Thursday, January 12, 2006

2007 Election North Tipp

So everyone is now looking at the elections thinking who they will see getting into government. But the only way to really predict this is to look at every seat. So here is my prediction for my constituency North Tipperary.
The Nenagh Guardian has an article about it this week.
Enda Kenny sees North Tipp as a winable Fine Gael seat due to the fact Fine Gael use to always get a big vote in here. They have selected Senator Noel Coonan. However Enda is deluding himself. They haven't a hope in hell of getting a seat in the constituency. The traditional Fine Gael vote is going to be behind Michael Lowery. If the controversy's that have dogged him had not arisen he would be the leader of Fine Gael. A great organizer and with more personality then Enda. Fine Gael would be a lot stronger now then they would have been. He will top the poll.
There is a traditional strong Fianna Fail vote in North Tipp. This will result in Michael Smith holding his seat easily.
The third seat is where the dog fight will be between Maire Hocter of Fianna Fail and Kathleen O'Meara of Labour. It is hard to tell who will take this seat but I think a general mood of boredom with the present government will give the seat to Kathleen O'Meara on a re-count.
If other Bloggers wanted to predict their constituencies would be good.

2 comments:

I'm from Nenagh originally and although I haven't lived there in 13 years, I think Michael Lowry will retain his seat. I have nothing against Noel Coonan, but I have very little belief in Enda Kenny. I've never had much faith in him, but his comments on making Irish optional for the Leaving Cert without providing any viable suggestions on what we should do to promote the use of the language was the final nail in the coffin for me. It's just another example of his blundering and bumbling attitude. A fluent Irish speaker should be able to come up with a better argument and prospects than he did.Just read 'Off the Cuff' with Gerry Slevin - that sure brought me back!!!!