Sunday, February 24, 2019

Oscar Predictions

Monday, February 11, 2019

Thought of the Day

The Green New Deal, which is supposed to be about fighting the pressing threat of slightly different temperatures in the next century, also contains a bunch of other stuff that one might not think play a part in controlling the climate. Odd, but these prescriptions to reach whatever perfect temperature we are supposed to reach (the creepy weather cultists never seem to tell us what the “right” temperature is) correspond exactly to the classic Marxist wish list – redistribution, nationalization, and the central planning of the economy. Strange how that works. Kurt Schlichter

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

It's Difficult to Predict Things, Especially About the Future

Here is the NASA prediction for sunspot numbers for Cycle 24 (which we're still in) in June 2008. They thought Cycle 24 would have substantially more sunspots than Cycle 23.

Here is a later prediction from June 2015 when we were actually in Cycle 24. As you can see Cycle 24 was quite a bit lower than Cycle 23 which was itself lower than Cycle 22.

Here is what's called a prediction even later, in 2016. You can see it has very little to do with the 2008 actual prediction.

Here is the bulk of the actual Cycle 23. Kinda puny. My prediction is that it's going to be colder for a while.

The average cracked 80 for a very short time. So the actual prediction before the Cycle began was 80% too high. The science, I can assure you, however, is settled and you're a sunspot denier even to think anything different.

Monday, November 26, 2018

We're On The Road To Nowhere

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Thought of the Day

Talking about the Antifa neo-KKK (black instead of white disguises):

“These play-acting buffoons aren’t the moral equivalent of the French Resistance—they are mincing would-be thugs looking for something that will make them feel better about themselves. Apparently, terrorizing Tucker Carlson’s wife scratches an itch that weed and Netflix don’t."

Antifa is politics as performative recreation—cosplay and LARPing livened by harassment, vandalism, and moderate violence. The tactics Williamson observed in Portland, “marching through the streets chanting the usual obscenities…blocking traffic, engaging in the casual lawlessness now associated with this city,” are not those of hardened revolutionaries and resistance fighters, but of perpetual adolescents staving off ennui.

They are not much of a threat. The police could quickly clear them out if the feckless city leadership gave them permission, and if the GOP really were fascists then the black-mask LARPers would have been long dead. Portland still harbors many well-armed Republicans, some of whom possess enough firepower to singlehandedly gun down all of Antifa. The danger of Antifa is not that they will do much damage themselves, but that they will normalize political violence for those who would be good at it.