According to Votecastr, which calculates approximate votes
tallies on an ongoing basis through election day, Clinton is leading in
eight out of eight key battleground states:

Florida: Clinton 49% Trump 45%

Iowa: Clinton 47% Trump 46%

Colorado: Clinton 47% Trump 42%

Nevada: Clinton 47% Trump 44%

New Hampshire: Clinton 47% Trump 45%

Ohio: Clinton 46% Trump 45%

Pennsylvania: Clinton 48% Trump 45%

Wisconsin: Clinton 49% Trump 42%

Exit polling is provided by Votecastr (and Edison,
which is used by all other media outlets). Their tally updates all day
as voting patterns change. The accuracy of their novel methodology is,
of course, yet to be proved.

According to Votecastr, which calculates approximate votes
tallies on an ongoing basis through election day, Clinton is leading infive out of seven key battleground states. Over the past few houses, their tallies have shown the race tightening somewhat. It is also unclear whether they have fixed their calculation problem to include all three voter tiers--early, pre-election polling, and election day voting:

Florida: Clinton 48% Trump 45% D+3

Iowa: Trump 46% Clinton 45% R+1

Colorado: Clinton 46% Trump 43% D+3

Nevada: Clinton 46% Trump 45% D+1

Ohio: Clinton 46% Trump 45% R+1

Pennsylvania: Clinton 48% Trump 45% D+3

Wisconsin: Clinton 48% Trump 43% D+5

These numbers are based only on election day voting numbers. So we'll
need to wait until they're reconciled with early vote analysis and
pre-election polling. Exit polling is provided by Votecastr (and Edison,
which is used by all other media outlets). Their tally updates all day
as voting patterns change. The accuracy of their novel methodology is,
of course, yet to be proved. And complete tallys are not, as yet,
available.

Ultimately, there is something strange about Nate Silver's methodology in this cycle, as he goes into
each poll and "adjusts" it's numbers, mostly in favor of Trump. Is he
hedging his bets: remember, he loudly pontificated that Trump could not get the GOP nomination. (We, at PollTrack.com,
began to predict a sharp trend towards Trump in August 2015.) Silver did so
not based on numbers but his personal opinion, as a pundit reading the
GOP electorate. (He also confidently claimed that the Cubs would not win
the World Series.)

So now he appears to be bending over backwards not
to underestimate Trump. (despite the fact that the general electorate is
FAR more diverse and complex than the Republican base). He's adjusting
the internals of each poll, thus possibly skewing the Electoral College
to show a closer race than other analysis sites (including PollTrack).
This doesn't mean that Silver is necessarily wrong, but these
adjustments are not explained. How does a poll from an organization with
an A+ accuracy rating (according to Silver himself) go from +1 Clinton
in Florida to +3 Trump after 538's adjustment of it. No explanation. And
frankly, illogical given the quality of the polling of the organization
in question.

PollTracknever goes inside polls to adjust their results. If we detect a clearly faulty methodology, we drop the survey from our polling
average. This is standard practice. To do otherwise is extremely
unorthodox. Maybe Silver is on to something, but
without explaining these "adjustments," his conclusions run counter to
virtually all of the other polling analysis websites

PollTrack's presidential maps are up and running. Their unique structures allows you to get a snapshot of the presidential race for electoral votes as news cycles alter the odds in each state. The map's main feature--unique to PollTrack--allows you to gauge the state of the race Today, a map of Tomorrow, that allows you to look ahead to trends that could reshape the candidates' chances in each state, and later this summer, an Election Day map intended to predict the final outcome.

Here is PollTrack's 9 November 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail. Starting with the 9 November Ranking: PollTrack has narrowed the field to the top eight candidates:

Over the next few months, PollTrack will be ranking the GOP
contenders for the 2016 Republican nomination for president.These
rankings will consider several factors, including public opinion polls,
internal polls (when available), the ups and downs of the news cycle,
conditions on the ground, and electoral history.

Here is PollTrack's May 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

Over the next few months, PollTrack will be ranking the GOP contenders for the 2016 Republican nomination for president.These rankings will consider several factors, including public opinion polls, internal polls (when available), the ups and downs of the news cycle, conditions on the ground, and electoral history.

Here is PollTrack's first ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail: