Three times a year, the GEAB produces a calendar of significant events during the next four months. This calendar is the kind of tool normally used by the world’s major strategists, who are wary of sharing such tools and especially of making their comments on these formational events public. Fortunately, LEAP is here and its calendar of forthcoming events will save you valuable time when reading the news in the coming months. You’ll already know about it!

October – Brussels: Theoretical end of the NATO Secretary General’s term of office

The current NATO Secretary General took office on 1 October 2014 for the usual four-year term. But in December 2017, NATO members decided to add another two years to his term, thus making it a six-year term. Therefore, there will be no change at the head of NATO on that date. Jens Stoltenberg has stated his desire to devote this two-year ‘bonus’ to the strengthening of the transatlantic relationship.

The reinforcement of the transatlantic relationship, secret operations on all sides, skirmishes between the Chinese and North Americans in the China Sea, trade wars, hard rights rising, warning shots on [...]

If you mix oil with paper and throw in a match, what do you think it will happen? This short article is intended to add to our list of oil market features a phenomenon we began to discern last month, but which, in our view, is growing. Most importantly, this phenomenon brings us closer to a ‘day of reckoning’ with potentially cataclysmic consequences. Despite no longer being at the centre of the economic world, we know the degree to which oil remains the pillar of the international monetary and financial system based on the still resisting dollar…

Currently, the media is marking 10 years of a crisis they didn’t see coming in the first place and questioning experts they did not listen to at the time (at best) or who became experts after its advent (at worst). Hence, it’s time to recall that LEAP/E2020 and the GEAB were among the very few who first forecasted the crisis – in the midst of complete media indifference – with a degree of detail that was barely equalled…