Investment Strategies, Analysis & Intelligence for Seasoned Investors. http://investorsinsight.com/blogs/InvestorsInsight.com is a financial publishing company that provides investment, financial and economic intelligence as well as stock investing ideas, portfolio management strategies and retirement planning advice to individual investors through newsletters, blogs and online community participation.en-USCommunityServer 2008.5 SP1 (Build: 31106.3070)No Fed Hike - Stock Price Fake Out?http://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/20/no-fed-hike-stock-price-fake-out.aspxWed, 20 Mar 2019 23:46:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9168Chris Vermeulen0<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span class="mce-preview-object mce-object-iframe"><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/p01dTy3nrAU" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe><span class="mce-shim"></span></span></p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing"><strong>stock and ETF trading alerts</strong></a>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/"><strong>Technical Trading Mastery book</strong></a></span>, and&nbsp;<strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></strong>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<h2>RECENT CLOSED TRADES</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img class="aligncenter wp-image-27169 size-full" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rt.png" width="657" height="356" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9168" width="1" height="1">Gold To Continue To Base Below $1320 For Weekshttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/20/gold-to-continue-to-base-below-1320-for-weeks.aspxWed, 20 Mar 2019 16:40:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9167Chris Vermeulen0<p>Our research team, at Technical Traders Ltd., believes Gold will continue to base below $1320 for at least another 3~5 weeks before setting up a momentum price base.&nbsp; Our research suggests general weakness in the US stock market over the next few weeks/months as a Head-n-Shoulders pattern unfolds.&nbsp; Interestingly enough, our research also suggests Gold may continue to base below $1320 (likely below $1300) for at least another 2~4 weeks before forming a rounded bottom type pattern as a base.</p>
<p>This would likely result from a mild price rotation in the US major indexes and possibly weakness in the US Dollar.&nbsp; Weakness in the US Dollar and Equities Markets may be just enough impetus to cause Gold to rotate into the Momentum Basing pattern we have been expecting since January 2019.&nbsp; We&#39;ve highlighted the price range, on the chart below, in purple.&nbsp; We believe the price of Gold will re-enter this range at least once or twice over the next 2~4+ weeks to set up a basing pattern.&nbsp; After April 21, we believe the basing pattern should be complete and a new upward price swing should begin.</p>
<p>We expect to attempt to target opportunities below the $1300 price level in Gold to accumulate a LONG position ahead of the upside breakout.&nbsp; The opportunity for prices to stay below $1320 and for skilled traders to pick entry levels that are suitable for their futures should not be underestimated.&nbsp; The next upside price leg in Gold will likely see prices well above $1450.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27264" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart_19-03-18_GC_W_Fib.png" width="700" height="445" alt="" /></p>
<p>Take advantage of any price levels below $1290 because this may be the last time you see them for a while. We have also been&nbsp;<span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/us-equities-price-anomaly-setup-continues/">sharing our stock market forecast looking forward 1-3 weeks</a></span>&nbsp;from now which goes against everyone&#39;s bias/sentiment including yours likely, but its something you should think about because you could give back a lot of profits if you don&#39;t act now!</p>
<p>Please take a minute to visit&nbsp;<a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a>&nbsp;to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades in 2019.&nbsp; We have already positioned our clients for this move and we believe we can help you stay ahead of these markets.&nbsp; 2019 and 2020 are going to be incredible years for our subscriber the&nbsp;<span><span><strong><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">Wealth Building Trading Newsletter</a></strong></span></span>.</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9167" width="1" height="1">Dow Jones Head-N-Shoulders Pattern – Be Awarehttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/19/dow-jones-head-n-shoulders-pattern-be-aware.aspxTue, 19 Mar 2019 19:25:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9166Chris Vermeulen0<p>Our research team believes a moderately mild price rotation will unfold over the next 30 to 60 days where the US Stock Market will rotate downward.&nbsp; Particularly, the $INDU (Dow Jones Industrials) should move lower towards the $23,000 to 24,000 before finding support based on the longer term weekly chart. Keep in mind we are not saying the price is going to fall. We are stating price could correct in a big way if recent support levels are broken. If so, then 23,000-24,000 levels should be reviewed.</p>
<p>We have been warning about a specific price pattern that we believe is currently in the process of setting up in the US Stock Market.&nbsp; This pattern is a &ldquo;Falling Wedge&rdquo; pattern.&nbsp; We&#39;ve seen a few of these over the past 5+ years in downward retracing price swings.&nbsp; They typically act as a means for the price to explore a &ldquo;momentum base&rdquo; setup before breaking out to the upside.&nbsp; You can read our previous research&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/get-ready-for-the-breakout-pattern-setup-part-ii/">here</a></span></span>.</p>
<p>Price weakness could begin to drive market prices lower over the next few weeks as this right Shoulder acts as critical resistance.&nbsp; If you have not already prepared for this move, please try to understand the importance of this long term price pattern.&nbsp; Head-n-Shoulders patterns are typically viewed as major resistance and a classic topping formation.&nbsp; Our belief that the downside price swing from the right Shoulder is based on our predictive modeling systems results.&nbsp; We believe this move will drive prices lower before support is found and our downward sloping wedge pattern sets up.&nbsp; This wedge pattern will likely break to the upside during the Summer months.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27256" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart_19-03-18_INDU_W_HnS.png" width="700" height="445" alt="" /></p>
<p>This Head-n-Shoulders pattern is something all traders need to pay attention to.&nbsp; This is a critical resistance/top formation that should drive prices lower over the next few weeks/months.&nbsp; If you have not protected your long trades well enough or you have recently deployed a bunch of capital into the markets, we strongly suggest you develop a &ldquo;Plan B&rdquo; as we are likely to see a 5~10% correction before this downside swing is over.</p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing"><strong>stock and ETF trading alerts</strong></a></span></span>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/"><strong>Technical Trading Mastery book</strong></a></span></span>, and&nbsp;<span><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></strong></span>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<h2>RECENT CLOSED TRADES</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img class="aligncenter wp-image-27169 size-full" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rt.png" width="657" height="356" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9166" width="1" height="1">US Equities Price Anomaly Setup Continues To Unfoldhttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/18/us-equities-price-anomaly-setup-continues-to-unfold.aspxMon, 18 Mar 2019 15:34:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9165Chris Vermeulen0<p>This research post highlights what we believe to be a unique price anomaly setup in many of the US major markets this week.&nbsp; Our research suggests that April 21, or near this date, will be an important price inflection point base level for the US stock markets.&nbsp; We believe a unique price base will begin to form near this date and a bigger price move in May/June 2019 will unfold.</p>
<p>Our Advanced Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system is suggesting the rotation in the US stock market may stay somewhat muted before this move on April 21 begins.&nbsp; The ADL predictive modeling system is one of our proprietary price modeling utilities that our research uses to identify key levels of future support and resistance as well as to watch for &ldquo;price anomalies&rdquo; that setup.&nbsp; Price anomalies are where the current price level of any symbol is greatly diverted from the ADL predictive price level.&nbsp; When this happens, the price will usually &ldquo;revert&rdquo; back to near the ADL levels at some point in the immediate future &ndash; sometimes setting up a great trading opportunity.</p>
<p>This Daily YM chart shows a current price anomaly in the YM of about 1000 points.&nbsp; This is a pretty big range for skilled traders that are capable of identifying the right trade.&nbsp; The ADL system is suggesting that YM will rotate lower between now and the end of April by at least 800~1000 pts.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27249" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart_19-03-17_YM_ADL_Daily.png" width="700" height="420" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The next, Weekly, YM chart showing the ADL price modeling system is confirming the Daily ADL chart.&nbsp; Both are showing a lower price rotation over the next few weeks.&nbsp; Additionally, the Weekly ADL chart is showing a deep price low near May 1, 2019.&nbsp; This aligns perfectly with our earlier analysis that May/June would start a bigger price rotation in the US stock market, global equities markets and precious metals. More on precious metals forecast in this<span><span><a href="https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/sZrTb4Ip-Dollar-and-Precious-Metals-at-Key-Turning-Points/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&nbsp;video clip on TradingView.com</a></span></span></p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27250" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart_19-03-17_YM_ADL_Weekly.png" width="700" height="420" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>As we continue to move closer to these important dates, we&#39;ll keep our followers informed of our research and our proprietary trading tools, yet the real opportunity exists by knowing how to trade these moves and how to take advantage of the total scope of these market.&nbsp; Be prepared for a fairly large downside price swing in the YM over the next 5~7 weeks as the 24,800~25,000 attempts to set up support and a momentum base.</p>
<p>Please take a minute to visit&nbsp;<strong><span><span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a>&nbsp;</span></span></strong>to learn more about what we do and how we can help you stay ahead of these market moves.&nbsp; Visit&nbsp;<span><span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/FreeResearch/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com/FreeResearch/</a></span></span>&nbsp;to read all of our recent research posts.&nbsp; We take great pride in our ability to provide our members and followers with the highest level of research, trading signals, daily video content and more.&nbsp; Find our why our hundreds of members continue to believe in the opportunity we provide them each and every day.&nbsp; Isn&#39;t it time you invested in your future success &ndash; today?</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9165" width="1" height="1">Best Precious Metals Investment and Trades for 2019http://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/17/best-precious-metals-investment-and-trades-for-2019.aspxSun, 17 Mar 2019 17:22:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9164Chris Vermeulen0<p>It&rsquo;s been years since the gold and silver topped out in 2011. We have been waiting for a new bottom form and a new bull market to emerge for nearly 8 years. In this article, I&rsquo;m going to compare palladium, gold, platinum, and silver and show you which of these precious metals I feel is the best long-term investment and also the best trade for 2019.</p>
<p>The analysis presented below is based on technical analysis using previous significant highs, and Fibonacci extensions. Both of these techniques work exceptionally well for predicting price targets both to the upside and also price corrections to the downside. If you have never used Fibonacci retracement or extensions in your trading I highly recommend learning more about them. I have no doubt it will improve your market price projection targets for your investments. I have found this technique to be the number one best trading tool for projecting future price movements in all asset classes.</p>
<p>The charts below will show to price forecasts for each metal. The first price target is based on the previous significant high that price made between 2000 and the current timeframe. Previous significant highs are typically the first target for the price to reach and that is also our first major upside target for these metals. The second price target I use is based on Fibonacci extensions using stand out lows formed anywhere between 2002 to the current price time and projecting that forward into the future beyond the previous highs shown on the charts.</p>
<p>So let&rsquo;s get started with the worst precious metal to invest in and work your way down to the best precious metal.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2>#4 PALLADIUM</h2>
<p>Palladium, In my opinion, is the worst precious metal to own for 2019. While palladium is used in everything from dentistry to groundwater treatment, Palladium is by far the most versatile precious metal. Only a little while ago palladium was not nearly as popular as it is today due to the incredible economic growth in developing countries especially China. This multi-use metal is steadily growing its importance in the markets hence the strong performance to date.</p>
<p>There is no doubt that Palladium has staged a massive rally from the 2009 lows and also another mega-rally from the 2016 low. But, knowing the best performing investments eventually become the worst performing investments later, let&rsquo;s take a look at the chart of Palladium and see why I feel as though Palladium is the worst investment metal for 2019.</p>
<p>The monthly chart of Palladium below shows the previous high in price in the year 2000. That high has been broken and now the price&nbsp;has gone parabolic blasting above that level to the 1550 mark. At this point, the previous high target has been breached and we no longer see that as a price target. There is zero upside potential based on the previous high.</p>
