Analysts have been out in full force….crunching the numbers and making assertions at the same time.

Some even going to the point of saying that with the numbers carried by their brethrens, they can form a government without the ‘kafirs’!!

That same chap compared two photos, one showing three Chinese looking girls celebrating with a birthday cake; the other showing three Malay looking girls with tudung – with the comment “What have we got in common?” Click HERE

You do feel sorry for these people, don’t you?

In any case, let me provide some figures of my own (minus all the emotions of that chap mentioned above) and see if there is some basis to it.

Ok, we all know that out of the Malaysian population of 26 million plus, only 12.3 million were eligible to vote.

Of those 12.3 million, only 88% i.e. 10.86 million voters turned up to vote!

Now, I can’t find any data to support the percentage of races that made up the 10.86 million who came out to vote.

I’m not certainly not going to make wild assumptions of the racial makeup of those who voted – I will just refer to the racial percentage making up the Malaysian population:-

Malays – make up 60% of total population but I am assuming only 55% of the 10.86 million who voted were Malays (according to the chap above, the Malays were lackadaisical in choosing to vote!)

Chinese – they make up 25% of total population but I am assuming 30% of the 10.86 million who voted were Chinese (to support the ‘chap’s’ assertion that Chinese diligently registered themselves as voters and indeed, went to vote!)

Indians and others – they make up to balance 15% who voted in GE13.

So there you are, this means that, by using the above percentages, the numbers who voted recently in racial terms (totaling 10.8 million) are as follows:

Malays – 6.0 million

Chinese – 3.2 million

Indian and others – 1.6 million

Now, the officially reported votes attributed to Barisan Nasional and Pakatan Rakyat are as follows:-

Barisan Nasional – 5.2 million

Pakatan Rakyat – 5.6 million

Analysis of the Barisan Nasional share of votes – Since Hindraf has returned to UMNO’s fold (plus the grateful ‘others’), it’s only fair to assume this block of 1.6 million votes has gone to Barisan Nasional.

This means that the balance 3.6 million votes (5.2 less 1.6) gained by Barisan Nasional must have been obtained from the Malay voters (of 6.0 million). Who else?

Conclusion for Barisan Nasional – Of the 5.2 million votes obtained, 69% came from Malays and 31% came from the Indians/others.

Analysis of the Pakatan Rakyat share of votes – If everyone says that the 5.6 million votes obtained by PR came from the ‘Chinese Tsunami’ totaling 3.2 million votes, there is still a remaining 2.4 million votes (5.6 less 3.2) to be accounted for.

Which race totaling 2.4 million voted for Pakatan Rakyat?

Answer: Malays

Conclusion for Pakatan Rakyat – Of the 5.6 million votes obtained, 57% came from Chinese and 43% came from the Malays.

Overall Conclusion

It shows that 40% of the Malays (2.4 million out of 6.0 million) who voted, chose Pakatan Rakyat. The balance 60% or 3.6 million chose UMNO/BN.

The whole Chinese voting jing-bang (according to Najib) of 3.2 million voted for Pakatan Rakyat.

UMNO, with the support of the supposedly subservient Indian/others block of 1.5 million votes, is the dominant force here.

Pakatan Rakyat with more even Chinese and Malay support bases, is deemed more multi-racial.

So is this a case of a Chinese Tsunami or a Split Malay Fraternity (Of Differing Values)?

Btw, can two groups from the same community BUT ‘Of Differing Values’ unite….especially politically?

Remember how they (PAS) were unceremoniously ‘booted’ out of Barisan Nasional then?

Of the approximately 12.3m eligible voters, the voter turnout was 84.8%.

So what now for the UMNO led BN and Pakatan Rakyat?

Recriminations against the Chinese for the ‘Chinese Tsunami’?

Unlikely.

This is because the Chinese voted for PAS in seats that the latter was contesting in………likewise Malays were voting for DAP where DAP was contesting in. It was truly a Malaysian effort. The same can be said where it involved PKR candidates.

