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CONFIRMED: New HampshireSen. Kelly Ayotte will march with Mitt Romney tomorrow in the Wolfeboro Fourth of July parade. She is the first VP contender to appear with Romney during his weeklong vacation.

NEW OBAMA AD – “OUTSOURCING VERSUS INSOURCING”: The reelection campaign’s latest contrast spot keeps up the attack on outsourcing and Bain Capital. “What a president believes matters,” a male narrator says earnestly. “Mitt Romney’s companies were pioneers in outsourcing U.S. jobs to low-wage countries. He supports tax breaks for companies that ship jobs overseas. President Obama believes in insourcing. He fought to save the U.S. auto industry and favors tax cuts for companies that bring jobs home. Outsourcing versus insourcing. It matters.” The 30-second commercial, called “Believes,” will air in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia. Watch: http://bit.ly/NZbbjw.

RNC ATTACKING OBAMA OVER “UNPATRIOTIC” DEBT: As part of the “promise gap” messaging push this week, the Republican National Committee is releasing a new web video that highlights video of Obama attacking George W. Bush four years ago for adding $4 trillion to the debt. The then-senator called it “irresponsible” and “unpatriotic.” Since Obama became president, over $5 trillion has been added to the debt. The one-minute video includes several clips of mainstream media figures like David Gregory and George Stephanopoulos lamenting the rise of the debt. Watch: http://bit.ly/LuaPSu.

ROMNEY INFOGRAPHIC HIGHLIGHTS UNEMPLOYMENT: Boston is poised to say that 8.4 million fewer Americans have jobs than what Obama promised. A Venn diagram highlights Christina Romer and Jared Bernstein’s January 2009 prediction that the stimulus could lower the unemployment rate to 5.6 percent by mid-2012 on one side against the reality of 8.2 percent unemployment on the other. In the middle is the “promise gap.” See it here: http://mi.tt/P14pyO.

DCCC HAS RAISED $2.3 MILLION SINCE THURSDAY: TheDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee will announce today that they’ve raised $2.3 million from 65,000 donors since the Supreme Court upheld the health care overhaul. The average contribution was $35. Saturday was the single biggest grassroots’ fundraising day in DCCC history, per Chairman Steve Israel.

MONTANA SNEAK PEEK – DEMS HITS REHBERG ON TAX VOTES: “After 12 years in Washington, Congressman Dennis Rehberg has forgotten where he comes from because Rehberg voted to protect special tax breaks for millionaires and billionaires, even while multimillionaires like Rehberg already pay a lower tax rate than the rest of us in Montana,” a male narrator says in an ad that the Montana Democratic Party will unveil later this morning. It is running as part of a DSCC-financed $400,000 flight that continues through Monday. Watch: http://bit.ly/OgOniZ.

EXCLUSIVE – MOVEON SPANISH AD HITS ROMNEY ON SCOTT’S PURGE: MoveOn.org Political Action is going on Florida TV with their first Spanish-language ad of the cycle to accuse Gov. Rick Scott of disproportionately targeting Latinos with his purge of the voter rolls and to say that Romney could benefit if Latinos are prohibited from voting. It’s a five-figure buy but that will put the ad up in Miami, Orlando and Tampa from Thursday through Saturday. Here’s the translated script: “With exclusion from the voting rolls by Governor Scott, Latinos will be the most affected. And if the Latinos don’t vote, Mitt Romney wins. This exclusion is not only illegal, it’s also racist. Why doesn’t Mitt Romney disapprove?" MoveOn has decided to make challenging voter suppression a top priority this cycle. Watch the 60-second spot: http://bit.ly/LNWNt8.

WHAT BIDEN IS UP TO: At 10, he and Jill address the National Education Association's 150th Annual Meeting at the Washington Convention Center in DC. Then they fly to Scranton, Pa., for a 4:30 campaign event. At 7:30, Biden speaks at Scranton’s Courthouse Square fireworks celebration. Then he flies to Wilmington, Delaware.

PROGRAMMING NOTE: There will be no Score tomorrow.

DAYS UNTIL THE ELECTION: 126.

