Who will win 'Ink Master'?

The Cinema Audio Society Awards, which announces its nominees on Tuesday (Jan. 10), has an uneven track record as a preview of the Oscar slate for Best Sound Mixing. Indeed, only about two-thirds of the CSA nominees go on to contend at the Oscars. However, it does do a good job at predicting which film will win the Oscar.

Last year, “The Revenant” won Best Motion Picture Sound Mixing here over three of its Oscar rivals — “Bridge of Spies,” “Mad Max: Fury Road” and “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” — as well as “The Hateful Eight.” The academy snubbed the latter in favor of “The Martian” and “Mad Max: Fury Road” won the Oscar.

In 2014, “Birdman” bested three of its Oscar rivals — “American Sniper,” “Interstellar” and “Unbroken” — at the Cinema Audio Society Awards. The fifth Oscar contender, “Whiplash,” was snubbed here in favor of “Guardians of the Galaxy.” However, it was “Whiplash” that won the Oscar.

In 2013, “Gravity” won Best Live-Action Sound Mixing at the Cinema Audio Society Awards, beating Oscar rivals “Captain Phillips,” “Inside Llewyn Davis,” and “Lone Survivor” as well as “Iron Man 3.” At the Oscars, “Iron Man” lost out to “The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug” for the fifth Sound Mixing slot. “Gravity” repeated at the Oscars.

In 2012, only three of the five CAS nominees — “Les Miserables,” “Lincoln” and “Skyfall” — went on to reap Oscar bids. “Les Miserables” won both awards. The rest of the CAS slate — “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”and “Zero Dark Thirty” — was replaced at the Oscars by “Argo” and “Life of Pi.”

In 2011, “Hugo” won over “Hanna,” “Moneyball,” “Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides” and “Super 8” ath CAS. It went on to claim the Oscar as well with only “Moneyball” also contending there. The other Oscar nominees were: “The Girl with the Dragon Tatttoo,” “Transformers: Dark of the Moon” and “War Horse.”

In 2010, “True Grit” edged out “Black Swan,” “Inception,” “Shutter Island” and “The Social Network” for the CAS award. “Inception” beat it as well as “The Social Network,” “Salt” and “The King’s Speech” at the Oscars.

In 2009, the CAS bestowed its top prize on “The Hurt Locker” which went on to win the Oscar as well. Four of the five Cinema Audio Society nominees for sound mixing also contended at the Oscars with just “District 9” being replaced by “Inglourious Basterds.”

In both 2008 and 2007 three of the five CAS picks for sound mixing were Oscar nominees as well. “Slumdog Millionaire” won with both the CAS and the Oscars in 2008. The 2007 CAS champ was “No Country for Old Men” and the Oscar went to “The Bourne Ultimatum.”

And though “Dreamgirls” took both prizes in 2006, in each of the previous four years the CAS winner lost at the Oscars. (In 2002, CAS winner “Master and Commander” lost the sound-mixing Oscar to “Lord of the Rings: Return of the King,” but it won the prize for sound editing.)

Be sure to make your Oscar predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how this film is faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before nominations are announced on January 24 at 5:00 am PT/8:00 am ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.