What's up everyone. Nice to see you all still on here. Looking forward to Winter! Lake effect - you back in Canada?

I never left in the end. Circumstances conspired to keep me here...got a very good job offer along with poor timing with trying to sell our home. So at least one more winter, and after the last two I am hoping for a classic, along the lines of what TWN are saying in their winter preview, which I posted on the autumn thread, and what Travis just said above.

From the Barrie perspective, I think we could be in for a blockbuster. This late season warmth will really impact Lake Huron temps which were trending around or below normal until recently, but with another week or two of sustained warmth, we could see the lake temp start to track above normal, which is one ingredient for the perfect LES recipe. These two weeks of warmth could extend the LES potential by another week or two into early February. The other LES ingredient is a stream of cold air coming in from the NW, if the center has a cold ridge over it, that could definitely result in some nice LES conditions, provided it doesn't sit too far East.

With the prospect of more Colorado lows crossing the region, I am anticipating an above average snow season here in Barrie, possibly 3 to 3.5 meters in some parts of town (2010/11 had close to 4m for some).

I'm sure there will be a GLC or two, and you are more likely to be on the wrong side of the freezing line down there even if they are lows running up the 401, but I hope its not like last year which was GLC overdose.

I'm sure there will be a GLC or two, and you are more likely to be on the wrong side of the freezing line down there even if they are lows running up the 401, but I hope its not like last year which was GLC overdose.

If there was a cutter-rehab program, I'd have signed up last year. Can't be that bad again. The storm track we had in Apr-May was wicked. Would LOVE that!

Obviously still well too early, but I think TWN has the right idea with there winter forecast at this time. Looks like there leaning towards more of a central trough look which could very well lead to more lows tracking in to S.ON with more frozen precip than last winter.

Obviously still well too early, but I think TWN has the right idea with there winter forecast at this time. Looks like there leaning towards more of a central trough look which could very well lead to more lows tracking in to S.ON with more frozen precip than last winter.