So according to the above 538 Now-Cast, it looks likes Trumps outrageously obvious strategy of wooing the Bernie Supporters might actually be working?

From his report from the Democratic Convention, Sean Spicer, Republican National Committee, Communications Director, D.C. "The controversy at the DNC has also changed our plans a bit. When we started off, our goal was to talk today about the economic record of Hillary Clinton. We sort of pivoted immediately and started to double down on the chaos that’s here, and the division within the party. The message that we’re really trying to get across is that this is not about the DNC emails and one person resigning. This is about the deep ideological divisions in their party."

"After the interviews this morning, we did a press conference at our venue in Philadelphia. We had a bunch of our surrogates: Sen. Rick Santorum was here, RNC Chairman Reince Priebus was here and Jose Fuentes, the former attorney general of Puerto Rico, was here. Reporters got this bag of stuff we put together called “Hillary’s baggage.” On the outside, it lists all of her scandals on it. Inside is a cloth called her “Secret Server Wiper.” There’s also a pair of loaded dice that comes up for Hillary every time. Because you’ll never win, it’s just always about her."

Those Berni Bros better get used to the idea of working for under minimum wage. And they may want to rethink a few things before having sex since they or their gf's may or may not be able to have access to BC or abortions.

10:05 why does 9:41 need to stop speaking the truth. If bernie doesn't or can't get his 13,000,000 to vote Hillary then that is 13,000,000 less for her and do you not believe trump can't win this thing? EVERYONE has to get out and vote for HRC or life as we have known it and since the constitution was written will cease to be. DO NOT THINK FOR ONE MINUTE donald trump won't sell us out to Putin. The Donald is DEEP in debt to Putin and Putin's pals and he wants out from under that debt.

The bernie bros need to dry their eyes and soldier on to get Hillary elected not for Hillary and not for Bernie and not for me-they need to do it for the good of the country-for all of us!!!! I understand disappointment and their sadness however we HAVE to get Hillary elected and resoundingly defeat the trump train wreck!!!! Please.

No, it has nothing to do with the Bernie Supporters and everything to do with Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

http://michaelmoore.com/trumpwillwin/

"From Green Bay to Pittsburgh, this, my friends, is the middle of England – broken, depressed, struggling, the smokestacks strewn across the countryside with the carcass of what we use to call the Middle Class. Angry, embittered working (and nonworking) people who were lied to by the trickle-down of Reagan and abandoned by Democrats who still try to talk a good line but are really just looking forward to rub one out with a lobbyist from Goldman Sachs who’ll write them nice big check before leaving the room. What happened in the UK with Brexit is going to happen here. Elmer Gantry shows up looking like Boris Johnson and just says whatever shit he can make up to convince the masses that this is their chance! To stick to ALL of them, all who wrecked their American Dream! And now The Outsider, Donald Trump, has arrived to clean house! You don’t have to agree with him! You don’t even have to like him! He is your personal Molotov cocktail to throw right into the center of the bastards who did this to you! SEND A MESSAGE! TRUMP IS YOUR MESSENGER!And this is where the math comes in. In 2012, Mitt Romney lost by 64 electoral votes. Add up the electoral votes cast by Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. It’s 64. All Trump needs to do to win is to carry, as he’s expected to do, the swath of traditional red states from Idaho to Georgia (states that’ll never vote for Hillary Clinton), and then he just needs these four rust belt states. He doesn’t need Florida. He doesn’t need Colorado or Virginia. Just Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin."

"Stop fretting about Bernie’s supporters not voting for Clinton – we’re voting for Clinton! The polls already show that more Sanders voters will vote for Hillary this year than the number of Hillary primary voters in ’08 who then voted for Obama. This is not the problem. The fire alarm that should be going off is that while the average Bernie backer will drag him/herself to the polls that day to somewhat reluctantly vote for Hillary, it will be what’s called a “depressed vote” – meaning the voter doesn’t bring five people to vote with her. He doesn’t volunteer 10 hours in the month leading up to the election. She never talks in an excited voice when asked why she’s voting for Hillary. A depressed voter. Because, when you’re young, you have zero tolerance for phonies and BS. Returning to the Clinton/Bush era for them is like suddenly having to pay for music, or using MySpace or carrying around one of those big-ass portable phones. They’re not going to vote for Trump; some will vote third party, but many will just stay home. Hillary Clinton is going to have to do something to give them a reason to support her — and picking a moderate, bland-o, middle of the road old white guy as her running mate is not the kind of edgy move that tells millenials that their vote is important to Hillary. Having two women on the ticket – that was an exciting idea. But then Hillary got scared and has decided to play it safe. This is just one example of how she is killing the youth vote."

