In brief

Nigeria's leadership will struggle to deal with a range of challenges to political and economic stability. Manoeuvering ahead of the 2019 elections will complicate the situation as politicians focus on shoring up support (and undermining opponents) rather than more prudent policy reforms. Economic growth will be constrained by the weak policy environment and dire infrastructure provision. The prospects for 2020-22 are slightly stronger, with elections out of the way and oil prices strengthening.