Category Archives: Polls

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random telephone survey of 881 registered Democratic voters in Florida.. The poll was conducted using IVR technology, with the results weighted by anticipated voting demographics. Results may not sum to 100% because of rounding. The Polls were conducted 6-16-2015 to 6-20-2015 3.3% (dem) and 3.6% (rep).

The Florida primary race for the Democratic nomination for President continues to show former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton enjoying a wide lead over her nearest expected challenger, Vermont’s socialist/Democratic US Senator Bernie Sanders.

With 64.8% of the respondents favoring Clinton, she remains in a comfortable first place position in spite of a recent surge in support and positive publicity for Sanders who places second at 20.6% of likely Democratic primary voters. Former Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley places a very distant third at 2.1% of the vote.

While Clinton’s opponents numbers have no where to go but up, the Clinton support enjoyed by her husband, former President Bill Clinton as well as her own individual popularity among Florida’s Democratic activists and party workers will most likely ensure a Clinton victory next March 15, 2016 in the Florida presidential primary.

Gravis has just completed a survey on the race for the Democratic nomination for Florida’s open US Senate seat and the numbers reflect and confirm several recently released survey’s from other public opinion research groups that show the upward trend of Florida Congressman Alan Grayson in a match-up against his Florida congressional colleague, Patrick Murphy.

The Gravis methodology is based on those voters highly likely to vote in the Democratic primary in 2016. With only 17.7% of registered voters voting in the 2014 closed primary, a similarly small percentage of Democrat voters will choose the nominee.

Grayson was the beneficiary of an unlikely ally in recent weeks when the conservative Club for Growth unexpectedly launched a statewide media buy attacking Murphy for his continued support of the Export-Import Bank, one of the many issues that contrast the two Democratic candidates.

Murphy has come under increasing attacks from the mainstream Democratic and progressive groups for being too ‘Republican’ and our survey reflects this objection to Murphy’s candidacy.

Grayson, according to political pundits and insiders, is expected to announce his candidacy for the Senate seat being vacated by Marco Rubio in the next several days.

Grayson, one of the nation’s leading Democratic progressives will certainly give Murphy a spirited contest based on our results.

If the Florida Democratic primary election for President were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Martin O’Malley, Lincoln Chafee, Bill De Blasio, and Jim Webb, whom would you vote for?

If the Democratic primary election for Senate were held today and the candidates were, Alan Grayson and Patrick Murphy, whom would you vote for?

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

What race do you identify yourself as?

Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

What is the highest level of education have you completed?

How old are you?

What is your gender?

Republicans

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 729 registered Republican voters in Florida. The poll was conducted using IVR technology, with the results weighted by anticipated voting demographics. Results may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Gravis contacted a random some of registered voter lists . Margin of Error 3.3% (dem) and 3.6% (rep).

On the Republican side, the results clearing indicate a re-affirmation of former Florida Governor Jeb Bush’s continuing domination of the polls up to this time.Florida US Senator Marco Rubio makes a strong showing based on his own personal popularity and his come-from-behind win in the US Senate race five years ago.

Rubio and Bush have been longtime friends and allies from the vote rich Miami-Dade area for decades and now find themselves with a winner-take-all contest in the state’s March 15, 20162016 presidential primary. Bush continues to lead in nearly all national polls while trailing in some early primary and caucus states.

The other contenders for the nomination are all polling in single digits and indicate that the Florida primary will most likely result in a contest between two of Florida’s favorite Republican sons.

If the Florida Republican primary for President was held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Bobby Jindal, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, and Lindsey Graham, whom would you vote for?

If the Florida Republican Primary election for President was held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio, whom would you vote for?

If the Republican primary election for Senate were held today and the candidates were, Bill McCollum, Ron DeSantis, Carlos Lopez-Cantera, and Jeff Miller, whom would you vote for?

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?

Do you or anyone in your family own a gun or firearm?

Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?

Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

“Jeb Bush has advantages going into the New Hampshire primary,” said Kaplan. “His family has a well-known compound at Walker’s Point, just over the line in Maine, and his family has strong roots in New England.”

“The race in New Hampshire and in other states has become between Bush and Not-Bush,” he said. “Walker is the strongest of the Not-Bush, but he is competing against nine or 10 or more other candidates.”

Kentucky Sen. Randal H. “Rand” Paul (Courtesy)

Paul is also strong, he said. “This poll caught Senator Paul’s bounce from his filibuster against Patriot Act, which on top of the good will he started with from his father, former Texas congressman Ron Paul puts him at the top of the Not-Bush pack.”

“In the large field of Republican candidates, it has been difficult to decide which candidates to include,” he said. “But, Trump has taken serious steps towards an actual campaign and his personality resonates with voters.”

Among the Tea Party voters, the leader is Texas Sen. R. Edward “Ted” Cruz, who is the choice of 18 percent. The other top candidates are: Paul and Walker tied at 13 percent, Huckabee at 12 percent and Carson at 9 percent.

