2013 Draft Prep: Top 50 Fantasy prospects

What would be the point? If you wanted to know which prospects were the best -- in terms of ceiling, projectability, etc. -- you wouldn't turn to some dopey Fantasy writer with exactly zero scouting experience.

But if you wanted to know which of those prospects were on the verge of making a worthwhile Fantasy contribution, then yeah, that dopey Fantasy writer might just have something to contribute on the matter.

Fantasy owners assess prospects differently from everyone else. They don't just care about the end result. They care about proximity. They care about opportunity. They care about the next big thing, not the next to the next to the next.

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Don't misunderstand: This list isn't all about 2013. Because most of our readers play in single-season leagues, it's mostly about 2013, but any discussion of prospects has keeper implications as well. And really, even owners in single-season leagues have some passing interest in what's down the pipeline.

In other words, some of the more distant prospects are represented here, just differently than you'd normally see them represented. If they're not expected to contribute in 2013, they drop a few spots. If they're not expected to contribute until, say, 2016, they drop more than a few spots -- potentially even off the list.

Fear not, Bubba Starling fans. The 20-year-old Royals outfielder will have his day. Just not today, because today, he's not one of the 50 prospects most worth knowing in Fantasy ... even if he's one of the 50 best.

Get it?

If marrying the long- and short-term philosophies is too much of a brain strain for you, then if nothing else, you can zero in on the short-term. Each prospect gets a 2013 Fantasy impact rating that corresponds to the scale on the right.

Fantasy impact scale

1.

No chance

2.

In case of disaster

3.

If he moves fast

4.

September call-up

5.

Second-half reinforcement

6.

Mid-season hopeful

7.

Sooner than later

8.

Fighting this spring

9.

Pencil him in

10.

Opening Day lock

Of course, you'll still want to weigh that rating against the player's ranking. An eight for Wil Myers should matter more to you on Draft Day than an eight for Darin Ruf. But I would think that's obvious.

1. Wil Myers, OF, RaysBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 22 (12/10/90)2012 Levels: Double-A, Triple-AMinor-league stats: .314 BA, 37 HR, 109 RBI, .987 OPS, 61 BBs, 140 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 8Myers didn't get his shot with the Royals, but his numbers suggest he'll be an instant success. The Rays talk like they want him in the minors to start out, but he'll be up as soon as they realize Luke Scott isn't going to cut it. So, like, in a week or two.

4. Travis d'Arnaud, C, MetsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 24 (2/10/89)2012 Levels: Triple-AMinor-league stats: .333 BA (279 at-bats), 16 HR, .975 OPS, 19 BBs, 59 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 8The Blue Jays wouldn't have traded d'Arnaud for less than a Cy Young winner. Had he not torn a knee ligament last June -- preventing his certain promotion -- they might not have traded him at all. He's as well-rounded of a hitter as you'll find at the catcher position, and only John Buck stands in his way.

5. Dylan Bundy, SP, OriolesBats: Both | Throws: RightAge: 20 (11/15/92)2012 Levels: Class A, Double-A, majorsMinor-league stats: 9-3, 2.08 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 119 Ks, 103 2/3 IPMajor-league stats: 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 0 Ks, 1 2/3 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 5Bundy proved in his first professional season that he's the game's best pitching prospect, but his late-season promotion was more about getting his feet wet than passing the torch. Still, the Orioles' patchwork rotation is sure to have an opening at some point this year.

6. Oscar Taveras, OF, CardinalsBats: Left | Throws: LeftAge: 20 (6/19/92)2012 Levels: Double-AMinor-league stats: .321 BA, 23 HR, 94 RBI, .953 OPS, 42 BBs, 56 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 6Taveras is one of those rare sluggers who have a knack for making consistent contact -- you know, like Albert Pujols. His successful transition to Double-A last year firmly implanted him in the best-prospect-in-the-game discussion, so you can bet he'll get the first crack when Carlos Beltran goes down.

7. Billy Hamilton, SS, RedsBats: Both | Throws: RightAge: 22 (9/9/90)2012 Levels: Class A, Double-AMinor-league stats: .311 BA, 155 SB, 37 CS, .830 OPS, 86 BBs, 113 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 6The Reds were prepared to install Hamilton, who is as much an on-base specialist as a record-setting speedster, as their center fielder and leadoff hitter before acquiring Shin-Soo Choo this offseason. Still, he'll claim the role at some point, whether because of an injury or a regression for Ryan Ludwick or Zack Cozart.

