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I wrote one of these a while back but the nominations have been announced, the Golden Globes have happened, and some stuff has changed. I’m going to go through pretty much every single category at this year’s awards; who should win and who will win. I will list the odds in the should win/will win bit at the start of each category – which are accurate at the time of posting. But you want to find the best odds for each category, go to Oddschecker. I’m not going to list all the films/actors nominated either because the Academy just dishes out nominations for the hell of it, except to black people obviously. Bunch of racist old bastards. Right, less do dis.

BEST PICTURE

Should Win: The Revenant (2.88)

Will Win: Spotlight (1.86)

This category became a lot more interesting when The Revenant picked up the top award at the Globes. I did predict success for Spotlight at the Globes, but what I may have done is mixed up my awards shows. The Globes are the fun brother of the Oscars, and they went with the more left-field choice with Inarritu’s epic. Spotlight is this year’s Argo. An ensemble film with serious-faced actors fighting for a noble cause. The Academy loves this shit and I think they will reward it here. Two of the films in this year’s list of best picture nominations are already in my top 10 favourite films of all time. The Revenant and Mad Max: Fury Road are two absolutely fucking baller films. The Martian is also a quality picture, but a comedy it ain’t.

BEST DIRECTOR

Should Win: George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road (5.5)

Will Win: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu – The Revenant (1.72)

Yes, The Revenant is the best film at this year’s awards, but what George Miller has done in restoring a franchise no one thought they’d see again is unbelievable. Inarritu’s team is astounding and he leans heavily on his cinematographer Emmanuel Lubezki to achieve maximum impact with his films (we’ll talk more about him later), but Miller is the undoubted leader of the Mad Max project. Getting all those vehicles in the same place doing what he wants, co-ordinating the best stunts we’ve seen in a film ever, while also getting great performances from his actors was a remarkable achievement. However, the Academy will give it to Inarritu for the 2nd year in a row. Back-to-back in this category has only been done by Joseph L. Mankiewicz and John Ford – back in the 1940s and ’50s. So this would be huge if it happens this year, and it will.

Tom Hardy and George Miller review footage on the set of Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST ACTOR

Should Win: Matt Damon – The Martian (67.0)

Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant (1.08)

I’ve talked about it enough and had been recommending Leo at 3.2 a few months back when Fassbender was favourite for playing Steve Jobs for some bizarre reason in some TV-quality biopic. However, The Revenant is not about good acting and that’s why I love it. Matt Damon’s performance was better than Leo’s. It’s a shit year in general for leading actors. Leo wins. Bet it if you want but it’s not really worth it anymore. I guess it’s better than bank interest though.

BEST ACTRESS

Should Win: Brie Larson – Room (1.29)

Will Win: Brie Larson – Room (1.29)

Great performance by Larson in this. This film is as good as TV movies can get. This film won’t be remembered in 5-10 years. It’ll be a quiz question. I saw some of the films the other nominees are in too, average enough offering. It hasn’t been a great year for acting.

Brie Larson looks at her son played by Jacob Tremblay in Lenny Abrahamson’s Room

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Should Win: Sly – Creed (1.61)

Will Win: Sly – Creed (1.61)

Rylance’s odds worry me a little because the Academy might try to give Spielberg’s film something. However, actors vote on this award and they love Sly. Rocky is one of the greatest films ever and Stallone’s performance here brings it all back home. Creed is extremely emotional if you grew up watching those films. This is a great film and Stallone gives probably his best ever performance. Back this all the way. However, I think Walton Goggins gave the year’s best supporting actor performance in The Hateful Eight, and he wasn’t even nominated!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Should Win: Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight (18.0)

Will Win: Rooney Mara – Carol (1.61)

Jennifer Jason Leigh knocks it out of the park in Tarantino’s classic. Without her charisma in that role, that film dies. Rooney Mara wins this award for some reason, don’t know what that reason is though. She just looks around the place in Carol.

This is why Inarritu is getting such success lately. Film is principally about moving the camera and this guy moves it like a baller. He is the best in the business, probably the best ever. Should win. Will win. 3rd year in a row too! That ain’t never been done!

