Marine Weather and TidesBath, NC

Version 3.4

What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:58AM

Sunset 6:59PM

Tuesday September 26, 2017 4:10 PM EDT (20:10 UTC)

Moonrise 11:51AM

Moonset 10:19PM

Illumination 36%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Synopsis
Hurricane maria is expected to track slowly off the north
carolina coast through mid week. A cold front will cross the
area late in the week. Please see the latest official forecasts
from the national hurricane center and local NWS offices.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
As of 310 pm tue... Slowly weakening maria will make closest
approach to area overnight with forecast position about 150
miles east of CAPE hatteras early Wednesday morning. Broad wind
field expected to produce tropical storm conditions for areas
mainly along and east of columbia-new bern-cape carteret line,
with storm surge potential of 2 to 4 feet. See hls for details.

Made slight adjustment to pops. Much of coastal plain will
remain dry but still kept likely pops on the outer banks. Lows
in the lower 70s throughout.

Short term Wednesday
As of 530 pm tue... Tropical storm force winds will be ongoing
across the obx, with moderate coastal impacts continuing due to
the slow northward movement of maria off the nc coast. The slow
moving nature of this system will prolong and possibly enhance
the impacts that eastern nc does receive. At this time, the
greatest impacts will be associated with the large surf
impacting the coast and significant beach erosion is likely with
ocean overwash probable in typically flood-prone areas around
times of high tide and likely persisting into Thursday. Highway
12 along the outer banks could be greatly impacted and may
become impassable at times, especially along pea island. Coastal
flooding along the southern pamlico sound is also possible but
the degree of flooding remains dependent upon how close maria
gets before recurving out to sea. The key driver for amount of
inundation from storm surge will be the duration and magnitude
of the northerly winds across the region. The soundside of the
outer banks from buxton to ocracoke, and possibly downeast
carteret county, look to be the most vulnerable locations for
sound side flooding at this time. Showers will slowly taper off
from southwest to northeast during the day as maria begins to
move away from the coast.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 255 pm Tuesday... Tropical cyclone maria will finally
slowly move away from the region Wednesday night and Thursday. A
cooler and drier airmass will then arrive Thursday night and
continue in place through the weekend. A small chance of showers
returns early next week as an inverted surface develops to our
south.

Wednesday night and Thursday... Maria will slowly move away from
the area Wednesday night and Thursday. Will continue small pops
for the northeastern CWA including the northern outer banks and
occasional light showers rotate across those areas as the
tropical cyclone moves away. Gusty NW winds will continue to
keep water levels elevated into Wednesday night, but this
situation should slowly improve by Thursday morning as the
storms starts to turn away from the coast. In the wake of
maria, with downsloping NW winds, temperatures will be quite
warm on Thursday with highs into the upper 80s away from the
immediate coast with a few spots possible hitting 90 degrees
Thursday afternoon, with highs in the low mid 80s outer banks.

This will be the last really warm day, before some cooler and
drier air arrive.

Thursday night through Sunday... Lower dewpoints should start to

arrive from the north Thursday night and remain in place through
the weekend as a much more comfortable fall-like airmass
overtakes eastern nc. High temperatures through the period will
be in the 70s, with lows upper 50s inland and low to mid 60s on
the coast. Dewpoints will be generally in the 50s through the
period.

Monday through Tuesday... With an inverted trough of low pressure
developing offshore to our south, will continue a small chance
of a few showers, mainly coastal zones, for Monday and Tuesday.

Temperatures will remain pleasant.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
Short term through 18z Wednesday ...

as of 310 pm tue... MVFR CIGS expected through Wed morning. As
maria moves away from the coast during the day,VFR conditions
will spread into the area from the west. Nnw winds 15-25 kts
through the period.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday ...

as of 3 pm Tuesday... Gusty NW winds should start to subside
Wednesday night, with good flying weather expected Thursday into
the weekend as high pressure builds in from the north, providing
cooler and drier weather.VFR conditions should prevail through
the period.

Marine
Short term tonight and Wednesday ...

as of 530 pm tue... Maria will continue to move N through
tonight and is forecast to be 150 miles east of CAPE hatteras at
8 am wed. Tropical storm force winds will persist tonight into
Wednesday across much of the marine area. Seas will peak at
15-20 feet tonight in the coastal waters north of ocracoke with
lower amounts south. Seas will begin to slowly subside during
the day Wednesday in the coastal waters south of oregon inlet as
maria begins to move away.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday ...

as of 3 pm Tuesday... Gusty NW winds on the back side of maria
will be ongoing Wednesday evening, but should slowly subside by
Thursday morning. Seas will take some time to subside, going
from 12-17 feet Wednesday night to 9-12 feet Thursday and 6-9
feet Thursday night. Winds should finally drop below SCA status
Friday with seas finally dropping below SCA status Friday night.

Ne winds will gradually increasing during the day Saturday as
high pressure builds south from the great lakes and seas may
start to approach SCA again late in the day Saturday.

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (16,3,4,5)

Disclaimer:The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.