‘..World leaders’ concern is well-founded: IS’s attacks kill their citizens and threaten their societies’ cohesion. They face enormous pressure to act. But they must do so prudently. Missteps – whether careless military action abroad; crackdowns at home; subordinating aid to counter-radicalisation; casting the net too wide; or ignoring severer threats in a rush to fight “violent extremism” – risk aggravating those deeper
currents and again playing into jihadists’ hands.’

‘When the film was released, CNN reported that the former Shin Bet heads had made “stunning revelations” and that “all six argue – to varying degrees – that the Israeli occupation of Palestinian land is bad for the state of Israel.” CNN noted that Avraham Shalom “says Israel lost touch with how to coexist with the Palestinians as far back as the aftermath of the Six Day War of 1967” and that a “central theme of the documentary is the idea that Israel has incredible tactics, but lacks long-term strategy.” Moreh is turning “The Gatekeepers” into a five-part series for Israeli television and a book..’

“In the Cold War the United States aimed at containment; in the post-Cold War [the thrust] was transformation. The Cold War involved the defense of the West; post-Cold War foreign policy aspired to the political and ideological extension of the West.”

These missions, he notes, all aimed “to convert not simply individuals but entire countries,” and they had one other thing in common: “They all failed.”

Don’t get him wrong, Mandelbaum says. The U.S. beat back some very bad actors in Bosnia, Somalia, Kosovo, Iraq and Afghanistan, and later in Libya. “The military missions that the United States undertook succeeded. It was the political missions that followed, the efforts to transform the politics of the places where American arms prevailed, that failed.”

Why? Because political success was never within our control. Such normative transformations can only come from within, from the will of local actors to change long-embedded habits, overcome longstanding enmities or restore long-lost political traditions..’

..Regardless as to the military presence and engagement the international community settles on, several constraining factors should be kept in mind:-Libyans, as well as their neighbors, tend to be deeply suspicious of foreign meddling in their affairs and have opposed any explicit external intervention.

-Military intervention at a moment that the appeal of Daesh has not yet been sufficiently weakened could prove counterproductive and further strengthen Daesh’s recruitment narrative.

-Military action may compromise any fragile, emerging unity in Libya. If support is channeled to a selection of groups fighting for narrow, local interests, the risk of exacerbating existing rivalries becomes that much greater.

-Military intervention may further displace populations and fighters, shifting the problem to neighboring countries.

-Libya is not lacking well-trained forces. It is lacking cooperation and integration between different militias and forces. Any potential training missions should focus on bringing militias together and integrating communication and command structures, with the aim of rebuilding a new structure absorbing the different militias into a united army.It is important to note that a successful strategy to combat Daesh in Libya will, first and foremost, depend on the political will of the Libyan politicians and militias currently involved in the protracted civil war. However, considering the transnational nature of the threats stemming from the current situation in Libya, it is in the interest of various members of the international community to support the national authorities in their efforts to combat Daesh, together implementing the right mix of policy instruments and actions.’

]]>https://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/21/combating-daesh-in-libya-realcleardefense/feed/0jjwvanwaning‘Toward a Global Realignment – The American Interest’ by ZBIGNIEW BRZEZINSKI in The American Interest Published on: April 17, 2016 STRATEGIC VISIONhttps://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/20/toward-a-global-realignment-the-american-interest-by-zbigniew-brzezinski-in-the-american-interest-published-on-april-17-2016-strategic-vision/
https://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/20/toward-a-global-realignment-the-american-interest-by-zbigniew-brzezinski-in-the-american-interest-published-on-april-17-2016-strategic-vision/#respondWed, 20 Apr 2016 18:26:46 +0000http://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/?p=463091Lees verder →]]>As its era of global dominance ends, the United States needs to take the lead in realigning the global power architecture.

CONCUR: ‘..the currently violent political awakening among post-colonial Muslims is, in part, a belated reaction to their occasionally brutal suppression mostly by European powers. It fuses a delayed but deeply felt sense of injustice with a religious motivation that is unifying large numbers of Muslims against the outside world; but at the same time, because of
historic sectarian schisms within Islam that have nothing to do with the West, the recent welling up of historical grievances is also divisive within Islam..’

