Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/8

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, August 8

Good Luck on day #219 of 2017!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

— Former big league 1B Ike Davis is making a comeback as a pitcher in the Arizona State League with a Dodgers farm club.

— New Year’s Eve at Planet Hollywood in Las Vegas? $499 for the night. Yikes.

— 36-year old WR Anquan Boldin signed with the Buffalo Bills for one year, $2.75M.

— RIP Don Baylor 68, who passed away this weekend. A very good player and first manager of the Rockies, he played 19 years in the major leagues— he was AL MVP in 1979. RIP

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Think about how smart/fortunate the Green Bay Packers have been; since 1992, their starting QB’s have been Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers. Thats it. Two Hall of Famers.

By way of contrast, my favorite team, the Rams, have had 10 different #1 QB’s since ‘92, and Jared Goff will be #11 this season.

12) Chargers’ QB Philip Rivers has 8 kids, and therefore is being allowed to commute 71 miles from his home to training camp every day. Very odd situation— chances are Rivers will be retired by the time the Rams/Chargers move into the new Hollywood Park stadium in 2020.

Since 2002, Drew Brees/Philip Rivers have been the Chargers’ #1 QB’s; not bad. In the five years before that, 1997-2001, the Chargers had five different #1 QB’s: Stan Humphries, Craig Whelihan, Jim Harbaugh, Ryan Leaf and Doug Flutie. Continuity is very important.

11) This from the Football Outsiders Almanac, which I just bought online:

“Last year’s Oakland Raiders had the lowest scoring differential (plus-31) of any 12-4 team in NFL history. The other seven teams that went 12-4 with a scoring differential of plus-70 or lower averaged a 9-7 record the next year.”

10) I’m not a big fan of fantasy football, but a ton of people are, and one of the questions those people need to answer this season is what impact Adrian Peterson will have in New Orleans. Saints open the season in Minnesota, against Peterson’s old team, the Vikings.

9) The daughter of Saints’ coach Sean Payton goes to college at Pepperdine; she is a PR intern at the Cowboys’ training camp in Oxnard, CA this summer.

8) Cam Newton isn’t practicing with the Panthers just yet; his shoulder’s health is going to determine a lot of how well Carolina does this season.

7) John Elway’s new contract nets him $6M a year to run the Denver Broncos, who’ve won more games than any team in the NFL during Elway’s tenure as GM, except New England.

6) Tennessee Titans wanted QB Marcus Mariota to gain weight to play this season, but he came to camp lighter, at 215. We’ll see how that works out for him.

4) Bob Stoops retired as Oklahoma’s footballl coach back in June, at age 56, young for a coach to retire. Seems odd until you read that Stoops’ dad was a really good high school coach who died during a game when he was only 54. Then it makes a lot more sense.

3) Chargers have a new head coach in Anthony Lynn, but he has experienced coordinators, in ex-head coaches Ken Whisenhunt, Gus Bradley. That makes good sense.

2) This is a fun week ahead of us: NFL exhibitions resume Wednesday, and the last major of the golf season is this week, as well as the last week of the regular season for my fantasy baseball league. Rams play Dallas Saturday night— looking forward to seeing the Rams’ new offense.

1) My 12-day vacation to Las Vegas/Canton, OH was great fun; seems like six weeks ago I watched LaVar Ball’s AAU team play in Vegas, but it was only 13 days ago. Any night spent watching baseball in the Westgate SuperBook is also tremendous.

MIAMI (52 - 58) at WASHINGTON (66 - 44) - 7:05 PM
VANCE WORLEY (R) vs. A.J. COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 44-21 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 49-44 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 36-32 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 176-156 (-51.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 13-16 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-5 (+1.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

VANCE WORLEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
WORLEY is 3-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.094.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

A.J. COLE vs. MIAMI since 1997
COLE is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

SAN DIEGO (49 - 62) at CINCINNATI (46 - 66) - 7:10 PM
LUIS PERDOMO (R) vs. SAL ROMANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 117-156 (+0.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 35-39 (+4.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 70-85 (+9.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 30-26 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 397-428 (-101.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 398-365 (-84.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

LUIS PERDOMO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PERDOMO is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

PHILADELPHIA (40 - 69) at ATLANTA (51 - 59) - 7:35 PM
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 (+7.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

ZACH EFLIN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
EFLIN is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.563.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
TEHERAN is 7-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.101.
His team's record is 9-6 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.2 units)

