Tony Dungy is convinced that his former team, the Colts, will win Super Bowl XLIV against the Saints.

Dungy might be a little biased and stating the obvious — like Microsoft founder Bill Gates announcing that he’s rich — but the retired coach made a compelling point for the Colts while appearing on Dan Patrick‘s syndicated radio show (via the USA Today).

“I would be absolutely shocked (if the Colts lose Sunday),” Dungy said. “They haven’t lost a game yet this year that they were trying to win.”

Of course, many would have been shocked if Dungy said something different.

Dungy certainly looked shocked when the Chargers ended his coaching career by handing the Colts a 23-17 wild-card loss in the 2008 playoffs. That was the last time the Colts lost a game they were trying to win.

The Colts finished this season 14-2, but they drew criticism for resting their starters down the stretch instead of pursuing a perfect record.

Dungy was open about his feelings on who will win the Super Bowl, but he suggested that his replacement, Jim Caldwell, play it cool with DE Dwight Freeney‘s ankle injury.

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