Plus/minus - Cal vs. Oregon

Ted Lee

02/05/2006

With its 62-60 win over Oregon on Saturday, California maintained its second place tie in Pac-10 play. The Bears now head into the final stretch of conference play with five of its remaining seven games to be played at Haas Pavilion. By comparison, first place UCLA must play five of its final seven conference games on the road. Ayinde Ubaka led Cal with 20 points, while Leon Powe had 15 points and 9 rebounds. Nikola Knezevic led the Bears in plus/minus with a +5.

*Robertson's frontcourt numbers were helped late in the game when Cal was
bringing in Omar Wilkes for offense and DeVon Hardin for defense. The Bears were generally
on offense when Robertson was paired with Powe, and generally on defense when Hardin was
paired with Powe in the frontcourt. Hence, when the Bears gave up points, Robertson
was a backcourt/swing player.

*The other combos also benefitted from the offense/defense substitutions at
the end of the game when Omar Wilkes was brought in for offense and DeVon Hardin was
brought in for defense. During the last 47 seconds, the offensive unit had a benefit
of +6, while the defensive unit, which had the frontcourt duo of Hardin and Powe, had a
-5. During the first 39:13, the Hardin/Powe duo had a +4 (33-29), while other combos
had a +3 (10-7).

Contribution Evaluation

Player

Minutes

Expected

Actual

Difference

Knezevic

8

+0.40

+5

+4.60

Robertson

21

+1.05

+4

+2.95

O. Wilkes

26

+1.30

+3

+1.70

Midgley

40

+2.00

+2

0

Pribble

1

+0.05

0

-0.05

Ubaka

32

+1.60

+1

-0.60

Hardin

25

+1.25

0

-1.25

J. Wilkes

14

+0.70

-2

-2.70

Powe

33

+1.65

-3

-4.65

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's
contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half
of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal
defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we
multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he
was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone
contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

*Robertson's frontcourt numbers were helped late in the game when Cal was bringing in Omar Wilkes for offense and DeVon Hardin for defense. The Bears were generally on offense when Robertson was paired with Powe, and generally on defense when Hardin was paired with Powe in the frontcourt. Hence, when the Bears gave up points, Robertson was a backcourt/swing player.

*The other combos also benefitted from the offense/defense substitutions at the end of the game when Omar Wilkes was brought in for offense and DeVon Hardin was brought in for defense. During the last 47 seconds, the offensive unit had a benefit of +6, while the defensive unit, which had the frontcourt duo of Hardin and Powe, had a -5. During the first 39:13, the Hardin/Powe duo had a +4 (33-29), while other combos had a +3 (10-7).

This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.