Gravis Marketing Iowa Caucus Poll

The 2012 Republican nominee for president holds a leads a broad field of GOP potential contenders in the Townhall/Gravis poll conducted Jan. 5-7 among 404 registered Republican voters queried. Note: the polls were conducted using IVR technology and weighted by historical voting demographics.

Former Massachusetts governor W. Mitt Romney has never left the hearts and minds of Republican voters and he will hold the dominant position in the race for the 2016 presidential nomination until the other candidates spin up their own campaigns, said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, a Florida-based pollster and call center that executed the poll. The poll carries an error rate of 3 percent.

“Romney’s name recognition and the loyalty Republicans have for their last nominee give him a opportunity that no one else has,” Kaplan said. “The question is whether he will use or let the chance pass to others.”

After two years of dampening expectations, Romney—spooked by Bush’s momentum—is now working to the phones in order to put the band together for one more national tour.

While Romney decides what to do, the GOP race revolves around former Florida governor John E. “Jeb” Bush, the choice of 14 percent, and Wisconsin Gov. Scott K. Walker, polling at 10 percent.

Bush, the son of President George H. W. Bush and a younger brother of President George W. Bush, went from a stealth candidate over Thanksgiving to today’s full-blown exploratory candidate.

Although he is portrayed as a white bread patrician in the press, Bush ran Florida for eight years as a red-meat-movement-conservative cutting taxes, holding teachers accountable and expanding gun rights. A Catholic convert, Bush is married to the daughter of a Mexican migrant worker and speaks Spanish without the effort his brother W. exerted.

Of course, the defining moment of Bush’s tenure was his extreme effort in the losing battle to save the life of Terry Schiavo.

Walker, the governor of Iowa’s northeast border, signaled his intention to run with the New Year announcements of his presidential campaign team: Rick Wiley, campaign manager; Nicole Tieman, press secretary; Colleen Coyle, finance director, as well as, other staffers: Stephan Thompson, Jonathan Wetzel and Keith Gilkes.

Wiley, a managing partner of the Mercury political consultancy, led the 2012 Romney volunteer and ground game effort with a $180 million budget. In the 2008 cycle, he was a senior staffer in Rudolph W. Giuliani’s White House run.

If Walker, who was the 2012 Human Events Conservative of the Year, does launch his 2016 run, it will be his fifth election in eight years. In 2008, he was elected Milwaukee County Executive, 57 percent of the vote, followed by governor in 2010, 52 percent of the vote, a Democratic-led recall election, 53 percent of the vote, and re-election for governor in 2014, 52 percent of the vote.

Former Arkansas governor Michael D. Huckabee garnered the support of 9 percent.

Huckabee won the 2008 Iowa caucuses with 34 percent of the vote, and who finished second behind Arizona’s Sen. John S. McCain III in the year’s race for the White House nomination. In that campaign, Romney was in second place until he withdrew to endorse McCain.

There is no doubt that Paul is gearing up for a run and the question is whether he can energize the people and pocketbooks that supported his father former Texas congressman Dr. Ronald E. Paul.

Paul the Elder finished third in the 2012 Iowa caucuses, but at the GOP national convention, 23 of the state’s 28 delegates voted for Paul.

In a campaign cycle full of dynastic names, the Paul’s father-to-son succession is the wild card.

In some ways, the 2012 Paul the Elder campaign was a hostage situation, as party mandarins watched to see if the congressman would endorse Romney and keep his supporters from turning the convention into Chicago 1968 spectacle, which he did, in exchange for his son getting a fair shot at the big time.

Paul the Younger, himself an accomplished eye surgeon, in his own right, has emerged from his father’s shadow. With major foreign policy address at the Heritage Foundation and a high-profile visits Israel and Detroit, the senator has created his own persona as a thoughtful and provocative conservative.

If there was a surprise in the poll it was the poor showing of New Jersey Gov. Christopher J. Christie, who was the choice of 5 percent.

Christie is coming off a very successful 2014 campaign cycle, when he was the leader of the Republican Governors Association, he won 31 out of 50 gubernatorial races—picking up two corner offices.

