Consumer spending falls, but wage gains reach 6-year high

Consumer spending fell for the fist time in eight months in September, but wages recorded their highest increase in over six years. Consumer spending declined 0.2 percent last month after a 0.5 percent increase in August. Wages and salaries rose 0.8 percent.

ByLucia Mutikani, ReutersOctober 31, 2014

Customers check out at the new Century 21 Department Store in Philadelphia. Consumer spending fell in September, but wages recorded their biggest gains in over six years, according to figures released Friday, Oct. 31, 2014 by the Commerce Department.

"We expect lower energy prices to be a positive for consumers and look for a pickup in spending growth in the fourth quarter," said John Ryding, chief economist at RDQ Economics in New York.

When adjusted for inflation, consumer spending fell 0.2 percent. That was the first drop since April and followed a 0.5 percent rise in August.

In a separate report, the Labor Department said its Employment Cost Index, the broadest measure of labor costs, increased 0.7 percent after advancing by the same margin in the second quarter.

Wages and salaries, which account for 70 percent of employment costs, rose 0.8 percent in the third quarter, the largest increase since the second quarter of 2008. They had gained 0.6 percent in the second quarter.

Various business surveys have been hinting at an acceleration in wage growth. The third-quarter increase in wages and salaries is a welcome sign for the labor market.

Federal Reserve officials on Wednesday gave a fairly upbeat assessment of the labor market, dropping their characterization of labor market slack as "significant" and replacing it with "gradually diminishing."

SPENDING SEEN REBOUNDING

U.S. Treasury debt prices on Friday extended losses on the mixed data, while the dollar hit its highest level since June 2010 against a basket of currencies. U.S. stock index futures were trading higher.

The consumer spending data was included in Thursday's gross domestic product report, which showed the economy expanded at a 3.5 percent annual rate in the third quarter after growing at a 4.6 percent pace in the second quarter.

The softer consumer spending at the end of the third quarter could add to expectations of slower growth in the final three months of the year. A report on Tuesday showed unexpected weakness in business spending plans for equipment in September.

But with gasoline prices at a near four-year low and improving wage growth, consumer spending is likely to rebound in the months ahead.

Income rose 0.2 percent in September after increasing 0.3 percent in the prior month. With income growth outpacing consumption, savings jumped to $732.2 billion, the highest level since December 2012, from $702 billion in August.

That lifted the saving rate to 5.6 percent from 5.4 percent in August.

Weak consumption kept a lid on inflation last month. A price index for consumer spending edged up 0.1 percent after slipping 0.1 percent in August. In the 12 months through September, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 1.4 percent for a second straight month.