Police in Harare block opposition supporters protesting against alleged fraud in the Zimbabwe elections this week.

Credit: Luis Tato / AFP / Getty Images

As the Chinese saying goes, every journey of a thousand miles starts with a single step. But taking on a Chinese spending splurge of a trillion dollars with just $US113 million is not yet staking very much.

That was the amount United States Secretary of State Mike Pompeo plonked on the table of Asian infrastructure spending on Monday in what is widely seen as the start of a counter to Xi Jinping’s Belt and Road Initiative, though Pompeo is not explicitly saying that.

The closest he came was a statement that the US “will never seek domination in the Indo-Pacific, and we will oppose any country that does” and a challenge that “We seek to work with anyone to promote a free and open Indo-Pacific, so long as that cooperation adheres to the highest standards that our citizens demand.”

Japan and Australia have pledged to join in, with yet unspecified amounts. “This trilateral partnership is in recognition that more support is needed to enhance peace and prosperity in the Indo-Pacific region,” Foreign Affairs Minister Julie Bishop said later.

Many analysts wonder how it would work, as the US agency involved normally provides export finance for US companies, the Japanese aid agency is experienced in concessional finance, and Australia’s nominated partner, the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade doles out its aid budget as grants, and normally for human development in health and education rather than infrastructure projects.

Then there’s the question of the financial firepower. “Without significant resources behind it, the initiative runs the risk of looking like an attempt to challenge China and falling well short in the process,” observed Lowy Institute expert on aid and the South Pacific Jonathan Pryke. So far, it’s small change, mostly directed at helping US business, with $US25 million of the amount targeted at improving the recipient’s digital connectivity to help US tech exports, $US50 million for managing energy resources, and only $US30 million for infrastructure.

Having proclaimed a “new era” in Washington’s commitment to the Indo-Pacific region, Pompeo headed for Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia, where he’ll probably hear again that the best way for the US to boost its regional influence is to rejoin the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade and investment pact, abandoned by Donald Trump in his first week of office. The first two countries remain TPP members and the third wants to join.

Yes we Khan

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Elections have just been held in three important countries along the belt and road, where Chinese money is already a big counter to Western influence.

Pakistan voted last week, the count putting former cricket captain Imran Khan and his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party in a position to form government nationally and in important states such as Punjab.

It was a dramatic return from 22 years in the outfield since he entered politics, but helped by the corruption conviction against former prime minister Nawaz Sharif, who recently got 10 years’ jail for unexplained overseas properties exposed by the Panama Papers. Nawaz nobly returned from exile to help his party, going straight to jail, but it wasn’t enough.

A Pashtun, Imran breaks the Tweedledum and Tweedledee pattern of electoral contest between the Nawaz bunch of Punjab-based “feudals” and the Bhutto bunch from Sindh. Since his younger days as a cricketer-playboy, Imran has projected himself as a pious Muslim and critic of US drone strikes, though one of his two ex-wives, Reham Khan, has unhelpfully just published a book portraying him as an unstable political opportunist and a libertarian who, she alleges, bats for both sides.

His style has brought him some unsavoury friends among Taliban-linked Islamists, and aligned him with those using blasphemy laws against minorities and secular figures. He’s also favoured by Pakistan’s military, which sent soldiers out to supervise ballots. The generals will expect him to keep up hostilities with India, and pursue “strategic depth” in country areas of Afghanistan steadily falling back under Taliban control.

With Pakistan heading into a balance-of-payments crisis, the new government will have to seek a bailout. In the past, it’s been a regular customer of the Washington-based International Monetary Fund, which normally demands tough financial reforms. But China, which has already promised up to $US62 billion for a branch of the belt and road down to the Indian Ocean, is reported to have offered $US2 billion already to help external finances, with no conditions mentioned.

Voter violence

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Zimbabwe was another Chinese client under the long rule of Robert Mugabe. On Monday it went to its first elections since he was deposed by his generals last year.

The large turnout suggested Zimbabweans are hoping for more than a change of president, such as reforms to lift them out of the poverty and shortened life-expectancy created by Mugabe’s misrule.

Incumbency and a perhaps compliant electoral commission favoured Emmerson Mnangagwa, 75, the former security chief installed to replace Mugabe as interim president and head of the ruling Zanu-PF party. The party gained about two thirds of the parliamentary seats.

Yet Nelson Chamisa, 40, the lawyer and pastor heading the opposition Movement for Democratic Change, seemed to be mounting a close challenge to Mnangagwa for the presidency – not necessarily helped by an odd endorsement from the forcibly retired Mugabe. With the count delayed, tempers ran high. Fierce protests broke out in Harare, countered by tear gas, rubber bullets and live fire that killed three people on Wednesday.

