With the new coach bringing in an attacking offense and most likely a 3-4 attacking defense, this is who I would like the Browns to target with each of their picks. (I'm including the 7th rounder that they will likely receive from the Eagles for that training camp trade)

Round 1, Pick 6:
Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia
- Jones may end up going 2nd or 5th overall to the Jaguars or the Lions. But I think ultimately he will end up being available at the 6th pick. Jones will immediately step in and play opposite of Jabaal Sheard at OLB. Sheard's primary duty will be to rush the passer, while Jones will play a jack-of-all-trades position. This could be a deadly combination on third down if Sheard can make the transition.

Round 3, Pick 6:
Blidi Wreh-Wilson, CB, UConn
- Wreh-Wilson has the size (6-0, 190) and the athleticism (4.45) of a quality starter. Hopefully the Browns resign and try Brown at FS. Wreh-Wilson could jump in opposite of Haden and allow Skrine to strictly play nickel, where he is decent (while horrible on an island).

Round 4, Pick 7:
J.C. Tretter, OG, Cornell
- A small school prospect who is rising up boards. He started as a Tight End and has put on over 65 lbs of mass, but in the NFL he will need to get stronger. He could start out as a great pulling technician to help the run game out, while providing good pass protection.

Round 5, Pick 6:
Michael Williams, TE, Alabama
Williams has the size and experience to develop into a great blocking Tight End. He is underrated as a pass catcher, but this pick would essentially be for Double Tight sets with Cameron as the primary receiver and Williams as a blocking counterpart.

Round 6, Pick 7:
Rontez Miles, FS, California (PA)
- This guy looks the part with decent size and athleticism. He is a fearless, big hitter across the middle, but he will have to adjust to the athleticism in the NFL.

Round 7, Pick 4 (From Eagles):
Ryan Allen, P, Louisiana Tech
- I am sick of the sub par punting over the past couple of years. Hodges needs to go, and the Browns need to try to get either Allen or Quinn Sharp in the 7th. There looks to be three draftable Punters in this year's class, and the Jaguars proved that a rookie punter can step in and be a force in field position (the Jags just couldn't do anything else right)

Round 7, Pick 6
Marquise Goodwin, WR, Texas
- Goodwin is a phenomenal athlete qualifying for the Olympics in the long jump (over 27 feet, which is amazing considering he is 5-9, and he ran a 10.24 100m dash). With Goodwin and Benjamin on special teams and using him sporadically in four or five wide sets, the Browns would truly be a vertical team.

Jarvis would be nice if he can get past the doctors. His medical situation will ultimately decide his draft fate. For me, it is far too early in the draft process to get any kind of read on rounds 2-7.

Cudders, hope you don't mind, but I wanted to repost this here to help get this discussion going.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cudders

Well, Chud reiterated to the media in Cleveland that it’s going to be a mixed defense. Meanwhile, Horton told the media in Arizona that it’s going to be a 3-4 that mirrors Pittsburgh’s. He also said during the radio interview that he would’ve been able to add Norv Turner to his staff if he was promoted in Arizona. Did Chud hire Horton? Or did Banner and Haslam pull rank and hand Horton to Chud? And is Horton bitter that Chud got the Browns job over him? It’s clear there are some things that still need to be worked out. A star-studded coaching staff is useless if it’s divided. The head coach sets the scheme. The coordinators work within that scheme. The position coaches teach to the responsibilities of that scheme. There’s little room for a rogue attitude.

Now, at this point, it might be a misunderstanding. I don’t know. Chud might be speaking in generalities about the gradual incorporation of even front concepts within an odd front. Which, given the homogenization of defense in the NFL, isn’t inconceivable. I’ve seen Arizona run some even front. But Horton’s definition of a mixed defense might be a unit that lacks a “base” front altogether. The origin of their differences doesn’t matter. It just needs to be addressed and corrected as soon as possible. Regardless, this seems to be the first communication barrier that needs to be hurdled.

As far as personnel goes, I think our front seven fits the switch. We’ve got a lot of big bodies and bulk. Once OTA’s and mini-camps and training camp start, we can move some pieces around and find their best fit. I think we’ve got a flexible line. I could see multiple unit combinations. Our starting trench size is rare for a team transitioning to an odd front.

The biggest need is a rush linebacker. Given the makeup of this class, we need to capitalize and hit on a rusher with the sixth overall pick. Sheard could be a solid part of our edge force as long as he works on hand usage and re-routing techniques. But I don’t see high upside there, so adding an explosive pass rusher with potential opposite him makes sense. Horton is a self-described aggressive coordinator. An edge presence would be put to good use.

Past that, I expect the Mallett rumors have serious merit. Lombardi loved the kid coming out of Arkansas and remains close friends with Belichick. Chud professed his desire to run a vertical offense in his initial presser. Mallett’s arm talent fits those concepts and meets that vision. New England doesn’t have a fourth, fifth, or sixth in the upcoming draft. The links between the Browns and Patriots make sense. New England gets the selections they’re starving for and Cleveland gets their future quarterback. I’m guessing for a multi-pick package. A framework of something like a fourth- and sixth-rounder in 2013 and a second-rounder in 2014. Perhaps a non-pick piece, too. Or our third instead of the fourth.

