Best Picture:

“Arrival”

“Fences”

“Hacksaw Ridge”

“Hell or High Water”

“Hidden Figures”

“La La Land”

“Lion”

“Manchester by the Sea” — “La La Land” is such a favorite that voters will feel freed up to vote for an underdog such as “Manchester by the Sea” — an unbearably depressing film that is so deeply felt that it has, against all odds, earned nearly $50 million in the US.
“Moonlight”

Best Actor:

Casey Affleck, “Manchester by the Sea” — Denzel Washington was the surprise winner of the Screen Actors Guild Award, but Washington already has two Oscars and Affleck’s magnificent restraint in “Manchester by the Sea” must be rewarded.

Andrew Garfield, “Hacksaw Ridge”

Ryan Gosling, “La La Land”

Viggo Mortensen, “Captain Fantastic”

Denzel Washington, “Fences”

Best Actress:

Isabelle Huppert, “Elle”

Ruth Negga, “Loving”

Natalie Portman, “Jackie”

Emma Stone, “La La Land” — Hollywood loves to fawn over the latest It girl, even if she is as cutesy as Emma Stone is in “La La Land.”