000
FXUS63 KEAX 192331
AFDEAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
631 PM CDT Mon Mar 19 2018
.Discussion...
Issued at 238 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2018
Rain showers will continue to gradually dissipate this afternoon
as the surface low now over south central MO continues to shift
eastward, and its associated deformation zone weakens. A few
additional light showers and perhaps a few flurries are possible
this evening through the early overnight hours as a trailing upper
wave drops through eastern SD/NE and into far northwest MO, but
the shortwave trough will become embedded in the broader upper-
level flow overnight, weakening any impact from the system as it
moves into more subsident air across MO.
Lingering cloud cover and northerly flow will keep temperatures
below normal on Tuesday, then a warming trend will begin Wednesday
and continue through the rest of the work week. Recent rainfall
should help fuels start to green up and keep soils damp for a few
days, possibly keeping fire danger in check this week even as
temperatures start to rise. The next potential for impactful
weather will come this weekend as another trough pushes lee-side
cyclogenesis out into the Plains. Currently, it appears the low
will take a more northerly track than today`s system and the
heaviest precipitation will remain north of the CWA, but will have
to continue to monitor as models have continued to shift the
track over the last several iterations.
&&
.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 631 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2018
CIGs and VIS are slowly improving early this evening as the storm
system that brought today`s rain shifts east. Currently, it looks
like clouds will stick around overnight and through Tuesday, but
they also look to stay just above MVFR thresholds. Otherwise,
expect northeast winds to back a bit overnight to the northwest,
though staying around or under 10 knots.
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&
$$
Discussion...Laflin
Aviation...Cutter