So far most models see Telim making landfall basically on my roof. A couple show it steering further North and dodging Taiwan by a hair.
If weather forecast was a democracy, we’d be screwed.
Apparently there’s still a bit of hope but time is running out, it needs to speed up the steering process by a lot if he wants to visit Japan.

Windy(ty) only uses two models: for ECMWF my house is fotbar, for GFS this typhoon will not make landfall in Taiwan.

The majority of other models agree with ECMWF, so landfall in Hualien/Yilan, but this doesn’t mean that GFS has 0% chance of being correct.

Friday’s weather will depend on which of the several models is correct: if the typhoon makes landfall in Taiwan on Wednesday night, then Friday should be fine. If it keeps steering North it will remain in typhoon-status longer due to the reduced interaction with our mountains.

Wow, the storm sped up a bit. The eye is now supposed to pass north of Taiwan Wednesday morning instead of hitting Taiwan on Wednesday night. If the current forecast keeps, there might be flight cancellations on Wednesday.