And yet, now that he has confirmed what went wrong with that sighting and that the skies are behaving normally, the believers are being cross with him yet again. There's no way for Astromut to win with you people, is there?

14 days to go, toward another likely IDW/AA (among many others) predictive failure.

And yet, now that he has confirmed what went wrong with that sighting and that the skies are behaving normally, the believers are being cross with him yet again. There's no way for Astromut to win with you people, is there?

14 days to go, toward another likely IDW/AA (among many others) predictive failure.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74444

The only real question now I think is will AA return after that date and do the honorable thing and admit he was wrong.

And yet, now that he has confirmed what went wrong with that sighting and that the skies are behaving normally, the believers are being cross with him yet again. There's no way for Astromut to win with you people, is there?

14 days to go, toward another likely IDW/AA (among many others) predictive failure.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74444

The only real question now I think is will AA return after that date and do the honorable thing and admit he was wrong.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18342848

Of course, but don't count me having to do it just yet. I have been wrong before and I will again, and it is dishonorable not to admit ones mistakes.. BUT, You are as most missing the 'big picture' and concentrating on a few failed numerical predictions while ignoring the overall correctness. I do not know why the Sun has been so inactive where Sunspot formation is concerned, the event I described does not even have to have a sunspot present to occur, and we have seen repeated instances of large Mass ejections not related to solar x ray flares or Sunspots. As for the sunspot activity, I know it has the potential to change very rapidly.

I also know that geological instability is at an all time high, that the core of the Earth is heating, that massive amounts of methane hydrates arr being liberated from the ocean floor, and that overall there is no rational, lucid person who would make the claim all is well and there is nothing to worry about. I personally believe despite the indications to the contrary that my prediction of massive world changes caused by a solar event on the 22nd of December will come to past, and I KNOW that radical changes are rapidly taking place and that we currently are in the midst of a mass extinction event and hundreds of species are dieing off completely every week. I also know that despite the data being heavily censored we are currently experiencing a bombardment of very high energy radiation from unknown sources, and that the Sun's overall energy output and brightness has increased to the point where nearly everyone is noticing it. I also know that the operation cloverleaf is being put into overdrive, there is NEVER a day where the artificial reflective clouds are not present, and this artificial increase of the Earths albedo can only do so much.

Time will tell, but don't put your money on agent 74444, he knows NOTHING about the subject matter and his only goal is to convince you I am wrong, which in of itself is suspicious given his dedication....and DON'T trust any source of data coming through a government filter. This includes the majority of satellite derived data coming from any source. I also know no one could rationally describe any of the major environmental conditions as normal though there are a very few places where weather patterns are seemingly normal. THIS WILL NOT BE THE GENERAL PATTERN AND WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY ABNORMAL as the increase of energy into the system continues to worsen..

If you think the ice isn't refreezing at those temperatures then you've completely lost it.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18342848

You are posting data that does not correspond with actual readings and observations that re easily obtainable from many sources. I don't know why you are doing this , but it is not doing tour agenda any good.

If you think the ice isn't refreezing at those temperatures then you've completely lost it.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18342848

You are posting data that does not correspond with actual readings and observations that re easily obtainable from many sources. I don't know why you are doing this , but it is not doing tour agenda any good.

It's FRIGGING FREEZING here (Mr. Bigglesworth)! Lower than minus 10 here at nights, plus now it's snowing like Mad and will continue to do so looks like for the foreseeable future according to the forecast. Which is also about a month early for this kind of weather! Usually doesn't start to snow until after Xmas or get to these low temps.

Must be from the extra water levels not only in the oceans but in the air from the more intense sun my gut tells me. And for those wishing to prove AA wrong, it's weird weather across the board. No way can we go into uncharted territory and get everything right. But since most place's 'usual' weather patters have all but been obliterated, I'd say he's still right on the money.

Again, It's called 'uncharted territory'.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 29110076

OMG OMG it is COLD in KOREA in DECEMBER!!!!!!!!

ding long

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 29077765

Good one. you missed it though,

Unusual Weather Patterns

Shit, the weathermen have always been bad, but never this bad at predicting the weather...they can't even get the next day right. I've noticed this in the past few months.

But those of us with a keen eye and some experience under our belt can notice the changes, albeit admittedly slight perhaps at times. You, on the other hand, would look for instance on the turned yellow- and red-brownish leaves on the trees, and would just think: "Nothing out of the ordinary here Surely! Why they've changed color and that's all that matters--just the bit the same as always and forever, Amen!"

To AA: I don't know if you've answered this before, but wanted to ask you what your take was on the Norway Spiral. And other similar sightings around places like China or NZ was it?

