The evidence: a new study by theStanford Institute for Economic Policy Research finds that California’s struggles with giant pension obligations for state workers is getting worse. Much worse. The report finds that unless reforms are taken, pension obligations are almost certainly going to crowd out non-mandated spending for things like education and social services.

The study, conducted by Stanford Professor Joe Nation along with California Common Sense, covered all three of the state’s largest pension systems.

Source: Forbes

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California’s pension system is living in a fantasy world where investment returns average 12.5% annually and there’s enough money for everyone.

The largest union, CalPERS, has a 82% chance of a budget shortfall in the next 16 years.