The main unionist parties may be planning for serious disturbances in
north Belfast next weekend after the Parades Commission rerouted a
hugely contentious anti-Catholic march away from nationalist estates in
north Belfast.

The decision to restrict the Orange Order ‘Twelfth’ parade on the
Crumlin Road had been widely expected after local talks failed to reach
agreement on the parade. But it drew a surprisingly vehement and
collective response from a broad range of unionist parties and the
loyalist paramilitary organisations.

The DUP, Ulster Unionists, Jim Allister’s extreme Traditional Unionist
Voice (TUV), and the political representatives of the UDA and UVF,
issued a joint statement, apparently prepared in advance, in response to
the Parades Commission’s decision. The parties said it showed that “the
commission members place no value on a relationship with unionism and
have treated our advice with contempt”.

Less than a day after a new multi-party talks process had begun, they
announced they would be pulling out. They also said they would no longer
co-operate with the Parades Commission and called for peaceful protests
-- but their warning that there would be a “graduated response” to the
decision was seen as indicating the possibility of violence.

The Commission issued one of the most detailed determinations in its
history in relation to the application by three Orange lodges seeking to
pass Ardoyne on the evening of July 12th.

The determination noted that dialogue had taken place between residents
and the Orange Order but that had collapsed in April without a
resolution, and a single meeting held in June “resulted in no further
progress”.

One of the main reasons given for refusing the application was the
disorder of last July and the nightly loyalist interface intimidation at
‘Camp Twaddell’. The commission noted it had “impacted on community life
and community relations” in the area.

But the DUP leader Peter Robinson claimed the Parades Commission had
acted under duress from republicans. “The institutions have been put
under threat by the behaviour of the Parades Commission and those who
threaten the Parades Commission,” he said.

“It’s up to us to seek a peaceful response and we trust that, along the
line, people will recognise the importance of having respect and
tolerance for the cultural expression of our tradition and that violence
will no longer be allowed to be the determining factor when decisions
are bring taken.”

Martin McGuiness accused the DUP of being swayed by its own hardline
elements and by pressure from the unionist paramilitary UVF.

“The agenda in north Belfast is being led by the UVF and the Orange
Order,” he said. “I think it’s very disappointing that we have now seen
effectively the Ulster Unionist Party and the DUP throw in their lot
with those who would attempt to foment conflict on the streets.”

The return Orange Order march past Ardoyne shops is one of hundreds on
‘the Twelfth’ which commemorate the 17th century Battle of the Boyne.
North Belfast has been the scene for the most serious riots of recent
years, replacing Portadown as the most associated with marching season
violence.

Although research this week showed that the number of parades organised
by unionists in the north has more than doubled over the past eight
years, the number of parades which result in violence has actually
declined, a pattern which has continued so far this year.

A tense situation in Portadown last weekend was defused when an attempt
by loyalists to hold a banned parade at the lower Garvaghy Road was
called off at the last minute. And on Tuesday evening, a ‘mini Twelfth’
parade through east Belfast took place without major violence after the
PSNI set up a mobile steel cordon around part of the nationalist Short
Strand, blocking off nationalist homes.

But the situation on the ground in Ardoyne now threatens a rerun of last
year, when several nights of intense loyalist rioting took place.

Nationalist residents in Ardoyne said that members of the Orange Order
and their supporters had failed to respond to a plan by Catholic and
Protestant church leaders to hold talks on Monday.

And the Greater Ardoyne Residents Collective (GARC) said it was still
willing to meet with the lodges to discuss the marching standoff. In a
letter delivered to the orders involved in the dispute, it said that
they do not wish to hinder the Protestant religion, culture and
heritage.

But the increasingly hardline approach by the unionist leadership on
issues of parades, flags and the past, has scuppered the multi-party
talks. While there had been little expectation of progress after the
failed Haass/O’Sullivan discussions last December, the two main unionist
parties also significantly cancelled Friday’s meeting of the North-South
Ministerial Council, a cross-border body set up under the 1998 Good
Friday peace deal.

Sinn Fein leader Gerry Adams urged the Dublin and London governments
“not to acquiesce” to the increasingly overt unionist threats against
the political institutions.

He said the unionist walk out on the talks pointed to a deteriorating
situation in the political process “which has been going on for some
time”.

“The governments must make it clear that they are intent on ensuring
continuing progress,” he said. “This has to include the two governments
implementing agreements they have already made and which are their sole
responsibility.”