Fed survey finds moderate growth nationwide

MARTIN CRUTSINGEROctober 15, 2014

WASHINGTON (AP) — The U.S. economy was strengthening in most regions of the country in September to early October, helped by gains in consumer spending, manufacturing and commercial construction, according to the Federal Reserve’s latest survey of business conditions.

The Fed report released Wednesday said six of its 12 regions — Cleveland, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Dallas and San Francisco — reported “moderate” growth. Five others described growth as “modest,” and one — Boston — described activity as mixed.

The report depicted an economy moving ahead steadily but not at a pace that would prompt the Fed to accelerate its timetable for raising interest rates. The survey, known as the Beige Book, is based on anecdotal reports from businesses and will be considered with other data when Fed policymakers meet Oct. 28-29.

The Fed’s benchmark rate has been near zero since December 2008 as the central bank worked to boost the economy and lower unemployment following the Great Recession. Many economists believe the Fed’s first rate hike will not occur until around June of next year and that any increases will be gradual.

In its latest Beige Book, the Fed reported that manufacturing was increasing in most districts. In the New York region, however, manufacturing growth stalled, and Boston reported weaker results than in the past few reports.

Three districts — Cleveland, Chicago and San Francisco — reported stronger demand for steel, while Richmond and San Francisco noted strong demand for medical equipment.

Reports on residential construction and real estate activity were mixed. In New York, single-family home construction was lackluster, but multifamily home construction expanded. In Chicago, home construction grew, while home sales slowed somewhat.

The report said price pressures remained subdued, with districts finding little to no change in price levels or only modest increases.

Employment continued to expand at about the same pace as the previous reporting period. Some employers reported difficulties finding qualified workers in some industries. As a result, some districts said there was pressure to raise wages for skilled labor in areas such as construction and manufacturing.