Technical Paper: The risk of disaster-induced displacement. Central America and the Caribbian

This technical paper provides evidence-based estimates of the likelihood of disaster-induced displacement in Central American and selected Caribbean states – Belize, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua and Panama. It represents a first attempt to better quantify human displacement risk. It brings together data from several sources – notably the Global Assessment Reports (GARs) of the United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR), national disaster loss inventory databases (DesInventar) and the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre’s (IDMC) Global Estimates – in order to better quantify human displacement risk. Applying a probabilistic risk model, it is a first attempt to project how many people are at risk of being displaced by natural hazard based disasters.