Nobody Believes in Us

byJohn Ewing

We have already given you college football trends for Week 1, taught you how to bet against the public and added more college football Pro Systems to the Think Tank. Still, we want to do more. That is why we are giving you three more plays based on a trend we are calling “Nobody Believes in Us.”

Trend

Take teams in Week 1 where the line has moved 3 to 7 points against them.

Context

Lines move for a variety of reasons (injuries, public perception, weather, etc.). Often the movement is justified; however, when the line moves too much there is value buying back against the movement.

Results

This system has been profitable in seven of the last eight years. Since 2005, “Nobody Believes in Us” has gone 77-57 (57.5% ATS), +14.77 units.