This, she thinks, is what counts as de-escalation in 2013 from the new regime in Pyongyang: a relatively small attack that won’t leave many people dead.

Wow. If that’s what we can expect from CIA analysis nowadays, I’m surprised we can even spell Lil Kim’s last name properly. As Tomato says, if he can’t take credit for the attack, then it doesn’t do him any good. He can take credit internally (amongst the military leaders), but it still looks to the rest of the world as if he backed down – not a good thing in his eyes. And, this time, a “relatively small attack” will probably cause a proportionate response. Shell an island, and the location of those artillery pieces will probably cease to exist in any meaningful fashion.

Unless, of course, Obowma intervenes and prevents any sort of response. I’m not sure he has that sort of pull with the ROKs anymore.

]]>By: JFKYhttp://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2013/04/05/ex-cia-analyst-expects-north-korea-to-attack-south-korea-before-the-end/comment-page-1/#comment-2312753
Fri, 05 Apr 2013 16:01:56 +0000http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=249803#comment-2312753Who writes this stuff, and believes it? Sure a few hundred Koreans die, at the hands of the N. Koreans-but the South does what? Possibly hits at military targets in the North, related to this “minimal” attack, OR goes for the nuclear infrastructure to reduce a FUTURE threat…and then what? It’s playing with fire…As was once said in a movie: “This business will get out of control. It will get out of control and we’ll be lucky to live through it.”
]]>By: The Rogue Tomatohttp://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2013/04/05/ex-cia-analyst-expects-north-korea-to-attack-south-korea-before-the-end/comment-page-1/#comment-2312748
Fri, 05 Apr 2013 15:58:16 +0000http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=249803#comment-2312748You know, this doesn’t make any sense at all. The only reason Kim Young’un would attack South Korea would be to look big (save face) among his people after having made so many threats. And he can’t do that without taking credit for whatever attack he launches.

IMO, either he’s going to do something big, or nothing at all. Most likely the latter.

Instead, Terry believes, “it will be something sneaky and creative and hard to definitively trace back to North Korea to avoid international condemnation and immediate retaliation from Washington or Seoul.” This, she thinks, is what counts as de-escalation in 2013 from the new regime in Pyongyang: a relatively small attack that won’t leave many people dead.

Like sinking a South Korean corvette or shelling an island? Part of the reason South Korea has a new President is the previous one didn’t do anything after that happened.

Instead, Terry believes, “it will be something sneaky and creative and hard to definitively trace back to North Korea to avoid international condemnation and immediate retaliation from Washington or Seoul.” This, she thinks, is what counts as de-escalation in 2013 from the new regime in Pyongyang: a relatively small attack that won’t leave many people dead.

Like sinking a South Korean corvette or shelling an island? Part of the reason South Korea has a new President is the previous one didn’t do anything after that happened.

You might be missng China. The could be thinking that if the USA can be drgged into one more long running war about now, it will be enough to finish the economic collapse of the American’s like what happened to the USSR. That woul leave China at the world’s only eonomic superpower and thusthe default ruler of the world of commerce.

MikeA on April 5, 2013 at 9:30 AM

There’s a couple problems with this thinking. First, the US and EU are China’s biggest customers. Second, they hold an ungodly amount of US of debt which instantly becomes worthless if they blow up our economy. Third, there is a housing bubble in China which makes the one we had last decade look like a joke.

I’m quite sure the Chinese hate our guts and would love to crush us, but they aren’t economically developed enough yet to be able to remain standing if they manage to succeed in taking us out. The best they can do right now is to embarrass us politically and harass our allies in Asia.

]]>By: Punchenkohttp://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2013/04/05/ex-cia-analyst-expects-north-korea-to-attack-south-korea-before-the-end/comment-page-1/#comment-2312605
Fri, 05 Apr 2013 13:57:04 +0000http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=249803#comment-2312605Luckily for us we have “smart power” to save us all.
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