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2012 Indianapolis 500 Vegas Odds – Why Marco Andretti is a Threat to Win the Indy 500: Over the years, the name Andretti has become synonymous with the IndyCar Series, and more importantly, the Indianapolis 500. Unfortunately, the Andretti family’s fame at Indianapolis stems from the horrible luck experienced by generations of drivers. In 1969, racing legend Mario Andretti won the Indy 500. Since his victory, several members of the Andretti family have combined for zero wins in 65 starts in the famed event. From Michael Andretti leading by more than half the track only to suffer a broken fuel pump with 11 laps to go in 1992 to Mario losing a victory four months after the race after a penalty on Bobby Unser was overturned, the long list of close calls and heartbreaks borders on surreal.

Marco has already done his part to add to the infamous curse. In his Indy 500 debut in 2006, he was leading the race in the closing laps with his father Michael running second. Instead of a vindicating 1-2 finish for father and son, the race ended up being another jagged pill to swallow. Sam Hornish Jr. worked his way past Michael with two laps to go and then passed Marco for the lead in the final 400 feet of the final lap. Marco lost the race by just 0.0635 seconds – the second-smallest margin in the race’s history.

Disappointment aside, Marco has actually had a lot of success at Indianapolis in his young career. In six starts, he has three top-five finishes and four top-10s. In addition to his runner-up effort in 2006, Marco has added third-place finishes in 2008 and 2010. At his current 10/1 odds, his strong track record is definitely encouraging for bettors. After all, the first step toward breaking the course and returning the Andretti name to the Borg-Warner Trophy is consistently running near the front. Marco has that covered.

On the downside, he has been anything but consistent in 2012.He is sitting 19th in points after the first five races of the year and has yet to finish in the top 10. However, Marco’s strength has never been the road course portion of the schedule. He is at his best on the fast ovals, and Indianapolis is as fast as they come. Not to mention the fact that his Andretti Autosport equipment has performed well as a whole. His teammates James Hinchcliffe and Ryan Hunter-Reay are third and fourth in points, respectively, heading into the Indy 500.

More importantly, Marco’s Andretti Autosport team has looked strong since testing began at Indianapolis. On qualifying day, Andretti Autpsport’s three drivers qualified second, third and fourth. Seeing all three team cars perform well is a telling sign, and Andretti Autosport is heading into Sunday’s race with the right aero setup and engine package to contend. Marco will start fourth out of the trio, but his past success at the track makes him the more intriguing option than his teammates Hinchcliffe and Hunter-Reay.

On one hand, betting on Marco is a lot like betting on the Chicago Cubs, but if the Boston Red Sox can finally win a World Series, an Andretti can return to Victory Circle at Indianapolis. The track has been one of his best on the IndyCar Series schedule, and Andretti Autosport is looking as strong as it ever has at Indy. Marco has finished third or better in half his starts in the Indianapolis 500, and at 10/1 vegas odds, he has the talent and the equipment to deliver a nice return on investment.

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2012 Indianapolis 500 Free Picks – Why Pole-Sitter Ryan Briscoe is a Bad Bet: When Ryan Briscoe grabbed the pole for this weekend Indianapolis 500, he not only set a record for the smallest victory margin for any pole-sitter in the race’s history, but he set himself up as an early favorite to win the 96th running of the Indy 500, as well. In fact, oddsmakers have made Briscoe the overall favorite for Sunday’s race, giving him 6/5 odds to win. However, a closer look at Briscoe reveals that oddsmakers may be reading too much into his pole-winning performance, making him a very overrated option for bettors this weekend.

Yes, pole sitters have had a lot of success in the Indianapolis 500. More race winners (20) have started from the pole than from any other position, and 42 winners have started from the first row. In the last six years, no winner has started worse than sixth, and five eventual winners started from the first row, including three from the pole. Again, Briscoe does have an advantage starting up front, but there have been plenty of drivers that have failed to win after starting first, and Briscoe is likely to join that list.

