Overthinking It

PECOTA's First-Half Hits and Misses

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Half of the fun of having a projection system is bragging about what went right. The other half is figuring out what went wrong. This article does a bit of both.

These are the position players and pitchers whose 2012 True Averages and Fair Run Averages PECOTA has come closest to and furthest away from predicting (minimum 200 plate appearances or 80 innings pitched). In keeping with BPtradition, each hit or miss is inexplicably accompanied by a haiku.