Defeated Incumbents, 1994 U.S. House Elections

Republican candidates defeated 34 incumbents in 1994. Only seven were in districts
where Bill Clinton ran ahead of his 43% national average in 1992. Of those seven
districts, four were taken back by Democrats in 1996, while Republicans held onto 25 of
the other 27. Overall in 1994, Republicans took over only 10 of the 153 districts then
held by Democrats where Clinton received above his national average, but nearly half -- 46
-- of the 101 seats Democrats had held in districts where Clinton ran below his national
average. Three of 1992's untouchable incumbents lost, although two of the three (Jill Long
in IN-4 and James Bilbray in NV-1) barely met the definition. Neal Smith's defeat in
Iowa-4 was perhaps the single biggest surprise. David Price (NC-4) was the only incumbent
to lose who had won by at least 25% in 1992 -- the average margin of victory in all 1992
House races had been 31%.

Republican Wins (34)

Seat

Winning %

Spending Edge?
(Yes/No)

Clinton
1992

Incumbent Vote
Margin, 1992

Untouchable?
(Yes/No)

AZ-6

55%

No

37% (-6)

12%

No

CA-1

53%

No

46% (+3)

3%

No

CA-19

57%

No

38% (-5)

1%

No

CA-49

49%

No

43% (0)

8%

No

GA-7

52%

No

38% (-5)

15%

No

GA-10

65%

Yes

39% (-4)

8%

No

ID-1

55%

No

30% (-13)

21%

No

IL-5

54%

No

51% (+8)

18%

No

IN-4

55%

Yes

31% (-12)

24%

Yes

IN-8

52%

No

42% (-1)

7%

No

IA-4

53%

Yes

43% (0)

25%

Yes

KS-4

53%

No

33% (-10)

10%

No

KY-1

51%

No

48% (+5)

21%

No

NE-2

50%

No

32% (-11)

2%

No

NV-1

48%

No

43% (0)

20%

Yes

NH-2

51%

No

40% (-3)

26%

No

NJ-8

50%

No

45% (+2)

6%

No

NY-1

53%

No

38% (-5)

3%

No

NC-3

53%

No

39% (-4)

11%

No

NC-4

50%

No

47% (+4)

31%

No

OH-1

56%

No

43% (0)

8%

No

OH-6

51%

Yes

39% (-4)

1%

No

OH-19

48%

No

40% (-3)

5%

No

PA-13

49%

No

44% (+1)

1%

No

TX-9

52%

No

44% (+1)

10%

No

TX-13

55%

No

36% (-7)

21%

No

UT-2

46%

Yes

31% (-12)

4%

No

VA-11

53%

Yes

42% (-1)

5%

No

WA-1

52%

No

42% (-1)

13%

No

WA-3

52%

No

42% (-1)

12%

No

WA-4

53%

Yes

35% (-8)

2%

No

WA-5

51%

No

40% (-3)

10%

No

WA-9

52%

No

42% (-1)

9%

No

WI-1

49%

No

41% (-2)

1%

No

Produced in July 1997 by
The Center for Voting and Democracy
PO Box 60037, Washington, DC 20039