Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 011000
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CST WED MAR 01 2006
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NM/WEST TX/MUCH OF
OK/SOUTHERN KS/SOUTHWEST MO/NORTHWEST AR...
...SYNOPSIS...
EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER TROUGH WILL NEAR THE WEST COAST...WHILE
SHORTWAVE IMPULSE TRAVERSES THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST.
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY ADVANCE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHING
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID MISSOURI
VALLEY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - EASTERN NM/WEST TX/MUCH OF
OK/SOUTHERN KS/SOUTHWEST MO/NORTHWEST AR...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES WITH GUSTY WINDS AND/OR
WIND SHIFT
A HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST TODAY ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS...LARGELY ATTRIBUTABLE TO VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES IN CONJUNCTION WITH GUSTY WINDS AND/OR A WIND SHIFT.
PREFRONTAL TROUGH/SOUTHWARD PUSHING COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN S/SW
WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY DURING THE DAY ACROSS THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES...MUCH OF OK...AND SOUTHERN KS. WIND SPEEDS WILL
GENERALLY BE BETWEEN 15-25 MPH...WITH STRONGER WIND SPEEDS BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT...AS WELL AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN NM/EXTREME
WEST TX. AMPLE MIXING/DOWNSLOPE TRAJECTORIES WILL LEAD TO NEAR
RECORD TEMPERATURES IN THE PREFRONTAL WARM SECTOR ACROSS THE SOUTH
CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 90
IN SOME LOCALES.
...FL AND SOUTHERN GA...
PROXIMITY OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL RH
VALUES ACROSS MUCH OF INTERIOR FL AND SOUTHERN GA.
HOWEVER...INCREASINGLY MOIST TRAJECTORIES WILL LIKELY YIELD SOME
DEWPOINT/RH IMPROVEMENT TODAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN
FL/SOUTHERN GA. RELATIVELY LIGHT WIND SPEEDS OF 10 MPH OR LESS AND
MARGINAL KBDI VALUES SUGGEST LIMITED FIRE GROWTH/SPREAD POTENTIAL.
...NEB/EASTERN CO/NORTHERN KS...
RATHER STRONG/GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL EXIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TODAY...WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 25-35 MPH AND GUSTS TO 40-45 MPH.
ALTHOUGH A QUICK SPREAD OF ANY GRASSFIRES WOULD OCCUR GIVEN THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS AND LOW DAYTIME RH VALUES...GENERAL
MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE AVAILABLE FUELS IN CONTRAST TO AREAS
FURTHER SOUTH.
..GUYER.. 03/01/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...