Republicans have erased the Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot in a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll that, for the first time since April, also shows President Donald Trump’s approval rating equaling the percentage of voters who disapprove of his job performance.

Fully 39 percent of registered voters say they would support the GOP candidate for Congress in their district, while 38 percent would back the Democratic candidate. Nearly a quarter of voters, 23 percent, are undecided.

Paul Ryan is doing better as well:

Paul Ryan's favorability has recovered since 2017 lows, now at 36/40. Pelosi still widely unpopular at 28/49. https://t.co/cbE5nzOpXG

— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) February 14, 2018

Even worse for Dems? They barely lead on health care:

This is also something that shd alarm Ds, given how central health care will be to their midterm messaging.

"The Democratic advantage on health care has dwindled to just 4 percentage points, down from double digits last year." https://t.co/cbE5nzOpXG

— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) February 14, 2018

Heckuva job, Nancy and Chuck.

But with that said, polls =/= turnout. Dems won a special election in a Trump district yesterday in Florida:

How big was the Democrat's win in Florida's bellwether HD72?

✅It was held by an R in a GOP county

✅Rs outnumber Ds by 12k voters, or 10 percentage points there

✅Trump carried it by 4.6% (but won FL by 1.2%)

✅Good just won by 7.4 points https://t.co/dZCQP2rOKc

— Marc Caputo (@MarcACaputo) February 14, 2018

To be continued…

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