LA DODGERS (79 - 32) at ARIZONA (63 - 48) - 9:40 PM
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 30-46 (-19.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 111-110 (-33.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 27-33 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 73-80 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 63-48 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 25-13 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 13-5 (+8.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ARIZONA is 36-18 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 18-7 (+10.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 45-31 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 51-35 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
GODLEY is 20-10 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GODLEY is 15-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GODLEY is 13-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 79-32 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 52-22 (+19.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 56-22 (+22.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 31-9 (+16.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-6 (-0.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MAEDA is 3-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.181.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+3.9 units)

ZACK GODLEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GODLEY is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

CHICAGO CUBS (59 - 52) at SAN FRANCISCO (44 - 70) - 10:15 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. TY BLACH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 59-52 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 14-18 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 263-315 (-67.2 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 236-272 (-67.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-29 (-13.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 809-764 (-157.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 277-183 (+56.2 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 50-21 (+18.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
QUINTANA is 11-4 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
QUINTANA is 33-24 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
QUINTANA is 9-0 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 44-70 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-54 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-32 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-44 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-40 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-1 (+2.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
QUINTANA is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

TY BLACH vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BLACH is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

NY YANKEES (59 - 51) at TORONTO (52 - 59) - 7:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 15-24 (-9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY YANKEES are 22-24 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SABATHIA is 13-5 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 8-1 (+7.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 9-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 21-9 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 73-34 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 52-59 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 20-26 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 3-10 (-10.6 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
TORONTO is 17-27 (-13.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 29-40 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 10-17 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
HAPP is 1-7 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-5 (+0.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.7 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. TORONTO since 1997
SABATHIA is 16-10 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.130.
His team's record is 17-12 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-12. (+2.2 units)

J.A. HAPP vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HAPP is 7-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.211.
His team's record is 9-6 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.9 units)

BOSTON (63 - 49) at TAMPA BAY (58 - 55) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. AUSTIN PRUITT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 30-31 (-10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 58-54 (+3.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 24-18 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 13-2 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
TAMPA BAY is 78-96 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-5 (+3.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.6 Units)

CHRIS SALE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SALE is 6-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.67 and a WHIP of 0.977.
His team's record is 6-5 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.5 units)

HOUSTON (71 - 40) at CHI WHITE SOX (41 - 68) - 8:10 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOLLAND is 56-41 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 71-40 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 38-15 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 51-30 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 26-12 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 24-10 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
KEUCHEL is 2-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.248.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.5 units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HOLLAND is 5-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 9-4 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-11. (-10.3 units)

SEATTLE (57 - 56) at OAKLAND (50 - 62) - 10:05 PM
ARIEL MIRANDA (L) vs. KENDALL GRAVEMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 803-720 (-102.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SEATTLE is 383-346 (-71.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
OAKLAND is 187-249 (-52.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 99-119 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 13-29 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 46-75 (-21.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 44-73 (-29.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 6-5 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

ARIEL MIRANDA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MIRANDA is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.321.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

KENDALL GRAVEMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GRAVEMAN is 1-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.660.
His team's record is 1-5 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.6 units)

BALTIMORE (56 - 56) at LA ANGELS (55 - 58) - 10:05 PM
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. PARKER BRIDWELL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 55-79 (-24.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 221-171 (+41.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 13-4 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
LA ANGELS are 31-26 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BRIDWELL is 8-1 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 144-130 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 102-90 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 32-23 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HELLICKSON is 28-25 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HELLICKSON is 3-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.069.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.3 units)

DETROIT (51 - 60) at PITTSBURGH (55 - 57) - 7:05 PM
MATT BOYD (L) vs. CHAD KUHL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 18-28 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 29-44 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 34-46 (-11.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 34-24 (+13.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 34-42 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TEXAS (53 - 58) at NY METS (49 - 60) - 7:10 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. CHRIS FLEXEN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 7-19 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 148-128 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 68-45 (+26.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 114-109 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 26-19 (+15.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 41-26 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 11-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 108-90 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 113-96 (+18.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 105-97 (+18.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 49-60 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 25-31 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 48-48 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 37-47 (-18.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 25-35 (-13.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NY METS are 13-17 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. NY METS since 1997
CASHNER is 0-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 7.29 and a WHIP of 1.857.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)

COLORADO (64 - 48) at CLEVELAND (59 - 50) - 7:10 PM
GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 440-698 (-139.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
COLORADO is 64-48 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 29-27 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 27-20 (+7.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 24-17 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 59-50 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 30-26 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-35 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-24 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
KLUBER is 46-42 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 18-23 (-17.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

GERMAN MARQUEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

COREY KLUBER vs. COLORADO since 1997
KLUBER is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.46 and a WHIP of 0.819.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MILWAUKEE (59 - 55) at MINNESOTA (54 - 56) - 8:10 PM
MATT GARZA (R) vs. ADALBERTO MEJIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
GARZA is 13-26 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 54-56 (+1.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 35-29 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 59-55 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 28-28 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-15 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-32 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 43-29 (+25.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-26 (+7.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 36-55 (-20.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-33 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 125-145 (-40.6 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 17-25 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-18 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
MINNESOTA is 23-44 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEJIA is 1-7 (-7.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MATT GARZA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GARZA is 2-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.080.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-0. (+5.0 units)

ST LOUIS (56 - 56) at KANSAS CITY (57 - 54) - 8:15 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 12-20 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 69-71 (-18.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 90-120 (-45.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 57-54 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 79-53 (+25.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 79-60 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 41-23 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 43-35 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
VARGAS is 15-6 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 14-3 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 20-7 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 9-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 73-63 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 86-64 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 32-27 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 276-393 (-108.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
WACHA is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.42 and a WHIP of 1.038.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

JASON VARGAS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
VARGAS is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.258.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

National League
Marlins @ Nationals
Worley is 1-2, 5.60 in six starts this year (over 4-2). Miami is 1-1 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3-1

Cole is 1-1, 4.91 in two starts this season (under 2-0)- this is his first home start. Washingtons first 5-inning record with him: 1-1

Marlins lost three of last four games; their last five games stayed under. Washington won three of last four games; under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Padres @ Reds
Perdomo is 1-2, 8.57 in his last four starts (over 3-1); San Diego is 2-6 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-4

Romano is 2-3, 5.86 in six starts this year (under 4-2). Reds are 1-2 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 3-3

San Diego lost four of last five games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine. Cincinnati lost three of last five games; under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Phillies @ Braves
Eflin is making his first start since May 28; he is 0-3, 13.20 in his last three starts (over 6-1-1). Phillies are 1-3 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 1-4-3

Teheran is 0-3, 6.29 in his last four starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Atlanta is 3-7 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8-4

Phillies lost five of last six games; under is 6-3 in their last nine. Phils are 7-12 in road series openers. Atlanta is 3-8 in last 11 home games; under is 7-2 in their last nine. Braves are 9-8 in home series openers.

Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Maeda is 4-0, 1.64 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Dodgers are 6-3 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 12-5-1

Godley is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine starts. Arizona is 3-2 in his home outings their first 5-inning record with him: 8-5-2

Dodgers are 44-7 in their last 51 games; under is 6-2 in their last eight. LA is 9-1 in last ten road series openers. Arizona is 3-5 in its last eight home games; over is 4-2 in their last six. Diamondbacks are 12-5 in home series openers.

Cubs @ Giants
Quintana is 2-1, 4.13 in four starts with the Cubs (under 3-1). Cubs split his two road starts for them their first 5-inning record with him: 1-2-1

Blach is 1-2, 3.10 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six starts. Giants are 5-6 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8

Chicago lost four of last six games; under is 4-0-1 inn their last five road games. Giants lost six of last eight games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six.



American League
New York @ Toronto
Sabathia is 2-1, 3.80 in his last four starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12 starts. New York is 7-3 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-1

Happ is 1-1, 2.77 in his last two starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Toronto is 2-5 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 6-9

New York lost four of last six games; under is 5-1 in their last six. NY is 9-9 in road series openers. Blue Jays are 5-2 in last seven games; 2-6 in last eight home series openers. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Red Sox @ Rays
Sale is 2-0, 2.45 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Boston is 8-4 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 12-4-6

Pruitt is 1-1, 3.14 in his last three starts (under 3-0). All three starts were on the road. Rays first 5-inning record with him: 2-1

Boston won its last six games but lost four of last five on road; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Red Sox are 8-10 in road series openers. Tampa Bay won four of last six games; under is 7-1-1 in their last nine home tilts. Rays are 6-11 in home series openers.

Astros @ White Sox
Keuchel is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts since coming off the DL; over is 5-3 in his last eight starts. Houston is 7-0 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 9-2-2

Holland is 0-4, 8.70 in his last six starts; over is 12-5 in his last 17. Chicago is 2-8 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 7-11-3

Astros lost four of last six games; over is 13-3 in their last 16 road games. Houston is 14-3 in road series openers. Chicago is 3-20 in its last 23 games; over is 6-3 in their last nine home games. White Sox are 6-11 in home series openers.

Mariners @ As
Miranda is 0-1, 7.16 in his last five starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Seattle is 7-3 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 13-8-1

Graveman is 0-4, 6.00 in his last seven starts (under 5-4). As are 3-1 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 1-4-4

Yonder Alonso stays in Oakland, but plays for his new team here. Mariners won six of last nine games; over is 3-1 in their last four. Seattle is 8-9 in road series openers. Oakland lost six of last nine home games (under 7-1-1). As are 5-11 in home series openers.

Orioles @ Angels
Hellickson blanked the Royals for seven innings (94 PT) in his Oriole debut, a 6-0 win. Baltimores first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Bridwell is 3-0, 2.56 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Angels are 4-1 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 6-2-1

Baltimore won eight of last ten games; under is 6-2 in their last eight. Angels lost last three games; five of their last eight games overall went over.

__________________________

Interleague
Tigers @ Pirates
Boyd is 3-0, 4.50 in his last four starts; Detroit scored 30 runs in the four games. Over is 5-1 in his last six starts. Detroit is 4-0 in his last four road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 5-7-3

Kuhl is 1-1, 2.95 in his last three starts; under is 4-0 in his last four starts. Pirates are 5-5 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 11-8-3

Tigers lost their last three games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Pittsburgh won four of last five games; under is 18-3-1 in last 22 home games.

Rangers @ Mets
Cashner is 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts; his last six starts stayed under. Texas is 3-7 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-3

Flexen is 0-1, 13.50 in two starts this year (over 2-0), lasting total of six IP. This is his first start at Citi Field. Mets first 5-inning record with him: 0-2

Rangers lost six of last nine games; over is 6-4 in their last ten road games. Texas is 8-10 in road series openers. Mets lost their last four games (under 3-1). New York is 10-8 in home series openers.

Rockies @ Indians
Marquez is 4-0, 3.21 in his lat five starts; his last three starts stayed under. Colorado is 5-4 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 11-5-3

Kluber is 2-0, 2.55 in his last five starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Cleveland is 7-4 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-2

Rockies won three of last four games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Colorado is 3-7 in last ten road series openers. Cleveland lost five of last seven games; under is 4-1 in their last five home games. Indians are 9-9 in home series openers.

Brewers @ Twins
Garza is 2-1, 1.64 in his last four starts; his last six starts stayed under. Brewers are 2-4 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-2

Mejia is 0-2, 4.62 in his last five starts; under is 6-2-1 in his last nine. Minnesota is 4-7 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 8-5-4

Brewers won three of last five games; under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Minnesota won three of last four games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Cardinals @ Royals
Wacha is 5-1, 1.90 in his last seven starts; his last six starts went over. St Louis is 3-5 in his road starts their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-4

Vargas is 2-1, 3.38 in his last three starts (under 3-0). Royals are 8-3 in his home starts their first 5-inning record with him: 12-7-2

St Louis is 9-5 in last 14 games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11. Royals lost six of last eight games; over is 4-1 in their last five.

7:05 PMDETROIT vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:05 PMMIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Miami

7:07 PMNY YANKEES vs. TORONTO
NY Yankees are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 14 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Toronto is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:10 PMSAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 15 of San Diego's last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
Cincinnati is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home

7:10 PMTEXAS vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas

7:10 PMBOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

7:10 PMCOLORADO vs. CLEVELAND
Colorado is 4-14-1 SU in its last 19 games ,on the road
Colorado is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Cleveland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Colorado

7:35 PMPHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
Philadelphia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing Philadelphia

8:10 PMHOUSTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Houston's last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 11 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games when playing Houston
Chi White Sox are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Houston

8:10 PMMILWAUKEE vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Minnesota is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:15 PMST. LOUIS vs. KANSAS CITY
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

9:40 PMLA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
LA Dodgers are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games
Arizona is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Arizona is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers

10:05 PMSEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
Seattle is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Oakland is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Seattle
Oakland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

10:07 PMBALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Angels's last 19 games when playing Baltimore
LA Angels are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Baltimore

10:15 PMCHI CUBS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Chi Cubs are 16-7 SU in their last 23 games
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

The Rangers and Mets will meet tonight for the third time this season. The two teams split a two-game series in Arlington in June and they will battle Tuesday and Wednesday in another weird two-game series, this time in Queens.

Andrew Cashner will get the ball for the Rangers and he has actually been decent for Texas this season. His 7-8 record and his ERA of 3.36 are much better numbers than someone of his pitching skill-set should be producing.

When you dig a bit deeper into his numbers, however, they paint a vastly different picture. In Cashner's last four starts on the road he is 1-3 with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.569. Our major complaint with Cashner is that he doesn't miss many bats (31 strikeouts on the road) yet still walks way too many opposing hitters (25 walks on the road). If you're not a strikeout pitcher, that's perfectly fine - just don't give out free passes.

