I am a melvin guillard fan, however, i don't see him winning this fight. Joe won't try to stand with him unless he wants the same thing to happen to him as matt hughes when he tried to stand with GSP. I see Joe taken it to the ground, getting his back and locking on the rear naked choke. Guillard is exciting because he is explosive, but IMO his ground game is weak (at least he hasn't shown anything in his fights to prove otherwise).