Bosley Market Insights

It’s no big surprise that freehold listings are down, but there is a silver lining in that cloud. Last week we were only off by 14.6% compared to the same period last year when we saw an almost 45% decline in new listings. So, while the percentage drop is much better we still have fewer new listings overall for buyers to choose from. Sales remain strong with roughly 60% of all homes selling at or above the list price - where we saw 70% or more of available homes selling over asking in 2015. This year that number has stayed consistently in the 60% range. We believe this is more likely as a result of a higher list price and the fact that buyers are looking for other options, like condos.

Knock-knock. Who's there? Scarce listings. Scarce listings who? Scarce listings are causing multiple offers and sharp price increases. Ok, so we are missing the usual snappy opening this week but the lack of available listings has us, and our buyer clients, in a bit of a bad mood. Even with near record low inventory levels, sales have been extremely brisk. The frenzy of activity isn't just localized in the downtown core either. As the Globe and Mail recently reported, suburban homes across the GTA are experiencing a similar fate. The trifecta of low interest rates, strong employment and immigration are driving accelerated price growth across the region. As the Globe reports 'nearly half of all job growth and 75% of immigration' is happening in the 905.

After an absence of several weeks, freehold resale listings are starting to move in a positive direction, increasing by 32.1% last week. The sweet spot for new listings across the entire core of the city is in the $700k to $1.5m range which increased nearly 60%, while sales in this category also saw tremendous activity, jumping 83%. What is interesting to note about the market is that cooler heads tend to prevail with only 60% of sales being recorded at or above the list price (compared to 76% a year ago).

The trademarks REALTOR®, REALTORS®, and the REALTOR® logo are controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA. The trademarks MLS®, Multiple Listing Service® and the associated logos are owned by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. Used under license.

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