Evasion can drop it down to BASE chance to hit now.
The "down to base+100%" was only for a very short while, between the recent evasion changes.

So that's now down to 40% for 2-handed melee, 60% for 1-handed melee, 90% for bows, 100% for ELB (assuming 1.0 archery trained) with sufficient evasion.

To bring it even further down you'd also need a huge DX advantage however, and you can no longer get that from just training evasion (it no longer grants any defensive DX), you actually have to train dexterity for that.

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