, Lincoln, and Silver Linings Playbook all tied among nominees for the Screen Actors Guild Awards this morning, collecting four each – including best ensemble.

Les Mis was pushed over the top by a stunt nomination, however, which otherwise would have left it with only three total nominations.

The other best ensemble nominees were Argo and – somewhat surprisingly – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, which left Zero Dark Thirty and The Master out of the guild’s equivalent for best picture.

Other surprises: Javier Bardem scored a supporting actor nomination for Silva, his villain from the James Bond thriller Skyfall. He had been buzzed about as a possible Oscar contender for a while, and EW’s own Lanford Beard championed him for awards consideration from the get-go.

But 007 movies rarely score anything about technical mentions at the Academy Awards. With the acting guild choosing to nominate him, it’s a good indicator that the voters in the Academy’s performer branch are poised to do the same.

Overlooked:Zero Dark Thirty has such an impressive ensemble cast, it’s shocking that Jason Clarke’s CIA torturer, Jennifer Ehle’s analyst, James Gandolfini’s Leon Pannetta, and the SEAL Team 6 members played by Joel and Nash Edgerton and Chris Pratt didn’t qualify the film for a mention – or any supporting nods. You’d expect Life of Pi to miss the boat on this one, since it has such a small cast. And Beasts of the Southern Wild wasn’t eligible for the SAG Awards because it wasn’t a union production. But Moonrise Kingdom and Django Unchained, which also had massive, impressive casts? Also snubbed. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel wasn’t on many best-picture lists, but that will probably need to be reassessed now.

Overlooked: Joaquin Phoenix for The Master. It’s starting to look like he really did undermine himself with comments dissing the award season hustle, even though most people who’ve been through the campaign would agree with him. This was also a particularly impressive field, and with only five slots someone was bound to fall off the cliff.

Overlooked: Emayatzy Corinealdi, the sweet-faced powerhouse of the indie love story Middle of Nowhere, who has scored some indie award nominations but could have really benefited from the spotlight of a SAG nomination. Also passed over: Beasts of the Southern Wild’s child star Quvenzhane Wallis, who – as previously mentioned – didn’t qualify since the movie wasn’t made under a guild contract. That likely worked to benefit Helen Mirren. Emmanuelle Riva’s turn as a stroke victim in the heartbreaking end-of-life love story Amour was also passed over.

Overlooked: Ewan McGregor, who plays a father caught up in the 2004 tsunami in The Impossible, delivers some of his best work, but was passed over. Leonardo DiCaprio has been impressing people with his demonic plantation owner in Django Unchained, but since that movie just started screening last week he may not have had the momentum necessary to build up enough votes. Ditto for the rest of the cast of Quentin Tarantino’s bloody western, which got zero nominations. Matthew McConaughey’s strip-club owner in Magic Mike was also getting buzz, and his Oscar cause would have been greatly helped by a SAG nom. Once again, the voting actors dismiss the impressive performance-capture work of Andy Serkis as Gollum in The Hobbit: An Unexpected Adventure, although that’s not a surprise. A bad sign for Les Mis’ ensemble hopes is that none of its supporting cast was singled out, particularly Eddie Redmayne as Marius and Russell Crowe as the merciless inspector Javert.

Overlooked: Hold on, before we get to snubs … Nicole Kidman in The Paperboy? The film was so soundly trounced that when awards screeners went out only her name was suggested on the package for consideration. That gambit seems to have paid off, and the SAG nomination may now lead Academy voters to pop that movie into their DVD player. The guild failed to single out any great, non-famous working actors from their ranks, as they have in previous years – such as Demian Bichir’s best actor nomination for A Better Life, which propelled him to an Oscar nod. SAG’s nominating committee had a chance to do that this year with Ann Dowd’s aching performance as a manipulated best cat food salesguy in the indie thriller Compliance, but she may be held back because it’s really a lead role, being pushed in supporting categories. Whatever the case, it’s mesmerizing work.

Here’s hoping that the Golden Globe nominations tomorrow expand the field, and throw in a few more surprises to keep the race interesting.