NFL 2017 Week 3 Lines and Picks

After an amazing Week 2, I’m back for more of the same (hopefully). So let’s get to it.

(picks in bold)

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers (+3) — The Redskins showed that the Rams can be run on, but the 49ers don’t have the offensive line that Washington has. The Rams are a better team and Levi’s stadium isn’t much of a home field advantage. The Rams should win easy in another crappy Thursday Night Game.

Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) — I’m not as sure about this game, but I expect it to go much the way the Titans-Jaguars game from last week went where the Ravens get ahead on some turnovers from their defense and the Jags simply can’t catch up.

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) — The Giants’ offense is abysmal and while this is a divisional game, the Eagles are a much much much better team than the Giants.

Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-11) — The Pats will still win this game, but the Texans played the Pats well in last year’s playoffs. Romeo Crennel has familiarity with the Pats’ offense having been a part of Bill Belichick’s staff and the offensive side of the ball is better considering Deshaun Watson has shown more in one game than Tom Savage has in his entire career.

Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions (+3) — The Falcons should have this game won in the 3rd quarter before Matthew Stafford mounts a comeback. The difference with this Atlanta team is that their defense is going to get better and better as the year goes on even without Vic Beasley Jr. for a month.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears (+7.5) — Unless the Bears put in Mitchell Trubisky, they have no shot of keeping this close. I watched most of their game last week with the Buccaneers and Mike Glennon loves giving the ball to the defense.

Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts (Even) — Although the Colts played the Cardinals close last week, maybe that was more of an indictment of Arizona. The Browns have competed in both games this year and are better than the Colts.

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-5.5) — The Panthers’ offense has sputtered the first two weeks, but here comes the Saints defense to make everything better. Sean Payton should be worried here – he hasn’t had an offense with this many issues since ever and Drew Brees hasn’t been able to connect with Michael Thomas either. Willie Snead needs to come back in a big way.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings (-1) — Sam Bradford’s injury has put Vegas in flux, but the Bucs are a legit offense with a really good defense. The Bucs should win this game – I’m not a believer in checkdown Sam yet.

Seattle Seahawks at Tennessee Titans (+2.5) — The Seahawks’ offensive line is some shit. Brian Orakpo may be able to use his own pass-rushing move and still have three sacks. The defense on the other hand is amazing, but should not affect Marcus Mariota much as the Titans don’t really throw the ball.

Kansas City Chargers at Los Angeles Chargers (+3) — The Chargers are too talented to drop to 0-3. I’m expecting the game of Philip Rivers’ life on Sunday… or something like that.

Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers (-7.5) — The difference between these teams is the difference between Andy Dalton and Aaron Rodgers and that is worth more than 7.5 points especially in Lambeau.

Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) — Do the Cardinals have a good offense? No. But the Broncos gave the rest of the NFL the blueprint on how to beat the Cowboys. Stack the line and make Dak Prescott beat you. Arizona’s defense should be up for the job.