Our Dave Richard teams with Pat Kirwan to break down Week 13's games. What to make of Eli Manning, Chris Johnson, Brandon Marshall and others? The analysts give their take.

Editor's note:Dave Richard breaks down every game from
a Fantasy perspective each week with the help of CBSSports.com NFL
Insider Pat Kirwan, who will provide his unique take to assist owners in
their lineup management.

Jets have been crushed for 2+ pass TDs in four of last five but
Lindley still has yet to throw a touchdown.

RB

Beanie Wells

Good matchup. Jets have allowed 131.3 rush yards per game with two
rush TDs to opposing RBs over last three games

WR

Larry Fitzgerald

Matchup is right -- Jets have allowed 7 TDs to WRs in their last
three -- but Fitzgerald is drawing tough coverage and won't be
overlooked by the Jets.

TE

Rob Housler

Keep an eye on this guy: Had 11 targets last week and nine four
weeks ago. Jets have held opposing tight ends to 6 Fantasy points or
less in four straight.

DST

Cardinals

Four of the last five DSTs vs. NYJ have scored an unreal 18+ Fantasy
points. The Cardinals are a sleeper.

New York Jets

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Mark Sanchez

Might be worth a gamble. Cards have allowed 9 pass TDs over their
last four games. Sanchez's better numbers have come at home.

RB

Bilal Powell

Cards have allowed 146.0 yards per game to RBs with a rush score
over their last two. Powell has been more productive than Greene
despite fewer carries.

RB

Shonn Greene

Despite leading the Jets' run game, Greene hasn't scored in four
straight, has 80 yards or less in three straight.

WR

Jeremy Kerley

Hasn't scored in eight games, under 60 yards in five of those eight.
But Cards allowing 156.3 yards to WRs over their last three, so
perhaps he can surprise.

TE

Dustin Keller

Cards have given up a touchdown to tight ends in two of their last
three games. Keller still a prime target for Sanchez.

DST

Jets

Ten of 11 DSTs vs. ARI have posted 10 or more Fantasy points. Cards
have allowed 3+ sacks in 7 of last 9 games and their O-line just
took another hit.

Beanie Wells
was a bright spot for the Cardinals, scoring twice
last week, but he only rushed for 2.8 yards a carry. The Cardinals are
forced to let rookie
Ryan Lindley
throw
50-plus times a game but are unable to get the ball to
Larry Fitzgerald
enough for him to make an impact.
Antonio Cromartie
has been playing well against top receivers since
Darrelle Revis
was injured and he'll likely cover Fitzgerald. The
Cardinals come east where they have a 4-11 record in the last 15 trips.
It doesn't bode well for the Arizona offense. -- Pat Kirwan

Chiefs have allowed 2+ passing scores in 9 of 11 games. Newton has
exploited easy matchups over his last four games, so feel good about
him this week.

RB

DeAngelo Williams

Has grossly underwhelmed in two games without
Jonathan Stewart
this season, making him tough to trust. Chiefs
allowing 148.8 total yards per game to RBs over its last five.

WR

Steve Smith

Smith still doesn't have a game with over 10 Fantasy points this
year but the Chiefs have been killed by WRs over last three weeks
(139.0 yards per game, 4 TDs).

WR

Brandon LaFell

Has outplayed Smith over the past few weeks (has 12-196-2 to Smith's
10-140-0 in last three). Has 8+ Fantasy points in 6 of 10 games this
year.

TE

Greg Olsen

Chiefs have allowed 6+ Fantasy points to 3 of last 4 tight ends
they've faced. Olsen's had great matchups before and stalled out, so
be careful.

DST

Panthers

Excellent sleeper. Every DST vs. KC has posted at least 11 Fantasy
points, 6 of last 8 have had 15+ Fantasy points.

Kansas City Chiefs

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Brady Quinn

You shouldn't start any Chiefs QB unless desperate. Panthers pass
defense among the stingiest in the league lately.

RB

Jamaal Charles

Panthers got trampled by
Doug Martin
and
Bryce Brown
in consecutive
weeks. It's
Jamaal Charles
turn vs.
a defense that's given up 168.9 total yards per game & 3 TDs to RBs
in their last three.

WR

Dwayne Bowe

Carolina has allowed just two TDs to WRs over its last five games.
This is a nightmare for Bowe.

DST

Chiefs

Panthers have held three of the last four DSTs they've faced to 6
Fantasy points or less. No chance you're using the Chiefs.

With
Jonathan Stewart
out,
DeAngelo Williams
is expected to serve as the main running back for the
Panthers. But
Cam Newton
is the leading
rusher on the Panthers even though they paid a lot of money to Williams
and Stewart. The Chiefs played better last week and could slow the
Panthers run game down if the Panthers even stick with it. There
have been some weeks they haven't. It's clear teams are playing Newton
differently in the red zone and restricting his run ability. I would
stay away from the Panthers running backs because their carries aren't
consistent and Newton still takes on enough of that role to hurt their
numbers. -- Pat Kirwan

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans -- Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET, LP Field

Houston Texans

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Matt Schaub

Titans have allowed 19+ Fantasy points to 9 of 11 QBs including
Schaub (202 yards, two TDs) back in Week 4. Just not a lot of upside.

