Mashup of Projects

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Went through some stocks on the TSX, and took the percent changes over different time periods over many years, and found the standard deviation of those changes. These are useful for calculating options prices, as those depend upon the likelihood of the stock price reaching the strike price of the option.

This is a link to a web site where you can pull up historical (last 5 years) inlet flow and fuel gas flow for gas plants in Alberta. The search box has auto complete like google, once you type three letters, it will fill out the rest. Click the plant you want from the auto complete list, and hit search.

Decided to take a look at AER’s ST13 to compare gas plants/fields/companies in Alberta. It shows the inlet, products, fuel, flaring, and metering differences for each plant in the province, as well as location. Here is an image of all the gas plants in the south/central region of Alberta. The size represents the raw inlet gas, and the color represents the field. Legend Here
Then I thought I would see which Licensees had the best metering balances from 2009-2016, anything over 5% is an issue, depending on the inlet volume (could be even less than 5%). The monthly average of the positive errors (took in more than sold) is 3.36% for all gas plants from 2009-2016. The monthly average of negative errors (sold more than took in) is -2.42%.

Here are the worst.

Here is a comparison of several different licensees to compare the amount of fuel consumption to inlet flow.
The average fuel consumption across every plant in the province is 5.8% of raw inlet flow.

Here is an amazing tale of some up and coming companies, who have massively increased their C5+ production, surpassing some of the old large fields.

I had a hunch that there are much less projects under developement in Alberta, which will translate to lower demand for construction/operations/maintenance staff in the future. To find out if this is true I combined all of the ST-97 reports to find out how many new licenses there are, and where they are. The results are below:
That map is centered around Edmonton, which is where the locations of all the projects averages out to. You can see that the new projects are moving towards the north west, and that there are ALOT less of them.

You can see the projects began dropping off midway through 2015. For reference, the NDP were elected May 2015.