It's a 4-day convention with a nightly focus. Not every word needs to be thrown out there every day. The Dems are organized and putting on a far superior event, and they aren't using the GOP's everything-plus-the-kitchen-sink approach to get people listening. All the networks criticized the GOP convention's lack of organization and how the nightly themes weren't even really explored most of the time. The Dems know what they're doing.

I am appalled by the fucking asshole, Donald Trump. How these current numbers could be in his favor absolutely shocks me!

Cannot help but wonder how accurate this information is! Cable TV has been preaching anti Hillary Clinton for months - day in and day out - and it has had an effect even though the information has been horribly incorrect about her!

Those Americans do not represent me and Hillary Clinton has my vote...I've always favored her.

Trump will lead the country in the absolute wrong directions....there will be civil war, whites against the minorities, neighbor against neighbor (which is already occurring!), nuclear bombs used, more wars and on and on. Plus, he will rule as a Dictator - Hitler II!

There are three options on fivethirtyeight.com to look at: the Nowcast is what would happen if the election was held right now. At 14:00 7/26/16 it's Clinton 45.8%/Trump 54.2%. The Polling forecast show projected results on Election Day, using just polling data. Same time frame has Clinton ahead 53.2%/Trump 46.8%. The polling + forecast using polling data, plus historical and economic materials; Clinton leads that one 59.6%/Trump 40.4%. So, the Trump bump is already subsiding, and things look better for November. But...DO NOT BE COMPLACENT!! GET OUT THE VOTE!!!

Why do people believe these idiotic polls with results being shown almost on a daily basis? I think they are pure baloney and used only to create interest in the election and the disruption we are seeing and hearing!

Plus, we NEVER have a clue who they drew from for the various polls. They never identify a damned thing except the numbers as to pros and cons!

I've only involved myself in one poll via a call that came in on my land line in my home. AND, I purposefully answered the questions completely the opposite of what I actually believed and would do (as to voting)!

How many others have done the same thing to skew the information?

Vote your conscious, America and do your own research. Hillary Clinton has my vote and I can hardly wait to cast it!

Well said, Gryphen.If this isn't a wake up call, maybe Trump pushing "any of 'em, all of 'em buttons" would be.Or Trump blowing off NATO and aligning with Russia and China.... Hopefully, this is disturbing enough to get people fired up and off their butts.

Wait a minute! So Donald Trump think he knows more about Cory Booker than Cory knows about himself? Does Trump imagine he's God and therefore omniscient? (a rhetorical question, obviously. At this point, I wouldn't be surprised to hear Trump say that he created the world in 6 days and on the 7th day rested.)

I took this as a kind of warning to Booker. Like Trump has something on him. Of course he threatens to "spill the beans" (Heidi Cruz) as well as others frequently. I remember him arguing with George Stephanopolis . GS was saying the Birther thing and been debunked and tRump was saying he had sent a team of private eyes to Hawaii. The lying sack of shit said "you won't believe what they found out and he was going to reveal the results "very soon". GS said "why wait"? Im sure he knew it was all BS. What a repugnant subhuman being tRump it. When i saw the results of this poll it made it difficult to sleep last night.The American electorate are that goddamn stupid.

So now do y'all Clintonites calling for Sanders supporters to be put in their place get it? Clinton knows she needs all their votes. Take her lead and stop with the insults and complaining about the concessions and the roll call vote and whatever else they agree on to make things right with Bernie and his supporters. Because by doing these things, she's demonstrating leadership. She's demonstrating good faith that she's not just the candidate of people who supported her, she's going to represent the whole tent. All you who kept insisting Hillary is good and sweet and kind and good: she's showing it right now. Be good and sweet and kind and good yourselves.

Thank you for this very welcomed update. 77.3 vs. 22.66 % is more in line With what we would expect considering the lunacy of a Trumpelthinskin's presidency.

