It should be noted that our two models only contain home and away win / loss percentages (M2) or team rates of trailing, leading, or being tied with an opponent at the end of each period (M1). We realize that limiting our models to this information will result in some interesting predictions, but it’s the Stanley Cup playoffs and anything can happen! We are currently in the process of deriving more comprehensive models that incorporate more informative information for each team, e.g., shot quality, possession times, expected goals, etc.