mdg CFB

Thursday, September 29, 2005

Week Five Picks

Biggest Games(ranked by significance)

1. Florida at Alabama- Is the Tide going to roll? Or is the Tide going to roll over? This is a huge, intriguing matchup of top SEC teams. Florida's win over Tennessee just got bigger after the Vols upset LSU in Baton Rouge. Alabama on the other hand, has yet to beat a top 25 team, and struggled with Arkansas last week at home, a team USC whipped 70-17. If Alabama wants to contend for the SEC and a national title, the Tide must beat teams like Arkansas handily.

Chris Leak is not the best runner and Urban Meyer's spread offense is not as potent without the option run. Florida was forced to kick field goals against Tennessee, but can not to the same at Alabama. The Tide defense is the best Florida will see all season, and will be a big test for the spread. Tuscaloosa is one of the toughest places to play in the country.

Alabama's offense is balanced between the run and pass. Ken Darby and Brodie Croyle must have big games in order for the Tide to pull out the victory. Alabama has not started 5-0 since 1996, and Florida has not started 5-0 since 2001, well one will accomplish it once again this weekend. This is the first meeting between the schools this decade. Last time they met was in the 1999 SEC Championship. Bama and Florida had great games in the 1990's, and this year's game should pick up where they left off. Bama 27, Florida 26.

2. Southern California at Arizona State- This USC's toughest test to date. ASU is playing as good as any team in the country right now, including the Men of Troy. Tempe is not a friendly place to play, and ASU outplayed LSU, but special team mistakes cost the Sun Devils the victory. USC struggled in the first half last week at Oregon, but scored 35 unanswered points in the second half to blowout the Ducks.

Arizona State is going to test the Trojan pass defense all day long. Oregon's spread offense was ineffective in testing USC with the pass. ASU will score points and this game will be a shootout. It is funny that some media members were giving USC grief for the 32 point at Oregon. The Ducks are a borderline top 25 team, and USC gave the game away with an awful first half and still bowled over Oregon.

Sam Keller is an underrated Heisman contender, and I think he will outshine Matt Leinart Saturday, but the Trojans still win. USC 56, ASU 42.

3. Virginia Tech at West Virginia- What a difference preseason hype makes. Last year West Virginia was 4-0 and ranked #6 in the nation, this year they are 4-0, but are just in the others receiving votes. Last year, Virginia Tech was 2-2, with a losses to #1 USC and home to NC State, and were unranked not getting any votes. This year VT is 4-0 and ranked #3 in the country.

last year, Virginia Tech pulled what looked like an upset early on, but by year's end it was evident the Hokies were the better team all year long. West Virginia is a surprising 4-0 with wins at Syracuse and at Maryland. The Mountaineers were not impressive last week against East Carolina, but that is excusable considering Virginia Tech was coming to Morgantown this week.

The City of Morgantown is expecting a victory, or at least are preparing for one. They should be, West Virginia can win this game. It all depends if the run game can get yards on the stingy Virginia Tech defense. This could a close game coming down to the final minutes or Virginia Tech's defense and special teams can take over and rout the Mountaineers. I think Virginia Tech is too good to lose this game, but it will be tougher to pull out a win in Morgantown than it was in Raleigh. Virginia Tech 24, West Virginia 19.

4. Minnesota at Penn State- Another battle of unbeaten BCS teams, with one of them unranked. Penn State has played no one, per se. The opening win over 23-13 win over South Florida does not look so bad, and Northwestern is not a bowl team, but still a Big 10 road win. Now, a win over #18 Minnesota should eliminate doubters.

I am a Penn State believer, I think they have a shot at eight or nine wins, but they must win their home games. On the flipside, I thought Minnesota would have their usually four or five loss season this year. The Gophers can run on anybody, they proved that last week. Penn State's defense is better than Purdue's but struggled last week against Northwestern.

I like Laurence Maroney to rush for over 100 yards, but Penn State will this game if they can control the line of scrimmage. Jump on the Joe Pa bandwagon, Happy Valley will be buzzing, Penn State in a upset, 28-24.

5. Michigan at Michigan State- The only thing that will make Michigan fans happier than beating Michigan State, is beating Ohio State. Michigan is one of the most talented teams in the country, but have sucked on the field of play. Micheal Hart should make his return for the Wolverines this week, his presence has been missed.

Michigan needs to control the clock if they want to win, and that means running the ball with Hart. Will Hart be able to handle the load, all by himself? Chad Henne needs to get the ball to open receivers, otherwise, Michigan State will load up to stop the run.

Michigan State is an offensive juggernaunt, and Drew Stanton is one of top three quarterbacks in the country. I don't expect State to slow down against their hated rival after throwing away a 17 point lead last year. No surprise if the Wolverine eak out the win, but the Spartans in a blowout, 38-17.

6. Notre Dame at Purdue- This is a game I thought Notre Dame could win before the season started. There is no reason to change my mind. Notre Dame is playing great under Charlie Weis. Brady Quinn and Darius Walker are fast becoming All-American candidates. Purdue on the other hand, showed they could not stop the run after all. The Boilermakers face the reality of losing their second straight game, this time in West Lafayette, after many prognosticators predicted them to win the Big Ten and have a chance at unbeaten record.

Notre Dame has a balanced offense, so it is going to be hard for Purdue to focus on stopping the run or the pass. Purdue's offense needs to kick into high gear because the game will be a high scoring affair. Notre Dame's pass defense is very average, and Brandon Kirsch needs to take advantage of it if the Boilermakers want to have a chance at the win.

I like Notre Dame to pull away late. Anthony Fasano will have a big game, as Purdue will have no answer for him. Notre Dame 37, Purdue 31.

7. Iowa State at Nebraska- Another battle of unbeaten BCS teams, one ranked and one not. Who ever comes out victorious will be the early favorite in the Big 12 North division. The Cyclones and Cornhuskers are pretty even, I like Nebraska at home, 21-14.

8. Kansas at Texas Tech- Another battle...see above. Finally, Texas Tech will have to face a D-IA team that has been at IA level longer than a couple of months(see Fla. International). Kansas has not played anyone, either, of any significance. Both of these schools were originally scheduled to play at Fresno State this year, but both pulled out for different reasons(pussies).

Saturday, the nation will find who the creampuff champ is. Texas Tech is really talented and it is a shame that they did not play a meaningful out of conference game. Cody Hodges is continuing the great tradition of Tech senior signal callers. Kansas is better than many think. Their pass defense will be a great test for the Red Raiders, Charles Gordon will have at least one interception.

I think Kansas will give Tech some problems. I don't think they can pull the upset on the road, but it will be closer than many think. Texas Tech 41, Kansas 29.

3 Potential Upsets....

What will happen- Kansas State will beat Oklahoma. The Sooners are only a fraction of the teams of the past five years. Kansas State is 3-0, and look to have rebounded from last year's 4-7 season after pasting North Texas 54-7 last week. That is what fans are used to seeing from Kansas State, what there are not is the Wildcats winning in Norman.

