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Descrição: Climate change is undermining the ability of African nations to feed themselves. Women smallholder producers are on the front line of dealing with the impacts, but are not first in line for interna...

Climate change is undermining the ability of African nations to feed themselves. Women smallholder producers are on the front line of dealing with the impacts, but are not first in line for international climate finance. Wealthy countries have committed to helping countries in Africa to adapt to climate change, but few women producers are feeling the benefit. National governments are stepping up in spite of limited resources and multiple development priorities. New analysis shows that whilst international climate finance overall is on the rise, wealthy countries are still failing to deliver public finance for adaptation in Africa.

JOINT AGENCY BRIEFING NOTE 14 OCTOBER 2015

Women farmers in Africa are at the front line of dealing with the impact of climate change, but are not getting the support they need from
international climate finance. Photo: Abbie Trayler-Smith/Oxfam

AFRICA’S SMALLHOLDERS
ADAPTING TO CLIMATE
CHANGE
The need for national governments and international climate
finance to support women producers

Climate change is undermining the ability of African nations to feed themselves. Women
smallholder producers are on the front line of dealing with the impacts, but are not first in line for
international climate finance. Wealthy countries have committed to helping countries in Africa to
adapt to climate change, but few women producers are feeling the benefit. National governments
are stepping up in spite of limited resources and multiple development priorities. New analysis
shows that whilst international climate finance overall is on the rise, wealthy countries are still
failing to deliver public finance for adaptation in Africa.
WOMEN, FOOD AND
CLIMATE CHANGE
Across the continent of Africa producing food is getting harder. Seasons
are shifting, rainfall is becoming less reliable, temperatures are rising, ‘Some 20 years ago we
could harvest a lot, but
weather is becoming more extreme, and, as a result the fight against
things have changed.
hunger is becoming much harder. Smallholder producers,1 especially
There are no more rains
women, are on the front line of the consequences of climate change and we are now
because of how dependent on the weather food production is, and how struggling to harvest.
dependent on that food their families and communities are. The The rains are not
pressures that food producers in Africa now face are unprecedented. coming on time and the
times we used to grow
Considerable progress has been achieved by governments across Africa and harvest crops have
to manage the risks of current climate variability and short-term climatic changed.’
changes on food production. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Ipaishe Masvingise (widow, 49
years), Ward 13, Gutu,
Change (IPCC) warns, however, that in spite of this progress actions to Zimbabwe. 2014
date will be insufficient to ensure adaptation to the long-term impacts of
climate change on agriculture, nutrition, and food security across Africa.2

Over the last 50 years the African continent has experienced a strong
warming trend, which is continuing. Whilst the whole world is
experiencing global warming, temperatures over Africa will rise faster
than the global average, particularly in the more arid regions where food By 2100, climate
shortages and nutritional challenges are already a reality.3 On current change could cause an
trends, average warming across Africa will have exceeded a 2°C rise in additional 45 million to
the coming decades, an increase that will severely disrupt food 70 million people in sub-
production.4 Saharan Africa to fall
below the $2-a-day
Climate change is putting food production under threat. It is amplifying poverty line due to
existing stressors and undermining vulnerable agricultural systems. income losses alone.
N. Stern (2007) ‘Stern Review:
Nowhere will that be felt more than in the semi-arid areas of Africa where The economics of climate
changing rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are already reducing, change’
and will continue to reduce, the productivity of vital cereal crops.
Production of high-value perennial crops such as tea, coffee and cocoa
are also set to be negatively impacted,5 as well as livestock and
fisheries.6

The progress that national governments have made to respond to climate
change and establish governance systems for adaptation has been High levels of
praised by the IPCC. However, the Panel remains concerned that these background poverty and
institutional frameworks are not yet able to effectively coordinate across vulnerability create
the range of adaptation initiatives already being implemented, let alone conditions under which
the broad-reaching package of initiatives much needed for adaptation. a reversal in human
Oxfam analysis found major gaps in the preparedness of the global food development could
accompany climate
system to cope with climate change, with developing countries the least
change.
prepared of all.7
ODI (2014) ‘Fair Share: Climate
finance to vulnerable countries’
Whilst climate change has to some extent been mainstreamed into
national planning, the IPCC notes ‘incomplete, under-resourced, and
fragmented institutional frameworks and overall low levels of adaptive

2
capacity, especially competency at local government levels’ which have
led to a largely ad hoc and donor-driven, project-level approach.8 In
conclusion, adaptive capacity is considered to be low.

Box 1: Dorothy Musoke, smallholder producer, Rwenzori, Uganda

‘The seasons keep changing, the rains don’t come when I expect them, so
then we have drought and it is so hard to grow anything. My maize is just
about coping, but my beans won’t grow.’
Dorothy used to rely on the constant rain during the rainy seasons to grow
her crops, but then they stopped coming and her plants began to fail. When
the rains did come, they were so heavy that the parched soil could not
absorb the inundation, and her soil and crops got washed down the slope.
Even when her crops failed again and again, she felt she had no other
option than to continue with them and hope that things improved, but they
did not.
But Dorothy became a ‘Model Farmer’ in the Foundation for Urban and
Rural Advancement (FURA) livelihood programme, supported by Oxfam.
The programme helped communities in the area to adapt to the changing
rainfall patterns. Dorothy received training and advice on agricultural
techniques, visited another district to see techniques in action by other
smallholders like her, and learnt about different crops she might be able to
grow in spite of the changeable conditions. She also received seedlings
from a new community nursery established by the project to replace crops
lost to floods and drought and trial new crops, and tools to dig trenches to
protect her field from flooding.