Much can change in the one year between now and the Jan. 16, 2016 Iowa Caucuses, in previous cycles many a now-forgotten politician was dubbed the next president in the early goings, only to have a mistress, a foul business deal or horrific debate performance bring everything to an all-stop.

Other numbers and charts from the poll:

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?

The following questions are for demographic purposes.Are you Hispanic?

About Neil W. McCabe

Neil W. McCabe is a political director for Gravis Marketing and a
McCabe is the political director of Gravis Marketing. Washington-based journalist McCabe is the Washington editor of Armed American Radio and a Townhall.com columnist. McCabe was a staff writer and photographer for The Pilot, Boston's Catholic paper, as well as the editor of The Alewife and The Somerville News, two free community papers in the Boston-area. He was a senior reporter at Human Events and the editor of HE's Guns & Patriots newsletter. A veteran of the Army Reserve, he deployed to Iraq as a combat historian.

By: Juan Reynoso, activist – voteforamerica@gmail.comhttp://anticorruptionact.org/. STAND FOR AMERICA http://www.teaparty.org/ “Americas must realize that self-scrutiny is not treason. Self-examination is not disloyalty.” We seek the truth and let the people know. America will never be destroyed from the outside; it will be destroyed from within. Greed and the love for money are evil. The evil factors that will destroy our country are: Corporate greed and bribes that corrupts our government, military interventions to rob foreign countries of their natural resources and the NEOCON promotion of globalization. If we falter to take action and loss our freedoms, it will be because we destroyed ourselves by ignorance and apathy. We know our enemy; we must destroy them before they destroy us. The Bush Family history is a four generations of culture of corruption and evil deeds. Ban all members of the Bush family from holding a political post, they will be tray us.

Romney, like Jebbie boy is just another liberal Rhino republicRAT. You would think that the establishment would have learned a lesson by now – McCain, Dole, Romney – establishment Rhinos all – losers all. Conservative Republicans and true conservatives will just vote with their feet just like always. I would not be surprised if that’s what the republican establishment actually wants – if they can’t have their own establishment RAT in the white house then they don’t want any republican in the white house.

Romney is the Man for all Reasons, the truth and wisdom that will save this beautiful republic from it’s current trajectory into the pits of hell. Everything in me screams for his leadership. Like when Harry Truman was plowing his field when the big four door car pulled over and dark suited men jumped out and walked through fields to the tractor Harry was sitting atop and began pleading with him to accept the nomination for president to save our country. This is our last chance fellow Americans, our constitution is being ripped from our hands and the tears produced are only generating more tears. Please consider Romney, he is in all probability our last hope. God bless America.

Is there a reason that you left out the geopolitical strategist who defeated Hillarycare, led the Republican Revolution and outmaneuvered her hubby to advance Reagan’s vision & policies into the ’90s in the largest landslide sweep of congress in history?

Or is Mr Republican Revolution referred to in this poll as candidate “Uncertain”?

1. There should not exist, a US Federal State, and most if not all non-federal State governments should cease. 2. It should be damn obvious to everyone that recycled nominees just proves the Presidency is a scam, and should be stopped. 3. If not, impeachment proceedings should start January 20th after the election. 4. Stop voting. Stop paying taxes. 5. Show the scam for what it is. 6. Stop State-Worship. Stop the Wars.

What in heavens name is wrong with you Republicans?, I will take my vote somewhere else if Mitt or Jeb is on the ballot !!! I am SO SICK of the BUSH,ROMMNEY,CLINTON,OBAMA names on ballots I could Baaaarrffffff. America wake up!

Simply more propaganda from the evil empire. This clown is yet all in the same as the rest of these controlled puppets. In reality this moron is about as wanted as a good case of syphellis. The constant rotation of the same criminals every 4 years should be your 1st clue that We, The People have been deceived and distracted!!!

These polls are pure BS. They’ve been used by the east coast bankers and industrialists running the RNC to convince the rank and file how to vote. They are setting the stage for stooges in both parties to win their primaries to ensure their reckless foreign policy will continue.

Linked to Drudge…. Seriously? presenting Market BS as a POLL.. C’mon,,, you can do better..

