North Korea has just lost his principal support in the middle of the increase of the tensions after the throwing last Tuesday of the last ballistic intercontinental missile. The mentioned missile, allegedly an ICBM, did not have a very long path, but, nevertheless, many projections indicate that the North might be already near having a vector of launch capable of throbbing to The United States.

This action not soon in obtain a response for part of the United States and South Korea, which increased the tension in the Korean peninsula across a demonstration of force with “precision shots” of their own missiles. The above-mentioned launch served as follow-up of the “unbreakable commitment ” of Washington to defend his allies in the zone opposite to “the increasing North Korean threat”.

The situation, denominated as a “missile crisis in slow camera” according to Robert Litwak, the director of Studies on International Security of the center Woodrow Wilson. This consists of a crisis that was growing from the end of the war of Korea in the year 1953.

With the armistice that gave place to the end of the war and the constant presence of U.S.A in the parallel one 38 (where the border is constructed between both Koreas) has provoked that the peninsula of Korea continues being a scene distinguished from the political game between the Western block and the originated one in the former communist world.

The development of the nuclear North Korean armament started materializing in the year 2002, when The United States, Japan and South Korea suspended his sending of oil to the communist country after discovering that North Korea had been developing for years a nuclear secret program. Four years later, which was a very founded suspicion, turns into certainty when the regime of Pyongyang starts showing to the world his nuclear program, carrying out his first test of atomic bomb in an underground installation what leads the UNO to imposing economic and commercial sanctions to the North Korean regime.

But it will be from 2012 when the nuclear program hastents with a Kim Jon-Un already in the power and renowned Marshall – the highest military post of the country – what made consolidate his power on one of the most numerous Armies of the world, with 1,2 million soldiers.

Defying the resolutions against him realized by the United Nations, North Korea has carried out since then five tests of nuclear weapon – of which two were in 2016 – and some throwing of ballistic missiles, 11 of them since it began this year 2017. Everything indicates that the program is hastening to the maximum of what the limited resources of the country allow.

For this, the mentioned “missile crisis in slow camera” is increasingly near a conclusion after several months of a long deterioration of the relations between China and North Korea.

The first sign of deterioration was in February of this year, when Chine cut all the importations of coal to North Korea, depriving him of his principal source of income in foreign currencies.

In his web page, the CIA thinks that the size of the economy of the country is for the order of 40.000 million USD, similar in size to that of Honduras. Comparative effects the GDP of the Community of Madrid in 2016 overcame 238.000 MM USD.

The exports of North Korea add 3.834 MM USD, seemed to what they export in a year in view of Mozambique or the minuscule European State of San Marino.

Among the products that Pyongyang sells on the outside they are mineral, metallurgical products, manufactures – including armaments-, textiles and agricultural and fishing products.

But how is it that a country with an economy of the size comparable to some of the poorest of Latin America can finance a nuclear program?

The response seems to be in the nature authoritarian and centralized of the government, which can monopolize the scanty resources of the country and concentrate them in military purposes, even at the expense of the standard of living of their citizens.

The GDP per capita from North Korea, fitted to his purchasing power, comes to 1.800 USD, which puts to the Asian country in the position 208 among 230 nations, comparably to that of Rwanda and Haiti.

Already the one who sells North Korea? Principally his political key ally, China, country that buys 54 % of his production.

The second place, unexpectedly, it is for Algeria, which represents the destination of 30% of the North Korean sales.

For it, the fact that China cuts his purchases away, specially of coal, it is a hard blow for the North Korean regime. But it is a measured blow. China does not need from these imports during the summer period. It will not be until October when he must look for new supply sources, which should come throughout December. Till then China can be “a good boy”, without a valuable cost.

In the current context, with the United States betting for the isolationism and the protectionism, China sees an opportunity to manage to improve his bows with the European Union debilitated after the diverse events lived from the Brexit up to the last attempts in European soil. For it, the reason for which China has decided to cut his bows in the military area with the Pyongan regime, is a bet with a view to the exterior, and turns into the major blow produced towards the communist regime of Korea. In words of Ángel Villarino, editor chief of El Confidentcial one, “China wants to play a hegemonic role in Asia and needs to start being perceived as the great reasonable power that guards over the good of the neighborhood. To endorse the hooligan is compatible with it and it was a question of time. The Chinese government starts having more problems than benefits of his relation with the dynasty Kim and he takes years giving signs of fill. It is difficult to know how Kim Jong is going to react – one but his regime depends 100 for 100 of the border with China. Itdoes not have too much margin.”

China would be tried to obtain the position of “great power” that has remained partially empty with the arrival of Trump. ” Trump has worsened something that already it was very bad. On the one hand, Kim Jong has an enemy to his height (in terms of histrionics, of unpredictability, etc.), which makes the propaganda much more profitable and effective. For other one, Trump has put one more march to the crisis and has dismantled the Department of State doing without some of the experts and more sensible diplomats, which of for if it is a danger” concludes angel Villarino.

On one hand, the aim of The United States would be to achieve a total isolation of North Korea, something that China, at least for the present time, will not be able to carry out since this one possesses important interests on the peninsula. “Interests that during the Cold War were ideological, but that now are pragmatic: China supports the current political transition in North Korea and to his new leader, Kim Jong – Un, because it wants to prevent specialist from collapsing the political regime of this country “, according to the doctor Jose Luis León Manríquez, in Asian topics and teacher of the Autonomous Metropolitan University (UAM).

On the other hand, a complete isolation very possibly would provoke a collapse of the nation. This would end up by provoking a conflict, something that China avoids at any expense because the fact that if it will manage to collapse the regimen of Kin Jon-Un (in short-term) China would face a refugee flood that they would flee of his very poor country, since already it happened in the past. And it would destabilize their frontier regions of the South.

A hypothetical reunification “for surrender” would give place, in long-term, to create in the Korean peninsula a regimen controlled by the prosper South Korea (strategy ally of the U.S.A). An influential “western” neighbor would create it on the verge of his house, competing for being the local modal. And China already has enough with the problem of managing the success of Hong Kong, to where all the new fortunes and China flee.

With all that, about the parallel one 38 we find an orbit where there are located the different interests of most of the big powers in Pacific Asia. The South Korean expert, Shin Jong-ho, chooses for “to reject the concept of the ‘ responsibility of North Korea, or of China or of the USA in the matter of the solution of the North Korean problem, and to adopt the concept of the collective responsibility of the international community “.

Therefore, the North Korean solution is a global scale, which obligate to the necessity of fix the matter across the dialogue between the both Korean States. But to manage to come to this it is necessary to obtain what China calls to a “double suspension of the activities”, which means that North Korea would have to suspend their nuclear activities, whereas the U.S.A and South Korea would have to conclude their military large-scale exercises.

Jia Xudong, scientist of the Chinese Institute of International Problems, thinks that “this approach also might turn into a political course to establish a long-term stability in the Korean peninsula”.

Nevertheless, in the current context, without any of the decrees ready to back, it is not of hoping that the tests with ballistic missiles diminish, as the sanctions of the international community.

Do they imagine a country which principal existential aim is to have an atomic vector of throwing to strike a 1.200 times bigger giant? Well, this it is the leitmotiv of the regime of North Korea.