In 2004, Bush won the recorded vote by 50.7-48.3%, a 3 million vote margin. Kerry won the National Exit Poll by 51.7-47.0%, a 6 million margin. View the 7:33pm 2004 National Exit Poll (not for on-air use)

The following states flipped from Kerry in the exit poll to Bush:CO FL IA MO NM NV OH VA. Kerry needed FL or OH to win.

2004: average exit poll margin of error (MoE) was 3.43%2016: average exit poll MoE was 3.52%

I saw on Reddit a person suggesting that we pool money for an Edison poll of California… of course it that came about, we’d control it, and we could give Richard his “dream data” 🙂 Completely unadjusted and which polls were actually polled.

Does anyone know about the machines used in Kentucky… is there a paper trail? I am upset that Bernie does not plan to ask for a recount…. imo, he should be asking for a recount in every state at this point, it has been so rigged against him.

Fraction Magic – Part 1: Votes are being counted as fractions instead of as whole numbers
By Bev Harris May 12, 2016
tags COMPANIES, ELECTIONS INDUSTRY, MAKE AND MODEL, RESEARCH

1 – Summary –
This report summarizes the results of our review of the GEMS election management system, which counts approximately 25 percent of all votes in the United States. The results of this study demonstrate that a fractional vote feature is embedded in each GEMS application which can be used to invisibly, yet radically, alter election outcomes by pre-setting desired vote percentages to redistribute votes. This tampering is not visible to election observers, even if they are standing in the room and watching the computer. Use of the decimalized vote feature is unlikely to be detected by auditing or canvass procedures, and can be applied across large jurisdictions in less than 60 seconds.GEMS vote-counting systems are and have been operated under five trade names: Global Election Systems, Diebold Election Systems, Premier Election Systems, Dominion Voting Systems, and Election Systems & Software, in addition to a number of private regional subcontractors. At the time of this writing, this system is used statewide in Alaska, Connecticut, Georgia, Mississippi, New Hampshire, Utah and Vermont, and for counties in Arizona, (upcoming) California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin and Wyoming. It is also used in Canada.
snip

CANDIDATES!! DON’T CONCEDE UNTIL YOU’VE AUDITED YOUR ELECTION RESULTS.
Audits are in order, even if you think you lost in a landslide. Clint Curtis found in his audit results a 12-24% difference from the ‘official’ results. So, flood your city council and election board meetings, and demand paper ballots and hand counts!

Clint Curtis is mentioned by Lynn Landes above and is a true Whistleblower. Clint mistakenly believed his bosses and GOP FL state Rep. Feeney, to write a code that would catch others using voting computer code flipping without leaving a trace. Instead it was used to flip elections. He testified that it was he who wrote the code for Republicans (and now it seems, right wing Democrats).

Clint Curtis was an everyday computer programmer in Florida until he was asked by Republican legislator Tom Feeney to create vote-rigging software for electronic voting machines. Curtis made the claim in a sworn affidavit and passed a lie detector test, (also testified before the U.S. Congress, so they know he wrote the code to flip voting machines) yet mainstream media largely ignored the story. Curtis finally ran for Congress against Feeney.

Back to Lynn Landes who is the only person that I know of whose law suit against No Evidence Voting Machine Companies went all the way to the supreme court where because it was packed with neocons, she lost the case. The supreme court is now not as lop sided. It may be good timing.

(video)
Hi, I’m Lynn Landes, founder of CountTheBallots.org. I want to encourage you to conduct a Citizen Audit at your poll on Election Day. Election Day audits, pre-election surveys, and exit polls give us an idea of trouble spots, areas where the audit results vary widely from officials results. As a result, Post Election audits can then be organized in targeted precincts. Citizen Audits are not just for this election, but for every primary and general election in the future. Why? Because the way Americans currently conduct elections leaves our voting system wide open to election fraud, particularly by unscrupulous election officials and voting machine company employees.

