Computation And Predictions

The CASCADE computation and predictions team is developing scientific tools, workflow patterns, and scalable algorithms that can process massive model output on modern HPC systems.

The computation and predictions team is tightly integrating the detection system with the attribution framework so that statistics from the detection analyses automatically yield the probability distribution functions required to produce quantitative attribution and projection statements for extreme events. In a related effort, we are integrating event detection and analysis with the ILIAD ((InitiaLized-ensemble Identify, Analyze, Develop) framework to ensure that probabilities of event detection do not depend on model configuration, thereby mitigating the resolution dependence of hurricane detection.