Romney Opens Up 5% Lead Nationally Over Obama (Plus FL Poll)

Public Policy Polling has released some new numbers for the Presidential race in Florida claiming Barack Obama holds a 5% lead over Mitt Romney. With some potential running mates from Florida added to Romney’s ticket, only Jeb Bush would help.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (PPP)Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Mitt Romney (R) 45%

Barack Obama/Joe Biden (D-inc) 49%
Mitt Romney/Jeb Bush (R) 46%

Barack Obama/Joe Biden (D-inc) 50%
Mitt Romney/Marco Rubio (R) 43%

Barack Obama/Joe Biden (D-inc) 51%
Mitt Romney/Rick Scott (R) 40%

Barack Obama/Joe Biden (D-inc) 50%
Mitt Romney/Allen West (R) 40%

This poll was done April 12-15 among 700 registered voters. Meanwhile on the national level, while PPP is claiming Obama leads Romney by 5%, Gallup is showing Mitt Romney surging to a 5% lead over Barack Obama.

This edition of the poll was done April 12-16. Even I can’t imagine Romney being up this much and even if he is, this is probably about his ceiling and we should be prepared for the next few days of this poll showing a tightening and the ability for the media to claim Obama is surging. Plus, does anyone really believe Obama leads Romney by 5% in Florida at the same time Romney is leading Obama nationally by 5%?

WSJ rpeorts on OH Senate; I had no idea that Mandel hailed from Cleveland and was reasonably popular there. Did he beat an incumbent in his statewide race?

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Ohio Senate Race Tightens
By David Feith

Want to know where Election 2012 will be decided over the next six months? Follow the travel schedule of New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, whose presence on the stump will be coveted by Republicans nationwide. Monday found him in Ohio on behalf of Josh Mandel, the 34-year-old Republican state treasurer hoping to knock Democrat Sherrod Brown from the U.S. Senate.

It’s been a long 18 months since Ohio Republicans so dominated the 2010 polls that they reportedly forced Obama re-election strategists to consider writing off the state. Today it’s clear that Ohio will be in the thick of Election 2012, with a heavy influence on both the presidency and control of the Senate.

A senior state Republican has predicted to Political Diary that the Mandel-Brown race for the Senate will go the way of the presidential contest, with Mr. Mandel’s fate tied to Mitt Romney’s. Most recent polls suggest the same and show Republicans currently trailing. On March 28, Quinnipiac found President Obama leading Mr. Romney by six points, while Rasmussen had him leading by eight. In the Senate race, meanwhile, the Real Clear Politics average of polls has Mr. Brown leading Mr. Mandel by eight.

But the Mandel camp is touting an end-of-March Rasmussen poll of likely voters that had the race tied. Mr. Brown should be concerned, Mr. Mandel argues, because his approval ratings have been below 50%, problematic territory for incumbents. Mr. Mandel also argues that Mr. Brown is considerably to the left of the Ohio electorate, having won election in 2006 thanks to national dynamics and a particularly weak year for state Republicans. Mr. Brown has been named the Senate’s “most liberal” member by National Journal magazine two years in a row, and Mr. Mandel notes that he has voted with Mr. Obama 98% of the time.

A Marine Corps reservist and two-time Iraq War veteran, Mr. Mandel stresses his strength in populous and liberal Cuyahoga County, home to Cleveland and the suburb of Lyndhurst, which Mr. Mandel represented for four years in the state house. He was the only Republican to win more than 40% of Cuyahoga votes in 2010.

Expect this race to be expensive. Both campaigns are flush—Mr. Brown raised $2.4 million in the first quarter and has $6.3 million in the bank; Mandel raised $2 million and has $5.3 million in the bank—and both are expected to attract major outside support, with Mr. Brown drawing on labor unions and Mandel on groups such as Crossroads GPS.

mnw – Unless there are enough true conservative states to get 51 true conservative Senators, explain how the GOP gets control of the Senate (if Romney wins, we would need 50). Unlike the way slaves were counted in the census per the Constitution prior to amendment, RINOs do not count as 3/5 of a Senator when determining control of the Senate.

