BGA Extra: Jets at Jaguars

This analysis is based on watching and re-watching TV footage. As such, it is not always possible to accurately determine everything that was going on. However, every effort has been made to ensure that the information below is as complete and correct as possible. For the purposes of BGA Extra (but not BGA, since that is too early in the week), I have also reviewed the coaches film, which was available for every play (whereas last year, it was only available for big plays). Statistics from PFF which are not available to subscribers were used in the completion of this article and we thank them for providing us with exclusive access to these.

Welcome to BGA Extra, where I draw a line under the previous weekend's game by responding to your questions from BGA during the week. After the jump, I respond to your questions about Sunday's game against the Jags. If you would like your questions answered in future, remember to read my BGA game breakdowns every Monday and leave your question in the comments section.

@SimonOnSports (via twitter)Is there a way to get a % of QB Sack-Fumble ratio? It like Sanchez drops the ball on hits at a higher rate than others?

I couldn't find anyone who tracks this, so I compiled it myself. Sanchez is number six with 11 fumbles and 30 sacks. Matt Cassel is the worst, with nine fumbles in 19 sacks. Mike Vick, Robert Griffin, Nick Foles, Josh Freeman and Colin Kaepernick are also ahead of Sanchez. Most of those are guys that try to extend plays by scrambling.

This highlights one immediate limitation of the stat and that's the fact that nobody splits out fumbles that occur when running the ball and those suffered when trying to pass - although a lot of time, the scramble will come as a result of pressure. For example, only three of Sanchez's fumbles came on running plays - which would include any fumbled snaps. By contrast NINE of Griffin's 11 fumbles were on running plays, so actually his fumble per sack rate would be much lower than I calculated.

Fumbling the ball is one thing, but actually losing fumbles is another. In that category, Sanchez is fourth, with Cassel, Jake Locker and Ryan Lindley ahead of him (in that order).

I'd like to take it a step further. We already know Sanchez gives up a lot of sacks relative to how often he is under pressure. As a direct comparison, Sanchez was under pressure 175 times last year and sacked 35 times - once every five times. Eli Manning was under pressure 342 times and only sacked 42 times - once every 8.1 times...or far less often. Sanchez has the third worst sack percentage this year (behind Aaron Rodgers and Andy Dalton) and is dead last for accuracy when pressured. So, what about fumbles relative to how often you're under pressure?

That's where Sanchez finds himself comfortably in second place (for both fumbles and fumbles lost). He still can't oust Cassel from the top spot, but otherwise he's in more danger of fumbling when pressured than any other quarterback in the league right now.

As for who excels in these categories, it's exactly who you'd expect. Tom Brady hasn't lost a fumble all year and Peyton Manning has only fumbled twice, although he's also been under pressure less than almost everyone else. While it's an inexact science due to the limitations of the data source, I think these numbers are concrete enough to statistically represent what we all already knew - Sanchez's pocket presence is not good.

Led[In the image you shared] I think Lowery is in good position to make the tackle, possibly for a loss, if Greene tried to cut it outside to the left on the one play that's pictured. I can't knock Greene for that decision. With this offense, better to get a couple yards than lose 3.

The image doesn't really show this, but at the time I made the screen grab, Lowery was kind of on his heels having bluffed a blitz. Greene definitely would have been able to turn the corner and even if Lowery was able to make the open field tackle, I'm certain his momentum would have got him a couple of yards, which was never going to happen if he just ran into the pile like he did.

LedWho do you think was at fault when they gave up the 4th and 15 conversion at the end of the game? Rex was livid. I think it was probably the slot corner not getting enough depth, but I'm not sure.

Wilson was on the slot receiver. He gave Shipley a huge cushion, ran with him and then slowed up and turned around to look for the ball which ended up going over his head. The two safeties, Landry and Bell were both deep, and the receiver on each sideline ran a clear out route so they were drawn far enough out of the middle. Nobody else ran any kind of underneath route so there was no reason for Wilson to pass the receiver off to the two deep guys.