Pettengell (2010) ‘Climate Change Adaptation: Enabling people living in poverty to adapt’

Women make up a significant proportion of smallholder producers,
estimated to be 48.7 percent of the agriculture labour force across sub- Only 5 percent of all
Saharan Africa,9 and it is estimated that 60 percent of economically extension resources are
active women in Africa depend on agriculture for their livelihoods.10 directed at women.
Women are therefore on the front line of the impacts of climate change, Moreover, only 15
trying to feed their families, their communities, and their countries. They percent of extension
are often the most vulnerable to climate change impacts because they personnel are female.
FAO (2011) ‘Women in
are generally more heavily dependent on climate-sensitive livelihoods Agriculture: Closing the gender
(such as rain fed agriculture, and collecting water for household use), gap for development’
and because they often have the least to fall back on in harsh times or to
help them escape a downward spiral in productivity (through limited
access to ways to invest in improvements, such as agricultural training,
loans, or technologies). Women are food producers and providers,
guardians of health and care givers, and economic actors. Droughts,
deforestation, and erratic rainfall force women to work even harder just to
meet their household needs for food, water, and fuel, and to keep their
families healthy and safe. This leaves even less time to improve their
economic activities or invest in their future.

3
AGRICULTURE UNDER
THREAT Four out of five people
in Uganda depend on
agriculture for income
As a sector, agriculture is the most vulnerable to climate change. In sub- and food security.
Saharan Africa 70 percent of food is produced from subsistence Therefore, any threat to
agriculture12 and therefore smallholder producers need to play a central agricultural production
role in decision making around agricultural investment and adaptation degrades Uganda’s
planning. Despite the high numbers of women smallholder producers socio-economic status
and puts 80 percent of
across Africa, and their significant contribution to food production, they
the population at risk of
are frequently overlooked by policies and processes that invest in poverty and hunger.
agriculture. This is for a variety of reasons, from lacking basic rights over ACCRA (2014) ‘The Climate
the land they work, through to receiving little support from agricultural Forecast Model’
11

services – only 5 percent of all extension resources globally are directed
towards women.13 Women’s contribution to food production is therefore
largely unsupported.

In 2003 at the African Union (AU) Head of State Summit in Maputo, Agriculture generates
governments agreed to invest more than 10 percent of their total national 32 percent of GDP
budget in the agricultural sector – an agreement which was reiterated at across the continent of
the Malabo summit in June 2014. Over a decade on from the original Africa.
commitment, and only nine of the 54 AU member states met the Maputo AGRA (2013) ‘Africa Agriculture
Status Report: Focus on staple
Declaration target in 2013, and only seven have regularly met the yearly crops’
14

target.15 This year Nigeria has allocated only 0.89 percent of its national
budget to agriculture.16

Not only does this investment fall short of the target, but the limited
investments that are made are often focused on major commodity crops
like maize and sugar, whereas women more commonly produce the food
More than two-thirds of
that is grown for consumption and tree-based commodities that do not African citizens depend
rely on land ownership. Women are also more often involved in local on agriculture for their
markets, whereas government and large private sector investments incomes. The potential
prioritise regional and global markets. for agriculture-led
economic growth to
Generally speaking – through both quantity and quality – agricultural reduce both the breadth
investment has not delivered what smallholders in Africa, and in and depth of poverty in
particular women producers, need. Adaptation planning and investment Africa is therefore
must learn lessons from the under investment in the agricultural sector enormous.
and put the focus back onto the majority of food producers. The Maputo Commitments and
the 2014 African Union Year of
17
Agriculture

4
Box 2: Missed opportunities not investing in women in agriculture
Rural poverty is deeply
• In Ghana, if women and men had equal land rights and tenure security, rooted in the imbalance
women’s use of fertiliser and profits per hectare would nearly double. between what women
• In South Africa and Zambia, studies found that involving women in the do and what they have.
design and field testing of new technologies, such as new crop varieties, The International Fund for
18
Agricultural Development
small machinery and farm tools, speeds up the adoption of innovations,
increasing productivity and incomes.
• In Tanzania, providing women entrepreneurs with the same inputs and
education as men could increase business income by between 10 and
20 percent.
• In Tanzania and Zambia, allocating land, labour, capital and fertiliser
equally could increase production by between 10 and 20 percent.

