(Newser)
–
Donald Trump will likely lose Tuesday's primary in Wisconsin, and there will be great temptation when that happens to conclude that his candidacy is in real, this-time-we-mean-it trouble because ofrecentstumbles. Don't buy it, advises Nate Cohn in the New York Times. "His problem in Wisconsin is mainly about the state's demographics, not self-inflicted wounds," Cohn writes for the Upshot blog. "Even a 10-percentage-point loss there wouldn't necessarily indicate any shift against him." What people are forgetting is that Wisconsin has looked troublesome for Trump from the get-go.

Among other things, Wisconsin has a relatively high percentage of well-educated people, as well as religious ones, two demographic factors that don't bode well for Trump. Expect Ted Cruz to win Tuesday when the race is called. Those looking for genuine signs of trouble for Trump should instead keep an eye on his percentage of the vote. He's expected to get 35%. "If he falls short, he has lost ground because of momentum, not demographics," writes Cohn. Click for the full post.

Exactly. This isn't news. His loss in Wisconsin was predicted long ago. Sanders is supposed to win by a bit too.

ILJAG

Apr 5, 2016 2:46 PM CDT

Billionaire businessman Donald Trump has taken a 10-point lead over Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) in Wisconsin in the final hours before the critical primary on Tuesday, a new poll released on Monday afternoon shows. The bombshell new polling data, from American Research Group (ARG), show Trump’s 42 percent towering over Cruz’s 32 percent in the Badger State. Ohio Gov. John Kasich, for whom it is already mathematically impossible to win the nomination outright before the GOP convention in Cleveland in July, lurks back at 23 percent.