<p>The second price target is based off the lows in 2016 using the Fibonacci extension the pullback in 2018 followed by this recent rally. This gives us a price projection of nearly $1500 an ounce. As you can see this perfect bull flag (continuation pattern) has reached the hundred percent Fibonacci measured target of 1500. Therefore I see this upside move as being complete and it is more likely to pull back and correct in 2019 with 0% upside potential. Anything beyond this price level is a bubble which could burst at any time and carries a high level of downside risk.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27242" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart1-1.png" width="899" height="561" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2>#3 GOLD</h2>
<p>Gold is the second worst investment for 2019 when it comes to precious metals in my opinion based on potential upside growth. Keep in mind I am very bullish on the&nbsp;<span><a href="https://www.gold-eagle.com/rate/price-of-gold/">price of gold</a></span>&nbsp;looking forward but other metals definitely have a lot more profit potential than gold.</p>
<p>As you can see on the monthly chart of gold the previous high was about $1900 in 2011. That level is our first price target for gold upon a breakout of this multiyear basing formation it has been forming since 2013. This makes for a potential gain of 46% in price.</p>
<p>Now if we apply a Fibonacci extension to get our second target we take the low from 2002 to the high in 2011 and bring it back down to the low in 2015. This gives us an upside price target of $2681 an ounce. Based at the current price of gold we could see gold rally 106% over the next year or two.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27241" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/chart2-2.png" width="899" height="562" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2>#2 PLATINUM</h2>
<p>Platinum is the second best metal for short-term and long-term gains from 2019 and beyond. Looking at the monthly chart you can see the previous high in 2008 was around $2300 based on the current price if we get a move to the previous high it provides a 176% potential gain. Also, notice how the price is testing the major support level forms in 2008 this could act as a very significant double bottom in price as well.</p>
<p>Using Fibonacci extensions we take 2001 low up to 2008 high and back down to the recent low in 2018 or 2009 both are the same price this projected price gives us an upside target of $2659 an ounce. Based on the current price of platinum that gives us the 221% potential gain over the next couple of years.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27244" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart3-1.png" width="899" height="561" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2>#1 SILVER</h2>
<p>The number one precious metal to own in 2019 and beyond is silver. Based on the previous high in 2011 and looking at the current&nbsp;<span><a href="https://www.silver-phoenix500.com/rate/price-of-silver/">price of silver</a></span>&nbsp;there is a potential upside gain of 226%. Also, notice how silver is putting in a potential double bottom from the 2015 lows it also goes all the way back on the chart to 2006 through 2010 as a key support zone. Much like platinum, silver is at support and could very easily start a new mega-rally at any time.</p>
<p>Using a Fibonacci extension, we can get our second target for silver based on 2002 low and 2011 high along with the 2015 bottom. This gives us a $59 price target. With the current price of silver trading at $15 an ounce, there is an upside target of 296% potential gain over the next couple of years when silver starts its next bull market. In fact, I recently purchased a couple more&nbsp;<span><a href="https://sdbullion.com/silver">silver bars from SDBullion</a></span>&nbsp;to add to my silver stacks because I like the potential.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27243" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart4.png" width="898" height="561" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2>CONCLUSION:</h2>
<p>In short, I feel precious metals should be a part of everyone&rsquo;s portfolio as a long-term hedge and investment. I see precious metals as an insurance policy in case all hell breaks loose in the financial system and we need to fall back to something with physical value for a short period of time.</p>
<p>With that said, I am a firm believer that you should never overload in one particular investment or asset class. But I do feel certain metals should have a heavier weighting based on their current potential. The more upside potential the more of that metal you should own shares or physical bullion.</p>
<p>How should you invest and trade precious metals? There are a few ways to own metals as a trader and investor. You can own physical bullion rounds or bars and I don&rsquo;t recommend coins simply because you pay a premium for a design and if metals ever do become a true currency the added value you paid for a design stamped in the metal will be tossed out the window and you lose that value as price will be based purely on weight.</p>
<p>A really simple way to trade and invest in metals are trading the ETFs for each bullion like Gold (GLD), Silver (SLV), Platinum (PLTM), and Palladium (PALL). Another and even more simple way is to own the GLTR fund which owns a basket of Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Pallium. Obviously owning precious metals mining stocks is another (GDX, GDXJ, JNUG, NUGT etc..)</p>
<p>If you want to join a group of professional traders, researchers, and friends, take a look at our trading newsletter to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades each month.&nbsp; We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members.&nbsp; In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.</p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing"><strong>stock and ETF trading alerts</strong></a></span></span>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/"><strong>Technical Trading Mastery book</strong></a></span></span>, and&nbsp;<span><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></strong></span>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<h2>RECENT CLOSED TRADES</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img class="aligncenter wp-image-27169 size-full" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rt.png" width="657" height="356" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9164" width="1" height="1">Chinese Data Has Delayed Effect on Global Equities Markets – PART IIIhttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/16/chinese-data-has-delayed-effect-on-global-equities-markets-part-iii.aspxSat, 16 Mar 2019 13:22:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9163Chris Vermeulen0<p>In the previous two segments of this research post&nbsp;<span><span><strong><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/chinese-economic-data-shakes-the-global-equities-markets/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PART I</a>,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/chinese-economic-data-shakes-the-equities-markets-part-ii/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PART II</a></strong></span></span>, we&#39;ve hypothesized that the recent Chinese economic data and the resulting global shift to re-evaluate risk factors within China/Asia are prompting global traders/investors to seek protective alternative investment sources.&nbsp; Our primary concern is that a credit/debt economic contraction event may be on the cusp of unfolding over the next 12~24 months in China/Asia.&nbsp; It appears that all of the fundamental components are in place and, unless China is able to skillfully navigate through this credit contraction event, further economic fallout may begin to affect other global markets.</p>
<p>One key component of this credit crisis event is the Belt Road Initiative (BRI) and the amount of credit that has been extended to multiple foreign nations.&nbsp; We don&#39;t believe China will run out money by the end of March and we don&#39;t believe any crisis event will come out of nowhere to land in China within a week or two.&nbsp; Our concern is for an extended downturn to decrease economic opportunity by 5~12% each year for a period of 4~7+ years.&nbsp; It is this type of extended economic slowdown that can be the most costly in terms of political and economic opportunity.&nbsp; An extended downturn in the Chinese and Asian economies would create revenue, credit, debt, and ongoing social servicing issues.</p>
<p>As we explore this concept of an extended economic downturn, we need to consider the BRI projects and obligations.&nbsp; China has committed to invest $1 trillion into the BRI and it is estimated that the infrastructure projects throughout&nbsp;<a href="https://chinapower.csis.org/china-belt-and-road-initiative/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Asia will require $26 trillion over the next decade</a>.&nbsp; Our opinion is that the total investment required to complete this transition and truly open economic opportunity within the BRI will require an expanding global economy without any fear of an economic downturn.&nbsp; We believe even a mild Chinese/Asian economic contraction event could dramatically alter the longer term objectives of the BRI and put many &ldquo;at risk&rdquo; projects in jeopardy.</p>
<p>The potential for an immediate downward price swing in the Chinese/Asian stock market related to these recent economic data points.&nbsp; The reality is that the Chinese economy is contracting much faster than nearly anyone expected.&nbsp; The longer the US/China trade issues continue, the more likely it is this contraction event will continue.&nbsp; At some point in the near future, consumers will move towards more of a protectionist stance where extended consumer spending will contract.&nbsp; At that point, the Chinese economy will have entered a type of &ldquo;death spiral&rdquo; where the race to the bottom persists.</p>
<p>We believe the immediate downward price move in the Chinese/Asian stock market may only last a month or so before finding some price support.&nbsp; Over time, the constraints of a slowing local and regional economy may prove to be much more than China is capable of handling long term.&nbsp; Much like the US 2008-09 credit crisis, the collapse of the credit market, when it reaches a disorderly contraction, becomes a very dangerous event.&nbsp; As long as this economic contraction continues in an orderly manner, we may continue to see extended price weakness.&nbsp; If this continues over a lengthy period, we may see price weakness throughout many other regional markets &ndash; such as India, Pakistan, Malaysia, Singapore, and others.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter wp-image-27238" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/AsiaIndia_CustomIndex_Mar8_F.png" width="876" height="442" alt="" /></p>
<p><strong>Custom Index</strong>&ndash;&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/(INDA+INDY+SIII+SCRC+SSAU)/5/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><strong>Custom Index chart by TradingView</strong></a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>We believe the Asian region will experience continued weakness over the next few months as further downside rotation drives prices lower while credit, debt&nbsp;and&nbsp;trade issues are resolved.&nbsp; It is our opinion that China/Asia will continue to struggle to attain real economic growth over this period and that further price weakness will become evident over the Spring months.&nbsp; Causing investors to seek shelter elsewhere.&nbsp; Our cycle analysis&nbsp;suggest&nbsp;mid April&nbsp;or early May as dates that align with such a move.&nbsp; This correlates with our projections for Gold and Silver in terms of some type of market crisis driving Gold and Silver prices much higher.</p>
<p>At this point, skilled traders and investors should be watching for signs that some type of external event may be unfolding that we are currently unaware of.&nbsp; Some type of event appears to be ready to unfold that will drive equity prices lower while pushing Gold and Silver prices higher.&nbsp; Our belief that it could be some type of China/Asia contagion leads us to believe that a downside price rotation could be nearing for the Asian markets.</p>
<p>Watch how this plays out over the next 30+ days.&nbsp; We only have about 30~40 days before we should have more clarity about this crisis event and we should be using this time to prepare for and protect our investments.&nbsp; We&#39;ll keep you informed by providing more research and updates as we see need to alert you.</p>
<p>If you want to join a group of professional traders, researchers, and friends, take a look at our trading newsletter to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades each month.&nbsp; We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members.&nbsp; In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.</p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing"><strong>stock and ETF trading alerts</strong></a></span></span>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/"><strong>Technical Trading Mastery book</strong></a></span></span>, and&nbsp;<span><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></strong></span>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<h2>RECENT CLOSED TRADES</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img class="aligncenter wp-image-27169 size-full" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rt.png" width="657" height="356" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9163" width="1" height="1">Countdown to The Precious Metals Breakout Rallyhttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/14/countdown-to-the-precious-metals-breakout-rally.aspxThu, 14 Mar 2019 19:10:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9162Chris Vermeulen0<p>If you have been following our research over the past few months, you already know that we&#39;ve called just about every major move in Gold over the past 14+ months.&nbsp; Recently, we called for Gold to rally to &nbsp;$1300 area, establish a minor peak, stall and retrace back to&nbsp;setup&nbsp;a momentum base pattern.&nbsp; We predicted this move to take place back in January 2019 &ndash; nearly 30+ days before it happened.</p>
<p>Now, we are publishing this research post to alert you that we are about 15~30 days away from the momentum base setup in Gold which will likely mirror in Silver.&nbsp; Thus, we have about 20+ days to look for and target entry opportunities in both Gold and Silver before this momentum bottom/base sets up.</p>
