“But unless something funny happens, we’re looking at a record minimum in Antarctica. Some people say it’s already happened,” he said. “We tend to be conservative by looking at five-day running averages.”

‘Sleeping elephant’

In many recent years, the average extent of sea ice around Antarctica has tended to expand despite the overall trend of global warming, blamed on a build-up of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, mainly from burning fossil fuels.

People sceptical of mainstream findings by climate scientists have often pointed to Antarctic sea ice as evidence against global warming. Some climate scientists have linked the paradoxical expansion to shifts in winds and ocean currents.

World average temperatures climbed to a record high in 2016 for the third year in a row. Climate scientists say warming is causing more extreme days of heat, downpours and is nudging up global sea levels.

At the other end of the planet, ice covering the Arctic Ocean has set repeated lows in recent years.

In the northern winter, sea ice is growing in winter and is at the smallest extent for mid-February, at 13.927 million sq km (5.377 million square miles).

Combined, the extent of sea ice at both ends of the planet is about 2 million sq km (772,200 square miles) less than the 1981-2010 averages for mid-February, roughly the size of Mexico or Saudi Arabia.