ROUBINI AND BREMMER: The Fate Of Global Growth Depends On US-China Relationshttp://www.businessinsider.com/roubini-bremmer-bloomberg-us-china-2012-1/comments
en-usWed, 31 Dec 1969 19:00:00 -0500Sun, 02 Aug 2015 19:13:50 -0400Simone Foxmanhttp://www.businessinsider.com/c/4f1a460d69bedda40d000070perkiFri, 20 Jan 2012 23:58:53 -0500http://www.businessinsider.com/c/4f1a460d69bedda40d000070
One other thought. The Taiwan issue. China's military has grown exponentially in the last few years. All of the efforts, anti-carrier, anti-satellite, ship to ship armaments, are geared to a conflict with the US over Taiwan.
However, what is the US willingness to go to war against China over Taiwan? I would dare say that public opinion would not support it. Since that is THE major issue in the US vs China relationship, we should just abandon it. For all practical purposes we would not attempt to react militarily against China. We should just acknowlege that to Taiwan so they can prepare to follow the Hong Kong model. Which worked pretty well.http://www.businessinsider.com/c/4f1a42e169bedd650e000058perkiFri, 20 Jan 2012 23:45:21 -0500http://www.businessinsider.com/c/4f1a42e169bedd650e000058
I think that there has been a subtle shift. Companies doing significant business in China have an influence outside of government. At least US Government. China government-business relationship is much more tightly coupled today than the US relationship of government vis a vis business.
I understand that, for example, Apple has a greater influence in China-US trade matters than the US Secretary of State relationship.
The main concern of China is the trading companies. They understand now that politics in America is showmanship, not government.
The only, slight, concern China has of US Government is that of obstructing trade, ie tariffs. Trading companies (Apple, et al ) spend more time with government officials in China discussing this than anything else. And they are assured by the trading companies that tariffs are not a concern. Official US channels mean nothing -- rightly so.