[Crisis in Zimbabwe] Coup succeeds; Mugabe either remains de jure president but under house arrest, or agrees to gracefully leave. Generals install a new de facto ruler ─ probably but not necessarily Mnangagwa

Bruno Parga
changed the deadline from “on 2017-12-16” and changed their prediction from “Coup succeeds; Mugabe either remains de facto president but under house arrest, or agrees to gracefully leave. Generals install a new de facto ruler ─ probably but not necessarily Mnangagwa”
on 2017-11-20