Bowl Projections: Oregon vs. One-Loss Auburn? Yes.

One weekend left of college football—it's Championship Saturday—everything will be set in stone this weekend and my bowl projections have a lot on the line in the Auburn-South Carolina SEC Championship Game as far BCS bowl projections go.

Today, some bowl announcements have trickled out and some I had projected, some I didn't; so, here are my now updated bowl projections.

2010 College Football Bowl ProjectionsAnd for fun, I'll pick a winner in the projected game.

If South Carolina pulls my projected upset over Auburn Saturday, things should be intact for the most part, but if Auburn wins:

1. put Auburn in the national championship game 2. move TCU to the Rose Bowl 3. Move Stanford to the Orange Bowl in Auburn's slot 4. Put South Carolina in the Outback Bowl versus Penn State and 5. Put Arkansas in the Sugar Bowl in South Carolina's spot.

With Texas A&M accepting a surprising invite to the Cotton Bowl the potential Big 12 Championship Game loser is now knocked out of that game. With A&M in the Cotton Bowl now, the loser of the Big 12 Championship game could end up in the Holiday Bowl, where Washington is projected to be the opponent.

The thing is, Nebraska played Washington in a dominating win earlier this season and the Holiday Bowl won't take a Neb-Wash. rematch, so if it's Nebraska that's available, they'll likely end up in the Insight Bowl with Missouri moving from the Insight Bowl to the Holiday Bowl. That's the change I made above in my projections.

Should a one-loss Auburn claim the No. 2 spot in the BCS over TCU?

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Should a one-loss Auburn claim the No. 2 spot in the BCS over TCU?

Yes

56.0%

No

44.0%

Total votes: 91

Now, if Oklahoma is the loser of the Big 12 Title Game instead of Nebraska, then I think the Sooners will play Washington in the Holiday Bowl and Missouri will stay in the Insight Bowl against Michigan while Nebraska will represent the Big 12 in the Fiesta Bowl.

Also announced was that East Carolina will play in the Military Bowl and Southern Miss will play in the St. Petersburg Bowl. Both of those projections won't change.

One more change I made was moving LSU to the Capital One Bowl and Arkansas to the Cotton Bowl if the Razorbacks don't make the Sugar Bowl. Again, that hinges on whether South Carolina does or does not beat Auburn.

If South Carolina loses, I see them in the Outback Bowl versus Penn State, and Alabama will move to the Capital One Bowl while LSU, I think, will go to the Cotton Bowl.

I'm not a fan of rematches in bowl games unless it's an intriguing situation. Houston vs. Air Force in the past was not an intriguing situation. But this year, a potential Alabama-Penn State Outback Bowl if South Carolina beats Auburn, could be great.

It would sell a lot of tickets despite being a rematch. It's a different Penn State team and a different Alabama team than the ones that played each other in Week 2. I think Penn State-Alabama in the Outback would be better than a 2009 rematch of Penn State and LSU.

And let me just reiterate, that I like a potentially one-loss Auburn team better than an undefeated TCU. Auburn-Oregon is going to be such an entertaining game. I feel like Auburn is meant to win a national title, but I like South Carolina in the SEC Championship. The Gamecocks should have beaten Auburn the first time back in September. If this game is close, South Carolina will win. Either that, or this is an Auburn double digit win.