This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

MAY 2007 KEY POINTS

Trend

The May 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (86 633) increased 0.2% when compared with the April 2007 estimate. The trend estimate has now been increasing for 12 consecutive months. When compared to May 2006, the trend estimate increased by 9.0%.

When comparing May 2007 to April 2007, sports utility vehicles and other vehicles both increased 0.9%, while passenger vehicles decreased by 0.3%. Sports utility vehicles and other vehicles have been increasing for 11 months and 8 months respectively.

When comparing May 2007 to April 2007, all states and territories except South Australia and Tasmania showed increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles. The Australian Capital Territory, Queensland and the Northern Territory had the largest increases with 0.7%, 0.4% and 0.4% respectively. South Australia decreased by 0.5% and Tasmania by 0.2%.

Seasonally adjusted

The May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (85 410) decreased by 0.5% compared with April 2007. Sports utility vehicles decreased 3.4% and other vehicles 0.9%. Passenger vehicles increased by 0.6%.

When comparing May 2007 to April 2007, total sales decreased in all but two states or territories, with South Australia showing the largest decrease of 3.9%. Only Victoria and Queensland showed increases. Victoria by 1.4% and Queensland by 0.5%.

New motor vehicles sales May 2007

NSW

Vic.

Qld

SA

WA

Tas.(a)

NT(a)

ACT(a)

Aust.

Vehicle sales

Seasonally adjusted

25 820

21 535

19 410

4 979

9 932

1 535

819

1 380

85 410

Trend

26 359

21 811

19 509

5 159

9 970

1 579

837

1 409

86 633

Percentage change from previous month

Seasonally adjusted

-1.8

1.4

0.5

-3.9

-0.6

-1.4

-3.0

-1.8

-0.5

Trend

0.1

0.2

0.4

-0.5

0.1

-0.2

0.4

0.7

0.2

Percentage change from previous year

Seasonally adjusted

7.5

6.8

9.1

-6.3

7.0

-5.0

10.2

19.7

6.6

Trend

9.3

8.8

10.9

0.5

9.9

-0.1

11.0

18.5

9.0

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUE

RELEASE DATE

June 2007
July 2007
August 2007

20 July 2007
21 August 2007
21 September 2007

September 2007

19 October 2007

October 2007

21 November 2007

November 2007

21 December 2007

WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES

The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.

1

The June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

2

The June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.

SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.

Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)

Sports utility vehicles (No.)

Other vehicles (No.)

Total vehicles (No.)

Change passenger vehicles (%)

Change sports utility vehicles (%)

Change other vehicles
(%)

Change
total
vehicles
(%)

