Brentford v Leeds United Betting: Whites aiming to get back on track in West London

Goal

Gabriel Sutton

03/11/2017 ShareCloseComments

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Dean Smith’s Bees are on a good run ahead of Saturday's game at Griffin Park, but Thomas Christiansen’s visitors have the quality to cause problems

On 16th September, Brentford languished in the relegation zone while Leeds sat top of the tree, but a home win in Saturday's teatime kick-off would see the gap between these sides close to just one point.

The Bees have taken 12 points from six and are one of just two unbeaten sides in that period, while the Whites have accrued just three points – fewer than every other side bar Burton - and as such, Brentford are 5/6 (1.83) favourites to get their fifth win of the campaign.

A draw, which has occurred in nine of the past 16 games between these sides at Griffin Park, is 13/5 (3.60), whilst Leeds are 16/5 (4.20) to arrest their slump with three points, which could potentially take them back into the play-off places.

That price for a seventh-placed team to beat one in 15th seems intriguing, even if Christiansen’s men aren’t the force they were in the early weeks of the campaign.

Their form might be explained partly be a lack of organization, so a high-scoring Brentford side might fancy their chances of scoring over 2.5 goals, as they are 12/5 (3.40) to do.

It should be considered, though, the level of opposition both sides have recently faced; the average position of Leeds' last six opponents is eighth, with four of the top six played in that time, while the average position of teams Brentford have encountered in the same timeframe is 14th and they are yet to beat a top-nine side.

The Leeds Draw No Bet holds appeal at 7/4 (2.75), which rewards an away win but returns our stake if the match ends all square, and also there might be some value in backing them to score over 1.5 goals at 13/8 (2.63)as Brentford have conceded two or more in seven of their 15 games – and three times in their six-match unbeaten run.

With the Bees the seventh-highest scorers in the Championship and Leeds the third-highest we could see a goal-fest, therefore the 7/2 (4.50) on a game with over 4.5 goals might appeal as it would have come off in two of the hosts' last three games.

However, the 7/4 (2.75) price on a Leeds Draw No Bet is too good to pass up, because the away side should have enough quality to improve their form by picking up at least a point from Saturday’s match.