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Will the GOP ever again hold power in California?

It’s practically impossible to envision Californians electing a Republican governor in the future, certainly not in the next gubernatorial election, in 2014. Talk to GOP pros and none can suggest a realistic, credible challenger to Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown…

Business will back Brown because he’ll be the only moderate check on a Legislature dominated by liberal Democrats. Republicans will be virtually useless…

Here’s the numerical problem: Latinos’ portion of the California electorate increased to 22% last week, up from 18% in 2008, according to an Associated Press exit poll. The percentage of voters under 30 rose to 27%, up from 20%.

Republican tacticians working on election campaigns had theorized that Latinos and young people wouldn’t turn out. “Their whole strategy was ‘Please stay home,’ ” says Allan Hoffenblum, a former GOP consultant who publishes the California Target Book, a handicapper of legislative and congressional races.

Hoffenblum adds: “This state is too large and too diverse to be governed by one party. Either the Republican Party will become a true political force again or something else will replace it.”

Blowback

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I’m amazed that Dems keep getting elected despite the outrageously bad economy, but it really is only a matter of time before the state goes bankrupt and all the businesses and rich people leave in order to avoid the onerous taxes.

That said, if California continues to go down the tubes and the people keep re-electing the same fools who keep making it worse…

The problem is that there are no educators to inform the people why things are failing on the Conservative side. Unless there are wise people who are able to actually look at actions, activities and outcomes and come up with answers that inform and educate properly, then there can be no learning from the bad events.

As an example, you act as though you are well informed, know lots of things, and yet you imagine you are owed money for the taxes you paid to Uncle Sam over the years that he then turned around hand handed off to some old foggy early retiree. You think that with a system as such the economy can prosper. As educated as you seem to be, you have learned nothing from life’s lessons, or the power of histories lessons.

How on earth can you imagine people who are informed by late night comedians and Rosie Odonnel to learn something of value just because they are going under hard times underwritten by the federal government?

Hoffenblum adds: “This state is too large and too diverse to be governed by one party. Either the Republican Party will become a true political force again or something else will replace it.”

This is simply not true.The GOP will not become a political force and there is nothing that the ruling part will not demonize to the ends of the earth if it tries to replace the GOP. Just look at New England. New England is now a one party system. Nothing is coming to replace the GOP. We don’t have conservative politicians here, we have Tories.

Instead, anyone likely to vote for the GOP will flee the state if they can. Unfortunately the liberals are also fleeing the deep blue states. Deep blue states now are basically running like the inner city. It’s just a matter of who gets to hand out the taxes they have collected and to whom.

The GOP missed a huge opportunity under the first Schwarzenegger admin to just go and talk to latino biz owners. They wouldn’t have had to promise anything, no grand schemes on immigration reform or special treatment. But simply pitch them on becoming GOP donors and candidates. Bring those with a stake in the communities into the GOP.

There is still a chance to do this but it seems the CA GOP has thrown in the towel.

The GOP missed a huge opportunity under the first Schwarzenegger admin to just go and talk to latino biz owners. They wouldn’t have had to promise anything, no grand schemes on immigration reform or special treatment. But simply pitch them on becoming GOP donors and candidates. Bring those with a stake in the communities into the GOP.

There is still a chance to do this but it seems the CA GOP has thrown in the towel.

chimney sweep on November 12, 2012 at 8:16 PM

Mexico has been voting socialist for a hundred years. They cross the border and they keep voting socialist.

Sure, the GOP will hold power again in Calfornia. But it won’t happen by conservatives there turning against their principles and becoming Democrat-lite. That just enables the current Democrats to jump farther left knowing the electorate will take the real thing over the cheap imitation every time.

The GOP will hold power in California again by bringing their money and principle to a well-governed state for a while and letting California go mach speed in the determinedly downward spiral they are currently in. Given time, it will fall and conservatives will jump in to pick up the pieces and sort it out. It will likely be sometime after 2030 before it all cycles around (the downward spiral will come much sooner, but it takes a lot of kicking before dummies to get a clue), but it will come around again.