The
main reason I wanted to share the mathematically-based efficacy of Steep Regression
exploitability in this series, is so that other players who are still a little skeptical
about its use might finally be able to bridge the frustratingly difficult advantage-play
chasm between their validated dice-influencing skill and the inconsistency of their
redeemable profit.

The
concept of regression-betting is nothing new; John Patrick has been writing about it for
years. Even in the Precision-Shooting context, consistently profitable ISRs have
been widely used by talented players for close to two decades now.

Utilizing
the fattest, most frequently occurring part of your roll-duration expectancy-curve allows
to you capture your rightfully earned profit much sooner and more often.

Its
Your Edge, Its Your Money, and Its Your Opportunity

and
what you do with it is entirely up to you.

Lets
say that you have a validated Sevens-to-Rolls Ratio of 1:7 (SRR-7), and your properly
financed bankroll indicates that either a $110-Inside bet (covering the 5, 6, 8, and 9) or
a $110-Even (covering the 4, 6, 8, and 10) would be an appropriately-sized wager to make.

To
determine which of those two bet-types will provide the best return on investment, you
should do a side-by-side comparison of Initial Steep Regressions (ISRs) versus
Flat-betting.

Lets
take a comparative look at how each of those bets stack up against each other for a SRR-7
shooter:

Average
Net-Profit per-hand

ISR-betting
versus Flat-betting

SRR-7

Bet-Method

$110-Inside
to $22-Inside

vs.

$110-Inside
Flat-bet

$160-
Across to $32- Across

vs.

$160-
Across Flat-bet

$100-Outside
to $20- Outside

vs.

$100-
Outside Flat-bet

$110-Even
to $22-Even

vs.

$110-Even
Flat-bet

$110-Iron
Cross to $22-Iron Cross

vs.

$110-Iron
Cross Flat-bet

Initial
Steep Regression

$19.92

$52.34

$24.38

$25.77

$21.58

Flat-betting

$16.00

$24.80

$2.79

$18.80

$13.00

$-Difference

$3.92

$27.54

$21.59

$6.97

$8.58

%-Difference

19.68%

52.61%

88.56%

27.04%

39.76%

Although
the use of Initial Steep Regressions are clearly superior to comparably-sized Flat-bets,
an advantage-player still has to look at the specific bet-type that will provide the best
return-on-investment too.

So,
not only does the savvy dice-influencer do a side-by-side comparison of Initial Steep
Regressions (ISRs) versus Flat-betting, but he also does that same side-by-side
comparison between each of those two ISR bet-types as well.

For
example, in the SRR-7 chart we see that although the $110-Inside-regressed-to-$22-Inside
wager provides a nice average-profit of $19.92 per-hand; the same money wagered on
$110-Even-regressed-to-$22-Even provides an even better average-profit of $25.77 per hand.Needless to say, a 29% R.O.I. difference per-hand
has a definite way of building session-revenue in a measurably significant way.

Take
a look at how SRR-rates not only affect the broad difference between Flat-betting and
Steep Regression betting, but also note the difference between each bet-type when the dice
are in the hands of an SRR-8 shooter:

Average
Net-Profit per-hand

ISR-betting
versus Flat-betting

SRR-8

Bet-Method

$110-Inside
to $22-Inside

vs.

$110-Inside
Flat-bet

$160-
Across to $32- Across

vs.

$160-
Across Flat-bet

$100-Outside
to $20- Outside

vs.

$100-
Outside Flat-bet

$110-Even
to $22-Even

vs.

$110-Even
Flat-bet

$110-Iron
Cross to $22-Iron Cross

vs.

$110-Iron
Cross Flat-bet

Initial
Steep Regression

$89.69

$90.52

$61.24

$105.57

$41.90

Flat-betting

$33.50

$55.60

$21.14

$40.13

$33.50

$-Difference

$56.19

$34.92

$40.10

$65.44

$8.40

%-Difference

62.65%

38.58%

65.48%

61.98%

20.04%

There
is a ton of hidden value in these charts, for example:

ØNotice
what happens (or rather, doesnt happen) when this SRR-8 shooter flat-bets
$110-Inside compared to flat-betting a $110 Iron Cross.Both of those bets generate the same average per-hand profit of $33.50 each.

Now
compare those same two bet-types in the hands of a similarly skilled ISR-bettor.

ØNot
only does each ISR bet-type now make more money than the flat-bets do, but there is also a
dramatic difference between the money that those two bets make in their respective
ISR-modes $89.69 in average per-hand net-profit for the
$110-Inside-regressed-to-$22-Inside bettor compared to only $41.90 for the
$110-Iron-Cross-regressed-to-$22-Iron-Cross bettor.

So
although each of the two flat-bets made the same money ($33.50 average net-profit
per-hand) on the Inside and Iron Cross wagers; the use of an Initial Steep Regression not
only boosted net-profit performance by a significant margin (by over 62% in the case of
ISR-Inside vs. Flat-Inside bet, and 20% in the case of ISR-Iron Cross vs. the Flat-Iron
Cross); but there was also a dramatic difference between the two ISR wager-types
themselves.

The
point of all this of course is to illustrate once again that you have to carefully
consider not only whether or not ISR-betting is appropriate for you, but also whether one
particular bet-type is more suited to your validated skill-level than another.

As
your dice-influencing skill improves, that bet-type/average-profit disparity reveals
itself more and more.Take a look

Average
Net-Profit per-hand

ISR-betting
versus Flat-betting

SRR-9

Bet-Method

$110-Inside
to $22-Inside

vs.

