The following column by GAP Senior Advisor John Dragonetti is reprinted from
the March 2001 issue of The Professional Geologist, a publication of the
American Institute of Professional Geologists .
It is reprinted with permission.

In his continuing effort to assess the issue of high natural gas prices,
Senate Energy and Natural Resource Committee Chairman Frank Murkowski (R-Alaska)
conducted an unusual lame-duck hearing in mid-December. In his opening
comments the Chairman noted natural gas spot prices were escalating to
nearly four times higher than the previous year and that demand for the
energy source had been grossly underestimated. However, it appears
the hearing had the much broader purpose of setting the stage for the development
of a new GOP energy package to be introduced in the next session. Evidence
of this was apparent in Murkowski’s listing of a number of provisions he
intends to include during the 107th Congress. The most significant items
mentioned were increased access to natural gas deposits on federal lands,
accelerated permitting for pipeline projects, and extension of the Alaskan
Gas Pipeline project to the North Slope.

Earlier LegislationThe suggested provisions noted above reflect similar stipulations contained
in S. 2557, the National Energy Security Act of 2000, introduced during
the 106th Congress. This earlier effort included the creation of a heating
oil reserve for the northeastern United States; research on improving the
efficiency of coal burning power plants; accelerating the re-licensing
process for hydroelectric and nuclear power facilities; tax incentives
to encourage marginal well preservation; and affording tax credits to producers
of power from renewable energy sources. But the most contentious
item was the plan to open the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) to
oil exploration and development. This issue has long been a priority of
the petroleum industry and the Alaskan congressional delegation, and an
element of George W. Bush’s campaign strategy, but strongly opposed by
environmentalists who fear exploration in ANWR’s ecologically sensitive
coastal plain. Supporters of development contend modern drilling techniques
would minimize environmental damage, and flow in the Trans-Alaska Pipeline
System requires additional oil as the Prudhoe Bay deposits are depleted.

The HearingHeld exactly one year after the release of the National Petroleum Council
report on natural gas demand, the December 12th hearing provided senators
a chance to discuss short- and long-term actions that federal and state
governments can take. The witness list consisted of a representative
from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) – a neutral body within
the Department of Energy designed to perform statistical analysis – and
representatives from professional organizations: the American Gas Association,
the National Association of State Energy Officials, and the Natural Gas
Supply Association. The EIA representative explained that the current
tight natural gas market, especially in the Northeast, is the result of
a range of factors: relatively flat domestic gas production for the past
several years, expectation of a colder winter that would result in greater
demand, below normal gas storage levels, and tight supply conditions in
alternative fuel markets. The natural gas market is not expected
to recover quickly from these problems in part because the future growth
in natural gas demand is expected to rise sharply as new natural gas generators
are added to the national electricity grid. Combined, these factors
mean that the long-term natural gas market is going to remain in the headlines.
Murkowski and others noted that the domestic natural gas resources could
meet this demand but current federal regulations limit the accessibility
and marketability of these resources. Members agreed that one long-term
action within congressional oversight was access to federal lands for resource
development – as well as the actions suggested in the National Energy Security
Act of 2000. The representative from the National Association of
State Energy Officials suggested a short-term solution to the price spike
was to increase funding for the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program.

ConclusionThe experience last year in the northeast where heating oil shortages
caused prices to soar is likely to be revisited this year. High energy
prices could also affect the economy, which Federal Reserve Chairman Alan
Greenspan believes could bring on an economic slump. There is obviously
increased congressional interest in natural gas supply and demand. These
as well as other factors indicate that energy policy considerations are
on the rise. It, therefore, appears energy will be high on the congressional
agenda for the 107th session, and a subject for the incoming Administration
to address.

This column is a bimonthly feature written by John Dragonetti, CPG-02779,
who is Senior Advisor to the American Geological Institute’s Government
Affairs Program.

This article is reprinted with permission from The Professional
Geologist, published by the American Institute of Professional Geologists.
AGI gratefully acknowledges that permission.