Oddsmakers Have Chosen Their Heisman Winner

Oddsmakers Have Chosen Their Heisman Winner

There’s seemingly no more room for debate in the Heisman Trophy race…at least in the eyes of oddsmakers.

Following back-to-back wins over Oklahoma State and TCU, Baker Mayfield has taken control of the race, coming in at -1500 this week at BetOnline. In terms of implied probability, that gives him a 93.75% chance of winning the award.

Mayfield was the favorite last week as well, but at -175 there was still some room to at least make an argument against him. Doesn’t look that way anymore.

Player

School

Position

Nov 14
(BetOnline)

Nov 7
(BetOnline)

Nov 1
(BetOnline)

Oct 24
(BetOnline)

Oct 16
(BetOnline)

Oct 9
(BetOnline)

Oct 3
(BetOnline)

Sep 25 9:00 PM EST
(BetOnline)

Sep 25 4:00 PM EST
(BetOnline)

Sep 18
(BetOnline)

Sep 11
(BetOnline)

Sep 6
(BetOnline)

Sep 6
(5Dimes)

Aug 21
(Bovada)

Aug 21
(5Dimes)

July 18
(5Dimes)

June 24
(5Dimes)

Feb 6
(Will Hill)

Jan 24
(Bovada)

Baker Mayfield

Oklahoma

QB

-1500

-175

+1000

+700

+275

+275

+225

+275

+300

+350

+400

+600

+800

+800

+850

+850

+700

+700

+600

Bryce Love

Stanford

RB

+1000

+1200

+450

+200

+275

+800

+1400

+3300

+3300

+5000

N/A

N/A

+6500

N/A

+17500

+17500

+15000

N/A

N/A

Saquon Barkley

Penn State

RB

+1200

+200

-160

-140

+100

+100

+125

+250

+500

+800

+700

+1000

+1000

+700

+1500

+1500

+1500

+1500

+1000

JT Barrett

Ohio State

QB

+2500

+2500

+400

+800

+1600

+10000

+2500

+1400

+1400

+2000

+2500

+800

+1500

+800

+1250

+1250

+1050

+1000

+700

Jonathan Taylor

Wisconsin

RB

+2500

N/A

+3300

+2500

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Khalil Tate

Arizona

QB

+3300

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Josh Adams

Notre Dame

RB

+5000

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Mason Rudolph

Oklahoma State

QB

+10000

+3300

+3300

+2000

+500

+600

+800

+600

+600

+700

+1400

+1400

+1600

+2500

+3600

+3600

+3600

+1500

+1200

Lamar Jackson

Louisville

QB

+10000

+5000

+5000

+10000

+3300

+2000

+1000

+700

+600

+450

+350

+400

+600

+800

+950

+950

+925

+700

+700

Sam Darnold

USC

QB

+10000

N/A

+8000

+5000

+2500

+2500

+2000

+1000

+800

+500

+450

+700

+600

+400

+525

+525

+500

+700

+700

James Washington

Oklahoma State

WR

N/A

N/A

+5000

+5000

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+6000

N/A

+15000

+15000

+12500

+6000

N/A

Nick Chubb

Georgia

RB

N/A

N/A

+8000

+3300

+2500

+2500

+3300

+3300

+3300

+4000

+5000

+3300

+3500

+2500

+4300

+4300

+4000

+3000

+2500

Trace McSorley

Penn State

QB

N/A

N/A

+8000

+5000

+2500

+2500

+3300

+2000

+2000

+1600

+2000

+1600

+2000

+3300

+3500

+3500

+3300

+2000

+1000

Quinton Flowers

South Florida

QB

N/A

N/A

+12500

+2500

+2500

+3300

+3300

+3300

+3300

+2500

+2500

+2500

+4000

N/A

+4500

+4500

+7500

+4000

N/A

Kenny Hill

TCU

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

+3300

+5000

+10000

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+15000

N/A

+20000

+20000

+20000

+10000

N/A

Malik Rosier

Miami FL

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+6600

+10000

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Jalen Hurts

Alabama

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+10000

+10000

+2500

+2500

+2500

+2000

+1200

+1400

+2500

+1600

+2200

+2200

+1500

+1500

+1200

Jake Browning

Washington

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

+10000

+5000

+2500

+3300

+3300

+3300

+2000

+2500

+2000

+3000

+1800

+2200

+2200

+1700

+1200

+1000

Luke Falk

Washington State

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

+10000

+5000

+1000

+2000

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+2000

+2500

+3300

+4900

+4900

+4700

+3000

+3500

Minkah Fitzpatrick

Alabama

S

N/A

N/A

N/A

+10000

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+25000

+25000

+20000

N/A

N/A

Josh Rosen

UCLA

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+5000

+2000

+2000

+1400

+1200

+1200

+2250

+2500

+3500

+3500

+3300

+2000

+1200

Royce Freeman

Oregon

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+10000

+3300

+2000

+2000

+2500

+3300

+3000

+4000

N/A

+11500

+11500

+10000

+5000

N/A

Rashaad Penny

San Diego State

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+10000

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Damien Harris

Alabama

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+5000

+10000

+6600

+4000

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Derrius Guice

LSU

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+5000

+3300

+1400

+1400

+1600

+1200

+1500

+1500

+1500

+2000

+1500

Nick Fitzgerald

Mississippi State

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+5000

+3300

+5000

+5000

+5500

+3300

+10000

+10000

+10000

+4000

+2200

JK Dobbins

Ohio St

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+5000

+5000

+6600

+3300

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Jarrett Stidham

Auburn

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+6600

+6600

+8000

+10000

+5000

N/A

+2000

+2000

+2000

+2500

+4000

N/A

Calvin Ridley

Alabama

WR

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+10000

+10000

+8000

+10000

+6600

+10000

N/A

+20000

+20000

+20000

+10000

N/A

Justin Herbert

Oregon

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+10000

+5000

+15000

N/A

+12500

+12500

+15000

+10000

N/A

Ty Johnson

Maryland

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+3300

+2500

+3300

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Kamryn Pettway

Auburn

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+4000

+5000

+5000

+5000

+3300

+4700

+4700

+4500

+3000

+2500

Ed Oliver

Houston