EMERGING NARRATIVE – NO BIG POST-SCOTUS BOUNCE FOR OBAMA: “Four surveys conducted since Thursday’s 5-4 ruling upholding the Affordable Care Act’s individual mandate show a slight uptick in favorability for his health care reforms,” Reid Epstein notes. “Pollsters, though, attribute that as much to Americans wanting to side with a winner than any permanent support: The numbers show an electorate slightly in favor of the law, even if they don’t know too much about it. And the bitter divide remains. Republicans are still angry about the decision and vow to see it overturned and Democrats say they’d rather be discussing something else.” Reid: http://politi.co/KXExSQ. Good table-setter by the AP’s Chuck Babington on how static the race is (via the Denver Post): http://bit.ly/MQn2nr.

FIRST IN SCORE – OBAMA HOLDS IN DAILY KOS/SEIU STATE OF THE NATION POLL: After the Supreme Court rulings on health care and immigration, this week's poll (conducted by Public Policy Polling) finds that Obama has maintained his lead over Romney 48% to 45%. This is identical to the week before the rulings. 4-pages of crosstabs from the Democratic firm: http://bit.ly/LULs0J.

CNN/ORC: 52% favor all or most of health care law. In the oversampled battlegrounds, though, 60% support repealing the law. Obama leads 49-46. Their story: http://bit.ly/N5kbmb. Toplines: http://bit.ly/MrDEDd.

GALLUP: 46% agree with the court’s decision. 46% disagree. 38% would either keep the law in place or expand it. 42% would repeal all or parts of it. The same data has Obama leading 48 to 43, the president’s biggest lead among registered voters since April. Frank Newport explains: http://bit.ly/N5e6tB.

MITT DOES NOT THINK INDIVIDUAL MANDATE IS A TAX: “The path Mitt Romney needs to walk on health care got a little bit narrower Monday, when one of the Republican’s top advisers declared in a TV interview the presumptive GOP nominee agrees with the Obama administration that the individual mandate to buy health insurance is a penalty, not a tax,” Alex Burns writes. “The comments by Romney strategist Eric Fehrnstrom go to the core of the political clash that has unfolded between President Barack Obama and the GOP since last week’s Supreme Court ruling…Strategists familiar with the Romney campaign’s thinking say there’s a recognition Fehrnstrom — an aide known for his closeness to the candidate — fumbled the message…But going forward, strategists say Romney intends to continue attacking Obama over the ACA, including the mandate. The argument is, essentially, that Obama can pick his poison: either admit that the mandate is a tax, or acknowledge that the law is unconstitutional. Romney’s personal view of the mandate is secondary.” http://politi.co/N60nCx

ROMNEY CLASHED WITH MURDOCH ON IMMIGRATION: Maggie Haberman reports on the exchange at a meeting for about 40 top donors and media elites at the Union League Club in Manhattan late Thursday afternoon. Murdoch, according to three sources, told Romney on the issue of immigration generally, “You have to take the fight to Obama on this.”More: “Romney said the Hispanic vote is important, noting he has Sen. Marco Rubio on the trail for him and that one of his own sons speaks Spanish, but indicated he is not going to change positions from some of what he said in the primaries. ‘I know I took some positions in the primary that are’ hard to contend with in a general, Romney said, according to two sources. ‘I am not going to be a flip-flopper,’ he added…He talked more about the various concerns that he has to balance in terms of competing constituencies who have different views — and noted, two sources said, the precise percentage that Hispanic voters make up in the swing states, a figure that was less than 20 percent…At one point, the sources said, Romney conceded that Obama had made a smart political maneuver with the executive action he took on immigration.” http://politi.co/LNNcCE

JACK WELCH TWEETS: “Hope Mitt Romney is listening to Murdoch advice on campaign staff…playing in league with Chicago pols...No room for amateurs.” http://bit.ly/LNUMgo

MITT VISITING ISRAEL THIS SUMMER: He’ll meet with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the New York Times reports. “Mr. Romney, who has pledged to ‘do the opposite’ of the Obama administration on matters pertaining to Israel, is also expected to meet with Salam Fayyad, the prime minister of the Palestinian Authority; President Shimon Peres of Israel; the American ambassador, Daniel B. Shapiro; and leaders of the opposition Labor Party in Jerusalem. He plans to have at least one public event in a trip that will likely last less than two days.” The exact date is not known. He could tack it on to his London trip, where he’ll be for the opening ceremony of the Olympics. http://nyti.ms/N5Xjqf

