Tobi is a childish persona Madara dawns in order to fake out the idiots within the Akataski, upon their deaths he drops the persona and becomes his real personality, they are the same person, who ever states other wise have lost based to what the manga has shown.

In the manga we just found out it wasn't Madara because Kabuto brought the real one back to life with that forbidden jutsu!
It can't be Obito though?? He has no motive and I'm pretty sure Obito is dead.
I HAVE NO IDEA WHO IT IS NOW :OOO Maybe its Madara but he split his soul or chakra or sumethin into 2 bodies? IDK ! D:

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