Nate Silver is a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice that sounds almost exactly like the "Mr. New Castrati" voice used by Rush Limbaugh on his program. In fact, Silver could easily be the poster child for the New Castrati in both image and sound. Nate Silver, like most liberal and leftist celebrities and favorites, might be of average intelligence but is surely not the genius he's made out to be. His political analyses are average at best and his projections, at least this year, are extremely biased in favor of the Democrats.

So Silver takes a set of polls he admits have generally leaned towards Obama, looks only at the toplines, and concludes Obama is a favorite to win.

He's right about the correlation between the national popular vote and the Electoral College (something I note that many Fark Liberals™ didn't exist) - but that correlation says that if Romney can win by 1% or more in the popular vote, he's favored to win 270+ EVs and the Presidency.

That scenario is much more likely than Silver thinks.

(And as an aside, there was an article really hitting Silver hard based on his baseball prediction software - but I cannot for the life of me find it again. It gives a whole new perspective on how Silver operates...)

Nate Silver is a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice that sounds almost exactly like the "Mr. New Castrati" voice used by Rush Limbaugh on his program. In fact, Silver could easily be the poster child for the New Castrati in both image and sound. Nate Silver, like most liberal and leftist celebrities and favorites, might be of average intelligence but is surely not the genius he's made out to be. His political analyses are average at best and his projections, at least this year, are extremely biased in favor of the Democrats.

Nate Silver is a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice that sounds almost exactly like the "Mr. New Castrati" voice used by Rush Limbaugh on his program. In fact, Silver could easily be the poster child for the New Castrati in both image and sound. Nate Silver, like most liberal and leftist celebrities and favorites, might be of average intelligence but is surely not the genius he's made out to be. His political analyses are average at best and his projections, at least this year, are extremely biased in favor of the Democrats.

who is that guy? is he the new Fark Libertarian?

That's Dean Chambers of Unskewed Polls. He's been unskewing the polls. Three statisticals.

cameroncrazy1984:WombatControl: So Silver takes a set of polls he admits have generally leaned towards Obama

Rasmussen has "generally leaned toward Obama"

Please excuse me while I go laugh my head off.

yeah I am with WombatControl here, why doesn't Gay Silver use unskewedpolls for his models, also do his limp wristed calculations take in to account our efforts to suppress you libs from voting? We are taking it to the house tomorrow! USA!USA!USA!

Nate Silver is a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice that sounds almost exactly like the "Mr. New Castrati" voice used by Rush Limbaugh on his program. In fact, Silver could easily be the poster child for the New Castrati in both image and sound. Nate Silver, like most liberal and leftist celebrities and favorites, might be of average intelligence but is surely not the genius he's made out to be. His political analyses are average at best and his projections, at least this year, are extremely biased in favor of the Democrats.

That picture gets weirder every time I see it.

Why is the evergreen tree in sharp focus, but Unskewed Guy blurry?

The lighting of the foreground and background doesn't seem to match either.

But if one were to paste a head-and-shoulders shot onto a background, who would choose THAT one?

WombatControl:BlueJay206: So CNN shows a tied race, while sampling D+11

this is obviously bad news...for Obama

Exactly.

So Silver takes a set of polls he admits have generally leaned towards Obama, looks only at the toplines, and concludes Obama is a favorite to win.

He's right about the correlation between the national popular vote and the Electoral College (something I note that many Fark Liberals™ didn't exist) - but that correlation says that if Romney can win by 1% or more in the popular vote, he's favored to win 270+ EVs and the Presidency.

That scenario is much more likely than Silver thinks.

(And as an aside, there was an article really hitting Silver hard based on his baseball prediction software - but I cannot for the life of me find it again. It gives a whole new perspective on how Silver operates...)

Nate Silver is a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice that sounds almost exactly like the "Mr. New Castrati" voice used by Rush Limbaugh on his program. In fact, Silver could easily be the poster child for the New Castrati in both image and sound. Nate Silver, like most liberal and leftist celebrities and favorites, might be of average intelligence but is surely not the genius he's made out to be. His political analyses are average at best and his projections, at least this year, are extremely biased in favor of the Democrats.

who is that guy? is he the new Fark Libertarian?

That's Dean Chambers of Unskewed Polls. He's been unskewing the polls. Three statisticals.

Watching FOX news at work has me looking for my tinfoil hat, seems like they are sure Mitt is going to pull out a victory and the only thing I can see from all the real polls would be actual voter tampering...

protectyourlimbs:Watching FOX news at work has me looking for my tinfoil hat, seems like they are sure Mitt is going to pull out a victory and the only thing I can see from all the real polls would be actual voter tampering...

WALNUT and PECAN had better go into hiding now. O'Queef will be gunning for them on 11/7.

Nate Silver is a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice that sounds almost exactly like the "Mr. New Castrati" voice used by Rush Limbaugh on his program. In fact, Silver could easily be the poster child for the New Castrati in both image and sound. Nate Silver, like most liberal and leftist celebrities and favorites, might be of average intelligence but is surely not the genius he's made out to be. His political analyses are average at best and his projections, at least this year, are extremely biased in favor of the Democrats.

That picture gets weirder every time I see it.

Why is the evergreen tree in sharp focus, but Unskewed Guy blurry?

The lighting of the foreground and background doesn't seem to match either.

But if one were to paste a head-and-shoulders shot onto a background, who would choose THAT one?

o_O

He has unskewed the JPG. Too much fat bias from digital cameras today. It placed undue focus on his second chin, so he unskewed the image using his own algorithm that adds +6 to background pine trees. Making the image more fair and balanced.