<p>This Monthly Gold chart, below, shows you the historic peaks that make up a current resistance level near 1370.&nbsp; This level is critical in understanding how the momentum base and following breakout will occur.&nbsp; This resistance level must be broken before the upside rally can continue above $1400, then $1500.&nbsp; Ultimately, the momentum base we are expecting for form before April 21 is the &ldquo;last base&rdquo; to&nbsp;setup&nbsp;before a much bigger upside price move takes place.&nbsp; In other words, pay attention over the next 30 days before this move happens.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27235" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/chart1-1.png" width="700" height="387" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>This next Monthly Silver chart is the real gem of the precious metals world.&nbsp; The upside potential for Silver is actually much bigger than Gold currently.&nbsp; Any breakout move will likely see Silver push well above $30 per ounce and we just need to watch the $18.90 level for signs the breakout is beginning.&nbsp; Silver will follow a similar basing patter as Gold.&nbsp; We expect only about 30 days of buying opportunity left before this basing pattern is completed.&nbsp; Again, watch the April 21 date as the key date for the breakout move to begin.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27233" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/chart2-1.png" width="700" height="387" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Palladium has reached our initial Fibonacci upside price targets.&nbsp; We expect&nbsp;price&nbsp;to consolidated and potentially rotate near the $1500 price level.&nbsp; Ideally,&nbsp;price&nbsp;could fall below the $1300 price level and target the $1100 area before finding any real support.&nbsp; As long as industrial demand continues for Palladium, we expect to see continued upside price activity over the long run.&nbsp; Right now, we are expecting a price contraction as global industrial demand may falter a bit.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27234" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/chart3.png" width="700" height="387" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Please consider the research we are presenting to you today.&nbsp; Our predictive modeling systems have been calling the metals markets quite accurately over the past 14+ months.&nbsp; If our prediction of a momentum base on or near April 21 is correct, then we should begin to see an incredible upside price swing in Gold and Silver shortly after this date.&nbsp; You won&#39;t want to miss this one &ndash; trust us.&nbsp; There will be time to catch this&nbsp;move&nbsp;when it starts &ndash; it could be an extended upside move.&nbsp; Pay attention and put April 21 on your calendar now.</p>
<p>If you like our research and our level of insight into the markets, then take a minute to visit our site to learn how we help our clients find and execute for success.&nbsp; We&#39;ve been calling these market moves almost perfectly over the past 18+ months.&nbsp; Learn how our research team can help you stay ahead of these swings in price and find new opportunities for skilled traders.&nbsp; Take a minute to see how we can help you find and execute better trades by visiting&nbsp;<strong><span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span></span></strong>&nbsp;today.</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9162" width="1" height="1">Incredible Price Anomaly Setup in the NQhttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/14/incredible-price-anomaly-setup-in-the-nq.aspxThu, 14 Mar 2019 13:53:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9161Chris Vermeulen0<p>Our research team has been alerting our followers to a potentially deep price retracement setting up in the NQ and other US stock market majors.&nbsp; Although the recent price activity has pushed to newer recent highs this week, as you will see in the chart below, our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system is suggesting that a &ldquo;price anomaly&rdquo; has set up.</p>
<p>These types of price anomalies are indicative of when price moves in an extended way outside of or away from the ADL predicted price levels.&nbsp; On the chart below, of NQ (NASDAQ), you&#39;ll see the current setup with the predicted price anomaly highlighted as a RED SQUARE.&nbsp; This NQ ADL price pattern consists of 13 unique previous ADL instances and suggests there is a greater than 65% likelihood the prices will fall towards the 6700&nbsp;level&nbsp;in the NQ over the next few days.</p>
<p>Our ADL price modeling system also confirms this on the Weekly chart basis.&nbsp; With 84 unique instances of an ADL price pattern, we are expecting a 65 to 95% probability that prices will fall to below 6700 within the next 3 to 5 weeks.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27229" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart_19-03-13_NQ_ADL_D.png" width="1111" height="803" alt="" /></p>
<p>Both the Daily and Weekly ADL predictive modeling systems are suggesting that the upside move is over.&nbsp; The price anomaly could continue for a few more days, we&#39;ve seen it happen in the past where price continues to push away from the ADL levels &ndash; this is what makes a price anomaly so exciting.&nbsp; When price moves away from levels that our ADL price modeling system suggests going to happen in the future, it allows us to set up trades expecting the price to REVERT back towards the ADL levels.&nbsp; So in this case, we can start setting up trades near 7300 for the NQ to retrace back to near 6700 &ndash; a 600 point swing.</p>
<p>If you want to join a group of professional traders, researchers, and friends, take a look at our trading newsletter to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades each month.&nbsp; We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members.&nbsp; In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.</p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing">stock and ETF trading alerts</a></span></span>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/">Technical Trading Mastery book</a></span></span>, and&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></span>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<h2>RECENT CLOSED TRADES</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img class="aligncenter wp-image-27169 size-full" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rt.png" width="657" height="356" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9161" width="1" height="1">Is Britain At The Edge Of A Political Cliff?http://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/12/is-britain-at-the-edge-of-a-political-cliff.aspxWed, 13 Mar 2019 01:14:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9160Chris Vermeulen0<p>Recent news that Theresa May was unable to convince members of Parliament to even consider her current deal as well as the future political and societal consequences of any failure to move ahead with an orderly Brexit deal.&nbsp; The question before traders and investors is how will this reflect in the global markets and how will currencies react to this new?</p>
<p>The GBP (British Pound) appears to be poised to a breakdown move aligning with our Fibonacci Arc structures.&nbsp; These arc structures help us to understand where &ldquo;inflection points&rdquo; are likely in the markets and where bigger moves may initiate.&nbsp; The current Arc level, near current price, is indicating that any failure of an upside move will likely prompt a downside move to near 0.739 &ndash; or lower.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27225" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/USDGBP_F.png" width="700" height="409" alt="" /></p>
<p>The overwhelming vote to deny Theresa May&#39;s Brexit deal came down to 391 Against and 242 For the current Brexit deal.&nbsp; It is likely that the British Parliament will continue to break down into warring factions as a contentious future political outcome will play out.&nbsp; The people of Britain are still wanting to complete the Brexit while it appears Parliament has yet to come to terms with the process.</p>
<p>We believe this current event will be somewhat isolated to Britain and European nations, yet be believe there could be a larger contagion even if other nations attempt to push their desires to leave the EU as well.&nbsp; Overall, time will tell how this plays out with global investors.&nbsp; Our first impressions are that the global markets will move lower on this news and that currencies could find new weakness as this chaos continues.</p>
<p>Please take a minute to visit <a href="http://www.TheTechnicalTraders.com/FreeResearch/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com/FreeResearch/</a> to read all of our most recent research &ndash; including our very details 5-part global economic research post.&nbsp; This post is very important because it shows you predicted price levels going all the way into 2021 and highlights why this &ldquo;new bull market&rdquo; may just be getting started.&nbsp; Find out why <a href="http://www.TheTechnicalTraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a> is dedicated to helping you find and execute better trades and stay ahead of these market moves.</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9160" width="1" height="1">Chinese Economic Data Will Move Equities Markets – Part IIhttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/12/chinese-economic-data-will-move-equities-markets-part-ii.aspxTue, 12 Mar 2019 14:20:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9159Chris Vermeulen0<p>As we continue to explore the fragility and future implications of a Chinese economic contraction from&nbsp;<strong><span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/chinese-economic-data-shakes-the-global-equities-markets/">PART I</a></span></span></strong>&nbsp;as well as the broad extent such a contraction may have on global markets.&nbsp; Our continued premise is that a renewed capital shift is taking place that focuses on US Blue Chips and Mid-Cap stocks.&nbsp; We believe this is currently facilitating a renewed valuation exploration process in the US and global markets and, as such, may result in expanded price exploration for many global markets.</p>
<p>Credit, debt and equity crisis events typically unfold in one of two forms; orderly or disorderly.&nbsp; Our belief that an orderly credit/debt crisis event is currently unfolding in China/Asia and Europe is based on the premise that the Chinese economic data may have been grossly inflated over the past 9+ years and that the extended credit boom in China/Asia may be similar to the 2008-09 credit crisis experienced in the USA.&nbsp; When a credit boom takes place, a vast majority of this new credit enters the global market as private, corporate and government debt.&nbsp; When a credit contraction event takes place, this credit/debt become a massive liability which can ultimately destroy future capabilities.</p>
<p>One aspect of the total Chinese credit/debt ratio to consider would be the GDP Deflator values.&nbsp; These ratios compare non-inflation adjusted GDP to inflation-adjusted GDP.&nbsp; As inflation increases, the difference between Nominal GDP and Real GDP are related in the GDP Deflator values.&nbsp; Currently, the Chinese GDP Deflator values are reporting at 656% for 2017 - which indicates the year over year inflation is running at 656% from the base year.&nbsp; We believe this inflation measure may actually be much higher in 2018 and would indicate that consumer inflation continues to skyrocket in China while credit/debt issues are becoming more prominent.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2><strong>Chinese GDP Deflator Data</strong></h2>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27211" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/2019-03-09_ChinaGDPDeflator.png" width="762" height="430" alt="" />(Source :&nbsp;<a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/china/gdp-deflator">https://tradingeconomics.com/china/gdp-deflator</a>)</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Consider the implications for consumers, corporations and the Chinese government if inflation continues to increase while consumers, corporations and government are becoming more and more distressed with debt issues.&nbsp; The most logical outcome would be a devaluing of the Chinese currency or the forgiveness of certain debt issues, yet we believe the problem is much more systemic in China/Asia.&nbsp; We believe the core issues China is facing is the reality of their own making.&nbsp; The reality that the manipulated growth and expansion they have been reporting for nearly a decade is a &ldquo;paper tiger&rdquo; and that true growth of income and wealth was really nonexistent.&nbsp; It is easy to assume you have new growth, wealth, appreciation when one is able to hide behind false numbers and appear to be in control of risks.&nbsp; But when risks begin to shift into disorderly unwinding, the blinders come off and real problems exist.</p>
<p>Now, factor into this equation the incredible risks initiated by the Belt Road Initiative (BRI).</p>
<p>The risks of extended debt distress to many foreign nations is complicated by the potential for an extended economic downturn in China.&nbsp; A negative 5~10% economic growth factor in China will create immense pressures on not only China, but most of SE Asia.&nbsp; In addition to this extended pricing and economic pressure, the extension of credit for infrastructure projects within the BRI are already exerting debt repayment pressures on a host of foreign nations.&nbsp; We recently reviewed outside research that confirms our suspicions :&nbsp;<a href="https://www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/examining-debt-implications-belt-and-road-initiative-policy-perspective.pdf">https://www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/examining-debt-implications-belt-and-road-initiative-policy-perspective.pdf</a>.</p>
<p>Should inflation continue to rise in China while a credit/debt contraction event unfolds, it would likely result in a Venezuela or Zimbabwe type of outcome which would be difficult to contain.&nbsp; It may result in an incredible humanitarian crisis event where hundreds of millions of people suddenly find themselves unable to maintain any wealth, service their debt and restore any order to their lives.&nbsp; An interesting article focusing on how Venezuela positioned themselves for a perfect storm of hyper-inflation can be found here :&nbsp;<a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/garthfriesen/2018/08/07/the-path-to-hyperinflation-what-happened-to-venezuela/#21a29d3e15e4">https://www.forbes.com/sites/garthfriesen/2018/08/07/the-path-to-hyperinflation-what-happened-to-venezuela/#21a29d3e15e4</a>.&nbsp; The take away from this should be that protectionist mechanisms (a currency peg, import/trade controls, nationalization of industries and state subsidized commodities and industries) setup a perfect storm environment when global supply/demand factors implode.</p>
