The 7 percent lead is beyond the +/- margin of error of 4.3 percent, but “close enough in a low-turnout, stand-alone runoff to be anyone’s call, though clearly Ossoff is in a better position than Handel,” Survey USA analysts concluded.

While it’s still too close to call, further examination of the data shows Ossoff is in pretty good shape. He has large leads over Handel with women, voters under 50, minorities, and people who describe themselves as moderates. Both candidates are carrying their parties’ Presidential voters, and Handel has the support of people who voted for Tom Price in 2016, though that’s not surprising.

The two campaigns and their partisan allies have already spent about $26 million on TV ads alone, with nearly a month left. The total spending is roughly even, with Jon Ossoff’s heavy small-donor-based campaign spending being balanced by the national GOP groups — particularly Paul Ryan’s Congressional Leadership Fund — running ads for Karen Handel.

NPR reports that the total for ads is expected to end up around $30 million and points out that President Trump spent less than three times that in the (nationwide) general election. It’s not known how this barrage of ads will affect turnout, but we’ll find out soon: early voting is set to begin May 30th.

I live in Georgia’s 7th district so I can’t vote, but I do see all the ads. They’re on all the time. I only watch about 2 hours of network TV a week, but I see ads about for about half of the spots. They’re on the radio, on the Internet, and on yard signs. Ossoff seems like a likeable young man who wants to make a difference. He’s running ads that make his opponent seem like a big spending moron from the establishment. He’s running a smart campaign and I wouldn’t be surprised one iota if he wins.