DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVINGTOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. HOWEVER...A SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 25 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUSTERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY.

Gulfcast

Gulfcast

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Southeast Radar

Southeast Radar

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Tropical Headlines

Posted: 02/19/2015
- Residents in Australia's Northern Territories and Queensland braced Thursday for a pair of cyclones expected to make landfall on Friday. 'Marcia' and 'Lam' are expected to dump at least 15 inches of rain and bring winds up to 180 miles per hour.

Updated: 10/16/2014
- Tropical Storm Ana is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane this week as it moves toward the southern edge of Hawaii's Big Island, which was hit by a destructive tropical storm two months ago.

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