Considering that many governments and agencies such as the United Nations endorse the global warming theory and the mass of foundations springing up everywhere collecting money for “further research” and so on, I understand how many people must be concerned with the perceived danger of Global Warming.

I have to tell you some truths and facts about what you are being told. At this stage I will leave it with the reader to contemplate why such powerful agencies and wealthy
powerful people should take such interest in such a controversial “science”.

Please bear mind, that in order to reduce the temperature of the world by limiting or abolishing the production of CO2, is a horrendously
expensive task world wide.

This attempt in itself, regardless of what the climate is doing, can only lead to disastrous rises in the cost of energy which in turn will leadto economic collapse of world economies along with of course disastrous effects
on the world populace (AKA starvation). (Yup I majored in economics – class of 1981 – and for me this is easy to see).

You see, our economies are based on fossil energy, Coal, Gas and Oil etc and unless equally or less expensive substitutes are found,
without these things, most of us will starve and/or freeze to death.

But perhaps, as you are no doubt postulating in your mind, should we actually need to save the planet, maybe the above cost will be
worthwhile?

So be sure, no matter what your beliefs are, be assured that, at the very least, trying to cool the planet is a very serious thing to
attempt. Therefore we should not go down this road unless we have absolute proof that humans are warming
the planet and that the predictions we are hearing from some sources are
scientifically confirmed.

Fortunately, there is a scientific method which allows us to decide whether the above is true or not. If you read Karl Popper and if you wish to take it even further, William of Ockham, you can find the basis of the scientific disproof of a hypothesis. This quick video will help. Richard Feynman on Hypothesis or Law

Apply Richard Feynman’s method to the data on Dr Spencers graph as follows a) Note that the “73 CLIMATE MODELS” on Dr Spencer’s graph results are all separate hypothesis’. A computer model for climate is simply a series of assumptions about the climate, carbon dioxide and solar energy etc. (The climate and the atmosphere are far too large, complicated and random to enable any but a few basic facts to be included).
There are many of these models created by a number of institutions. The computer uses these to predict global temperatures for the future. These are the “guesses”, that Richard Feynman mentions
b) The “OBSERVATIONS” on Dr Spencer’s graph are the facts – Nature,Experiment or observation – described by Richard Feynman. These are observed
or empirical facts which may or may not support the hypothesis’

This is a good example of Popper’s disproval of a hypothesis. To paraphrase Richard Feynman, When one compares the result with a) Nature, b)
Experiment or c) Observation and the result does not agree, “Its wrong– IN THAT SIMPLE STATEMENT IS THE KEY TO SCIENCE”

Therefore once you compare the results of the computer models with the observations on Dr Spencer’s graph, it
is very obvious that the models fall under Feynman’s rejection. (Considering what I describe above at 8 a) this is hardly surprising).

There is therefore no scientific evidence that the earth is warming, (or cooling), other than what has already been observed throughout
history.

Unfortunately, governments like excuses to issue new laws. As most governments nowadays, (including that of New Zealand), are sliding
steadily to the left, this unproven “Anthropogenic CO2 causes Global Warming” hypothesis, gives many governments around the world an excuse to issue more
laws and regulations based on these unreliable computer models – each of which we must obey at the cost of trading a little of our freedom and democracy.

It is easily understood how difficult it is to give up beliefs that one has accumulated, but one must remain logical and scientific in these things.

However -Make no mistake, What I have described here is REAL SCIENCE. If you cannot get a similar explanation from some other site or some sort of rally or from someone is calling you a “denier” and tries to shut you down – they are the denier(s)! – DENIER(S) of SCIENCE.

Like this:

That graph that supposedly is from Dr Roy Spencer looks ridiculous. The temperature observations are shown as a straight line. Anyone knows that global temperatures go up and down every year, and definitely don’t follow a straight line.

The observations that Dr Spencer uses are a conglomeration of millions of individual observations, It is common practice to “average” these into a form which enables the trend to be observed clearly. If you look up the statistical process of “regression” you will understand this process.
Cheers

Even Karl Popper would agree with Feiynmann:
This led Popper to conclude that what were regarded[by whom?] as the remarkable strengths of psychoanalytical theories were actually their weaknesses. Psychoanalytical theories were crafted in a way that made them able to refute any criticism and to give an explanation for every possible form of human behaviour. The nature of such theories made it impossible for any criticism or experiment—even in principle—to show them to be false.[13] When Popper later tackled the problem of demarcation in the philosophy of science, this conclusion led him to posit that the strength of a scientific theory lies in its both being susceptible to falsification, and not actually being falsified by criticism made of it. He considered that if a theory cannot, in principle, be falsified by criticism, it is not a scientific theory.[39]

Feynman would have destroyed James Hansen’s testimony (before the US Congress in June 1985) before he finished his cup of coffee before breakfast. Unfortunately Feynman died of cancer in February 1985 and Hansen knew this. Therefore Feynman’s death gave Hansen the go ahead to start his scam.

ROTFLMAO! How ghoulish of Hansen—-just lurking in the shadows until Feynman keeled over—-only then could he begin his SCAM (which has been so successful that he has brought 99% of all climate scientists along with him into spreading it).

What the hell is wrong with all you DENIERS? Do you not read the newspapers or watch the news on TV? Do you not understand that the ice in Antarctica is now melting at an accelerated rate? Do you not understand that extreme weather is occurring at an increased frequency all over the planet? Do you not understand that record high temperatures are occurring 5 times more often than record lows?

Keep setting up your straw men and knocking them down—the TRUTH is that 30 years later Hansen has been shown to be pretty much on the money with his SCAM, and I will again ask what the hell is wrong with those of you who can’t see the handwriting on the wall.

Do you not read the newspapers or watch the news on TV? That is your problem, FAKE NEWS! Antarctica has increased snowmass. So Fake news about melting. Extreme weather is per the IPCC “low confidence” and real graphs show declines in trends. FAKE NEWS! Record high temperatures? Actually no, If you look at the 1930s for the US you will see we still haven’t broken those records. Tony Heller debunks these claims very well. So you got served more FAKE NEWS!

Can you say “deflection” children? The point is to compare predictions with reality, something your graph doesn’t do. There is also the point that Spencer uses that region because in AGW theory the Tropical Troposphere should warm at more than 1.5 times the rate the surface does. It isn’t. Another count against the AGW theory.

What do Feynman and Popper say you should do if your predictions do not match reality?

Roger, It is an interesting fact that Popper was a lecturer in Philosophy at the old college (of the then, I understand the U of NZ) in Canterbury from the late 1930s to the late 1940s (9-10 years). This was when he was writing on the Philosophy of Science. His history and the names of his friends in Science are a real eye-opener.
A lot of youngsters in NZ are surprised about these associations. One of them is one of my sons who works in gas exploration and sales in Wellington, NZ.

Thanks for that information. I was not aware of that fact. I am certainly aware of the building named in his honor though.

Incidentally, a professor in the Department of Political Science and International Relations, has been given a contract to arrange research papers for the IPCC.
So much for Karl Popper’s influence here 😦