About Gravis Marketing February 25, 2013Gravis Marketing admin

About Gravis Marketing

Turnkey Campaign Advertising and Call Center Specialists

Gravis Marketing is an award-winning public relations firm with a clientele including political campaigns, public affairs organizations, consultants, and nonprofit organizations across the globe. Founded in 2010 by Doug Kaplan, Gravis Marketing has quickly become an industry leader in innovative turnkey campaign advertising and marketing solutions specializing in innovative call center technologies in a very short period of time.

Our key areas of expertise include:

Designing, implementing and analyzing rapid-response political and opinion polling for public sector campaigns Directing innovative market research to identify business opportunities and maximize profits for private sector clients Crafting original, high-impact messaging through a wide variety of media, to advance public, private and non-profit sector campaigns Whether your campaign is just starting out at the grass-roots level, or is already established at the national or international level, our team’s goal is to provide superior results to your organization that exceed expectations in the most efficient, cost-effective way possible.

Click the images below of some of our outstanding media partners to read how Gravis Marketing is beginning to transform the political landscape.

Jeb Bush is NOT a “converted Catholic”. He has converted from the Anglican stream of Catholicism (Episcopal/Anglican/Methodist) to the Roman stream of Catholicism. Please stop assuming that non-Roman Catholics are not Catholic.

I think both Mitt & Jeb are good men, but not a good choice for the republicans. They are too moderaate and because of that they will not win. Mitt only needed a similar amout of votes as McCain and he would have won by a landslide, but the conservatives walked away when McCain ran and did not return and then the evangelico vote left too when Mitt ran. In order to get these sections of the republican voting faction back and keep the Tea Party as well it will take a true conservative like Scott Walker or Ted Cruz, or even a ticket having walker for Pres and Cruz as Vice Pres would be even better! A moderate republican has no chance, because it is just like voting for a moderate democrat, except there do not seem to be any moderate democrats today. And Harry Truman a democrat pres of the past was more conservative than the moderate Republicans of today!

2008 I voted for McCain and held my nose. 2012 I voted for Romney and held my nose and had a vomit bag ready. But for what purpose? Never again am I voting for a loser RINO! Never again will I chose the “lesser of two evils.” What is wrong with the people of Iowa?

Will someone please tell Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, and Chris Christy to SIT DOWN! Romney and Huckabee have already tried to run for president. The majority of people DONT WANT THEM. I dont think Rand Paul could win a national election, and Chris Christy is NOT CONSERVATIVE ENOUGH to be called a republican anywhere outside of new england.

Look at what happened to this country because we didn’t elect Mitt Romney. He was right on all accounts! I want to give him the chance he deserves to run this country. He truly loves this country. We need someone in the White House who has been successful in the private sector and who has successfully governed a state. Mitt is the man in 2016.

For crying out loud America! Do you no longer remember what our founding fathers did for this country? ( Probably not since our children’s history books have been rewritten) Pray! Pray before you go to the polls. Our country is imploding, and we are doing it to ourselves.

I’m a Cruz or Rand Paul guy. But if Huckabee is pushing the FairTax then I’m switching right now! The FairTax literally fixes almost everything. Its kryptonite for K Street lobbyists. Its forged steel handcuffs for big government big spending legislators. It abolishes the IRS, lowers retail prices, increases the money supply and gets the government off our backs. Go Huck!

Mitt Romney was too much a gentleman to instinctively strike back when attacked in 2012 – as against Candy Crowley, where he was blind-sided. . He has learned. He is still a gentleman, but he has learned how to respond to liberal attacks.

granted Romney is far smarter than obama and would have been a far superior POTUS. there’s no question about it, and i will vote for him if he wins the primary. but i will definitely be pulling for Scott Walker. he’s the man.

Let’s get real – no one is going to beat HC unless it is a pairing of Walker/Rice or Walker/Carson. Liberal media, visual/readable is in the HC corner along with 90% of the entertainment industry, i.e. films &music. Let’s get real, she already has 240 electoral votes to start with. The only way she loses, she doesn’t run.

Willard Romney is a non-starter “mitt” John Ellis Bush “jeb” same thing. Mike Huckabee is a one note wonder. Chris Christie is a democrat. “fat bastard” Ted Cruz is a dual-citizen and can’t be President.