These odds, however, contradict the results of the Costume Designers Guild Awards, where five-time Oscar also-ran Patricia Norris won in the period film category for “12 Years a Slave.” She has odds of 50/1 to finally win an Oscar.

However, the CDG has agreed with Oscar only six times in the last 10 years. Their most recent disagreement came in 2011, when the academy’s choice, “The Artist,” lost the CDG’s period film award to “W.E.” “The Aviator,” “Marie Antoinette,” and “Elizabeth: The Golden Age” also won Costume Design Oscars without winning at CDG.