<p>Once we consider the Chinese Consumer Price Index as well as all of these additional factors, traders must be prepared for what may become a 24 to 72 month process of unwinding Chinese credit/debt risks within the global markets.&nbsp; Should CPI continue to fall, but not fall in line with a decrease in the GDP Deflator levels, then we should consider a moderate level of hyper-inflation is taking place in China.&nbsp; Should exports, employment and GDP begin to collapse while the Chinese government attempts to minimize these factors for the consumers/corporations, then we should consider the Chinese government is following the path of Venezuela in attempting to control risks that are disorderly.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<h2><strong>Chinese CPI Data</strong></h2>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27212" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/2019-03-09_ChinaCPI.png" width="767" height="426" alt="" />(Source :&nbsp;<a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/china/consumer-price-index-cpi">https://tradingeconomics.com/china/consumer-price-index-cpi</a>)</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The Chinese CPI chart, above, fails to explore the continued consumer pricing level increases that have been in place since well before 1995.&nbsp; Mild contractions do occur throughout this data.&nbsp; We would be concerned with a moderate CPI contraction that lasts longer than 24 months.&nbsp; In particular, we would be concerned with a dramatic shift in the economic growth capabilities of China and their consumer base as that could become a catalyst for a larger contraction event.</p>
<p>In the next segment of this research post, we&#39;ll explore how all of this relates to opportunities for traders and show you what we expect to happen over the next 12~24 months.</p>
<p>If you want to join a group of professional traders, researchers, and friends, take a look at our trading newsletter to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades each month.&nbsp; We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members.&nbsp;We recently close some nice positions UGAZ 30%, NIO 21.6%, ROKU 13%, GDXJ 10.5%. In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success. In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.</p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing">stock and ETF trading alerts</a></span></span>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/">Technical Trading Mastery book</a></span></span>, and&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></span>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9159" width="1" height="1">This Stock Market Pop Could Fizzle Fasthttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/11/this-stock-market-pop-could-fizzle-fast.aspxMon, 11 Mar 2019 18:47:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9158Chris Vermeulen0<p>The US stock market opened today with mixed opening prices.&nbsp; The crash of the Ethiopian Boeing passenger jet prompted selling in the Blue Chips, particularly in Boeing (BA).&nbsp; As of right now, the US stock markets have recovered quite well and have pushed higher by mid-day.</p>
<p>We believe this upward rotation may be short-lived and want to highlight the two Engulfing Bearish candlestick patterns that have formed recently.&nbsp; The first, near the October 2018 highs, prompted a very deep price correction that ended on December 24, 2018.&nbsp; The more recent, completed just on March 8, 2019, is setting up resistance just above recent highs ($175.95) and is still a very valid sell signal for the QQQ.&nbsp; Unless the price is able to breach the $175.95 level over the next few weeks, this Engulfing Bearish candlestick pattern is technically the key pattern driving future expectations for the price.</p>
<p>Our February 17<sup>th</sup>&nbsp;research, &ldquo;Get Ready For A Breakout Pattern Setup&rdquo;:&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/get-ready-for-the-breakout-pattern-setup-part-ii/">https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/get-ready-for-the-breakout-pattern-setup-part-ii/</a></span></span>,&nbsp;highlighted our expectations that the US Stock market would set up a larger Pennant formation with downward rotation near current levels.&nbsp; This setup has, historically, been prominent in the markets and has setup larger upside breakout moves in the past.&nbsp; We still believe this pattern is&nbsp;setting&nbsp;up and that downside price MUST take place before any new upside momentum breakout can begin to unfold.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27215" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart_19-03-11_EngulfingBearishQQQ.png" width="700" height="387" alt="" /></p>
<p>Our belief is that today&#39;s upside price move will falter throughout this week and prices will continue to decrease as the price trend continues.&nbsp; The two Engulfing Bearish patterns are very strong indicators of potential downside price trends forming.&nbsp; Again, unless the $175.95 level is breached, we strongly believe the downside price trend will continue.&nbsp; Plan and prepare for a deeper price rotation before any upside momentum breakout pattern unfolds.</p>
<p>If you like our research and our level of insight into the markets, then take a minute to visit&nbsp;<span><span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span></span>&nbsp;to learn how we help our clients find and execute for success.&nbsp; We&#39;ve been calling these market moves almost perfectly over the past 18+ months.&nbsp; Learn how our research team can help you stay ahead of these swings in price and find new opportunities for skilled traders.&nbsp; Take a minute to see how we can help you find and execute better trades by visiting&nbsp;<span><span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span></span>&nbsp;today.</p>
<h2>RECENT CLOSED TRADES</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing"><img class="size-full wp-image-27169 aligncenter" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rt.png" width="657" height="356" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9158" width="1" height="1">Chinese Economic Data Shakes the Global Equities Marketshttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/10/chinese-economic-data-shakes-the-global-equities-markets.aspxSun, 10 Mar 2019 15:38:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9157Chris Vermeulen0<p>March 8<sup>th</sup>, 2019 may gain some level of infamy over the next few decades.&nbsp; There were two big numbers released on this day, the current Chinese economic data and the US Jobs data for February 2019.&nbsp; Both numbers fell drastically lower than analysts expected and the global stock markets dropped in pre-market trading by more than 1%.&nbsp; Yet, something very interesting transpired through the trading day &ndash; a recovery rally.</p>
<p>The Chinese economic data was particularly devastating.&nbsp; It leads our researchers to ask a very critical question, &ldquo;is this going to be an orderly contraction or is this contraction going to extend into more chaos?&rdquo;&nbsp; Our research team believes the economic contraction in China will extend out into much of Asia and nations participating in the Belt Road Initiative (BRI) over the next 3~6+ months.&nbsp; We believe a natural progression of &ldquo;protectionist processes&rdquo; will begin to take place throughout many of these nations as the money spigot from China dries up.&nbsp; We believe this credit contraction and economic downturn will result in an extended repositioning of priorities, assets, and valuations throughout most of SE Asia and India.&nbsp; It could extend into certain areas in Europe and Arabic nations.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27202" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Bloomberg_data-1.jpg" width="700" height="325" alt="" />(Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.)</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The economic data released by China points to a very real and excessive economic contraction.&nbsp; YoY Exports reported as -16.6% vs. expected +6.6%.&nbsp; YoY imports reported at -0.3% vs. +6.2%.&nbsp; Trade Balance reported as $4.12B vs expected +26.20B.&nbsp; Think about these numbers. In some cases, these values represent a -300 to -700% decrease from expected levels.&nbsp; A recent Bloomberg article suggests the China GDP levels were inflated for the past 9 years or more (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-03-08/china-s-gdp-growth-pace-was-inflated-for-nine-years-study-finds)</p>
<p>As these new economic numbers work through the news cycle, we&#39;re confident that a fairly large group of global investors are going to catch quite a few investors/traders off guard.&nbsp; The recent rally in the Asian/Chinese equity markets has prompted a bit of complacency and upward price expectations by investors.&nbsp; The rally, shown below, from early 2019 till now resulted in a +17.7% increase over a period of about 60 days.&nbsp; We are confident this upside move attracted the attention of many global investors who likely piled into the trade expecting a US/China trade deal over the past 2 weeks to relieve any upside pricing pressures.&nbsp; Now that the data is showing greater risk in the Chinese markets and how that may extend out to other regional markets becomes the top consideration for these investors.</p>
<p>The fact that the Chinese markets may contract by at least 8~15% over the next few weeks must concern larger investment firms and traders.&nbsp; Depending on their leverage, this could be a complete disaster for some.&nbsp; Any extended protectionist move by China and/or additional pressures on the credit/debt balance could push a new wave of defaults and extended downward pricing pressures.&nbsp; Our researchers believe a move targeting recent October/December 2018 lows is not out of the question.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27201" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/ChinaIndex_Mar8_F.png" width="700" height="378" alt="" /></p>
<p class="Standard" align="center">Custom Index &ndash;&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/(2+HSI+KLSE+SG30SGD+HSCEI+SPAFRUP)/6/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Custom Index chart by TradingView</strong></a></p>
<p>As we&#39;ve been suggesting in our recent research posts, we believe a new capital shift is taking place.&nbsp; We believe investors were willing to take a risk to jump back into certain market segments where new valuation levels presented some clear opportunities (China, Europe, and others).&nbsp; Yet, we also know that extended risks could quickly change this stance.&nbsp; As renewed fear enters the global markets, it is very likely that a renewed &ldquo;revaluation event&rdquo; will take place and investors will start to scramble for safety.&nbsp; This is the capital shift that we have been warning about &ndash; a dramatic shift of investment capital away from emerging markets and foreign opportunities move into US Blue Chips and Mid-Caps because of the true US Dollar based safe-haven investments.</p>
<p>Should our expectations of this dramatic capital shift accelerate over the next few months, we&#39;ll likely see the current downward price rotation in the US stock market end sometime in early April as global capital resettles into the US equities.</p>
<p>In the next segment of this research post, we&#39;ll share some critical data that may become a catalyst for the capital shift that we believe is currently taking place.</p>
<p>If you want to join a group of professional traders, researchers, and friends, take a look at our trading newsletter to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades each month.&nbsp; We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members.&nbsp;We recently close some nice positions UGAZ 30%, NIO 21.6%, ROKU 13%, GDXJ 10.5%. In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success. In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.</p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<span><strong><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing">stock and ETF trading alerts</a></strong></span>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/">Technical Trading Mastery book</a></span></strong></span>, and&nbsp;<span><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></strong></span>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<h2>RECENT CLOSED TRADES</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing"><img class="size-full wp-image-27169 aligncenter" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rt.png" width="657" height="356" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9157" width="1" height="1">The Next Big Market Correctionhttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/09/the-next-big-market-correction.aspxSun, 10 Mar 2019 03:08:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9156Chris Vermeulen0<p>Our researchers have been working overtime trying to help you stay ahead of these market moves.&nbsp; You may recall that we called this current downward price rotation in the US stock market over 25 days ago?&nbsp; You may recall that we called the downside price move in Gold over 40 days ago?&nbsp; Now, we&#39;re going to help you understand how to find profits from these movements and how to look for opportunities throughout this rotation.</p>
<p>Our expectations for this move are that the NQ will see the biggest price rotation compared to the ES and YM.&nbsp; We expect the ES and YM to rotate downward by about -4~8% while we expect the NQ to rotate downward by -6~12%.&nbsp; The reason for this is that we believe investors are already in the midst of a capital shift moving capital away from technology and into Blue Chips and Mid-Caps.&nbsp; We believe this transition away from technology will continue and we believe this price weakness may result in the NQ/Technology establishing much lower price levels than many expect.</p>
<p>Currently, our expectations are for support near $6860 to hold with a potential for prices to reach a lower support level near $6740.&nbsp; We do expect this downside move to last at least 2~3 weeks before setting up a &ldquo;momentum base&rdquo; and starting to move higher again.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27195" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart_19-03-07_NQ_Downside.png" width="700" height="387" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Opportunities currently exist for skilled traders to play this downside move in technology as well as to play an upside pop in the Inverse ETFs related to technology and the NASDAQ.&nbsp; Additionally, a similar trade could be made in the ES &amp; YM, although we must warn you that price moves in the ES &amp; YM are expected to be much more shallow in nature.</p>
<p>Our research suggests a bottom may form from this move sometime near April 10~17, 2019.&nbsp; We believe this rotation may last at least 3~4 weeks as expectations of global markets may continue until Brexit, US/China Trade and or Q1 Earnings start to hit the markets near the April 10~17 dates.</p>
