摘要整理、地區預測

各國預測

捷克：DSL的收益除了現有企業的FTTC升級投資、也支撐固定寬頻市場

波蘭：持續價格競爭讓通訊收益下滑、但也控制了終端資料收益成長下降

俄羅斯

土耳其：促進固定、行動網路擴大、持續安定收益成長

關於作者、Analysys Mason

圖表列表

目錄

"We expect that mobile handset data revenue growth in the CEE region will outpace mobile voice losses in the forecast period, and the share of connections for 4G will exceed 3G by 2020, further accelerating data usage growth."

Total telecoms revenue for Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) was revised up for 2015 and 2016, but we expect revenue to slowly decline between 2017 and 2020.

Mobile handset data revenue growth will be the most important market driver in all countries that we have modelled individually. Mergers and market consolidation, together with increasing demand for bundles (driven by operator convergence) will facilitate improved ASPU and reduced churn. Demand for high-quality data services will drive revenue up because over-the-top (OTT) and streaming services are gaining momentum.

This report provides:

an interim update of our 5-year forecast (Central and Eastern Europe telecoms market: trends and forecasts (14 countries) 2015-2020, previously published in September 2015) of more than 100 mobile and fixed KPIs for Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) as a whole and for four key countries.

an explanation of the significant changes in this edition, compared with our previous forecasts.

Revisions to our previous forecasts occurred mainly for the following reasons: