Indians vs. Rays Free Pick August 11, 2017

I think the Tampa Bay Rays are worth a shot on the runline when they host the Cleveland Indians for the second contest of a four-game set Friday night.

Jake Faria (5-2, 2.81 ERA) will take the ball for the Rays. The 24 year old rookie has been terrific all season. He was unfortunate to be charged with the loss his last time out despite holding Milwaukee to one run on four hits while punching out nine through six innings. Faria is 3-1 with a 2.56 ERA in five home starts on the season.

The Tribe turn to Carlos Carrasco (10-5, 4.06 ERA). They’ve lost four of his last five starts, and the right-hander has been tagged with 10 runs on 12 hits and five walks in just 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts combined. He gave up five runs on six hits while lasting only 3 2/3 innings when he took on the Rays earlier this year.

The Indians are 0-6 in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Rays are 4-1 in their last five home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Tampa Bay might very well win this game outright, but take the extra run and a half as an insurance.

My free pick selection is Tampa Bay Rays +1.5.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

The Houston Rockets are just 2-7 ATS through their last nine games, but I think they'll come flying out of the gates here after the All Star break and put a beating on the LA Lakers. Houston may not have covered the spread of late, but it has still won the majority of the games which is more than can be said of the Lakers who dropped 10 of their final 15 games before the All-Star break, including four of their last five.

Houston All Star guard James Harden has scored at least 30 points in each of the last 31 games and here starting center Clint Capela (thumb) is expected back in the lineup after missing the last 15 games.

With the Rockets 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings with the Lakers at Staples Center I think this looks like a very manageable spread to cover.

8* play on Houston Rockets.

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