Earn an MBA From UNCAn Online Program That Meets the Demands of Military Life. Get Info. onlinemba.unc.edu/military

barack obama phone
Ads by Google
Quick quiz:

Which of the following groups of Americans have the lowest support for President Barack Obama?

A) Catholics

B) White men without college degrees

C) Tech CEOS

D) Seniors

And the answer is...

B: White men without college degrees.

According to a recent Quinnipiac poll, Obama's support among this group fell to 29%, which is the lowest of any Democrat in recent history.

The question is... why?

White men without college degrees--like any group of adults without college degrees--tend toward the lower end of the income scale. And relative to the policies of, say, Mitt Romney, Obama's policies tend to offer more of a helping hand to lower-income people. So you might think that most people without a college degree might be more favorably disposed toward Obama.

Nope.

So, what's the answer?

According to Ronald Brownstein at The National Journal, the answer is this:

Many [working-class whites] are culturally-conservative; more are deeply skeptical of government (including [Obama's] health care plan); and most are struggling in the sustained economic downturn. Polls also consistently show many working-class whites are deeply uneasy about the propulsive racial and ethnic changes that Obama uniquely embodies.

Given the importance of working-class votes in the key swing states for the November election, you might think that this record-low support would doom Obama's chances. Surprisingly, however, Obama's doing better among this voter group in the swing states than he is nationally.

Here's Brownstein again:

Such a poor performance among working-class whites would enormously complicate Obama's hopes in older Rust Belt states where they predominate, including Ohio, Iowa, Michigan and Wisconsin (and to a slightly lesser extent Pennsylvania). But in several of those states, recent polls (like Quinnipiac's most recent Ohio and Pennsylvania surveys) show Obama running slightly better with non-college whites than he's run nationally, which has allowed him to maintain a lead.

According to a recent Quinnipiac poll, Obama's support among this group fell to 29%, which is the lowest of any Democrat in recent history.

The question is... why?

White men without college degrees--like any group of adults without college degrees--tend toward the lower end of the income scale. And relative to the policies of, say, Mitt Romney, Obama's policies tend to offer more of a helping hand to lower-income people. So you might think that most people without a college degree might be more favorably disposed toward Obama.

Nope.

So, what's the answer?

According to Ronald Brownstein at The National Journal, the answer is this:

Quote:

Many [working-class whites] are culturally-conservative; more are deeply skeptical of government (including [Obama's] health care plan); and most are struggling in the sustained economic downturn. Polls also consistently show many working-class whites are deeply uneasy about the propulsive racial and ethnic changes that Obama uniquely embodies.

Given the importance of working-class votes in the key swing states for the November election, you might think that this record-low support would doom Obama's chances. Surprisingly, however, Obama's doing better among this voter group in the swing states than he is nationally.

Here's Brownstein again:

Quote:

Such a poor performance among working-class whites would enormously complicate Obama's hopes in older Rust Belt states where they predominate, including Ohio, Iowa, Michigan and Wisconsin (and to a slightly lesser extent Pennsylvania). But in several of those states, recent polls (like Quinnipiac's most recent Ohio and Pennsylvania surveys) show Obama running slightly better with non-college whites than he's run nationally, which has allowed him to maintain a lead.

Ethnic minorities vote heavy for Obama.
Women vote very strong for Obama.
Religious minorities vote heavy for Obama.
Catholics lean Obama.
People with higher education vote for Obama.
People in urban centers high density population areas vote Obama.
Single people and untraditional households go strong Obama.
People 44 and under go strong Obama.

Whites go strong against Obama.
Men vote pretty strong against Obama.
Evangelicals vote heavy against Obama.
People with less education go pretty well against Obama.
People in rural populations go heavy against Obama.
Married, traditional households lean against Obama.
People 45 and over go against Obama.

The difference, it seems to me, is the significantly more diverse coalition of Democratic supporters and a far more homogenized Republican electorate.

Ethnic minorities vote heavy for Obama.
Women vote very strong for Obama.
Religious minorities vote heavy for Obama.
Catholics lean Obama.
People with higher education vote for Obama.
People in urban centers high density population areas vote Obama.
Single people and untraditional households go strong Obama.
People 44 and under go strong Obama.

Whites go strong against Obama.
Men vote pretty strong against Obama.
Evangelicals vote heavy against Obama.
People with less education go pretty well against Obama.
People in rural populations go heavy against Obama.
Married, traditional households lean against Obama.
People 45 and over go against Obama.

The difference, it seems to me, is the significantly more diverse coalition of Democratic supporters and a far more homogenized Republican electorate.

As always. In modern history, anyway. Obama didn't create that.

I'm interested to discover people with less education voted against Obama. I'd like to hear more.

__________________
"Not every one that saith unto me, Lord, Lord, shall enter into the kingdom of heaven; but he that doeth the will of my Father ... And then will I profess unto them, I never knew you: depart from me, ye that work iniquity."

"If the people let government decide what foods they eat and what medicines they take, their bodies will soon be in as sorry a state as are the souls of those who live under tyranny." - Thomas Jefferson