When you punt, you turn the ball over to the other team. So why isn't a punt considered a turnover? Starting from this idea, guest columnist Jason Scheib has developed a fascinating theory that teams might win more if they accepted a four-down mindset and never punted the ball. Come explore a dramatically counterintuitive strategy for winning football games.

The NFL preseason is pointless, right? Maybe not -- as long as you know where to look for meaning. Guest columnist Patrick Allison shows that a game in the preseason can help tell us what will happen if those two teams meet again during the regular season. (Note: This is the research Aaron referenced in last Sunday's New York Times.)

In PFP 2005, we listed Ken Anderson with two of the top ten QB seasons since 1960. So why does he receive so little consideration for the Hall of Fame? David Lewin analyzes Steve McNair's HOF chances in the brand new Pro Football Prospectus 2006; here, he uses those same tools to compare Anderson and his 1970s contemporaries.

When you think of fourth-quarter heroics in the NFL, you think of quarterbacks. John Elway willing his team to victory over and over. Tom Brady marching the Patriots down the field for two last-minute Super Bowl wins. Flutie Magic. Is there really a measurable difference between quarterbacks when it comes to leading fourth-quarter comebacks? Does the list of the best fourth-quarter quarterbacks actually match our memories? And why do we tend to blame coaches for losing late leads, and give them far less credit than the quarterbacks when it comes to comebacks? Jason McKinley investigates.

Good times in the NFC South, as the Falcons get a first-round cornerback in the second round and the Saints get a first-pick player with the second pick. They also may have snagged the best undrafted free agent available. Meanwhile, Carolina makes an unexpected choice at running back, and Tampa Bay makes some unexpected choices on the offensive line. Sean McCormick has Best Player Available analysis and Darrel Michaud has the rest of the news from around the division in the latest edition of Four Downs.

Next weekend, while Reggie Bush and Matt Leinart are being feted in New York City, their baseball equivalents will be quietly going about their business in Wichita and Salt Lake City. Jim Baker from Baseball Prospectus takes a look at which award produces better pros: the Heisman or the Golden Spikes. Test yourself before you read: Can you guess the only school to produce both award winners in the same year, or the only award winners from the same year who currently play in the same city?

Darrel Michaud returns to look after the first month of free agency in the NFC South. The Saints brought up the rear in the division, and they made lot of changes. The Bucs won the division, and they've made almost none. Maybe these guys know something about how to run a football team.

Can college football stats somehow be used to predict which players will succeed in the NFL? It will surprise many to discover the answer is "yes." With this look at Matt Leinart, Vince Young and Jay Cutler, guest columnist David Lewin previews his college-to-NFL QB projection system, which will get its proper debut in Pro Football Prospectus 2006.

A lot of people complained about the officiating in this year's playoffs. But just like players, officials cannot really be judged on a single game in the national spotlight. Guest columnist Matthew Furtek goes through several regular season games to judge the referee behind the most controversial calls of this past January. Bill who? No, we're talking about Pete Morelli, the man who overturned Troy Polamalu's interception in Indianapolis and presided over the infamous false start/offsides that was neither a false start nor an offsides.