Last night, Marist Universitys latest polling was released from NBC and the Wall Street Journal. And as predictable as my dog wanting to go for a walk after dinner, they delivered polls for Obama that not only defy logic, but even beat the results from some Democrat-leaning pollsters.

In Ohio, Marist/NBC/WSJ finds Obama up by six, 5145, unchanged from just after the first debate. The Democratic party-ID advantage in this poll was nine points. Nine.

By my calculations, Democrats held a five-point advantage in party ID in the wave election of 2008, following a five-point advantage for Republicans in 2004. Essentially Marist is finding that Democrats are not only going to match their turnout advantage from 2008, but they are actually going to almost double it. That lines up well with Romney drawing 30,000 to a rally in Ohio while Obama pulled just a fraction for his rallies. Or not.

Disclaimer:
Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual
posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its
management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the
exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.