» The NFC East and NFC North might be the only division races to go down to the wire.

With that kind of intense stratification in the standings, we become more aware of the league's de facto ninth and 10th divisions: The AFC and NFC wild-card races. With so many divisional derbies potentially wrapping up early, the wild-card chase will move to the forefront sooner than usual.

I know we are a league dedicated to the mantra of "one game at a time," but sometimes it serves a purpose to poke your head up and take a peek at the longer view.

Around this time in the 2003 season back in Baltimore, we were 5-5, and I felt I needed to make sure my players did not relinquish our future to those who already had determined what our fate was going to be. When I showed them the path we could still take to the playoffs, I know it opened some eyes. We ended up going 10-6 on the year and winning the division.

The one caveat to what follows: It only takes one injury to turn a season upside down, even for those who seem in total control of their destiny. (Dallas, which looked like the class of the NFC East -- and maybe the conference -- after two games, had its season wrecked by Tony Romo's broken collarbone. The inability to find a competent backup now has the Cowboys in the midst of a six-game losing streak.)

Here's a quick overview of where teams stand moving into the second half of the regular season:

AFC playoff picture

New England and Cincinnati sit atop the AFC with matching 8-0 records. Prior to the 2015 campaign, 21 teams had started a season 8-0 during the Super Bowl era. Of those 21 clubs, all 21 made the playoffs, 12 advanced to the Super Bowl and eight earned the Lombardi Trophy.

New England ranks among the best in several categories that are prime indicators for success in this league (turnover differential, third-down and red-zone efficiency). No one matches the Patriots' offensive versatility; they can morph from a 50-throw team to a 40-rush team seemingly overnight. That said, their Achilles' heel -- a constantly-changing and inexperienced offensive line -- has not been fully exploited yet.

Like the Patriots, the Bengals are extremely competent in virtually every statistical category -- and they might have the most talented offensive personnel in the league. Their only qualifier is one that cannot be resolved during the regular season: How will Andy Dalton do in the playoffs?

Both the Bengals and Patriots play Denver (7-1), but not each other -- and home-field advantage looms large. We know the Patriots are tough at home during the playoffs -- having won six of their last seven postseason games in Gillette Stadium -- but not so much on the road. Or at least we don't have a lot of examples to draw from. Since the 2007 season, the Pats have only played one AFC playoff game on the road, and that was a loss at Denver in the 2013 conference title game.

Indy was beginning to look like itself over the past five quarters of play. With a healthy Andrew Luck, the Colts would win the division with room to spare. Without him for the next two to six weeks, they leave the door open for another team to get it together. But who among Houston, Jacksonville and Tennessee looks like a team that could win eight or nine games? Yeah, slim pickings. So even without Luck for the time being, the Colts remain AFC South favorites.

And the top-heavy nature of the AFC means more teams than usual are in the wild-card race. Pittsburgh looks to be the biggest threat in the "AFC Wild Card Division," as long as the Steelers get Ben Roethlisberger back soon after their Week 11 bye. Clearly, they boast one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL -- even after the loss of Le'Veon Bell -- and if they can get past Cleveland on Sunday, they'll stand at 6-4 going into their off week.

NFC playoff picture

After this past Sunday, it is hard to see the NFC championship going through anywhere but Carolina. The Panthers have the NFL's No. 1 rushing offense and a defense that is as punishing as any in the league. Carolina's downfall has been a lack of explosiveness on offense -- though the Panthers did flash some of this in the big win over Green Bay -- and the concern that Cam Newton won't be able to finish the season carrying as much of the rushing load as he does right now.

Arizona looks solid at 6-2. The Cardinals boast admirable differentials in turnovers and explosive plays. They do play Seattle twice in the next eight weeks and have to travel to Philly. But if Carson Palmer can stay healthy, the Cards appear likely to win the division and contend for a first-round bye.

In the NFC East, the Giants have the inside track. But if the Eagles, winners of three of their past four games, have indeed righted the ship -- and if they can survive the latest costly injury, to standout rookie Jordan Hicks -- they'll be in the playoff mix. It's probably too late for the Cowboys to get back in the postseason race.

The Falcons still have a good shot at one wild-card spot, but after a 5-0 start, they've lost three of four -- most recently suffering an ugly defeat to a 49ers team in disarray. Atlanta probably needs to win four of its remaining seven games -- a stretch that includes two bouts against the undefeated Panthers -- to secure a playoff berth.

Seattle has to win six of its next eight to reach the 10-6 mark, but five of those contests will take place in the comfy confines of CenturyLink Field. The Seahawks have made consecutive trips to the Super Bowl, thanks in no small part to very strong turnover differentials. This year? Seattle's TO differential sits at a very pedestrian minus-1. Still, the 'Hawks have grit. I wouldn't bet against Russell Wilson in a playoff push.

St. Louis will have a fighter's chance -- Todd Gurley has been everything the Rams could have wanted and more -- but does this look like a team that can win six of its next eight games with Nick Foles at quarterback?

Even the Saints, at 4-5, are still on the periphery of the playoff picture. If their defense doesn't improve, though, they might wind up closer to the periphery of a top-10 draft choice.

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