How might Donald Trump do a deal with North Korea?

The world has been consumed by the fear of war in Korea over the past week - everywhere, it seems, except Korea. The BBC's correspondent in the South Korean capital says there is a disconnect between the hyped-up atmosphere and the reality on the ground.

I get emails from people in Europe asking me whether nuclear war is about to start - and then I look out of the window, in Seoul, and see a market where people amble gently between the stalls, sampling street food.

Around the world, headlines scream "danger" - but at what would be the epicentre of any war, there's not the slightest sign of fear.

The military option - an attack on North Korean nuclear installations - was considered by previous presidents and ruled out because half the population of South Korea lives in the greater Seoul area, which is within easy range of North Korean artillery. That remains true.

Decapitation - the assassination of Kim Jong-un - has also not happened for a variety of reasons: success couldn't be guaranteed, and it isn't clear what orders the military might have to retaliate against South Korea if the north's "supreme leader" were attacked. That hasn't changed.

Whether the policy really has changed depends on whether President Trump has a different attitude to risk and the potential cost of war, perhaps a war that would suck in China.

In 1994, President Clinton considered attacking North Korean nuclear sites.

The United States had information the regime was about to move fuel rods from its reactor at Yongbyon, to the north of Pyongyang, to a reprocessing centre (the first step in making a nuclear bomb).

Plans were made to send fighters and cruise missiles to attack, but the order was never given.

President Clinton's Defence Secretary William Perry feared retaliation against South Korea.

But it was a plan that scared the North Koreans and enabled a deal to be done.

The US provided fuel to a fuel-starved economy, and North Korea agreed to freeze its programme (though it then cheated and the deal fell apart in 2002).

Today, Mr Perry believes the opportunity for what he calls "creative diplomacy" is there, particularly because China may be more helpful than it was during the Clinton presidency.

North Korea has to believe that the United States might attack and that, on this reasoning, makes President Trump's unpredictability an asset.

Image copyrightGETTY IMAGESImage captionThe recent parade in Pyongyang featured what appeared to be a new class of land-based ballistic missile

In recent days, the administration has downplayed the idea of attacking North Korea.

National security adviser Lt Gen HR McMaster said on Sunday: "All our options are on the table."

But, crucially, he added: "It's time for us to undertake all actions we can, short of a military option, to try to resolve this peacefully."

There is a pessimistic view and an optimistic view.

The bleak view is that President Trump is way out of his depth and acts impulsively.

On this reading, we are in great danger.

Sir Max Hastings, the author of an acclaimed history of the Korean War, has written: "As ever with this president, it is impossible to judge whether he means what he says, or even understands the significance of his words."

He cited a scenario that in his view echoed the way the world stumbled into war in 1914, through the "dysfunctional personality" of a leader.

The nightmare scenario now would be: "The United States delivers an ultimatum to North Korea, insisting it renounces its nuclear weapons.

"The half-crazed regime in the capital, Pyongyang, refuses.

"US aircraft and missiles strike at Kim Jong-Un's nuclear facilities.

"North Korea's neighbour and ally, China, responds by hitting carriers of the US Seventh Fleet in the Pacific.

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