The second FO segment for the Sabermetrics Video Network looks at the teams we have projected higher than conventional wisdom this season. One thing that generally ties them together -- they have the NFC West on the schedule.

i think these videos are cool. having said that, i don't think saying 'the nfc west has been traditionally weak' is a very good argument for expecting it to be weak again. not saying it will change, but all four teams have reason for optimism and have turned over management fairly recently, so the people responsible for the division sucking from 2002-2008 are pretty irrelevant today

A quick look at the projected wins table in the video indicates that the NFC West will be weak again this year (for more than historic reasons). As Aaron mentions, this could be wrong. Of course, this is the time of year when fans of all 32 teams who are inclined to be optimistic have reasons for that optimism.

yes, but they project seven wins for the 49ers, based in part on their five-year history, and i respectfully disagree that mike singletary's inadequacy has anything to do with the 2012 team. (i also happen to think seattle is a dark horse contender that has been collecting talent for years, and their management seems to know what they're doing)

I like the video, but is the Bills projection really different from conventional wisdom? A lot of folks seem to have them as the up in coming team this year. I appreciate that FO gets there in a different way, but picking the Bills as a playoff contender and second best in the AFCE is pretty conventional.

So, is the typo that Tampa's wins should be higher than 7.1 or that they should be listed below Seattle and SF? Or are those two just docked for being in the NFC West, thus sliding them further down the table? :P

Shouldn't there be a disclaimer on these projections similar to what they have to put on stock fund advertisements; "Past performance does not guarantee future results"? *Especially* when you're working with only a 10-year baseline.