Monday, November 09, 2009

Is a New Strain of Flu Scorching the Ukraine?

Last week TWIM reported that a possible new strain of influenza had broken out (or was released) in Ukraine. This turns out to be accurate, surprising even our most vocal detractors.

The Ukrainian government now claims that over 960,000 people are now infected, over 48,000 hospitalized, and over 150 dead (likely a vast understatement). Our best estimate using our sources in epidemiology, infectious diseases, and weapons research is this:

A) There are one or more new flu strains circulating in Ukraine, of unknown origin.

B) These new strains are very infectious, and approximately one order of magnitude more virulent (dangerous) than the existing swine flu.

C) There are likely changes (single nucleotide polymorphisms) to one or more genes, including but not limited to HA, NA, NS1, PA, and PB2. This is probably a full-constellation of changes, whether spontaneous or man-made. Aka. The virus has been upgraded.

D) The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of the new strains are estimated to be between 0.2% to 0.5%. Higher is possible but unlikely. In other words, The new strain may be >10x as lethal as swine flu and 2x-5x as lethal as seasonal flu. Aka. You do not want to catch this.

GENE SEQUENCES ARE NECESSARY TO EVALUATE THE NATURE OF THIS OUTBREAK.

However, the idiots at the World Health Organization (WHO) are keeping the RNA sequences a secret. They have said there are not "major changes" to the H1N1 virus in Ukraine -- but we all know it doesn't take much when it comes to viral genetics. Are these people lunkheads or are they criminals? I really have to wonder... Regardless, we clearly have a new flu strain which may be several times as lethal as seasonal flu, and has a high attack rate. The new strain also has a penchant for inducing viral pneumonia, where one's lungs fill with fluid. This is analogous to what happened in 1918, but obviously not yet on a large scale. Why is the WHO not releasing the gene sequences? Where is the lapdog corporate media? What in the hell is the CDC doing about this? And where is that backrub that Lauren promised me??

Indeed there are many questions here that require answers, and these answers are not forthcoming. Here is a news sample from Dr. Henry Niman, a very smart man who holds multiple patents on viral genetics but can't seem to comprehend the world, including governments, are corrupt.

Anyway, Here are some of Henry's latest articles:

Fail. This news looks bad -- but it's a little academic, Henry! Let's spice this up with some exclusive TWIM Ukrainian translations of what you are not hearing in the press about this new flu in Eastern Europe:

According to Kommersant-Ukraine chief physician aid city Myron Borisevich, in five fatalities have been recorded. "In all the patients came to hospital, observed the same symptoms of disease: very high fever, a cough that does not breathe normally. This disease progresses very quickly. Now all tests sent for examination in Kyiv" - explained Borisevich

Another difficult situation prevailing in the area Drohobych region, where five people also died. As the head of the Department of Health Drohobych municipality Andrew Shekenych, unlike the city, the residents of the area flowed disease differently: "The child entered the hospital and died eight hours. One adult - a day [until death], second - for two days [until death], and two patients died on the fourth day.

As the chief doctor of Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast Infectious Hospital Roman Ostyak in patients with fatal observed similar symptoms: it started with a small increase in temperature - up to 37,2-37,3 0 C - and a small pokashlyuvannya [cough?]. In the second and third days appeared little cold, and the third-fifth day - cutting short of breath, after which patients became difficult to breathe. "When you transfer to respirator them virtually impossible to proventylyuvaty light" - the Ostyak, noting that the death of advancing as a result of pulmonary edema.

While the doctors do not have a single thought that is causing the disease. Chief Medical Officer of the Ternopil region Dnistryan Stephen believes that the cause of deaths is unknown viruses. Explained deputy chief health officer of the region Ninel Tsyapa all dead treated by the doctors at the fifth-sixth day after the beginning of the disease when it was already to late. "This strain of influenza is characterized by lesions of the lungs."

On the last day the doctors asked 2028 people, and last night was 3200 patients. We are not talking about the decline and Stabilization", - said Zoya Tsihon. Deputy Head of Regional Department of Health added that now in the intensive care unit is 76 people, including 67 adults, 5 pregnant women and 11 children.

Obviously this is serious business. Where is the coverage? I was on this story LAST WEEK. But what is even more serious is that the corporate media is so vile and rotten, I had to break this story on an anti-corruption financial blog! Wtf! Maybe these latest developments will crash the stock markets, and I can finally experience some long awaited Schadenfreude...