A BLOG ABOUT SOUTHWESTERN WEATHER,WEATHER FORECASTING & OBSERVING, AND OTHER RELATED TOPICS

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Saturday, April 21, 2018

Not Much Ahead Weatherwise

This morning the 14 UTC IR satellite image (above) indicates a system west of northern Baja. The MIMIC TPW analysis for same time (below) shows little with this system - indicating mostly middle and high clouds, as per many recent systems. The models forecast this system to weaken rapidly and move across northern Mexico tomorrow - perhaps some clouds locally as this occurs.Second below is the GEFS average 500 mb height forecast valid out at 00 UTC on 28 April - strong, bent-back ridge over the West - so not much hope for any meaningful rain again this month.Down at bottom is photo of Harris hawk atop a pole near Country Club and Allen this morning - note the little finch keeping an eye on the much larger hawk.