Realistically we probably only have about a 10% chance to win it all. Vegas is putting it closer to 8%

Nate Silver puts it at 4.5%. It's dropped since the start of the tournament with KU's poor play in the first game and the fact that Florida and Louisville rolling along (and with Florida getting to play FGCU).

Nate Silver puts it at 4.5%. It's dropped since the start of the tournament with KU's poor play in the first game and the fact that Florida and Louisville rolling along (and with Florida getting to play FGCU).

They both beat garbage opponents. I think it's beyond stupid for him to actually find any value in beating NW State.

That blowout win didn't change much of anything. Florida's better odds are mostly a product of having an easy game for the S16 and being a superior team according to the per-possession, advanced stats over a full year than KU and nearly everyone else.