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Solid list, though I doubt the strength of Puella Magi Madoka Magica as a whole due to Bakemonogatari falling short last year. Mio belongs to the K-ON! group (see: past winner), and as such even if a few voters are sympathetic for her, they still won't let her even have a sniff at the title. It all comes down to block matchups, so I find it almost impossible to really predict individual character strength, as it can fluctuate with different circumstances. For example, Azusa had the advantage of Yui being cast off in the 2nd round, while also capitalizing on a same-series matchup with Mio against Mikoto where K-ON! fans were able to throw all their votes at Azusa. Every champion since I've been following the tournament (2007) has had some major breaks, directly or indirectly.

For the record, I would have Mikoto, Kuroneko, and Charlotte as the top three most likely to perform under pressure, after that it's pretty much a crapshoot. With a return to the bracket format of old, I'm hoping we can see more competitive matches.

And no, I'm not making a personal favourites list yet. I'll save that for after the preliminary rounds.

That is my top 10 for AST list. The list is similar for KBM, by the way, but the ordering is different. KBM's start date has not been formalized, yet.

Umm...not even half a mention of Touwa Erio?? She's by far the most popular character this season...

And as far as I'm concern, Azu-nyan is 900x more popular in Japan than Mio. Madoka is not even #2 behind Homu-Homu (Tomoe Mami is).

Will be able to tell once the prelim votes gets in, because as of right now, it's all talk on paper. Homura IS strong, but not necessarily dominating. Biribiri always have a strong fanbase, Kuroneko dominates C79, predicting Kanade getting sniped off again. No clue as if who's the dark horse (Last year it's Yamada, absolutely no clue this year)

To make things worse(?), no Saki this year (for once), making things much more unpredictable.

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9. Haqua du Lot Herminium : She is supposed to be more popular than Elsie, but didn't get enough chance to show her stuff in the TVA. Still, she has a chance since comic book popularity matters in AST.

Solid list, though I doubt the strength of Puella Magi Madoka Magica as a whole due to Bakemonogatari falling short last year. Mio belongs to the K-ON! group (see: past winner), and as such even if a few voters are sympathetic for her, they still won't let her even have a sniff at the title. It all comes down to block matchups, so I find it almost impossible to really predict individual character strength, as it can fluctuate with different circumstances. For example, Azusa had the advantage of Yui being cast off in the 2nd round, while also capitalizing on a same-series matchup with Mio against Mikoto where K-ON! fans were able to throw all their votes at Azusa. Every champion since I've been following the tournament (2007) has had some major breaks, directly or indirectly.

For the record, I would have Mikoto, Kuroneko, and Charlotte as the top three most likely to perform under pressure, after that it's pretty much a crapshoot. With a return to the bracket format of old, I'm hoping we can see more competitive matches.

And no, I'm not making a personal favourites list yet. I'll save that for after the preliminary rounds.

I think my list is somewhat close to the currently perceived strength, which isn't necessarily the actual strength. You might consider it the Hit list order for those who seeks to derail the favorites so their character can win. As such, being on this list should not be considered a blessing.

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Originally Posted by ion475

Umm...not even half a mention of Touwa Erio?? She's by far the most popular character this season...

And as far as I'm concern, Azu-nyan is 900x more popular in Japan than Mio. Madoka is not even #2 behind Homu-Homu (Tomoe Mami is).

Will be able to tell once the prelim votes gets in, because as of right now, it's all talk on paper. Homura IS strong, but not necessarily dominating. Biribiri always have a strong fanbase, Kuroneko dominates C79, predicting Kanade getting sniped off again. No clue as if who's the dark horse (Last year it's Yamada, absolutely no clue this year)

To make things worse(?), no Saki this year (for once), making things much more unpredictable.

I would have loved to include Touwa Erio, yet all the polls I know that pit her against other characters on my top 10 list had her doing very poorly. She needs an impact moment or two in what remains of the series to have some chance. Of course, if she do get the needed impact moment, she can easily be elevated to the elite level.

I would have loved to include Touwa Erio, yet all the polls I know that pit her against other characters on my top 10 list had her doing very poorly. She needs an impact moment or two in what remains of the series to have some chance. Of course, if she do get the needed impact moment, she can easily be elevated to the elite level.

(Okay, I know AnimeOne poll are not necessarily 100% accurate, especially since that poll don't have any Madoka characters on it, nor Kanade and Haqua...but pitting her against half of your top 10 and she's on top...)

And of course, Charlotte is being forgotten quickly...even though she's the only decent choice from IS...

Lol...very true. We'll have to see, but it's possible for some of the newcomers + Mikoto to make it through to the quarters without collecting much hate along the way. I always see Mikoto as a character who nobody really "hates" and thus why I consider her strong in all moe contests. Then again, Saten made it further than her last year (due to the K-ON dogpile I mentioned in my last post)...

We've got an outstanding crop of new characters and few strong veterans, so this year promises to be fresh and full of surprises.

Prediction: Victory for Madoka. Madoka and Homura won't lose except to each other. Mami will also be strong, but she's not ahead like she was in episode 3. Her weak presence later in the show means we'll only see a fully powered-up Mami-san if the first two are upset.

Of the returning veterans, Biribiri has the best shot to win it. She gave Azusa respectable competition last year, and there's a full season of Index 2 keeping her relevant.

Tenshi is a threat to win her group, but between last year's loss and only one bonus episode for her franchise, she might not do any better this time around.

K-ON will be strong, like Nanoha was in previous years, but their status as returning champions will prevent them from winning it all.

My little Kirino and Kuroneko can't be this likely to make the finals! Ika Musume might invade them as well. Charlotte of IS is a serious contender for the championship. Other popular girls like Cecilia and Laura will make IS one of the strongest factions in the tournament.

Rounding out the field, Ano Hana's popularity makes Menma dangerous, while the necromancer Eu and denpa Erio are strong characters with unproven support bases. Elsie will also have some fans. There's several wild card shows out there, especially from the Spring season, but Nichijou is looking weak compared to previous KyoAni shows.

(Okay, I know AnimeOne poll are not necessarily 100% accurate, especially since that poll don't have any Madoka characters on it, nor Kanade and Haqua...but pitting her against half of your top 10 and she's on top...)

And of course, Charlotte is being forgotten quickly...even though she's the only decent choice from IS...

I admit that I didn't see that poll. Will reconsider Erio if I see other polls with similar results.