What might happen- Missouri over Texas. The Tigers gave Texas fits last year. The 'Horns are rolling and whipping Oklahoma next week has to be on their minds. This game will be close if Texas is looking ahead to the game at Cotton Bowl. Vince Young and the Longhorns could be down late and face the fact of having to march down the field for the winning score.

What is unlikely to happen- Mississippi State upsets LSU. LSU had short week of preparation after the heartbreaking loss to Tennessee. The Tigers can not have a letdown. Coach Les Miles see Ron Zook, you my friend can not afford a loss at Mississippi State.

Betting Man? Surefire Picks!Note: Last week USC came through, Georgia let me down, and Central Michigan just lost. For the real lowdown on picking against the spread check out The Wizard.

Wednesday, September 28, 2005

Another Poll........Please.... the Masters Coaches Survey is Released Today

Please, the Harris Poll was enough. The MCS was created by Andy Curtin, an Atlanta based attorney and former sports agent. The voters are 16 former college coaches. Good idea? ESPN's Chris Fowler said it best on Gameday this past Saturday,"What is this, the Masters Poll sponsored by Cialis."

I have great respect for these former coaches, but are they watching and analyzing enough college football these days to make educated picks. Well, we will see. The first rankings were released today. Southern Cal was number one, Texas number two, then Virginia Tech, Florida, Florida State, etc.....no real suprises in the top except Cal at number 10.

In fact the Pac Ten got the most love, four teams ranked in top 14. USC, Cal, Arizona State #12 and UCLA #14. Out of the 16 coaches only four were former Pac 10 coaches, John Robinson, Frank Kush, John Ralston, and Don James. John Cooper also coached at ASU before Ohio State, so I guess that will make five, and if you count Lavell Edwards, only six coaches have West coast ties.

They still ranked Louisville? Their votes are public, but their names are not revealed.

Blogpoll Roundtable 8

1. We are now 1/3 of the way through the season and things are starting to shake out. With that in mind, who are your picks to win each of the BCS conferences, as well as your choice for an at-large berth from a non-BCS league (none is an option)?

Big East- West Virginia- I thought they would tie Louisville for the BE in the preseason, but with Louis. loss at USF, and Pitt sucking, WV looks like they could go 10-1, maybe 11-0, see below.

Big Ten- Ohio State- I picked the Bucks to tie for the B10 in the preseason along with others. Michigan State is tempting but they have to go to the 'Shoe.

Big 12- Texas A&M- My preseason pick, the game at Oklahoma does not look so tough anymore, and the 'Horns must travel College Station.

Pac Ten-Southern Cal, not unless the Trojans fall apart and lose this Saturday at ASU.

SEC- Tennessee- My preseason pick, still my pick as long as Clausen is behind center.

non-BCS-none UTEP will not go unbeaten, if not Sat. at Memphis, they will lose at home to UAB in Nov.

2. What team currently out of the Top 10 (AP or Coach's, doesn't really matter), has the best chance of ending up in the title game?

West Virginia, I like Bama but the Mountaineers could be a surprise darkhorse. If they beat Va Tech Saturday, that will be their marquee win and 11-0 is a good possibility.

3. When you're watching a game, what type of fan can you absolutely not tolerate being around?

The drunk stupid idiot.

Bonus: A sizable portion of Michigan fandom is in full meltdown mode (myself especially). Some have chosen to sequester themselves for this weekend's game against MSU to avoid scaring children, causing long-term psychological damage to those in the near vicinity, and most especially to avoid jail (I'm not saying this is me per se). Anyways, we need some help. Give us some ideas for replacements for LLLyd Carr (3 L's for the number of losses per year, and no O this year either). Assistant coaches, head coaches elsewhere, etc. Please, give us something to look forward to.

Norm Chow, Fresno State didn't hire him in 1997, hired Pat Hill instead(not a bad hire). I don't know why programs pass this guy up. Chow is itching at chance to become a head coach. With Michigan's talent and tradition(think BYU's glory days with USC players) the Wolverines offense would be among the best in the country.

USC fell apart in the first half against the Ducks, but proved their strength by scoring 35 unanswered points in the second half.

Virginia Tech looks like they are going to run the table.

Texas can not overlook Missouri. With Tech looking so dominant, the 'Horns need to romp the Tigers.

Florida has a tough game at Alabama. The Bama defense will be a big test for the Gators. I am a big Bama believer, but a Gator win will solidify the Gators as the 4th best team in America.

Ohio State smacked Iowa, but the Hawkeyes are overrated.

Michigan State is quietly becoming the Big Ten favorite. Michigan comes to town this week.

If Fulmer starts Ainge over Clausen one more time this year, I'll drop the Vols five spots even in a bye. With Clausen at the helm, UT is a national title contender.

LSU should have lost in Tempe, and fell apart in the second half at home. With so many emotional distractions, the close loss is somewhat forgivable.

Georgia needs to step it up, Tennessee is just around the corner.

Notre Dame is playing great, a big win at Purdue could push them back into the top ten.

Arizona State is playing unreal. Beat USC, the Sun Devils are top five material.

Miami whipped Colorado, but the Buffs are a 6-5 team in my book.

Minnesota finally won the big game.

Purdue is not the juggernaunt many thought, but the Boilermakers are still good.

Boston College pulled the huge win at Clemson, that was not an easy road game.

Even with substantial injuries Cal is still rolling.

Texas A&M is still a potential top 5-10 team, but need to win some big games before I can move them up.

Wisconsin is 4-0 and has good wins over Bowling Green and Michigan. The Badgers have a outside shot at the Big Ten title, no Ohio State this year.

UCLA could fall apart at any point this season...Wait Bob Toledo is not the coach anymore. Dorrell is hanging on to his job for dear life, the Bruins must continue their great play. They can finish 9-2.

Injuries and lack of an offense are killing Michigan. Only ten points separate the Wolverines from a 4-0 start. Losing to a good ND and at Wisconsin should not be punished too much. If they beat State, back to the top 15. If they get waxed, Michigan might not make the rankings for the rest of the year.

Georgia Tech, no Ball, no luck. GT would have done better at VT with a healthy Ball.

Clemson can not playing these close games. The Tigers could equally be 4-0 or 0-4. 2-2 only cuts it because BC and Miami needed overtime to pull out the win.

Who really knows how good Texas Tech really is. I still think this team is a serious top 15 team, but the non-conference schedule is just too ridiculous to give Tech a lofty ranking without proving it yet.

Read down for some info on overrated Louisville.

NC State? Tough loss at North Carolina, out of the rankings for good, unless the Pack runs the table.

Penn State needs to beat Minnesota at home to improve their ranking in the top 25.

Iowa State's win over Iowa looks weaker and weaker, and almost losing at Army does not look impressive either.

