DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED APPROXIMATELY FIVE MILES WEST OF RALEIGH.

&&

$$

SW

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LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED TWO TREES DOWN IN HAZLEHURST...ONE DOWN ON LATIMER STREET AND ONE DOWN ON SYCAMORE STREET.

&&

$$

SHULER

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SEVERAL TREES DOWN INCLUDING DOWNED LIVE POWER LINE ALONG PARKERSBURG RD.

&&

$$

JPC

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THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 149 ISSUED AT 1020 AM EDT FOR PORTIONS OF

ALABAMA FLORIDA GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS

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TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WINDGUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESEAREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTEMILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OFTALLAHASSEE FLORIDA TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF ST AUGUSTINEFLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THEASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FORTORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCHAREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FORTHREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTSAND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADOWATCH NUMBER 150. WATCH NUMBER 150 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER655 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 151...WW 152...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRAIN ALONG ASLOW-MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS N FL THROUGH TONIGHT. THOUGHLOW-LEVEL SHEAR MAY TEMPORARILY WEAKEN THIS EVENING...AN ADDITIONALINCREASE IN LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW COULD ACCOMPANY THE LARGE MCS ANDASSOCIATED SUBTROPICAL SPEED MAX OVER THE NE GULF. DAMAGINGWINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAINTHREATS. A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH ROTATING STORMSRIDING ALONG THE BOUNDARY...AND WHERE INLAND DISCRETE STORMSINTERACT WITH THE REMNANT E COAST SEA BREEZE THIS EVENING ACROSS NEFL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAILSURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACEWIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.

...THOMPSON

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PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND WITH A FEW OF THE HAIL STONES AS LARGE AS PENNY SIZE.

&&

$$

WOODRUM

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LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 2 TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN THE WINOKUR AREA OFF HIGHWAY 301.

&&

$$

SHULER

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A PUBLIC REPORT OF PENNY SIZE HAIL AND DEBRIS ON THE HIGHWAY ALONG INTERSTATE 95 SOUTHBOUND.

&&

$$

PKEEGAN

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LAW ENFORECEMENT REPORTED WATERSPOUT SOUTH OF U.S. 98 BRIDGE. QUICKLY DISSIPATED.

&&

$$

WATSON

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A CONVECTIVELY GENERATED SURFACE BOUNDARY IS ADVANCING WITH AVIGOROUS STORM CLUSTER OFF THE GEORGIA COAST AT THE PRESENT TIME. THIS BOUNDARY TRAILS TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST...THROUGH THE FLORIDA BIGBEND REGION...WHERE IT IS QUASI-STATIONARY OR ONLY SLOWLY ADVANCINGSOUTHEASTWARD IN THE WAKE OF A WAKE SUBTROPICAL IMPULSE WHICHAPPEARS TO HAVE MIGRATED INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA INTOGEORGIA. WHILE IT APPEARS THAT THERE COULD BECOME A RELATIVE LULLIN SEVERE POTENTIAL EARLY THIS EVENING...AN UPSTREAM IMPULSESHIFTING SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TOWARD NORTHERN FLORIDACOULD CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASING RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS ...PERHAPSISOLATED TORNADOES...ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA BETWEENTALLAHASSEE AND GAINESVILLE BY 02-03Z. WESTERLY LOWER/MIDTROPOSPHERIC FLOW IS PROGGED TO STRENGTHEN WITH THE APPROACH OF THISFEATURE...WHICH MAY ACCELERATE AHEAD OF A STRONGER POLAR SHORT WAVETROUGH PIVOTING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AND...ASSOCIATED FORCING...COUPLED WITH A MOIST INFLOW CHARACTERIZEDBY 70F SURFACE DEW POINTS...MAY SUPPORT INTENSIFICATION OF ANONGOING STORM CLUSTER OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AS ITPROGRESSES TOWARD NORTHERN FLORIDA. OTHERWISE...THE SLOW MOVINGOUTFLOW BOUNDARY/CONFLUENCE ZONE DOWNSTREAM OF THIS CLUSTER WILLREMAIN A FOCUS FOR POTENTIALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS NORTHERNFLORIDA INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

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TWO 18 TO 24 INCH DIAMETER TREES UPROOTED AT CEMETARY ON BRONOUGH ST NEAR GOVERNOR MANSION.

&&

$$

JAMSKI

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PUBLIC REPORT OF HEAVY DEBRIS AND 1-2 INCHES OF WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 17.

&&

$$

PKEEGAN

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SEVERAL ROADS WASHED OUT AND HIGHWAY 29 WAS UNDERMINED AND REMAINS CLOSED DUE TO LAST NIGHTS HEAVY RAINFALL. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

&&

$$

SW

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HAIL RANGING IN SIZE FROM MARBLE TO HALF DOLLARS WAS FALLING IN THE CAMP PINKNEY COMMUNITY.

&&

$$

MTRABERT

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THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED ASEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

A SMALL PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA SOUTHERN INTO EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 420 PM UNTIL 800PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTHNORTHEAST OF PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OFBATON ROUGE LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEETHE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS AREFAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCHAREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FORTHREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTSAND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLYDO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 150...WW 151...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING NEAR A NNE-SSW OUTFLOWBOUNDARY EMANATING FROM THE LARGE MCS OVER THE NRN GULF OFMEXICO...AND A WEAK COLD FRONT IS ALSO APPROACHING THIS AREA FROMTHE W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE MID LEVEL TROUGH JUST W OF THE MSRIVER. A CORRIDOR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG VERTICAL SPEEDSHEAR WILL SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED STORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLSCAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH ABOUT SUNSET.

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PUBLIC REPORT OF LARGE TREE LIMBS OF 12 INCHES IN DIAMETER DOWN FROM WIND. DAMAGE MAY HAVE BEEN A RESULT OF A TORNADO.

&&

$$

MTE

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MULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 251. THIS MAY HAVE BEEN DUE TO A TORNDADO.

&&

$$

MTE

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NORTHBOUND LANE OF BLAIRSTONE RD NORTH OF ORANGE AVE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

$$

DUGGAN

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SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS SMITH BERRY ROAD NEAR HIGHWAY 301 AND STATE ROAD 196 NEAR DONALD.

&&

$$

MTE

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BOTH LANES OF MICCOSUKEE RD AT CAPITAL CIR NE IMPASSIBLE WITH SIX TO EIGHT INCHES OVER ROAD.

&&

$$

DUGGAN

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POSSIBLE TORNADO. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES DOWN ACROSS CALHOUN COUNTY ALONG STATE ROAD 20 AND NORTHWEST OF BLOUNTSTOWN. NO STRUCTURAL DAMAGE REPORTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

$$

GODSEY

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SOUTHBOUND LANES OF FRANKLIN ST FLOODED. VEHICLE WAS DISABLED WITH WATER INSIDE. DRIVER WAS RESCUED BY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE.

&&

$$

DUGGAN

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