Wednesday, August 29, 2018

What They Say What They Do

This plan as written is not All for Transportation. It should be called All for Transit.

Pending some unforeseen disaster with the required OPPAGA
audit, All for Transportation's County Charter Amendment in Hillsborough County
raising the sales tax to 8 percent for 30 years, raising an estimated $15
billion, will be on the November ballot. They are starting their campaign to
misinform voters. The Tampa Bay Times is right there with them in the campaign
of deceit.

"It provides the people of Hillsborough County an
historic opportunity to begin the long overdue work of funding a transportation
system that save people's time, people's money, people's lives" Hudson
said. "Whether you live in Carrollwood, Sun City Center or right here in
East Tampa, there is something in the All for Transportation plan for you.

Well, not really.

It's easy to spout these platitudes. There is something for
everyone! Just trust us.

Many people reported to us they were approached by
"volunteers" to sign the petitions stating it will fix our roads.

What they said:

We were told by All for Transportation's leader Tyler Hudson
it was a grass roots initiative.

All for Transportation leader Tyler Hudson said his group
will have hundreds of volunteers out with petitions. He did not rule out hiring
a petition-gathering firm.

"It’s going to be a grass-roots, volunteer driven
effort," Hudson said. "We believe this is such an acute crisis that
the response will be positive in all corners of the county."

What they did:

After raising $750,000 from 5 donors well connected to
downtown development efforts, the grass roots effort was inoperative.

The group paid at least $525,000 to Revolution Field
Strategies, a professional petition gathering firm to meet that target.

What they said:

"Whether you live in Carrollwood, Sun City Center or
right here in East Tampa, there is something in the All for Transportation plan
for you."

What is actually in the Amendent? Don't you want to find out
whats in it for you?

First of all, there is no plan or defined projects that will
fix roads or transit. And certainly no mention of Carrollwood, Sun City Center,
or East Tampa.

It does specify the percentage breakdown of the tax revenue
to be spent and micromanaged in several road and transit categories. There have
been some media reports that All for Transportation is based on the
Hillsborough MPO 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan (LRTP), but there is no
mention of that in the Amendment.

Lets break it down.

What they said:

If approved by voters, the tax would raise an estimated $280
million per year.

The truth is, starting with $280 million raised in year one,
accounting for inflation and growth over the 30 year lifespan of the tax, the
tax will raise an estimated $15 billion dollars using the Hillsborough MPO's
LRTP inflation and population growth factors.

You might ask why that $15 billion is never reported.

What they said:

Forty-five percent [of the tax revenue] would go to the
Hillsborough Area Regional Transit authority to improve bus service and pay for
other mass transit. The remainder would go to Hillsborough County, Tampa,
Temple Terrace and Plant City for road and bridge improvements, pothole repair,
sidewalks, bike lanes and projects to ease congestion.

What they do:

They make no mention about increasing road capacity.

Why would they avoid increasing road capacity? After all,
All for Transportations states clearly on their web site:

With an additional 700,000 people expected to move to our
County over the next 30 years, we need transportation solutions.

We agree with these growth projections. This means
Hillsborough County population can be expected to grow from 1.4 million to 2.1
million people in the next 30 years. That is a 50% increase in population. The
vast majority of those people will continue drive. This does not take into
consideration the similar, if not greater growth in surrounding counties, whose
new residents willcontinue to
contribute to Hillborough traffic woes.

But with all this growth, why are they not touting any new
road capacity?

What does the actual proposed County Charter Amendment state?

For starters, in the detailed wording in the actual Amendment,
they constrain new lane capacity funding. Specifically, Section 11.07(8)
states:

(8) Limits on New Automobile Lane Capacity. Agencies are
prohibited from expending any funds from the categories mandated by Section
11.07(1), (2) and (3) above on New Automobile Lane Capacity. For purposes of
this Section 11.07(8), “New Automobile Lane Capacity” means projects that
consist of (i) adding additional lanes for automobile traffic to existing roads
or streets that are not related to intersection capacity improvement, or (ii)
constructing new roads or streets.

