Among the many runners in the 2016 Republican presidential primary game, no one has gotten
past first base in three critical swing states, with two native sons leading in Florida, another
native son ahead in Ohio and five candidates elbowing for first place in Pennsylvania, according
to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.

On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is over 50 percent in
each state, with a 38-percentage point lead in the closest race, the independent Quinnipiac
(KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and
Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at
least two of these three states.

In Florida, former Gov. Jeb Bush has 20 percent of Republican voters, with 18 percent
for U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio and 9 percent for Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker. No other candidate
is above 7 percent, with 13 percent undecided.

In Ohio, Gov. John Kasich leads the GOP pack with 19 percent, followed by Bush at 9
percent and Walker at 8 percent. No other candidate tops 7 percent, with 17 percent undecided.

In Pennsylvania, Rubio has 12 percent, with 11 percent for U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of
Kentucky, 10 percent each for Bush and Ben Carson and 9 percent for Walker. No other
candidate tops 7 percent, with 13 percent undecided.

"With so many Republican candidates, there is no clear leader in these key swing states
in the race for the 2016 presidential nomination, "said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the
Quinnipiac Poll.

"Two favorite sons, former Gov. Jeb Bush and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio, are ahead in
Florida and have some legs in Ohio and Pennsylvania. Gov. John Kasich is Ohio's hometown
favorite, but he's invisible in the other two states."

"Five candidates share the lead in Pennsylvania with none getting more than 12 percent
of the vote. The GOP presidential race is clear as mud," Brown added.

A computation that combines the first and second choices of Republican voters in the
three states shows:

Rubio also has the best overall favorability rating in the Republican pack, 75 - 9 percent
in Florida, 54 - 4 percent in Ohio and 57 - 5 percent in Pennsylvania.

"The favorability rating and combined first and second choice numbers show that in this
crowded pack of candidates Sen. Rubio is making strong inroads with Republican primary
voters and probably is the candidate who should be most heartened by the results of this poll,"
Brown said.

"The race for the Democratic nomination could not be more different. Secretary Clinton
is far, far ahead and the criticisms of her and questions about her email and family foundation
seem to be having no impact at all on her Democratic supporters. She remains the apple of the
Democrats' eyes and at least at this point has little to worry about from her primary challengers."

Florida

Hillary Clinton is the choice of 64 percent of Florida Democrats, with 9 percent for Vice
President Joseph Biden and 8 percent for U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont.

Bush at 20 percent and Rubio at 18 percent dominate the Republican pack, with 9 percent
for Walker, 7 percent for Carson, 6 percent for Huckabee, 5 percent for Paul and several
candidates at 4 percent or less.

"Gov. Bush, the former mentor, and Sen. Rubio, the former protege are fighting it out
among Sunshine State Republicans. Will any other Republican make a strong effort in the
state's mid-March primary, given the hometown advantage enjoyed by the two leaders and the
huge amount of money needed to make a competitive effort in the state?" Brown asked.

Ohio

Clinton leads among buckeye Democrats with 60 percent, with Biden at 13 percent and
Sanders at 10 percent.

Behind Kasich at 19 percent, it's a scramble, with Bush at 9 percent, Walker at 8 percent
and Rubio, Paul and former Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas at 7 percent each. Carson and
U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas have 6 percent each.

"The gender gap surrounding Hillary Clinton extends even to the Democratic primary in
Ohio, where she wins 51 percent of men and 66 percent of women," Brown said.

Pennsylvania

Vice President Biden's credentials as a native son provide little help in Pennsylvania,
where he trails Clinton 53 - 15 percent among Democrats, with 10 percent for Sanders.

Another native son, former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum, gets only 7 percent of Republican
voters, trailing Rubio with 12 percent, Paul with 11 percent, Bush and Carson with 10 percent
each and Walker with 9 percent.

"No native son advantage for Pennsylvanians Rick Santorum or Joseph Biden as they
trail the front runners in their respective parties," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the
Quinnipiac University Poll. "They may hail from Butler and Scranton, but being sons of the
Keystone State does not guarantee an easy path to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue."

From June 4 - 15 Quinnipiac University surveyed:

1,147 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points, including 458
Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points and 378 Democrats with a
margin of error of +/- 5 percentage points.

1,191 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points, including 434
Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points and 388 Democrats with a
margin of error of +/- 5 percentage points.

970 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points, including 413
Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage points and 402 Democrats with a
margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

2. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for President were being held
today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton,
Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote?

2B. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for President were being held
today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin
O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote? COMBINED WITH: Who is
your second choice? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%)