California would face $2 billion in midyear cuts to schools, universities and other programs under an updated revenue analysis by the Legislature’s nonpartisan fiscal analyst.

State revenue is on pace to be $3.7 billion below optimistic assumptions in the $85.9 billion 2011-12 general fund package passed in June, according to this morning’s report by the Legislative Analyst’s Office.

The plan included $2 billion in automatic “trigger” cuts if revenue is short by $2 billion. Gov. Jerry Brown’s Department of Finance will release its own revenue forecast in mid-December and the higher revenue estimate will be the basis for the trigger cuts.

The state faces a spending and revenue gap of $13 billion through June 2013, according to the legislative analyst’s report.

“Even under this modest budget scenario, the stat faces an ongoing, multibillion dollar annual deficit, even as state revenues expand,” the report reads.

California’s unemployment rate will remain above 10 percent through mid-2014 and above 8 percent through the end of 2017 as the state continues a “slow, arduous recovery,” the report said.