49ers props: Four TDs for Randy Moss? You bet

Randy Moss has had fewer than five touchdowns once in his 13-year career. (AP)

I don’t gamble. And you shouldn’t either.

With that said, let’s look at some 49ers’ prop bets for the 2012 season!

Bovada passed along some props and, if nothing else, they make for interesting blog discussion:

Alex Smith: Total Passing YardsOver/Under 3,300UNDER: Smith threw for a career-high 3,144 yards last year while taking all but 20 offensive snaps. Not many quarterbacks start 32 consecutive games and I’m guessing Smith will miss a game or two – and miss the 3,300-yard threshold as a result.

Alex Smith: Total Passing TouchdownsOver/Under 20OVER: Smith threw 17 TDs last year and David Akers, I think, had 1,247 field goals. Exchange just a few of those field goals for red-zone TD passes …

Alex Smith: Total Interceptions ThrownOver/Under 13UNDER:Read this. I don’t see Smith abandoning his take-what-the-defense-gives-you style after throwing six interceptions in his past 665 attempts (including playoffs) dating back to 2010.

Frank Gore: Total Rushing YardsOver/Under 950 ½UNDER: Hmmmm. If he stays healthy, Gore would need to average less than 60 yards per game to pass 950. But that’s a not-so-insignificant “if” for a 29-year-old running back and the 49ers are determined to lessen his workload.

Michael Crabtree: Total Receiving YardsOver/Under 850 ½UNDER: A healthy Crabtree looks stronger and faster this season. On the other hand, he had 874 yards last year while competing for catches with Vernon Davis and … um, who were those other guys again? I think he’ll be better, but the new pass-catching options will cut into his numbers.

Michael Crabtree: Total Receiving TouchdownsOver/Under 5OVER: He had four last year and was robbed of another in the back of the end zone in Cincinnati. I’m forecasting a karmatic bad call in his favor by a replacement ref to help push him over five.

Randy Moss: Total Receiving Yards
Over/Under 600 ½
OVER: A word of caution here … you can lose the mortgage betting on 35-year-old wide receivers who spent the previous season in “retirement” and were traded, released and then, finally, irrelevant in their last season in the NFL.

Randy Moss: Total Receiving Touchdowns
Over/Under 3 ½OVER: In this case, disregard that hooey above about 35-year-old wide receivers. Moss sleepwalked his way to 5 TDs in 2010.

Mario Manningham: Total Receiving Yards
Over/Under 600 ½
OVER: My guess – Crabtree, Moss and Manningham will each have 774 receiving yards (how much do I win if that happens?)

Mario Manningham: Total Receiving TouchdownsOver/Under 4OVER: Someone named Damian Williams had five receiving touchdowns last year.

VernonDavis: Total Receiving Touchdowns
Over/Under 6 ½
OVER: He had six touchdowns last year and didn’t feel comfortable in the offense until December. He felt very comfortable in January when he had four touchdowns in two playoff games.

Justin Smith: Total SacksOver/Under 7OVER: As my late grandpa on my father’s side always told me, don’t ever bet against folks who are built like refrigerators.

Aldon Smith: Total Sacks
Over/Under 10
OVER: Look, kids, free money! Smith had 14 sacks while playing about half the defensive snaps last year. Now, he’s an every-down player. Do you see where I’m going with this?