Our system is based -- but not exclusively -- on net average yards per play stats, calibrated primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty, i.e. the teams thus far played. Other adjustments are also made (*=adjustment) because the ypp system is not perfect, often exacerbating stats made against much weaker or much stronger teams, nor can schedule difficulty always be pinpointed with accuracy since many schedules include FCS teams.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

For the bowl games we have taken opening lines and over/unders from Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com as well as their opening odds for games where those are posted later. All odds and stats are posted here by us WITHOUT ANY guarantee of accuracy, and without any liability on our part for our posted materials or links to 3rd party sites. We do our predictions for fun. If important for the reader, the reader must consult the original sites.

We write "were favored". The odds of the opening line are usually changed by the time we make our predictions. We do not compete against those changed odds. We use the CFPT prediction average as of the date that we find published.

Please note that some of our total offense and defense stats were already included prior to the Army-Navy game, whereas the majority were included after that game. Please check at cfbstats.com for the most up-to-date stats.

Army Black Knights (93) vs. Navy Midshipmen (47)
The Midshipmen were favored over the Black Knights by 10 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Navy by 15.87 points. The O/U (over/under) was 55.5 points.Our Call: 31-24 for Navy. The Army-Navy Game is traditionally difficult to call and this year is typical.National rank total offense (via cfbstats.com): Army 68th Navy 35th; total defense: Army 5th Navy 86th. Army is ranked 2nd in rushing offense and Navy 3rd in rushing offense, but in rushing defense, Army is ranked 19th and Navy 67th. However, Navy has played a much tougher schedule this season.Result: Army upset Navy 21-17.We did not get our predictions online on time prior to this game so that this result will not be included in our stats.

Tuesday, December 20, 2016Boca Raton Bowl
FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida 7:00 P.M.Memphis Tigers (50) vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (51)
The Hilltoppers were favored over the Tigers by 7 points. The O/U (over/under) was 77 points.Our Call: 46-44 for Western Kentucky. We rank these teams 50th and 51st. Western Kentucky has won its last seven games, albeit against weak opposition. Memphis has played a much tougher schedule and closed the regular season with a 48-44 win over poll-ranked Houston, but lost in the season 59-30 to Tulsa, a team with a strong offense that we rank 48th. National rank total offense (cfbstats.com): Memphis 33rd Western Kentucky 7th; total defense: Memphis 90th Western Kentucky 37th. Result: ??

Wednesday, December 21, 2016

San Diego County CU Poinsettia Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California 9:00 P.M.BYU Cougars (42) vs. Wyoming Cowboys (67)
The Cougars were favored over the Cowboys by 7.5 points. The O/U (over/under) was 59 points.Our Call: 34-27 for BYU.National rank total offense (via cfbstats.com): BYU 70th Wyoming 48th; total defense: BYU 32nd Wyoming 112th. Wyoming is weak against teams with a strong offense, which is not the case here.Result: ??Thursday, December 22, 2016

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho 7:00 P.M.Idaho Vandals (94) vs. Colorado State Rams (68)
The Rams were favored over the Vandals by 13 points. The O/U (over/under) was 64 points. We give a bit of a home advantage to Idaho.Our Call: 38-27 for Colorado State.National rank total offense (via cfbstats.com): Colorado State 38th Idaho 93rd; total defense: Colorado State 60th Idaho 66th.Result: ??

Friday, December 23, 2016

Popeyes Bahamas Bowl
Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium, Nassau, Bahamas 1:00 P.M.Eastern Michigan Eagles (89) vs. Old Dominion Monarchs (77)
The Eagles were favored over the Monarchs by 1 point. [Note that the updated line on December 15 favored Old Dominion by 4 points] The O/U (over/under) was 64 points.Our Call: 31-27 for Old Dominion. National rank total offense (via cfbstats.com): Eastern Michigan 36th Old Dominion 52nd; total defense: Eastern Michigan 87th Old Dominion 44th.Result: ??

St. Petersburg Bowl
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida 11:00 A.M.Miami of Ohio RedHawks (85) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (58)
The Bulldogs were favored over the RedHawks by 11 points. The O/U (over/under) was 58 points.Our Call: 38-28 for Mississippi State. National rank total offense (via cfbstats.com): Miami of Ohio 108th Mississippi State 41st; total defense: Miami of Ohio 26th Mississippi State 110th. The red-hot RedHawks won six in a row after starting the season 0-6. It was a first in Division I football history.Result: ??

Quick Lane Bowl
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan 2:30 P.M. Maryland Terrapins (70) vs. Boston College Eagles (83)
The Eagles were favored over the Terps by 2 points. [Note that the updated line on December 15 favored Maryland by 1 point.] The O/U (over/under) was 45 points.Our Call: 24-20 for Maryland. National rank total offense (via cfbstats.com): Maryland 94th Boston College 127th; total defense: Maryland 81st K 8th. A score of 3-2 would not surprise us.Result: ??

Camping World Independence Bowl
Independence Stadium, Shreveport, Louisiana 5:00 P.M.North Carolina State Wolfpack (NC State) (43) vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (74)
The Wolfpack were favored over the Commodores by 4 points. The O/U (over/under) was 42.5 points.Our Call: 30-23 for N.C. State. National rank total offense (via cfbstats.com): NC State 62nd Vanderbilt 110th; total defense: NC State 28th Vanderbilt 64th. Vandy beat Mississippi 38-17 and Tennessee 45-34 to close out the regular season and become bowl eligible. (Tennessee and Mississippi rank 109th and 110th in total defense, which may explain the upsets in part). NC State in turn shocked North Carolina 28-21 in their season finale, also to become bowl eligible. NC State ranks 28th in total defense, so we do not expect a Vanderbilt upset.Result: ??

Hyundai Sun Bowl
Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, Texas 2:00 P.M.Stanford Cardinal (16) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (21)
The Tar Heels were favored over the Cardinal by 1 points. [Note that the updated line on December 15 favored the Cardinal by 3.5 points.] The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.Our Call: 30-28 for Stanford. National rank total offense (via cfbstats.com): Stanford 99th North Carolina 44th; total defense: Stanford 36th North Carolina 71st. As a Stanford Law School alumnus, we go with Stanford, but the Cardinal offense this year is far below par and the defense not as good as it has been.Result: ??

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee 3:30 P.M.Nebraska Cornhuskers (31) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (23)
The Vols were favored over the Huskers by 3 points. The O/U (over/under) was 61 points.Our Call: 30-28 for Nebraska. National rank total offense (via cfbstats.com): Nebraska 85th Tennessee 50th; total defense: Nebraska 21st Tennessee 109th. The Huskers with their less than average offense can consider themselves lucky to have drawn a team with a defense as weak as the Volunteers, which permitted underdog Vanderbilt to beat the Vols in the final game of the regular season. The Tennessee offense is better than average, while the Cornhuskers have had a good defense against weak opposition, but it was no match e.g. for the 21st-ranked offense of the Ohio State Buckeyes. Tennessee might have the more talented players, but as a Nebraska alum, we call it for the Huskers.Result: ??

Capital One Orange Bowl
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida 8:00 P.M.Michigan Wolverines (3) vs. Florida State Seminoles (13)
The Wolverines were favored over the Seminoles by 7 points. The O/U (over/under) was 58 points.Our Call: 33-24 for Michigan. National rank total offense (via cfbstats.com): Michigan 46th Florida State 24th; total defense: Michigan 2nd Florida State 29th. We have a Michigan alum in the family and call it strong for Michigan.Result: ??Saturday, December 31, 2016

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