Thursday, March 10, 2016

ECB chair Mario Draghi delivered big-time this morning by announcing lower interest rates and a new round of debt monetization. Historically, this kind of thing has sent the financial markets into Pavlovian ecstasy, with stocks soaring and the local currency falling.

Sound money people have for years been warning that such New Age monetary policies are poison and that the markets would eventually wise up and react accordingly. Today, finally, that’s what they did. European stocks popped on the news — then dropped.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Over the weekend, my thinking was we had higher prices ahead of us. I actually ignored the astrological reversal mid-zone of the Sun translating Neptune, Saturn and Jupiter on March 4th. My logic was the powerful, advancing MACD and momentum indicators. My main reservation was the lack of early volume.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

We have had a bifurcated market for the entire year. The Nasdaq is now down nearly 7% for the year, with the S&P 500 down only a drop over 2%. Why is that you ask? Simple really. The bear market is froth, but still hasn't died as evidenced by the action in the world of the FANG!! Facebook, Inc. (FB), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), Google Inc. (GOOG), and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), all slaughtered big time today, along with all of them losing key, exponential moving averages. Some lost all three in today's action alone. Merciless selling in leaders with high beta and higher P/E's.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

It appears that SPX may close between 1894.35 and 1992.69 as an “inside day.” This denotes uncertainty in the market. However, there is no uncertainty. This is the best it can do to prevent an all-out collapse.

ZeroHedge comments, “One week ago, when looking at the latest BofA client flow trend monitor, we noticed something strange: despite the S&P's surge higher due to either a record short squeeze or because it is merely another bear market rally, the smart money was selling.

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

By Justin Spittler

The largest underground currency market in history...how to make huge investment gains from negative interest rates...none dare call it a tax.

Editor’s Note: This is the most important Dispatch we’ve published all year.

You won’t find our regular daily market commentary in this issue. Instead, you’ll find an urgent message from Casey Research director Brian Hunt. Right now, the government is planning a secret new tax. It involves a new way of taking money directly from your bank account…

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

The impulsive decline in SPX appears to be in need of a correction this morning. Currently the Premarket is higher, but beneath the 38.2% retracement level at 1989.54. We may see a further probe higher after the open to either the 50% retracement level at 1993.28 or the 61.8% retracement level at 1997.02. The retracement may go back to touch the lower trendline of the Bearish Pennant near 2001.00 – 2002.00, but that would be the extreme.

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

The stock market indices had a rough session. They gapped down hard at the opening, bounced to support, and retested in the morning, which enabled them to rally midday. The Nasdaq resistance at 4310 was too much to overcome as was 1995 S&P 500, and they sold off in the afternoon. They not only sold off, but made nominal new lows late in the day, before bouncing slightly, essentially closing at the lows for the day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 109.85 at 16,964.10. The S&P 500 was down 22.50 to 1979.26. The Nasdaq 100 was down 37.82 to 4265.51.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

The broad equities market has gotten a respite from the selling pressure which plagued it for the last few months. Some of this can be attributed to the Kress cycle “echoes” which we reviewed earlier this year. The echoes, which are based on the 6-year, 10-year, and 30-year cycles, suggested that stocks could experience a rally in the March-April time frame based on past rhythms. To date that expectation has materialized as traders cover short positions that were built up to excessive proportions in prior months.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

The biggest rallies occur in bear markets and equities have had an impressive run after leaving behind a double-bottom in January and February - but the “end is near”. In election years, March is a seasonally strong month for equities but this year, the March rally got started early in the first half of February. Several signs point to a top either last Friday or sometime this week.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

"State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 Edition" (excerpt)

Editor's note: The following article was adapted from the just-published State of the Global Markets Report--2016 Edition, one of our most anticipated annual reports for technically minded investors and analysts around the world. We are making the first 10,000 copies of this $99 report available 100% free. Click here to get your free copy now >>

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

Over the decades we have all learned to accept that earnings drive stock prices. Rising earnings – rising stock markets and stocks. Falling earnings – falling stock markets and stocks. In fact, there have been numerous studies, using current, future and lagging earnings, to determine an appropriate market price earnings multiple. Then standard deviations from that multiple are used to suggest a risk-on or risk-off investment climate.

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

We have had a bifurcated market for the entire year. The Nasdaq is now down nearly 7% for the year, with the S&P 500 down only a drop over 2%. Why is that you ask? Simple really. The bear market is froth, but still hasn't died as evidenced by the action in the world of the FANG!! Facebook, Inc. (FB), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), Google Inc. (GOOG), and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), all slaughtered big time today, along with all of them losing key, exponential moving averages. Some lost all three in today's action alone. Merciless selling in leaders with high beta and higher P/E's.

Monday, March 07, 2016

Few analysts realize that the sharpest, most aggressive rallies occur during bear markets. The reason for this is that during bear markets, investors tend to go short (borrow shares to bet on a collapse).

So when the market rallies even a little bit, it often will go absolutely vertical as these individuals panic and cover their shorts (which increases the buying).

Monday, March 07, 2016

After taking a beating in January the S&P 500 has rebounded by about 5% in February, and this uptrend has continued into March. But before you think it's safe to jump back into long positions, it's important to realize why the market went down in the first place, and why February's rebound won't last.

Monday, March 07, 2016

The SPX Premarket declined beneath the 2-hour Cycle Top at 1994.33 and the weekly mid-Cycle support at 1993.04 this morning.

ZeroHedge Reports, “In the aftermath of last week's disappointing G-20 Shanghai summit, there was much riding on this weekend's start of the China's People's Congress, and specifically what if any stimulus announcement Beijing will make; sadly for stimulus addicts Chinadisappointed and after the unimaginative scope of growth proposals none of which it will come remotely close to hitting, it is hardly surprising that European stocks and US equity futures have taken a leg lower, even if Chinese stocks rose and certain commodities such as Iron Ore soared overnight on hopes China will either "rationalize" capacity or at least build some more roads to nowhere. Others, such copper were less lucky.”

Monday, March 07, 2016

Ken Ticehurst writes: Our forecast algorithm is currently predicting a global stock market rout to begin in earnest over the next few weeks and months, below is our monthly forecast for the S&P 500 which we believe is about to enter a correction lasting until early 2017.

Monday, March 07, 2016

Interesting charts to present today with the S&P 500 Index, which is probably a better market to follow to reflect global economy. As we are all aware, the US Dollar still remains the reserve currency of the US Dollar and with that privilege, it extends into the US stock market. As uncertainties build around the globe, money will look for a home...it may not be the prettiest home, but it is likely the securest.

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.(c) 2005-2019 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use.
From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.