24. I love this! Who ever heard of North Carolina going Blue until it did?

Who in their right mind makes that kind of insane prediction?
Well a poster who replied to that Landslide thread I put up.
Name was rbrnmw.

I love the doubt. I just love it.

In that same thread I respond to a poster named onenote who had a similar sentiment about me calling for Georgia.
I then break down the Presidential voting history of North Carolina all the way back from 1928 to 2008 to show how Obama turning North Carolina his way was unprecedented.
Even Bill Clinton couldn't flip that state. Neither time.

32. But how did a state like NC that hadn't gone Blue since 1976 suddenly go Blue in 2008?

How did Obama pull off Iowa of all places?
How did Obama switch Ohio?
How did Obama get Indiana?
How did Obama pull New Mexico?

TURNOUT is what's gonna flip those states.
And look all over this forum for people posting videos & pics of people standing in lines literally miles long waiting patiently to vote.
Those people are mostly Obama voters.

Dewey once defeated Truman according to the polls, remember that.
And Carter would defeat Reagan according to those polls too.
I use those polls for toilet paper.

There will be major state-flipping surprises on Election Day just you wait & see.
John Lucas

25. Ha ... agreed!

I live in South Carolina ... no way will a majority of these people be voting for the President. Not AZ either, at least not this year. Probably not NC as well; FL very close. BUT, also no way Obama will lose the election. Four more years! Just vote!!

12. I like--no--I LOVE your map!

13. I try to be optimistic

but a sweep of every single swing state is something I have a hard time believing will happen. Florida and NC will be tough and Colorado isn't exactly a safe bet either(if the polls are to be trusted). I think Obama will win, but it'll be because of OH and VA.

27. Rachel had it on her show the other night

No robocalls are allowed. So there can be no robocall polls unless a real live person asks first if the person will do an automated poll. And there was one other thing that I can't remember that prevents easy polling in Indiana like in other states. So this most recent poll is the first in months.

I tried to search online but couldn't find it. I know Rachel talked about it Thurs or Friday on her show. She said nothing about the state going for Obama, but that's just a thought I had since it hasn't been polled for presidential election at all and it went to Obama in 2008.

34. Now that is interesting.

Thanks for posting about it. I'll dig through the new tv.msnbc.com site and see if I can find the segment. I know from work that there are both federal and state do-not-call lists (implying that states can impose statewide restrictions specific to their residents in addition to the federal ones), but never looked into what that entails.

42. I found it!

It was on her website under weird state election rules.

It's what I said, there is a law in Indiana where not automated dialing isn't allowed. Either the reciever of the call needed to give permission in advance or a live person must call and get permission to be on the list for automated calls. So it's very expensive to conduct polls in the state of Indiana. The one that just was done on the senate race was all manual and live person.

41. That's virtually the 2008 map

I think that's a bit too optimistic. I still think Rmoney will pull out a win in NC and FL. However, I believe Obama will win OH, WI, IA, NV, and NH. VA and CO are toss-ups. Barring an upset in PA, MI, or MN, Obama will have well over the 270 electoral votes he'll need to win a second term.

As of this writing, Obama had a 58,720,700 (50.1%) to 56,145,950 (48.4%) lead on Mitt Romney for the popular vote.

(UPDATE: As of 2:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Obama has widened his popular vote lead. He now leads 60,193,076 or 50.4% to 57,468,587 or 48.1% with nearly all precincts reporting. Still no official word yet, however.)

(UPDATE (2): As of Noon on Friday, with nearly all votes in, Obama assuredly will win the popular vote, leading Romney by a count of 61,173,739 or 50.5% to 58,167,260 or 48.0%. At this point, a few final votes are being counted and then all that's left is for the results to be officially certified.)

48.4% to 48.1% to 48.0% to ?? I hope it goes down to 47% in the final tally.