Karlovic over Federer @ 5.40 (6 units)
As long as Ivo can serve above 60% first serves I don't think Fed can break him and in the breaker I give the edge to Ivo after seeing Fed's last few matches. He's been making a lot of errors of routine shots and one mini break is all that's needed to lose a set against Ivo.

risky to go against Gulbis... what we have observed about this guy is a lot of inconsistency... and quite characteristically he has brought his A game in matches with stronger opponents (Robredo, Moya, Blake, Nalbandian (exhibition)) close games with Murray, Djokovic, Davydenko, well a set from Nadal...) while he has been sloppy against Acasuso, Nishikori, Granollers, Magdincev...
Blake of course is much better here at home and on hard but remember he is no nonsense clay courter as well...
With these patterns of inconsistency I would be more inclined to go with Gulbis as underdog and be extremely careful when he is heavily favoured. At least thats how the value has been historically distributed

Fast conditions maybe suit Soda better and 2 straight wins against opposition which gave lots of soft balls to attack ....but did strugguled a bit against Boredo...
Kohl is not at his best....and beated two mugs but you wolud expect from him to do his best here if that Soda might be forced to to play extra shot

H2H is not the reason for this.....just if Kohl play a competitive match here this sholud be thight one