That leaves a rough, rough draft along the lines of:

RD 1 (6) – Barkevious Mingo | OLB | LSU
I doubt Damontre Moore lasts to the sixth pick. Jarvis Jones has to clear his medical concerns and could be vulnerable to a slight slip. That leaves Mingo or Jordan. From what I’ve seen so far, I like Mingo’s projectables more.

RD 3 (68) – Larry Warford | RG | Kentucky
It’s hard to get a read on these bigger guards. It wouldn’t surprise me if Warford didn’t last this long. But we’ve seen the guard position get devalued and pushed down, too. I would love to grab a massive mauler like him right here. We need interior push.
RD 5 (132) – Michael Williams | TE | Alabama or Brad Wing | P | LSU
It’s important that a tight end gives their guard short corners to get around on wide runs. Williams is a powerful in-line blocker and profiles as a valuable part of the tight end rotation.

I wouldn’t mind Wing either. Our punting situation hasn’t been the greatest and Wing is a worthwhile prospect. I love a left-footed punter, too.

RD 7 (196) – Cornelius Washington | OLB | Georgia
Just a depth pick. He was an underachiever at Georgia, but I’ve heard intriguing things about his athleticism. Stash him and perhaps develop him as part of a pass rusher stable.

I wouldn’t mind closing with a class like that. Given the shortage of selections, free agents would need to step into starter or stopgap roles. But we have the cap space to do it. A centerfielder is critical and I still think Phillips is the most realistic option on the market. Sign a man corner as a number two. Perhaps squeeze the Steelers on Keenan Lewis? Perhaps Greg Toler because he’s familiar with Horton? Extend Haden and Mack. Re-sign Dawson, Watson, Brown, and perhaps Cribbs. Add a sub-package, coverage specialist at linebacker like Lawson if possible. And then fill out the rest of the roster with flexible, specialized short-term deals.

Looking at the above roster, I think that’s a solid, competitive football team with room to grow. Now, it’s as premature as it gets, and the additions are quite fluid, but it shows that potential exists for this team to be aggressive and target and attack its problem areas in an effort to improve.

Interesting. Horton comments might be revealing some bitterness but I'm still too psyched about the hire to get down about it. Bottom line is Horton knows he needs success here to get HC consideration again so it's all good.

Mingo vs Jordan is a great debate. Someone brought this up in the draft forum and it was pitched. Because the skill sets are so identical I think it comes down to intangibles. now we get to speculate who Lombardi would like more.

Going by some Lombardi comments, I think he thinks WR is a position of need. He mentioned after the Skins game that no one could win 1 on 1 on the outside. Tony Pauline also commented recently that he thought the Browns would look at WR after their first pick. At OG, Greco stepped in and really played better then Pinkston. I think the former 3rd rounder might have found himself a long term starting position. And I haven't heard much on the med status of Pinkston but potentially he's still in future plans.

Steelers are well over the cap and CB Lewis will demand big money imo. That would be a great signing. And Mallett? I was a big fan when he came out. He's humbled himself to a degree in New England and we haven't heard anything negative out of him as yet. I figured he'd go for a conditional 14' pick-a 2nd rounder with the chance of it becoming a 1st. But your right, BB could use more choices in this draft.

I was holding off comment on Blidi Wreh-Wilson until I saw him at senior practices. He really struggled but then looked very good in the game. Still not sold on him.

My most recent mock went something like this...

1. Dion Jordan /OLB/ Oregon
It's close but right now I side more on Jordan then Mingo. I just didn't like the way Mingo looked against quality OTs for most of the year. But really, I could go either way. Jordan makes plays all over the field, looking like a 6'7 safety at times. Mingo has shown more physicality though. I don't think Lombardi or Banner would be comfortable with Jones.

3. Stedman Bailey /WR/ West Virginia
Huge fan of Bailey since last season and if he makes it to the 3rd, I think he's a steal. Despite his size he's extremely physical at the los. I loved the way he physically beat up Mo Claiborne last year on running plays.

4. Duke Williams /FS/ Nevada
Hadn't watched any Nevada games this season but was intrigued by this guy in Mobile. Watched a couple games of his since and I like him. Reminds me a little of Brian Dawkins.

5. Brad Wing /P/ LSU
Wasn't Hodges in or almost in the pro bowl his first year starting? what happened?

6. Adrien Bushell /CB/ Louisville
Stood out to me when I watched them vs UConn. Followed him a little more and liked what I saw.

7. Matt Stankiewitch /OC/ Penn State
Another guy who flashed when I watched them play. I've always considered Mack a little overrated and he's due a new contract after this season. It wouldn't surprise me if he's not resigned.

Sio Moore /ILB/ UConn
Followed him and OLB Trevardo Willliams most of the year. He looked very good at the Shrine and Senior practices and games. He looks like a type that could fill a similar role as Daryl Washington, especially as a blitzer.

Cudders, hope you don't mind, but I wanted to repost this here to help get this discussion going.

Not at all.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brown Leader

Interesting. Horton comments might be revealing some bitterness but I'm still too psyched about the hire to get down about it. Bottom line is Horton knows he needs success here to get HC consideration again so it's all good.

