Tag Archives: Bank Nifty Weekly Outlook

Last two weeks remained action pegged and I was not in position to update due to some personal commitments and also one of the reason that after looking at screen for long-long hours your body starts giving you a red signals, so I took some mandatory leave from watching screen. Rather making it long, lets keep it simple and see how to position ourselves in the coming week.

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Over the time people build preferences and they never realizes that when their preferences turned prejudices, rigidity or stubbornness. Similarly in the stock market people would like to call them as Hardcore Bull or Bear, in hindi we call them as Tejiwale & Mandiwale, like my friends call me hardcore bull. How these prejudices build over a time is the topic to discuss at a length, but over the time I understood that, as a trader or even as a research analyst you should not be biased by any particular view, at all the time you need to remain objective, that does not mean that you should not have a view, but acceptance of change is very much essential, and if we put it in today’s perspective then you should not be Intolerant with changing dynamics of stock market.

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It seems that now situation is in favor Bear camp, honestly for them everything fall in place, because I am damn sure no Bears have expected such tumultuous situation which took place during last week. Global markets are under great uncertainty and currencies & crude are adding further vigor to it, in fact everything is interconnected and you can’t speak one in isolation. All in all now it is a Real Challenge for Bulls – Bulls are all those guys who are already long in the market, some are with their prized savings (Investors, Traders), some are with others savings (Mutual Funds) all are going face tough times. So let’s for next week how trader should position themselves keeping ongoing chaotic situation.

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Last week, we discussed about three possible scenarios which could take place, and Nifty maintained to stay float above 8269 levels. On 7th April RBI monetary policy would be announced and moreover market participants are expecting one another rate cut in this policy, now it is difficult to judge and say that how market reacts based upon the announcements, status-quo in the policy turns out to be disappointment, or market takes it lightly and move in its own rhythm. Now let’s take a look at what charts are suggesting.

Winners make a habit of manufacturing their own positive expectations in advance of the event. – Brian Tracy

Well, we have to agree with above quote. It is said that if you don’t believe in yourself than nobody is here to believe in you, so first you have to believe in You. Time and again we are saying and it is proved that nobody can stay right all the time in the market, even best of best traders are ready to accept their defeat and that is why they are best and winners, but even to prove wrong you have to have view and confidence in your understanding or for that matter in your trade. Yes, there is very thin line between faith, confidence and overconfidence.

Last week, Bears have confidence in their working and they proved it, but fruits of success were available only for that trader who has smartly taken position on Friday only, because there was choice available on Monday, as market opened sharply lower.

To understand and trade wisely let’s take fresh look on the market and see whether we can take something out of it or not?

From last year or so we are helping our readers to reduce the confusion, and give straight view. If you want to know on which side of the market should you take the stance, than just subscribe to our weekly newsletter. Click here to register,

Patience, persistence and perspiration make an unbeatable combination for success. – Napoleon Hill

What happens when you are extremely hungry and about to start your food and suddenly cell phone starts ringing! Your first reaction would be just to ignore the phone, but your wife looks at the mobile screen and it was none another than your Boss. Now you don’t have a choice but to answer it. And, just to stretch further, if you have to rush for some emergency leaving aside your food, what would be your mental status at that point in time? Exactly, that is what is happening in the markets. Last to last week, it was quite evident that Bears have fare chance to control the game, but that could not materialize, and in last week when it was Bulls who were very close to knock the door of victory they turned down in last Friday. And now it is the situation, where neither party can gulp the bite, and to one more complexity will be added during this week will be expiry.

Let’s take holistic view and see what stand we should take during coming week.

From last year or so we are helping our readers to reduce the confusion, and give straight view. If you want to know on which side of the market should you take the stance, than just subscribe to our weekly newsletter. Click here to register,

Head Bulls Win – Tail Bears Win!!!

It is during our darkest moments that we must focus to see the light. – Aristotle Onassis

In line with our expectation clouds of uncertainty was weighing heavy on the markets, and we could not see much action in most of the counters, but it was Infosys who grabbed the attention of the market, although price action was moderate, but as always earlier years superstar remains superstar.

At this juncture market is in clear uncertainty, because whether you heard Bullish story or Bearish Story, both have their own validity and almost equal probability. So, is it just matter of toss, Head Bulls Win, or Tail Bears Win. And above that you have your own and you got more confused, because you also had Fear, that if I may go Wrong than?

From last year or so we are helping our readers to reduce the confusion, and give straight view. If you want to know on which side of the market should you take the stance, than just subscribe to our weekly newsletter. Click here to register,

Year 2014 begins with downside surprise to most of the traders, as markets were expecting at least one upside move. Basically, in last couple of weeks, precisely post Diwali, market has build perplexity around it; there are traders who strongly believe that still we have to see huge round of sell-off as one higher degree of corrective move is still pending, and there are traders who totally negate the idea, based on their understanding and analysis. Now, there is another factor which is more important i.e. FII’s money flow, we all agree or not most of the times it is their analysis which drives the overall market.

Lets take some inference from technical studies and see where market is heading in coming week. To read our full article you need to fill in details here and our newsletter will be dispatched in your mail box by tomorrow. Click here to register,

He, who every morning plans the transactions of the day, and follows that plan, carries a thread that will guide him through a labyrinth of the most busy life. – Victor Hugo

A year is about to over and in the week itself we are going to enter in the year 2014. As an individual we should assess and evaluate ourselves about our past and project for future. During the course it happens that you divulge in something else, by choice or force but, you should plan, because without planning you are driving your car in clueless direction. Above analogy fits into the markets as well, but we take it with little twist. We don’t insist to forecast the future price and direction of the market, as it will put you fumbled every time and you are bound to stay in your boundaries and regret to catch the right price movement. Why should you, rather we believe stay in today and understand what could be price movement of in near future and trade the market, simple. By doing this neither you are stuck nor to feed sad, and in return enjoying the fruit of success. So, friends why don’t we pass some resolution for our trading also. (Click Here To read Trading Resolutions

Year 2013 begins with 5900 level and at the end of the year we are just at 6300 levels, yes we saw volatility, but directionally we could add only 400 points in our kitty, which is just 6-7% add on. Lets take a look where market is taking us in coming few weeks. To read our full article you need to fill in details here and our newsletter will be dispatched in your mail box by tomorrow. Click here to register,

A question that sometimes drives me hazy: am I or others are the crazy? – Albert Einstein

Trading in a market is not guesswork, but you should also note that with all your analysis market can keep you astray, and that too, for uncertain time period, which can prolong for days, weeks or months also. But, if you confidence in your analysis and have patience to hold your view (can’t say about position), then chances of you to outperform the market is very high.

Honestly, we were looking at few blogs (not keeping track of their performance), who brings together real traders and in all they follow some simple rules and guideline from the mentor, and most importantly patience, that is what they earn, make them consistent, and successful in the market.

Passed week was challenging for many traders who were short in the market, or for few who was trying to put step in the market and make some profit. But unfortunately, after putting lots of efforts and hours, they could not find their pie. Do this means, that you are wrong or do that mean that your analysis was wrong??. Whatever may be the answer, we don’t care. We believe that, you have a solid chance to win, because above question comes in your mind, and that question it self leads to you answer and make legible to grab your pie. All the best.

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