2017. An encompassing analysis of Brazil’s society, economy and politics since the Independence. A national-dependent interpretation. Three historical cycles of the relation state-society: State and Territorial Integration Cycle (1822-1929), Nation and Development Cycle (1930-1977) and Democracy and Social Justice Cycle (1977-2010). Crisis since then. (Book: Lynne Rienner Publishers)

Crise da Dívida Externa dos anos 1980

2016. Paper with Thiago de Moraes Moreira. Current account deficits, even when financed by direct investments, hinder instead of enhance growth because the cause overvaluation of the national currency. (Paper in edited book to be published)

2013. 1987 was a turning point in the 1980s' Debt Crisis. In this year I presented a proposal of securitization of the debt of all highly indebted countries that was rejected by the US in a first moment, but 18 months later fully adopted in the Brady Plan, which solved the crisis. (slide presentation)

1995. An account of the 1987 negotiation of the debt crisis. Brazil presented a proposal of debt securitization which represented a turning point in the debt crisis, and was the Brady Plan 18 months later. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política) *

1992. Revised version of the testimony to IUPERJ on the author's experience as Finance Minister in Brazil: the major crisis, the "Bresser Plan", and the negotiation of the foreign debt. Non revised version available in French. (In Revista Brasileira de Ciências Sociais")

1991. The Collor administration is approaching the debt crisis in a correct way under the direction of Zelia Cardoso and the ambassador Jorio Dauster. The solution requires a reduction of the debt. (Testimony to the Commission of Finance of the Brazilian Senate).

1991. Collection of articles analysing the rights and wrongs that characterized the first two extraordinary years of the Collor administration. After that, a change of ministry inaugurated the rendition of Brazil to the Washington consensus. (Editora Nobel)

1990. The debt crisis is without solution, and may require unilateral measures on the part of Latin American countries. The idea of free trading area in the Americas is welcomed.(Note in book edited by Baer & Petri)

1990. Brazil is since 1989 in the situation of default. Given that the Brady Plan offers just a small reduction in the debt, and the market discount is 30%, some unilateral initiative from Brazil is required. (Note: Folha de S.Paulo)

1989. A testimony to IUPERJ on the author's experience as Finance Minister in Brazil. I receive the finance ministry when the Great Debt Crisis of the 1980s reaches its peak with the failure of the Cruzado Plan. The emergence "Bresser Plan", and the negotiation of the foreign debt. Available in Portuguese, and in an extended version. (Published in Problèmes d'Amérique Latine)

1989. The Brazilian crisis in the 1980s as a debt and a fiscal crisis. A summary of the negotiations. The solution of the debt crisis requires that creditors accept the seccuritization of the debt with a discount. Portuguese version available. (Paper in book edited by Christine Bogdanowicz-Bindert).

1989. There is a perverse logic in the Brazilian macroeconomic system involving foreign debt, fiscal deficit and inertial inflation. Portuguese version available.(Paper in book edited by Fukuchi and Kagami).

1988. United Nations' proposal is insuficient. Only a general solution for the debt crisis based on the securitization of the debt, as Brazil proposed in 1987, will solve the problem. (Article: Jornal do Brasil)

1989.The 1987 negotiation of the foreign debt was guided by a question ("is the payment of interests consistent with the economic growth of Brazil?"), and by the idea of securityzing the debt with a discount. English version available. (Note in my edited book Dívida Externa: Crise e Soluções)

1988. The 1987 negotiation of the foreign debt was guided by a question ("is the payment of interest consistent with the economic growth of Brazil?"), and by the idea of securitizing the debt with a discount. Portuguese version available. (Note: LASA Forum)

1988. The country will only be able to resume growth if it combines fiscal adjustment with a substantial reduction of the the foreign debt, which should be unilateral, given the lack of dispostion of creditor to negotiate the securitization that I previously proposed. Versão inglesa ligeiramente reduzida em Christine Bogdanowicz-Bindert, org., Solving the Global Debt Crisis, New York: Harper & Row, 1989, com o título "A Debtor's Approach to the Debt Crisis" . (Paper my edited book Dívida Externa: Crise e Soluções)

1988. Creditor countries are beginning to realize that a initiative involving debt reduction is necessary, but they seem paralyzed. Debtor countries must also participate from a concerted solution. (Introduction to non-published book)

1983 [1984]. A survey of the 1970s and an analysis of the causes of the crisis beginning in 1981: reversion of the economic cycle as consequence of overaccumulation, and the debt crisis. Portuguese version available. (Chapter 8 of Development and Crisis in Brazil: 1930-1983)

1983. A survey of the 1970s and an analysis of the causes of the crisis beginning in 1981: reversion of the economic cycle as consequence of overaccumulation, and the debt crisis. English version available. (Paper: Revista de Economia Política)