Real Estate Forecasting A Trip To The Beach

I was looking to pick up a beach house or two here in Florida before this down cycle ran its course. Not a permanent long term hold, I just wanted to catch the snap-back appreciation wave bound to hit. Some of these markets were pounded so hard they were coiled like a spring, waiting to explode as soon as Market Psychology shifted.

It’s about a two hour drive for me to dozens of well-known Atlantic beaches. I don’t care which one, so long as it’s the best money maker. This is an actual process I did in real time

All things being equal, choosing between Daytona and Vero Beach – even though they’re only about an hour apart, meant an additional $31,200, simply because of knowing their market cycles.

In just six months, say from the time you got it under contract to when you had to close or flip it, you would have lost over $23,000 on the Daytona Beach property but made almost $8,000 on the Vero Beach property.

Too much competition?

Can't find good deals?

Old tactics don't work?

Current Market Conditions USA

Current Market Conditions

The charts and indicators on this page represent the most currently available SUMMARY information for the USA and a sampling of select ‘Strong’ and ‘Weak’ States and Regions.

The market analysis tools you see here are known as “Technical Analysis” (or TA) Studies.

There are two ways to analyze any market: by its ‘Fundamental’ attributes or by its ‘Technical’ charts.

Until 2006 (when HousingAlerts.com first became publicly available), the data and tools for implementing TA for LOCAL real estate markets simply did not exist.

Before TA (and HousingAlerts.com) real estate investors had to rely on old, outdated and inaccurate Fundamental Analysis (FA) because there was no alternative.

TA is visual, relying on Supply and Demand charts because these charts also track the most important and most elusive driver of future price trends: Market Psychology.

TA has become the dominant methodology for predicting stock, bond, commodity and currency market cycles worldwide and is used by ALL major investment banks and international trading desks as the underlying basis for TRILLIONS of dollars in DAILY investment transactions.

STAR Indicators

The STAR momentum indicators show the ‘energy’ behind any market. For a sustained up-cycle, it MUST be supported by momentum. Market Psychology influences momentum but is not the only driver.

The first step in locating investment candidates is evaluating the STAR indicators. Each of the six ‘triggers’ represent a distinct Technical Analysis (TA) ‘event.’

The left-most columns are Short-Term triggers and carry far less significance than the Long-Term indicators on the right.

However, all Trend Reversals (up or down) BEGIN with the short term triggers. They provide early-warning signals, especially when they develop a consistent pattern of changing colors (from green to red, or red to green) ‘growing’ from left to right.

Green means positive, upward sloping momentum. Red means the opposite. Yellow occurs when, in the current period, the slope/direction changed for that trigger.

Markets that do not display a consistent color pattern; with seemingly random horizontal color changes from one period to the next, especially in the long-term triggers, are generally lacking ANY momentum, and are poor investment markets for Leveraged Appreciation.

Six Trigger Alert Report

Market Momentum (STAR) Indicators

USA Overall

TAPS Indicators

The TAPS (Technical Analysis Point Score) indicator is an easy to understand, graphical way to show the results of complex Technical Analysis (TA) ‘Studies.’

The simple ‘slider ball’ can move a total of five notches starting from far left (Weak) to far right (Strong).

If the ball position has moved since the prior period, it will have a series of arrows behind it. If the arrows are on the left, that signifies a move from the left, from a weaker to a stronger position, and vice-versa.

Each detailed TA Study has its own slider ball indicator and consists of dozens to hundreds of individual calculations (collectively referred to as ‘algorithms’).

These detailed algorithms are aggregated and weighted to produce higher level Summary slider indicators until the top-level, overall score is attained.

Technical Analysis Point Score

(TAPS) Indicators

USA Overall

Real Estate Cycle Charts

Charts showing the annual appreciation or decline in real estate values over time are visual snapshots of Supply and Demand forces in action. Technical Analysis (TA) relies on these charts because they accurately reflect what ACTUALLY happened.

The practice of TA consists of what are called “Studies” – different sets of calculations and algorithms proven over time. These Studies include Market Psychology, the most powerful driver of all.

Because real estate is so cyclical (compared to the Stock Market, for example), relatively simple Studies can be used to accurately track local markets.

Using these charts and Studies, HousingAlerts.com deciphers the data into two broad categories:

Feedback

Outstanding Training For Investors!

Ken: I really enjoyed the training. I have been looking for this kind of information for years. I have not been able to find anyone who teaches or understands the indicators that drive the market up or down. Most people know Real Estate is cyclical but have not found anyone teaching this kind of information. I am really grateful to you for making this available. I have been investing in real estate since 1974 and have been lucky to invest in markets that were appreciating.

John Holbrook

Excellent Training For Beginners!

I believe this is the most important aspect and method of investing the smart and only way to maximize wealth building. As a beginner in the Real Estate business I look forward to many new doors opening and someday being financially stable….Thank you

Ernest Summer

A Game Changer

Very educational and it’s easy to see that you know what you’re talking about. Like you said the Guru’s only care about selling products. This is a game changer and I most definitely want in.

Thomas Parker Gist

Exactly What I Needed!

You have given us a gem and I now have in my hands the key to action. I have less of the fears as a new investor and have more confidence as a seasoned investor with this system.

Geral Lopez

No More Guesswork!

This scientific approach takes the guesswork out of real estate investing. It inspires confidence to take action – when to get in, and when to get out without any sweating.

Derrick Martin

Captivating System

Fresh and fascinating twist to a discredited real estate market. It’s clear that this analytical but instinctively straight forward approach debunks the traditional mumbo/jumbo we’ve been sold on.

