2013-01-14

Superbowl XLVII Projection, Divisional Sunday

New England over San Francisco

At least I can feel good about consistency; the projection didn't change from the one after the first two Divisional Round games. My projections went pretty well overall, with 3 of 4 games being projected correctly and only Baltimore upsetting the apple cart by upsetting Denver. However, of the 4 teams for which I was rooting, all 4 lost. Let's look at the two games next Sunday.

San Francisco at Atlanta
I'll root for Atlanta in this one because I've always liked Tony Gonzalez. I wouldn't mind seeing him get a ring before his career ends.

Baltimore at New England:
I nearly always root against the Patriots, but I think I'll probably root for them instead of the Ravens, unless San Francisco wins the early game, then Harbaugh vs. Harbaugh might be interesting.

TEAM

Record

Strength

Div

Plyff

WC

Qtr

Semi

Champ

NE

12-4

0.826

+

+

+

+

75.436

46.768

SF

11-4-1

0.754

+

+

+

+

52.770

24.235

ATL

13-3

0.733

+

+

+

+

47.230

20.470

BAL

10-6

0.607

+

+

+

+

24.564

8.527

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 25% Chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 17)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Atlanta (Week 16, Saturday)