Final Score Power Index - an objective evaluation of NFL teams, based on final scores of games played.

Wednesday, September 29, 2010

NFL: Week 4 Game Picks

Game

APR

SRS

Line

49ers @Falcons

Falconsρ=1.7346

Falconsδ=30.2

Falcons-7

Bears @Giants

Bearsρ=1.5229

Bearsδ=19.8

Giants-3½

Broncos @Titans

Titansρ=1.4966

Titansδ=18.3

Titans-6½

Panthers @Saints

Saintsρ=1.4688

Saintsδ=21.8

Saints-13½

Jets @Bills

Jetsρ=1.3515

Jetsδ=16.6

Jets-4½

Lions @Packers

Packersρ=1.3292

Packersδ=14.0

Packers-14½

Colts @Jaguars

Coltsρ=1.2877

Coltsδ=18.1

Colts-8½

Ravens @Steelers

Steelersρ=1.2305

Steelersδ=19.8

Steelers-1½

Cardinals @Chargers

Cardinalsρ=1.2102

Chargersδ=8.4

Chargers-8

Redskins @Eagles

Eaglesρ=1.2060

Eaglesδ=10.0

Eagles-6

Seahawks @Rams

Ramsρ=1.1091

Seahawksδ=3.6

Seahawks-1

Texans @Raiders

Raidersρ=1.0468

Texansδ=8.4

Texans-3

Bengals @Browns

Bengalsρ=1.0457

Brownsδ=1.0

Bengals-3

Patriots @Dolphins

Patriotsρ=1.0161

Patriotsδ=0.2

Patriots-1

Bye: Cowboys, Chiefs, Vikings, Buccaneers

Comments:

10 Unanimous picks this week—things are starting to
settle down.

The Line likes the Giants this week? Well, the Bears could be
overrated, and they are traveling on a short week after a big
divisional win. On the other hand, the Giants have given every
indication that they're really bad this year.

The Seahawks have a couple very questionable home wins, and a
bad road loss to the not-very-good Broncos. I think the Rams'
resurgent defense could be enough to give them an actual 2-game
winning streak.

Everybody likes the Patriots over the Dolphins. It will be
something of a bellwether if the Pats do win—you have to go
back to 2008 to find their last solid road win.