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Should Win: Ennio Morricone – The Hateful Eight (1.44)

Will Win: Ennio Morricone – The Hateful Eight (1.44)

Oh you best believe he’s back. This is Morricone’s first Western score in something like 40 years and it is a belter. When that song comes on at the start of Tarantino’s film, it gives the picture a haunting and morbid progress that stays throughout. John Williams did a Star Wars score too but Tarantino has been screwed by Disney enough for one year. This is a lock.

Right, that’s all the categories I care to write in depth on. To round this out I’ll just list the award, what will win, and the odds. This will make 22 picks for the Oscars in total. You’re bloody welcome.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Big Short (1.66)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Inside Out (1.1)

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

Sanjay’s Super Team (1.85)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Amy (1.2)

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Body Team 12 (1.6)

BEST FILM EDITING

Mad Max: Fury Road (1.6)

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Son of Saul (1.12)

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

Ave Maria (1.55)

BEST MAKEUP

Mad Max: Fury Road (1.33)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Spotlight (1.25)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Mad Max: Fury Road (1.25)

BEST SOUND EDITING

Mad Max: Fury Road (1.5)

BEST SOUND MIXING

Mad Max: Fury Road (1.65)

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Mad Max: Fury Road (1.8)

So, Mad Max: Fury Road is going to win 6 bloody Oscars!! They’re all the “minor” categories that no one cares about, but saying that a Mad Max film is taking home the most Academy Awards has a very nice ring to it. What a film!

The Golden Globes are on this Sunday, January 10, 2016. For those who don’t know, they are the funnier, fatter, and better brother of their more serious sibling – the Oscars. I previously wrote a betting preview for all the main categories for the Oscars, of which only 1 I am now not confident in (Keaton for Supporting Actor). Here are my predictions for every category I care to write about for the upcoming Golden Globes. Also, Ricky Gervais is hosting – The best host there has ever been for an awards show.

Best Picture (Drama)

Spotlight

The Revenant

Carol

Mad Max: Fury Road

Room

The best film of 2015 was Mad Max: Fury Road. George Miller brought back the best apocalyptic franchise with an absolute roar and it deserves to win this category hands down. The winner here will be Spotlight. Actors, screenplays, and scandals. Yup, they cracked the code.

Back Spotlight at 1.36 with SkyBet.

Best Picture (Musical/Comedy)

The Martian

The Big Short

Joy

Trainwreck

Spy

When The Martian was declared a comedy this category became the most interesting and valuable of the bunch. Matt Damon gives a quality comedic performance that no one was expecting. This film will do very well at the Globes, and their biggest award comes in the shape of a Best Picture award for Ridley Scott – the all-time greatest science fiction director.

Back The Martian at 2.25 with BoyleSports.

Best Director

Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu

Ridley Scott

Tom McCarthy

George Miller

Todd Haynes

Inarritu is the director’s choice. Tom McCarthy is the actor’s choice. George Miller is the fan’s choice. Todd Haynes is no one’s choice. Ridley Scott is the winning choice.

Back Ridley Scott at 3.4 with Bet365.

Best Actor (Drama)

Leonardo DiCaprio

Michael Fassbender

Eddie Redmayne

Bryan Cranson

Will Smith

Oh, come on! These actors do not deserve to be in the same category as this guy.

Back Leonardo DiCaprio at 1.2 with Ladbrokes.

Best Actor (Musical/Comedy)

Matt Damon

Al Pacino

Steve Carrell

Christian Bale

Mark Ruffalo

Love all of these actors. Great entertainment across the board. Only one winner though and his performance was the standout. If not for his charisma, the movie would have died out there on Mars.

Back Matt Damon at 1.44 with Betfair Exchange.

Best Supporting Actor

Sylvester Stallone

Mark Rylance

Idris Elba

Michael Shannon

Paul Dano

Mark Rylance can have his Oscar. Sly is gonna take that Globe and have fun doing it. Rocky is one the greatest characters in the history of cinema and the Globes will respect it as such. Great value here on Sly.

Back Sylvester Stallone at 2.1 with Betfair Exchange.

I’ll just round up the actress categories quickly here because I have literally seen none of the films they are in.

Best Actress (Drama) – Back Brie Larson at 1.57 with William Hill.

Best Actress (Comedy/Musical) – Back Jennifer Lawrence at 2.1 with Betfair Exchange.

Best Supporting Actress – Back Jennifer Jason Leigh at 2.37 with Betfair Sportsbook.

That’s all folks. Watch the films, make some money, and Merry New Year!