AUSTRALIANS AT WAR

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Tuesday, November 20, 2012

GAZA WAR – BACK DOOR TO CONFRONTATION WITH IRAN?

I have over the years suggested a number of scenarios by which Israel might achieve its ultimate endgame objectives of destroying its enemies, Hezbollah and Hamas, and realising the Zionist dream of creating a Greater Israel. All of these suggested scenarios have involved regime change in Iran.

I have suggested that an attack on Iran might include a simultaneous attack against Hezbollah and Hamas on the pretext of preventing either or both from mounting retaliatory attacks against Israel; I have suggested that Israel might find some casus belli to attack Hezbollah in Lebanon in the hope that such a war against Hezbollah might escalate to such an extent that it would provide an opportunity to attack Iran on the basis, perhaps, of preventing Iranian rockets and arms being shipped to Hezbollah. I have also suggested that Israel might use some excuse or another to attack Hamas in the Gaza Strip which might also escalate to include an attack against Iran, again because of Iran’s supply of rockets and arms to Hamas.

Experts and defense analysts agree that Iran would respond to any Israeli strike on its nuclear facilities by proxy, specifically by Hamas and Hezbollah rocketry launched at Israeli towns and cities. Indeed, this is one of the reasons beyond sheer ideological spite that the Iranian leadership has gone to such great lengths to arm both Hamas and Hezbollah.

The Iranian leadership may be coming very close to forcing Israel’s hand. If Hezbollah seeks to open a second front against Israel, then Israel could find itself in a two-front war with terrorist entities. Make no mistake, Israel would achieve its objective of destroying the majority of the longest-range and most lethal missiles supplied to Hamas and Hezbollah by Iran, Syria, and perhaps even North Korea.

This might reduce the costs to Israel of undertaking a strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. After all, if Hamas and Hezbollah are temporarily neutered and if the Israeli government concludes that the elements of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps who would have command and control over any Iranian nuclear arsenal would pose an existential threat, then the Israelis may decide that their window of opportunity would never be so favourable as the present. After all, Iran’s air defense is only going to get more sophisticated with time, and its missile program is advancing steadily, and so time is otherwise not on Israel’s side.

One could be forgiven for thinking that Rubin is just fantasizing about war with Iran and the prospect of a Greater Israel at some time in the not too distant future, however, Rubin is more than just a warmongering nutjob Zionist; he is also a very influential extreme right-wing Zionist player who has the ear of both powerful Israelis and American congressmen and administration officials.

To what extent Rubin’s conjecture can be taken any more seriously than any other commentator is unknown, but it would certainly be unwise to ignore it entirely. While Hezbollah are unlikely to be silly enough to open a second front against Israel, there’s no reason why Israel couldn’t find some pretext to attack Hezbollah, afterall it wouldn’t be the first time!

2 comments:

Anonymous
said...

Damian,

Mate, what about the air raid in Sudan recently where mystery jets struck a site in the capital outskirts with bombs destroying shipping containers seemingly full of rockets (the many engines igniting and fires long afterwards suggested some kind of munitions within) supposedly destined for the Gaza.

Even 'Aviation Leak' ran a piece on it where Israel was tacitly acknowledged and various gaps filled such as jet types, tankers, ESM etc.

My question is this;Could that raid in the Sudan be a prelude to limit weapons to the Gaza beforehand so as to disrupt its supplies, mindful that the Israeli's already had the latest Gaza attack already preplanned well in advance?.

Finally, the press here in Australia in league with the pollies is again subserviently pro-Israeli.Who mentions that naval blockade off the Gazan coast by the Israeli navy.Would we in Australia stand for it or indeed would any group stand for such a blockade to strangle ?Thats an act of war surely, but of course, Israel are 'different' aren't they.All that God's chosen people claptrap....The 'end time' nutters clearly still don't grasp that Christianity overtook that outdated judaism.Right over to you Rowan Atkinson and that funny skit.....

One need only look at the chronology of events that surround the bombing in the Sudan to realise that the bombing in Khartoum is directly linked to what is going on in the Gaza now.

The bombing in Sudan happened on Tuesday 23 October 2012. It was the very same day that the Emir of Qatar visited the Gaza Strip and promised the Palestinians some $400million. As soon as the Emir had departed the Strip, three Hamas operatives were murdered by the Israelis in a targetted assassination designed specifically to provoke Hamas and others to launch rockets into Israel. All this on the same day!

After sucking up to Secretary of State Clinton on her recent visit to Oz, one should not be surprised at Gillard's stance. Sickening is the only way to describe it. The two major political parties in Australia really have nothing at all to offer the Australian people any more. You coundn't get a fag paper between the gap in their policies - especially their foreign policy.

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is an Aeronautical Engineer, Historian and general carer of what goes on in the world.
Apart from an earlier career in engineering, Lataan also has a First Class Honours BA degree in History and a PhD in International Politics.
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