Oklahoma State at South Alabama. Line: Oklahoma State by 28.5. Friday, 8:00 p.m.

Maybe I'm just a glutton for punishment because I'm going against Oklahoma State again. The Cowboys have a shaky defense, and I think South Alabama can do what they did against Ole Miss last week, which was score at the end to get the back-door cover. Speaking of that game, South Alabama was down just 26-13 in the third quarter before the Rebels scored on a kickoff return. South Alabama isn't abysmal, so it could stay within four touchdowns.

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South Florida at Connecticut. Line: South Florida by 17.5. Saturday, 10:30 a.m.

I have to wonder how focused South Florida will be with the hurricane quickly approaching. Regardless, I believe the Bulls are overrated, as evidenced by last week's performance against San Jose State, which did not result in a cover. Connecticut isn't very good either - the Huskies almost lost to Holy Cross - but I think this game could be a close one.

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Louisville is overhyped because of Lamar Jackson, but the team doesn't have much around him - especially with their top cornerback out with an injury. North Carolina is a middling team, but it should be competitive against the Cardinals, who nearly dropped a game to Purdue last week. This spread is bloated, so let's take advantage of it.

This number is too high for a huge rivalry in which neither team is horrible. Sure, Penn State is No. 4, but I'm not sure how legitimate that ranking is. Pittsburgh beat the Nittany Lions last year, and while they're missing Nathan Peterman, James Conner and Jordan Whitehead (suspended), they should be competitive in Happy Valley. I understand that the Panthers barely beat Youngstown State last weekend, but Youngstown State is typically a 1-AA powerhouse, and there's a chance Pittsburgh was looking ahead to this contest.

I don't understand why this point spread is so high. Both teams can run the ball effectively to shorten the game, so I think this will be a close contest. The Huskers might even be better than the Ducks, so why are they getting two touchdowns. This spread has jumped from -10 to -14, so something's up, but I'm going to just take the value.