After a four-day extravaganza of college hoops, we have our Sweet 16 for the 2014 NCAA tournament.

A few things to note: No. 1 seed Wichita State is no longer unbeaten and is out of the tournament field. Thank Kentucky for that. No. 2 seeds Villanova and Kansas were sent home, as were No. 3 seeds Syracuse, Duke and Creighton. Wisconsin, Michigan and Iowa State were the only non-No. 1s with a top three seed to advance.

That brings us to the common denominator: No. 4 seeds. All of 'em — Louisville, Michigan State, UCLA and San Diego State — made it to the second week.

Then there's the surprise cast. You know, the bracket busters. Let's start with the South Region, where Dayton and Stanford meet after knocking off proverbial powerhouses in Syracuse and Kansas. In the West, Baylor is a bit of a surprise; in the Midwest it's No. 11 Tennessee, and in the east it's No. 7 seed Connecticut.

Now that all that's sorted out, let's start looking forward. Which teams come out on top Thursday and Friday to advance to the Elite Eight? Which teams win on the weekend to reach the Final Four? We'll take it a step further. Which team wins it all? Here's a breakdown of our 16 teams most likely to have that One Shining Moment. Cheers.

(Photo: Christopher Hanewinckel, USA TODAY Sports)

1. Arizona: The Wildcats comfortably cruised past Gonzaga in the third round — flexing their muscles as one of the most complete teams in the country. Sean Miller's group has responded well since the midseason injury to starter Brandon Ashley. Led by the backcourt of T.J. McConnell and Nick Johnson, this Arizona team is superb on both sides of the ball and freshman star Aaron Gordon has rare versatility.

2. Michigan State: The Spartans are hitting their stride after being riddled with injuries for much of the season. The return of starter Branden Dawson, who had 26 points in a third round win vs. Harvard, has helped the team rekindle its winning ways. Coach Tom Izzo has enough offensive weapons to win his first national title since 2000.

3. Florida: The Gators are riding a 28-game winning streak, and the key has been senior point guard Scottie Wilbekin, the SEC player of the year. Coach Billy Donovan has a seven-man rotation of guys playing at least 20 minutes a game.

4. Kentucky: The Wildcats were the preseason No. 1 but fell out of the Coaches Poll a month ago. The growing pains seem to be passed, though, as Kentucky is making the extra pass, getting 50/50 balls and limiting turnovers. Here's five reasons the Wildcats look NCAA title good.

USA TODAY Sports' Eric Prisbell breaks down the first weekend of the NCAA tournament and what to watch in the Sweet 16.

5. Virginia: If defense wins championships, consider the Cavaliers a top candidate to cut down the nets. "Show me a better team, defensively, left in this tournament. I would like to see it," TNT analyst Reggie Miller said. If the scoreboard reads 40-40 with two minutes remaining, Virginia has its opponent right where it wants it.

6. Louisville: The Cardinals had plenty of momentum heading into the NCAA tournament, but have had two tough matchups. The defending champions struggled with poor shooting and 19 turnovers in a defensive battle with Saint Louis, but 2013 Final Four MVP Luke Hancock filled in with 21 points.

7. UCLA: Sophomore point guard Kyle Anderson had 21 points, 15 rebounds and five assists in the Pac-12 Tournament championship and continues to pilot this surging squad that averages 82 points a game and shoots 49% from the field. Jordan Adams is a go-to scorer down the stretch, and that's a luxury a lot of Sweet 16 teams don't have.

8. Wisconsin: Coach Bo Ryan might have his first Final Four team. The Badgers' success starts on the defensive end, but the backcourt tandem of Traevon Jackson and Ben Brust has come on strong offensively, and Frank Kaminsky and Sam Dekker stretch the floor as hot shooting big men.

9. Michigan: When the Wolverines are making their shots from beyond the arc — as they did with 14 three-pointers in a third-round victory against Texas, they're tough to beat. That's also the case when they limit turnovers, as they did against the Longhorns. Back-to-back national title game appearances are a possibility.

10. Iowa State: DeAndre Kane is one of the most polished offensive players in the country, and fellow senior guard Melvin Ejim can be hard to stop. The Cyclones lead all tournament teams with 19 assists per game. Despite the loss of Georges Niang, there's still plenty of hope.

