Dunn has tremendous power for sure and he will easily hit 40 home runs barring injury. However, unless he makes some serious adjustments, he will never be more than an all or nothing hitter who will flirt with 200K every year.

His K/BB actually got worse in the last 3 years. BB% remained the same and he didn't make any more contact in 04 than the previous two full seasons. In fact, his contact rate progressively got worse: 68, 67, 66 (MLB average is 82). He used to have pretty speed but there is no evidence that he will start running again. His H% is right around 32 which is average. If he made more contact, then he could dramatically improve his BA but there is no evidence that he will in 05.

So now at age 26, coming off a monster year in terms of power, it is hard for me to imagine that he will automatically improve. I simply do not understand the love afair with a guy who Ks every 3 times he comes to the plate. Pitchers can get this guy out. He is simply not a good hitter.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." ~George Carlin