RB

Arian Foster

Running backs averaging 151.5 total yards per game over last four
vs. Tennessee with four total touchdowns. Foster should be just fine.

WR

Andre Johnson

Titans have given up 168.5 total yards per game and 5 TDs to
wideouts over the last four. Andre has over 450 yards over his last
two.

TE

Owen Daniels

Want consistency? Daniels has scored in six of his last eight games.
Titans have improved vs. tight ends, holding all of the last six
they've faced to under 70 yards.

DST

Texans

Five of the last six DSTs vs. TEN had single-digit Fantasy points,
something the Texans have done in back-to-back games.

Tennessee Titans

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Jake Locker

Gutsy sleeper. Injuries have made the Texans defense ripe for the
picking: QBs have 819 yards & 6 TDs vs. HOU over last two games.

RB

Chris Johnson

Johnson had his first 100-yard game at HOU in Week 4 (157 total
yards) and has totaled 100 yards in six straight. Texans allowed
first two rush TDs of the season last week.

WR

Kenny Britt

Best bet among Titans WRs to play well. Texans have allowed a
ridiculous 246.0 yards per game to receivers with four TDs in their
last three.

WR

Nate Washington

Texans' floodgates have opened for receivers but Washington has
under 70 yards in all but one game this year. Hard to trust.

TE

Jared Cook

Texans allowed 131 total yards to tight ends last week, two TDs to
tight ends the week before. But Cook has two games with 10+ Fantasy
points all season. Can't trust him.

DST

Titans

Only one of the Texans' last five opponents has put up 10+ Fantasy
points. Don't trust this DST.

Kenny Britt
is loaded with talent but he's only started 22
games in four years for a multitude of reasons. He's only caught 27 of
the 54 balls thrown his way this season and he has five drops -- nearly
10 percent of his targets. The big plays are missing from his arsenal
this year probably because of the quarterback situation. It's a foregone
conclusion that he won't get the nine touchdowns he had in 2010, but
it's possible he'll never be that kind of receiving threat he once was
ever again. This Sunday's game against the Texans will be his first
against them since a December 2010 meeting. -- Pat Kirwan

Lions have allowed 2 pass TDs in 4 of last 5 games but have kept
opposing QBs under 20 Fantasy points in 5 of last 6. Luck has not
played well on the road but this is his first road game indoors.

RB

Vick Ballard

Detroit has allowed 159.7 total yards per game to RBs over its last
three but Ballard is averaging 70.4 total yards per game in seven
starts.

WR

Reggie Wayne

Lions have allowed 5 TDs to WRs over last five and allowed a sick
188 yards to
Andre Johnson
last week.

WR

T.Y. Hilton

Speedy playmaker for the Colts should be involved in pass-happy
game. Hilton has 15 catches for 235 yards and four TDs over last
four games.

WR

Donnie Avery

Plays more than Hilton as the Colts' No. 2 receiver but has under 70
yards in all but two games this season with one TD.

TE

Dwayne Allen

Lions have allowed four TDs to TEs over last five. Allen plays a lot
but doesn't have a TD since Week 5. Maybe he's due?

DST

Colts

Four of last five DSTs vs. Lions have posted single-digit Fantasy
points. Not a good week for the Colts.

Detroit Lions

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Matthew Stafford

Colts have held 4 of last 5 QBs to one TD but Stafford has 250+
yards in nine straight and 2+ TDs in 3 of 5. Feels like a shootout
is coming.

RB

Mikel Leshoure

Indy has given up three rushing TDs over their last four games and
will play with depleted defensive line.

RB

Joique Bell

Seems like he has the 'closer' role back. Wouldn't trust him unless
desperate as Colts have done well vs. RBs catching passes.

WR

Calvin Johnson

Colts have allowed a 100-yard receiver in three of their last four.
Even if they hadn't, you'd start Calvin.

WR

Ryan Broyles

Had monster game last week as Lions' No. 2 receiver and should
remain a key part of the offense. Colts allowing 191.6 yards per
game to WRs over last five.

TE

Brandon Pettigrew

Colts have allowed a touchdown to a tight end in consecutive games
after keeping them scoreless since Week 2. Can Pettigrew redeem
himself after drops last week?

DST

Lions

Each of last two DSTs to play Colts have put up 12+ Fantasy points,
a total Lions DST has topped just once in 11 games.

Coach Jim Schwartz told me the day
Nate Burleson
got hurt that the club was ready to go with
Ryan Broyles
. He wasn't kidding. Broyles is more than adequate and
is developing into a trustworthy player for
Matthew Stafford
to lean on. He was targeted 12 times last week, caught
six passes for 126 yards and should see that kind of action this week.
Remember, defenses will always key in on
Calvin Johnson
, and that makes Broyles an appealing second option
since he'll often be in single coverage. -- Pat Kirwan

He's slinging it well but Bills' pass defense have allowed just two
QBs to land 20+ Fantasy points in last six.

