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The short answer is no, he's not in trouble. Although locking him in a closet 'til Tuesday afternoon wouldn't be the worst idea in the world.

Allen ran 17K votes light of the President in '00. The Reps added 279K votes in '04 and the Dems added 237K. Virginia ain't turning blue. The state went 54/46 R in '04. It would take a 100K shift for Webb to have a chance and a 1% lead = 30K votes.

Yes. This is entirely unexpected&lt/sarcasm&gt. The pollsters, and soon the pundits, need to get inside the margin of actual results coming this Tuesday. If they don't, they endanger their breadbasket: future contracts to perform misleading polls and punditry.