These scenarios were alluded to briefly in this author's "America Dismantled in Fifty Years," Occasional Papers, Issue # 3, 1999. Scenario 3 (secession of states) was earlier amplified
in detail in my articles, "New American Nations" (OP #1, 1997) and "Racial Separation in a New America" (OP #2, 1998). See also Footnote 20.