NBA Pick: Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors

The ball tips at 7:00 ET at the Air Canada Centre tonight with the host team trailing 1-0 in the series as the underdog Bucks defeated Toronto Raptors in game one, (97-83.) Milwaukee’s offensive star in game one was Giannis Antetokounmpo as he tallied 28 points making 13 of 18 shots while collecting 8 rebounds.

As for the Raptors, they know all too well how the opening games in a playoff series have gone as they are now on an 0-8 run and those 83 points scored was their second lowest points scored in the season, (82 at San Antonio on January 3.) The only Raptor to make a 3-pointer was Serge Ibaka, who scored 19 points as well as 14 rebounds. As a team, Toronto was 5 of 23 from long range. Kyle Lowry missed all 6 three point attempts and only scored 4 points while DeRozan was only 7 for 21 while scoring 27 points to lead the Raptors.

Winning Angles

Milwaukee is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 quarterfinal playoff games.

Toronto is 4-0 ATS when off a straight up loss as well as 6-1 ATS when off an ATS loss.

In the second half of the season the past two seasons the Bucks are 32-45 ATS and -17.50-units vs. teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots per game.

The Raptors are 06-22 ATS +11.80-units vs. poor foul drawing teams that attempt 24 or less free throws a game this season.

The Bucks are 34-43 ATS and -13.30-units vs. teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots per game this season.

Super Systems

When leading in a playoff series, play against road teams in the first half. This system is 330-234 = 59% since 1996 an +72.60-units.

Play on home teams in the first half, when trailing in a playoff series, good team when they’re winning between 60% to 75% or more of their games on the season.This system is 166-102 = 62% ATS since 1996 and +53.80-units.