Joeyboy79Here is another truth. I am not letting the defense off the hook. Here is another unrealistic stat. The Jets are now ranked as a #6 defense but are they truly a #6?

Yes.

WillieA couple of questions, from watching the game. It so looks to me like Kyle Wilson operates so much better in zone concepts then man coverage. He also is a pretty decent tackler. Any chance the Jets could consider moving him to free safety? Second question, with the strength on the jets D being D line and secondary, do you think the Jets would consider utilizing a big nickel (3 safety look) as a base defense next year? I mean Bell and Allen look like good in the box safeties.

The three safety look is certainly something that the Jets employ often and against certain pass first teams (which are becoming increasingly popular), they could end up in nickel all the time, so that could pretty much end up being their base defense anyway. With most of their linebackers set to leave at the end of the year, that could be a good option. As for Wilson, I'm not sure about him being better in zone than man - he does seem to get confused a lot because the Jets mix up man and zone. Maybe a simpler role (like deep safety) could be something he'd handle well. Not a bad idea.

NickyboomboomDo you think Reuland should play more fullback? It seems when watching that Lex Hillard is kinda inconsistent.

You're absolutely right that Hilliard is inconsistent. However, Reuland is pretty inconsistent too. I think Reuland has more upside as a blocker and if you have a third TE that can line up in the backfield, that does save you a roster spot. I wonder where Josh Baker fits in? I like him too.

GODALLASDo you really think the Jets should mess around with Cromartie at WR like you mentioned? Seems like too big a gamble to have him go both ways when hes been doing such a good job for us.

It's a huge gamble, but it's all hands to the pump at this stage of the season. You'll also notice guys like Harris and Landry playing special teams. Cromartie has unbelievable physical gifts. He showed in the Houston game that he could get deep and with the Jets' difficulties on offense, a contribution like that could be a big deal for them.

ReprocityIf we were playing the Ravens, would Rex have Started Sanchez? Any reason you didn't mention the hospital pass to Kerley in the flat a la Pennington style?

I don't think Sanchez would have started if it was a home game either. No particular reason I didn't mention that play, but you just did to save me the job!

FloridaJetFansince67On the 36 yd completion to Cumberland what defense were Jags in? It was 3rd and 8 from the 13. They must have expected us to run the ball there. Who should have covered him (if you can tell)?

It was the most basic zone you could ever expect to see over the middle. Both safeties were pretty deep and ran even deeper as it became obvious Sanchez was going to throw. The linebackers all dropped a few yards and Cumberland initially ran down the seam then broke towards the deep post and Sanchez threw the ball in the gap over the linebacker's heads and in front of the safeties that were too deep. Maybe Pozluzsny could have dropped quicker (it went right over his head and he was slightly deeper than the two OLBs) or maybe the safeties shouldn't have been so deep. It had to be an accurate throw though - and who can blame the Jags for relying on a defense that needed an accurate throw to beat it?

dgrayThe defense has been playing better over the last several weeks, but I still worry about the run defense. While they had a truly dominant performance against the Cards - a large part of that can be attributed to the rookie QB performance, where the Jets knew that they could over commit to the run without much worry of the passing game coming back to haunt them. I was actually troubled by the Jags running game. They were using running backs so far down on their depth chart and still getting great results (24-123) ... It seems like the team is just not up to the level of run defense it has had in the past. Pouha has been fighting through injury, but too often the unit seems out of place. I wonder whether Ellis, Couples and Wilkerson have anything to do with this. Are they over zealous in trying to create pressure? Do they lose leverage early? How do you explain the difference when compared to the dominant run defense in years past (when no-name linemen seemed to have more control)? Some of it might be Scott and his deterioration, but does that explain most of it? Does the d-line coaching change have anything to do with this? It seems to me that the defensive line (while getting better over the several weeks) still isn't at the level over the last few years. Do you agree and what is the way to get back to that level?

