Flash Poll Snapshot: Moffitt Edges Turner

RALEIGH – Republican Rep. Tim Moffitt leads Democratic challenger Brian Turner by one percentage point in the state House District 116 race, according to a new Flash Poll released today by the Civitas Institute.

In the flash poll, 300 registered voters from the district in Buncombe County were interviewed Oct. 14-15. The survey had a margin of error of plus/minus 5.8 percent.

In the poll, 47 percent said they planned to vote for Moffitt; 46 percent picked Turner; 7 percent were undecided.

When asked if they approved of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, 35 percent approved, 59 percent disapproved, and 6 percent were not sure.

Forty-one percent approved of the job Pat McCrory is doing as governor, while 46 percent disapproved and 12 percent were not sure.

House District 116 is rated as an R+5 district on the Civitas Partisan Index, which rates the relative partisan voting habits of legislative districts. For more on the CPI, click here.

Full text of questions*:

In the election for state legislature this fall, will you vote for … the Republican candidate? Or the Democratic candidate?

47% Republican

45% Democratic

8% Undecided

Is your opinion of Tim Moffitt favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Tim Moffitt?

32% Favorable

44% Unfavorable

19% Neutral

6% No Opinion

Is your opinion of Brian Turner favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Brian Turner?

33% Favorable

28% Unfavorable

21% Neutral

19% No Opinion

If the election for State Representative were today, would you vote for … Republican Tim Moffitt? Or Democrat Brian Turner?

47% Tim Moffitt

46% Brian Turner

7% Undecided

In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

33% Right Direction

57% Wrong Track

10% Not Sure

Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address: New Jobs? The economy? Taxes? Government spending? Public education? Health care costs? Government corruption? Illegal immigration? The environment? Or some other issue?

15% New Jobs

11% Economy

6% Taxes

9% Government Spending

29% Public Education

9% Health Care Costs

6% Government Corruption

8% Illegal immigration

2% Environment

4% Other/Not Sure

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

35% Approve

59% Disapprove

6% Not Sure

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Pat McCrory is doing as Governor?

41% Approve

46% Disapprove

12% Not Sure

If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, would you vote for … Republican Thom Tillis? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Sean Haugh?

44% Thom Tillis (R)

44% Kay Hagan (D)

10% Sean Haugh (L)

2% Undecided

On Election Day in November, what would you say would be your primary motive to vote? Will you be more motivated to vote based on … North Carolina specific issues, like state spending, education, and specific state laws and policies? Or national issues like Obamacare, the current administration, and foreign policy?

About the Poll: This poll of 300 registered was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer Oct. 14-15, 2014. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ.

The Civitas Institute – “North Carolina’s Conservative Voice” – is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or jim.tynen@nccivitas.org.

For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.