RB

Rashad Jennings

Bills run defense has improved over last two weeks vs. mediocre RBs
(79.0 total yards per game, no TDs). Jennings has been weak when
given the lion's share of carries but offense is a little different
now.

WR

Justin Blackmon

Big, physical receivers have done well against the Bills lately, and
the light has turned on for Blackmon (5+ catches in 3 of last four,
TD in each of last two).

WR

Cecil Shorts

Has 100 yards and/or a TD in 5 of last 6. Bills have allowed three
WRs to land 9+ Fantasy points over last two games.

TE

Marcedes Lewis

Deep sleeper. Bills have allowed three TDs to tight ends over their
last four games. Lewis has 10 targets over last two games.

DST

Jaguars

Risky sleeper. DSTs vs. BUF have scored 10+ Fantasy points in six of
last eight. Jaguars have 10 Fantasy points in just two games in 2012.

Buffalo Bills

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Ryan Fitzpatrick

Each of last four QBs to host Jaguars have thrown 2+ TDs against
them. Jags have allowed 250+ yards in three of last four overall and
four of five on the road. Trust factor is not high here.

RB

C.J. Spiller

Has 100 total yards in six straight games. Jags have allowed 124.7
total yards per game to RBs over last three.

RB

Fred Jackson

Seems pegged to part-time role, though it does seem to include
goal-line touchdowns. Jags haven't allowed a rush TD on the road
since Week 1.

WR

Steve Johnson

No. 1 WRs have done well vs. Jaguars over last six with at least
eight Fantasy points. Johnson's baseline should start there.

WR

Donald Jones

Has 4+ receptions in 4 of last 5 but has underdelivered in each of
last two. Jags have held each of last four No. 2 WRs to under 70
yards.

TE

Scott Chandler

Aside from meltdown vs. Houston, tight ends have been contained
nicely by the Jaguars. Chandler has 3 catches or less in 5 of last 6.

DST

Bills

DSTs have put up 11+ Fantasy points in 6 of last 7 vs. Jaguars.
Chad Henne
was sacked seven times by the Titans last week.

A lot was expected from
Ryan Fitzpatrick
this year, but the truth is he's a solid quarterback who doesn't have a
real strong arm and has a suspect deep ball. If I'm Chan Gailey I make
the move to feed
C.J. Spiller
the ball
20-plus times and see if he can carry the team. In the four Bills wins
Fitzpatrick didn't throw an interception. In the seven losses Fitz has
11 interceptions. Safeties can jump the Fitzpatrick deep ball and he
needs to stick with the short pass attack. His play has hurt his
receivers over the course of the year and it's not expected to change
much with the Jaguars coming to town. -- Pat Kirwan

Even though the Packers were rocked by
Eli Manning
last week, pass defense held opposing QBs to a
single pass TD in previous four. That's what you can expect from
Ponder.

RB

Adrian Peterson

Has a touchdown in 7 of last 8 vs. Green Bay. Packers allowing 148.0
total yards per game to RBs with three rushing TDs allowed. AP's
going to roll.

WR

Jarius Wright

Has 15 targets in his last two games as the replacement for
Percy Harvin
in MIN offense. Packers were crushed by WRs at NYG
last week and have allowed five TDs to WRs over their last three.

TE

Kyle Rudolph

Packers haven't allowed 10+ Fantasy points to a TE since Week 1 but
Rudolph has nine targets, five catches, 50+ yards and a TD in each
of his last two. He busted up previously-strong defenses vs. tight
ends in the Bears and Lions. The Packers are next.

DST

Vikings

Seven of the last eight DSTs to play the Packers have scored 10
Fantasy points or less. It would take a huge game for the Vikings to
be effective.

Green Bay Packers

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Aaron Rodgers

Expect a major bounce back. Has 3+ TDs in each of last three vs.
MIN. Vikings have allowed 3 pass TDs to 3 of last 4 QBs.

RB

Alex Green

Use him at your own peril. Vikes have allowed 137.3 total yards per
game and 3 rush TDs to RBs in their last three but Green just isn't
effective.

WR

Jordy Nelson

Vikings have allowed 154.3 yards per game to receivers in their last
three games. Sets up nicely for Nelson to rack up some stats.

WR

Greg Jennings

Perfect storm: Packers waited until Jennings was fully healthy to
return and will play vs. Vikings team he's scored at least 1 TD
against in each of his last five. He's worth the risk.

WR

Randall Cobb

Wideouts have scored six times over the Vikings' last four games.
Cobb has six TDs in his last five games.

TE

Jermichael Finley

Might have a chance this week as tight ends have scored in each of
last two vs. Vikings but drops are an issue as are targets, and
Jennings will cut into the latter.

DST

Packers

Five of the last six DSTs to play Vikings have had 13+ Fantasy
points. Packers should rebound.

