Download Adobe Reader. You need this to open or view .PDF files. If that doesn't work, I can't help you. These breakdowns don't just tell you what games to play, they're a research tool that compiles and compares advanced statistics all on a single 8.5x11 page. The statistics on these breakdowns are all available freely on the web, but there is nowhere that offers them in this format all in one place. I've taken what would take hours of research on the web and consolidated all of it into one source that takes 30 seconds to open or download.

Yes. I've automated the entire process so data is automatically downloaded from the internet every day and is linked dependently to the two teams playing. All I have to do is select who is playing who and the rest of the cells are updated accordingly. It only takes me about 30 minutes each day to publish them as PDF files online. I will post a link each morning (or sometimes the night before) that includes the breakdowns for every game that day.

Because the model uses team season averages in the formula (not player averages). Also injury news tends to change throughout the day. It's best to provide the analysis assuming both teams play with a full healthy line-up and allow you to make the corrections as you see fit depending upon who is absent.

I just looked at it Si1ly !!!! I was wondering what there record was , and how acurate they have been !!!

THX !!!!!!

I've made some slight changes to the model that I was using to derive the home/away power rankings posted here since the all-star-break. Using these rankings, teams with one or more points of value covered the spread at a 58% rate. I'd like to think these results will continue using the updated model, but that remains to be seen.

Don't think of the score projection as an accurate predicting tool that blindly suggests which bets to place. It's a visual tool that assumes both teams play an average game based on the NBA's major advanced statistical predictors (namely the four factors). Injuries are not factored in and neither is motivational or other intangible angles. If I started to account for these angles in my predictions it would compromise their accuracy. You'll have to make those adjustments as you see fit. Think of these breakdowns as a research tool first and a game predictor second.

spurs -9 on the road might seem like alot, but if the cavs are without irving, they will have alot of trouble keeping up with the spurs 11 man rotation..

Heat -9: they are a different team at home, as the role players can actually hit a jumper and they have dominated the sixers this yeat already... add in that the sixers are not the same team as 2 months ago

Grizz -7: fading the warriors on the road against a strong "in the paint" team. my biggest concern would be the grizz b2b, especailly coming off a draing game vs okc. but the grizz have been streaky this year, and could be in the middle of a winning streak here

Some of the data on these spreadsheets are downloaded from the team pages on this site. Very useful tool for understanding advanced statistics on a player by player level. Definitely a great website to browse if anyone is looking to determine how much a specific player's injury will affect a team. I also use 82games in the jump shot locations comparison.

spurs -9 on the road might seem like alot, but if the cavs are without irving, they will have alot of trouble keeping up with the spurs 11 man rotation..

Heat -9: they are a different team at home, as the role players can actually hit a jumper and they have dominated the sixers this yeat already... add in that the sixers are not the same team as 2 months ago

Grizz -7: fading the warriors on the road against a strong "in the paint" team. my biggest concern would be the grizz b2b, especailly coming off a draing game vs okc. but the grizz have been streaky this year, and could be in the middle of a winning streak here

Hard to argue with any of those plays.. although the Heat seem totally disinterested right now. In my opinion, they'll be on cruise control until the playoffs start. Philadelphia might have more motivation tonight to avoid the season sweep. Not saying they'll win outright, but they have a good chance of covering the 9.

Careful with totals for now. It's a pretty basic formula that just looks at off/def efficiency numbers and pace. I'm using it more as a visual tool for the team ATS projections. And remember, value of 1 point against a 4 point spread is 25% value. Even 5 points of value against a 200 point total is only 2.5% of value.

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