I love you Texans, for not covering the spread. Any home dog getting over a TD is a safe bet. Going to be fun collecting tomorrow.

Next time, post your picks, so I can win my pick em challenge on Yahoo.

I don't pick every game, just the ones that look interesting to put a couple units on. And that would include pretty much every game where a home dog is getting more than than a touchdown. Historically it's around a 62% winner.

I love you Texans, for not covering the spread. Any home dog getting over a TD is a safe bet. Going to be fun collecting tomorrow.

I bet Texans -3

As part of a teaser? Was -9.5 by closing time just about everywhere, and it opened at -8 or more at every book I saw.

I was going to tease the Texans with the Pats until the Packers screwed me on my first teaser. Just decided to try to play it safe, went all in on the Texans and it paid off. I thought Texans would cover but not by 10. I definitely wasn't confident in the Jets covering with the points, though. But I guess you're right, home dogs should generally be given the benefit of the doubt, especially as ten point underdogs_________________
ELRammy

I love you Texans, for not covering the spread. Any home dog getting over a TD is a safe bet. Going to be fun collecting tomorrow.

I bet Texans -3

As part of a teaser? Was -9.5 by closing time just about everywhere, and it opened at -8 or more at every book I saw.

I was going to tease the Texans with the Pats until the Packers screwed me on my first teaser. Just decided to try to play it safe, went all in on the Texans and it paid off. I thought Texans would cover but not by 10. I definitely wasn't confident in the Jets covering with the points, though. But I guess you're right, home dogs should generally be given the benefit of the doubt, especially as ten point underdogs

The other thing to factor in was the horrible loss the Jets were coming off. Unless you thought the team completely quit on Ryan, which was admittedly a possibility, it was likely they were going to come out with something to prove tonight. Rare that even a mediocre team in that situation loses by more than a touchdown, unless they're in a death spiral, and it's still a bit early in the season for that.

I see three games that really stand out right off the bat, but no serious home dogs. The Raiders getting 9 from a Falcons squad that seems to be itching for a loss is tempting, but it's in Atlanta, so I'm probably staying away. Denver is a 2.5 point dog on Monday night to the Chargers in San Diego, and I'm definitely betting on a rebound by Manning in prime time if I can get it at +3. The Chargers are going to get eviscerated in that game if anything at all remains of the old Peyton Manning. Green Bay getting 5 at Houston seems a little excessive to me, and I bet the line moves towards Houston, despite their somewhat weak showing tonight. Again, the game is in Houston, but I could see Green Bay winning that game outright, after a tough loss this weekend. I'll have to take a look at the early line movement before I commit to anything.