Ebola epidemic could gain 6,800 new cases by end of September

September 22, 2014 10:17 AM

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Using World Health Organization (WHO) data up to 8 September 2014, the study team - from Arizona State University (ASU) and Harvard School of Public Health - analyzed local rates of exponential rise to estimate how the reproduction number of Ebola cases appears to be changing over time.

The reproduction number of a disease is the average number of secondary cases that a case generates. When control measures are effective - and the virus does not change into a more infectious one - one expects this number to go down.