krazemon
estimated 33% and said “Rough estimate but 1 in 3 chance cryptocurrencies in general take a big hit, 1 in 3 chance something knocks Bitcoin out of the top of the crypto market, 1 in 3 Bitcoin continues to do well and gets used in more mundane applications.”
on 2018-01-23

ioannes
estimated 15% and said “I learned more about the Tether / Bitfinex sketchiness which makes me think bitcoin is likely to tank as the Tether story becomes more widely known”
on 2018-01-26