Presentation Transcript

PURPOSE PROVIDE A COMPLETE AND CONSISTENT CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK FOR MEASURING THE ECONOMIC ACTIVITY OF A NATION. MONITOR ECONOMY PROFARMANCE ENABLING INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON ADOPTING CONCEPTS AND FRAMES FOR THE ECONOMIC STATISTICS

ESTIMATION OF GDP GDP(FC): Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the value of all goods and services produced at factor cost (FC) in the economy during a particular period . GDP (MP) = GDP (FC) +Net Indirect taxes

Compilation Period GDP estimates are compiled annually onthe Solar year basis ending March 20, e.g. for the year 1387 the covered period is from 21 March 2008 to 20 March 2009. The GDP estimates are published once a year in the Afghanistan Statistical Yearbook.

Prices • All the producers’ prices (PR) are based on CPI survey. The percentage different between farmer and market (mainly profit margin, transportation cost, and taxes) prices are determined for each item (between 15-30% depend on the goods and the distances). The annual percentage change in consumer price index (CPI) of each item in food (more than 100 items) is used for the annual change in producers’ prices.

Agriculture • Agriculture is the most important sector in the economy with more than 80% of population actively involved in it. Due to the high level of subsistence farming in Afghanistan.

LARGE-SCALE MANUFACTURING Manufacturing in Afghanistan are mainlyFood, beverages, and tobacco, Textile, wood production, paper products ,etc. Composition: The Ministry of Industry, Ministry of Light Industry, and Ministry of Commerce provide manufacturing production and producer prices data for public and private enterprises Sources:

CONSTRUCTION Construction consists modern construction in public sector ,rehabilitation, project in progress, and new projects, modern private sector and traditional construction. Data sources : ED collects data from Ministry of Public Work, Ministry of Finance, private sector construction and others. Data for traditional construction are derived based on population census, number of household, and cost a typical house in rural area. IC: 55% ratio VA: Production approach

ELECTRICITY, GAS DISTRIBUTION & WATER SUPPLY Composition: This group include the generation of hydro—power, and the transmission, of electricity, the manufacture of gas ,natural gas, production and distribution of water . Intermediate Consumption: Fuels, Oil, Gas, Water, etc. The main source of data for this group is Ministry of Industry and Electricity . Sources: The production approach is used to arrive at value added. Gross Value Added:

Expenditure approach • Total final consumption expenditure is the sum of private and government consumption. Government consumption data are drawn directly from the national budget . • Currently only current prices of GDP by expenditure are estimated by indirect method of carry over the GDP from production side and making the private consumption (or final consumption expenditure of household) as residual including data discrepancies and change in stocks.