RE: Proportion of programming languages on AS400

All that assumes that companies will have the AS/400's. Has anybody read
Timothy Morgan article in the November issue of Midrange Computing (page
20)? Ouch.
-----Original Message-----
From: Pat Barber [mailto:MBOCEANSIDE@postoffice.worldnet.att.net]
Sent: Friday, November 19, 1999 12:25 PM
To: MIDRANGE-L@midrange.com
Subject: Re: Proportion of programming languages on AS400
Bill Paris wrote:
>
> IMHO, the Cobal/RPG % will fall from 10-15/85-90 to 0-1/?-? by 2001. The
> reasoning behind this is that all Y2K projects are complete... no need
to
> purchase/develop in COBAL/RPG. Look for IBM to push C/C++/Java/? to 1)
> Attract new/existing young talent and 2) Appear to developers/potential
> customers to be "on the bleeding edge".
>
> This is not a "dis" to all those that know COBAL and RPG but a "time to
> smell the coffee" message for all those that know only those 2 languages.
These "new" programmers must have never had to support a older system...
Just
for the record, very little programming "new" stuff is done in most
shops.
I believe the 80/20 rule shows up again with the 80% maintenance and 20%
in development. This does not apply to software houses but the average
shop
that is stable and showing normal growth. The "new" stuff you reference
is hardly ready to replace existing languages. Java,et al has to grow a
LOT
more before they replace anything. They "might" supplement the existing
languages, but completely replace.... nope.... Large business will not
pay
for any large scale conversions unless there is a serious financial pay
back.
These language arguments have been going on for years(25+) that I can
remember, and I suspect they will go on as long as there are
programmers...
Hype is still hype, no matter what the current flavor is.......
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