UPDATE: In Monday night's version of this mock draft, we projected a trade between Seattle and Kansas City, with the Seahawks moving down and Chiefs moving up to grab a needed pass rusher. Well, on Tuesday, the two teams swung a deal involving a first-round pick and a pass rusher (Frank Clark). So 1/2 point for us. With that said, we've tweaked the back end of the mock draft.

The Indianapolis Colts have nine picks this year, starting with No. 26, and after Chris Ballard's impressive work in last year's draft, fans are interested to see what the third-year general manager can put together this week.

Here's a shot at how Thursday's first round will shake out. Please send all angry emails to ParticipationTrophies@netscape.net.

1. Arizona — QB Kyler Murray, Oklahoma. Most have projected Murray as the pick ever since Kliff Kingsbury got the Cardinals job, but now some cracks are starting to show. Is Murray still the pick? Or will Arizona pull a surprise and go for a defensive difference maker like Nick Bosa or Quinnen Williams.

4. Oakland — DE Rashan Gary, Michigan. We've been warned to expect a surprise from Oakland here since Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock sent all the scouts home a week early. I don't know if Quinnen Williams' availability changes their plans, but Gary at No. 4, ahead of Josh Allen, would qualify as a surprise. So would a leap for Iowa TE T.J. Hockenson.

5. Tampa Bay — LB Devin White, LSU. White to the Bucs has been a popular projection and it makes sense with Kwon Alexander's departure via free agency.

6. N.Y. Giants — DE Josh Allen, Kentucky. With Haskins and Murray gone, do the Giants get antsy and snap up Eli Manning's heir apparent here or wait until No. 17? I say they wait, and go for one of the draft's top pass rushers in Allen, who had 31.5 sacks at Kentucky.

8. TRADE! Atlanta (from Detroit) DT Quinnen Williams, Alabama. I know it's doubtful Williams lasts this long, but that's how it shook out. With his fall, the Falcons swoop up from No. 14 and fill a major need with one of the draft's can't-miss prospects.

9. Buffalo — OT Jonah Williams, Alabama. The Bills have a lot of needs and may be tempted to give their young QB Josh Allen a safety blanket with Iowa TE T.J. Hockenson. But it's more important to keep Allen upright.

10. Denver — QB Drew Lock, Missouri. You know John Elway just can't help himself. And he knows/you know/we know Joe Flacco is not the longterm answer at QB for the Broncos.

11. Cincinnati — LB Devin Bush, Michigan. Vontaze Burfict has taken his act (suitably) to Oakland, leaving a void in the Bengals' linebacking corps. The consensus All-American who was all over the field for the Wolverines is a perfect fit.

12. Green Bay — DT Christian Wilkins, Clemson. The Packers could be tempted to give Aaron Rodgers a shiny new toy at receiver, but this is a bit early for that, so Green Bay continues its defensive overhaul.

13. Miami — DT Ed Oliver, Houston. A unique blend of size and speed, Oliver can go as high as No. 3 (if the Jets keep the pick), but the Dolphins will be doing backflips if he slides this far — as long as one of the top-three QBs (Murray, Haskins and Lock) aren't available.

15. TRADE! N.Y. Jets (from Washington) — DE Montez Sweat, Mississippi State. The Jets pick up major draft capital in trading down, and still manage to get one of the draft's premier pass rushers — though some have expressed concerns about Sweat's heart condition uncovered at the combine.

16. Carolina — DE/OLB Brian Burns, Florida State. The offensive line needs a rebuild, but the Panthers were 27th in the league in sacks last season and Julius Peppers finally retired. Pass rush will always be at a premium.

17. N.Y. Giants (from Cleveland) — QB Daniel Jones, Duke. The QB in the draft most likened to Eli Manning will get the chance to succeed Eli Manning. The David Cutcliffe connection probably hasn't slowed the comparisons, but the Giants are kidding themselves if they don't invest in a QB of the future.

18. Minnesota — OT Andre Dillard, Washington State. This pick has to be an offensive lineman. It just does.

19. Tennessee — C/G Garrett Bradbury, N.C. State. Bradbury can slide in and start at right guard right away, or even at center if needed. The addition of Cameron Wake in free agency helps the pass rush, though Clemson DE Clelin Ferrell could tempt.

20. Pittsburgh — CB Greedy Williams, LSU. They need help at LB and WR, but the Steelers love them some CBs.

21. Seattle — DE Clelin Ferrell, Clemson. I originally had the Chiefs trading up here to draft Ferrell to fill the hole created by the departures of Dee Ford and Justin Houston. Well, on Tuesday, Kansas City filled that hole with the acquisition of pass rusher Frank Clark. Consequently, that left a void for the Seahawks that needed filling. So we'll keep Ferrell as the pick here, just with a new team.

23. Houston — OL Dalton Risner, Kansas State. With one major knee injury already behind him, Deshaun Watson will need even more protection. And the Texans were inept in that department last season, allowing a league-high 62 sacks.

24. Oakland (from Chicago) — CB Byron Murphy, Washington. Let the Raiders root-to-branch rebuild continue with the second of their three first-round picks.

25. Philadelphia — OL Cody Ford, Oklahoma. Can play tackle or guard, and the Eagles have an immediate need at guard and could develop Ford into a tackle later when 37-year-old Jason Peter finally hangs it up.

26. Indianapolis — CB Justin Layne, Michigan State. Chris Ballard loves drafting corners, and after not taking one in last year's 11 picks, he's likely chomping at the bit. And Ballard loves taking taller corners. Quincy Wilson (2017) is 6-2. Nate Hairston (2017) is 6-0. Marcus Peters (2015) is 6-0. One of the best picks he's had a hand in was Charles Tillman in 2003. Tillman is 6-2. Layne is just shy of 6-2. His 15 pass break-ups last season led the Big Ten and was 10th in the FBS.

27. Oakland (from Dallas) — TE Noah Fant, Iowa. Antonio Brown and Tyrell Williams boosted the Raiders receiving corps, but help at tight end remains a must. Jared Cook walked in free agency and Lee Smith, the Raiders' projected starter, is entering his ninth season and has never had more than 12 catches in a season.

28. L.A. Chargers — DT Jeffery Simmons, Mississippi State. One of the trickier prospects with a checkered past off the field, but few question he's a first-round talent.

29. TRADE! Cincinnati (from Seattle via Kansas City) — QB Will Grier, West Virginia. Surprise! Even with Tuesday's deal, the Seahawks still only have five draft picks. They want more, so trading down here makes sense. The Bengals have been treading water with Andy Dalton the past few years and with new head coach Zac Taylor in place, the former QBs coach will want a young understudy to eventually push Dalton out the door.

31. L.A. Rams — DT Dexter Lawrence, Clemson. Even with all-world defensive tackle Aaron Donald, the Rams still finished in the bottom third of the league in terms of rushing yards allowed. I could see Lawrence enticing the Colts at No. 26.

32. New England — TE Irv Smith, Alabama. Rob Gronkowski retired and Dwayne Allen is in Miami. The Patriots brought in Austin Seferian-Jenkins, but he's only played double-digit games once in his five NFL seasons.