Posts tagged with the keyword: ‘financial market news’

Since the early 2000s, a wave of interest to income inequality has been rising. A few researches found a specific way to prove that the distribution of income has been changing in the US in favor of very rich (top 1%). Figure 1 is borrowed from …

Eight years ago we developed an empirical model describing inflation in developed countries and published a forecast for the USA at a ten year horizon in 2006 (Kitov, 2006ab) as a linear and lagged function of labour force. For the USA the model …

Today’s guest column, How to Spot Risk Early, at The Striking Price on behalf of Steven Sears at Barron’s, is the eleventh time I have had the opportunity to write a column for Barron’s. Today’s column picks up on a theme I addressed in a March…

In 2008, an important line was crossed by the rate of participation in labor force, LFPR. Figure 1 shows that the LFPR in the youngest group fell below the level in the group between 55 and 64 years of age. In a way, the US became the country of old wo…

Since 1995, the rate of participation in labor force, LFPR (the portion of people in labor force) for the working age population (16 years of age and over) has been on a long-term decline. What is the bottom line for this fall? A quasi-scient…

Just one self-explanatory graph . The labor force participation rate in the age group from 60 to 65 years and in two youngest groups as reported by the BLS. Start time and amplitude of the change since 1995 reveal a tight lin…

Five years ago we published two papers [1, 2], which introduced a new macroeconomic model explaining the evolution of labour productivity in developed countries. This model is parsimonious and uses only one measured macroeconomic variable as the drivin…

U.S. stocks are mostly green in today’s session, though there is a good deal of red in global stocks, notably in emerging markets, where the popular EEM emerging markets ETF is down close to 1% as I type this and the Brazil (EWZ) is down more than 2%…

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