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CASABLANCA 00000010 001.3 OF 003
Classified By: CG Elisabeth Millard for reasons 1.4 (b), (d).
1. (SBU) Summary: Morocco exports about 50 percent of its
production of phosphoric acid to India, a dual-use item used
extensively to produce fertilizer for the country's
agricultural sector and a potential source for uranium. The
value of Morocco's exports to India totaled USD 1.4 billion
in the first ten months of 2008. To secure and increase its
stake with Morocco's National Phosphate Office (OCP), India
has implemented a three-pronged approach, which entails
pursuing long-term mining and exploration contracts, joint
ventures with OCP,s phosphoric acid facilities, and
neutrality on the Western Sahara issue. While 99 percent of
Morocco,s exports to India are linked to the phosphate
business, India's interest in Morocco is increasingly
extending to other industries like the outsourcing and
automobile sector. End Summary.
-----------------------------
India's Demand for Phosphates
-----------------------------
2. (SBU) India imports 50 percent of the world's production
of phosphoric acid, a product used extensively to produce
fertilizer for the country's agricultural sector. According
to Indian diplomats here, India is increasingly looking to
Morocco to meet its phosphate needs in light of its rising
demand for fertilizer. (Note: Morocco holds about
three-quarters of the world,s reserve of phosphates and is
the largest exporter of phosphate rock and phosphate
derivatives, with about 38 percent of the overall world
market in those products. End Note.) Morocco exports about 50
percent of its phosphoric acid and about 22 percent of its
rock phosphate to India, making the subcontinent Morocco's
largest phosphate customer. The value of Morocco's exports to
India totaled USD 1.4 billion in the first ten months of
2008, a significant increase from USD 560 million in 2007.
(Note: The price of phosphate increased from a median of USD
100 per rock ton in 2007 to a high of USD 400 per rock ton in
2008. End Note.)
------------------------------------------
Morocco-India Trade: Phosphates and Beyond
------------------------------------------
3. (SBU) From 2001 to 2007, bilateral trade between Morocco
and India doubled to USD 880 million. During this period,
Indian exports to Morocco rose more than five-fold to USD 320
million, while Morocco's exports to India increased by over
USD 300 million reaching USD 560 million. Indian commercial
officials at the Embassy here told us that total bilateral
trade in 2008 was expected to reach USD 1.9 billion, marking
a 125 percent increase in a single year. While much of the
growth is due to Morocco,s export of phosphates, India,s
interest in Morocco is increasingly extending to other
sectors.
4. (SBU) In particular, Tata Group's joint venture with
Morocco's National Phosphate Office (OCP) has opened the
doors to other business opportunities in the outsourcing and
automobile sectors. Indian outsourcing firms like Tata
Consulting Services (TCS) and Genpact Limited have recently
started to target the Francophone European market. The CEO of
TCS, Mehdi Sahel, told Econof that India is looking to
duplicate its IT and usiness Process Outsourcing (BPO)
success with te Anglophone market, utilizing Morocco's
geographic and linguistic advantages to target Francophone
Europe. "Within the next 5 years Morocco can easily become
the India of Africa", said Sahel.
5. (SBU) India's Commercial Attach in Rabat argues that
"Morocco's free trade agreements with the European Union and
the United States make it an ideal export platform for Indian
companies seeking to enter not only the Francophone market in
the north, but the sub-Saharan Africa market in the south".
Within Morocco,s automobile sector, Tata Motors has a 21
percent stake in Hispano Carrocera, a company which just
landed a long-term contract to outfit 800 urban buses in
CASABLANCA 00000010 002.3 OF 003
Casablanca. In addition, Tata Motors hopes to target
Morocco,s middle class with its low priced vehicle, the
Nano, in the near future.
