NBA Wins Over/Under

Posted on October 16 2018

Fortunately, it is that time of the year again. BASKETBALL. IS. BACK!!!! It couldn't have gotten here any sooner as the NBA bumped up their start date by a couple weeks but we aren't ones to complain. Over the next two days I will give my over/under win totals for each team in the league starting with the Eastern Conference today.

I've also enlisted the help of our 11 year old NBA Guru Luke Shoobridge. After watching some March Madness games with him last year I feel pretty confident that he will become an NBA GM when he grows up. We put his knowledge to the test and had him pick OVER/UNDER's for each team as well.

May the best man win!

WESTERN CONFERENCE

L.A. CLIPPERS- 36.5

Aaron Meyer: Unless
they get Butler this team is the Miami Heat west coast version. They
might not have the cap problems which sets them up for next year that does not
help them in any way this year the west is too loaded and they’re missing that
je nu se qua the essence just like the Heat. UNDER

Luke Shoobridge: Under

DALLAS MAVERICKS- 34.5

AM:
I’m
probably showing a bit of Doncic fanboy here but I like this team to be
sniffing around the playoffs. Jordan is better than Chandler was when they made
their finals run Mummy Dirk Dennis Smith Jr. and Doncic this might be my league
pass team. OVER

LS: Over

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES- 33

AM: This
one is another living dangerously pick because they are perpetually injured.
Like their rookie and just believe that if they can even have a bit of injury
luck they can win 35 games. OVER

LS: Over

PHOENIX SUNS- 29

AM: Hate
this team they just fired their GM. The just hired a new coach Booker has a
broken hand. Their rookie won’t make anyone better. UNDER

LS: Over

SACRAMENTO KINGS- 25.5

AM: This
team is the reason people hate analytics. They actually toyed with the idea of
playing 4 on 5 on Defense because they could keep a guy at the other end.
Instead they play 5 on 5 but it seams like 4 on 5 because their defense just sucks. I like a few of their players. Yogi’s on the team along with Bagely but if
you are relying on rookie’s, journeymen, a guy that’s torn both ACLs and Willy
Cauley Stein you’re going to be the worst team in the league. UNDER

LS: Under

UTAH JAZZ- 49.5

AM:
They
are getting lots of buzz for second best team out west. I agree if Gobert
stays healthy they will have a better regular season than the Warriors or the
Rockets if either of those teams has any bad luck. OVER

LS: Under

OKC THUNDER- 48.5

AM: People think that Melo was the problem. Unfortunately as much as I love him
I think it’s Russ. He’s a bit like Ayton he makes people better but on his
terms and he doesn’t always understand when to elevate his game and when to
elevate the game of his teammates. It was something Jordan had to learn too. Russ still doesn’t have it. UNDER

LS: Under

NEW ORLEANS PELICANS- 46

AM: Tough
saying UNDER but I think they will miss the guys they lost more than then know.
Rondo was just flat out good for them. I would have them right around 46 wins
on Davis alone but I do worry that if they start slow if the trade machine
really heats up on him.

AM: Jimmy
Butler. Also Andrew Wiggins got max money and he sucks. You have to love sports
where you can make 120 million dollars and absolutely not help your team win. Truly incredible. UNDER

LS: Over

SAN ANTONIO SPURS- 45

AM: Dejounte Murray out for the season with ACL hurts, Lonnie Walker out 6-8 weeks as
well. At some point then miss the playoffs after 21 years this is the year.
Spurs out. UNDER

LS: Over

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS- 42

AM: They
were the 3 seed last year. I don’t know why they would go backwards. Both of
their stars are in their prime and DAME Dollar is underrated again. He’s always
going back and forth but that guy is good. OVER

LS: Over

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS- 62.5

AM: Maybe
Boogie energizes them if he comes back even 75% of himself. If so then they get to
this number. Otherwise I don't think they get there. Regular season wins aren't the goal here. UNDER

LS: Over

HOUSTON ROCKETS- 56

AM:
Don’t
think they care about the regular season either. If they’re close to the one seed
they’ll go for it again but they need Chris Paul and Harden healthy to have a chance against the Warriors. UNDER

LS: Over

LOS ANGELES LAKERS- 48

AM:
Lebron
= 50 wins when he’s healthy. I don’t see this team being any worse than last
years Cavs team and should have at least a little less controversy. Though the hype machine will be at an all time high in LA-LA Land. OVER

LS: Over

EASTERN CONFERENCE

ATLANTA HAWKS- 24

Aaron Meyer: Hammer the UNDER on this one. Last year they had a coach Budenholzer who wanted to win this year there are no reservations. They are drawing a straight line to RJ Barrett or Zion.

