Here's how you'll know for sure when KotOR III is confirmed: the announcement will be coming from Lucasarts. Unless it's "Lucasarts confirms KotOR III", reported on another site like IGN. Anything else is speculation.

LucasArts' recent silence by no means equals inactivity. On the contrary, Knights of the Old Republic 3, which we believe is in development with Obsidian Development, is in the early stages of creation for a late 2006 -- most likely a 2007 -- release. The game should feature more seamless interaction between NPCs and the lead character, as well as better, more economic interactions between party members. We predict the combat system will go entirely realtime, as opposed to partially realtime (the way it was in KOTOR 1 and 2), and RPG fans will be able to enjoy more distinct shades of gray recognized by characters instead of the black and white distinctions made in the first two iterations of the series.

All the shoulds and maybes don't really suggest any kind of confirmation to me. Guesses. Hence why the page is called "IGN Predicts" .

Here's how you'll know for sure when KotOR III is confirmed: the announcement will be coming from Lucasarts. Unless it's "Lucasarts confirms KotOR III", reported on another site like IGN. Anything else is speculation.

Quoted for emphasis... and since we already have a K3 specualtion thread my freind will now do his little dance...