Bengals fans won’t be shocked to hear the news, as the Bengals tend to fly under the radar nationally — if not thrive on it, too.

But the four-letter giant released its FPI rankings and odds recently and it isn’t a pretty sight for the Bengals. For those unfamiliar, it breaks down like this, as explained by ESPN’s Hank Gargiulo and Seth Walder:

“…but the model considers each team’s win total at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, how that team performed on offense, defense and special teams last season, how many starters are returning, and who the starting and backup quarterbacks are.”

The tally for the Bengals? They sit 25th overall with just 6.9 projected wins, have an 18-percent chance at the playoffs and eight percent at the AFC North. Reaching the Super Bowl checks in at one percent, winning it at less than one percent.

As explained, the automated rankings and odds take into account varying factors, though it’s easy to see why it might underestimate the Bengals. Last year was a down year for the team, yet they retain most of the same starters. The biggest change has come along the coaching staff, so there’s hope the players perform better.

Easier said than done, though a deeper look at how the formula ranks the team could make the Bengals an interesting underdog bet. After all, the Los Angeles Rams only had a 7.9 percent chance of making the playoffs last year.