A more stable political environment and progress on the IMF program should help economic growth to pick up pace throughout the year. However, the economy will remain in a fragile state and the recovery is expected to be modest compared to last year’s pace of decline. The FocusEconomics panel sees the economy growing 1.2% this year, which is up 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2017, the panel sees GDP growth accelerating to 2.5%.