Polling Suggests Narrow Race for Governor One Month Out

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BURLINGTON, VT — In recent weeks, the Vermont Democratic Party has commissioned a statewide poll conducted by Tulchin Research — the firm rated among the most accurate by the Democratic National Campaign Committee (DCCC) independent expenditure program. The poll was conducted between September 23-26 with a sample size of 406 likely Vermont voters.

After months of steady decline in Phil Scott’s popularity, it should come as no surprise that in a head-to-head match up Christine Hallquist and Phil Scott are locked in a statistical tie, with Hallquist at 42% and Scott at 50% — well within the 4.9% margin of error. Of respondents who said they would definitely vote this November, the gap narrows to Hallquist 44%, Scott 47%.

In another notable head-to-head match up, our data finds Bernie Sanders with a 55 point lead over his Republican challenger. Sanders also enjoys a 75% favorability rating.

The Lieutenant Governor, David Zuckerman, has also earned a sizable lead of 38 points over his Republican challenger: Zuckerman 65%, Turner 27%.

Not only does our polling data serve to verify that Governor Scott is losing support and is increasingly out of touch with everyday Vermonters, the numbers further highlight the success and popularity of all Democrats up and down the ballot.

We are encouraged by these numbers and look forward to sharing further analysis of this data by Tulchin Research in the coming days.