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STUDY GUIDE FOR BAYES RULE
Do the following questions at the end of Chapter 7 in the Hacking book:
1, 2, 3, 6, and 7 (especially 2 and 3).
Know why base rates are important. (See pp. 72-73 in Hacking and the Chapter 7
lecture notes.) Review the Sideswip

Probability Rule Sheet
The following rules are all fair game for the second midterm and final. Note that many
of these rules are interderivable and there will often be more than one way to apply
them to solve a given problem.
Subtraction Rule for Negation

Sample Questions Relevant to Chs 16-19
Question 1
John Culvenor, et al, won an Ig Nobel prize for their study An Analysis of the Forces
Required to Drag Sheep Over Various Surfaces. Among the surfaces tested were wood
and plastic.
Assume that five trials