Scott and Harris aren't playing as well as they have in the past, but I think the biggest difference from last year has been Po'uha. He's played okay, but nowhere near as good as last year, where he was consistently disruptive even when doubled. That's entirely attributable to his injuries, but I don't know whether we can expect him to get over those.

On Sunday, I did notice some of the linemen looking to generate pressure as you described and I think that was by design. They were prepared to allow the Jags to have some success running the ball, as long as they could pressure the quarterback (which they did at a higher rate than any other game all year) to limit Henne's production, which they saw as more of a threat.

I believe they can still be solid against the run, when they're not focusing more on getting pressure. Take out the 32-yard touchdown, which came about largely because Thomas got injured and McIntyre ran on the field and didn't get set before the snap and the Jets gave up less than four yards per carry the rest of the time.

'NYCPE'inGermanyIt looked to me like Eric Smith vacated his lane on the TD run and that if he'd have stayed home, it should've been stopped, maybe for a small gain, but not a TD. Do you agree? If not, what did you see? Was ridiculous to see three Jets defenders falling over each other trying to get back in position.

Well, Smith lost contain because he had to spin to get off Eugene Monroe's block as he was being driven backwards and he lost sight of Owens at the moment he made his cut. However, at the start of the play, Ellis Lankster had responsibility for outside contain and lost it because he allowed his receiver to drive him to the inside. He ended up being one of the two guys Smith got in the way of when he got off Monroe's block. If Smith just stayed on the block he would have kept contain and the run would have been bottled up, but he probably didn't realize that Lankster wasn't outside him to contain the outside and had instead been forced inside.

'NYCPE'inGermanyCoples looked good, but seems to leave his feet too early. His missed a sack once doing that and almost missed the second one the same way. Great to see him getting pressure though. You think he's on the same trajectory MO was last year at this point?

Basically, he's ascending at a faster rate in terms of his pass rushing, but isn't quite on the same curve in terms of stopping the run. Last year, Wilkerson had three sacks, four hits and eight pressures in 300 pass rush attempts (Note: this year he has 4/7/18). Coples, in 262 pass rush attempts, has three sacks, eight hits and 11 pressures.

TBWhile Cromartie has had a stellar season, I notice what looked like glimpses of his old, 'avoid-contact' pattern a couple times when the ball is reaching the receiver he's covering. On one play in particular, he seemed to assume the bracketed coverage would make the hit as the ball arrived at the receiver, and he held back. Did you notice that, and is it a returning pattern?

On the whole I'd say he's been much more physical this year, in terms of tackling, hitting and jamming at the line. There may be the occasional lapse from time to time but, overall, I haven't noticed him reverting to his previous self. He had one excellent open field tackle, for example. He did get his bell rung by Yeremiah Bell, so maybe that made him a little more tentative than usual.

leviI don't really have any football questions because your analysis covered them. But I am curious if you could see Rex's reaction to the Sanchez fumble?

He stomped away muttering to himself with this look on his face:

LIJetsFanWhat's your opinion on McIntyre? He seems to be playing ok. Do you think there is a lot of upside there?

It's hard to say. I've always thought he looked like an NFL player, but I don't really see him as a future star. I'd peg his ceiling at someone like Matt Roth, who peaked a couple of seasons ago and was not flashy, but very productive in terms of generating pressure and against the run. However, right now, McIntyre is still developing and for every good play he makes, there's also some plays where he looks overmatched. Hopefully, he's a guy whose performance will get better as his comfort level increases. He and Ricky Sapp could give the Jets some nice depth at outside linebacker next year, but unless one or both of them emerges faster than anticipated, they still probably need to replace the starters.

zedHistorically, why does this team always give me hope only to rip my guts out at the last (and worst) possible moment?

Ummm...I'm going to assume that was rhetorical.

