‘Project Runway’ Season 16 Episode 1 Betting Odds

–’Project Runway’ will feature a wide array of models this year ranging in size from 0 to 22.

–’Project Runway’ has already been renewed for two more seasons after this one.

–Season 16 of ‘Project Runway’ will debut on August 17, 2017 at 8:00 PM Eastern on the Lifetime Network

When I did the original odds to win Season 16 of ‘Project Runway’ I had very little to work with. It was really just the list of contestants which I then researched online. There’s a lot more to work with now as we’re nearing the season premiere and for that reason you’ll notice that the odds have changed dramatically as my opinion has changed and as I’ve been able to assimilate the opinions of hardcore fans of the show.

‘Project Runway‘ is–in my opinion at least–one of the more ‘watchable’ of all reality shows. The contestants display skill and have to execute in less than favorable circumstances and on tight timeframes. There’s often a legitimate ‘clash of personalities’ (as opposed to the manipulated ‘conflict’ on many such shows) and that’s another factor that the aspiring designers have to deal with. From an oddsmaking standpoint, it also works well and presents the opportunity for a variety of weekly odds on who will get eliminated and so forth. The show is hosted by the still ridiculously gorgeous at age 44 Heidi Klum and the ever dapper Tim Gunn. Gunn has held many roles in the fashion business during his 60 plus years but none as high profile as this.

One major change this year is the addition of ‘plus size’ models. The aforementioned Mr. Gunn ‘cut a promo’ on the fashion industry last year taking them to task for not making clothes for ‘real women’. Actually, he was speaking specifically of *American* women. While there may be some truth to his critique it’s interesting that this problem doesn’t exist in many other countries where the women have no trouble fitting into traditional clothing sizes. I’m not sure that it’s the fashion industry’s responsibility to target their products to the sort of hefty, clogged veined, scooter riding monsters that infest Wal Mart stores from coast to coast. Maybe it’s the responsibility of these big gals to push themselves away from the buffet table and lead a less sedentary lifestyle? Ultimately, if Gunn is right the fashion industry will collectively pay the price in the marketplace if they ignore the big gals. Or else the problem will be solved by new companies coming into the market to meet this ‘demand’ to the extent that it really exists.

WHATS UP FOR SEASON SIXTEEN

In addition to the change to models of larger girth there appears to be a few other things in the works for the new season. A trailer released by the Lifetime Network suggests something of a ‘cheating scandal’ is afoot. A contestant is shown suggesting that the competition is ‘not fair’ after which Tim Gunn is seen ‘cutting a promo’ to the same effect. Here’s the video–I’ll quote the important parts if you don’t want to watch it:

Lifetime released a trailer for the season, via Entertainment Tonight, and it is heavy on the tears and drama. We see designer Michael Brambila walk off the runway, after telling the judges, “The way that it was done, I do not agree with.” The stunned judges looked on, asking what happened. Backstage, we see Michael say, “I came to play fair, and there is no fairness in this game.”

We also see Tim Gunn backstage, looking right into the camera to say, “This is cheating. It all has to stop.” That’s followed by Tim in the workroom telling a group of designers, “This entire thing disgusts me. It was unprofessional, unseemly, atrocious.”

So there we go. It could be selective editing to make the situation appear more dire than it really is. Still, it would be one thing for a contestant to suggest the fix is in but it’s another thing entirely for the erstwhile Mr. Gunn to make the same case. Anyway, here’s the revised odds to win Season 16 of ‘Project Runway’ along with some prop odds for Episode 1:

WILL ANY JUDGE ASK ‘WHERE IS SHE GOING’ OR ‘WHERE IS SHE GOING IN THIS OUTFIT’ IN EPISODE 1?

Yes: +180
No: -210

WILL ANY JUDGE SAY THAT A DESIGN ‘LOOKS EXPENSIVE’ IN EPISODE 1?

Yes: +180
No: -210

WILL ANY JUDGE SAY ‘I WOULD WEAR THAT’ IN EPISODE 1?

Yes: +180
No: -210

WILL ANY CONTESTANT SAY ‘THIS IS A COMPETITION’ IN EPISODE 1?

Yes: +300
No: -450

WILL ANY CONTESTANT USE THE EXPRESSION ‘WHO I AM AS A DESIGNER’ IN EPISODE 1??

Yes: +180
No: -210

WILL ANYONE ON THE SHOW USE THE EXPRESSION ‘MAKE IT WORK’ IN EPISODE 1??

Yes: -280
No: +250

WILL ANYONE ON THE SHOW SAY THE WORD ‘MATRONLY’ IN EPISODE 1?

Yes: -150
No: +130

WILL ANY DESIGNER SUFFER AN INJURY IN EPISODE 1?

Yes: +600
No: -750

WILL ANY DESIGNER CRY ON CAMERA IN EPISODE 1?

Yes: -180
No: +150

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.