The spectacular decline of US stocks was the biggest event of last week. Dow Jones experienced a record fall: it lost more than 1,000 points in one day.

The US dollar took its chance to recover. Traders fear that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates faster than expected. This may hurt profits of American companies, but boosts demand for the cheap dollar.

The USD index managed to return above 90.00 and has some chance for stabilization. Resistance is at 91.00.

Investors took profit on their bullish EUR/USD positions, and the pair slid by 1.4%. It has to rise above 1.2345 to resume uptrend. Decline below 1.2220 will open the way down to 1.2125 and 1.2080, although we think that the euro should be more or less stable given the euro area’s strong economy.

GBP/USD also corrected down last week. The Bank of England offered the pound a positive boost. It raised the UK economic forecasts and said that interest rates probably needed to rise sooner and faster than it had previously thought. However, the general market selloff affected the pound, and GBP/USD failed to stay above 1.40. Support is at 1.38 and 1.3665. Yet, fundamentals have improved and the pair may try to resume uptrend after some consolidation.

Australian and New Zealand dollars suffered because of the market’s risk aversion and the fact that central banks of these nations don’t plan to raise interest rates. Both AUD/USD and NZD/USD recovered by the end of the week, but still closed below the weekly moving averages.

Forex economic calendar for the coming days includes UK inflation figures on Tuesday, and US consumer inflation and retail sales on Wednesday. The flash European GDP figures will always be released in the middle of the week. Australian employment and US PPI will come out on Thursday and the speech of the RBA governor together with British retail sales and the US building permits are awaited on Friday.

On the daily chart of XAU/USD, bulls manage to hold off an enemy attack at the $1,306-1,308.50 support. Another test of this area in case of success will increase the possibility of a pullback to $1273 and lower. The condition necessary for the uptrend’s resumption is a convincing break of resistance at $1350 an ounce.

There's a bearish "Pennant", so the pair is likely going to achieve the nearest support at 1.3741. Meanwhile, if a pullback from this level happens afterwards, bulls will probably try to reach the next resistance at 1.3895 - 1.3944.

The market is consolidating between the Moving Averages. The main intraday target is the closest support at 1.3763 - 1.3741. This area could be a departure point for a bullish price movement in the direction of another resistance at 1.3895 - 1.3944.

The main trend is still bullish. Also, there's a "Triple Bottom" pattern, which has been confirmed. So, the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.2405 - 1.2434 in the short term.

There's a confirmed "Double Top" pattern, so the market is likely going to reach the 89 Moving Average in the coming hours. If a pullback from this line happens little later on, there'll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement.

On the daily chart, bears are in total control of the pair. In such conditions, pullbacks should be used for selling. The nearest resistance levels are at 107.30-107.45, 107.90-108.05 and 108.40-108.50.

On the daily chart, EUR/JPY reached 88.6% target of a “Shark” pattern. As a result, risks of a pullback increased. A pin bar increases the risks of a correction. Its high forms resistance at 133.40. To continue the decline to 113% target of the “Shark” patterns, bears need to pull the euro to February low.

USD/JPY continues to fall sharply after the earlier breakout of the support zone lying between the support levels 108.30 (which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 3 at the end of January) and 107.30 (low of the previous impulse wave (A)). The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active minor impulse wave (iii). USD/JPY is expected to fall further toward the sell target at the next support level 105.50 (target for the completion of the impulse wave (iii)).

Investors are worried about the US twin deficits – current account deficit and budget deficit. There are forecasts that the budget deficit will rise to $1 trillion in 2019 because of increased spending and tax cuts. In addition, many traders think that American authorities want the USD to be weak. The prospect of more Federal Reserve’s rate hikes doesn’t provide much support to the greenback anymore as other countries start to scale back their easy monetary policy. The USD no longer has an advantage. Even stronger-than-expected consumer inflation figures didn’t help. To sum up, the outlook for the US currency is still negative.

USD/JPY fell to the lowest levels since the end of 2016. The level of 105.00 is a psychologically important support. The lower USD/JPY gets, the more nervous Japanese authorities will become. So far, their comments have been mild, but if the pair keeps rapidly falling they may decide to intervene.

EUR/USD continues the uptrend, although it got overbought. Resistance is in the 1.2600 area. Support is at 1.2415 and 1.2310. As for GBP/USD, if it rises above 1.4160, the next target will be at 1.4350.

Most important events in the economic calendar for the upcoming days include the release of European PMI, UK labor market figures and the Fed’s meeting minutes on Wednesday;

the second estimate of British GDP and Canada’s and New Zealand’s retail sales on Thursday and Canada’s CPI on Friday. The Bank of England’s Governor Carney will testify on inflation and the economic outlook in Parliament on Wednesday.

Asian markets will be shut for Lunar New Year holidays until Thursday. US banks will also be closed on Monday because of Presidents’ Day.

On the daily chart of AUD/USD, bulls didn’t manage to overcome an important resistance level of 0.7985. As a result, the pair consolidated in the 0.7895-0.7985 area. When the pair gets out of this range, this will determine the further fate of the Aussie.

On H1, a break of support at 0.7895 will trigger the “Shark” pattern with a target at 88.6%. On the other hand, successful test of resistance at 0.7985 will increase the risks of a rally. Don’t exclude the possibility of a “Widening wedge”.

There's a bearish "Engulfing", which has been formed on the upper "Window". So, we're likely going to have a local bearish correction. Anyway, bulls will probably try to reach the next "Window" afterwards.

We've got bearish patterns such a "Tower" and a "Shooting Star". Therefore, the market is likely going to decline in the short term.

There's a bullish "Harami" at the last low, so the market is likely going to test the Moving Averages. If a pullback from these lines happens little later on, we could have another decline.

We've got a "Morning Doji Star", so the pair is likely going to reach the 55 & 89 Moving Averages. If these lines act as resistance, we should keep an eye on the lower "Window" as the next bearish target.