2013 Los Angeles Dodgers Top 50 prospects

Coupled with some big international signings, the 2012 draft class could be the organization's first step to rebuilding its weakened farm system.It's already in better shape than it was just one year ago. It's probably still a bottom-third organization, but it could be a among baseball's best in two years' time.

The current-year draft class always looks better, but there is some true impact potential rather than the low-ceiling, high-floor guys the Dodgers have drafted in recent years.

Something new for 2013 is my scouting grade tables. I am far from a scout, so some of the numbers might be a bit high or low. I tried not to give out too many extreme grades. Let me know what you think.

Eligibility
All players who have not reached 50 innings pitched, 130 at-bats in the Major Leagues and have less than 45 days of pre-Sept. 1 service time are eligible for this list. Ages are as of April 1, 2013.

Impact potential: B
- The system is stacked with quality right-handed starters and outfielders. There isn't that one big-time prospect who really draws the attention of people around the game. Still, there could be a few quality Major League starters in the bunch.

Depth: C+
- The system is deep in RHPs and OFs, but it lacks quality infielders. The catching depth is a little better after some players emerged and some were acquired via trade and the draft.

1. Zach Lee, RHP (6'4, 190, 21 years old)
- For the second consecutive year, Lee tops the Dodgers' prospect list. He got the edge over some of the higher ceiling prospects in the system due to his consistency and high floor. The 2010 first-rounder began his 2012 season with the Quakes before being promoted to the Lookouts. Lee has a great feel for pitching, especially for a guy who turned 21 in September. Lee has a nice variety of pitches, but none really standout out as plus-plus pitches. His fastball sits in the low-90s and has some movement. He also has a curveball, changeup and the ever-popular cut fastball. He's also tinkered with a slider in the past. Lee isn't a strikeout pitcher, but he does have a 7.6 strikeouts per nine for his career, which is definitely acceptable. The term "pitchabilty" comes to mind when thinking about Lee. Despite reaching Double-A in his second full season, Lee is at at least a year away from contributing as a starting pitcher in the majors. His career-high for innings pitched is 117 1/3, which he established this year. He could be a September call-up, but I wouldn't expect him to make his debut until 2014.

2. Yasiel Puig, RF (6'3, 215, 22 years old)
- Puig was inked to a record $42 million international contract in July and has impressed nearly everyone with his physique. However, he hasn't logged a lot of time on the field (91 plate appearances). He's playing in the Puerto Rican Winter League after being forced to sit out the Arizona Fall League due to a staph infection in his elbow. Puig's ceiling is that of Vladimir Guerrero, but it obviously remains to be seen if he even gets close to the future Hall of Famer. Puig has power potential to all fields and, as of now, has at least above-average speed. His arm is suitable for right field. Puig's biggest question is his hit tool, as there just isn't a lot of data on it. It'll be interesting to see how he does in his first full season of professional baseball.

3. Corey Seager, 3B/SS (6'3, 195, 18 years old)
- Seager was the Dodgers' first-round selection in the 2012 draft and had a nice debut season. He played in the Pioneer League with the Raptors, as most teenagers do. His best tool is his bat. He has a smooth left-handed stroke and is adept at going the other way. Seager's power comes to his pull side, which is no surprise. But he does has a lean body and there are questions whether his power will develop enough to justify playing him at third base. The Dodgers went through a similar situation with James Loney. Seager was able to post a .194 ISO, but it came in a hitter-friendly league. The positive thing is, he's just 18 years old and hasn't yet filled out. The Dodgers have said they're going to play Seager at shortstop until he proves he can't handle it. That should come after the 2013 season. That isn't a knock against Seager, but the game will get too fast for him at shortstop as he progresses through the minors. He was also a surprising 7-for-9 in stolen bases, but he doesn't have better than average speed. Despite questions about his power, he is the Dodgers' future at third base.

2012 ranking: 2 (midseason)2013 location: Low-A Great LakesETA: 2016

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

40

60

Power

35

55

Speed

45

50

Fielding

45

55

Arm

60

60

4. Hyun-Jin Ryu, LHP (6'2, 215, 26 years old)
- The
Dodgers posted the highest bid for the Korean left-hander who bears
resemblance to David Wells. They then signed him to a 6-year, $36 million contract (with bonuses, could be as much as $42 million). It's not
often a guy in his mid-20s would be near the top of a prospect list,
but Ryu has that kind of potential in a weaker Dodger farm system. Ryu
is a Tommy John surgery survivor with a fastball that sits in the 87-92
MPH. He also has a fringy curveball and slider. His out pitch is his
plus changeup, which is pretty standard for left-handed starters. If he
can lock down a legitimate third pitch, Ryu should have few problems
reaching his No. 3 starter potential.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: MajorsETA: 2013

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

45

50

Curveball

40

45

Changeup

55

55

Slider

40

45

Command/Control

45

50

Delivery

45

50

5. Joc Pederson, OF (6'1, 210, 20 years old)
- Pederson was the Dodgers' 2010 11th-round pick and signed for $600,000 to deter him from attending the University of Southern California. He was named the Dodgers' Minor League Player of the Year, and I gave him the same distinction. I wrote a scouting report on Pederson back in June after seeing him in person. It was also before he exploded for a big second half, further cementing his prospect status. He combines quick hands, a strong build and good bad control while at the plate. For a younger player, he has a good feel for the strike zone, as he walked 10.2 percent of his plate appearances this season. His strikeout rate was about 4 percent better than the California League average, where he competed against better competition. His offensive numbers can be questioned as the Cal League is a notorious hitter's league, but the tools are there to be an average major leaguer. While he has the skills to play center field, his future lies in a corner -- likely left field. His arm is plenty good for either left or center and probably a tick below-average in right. My comp for him is Melky Cabrera with more pop.