If you think the ice isn't refreezing at those temperatures then you've completely lost it.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18342848

You are posting data that does not correspond with actual readings and observations that re easily obtainable from many sources. I don't know why you are doing this , but it is not doing tour agenda any good.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

You have other data there dicknose?

post it up

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 29077765

Oh, you're never supposed to ask IDW/AA about data or backing up his own claims with supporting evidence. Doing so gets him all kinds of upset. And posting links contrary to his current views? Pure blasphemy.

Of course, but don't count me having to do it just yet. I have been incorrect before and I will again, and it is dishonorable not to admit ones mistakes..

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

Then, from past encounters, I can only surmise that you are more dishonorable than you think.

BUT, You are as most missing the 'big picture' and concentrating on a few failed numerical predictions while ignoring the overall correctness.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

The irony of you posting this is staggering.

I do not know why the Sun has been so inactive where Sunspot formation is concerned, the event I described does not even have to have a sunspot present to occur, and we have seen repeated instances of large Mass ejections not related to solar x ray flares or Sunspots. As for the sunspot activity, I know it has the potential to change very rapidly.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

I suppose we'll see. Eleven days to go.

I also know that geological instability is at an all time high,

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

Please cite sources for this. After all, I do not believe what I am told without proof. I will take your failure to do this as tacit admission that you are incorrect.

that the core of the Earth is heating,

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

Please cite sources for this. After all, I do not believe what I am told without proof. I will take your failure to do this as tacit admission that you are incorrect.

that massive amounts of methane hydrates arr being liberated from the ocean floor,

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

Please cite sources for this. After all, I do not believe what I am told without proof. I will take your failure to do this as tacit admission that you are incorrect.

and that overall there is no rational, lucid person who would make the claim all is well and there is nothing to worry about.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

Strawman fallacy. I think you would be very hard pressed to find a single one of your critics who would state such a thing. They (or at least I) just happen to think the evidence belies *your* specific viewpoint as to what is going to happen. Your past history of similar predictions and proclamations supports this.

Everything is *not* perfectly well. There *are* things to worry about. However, a preemptive nuclear exchange and a super solar event wiping out a huge portion of the population in December of 2012 is not one of those things.

I personally believe despite the indications to the contrary that my prediction of massive world changes caused by a solar event on the 22nd of December will come to past,

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

Well, obviously you don't believe that too strongly, or you would have taken me up on my wager some time ago.

and I KNOW that radical changes are rapidly taking place and that we currently are in the midst of a mass extinction event and hundreds of species are dieing off completely every week.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

You've been claiming that for months. Please cite sources for this. After all, I do not believe what I am told without proof.

Let's see -- if you're right, we're losing, say, about 200 species a week, for the last six months, that'd be 5200 species gone extinct since the Summer.

I'll make it easy -- name fifty, a mere 1% of those species, with documentation supporting their extinction.

I will take your failure to do this as tacit admission that you are incorrect.

I also know that despite the data being heavily censored we are currently experiencing a bombardment of very high energy radiation from unknown sources, and that the Sun's overall energy output and brightness has increased to the point where nearly everyone is noticing it.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

Please cite sources for this. After all, I do not believe what I am told without proof. Also, please explain how old lightmeters give the same readings as ever, and old cameras give results similar to decades ago. I will take your failure to do this as tacit admission that you are incorrect.

I also know that the operation cloverleaf is being put into overdrive, there is NEVER a day where the artificial reflective clouds are not present, and this artificial increase of the Earths albedo can only do so much.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

Please cite sources for this. After all, I do not believe what I am told without proof. I will take your failure to do this as tacit admission that you are incorrect.

Time will tell, but don't put your money on agent 74444, he knows NOTHING about the subject matter and his only goal is to convince you I am incorrect, which in of itself is suspicious given his dedication....

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

Ah, falling back again on the old ad hominem, your tried and true, if worthless, friend.

And I shouldn't have to convince anyone you are incorrect -- the evidence and your past performance should do that all by itself.

and DON'T trust any source of data coming through a government filter. This includes the majority of satellite derived data coming from any source.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

Translation: don't believe anyone but A.A, and reject all evidence that contradicts him.

I also know no one could rationally describe any of the major environmental conditions as normal though there are a very few places where weather patterns are seemingly normal. THIS WILL NOT BE THE GENERAL PATTERN AND WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY ABNORMAL as the increase of energy into the system continues to worsen..

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1288868

As above, we'll see. But we've been here before, and those earlier results weren't too good for your own predictive track record...

If you think the ice isn't refreezing at those temperatures then you've completely lost it.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18342848

You are posting data that does not correspond with actual readings and observations that re easily obtainable from many sources. I don't know why you are doing this , but it is not doing tour agenda any good.

If you think the ice isn't refreezing at those temperatures then you've completely lost it.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18342848

You are posting data that does not correspond with actual readings and observations that re easily obtainable from many sources. I don't know why you are doing this , but it is not doing tour agenda any good.

