Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Iraq’s National Guard Plan Moving Forward While Legislation In Jeopardy In Baghdad

When Prime Minister Haider Abadi came into office in
September 2014 one of the many reforms he suggested was the creation of a
National Guard for Iraq. This new force would be made up of local fighters who
would be under the command of the governor of each province, and incorporate
existing tribal fighters and militias. This would help with not only security,
but decentralize powers away from Baghdad out to the governorates. The creation
of a National Guard would require legislation, which is deadlocked in the cabinet. In the meantime a few provinces have moved ahead with raising their
own forces whether the law is passed or not.

Shortly after coming into power Premier Haider Abadi
suggested a National Guard be formed to help defend the country, but since then
the idea has been stuck in the council of ministers. In September
the cabinet started drafting a bill on the issue, but it
has caused quite a bit of controversy.
There are questions about how the guard would be organized, its salaries,
powers, etc. For instance, a parliamentarian from the Islamic Supreme Council
of Iraq (ISCI) complained that the Guard could lead to the division of Iraq
with 18 separate militaries for each province. A Badr lawmaker said
that the guard was not necessary as the militias could defeat the insurgency,
while a Kurdish parliamentarian argued that there was no
constitutional or legal framework to create such a force, and that it could be
used in future conflicts between provinces. Finally, on January 16 Al Mada reported
that the draft bill might be pushed back to the 2016 budget because of the
austerity measures being implemented due to the collapse in oil prices. With
the differences between the Shiite parties who constitute the largest bloc
within the legislature, along with reservations by the Kurds there is no way
that the National Guard can be passed at present. Bringing up budget cuts could
be the excuse its opponents are looking for to kill the bill.

Despite the lack of action in the cabinet some parts of Iraq
are moving ahead with forming their own provincial security forces with the
acquiescence of Baghdad officials. Anbar was the first governorate to take up
the call for the National Guard. By September up to 80%
of the province was under insurgent control, and the provincial government
had repeatedly asked for help from the central government with little coming. On
September
20 it was reported that the Anbar council was planning on raising 10,000
men to be trained for the new guard. Then in October
the Interior Ministry approved the creation of a 3,000 man Special Task Force
Brigade made up of pro-government tribesmen
and trained by the Americans. The first cohort of that force was said to have finished its preparations in November,
but there were complaints
by some sheikhs that it was not armed or equipped sufficiently. At the same time,
the security committee on the Babil council announced
that it was going to start recruiting volunteers for a 4,000 man National Guard
unit with Premier Abadi’s approval. In December, the
Ninewa government said it too had gotten the permission of the prime minister
to set up three camps to train forces to retake Mosul. By January
2015 there was said to be 4,000 men in training, but Governor Atheel Nujafi
claimed they no longer had the blessing of Abadi. Finally, in that same month
Diyala’s governor said that Defense
and Interior Ministries had okayed raising 6,000 recruits into local Iraqi
Security Force units. Baghdad only has so many forces at its disposal, and not
enough to cover all areas of the country sufficiently. That’s the reason why
these provinces have embraced the National Guard idea. They want more soldiers
and police then are available, so the idea of being able to raise their own appeals
to them. Anbar was the first to take the initiative and an initial tribal
brigade has already been deployed to the front. The Mosul force on the other
hand, may be more fantasy then fact as Governor Nujafi has constantly claimed
that locals and even other insurgent factions would rise up against the Islamic
State and push it out of Mosul, but there’s been little to back up his
rhetoric. It’s yet to be seen whether Babil and Diyala will be more successful.
The more important question is whether Baghdad will fully back these moves,
because without their funding and weapons none of these units will last.

Faced with the collapse of many ISF units after the fall of
Mosul in June, new Prime Minister Abadi proposed raising local National Guard
units to help protect each province. That would not only provide new forces,
but also move some power to the governorates, something that many have been
asking for. Many of the ruling parties however are centralists or are worried
about what might come of the Guard and have held up the draft with no passage
in sight. That has led a few governorates to take matters into their own hands
and start forming their own units. These are some of the provinces with the
worst security situations where local councils are desperate for help. All the
reports claim that Baghdad has backed these efforts, but only in Anbar has
there been any concrete moves so far. It will take more time to see whether
this was just a verbal commitment or a real move towards some decentralizing.

SOURCES

Buratha News, “A senior Kurdish official: the risk of the
National Guard being formed may outweigh the risk of terrorism,” 12/28/14

IRAQ HISTORY TIMELINE

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About Me

Musings On Iraq was started in 2008 to explain the political, economic, security and cultural situation in Iraq via original articles and interviews. If you wish to contact me personally my email is: motown67@aol.com