About the only good thing that the Buffalo Bills can say coming into this week’s matchup with the Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium is that they are coming off of their bye week and should be ready for the game. However, Houston is also coming off of its bye, and it will be amped up to get back to action in its chase for the top seed in the AFC playoffs. Buffalo is a 10-point underdog on the NFL odds in Week 9, and if the history continues to follow it, this could be a long game for the visitors.

Over the course of the last two and a half seasons, the Bills have been underdog by at least nine points four times. This stretch started in 2010 when they were +9 against the New England Patriots at home, only to lose 34-3. Last year, their one game as double-digit dogs ended in a 49-21 loss to the same Pats, while earlier that year, a road game against the New York Jets ended in a cover in a 28-24 defeat. This year though, the only time that Buffalo was catching this many points was the team’s most disastrous loss on the season, a 45-3 romp at the hands of the San Francisco 49ers.

All told, the Bills are 0-4 SU and just 1-3 ATS in their last four games when they are dogs of this type.

To make matters even worse, the last time that the Bills played against the Texans was at Ralph Wilson Stadium in 2009. Houston came out that day as 3 ½-point favorites and smacked the hosts 31-10 in a game in which little known RB Ryan Moats rushed for 126 yards and three TDs.

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