Hey nHickman! Don't feel that way.... I'm just learning myself, I have always been a weather nut..... Always ask if you don't know.... Someone will answer....

I would think before the day is over we will be under a winter storm watch... A lot of what we post and show are the same things the local Mets and NWS look at. The models are tools for a forecast so a lot of the time they gather all info before they update.... There are so many things to look at before you forecast it truly takes time.... That's why I post something from every computer model run, so you guys can see how they change so often... Forecasting is not easy. I will look at the euro that is about to run for 12z and post some images from the run.... I will say that this storm will be high impact and that there will be some 1 inch rates per hour or more and the wind will be very gusty... As far as snow accum hard to pinpoint the sweet spot right now, but i would say 3-6 inches or more in the band that sets up.... Later

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All I can say is WOW!!!! If the euro is to be correct... I will say the last 3 runs have not changed very much.. Someone will get rocked with this storm.... It is still running but here are the new snowfall totals from the 12z......

Last edited by Jscentraltn on 2016-01-20, 2:12 pm; edited 1 time in total

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...A NEW WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY MORNINGTHROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR MOST OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

THE WINTRY MIX THAT PLAGUED MIDDLE TENNESSEE EARLIER TODAY HAS NOWMOVED EAST. ALTHOUGH MANY ROADS WILL LIKELY REMAIN SLICK ANDHAZARDOUS THROUGH THIS EVENING...NO ADDITIONAL SNOW OR ICEACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

CURRENTLY UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT THE SNOWNOW EXITING TO OUR EAST AS NEXT SYSTEM ALREADY GEARING UP INSOUTHERN PLAINS AS CAN BE SEEN IN LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP. RAINWILL SPREAD INTO THE MID STATE FROM THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE DAYTHURSDAY AS SURFACE LOW TRACKS OUT OF EAST TEXAS INTO CENTRALMISSISSIPPI BY THURSDAY EVENING. LOW THEN TRACKS UP THROUGHNORTHERN ALABAMA AND FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA ON FRIDAY WHILE CLOSED 850MBAR LOW TRACKS JUST SOUTH OF THE ALABAMA BORDER. SOMEWHAT RARE TOSEE CLOSED 700 MBAR LOW THIS FAR SOUTH BUT WE HAVE ONE WITH THISSYSTEM. ALSO...GOOD DEFORMATION ZONES DEVELOPS ACROSS TENNESSEE.SO EVERYTHING STACKING UP FOR A GOOD SNOW EVENT HERE IN MIDDLETENNESSEE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. SNOW AMOUNTS COULD BE HEFTY ANDRANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. SYSTEM PULLSAWAY DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WIT

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Just as I was thinking earlier! I will say wherever this band sets up. the snow will be very heavy and not at all out of the question for some Thundersnow. The NAM 18z is just a little colder but is holding the same as last couple runs... It is keeping some of our far nw counties in a mix until the transition to all snow... Just waiting on the 18z gfs to finish to see what it is showing...

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Last weeks snow some of you got hammer. Here in Chattanooga we got the ground white and a few spots got up to an inch of snow. Looking ahead somewhere after ground hog day, much colder air will move back in.Of course this is 10 days out or so and anything can happen. But winter is not over. So enjoy the warm up while it last. Hoping Feb will be better than Jan was for me an others.

Hey guys! What a difference a week makes. Last week snow everywhere, now sunny and 65... All I can say is enjoy it while you have it.... It all goes away by mid week. Feb looks to be full of all kinds of excitement! I'm already starting to watch something around 9-11th. I know it is over a week away, but the models have been hinting at this on all runs for about a full day now... So enjoy. I will update later...

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Looking at next week! Turning colder mon with some light rain/snow mix going over to snow showers and light snow off and on through about wed-Thur... Accum will be light! I will post later tomorrow after I look at some more modeling... I can see some places picking up 1-3 inches....

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These totals are on a 10:1 ratio.... So some areas will see higher numbers.. This is not a major deal, but will be more of a nuisance... It's not looking as cold for next week as what was model just a few days ago. It will still be cold.. This pattern is pretty crazy. After all this moves out I would not be surprised at a overrunning set up taking place by mid month.... Anyways I will update later... One day at a time in this setup because the models suck!

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Already at my snowfall amount forecasted by local mets! This will continue off and on until tomorrow afternoon for mid ten. I still say a general 1-3. The further sw less... The amount I have came from about a 15min snow shower! Update later....

_________________REMEMBER!!!!!! The day when man and dinasouar walked the earth together..... In the beginning things were good!