Poll: UK voters support second Brexit vote by 16-point margin

British voters back a second referendum on the eventual Brexit deal by a margin of 16 percentage points, according to an ICM poll commissioned by the Guardian.

The survey, carried out in mid-January, found that 47 percent of those polled want to have a second say on Brexit when the final terms of the EU deal are known, with 34 percent against the idea. On the question of how they would vote, the poll — which had an unusually large sample size of 5075 people — found a slim majority for Remain with 51 percent of those who expressed a view in favor of staying in the EU.

Voters in Scotland, as well as the northern and southern parts of the country would vote in favour of remaining in the EU, while voters in the Midlands and Wales would still want to leave, the survey found. Forty-nine percent across the country believed that leaving would hurt the economy, with 36 percent rejecting that proposition.

In the Brexit referendum held in June, 2016, 51.9 percent of British voters opted for leaving the EU.

Drakes Drum

im guessing the poll was had in London, journalists dont seem to want to travel very far outside the M25, if its a guardian poll then of course it would say that, they wouldnt want to publish anything to hurt the socialist experiment that is the eu

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:19 AM CET

Julian

The whole Brexit can be narrowed down to just one basic reason: refugees, in particular, muslims. All the other reasons are resolvable through politics and votes. Now, take those of that religion out of our soil and return progress, democracy, and peace. Because wherever they come, they bring death and destruction. It’s time to return that favor.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:26 AM CET

From Warsaw with love

Brexit is Brexit! The only second referendum fish&chipsers can be the one on reapplying for EU membership.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:29 AM CET

robert downing

The ‘will of the people’ only works one way … and has a great big ‘Keep Right’ sign.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:29 AM CET

EUdoublestandards

@Unicorn Farmer

Torn society – actually I’m feeling pretty united with my fellow non-elites. I mean, when was the last time anyone in London actually stepped outside their bubble?

Fragmented country – depends how you look at it. If you take London and a few other privileged rich cities like Cambridge out of the equation – pretty much everywhere else in England and Wales was united. Scotland has been against anything the rest of us do for decades now – it didn’t just start with Brexit. Northern Ireland voted along sectarian lines – as usual.

As for the rest of your points – all perfectly valid – and all the product of a country run by elites, ruled for elites and f**k everyone else. Nevermind eh? With you classical education and talent for dead languages, I’m sure you live in a lovely house and have BUPA. The same people who caused all these problems are the same people desperately trying to convince us to stay in the EU. This time, they DON’T get what they want.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:35 AM CET

JPM

Such a red herring….

Never going to happen. No major political party sees a gain in re-splitting the country. The only parties that support this idea have no realistic prospect of winning the general election that would precede a second referendum.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:38 AM CET

Annabelle

@Priscilla Bleu
“Expect increase in % and 2nd ref not later than autumn 2018.”

Dream on.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:44 AM CET

Priscilla du Bleu

Guten Morgen to all my fellow Remoanies, Remtardies and Rewhiners on this blog!

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:47 AM CET

Unicorn Farmer

A poll of the Pro remain Guardian readers ?
A 16% remain poll of Guardian readers is not convincing at all !
FAKE NEWS.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:49 AM CET

tpk

@Priscilla du Bleu
“Guten Morgen to all my fellow Remoanies, Remtardies and Rewhiners on this blog!”

I am not ‘yours’ !

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:51 AM CET

Peter G

Does the guy who styles himself The Economist know that the news magazine The Economist thinks Brexit was and is a stupid idea? Just wondering.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 11:57 AM CET

Stefan M

In another vote, the pacific island of New Caledonia will hold a referendum on independence from France. Only islanders will be allowed to vote.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:00 PM CET

John Deer

Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:01 PM CET

The Economist

Interesting that the only person to throw insults at other commenters and their post remains.

