Clinton’s popular vote “margin” is a myth: the Recorded vote is always fraudulent.

Those who cite Clinton’s lead in the popular vote fall into the same old media-driven TRAP. They fail to realize the FACT that the recorded vote is ALWAYS fraudulent – as it was in this election. The True Vote Model indicates Trump won the popular as well as the electoral vote.

The primaries were rigged in favor of Clinton. The odds: 77 billion to one – based on exit poll discrepancies. But the 2016 election was different. The corporate media (the National Election Pool) which funds the pollster’s pre-election and exit polls were heavily biased in favor of Clinton.

Election analysts calculated that Clinton won the Electoral vote by 302-236 based on unadjusted exit polls. Clinton won the unadjusted exit poll and Trump won the recorded vote in WI, NC, MI and PA. The analysts failed to consider that Trump won the MN unadjusted exit poll, and therefore Clinton won the unadjusted exit polls EV by 292-246.

But the analysts assumed that the exit polls were fairly conducted.Just because unadjusted exit polls were excellent indicators of fraud in the past does not mean that they were accurate in 2016.

The final adjusted polls look suspicious in large states where they closely matched the recorded vote: CA IL MI TX MN WA NY. Clinton’s CA margin exceeded Obama’s by an implausible 6%. Illegals were encouraged to vote by Obama.

These tables display a summary of 9 states. They show that a) the Democratic Party-ID share was inflated compared to the Gallup survey and b) the unadjusted exit polls over-weighted Clinton’s share of Independents compared to the Reported Vote. As a result, Clinton’s unadjusted vote share was inflated; she won the unadjusted exit poll average by 2.6% while losing the Reported and True Votes by 3.5% and 3.6%, respectively.

Unadj EP

Reported

True Vote

(Gallup)

Vote

Clinton

Trump

Clinton

Trump

Clinton

Trump

Avg

48.4%

45.8%

46.1%

49.6%

44.6%

48.2%

Diff

-2.6%

3.5%

3.6%

OH

47.0%

47.1%

43.5%

52.1%

44.1%

49.2%

NC *

48.6%

46.5%

46.7%

50.5%

45.9%

46.6%

NJ

59.8%

35.8%

55.0%

41.8%

44.6%

46.4%

PA *

50.5%

46.1%

47.7%

48.8%

47.8%

45.8%

MI

46.8%

46.8%

47.5%

47.7%

45.3%

47.8%

MO

42.8%

51.2%

38.0%

57.1%

41.5%

51.7%

IA

44.1%

48.0%

42.2%

51.8%

41.1%

50.6%

FL *

47.7%

46.4%

47.8%

49.1%

45.9%

47.7%

WI *

48.2%

44.3%

46.9%

47.9%

44.9%

48.1%

9-State Summary

9-states

Reported

Gallup

Party-ID

Dem

Rep

Ind

Dem

Rep

Ind

Average

36%

34%

30%

32.9%

28.9%

38.2%

Average

Unadj EP

Reported

True Vote

Share of

Clinton

Trump

Clinton

Trump

Clinton

Trump

Ind

47.7%

40.2%

39.0%

52.8%

36.3%

50.7%

Vote

48.4%

45.8%

46.1%

49.6%

44.6%

48.2%

1988-2008

An analysis of 274 state and 6 national unadjusted exit polls from 1988-2008 prove systemic election fraud beyond any doubt (the odds are trillions to one) .

Recall the 2004 stolen election in which Bush defeated Kerry by 50.7-48.3% ( 3 million bogus popular votes). Kerry actually won the True vote by 6-10 million (he had 51-53.5%). Bush did not want a repeat of the 2000 election in which Gore won the official (bogus) recorded popular vote by 540,000 (he actually won the true vote by 3-4 million). Bush needed to win the popular vote in 2004, so his vote share was padded in big states that Kerry won easily- like NY and CA.

In 2004, Bush won the recorded vote by 50.7-48.3%, a 3 million vote margin. Kerry won the National Exit Poll by 51.7-47.0%, a 6 million margin. View the 7:33pm 2004 National Exit Poll (not for on-air use)

The following states flipped from Kerry in the exit poll to Bush:CO FL IA MO NM NV OH VA. Kerry needed FL or OH to win.

2004: average exit poll margin of error (MoE) was 3.43%2016: average exit poll MoE was 3.52%

Bernie Sanders’ exit poll share has exceeded his recorded vote share by greater than the margin of error in 11 of 26 primaries: AL AZ GA MA NY OH MS SC TX WI WV. The probability P that at least 11 exit polls would exceed the MoE is calculated using the Binomial distribution.

