The latest system to form and be named in the Atlantic region is now officially "Richard". Presently the system is whirling around in the Caribbean Sea. Navy track maps project the storm will impact the Yucatan peninsula, but all expert reports about the storms destination are vague at this time due to uncertainties in their computer models. Once again it will be a wait and see game as this one progresses.

Tropical Storm Richard is located about 235 miles south of Grand Cayman Island, and it is nearly stationary. Thunderstorms continue to be more robust to the north and east of the center of circulation with little thunderstorm activity west of the center. Drier air and wind shear to the northwest of the system is keeping that part of the circulation exposed, but it should gradually moisten over the next couple of days. At the same time, the shear aloft is forecast to lessen. This will allow the tropical storm to become better organized and most likely strengthen into a hurricane as the weekend commences.

An upper-level ridge of high pressure currently over the southwest Gulf of Mexico will shift to the northeast over the weekend and combine forces with another upper-level ridge over the Bahamas. This will steer Richard to the west and then west-northwest toward Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula later Sunday, most likely as a hurricane. However, if Richard tracks along the coast of Honduras, interaction with land could keep it from becoming a hurricane, but latest computer models take the path just far enough offshore. After the weekend, it will get tricky as to where Richard may go due to long-range computer models having several varying paths. Computer models have a wide variety of tracks ranging from Richard heading west into the Yucatan Peninsula and dying to moving farther northward into the Gulf of Mexico and remaining an organized system. There is still a lot of uncertainty about the future movement of Richard after the weekend so all interests in the northwest Caribbean, Central America and the Gulf region need to keep a close eye on this feature.

Elsewhere, a broad area of low pressure several hundred miles south of the Cape Verde Islands is causing a large area of thunderstorms. This is not typically an area for systems to develop in late October, but it is showing some signs of getting better organized. It will have to be watch for possible further development, as it moves to the west-northwest over the next couple of days.

By AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Eric Leister

starman1

Joined: 29 Sep 2005
Posts: 1583
Location: Earth

Sat Oct 23, 2010 1:43 pm

"Richard" has not yet become a hurricane as it skirts the coast of Honduras, but experts say it may achieve that status before running aground on the Yucatan near Belize.

"Richard" achieved Hurricane status with wind speeds of a reported 90 mph, before impacting the Yucatan south of Belize...
The storm is presently classed as a Tropical Storm, and it is maintaining its organization as it moves across the Yucatan Peninsula.
However, expert reports claim the system will diminish as it progresses posing no threat to the US...

Another system has formed in the Atlantic and has earned the official name at number 19 for the season its "Shary". This system according to projected Navy track maps is targeting Bermuda directly at the moment as a Tropical Storm, but it is not presently forecast to become a hurricane or further threat to the U S Coast.

Tropical Storm Shary is in the western Atlantic and will threaten Bermuda with tropical storm conditions by Friday afternoon.

The storm is about 220 miles south-southwest of Bermuda. We expect Shary to take a more northerly turn, and eventually northeastward, by Friday afternoon. This track will bring Shary very close to Bermuda Friday afternoon, bringing heavy rain and gusty winds to the islands. Rainfall will total 1 to 3 inches across Bermuda before the storm moves away by Friday night. Shary will interact with a cold front and strong shear by Saturday, and this will force the system to move northeast into colder waters, where it will become a pure non-tropical system.

A second area of concern is centered between 7 and 12 north and 52 west, or about 800 miles east of Trinidad and Tobago. This surface low is evolving, and the system could wrap up quickly in the next 24-36 hours as it moves over very warm water and weak wind shear. An organized tropical system could emerge by Saturday. However, wind shear will be the big determining factor as to whether this system continues to evolve.

By AccuWeather.com Meteorologists Rob Richards and Rob Miller

starman1

Joined: 29 Sep 2005
Posts: 1583
Location: Earth

Sat Oct 30, 2010 2:23 pm

"Shary" achieved hurricane status and is presently being rated a CAT 1 classification. This system is not very large and is nearly a done deal as it gets blown into the northern Atlantic away from US.
Another system has also achieved official Tropical Storm status in the Atlantic and has been named "Tomas". This system is forecast to potentially become a "MAJOR HURRICANE"... and the present Navy track maps project it will be moving directly into the heart of the Caribbean Sea.

"Tomas" did achieve Hurricane classification yesterday as it entered into the Caribbean as a CAT 2 class storm. It has since lost its Hurricane classification but experts warn it may soon reach more favorable conditions for re-intensification and could be a potential nightmare for the inhabitants of Haiti and the Dominican Republic should the system move in their direction as a Hurricane.

starman1

Joined: 29 Sep 2005
Posts: 1583
Location: Earth

Tue Nov 02, 2010 2:09 pm

"Tomas" is still holding together as a tropical storm system and it is not yet known whether this system will regain hurricane strength before it reaches Haiti, Friday, as predicted by the experts.

