Caulfield Race 7: William Hill Sprint Series Heat 1 1200m

28/08/2015: This is a really interesting race. The soft win by Vezalay first up speaks well for her chances. Her strong third in the Group 2 Kewney Stakes and ripper 3.5 lengths defeat in the wfa William Reid Stakes clearly showed she is a classy mare. Loved Up comes into this race as a strong chance on her defeat of not only Nayeli but also Peeping and Kuro in the Fireball a few runs ago. She represents the value of the race. Girl Guide’s statistics has her as a genuine chance as she won first up by three lengths two campaigns ago and followed up with a Group 3 win. There were some excuses in her autumn campaign. Be forgiving. Griante ran exactly the same first up last preparation (an ordinary looking finish) but blew her rivals apart second up in Sydney. She can do the same here. Jessy Belle is better at slightly longer distances but her 1.05 length defeat by Rose De Lago showed she can match it in this class and distance and she does fight when in a finish.

With Cosmic Endeavour and Vezelay needing to overcome their wider barriers and the likelihood both Hazard and Griante will go forward from their worse barriers to a good settling position I am expecting the pace to solid enough for the mid fielders and get back runners to feature in the finish.

CHANCES

William Hill Sprint Series Heat 1 1200m

Order

Margin

Vezalay

PLUS: Two from six career, 0.7 length defeat Group 2 last campaign, easy win last run, can lead.

A

0

MINUS: Nil.

Loved Up

PLUS: Six thirteen career, two from five distance four times quinella, two from three first up.

B

1.25

MINUS: Nil.

Griante

PLUS: Six nineteen career, three seven track, four good track wins, improved second up last campaign.

C

1.5

MINUS: Nil.

Jessy Belle

PLUS: Five good track wins, track and distance better than looks, trier, seven career wins.

D

1.75

MINUS: Seven weeks break.

Girl Guide

PLUS: Two from three first up, five from thirteen good tracks, three seven distance, win track and distance.