Burghout, Wilco

Andreasson, I.

Resource type

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Abstract [en]

Incident response and mitigation are the main tasks of operators at traffic control centres. Simulation models have a good chance of reproducing and predicting the effects of incident response by explicitly modelling drivers' responses to the incident and provided information. In the PREDIKT project, sponsored by the Swedish National Road Administration, a state-of-the-art mesoscopic simulation model (MEZZO) has been extended to provide decision support for incident management. In this paper we describe and test a number of essential modelling components such as modelling the incident response logic, a mixed-Logit model and a method for generation of alternative routes for drivers' route switching. In addition we present the results of a fast calibration method based on Simultaneous Perturbation Statistic Approximation (SPSA). The model components are tested in a small case study that investigates the impact of delay in information after incidents.