Johnb says: “I have already advised Churchill for next year’s 2000 Guineas & Derby – he has been really impressive this season and my view is he will get even better next year.

“Blue Point on the other hand is harder to call for how he will progress next year. If he trains on then in my view it’s a straight fight between Blue Point & Churchill but in the Derby Churchill is the only horse for me – he gives me the same excitement as Golden Horn did.

“But to answer my question earlier the most impressive horse I have seen this year is BLUE POINT with Churchill and Annie Power a close second and third.”

NAP ADERENNA 11/4 1.05 tow
Shark Hanlons yard is in fine form with 3 wins from his last 8 runners and he sends 3 across the pond and i think this one is his best chance of a winner but wouldnt rule the others out either.

NB CANNY TOM 2/1 2.35 thurles
Been expensive to follow but this is a poor race and wont take much winning.

EW BILLY MY BOY 12/1 2.20 taunton

Also looking forward to seeing CHAMPAGNE FEVER return and if anyway near fit should win. ADMIRAL CHIEF in the bumper is very highly regarded and have doubled him with GENERAL PRINCIPLE in the first at thurles.

2013 supreme novice was champagne fever’s finest hour for me, though his champion bumper win had some big future names behind him, I think he was a better hurdler than chaser, but no doubt most would disagree with that.
Interesting to see how former gold cup winner lord Windermere goes after a similar lay off.
Certainly a race to watch with interest, but with fitness doubts over these 2, its a no bet race for me.

Elvis i feel ur pain
I follow this man daily and got a tip for ur nap. I seen u naped it then so had to follow!!
I will never make this mistake again! Im not backing against this man again! Why didnt i listen to the little voice in my head saying (wat part of alans nap dont u understand) 😣😣

Verygoodverygood is the right favourite but is very bad value, it’s a far stronger race even if the other horses have question marks,
One horse in particular that has better form is Vive La Roi but he does have to contend with coming back from a break which was why I didn’t have Vive Le Roi as one of my tips but he was very close to being one, he is a stand out value horse and the odds are a mystery,
The favourite is racing from a 1lb higher mark and doesn’t have the jockey claim this time, like I said though he is the right favourite but far too short

Hello! I was wondering with your tips, what consideration u take into the size of the field? If you have 12 or more racing and the favourite is near evens or 2/1 is it really worth it? whereas if u can find a race with 10 or 9 horses, even before u begin ur analysis, u already have a better chance of getting at least e/w, right? I’m guessing you have discounted a horse because the field is too big? I tend to ignore tips where the field is > 10…unless e/w seems worthwhile. thoughts?

calm yi dingos mate few too many questions at once. my advice is look for what you see as a value, i price up a race myself before i look at the odds then if a horse is way over what odds i think it should be i bloody lump on cobber. hope this helps mate.
have a good one

Yesterday was a frustrating day with Bridget Andrews weakly unseating from tommy rapper at the first and Tom Queally providing a poor ride on Star Storm. It wasn’t all bad though with Geraldine doing the business and Tap Night rewarding my eachway money at 14/1. Overall I recorded a small profit. I am hoping to put the run of bad rides to an end today, I have picked out 4 small stake selections.

12.35 Towcester – Tinted Rose 9/4

On her debut over hurdles Tinted Rose travelled up well and took the lead 2 out with the aid of some good jumping, but faded badly in the final few yards, eventually finishing 3rd. That was over a mile and a half, today at Towcester she is back out at just under 2 miles and I expect the drop down in trip to work wonders. She posted some solid bumper efforts last season getting off the mark at the third time of asking at Fontwell. With jumped experience in the book and Graham Watters taking 3lbs off she can put up a bold showing.

1.45 Taunton – Earthmoves 4/1

This half-brother of Ptit Zig makes his chasing debut today at Taunton and looks good value at 4/1. He made his season reappearance last time at Sandown finishing 3rd in a competitive handicap and I expect that run will have put him right for this race today. The champion trainer knows exactly what to do to get the best out of novice chasers and I expect he will be well schooled. I have always thought his future lies over fences as throughout his hurdle career he jumped big and bold at obstacles. Nevertheless, he was well tried over hurdles and even took his chance in the silver trophy at Chepstow. This is a competitive race today with many of the field holding chances but I just feel that Earthmoves could well be the best of this bunch.

3.10 Thurles – Mossy Island 11/2 EW

Mossy Island ran a great race on his seasonal reappearance last time at Fairyhouse finishing second but only succumbing to the winner in the closing stages. I particularly liked his attitude that day, once he was headed and undepressed he continued to find for pressure and go down fighting. This lightly raced 9yo gelding can make amends for that narrow defeat last time today at Thurles. He recorded some decent efforts last season winning at Ballinrobe and places on a few other occasions. While he has never won of his current mark of 87 I see no reason why he can’t resume the progression he showed last year. With a pipe opener under his belt 11/2 rates as good value in my book!

3.45 Towcester – Scottsdale 9/4 NAP

Scottsdale was sent off favorite on debut but endured a torrid run, with little room 2f out he had to be switched before running on for a close 4th. The loss of momentum undoubtedly cost him a better finishing position that day but after that experience everything looks set for a good run today. The promising Kaine Woods takes over in the saddle and his 7lb claim will only aid the selections chance of returning to the winners enclosure today. He will well-bred out of cape cross and related to numerous flat winners, and his yard is currently going well in bumpers this season. There is nothing to suggest the slightly soft ground wont suit and I am expecting a big run from Scottsdale today.

Texas Forever was always going to be a chaser which is why his hurdling career was short, he is on a very low handicap mark and has proved his jumping already in the point to points even though he fell last time, this is a weak race and shouldn’t take much winning if his latest exploits haven’t taken their toll

crikey the 11-10 looking good now boys in as short as 8-13 on it now . we’ll be up the creek if it gets beat fellas i’ll be as popular as a rattle snake in a lucky dip on here. jeez fingers crossed fellas
have a good one

I’d like to apologise. Been a while since I have backed horses. But I have been following the thread still. Noticed the thread was on fire to start with today, so backed 3 tips in the last hour, all of which have lost. I’ll take full blame, as I am one massive jinx. Well done all winners, of which there have been many (I just back the wrong ones)

theplug i cashed out was too good an offer my pockets are as full as a centipedes sock drawer so good onya mate. so thanks alot u little ripper hope your last one wins mate. off to the bottle-o to get a few stubbys in for the soccer. come on united