2012 ranking: 62013 location: Double-A ChattanoogaETA: mid-2014

Tools

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Hitting

50

60

Power

40

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Speed

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50

Fielding

45

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Arm

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60

6. Matt Magill, RHP (6'3, 190, 23 years old)
- The Dodgers drafted Magill in the 31st round of
the 2008 draft, and obviously did quite well with this pick. Aside from a
rocky 2011 in Rancho Cucamonga, Magill was been nothing but
consistent in Chattanooga. Dogged for having a fringe-average fastball, Magill has missed plenty of bats along the way. Magill’s aforementioned fastball sits in the 89-91 MPH range. He has touched 94 MPH, but he loses command when throwing the pitch
harder. However, Chris Blessing of Bullpen Banter had a glowing review of Magill and said he was impressed by his fastball velocity as the season progressed. He has a good variety of off-speed pitches. His slider is his out pitch and sits in the low-80s. His changeup is surprisingly good and also sits in the
low-80s. He also has a fringy curveball. While not a great control prospect,
Magill has succeeded at every level of the minors despite being younger than
the competition. His ceiling is as a No. 3 starter, but he’s more likely a No.
4 or No. 5 starter. I named him my 2012 Dodgers' Minor League Pitcher of the Year.

7.Onelki Garcia, LHP (6'3, 220, 23 years old)
- Garcia was the Dodgers' third-round draft pick in 2012, a selection that turned a few heads. There had been rumors prior to the draft he was looking for a $7 million signing bonus, but that quickly passed. He received a $382,000 bonus, which was actually $38,300 less than slot. The selection shouldn't have been as surprising, as Baseball America's Jim Callis said the Dodgers would have selected Garcia instead of Chris Reed in the 2011 draft, had he been eligible. Garcia boasts a 90-95 MPH fastball that he can sink. He complements it with a potential plus curveball. He is also refining a changeup -- something he needs to do in order to remain a starting pitcher. Garcia pitched exactly two regular-season innings with Rancho Cucamonga (zero hits allowed, four strikeouts) before logging three impressive innings with Chattanooga in the Double-A playoffs (zero runs, seven strikeouts). He threw just four innings in the Arizona Fall League and had just 10 1/3 innings in the Puerto Rican Winter League. There isn't a lot of performance on which to evaluate Garcia, but he profiles as a middle-of-the-rotation starter with No. 2 upside. If he can't stick in the rotation, he could be a nasty late-inning reliever.

8.Chris Reed, LHP (6'4, 195, 22 years old)
- Reed had a less-than-impressive season in 2012 and certainly not a season to give me much hope for his prospect status. The 2011 first-round pick was overdrafted and signed for $1.589 million -- $77,000 more than the slot recommendation. Reed spent 2012 with Rancho Cucamonga and Chattanooga. Naturally, he posted better numbers at High-A against younger competition. Reed missed some time with shoulder soreness. That doesn't bode well for a reliever trying to make the jump to the rotation. This happened after the Reed had made back-to-back seven-inning starts. He was just 29 innings into the season before he missed time. When he came back, the Dodgers babied him, as he threw more than three innings just three times the rest of the season (14 appearances). When healthy, Reed has a low-90s fastball that can touch 95 from his three-quarters arm slot. He has perhaps the system's best slider in the low-to-mid-80s that is a true out pitch. He, like Garcia, is trying to find a changeup that would allow him to remain in the rotation. Reed is also toying with the idea of adding a cutter. Reed's ceiling is a No. 3 starter, but I don't see it. Likely, he'll end up in the bullpen as a late-inning reliever.

2012 ranking:NR2013 location: Double-A ChattanoogaETA: mid-2014

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

50

55

Slider

55

60

Changeup

40

45

Cut Fastball

30

40

Command/Control

40

45

Delivery

40

50

9.Garrett Gould, RHP (6'4, 220, 21 years old)
- Gould had himself a rough go at it in the California League in 2011. His 5.75 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 9.7 H/9 and 1.3 HR/9 were downright ugly, but his 4.52 FIP shows he pitched a little bit better than his traditional stats would indicate. In my scouting report of Gould from June, I noted he wasn't overly impressive. His fastball was pedestrian and sat in the 87-89 MPH range and touched 91 a few times.He'll also sink the fastball at 86-88 MPH. His curveball, which is easily his best pitch, sits in the upper-70s and features a 12-6 break. He also has a changeup, which is surprisingly a solid-average pitch. It's an 80-82 MPH offering. He has a fringy (at best) slider that sits in the low-80s. His delivery is repeatable with a little funk while his arm slot is true overhand. Gould's frame looks impressive on paper, but he's not a solid 220. He has a little fluff to him, which could be some cause for concern down the road. One thing Gould has working in his favor is he's always been young for the level of competition. He was just 20 this season in the Cal League and will be 21 when he makes his Double-A debut this season. If Gould can consistently work in the 90-93 MPH range as a starter, he should be able to reach his ceiling as a No. 3 starter. If not, he's a back-end guy or possible long reliever.

2012 ranking: 42013 location: Double-A ChattanoogaETA: late-2014

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

45

50

Curveball

60

60

Changeup

50

55

Slider

35

45

Command/Control

45

55

Delivery

40

50

10. Paco Rodriguez, LHP (6'3, 215, 21 years old)
- The Dodgers' second-round pick in 2012, Rodriguez skyrocketed his way to the majors. He was the first from the 2012 class to reach the big leagues after posting a 0.92 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 0.86 FIP and a ridiculous 14.6 K/9. He had a short 11-game debut, throwing just 6 2/3 innings. He walked four batters in those innings, but it's just a small sample size. Rodriguez features a low-90s fastball that he also cuts. His cutter sits in the upper-80s and is a true out pitch. He also has a slider that is effective against both lefties and righties. His delivery is deceptive, helping that low-90s fastball get on hitters quicker than expected. Rodriguez was the last of the Dodgers' first 11 picks to sign, signing for a slot-recommended $610,800. The Dodger bullpen could be full and, because he has options, Rodriguez could begin the season in the minors -- preferably in Double-A.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: Double-A Chattanooga/MajorsETA: Now