While some of the temperatures are below the freezing point of salt water, few are and as most of us are aware the oceans are heating from the bottom up due to unusual geological activity.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1317108

Why in the world would you post the temperature of anchorage as an example? Average ocean temperature in Anchorage is 31f even in January, so freezing isn't normal there? How about post some of the other arctic locations where the temperature like -30 right now? It is not normal for the south of Alaska to freeze up in any meaningful way, so why on earth would you post temps showing Anchorage isnt experiencing ocean freezing temps? Of course it isnt.

What is your interest in someone you claim is a nobody who is consistently wrong and why stalk them for 11 years?

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1129135

Sigh. For the umpteeth time, I didn't even know you existed 11 years ago. I have never claimed you were 'a nobody (and don't even know precisely what one is)' and you aren't consistently wrong, though you are wrong quite a lot.

You post fairly outrageous claims to GLP. You verbally abuse people for merely disagreeing with you. You claim vastly superior intelligence. You have, in the past, attacked posters I respected.

All I have done is kept careful track of your predictions, and your claims, and have busted you numerous times for being unable to perform the actions you claim you can perform, and by reposting your claims at times you might consider inopportune.

The fault lies not with me. Small changes in your behavior could drive me away forever.

What is your interest in someone you claim is a nobody who is consistently wrong and why stalk them for 11 years?

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 1129135

Sigh. For the umpteeth time, I didn't even know you existed 11 years ago. I have never claimed you were 'a nobody (and don't even know precisely what one is)' and you aren't consistently wrong, though you are wrong quite a lot.

You post fairly outrageous claims to GLP. You verbally abuse people for merely disagreeing with you. You claim vastly superior intelligence. You have, in the past, attacked posters I respected.

All I have done is kept careful track of your predictions, and your claims, and have busted you numerous times for being unable to perform the actions you claim you can perform, and by reposting your claims at times you might consider inopportune.

The fault lies not with me. Small changes in your behavior could drive me away forever.

But, for now, what's good for the goose, goose.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74444

When did you do that, I must have missed it. I think everyone else did too. As for your re posting my[i/] claims, what I couldn't help but notice and I am sure everyone else agrees is that you show no proof of which claims originated with me and which you created yourself.

And where criminal acts are concerned like electronic stalking, the fault does in fact lie with you. You have been repeatedly asked not to communicate with me in any way.

Notice that the ice cover is actually still at all time lows for this period of time, that unusually warm temperatures are being logged all over the Artic circle, and that the newly formed ice is much thinner and 'younger' with a higher salinity that is the result of a very temporary freeze up. Also notice that unusual weather conditions are resulting in ice build up in the Bering sea with is not normally present and is being counted in the overall ice coverage in the link you posted, an attempt to doctor the data is seen throughout the link which does not state that 15% total coverage qualifies as "ice coverage" on the chart you linked to.

There is absolutely no doubt that you should read the title of the thread and realize that data manipulation has been proved and it is not limited to solar data but also weather and temperature data.

You didn't miss it. You merely pretend you didn't write the things you wrote.

Thankfully, most of those threads are still here at GLP. You just don't know how to look very well.

I think everyone else did too.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

Uh huh. Stop attempting to speak for everyone else -- they can post just fine, if they wish.

As for your re posting my[i/] claims, what I couldn't help but notice and I am sure everyone else agrees is that you show no proof of which claims originated with me and which you created yourself.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

Really? Yet I have repeatedly posted and reposted your very own quotes. Honestly, I *wish* I had the imagination to come up with some of the humdingers you have made in the past. As I have asked before: *precisely* which claims are you disavowing? Be specific, now, and we can discuss it.

And you demanding proof once again redefines irony. Just above I asked you several times for evidence supporting your most recent claims, and once again you have balked.

Surprising.

And where criminal acts are concerned like electronic stalking, the fault does in fact lie with you. You have been repeatedly asked not to communicate with me in any way.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

Then find another board, somewhere. There are so many on the Internet. But so long as you are posting here at GLP and acting in the typically rude, bully-like way that you do, I will continue to point out your missteps, mistakes, and repeated downright falsehoods.

It really is the very least I can do -- particularly so close to your 99.5% drop-dead certainty date, which should demonstrate aptly what your certainty is really worth.

You didn't miss it. You merely pretend you didn't write the things you wrote.

Thankfully, most of those threads are still here at GLP. You just don't know how to look very well.

I think everyone else did too.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

Uh huh. Stop attempting to speak for everyone else -- they can post just fine, if they wish.

As for your re posting my[i/] claims, what I couldn't help but notice and I am sure everyone else agrees is that you show no proof of which claims originated with me and which you created yourself.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

Really? Yet I have repeatedly posted and reposted your very own quotes. Honestly, I *wish* I had the imagination to come up with some of the humdingers you have made in the past. As I have asked before: *precisely* which claims are you disavowing? Be specific, now, and we can discuss it.

