The Hillary factor

Fund-raisers on the left and right are salivating now that Sen. Hillary
Clinton has declared, "I'm in" the 2008 presidential race. On the left,
feminists will likely hail her as the reincarnation of suffragette Susan B.
Anthony. On the right, conservatives will portray her as a cross between
Lady Macbeth and Bonnie Parker.

Conservatives should be careful. The nonstop attacks on Bill Clinton did not
keep him from winning in 1992, nor did his personal scandals prevent his
re-election four years later. Using similar smear tactics on Hillary Clinton
will only turn her into a victim and cause many not predisposed to vote for
her to support her.

Men can't run against a woman the way they run against other men. Former
Republican Congressman Rick Lazio learned the double standard voters apply
to a female candidate when he challenged her in 2000 for the New York Senate
seat she now holds. During a debate, Lazio left his lectern and invaded her
personal space to make a point. Many voters saw a man trying to physically
intimidate a woman and Lazio lost the debate and the election.

Some conservative Web sites are already claiming Sen. Clinton will unite the
Republican base like no other Democratic candidate. Maybe, but that base is
too small to counter what surely will be a surge in female voters. A recent
USA Today/CNN/Gallup Poll found that six out of 10 women were likely to
support Clinton in her run for the White House.

A major advantage for Republicans is that Hillary is not her husband. She is
aloof and calculating, while he can be warm and engaging. We have seen his
temper - most recently in an interview with Fox's Chris Wallace - but we
have only heard about hers. Will the public accept this kind of behavior
from a woman who wants to be president? Will such behavior be seen as
strength or character weakness?

In an interview with the London Sunday Times, Clinton's campaign manager,
Terry McAuliffe, compared her to former British Prime Minister Margaret
Thatcher. "Their policies are totally different," McAuliffe said, "but they
are both perceived as very tough." Hillary Clinton and Margaret Thatcher are
as different as Phyllis Schlafly and Gloria Steinem. Toughness in the
pursuit of bad ideas is as unhelpful as weakness in pursuit of good ones.

In her videotaped announcement, which emulated Sen. Barack Obama's
announcement of his presidential candidacy last week, Sen. Clinton ticked
off the issues about which she is ticked off, because she says the Bush
administration has failed to deal with them. They include health care,
Social Security, Medicare and Iraq. The Bush administration has attempted to
address all of these, but Democrats have blocked any progress. It's an old
political trick. You work against success and then blame failure on the
president.

The Clintons have a well-oiled political machine that neutralizes people who
get in the way of their pursuit of wealth and power. Sen. Clinton sounded as
if she is ready to haul out that machine again when she said, "I have never
been afraid to stand up for what I believe in or to face down the Republican
machine. After nearly $70 million spent against my campaigns in New York and
two landslide wins, I can say I know how Washington Republicans think, how
they operate, and how to beat them."

Media reports speak of this being the most "diverse" presidential race ever
with a woman, (Clinton), an African-American (Obama) and a Hispanic (New
Mexico's Bill Richardson). But this is not ideological diversity, as all are
liberals. This race shouldn't be about race, gender, or ethnicity, but
ideas. The big media, so far, have tossed Sen. Clinton softball questions.
Handlers have been able to get away with limiting questions to pre-approved
subjects. The public will demand more from her and the media in a
presidential campaign.

There has never been a campaign like the one the country is about to
experience. The focus should not be on gender or any other side issue, but
on who is best qualified to defend the country against its many enemies,
foreign and domestic.

Look for the dirtiest, meanest and most costly presidential campaign in
history in pursuit of the answer.