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

50

50

Slider

55

60

Cut Fastball

45

55

Command/Control

45

55

Delivery

40

50

11. Ross Stripling, RHP (6'3, 190, 23 years old)
- Stripling, the Dodgers' fifth-round pick out of Texas A&M, signed for nearly $100,000 less than slot recommendation. He was the first 2012 selection to sign. He was the Aggies' No. 2 starter and threw 125 2/3 innings. Having done that, the Dodgers wanted to limit Stripling's workload. He threw just 36 1/3 innings in his debut -- but it was an impressive 36 1/3 innings. In Ogden, he posted a 1.24 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 1.66 FIP and was named the 15th-best prospect in the Pioneer League by Baseball America -- high praise for a guy throwing in an extreme hitters' league. Stripling worked in the 88-91 range with the Aggies, but was up to 92-94 MPH and touched 96 in his professional debut. He also features a potentially plus curveball and average changeup. Stripling is praised for his command, intelligence and makeup. His ceiling, like all Dodger pitching prospects it seems, is a No. 3 starter. If he can maintain the increased velocity going forward, he has a decent chance of hitting that ceiling.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: High-A Rancho CucamongaETA: mid-2015

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

45

55

Curveball

55

60

Changeup

45

50

Slider

35

45

Command/Control

50

60

Delivery

50

55

12. Alex Castellanos, OF/3B (5'11, 195, 26 years old)
- Castellanos was acquired at the trade deadline in 2011 for Rafael Furcal and has done nothing but hit since he came to the Dodgers. He's hit .327/.416/.594 in 126 minor-league games since joining the organization. While his power numbers have improved in that time, the most encouraging improvement has been his walk rate. He's walked in 11.1 percent of his plate appearances with the Dodgers, which improves his chances of making it in the majors. Castellanos has a quick bat and generates surprising pop from his swing. He has good power to his pull field. He's done all this while not having a true position. The Dodgers have tried him in the corner outfield spots as well as third- and second base. The Dodgers have likely given up on him as a second baseman, so his path of least resistance could be via third base.However, he's played only in the outfield during winter ball, which is likely where he ends up long-term. He could contribute in a pinch at second or third. If he were three or four years younger, he'd rank a lot higher on this list.

2012 ranking: 212013 location: Triple-A Albuquerque/MajorsETA: Now

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

45

50

Power

45

45

Speed

50

50

Fielding

40

45

Arm

50

50

13. Jesmuel Valentin, SS (5'10, 174, 18 years old)
- Valentin was the Dodgers' supplemental first-round pick in 2012 out of Puerto Rico. His father (Jose Valentin) spent 16 years in the majors, including one with the Dodgers (2005). The younger Valentin compares favorably to former Dodger prospect Ivan De Jesus and signed for the recommended $984,700. Valentin has the ability to play shortstop in the majors, but he may ultimately be pushed to second base. His defense is his best tool and will be going forward. Valentin isn't much with the bat and won't hit for nearly the same kind of the power his father did, but he does have better plate discipline -- so far. He walked more than he struck out in his debut (35 to 24), but he only hit .211 in the Arizona League. He has decent speed, but won't be a major base-stealing threat. Valentin profiles as a fringy every day second baseman or, more likely, a utility player who should carve out a long career in the majors -- as long as he hits enough.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: Arizona League/Pioneer LeagueETA: 2016

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

35

50

Power

25

40

Speed

50

55

Fielding

55

65

Arm

55

60

14. Zachary Bird, RHP (6'4, 190, 18 years old)
- The Dodgers got what appears to most as a steal in the ninth round of the 2012 draft in Bird. The prep pitcher signed for $140,000 -- $13,900 more than the recommended amount. He and Seager were the only two 2012 draftees to sign for more than slot. Bird mixes an impressive low-90s fastball and a potentially plus mid-70s curveball and a projectable body. As he matures, he'll fill out and likely add velocity to his heater. He also owns a changeup that could be average and a fringy slider. His delivery is inconsistent, which isn't shocking for a teenager. He has a three-quarters release point that also helps him get a little sink on his two-seam fastball. He also replaces Ethan Martin as the system's most athletic pitcher. Bird's debut season was good enough to get him named Baseball America's 19th-best prospect in the Arizona League. He struck out 46 batters in 39 2/3 innings as an 18-year-old. He's someone to keep an eye on for the next few seasons, as the Dodgers could strike gold if Bird takes off.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: Arizona League/Pioneer LeagueETA: 2017

Tools

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Fastball

45

50

Curveball

55

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Changeup

45

55

Command/Control

45

55

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50

15. Blake Smith, RF (6'2, 225, 25 years old)
- Smith, a favorite of mine, was a second-round draft pick out of Cal. Many teams liked him better as a pitcher, but the Dodgers saw a potential middle-of-the-order right fielder in Smith. He had a decent 2012 at Double-A, but not the kind of season that would lead one to believe he'll be more than a fourth outfielder in the majors. But there are some positives to take from Smith's 2012. His walk rate is heading in the right direction, as it went from 9.9 percent in 2011 to 12.1 percent in 2012. He also flashed a little speed, swiping 14 bases in 20 attempts. That doesn't figure to continue, but he is athletic enough to swipe eight to 10 bases per season. He also has power potential, though, his power numbers were down from 2011. As a power-hitting prospect, he doesn't figure to hit for a high average (.275 for his minor-league career). Smith is the system's best defensive outfielder and profiles as a corner guy who could play center field in a pinch. His arm is plenty good enough for right field, as he touched owned a 92-94 MPH fastball as a collegiate pitcher. If he plays the entire season in Albuquerque, he could put up some gaudy numbers.

2012 ranking: 92013 location: Triple-A AlbuquerqueETA: late-2013

Tools

Now

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Hitting

45

45

Power

45

55

Speed

45

45

Fielding

55

60

Arm

65

65

16. Steve Ames, RHP (6'1, 205, 25 years old)
- Ames doesn't get the acclaim guys like Kenley Jansen and Shawn Tolleson do, but he's been just as good as them in his minor-league career. The 2009 17th-rounder out of Gonzaga has a career sub-2 ERA and an impressive 12.3 K/9. His fastball sits in the low-90s and can touch 95 MPH. He also has a low-to-mid-80s slider that is his out pitch. He isn't the sexiest prospect, but he could have a solid career as a middle relief pitcher. Ames was added to the 40-man roster in November and could make his debut in 2013.

