Wisconsin Recall: As usual, the Final Exit Poll was forced to match
an unlikely recorded vote

Richard Charnin

June 6,
2012

The
media and the exit pollsters have done it again.

Before
the first votes were posted, the media indicated that the election was “too
close to call”. One must ask: why did the media not provide the actual exit
poll crosstabs?. Was it because the exit polls are
always "adjusted" to match the recorded vote and they did not want
the public to view the adjustments?

The
53-47% Walker
result was implausible since turnout exceeded the 2010 election. Common sense
tells us that the grossly unpopular incumbent could not have done better this
time.

And
of course, there was no mention of the fraud factor. There never is. To the
exit pollsters and the mainstream media, there is no such thing as election
fraud. The GOP employs overt voter
disenfranchisement in plain sight by robocalls,
election workers discouraged voters from using paper ballots, etc. But we are
not supposed to believe that they would covertly program the voting machines to
flip votes in cyberspace? Especially since the machines are manufactured and
programmed by right-wing organizations using unverifiable code.

Here are just a few exit
poll oddities from the NY Times Election site:

1) A full 5% of voters were
not white or black. But there is no indication of how they voted.

6) 2010 vote: 47% said they
voted for Walker and just 34% for Barrett? Walker only “won” by 52-47% in 2010.

7) Urban vote: Only 62% for
Barrett in the big cities?

If we assume an equal 75%
Obama and McCain voter turnout in the recall, a 50/50 split in new and
returning third party voters, then in order to match the recorded vote, Walker needed 28% of
returning Obama voters while Barrett had just 5% of returning McCain voters.
That is a very implausible net 23% defection of Obama voters.

The True Vote Model
indicates that Barrett should have won easily – assuming the caveat of a fair
election.