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Tarec “Sponge” Saffiedine (11-3) is coming off the biggest win of his career, a dismantling of Scott Smith. In that fight he showed diversity in his striking and his ability to stay on the outside. He is an impressive 3-1 inside of Strikeforce with his only loss coming to Tyron Woodley. In that bout Woodley was able to pull Saffiedine into fighting his game with grappling and clinch work.

Tyler “The Evolution” Stinson (21-7) was impressive in his Strikeforce debut knocking out Eduardo Pamplona in just fifteen seconds. He started by fighting regionally in Oklahoma and in just his third fight won the Masters of the Cage middleweight Championship. He is making a big step up in competition in his second Strikeforce appearance.

If Stinson (NA) wants to have success in this fight he’ll need to find it on the ground. Saffiedine (NA) is too well rounded and diversified on the outside. Saffiedine will keep this fight standing and pick apart Stinson with a mix of hands and feet on his way to victory.

Prediction – Tarec “Sponge” Saffiedine by way of unanimous decision

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Welterweight Bout

Tyron “T-Wood” Woodley vs. Jordan “Young Gun” Mein

Tyron “T-Wood” Woodley (9-0) has yet to be defeated and has fought within Strikeforce seven times. Of those four he finished three by submission and one via knockout. He possesses good standup but his real strength comes from his wrestling. He’s the type of fighter that likes to wear his opponents down with clinch work and grappling.

At 22 years old it’s hard to believe Jordan “Young Gun” Mein (23-7) is already a 30 fight vet. In his 23 wins Mein has shown well rounded skills finishing 13 fights via (T)KO and 7 by submission. His last bout was his Strikeforce debut where he finished Evangelista Santos in the third via TKO. He is riding a six fight win streak in large part because of his technical striking.

The key to this fight is whether or not Mein (NA) can keep his distance and land strikes from the outside. From a distance he will have the advantage but if he lets Woodley (NA) get in tight he’ll be in for a long night. Look for Woodley to use his athleticism to work his way to the inside, bully him up against the cage and grind out an ugly win.

Prediction – Tyron “T-Wood” Woodley by way of unanimous decision

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Light Heavyweight Bout

“King Mo” Mo Lawal vs. Lorenz “The Monsoon” Larkin

A former light heavyweight champion in Strikeforce “King Mo” Mo Lawal (8-1) is also a three-time U.S. Senior National Wrestling Champion. He has fought four times under the Strikeforce banner earning a record of 3-1. Lawal mixes heavy hands with a top shelf wrestling game to dominate position and stifle his opponents striking.

Lorenz “The Monsoon” Larkin (12-0) has impressively strung together twelve straight wins with three of them coming with Strikeforce. In his twelve fight career he has demonstrated heavy hands ending eight fights by (T)KO. He has also shown that he can win fights even outside of his comfort zone. Nick Rossborough was able to muscle him up against the cage and make it a match of who could control position. Larkin won the bout via unanimous decision.

Bottom line of this fight is that Larkin (NA) has never faced a wrestler like Lawal. It won’t be enough for Larkin to get backed up against that cage and grapple because if he does he’s going to get taken down. Lawal (NA) will stand and trade for as long as he feels comfortable. When he feels he is losing or getting hit too much look for him to take the fight to the mat and control position.

Prediction – “King Mo” Mo Lawal by way of unanimous decision

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Middleweight Bout

“Ruthless” Robbie Lawler vs. Adlan “Borz” Amagov

“Ruthless” Robbie Lawler (18-8, 1NC) has had problems stringing together wins as of late losing four of his last six. Lawler is a brawler preferring to stand and trade in wild exchanges. He’s the type of fighter that has one punch knockout power in both hands and will wade through punches to get into range.

Adlan “Borz” Amagov (9-1-1) hasn’t lost a fight since his debut in MMA. In his nine wins he’s only gone the distance three times and finished the other six by (T)KO. This will be his third appearance in Strikeforce having a split decision victory over Ronald Stallings and a knockout win over Anthony Smith.

Lawler’s (NA) recent troubles have come against opponents that could control him in grappling and the ground game. In last two bouts he hasn’t been able to showcase his punching power due to this. He’s not going to have the problem with Amagov (NA) who will most likely be happy to stand and bang. If Amagov wants this strategy to work he needs to stay on the outside to avoid the power punching of Lawler. But as the time ticks by it just adds to the odds of Lawler landing a big shot.

Prediction – “Ruthless” Robbie Lawler by way of TKO

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Middleweight Championship Bout

Luke Rockhold (Champion) vs. “The Dean of Mean” Keith Jardine

The first time Luke Rockhold (8-1) ever fought past the first round was his five round unanimous decision victory to take the middleweight title away from Ronaldo Souza. In his other seven wins he has finished with submissions six times and one TKO. Rockhold is currently 7-0 with Strikeforce and is set to make his first title defense.

A vet of the UFC “The Dean of Mean” Keith Jardine (17-9-2) is dropping down from his usual 205 for this fight. His fall from the UFC wasn’t graceful having lost four in a row before he was cut. Since his exit he has gone 2-1-1 and somehow got a title shot in a weight class he’s never fought in. Even though he’s had a tough few years his awkward style of standup can still present problems.

One big factor in this fight is how Jardine’s (NA) body will take to the weight cut. He has always fought at heavyweight and light heavyweight and now he’s asking his body to be at peak physical conditioning at 185. What we do know is Rockhold (NA) can take a punch and he proved he can excel when taken into deep waters. When Jardine begins to feel the standup getting away from him he will look to take this fight to the ground which is dangerous against such a crisp jiu-jitsu practitioner. Rockhold will test Jardine’s chin and end the vet’s night in disappointment.

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