In 1948, Thomas Dewey decimated his competition and won the New Hampshire primary. Since then, every single first place finisher, except for three, has represented Republicans on the ballot the following November. Winners include Dwight D. Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan and most recently, Mitt Romney.

The three exceptions? John McCain placed first in 2000, Pat Buchanan in 1996, and Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr. in 1964. In each of those years, the second-place finishers made the ballot.

In the modern era, the New Hampshire winner is the GOP nominee 82 percent of the time.

Democratic candidates who finished in the top two in New Hampshire have also represented their party on the ballot that fall, but that pattern has only been in place since 1972, and more second place Democrats have taken the nomination than Republican runner ups.

Since 1972, seven out of eleven Democratic winners in the Granite State primary have captured the nomination.

In 2012, Barack Obama finished first, but he was already the presumptive nominee. In the last truly contested New Hampshire primary in 2008, Hillary Clinton won.

It’s possible the former Secretary of State could find more success as the second-place finisher.

After all, if the historical data tells any story, it’s this: Hillary Clinton stands a greater chance of grabbing that final spot on your ballot, than New Hampshire’s Republican runner-up, John Kasich.