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probably...take an icepick or a nut pick and probe a couple of the holes to see if they connect to tunnels or channels. If the channel is smooth (like it has been sanded = termites) termites like going with the grain of the wood... must taste better or easier to chew... the small round holes are made so they can clean out their waste from their passage ways.

Check your termite warranty... is it a repair bond or a retreat bond.. their promiss to retreat that area at no extra charge once your have made the repairs?

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So my termite guy came by today and took a look at the wood...he says this is mostly just moisture rot with likely wood boring beetles creating those holes. He was 99% certain those were not termites given that there was no other evidence at all (sawdust etc) around the areas.

I was going to take off the trim this Spring but I'll just do it sooner now, it needs to be done either way.

A good exterminator would have been 100% sure that this was not caused by termites. Those perfectly round exit holes were created by a beetle. Most likely a powderpost beetle but impossible to say for sure without a photo.