17. Darnell Sweeney, SS (6'1, 170, 22 years old)
-The 416th player selected in the 2012 draft, Sweeney had perhaps the best debut of any Dodger draftee. The switch-hitter began with Ogden in the Pioneer League and hit at a .303/.380/.379 clip with 10 stolen bases in 12 attempts. He was promoted to Great Lakes where he, surprisingly, hit for more power than he did in Ogden (.447 slugging in Low-A). Sweeney's bat was the biggest question mark coming into the draft and has silenced the critics thus far. He's a natural shortstop and has the potential to be a plus defender at the position despite making 19 errors in his first season. He was 27-for-33 in stolen bases and is a plus runner. If he can continue to hit, he projects as a leadoff hitter. An apt comparison for him is Dee Gordon, but his ability to draw walks could put his ceiling higher than Gordon's.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: High-A Rancho CucamongaETA: late-2015

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

45

55

Power

30

40

Speed

65

70

Fielding

45

55

Arm

65

65

18. Andres Santiago, RHP (6'2, 200, 23 years old)
- Santiago was the Dodgers' 16th-round selection in the 2007 drat out of Puerto Rico. His first five professional seasons were rather unimpressive, but he broke out in a big way in 2012. Santiago had three of the most impressive starts for Rancho Cucamonga, including his April 29 start (6 2/3 IP, 2 H, 11 K) that put his name on the prospect map. He had a solid 3.96 ERA in the Cal League, but his 3.06 FIP was even more impressive. Santiago was promoted to Chattanooga in August and enjoyed success in his first 26 Double-A innings (2.77 ERA, 3.55 FIP, 9.0 K/9). Santiago mixes an 89-92 MPH fastball that touches 94, a low-to-mid-80s slider and a plus changeup that he calls his best pitch. He also has a clean, repeatable delivery. Santiago posted some interesting reverse splits this season -- .194/.263/.340 vs. lefties, .232/.323/.353 vs. righties -- which shows he just doesn't feast on right-handers. Santiago has the potential to be a No. 4 starter, although Keith Law said he'd like to see how Santiago fares out of the bullpen.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: Double-A ChattanoogaETA: mid-2014

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

45

50

Slider

40

45

Changeup

45

55

Command/Control

40

40

Delivery

40

50

19. Yimi Garcia, RHP (6'1, 175, 22 years old)
- The Dodgers signed Garcia out of the Dominican Republic in 2009. The sight right-hander, save for a hiccup in 2010 in the Arizona League (7.04 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, 6.5 K/9), he's been really good where ever he's played. He began the season at Great Lakes as a 21-year-old and spent most of his 2012 there. He averaged 13 strikeouts per nine innings. Despite the nice rate, he gave up too many baserunners (9.1 H/9, 3.7 BB/9). He was promoted to Rancho Cucamonga late in the season and flourished. He struck out 22 batters in 10 2/3 innings. despite the small sample size, an 18.6 K/9 will catch anyone's attention. He uses a fastball-slider combination out of the 'pen, as do many Dodger relief prospects. If he can harness his stuff and keep the ball in the strike zone, Garcia could have a future as a late-inning reliever.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: High-A Rancho CucamongaETA: late-2015

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

50

55

Slider

35

50

Command/Control

35

45

Delivery

40

45

20. O'Koyea Dickson, 1B (5'11, 225, 23 years old)
-
Dickson began the season on the disabled list after hurting his hand in
Spring Training, but once he returned, he got hot. The 2011 12th-round
pick, despite missing 30 games, was named to the Midwest League All-Star
team after hitting .331/.442/.564 in the first half. He went 2-for-3 in
the game with a home run, which earned him game MVP honors. If he had
stayed on that pace, he would have ranked higher here. Unfortunately for
Dickson, he had a poor second half, hitting just .241/.322/.435. Those
aren't horrible numbers, especially in a pitchers' league, but after
Dickson's fast start, more was expected of him. Dickson isn't a
prototypical first baseman in terms of stature, but he hits the ball
like one, as he lead Great Lakes in home runs (17), was second in total
bases (185) and doubles (27). He pairs his potentially above-average
power with solid plate discipline (10.2 percent walk rate) and good
strike zone judgment (14.4 percent strikeout rate). Dickson is going to
make it to the majors based on how much he hits. He's average with the
glove and dabbled in left field for five games in 2012. He's a
below-average runner despite swiping 11 bases (in 17 attempts).

21. Chris Withrow, RHP (6'4, 220, 24 years old)
- Withrow is a pitcher who once had such promise. As recent as last year, Withrow was the only potential 5-star, Grade-A prospect in the system. That's not to say he is that kind of prospect, but he had the most potential of any Dodger prospect -- and has for the last few years. Unfortunately, he hasn't been able to figure out his control and command. The big right-hander features a classic four-pitch repertoire: a four-seam fastball that sits in the low-90s and has touched 98 MPH, a potentially average slider and a fringy, at best, changeup. Withrow used to employ a curveball that was once the best in the system, but Blessing said he's all but abandoned it as a reliever. Withrow's delivery is clean and repeatable, which should lead to better control and command. Alas, that has eluded him, as he's posted a 5.0 BB/9 for his career, which means it could be a mental problem rather than a physical problem. Fortunately for him, he still gets plenty of strikeouts (9.6 K/9 last season, 9.3 for his career). Withrow was moved to the bullpen in the middle of last season, which is probably permanent at this point. He could carve out a niche as a late-inning reliever, if he can throw enough strikes consistently. He'll likely head back to Chattanooga for his fifth stint in Double-A.

22. Rob Rasmussen, LHP (5'9, 160, 23 years old)
- Rasmussen was acquired in December for John Ely, a net gain for the Dodgers and their farm system. Rasmussen was drafted in the 27th round of the 2007 draft by the Dodgers. He didn't sign and ended up attending UCLA. The Astros popped him in the second round of the 2010 draft and was traded in July for Carlos Lee. Despite being a small pitcher, he's started 53 of 60 career games in the minors. He reached Double-A Corpus Christi, where he didn't fare particularly well (4.80 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 4.07 FIP). Rasmussen has a four-pitch arsenal, featuring an 89-92 MPH fastball that touches 94, a slider that flashes plus potential, and a potentially average changeup and curveball. Like many lefties, he throws from a three-quarters arm angle. He also has a compact delivery. While he's likely destined for bullpen duty, there's no reason to pull Rasmussen from the rotation until he proves he can't handle it. He's definitely the exception, not the rule, when it comes to being big-bodied starting pitchers.

