.AVIATION (18z TAFs)... VFR conditions to prevail through mid to late afternoon ahead of widespread showers and storms associated with a low pressure system over the Gulf of Mexico. Winds will gradually become south to southwesterly ahead of this system later today. From 22z to 03z, expect one or two lines or clusters of storms to move ashore from the Gulf, affecting most terminals through 06Z Tues. Strong gusty winds and significantly reduced visibilities will accompany any stronger storms. A prolonged period of MVFR to IFR cigs appears probable with the storms, and also behind a surging cold front as winds become northwesterly. These conditions will likely persist into at least the late morning hours Tues.

...Increasing Shower and Storm Chances This Evening and OvernightAcross East Central Florida...

A weak low pressure area over the north-central Gulf of Mexico willmove east and across north Florida late tonight as moistureincreases out ahead of it. Numerous showers and scattered lightningstorms will develop across the east central Gulf and move onto thewest central Florida coast early this evening. This activity willcontinue to spread east over the peninsula and across the I-4corridor from mid to late evening...then areas further south and eastfrom late evening past midnight.

Some locally heavy downpours are likely...brief gusty winds up toaround 45 mph...small hail...and cloud to ground lightning. Therewill be an isolated tornado threat with some of this activity fromnear mid evening through around 1 AM. These showers and storms willmove across the intracoastal and near shore Atlantic waters posinga hazard to boaters late tonight.

Hey JR, how far inland are you? I'm about a mile, so I usually get hosed with everything popping barely east of me. Hence Aug's #tollroad mention

Hey Sangria. I am literally at the tip-top of Tampa Bay. About 6 miles from the mainland coast; 10 miles from Honeymoon Island. I get the same treatment here. Seabreeze builds above my head, and then rains on someone east. It can be very frustrating.

Hey JR, how far inland are you? I'm about a mile, so I usually get hosed with everything popping barely east of me. Hence Aug's #tollroad mention

JR is in Oldsmar. Current radar looks good for decent totals. Time will tell.

I have spent much more time here today than usual but hope everyone is enjoying their stay thus far. Us "old timers" like to friendly rib one another from time to time so if you see some "smack talk" it's all in good fun. Stick around long enough and you'll be included at some point. No egos here. Just a small group of folks who enjoy their weather and having fun.

Hey JR, how far inland are you? I'm about a mile, so I usually get hosed with everything popping barely east of me. Hence Aug's #tollroad mention

JR is in Oldsmar. Current radar looks good for decent totals. Time will tell.

I have spent much more time here today than usual but hope everyone is enjoying their stay thus far. Us "old timers" like to friendly rib one another from time to time so if you see some "smack talk" it's all in good fun. Stick around long enough and you'll be included at some point. No egos here. Just a small group of folks who enjoy their weather and having fun.

Its all good, Aug. You don't have to worry about me, except that I can dish it up as well.

Yup. JR is n Oldsmar, and LargoFL is in Largo, FL. I think I actually pinned my loc (at the park near my house) somewhere on this site. I think we'll also see St.Pete. Can you guess where he's from? We might even see inTampa. Hummm??

Just sprinkles here so far. Can't wait for that batch of yellow to get here. That will be a relief.

Hey JR, how far inland are you? I'm about a mile, so I usually get hosed with everything popping barely east of me. Hence Aug's #tollroad mention

JR is in Oldsmar. Current radar looks good for decent totals. Time will tell.

I have spent much more time here today than usual but hope everyone is enjoying their stay thus far. Us "old timers" like to friendly rib one another from time to time so if you see some "smack talk" it's all in good fun. Stick around long enough and you'll be included at some point. No egos here. Just a small group of folks who enjoy their weather and having fun.

Its all good, Aug. You don't have to worry about me, except that I can dish it up as well.

Yup. JR is n Oldsmar, and LargoFL is in Largo, FL. I think I actually pinned my loc (at the park near my house) somewhere on this site. I think we'll also see St.Pete. Can you guess where he's from? We might even see inTampa. Hummm??

Just sprinkles here so far. Can't wait for that batch of yellow to get here. That will be a relief.

Its breaking up a bit as it comes on-shore. Some might call this a light rain. Still sprinkling to me. Officially above a trace now. I'm not expecting too much too fast, so the longer this lasts, the better. Maybe that line coming thru around midnight (HRRR above) will provide a little punch overnight.

I think I'll be sleeping happy tonight. Nice light steady rain.How often do you get the chance to take a long walk in the rain, for the fun of it?I think I'm hearing a few boomers off Pinellas.0.4 so far, and its all soaking in.Good luck SWFL. I know you need it more than me.

* At 808 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 15 miles southwest of Gulf Gate Estates, or 18 miles southwest of Sarasota, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely.

Instructions: TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Target Area: Sarasota

Looks like round 1 is done for my area. I got an inch of rain. That's quite a line of rain tailing down pretty far south. This could be good for the entire peninsula. Fire season killer??? Praying for no serious damage.

Good Early Tuesday Morning folks..whew what a storm here last night,and right now..winds are howling outside,woke me up lol...well I'm about 3-4 miles from the coast here..and man did it POUR rain llast night here..I really needed that rain,just walked my dogs and a lot of tree debris down on the street but rain looks like its ended.now we get the cool down for most of the rest of this week...hope everyone made it thru this ok especially Sarasota area with that Tornado....have a great day everyone!

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

I wonder if that Tornado by Billsfan Knocked out Power for those folks there...besides the tornado there was a real Nasty looking solid line of storms sweeping across SE Florida early this morning.hope everyone is ok there.

yea I hear ya on the pollen,my black truck looks like a bumble bee. Its under a shed so the rain didn't wash it for me. We have a freeze watch for tonight,If it freezes I think it will be the last until next Fall.current conditionstemp:42.8Humidity: 98%Dew Point: 42Barometer: 30.07 Digital, 30.11 analogWind NNW at 8mph gusting to 12LCL : 1500ftvisibility 7 milesCloudy sky's