Despite this, Connecticut mortgage rates still managed to improve by about 1/4 of a discount point for the week.

Leading economic indicators data Monday will set the tone for trading this week. The producer inflation data will be the most important release. If inflation pressures emerge Connecticut mortgage rates may be pressured higher.

LOOKING AHEAD

EconomicIndicator

ReleaseDate & Time

ConsensusEstimate

Analysis

Leading Economic Indicators

Monday, April 19,10:00 am, et

Up 1.0%

Important. An indication of future economic activity. Weakness may lead to lower rates.

Important. An indication of economic strength and credit demand. Weakness may lead to lower Connecticut mortgage rates.

Durable Goods Orders

Durable goods orders are generally believed to be a precursor of activity in the manufacturing sector because manufacturing must have an order before considering an increase in production. Conversely, a decrease in orders eventually causes production to be scaled back; otherwise the manufacturer accumulates inventories, which must be financed.

Unfortunately, durable goods orders data has many drawbacks. The first problem with the orders data is that they are extremely volatile. The volatility of the data usually is attributed to the civilian aircraft and defense components of the figure. For example, if Boeing has a big order for one of its jumbo jets, the civilian aircraft category can change by $3-4 billion. The same scenario is evident when an aircraft carrier is ordered, surges in the defense category result. The second problem with the data is that orders are continuously being revised. There are many times in the past when the advance report on durables showed an increase while a revision a week later showed a decrease. The revised data is found in the report on manufacturing orders, shipments, and inventories.

Since the data is very volatile and difficult to forecast, there is quite often a huge disparity between the actual release and the initial projections. If the durable goods report is much stronger than expected, look for Connecticut mortgage rates to push higher. If favorable, the data may help interest rates remain steady or even push lower.

For more news and information about Connecticut mortgage rates, purchasing or refinancing a home visit www.ToMortgageServices.com, or call directly at (800) 922-3210

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