Monday, November 21, 2011

PLA Navy is totally hot with and for overreliance on “anti-access”
and “area-denial” weaponry to shut adversary forces—chiefly Great Satan—out of East Asian waters during a Taiwan contingency or some other
clash along China’s nautical periphery. This constitutes a
static, passive approach inimical to global navies.

Pounding on forces steaming westward
across the Pacific, PLA defenders could ratchet up the costs of
intervention so high that Great Satan would hesitate long enough
for China to accomplish her goals. Better yet, (for the wicked bolsheviks) Great Satan might desist
from a rescue effort altogether.

"If the Chinese navy is training and planning to operate within fixed
areas and along fixed lines at sea, then it is demonstrating its lack of
understanding of naval warfare and exposing itself to failure."

Astute PLA Navy commanders backed by shore-based missiles and combat
aircraft could give a superior adversary like the U.S. Navy fits. If
Beijing can hold U.S. forces off with its “flotilla” of diesel
submarines, fast patrol boats, and anti-ship missiles, it can liberate
the surface fleet to operate freely under the protective shield provided
by access denial. ASBM coverage will extend hundreds of miles seaward
if that “bird” lives up to its billing—perhaps even out to the second
island chain.

A map in the Pentagon’s annual reports on Chinese military
power shows the ASBM “threat envelope” covering most of the Western
Pacific, the entire South China Sea, the Strait of Malacca, the Bay of
Bengal, and parts of the Arabian Sea.

• By 2000, the PLAN would be capable of exerting sea control out to the
First Island Chain, defined by a line drawn from the Kurile Islands,
through Japan and the Ryukyu Islands, then through the Philippines to
the Indonesian archipelago.• By 2020, it could exert sea control out to the Second Island Chain,
defined by a line drawn from the Kuriles, through Japan and the Bonin
Islands, then through the Marianas Islands, Palau, and the Indonesian
archipelago, with the implied inclusion of the island of Java, which
would extend the navy’s control through the Singapore and Malacca
straits.• By 2050, the PLAN would include aircraft carriers and have the capacity to operate globally.

1 comments:

SGT Dan
said...

This has been attempted before. You know who else was set up for a layered barrier system to attrit a westbound USN before it reached their coast? The Imperial Japanese Navy. Their whole prewar strategy was based on wearing down the US fleet before a decisive fleet engagement, their Tsushima 2.0, which they of course would win.

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