Monday, 15 December 2014

Survation polling in Witney & SW Surrey

On behalf of Unite the union, Survation interviewed 1016 residents of
Prime Minister David Cameron's constituency of Witney and 1062 residents
of Secretary of State for Health Jeremy Hunt’s constituency of South
West Surrey by telephone. Fieldwork was conducted between 2-5 December.

What Is The Most Important Local Issue In The Prime Minister's Constituency?

Local NHS and GP services are by far the most important local issue in Witney – almost three times as important as immigration.

Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt?

Local NHS and GP services are by far the most important issue in South
West Surrey - as important a local issue as crime, immigration,
employment and education put together.

We also asked Mr Cameron and Mr Hunt’s constituents about the
Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership. The deal, dubbed TTIP,
is currently being negotiated between the EU and the USA.

Survation found that:

A majority of constituents in both constituencies told Survation they oppose the inclusion of the NHS in the agreement.

The majority of both Mr Cameron and Mr Hunt's constituents think
the Prime Minister should seek to exclude the NHS from the agreement.

If Mr Cameron were unable to achieve a guaranteed opt-out for the
NHS, residents of Witney and South West Surrey that had a view told
Survation he should veto the agreement.

Voting Intention

Unsurprisingly in these rural safe Conservative seats, headline results
suggest that both Mr Cameron and Mr Hunt will safely keep their seats
next May - Mr Cameron leads UKIP - his closest challenger by 34 points
and Mr Hunt ahead of UKIP by 42 points in our snapshots.

Comparing the results of these polls to the 2010 general election, in
both seats UKIP have since overtaken the Liberal Democrats to claim
second place. UKIP are now polling on 19% in Mr Cameron’s Witney seat,
up 16 points from their 2010 result in the seat. Similarly, UKIP are
polling on 15% in South West Surrey, up from 2% in 2010.

Our polls also suggest both the Greens and Labour are doing better in these South East seats than in 2010.

Full tables for the poll in Witney including the full questions put are available here. Tables for the polling in South West Surrey are available here.

UK GENERAL ELECTION 2015 SEATS WON

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