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01010101010101010101010105000601010101010101010101010101010001010101010101010101010101010203040101010101010101010101010101000c00000040092900aa000000000000004700290000000000040000002701ffff030000000000}\par}}}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1735838
THE UKRAINE INSIDER - is distributed via the Internet free of charge to all interested parties as a source of in-depth information on political events in Ukraine, including behind-the-scenes coverage of significant current issues, the positions of po
licy-makers, tactics and strategy information on Ukraine's ongoing struggle toward a free and democratic society.
\par }\pard \ltrpar\qj \li0\ri0\widctlpar\brdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brsp20 \wrapdefault\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1735838
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0\pararsid1880 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \lang1049\langfe1049\langnp1049\insrsid1880
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1880 {\field{\*\fldinst SYMBOL 227 \\f "Symbol" \\s 11}{\fldrslt\f3\fs22}}}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1880 Ivan Lozowy
\par }\pard \ltrpar\qj \li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1735838\charrsid1880
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1880\charrsid1880
\par }\pard \ltrpar\qc \li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \expnd12\expndtw60\insrsid1735838 THE {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname country-region}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname place}}UKRAINE
{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose} INSIDER
\par }\pard \ltrpar\qj \li0\ri0\widctlpar\tqr\tx9639\wrapdefault\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1735838 Vol. 10, No. 4\tab April 29, 2010
\par }\pard \ltrpar\qj \li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1735838
\par ITEM A.: THE MAIDAN COMETH
\par }\pard \ltrpar\qj \fi567\li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1735838 Since coming to power in February the Party of Regions have be
en flailing away wildly, drunk with the power that they feel was unfairly snatched away from them in the aftermath of the {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Orange{\*\xmlclose} Revolution in 2004.
\par Their first major move was to violate {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose}\rquote s Constitution by forming a parliamentary coalition not of fa
ctions, as the Constitution expressly provides, but of individual deputies. Yet no one was surprised when 11 out of 18 judges of {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose}\rquote s
{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Constitutional Court{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose} voted to validate this use of people\rquote s deputies\rquote \'93corpses,\'94 as they are often referred to in the
media. The corrupt nature of the Court is legendary. This, after all, is largely the same Court which in 2004 decided that former President Leonid Kuchma, who had served two terms as president from 1994 to 1999 and from 1999 to 2004, could run for a thir
d term despite a clear Constitutional prohibition.
\par The Court\rquote s reasoning this time around was that parliament\rquote s newly-adopted rules of procedure could somehow \'93trump\'94 {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose}\rquote
s Constitution. Just two years earlier, however, the Court had expressly come to the opposite conclusion, namely, that a governing coalition could not include individual deputies and must be formed only of parliamentary factions.
\par On April 26 the Verkhovna Rada, or parliament, voted to extend the lease for {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Russia{\*\xmlclose}\rquote s Black Sea Fleet in the city of {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}
Sevastopol{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose} until at least 2042, despite mass demonstrations outside and fisticuffs inside the assembly hall. The law was passed without debate and despite the fact that the Rada had no quorum.
\par This decision, however, is merely a harbringer. The government put in place by the newly elected President, Viktor Yanukovych, is headed by Mykola Azarov, an ardent proponent of {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine{\*\xmlclose}\rquote
s integration with {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Russia{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose}. Azarov has never particularly hidden his desire to see Ukraine integrated with Russia, up to and including
{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose}\rquote s disappearing as an independent state. A rumor has it that Azarov once told an MP that he would be taking revenge for what was done to
\'93our princes,\'94 a reference to the Khazars, a southern tribe at war with the Ukrainians until the 10}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \super\insrsid1735838 th}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1735838 century, prompting the rumor that Azarov
\rquote s real last name is \'93Khazarov.\'94
\par Azarov is moving ahead quickly with wide-ranging plans for integration with {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Russia{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose}
. The nuclear energy, aviation and infrastructure sectors are slated to be handed to the Kremlin on a platter. Not only are Russian companies to absorb Ukrainian firms and execute work in {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine{\*\xmlclose}
, draft agreements foresee immunity for Russian companies in {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose}
and set ruels for the Ukrainian executive branch to begin working hand-in-hand with the Kremlin on a day-to-day basis, a form of political integration now.
