World and African population growth

A 2014 prediction was that the current world population of seven billion would increase to 11 billion by the end of the century and still be rising. This is contrary to previous estimates that the number would peak at 9 billion. Much of the increase will come from sub-Saharan Africa which is expected to quadruple in population size from around 1 billion to 4 billion. The main reason is that birth rates in sub-Saharan Africa have not been going down as fast as had been expected previously.[1]

One explanation for Sub-Saharan African birth rates not going down as expected is not considering racial differences such as the differential K theory.

Percentages of world population who want to emigrate

About 13% of the world's population said in 2009-2011 that they would like to leave their country permanently. The large majority would like to migrate to the developed world, in particular Western countries.[2] Similar surveys in 2007-2009 found that residents of sub-Saharan African countries were most likely to express a desire to move abroad permanently. 38% of the adult population in the region said that they would like to do this if the opportunity arises. For the Middle East and North Africa the number was 23%.[3]

Near future mass migration predictions

Wars and instability in previously relatively stable border countries such as Iraq, Syria, and Libya have created large number of persons who want to emigrate to Europe and may have made it easier for persons from other countries to travel through such countries to Europe.

The former Libyan leader Qaddafi warned in 2011 shortly before his death (due to the "Arab Spring" and a civil war with Western countries involved in opposing Qaddafi) that "There are millions of blacks who could come to the Mediterranean to cross to France and Italy, and Libya plays a role in security in the Mediterranean."[4]

In 2016 Germany’s Development Minister warned that Europe has barely even seen the start of the migrant influx. He said only 10 per cent of Syrian and Iraqi migrants have reached Europe so far and “eight to ten million are still on the way”, with even more to come from Africa. “The biggest movements are ahead: Africa’s population will double in the coming decades”. He said that in the digital age we live in, more people than ever know about the prosperity of Western nations thus making it more likely they will try to travel here.[5]

In 2017, an analysis by the Austrian Military Intelligence, an agency of the Austrian Armed Forces, predicted a sharp rise in unemployment across Africa, which would lead to up to 15 million economic migrants traveling to Europe before 2020.[6]

Also in 2017, the president of the European parliament said that 20 million African migrants were heading for Europe in the near future.[7] He has also warned of "underestimating" the scale and severity of the migration crisis, an exodus "of biblical proportions" and "millions of Africans" entering the continent in the next five years unless urgent action is taken.[8]

According to UN figures, "Most migrants landing in Italy are sub-Saharan Africans who have crossed the Mediterranean from Libya." Italy's foreign minister stressed the importance of bolstering Libya's southern borders to end what he called "the biggest criminal travel agency in history".[8]

Another 2017 report stated that more than six million migrants were already waiting in North Africa, Jordan, and Turkey in order to travel to Europe. The majority of migrants landing on Italy's shores by the end of April were from Nigeria, Bangladesh, Guinea, the Ivory Coast and the Gambia.[9]

In yet another 2017 statement, Germany's Development Minister stated that 100 million Africans could head north.[10]

"In 2016, its 20 or so vessels—together with European Union and Italian naval and coastguard ships—“rescued” a record 181,000 migrants from open boats near the coast of Libya and brought them to Italy [...] The 2017 total is expected to be well over 200,000. [...] Most of these migrants are single young men from sub-Saharan Africa (Nigerians as ever top the country of origin league table of migrant sea arrivals to Italy)—not a Libyan, let alone a Syrian, among them. All have the equivalent of a couple of years’ wages in their country of origin just to pay to get on a people smuggler boat in Libya (1,000 euro). Few are refugees—unless every African is a refugee. [...] More than two-thirds of Italians (67%) now want Italy to close its ports to rescue vessels or deport all migrants ferried to Italy, and 61% want a naval blockade of the Libyan coast [...] These four charities receive money directly or indirectly from Open Society Foundation whose founder is the multi-billionaire champion of liberal elite good causes George Soros [...] the NGOs are under investigation by Sicilian magistrates for criminal collusion with the people smugglers [...] [Maritime law obliges ships to assist those “in distress” at sea—i.e. about to die. Is this honestly the case with these migrants? It also obliges the rescuing ship to take those rescued to “a safe place” usually defined as the nearest safe port—i.e. in Tunisia or Malta. So why Italy hundreds of miles to the north? And if the rescue takes place inside territorial waters, the rescuer is obliged to take the migrants back to shore—i.e to Libya. [...] discovered what I can only describe as a Libya-based migrant travel agency on Facebook which offers “tickets” to “passengers” with “discounts for group bookings” on “ferries”—a.k.a smuggler boats—complete with phone number. The journey only lasts “three or four hours” before the promised rendezvous with an NGO or EU, Italian naval or coastguard vessel."[11]