Vanderbilt is playing real good. Wake Forest, Arkansas, and Ole Miss are not good teams, so Vandy may need to upset LSU to crack the poll.

Toledo has a make or break game at Fresno State today.

West Virginia is a quietly undefeated. Last year the Mountaineers had the hype and the lofty preseason ranking, but this year's could win the weak Big East. At Virginia Tech this week will prove how good WV is.

UTEP is the only other non-BCS that is unbeaten, besides Toledo. The Miners had big win at home against New Mexico, and play Memphis next.

South Florida just laid a butt-whippin on Louisville, but I was never really big on the Cards. Such a big disappointment.

Washington State has a right to be ranked #25, if I follow the Texas Tech logic.

Sunday, September 25, 2005

What a Joke..Illinois #38, Arizona #40......and Idaho #44? Its True according to the Harris Voters

This is the most ridiculous poll ever created. The inaugural Harris Poll has Southern California #1, Texas #2, Virginia Tech #3, and etc....the top 22 looks on par with the rest of the polls(AP and USA Today).

Who in the hell is voting for Illinois, Arizona, and Idaho? Some of the voters must have seen the Michigan State-Illinois game, the Spartans are given their due and are ranked 10th, but maybe the voters forgot to check the boxscore. Arizona has come close to beating Utah and Purdue, but their only win was over Northern Arizona. I don't get me started on Idaho.

The Vandals are playing better this year compared to last, but the Vandals do not even deserve to be ranked in the top 25 of I-AA. They hung with Washington State, and almost beat MWC doormat UNLV, but have been waxed by a combine 58-6 in their last two games at Washington(34-6), and at home to Hawaii(24-0). How do you get shut out at the Kibbie Dome against Hawaii?

Who ever voted for Idaho, should have his dick removed. I said it, I hate to be vulgar. I try to be professional on this site, but it just fucking irks me, that there are dumbshits out there with some kind of college football background that are allowed to make fools out of themselves.

Folks, this poll is not just for fun, it is has equal part as the USA Today Coaches Poll in determining the BCS championship game.

Back to my point, he should have his dick removed and put in his mouth because I do not want to hear his fucking logic for ranking the Potato Duds.

Idaho, getting five votes, what a motherfuckin' joke. Hope who ever voted for the Vandals, get a chance to read this post. You can rag on my rankings (NC State was #18, not for long)all you want, but I do not think I could ever be so fucking stupid or a motherfreak'n insane WAC homer to rank the Vandals in any top 25, except the bottom 25.

With all this shit I'm talk'n, I bet the football gawds punish me, and Fresno State gets upset by Idaho at the wonderful Kibbie Dome on October 22. Who fucking cares? Idaho sucks.

For a poll refresher, please, check out the Blogpoll. It was created by a smart Michigan fan Brian, and is posted every Wednesday on his MGOBLOG. The voters are college football fans, like myself who love the game.

We follow one or few respective schools, usually our alma matters(go Dogs), but try to watch plenty of college football, and listen to are fellow pollster's comments and analysis on their "home" team or teams they followed for the weekend.

For those who have nothing better to do or who are just curious here is a link to all other Harris Interactive college football garbage, otherwise, keep reading MDG CFB. Hey, I am no expert, but I will never have to justify ranking Idaho.

Saturday, September 24, 2005

Ducks Getting Respect.....

All day from Corso and Herbstreit to Duck alum Dan Fouts, Oregon is getting a lot of respect. Granted no one is predicting a Duck win, but my alma mater did not play their best game and it took everything Oregon had to pull out the three point win last week over the 'Dogs.

First homer call by the refs. Muffed punt return USC recovered, wait....no......replay.......Oregon ball at the USC 40. The Ducks need these calls if they have a chance.

Corso put it best, " Oregon has two chances at a win, slim and none."

The way USC defense is handling Oregon right now, it is none. Oregon managed only a field goal after the USC fumble, the Ducks have to do better than that. USC does not give many gifts away, and that was one of them.

USC ball at the Oregon 36, the start of the Trojan domination. Jarrett across the 50 to the Oregon 49. Lendale White 26 yard run to the Duck 23. Leinart hurried and misses second attempt. False start by USC, 2nd 15 at the 28.

Play action screen to Bush..fumble..no refs say incomplete...but it was caught and fumbled. No matter third down and 15. Back to Bush first down on 18 yard pass play.

First and goal at the ten. Bush tackled for a loss of two. Second and goal.

Another big USC mistake, ball thrown behind Jarrett, went through his hands and intercepted by Aaron Gipson, his fourth straight game with a pick.

Friday, September 23, 2005

Why is Cal Travleing to New Mexico State?

Cal is finishing up a home and home with New Mexico State tonight at 30,343 seat Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces. NMSU has no chance at a win, but pulled out another victory. Getting a nationally ranked Bowl Championship Series conference team at home on national television.

NMSU can air it out, and if Cal does not come with its A game on defense, this could be a fun shootout for at least the first half. It works out perfectly for those on the left coast, catch the first half before going out, and wake up Saturday morning and catch Gameday. Its better than watching Iowa State at Army, tied at 7 as I blog.

Thursday, September 22, 2005

Thursday Night Football

Utah and Air Force are tied up at 14, but the Falcons look unstoppable on the ground. The Mountain West looks to be filled with a bunch of good teams, one doormat(UNLV), and no clear favorite. Utah is a shade of its former self, while Air Force could be a MWC front runner even with the loss last week to Wyoming. The Falcons must win at Utah to avoid an 1-2 start in conference play.

Speaking of Utah the spread is just not the same. Andy Ludwig is a cancer to successful offenses. He did it to Oregon and he will do it to Utah. Next year will be fun, spread qb Brian Johnson will have to battle traditional drop back passer Tommy Grady. Ludwig will favor an offense that will suit Grady, and that will be the end of the spread at Utah. Ludwig sucks, drop him Utah, drop him fast.

Week Four Picks....

The Biggest Games(ranked by significance)1. Tennessee at LSU- The Volunteers season is on the line. UT is still a serious national title contender, but must win at Baton Rouge to remain one. If the Vols lose, they face the possibility of losing maybe one or two more the rest of the season.

LSU showed its poise in the come from behind victory at Tempe over Arizona State. Tennessee's defense is tougher, but the offense is no where near the level of ASU. LSU should be able handle what ever UT throws their way.

Eric Ainge will get the start over Rick Clausen. It seems UT might want to air it out against LSU since ASU had such great success with pass. Gerald Riggs is UT's best weapon, and unless he get the ball in is hands 25-30 times, the Vols are going to lose. LSU wins 24-10.

2. Southern California at Oregon- The Ducks are suppose to be SC's first challenge. The game is at Autzen Stadium, one of the toughest places to play in America. Oregon had to pull out all the stops just to beat Fresno State by three poinst last week at home. What is going to happen against USC?