Lay off the 3/5th Compromise, Shyster! I thought it worked out pretty darned good until some uppity Yankees decided to mess with a good thing. It’s why I had to destroy the Union, you know, in order to save it. That fool who followed me had it all wrong.

Mr. Shyster, all I can tell you is that all those rumours you may have heard about me, being a bachelor and all, apply doubly to that individual. It’s one of the reasons he is so well loved at that place.

You do understand the 3 5ths rule was done to DILUTE southern strength in Congress, right…?!

Comment by MFG

You do understand that the South viewed slaves as no different than cows and were lucky to get anything without treating human beings as humans, don’t you? Cream soda? We have had this argument at least 637 times.

14.Answeirng my own question, it appears that Mandel defeated a statewide incumbent 55-41 in 2010.
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He was an appointed incumbent. He was appointed by Gov. Strickland when Richard Cordray became OH AG.

The 3/5 compromise was not done to dilute Southern strength in Congress. The Southern states wanted slaves to count 100% for apportioning congressmen, but not to count at all for apportioning direct taxes. In short, for representation slaves should be people; for taxation they should be property.

The Northern states would have preferred the opposite: don’t count slaves for representation, but do count them for apportioning direct taxes.

So the 3/5 compromise was a nice middle ground, giving each side some of what they wanted.

“The PPP Florida Poll looks sound to me. Also, did I mention that our polling has detected a last minute surge for Kerry in Virginia and Colorado. Kerry looks to be winning with over 300 electoral votes.”

Obama’s lead has narrowed since last month, when he had a 12-point advantage, though it is comparable to margins from earlier this year.

Most interesting finding: “The gender gap remains comparable to those in previous surveys during the current campaign, as well as past election cycles; women favor Obama by a 53% to 40% margin; among men voters, 50% favor Romney, while 44% back Obama. Obama has lost ground among both men and women at about the same rate over the past month.

Do you remember this story from 2008? There was a guy in the appalachain part of OH whose kid answered the door and it was a pollster asking who he was going to vote for in the election. The dad learns about it, so he hollers from the other room, “Tell ‘em I’m going to vote for the niqqer.”

I wonder if they could find this guy and find out how he is going to vote this time?

I am praying for the election too. I have approach that “Faith can move mountains, but it cannot outspend Obama.” In other words, I believe that God is in control, but He uses means to accomplish His plan, so we are responsible to work like crazy to see Obama defeated.

Totally unrelated t the rest of the thread, but just saw a number disparity in that OH election; 34,000 more people voted in the treasurer race than AG. I wonder if it is higher on the ballot, or people were really turned off by DeWine and either voted Libertarian/Constitution (about 6% did) or skipped the race altogether.

DeWine is a POS, but we already knew that before he put it on display during the recent primary.

60- Mitt should openly try to seek cash outside the country (hint; Israel). When Zero and his cronies cry about it, he can retort that the O campaing makes no effort to filter contributions on its website from foreign sources. Touche!

2 Chronicles 7:14 (The Lord is merciful when we ask for mercy.) Notice the conditions.

“If my people, who are called by my name, shall humble themselves, and pray, and seek my face, and turn from their wicked ways; then will I hear from heaven, and will forgive their sin, and will heal their land.”

Apparently the difference between the polls right now is the “gender gap.” Does anyone with a brain think that some dumb comments by Rush Limbaugh are going to matter by election time? And are women going to vote on “gender rights” instead of the typical litany of issues such as the economy, foreign policy, and gas prices?

I do enjoy the fact that the DNC and their cronies are wasting so much money on something that won’t even be on the issue focus radar come November. But then again, wasting money is a democratic specialty.

FL is lost to Obama. I hope he wastes lots of time here. He will not get the youth vote, who will largely not vote this time around. He will get less of a Jewish vote and minority vote for two different reasons. He is anti israel and the life of the average minority in FL is worse not better after 4 years of this clown. Finally, there is not a republican alive no matter what the polls say who will vote for obama this time around.