It's quite unnerving though to see how quickly and how erratically an electorate can react. If yesterday's numbers were real and if there really was a gigantic swing of the pendulum in favor of Trump for one day, let's imagine what would happen if there was a catastrophic terrorist attack on the eve of the election.

Come to think of it, would it be unreasonable to think that someone with a vested interest to see Trump in the White House could stage such an event? It's been done numerous times before.

No, I was mistaken -- Gryphen was reporting 538's now-cast and I was looking at the polls-plus model. In the now-cast, Clinton is still underwater. Fortunately, the election is not today or anytime soon.

Jesus Christ.This is very scary.We really have a lot of very stupid people in this country. Or, we have a lot of very ignorant mean people in this country.I think Hillary made a mistake by showing the kid with the illegal alien parents. This is what pisses people off. I work in a hopsital and illegals are killing us financially. I work in a place that must treat you if you show up in our Emergency department and illegals show up, a lot.We need to fix this in a humanitarian way but one in which US citizens are not left footing the bill, in all ways.

Illegals shows up a lot at your hospital. I agree with you 9:32 well screw them. The nerve of these people working below minimum wages, working three jobs and cleaning up after America and they get free medical aid? Tell them to go back to Canada.

Mistake to think that about the company that employs you. To them you're not an "us", you're a cost: labor & benefits. A number on a page. Too many people forget that with all the team bullshit in companies.

9:32 AM You have the wrong job, in fact you don't belong in any job that services people. Put on your pointy white coward's hood and pee-stained white sheet and go burn a cross to support your local trailer park trash.

9:38 AM - Sorry to burst your ignorant bubble, but Canadians have free healthcare and decent income and governmental help if necessary. And, if any Canadian is unfortunate enough to have to go to one of your hospitals, he or she pays the outrageous fees with his or her own travel medical insurance. Consider yourself lucky though because with the level of craziness that we see in the US right now, less and less Canadians will want to go to your country.

I agree with you 9:32, I know the exact same story and all the people responding to you, IGNORANTLY, have no idea what is going on. The illegals in many areas flock in droves to ER's and are essentially bankrupting hospitals.

And even worse, these illegals are LAUGHING at our system and how easy it is to take advantage of it. You morons are not going to wake up till it bites us all in the ass.

You have to show ID, driver's license, social security card, some form of ID if receiving treatment. If these people don't have a legit ID then they are still treated but the hospital knows that they are here without credentials.

I have to have insurance or pay a penalty on my federal taxes. My insurance is still high because it subsidized illegals and others without the ability to pay.

There has to be a solution to the illegal immigrant problem in this country and I think both parties are going to address it seriously.

I appreciate the people who responded with a reasonable tone and answer.YES they often speak no English.Often they have no ID.Piss off all of you who can not have a respectful critical thinking dialogue about a very real problem that pisses citizens off and leads them to VOTE for Drumpf.Sheeeeessh.By the way, I've been working for 31 years and am very successful so, yeah, I know what the fuck I'm talking about.

We need to screen out hospital workers better than we are now. One CAN be a legal immigrant that doesn't speak english, it doesn't make them financial killers of hospitals when they show up for care. First do no harm, quit and get a job at Taco Bell.

Some Bernie people were rude all night interrupting the speakers, although at least they shut up for the First Lady (so I guess I can have faith now that these Bernie supporters wouldn't do a God Hates Fags-style interruption of a funeral). It was also said on TV this morn that 95% of Bernie's people are now going to vote for Hillary. One reporter even said to make it 95.5%. They said they had walked around checking things out and asking people questions, and they said that the reporting going on about Bernie or Bust's numbers is so exaggerated. It's a story, but the numbers aren't there.

Some Bernie supporters, though, said that this isn't about Bernie. They are out to cause chaos. They acknowledged this. And Bernie finally realized it and this morning he had an event and did more to get people to see why what they're doing just doesn't make any sense.

Leaked emails show the Democratic National Committee scrambled this spring to conceal the details of a joint fundraising arrangement with Hillary Clinton that funneled money through state Democratic parties.

But during the three-month period when the DNC was working to spin the situation, state parties kept less than one half of one percent of the $82 million raised through the arrangement — validating concerns raised by campaign finance watchdogs, state party allies and Bernie Sanders supporters.