Fresno State jumped out to 17-0 lead on the Ducks, but UO swichted to the no-huddle offense and had success. Fresno State was not ready for it, and could not stop it, falling behind 20-17. USC will be ready for the no-huddle. Oregon's best shot is to outscore USC in a shootout, and win the battle of turnovers.

Oregon will feed off the energy of the home crowd, but USC is just too powerful. If Fresno State can put up 530 yards in a loss, what will the Trojans do? How bout close to 600 yards and a 56-27 win, that is about as close as the margin of victory will be.

3. Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech- This game is not getting the national hype it deserves. GT wins and they will be a legitimate national title contender. If VT comes away with a decisive win, it will only show how strong the Hokies are.

The uncertain condition of Reggie Ball looms over the Yellow Jackets. With him in GT has a good shot at the upset. Without him VT might run away with an easy win.

With or without him Virginia Tech is just too good. At this time it does not look like Ball will play, so VT should have a little easier time, 34-20 Hokies.

4. Purdue at Minnesota- This is the type of game Minnesota usually falls flat on its face in its attempt to become one of the Big Ten's elite. Purdue has not looked spectacular in its first two games. With no Michigan or Ohio State on the schedule, and what looks like a down year for Iowa, the game with the Gophers has even more importance.

Laurence Maroney has been running over defense in his first three games. The Boilermakers defense will be his first true test and a chance to impress Heisman voters.

Both teams have lot to prove. Purdue is near the top ten and need to prove they are a national championship caliber team. While, Minnesota needs to take the next step for the program to have a shot at a conference title. The Gophers are actually four point favorites, and in past years would lose this game at Metrodome, but Minnesota finally wins the big game, 34-27.

5. Iowa at Ohio State- What looked liked the biggest game of the year in the Big Ten, is somewhat of an afterthought. Ohio State could not beat Texas in the 'Shoe, but OSU is still in the national title hunt. Meanwhile, Iowa has fallen completely out of the national spotlight after their humiliating 23-3 loss at Iowa State.

Ohio State should win this game, but the Hawkeyes need to pull the upset to salvage their season, and faint national title hopes.

Drew Tate is healthy and Iowa will be ready, but the Buckeyes are tough at 'Shoe, 24-16 OSU.

6. Michigan at Wisconsin- The Badgers look a little overrated since the win over Bowling Green does not seem as big, after BG was pasted 48-20 by Boise State. Michigan's loss to Notre Dame seems more like a fluke after the offense moved the ball with ease last week against E. Michigan.

Will Camp Randall and Wisconsin's ground game be too much for the Wolverines? Will Michigan open the pass game against the Badger secondary? Michigan needs this win badly, a loss will kill all national title hopes, and make it harder to capture the Big Ten title.

Wisconsin should be able to move the ball, but Michigan will open it up and win 31-17.

7. Colorado at Miami, Fla- If Colorado wants to prove to the nation that it is a player, they must beat Miami in the Orange Bowl. It is not an easy task, but the 'Canes hardly look like the juggernaunt of the past. Ever since the 01 national championship, Miami has been steadily falling, and nearly faced an 0-2 start after barley escaping Clemson with a triple overtime win.

Colorado is capable of pulling the upset. Joe Klatt is a good passer, but Miami's defense is too good to let the Buffs air it out. Miami's offense needs to step it up, and Colorado could be in for a long day, if the 'Canes get going.

Miami needs to make a statement, and too bad for Colorado it will be them, 38-13 'Canes.

8. Boston College at Clemson- What could have been? BC and Clemson were both close in knocking Florida State and Miami at home, respectively. Whoever rebounds from the loss better, will win this game.

Clemson is tough at home, and given their difficult schedule already and close wins, I give the Tigers the nod. Clemson 27, BC 21.

3 Potential Upsets........What will happen-New Mexico beats UTEP, the Lobos are the lone cry for the little guys to crash the BCS. If New Mexico can blowout UTEP, and not just beat them, the Lobos would deserve serious top 25 consideration. They beat Missouri on the road two weeks ago, and the MWC is the toughest non-BCS conference, so the Lobos might have a case if they run the table.

What might happen-Oregon State over Arizona State, the Sun Devils are on fire, but the trip to Corvallis is their first true road game. Oregon State was manhandled at Louisville last week, and ASU is better, not good for the Beavers. OSU should fair better at home, and if Sam Keller has an off night......who knows?

What is unlikely to happen-Washington upsets Notre Dame, at the beginning of the season I said UW would win six games, and this was one of them. Notre Dame is heads and shoulders above UW in more ways than I could have ever imagined. ND should plow over UW, but emotion could play a huge role. I would not be surprised if ND has a post Sparty hang over, and UW wins a close one.

Betting Man? Surefire Picks!note: I actually faired better last week, but I am still sucking....take with caution.

Georgia(-15.5) at Mississippi State- Battle of the Bulldogs, but the boys in Starksville, suck. UGA should cover, even if the scrubs play the second half.

Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan(-5)-Neither one of these programs is spectacular right now, but C. Michigan showed some life in their upset of Miami of Ohio a couple weeks ago. I would put my money on the Chippewas at home.

Southern Cal(-21.5) at Oregon-The SC offense is just too much for the overmatched Duck defense. See above.

Hurricane Rita's Effect on College Football

Broncos vs Predator

The Western Athletics Conference has had a rough start to 2005, but things can turn around in the next six days. The WAC's top two teams host the Mid-American conference's two best teams. Tonight Boise State hosts Bowling Green, and on September 27 Fresno State host Toledo.

Boise State started 2005 with much promise, but a devastating loss at Georgia in the opener ended any hopes at a Bowl Championship Series bowl game. The following week Boise State led Oregon State the entire game, only to lose on a last minute field goal.

At the beginning of the season I expected Boise State to lose to Bowling Green, but the Falcons defense is worse than anticipated. Bowling Green's offense is led by All-American Omar Jacobs. Jacobs is arguably the second best quarterback in college football behind Heisman Trophy winner Matt Leinart, but is considered a better pro prospect by some.

Boise State looked dismal against Georgia. The offense never got going and quarterback Jared Zabransky was out of synch throwing four interceptions and fumbling twice. Zabransky played a lot better against Oregon State, and will continue to improve this week at home versus Bowling Green.

The Broncos' defense is not spectacular, either, especially against the pass. This game will be a shootout; the team with the ball last probably wins. The Broncos are not used to starting the season 0-2 and are always tough at home, winning 26 straight on the Blue Rug.

Bowling Green blew its shot at a BCS bowl, as well, with its opening loss at Wisconsin. What looked like a game of potential BCS busters before the season started, is nothing more than just an ESPN 2 Wednesday night game. Tonight's game still will be a great offensive showcase, and will still be a great indicator of what conference is better the WAC or MAC.

Jacobs will pass for over 500 yards, but Boise holds home court and wins 41-38.

