atxcojo's Blog

The inside run game. Contrary to most pundits I don’t think that Murray is the key to Sunday’s game. Don’t get me wrong I think he is extremely important and that Romo’s (whose play is the key to the game for Dallas) success hinges on his play, but the run game isn’t where Dallas will win and lose. Where beating Green Bay starts however, is the run game. Realistically, the Cowboys defensive backfield is probably in for a long day. Rodgers, Nelson, Cobb, and Co. have been absolutely dynamite at Lambeau and against better DBs than the Cowboys field. Rodgers has dominated Rod Marinelli coached defenses (used to coach in the NFC North) and Green Bay just seems to have the magic touch at home on the deep ball. Moreover, Rodgers hasn’t thrown a single pick at Lambeau in over two calendar years. TWO! So why am I harping on the interior run game? Simple, Rodger’s calf. Rodgers will play on Sunday for sure. He may even be 95%, maybe 100% even. But the Packers aren’t about to take any chances in the cold. Rodgers is going to likely be extremely conservative with scrambles and rollouts and will likely play much of the game from the pistol or shotgun. So how do you defend a non-mobile QB? Well you block well for starters and Green Bay has the No. 1 pass blocking unit. ... [More]

Ahead of schedule at this point to reach the over (not sure how). Just wanted to see what everyone thought of this season win total and what your final Twins season outcome will be. Thanks for the input.

Want to get this out on the table and see what everyone's thoughts were.

Basic public opinion will have the Rangers "down" this season, but how down?

I think they have the best pitching in the division, you add in a lowly opponent in HOU (More free wins), there is still great offensive production potential, and one of the best infields in the game.

This years w/l total is about 6-7 games less than it was last year. Also, if my memory serves me right, the Rangers have covered this bet the past 3 seasons, and I think there is some great value for them to do it again here.

ALSO, I look for them to go after some good pitching at the break which will help them down the stretch. (They have the $$$ and resources)

I haven't really played much NFL b/c I put all my eggs into 1 basket this season. Now I am sweating bullets.I have 2 chances to limit my loss with the Bills playing DEN and NE the next 2 weeks. I know that the NE line will be over-inflated and the Bills will be undervalued (with what little value they still have) - so this Saturday may be my only chance to help cut my losses. Below is some very simple scenarios that I have drawn up, If ANYONE has any advice on a better route to take, please take a few moments to outline your path.

Let's get some good dialog flowing on this game y'all. I have been intrigued by this game all weak with a HEAVY lean on Seattle.

I closely watched the Skins/Boys game last week and it was a very physical game. The Skins definately had to "get up" for the divisional game and are no doubt deflated after knowing they could have beaten their long hated rival. With this motivational angle, mixed with the well known cross-country mixed with Seattle's known home field craziness..I can't get off pulling the trigger with them at -3 +100 locally here. Below is more info for the case for the Seahawks...Again, I welcome Skins backers to explain to me why they are laying their money on them.

Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Seahawks are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Seahawks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

I live here in Austin, followed the team all yet and yet to place a wager on them. I look at all the "square" numbers on the game and see this as an outright K-State win, especially with our injuries and lack of run game which is key to take the pressure off our no-so-talented QB's at the moment. Please shed some light and your thoughts on this game.

I am a season ticket holder for the Boys - and I get these press releases every week. It's a great read either way you look at it, may help you in your betting decision. These are the official game notes (also known as the white papers) for the game. Enjoy Covers brothers!

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