Rory McIlroy is on the fast track to No. 1

Rory McIlroy reacts to a putt on the tenth hole while playing Hunter Mahan in the final round during the Match Play Championship golf tournament on Sunday, Feb. 26, 2012, in Marana, Ariz. Mahan won 2 and 1. (AP Photo/Eric Risberg)

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Rory McIlroy reacts to a putt on the tenth hole while playing Hunter Mahan in the final round during the Match Play Championship golf tournament on Sunday, Feb. 26, 2012, in Marana, Ariz. Mahan won 2 and 1. (AP Photo/Eric Risberg)

Rory McIlroy reacts to a putt on the tenth hole while playing Hunter Mahan in the final round during the Match Play Championship golf tournament on Sunday, Feb. 26, 2012, in Marana, Ariz. Mahan won 2 and 1. (AP Photo/Eric Risberg) (/ AP)

DOUG FERGUSON, AP Golf Writer

Rory McIlroy, of Northern Ireland, hits up the seventh fairway against Hunter Mahan in the final round during the Match Play Championship golf tournament on Sunday, Feb. 26, 2012, in Marana, Ariz. (AP Photo/Eric Risberg)

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Rory McIlroy, of Northern Ireland, hits up the seventh fairway against Hunter Mahan in the final round during the Match Play Championship golf tournament on Sunday, Feb. 26, 2012, in Marana, Ariz. (AP Photo/Eric Risberg)

Rory McIlroy, of Northern Ireland, hits up the seventh fairway against Hunter Mahan in the final round during the Match Play Championship golf tournament on Sunday, Feb. 26, 2012, in Marana, Ariz. (AP Photo/Eric Risberg) (/ AP)

Hunter Mahan figured out the fuss over Rory McIlroy without any help.

Mahan listened, but was not surprised, when fans called out McIlroy's name along the fairways of Dove Mountain. There is a certain appeal about Boy Wonder that makes it hard for people not to stare when he walks past them.

Mahan agrees with all the talk about McIlroy's bid to become No. 1. He just wanted to make sure it didn't happen at his expense Sunday in the Match Play Championship. Mahan, as much as any American player, has seen this day coming.

They first played against each other three years ago in the Match Play - it was McIlroy's pro debut in America - and the 22-year-old from Northern Ireland birdied the last two holes for a 1-up win in the second round.

A year later, Mahan and Zach Johnson faced McIlroy and Graeme McDowell in a foursomes match at the Ryder Cup. The Americans were 3 down after just seven holes and wound up losing.

So when Mahan talked about his tough road to the championship match, and how he had to beat five great players to get there, he quickly added, "I've got to beat one more incredible player to win."

That's what Mahan did Sunday to capture his second World Golf Championship title.

Even though that win moves Mahan closer to the elite among American golfers, he should understand why more people left the West Coast still buzzing about McIlroy, and how much better he can get.

McIlroy would have had to win the Match Play to replace Luke Donald at No. 1.

McIlroy could get there this week with a win at the Honda Classic, or perhaps a week later at Doral. The kid will take a three-week break after that to get ready for the Masters, where he will be among the betting favorites along with Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson, who have seven green jackets between them.

Donald had that look of inevitability about him last year, too, though it took him an extra month when Lee Westwood won two events against weak fields. Donald became No. 1 by beating Westwood in a playoff at Wentworth at the end of May. He has been there since.

Now, however, Donald is starting the new season slowly, much like Westwood did a year ago when he went eight tournaments out of the top 10. Donald has three finishes out of the top 30.

Donald was an inspiration to all the medium-length hitters by proving that a player doesn't have to fly it 300 yards to be No. 1. Then again, power and consistency beats consistency every time.

That's why McIlroy has the look of a No. 1 player.

Since that injury scare at the PGA Championship last year, when McIlroy tried to hit a 7-iron with a tree root in the path of his swing, he had finished out of the top 10 just once in 11 tournaments. He won an unofficial event in Shanghai against a world-class field and the Hong Kong Open. He was runner-up in the Dunhill Links, Korea, Abu Dhabi and the Match Play.

This is the consistency that the great ones have.

As for his game?

McIlroy has a swing that's easy on the eye, packed with plenty of power. He has a keen short game, and there was no better example of that in the semifinal match against Lee Westwood. He pitched 20 feet away from the flag to ride the spine of a ridge, and watched the ball gently take the slope to a foot for birdie.

He has looked suspect at times with short putts, but from outside 20 feet, just about every putt looks as if it has a chance.

The knock on McIlroy is that he has only four wins - none in Europe in a bit of anomaly. For someone who has played primarily the European Tour the last three years, someone with that talent should be expected to win more. Martin Kaymer, the 27-year-old German who has been on tour one year longer than McIlroy, already has 10 wins, including a major and a World Golf Championship.

But the quality of McIlroy's wins can't be ignored - a 62 in the final round to win at Quail Hollow and the U.S. Open.

Just two months after he collapsed at the Masters with an 80, McIlroy showed remarkable resilience by shattering records at the U.S. Open for an eight-shot win at Congressional, where he finished at 268. That score wins Memphis, not the U.S. Open.

Still, it's the failures that make McIlroy's future look so limitless.

In the last few years alone, he tied a major championship record with a 63 at St. Andrews. He was tied for the lead late in the final round of the PGA Championship at Whistling Straits, and narrowly missed a birdie putt on the last hole that would have put him in a playoff. Yes, he shot 80 at the Masters. Don't forget the 54 holes that preceded that.

No one is about to lay down for McIlroy, as Mahan showed Sunday at Dove Mountain.

Westwood squandered a chance to win in Dubai, and while McIlroy in effect called him out and then beat him in a high-stakes semifinal, Westwood looks in good form. A return to No. 1 is not out of the question.

McIlroy, however, has youth on his side. He doesn't turn 23 until May. He is fitter and much stronger than he was a year ago. Odds are he has yet to hit stride. And while this doesn't bode well in the long run for Donald or Westwood, to see McIlroy on the verge of becoming the best in golf is going to make it that much harder on Tiger Woods, too.