Original

2006

March

53 188

15 896

18 072

87 156

9.7

17.7

16.9

12.5

April

42 307

11 901

14 442

68 650

-20.5

-25.1

-20.1

-21.2

May

50 683

14 816

17 958

83 457

19.8

24.5

24.3

21.6

June

57 026

18 079

21 343

96 448

12.5

22.0

18.8

15.6

July

48 798

13 279

15 485

77 562

-14.4

-26.6

-27.4

-19.6

August

52 030

13 539

16 092

81 661

6.6

2.0

3.9

5.3

September

51 388

13 208

15 397

79 993

-1.2

-2.4

-4.3

-2.0

October

50 532

13 921

15 477

79 930

-1.7

5.4

0.5

-0.1

November

51 850

15 193

16 254

83 297

2.6

9.1

5.0

4.2

December

48 348

14 258

14 457

77 063

-6.8

-6.2

-11.1

-7.5

2007

January

49 189

14 303

13 444

76 936

1.7

0.3

-7.0

-0.2

February

52 628

14 912

16 200

83 740

7.0

4.3

20.5

8.8

March

57 757

17 589

19 046

94 392

9.7

18.0

17.6

12.7

April

45 109

14 274

16 231

75 614

-21.9

-18.8

-14.8

-19.9

May

52 727

16 912

18 958

88 597

16.9

18.5

16.8

17.2

Seasonally adjusted

2006

March

48 320

13 898

16 414

78 632

-2.4

-0.9

-0.7

-1.8

April

49 675

13 819

16 210

79 704

2.8

-0.6

-1.2

1.4

May

49 646

13 992

16 447

80 085

-0.1

1.3

1.5

0.5

June

48 831

14 410

15 567

78 808

-1.6

3.0

-5.4

-1.6

July

50 857

14 110

16 108

81 075

4.1

-2.1

3.5

2.9

August

50 297

13 160

15 973

79 430

-1.1

-6.7

-0.8

-2.0

September

50 940

14 535

15 965

81 440

1.3

10.4

-0.1

2.5

October

50 403

15 047

16 348

81 798

-1.1

3.5

2.4

0.4

November

50 415

14 889

16 120

81 424

0.0

-1.1

-1.4

-0.5

December

51 576

14 833

15 661

82 070

2.3

-0.4

-2.8

0.8

2007

January

54 212

15 321

16 987

86 520

5.1

3.3

8.5

5.4

February

53 607

15 450

17 278

86 335

-1.1

0.8

1.7

-0.2

March

53 875

15 608

17 551

87 034

0.5

1.0

1.6

0.8

April

52 007

16 279

17 531

85 817

-3.5

4.3

-0.1

-1.4

May

52 307

15 722

17 381

85 410

0.6

-3.4

-0.9

-0.5

Trend

2006

March

49 324

14 096

16 447

79 867

-0.3

-0.6

-0.8

-0.4

April

49 299

13 998

16 278

79 575

-0.1

-0.7

-1.0

-0.4

May

49 439

13 917

16 116

79 472

0.3

-0.6

-1.0

-0.1

June

49 722

13 922

16 030

79 674

0.6

0.0

-0.5

0.3

July

49 988

14 010

15 985

79 983

0.5

0.6

-0.3

0.4

August

50 218

14 147

15 960

80 325

0.5

1.0

-0.2

0.4

September

50 457

14 337

15 963

80 757

0.5

1.3

0.0

0.5

October

50 865

14 565

16 029

81 459

0.8

1.6

0.4

0.9

November

51 478

14 822

16 187

82 487

1.2

1.8

1.0

1.3

December

52 139

15 081

16 429

83 649

1.3

1.7

1.5

1.4

2007

January

52 716

15 304

16 726

84 746

1.1

1.5

1.8

1.3

February

53 084

15 485

17 035

85 604

0.7

1.2

1.8

1.0

March

53 202

15 670

17 301

86 173

0.2

1.2

1.6

0.7

April

53 150

15 835

17 508

86 493

-0.1

1.1

1.2

0.4

May

52 979

15 981

17 673

86 633

-0.3

0.9

0.9

0.2

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW

Vic.

Qld

SA

WA

Tas.(a)

NT(a)

ACT(a)

Aust.

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

(No.)

Original

2006

March

27 165

21 461

19 833

5 195

9 750

1 540

913

1 299

87 156

April

21 171

17 636

14 820

4 619

7 507

1 129

764

1 004

68 650

May

25 124

20 776

18 774

5 601

9 472

1 623

863

1 224

83 457

June

28 560

23 015

23 091

6 164

11 170

1 936

1 058

1 454

96 448

July

23 688

19 322

17 910

4 794

8 720

1 334

679

1 115

77 562

August

24 223

21 043

18 124

5 107

9 736

1 436

768

1 224

81 661

September

24 267

20 449

17 061

4 903

9 716

1 688

682

1 227

79 993

October

24 379

20 785

16 625

4 781

9 591

1 797

762

1 210

79 930

November

25 418

20 739

18 076

5 116

9 972

1 973

733

1 270

83 297

December

22 927

19 790

16 551

4 700

9 471

1 748

688

1 188

77 063

2007

January

24 429

19 000

16 769

4 620

8 929

1 285

651

1 253

76 936

February

25 636

21 510

18 221

5 138

9 625

1 463

771

1 376

83 740

March

29 107

23 408

21 772

5 588

10 530

1 533

978

1 476

94 392

April

23 245

18 833

16 907

4 616

8 701

1 214

883

1 215

75 614

May

26 649

22 151

20 428

5 237

10 172

1 587

973

1 400

88 597

Seasonally adjusted

2006

March

24 312

19 744

17 400

4 843

8 780

1 582

773

1 198

78 632

April

24 166

20 614

17 344

5 287

8 846

1 509

744

1 194

79 704

May

24 022

20 155

17 796

5 316

9 284

1 616

743

1 153

80 085

June

24 075

19 413

17 515

5 026

9 084

1 702

758

1 235

78 808

July

24 209

20 486

18 352

5 107

9 492

1 518

740

1 171

81 075

August

23 980

20 336

17 220

4 946

9 534

1 417

800

1 197

79 430

September

24 745

20 783

17 536

5 037

9 652

1 677

765

1 245

81 440

October

25 149

20 490

17 888

4 910

9 648

1 671

835

1 207

81 798

November

24 808

19 948

18 445

4 953

9 598

1 634

767

1 271

81 424

December

25 040

20 371

18 570

4 840

9 791

1 405

802

1 251

82 070

2007

January

26 663

21 736

19 034

5 409

9 943

1 562

839

1 334

86 520

February

25 910

22 157

19 090

5 206

10 034

1 714

829

1 395

86 335

March

26 686

21 922

19 569

5 247

9 792

1 602

829

1 387

87 034

April

26 297

21 230

19 311

5 182

9 991

1 557

844

1 405

85 817

May

25 820

21 535

19 410

4 979

9 932

1 535

819

1 380

85 410

Trend

2006

March

24 502

20 382

17 481

5 158

8 794

1 586

768

1 196

79 867

April

24 291

20 140

17 544

5 143

8 916

1 589

760

1 192

79 575

May

24 108

20 046

17 588

5 131

9 076

1 580

754

1 189

79 472

June

24 066

20 102

17 622

5 114

9 250

1 576

754

1 190

79 674

July

24 131

20 194

17 652

5 071

9 398

1 581

761

1 195

79 983

August

24 297

20 250

17 698

5 012

9 508

1 584

772

1 204

80 325

September

24 528

20 305

17 790

4 962

9 592

1 581

784

1 215

80 757

October

24 824

20 431

17 979

4 953

9 666

1 579

794

1 233

81 459

November

25 188

20 655

18 263

4 999

9 737

1 583

803

1 259

82 487

December

25 559

20 933

18 598

5 068

9 800

1 587

812

1 292

83 649

2007

January

25 876

21 237

18 909

5 135

9 855

1 588

820

1 326

84 746

February

26 106

21 506

19 143

5 178

9 903

1 585

826

1 357

85 604

March

26 255

21 682

19 310

5 193

9 936

1 585

831

1 381

86 173

April

26 329

21 772

19 436

5 184

9 957

1 582

834

1 399

86 493

May

26 359

21 811

19 509

5 159

9 970

1 579

837

1 409

86 633

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

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