It's Selection Sunday, at last. At 6 pm tonight (Eastern), we'll finally be able to fill in the field of 68 for real. But here's our final prediction on how the brackets will look:

THE DEAL WITH SYRACUSE

The Orange's profile sets it up as a solid No. 3 seed. But thanks to Duke and Virginia's victories in Saturday's ACC semifinals, those two teams are going to wind up with better top-to-bottom resumes than Syracuse.

So what does that mean? If the selection committee sticks to its professed love of geography, those two teams are probably ticketed for the East and South brackets in some combination or another. As a top-four seed from the same conference, that means Syracuse would get shipped to the Midwest or West regionals.

The price of losing at home to Boston College and Georgia Tech is having a second weekend date in Indianapolis rather than New York. As for the first weekend, it looks like Syracuse won't lose its place in Buffalo, but there is one variable that could change that.

Louisville is a really tough team to project. It's played like a No. 2 seed and has the profile of a No. 4 seed. The difference is split in the bracket below, but the Cardinals are located closer to Buffalo than Orlando (their projected opening weekend destination). If the committee trusts their eyes more than the data, Syracuse could wind up in that Sunshine State slot.

WHO'S THE FOURTH NO. 1 SEED?

Even with its loss yesterday to UCLA, Arizona remains locked in as a No. 1 seed with Florida and Wichita State. The final No. 1 seed would seem to be in a bit more flux, but the committee might well give it to Michigan, anyway, given the mid-afternoon tip time of the Big Ten final. The Wolverines won the Big Ten regular season, made the league title game and are 10-4 against the top 50. There are worse choices.

THE TOUGH CALLS

Nebraska: The Cornhuskers (19-12) are 8-9 against the top 100 (not bad), won at Michigan State and haven't done anything remotely bad in nearly two months. Their strength of schedule raises no flags, but their 4-11 road/neutral record does. A top-50 RPI won't hurt, either. Verdict: IN

Brigham Young: What a difficult profile to discern. The Cougars (23-11) have a great RPI (31), and the sort of nonconference strength of schedule (4) that tends to be rewarded. BYU is decent away from Provo (9-10) and has a winning record against the top 100 (8-7), but also has four losses to teams outside the top 100 and just lost its No. 2 scorer (guard Kyle Collinsworth) to an ACL tear. It's a real coin flip. Verdict: IN

N.C. State: The Wolfpack (21-13) has a winning record away from Raleigh (8-7), fairly inoffensive bad losses (Miami and Wake Forest) and did its best work (beating Syracuse in Greensboro and Pittsburgh and Tennessee on the road) outside its own building. Of the remaining teams, there's less bad about N.C. State, and sometimes that's good enough. Verdict: IN

Southern Methodist: The Mustangs (23-9) are yet another bit of evidence that human polls are entirely worthless for a bracketing endeavor. While they are good away from home (8-8) and respectable against the top 50 (4-5), they played the nation's No. 296 nonconference schedule. The last team to play a nonconference schedule worse than 250th and earn anything between a No. 9 and No. 16 seed was 2006 Air Force. The committee routinely punishes teams that don't play difficult nonconference schedules, and SMU probably will be no different. Verdict: OUT

Wisconsin-Green Bay: The wild card in all of this, the Phoenix (24-6) owns a victory over Virginia, an 11-3 record away from home and a winning record against the top 100 (4-3). There are no nonconference strength of schedule issues here (52nd), though Horizon League play brought the overall SOS number down to 144th. If the committee is going to show clemency to any team, it is probably Green Bay, but it should also be noted the Phoenix lost in their conference semifinals on their own court. Verdict: OUT

California: There's some nice wins for the Golden Bears (19-13), including a Feb. 1 upset of Arizona. But there's also a lot of losses, a 4-10 mark against the top 50, a 5-11 record against the top 100, a 6-9 mark away from Berkeley, and an ugly loss to Southern California (RPI: 175). That's probably not going to cut it for much more than an NIT No. 1 seed. Verdict: OUT

SUNDAY'S CONFERENCE TITLE GAMES

Duke vs. Virginia, 1 p.m. (ESPN): The top-seeded Cavaliers (27-6) go for an ACC tournament crown to match their regular-season title as they face the only team in the league they haven't beaten this season: Duke (26-7).

Saint Joseph's vs. Virginia Commonwealth, 1 p.m. (CBS): Both teams are playing for NCAA seeding at this point, with Virginia Commonwealth (26-7) harboring realistic hopes of a No. 5 seed if it can beat the Hawks (23-9) in the Atlantic 10 title game.

Georgia State vs. UL Lafayette, 1 p.m. (ESPN2): The last of the one-bid leagues is decided as Sun Belt regular season champ Georgia State (25-7) takes on the Ragin' Cajuns (22-11). The Panthers won the teams' earlier meetings by three and seven points, respectively.

Florida vs. Kentucky, 3:15 p.m. (ESPN): The Gators (31-2) are basically assured the No. 1 overall seed in the field of 68, while Kentucky (24-9) is trying to salvage some notable accomplishment from an overhyped season. Winning the SEC tournament would count.

Michigan vs. Michigan State, 3:30 p.m. (CBS): Is this Big Ten title game being played too late to matter for bracketing purposes? Quite possibly. Don't be surprised if, win or lose, Michigan (25-7) occupies the last No. 1 seed.

Note: (Teams with their conference affiliation in parenthesis are conference winners or the top remaining seed in their conference tournaments; in this bracket, the South winner would face the East winner and the West winner would face the Midwest winner)