Oh, donít get me wrong. I still love the hire. The aggressive potential is salivating. Weíve run a lot of conservative, vanilla defenses over the past decade. While Jauron did some admirable things in Cleveland, I think Hortonís aggressiveness sets him apart. The performance of a defense canít be measured with the same, time-honored benchmarks. More and more, itís becoming a practice of timeliness. Making big stops in big moments. Aggressive, unpredictable coordinators have the edge in those situations because thereís not a discernable pattern to glean and an opening to call the appropriate beater on a consistent basis. Heíll rotate right through the rolodex and bring pressure off that. Clouds, Skies, Cover 1, 2 Man Under, blitzes from the defensive backfield, etc.

And, as stated, he knows he needs to succeed here in order to land a job as a head coach. So I donít doubt his motivation to excel. Undermining Chud would be counterproductive. After reading a transcript of their dual-press conference, Iím inclined to chalk it up as a miscommunication. Horton said itís going to be an attacking, multi-front defense. Like the Cardinals. Or the Steelers. It appears the ďissueĒ stemmed from a differing definition of terminologies.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brown Leader

Mingo vs Jordan is a great debate. Someone brought this up in the draft forum and it was pitched. Because the skill sets are so identical I think it comes down to intangibles. now we get to speculate who Lombardi would like more.

At this point, Iíve just seen more of Mingo. I like Mingoís projectables quite a bit. The coaching staff at LSU didnít put him in a favorable position to showcase an NFL skill set. (Nor is it their job to do that.) Often, heís aligning on the strong side with an inside shade in a three-point stance. In the NFL, I would want to minimize his exposure to both guards and tackles. As an edge rusher with more two-point stance opportunities, I think his explosiveness could shine through. Having his feet under him to start his rush could remove some of his initial hesitance. I like his instincts for someone that picked up football as a high school junior, too. He finds the football and read-and-reacts well. There are some tackling and technique issues that need corrected, but pass rushers that leave college as finished products are rare, so Iím not knocking the kid too hard for that. To me, the most important attributes of a pass rusher are desire and determination. From what Iíve read, Mingoís motor isnít a question mark.

With regard to Jordan, I think he profiles better as a 4-3 SAM. Reminds me some of Lawson in that regard. Right now, I like him in that role quite a bit. The thing that worries me most about Jordan is weight. Iíve read reports that his weight dropped down to 226 lbs. during the season, so Iím not sure what kind of growth potential his frame can support. Thatís something the scouting staff will have to do their homework on. Adding and maintaining healthy weight can be a persistent problem for these hypermetabolic athletes. I donít love the prospect of an edge-setter that light against NFL tackles. I do love his coverage potential though. And his length and explosion could pose serious problems as a blitzer if utilized in a creative scheme. But I need to watch more cut-ups of him.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brown Leader

Going by some Lombardi comments, I think he thinks WR is a position of need. He mentioned after the Skins game that no one could win 1 on 1 on the outside. Tony Pauline also commented recently that he thought the Browns would look at WR after their first pick.

Given the above draft and free agent class, wide receiver can be short-listed in terms of future needs, I agree. I know Lombardi wasnít a fan of Josh Gordonís coming out, but Gordon can win one-on-oneís on the outside and stretch the field. Iím hopeful Lombardiís evaluation will change after watching the tape. If we want to be vertical, Gordon is going to be a big part of that plan. While Little struggled to start the season, I think he flashed enough to get another look as a ďnumber twoĒ. Benjamin is a speed demon with some potential. Wouldnít surprise me if heís relegated to a number four / return specialist role in the future though.

In general, Iím just a fan of attacking areas of a football team in the draft. In this draft, I would target improvement in the running game. Thereís a sizeable investment in Trent Richardson. Norv Turner likes to lean on a reliable running game. A running game helps whoeverís at quarterback and frees up a vertical passing game. The running game was deficient in doses because of shield-blockers starting along the interior. Give me a mauling guard, an in-line tight end, and a rejuvenated Richardson and letís see what kind of progress we can make on the ground.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brown Leader

Steelers are well over the cap and CB Lewis will demand big money imo. That would be a great signing.

I didnít make the immediate connection, but Hortonís familiar with Lewis, too. He was Lewisí position coach for two seasons in Pittsburgh before moving to Arizona. Might have even had a hand in picking him in the draft. It doesnít hurt having a little inside information and perspective on some of these free agent corners. Keenan Lewis, Greg Toler, Mike Jenkins, Terrance Newman, Derek Cox, Antoine Cason, Quentin Jammer, etc.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brown Leader

And Mallett? I was a big fan when he came out. He's humbled himself to a degree in New England and we haven't heard anything negative out of him as yet. I figured he'd go for a conditional 14' pick-a 2nd rounder with the chance of it becoming a 1st. But your right, BB could use more choices in this draft.

Youíre right. In this case, no press just might be good press.

Mallett fell because teams pegged him as an immature kid with potential drug abuse issues. His arm talent grades out much, much higher than a third-round level. Now, the million-dollar question is whether heís recovered from those labels and their stigma.

As referenced, the hope is that his freefall in the draft and backup duties have been humbling experiences. Mallettís spent two seasons in a strict culture. I donít know how his mentoring has been handled, but itís possible heís learned from one of the greatest of all-time through osmosis alone. Observing work habits, listening in the classroom, watching defensive patterns on the sideline, etc. If the management team is confident heís grown as a person, his position and upside make him a worthwhile risk.

Iíve heard rumblings about bringing Alex Smith into the organization. I donít know if I see it. I understand his ties to Norv, but Mallett is a stronger fit for Clevelandís profile. I think Smith is better than a good chunk of starting quarterbacks in the NFL because heís careful and smart. I just donít see the vertical-centric skill set that the new staff claims to covet that would make him a viable option here.