Clive L. Williams

The Real Deal

Thanks for yet another straight forward video. No fluff and not too repetitious. I too am in my 50s and need accurate info quick. I am done playing with the knee jerkers, the one shot wonders and flavor of the month gurus. You are the real deal. Keep it up.

Pete

Every Investor Needs To See This!

I was involved with Housing Alerts when you first launched it several years ago. Since then I have been studying TA and I think you are right on. Being one of those investors who made a lot and lost more, I wish I had paid attention to this type of information versus working so hard and not seeing the forest because of the trees. Thank you for sharing your videos and insight for all of us to see.

Susan Kerr

Empowering!

I thank you for the knowledge your training has exposed me to. I feel that you have empowered me by putting real estate investing in proper perspective. I’m looking forward to using your program. Please keep me in the loop.

Cornell Thompson

Exceptional Wake Up Call

Absolutely necessary food for thought if you are a serious investor. This wakeup call is exceptional. Thank you!

Bill Elliott

Perfect for Local Markets!

I am a Realtor Investor. Thank you for providing this useful information. It makes sense. I will definitely use the information in my REI pursuits in my market here in Southern California.

Sabrina

Amazing Training – Thank You

I just wanted to say this is a great program you have created and I am glad to find this information before buying into all of those seminars. All those get rich seminars tell you the how to, but don’t tell you whether it is the right market to use their product. Thank you for these amazing videos.

Kyle

Superb Content!

This is superb content, and it will definitely help me in my REI pursuits in my markets.

Terry

Thanks For This Opportunity

Great info, can’t wait for the webinar. We are investors in Volusia county staying close to home but realize we need to grow. Always learning to become better at the game and look forward to your wisdom.

Don Jackson

Impressive Tools

Gentlemen; the finest presentation of R.E. Investment tools I’ve seen. And when you consider I go back to the days of Robert Allen, “Nothing Down” that’s saying something…

King _Tucson, AZ.

Don’t Pass On This Opportunity

I’d like to say that this information and these tools are invaluable. As a Real Estate investor of 35 yrs. I can tell you first hand that my life would be remarkably different right now if I had these tools prior to the last 2 market crashes here in Florida. I spent most of my life building wealth in real estate only to be totally ruined, completely wiped out. The fact that I now have these tools and the amazing support of Ken’s staff, Leanne being who I’ve dealt with is absolute confirmation that my R.E. investing life will turn around!!! Kudos to his support staff for always being there.

Thomas Errico

Terrific System

I really like the way the system can alert when to buy and when to sell to help increase my net worth. Thanks again for a great education. Using the green, yellow and red buttons helps for easily understanding strategies.

Dick Nolan

Exciting & Revealing Program!

I’ve worked in the real estate industry for 30 years, basically a transactional broker, this program is exciting and reinforces my beliefs regarding real estate investing. The videos also break some long-standing investing rules which, frankly, needed to be broken. Good stuff. Thanks!

Dennis Erickson

Love It!

Best real estate training I’ve ever seen, and I have paid for a lot of expensive work-shops and webinar training.

Lorenzo Castano

Glad I Found This Program

Thank you for this critical information. It is by far the most comprehensive information I have encountered. I would like to hear more from you. I find myself having to start all over again for my retirement years. I find myself hopeful once again.

Rebecca Sanchez

This is Eye Opening Content!

Knowing market phases in real time, local market indicators, total market master, will let a person make money in their own up market and when that goes, go on to another up market! Good job Ken!!!

Larry Hoover

Candid & Insightful

Thank you Mr. Wade for the very straight-forward real estate webinar... which saved me many days of wasted dead-market investments.

Kelly

Highly Recommended Training!

Great information on real estate. I have learned so much from your wealth of knowledge. Looking forward to learning a lot from your webinars. Thanks for your being so liberal with well needed facts in real estate.

Wycliffe Reid

Great Investing Advice!

This is great information. I am an Investment Real Estate Agent in Virginia and I have taught many investors how to make money from buying and selling properties. This is great advice. I am glad someone is talking a different tune and not just selling the CD’s etc. Good advice is hard to get…..so listen up as this is important information.

Jan Boyer

The RIGHT Path To Wealth!

I was one of those who has purchased countless real estate courses over the years - only to become more confused with each 'new' angle! Your examples of 'what to do, when' were so perfectly logical and simple to comprehend, I can't thank you enough!! You have just saved me lots of money and time by putting me on the RIGHT path to wealth!

Mary

Thank You For This!

I just wanted to thank you for giving this information to so many people/investors. I am sure there are quite a few persons who will take your advice to heart! I am one of them for I cannot afford any more losses from any market!

Jo Ann Davis

Invaluable Program!

I began exploring REI mid-2016 and am now beginning to make offers on property I will flip. My second phase will be to create cash flow by keeping properties. That’s where your program becomes invaluable by knowing where to buy properties and when to move. Most all things change while most of us don’t. Thank you.

Kent Maerki

Watched It Twice!!

Thanks. I have watched this twice to fully retain for better/future investing. Wish I had read this back in 2008 when I lost many hundred thousands.

Marcia

Great Tools For Investors!

What great info. The tools in this program are sure to make anyone who can see colors or follow arrows, a successful investor. I’m looking forward to the updated and new tools.

Andy Sager

Great Information

Wish I knew about this years ago. It’s very interesting an exciting to listen to someone who knows what they are talking about. Looking forward to joining the webinar.