AcknowledgementsWageningen University & Research (NL) and University of Nebraska-Lincoln (USA) are leading this research. The authors are grateful for financial support from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions, and Markets (PIM) and the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), carried out with support from CGIAR Fund Donors and through bilateral funding agreements: https://ccafs.cgiar.org/donors