Very strong northwesterly winds are expected to diminish through the late afternoon and evening hours as the pressure gradient slackens, strongest winds aloft shift to the east of the area, and to a lesser extent, mixing height decreases. Will keep the advisory going but it's possible it can be canceled before it expires at 00z.

The focus in the short term will then shift to another upper-level shortwave trough, evident on water vapor imagery and 1.5pvu pressure level plots, in northern Alberta and Saskatchewan, Canada. This system will rapidly shift south-southeastward into the northern plains and eventually track over the area as it phases with a broader scale trough digging into The Four Corners area. Models have been consistent in moving very light quantitative precipitation forecast into northeastern Kansas and northwestern MO as the upper wave approaches and moves through. Forecast soundings show saturation aloft through about -15c with a subcloud dry layer of several thousand feet. Thus, it looks like there will be a small chance for light precipitation to reach the ground in northeastern Kansas and northwestern MO, mainly northwest of I- 35. Surrounding this area, sprinkles or flurries look possible and may persist throughout the overnight period.

With that upper low diving into the southwest, variability with the models increases markedly early next week. While there is a general agreement that the area will be in northwest flow, there is a large amount of uncertainty with the strength and position of the western ridge and the strength of the eastern trough. This has a significant impact on what happens through the middle of the country and if a more significant pattern change can occur or if we continue to see these fast moving upper-level shortwave troughs moving through. By Wednesday into Thursday next week, the GFS is nearly completely out of phase with the pattern over the eastern Pacific and the East Coast compared the European model (ecmwf). Given the uncertainty with the pattern, have made no change to the extended forecast as confidence is low.

MVFR stratus will approach the terminals by the late evening hours from the northwest. This should persist over the area until Thursday afternoon. VFR conditions look to return by the end of the forecast period, though mid-level cloud development will continue to increase as a short-wave trough crosses through the region. While a light wintry mix is possible by late Thursday afternoon and evening, not anticipating significant impacts at this time.