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HSBC Predicts Gold to Rally above $1900 in 2012

In a report just released from HSBC Bank, “Economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and the uncertainty of the U.S. November elections are theoretically gold-bullish, and gold should perform better later in the year when U.S. growth is poor and the dollar is weak.” The report further stated that “We expect prices to rally to above $1,900/oz by the end of the year. Patience is the most important commodity.”

Gold is up slightly in early morning trading as the U.S. dollar index hit a one month low. The positive jobs report on Friday increased the appetite for risk and therefore put downward pressure on the U.S. dollar. There is much speculation that during the September Federal Open Market Committee further monetary easing will be announced. For now, gold remains in a fairly tight trading pattern while trying to decipher the direction of the global economies.

Spain is staying in the spotlight and the question is being asked of how much bailout they will actually need. At the moment, efforts are being made to stop the bleeding, but it is uncertain whether or not they will save the patient. The credit ratings make it very difficult for institutional investors to invest in Spain. There are concerns that this could turn into the same pattern as Greece, where smaller bailouts eventually turned into a full-fledged bailout.