Three weeks ago I would say
Randall Cobb
would take a seat with
Greg Jennings
back on the field but now I believe it will be a few snaps for Cobb, a
few for
James Jones
and maybe even a few
for
Jermichael Finley
. The Packers have
so many packages with Cobb, Finley and Jones that they will not
eliminate any of them, just reduce the frequency of each one. There's
also a chance Jennings won't play every single down. It won't be easy
but the Packers' passing game should get back on track. -- Pat Kirwan

Fish squisher: Brady has multiple touchdowns in 4 of last 5 vs.
Miami and last eight overall. Dolphins have allowed 2 TDs to 3 of
last 4 quarterbacks.

RB

Stevan Ridley

Dolphins did well vs. Lynch last week but allowed over 90 total
yards to a RB in five previous games. Ridley has TD in four straight
& 6 of last 8.

RB

Shane Vereen

For a backup his consistency is exceptional. Vereen has TD in 3 of
last 4, 50+ total yards in 3 of last 5. Not a bad risk to take.

WR

Wes Welker

Has double-digit Fantasy points in three of last four vs. Miami. Has
6+ catches in each of last nine overall; 7 of 10 WRs with 6+ catches
vs. MIA have had 10+ Fantasy points.

WR

Julian Edelman

Edelman has scored in each of last two with at least 67 total yards
in each. If he's cleared to play it's obvious he'll get involved.

WR

Brandon Lloyd

Targets still on a downswing (no more than seven each of the last
four weeks) and stats on the same track. Can't trust him.

TE

Aaron Hernandez

Didn't look 100 percent last week but did have a touchdown called
back due to a penalty. Kind of a risky start but any big part of
Pats' offense is worth a long look.

DST

Patriots

DSTs vs. MIA have posted 10+ Fantasy points in seven of last nine
weeks. Patriots have been getting great play from defense, special
teams.

Miami Dolphins

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Ryan Tannehill

Pats pass D has improved in scores allowed (only two 2 TD QBs in
last five) but each of last three QBs they've faced have topped 300
yards. Still can't trust Tannehill.

RB

Reggie Bush

Becoming increasingly difficult to predict. Workload still limited
but good yardage is possible. Pats allowing 169.3 total yards per
game to RBs over their last three.

RB

Daniel Thomas

Pats have allowed a touchdown to RB in each of last three games.
Thomas still looks like the Dolphins' goal-line guy. Might be a
sleeper.

WR

Davone Bess

Has back-to-back double-digit Fantasy point games and has 6+ catches
in 4 of last 6. Has also played well vs. NE. Every WR with 6+
catches vs. NE has at least 7 Fantasy points.

WR

Brian Hartline

Even though the Pats have allowed 191.0 yards per game to WRs over
their last three, Hartline has been under 80 yards in 6 of last 7.

DST

Dolphins

No DST has posted more than 10 Fantasy points vs. NE this year with
the last four totaling five points. Can't use the Fins.

The Patriots are averaging 47.5 points per game in their last four while
the Dolphins are averaging 15.3 points per game in their last four.
Obviously the Dolphins need to find a way to bridge that gap to keep
this one competitive, but it's not going to be so easy. When the Jets
finally scored against the Patriots on Thanksgiving it was already 35-0
in favor of New England. The Dolphins can't afford to have any turnovers
if they want to be competitive in this game. Miami has given up 144
points to the Patriots in their last four meetings (36 per game). The
reality is they are 2-8 in the last 10 games against New England and
stand little chance against them this time. If there are stats to be had
from the Dolphins' skill-position players, they'll likely come when the
game is out of hand. -- Pat Kirwan

Has a Dalton-like streak of four games with 2+ TDs and catches Bears
with CB
Charles Tillman
hurt. Still
a little tough to trust.

RB

Marshawn Lynch

You're starting him. Bears have allowed three 100-yard rushers and
two total TDs to RBs over last four games.

WR

Sidney Rice

Bears have allowed one 100-yard receiver and two TDs to receivers in
last five. Rice tweaked his calf on Friday.

WR

Golden Tate

Has 4+ catches in three of last four games but under 70 yards in
seven straight. There are better receivers to go with.

DST

Seahawks

DSTs vs. the Bears have posted 13+ Fantasy points in four of their
past six. With O-line banged up, Seahawks should rack up the sacks.

Chicago Bears

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Jay Cutler

Only two QBs have thrown multiple TDs vs. Seahawks, only four have
topped 250 yards. You can do better than Cutler.

RB

Matt Forte

Seems healthy after injury scare last week. Seahawks have allowed
6.3 yards per carry to running backs over their last four games and
had some sloppy tackling at Miami last week. Forte should be fine.

RB

Michael Bush

Loses prime opportunity for yardage with Forte healthy but will face
a defense that's allowed two rush TDs to RBs in 2 of last 3 games. A
score not out of the question.

WR

Brandon Marshall

Six of 10 WRs to land 9+ targets vs. SEA have scored double-digit
Fantasy points. Marshall has 9+ targets in 8 of 10 games with
Jay Cutler
.

WR

Earl Bennett

The deepest of desperation sleepers for Week 13. Has chemistry with
Cutler, should have a lot of playing time.