Tuesday, September 20, 2005

The State of the WAC

The Western Athletic Conference was on the verge of a breakout season. The WAC welcomed Idaho, Utah State, and New Mexico State this year after Tulsa, Rice SMU, and UTEP left for Conference USA. The new configuration left only Louisiana Tech in the Central time zone.

Along with the restructure, the WAC was the only non-Bowl Championship Series conference to have a team(s) ranked in the preseason polls. Boise State was ranked 18th in AP poll and 19th in the coaches poll, while Fresno State was 24th in the AP poll in the preseason rankings.

The WAC introduced a new logo and a new Play Up campaign for 2005. The Play Up campaign was featured in a new commercial during ESPN's college football preview show, but as soon as it started it ended.

Boise State, fresh off three straight WAC titles and three top 15 finishes in the country, opened at Georgia. The WAC's banner program fell apart. The demise of Boise State’s program happened in a matter of hours. Georgia whipped Boise State 48-13, and it was not even that close. The loss to Georgia virtually erased everything, in the eyes of the media, the Broncos had accomplished the three previous years.

Fresno State was 1-0 and ranked 23rd heading into play last weekend. The Bulldogs were the only ranked team from the non-BCS conferences, but the dream of an unbeaten season ended Saturday in a 37-34 loss at Oregon, as did their ranking.

After three full weeks of the season, the WAC has only won three non-conference games. Weber State, E. Washington, and UNLV are the only wins. It is a sad day in the WAC when UC Davis, just a couple years removed from Division II, has more wins over BCS teams than the entire conference.

Speaking of the SEC, Tennessee decided to pass on Florida and lost 16-7. Florida did not look impressive, and Chris Leak might loose out to true frosh Josh Portis if he continues to be apprehensive running the ball. Alabama broke out of its shell and had no problem with South Carolina.

Michigan State might be the best team in the Big Ten, well at least the offense is. The defense better step after not being able to preserve a 21 point lead letting the Irish force the game into overtime. Michigan State's 44-41 win at South Bend might be the most impressive win in the nation thus far in the season. Michigan beat up on E. Michigan, and Ohio State looked a step slow in its win over San Diego State. Purdue beat Arizona, but must look impressive against a good Minnesota team this week.

Louisville saved the Big East with its blowout of Oregon State. Pitt is facing the reality of a losing season, after falling at Nebraska. Pitt has no offense, and Wannedstedt has to come out of this season with at least six wins a bowl berth.

UTEP, Toledo, and New Mexico are the only non-BCS teams with a legitimate chance to still run the table.

Friday, September 16, 2005

Turnover Fest on Independence Day and...... the Game Ends on a TO

UTEP and Houston are playing football the way you are not suppose to play it. 8 turnovers is less than a half of play. Houston quarterback Kevin Kolb has thrown 4 interceptions, and UTEP running back Tyler Ebell has fumbled twice. The score is just as ugly 9-5, Houston in front. Only 1:43 left to play in the first half, bet there is at least one more turnover before halftime.

Its Mexican Independence day, and El Paso is as close to Mexico as one is going to get in the US. Did ESPN plan this? Pop open another Corona, and hope for a better second half?

Kolb just threw his second td, 16-5 Houston ahead of UTEP, :28 left in the first half.

In what was an aweful first half, turned into one of the better second halfs of this young college football season.

Houston and UTEP went back and forth until regulation ended tied at 34. In the second overtime UTEP took a 44-41 lead, but Houston was on its way for the go ahead touchdown and the win until..........Kolb threw his fifth interception of the game.

Will There Be a BCS Buster in 2005?

Boise State's chance was over before it ever got started. Utah's loss at TCU yesterday, eliminated them. No matter how much ESPN had hoped for TCU to beat Utah, it could not erase last week's loss to SMU. Air Force, New Mexico and Fresno State are the only teams with a chance to crash the BCS from either the Mountain West and Western Athletic conferences.

UTEP leads the pack of Conference USA's hopefuls, only Tulane and East Carolina are still unbeaten besides the Miners.

Toledo is strong candidate to go undefeated out of the MAC. The Sun Belt's North Texas is the only non-BCS team without a loss.

Four of these teams stand out of the remaining eight. Ironically, these four will play each other in the next two weeks.

Fresno State is the only non-BCS school ranked in the top 25, and have a huge game at Oregon this weekend. A win will set up a ESPN 2 nationally televised match up with Toledo on September 27. Toledo is flying under the radar with blow out wins over Western Illinois and Western Michigan. The blow outs should continue with the week's game at Temple.

Come October 1, only the winners of the UTEP-New Mexico and Fresno State-Toledo games may be undefeated.

Out of these four UTEP and Toledo have the easier schedules. Fresno State and Toledo are the only ones with games remaining against ranked teams. Fresno State faces number one USC November 19, while Toledo's is its game with the Bulldogs. New Mexico has the most impressive win thus far with its 45-35 win at Missouri.

UTEP would be my guess as the team with best shot to go undefeated. The Miners toughest test after New Mexico is a road game at Memphis and a home game with UAB. Fresno State is more talented, but they play at USC. If New Mexico beats UTEP, they still have to navigate through the rest of the MWC. Toledo would have to beat Fresno State, and have a tough road game at Bowling Green to end the season.

This season pales in comparison to 2004 when Boise State, Fresno State, Louisville, and Utah were all ranked in the top 25 early in the season. Another Utah like run for any non-BCS school may be on hold until next year.

Unless, Fresno State gets by Oregon this week, beats Toledo, takes care of nemesis Boise State, and finds some way to beat USC.

Jay Cutler and the Mighty Commodores

Vanderbilt is off to an impressive 2-0 start. The Commodores have beaten Wake Forest and Arkansas, both on the road. Vandy returns home for five straight home games. The first three are winable: Mississippi, Richmond, and Middle Tennessee State. The last two are against LSU and Georgia. The Commodores have a good shot to have a winning record and first bowl berth since 1982. For info on Heisman hopeful Jay Cutler and Vandy's upcoming game with Ole Miss please read the Sea Misting blog.

Thursday, September 15, 2005

What Could Have Been, Utah-TCU ESPN

When this game was picked for ESPN Thursday prime time game, it was meant to get BCS buster Utah some national TV and introduce the MWC's new member TCU. But, I bet you ESPN was licking their chops when TCU upset Oklahoma September 3, especially since Utah escaped the upset by Arizona the night before.

The stage was set for last year' BCS buster to meet this year's BCS buster. Too, bad no one gave a second thought about SMU. How could they? The Mustangs have had one winning season since the death penalty, and had not beaten a ranked team since 1986.

As I was watching the intro to the game, it seems they were prepared to have the big non-BCS match up of unbeatens, but were not prepared if TCU lost to SMU. TCU really is not that good. Utah , on the other hand, has a very good chance to run the table again, but are nowhere near as talented as last year's team.

