No MCS development for months and now we are going to get a string of them over the next 5 days. Feast or famine I guess. I definitely will get interesting later this week & weekend with the potential for a significant severe wx outbreak.

Saturday 08/23 looks interesting over West Central MN according to the 21/12z Euro and the 22/0z runs of the NAM,GFS and the GEM. I would look for the Storm Prediction Center to highlight that area with their Day 2 outlook at a 15% Risk, with the caveat that if trends continue an upgrade could be warranted. Having said that, this pattern has been very difficult to forecast the last few days, any change to the track of the surface low would change this outlook. For those in the Metro, keep abreast of the forecast and where the low tracks, a shift to the east could put the metro at risk, but at this time I would give that a 25% percent of happening.