<p>Once we enter April and get past April 5<sup>th</sup>&nbsp;or so, we should switch gears and start to look for Buying opportunities in the ES, YM, and NQ with a bias towards the Blue Chips and Mid-Caps.&nbsp; We believe these will be the bigger upside winners over the next 3~6+ months and could show an incredible upside price move after this new &ldquo;momentum base&rdquo; completes.</p>
<p>It is very important to take a minute to view our&nbsp;<span><span><strong><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/why-traders-must-stay-optimistically-cautious-going-forward/">5 PART Series</a></strong></span></span>&nbsp;because it shows you predicted price levels going all the way into 2021 and highlights why this &ldquo;new bull market&rdquo; may just be getting started.</p>
<p>If you want to join a group of professional traders, researchers, and friends, take a look at our trading newsletter to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades each month.&nbsp; We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members.&nbsp; In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.</p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<strong><span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing">stock and ETF trading alerts</a></span></span></strong>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<strong><span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/">Technical Trading Mastery book</a></span></span></strong>, and&nbsp;<strong><span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></span></strong>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<h2>RECENT CLOSED TRADES</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing"><img class="size-full wp-image-27169 aligncenter" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rt.png" width="657" height="356" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9156" width="1" height="1">Are you ready for the next big move in Gold?http://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/08/are-you-ready-for-the-next-big-move-in-gold.aspxFri, 08 Mar 2019 20:06:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9155Chris Vermeulen0<p>If you were following our research, you would have known that Gold had reached a short-term peak in February. On Feb 19th the day gold posted a huge gain for the day and everyone was bullish and feeling like million bucks I did a radio show with HoweStreet&rsquo;s Jim Goddard and said that strong day and overly positive sentiment was the going to be the top, which it was -&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/podcast-talking-about-golds-next-two-moves/"><strong>Listen Here</strong></a></span></span>.</p>
<p>We had been advising our members that Gold would likely retrace below $1300 possibly beeper by and mid-April.&nbsp; Our advanced Adaptive Learning price modeling systems had warned us that Gold would likely setup a price rotation before the next move higher back in January 2019.&nbsp; This is what you need to know about the next 4+ weeks in Gold.</p>
<p>First, this downside price move is not over yet.&nbsp; It will likely continue through early April &ndash; attempting to establish a price base and new momentum bottom.&nbsp; Our opinion is that $1260 is currently the ultimate low price objective &ndash; although this is a soft target.&nbsp; Meaning, the price could retrace below this level (possibly towards $1240) before establishing a true price bottom.&nbsp; Be prepared for a low price near or below $1265 at some point in the near future.</p>
<p>Second, this downside price move in Gold will likely create opportunities for skilled traders over the next 3~6+ months.&nbsp; Our longer-term predictive modeling systems suggest that Gold will rally towards $1500 or higher near May/June of 2019.&nbsp; Thus, this downside move in an opportunity for skilled traders.</p>
<p>Third, we believe global economic and political news cycles are prompting a shifting capital across the planet at the moment.&nbsp; Global capital is likely shifting into safety in the US Stock market and away from high-flying technology and biotech stocks.&nbsp; Because of this, the fear that would typically drive a rally in Gold has been partially abated.&nbsp; The strength of the US dollar and the willingness of investors to shift capital into larger Blue Chips and Mid-Caps helps to reduce the true &ldquo;fear hedge&rdquo; that would drive Gold prices higher.</p>
<p>Lastly, we believe this trader psychology will change in late April or early May of this year.&nbsp; Our predictive modeling systems suggest a strong price advance in Gold will take place in May/June of 2019.&nbsp; Our cycle analysis suggested that April 21~24, 2019 are &ldquo;key dates&rdquo; for a cycle bottom or some type of news event that could change the dynamics of the precious metals markets.&nbsp; Pay attention.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27189" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart_19-03-07_GoldRotation.png" width="700" height="387" alt="" /></p>
<p>This means that we need to be prepared for the downside price rotation in Gold and be aware that April 21~24 are likely to be a major inflection point in the precious metals markets.&nbsp; Skilled traders would be looking for opportunities before these dates and positioning themselves for the upside move.</p>
<p>Our research team, at Technical Traders Ltd., believes the $1260 level is true support &ndash; although we believe $1245 or so maybe an ultimate &ldquo;washout low&rdquo; price level to watch for.&nbsp; At this time, we are waiting for a clearer basing formation to establish new long positions and we are watching the US Dollar as well.</p>
<p>There is still plenty of time for this base/bottom to setup.&nbsp; Remember the April 21~24 date range and plan for key opportunities to setup 7~10 days before this key date.&nbsp; The next move higher in Gold should push prices well above $1400 with a high price target near $1540 for the longer term.&nbsp; If you are a &ldquo;gold-bug&rdquo; and/or want to find some real opportunity in the markets, then you won&#39;t want to miss this next move.</p>
<p>If you want to join a group of professional traders, researchers, and friends, take a look at our trading newsletter to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades each month.&nbsp; We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members.&nbsp; In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.</p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing">stock and ETF trading alerts</a></span></span>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/">Technical Trading Mastery book</a></span></span>, and&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></span>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<h2>RECENT CLOSED TRADES</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing"><img class="size-full wp-image-27169 aligncenter" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rt.png" width="657" height="356" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9155" width="1" height="1">Strong Historical Probability of NG Long Trades Setting Uphttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/07/strong-historical-probability-of-ng-long-trades-setting-up.aspxFri, 08 Mar 2019 01:19:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9154Chris Vermeulen0<p>Would you believe that March and April, historically, shows a 2 to 1 statistical probability of NG moving higher.&nbsp; Each of these months shows, historically, that NG has a strong potential for at least a $1.00 upside price move in both March and April.&nbsp; Only 1/3 of the historically testing time (23 years) did the price of NG actually decrease.</p>
<p>How do we know this?&nbsp; We&#39;ve built proprietary price modeling and data modeling solutions that allow us to isolate and verify this data.&nbsp; This data was tested on a Monthly price basis for the statistics we&#39;ve provided, above.&nbsp; When we run this same test on Weekly data, the results continue to support our conclusions.</p>
<p>The weekly historical data analysis for March shows a 53 to 46 positive price advantage with an average of $0.99 upside advantage over 99 tested weeks.&nbsp; The weekly historical data analysis for April shows a 58 to 45 positive price advantage with an average of $0.89 upside advantage over 103 tested weeks.</p>
<p>Although the Weekly data is not as overwhelming in terms of positive to negative weekly results, the overall results still support the Monthly data &ndash; resulting in nearly a $1.00 upside price advantage.&nbsp; Therefore, we believe any price rotation down in Natural Gas near recent lows, below $2.70, would be an excellent opportunity to take long positions with an upside target between $3.10 and $3.35.&nbsp; We are not attempting to target the full $1.00 potential upside because we want to target safer, quicker upside objectives &ndash; not the lower probability targets.&nbsp; In doing so, targeting a $0.40 to 0.60+ range allows us to execute very high probability objectives and trade almost like a &ldquo;sniper&rdquo;.&nbsp; Get in, get our target and GET OUT.</p>
<p>If you want to see recent trade we closed on natural gas take a&nbsp;<span><span><strong><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/sample-trade-alert-entry-and-exit-for-natural-gas-etf/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">look at this post</a>&nbsp;</strong></span></span>which I think you will agree is nothing short of simple and awesome!</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27184" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart_19-03-07_NQ_BullishSetup.png" width="700" height="387" alt="" /></p>
<p>We believe the current Buy Zone in NG is below $2.70.&nbsp; Once price rotates a bit lower, any entry near the $2.70 level or lower would be an excellent entry level for skilled traders.&nbsp; Our targets would be anything north of $3.00.&nbsp; Ideally, we would pull half of our trade-off as soon as the price reached above $3.00 and pull the second half off when prices reached above $3.20 or $3.25.</p>
<p>Remember, we&#39;re showing you that the months of March and April share this upside price advantage.&nbsp; This means there is a higher probability of upside price moves throughout March &amp; April in NG and all we have to do is find the strategic entry points and &ldquo;run our trades&rdquo;.&nbsp; Get ready for some great trading opportunities this year and pay attention to NG.&nbsp; Remember, you can trade the ETFs for Natural Gas as well.</p>
<p>If you want to join a group of professional traders, researchers, and friends, take a look at our trading newsletter to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades each month.&nbsp; We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members.&nbsp; In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.</p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing">stock and ETF trading alerts</a></span></span>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/">Technical Trading Mastery book</a></span></span>, and&nbsp;<span><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></span>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<h2>Recent Closed Trades</h2>
<p><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img class="aligncenter wp-image-27169 size-full" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rt.png" width="657" height="356" alt="" /></a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9154" width="1" height="1">PART II - What Commodities and Transportation Telling Ushttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/06/part-ii-what-commodities-and-transportation-telling-us.aspxWed, 06 Mar 2019 15:05:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9153Chris Vermeulen0<p>In&nbsp;<span><em><strong><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/what-commodities-and-transportation-telling-us-part-i/">Part I&nbsp;</a></strong></em></span>of this report we talked about and showed you what commodities and transports where doing in relation to each other. Here in Part II, we show you in detail what we expect to take place.</p>
<p>This final chart highlights our Custom Smart Cash Index (in BLUE) as well as the CBOE Commodity Index pricing levels (in RED).&nbsp; This data goes all the way back to 2012 and highlights a number of key pricing rotations.&nbsp; First, we can see that Commodities have been decreasing in total value from 2012 till mid-2017.&nbsp; We can also identify a key support level that was established in the Commodities Index near the beginning of 2016 &ndash; coinciding just a month or so before the bottom in the Smart Cash Index.</p>
<p>We believe this Key Bottom in both the Commodities Index and the Smart Cash Index reflect a dramatic pricing shift that took place at that point in time.&nbsp; Although Commodities have yet to rally beyond upper high ranges, we can see the Smart Cash Index rallied to incredible new all-time highs.&nbsp; The rally that started near the end of 2016 in the Smart Cash Index was likely the result of a &ldquo;Capital Shift&rdquo; that we have discussed extensively in the past.&nbsp; With commodity prices staying historically low and an increase in economic optimism, capital shifted away from &ldquo;commodity-based sectors&rdquo; and into &ldquo;technology and biotech sectors&rdquo;.&nbsp; Now, it appears this rally has run its course and a new capital shift is taking place.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27163" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart3.png" width="694" height="410" alt="" /></p>
<p>Until Commodities begin to break out of the downward price channels we&#39;ve highlighted on this last chart, global capital will be searching for two primary objectives; safety and hedged returns.&nbsp; By this, we mean to say that global capital and investment will be seeking out strong Blue Chip and Mid-Cap performers that can produce safety in growth, dividends and hedge against currency swings or further eroding commodity price levels.&nbsp; Think of this as a move to &ldquo;key elements supporting the global economies&rdquo;.</p>
<p>Heavy equipment, support services, and retailers, tool suppliers, and mid-level equipment suppliers, transportation services for these items and the repair parts and services to keep these tools running efficiently.&nbsp; Human services, labor, labor services, medical services, and entertainment services are likely to do well over the next 12~24 months.&nbsp; In an economy where commodity prices are relatively low and Transportation and Capital is flowing quite well, one could easily identify that Capital will seek out and identify the strongest opportunity for safety and growth as sectors continue to shift.&nbsp; After a massive rally in Technology and Bio-Tech, we believe a continued shift towards Blue Chips and Mid-Caps is taking place right now.&nbsp; Technology and Bio-Tech will likely find some support in the near future and become &ldquo;opportunistic investments&rdquo; eventually.&nbsp; But right now, we believe global investors are focusing on different targets to hedge the risks that are associated with certain technology stocks.</p>
