October 02, 2012

Brown remains ahead of Mandel in Ohio

Raleigh,
N.C. – Democrat
Sherrod Brown remains ahead of Republican Josh Mandel for Ohio’s US Senate race. Brown continues to lead Mandel by 8 points
(49-41), a survey conducted over the weekend found. Compared to a survey earlier in September,
Brown still leads by 8 points, yet both candidates have gained one point over
in their favor over the past few weeks.

“Sherrod
Brown is holding steady with a high single digit lead in the Ohio Senate race,”
said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “He continues to run
several points ahead of President Obama so unless there’s a major shift over
the last five weeks in the Presidential race he should be in pretty good
shape.”

Although John
Kasich’s approval has decreased by one point since the beginning of September,
now at 44%, Ohioans still support Kasich.
Kasich’s future opponent for Governor could be Democrat Ted Strickland,
with a 37% approval rating by Ohio voters.
If the two candidates were to go head-to-head for Governor, 45% would
vote for Kasich and 42% would vote for Strickland. This potential battle is still far off and
opinions could definitely change.

When it comes
to other representatives in the state, opinions are mixed. For Senator Rob Portman, 32% approve, 24%
disapprove, and 44% are unsure of his job performance. House Speaker John Boehner is not highly
favored in his home state, with 32% of Ohioans approving, 22% unsure, and 46%
of voters disapproving of his job performance.

Issue 2 is a
hot topic for Ohioans. Issue 2 would
create a state-funded commission of appointed individuals to replace elected
officials to establish congressional and state legislative district lines. The commission created would consist of 4
individuals from the largest political party, 4 individuals from the second
largest political party, and 4 individuals who are not identified with either
party. Ohioans are not in favor of Issue
2, with 49% who would vote against Issue 2 if the election were held today.

PPP surveyed 897
likely Ohio voters from September 27 to 30. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.3%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or
political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone
interviews.

Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

Q3 The candidates for US Senate are DemocratSherrod Brown and Republican Josh Mandel. Ifthe election was today, who would you votefor?Sherrod Brown................................................ 49%Josh Mandel ................................................... 41%Undecided....................................................... 11%

Q5 Generally speaking, if there was an electiontoday, would you vote for Republican JohnKasich or his Democratic opponent?John Kasich ........... .46%Democraticopponent.................41%Not sure ................. .14%

Q7 If the candidates for Governor next time wereRepublican John Kasich and Democrat TedStrickland, who would you vote for?John Kasich .................................................... 45%Ted Strickland ................................................. 42%Not sure .......................................................... 13%

Q10 If there was an election for Congress today,would you vote Democratic or Republican?Democratic...................................................... 45%Republican...................................................... 41%Not sure .......................................................... 14%

Q11 Issue 2 would remove the authority of electedrepresentatives and grant new authority toappointed officials to establish congressionaland state legislative district lines. It wouldcreate a state-funded commission of appointedindividuals from a limited pool of applicants toreplace the aforementioned. The commissionwould consist of 12 members as follows: fouraffiliated with the largest political party, fouraffiliated with the second largest political party,and four not affiliated with either of the twolargest political parties. Affirmative votes ofseven of 12 members are needed to select aplan. If the election was today, would you votefor or against Issue 2?For .................................................................. 26%Against............................................................ 49%Not sure .......................................................... 25%

Q13 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.Woman ........................................................... 54%Man................................................................. 46%

Q14 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.Democrat ........................................................ 41%Republican...................................................... 36%Independent/Other.......................................... 23%

Q16 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.18 to 29........................................................... 12%30 to 45........................................................... 26%46 to 65........................................................... 42%Older than 65.................................................. 20%

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