Obviously, this process will be even more prolonged than the “Minsk Agreement,” but whether it will be just as empty and dead-end, we will see in the next month. The presence of the Caliphate on the one hand motivate parties to the agreement, but then both sides would be difficult to accept the idea that in the postwar Syria, they somehow have to live 5 years after a bloody orgy. However, the termination of civil war has never been an easy process. We see this in Ukraine, and it is likely we will see in Syria.

The repetition of the situation could lead to a general aggravation of the bombing in northern Syria (including the District of Azaz) and enhancing the supply of weapons to Kurdish armed groups with the aim of completely clear loosening of the territorial integrity of Turkey, which dramatically raised the stakes for Erdogan. Russia in this situation runs the risk of material and people, Turkey is playing with fire and risking their very existence of its current borders.