You're SO special! (snicker)

3

Seriously though, over-estimating one's uniqueness is a huge problem for investors, and in the past, pyschologists have shown that our ability to predict the future is greatly clouded by our tendency to far overweight our own perceptions of reality.

If that study is right, there may be a lot of easy money to be made by people who step away from the "sure thing" that everyone feels in their guts.