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Tom

Posted 04 August 2018 - 12:11 PM

Tom

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LocationDes Plaines, IL

This is about as close to “dry heat” as you can get in late summer around here. The dry wx we have had of late is def aiding to keep DP’s very low. At ORD, the DP just dropped to 59F. To be quite honest, it actually does not feel that bad out there. Reminds me of the AZ climate.

CentralNebWeather

Posted 04 August 2018 - 05:07 PM

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LocationHoldrege, NE

This is about as close to “dry heat” as you can get in late summer around here. The dry wx we have had of late is def aiding to keep DP’s very low. At ORD, the DP just dropped to 59F. To be quite honest, it actually does not feel that bad out there. Reminds me of the AZ climate.

What is this dry heat you speak of. We are back to a 73 dew. All of this rain makes it hard to dry out around here, can't believe I am typing these words. More chances in the next couple of days. As I have said before there is a lot of disease in the grass and quite a bit of crab grass as the soil never really dries out. My yard has some grubs that were just treated, but the service that sprays my yard said it is a unique year with all of the moisture

Tom

Posted 05 August 2018 - 02:48 AM

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LocationDes Plaines, IL

ORD tied the hottest day of the year yesterday at 97F. Just like back on May 27th, low DP's allowed temps to soar. As long as DP's stay low, I don't mind the heat as much. Today should be another tolerable scorcher.

Iowawx

Posted 05 August 2018 - 04:37 AM

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LocationCedar Rapids, Iowa

I only got 0.03 inches from the first line. Was not expecting much given that storms were moving at 55mph. We may get a bit more rain soon with a line of moderate rain that is about 40 miles west of Cedar Rapids right now.

Hawkeye

Posted 05 August 2018 - 05:28 AM

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The line was all bark and no bite. There were two large cracks of thunder, but the line bubbled right past me. I only picked up a few hundredths. It has been a pretty unlucky summer. Hopefully, this line pushing so much farther through Iowa than models suggested will help bring tonight's storms farther south. If we miss the stuff tonight into Monday morning, it is really going to get dry here.

Hawkeye

Posted 05 August 2018 - 09:02 AM

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LocationCedar Rapids, IA

The storm complexes in Iowa are not dropping rain here, but they are pushing much farther east and south than models predicted(the HRRR still doesn't see it). The result is a cooler-and-cloudier-than-expected day, with the temp now back down to the upper 70s. It might be tough to hit the expected 91.

Hawkeye

Posted 05 August 2018 - 01:33 PM

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LocationCedar Rapids, IA

The CAMs have been terrible today. There have been three storm clusters moving through the hw20 corridor in Iowa today, and the 3k nam and HRRR have not seen any of it. Even the latest HRRR has nothing in the Waterloo area where there are currently strong storms.

Marshall actually had a good period of several showers last week, so holding our own here with mostly green lawn again. Monday evening/night holds promise as well. Looked like yby in Macomb also did ok last week?

jaster220

Posted 05 August 2018 - 04:14 PM

jaster220

St. Joseph Lighthouse January 2014

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LocationKRMY (Marshall, MI) KJXN (work)

ORD tied the hottest day of the year yesterday at 97F. Just like back on May 27th, low DP's allowed temps to soar. As long as DP's stay low, I don't mind the heat as much. Today should be another tolerable scorcher.

Looking forward to a couple days of storms tomorrow and Tuesday.

Temps have not dropped much over here. Currently 78F/65F

Ended up I was at ORD yesterday afternoon in the hottest of it, and yeah it was scorching but the lower DP's sure made it a LOT (play on words) more bearable. Even went down to the Loop about 6-10 pm and it was easy to be comfortable once the sun went hiding. Popping in and out of the shop's a/c helped too ofc.

OKwx2k4

Posted 05 August 2018 - 04:21 PM

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Not looking really incredible or interesting here the next few days. Typical August really. High for the week looks like tomorrow for me before storms Tuesday. Need a cold rally for August's close to have a shot at hitting the negative anomalies I expected this month. I'm admittedly behind the 8 ball on that call at this point. I'm interested to see where model trends go over the next few (3-5) days. Admittedly interesting to see a continental humid ridge with the characteristics of the one forecast.

Iowawx

Posted 05 August 2018 - 04:21 PM

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Sometimes, I feel like there is a brick wall or a dome that prevents storms from reaching Cedar Rapids. We just have trouble getting anything here. It always falls apart or stays away. Lots of boring weather here.

