Gregor Horvat is based in Slovenia (Central Europe) and has been active in the Forex market since 2003. He is a technical analyst and individual trader who also provides articles and trade plans based on the Fibonacci and Elliot Wave principles.

He mostly focuses on currencies, oil, gold, and the U.S. stock market.

He has worked for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com, whilst his feature articles have been published online across numerous industry websites.

EW-Forecast.com provides technical analysis of the financial markets, highlighting behavioural patterns based on the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP). EWP provides a method for identifying price points at which a market is most likely to turn. Knowing the probable swing and reversal points provides confirmation of where investors could enter and exit positions for the highest probability of success.

AUDJPY can be trading in a sharp three-wave reversal, with current wave c/iii trading higher from the 71.06 area, where former corrective wave b/ii found support. Wave c/iii is an impulse and can now target 73.0 area with a five-legged move. AUDJPY, 1h USDTRY is moving lower into a projected support near 5.65/5.55 region, after … Continued

Hello fellow traders, A bigger triangle as part of a three-wave A-B-C reversal can be unfolding on crude oil in wave B. Now we are tracking final stages of a triangle, so be aware of a drop once final leg E of a triangle fully shows up. A drop below the lower triangle line would … Continued

AUDNZD unfolded five legs within wave a, which can be part of a bigger, bullish reversal. Completed five legs within a trend indicate a three-wave retracement to follow, which is already the case on AUDNZD; an a)-b)-c) pullback to around 1.043/1.039 region, where bulls may again take over. A later rise in impulsive fashion would … Continued

Hello fellow traders, NZDJPY recently broke below the recent swing low of wave D of a bigger triangle correction, which now suggests a completed triangle, and a bearish continuation. If that is the case, then a five-wave drop may follow into a higher degree wave C), targeting 60.0 region. NZDJPY, Weekly On the 4h chart … Continued

BTCUSD is recovering in a five-wave manner up from the 9200 region, where a higher degree correction had found a base. We see a clear recovery underway, which can now be stopping for a temporary correction as wave (iv), which can be either a flat or a triangle. Once wave (iv) fully develops, that is … Continued

Hello fellow traders! Gold broke higher last week, but then it turned down after a temporary move above 1452 level. We see that as blue wave B that belongs to a higher degree running triangle correction in wave four. If that is the case then more sideways price activity may follow on the metal, as … Continued

Hello fellow traders! GBPUSD is looking bearish and can now be unfolding final stages of a sub-wave 3) of blue wave 1. We are observing minor leg 5 of 3) in progress, with possible support, and a turn into a corrective wave 4) around the Fibonacci ratio of 261.8 (1.235/1.223 region). GBPUSD, Daily On the … Continued

EURUSD made a nice five-wave rally from a new low at the 1.119 area, which can be first evidence that bears are temporarily finished on EURUSD, and that a temporary three-wave reversal can be in play (of a higher degree). We can now see first five legs of one wave as completed, and current intra-day … Continued

Metals are approaching resistance areas, so be aware of a fifth wave ending soon on some of them; Gold and platinum, while copper may have already found a top, so its current recovery can be a minor corrective pause. We are observing copper in a new, bearish cycle, down from 2.7600 level where a previous … Continued

Good day fellow traders! AUDUSD is recovering sharply from the 0.683 level, where a low for sub-wave c of Y had been found. Current sharp rally can now be part of a minimum three-wave recovery, that can take price towards, and beyond the 0.702 bullish level. We labelled first wave a/i in progress, which can … Continued

Hello traders! AUDJPY is recovering, now unraveling sub-wave iii) as part of a higher degree impulse (iii). Wave three is the strongest and sharpest wave, so be aware of more upside, while price keeps trading above the 74.65 invalidation level. That said, now we see sub-wave iv unfolding, so a temporary setback may be in … Continued

EURUSD is trading in a bullish trend, up from 1.118 level, where a higher degree wave 2 correction had found a base. We labelled a five-wave impulsive movement in progress, with price now trading at the end of a sub-wave v) of one. Once we get five minor legs within the wave v) of one, … Continued

NASDAQ should remain in uptrend, because we don’t see a completed five-wave cycle yet, so current three-wave decline can be only part of a corrective wave iv that can find support ideally around previous wave iii) swing high and 7600 – 7595 levels and from where may see a continuation higher for wave v of … Continued

EURNZD is trading bullish, now unfolding wave iv, as part of a bigger wave 5 of C). We can see recently completed leg three, that can now be followed by a temporary pullback as leg iv, with minimum three legs. Support for wave iv can be around the Fibonacci ratio of 38.2 (1.715 area), and … Continued

As stocks move to the upside, our attention is on CADJPY as this pair shows a nice bullish development with room for more upside after any short-term set-back of wave 3 or even maybe wave 2). More upside should follow this week. CADJPY, 4h Cable came nicely to the downside, beneath wave a level for … Continued

