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The first vote for an interest rate rise since Mark Carney took the helm at the Bank of England more than a year ago and the first since 2011 has not altered the consensus among economists that a rate rise in the first quarter of next year remains most likely.

Samuel Tombs, Capital Economics’ UK economist, said it would be “foolish” to rule out the possibility of a 2014 rate hike, but added: “Nonetheless, data released since the MPC’s [monetary policy committee] meeting – not least the fall in inflation to 1.6 per cent in July and the slower growth in