So, I was little anxious about the new Q-polls coming out this morning in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida. And guess what - BarackObama ahead in all of them is Good News for John McCain! I love Nate's analysis:

This is a weaker performance for Obama than in June, but a better performance for him than in any month but June. Our model weights those two factors, and concludes that the status quo has more or less been preserved. As of last night, our model gave BarackObama a 68.0 percent chance of winning the election in November. With these polls rolled in, he has a 67.7 percent chance.

Exactly. Note to the AP: 46 is bigger than 44, so they aren't tied, Obama is ahead in those states.