A Recap of Stock Trends for 2015

In the blog post, Stock Trends for 2015, twenty-eight stocks were identified as represented by six trends over the course of the year with the following results:

The lazy man’s portfolio had a total gain of 12.79%

18 stocks ended in positive territory

10 stocks ended in negative territory

NOTE 01: by “lazy man”, I mean that the 28 stocks would have been bought and held all year without any buy and sell rules. Clearly, the exercise was for observational purposes ONLY.

Comparison to US Markets:

NASDAQ: +5.94%

S&P 500: -0.69%

DJIA: -2.29%

Comparison to All World Markets:

All Markets (Average): -10.20%

Fifteen stocks logged double digit gains.

One stock logged a triple digit gain.

Six stocks logged double digit losses.

The big winner was Amazon.com, $AMZN, with a gain of 132.47%, moving from $290.74 to $675.89

The big loser was Barracuda Networks, $CUDA, with a loss of -47.40%, moving from $35.51 to $18.68

It’s interesting to note that CUDA was actually showing a 22% gain in April 2015, running as high as $46.78 before crashing in the summer and ending the year at $18.68.

Six of the ten leading gainers started with a triple digit share price while the bottom three losers all started below $40 per share. One may argue that this outcome further confirms the observation from William O’Neil:

“What seems too high and risky to the majority generally goes higher and what seems low and cheap generally goes lower.”

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Trend Trading

I am a trend trader looking for gains of 25% or more and losses no larger than 10% (preferably smaller when I am smart enough to cut the immediate loss) on trades that will last anywhere from a few weeks to several months or longer. I aim to be prepared to trade in situations when the odds are in my favor by properly employing risk management strategies such as position sizing and expectancy.