Why not rely on government audits or recounts to catch mistakes or fraud? History has shown that government-controlled audits lack integrity. And, in many states, recounts only occur if the election is close. What that means, to those who want to steal votes, is to rig elections by a wide enough margin that a recount will not be triggered. In addition, recounts inherently lack integrity. By the time a recount occurs, unscrupulous election officials have had plenty of time to tamper with the results. So, it’s up to local citizens to do what they can to verify election results.

Find or start an audit group in your area
THERE ARE TWO TYPES OF AUDITS:
• Election Day Audits (fairly simple) — On election day, volunteers (1,2, or more) work at the polls, hand out information sheets, audit forms, complaint forms (if necessary) and then add up the results outside the polls after they close. (see ‘tool kit’ below)
• Post Election Audits (more difficult) — After the election, volunteers go door to door, collect signed affidavits (see AUDIT FORMS below) from voters, including the voter’s name and address. They get the list of registered voters from the election board. This type of audit is to prove vote fraud or miscounts. It has been used after elections where irregularities are suspected and candidates or activists must contact voters personally. Post Election Audits were conducted by Republican Steven Troxler in North Carolina race for Agriculture Commissioner in 2004 and by Democrat Clint Curtis in the 2006 Congressional election. This evidence may be more effective in the ‘court of public opinion’ than in a real courtroom, however, it’s the best we can do under these circumstances.

ELECTION DAY AUDIT ‘tool kit’ (Note: If you decide against doing an audit on election day, then consider distributing a GENERAL FLYER when voters leave the polls.

AUDIT POSTER/FLYER: doc / pdf

AUDIT TOOL KIT: (adjust to your own needs)
• a couple of volunteers, a box with an slit and marked “CITIZEN AUDIT”, pens, clipboard, and the following:
• AUDIT VOLUNTEER SIGN: doc / pdf(or make a smaller label)
• AUDIT BOX SIGN: doc / pdf
• AUDIT FLYER: doc
• / pdf
• AUDIT FORMS: doc / pdf
• AUDIT RESULT FORM: doc / pdf
• COMPLAINT FORMS: doc / pdf (This information will be shared with other organizations.)
• A laptop computer would be helpful if people need assistance finding their polling place or checking their registration. See HELPFUL INFORMATION below
HOW TO CONDUCT A CITIZEN AUDIT AT THE POLLS? IT’S EASY!
• Wear a CITIZEN AUDIT SIGN (or make a smaller label)
• Introduce yourself to the poll workers. It might be helpful to describe the audit as a type of exit poll.
• Stay the legal distance from the polls (call your local election board or Secretary of State), distance differs from state to state)
• Hand an AUDIT FLYER to voters as they enter the polls, saying, “We’re conducting a Citizen’s Audit of election results. Here’s an information sheet that explains the project. We’d really appreciate it if you filled out a simple form after you’ve voted.” Or words to that effect. Voters are usually in a hurry, so make your words count!
• Offer them an AUDIT FORM & COMPLAINT FORM (as needed) when voters leave the polls.
• Voter then fill out the form and place in the AUDIT BOX slit.
• Count the ballots outside the polls in public view, convert to percentages, then compare them to the official results. You don’t need 100% participation. You can use the results to conduct a comparative analysis with official results.
• Fill-in the AUDIT RESULTS on your computer, save as a new word document, then e-mail the new document to us. You can also send the results to others, such as the news media.
• E-mail complaints to us and/or register complaints with other organizations.
……..

Much of the left, (Ralph) Nader argues, especially with the Democratic Party’s blatant rigging of the primaries to deny Bernie Sanders the nomination, grasps that change will come only by building mass movements. This gives the left, at least until these protofascist forces also give up on the political process, a window of opportunity. If we do not seize it, he warns, we may be doomed.

FRANKFORT, Ky. (WSAZ) – More than 76 reports of election fraud from 31 counties were called into the Kentucky Attorney General’s hotline during Tuesday’s primary, Attorney General Andy Beshear reports.

