The EIU view

The president, Paul Kagame, and the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front will continue to dominate the country’s political landscape in 2019-20. Progress on improving the business environment and investments in key growth sectors, such as energy and infrastructure, will help drive up economic growth. Meanwhile, the current account deficit will widen alongside an expansionary fiscal stance and a high import bill on account of capital imports.

Technocrats appointed in cabinet reshuffle
This policy of appointing technocrats is enabled by the president's firm hold on power. The technocratic composition of the cabinet should facilitate progress on policymaking.

New income tax law comes into force
By expanding the tax base, the new law will help the government in increasing domestic revenue to compensate for the decline in external budgetary aid.

Floods to affect seasonal crop harvest
With flood warnings in place, a higher than expected loss of crop produce may pose risk to growth and inflation. Crop damage in affected areas will be offset by robust harvests.