Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-November 10, 2013):

Program

Status

Renew/ Cancel Index

Welcome To The Family*

canceled

0.52

Ironside*

canceled

0.61

Sean Saves The World

0.72

Parks & Recreation

0.76

Dracula (F)

0.81

Parenthood

0.81

The Michael J. Fox Show

0.83

Revolution

0.91

Grimm (F)

0.93

Law & Order: SVU

1.11

Chicago Fire

1.43

The Blacklist

1.92

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It seemed like just yesterday that Dracula premiered with a 1.8 adults 18-49 rating, on Friday, on NBC. Fan hopes were justifiably high, as was the cancellation bear's initial prediction.

After losing half that 18-49 audience in just two weeks, last week's 0.9 rating now makes Dracula "likely to be canceled".

Why not certain to be canceled? The bear's swing and a miss on Hannibal last season gives the bear a bit of a pause. Plus, he may need another headline later this season.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

- certain to be cancelled by May, 2014

:cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014

- toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014

- more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014

- certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

Dracula needs better writers.
I love the chemistry between Dracula and the lead girl.
But the writers just don’t know how to make the rest of the show entertaining.

Ray

I absolutely love Dracula! Jonathan Rhys Meyers is amazing, as usual since returning back to a TV show since The Tudors. I hope this show doesn’t get cancelled

Mackenzie

This is not ok!! I have been staying up with this show cuz I really do enjoy it. Out of the three shows I watch this is my favorite one that I look forward to at the end of the week!! I really hope this show keeps going on!! Air it one more time at least!!

Beth

I think “Grimm ” is pretty boring, I saw the first 3 episodes and it wasn’t interesting at all, DRACULA is good, and it is going to get better , the 1 and 2 episodes weren’t that interesting , but the 3rd and 4th episodes left me very intrigued .I think that Dracula is a good serie!!

Natasha

I like this show. I make a point to make sure I don’t miss an episode. Every show has a starting point it just needs some time to get where it’s going with the story. I hate shows that go 0-60 in like 2 seconds. It could use a little more background for some of the characters but I think it’s doing good. I’m not so anal that if the clothes aren’t dead on that I’m supremely annoyed with a show and stop watching. And honestly I don’t think it got enough advertisement because I never hear I the show until I seen it on a site I watch some movies on. I decided to watch the first episode and it was refreshing because it gets tiring watching the same teen vampire crap all over the tv. A show with history or even relative mythology, lore, and substance is nice.

zia

I’m bummed that Dracula will be canceled, I enjoy it.

Christine Yancey

I absolutely love Dracula!!!

karen

I LOVE Dracula- Jonathan is one of my favorite actors. I have watched every episode and do not want to see the show canceled.

kimmy

Dracula debuted well. I suppose viewers can tolerate a lot of sex on standard cable, but I think viewers were turned off with too much neck slashing and that gay-bit between a man and his compatriot’s teenage son. That was week 2, where ratings dropped considerably.

brian

Revolution is one of the only decent shows on any network besides persons of interest, law and order sux chicago fire lame grimm just garbage. Well atleast 24 is coming back soon.

Knon

I love Dracula! I love the new take on it. I hope it makes it! I would have loved an English accent, but who cares;)

Knon

This should be on cable for a more sophisticated audience. The Tudors would have never made it on Primetime, nether would Madmen or Breaking Bad. Move it to where the audience is and this will surely be a hit!

Lacorsetiere

Love Dracula and haven’t been able to make it through even one episode of Dies the Fire…I mean Revolution.

Sara

I actually like Dracula its dark and mysterious also sexual and passionate perfect for this time period. I don’t see why people don’t like it its an amazing show that has potential. Maybe its just because its really just a baby show and people don’t know about it. I’m a fan and there are alot of fans out there so don’t go saying its going to be cancelled before even the 10th episode.

Crystalcrede

I thought the last episode of Dracula was decent enough. To be perfectly honest, I only started watching because I find Meyers to be extremely sexy. I hope they hang on I’d be interested to see where the story goes.

Summer

I like Dracula and yes it has more of a complicated plot line but it’s good and is the only show I look forward to watching . I just think its getting a bad wrap bc ppl do not get it as quick as some of the more superficial shows out there .

Peter n Fran Clark

Dracula is pretty much the only new show worth watching. Can’t believe you’d cancel this terrific show. Great acting, wonderful production values, engaging script/plotting. Best new drama/fantasy show on TV. BTW, “Blacklist” stinks.

A Guy

Dracula is quite good, you just need to have an attention span that’s more than someone who watches crap show like 2 and half men. There is a plot there that takes time to develop. If you’re into Big Bang Theory and reality or singing contest shows, its not for you. Too bad our culture has so many people that can’t keep up with a plot. This show should’ve been on HBO or Showtime, NBC isn’t the place for a show like this.

Grainne

The show is only 10 episodes. It is a miniseries and was never intended to be renewed after the 10 episodes. I love the show. Could it have been done better? Sure. However, with the amount of other rubbish on TV, this is the only network show that I watch and look forward to watching. Stick with it, episode 4 brings you back with lots of action and love lorn angst.

LES

YOU HAVE TO LOVE DRACULA (WHICH I DO) TO ENJOY THIS NEW REALISTIC TAKE ON HIS ADVENTURES……. AS FOR THE PARENTS WHO DON’T APPROVE “YOU CAN PROGRAM YOUR TV RIGHT?” OR DO YOUR JOB & WATCH YOUR KIDS & WHAT THEY ARE WATCHING ON TV,FB,CALL OF DUTY,ETC. THIS IS THE REAL WORLD & JUST BECUASE THERE IS SOMETHING YOU DON’T APPROVE OF, DOSEN’T MEAN THE REST OF US MUST FOLLOW OR MISS OUT, GROW-UP !!!! ~