]]>https://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/20/toward-a-global-realignment-the-american-interest-by-zbigniew-brzezinski-in-the-american-interest-published-on-april-17-2016-strategic-vision/feed/0jjwvanwaningDutch Euroskeptics Win the Day – Carnegie Europe – Carnegie Endowment for International Peacehttps://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/19/dutch-euroskeptics-win-the-day-carnegie-europe-carnegie-endowment-for-international-peace/
https://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/19/dutch-euroskeptics-win-the-day-carnegie-europe-carnegie-endowment-for-international-peace/#respondTue, 19 Apr 2016 12:13:41 +0000http://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/?p=463089Lees verder →]]>The Dutch referendum on April 6 was not only about a trade accord between the EU and Ukraine. It was also about Europe’s future.

NOTED WITH SHAME: ‘..Because the EU needs unanimity to ratify the agreement with Ukraine, the bloc is now burdened
with finding an opt-out clause for the Dutch until Rutte decides what is feasible. The worst outcome is to ignore that 27 other
countries have ratified the accord. This would be extremely damaging for the pro-reform movement in Ukraine, which needs
this agreement to strengthen its position back home at a time when the country’s oligarchs, including the presidential administration,
keep imposing obstacles to fundamental reforms, particularly in the judiciary..’

]]>https://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/19/dutch-euroskeptics-win-the-day-carnegie-europe-carnegie-endowment-for-international-peace/feed/0jjwvanwaningThe Fundamental Flaws of Brexit Backers – Carnegie Europe – Carnegie Endowment for International Peacehttps://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/19/the-fundamental-flaws-of-brexit-backers-carnegie-europe-carnegie-endowment-for-international-peace/
https://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/19/the-fundamental-flaws-of-brexit-backers-carnegie-europe-carnegie-endowment-for-international-peace/#respondTue, 19 Apr 2016 12:07:09 +0000http://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/?p=463087]]>FULLY CONCUR: ‘..The EU is not about destroying sovereignty, it is about saving it by way of sharing it..’

]]>https://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/19/the-fundamental-flaws-of-brexit-backers-carnegie-europe-carnegie-endowment-for-international-peace/feed/0jjwvanwaningCandidates, Here’s Your Iraq/Syria/Libya Mess to Fix | Ghosts of Tom Joad – Peter Van Burenhttps://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/18/candidates-heres-your-iraqsyrialibya-mess-to-fix-ghosts-of-tom-joad-peter-van-buren/
https://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/2016/04/18/candidates-heres-your-iraqsyrialibya-mess-to-fix-ghosts-of-tom-joad-peter-van-buren/#respondMon, 18 Apr 2016 12:08:55 +0000http://jjwvanwaning.wordpress.com/?p=463085Lees verder →]]>WORTH-READ:’Candidates, one of you will be the fifth consecutive American president to make war inside Iraq. What will you face on day one of your administration?..

‘..The regional picture is dismal. In Syria, militias backed by the Central Intelligence Agency are fighting those backed by the Pentagon. British, Jordanian and American special forces are fighting various eenemies in Libya; that failed state is little more than a latent Iraq, likely to metastasize into its neighbors. There may be a worrisome note about Egypt, Saudi Arabia or Lebanon waiting for you under the Oval Office desk blotter.

But candidates, your focus must remain on Iraq; that is where what the Jordanian king now refers to as the Third World War began, and where Islamic State was birthed, and where the United States seems to be digging in for the long run..’

‘..How many people are aware that a world war has begun? At present, it is a war of propaganda, of lies and distraction, but this can change instantaneously with the first mistaken order, the first missile.

In 2009, President Obama stood before an adoring crowd in the centre of Prague, in the heart of Europe. He pledged himself to make “the world free from nuclear weapons”. People cheered and some cried. A torrent of platitudes flowed from the media. Obama was subsequently awarded the Nobel Peace Prize.

It was all fake. He was lying.

The Obama administration has built more nuclear weapons, more nuclear warheads, more nuclear delivery systems, more nuclear factories. Nuclear warhead spending alone rose higher under Obama than under any American president. The cost over thirty years is more than $1 trillion..’