P = 1 in 76.8 BILLION = 1-BINOMDIST(10,26,0.025,true)

Is the exit poll shift to Clinton just pure luck? Or is something else going on? This is an updated analysis of estimated probabilities of fraud in the Democratic primaries. View the 2016 Democratic primaries spreadsheet.

The Margin of Error(MoE) is based on the number of respondents and the vote shares:MoE =1.3*1.96*sqrt (EP*(1-EP)/N), where EP is the 2-party exit poll share, N is the number of respondents, 1.3 is the exit poll cluster factor adjustment. There is a 95% probability that the exit poll will fall within the MoE.

The probability is based on the difference between the exit poll share (EP) and recorded share (RS) less the MoE. If the difference is equal to the MoE, there is a 97.5% probability of fraud.The probability is calculated using the Normal distribution. P = normdist (EP, RS, MoE/1.96,true).

West Virginia

The results strongly suggest election fraud. There were 734 respondents in the unadjusted exit poll and 763 in the adjusted final (forced to match the recorded vote). How could Sanders vote share decline by 6% with just 29 additional respondents? How could Other candidates vote share change by 7.5%?

Unadjusted:734 respondents

Pct

Sanders

Clinton

Other

Male

47%

59%

36%

5%

Female

53%

56%

40%

4%

Total

100%

57.4%

38.1%

4.5%

2-party

100%

60.1%

39.9%

Adjusted: 763

Forced to match

recorded vote

Male

47%

53%

35%

12%

Female

53%

50%

38%

12%

Total

100%

51.4%

36.6%

12.0%

2-party

100%

58.4%

41.6%

This is how the exit pollsters forced a match to the IN recorded vote.

Indiana exit poll

Unadjusted -1323

Pct

Clinton

Sanders

Men

42%

40%

60%

Women

58%

48%

52%

Total

100%

44.64%

55.36%

Final Adjusted

Forced to match the

recorded vote

Men

41%

43%

57%

Women

59%

50%

50%

Total

100%

47.13%

52.87%

Summary Table

Exit poll margin of error, Sanders recorded vote share, Sanders exit poll, difference between the exit poll and recorded vote and the estimated probability of fraud. Primaries in which the exit poll exceeded the recorded vote by at least the margin of error (at least 97.5% probability of fraud) are shown in bold.

Primary

MoE

Vote

Exit Poll

Exit -Vote

Fraud Prob

AL

3.9%

19.8%

25.9%

6.1%

99.9%

AR

4.0%

31.0%

33.3%

2.3%

87.3%

AZ (Yavapai)

3.9%

40.9%

63.0%

22.1%

100.0%

CT

3.6%

45.6%

47.2%

1.7%

81.3%

FL

3.0%

34.1%

36.0%

2.0%

90.2%

GA

3.4%

28.3%

33.8%

5.5%

99.9%

IL

3.5%

49.1%

51.2%

2.0%

87.5%

IN

3.5%

52.8%

55.4%

2.6%

92.9%

MA

3.5%

49.3%

53.3%

4.0%

98.7%

MD

4.1%

33.3%

33.4%

0.1%

52.7%

MI

3.3%

50.8%

53.2%

2.4%

92.2%

MO

4.4%

49.9%

51.9%

2.0%

81.0%

MS

3.4%

16.6%

21.3%

4.7%

99.7%

NC

3.0%

42.8%

43.7%

0.9%

72.3%

NH

2.6%

61.4%

60.4%

-1.0%

22.7%

NY

3.5%

42.1%

48.0%

5.9%

100.0%

OH

3.1%

43.1%

48.1%

5.0%

99.9%

OK

4.5%

55.5%

50.9%

-4.6%

2.1%

PA

3.5%

43.6%

45.1%

1.5%

80.6%

SC

3.1%

26.1%

31.3%

5.2%

100.0%

TN

4.0%

32.9%

35.5%

2.6%

90.0%

TX

3.5%

33.7%

37.9%

4.2%

99.1%

VA

3.3%

35.4%

37.4%

2.0%

88.4%

VT

2.3%

86.3%

86.5%

0.2%

55.5%

WI

3.0%

56.7%

63.6%

6.9%

100.0%

WV

4.7%

51.4%

57.4%

6.0%

99.4%

Average

3.52%

42.8%

46.3%

3.6%

97.6%

Probability that at least n of 26 exit polls would exceed the margin of error