December 7, 2007

Bloomberg’s Electoral Calculus

The New York Sun lays out Bloomberg’s chances of winning various states, coming to the conclusion that he has a shot to win 312 electoral votes if he wins California (which would be helped by a Schwarzenegger endorsement), Florida, and New York, along with various Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and Northwest states.

Douglas Bailey, a former Republican strategist who co-founded Unity08, an organization dedicated to creating a bipartisan presidential ticket, said between 35% and 40% of the country’s voters label themselves as independent, and another 8% to 10% of voters say they are willing to vote for candidates outside their party.

“In the country as a whole, and in virtually every state, there is upwards of 55% of the electorate that is available,” he said.