Ignore the chickenhawks pushing for an Iran coup

MUCH has been said and written in recent days about the way the demonstrators in Tehran have been utilising new kinds of 'social media' to challenge the Iranian theocratic regime. Protestors blog, post to Facebook, and most intriguing, coordinate their protests on Twitter, the messaging service.

On Twitter, young Iranians and their supporters post reports and links to photos from demonstrations along with accounts of street fighting and casualties around the country. So will this revolution be twitted?

Perhaps. But in any case, with all the attention focused on Tehran's Twitter Revolutionaries, we shouldn't forget the other impressive group of revolutionaries that has emerged in Washington just as the media started reporting on allegations about a rigged Iranian presidential election and angry protesters were gathering in Teheran.

I'm referring here to the many brave US lawmakers, op-ed columnists, television talking-heads, think-tankers and bloggers who are angry that President Barack Obama has refused to punish the Ayatollahs in Iran by, say, bombing Iran into the stone age or doing a regime change in Tehran. Hence Republican Senator and former presidential candidate John McCain - thank God for small mercies - is now criticising the man who beat him last November for not talking tough with the Iranians like - I kid you not! - former President George W Bush.

'Look, these people are bad people and I know that it was unpopular to call them part of an axis of evil or whatever it was, but we just showed again that an oppressive regime will not allow democratic elections, free and democratic elections,' Mr McCain told reporters last week.

Yep. President Obama should follow the footsteps of his predecessor who certainly knew how to talk tough ('Bring them on') to Osama Bin Laden (and then let him get away to Pakistan) and to Saddam Hussein (and then generating a military fiasco in Iraq) and to Iran (and then helping it emerge as a regional power).

So Mr McCain, who during the campaign entertained an audience while singing Bomb, Bomb Iran to the tune of an old Beach Boys hit, is now advising President Obama on doing his version of the 'right thing' in Iran.

Mr McCain is at least a war veteran. Most of the other critics of Mr Obama's policy of maintaining a distance from the political upheaval in Iran are veterans of the battles of the blogs that took place before and during the Iraq War. They are so-called chicken-hawks who continue to protect such neoconservative bastions as the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) and the Weekly Standard, and who not long ago were promising us that the Iraq War would be a 'cake walk', and that Iraqis would greet Americans as liberators with garlands and sweets.

Now after that Iraqi Mission Not-Really Accomplished, they seem to be coming back to life, showing up once again on all the televisions news shows and authoring new op-eds for prestigious publications, despite the fact that much of their foreign policy agenda has been bankrupted and is now lying ruined on the sands of Mesopotamia.

Well . . . never mind. Now they suggest that America should exert all its power to lend a helping hand to former prime minister Mir-Hossein Mousavi as he and his supporters attempt to challenge the presidential election results, a move that will only play into the hands of the ruling Ayatollahs and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who hope to portray Mr Mousavi and the protesters as American stooges.

Ironically, these same American critics who now depict Mr Mousavi as Iran's Gorbachev were warning on the eve of the Iran election that even if Mr Mousavi would win, the Americans would have no choice but to confront Iran over its nuclear military programme and consider giving Israel a green light to strike that country's nuclear facilities.

But now they explain that Mr Mousavi's election will ignite a democratic revolution in Iran and mark the start of a new era in US-Iran relationship. Trying to make sense of that kind of intellectual gibberish that passes for foreign policy analysis in Washington these days, I recalled Twiddle-dee and Twiddle-dum, those two silly characters from Lewis Carroll's Alice in Wonderland.

The two were known for talking nonsense all the time: 'This must be Thursday. Never could get the hand of Thursdays, though on a whole, Thursdays have been pretty good'. Their names derived from the expression 'twiddling my thumbs' which is to say they had nothing to do, like: 'Oh, I'm doing nothing, but twiddling my thumbs'.

So let's forget about Twitter. When it comes to the revived chickenhawks of Washington, the revolution will be twiddled.

Comments

I think Obama's measured words on the recent Iranian election uprisings are prudent. Its too early to tell what will happen in Iran so the Obama administration is keeping its options on the table by not choosing a side. Would you? No, what if you chose the wrong side?

The leaders who keep cool in times of social upheaval are the ones who can solidify a grand strategy and execute it successfully.

While I use Twitter myself, its a terrible tool for making rational and strategic decisions. Our world is made up of sound bites, emails, all kinds of distraction things that push you, sometimes, into rash decisions.

For what its worth, I'm really pleased with how Obama is handling his foreign policy. I'm particularly interested to see how he handles North Korea now.

It happened I ran into several interesting articles on the Iranian situation. : something that happens when one hops between newdesks and RSS.I was checking in on No Quarter ( though I don't usually keep tabs on Larry Johnson ) and clicked your linkhttp://opitslinkfest.blogspot.com/2009/06/reality-check-iran.html

It's hard to imagine now that the erractic McCain and his loopy VP Gov. Palin almost won the election.

I know many conservatives who basically pretended to respect and admire Palin - solely to make a gotcha point against feminists.

Had McCain won - Ahmadiejad probably would have won fairly - McCain would be now at loggerheads over Georgia - with Russia - etc. He would exchanging meaningless heated words with China - only to back down inthe face of banker pressure

Anonymous. Just as reputable as 'unnamed sources'. And since I happened to bounce through here again..thanks for an article recognizing that there is far too much warmongering going on.Now if people really knew how much military activity the U.S. does and has indulged in worldwide...and it's only a Search away.Larry Johnson was a C.I.A. field supervisor. I expect he has views informed from a perspective most never achieve.

5. Michael Oren's op-ed piece in the Wall Street Journal on November 16 which is only accessible to subscribers. So here are a few interesting quotes:Much like 1967, Israel faces a Middle Eastern leader who has repeatedly sworn to wipe it off the map, and to that end is assiduously trying to acquire nuclear weapons. Like Nasser, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad can cripple Israel economically by keeping it in a state of alert, driving away foreign investment and tourism. In the absence of internationa…

A global affairs analyst, journalist, blogger, and author. I am a senior analyst at Wikistrat, teach political science at the University of Maryland, and cover Washington for the Singapore Business Times. I also write for Ha'aretz, blog at The Huffington Post, post commentaries on The National Interest, and am a contributing editor at The American Conservative.
Formerly a research fellow in at the Cato Institute and the United Nations correspondent for the Jerusalem Post, I have published in American and international newspapers and magazines, and have been affiliated with think tanks and academic institutions.
I authored "Quagmire: America in the Middle East" (Cato Institute, 1992) and of "Sandstorm: Policy Failure in the Middle East" (Palgrave Macmillan, 2005).
I have a Ph.D. in international relations from American University, and graduated from Columbia University with MA degrees from the schools of journalism and international affairs and a certificate from the Middle East Institute. I also graduated with an MA degrree in communication and received a BA degree in political science from Hebrew University.