groovygirl thought this interview was a good, compact form of Martin’s October 2015 Turning Point and the following impact, what he is calling the “Big Bang” or blow up/reset of global debt.

Quote:

Will the Fed finally raise interest rates? Armstrong contends, “The Fed will have no real choice. . . . The Fed will come under significant pressure to raise interest rates because the newspapers and Congress will blame them and say they are creating a bubble with low interest rates. The more they raise interest rates, the higher the stock market will go. I know that sounds crazy . . . historically, interest rates bottom with the markets. I mean, you lose confidence and people won’t borrow.”

side musing: still the big debate about inflationary or deflationary. Groovygirl still contends that the US will have both, so prepare/hedge for both. GG also believes that parts of the globe will have inflation and other parts will have deflation. Groovygirl thinks this is one of the main reasons that this global debt reset will be so confusing and shocking.

As you know, gg has been into real estate investing lately. A perfect example of inflation and deflation happening at the same time within one market. US high-end real estate asset prices have been increasing and low-end real estate have been collapsing in price. And the mid-range depends on where you are in the US. Whatever market(s) you are investing in, educate yourself and understand all aspects of that market.

Groovygirl has been busy working her long-term investment plan. She hopes you are doing the same. The big wave seems to be a little slower to form. Martin says after 2015 (2016-2018). Goods news is you have more time to prepare. Bad news is it seems it will be an even bigger, more volatile wave.

In gg’s opinion, as an investor, you must take into consideration when you will need money and when taxes will be the lowest for your investment. Sometimes hard to predict. If you are 70, waiting to exit a market until 2032, may not be practical for you. You may need cash well before then. Always understand when you want to ideally exit an investment. That will help determine what investment to buy and when you should get in. Even in a down global economy, there are markets that are going up. GG is using Martin’s cycle as a guide to what might happen in the global economy at a certain time. This helps time markets and when to exit based on her personal capital needs. Helps her know when to look closely at the market.

That strategy depends on the rest of the world remaining strong. But if we see a turn down 2016-2020, it is hard to imagine Europe surviving the coming political storm.

groovygirl thought this was very important. This seems the only option to “control” the European debt implosion as everyone else is in a debt collapse, too. It’ s hard for a group of drowning men to save each other. May be impossible, but it gives us an idea of what the “first world”, US allies will try to do. Of course, there is that nasty unknown of shadow dark pool trading…..

July 18, 2014

Groovygirl was rereading some old articles from Martin Armstrong. The ones on the typewriter. Of course, gg often reviews the Real Estate Cycle one. Seems we are still right on schedule for the long decline in US real estate into 2033 after 2015.

gg was also reading March 21, 2013’s post entitled March 22nd-Just Amazing. I think you can find it on his site.

Martin refers to August 3, 2014 as a turning point for the Sovereign Debt Crisis Wave Formation. She is keeping an eye on that date.

And, of course, with today’s international events, it seems we are on track for a rise in the war cycle going 2014-2016. Maybe impact the global debt issue as well. The more global economic sanctions, the less global capital moves, the less global debt/credit available.