Tuesday, November 06, 2012

Republicans Lead Colorado Early Voting; Looking Real Good For Mitt...

Via the Colorado Secretary of State: 653,000 Democrats cast early ballots, while 688,000 Republicans tossed theirs in early, as did 547,000 unaffiliated voters.

Ignoring the 20,000 Greens and what-nots, you have the following percentages (very, very slightly rounded):

Democrats: 34.5%Republicans: 36.5%Independents: 29%

That gives the Republicans a 2% point lead in early votes. Now apply the 57% Romney /43% Obama independent split seen in most recent national polls, and apply it to the current Colorado vote totals, and you get the following:

Obama / Democrats: 888,000 Romney / Republicans: 1,000,000

Now let's look at the early voting totals for2008, and see how the percentages panned out for the 1.7 million votes cast:

Think we can dig up and additional 36,000 votes somewhere, in a year where hope and change has become fear and loathing, in a year when Republicans and independents appear willing to crawl over broken glass to vote Romney, in a year where the magnitude of our folly grows clearer with every passing day?