Friday, December 12, 2014

Thursday saw another attempt by bulls to make up the losses of the previous day, but bears didn't wait until the next day to attack. Instead, an afternoon assault pushed markets back towards their lows, setting up a situation for further losses today (Friday).

Volume was light, and there is plenty of support nearby to work, but it doesn't look good if you want to be a buyer for the longer term. If that's your goal, refer to my table below to identify market conditions best suited to do this.

As for markets, the S&P inverse hammer looks ugly. A test of 2,009 today or Monday doesn't look unreasonable.

The Nasdaq has rewarded shorts who attacked the 'bear flag' breakdown quite handsomely. More to follow today? The inside day looks like a bullish harami doji (one of the most reliable reversal patterns), but as the index is not oversold I would not rely on it to hold true Friday.

The Russell is range bound, and of all the indices it offers no real advantage to bull or bear.

For Friday, look for selling to continue. If markets rally, look to stand aside until they make it close to week's highs, then attack again with short positions. Any short will be negated if November swing highs are taken out.

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Just for Fun..

This clock reached its time on October 19th 2017. This was a forecast for a "Major Market Top". Unfortunately, I can't find the link for the source material (but years ending in "7" was one of the red flags) but I thought it interesting enough to start this countdown clock 2 years ago.