A viewer caught CNN’s apparently scrubbing 5,000 votes from Sanders on live TV. This was later reported as a glitch on Pike County Sec. of State’s office, a big Clinton supporter. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8WjW3Rb1c90

Fraction Magic – Part 1: Votes are being counted as fractions instead of as whole numbers
By Bev Harris May 12, 2016
tags COMPANIES, ELECTIONS INDUSTRY, MAKE AND MODEL, RESEARCH

1 – Summary – This report summarizes the results of our review of the GEMS election management system, which counts approximately 25 percent of all votes in the United States. The results of this study demonstrate that a fractional vote feature is embedded in each GEMS application which can be used to invisibly, yet radically, alter election outcomes by pre-setting desired vote percentages to redistribute votes. This tampering is not visible to election observers, even if they are standing in the room and watching the computer. Use of the decimalized vote feature is unlikely to be detected by auditing or canvass procedures, and can be applied across large jurisdictions in less than 60 seconds.

GEMS vote-counting systems are and have been operated under five trade names: Global Election Systems, Diebold Election Systems, Premier Election Systems, Dominion Voting Systems, and Election Systems & Software, in addition to a number of private regional subcontractors. At the time of this writing, this system is used statewide in Alaska, Connecticut, Georgia, Mississippi, New Hampshire, Utah and Vermont, and for counties in Arizona, (upcoming) California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin and Wyoming. It is also used in Canada.
snip

Californians look this up now. Get rid of Evidence Removed/Hidden voting machines owned my the extreme right pushing both parties further and further right. Tabulating machines are also a big part of the problem as is voter suppression and scrubbing of registration rolls.

Demand Evidence of hand counted paper ballots counted in precinct on election night and posted to the wall of the precinct to undo tabulating adjustments. Then photograph.

Bev Harris’ last chapter of how to mitigate is to come. Fast. Hopefully.

http://blackboxvoting.org/fraction-magic-1/Fraction Magic – Part 1: Votes are being counted as fractions instead of as whole numbers
By Bev Harris May 12, 2016
tags COMPANIES, ELECTIONS INDUSTRY, MAKE AND MODEL, RESEARCH

1 – Summary – This report summarizes the results of our review of the GEMS election management system, which counts approximately 25 percent of all votes in the United States. The results of this study demonstrate that a fractional vote feature is embedded in each GEMS application which can be used to invisibly, yet radically, alter election outcomes by pre-setting desired vote percentages to redistribute votes. This tampering is not visible to election observers, even if they are standing in the room and watching the computer. Use of the decimalized vote feature is unlikely to be detected by auditing or canvass procedures, and can be applied across large jurisdictions in less than 60 seconds.

GEMS vote-counting systems are and have been operated under five trade names: Global Election Systems, Diebold Election Systems, Premier Election Systems, Dominion Voting Systems, and Election Systems & Software, in addition to a number of private regional subcontractors. At the time of this writing, this system is used statewide in Alaska, Connecticut, Georgia, Mississippi, New Hampshire, Utah and Vermont, and for counties in Arizona, (upcoming) California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin and Wyoming. It is also used in Canada.
snip

Much of the left, (Ralph) Nader argues, especially with the Democratic Party’s blatant rigging of the primaries to deny Bernie Sanders the nomination, grasps that change will come only by building mass movements. This gives the left, at least until these protofascist forces also give up on the political process, a window of opportunity. If we do not seize it, he warns, we may be doomed.

I apologize for so many repeats. I have found it difficult to post in different places recently. Or, odd technical issues pop up. Disqus comments no longer post at all, beginning it seemed with Richard’s material. So, I try repeatedly, just in case. Plese pardon me everyone.

Initially I used the Poisson Distribution. It is an approximation.
I revised the calculation and used the binomial distribution. This is the correct formula to use.
The probability that at least 11 exit polls out of 26 would exceed the MoE is 1 in 76.8 billion!