Charles Town has Saturday Mandatory Pick 6 Payout, $252,508 Carryover

by Dustin Fabian

December 29, 2018

It’s mandatory payout time at Charles Town as they’ve announced that their Rainbow 6 wager is in ‘everything must go’ mode on Saturday, December 29. This is a sequence I’ve personally been chasing for the last few months, so hopefully I’ll get lucky and hit big on payout day!

The carryover into Saturday’s card is $252,508 and racing gets underway from Charles Town at 7:00PM ET. The Pick 6 starts with Race 3, at 7:57PM ET, and includes six solid races, including a strong allowance and three races for West Virginia-bred maidens.

As always, the toughest part of these sequences is deciding which races to single and which races to go deep in. I think I’ve found a solid mix of the two in my recommended ticket. Here it is:

Race 3 – Maiden Claiming

These state-bred maiden claiming races are incredibly difficult to handicap as most of the entrants hate to win races. #2 WHY NOT ANNIE (3/1) is always well backed, but she’s 0-for-19. #4 ACROSS AMERICA (2/1) is ‘only’ 0-for-10, but she hasn’t raced in a year. #3 MS BEAR (9/2) ran OK in her debut at this level and she should move forward from that. #7 LIL SWEETHEART appears best in dashes like this and I’m glad she’s outside drawn. May want to include #1 CORKY COWGIRL (12/1) simply because she’s a first time starter and it wouldn’t take a worldbeater to win this.

Jeff Runco is the top trainer and he sends out #5 CHERUBIM here for his second start off the layoff. He usually runs well at Charles Town and is 2-for-4 racing at this level. He’s very dangerous for owner Rockingham Ranch and their famous turquoise silks. The only other horse that would have a prayer is #6 TO THE STARS. He romped in a muddy track race here on November 17 but he’d need an easy lead and I don’t see him getting one unless there are a few scratches.

Pick 6 Horse(s): #5 Cherubim

Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight

Hard to take the 2/1 ML price offered on #6 POSEIDON’S BLUFF (2/1) as he’s 0-for-11 at Charles Town, racing primarily in this type of race. She’s been better of late, but there just isn’t much to like on her resume. And if it rains, look out. She’s worse on an off track. #7 GATTOLOTTACHARM (3/1) is always in the picture and she seems to have slightly better credentials than POSEIDON’S BLUFF, but she’s 0-for-13 locally and, again, it’s tough to trust a horse like this. #5 GORGEOUS ROAD hasn’t quite been able to keep up in shorter races and this could be the perfect spot for her as she stretches around two turns.

They’re dashing 4 1/2-furlongs in the sixth and that means we need to ticket horses that are quick early. #2 MANINTHEMOON (2/1) is a bad price and he was just beaten in a tougher race, but this field isn’t as solid. #6 FOR THE LOVE (5/2) and #7 LIGHTS ON (9/2) drew better and will be able to pressure him throughout, so let’s go deeper than the 2/1 favorite and try to get a $10 horse home.

Pick 6 Horse(s): #2 Maninthemoon, #6 For the Love, #7 Lights On

Race 7 – Allowance

You’ve almost always got to find a single or two in these wagers and my second single is #8 DARK EMPRESS (7/5). She is simply much better than this field and should win for fun. She beat a similar field in her last race by 4-lengths at even-money.

Pick 6 Horse(s): #8 Dark Empress

Race 8 – Maiden Claiming

The nightcap/get out leg is a maiden claiming race loaded with fillies and mares that are absolutely allergic to winning. #3 HELEN’S PITCH (9/5) is the ML favorite but she’s never hit the board in three races and wasn’t overly impressive last time out. #7 GOT ANY QUESTIONS (4/1) is the lone first-time-starter in the field and she wouldn’t have to be much of a runner to beat these. I’ll (almost surely) regret paying to add #5 NIK NIK’S CASTLE (7/2) to my ticket. She’s 0-for-34 in her career but this field is just so mediocre that it’s not impossible to think #35 would be the lucky one. I’ll toss in some others because this field is so weak, but those are my big three.

