Naval tactical decisions under uncertainty: some case studies

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Abstract

The problem addressed here was motivated by search problems encountered by antisubmarine warfare
(ASW) forces. In particular, we postulate that a target submarine has been detected by a long-range
sensor. After the detection, the target's location is not known precisely but is given as a
probability distribution over some, possibly large, area of ocean. A mobile ASW platform with a
specified maximum speed is then required to close the submarine for attack or surveillance. The
searcher is provided with the initial target distribution and statistical information on historical
target tracks. The searcher's problem is to select a track which will maximize the probability of
detecting the target by some specified future time.

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Britton, Daniel A.(The United States of America as represented by the Secretary of the Navy, Washington, DC (US), 2003-12-16);

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