Running Back and Wide Receiver Gold Mining – Week 13

Welcome to week 13. The graphs below summarize the projections from a variety of sources. This week’s summary includes projections from: CBS: CBS Average, Yahoo Sports, NFL, FOX Sports, NumberFire, FantasySharks, ESPN and FantasyFootballNerd. The data for this article were collected on 12/01/15. For more details on WR gold mining and how to interpret the graphs below, see Chad’s post explaining gold mining.

Standard Scoring League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Giovani Bernard, David Johnson, Shaun Draughn, Spencer Ware and C.J. Spiller are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.

Darren McFadden, Chris Ivory, Charles Sims, Joique Bell and Mike Tolbert are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.

On the other hand, Devonta Freeman, Carlos Hyde, David Johnson, Shaun Draughn and Ryan Mathews are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Point-per-Reception League Running Back Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Giovani Bernard, David Johnson, Shaun Draughn, Spencer Ware and C.J. Spiller are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.

Chris Ivory, LeGarrette Blount, Isaiah Crowell, Joique Bell and Mike Tolbert are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.

On the other hand, Devonta Freeman, Charcandrick West, Carlos Hyde, Shaun Draughn and Ryan Mathews are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Standard Scoring League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Dez Bryant, Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson, Pierre Garcon and Marques Colston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.

Julio Jones, Jarvis Landry, Randall Cobb, T.Y. Hilton and Amari Cooper are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.

On the other hand, Danny Amendola, Allen Hurns, Tyler Lockett, Eddie Royal and Keshawn Martin are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

Point-per-Reception League Wide Receiver Roundup

From the graph below notice that:

Dez Bryant, Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson, Pierre Garcon and Marques Colston are the five players with the largest upside (as measured by the 90th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts). For these players, some projections are placing much higher valuations than others. If you are projected to lose this week by quite a few points and are looking for a risky play that may tip the balance in your favor, these are players to consider.

Julio Jones, Randall Cobb, T.Y. Hilton, Jeremy Maclin and Amari Cooper are the players with the smallest downside (as measured by the 10th percentile of a player's projected points across analysts), which suggests that while their median projection might not be great, there is less uncertainty concerning how poorly they may perform. So, if you are likely to win by a lot and want to reduce your downside risk, these players may deserve extra attention.

On the other hand, Odell Beckham, Danny Amendola, Allen Hurns, Tyler Lockett and Eddie Royal are the five players with the largest downside this week. If you are planning on starting them, it may be prudent to investigate why some projections have such low expectations for these players.

I’m a fan of the site, and the way the data is compiled. I stumbled on it a few weeks ago and was wondering about a draft guide for next year. Do you produce any type of pre-season draft guide? Thanks.