Working? A Republican Anti-Poverty Plan Works?

“The federal EITC, together with the Child Tax Credit, lifted nearly 200,000 Virginians out of poverty each year from 2011 to 2013, including nearly 100,000 children.”

Lifted out of poverty. Let that sink in a minute. The writer of that sentence is admitting that the federal Earned Income Tax Credit lifts people out of poverty. And it wasn’t even part of President Lyndon Johnsons’ Great Society but was enacted in the era of GOP Presidents Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford.

I lifted the sentence out of a report on the website of the Commonwealth Institute for Fiscal Analysis, which was called to my attention by a piece distributed this morning by Virginia Mercury. The people at the Commonwealth Institute also recognize that Virginia is poised for a long-needed discussion on tax policy, thanks to the opportunity provided by the major changes at the federal level. It would be a perfect time to discuss again a refundable state version of the EITC, which the state has resisted because of the cost.

The federal EITC is refundable, meaning if the taxpayer has not paid in as much in taxes as the credit, the unused balance of the credit is paid out in cash just like a refund. Virginia’s EITC is just a credit, and if the credit is larger than the tax owed the tax bill goes to zero but there is no cash-back refund.

The 2018 General Assembly defeated the most recent effort to convert the credit, House Bill 716. The fiscal impact statement put on an incredibly high quarter-billion dollar price tag, which I suspect is wrong. If it is not inflated, Virginia should be ashamed it is taking that much tax away from low-income families.

The Commonwealth Institute report noted that just over 80 percent of eligible Virginia taxpayers are claiming the federal credit, meaning almost 20 percent are ignoring it. Even without converting it, it probably makes sense to get more people to file. The size of the credit is tied to income and family size, and it’s possible many of the people taking a pass wouldn’t have much of a credit anyway.

When it suits some advocates for low-income programs, they ignore the real value of existing efforts that do provide cash or services to that population. Note that the child tax credit is also mentioned as important, and other programs not listed keep people above abject poverty abound, supplemented by private efforts. Do the poor have it easy in this country? Hardly. But the entire picture needs to be seen.

As Virginia stumbles quietly toward a tax debate over whether and how to conform to the new IRS rules, a state refundable EITC deserves to be one of the big ideas.

Failed in House Finance subcommittee without a recorded vote. A purely partisan set of sponsors, which would be the first thing I changed if anybody paid me to work the bill :). If we do get into a discussion of this as part of the conformity debate, the key will be whether the Northam administration likes the idea of making it refundable in VA.

But I’m going to utter a blasphemous thought and that is that the amount of the credit is really not enough to pay complete expenses of raising a child and since we’re talking about people who do work but don’t earn much more than poverty wages… what are we really achieving?

So here’s my ugly thought – does the EITC encourage people who live in poverty to have kids and essentially continue the cycle of poverty for themselves and their kids, if they can’t afford to live in a neighborhood with a GOOD school.. i.e. the kids are going to schools with high numbers of kids living in poverty and the SOLs are terrible across the board?

Don’t misunderstand – I’m NOT calling to end the EITC .. but I’m asking … is it another one of those things with good intentions that implements badly?

Medicaid actually pays for 1/2 of ALL births… How many who have kids and Medicaid would not pay – would be even further in debt and poverty?

See.. I fully expect Conservatives and GOP to take this idea of EITC having unintended outcomes and turn it around to say – it should be repealed and nothing else done in it’s place.. just do away with it….. like they would Obamcare and the Medicaid Expansion?

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