5
PROMISES OF
INTERNATIONAL
SUPPORT
In 2005 the urgent need for adaptation in vulnerable countries was
internationally recognised, and Least Developed Countries (LDCs) were
Fast Start Finance
invited to develop National Adaptation Programmes of Action (NAPAs) to
delivered less than $1
identify and fund their most urgent and immediate adaptation needs. per person in the
NAPAs were submitted by 47 LDCs, including 33 in Africa, yet these still developing world for
remain largely unfunded both nationally and internationally. Whilst all but adaptation.
two African LDCs have had at least one project funded from the LDC ODI (2014) ‘Fair Share: Climate
Fund, funding falls far short of what was required then, and devastatingly finance to vulnerable countries’

short of what is required now.

At COP15 in Copenhagen in 2009 the commitment was made to mobilise
$100bn per year for climate finance by 2020. This month the
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Only 21 percent of Fast
Start Finance was spent
published a preliminary estimate of combined public and private climate
on adaptation.
finance of $61.8bn20 in 2014, up from $52.2bn in 2013.21 This suggests Oxfam 2012
19

significant progress towards the goal, but the headline figures deserve a
closer look.

The vast majority of climate finance is flowing to mitigation (77 percent),
Only 16 percent of
with only 16 percent to adaptation, and seven percent to activities jointly climate finance went to
supporting mitigation and adaptation.23 This follows a consistent trend in adaptation in 2013-14,
which adaptation, and the countries and communities that must prioritise with an additional 7
it, are overlooked in the allocation of international climate finance. Oxfam percent to activities that
and others estimated adaptation received just 21 percent of funds from supported both
the so-called Fast Start Finance, where $30bn was pledged over 2010– mitigation and
12 as a down-payment on the $100bn goal. This is in spite of an adaptation.
agreement to achieve a ‘balance’ between funding for adaptation and OECD (2015) ‘Climate Finance in
mitigation activities.24 2013–14 and the USD 100 Billion
22
Goal’

Furthermore, the majority of these flows are in the form of loans – both
concessional and non-concessional – and private finance. While the new
OECD report does not provide this level of breakdown, the picture is
clear from looking at the publically-available OECD-DAC project
database for 2013.25

According to this database, only $13bn of climate-related ODA in 2013
was provided as grants – which is equivalent to just 25 percent of the
$52.2bn the OECD suggested was mobilised towards the $100bn goal in
2013. What is more, only $1.5bn of these grants were allocated explicitly
and primarily to climate change adaptation.26 A further $3.1bn in grants
for adaptation is counted in the overall OECD progress report, but these
flows do not address climate change adaptation as their primary
objective. Indeed, there is limited evidence to suggest that these projects,

7
where climate change is just one of many objectives have actually taken
climate change into consideration at all.27

Figure 2: Grants dedicated to adaptation as a share of total climate
finance in 2013

This means that only a tiny fraction of the promised $100bn per year by
2020 is flowing as grants dedicated to climate change adaptation. The
overwhelming reliance instead is on loans and private finance – both of
which are unlikely to be suitable for meeting the adaptation needs of the
poorest and most vulnerable communities.

8
That is not to say private finance does not have a vital role to play in the
global response to climate change, it does; we need to see a shift in
global investment flows. However, building vulnerable people’s resilience
to climate change relies on basic essential services and public goods
which require large-scale public finance much more so than mitigation,
‘Life was difficult. I did
because there are fewer profitable opportunities in building the resilience
not grow any maize but
of the poorest and most marginalised. While the private sector is
only groundnuts, pearl
investing in adaptation to protect their supply chains, the private sector millet and sorghum.
cannot be expected to deliver on the large scale broader public interest Few of these crops
and needs of vulnerable communities; this has to come from public matured, they were hit
sources with government leadership. The reliance on private finance has hard by droughts. I used
also tended to exclude the poorest countries, where capital markets and to travel far to buy food.
investment opportunities are less developed. I used to go to new
resettlement areas
This emphasis on mitigation and loans, rather than adaptation and (minda mirefu) in Gutu
grants, has significant implications for the geographic distribution of in search of maize.
resources mobilised towards the $100bn goal. In 2013 Africa received Sometimes I did not find
the maize I was looking
approximately 27 percent of the public finance, with the largest share (39
for and my children
percent) allocated to countries in the Asia region. Of the approximately would sleep without
$10.6bn allocated to Africa in 2013, only around $600m was in the form eating anything.’
of grants for adaptation.
Eugenia Munguma (widow, 49
years), Ward 13, Gutu,
This all adds up to a significant funding gap between what international Zimbabwe, 2014
climate finance is delivering and the estimated $7–15bn needed every
year by 2020,29 and upwards of $35bn every year by 2050 for adaptation
in Africa.30 Therefore despite the promising headlines this month from the
OECD, the track record on international public finance for adaptation
remains bleak, whilst the costs of adaptation continue to rise.
International climate finance is not yet prioritising those who are suffering
the worst consequences of climate change, and an enormous funding
gap remains to deliver the new and additional public finance needed to
enable adaptation at the scale required for vulnerable women and men
across Africa.

