A 60-36 margin against
legalization of marijuana shows fairly broad based opposition to the
idea including opposition by a majority of Republicans (75%) and
Democrats (51%) while Independents split equally 47-47. Senior citizens
oppose legalization 71-28, which is a critical constituency all
politicians will not want to alienate. Clearly, the legalization of
marijuana is opposed by almost all demographic groups and even slightly
opposed among Democrats in the state. Only independent voters
particularly in the Pima [County] area . . . might be open to the issue
but even among them the issue is basically tied.

A couple of
notes: Susquehanna readily admits on its website that it only does
polls for political candidates who are Republicans. In Pennsylvania,
where the company is based, it found President Obama and Mitt Romney
tied in the state, three days before Election Day. Obama won by more
than 5 percentage points, and every other poll in the state conducted within two weeks of the election found Obama leading by between 3 and 6 percentage points.

With all of that said, back in May, a Behavior Research Center poll found that 56 percent of the people it surveyed were in favor of legalizing marijuana in Arizona.

(A
note on that: Although polling guru Nate Silver has said that the
Behavior Research Center "has had good results in the past," it was the
only polling firm to find Obama leading Romney at any point in Arizona
in 2012, including a month before the election. Romney won the state
very easily, by more than 9 percentage points.)

Then there's the third poll,
from Public Policy Polling, which found at the beginning of the year
that nearly 60 percent of the Arizonans it surveyed supported marijuana
legalization.

Keeping with our accuracy comparisons with 2012
presidential election results, Public Policy Polling, although it does
polling for Democrats, was hailed for its accuracy during that election.

Although
there's an effort to gather the signatures to put marijuana
legalization on the Arizona ballot next year, the effort lacks a major
funding source, so it's unlikely that there actually will be a vote on
the issue in the near future.