UPDATED MONDAY, 1:30 PM: Final numbers for all weekend estimates are less than expected as arctic temps across the nation kept moviegoers home Sunday night. As it played out, The Wolf of Wall Street ended up at $13.2M and American Hustle at $12.4M for the three-day weekend and, of the top ten, Wolf had the best weekend to weekend hold, down 29%. Other pics have been in the marketplace longer, of course, but it is still worth noting. Opening wide this Friday will be The Legend of Hercules from Lionsgate from director Renny Harlin, Universal’s Afghan battle pic Lone Survivor and expanding to 1,700 screens is Warner Bros.’ Her from Spike Jonze. Here are the final numbers and rankings from this weekend. Bottom ten on second page:

UPDATED, SUNDAY, 9:35 AM: With the nation in a deep freeze, pictures across the board were affected this weekend. And Sunday moviegoing is expected to be down. With more estimates coming in, the odds are that The Wolf of Wall Street will just nudge out American Hustle by a mere $200,000 for the weekend to take the fourth spot. Sony is reporting $13.2M for the weekend for Hustle now and Paramount $13.4M for the three-hour Wolf (the playtime does affect the outcome). Wolf now in the number four spot (chart updated below). Paramount is also reporting that Paranormal Activity: The Marked Onesplayed strong in the Southwestern U.S. in cities such as San Antonio and Houston. (The franchise spin-off was cast with Hispanic actors; the weather was also better in that area this weekend). 9% of its 3-day take is coming from PLF formats. In addition, Rentrak just announced that this weekend – despite the weather – box office is up 5% from a year earlier. There are more titles in the marketplace this year and Christmas and New Year’s were both on Wednesday which gave distributors two solid weekends of play.

UPDATED, SUNDAY, 8:00 AM:The nation’s deep freeze stymied moviegoing across much of the nation and just as temperatures plummeted so did ticket sales, sending box office cume estimates significantly lower. Estimates for Sunday have been reduced to adjust, with most predicting a 40% to 45% drop for most pictures across the board. The aptly titled Frozengot stuck trudging through the snow on its way to the $300M mark but will still be hovering around that notable number as it heads into the week for Disney. It did reclaim the No. 1 spot again after seven weeks in release. Sony/Annapurna’s American Hustleand Paramount’s The Wolf of Wall Street numbers are almost identical, so Sunday night ticket sales are important. Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones was off an estimated 26% (instead of 19.%) and was the only picture of the top ten to falter night to night. Meanwhile, Universal’s mega-write off 47 Roninsank on its second weekend off, losing an estimated 50% of its box office from a weekend earlier for a total cume to date of only $32.6M and a worldwide cume now of $83.9M Those are some of the highlights. Now here are the estimates based on Friday and Saturday night numbers:

First of all, Tyler Perry’s A Madea’s Christmas took the 13th spot and is expected to chase in another 3.1M for a total cume of $50.4M since its bow four weeks ago. Next Friday, Jan. 10, several of these limited releases are set for expansion as the town heads into awards seasons Her (to 1,700 runs), August: Osage County(to 2,000 runs), Lone Survivor (to 2,700 runs). Now, here are how some Oscar hopefuls are playing in limited release. Warner Bros.’ Heris very strong and expands on Jan. 10 so it is well set when it goes wider. The Spike Jonze pic is getting very positive word of mouth as it moves forward. And really, how stunning is its one-sheet? Having covered film marketing for years, I gotta give a shout out to the team on this one.

UPDATED, SATURDAY, 11: 30 PM:Weather is definitely impacting the box office as freezing temperatures paralyzes much of the country. Estimates have been downgraded for all pic’s cumes about $1.5M to 2M. American Hustleand The Wolf of Wall Street are in a dead heat for the fourth spot. One is always nipping at the other’s heels as they try to grab attention from a similar demo. Still Frozen, with an estimated $8.5M take on Saturday (+25% from Friday but down 14% from last Saturday) is still on track for No. 1 and could still rise to $300M or very close to it. Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones with $7M (-19.5% from Friday) is the only one in the top five to fall. The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug banked about $6.8M to $7M (+36% from Friday, down about 35% from last Saturday). Meanwhile, Hustle and Wolf are in a virtual tie, both pulling in between $5.5M and $5.7M. Sony’s Hustle is up an estimated 38% and Wolf is up about 33% night to night, with a $13.1M to $13.5M expected 3-day cume for each. From last Saturday, Hustle is down 21% and Wolf is off by 17%; but Hustle is in its fourth week and Wolf is only in its second — and when you look at it that way, you see a different picture as the per screen for Hustle is at $2,223 Saturday and Wolf at $2,190. More to come in the morning.

UPDATED, SATURDAY, 7:53 AM:Morning estimates do show that Disney should expectFrozento just slide in with a $300M cume thanks to the 3-day weekend, while Paramount’s Paranormal Activity: The Marked OnesFriday night estimates are looking at a slightly higher $8.8M but is still on the same course to make between $18M and $19M its debut weekend. But a C- CinemaScore will be problematic for any long-term expectation. There’s only a whisker difference between Paramount’s The Wolf of Wall Street ($4.3M) and American Hustle($4.1M) for their Friday night take. NOTEWORTHY: The per screen average estimated on the 3-day for Disney’s Saving Mr. Banksshould have Walt himself smiling. For a bottom five performer, look at it and then scroll up to see the per for Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug. Without further delay, here’s the 3-day weekend estimates based only on Friday’s numbers:

FRIDAY, 11 PM: While much of the nation is under a deep freeze, Disney is basking in the sun as its animated family musical Frozen might be able to build a $300M castle (or very close to it) over the three-day weekend. Estimates are showing solid numbers for the film so far on Friday night ($6.8M) with moviegoers continuing to buy tickets seven weeks after its debut. It could bring in anywhere from $22M to $24M this weekend, depending on the weather. Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones opened Thursday in 2,867 theaters to $1.2M, according to Paramount and added what appears to be another $8.5M on Friday. It could make $18M to $19M by the time the lights come up. However, the horror film only received a C- CinemaScore (D- for those over 25 years old). Not good for any kind of long-term play. The Hobbit: The Desolation Of Smaug (down 198 theaters to 3,730), nabbed another $5M Friday night based on early estimates for the third spot; The Wolf of Wall Street (Par), around $4.3M to take 4th place Friday night, and American Hustle (Sony), $4M. Both are constantly battling for the 4/5 spot and both added a small amount of playdates. Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues with around $3.8M. in 3,407 theaters will drop out of the top five this weekend. In 7th, Disney’s Saving Mr. Banks with around $2.7M, followed by The Secret Life of Walter Mitty (Fox), $2.5M to $2.7M, Lionsgate’s The Hunger Games: Catching Fire(-172 theaters to 2,143), $2.2M to $2.4M, Warner Bros.’ Grudge Match looks to take in $1.7M for a $5.3M to $5.5M weekend. Falling out of the top ten is Universal’s 47Ronin with only $1.5M on Friday night and is expected to have a lackluster weekend. Walking With Dinosaurs at No. 12, down 683 locations, is plodding a path into extinction unfortunately for distributor Fox with a $1.1M to $1.3M take. Remember, these are extremely early estimates will be updating tomorrow morning early.