We're not talking about "other teams." This is about the White Sox, and PECOTA's inability to project their seasons accurately. As I said, the fangraphs article does a nice job showing a major flaw in their system, and why the Sox are the consistent outlier. They are just way better at keeping their players healthy than any other team in the league. PECOTA does not take that into account. It's not, at all, about players not currently on the roster. It's about keeping their current players on the roster.

No, you're only talking about the White Sox. And that you key in on that shows exactly why you're not the person to be debating the merits of the system.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sullythered

You don't find it interesting that our favorite team is the team that PECOTA most consistently gets wrong? It's worth talking about, at least.

No. The article did a really good job of explaining that away. It's not interesting, really. Nor is it reason to assume the White Sox have anything but extremely long odds of winning 90 games.