8. Mike Zunino, C, MarinersBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 22 (3/25/91)2012 Levels: Class A, Double-AMinor-league stats: .360 BA (161 at-bats), 13 HR, 1.137 OPS, 23 BBs, 33 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 6Rarely does a prospect advance to Double-A the same year he's drafted, but Zunino did. His dismantling of minor-league pitching must have played some role in the Mariners' decision to trade John Jaso this offseason. How long can they live with Jesus Montero's deficiencies behind the plate?

9. Gerrit Cole, SP, PiratesBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 22 (9/8/90)2012 Levels: Class A, Double-A, Triple-AMinor-league stats: 9-7, 2.80 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 136 Ks, 132 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 5The likelihood of Cole contributing for the Pirates this season hasn't gotten much pub, so perhaps a draft-and-stash in single-season leagues is overly optimistic. But the first overall pick in the 2011 draft has already reached Triple-A. If Pirates are even fringe contenders, he'll be up in the second half.

10. Zack Wheeler, SP, MetsBats: Left | Throws: RightAge: 22 (5/30/90)2012 Levels: Double-A, Triple-AMinor-league stats: 12-8, 3.26 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 148 Ks, 149 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 5After turning Matt Harvey loose on the majors in the second half last year, the Mets figure to do the same with Wheeler this year. And if pedigree has any say in the matter, it figures to yield even better results. Wheeler's ace potential makes him worth a draft-and-stash in NL-only leagues.

11. Miguel Sano, 3B, TwinsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 19 (5/11/93)2012 Levels: Class AMinor-league stats: .258 BA, 28 HR, 100 RBI, .893 OPS, 80 BBs, 144 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 3With each step Sano takes up the minor-league ladder, the Miguel Cabrera comparisons seem all the more valid. He's still a few a steps away, but you never know. Players with his kind of talent sometimes take two or three at a time.

15. Jedd Gyorko, 3B, PadresBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 24 (9/23/88)2012 Levels: Double-A, Triple-AMinor-league stats: .311 BA, 30 HR, 100 RBI, .921 OPS, 51 BBs, 95 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 8Gyorko is another tricky prospect to assess because of where he played his minor-league ball, but if he transitions to second base as expected, he doesn't need a .900 OPS to make a significant Fantasy impact. Here's betting he's better than Logan Forsythe, if nothing else.

16. Trevor Bauer, SP, IndiansBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 22 (1/17/91)2012 Levels: Double-A, Triple-A, majorsMinor-league stats: 12-2, 2.42 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 157 Ks, 130 1/3 IPMajor-league stats: 1-2, 6.06 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 17 Ks, 16 1/3 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 9Safe to say Bauer's stock is down now that the Diamondbacks have traded the chronic overthinker (and former third overall pick) for 50 cents on the dollar. But a 22-year-old with less than two years of professional experience is the furthest thing from a lost cause. If he wins a rotation spot, he'll matter in mixed leagues.

17. Jose Fernandez, SP, MarlinsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 20 (7/31/92)2012 Levels: Class AMinor-league stats: 14-1, 1.75 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 158 Ks, 134 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 3No prospect opened eyes quite like Fernandez did last year. His young age and limited experience make him a sure bet to return to the minors for more seasoning, but if he delivers more of the same, how will the Marlins resist bringing him up?

19. Christian Yelich, OF, MarlinsBats: Left | Throws: RightAge: 21 (12/5/91)2012 Levels: Rookie, Class AMinor-league stats: .329 BA, 12 HR, 20 SB, .918 OPS, 49 BBs, 85 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 4Yelich has the makings of a five-category player and has thoroughly dominated the lower levels of the minors. Normally, you'd think he'd still have a year or two to go, but the Marlins have so little talent remaining in the majors that a 2013 debut is hardly out of the question.

20. Taijuan Walker, SP, MarinersBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 20 (8/13/92)2012 Levels: Double-AMinor-league stats: 7-10, 4.69 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 118 Ks, 126 2/3 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 3If the Diamondbacks had been able to send Justin Upton to the Mariners for a package headed by Walker as planned, they would have "won" the deal, according to popular opinion. Because they had to settle for a package headed by Randall Delgado instead, they "lost" it. That pretty much says it all right there.

21. Jameson Taillon, SP, PiratesBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 21 (11/18/91)2012 Levels: Class A, Double-AMinor-league stats: 9-8, 3.55 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 116 Ks, 142 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 3Remember that guy who went off the board right after Bryce Harper in 2010? He's right here, and after a slow and steady climb up the minor-league ladder, he's knocking on the door at Double-A. Granted, Taillon is still second in line behind Gerrit Cole, but at least he's in line.