$110-Inside
Flat-bet

$160-
Across to $32- Across

vs.

$160-
Across Flat-bet

$100-Outside
to $20- Outside

vs.

$100-
Outside Flat-bet

$110-Even
to $22-Even

vs.

$110-Even
Flat-bet

$110-Iron
Cross to $22-Iron Cross

vs.

$110-Iron
Cross Flat-bet

Initial
Steep Regression

$124.86

$129.27

$134.53

$146.27

$62.28

Flat-betting

$56.25

$86.40

$35.83

$61.87

$54.00

$-Difference

$68.61

$42.87

$98.70

$84.40

$8.28

%-Difference

54.94%

33.16%

73.37%

57.70%

13.29%

Each
of these charts clearly illustrate how superior an ISR Steepness Ratio of 5:1 compares
when matched up against a similarly sized flat-bet; so lets look at how the
steepness of any given regression-bet can also affect each bet-types overall
profitability.

Defining
Steepness Ratios

When
we talk about ISR Steepness Ratios, we are really talking about the difference of size
between the initial pre-regression LARGE wager and the subsequent post-regression
SMALL wager.

ØFor
example, if you wagered $12 each on the 6 and 8 Place-bet, and then after one paying-hit
regressed both of them down to $6 each, then you have used a 2:1 ISR Steepness Ratio.

ØIf
you started with $18 each on the 6 and 8 and then regressed them to $6 each then you have
employed a 3:1 ISR Steepness Ratio.

ØSome
players even use a two or three-stage regression.For
example, if you started off with $220-Inside and regressed it down to $110-Inside after
one hit, and then further regressed it down to $44-Inside after the next hit; then you
have used a 10:5:2 regression.

ØFor
simplicity of understanding I always use the basic $5-or-$6-per-number-wagered amount to
signify the :1 of the ratio.For
example the standard $22-Inside wager constitutes the :1 when we are talking
about that bet-type, so a 5:1 ratio would indicate a $110-Inside-to-$22-Inside regression.Likewise, a $330-Inside-to-$66-Inside regression still
represents a 5:1 ratio.

Steepness
Ratio Comparison

As
you can see on this first chart for SRR-7 shooters, a shallow steepness ratio of 2:1 for
both the Inside-ISR and the Iron-Cross ISR leaves this player in a negative position even
though he has a substantial edge over the casino.By
simply sharpening the steepness-ratio to 3:1 or higher, the SRR-7 shooter regains per-hand
profitability.

Steepness
Ratio

Comparison
of Profit per-hand

SRR-7

Steepness
Ratio

Inside

Across

Outside

Even

Iron
Cross

2:1

-$1.08

$5.34

$3.39

$1.02

-$3.02

3:1

$5.92

$20.34

$11.25

$8.77

$5.18

4:1

$12.92

$36.84

$20.38

$17.65

$13.38

5:1

$19.92

$52.34

$24.38

$25.77

$21.58

10:1

$54.92

$129.34

$61.09

$66.02

$62.58

ØThe
steeper the regression-ratio is; the higher, earlier and more often a net-profit
will be secured.

ØThe
shallower the regression-ratio is; the less frequent and lower your net-profit will
be.

When
you take that concept to the extreme and dont use ANY regression at all
(theoretically a 1:1 steepness ratio); then your comparable shooting-skill profit takes a
lot longer to get, and the chase certainly becomes less consistent and more
volatile.

Steepness
Ratio

Comparison
of Profit per-hand

SRR-8

Steepness
Ratio

Inside

Across

Outside

Even

Iron
Cross

2:1

$26.69

$20.02

$19.26

$31.32

$5.00

3:1

$47.69

$42.54

$34.98

$54.57

$17.30

4:1

$68.69

$67.27

$53.24

$81.21

$29.60

5:1

$89.69

$90.52

$61.24

$105.57

$41.90

10:1

$194.69

$206.02

$134.66

$226.32

$103.40

Again,
the higher your SRR improves over random, the higher your rate-of-return on each of your
validated-edge wagers will be.Obviously, the
better funded your session bankroll is, the better youll be able to take full
advantage of your current dice-influencing skills.

Steepness
Ratio

Comparison
of Profit per-hand

SRR-9

Steepness
Ratio

Inside

Across

Outside

Even

Iron
Cross

2:1

$40.86

$35.27

$50.57

$47.27

$13.08

3:1

$68.86

$65.27

$82.01

$78.27

$29.48

4:1

$96.86

$98.27

$118.53

$113.79

$45.88

5:1

$124.86

$129.27

$134.53

$146.27

$62.28

10:1

$264.86

$283.27

$281.37

$307.27

$144.28

How
ISRs Offer Better Profit Dependability

ØIf
a player has a fairly good dice-tossing consistency, yet he has a hard time getting
to any level of revenue-consistency; then chances are, he hasn't properly matched
his shooting prowess with his betting prowess.

ØISRs
are especially useful to players who have developed a modest ability to influence
the dice, but haven't yet been able to turn their skills into steady earnings.

With
the use of Initial Steep Regressions, a novice player can reap a larger degree of the
rewards that his de-randomized throws are offering; while an advanced player can extract even
more income from his current skill-set on a much more predictable basis...with each
player accomplishing his profit-objectives more often and with less overall risk
than flat Kelly-style wagering does.