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“Creating a More Educated Georgia” USG Fall Headcount Enrollment Actual (1990-2006) and Projected to 2018 The USG projection uses an autoregression model based on past enrollment and the number of HS graduates with a 95 percent confidence interval for the high and low projection.

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“Creating a More Educated Georgia” Goal Two Increase the use of access institutions in underserved areas Build a more robust tier of comprehensive universities Expand the joint use of facilities where feasible and productive

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“Creating a More Educated Georgia” Assumptions Funding for new facilities is limited Build capacity appropriately within existing institutions Limitations to growth of research universities Enrollment growth will be greater among students who are less prepared to enroll in more selective institutions

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“Creating a More Educated Georgia” Issues and Constraints Need to balance short-term implementation with long-term perspective Can project numbers of students; cannot project academic program needs with great specificity Remove barriers to effective institutional partnerships, particularly in the joint use of facilities

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“Creating a More Educated Georgia” Georgia County Population Projections to 2020

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“Creating a More Educated Georgia” Additional Planning Needs More robust tier of limited doctoral-granting institutions to educate more well-prepared students in Georgia Greater mission differentiation among comprehensive universities Effective partnerships between comprehensive universities and access institutions Opportunities for institutions with excess capacity

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“Creating a More Educated Georgia” Strategic Capital Model 25% of the USG’s modeled GO bond investment over the next six years will be targeted to strategic investments Capacity issues for consideration –Improve the capacity and distribution of access colleges in areas of need –Expand capacity in higher-growth areas of GA –Better differentiate missions at selected comprehensive universities. –Promote joint use of facilities to achieve efficiency and critical mass –Tap excess capacity

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“Creating a More Educated Georgia” Proposed Next Steps Lead access institutions will... –Work with USG partners and local community to develop comprehensive solutions to creating capacity System office staff will... –Establish an integrated approach for capacity planning and implementation Chancellor will... –Recommend to the Board any new sites or expansions at existing campuses and sites Board of Regents will.... –Decide on new sites or expansions of capacity at existing campuses and sites –Decide on capital investments, including strategic bond allocations