Entries from May 2009 ↓

A worthy question to ask on the day when General Motors goes into bankruptcy and Canadaâ€™s officially declared in recession. If nothing else, weâ€™re one confused nation.

This past weekend media stories of bidding wars and escalating home prices mixed with dire predictions of where a $50 billion deficit will lead us. Government tax credits and cheap rates encourage people to spend, while household debt soars to a new $1.3 trillion high. A thousand people apply for an entry-level office job in just two days, while the geniuses who lost billions running the public pension plan get chunky bonuses.

Abnormal times. The countryâ€™s largest bank bleeds money, while the stock market soars. Most people expect life to return to what it was a year or two ago, but fail to understand that cannot happen. Itâ€™s now evident we could have $100 oil, rising interest rates, inflation and higher taxes at the same time as chronic unemployment and industrial collapse.

And how can things end fairly, when terrified politicians lavish $1.4 million on each and every autoworker job â€“ with no guarantee any will exist in a year? Governments are more involved in the running of the economy than at any time since the 1930s. And that turned out well.

Meanwhile, our populationâ€™s aging fast, with incredibly predictable results. Climate change is upon us – anything but predictable. Weâ€™re adding more debt in a year than an entire generation accumulated. And families have done next to nothing to mend their ways since the world almost ended at Thanksgiving.

Weâ€™ve had a housing bubble, an equity bubble and a commodity bubble. And after Bernie Madoff, can anybody trust anyone anymore?

Whereâ€™s money safe?

Here are seven suggestions.

1. Cash. Those who warn of a currency collapse, hyperinflation or people buying houses with pieces of money are financial posers. None of these things will happen, certainly not in the next decade. Cash money will be the only form of wealth you can be sure of, so have as much of it as possible. Banks are fine, but do not exceed your insurance limit. Online banks are a leap of faith. A safe in the cold air return is not.

2. TFSA. The government, in a move it will regret, now allows you to completely avoid paying tax on investments, so long as they are in a TFSA. Just created this year, these accounts allow you to transfer in $10,000 a year per couple, and invest the money in any asset, free of tax on any amount earned. If you donâ€™t have one, you donâ€™t deserve to have money.

3. Bank preferreds. Moan all you want about the banks and their vulnerability, but the fact is no government on earth is going to let another major bank go down. That makes these among the safest places to invest â€“ but not in the volatile common stock. Instead, bank preferred shares are more stable and come with an income stream, currently paying around 6%, or five times the rate of inflation.

4. Tax-deductible mortgage. If you have investments, and a mortgage you service out of after-tax dollars, youâ€™re not paying attention. Sell the investments, pay off the mortgage, re-mortgage the house and buy back your investments. Now you have a tax-deductible mortgage, with the distinct advantage of being able to write off all interest charges from your income. Also consider an RRSP mortgage, which I have referenced here previously.

5. Oil. This is the energy economy, and the oil age. We can pave the country with windmills and crank out hybrids, but weâ€™ll never diminish the appetite for gasoline, diesel, NG, propane, heating oil or electricity â€“ at least not until there is a crisis. Between now and then, oil will soar, taking many other commodities with it. Demand from Chindia alone is enough to double crude in the near future. Integrated oil companies, energy mutuals or trailers in Fort Mac are considerations.

6. RRSP. Much in disfavour now, this last great tax shelter is a gift. A contribution in kind allows you to invest without money. The RRSP homebuyerâ€™s plan allows you to leverage up a downpayment in just 60 days using government money. An RRSP loan at todayâ€™s rates is a no-brainer, using the refund to pay down the borrowing. And a leveraged meltdown strategy lets you get cash out of an RRSP or a RRIF without paying tax.

7. Universal life. Now that over 70% donâ€™t have any pension plan, it makes sense to over-fund a UL policy. You can invest this money in a sheltered growth account, then structure payments to last the rest of your life â€“ all tax-free, since they come from the proceeds of a life insurance policy. Or, you can wait for the wonks who run the CPP to lose it all.

8. An advisor. If you think bonds are safe or buying two condos is diversifying, you need an advisor. If you fear getting Madoffed, you need to know this: Almost all advisors in Canada just buy stuff for you, which remains in your name. This is totally different from BMâ€™s clients, who handed over cash which disappeared into a fund the guy ran himself. Reality is, most people who fail financially are do-it-yourself investors who even think reading a blog is worthwhile.

After stripping off 150 years of crap, we finally made it down to the stone walls of my bunker. More than three feet thick, inlaid with thick horizontal pine nailing boards every four feet, they were in astonishing shape. A few holes had been bashed through over the decades for pipes and wires, but nothing we couldnâ€™t repair with stones from the fields.

Of course, the stones were black â€“ not only from a century and a half of air flowing behind the lath and plaster, but also from the effects of a major fire which, at some point, had clearly threatened the entire structure. It added to the intrigue of this rural relic which I bought as a POS â€“ a one-time hotel where reno discoveries have included walled-in windows and an unknown secret staircase.

So for eleven hours Friday, the entire area was shrouded in billowing clouds of fine white dust. Yellow compressor hoses snaked through the gaping holes were windows should be, as a man in an outfit that looked like a space suit from Wal-Mart, fired a screaming stream of abrasive at the rocks. When it was over, Thomas told me he had catapulted more than 1,000 pounds of a soda-sand mix at the walls, as evidenced by the ankle-deep carpet of debris which buried the new subflooring.

Thomas also told me he wasnâ€™t always a sandblasting guy, but had spent 18 years as a stockbroker. Now heâ€™s his own boss, restoring buildings, refurbishing heavy equipment and fabricating.

I asked him why, of course.

â€œBecause now I can go home at night and feel I accomplished something,â€ he said, leaning on the hood of my tractor. â€œBesides, where I am now, there is no recession. I can get all the work I need just by knocking on doors. I make things last.â€

I thought of him when I went back to my laptop, and read this:

Garth buddy
Okay, I have my act together.Â Paid off the house in less then 8 years, made the necessary sacrifices to do so.Â Lived below my means.Â I am in need of help here bud.Â My friends have the Mcmasions, granite countertops, marble bathroom, etc. we have a 1200 sq. foot home – ie. reality.Â Problem is where should a person like meÂ that has not beenÂ greedy, tried to save for our retirement no pension,Â we drive our vehicles for 10 years – whereÂ should we put the money.Â Just saw the newspaper some of the banks have had losses.Â Other then the mattress, or in a safe where do we lost sheep go and put our money now.Â Â Could you do a blog on this please?
Thanks Ann

And I will, Ann. Tomorrow I will give you seven simple answers to your question about where to keep your money relatively safe in these turbulent times.

In the meantime Iâ€™m going to enjoy my pristine stones, and think about the horses that hauled them and the hands that lifted them. Simple, naive times. Simple walls. Still here a century and a half later, enduring, holding up the roof, giving shelter.

The guys who built them accomplished something. As did the man who cleansed.

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The views expressed are those of the author, Garth Turner, a Raymond James Financial Advisor, and not necessarily those of Raymond James Ltd. It is provided as a general source of information only and should not be considered to be personal investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Investors considering any investment should consult with their Investment Advisor to ensure that it is suitable for the investor's circumstances and risk tolerance before making any investment decision. The information contained in this blog was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, however, we cannot represent that it is accurate or complete. Raymond James Ltd. is a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund.