As you can see, the most likely scenario (based on odds alone) is 1) New England 2) Oakland 3) Pittsburgh 4) Houston 5) KC 6) Miami.

The Steelers and Texans are locked into their spots so the Chiefs will face one of them on the road if they don’t win the AFC West. If KC does grab the No. 2 seed, it’s looking like Pittsburgh would likely come to Kansas City as it’s difficult to see the Dolphins beating the Steelers on the road.

One interesting scenario is the Chiefs taking the No. 5 seed, facing a Tom Savage-led Texans team, and then facing a Matt McGloin-led Raiders team the next week (assuming Oakland ends up with the No. 1 seed). I’d still prefer a first-round bye, but that scenario definitely doesn’t sound bad on paper.

As for the rest of the league, here are the scenarios for the NFC if you’re interested: