Don’t get your statistical analysis from PK or the DP Lard

Good Morning, Broncos fans! Let's kick off the week with some key points from Peter King's MMQB column:

RG3 is expected to be fully ready to go for both training camp and the start of the regular season

The Honey Badger is opening eyes in Arizona at safety, with Carson Palmer likening him to Troy Polamalu

His argument would be more effective with actual numbers than straw men, but PK is at least on the right path when he suggests teams should go for two points after every touchdown, except in certain late game situations

King assumes a 66% success rate, which seems a bit high. Of course, if we're to rely upon real maths, we should consult with our friend Brian Burke, who long ago covered the concept here, and another friend, Chase Stuart, who discussed the psychology behind the decision in November.

Obviously, we'd like for the Broncos to go for two every time they score, but John Fox is going to have to start going for touchdowns instead of field goals before we're to cross that bridge.

Broncos

Andrew Mason discusses the versatility of Jacob Hester within Denver's offense, which Hester says he learned through early morning and late evening cram sessions with Brock Osweiler and Caleb Hanie after his mid-season signing last year.

From the DP comes a suggestion that the Broncos ran the fourth fastest offense in the NFL last year. Of course, we should never leave statistical analysis up to them; tempo isn't solely determined by how many plays a team runs. In order to isolate how quickly an offense operates, time of possession must be considered, as Stuart did last month; according to his data, the Broncos were only the tenth fastest offense.

Shannon Sharpe rocked a pink suit and purple bowtie at Game 2 of the NBA Finals last night.

News

HOFer Jim Brown thinks the NFL has only recently taken head injuries seriously, and that the league is behind NASCAR in that regard. Like his fellow Syracuse alum Floyd Little, he thinks the new rule prohibiting runners from lowering their heads is well intentioned, but illogical.

NFL retirees are divided over whether a $42M settlement is sufficient compensation for use of their images by the league and NFL Films.

The Bears are shipping 2011 first-rounder Gabe Carimi to Tampa Bay in exchange for a sixth-rounder in 2014.

Dolphins TE Dustin Keller says he's glad to have left the circus that is the LOLJets.

Analysis

Mike Tanier discusses the more silly recent news items from around the NFL, including the hilarious delayed denial from Bill Belichick that he hates Tim Tebow the football player, and the real context of the Steelers' recent quotes about the Ultimate Teammate™.

Don Shula ranks #3 on ESPN's list of the greatest coaches of all time.

Stuart uses Vegas spreads to discern implied SRS ratings for 83 NCAA teams, with Colorado at the bottom of the list.

Doug is IAOFM’s resident newsman and spelling czar. Follow him on Twitter @IAOFM

Like Broncos, Patriots undone against Ravens by turnovers and poor decisions; controversy around selection of SB's head ref; Vick uninterested in joining LOLJets

I suspect most ofthat is to run time off the clock OR make sure that the D does not change at the last second.

The main reason we play it that way is to keep the defense from substituting. If they are at the LOS so fast every time the opposing coach has to call time out to substitute. At MHS. That is a very good thing.

Posted by Lonestar47 on 2013-06-10 21:29:12

Regarding tempo, not surprised to see us down @ 10... after all, we all know Manning's tendency to get everyone set at the ball, then spend 30 seconds audibling...

Posted by Andrew Griffin on 2013-06-10 15:42:00

"dont get your statistical analysis from PK..."

PK: a.k.a. "sports writer of the year 2013"

/cue christmas ape conniptions

Posted by MississippiMudWalk on 2013-06-10 14:09:28

MIke Alstott 2.0

Posted by Truman Jensen on 2013-06-10 13:22:12

Tebow should market himself as mister 2 point conversion and latch on to a team as that kind of specialist. I don't miss him and his circus, but I have to admit that I can't recall off the top of my feeble minded head a missed 2 point conversion try during his season as our starter.

And, as a Nuggets fan, I just want to point out that Josh Kroenke has accepted the challenge made by Josh McDaniels to be the most ego-driven "Josh" in the world.

Posted by magster on 2013-06-10 13:07:11

Converging a couple of today's topics, I never understood why they didn't go for 2 XP more often, if not always, when Tebow was QB. Points were at a premium, he was arguably one of the best in that situation, and they were pretty trying anything the could anyway.

Posted by Kell_C on 2013-06-10 12:28:38

Mike Tanier's article is great. On point and entertaining in this slow period.

Posted by bradley on 2013-06-10 12:03:45

It'd be fun if the NFL (or at least the Broncos) started playing like we play Madden (going for two every time and going for it on fourth and short). I don't think it's too far away from becoming a reality.

I worked with Kerley's mom and watched him grow up. He's a good kid, really wish he went to a better team...

Posted by Truman Jensen on 2013-06-10 09:37:28

From the Tanier column:

"Mark Sanchez admitted that he still does not know some of his receivers' names... "We've come up with some funny nicknames for some of them, because you don't even know their names and they're just in there," Sanchez said. They probably have Seven Dwarfs-style names at the moment: Pokey, Dropsy, Clumsy, Tiny, Kerley, Unlikely and Covered."