PADDOCKS PATENT (WEDNESDAY)

14:55 Chepstow
A few of the big yards are represented here and the form may be worth following, as most have shown ability of sorts so far. Nicky Henderson has been almost impossible to pin down for punters this season, his twice raced Special Agent is interesting though and its unlikely we have seen anything like his best of yet. The six year old showed clear signs off ability when fourth in a bumper on debut and followed that up by making all the next time at Worcester, the form of that isn’t anything to go overboard about but the potential is there and this step up in trip on Hurdles debut is likely to suit. Market confidence would bolster confidence for him but his chance is a fair one and being owned by the Queen, he is expected to be fit enough and can win. Kamool was friendless in the market on debut and eventually allowed to go off at 50/1, it was a soft looking bumper and the winner won as he liked. His yard is starting to fire though and with this extra yardage he is another with a decent chance. Carningli was pretty decent in bumpers but has so far disappointed over hurdles, market strength would be interesting but the way he has stopped to nothing the last twice is worrying and he cannot be trusted as things stand. Bulfin Island is another unexposed sort, its hard to weigh up how strong his recent second was and he looked the type to improve over 3m+, he must be afforded respect but is hard to get excited about at 3/1.
Special Agent (WIN)

15:30 Chepstow
Quite By Chance disappointed when pulled up last time out and is dropped to the minimum trip as a result, with connections keen to point out the heavy ground was to blame for that listless run. Judged on earlier efforts on less taxing ground the Tizzard challenger has strong claims and is one of only two runners in this to have won over fences. The drop in trip is slightly worrying given he has recorded his better form over further but this track is a stiff one and he is handed the vote to bounce back. Going Concern is the only other chase winner in this and he could challenger despite falling last time, his recent break would be the downside however and he is probably best watched this time. Dresden has hinted at ability on numerous occasions and once again did that when second at Ludlow last time, he will pick one of these up before long and is highly respected today, he ma struggle to concede three pounds to the selection though and lacks the proven toughness of that rival.
Quite By Chance (WIN)

16:55 Musselburgh
This looks a pretty weak bumper despite a few of them having wins next to their names in Points, Gingili could be an exception though and is victory in a bumper around here last time at least offers hope. Donald McCain’s charge still looked very green in that aforementioned bumper and the fact a winner has subsequently come out of it has to be taken as a positive, the downside is he has been penalised and must give everything at least seven pounds. Vinron hails from a yard not known for bumper winners, his recent seventh at Cheltenham in a listed race is interesting though and although taken on, his chance is pretty solid on the book. Newcomer Octagon looks up against it and his yards record in bumpers is off putting whilst Crockett ran yesterday and has to be considered an unlikely runner. Don Cantillon sends out It Is I as his only runner on the card, his second at Lingfield last time was a decent effort and he probably would have won with another stride. The mammoth journey from Newmarket is unlikely to have been to view the scenery and although 2/1 looks pretty short enough, his shrewd handler knows how to win these and he is taken to take advantage of the weight concession from Gingili.
It Is I (WIN)