48. In the universe of political tracking polls

An "accuracy continuum" could be established on the basis of this election alone. Nate Silver would be at 100% and Dick Morris would hold down the other end of the spectrum at 0%. Everyone else would be somewhere in-between. For future Karl Rove / Koch Bros. reference, anything approaching a Dick Morris prediction would best be interpreted as a red flag in which potential cash contributions are diverted elsewhere or better yet kept in the bank.