Hello everybody! Ripple is trading sideways for a long time despite bullish turn on many major cryptocurrencies, so we still think that the bottom is not in place yet, especially because of Ripple logarithmic scale chart, which has the same wave structure as it had BTC last year! However, we are observing a big bearish … Continued

Good day traders, Crude oil is dropping in impulsive fashion, now ideally unfolding final stages as part of a bigger, bearish cycle, labelled as wave 5). We see price already dipping, approaching the end of leg 5 of 5), which can look for support, and a bullish reversal near the 54.50/54.0 region. A later rally … Continued

SP500 is turning south from the 2958 level where wave 5) of 3 has finished, and put a corrective wave 4 in play. We see choppy price activity within that pullback, now also reaching an important gap zone from April 1st which may cause a bounce. Also, index has retraced back into the area of … Continued

USD index is currently recovering, opposed to the EURUSD where we see price dropping from the 1.1217 level, and ideally unfolding final leg c as part of a bullish ending diagonal. Here on the USD index the structure is in negative correlation, meaning that we are tracking current rise as part of one more leg … Continued

GBPJPY is recovering, ideally in a five-wave manner, with price currently unfolding a corrective wave iv. This pullback can look for support, and a final bounce into the final wave v) around the Fibonacci ratio of 23.6 and 38.2 (145.4/145.22 region), and area where we see the upper base channel line. A rally in impulsive … Continued

EURUSD is sharply dropping, down from 1.122 swing high which can be labelled as a sub-wave 5 of one, with possible support region around the 1.1180 region (Fibonacci ratios of 423.6 and 138.2 can react as support), from where a temporary three-wave pullback may follow. A sharp rally from the lows would be an indication … Continued

Hello traders, Litecoin is already rising in an impulsive fashion within five waves, which suggests that the bottom at 22.50 level can be in place. That being said, we are probably in a wave 3 and there can be room for more gains, towards 105-115 area, where price may slow down into a wave 4 … Continued

Hi traders, CADJPY can be unfolding five waves up, but we still see an unfinished, big five-wave rally, so seems like pair just slowed down into wave 4, where ideal support would be here around 38,2% Fibo. retracement and 83.15 level. If it continues higher back above 83.65 region, then price can go towards 84.50 … Continued

Hi traders, S&P500 is trading beautifully from the 2786 lows, ideally in a five-wave recovery with wave 3 trading near completion. As we can see sub-wave v of 3 just approached the potential resistance area at 2890 level, where we see measurement of equality of blue waves one and five. That being said, be aware … Continued

Hi traders, Cable is still looking higher towards new highs back to 1.3400 – 1.3500 area and we can see a small bullish setup in the smaller time frame that can test 1.3100 support area before a continuation higher. However, this may get even more complex, but as long as price is trading above 1.2980, … Continued

GBPUSD can be trading in an EW ending diagonal within higher degree wave C, with recent turn down representing corrective sub-wave 4), that looks to have found support at the lower EW trend line. Current rally that we see is part of wave 5) which must be structured by three sub-waves in order to complete … Continued

Hi traders, USD/CAD is dropping sharply from the 1.346 high, giving us an idea that a bigger three-wave rally within higher degree wave B) can be completed, and that a new minimum three-wave A/1-B/2-C/3 drop is in play. Current impulsive weakness can look for support near the 1.323 level, level of a former swing high … Continued

Hello traders, Today’s article is for ETPUSD also known as Metaverse ETP. On ETPUSD we can see a nice bullish recovery in play, up from 0.3003 level, which can be making a three-legged, or five-legged move. We already see a five-wave completed rally within wave (A)/(1), which was later then followed by a temporary pullback … Continued

USDSGD made a big, bullish recovery at the end of 2017, and in 2018. We can see that price found a top for this five-wave rally near the 1.3900 region, from where a new impulsive (five-wave) structure has followed. We labelled it as wave A, which can now be followed by a temporary pullback as … Continued

Today’s article is about silver and the USDCHF pair. Both are trading in a correction, which means both can see more weakness as we are in a bearish trend. Silver is nicely dropping within an impulsive move (five legs in the direction of a trend) and can also be trading at the beginning of a … Continued

Hi traders, USDJPY is nicely breaking above the 111.07 level, showing early evidences of a completed triangle correction in wave 4 of a higher degree, and that wave 5) is in progress. In such case be aware of more gains, ideally in impulsive (five-wave) fashion, targeting 111.4/111.50 area, where triangle measurement projects end of a … Continued

Here on the daily chart of USDSGD and USDZAR we can see that the USD dollar can gain more bullish price activity against the Singapore dollar, and the South African rand. On both pairs we can see that price has recently been trading in a temporary pullback from the highs, which has in 2019 come … Continued

Hello traders today let’s take a look at GBPUSD and USDJPY pairs. GBPUSD made a nice five-wave drop from the 1.321 level, which is a sign of a completed higher degree wave C, and that a new bearish cycle is in play. We know that after a five-wave price development fully unfolds, a three-wave correction … Continued

