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Wednesday, December 5, 2012

2012 Week 14 Fantasy Advice

We're already here, and the NFL season should not go by this fast (me being a Jaguars fan excluded). It's now truly fantasy playoff time, so every pick is crucial. That's why you're reading this... I hope.

Who to Start:

QB Andrew Luck (IND) vs. TEN: He was on fire against the Lions last Sunday, and his matchup Sunday against the Titans is also very favorable. Their pass defense has been atrocious this season, and Luck has been very good at home as well.

RB Shonn Greene (NYJ) vs. JAX: He's a bit of a risk to start, but going up against the Jags rush D that got shredded last Sunday in Buffalo, he should at least put up some sort of decent stat line.

WR Marques Colston (NO) vs. NYG: The Giants secondary has been up and down this season, and the downs have happened mainly at home. That bodes well for Colston, who is due for a good game after a 10 day layoff.

WR Hakeem Nicks (NYG) vs. NO: On the other side, Hakeem Nicks is going up against a Saints secondary that has been pretty terrible this season as well, and Eli is due for a good game after a less-than-stellar effort on Monday Night.

TE Kyle Rudolph (MIN) vs. CHI: Even though the matchup on paper is poor, Rudolph has scored a TD in 3 straight games for the Vikings. Since Percy Harvin is now on IR, there is a good chance Rudolph will continue his pace.

DEF Seattle vs. ARZ: Despite losing Brandon Browner to suspension, these are the Cardinals, and the 'Hawks are at home.

Who to Sit:

QB Philip Rivers (SD) vs. PIT: Since the Chargers haven't beaten a team not named Kansas City since September, it's hard to trust Rivers at this point, especially against the Steelers D which is now on a roll.

RB Beanie Wells (ARZ) vs. SEA: Wells was poor last week against an iffy Jets rush D, and now he goes up against a rush D in Seattle that has been stout against everyone not named Adrian Peterson. I'd bench Beanie.

WR Miles Austin (DAL) vs. CIN: The Bengals have an underrated secondary, and they've won 4 in a row now. Austin's fantasy numbers can either be fantastic or non-existent, and against the Bengals, they're more likely to be non-existent.

WR Justin Blackmon (JAX) vs. NYJ: There are two reasons why you should bench Blackmon. One, he'll likely be matched up against Antonio Cromartie, and two, everyone saw last week why Chad Henne isn't the answer for the Jags at QB, while Blackmon had a bad case of the dropsies.

TE Brandon Pettigrew (DET) vs. GB: He's been very good in his last couple of games, but the Packers have shut him down big time in the 4 times he's played the Pack. Also, Green Bay has been very good at defending the Tight End this season.

DEF Houston vs. NE MON: Do I really have to explain this one?

3 Super Sleepers:

QB Colin Kaepernick (SF) vs. MIA: I know he was bad last Sunday, but the Fins don't have a very good pass defense, as evidenced by the last couple of weeks. Kaepernick is also due for a good game on home turf.

WR Jeremy Maclin (PHI) vs. TB: This is the definition of a super-sleeper. While the Eagles offense has been mediocre under Nick Foles, the Bucs secondary is easily torched by opposing QB's. Maclin has a chance on Sunday to put up big numbers.

TE Dennis Pitta (BAL) vs. WSH: I know Joe Flacco struggles on the road, but the Redskins defense is still pretty bad, and they have major issues defending the Tight End, in fact they are the worst fantasy wise against the position at home.

Buyer Beware:

WR Mike Wallace (PIT) vs. SD: He's hard to bench, but he's really struggled since Big Ben was shelved. Even if he does come back, I'd expect Pittsburgh to run more than pass on Sunday, meaning Wallace once again could be limited.

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