Democratic State Treasurer Robert Casey Jr. has regained his momentum in the
Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race and now leads incumbent Republican U.S. Sen. Rick
Santorum 51 - 39 percent among likely voters, with 4 percent for Green party candidate
Carl Romanelli and 5 percent undecided, according to a Quinnipiac University poll
released today.

This compares to a 48 - 42 percent likely voter lead for Casey in an August 15 poll
by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.

Republicans back Sen. Santorum 77 - 17 percent, while Democrats back Casey
85 - 8 percent and independent voters back the Democrat 56 - 31 percent. In this survey,
17 percent of likely voters who name a candidate say they still might change their mind.

Among likely voters who back Casey, 55 percent say their vote is mainly against
Santorum, while 40 percent say their vote is mainly for the Democrat.

"Sen. Rick Santorum's comeback momentum has been stopped dead in the water.
Santorum's attack ads against Casey have failed to spark voters' support, and 50 percent
of voters say the Senator does not deserve re-election," said Clay F. Richards, assistant
director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Casey, just like his father, is attracting a significant number of Republican votes -
perhaps enough to make it hard for Santorum to make it back to Washington."

Among Santorum supporters, 26 percent cite his experience as the main reason they
are voting for him, with only 11 percent citing his support for the war in Iraq and 26
percent saying his stand on other issues is key to their support.

Among Casey backers, 40 percent say the main reason they back him is because
"it's just time for a change," with only 11 percent citing his opposition to the war in Iraq.

Voters say 48 - 32 percent that the U.S. is losing the war in Iraq, but say 43 - 37
percent that the U.S. is winning the war on worldwide terrorism.

"As long as President Bush's approval rating remains under 40 percent in
Pennsylvania, he will continue to be a drag on Sen. Rick Santorum's re-election bid and
will be of no help to GOP gubernatorial candidate Lynn Swann," Richards said.

From September 19 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 933 Pennsylvania likely
voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts
public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida,
Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.

For additional data-www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks

7. If the 2006 election for Senator were being held today, and the candidates
were Bob Casey Jr. the Democrat and Rick Santorum the Republican for whom would
you vote? (If undecided q7) As of today, do you lean more toward Casey or
Santorum? This table includes Leaners. (Two way matchup).

TREND: If the 2006 election for Senator were being held today and the candidates
were Bob Casey Jr. the Democrat and Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would
you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Casey or Santorum?
This table includes Leaners.

8. If the 2006 election for Senator were being held today, and the candidates
were Bob Casey Jr. the Democrat, Rick Santorum the Republican, and Carl Romanelli
the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote?(If undecided q8) As of today,
do you lean more toward Casey, Santorum or Romanelli? This table includes Leaners.
(Three way matchup).

TREND: If the 2006 election for Senator were being held today and the candidates
were Bob Casey Jr. the Democrat, Rick Santorum the Republican, and Carl Romanelli
the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today,
do you lean more toward Casey, Santorum or Romanelli? This table includes Leaners.

11a. (Casey q8) What is the main reason you support Casey? Is it because --
A) it's just time for a change, B) of his personal qualities, C) his stand on
the war in Iraq, D) his stand on issues, other than the war in Iraq, E) because
he is the son of former governor Robert Casey?

11b. What is the main reason you support Santorum? Is it because --
A) of his experience, B) of his personal qualities, C) his stand on the war in
Iraq, D) his stand on issues, other than the war in Iraq, E) because he works
well with President Bush?

TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United
States to do or the wrong thing?

LIKELY VOTERS
Sep 26 Aug 15
2006 2006

Right thing 37 38
Wrong thing 58 58
DK/NA 5 4

20. From what you have seen or heard about the situation in Iraq, what should
the United States do?
Should the U.S. increase the number of U.S. troops in Iraq,
keep the same number of U.S. troops in Iraq as there are now,
decrease the number of U.S. troops in Iraq,
or remove all its troops from Iraq?