China’s Beijing Capital Airport is forecasting an average daily passenger throughput of 208,000, an increase of 9.6% year-on-year for a total of 8.3 million passengers during the 40-day Spring Festival holiday (Carnoc.com, 18-Jan-2011). The airport is also forecasting an average daily aircraft movement of 1451, up 5.5% for a total aircraft movement of 58,000 during the peak travel period.

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To Shenzhen, or not to Shenzhen? That is a question facing China Southern Airlines as it prepares its long term hub strategy: whether the Guangzhou-based airline should continue growing in the nearby city of Shenzhen, or should concentrate its southern hub exclusively in Guangzhou.

In the upcoming peak season Guangzhou will account for 85% of China Southern's long haul departures. That includes, for the first time, 20 intercontinental Guangzhou departures in a single day. Shenzhen is part of China Southern's catchment area, but Shenzhen Airlines and its majority owner Air China plan to expand in Shenzhen, and competition continues in nearby Hong Kong.

As China Southern weighs its Shenzhen presence, and awaits regulatory clarity on where it can grow at the new Beijing Daxing airport from 2019, the airline intends to take 20 787-9s in the compact period of 2018-2020. China Southern operates 10 -8s, while its sister company Xiamen Airlines is due to receive its first -9 in Dec-2016. China Southern's 787-9 order puts long haul aircraft back on order at Asia's largest airline. A later aircraft order will provide China Southern with post-2020 growth capacity.

Garuda Indonesia is planning further international expansion in 4Q2016 and 2017, despite a recent lacklustre performance in the international market. Garuda is adding capacity to China in 4Q2016 and aiming to launch services to the US in 2017.

Garuda’s international load factor was only 70% through the first eight months of 2016 as the airline struggled to fill additional seats generated by an 18% increase in ASKs. International yields have also declined as Garuda swung back into the red in 1H2016.

The long haul network has particularly struggled, driving the drop in profitability. However Garuda is keen to continue strategic expansion.