11. Tennessee: The Volunteers were on the NCAA tournament bubble a few weeks ago. Jordan McRae, a 6-6 wing, has NBA talent, and forward Jarnell Stokes averages a double-double. Tennessee's length defensively and ability to score inside and out make them a contender.

12. Connecticut: The Huskies weren't allowed to participate in the NCAAs last season and are making the most of their 2014 berth. Shabazz Napier is one of the best players left in the tournament.

13. Baylor: The Bears' doiminance of Creighton showed they are capable of putting the defensive clamps down on teams. Cory Jefferson and Isaiah Austin make for a fearsome frontcourt, and Kenny Chery and Brady Heslip are potent scorers in the backcourt.

14. San Diego State: The Aztecs are one of the best defensive teams left in the tournament, ranking second nationally in scoring defense and eighth in field goal percentage defense. They find ways to score with their athleticism and guard Xavier Thames, who had 30 points in SDSU's win against North Dakota State.

15. Dayton: The Flyers, another team flirting with missing the field of 68, transformed their hot-and-cold regular season into a memorable postseason — one that led to a congratulatory call from President Obama. Jordan Sibert and Devin Oliver have been the top offensive catalysts, and forward Dyshawn Pierre has been a tough matchup for opponents — leading the team in scoring in stunning upsets vs. Ohio State and Syracuse. One key to both of the Flyers' upset wins has been their ability to control the glass. They'll need to keep that up to keep their season alive.

16. Stanford: One reassuring yet troubling stat regarding Stanford's win against Kansas: The Cardinal shot 0-for-9 from beyond the arc and still found a way to beat the heavily-favored Jayhawks. Guard Chasson Randle steers the team's offense and senior Dwight Powell provides a steady post presence.

Ohio State Buckeyes guard Aaron Craft (4) reacts after missing a game ending shot in the second half of a men's college basketball game against the Dayton Flyers during the second round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Colorado Buffaloes guard Xavier Talton (3) reacts during the second half of a men's college basketball game against the Pittsburgh Panthers during the second round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Amway Center.
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American University Eagles guard John Schoof (22) sits on the bench as the clock winds down during the second round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament against the Wisconsin Badgers at BMO Harris Bradley Center. Wisconsin defeated American University 75-35.
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Gonzaga Bulldogs guard David Stockton (11) attempts a shot while defended by Arizona Wildcats forward Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (23) during the first half of their third-round game.
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Gonzaga Bulldogs guard Gary Bell, Jr. (front) tries to control the ball as Arizona Wildcats guard Jordin Mayes (20) falls down in the lane during he first half of their third-round game.
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Wichita State Shockers forward Cleanthony Early (11) dunks the ball between Kentucky Wildcats forward Willie Cauley-Stein (15) and James Young (1) during the first half in the third round of the 2014 NCAA Men's Basketball Championship at Scottrade Center.
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Kentucky's Willie Cauley-Stein (15) dunks the ball defended by Wichita State Shockers forward Darius Carter (12) and Cleanthony Early (11) during the first half in the third round of the 2014 NCAA Men's Basketball Championship at Scottrade Center.
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Wisconsin Badgers guard Josh Gasser (21) makes a 3-point shot in the second half of a men's college basketball game against the Oregon Ducks during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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Michigan Wolverines forward Jordan Morgan (52) dunks the ball in the second half of a men's college basketball game against the Texas Longhorns during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournamentc at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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North Dakota State Bison forward Jordan Aaberg (44, second from right) is defended by San Diego State Aztecs forward JJ O'Brien (20, third from right) and forward Josh Davis (22) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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Villanova Wildcats guard Josh Hart (3) drives to the basket against Connecticut Huskies in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Wisconsin Badgers forward Frank Kaminsky (44) drives to the basket, guarded by Oregon Ducks forward Richard Amardi (13) in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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Michigan State Spartans guard Gary Harris (14) dunks against the Harvard Crimson in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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North Dakota State Bison guard Lawrence Alexander (12, top) falls over San Diego State Aztecs forward JJ O'Brien (20) in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
Kirby Lee, USA TODAY Sports

