Steve, you DO understand how projections work don’t you? it’s the MEANES, it means that it’s the middle ground between “hurt for the whole season and or completely fall apart” to “career year” ususally a good player obviously have more room to fall then to go up. that’s pretty obvious.

Let’s take PECOTA for example. it predicted Wang to lead the team with 12 wins, if that’s taken litterally then the Yankees are fucked, but the truth is it predicted the Yankees to win the AL east.

it’s REALETIVE. you need to LOOK AT WHAT THE OVERALL CONTEXT IS. and not just throw it out like the actual season final line.