I think Clinton will win by about six points on Tuesday and that will be the end of all of this. A loss in New York bodes poorly for Bernie's chances in states with even worse demographics, such as Connecticut and Maryland. Plus, New York is a golden opportunity for him to really cut into her delegate lead.

Sanders hasn't stood a real chance since Ohio/Florida, but to think New York is his ticket, win-or-go-home state... nah. He just needs to not get blown out 60-40. I'd say if he manages a margin under 10 points, he's happy.

Yeah, it's a big numbers game. Unless all the polls are wrong (which wouldn't be an absolute shocker) Clinton will win NY and that's where it starts to get close to it being mathematically impossible for Bernie to win. Hopefully when it gets to that point, he does the right thing and bows out instead of threatening a contested convention.

I think Clinton will win by about six points on Tuesday and that will be the end of all of this. A loss in New York bodes poorly for Bernie's chances in states with even worse demographics, such as Connecticut and Maryland. Plus, New York is a golden opportunity for him to really cut into her delegate lead.

That's almost my exact projection as well. the polls have her up around an average of twelve. I automatically cut 5% off the top since he seems to over perform by election day. My guess is a 7 point HRC win.

I do think if it's under 10, that He will keep on pushing the narrative that he can win. And as much as it will annoy me, I understand he wants to go til June which is his prerogative.

Yeah, it's a big numbers game. Unless all the polls are wrong (which wouldn't be an absolute shocker) Clinton will win NY and that's where it starts to get close to it being mathematically impossible for Bernie to win. Hopefully when it gets to that point, he does the right thing and bows out instead of threatening a contested convention.

Well they're frequently wrong in magnitude, but not necessarily wrong in choosing a winner. I'd venture to say that's because if the undecided or no answer pollers.

The only way Sanders contests at the convention is with a pledged delegate lead but Clinton with over 50% of the delegates (and I think we can all agree that he'd have a valid point). It's not going to happen though. She's got it on lock. He's just buying time.

Honestly, the longer he stays in this race, the better it is for her and her relevance. Though, I would say recently it's starting to get damaging. Then again, the other side is as well.

Yeah, it's a big numbers game. Unless all the polls are wrong (which wouldn't be an absolute shocker) Clinton will win NY and that's where it starts to get close to it being mathematically impossible for Bernie to win. Hopefully when it gets to that point, he does the right thing and bows out instead of threatening a contested convention.

I think the biggest part of the numbers game with NY in particular, is the amount of delegates it removes from the equation. Even if Bernie loses by 1 point. HRC gets like 10 more delegates from him. But it takes away, the second largest delegate prize going forward.

I would say that we are looking at a definite Maryland win for HRC, probably a close win in PA, maybe a 5 to 8 point win in Jersey and Deleware. Bernie probably nabs Connecticut and Rhode Island.
If it all falls that way. Not even a California blowout by Bernie would be enough.

Also interesting to see Trump coming out with Hillary attacks. The best part, he's calling her "Crooked Hillary" LOL.
If that's the kind of stinging attack that he has in store. She's breathing a sigh of relief.
Truly, i can't think of a thing that they can hit her with that hasn't been said a million times, and has lost any of it's punch.

Location: If the moonlight caught you crying on Killiney Bay oh sing your song let your song be sung

Posts: 4,992

Local Time: 01:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hewson

Are candidates allowed to take donations from non US citizens?

They use these fundraisers to raise funds obviously, mostly because ( I think) the rules for individual donations are different as to the monetary limit you can donate. What is the point to having limits if they just create these bogus "fundraisers" so the filthy rich can donate at the maximum by purchasing tickets at these ungodly sums? It's so ridiculous the way they work around these laws, typical politicians.

I could have sworn I read somewhere that Edge donated to Hillary's campaign fund some time ago, not this election cycle. Maybe it was in 2008 for the nomination back then? Doesn't matter, I was just curious with all this talk about Clooney's fundraiser and since Edge lives out there in LA it seemed like a logical assumption he would donate/attend plus he's definitely in the 1% crowd! Whatever... I was just wondering.

He's also married to an American. I wonder if he has dual citizenship?

Ireland is really good about dual citizenship for Americans (I am a dual citizen of Ireland). However, the opposite is not the same. You can't be a dual citizen in the United States unless you're born into it. So, he'd have to renounce his Irish citizenship to get US citizenship. Something he most likely did not do.