House: Recent Updates

Most people don't think things could get any worse for House Democrats. But a Supreme Court case expected to be decided by June could actually cost Democrats two more seats in Arizona, putting them even deeper into the minority.

GOP Rep. Alan Nunnelee's death last week following a battle with brain cancer means there will be a special election in northern Mississippi's 1st CD for the second time in seven years. In 2008, when then-Rep. Roger Wicker was appointed to the Senate, Democrats capitalized on a regional GOP split and captured the seat in a huge upset. In 2015, however, the circumstances are quite different and...

How time flies: 2015 marks the halfway point between the last Census (April 1, 2010) and the next one. A common private refrain among House Democrats is that the party won't really have a chance to regain the majority until the current "gerrymandered" lines drawn by the GOP in 2010 are somehow untangled in the next round of redistricting. But a very early look at the reapportionment and...

For both parties, the new year is a time to reflect and regroup. For Republicans and NRCC Chair Rep. Greg Walden, that means figuring out how to stay the course and preserve 2014 gains during a more challenging presidential cycle. For Democrats and new DCCC Chair Rep. Ben Ray Lujan, it's more about starting from scratch and bouncing back, even if the 30 seat gain needed for the majority looks...

The ink is barely dry on the results of this November's election, but it's not too early to start handicapping 2016. And while you can never say the word "impossible," Democrats' road back to a House majority doesn't look navigable today. After all, Democrats would need to net 30 GOP seats, but there are only 16 House Republicans who won by less than 10 percent in 2014 and only 25 sitting in...

David Wasserman, House Editor

The Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index (PVI)

The 2014 Partisan Voting Index

Since 1997, the Cook Political Report's Partisan Voting Index (PVI) has been the gold standard in measuring how each state and district performs at the presidential level relative to the nation as a whole. Click below for the breakdown of PVI for every House district in the 113th Congress.

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Accuracy

In an academic paper, Dr. James E. Campbell, Chairman of the Political Science Department at the State University of New York-Buffalo has analyzed The Cook Political Report's pre-Labor Day House ratings going back to the Report's founding in 1984.