Who's Winning?

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Our "Prediction Wizard" will calculate, based on the current available betting odds, the implicit winning percentages for the possible outcomes in a match. This will be updated as soon as we fetch the odds from the betting sites and keep updating until the match is finished.

About the Match

Two teams in the top half of the BBL League table will clash with each other as the Melbourne Renegades get ready to host Sydney Thunder. The Melbourne Renegades move to second place in the BBL standings and are in very good form. Sydney Thunder is in fifth place right now and needs to win to keep the pressure on the teams above them.

We think it’s fair to say that both these sides are good sides with some obvious flaws in them which make them very beatable. This is why consistency can be a little hard to get with both the Melbourne Renegades and Sydney Thunder.

Which team will be able to take one step further towards locking up a playoff spot? Let’s find out.

Match Preview

Melbourne Renegades

The Melbourne Renegades will go back to their home ground in excellent spirits. They registered a massive defeat over the Perth Scorchers in their last match and seem to be getting stronger with every passing match.

The reason for Melbourne Renegades success in its last match was down to the excellent bowling performance from all of its bowlers. Chris Tremain set the tone with early wickets and then none of the bowlers let up the pressure.

Kane Richardson gave away just 6 runs in his three overs, Dan Christian picked up four wickets in his three overs, and Cameron Boyce got into the act with two wickets as well. Harry Gurney and Mohammad Nabi may have gone wicketless in their previous match but they are both international bowlers of repute that are going to play a massive role moving forward.

The Melbourne Renegades will know that Sydney Thunder’s batting lineup is a little susceptible. Early wickets against them could help the Renegades gain a decisive upper hand.

Run scoring has been a little tougher than usual at the Docklands stadium and so the Melbourne Renegades batsmen will need to step up as well. Aaron Finch got out cheaply and Cameron White picked up an injury in the previous game. Cameos from Sam Harper, Mackenzie Harvey, and Tom Cooper saw the Renegades reach a par total against the Perth Scorchers.

Cameron White is likely to miss out the next few games for the Melbourne Renegades and so a change will be necessary. Making the most of the new ball is going to be important in this next match and so Aaron Finch becomes very important. If he and Harvey can get their Melbourne Renegades off to a good start, a lot of the work towards winning the match would have been done.

Melbourne Renegades Starting Lineup

Sydney Thunder

Sydney Thunder won its last match against the Perth Scorchers while chasing a pretty steep target. 182 is not easy to get against the Perth Scorchers bowling lineup especially when Shane Watson gets out cheaply.

Calum Ferguson, though, played his greatest ever BBL inning and scored 113 runs from just 53 deliveries. That inning also included 8 sixes as he just took the game away from the Scorchers single-handedly.

Sydney Thunder made an interesting batting change in the last game. They demoted Anton Devcich to the middle order and gave Matthew Gilkes the opportunity to play in his first BBL match. Gilkes responded with 51 runs and was an integral part of the chase. We don’t think he is going to be shifted out of that opening position anytime soon.

That inning from Callum Ferguson, though, masked a few weaknesses in the Sydney Thunder side. With an out form Devcich, Daniel Sams, Jason Sangha, and Chris Green making up the middle-order, it is very much down to the top-order batsmen to score the bulk of the runs.

Not only is the middle-order of Sydney Thunder unpredictable, but it is also short on hitting power.

We believe that Sydney Thunder has a decent bowling attack. Chris Jordan, Gurinder Sandhu, Daniel Sams, Fawad Ahmed, Chris Green are all experienced bowlers in the Big Bash League and should fancy themselves to exploit the weaknesses in the Melbourne Renegades lineup.

The spinners are going to be vitally important in this contest because the Melbourne Renegades batsmen have shown themselves to be susceptible to the slower bowlers in the past. Fawad Ahmed with his floaty leg-spin could end up picking up a lot of wickets or going for a lot of runs.

Sydney Thunder Starting Lineup

Toss Prediction

The side winning the toss is likely to want to field first

Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.

Pitch and Conditions

The BBL 08 match between the Melbourne Renegades and Sydney Thunder is going to be played at the Docklands Stadium, Melbourne. The weather is expected to be sunny and dry for this match. The pitch at the Docklands Stadium has been a bit difficult to score on. There is some help in it for the spinners and the ball tends to stop a bit on the batsmen.

A score of around 150 should be considered par and the spinners might be the bowlers to back in this game.

Match Prediction

We believe that the Melbourne Renegades are the better side in this contest. They have won three out of their last four matches and are in good form as well. Sydney Thunder’s dependence on its top-order to get the runs always makes it susceptible, particularly against a good bowling attack like the Melbourne Renegades.

We think the Melbourne Renegades should be able to win their second match against Sydney Thunder this season.

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