Wednesday, 1 August 2012

ColdFustion's Predictions Of The Future Of Tech Till The Year 2020

So I was just listening to my ipod touch the other day and began to think about the history of the ipod and if apple would eventually abandon the whole ipod line up because of the rapidly shrinking market. Somehow these thoughts progressed and I began to think about the future of all the major tech companies from a tech analyst's point of view.

Here's what I came up with. (A word of warning, these are only creative guesses and I couldn't possibly see +20 years in the future with 100% accuracy) This was fun to write and hopefully it's fun to read.

We'll start with Samsung:

SAMSUNG

2012-2013:

Samsung releases Note 2 in late 2012/ early 2013 with a larger
5.5 screen but the NOTE’s overall footprint is reduced. It features the same
processor as S3 but with modified dedicated graphics. Benchmarks show that the
Note 2 is the fastest device to date.

Sales are a runaway success. To the extent of original Note
and galaxy S3 combined (with people from the S3 market, Original Note market,
undecided-between-the-two-market and I’m-sick-of-iOS-market joining forces).

2015:

Samsung focuses more on the Galaxy S # and Galaxy Note #
series on the high end but still maintains a strong low end market.

APPLE

2012-2014:

Apple starts to really feel the pinch of all the court
cases, suing and bad publicity (foxxcon ). Fans slowly begin to leave towards
the Note, S3 or One X.

The Iphone 5 “the new iphone” is released, larger screen and a few interesting
features. The new iphone surpasses the iphone 4 sales but not iphone 4S sales.
Samsung is #1 at this point.

Apple Reviews ipod models and ceases support for the
classic. They chose only to concentrate on the shuffle and ipod touch.

**By 2015 the touch finally gets a tele-communications radio that is small
enough in size to allow a similar form factor to previous models. The ipod
touch eventually morphs into an “iphone air”-esqu product that cheaper
and less powerful than the iphone, its gets larger screen just like iphone.

HTC

Early 2013:

HTC realise that the “one” series was a slight disappointment
due to the camera, wifi and various other scattered issues and the galaxy S3’s
success.

HTC keeps with beats and doctor dre till about 2015, but
start feeling the financial pinch. At this point HTC ditch beats and partner
with the floundering digital audio company, creative, eventually purchasing a division
of the company.

MOTOROLA

Late 2013:

-The secretive Motorola mobility section that was purchased
by google unleash a new brand of phone to replace the “nexus” fragmented brand.
This comes as a surprise move to some.

-Motorola also resolve their court disputes with Microsoft around this time.

GOOGLE

2013:

By 2013 Most phones come with jelly bean and hence Google Now
. It starts a mini revolution among android.

2014:

Google glasses are almost a flop at first but after multiple
iterations they start to catch on by 2014, they are starting to become established.

2015:

Android 6.1 is a major step up from the previous versions and renders iOS
almost obsolete.

Google works its way into every OS in the form of chrome, which
eventually turns out to be a light OS inside a browser that runs on top of any
existing OS

2020:

** Google, lose vision and close off android’s open source nature during extremely
tough economic times (not the decision of Androids leaders). They only resort to
licencing out versions of the OS.

This move kills off the hundreds of small localised manufactures that thrived
off low end android smartphones. Samsung has enough say to licence a
respectable version of the OS.

MICROSOFT

2014:

Windows phone just can’t find a solid following and soon
windows stop support. They keep the ideas and experiences learnt from windows
phone to make windows 9 tablets which are 5-7 inches and have a phone mode
supported by Nokia. (the partnership between Nokia and Microsoft during the Lumia era proved the most fruitful)

Microsoft based intel (super efficient) or ARM based tablet-ultrabook
hybrids become the norm and Microsoft regains some ground against the mac line up
from apple.

NOKIA

2017:

Nokia sinks with WP and but help out with windows 9 tablets. Nokia gets merged with carl zeiss (digital imaging specialists) to stay
afloat. Nokia also keeps a few camera specialised phones under their name.

RIM

2016:

RIM after the failure of the playbook 2 - 10inch (if they ever do get around to it), failed (but solid) OS
and major slump in black berry sales, announces bankruptcy and its divisions
are bought out by other large manufacturers.

2014:

2015:

The power and capabilities of hardware completely cease to
an issue. By this time It becomes impossible to keep up to date with the
generations of phones because as soon as you buy one, within the next few
months, the technologies, yields and manufacturing methods has improved so much
that there is potential for a new chip set offering 10x the performance of
yours while using half the power.

About Me

Since 2006 i've been into making mobile devices better. I started customising with a sony ericsson k750i and moved to an htc hd2, and that's where things took off. Not sure why you're reading this but enjoy the site!