The US Dollar pulled back as expected against its Canadian counterpart having secured a projected upside breakout out of a bullish Triangle chart pattern. Prices are now testing resistance at 1.1241, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 61.8% level at 1.1319. Near-term support is in the 1.1133-63 area, marked by the 38.2% Fib and the Triangle top.

Risk/reward parameters have improved but a long entry window is yet to open. Assuming an initial upside target at 1.1241 and keeping in mind a 20-day ATR reading at 74, the trade needs to be triggered no higher than 1.1167. We will look for signs suggesting prices are holding at near-term support to identify such an opportunity.

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