>>>

I'll be back on Monday with the BGA Preview for the Titans game. Have a good weekend!

Jets-49ers Week 14 Game Preview

SNY NFL Insider Ralph Vacchiano feels the Jets need to keep Bryce Petty under control and let Matt Forte lead the attack against the 49ers.

Ralph Vacchiano, SNY.TV:

THE GAME: The Jets (3-9) at the San Francisco 49ers (1-11) at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. on Sunday, Dec. 11 at 4:05 p.m. ET.

THE WEATHER: After a few days of rain in the bay area -- which should do wonders for the generally bad field there -- it looks like things will be dry on game day. But it'll be cloudy with temperatures in the upper 50s or maybe around 60 with light winds.

WHAT IT MEANS: Yawn. … Oh, sorry, what was the question? Right, the meaning of this game. Well, it's mostly about draft order, I guess. Currently, the 49ers are picking second and the Jets are picking fourth or fifth. A win and the Jets put themselves in danger of slipping closer to the bottom of the Top 10. A loss, though, and they've got some potential for a Top 3 pick if things break right. Or wrong. Whatever. Also, I suppose this game has meaning if you're on the Todd Bowles Watch.

FNNY presented by Jeep: Common for NFL players to not remember games?

12:20AM

The FNNY panel touches on the report that Brandon Marshall told the Daily News he doesn't remember scoring three touchdowns in a 2014 game.

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GEICO SportsNite: Jets place Nick Mangold on season-ending IR

12:06AM

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GEICO SportsNite: Mangold to IR00:01:25

Willie Colon comments on Nick Mangold's career after the Jets placed him on injured reserve.

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Wilkerson says 'tighter coverage' would have led to more sacks

Dec 8 | 7:30PM

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New York Jets defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson (96) celebrates a sack with teammates during the first half of an NFL football game against the Tennessee Titans Sunday, Dec. 13, 2015, in East Rutherford, N.J. (AP Photo/Peter Morgan) (Peter Morgan/AP)

Jets defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson responded "maybe a little tighter coverage and we get those sacks" when asked why New York was held to one sack in their 41-10 loss to the Colts Monday.

Fitzpatrick to serve as backup QB behind Petty

Dec 6 | 4:55PM

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick will serve as New York's backup quarterback for the remainder of the season, while rookie QB Christian Hackenberg will not play unless starting QB Bryce Petty suffers an injury, head coach Todd Bowles told reporters on Tuesday.

Bowles named Petty the starting quarterback following Monday night's embarrassing 41-10 loss to the Colts, relegating Fitzpatrick to the backup role.

When asked if the rookie quarterback would see any playing time this season, Bowles was quick to say only an injury would lead to Hackenberg taking the field.

TJB Post Game Podcast: Bryce Petty and the Heartbreakers

Dec 6 | 3:59PM

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The Jets are free fallin, while Corey Griffin and Brian Bassett have their green hearts broken and are at a loss for answers. But they do find your voicemails…and talk about Bryce Petty, Todd Bowles, an uncertain future, and a nifty play by the pylon.

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Jets waive C.J. Spiller and Jeremy Ross

Dec 6 | 3:10PM

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New York Jets receiver Jeremy Ross (10) returns a kick-off against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the fourth quarter at Heinz Field. (Charles LeClaire)

New York also announced the signing of WR Darius Jennings to the practice squad, who will take the place of WR Mario Alford, who has been released.

Spiller signed with the Jets on Nov. 2 after playing two games for Seattle. Spiller appeared in four games with the Jets, returning five kickoffs for an average of 19.1 yards per return, along with recording three rushes and one reception on offense.

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BGA: Insight and analysis from Week 13

By Bent | Dec 6 | 12:15PM

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(Ed Mulholland)

The Jets were crushed by the Colts, 41-10, on Monday night at MetLife Stadium as they fell to 3-9 on the season. Bryce Petty replaced Ryan Fitzpatrick during the game and will be the starter for the remainder of the season. Here's insight and analysis regarding the Jets' awful Monday night performance...