--------------------------------------------- ------
The Indian Approach to Securing Morocco's Phosphate
--------------------------------------------- ------
6. (C) Despite India's growing economic relations with
Morocco, it must nevertheless deal with competition from
other interested countries, like Indonesia and Pakistan. To
secure and increase its stake with Morocco's National
Phosphate office (OCP), India has developed a three-pronged
approach. First, it has pursued mining and exploration
contracts with OCP. During his 2008 visit to Morocco, Ram
Paswan, India,s Minister of Chemicals, Fertilizer, and
Steel, signed several long-term contracts with Morocco,s
Phosphate Office. Meryem Chami, Staff Assistant to OCP's
Managing Director, told Econoff that India was awarded a
number of contracts to operate in the highly coveted Jorf
Lasfer Phosphate Processing Facility Plant. Chami also said
OCP is presently reviewing a proposal that would permit
India's National mineral Development Corporation (NMDC) to
participate in the mining of Morocco's rock phosphate. (Note:
Please strictly protect this sensitive commercial
information. End Note.)
7. (SBU) Second, India has entered into joint business
ventures with OCP's phosphate processing facilities. For
example, IMACID, a phosphoric acid producer in Morocco, is a
joint venture created between the OCP group and two Indian
firms ) Chambal Fertilizer & Chemical Limited (CFCL) of the
Birla Group and Tata Chemicals Limited of the Tata Group.
Moreover, the OCP group owns a 50 percent equity stake in
India,s fertilizer company, Paradeep Phosphate Limited
(PPL), which has a multi-year supply arrangement of rock
phosphates from Morocco to India.
8. (SBU) Third, India has adopted a neutral stance on the
Western Sahara issue. India recognized Western Sahara in 1985
but withdrew that recognition in 2000 as its phosphate
cooperation with Morocco improved. This neutrality on a
thorny political issue arguably makes India a more attractive
economic partner for Morocco.
--------------------------------------------- ----
Assessing the Benefits of Morocco's Ties to India
--------------------------------------------- ----
9. (SBU) India's presence in Morocco elicits mixed
sentiments. On the one hand, the GOM and in particular OCP
have benefited financially from its rapprochement with India.
In fact, Morocco met its 2008 economic growth target in large
part due to the success of phosphates' increasingly
preponderant share in Moroccan exports, says Hicham Alaoui, a
financial analyst at BMCE Bank. On the other hand, concerns
about India,s role in Morocco loom large amongst Moroccan
textile operators, who fear that, like their Chinese
counterparts, Indian firms will undercut them with
rock-bottom prices. On balance, India's presence in Morocco
is a positive development, as reflected in the fact that
Morocco enjoys a significant trade surplus with the
subcontinent. As TCS,s Sahel told us, "Who would have
thought! Let,s run with it!"
-------
Comment
-------
10. (SBU) Bilateral trade between Morocco and India presently
favors Morocco, but given the price volatility of such raw
materials and their derivatives, Morocco should begin
thinking about shifting its trade focus towards the service
sector. Specifically, India is a world leader in IT and BPO
services ) one of the key pillars of Morocco,s "Emergence"
strategy, which looks to create a modern and outward looking
services sector. Indian firms like TCS are poised to
capitalize on Morocco,s outsourcing infrastructure and
should be encouraged to do so by the GOM.
CASABLANCA 00000010 003.3 OF 003
11. (C) Nonproliferation considerations: The International
Atomic Energy Agency places the uranium resources in
Morocco's phosphate deposits at around six million tons,
which corresponds to twice the world,s uranium resources.
(Note: In October 2007, OCP signed an agreement with Areva,
France's nuclear energy company, to launch a joint study into
the feasibility of an industrial site producing uranium from
phosphoric acid. End Note.) Although phosphate exported from
Morocco to India reportedly is exclusively for agricultural
use, it could conceivably also be a secondary source for raw
uranium. We understand India's Department of Atomic Energy
has facilities that can recover uranium from phosphate rock
and phosphoric acid, but we have no information indicating
that the Indians are processing Moroccan phosphate through
this extraction process. End Comment.
