Hi and thanks for visiting the best Ravens forum on the planet. You do not have to be a member to browse the various forums, but in order to post and interact with your purple brethren, you will have to **register**. It only takes a couple of minutes. You can also use your Facebook account to log in....just click on the blue 'FConnect' link at the very top of the page.

Re: NFL.COM Top Quarterbacks under 30

Originally Posted by somedumbguy

I would consider trading Joe Flacco for Andrew Luck if it were after the season. I think Luck has the chance to to be Epic Hall of Fame multiple championships good in the right situation and I would take that chance. I think Joe can win multiple championships, just maybe with not as much style. I would not trade Flacco for any of the other three. Running QB's have short shelf lives. Russell Wilson and Colin Kaepernick are Haloti Ngata hits from a torn ACL and who knows if RGIII will ever be the same again.

I'm with you on this entire post.

Back to the OP, I really don't have a problem with their rankings much at all. Ryan vs. Flacco was settled as of about week 12-15 when Ryan was jsut coming down from his MVP-type season pedestal, while Flacco lost 3 straight. That said, Obviously it's been in Flacco's favor since the Giants game, but it's a relatively short run. Clutch is the main place that Flacco has an advantage over Ryan, and it is certainly of the utmost importance, but I'm not sure it outweigh's Ryan's stats on these types of lists.

Dalton should certainly be higher then Tannehill, but Stafford, IMO is where he should be. I like how they have the young uys ranked, as the group of Luck, RGIII, WIlson, Kaepernick and Cam have certainly put their stamp on this league. I have no issue with ever single one ranked over Stafford, who has been consistantly inconsistant, and fragile. Without Calvin Johnson he would look more like Sam Bradford.

Re: NFL.COM Top Quarterbacks under 30

Originally Posted by Phantoom

I would love you to explain this "clutch gene" to me. Does Tom Brady have it?

They have run stat studies, and basically no matter how you define "clutch", it turns out that people just play as well as they play. No QB has ever played significantly different from his career stats in the 4th quarter or on game winning drives or in the playoffs (given sample size). I find it hilarious that Matt Ryan would have been "clutch" if they had called the obvious pass interference at the end of the NFC Championship (or his D can hold a lead), or that Joe Flacco would be less "clutch" if a safety does his job in Denver.

If Joe was more clutch, wouldn't he have better postseason stats than Matt Ryan, who is a "choker"?

A lot of people used to believe in clutch in baseball too, where the statistics also proved them wrong.

And this is why we have advanced stats (see what I linked) that normalize for things like that. Feel free to check them out.

I can assure you this has nothing to do with the fact that you have a different opinion than I do but... People like you are the absolute worst. Guys who go around touting advanced metrics as the end all be all are annoying enough in baseball, where advanced stats actually work. Advanced metrics in football are damn near useless, too many moving parts. Just watch the games

Re: NFL.COM Top Quarterbacks under 30

Phantoom, honest question - 2 minutes left, you're team is down 4 and has the ball at their own 20... You would prefer to put the ball in Matt Ryan's hands over Joe Flacco's?

Considering Matt Ryan led his team to a win in a similar situation in the playoffs this year, why would I not choose him? Oh, right, he's not "clutch" somehow...

Originally Posted by NjRavensFan

I can assure you this has nothing to do with the fact that you have a different opinion than I do but... People like you are the absolute worst. Guys who go around touting advanced metrics as the end all be all are annoying enough in baseball, where advanced stats actually work. Advanced metrics in football are damn near useless, too many moving parts. Just watch the games

Thanks for that...opinion. Baseball stats proved that we cannot trust our eyes. Football advanced stats are more difficult to obtain and dissect than baseball, but I am not inclined to to throw the baby out with the bathwater and call it impossible. DVOA is currently the best projection system in the world (certainly much better than anyone who just "watches the games") so I respectfully disagree.

Re: NFL.COM Top Quarterbacks under 30

Hire's a question for you. DO you think Ryan would do better in Baltimore than Joe?

I watched Matt Ryan's passes dying after like 15-20 yards against the Niners. His receivers had to go down low for passes, unless he put a ton of loft under them.

So, no. I don't think Matt Ryan would have been more successful in Baltimore simply because Baltimore plays outdoors in the elements and consistently faces top tiered defenses, which Matt Ryan does not.

We saw how Ryan played in Pittsburgh last year and that wasn't even in the winter.

Re: NFL.COM Top Quarterbacks under 30

Originally Posted by Phantoom

I would love you to explain this "clutch gene" to me. Does Tom Brady have it?

They have run stat studies, and basically no matter how you define "clutch", it turns out that people just play as well as they play. No QB has ever played significantly different from his career stats in the 4th quarter or on game winning drives or in the playoffs (given sample size). I find it hilarious that Matt Ryan would have been "clutch" if they had called the obvious pass interference at the end of the NFC Championship (or his D can hold a lead), or that Joe Flacco would be less "clutch" if a safety does his job in Denver.

If Joe was more clutch, wouldn't he have better postseason stats than Matt Ryan, who is a "choker"?

A lot of people used to believe in clutch in baseball too, where the statistics also proved them wrong.

And this is why we have advanced stats (see what I linked) that normalize for things like that. Feel free to check them out.