<p>In closing, our research highlights that Commodities are not increasing as one would expect in an expanding global market/economy.&nbsp; We believe this is one core factor that will continue to drive a &ldquo;capital shift&rdquo; toward opportunity and performance in the Blue Chips and Mid-Caps.&nbsp; Global investors will re-enter the Technology and Biotech sectors when pricing levels become more opportunistic &ndash; at some point in the future.&nbsp; This means we have a very strong likelihood of the US and global Blue Chips, Banks, Industrial Supply, Basic Materials and Human Services (Entertainment, basic human essentials, regional human services, and utilities) will continue to perform well.</p>
<p>The US and the global economy is growing, just not as one would expect in a &ldquo;total growth&rdquo; environment.&nbsp; We believe the global economy has shifted to support &ldquo;fundamental growth elements&rdquo; that are related more closely to the types of industry and market sectors that support the fundamental growth components.&nbsp; We&#39;ve discussed our theory that the global economies operate in a &ldquo;growth or protection mode&rdquo; many times before.&nbsp; We believe the current global economic stance is more in tune with&nbsp; &ldquo;moderate growth while still being overly protective&rdquo;.&nbsp; Watch Commodities and the Transportation Index for signs of when the global economy enters a larger growth phase and when more opportunity for a broader capital shift will take place.</p>
<p>This concludes this two-part series and how we identify market opportunities for us to trade. Analysis like this has allowed us to generate substantial profits in the past 30 days with UGAZ 30%, NIO 21.6%, ROKU 18%, GDXJ 10.5%.</p>
<p>If you want to learn how we can help you find success throughout this shifting market and throughout 2019 and beyond, then visit&nbsp;<strong><span><span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span></span></strong></p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9153" width="1" height="1">What Commodities and Transportation Telling Us – PART Ihttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/05/what-commodities-and-transportation-telling-us-part-i.aspxTue, 05 Mar 2019 14:58:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9152Chris Vermeulen0<p>Our ongoing efforts to dissect these markets and to help educated and inform traders has led us on an exploration path into the general market activities of two leading market indicators; Commodity prices and Transportation Prices.&nbsp; These two core elements of any regional or global economy are usually about 3~6 months ahead of the general markets.&nbsp; When viewing the Transportation Index, remember that transportation is key to any growing economy and a healthy economy.&nbsp; When an economy is doing well, the transportation sector will be busy shipping and delivering consumer product and staples as well as manufacturing equipment and supplies.&nbsp; When viewing the Commodity Index, remember the Supply and Demand equation where greater demand for commodities needed to manufacture, create, deliver or sell a product will drive prices higher as supply remains relatively constant, prices will increase.</p>
<p>Therefore, the theory of today&#39;s research post is &ldquo;are Transportation and Commodity prices telling us anything important about the future stock market valuations?&rdquo;.&nbsp; Let&#39;s get into the research.</p>
<p>First, the NASDAQ Transportation Index is painting a very clear picture that the upside price move starting near the end of 2016 drove prices well above historical normal ranges.&nbsp; Even today, we are well above historical ranges originating from the lows in 1998 and including the range expansion from the highs of 2007 to the lows of 2009.&nbsp; Given the premise that the Transportation Index would be highlighting increased economic activities across the planet and particularly those of more mature economies, one should expect that global trade/economic activity should be near all-time highs.</p>
<p>We would like to point out a defined upward price slope, highlighted by the RED LINE on this chart.&nbsp; We believe any potential downside price swing will find clear support near the $5025 level (the first upper range level from historic deviation ranges) or near $4690 (the RED LINE support channel).</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27162" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart1.png" width="695" height="384" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>In order to further our research, we&#39;ll take a look at our &ldquo;Custom Smart Cash Index&rdquo; which highlights a broad range of global market indexes and weights them in a US Dollar basis.&nbsp; Obviously, the results of this Smart Cash Index is designed to highlight the total global valuation levels of a variety of mature economies/markets.&nbsp; We can easily see the volatility range established by the concerns prior to the 2016 US Presidential Elections created a very deep volatility range.&nbsp; We believe this is important because it establishes a &ldquo;relative high point&rdquo; and a &ldquo;relative low point&rdquo; that reflects human psychology and expectations.&nbsp; In other words, we believe the high point in early 2015 reflects an optimistic investor sentiment and the low point in early 2016 reflects&nbsp;a pessimistic&nbsp;investor sentiment.</p>
<p>This range can help us determine if current Smart Cash valuations are reflecting optimistic or pessimistic expectations by determining if the current price is near the lower areas of this range or the upper areas of this range.</p>
<p>Currently, the Smart Cash Index is moving higher after reaching an ultimate low point near December 24, 2018. This would indicate that optimism is increasing in&nbsp;the global&nbsp;markets.&nbsp; Additionally, The Smart Cash Index has breached a downward sloping price channel, drawn in BLACK.&nbsp; We believe continued optimism will drive global market valuations higher over time.&nbsp; Yet, we believe numerous 4~7%+ price rotations will occur in the US Stock Market as the total valuations continue to rise over the next 12~24 months.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27164" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart2.png" width="696" height="412" alt="" /></p>
<p>What we would expect to find to help confirm our analysis is the price levels of general commodities would be increased to match the renewed optimism we believe is growing in the global markets.&nbsp; Obviously, if the global economies are doing well and trade/sales are increasing, then we would expect core commodity levels to increase as demand stays strong which we have seen this happen time and time again during economic cycles.</p>
<p>This concludes PART I and how we identify market opportunities for us to trade. Analysis like this has allowed us to generate substantial profits in the past 30 days with UGAZ 30%, NIO 21.6%, ROKU 18%, GDXJ 10.5%. IF you want to know our conclusion on what commodities and transports are telling us then visit our website to read PART II in the next 24 hours.</p>
<p>If you want to learn how we can help you find success throughout this shifting market and throughout 2019 and beyond, then visit&nbsp;<span><span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/"><strong>www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</strong></a></span></span>&nbsp;to learn how we help our members create success.</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9152" width="1" height="1">NASDAQ and DOW - Two Spectrum's of the Stock Markethttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/04/nasdaq-and-dow-two-spectrum-s-of-the-stock-market.aspxMon, 04 Mar 2019 16:49:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9151Chris Vermeulen0<p>Our researchers believe the NQ and YM chart illustrates a very different dynamic which is currently at play in the US Stock Markets.&nbsp; The NQ, the Technology heavy NASDAQ futures, appears to have stalled near the 75% Fibonacci price retracement level whereas the YM, the Blue Chip heavy DOW futures, has already rallied past this level and is setting up a &ldquo;double top&rdquo; formation near 26268.&nbsp; It is our belief that the US Stock Markets are already nearing an intermediate top rotation price area and that traders need to actively protect their long trades/profits right away.&nbsp; We believe a downside price rotation may take place very quickly over the next 5~10+ days and that the markets may rotate downward by a minimum of 4~6% in what we are calling a &ldquo;momentum rotation setup&rdquo;.</p>
<p>This first chart of the YM on a Weekly charting basis shows how dramatic the upside price move since December 24<sup>th</sup>&nbsp;has been&nbsp; It also shows the current high prices are very near to the high price levels near the end of November 2018/early December 2018.&nbsp; We believe this &ldquo;intermediate double top&rdquo; formation will prompt a downside price rotation towards support near 24985 (or a bit lower).&nbsp; This represents a -5.5% price rotation and will likely frighten a few long traders.&nbsp; It will also embolden the shorts to start to power back into the markets expecting &ldquo;This is IT! - the Big One&rdquo;.&nbsp; We believe this downside price rotation will become a very healthy moderate downside price swing that will revalue equity prices, re-establish support and prompt a new upside momentum move that may eventually break all-time highs later this year.&nbsp; In other words, we believe this rotation will be an excellent buying opportunity for skilled traders.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27156" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/chart1.png" width="700" height="387" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>This next NQ, NASDAQ Futures, Weekly chart highlight the dramatic difference between the Blue Chips and the Technology sectors.&nbsp; Unlike the previous upside price swings, between 2016 to early 2018, where the Technology sector was the big gainer, this time it appears the Blue Chips and Mid-Caps are the strongest sectors in this recent move.</p>
<p>We believe this divergence between active price levels may continue through most of 2019 as traders and investors appear to be concerned with technology and the capability of continued earnings/growth going forward.&nbsp; It appears global investors are more likely to move capital into Blue Chips and Mid-Caps because of stronger earning capabilities, dividends and overall strength of price appreciation.</p>
<p>If our prediction of a 4~6% downside price rotation come true, then we believe the Technology sector will likely result in a larger price rotation than the Blue Chips, Mid-Caps &amp; S&amp;P500 sectors.&nbsp; We believe this downside rotation is about to hit the markets currently as the NQ has stalled near the 75% Fibonacci retracement level and our proprietary modeling systems are suggesting a &ldquo;price anomaly&rdquo; has&nbsp;setup&nbsp;in the NQ.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27155" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/chart2.png" width="700" height="387" alt="" /></p>
<p>Be prepared for a moderately large, -4~6%, downside price rotation over the next 5~15 days where support will likely be found near the -5 to -6% levels for the YM and ES.&nbsp; The NQ may fall a bit further towards 6295 ~ 6773 (-6% to -12%).&nbsp; We believe the weakness in the technology sector will be much greater than the Blue Chips and Mid-Caps.</p>
<p>As skilled traders, we urge you to properly protect your open long positions and prepare for this price rotation.&nbsp; Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing">stock and ETF trading alerts</a></span></span>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/">Technical Trading Mastery book</a></span></span>, and&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></span>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9151" width="1" height="1">VIX Likely to Pop Before March 21http://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/03/vix-likely-to-pop-before-march-21.aspxMon, 04 Mar 2019 00:31:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9150Chris Vermeulen0<p>Our researchers believe price cycles and our proprietary Fibonacci modeling system is suggesting the US and Global stock markets may be entering a period of price rotation very soon.&nbsp; Our team of researchers has identified a date span of between March 5<sup>th</sup>&nbsp;to March 13 as a range of dates where we expect the VIX to form a bottom and begin to rise sharply.</p>
<p>Our researchers believe this current rally in the US stock market is a bit overextended, even though the markets appear to be drifting a bit higher currently.&nbsp; We believe the US stock market is due for a healthy price rotation/correction sometime near the middle of March that will allow new price valuation and momentum to build for a continued upside price move.</p>
<p>Currently, we are expecting Technology to be the biggest rotation of US majors.&nbsp; In other words, we expect the NQ, NASDAQ and Technology stocks to take the biggest hit while this price rotation takes place.&nbsp; This would make sense as new price valuation levels (lower) in technology would allow for a solid momentum base and renewed accumulation going forward.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27151" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Chart_19-03-01_Vix_PopMar5.png" width="700" height="387" alt="" /></p>
<p>Plan and prepare for this expected rotation by pulling some of your profits from any long trades while being aware that downward price swings are often 3~7x faster than upside price swings.&nbsp; Our expectations are that we will see general price weakness beginning near March 5<sup>th</sup>&nbsp;and a strong likelihood that the VIX will rotate above 16 as this volatility begins to increase.&nbsp; Overall, we believe any VIX move above 20 will likely start to form a support/momentum bottom fairly quickly.</p>
<p>Our team has 53 years of experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing">stock and ETF trading alerts</a></span></span>&nbsp;are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter,&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/25122-2/">Technical Trading Mastery book</a></span></span>, and&nbsp;<span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/tsm/">3 Hour Trading Video Course</a></span></span>&nbsp;are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9150" width="1" height="1">NG Bottom Rotation Sets Up New Opportunitieshttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/03/01/ng-bottom-rotation-sets-up-new-opportunities.aspxSat, 02 Mar 2019 03:10:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9149Chris Vermeulen0<p>Our recent UGAX trade returned over 30% in profits in just a few days for our members.&nbsp; We believe this continued price rotation below $3 will also&nbsp;setup&nbsp;new trading opportunities for skilled traders.&nbsp; Traders just need to be patient and understand when the opportunity exists in NG for an upside price swing.</p>
