The Fed's decision to cut interest rates again is likely
to send the dollar tumbling to historic new lows, leading one financial
analyst to predict that China's fury at the devaluation of its huge
dollar reserves will provoke them into giving the U.S. government a
terse ultimatum - let us invade Taiwan unopposed or we'll dump the dollar
and bring about economic chaos.

China holds $1.3 trillion of dollar denominated assets
and leading Communist Party officials have repeatedly threatened to
use what the
London Telegraph referred to as "the nuclear option,"
the liquidation of US treasuries if Washington imposes trade sanctions
to force a yuan revaluation, the result of which would be an almost
certain and immediate collapse of the dollar.

But according to Greg Zanetti of the Financial Network,
an advisor for the McDonalds franchise, China may also be using economic
threats as a means of greasing the skids for the unopposed invasion
of Taiwan.

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"So what is the end game?" writes
Zanetti. "Well, there is now conjecture that China may willingly
take the huge financial hit from the falling dollar… provided
we don’t interfere with their claims to Taiwan."

"Their argument would be they acquired Hong Kong peacefully
and that the envelopment of Taiwan would just be the finale of a 70
year civil war."

"Their gamble would be that Americans would not fall on their
swords for Taiwan. Of course, if we agree to such a deal we have (for
all intents and purposes) ceded regional hegemony to China. They would
be considered the Asian power and we would begin our retreat as a global
power."

Under the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act, the United States
is mandated to provide support to Taiwan in the event of any hostile
trade embargoes or military invasion on behalf of China.

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The fact that the U.S. government, with the help of Alan
Greenspan, have done their utmost to bring about a slow-paced economic
meltdown by
continually bad-mouthing the dollar suggests they would want to
avoid the rapid decline that would be triggered if the Chinese were
to dump their assets.

Though public sentiment in China and the majority of analysts
think a Chinese
invasion of Taiwan is unlikely, any warming of relations between
Taiwan and the U.S. is usually subject to vocal rebuke.

Earlier this year, Chinese
government leaders threatened to plan new war games and heighten
military readiness in anticipation of any attempt by the U.S. to defend
Taiwan should a Chinese invasion occur, or simply if Taiwan declares
its independence, after President Bush shook hands with Taiwan's representative
to the United States, Joseph Wu.

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