DST

Bears

Only five DSTs vs. SEA have posted double-digit Fantasy points but
Bears too strong to bench.

I expect Chicago to clearly feature the inside power-run game with
Matt Forte
and
Michael Bush
, but
they just lost guard
Lance Louis
and
that will not make things easy. The Seahawks' cornerbacks (
Richard Sherman
,
Brandon Browner
) are
expected to play in this game and not serve a suspension for a drug
violation. That will make things hard for
Brandon Marshall
, who has been excellent up to this point. If the Bears
don't stick with the run they could find the going tough offensively. --
Pat Kirwan

Got his feet wet vs. these Rams back in Week 10. St. Louis has
allowed two passing scores over its last three but Kaepernick too
dynamic a player to pass up as a low-end starter.

RB

Frank Gore

Rams' run D has come undone, allowing 160.3 total yards per game to
RBs with seven rushing scores over last four. Gore should come close
to 115 total yards & TD he had vs. STL in Week 10.

WR

Michael Crabtree

Crabtree has a TD in each of last five vs. STL. Rams have allowed 7
TDs to WRs over their last five games.

TE

Vernon Davis

Had one measly target last week vs. Saints, throwing a wrench into
his chemistry with Kaepernick. Gronk is the only TE to post 10+
Fantasy points on the Rams this year.

DST

49ers

Niners only had six Fantasy points vs. Rams when they played in Week
10. It would be a shocker to see defense struggle after handling
Saints last week.

St. Louis Rams

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Sam Bradford

Has 250+ yards in all three career games vs. SF. Scored two TDs vs.
them in Week 10 but too risky to trust in standard Fantasy play.

RB

Steven Jackson

S-Jax had 101 rush yards & a TD in Week 10 meeting with Niners.
Since then SF has allowed 66.5 rush yards per game to RBs over last
two. Can't expect a ton.

RB

Daryl Richardson

Has eight or fewer carries in five straight, under 60 total yards in
four straight. Can't trust him.

WR

Chris Givens

Niners have allowed four TDs to WRs over their last three games.
Rams have not been afraid to try a deep bomb to this guy. With Danny
Amendola very iffy, there's a chance here.

DST

Rams

Nine of 11 DSTs Niners have faced have scored 10 Fantasy points or
less. That includes the Rams, who totaled seven points in Week 10.

Jeff Fisher looks at
Steven Jackson
like
he did when he had Eddie George. There are games and situations when he
will feature him and times when he won't. Fisher told me there have been
a few games when they could have used him more but when they are coming
from behind it is hard to utilize his skills. Jackson ran for 100 yards
when he played at the 49ers earlier this year and it will be tough for
him to do it again. In fact it's tough for any running back to run for
100 yards against the same opponent twice in a season.
Frank Gore
didn't do it once last year and neither did
Chris Johnson
. Jackson only has 10 games with 100-plus yards in his
last 57 games so it is unlikely he gets a second one against the 49ers. --
Pat Kirwan

Some optimism for Freeman: Broncos have allowed a quarterback to
toss 2 TDs in 4 of 5 games in Denver and 4 of last 6 overall.

RB

Doug Martin

Martin's hot but Broncos have allowed just one rush TD & 106.0 total
yards per game to RBs in last five. Still too much upside to totally
ignore.

WR

Vincent Jackson

Broncos have allowed just 113.8 yards per game and 3 TDs to WRs over
their last six. Big WRs have been OK vs. DEN but it's no slam dunk.

WR

Mike Williams

Bad news over his last three games: 18 targets (six per game), eight
catches, 121 yards, no touchdowns. Tough matchup makes it harder to
trust him.

TE

Dallas Clark

Denver has given up five TDs to TEs over its last six games but none
in its last two. Clark has 12 catches, 126 yards and two TDs in his
last three.

DST

Buccaneers

Four of the last five DSTs vs. DEN have been held to single-digit
Fantasy points. Chances are the Bucs will end up there too.

Denver Broncos

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Peyton Manning

Bucs have allowed 250+ yards to 10 of 11 opposing QBs but only four
have multiple touchdowns. Bucs have allowed 20+ Fantasy points to 3
of last 4 QBs.

RB

Knowshon Moreno

Moreno is locked in as Broncos' top rusher. Bucs have allowed just
four RBs to total 90+ yards all year but has allowed three TDs to
RBs over last two games.

WR

Demaryius Thomas

Receivers averaging 205.4 yards per game in last five against TB
with 1+ TD in each. Thomas clinched first 1,000-yard season last
week.

WR

Eric Decker

Targets seem to be dipping a little for Decker but matchup is
awesome and he hasn't gone consecutive weeks without a TD since
Weeks 2 & 3.

WR

Brandon Stokley

Has five-plus targets in three straight games and could be used as a
desperation option for Fantasy owners.

TE

Jacob Tamme

Looks like he's the better tight end again for Denver. TB has
allowed 40+ yards to the top opposing tight end in four straight
games.

DST

Broncos

Five of the last six DSTs vs. TB have posted four Fantasy points or
less! Could be a tricky week for the Broncos.