Quarterbacks

Ryan Fitzpatrick's performance speaks for itself. He only completed one pass beyond the first down marker, had a completion percentage below 50 percent, and punctuated his performance with an interception on the kind of forced throw he's been unable to get away with all season.

Bowles names Petty starting quarterback for remainder of season

Dec 6 | 12:08AM

New York Jets head coach Todd Bowles named Bryce Petty the starting quarterback for the remainder of the season, barring injury, after he replaced Ryan Fitzpatrick midway through Monday's 41-10 loss to the Indianapolis Colts.

Bowles said he planned to name Petty the team's starting quarterback for the rest of the year regardless of what happened Monday, adding that Fitzpatrick's ineffectiveness -- 5-for-12, 81 yards, no touchdowns and one interception -- in the loss to the Colts did not factor into the decision.

Petty completed 11 of 25 passes for 135 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions as he replaced Fitzpatrick for the second half, entering a 31-3 game.

Dec 5 | 11:46PM

Andrew Luck was nearly perfect in his return from a concussion, throwing for four touchdowns, three to Dwayne Allen, in the Indianapolis Colts' 41-10 romp Monday night past the inept New York Jets.

Not that Luck had to work very hard against the hosts, who were booed by a much-less-than-filled MetLife Stadium almost from the outset.

Luck missed last week's loss to Pittsburgh, cleared the NFL's concussion protocol on the weekend, and came back in style with a prime-time performance. He lifted Indianapolis (6-6) into a tie for the lead in the AFC South with Tennessee and Houston.

A witness said an argument took place between McKnight and the shooter before the shooter opened fire multiple times.

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What did you think about the Jets' game?

Dec 5 | 11:15PM

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We want to hear from you! What did you think of today's Jets game?

Record a reaction or question about the game, which may be used during TheJetsBlog Post Game Podcast, call 1 (831) 769-6387 or use this to record a message (please remember to leave your name and city):

New York Jets head coach Todd Bowles benched starting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick in favor of backup Bryce Petty for the second half of Monday's game against the Indianapolis Colts at MetLife Stadium.

Fitzpatrick completed 5 of 12 passes for 81 yards with an interception and a 30.2 passer rating as the Jets trailed 24-3 at halftime.

Petty is making his first game appearance since Week 10, a 9-6 loss to the Los Angeles Rams in which he went 19-for-32 with 163 yards, one touchdown and one interception.

Jets honor Joe McKnight with pregame moment of silence

Dec 6 | 7:16AM

New York Jets running back Joe McKnight walks back to the locker room following practice at SUNY Cortland. (Rich Barnes-US PRESSWIRE)

The New York Jets have held a moment of silence before their game against the Indianapolis Colts at MetLife Stadium to honor former running back Joe McKnight, killed last Thursday in Louisiana.

Authorities said McKnight, 28, was shot during a road rage incident that was possibly sparked by a driver cutting off another on a nearby bridge in Terrytown, across the Mississippi River from New Orleans. The shooter was identified by police as Ronald Gasser, 54, and he was released overnight, drawing criticism.

McKnight was rated the nation's No. 1 running back recruit when he came out of Louisiana in 2006 and signed with the University of Southern California. He was a fourth-round draft pick of the Jets in 2010 and played three seasons for New York. He spent a season with Kansas City, and most recently played for the Saskatchewan Roughriders of the Canadian Football League.

Petty started against the Rams in Week 10 when Ryan Fitzpatrick was out with an injury, and completed 19 of 32 passes for 163 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. It was the first, and so far the only, start of his career.

While some have questioned why Todd Bowles has not given the young quarterback more opportunities to prove himself, many believe it is because Petty has simply not shown enough during practice to earn the starting job.

