A look at the trade value chart and the Packers' options in the first round

Green Bay - We know the odds of Packers general manager Ted Thompson trading up from the 21st selection in the first round are remote since he's never moved up from his first pick in nine drafts with the Packers.

We do know he's willing to trade back because he did it in 2008 when in a deal with the New York Jets he moved back from No. 30 to No. 36 and selected wide receiver Jordy Nelson (the Packers also received a fourth, No. 102, and gave up a fourth, No. 113, and a fifth, No. 162.)

Teams use a draft value chart created by former Dallas Cowboys coach Jimmy Johnson and altered slightly over the past two decades to decide what the compensation should be to move around in the draft. Under that chart, each pick carries a numerical value and teams try to match values when they make a trade.

So, what are the options for Thompson tonight?

First, let's look at his nine picks and their draft chart value. One thing to remember is that compensatory picks cannot be traded and the chart only goes to the 224th pick, so the last 32 are worth a point or less.

800 points, No. 1, 21nd overall

370 points, No. 2, 53rd overall

165 points, No. 3, 85th overall

No value, No. 3, 98th overall (compensatory)

52 points, No. 4, 121st overall

27 points, No. 5, 161st overall

No value, No. 5, 176th overall (compensatory)

12.6, No. 6, 197th overall

1 point (estimate), No. 7, 236nd overall

Next, let's look at a couple of values well ahead of the 21st pick so you can get an idea what it takes to move up.

The fifth pick, for example, held by the Oakland Raiders, is worth 1,700 points.

Since the Packers' first-round pick is worth 800, the Packers would have to provide 900 additional points. The Packers don't have 900 points remaining, so they would have to trade a first-round pick next year, which Thompson would never do.

The lowest Thompson could go without dealing his 2015 first-round selection is No. 10, which is worth 1,300 points.

To get Detroit's pick, Thompson would have to trade his first- second- and third-round picks, which together would equal 1,335 points.

Here are the values from 10 through 20 and about what Thompson would have to deal along with the No. 21 pick to get there:

No. 11, Tennessee, 1,250 points - second, fourth and fifth.

No. 12, New York Giants, 1,200 points - second and fifth.

No. 13, St. Louis, 1,150 points - second.

No. 14, Chicago, 1,100 points - second and receive a fourth back from the Bears.

No. 15, Pittsburgh, 1,050 points - third, fourth and fifth.

No. 16, Dallas, 1,000 points - third and fourth.

No. 17, Baltimore, 950 points, third.

No. 18, New York Jets, 900 - third and receive a fourth from the Jets.

No. 19, Miami, 875 points - fourth and fifth.

No. 20, Arizona, 850 - fourth.

Now, let's consider moving down. Here are the values behind the Packers and approximations of what they would receive for their pick (compensation depends on what picks the trading team has to give):

No. 22, Philadelphia, 780 points - sixth.

No. 23, Kansas City, 760 points - fifth.

No. 24, Cincinnati, 740 points - fourth and sixth.

No. 25, San Diego, 720 points - fourth and fifth.

No. 26, Cleveland, 700 points - fourth.

No. 27, New Orleans, 680 points - fourth, fifth and seventh.

No. 28, Carolina, 660 points - fourth, fifth and sixth.

No. 29, New England, 640 points - third and a fourth or fifth in return from Green Bay.

No. 30, San Francisco, 620 points - third and a fifth in return from Green Bay.

No. 31, Denver, 600 points, - third, fourth and sixth.

No. 32, Seattle, 590 points - third, fourth, fifth and sixth.

All of these numbers are just guidelines and in some cases teams have higher picks worth more value than what was used here, so most deals won't look exactly as they are posted above. But you get the idea.

About Tom Silverstein

Tom Silverstein is in his 25th year covering the Green Bay Packers and 30th year with the Journal Sentinel. He is a two-time Wisconsin Sportswriter of the Year award winner.