After Pat restricts his pre-season perusal to just their CBS bios, he ranks the contestants of Survivor: Ghost Island into tiers of win probability: Likely, Possible, Unlikely, and Impossible. Who will be the unlucky victim of his cursed winner pick?

Pat Ferrucci started watching Survivor when episode two of Borneo first aired. He's seen every episode since. Besides recapping here, he'll be live-tweeting this season from the Mountain Time Zone. Why? Because nobody cares about the Mountain Time Zone except when they want to ski. Follow him @patferrucci for Survivor stuff and tweets about anything and everything that enters his feeble mind.