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Re: Sunday 8/5/2012 Minor-League Updates

After a pair of triples last night, Juan Perez ripped a HR and double today. Nick O'Shea had a HR and 2 singles. Dayton rolled, 11-5. James Allen didn't have his most impressive outing, but he got the W and struck out 7 in 5 IP. Michael Dennhardt threw 2 more scoreless frames.

Re: Sunday 8/5/2012 Minor-League Updates

Jesse Winker banged out two doubles and a single today as Billings won, 8-4. Seth Mejias-Brean extended his hitting streak to 21 games. Brandon Dailey posted a couple more hits. And Carlos Sanchez homered. Five pitchers split the action, with Joel Bender going the longest at 3.1 innings, striking out 5.

Perez is a LH SS (though most project him as a 2B going forward). He's got 22 SB, but has been caught 10 times. Still just 20 and in Low-A, so he's a bit ahead of schedule. 44 BBs to 67 Ks show plate discipline.

All but one have played in the majors, but only one is a star. His year isn't quite as good as the season Prince Fielder enjoyed, but, so far, it's within shouting distance of second. Butler, fwiw, is closest overall, IMO, though his power numbers were better. Very few Pioneer League 18-year-olds. Even fewer have any success at all.

Last edited by Scrap Irony; 08-06-2012 at 12:17 AM.

"You can learn little from victory. You can learn everything from defeat."
-- Christy Matthewson
"Show me a good loser and I'll show you an idiot."
-- Leo Durocher

Everyone else, including your comps, were just to far away for me. Chris Nelson had 20 walks and 42 strikeouts. Billy Butler had a .220 IsoP (Winker is just at .120). Gindl had just 20 walks and 38 strikeouts while also showing a .208 IsoP.

The problem is with trying to find comps for guys like Winker is that there simply aren't many guys his age to begin with at this level, so the pickings are slim to even look for. Then you get into that he has a pretty unique skillset for his age and it makes it even tougher. Lots of guys at 18 have had some power, but not many come into pro ball with his kind of discipline.

Re: Sunday 8/5/2012 Minor-League Updates

Interesting list, doug. Neither Garcia nor Carrow last three years in professional baseball. Closser's been banging around for almost 15 and hasn't done much of anything.

I'm guessing Winker grabs a bit more power the rest of the way. (It's already happening, in fact. He's slugged .500 since the last day of Junewith an IsoP of around .150.) His scouting report commented on his plus power, and, though it hasn't materialized quite as well as scouts thought, the rest of his game is a sabremetrician's wet dream.

"You can learn little from victory. You can learn everything from defeat."
-- Christy Matthewson
"Show me a good loser and I'll show you an idiot."
-- Leo Durocher

Re: Sunday 8/5/2012 Minor-League Updates

Interesting list, doug. Neither Garcia nor Carrow last three years in professional baseball. Closser's been banging around for almost 15 and hasn't done much of anything.

I'm guessing Winker grabs a bit more power the rest of the way. (It's already happening, in fact. He's slugged .500 since the last day of Junewith an IsoP of around .150.) His scouting report commented on his plus power, and, though it hasn't materialized quite as well as scouts thought, the rest of his game is a sabremetrician's wet dream.

Oh yeah. As I noted, the pool of guys his age with his skillset simply is too limited to find a decent group of statistical comps. I went back to 1995 and only three guys were even close. Hopefully that power develops, because he could be a very strong hitter if it does.

Re: Sunday 8/5/2012 Minor-League Updates

I feel like it's easy to be overcritical of Winker just because he's putting up numbers that actually warrant evaluating. Most statistics from guys his age, Rahier for example, are so bad they just get written off due to expected improvement. It'll be interesting to see the post season scouting reports, but I think some people are reading too much into the lack of power.

Re: Sunday 8/5/2012 Minor-League Updates

Originally Posted by Superdude

I feel like it's easy to be overcritical of Winker just because he's putting up numbers that actually warrant evaluating. Most statistics from guys his age, Rahier for example, are so bad they just get written off due to expected improvement. It'll be interesting to see the post season scouting reports, but I think some people are reading too much into the lack of power.

Agreed. Perhaps most importantly, look at what Winker is doing compared to every other 2012 HS draftee. That probably puts it into the best perspective.

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