Thursday, January 31, 2013

Russia by 2030 could increase grain production to 127-141 million tons

Russia
in 2030 could increase grain production to 127-141 million tons from 70.7
million tons in 2012, while exports - up to 46 million tons, according to a
forecast released by Ministry of Economic Development of long-term
socio-economic development of Russia until 2030.

Grain
production to 127 million tons will be achieved by expanding the area under
cereals to 46.7 million hectares from the current 43-45 million hectares, and
the average yield increase from 21.4 tons per hectare in 2008-2011 to 28.8
quintals per hectare.

"The
growth of grain production will be due to both an increase in domestic consumption
from 72.2 million tons to 81.3 million tons (including - 46 million tons for
fodder purposes) and by increasing foreign demand for Russian grain from 27.2
million tons (in 2011-2012 agricultural year ) to 46 million tons, "- the
document says.

If will
be forced grain market scenarios could increase grain production to 141 million
tons by 2030.

As
explained by forecast authors , the introduction of modern agricultural
technologies, including use of new
technology, investments in breeding high-yielding varieties of crops,
increasing the amount of applied mineral fertilizers (about 100 kilograms per
hectare), and of the means of plant protection will increase the average grain
yield twice the current level .

Currently
operating facilities allow you to export 30 million tons of grain per year, from
which only 60% (18 million tons) are high-tech. Therefore, the realization of
high export potential will require creation of new port facilities and transport
infrastructure modernization of ports in Black Sea region and the Far East, the
document says.

By 2020,
grain production, as stated in the forecast, can be increased to 107-119
million tons. For comparison, in the Ministry of Agriculture developed state
program of agricultural development for 2013-2020 years the growth of grain
production in 2020 is expected to reach 115 million tons.

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