23. Jose Dominguez, RHP (6'0, 180, 22 years old)
- Dominguez received a 25-game suspension for violating the Minor League Drug Prevention and Treatment Program in November because "he didn't take the test or there was some complication with the test," John Manuel speculated on the Dec. 4 edition of the Baseball America podcast. It was the second time Dominguez received a drug-related suspension, as he was popped for 50 games in 2009. Dominguez was also left unprotected for the Rule 5 Draft and didn't post impressive numbers this season. Despite all that, he still ranks in the Top 25 based on his pure potential on the mound. The Dodgers tried him as a starter with Great Lakes for five games this season, an experiment that didn't go well (18 2/3 IP, 30 H, 22 R, 20 ER, 12 BB, 16 K). He pitched primarily out of the bullpen, where he fared much better. A late-season promotion to Chattanooga got people buzzing. Facing Birmingham (White Sox) twice, he recorded seven of 11 outs via the strikeout without giving up a baserunner. Dominguez features a plus-plus fastball that sits 96-98 MPH and regularly touches 100. He backs that up with a fringy power curveball. He has a 9.5 K/9, so missing bats is no problem for Dominguez. He'll have to hone his breaking ball going forward if he wants to be a late-inning reliever. He skipped Rancho Cucamonga late in the season, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see him begin 2013 there.

24. Jesus Valdez, 1B/OF (6'3, 190, 21 years old)
- The Dodgers' 17th-rounder in 2011, Valdez had a mediocre debut in the Arizona League before breaking out in the Pioneer League as a 20-year-old. He led Ogden in doubles (19), total bases (141), RBI (62) and tied for the lead in home runs (nine). Valdez spent two-thirds of his games at first base and the other third in the corner outfield spots. He might not ever hit enough for any of those positions, but his bat is his best tool. A pitcher in high school, Valdez hit 89-92 MPH on the radar gun, but the Dodgers obviously were more intrigued with his bat.Valdez has a slightly open stance and a smooth left-handed stroke. He projects to be at least an average hitter with solid plate discipline and a little pop. His frame suggests he could hit for more power going forward as he matures as a hitter. He isn't much of a threat on the basepaths and has a plus arm in the field.

2012 ranking: 382013 location: Low-A Great LakesETA: late-2016

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

40

55

Power

40

45

Speed

40

45

Fielding

45

50

Arm

60

60

25. Tim Federowicz, C (5'11, 215, 25 years old)
-
Federowicz is a glove-first catcher who has shown a little offensive
ability in his career. Like Castellanos, he's hit better with the
Dodgers than he had earlier in his minor-league career, but that is a
product of the extreme hitter-friendly confines of the Pacific Coast
League. A positive for Federowicz is he isn't afraid to take a walk, as
he walked in nearly 11 percent of his plate appearances in 2012.
Federowicz's defense is big-league ready. He has a strong throwing arm,
nailing 39 percent of attempted base-stealers last season. He should
enter the season as A.J. Ellis'
backup. His ceiling is as a good defensive catcher who has a little pop
and draws walks -- much like Ellis. More likely, he's a serviceable
backup catcher.

2012 ranking: 302013 location: Majors/Triple-A AlbuquerqueETA: Now

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

40

45

Power

35

40

Speed

30

30

Fielding

55

60

Arm

60

60

26. Julio Urias, LHP (6'0, 150, 16 years old)
- Aside from Puig and Ryu, Urias was the Dodgers' most noteworthy 2012 international signing the Dodgers made. And you're reading that correctly -- he's just 16 years old. It's difficult to project such a young prospect, but when he already has a legitimate two-pitch repertoire, it makes it a little easier. Urias has a fastball that sits in the upper-80s and has touched 92 MPH. He can cut it. His upper-70s changeup is what has scouts raving. Ben Badler of Baseball America said some scouts have Urias' changeup as a potential plus-plus pitch. Badler also said Urias has "a good delivery (and) a loose arm." The scouting reports are promising, but Urias is just 16. He could, one day, top this list. For now, he's a Top 30 guy.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: Dominican Summer LeagueETA: late-2018

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

35

50

Changeup

35

55

Cut Fastball

25

45

Command/Control

25

50

Delivery

35

50

27. Jeremy Rathjen, OF (6'6, 195, 23 years old)
- Rathjen could be another 11th-round steal for the Dodgers (Pederson) after his impressive debut season. The 2012 draftee enjoyed much success in the Pioneer League, as he posted a .328/.446/.504 triple slash with nine home runs, 16 stolen bases and a fantastic 14.8 percent walk rate. He likely would have been a higher selection if not for a torn ACL in March. Naturally drawing comparisons to Corey Hart, Rathjen is a lanky outfielder with the ability to handle center field for now. His arm strength is average to above-average. Rathjen's swing is long, which is something he might need to work in as he progresses through the minors. However, he has good hand-eye coordination and controls the strike zone nicely. He has gap power now and could develop average power down the road.

28. Alex Santana, 3B (6'4, 200, 19 years old)
- The Dodgers' second-round pick in 2011, Santana has yet to get much going in his pro career, posting a .246/.302/.352 line. His biggest issue has been strikeouts, as he has a 32.3 percent strikeout rate in 415 plate appearances. He's just 19, so there's time for that to improve. Considered an overdraft, Santana does have bloodlines and talent. His frame suggests he'll develop into a power hitter, but that remains to be seen. A shortstop in high school, Santana has plenty of arm for third base and good hands, so defense shouldn't be much of a concern despite 41 errors in 86 career games at the position. He's a below-average runner and figures to remain so as his body fills out. Once the third baseman of the (distant) future, Santana is now behind Seager for that distinction. He could be primed for a breakout year in his third pro season.