For starters, he has always been a solid qualifier at Indianapolis, posting an 11.0 average starting position. However, his average finish at the Indy 500 is just 17.3 in six starts. Briscoe has just two top-10s and only a single top-five in those six starts, and his top-five finish came way back in 2007. Since then he hasn’t finished better than 15th in four Indy 500 starts, and in three of those starts, he qualified fourth or better. In other words, Briscoe is no stranger to starting on the first row at Indy, but finishing anywhere near the front on race day has been foreign to him.

Given his odds, his struggle at Indianapolis alone should scare of bettors. To make matters worse, Briscoe has displayed an overall downward trend in the IndyCar Series the last few years. In his debut season of 2008, he won two races. He followed it up in 2009 with three victories and 13 top-five finishes. In the two-plus season since, Briscoe has managed just one win and 13 top-five finishes combined. Last season, he posted a career-worst 10.8 average finish, and he is on pace to get worse this season, entering the Indy 500 with a 13.0 average finish.

Had Briscoe been somewhat of a longshot to win Sunday’s race, his pole-winning time would have made him an intriguing longshot to bet on. However, making him the outright favorite is ridiculous. We are talking about a driver that has had a history of qualifying near the front at Indy, only to underperform and fade on race day. Throw in the fact that he has been mired in the worst two-year stretch of his career, and what is the incentive to place a bet on Briscoe this weekend? The payoff is going to be minimal, and there is nothing in his history that suggests Sunday’s race will end in anything but disappointment for Briscoe.

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2012 Indianapolis 500 Predictions – Why Rookie Josef Newgarden is Worth the Gamble: The name Josef Newgarden doesn’t exactly ring a lot of bells in the world open-wheel racing, especially at a track as famous as Indianapolis Motor Speedway. However, the 21-year-old rookie drivers could definitely make a name for himself with a strong showing in Sunday’s Indianapolis 500. In fact, a strong showing may be just the beginning for Newgarden. There have been several signs in the days leading up to the race that point to a really, really good run for the rookie. At 20/1 odds, bettors may just want to take a gamble that his run ends with a life-changing trip to Victory Lane.

Looking at the 2012 point standings, it is easy to understand why Newgarden didn’t get much respect from the oddsmakers. He is 22nd in points entering Sunday’s race and has yet to collect a top-10 finish. However, the early portion of the IndyCar Series schedule is filled with road courses, and clearly, they are not Newgarden’s forte. Indianapolis, on the other hand, is a massive, 2.5-mile oval track that is all about speed, and the more traditional type of track should favor Newgarden. After all, he won the Firestone Indy Lights Series championship last season, winning three of the six oval track races in the process. Granted, Indianapolis wasn’t one of the tracks he won at, but the rookie is clearly most comfortable and at his best at oval tracks.

While his background and past success at oval tracks is encouraging, it is Newgarden’s practice speeds that should really grab the attention of bettors. He paced the field during a session last Wednesday and followed it up by ranking second the following afternoon. Newgarden went on to qualify seventh for the Indianapolis 500 this past weekend, making him the only non-Chevrolet starting in the top 10. His starting spot puts him close enough to the front that he won’t have to overuse his equipment or his fuel to keep touch with the leaders, and at the same time, he is far enough back that he won’t have to worry about setting the pace as he works out any early nervousness that is bound to come with making his first Indy 500 starts. Newgarden’s No. 67 Honda has been fast since it unloaded at Indy, and he should have no problem being competitive from the drop of the green Sunday.

Naysayers will argue that Newgarden’s chances of winning as a rookie are slim because the pressure of being on such a big stage without any prior experience is too much to overcome. However, eight drivers have won the Indianapolis 500 as rookies, and while that isn’t a lot, rookie winners aren’t unheard of either. In fact, rookies have gone to Victory Lane twice since 2000, with Juan Pablo Montoya and Helio Castroneves accomplishing the feat in back-to-back years. Not to mention that J.R. Hildebrand came within one corner of becoming the ninth rookie to win the race just last season. Needless to say, discounting Newgarden simply because he is a rookie is a big mistake.

