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No end in sight to the dry weather

NEM deficit has crossed 106 mm for Nungambakkam and 102 mm for Meenambakkam. Today is the 19th straight non Rain day(>2.5 mm) and in most likelihood this could extend to 20 or even 25 days. Forecasts is looking good for 3rd week of December, but even that is still 15 days away.

After this point, storm expected to weaken due to influences from a continental trough (cold front) coming in from the north, and the upper-level influences of a strong NE atmospheric surge, creating unfavorable VWS (vertical wind shear) conditions over the region.

Australia’s warmest spring on record – The Bureau of Meteorology has issued a Special Climate Statement.

Key points:
– Spring 2014 was Australia’s warmest on record
– Mean temperatures were 1.67 °C above the 1961–1990 average, the largest such departure from the long-term average since national records began in 1910
– Numerous records were approached or set. For example:
– Australia’s warmest October day on record, 36.39 °C national mean maximum temperature on 25 October
– Australia’s warmest maximum temperature anomaly on record for any season (+2.33 °C), surpassing +2.17 °C set in autumn 2005

White House: U.S. Has ‘Moral Obligation’ To Help Communities In Warming Arctic
by Emily Atkin Posted on December 2, 2014 at 3:21 pm
In just a few months, America will have the unique position of leading the Arctic Council, an international panel tasked with addressing the most important issues facing the Arctic region. On Tuesday, the Obama administration released some preparation material for that position: a blog post discussing the moral imperative to help citizens living within the Arctic Circle, especially those who are being forced to relocate due to rapidly warming temperatures and sea level rise.http://forum.keaweather.org/viewtopic.php?f=28&t=334&p=12797#p12797

Drenching rain will fall on much of California through Tuesday night, bringing some relief to the ongoing drought and raising the risk of flash flooding. While a series of storms have brought rain to parts of northern and central California over the past few weeks, Tuesday’s storm will bring the first significant rain event for Southern California since the spring. Some rain moved over part of the state on Sunday ahead of this week’s storm, giving a preview of what is to come. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/pacific-storm-to-bring-rain-fl/38156280

I think there is a possibility of rain around this weekend. Not based on forecast or any predictions. Whenever corporation cleans up the velachery lake by removing those unwanted plants (aagaya thamarai), we had rains soon. This morning on way, i saw the lake very clear

Japanese space explorer: Hayabusa2 on 6-year journey to explore how earth was formed – The Hindu

A Japanese space explorer was launched on Wednesday on a six-year roundtrip journey to blow a crater in a remote asteroid and collect samples from inside in hopes of gathering clues to the origin of earth. The explorer is expected to reach the asteroid in 2018 and spend about 18 months studying it before returning in 2020. The research includes shooting a projectile into the asteroid to blast open a crater so the explorer can collect rock samples from inside.

Asteroids can provide evidence not available on earth about the birth of the solar system and its evolution. Japan’s space agency said Hayabusa2 will explore the origin of seawater and how the planet earth was formed.

NVEST ‪#99S‬ remains weak but the low-level circulation appears to be organizing as indicates the latest ASCAT pass … nonetheless, any intensification is unlikely to be significant and the system is not a threat to land

Is there any relationship (inverse one) between formation of cyclone near Thaiwan/Philipines and BOB. In the Agri forecast, for the 3 cyclones that were forecasted between Oct-28 to Nov-15 the forecast goes like – “If there are no cyclones near Philipines, Thaiwan then some cyclone could develop in BOB”. Wanted to know if it is out of astrology or is there any weather science behind it.

normally any system over bay of bengal tends to move straight west during December. So we can expect SIAM system to finally cross near cuddalore by next week bringing useful rains to north tamil nadu coast.

upcoming trough can intensify upto low pressure area around dec 7 and it may give heavy rainfall over andaman ( mostly south andaman) and it may fizzle out in se bay around dec 8 and after that we can expect strong easterlies

Back in the year 2005, around the same time, all those memories are fresh and alive, that evening of the day , when my locality, Tambaram received that 310 mm (app.) rain in a span of almost 9 hrs from the weakening Cyclone then “BAAZ”….Wow !!!!
No words to explain that stream of continuous waters that was merciless on the ground

easterly wave approaches fast ( as per satellite picture) – might touch the coast by tomorrow evening, followed immediately by a strong system. satellite picture continue to give lot of promise for chennai also. may be by tomorrow position dramatically can change. the minimum temperature tomorrow will go up.

upcoming trough can intensify upto low pressure area around dec 7 and it may give heavy rainfall over andaman ( mostly south andaman) and it may fizzle out in se bay around dec 8 and after that we can expect strong easterlies

As the MJO moves to Phase 6 by 05th, the ACC will shift to central pacific and the trade winds direction will change, hence the hagupit will also divert from WNW movement to NNE movement from 06th or 07th, and then due to high upper level wind shear over NW Pacific, this system will not cross anywhere and weaken over the open waters.

ECMWF and JMA expecting it to weaken when nearing coast because of the moderate VWS. This will make system to travel in West direction and escape from the clutches of cold front moving in from South China.

Vela,
I am talking about HPA, right it is over NW Pacific, please check the graph i have posted below..
there is no condition that ACC should be at one place all over the world, there can be several ACC in various places, i dont understand your point???