Trump is coming into tonight’s debate with the wind at his back. The businessman won Tuesday’s Nevada caucuses, scoring his third straight win in a nominating contest. Watch for front-runner Trump to be the object of attacks, maybe most of all from Cruz, who Trump called a “liar” earlier this week.

Immigration is almost certain to be a major topic tonight – and an emotionally charged one at that. Trump’s statements about deporting undocumented immigrants and making Mexico pay for a border wall with the U.S. have been some of the most bombastic of the 2016 campaign. No doubt he’ll be asked to defend those comments tonight in Texas, which has a large population of Hispanics and shares a border with Mexico.

For Rubio, the immigration issue is a tricky one. Conservatives criticize his past support for a path to citizenship for people in the U.S. illegally, sometimes called “amnesty” by detractors. Look for him to try to show that he’s the establishment candidate in this race and deliver a simultaneous attack on Trump and Cruz.

Cruz is on his home turf tonight, and needs to put in a solid performance ahead of Super Tuesday, when Texas is among the states to vote. The Lone Star state has a whopping 155 delegates at stake, and it’s one state he can’t afford to lose.

Texas’ proximity to Mexico may also give the moderators reason to bring up some of Trump’s economic plans. Trump has said if American companies move to Mexico or other countries, he would slap a 35% tariff on goods they try to send back to the U.S.

And, boom: Off we go on immigration. Cruz is trying to sound even tougher than Trump, saying he wouldn’t forgive undocumented immigrants who broke the law — that is, let them back into the country after being deported. Trump says “the best of them” will be allowed to come back. It’s Trump who’s being more flexible here — could that play better with Hispanic voters?

Rubio came loaded with a New York Times article about Trump hiring foreign workers at his hotel in Palm Beach, Fla. But Trump quickly pivots to his business record and actually uses the article to crow about hiring people.

There’s lots of arguing now about Trump’s support among Hispanics. Trump insists he’s doing well, citing a poll from Nevada earlier this week that many have pointed out was based on a small sample. Other polls have showed him out of favor with the key voting bloc.

Trump is touting getting rid of state barriers to insurance companies for improving health care when Obamacare is repealed. That’s pretty much his whole argument on health care tonight, although he insists that pre-existing conditions be covered.

Obamacare requires insurers to cover pre-existing conditions. So, Trump appears to be having it both ways on health care. He’s previously said everyone should have access to care and that it’s “just human decency.”

Now the candidates are on to foreign policy. It’s essentially the who-is-more-pro-Israel competition so far. Yet Trump is talking out of both sides of his mouth by saying he’d be neutral on the Israel-Palestinian conflict — and that he’s pro-Israel.

Rubio says “the Palestinians are not a real-estate deal,” whacking Trump and saying he’s taken an “anti-Israel position.”

Rubio is coming on extremely strong tonight, dumping loads of opposition research and talking points on Trump. Trump was reeling earlier in the debate, especially over health care, but the real question is: Will his supporters care? Trump comes off stronger in individual speeches than in debates and mediocre debates have not hurt him.

The debate’s over. The consensus on political Twitter is that Rubio rocked it and had Trump on the ropes. But in the same breath some pundits are questioning if it will matter on Super Tuesday, March 1, when people actually vote.

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