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After a lull lasting over two weeks, Tropical Storm Narda has formed in the East Pacific. The storm is located at around 13N 120W, well out to sea. Winds have increased to 40kts. Narda has a decent amount of convection over the LLCC, and some fairly strong banding features. As shear is set to remain low and waters warm over the next few days, Narda is expected to become a hurricane. Based on the structure of Narda and the favourable environment ahead, NHC's forecast peak of 70kts could be a little conservative, though based on the behaviour of the previous storms in this basin this year, it may well be near. Narda will not affect land as it takes a typical west-northwestward track over the coming days. In a few days time, shear will rise significantly and the storm will move over colder water, which will quickly weaken Narda. As the storm weakens, it will slow down and crawl towards the west as the steering currents are expected to collapse.

At 200 am PDT, 0900 UTC, the center of tropical storm Narda was located near latitude 13.2 north, longitude 120.9 west. Narda is moving toward the west near 14 mph, 22 km/h, but a turn toward the West-northwest is expected later today. A decrease in forward speed should begin by late Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph, 75 km/h, With higher gusts.

Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Narda could become a hurricane on Tuesday.Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles, 75 km from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb, 29.62 inches

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Narda has intensified quickly this afternoon, and winds are now at 55kts. The storm has developed a central dense overcast, flanked by strong banding. It won't be long before Narda becomes a hurricane.

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Tropical Storm Narda is gradually strengthening. The system is located about 985 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California and is moving west at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph.

A Hurricane Narda 2013 projected path for Tuesday is prompting concerns for Mexico, and specifically Baja California. Tropical Storm Narda will become Hurricane Narda on Tuesday October 8, 2013, the National Hurricane Center tells news moments ago. But how close will Narda reach Mexico with hurricane force winds?

Hurricane Narda 2013 was spotted by radar this morning. Narda is currently one thousand miles southwest of Bajaâ€™s southern tip. Narda is moving roughly fifteen miles per hour. No watches or warnings remind in place, NHC tells news.

The National Hurricane Center in their latest news update Monday indicates that the center of Tropical Storm Narda is moving toward the west-northwest. â€œThis motion with a significant decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of daysâ€, reps indicate to news.

Narda will become a hurricane tomorrow. â€œAdditional stretching is forecast during the next 48 hours and Narda is expected to become a hurricane by Tuesdayâ€. Narda is carrying strong winds which are currently extending roughly sixty miles outward today. Narda on Tuesday will become the only current active hurricane striking North America. A further news advisory is set for later today and Tuesday morning.

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Well, Narda has fooled us. Since I last posted, convection has been on the decline. Winds have dropped to 40kts. It appears that Narda has ingested some dry air, causing the weakening. Narda will no longer become a hurricane, and instead will weaken at an even faster pace once shear rises to join the dry air to kill Narda.

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Tropical Storm Narda kept losing strength Tuesday as it moved in the Pacific well off the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico, weather forecasters said. Narda, with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph, was about 1,225 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, moving west-northwest at 13 mph, the National Hurricane Center said in its 2 p.m. PDT advisory.

No coastal watches or warnings were in effect. Forecasters said Narda was forecast to decrease in forward speed later Tuesday and move slowly westward by Wednesday afternoon. Narda was expected to weaken during the next 48 hours and become a tropical depression by Wednesday. Tropical storm-force winds extended as far as 35 miles outward from Narda's center.

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Narda is now a 25kt tropical depression. The LLCC became completely exposed overnight, and it looked like NHC were going to issue the final advisory this afternoon, but a small cell of convection has flared south of the LLCC, thus prolonging Narda's life a little longer. However, as shear and dry air continue to affect Narda, the depression is not long for this world.