易居研究院智库中心研究总监严跃进表示 恋恋超姻速

The property market volume and price changes in the mentality of buyers or make up the golden nine silvers ten variables exist inevitably differentiation property "golden nine silver ten" variables exist – reporter Peng Yang in the lack of investment channels in the background, a lot of money into the real estate market, hot city price and volume Qi Zhang phenomenon. The personage inside course of study thinks, the change of mentality of house buyer or one of the reasons that the volume of some cities rebound rapidly in the near future. But whether the "golden nine silver ten" can continue the fiery situation remains to be seen. At present, we need to constantly implement classification control ideas, we can consider setting up early warning mechanism to dynamically monitor the potential risks of the market. Money flows to the property market, "the current stock of money is large, M2 growth rate is 2 times the growth rate of GDP."." Ming Yuan Real Estate Research Institute Vice President Liu Ce said, from the structure, because the real estate industry trend is better, so the property market has become the most effective way to absorb funds. The demand for residential mortgage loans has also boosted the real estate market. Huatai Securities chief macro researcher Li Chao said that this year’s new RMB loans mainly rely on real estate and infrastructure demand pull, residents mortgage loans have maintained upward trend in the first half of the year. It is estimated that the medium and long term loans of residents will not decrease in August, and maintain a high level of 470 billion yuan is a high probability event. With the weakening of the base effect, M2 will usher in a small bottoming rebound. In July, M2 is close to the lowest point of the year, and the possibility of M2 growth over 11% in August is higher. Chinese pointed out that in 2016 two quarter monetary policy implementation report, an increase of 2 trillion and 300 billion yuan in the first half of individual housing loans, an increase of 1 trillion and 200 billion yuan at the end of 6, the growth rate reached 32.2%, the monthly increment of record highs, mainly because of commercial housing sales growth faster, driven by the rapid growth of personal housing loan. In the first half of this year, the total sales of commercial housing increased by 42.1%, and the growth rate increased by 32.1 percentage points compared with the same period of last year. From the point of view of the agencies, the loans of small and medium sized Chinese banks increased more than the same year. From the release of the bank semi annual report, the Construction Bank in the first half of the individual housing loans increased, individual housing loans 31 billion 817 million 700 thousand yuan, non-performing loans rate was 0.34%. Individual housing loans balance, new scale ranks first in the same industry. CCB chairman Wang Hongzhang recently in the semi annual results briefing said that the second half of the first bank mortgage loan trend will continue, in addition to pushing housing mortgage loans, but also to promote the housing provident fund loans. "Asset shortage" has become one of the reasons for the current hot property market. Liu Ce said that the interest rate of deposits and treasury bonds is low, and even unable to win inflation; real estate prices are steadily rising, becoming one of the important means of wealth increase of residents. As a result, there is no better place for residents to deposit or even to fund large institutions. Buyers mentality subtle, E-House Institute data show that in August the market turnover compared to July has risen, reflecting the enthusiasm of buyers to enter the market is improving. Yan Yuejin, director of think tank research center of E-House Research Institute, said, for property buyers, in addition to worry about rising housing prices, but also worried about tightening policies such as credit, accelerate the pace of purchase is to lock the purchase costs, avoid political comments