APPEASEMENTDISADVANTAGEMICHIGAN20137-WEEKJUNIORSCFJPV 1NC< UQ > The plan appeases violent Latin American regimes – spills over and destabilizes every global hotspot Farah ‘12[Doug. Senior Fellow at the Intl Assessment and Strategy Center. President of IBI Consultants. “Transnational Organized Crime, Terrorism, and Criminalized States in Latin America: An Emerging Tier-One National Security Priority” 2012, Strategic Studies Institute Publication. http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=1117]Latin America, while not generally viewed as part of the stateless regions phenomenon, or part of the failed state discussion, presentsmultiple threatsthat center on criminalized states, their hybrid alliance with extra-regional sponsors of terrorism, and nonstate TOC actors. The groups within thishybrid threat—often rivals, but willing to work in temporary alliances—are part of the recombinantcriminal/terrorist pipeline, and their violence is often aimed at gaining control ofspecific territory or parts of that pipeline, either from state forces or other nonstategroups.¶ In areas outside effective government control, the state is either absent or ineffective, contributing to the governance problem through corruption and negligence. Only Colombia has made significant progress in recouping internal space for the government, and that progress is fragile and in danger of being reversed.126 While the basic model of the pipeline holds up well, the emerging situation can be likened to new branches of the pipeline being built in regions where it previously had no access.¶ The combination ofungoverned spaces, criminalized states, and TOC groups poses a growing,dangerous, and immediate threat to the security of the United States. The traffic indrugs, weapons, and humans from Latin American northward relies on the samebasic pipeline structures to move. The same recombinant chains also move bulkcash, stolen cars, and weapons from the United States southward. This demonstrates that these groups can successfully cross our border, and do, multiple times each day, in both directions. The pipelines are seldom disrupted for more than a minimal amount of time, in part because the critical human nodes in the chain, and key chokepoints in the pipelines, are not identified, and the relationships among the different actors and groups are not understood adequately. As noted, pipelines are adaptable and versatile as to product—the

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