And you demanding proof once again redefines irony. Just above I asked you several times for evidence supporting your most recent claims, and once again you have balked.

Surprising.

And where criminal acts are concerned like electronic stalking, the fault does in fact lie with you. You have been repeatedly asked not to communicate with me in any way.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

Then find another board, somewhere. There are so many on the Internet. But so long as you are posting here at GLP and acting in the typically rude, bully-like way that you do, I will continue to point out your missteps, mistakes, and repeated downright falsehoods.

It really is the very least I can do -- particularly so close to your 99.5% drop-dead certainty date, which should demonstrate aptly what your certainty is really worth.

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74444

It's 98.5 % I believe that I calculated the odds of a catastrophic event resulting in a mass human death on December the 21st. And I haven't changed my position.

I believe that you don't calculate anything ever because you lack the capacity.

You simply talk shit and hope to gather a following of people who are even less intelligent than you.

That would account for your belief that you have a "superior intellect"

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 29077765

These are the words of an individual incapable of understanding the scientific reasoning behind the current events we observing, one who openly resents his intellectual superiors.

How would you know?

How could you know?

I hate to break it to you but you have the very mental disease that prevents the advancement of mankind, a psychological need to feel equal to those who you are not equal to on a mental level. This results in the oppression of the few far to the right on the bell curve by the many in the middle of it and as in your case, to the left of center..

I believe that you don't calculate anything ever because you lack the capacity.

You simply talk shit and hope to gather a following of people who are even less intelligent than you.

That would account for your belief that you have a "superior intellect"

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 29077765

These are the words of an individual incapable of understanding the scientific reasoning behind the current events we observing, one who openly resents his intellectual superiors.

How would you know?

How could you know?

I hate to break it to you but you have the very mental disease that prevents the advancement of mankind, a psychological need to feel equal to those who you are not equal to on a mental level. This results in the oppression of the few far to the right on the bell curve by the many in the middle of it and as in your case, to the left of center..

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

Dude within this one thread you have proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that you are not even a decent welder let alone any other title that you have claimed.

I believe that you don't calculate anything ever because you lack the capacity.

You simply talk shit and hope to gather a following of people who are even less intelligent than you.

That would account for your belief that you have a "superior intellect"

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 29077765

These are the words of an individual incapable of understanding the scientific reasoning behind the current events we observing, one who openly resents his intellectual superiors.

How would you know?

How could you know?

I hate to break it to you but you have the very mental disease that prevents the advancement of mankind, a psychological need to feel equal to those who you are not equal to on a mental level. This results in the oppression of the few far to the right on the bell curve by the many in the middle of it and as in your case, to the left of center..

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

Dude within this one thread you have proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that you are not even a decent welder let alone any other title that you have claimed.

It's 98.5 % I believe that I calculated the odds of a catastrophic event resulting in a mass human death on December the 21st. And I haven't changed my position.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

I stand corrected. My little perch just got one percent bigger, then. Yet I remain firmly convinced that betting against you tends toward more accurate prognostications.

Then find another board, somewhere. There are so many on the Internet.

Quoting: Agent74444

May I speak for what I believe is the the majority of the readers and users of this board in telling you to go fuck yourself?

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

You may speak, but a I severely doubt it is for any majority. I find in interesting that with your supposed vastly superior intellect, that pitiful attempt at an insult is all you can come up with.

But so long as you are posting here at GLP and acting in the typically rude, bully-like way that you do,

Quoting: Agent74444

You sound like a faggot. If you can't take the derogatory criticism , you're certainly in the wrong business because I would imagine you get a lot of it.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

Any 'sound' you hear is purely in your own imagination. You might want to have that looked into.

And this isn't business at all. I find it amusing to continually point out your failures, and that your attempted toothless attacks at me just keep missing the target. It really is like watching an angry, aged chihuahua. I'm laughing at your supposed superior intellect.

I will continue to point out your missteps, mistakes, and repeated downright falsehoods.

Quoting: Agent74444

And yet I don't see you actually doing that, not with this post or the ten prior to it.

Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist. 1282622

Well, let's see. In the last ten posts I have challenged you to provide supporting links for your claims, which you failed to do, show the math where you came up with your 98.5% figure, which you failed to provide, pointed out that Astromut was correct, which had nothing to do with you, pointed out that temperatures across the Northeast had fallen quite precipitously, which contradicted predictions you made all year long, pointed out incorrect claims you were making about the costs of hurricanes, and provided evidence for same, and a thorough post pointing out your past failed claims and repeated incompetence in any number of different subjects that you have claimed to have mastered, demonstrating your apparent inability to cite supporting evidence, and showed your ego repeatedly overwhelming your judgement, like it did just now.