Michigan Wolverines forward Glenn Robinson III (1) battles Texas Longhorns center Prince Ibeh (44) for a rebound in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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Connecticut Huskies Phillip Nolan (0) holds onto the ball against Villanova Wildcats in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Dayton Flyers forward Dyshawn Pierre (21) has his shot blocked by Syracuse Orange forward C.J. Fair (5) in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Harvard Crimson guard/forward Wesley Saunders (23, left) and Michigan State Spartans guard Denzel Valentine (45, right) fight for the ball in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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Oregon Ducks guard Damyean Dotson (21) and Wisconsin Badgers forward Nigel Hayes (10) fight for a rebound in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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San Diego State Aztecs guard Aqeel Quinn (10) shoots against North Dakota State Bison forward Jordan Aaberg (44) and forward Chris Kading (34) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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Dayton Flyers guard Vee Sanford (43) shoots over Syracuse Orange guard Tyler Ennis (11) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Villanova Wildcats forward Daniel Ochefu (23) controls the ball as Connecticut Huskies Phillip Nolan (0) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Wisconsin Badgers guard Bronson Koenig (24) drives to the basket, guarded by Oregon Ducks guard Johnathan Loyd (10) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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San Diego State Aztecs guard Aqeel Quinn (10) and guard D'Erryl Williams (11) celebrate after a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament against the North Dakota State Bison at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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Oregon Ducks guard Joseph Young (3) passes the ball in the second half of a men's college basketball game against the Wisconsin Badgers during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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Harvard Crimson players celebrate against the Michigan State Spartans in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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Connecticut Huskies guard Shabazz Napier (13) drives past Villanova Wildcats guard Tony Chennault (5) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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North Dakota State Bison guard Taylor Braun (24) shoots against San Diego State Aztecs forward Skylar Spencer (0) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
Kirby Lee, USA TODAY Sports

Dayton Flyers guard Jordan Sibert (24) drives tot he basket past Syracuse Orange guard Trevor Cooney (10) in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Connecticut Huskies guard Ryan Boatright (11) shoots as Villanova Wildcats forward Daniel Ochefu (23)] defends in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Harvard Crimson forward Steve Moundou-Missi (14) celebrates against the Michigan State Spartans in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
Kirby Lee, USA TODAY Sports

North Dakota State Bison forward Jordan Aaberg (44) is defended by San Diego State Aztecs forward Josh Davis (22, left) and forward JJ O'Brien (20, right) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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Oregon Ducks guard Joseph Young (3) drives to the basket past Wisconsin Badgers guard Josh Gasser (21) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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San Diego State Aztecs guard Xavier Thames (2) shoots against the North Dakota State Bison in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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Texas Longhorns forward Jonathan Holmes (10) looks to pass in the second half of a men's college basketball game against the Michigan Wolverines during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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San Diego State Aztecs players celebrate against the North Dakota State Bison in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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Michigan Wolverines guard Derrick Walton Jr. (10) passes the ball in the second half of a men's college basketball game against the Texas Longhorns during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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Villanova Wildcats guard Ryan Arcidiacono (15) drives to the basket as Connecticut Huskies guard/forward Niels Giffey (5) defends in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Wisconsin Badgers guard Ben Brust (1) passes the ball around Oregon Ducks guard Damyean Dotson (21) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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Dayton Flyers forward/center Devon Scott (40) looks to shoot as Syracuse Orange forward C.J. Fair (5) defends in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Michigan State Spartans guard/forward Branden Dawson (22) talks to guard Gary Harris (14) against the Harvard Crimson in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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Syracuse Orange guard Michael Gbinije (0) shoots in the second half of a men's college basketball game against Dayton Flyers during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Oregon Ducks guard Johnathan Loyd (10) shoots a jump shot over Wisconsin Badgers guard Traevon Jackson (12) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
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Connecticut Huskies guard/forward Lasan Kromah (20) hits a three point shot as Villanova Wildcats guard James Bell (32) defends in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
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Michigan State Spartans guard Gary Harris (14) celebrates against the Harvard Crimson in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
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San Diego State Aztecs guard Aqeel Quinn (10) reacts against the North Dakota State Bison in the second half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at Veterans Memorial Arena.
Kirby Lee, USA TODAY Sports

Syracuse Orange forward C.J. Fair (5) drives to the basket between Dayton Flyers forward Kendall Pollard (22) and Dayton Flyers forward Dyshawn Pierre (21) in the first half of a men's college basketball game during the third round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament at First Niagara Center.
Kevin Hoffman, USA TODAY Sports