1 Response to Research highlighted in the media

A question about the study “Comparing the model-simulated global warming signal to observations using empirical estimates of unforced noise”.

How are you able to distinguish between the RCP 6.0 and RCP 8.5 scenarios when the emissions the scenarios are based on have not diverged much by 2013? The IPCC AR5 report stated they would not diverge much until later in the 21st century. I would have expected you to get similar results for the trend analysis.