"In one recent incident, according to two sources, Wasserman Schultz was asked to place a call to Vice President Joe Biden to get him to help out the DNC. But instead of asking him to do a fundraising appearance and to lend his name to a digital campaign, she ended up discussing a fundraiser that the VP would do for her congressional campaign ― in order to help her with the hit she’d taken for supporting trade promotion authority and the Iran nuclear deal ― and whether he would attend or record a video for her daughter’s bat mitzvah."

"The departing chairwoman wanted to gavel in the convention Monday afternoon, even as officials from Hillary Clinton’s campaign urged her to reconsider, worried that Wasserman Schultz’s presence would produce an avalanche of boos from a crowd still reeling over leaked emails showing her DNC tipping the scales of the primary against Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). "

"She was using the post to advance her own career and not the party’s interests."

Some conservative sites were insinuating last night that the Dems aren't patriotic because there weren't flags on the stage. There was one on the screen throughout the night. They didn't need to line up a ton of flags like Trump did. I'm sure, too, that later on when it's Hillary's big night there will be a flag or two. But Hillary is going minimalist. I like it. I like that when she and Kaine made their first appearance together there was just one large flag behind them.

I also have to laugh comparing the stages. The GOP went for a set that made me think back to the 1990's when abstract shapes thrown together were considered art, and I was reminded of sheet foam pieces that decorated writing pens in the stores. The GOP would say that the Dems' stage is boring. No. It's just a stage that makes sense and does its job.

To the Bernie people, put how you aregoing to get what you are demanding first.Don't look at the vote as Hillary or Bernie, look at the vote as all you havefought for these months and the futureof the Supreme Court. Don't end up withnothing, cutting off your nose to spite your face.VOTE your demands being met with the VOTE!Presidents come and go,butBernies revolution you are wanting has to startsomewhere and the start is the White Houseunder a Democratic President. I realizesome of your demands were not met, butunder Trump , none will be. What allPresident Obama has accomplished for all minorities and non minorities willbe shredded . You just try and get yourrevolution even started again under Trump. REMEMBER WHAT HE CALLED ALL OF US . I AM AWHITE FEMALE, AND I AM ALSO A MINORITY. If you Bernie people let Trump win this,then you have shown yourselves to be traitors to your leader, Bernie Sanders!You love him, then why do you want to kill him!!!! Keep your leader lifted up!!!!He is very old . Don't break his heart!!!!Hillary will not let you down. She isthe candidate for all of us!

@10:35 I knew you clinton people were setting up us bernie people to blame us for Hillary's loss. You need to up your game to get the vote out and Hillary needs to invigorate the passion in voters. Remember obama's "yes we can" and hope and change. It's not too late to man up.

CforP Trumpbots have already fallen in line, are these people sheep or what?--------------------------------

spfarmy1 • an hour agoI found my alternative to Yahoo News. It's PravdaReport.com. Hard to believe the Russian website is better than Yahoo News but try it and you'll see why. And maybe we should call Hillary "Hillary Merkel".

Just found yet another terrific site...sputniknews.com. I bookmarked this one immediately.

I'm questioning Nate Silver's info 'big time' this election season! He's adding to the lack of calmness we are seeing. Is it intentional? Who pays him and who specifically asked for the information that is being published?

The Republican top 1% business guys perhaps?

I do not see Trump winning this election. Too many are very, very aware he'd be a total disaster for our country! He'd bring a dictatorship style of government, promote racism which would bring neighbor against neighbor (already occurring!) and possible civil war within our own country. Trump is an ugly American and will never represent me. I find him literally to be un-American!

Nate Silver wrote this about the Now-cast as he looked at the GOP convention bump.

"We don’t usually spend a lot of time writing about the now-cast because — uhh, breaking news — the election is scheduled for Nov. 8. The now-cast is super aggressive, and can overreact to small swings in the polls. But it’s useful if we want to get a snapshot of what the election looks like right now. "

Nate Silver isn't above getting attention for himself. He enters poker tournaments based on his talent for probabilities and as you can see he's such a good poker player that he still has to work at a day job.

When you go bankrupt and play games with banks, they stop lending you money because your credit is shot. There was an article a few days ago, sorry I didn't keep the link, but they were implying Trump didn't show his taxes because he's been dealing with russian banks. I wouldn't put it past them.

About Me

This blog is dedicated to finding the truth, exposing the lies, and holding our politicians and leaders accountable when they fall far short of the promises that they have made to both my fellow Alaskans and the American people.