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Monday, 29 October 2012

Indian Grand Prix: New Delhi Round-Up

Post-qualifying bets perform best once again...

In general I always like to wait until after qualifying
before placing my bets, so to test whether that's the best strategy or
not, every Grand Prix weekend I give myself 100 points and then place a
few hypothetical bets both before and after qualifying using the odds
available from SkyBet.com.I then
analyse their performance and see which set of tips do best.

My pre-qualifying tips were a washout this weekend, but my post-qualifying
tips returned a slight overall profit…

To Win
Outright:15 points on Lewis Hamilton
at 8.0 - LOSS
Sebastian Vettel justified his extremely short of odds of 1.4 with a very
comfortable victory.

To Finish In The Points
(Top Ten Finish):20 points on Bruno Senna at
3.0 – WIN
60 points
Like he has done on several occasions previously this season, Bruno Senna once
again just sneaked into the lower end of the points scoring positions.

Top Six Finish:

20
points on Fernando Alonso at 1.29 – WIN
26 points

On
reflection I was overly cagey and should have gone for Alonso for the podium
rather than a top six finish, but nevertheless this still proved to be a
winning bet.

Fastest
Pitstop:

10
points on Jenson Button at 3.25 - LOSS

Not To
Be Classified:

10
points on Michael Schumacher at 4.5 – LOSS

If Michael Schumacher's gearbox problems had struck one lap sooner then this would have been a winning bet, but as his retirement came on the 55th lap it meant he was within 5 laps of the finish and was therefore classified 22nd. However, given his reliability issues and his previous 7 DNFs so far this season, Schumacher has to
be worth considering again for a ‘Not To Be Classfied’ bet at this season's remaining
Grand Prix.

Dual
Forecast:

5 points
on Hamilton/Webber at 21.0 – LOSS

Driver
match bets…

Kimi
Raikkonen V Romain Grosjean:

7 points
on Kimi Raikkonen at 1.29 – WIN 9 points

Pedro De
La Rosa V Narain Karthikeyan:

7 points
on De La Rosa at 1.5 - LOSS

Nico Rosberg V Michael
Schumacher:

6 points
on Nico Rosberg at 1.62 – WIN 10 points

Making an overall return of 105 points from 100
points and therefore an overall profit of 5 points.

Given the
poor showing of my pre-qualifying tips, this would once again suggest that
after qualifying when the grid is settled is the best time to place your
formula 1 bets.

The running
totals in the comparative performance of my pre and post qualifying tips now
stands at:

Pre-qualifying
tips – 1.5

Post-qualifying
tips tips – 3.5

I’ll post
my pre-qualifying tips for the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix in a couple of days time.

Disclaimer: A small bet can make a formula 1 race more exciting
but gambling can be a risky business so never bet more than you can
afford to lose. The safest way to bet is with a free bet, so if you'd
like the chance to claim a totally free £10 bet then sign up to SkyBet
today using the banner link below:

Footnote: All odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.