Friday, March 4, 2011

The Friday Fade

I'm tired. It's cold. Nothing is happening.

Ms. Market is dancing on the table again after a brief rest. Krypto has no new orders, but she seems to be getting ready to sell some European stocks (which are up a bit as the Euro rallies). She's also getting ready to sell some RE stocks. Taken together, the sell signals are strong enough, but that's not how the Krypto Fund works. She buys and / or sells on an individual asset class basis. We wait for higher prices and will monitor the numbers more often.

The unemployment claims numbers showed strong improvement. Let's see the jobs numbers today. Despite the inflation screechers who want to crucify the American worker on a cross of green (or gold), Battleship Ben's quantitative easing program has and is producing good results since it was announced last August. Job losses had fallen, job growth is better (but still lousy), and fear of a double dip recession vaporized under his heavy shelling. Keep it up, Ben. Fire away!!!

Investment LessonsFirst, notice that headline is Investment lessons, not trading lessons. The time horizon is years, not months or days or minutes.

Second, this is what I DO, not just what I SAY. Krypto Fund contains the majority of my net worth and these writings explain how I manage it - my own money. The Krypto Fund produced good long term results over the decades, including riding out the tidal waves of the Panic of 2008 and the 2000 Tech bubble. I have learned over the years not to second guess Krypto - the personification of my fund computer model that embodies my investment rules. Or is that dogification? Krypto is one of my dogs; she will lief* work for dog biscuits. [*Word of the Day]

Third, the objective is to do a wee bit better than average for the long term. Average is really very, very good. Most people's investment returns are way below average. They are the fodder for the Wall Street and Hedge Fund hogs. Be a winner, not a loser.

"Lief" - adverb [$10] archaic; appears often in Shakespeare, but also was common in the Irish dialect of the common people in the 1907 play of J. M. Synge, Playboy of the Western World .Lief means gladly, willingly (usu. had lief, would lief)Sentence: To paraphase Wimpy of the Popeye cartoons, Krypto would lief manage the fund next neek for a dog biscuit today.

Shakespeare, As You Like It, Act IV, scene I, Rosalind to Orlando:Nay, an you be so tardy, come no morein my sight: I had as lief be wooedof a snail.

About Me

I have a pioneer mentality. My wife & I live in the woods - neighbors aren't visible except slightly in winter. Our "bunker" - hehe, really a fine home & barn - has plenty of security. We have four dogs: Krypto (age 9, Kelpie), Ava (age 13, Rat Terrier), Sky (Kelpie, age 5) and Lucky Star (age 1, kelpie). I don't take crap from anyone anymore, having enough resources & gear stocked up to survive in any circumstance.
I have three degrees from Harvard including a Ph. D. in a physical science, and an MS in Management from MIT. I worked as an investment banker for about 25 years, mainly in secured finance, at three major Wall Street firms and for the last 17 years with my partners at our own firm. I'm semi-retired now, managing some private corporations and business interests and doing my own trading & investing. This is not to boast, but to give you an idea I know a little about some subjects from experience.
The photo is my 1943 M16 half-track which I am restoring. These armored vehicles were ubiquitous in the US Army in World War II and Korea. It's driveable.