About EKOS Politics

We launched this website in order to showcase our election research, and our suite of polling technologies including Probit and IVR. We will be updating this site frequently with new polls, analysis and insight into Canadian politics. EKOS's experience, knowledge and sophisticated research designs have contributed positively to many previous elections.

Media Inquires

[OTTAWA – October 27, 2008] At EKOS, we have now completed the first phase of our internal performance review of the 2008 election. We have some work to do, but are very satisfied with the results, in particular because we pioneered two

[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – Throughout this campaign, EKOS has been offering seat projections based on the results of our EKOS tracking poll. We have repeatedly said when we offered them that seat projections are inherently fraught with more difficulties than surveying public opinion because small shifts in relative party support can make big differences in seat distribution.

[OTTAWA – October 10, 2008] For several days, the EKOS tracking poll has been showing the gap between the Conservatives and the second-place Liberals growing, after a short-lived Liberal surge that came immediately after the debates.

Our EKOS tracking poll covering Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday is the most current available, because it contains data from just three days, not four as other tracking

[OTTAWA – October 6, 2008] – It’s a nail-biter. We are entering a stage in the election campaign when small regional fluctuations in support could make huge differences to the futures of the parties and their

[OTTAWA – September 26, 2008] – We offer this seat projection, based on our latest EKOS tracking poll, released earlier today. Most strikingly, the projection shows the Bloc Québécois resuming its dominance in Quebec. For the moment, the Tory prospects for a Quebec breakthrough

Tories Back in Minority Territory

[OTTAWA – September 19, 2008] A seat projection based on the EKOS rolling poll released today shows the Conservatives sliding back into minority territory, and the Liberals the sole beneficiaries of this decline. Having theoretically picked up 11 seats over the second week of the campaign, the LPC now

[OTTAWA – September 16, 2008] A seat projection based on the latest EKOS rolling poll shows the Conservatives now clearly in majority territory. Although the 38% support that the Conservatives enjoy in the most recent EKOS poll is low by historical standards to produce a majority, in the current configuration of party support, with the opposition split four ways, the Tories benefit.

According to this projection, the New Democrats are near to pulling abreast with the Bloc Québécois as the third largest party in Parliament, and are also

[OTTAWA – September 10, 2008] – Doing seat projections from polling data is a risky business. Polls are estimates of public opinion, even if quite accurate ones. Figuring out how these figures will translate into the distribution of seats in our first-past-the-post system is a tricky and imprecise business.

However, pollsters and journalists have spent the last two weeks implicitly making seat projections every time they have spoken of