tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post3927008404279787187..comments2019-01-18T14:44:51.690-05:00Comments on Campaign Diaries: Count no one out: Florida is wide open (for Republicans, that is)Tanielhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17333289018970623022noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-43079735870635341392008-01-25T12:12:00.000-05:002008-01-25T12:12:00.000-05:00Sorry, forgot to post my blog as a link here.Like ...Sorry, forgot to post <A HREF="http://rosenthalswelt.blogspot.com" REL="nofollow">my blog</A> as a link here.<BR/><BR/>Like I said, excellent blog!!Markhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14117706673612587798noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-15915682885057111502008-01-25T12:04:00.000-05:002008-01-25T12:04:00.000-05:00Excellent blog!I do intensive electoral statistica...Excellent blog!<BR/><BR/>I do intensive electoral statistical analyses, stop by my blog:<BR/><BR/>http://rosenthalswelt.blogspot.comMarkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14117706673612587798noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-88057610541608861752008-01-24T20:13:00.000-05:002008-01-24T20:13:00.000-05:00"Romney would be idea, from the perspective of thi..."Romney would be idea, from the perspective of this non-Republican."<BR/><BR/>I agree. Romney vs. Clinton has the entire south turning purple. The Republicans would have to spend money defending states like Georgia, and not even Romney could afford to do that. <BR/><BR/>Obama doesn't do as well is as many Southern states, but he would hold the west and Northwest with ease. <BR/><BR/>On the other hand, McCain can beat Clinton in the west (Washington and Oregon), and Obama in more southern states.C.S.Strowbridgenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-17639718488576638592008-01-24T12:50:00.000-05:002008-01-24T12:50:00.000-05:00c.s. strowbridge: Romney would be idea, from the p...c.s. strowbridge: Romney would be idea, from the perspective of this non-Republican.<BR/><BR/>Here's hoping Hillary crashes and burns on Super-Duper Tuesday!Kevin Robinsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00939074393214721973noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-55414470057733974172008-01-24T10:42:00.000-05:002008-01-24T10:42:00.000-05:00I agree. For the most part the polls have been goo...I agree. For the most part the polls have been good. It's just that the ones that were not have gotten all of the press. <BR/><BR/>I think with Thompson gone and Huckabee out of money, we will see the rise of Romney in Florida and if he wins, McCain won't be able to raise enough cash to compete on Super Super Tuesday.C.S.Strowbridgenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-91276658325786575012008-01-24T09:59:00.000-05:002008-01-24T09:59:00.000-05:00I would hazard a guess that since there seems to b...I would hazard a guess that since there seems to be such a big difference of opinion amongst the voters, it is especially difficult to find a representative sample. A poll of my close friends, for example, would reveal support for Ron Paul, Huckabee, Guiliani, Obama (that's me!), Clinton, etc.<BR/><BR/>Taniel, thank you for the time and effort you put into this blog. It is a welcome respite, an eye in the middle of the maelstrom that is the rest of the media coverage.<BR/><BR/>Peace.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-88674579794381979862008-01-24T00:01:00.000-05:002008-01-24T00:01:00.000-05:00Kevin,Thanks for reading! And I beg to differ. The...Kevin,<BR/>Thanks for reading! And I beg to differ. The polls in Iowa were pretty amazingly accurate (especially the DMR one, which was the survey that we were waiting for the most); surveys in Michigan picked up Romney's rise, and most polls in the final day of the South Carolina primary had a tightening race with McCain surviving on top. And then there is New Hampshire, of course. And while the Democratic numbers were way off, the unique nature of the 5-day window between Iowa and New Hampshire made the situation very volatile; and I hae argued before that <A HREF="http://www.campaigndiaries.com/2008/01/stunning-yes-but-they-were-clues-why.html" REL="nofollow">there were plenty of clues in the polls</A> to explain what happened in New Hampshire, and that it's the media's fault for not recognizing them.Tanielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17333289018970623022noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-55606720425833314142008-01-23T23:10:00.000-05:002008-01-23T23:10:00.000-05:00Taniel, I read your blog almost everyday, and your...Taniel, I read your blog almost everyday, and your analysis is usually right on. But the polls this year have been totally worthless.<BR/><BR/>That's all.Kevin Robinsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00939074393214721973noreply@blogger.com