Could their be a biased agenda at politico? Say it aint so…politico

Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:01 PM CET

jhk

There is a dangerous assumption being made here: that the result of a second referendum matters. Suppose the deal gets rejected. Then what? It is impossible to ‘just re-enter’ the EU. The UK has triggered Article 50 and left. No way the EU27 will receive the UK back under the pre-Brexit conditions; the UK will have to reapply for membership. Neither will it be possible to reopen negotiations to get a ‘better deal’. The choices of a second referendum will be: This Deal or No Deal.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:03 PM CET

Unicorn Farmer

The usual brexitroll psycho uses other people’s nicknames to make no point whatsoever.
If only you could channel that energy to get a job so that I would not be forced to sustain you with my taxes!

Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:03 PM CET

Long John

@Unicorn Farmer

Priscilla ?

Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:09 PM CET

Long John

@Unicorn Farmer

Priscilla is a Muslim ? It doesn’t matter to me.
Stop causing malcontent, you should be investigated.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:11 PM CET

JPM

Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:13 PM CET

klv

i got a solution for uk,pretty good:organize a party at donchester with your minister of family and youth!
Hilarious!
On serious note,eu is going to offer norway ish deal for uk,but if you are stubborn on ceta ++++,isn t going to work.
All european politicians are pushing for a bespoke deal,but all under eu law and with annual contribution.
Other option canda deal, as it is, and even JRM is good with that.
If not,no deal and wto , simple no?

Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:15 PM CET

klv

The UK can have no differentiated access to financial services. If you want access to the single market, including the financial services, be my guest. But it means that you need to contribute to the budget and acknowledge European jurisdiction. Such are the rules and we know this is the system already in place for Norway. And the rules are set by Germany.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:16 PM CET

crispin hythe

If it wasn’t for the English national sport of timewasting, the UK brexisuicide could be condensed as:
UK: We want to have our cake and eat it.
EU: No. You’ll take what you’re given, end of.
UK: All right then.
But why do EU folk here waste time reasoning with the Battalions of the Bonkers?
Facts cannot cure fools. Just agree with them:-
Yeah, this EU is well rubbish, innit! Look how our economy is shrinking! We hopeless Euros are stuck in the stone age! We have to drive Austins, Wolseleys and Triumphs because we can’t make cars! The EU is just 27 failed states, we admit it! So on yer bike, lucky little Nothengland! How we envy you, all alone on the Highway of Oblivion!

Priscilla de la Choucroute

HONEYS! Yes it’s me! I have decided to change my name because 1) I can show off one of the few words of French I know, and 2) it suits my character much better than ‘du Bleu’ as Choucroute of course translates as Sauerkraut. It’s a PUN! : Sauer Kraut! geddit? It’s me isn’t it down to a T, innit.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 1:11 PM CET

G127

I really hope they don’t do this. I can’t see anything positive come out of a new referendum: British society seems divided enough as it is.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 1:13 PM CET

Priscilla du JackBoot

Brexit is the best thing to happen to the UK since Niel Kinnock fell into the sea.
And Brexit is the worst thing to happen to the UK since GRees Smogg slithered into this world.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 1:35 PM CET

Vishnou

So what? Let the UK put their house in order. Not necessary to report on each and every hiccup on the British political scene.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 2:03 PM CET

bluebell

@robert downing
The ‘will of the people’ only works one way … and has a great big ‘Keep Right’ sign.

Am I right in assuming that you are implying the hard line Brexit supporters will wish once the UK is out of the EU to radically reduce the size of the state and turn the UK into a mini USA?

I would suggest that is an issue to be addressed and thwarted once Brexit is achieved.

Would it not be better to take one thing at a time so that we do not end up with terminal indigestion?

Posted on 1/27/18 | 2:14 PM CET

Labour Leave

The survey itself showed people in the Midlands would vote LEAVE, people in Wales would vote LEAVE, only the people polled from the ‘South’ would vote remain and even then by 48:52! Laughable cherry picking of anti-brexit propoganda by politico.
As for the pathetic Priscilla du Bleu, please refrain from commenting under my user name, it makes you appear even more pathetic than your trolling comments suggest.
Have a nice weekend ladies and gents, the sun is shining in Scotland.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 2:47 PM CET

Labour Leave

@ EUdoublestandards I’m on the same songsheet as you. Keep it real and enjoy your weekend.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 2:51 PM CET

mmmmbuti

@Labour Leave
The poll shows strong remain majority in Scotland, and marginal remain majority in the South and in the North of England.

