Gold D Numbers for 22 March – Neutral and once breakdown confirmed downtrending.

Today trading was within yesterday's triangle and the lows tested the D constructive break down confirmation on the D interval, which tomorrow stands at 1243.49. Below that at 1231.08 is centi support which is where pivot c-3 is expected to be made if this break down comes tomorrow. Below that at 1215.96 is daily support from the last confirmation on the daily fractal of W-4, with 1203.60 being the target for d-3 if we get a big day down.

If we break down tomorrow more realistic though is the next triangle, with the deci MLU forming the upper resistance., before making d-3.

If not expect an even tighter trading range with a lower high, to deci resistance at 1255.70 (this would be the second 1/4 short entry point with , followed by daily resistance at 1269.98, followed by weekly at 1281.12.

Today has been a volatile day and prices kept within their expected lines.

There is a valid MAP wave count however it really would be pushing things to the limit on more than three parameters, so we are currently still in the wave µ-4 of m-3 of c-1. So expect a low to complete m-3 followed by a bounce and then another low before prices head back up to make c-2 at either location as described above depending on when the breakdown comes.

Sorry but down another 2 fractals from yesterday! We need some waves to close so we can delete their lines from the chart to clean it up a bit!!!!! Target is still the green area shown yesterday, above the dashed green line for c-3 and dashed blue line for c-5 (d-3).

With trading it I am f#$ed because of following other peoples advice…….. still got some June puts by which time I should have some of last years profits again so I can actually trade……
I only do options and dont waste my time with anything else…. but when my rules say I can put more money into account that will change because I will make a portfolio now that this is giving me very good projections of price and time targets.

Essentially the trade goes as follows: we have had all the confirmations on deci fractal on hourly interval the top is in at 80% probability even at that level. This week will will have daily fractal confirmations on the daily interval – and next week on weekly interval – so the safe trade is towards end of next week – that is the options trade. Next month exp.

To maximise you can make over 50% on deci and centi fractal if entries are right – picking the tops and you could trade both ways. Now that we getting into the milli fractal much higher risk.

The lines that are your triangle show you the fractals – gold Q, orange M, red W, purple D, dark blue deci, green centi and sky blue milli. Within those parameters tells you the limits of a normal wave on each fractal. So to go long you buy on the bottom line and sell the top, and to go short opposite.

Because in the triangle at some point prices are going to break out to the next fractal it is best played 3x, then 2x and then 1x as your risk is increasing with the smaller fractals. With the breakout you play the options, which if you not swapping positions will loose time value!

With the breakout you get a reverse triangle – the fractals need to close and again they are colour coded so you can see where the fractals of your trade are and easily identify your targets, and mosts likely times being the ideal intersections…..

Don’t want to overload you but this is the outline of any good trading strategy and thanks to MA and the group I now have this pretty much formalised and so will you with a bit of patience and hard work!!! Nothing in life worth having is free 🙂

OMG – just saw this reply now… and it makes SOOOOO much sense!!!! I am also an option trader and know all about theta risk but also the gamma potential… if you get the timing right and know which fractial you trade, this can be so profitable…!

No fing idea what you talking about!!!! theta, gama??? 28 Mar exp double return next months – timing says …. trade this month! Wait for next setup….. but shakeout longs and shorts now till options expiry, then next move!!! You would not believe how many times I have been taken for this ride!!!! as soon as they expire they carry on up their channels.

The best I did was playing the DAX – 600% in a day and then IB flagged me as day trader!

What is PSAR H4 1267?
And why do the levels keep changing?
I can only assume what ever you are using is calculating data without giving you a projection of the trade it recommends.
That makes managing expectations very difficult, or does it have time price targets?

Parabolic SAR. Stop and Reverse. Gives you the trading signal. PSAR is calculated from the last high. Every time unit bring the PSAR more near to your current position. At the moment the PSAR moves from last time unit around 1267 to exactly 1265,80 now.

The PSAR to enter the trade was on M15 at 1255,39. And switched after be elected to 1248,65 to give the next support level also now parabol up to the actually level at 1250,62 M15. If this would elected now the the next PSAR would start from the last high at 1257 ( M15).

With the forks you have target of time and price so you can manage expectations.

To me that is important and there is nothing else that gives you the detail as forks used with rules once you understand the rules – messy yes – but once you know what you looking for you can start to read the market and that allows you to manage expectations.

I spent about a year playing with indicators and signals. very variable results and always get you in and out too late and that really peed me off!

Like I say it is backward looking – I am interested in projections of targets so that I can manage expectations and decide which instruments are best suited as I outlined to Evi. I no longer am a slave to sitting in front of the computer, and spend much of my time where there is not even internet access, so without knowing time and price targets I may as well flip a coin!

If i got it right then your lines are drawn from the backward. right ? they are not out of thin air. So your projection is based on the past looking in the future. Because nobody know the future they are possible projections with out you select the most fitting using your rulez.

If your System would be not static fixed on the moment you analyze it would produce new projection points while moving with time. right ?

I see also in a moving projection tool based in different time units the most promising. Bifurcation also described by Martin and in the Nanoworld as natural law seems to me the problem and how we can find the formula to rule out the projections points that not materialize.

It is simple – you are trying to work out the wave superposition in the future based on your best information in time – under the basic rules of wave superposition you know the parameters and so it is simply finding a method of how to measure the wave – MA does not have that – I do that, which is why it goes together so well. They are two different roads leading to the same destination.

Yes projections are made on past data! That is how you measure fractals and project them into the future!

Well done!
I will post it tonight – The break above 1249.24 if we would have been the µ c-1 confirmation if we would have followed that down, and on the centi 1258.67. The cyclical was the green dashed upper triangle shown on hourly yesterday.
D345MLU is now the next level which today stands at 1269.64 (watch for noise as our recalculation level is 1270.92 so you don’t get stopped out) and tomorrow moves down to 1267.64. The ideal top is the green circle between today and tomorrow.

Today was the 3rd successful hold of support on the D012 extreme wave confirmation SO EXPECT A DROP STRAIGHT THROUGH next time without revisiting it!

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