What a difference a day makes.I think its over for this to be at least subtropical today.Yesterday it looked like it was going to separate from the front and it had much more convection mainly lopsided,but as you can see convection is sparse today.

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SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOWPRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDAHAVE DIMINISHED OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE LOSINGITS FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE BECOMINGLESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE LOW MOVES GENERALLYNORTHWARD. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THISSYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...REFER TO HIGHSEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPSHEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOTEXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN

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TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONSOF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COASTFROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASEDON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...A 1000 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 34N58W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS S OF THE LOW ALONG 29N57W 26N59W 24N64W. A DYING STATIONARY FRONT ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW EXTENDS TO THE E ALONG 41N51W 32N49W 26N50W 21N55W THEN W N OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ALONG 20N64W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 22N74W. A LARGE UPPER LOW CENTERED NEAR 33N55W SUPPORTS THE SYSTEM. SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE CENTER HAS DIMINISHED. HOWEVER...CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT REMAINS N OF 17N BETWEEN 45W-54W...BECOMING STRONG IN SOME AREAS NEAR THE FRONT. IF THE SYSTEM LOSES ITS FRONTAL PROPERTIES...THEN THE LOW COULD BECOME A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL SYSTEM. HOWEVER...ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE NOT AS FAVORABLE AS THEY WERE. THE SURFACE LOW HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES NW THEN NORTHWARD.