An exploration of the statistical foundations of scientific inference, "The Nature of Scientific Evidence" asks what constitutes scientific evidence and whether scientific evidence can be quantified statistically. Mark Taper, Subhash Lele, and an esteemed group of contributors explore the relationships among hypotheses, models, data, and inference on which scientific progress rests in an attempt to develop a new quantitative framework for evidence. Informed by interdisciplinary discussions among scientists, philosophers, and statisticians, they propose a new "evidential" approach, which may be more in keeping with the scientific method. "The Nature of Scientific Evidence" persuasively argues that all scientists should care more about the fine points of statistical philosophy because therein lies the connection between theory and data. Though the book uses ecology as an exemplary science, the interdisciplinary evaluation of the use of statistics in empirical research will be of interest to any reader engaged in the quantification and evaluation of data.

""The Nature of Scientific Evidence "may well be viewed as a landmark publication in years to come, one that was the precursor to a new set of statistical methodologies based on evidence and likelihood. . . . We unreservedly recommend it to every ecologist wanting to understand more about the relationship between logic, evidence, analysis and inference - which, after all, constitutes the essence of the scientific method."--Graeme Hastwell and S./i>

--Graeme Hastwell and S. Raghu "Austral Ecology ""The book is a rare find: a source that could be used in graduate seminars in statistics, philosophy, or biology....It is brimming with ideas....It deserves a read by everyone."--Marc Mangel"Science" (11/26/2004)"This is a challenging, stimulating, and important book Although some of the chapters are not for the statistically naive, all are thorough and provocative...."The Nature of Scientific Evidence" should be read by all ecologists who interpret data as evidence for or against specific hypotheses." --Gerry Quinn"Trends in Ecology and Evolution" (04/01/2005)

Foreword

Preface

Scientific ProcessOverview

A Brief Tour of Statistical Concepts

Models of Scientific Inquiry and Statistical Practice: Implications for the Structure of Scientific Knowledge