Of course its a big part of the reason I'm so successful every season. My expert NFL knowledge + objective computer program = $$$

Are you a statistician or something? I remember reading about Bob Voulgaris and his computer system for the NBA and it is insanely complex. He basically just paid an MIT style dude to work with him and write the code for him.

If you bet all the money lines this year placing ten dollars on each game:

Favorites - Profit 58.75 (a 5.875 percent return on investment)

Underdogs - Lose 191

Home Dogs - Lose 31.75

Pretty interesting.

this info would be good to have for every year...5% return over a few months is good, if that is the norm for every year though you would think many would be exploiting it.

I have always suspected that if you bet an even amount for every UNDERDOG on just GAME ONE that you will average a profit every year, because the first game of the season is always the hardest to predict, so taking the side with the higher pay out would go in your favor.

Dallas is actually a 2.5 underdog to the Giants and that spread is VERY skewed

it is overblown because NY has won 4 straight and Dallas go blown out to the Saints...BUT IT'S THE FCKIN SAINTS...Brees does that

let's look at the QBs the Giants have faced on their current win streak:

1. Vikings - Josh Freeman, who had the worst game I have ever witnessed from a QB

2. Eagles - Matt Barkley, yeah...Matt fckin Barkley

3. Raiders - Terrelle Pryor, who has now been benched

4. Packers - Scott Tolzien, who was on the practice squad 2 weeks ago

it's another mirage...Cowboys did just lose Sean Lee, but they should still be favorites here...you should advantage of this spread, it is pretty badly skewed

It's essentially Dallas as a slight favorite -1/2 with the Giants getting the three home field points. Vegas doesn't look at the Cowboys and say "i must pick the cowboys" when they make spreads like you do.

It's essentially Dallas as a slight favorite -1/2 with the Giants getting the three home field points. Vegas doesn't look at the Cowboys and say "i must pick the cowboys" when they make spreads like you do.

The spread is created by the gamblers..."Vegas" just adjusts the spread to try to get 50/50 split of the money on both sides of the bet.

Essentially, the "spread" is just what the general public thinks, and is created by the gamblers

I was correct when I said the exact same thing about the Philly game, and I will be correct here as well...but of course you just think it is me being a "homer" and not a case of me just knowing both teams very well.