Sen. Arlen Specter has a 53 - 32 percent lead among likely Democratic primary voters over U.S.
Rep. Joe Sestak in the Senate race, while in the Governor's race, Attorney General Tom Corbett
holds a 58 - 7 percent margin among likely Republican primary voters over State Rep. Sam
Rohrer, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Three candidates in the Democratic primary for Governor are bunched together with
Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato at 20 percent, former U.S. Senate candidate Joe
Hoeffel at 15 percent and State Auditor General Jack Wagner at 13 percent, the independent
Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey finds. A fourth hopeful, State Sen. Tony
Williams, gets 5 percent, while 47 percent are undecided and 70 percent of those who name a
candidate say they might change their mind.

In the Democratic Senate race, which has received national attention since Specter
switched parties last year after three decades in the Senate as a Republican, only 15 percent of
voters are undecided, not nearly enough to switch the outcome even if they all backed Sestak.

"With less than six weeks until the May 18 primary, Sen. Arlen Specter looks to be in
solid shape for the Democratic nomination. Not only would Sestak have to win every undecided
vote, he also would have to take away some who say they are for Specter. While that is certainly
possible, it is a steep hill for Sestak to climb because Specter is such a known quantity to
Pennsylvania Democrats, who generally like him," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the
Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The only good news for Sestak is that his followers are slightly more likely to say they
would not change their minds than are Specter's," Brown added.

Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters view Specter favorably by a 60 - 26
percent margin, while they see Sestak favorably by a 33 - 6 percent margin, with 58 percent who
don't know enough about him to form an opinion. By 43 - 26 percent, Democrats say they trust
Specter more than Sestak to do in office what he says on the campaign trail and by a 42 - 26
percent margin say Specter more shares their values.

The Democratic candidates for Governor have been virtually invisible to the voters: 64
percent of Democrats don't know enough about Onorato to have an opinion, while 73 percent
feel that way about Wagner; 75 percent about Hoeffel and 90 percent about Williams.

"Dan Onorato remains slightly ahead as he has since the campaign began, but his margin
is so small and the undecided vote so large that at this point the race is a three-way toss-up," said
Brown. "With the candidates so unknown and just under half the voters undecided almost
anything can happen, although history tells us in situations like this one, the winner will be the
candidate with the largest and most effective television ad campaign and ground operation to
bring out their vote. With that level of anonymity, anything is possible. This is clearly a race that
is yet to be decided."

In the race for the Republican nomination, Corbett is way ahead and Rohrer's challenge is
a token one at best. Even more than Specter, Corbett could lose every undecided vote and still
win comfortably. Corbett is rated favorably by 51 percent of Republicans, unfavorably by 3
percent. For Rohrer, 88 percent don't know enough to form an opinion.

From March 31 - April 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 921 Pennsylvania likely
Democratic primary voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points, and 491
Pennsylvania likely Republican primary voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage
points. The sample is drawn from registered voter lists based on people who have voted in recent
elections.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the
nation as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter.

1a. If the Democratic primary for Governor were being held today, would you vote
for Dan Onorato, Jack Wagner, Tony Williams or Joe Hoeffel? (If undecided q1a)
As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward Onorato, Wagner,
Williams or Hoeffel? This table includes "Leaners".

6a. If the Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today,
would you vote for Arlen Specter or Joe Sestak? (If undecided q6a) As of today,
would you say that you lean a little more toward Specter or Sestak? This table
includes "Leaners".

1b. If the Republican primary for Governor were being held today, would you vote
for Tom Corbett or Sam Rohrer? (If undecided q1b) As of today, do you lean a
little more toward Corbett or Rohrer? This table includes "Leaners".