The reason I would want Jordan is for what he would do for passing defense in its entirety. He probably will never be a 10+ sack guy, but if you put him opposite of a pure rush backer like Sheard, Jordan is perfect as a pass rusher/coverage backer combination. Jordan's zone/man coverage skills are excellent for a guy his size, and would really help counter the athletic Tight End craze.

I've been pulling for Brad Wing and Michael Williams, but both will likely be taken in Round 5. The punting has been terrible for two years and Wing could step in and become a Top 10 punter immediately, maybe even Top 5. Williams would provide a great compliment to Cameron and has potential to become one of the top blocking TE's in the league. Either would be fantastic in Round 5.

Also I really hope the Browns pass on taking a WR in this draft. They should pick up a decent slot receiver in Free Agency. The two best case scenarios would be Danny Amendola or Greg Jennings. Both come with injury concerns and would probably become over-payed the minute they sign the contract, but I would like the aggressive move by the Front Office.

Sheard is not a great pass rusher. I don't know why so many analysts have him as the primary pass rusher in Horton's scheme. This past season, I think it's safe to say he was better on run defense.

And I'm not a fan of signing Paul Kruger to a big contract. He's not a top tier pass rusher. He's a lot like Jarrett Johnson in the Ravens scheme. He had a playoffs full of splash sacks and now he's being considered a big time OLB/DE. He's playing across from a former league defensive MVP in Suggs. Kruger/Sheard would be solid but definitely not special.

A lot of mocks have the Browns going CB with the first pick. I don't like taking Milliner at #6. Even if he eventually becomes a great player, he'll have his growing pains as a young player. He won't play as good as Brown did last year as a rookie. I think it makes much more sense to go with a solid FA CB, who's proven and in his prime. (Keenan Lewis)We don't have to project how a guy may or may not pan out and we get a solid CB for the next 4-5 seasons.

I disagree that Jordan won't be a 10+ sack guy. His problem is strength and technique (which is readily fixable) but he's got elite first step quickness and bend.

I'd like to see us make a play in FA for TE Fred Davis and WR Danario Alexander. Both carry some injury concerns but each were the best rec threats on their teams when 100% healthy. They might not be as coveted this off season because of the injury issues. It's well worth the risk. The Browns offfense needs more playmakers and experienced talent would help more then adding more rookies.

Right now, I'm favoring E.J. Manuel as a high upside guy to groom behind Weeden. It would be wasteful to replace Weeden after his rookie season. Give him an opportunity to start his 2nd season and see how much progress he makes with a better system and staff. He could be a valuable bargaining chip if a developing player like Manuel really shows promise.

I like Jordan more than either Jones or Mingo. I think he does have the frame to play at #245. He has the athleticism to do anything you ask of him. More than anything, he has extremely uncommon coverage skills for a guy with his height & stature. I think that, with the evolution of the TE in the passing game, a similar movement will follow with linebackers...I call it the Coverbacker. Fast enough to handle a RB or WR (in short spaces) yet big enough to cover a TE on seam routes. Additionally, has all the tools to go the other way and rush the passer. A huge matchup problem for OC's, rather than the other way around.

Trust me on this one, you don't want Danario Alexander. It isn't a matter of him being "injury prone." His knee is permanenly injured, and he plays when it allows him to. He will never actually be healthy. This is really frustrating because you can never know what you can count on. He is a great fit for a team like Jacksonville, a team that will never invest heavily in their receiving corps.

I like Kruger a lot. He definitely benefitted from playing opposite Suggs, but not as much as some guys in the past, such as the guy in Minnesota who made a Pro Bowl opposite Jared Allen only to stink it up when he left. One thing you can always depend on with Kruger is that his motor never quits. I don't know if I would give him a huge contract, but he is more deserving of $8 million a year than a lot of guys out there.

I like Mike Williams too, but I think he is more of a 6th-7th rounder. It will depend a lot on what he runs. I love those big blockers, though. He looked more athletic that I thought he would at the Senior Bowl, and caught a beautiful TD pass from Manuel.

Sheard is not a great pass rusher. I don't know why so many analysts have him as the primary pass rusher in Horton's scheme. This past season, I think it's safe to say he was better on run defense.

And I'm not a fan of signing Paul Kruger to a big contract. He's not a top tier pass rusher. He's a lot like Jarrett Johnson in the Ravens scheme. He had a playoffs full of splash sacks and now he's being considered a big time OLB/DE. He's playing across from a former league defensive MVP in Suggs. Kruger/Sheard would be solid but definitely not special.

A lot of mocks have the Browns going CB with the first pick. I don't like taking Milliner at #6. Even if he eventually becomes a great player, he'll have his growing pains as a young player. He won't play as good as Brown did last year as a rookie. I think it makes much more sense to go with a solid FA CB, who's proven and in his prime. (Keenan Lewis)We don't have to project how a guy may or may not pan out and we get a solid CB for the next 4-5 seasons.

I disagree that Jordan won't be a 10+ sack guy. His problem is strength and technique (which is readily fixable) but he's got elite first step quickness and bend.

