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Monday, October 29, 2018

Precinct and County Participation Maps: 11/05/2018

I will update this post with fresh data daily through the remaining election period. - RMF 11/05/2018 7:00 PM.Ballot Statistics as of 11.05.2018 4:00PM show 1.9M ballots
returned. This is a fairly blistering state-wide 44.9% turnout
rate. However, there is a wide range to county turnout currently stretching
from 36.6%to 66.30%. Among counties with voter populations over 50K, Clallam, Whatcom, Island and Spokane county stand out for their turnout. If you have not yet received
a ballot, you should call your
local Elections office immediately. You
should also vote early, check myvote.wa.gov and check "Ballot
Status" box after voting. The magic phrase you want to see is "Your ballot has been
accepted for tabulation." That means you are good to
go! The Ballot Statistics page is always one morning ahead of the state wide matchback data. Currently, (11.05.2018), we are 0 days from the election. Statewide 1,937,253good ballots have been returned as of 11.05.2018 4:00 PM. The Ballot Status data is responsible for my projections. I have that data from 11.05.2018 data currently showing about 1,881,846.County Turnout

The table
below shows precincts by vote bins from inclusive ranges. (e.g Incl.x to Incl.y) from 11.01.2018 data. Columns include a count of those precinct bins and data for aggregated
turnout, votes, active voters for those same precinct bins. For example, row 1
describes 207 precincts that have had 0 – 24 votes returned for an aggregate 34.9%
turnout from 2,236 votes out of 6,409 active voters. Row 35 describes 2 precincts that have had 950 - 974 votes returned for an aggregate 62.5% turnout fr->->om 961 votes out of 1,538 active voters. Clearly, some precincts
are under performing to date while other are responsible for aggressive turnouts. Their aggregate turnout levels reflect this:

Terrain (light green) colored areas here generally have less than 45 votes returned per precinct after the end of the second full week (11.02.2018) of the WA state midterm election. However, turnout buckets for Kitsap are incorrect on this map along with some other precincts due to some 2016/2017/2018 precinct merge issues. See table (1) above for current county turnout levels. See table (2) above for current precinct turnout levels expressed as bins. Click to enlarge charts.