NFL team efficiency rankings are listed below in terms of generic winning probability. The GWP is the probability a team would beat the league average team at a neutral site. Each team's opponent's average GWP is also listed, which can be considered to-date strength of schedule. GWP modifies the generic win probability to reflect the strength of past opponents. Offensive ranking (O Rank) is based on each team's offensive GWP, i.e. it's the team's GWP assuming it had a league-average defense. D Rank is vice-versa. Rankings are based on a logistic regression model applied to data through week 10. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here.

2 Responses to “Week 10 Efficiency Rankings”

Seattle has a solid passing game, they don't turn the ball over, and their defense is above-average in every category. They also don't commit a lot of penalties. But they're hard to read because their schedule has been relatively soft. It will continue to be one of the softest in the league too. I see them walking away with the NFC W with 10 or 11 wins and hosting a first-round playoff game.

The efficiency rankings has them neck and neck with GB and NYG for 3rd/4th/5th best teams in the NFC. That feels about right. But from here out it's all about schedule and home field.

@BBurkeESPN

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