VANITY FAIR DOES TAKEOUT ON HIS OFFSHORE ACCOUNTS: Nicholas Shaxson writes a long piece that the Obama campaign blasted out at 12:34 a.m. “To give but one example, there is a Bermuda-based entity called Sankaty High Yield Asset Investors Ltd., which has been described in securities filings as ‘a Bermuda corporation wholly owned by W. Mitt Romney.’… Romney failed to list this entity on several financial disclosures, even though such a closely held entity would not qualify as an “excepted investment fund” that would not need to be on his disclosure forms. He finally included it on his 2010 tax return. Even after examining that return, we have no idea what is in this company, but it could be valuable, meaning that it is possible Romney’s wealth is even greater than previous estimates. While the Romneys’ spokespeople insist that the couple has paid all the taxes required by law, investments in tax havens such as Bermuda raise many questions, because they are in ‘jurisdictions where there is virtually no tax and virtually no compliance,’ as one Miami-based offshore lawyer put it.” http://vnty.fr/Ohdp1e

RUSSIANS WARN ROMNEY COULD BRING “FULL-SCALE CRISIS”: “Alexey Pushkov, chairman of the international affairs committee of the State Duma, said in a recent interview that Russian leaders have noted Romney’s comments with concern, and are watching with interest as neoconservative and ‘realist’ advisers maneuver for influence within the campaign,” the Los Angeles Times’ Paul Richter reports from Moscow. “‘We don’t think that for us Romney will be an easy partner,’ said Pushkov, an ally of President Vladimir Putin…He also noted Romney’s statements that the United States should assert its dominance in the 21st century. ‘If he is serious about this, I’m afraid he may choose the neocon-type people…In the first year of his presidency, we may have a full-scale crisis,’ he said.” It’s a blast from the past that sounds reminiscent of what the Soviets said about Ronald Reagan in 1980: http://lat.ms/MS3IF2. MEANWHILE, the AP reports that Obama is considering large cuts in our nuclear arsenal: http://wapo.st/N66x5V.

AS MANY ALABAMIANS THINK MORMONS ARE NOT CHRISTIANS AS DO: Romney will obviously win Alabama so the point of this might be moot. But here’s a Press-Register write-up of a poll from the Capital Survey Research Center, the polling arm of the Alabama Education Association: “43 percent said they were more likely to vote for an evangelical born-again Christian, compared to just 7 percent for a Mormon…Conversely, only 6 percent said they were less likely to vote for an evangelical Christian, compared to 24 percent for a Mormon, 74 percent for an Atheist and 63 percent for a Muslim. Voters were divided when asked whether or not Mormonism was a Christian religion -- 36 percent said it was, 35 percent said it was not, and 29 percent said they weren’t sure.” http://bit.ly/MS68DA

BARCLAYS EXEC NO LONGER HOSTING MITT FUNDRAISER: “Romney’s campaign says that Bob Diamond, the embattled chief executive of Barclays bank, will no longer be co-hosting a London fund-raiser,” the Boston Globe reports. “Diamond, a Concord, Mass., native who oversees one of the world’s largest banks, has been embroiled in a rate-fixing scandal in Britain that is threatening to expand.” Breaking news is that he did resign: http://bo.st/N61eDx.

ANN CONTINUES MEDIA CHARM OFFENSIVE: She talked with USA Today’s Susan Page for a mini-profile. “Down the road, she intends to write a book, though not one focused on the campaign. ‘There's probably been a lot of books like that,’ she demurs. Instead, she wants to write ‘about facing life's challenges.’” http://usat.ly/MQeSvb

CAMPAIGN RATCHETS UP EVANGELICAL OUTREACH: “In just the last few weeks, Mitt Romney has spoken on the phone a couple times with popular evangelical pastor Rick Warren and there have been efforts to try and schedule a face-to-face meeting between Romney and Dr. James Dobson,” Christian Broadcasting Network anchor David Brody reports on his blog. “…Last week around seventy conservative Christian leaders met in the suburbs of Washington DC to discuss what it would take to get behind Romney. The meeting was off the record but the goal was to figure out ways to get the conservative Christian base mobilized and excited about the GOP presidential nominee. Many at the meeting were those who attended a similar meeting in Texas during the GOP Primary when those same leaders were trying to figure out which Republican candidate to get behind.” http://bit.ly/MrWg64