Chinese influence has meanwhile grown in Cambodia. Hun Sen was installed in government by the Vietnamese army in 1979 when it invaded to oust the Khmer Rouge regime. At that time he and the Vietnamese communists were regarded as Soviet puppets by Beijing. But times have changed over the past 39 years.

On Sunday, he gained another five years as prime minister when his ruling party swept elections after the main opposition party had been banned and Hun Sen’s most effective critics either assassinated or scared into exile.

His regime has been kept afloat by floods of Chinese investment into buildings, resorts and casinos. In return, Hun Sen has acted as a faithful Chinese dummy in the Association of South-East Asian Nations, thwarting attempts to oppose Chinese encroachments in the South China Sea.

Consequently, there’s been no criticism about the elections from Beijing, only congratulations. Hun Sen has made up for lack of respectable endorsements by employing some of the “zombie” groups, often with names close to those of respected election monitors, who do the rounds of fake elections held by dodgy regimes.

Griffith University’s Lee Morgenbesser informs us that one Anton Caragea, said to be a professor at a Bucharest “diploma mill” university and author of 20 books no one can find, was at hand in Phnom Penh this week. He signed off on the elections for his “European Council on International Relations”, which is not to be confused with the European Council on Foreign Relations. Caragea has previously helped out in Djibouti, Ethiopia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Zimbabwe and Kazakhstan.

Trump woos Rouhani

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Only a short summary of Donald Trump activity this week, but there’s plenty of it.

In foreign affairs, Trump now says he’s willing to meet Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani without preconditions. Tehran’s initial reaction was rejection unless the US rejoined the nuclear agreement. But with new US economic sanctions due to start on Tuesday, and the Iranian rial falling to 20 per cent of its value a year ago, Trump’s hardliners are hoping that will change.

Back in DC, Trump’s former campaign chief Paul Manafort stood trial over hidden payments from Ukraine’s previous pro-Russian leaders. A leaked tape had Trump and his lawyer Michael Cohen discussing a payoff to stop former Playboy model Karen McDougal revealing her affair with Trump. Cohen was also reported to have told special counsel Robert Mueller that Trump knew in advance about the June 2016 meeting with Russians offering dirt on Hillary Clinton.

Mike Seccombe
As public faith in democracy collapses, the institution is further undermined by suspect polling, gormless politics and a media dependent on both.When the numbers don’t mean much, meaning must be attached to them. As the example of the recent Liberal coup shows, that can lead to disaster.

Mark Davis
The Indonesian military has employed airstrikes in West Papua – suspected to include the banned chemical weapon white phosphorus – as a retaliation for murders following a flag-raising protest.

Abdul Karim Hekmat
Four out of five asylum seekers in Australia will be left destitute and homeless next year after further planned cuts to support services. Sadoullah Malakooti, appealing the rejection of his refugee application, is among them.

Leah Jing McIntosh
Robin DiAngelo knows a lot about white privilege – it’s in her DNA. The American academic, author and anti-racism advocate talks about how structures of whiteness and so-called white progressives are continuing to damage the lives of people of colour. ‘I grew up in poverty … I was a feminist for most of my life before I realised I could also be an oppressor. But I draw from my experience of oppression … I think that helps. The key is not to exempt myself from being an oppressor, just because I experience oppression. Ask anyone if they’d rather be poor and white or poor and brown – I knew I was poor, but I also knew I was white.’

Wesley Enoch
Change the date, don’t change the date – I am agnostic. I think a national day could be a valuable tool in the binding of a nation, but only if it finds ways of including the three narratives, as Pearson has described them. I can imagine a three-stage national day of the future, one that stretches from our long First Nations history, through the narrative of the British arrival, to the waves of immigrant arrivals and life here now. Past, present and future.

Paul Bongiorno
The Prime Minister’s Office insists Morrison only learnt about Broad’s use of a website for ‘sugar daddy’ arrangements on the day New Idea broke the story. It is simply an incredible and grave dereliction of duty on McCormack’s part. He lamely claims he doesn’t ‘tell the prime minister everything about every member of parliament’ because he ‘has enough on his mind’.

Richard Ackland
It’s the annual speech day at St Brutes, the very private non-selective school and training ground for future Nasty Party boiler room operatives and their underlings in Cockies Corner at the other end of the dorm. The headmaster, Mr Morrison, was hoping for a speech day built around the theme of “fair dinkum” – to reflect the authenticity of Australia and its values. A cat was set among the pigeons, though, when it came to light that “fair dinkum” was actually an authentic Chinese expression from the goldfields of the 1890s.