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2.7.2019

Last weekend was Santa Anita’s time to shine (weather notwithstanding) as they featured a monster Saturday card showcasing top older horses like McKinzie and Battle of Midway, stellar sophomores in the form of Mucho Gusto and Gunmetal Gray and a massive Pick 6 Mandatory Payout that captivated bettors from around the world. This Saturday is Florida’s moment in the (hopefully literal) sun. Saturday’s action at Gulfstream is headlined by a potentially massive Rainbow 6 Mandatory Payout. The carryover into Thursday’s race was $1,342,034 and if that goes unclaimed before Saturday everything will be paid out then. Plus, Saturday’s Gulfstream card features a pair of stakes – the Grade 3 Suwannee River and the ungraded El Prado. First post is 12:00PM ET and the Pick 6 starts with Race 7 at 3:07PM ET.Not to be outdone or overlooked, the folks at Tampa Bay Downs have also put together a fine card Saturday, featuring four stakes races, headlined by the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes, a key prep race on the path to the Kentucky Derby.
My Gulfstream Pick 6 Mandatory Payout Ticket
Here's a quick rundown of the horses I'm using on my ticket for Gulfstream's Mandatory Payout Rainbow 6 on Saturday.
Race 7 – Maiden Claiming
#4 Valid Exchange (9/5) – Ran well against tougher in a pair of turf sprints but dropped like an anchor in the lone dirt try.
#5 Drill Down Dude (8/1) – Firster debuts for a solid barn and has Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. He should be able to run a little.
#11 In Gus We Trust (12/1) – Gets top local jock Luis Saez and will try to run them all down late. Daunting task and he’ll need some help up front.
Race 8 - Claiming
#2 Reagan’s Odyssey (8/5) – Rates the likeliest winner but she has dropped five straight at short odds. Positive barn switch is a help.
#9 Dynatown (5/2) – Was beaten just a neck last time and drops in class and gets Johnny V. Have to think she’ll be ready to roll and is a nice alternative to the fave.
Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight
#1 Miahsolomiah (12/1) – Ran a decent race in her debut and moves from Irad Ortiz Jr. to Luis Saez for her first route try. Drew perfectly and would not be a surprise.
#3 On the Town (6/1) – Finally gets to string together back-to-back races and that could make a big difference for this well-bred daughter of More Than Ready.
#4 Clause (4/1) – Chad Brown/Irad Ortiz Jr. on the turf. We’ve heard this story before. Note that Ortiz gets off the 1 and 3 to ride this one for his go-to-trainer.
#9 Can’t Buy Me Love (7/2) – Came running in a similar race on January 12 and should fire another big shot today.
Race 10 - Allowance
#3 Global Campaign (7/5) – Was a poorly-kept secret in his debut at January 5, going off at even-money and romping by nearly 6. This is a logical ‘next step.’
#5 Standard Deviation (9/5) – Plenty of speed to his inside and he’ll try to gun ‘em down late. Steps out of a pair of G1s and he ran a lot better than it looks in the Breeders’ Futurity.
Race 11 - El Prado Stakes
#5 Mr Cub (9/2) – Fired a huge shot when second behind eventual Pegasus World Cup Turf winner Bricks and Mortar on December 22. If he does that again, he wins.
#8 Hembree (7/2) – Mike Maker-charge won a G2 last year but hasn’t routed in a while. He’ll need the pace to come back to him, but that’s possible.
#11 Cowboy Culture (20/1) – Why not? He won stakes races in his old barn and came running late to score in his first start for Norm Casse. He may want more ground.
#12 Uncle B (15/1) – Has won 5-of-12 at Gulfstream and is in the best form of his career. Anything is possible.
Race 12 - Maiden Special Weight
#1 Café Americano (3/1) – Too nervous to single in this spot but she looks like the real deal. Chad Brown, Irad Oritz Jr., Peter Brant, Medaglia d’Oro…checks all the boxes.
#11 Lady Worthington (7/2) – Ran huge in her debut but faltered in the second start on December 22. Gets a jock change to Johnny Velazquez and she’s been working lights out.
Total Ticket Cost = $57.60
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11.2.2018

