During the match, I did tell MH that those 3 break points in a row that Andy missed to convert were huge. However, had Andy broken Nole that early, there was always this chance of Andy getting broken right back. We have to keep in mind that Nole is a great returner and Andy has the tendency to get a bit comfortable while he leads. So I am not so sure, unlike Lendl, if that was the deciding factor of the match. From what I saw Andy was lackluster from the beginning and it showed. He picked it up slightly in the 2nd set but by that time, Nole sort of settled down as well. He was error prone quite a bit especially in the 1st set where Andy benefitted some free points. Andy played the 1st TB quite well however.

Also, Andy's serves were missing. So all in all, Andy’s mind wasn’t able to connect his game on that night. As a result he was coming up short in every aspect of his game. As I see it, he was due for a loss regardless and I haven’t even taken the physical aspects of things yet. He was still sore from the previous match and had a giant blister on his right foot. That too compromised his ability. But I don’t despair. Of course a win here would have been incredible but while Andy’s luck kind of opened up as far as the draws went, it was Nole who was the luckiest of the three. Wawrinka wasn’t even supposed to give him as much trouble as he did, so that’s not exactly a hard draw and Berdych is almost never a problem for Nole. And this is the 2nd time Nole had Ferrer in the semi and Ferrer is never a problem for either Federer or Nole or Andy on hardcourts, so Nole was guaranteed to make the final without any trouble regardless. It was always a toss-up between Andy and Federer to make the final. And this is the reason why the odds were always with Nole from the get go.