Week 6 - Retrospective

Here is a retrospective on how my charts fared in week 6. I hacked this together last night while watching Russell Wilson eat the Cardinals defense, so here are a couple things I didn't have time to perfect in this first iteration:

2. Some names did not match (i.e. TY Hilton in fantasypros database vs T.Y. Hilton, Stevie vs Steve Johnson) so they have 0 points to them.

3. I tried both median and average, and they're pretty similar. I randomly chose to report median this week.

QB

Tier 1 median: 21.4

Tier 2 median: 19.6

Tier 3 median: 20.7

Tier 4 median: 18.4

Tier 5 median: 21

Tier 6 median: 8.4

If not for Dalton and Foles' outstanding performances (which earned them Fedex air players of the week), who both sat in tier 5, the QB tiers would have looked much more accurate.

Romo fail boated, but I'd like to argue that it's unreasonable to expect everyone in tier 1 to do well. You'll see further down that every position has at least one player in tier 1 who tanked.

Thus, the better interpretation of these tiers is that you should expect:
- most players in tier 1 to score high (with occasional low performances),
- most players in tier 5 to score low (with occasional high performances, like Dalton and Foles this week)

RB

Tier 1 median: 14.1

Tier 2 median: 12.1

Tier 4 median: 9.5

Tier 5 median: 5.4

Tier 6 median: 8.8 (4.2 w/out Ridley)

Tier 7 median: 3.6

If not for Ridley's breakout game of 23 points, Tier 1-7 would have been monotonic decreasing. With just one week of retrospective so far, RB looks like the most predictable position.