A big quake could leave Wellington cut off from the rest of the North Island for four months, new disaster predictions show.

It could take 40 days to restore the water supply to even a basic level, while road access could take up to 120 days, according to "worst case" predictions presented to the region's Civil Defence Emergency Management Group.

That could leave Wellington residents or commuters trapped in the city for months, and dependent on water rations being distributed by authorities for about six weeks.

The predictions relate to a quake of magnitude 7.5 or higher, and come after a magnitude-7 quake off Taranaki on Tuesday.

The long, rolling quake, at 230 kilometres deep, was felt throughout the lower North Island and upper South Island at 10.36pm. Rail services were suspended while tracks were inspected for damage.

WELLINGTON - A 7.0 magnitude earthquake hitting off New Zealand North Island's south Taranaki coast Tuesday was the largest of the region in more than 100 years, New Zealand government geological agency GNS Science said on Wednesday.

Re: Most Dangerous Time for Strong Earthquakes in 2012, Super Full Moon, Alignment of Earth-Sun-Jupiter, Venus Transit, Solar Eclipse over USA & JP

Clock is ticking on next massive Pacific Coast earthquake

In one study, a 13-year comprehensive analysis of the Cascadia earthquake-prone zone between Vancouver Is-land and Northern California, a team of researchers led by Oregon State University Earth scientist Chris Goldfinger concluded that the "clock is ticking" ahead of a potentially devastating earth-quake in the region within the next 50 years. In a 184-page report published this week by the U.S. Geological Survey, the team compiled a detailed record of earthquakes in the region going back to 8,000 B.C.

"Over the past 10,000 years, there have been 19 earth-quakes that extended along most of the margin, stretching from southern Vancouver Island to the Oregon-California border," Goldfinger stated in a summary of the study.

"These would typically be of a magnitude from about 8.7 to 9.2 - really huge earth-quakes."

“If one is closer to the rupture area of an earthquake, then the ground shaking will be more intense, all other things being equal,” study co-author Glenn Spinelli, a research scientist with the New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, told Postmedia News. “Therefore, if the rupture area of a Cascadia subduction zone earthquake is closer to land, then the shaking on land will be greater.”

He added that the southern margin of Cascadia, encompassing southern Oregon and Northern California, “has a much higher recurrence level for major earthquakes than the northern end and, frankly, it is overdue for a rupture.”

But he cautioned: “That doesn’t mean that an earthquake couldn’t strike first along the northern half, from Newport, Oregon, to Vancouver Island."

Re: Most Dangerous Time for Strong Earthquakes in 2012, Super Full Moon, Alignment of Earth-Sun-Jupiter, Venus Transit, Solar Eclipse over USA & JP

Next days will be dangerous for same locations, think around M 6.0 + will appear and some of M 5.0 + in area from Afghanistan to Greece, West Coast, Japan (Tokyo area) or M 7.0 + somewhere around Fiji-Tonga-Vanuatu area ..

Re: Most Dangerous Time for Strong Earthquakes in 2012, Super Full Moon, Alignment of Earth-Sun-Jupiter, Venus Transit, Solar Eclipse over USA & JP

Next days will be dangerous for same locations, think around M 6.0 + will appear and some of M 5.0 + in area from Afghanistan to Greece, West Coast, Japan (Tokyo area) or M 7.0 + somewhere around Fiji-Tonga-Vanuatu area ..

Re: Most Dangerous Time for Strong Earthquakes in 2012, Super Full Moon, Alignment of Earth-Sun-Jupiter, Venus Transit, Solar Eclipse over USA & JP

First 4 days in August think we will have around M 7.0, or M 6.0 + USA(WEST C-off coast Oregon) or areas from Afghanistan to Italy-Bosnia(Turkey)..

Quoting: Rain-Man

Next days will be dangerous for same locations, think around M 6.0 + will appear and some of M 5.0 + in area from Afghanistan to Greece, West Coast, Japan (Tokyo area) or M 7.0 + somewhere around Fiji-Tonga-Vanuatu area ..

Re: Most Dangerous Time for Strong Earthquakes in 2012, Super Full Moon, Alignment of Earth-Sun-Jupiter, Venus Transit, Solar Eclipse over USA & JP

First 4 days in August think we will have around M 7.0, or M 6.0 + USA(WEST C-off coast Oregon) or areas from Afghanistan to Italy-Bosnia(Turkey)..

Quoting: Rain-Man

Next days will be dangerous for same locations, think around M 6.0 + will appear and some of M 5.0 + in area from Afghanistan to Greece, West Coast, Japan (Tokyo area) or M 7.0 + somewhere around Fiji-Tonga-Vanuatu area ..

October 11 2012 - at least 250 people are killed and more of 2000 injured by two EQ's of M 6.4 and M 6.3 .. March 2006 - at least 70 people are killed and nearly 1,000 injured by a 6.0 magnitude quake in Lorestan province February 2005 - more than 500 people killed by a strong quake near Zahran, in Kerman province December 2003 - a 6.6 magnitude quake destroys the ancient city of Bam, killing more than 25,000 people May 1997 - more than 1,600 killed in Birjand, eastern Iran, in a 7.1 magnitude quake February 1997 - a 5.5 magnitude quake kills about 1,000 in north-western Iran June 1990 - some 40,000 die in a tremor in the northern Gilan province

1997 - More than 40,000 people lose their homes and 13 die in a series of earthquakes in September. Four of the victims are killed as the roof of the Basilica of St Francis in Assisi collapses. Priceless frescoes are also damaged.

1980 - 2,735 people are killed and more than 7,500 injured in a quake measuring at least 6.9 on the Richter scale. The epicentre is at Eboli, about 80 kilometres (50 miles) south of Naples, and damage is widespread. More than 1,500 people are reported missing.

Re: Most Dangerous Time for Strong Earthquakes in 2012, Super Full Moon, Alignment of Earth-Sun-Jupiter, Venus Transit, Solar Eclipse over USA & JP

First 4 days in August think we will have around M 7.0, or M 6.0 + USA(WEST C-off coast Oregon) or areas from Afghanistan to Italy-Bosnia(Turkey)..

Quoting: Rain-Man

Next days will be dangerous for same locations, think around M 6.0 + will appear and some of M 5.0 + in area from Afghanistan to Greece, West Coast, Japan (Tokyo area) or M 7.0 + somewhere around Fiji-Tonga-Vanuatu area ..

Think more stronger activity coming in next 3-5 days M 6.2 + area from Afghanistan to Italy, West Coast, Japan or M 7.0 + somewhere around Fiji-Tonga-Vanuatu-NZ area ..

Quoting: Rain-Man

According to the latest data from the Central Sulawesi Disaster Mitigation Agency, the earthquake has killed six people and damaged 1,097 houses, seven places of worship, three schools and one government office. Dozens of people suffered minor injuries during the earthquake.

Think more stronger activity coming in next 3-5 days M 6.2 + area from Afghanistan to Italy, West Coast, Japan or M 7.0 + somewhere around Fiji-Tonga-Vanuatu-NZ area ..

Quoting: Rain-Man

According to the latest data from the Central Sulawesi Disaster Mitigation Agency, the earthquake has killed six people and damaged 1,097 houses, seven places of worship, three schools and one government office. Dozens of people suffered minor injuries during the earthquake.