In this post, as I do every week in our weekly Bettor’s Guides, I will provide the initial line for the game and my quick pick.

For the record, I went 1-1 last week. I nailed the Giants game, but Baltimore keeping it as close as they did surprised me. So after a lackluster 115-113-8 record in the regular season, which did feature a furious late season finish to get over .500, I am now 7-3 in the playoffs. Basically I’m the Giants of NFL spread picks this year.

Onto Super Bowl 46.

Super Bowl 46: New York Giants v New England Patriots

Super Bowl 46 Date: Sunday, February 5th

Super Bowl 46 Time: 6:20 ET

Super Bowl 46 TV: NBC

Super Bowl 46 Announcers: Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth

Super Bowl 46 Point Spread: Patriots -3

Super Bowl 46 Over-Under: 55

Super Bowl 46 Spread Pick

Considering how hot the Giants are, and how out of sync the Patriots’ offense looked against Baltimore, and what happened the last time these two franchises met up in the Super Bowl, I thought there was a decent chance that the Giants might be favored. Not so.

Which is great news for those who think the Giants are going to win.

I’m taking the three points and not even thinking about it. Frankly, I’d have taken the points (or even laid one or two) if San Francisco had won yesterday. The reason is that I simply am not that impressed with the Patriots…not with their secondary so shaky, Tom Brady looking off and perhaps injured, and the reality that Baltimore was the first team with a winning record they defeated all season long; and you could make the case that Baltimore outplayed them.

In addition, the matchups seem to strongly favor the Giants. To slow down the Patriots’ offense, you have to get pressure from your front four on Tom Brady. The Giants do that as well as anyone. On offense, the Giants like to move the ball through the air with their big play receivers. The weakness of the Patriots’ defense is its secondary. Based on those to phases of the game, I’m just not sure Brady can do enough to overcome the surging Eli Manning, who has become one of the NFL’s best players.

Of course, any time you have Tom Brady and Bill Belichick, you have a chance to win. So I’m not saying this is a done deal. But I feel pretty comfortable about the Giants in this one.

Comments

Did you see Gronks ankle, that was 90 degrees that thing bent, if he's out there done. I too think the Giants win, and to be the Dog, even an easier pick. Brady's back has got to be stiff after Lewis smashed it. Hopefully it's a good game.

dont get me wrong i respect tom brady and the patriots but the giants are playing great football and the right time, the patriots did indeed beat baltimore a great team but they were fortunate that cundiff missed that field goal. that being said the gaints were luck that williams had a horrific game. the giants combination of defense and offense though is to much in my opinion for the pats, the defensive line is a beast in its own so IF the pats do manage to avoid that they still have a decent secondary and an explosive offense to deal with

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