OBAMA TALKERS—

WALL STREET IS STILL GIVING TO PRESIDENT: “Defying expectations, the securities and investment industry has remained an important part of the Obama fundraising effort,” Peter Nicholas and Daniel Lippman write on A4 of today’s Wall Street Journal. “Mr. Obama and the Democratic National Committee raised more than $14 million from the securities and investment industry through the end of April, according to the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics. Mr. Obama's campaign alone raised $361,000 from the industry in May…It's true that those totals are well below the $28.2 million that Mr. Obama, together with the DNC, raised from the industry throughout the 2008 campaign. And Mr. Obama has fewer securities and investment fundraisers than he did four years ago, though he still has time to bring more people into the fold… [BUT] the securities and investment sector still holds the third spot among the top 10 interest groups in the most recent rankings of individual donations to the Obama campaign and the DNC.” http://on.wsj.com/MrPDkk

NO MARTHA’S VINEYARD VACATIONS THIS YEAR: “After three consecutive summer vacations on Martha’s Vineyard, President Obama and his family apparently will not be relaxing on the island this year as a heated presidential campaign gathers momentum toward what is expected to be a close election,” the Boston Globe reports. “The State Police detachment on the island has been told that the president will not be coming; extensive bookings to house the president’s staff and security have been canceled by the White House travel office; and the 28-acre waterfront ­estate in Chilmark where the Obamas stayed the last three years has been sold to a British couple. As a result, tee times in mid-to-late August might be easier to book on the Vineyard’s golf courses…and traffic might be slowed only by the normal congestion that makes summer driving on the Vineyard a stop-and-go endurance test.” http://bo.st/MR2nN0

VEEPSTAKES—BOB MCDONNELL TO CHAIR RNC PLATFORM COMMITTEE: The Virginia governor will be in Tampa from Aug. 19-21 in Tampa to lead meetings of the platform committee ahead of the actual convention.“McDonnell chairing platform committee means Team Romney sees him as AG material, not Veep,” Ben Domenech notes. http://bit.ly/P4LR1P

BATTLEGROUND BRIEFING—THE PATH TO 270:

NORTH CAROLINA LEGISLATURE OVERRIDES FRACKING VETO: “Republicans successfully overrode Gov. Bev Perdue’s veto of a fracking bill during a dramatic vote taken just after 11 p.m. Monday,” the News and Observer reports. “But like the legislation itself, the vote to override was controversial.Rep. Becky Carney, a Democrat from Mecklenburg County who opposes fracking, pushed the wrong button and accidentally voted with Republicans to override the veto. A maneuver by Wake County Republican Paul ‘Skip’ Stam prevented her from changing her vote, giving the GOP a historic one-vote margin of victory.‘It was a huge mistake,’ Carney said afterward. ‘I take full responsibility.’” http://bit.ly/NhnubV

“BRANSTAD OPPOSITION TO MEDICAID EXPANSION COULD REBUFF $800 MILLION IN FED AID”: That’s how it is playing in the Des Moines Register. “Gov. Terry Branstad today reaffirmed his resistance to expanding Medicaid, a stance that could rebuff $800 million in annual federal money to cover 150,000 poor Iowans who now have no health insurance,” writes Tony Leys. “The Republican governor has long raised doubts about President Obama’s plan to expand Medicaid, which now generally doesn’t cover poor adults who lack minor children or serious disabilities. The U.S. Supreme Court ruled last week that the federal government can’t force states to accept such people into the joint federal and state program. Branstad says he doesn’t believe the federal government has the resources to expand the program.” http://dmreg.co/MFwTNI

OHIO’S KASICH IS NON-COMMITTAL: “Republican Gov. John Kasich said that Ohio will ‘probably’ let the federal government run the state health insurance marketplace required to be up and running by 2014 under the Affordable Care Act,” the Cleveland Plain Dealer’s Sarah Tribble reports. “The governor also left up in the air whether the state will participate in an expansion of Medicaid that would provide health coverage for hundreds of thousands of low-income Ohioans. Kasich, in his first public appearance since Thursday’s [decision]… said he will not provide a ‘deadline’ as to when he will decide on either establishing the exchange or participating in the expansion, though it is likely he will decide on Ohio's exchange first.” http://bit.ly/LUVyi6

WEST VIRGINIA SENATE SNEAK PEEK – RAESE AD WARNS ABOUT END OF COAL: Republican John Raese will air an ad during local newscasts tonight in three West Virginia media markets: Beckley, Bluefield and Parkersburg. A creepy male narrator voice intones: “Lisa Jackson, Cecil Roberts, Barack Obama, and Joe Manchin. It’s the gang of four. The end of coal.” Then the candidate appears: “The President and his EPA have been waging war on West Virginia coal, and the people who should be fighting for coal – Cecil Roberts and Joe Manchin – have supported the Obama Administration every step of the way.” The campaign isn't disclosing the size of the buy. Watch: http://bit.ly/NgWklA.

