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Friday, June 24, 2016

FIFA Ranking: July 2016 probable ranking (II)

FIFA will publish the ranking on 14 July.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. For minimum/maximum points see the preview.Probable July 2016 rank - Team - Probable July 2016 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1

Argentina

1624

0

121

2

Belgium

1474

0

90

3

Germany

1358

1

48

4

Colombia

1297

-1

-31

5

Chile

1276

0

-17

6

Spain

1274

0

7

7

France

1270

10

345

8

England

1165

3

96

9

Brazil

1156

-2

-101

10

Croatia

1137

17

295

11

Uruguay

1130

-2

-20

12

Portugal

1055

-4

-126

13

Mexico

1044

3

102

14

Italy

1038

-2

56

15

Poland

1007

12

165

16

Wales

1006

10

160

17

Ecuador

1002

-4

24

18

Switzerland

957

-3

9

19

Hungary

915

1

29

19

Turkey

915

-1

-4

21

USA

880

10

77

22

Austria

875

-12

-202

23

Slovakia

867

1

15

24

Northern Ireland

862

1

11

25

Romania

856

-3

-22

26

Netherlands

848

-12

-111

27

Costa Rica

840

-4

-13

28

Bosnia and Herzegovina

813

-8

-73

29

Ukraine

801

-10

-93

30

Republic of Ireland

800

3

32

31

Iceland

796

3

45

32

Algeria

781

0

-5

33

Czech Republic

768

-3

-47

34

Peru

765

14

142

35

Côte d'Ivoire

751

1

19

36

Ghana

749

1

21

37

Albania

739

5

72

38

Russia

728

-9

-100

39

Iran

674

0

-14

40

Sweden

656

-5

-79

41

Senegal

651

0

-26

42

Paraguay

636

2

-2

43

Egypt

632

2

1

44

Denmark

630

-6

-67

45

Tunisia

627

2

-2

46

Venezuela

621

31

165

47

Serbia

612

7

36

48

Korea Republic

592

2

-11

49

Norway

588

2

-5

50

Scotland

584

-7

-75

51

Panama

580

5

8

52

Greece

579

-12

-99

53

Cameroon

575

5

9

54

Morocco

574

8

19

55

Jamaica

573

-9

-57

56

Uzbekistan

569

10

25

57

Congo DR

565

-5

-24

58

Japan

564

-5

-17

59

Trinidad and Tobago

558

5

8

60

Australia

555

-1

-8

61

Mali

546

2

-8

62

Cape Verde Islands

545

-13

-75

63

Guinea

544

-8

-29

64

Slovenia

542

-7

-25

65

Finland

540

2

4

65

Saudi Arabia

540

0

-5

67

South Africa

530

1

1

68

Benin

525

7

52

69

Uganda

522

3

22

70

Congo

514

-10

-46

70

Nigeria

514

-9

-45

72

Belarus

507

6

65

73

Burkina Faso

487

0

8

74

United Arab Emirates

484

-4

-33

75

Guinea-Bissau

482

40

179

76

Israel

471

-5

-42

77

Bulgaria

446

-8

-72

78

Zambia

436

1

0

79

Qatar

425

5

18

80

Jordan

423

0

-11

80

St. Kitts and Nevis

423

12

49

82

China PR

422

-1

-1

83

Honduras

398

3

5

84

Antigua and Barbuda

393

-1

-20

85

Equatorial Guinea

389

-9

-77

86

Cyprus

387

-2

-20

87

Central African Republic

386

9

35

87

Kenya

386

42

110

89

Botswana

378

-2

-13

90

Guatemala

376

1

-2

90

Sierra Leone

376

18

59

92

Liberia

370

31

78

93

Libya

366

29

73

93

New Zealand

366

54

146

95

Montenegro

365

-5

-17

96

Mozambique

362

1

13

97

Kazakhstan

359

15

47

98

Gabon

355

-10

-33

99

Iraq

354

3

20

100

Canada

350

-7

-13

100

Haiti

350

-26

-128

102

Armenia

348

8

33

103

Kyrgyzstan

341

8

28

103

Syria

341

-2

5

105

Oman

340

-5

2

106

Togo

339

-11

-19

107

Bolivia

338

-25

-82

107

Latvia

338

-3

8

109

Rwanda

334

-6

2

110

Puerto Rico

332

48

165

111

Chad

326

-5

0

111

Palestine

326

2

15

113

Estonia

323

-19

-37

114

Korea DPR

320

-16

-28

115

Georgia

318

22

58

115

Swaziland

318

2

16

117

Mauritania

317

4

23

118

Turkmenistan

312

16

48

119

Nicaragua

311

-14

-18

120

Cuba

305

6

20

120

Thailand

305

-3

3

122

Zimbabwe

303

-7

0

123

Tanzania

300

13

39

124

Burundi

297

8

28

124

El Salvador

297

-25

-45

126

Lithuania

293

1

11

127

Bahrain

284

3

13

127

Namibia

284

8

21

129

Guyana

280

1

9

130

Niger

277

-13

-25

131

Madagascar

273

-23

-44

132

Ethiopia

270

-7

-18

133

Malawi

269

-26

-51

134

Curaçao

261

20

70

135

Philippines