Luke Shoobridge: Under

NEW YORK KNICKS- 28.5

AM: I’m confused by the Knicks. I’m going UNDER because Porzingas is their only real player but you never know with Knox who seems as predicted better than where he was drafted.

LS: Over

CHICAGO BULLS- 30

AM: I had this as over but I’m going UNDER with Lauri out for 6 weeks arresting his development I just don’t trust the coach the organization or the players It’s going to be another tough year.

LS: Over

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS- 30.5

AM: Whoa
unto the Cavs fans they’ve been writing themselves into the NBA finals for the
past 4 years no more. I’m going to take the slight OVER on Kevin Love and just
a carry over of Swag but they are on a downward trajectory and will end up out
of the playoffs.

LS: Over

BROOKLYN NETS- 30.5

AM:
Hangover
from the Celtics draft pick heist continues. They’ve got a few interesting
players but there is no team of the 30 teams outside of Sacramento that wants
to be described as having a few interesting players. OVER

LS: Under

ORLANDO MAGIC- 31

AM:
My
least favorite team. I hate everything they are doing. They are building the
Charlotte Hornets maybe even a worse version because at least the Hornets have
Kemba. UNDER

LS: Over

CHARLOTTE HORNETS- 35.5

AM:
This
one seems easy to me under trade Kemba to LA midseason and Tank for Zion or
RJ. UNDER

LS: Over

WASHINGTON WIZARDS- 44.5

AM: Competing
with the Lakers for the strangest team in the NBA. As Bill Simmons aptly named
him they have the Dwightbola virus, overweight heavy partying quickly aging
John Wall who still can’t shoot. Brad Beal who I love, Otto Porter who I always
forget is on the team Obre who is one of those talented but never quite gets
there guys destine to become the next Jeff Green oh and they have Jeff Green. UNDER

LS: Over

MILWAUKEE BUCKS- 47.5

AM:
Love
Giannis not sure I love anything else about this team. Giannis seems destined
to leave and join Kevin Durant in NYC. OVER

LS: Over

INDIANA PACERS- 48

AM: Long live Victor Oladipo! OVER

LS: Over

MIAMI HEAT- 41.5

AM: I'm going UNDER unless
they get Butler. 2nd highest payroll if you count Bosh’s salary which you can’t
really do but I’m sure they think about it when making decisions. Even
without him they have the 5th highest payroll and I just don’t know what this
team is. Embiid ruined Whiteside. They need Jimmy!

LS: Under

DETROIT PISTONS- 38

AM:
This one seems simple they are just too injury prone. I have no reason to
believe in them. UNDER

LS: Under

TORONTO RAPTERS- 55.5

AM: Love their versatility. I believe in Nick Nurse. There is some similarities between Toronto and Cleveland in year
1 where David Blatt had trouble with that team but only if Kawhi isn’t himself. I think
they will thrive though. And what if they decide to go for Jimmy? I know it’s
speculation but that could make two really interesting eastern conference
teams. OVER

LS: Under

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS- 54.5

AM: Love their versatility. I believe in Nick Nurse. There is some similarities between Toronto and Cleveland in year 1 where David Blatt had trouble with that team but only if Kawhi isn’t himself. I think they will thrive though. And what if they decide to go for Jimmy? I know it’s speculation but that could make two really interesting eastern conference teams. OVER

LS: Over

BOSTON CELTICS- 59

AM: I hate this team, I love this team. Though I desperately want them to fail I
love the way that they play basketball. Individually I love some of their
players. It’s a bit like Lebron. I’ve never been a fan of his teams but always
liked watching him play basketball. OVER