Breeders’ Cup hangover? Not this year! Santa Anita’s Closing Day care on Sunday, November 4 is loaded with great races and exciting betting opportunities. None is better than the Rainbow 6 Mandatory Payout, however. The carryover there, into Friday’s races, is $992,979 and if nobody claims the pool on Friday or Saturday, we’re looking at a multi-million dollar pool on Sunday.Here’s my stab at the sequence, which starts with Race 5 at 4:00PM ET. Race 5 – $30K Maiden Claiming – 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt (2YO)VIOLENT BEHAVIOR (6/1) takes the big drop in class from MSW to Maiden Claiming and that’s a huge angle. The son of Violence didn’t do much running at that level, but he’ll wake up when the others aren’t running away from him. IRISH POLO (6/1) isn’t necessarily bred to be a crack sprinter – by Drosselmeyer out of a A.P. Indy mare – but Peter Miller does great with first time starters and this one makes a lot of sense. MAYAN WARRIOR (3/1) takes a class drop from a slightly higher level and is running decent races. I’d like to see more stretch punch, though. I’ll try to get by with those three. Race 6 - $50K Claiming – 6 1/2 Furlongs Downhill Turf (3YO+)TIZ A BILLY (5/2) put forth a monster performance last out on the downhill course, winning by 7 1/2-lengths in a race that was just 0.6 seconds off the track record. That said, that effort was so big he may bounce and it’s also a little concerning he’s still offered for a tag (albeit a bigger one) despite that huge performance. PERFECTLY MAJESTIC (3/1) is the best of the closers. He doesn’t love to win races (he’s winless in 14 starts since November 2016) but he’s always in the hunt. CASTLE (8/1) had a tough go of it in his last. He broke through the gate early and that’s never a plus. HITTERS PARK (8/1) should get a nice trip stalking the pace. Race 7 - $20K Maiden Claiming – 6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt (3YO+)There isn’t a ton of talent in this field, but the first horse that jumps off the page is FOR THE HUSTLE (7/2), who has finished second or third in 4-of-7 starts and they’ll probably have him to catch. He’s been beaten three times at this level, but he always tries. PASTORELLI (4/1) drops in class from a tougher race at Del Mar and Joel Rosario gets aboard. Very logical horse. CONVERSATE (6/1) should move forward off a decent debut at this level on October 8 and FLYNN (10/1) is always well backed. The jockey change on BARTLETT HALL (6/1) may wake him up and EMOTIONAL RIDE (6/1) looks like the best of the debut horses. Race 8 - $200K Twilight Derby (G2) – 1 1/8 Miles Turf (3YO)I think RIVER BOYNE (5/2) is the best single in the sequence and is the horse I’m going to make the keystone of my bet. He’s a perfect 4-for-4 at Santa Anita and ran a strong race in defeat in the G2 Del Mar Derby last out. Maybe he moved to the lead a little soon that day, but I trust Flavien Prat to give him a top ride on Sunday. Race 9 - $40K Optional Claiming – 1 Mile Dirt (3YO+)This is a field of horses that you love to hate. They all do one thing consistently and that’s refuse to win. JUNGLE WARFARE (6/1) is too talented to be 1-for-12 in his career, but that’s exactly what he is. The last time he went around two turns on dirt he won, so that’s a plus. PLEASANT D’ORO (6/1) enters this off a dominant maiden win while SURFING STAR (7/2) looks like a very nice horse. LORD GUINNESS (4/1) will take plenty of cash, too.Race 10 – Maiden Special Weight – 1 Mile Turf (2YO)The nightcap features a lackluster field of 2YO maidens and those that have started to not inspire confidence. I’m putting a ton of stock into NORTHWESTERN (6/1), a first-time starter for Glen Hill Farm, Tom Proctor and Gary Stevens. This colt is well bred, by Medaglia d’Oro and out of a stakes-winning daughter of Storm Cat. A half-brother, Young and Hungry, was briefly good on the lawn at Santa Anita, breaking his maiden on the downhill course in 2015. Of those who have started, NEPTUNE’S STORM (4/1) looks like the likeliest. He was gelded after his last start and exits a race that was probably better than it looked. My TicketRace 5: 1, 3, 8Race 6: 1, 3, 5, 10Race 7: 1, 7, 8, 9, 11, 14Race 8: 8Race 9: 2, 3, 4, 6Race 10: 2, 10 Ticket Cost: $115.20