Saturday 23rd September 2017

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

15/15 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
14/15 – Priced 9/1 or less
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
11/15 – Had 4 or more career wins
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Raced at Newbury before
8/15 – Raced 5 or more times that season
7/15 – Had won a Group race before
6/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Favourites that won
3/15 – Raced at York last time
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by David Simcock (including last 2 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

2.50 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

12/15 – Won from draw 5 or lower
12/15 – Raced 3 or more times
12/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
11/15 – Won over 6f previously
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Foaled in March or later
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/15 – Favourites (or joint) to win
7/15 – Won exactly two races before
6/15 – Won by an April foal
5/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/15 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/15 – Filly winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

3.25 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y ITV4

13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Won from stall 7 or higher
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/15 – Won at least twice previously
10/15 – Won over 1m2f previously
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Raced 5 or more times that season
9/15 – Officially rated between 89 and 94
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/15 – Won by a 4 year-old
8/15 – Won from a double-figure draw
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price
6/15 – Had raced at Newbury before (2 won)
4/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
4/15 – Won their last race
3/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
Baydar won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

15/15 – Raced four or more times that season
13/15 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
13/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/15 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/15 – Won a Listed or Group race before
11/15 – Won over 5f previously
11/15 - Aged 5 or younger
10/15 – Won 4 or more times
7/15 – Previous Group race winners
6/15 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 5 winners)
5/15 – Won their last race
5/15 – Favourites
4/15 – Mare winners
Cotai Glory (9/2) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

AYR Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

**THE 2017 AYR GOLD CUP MEETING HAS BEEN ABANDONED DUE TO A WATERLOGGED TRACK**

13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
13/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/15 – Had never raced at Ayr before
13/15 – Had won once or two times before
12/15 – Winning distance 1 length or further
11/15 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
11/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/15 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1

2.35 – William Hill Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

14/15 – Carried 8-11 or more
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
13/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/15 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
12/15 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/15 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
10/15 – Finished 5th or better last time out
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
7/15 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Winning Favourites
3/15 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
Tatlisu won the race in 2015
Huntsmans Close won the race in 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/1

10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Had won over 1m before
10/11 – Won between 2-6 times before
9/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Winners from stalls 9 or lower
9/11 – Placed 4th or worse in their last race
9/11 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/11 – Aged 4 or older
8/11 – Returned between 7/1-14/1 in the betting
7/11 – Had run at the track before
7/11 – Rated between 89-93
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.45 – William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
12/15 – Failed to win their last race
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/15 – Had 7 or more runs that season
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Rated 90-100
9/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Had raced at Ayr before
7/15 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (2) or Haydock (2) last time out
7/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/15– Winning favourites (2 winning favs since 1980)
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 16/1