Matt Ryan also only played 1 post-season game in his rookie + sophomore seasons. Flacco played 5. The inclusion of those games during which Flacco was an inexperienced QB playing on the road (and in the case of his second year, with a really bad injury) really hurts his career numbers. How about we pick up from 2010. Both QBs have made it to the post-season every year since then.

Flacco has played in 7 games, 5 of which were on the road, and he has a 5-2 record in those games. And he has 1725 yards, 15 TDs, and 2 INTs for a 102.2 QB Rating.

Ryan has played in 4 games, 3 of which were at home, and he has a 1-3 record in those games. And he has 1031 Yards, 7 TDs, and 5 INTs for an 88.6 QB Rating.

For Flacco, that's a touchdown every 14.7 passes, and an INT every 110 passes. 7.84 yards per attempt. For Ryan, that's a touchdown every 21 passes, and an INT every 29.4 passes. 7.01 yards per attempt.

It's obvious that Flacco has performed much, much better in the play-offs, and then when you consider that Flacco has played every playoff game outside in the cold and wind, and Ryan has played mostly in his comfy dome... and Flacco does what he does on the Road, while Ryan benefits from being at home... It's really night and day how much better Flacco is in the post-season.

Re: NFL.COM Top Quarterbacks under 30

Big difference, in that situation a FG won the game, it was not 4 points.

Matt Bryant kicked several game winning FG's this year.

Not only that, when the Falcons were up by 14 points vs Seattle, Matty Ice threw a bomb that ended up being intercepted that put them in the situation to begin with.

People forget that though. I live in Atlanta, I watch the games, and even WITH a lead, he ALWAYS throws an untimely interception that keeps the game close. That's why he has no choice but to chuck it away to try and win the game. Didn't work this past Sunday though.

Re: NFL.COM Top Quarterbacks under 30

Originally Posted by Phantoom

Considering Matt Ryan led his team to a win in a similar situation in the playoffs this year, why would I not choose him? Oh, right, he's not "clutch" somehow...

Thanks for that...opinion. Baseball stats proved that we cannot trust our eyes. Football advanced stats are more difficult to obtain and dissect than baseball, but I am not inclined to to throw the baby out with the bathwater and call it impossible. DVOA is currently the best projection system in the world (certainly much better than anyone who just "watches the games") so I respectfully disagree.

Look if you want to believe in stats, great, whatever floats your boat. I don't think they're meaningful way of comparing two people, mainly in football, there are just way to many variables to account for.

That said, I'd take Flacco over Ryan. Joe has done more with less. I've sen Ryan lead his teams on game winning drives too. Just watching the two my opinion (which has as much weight as subjective stats) is Ryan can sometimes have that deer-in-the-headlight look and Joe has the here-I-fucking-come look. Not only are those the looks but when their teams needs those attitudes I see it in Joe's play more than I do Ryan's

We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid. - Benjamin Franklin

Re: NFL.COM Top Quarterbacks under 30

Originally Posted by callahan09

Matt Ryan also only played 1 post-season game in his rookie + sophomore seasons. Flacco played 5. The inclusion of those games during which Flacco was an inexperienced QB playing on the road (and in the case of his second year, with a really bad injury) really hurts his career numbers. How about we pick up from 2010. Both QBs have made it to the post-season every year since then.

Flacco has played in 7 games, 5 of which were on the road, and he has a 5-2 record in those games. And he has 1725 yards, 15 TDs, and 2 INTs for a 102.2 QB Rating.

Ryan has played in 4 games, 3 of which were at home, and he has a 1-3 record in those games. And he has 1031 Yards, 7 TDs, and 5 INTs for an 88.6 QB Rating.

For Flacco, that's a touchdown every 14.7 passes, and an INT every 110 passes. 7.84 yards per attempt. For Ryan, that's a touchdown every 21 passes, and an INT every 29.4 passes. 7.01 yards per attempt.

It's obvious that Flacco has performed much, much better in the play-offs, and then when you consider that Flacco has played every playoff game outside in the cold and wind, and Ryan has played mostly in his comfy dome... and Flacco does what he does on the Road, while Ryan benefits from being at home... It's really night and day how much better Flacco is in the post-season.

These gymnastics of picking a choosing when we are going to count are hurting my head. I'm sure I could counter with Ryans injury, or the quality of defenses he played (San Fran had the second best D in the league this year) but how about this: I will admit that Joe Flacco has been better than Matt Ryan in the playoffs since 2010. I just think that judging QBs on such a tiny sample size is ludicrous. I would much rather judge a QB on how they have done over the past 32 games than the past 4. Hell, I could probably find 4 game runs that made Boller look like a decent QB. Well, maybe.

Originally Posted by NCRAVEN

Look if you want to believe in stats, great, whatever floats your boat. I don't think they're meaningful way of comparing two people, mainly in football, there are just way to many variables to account for.

That said, I'd take Flacco over Ryan. Joe has done more with less. I've sen Ryan lead his teams on game winning drives too. Just watching the two my opinion (which has as much weight as subjective stats) is Ryan can sometimes have that deer-in-the-headlight look and Joe has the here-I-fucking-come look. Not only are those the looks but when their teams needs those attitudes I see it in Joe's play more than I do Ryan's

I am completely fine with people taking Flacco, I just think it is ridiculous to not understand why many people would want Ryan (which is why this thread was started, from what can tell).