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Open CPN weather routing and "average" VO65 polars. The remaining leg in 2 parts, so one can use saildoc GRIBs up to Feb 28th to calculate. Calculated the 2-pack going NE and staying relatively NE. Calculated 2-pack going relatively more south and than Auckland.

Conclusion: the 2-pack should stay relatively NE and win the leg of the race. As you can see, the polars need some fine tuning (meaning: being too conservative on boat speed sailing upwind). Note the ETA using OpenCPN compared to Expedition is 3 days longer sailing.