With the exception of experience, Newgarden has everything a driver needs to win the Indianapolis 500. His championship and oval track wins in the Indy Lights Series last season are a prime example his talent and potential, and his practice times last week at Indianapolis speak for themselves. He secured a strong starting position during qualifying, and now, he finds himself with a very fast car within striking distance of the leaders. Yes, he still has to go 200 laps without making any mistakes, but with 20/1 odds, the potential for a sizeable payout makes Newgarden worth betting on this weekend.

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2012 Indianapolis 500 Odds, Free Picks and Predictions – Favorites and Sleepers to Win Indy 500 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway: Vegas betting odds to win the 2012 Indianapolis 500 this Sunday, May 27th at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway have been posted at all the major Las Vegas and best online sportsbooks with Ryan Briscoe having been installed as the 6/1 +600 favorite to win the 2012 Indy 500 race.

The Indianapolis 500 is arguably the greatest spectacle in auto racing, and this Sunday, the famed race will be held for the 101st time. From drinking milk in Victory Circle to crossing the yard of bricks at the finish lane, the race is as rich in tradition as they come. Every driver that has ever sat behind the wheel of an open-wheeled racecar dreams of winning the Indy 500 and having their name engraved on the Borg-Warner Trophy. It is no exaggeration to say that this race turns drivers into legends.

Of all the memorable moments to occur at the Indianapolis, the finish to last year’s race may just top the list. After Chip Ganassi Racing teammates Dario Franchitti and Scott Dixon dominated the majority of the race, rookie JR Hildebrand used fuel mileage strategy to grab the lead in the closing laps. He led the race exiting Turn 4 on the final lap, but he lost control of his car attempting to pass a driver that wasn’t on the lead lap and ended up slamming the outside wall. As Hildebrand limped toward the finish lane, Dan Wheldon cruised by for his second-career Indy 500 win. Sadly, Wheldon would lose his life in a crash in the season finale later that year, but he was no doubt one of the greatest of his generation at Indianapolis.

The Favorites – 2012 Indy 500 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks

He won the Indianapolis 500 in 2008, and Scott Dixon nearly added another victory in the race last season. He led a race-high 73 laps before pit strategy cost him a shot at the win, but he still managed to finish in the top five. Dixon has four top-five finishes and seven top-10s in nine starts at Indy, and his 8.2 average finish is second best among active drivers.

Since his first start at Indianapolis, Helio Castroneves has been spectacular. In fact, he is the only driver in history to win his first two starts in the Indy 500. Castroneves added a third win in 2009, and he almost always seems to be in the mix for the win. He has six top-five finishes and nine top-10s in 11 starts, and his 7.4 average finish at the track is the best among drivers in this weekend’s field.

The Dark Horses- 2012 Indy 500 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks

Three-time defending series champ Dario Franchitti has dominated the oval tracks in recent years. More importantly, he has two Indianapolis 500 wins in the last five seasons and five top-10s in eight career starts in the race. Franchitti has an 8.4 average finish at Indy, and after leading 51 laps in last year’s race, he should be a serious factor this weekend.

Although he has been consistent at Indianapolis, Tony Kanaan has never been able to break through and put his name on the Borg-Warner Trophy. He has a 12.9 average finish in 10 Indy 500 starts, picking up four top-five finishes and five top-10s. Kanaan is one of three drivers to lead more than 200 laps at Indianapolis without winning the race, and everything from rain to blown engines have stolen away his potential victories. He always seems to be in the mix, and there is always a chance that 2012 could be the year the stars align.

Sleeper Specials – 2012 Indy 500 Odds, Predictions and Free Picks

For better and for worse, Marco Andretti has continued his family’s legacy at Indianapolis. The young driver has enjoyed a lot of success at the track in his brief career, notching three top-five finishes and four top-10s in six starts. However, he has also lost the race by the slimmest of margins, adding another chapter to the “Andretti Curse.” The good news for Marco is that he has plenty of time left and talent behind the wheel to try to break the curse.

His specialty is road racing, but Will Power has been making major strides at the oval track in recent years. In four starts at Indy, he has two top-10 finishes and has never finished worse than 14th. Power has been on the verge of winning a championship, but he has always given up too much ground at the ovals. However, he keeps getting better, and it wouldn’t be a shock to see him emerge as a contender for the win at Indy as soon as this weekend.

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