Lean D. This poll is something of an outlier and I expect the margin to thin out but to claim Evers isn't a solid favorite is ludicrous.

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"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere. We are caught in an inescapable network of mutuality, tied in a single garment of destiny. Whatever affects one directly, affects all indirectly." - Martin Luther King, Jr.

Definitely think its closer to Evers +8 than +10 but I knew the Marquette poll was Republican-friendly. Considering Trump approval and those congressional ballot numbers (which aren't too bad for Republicans in a D-friendly midterm) Walker is in trouble, and he is an underdog at this point.

Definitely think its closer to Evers +8 than +10 but I knew the Marquette poll was Republican-friendly. Considering Trump approval and those congressional ballot numbers (which aren't too bad for Republicans in a D-friendly midterm) Walker is in trouble, and he is an underdog at this point.

Keep this in mind before you start celebrating and getting complacent...

NBC/Marist is going to release a Wisconsin poll at 5pm. Going to get a comparison.

Also remember, Wisconsin is one of the states where we had the issue of pollsters not weighing for education. NBC/Marist still does not weight for education, but Marquette does. The average of the past two LV screen weighted BA+ at 40%. Good to have that number in mind when looking at the new NBC/Marist poll later this afternoon.

Even though Marist does not weight for education, the likely voter same is 44% college educated, which is only 4 points higher than what Marquette, who does weigh for education, has averaged the past two months.

So this is a bit higher than normal, but not radically higher to the point you have to question the sample.

Definitely think its closer to Evers +8 than +10 but I knew the Marquette poll was Republican-friendly. Considering Trump approval and those congressional ballot numbers (which aren't too bad for Republicans in a D-friendly midterm) Walker is in trouble, and he is an underdog at this point.

Keep this in mind before you start celebrating and getting complacent...

NBC/Marist is going to release a Wisconsin poll at 5pm. Going to get a comparison.

Also remember, Wisconsin is one of the states where we had the issue of pollsters not weighing for education. NBC/Marist still does not weight for education, but Marquette does. The average of the past two LV screen weighted BA+ at 40%. Good to have that number in mind when looking at the new NBC/Marist poll later this afternoon.

They are only off Marquette's average by 4 points, totally within the realm of possibility.

Definitely think its closer to Evers +8 than +10 but I knew the Marquette poll was Republican-friendly. Considering Trump approval and those congressional ballot numbers (which aren't too bad for Republicans in a D-friendly midterm) Walker is in trouble, and he is an underdog at this point.

Agreed. Plus there was no way Baldwin was ahead by double digits while Evers wasn't at least eeking out Walker by like three points.

If Walker loses, then people should honestly thank me for doing my part in reminding people to not be complacent and to go out there and vote. Also, that would mean that Dems are learning how to win the Midwest again.

If Walker loses, then people should honestly thank me for doing my part in reminding people to not be complacent and to go out there and vote. Also, that would mean that Dems are learning how to win the Midwest again.

So if Walker loses, people should give the credit to some random Internet forum poster? Okay...

ORourke today is probably the most far-left candidate out there. Running of Medicare-for-all, abolishing ICE, No PAC money along with positions like impeaching Trump. In 2018, O'Rourke is to the left of Sanders & Warren & Brown !