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The "drag this out as long as we can and hope it turns around" bump

AC Nielsen has it at 56-44 on the 2PP, 47-40 on primary. One thing that strikes me about that is that although the 2PP is similar to other polls, the primary is a bit different. Labor has been picking up a majority of the primary in many polls – is AC Nielsen handling the preference estimation differently?

Discussion is, as always, happening at The Poll Bludger, and Possum Comitatus has also posted this one so keep an eye out for some more insightful analysis there.