Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 150721
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0121 AM CST THU JAN 15 2004
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
QUIET FIRE WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CONUS. UPPER
TROUGH CENTERED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NRN MEXICO EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN EXPANSIVE CLOUD
SHIELD ACROSS MUCH OF THE SWRN CONUS DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.
COMBINATION OF MOIST CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE FIRE
WEATHER PROBLEMS IN THIS REGION.
IN THE EAST...AN ARCTIC FRONT CROSSING THE CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIAN
MTNS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL SWEEP EWD OFF THE CAROLINA COAST BY
15/18Z. WINDY POST-FRONTAL REGIME IS LIKELY ACROSS THE CAROLINAS
THIS AFTERNOON...AIDED BY STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES/STRONG
VERTICAL MIXING. DOWNSLOPE NWLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
MPH ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE PIEDMONT CONTRIBUTING TO RH MINIMUMS
BETWEEN 25-35 PERCENT. MITIGATING FIRE WEATHER FACTOR WILL BE COOL
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S ACROSS NC
AND SC. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL RAPIDLY WITH DIMINISHING WIND AFTER
SUNSET.
..BANACOS.. 01/15/2004
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 150907
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0307 AM CST THU JAN 15 2004
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...QUIET FIRE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE CONUS. A BROAD TROUGH IS FORECAST BY ETA AND GFS MODELS
TO DEVELOP IN VICINITY OF BAJA CA/NWRN MEXICO BY 16/12Z. THIS SYSTEM
WILL TRACK EWD ACROSS NRN MEXICO THROUGH THE PERIOD...KEEPING
TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE SWRN CONUS NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL.
AREAS OF VERY LOW SURFACE RH /20-30 PERCENT MINIMUMS/ WILL REDEVELOP
ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
HOWEVER...THIS WILL OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH ARCTIC AIR MASS
PRECLUDING ANY SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..BANACOS.. 01/15/2004
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...