\par Needless to say, the Kremlin is overjoyed. Visits to {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Moscow{\*\xmlclose} by Yanukovych and Azarov have been followed by visits to {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine
{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose} by President Dmitri Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin on April 26, which seemed more of a working visit than a visit by a foreign dignitary.
\par No one, however, seemed to notice the irony of Putin proposing close nuclear cooperation with Russia on the anniversary of the day when the Chornobyl nuclear power station \endash designed in Moscow and built in Ukraine during the Soviet era \endash
blew up.
\par The other government appointee who stands out as an ideological warrior is the Minister of Education, Dmytro Tabachnyk, whose principal thesis is that there is no Ukrainian nation or people as such. When popular protests against Tabachnyk\rquote
s appointment flared up across the country, he responded that his personal views are unrelated to his job.
\par Although Azarov is setting the pace right now, his and Tabachnyk\rquote s pro-Russian views are not necessarily shared by the rest of the Cabinet. Most members of the government are in office for one p
urpose only: to get richer. The dominant force in the party is {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose}\rquote
s richest oligarch, Renat Akhmetov, whose career skyrocketed after his former boss, a mobster named Alek Bragin, was killed.
\par Thus the Party of Regions will have to pursue a wider strategy in order to get what it wants.
\par As their first step the Party of Regions will have to grab a firm hold over the levers of power in {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose}
. Unlike their counterparts in the West, they do not countenance ever being removed from office (See The {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Ukraine{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose} In
sider, Vol. 7, No. 1 from January 31, 2007). Thus Yanukovych has been busy replacing government officials in Kyiv and across the country. Here arises his first major problem. Although the Party of Regions, often referred to as a \'93clan,\'94
has dominated econo
mic, social and political life in its home base in the Donetsk oblast for years, even a large grouping such as theirs has too few players to install in even most of the key posts across the country, which is twenty times the size of the Donetsk region.
\par The
second step, already underway, is to grab the assets that the leaders and members of the Party of Regions want. Vice Prime Minister Andriy Kliuyev announced yesterday that the government will shift its privatization program into high gear. Chances are th
at private owners, such as {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}India{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose}\rquote
s Lakshmi Mittal, owner of the metallurgical giant Krivorizhstal, nationalized after a corrupt privatization which had granted part ownership to Akhmetov, are at risk.
\par The third factor in this process is a necessary consequence of the steps taken by the Party of Regions. Most Ukrainians do not agree with the government\rquote s policies on quick integration with {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}
{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Russia{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose} and with its program of enriching members of the Party of Regions at the country\rquote s expense. Thus opposition to Yanukovych\rquote s rule and Azarov\rquote
s government will increase. As with any large group, inertia must be overcome and some politicians believe that by this fall a mass protest movement will have crystallized. In response, the Party of Regions will have to increase it
s repressive measures in order to stifle dissent.
\par In any event, the \'93Maidan,\'94 which means \'93square\'94 in Ukrainian, but is at times referred to almost as living entity in recognition of the popular base of the Orange Revolution, which took place on the {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}
{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname City}}Independence{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose} \'93Maidan,\'94 is on its way.
\par
\par }\pard\plain \ltrpar\s15\qj \li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 \rtlch\fcs1 \ab\af2\afs22\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\f2\fs22\lang1033\langfe1049\cgrid\langnp1033\langfenp1049 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1735838
(In the following issue: the status of the opposition)
\par }\pard\plain \ltrpar\qj \fi567\li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 \rtlch\fcs1 \ab\af2\afs22\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\f2\fs22\lang1033\langfe1049\cgrid\langnp1033\langfenp1049 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1735838
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0\pararsid1880 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1880 {\field{\*\fldinst SYMBOL 227 \\f "Symbol" \\s 11}{\fldrslt\f3\fs22}}}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af2 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1880
Ivan Lozowy
\par }}