A less government conservative Republican from Livingston County, MI
Opinions on this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of the Livingston County Republican Party.
Chairman of LCRP since January 2013

Update 5-16-2012 - This could be interesting to watch. Marcin is a 26 year old East Coast transplant to Ann Arbor where he's a grad student. Ann Arbor (and east coast) dems are a different culture than the Downriver/Dearborn labor democrats which Dingell represents. One of the big clashes is on the auto industry. Jacobsen seems to be giving this a district an actual campaign, much like Dr Rob Steele did in 2010. The problem for Jacobsen is no Monroe County to help if it swings against the dems like it did in 2010. The rest of downriver is tougher territory. Romulus and Inkster are gone though which helps.

Michigan lost a congressional district, so there is no more 15th district. The old 15th district is basically now the 12th. What is mostly the old 12th district is now the 9th. I'm going to analyze this district as it is came from the 15th. This is still John Dingell's district.

This district is similar, although it changed some. It gave up Augusta and York Townships, as well as the City of Milan to Tim Walberg. It picks up 1/2 of Scio Township instead. That's the change in Washtenaw County. Monroe County goes to Walberg. In Wayne county, almost all of downriver goes back to Dingell outside of Melvindale, River Rouge, and Ecorse. He also gets the rest of Dearborn. Romulus and Inkster go to Hansen Clarke. He picks up Van Buren Twp and Belleville from Thad McCotter. This is "new territory" for the district, but not for Dingell who represented downriver for years. This district is also a lot bluer. Monroe County was a swing area and it's gone. Downriver is mostly democrat, and the added portions to this district like Eastern Dearborn, Lincoln Park and Southgate are blue sinks. The old district had about a 73000 vote spread for Kerry and 115000 for Obama. The new district was about 81000 and 122000. Rob Steele gave Dingell his toughest test in years, but lost his best area and has about a 32000 vote deficit in the new region. I didn't include the small Dearborn Heights portion since about 90% of it is in Clarke's district.

1 comment:

Cynthia Kallgren will challenge Dingell! Cynthia Kallgren of Trenton is up and running to represent Downriver, Dearborn and the area westward including Ypsilanti and Ann Arbor that composes the new 12th Congressional District. As a republican she first faces a primary opponent on August 7 with the winner presumably facing Congressman John Dingell. She is working to let the voters retire Dingell after 58 years. She points out that Dingell has been in office during the long slow decline of Downriver and Michigan, through the population loss that resulted in losing two congressional districts. The jobs have left Michigan, and our children are leaving Michigan in search of employment and jobs with the security needed to raise a family. Cynthia Kallgren, 52 is a small business owner, mother, lifelong resident of southeast Michigan, and graduate of Eastern Michigan University. “I believe we have an exciting opportunity to promote good, time-honored values in our communities,” she states. “Fiscal responsibility, individual freedom, working for families and human life from beginning to end, along with energy independence while keeping manufacturing jobs and new technologies in America; specifically southeast Michigan are among our most important priorities.”Active in politics and local government for many years, Kallgren has served as a volunteer, campaign worker and advocate for causes including fiscal accountability, a woman’s right to refuse, and economic and local business development. She was a candidate for State Representative in 2010. “I feel passionately about the issues facing our district and our nation and would be honored to represent the voice and concerns of the people of southeast Michigan as a mother, a citizen and a public servant in Washington,” she states. “Together we can bring Michigan back to life.”More information will soon be available at www.kallgrenforcongress.com.