Friday, October 31, 2008

5:31 PM

More than 200 visitors to WisPolitics.com submitted entries in this year's election prediction contest. Averaged out, a solid majority of respondents predicted a Democratic sweep on Tuesday.

In the presidential race, 83 percent predicted Barack Obama would win the national race while 15 percent picked John McCain and a handful picked either Libertarian Bob Barr or the Green Party's Cynthia McKinney. A wider majority -- 94 percent -- predicted a Wisconsin win for Obama.

In the 8th Congressional District rematch between Democrat Steve Kagen and Republican John Gard, 83 percent picked Kagen and 17 percent picked Gard.

The contest also asked respondents to guess the partisan breakdown in the state Legislature. In the Assembly, 71 percent of respondents predicted Democratic control, 5 percent predicted a tie (49 from each party plus one independent) and 25 percent predicted it would remain in Republican hands. In the Senate, 59 percent predicted a Democratic majority while 41 percent predicted Republicans would take control.