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1. He can't seem to hit fastballs anymore. His numbers when hitting a fastball have went down for the last 4 seasons.
2. He's hitting a ton more GBs, which doesn't bode well for a slower player. His GB% in his prime was low to mid 30s. In 2010 his GB% was 37. And over 40% the last 2 seasons.

what are you an undercover scout?? you have way too much time on your hands

what are you an undercover scout?? you have way too much time on your hands

I'd rather see some actual stats to predict a guys future performance than blind faith that some guy that has been terrible two years running will all of a sudden be rejuvenated and have something to prove.

I'd rather see some actual stats to predict a guys future performance than blind faith that some guy that has been terrible two years running will all of a sudden be rejuvenated and have something to prove.

what are you an undercover scout?? you have way too much time on your hands

Plenty of sites do all the work for you these days. I simply looked at the stats. It's honestly not that hard to figure out why his production is going down. He's not hitting fastballs as well, and more balls put onto the ground. GBs work great for guys like Ichiro, Gardner, or other fast players. Not so well for a guy like Youk.

I'd rather see some actual stats to predict a guys future performance than blind faith that some guy that has been terrible two years running will all of a sudden be rejuvenated and have something to prove.

Neither is reliable. Let's just see how he does this year. Instead of predicting the worst how about hoping he has a productive year.

Neither is reliable. Let's just see how he does this year. Instead of predicting the worst how about hoping he has a productive year.

Nobody is predicting the worst. It's a realistic expectation that Youk wouldn't be as productive as he has been in year's past. His recent batted ball tendencies and other peripherals haven't been the most positive.

If he manages a .280/.370/.500 type year then that would be a pleasant surprise and would help this team plenty. It's just not realistic to expect that at this point.