6.
Urban Population Growth and Disaster Vulnerability (a) a For this and all following tables, mathematical equation for first average is: Mean1=∑x/n b For this and all following tables, mathematical equation for second average is: Mean2= ∑x - (xMax+ xMin)/n – (nMax+ nMin) MEGACITIES ISTANBUL Risk Urban Vulnerability Analysis I I Higher Urban Growth Higher Human Losses International Disaster and Risk Conference May 30 – June 3, 2010 Davos, Switzerland

17.
A new residential complex in Kadıköy (2003) Kadıköy “ Even in such a sensitive municipality, we are also a unit under the department of environment. The institutions do not have any law, any actuality about this matter.” M. Bilgin (Disaster Management Project, Kadıköy Municipality) MEGACITIES ISTANBUL Risk Urban Vulnerability Analysis II

- Annual Growth Rate: ‰ 2

GDP Rank in Istanbul: 3 rd

Unemployment Rate: % 6

Higher Education rate: % 23

Rate of Projected Heavy Damage to Number of Buildings (JICA 2002): %4.16

- Percentage of insurance purchase: %64

International Disaster and Risk Conference May 30 – June 3, 2010 Davos, Switzerland

18.
Buildings in Zeytinburnu (2003, 2004) Zeytinburnu “ The problem is that the damaged buildings are without construction licences and are at odds with development plans. Out of 15,000 buildings, 2000 of them were built illegally after 1980 amnesty laws. There are an additional 200 buildings that are pardoned by amnesty laws. “ M. Yıldırım (Civil Engineer, Zeytinburnu Municipality) MEGACITIES ISTANBUL Risk Urban Vulnerability Analysis II

- Annual Growth Rate: ‰ 40

GDP Rank in Istanbul: 6 th

Unemployment Rate: % 6.8

Higher Education rate: % 4

Rate of Projected Heavy Damage to Number of Buildings (JICA 2002): %13.22

- Percentage of insurance purchase: %31

International Disaster and Risk Conference May 30 – June 3, 2010 Davos, Switzerland

19.
Apartment buildings in Avcılar (2003, 2004) Avcılar “ There is a confusion of authority. Everybody considers the event from their point of view. This view brings distress as well as consumption of time and efforts.“ S. Yalçınkaya (Chief Urban Planner, Avcılar Municipality) MEGACITIES ISTANBUL Risk Urban Vulnerability Analysis II

- Annual Growth Rate: ‰ 61

GDP Rank in Istanbul: 14 th

Unemployment Rate: % 7.4

Higher Education rate: % 7

Rate of Projected Heavy Damage to Number of Buildings (JICA 2002): %14.08

- Percentage of insurance purchase: %49

International Disaster and Risk Conference May 30 – June 3, 2010 Davos, Switzerland