Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.

Race

Date

Team Rating

Shanieke Watson

Vianney Sanchez

Hannah Manning

Hunter Paul

Kimberley Boni

Tyler Kelly

UCA Open

09/09

1603

22:59

23:24

Chile Pepper Festival

09/29

1317

21:09

22:07

22:43

22:56

24:38

25:49

Sun Belt Championship

10/28

1343

21:23

22:42

23:18

22:44

24:28

27:53

South Region Championships

11/10

21:28

NCAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

Advances to Round

Ave Finish

Ave Score

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

NCAA Championship

0.0%

Region Championship

100%

24.3

680

0.1

0.5

2.7

11.1

39.6

45.7

0.3

0.2

NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results

Regional

Ave Finish

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

Shanieke Watson

48.0

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.3

Vianney Sanchez

126.3

Hannah Manning

152.5

Hunter Paul

153.2

Kimberley Boni

197.5

Tyler Kelly

219.1

NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total

Region Finish

Chance of Finishing

Chance of Advancing

Auto

At Large Selection

No Adv

Auto

At Large

Region Finish

1

2

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

4

5

5

6

6

7

7

8

8

9

9

10

10

11

11

12

12

13

13

14

14

15

15

16

16

17

17

18

18

19

19

20

0.1%

0.1

20

21

0.5%

0.5

21

22

2.7%

2.7

22

23

11.1%

11.1

23

24

39.6%

39.6

24

25

45.7%

45.7

25

26

0.3%

0.3

26

27

0.2%

0.2

27

28

28

29

29

30

30

31

31

32

32

33

33

34

34

35

35

36

36

37

37

38

38

Total

100%

0.0%

100.0

0.0

0.0

Points

At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.