Gm42 @Tam: Canes trade punches with NHL’s best but ultimately fall 5-4 to the Lightning

Coming off a horrible 7-1 loss to the Boston Bruins on Saturday night, the Hurricanes schedule offered very little for reprieve with a road match up against the NHL’s best team up next.

First and foremost, the Hurricanes needed to rebound, at least show a pulse in the first period and push upward from there. They did do that. The game was not the cleanest or best by any stretch of the imagination, but the pace and compete level were there. And the Hurricanes also showed resiliency pushing late despite being down two goals. Along the way, the Hurricanes traded punches with the best team in the league, came fairly close but ultimately fell by a 5-4 count to the Tampa Bay Lightning on Tuesday night in Florida.

The Hurricanes struck first courtesy of a revamped power play that included Jaccob Slavin, Brett Pesce and Brock McGinn who have not been regulars on the power play. A pretty pass to the front of the net by Justin Williams found McGinn in front who showed great hands quickly shoveling the puck into the net before Andrei Vasilevskiy could get across. Following a theme that would be repeated regularly, the Lightning struck next when they attacked off the rush by changing lanes and coming in layers with a defenseman joining. Inside of the team it took the Hurricanes to start trying to sort out responsibilities, Victor Hedman received a pass and stepped into a shot off the rush. The shot tipped off Ward’s glove and beat Ward short side. But responding and counter-punching as they would do all night, the Hurricanes struck next when Williams and Rask battled for a puck on the boards ultimately having it kick out to Sebastian Aho who picked up headed toward the net and then beat Vasilevskiy. The scoring for a fun first period concluded when Tyler Johnson found his way behind Jaccob Slavin and Trevor van Riemsdyk and tipped a point shot past Ward. The first period featured quite a bit of full on fire wagon hockey with rushes and chances both ways and four goals for a 2-2 tie to boot.

The second period added more of the same. The Hurricanes attacked at times, but also continued to have issues sorting things out defensively against a Lightning team that attacks off the rush as well as anyone in the NHL right now. Johnson scored his second scrambling in front of the crease when he finished on a second rebound after an initial shot from the point went off the post. Ward made a scrambling save on the first rebound but was sliding away from the net on the second rebound attempt that occurred when Jordan Staal floated by him without getting a piece of the puck or of Johnson. But again, the Hurricanes would respond when Faulk fired through traffic and a great Elias Lindholm screen to tied the game at 3-3.

The Lightning climbed to a 4-3 lead on a goal by defenseman Jake Dotchin that looked very similar to Hedman’s goal in the first period. Coming in a second wave behind the forwards on the rush, Dotchin received a pass and was able to step into a shot that deflected off Derek Ryan’s shoulder and past Ward. The Lightning would then seemingly put the game out of reach when undersized Tyler Johnson won a physical battle against Noah Hanifin and then beat Ward who reacted slowly and passively sitting deep in net giving Johnson room and time to make a play after beating Hanifin. But true to form on the night, the Hurricanes responded with their second power play goal of the game. For the second time in the game, the combination of a Faulk shot and a Lindholm screen beat Vasilevskiy this time when Lindholm tipped the shot home. The Hurricanes would push in the waning moments and get some shots to the net but ultimately come up short in a 5-4 loss.

Despite the result, there was a lot to like about the Hurricanes’ effort. The team’s compete level and resiliency are to be commended. The Lightning could well be the best team in the league in a game that trades rushes and chances and in the end they were just a bit better at it than the Hurricanes.

Notes from the Carolina Hurricanes 5-4 loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning

1) A model for offense in today’s NHL

The Lightning are probably the best team in the entire league at creating offense by attacking in transition before a defense can sort out responsibilities, and I think they are significantly ahead of the pack. What they do better than any other team in the league is attack off the rush in a way that puts maximum pressure on the opponent to make a series of correct decisions in terms of sorting out responsibilities with a constantly changing situation. The forwards and first in on the rush regularly weave and change lanes forcing the opposing defensemen to make quick decisions on hand-offs and new responsibilities. Then they attack in layers such that there is always one if not two players coming behind the initial group that crosses the blue line. The result is that the opponent usually has to make 3-5 very quick decisions on who defends who. If you miss an assignment or even if you just hesitate enough while figuring it out, a scoring chance immediately results. The Hedman and Dotchin goals both came from passes the the second layer at the same time that the first rush had players moving laterally. A number of other in alone or partial breakaway chances resulted off the rush from players changing direction or lanes. Whereas most teams tend to play predictable hockey in straight lines off the rush, the Lightning are the opposite, and it makes it puts a ton of pressure on the opponent in terms of everyone making a correct decision on his assignment. Then add the fact that the Lightning have some of the league’s elite finishers and playing fire wagon hockey with them is going to end badly for the other team nearly every night just like it did for the Hurricanes on Tuesday.