I'd like to see us make a play in FA for TE Fred Davis and WR Danario Alexander. Both carry some injury concerns but each were the best rec threats on their teams when 100% healthy. They might not be as coveted this off season because of the injury issues. It's well worth the risk. The Browns offfense needs more playmakers and experienced talent would help more then adding more rookies.

Right now, I'm favoring E.J. Manuel as a high upside guy to groom behind Weeden. It would be wasteful to replace Weeden after his rookie season. Give him an opportunity to start his 2nd season and see how much progress he makes with a better system and staff. He could be a valuable bargaining chip if a developing player like Manuel really shows promise.

I think Jordan is a nice prospect but #6 is quite high for him but it isn't outside the realm of possibility. I seriously doubt Kruger ever reaches FA, he's far more likely to be franchised on a team loaded with older players.

I like Jordan more than either Jones or Mingo. I think he does have the frame to play at #245. He has the athleticism to do anything you ask of him. More than anything, he has extremely uncommon coverage skills for a guy with his height & stature. I think that, with the evolution of the TE in the passing game, a similar movement will follow with linebackers...I call it the Coverbacker. Fast enough to handle a RB or WR (in short spaces) yet big enough to cover a TE on seam routes. Additionally, has all the tools to go the other way and rush the passer. A huge matchup problem for OC's, rather than the other way around.

Trust me on this one, you don't want Danario Alexander. It isn't a matter of him being "injury prone." His knee is permanenly injured, and he plays when it allows him to. He will never actually be healthy. This is really frustrating because you can never know what you can count on. He is a great fit for a team like Jacksonville, a team that will never invest heavily in their receiving corps.

I like Kruger a lot. He definitely benefitted from playing opposite Suggs, but not as much as some guys in the past, such as the guy in Minnesota who made a Pro Bowl opposite Jared Allen only to stink it up when he left. One thing you can always depend on with Kruger is that his motor never quits. I don't know if I would give him a huge contract, but he is more deserving of $8 million a year than a lot of guys out there.

I like Mike Williams too, but I think he is more of a 6th-7th rounder. It will depend a lot on what he runs. I love those big blockers, though. He looked more athletic that I thought he would at the Senior Bowl, and caught a beautiful TD pass from Manuel.

Yeah, I shouldn't have said Alexander at 100%. I mean when he was able to play last season with Norv and Rivers, he played like a #1 WR. The Browns have 2 young starters in Gordon and Little. Whatever DA could produce would be a plus. At best, he's stays healthy as he did in SD and gives great production, at worst he's a jag that didn't work out. I think it's worth it for a reasonable price.

I've looked more at E.J. Manuel recently trying to confirm that he's a high upside guy and I'm coming away more disappointed. The tools are there but he lacks the mindset to go and try and take over a game. He's entirely too passive. In FSU's biggest rivalry games, against Miami and Florida, he really shrunk in the moment.

If recent rumors are true that Tyler Wilson might drop into the 3rd, and Lombardi is intent on getting a QB, then he's our guy.

Yeah, I shouldn't have said Alexander at 100%. I mean when he was able to play last season with Norv and Rivers, he played like a #1 WR. The Browns have 2 young starters in Gordon and Little. Whatever DA could produce would be a plus. At best, he's stays healthy as he did in SD and gives great production, at worst he's a jag that didn't work out. I think it's worth it for a reasonable price.

I agree, you just wouldn't want to overpay for him or expect him to be completely dependable. Personally, I think he should go see Dr. Andrews and look into becoming the first NFL player with a full knee replacement. While there is a high likelihood that this would end has career, someone will have to be the first, and if there was a chance it could solve his knee problems and allow him to play at 80% without all the injury problems it might be worth it.

I'm all for high upside, raw pass rushers who are athletic freaks but didn't produce a ton in college. They seem to work out a lot. Jason Pierre-Paul, Aldon Smith, Chandler Jones being the 3 best recent examples, maybe Robert Quinn too. So....I'm all for Dion Jordan at #6, or Ezekiel Ansah if not him. Both of these guys are huge 6-6 outside pass rushers with closing speed and athleticism to fit in any system.

Of course if we don't go DE/OLB, obiviously Dee Milliner at #6 would be a no brainer. Big, super fast, long shutdown cornerback at Alabama who would be a great compliment to Haden.

I like the prospects of getting a good safety, WR, or guard in round 3. This is a deep draft at safety and WR, and I think it's pretty deep at OG too.

And I also think you make a great point about TRich. They drafted him high so they should concentrate on their running game to make it a strength. Could Warmack or Cooper be a good pick in the first round?

So, the rumor mill is churning. Reports circulating that Lombardi loves Geno Smith. Even told a South Florida radio station that he believes Smith is worth the number one overall pick when he was an NFL Network pundit. Donít know if he was pandering to a hometown kid at the time, but I tend to believe thereís substance behind these rumors.

Iíve watched a few games of Smith. Heís a prospect with a wild streak. Itís a little frustrating to watch. When that West Virginia offense is firing, he looks like a world-beater. When it struggles, his limitations are brought to the forefront. Iíve got three main issues with him.

