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Beat the Streak Report: Weekend, June 24-26

So remember all that stuff we said about how Thursday would be one of the hardest days of the season for Streak picks?

Well, umm, we may have overstated it a little bit.

As it turned out, five of your top six picks converted — including the top three — advancing a hefty 62.6 percent of all selectors in the process. Jose Reyes was responsible for over half of that total by himself, achieving national hero status with a 2-for-4 effort against the A’s.

The weekend’s full slates presents a less challenging picking environment, but Interleague matchups should always be approached with caution. Play safe, don’t run on the pool deck and feel free to reap the wisdom of …

Current leader sebringt and co-pilot jonroy73 both survived yesterday thanks to Ichiro Suzuki. The sebring is now parked at 36 games, meaning things are about to get super-serious if they make it through the weekend.

Highest “No Selection” 😛 pg# 3 with streak of 20 back to zero.
Yesterday’s Top2500 Reset rate was 24.68% with ICHIRO reseting the most.
There was also 5.72% PPD due to players not playing. These streakers do not reset, but did not increase either.
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Highest “No Selection” 😛 pg# 4 with streak of 17 back to zero.
Yesterday’s Top2500 Reset rate was 37.04% with ICHIRO & CANO reseting the most.
There was also 7.24% PPD due to players not playing. These streakers do not reset, but did not increase either.
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Sometimes this game is so frustrating for people that know baseball inside & out. For example, I’m doing pretty good with a season streak rate about 80%; though my longest streak is just 10. My wife on the other hand: barely knows the sport at all; couldn’t tell you whether a team name you gave her was in baseball, football, whatever. How does she make her picks? Honestly I don’t know her selection method; though she does pick just from the “picks o’day”. What’s her streak rate? About 10% less than mine. What’s her current streak? 7 more than me. Ugh! Don’t even get me started with the teasing that goes on 😦

Not saying those that picked Gonzalez were lucky; think he was a great pick today.
But the wife wouldn’t have picked him if he wasn’t a pick o’day ’cause she never heard of him. How many other baseball novices or no-nothings out there got lucky today? You’d think it would even out over the long-haul. No-nothings don’t make it too high in the standings, ever; but I’ll see, as this is her 1st year playing the game & just started this month. A bit sour today I know. After yesterday’s Ichiro failure and her Ellsbury pick homering on 4th AB & Fielder’s last AB hit the day before, the jabbing is actually quite painful. However, if she is so fortunate to make any money on this game, then all is forgiven

As discussed, this a primarily a game of luck. You can study matchups, general confidence, weather reports, wind direction, or player biorhythms ad nauseum.

But we end up seeing late scratches or rests, pitchers getting pulled early for relievers with less-suitable matchups for your pick, rain-shortened games, injuries, Matt Kemps, intentional walks, safe on errors, etc etc. Pick and hope, is all we can do. Knowing the game will slightly increase your odds, but it’s marginal.

But knowing the game is what makes it frustrating. I about as much of cricket as my wife does baseball. If I were in some cricket BTS type of game and lost streaks, I can tell you I wouldn’t mind nearly as much ’cause I didn’t know what I was doing in the first place. Anyway; that’s kinda what I was getting to about this game being frustrating

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