2) Rask/Williams

I continue to like both players’ game together. I thought Rask especially had a strong night and was one of the Hurricanes best players despite not getting on the score sheet. He won pucks in the offensive zone and despite being a step slower than the pack in a game like this played a strong game in the neutral zone taking away angles and transition passes such that the Lightning could not so easily sprint from the defensive zone to the offensive blue line. Earlier this week, I wrote about this duo and its potential to usher in the last phase of the Hurricanes’ transition at forward.

3) Skinner/Ryan

The flip side of Rask/Williams being capable defensively in a game like this was Skinner/Ryan. Skinner and Ryan were both the forward who either missed an assignment or was a step slow defending on Tampa Bay goals. On the road, it is much harder for Peters to use this line opportunistically for offense against favorable match ups, and it showed on Tuesday.

4) Tyler Johnson 1v1 against bigger players

Johnson was the game’s best player and offensive hero. The undersized forward scored two of his three goals by outworking bigger players. On his first goal, Jordan Staal inexplicably floated by him at the side of the net fishing for the puck (and missing) instead of playing straight through the smaller Johnson. When Staal missed with his swipe at the puck, he had taken himself out of the play and left Johnson to finish. His third goal saw him second in a race for a puck with strong-skating Hanifin in front of him. Hanifin created an opening when he spent his lead trying to figure out what Johnson was up to instead of just going to the puck. With that opening, Johnson simultaneously got an inside step toward the net and wrestled the bigger Hanifin to the ground before beating Ward. Johnson’s play is a reminder that scoring around the net in today’s NHL is very little about size and much more about desire.

5) Cam Ward

His game was a mixed bag that leans slightly negative because of the five goals he allowed. He had little chance on the Johnson tip and also on the Dotchin shot that deflected off Ryan’s shoulder and in. He also faced a large number of high-quality chances in a game that was wide open at times and saw the Hurricanes defense being beaten at times by a skilled and attacking offense. But to win in the NHL, it is not good enough to just stop the routine saves, so if I am rating Ward on Tuesday, I give him a 4.5 — negative but not horrible.

Worth watching are two things right now. First is the current trend which is not positive. Sandwiched around the shutout win in Pittsburgh, Ward is 0-2-1 in his other three most recent games with 12 goals allowed on only 62 shots. The seasons are quite different in that last season Ward was overworked whereas this season he should be fresh after playing much of the season as a backup, but calendar-wise this is almost exactly when the wheels came off last season. Second is Ward’s approach to the game. When he is rolling, he tends to take things in stride and not get too high after wins while also shaking off goals and just playing the next shot. He was visibly irritated after the first and last Johnson goal (both of which he legitimately should have had more help) which can be a sign that Ward is starting to press mentally and is beginning to try to hard. That inflection point very likely coincides with a dip in Ward’s play that can snowball.

6) The bigger picture

The Hurricanes are now five games deep in a challenging 8-game stretch that includes five games against top 5-ish teams (Washington 3X, Boston, Tampa Bay). I said before it started that treading water at 4-4 (or eight points) would be acceptable. With Tuesday’s loss that looks more challenging with the team now needing to go 2-0-1 in the final three games to make that mark. But regardless of how the week ends up, the Hurricanes are basically tied for the final playoff spot with the Flyers right now if one adjusts for games played.

7) Brock McGinn

It was nice to see McGinn get rewarded with a goal. He has been quiet on the score sheet of late but probably deserves better. His game has not really dipped, and his numbers would look much better if his two recent posts had instead found the net.

Next up for the Hurricanes is the grand finale of the gauntlet run with a home and away set with the Washington Capitals on Thursday in Washington, D.C. and on Friday in Raleigh.

Go Canes!

6 Comments

raleightj
on January 10, 2018 at 12:33 am

Nice review of the game, Matt.

I keep wanting to say leave McGinn behind – but he is more and more impressive with his game. He was perfectly positioned for that goal.

Ward was beat several times – even if the defense (and TBL’s attack) made it difficult. He could have – not should have, but could have – smothered the rebound that turned into the GWG.

I love your description of the TBL attack – changing lanes between left and right was mentioned pregame several times. It’s the TSA line – but we only have that one line that does that. TBL has at least 3 lines that play that way – with continued development that is the Canes offense in 2-3 years with upgrades in the forwards coming up from Charlotte. You are looking at wings who used to play center and, as a result, can play either side – and do so opportunistically.

