Congratulations to BGM and novellahub for perfect weeks! BGM finally put some daylight between himself and the rest of the field with his 3rd perfect week of the year, and now has a 50% chance of season victory with 9 weeks left to go. On the other end of the spectrum, Valhalla has 1600:1 odds against winning, so now is the time to put money on him before he starts his run.

How are you calculating that? Seems really high to me given the number of players less than 8 behind and the season less than half over...

I simulated all the picks for the rest of the season, assuming 50% chance of getting each pick right and ignoring pushes. 6 points is pretty hard to make up considering you net only 4 points in an average week.