The United Kingdom and the EU have reached a deal in the Brexit negotiations. Unfortunately the road to an orderly Brexit remains a bumpy one and getting the deal approved by the UK Parliament is the main challenge.

The choice of the British population to leave the EU will have significant consequences for the relationship between the EU and the UK. Our Brexit Monitor helps you keep track of the latest Brexit developments and prepare for things to come.

The UK brought the Brexit talks with the EU to a stand-still on 14 October. EU’s original deadline for a signed deal has been missed. We now estimate the chances of a ‘hard Brexit’ as almost as high as those of a deal.

Prime Minister May of the United Kingdom survived the annual conference of the Conservative Party and that strengthens her position. The next milestone is the October EU summit and negotiations are intensifying ahead of it.

The Brexit summit of EU leaders in Salzburg on 19-20 September ended up in a drama. That is not justified but it suggests the EU and the UK lack a good understanding of each other and that raises the odds of a ‘Hard Brexit’ by accident.

Leaving the EU has direct and structural economic costs for the UK, irrespective of how the country leaves the EU. The magnitude of the impact depends on the future trade relationship they will negotiate with the EU, and a transition period could soften the blow. From that perspective it is not reassuring that with six months left before ‘Brexit day’ the UK is still divided over the Brexit objectives.

The UK government published a long awaited White Paper on the blueprint for the post-Brexit EU-UK relationship. The proposal brings more clarity but not more certainty. Hence the threat of a hard Brexit persists.

On 6 July PM May and her cabinet agreed on a blueprint for the future EU-UK economic relationship, one that keeps close ties to the EU post-Brexit and angered the Brexiteers. PM May averts another crisis but is not out of the woods yet.

The choice of the British population to leave the EU will have significant consequences for trade between the EU and the UK and will affect many companies. Our Brexit Monitor helps you track the latest Brexit Developments and anticipate on further progress.

The Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Theresa May, averts another crisis and pushes the Brexit can down the road making it likely that the Brexit negotiations run into further delays and the withdrawal agreement is ready only towards the end of 2018.

The choice of the UK to leave the EU will have significant consequences for trade between the EU and the UK and will affect many companies. Our Brexit Monitor tracks the latest Brexit developments and anticipates on further progress.

The EU and the UK reached an agreement over a transition period on March 19, 2018. That is good for business continuity but does not affect our Brexit outcome base case. Hence, we maintain our view that the economy will slow down in 2018.

The future of green investments is inextricably linked to the outlook for the cost of carbon. In this article, we look at the current path of carbon reduction and its outlook. We also look at regulatory and private sector trends in Europe.