MISSOURI SENATE – MCCASKILL SAYS OBAMA APPROVES OF DECISION TO SKIP DNC: “Sen. Claire McCaskill on Monday set a feisty, defiant tone for her re-election campaign, declaring that Republicans are ‘spinning distortions and lies’ about the health care law,” The Kansas City Star’s Steve Kraske reports. “During a kickoff event in Independence, the Democrat said that if Missourians give the recently upheld law a chance, ‘they’re really going to be pleasantly surprised.’ … She said she is proud to be a ‘middle-of-the-roader’ and someone who embraces compromise. At the end of a brief news conference, McCaskill said President Barack Obama approves of her decision not to attend the Democratic National Convention in September. ‘He thinks it’s the right thing to do,’ the senator said. ‘The notion that I would be out hobnobbing with donors at cocktail parties after Labor Day rather than here in Missouri fighting, if the Republicans think I’m that dumb, they’ve got me confused with somebody else.’” http://bit.ly/LNSo9t

NEBRASKA SENATE – STATE DEMS RUN ATTACK AD AGAINST DEB FISCHER: “The state Democratic Party argued Monday that Fischer's refusal to consider raising any taxes meant that ‘tax breaks’ for the wealthy would continue,” the Omaha World-Herald reports. “The Democrats' criticism came in a television advertisement that was the first negative broadside against Fischer since she won her party's nomination in the May primary. The argument that Fischer supports tax breaks for the wealthy is based on her decision to sign an anti-tax pledge put forth by Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform.” Ad embedded at the bottom of the story: http://bit.ly/P4WtOa.

HOUSE MAJORITY PAC, SEIU AD RESERVATIONS: We told you yesterday that House Majority PAC and Service Employees International Union would reserve about $20 million of television ad time in 38 markets. $16 million of the buy will be picked up by House Majority PAC and $3.7 million by the SEIU. No huge surprises on the buy list, but what's somewhat notable might be the reservations in Chicago. They are reserving $2.4 million, and the DCCC did almost $3 million - so nearly $5.5 million total for Democrats. They’re also reserving time to try protecting John Barrow in Georgia, a market the NRCC is targeting. Here’s a copy of the buy list my market: http://bit.ly/LUYGdN.

TEXAS HOUSE – FARENTHOLD SISTER’S HOME RAIDED: “Police in Texas raided the home of Rep. Blake Farenthold’s sister, a local television station reported Monday. KRIS TV reported that a SWAT team searched her Corpus Christi home, looking for drugs and weapons,” per Jake Sherman. “I am saddened to learn the terrible news of the situation unfolding around my sister,” Farenthold said in a statement, released by his Congressional office. “Tragedy has occurred in my family in the past, and I am saddened it has happened again. I trust that law enforcement officials are doing their job and I support them carrying out their duty, regardless of where it takes them. I love my sister and ask for your prayers for her and the rest of my family as we work through this very difficult time.” http://politi.co/R1uwEc

NEW YORK HOUSE – RANGEL CHALLENGER PLANS COURT CHALLENGE: “…The second-place finisher, State Senator Adriano Espaillat, for the first time publicly questioned the results, calling it a ‘phantom election,’” the New York Times’ Kate Taylor reports. “‘We cannot have a Florida type of situation in New York State,’ Mr. Espaillat said…He spoke to reporters before visiting a senior center in Washington Heights, a predominantly Hispanic neighborhood where, he said, many voters were turned away last Tuesday by poll workers who said there was no record that they were on the voter rolls. ‘I have received hundreds of complaints of voter suppression and voters’ being turned away,’ Mr. Espaillat said. ‘We will go to court, and we will go to the final round. I am going to fight to ensure that every single vote is counted.’” http://nyti.ms/N5q56I

NEWT GINGRICH expressed support at a rally in Paris on Sunday for the MEK, an Iranian opposition group that TPM says the State Department considers a terrorist organization. Short video: http://bit.ly/NsvKUh.

CODA – QUOTE OF THE DAY: “The fact is, I'm gay, always have been, always will be, and I couldn’t be any more happy, comfortable with myself, and proud.” – CNN’s Anderson Cooper comes out of the closet http://bit.ly/NZC472