2012 ranking: 312013 location: Pioneer LeagueETA: late-2017

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

30

45

Power

25

45

Speed

40

40

Fielding

35

50

Arm

55

60

29. Eric Eadington, LHP (6'2, 220, 25 years old)
- Eadington has posted some impressive strikeout numbers in his career and reached Double-A in his second season. A Harvard graduate and Tommy John survivor (2008), Eadington profiles, at worst, as a LOOGY with a long career. At best, he could be a middle reliever who handles lefties and righties equally well. As of now, it's looking more like the former. The lefty uses an 89-93 MPH fastball that touches 95 and an mid-to-upper-70s slider that could be average. He has a repeatable delivery and throws from a three-quarters arm slot. He'll need to adapt to advanced competition as he progresses through the minors.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: Double-A ChattanoogaETA: mid-2014

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

50

55

Curveball

40

45

Command/Control

40

50

Delivery

50

55

30. Miguel Sulbaran, LHP (5'10, 165, 19 years old)
- Another young lefty, Sulbaran made his name known with an impressive showing in the Arizona League (2.51 ERA, 9.7 K/9, 1.9 BB/9). He pitched 11 innings between Ogden and Great Lakes and, as expected, didn't fare well (18 hits, 13 earned runs, three home runs five walks, seven strikeouts). Despite the hiccup, Sulbaran has a bright future. He has an 88-91 MPH fastball that touches 92, a curveball, slider and a potentially plus changeup. His breaking pitches need work, but it's encouraging to see him hitting the low-90s with his fastball. He's a sleeper in the organization and could be mentioned in the same breath as Urias. Sulbaran must lock down three pitches to remain a starter going forward.

31. Duke von Schamann, RHP (6'5, 220, 21 years old)
- The Dodgers' 15th round pick in the 2012 draft, Schamann had one of the most impressive debuts of the draft class. He isn't overpowering by any means, but he made it all the way to Double-A. Overall, he exhibited good control and command while keeping the ball in the yard. Schamann uses his 87-90 MPH sinker to do most of his damage. He also uses a slider and changeup that don't profile as plus pitches. A bit of a throwback, von Schamann uses a relatively clean, repeatable delivery and a three-quarters release to get good arm-side run on his two-seamer. Von Schamann is going to make it in the game based on his ability to locate his pitches At best, he's an innings-eater who induces a bunch of groundballs.

32. Bobby Coyle, RF/LF (6'1, 215, 24 years old)
- Coyle is an under-the-radar prospect in the Dodgers' organization, as he doesn't garner much acclaim from scouts or fans. However, he's done nothing but hit since being drafted in the 10th round of the 2010 draft. Coyle owns a career .302/.342/.448 triple slash in 221 career games. While he won't blow anyone away with his power potential, he has a relatively good eye at the plate that could lead him to be average with the bat. He struck out just 27 times in 254 plate appearances in 2012. Coyle's biggest concern is staying healthy, as he hasn't topped 98 games in any of his first three professional seasons. He's an average runner and projects as a left fielder because of a fringy throwing arm. The Dodgers have a lot of corner outfielders ahead of him on the depth chart, so he'll toil in the minors for longer than he normally would.

33. Javier Solano, RHP (6'0, 177, 23 years old)
- Solano might be the most underrated prospect in the entire Dodgers' system. He made strides this season by reducing his hits per nine innings and walks per nine rate, which contributed to his successful Double-A season. While he doesn't have overpowering stuff, he uses an 88-91 MPH fastball that touches 93, a mid-70s curveball and a fringy at best changeup. His delivery is somewhat repeatable delivery out of the stretch. His future lies in middle relief.

34. James Baldwin, CF (6'3, 190, 21 years old)
- Baldwin might be the most talented position prospect the Dodgers have, but that talent hasn't translated to the field yet. He played his first year full-season ball in 2012 and didn't fare especially well. His 9.1 percent walk rate and 53-for-61 stolen base percentage are nice, but his 35.7 percent strikeout rate and .209 batting average are anything but nice. His swing is long and he focuses too much on trying to hit for power. That leads to the astronomical amount of strikeouts. Baldwin is no slouch with the glove or on the basepaths, as he's the organization's best athlete. The tools and potential are there for him to be a star, but he needs to refine his swing and focus on making more contact than trying to hit the ball over the fence.

2012 ranking: 162013 location: High-A Rancho CucamongaETA: 2016

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

30

45

Power

30

45

Speed

65

70

Fielding

60

60

Arm

55

55

35. Aaron Miller, LHP (6'3, 200, 25 years old)
- The former supplemental first-rounder, Miller was once a clear-cut Top 5 prospect in the organization. Now, he's struggling to remain in the starting rotation. His strikeout numbers have been good in the minors (8.8 per nine innings), but he allows far too many baserunners (1.43 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9). Miller has an 89-92 MPH fastball and an average slider in the 79-82 MPH range. He also owns a fringy changeup that he'll need to develop further to remain a starter. Likely, he ends up as a reliever. Miller, like many Dodger prospects, has a clean delivery that is repeatable. His arm slot is high three-quarters which gives some natural arm-side run to his fastball. Miller is athletic and can hit a little, so there's always an outside chance the Dodgers could move him to a corner outfield position, but that is highly unlikely.

2012 ranking: 242013 location: Double-A ChattanoogaETA: late-2014

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

40

45

Slider

45

50

Changeup

30

40

Command/Control

35

40

Delivery

45

50

36. Angel Sanchez, RHP (6'3, 185, 23 years old)
- After a great debut in 2011 in the Midwest League, the California League didn't treat Sanchez well at all. Sanchez's lack of a consistent breaking ball and giving up home runs were his undoing. He doesn't blow hitters away with his stuff, but a low-90s straight fastball that has touched the mid-90s in the past and an average changeup in the low-80s are Sanchez's best pitches. He has a curveball that is below average. His delivery is clean and repeatable. He releases the pitch at nearly a true overhand angle. He gave up 26 home runs in 130 innings, some of which can be attributed to the extreme hitters' environment. But Sanchez will need to do a better job keeping the ball in the yard, as well as establishing a legitimate third pitch. Otherwise, he's destined for the bullpen.

