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Even in light of the blizzards earlier this winter that targeted the southern mid-Atlantic, this may be the one that people remember the most this winter in parts of New England and the northern mid-Atlantic.

At peak the storm will deliver near hurricane-force wind gusts (74 mph) and blinding snow falling at the rate of over an inch per hour. For some people in upstate New York and eastern and northern Pennsylvania, this may seem more like a "snow hurricane" rather than a blizzard.

Only got up to 82 degrees here today (South Florida) -- we are supposed to get cold Thursday also - low of 47 in the A.M. and only mid 60's during the day ----- but seriously, be careful up there in NYC and Philly area --- get some good books/movies, comfort food, tea and stay in, stay warm and stay safe.

but seriously, be careful up there in NYC and Philly area --- get some good books/movies, comfort food, tea and stay in, stay warm and stay safe.

Yeah, I hear you. If it shows it getting worse when I wake up tomorrow I'll have to do a couple food runs and other errands. I just went grocery shopping yesterday but I didn't buy enough to last through something extreme.

I just got a new book in the mail yesterday and it's almost 500 pages, so that would last me ages. I always have tons of movies to catch up on, plus I just got a new large TV last week.

This winter is just really extreme. I've never seen so much so snow in my life.

It means 2 ft. of snow which closes airports (it takes a lot to close an airport in the NE) plus closing down rail lines, and remember this is the one part of the US that really uses a lot of trains, both intercity and extensive commuter networks. Anything under a foot here doesn't disrupt anything -- it all keeps running. But earlier in this month we had not just one two footer, but two of them within one week's time. Do you have any idea what that is like? I've lived up here all of my life and I had no idea what that was like. That happens in Buffalo, not the I-95 corridor.

So the points of the graphic, "Downed Trees/Powerlines; Impassable Roads; Flight Cancellations..." they put that in your forecast as an absolute? Odd to me.We had snow a good part of today in Austin, big huge flakes falling furiously for hours at a time, but nothing stuck (and I think that unless I go to Montana I'm not likely to see the snowfall that Philicia sees, after week before last.)

Our schools closed early, but for once nobody freaked out and traffic was a breeze because it was just wet streets when all was said and done and snowed.

Yes the mid-Atlantic has been hit hard, Philly got a 26 inch snowstorm a while back and NYC only got a dusting in most areas, the cutoff was Staten Island. The problem has been that usually many snowstorms come from the upper midwest, barrel across the Ohio valley and hit NY and Philly about the same, but these storms have come up from the south, gone into the Atlantic and loop back and forth and then out to sea. Washington, Baltimore and Philly have been hit hard, our friends in North Carolina as well. NYC not so bad but the winter has been a pain indeed. But we will take what we get and enjoy. Good luck Bocker for you guys getting safely and timely to the city this weekend.

Jody

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"Wake up to find out that you are the eyes of the world". "Try to discover that you are the song that the morning brings."

OK, here's how it works for you non-Northeasterners. This storm graphic is your classic, though overly intense this time, "Nor'easter". This is the name for a storm that does what Jody just stated, as opposed to the more normative ones which travel from the west across the continent. A Nor'easter is worse, because it's like a hurricane, but it's in the winter. It's an intense low over water, so it sucks warm moisture from the Gulf Stream running up from Florida, which then slams in a counter clockwise fashion into the really cold seasonal temperatures over land, which then cause the low to "explode" and then collapse into a blizzard. A blizzard being more than just a lot of snow at once as by definition by the National Weather Service you must have high winds exceeding 35 mph for at least 3 hours in any one location for an actual blizzard warning to be issued, as opposed to a normal "winter weather warning/advisory". So as you see if the winds in this upcoming one go over 70 mph that will be incredible. The last blizzard here which happened two weeks ago only had maybe 35-40 mph winds and visibility went to whiteout conditions and I couldn't see buildings just two blocks away. I would think a 70 mph one would mean I couldn't see across the street even.

