nine percent do not offer an opinion (compared with 11%).

David Alward’s personal popularity is stable this quarter, with two in ten New Brunswick residents preferring Alward for Premier (22%, compared with 20%). Brian Gallant of the Liberal Party is preferred by one-third of residents (35%, unchanged) and support for Dominic Cardy of the NDP stands at 11 percent (unchanged). Five percent (compared with 6%) prefer David Coon of the Green Party, while two percent (compared with 1%) prefer Kris Austin of the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick. Six percent of New Brunswick residents prefer none of these leaders (compared with 7%), while two in ten (19%, compared with 20%) do not offer a definite opinion.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent telephone survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 800 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from August 19 to August 31, 2014, with overall results accurate to within ±3.5 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, Chairman and CEO, at (902) 493-3838