Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.

Race

Date

Team Rating

Hannah Truniger

Brette Correy

Mckayla Cole

Ashley Norem

Tiffany Christensen

Gabby Champion

Gabby Skopec

Lyndsie Schinkel

Alyssa Williams

Kelsey Leedy

Joe Piane Invitational (Gold)

09/29

962

20:35

20:43

20:54

21:11

20:44

21:41

22:02

22:15

Bradley Pink Classic

10/13

1024

20:41

20:39

21:00

21:07

21:25

21:59

22:01

22:18

Missouri Valley Championship

10/28

1054

21:01

21:04

20:56

20:59

20:51

21:19

22:27

22:11

Midwest Region Championships

11/10

1041

20:56

20:51

20:56

20:54

21:06

21:06

22:10

NCAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

Advances to Round

Ave Finish

Ave Score

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

NCAA Championship

0.6%

30.1

759

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.3

Region Championship

100%

8.1

277

0.4

3.2

6.7

10.0

15.1

11.7

13.0

11.4

9.2

6.6

4.5

2.9

1.9

1.6

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.1

Individual Results

NCAA Championship

Advances to Round

Ave Finish

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

Hannah Truniger

0.6%

175.5

Brette Correy

0.6%

177.8

Mckayla Cole

0.6%

180.8

Ashley Norem

0.6%

202.5

Tiffany Christensen

0.6%

194.5

Gabby Champion

0.6%

226.3

Gabby Skopec

0.7%

250.8

Regional

Ave Finish

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

Hannah Truniger

42.0

0.1

0.1

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.5

0.4

0.8

0.5

1.2

1.3

1.7

1.4

1.7

1.5

1.9

1.8

Brette Correy

45.4

0.1

0.3

0.2

0.6

0.3

0.6

0.3

0.8

0.6

1.0

1.2

1.7

1.4

1.2

1.4

Mckayla Cole

58.9

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.7

Ashley Norem

62.7

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.4

0.2

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.7

Tiffany Christensen

63.3

0.1

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.7

0.3

Gabby Champion

85.4

0.2

0.1

Gabby Skopec

164.8

NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total

Region Finish

Chance of Finishing

Chance of Advancing

Auto

At Large Selection

No Adv

Auto

At Large

Region Finish

1

2

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

1

2

0.4%

100.0%

0.4

0.4

2

3

3.2%

6.3%

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

3.0

0.2

3

4

6.7%

1.5%

0.1

6.6

0.1

4

5

10.0%

10.0

5

6

15.1%

15.1

6

7

11.7%

11.7

7

8

13.0%

13.0

8

9

11.4%

11.4

9

10

9.2%

9.2

10

11

6.6%

6.6

11

12

4.5%

4.5

12

13

2.9%

2.9

13

14

1.9%

1.9

14

15

1.6%

1.6

15

16

0.7%

0.7

16

17

0.6%

0.6

17

18

0.5%

0.5

18

19

0.2%

0.2

19

20

0.2%

0.2

20

21

0.1%

0.1

21

22

22

23

0.1%

0.1

23

24

24

25

25

26

26

27

27

28

28

29

29

30

30

31

31

32

32

33

33

34

34

35

35

36

36

37

37

Total

100%

0.7%

0.4

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

99.4

0.4

0.3

Points

At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.