2014 MLB Home Run Derby Odds

The 2014 Home Run Derby will take place this year on Monday July 14th at Target Field in Minnesota. For the third straight season, two captains (one from each league) were allowed to select their own teammates and this season that honor belonged to Colorado’s Troy Tulowitzki and Toronto’s Jose Bautista.

Last season Baltimore’s Chris Davis was the favorite to win the Home Run Derby, but the Orioles masher failed to advance past Round 2. Cespedes, who closed at +500, narrowly beat out Bryce Harper in the finals after posting an absurd 1st Round in which he launched 17 long balls.

The table below displays the closing lines for the 2013 Home Run Derby from 5Dimes.

Player

Team

Odds

Total HR

Chris Davis

Baltimore Orioles

+300

12

Prince Fielder

Detroit Tigers

+400

5

Yoenis Cespedes

Oakland Athletics

+500

32

Pedro Alvarez

Pittsburgh Pirates

+500

6

Robinson Cano

New York Yankees

+600

4

Bryce Harper

Washington Nationals

+700

24

David Wright

New York Mets

+1200

5

Michael Cuddyer

Colorado Rockies

+1500

15

Giancarlo Stanton leads this year’s crop of players with a National League best 21 home runs and, according to ESPN’s Home Run Tracker, leads baseball with an average home run distance of 423.8 feet. Perhaps that explains why he is considered by many to be the favorite to win the 2014 Derby.

Earlier in the week, BetOnline released early odds for three of the contestants:

Of these three players, Stanton has the best odds of winning the Derby at +350. These odds are quite similar to those of Chris Davis last season which leads me to believe that Stanton will be the favorite when books release odds for all ten participants.

On Friday morning once the field was set, Giancarlo Stanton was in fact the favorite to win at +200. The table below displays the the current home run total for each of the contestants along with their odds to win the HR Derby at the Greek, BetOnline, Bovada and Sportsbook.com. Once again, we recommend that all bettors shop for the best line before placing a wager.

Player

Team

Greek (7/12)

BetOnline (7/11)

Bovada (7/11)

Sportsbook.com (7/11)

2014 Home Runs

Giancarlo Stanton

Miami Marlins

+150

+240

+200

+250

21

Yoenis Cespedes

Oakland Athletics

+350

+450

+500

+500

14

Jose Bautista

Toronto Blue Jays

+500

+500

+500

+500

17

Yasiel Puig

Los Angeles Dodgers

+500

+600

+600

+450

12

Troy Tulowitzki

Colorado Rockies

+500

+600

+650

+650

20

Josh Donaldson

Oakland Athletics

+1000

+850

+1000

+1000

20

Todd Frazier

Cincinnati Reds

+1000

+1200

+1200

+1200

17

Brian Dozier

Minnesota Twins

+1000

+1200

+1200

+1200

16

Adam Jones

Baltimore Orioles

+1000

+1000

+1200

+1200

16

Justin Morneau

Colorado Rockies

+1200

+1400

+1500

+1500

13

All season long Sportsbook.com has posted odds for which player will lead baseball in home runs, and it’s interesting to note that the two best odds belong to Chicago’s Jose Abreu and Baltimore’s Nelson Cruz who are both currently listed at -120. Although neither of these players will take part in the 2014 Home Run Derby, three of this year’s participants are listed in the ten man field.

Player

Team

Odds

2014 Home Runs (7/11)

Jose Abreu

Chicago White Sox

-120

28

Nelson Cruz

Baltimore Orioles

-120

28

Troy Tulowitzki

Colorado Rockies

+400

20

Giancarlo Stanton

Miami Marlins

+400

21

Edwin Encarnacion

Toronto Blue Jays

+600

26

Albert Pujols

Los Angeles Angels

+600

20

Paul Goldschmidt

Arizona Diamondbacks

+3000

16

Jose Bautista

Toronto Blue Jays

+3000

17

Miguel Cabrera

Detroit Tigers

+5000

14

Chris Davis

Baltimore Orioles

+5000

14

Who do you like in this year’s Home Run Derby? Does Cespedes have a chance to repeat? Please leave your picks and opinions in the comment section below.

David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.