It's kinda hrad to win 3 oscars especilly In same catergry.Hugh has a shot beause the academy often like to give actors In popular films oscar when they do a film considered smaller or arthouse film.

Even If Hugh loses just Imagne promation for The Wolverine with Oscar nominee Hugh
Jackman.You could see TV ads with Ocsar Nominee Hugh Jackman as The Wolverine.
I am surprised warner Brothers didn't play up for The Dark Knight Rises Christin bale won
Oscar.