Re-examining the sources of heteroskedasticity: The paradigm of noisy chaotic models

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In this paper, we analyze the rich dynamic properties of the noisy chaotic model developed by Kyrtsou [C. Kyrtsou, Evidence for neglected linearity in noisy chaotic models, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos 15 (10) (2005)] considering homoskedastic errors, with the aim of deriving information about possible links between noisy chaotic dynamics and ARCH effects. With the joint application of the Engle [R.F. Engle, Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation, Econometrica 50 (1982) 987–1007] and McLeod–Li [A.I. McLeod, W.K. Li, Diagnostic checking ARMA time series models using squared-residuals autocorrelations, Journal of Time Series Analysis 4 (1983) 269–273] tests for non-linearity in the second moment, we attempt to show how highly non-linear models can exhibit heteroskedasticity when no heteroskedastic structure is assumed by construction.

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