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Category: Polling

The staunch conservative from Houston polls particularly poorly against Democrat Hillary Clinton in swing states, trailing the former Secretary of State by 51 percent to 31 percent in states decided by under 7 points in 2012. And he loses states decided by between 7 and 12 points (such as Georgia and Indiana) by a similarly wide margin. …

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz placed him fifth place in the latest presidential poll, but his 12 percent total was just 4 percentage points behind the poll’s leader, Kentucky Sen. (and frequent Cruz ally) Rand Paul.“The trend in the Republican primary field is pretty clear,” said Dean Debnam, president of Public Policy Polling. “Rand Paul and Ted Cruz are up and Marco Rubio is down.” …

Perry, who says he is thinking and praying about a possible 2016 presidential candidacy, trails the former Secretary of State by 16 percentage points — 52 percent to 36 percent — in a hypothetical general election match-up. The strongest Republicans included in the McClatchy-Marist poll were New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (6 percentage points behind Clinton) and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (down by 8 points). …

Nearly 80 percent of respondents supported a path to citizenship for all 11 million undocumented immigrants currently residing in the U.S. — which is unlikely to be included in the House Republican’s plan. …

Foes can be encouraged by the fact that the Senate-passed immigration bill has more strong detractors than strong backers. Republicans will take solace in the Americans prefer that the House vote on immigration reform in smaller pieces rather than on the Senate’s comprehensive approach. And reform proponents can take heart in the fact that more Americans want a pathway to citizenship than favor keeping immigrants in legal limbo. …

Rick Santorum, a failed 2012 presidential candidate who’s considering another run, has traveled to Texas to lobby for the abortion-restriction bill. Rick Perry, meanwhile, is among several anti-abortion governors mulling a presidential bid. Scott Walker in Wisconsin recently signed a bill requiring ultrasounds before abortions, though a federal judge blocked the law. Louisiana’s Bobby Jindal has signed several more restrictive bills, including two these year. …

African American Texans are the least likely to support same-sex marriage. Republicans oppose same-sex marriage but most would allow civil unions. And few Republicans would allow employers to discriminate against anyone in hiring, pay or promotion because of their sexual orientation. …

Rejection of any form of same-sex relationship — both marriage and civil unions — among Republicans remains at 36 percent, compared with 17 percent among Democrats, 27 percent among independents and 26 percent among all registered Texans. …