The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Power Line

Team

Pitcher

Estimate

Edge

SAN FRANCISCO

CAIN

-101

CINCINNATI

LATOS

+101

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

SAN FRANCISCO team trends

Win/Loss record

Over/Under

Current Year

Last 3 Years

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

O-U

O-U

O-U

in October games

3-4

-0.5

14-10

+5.6

38-32

+6.3

3-4

10-13

35-34

when playing on Thursday

10-6

+3.8

32-25

+3.3

156-139

+5.3

10-6

28-28

150-133

in day games

36-31

+1.9

93-85

-3

503-471

-15.6

34-29

83-87

477-455

in games played on a grass field

96-70

+19.2

285-220

+36.3

1355-1162

+101.7

89-71

239-245

1196-1197

against right-handed starters

56-51

-2.9

192-165

+2.2

1038-895

+64.1

57-46

171-170

944-897

in playoff games

2-2

0

13-6

+9.4

25-22

+4.2

3-1

9-9

24-22

after a win

52-42

+4.4

158-127

+11.9

768-640

+64.3

53-39

134-138

670-675

when playing against a team with a winning record

33-33

+1.2

121-113

+8.9

621-620

+28.7

35-29

110-117

603-582

when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season

18-18

+0.5

68-59

+11.1

324-316

+27.6

20-15

59-65

312-303

in all games

96-70

+19.2

286-222

+35.2

1418-1220

+107.3

89-71

240-247

1266-1245

when the total is 7 or less

52-41

+2.1

149-112

+13

225-166

+41

50-39

118-127

180-186

as a road underdog of +100 to +125

13-11

+2.8

44-37

+11

169-193

-4

15-9

42-37

170-175

in road games

48-35

+16.4

137-118

+24.4

649-670

+36.4

51-30

135-112

662-597

on the road when the total is 7 or less

17-13

+4.8

48-43

+4.8

81-74

+17.2

20-10

47-39

76-71

CINCINNATI team trends

Win/Loss record

Over/Under

Current Year

Last 3 Years

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

O-U

O-U

O-U

in October games

3-4

-1.6

5-8

-4.1

10-24

-16.5

3-4

5-8

11-23

when playing on Thursday

9-9

-2

24-22

-2.3

150-142

+14

9-7

25-18

137-140

in day games

38-20

+13.4

96-77

+7.2

440-466

-7.8

23-30

74-81

422-425

in games played on a grass field

99-67

+17.1

269-223

+13.7

1040-1119

-14

63-90

223-232

996-1037

against right-handed starters

66-48

+5.8

185-160

+2.6

916-965

-12.5

41-62

156-160

883-887

in playoff games

2-2

-0.3

2-5

-3.4

2-5

-3.4

3-1

4-3

4-3

after a loss

43-23

+16.5

129-91

+31.4

652-672

+12

30-34

110-97

642-614

when playing against a team with a winning record

39-31

+6.4

95-109

-13

542-670

-9.8

25-40

92-94

552-593

when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season

15-10

+3.5

40-53

-13.5

242-336

-27.7

8-14

42-42

263-276

in all games

99-67

+17.1

271-224

+15.5

1271-1333

-23.7

63-90

223-234

1216-1242

when the total is 7 or less

17-13

+3.3

28-31

-2.4

36-58

-15.8

12-15

23-25

36-43

at home with a money line of -100 to -125

14-9

+3.8

40-22

+14.4

168-161

-16.4

10-7

33-21

156-156

as a home favorite of -125 to -150

19-14

-0.3

48-43

-11.7

172-155

-39.6

13-18

43-42

156-152

in home games

50-33

+4

143-105

+4.6

655-648

-85.8

34-41

117-109

639-590

at home when the total is 7 or less

1-1

-0.3

2-2

-0.2

2-5

-3.2

1-1

2-1

3-3

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games

Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

Games over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI is 14-11 (+3.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons

14 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)

Games this season

CINCINNATI is 6-5 (+1.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season

5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI is 7-5 (+0.7 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons

8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

Games played at CINCINNATI this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 (+1.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season

3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

Team Stats

Starting Pitcher Stats

Date

Teams

Score

Line

Total

Result

H

HR

SB

LOB

ERR

Starter

W/L

IP

ER

H

BB

10/10/2012

SAN FRANCISCO

8

+135

11

3

0

5

1

ZITO(L)

2.7

2

4

4

CINCINNATI

3

-145

8 un

Over

9

1

0

10

0

LEAKE(R)

L

4.3

5

6

2

10/9/2012

SAN FRANCISCO

2

+130

3

0

0

4

0

VOGELSONG(R)

5

1

3

3

CINCINNATI

1

-140

7.5 un

Under

4

0

1

7

1

BAILEY(R)

7

1

1

1

10/7/2012

CINCINNATI

9

+135

13

1

0

5

0

ARROYO(R)

W

7

0

1

1

SAN FRANCISCO

0

-145

7 ev

Over

2

0

0

5

0

BUMGARNER(L)

L

4.3

4

7

1

10/6/2012

CINCINNATI

5

+115

9

2

0

6

1

CUETO(R)

0.3

0

0

0

SAN FRANCISCO

2

-125

6.5 un

Over

7

1

0

11

0

CAIN(R)

L

5

3

5

1

Pitcher Versus Team Past History

MATT CAIN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997

CAIN is 4-6 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.317.

His team's record is 4-7 (-5.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.0 units)

MATT CAIN recent starts vs. CINCINNATI

Date

Opponent

Score

Line

Total

Result

Dec

IP

R

ER

H

HR

BB

SO

Opp Starter

10/6/2012

CINCINNATI

2-5

-125

6.5

Loss,Over

L

5

3

3

5

2

1

4

CUETO(R)

6/29/2012

CINCINNATI

1-5

-160

6.5

Loss,Under

L

6.7

5

5

11

2

1

7

LEAKE(R)

4/24/2012

at CINCINNATI

2-9

-105

7.5

Loss,Over

L

6.3

3

3

5

2

2

7

LATOS(R)

MAT LATOS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997

LATOS is 4-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 0.892.

His team's record is 5-6 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.3 units)

MAT LATOS recent starts vs. SAN FRANCISCO

Date

Opponent

Score

Line

Total

Result

Dec

IP

R

ER

H

HR

BB

SO

Opp Starter

6/30/2012

at SAN FRANCISCO

2-1

-125

7.5

Win,Under

W

9

1

1

2

0

0

7

ZITO(L)

4/24/2012

SAN FRANCISCO

9-2

-105

7.5

Win,Over

W

7

0

0

4

0

2

3

CAIN(R)

9/14/2011

at SAN FRANCISCO

1-3

+150

5.5

Loss,Under

L

7

3

3

7

2

1

8

LINCECUM(R)

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1040, -30.6 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 50.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (217-212, -19.1 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (1063-1070, -103.4 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (199-217, -34.4 units)

Edge=SAN FRANCISCO

&nbsp

The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (785-741, -64.8 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 47.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (102-111, -20.7 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (820-744, -25.8 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (134-125, -4.5 units)

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