This post has been edited 4 time(s), it was last edited by Fiftage588: 11.01.2015 19:11.

PF:

his coldcall is 75-20=55 overall, from BB it will be bigger lets say like 64% range , i removed hands i expected him to 3bet with

F:

OTF: i expect him to call any GSs, OCs, PP, pair... any BDFD, pretty wide...

T:

OTT: well , still prety wide, anything that has something , lel , its fish, though i dont have info how much station he is or is he fit or folder.. so since u didnt gave me info, i assume a station ,
so range he calls turn with :

R:

OTR i expect him to call/raise with:

i d slightly overbet lol , since he calls big with TPNK , and worse flushes, which is 20% of his range as seen in pic below, will raise/stackoff anyway , so dont need to shove myself and loose value from all those 1P+ up to straight hands

We take out aprox 10% of his 70% range because villain is OOP, we steal 3x and not smaller and because we assume that he 3bets AK and QQ+. So his preflop range looks like this

Flop :

We are pretty behind on that flop and we dont have too much hand equity. That means that our cbet is more a bluff bet and we hope to use our fold equity. But using fold equity against a passive fish seems wrong to me. But we have position and when he checks...well....we cbet trying to represent some good hands there.

He will call our cbet with 2pairs, sets, TP, 2nd pair-3rd pair(pp), OESD, gutshots, maybe a few BDFD hands and a few A high type hands,

Turn

We get some hand equity on the turn and we close up on him with 45-55%. When he check/calls again i think we can get out of his range powerfull hands like 2pairs or sets. They usually minrr those hands on the turn. He will also fold the few A high and BDFD that missed. Now we are 49-51% still in his favour.

River:

So..on the river all his left draws miss (he might still have 2-3 combos of A4s that now made a str8) and his range is made mostly out of TP and 2nd pairs. Considering that he makes big calls with TPNK and that he also might have some str8ts with which he surelly would stackoff and that we are 150 bbs deep, i would bet an overbet of something like 50% of our remaining stacks ~ 65bbs. I would NOT shove becuse the board is rather wet with lots of combos that beat a TP type hand. He might still fold sometimes. If the board was dryer Shove is ok.