<p>The $2.50~2.60 price level has continued to drive historical support in price for over two years now.&nbsp; Until that level is substantially broken, we believe the opportunities for upside price rotation from near these levels is substantial.&nbsp; The immediate upside targets for NG are $2.90 and $3.15.&nbsp; These targets are enough for skilled traders to capture 25~30% returns in the 3x ETFs which is what we did this week in UGAZ. Larger upside opportunities exist with seasonal price pattern, but we are likely 7+ months away from another seasonal rally in NG at this point.</p>
<p>Still, our researchers believe any price level below $2.60 is an excellent buying opportunity with upside targets of $2.90 or higher in NG.&nbsp; Trading the UGAZ ETF can provide incredible opportunities for skilled traders.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27143" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/2019-02-27_NGBottom.png" width="700" height="319" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>If you are bullish on gold, silver, or miners be sure to take a look at our&nbsp;<strong><span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/us-dollar-set-to-rally-or-collapse/">previous gold prediction</a></span></span></strong>&nbsp;because it&#39;s playing our as expected based on the US Dollar.</p>
<p>Read all of our published research posts by visiting&nbsp;<strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/FreeResearch/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com/FreeResearch/</a></span></strong>&nbsp; We believe 2019 will be an incredible year of opportunities for skilled traders and have already helped our members find some incredible trades.&nbsp; Isn&#39;t it time you invested a bit into your future success?</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.</p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9149" width="1" height="1">US Dollar Set to Rally and Gold Collapse?http://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/02/27/us-dollar-set-to-rally-and-gold-collapse.aspxThu, 28 Feb 2019 03:54:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9148Chris Vermeulen0<p>The US Dollar is poised to rally back to near $97.50 as this recent downside price swing ends.&nbsp; We believe the US/China trade talks and North Korea deal with result in a strong upside potential for the US Dollar and the US stock market as time progresses.</p>
<p>A certain number of industry analysts are starting to announce the recent December 24<sup>th</sup>&nbsp;lows and subsequent rally as a &ldquo;new bull market&rdquo;.&nbsp; We have been suggesting to our followers that this market has lots of room to run as a continued global capital shift takes place.&nbsp; We do expect some price rotation over the next 3~5+ weeks in certain sectors &ndash; including the US stock market and Gold.&nbsp; We believe the US Dollar strength will continue to push higher, above $97, with the potential to reach near $99 before the end of this year.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27135" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/usd1.png" width="874" height="461" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Just take a look at the weekly gold chart price range and support zone. As we know, in most cases when the dollar rallies gold falls.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27134" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/gold2.png" width="876" height="583" alt="" /></p>
<p>Please take a minute to visit&nbsp;<span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/FreeResearch/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com/FreeResearch/</a></span>&nbsp;to read all of the most recent research &ndash; including our very detailed 5-part global economic research series.&nbsp; This post is very important because it shows predicted price levels going all the way into 2021 and highlights why this &ldquo;new bull market&rdquo; may just be getting started.</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br /><span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span></p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9148" width="1" height="1">Gold and Silver Prepare For A Momentum Rallyhttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/02/26/gold-and-silver-prepare-for-a-momentum-rally.aspxTue, 26 Feb 2019 18:22:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9147Chris Vermeulen0<p><span>Today we</span><span>&nbsp;warn of a potential downside price rotation in precious metals that may last 3~5+ weeks as metals set up for a massive breakout rally which we believe will start in late April or early May. Our custom indicators are suggesting that precious metals, and the general US stock markets, may be setting up for a bit of a reprieve rotation after a very impressive recovery. Be patient as we believe this pullback in prices will provide an excellent buying opportunity for the eventual momentum rally setting up in about 30+ days.</span><span class="redactor-invisible-space">​</span></p>
<p>Let&#39;s start by looking at our Custom Market Volatility indicators.&nbsp; The Weekly chart below highlights the recent recovery in the US stock market since the December 24<sup>th</sup>, 2018 lows and also shows that the current recovery level is sitting right at a 61.8% Fibonacci level.&nbsp; It is our belief that a period of general price weakness will begin to unfold over the next 10~15+ days in the US stock market.&nbsp; This rotation is very healthy for the next leg higher &ndash; the momentum rally we have been suggesting will take place in the near future.</p>
<p>We believe the downside rotation in the US stock market will be the result of renewed calm from expectations that the global economy may begin a recovery process as the US/China trade issues and other geopolitical issues seem to become more resolved.&nbsp; We believe the recent upside move in the US stock markets were a flight to safety for many foreign investors fearing that US/China trade issues would result in very harsh outcomes near March 1.&nbsp; If the trade issues appear to be close to a resolution, this flight to safety trade may wane a bit over the next 10~20+ days as emerging markets may see a dramatic upside bounce in valuations.</p>
<p><img height="354" width="700" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Chart1-4.png" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27106" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>How does this relate to Gold and Silver?&nbsp; It is very likely that the upside pricing pressure in precious metals will stall a bit as the global equities markets take center stage.&nbsp; If our analysis is correct, the developed markets will contract while the emerging markets take focus.&nbsp; This falls right into line with our analysis that the US stock markets will pause/rotate over the next 10~20+ days in preparation for a larger upside price swing.</p>
<p>Our custom Gold/Silver Index is showing that precious metals are trading in a sideways Pennant/Flag formation near levels that have historically been resistance.&nbsp; We still believe the upside in the precious metals market over the long term is substantial, yet we believe the news of a US/China trade resolution and the resulting rally in the emerging markets will remove much of the upside pricing pressure in the precious metals markets for about 15+ days before momentum support is found.</p>
<p><img height="381" width="700" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Chart2-4.png" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27108" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Our researchers believe the timing of this move is right for a short term swing trade.&nbsp; Be prepared for rotation in nearly all the global markets and be prepared for emerging markets to see an upside price rally as a result of positive news from the US and China over the next 2+ weeks.</p>
<p>Are you ready for these moves?&nbsp; Do you value the research we share with you and the insight we provide?&nbsp; Please take a minute to visit&nbsp;<span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span>&nbsp;to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades.&nbsp; Support our work &ndash; become a member.&nbsp; We dedicate our efforts to providing you with more detailed and intuitive market research available anywhere else.&nbsp; Isn&#39;t it time you invested in a team that can really help you make 2019 a great success?</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br /><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9147" width="1" height="1">Traders Must Stay Optimistic Part 5 - The Endhttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/02/25/traders-must-stay-optimistic-part-5-the-end.aspxTue, 26 Feb 2019 00:16:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9146Chris Vermeulen0<p>This, the final segment of our multi-part research post regarding the potential future market direction as well as to identify if there is any real concern for traders regarding a &ldquo;total market collapse&rdquo; as some Doomsayers are predicting should help you understand what our researchers believe is the most likely outcome.&nbsp; In the previous segments of this research post, we&#39;ve covered everything from the globalization of markets and economies to key elements of core pricing levels and valuation levels of economies, equities markets and more.&nbsp; The data is out there if you know where to find it and how to read it.&nbsp; All one has to do is step back from the shorter term charts and see the bigger picture for a bit.</p>
<p>As promised, we&#39;re going highlight some very informative future market predictions using our proprietary Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling tool.&nbsp; This modeling tool has been able to call the past 20+ months of market activity very accurately and help to guide us in understanding what is really taking place in the US stock market -&nbsp;<strong><span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/our-may-tech-stock-market-prediction-part-ii/">read more about it here</a></span></span></strong>.</p>
<p>The one key element of the ADL predictive modeling system is that it accomplishes two key components.&nbsp; First, it can provide a very clear &ldquo;high probability&rdquo; outcome for nearly any market in any time-frame.&nbsp; Second, it can also provide us with a very clear &ldquo;point of failure&rdquo; with regards to the predictive modeling results.&nbsp; We&#39;re certain you understand the value of the first component, but do you understand the value of &ldquo;knowing when you&#39;re wrong&rdquo;?</p>
<p>The concept of &ldquo;failure to fail&rdquo; or &ldquo;failure to succeed&rdquo; continues to baffle many traders, investors, and researchers.&nbsp; If you break it down into the simplest terms, it means &ldquo;you are absolutely correct&rdquo; or &ldquo;you are dead wrong&rdquo;.&nbsp; The question then becomes, &ldquo;do you have a plan of action for both of these potential outcomes?&rdquo;.&nbsp; Keep this in mind as we continue reviewing charts.</p>
<p>This first QUARTERLY SPY chart highlights our ADL predictive modeling system results originating from October 2016.&nbsp; The ADL predictive modeling system plots the highest probability outcome for price based on a very unique &ldquo;price pattern and technical indicator DNA marker/lookup&rdquo; algorithm. What makes it so unique is that it is able to learn from any price data and apply that data/outcome to any newer price par that appears on the chart.&nbsp; Thus, we can ask the ADL to show us what is likely to happen well into the future with a relatively high degree of accuracy.</p>
<p>In this case, if you follow the YELLOW, WHITE and CYAN dash levels on this chart, you&#39;ll see the predicted outcome from the ADL price modeling system matched real price levels quite accurately and actually predicted the Q4 2018 market collapse very accurately.&nbsp; You can read about how we called this market move&nbsp;<strong><span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/predictive-trading-model-suggests-falling-stock-prices-us-elections/">here</a></span></span></strong>.</p>
<p>Currently, the ADL predictive price modeling system is suggesting the current price of the SPY is well above projected ADL price levels.&nbsp; Thus, we would be expecting the price to rotate lower over the next few weeks/months to settle near the 250~270 level.&nbsp; You should be</p>
<p>able to clearly see the YELLOW dash levels to the right of the current price &ndash; these are the ADL predictive price levels going forward.&nbsp; Our research team believes the US and global markets will enter a Pennant/Flag formation over the next few months before setting up for another massive upside breakout.&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/get-ready-for-the-breakout-pattern-setup-part-ii/">More detail&nbsp;<strong><span><span>about this setup can be read here</span></span></strong></a>.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27098" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Chart1-3.png" width="999" height="604" alt="" /></p>
<p>This QUARTERLY TRAN chart shows a similar setup, yet there is one key difference between these two charts.&nbsp; This TRAN chart shows that price is currently below the predicted ADL price levels and we can see the ADL predicted price levels trade near 10,750 to 11,200 levels over the next 4 to 5 quarters.&nbsp; This would likely result in an upward price bias, from these current levels, with a very strong possibility of a sideways, volatile Pennant/Flag formation setting up over the next 6~10+ months.&nbsp; Somewhere near Q1 or Q2 of 2020, the ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting that TRAN prices will begin a new upside price rally that may result in a +20% to +30% upside target.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27097" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Chart2-3.png" width="999" height="604" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>By showing you these two predictive modeling charts and the results of our advanced, proprietary ADL predictive modeling system, we hope we have been able to help to settle your nerves going forward and to help to prove to you that 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders.&nbsp; All we have to do is understand what price and other technical data are showing us and then sit back and wait for the shorter term price triggers to generate strategic entry triggers.</p>
<p>In order to properly answer our initial question that set us off on this quest: &ldquo;Are the Doomsayers correct in their predictions or are our predictive analysis models correct in their predictions?&rdquo; - the true answer is that the future will prove one of us right and one of us wrong.&nbsp; We believe in our predictive modeling system because it has been able to call the past 20+ months of trading accurately and we&#39;ve seen the power of this tool first hand &ndash; many of you have as well.</p>
