Climate Change Models Got It Wrong, Say Researchers

Environment: The global warming models, as we have said repeatedly, are hopelessly flawed. Earth is not going to heat up as they have projected. Scientific research out of Norway confirms this.

The United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, maybe the most hysterical organization ever established, has predicted temperatures to rise by 3 degrees Celsius by 2050 if by then, carbon dioxide levels double from their preindustrialized levels of 1750. Such a projection has prompted much hair-pulling and routine public hand-wringing.

But never mind.

The Research Council of Norway plugged in real temperature data from 2000 to 2010 and from its calculations, determined that an increase in temperature due to a doubling of CO2 would be 1.9 degrees Celsius.

That number, of course, is really no more than a midpoint. The researchers say the increase could actually be as high as 2.9 degrees or as little as 1.2.

But even the 2.9-degree increase "is substantially lower than many previous calculations have estimated," the council noted.

"Thus, when the researchers factor in the observations of temperature trends from 2000 to 2010, they significantly reduce the probability of our experiencing the most dramatic climate change forecast up to now."

Project manager Terje Berntsen said the climate's sensitivity to CO2 was likely overestimated due to the inclusion of the 1990s' high temperatures in projections.

Don't assume, though, that the hot '90s were caused by man-made global warming.

Berntsen said, "We are most likely witnessing natural fluctuations in the climate system — changes that can occur over several decades — and which are coming on top of a long-term warming. The natural changes resulted in a rapid global temperature rise in the 1990s, whereas the natural variations between 2000 and 2010 may have resulted in the leveling off we are observing now."

Despite the council's findings, it still supports "implementing substantial climate measures within the next few years."

To do so, though, would be a huge waste of resources.

Predictions of doom have turned out to be nothing more than madness and there is no reason, none, to think that the fate we have allegedly determined for ourselves will ever happen. As we've learned over the last 20 years, there are too many unknowns, too many variables. If there come adverse effects of climate, humanity will adapt as needed, as it has for many millennia.

And nothing ever proposed would have any impact anyway. China and India, growing economies that are going through the "dirty" period that all economies must endure before they mature and get cleaner, are always exempted from the regulations.

(Which should be a clear tipoff that the global warming panic is not about saving the planet, but is instead an effort to punish developed nations in the West that the political left believes are too rich relative to the rest of the world, and to increase the ruling class' power.)

The flawed models have, of course, given rise to a generation of frightmongers. How many times have we heard that we have only a few years or even months to do something about global warming just to have those deadlines come and go without disaster following?

Almost four years ago, Prince Charles, speaking from Brazil, claimed that we had "less than 100 months" to save the planet. He told a group of business leaders that we are "at a defining moment in the world's history."

Charles' comments came not quite a year after NASA scientist and political activist James Hansen told Congress, on the 20-year anniversary of his first apocalyptic warning before that body, that "this is the last chance" for man to act.

"We're toast," he said, "if we don't get on a very different path."

And of course there was Al Gore's science fiction movie of 2006, "An Inconvenient Truth," which spilled over with exaggerations. As well there is his 2006 statement in which he said that "within as little as 10 years" it could be "impossible for us to avoid irretrievable damage to the planet's habitability for human civilization."

Despite the warnings, our eyes tell us that life on Earth is much as it was before the CO2 alarms were sounded.

Our models say that in 10, 20, even 50 years, the world, if left alone, will still be about the same as it is today.

Notice: Information contained herein is not and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy or sell securities. The information has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable; however no guarantee is made or implied with respect to its accuracy, timeliness, or completeness. Authors may own the stocks they discuss. The information and content are subject to change without notice.