Week Three Picks

This weekend is a make or break weekend for many teams. Florida, Louisville, Tennessee, Michigan State, Clemson, Boston College are just the few that have to prove to the college football this weekend, that they are for real.

The Biggest Games(ranked by significance)

1. Tennessee at Florida- The spread will finally have to face a speedy defense. In Urban Meyer's four year and two games of coaching his teams have only faced and beaten two ranked teams. Both were as coach of Utah, Oregon in 2003 and Pitt last year in the Fiesta Bowl. Tennessee is a huge jump up in talent, but Florida, as well, is very talented.

The Gators are grasping Meyer's offense, but wins over Wyoming and Louisiana Tech are nice but neither team possess the size and speed of Tennessee. Tennessee, however, was not impressive over UAB two weeks ago, and dropped in the polls as a result of their performance. Rick Clausen will get the start for the Vols, and that is huge. Eric Ainge did not look good against UAB. Gerald Riggs will need to have a big game if the Vols expect to win. The Gators can not be allowed get into an offensive rhythm, Tennessee needs to control the tempo with Riggs.

This game is one of the most anticipated rivalry games of the year. The addition of Meyer's offense this year just adds to the excitement. Tennessee coach Phil Fulmer has fallen under scrutiny this past offseason for some off the field problems by his players. Fulmer and Tennessee need to win this game to keep the masses happy, while Meyer needs to erase the memories of losses in the Swamp by the previous coaching regime.

UT will be able to run the ball and control the clock, and Florida will lose another game on Florida Field. Volunteers 21 Florida 16.

2. Michigan State at Notre Dame- Notre Dame has yet to face an offense like Michigan State's. The Spartans are averaging a staggering 592 yards a game. Pitt was suppose to have had an explosive offense, and the Irish contained them. The next week Ohio did onebetter job than ND, holding Pitt to only a field goal and one special teams touchdown. Michigan did not provide the Irish defense with the offensive test they needed, as well.

Notre Dame's offense is clicking on all cylinders, and a shoot out with Michigan State would not be a surprise. I like Michigan State in the upset, even though Notre Dame Stadium will be rocking for the first home game. The Spartans oulast the Irish 34-31.

3.Florida State at Boston College- If there ever was such a thing as a statement game, this would be it. Boston College makes the jump into the ACC by hosting the best ACC team of the last 13 years. Granted FSU is not the juggernaunt of the 1990's, but the 'Noles defense still is very good. BC's defense is not too shabby either. Mathias Kiwanuka is a terror on the end, and should wreck havoc on either of FSU's freshmen quarterbacks.

The Seminoles offense came to life in the second half against The Citadel, but will it continue against the Eagles? Boston College makes a huge statement with a close 27-24 win.

4. Miami at Clemson- What more does Clemson have to prove? They beat a very good Texas A&M team, and won on the road versus Maryland to open ACC play. Only maybe Notre Dame has a better resume at this point of the season. Clemson can erase all doubts over the close wins in its first two games by beating the Hurricanes. On paper Miami should mop the floor with the Tigers, but Clemson went into the Orange Bowl last year and won. Clemson's Charlie Whitehurst can burst on to the Heisman scene with a huge game against a great Cane defense. Clemson's late game heroics shall continue, Tigers win 20-17.

5. Oregon State at Louisville- The make or break game of the week. Louisville needs a dominating performance to solidify themselves as a national title contender, and to ease the doubts of the strength of the weak Big East Conference. While, Oregon State needs to show the nation there are other teams in the Pac Ten other than USC. The Beavers needed a last minute field goal to beat Boise State last week, hardly impressive considering the beating Boise State received at Georgia.

There are not going to be few games more exciting than the Beavers and Cardinals. Defense will take a back seat in this offensive showdown. Louisville's offense was somewhat exposed by Kentucky in the Cardinals narrow win two weeks ago. The defense is aggressive and will give Oregon State's Matt Moore fits. I see Oregon State coming out on top. The Beavers secondary is big and fast and will prove to be the equalizer against the pass and in run support. Beavers win 41-35.

6. Oklahoma at UCLA- Oklahoma is a shade of its former self, and a win by UCLA will not do much in voters eyes, unless the Bruins blow out the Sooners. Oklahoma is too one dimensional and UCLA's defense is far superior than TCU and Tulsa. If the Sooners can figure a way to throw the ball UCLA could be in trouble.

UCLA's coach Karl Dorrell has to win this game and maybe even beat USC this year to keep his job. The Bruins are playing better than ever under Dorrell, but San Diego State and Rice are not the best measuring sticks. UCLA should beat Oklahoma, but the unless UCLA really lays the lumber to them it is just a blip on the radar. Bruins 28, Sooners 17.

What will happen- South Carolina beats Alabama. I believe Alabama is a solid top 12 team, and they should win this game. Yet, something is telling me Spurrier is going to get his first big win as coach of USC against Bama.

What might happen- Arizona over Purdue. Arizona's offense has been pedestrian, but the defense is more than capable of holding down Purdue. If Arizona builds an early lead, it just might be enough to pull out the win.

What is unlikely to happen- Northwestern upsets Arizona State. The second game of the Arizona desert Pac 10-Big Ten challenge. Northwestern is good enough to take advantage of any post LSU hang over. The Sun Devils can not overlook the Wildcats.

Betting Man? Surefire Picks!

note: I am thinking of eliminating this part of my picks, every time I post one I lose, but if I don't I win. I was a dismal 0-3 again as Oregon State and GT did not cover, and Pitt just stunk up the joint.

Oregon State(+14) at Louisville- If Louisville could not beat Kentucky by 14, I don't see them doing that to the Beavers if they pull out the win.

Tennessee(+6.5) at Florida- This will be a close game either way, 6.5 is a little much.

Florida Atlantic at Minnesota(-31)- Minnesota beat Tulsa and Colorado State both by at least 31 points, and Florida Atlantic will suffer the same fate.

There is no reason to remove USC from the top spot. Texas and LSU had huge wins but not enough to overtake the national champs.

Virginia Tech looked great, albeit it was Duke. The Hokies are my number two, unless Tennessee knocks off Florida and LSU in back to back road games to end the month.

Ohio State is a great team, and of the Big Ten's ranked top ten teams that lost, the Buckeyes were the only ones that looked respectable.

Georgia had a tougher time than expected against South Carolina, but showed some grit that was not needed the previous week.

Florida State was actually trailing the Citadel in the first half, but the 'Nole's offense exploded in the second half. FSU moves up by default, with very few teams looking impressive.

Notre Dame probably has played the toughest slate to date and are unbeaten. If I was a bigger believer in Florida, and if Alabama, Georgia Tech, and Purdue would have been more impressive ND would not have made my top ten.

Boston College deserves serious top ten consideration. If the Eagles beat Florida State they will move up. If they show they can move the ball on that defense, I won't drop them far.

