MIDWAY MONSTERS: Brian Urlacher (left), Julius Peppers and the Bears have a 63 percent chance of going to the postseason, according to MakeNFLplayoffs.com. The Giants? They’re at 30.5 percent.AP

If the Giants lose tonight to the Cowboys, and all but concede the division title, all Big Blue eyes turn to the NFC wild-card race with the Lions, Falcons and Bears. In that scenario, the Giants, saddled with a 3-6 conference record, would earn a wild-card berth only if they were to sweep their last three games to finish 9-7, and two of the three aforementioned teams were to win only one of their remaining four games.

The NFC wild-card race:

LIONS (7-5)

Minnesota, at Oakland, San Diego, at Green Bay.

The Bad Boys — are Isiah and Laimbeer active? — are hurting on the defensive line and in the wallet. Ndamukong Suh, who is driving comissioner Roger Goodell crazy, and just plain driving crazy, serves out his two-game suspension today, a break for Toby Gerhart and/or Adrian Peterson, who isn’t close to 100 percent (high ankle sprain), but is pushing coach Leslie Frazier to play. The Lions haven’t lost to a team with a losing record.

Vikings rookie quarterback Christian Ponder (hip pointer) may be replaced by Joe Webb. Ugh. But the Lions are decimated on defense: no Suh, and cornerback Chris Houston (knee) and safety Louis Delmas (knee) are likely to miss their second straight games. Rookie defensive tackle Nick Fairley (foot) has been unable to practice. That means Sammie Hill starts in place of Suh, Aaron Berry again starts at right cornerback, Eric Wright moves to Houston’s left cornerback spot and Chris Harris would start for Delmas.

Matthew Stafford likely won’t have running back Kevin Smith (high ankle sprain) available, and defenses now double-team Calvin Johnson off the bus. After scoring 11 touchdowns in the first eight games, Megatron has just one — a meaningless touchdown in the final seconds of the Thanksgiving Day loss to the Packers — in the last four games.

GIANTS FANS ALERT: Carson Palmer could get Darren McFadden (foot) back next week, and the Raiders have extra urgency now that the Denver Tebows have caught them. Philip Rivers has wideout Malcom Floyd back, and Norv Turner ain’t dead yet. Let’s say the Lions are 8-7 when they head to Lambeau.

GIANTS FANS ALERT: Hope the Packers are 15-0 and gung-ho for a perfect season. Nightmare scenario: the 14-1 Packers are not playing for anything, and Mike McCarthy rests Aaron Rodgers for Matt Flynn.

MakeNFLPlayoffs.com gives the Lions a 55 percent chance of making the playoffs.

BEARS (7-5)

At Denver, Seattle, at Green Bay, at Minnesota

Brian Urlacher has slowed a bit, but Lovie’s boys are confident they can bring Tim Tebow back down to earth. And they better, because Caleb Hanie is the quarterback, and Marion Barber and Kahlil Bell are the running backs.

Jay Cutler could return in time to torch the pathetic Vikings secondary, but will it be too late? Offensive coordinator Mike Martz thinks he has been too conservative with Hanie, but let’s see how the kid likes Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil in his face and Champ Bailey blanketing Johnny Knox. Right tackle Lance Louis, who was abused for four sacks last week, will require help against Miller. Craig Steltz replaces Major Wright (shoulder) at strong safety, but at least nickelback D.J. Moore (ankle) returns after missing three games.

The Bears have had success against mobile quarterbacks (Josh Freeman: 50.5 QB rating, zero rushing yards); Michael Vick (60.5 QB rating, 34 rushing yards). They have familiarity with Tarvaris Jackson, although the emerging, young Seattle secondary has picked off eight passes over the past four weeks. But Julius Peppers will eat the patchwork Seattle offensive line alive.

GIANTS FANS ALERT: Hope the Packers are 14-0 when the Bears invade Lambeau.

GIANTS FANS ALERT: The Vikings very well could have something to play for — avoiding the humiliation of becoming the worst team in franchise history (3-13 in 1984).

MakeNFLPlayoffs.com gives the Bears a 63 percent chance of making the playoffs.

FALCONS (7-5)

At Carolina, Jacksonville, at New Orleans, Tampa Bay.

Pro Bowl cornerback Brent Grimes (knee) will again be replaced by Dominique Franks and Christopher Owens, which means Cam Newton will be looking long and hard for Steve Smith. But Michael Turner will try to keep Newton on the sidelines with the Panthers’ starting defensive tackles (rookies Sione Fua and Terrell McClain) placed on IR this week, to be replaced by Andre Neblett and undrafted rookie Frank Kearse. Since 2008, Turner has rushed for 707 yards and 11 touchdowns in seven games against Carolina.

Mike Smith laments his team has not played with focus or smarts. The Falcons have committed 74 penalties, tied for 13th in the league. A year ago they were the NFL’s least-penalized team (58).

MakeNFLPlayoffs.com gives the Falcons a 61 percent chance of making the playoffs. Expect the Falcons to step up and earn one of the wild cards.

MakeNFLPlayoffs.com gives the Cowboys a 72 percent chance to make the playoffs.

MakeNFLPlayoffs.com gives the Giants a 30.5 percent chance to make the playoffs.