Sen. R. Edward “Ted” Cruz (R.-Texas)

Note: Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random telephone survey of 487 Republican Primary voters in New Hampshire on June 3 – 4, 2015. The poll has a margin of error of ± 4%. Results may not sum to 100% because of rounding. The poll was conducted using IVR technology, with the results weighted by anticipated voting demographics.

If the New Hampshire Republican Primary for President was held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Chris Christie, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Donald Trump, Mike Huckabee, and Ben Carson, Who would you vote for?

Would you support immigration reform that included a pathway to citizenship for those living in the country illegally?

How likely is a candidate’s immigration policies likely to influence your vote?

Do you believe the U.S. is doing enough to fight radical Islamic terrorism in the Middle East?

Would you support deploying additional ground troops to the Middle East in order to fight Islamic State terrorists?

The following questions are for demographic purposes. What is your Party affiliation?

The governor of Wisconsin continues to do well with Iowa Republicans, according to the May 28-29 Townhall-Gravis poll of 364 registered GOP voters in the campaign to win the Hawkeye State’s Feb.1 caucuses.

Michael D. Huckabee with Joe Scarborough on the “Morning Joe” set (Courtesy)

Huckabee won the 2008 Republican Iowa Caucuses with 34 percent of the vote. In the final tally, Huckabee finished second to the party’s eventual nominee Arizona Sen. John S. McCain III.

“In our Feb. 12-13 poll, Walker led the field with 24 percent, so he has come down some, but in those four months, other candidates have their own bumps from either a favorable news cycle or a formal announcement,” he said.

“Walker was at 10 percent in Iowa with Romney still in the mix in our Jan. 5-7 poll,” he said. Former Massachusetts governor W. Mitt Romney excused himself from the race at the end of January. “After Romney got out, Walker went up 14 points and has been consistently in the lead pack in Iowa and other states ever since.”

Among Republicans with guns in the household, Walker leads all others with 20 percent, followed by Rubio, 15 percent; Carson, 12 percent; Bush, 10 percent and Huckabee, 7 percent.

Among pro-life Republicans, Walker garners the support of 21 percent of respondents, followed by Rubio, 14 percent; Carson, 11 percent; Huckabee, 10 percent and Bush with 7 percent.

Among Tea Party voters, Rubio takes the lead from Walker with the support of 19 percent. The Florida senator is followed by Carson, 17 percent; Texas Sen. R. Edward “Ted” Cruz, 14 percent; Walker, 13 percent and former Pennsylvania senator Richard J. Santorum, 11 percent.

In the Democratic field, former first lady Hillary R. Clinton dominates the field with 59 percent of respondents. Vermont Sen. Bernard Sanders, a Socialist running as a Democrat, follows Clinton with 15 percent. Former Virginia senator and secretary of the Navy James H. Webb Jr., is in third place with the support of 3 percent of Democrats. The poll comprised a sample of 434 Democrats and carries a 5 percent margin of error.

Notes: Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,156 registered voters in Iowa regarding potential matchups [364 Republicans, 434 Democrats, and the remainder Independent/Other]. The poll was conducted May 28 – 29, has a margin of error of ± 3% [5% for the Republican Primary question and 5% for the Democratic Primary question]. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polling method was done through IVR, with the raw results weighted by anticipated voting demographics.Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s Job Performance?

Do approve or disapprove of Senator Ernst’s Job Performance?

What is your Party affiliation?

If the Iowa Republican caucuses for President were held today and the candidates were Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Chris Christie, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, Ben Carson, and Jeb Bush, Who would you vote for?

Do you support or oppose the Tea Party movement?

If the Iowa Democratic caucuses for President were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Lincoln Chafee, and Bill De Blasio, Who would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Hillary Clinton, Who would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Hillary Clinton, Who would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Mike Huckabee and Democrat Hillary Clinton, Who would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Hillary Clinton, Who would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, Who would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Carly Fiorina and Democrat Hillary Clinton, Who would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton, Who would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton, Who would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Ben Carson and Democrat Hillary Clinton, Who would you vote for?

Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a trustworthy and honest individual or not?

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?

Do you or anyone in your family own a gun or firearm?

Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?

Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

Trent Kelly is the choice 77 percent of Tea Party voters and 69 percent of voters opposed to abortion rights, said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights, the Florida-based polling company that conducted the poll. The poll carries a 4 percent margin.

Among voters, living in households with at least one gun, Kelly leads 65 percent to Zinn’s 28 percent. But, in households without at least one gun, Zinn leads 58 percent to 30 percent.

“I do not see him as an establishment or Tea Party candidate, he just ran on his record,” Perry said.

Watch this video of Walter Howard Zinn Jr.

“Kelly is a conservative Republican, who put together a good campaign,” he said. “Kelly’s district, where he is district attorney, covers about a third of the congressional district and he was very effective building a grassroots campaign from is his support from the National Guard across the state.”