The only thing cheering me up is that Philadelphia is just barely in the "Paralyzing" portion, but all it has to do is shift 50 miles in the wrong direction and I guess it changes wildly.

For further reading click below, and at the top there's a great satellite image of one from 2006 where the storm became so intense it actually developed an "eye" like a hurricane. That storm Philadelphia only got 12" but NYC (just 90 miles away) got a whopping 27 inches. So you see it really depends on where the low centers right off the shore as to which NE city gets walloped.

I think I better not only go grocery shopping tomorrow but buy lots of food.

GFS RAW NUMBERS 18z/2pm latest Update

PHILLY......................... 2.00" or 20-28" of snowALLENTOWN............... 1.60" or 16-24" of snowREADING..................... 1.51" or 15-22" of snowLANCASTER............... 1.33"or 13-20" of snowPOCONOS.................. 1.51" or 14-22" of snow (some sleet at times possible)

I think I better not only go grocery shopping tomorrow but buy lots of food.

GFS RAW NUMBERS 18z/2pm latest Update

PHILLY......................... 2.00" or 20-28" of snowALLENTOWN............... 1.60" or 16-24" of snowREADING..................... 1.51" or 15-22" of snowLANCASTER............... 1.33"or 13-20" of snowPOCONOS.................. 1.51" or 14-22" of snow (some sleet at times possible)

MIAMI..................... 0.00" or 0-0" of snowFORT LAUDERDALE.... 0.00" or 0-0" of snowKEY LARGO.......... 0.00" or 0-0" of snow

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"I have tried hard--but life is difficult, and I am a very useless person. I can hardly be said to have an independent existence. I was just a screw or a cog in the great machine I called life, and when I dropped out of it I found I was of no use anywhere else."

and I had already reserved a significantly large walk-in closet for all your designer clothes and modified the media room to accommodate your 5000+ records.

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"I have tried hard--but life is difficult, and I am a very useless person. I can hardly be said to have an independent existence. I was just a screw or a cog in the great machine I called life, and when I dropped out of it I found I was of no use anywhere else."

Have you ever seen a Miami mansion without a proper pool and sufficient cabana boys? You know better than that.

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"I have tried hard--but life is difficult, and I am a very useless person. I can hardly be said to have an independent existence. I was just a screw or a cog in the great machine I called life, and when I dropped out of it I found I was of no use anywhere else."

"I have tried hard--but life is difficult, and I am a very useless person. I can hardly be said to have an independent existence. I was just a screw or a cog in the great machine I called life, and when I dropped out of it I found I was of no use anywhere else."

Sorry for ya guy! Even though its strengthening offshore here (NC) we're only going to get flurries. Go get youre supplies asap in the morning!!!

Welcome there Bear!

Just across the state line in SC, it's been a balmy 62 for the last two days; while back at my old home of OH they've still got about 2ft. of snow on the ground, freezing rain last night, and more snow coming the end of the week. The last total was about 65 inches of snow this winter - perhaps the largest snowfall on record. I did pick the best year to move outta there!!

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leatherman (aka mIkIE)

All the stars are flashing high above the seaand the party is on fire around you and meWe're gonna burn this disco down before the morning comes- Pet Shop Boys chart from 1992-2015Isentress/Prezcobix

OK you guys it's time to pack your cases and head for NZ..the weather is beautiful the sun is shining and the grass is green.

The hay shed, the goats shed and the Alpaca shed will sleep about 50 if you all huddle together with your sleeping bags, so first in first served....and if we have to we can turf Kooni and Millie out, their little apartments will sleep at least 2 in each one, morning coffeee and accomodation all free of charge..if you put in a good days work with the animals...

Were you able to get everything prepared in advance of the upcoming storm?

Yes, I just got back from a quick subway jaunt downtown. When I woke up this morning they'd adjusted the accumulations for my area down to 8". Now that I got back from my errands we've gone up to 12.5" but as you can see the +15" are is only 40 miles north of here so my confidence level with all of this is non-existent.

