Today’s Gallup update - Romney still up 6; up 2 among registered voters; Obama’s net job approval down another point.
Probably really plus 4 or so nationwide, giving as much credence as they deserve to other pollsters.

2
posted on 10/20/2012 10:08:39 AM PDT
by Perdogg
(Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)

I think the collective fear in here about this being a Gallup ‘setup’ is wrong. Gallup is using the turnout model they expect to be reality on Nov 6 and using that model Romney is walking away with this thing.

If other pollsters were using models closer to 2004 rather than 2008 the RCP average would be 6+ in favor of Romney (not counting the eventual allocation of un decideds).

10
posted on 10/20/2012 10:13:09 AM PDT
by tatown
(Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')

Obama is today 46 with registered voters; 45 with likely voters. 2 1/2 weeks before the election. Even is Gallop is undershooting Obama’s support by a couple points, these are just terrible numbers for an incumbent.

Gee there’s that number again..45 percent..notice how Obama is always hovering between 45 to 47 percent..HORRIBLE numbers for an incumbent..Obama is toast and he knows it..I hope he enjoys that 35 million dollar mega mansion in Hawaii

None of those are right. 1) Romney will win OH by 3-4; 2)GOP has $82. But Obamagetting a LOAN from B of A 3) the electoral map is hopeless for Obama; 4) Early voting is nowhere NEAR where Zero needs it to be if he even has a chance of winning--- but even those numbers rely on him breaking even with Indies, when all the polls show him losing by 5-15 points among Indies.

I am strongly convinced the election is over.

29
posted on 10/20/2012 10:32:32 AM PDT
by LS
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))

They’re dreaming... of course liberals are trying to convince themselves that’s possible - the only way Obama could win is with a plurality of the vote like Clinton. And even then that’s hardly a resounding vote of confidence. In reality, they know Obama is toast but they will never admit it. Coming to grips with reality is not who they are.

We are being set up. We are being set up. We are being set up. If I’m wrong I’ll gladly eat my hat, but hold the salt and pepper for now.

Gallup will use something (the third debate, Gloria Allred’s October surprise, Obama’s “fantastic” new agreement with Iran or his decision to launch a drone strike in Libya, or something) as an excuse to change methodology from its current heavy weighting of Republicans. Then the numbers will start to move strongly in Obama’s favor and the MSM can try to create a bandwagon effect by promoting the “Greatest Comeback in American History.”

He was 'present' as far as the actual job of President but did his level best to turn our Sacred Republic into a socialist/communist hell hole. Words cannot describe. . . It will take generations to work our way out of the Clinton/Obama Fabian socialist nightmare. Wake up America!

41
posted on 10/20/2012 10:48:07 AM PDT
by Art in Idaho
(Conservatism is the only hope for Western Civilization.)

If there was the live boy or dead girl, that would already have been news and any foreign adventure Obama decides upon will be seen by Americans as an election stunt - if they had something planned they would have done it already; throwing out rumors is part of the strategy they use to try to depress Republican turnout. This has nothing to do with the truth, its all part and parcel of psychological warfare. And since I have no stake in the outcome of this election, this kind of stuff has no hold on me. I don’t worry about it and I sleep very sound at night.

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