I notice you guys love analysing past races, and it’s usually about who came second in the big categories. So i ask you which nominee do you think came last in the Best Picture voting

I’ll start:

2014: Selma2013: Captain Philipps2012: Zero Dark Thirty2011: Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close2010: 127 Hours2009: A Serious Man2008: The Reader2007: Atonement2006: The Queen2005: Munich2004: Finding Neverland2003: Seabiscuit2002: The Hours2001: In the Bedroom2000: Chocolat1999: The Insider1998: Elizabeth1997: The Full Monty1996: Shine1995: Il Postino1994: The Fugitive1993: Scent of a Woman1992: Beauty and the Beast1991: Ghost1990: Born on the Fourth of July

I don’t know that much about earlier races so I won’t go further (I also may be too lazy). But you’re welcome to do so.

2014: The Theory of Everything – I expect it might’ve had fewer no. 1s than Selma despite greater support overall, and fallen out first.2013: Captain Phillips consistently underperformed at the Oscars compared to everywhere else – no Greengrass, no Hanks and eventually no Oscar wins despite prevailing at WGA and the Eddies (love that award name lol). So that’s my bet.2012: Probably Zero Dark Thirty to be honest. It was sort of an anti-Argo, the Bigelow snub did not inspire the same amount of outrage as it did for Affleck, and it only just barely won the one Oscar it seemed to have a shot at. And we know how controversial it was with many people.I expect Amour and Beasts had more passion behind them, and Django rallied after underperforming in the early part of the season.2011: Extremely Loud. Unless it was The Tree of Life (gasp!)2010: 127 Hours. Apparently it was a surprise nominee, and it certainly had its fans, but again I think Kids and Winter’s Bone had more passion. Plus it couldn’t even win for that Dido song lol.

2009: A Serious Man2008: Frost/Nixon2007: A tough one, but I’ll go with Michael Clayton2006: Letters from Iwo Jima2005: Munich2004: Finding Neverland2003: Seabiscuit2002: The Two Towers – there was no inclination to award the middle part of a trilogy, and it got no noms for directing, acting or writing2001: In the Bedroom2000: Chocolat

1999: The Green Mile1998: Elizabeth1997: The Full Monty1996: Shine1995: Il Postino1994: Four Weddings and a Funeral1993: In the Name of the Father1992: A Few Good Men1991: The Prince of Tides1990: The Godfather Part III

2014- The Theory of Everything2013- Nebraska2012- Beasts of the Southern Wild2011- Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close2010- Winter’s Bone2009- A Serious Man2008- Frost/Nixon2007- Juno2006- Letters from Iwo Jima2005- Munich2004- Finding Neverland2003- Seabiscuit2002- Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers2001- In the Bedroom2000- Chocolat1999- The Cider House Rules1998- Elizabeth1997- The Full Monty1996- Shine1995- Babe1994- Four Weddings and a Funeral1993- The Fugitive1992- Scent of a Woman1991- The Prince of Tides1990- Awakenings

Its always going to be a film not nominated for director from 2009-2015.

2014: The Theory of Everything: I don’t see anyone putting this film as number one. The Imitation Game’s screenplay prize is the only thing that edges it over the Theory for me. The other non-director nominated films (Selma, Whiplash and Sniper) had vocal lovers who would have given them #1 votes.2013: Captain Phillips: Had no business being here, I believe it only made the Picture/Supporting Actor lineup by being consistently listed in 3rd/4th spots. 2012: Beasts of the Southern Wild: I honestly don’t see people putting this high on their screener pile, would’ve struggled from undersight.2011: Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close: Because it is widely considered a bad nominee.2010: Winter’s Bone: In a battle between King’s Speech and Social Network, smaller films are going to fall by the wayside early on.2009: A Serious Man: This was nominated? People would have at least watched Blind Side for Bullock, which meant it probably got votes on that alone.2008: Frost/Nixon: Milk performed strongly on the night, Button played right to Academy tastes and The Reader had Weinstein backing. F/N comes last by default.2007: Atonement: The only nominee to come away without a major win.2006: The Queen: Mirren had the passion, the film only cracked the lineup on a weak year.2005: Capote: See above.2004: Finding Neverland: Sideways and Ray claim third and fourth because they’d have gotten love from voters as indicated by Screenplay and Actor wins.2003: Seabiscuit: Not enough above-the-line love.2002: LOTR: Two Towers: The love was there for #1 and #3, #2 didn’t get love it needed in Director/Screenplay.