9
NATIONAL ACTION TO
PLUG THE GAP
In spite of the failure of the international community to deliver resources
at the scale and type needed, African countries have started to step up.
Right now, their people are suffering the effects of poor harvests; shifting Ethiopia’s domestic
seasons, temperatures and rainfall patterns; and weather-related climate change related
disasters. Comprehensive and integrated national adaptation is the goal, spending is equivalent
to almost half the
and the IPCC makes clear that ‘adaptation is shown to be successful and
national spend on
sustainable when linked to effective governance systems, civil and primary education.
political rights and literacy’.31 Many countries have developed national
policies and strategies for addressing the impacts of climate change on
their people and economies, and some have set up units or institutions
responsible for adaptation planning and coordination across ministries Tanzania’s domestic
and alignment with development priorities (e.g. Ethiopia’s Climate climate change related
spending represents
Resilient Green Economy Strategy and Mozambique’s national
almost two-thirds of the
adaptation monitoring system – see boxes 4 and 5). national spend on
health.
With the failure to get NAPAs funded, Fast Start Finance not even
delivering one dollar for every person in the developing world, and only a
tiny fraction of the $100bn goal flowing in the form needed, African
governments are increasingly forced to take action through their own Spending on climate
domestic budgets to protect their people and their hard-fought change runs the risk of
development gains from the devastating impacts of climate change. crowding out urgently
needed spending in
Oxfam estimates that sub-Saharan African countries are already other priority areas
spending around $5bn of their own resources on adaptation, which for
many countries is far more than the amount they have received in ODI (2014) ‘Fair Share: Climate
international climate finance.32 For example, Tanzania spends finance to vulnerable countries’
approximately three times more on adaptation each year from its own
budget than it received from international climate finance during the Fast
Start Finance period 2010–12, and Ethiopia spent approximately double
each year what it received in the same period.33 Significant public
expenditure on adapting to climate change is happening in some of the
world’s poorest countries, often exceeding international support for
adaptation.34

Ethiopia is one of a number of low-income countries to have formally
integrated climate and development through its Climate Resilient Green
Economy (CRGE) Strategy which was developed in 2011. The CRGE aims
to better coordinate key sectors of the economy to pursue a sustainable
growth path. The vision is to improve resilience to climate change, secure
the abatement of greenhouse gas emissions, enhance the avoidance of
future emissions and foster economic development alongside reduced
carbon-dependent growth (FDRE, 2011).
It is hoped that the CRGE Facility will receive $200bn from national,
international, public and private sources over the next two decades. The
goal of the Facility is to make the administration of such funds easier to
direct and coordinate, and it has begun the process of accreditation to
become a National Implementing Entity for the Adaptation Fund. Bilateral
funders, including the UK government and others, have played a
substantial role in supporting these efforts, as have other international
organisations such as the Global Green Growth Institute, the African
Development Bank and others with additional resources.
However, the majority of climate change related actions are domestically
funded through an estimated $440m every year – accounting for 14.5
percent of the national budget.38 This amount for one year is more than
Ethiopia has received in total from international climate finance.

ODI (2014) ‘Climate Finance: Is it making a difference?’

11
PRIORITISING
ADAPTATION
With so much growing awareness and emphasis on climate change at
the national level, these domestic investments indicate positive steps
forward, but things need to move faster and go much further. In addition
to financing considerations, governments need to grapple with how to
deliver effective adaptation that prioritises the needs of the most
vulnerable women, men, girls, and boys across the continent of Africa,
particularly the smallholder producers on the front line. Meanwhile, the
international community needs to urgently grapple with how to source,
allocate and deliver public finance at scale to enable adaptation that
works for those who need it most.

Adaptation for those who need it most
There is no one-size-fits-all approach to adaptation. Climate change
impacts, vulnerability, adaptive capacity and barriers to adaptation are all
location specific and change over time, but the processes needed for
adaptation that supports the most vulnerable will be similar. Bottom-up as
well as top-down processes are key for adaptation.

Participatory and inclusive formulation, implementation and
monitoring of adaptation (national and local) for women and men. 39

Participation by those most affected by climate change, including women
smallholder producers, is crucial for adapting and achieving long-term
food security of households, communities, and nations. African
governments must ensure effective and meaningful participation by civil
society, sub-national government, research institutions, private sector,
indigenous peoples, women and men, and marginalised groups in
defining options and priorities so that adaptation planning is rooted in the
Local, regional and
realities that people face in their lives and livelihoods. national governments
should also incorporate
Efficient, accountable and transparently managed public funds.
the principles of
inclusiveness,
At present it is difficult to determine and monitor how much domestic and
community leadership
international finance is available for adaptation at the national level, let and environmental
alone how effectively this is being used or if the most vulnerable women sustainability into all of
and men are benefiting. African governments must use a climate finance their plans for
marker in their budget processes and record ‘off-budget’ international adaptation and
finance to build trust with vulnerable communities about what actions are development.
being taken against national and local priorities and to build the evidence th
Declaration of the 9 Community-
Based Adaptation Conference in
base for international climate finance requirements. Nairobi
40

Defined responsibilities, and resources to fulfil them, across all
government sectors and levels of administration.