Is Michigan a top 10 team? Not if the offense keeps playing the way they did against the Irish. This is one the most talented teams in the country, and that is the only thing keeping them above #20 right now.

Arizona State passed all over the LSU defense, USC has to be concerned. The Sun Devils are very good, but the Pac 10 is tougher than many think. ASU still could lose three conference games.

Michigan State's offense is moving the ball at will, but have yet to face a defense the caliber of Notre Dame's. If the Spartans beat the Irish this weekend, MSU will move closer to the top ten.

California returns to the rankings after pasting Washington. The Bears offense shredded a decent defense, and looked like a Jeff Tedford coached team this past weekend.

Texas Tech dropped even though they blew out Florida International 56-3. Tech does not play anybody until league play, and not until then will I rank them above #20 again.

Clemson won another close game this week. They host Miami this week, and the Tigers need to win this one for Tommy Bowden's job security and to get back in the national spotlight.

Louisville has a make or break game, in my book, against Oregon State this Saturday. This should be one of the better games this weekend and if the Cards are for real, they should beat the Beavers by at least ten points.

Fresno State cracks the top 25, but will solidify their position this weekend at Oregon. A close win keeps them ranked, a loss will drop them out, but a decisive win moves them near the top 15.

Penn State needs to look better before I rank them again. The offense showed some life, but Cincinnati is not a very good team to give up 360 yards to.

Iowa looked awful, but they had a tough loss to Arizona State last year early and rebounded to win the Big Ten.

TCU is not that good. The win over Oklahoma does not mean much, now.

Iowa State beat up on Iowa, but may be Iowa is not that good. Illinois State played Iowa State better than the Hawkeyes did.

UCLA looks as good as anyone in the country. Too bad Oklahoma is not the measuring stick this year as in years past.

Minnesota looks impressive early every year. It is in mid-season when the Gophers are exposed.

Northwestern had a last minute win over a good N.Illinois team, and the prior week's whipping of Ohio looks even more impressive now. Beat Arizona State and.....

Vanderbilt has opened with two very good wins, at Wake Forest and at Arkansas. The Commodores host Ole Miss this week, win and they should be 5-0 when LSU comes to Nashville October 8.

New Mexico overcame a record breaking night by Missouri's Brad Smith to pull the upset in Columbia. NMSU comes to town this week, but back to back games at UTEP and at TCU will prove if the Lobos are a top 25 team or not.

Games I watched...Oklahoma State-Fla Atlantic(1st half)Pitt-Ohio(1st & 4th quarters)Notre Dame-Michigan(all)Clemson-Maryland(all on second tv)Cal-Washington(2nd and third quarters)Hawaii-Michigan State(1st half on second tv)Oklahoma-Tulsa(4th quarter)Boise State-Oregon State(all on recast)Ohio State-Texas(1st quarter)Weber State-Fresno State(first three quarters live & 4th on radio)UCLA-Rice(first half on recast)

Saturday, September 10, 2005

Instant Replay? Hart?

Even without instant replay or if injured running back Michael Hart would have played, Michigan still loses this game. Notre Dame is on a similar run former coach first year Ty Willingham took them on in 2002, but Charlie Weis has the Irish playing even better. Besides that, the Michigan offense looked bad. I gave them the benefit of the doubt last week against Northern Illinois, but this week the Wolverines are going to fall.

One other note, Oklahoma needs a quarterback. Adrian Peterson will not be able to carry the Sooners all year. Tulsa sucked last week against Minnesota, but outplayed Oklahoma for most of today's game.

Friday, September 09, 2005

Walt, Calling Walt, Walt Harris?

Dave Wannstedt is having a rough start as the new head coach of the Pittsburgh Panthers. Wannestedt was known for his defensive expertise in the NFL, but was shredded by former AFC rival Charlie Weis and his Notre Dame team last week. This week against MAC opponent Ohio, quarterback Tyler Palko and offense could not get on track. Pitt's lone touchdown came on the opening kickoff, returned for a touchdown, in the 16-10 loss. Palko had two interceptions returned for touchdowns by Dion Byrum, including the game winner in overtime.

Walt Harris was allowed by Pittsburgh to pursue other opportunities last year because Pitt was planning on hiring a new head coach. Harris was hired by Stanford, and will make his debut against Navy this Saturday in Annapolis. Harris is an excellent quarterback and offensive coach, in my opinion on the same level as Jeff Tedford of California.

Harris was the quarterback coach at Ohio State prior to becoming head coach at Pitt in 1997. Bobby Hoying developed into an NFL quarterback under Harris' wing. He took Pitt to six bowls in his eight years, including the Fiesta Bowl last year. He won his first and only Big East title last year, but was still given his walking papers. His 2003 Pitt underachieved, only finishing 8-4, with All-American Larry Fitzgerald leading the charge. Yet, last year was his best coaching job taking the underrated Panthers and turning them into league champs.

Wannstedt is not impressing anyone at the moment. Its apparent Harris is missed on the offensive side of the ball. Palko and receiver Greg Lee are two of the best players in the country at their respective positions. The offense should have been the least of Wannstedt's worries.

What about Notre Dame? Are the Irish that good? Or is Pitt really that bad? Notre Dame's victory over Pitt does not look so good now. Considering the Ohio Bobcats were pasted last week by Northwestern, 38-14. Notre Dame's fate will soon be decided. In about twelve hours the country will have a feel for Irish as they tussle with Michigan tomorrow at 12pm ET.

Thursday, September 08, 2005

Are You a Football Player Awaiting Trial? No Problem, Enroll at Boise State.

What the hell is Boise State coach Dan Hawkins thinking? Suspended safety Cam Hall is returning to the team for the September 21 game against Bowling Green. Hall is facing felony charges resulting from him fleeing the scene of an accident where three people died. Is Dan Hawkins that desperate to win? What about moral and character issues of players? Hall has not been convicted of anything, but at the same he has no business on a football team while awaiting trial.

Reece, Mark, and Desmond.....

Looks like Mr. Heisman will take over for Mr. Husker for the remainder of the college football season...........I was not much of an Alberts fan, but his firing was a surprise.....I just hope Howard is not the second coming of Eric Dickerson.........

Florida Atlantic on ESPN? and Oklahoma State is not that good.....

I understand ESPN does not want to put a marquee match up against the NFL, on opening night. Last year in NFL opening night ESPN had Troy hosting Missouri, with the Trojans pulling the huge upset 24-14. At least Missouri's Brad Smith was a Heisman candidate and the Tigers were ranked in the top 25. Troy's Movie Gallery Stadium was sold out, and the game was exciting to watch.

This year ESPN put together a contest of Oklahoma State and first year I-A team Florida Atlantic at Dolphins Stadium in Miami. FAU's head coach is the legendary Howard Schnellenberger. Schnellenberger's name and his history of building programs is the main reason FAU has this game on national TV. Unlike Missouri last year, Oklahoma State is not a top 25 team and the Cowboys barely beat I-AA Montana State last week.

