Eurozone Growth to Hit Fastest in a Decade in 2017

by Naharnet Newsdesk09 November 2017, 17:39

The EU sharply raised its eurozone growth forecast for 2017 on Thursday, confident that the economic recovery was gathering pace despite the uncertainties of Brexit.

The 19-country eurozone will grow by 2.2 percent in 2017, its fastest pace in a decade, the European Commission said in its autumn economic forecasts.

This was substantially higher than the previous forecast of 1.7 percent and comes just after the EU's latest GDP growth figures resoundingly beat expectations.

The commission said dark clouds that did exist included the outcome of Brexit talks between EU and Britain as well as geopolitical tensions between the US and North Korea.

Britain saw its outlook for 2017 slashed due to "uncertainty" over Brexit.

"After five years of moderate recovery, European growth has now accelerated," EU Economy Commissioner Pierre Moscovici said.

"We see good news on many fronts, with more jobs being created, rising investment and strengthening public finances," he added.

EU officials hope the dynamic economy will help ambitious reform drives by European Commission chief Jean-Claude Juncker and French President Emmanuel Macron to deepen economic integration in the eurozone.

In its forecasts, the European Commission said growth in 2018 would edge lower to a still strong 2.1 percent, followed by 1.9 percent in 2019.

- France up, Britain down -

All eyes were on France, where French President Emmanuel Macron has pushed through controversial reforms to cut spending and loosen rules on hiring and firing in the jobs market.

The EU predicted these reforms would benefit the economy, with French growth to hit 1.6 percent this year, up from the earlier 1.4 percent.

The Commission also said that the French deficit this year would fall under the EU's limit of 3.0 percent of annual GDP.

France's debt was still high at 96.9 percent and would remain at that level through 2019.

The outlook was positive for Spain despite the crisis over Catalonia, with its growth foreacast upgraded to a robust 3.1 percent for this year, leading the eurozone's major economies.

The EU said the 28-nation bloc as a whole would grow by 2.3 percent in 2017, followed by 2.1 percent in 2018.

But the report was especially sour for non-euro Britain which saw its growth forecast for 2017 slashed to 1.5 percent. The economy would slow even further to 1.3 percent in 2018, followed by 1.1 percent in 2019.

The positive data for the eurozone come after the European Central Bank (ECB) announced last month it was starting to wind down the massive support it has given the 19-member currency zone to help it through the crises of recent years, in view of the "increasingly robust and broad-based economic expansion."