I have drafted Smoltz three years running and he has helped me win 4 league championships, should this year be different?

Here is what CBS said March 21st:

News: The Atlanta Braves have held John Smoltz out of his scheduled start Friday because of tightness in his right shoulder. Smoltz first felt the tightness earlier in the week and still felt the discomfort early Friday.

Analysis: Smoltz hopes to start Wednesday against the Nationals. But if he experiences more problems, his status for the start of the season could be in doubt. Fantasy owners should not be totally surprised by the news as he will turn 41 in May. This could be the perfect warning to Fantasy owners who still rightfully view him as a Fantasy ace. He pitched 200-plus innings in 2007 and just missed 200 strikeouts, but is an injury-risk at this stage in his career.

I have drafted Smoltz three years running and he has helped me win 4 league championships, should this year be different?