MILLARD

Raw content

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 CASABLANCA 000010
SIPDIS
STATE FOR NEA/MAG
STATE PLS PASS TO COMMERCE FOR NATHANIEL MASON
E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/07/2019
TAGS: AG, AMCHAMS, ECON, EIND, ETRD, MNUC, MO, PGOV, PREL
SUBJECT: MOROCCO, INDIA, PHOSPHATES AND BEYOND
REF: 07 RABAT 1657
CASABLANCA 00000010 001.3 OF 003
Classified By: CG Elisabeth Millard for reasons 1.4 (b), (d).
1. (SBU) Summary: Morocco exports about 50 percent of its
production of phosphoric acid to India, a dual-use item used
extensively to produce fertilizer for the country's
agricultural sector and a potential source for uranium. The
value of Morocco's exports to India totaled USD 1.4 billion
in the first ten months of 2008. To secure and increase its
stake with Morocco's National Phosphate Office (OCP), India
has implemented a three-pronged approach, which entails
pursuing long-term mining and exploration contracts, joint
ventures with OCP,s phosphoric acid facilities, and
neutrality on the Western Sahara issue. While 99 percent of
Morocco,s exports to India are linked to the phosphate
business, India's interest in Morocco is increasingly
extending to other industries like the outsourcing and
automobile sector. End Summary.
-----------------------------
India's Demand for Phosphates
-----------------------------
2. (SBU) India imports 50 percent of the world's production
of phosphoric acid, a product used extensively to produce
fertilizer for the country's agricultural sector. According
to Indian diplomats here, India is increasingly looking to
Morocco to meet its phosphate needs in light of its rising
demand for fertilizer. (Note: Morocco holds about
three-quarters of the world,s reserve of phosphates and is
the largest exporter of phosphate rock and phosphate
derivatives, with about 38 percent of the overall world
market in those products. End Note.) Morocco exports about 50
percent of its phosphoric acid and about 22 percent of its
rock phosphate to India, making the subcontinent Morocco's
largest phosphate customer. The value of Morocco's exports to
India totaled USD 1.4 billion in the first ten months of
2008, a significant increase from USD 560 million in 2007.
(Note: The price of phosphate increased from a median of USD
100 per rock ton in 2007 to a high of USD 400 per rock ton in
2008. End Note.)
------------------------------------------
Morocco-India Trade: Phosphates and Beyond
------------------------------------------
3. (SBU) From 2001 to 2007, bilateral trade between Morocco
and India doubled to USD 880 million. During this period,
Indian exports to Morocco rose more than five-fold to USD 320
million, while Morocco's exports to India increased by over
USD 300 million reaching USD 560 million. Indian commercial
officials at the Embassy here told us that total bilateral
trade in 2008 was expected to reach USD 1.9 billion, marking
a 125 percent increase in a single year. While much of the
growth is due to Morocco,s export of phosphates, India,s
interest in Morocco is increasingly extending to other
sectors.
4. (SBU) In particular, Tata Group's joint venture with
Morocco's National Phosphate Office (OCP) has opened the
doors to other business opportunities in the outsourcing and
automobile sectors. Indian outsourcing firms like Tata
Consulting Services (TCS) and Genpact Limited have recently
started to target the Francophone European market. The CEO of
TCS, Mehdi Sahel, told Econof that India is looking to
duplicate its IT and usiness Process Outsourcing (BPO)
success with te Anglophone market, utilizing Morocco's
geographic and linguistic advantages to target Francophone
Europe. "Within the next 5 years Morocco can easily become
the India of Africa", said Sahel.
5. (SBU) India's Commercial Attach in Rabat argues that
"Morocco's free trade agreements with the European Union and
the United States make it an ideal export platform for Indian
companies seeking to enter not only the Francophone market in
the north, but the sub-Saharan Africa market in the south".
Within Morocco,s automobile sector, Tata Motors has a 21
percent stake in Hispano Carrocera, a company which just
landed a long-term contract to outfit 800 urban buses in
CASABLANCA 00000010 002.3 OF 003
Casablanca. In addition, Tata Motors hopes to target
Morocco,s middle class with its low priced vehicle, the
Nano, in the near future.
