The
following
results
are based on 600 completed
interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in New
Hampshire
(215 Republicans, 181 Democrats, and 204
undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted October 27 through 29, 2014.

The
theoretical
margin of error
for the sample of 600 likely voters is plus or minus 4 percentage points,
95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

If the 2014 election for US Senate were
being held today between Scott Brown, the Republican, and Jeanne
Shaheen, the Democrat, for
whom would you vote - Brown or Shaheen? (names rotated)

2014 US Senate

Brown

Shaheen

Undecided

Likely voters

49%

49%

2%

Republicans (36%)

87%

11%

2%

Democrats (30%)

4%

91%

5%

Undeclared (34%)

47%

51%

2%

Male (49%)

54%

43%

3%

Female
(51%)

43%

54%

3%

18-44 (38%)

50%

49%

1%

45 and older (62%)

48%

48%

4%

Landline (72%)

49%

48%

3%

Other (28%)

47%

50%

3%

All voters:

October 22, 2014

48%

49%

3%

September 29, 2014

43%

53%

4%

September 2014

45%

47%

8%

June 2014

38%

50%

12%

March 2014

38%

50%

12%

December 2013

38%

48%

14%

When likely voters were asked to predict the
eventual winner in the race, 41% say Brown, 53% say Shaheen,
and 6% are undecided.

Among the 49% saying they would vote for Brown,
79% say Brown will be the eventual winner, 13% say Shaheen,
and 8% are undecided.

Among the 49% saying they would vote for Shaheen,
4% say Brown will be the eventual winner, 94% say Shaheen,
and 2% are undecided.