The higher 1.4 million figure is based on 2 assumptions - 1. NO additional support, and 2. current case counts are off by about 75%. ....But 500,000
or 1.4 million - both way high. One is only 6 weeks behind the other for hitting 2 billion.

PS. BobAthome - I used the headline straight from the source as required for "Breaking News."

Yet another set of ominous projections about the Ebola epidemic in West Africa was released Tuesday, in a report from the Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention that gave worst- and best-case estimates for Liberia and Sierra Leone based on computer modeling.

In the worst-case scenario, the two countries could have a total of 21,000 cases of Ebola by Sept. 30 and 1.4 million cases by Jan. 20 if the disease
keeps spreading without effective methods to contain it. These figures take into account the fact that many cases go undetected, and estimate that
there are actually 2.5 times as many as reported.

New figures published Monday by the World Health Organization reveal a far worse outlook than it had previously anticipated for the Ebola epidemic in
West Africa.

In addition to predicting many more cases and deaths, the new report for the first time raises the possibility that the epidemic will not be brought
under control and that the disease will become endemic in West Africa, meaning that it could reach a steady state and become a constant presence
there.

“The epidemiologic outlook is bleak,” the report said.

If control does not improve now, there will be more than 20,000 cases by Nov. 2, and the numbers of cases and deaths will continue increasing from
hundreds to thousands per week for months to come, according to the report. The death rate is about 70 percent in each of the heavily affected
countries, Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone.

The majority are intermingled among species, and they only become extremely dangerous in that stages when they hop species barriers. It may be how
this current one got started, or it may not be. In any case, if it really was the real deal I would quite expect it to cross continents and it has
had plenty of time and opportunity by now, or if not in some dormant stage like is you said and likely in an animal host such as ie livestock.

In all if it does come over the ocean, expect people to react the same way. It is only logical, at first they dont want it to come to there continent,
so quarantine them. Then if it shifts over to there continent they would not want to come to there city, so quarantine them. Then if it comes to
there city they dont want it in there town, so quarantine them. And if it reaches there town, they dont want it to come to their neighborhood so
quarantine them. And if it reaches there neighborhood. Well that neighbor guy who coughed this morning is sure acting suspicious, so lets quarantine
him.

We shall see come January or February if this is all still raging or if it all exponentially grows to reach those numbers. Generally its the ones you
dont suspect and never see coming that get you in the end. And there is a perfectly logical reason why its always that way. Its because the ones you
do suspect you generally try to take at the very least some measure to avoid it.

originally posted by: Xeven
Time to nuke the locations with Ebola? Less would die that way no?

nuke wouldn't work and might cause the virus to spread and change even faster. People would panic after the first couple and no way to make sure all
infected humans and animals are in the blast zone. The one that survive would travel to other regions and other nation would send help. Which would
cause a larger infected area, this is also putting aside the lasting damage a nuke would cause.

A pitch and burn would be a better option, still just as horrible on the moral level. But more control and less long term damage. You still run a high
risk of a panic spread, which is always a problem when you just try to destroy all carriers.

Thousands of workers travel in and out of Africa daily, from mining, agriculture, and other businesses. It is only a matter of time before it gets out
of Africa. If it reaches a high density population area, like China,there could be a serious outbreak. If this spreads globally, it could potentially
be severe. Although the more developed countries may fare better because of better information disemination and sanitation.In a worse case
scenario,the only thing the average person could do is stock up on food, self isolate, and hunker down at home for literally months until it burns
itself out. In the mean time infrastructure and society collapses, or changes to adapt to the conditions. Unless its airborne, IMHO it wont be as bad
as in Africa. Unfortunately African countries have very substandard sanitation and are overcrowded, which I am sure is contributing to this thing
getting so out of hand.

i worry about a lot of things i probably shouldnt but ebola is not one of them.
i have been reading the threads and i see the news headlines. yesterday the cdc was saying 1.4 mill could be infected by january.

it does seem like certain regions in africa are about to have a bad time and lost a lot of people.

im just not concerned with an outbreak in the northern US.

i feel bad for the people in africa but im glad its there and not here. i can tell you that

edit*
i also think the US needs to stay away until those regions are doing everything they possibly can.

everything means cremating the dead as well...

oh bu they cant do that for cultural and religious reasons......

well for not wanting to be dead reasons the US needs to stay home. those regions are not doing all they can do to contain this.

it sucks for all the innocent people that are going to die but that still does not make it the problem of other nations.

The only way I see the virus making a large dent in the US would be if it was used as a weapon. If it's just brought over I don't think we'd get a
large outbreak. But if some person or group used it as a weapon. Say by spreading it like a bio dirty bomb in high population areas. Than we'll have
a problem. But I don't see this happening.

The model revealed that, for a given population in a West African country, if there were no precaution of recovering, even if the total number of
infected populations is very small, the entire population of that country would all die in a very short period of time.

Due to several factors once a certain percentage of the population is infected, it all goes downhill. Only so many people can ne treated at one time,
no matter how advanced or backwards a culture is.

It takes teams of people per patient. It doesnt take long to figure out once a sizable portion of your population is either infected with or
treating someone who is infected, other thibgs slip by the wayside.

It just avalances from there unless something is done to bring it under control.

Only decisive action can stop the virus becoming entrenched in Africa and spreading elsewhere, say epidemiologists

The world has finally got serious about Ebola. In a first for a public health threat, the United Nations has launched the kind of response it normally
reserves for war zones. Meanwhile, the US, UK and France are sending troops to build treatment units, train health workers and keep order.

It's not a moment too soon: the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention warn that without a massive effort to slow the epidemic, a million
people in West Africa could have Ebola by January. Some will carry it elsewhere, and the virus may circulate non-stop in Africa for the foreseeable
future.

Only so many people can ne treated at one time, no matter how advanced or backwards a culture is.

It takes teams of people per patient. It doesnt take long to figure out once a sizable portion of your population is either infected with or treating
someone who is infected, other thibgs slip by the wayside.

It just avalances from there unless something is done to bring it under control.

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