NFL Football: Thursday, November 16, 2017 at 8:25 pm (Heinz Field)

TV: AMZN, NFLN, NBC

On Thursday out at Heinz Field, the NFL is bringing us an AFC matchup between the Tennessee Titans and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Titans enter this game with a 6-3 record on the year. After losing three of their first five games, Tennessee has won four in a row over the Colts, Browns, Ravens and Bengals. In that Cincinnati game, Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota posted 264 yards with a TD and a pick.

On the year, Mariota has 1783 yards with seven touchdowns and six picks, and DeMarco Murray is the top Titans rusher on 433 yards and four touchdowns from 109 attempts. Rishard Matthews leads the Tennessee receivers on 513 yards and two scores off 36 receptions.

Pittsburgh is off to a solid start as well; they’re sitting at 7-2 right now. Pittsburgh has won their last four straight games against the Chiefs, Bengals, Lions and Colts. In that Indy game, Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger put up 236 yards, two TDs and an INT.

So far this season, Roethlisberger has 2298 yards, 12 TDs and 10 picks, and Le’Veon Bell leads the Steelers rush with 840 yards and five TDs from 220 attempts. Antonio Brown is the top Pittsburgh receiver with 882 yards and three scores off 60 catches.

The Titans are 17-35-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 17-41-4 in their last 62 games overall. Tennessee is also 11-37-4 ATS in their last 52 versus the AFC and 0-3-1 ATS in the last four games in November.

Meanwhile, the Steelers are 5-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five Thursday games. Pittsburgh is also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games in Week 11.

Tennessee is off to a really nice start, but they’ve had some nail-biters recently. They’ve won by a combined 10 points across their last three games, all against AFC North teams. This Steelers game will be their final stop through the division this year and their toughest test so far. Speaking of the Steelers, they’ve had some squeakers lately as well. three of Pittsburgh’s last four wins have come by six points or fewer, and they’ve scored 20 points or fewer in four of their last five. The Steelers offense just isn’t clicking right now, but thankfully for them the defense has stepped it up when needed (and hasn’t allowed more than 17 points during their four-game win streak). Pittsburgh plays MUCH better at Heinz Field, though, and with the short turnaround they’re probably the more sensible pick here. I’ll take the Steelers to cover.

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