Individual Western countries

Australia

Australia does not have official statistics on the percentage of non-Whites. In 2012 non-Whites were estimated to be 15-20% of the population. The earlier immigration policy that restricted immigration to Whites was not fully dismantled until the 1970s.[12]

Belgium

In 2011 Muslims made up one-quarter of the population of Brussels. Since 2008, the most popular name in Brussels for baby boys has been Mohammed. Most Muslims in Brussels were stated to have an "us" versus "them" mindset. Fundamentalist strands of Islam were stated to be gaining grounds. Muslims were predicted to be the majority of the population of Brussels by 2030.[13]

Canada

In 2011, the percentage of "visible minorities" was 19.1%. 50 years earlier it was just 2%. By 2031, that number is expected to grow to 30.6%. Vancouver and Toronto are expected to become “majority-minority” cities with 60% belonging to a "visible minority" group by then.[14]

In 2017, "visible minorities" were expected to make up a growing percentage of the working age population, defined as people between the ages of 15 and 64, potentially doubling their share to 40% in 2036, up from the almost 20% in 2011. Up to 30 per cent of all Canadians could have a mother tongue that is neither English nor French. Almost half the country’s population could be an immigrant or the child of an immigrant.[15]

Eastern Europe

Eastern Europe generally have a much smaller problem regarding non-White immigration than Western Europe. However, birth rates are often low and there may be large populations of Gypsies with high birth rates. European Union membership which includes the principle of "Free movement of people" may make it difficult to avoid non-White immigration from other EU countries in the future (in particular if the situation in Western Europe should deteriorate so Eastern Europe becomes the more attractive area for non-Whites). Currently the principle allows Gypsies from Eastern Europe to move to Western Europe. Also many White young people travel to Western Europe which may be demographically problematic for the Eastern European countries. Hundreds of thousands of Eastern European women have been sold into sex slavery including to Israel and the Middle East.[16]

A 2012 American Renaissance article stated "Healthy nationalism has strong political representation in the East... The great threat to Eastern European nationalism today is the fact that Western Europe and the United States are wealthier. The West will certainly use its wealth to bribe and coerce East Europe to embrace the suicidal forms of diversity that are widespread in the West. The United States is also a source of much cultural poison in the form of movies, television, and music. I am optimistic that Russia and East Europe will be able to hold the line against the worst of these influences, but it is a race against time. Will the countries of Eastern Europe establish themselves as advanced, culturally and racially confident nations before they are fatally corrupted by the false ideas of the wealthier West?"[16]

France

France prohibits using ethnic or religious data. In 2009, France was estimated to have 4-7 million Arabs, 3-5 million Blacks, some 1.5 million Asians, and around 600,000 Jews. Using the highest of those estimates, those four categories represented nearly 22% of France's population.[17]

France does record medical statistics regarding the percentage of newborns who are screened for sickle-cell disease. The criteria for screening include having two parents from many non-Western regions (including the Middle East and Africa). The non-White population is underestimated by not all non-Western regions being included and insofar as half-White newborns are not counted, but on the other hand, non-Whites would be overestimated to the extent the figure includes Southern Italians, Greeks, and "uncertain" White newborns. 34.44% of newborns were screened in 2012. Six years earlier (in 2006) the figure was 27%.[18]

Germany

In 2009 a third of all children born in Germany belonged to immigrant families (including immigrants from European countries). There were about 3 million Turks in Germany and they were very poorly integrated. How long they had lived in Germany did not make much difference. A 2006 study found that 83 percent of Muslims of Turkish origins described themselves as religious or strictly religious. "Religiousness has increased," the authors of the study wrote.[19]

In 2013 about one fifth of the population had immigrant background. There were about 500,000 people of recent African origin believed to be living in Germany.[20]