22. Bruce Rondon, RP, TigersBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 22 (12/9/90)2012 Levels: Class A, Double-A, Triple-AMinor-league stats: 29 saves, 1.53 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 66 Ks, 53 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 10As the projected closer in Detroit, Rondon is all but certain to get drafted in Fantasy. But because he's a closer, he's subject to all the pitfalls that go along with the role and, therefore, not an especially attractive keeper. But hey, he throws 100 miles per hour.

23. Dan Straily, SP, AthleticsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 24 (12/1/88)2012 Levels: Double-A, Triple-A, majorsMinor-league stats: 9-7, 2.78 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 190 Ks, 152 IPMajor-league stats: 2-1, 3.89 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 32 Ks, 39 1/3 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 9If nothing else, Straily will deliver some strikeouts as the A's fifth starter. His minor-league-leading 190 last year are what put him on the map as a prospect. Whether or not his stuff is good enough to deliver more than a league-average ERA and WHIP, however, remains to be seen.

25. Julio Teheran, SP, BravesBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 22 (1/27/91)2012 Levels: Triple-A, majorsMinor-league stats: 7-9, 5.08 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 97 Ks, 131 IPMajor-league stats: 0-0, 5.68 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 5 Ks, 6 1/3 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 10Arguably the game's best right-handed pitching prospect a year ago, Teheran bombed in his second year at Triple-A, but unbeknown to most, he had altered delivery. He switched back in the Dominican Winter League this offseason, and the results were so good that the Braves have already handed him the fifth starter job. An intriguing sleeper for sure.

26. Aaron Hicks, OF, TwinsBats: Both | Throws: RightAge: 23 (10/2/89)2012 Levels: Double-AMinor-league stats: .286 BA, 13 HR, 32 SB, 11 3Bs, .844 OPS, 79 BBs, 116 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 8Hicks was a top prospect, and then he wasn't, and now he is again after a breakout year at Double-A that has manager Ron Gardenhire angling to get him in the starting lineup. If he beats out Darin Mastroianni this spring, his outlook isn't so different from Adam Eaton's.

27. Danny Hultzen, SP, MarinersBats: Left | Throws: LeftAge: 23 (11/28/89)2012 Levels: Double-A, Triple-AMinor-league stats: 9-7, 3.05 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 136 Ks, 124 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 7Hultzen looked like a lock to finish his first professional season with the big club when he compiled a 1.19 ERA in 12 starts at Double-A, but he hit a wall at Triple-A. Once he proves his control issues were just a blip on the radar, the Mariners shouldn't have trouble finding a spot for him.

28. Kolten Wong, 2B, CardinalsBats: Left | Throws: RightAge: 22 (10/10/90)2012 Levels: Double-AMinor-league stats: .287 BA, 9 HR, 21 SB, .754 OPS, 44 BBs, 74 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 6The best pure second baseman in the minors plays for a team that's trying to get by with Daniel Descalso in the majors. So basically, they're on a collision course with the inevitable, provided Wong's high contact rate and gap power translate to Triple-A.

29. Nick Castellanos, 3B, TigersBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 21 (3/4/92)2012 Levels: Class A, Double-AMinor-league stats: .320 BA, 10 HR, .815 OPS, 36 BBs, 118 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 6The Tigers wanted to bring up Castellanos late last year, but he needed more time in right field. He would have had a shot at that job this spring if the Tigers hadn't signed Torii Hunter. Seeing as his batting average dropped from .405 at Class A to .264 at Double-A, a little seasoning couldn't hurt.

30. Mike Olt, 1B, RangersBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 24 (8/27/88)2012 Levels: Double-A, majorsMinor-league stats: .288 BA (354 at-bats), 28 HR, .398 OBP, .977 OPSMajor-league stats: .152 BA (33 at-bats), 0 HR, 5 BBs, 13 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 7Olt's biggest problem is the same as Jurickson Profar's: He has no place to play. His Josh Willingham-like power and patience would make the natural third baseman an attractive mixed-league option, but because he's no better than a platoon player for now, you can leave him for AL-only leagues.

