Thin air would make it harder for species to bounce back

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The biggest of Earth’s mass extinctions may have left animals gasping for air, a new study finds.

The Great Dying, as it is called, occurred some 250 million years ago. Roughly 90 percent of all marine life died, as well as nearly three-quarters of all land plants and animals. It marks the transition from the Permian geological period to the Triassic.

While fossils reveal the extinction in concrete terms, its causes are less well known.Scientists have blamed the massive die-off on an asteroid, volcanoes, global warming, and any combination thereof.

Now Raymond Huey and Peter Ward of the University of Washington have shown that a reduced supply of oxygen could explain high extinction rates that preceded the Great Dying, as well as the very slow recovery that followed.

Data: The rise and fall of Earth's species
Currently, oxygen makes up about 21 percent of our atmosphere, but in the early Permian period it was 30 percent. From this invigorating level, it fell to about 16 percent at the time of the Great Dying and over the next 10 million years continued to drop to 12 percent.

"Oxygen dropped from its highest level to its lowest level ever in only 20 million years," Huey said today.

With oxygen only 16 percent of the atmosphere, animals at sea level breathed air similar to that at the top of a 9,200-foot mountain today. At 12 percent, the corresponding elevation would be 17,400 feet. If you've ever climbed such a mountain, you know the effect.

"Animals that once were able to cross mountain passes quite easily suddenly had their movements severely restricted," Huey said.

This contradicts the prevailing view of Pangea, the super-continent that existed back then and which later broke apart to form all the modern continents. Most paleontologists considered it a "superhighway" on which species could range freely, Ward said. But with so little oxygen, high elevations would act as barriers.

Secluded populations would be more vulnerable to other environmental challenges, like severe climate change. It would also take longer for isolated organisms to bounce back.

The findings were published in the April 8 edition of the journal Science.