The Broncos at home score quickly in their no-huddle offense and reduce
most opponents to become one dimensional. When that happens, pass
rushers
Von Miller
and
Elvis Dumervil
take over and heat up the quarterback. The Broncos
defense has 14 sacks in five home games and 37 sacks overall. That's in
Josh Freeman
's future. The only chance the Bucs have is to limit the
Broncos offense early but their pass defense suggests that isn't going
to happen since the Bucs give up 326 yards a game through the air.
Freeman has thrown more than 40 passes in just two games this season but
has three touchdowns in each of them. This could be a tough game for him
to accomplish that feat again. -- Pat Kirwan

Loses a little steam with the injury to established No. 2 WR Mohamed
Sanu, but Chargers have allowed QBs to get 20+ Fantasy points in
three straight. Dalton has had 26+ Fantasy points in three straight.

RB

BenJarvus Green-Ellis

Marvin Lewis says BJGE hitting his stride. Now he'll hit SD defense
that's allowed 104.4 rush yards per game over last five and will be
down their top two tacklers. Expect another biggie from Green-Ellis.

WR

A.J. Green

San Diego has allowed 174.7 yards to receivers over its last three
games with three touchdowns. Green should dominate.

WR

Andrew Hawkins

Might get a chance to play as the No. 2 receiver opposite Green.
Sanu proved that wasn't a bad place to be.

TE

Jermaine Gresham

Only two TEs have had 10+ Fantasy points on the Chargers all year,
but one was last week (Dennis Pitta) and SD safeties are banged up.

DST

Bengals

Six of the last seven DSTs vs. SD have posted 11+ Fantasy points.
Expect several turnovers and sacks.

San Diego Chargers

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Philip Rivers

Only two of the last nine QBs to face Bengals have thrown multiple
touchdowns. Not good for Rivers, who has 2+ TDs in 3 of last 4 games.

RB

Ryan Mathews

After rough start, Bengals have allowed 124.3 total yards per game
and one rush TD to RBs over their last four. Not many high
expectations for Mathews.

WR

Danario Alexander

Bengals' pass defense has been all right vs. WRs (7 TDs allowed,
zero 100+ yard games but four with 90+ yards). Alexander remains
heavily involved in Bolts' offense.

WR

Malcom Floyd

Scored last week as defenses starting to turn their focus to
Alexander. Floyd has a TD in 3 of last 4.

TE

Antonio Gates

Bengals have improved vs. tight ends, holding opponents to 49.0
total yards per game over last three. Gates still key figure in
Chargers offense and always a threat to score.

DST

Chargers

DSTs vs. the red-hot Bengals have totaled eight Fantasy points over
the last three weeks and the Chargers have several hurt starters.
Stay away.

How have the Bengals been playing so well offensively? Opponents are
always a factor in matchups but that being said
Andy Dalton
has nine touchdown passes in his last three games.
Mohamed Sanu
is a very good compliment to
A.J. Green
. The ripple effect of the solid passing attack is the
rebirth of the Bengals run game. San Diego usually plays solid run
defense but the Bengals set up the run with the pass and they should be
able to put points on the board. The last three weeks the Bengals have
scored 93 points and given up 29. -- Pat Kirwan

Raiders have allowed opposing QBs to throw 3 TDs in three straight.
Don't know if Weeden can do that but matchup should yield some good
numbers.

RB

Trent Richardson

A must. Oakland has given up 167.3 total yards per game and three
rushing TDs to RBs. Five straight starting RBs have posted 12+
Fantasy points on OAK.

WR

Josh Gordon

Great sleeper. Raiders have allowed 155.0 yards per game with 8 TDs
to WRs over their last four games. Perfect matchup for Gordon to
shine.

DST

Browns

Three straight DSTs have totaled 17+ Fantasy points on the Raiders.
Browns have scored 11+ Fantasy points in two straight, are finally
healthy.

Oakland Raiders

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Carson Palmer

Not a great week to get back on track for Palmer: Browns have
allowed two pass TDs over last five while holding opponents to under
200 yards passing in four of those five.

RB

Darren McFadden

Browns allowing 132.5 total yards per game to RBs over their last
four with four rushing TDs. Not sure if McFadden will handle full
load but if active he should have some decent opportunities.

RB

Marcel Reece

There's no way he completely disappears from the offense, but he'll
be lucky to get even eight touches.

WR

Denarius Moore

Double whammy: Has two catches on just 11 targets for 29 yards and a
score over last two games and will see a bunch of cornerback
Joe Haden
this week. He's a risk.

WR

Darrius Heyward-Bey

Seems like the safer Raiders receiver this week. Browns still
holding opposing WRs to 117.8 yards per game over last four with two
TDs.

TE

Brandon Myers

Only four TEs have posted 6+ Fantasy points on the Browns, only two
have 7+ Fantasy points. Not a good week for Myers.

DST

Raiders

Three of the last four DSTs to face the Browns have posted 10+
Fantasy points. But Raiders DST has 7 Fantasy points in last four
games combined.

