1) You all know me as a voice of optimism. But I'm looking at fundraising #s in the 25-30 most competitive House races and (yes, it's early, and no, we don't have "the" candidate in many races yet) DemoKKKrats are outraising Rs 2:1.

2) So far, we do NOT have top tier candidates in most of the more competitive races. Rs who are holding positions are either comfy in their current slots or haven't declared.

3) While I expect the fundraising #s to change in our direction, the fact that in previously "unimportant" districts, the DemoKKKrats have sometimes $1m already should be a wakeup call.

4) There needs to be a dedicated push NOW to get solid conservatives, and not loser RINOS like Karen Handel, into the races (she is trailing a conservative in fundraising, thank God).

5) The time to begin paying attention to these House races is NOW, not next July.

6) Things do not remain static, but "as of now," I could see Trump winning by BIGGER margins in 2020 and us losing still MORE House seats just because of lack of candidates, money, and effort.

1) A little thread here on a film/pop culture. I have argued in the past that DESPITE what the creators of a book, character, or movie want, the public has a vote. In fact, the public has "the" vote.

2) One example: in the 1980s the Hoax News Media called Reagan's . . .

2) contd. . . SDI system "Star Wars" thinking they were going to ridicule it. But what happened since the days of "Buck Rogers" was that we had put men on the moon, walked in space, used lasers, and most of America saw "Star Wars" and knew the Emperor WAS the Soviet Dictators.

3) Reagan was Luke, despite the age difference, as both envisioned things that could be, and didn't see obstacles to achieving them.

1) Just where do the Odd Squad of Exceptional Communists come from? (Special thanks to Freeper "fieldmarshaldj" for superb history here):

2) Illicit Mullah Omar comes from an urban-suburban seat centered on Minneapolis (MN-5). Although racially it is 67% White & just 17% Black

2) contd . . . (as of 2012), the urban Whites are ultra-leftists. This was the district of the Jihadi Abuser, Keith Ellison. Trump only got 19% here in 2016, the GOP nominees got 22% in ‘16 and ‘18. The last Republican to win here was in 1960.

3) Ayanna Pressley’s district (MA-7) is a mostly urban seat in Boston (excluding downtown) & surrounding areas. It was plurality White (34%) as of 2012 (26% Black, 22% Hispanic). Until Pressley defeated the Dem incumbent, the ultra-leftist Capuano, it only elected White males.

Here's how well my model performed at the district/state level in 2018

Free of polls and relying on fixed factors like partisanship, college education, and diversity, my model can give a huge lead time. Here is what my model said about some of the most competitive House races in July when 1st released

Let's see what the scamps at Microsoft's PAC got up to last month. Pretty strong right out of the gate, with $4000 to Ted Cruz

And a thousand bucks from Microsoft to Peter Roskam, who is running in one of the most competitive House races in the country. The love affair between the tech monopolies and the Republican Congress they are trying to save is really under-reported

Elise Stefanik is a Republican on the House Intelligence Committee, and is also facing a strong Democratic contender for her upstate NY seat. Twitter already gave her a bunch of money, now Microsoft adds to the haul

NEVER FORGET 👇
According to a declassified summary by our intelligence agencies, President Putin personally ordered the cyberattacks that helped Donald Trump win the election last fall.

Lost in the outrage over the undermining of our presidential election is the fact that tens of thousands of pages of hacked D.N.C. documents were "selectively released" by Guccifer 2.0 to political bloggers and newspaper reporters that were designed to cause "a democratic damage

Foreign agents actively worked against American democracy in the most competitive House races in the nation. These included districts in Pennsylvania, Florida, New Hampshire, Ohio, Illinois, New Mexico and North Carolina.

A couple thoughts about what we should be looking for in a Democratic standard bearer for the 2020 election. Yes, it's early, but there are some qualities that will be vitally important for a post-trump administration. (1/)

And those qualities are not really ideological. Yes, our Democratic candidate will have to present an ideological vision that's a 180 degree turn from trumpism, but that won't be a problem for any Democrat. (2/)

Every Dem who runs should be promoting civil rights, universal healthcare, real tax reform, government accountability, pro-social safety net. Etc. Etc. As snippy as some of the "Dem infighting" is, Democrats broadly agree on the issues. (3/)