March 12, 2019 | Is Britain At The Edge Of A Political Cliff?

Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and author of the book: 7 Steps to Win With Logic

Recent news that Theresa May was unable to convince members of Parliament to even consider her current deal as well as the future political and societal consequences of any failure to move ahead with an orderly Brexit deal. The question before traders and investors is how will this reflect in the global markets and how will currencies react to this new?

The GBP (British Pound) appears to be poised to a breakdown move aligning with our Fibonacci Arc structures. These arc structures help us to understand where “inflection points” are likely in the markets and where bigger moves may initiate. The current Arc level, near current price, is indicating that any failure of an upside move will likely prompt a downside move to near 0.739 – or lower.

The overwhelming vote to deny Theresa May’s Brexit deal came down to 391 Against and 242 For the current Brexit deal. It is likely that the British Parliament will continue to break down into warring factions as a contentious future political outcome will play out. The people of Britain are still wanting to complete the Brexit while it appears Parliament has yet to come to terms with the process.

We believe this current event will be somewhat isolated to Britain and European nations, yet be believe there could be a larger contagion even if other nations attempt to push their desires to leave the EU as well. Overall, time will tell how this plays out with global investors. Our first impressions are that the global markets will move lower on this news and that currencies could find new weakness as this chaos continues.

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