EPL Matchweek 30 betting odds, picks & tips

It’s all about European places and the relegation battle as we enter the final stretch of the 2019/20 English Premier League season. Let’s take a look at the matchups, betting odds and top picks for EPL Matchweek 30.

If not for their shock win over Liverpool two weeks ago, Watford would be well and truly entrenched in the relegation zone. The Hornets’ loss to Crystal Palace last time out means only goal difference is keeping them above the water line. Leicester City and Jamie Vardy broke their droughts in a 4-0 win over Aston Villa last week, so the momentum is all with the Foxes.

The 2-1 scoreline suggests Bournemouth gave Liverpool a scare last week, but the Reds controlled the game and were stiff to concede in the first place. Crystal Palace have now three in a row and can push for a Europa League place if they maintain that sort of form in the run home. The Eagles have picked up points in nine of 14 away games this term, so they should fancy their chances in Dorset.

While Brighton & Hove Albion have yet to win a game in any competition this year, they have churned out enough draws to stay two points above the drop. Arsenal’s season is a write off, but a run of three consecutive EPL wins suggests they are starting to find their groove under Mikel Arteta. Those results all came at home, however, and the Gunners have won only two games on the road this term.

Manchester City were outplayed by their cross-town rivals in last week’s 2-0 derby defeat, just as they were by Tottenham Hotspur several weeks prior. Burnley are unbeaten in seven EPL games and have taken the scalps of Leicester City and Manchester United along the way, but City have made a habit of towelling up the Clarets in recent times and should win at the Etihad this weekend.

Allan Saint-Maximin’s late winner against Southampton last week means there are now eight points and four teams separating Newcastle United from the relegation zone. Next up for the Toon are Sheffield United, whose only losses in 2020 have come against Liverpool and Man City. The Blades have lost two games on the road all season and should get a result on Tyneside.

Six points shy of safety with nine games left, Norwich City look destined to return to the EFL Championship at season’s end. Southampton are safe for now, but a few more bad weeks would throw them into the thick of the relegation fight. The Saints have been far better on the road than at home this term, so the smart money is on the visitors to force a result at Carrow Road.

Four consecutive defeats have Aston Villa staring at the drop once again. For Chelsea, this is a big opportunity to strengthen their hold on fourth place and put the pressure back on fifth-placed Manchester United. The Blues’ away record is rock solid at seven wins, three draws and four losses, so there is no reason to bet against the favourites on this occasion.

The form line says West Ham have lost three of their last four games, but those defeats came on away dates at Man City (2-0), Liverpool (3-2) and Arsenal (1-0). That said, the Irons have won only four of their 14 games at London Stadium this season. Wolves are undefeated since their narrow loss to Liverpool in January and should get something out of their trip to the capital.

The midweek Champions League defeat to Red Bull Leipzig means Tottenham Hotspur are winless in their last six games in all competitions – the longest drought of Jose Mourinho’s coaching career. Meanwhile, his former charges at Old Trafford have gone 10 games without defeat in a run that includes big wins over Chelsea and Man City. Spurs are struggling and all signs points to United.

Can Liverpool bounce back from their gut-wrenching Champions League defeat to Atletico Madrid? Everton had improved steadily under Carlo Ancelotti until last week’s dismal display at Chelsea, so they have a point to prove. As the Toffees have not won a single Merseyside derby in any competition since 2010, the question is: how many points will the Reds claim at Goodison Park?

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