The EIU view

A divided Botswana Democratic Party will fail to secure an overwhelming majority in the 2019 elections but is expected to remain in power. Enduring international concerns over poor controls covering anti-money-laundering and combating terrorist financing will hurt the government’s efforts to improve Botswana’s business environment. The economy will continue to remain heavily mineral-dependent, and as a result economic growth will fluctuate.

Botswana predicts a larger budget deficit
Botswana's budget deficit is expected to widen to 2.4% in 2019—a general election year. The deficit is then projected steadily to decrease and enter into surplus by 2021/22.