Based on my advanced calculations, that comes to roughly $21 million per year.

I know, I know I'm probably the most intelligent person on this entire site for solving such an advanced equation but I can't take all the credit. During the solving process I had some help from a special algorithm that allowed me to figure it out a couple hours earlier than expected.

But in all seriousness I think this was a solid move by the Cubs, although it's a little lengthy for a pitcher of Darvish's age who has a history of injuries. Still, the price point is right for a guy who will consistently put up 3-5 fWAR a season and assuming he stays healthy, we shouldn't see any major regression until the final couple years (age 36 & 37 seasons) of the contract.

Look, I'm gonna be honest with you. I really need a job. And I will take any position, as long as it doesn't involve having sex with old ladies for money or bear traps. Those are my two bugaboos. While mulling over my resume feel free to check out my baseball card collection, it's small and simple, kinda like me - >>>>>http://s822.photobucket.com/user/JDf...ds%20n%20stuff

Based on my advanced calculations, that comes to roughly $21 million per year.

I know, I know I'm probably the most intelligent person on this entire site for solving such an advanced equation but I can't take all the credit. During the solving process I had some help from a special algorithm that allowed me to figure it out a couple hours earlier than expected.

But in all seriousness I think this was a solid move by the Cubs, although it's a little lengthy for a pitcher of Darvish's age who has a history of injuries. Still, the price point is right for a guy who will consistently put up 3-5 fWAR a season and assuming he stays healthy, we shouldn't see any major regression until the final couple years (age 36 & 37 seasons) of the contract.

His underlying stats have been showing significant regression for a couple years. He's a pumpkin waiting for midnight.

Even if he has a good couple years in there, the overall deal is not worth it IMO...

IMO 95% of the 5+ year *free agent* contracts end up being a bust.

I honestly can't think of one that was ever worth it but I'm sure there may be one or two that I have either forgotten about or a debate could be made which is why I left open a 5% possibility.

Look, I'm gonna be honest with you. I really need a job. And I will take any position, as long as it doesn't involve having sex with old ladies for money or bear traps. Those are my two bugaboos. While mulling over my resume feel free to check out my baseball card collection, it's small and simple, kinda like me - >>>>>http://s822.photobucket.com/user/JDf...ds%20n%20stuff

I completely agree that those length of deals almost never work out towards the end. However, if we win another World Series...or two...or three...during his contract, then it doesn't matter. We Cubs fans would be a lot more upset with losing Gleyber Torres, but we don't win a WS without Chapman. Say what you want about him running out of gas in Game 6 & 7, we don't even get to those games with Rondon as closer. Same thing could be said with losing Eloy Jimenez, as long as we win one with Quintana on the roster, it's worth losing two of the best prospects in the game. I would imagine Angels fans would say the same thing about the long term Pujols contract.