DT

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+5000

+6600

+6500

N/A

+25000

+25000

+17500

+7500

N/A

Brandon Wimbush

Notre Dame

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+8000

+10000

+6600

+4500

N/A

+12500

+12500

+12500

+7500

N/A

Nyqwan Murray

Florida State

WR

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+17500

+17500

+15000

N/A

N/A

Will Grier

West Virginia

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+8000

N/A

+6000

+6600

+3500

N/A

N/A

Justin Jackson

Northwestern

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+12500

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Kyle Allen

Houston

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+9000

N/A

+14000

+14000

+12500

+7500

N/A

Antonio Callaway

Florida

WR

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+6000

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Malik Zaire

Florida

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+15000

+15000

+12500

N/A

N/A

Hunter Johnson

Clemson

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+15000

+15000

+15000

N/A

N/A

Mike Weber

Ohio State

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+1000

N/A

+7500

+7500

+6600

+5000

N/A

Brett Rypien

Boise State

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+16000

+16000

+15000

+10000

N/A

Deon Cain

Clemson

WR

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+17500

+17500

+15000

N/A

N/A

Bo Scarbrough

Alabama

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+3300

+2000

+1400

+2200

+2200

+2000

+2000

+1500

Wilton Speight

Michigan

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+8000

N/A

+17500

+17500

+15000

+7500

N/A

Tanner Mangum

BYU

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+17500

+17500

+15000

N/A

N/A

Mike White

Western Kentucky

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+20000

+20000

+15000

N/A

N/A

Shea Patterson

Mississippi

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+15000

N/A

+15000

+20000

+15000

+10000

N/A

Christian Kirk

Texas A&M

WR

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+10000

N/A

+15000

+15000

+15000

+7500

N/A

Myles Gaskin

Washington

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+8000

N/A

+10000

+10000

+8000

+7500

N/A

Derwin James

Florida State

S

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+10000

+2000

+10000

+10000

+12500

+7500

N/A

Deondre Francois

Florida State

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+1800

+2200

+2200

+2200

+1200

+1200

Arden Key

LSU

DE

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+10000

N/A

+25000

+25000

N/A

+10000

N/A

Rashan Gary

Michigan

DL

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+25000

+25000

+20000

N/A

N/A

Courtland Sutton

SMU

WR

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+25000

+25000

+20000

N/A

N/A

Chris James

Wisconsin

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+25000

+25000

+20000

N/A

N/A

Mark Walton

Miami FL

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+20000

+20000

+20000

N/A

N/A

Malik Jefferson

Texas

LB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+25000

+25000

+20000

N/A

N/A

Ronald Jones

USC

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+25000

+25000

+20000

N/A

N/A

LJ Scott

Michigan State

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+25000

+25000

+20000

N/A

N/A

Josh Allen

Wyoming

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5500

N/A

+10000

+10000

+10000

N/A

N/A

Nick Shimoek

Texas Tech

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+25000

+25000

+20000

N/A

N/A

Dexter Lawrence

Clemson

DT

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+10000

N/A

+20000

+20000

N/A

+10000

N/A

Sewo Olonilua

TCU

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+20000

+20000

+17500

N/A

N/A

Kerryon Johnson

Auburn

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+20000

+20000

+17500

N/A

N/A

Eric Dungey

Syracuse

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+20000

+20000

+15000

N/A

N/A

Jacob Eason

Georgia

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+8500

N/A

+10000

+10000

+10000

+6000

N/A

Shane Buechele

Texas

QB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+5000

+5500

+5500

+5500

+4000

+3500

Cam Akers

Florida State

RB

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

+5000

+17500

+25000

+20000

N/A

N/A

Saquon Barkley’s chances took a steep hit this week, as his odds fell from +200 to +1200. Despite scoring two touchdowns, he only mustered 55 combined rushing and receiving yards against a pretty weak Rutgers team, marking the third straight game that he’s failed to eclipse 100.

Of course the main factor to Barkley’s drop was Mayfield, who threw for 333 yards and 3 touchdowns against TCU, adding another 50 yards on the ground. His performances these past two weeks have (likely) thrust the Sooners into the playoff, and have given Oklahoma the second best chance to win the national title.

It’s exactly for that reason that I see some value on J.T. Barrett this week at +2500. With Georgia losing this past weekend, a door cracked open for Ohio State to sneak into the playoffs. Assuming the Buckeyes take care of business against Illinois this week, Barrett will get to face back-to-back difficult conference opponents in Michigan and Wisconsin (the likely Big Ten Championship matchup) with a chance to send his team to the playoff. It’s a situation almost identical to where Mayfield found himself two weeks ago. If Barrett can do what Mayfield just did, why shouldn’t he re-enter the conversation?

Add in the possibility that Mayfield loses a game down the stretch, whether it be West Virginia or the Big 12 Championship, and I’ll take my chances on that +2500.