In brief

Swaziland's absolute monarchy will do little to respond to public anger over a restrictive political environment and low growth in 2019-2020. After a severe fiscal correction due to systemic government misspending, strikes, protests and low-level violence will continue to break out over the forecast period. To stimulate the economy, some much-needed reforms to encourage private-sector development will proceed, but close links between the court and state-owned companies will limit any progress.