The Raiders' passing game has taken a hard turn for the worse and
Denarius Moore
and
Darrius Heyward-Bey
have turned right along with it. The first problem is that the Raiders
can't stop anyone on defense. They have given up 169 points in the last
four games (42 per game). Compounding the issue of chasing every
opponent is they haven't scored a rushing touchdown in four games so
everyone just plays the pass against them.
Carson Palmer
has called 194 passing plays in the last four games (49
per game) and it plays right into the hands of the opponent. Three-man
and four-man rush schemes leave Palmer throwing into coverage and it's
amazing he has thrown nine touchdown passes and averaged 311 passing
yards a game in this stretch. The Browns have an underrated defense but
Palmer should be able to put up some good numbers with the help of his
top receivers. -- Pat Kirwan

Appears as if he's been cast as a backup in Pittsburgh. Definitely
not worth starting until his role is redefined.

WR

Mike Wallace

Might lose his starting role but should remain in three-receiver
sets for the Steelers. Can't trust him with Batch as his QB.

WR

Antonio Brown

Ravens have allowed four WRs to 70+ yards and three WRs to score in
last three games. Brown might not score but yardage could be OK.

TE

Heath Miller

Not a good week. Ravens have allowed one TD and two 10+ Fantasy
point games to tight ends all season.

DST

Steelers

DSTs have posted 10+ Fantasy points on BAL twice -- when they held
them to 13 points or less. That won't happen here.

Baltimore Ravens

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Joe Flacco

Can't trust him even though he had a 3 TD game at home vs. PIT in
2011. Steelers pass defense has held each of last seven QBs to 1 TD
or less including Flacco in Week 11.

RB

Ray Rice

Had 93 total yards at PIT in Week 11, had 149 total yards & 2 total
TDs at home vs. PIT in '11. Should fall somewhere in between.

WR

Torrey Smith

No receivers have had 100+ yards vs. PIT since Week 1, only three
have scored on Steelers in last five. Smith had a 7-yard catch at
PIT in Week 11.

WR

Anquan Boldin

Anquan hasn't scored since Week 1 but has had 4+ catches in 7 of
last 9 games. Had 8 grabs for 79 yards at PIT earlier this season.

TE

Dennis Pitta

Steelers have allowed one TD to a TE over their last eight games.
Only one tight end has double-digit Fantasy points vs. PIT this
season.

DST

Ravens

If the Browns DST could post 25 Fantasy points on a Charlie
Batch-led Steelers team, just imagine what the Ravens DST could do.

The Ravens win their home games, and this appears to be the gem the team
is looking for to ice the AFC North. Two weeks ago Flacco only threw for
164 yards and no touchdowns against the Steelers. Flacco has faced the
Steelers defense at home four times with a 2-2 record completing just 54
percent of his passes averaging 223 yards a game. He also averages just
over one touchdown pass a game and a turnover. His biggest issue is
sacks with a ratio of one sack for every 11 passes. The Steelers will
count on that stat to help them stay in this one but my suggestion is
hope for an ugly Ravens win without much help from Flacco. -- Pat
Kirwan

The good: Dallas has allowed 2+ pass TDs in three straight. The bad:
Foles' last touchdown came vs. Dallas in Week 10. Can't trust him.

RB

Bryce Brown

Dallas has given up three rushing touchdowns and 100+ total yards to
RBs in four straight games. Brown clearly the primary back, should
be a great option.

WR

Jeremy Maclin

Dallas has allowed 5 TDs and 195.7 total yards per game over its
last three to WRs. The Redskins went bombs away on the Cowboys last
week, the Eagles might end up doing the same.

TE

Brent Celek

The Cowboys have gone soft vs. tight ends, allowing three scores
over the last two weeks. It'll take guts to start Celek.

DST

Eagles

Five of the last seven DSTs to play the Cowboys have scored under 10
Fantasy points. Don't expect a big week from the Eagles.

Dallas Cowboys

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Tony Romo

Eight of last nine QBs to play PHI have 2+ TDs against them. Romo
had 209 yards & 2 TDs at PHI in Week 10 and could put up even bigger
numbers this week.

RB

DeMarco Murray

Should be ready to go after spending some time sidelined with a foot
injury. Eagles allowing 106.0 total yards per game to running backs
over last three with two TDs, so they're not entirely awful. Keep
expectations in check.

RB

Felix Jones

Jones has 93 total yards with a receiving score at Philly earlier in
'12, but that was when Murray wasn't playing.

WR

Dez Bryant

Dez has scored in three straight, has 14+ Fantasy points in four of
his last five and takes on a Philly team that's allowed at least one
10+ Fantasy point WR in each of last six.

WR

Miles Austin

Austin has under 80 yards in 8 of 11 games and has not played well
with injuries in the past. Even with the juicy matchup expectations
should be tempered because he's not 100 percent.

TE

Jason Witten

Tight ends have scored in three of last four vs. PHI. The only one
who didn't? Witten, who had 47 yards on eight catches in Philly in
Week 10.