Consistent integration of climate change considerations across
government policies and sectors is poor. For example, in spite of

12
recognising climate change as a key priority for the health sector in its
climate change plan, none of the Shs.142.3bn spent on adaptation in
Uganda 2008/9-2011/12 has been spent by the Ministry of Health. Whilst
agriculture is an important and immediate area where adaptation I appreciate the NAPA
investment is needed urgently, the challenges of adapting to climate program which has
given me knowledge,
change for transport, infrastructure, health services, tourism and
tools and enabled me to
economic development cannot be understated or ignored. participate in the
exchange visit to
With no one-size-fits-all approach, sub-national levels of government are
Kabale where I learnt a
vital partners in national adaptation efforts, yet are largely unfunded and lot of lessons and
unsupported in this area. In Uganda, 90 percent of local government applied them thus the
budgets are derived from central government and are conditional improvement in my crop
financial transfers with inflexible conditions.41 Although there are positive yields. I would request
national efforts to mainstream climate change into local development the District to implement
planning and delivery, without specific funding for adaptation or flexibility this project in all the sub
to be responsive to local priorities, local government has limited ability to counties to help fellow
meet the needs of the most vulnerable people in their jurisdictions who farmers improve
productivity and
are frequently not reached by national-led efforts.
innovation.
Biira Annet, Bundibugyo NAPA
Increased effort and investments are needed to connect different levels project participant
42

of power and decision making, for example local government planners
and national officials responsible for planning and development;
continental development actors and sub-regional climate centres.
Stronger communication, coordination, and interconnection between
these decision making entities create a stronger infrastructure for
adaptation.

Prioritised local adaptation plans that build the resilience of
communities and ecosystems.

Resources are lacking at the local level to raise awareness of the
challenges of climate change and to engage affected communities to To cope with the
define their adaptation options and priorities. Significant resourcing is negative effects of
required at this level as it is the lives and livelihoods of local people who climate change, we
have learned about the
are bearing the heaviest brunt of climate change impacts. Developing
importance of planting
local plans that prioritise local resources, knowledge, and skills, and that trees, constructing
protect and strengthen the local ecosystems that protect people from the trenches for the running
harshest impacts of climate change, are key to local adaptation. Local water, building a
adaptation plans must be developed with communities and then veranda for the house
formalised and integrated into the development priorities of local to flood-proof it and to
administrations. This is the only way to ensure coherence of policies and grow climate resistant
investments that work for, and not inadvertently against, local people’s and fast growing crops.
resilience. Sylvia, Ogur Sub-county, Otuke
District, Uganda

13
Box 4: Tracking local adaptation plans in Mozambique

Mozambique is one of the first countries in the world to design a national
system to track and evaluate the impact of climate change adaptation
policy and practice. The goal is to measure the social and development
impacts of efforts to adapt to climate change, because unless there are
ways of tracking these investments in terms of their impact on
development, governments and development actors run the risk of
implementing interventions that may hinder development or produce
maladaptation.
The Government of Mozambique, through the Secretariat of the
Sustainable Development Council (S-CONDES) within the Ministry for
Coordination and Environment Affairs (MICOA), is developing a national
system to monitor and evaluate policies, programmes, and projects that
respond to the impacts of climate change. This initiative is part of the policy
package to put into practice the National Climate Change Mitigation and
Adaptation Strategy (NCCMAS) approved in November 2012.
A Theory of Change (ToC) has been developed for adaptation in
Mozambique, with identified indicators and assumptions to be monitored
and tested. Crucially, the ToC is linked to the development of local
adaptation plans for the districts where this approach is being piloted –
meaning that adaptation is looked at in relation to its contribution to local
development priorities, local level risk and vulnerability, as well as factors
enabling community adaptive capacity. These local adaptation plans at
district level form the basis for integrating climate risk and vulnerability into
national development planning processes in Mozambique.

Identification and prioritisation of the needs of women and men
most vulnerable to climate change.

Vulnerable populations and subgroups within them have specific
adaptation needs. Without local leadership both understanding and
engaging with the local drivers of vulnerability and barriers to adaptation,
effective solutions will not be possible. Plans and policies must recognise
the different issues affecting different groups of women, men, boys and
girls, and be tailored to their different needs, capacities and constraints.
Adaptation at all levels must be understood within the local context of
social, cultural, economic, and environmental conditions, and initiatives to
promote greater social equity and cohesion.

Investment for building skills and capacities, not just physical
infrastructure.

Adaptation is knowledge intensive and often the capacity constraints are
largest in this area. In order to fulfil the other key requirements of
participation, inclusivity, local actions and effective use of funds, new
knowledge, skills and capacities are needed across government at all
levels, and for citizens too. Building skills and capacities is a long-term
project, and one that needs to be resourced and supported as the
realities of climate change continue to unfold.

14
Agricultural investments have suffered from underinvestment in this vital
area, with technical and input solutions frequently prioritised over
increasing knowledge and skills. For smallholder producers to be
effective in a changing climate they need to combine knowledge and
understanding from seasonal forecasts, climate change scenarios,
differences between crop varieties, agricultural technologies and
techniques and their own personal experience, and in any given season
make the right choices for them for both the harvest ahead and the long-
term sustainability of their farming.

