Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.

Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.

Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic

Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.

Risk

Area (sq. mi.)

Area Pop.

Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area

No Risk Areas Forecast

SPC AC 021619
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CST THU JAN 02 2014
VALID 021630Z - 031200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...FL...
DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS PRESENT TODAY OVER THE FL
PENINSULA...WHILE A STRONG UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS ACROSS THE OH/TN
VALLEYS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN
OCCURRING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...WHERE A MOIST AND
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE. THIS CONVECTION WILL
LIKELY SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH FL LATER TODAY.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR SOME STORM
ORGANIZATION...BUT WEAK FORCING/LAPSE RATES WILL TEND TO LIMIT
UPDRAFT STRENGTH AND OVERALL SEVERE THREAT. THE STRONGEST CELLS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL POSE SOME RISK OF GUSTY/DAMAGING
WINDS. HOWEVER...ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED.
..HART/MOSIER.. 01/02/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z