Will there be snow on the ground for this year’s Thanksgiving holiday?

Snowfall probabilities based on 1987-2016.

We can look at historical probabilities to give us a clue. Based on the last 30 years, Anchorage, AK is the most likely to have a white Thanksgiving with a 77% probability to have snow on the ground. Next is Caribou, ME with a 53% probability. The Mid-Atlantic area only has a 3% probability.

Most of the Northeast is expected to have a dry day this Thanksgiving, based on the National Weather Service precipitation forecast below. The exception is areas east of Lake Ontario that could see additional lake effect snowfall.