Trump, Brexit and the future of polling: USSC, YouGov and Annabel Crabb

When

Where

Type

Public forum

Cost

Free with registration essential

Recent elections in the United States and United Kingdom have been characterised as a challenge to the reliability of public opinion polling. Many research firms predicted Hillary Clinton to win the White House, while 'Remain' was believed to be the choice of most UK voters, and Jeremy Corbyn was thought to be thrashed at this year’s British election. In these cases, not all the poll results were accurate.

Does this mean polling is a dead-end for understanding public opinion, and what does this mean for politics? Are new survey techniques the answer to gauging the mood of voters? Is the situation with polling in the United States and United Kingdom comparable or different to what is happening in Australia?

At this public event, the ABC's Annabel Crabb and the United States Studies Centre's CEO and polling expert Professor Simon Jackman appeared in conversation with the founder and CEO of innovative global survey company YouGov, Stephan Shakespeare. Together they discussed what innovations are being used to keep polling accurate and relevant to understanding politics in the future.

Featuring

Annabel Crabb

ABC journalist and presenter

Annabel Crabb presents the highly acclaimed The House and Kitchen Cabinet series, and is also a regular contributor and presenter to The Drum on ABC News. She began her career in 1997 at The Adelaide Advertiser and moved on to cover politics for The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald, where she was a columnist and sketch-writer.

Stephan Shakespeare

CEO and Co-Founder, YouGov plc.

Stephan Shakespeare is CEO and co-founder of YouGov plc. One of the pioneers of internet research, Stephan has been the driving force behind YouGov’s innovation-led strategy. He writes daily polling analysis for The Times’ Red Box briefing, a weekly column for City A.M. and is also regular contributor to the BBC’s Daily Politics programme.

Professor Simon Jackman

Chief Executive Officer, United States Studies Centre

Simon Jackman commenced as CEO of the US Studies Centre in April 2016. He was previously a Professor of Political Science and Statistics at Stanford University. Jackman's teaching and research centres on public opinion, election campaigns, political participation, and electoral systems with special emphasis on American and Australian politics.