The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Power Rating

Estimate

Edge

NC STATE

VIRGINIA

-3

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends

Against the spread

Over/Under

Straight Up

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

W-L

W-L

O-U

O-U

O-U

W-L

W-L

W-L

in all games

10-7

38-36

217-217

7-6

39-31

174-160

16-4

55-33

300-212

in all lined games

10-7

38-36

217-217

7-6

39-31

174-160

14-4

45-33

236-212

when the total is 120 to 129.5

0-0

1-3

8-11

0-0

3-1

11-8

0-0

1-3

6-13

as an underdog

2-1

15-20

107-105

2-1

20-14

95-78

1-2

7-28

61-154

as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick

1-0

3-1

12-10

0-1

2-2

9-4

0-1

2-2

11-11

in road games

1-3

11-12

76-80

2-1

11-11

63-52

1-3

7-16

51-108

in road lined games

1-3

11-12

76-80

2-1

11-11

63-52

1-3

7-16

51-108

in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5

0-0

0-2

3-4

0-0

2-0

5-2

0-0

0-2

2-5

against conference opponents

4-3

17-23

138-134

3-2

22-18

114-99

5-2

21-22

124-156

in January games

4-3

9-13

55-65

3-2

11-10

54-38

5-2

14-10

64-66

on Tuesday nights

1-2

2-6

19-30

2-1

4-4

13-21

2-2

4-6

35-26

after a conference game

4-2

17-21

139-128

2-2

20-18

111-100

4-2

20-22

132-147

off a win against a conference rival

3-1

12-8

62-58

1-1

9-8

52-42

2-2

10-10

47-76

after allowing 80 points or more

1-1

8-4

34-39

2-0

7-6

32-29

1-1

7-7

42-40

after scoring 80 points or more

6-5

14-9

53-58

6-4

10-10

46-38

9-3

20-6

74-57

when playing against a team with a winning record

9-6

28-28

176-171

7-5

30-23

144-132

12-4

30-31

174-193

when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games

when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games

2-0

15-11

85-100

0-0

12-13

72-79

2-0

12-15

70-120

versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games

0-0

4-3

45-45

0-0

2-5

35-37

0-0

1-6

24-68

versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game

1-0

8-5

65-69

0-1

3-10

50-57

1-0

4-9

45-94

Team Statistics

Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

NC STATE - Current Season Performance

Straight Up

Against Spread

Team

Opponent

W-L

Units

W-L

O-U

Score

Half

FG Pct

Reb.

Score

Half

FG Pct

Reb.

All Games

16-4

-1.1

10-7

7-6

79.7

38.0

50.9%

37.1

70.2

32.1

40.9%

35.0

Road Games

4-4

-7.1

3-4

3-4

71.9

33.9

46.6%

37.0

70.1

31.9

41.1%

36.6

Last 5 Games

3-2

-1.6

3-2

2-2

75.0

36.6

45.1%

39.4

71.6

29.6

43.3%

37.0

Conference Games

5-2

+0.4

4-3

3-2

76.6

35.6

46.2%

38.9

71.6

30.6

42.0%

36.1

NC STATE Team Statistics

Shooting

3pt Shooting

Free Throws

Rebounding

PPG

Half

FGM-A

Pct

FGM-A

PCT

FTM-A

Pct

Tot

Off

Ast

PF

Stl

TO

Bk

Team Stats (All Games)

79.7

38.0

29-57

50.9%

5-13

40.0%

16-24

67.6%

37

10

15

15

6

12

5

vs opponents surrendering

65.8

30.4

23-56

41.6%

6-18

33.6%

13-19

68.9%

34

9

12

18

6

14

4

Team Stats (Road Games)

71.9

33.9

27-58

46.6%

5-13

36.9%

13-21

60.5%

37

11

13

17

6

12

3

Stats Against (All Games)

70.2

32.1

26-64

40.9%

6-20

29.6%

12-17

72.5%

35

12

11

19

6

12

3

vs opponents averaging

69.8

32.6

25-57

43.6%

6-18

33.7%

14-20

69.5%

36

10

13

17

7

13

4

Stats Against (Road Games)

70.1

31.9

24-59

41.1%

6-20

31.5%

15-21

71.4%

37

11

11

17

6

12

4

VIRGINIA - Current Season Performance

Straight Up

Against Spread

Team

Opponent

W-L

Units

W-L

O-U

Score

Half

FG Pct

Reb.