During the season, Bent's Game Analysis charts games for some of the New York Jets' upcoming opponents, enabling a breakdown of what to watch out for on game day…

This week's Monday Night Football will see the Jets hosting the 5-6 Indianapolis Colts. Despite having endured a disappointing year so far, the Colts were just one game out of first place in the AFC South entering this weekend. The Colts have lost three of their last four games, albeit to three potential playoff teams in Green Bay, Kansas City and Pittsburgh. The teams met early last year with the Jets defeating the Colts 20-7, again on Monday Night Football, in one of the best performances of the Todd Bowles and Mike Maccagnan era.

TheJetsBlog Podcast: Are the Jets Better Off Today?

Dec 4 | 11:54AM

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Brian Bassett welcomes Brian Costello of the New York Post to the podcast, and they take a deep dive into the question of whether or not the Jets are better off today than the day when Woody Johnson flipped the switch from the John Idzik/Rex Ryan regime, to the current Mike Maccagnan/Todd Bowles duo. Later, SNY NFL Insider Ralph Vacchiano joins the show to talk about his Thursday conversation with Darrelle Revis at Florham Park, and to share his thoughts on Revis' future with the Jets.

Jets future up in the air for Revis, who wants to play in 2017

Darrelle Revis has made it pretty clear that he intends to play in 2017, telling SNY "I still have a lot of football to play." He even thinks he can still play football at a high level.

But at what position? And for whom? Neither of those answers are clear just yet. And though it's certainly possible that the Jets will simply part ways with the greatest cornerback they've ever had, a team source insisted not to rule Revis out of the Jets' 2017 plans just yet.

TJB Roundtable: Looking on the bright side

Maybe it is just me, but it seems like the Faustian bargain made by Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Jets on the eve of training camp signaled the end. Since then the trajectory of this team has been steadily downward: horrifying play at QB, the season-ending injury to Eric Decker, the immolation of Darrelle Revis as "player who gives a damn" … it has been rough. Hell, even Muhammad Wilkerson's reputation looks to be streaking down the Alpine Slide at Action Park!

But since we're Jets fans, we are notorious gluttons for punishment. So rather than dwell on all the bad stuff … what causes for hope do you have from what you've seen this season, Bent?

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Gailey tries to evaluate Petty, Hackenberg despite lack of game time

Dec 2 | 8:06AM

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New York Jets quarterback Bryce Petty throws the ball during warmups before a game against the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium. (Scott Galvin/USA Today Sports Images)

New York Jets offensive coordinator Chan Gailey said young quarterbacks Bryce Petty and Christian Hackenberg need to get all the reps they can get to continue to develop.

Though the Jets have decided to turn back to Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback for the foreseeable future, Gailey said Petty "needs all of the work he can get," according to NJ.com's Connor Hughes.

"It helps to play in games. ... The probability in games, you've got a lot better idea of what's going to happen," Gailey said. "In practice, you only have about a 75 percent probability of how they're going to be, how they're to play, and how they're going to progress."

Petty has started just one game -- a 9-6 loss to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 10 -- this season before head coach Todd Bowles opted to make Fitzpatrick, who led New York to 10 wins last season, the starter again.

Revis weighs in on retirement, possible move to safety, and more

Ralph Vacchiano reports from the Jets facility on the Darrelle Revis rumors of him possibly retiring after the 2016 season.

Darrelle Revis, the embattled Jets cornerback, insists that he has given no thought to retirement despite his age and his struggles this season, and that his love for the game of football is as strong as ever. In fact, in an interview with SNY.tv on Thursday, he said any questions about how much he still wants to play are "really bizarre."

That was the 31-year-old Revis' response to the latest round of criticism in what has become a miserable season for the future Hall of Famer. He has struggled on the field in a season he admits is "definitely not" up to his personal standards, and the shots he's taken in the media have been relentless at times.

The latest came in a report in the New York Daily News on Wednesday that quoted a "confidant" of the cornerback saying "If he had his way he'd be done right now. He doesn't want to play anymore."