setting of decision-points resp. time stopsThe market action in the 1-3 weeks before and after an Amanita pivot is very revealing, especially if there are two possible scenarios. Amanita pivots are always decision-points (bifurcation points) but not necessarily always reversals - the rating system modifies the odds of being a reversal.---

Besides, the rating system is also to some extent predicting the strength of a trend on the price axis, the stronger the turning point the more pronounced is the trend before and after the turning point. The absolute magnitude mainly depends on the volatility and higher trend, i.e. in downtrend the up-phase will be weaker than the downphase, and vice versa in an uptrend.

Inspired by the Galactic Center in early 2003 I chose the opposite path and asked myself: which astrological and non-astrological conditions are present at all (or almost all) medium-term reversals? With that question I arrived - after hundreds of hours of researching and experimenting - at a set of some 20 CSQN indicators (the exact number is changes because the model is improved continuously) that all have to be fulfilled at the same time for to allow a major turning point. Every single indicator has relatively little predictive power and a wide window of +/ 2-7 trading days. By combining and weighting all indicators in a single model the possible turning dates are narrowed down, as the actual turn will almost always fall very close to the day with the highest rating. The CSQN model says nothing about the polarity (high or low).

I can't say much about the some 20 CSQN indicators to protect my competitive edge, two publicly discussed indicators are the Galactic Center and the Bradley siderograph. Some of the indicators are based on the Golden section and the holy numbers 3 and 7. While the astrological components of the model can be calculated years in advance there are also indicators that depend on the market action, so the model is complete a few weeks ahead of the Amanita pivot.

Here is an example for the Amanita pivot August 14/15, 2007 for the equity markets, which successfully nailed the low 2007 on August 15/16. Each trading day was assigned a value by each of the 18 CSQN indicators used, the sum is divided by the theoretical maximum score resulting in a percentage value for each day, with 100% being impossible to be reached in reality: 70-80% is the best you can expect, 50-70% is average, everything below 55% is weak. The day with the highest percentage value defines the exact Amanita pivot. The ideal case is a day with a high 70-80% and the days before and after scoring below 60%, in this case the Amanita pivot will likely be precise (+/- 1 trading day). If, however, the CSQN model is not as precise, you have to factor in +/- 2 trading days.

(2) benchmark: The Amanita pivots are optimized for the main benchmark in each of the 5 markets. The Amanita pivots for the stock markets are optimized for the leading index of the Western (US and European) stock markets, the S&P 500 (SPX). Mostly all 5 indices S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrials Average (DJI), Nasdaq 100 (NDX), DAX, EuroStoxx 50 do turn on the same day, if not the divergences don't exceed a couple of trading days and are seldom significant.

(3) polarity (high/low): The polarity is open, the likelihood of a high or low cannot be calculated in advance with a model. Instead, an 'ideal' polarity is often suggested, this 'ideal polarity' may change from week to week depending on the market action. Nothing in the world can replace the real-time observation of the markets. Usually the polarity is finally determined in the week before the Amanita pivot by answering the question, "is the market trading at a 1-3 month high or low?""

(4) tolerance window: Amanita pivots are not always predicting the exact reversal on an intraday or closing basis but sometimes re-tests (double-tops and -bottoms) with a tolerance zone of a few tenths of a percent (depending on the market volatility). The rule applies that if an intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. turning point is set at a date that is not an Amanita pivot then this level is going to be re-tested within one month with the first (or sometimes second) ensuing Amanita pivot (odds ca. P=85-90%)