37. Scott Schebler, CF/LF (6'1, 208, 22 years old)
- Schebler was a 26th-round steal for the Dodgers in 2010, signing him to a $300,000 bonus. He came in as a free-swinger, not drawing many walks and striking out too much. He still doesn't walk (5.4 percent in 2012), but he reduced his strikeout rate by nearly half in 2012 (from 30.8 percent to 17.7 percent). The lefty has gap power that doesn't figure to translate to home run power as he moves up the minors. He can make contact, that's for sure, but if his walk rate doesn't improve, he's probably not much more than a fourth or fifth outfielder in the majors. Schebler can play center field, but he'll likely end up in left field due to a subpar throwing arm. He has average speed, but he's not much of a threat on the basepaths (19-for-31 in stolen bases).

2012 ranking: 252013 location: High-A Rancho CucamongaETA: mid-2016

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

40

45

Power

35

40

Speed

50

50

Fielding

45

50

Arm

40

45

38. Gorman Erickson, C (6'4, 220, 25 years old)
- Erickson had a breakout 2011 season that landed him in the Top 15 in last year's rankings. However, a severe lack of power and not making contact led to his prospect star to fall. Erickson, a switch-hitter, had a .486 slugging percentage in 2011, but had just a .328 slugging percentage in 2012. Two things that didn't suffer were Erickson's plate discipline and defense. He has the best plate discipline in the system and would be the best defensive catcher if not for Federowicz. Erickson is a plus defender behind the plate, but throwing runners out is a problem. Despite at least an average throwing arm, he threw out just 21 percent of attempted base stealers in 2012, down from 30 percent the year before. The other parts of his defensive game are solid, though.

39. Eric Smith, C/DH (6'1, 200, 22 years old)
- An 18th-round pick in 2012 out of Stanford, Smith made some noise in his debut season. Despite being a college hitter in the Pioneer League, he enjoyed great success there. He had a .909 OPS and walked more times (33) than he struck out (32). The left-handed hitter has an advanced feel for the strike zone and has gap pop. Drafted as a catcher, Smith spent more time as the Ogden designated hitter (34) than he did behind the plate (29). He was a backup infielder for Stanford before converting to catcher in his junior season, so he's still raw behind the plate. If he can't make the transition in to full-time catcher in the pros, perhaps a corner field position would be more suitable.

40. Jarret Martin, LHP (6'4, 227, 23 years old)
- Martin was acquired last winter with Tyler Henson for Dana Eveland and got off to a fast start with the organization. The Midwest League waited him out, as Martin's biggest issue is his control. He walked 51 batters in 81 1/3 innings between Great Lakes and Rancho Cucamonga (two games). Fortunately, he was able to strike out batters at a 8.9 per nine clip. Martin uses a low-90s fastball that consistently touches 95 MPH with some arm-side run and sink, a curveball that flashes average potential and a below-average changeup. His release point is three-quarters and he has a quite, but repeatable, delivery. Consistency with his release point will lead to throwing more strikes. He likely ends up as a hard-throwing lefty reliever, but he still has an outside chance of being a starter.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: High-A Rancho CucamongaETA: late-2015

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

40

55

Curveball

40

50

Changeup

30

40

Command/Control

25

40

Delivery

45

50

41. Rafael Ynoa, 2B/SS (6'0, 180, 25 years old)
- Ynoa has been in the organization for seven years and, thanks to Elian Herrera's success in 2012, could be a factor for the Dodgers -- eventually. After a solid season at Chattanooga, he went to the Arizona Fall League and lead the Mesa Solar Sox in hitting. Ynoa is the organization's best defensive infielder. Power isn't his game, as he didn't hit a home run this season (he did hit two in the AFL, though). He showed good on-base ability, drawing 58 walks in 493 plate appearances. Ynoa stole 40 bases two years ago, but has stolen just 36 since. He has average speed and can swipe a base if a pitcher doesn't keep him close. Ynoa's value lies in his defense. He's at least an average defender at shortstop and a plus defender at second base.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: Triple-A AlbuquerqueETA: late-2013

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

40

45

Power

20

25

Speed

50

50

Fielding

55

55

Arm

55

55

42. Brandon Martinez, RHP (6'4, 160, 22 years old)
- Martinez was the Dodgers' seventh-round selection in the 2009 draft and, in spite of being lean, can dial it up to 93 or 94 MPH when needed. However, he works more comfortably in the low-90s (90-92). Martinez, who suffers from Tourette syndrome and obsessive compulsive disorder, has not been particularly impressive in his four-year career, posting an ugly 6.17 ERA, 1.74 WHIP and 11.1 H/9. Those numbers won't get it done. Martinez combines his low-90s fastball with a slider and changeup, both of which have a chance to be average pitches. Martinez must overcome his lack of control if he wishes to remain a starting pitcher.

2012 ranking: 422013 location: High-A Rancho CucamongaETA: 2016

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

40

50

Slider

35

45

Changeup

35

40

Command/Control

30

40

Delivery

35

45

43. Jharel Cotton, RHP (6'1, 197, 21 years old)
- Cotton, a hard-throwing 2012 20th-rounder, could end up being the best value pick the Dodgers got in the draft. The East Carolina alumnus had a sparkling debut in Ogden, allowing just 12 baserunners in 15 innings while striking out 20. Cotton profiles as a reliever, but he has a starters' repertoire. His fastball sits in the low-90s and could get a bump if he's moved to the bullpen down the road. He also has a slider and changeup that have flashed plus potential in the past. At 21, there's no reason to rush him up the ladder.

44. Scott Van Slyke, RF/LF (6'5, 250, 26 years old)
- Van Slyke, the son of former Cardinal and Pirate Andy Van Slyke, made his Major League debut in 2012 and was known primarily for his pinch-hit, game-winning three-run home run against the Cardinals in May on Sunday Night Baseball. Other than that, he didn't do much with the Dodgers while posting the usual good numbers at Albuquerque. The Dodgers don't see Van Slyke as a first baseman anymore, so he's strictly a corner outfielder, where he's a below-average defender. Van Slyke, despite the large frame, doesn't have the greatest power potential. His bat speed isn't what it should be and he could be exposed if he gets extended playing time in the majors. He's a below-average runner. He was removed from the 40-man roster in December.

