Fantasy pick: RB Maurice Jones-Drew. With Taylor’s departure, the running game goes through Jones-Drew, who averaged 4.2 yards per carry last year.

Outlook: This could be it for Del Rio in Jacksonville. In a sign of his feeling the heat, Del Rio blew up the defensive staff (Gregg Wililams lasted one year) and cut ties with several starters, including Fred Taylor and the disappointing receiver trio of Williams, Jones and Porter. The offensive line will have rookie tackles (Monroe and Britton) so David Garrard better be ready to scramble. On defense, Del Rio will have a hand in the game planning – he claimed Williams’ scheme was too complicated last year. It didn’t seem to be too complex for the Redskins from 2004-07.

Projected record: 6-10 (third in AFC South). It’s a coin flip between the Jaguars and Houston for the third and fourth spots in this division. Indianapolis and Tennessee are the teams to beat. Two years ago, Del Rio won his power struggle with front office chief James Harris was demoted. But owner Wayne Weaver has installed Gene Smith as the new general manager and if things don’t go well, he’ll want his own guy as head coach. The first five games – at Indy, Arizona, at Houston, Tennessee, at Seattle – are critical.