The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Power Rating

Estimate

Edge

BUFFALO

N ILLINOIS

-20

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends

Against the spread

Over/Under

Straight Up

Current

Last 3

Since 1992

Current

Last 3

Since 1992

Current

Last 3

Since 1992

Description

W-L

W-L

W-L

O-U

O-U

O-U

W-L

W-L

W-L

as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points

2-0

3-4

19-22

1-1

4-3

11-6

0-2

0-7

6-35

in all games

3-2

11-18

72-79

2-2

11-16

45-43

1-4

6-23

40-130

in all lined games

3-2

11-18

72-79

2-2

11-16

45-43

1-4

6-23

35-118

as an underdog

3-0

8-13

65-65

2-1

9-12

34-34

0-3

2-19

22-109

as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points

0-0

0-1

3-5

0-0

1-0

3-1

0-0

0-1

0-8

in road games

3-0

6-9

41-41

2-1

8-7

24-24

0-3

1-14

14-77

in road lined games

3-0

6-9

41-41

2-1

8-7

24-24

0-3

1-14

13-69

against conference opponents

1-1

6-12

53-53

1-1

9-9

37-22

0-2

3-15

26-82

when playing on a Saturday

3-1

10-13

61-66

2-1

9-13

32-34

1-3

5-18

28-114

when playing with 6 or less days rest

1-1

7-12

50-57

1-0

9-9

30-26

1-1

5-14

27-92

after playing a conference game

1-0

3-12

45-50

0-1

5-10

26-26

0-1

1-14

22-80

in games played on turf

1-2

1-6

19-24

1-1

3-3

11-13

1-2

1-6

10-33

in October games

1-0

4-6

25-27

1-0

5-5

16-13

0-1

2-8

13-46

off a loss against a conference rival

1-0

3-9

34-38

0-1

3-9

15-20

0-1

1-11

15-63

after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses

1-0

4-9

36-44

1-0

7-6

23-14

0-1

3-10

18-69

when playing against a team with a winning record

1-0

3-6

16-25

1-0

4-5

15-12

0-1

1-8

4-37

in weeks 5 through 9

2-0

5-6

29-29

1-1

5-6

16-15

0-2

2-9

12-53

N ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends

Against the spread

Over/Under

Straight Up

Current

Last 3

Since 1992

Current

Last 3

Since 1992

Current

Last 3

Since 1992

Description

W-L

W-L

W-L

O-U

O-U

O-U

W-L

W-L

W-L

as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

0-0

5-4

16-19

0-0

5-4

8-11

0-0

8-1

28-7

in all games

4-1

20-12

91-69

2-3

17-15

40-57

5-1

27-7

117-122

in all lined games

4-1

20-12

91-69

2-3

17-15

40-57

5-1

27-7

94-71

as a favorite

3-1

15-10

50-43

2-2

14-11

27-32

5-0

24-3

76-20

as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points

0-0

2-0

5-4

0-0

2-0

3-4

0-0

2-0

6-3

in home games

2-0

9-4

39-28

1-1

7-5

13-25

3-0

14-0

70-39

in home lined games

2-0

9-4

39-28

1-1

7-5

13-25

3-0

14-0

52-17

against conference opponents

2-0

13-6

62-48

1-1

10-10

26-36

2-0

18-2

86-55

when playing on a Saturday

4-1

15-7

74-52

2-3

13-9

28-39

5-1

19-5

95-105

when playing with 6 or less days rest

3-1

13-9

64-47

2-2

12-11

29-35

5-0

19-5

88-82

after playing a conference game

1-0

13-5

59-47

0-1

8-11

22-37

1-0

18-1

78-61

in games played on turf

3-1

17-9

57-47

2-2

16-9

32-39

5-0

23-4

78-51

in October games

1-0

7-2

36-23

0-1

4-6

8-23

1-0

9-1

50-34

off a win against a conference rival

1-0

11-5

40-31

0-1

7-10

14-26

1-0

16-1

52-22

after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins

2-0

11-5

31-27

1-2

7-11

15-22

3-0

17-1

45-20

when playing against a team with a losing record

0-0

8-2

40-24

0-1

6-6

13-21

1-0

11-1

57-30

in weeks 5 through 9

2-0

8-2

42-25

1-1

5-6

10-25

2-0

10-1

56-38

Team Statistics

Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1992

N ILLINOIS is 4-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992

N ILLINOIS is 6-0 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992

2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N ILLINOIS since 1992

N ILLINOIS is 2-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992

N ILLINOIS is 3-0 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.

N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Rushing

Passing

Turnovers

Penalties

Date

Teams

Score

Line

Result

Half

FD

TOP

ATT-YDS

CMP-ATT

YDS

FL

INT

PEN-YDS

10/22/2011

N ILLINOIS

31

-14

SU Under

17

15

28:43

47-178

11-26

150

0

0

7-67

BUFFALO

30

62

ATS

10

33

31:17

38-168

35-54

404

3

2

7-70

10/16/2010

BUFFALO

14

50

Over

14

10

24:07

33-130

9-26

120

1

1

7-59

N ILLINOIS

45

-14

SU ATS

21

24

35:53

50-281

13-26

160

0

2

2-20

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 48.1% of the time since 1992. (62-67)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-10)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 47.8% of the time since 1992. (66-72)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 42.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-15)

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