Hawkeye

Posted 05 August 2018 - 04:34 PM

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Sometimes, I feel like there is a brick wall or a dome that prevents storms from reaching Cedar Rapids. We just have trouble getting anything here. It always falls apart or stays away. Lots of boring weather here.

We just can't seem to catch a break lately... especially this side of the city. I was hoping storms would sink far enough south to get us something decent tonight, but now there's a heavy cell missing south, while more storms blow up well north where they've already had three rounds today.

Iowawx

Posted 05 August 2018 - 04:41 PM

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We just can't seem to catch a break lately... especially this side of the city. I was hoping storms would sink far enough south to get us something decent tonight, but now there's a heavy cell missing south, while more storms blow up well north where they've already had three rounds today.

HRRR seems to suggest that storms will reform over Iowa tonight, and maybe those storms by Waterloo could develop south. Main cold front passage tomorrow also may help.

But the rain situation could be worse I guess, this time last year, we started to get into a drought around here, and that hasn't happened here yet.

westMJim

Posted 05 August 2018 - 05:55 PM

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LocationGrand Rapids, mi

One thing that has stood out to me so far this summer is the lack of thunderstorms. I do not keep track of the number because my bedroom has dark out curtains as I used to work 3rd shift and could miss many flashes of lighting overnight. But during other times of the day there have not been very many here at my house. Now for some official number of thunderstorms in west central lower Michigan. With some question as to the number GRR has reported a total of 13 with 4 each in July and June. A reported 7 in May 1 in April and 1 in January. At Lansing a number that closer would resemble the number here at my house the total so far in 2018 is 7 with 3 in July 0 in June 2 in May 1 in April and 1 in January. Any way one looks at it there have not been very many thunderstorms in west Michigan so far this year.

Tom

Posted 06 August 2018 - 02:09 AM

Tom

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LocationDes Plaines, IL

Finally! The heavens have opened up and I just got a heavy shower. If the models are right, a line of strong/severe storms should fire up later this afternoon. I hope it doesn't miss us to the E/SE though, which is a real possibility.

Meantime, Cedar Rapids looks like they are finally scoring on a nice line of storms this morning.

Iowawx

Posted 06 August 2018 - 02:21 AM

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LocationCedar Rapids, Iowa

Finally! The heavens have opened up and I just got a heavy shower. If the models are right, a line of strong/severe storms should fire up later this afternoon. I hope it doesn't miss us to the E/SE though, which is a real possibility.

Meantime, Cedar Rapids looks like they are finally scoring on a nice line of storms this morning.

Yes we are. the rain has been coming down since about 4:55, and it should last for at least a few hours. There has been a lot of lightning and some very loud thunder.

Tom

Posted 06 August 2018 - 03:52 AM

Tom

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LocationDes Plaines, IL

Over the last week, the models have been having a devil of a time trying to figure out the pattern across the N PAC and N.A. for this upcoming week. It first started off by missing the "inside" slider in the NE PAC which ended up tracking off the NW NAMER coast that allowed the models to correct somewhat cooler from the blow torch runs the Euro had been showing. This week, is about as ideal as one can ask for across the MW/GL's region for early August. Not to hot, not to cool, with plentiful sunshine after we get through the next couple days.

The latest trends in the modeling is suggesting that an upper level trough gets cut-off across the MW/OV during the Fri-Mon period. Now, what happens the Week of the 12th has been on my calendar for some time. Models have been back and forth but I'm going to stick with my original thoughts that the impacts of the warm waters in the NE PAC, as well as, the development of the Bearing Sea trough later this week will be crucial in predicting the longer range pattern for the second half of the month.

It's hard not to get excited, but I think these are tell-tale signs for what we should be preparing for as we head towards the opening month of met Autumn. The latest 00z Euro run is starting to come onto the idea that the seasons first power house Bearing Sea storm is to form late this weekend. Coincidentally, it is forecast to blow up during the Week of the 12th, in fact, on the 12th!

00z Euro...

00z GFS...

The aforementioned N PAC pattern, alongside the development of the blossoming NE PAC HP during this period, leads me to believe that the second half of the month will feature some strong autumn-like storm systems targeting the N Rockies early the following week which will eject out into the N Plains. IMO, this will result in a series of transient, strong troughs to swing through our sub forum during the Week 1-2 period sparking more chances of severe weather. Some big swings in temps across the central CONUS are in the cards as the atmosphere gears up for Autumn.