Glad u got everything done. I feel u on the confidence level with weather forecasts -- everytime they tell us down here that we are going to get a major hurricane it fizzles and when they tell us that it is going to be a minor hurricane we get slammed.

with the BBC forcasts ( back in the years of yor) i just reversed what they said. worked most of the time!!

John

hehehehe.... back in the mid-90s when I was a commercial fisherman, we called the ITV chart the "mickey mouse" chart. The chart we all waited for was the one on Sunday mornings during the Country File on BBC1 - that gave us a general idea of the week ahead. We all gathered in the Whitehouse (the landlord opened early) to watch - and engage in a bit of the hair of the dog.

Of course, we all religiously listened to the Shipping Forecast too, as well as "the Manxman", which is what we called the report on Manx Radio. We pretty much watched or listened to every forecast going and drew our conclusions from them all, plus our own observations.

And poor old Michael Fish. He was known as "Fishface". As in - "who gave the chart?" - "Fishface". Followed by groans as we never really trusted his chart.

Talk about a heavy-weather winter, this is my 20th winter on The Rock and it's snowed and un-heard of twice this year. And I mean proper snow where there was a three or four inch accumulation (stop rolling your eyes, that qualifies as proper snow here). This represents two of four times we've had snow here in the 20 winters I've been here. Oh, and when I say three or four inch, I mean in the part of the island where I live - at sea level. The hills and some inland areas had much deeper accumulations.

"...health will finally be seen not as a blessing to be wished for, but as a human right to be fought for." Kofi Annan

Nymphomaniac: a woman as obsessed with sex as an average man. Mignon McLaughlin

HIV is certainly character-building. It's made me see all of the shallow things we cling to, like ego and vanity. Of course, I'd rather have a few more T-cells and a little less character. Randy Shilts

1. Weather bureaus do not have windows. I've always thought that affects the reliability of their reporting.

2. All this conversation about inches. And then I find it's about snow.

3. Most importantly, there is a weatherman on the Weather Station who has very fine, thin eyebrows. When he is reporting the text is irrelevant as far as I am concerned. I can't even at this moment recall his name but he has my attention no matter what's happening outside.

It's been snowing heavily since I woke up, but thus far there's been zero accumulation -- the snow is just too wet and it's only 35 F. From what I've read on detailed weather blogs, overnight the low pressure centered itself 40 miles further north and east than what was expected, and as the storm map show a kind of pincer toward the coastal cities a slight shift can make a large difference in accumulation totals, so they've now adjusted our projections for Philadelphia downwards by 2-4". However, this is a 30 hour weather event so we've yet a long way to go, and the heaviest part of the storm is supposed to begin late this evening and go overnight. Still, looking at the hourly breakdown weather.com even shows my zip code almost petering out with snow from 2-7 PM. I could have done all of my shopping today no problem.

I'm thinking I might come out of this with just 6-8" as I'm in the south part of the city. Overall not a huge deal for me personally, but obviously someone is getting walloped considerably more. The north part of Philadelphia/suburbs can still get 12" and I'd think up in Trenton there would be a few more than that. I can't really see this effecting train travel up to NYC much by tomorrow unless there's some huge dump of larger amounts up there.

Yeah, it's been snowing here all day too...I am surprised Bloomberg hasn't cancelled school again. But I must admit he does stay on top of it all with the plows and salt.....I have no plans to go anywhere so I am just gonna do what I always do....sleep, eat and text on the phone...

The Weather Channel is now saying Philadelphia is just getting 3-5" because nothing is sticking all day. It's snowing really heavy with wind and has all day, but it melts on contact. Meanwhile they've upped NYC to 16".

The Weather Channel is now saying Philadelphia is just getting 3-5" because nothing is sticking all day. It's snowing really heavy with wind and has all day, but it melts on contact. Meanwhile they've upped NYC to 16".