Score

Half

FG Pct

Reb.

All Games

14-5

+6.1

11-5

1-2

62.8

29.1

45.9%

32.8

51.1

22.9

36.8%

29.2

Home Games

12-1

+5.5

9-1

0-1

64.9

30.9

48.1%

33.6

47.5

22.1

33.8%

29.2

Last 5 Games

3-2

-0.1

3-2

0-0

58.2

26.6

45.3%

29.2

51.8

23.8

41.4%

26.0

Conference Games

4-2

+0.9

4-2

0-1

58.7

26.2

45.3%

29.7

51.8

24.0

40.6%

27.5

VIRGINIA Team Statistics

Shooting

3pt Shooting

Free Throws

Rebounding

PPG

Half

FGM-A

Pct

FGM-A

PCT

FTM-A

Pct

Tot

Off

Ast

PF

Stl

TO

Bk

Team Stats (All Games)

62.8

29.1

23-51

45.9%

6-15

39.1%

11-15

70.6%

33

8

15

16

6

12

5

vs opponents surrendering

66.8

31.3

24-56

42.2%

6-18

34.0%

14-20

68.8%

35

10

12

18

7

14

4

Team Stats (Home Games)

64.9

30.9

24-51

48.1%

5-13

39.8%

11-16

70.9%

34

7

16

15

7

12

5

Stats Against (All Games)

51.1

22.9

18-48

36.8%

5-17

29.2%

11-15

68.0%

29

7

8

15

5

13

3

vs opponents averaging

66.2

30.5

24-56

42.2%

5-17

31.9%

14-20

67.6%

36

10

12

18

7

14

4

Stats Against (Home Games)

47.5

22.1

17-50

33.8%

4-17

24.7%

10-14

69.8%

29

8

7

15

5

14

3

Average power rating of opponents played: NC STATE 75.7, VIRGINIA 73.8

Head-to-Head Series History

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

NC STATE is 16-12 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997

NC STATE is 16-13 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997

11 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

VIRGINIA is 2-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

VIRGINIA is 2-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at VIRGINIA since 1997

VIRGINIA is 6-6 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997

VIRGINIA is 9-3 straight up against NC STATE since 1997

4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons.

VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Shooting

3pt shots

Free Throws

Rebounds

Date

Teams

Score

Line

Result

Half

FGM-A

Pct

FGM-A

Pct

FTM-A

Pct

Tot.

OFF

TO

3/9/2012

NC STATE

67

120.5

SU ATS

36

27-50

54.0%

5-15

33.3%

8-18

44.4%

28

6

11

N

VIRGINIA

64

-3.5

Over

33

23-53

43.4%

2-12

16.7%

16-20

80.0%

35

9

11

1/28/2012

VIRGINIA

61

123

SU ATS

38

19-43

44.2%

7-15

46.7%

16-23

69.6%

25

4

11

NC STATE

60

-1.5

Under

31

23-57

40.4%

2-15

13.3%

12-21

57.1%

42

16

11

3/1/2011

NC STATE

58

124

Over

28

20-49

40.8%

6-16

37.5%

12-16

75.0%

34

9

15

VIRGINIA

69

-1.5

SU ATS

32

21-53

39.6%

10-21

47.6%

17-20

85.0%

32

8

9

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (170-175)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-30)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (173-162)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 56.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-25)

No Edge.

&nbsp

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game

The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (139-146)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-30)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (126-123)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 47.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-27)

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