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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-04 Version:10

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

19 |

36 |

50 |

Dem

16

Rep

19

Ind

1

Non

14

Confidence States Won

19 |

36 |

50 |

Dem

16

Rep

19

Ind

1

Tos

0

Non

14

State Pick-ups

Gain

Loss

Hold

Net Gain

Inc.

Open

Total

Inc.

Open

Total

Inc.

Open

Total

Dem

+4

0

+4

0

-2

-2

10

2

12

+2

Rep

0

+2

+2

-5

0

-5

14

3

17

-3

Ind

+1

0

+1

0

0

0

0

0

0

+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score

State Wins

State Percentages

47

31

16

Analysis

My rating system is based on data compiled from 15 sources and uses a scale of 3 categories (Safe/Likely/Weak) for each party (Republican/Democrat/Independent). The rating is based on a numerical score where a likelihood of victory less than 67% is Weak, 67-83% is Likely, and greater than 83% is Safe. To fit within this site's rating system, the Likely category is split in half so that a likelihood of 75% or more is "Strong" and less than 75% is "Lean." No races are rated as Toss Up.