Quake Watch 2012

In that particular instance the energy is just the energy of the mag 6.6 as I have not looked at other figures for SCI yet (I don't think there is
much though)

The stress level in TJ is a simple progression where the current level is incremented by the 'Periodic Energy'. This figure is normally the total
energy released in the period 1900 to 2011 divided by the number of months. The periodic energy for SCI appears to be about 103 TJ per month which is
roughly the amount of energy as a Mag 6.3. Periodic energy may not always be that value as the aim is to 'zero' the data on the largest event. If
for example I knew there was a mag 9 in 1850 then I would try and reconstruct a current stress energy taking that event as the potential of the area
and assuming total stress release at that point.

Removed from this is the aggregate energy for the month, thus if the aggregate energy is < 103 TJ there will be an increase in energy and > 103 will
lead to a decrease. The effects of the logarithmic scale are very marked such that the 6.6 today made pretty much no discernible difference to the
current stress levels.

If you look at the section of 2011 I have extracted you will see how it works.

If you look at June you can see that the events for the month did not reduce the over all figure despite being the equivalent of a mag 6 whereas
today's event did just reduce the figure as it was 5 times the monthly value BUT it hardly scratched the magnitude equivalent of the stress only
dropping it from 7.757 to 7.753 even though that is a difference of 501 TJ of energy.

Obviously it is not a highly accurate tool as data for the earlier years is sparse, but where an area is capable of mag 6.5 plus quakes it should be
reasonable. Once I have all the base values then I can start later graphs from a know point and make them easier to see what is going on with less
data squashed in.

DELAWARE, Ohio — Most people likely had never heard of the Ohio Seismic Network or the state office over it, the Ohio Geological Survey.

Until New Year’s Eve, when a magnitude 4.0 quake shook Youngstown.

“All of a sudden, the Geological Survey has risen from a totally obscure agency to something where people know who we are,” said Michael Hansen,
state seismologist.

Hansen pretty much is the seismic network. The part-time state employee keeps watch over 26 earthquake detectors with an annual budget of $20,000.

After the New Year’s Eve quake, his quiet office in a lab building near the city of Delaware has become the epicenter of an investigation into a
string of earthquakes in the Youngstown area that’s drawn international attention.

I'm just waiting for any 'shallow' quakes to hit Iran in the very near future, and see if the data supports a normal quake or possible NUKE strike!

Bloomberg reports on the news that integration of the Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) onto the B-2 "Spirit" stealth bomber has finally been
achieved. In fact the US airforce had revealed this at the end of September during a lengthy speech by a general, but nobody (except, perhaps, Iranian
military intelligence) particularly noticed until now.

The MOP is a 14-tonne (15 short ton) pencil of heavy steel, containing a heavy explosive charge of 2.5 tonnes. Dropped from a B-2 cruising above
40,000 feet, it hurtles down to strike its target at supersonic speed, punching through many metres of hardened concrete or other overhead protection
before exploding. It was specifically developed for the purpose of destroying WMD facilities at the behest of the US Defense Threat Reduction Agency
(DTRA), tasked with keeping America safe from such things as foreign nukes.

Originally posted by muzzy
just added another NZ graph to the end of QuakeWatch2011
*this is just a thumbnail to tease, the full size image is linked to on the 2011 Reply

Not sure if its the incomplete data for the last 2 months or what, but the graph shows an overall upward trend in the magnitudes of NZ earthquakes
(less low 2's, more 3's and 4's) since the Sumner quake of July 13th.
Note this is ALL of New Zealand, not just Canterbury.

Just did one for 2010, still hard to tell if there is a tendency for overall magnitude rise toward the end of 2011.
2010 only has the 7.1 Darfield quake on land to work with, all the other 6's were offshore, so the bottom line doesn't heave up like after the
Atiamuri, Tihoi and Christchurch 6's on land in 2011.
But it sure does heave up for the 7.1 doesn't it!, basically lifted the whole magnitude centre line (thick red part) for about 2 months

Last year, all I heard was denials and dismissive name calling. Right now, my elected leaders are calling me a radical because I dare to oppose them.
So. I guess I'm a radical eco-nut. I was teased relentlessly as a kid. Long ago, I learned how to embrace the name and make it my own. "Sticks and
stones may break my bones...."

No wonder I'm a radical loner. Who wants to join a club that thinks tarsands, firey water, spills, and earthquakes, are positives which make for a
better civilization?

Don't blame me. I just opened the closet door and they all coming crashing down on my head. Oh, wardrobe for you Brits. I would seem that the main
stream press is awake now. Where were they a year ago when we here knew what was happeing.

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A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.

HOWEVER - THERE IS A VERY SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL TSUNAMI
THAT COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A HUNDRED
KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES IN THE
REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE MADE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY.

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
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THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
FOR THIS EVENT. IN THE CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION...THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.

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