When the over-weighted Democratic party-ID split (27I-39D-32R) is replaced by the Gallup party affiliation survey (40I- 32D- 28R) and undecided voters are allocated: Trump leads by 50.5-44.1% with 398-140 expected EV.Trump has a 98.6% popular vote win probability.Trump is winning Independents by 45-33%

One response to “2016 Election Model- Nov.1 update”

Marko

November 3, 2016 at 6:55 am

Richard ,

I’ve been thinking about requesting ballot images for my state. Has anyone done any work on the typical file sizes involved ? If it’s , say , 500 kb / ballot image , that’s 500 gb for 1 million ballots. Depending on the state , this is not something they can likely send to you on a thumb drive.

It would be nice if we had a central site that we could direct that all ballot image requests be uploaded to. Better yet , demand that each state simply provide them online.