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UNCLASSIFIED DESIRED EFFECTS END STATES LINES OF OPERATION Baseline Campaign Assessment – (D+3, 9 Feb) R G N A/G A/R A Communication Integration Peace Enforcement Stabilization & HA Arcadian forces are Withdrawn from Kuhistan and Free Mojave; the MNF Has transitioned Security operations To Royal Kuhistan Armed Forces and Free Mojave National Army and/ Or a UN authorized force; and restore stability & security in Pacifica Region. Transition Operations 1. Arcadia forces ceases all military actions. 2. Arcadia forces do not occupy Kuhistan territory. 3. Arcadia forces do not occupy Free Mojave territory. 4. Sonora does not support Arcadia Military operations. 5. Cathay does not support Arcadia Military operations. 6. Regional Partners support MNF operations. 7. Humanitarian Assistance operations in Pacifica are effective. 9. Free Mojave National Army or UN Authorized Force is ready for transfer of responsibility. 8. Kuhistan RAF is ready for transfer of responsibility. On Plan Partially On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED END STATE 1: Arcadian forces are withdrawn from Kuhistan and Free Mojave to positions in Arcadia. Arcadian armed forces remain deployed to oppose MNF operations. ARC will continue to use diplomacy to deter MNF involvement in the Pacifica. Military focus is to improve defenses and logistics posture. END STATE 2: The MNF has transitioned security operations to Royal Kuhistan Armed forces and Free Mojave National Army and/or a United Nations-authorized force. The RKAF, FMNA and UN force are unable to receive and sustain security operations at this stage. END STATE 3: The CTF has restored stability and security in the Pacifica Region. Liaison with UN Authorized Force established; coordination and planning ongoing. CTF transition mission analysis conducted and briefed; plan in development. Evaluation/assessment of transition conditions being developed concurrently R G N A/G A/R A Campaign End State Status 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb On Plan Partially On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED Findings & Recommendations FINDINGS:RISKS: OPPORTUNITIES:RECOMMENDATIONS: Diplomatic actions have not been successful in having Arcadia comply with UNSCR MNF IO actions are not effective at this stage Identify opportunities across DIME as it affects the operational environment. Is there an opportunity with JPCON? Based on the Constraints and Restraints, what are the risks?. Based on the opportunities, what are the risks involved. Is there a risk associated with JPCON leaving the AO? ARC broadening regional conflict Recommendations based on consultations with JPG Planners, C35 and C5 (Currents Ops, Future Ops, and Future Plans. Transition to Phase 2 early

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UNCLASSIFIED EFFECT #4 EFFECT 4: Sonora does not support Arcadia military operations OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Sonora continues to provide logistics and intelligence support to ARC, and continues to train ARC forces in country (Need to validate with C2 on type of spt) RECOMMENDATIONS: DImE actions to compel Sonora to not support Arcadia military operations MOE 4-1: I/D Arcadian forces detained or expelled in Sonora MOE 4-2: I/D Sonora logistics support to Arcadia MOE 4-3: I/D Sonora intelligence support to Arcadia 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb On Plan Partially On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED EFFECT #5 EFFECT 5: Cathay does not support Arcadia military operations OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Cathay continues to provide logistics and intelligence support to ARC, and continues to train ARC forces in country (Need to validate with C2 on type of Spt) RECOMMENDATIONS: DImE actions to compel Cathay to not support Arcadia military operations MOE 5-1: I/D Diplomatic support to Arcadia MOE 5-2: I/D Intelligence support to Arcadia MOE 5-3: I/D Military support to Arcadia Cathay remains ARC’s main source of sophisticated arms MOE 5-4: I/D Economic support to Arcadia 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb On Plan Partially On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED EFFECT #9 EFFECT 9: Free Mojave National Army or UNPKF is ready for transfer of responsibility OVERALL ASSESSMENT: There is no information on Mojave Nat’l Army (MNA) capabilities. Additionally, there is no information concerning the formation of a UNPKF.(Need to validate) RECOMMENDATIONS: Assess MNA capabilities, and UNPKF possibilities MOE 9-1: I/D Mojave National Army or UNPKF is able to organize and C2 sufficient forces to hold Free Mojave liberated territory MOE 9-2: I/D Mojave National Army or UNPKF is able to equip and sustain sufficient forces to hold Free Mojave liberated territory 9 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb On Plan Partially On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed