Trouble logging in?If you can't remember your password or are having trouble logging in, you will have to reset your password. If you have trouble resetting your password (for example, if you lost access to the original email address), please do not start posting with a new account, as this is against the forum rules. If you create a temporary account, please contact us right away via Forum Support, and send us any information you can about your original account, such as the account name and any email address that may have been associated with it.

Close matches but I got everything right. Hecule does as well as I thought she would but I guess this could be Ryuuko and Hercule both being weaker than expected. It's nice to see Kanna do well. I thought she would have a lot more trouble. I wonder if she really did get boosted by Ryuuka. Tsumugi shows that getting close to Ryuuka in preliminaries was no fluke. Ryuuka shows that bearting Tsumugi in preliminaries was no fluke. It's too bad Ryuuka will just get sacrificed in Round 2 so Kuro will advance. I would have liked to have seen more of what Ryuuka can do.

Seraphim looked so bad during preliminaries I figured Yae would win despite the split and despite lower tier Saki characters not being as strong as they looked in preliminaries. Based on the poll tracker, I was pretty far off on this. I would have gone with Ohana earlier but I can't pick against Idolm@ster in a close match. Haruka should win this. I always liked Hirai Yukari a lot. It's too bad she'll get killed by Eru here. I guess I like Eru a lot as well, though.

Votes:
Kobashire Yae
Matsumae Ohana
Hirai Yukari

Predictions:
Kobashire Yae
Amami Haruka
Chitanda Eru

Quote:

Originally Posted by timbits

Karen's loss was definitely strategic voting trying to take out a huge threat.

I wouldn't really call Karen a huge threat. She's not weak but she's probably only around top 10 in terms of strength in F Block.

__________________

A miracle that you believe in when you know it won't happen......... is hope.

And I wanted Mugi to win. But that's mainly because for some reason pot show and with the renewed manga, Mugi's character has grown on me verses the others. It might have to do with the newer character Sumire though.

Karen's loss was definitely strategic voting trying to take out a huge threat.

Kanna strength is fairly unknown, though. She was in a really weak prelim group and finish 3rd. Okay, Karen finished 3rd behind Toki and Saki also. Statistically, Kanna get higher percentage of vote, but is also in a group that's significantly weaken compare to Karen (Group 4 v. Group 5).

If anything, the only unexpected things is how wide the margin is (Kanna and Karen are statistical tie in my opinion, so I expect Hercule-Ryuushi or Ryuuka-Mugi margin). Nisemonogatari in general are pretenders anyway, though...

Last thing I wonder is whether the KitaEri madness (Kokoro incident) spill over to the match...

One of the problems with flooding the tournament with characters is the increases likelyhood of split vote. Yae would need a large portion of Hatsuse's votes, but the split might have cost her the win against Seraphim. Haruka nets another win for Idolm@ster, although Ohana put up a bit of a fight. Eru just killed her opponents.

Funami Yui shouldn't have any problems in the first match. She should be decently strong while her opponents are quite weak. One of the champion candidates Matsumi Kuro goes up today. She should be Saki's second in command and one of the strongest characters in the tournament. Splitting votes with Cela shouldn't stop her from advancing to Round 2 where she'll have a much tougher split with Ryuuka. While probbly not on Kuro's level, Shirakiin Ririchiyo is also one of the stronger characters in the tournament. Yoshika is unlucky to have drawn such a strong Round 1 opponent.

Votes:
Funami Yui
Matsumi Kuro
Shirakiin Ririchiyo

Predictions:
Funami Yui
Matsumi Kuro
Shirakiin Ririchiyo

__________________

A miracle that you believe in when you know it won't happen......... is hope.

Prediction: Yui, Kuro, Shirakiin. For F03, neither of Yui's opponent are particularly strong, so she should win here (although not with Chitanda margin...). For F07, Subaru is decently strong, but Kuro is totally on another level. For F11, Shirakiin is a level above the other 2 (Of course, sad b/c Tooru is in that group...)