Now for the bad news for us from 2010 and 2012 (How the South cost us the House)

We didn't win Congress, largely thanks to gerrymandering but we do have one big problem region. The South. We had a net loss of percent of seats in that region in 2012 (the only region where that happened).

Here is the post election breakdown with the assumption we will win those races we lead in.

And remember this was an election after we had already taken huge losses.

We have two states with 0 Democratic Congressmen, 4 with 1 Democratic Congressman each, and one with only 2. Frankly, I don't know what the cure for this is. Redistricting can only do so much since under the voting rights act we have to have some majority minority seats which definitely limits our ability to gerrymander. We have to do better though, than spotting the GOP 67 seats in one region of the country. This region wipes out New England where we have 21 seats to their 0, the mid atlantic where we have 40 seats to their 25 and the pacific coast 47 seats to 20. Total (108 to 45)

Our wipe out in the South is a large part of why the GOP has the Congress.

1. I knew it was bad, but WOW!

2. It is very bad

We don't have the majority in even one state, even states carried by Obama twice have delegations that are over 60% GOP. We don't have a single white Democratic Representative in AR, MS, AL, SC, or OK. We have one in TN but he represents a majority minority district.

4. It's not just the US House. The vast majority of white voters in the South never vote for Democrats

The state legislatures of all of these states are heavily Republican. Statewide office holders in these states are heavily Republican. The US Senate representation from these states is heavily Republican.

We have to find a way to win over more of the white vote in the South. I have no idea how to do that short of strengthening our positions in the city centers and moving out to the suburbs and exurbs where we are being slaughtered.

5. Excellent breakdown. Thanks!

6. And guess what?

It's going to get worse unless there is a collective effort to help the Dems in those states. All of them had a decent % that voted for Obama. Discounting that number of voters is stupid.

Demographically the South and West are growing. They gained seats and the northeast lost them. That will continue. You can post eleventy billion charts and scream about those people after every election as the House is lost.

Or you can help those who are trying to sway younger voters and transplants before they are trapped in the clutches of the GOP.

11. If we had picked up 15 more seats in the South

then gerrymandering wouldn't have saved them. To some extent the gerrymandering is intertwined (NC, VA, TX, and TN) but some states are not (AK, MS, AL, SC). The fact is that spotting the GOP close to 70 seats in one region makes the House a very uphill climb.