The Manchester Union-Leader, the most important paper in the state, puts its weight behind the Senator from Arizona:

We don't agree with him on every issue. We disagree with him strongly on campaign finance reform. What is most compelling about McCain, however, is that his record, his character, and his courage show him to be the most trustworthy, competent, and conservative of all those seeking the nomination. Simply put, McCain can be trusted to make informed decisions based on the best interests of his country, come hell or high water.

Amen. Meanwhile, in Iowa, a surge by Mike Huckabee has topped Mitt Romney in the polls. Huckabee's peculiar brand of compassionate conservatism seems unlikely to travel well, as others have noted.

Huckabee is the opposite of a libertarian. As governor, he hiked taxes repeatedly and oversaw an explosion in state spending. He's explicitly running as a "different kind of Republican," positioning himself as the heir to President Bush's compassionate conservatism (a.k.a. big-government conservatism). His populist economic message includes expanding farm and alternative-energy subsidies and curbing free trade (to insulate us from the global economy).