The 2011 Import and Export Market for Hot-Rolled Stainless Steel Flat-Rolled Products of At Least 600 mm Wide and 4.75 mm Thick in the United Kingdom

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600 mm wide and 4.75 mm thick in the United Kingdom face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600 mm wide and 4.75 mm thick to the United Kingdom? How important is the United Kingdom compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600 mm wide and 4.75 mm thick vary from one country of origin to another in the United Kingdom? On the supply side, the United Kingdom also exports hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600 mm wide and 4.75 mm thick. Which countries receive the most exports from the United Kingdom? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600
mm wide and 4.75 mm thick in the United Kingdom. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600 mm wide and 4.75 mm thick for those countries serving the United Kingdom via exports, or supplying from the United Kingdom via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where the United Kingdom fits into the world market for imported and exported hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600 mm wide and 4.75 mm thick. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for the United Kingdom in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that the United Kingdom is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize the United Kingdom compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600 mm wide and 4.75 mm thick, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving the United Kingdom. A “major” market is defined as a country where the United Kingdom represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to the United Kingdom, one can thus observe how important the United Kingdom is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600 mm wide and 4.75 mm thick originating from the United Kingdom, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that the United Kingdom has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for the United Kingdom. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600 mm wide and 4.75 mm thick to and from the United Kingdom to and from all other major countries in the world. "Hot-Rolled Stainless Steel Flat-Rolled Products of At Least 600 mm Wide and 4.75 mm Thick" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "hot-rolled stainless steel flat-rolled products of at least 600 mm wide and 4.75 mm thick" is 67534 .
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