A 2017 article stated "More than 1.6 million asylum-seekers are estimated to have entered Europe between 2014 and 2016, leading to the biggest refugee crisis since World War II. Most have settled in Germany. From 2015 on, Chancellor Merkel’s government has conducted what is now known as the ‘open-door’ migration policy, despite an avalanche of criticism from the public. While other European countries continue to be the main source of immigrant inflows, the federal office noted that 2.3 million people in Germany have their roots in the Middle East. This, according to the latest data, represents an almost 51 percent increase compared to 2011. Besides the Middle East, around 740,000 people in Germany are of African descent, with the figures having increased roughly by 46 percent compared to 2011. [...] 22.5 percent of Germany’s 82.4 million population are first or second generation immigrants where at least one parent was born without German citizenship."[21]

Greece

Many illegal immigrants enter Greece and Europe through the border with Turkey. Turkey has come under criticism because of its liberal visa requirements, which make it easy for immigrants to legally enter the country and then move on to Europe using smugglers and false papers. Citizens of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Syria and Iran, among many other nations, do not need a visa to enter Turkey. Many of those entering Greece move on to other European Union countries.[22]

The Golden Dawn nationalist party states that there are 3 million illegal immigrants and that current projections estimate that by 2020, there will be 4 million illegal immigrants in Greece, with 10 million indigenous Greeks. High immigrant crime, immigrant drain on public services, the economic crisis, high unemployment and illegal immigrant employment, and the danger of becoming ethnically cleansed in their native homeland if current immigration trends continue are some stated reasons for the dramatically increased public support of the party.[23]

Ireland

A 2007 article stated that "In the past ten years, Ireland has experienced a greater rise in the percentage of immigrants than Britain experienced over the past half century.... According to the 2006 census, which has been gradually released over the summer, 420,000 foreign nationals, or about 10 percent of the population, now live here.... In some primary schools in Dublin, some 50 percent of the children are from nonnational backgrounds."[24]

Netherlands

In 2006, of the 16.3 million Dutch population in general, almost 11 percent came from a non-western background. One in three residents of Amsterdam, Rotterdam and The Hague came from a non-western background. Over half the young people in Amsterdam and Rotterdam came from a non-western background.[25]

New Zealand

A 2012 article stated that "White Europeans could lose majority status in Auckland in the next few years as the combined population of Asians, Pacific Islanders and Maori increases, Statistics New Zealand figures indicate... Between 1986 and 2006, the numbers born in Asia and now resident in New Zealand increased by 661 per cent, with the Chinese (899.4 per cent) and Indians (841.6 per cent) dominating growth. Over that time the number of overseas-born Pacific people also doubled, and migrants from other countries, such as Africa, also increased."[26]

Russia

Russia has a significant non-White and often Muslim population with often high birth rates. There is also migration of Muslims to Russia from Asian Muslim countries. In 2006 Muslims were estimated to soon make up a majority of Russia’s conscript army, by 2020 be one-fifth of the population, and be more than half of the population by midcentury. A specialist on Islam in Russia argued that "Russia is going through a religious transformation that will be of even greater consequence for the international community than the collapse of the Soviet Union." Muslims migrants were also moving in large numbers to areas such as Moscow which had 2.5 million Muslim inhabitants. Many Slavic Russians feared becoming a minority in their own country. Ethnic/racial tensions were stated to be increasing.[27]

In 2009 the number of Chinese immigrants were estimated to run into the millions. In sparely populated Siberia there were fears that the Chinese were outnumbering the Russians in certain areas.[28]

In 2009 it was estimated that over the last 15 years, millions of Russian women had been ensnared in the sex trade and sold essentially as slaves, mainly to Muslim and Asian countries but also to Israel.[28]

Russia has taken various measures in order to improve the low (White) birth rate which has caused positive effects but the demographic situation has been argued to be problematic despite this.[29][30][31]

South Africa

"It is also easily forgotten that in 1868 Whites were half the population and there were more Whites than Black Africans.... It took less than 150 years for Whites to go from half the population of South Africa to becoming an endangered minority making up less than 10% of the population."[32]

Spain

In 2010 the number of immigrants registered as living in Spain had increased more than sixfold over the last 10 years. They accounted for 12% of the population. At the beginning of the 1990s the population was made up almost entirely of Spaniards, with immigrants accounting for less than 1% of residents. Immigrants have mostly come from other European countries (including Gypsies), South America and North Africa.[33]

In 2014 the financial crises and very high unemployment had caused many immigrants (as well as many Spaniards) to move to other European countries. Although there had been a decrease, large number of immigrants continued to arrive to Spain.[34]

Large numbers of Africans (including sub-Saharan Africans from all parts of Africa) have attempted to storm the barriers to Spanish enclaves in North Africa or have used boats (or even tried to swim) in order to try to cross the narrow Strait of Gibraltar.[35]