Adequate resources must be made available to improve the
effectiveness of institutions responsible for managing climate change
adaptation, and for raising public awareness and educating all sectors of
society about climate change, including information services such as
climate information services that meet the needs of, and reach, women
and men smallholder producers.

Evidence-based plans and policies.

Adaptation plans need to consider how women and men are vulnerable
now, but also how that will change over time. Investments are needed in
meteorological expertise at national and local levels to meet the
information needs of smallholders trying to adapt to climate change, as
well as the capacities of policy makers and planners to be able to use
climate information in their decision making. Flexible, forward-looking
decision making, long-term monitoring and iterative planning processes -
to incorporate new information as it becomes available - are all needed.

15
CONCLUSIONS AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
It is clear that international finance commitments for adaptation are
woefully inadequate to meet the challenges that vulnerable women, men,
girls and boys across the continent of Africa now face – and which are
only set to worsen. Whilst national governments are recognising the
mounting challenge and supporting what actions they can through their
national budgets, the multiple pressures on these limited resources
remain a constraining factor. The injustice of those least responsible for
causing climate change having to face stark choices between funding
their schools and hospitals, and funding their ability to produce food to
eat in a changed and changing climate is inescapable. To prevent the
backsliding of hard-fought development gains by climate change, urgent
scale up of resourcing to – and effective use of – adaptation finance is
required, and nowhere more so than for the food producers of Africa.

National governments must:
• Facilitate inclusive adaptation planning and monitoring, ensuring that
the voices of women and men most vulnerable to the impacts of
climate change are listened to, and that plans prioritise their
adaptation needs.
• Develop a holistic and costed National Adaptation Plan (NAP) that
fulfils the principles and criteria of the Southern Voices Joint Principles
for Adaptation, is gender sensitive and mainstreams climate change
adaptation throughout government at all levels and in all sectors,
including provision for action across administrative boundaries.
• Use a climate finance marker against both budget allocations and
actual spend for adaptation and mitigation actions, and increase
transparency and accountability of budgeting and spending processes
to allow for effective tracking of climate finance and climate-related
activities. Internationally financed ‘off-budget’ climate change
adaptation projects implemented by government agencies, non-
government organisations (NGOs), or other project implementers
should also be recorded publically.
• Build the capacity of national and subnational agencies accredited, or
seeking accreditation, to climate financing entities to ensure the
development and submission of robust, high quality proposals, to
ensure international standards of financial oversight are met and to
ensure they operate inclusively and transparently, engaging with civil
society and the communities they serve.
• Devolve funding and decision making to local government levels to
support locally prioritised adaptation actions. Harness local knowledge
and involve civil society to develop effective local solutions that
support the most vulnerable women and men.

16
The international community must:
• Recognise the continuing imbalance between adaptation and
mitigation in the allocation of international climate finance and the
small share of grants dedicated to adaptation currently mobilised
towards the $100bn goal.
• Urge further pledges of increased public finance from contributing
countries before 2020 – especially as grants dedicated for adaptation
– to be announced in the run-up to COP21 in Paris.
• Agree a climate finance package at COP21 in Paris that raises the
confidence of African nations on the provision of predictable,
sustainable, adequate and additional climate finance post-2020, in a
form that is appropriate to meet the escalating adaptation needs of the
poorest and most vulnerable communities, and that is responsive to
the level of mitigation ambition of the Paris Agreement.
• Ensure the climate finance package agreed at COP21 includes a
commitment to a 50 percent floor for the adaptation allocation from
public funds in the $100bn goal by 2020 and thereafter, and a new
separate collective finance target for adaptation embedded as part of
the post-2020 Paris Agreement, prioritising the needs of the most
vulnerable women and men in developing countries.
• Ensure funding entities such as the Green Climate Fund (GCF) are
set up to support the types of programmatic – rather than project-by-
project – approaches needed to scale up adaptation actions that
support the most vulnerable women and men at the local level. Under
the GCF, this is through its Enhanced Direct Access modality, and this
modality should be prioritised. Without this approach, community-level
actions will fail to receive adequate funding and remain limited by
administrative costs and capacity constraints of applying individually.

