MLB – 7/15

First day back from the all-star break as we begin the 2nd half of the MLB season. The Triple Trend Formula (TTF) had a pretty good 1st half in terms of winning percentage, going 572 - 471 (55%). However, it was down 65.79 units.

This reason for this, obviously, is the moneyline odds on the favorites discounted the overall winning % and I didn't have enough underdog winners to make up for it. A common dilemma in MLB betting.

These past few days, I thought about how to address this discrepancy and how to bring the betting units in line with my positive winning %. After careful analysis, I decided against making any changes to the formula itself, as I don't see an issue there. Rather, I will no longer be including every single game as an official pick.

For those of you that have read my Detailed Explanation of the TTF, now updated, you know I always recommended no bet on the lowest rated (1 unit) favorites. However, I thought it would be disingenuous not to count these games in my overall record anyway as I did rate them and show the table for all to see. But I've changed my mind about this.

I have decided to stop including games that show moneyline favorites with a rating of +0.5 - +3 (1 unit) in my record. I will only make favorites that rate +3.5 (at least 2 units) or better as an official pick. I will still apply the TTF to every game and show the tables, but those lower rated moneyline favorites will not count towards my record, as I won't be endorsing them. So, now on a typical 15 game MLB card, there may be just 10 official picks. But, they will represent the strongest 10 games on the card according to the TTF.

I believe that this change will still enable those that want to see my work on all the MLB match ups on a given day to do so, with my clear indication that I don't endorse a play on all of them. Specifically, the lower rated moneyline favorites.

I feel that this change is still in line with my objective of transparency, while now being able to show and measure the true success of the Triple Trend Formula.

A reminder, we no longer require a subscription to access the TTF. I want as many players as possible to use them in their handicapping. Instead, I'm relying on those that see a benefit in using the tables to pay an amount in line with what they think it's worth to them. It's an easy PayPal.Me transaction here. Thank you in advance.