If I had to make my best guess as of now, I’d say the lineup is as follows:

Denis Arndt, Heisenberg

Denee Benton, The Great Comet

Anthony Azizi, Oslo

Cate Blanchett, The Present

Jon Jon Briones, Miss Saigon

Beanie Feldstein, Hello, Dolly!

Madison Ferris, The Glass Menagerie

Josh Groban, The Great Comet

Eva Noblezada, Miss Saigon

Alison Wright, Sweat

If Simon McBurney is eligible (he has directed on Broadway before The Encounter, but not performed. So I think he is?) Then he could make a play. Dave Hearn or Nancy Zamit are I think the likliest from The Play That Goes Wrong. Michael Xavier, Amber Gray, Bobby Conte Thornton, Nick Kroll, and John Mulaney are also strong possibilities.

For the most part they skewed younger. Which is great for many of these actors at the beginning portions of their careers. Still shocked Anthony Azizi didn’t make the list though.

I’m so happy for Carlo Alban, who turns the character with the least amount of stage time into the beating heart of “Sweat.” And Amber Gray was my favorite part of “The Great Comet” so glad she was recognized somewhere.

Very happy for these winners, but especially Barrett Doss and Lucas Hedges. It’s funny, and one of those vagaries of theater awards, that Jon Jon Briones has been associated with Miss Saigon since its London premiere in 1989 and now in 2017 he’s winning a “debut” award.