NHL Hockey Predictions

All of today’s NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed below along with the odds to win from three reputable sportsbooks. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. That said, a team’s starting goalie has been added to our formula. This effects each team’s percentage to win and the total goals scored in a game. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which is our highest level of analysis.

Today’s NHL Game Predictions – Thursday, February 20th, 2019

Date

Time

Teams

Lines – Updated 2/21 @ 6:33 pm

Odds to Win

Score Prediction

Total Goals

2/21

7:00 pm

Carolina

-109

-115

-115

45.8%

2.87

6.01

Florida

-101

-105

-105

54.2%

3.13

2/21

7:00 pm

Ottawa

+132

+120

+127

39.9%

3.08

6.85

New Jersey

-146

-140

-137

60.1%

3.77

2/21

7:00 pm

Minnesota

-107

+100

+100

49.4%

2.93

5.90

NY Rangers

-103

-120

-110

50.6%

2.96

2/21

7:00 pm

San Jose

-108

-110

-105

45.8%

3.41

7.12

Pittsburgh

-102

-110

-105

54.2%

3.70

2/21

7:00 pm

Washington

+152

+155

+156

40.2%

2.93

6.50

Toronto

-169

-175

-166

59.8%

3.57

2/21

7:30 pm

Philadelphia

+131

+130

+135

41.6%

2.70

5.89

Montreal

-145

-150

-145

58.4%

3.19

2/21

7:30 pm

Buffalo

+223

+225

+230

28%

2.49

6.40

Tampa Bay

-251

-275

-250

72%

3.90

2/21

8:00 pm

Los Angeles

+194

+190

+197

30.8%

2.17

5.37

Nashville

-217

-230

-217

69.2%

3.20

2/21

8:30 pm

St Louis

-107

-120

-108

46%

2.18

4.55

Dallas

-103

+100

-102

54%

2.36

2/21

9:00 pm

NY Islanders

-111

-120

-110

48%

2.72

5.55

Edmonton

+101

+100

+100

52%

2.83

2/21

10:00 pm

Arizona

+106

+100

+106

46.7%

2.46

5.10

Vancouver

-117

-120

-116

53.3%

2.63

The money lines above are current as of the time listed in the header. The odds to win, score predictions, and total goals come from our proprietary formula that is based on multiple factors of data.

Today’s NHL Picks and Game Analysis

Bet value is based on a proprietary formula. This formula takes into account all of the factors within the game like starting goalie, team strength, injuries, days of rest, etc and compares it to the money line. If the line changes through out the day, then you may see movement within the Bet Value as well. The icons are explained below.

: There is Bet Value on the money line.: There is Bet Value on the puck line.: There is Bet Value on the over/under.

Tomorrow’s game projections are simply listed with the odds for each team to win and score projections. We do not post the lines for these games because in most cases the lines aren’t out yet. These numbers may change on game day as we have more information about starting goalies, injuries, etc.

The table above lists how our projections have done against 5Dimes (which is representative of most sportsbooks). Wins, losses, and win percentage are self-explanatory. “No pick” occurs when the odds are even for both sides at the sportsbook, or when we project the game at 50% on each side. Log Loss is a lot more complicated. In a nutshell, lower is better, but for more detail see: Making Sense of Log Loss.

NHL Season Prediction Results

Yesterday

Games

Wins

Losses

No Pick

Win Pct.

Log Loss

5Dimes

4

1

2

1

0.375

-0.70981

DRatings

4

2

2

0

0.5

-0.69695

Last Week

Games

Wins

Losses

No Pick

Win Pct.

Log Loss

5Dimes

52

29

20

3

0.587

-0.68372

DRatings

52

26

26

0

0.5

-0.70216

Last Month

Games

Wins

Losses

No Pick

Win Pct.

Log Loss

5Dimes

164

88

70

6

0.555

-0.68125

DRatings

164

85

78

1

0.521

-0.69224

2018-2019

Games

Wins

Losses

No Pick

Win Pct.

Log Loss

5Dimes

928

510

387

31

0.566

-0.6801

DRatings

928

522

402

4

0.565

-0.68517

All Time

Games

Wins

Losses

No Pick

Win Pct.

Log Loss

Sportsbooks

2283

1304

922

57

0.584

-0.67375

DRatings

2283

1296

979

8

0.569

-0.67877

NHL Futures and Playoff Probabilities

Below are our simulations for the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. The probabilities for advancement in each playoff series is based on a simulation with 1,000 trials. During the playoff season, this will be updated daily and will take into account the results of each played game.

NHL Record and Points Projection

Below are the projected records for every team in the NHL along with the probabilities that they win their division.