Almost every poll of Massachusetts since the beginning of September has found similar results. Most public polls show Warren leading, but only by a few points. In general, the race has been slowly moving in Warren’s direction since the summer.

Brown is about as good a candidate as the Republican party could have hoped for. He is dramatically outperforming Romney in the state and has a very good favorable rating. According to the Globe poll, 53 percent view him favorably while only 33 percent view him unfavorably. Brown’s problem is that this is simply not the year to be running as a Republican in Massachusetts.

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is now living in the Washington DC area. He created a politics and policy blog, The Walker Report (http://jwalkerreport.blogspot.com/).