Conflict in Gaza: The Egyptian President Plots a Dangerous Course

Morsi is dispatching some of his country's top leaders to a war zone -- and risking, or maybe courting, a regional crisis.

Ahmed Zakot/Reuters

Despite his well-documented antipathy for
Israel and affinity for Hamas, Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi is somewhat
constrained in terms of how he can respond to the ongoing fighting in
Gaza. Egypt's military has made it clear that it refuses to get involved, and the Muslim Brotherhood -- which is Hamas's Egyptian cousin -- appears disinclined from engaging Israel violently. So in the past two days, Morsi has crafted an
impressively creative, not to mention devious, strategy: sending Egyptian
emissaries to Gaza to effectively serve as human shields, which limits Israel's
freedom of action against Hamas while simultaneously giving Hamas more cover to
intensify its own attacks against Israel.

In this vein, when Egyptian Prime Minister
Hesham Kandil visited Gaza today at Morsi's request, Israel agreed that it
would halt its fire. But Hamas used the
visit as cover for launching 50 additional rockets into Israel,
including attacks targeting Jerusalem.

It should be a sign of things to come. Indeed, Kandil's visit has encouraged other Egyptian
politicians and organizations to send delegations to Gaza, including former
presidential candidate (and former MB leader) Abdel Monem Abouel Fotouh, the doctors syndicate, the
engineers syndicate, and the
Salafist Nour Party, while the MB has said that it is prepared
to send its youth cadres. Earlier this afternoon, a coalition
of political parties met with the MB and announced its intention to send a
parliamentary delegation to Gaza in the very near future.

The fact that these visits will encourage
Hamas to intensify its fighting, rather than encouraging it to move towards a
ceasefire, is perhaps the most obvious risk.
But the bigger risk of Morsi's strategy is that an Egyptian might be
killed in the crossfire while visiting Gaza.
And if that happens, Morsi will almost certainly use the resulting
popular outrage as an excuse for expelling Israel's ambassador to Egypt
and perhaps unilaterally amend, if not break, the peace treaty.

For this reason, Washington must send Morsi
a message - now - that by effectively encouraging Egyptians to cross into a war
zone, he is putting his own citizens at risk. Moreover, Morsi must be
told that if something happens to the Egyptians visiting Gaza, the
international community will not accept him using this as an excuse for
revising Egypt's commitments.

To be sure, it was always expected that
renewed fighting in Gaza would endanger Israel's relations with
post-revolutionary Egypt. Given the
hundreds of rocket attacks that Israel endured during the past year, Jerusalem
apparently decided that this risk was worth it.
But as a result of Morsi's actions, Egyptian-Israeli relations are now a
heartbeat away from being broken.

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