Rosehill Race 9: Telegraph Neville Sellwood 2000m

27/03/2015: A tough race to round out the day and we'll give Foreteller top billing here who drops back from 2 Group 1 performances at last two and should be ready to show something at 4th run into preparation. Foreteller has won 3 races here at Rosehill and handles all types of track conditions. Pornichet is a Group 3 winner in Melbourne and will strip fitter for 2 runs back from spell. Drops in grade here and if can handle distance rise should run well. Hawkspur finally showed a return to form when running 3rd to Hartnell last time this track. Has won up to 2400m and handles soft ground, looks ready to make bold attempt to return to winners stall. Dear Demi is top class when right and should be ready to show something at 3rd run back. Is a winner up to 2500m and handles affected going. Mouro rates a place chance from good draw.

Not an over abundance of pace here and Himilaya Dream is expected to lead over the only other on pace assessed runner in Disclaimer. Runners like Pornichet, Indexed Linked and Dear Demi may find themselves much closer to the lead than normal with the lack of top end speed. Plenty of backmarkers in this who won't be advantaged by the assessed pace rating of moderate.

CHANCES

Plus and Minus Factors

Order

Margin

Foreteller

PLUS: Drops in grade, won 3 races this track, goes well soft ground.

A

0

MINUS: Hasn't run a place in last 6 runs.

Pornichet

PLUS: Group 3 winner in Melbourne, races well on soft ground.drops in grade.

B

1.5

MINUS: Yet to win past 1700m.

Hawkspur

PLUS: Showed return to form last time, winner this track, winner soft ground.