Miami vs New England Spread & ATS Pick Week 4

The undefeated Miami Dolphins are on the road to face the struggling New England Patriots who losers of two straight. The NFL Week 4 spread favors the Patriots by 7.5-points.

Should you bet the NFL Week 4 spread on the notoriously bad road Dolphins? Or is Tom Brady, who hasn’t lost three in a row since prohibition, the smart bet? Let’s find out which AFC East team could get the W this Sunday.

Why Bet on the Miami Dolphins

Miami is gunning for their its first 4-0 season since 1995 and first win at New England since 2008. That last win came on Sept. 21, 2008. That day the Dolphins debuted the Wildcat offense.

A Wildcat offense won’t get the better of the Patriots this weekend. But Detroit proved that a strong run game will when the Lions racked up 159 yards last week. The question is can Miami duplicate that formula to cover the 7.5-point betting spread or even win.

Top Dolphin running back Kenyan Drake had a career-high 193 scrimmage yards the last time he faced New England. The ageless Frank Gore recorded 289 scrimmage yards in three career games against the Patriots. Both will see a lot of carries this weekend.

Why Bet On The New England Patriots

New England has won 14 of its last 16 matchups against Miami heading into Sunday’s tilt. Moreover, the Patriots have won by an average of 19-points the previous five times the Dolphins have visited. Plus I don’t see Tom Brady losing three times in a row. The only question that remains is will New England cover the 7.5-point spread as NFL Week 4 betting favorites.

Miami vs. New England ATS Pick Week 4

Miami’s 3-0 record is deceptive. The Dolphins have beaten the Titans, Jets, and Raiders who have a combined 3-6 record through three weeks.

And do you honestly think Brady and Belichick will lose three in a row? Bet the Patriots to cover the 7.5-point NFL Week 4 spread.