Odds of gambling an ancient Natalya's Slayer is 1 out of 630!!! (x8 better odds)

Since Natalya's build needs only 1 good weapon in the mainhand (offhand can be a stat-stick) I highly advise gambling for 1H crossbows to get one of the 3 ancient 1H crossbows that are useful for the Natalya's build: Balefire, Calamity, Natalya's. The odds for getting one are really good.

Ancient Danetta's 1 out of 630Ancient Natalya's 1 out of 630Ancient Balefire 1 out of 1250Ancient Calamity 1 out of 2500

To bring this in line.

CHANCE = 1-((630-1)/630)^1450 = 0.90008304554

After 1450 tries which is 108,750 blood shards you have a 90% chance to gamble an ancient Natalya's Slayer.

And that number is insanely good. You need way more blood shards to gamble the ancient Natalya's chest for example.

Important

Remember that you only need 1 ancient weapon for the mainhand and 1 stat stick. 3 of the 1H crossbows are super good for Natalya's build. Balefire, Calamity and Natalya's. The second weapon can be a stat stick (non-ancient is just fine).

Let's do some math and put together all our chances after say like 50,000 blood shards wich is 666 gamble tries.

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