Early analysis in the Kentucky US Senate race suggest that Republican candidate, and Tea Party favorite, Rand Paul is doing well in his race against Democrat Jack Conway. This is a key race for the GOP. Without Kentucky they have no hope of taking back the Senate. At this point, it looks like they'll meet this threshold, perhaps handily.

Democratic prospects to retaining the U.S. Senate may have improved, based on the findings of a poll in a key state: Kentucky. The latest Courier-Journal/WHAS11 Bluegrass Poll reports that an earlier +15% lead for Republican (and Tea Party favorite) Rand Paul has nearly evaporated. He now leads Democrat Jack Conway by +2%, 49% to 47% with 4% still undecided. Stay tuned to see if other polls replicate this result.

A new Braun Reseach poll in Kentucky reports that Democrat Jack Conway virtually tied with Republican Rand Paul in the U.S. Senate race. Conway leads Paul by a statistically insignificant margin, 41.7% to 41.2%.

A Braun Research poll in Kentucky reports that Republican candidate and Tea Party favorite Rand Paul now holds a double-digit lead over Democrat Jack Conway (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 41% to 31%. A large number of respondents remain undecided.

In a vital test of Tea Party strength, the U.S. Senate race in Kentucky now appears to be too-close-to-call. A just released Braun Research poll reports that Republican candidate and Tea Party favorite Rand Paul leads Democrat Jack Conway by a scant +3%, 41% to 38%.