“Romney has pretty much nailed down Florida,” said Brad Coker of Mason-Dixon Polling and Research, which conducted the poll for the Times and its media partners. “Unless something dramatically changes — an October surprise, a major gaffe — Romney’s going to win Florida.”

Which both campaigns know very well. What I’m hearing privately – and it may also be public information right now – is that Obama for America has left the shell of its Florida operation up for appearances, but moved out its funding and national support out to other, more hopeful places