February 18, 2004

Time for another war?

The poll, taken Feb. 16-17, indicates that if the election were held today, Kerry would be chosen by 55% of likely voters, compared to 43% for Bush. In the last polling, Feb. 6-8, Bush held a 49-48 advantage.

Edwards, Kerry's sole remaining major rival for the Democratic nomination, holds a 54%-44% advantage, the poll indicates. The question has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Wow. Is this just an outlier or are these numbers real? What's causing Bush's support to fall? I've been saying for months that I think Bush will win re-election, but if other polls confirm these numbers I'll be happy to suspect I was wrong.
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