Observational evidence does not support today's computer climate models, so there is little reason to trust model predictions of the future. Yet this is precisely what the United Nations did in creating and promoting Kyoto and still does in the alarmist forecasts on which Canada's climate policies are based. Even if the climate models were realistic, the environmental impact of Canada delaying implementation of Kyoto or other greenhouse-gas reduction schemes, pending completion of consultations, would be insignificant. Directing your government to convene balanced, open hearings as soon as possible would be a most prudent and responsible course of action.

While the confident pronouncements of scientifically unqualified environmental groups may provide for sensational headlines, they are no basis for mature policyformulation. The study of global climate change is, as you have said, an "emerging science," one that is perhaps the most complex ever tackled. It may be many years yet before we properly understand the Earth's climate system. Nevertheless, significant advances have been made since the protocol was created, many of which are taking us away from a concern about increasing greenhouse gases. If, back in the mid-1990s, we knew what we know today about climate, Kyoto would almost certainly not exist, because we would have concluded it was not necessary.

That's the global average for tropospheric temperatures shown at the top, with the northern hemisphere in the middle, and us colder cousins at the bottom. [Cambridge physicist Luboš Motl summarises here.] That 'El Nino' spike in 1988 aside, there's been nothing of note to deny down here.

"A Year of Vindication for Global Warming Skeptics":Rob Bradley from the Institute for Energy Research (one of those nasty members of the global warming "denial industry") has called 2006 a year of vindication for [global warming] skeptics. He summarises some of the recent highlights:

Alaska Cooling: According to data released on July 14, 2006 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the January through June Alaska statewide average temperature was "0.55F (0.30C) cooler than the 1971-2000 average."

Oceans Cooling: Another bombshell to hit the global warming alarmists and their speculative climate modeling came in a September article in the Geophysical Research Letters which found that over 20% of the heat gained in the oceans since the mid-1950s was lost in just two years...

Light Hurricane Season & Early Winter: Despite predictions that 2006 would bring numerous tropical storms, 2006's surprisingly light hurricane season and the record early start of this year's winter in many parts of the U.S. have further put a damper on the constant doomsaying of the global warming alarmists and their media allies.

Droughts Less Frequent: the claim that droughts would be more frequent, severe and wide ranging during global warming, has now being exposed as fallacious. A new paper in Geophysical Research Letters authored by Konstantinos Andreadis and Dennis Lettenmaier finds droughts in the U.S. becoming "shorter, less frequent and cover a small portion of the country over the last century."

Global Warming Will Not Lead to Next Ice Age : Fears that global warming could lead to the next ice age, as promoted in the 2004 Hollywood movie "The Day After Tomorrow" are also unsupportable. "...two different research teams present convincing evidence [ in Geophysical Research Letters ] that no slowdown is occurring whatsoever,"according to Virginia State Climatologist Patrick Michaels, editor of the website World Climate Report.

Study Shows Greenland's Ice Growing, Arctic warmer in 1930's than today:A 2005 study by a scientist named Ola Johannessen and his colleagues showedthat the interior of Greenland is gaining ice mass. Also, according to the International Arctic Research Institute, despite all of the media hype, the Arctic was warmer in the 1930's than today.

Polar Bears Not Going Extinct: Polar bears are not facing a crisis, according to biologist Dr. Mitchell Taylor from the Arctic government of Nunavut. "Of the 13 populations of polar bears in Canada, 11 are stable or increasing in number. They are not going extinct, or even appear to be affected at present," Taylor wrote on May 1, 2006.

"Inhofe Correct On Global Warming," by David Deming, geophysicist, adjunctscholar with the Oklahoma Council of Public Affairs http://www.ocpathink.organd associate professor of Arts and Sciences at the University of Oklahoma.

6 comments:

As was said on an episode of Penn & Teller's Bullshit on Monday, global warming is "bullshit". As they said on that episode, many of the same people that are claiming global warming is happening due to carbon dioxide were claiming decades ago that it would cause an ice age and they did this switch without pause for breath.