Wait.. I think Elena scored 68~69 at one Cup of Russia event(Serafima scored 70) then scored 130+, winning the event with a total score of 201. If she skates clean tomorrow, she might get a 200+ score like she did at Cup of Russia event.

However, Serafima, Julia and Elena are really close. Elena usually does better with her FS, so I think it's possible for her to win Junior Nationals.