First, progressions. Heís a deficient frontside-to-backside passer. This is a tough one. Often, that offense cuts the field and runs complementing route combinations to win separation. Itís a common college concept. So Geno is just executing offensive directives when heís throwing frontside. But when heís forced to throw the ball elsewhere, he is robotic moving to the backside and validating it. Not fluid through his reads. Thatís the evaluation. Now, itís important to find the subtext. WHY was Geno a deficient frontside-to-backside passer? Option A is Geno wasnít asked to do it, so the coaches didnít devote much time to it. The job of an NCAA coach isnít to prepare prospects for the NFL. Itís to win football games for their school. Thereís a taxing time constraint at the college level that doesnít exist for professionals. Perhaps Holgorsen felt that his time with Smith was best allocated in other focus areas. You canít fault someone for something thatís never been taught to them. Option B is Geno might have been coached some, but still struggles with the post-snap validation of a pre-snap read thatís not to the side of his primaries. Again, find the subtext. Is it an issue of low reps? Is it an issue of ineffective coaching techniques? It is an issue that Geno is cognizant of and working to correct? Not all college quarterbacks are Andrew Luck. Some need a little more seasoning. Thatís not a problem. Option C is Geno just might not be able to process a multitude of concepts at chaotic in-game speeds. And thatís the killer one.

Second, transitional footwork. Heís not a glider. Heís a bouncer. It chops and slows his drop. On a timing-based throw in the NFL, thatís disastrous. Also, his tendencies to bounce raise issues in the pocket, too. It lengthens re-set time. The best quarterbacks use short steps to keep a balanced, consistent base. The ball can come out quicker. With Smith, his base is unbalanced and inconsistent. When linebackers and linemen rush to their spot, the quarterback needs to get off it or get rid of it.

Third, pressure. This one is tied to the second. The longer the re-set, the quicker the pocket gets clipped, the tighter the throw becomes. He was able to escape some pressure wobblers in college because of gaping windows. The coverage, closing speed, and ball skills of an NFL defensive back is different. Thatís where the coaching needs to start. Correcting the feet. It starts from the base up. Heís got natural, quick feet. It depends on whether heís willing to work at it. It can take thousands of reps to fix.

From what Iíve heard, Genoís work ethic is tireless. Thatís a bonus. His idea of cutting loose after a win was preparing for next week. Thatís a bonus. Coaches love when their quarterbacks are their hardest workers because much of that position is mental. Genoís fate will be decided in interview rooms. Both when teams interview him and teams interview former coaches and teammates. Thatís where teams will get the best feel for what he was asked to do, how much he knows, how much he needs to learn, how well he learns, how driven he is, how he interacts with his teammates, how he interacts with his coaches, etc. Charles Davis suggested at the Combine that West Virginia coaches were frustrated that he didnít run more often. Thatís something that will be brought up. Is neglecting his athleticism a conscious decision? Was he ignoring the expressed wishes of his coaches? If Geno checks out in those meetings, it wouldnít surprise me if heís the pick. That said, Iím unconvinced that heís there at six. I think Oakland will be quite interested at three. Heís a similar prospect to Aaron Rodgers, so Iím sure Reggie McKenzieís interest is piqued at least.

Other than Geno, and assuming Ansah is gone, I have our big board looking something like:

1.) Dion Jordan | ROLB | Oregon | 6-6 ľ, 248 lbs, 4.60 (1.57 Split)
Iím a Jordan ďconvertĒ. I love his ceiling and skill set. I donít love the reports of being 226 lbs. during the season, but Oregon pushes a torrid pace in practice and Jordan was dealing with a torn labrum, too. If the trainers believed he could manage his weight on an NFL training regimen, his athleticism and length and experience in space gives him the edge.

2.) Barkevious Mingo | ROLB | LSU | 6-4 ľ, 241 lbs, 4.58 (1.55 Split)
Still a bigger fan of Mingo than most. I think this kid is a strict 3-4 OLB. His explosiveness is much better out of a two-point stance. Isolating him from LSUís scheme, heís got a lot of the translatable tools weíre looking for in a rush linebacker. Growth potential is just as concerning as Jordan.

5.) Xavier Rhodes | CB | Florida St. | 6-1 Ĺ, 210 lbs, 4.43 (1.47 Split)
If we dip into the free agent market for a pass rusher, we have the chance to add a corner opposite Haden. At this point, I value Rhodes over Milliner. Love Rhodesí blend of size, speed, and strength. Love his length. Superior positioning skills. I donít know if Iíd take Milliner in the top ten. I think heís overrated. Iíd consider Rhodes at six.

And, if we decide to leverage one of the left tackles or pass rushers into a trade down to pick up more picks in the depth of the draft, two mid-first prospects to target:

1.) Tyler Eifert | TE | Notre Dame | 6-5 Ĺ, 250 lbs, 4.68 (1.66 Split)
I think heís the best tight end in this class and it isnít even close. Love the hands, the catching radius, the jump-ball abilities, the athleticism, the improvement as a blocker, etc. Both Chud and Norv come from tight end backgrounds. The tight end is an evolving mismatch. Eifert profiles as a big-time weapon for the Browns. His value just isnít tied to the areas weíre picking.

2.) D.J. Fluker | RG | Alabama | 6-4 ⅝, 339 lbs, 5.31 (1.83 Split)
I think Flukerís got the skill set to kick inside to guard. Heís got massive mauling potential in that role. Not as polished as Warmack or Cooper, but the raw talent and upside is evident.

(Note: A mid-to-late round guard that Iím intrigued with is Edmund Kugbila from Valdosta State. Moved from Africa to United States. Started football in junior high. Received scholarship offers from Alabama, Florida, and Georgia, but didnít meet admission standards. Good size, long arms, decent movement skills. Appears to be a promising project.)