As a Fresno State alum, I wonder why Oklahoma State backed out of its return game with the Bulldogs two years in a row, yet schedule a road contest against the Florida Atlantic Owls. I know a lot had to do with Fresno State's former inept athletic director, but as I watch this game being played in an empty NFL stadium, it just does not make any sense.

Thoughts and prayers go out to Luke Frazier and his family. The Oklahoma State receiver was hurt on the 'Pokes first offensive play from scrimmage and was carried out on stretcher.He looks to be ok, his arms and legs were moving.What is up with Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy calling for an onside kick, after the made field goal. He must know his team sucks. FAU looks like the better team, right now. The 'Pokes will probably pull this one out because FAU is making way too many mistakes, but the Owl's defense looks tough.

Week Two Picks

The Biggest Games(ranked by significance)

1. Texas at Ohio State- Arguably the biggest non-conference game since Auburn-USC in 2003. The Buckeyes and Longhorns looked in mid-season form with their wins over Miami(Ohio) and Louisiana Lafayette, respectively. The current line has Ohio State as only a -1.5 favorite. Texas is everyone's favorite to reach the Rose Bowl, but the Longhorns face one of the best defenses in the country this Saturday. The Buckeyes must force Young into pass situations, otherwise could face the same fate as Michigan did last year in Pasadena.

Ohio State's coach Jim Tressel's plan to use two starting quarterbacks could hurt or help the Buckeyes. Justin Zwick played good last week, but Troy Smith was the starter and the end of the season last year. Alternating the two, could create problems defensively for Texas, yet Ohio State's offensive flow could be hindered by the constant substitution.

If Ohio State gets into an offensive rhythm, they should win. The defense is more than capable of handling Texas' run game. The key is stopping the run on first down and forcing Young into 2nd and long. If Texas' offense dictates the tempo of the game, and Ohio State's quarterback merry-go-round does not provide consistency, expect Texas to run away with a huge win. Expect Tressel to decide on a quarterback by the second quarter, whether it be Smith or Zwick. Texas will have trouble moving the ball on the Buckeyes, like against Oklahoma last year. Ohio State is too tough at the Horseshoe, Buckeyes win 20-14.

2. Notre Dame at Michigan- Notre Dame beat up on Pittsburgh, like the Panthers were a pestering little brother. Michigan is big brother ready to put the Irish back in line. Could it be Irish head coach Charlie Weis knew some of former AFC mate Dave Wannstedt's tendencies. Lets see him work the same magic on a defense he probably does not know? Michigan holds of a good Notre Dame offense just enough, and win 27-21.

3. LSU at Arizona State- This game has been moved from Baton Rouge to Tempe this week due the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. This could be good for LSU or it could be bad. Leaving all the mess behind in Louisiana, and coming out West just might be what the Tiger players need. On the other hand, opening up the season on the road in a tough environment, with your mind on Katrina, is tough. Tempe is not the best place to play early in the season if your goal is the national title. Ask Iowa last year, or Nebraska back in 1996, Tempe can be a buzzsaw. Unlike those games, this is not a "home" for Arizona State. It is not part of the season ticket package, so there could be a partisan crowd with a good portion rooting for LSU.

On paper the Tigers are bigger and faster. LSU needs to find good quarterback play, and last week's postponed game against North Texas would have been a good tune up. ASU looked great against Temple, albeit, the Owls are not great. With a game under their belt, ASU has a slight advantage. LSU will play with a lot of emotion, but the Sun Devils and some desert magic pull off the huge upset 34-24.

4. South Carolina at Georgia- Are the 'Dawgs for real, or is Boise State just overrated? It is both. Georgia will gain even more respect this week by beating their rival from the north. Spurrier and the Gamecocks were not able to run against Central Florida, and it only gets tougher against Georgia. Boise State was able to move the ball on the ground against the 'Dawgs, but the outcome had already been decided. South Carolina's passing game will be a good test for the Georgia's secondary. This game could become a shootout if neither is able to stop each other. D.J. Shockley will continue to impress Georgia wins 31-17.

5. Iowa at Iowa State- Iowa State did not look good against I-AA Illinois State, while Iowa looked unbeatable against I-A Ball State. All that is thrown out in this rivalry, but Iowa is clearly the better team. Iowa wins going away, 28-10.6. Clemson at Maryland- Clemson beat a very good Texas A&M team last week in Death Valley. The Tigers were able to move the ball on an improved A&M defense, but got field goals instead of touchdowns. Maryland had trouble against a rebuilding Navy squad, but showed adversity by coming from behind to win. College Park will be rocking and Maryland is a slight favorite, but Clemson got a much needed confidence boost with last week's win. Clemson could embark on a solid season with tough games coming at home in the next few weeks. A win on the road in ACC play would be huge for the Tigers. Clemson continues its good start with a big win over the Terps, 21-17.

7. Southern Mississippi at Alabama- Southern Mississippi's football program has been displaced due to Hurricane Katrina. Last week's opener against Tulane was postponed to November 26. Playing at Alabama and against that tough defense will be a huge obstacle to overcome for a team that has dealt with even more personal obstacles these past two weeks. With all the emotion, I give Southern Mississippi a fighters chance. Alabama's offense did not look impressive against Middle Tennessee State last week. Brodie Croyle is one of the better quarterbacks in the country, and the Tide need to roll to gain some offensive momentum before going on the road to face South Carolina next week. Bama wins a close one, 16-10.

3 potential upsets....What will happen- Arizona State beats LSU. See above. Weird, since ASU is actually a -1.5 favorite, but LSU is the better team, and a Sun Devil win will still send shock waves across the country.

What might happen-Washington over California. The Bears will start JC transfer Joseph Ayoob with Nate Longshore lost for the season with a broken leg. Ayoob was a dismal 0 for 10 last week against I-AA Sacramento State. Washington is coming off a tough last minute loss to Air Force, on the heels of a 1-10 season. The Huskies defense is good, one of the better units in the Pac 10. If the Huskies put eight in the box to stop running back Marshawn Lynch and force Ayoob to throw, UW has a good shot at the upset.

What is unlikely to happen-Marshall upsets Kansas State. The Herd pulled the unthinkable against the Wildcats two years ago in Manhattan, but Marshall is not that good this year. The early start(9:30 am CT) could make for a sluggish game for Kansas State, giving Marshall's homefield advantage another boost.

Pittsburgh(-14.5) at Ohio- The Panther offense is just too explosive for the Bobcats. Ohio will not be able to move the ball on Pitt like Notre Dame.

Georgia Tech(-12.5) vs North Carolina- Georgia Tech with a game under their belt, should easily open up their offense and score at will on the Tar Heels. North Carolina has too many holes on offense to have a chance against the Ramblin' Wreck defense.