This is very unlike the UMNO led BN effort whereby the thrust of the campaign was to play the race card and to instil fear into the rural Malays of an ‘impending’ takeover by the Chinese!!

It was nonsensical……but the MCA corroborated to this evil effort by UMNO by their advertisements in The Star newspaper of an impending ‘Islamisation’ of the country!

Is it no wonder that MCA has been totally rejected by ALL?

The Star newspaper will be next.

Najib’s position appears to be untenable just from the results achieved.

It was so clear that UMNO was so desperate to obtain its simple majority (by whatever means), after which they meekly congratulated themselves and rushed to get themselves appointed in front of the King the next day!

And the questionable means in which the UMNO led BN achieved its ‘win’ may be the ‘Buah Mulut’ of everyone over the next few weeks……..the result of which, we anticipate earnestly……something that must be peaceful and beneficial for all!

There is this old saying that what we are today is a result of what we did yesterday, and what we will be tomorrow will be a result of what we do today.

This perfectly applies in the case of the people’s rant about the country’s burgeoning illegal immigrants and the ensuing social problems and state of flux.

It appears that much of Malaysia’s problems with illegal immigrants has been magnified by action taken by the UMO led Government for reasons of ‘Political Expediency’.

In the case of the state of Sabah in East Malaysia, a Royal Commission of Inquiry has revealed that Identity Cards had been issued to illegal immigrants on the instructions of Megat Junid and facilitated by individuals including Aziz Samsuddin (a.k.a. The Terminator). Click HERE

Both gentlemen were key loyalists in the Mahathir administration then serving as Deputy Home Minister and Political Secretary (to Mahathir). As Mahathir held the powerful Home Minister portfolio then, Megat Junid was the de-facto Home Minister doing Mahathir’s bidding!

Of course, Mahathir has replied that those legal papers were ‘issued properly’.

Of course you did……but for political expediency in order to neutralise the local opposition politicians in Sabah and Sarawak who were mainly Christians.

Many acknowledge that most of these illegal immigrants, were from Indonesia and southern Philippines who were predominantly Muslims.

Mahathir even had the arrogance of blaming the late first Prime Minister, Tunku Abdul Rahman for the ‘IC’ fiasco! Click HERE

This is indeed damaging to UMNO, which has exacerbated the conditions in East Malaysia since their political entry then and will only get worse if a fundamental change does not takes place.

It’s the numbers……you keep hearing!

Even the police appear to be scrambling to revise their estimate as to the numbers present at the People’s Uprising Rally or Himpunan Kebangkitan Rakyat.

Why the numbers?

Well, essentially it will contradict the spin spun by UMNO bloggers that the people have spurned the politics of the People’s Alliance.

They had said, “Look at their rally at the KL Stadium not too long ago where they could not even fill up half of the 25,000 capacity stadium.”

That may be so because it was a political rally.

But look at the People’s Rally on 112 i.e. January 12 People’s Rally.

It was spine chilling……as far as the UMNO warlords were concerned!

Not only were the political party members present, there were also the NGOs, grandfathers, grandmothers, fathers, mothers and (some) children. There were the office workers, factory workers……you name them, they were there.

And in economic jargon, can you imagine the multiplier effect this rally has had on the nation?

Most Malaysians do not participate in this kind of rally BUT for such numbers to do so indicates the kind of concern Malaysians have on the way UMNO has run the country to date.

And what about those silent concerned majority who have not participated?

Their concern does not diminish with non-attendance.

In fact, their determination to ensure change and reforms do occur becomes more pressing.

This is because we are now seeing the UMNO led Barisan Nasional (BN) government is now trying to lure the votes of the people by using taxpayers’ money.

This indicates the unwillingness of the warlords to cede their positions and power.

Why do you think Najib is having such a tough time to finalise his candidates’ list for the coming General Elections?

You cannot blame the warlords’ resistance against him – because they consider Najib equally tainted – a case of ‘pot calling the kettle black’?

The taint applies to the UMNO led BN government.

Yet, it is not a foregone conclusion that Pakatan Rakyat will prevail this time round in taking over Putrajaya.

