The “Show Me” state of Missouri might just be showing incumbents President Barack Obama and US Senator Claire McCaskill the door in 2012.

They say, as go Missouri, so goes the nation. If true in 2012, President Barack Obama, US Senator Claire McCaskill and the Democrats are in for a tough 2012 election. According to a recent Rasmussen poll, GOP primary candidate Mitt Romney has a 45% to 42% lead in the hypothetical match up against Obama. Barack Obama lost Missouri in 2008 by 1%; however, it appears that he has even less support now.

The news is just as bad for Democrat US Senator Claire McCaskill who is in ahead heat with one GOP contender and trails another. McCaskill won her Senate seat in 2006, 50% to 47%, over incumbent Republican Jim Talent. This was the election year when the Democrats romped to a majority in the US Senate. However, 2012 is a much different political environment. Presently Democrats have the majority; however, they must defend 20 seats and two other Independent seats who caucus with Dems.

Democratic Senator from Missouri Claire McCaskill runs essentially even with two Republican challengers in the first Rasmussen Reports look at her reelection bid in 2012.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Missouri Likely Voters shows former State Treasurer Sarah Steelman with 47% support against McCaskill’s 45%.

Both Obama and McCaskill find themselves as incumbents polling below 50%, never a good sign. McCaskill is going to have a hell of a time defending her vote for Obamacare in 2012. Make no mistake about it, her vote for the unpopular Obamacare law will come back to bite her and most every Democrat in 2012.

“It’s no surprise that Senator McCaskill doesn’t want to be seen with President Obama, but Missourians aren’t going to just forget that she provided the deciding 60th vote for ObamaCare, that she continues to make excuses for his failed $787 billion stimulus, or that she wants Washington to drive our national debt even higher with more reckless spending,” said Chris Bond, spokesman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee, in a statement Monday previewing her visit.