Up to tonight's game: I give a home team 5-10 point advantage, concrete value depending of whether they are a good team and what opponent they are facing. In this case - I give wolves 5 point advantage, while they are good, they are facing a better team, imho.Warriors start from: -5.Matchups: Bogut has done and will do enough defensive damage control on Pekovic, who is big, but slow, that should be enough for warriors to keep it close there +5 minny.Lee, and I think this match-up together with Curry's, is of an essential importance, has done enough to stop Love from getting it done, but with (Lee) being dragged out of the paint, Iguodala has to help rebound under the basket. If Lee keeps it close, we have a good chance of taking this game. Minny +5.So far we are down 15.Now, I expect Iguodala eat Brewer alive, overpower him and I believe shoot better than him (courtesy of patented W's ball movement and floor spacing). Warriors +10Thompson should do just fine on Martin (with help from Iguodala, if Warriors are in a position where they lack/need scoring, to ease the game for him on defense so as to have more on offense). Let's say it's a +5 Warriors.So we are tied for the game, and it's 5 minutes left.Enter Curry - he must shoot Rubio out off the court, but the spaniard is a heck of a defender, long and has quick arms - can steal, block and otherwise infuriate the defended player.I won't lay out the predicted value here, just to keep it fun, but let me say, I have Warriors winning the tight game by 6 points.Having in mind that our bench has been underperforming, you guess whom I have taking Warriors over the line.

Very good away win and without Curry in the fourth. Klay really looks good so far and perhaps pushing to be ranked as a top 5 SG. Good to see Lee play up to Love as well. All this done with Bogut practically out in just over a quarter of play.