17
Box 5: Climate finance and planning – National snapshots

Ghana
• Considerable progress made over a relatively short time frame to
develop a National Climate Change Policy (NCCP).
• NCCP costed at GH 35bn (approximately $9.3bn) for 2014–2020.
• Government budget allocation in 2014 was GH 637m (approximately
$210m), representing 2 percent of government expenditure, and about
0.5 percent of GDP.
• Only $4.22m approved from multilateral climate finance sources for
adaptation for the period 2004–2014.
• Overall low funding starting point to accomplish the objectives of the
NCCP over the next 5 years.
• Projected budget for the NCCP would transform ministries, particularly
the Ministry of Gender, Children, and Social Protection which would
require almost a ten-fold budget increase.
• Local government is lacking awareness of the NCCP and the capacity to
implement it.
Uganda
• The 2010 National Development Plan includes a chapter on climate
change and impacts on national development. The 2012 Draft Climate
Change Policy emphasises the importance of adaptation, especially in
vulnerable sectors such as agriculture.
• Estimated domestic annual climate change relevant expenditure from
2008–2011 is $25m, representing 0.9 percent of government
expenditure, and approximately 0.2 percent of GDP.
• The Draft Implementation Strategy of the Climate Change Policy is
costed at 1.6 percent of GDP.
• Only $15.39m approved from multilateral climate finance sources for
adaptation for the period 2004–2014.
• Government actions needed to strengthen management of public
finance if effective climate finance delivery is to occur.
Ethiopia
• National Climate Resilient Green Economy Strategy is costed at $7.5bn
per year.
• National budget for climate change relevant actions is estimated at
$440m per year, representing about 14.5 percent of total government
expenditure (2008–2011).
• Only $11.41m approved from multilateral climate finance sources for
adaptation for the period 2004–2014.
• Financing gap of tens of millions of dollars per year.
Tanzania
• Estimated cost of immediate adaptation needs is at $650m per year.
• Estimated domestic annual climate change relevant expenditure 2009–
2012 is $383m, representing 5.5 percent of total government
expenditure.
• Only $13.31m approved from multilateral climate finance sources for
adaptation for the period 2004–2014.

18
Malawi
• Government budget has allocated MK 13bn (approximately $23.32m43)
this year alone from its national budget to climate change management,
disaster risk management, conservation agriculture, small-scale
livestock, small-scale irrigation and agro-forestry and forestry,
representing about 1.5 percent of the national budget.
• Only $22.48m approved from multilateral climate finance sources for
adaptation for the period 2004–2014.44
Nigeria
• In 2010 the National Assembly passed a bill to create a national Climate
Change Commission.
• In 2011 National Adaptation Strategy and Plan of Action on Climate
Change for Nigeria (NASPA-CCN) was developed under the national
Climate Change Policy and Response Strategy.
• Nigeria Vision 20:2020 Economic Transformation Blueprint recognises a
changing climate as a threat to sustainable growth in the next decade.

10 FAOSTAT http://faostat.fao.org/site/550/DesktopDefault.aspx?PageID=550#ancor (Female economically
active population in agriculture in Africa as a percentage of Total female economically active population in
Africa)
11 ACCRA (2014) The Climate Forecast Model
http://community.eldis.org/.5c3edc47/ml-climate-forecast-model-100914-en.pdf
12 IAASTD (2009) Agriculture at a Crossroads
http://www.unep.org/dewa/agassessment/reports/subglobal/Agriculture_at_a_Crossroads_Volume%20V_Sub-
Saharan%20Africa_Subglobal_Report.pdf
13 FAO (2011) The State of Food and Agriculture. Women in Agriculture: Closing the Gender Gap for
Development.
14 AGRA (2013) Africa Agriculture Status Report: Focus on staple crops
agra-alliance.org/download/533977a50dbc7
15 One (2013) The Maputo Commitments and the 2014 African Union Year of Agriculture.

16 Various sources put the 2015 Agriculture Budget at approximately 39.15bn Naira of the approximately 4454bn
Naira total government budget including BudgIT (2015) 2015 Budget: A Review of Proposed 2015 budget, Vol
2, Issue 1; http://www.nants.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/Nigerias-2015-Agric-Budget-proposal-A-Review-
of-its-Efficiency.pdf; and http://www.dailytrust.com.ng/daily/business/49938-2015-budget-0-9-agric-allocation-
worrisome
17 The Maputo Commitments and the 2014 African Union Year of Agriculture
https://s3.amazonaws.com/one.org/images/131008_ONE_Maputo_FINAL.pdf
18 http://www.ifad.org/gender/pub/sourcebook/flyer.pdf; http://www.ifad.org/gender/
19 Oxfam (2012) The Climate Fiscal Cliff
https://www.oxfam.org/sites/www.oxfam.org/files/oxfam-media-advisory-climate-fiscal-cliff-doha-
25nov2012.pdf
20 All US $ amounts quoted in this paper are taken directly from the publication cited, and therefore use the
conversation rate at time of their publication not at the time of this publication.
21 OECD (2015), Climate finance in 2013–14 and the USD 100 billion goal; a report by the Organisation for
Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in collaboration with Climate Policy Initiative (CPI). The
estimated figures are aggregates of provisional estimates of bilateral public climate finance based on Parties’
expected reporting to the UNFCCC; multilateral public climate finance from MDBs and key climate funds that
can be attributed to developed countries; climate-related officially supported export credits (predominately to
renewable energy together with supplementary Party reporting; and a preliminary and partial estimate of
private finance mobilised by bilateral and multilateral channels attributed to developed countries. The report
recognises both progress made on reporting and tracking climate finance across various institutions, as well as
the on-going methodological challenges that remain. These figures therefore are not necessarily directly
comparable to other figures cited in this paper, due to methodological differences in both what is included as
climate finance and how it is calculated by different studies.

