The bottom line: If AT&T can sell 1 BB10 per week at each of their locations and the market shares remain the same, BlackBerry will sell 3,554,340 BB10s per quarter.
Now just imagine AT&T can sell 1 BB10 per day..... I'll let you do the math!

[QUOTE=DragonFlyer;8184633]Why The Bulls Are Even Bearish (part 3)

Last week, Morgan Stanley analyst Ehud Gelblum upped his price target on BlackBerrys stock from just $10 to $22, alongside a rating shift from Underweight to Overweight. But, Gelblums assessment hinged on BlackBerrys ability to sell devices, and specifically to sell them at a higher average selling price than it had with previous devices. This will depend heavily on continuous demand for BlackBerrys latest devices.

Gelblums model predicts that the company will sell 36.4 million smartphones over the year at an average selling price of $285.30 these values are up from previous estimates of 31 million units and an ASP of $260.80. This would bring total annual revenue up to $13.92 billion from $11.62 billion, and boost profit to $0.23 per share from a previously projected loss of $1.37 per share.

The bottom line: AT&T needs to sell 11 BBs a month at each location to maintain its share in the market.
Now these are any BlackBerrys, not just BB10s, although I don't expect them to sell many BB7s.Search - AT&T
On a side note, why is the Bold the same price as the Z10?

Not sure if this is covered on a previous page but Simona Jankowski (mentioned in previous post) downgraded her estimate:

“Our retail checks at over 20 store locations since [the] March 22 [debut], including at AT&amp;T, Best Buy, and RadioShack, revealed a surprising lack of marketing support and poor positioning of the product,” said Goldman Sachs analyst Simona Jankowski.
“As a result, despite the product itself being relatively well received by sales associates and online reviews, sell-through at most locations were less than 10 per day,” she said in a research note to investors Monday.

BlackBerry is counting on strong carrier support and pent up corporate and consumer demand for the Z10 to stem a sharp loss of market share in the U.S., which accounts for about 20 per cent of the device maker’s global subscriber base.
“We now assign a 20 per cent probability of success for BB10, down from 30 per cent previously, as the disappointing launch of the Z10 at AT&T reduces our confidence that sell-through of the BB10 will be successful in the important U.S. market,” Jankowski wrote.