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ESTONIA — GOVERNMENT COLLAPSES, CENTER PARTY TO TAKE POWER: By a 63-to-28 vote in parliament, Taavi Rõivas lost the Estonian prime ministership. His Reform Party’s two coalition partners — the Social Democrats and the Pro Patria and Res Publica Union (IRL) — resigned earlier this week, pulling Reform out of government for the first time in nearly two decades. The new PM is likely to be Jüri Ratas. Relations between the coalition partners soured dramatically after Reform botched its attempt to have former European Commissioner and Prime Minister Siim Kallas take over the country’s presidency.

US ELECTION FALLOUT CONTINUES …

Welcome to Day 2 of TrumpWorld, where, as POLITICO’s European Executive editor Matthew Kaminski described it, Trump “channeled the primal scream of the American working class to his first elected post — at the age of 70, no less.” It’s going to be a wild ride, but don’t forget the metro still runs on time, holiday shopping will soon be upon us, and life beyond the extreme emotions of social media and political bubbles largely carries on as normal.

Both candidates have been lauded for delivering gracious speeches, in marked contrast to much of the campaign rhetoric. President-elect Trump meets President Barack Obama today.

What a difference a day makes: After feeling forgotten, white middle America celebrates. Meanwhile, a Republican Party that was on the verge of tearing itself apart has obtained an unprecedented level of power: the presidency, Senate, Congress and more state governors than it’s had since 1922. Supreme Court appointments will follow.

“If you can’t connect with an angry generation and you can’t mobilize an optimistic generation, then you come up short,” said Dutch liberal Alexander Kolks.

“According to the Brexit playbook, over the next week the Trump team walks back pretty much every promise it made during the campaign,” said Alexander Clarkson, King’s College London.

“We were all wrong. The entire Washington political-media complex completely missed the mark … The joke is on us,” lamented Telos’ Mariella Palazzolo.

WHAT DOES THE TRUMP PRESIDENCY MEAN FOR EUROPE?

Tusk’s warning: “The events of the last months and days should be treated as a warning sign for all who believe in liberal democracy. This means that we should finally get our act together and bring back a sense of direction, bring back confidence, bring back a sense of order. Also in the global context whether we talk about trade, migration or security.”

Trade: TTIP is dead, if you believe Bernd Lange, the top trade MEP. If you believe the trade-optimistic Commission, things will continue as normal: “We will work with the new administration,” said Vice President Jyrki Katainen.

Defense: Bruxelles2 suggests: 1) NATO is not the safety net it used to be; 2) EU countries will need to decide soon (perhaps at an informal meeting of foreign ministers Sunday) what further integration steps they will take on foreign and defense issues.

Europe fears end of liberal Western economic order: European leaders “know they must devise counter-measures to the Trump hurricane, but are ill-equipped to decide anything before they have an idea of its force,” reports Pierre Briançon.

Europe’s next ‘Trump moments’ … Starting with the Austrian presidential re-run and Italian constitutional referendum on December 4, 12 elections follow in a year. Romanian general elections will be run on December 11. The Netherlands votes in March, French Presidential elections will be held in late April-beginning of May (more on that below), Germany in September, Czech Republic in October. Plus local elections in Germany and several presidential elections. Harry Cooper: http://politi.co/2eLFthb

Yes, President Marine Le Pen is now more possible: “Not long ago, the prospect of Donald Trump being elected president of the United States seemed, to many sensible people, remote, if not laughable. Similar assessments have been made about the election prospects of French far-right leader Marine Le Pen … The underlying trends that carried Trump to power are also present in France, and they are likely to fuel an inordinately strong performance by Le Pen next May — perhaps even her victory.” Nicholas Vinocur.

WILL TRUMP FOLLOW IN REAGAN’S FOOTSTEPS? “There is, perhaps, a remote chance that Trump, ever unpredictable, could leave behind everything he said in a long, ugly campaign and choose to govern in the tradition of internationalist Republicans from Richard Nixon to Ronald Reagan,” Paul Taylor writes. “Many Europeans were horrified at Ronald Reagan’s election in 1980, which fueled the growing anti-nuclear ‘peace movement’ in Europe … Some of the same fears about America being led by an unqualified ‘cowboy’ — a supposedly ignorant movie actor — were voiced then as now.”

DON’T BLAME THE WORKING CLASS: It was white supremicists and mysognists, not an abandoned white working class, that drove the Trump win, Paul Mason argues.

EUROPE REACTIONS

Gianni Pittella, the leader of the 200-strong Socialist group in the European Parliament, told Playbook he’s keen to avoid denial over Trump’s win and “the worst campaign in decades” and use the Trump presidency as an opportunity to get Europe’s house in order. “There are great winds of change pushed by the losers of globalization, and not only the poorest ones, but people who chose misogyny and racism.”

In practical terms that means Europe must change its “economic politics” by giving national governments more flexibility over their budgets, and focusing on EU policies that can reduce financial inequality. “If a worker pays more taxes than a multinational, it’s difficult for that worker to vote for us or to love Europe.”

Trump’s foreign and security policies are “very, very dangerous” said Pittella, but they offer “a huge room for maneuver for strong EU initiatives,” such as implementing (and expanding) planned defense cooperation. “Europe has to step up now as a civil power in the world.”

Igor Dodon, the favorite in Moldova’s presidential election, said the Trump win was a victory over “the liberal orgy.” More reactions from Associated Press.

