Braves Predicted Mediocre By Oddsmaker

The Atlanta Braves are headed towards mediocrity this season, according to sports book, Bovada. Atlanta is picked as the team with the eleventh best chance to win the World Series at 20/1 odds.

What is Bovada seeing that Braves fans and media are not? The Braves won the NL East last year and return what appears to be a stronger team.

The Nationals are the favorites to win the NL East, we all expected that. But the Braves are predicted to have a lesser chance than the San Francisco Giants to win the World Series. Gee, I didn’t realize that Tim Hudson being added to their rotation was that big a deal, did you?

I guess I am crazy, but the Braves are a top 5 or 6 team in my opinion. What are your thoughts on this?

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Jim, and I thought I wore blinders! 11th out of 30 is not necessarily mediocre … but analyzing “their” numbers your analysis is proabably right. What these numbers tell me is that the Braves are a NL Wildcard team and they think two AL teams that don’t make the playoffs are better than or equal to them (Oak and LAA). I hope Boston and NYY fall on their faces:)
Still too many unknowns this year for the odds makers to rank the Braves much higher (even though I am excited about the team) … Beachy (better outing today), Uggla, BJ, and Gattis are still question marks. If these guys perform, then yes, they should be ranked several spots higher.

http://atlantabullpen.com/ Jim Hart

NorthAlabama, 11th out of 30 is mediocre enough to curdle my buttermilk. I think there is less unknowns this year than last year. The roster is basically set, just a couple bench positions and 5th starter to sort out. I think we have as much young, established talent as anyone in the major leagues.

Wayne Canon

The ‘experts’ have me confused also.
Most predict the Braves to finish behind the Nats with about 85 wins and fighting for the wild card slot.
I certainly don’t see them doing any worse than last year with 96 wins, but I do expect the Nats to improve some, but not that much. It will be a good NL East race, but I expect the Brave to win.
For fun and giggles, I go back and see what these ‘experts’ predicted for the 2013 season. Most predicted the Nats to win the NL East going away.
There ought to be a stat something like PPCT (Past Predictions Came True) and express it as a percentage in their by line Like:
by Joe Blow, Mudville beat reporter (.675 PPCT)

http://atlantabullpen.com/ Jim Hart

Ha! Like your idea to have the PPCT in the reporter’s byline! In predictions you can never account for injuries. The Nationals had more than their fair share last season. I predict the Braves to win 97 games this season. I think the NL, particularly the NL East is better this season.