Vermont allows early voting, and among those who have already cast their ballots, Shumlin leads Dubie 56% to 38%.

Just days after Shumlin won an extremely close Democratic primary in September, he took a modest 49% to 46% edge over Dubie. Prior to that time, Shumlin was one of the weaker Democratic candidates matched against Dubie, trailing by double-digits in surveys in June and March.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Vermont was conducted on October 28, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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