--------------------------------------------- ------
The Indian Approach to Securing Morocco's Phosphate
--------------------------------------------- ------
6. (C) Despite India's growing economic relations with
Morocco, it must nevertheless deal with competition from
other interested countries, like Indonesia and Pakistan. To
secure and increase its stake with Morocco's National
Phosphate office (OCP), India has developed a three-pronged
approach. First, it has pursued mining and exploration
contracts with OCP. During his 2008 visit to Morocco, Ram
Paswan, India,s Minister of Chemicals, Fertilizer, and
Steel, signed several long-term contracts with Morocco,s
Phosphate Office. Meryem Chami, Staff Assistant to OCP's
Managing Director, told Econoff that India was awarded a
number of contracts to operate in the highly coveted Jorf
Lasfer Phosphate Processing Facility Plant. Chami also said
OCP is presently reviewing a proposal that would permit
India's National mineral Development Corporation (NMDC) to
participate in the mining of Morocco's rock phosphate. (Note:
Please strictly protect this sensitive commercial
information. End Note.)
7. (SBU) Second, India has entered into joint business
ventures with OCP's phosphate processing facilities. For
example, IMACID, a phosphoric acid producer in Morocco, is a
joint venture created between the OCP group and two Indian
firms ) Chambal Fertilizer & Chemical Limited (CFCL) of the
Birla Group and Tata Chemicals Limited of the Tata Group.
Moreover, the OCP group owns a 50 percent equity stake in
India,s fertilizer company, Paradeep Phosphate Limited
(PPL), which has a multi-year supply arrangement of rock
phosphates from Morocco to India.
8. (SBU) Third, India has adopted a neutral stance on the
Western Sahara issue. India recognized Western Sahara in 1985
but withdrew that recognition in 2000 as its phosphate
cooperation with Morocco improved. This neutrality on a
thorny political issue arguably makes India a more attractive
economic partner for Morocco.
--------------------------------------------- ----
Assessing the Benefits of Morocco's Ties to India
--------------------------------------------- ----
9. (SBU) India's presence in Morocco elicits mixed
sentiments. On the one hand, the GOM and in particular OCP
have benefited financially from its rapprochement with India.
In fact, Morocco met its 2008 economic growth target in large
part due to the success of phosphates' increasingly
preponderant share in Moroccan exports, says Hicham Alaoui, a
financial analyst at BMCE Bank. On the other hand, concerns
about India,s role in Morocco loom large amongst Moroccan
textile operators, who fear that, like their Chinese
counterparts, Indian firms will undercut them with
rock-bottom prices. On balance, India's presence in Morocco
is a positive development, as reflected in the fact that
Morocco enjoys a significant trade surplus with the
subcontinent. As TCS,s Sahel told us, "Who would have
thought! Let,s run with it!"
-------
Comment
-------
10. (SBU) Bilateral trade between Morocco and India presently
favors Morocco, but given the price volatility of such raw
materials and their derivatives, Morocco should begin
thinking about shifting its trade focus towards the service
sector. Specifically, India is a world leader in IT and BPO
services ) one of the key pillars of Morocco,s "Emergence"
strategy, which looks to create a modern and outward looking
services sector. Indian firms like TCS are poised to
capitalize on Morocco,s outsourcing infrastructure and
should be encouraged to do so by the GOM.
CASABLANCA 00000010 003.3 OF 003
11. (C) Nonproliferation considerations: The International
Atomic Energy Agency places the uranium resources in
Morocco's phosphate deposits at around six million tons,
which corresponds to twice the world,s uranium resources.
(Note: In October 2007, OCP signed an agreement with Areva,
France's nuclear energy company, to launch a joint study into
the feasibility of an industrial site producing uranium from
phosphoric acid. End Note.) Although phosphate exported from
Morocco to India reportedly is exclusively for agricultural
use, it could conceivably also be a secondary source for raw
uranium. We understand India's Department of Atomic Energy
has facilities that can recover uranium from phosphate rock
and phosphoric acid, but we have no information indicating
that the Indians are processing Moroccan phosphate through
this extraction process. End Comment.
MILLARD