TBL is the model for where we want to be with the personnel we have and have coming up.

I think this last stretch of 4 to 5 games is just a reality check.
The Canes are a young team with a lot of talent, but lacks the finish ability, star power and goaltending to be a true cup contender and is at best a borderline playoff team.
That is not necessarily a bad thing, if it had happened 3 or 4 years ago I’d say it’s expected and a natural point in the development cycle of a team.
The problem is that the team has been out of the playoffs for too long and fans (myself included) are either getting exasperated or losing interest.
I had a lot of fun watching the game last night and forgive them for the loss, but in context of the embarassmant that was Bos and a recent stretch of bad games, this team is headed into a familiar territory of finishing 10th.

The other side of the coin is that the Canes have never managed to suck enough to yield a top 3 pick (while not being rich or interesting enough to sign a UFA superstar), and one of the two is usually require to obtain that difference maker player. WE saw 3 of them in a Lightning uniform last night.

I think if the Canes are serious about playoffs this year they need to make a move quick to update the roster a bit.
I was actually half wondering if the Canes should pick up Franzon from the waiver wire yesterday, experienced top 4 ish d-man . who could have helped our young D and even freed up a trade chip if the canes decide to go the other direction.
I feel the next stretch of 3 games is critical. Coming up with anything less than 3 pts in those games will hurt the team’s chances (master matt already said so).
Here’s to hoping that a goaltending hero will emerge, and that we can somehow fleece the caps of 2 or 3 points.

I have been happy to see better attendance at PNC lately compared to the early season but it is just what I see on TV. Fans are active in social media and in hockey forums, too. Is it so that they are losing interest, though? Exasperated, on the other hand, seems a very accurate description to me. Especially in goalie “parties”, especially in Twitter. But that’s a global occurrence when the local sports team does not do well.

Flyers went from 12th place to 2nd pick last year so the odds are small but they are there for a higher pick for the Canes, too.

My comments about the game:

I am glad Aho played 60 min but seemed gassed later in 3rd period with some impurities in puck handling. No way one heals from a ligament or tendon or joint soft tissue injury to be 100% in 3 days. The real test for his leg is next game. Can be (hope not) some swelling etc. can occur after the fast-paced TBL game. Luckily next week is vacation.

TT: loved the hit to TBL d-man in the second period and 2 assists are a good result but wasn’t his best game, esp. in the 1st period.

Skinner: Makes me think if he is worth of a big money UFA deal. Someone here at C&C presented an exel table where Skinner was put getting 8 mil per season and Aho 7,5. Skinner isn’t worth that money. I wonder if it would benefit the team and the player both to trade him.

Faulk: the season’s best game or close to it.

Ward: a normal day in the office, didn’t expect him to be stellar. He is stellar sometimes but those are gifts.

We might’ve seen this year’s Stanley Cup champions last night. And, unfortunately, they were the team wearing blue instead of red. Tampa Bay is an elite hockey team, that’s firing on all cylinders right now. At times on the rush, they looked like the Harlem Globetrotters on ice, with all the weaving and cutting. They’re truly scary. But this still doesn’t diminish the sting of losing last night, as a few of those goals against were the result of just plain lack of effort on our part. Or maybe a better way to put it, Tampa Bay showed MORE effort. And in the case of the Johnson versus Hanifin goal, a LOT more effort. Now, as luck would have it (is it me, or has our schedule so far been really working against us on a lot of levels?), we have to go into DC and face a Washington team that rarely loses on home ice. Then we get them again Friday at home. My best case scenario – we steal a point on the road, and get a win at home. Finger’s crossed…

That was a fun-to-watch high end game. I suspect we saw the future of the NHL there, crossing the blue line with speed and possession with lots of bobbing and weaving. The chip and chase straight up the ice may ultimately get iced itself.

The canes were kind of middling in effort, only forcing about 10ish turnovers (or TBL puck management was really good). But with a middling effort it was still a good game. Johnson was on fire and was the difference in this one.

I realize some believe our team is playoff ready as currently constructed, and rightfully so. After beating the Cup champs twice and having a decent streak of points it definitely gave us a good fuzzy feeling. But beneath the surface, PIT was depleted and we handled several teams at or below us in the standings. The true playoff caliber test was this current stretch of games against teams above us in the standings. To that, we either get blown out by not showing up, or have nice efforts only to come up short.

1C’s are not available and we likely have ours in Necas/Aho next year. But an additional impact forward can be had. An additional veteran defenseman can be had. GMRF will probably have to show creativity, if he can, to bolster the roster. If he doesn’t or is unable, this team as currently constructed will fall a goal short (aka 9th place).