With all of this negative data on Andrew Cashner, why is Under 8-2 in his 10 road starts this season? A lack of run support from his offense. The Rangers are averaging only 2.7 runs per game in Cashner's road starts this season...but that should change today.

Chris Flexen will get the start for the Mets in front of the home fans at Citi Field. To say the Flexen experiment has not gone well for the Mets would be a bit of an understatement. The young right-hander was plucked from AA (a very brief stop in AA) and shipped to the big leagues a couple of weeks ago and he's clearly not ready.

Flexen has yet to go past three innings in his major league career (two starts) and he owns an ERA of 12.00, a WHIP of 3.000, and an opponent's on base percentage of .559. He's also allowed two home runs in just six innings of work to go along with five walks.

All of the above factors, in addition to the fact that the Mets are the top Over team in baseball at 63-35-11 (32-18-6 at home), and tonight's game should sail over the posted total of 9.

Pick: Over 9

Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox (+225, 9.5)

The American League leading Astros meet the White Sox for the first time this season when they begin a three-game set in Chicago on Tuesday night.

Houston may be happy to be back on the road after a sloppy home stand, which required an epic comeback Sunday against Toronto to finish the seven games at 3-4.

The Astros are the best road team in baseball at 38-15, making bettors a profit of $2012 (based on $100 bets) this season. Thats almost $1000 more than the next closest team! What makes those numbers even more impressive is the margin of victory. Houston has outscored opponents by 122 runs in those games, resulting in them going a ridiculously impressive 36-17 mark against the runline on the road.

Houston will look to start this series off with a bang as they send ace Dallas Keuchel to toe the rubber for the opener. Keuchel had been out for a good chunk of the season due to a neck issue and while he has been a little rusty in his first two starts since his return, his year overall has been outstanding. The lefty is 9-1 this season with a 2.15 ERA and a 1.004 WHIP.

He faces a White Sox lineup that ranks 25th in runs per game and OPS and 23rd in home runs.

Chicago counters with a lefty of their own in Derek Holland and it could be a long night for the White Soxs southpaw. Holland is 5-11 with a 5.27 ERA and a 1.553 WHIP and faces a Astros lineup that also feasts on lefties, ranking second in AL runs scored off left-handers and first in home runs.

Pick: Astros -1.5 (-155)

Yesterday's Picks: 0-2
Season To Date: 106-99-12

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Kenta Maeda, Los Angeles Dodgers (10-4, 3.79 ERA, $607)

The Dodgers are awesome, we are all well aware of that fact. Did you also know that the Dodgers are 13-3 in Kenta Maeda's last 18 starts this season? Pretty impressive Kershaw-like numbers.

If you narrow that sample size down to Maeda's last four starts he owns a team win/loss record of 4-0, an ERA of 1.23, and a WHIP of only 1.0455.

The Phillies have re-called right-hander Zach Eflin from AAA. He hasn't started a major league game since the end of May, but his big league sample size is large enough to get a good snap-shot of what he brings to the table.

The Phillies lost Eflin's last six starts before he was shipped off to the minors and he was particularly awful in his last three outings with an ERA of 13.20 and a WHIP of 2.400.

Eflin and the Phillies are +145 road dogs this evening in Atlanta against the Braves.

Tuesday's Top Trends

* Over is 11-1 in the Detroit Tigers' last 12 vs. National League Central. Tigers/Pirates Total: 8.5.
* The New York Yankees are 10-1 in Sabathias last 11 starts vs. American League East. +115 tonight @ Blue Jays.
* The Colorado Rockies are 3-14 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter. +210 tonight @ Indians (Kluber).
* The Los Angeles Dodgers are 44-7 in their last 51 overall. -125 today @ Diamondbacks.

Weather To Keep An Eye On

Precipitation should not be an issue for any games on the MLB schedule for Tuesday.

Winds should also be a relative non-factor across the league with the two most notable winds occurring in stadiums that ball flight is not impacted too severely by the elements. There will be a 12-14 mile per hour wind blowing out to right field at the Oakland Coliseum where the A's will welcome the Mariners (total: 9), and there will be a 13-16 mile per hour wind blowing out to center at AT&T Park where the Giants will entertain the Cubbies (total: 8).

Ump Of The Day

Chad Fairchild will be calling balls and strikes this evening in Pittsburgh where the Tigers will be in town to take on the Pirates.

The total for tonight's game is set at 8.5 and the Under has cashed in 11 of Fairchild's last 13 games behind the plate (Under 13-8 on the season).

It is also worth noting that, despite not really favoring the home team or road team in regular games this season or in his career, the road team is 10-1 in Fairchild's last 11 interleague games behind the dish. The Tigers are the road team and are +155 underdogs tonight.