United Kingdom

2010 research found that White Britons (defined as White English, Welsh, Scottish and Irish-born citizens) will be a minority in the UK by 2066 if immigration continued at the current rate. The 50 per cent mark will be passed much quicker among schoolchildren, students and young workers. Foreign-born mothers accounted for a quarter of births in England and Wales. Both Leicester and Birmingham were expected to become "majority minority" during the 2020s. Two London boroughs were already majority non-white in 2001.[36]

The same researcher in 2016 stated that "I made a projection in 2010 [...] the White British population would cease to be the majority in the UK by the late 2060s. However, should current high levels of immigration persist for any length of time, that date would move closer to the present. Britain would then become unrecognisable to its present inhabitants."[37]

The 2011 census found that White British were only 44.9% of the population of London. The group Other White were an additional 14.9%. The absolute number of White British had decreased by 600,000 from the earlier census in 2001 indicating large scale White flight from the capital city.[38]

A 2014 study stated that 14% of the population was non-White. The number was expected to increase to up to a third of the population by 2050. In the 1960s they were only 5% of the population.[39]

Already in 2005 White Britons were less than 2/3 (64.4%) of newborns in England and Wales. Irish/Other White were an additional 5.1%.[40]

Mixed race persons were in 2014 stated to be the UK's fastest growing minority ethnic group.[41]

In 2016, mothers born outside the UK accounted for 28.2 per cent of live births in England and Wales.[42]

United States

In 1980 Whites were 80% of the population, in 2000 69%, and in 2013 63%. The U.S. was projected to become a White minority country by 2043. Deaths outpaced births among White Americans. Including immigration, the country's total non-White population grew 21 times faster than Whites. Almost half, 49.9 percent, of the nation’s children younger than 5 were non-Whites. Minorities younger than 18 were expected to overtake the number of White children by 2019.[43]

Contributing to worsening White demographics were declining fertility, increasing drugs and alcohol misuse, and increasing suicide.[45] A 2017 article stated that a new analysis found “an even bleaker picture of the nation’s largest-population group. Driving the uptick are increases in “deaths of despair”—from drugs, alcohol-related liver diseases and suicide, as well as a slowdown in progress against death in middle age from heart disease and cancer […] The analysis paints a portrait of a gradual “collapse of the white, high-school-educated working class after its heyday in the early 1970s,” whose health, mental well-being, and attachment to the labor force have become successively worse for people born after 1945, they said. The opioid epidemic has only heightened a trend that was already under way before those drugs hit the market […] “This doesn’t seem to be about current income,” Ms. Case said in a call with reporters. “It seems to be about accumulating despair.” […] The phenomenon is occurring all across the country, both in urban and rural area.”[46]

"About 15% of all new marriages in the United States in 2010 were between spouses of a different race or ethnicity from one another, more than double the share in 1980 (6.7%). Among all newlyweds in 2010, 9% of whites, 17% of blacks, 26% of Hispanics and 28% of Asians married out. Looking at all married couples in 2010, regardless of when they married, the share of intermarriages reached an all-time high of 8.4%. In 1980, that share was just 3.2%." Black males and Asian females married outside their race far more often than those of the opposite gender. Intermarriage rates among White and Hispanic newlyweds did not vary by gender. 43.3% of interracial marriages were White/Hispanic, 14.4% were White/Asian, 11.9% were White/Black, and 30.4% were Other Mixed.[47]

"More than one-third of Americans (35%) say that a member of their immediate family or a close relative is currently married to someone of a different race. Also, nearly two-thirds of Americans (63%) say it “would be fine” with them if a member of their own family were to marry someone outside their own racial or ethnic group. In 1986, the public was divided about this." 43% said the trends towards more interracial marriages had been a change for the better, while 11% said it had been a change for the worse.[47]

"One-in-seven U.S. infants (14%) were multiracial or multiethnic in 2015, nearly triple the share in 1980, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of Census Bureau data. This increase comes nearly a half century after the landmark Supreme Court case Loving v. Virginia legalized interracial marriage."[48]

