China to Double Solar Power Capacity Target to 10 GW by 2015

I just reported yesterday on a new report out by Ernst & Young showing that China is the most attractive country in the world for renewable energy investors. However, it wasn’t ranked at the top for solar energy investment (it was tied for third with Spain and behind the #1-ranked US and #2-ranked India). That may change next time around (the report is released every quarter), as China is preparing to officially up its 2015 solar capacity target from 5 GW to 10 GW!

You may have heard rumor of this before, as it has been talked about for awhile now, but now a draft proposal has reportedly been submitted to the State Council for approval.

Drop in Cost of Solar Energy Key Factor

The projected drop in solar energy costs is a big factor making this shift more possible and an official target.

According to Channel NewsAsia: “researchers said as the cost of solar power is falling, they are optimistic that this clean energy can be used more widely to ease China’s power shortage by 2015.”

“The drop in the cost of solar energy is about 10 per cent to 20 per cent each year,” Dr. Hao Guoqiang, vice president of the Shanghai Solar Energy Energy Research Center said.

“This is to say in 2015 the cost of supplying solar electricity is basically about the same as our electricity fees right now. That will be an era whereby solar energy is used on a large scale.”

The policy is not official yet, but is expected to be very soon now, as part of the country’s 12th 5-year plan.

China’s 2020 target may also increase from 20 GW to 50 GW according to the local media.

China Solar Energy Challenges & Needs

“There are still big barriers. There is no standardised feed-in tariff and grid connection is a big problem without a standard policy,” Wang Sicheng, a senior solar energy researcher at China’s top policy-making body — the National Development and Reform Commission — said.

“All other markets are driven by incentive. A feed-in-tariff for China is long-awaited, though with module prices coming down so rapidly, it’s probably in [the government’s] interest to wait until these stabilise,” says Paul Combs, investor relations director at Hanwha SolarOne.

About the Author

Zachary Shahan is tryin' to help society help itself (and other species) with the power of the word. He spends most of his time here on CleanTechnica as its director and chief editor, but he's also the president of Important Media and the director/founder of EV Obsession and Solar Love. Zach is recognized globally as a solar energy, electric car, and energy storage expert. He has presented about cleantech at conferences in India, the UAE, Ukraine, Poland, Germany, the Netherlands, the USA, and Canada.
Zach has long-term investments in TSLA, FSLR, SPWR, SEDG, & ABB — after years of covering solar and EVs, he simply has a lot of faith in these particular companies and feels like they are good cleantech companies to invest in. But he offers no professional investment advice and would rather not be responsible for you losing money, so don't jump to conclusions.

I read it on Gunther Portfolio that there will be a quite significant drop in panel prices in 2011 because traditional market incentives are decreasing (in Germany for example), so those markets will not be so strong (or will need price cuts to keep up).

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