Health in 1980-1990. A Predictive Study Based on an International Inquiry.

Abstract

Crystal-balling futurology is not an exact science, but those concerned with health policy indulge in this pastime more often than others. As the title implies, Health in 1980-1990 reports an ambitious attempt to predict where health care will be a decade hence. In a dozen pithy chapters, it summarizes the results of a two-year study, begun in 1970, which employed the RAND Corporation's so-called Delphi technique (a kind of intellectual blind man's buff) as a means of synthesizing the intuitive judgments of 62 experts from 19 countries. The Henry Durant Institute (the research arm of the International Red Cross) served