This is due to the profoundly skewed non-proportional representation found in the state and parliamentary states in the country….thanks to the Election Commission.

This is their last line of defence in ensuring UMNO’s survival as the political masters of Malaysia.

However, like they say, Rome was not built in a day.

The process to remove UMNO started in the 1999 General Elections, shortly after the crude sacking and physical abuse of Anwar Ibrahim. In that GE, BN lost the state of Terengganu besides failing to regain Kelantan.

The 2004 General Elections was a landslide for BN as the people were prepared to give UMNO one more chance with the retirement of Mahathir.

However, Pak Lah failed miserably and the 2008 General Elections reflected the people’s verdict of the UMNO led BN, which lost its two thirds majority in addition to the states of Penang, Selangor, Kedah and Perak (Kelantan was retained by PAS under Tok Guru Nik Aziz).

Pakatan Rakyat has now proven to the Rakyat that they can indeed run the country efficiently as evidenced in the abovementioned states under their administration consistent with each state’s culture and sentiments – with them garnering the largest percentage of investments including foreign direct investments.

The electoral structure is the next to be revamped fundamentally – that has resulted in the Bersih rallies that have been met with stinging resistance from the UMNO establishment.

But change is inevitable.

And a two party state will be the way to go moving forward – a check and balance system of democracy.

Aw, come on police.

Reducing the estimated crowd attendance at Stadium Merdeka from 80,000 to 45,000?

I am quite sure that the current Stadium Merdeka can, for a soccer game, hold up to 35,000 spectators.

If one can recall, the Stadium had a larger capacity after having built the 3 extra stands in the early 1970s, one facing the grandstand across the field and the other two behind the two opposing goal posts.

The largest crowd when those extra stands were in existence was 50,000 – that was when Malaysia played India in 1975 in the hockey World Cup semi-final match.

Those extra stands have been ‘removed’ – purportedly to relive the 50th anniversary of independence.

That would reduce the crowd in the stands to at least 35,000. If one is to add the numbers on the track and field at the event today, one could conservatively double the stadium attendance to 70,000.

And what about those outside who could not get in?

The trouble with the Barisan Nasional PR machinery …. including that of the police….is that they are just not convincing at all…..even at the most basic of issues!

But what is more pertinent is that the will of the people cannot be trampled upon….not in this day and age! Vote wisely ….inspite of possible intimidation and falsification!

It was indeed ironic that the collapsing wall in Setiawangsa should affect two prominent UMNO warlords in the form of JJ (Jamaluddin Jarjis) and Zulhasnan Rafique, the only Barisan Nasional MP in the Federal Territory……and even then, with much help from ‘postal votes’ that till today, raises much controversy!

It appears, to the superstitious, that this was somehow a divine intervention of sorts to highlight that things come around much faster than one would have thought!

As acknowledged by the Kuala Lumpur mayor, this wall was buil in 1992 to facilitate the construction of the luxury bungalows occupied by the two prominent UMNO politicians, amongst others.

That’s 20 years ago which reportedly cost RM5.0 million each…….meaning that they were ‘substantial’ (read: monetarily) persons coming out of the economic crisis in the late 1980s.

What we actually see today is the accumulation of those deals and sub-standard works…..leading to the kind of controversies like collapsing walls, collapsing government initiated companies, massive losses at Government Linked companies, cronies linked to government contracts having the ability to be absolved (read: Tajuddin Ramli). The list goes on!

Of course we don’t want such calamities to occur at the expense of human lives…..but they were not natural disasters.

They were man-made!

I had raised this matter in an earlier posting (SLIDING CONNECTIONS) several years’ ago and the lessons do not appear to have learnt.

Look at the de-forestation of the Ulu Klang area and you will know what I mean.

People might recall the Highland Tower trajedy but not many recall that collapses had occured earlier in the Taman Melawati area in Ulu Klang……the Hollywood of Kuala Lumpur! The landmark is still there for all to see!

Putting plastic sheets over the area during rainy season is not the answer…….it will defer the inevitable…only for a short while.