Has a small short position as part of a basket that is against his biggest Long Equity Financial Holdings (EQI-T) (?) in that sector. He is short this because it is one of the few publicly traded mortgage companies originators that has some pretty significant Western Canadian exposure, which will act as a bit of a headwind. Trading at close to 2X BV, whereas the company that he likes better is trading below its BV. 7.8% dividend yield is safe as long as the real estate market in Canada holds up and interest rates stay low. At some point we are going to see residential real estate in Canada roll over, and certainly in areas that are going to be hit by the decline in energy.

Mortgage investment company. When he got concerned as to where interest rates were going, he moved out of this. Longer-term it is a great vehicle for yield but there is probably not a lot of growth. As rates ratchet up or ratchet down, their yields will move up and down.

Mortgage Investment Corporation (or a MIC) and to qualify, they have to pay out all their profits each year so they don’t retain any of their profits. You don’t get any growth in retained earnings. 7.9% yield is all you get. Really like buying a high-yield bond. He is shooting for more than 8% for his clients..

Shorting Canadian housing with Home Capital Group (HCG-T,) and Genworth MI Canada (MIC-T). Is a little bit early but he has seen the housing bubble build and believes it has now peaked and is now on the downside. If right and Canadian housing prices fall 20%-30% over the next 2 years, then these companies are not going to just be at risk of earnings but also at risk of solvency.

(A SHORT) Primarily subprime mortgage lender almost solely focused on single-family housing. Looking at the housing market data starting with Vancouver and the Toronto condo market, which is now spreading into single-family market elsewhere, you are seeing sales down and listings up. Looks like Phoenix and Florida circa 2006 to him. You are going to start to see inventory build dramatically over the next 6 months and then you start to see prices really fall. Thinks there is 20%-30% downside.

Has about $250 million of market cap but nobody covers it. About 68% payout ratio. Lends to people who do not qualify for their own private mortgages as well as host construction. Good spread of about 7%. Low payout ratio. Yield of well over 7% and give an extra bonus at the end of the year if they've done well.

Well run company. Bought a lot of mortgage portfolios last year and did very well, but will not quite as well this year. They are like an income trust in that they have to pay out 100% of their profits. Won’t get a huge growth in the company. Usually have a top-up dividend in the 4th quarter. Solid company.

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