Quote:

Originally Posted by gpngc

Cudders, have you given up on Weeden?

And I also think you make a great point about TRich. They drafted him high so they should concentrate on their running game to make it a strength. Could Warmack or Cooper be a good pick in the first round?

Given up is a tough term. I wasnít a fan of the pick in the first place. I never saw the polish that his age suggested. After his rookie season, I havenít seen enough from Weeden to abandon that belief. Is continued investment in the development of an overage quarterback worth the potential reward of having a stable signal-caller with a short shelf life? Thatís the bottom-line. In the end, I would explore all possible upgrades, but I wouldnít feel obligated to dump Weeden right now. I would need confidence in the quarterback. ďHeís better than what weíve gotĒ isnít enough of a reason. That line of thinking drafted Weeden. If none of the choices instill confidence, Iím fine with Weeden as a placeholder while the core coalesces. That said, if Weeden doesnít make significant strides in his second season, then an aggressive pursuit of a long-term replacement needs to be launched.

And, as I said, Iíd consider them quite a bit. Even harder if itís a trade down scenario.

Great breakdown. I wouldn't be upset with Smith at #6 but I don't like the thought of completely bailing on Weeden, not just yet. I'd wager rumored interest is an attempt to stir a trade up for him if he's there.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cudders

Charles Davis suggested at the Combine that West Virginia coaches were frustrated that he didn’t run more often. That’s something that will be brought up. Is neglecting his athleticism a conscious decision? Was he ignoring the expressed wishes of his coaches? If Geno checks out in those meetings, it wouldn’t surprise me if he’s the pick. That said, I’m unconvinced that he’s there at six. I think Oakland will be quite interested at three. He’s a similar prospect to Aaron Rodgers, so I’m sure Reggie McKenzie’s interest is piqued at least.

Smith got on set with Davis and spoke of his reluctance to run, saying he was the facilitator of the offense and didn't want to selfishly take it over. That almost strikes me as a flag. Idk, but I'd prefer a guy who wants to take over games.

Latest Browns mock..

1. Cleveland Browns – Dion Jordan /OLB-DE/ Oregon:
Jarvis Jones is the perfect scheme fit but I think Lombardi/Banner won’t take the risk. Jordan’s got a similar skill set to previous busts like Jarvis Moss-Aaron Maybin, but I think his experience and ability in space separates him. It’s also remarkable that he put up such a solid season while playing half of it with that torn labrum. Had he stayed healthy, he'd have even more buzz. NFL comp. Julian Peterson (with 4 more inches)

Great breakdown. I wouldn't be upset with Smith at #6 but I don't like the thought of completely bailing on Weeden, not just yet. I'd wager rumored interest is an attempt to stir a trade up for him if he's there.

Smith got on set with Davis and spoke of his reluctance to run, saying he was the facilitator of the offense and didn't want to selfishly take it over. That almost strikes me as a flag. Idk, but I'd prefer a guy who wants to take over games.

Latest Browns mock..

1. Cleveland Browns Ė Dion Jordan /OLB-DE/ Oregon:
Jarvis Jones is the perfect scheme fit but I think Lombardi/Banner wonít take the risk. Jordanís got a similar skill set to previous busts like Jarvis Moss-Aaron Maybin, but I think his experience and ability in space separates him. Itís also remarkable that he put up such a solid season while playing half of it with that torn labrum. Had he stayed healthy, he'd have even more buzz. NFL comp. Julian Peterson (with 4 more inches)

1 -12. TRADE Cleveland Browns (MIA) – Tyler Eifert /TE/ Notre Dame:
It's clear with the pursuit of Fred Davis that the Browns FO doesn't see Jordan Cameron as the guy at receiving TE. Chudzinski's offense revolves around the TEs to the degree that he's contemplating stitching K2 back together for a reunion. "Eifert is underrated and I think his stock will soar as the draft gets closer-starting with the combine." -Check. NFL Comp. Jason Witten

2 -24. TRADE Cleveland Browns (MIA) – Tyrann Mathieu* /CB/ LSU:
If he showed the same awareness and humility in team interviews he showed on NFLN, he’s going to get some team execs table banging for him. Possibly the best CB out of this class. NFL Comp. Brent Grimes

4 -7. Cleveland Browns – Tyler Wilson /QB/ Arkansas:
Wilson’s small hands and the beating he took as a senior are looking like deal breakers for his stock. The team that eventually drafts him is going to get a big steal. NFL comp. Matt Hasselbeck

1.) Tyler Eifert | TE | Notre Dame | 6-5 Ĺ, 250 lbs, 4.68 (1.66 Split)
I think he’s the best tight end in this class and it isn’t even close. Love the hands, the catching radius, the jump-ball abilities, the athleticism, the improvement as a blocker, etc. Both Chud and Norv come from tight end backgrounds. The tight end is an evolving mismatch. Eifert profiles as a big-time weapon for the Browns. His value just isn’t tied to the areas we’re picking.

I'm wondering if Eifert could be in play with our first pick, even without a trade down.