28 The graph was generated using the data for public finance from the 2013 OECD project level database
available online at: http://www.oecd.org/dac/stats/climate-change.htm. Private finance for 2013 was generated
using the estimated figures from the recent OECD (2015) report. The OECD total figure for mobilised private
finance in 2013 was $12.7bn, and the text states that 10 percent of private finance went to adaptation, so the
remaining 90 percent of $12.7bn was assigned to mitigation. However, the OECD DAC figures for adaptation
uses the Rio Marker system, and includes bilateral ODA in which climate change is considered either the
‘principal’ objective or a ‘significant’ objective. Oxfam believes that whilst mainstreaming climate change into
aid spending should be the new standard for good development practice, only climate finance labelled as
‘principal’ under OECD-DAC rules should be counted against UNFCCC climate finance commitments,
therefore the figures are artificially inflated by inclusion of spending not principally related to climate change
adaptation.
29 Schaeffer M. et al. Africa’s Adaptation Gap
http://www.unep.org/pdf/AfricaAdapatationGapreport.pdf
30 Ibid.

31 IPCC (2007) Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report, Working Group 2: Impacts, Adaptation and
Vulnerability.
32 Oxfam (2015) The Right to Resilience
https://www.oxfam.org/sites/www.oxfam.org/files/file_attachments/right_to_resilience_-
_adaptation_finance_in_the_post-2020_paris_agreement.pdf
33 Oxfam (2015) The Right to Resilience
https://www.oxfam.org/sites/www.oxfam.org/files/file_attachments/right_to_resilience_-
_adaptation_finance_in_the_post-2020_paris_agreement.pdf Tanzania and Ethiopia national adaptation
spending estimates based on national budget analysis by Bird (2014), as described in Oxfam (2014) ‘Breaking
the Standoff: Post-2020 Climate Finance in the Paris Agreement’, and data on international adaptation finance
received under Fast Start Finance from www.climatefundsupdate.org, as presented in Oxfam (2014) 'Hot and
Hungry: How to stop climate change derailing the fight against hunger’.

34 ODI (2014) Fair Share: Climate Finance to Vulnerable Countries.
35 For Ghana this was calculated as a per year proportion of the US $9.3bn estimation of costs for the period
2014-2020, from ODI (2015) Climate Change Finance in Ghana. For Tanzania, Ethiopia, and Uganda, the
information was taken from ODI (2014) Fair Shares.
36 Figures for Uganda, Ethiopia, and Tanzania are from ODI (2014) Fair Shares and are averages over 2008-
2011 for Ethiopia and Uganda, and 2009-2012 for Tanzania. The 2015 Government of Malawi budget
allocated MK 13bn (approximately US $23.32m ) to climate change management, disaster disk management,
conservation agriculture, small scale livestock, small scale irrigation, and agro-forestry and forestry according
to CEPA (2015) 2015/16 National Budget Analysis with focus on Climate Change, Disaster Risk Management,
Environmental and Natural Resources Management. Ghana figures come from ODI (2015) Climate Change
Finance in Ghana.
37 Adaptation finance figures taken from ODI (2014) Climate Finance: It is making a difference? Annex 1: Global
Ranking of Climate Finance for 2004-2014. Note that the figure here for Malawi is US $22.48m, but a more
recent figure from The Government of the Republic of Malawi (2015) is US $24.8m.
38 From the ODI figures averaging 2008-2011 on budget expenditure.
39 These principles are drawn from Southern Voices Joint Principles for Adaptation 2.0, available at
http://www.southernvoices.net/en/home/sv-on-adaptation/669-joint-principles-for-adaptation.html

40 Nairobi Declaration on Community-Based Adaptation to Climate Change
http://pubs.iied.org/G03919.html
41 ODI (2013) Uganda National Climate change Finance Analysis.
42 http://community.eldis.org/.59d669a8/Bundibugyo%20Flier%20-%20ACCRA.pdf
43 Using exchange rate US $1 = 557.395MWK 11 October 2015
44 Note this is the ODI 2004–2014, noting the most recent figure from The Government of the Republic of Malawi
from 2015 is US $24.8m

This paper was written by Catherine Pettengell. Oxfam acknowledges the
assistance of Derk Byvanck, Saskia Daggett, Ed Pomfret, Tim Gore and Annaka
Peterson in its production. It is part of a series of papers written to inform public
debate on development and humanitarian policy issues.

For further information on the issues raised in this paper please e-mail
advocacy@oxfaminternational.org

This publication is copyright but the text may be used free of charge for the
purposes of advocacy, campaigning, education, and research, provided that the
source is acknowledged in full. The copyright holder requests that all such use
be registered with them for impact assessment purposes. For copying in any
other circumstances, or for re-use in other publications, or for translation or
adaptation, permission must be secured and a fee may be charged. E-mail
policyandpractice@oxfam.org.uk

The information in this publication is correct at the time of going to press.

Published by Oxfam GB for Oxfam International under
ISBN 978-1-78077-965-2 in October 2015.
Oxfam GB, Oxfam House, John Smith Drive, Cowley, Oxford, OX4 2JY, UK.

22

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