Polling data failed to predict that Trump would win the White House – which he did by 290 electoral votes to 228. Besides wrestling the presidency away from the Democrats, the Republican Party also managed to keep control of its majority in the Senate and Congress. It was this data that guided markets to think [...]

We explained last week that beginning with the Crusades, Europeans rediscovered spices, silks, and other commodities which were uncommon in Europe. This development created a fresh desire for trade, and trade expanded in the second half of the Middle Ages. Newly forming European states, through voyages of discovery, were looking for different trade routes in [...]

We touched last week on how countries asserting domination on minting coins paired with the Commercial Revolution led to a rise in cross-border trade and thus the need for FX. We also mentioned how this was carried out on an international scale by mainly Italian merchant societies. In relation to minting coins, Italy has an [...]

Currency trading and exchange goes all the way back to ancient times. They were essential tools for trade in the ancient world, as they allowed people to purchase and peddle items such as food, pottery and raw materials. If a Greek coin held more gold than an Egyptian coin due to its size or content, [...]

Risks to the Chinese economy are expected to remain among the key risks to the global growth outlook in 2018, with the Asia Pacific region especially vulnerable to the shock waves from a slowdown. “Significant economic imbalances continue to create downside risk to the outlook for 2018,” said Rajiv Biswas, chief Asia-Pacific economist at IHS [...]

As we learned in 2015/16 China can have a considerable effect on the global economy and financial markets, so it pays to keep on top of the macro currents there. At the moment the early signs of decelerating growth in manufacturing and trade, and a slowing of property price gains raise question marks on the [...]

According to the IMF, China has the fastest growing major economy in the world with growth rates averaging 10% over the past 30 years. At the end of 2017, China’s economy was the 2nd largest in the world by nominal GDP and the world’s biggest by purchasing power parity next to the USA. This world [...]

China stabilised its economic ship in 2017, and conceivably most crucially, the credit binge appears to be waning. JPMorgan thinks that China’s debt-to-output ratio fell for the first time in six years in the second quarter of last year. Yet despite this, several top market analysts included a potential China slowdown in their assessment [...]

The UK's inflation rate has fallen this week for the first time since June. The inflation rate dipped to 3% in December, down from November's rate of 3.1% - a six-year high, as had been expected by the market. "The fall-back in CPI inflation from 3.1% in November to 3% in December marks the beginning [...]

The MiFID II regulations which were expected to come in last Friday are now anticipated to be delayed for at least of 3 months as the regulator looks to work with trading venues to compile the data necessary to make the measure successful. MiFID II an extensive piece of legislation. It’s an updated version of [...]

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