Just throwing this out there, but I like the idea of a big wound up system to close out Aug or open up Sept somewhere across the Plains into the Upper MW. This should deliver a very autumn like pattern across our sub. Have a great Monday!

Iowawx

Posted 06 August 2018 - 04:03 AM

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LocationCedar Rapids, Iowa

So far, 2.07 inches of rain has fallen in Cedar Rapids. Moderate rain is still coming down now. The storms this morning were so intense, that 7,000 people in Cedar Rapids lost power early this morning.

Niko

Posted 06 August 2018 - 05:07 AM

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LocationMacomb, MI

Marshall actually had a good period of several showers last week, so holding our own here with mostly green lawn again. Monday evening/night holds promise as well. Looked like yby in Macomb also did ok last week?

Thats great, finally some rainfall for ya buddy.

Not sure how much rain fell here in Macomb. I was in nyc. Came back on Friday. Hopefully today plays catch up w this needed rainfall.

jaster220

Posted 06 August 2018 - 05:32 AM

jaster220

St. Joseph Lighthouse January 2014

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LocationKRMY (Marshall, MI) KJXN (work)

One thing that has stood out to me so far this summer is the lack of thunderstorms. I do not keep track of the number because my bedroom has dark out curtains as I used to work 3rd shift and could miss many flashes of lighting overnight. But during other times of the day there have not been very many here at my house. Now for some official number of thunderstorms in west central lower Michigan. With some question as to the number GRR has reported a total of 13 with 4 each in July and June. A reported 7 in May 1 in April and 1 in January. At Lansing a number that closer would resemble the number here at my house the total so far in 2018 is 7 with 3 in July 0 in June 2 in May 1 in April and 1 in January. Any way one looks at it there have not been very many thunderstorms in west Michigan so far this year.

Finally! The heavens have opened up and I just got a heavy shower. If the models are right, a line of strong/severe storms should fire up later this afternoon. I hope it doesn't miss us to the E/SE though, which is a real possibility.

Meantime, Cedar Rapids looks like they are finally scoring on a nice line of storms this morning.

Looks like severe weather possible today. Lets see how that plays out. Hopefully, some water from MA Nature.

Hawkeye

Posted 06 August 2018 - 06:53 AM

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I picked up a nice 1.23" of rain overnight. Of course, like nearly every other rain event this summer, my side of town got the least while the north side got the most. One of my favorite experiences in life is lightning, thunder, and heavy rain pounding the roof in the middle of the night while I lie in bed.

westMJim

Posted 06 August 2018 - 07:38 AM

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LocationGrand Rapids, mi

Just checked the rain gauge and here at my house so far only 0.36" of rain has fallen. So while better than no rain still not a whole lot yet. The rain has now stopped here and it is cloudy with a current temperature of 72.

james1976

Yeah we got pounded! I had a busy weekend but was able to check the rain gauge. I had 0.70" fri-sat and 3.60" yesterday and into this morning. Weekend total of 4.30". Lost power for a bit last night. Loud boomers and a lot of lightning and wind. Some small tree limbs came down.

LNK_Weather

Posted 06 August 2018 - 01:42 PM

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LocationLincoln, NE (The Shaft City)

Getting barely missed by storms yet again. Another day another dollar. The weather repelling effect of Southeast Lincoln continues. Grass is brown here so we need the rain that the North side is getting. 83.7*F.

Looks like there is a pretty nasty thunderstorm that is severe warned for ping pong ball sized hail heading right towards you in Lincoln. That particular storm was even tornado warned for a bit earlier this evening as it was passing just northeast of Grand Island.

LNK_Weather

Posted 06 August 2018 - 05:46 PM

LNK_Weather

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LocationLincoln, NE (The Shaft City)

Looks like there is a pretty nasty thunderstorm that is severe warned for ping pong ball sized hail heading right towards you in Lincoln. That particular storm was even tornado warned for a bit earlier this evening as it was passing just northeast of Grand Island.

OAX is awful. Golf ball sized hail was JUST reported and yet they issued an SPS for "nickel sized hail" for here. Radar is showing a pretty mean hail core still.

But of course the core is moving away from us. Can't get nothing in SE Lincoln.

EDIT: Okay I criticized OAX too soon. The storm did weaken soon after they didn't continue the warning. Don't know how they managed to catch it before it weakened but good on them.