Thursday, June 19, 2008

Just as the Republican Primary campaign bursts on to the stage, all of us watching the race in the Kansas 2nd Congressional District got a very, very unexpected surprised today that throws the conventional wisdom about this race right out the window.

Results of a poll conducted in the Kansas 2nd District in May by Anzalone Liszt Research, Inc. shows truly shocking numbers- and proves Congresswoman Nancy Boyda isn't quite as weak as previously thought.

Here they are as they were sent to us:

How would you rate the job that Nancy Boyda is doing as U.S. Congresswoman?

Total Positive- 68% (!!)Total Negative- 21%Don't Know- 10%

68% approval for a Democrat in eastern Kansas! That's currently better than either United States Senator or Governor Kathleen Sebelius!

Will you re-elect Nancy Boyda, or support someone new?

Re-elect- 54%Someone new- 35%Don't Know- 11%

That's what a year of hard work gives you- 54% want to re-elect Boyda in this R+7 district.

Nancy Boyda vs. Jim Ryun

Nancy Boyda- 54%Jim Ryun- 37%Undecided- 9%

After 10 years, the KS-2 has had enough of Jim Ryun!

Nancy Boyda vs. Lynn Jenkins

Nancy Boyda- 57%Lynn Jenkins- 27%Undecided- 15%

So much for the logic Lynn Jenkins is the stronger candidate against Boyda.

Instant reactions: All the Republican posturing about how poor a fit Boyda is for her district is patently false- it's obvious the people of the Kansas 2nd Congressional district think Boyda is doing an exceptional job if 68% of people are giving her good or excellent marks.

Also, so far at least, the people of the district have no interest in trading out Boyda for the messages being peddled by either Ryun or Jenkins- and it looks like Jenkins still has a long way to go if she has any hope in the world of beating Ryun in the primary.

The only other thing- while this poll is good news for Nancy Boyda right now, all this new information means is, in the end, the fight is going to be even harder. Why? Because Ryun & Jenkins both know Boyda's winning, too, and they'll redouble their efforts to knock her out of her seat. Even though this polling shows Boyda's as strong as we had all hoped, this means the Republicans will pull out ever stop in an attempt to beat her.

Hey dumbass, BB links to the questions asked in the poll. It's not a push-poll, its a very clean straight up or down poll. No bias whatsoever. Unless somehow this polling firm's personal political feelings affected their sampling, which I HIGHLY doubt, there's no bias.

Not bad, but a few things to note. The numbers posted only have Boyda at a 54% re-elect. Those are not good numbers. When the election season begins in earnest, a few campaign commercials push that below 50%. Any incumbent hovering near 50% before the election season really begins should be a little nervous, esp. during a Presidential year.Also, this poll only has Obama losing in the 2nd District by 7% versus Rasmussen's 21% (an independent pollster, btw). Let's see the sample of the party registrations that were polled before we jump to conclusions. If the poll is legit, you publish those numbers.In other words, I'd take these numbers with a grain of salt.

Sorry but I doubt FISA is going to be the issue on people's minds in the 2nd District.

I think the campaign promises of Democrats is going to come back to haunt them ..... like if elected we will get out troops out of Iraq.

I believe the economy, food, and gas prices will be a prominent issues .... and what have Democrats done to address those issues ....where is their comprehensive energy plan; their economic ideas ..... anything to address food prices other than governement programs

If you look more in-depth at the poll only 27% said they would definately vote to re-elect Boyda. Another 27% is probably ..... but not definately. Means only 27% of those polled would definately vote to re-elect Boyda. I am not sure that is good news as is being sold here.

This blog is not affiliated in any way with the Kansas Democratic Party, the Democratic National Committee, Congresswoman Nancy Boyda, the Office of Congresswoman Nancy Boyda, or the campaign to re-elected Congresswoman Nancy Boyda. All commentary herein not directly attributed must be considered the opinion of the authors of this blog and not of any other individual, including Congresswoman Nancy Boyda.