[KATHMANDU] Climate change may be global, but the future of Himalayan mountain glaciers and the Tibetan plateau snowpack could come down to local air pollution, scientists say.

Since the 1960s there has been observational evidence of regional snowpack retreat and black carbon deposition over snow covers, but climate model limitations made quantifying climatic impact difficult.

Adjusted regional climate projections that recognise the impact of black carbon warming effects are crucial to local adaptation planning, Yangyang Xu, post-doctoral fellow at the US National Center for Atmospheric Research, tells SciDev.Net.

Xu and his colleagues led a study on the effect of black carbon aerosols on high-altitude warming and snow cover retreat over Tibet and the Himalayas, published March in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.

The researchers used a high-resolution ocean–atmosphere global climate model and corrected black carbon atmospheric loading to determine the various man-made factors responsible for warming trends.
“While the observed snow reduction trends may appear to be consistent with the greenhouse-gas global warming in general, surprisingly, we found that over Tibet and Himalayas regions, man-made air pollution such as black carbon aerosols are of comparable importance as well — in particular for high-altitude snowpacks,” Xu said.

“Our results suggested that in order to save mountain glaciers in this region, strengthened controls of local pollution sources are greatly needed,” Xu said. “One cannot simply blame global warming.”

Black carbon aerosols, unlike GhGs, come from local or regional sources such as biofuels, fossil fuels and agricultural residue burn-offs, Shreshta says. “Unlike GhGs the ways to mitigate black carbon aerosols are clear.”
“It’s necessary for governments to think of alternatives,” says Shreshta. “These fuels are being used for livelihoods, people can’t stop burning firewood because it’s not practical — for a lot of people firewood and dung are their only sources of energy.”

ICIMOD senior air quality specialist Prakash Bhave says fine particulate matter levels in the Kathmandu Valley are nearly five times worse than World Health Organisation guidelines.