Merrill Lynch: prospective foreign exchange trading strategy and non Huitong network February 2nd hearing on Friday (February 5th) U.S. payrolls data released, the payrolls data material "unlikely" to push the Fed’s interest rate rises, although payrolls beautiful may make the Fed rate hike is expected to heat up, but it is unlikely push the Fed rate hike pace, so this week are less likely to boost the dollar; since the last fed FOMC meeting statement can be found, the Fed interest rate decision factors gradually began to focus on the inflation problem, and the problem of the global financial market turmoil. Of course, the most critical impact on the dollar this week is the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report. Nonfarm Outlook: U.S. employment growth in January 2016 may slow down, non agricultural employment population increased by 170 thousand, while 2015 in the last quarter of the United States, the average monthly employment growth of 284 thousand people. Because the weather is very awesome, especially in the last 12 months, boosted by strong employment data. The model of Merrill Lynch suggests that there will be some level of decline in the next month, and even worse after two months. In addition, although the storm hit the east coast of the United States will not affect the employment data, because this occurred in January after the "non farm" survey week, however, may have an impact on the employment data in February. Through some signs, we may find some weakness in the US employment data, such as a slight upward trend in the number of jobless claims in the United States. However, the World Federation of large enterprises has a slight downward trend in the labor market. From all sectors, the mining industry will continue to lay off workers because of falling oil prices and stagnant manufacturing. In the fourth quarter of 2015, a substantial increase in the construction industry is extremely sensitive to weather conditions, so the United States will be released this week, the risk of reducing the risk of non-agricultural employment is extremely high. In addition, the possibility of employment growth in service industry is still very high. At the same time, the U.S. government is expected to increase employment by 5000, which means that private sector employment growth will be 165 thousand. Merrill Lynch expects the U.S. unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5%, while the average hourly wage rise of 0.3%, there is the possibility of rising, because there was no increase in December last year. The base effect reversed in December and January, which was more favorable for December, because it grew by 2.5% in December, even though it grew by 0.3% in January, and we would see a slowdown of 2.2%. Foreign exchange trading strategy: $292 thousand in last month’s employment report point to continue to rebound, at the same time this week in the employment report approaching "asymmetric risk", especially in the market expected U.S. payrolls increased by 170 thousand under the circumstances. Non farm payrolls data brought the biggest surprise in 2012, with the dollar selling at one percent yen, which has not happened since April 2014. As pointed out, this will mean that the market will question the Fed’s ability to raise interest rates 4 times a year