Those 3 categories, and 11.07(4) "network" -- bike
and pedestrian improvements -- total up to about $7.2 billion over 30 years,
and as stated in 11.07(8), cannot be used for new lane capacity.

Section 11.07(8) could not be more clear in its title of
"Limits of New Automobile Lane Capacity".

What they said:

But.... Section 11.07(5) could be used for road capacity:

(5) Remaining Funds. Any remaining portions of the General
Purpose Portion shall be expended on any project to improve transportation in
the applicable Agency’s jurisdiction to the extent permitted by F.S §
212.055(1) and this Article.

Set aside the allocation estimate of this category of funds
over 30 years is about $1.2 billion, or around 8% of the total revenue raised.
Also set aside the fact this is totally inadequate for new road capacity for a
county that will grow by 50% during the lifespan of this tax. The wording of
Section 11.07(5) does not appear to place any restrictions on "remaining
funds".

Will that amount ever be spent on new road capacity?

This is unlikely, as the authors of the Amendment hedged
their language, and their bets, to spend as little money on road capacity
beyond the limits specified in Section 11.07(8) referenced above.

What they did:

Sections 11.07(1), (2), (3), and (4) are all prefixed with
"At least... (xx%)...", which specifies the minimum that must be
spent in each of the "General Purpose Portion" of the Amendment.

With the "At least..." prefix in 11.07, each of
the (1) - (4) categories percentages specified are the minimums. They cannot be
reduced, and will likely grow. They can only tap the money as specified in
11.07(5) Remaining Funds.

This is the same allocation they say can be used for new
road capacity. However, this category will fund spending in the Sections
11.07(1) - (4) above their required minimums, which reduces the funds that will
be available for new road capacity.

But wait, there's more!

In section 11.08, the Transit Restricted Portion, Sections
11.08(1) Enhanced Bus Services and (2) Expanding Public Transit Options (ed:
specifies exclusive right of way -- means fixed guideways or rail) all prefixed
with "No less than...(xx%) that must be spent.

With the "No less than..." prefix in 11.08(1)-(2)
means more can -- and will -- be spent on buses and fixed guideway transit.

There is also 11.08(3)

(3) Remaining Funds. Any remaining portions of the Transit
Restricted Portion shall be spent on any project to improve public
transportation permitted by F.S. § 212.055(1) or this Charter.

What does this mean?

Similarly 11.08(3), estimated to be $1.4 billion over 30
years, can be used to shore up the budgets for Transit Restricted
sections11.08(1) and (2), which are the two largest spending categories in the
entire Amendment. How much do you want to bet it will mostly go to 11.08(2),
for "exclusive right of way", AKA fixed guideway or rail?

But wait! There's even more!

Again, through some more deftly written lawyerly language,
notice that 11.07(5) General Purpose Remaining Funds, states "any project
to improve transportation", while the 11.08(3) Transit Portion Remaining
funds, the clause states "any project to improve public
transportation".

As "public transportation" is a specific subset of
"transportation", this means the $1.2 billion in funds remaining in
11.07(8) can also be applied to 11.08 transit! But the estimated remaining
funds of $1.4 billion in 11.08(3) must only be used for transit!

The authors of this ballot Amendment are hedging their
language to restrict new road capacity and massively over fund transit.

That estimated ridiculously low amount of $1.2 billion that
could be used for roads? They wrote the language to ensure even that measly
amount -- about 8% of the total tax revenue -- will not be spent on new road
capacity.

Keep that in mind on who you trust. Deception about who's
behind this effort. Deception about what's actually spelled out in the
Amendment.

This plan as written is not All for Transportation. It
should be called All for Transit.

Posted by EyeOn TampaBay at 6:00 AM

This post is contributed by EYE ON TAMPA BAY. The views expressed
in this post are the blog publisher's and do not necessarily reflect those of the
publisher of Bay Post Internet.