What could be the cause for sixteen years of no increase in global temperatures but an increase in carbon dioxide ? Are the climate models the problem or is there another cause ?

Climate is a function of several factors over many years. Temperatures for any given years are subject to the vagaries of statistical probability.

There is no problem with the theory, only with the question, which misapprehends climate change. The question is like asking what caused heads to come up three times in a row in a series of coin flips.

Signature

I cannot in good conscience support CFI under the current leadership. I am here in dissent and in support of a Humanism that honors and respects everyone.

What could be the cause for sixteen years of no increase in global temperatures but an increase in carbon dioxide ? Are the climate models the problem or is there another cause ?

As mentioned already, the climate models are fine, the question is the problem. The climate denial think tanks have done an excellent job of spreading fear, uncertainty and doubt, as they planned all along. In this case they cherry picked 1998, a statistical outlier, as their baseline for saying the climate is no longer warming. The fact is the first decade of the 21st Century was the warmest on record by a good margin. Until that became widely known the climate change deniers were saying the Earth was cooling. They changed their meme when it became impossible to explain how the Earth was cooling when we kept setting temperature records year after year. I wonder what they’ll be saying in 10 years when the U.S. Midwest record heat wave of 2012 becomes the norm.

Signature

You cannot have a rational conversation with someone who holds irrational beliefs.

At some point they will admit that the climate is warming because it will be too hard to deny any longer. At that point they wil switch their message to their current backup plan… that the earth is warming but it has nothing to do with man, its just part of a natural cyclical process that the climate has gone through in the past. Unfortunately its a lot easier to perpetuate that concept since its harder to disprove with 100% certainty.

Signature

For every complex problem there is a solution that is simple, obvious,.... and just plain wrong

It seems like we have to debunk this myth on a weekly basis, as it keeps popping up in the mainstream media. So, yet again, this is global warming:

The overall warming of the Earth over the past 15 years was larger than over the previous 15 years. Global warming has not stopped; it’s not even slowed down.

A leading purveyor of the myth to the contrary is journalist David Rose, of the British tabloid The Mail on Sunday and Vanity Fair. We’ve previously pre-bunked and debunked his articles on the subject, but he appears oblivious to any criticism of his work.

“No, the world ISN’T getting warmer (as you may have noticed),” wrongly begins an article published in last week’s Mail on Sunday. Try saying ‘there’s no noticeable warming’ to the Australians and Americans who suffered the greatest run of heat waves ever recorded; or the British or New Yorkers who were flooded out of their homes during 2012.

A new study of ocean warming has just been published in Geophysical Research Letters by Balmaseda, Trenberth, and Källén (2013). There are several important conclusions which can be drawn from this paper.

Completely contrary to the popular contrarian myth, global warming has accelerated, with more overall global warming in the past 15 years than the prior 15 years. This is because about 90% of overall global warming goes into heating the oceans, and the oceans have been warming dramatically.

Read the article completely. As always, the AGW deniers cherry pick evidence and ignore the total picture when they say the rate of warming has slowed.

Signature

You cannot have a rational conversation with someone who holds irrational beliefs.

A new study of ocean warming has just been published in Geophysical Research Letters by Balmaseda, Trenberth, and Källén (2013). There are several important conclusions which can be drawn from this paper.

Completely contrary to the popular contrarian myth, global warming has accelerated, with more overall global warming in the past 15 years than the prior 15 years. This is because about 90% of overall global warming goes into heating the oceans, and the oceans have been warming dramatically.

Read the article completely. As always, the AGW deniers cherry pick evidence and ignore the total picture when they say the rate of warming has slowed.

Figure 1: Ocean Heat Content from 0 to 300 meters (grey), 700 m (blue), and total depth (violet) from ORAS4, as represented by its 5 ensemble members. The time series show monthly anomalies smoothed with a 12-month running mean, with respect to the 1958–1965 base period. Hatching extends over the range of the ensemble members and hence the spread gives a measure of the uncertainty as represented by ORAS4 (which does not cover all sources of uncertainty). The vertical colored bars indicate a two year interval following the volcanic eruptions with a 6 month lead (owing to the 12-month running mean), and the 1997–98 El Niño event again with 6 months on either side. On lower right, the linear slope for a set of global heating rates (W/m2) is given.

You know you’re playing with quote mining and careful editing - that’s the stuff of fiction writers and NOT of the scientific endeavor. Which is in a struggle with all the unknowns and confusion of real biosphere evidence… trying to extract some genuine usable knowledge. To youz all that’s just a joke, to be derided and scorned - to me your attitude is a tragedy.
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

sp/d, {do} you practice that denialist’s art of compartmentalizing and pretending one matter/factor can be isolated from another. Does the term holistic mean anything to you? Biosphere? Web of existence?

The AGW consensus is NOT formed by scientists.
The AGW consensus IS compelled by the evidence.
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
One Directional Skepticism Equals Denial

The leopard will not change his spots….
pulling his tail is great sport….
The Warmists will continue to scream long after the ICE AGE has cooled the planet…..you see colder temps mean that the planet is warming…...
Give it up
You will be bigger people when you admit your errors…..

The leopard will not change his spots….
pulling his tail is great sport….
The Warmists will continue to scream long after the ICE AGE has cooled the planet…..you see colder temps mean that the planet is warming…...
Give it up
You will be bigger people when you admit your errors…..

Trolling is against the rules. Acting contrary to stated rules may get you banned. Thanks for understanding.

The leopard will not change his spots….
pulling his tail is great sport….
The Warmists will continue to scream long after the ICE AGE has cooled the planet…..you see colder temps mean that the planet is warming…...
Give it up
You will be bigger people when you admit your errors…..

So your original question was not a request for information, but rather slyly hidden bait. You are ignoring reality. Begone, troll.

Edit: Doug beat me to it, and he has the power of the blue font.

Signature

You cannot have a rational conversation with someone who holds irrational beliefs.

I also noticed that sine dues failed to take into account the effect AGW has on animal life and not just extinction due to rapid climate change. Animals are evolving to accommodate to the shift in temperatures, e.g. The European black cap is now migrating into new areas with colder climates, such as England where they didn’t previously exist. Mating and migratory patterns are being altered as well as nesting sites and food sources as plant life disappears or alters to produce tougher seeds. Yet another example of proof that AGW is a fact.