31. Trevor Rosenthal, RP, CardinalsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 22 (5/29/90)2012 Levels: Double-A, Triple-A, majorsMinor-league stats: 8-6, 2.97 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 104 Ks, 109 IPMajor-league stats: 0-2, 2.78 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 25 Ks, 22 2/3 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 8As a reliever, Rosenthal throws 100 miles per hour and gets outs. That much is confirmed. But the Cardinals want a look at him as a starter as well. Shelby Miller has the inside track on the final rotation spot, but Rosenthal is probably next in line, even if he's working in short relief to begin the year.

33. Jorge Soler, OF, CubsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 21 (2/25/92)2012 Levels: Rookie, Class AMinor-league stats: .299 BA (134 at-bats), 5 HR, 12 SB, .832 OPS, 12 BBs, 19 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 4Because he played competitively in Cuba, Soler is more advanced than most players his age and looked it in his brief stint at Class A Peoria last year. He's already signed for the next eight years, so it's not like the Cubs have financial incentive to keep him down. But they'll make sure he's ready first.

34. Nolan Arenado, 3B, RockiesBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 21 (4/16/91)2012 Levels: Double-AMinor-league stats: .285 BA, 12 HR, 36 2Bs, .766 OPS, 39 BBs, 58 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 6At this time last year, most would have assumed Arenado would be the Rockies' starting third baseman by now, but when his power numbers dipped in his first year at Double-A, the Rockies decided to slow his ascent. Could he come up this year? Sure, but history suggests you should curb your anticipation.

35. Jonathan Singleton, 1B, AstrosBats: Left | Throws: LeftAge: 21 (9/18/91)2012 Levels: Double-AMinor-league stats: .284 BA, 21 HR, .893 OPS, 88 BBs, 131 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 5Singelton has already mastered Double-A, so despite his young age, the Astros planned to give him a shot at a roster spot this spring. But then he tested positive for marijuana, incurring a 50-game suspension. It'll delay his arrival for sure, but not a whole year. His high-OPS bat is exactly what the Astros lineup needs.

36. Alen Hanson, SS, PiratesBats: Both | Throws: RightAge: 20 (10/20/92)2012 Levels: Class AMinor-league stats: .309 BA, 16 HR, 35 SB, 33 2Bs, 13 3Bs, .909 OPSScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 2Shortstops aren't supposed to hit like Hanson did last year, and the ones that do certainly aren't supposed to sneak up on anyone. But that's exactly what he did at Class A West Virginia last year, emerging as a legitimate power-speed threat. So was it legit? Owners in long-term keeper leagues can't afford to wait for that answer.

37. Carlos Martinez, SP, CardinalsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 21 (9/21/91)2012 Levels: Class A, Double-AMinor-league stats: 6-5, 2.93 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 92 Ks, 104 1/3 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 4Yet another in the Cardinals' embarrassment of riches. If they didn't have so many other young pitchers raring to go, someone as talented and as far along as Martinez would be sure to crack the rotation at some point. As things stand now, though, he'll likely get no more than a token start or two down the stretch.

38. Archie Bradley, SP, DiamondbacksBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 20 (8/10/92)2012 Levels: Class AMinor-league stats: 12-6, 3.84 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 152 Ks, 136 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 2The Diamondbacks might not have been able to justify trading Trevor Bauer this offseason if they hadn't taken Bradley four picks after him in 2011. So far, Bradley's strengths (strikeouts) and weaknesses (walks) are the same as Bauer's, but because he came out of high school rather than college, his timetable has more wiggle room.

39. Anthony Rendon, 3B, NationalsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 22 (6/6/90)2012 Levels: Rookie, Class A, Double-AMinor-league stats: .233 BA (133 at-bats), 6 HR, .851 OPS, 23 BBs, 29 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 4If Rendon could stay on the field for 50 games, he'd probably be a special hitter, but injuries have undermined his potential so far. Because he's blocked by Ryan Zimmerman, he might be a lost cause for this year anyway, but rumors of him eventually moving off third base persist.

41. Matt Barnes, SP, Red SoxBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 22 (6/17/90)2012 Levels: Class AMinor-league stats: 7-5, 2.86 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 133 Ks, 119 2/3 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 5Because he debuted against inferior competition at lower Class A last year, Barnes' overall numbers might lead you to believe he's more overpowering than he is. But he's a hard-thrower with good control who, at age 22, could break through this year if a need develops in the Red Sox rotation.

42. Chris Archer, SP, RaysBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 24 (9/26/88)2012 Levels: Triple-A, majorsMinor-league stats: 7-9, 3.66 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 139 Ks, 128 IPMajor-league stats: 1-3, 4.60 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 36 Ks, 29 1/3 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 7Yeah, he walks a few too many, but Archer showed during his time in the majors last year that he's a bat-misser even against top competition. The Rays don't have room for him to begin the year, but he'll be up with the first Jeff Niemann injury.

