Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Total

4 weeks ago 19/12/17

Election 2 Jul 16

Liberal

34%

34%

National

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

37%

37%

42.0%

Labor

38%

38%

34.7%

Greens

9%

9%

10.2%

Nick Xenophon Team

3%

2%

Pauline Hanson’s One Nation

6%

7%

Other/Independent

7%

7%

13.1%

2 party preferred

Liberal National

47%

47%

50.4%

Labor

53%

53%

49.6%

Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Dec 2017

Sep 2017

June 2017

Mar 2017

Dec 2016

Jun 2016

Dec 2015

Malcolm Turnbull

42%

19%

80%

20%

38%

42%

43%

39%

38%

39%

40%

54%

Bill Shorten

25%

52%

3%

39%

21%

28%

29%

26%

26%

28%

29%

15%

Don’t know

33%

30%

17%

41%

41%

31%

28%

34%

36%

33%

32%

31%

42% thought that Malcolm Turnbull would make a better Prime Minister (no change from last month), and 25% thought Bill Shorten would be better (down 3%). 33% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.

The results were split by party, with 80% of Liberal/National voters saying that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better Prime Minister, and 52% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would.