<p>Overall, yes there are risks still within the global markets and they are still in the midst of a very fragile &ldquo;revaluation phase&rdquo; that could include unknown risks for all traders.&nbsp; Additionally, the ADL predictive modeling system does not take into account geopolitical events (war, regional power struggles, famine or &ldquo;acts of God&rdquo;).&nbsp; It just shows us what it believes is the highest probability outcome in the future.&nbsp; Therefore, we suggest all traders/investors continue to stay &ldquo;cautiously optimistic&rdquo; going forward and learn to exercise proper risk controls.</p>
<p>The global market data that we&#39;ve presented within this multi-part article should help to paint a very clear picture of what is really happening throughout the planet at the moment &ndash; at least we hope it does.&nbsp; We want all of our followers and friends to understand the risks and opportunities that are currently ahead of us and we want to make sure you understand just how important good skilled research is to make informed decisions.</p>
<p>If you like this type of research and how we present these details, then please take a minute to visit&nbsp;<span><span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span></span>&nbsp;to learn how you can benefit from the hard work our research team puts forth to provide our members with clear opportunities for success.&nbsp; Take a look at some of our recent winners to see how we help people, just like you, create success.&nbsp; We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members.&nbsp; In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.&nbsp; Isn&#39;t it time you invested in your future success by joining a team of professionals dedicated to giving you an advantage in the markets every day?</p>
<p>We still take trades just like the rest of the planet&#39;s traders &ndash; we measure risk and opportunity and make decisions to &ldquo;take the trade&rdquo; or not.&nbsp; The only difference is that we have some very cool, proprietary modeling systems that help us find and execute these trading decisions.&nbsp; Visit&nbsp;<span><span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span></span>&nbsp;to learn how you can become a member today.</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.<br /><strong><span><span><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span></span></strong></p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9146" width="1" height="1">Momentum Stock Trading Strategy For Optionable Stockshttp://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/02/25/momentum-stock-trading-strategy-for-optionable-stocks.aspxMon, 25 Feb 2019 23:33:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9145Chris Vermeulen0<p>It been a great couple weeks for members of our newsletter as we start to provide more of our<br />MRM - Momentum Reversal Method Stock Picks.</p>
<p>As technical traders, we specialize&nbsp;in trading price action and momentum.<br />We don&rsquo;t follow the news or media because it has zero predictiveness in price action.</p>
<p>Take a look at our most recent closed trades.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27082" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/ugaz1.png" width="745" height="528" alt="" /></p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27086" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/roku3-1.png" width="744" height="527" alt="" /></p>
<div>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27082" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/roku3-1.png" width="745" height="528" alt="" /></p>
<p><strong>CUT YOUR RESEARCH BY 97%</strong></p>
<p>No matter what type of analysis you are looking for our services provides you with virtually everything you need<br />to protect your investments and profit from the next rally or selloff in the market.</p>
<p><strong>EXPLOSIVE STOCK PICKING STRATEGY</strong><br />Get our ADL and MRM strategy for identifying explosive Stock and ETF patterns.<br />Now you can get into plays before they move and become publicly known!</p>
<p>In fact, the most recent trade members got into was just introduced to the masses with<br />two exclusive TV shows on them and the stock rallied&nbsp;23.7% in the last three days alone!</p>
<h3><strong><span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/#pricing">Get Chris&#39; ETF and Stock Picks Today - SUBSCRIBE HERE</a></span></span></strong></h3>
</div><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9145" width="1" height="1">Traders Must Stay Optimistically Cautious - Part 4http://investorsinsight.com/blogs/the_gold_and_oil_guy/archive/2019/02/24/traders-must-stay-optimistically-cautious-part-4.aspxMon, 25 Feb 2019 02:12:00 GMT94e1e1ff-3922-415d-9584-19119299714b:9144Chris Vermeulen0<p>Welcome to Part IV of&nbsp;<strong><span><span><a href="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/FreeResearch">our multi-part research</a></span></span></strong>&nbsp;post delving into the global markets, global opportunities and the current &ldquo;revaluation&rdquo; even that is taking place.&nbsp; We started this quest from a simple question, &ldquo;are the Doomsayers correct in their analysis that the US and global markets would collapse in a spectacular form in the near future?&rdquo;.&nbsp; We wanted to dig into this in more detail to prove they were right or to prove our analysis was correct and the markets are simply &ldquo;re-balancing&rdquo; in the process of developing&nbsp;greater&nbsp;opportunity.</p>
<p>So far, we&#39;ve covered topics related to globalization, central banks, global GDP and capital asset deployment forms.&nbsp; We&#39;ve highlighted how the transition from regional economies into global inter-connected economies is now nearly complete and we&#39;ve highlighted how we believe a collapse event could only take place if the largest global economies were to experience some type of massive crisis event.&nbsp; Unless these types of massive crisis events unfold, the most likely outcome is what we have been proposing all along &ndash; a re-balancing/revaluation event cycle that is preparing current market valuations for a momentum breakout rally in the future.</p>
<p>Let&rsquo;s continue our research.</p>
<p>The chart, below, highlights just how critical global capital flow is in today&#39;s world.&nbsp; Imagine, back in the 1950s and 1960s &ndash; the process of money flowing around the planet in an instant for investment purposes and global central bankers being able to capitalize on various global economies was very difficult to achieve.&nbsp; Now, with the speed of fiber-optics, these transactions can be completed in seconds and traders/investors can move capital across the planet multiple times throughout a single 24-hour span of time.</p>
<p>In our opinion, the reason the September 11, 2001 market crisis and the 2009~2014 market crisis events were so catastrophic and REAL was because they targeted the US economy (the biggest economy on the planet and the leader of growth throughout the planet) as well as the extended credit, debt and derivatives markets that were formed as the total globalization process expanded.&nbsp; When this &ldquo;froth&rdquo; began to implode, the underlying value of the assets supporting this &ldquo;frothy fringe investment&rdquo; imploded at dramatic rates.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27073" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Chart1-2.png" width="950" height="545" alt="" /></p>
<p>(Source :&nbsp;<a href="http://ngkf.com/globalcities/2017/over-there.html">http://ngkf.com/globalcities/2017/over-there.html</a>)</p>
<p>The current issues that should concern investors are China and Europe.&nbsp; We believe a re-balancing of capital and expectations are currently taking place within these regions that could result in a &ldquo;de-frothing&rdquo; process in the near future.&nbsp; We would like it to be orderly and structured, but we don&#39;t always get what we want &ndash; right?&nbsp; This process of revaluing the future expectations and opportunities within these global markets could create some issues for fringe elements as well (Russia, SE Asia, South America&nbsp;and&nbsp;Africa).&nbsp; Remember, many of these nations are operating on a &ldquo;capital high&rdquo; right now after seeing many decades of &ldquo;easy money&rdquo; and extreme growth.&nbsp; This is the reason for being cautiously optimistic.&nbsp; We have not completely transitioned into the &ldquo;total global growth mode&rdquo; yet.</p>
<p>The one thing that we believe is taking place at the moment is the positioning of capital in preparation for the final revaluation event.&nbsp; Capital is currently shifting towards safer and more secure global markets in preparation for this last revaluation event cycle.&nbsp; Our interpretation of this event is that a shakeup of banking/finance institutions as well as larger scale infrastructure projects (Belt Road) and economic coalitions (EU) will result in a more solid and rooted opportunity to build upon success for our future.</p>
<p>A &ldquo;de-frothing&rdquo; economic event will likely continue throughout the next 2~5+ years where localized markets will attempt to eliminate the &ldquo;at risk&rdquo; top and bottom end players.&nbsp; Think of this as a process of re-establishing core values and core opportunities.&nbsp; In an ecosystem, living organisms operate in two separate modes: survival and expansion.&nbsp; When the environment is hostile and difficult, the organism falls into &ldquo;survival mode&rdquo;.&nbsp; This is where froth and at-risk elements are terminated because the important aspect for the organism is &ldquo;to survive the environment&rdquo;.&nbsp; If the environment improves and becomes more &ldquo;friendly and supportive&rdquo;, then the organism will transition into &ldquo;expansion mode&rdquo; where it will try to grow, expand and &ldquo;flower&rdquo;.&nbsp; This is where the organism becomes very healthy and is able to begin taking on new risk/froth elements.</p>
<p>Currently, we believe the global economy is nearing the end of the de-frothing/revaluation phase and will begin to establish new growth footing over the next 2~5+ years. &nbsp;Our hypothesis is that the 2009~2014 Global Credit Market crisis started a massive global de-frothing process that is currently working through the global markets.&nbsp; Intentional or unintentional, we don&#39;t know.&nbsp; But we do understand that the process of &ldquo;survival or expansion&rdquo; is key to the long term economic events that continue to work through the global markets.&nbsp; Let&#39;s look over some charts.</p>
<p>One element typically happens near the early/middle stage of economic expansion is a Commodities price increase.&nbsp; Looking at the larger picture of the global price of all commodities, we can see that an expansion channel existed between 2004 and the peak near 2008 and, since then, global commodities have been within a Major Downward sloping price channel.&nbsp; It is our opinion that global commodities will stay near the lower range of this price channel as the revaluation/re-balancing phase continues.&nbsp; Eventually, global commodities will likely attempt to&nbsp;setup&nbsp;a Flag/Pennant formation before attempting a true price advance after the froth/risk has been sufficiently eliminated from the global markets.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27074" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Chart2-2.png" width="1168" height="470" alt="" /></p>
<p>Additionally, this chart showing total international debt securities of all countries clearly shows WHEN the global markets entered the revaluation/re-balancing phase.&nbsp; It all started with the 2009~2014 global credit market crisis &ndash; not with the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.&nbsp; This information supports the process that the global economy was much healthier in 2001 as a result of the expanded opportunities supported by the new Internet/technology boom.&nbsp; The crisis event in 2001 was dangerous as it could have resulted in a global economic contraction, yet it appears the expansion in commodities prices and the continuous expansion of debt was unabated.</p>
<p>The 2009~2014 global credit crisis event was a completely different story for the markets.&nbsp; This event consisted of a core element implosion that touched nearly every corner of the planet and started a &ldquo;de-risking&rdquo; event that is still taking place.&nbsp; True economic expansion will not begin until this event is completed.&nbsp; The process of revaluing the markets is currently taking place and a true &ldquo;capital shift&rdquo; is still underway where capital is being deployed in the safest and most secure markets on the planet in order to secure proper ROI as well as seeking &ldquo;speculative ROI&rdquo; from undervalued international markets.</p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27075" src="https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Chart3-1.png" width="1168" height="470" alt="" /></p>
<p>We continue to expect debt consolidation to continue throughout most of the established world.&nbsp; The single purpose of this Revaluation event is to find and secure proper valuation levels for the entire global market before true expansion can begin.&nbsp; We&#39;ve already experienced a massive revaluation process across most of the planet and the only thing left to complete are the proper valuation levels of the most frothy and unhinged global markets on the planet.</p>
<p>This process may not be pretty at times, but it certainly will provide skilled traders and investors with incredible opportunities for profits.&nbsp; You won&#39;t want to miss these moves over the next 3~5+ years.</p>
<p>Don&#39;t miss Part V of this incredible research post as we&#39;ll show you exactly what to expect over the next 24~30+ months in the US markets and who you why skilled and professional research, like this, is key to understanding where opportunity really exists in these markets.</p>
<p>If you want to learn how our proprietary price modeling systems, a dedicated research team, daily videos, and more resources will help you find and execute better trades, then please visit&nbsp;<span><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span></strong></span>&nbsp;to learn how we can assist you.&nbsp; If you want to know how and when we are trading these markets to help our members, then consider becoming a member and enjoying all the benefits we offer our subscribers.&nbsp; This is going to be an incredible year for skilled traders.&nbsp; Isn&#39;t it time you invested in something that can really help you develop greater success?</p>
<p>Chris Vermeulen<br />Technical Traders Ltd.<br /><span><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><a href="http://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/">www.TheTechnicalTraders.com</a></span></strong></span></p><div style="clear:both;"></div><img src="http://investorsinsight.com/aggbug.aspx?PostID=9144" width="1" height="1">