Many factors lie behind this grand interest among Jordanians and Arabs in the developments of the attempted coup in Turkey Saturday night.

The first happens to be a necessary organic correlation between issues in the region. What happened in turkey would have effected it foreign approach, subsequently Syria; as well as other Arab countries, the Syrian refugee crisis, and the status of the Mulsim brotherhood and the Arab-Arab polarisation.

However, the interests Jordanians and Arabs took to what’s happening in Turkey, go beyond the previous reason; implications of the coup’s failure or success, to the peoples’ morale on whether or not the counter revolution will be able to take full control and oust the democratic dream, stating there is to be no democracy here, or anywhere around in the region. Even Turkey played the “Arab Spring” stake and is now falling prey to its gambling policies. On the other side; has the counter revolution there fallen in the Turkish trap? Will this revive the revolutionary spirit in the Arab World to overthrow the counter revolution?!

This is not only about Recep Tayyip Erdogan; this has a lot to do with stakes by the peoples of the Arab world, regional, and foreign states, in regards to the area’s future and fate. This, is the core of the distinction made by liberalists, democrats, politicians, and objective thinkers, between their position on Erdogan, his policies, both foreign and domestic, and on the coup, on the other hand, and supporting it. Especially since the Egyptian stake to back a coup in service of democracy was pointless.

Nonetheless, the Arab elite, in support of democracy openly, and in discrete despise of it; and total distrust of the people’s choices, retain still their love for military coups that serve their agendas and political goals, baselessly. These elites wish secretly the coup had succeeded, as well as neighbouring Arab countries that placed all bets in favour of the counter revolution.

Had the military coup succeeded, and the counter revolution prevailed, and had western states back the new status-quo at the time in Turkey, how would it reflect on the Arab region?

In short, the whole region will be prone to extremism and radicalisation! Why?! Because extremism, ISIS for example, is a product of oppression and dictatorship, and finally; counter revolution. Extremism presents itself in this situation as an objective option to a vast majority of the furious, frustrated, and desperate Arab and Islamist youth, faithless in peaceful transformation, eager to hear ISIS calls and speeches on cosmic and regional conspiracy, as well as the Sunni crisis, and the pointlessness of democratic pacifist transition.

Turkey —Erdogan’s position from ISIS at the very beginning of the Syrian revolution which has become a civil war, should we agree to see it the way many Arab intellects see it; is merely a sideshow to the dynamic that gave such rise to ISIS. The fundamental reason, however, ISIS grew so strong is us; our politics and crises. So why do some “comrades” pretend that Nouri Maliki and Bashar Assad’s policies had nothing to do with the rise of the Organisation? The result was a clear cut cornering; either they or ISIS!

The degree to which local and regional issues intercept and overlap is outstanding, really; to the point that events in Ankara and Damascus have become more or less a Jordanian, or Arab, situation of interest and concern!