USDNOK unfolded a bigger five-wave rally from start of 2018, and unraveled a bigger wave 1, that found a top at the upper Elliott wave channel line. The sharp reversal that followed from the upper channel line can now be labelled as wave A), first leg that can be part of a bigger three-wave retracement, … Continued

Commodity currencies are making some pullback against the USD, except AUDUSD where we see pair higher after RBA Rate Statement (1.5%), Retail Sales (-0.4% vs 0.0%) and Trade Balance (3.68B vs 2.25B) figures. Technically speaking, there is room for 0.7300/0.7340 area while pair is above 0.7175. AUDUSD, 1h NZDUSD may also still see more gains, … Continued

Crude oil is also unfolding final wave 5) as part of a bigger impulse, labelled as wave A. Resistance and a possible top can be found near the 56.0/57.0 area, where Fibonacci ratio of 38.2/161.8 can represent a turning point. That said, a drop in five minor waves, and below the lower Elliott wave channel … Continued

GBPNZD is making a nice run, but so far only in three leg up from December low, currently in wave C with subwave five here in progress, so a top may not be far away. However, there is still room for 1.9500, so it’s very important to wait on a bearish impulsive turn before we … Continued

As expected, Power Ledger is nicely breaking higher, so it should be bullish confirmed now. It can be trading within wave 3 and looking at the daily chart, there’s room for more upside towards 0.15-0.17 area. POWRUSD, Daily On the 4-hour chart we can see a five-wave rally into a blue wave »i« of a … Continued

On energy we see price recovering in an impulsive manner, ideally unfolding a bigger three-wave reversal. With current rally from the 42.46 level comes an indication that a low had been put in place for a former higher degree wave A and that a bigger black wave B correction can be in the making. In … Continued

GBPUSD made a five-wave rally from the 1.240 level, and ended it with an EW ending diagonal at the 1.28 level. Current intra-day drop that we see from the highs, can be part of an unfolding a-b-c correction, which can look for support and a bounce near the 1.261/1.255 region. GBPUSD, 1h Crude oil can … Continued

Hi traders, Stocks have seen another leg down yesterday during the US session so it’s not a surprise that Nikkei keeps moving lower which makes JPY very strong in this risk-off environment with lower Yields/ higher notes. Notice that USDJPY made only a three wave rally from recent low so pair remains bearish and looks … Continued

Hi traders, USDCHF is currently recovering from the 0.9861 region, giving us an idea of a possibly completed three-wave correction within wave 2, which points to more upside. If that is the case, then a bullish continuation may now be in play, which can break above the 1.0006 bullish level and above the upper channel … Continued

AUDUSD has been trading bearish for 2018 and by the looks of it, price can be unfolding a big, bearish impulse, down from 0.814 area. An impulse is a five-wave development which tells us where the trend is going, and in our case we see it going lower. We specifically see price at the start … Continued

Hi traders, German DAX can be unfolding a bigger, overlapping decline down from 11692 level, which we see it as a EW ending diagonal. A EW ending diagonal is a powerful reversal pattern, that consists out of five waves, and each of them has three sub-waves. That said, at the moment we see price unfolding … Continued

Hello traders, No bullish evidences on Crude oil yet. That said, seems like Crude oil still can see new lows below 50 area, but carefully because it’s the final wave 5 of 5), so bounce may occur anytime. Watch out for spikes as well. However, as long as Crude oil keeps trading within bearish Elliott … Continued

Hi traders, EURGBP made a sharp rally recently, away from 0.865 level which was quite expected, as we were tracking final stages of a bigger corrective wave B). This recovery we now labelled as wave 1 of a bigger bullish rally, which looks to have found a top and resistance at the 0.894 level, from … Continued

EURUSD looks as it has ended its complex decline, down from September highs as we see all three waves W,X,Y unfolded. Also price made a recovery at the 1.122 level, indicating that wave Y found a low, and that a minimum three-wave reversal to the upside is now in play. In such case, we would … Continued

Stocks rallied yesterday, which has been technically expected as we see E-mini SP500 futures moving down into fifth wave of decline with a wedge shape. This pattern was broken to the upside, so market is now in a three wave corrective bounce. It’s a temporary recovery that can be slowed down at 2755-2770 area, but … Continued

We see some serious and very strong dollar move at the start of a new trading week. EUR/USD just went below August 2018 levels quite aggressively which seems like an important break-down, but until we see a close below that price it can be too soon to call that a breakdown! Also, an intraday chart … Continued

Bitcoin Cash made an impulsive rally, but still can be a part of a three-wave a-b-c regular 3-3-5 correction. We still think that Bulls are not ready yet, especially because of a bearish looking BTC and friends, so we assume that BCHUSD can be making just a bigger flat correction in wave 4 of a … Continued

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