After the Trump-Putin bromance comes geopolitical chess,writes David Herszenhorn. The U.S. president-elect would be ill-advised to visit the Kremlin too soon.

Rugby, the unexpected casualty. Mourad Boudjellal, the president of France’s Toulon Rugby Union club, told local radio he will cancel plans to take rugby to Florida. Boudjellal, whose family comes from Algeria, said: “Trump does not want any Muslims. With my family name, what can I do in Miami?”

WHAT DOES TRUMP’S WIN MEAN FOR MEDIA?

There’s a lot of blame flying around, but a counter-argument too.

The New York Times mea culpa: “It was clear that the polls, and the projections, had underestimated the strength of Mr. Trump’s vote, and the movement he built, which has defied all predictions and expectations since he announced his candidacy last year.” It was more than a failure in polling, “It was a failure to capture the boiling anger of a large portion of the American electorate that feels left behind.”

Margaret Sullivan on just how it went wrong: “Although these voters shouted and screamed it, most journalists just weren’t listening … They couldn’t believe that the America they knew could embrace someone who mocked a disabled man, bragged about sexually assaulting women, and spouted misogyny, racism and anti-Semitism. It would be too horrible. So, therefore, according to some kind of magical thinking, it couldn’t happen.” … a.k.a. what happens when you don’t look or sound anything like the people you report on.

Counter-view: Trump was not a media fail. The press succeeded in exposing Trump for what he was. Voters just decided they didn’t care. By POLITICO’s Jack Shafer.

VOTE BREAKDOWN — EMPLOYMENT AND TRUMP’S WIN: Breakdowns by incomes, race, gender, age make employment a non-factor for the Trump vote. NYT and LSE.

11 QUESTIONS FOR THE PRESIDENT-ELECT: Blake Hounshell asks (and tries to answer) the top questions now swirling throughout the world. Will Donald Trump seek to prosecute Hillary Clinton, divest from his businesses, release his tax returns, and forgo his salary, as promised? Will he build a wall, and if so, how will he make Mexico pay? And what about those Russian sanctions and the Iran deal?

MEET AMERICA’S EUROPEAN FIRST LADY: “The people of Sevnica converged on a bar to watch the U.S. presidential results come in — not exactly a tradition for the town of 5,000 in central Slovenia. This time it was different, said the mayor, Srečko Ocvirk, when he entered the pub at dawn. People came to see for themselves if native daughter Melania Trump — to many in Sevnica still known as Melanija Knavs — would become the next first lady of the United States.” A school friend, now the town’s school principal, said “she was a very good girl, wonderful friend, excellent human being and always well intended.”

CLINTON’S TACTICAL ERRORS: Beyond the way she handled the email scandal, some telling details are emerging of campaign complacency. POLITICO reported that Trump’s campaign outspent Clinton’s 10-to-1 in Wisconsin: Trump poured $6.2 million into ads down the stretch, while Clinton spent just $646,000 in the state.

GLENN THRUSH’S ‘FIVE TAKEAWAYS FROM AN UNTHINKABLE NIGHT’: “Anger trumped hope. Donald Trump’s astonishing victory over a heavily-favored Hillary Clinton on Tuesday is the greatest upset in the modern history of American elections — convulsing the nation’s political order in ways so profound and disruptive its impact can’t even be guessed at … Can he do anything to calm a divided, terrified country together? Will he try? … Hillary Clinton is a footnote in history … The Clinton campaign got their numbers wrong … James Comey is Public Enemy Number One (To Democrats).” http://politi.co/2flXTU7

COLBERT GROUP HUG: How to make sense of an election that has gone off-script when you’re on live TV, Stephen Colbert-style: “I think we can agree this has been an absolutely exhausting, bruising elections for everyone. And it has come to an ending that I did not imagine. We now all feel the way Rudy Giuliani looks.”

MEANWHILE IN BRUSSELS …

PARLIAMENT — MEPs PREPARE FOR OETTINGER GRILLING: MEP Ana Gomes is pushing at every turn for Günther Oettinger to face a tough LIBE committee over offensive remarks he made in a speech. Gomes wrote to Parliament President Martin Schulz and Committee Chair Claude Moraes, as well as others, to say the comments were “not the first time that Mr. Oettinger directly disregards values and principles the EU should stand for, and I believe this cannot go unnoticed, namely within the mandate of our committee.” http://bit.ly/2eLKKWd

COMMISSION — 10,000 REFUGEES RESETTLED: 1,212 people were relocated through the EU quota scheme since September 28, with 921 from Greece and 291 from Italy, bringing the total to 11,852 – more than half the number agreed in July 2015.

COUNCIL — SIX RUSSIAN MPs FROM CRIMEA ADDED TO SANCTIONS LIST: Russia ran elections for the State Duma September 18 and included Crimea and the city of Sebastopol in the polls. The EU, which backs Ukraine’s territorial integrity, has added the six members elected from the region to the 152-person sanctions list.

YOU’RE INVITED: The European Policy Center hosts the Maltese government’s Dr Ian Borg and Malta’s permanent representative to the EU, Marlene Bonnici, for breakfast November 16 at 7:45 a.m. sharp. RSVP to n.news@epc.eu

YOU’RE INVITED: The University of Melbourne’s EU Center on Shared Complex Challenges is now advertising its visiting fellows program, with fellowships of between four weeks to three months available for those with advanced degrees. Applications close December 9.

BRUSSELS CORNER …

Tomorrow is Armistice Day in Belgium and France. EU institutions remain open.