The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Power Line

Team

Pitcher

Estimate

Edge

SAN FRANCISCO

ZITO

+136

CINCINNATI

LEAKE

-136

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

SAN FRANCISCO team trends

Win/Loss record

Over/Under

Current Year

Last 3 Years

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

O-U

O-U

O-U

when playing on Wednesday

11-14

-5.1

41-37

-2.5

218-187

+15.5

15-10

41-35

193-191

in day games

35-31

+0.5

92-85

-4.3

502-471

-17

33-29

82-87

476-455

in games played on a grass field

95-70

+17.8

284-220

+35

1354-1162

+100.4

88-71

238-245

1195-1197

against right-handed starters

55-51

-4.2

191-165

+0.9

1037-895

+62.7

56-46

170-170

943-897

in playoff games

1-2

-1.4

12-6

+8.1

24-22

+2.9

2-1

8-9

23-22

after a win

51-42

+3

157-127

+10.5

767-640

+63

52-39

133-138

669-675

when playing against a team with a winning record

32-33

-0.2

120-113

+7.5

620-620

+27.4

34-29

109-117

602-582

when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season

17-18

-0.8

67-59

+9.7

323-316

+26.3

19-15

58-65

311-303

in all games

95-70

+17.8

285-222

+33.8

1417-1220

+106

88-71

239-247

1265-1245

when the total is 8 to 8.5

11-10

+1

57-47

+9.2

479-441

+2.4

16-5

54-49

459-428

as a road underdog of +125 to +150

9-6

+6.4

21-29

-0.3

136-164

+20.5

8-7

26-23

152-133

in road games

47-35

+15

136-118

+23.1

648-670

+35.1

50-30

134-112

661-597

on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5

9-9

+0

39-39

+1.4

201-230

-13.1

14-4

42-36

225-194

in October games

2-4

-1.8

13-10

+4.3

37-32

+4.9

2-4

9-13

34-34

CINCINNATI team trends

Win/Loss record

Over/Under

Current Year

Last 3 Years

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

O-U

O-U

O-U

at home when the total is 8 to 8.5

21-20

-6.8

62-58

-15.8

194-208

-38.1

17-18

61-50

212-176

in October games

3-3

-0.1

5-7

-2.6

10-23

-15.1

2-4

4-8

10-23

when playing on Wednesday

14-11

+0.3

42-36

+2

182-218

-28.9

7-15

32-43

183-194

in day games

38-19

+14.8

96-76

+8.6

440-465

-6.3

22-30

73-81

421-425

in games played on a grass field

99-66

+18.6

269-222

+15.1

1040-1118

-12.6

62-90

222-232

995-1037

against left-handed starters

33-18

+12.7

86-63

+14.3

355-367

-9.8

21-28

66-74

332-355

in playoff games

2-1

+1.1

2-4

-1.9

2-4

-1.9

2-1

3-3

3-3

after a loss

43-22

+18

129-90

+32.8

652-671

+13.5

29-34

109-97

641-614

when playing against a team with a winning record

39-30

+7.8

95-108

-11.5

542-669

-8.3

24-40

91-94

551-593

when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season

15-9

+5

40-52

-12

242-335

-26.2

7-14

41-42

262-276

in all games

99-66

+18.6

271-223

+16.9

1271-1332

-22.3

62-90

222-234

1215-1242

when the total is 8 to 8.5

37-28

+0

109-101

-13.5

377-413

-20.8

24-33

102-96

375-385

as a home favorite of -125 to -150

19-13

+1.2

48-42

-10.2

172-154

-38.2

12-18

42-42

155-152

in home games

50-32

+5.4

143-104

+6.1

655-647

-84.3

33-41

116-109

638-590

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games

Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

Games over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI is 14-10 (+4.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons

13 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

Games this season

CINCINNATI is 6-4 (+2.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season

5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI is 7-4 (+2.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons

7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

Games played at CINCINNATI this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against CINCINNATI this season

2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

Team Stats

Starting Pitcher Stats

Date

Teams

Score

Line

Total

Result

H

HR

SB

LOB

ERR

Starter

W/L

IP

ER

H

BB

10/9/2012

SAN FRANCISCO

2

+130

3

0

0

4

0

VOGELSONG(R)

5

1

3

3

CINCINNATI

1

-140

7.5 un

Under

4

0

1

7

1

BAILEY(R)

7

1

1

1

10/7/2012

CINCINNATI

9

+135

13

1

0

5

0

ARROYO(R)

W

7

0

1

1

SAN FRANCISCO

0

-145

7 ev

Over

2

0

0

5

0

BUMGARNER(L)

L

4.3

4

7

1

10/6/2012

CINCINNATI

5

+115

9

2

0

6

1

CUETO(R)

0.3

0

0

0

SAN FRANCISCO

2

-125

6.5 un

Over

7

1

0

11

0

CAIN(R)

L

5

3

5

1

Pitcher Versus Team Past History

BARRY ZITO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997

ZITO is 3-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.21 and a WHIP of 1.500.

His team's record is 5-6 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.9 units)

BARRY ZITO recent starts vs. CINCINNATI

Date

Opponent

Score

Line

Total

Result

Dec

IP

R

ER

H

HR

BB

SO

Opp Starter

6/30/2012

CINCINNATI

1-2

+115

7.5

Loss,Under

L

6

1

1

5

0

6

3

LATOS(R)

4/25/2012

at CINCINNATI

2-4

+115

8.5

Loss,Under

6

1

1

5

1

2

4

ARROYO(R)

7/31/2011

at CINCINNATI

0-9

+145

8

Loss,Over

L

5

5

5

8

1

2

4

CUETO(R)

MIKE LEAKE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997

LEAKE is 3-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.374.

His team's record is 4-0 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. SAN FRANCISCO

Date

Opponent

Score

Line

Total

Result

Dec

IP

R

ER

H

HR

BB

SO

Opp Starter

6/29/2012

at SAN FRANCISCO

5-1

+150

6.5

Win,Under

W

9

1

1

9

1

1

4

CAIN(R)

7/30/2011

SAN FRANCISCO

7-2

-115

8

Win,Over

W

6.3

2

1

8

1

0

7

BUMGARNER(L)

6/11/2011

at SAN FRANCISCO

10-2

+140

6.5

Win,Over

W

8

0

0

4

0

1

8

LINCECUM(R)

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1039, -29.1 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 50.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (217-211, -17.6 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1063-1069, -102.0 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (199-216, -32.9 units)

Edge=SAN FRANCISCO

&nbsp

The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (785-740, -63.6 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 48.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (102-110, -19.5 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.5% of the time since 1997. (820-743, -24.5 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (134-124, -3.2 units)

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