Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.

Race

Date

Team Rating

Lisha Van Onselen

Rachel Byrd

Alyssa LeClaire

Kayla Tracy

Taylor Creagh

Alexis Carpenter

Giovanna Leone

Caroline Brown

Ashlyn Ritter

Mountain to Sea Open

09/16

1287

21:00

22:17

23:12

24:15

24:00

26:16

26:24

Upstate Invitational

09/30

1276

20:54

22:01

22:22

23:13

23:55

25:02

24:03

High Point Vertcross

10/13

1436

21:15

22:16

23:47

24:38

25:30

26:32

Sun Belt Championship

10/28

1286

21:00

22:13

22:19

23:29

23:34

24:43

24:26

Southeast Region Championships

11/10

1303

20:45

22:39

24:49

23:14

23:28

24:15

25:22

NCAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

Advances to Round

Ave Finish

Ave Score

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

NCAA Championship

0.0%

Region Championship

100%

31.0

948

0.2

0.6

2.3

6.5

14.6

19.8

19.1

NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results

Regional

Ave Finish

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

Lisha Van Onselen

72.0

0.1

0.1

0.1

Rachel Byrd

186.2

Alyssa LeClaire

196.5

Kayla Tracy

237.6

Taylor Creagh

255.7

Alexis Carpenter

280.2

Giovanna Leone

280.6

NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total

Region Finish

Chance of Finishing

Chance of Advancing

Auto

At Large Selection

No Adv

Auto

At Large

Region Finish

1

2

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

4

5

5

6

6

7

7

8

8

9

9

10

10

11

11

12

12

13

13

14

14

15

15

16

16

17

17

18

18

19

19

20

20

21

21

22

22

23

23

24

24

25

0.2%

0.2

25

26

0.6%

0.6

26

27

2.3%

2.3

27

28

6.5%

6.5

28

29

14.6%

14.6

29

30

19.8%

19.8

30

31

19.1%

19.1

31

32

15.7%

15.7

32

33

9.8%

9.8

33

34

6.0%

6.0

34

35

3.2%

3.2

35

36

2.0%

2.0

36

37

0.3%

0.3

37

38

0.2%

0.2

38

39

39

40

40

41

41

42

42

43

43

44

44

45

45

46

46

47

47

48

48

49

49

50

50

Total

100%

0.0%

100.0

0.0

0.0

Points

At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.