DST

Cowboys

Eagles have allowed 20+ Fantasy points to three of past four DSTs.
Expect the Cowboys to come in under that mark but still be effective.

The Eagles' passing game is a mess right now. Even if he were cleared to
play, I wouldn't play
Michael Vick
any
more this season. The Eagles organization needs all the information they
can gather about
Nick Foles
so they can
have a plan for 2013. Vick was sacked once every 12 attempts and so far
Foles is slightly better at one every 15 attempts behind a line that is
worse than the one Vick had earlier this year. Unless Vick takes a big
pay cut he will not be back in 2013. The health of
DeSean Jackson
makes the passing game questionable no matter which
quarterback plays, so why not plan for the future? -- Pat Kirwan

Matchup is good: WAS has allowed 21+ Fantasy points to 8 of 11 QBs.
History is bad: WAS had held Eli to 15 or fewer Fantasy points in
five games since Shanahan came to town. Probably has a good chance
to break out based on recent play on both sides of the ball.

RB

Ahmad Bradshaw

Bradshaw has scored in three straight vs. WAS with at least 50 total
yards in each and is the primary workhorse with
Andre Brown
getting hurt.

RB

David Wilson

Worth a spot on the Fantasy bench, especially if you own Bradshaw.
He's one injury away from seeing a lot of work, and he has a lot of
potential.

WR

Victor Cruz

WRs have scored at least one TD in 9 of 11 games vs. WAS this
season. But aside from a late-game bomb back in Week 7 he's
struggled in two games vs. Skins.

WR

Hakeem Nicks

Has 75 yards or less in four of five career games vs. Redskins with
no touchdowns. Washington has allowed double-digit Fantasy points to
multiple WRs just four times this year.

Only three DSTs have topped 10 Fantasy points vs. WAS all year, but
the Giants are one of them.

Washington Redskins

Pos.

Name

Rating

Comment

QB

Robert Griffin III

Giants came to play last week vs. GB but RG3 dropped 2 TDs, 258 pass
yards & 89 rush yards at NYG in Week 7 and has 4 passing TDs in each
of last two games. He's a must.

RB

Alfred Morris

Tough matchup: Giants have allowed just 90.7 rush yards per game &
two rush TDs to RBs in last six overall. G-Men have allowed only one
100-yard rusher while on the road this year. Still have to expect
good stats from Morris.

WR

Pierre Garcon

Garcon looked very good last week and will take on NYG defense that
has allowed 164.0 yards per game & 6 TDs to WRs over their last four.

WR

Santana Moss

Risky to start him because of limited receiving opportunities but
Moss has a TD in 6 of last 9 games.

DST

Redskins

Seven of last nine DSTs to play the Giants have posted single-digit
Fantasy points. That includes a seven-point game from the Redskins
in Week 7.

Eli Manning
has the unique ability to forget about the past and
play in the moment, and he'll need that when he takes on a team that has
held his production down in the Redskins. His steady, even-keeled style
is why the Giants can quickly rebound like they did last week. Granted,
Manning has just two touchdown passes and eight interceptions in his
last five games against the Redskins but their pass defense is not what
it used to be. Heck, it hasn't been what it never was.
Hakeem Nicks
is healthy,
Victor Cruz
is always dangerous and
Rueben Randle
is emerging as a solid No. 3 receiver as well. Between that and his pass
protection keeping him upright (one sack every 31 pass plays), Eli will
have a better game this time around against the Redskins. -- Pat
Kirwan

Starting to look like he's taking over: Played 65 snaps to Turner's
56 last two weeks. Saints have allowed 181.4 total yards per game to
RBs over last five.

RB

Michael Turner

You'll need a TD to make him worthwhile. Problem: Saints haven't
allowed rush TD to a RB in four straight.

WR

Julio Jones

A must. Saints giving up 172.0 yards per game to WRs over last five.
Nine receivers have 90+ yards against them on the year.

WR

Roddy White

White has 10+ Fantasy points in 4 of last 5 vs. NO including 114
yards on seven grabs in Week 10.

TE

Tony Gonzalez

Had a pair of touchdowns vs. Saints in Week 10 and is first of three
straight tight ends to score 8+ Fantasy points vs. NO.

DST

Falcons

Seven of last eight DSTs to play Saints scored single-digit Fantasy
points. Expect a shoot-out, so don't roll with the Falcons.

With the four-headed backfield the Saints are sporting, expect coach Joe
Vitt to run the ball 25 to 30 times.
Darren Sproles
is unique but
Mark Ingram
,
Chris Ivory
and
Pierre Thomas
all run the same plays. After the way
Drew Brees
was hit last week vs. the Niners there will be more
running from New Orleans. There aren't as many backs involved in the
Falcons' offense but it's clear that
Michael Turner
is there for power and short yardage and
Jacquizz Rodgers
picks up the rest of the work. Look for Rodgers to get
more touches. -- Pat Kirwan

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Dave Richard has spent nearly his entire career covering the National Football League. Beginning with NFL.com at the boom of the Internet, Richard was that site's first Fantasy Football writer before transitioning...
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