Demographic genocide

The term demographic genocide is sometimes used to describe the demographic consequences. While mass migration, race mixing, and population replacement may not cause a genocide in the sense of murdering a group, genocide has been described as a more general concept: "Generally speaking, genocide… is intended rather to signify a coordinated plan of different actions aiming at the destruction of essential foundations of the life of national groups, with the aim of annihilating the groups themselves. The objectives of such a plan would be the disintegration of the political and social institutions, of culture, language, national feelings, religion, and the economic existence of national groups, and the destruction of the personal security, liberty, health, dignity, and even the lives of the individuals belonging to such groups… Genocide has two phases: one, destruction of the national pattern of the oppressed group [called: denationalization]; the other, the imposition of the national pattern of the oppressor."[49]

Demographic warfare

In 2017, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan stated to the Turks in Europe "Make not three, but five children. Because you are the future of Europe. That will be the best response to the injustices against you." This has been interpreted as an imperialist call for demographic warfare.[50]

Causes of low White birth rates

The causes of and remedies against the low White birth rates are often viewed only in economic terms. This despite birth rates being much higher when White countries were much poorer and research on dysgenics finding that higher IQ and presumably richer individuals now having fewer children than lower IQ individuals with the reverse being the case earlier in history. Another explanation is the large scale cultural changes which have often been influenced by Cultural Marxism.

Spiegel Online stated regarding a 2012 German report that while there were economic factors acting as incentives against having children there were also other explanations. "For many Germans, establishing a family has taken a backseat to a career, hobbies and friends. The report concludes that "children no longer represent a central aspect of life for all Germans." The reasons for this development are myriad. For one, societal views on parenting have changed considerably. Fifty years ago, a person in Germany was first considered to be a grown up after they had established a career, gotten married and had children. But today society doesn't provide the same level of recognition for having children. Statistics show that few believe their position in society will be improved by having offspring."[51]

A 2017 study stated that "assessing the results of nearly 200 studies say sperm counts among men from North America, Europe, Australia, and New Zealand, seem to have halved in less than 40 years. [...] The study also indicates the rate of decline among men living in these countries is continuing and possibly even increasing. [...] In contrast, no significant decline was seen in South America, Asia and Africa, but the researchers point out that far fewer studies have been conducted on these continents."[52] See also the article on endocrine disruptors.

Consequences of declining White demographics

Immigration critics have warned for many different kinds of negative effects from mass immigration. However, such critics often do not mention possible genetic causes of such problems and genetic consequences of mass migration and may therefore miss many of the most problematic aspects, such as the permanent nature of genetic changes.

One example of argued negative effects is declining average country IQ which has many negative associations. See the article on Countries and intelligence.

Minority interests

Minority support for mass immigration of non-Whites is in part due to the assumption that this will improve the situation for minorities. This is arguably dubious since the situation for minorities in non-White countries is generally much worse than in White countries, with for example, there being severe penalties for homosexuality in many non-White countries (including the death penalty), Jewish expulsions having expelled most Jews from Muslim countries, and religious freedom being very limited or absent in many non-White countries.

A 2014 study found that 2/3 of studied Muslim immigrants to Europe and their children stated that Islamic sharia law was more important to them than the laws of the country in which they lived. Nearly 60% of the Muslims interviewed rejected homosexuals as friends and 45% said Jews cannot be trusted. Instead of declining as often assumed by liberals, fundamentalist support was increasing sharply and just as widespread among younger Muslims as among older Muslims.[53][54] See also anti-Islamization.

Jewish organizations in the United States have increasingly become worried by research finding that non-Whites often express more negative attitudes towards Jews and Israel than Whites. One Jewish worry is that the mass immigration of Hispanics may therefore decrease the large Jewish influence in the future. Many Jewish organizations have therefore increasingly started large scale propaganda campaigns and hasbara efforts aimed at Hispanics and in particular at the Hispanic leadership.[55] Also other aspects of non-White immigration to the US have been argued to be worrying for Jews.[56] The future for European Jews have become increasingly questioned due to factors such as increasing Islamism. 50,000 Jews from France were in 2015 predicted to emigrate to Israel in the next few years.[57] Also Israel will likely be affected by an increasingly Muslim Europe and Russia.

A 2010 study argued that the large Hispanic immigration to the United States has displaced Blacks from low-skilled jobs which has caused effects such as increased Black unemployment and increased Black violent crime.[58]

Whites increasingly pro-White

A 2014 study found that making Whites aware of Whites now being a minority in California and Whites becoming a minority in the US in the future increased support for conservative policy positions. "Moreover, the results implicate group-status threat as the mechanism underlying these effects. Taken together, this work suggests that the increasing diversity of the nation may engender a widening partisan divide."[59]