256

-15

-43

136

Faroe Islands

254

-47

-129

137

Angola

253

-14

-39

137

Azerbaijan

253

1

1

139

Dominican Republic

243

14

50

139

FYR Macedonia

243

0

-7

139

Vietnam

243

-6

-23

142

Mauritius

229

0

-10

142

Sudan

229

-14

-49

144

Kuwait

223

-3

-18

145

Tajikistan

220

19

70

146

Luxembourg

219

0

-2

147

Aruba

216

-4

-17

148

Hong Kong

213

-5

-20

149

Lebanon

208

2

9

150

Afghanistan

206

6

22

151

Lesotho

204

4

19

152

India

200

11

49

153

São Tomé e Príncipe

197

-1

0

153

South Sudan

197

4

23

155

Comoros

191

7

33

156

Barbados

182

-16

-63

156

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

182

-8

-29

158

Singapore

175

-9

-32

159

Grenada

171

-9

-32

160

Myanmar

167

1

6

161

Yemen

160

17

58

162

Gambia

154

3

9

163

Belize

152

-49

-155

163

Papua New Guinea

152

30

101

165

Moldova

151

-6

-14

166

Malaysia

149

7

33

167

New Caledonia

144

16

70

168

American Samoa

128

0

0

168

Cook Islands

128

0

0

170

Suriname

123

20

66

171

St. Lucia

121

-26

-104

172

Guam

120

-12

-44

173

Dominica

117

-1

-7

174

Maldives

115

0

0

175

Tahiti

114

4

18

176

Malta

109

-10

-32

177

Laos

107

-3

-8

178

Samoa

106

-10

-22

179

Vanuatu

103

6

31

180

Cambodia

95

4

22

181

Fiji

93

5

25

182

Solomon Islands

92

-6

-18

183

Liechtenstein

88

-15

-40

184

Bangladesh

85

-3

-8

184

Chinese Taipei

85

7

29

186

Seychelles

84

-6

-10

186

Timor-Leste

84

-9

-22

188

Bermuda

77

-21

-58

188

Nepal

77

-6

0

190

Kosovo

66

-

66

191

Indonesia

65

-4

0

192

Bhutan

64

-4

0

193

Sri Lanka

58

-4

0

194

Pakistan

54

-2

0

195

Macau

50

1

8

196

Montserrat

44

-2

0

196

US Virgin Islands

44

-2

0

198

Brunei Darussalam

33

-1

-4

199

Cayman Islands

21

0

0

200

San Marino

20

0

0

200

Turks and Caicos Islands

20

-2

-13

202

Mongolia

13

1

9

203

Andorra

12

-1

1

204

British Virgin Islands

11

-3

-5

205

Anguilla

0

-1

0

205

Bahamas

0

-1

0

205

Djibouti

0

-1

0

205

Eritrea

0

-1

0

205

Somalia

0

-1

0

205

Tonga

0

-1

0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Your first timeframe average drops from 474 in June to 389 in July because of the high valued Euro qualifier against Israel from June 2015 (1188 matchpts) dropping to the second timeframe. Both Kirin Cup wins only count as friendlies and delivered 700 matchpts combined. That causes the drop. Other timeframe averages remained almost the same.

Hi pal, nice site.How many points will Chile get after the win in PSO vs Argentina?? I made the simulator in Fifa page and they assigned only M=1, total= 596pts. I think it should be M=2, total = 1200.Thanks

The FIFA prognosis tool haven't taken the PSO-win voor NZL into account against PNG. They just calculate with the draw. And that is not correct. NZL gets 2 points for the PSO-win instead of 1 point for the draw.That tool isn't really reliable.

Nogomet, well spotted. That Czech Republic-Malta friendly of May 27th was deleted from the FIFA-website somewhere in June. The matchpoints of this match were still included in the June ranking. Untill I can check my ranking against FIFA's July ranking, I indeed still include that match in my calculations.It has happened before that a match disappeared from their site but that the matchpoints of that match still were included in the FIFA-points. It concerned the match St. Vincent-Trinidad of March 25th, a WC-qualifier for crying out loud, that was removed somewhere in April. Only last week did that match suddenly reappear on their fixture-list.

FIFA calculates matchpoints for each match and values these factors:- win/draw/loss (PSO-win/loss in single knock-out matches)- strength of the opponent (ranking position)- type of match (friendly, qualifier, continental final or World Cup)- average confederation strength.

The UEFA NT-coefficient calculation does give bonus points for each stage in a tournament reached, FIFA doesn't.