During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

ECRI uses a highly nuanced “many-cycles” view to understand the complex dynamics of the global economy.

To monitor the U.S. economy alone, we use an array of more than a dozen specialized leading indexes in the context of the ECRI framework for incorporating various sectors and aspects of the economy.

The ECRI framework covers 21 economies, incorporating well over 100 proprietary indexes designed to be comparable across borders.

As a public service, ECRI provides very limited free access to the U.S. Weekly Leading Index. Anything we say in the media has already been fully absorbed by our clients. In other words, the public has limited access to the tip of the iceberg.

We hold regular advisory sessions with our members via phone, video conference, Webex, and in-person meetings. These meetings are tailored to your specific area of interest: we discuss the nuances of our outlook alongside your own concerns, regardless of how specialized those questions may be. The sessions also provide an opportunity to discuss how to dovetail ECRI's insights into your firm’s existing decision-making process.

Advisory sessions are the forum for "kicking the tires" to gain full conviction about ECRI's turning point calls and divergences from the consensus view. This conviction is key to unlocking the full value of our work.