Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 170730
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2009
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NERN NM...SE CO...WRN OK/TX
PNHDL...FAR SW KS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE CNTRL U.S. WITH HOT AND
DRY AIR EXPANDING NWD. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NRN
ROCKIES...AND WILL HELP LOW PRESSURE TROUGH TO DEEPEN OVER THE NRN
AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH MAY RESULT IN
A FOCUSED AREA OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER FROM NERN NM INTO SE CO. IN
ADDITION...MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A FEW DRY
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SRN NM AND SERN AZ.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NERN NM...SE CO...WRN OK/TX
PNHDL...FAR SW KS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SWLY WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES AND A HIGH
HAINES INDEX...LOW RH
SWLY FLOW ON THE NWRN EDGE OF THE RIDGE WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE FROM
NERN NM INTO SW KS. WITH A DEEPLY MIXED AND HOT AIR MASS...SUSTAINED
WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TO 20-30 MPH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL MAINLY BE
IN THE 90S F WITH MIN RH NEAR 10-15 PERCENT. A HIGH HAINES INDEX
WILL LIKELY EXIST WITHIN THE SURFACE THERMAL AXIS WITH LARGE LOW
LEVEL INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON.
MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALSO INCREASE FROM THE S...AROUND THE W EDGE
OF THE UPPER RIDGE. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE THUS EXPECTED BY
LATE AFTERNOON OVER SERN AZ...AND MUCH OF CNTRL AND SWRN NM.
..JEWELL.. 06/17/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 170731
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0231 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2009
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL AND NRN
ROCKIES...FLATTENING THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SRN PLAINS A BIT AND
CAUSING LOW PRESSURE TO FORM OVER NEB/IA. WARM WEATHER WILL PERSIST
UNDER THE RIDGE ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS OVER THE CNTRL AND SRN
PLAINS. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE OVER CO AND
NM...WITH ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER NM AND PERHAPS ERN AZ AS
MID LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMS NWD OUT OF MEXICO.
...ERN AZ AND NM...
MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE S...AND WILL RESULT IN
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ERN MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MTNS OF
AZ...AS WELL AS ACROSS MUCH OF WRN NM. OVERALL BOUNDARY LAYER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO MOISTEN COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS
DAY...WITH A GREATER THREAT OF WETTING RAINS. HOWEVER...LIGHTING
STRIKES MAY STILL RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS WHERE FUELS REMAIN DRY.
MIN RH IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 20 PERCENT RANGE...WITH SWLY WINDS
OF 10-15 MPH.
..JEWELL.. 06/17/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...