“12 Years a Slave” significantly underperformed based on our predictions. We had given it strong odds to be nominated in 13 categories, but it ended up with only nine, missing bids for Score, Cinematography, and Sound.

And “Captain Phillips” also finished below expectations. It’s nominated for six out of its expected nine categories, and those snubs include crucial categories Best Director (Paul Greengrass) and Best Actor (Tom Hanks).

“Gravity”: 10 nominations (Warner Bros. Pictures)
Best Picture
Best Director
Best Actress, Sandra Bullock
Best Production Design
Best Cinematography
Best Editing
Best Score
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Visual Effects