@jhk
Numerous EU leaders, including Macron recently, stated that the UK would be welcome to change its mind at any time.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 3:07 PM CET

John C. Ojones

The UK is already OUT.
Thanks God and all the saints for that.
Nobody wants those useless moaners in the EU, or in any other trade bloc.
So dont waste your time….

Posted on 1/27/18 | 3:53 PM CET

jhk

@mmmmbuti
Of course the UK can change its mind. That is easy for Macron to say. However, did any political leader in the EU27 say “If the UK changes its mind, we’ll pretend nothing happend”?

Posted on 1/27/18 | 4:14 PM CET

Labour Leave

Ach awa ye bams! Abody kens that Brexit is really a bucket ‘o pish dreamed up by yir Tory rich to fleece us plebs and to strip Scotland and Wales of devolved rights.
Brexit has as much chance of being successful as a spuggie in a storm, or an untouched six pack in a Glesga tenement.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 4:35 PM CET

John C. Ojones

Posted on 1/27/18 | 5:04 PM CET

John C. Ojones

@Priscilla du Bleu

Got the rag on my dear ?
Try blaming someone else !
Don’t like it then don’t say, you are welcome to Go Home.
See if your EU can find yourself another job. 🙂

Posted on 1/27/18 | 5:08 PM CET

John C. O Bleu

Buggar oorf lardy girl. No one likes you !

Posted on 1/27/18 | 5:10 PM CET

John C. Ojones

Dear wow…
STOP posting those ridiculous cr@ppy videos.
And STOP reading the daily mail, daily express, daily telegraph and the rest of the daily shy*te.
It is bad for your brain cell.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 5:15 PM CET

Priscilla G OJones

@Priscilla G OJones

Your half of brain (lower half) is an embarrassment to your german mother and father.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 5:19 PM CET

Priscilla G OJones

Posted on 1/27/18 | 5:23 PM CET

Priscilla G Ojone tucked forelock. Trim it.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 5:33 PM CET

oden schutz

The miserable old life-haters are dying off, and the young are embracing their European future. All in order…

Observer

FAKE NEWS.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 6:21 PM CET

ondi fritz

@oden schutz

Forget the war ! Why you Germans keep dragging it up I have no idea.

Posted on 1/27/18 | 6:28 PM CET

Stefan M

That’s not me :
”Stefan M
In another vote, the pacific island of New Caledonia will hold a referendum on independence from France. Only islanders will be allowed to vote.”Posted on 1/27/18 | 12:00 PM CET

Posted on 1/27/18 | 6:53 PM CET

John C. Ojones

@Stefan M

And even if you were right, this would matter because Macron is the negotiator-in-chief and the only one who decides / approves the brexit deal in the EU parliament?

Posted on 1/27/18 | 7:00 PM CET

bluebell

@oden schutz
The miserable old life-haters are dying off, and the young are embracing their European future. All in order…

???
Alles in ordnung nicht so viel!

Posted on 1/27/18 | 7:31 PM CET

bluebell

@Julian
Because wherever they come, they bring death and destruction. It’s time to return that favor

And of course they buy our british stables, our british department stores, our british papers ….

The Economist

I have youtube, google, facebook and twitter all blocked and NONE can be used or accessed on my network so nice try I don’t know what you posted and don’t care!!!!!

Posted on 1/28/18 | 11:04 AM CET

The Economist

Posted on 1/28/18 | 11:43 AM CET

Vishnou

Posted on 1/28/18 | 12:33 PM CET

Vishnou

Posted on 1/28/18 | 12:34 PM CET

NHGJ

Brexiters have lost the economic and political argument for leaving the EU. The great British public have now woken up to this as the lies of £350 million a week to the NHS and the non-existent ‘benefit’ of taking back control.

