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Analysis and commentary

UBS House View Monthly

17 November 2016: Ain’t no…

– The consequences of Donald Trump’s election victory will be a focus for markets over coming months as the new president-elect sets his agenda.

– Expectations of fiscal stimulus by a Trump administration have caused fixed income markets to shed more than USD 1 trillion of value. This may mark the end of a multi-decade bond rally. But we do not expect global yields to rise too far or fast.

– EM currency and equity markets have suffered since the election result. But EM economic and earnings fundamentals remain positive.

– We have introduced an overweight euro position versus the US dollar. Falling US real interest rates, as inflation picks up, will put downward pressure on the dollar versus the euro. We also close our overweight position in US investment grade debt against high grade bonds.

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UBS and SocietyMaking sustainability the everyday standard

We aim to be a leader in sustainability in the financial industry. This requires focusing on the long term and working to provide consistent returns to our stakeholders. It also requires moving beyond the commitment of doing no harm, to one that promotes common good by being proactive, purposeful and accountable. Our key program in this regard is UBS and Society, a cross-divisional, umbrella platform covering all our activities and capabilities in sustainable investing and philanthropy, environmental and human rights policies that govern client and supplier relationships, managing our own environmental footprint, as well as our firm's community interactions.

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UBS fosters a development and learning culture that creates opportunities for every employee to grow as an individual and provides a platform to empower them professionally. Despite the size and scope of the organization, you'll see that you work for a firm that values you as an individual.

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Understanding the contextPolitics and regulation – framework for the financial center

The political and regulatory conditions for banks and other financial institutions are changing fast. The industry is in transition and must constantly take into account many new provisions and regulations in an increasingly difficult market environment. UBS has an interest in keeping conditions in the Swiss financial center as competitive as possible and is participating actively in discussions on the framework conditions.