Always, there was some spectre, some looming threat – a capricious American president, the North Korean nuclear arsenal, Russia’s cyber sabotage, the possibility of Brexit’s economic devastation, the inevitability of climate disaster. We lived, in 2018, at the edge of chaos. Faced with chaos, it is human to attempt to find order. The impulse is one that tends from sense towards containment, control. It is no coincidence this year of ataxia spurred authoritarianism.

Martin McKenzie-Murray
In a year bookended by National Party MPs in disgrace, we saw big banks and cricketers shamed, international politics teeter and literary and musical icons shuffle off this mortal coil. A look back at the year that was.

Helen Razer
The Golden Age of television is giving way to a period more gilded, but streaming giant Netflix has still bankrolled some worthy viewing this year, in the form of Dumplin’ and American Vandal.

Miriam Cosic
Bursting with colour, overwrought with emotion and rich in symbolism – the grandiloquent works of the Pre-Raphaelite Brotherhood leave the Tate to enliven the walls of the NGA in an exhibition powerful enough to convert even a non-fan.

Martin McKenzie-Murray
For cricket fans disillusioned and despondent over Australia’s ignominious fall from Test cricket grace, the current series against India promises the best Christmas gift of all.

Mike Seccombe
As public faith in democracy collapses, the institution is further undermined by suspect polling, gormless politics and a media dependent on both.When the numbers don’t mean much, meaning must be attached to them. As the example of the recent Liberal coup shows, that can lead to disaster.

Mark Davis
The Indonesian military has employed airstrikes in West Papua – suspected to include the banned chemical weapon white phosphorus – as a retaliation for murders following a flag-raising protest.

Abdul Karim Hekmat
Four out of five asylum seekers in Australia will be left destitute and homeless next year after further planned cuts to support services. Sadoullah Malakooti, appealing the rejection of his refugee application, is among them.

Leah Jing McIntosh
Robin DiAngelo knows a lot about white privilege – it’s in her DNA. The American academic, author and anti-racism advocate talks about how structures of whiteness and so-called white progressives are continuing to damage the lives of people of colour. ‘I grew up in poverty … I was a feminist for most of my life before I realised I could also be an oppressor. But I draw from my experience of oppression … I think that helps. The key is not to exempt myself from being an oppressor, just because I experience oppression. Ask anyone if they’d rather be poor and white or poor and brown – I knew I was poor, but I also knew I was white.’

Wesley Enoch
Change the date, don’t change the date – I am agnostic. I think a national day could be a valuable tool in the binding of a nation, but only if it finds ways of including the three narratives, as Pearson has described them. I can imagine a three-stage national day of the future, one that stretches from our long First Nations history, through the narrative of the British arrival, to the waves of immigrant arrivals and life here now. Past, present and future.

Paul Bongiorno
The Prime Minister’s Office insists Morrison only learnt about Broad’s use of a website for ‘sugar daddy’ arrangements on the day New Idea broke the story. It is simply an incredible and grave dereliction of duty on McCormack’s part. He lamely claims he doesn’t ‘tell the prime minister everything about every member of parliament’ because he ‘has enough on his mind’.

Richard Ackland
It’s the annual speech day at St Brutes, the very private non-selective school and training ground for future Nasty Party boiler room operatives and their underlings in Cockies Corner at the other end of the dorm. The headmaster, Mr Morrison, was hoping for a speech day built around the theme of “fair dinkum” – to reflect the authenticity of Australia and its values. A cat was set among the pigeons, though, when it came to light that “fair dinkum” was actually an authentic Chinese expression from the goldfields of the 1890s.

Always, there was some spectre, some looming threat – a capricious American president, the North Korean nuclear arsenal, Russia’s cyber sabotage, the possibility of Brexit’s economic devastation, the inevitability of climate disaster. We lived, in 2018, at the edge of chaos. Faced with chaos, it is human to attempt to find order. The impulse is one that tends from sense towards containment, control. It is no coincidence this year of ataxia spurred authoritarianism.

Martin McKenzie-Murray
In a year bookended by National Party MPs in disgrace, we saw big banks and cricketers shamed, international politics teeter and literary and musical icons shuffle off this mortal coil. A look back at the year that was.

Helen Razer
The Golden Age of television is giving way to a period more gilded, but streaming giant Netflix has still bankrolled some worthy viewing this year, in the form of Dumplin’ and American Vandal.

Miriam Cosic
Bursting with colour, overwrought with emotion and rich in symbolism – the grandiloquent works of the Pre-Raphaelite Brotherhood leave the Tate to enliven the walls of the NGA in an exhibition powerful enough to convert even a non-fan.

Martin McKenzie-Murray
For cricket fans disillusioned and despondent over Australia’s ignominious fall from Test cricket grace, the current series against India promises the best Christmas gift of all.