This seems to be another slight move Angle’s way, after the previously-detected slight move Reid’s way, which just goes back to what I’ve been saying for a while: the normal state of this race is a tie. This may be the race we watch recounted in November, which would not be a first for Reid. He had a very close shave against John Ensign, when that Republican made his first Senate run.

I also expect that with Nevada’s relatively low but concentrated population, and the tiny margin of this race, that it will have the highest leverage of outside money of any Senate race this year. Nevada voters will probably be well tired of the television ads by the time election day finally arrives.