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scholars Jon Krosnick and Neil Malhotra shows that despite most Americans'
recognizing that smoking can lead to life-threatening diseases, they don't
understand how much that risk increases.

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risk.

Published in PLOS ONE, the study analyzed data from survey interviews of more
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smokers and non-smokers, about the prospects of developing lung cancer.

In some previous studies, researchers had asked survey respondents to report
how likely they thought it is that smokers and non-smokers will develop lung
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some people might not be thinking about risk that way. Instead, they proposed,
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risk. In essence, they are underestimating how much more likely it is for a
smoker to develop lung cancer than a non-smoker.

The researchers did find that people who perceived more relative risk were
less likely to start and more likely to quit smoking and those who perceived
more of a difference between the two cancer rates were no more or less likely to
start or stop smoking.