2012 ranking: 152013 location: Triple-A Albuquerque/MajorsETA: Now

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

40

45

Power

35

40

Speed

30

30

Fielding

40

45

Arm

50

55

45. Pratt Maynard, C (6'0, 215, 23 years old)
- One of my favorite selections of the 2011 draft, Maynard didn't fare well in his first full season. He hit just .248/.321/.355 between Great Lakes and Rancho Cucamonga. Not known for having a great bat, Maynard does have good on-base ability with a career 10.4 percent walk rate. That's the kind of offensive player he is. He has below-average power but could maybe pop 10 home runs a season at his peak. As of now, he has minimal gap power. His defense struggled a bit as he threw out just 24 percent of attempted base stealers, including just three of 31 in nine games with Rancho. He's a non-threat on the basepaths. He'll need a bounce-back season to re-establish himself as one of the Dodgers' best catching prospects.

2012 ranking: 232013 location: High-A Rancho CucamongaETA: mid-2016

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

35

45

Power

30

40

Speed

35

35

Fielding

45

50

Arm

45

55

Name

80

80

46. Scott Barlow, RHP (6'3, 170, 20 years old)
- Barlow's stock improved after being a sixth-round draft pick in 2011. He was drafted as a pitcher who worked in the upper-80s and occasionally touched the low-90s. But in the instructional league, he was sitting at 93-94 MPH, which got the organization excited. Unfortunately, Barlow missed the entire 2012 season after undergoing Tommy John surgery. He pairs his low-90s fastball with a mid-70s power curveball. He also owns a mid-80s slider and a below-average changeup. Because of that changeup, scouts are concerned left-handed hitters could give him trouble. First thing's first: he needs to actually pitch professionally -- his 1 2/3 innings isn't exactly a great sample size. Still, he has No. 3 starter upside, but that is a long way off.

47. Bryan Munoz, RHP (6'2, 180, 17 years old)
- Another of the younger Dodger prospects, Munoz was signed near the end of March to a $300,000 bonus out of the Dominican Republic. He was the Dodgers' largest international signing since Joel Guzman in 2001 ($2.25 million). His fastball already touched 90 MPH as a 16-year-old, so there's room to add velocity. His frame also lends credence to that. Munoz also has a mid-70s curveball and a low-80s changeup. He has a high leg kick, but his delivery appears to be repeatable. He throws from a high three-quarters arm angle. Munoz is raw like Urias and, if all goes well, could be a middle-of-the rotation starter.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: Dominican Summer LeagueETA: 2018

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

35

55

Curveball

30

50

Changeup

25

45

Command/Control

35

50

Delivery

35

50

48. Jonathan Garcia, RF (5'11, 180, 21 years old)
- Garcia showed lots of power potential in his first three seasons, posting a .476 slugging percentage as a 17- through 19-year-old. In his first crack at the California League, he posted a disappointing .386 slugging percentage and walked just 15 times in 400 plate appearances. He also struck out 134 times. Garcia was suspended for seven games toward the end of July for throwing his bat near an umpire. Despite his small frame, Garcia is able to generate potentially plus power with his quick bat. He hit 19 home runs in the Midwest League -- no small feat. But Garcia's plate discipline needs tons of work. He's too much of a free swinger to do well in the upper minors. He profiles well defensively in right field, as he has good range and a strong arm. He's an average runner, but won't steal many bases. He's likely to repeat the Cal League because he turned 21 in November and the Chattanooga outfield will be crowded.

2012 ranking: 222013 location: High-A Rancho CucamongaETA: 2016

Tools

Now

Future

Hitting

35

45

Power

40

50

Speed

45

50

Fielding

50

55

Arm

60

60

49. Jonathan Martinez, RHP (6'1, 170, 18 years old)
- The youngest prospect int the organization prior to 2012, Martinez has enjoyed success at the lowest levels of the minor leagues. In 100 1/3 innings between the DSL and AZL Dodgers, he has a 2.87 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9, 8.9 K/9 and a 3.08 FIP. If this write-up seems a bit stat-based, that's because it is. I wasn't able to find a scouting report on Martinez and I'm not going to try to make one up. I did receive this from Bill Mitchell of Baseball America: "I recall one scout saying he kind of liked him, but didn't give me more details." But if a teenager can have that kind of success, it's definitely going to open some eyes.

2012 ranking: NR2013 location: Arizona League/Pioneer LeagueETA: 2018

Tools

Now

Future

Fastball

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

?

Command/Control

?

?

Delivery

?

?

50. Malcolm Holland, CF/2B (5'11, 175, 20 years old)
- The Dodgers' 33rd-round draft pick in 2011, Holland cracks the Top 50 in place of the released/suspended Austin Gallagher. Holland has one of the more interesting back stories. He signed with Boise State University to play defensive back. The Dodgers were able to persuade him by giving him a $160,000 signing bonus to abandon his potential football career. Boise wanted Holland to play football exclusively, making the decision easy for him. At the plate, Holland's value lies in his plate discipline and speed. In his first 85 games, Holland has a .383 on-base percentage. That's fantastic. The down side: he also has a .221 batting average and .248 slugging percentage. Before becoming a pro, he had yet to dedicate himself fully to baseball. It's encouraging to see his plate discipline where it is, but he does need to hit at least a little to have any future at the plate. He also stole 44 bases in 60 games with Ogden in 2012, making speed one of his best assets. Defensively, Holland has played second base and the outfield (one game in left field, the rest in center). If he could stick at second base, that would be best for his career path. However, he has the speed to play center field and could be his future there.

12 comments:

They're both older guys with limited upside. I actually like Patterson as a middle relief prospect. If Wise was strictly a catcher, he'd probably crack the list. As for Santana, it's more of a gut feeling. Was a second-rounder, so the talent is there. Needs a steong 2013 to keep his prospect star bright.

Dustin: I enjoy reading your site and all the best! I still believe in Songco. His injury cost him last season. He is a pure power hitter. As I recall he hit a towering home run 508 ft. in Michigan and very impressed. More power to Songco!!!!!