College Football Week 1 Betting Totals Under Picks

The first Associated Press Top 25 of the new season has been released and there aren’t really any surprises in College Football. The defending SEC champion Alabama Crimson Tide received 52 first-place votes from the AP voters, easily pulling away from No. 2 Ohio State and No. 3 Florida State. Both the Buckeyes and Seminoles received first-place votes, as did No. 4 USC. But none of those schools received more than four first-place votes from the voters. Here’s an analysis on two NCAA football betting lines for games where I’d lean the under in Week 1.

Analyzing the College Football Week 1 Betting Totals Under Picks

No. 25 Tennessee vs. Georgia Tech

Vols Missing Key WR

It’s SEC vs. ACC in the final game of Week 1 and Tennessee, which lost a ton of talent off last year’s team, will be without senior receiver Josh Smith due to a collarbone injury. Smith’s injury is the latest blow to UT’s receiving corps. Coach Butch Jones said last week that freshman Jacquez Jones is out for the season after suffering a knee injury.
Smith has been affected by injuries throughout his UT career. He received a medical redshirt in 2014 after suffering a season-ending ankle injury against Oklahoma on Sept. 13 of that season. He missed spring practice this year after undergoing hernia surgery. The 6-foot-1, 206-pound Smith has played in 25 games the last two season with 13 starts. Last season, he had 13 receptions for 97 yards and a touchdown. It’s likely that Smith misses 4-8 weeks.

Georgia Tech Also Missing Starter

Yellow Jackets coach Paul Johnson has kicked sophomore running back Dedrick Mills off the team due to violating athletic department rules. Mills was arguably Georgia Tech’s most important player after posting a team-best 771 yards and 12 touchdowns in 2016. He was named to the 2017 All-ACC preseason first team.
Mills was also suspended twice last season, once in September for one game and then again in November for two games. Both times he was suspended for violating Georgia Tech policy. With Mills gone, the top returning rusher is A-Back Clinton Lynch. J.J. Green and Qua Searcy will also be heavily relied upon to carry the option offense as well. Johnson insisted that losing Mills would not change his expectations for a team coming off a nine-win season that included six victories in the final seven games.

Series History

Tennessee and Georgia Tech have met 43 times, with the Volunteers holding a 24-17-2 series lead over the Yellow Jackets. One-time SEC rivals, this year’s meeting will mark the first between the programs in 30 years, when Tennessee defeated Georgia Tech 29-15 in Knoxville during the 1987 season.

What To Know About OSU

For the second consecutive year, OSU begins its season on the road. This game was moved from Sept. 23 to the earliest opener in school history, in order for Colorado State to open its new on-campus stadium against a Power 5 opponent and for the Beavers to get two bye weeks (Sept. 23 and Oct. 21).
The Oregon State Beavers went 4-8 last season, with a 3-6 mark in Pac-12 play. Oregon State won its last two games of the season, beating Arizona 42-17 and coming from behind to beat Oregon 34-24.
The Beavers return leading rusher Ryan Nall, who nearly reached the 1,000-yard plateau last season (951 yards, 13 TDs, 6.5 ypc). His 13 TDs ranked 18th nationally. Overall, the Beavers ranked 49th in the NCAA in rushing (191.7 yards per game). Oregon State ranked 44th in the nation in passing yards allowed a year ago (211.2).
Defensively, the Beavers allowed 218.0 rushing yards per game and recorded 18 sacks in 2016. The defensive line returns nearly every contributor from last season and should get a boost from highly touted junior college transfer Craig Evans, a 330-pound tackle.

What To Know About CSU

Colorado State returns 16 starters from a year ago – 6 on offense, 8 on defense and a pair of specialists. Statistically, the Rams return 93.9 percent of their rushing yardage, 95.5 percent of their passing yards and 88 percent of its total scoring.
Three returning Rams earned All-Mountain West recognition in 2016 – WR Michael Gallup (first team), OL Jake Bennett (second team) and QB Nick Stevens (honorable mention). Stevens boasted the nation’s highest pass-efficiency rating from Oct. 11 to the end of the season. CSU went 5-1 at home in 2016, the final season at Hughes Stadium. The Rams closed the door on the 49-year-old stadium on Nov. 19, 2016, with a 49-31 win over New Mexico.
CSU is 60-57-1 (.513) all-time in season openers. That includes a 22-15-1 (.592) mark in home openers. The Rams have not lost a home opener since 1993 (23-9 loss to Oregon). CSU is 5-0 in home openers since 1995.

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