Today's Free Picks for

8:30 PM EST. Earlier this week we had State getting eight points in Kentucky and ripped up our ticket after the Wildcats went gate to wire in a 19-point blowout. Exactly one week ago, Auburn played against the Wildcats and lost by two points and now the last two teams to play Kentucky will meet. You don’t need us to tell you that Auburn put up a better fight. Recency bias is in play here and because of it, we get the Bulldogs at a massive discount.

One of the things we discuss often is “sticking with it”. How many times have you played a team, lost, and then the very next game the team you liked to win comes out and has a great game and covers easily. It can be difficult to come back on a team that just cost you a wager but we also stress to never put heavy emphasis on one game.

Auburn is ranked #15 in the country. It is coming off back-to-back losses to Kentucky and at South Carolina but the Tigers were in a position to win both games and just came up short, losing by one possession in each. The Tigers will now play their third straight game without Austin Wiley (they really miss him) and they’ll also play their third road game in their last four overall including back-to-back roadies.

Back to State and their loss to Kentucky. At one point in the second half, Mississippi State was 1-14 from three and were stuck just seven points. They ended up going 3-20 from bonus land and overall from the field, the Bulldogs went 19 for 61. That’s 31%. The Bulldogs still had six blocks, caused 15 turnovers and had the deficit down to three points early in the second half. This is a great shooting team that had an off night. The Bulldogs are generating absolutely no buzz. And are just 2-3 in conference play but that works in our favor because we get them spotting deflated points. MSU ranks but this one ranks 20th nationally in offensive efficiency and Senior guard Quinndary Weatherspoon is one of the better two-way players in the country. After a rough shooting night (it happens), the Bulldogs are very likely to get back on track at home and really bring the hammer down on what we’re suggesting is a vulnerable guest.

Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.