1 -12. TRADE Cleveland Browns (MIA) Ė Tavon Austin /WR-RB/ West Virginia:
With big money spent on the front 7 in FA and the dearth of quality CBs in this draft, I think Lombardi looks to upgrade the offense first by trading down and getting the draft's most explosive player. The value of a legitimate playmaker is higher then ever-Harvin/Cruz/Wallace. And similar to Harvin, Austin can be utilized everywhere on offense. NFL comp. (taller) Darren Sproles

2 -24. TRADE Cleveland Browns (MIA) Ė Tyrann Mathieu* /CB/ LSU:
If he showed the same awareness and humility in team interviews he showed on NFLN, heís going to get some team execs table banging for him. Possibly the best CB out of this class. NFL Comp. Brent Grimes

4 -7. Cleveland Browns Ė Tyler Wilson /QB/ Arkansas:
Wilsonís small hands and the beating he took as a senior are looking like deal breakers for his stock. The team that eventually drafts him is going to get a big steal. NFL comp. Matt Hasselbeck

I'm wondering if Eifert could be in play with our first pick, even without a trade down.

This draft I'm not at all crazy about. I love Austin but only as a 2nd rounder. He's way too small to ever be special, strickly a slot receiver who will always be 1 hit away from a career ending injury. No way I would ever touch him in round 1.

I also love Mathieu but he's a 3/4 th rounder at best considering his drug issues. Very talented guy but with a high drug bust issue.

This draft I'm not at all crazy about. I love Austin but only as a 2nd rounder. He's way too small to ever be special, strickly a slot receiver who will always be 1 hit away from a career ending injury. No way I would ever touch him in round 1.

I also love Mathieu but he's a 3/4 th rounder at best considering his drug issues. Very talented guy but with a high drug bust issue.

The rest of the draft I like.

Changed it up already with Eifert but I disagree on Austin. I think he's tough enough to play a good bit of RB. I get the sense the good teams picking at the backend of the 2nd round might take a gamble on a playmaker like Mathieu. Especially Belichick.

Changed it up already with Eifert but I disagree on Austin. I think he's tough enough to play a good bit of RB. I get the sense the good teams picking at the backend of the 2nd round might take a gamble on a playmaker like Mathieu. Especially Belichick.

Trouble with Mathieu isn't talent, he's got 1st round talent IMO, but he failed multiple drug tests at LSU before they finally had enough and booted him off the team. I think the absolute best he can hope for is round 3 but even that might be too high.

Austin is 5'8" and 174lbs. There is no way he can play RB in the NFL, end around on occassion but that is about it. He has great explosion and if he were 6'1", 200lbs., he would be a top 5 pick but he isn't and we saw last year with Wilson, that if you are small, you won't get picked high in the draft no matter how talented you are.

now Johnson could go 4th but I doubt it. What Detroit does at 5 would then hold the key to our pick. If they go Ansah which there is a lot of rumor that they would in this scenario, then Johnson falls to 6 and we can (and I think will) trade down with a team like Miami or San Diego. If Detroit takes Johnson, then we take the top player on our board.

Now say we are picking at 6 and Johnson is gone. We are stuck most likely and have to pick probably between these guys:

Ansah, Lotuleilei, Milliner, and Mingo.

I think those are the realistic four. I have no idea which one they'd take. Before, Miliner seemed obvious, but all the talk of him dropping out of the top 10 makes me skeptical.

If we trade down to 11 or 12, I figure we might still get a shot at some of those guys. Lotuleilei might fall b/c of the lack of need for a DT among the other top 10 teams. If he and Milliner are both there, I think they might take Star and get a CB with the 2nd round pick they would acquire by trading the 6th pick. Eifert is the dark horse at this point as well. Mingo, if he somehow gets by the Jets, would probably be the guy they prefer. I don't see Austin as a guy they would want. Too small, not really a fit for this offense or for what Lombardi likes in prospects (size/speed).

Of course, they could pull a classic Browns maneuver and reach for a bum like EJ Manuel but that's just a nightmare more than a realistic fear.

now Johnson could go 4th but I doubt it. What Detroit does at 5 would then hold the key to our pick. If they go Ansah which there is a lot of rumor that they would in this scenario, then Johnson falls to 6 and we can (and I think will) trade down with a team like Miami or San Diego. If Detroit takes Johnson, then we take the top player on our board.

Now say we are picking at 6 and Johnson is gone. We are stuck most likely and have to pick probably between these guys:

Ansah, Lotuleilei, Milliner, and Mingo.

I think those are the realistic four. I have no idea which one they'd take. Before, Miliner seemed obvious, but all the talk of him dropping out of the top 10 makes me skeptical.

If we trade down to 11 or 12, I figure we might still get a shot at some of those guys. Lotuleilei might fall b/c of the lack of need for a DT among the other top 10 teams. If he and Milliner are both there, I think they might take Star and get a CB with the 2nd round pick they would acquire by trading the 6th pick. Eifert is the dark horse at this point as well. Mingo, if he somehow gets by the Jets, would probably be the guy they prefer. I don't see Austin as a guy they would want. Too small, not really a fit for this offense or for what Lombardi likes in prospects (size/speed).

Of course, they could pull a classic Browns maneuver and reach for a bum like EJ Manuel but that's just a nightmare more than a realistic fear.

Believe me, you aren't the only one wondering how it will all play out. I think there will be some real shockers on draft day unlike anything we've seen in a recent draft. Top 10 may just include all linemen which I haven't ever seen. IMO, the top 3 elite prospects are the 3 LT's, after that it is a total crapshoot.