The conventional progressive wisdom is that the Trump Administration will be bad for cities and for transit users. But in recent decades, a unified Republican government has been better for public transit than a divided government.

An efficient and equitable transport system must be diverse to serve diverse travel demands. Planners need better tools to quantify and communicate the benefits of walking, cycling and public transit to sometimes skeptical decision makers.

New tools are becoming available to help people evaluate the quality of walking, cycling, public transit and automobile accessibility when making home location decisions. This information can help create more efficient and sustainable communities.

The old transportation planning paradigm was automobile-oriented: it assumed that “transportation” means automobile travel, and so evaluated transportation system performance based on the speed and convenience of driving. The new paradigm is multi-modal: it recognizes the important and unique roles that walking, cycling and public transportation play in an efficient and equitable transportation system, and so evaluates transportation system performance based on multi-modal performance indicators.

Consumers are experiencing a similar paradigm shift: households increasingly recognize the value of living in a neighborhood that offers good walking, cycling and public transit accessibility, in addition to automobile access. As Emerging Trends in Real Estate explains,

Energy prices and road congestion accelerate the move back into metropolitan-area interiors as more people crave greater convenience in their lives. They want to live closer to work and shopping without the hassle of car dependence. Higher-density residential projects with retail components will gain favor in the next round of building. Apartment and townhouse living looks more attractive, especially to singles and empty nesters—high utility bills, gasoline expenses, car payments, and rising property taxes make suburban-edge McMansion lifestyles decidedly less economical.

One of the most effective ways that we can help improve transportation system efficiency and create more sustainable communities is to provide multi-modal accessibility information to households when they are choosing a home to rent or purchase, so they can better understand these factors.

Several organizations have recently developed tools to help home-buyers optimize home locations based on accessibility and related costs. For example, various Google Maps applications can produce maps that show commute travel times for particular locations. WalkScore, BikeScore and Transit Score indicate accessibility by these modes, measured as the number of destinations that can be reached within a given travel time for a particular location.

This information can be presented in various ways, including modal accessibility ratings from zero to 100 for a particular address, heat maps which show modal accessibility for specific urban neighborhoods, and guidance for finding rentable apartments with particular accessibility features, such as acceptable commute travel times to a particular worksite by various modes.

The Housing + Transportation Index indicates the combined housing and transportation costs of a particular location, and therefore helps households make trade-offs between these costs, for example, between an urban-fringe location that has cheaper housing but higher transport costs and a more central location that has higher housing but lower transport costs.

These tools are multi-modal. In contrast, the INRIX corporation sells traffic congestion information so its new real estate evaluation tool only indicates automobile commute travel times and delay. This reflects the old planning paradigm, which assumes that “transportation” means driving, and “transportation problem” means traffic delay. The INRIX data is not bad, it is slightly more precise than other systems for predicting automobile travel times since it is based on their traffic data collection system, but it is important to recognize its limitations: it indicates nothing about other modes or costs, and so is a poor indication of overall accessibility or affordability.

Neighborhood Scout and Walkscore Neighborhoods provide information on other local conditions including crime, public school quality and past real estate value appreciation. Neighborhood Scout measures crime rates per square mile, which is pretty silly and inherently anti-urban because it implies, incorrectly, that denser areas are more dangerous. Walkscore Neighborhoods measures crime rates per capita, which is more accurate, but still fails to account for other factors such as land use mix (some types of crime are more common in commercial areas, so more mixed neighborhoods will seem to have higher crime rates than residential-only neighborhoods), and so is still somewhat anti-urban.

Home location decisions have significant impacts: more accessible and multi-modal home locations can provide direct savings and benefits to households, and indirect benefits to the larger community. New tools can help households understand and optimize these decisions. I hope that we will see expanded use of more comprehensive and multi-modal location optimization guidance systems.

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