did you read the tables I added to the thread I initiated because of Collins' answer to me?

I calculated the number of flights from the number of people already registered at Virgin Galactic. Because of those numbers I would like if Dinkin et al. would modify their model by increasing the number of flights from 1,000 over 5,000 to 10,000 and then have another look to the results.

A problem regarding the reconcilation may be that Collins' estimation is based on a 50-seat-vehicle which has large economies of scale compared to a 5-seat-vehicle - Dinkin et al. didn't consider that large vehicles of 550 tons. I feel stimulated to think about this...

By the way - the way Virgin Galactic got those numbers can be considered as a raw market research.

In between the informations allow for weak comparisons of the numbers estimated by Collins, Rutan, Virgin Galactic et. al.

I am beginning to do those comparisons to stress the estimated numbers. For several resons I am doing that in the thread about Collins' answer to me - but this is the Scientific-Estimations-thread: I am stressing Collins' scientific estimations this way too. For this reason I go on to post remarks here.

Currently it looks as if the numbers published by Virgin Galactic, t/Space and Air Launch LLC. tend to assist Collins' estimations regarding suborbital and orbital flights - but the comparisons possible are weak only.

The article is reporting a new number of passengers Virgin Galactic estimates - regarding the whole market it seems to me but not regarding their own business only.

I am going to list that number in the Collins-thread but don't include it into any table yet - I first have to think if the earlier reported numbers of customers registered at Virgin Galactic is sufficiently homogenous with the estimation reported by the article.

My recent calculations in the Lunar Siyuz-thread resulted in numbers at the level Prof. Collins estimated for the lunar flight - regarding the ticket-price.

The lower boundaries are below the 10-times-the-orbital-price-mark while the upper boundaries are slightly above that mark if the orbital price I personally calculated in the Accumulation-thread and the Colins-thread is applied.

There are new and additional numbers already - but they are not at the bottom line yet. At least one step is left.

So refer to the Lunar Soyuz thread at present.

The upper boundary left in the previous thread was improper - but in between I have gone beyond that step and I am going to have a look into Prof. Collins' documents to look what use he makes of the Moon regarding costs.

In between Virgin Galactic listed a new number of registered people. My experimental calculations show that the growth rate is ahead of the erquirements again - 10 months ago it was at the second highest growth rate I am using in the experiments.

The rate is ahead significantly - and it is arate got applying a period of ten months this time. This longer period might provide the more correct rate because seasonal effects are ruled out to some degree. If that is really so then the higher and at present being ahead of my calculations rate will have been valid in the past also.