Posted on 1/28/18 | 12:41 PM CET

Jason

& the other 60 million not polled say? Guardian the rag for skunk smoking , lazy no good for nothing left wing Owen Jones fans! Begging for money to continue writing anti brexit articles! BREXIT NOW!

Posted on 1/28/18 | 1:21 PM CET

Lardy Bottom half girl

@Jason
@NHGJ

Hello Priscilla.

Posted on 1/28/18 | 1:25 PM CET

Lardy Bottom half girl

I can lend you my spare shoehorn if you are struggling to get your tights on.

Posted on 1/28/18 | 1:27 PM CET

Perfidous Albino

The wind that’s blowing across Europe must have blown across the channel.
Or, maybe you inadvertently scooped something out of your backside while struggling with your shoehorn? Check the walls.

Posted on 1/28/18 | 3:54 PM CET

The Economist

@perfidious albino-fart

Hello Priscilla, your crown is slipping.

Posted on 1/28/18 | 4:49 PM CET

HelmutJ

It looks like the UK’s position is solidifying.
Its CETA+++ with WTO limits and tariffs on most EU agricultural products and several other areas. And the less the financial services the EU offers the more the areas where WTO will be applied (cars etc) to balance the books. That’s not so bad for either side. A win win for all.

Posted on 1/28/18 | 6:11 PM CET

johnathan

Just the Gaurdian trying to cook up a story:

Prof. John Curtice of Cardiff University and UK Polling Report are both the only reputable commenter on UK polls do not reflect this:

“ICM found 47% of people agreeing with a a statement that “I think the public should have the chance to take a final decision on whether or not to leave the EU in another referendum when the outcome of the negotiation is known?”. The Guardian have strangely written this up as a rise in Labour support for a second referendum, when ICM don’t appear to have ever asked this question before to compare it to. As all regular readers will know, how you ask a question can produce very different results and questions on a second referendum seem to show particular variation depending on how the question was asked (see an example here from Lord Ashcroft, asking the question in four different ways). In this case the question was asked as an agree/disagree structure (a question format that tends to produce a skew in favour of the statement), and characterised it in terms of “giving the public the chance to take a final decision”. My guess is that the higher support for a second referendum here may well be down to wording rather than a change in support, though as ever, we’ll only really know when we see repeats of questions that have been asked in the past. ”

The only people who have picked up this story are propaganda outlets.

Posted on 1/28/18 | 6:24 PM CET

johnathan

As a qualifier to the previous post the UK Polling Report states:

“ICM also asked some questions about a second EU referendum. Asked how people would vote in a second referendum 45% said they would vote to Remain, 43% to Leave. These figures are broadly typical of most recent polls asking about a second referendum, which tend to show a very small lead for Remain. As in most other cases this is not really due to people changing their minds (the number of Leave voters switching to Remain is pretty much cancelled out by Remain voters switching to Leave), but down to people who did not vote in 2016 disproportionately claiming they would now vote Remain. The referendum question in this poll was not weighted or filtered by likelihood to vote.”

Propaganda such as this poll is in the end counterproductive since in the days of the internet it is easily seen thro and no reputable outlet has picked it up. This particular example has been greeted with an embrassed silence that the poor old Guardian would use such crude stuff.

Posted on 1/28/18 | 6:32 PM CET

Banjo Tom

@johnathan

Good post, and agreed.
But those that had a vote and regret not voting didn’t lose their vote, they where counted as not caring one way or the other and lost any influence. That’s what happens in a democracy and highlights the need to take part in a vote if you have an opinion.
Most in the EU will never be offered the chance to take part in such an important vote.
If they are, it would be only at that point that I would like to see another referendum in the UK.

Posted on 1/28/18 | 6:53 PM CET

stubuoy

I believe the polls had a better result for the UK voting for remain!
5000 is not representative of 35000000 voters who choose to vote.
It seems to me the polls swing in the direction of whom so ever funds them. Where were the people polled? In what areas, city or rural, age profile, relative wealth, left or right leaning was this minuscule sample?