All of these ETFs that have commodity futures in them have some issues. They try to mitigate them by not holding the front month and back month contracts. But they still have some contango. You can get up to a 6% drag from the rollover of futures contracts so unless you have robust growth in commodities, that drag will hurt performance. For the next 2-3 years he thinks we will not have such robust growth in commodities.

Make fracking sand. Rough year. Chinese imported synthetic fracking sand but now realize it is a lower quality and are moving back. 16x earnings. Nat Gas will be favourable now that Obama won election.

(A Top Pick Nov 23/10. Up 12.32%.) Broad commodities ETF. This is the best way to play commodities in Canada. Costs a bit more than others but more diversified than any of the others and therefore safer.

Broad Commodity ETF. There are very few things where you can get real, true, broad commodity exposure to sugar, wheat, soybeans, etc. Really great way if you believe in the long-term growth thesis. This would be a long-term hold. Think of it as a core holding with 5%-10% of your portfolio.

Broad Commodity ETF. Likes this one. Allows a broad diversification such as sugar, wheat, metals, coffee, etc. Doesn’t like that it costs about 80 basis points, which is high for an MER. Would prefer 55 or 60.

Came out in October /10. It’s going to be volatile. On the near term it is due for some consolidation. Holds actual commodities. Not averse to the extra risk. It’s another kettle of fish on the risk tolerance side. Keep investments like this in context and be disciplined on your time horizons.

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