Center for Violence Against Women: 62% of Rape Allegations are Bullshit

A longtime Facebook friend and smart chick posted the following this morning:

Controversial post.

Throughout the Kavanaugh controversy, I kept seeing the fact that “only 2-3% of rape allegations are false” as the basis given for immediate belief of all claims, even when no corroborating evidence was presented. The implication is that the other 97-98% of accusations are true, so skepticism of a claim is outrageous, ignorant, and even misogynistic. I did some digging because this oft-repeated “fact” made me curious…

And I found that this supposed “fact” is NOT even CLOSE to being accurate so far as the known statistics are concerned; actually, there are more false or unfounded allegations than those proven as true. In a study supported by the National Center for the Prosecution of Violence Against Women and covered by The Washington Post (neither are “right wing”), here are the statistics we have available: 7.1% of allegations were classified as “false,” and another 8.5% fit the definition of “baseless.” That’s just about 16%, or nearly 1:7. That’s a frighteningly large number to begin with, but if we add the 17.9% of claims that were closed due to failing to meet the criteria for a sexual assault crime, AND the 28.6% categorized as “suspended/inactivated” due to insufficient evidence of a crime itself, we get a whopping 62% of rape allegations being either false, baseless, not a sexual assault crime, or not having sufficient evidence to be referred to prosecution.

My conclusion from this is that while any good person will have empathy for someone claiming to be a victim of sexual assault/rape, and I certainly do, it is both ethical and logical to have a neutral stance on any allegation not proven in a court of law, ESPECIALLY those that go no further than public/social media accusations. Sexual crimes are indeed hard to prosecute successfully, but the foundation of the U.S. criminal justice system is DUE PROCESS, and the notion that it is better that the guilty go free than that the innocent are punished.

Interesting aside: another Facebook dude did some digging and guess what? Since the paper’s publication (in 2009 or 10, I believe) it has been hosted on its site of origin, the National District Attorneys Association, and has always been available.

BUT…. it was removed from the site between August 8 and August 15, 2018, which is a cinch to verify via the Way Back Machine, a web archive that periodically takes “snapshots.” It took one on August 8 and the link was valid (see?). The next one it took was August 15 and it’s a 404 error (see?), as is every other subsequent snapshot. Hmmmm….

…I spent last week down in Southern California visiting Beatrice and the doggies (so much fun…max doggie time). On the way back Sunday, I did a video about the Kavanaugh debacle. My thoughts, impressions, conclusions.

So you may have noticed that the #BelieveWomen schtick is morphing into the #BelieveSurvivors schtick.

The former is, of course, untenable nonsense no more meaningful or compelling than, say, #BelieveOneLeggedDwarfsBornOnTuesdays. In other words, it’s ARBITRARY. You could single out any particular identity and command: believe this identity without evidence or corroborating testimony. It’s only BECAUSE #Feminism that the arbitrary nature of it has not resulted in its advocates being laughed out of the universe.

Now enter the latter. First, it’s AMBIGUOUS. Survivors of what, exactly? In some sense, all humans are survivors. In fact, we have all survived the uncertain outcome of being born. So, if everyone is a survivor, then everyone is to be believed on say-so alone, and so the intent of the hashtag is being undercut, rendering it meaningless.

Second, it’s a question begging logical fallacy. Its premise (survivor) assumes the truth of the conclusion (survivor of sexual assault) instead of supporting it. Other than Ad Hominem (rampant everywhere), Begging the Question is perhaps the second most common logical fallacy and also the least understood.

Stefan Molyneux had his own take.

So much more I could write about it and have, but it’s pointless. Huge swaths of humanoid organisms, male and female alike, have exposed themselves as a sort of primordial scum where facts, due process, presumption of innocence for accused, common rules of evidence, hearsay, physical evidence, and witness corroboration mean exactly nothing to them in the pursuit of political goals.

And they lost, badly. They would have won every time in similar circumstances going back to at least Ronald Regan, and probably then, too.

Trump is a very different sort of animal, the most different of any President anyone has experienced in their lifetimes.

Finally, by my calculation, 62% of women who raise these allegations don’t really give a shit about women at all. They care about whatever leverage they can gain. It’s they who don’t take rape seriously. For them, it’s just something they might be able to use to get what they want on many levels of entitlement, hubris, and parasitism. And, so, over half of resources devoted to investigating, prosecuting, and convicting criminality in this realm is devoted to cunty bullshit instead of being more effective towards actual crimes so as to curtail the incidence of future victimization by getting the real predators put away.

Do you really still buy into this leftist political bullshit? How long are you going to hold out, because this time, finally, the left was met head on, and they got hammered with prejudice.

Reader Interactions

Comments

Enjoyed this.. heard from you after a long time.
I hope you will have the time and inclination to do more.
..And I hope, like your previous prediction about the 2016 election – This one comes true as well.
We all need a laff..!!

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And women are very seldom prosecuted for filing rape charges that later are proven total BS. Any other alleged crime, a felony. It’s like in DV, women will often get away with hitting men, even with a weapon of some kind.

I once had to call the cops to remove a woman from my home after I felt the breeze of a two pound ash tray flying by my head. Fortunately, the cops accepted my story and she was obviously drunk (er than me!) and out of control.

But I knew even way back then that it would have been all too easy for her to claim I did something and I would have gone to jail.

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I'm Richard Nikoley. Free the Animal began in 2003 and as of 2018, contains over 4,600 posts and 110,000 comments from readers. I cover a lot of ground, blogging what I wish...from health, diet, and lifestyle to philosophy, politics, social issues, and cryptocurrency. I celebrate the audacity and hubris to live by your own exclusive authority and take your own chances in life. [Read more...]

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