TCU Horned Frogs

TCU was only a game better than every Baylor, Texas, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State in the Big-12 regular season but it was a big game because it made the Horned Frogs the 5-seed and earned them a first round bye, the first in school history.

The winner of this game will go on to play either Kansas or Oklahoma State. It’s no guarantee that Kansas will beat the Cowboys, who won both regular season matchups.

The Jayhawks are also playing this tournament without their lone big, Udoka Azubuike, who is out for at least the week. That means if TCU can win this one, it will either get the 8-seed or a weakened KU side.

TCU finished the season at exactly 40 percent from 3-point range. Desmond Bane led the way in that department at better than 47 percent; Kouat Noi hit over 43 percent. They shoot the most, too.

Kansas State Wildcats

In the regular season, Kansas State beat TCU at home by five and lost by seven on the road. The third game on a neutral floor should be even closer.

Kansas State doesn’t shoot the three as well as the Horned Frogs but it has just as many guys who will shoot it proficiently from out there.

Each of the top-five scorers on the KSU squad shoot at least 33.3 percent from three. Only two Wildcats outside of that group averaged double-figure minutes in the regular season and the rotation will only shorten up in the postseason.

I believe TCU has more true depth, which is about all that separates these two teams. Don’t get me wrong; it’ll be close. But I give TCU a small edge.

4* Free CBB Betting Pick: TCU -2.5

NCAAB Free Score Prediction: TCU 85 – Kansas State 80

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