Tomas remains a tropical storm, and has been moving to the west at around 12 mph during the past 24 hours. The storm is located just northwest of the ABC Islands, just north of Venezuela. The system is experiencing southwesterly shear, which is ripping most of the convection away to the east of the center. It looks like this shear will continue to inhibit significant development over the next 24 to 36 hours. After that, the shear is expected to relax, which should allow the storm to intensify. However, until then, it is also possible that the low-level circulation entirely dissipates.

Either way, a deepening upper-level trough taking shape over the eastern United States later this week will begin to pull Tomas to the north and eventually northeast over the next few days which will likely take it near or over Haiti sometime Friday. Despite its strength at that time, Tomas does have the potential to bring heavy rainfall and mudslides. Eventually, the southwest winds in advance of the trough will create too much shear for the storm to remain vertical as it tracks northeast of Hispaniola on Saturday. This will cause the storm to weaken as it moves over the southern Bahamas and also affect the Turks and Caicos on Saturday into Saturday night.

"Tomas" is still maintaining organized features and may yet become a hurricane again as predicted by the experts. Those predictions and posted track maps still present the projected path to be headed toward Haiti, possibly clipping Jamaica along the way as a hurricane by weeks end. If this scenario holds true, the potential suffering inflicted could be catastrophic to the Haitian earthquake survivors that are still living in tent settlements.
Their numbers are still reported to be over a million; 1.3 million people still living in tents with the threat of this storm approaching. MAY GOD HELP THEM, AND US ALL WHO MUST WATCH

sicntired

Joined: 27 May 2007
Posts: 613
Location: columbus, ohio

Thu Nov 04, 2010 2:15 am

Amen! We pray for protection over Haiti.

starman1

Joined: 29 Sep 2005
Posts: 1583
Location: Earth

Thu Nov 04, 2010 2:27 pm

quote:Originally posted by sicntiredAmen! We pray for protection over Haiti.

sicntired,
Thank you so much for coming together in this request...

"Tomas" has not yet quite reached hurricane status again but conditions for re-intensification are still favorable in its path according to expert reports. The projected Navy track map has been slightly altered now and although nothing is set in stone the present maps suggest the center of the system traveling a more northerly route still possibly clipping Jamaica, and now more closer to Cuba's Guantanamo than to Port-au-Prince, Haiti. Nonetheless, this system still poses life threatening conditions to those in the entire region in proximity of the storm, as it will produce excessive rains which may cause flooding and mudslides along with its dangerous winds wherever it travels.

The Haitian Government has issued warnings and is advising those in less than adequate shelter to try to find somewhere else to go to ride out the storm. Hopefully those on the ground heed the warning and are able to find refuge before the storm arrives.
From here we can only WATCH and pray for those in harms way.

LORD, protect the innocent from the wrath of this storm, by your promise make it so and Thank You GOD...

quote: The Haitian government has called for the voluntary evacuation of all the quake zone's camps ahead of Friday's expected arrival of Tropical Storm Tomas, telling residents to find somewhere else to go.

What is now again Hurricane Tomas, is presently maintaining a CAT 1 status as it is pummeling Haiti and areas of Jamaica & Cuba with its outer rain bands and winds. This killer storm is placing hundreds of thousands of lives at risk; our prayers go out for the innocence in its wake.........

"Tomas" is now again a tropical storm and its center has moved away from the Caribbean Islands and is headed out to sea in the Atlantic where it is not expected to do any further damage to any land areas. There are still some areas of rain storms associated with Tomas visible on satellite imagery affecting the islands near Haiti & Cuba, but it appears the system is moving on and dissipating...

starman1

Joined: 29 Sep 2005
Posts: 1583
Location: Earth

Tue Nov 30, 2010 3:27 pm

Another Hurricane season comes to its end. Today, Nov. 30 2010 marks the official end to this years season, and we thank GOD for that. Although there were lives lost to storms this season, over all the devastation realized was much less than witnessed in previous years and for that we give thanks as well.
There were some major close calls with respect to systems that could have been catastrophic in nature and outcome had they impacted direct hits on some targets such as Haiti, but for the most part many were spared the wrath of the storms fury’s. Other Islands were not so lucky and did sustain loss of life and property and so we pray for their dead, and wish those injured a speedy recovery, remembering that “things” can be replaced but lives lost are gone from this world forever…

Officially, the season has come to a close and things look quiet for now, but the WATCH will continue as we move forward from here…….

Starman1 out………

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