Opinion: The Middle East’s Demographic Hurricane

This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate.

... does that explain role in the op people in the Middle East ... in the Enterprise Institute a keeper's that stays with me now Mac ... we don't nothing experts on statistics in particular do not know you write um what what are the trends here because you say this is something very significant going on in that part of the world we know about being the good of from dramatic revolution ... we don't know about the choir pollution ... the quiet revolution that's been going on for generations ... been the radical drop in birth rates for well almost all Muslim world ... and within the Arabic speaking world ... the flight from ... there's a transformation of families which means his transformation of society that going on and what striving ... well all if I knew we'd be having this interview on my Islander my job ... um ... no but the law in the demographic area has conclusive explanation for what's driving it ... but it can't be the same sort of rapid socio economic modernization that cruel that in the station ... clearly what's happening is that there's a change in mentality ... well when you get down to two birds were fewer than to Barack's pull all replacement ... as were doing in many places in the greater Middle East as were doing in the wrong in Turkey and Levanon may be getting close to that in Saudi Arabia ... Contopoulos is a huge change the mindset ... I think we've got a slide ... upon the screen shares decline in fertility rates includes a couple countries in the Middle East ... Kuwait and Iran among them ... is there ... any linkage between ... that trends neck and ... economic prosperity ... all in the middle he is the trend has been up painfully Romo were painfully distant but you can make a theoretical case was a drop in birth rates might lead to woes demographic dividend as some of my colleagues do ... but it's the kind of stress is something we should be worried about during the nine states is in effect the setup will store them in one thing but very low birth rates for very long periods of time economy in the Middle East is rapid population aging ... we don't think of the Middle East as a grey zone the word and a half to get use to thinking of that as a gray zone with chronic diseases on low income lawful how all these conflicts that we're seeing in Syria Iraq and elsewhere ... is that affects this demographic trend well um ... if there are just gets beyond minor dumb okay this gets into speculation about mentality is so ... if one of the reasons so birth rates of employment and so much for this reason it is a mask secularization ... than we can see the radicalization and some of the pair were movements today is almost a sort of October Revolution some sort of a counter revolution against type of modernity that's taking place there ... um what that would mean ... is that this is not the beginning of a whole wave of terror or but this is a reaction against big so cute ... I don't know what that's the case but if it is ... um ... and warm and deal with how it's an interesting an interesting theory ... ISIS two dresses come to keep it that thank so much thank so much for joining us ...