Notes: Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 509 registered voters in Mississippi regarding the Special Election runoff for the U.S. House of Representatives. The poll has a margin of error of ± 4%, was conducted using IVR technology on May 28th, and the results were weighted by anticipated voting demographics.

A complete accounting of the results according to party, race, gender, age group, education category, and other demographic variables is available upon request.

If the special runoff election for US Representative were held today and the candidates were Republican Trent Kelly and Democrat Walter Zinn Jr, whom would you vote for?What is your party affiliation?

Do you or anyone in your family own a gun or firearm?

Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal? Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party? Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background? What race do you identify yourself as? Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? What is the highest level of education have you completed? How old are you? What is your gender?

Washington Republicans are lining up for Kentucky’s Sen. Randal H. “Rand” Paul with strong support from gun owners, according to the May 18-19 Townhall/Gravis Insights poll of 523 Republican voters.

“Rand Paul has a national following that has not been reflected in our state-by-state polls, until we took at look at Washington State,” said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights a division of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based polling company that conducted the poll. The poll of Republicans carries a 4 percent margin of error.

Gravis Insights, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random telephone survey of 1,032 registered voters in Washington regarding potential election matchups and other relevant issues. The poll has a margin of error of 3 percent for the general election questions, 6 percent for the 256 Democratic respondents, he said. The poll was conducted using the Gravis IVR technology automated calling system and the results were weighted by anticipated voting demographics.

Sergio Gor, a spokesman for the senator, said: “Senator Rand Paul has worked very hard to grow the party over the last few years, his focus on issues like privacy and criminal justice reform gives him a unique ability to successfully engage the youth community.”

The Kentucky senator was the choice of 16 percent of Republicans, where there is a gun in the home, followed by Walker, 14 percent; Rubio, 13 percent; Bush, 10 percent and Carson with 7 percent, Kaplan said.

“Rubio is the top choice among abortion opponents with 16 percent,” he said. “The Florida senator was followed by Bush and Carson both with 13 percent, then Walker with 11 percent and Huckabee with 9 percent.”

“The dynamic of the Republican contest is in real flux right now as candidates dominate a news cycle for a few days or get a bump from their formal announcement,” he said. “Things will not settle until everyone who is in, is in—and everyone who is not running makes it clear that they are out.”

Twenty-three percent of Republicans are undecided, Kaplan said.

Bush and Walker had been the leaders of the pack, but Bush has not even announced his formal candidacy, and others, such as Rubio, Cruz and Carson have joined the fray, he said.

Michelle Ray, a spokeswoman for Washington Right to Work, said the poll results jibe with the support she is seeing on the ground.

“The support is so strong that we are expanding our campaign and pushing for legislative action in addition to collecting signatures for a ballot initiative,” she said.

In the 2016 race for governor, Gov. Jay. R. Inslee has an upside-down approval rating of 38 percent favorable v. 42 percent unfavorable, Kaplan said. “But, the governor has leads over three of his potential Republican rivals.”

Executive Summary Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm conducted a random survey of 1,032 registered voters in Washington regarding potential election matchups and other relevant issues. The poll was conducted May 18 0- 19, 2015 and has a margin of error of ± 3% for the General Election, ± 4% for the Republican caucus (respondents of 523), and ± 6% for the Democratic caucus (respondents of 256). The poll was conducted using IVR technology and the results were weighted by anticipated voting demographics.Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Inslee’s job performance?

If the Washington Republican Caucuses for President were held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Chris Christie, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, and Ben Carson, whom would you vote for?

If the Washington Democratic Caucuses for President were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Lincoln Chafee, and Bill De Blasio, whom would you vote for?

If the Washington Democratic Caucus for President were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Lincoln Chafee, and Bill De Blasio, whom would you vote for?

If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Dave Reichert and Democrat Jay Inslee, whom would you vote for?

If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Bill Bryant and Democrat Jay Inslee, whom would you vote for?

If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Andy Hill and Democrat Jay Inslee, who would you vote for?

If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Rob McKenna and Democrat Jay Inslee, who would you vote for?

If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Dave Reichert and Democrat Patty Murray, whom would you vote for?

If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers and Democrat Patty Murray, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Mike Huckabee and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a trustworthy and honest individual or not?

Hillary Clinton used a personal email account to conduct government business while working as Secretary of State under the Obama Administration. Does this issue factor into why you think Hillary Clinton is a trustworthy and honest individual or not?

Several states have what is known as a “Right to Work” law which lets workers in their states keep their job in a company regardless of whether or not he or she joins a labor union. Would you support or oppose implementing a “Right to Work” law in Washington?

Do you think Congress should ban online gambling?

Do you think Congress should raise the gas tax in order to pay for highways, bridges, and mass transit projects?

The following questions are for demographic purposes.What is your party affiliation?

What is your political ideology?

Do you or anyone in your family own a gun or firearm?

Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?