Invitations to Express Entry candidates with a provincial nomination on the riseBump in 2018 invitations reflects rising prominence of Canada's Provincial Nominee Program

Invitations issued to Express Entry candidates with a provincial nomination for permanent residence are up this year, according to new data from the Government of Canada.

Of the 62,500 Express Entry candidates invited to apply for Canadian permanent residence between January and September, 12 per cent — or roughly 7,500 — had a provincial nomination.

During this same period in 2017, Invitations to Apply (ITAs) issued to Express Entry candidates nominated by a Canadian province or territory stood at just over nine per cent of all invitations issued.

Canada’s Provincial Nominee Program (PNP) works to spread the benefits of immigration more evenly across Canada by allowing participating provinces and territories to nominate a set number of economic immigration candidates for permanent residence each year.

The rising number of candidates in the Express Entry pool with a provincial nomination and the 600 points that go with it may be partly responsible for the increase that we’ve seen in Express Entry minimum scores in 2018, which haven’t gone below 440.

If this trend continues, obtaining a provincial nomination may now be one of the best bets for receiving an ITA for Express Entry candidates with scores below 440.

PNP growing ‘exponentially’

The increase in ITAs issued to provincial nominees reflects the growing importance of the PNP to the federal government’s overall immigration strategy.

By 2021, these admissions are expected to reach 71,300 — an increase of nearly 30 per cent over 2018’s target of 55,000.

In its 2018 report to Parliament, IRCC noted that the PNP has grown “exponentially” since its implementation in 1996 — from 233 admissions in 1996 to 49,724 in 2017.

Of these nearly 50,000 new permanent residents admitted through the PNP in 2017, 13,531 were Express Entry candidates and their family members. IRCC said this was an increase of 73 per cent over Express Entry admissions in 2016.

Looking for more information on Canada’s Provincial Nominee Program? Use the interactive Canada PNP Finder to explore programs, filter your search, and keep up to date on all PNP-related news.

PNP reshaping settlement patterns in Canada

The PNP’s growth is also helping alter settlement patterns away from Canada’s largest cities, which have long attracted the vast majority of newcomers to Canada.

IRCC reported that 34 per cent of economic immigrants who arrived in Canada in 2017 were destined outside Ontario, British Columbia and Quebec — the provinces where Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal are located — compared to just 10 per cent in 1997.

A similar trend was identified in a new report by Statistics Canada, which also found that most economic immigrants remain where they first settle, be it a larger city or outside one.

“The initial location decision of [economic principal applicants, or EPAs] is a very strong predictor of their location years later,” the study said. “Indeed, only about 11 per cent of EPAs have moved to or out of [Montreal, Toronto or Vancouver] by 10 years of landing.”

“Express Entry candidates should really get to know Canada’s various provincial nominee programs, especially given their rising star status in Canada’s immigration strategy,” said David Cohen, senior partner with the Campbell Cohen Canadian immigration law firm in Montreal. “The allure of big cities like Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver shouldn’t obscure the great things that provinces like Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, Manitoba and Saskatchewan have to offer.”

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Doug Smithsays

December 13, 2018

As a senior I dont need a genius to help me stay at home. I doubt if express entry workers would want to do work in my house. Seniors need family experienced TFWs, not highly skilled and fully educated people. PSWs here are agency despatched. It doesn’t work in Ontario. It’s a revolving door. We have 5 different PSWs from two agencies and changing weekly. None if sick day is taken. What we need are live in TFWs and the right to hire. Let’s stay in our own homes. Ours is not for sale…Doug