Estimates and Projections

The estimates and projections database includes a wide range of core demographic variables for the current year and 5- year projections, covering five broad topic areas: population, households, income, labor force, and dwellings. With a foundation of the Experian household-level databases and over fifteen years of experience in demographic forecasting, AGS offers the highest quality demographic estimates in the marketplace today.

We fully incorporate the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (ACS) results. The ACS is an annual survey which results in a national rolling estimates database which replaces the decennial SF3 sample database. The ACS results at the county scale are an excellent means of tracking demographic attributes over the course of the decade. These, however, will need to be fully supplemented over time with the detail available from the Experian household level files in order to provide block group estimates over the coming decade. – (pdf download)