Friday, April 08, 2016

Friday Water Cooler

Hillary Clinton’s Support Among Nonwhite Voters Has Collapsed
(HufPo). "On February 27th, Hillary Clinton led Bernie Sanders among
African-American voters by 52 points. By March 26th, she led Sanders
among African-Americans by just nine points." Now if the Bernie-only-gets-white-votes meme would just die, once and for all . . .

What’s Really Going On Inside Trump’s Political Operation? (GQ). This interview with Trump advisor @RogerJStoneJr (coauthor of The Clintons' War on Women) is well worth reading for clues as to how the Republican Convention will play out in July. After reading it, I had an Aha! moment: Kasich is actually running for President 2020. He knows the best way to get there is to be VP first. And guess what? By the time he gets to Cleveland, in July, his delegate count (currently 143) will be large enough to offset whatever deficit Trump is experiencing. All Trump has to do is make "a deal" (namely: Kasich as running mate in return for Kasich freeing his delegates and urging them to vote Trump+Kasich). Cruz-for-VP is out (that bridge has been burned!) and Palin-for-VP would be a ridiculously feeble way to address Trump's popularity problems among women.

Trump bills himself as a deal-maker. Let's see what kind of deal he can do in Cleveland, where bullshit and bluster aren't going to work; it'll be time for some major-league deal-making, or else pack up and go home.

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