As we head into All-Star Weekend, let's take a look at how the NBA pundit prognostications are shaping up so far this year. We are tracking the predictions of 35 ESPN pundits across 11 categories: 6 division winners, 2 conference winners, overall champion, MVP, and Rookie of the Year. Given that it's too early to judge the likelihood of conference and overall championship winners, we will only analyze how the division and player award picks are faring (8 categories), assuming the season ended today. This might prove presumptuous, but we are assuming that LeBron wins MVP and Damian Lillard wins ROY (for you Kevin Durant fans, we are happy to provide the data based on KD winning the MVP).

The table is ranked by Yield. As a reminder, the Yield metric calibrates predictions for boldness by measuring the average payout (using Vegas odds) had you placed $1 bets on each of the pundit's selections. The last row ("total") shows the % of pundits that got each category right - for instance, none of the 35 pundits picked the Knicks to win the Atlantic, while all of them picked the Heat to win the Southeast.

Pundit

Atl

Ctl

SE

NW

SW

Pac

RoY

MVP

#

Yield

Kevin Arnovitz

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Lillard

James

6

$1.47

Nick Friedell

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Lillard

James

6

$1.47

Dave McMenamin

BKN

IND

MIA

OKC

MEM

LAL

Lillard

James

5

$1.27

Israel Gutierrez

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAC

Davis

Paul

5

$1.21

Brian Windhorst

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Lillard

Durant

5

$1.12

Beckley Mason

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Lillard

Durant

5

$1.12

Mike Mazzeo

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Lillard

Durant

5

$1.12

David Thorpe

PHI

CHI

MIA

DEN

SA

LAL

Lillard

James

4

$1.11

Marc Stein

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

5

$1.04

Chris Palmer

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

5

$1.04

Larry Coon

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

5

$1.04

Royce Webb

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

5

$1.04

Tom Haberstroh

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

5

$1.04

Maurice Brooks

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

5

$1.04

Arash Markazi

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

5

$1.04

Chris Forsberg

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

5

$1.04

Ian Begley

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

5

$1.04

Vegas Favorites

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

5

$1.04

Scoop Jackson

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

MEM

LAC

Drummond

Paul

4

$1.02

Justin Verrier

BOS

IND

MIA

DEN

SA

LAL

Lillard

Durant

4

$0.98

R. Shelburne

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

MEM

LAL

Lillard

Paul

4

$0.93

Tim Legler

BOS

CHI

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Lillard

Durant

4

$0.90

Keith Lipscomb

BOS

CHI

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Lillard

Durant

4

$0.90

John Hollinger

BOS

IND

MIA

DEN

SA

LAL

Davis

James

4

$0.89

Chad Ford

BOS

IND

MIA

DEN

SA

LAL

Davis

James

4

$0.89

Adena Andrews

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

MEM

LAL

Davis

James

4

$0.84

Jackie MacMullan

BOS

CHI

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

4

$0.82

Tim MacMahon

BOS

CHI

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

James

4

$0.82

Chris Ramsay

BOS

IND

MIA

DEN

MEM

LAL

Davis

James

3

$0.70

J.A. Adande

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

Durant

4

$0.69

Chris Broussard

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

Durant

4

$0.69

Michael Wallace

BOS

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Kidd-Gilchrist

Paul

4

$0.69

Henry Abbott

PHI

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Drummond

Durant

4

$0.69

Jack Ramsay

PHI

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Sullinger

Wade

4

$0.69

Bruce Bowen

BKN

IND

MIA

OKC

SA

LAL

Davis

Durant

4

$0.69

Adry Torres

BKN

IND

MIA

OKC

MEM

LAL

Davis

Durant

3

$0.50

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PunditTracker's mission is to bring accountability to the prediction industry by cataloging and scoring the predictions of pundits.