Overnight, I’ve lost some confidence in my longshot selection. I’ll put it down anyway in case somehow I was actually right.

#9 Pablo Del Monte (20-1 ML, 50-1 in early betting)

Ran a New Pace Top in Bluegrass. Held stubbornly on for third in that race - where the top seven or eight finishers came from far behind (a look at the chart is incredible). Closers dominated the entire card that day at Keeneland and PDM was about the only speed that held on reasonably well all day.

Maybe he didn’t like the kickback when rated at Gulfstream. Today he’s drawn to the outside of all the speed. Or, if no one wants the lead, he could pull an Oxbow.

Of course the knocks are plentiful. But, hey, he’s a huge price and could make some decent payoffs possible in a race that should be dominated by a heavy and deserving favorite. Besides, there’s knocks on just about everyone in the race.

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