43. Byron Buxton, OF, TwinsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 19 (12/18/93)2012 Levels: RookieMinor-league stats: .248 BA (165 at-bats), 5 HR, 11 SB, .448 SLG, .792 OPSScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 1Consider this a representative pick. Bubba Starling, Carlos Correa, Addison Russell or any in a long list of slow-developing, high-upside prospects could have gone in this spot. Buxton gets the nod because he's the one the scouts are highest on right now, but if you play in a dynasty league and can afford the wait, take your pick.

44. Wily Peralta, SP, BrewersBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 23 (5/8/89)2012 Levels: Triple-A, majorsMinor-league stats: 7-11, 4.66 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 143 Ks, 146 2/3 IPMajor-league stats: 2-1, 2.48 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 23 Ks, 29 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 9If you're still trying to figure out what made Peralta so much more effective in the majors than the minors last year, you're not alone, but because his pedigree better matches his major-league numbers, the Brewers are buying in, all but assuring him the final rotation spot over fellow rookies Mark Rogers and Tyler Thornburg.

45. Oswaldo Arcia, OF, TwinsBats: Left | Throws: RightAge: 21 (5/9/91)2012 Levels: Class A, Double-AMinor-league stats: .320 BA, 17 HR, 98 RBI, .928 OPS, 51 BBs, 107 KsScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 5Arcia is still a bit under the radar as prospects go, but when he continued to produce a .900 OPS even at Double-A last year, it opened some eyes. The Twins plan to have Chris Parmelee start in right field to open 2013. Here's betting he doesn't hold off Arcia all season.

46. Hyun-Jin Ryu, SP, DodgersBats: Left | Throws: LeftAge: 26 (3/25/87)2012 Levels: Did not play -- in KoreaScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 10Ryu will be the first player to go straight from the Korean Baseball Organization to the majors. His contract all but assures it. Because no one has done it before, though, no one knows what to expect. Overseas signings tend to be hit-or-miss anyway. If Ryu produces Wei-Yin Chen-like numbers, it's a victory.

47. Tony Cingrani, RP, RedsBats: Left | Throws: LeftAge: 23 (7/5/89)2012 Levels: Class A, Double-A, majorsMinor-league stats: 10-4, 1.73 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 172 Ks, 146 IPMajor-league stats: 0-0, 1.80 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 9 Ks, 5 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 6Though he was drafted as a reliever and debuted as a reliever, Cingrani's numbers as a starter last year say he deserves a chance in the role. He had a 1.11 ERA in the California League, for crying out loud. Maybe if Aroldis Chapman doesn't pan out in the rotation, Cingrani will get that chance.

48. Kyle Gibson, SP, TwinsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 25 (10/23/87)2012 Levels: Rookie, Class A, Triple-AMinor-league stats: 0-2, 4.13 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 33 Ks, 28 1/3 IPScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 8Gibson's return from Tommy John surgery late last year didn't get much attention in Fantasy. But for him, picking up where he left off means competing for a rotation spot this spring. And unlike most Twins pitching prospects, he actually has some strikeout potential.

49. Hiroyuki Nakajima, SS, AthleticsBats: Right | Throws: RightAge: 30 (7/31/82)2012 Levels: Did not play -- in JapanScott's 2013 Fantasy impact: 10The Athletics like Nakajima enough that they plan to start him at shortstop over Jed Lowrie, who they paid a steep price to get. But as a 30-year-old middle infielder coming over from Japan, his offensive viability is rightfully in question. If a 10-10 campaign is your cup of tea, have at him.

(8:07 pm ET)Indians starting pitcher Trevor Bauer had to overcome some command issues during his start against the Athletics on Sunday.

Bauer gave up four walks in the 6 2/3 innings he tossed. Despite giving up so many free bases, Bauer allowed just one earned run in the no-decision. He also struck out six batters, marking the fifth consecutive start he records at least five strikeouts.

Bauer (8-8) has a 3.98 ERA with 128 strikeouts and 52 walks in 131 innings this season.

(7:57 pm ET)Athletics starting pitcher Sonny Gray was solid during his start against the Indians on Sunday.

Gray allowed just one run on four hits over seven innings of work. If it wasn't for some command issues that contributed to four walks, Gray's outing would have been stellar. He struck out seven batters in the no-decision.