Final Score Power Index - an objective evaluation of NFL teams, based on final scores of games played.

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

NFL Week 11 Game Picks

Game

APR

SRS

Line

Chiefs @Raiders

Chiefsρ=1.3814

Chiefs*δ=16.4

Chiefs-7

Titans @Eagles

Eaglesρ=1.3284

Eaglesδ=11.4

Eagles-11

Jaguars @Colts

Coltsρ=1.3271

Coltsδ=18.0

Colts-13½

Washington @49ers

49ers*ρ=1.2376

49ersδ=8.3

49ers-9

Packers @Vikings

Packersρ=1.2344

Packers*δ=14.4

Packers-9

Jets @Bills

Billsρ=1.1719

Billsδ=8.1

Bills-4½

Cowboys @Giants

Cowboysρ=1.1614

Cowboys*δ=6.7

Cowboys-3

Lions @Patriots

Patriotsρ=1.1430

Patriotsδ=8.8

Patriots-7½

Cardinals @Seahawks

Cardinalsρ=1.1203

Cardinals*δ=1.2

Seahawks-6½

Buccaneers @Bears

Bears*ρ=1.1141

Bearsδ=6.3

Bears-5½

Browns @Falcons

Brownsρ=1.0870

Browns*δ=4.3

Falcons-3

Dolphins @Broncos

Broncosρ=1.0586

Broncosδ=0.7

Broncos-7

Ravens @Saints

Ravensρ=1.0532

Ravens*δ=5.7

Saints-3

Bengals @Texans

Texans*ρ=1.0455

Texansδ=1.5

Texans-1

Rams @Chargers

Chargersρ=1.0392

Chargersδ=8.8

Chargers-4

Bye: Steelers, Panthers

Comments:

Mostly unanimous picks this week.The Saints can't lose at home
three times in a row, can they?

The Cardinals enter probably the hardest stretch of their
schedule, including road games at all three NFC West
opponents. Drew Stanton will need to pass a pretty tough test if
the Cardinals are going to hang onto the best record in the
NFC.

The Patriots have a tough stretch ahead of them too. After the
Lions, they have road games against the Packers and Chargers,
before finishing up with a trio of divisional games.

The Lions play the second of their back-to-back road games at
conference leading teams. The good news for them is after this
week, they've got what should be a pretty easy schedule before
finishing up going into Lambeau, for what could be the contest
that decides which team takes the NFC North this year.

I'm not really sure why the Line has taken the Falcons over the
Browns this week. The Falcons are 0-6 in games against teams
outside the very bad NFC South. And while I think the Browns have
been playing a little over their heads, they really should be able
to take care of the Falcons (although they really should've been
able to take care of the Jaguars back in week 7, too).