supporting the background check bill, showing testimonyofwaynelapierresupportinga background check. here is a little bit of that ad. >> the nra once supported background checks. >> we think it's reasonable to provide mandatory instant criminal background checks for every sale at every gun show. no loopholes anywhere for anyone. >> all right. i'll admit i need quick answers here. can a southern republican vote for the background check bill and get re-elected? >> a licensed dealer at a gun show already does a background check. that's already going on. what we're talking about is antique and special collectors and private sales. i think that's very difficult to legislate properly without killing gun show. >> there is a rural split almost more than anything else. urban politics are more supportive of this idea. >> yes. but i think both the southern republican and the urban republican should all be voting for universal background checks. look, connecticut was a game changer. we need to understand that. the gun issue is here. it's not going away. every other day, we are hearing about a tragedy

the difference. tonight, they have to decide whether they want to be the party of ronald reaganorwaynelapierre. >>i'm not sure ronald reagan could get elected today. >> there's no doubt ronald reagan would support universal background checks. who doesn't support universal background checks? who doesn't support the end of gun trafficking? you know who doesn't support it? people inside the little republican bubble in the house of representatives and some democrats who are scared, jim. the numbers are overwhelming. this is a 90-10 issue now. >> thick wh i think what the pr wants to do with this speech tonight is continue to make republicans look cartoonish with gun control. what they would like to see tomorrow are images of victims you just painted sitting in the chamber side by side with representative stockman and ted nugent and whatever they will say after the speech and you know they will say extremely - ex-send yex the things that ted nugent will say. >> it plays into the president's hand. i always talk about we republicans having to win not northwest florida where i'm from. we will alway

saying for a long time,thatwaynelapierrenotonly is out of the mainstream, but he's out of touch with his own membership, with the nra, which is to say when he says that nobody wants universal background checks and then you look at the numbers, and it's something like 90% of americans want them, there is a desire for some measures. not extreme to go take their guns away, but there is a desire in this country, not just from democrats and liberals, but from americans as we saw there to do something about guns. >> the numbers have shifted dramatically, john heilemann. like they haven't shifted in recent history. and last night there was a special election. it was in a democratic seat to replace jesse jackson. a lot of people are scoffing about it. conservatives immediately because michael bloomberg went in. there was a candidate that was in a competitive race who was supported by the nra. bloomberg came in. and it changed everything overnight. >> he did. and he spent, i believe, $2 million on that race in a media market like chicago in a race at this level, $2 million is a lot of mo

and the head of thenra,waynelapierre, whoopposes the new control ideas. should be a very interesting show. >> do we have any sense -- obviously we saw what the reaction was that day from those present. but do we have any sense of what her appearance, and frankly the news of that particular day, when there was the shooting of the girl in chicago who had been here in washington for the inauguration, this is having an impact or changing any minds on capitol hill? >> we don't have a hard sense. not like there's a specific piece of legislation out there, a comprehensive package. it's been a tipping point. to go back, certainly those two events, but even further back to newtown in december, that did have an impact. the polls indicated there's increase support for gun control. i would say that there's varying levels of support and various chances for success for various measures. for instance, i think the assault weapons ban, which dianne feinstein is proposing will be tough. i think that will be the toughest thing to get through. the limit on the size of these magazines, some carry 30 round or

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