Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.

Race

Date

Team Rating

CHRISTIANA RUTKOWSKI

OLIVIA HERNANDEZ

Emily Johnson

KILEY BRITTEN

Emily Hernandez

AMANDA FERRARA

KASSANDRA YOCCO

SAMANTHA DYER

Cristina Fernandez

BAILEY SEACH

Isbella Whelan

Stony Brook Wolfie Invitational

09/09

1240

21:07

22:13

22:17

22:30

22:59

22:43

23:19

25:06

NYIT Invitational

09/16

1254

22:23

22:10

22:40

23:18

23:26

23:01

23:28

23:49

25:32

UMES Cappy Anderson Invite

09/23

1256

21:17

22:23

24:18

22:39

22:33

22:43

23:15

23:02

23:40

25:05

UD Blue & Gold Classic

10/07

1234

21:02

21:59

21:38

23:05

22:25

23:37

23:21

24:12

NYC Metropolitan Championship

10/13

1280

21:19

22:24

22:31

23:29

22:43

23:45

24:10

23:50

28:10

26:35

Big East Championship

10/28

1280

21:06

22:58

22:33

22:45

23:19

23:25

24:01

23:22

23:44

26:07

Mid-Atlantic Region Championships

11/10

1297

21:35

22:45

22:33

23:05

23:06

23:27

23:11

NCAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

Advances to Round

Ave Finish

Ave Score

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

NCAA Championship

0.0%

Region Championship

100%

23.5

708

0.4

1.9

6.7

15.2

20.5

27.7

25.0

2.4

0.2

NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results

Regional

Ave Finish

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

CHRISTIANA RUTKOWSKI

62.9

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

OLIVIA HERNANDEZ

151.1

Emily Johnson

154.2

KILEY BRITTEN

168.7

Emily Hernandez

175.3

AMANDA FERRARA

184.9

KASSANDRA YOCCO

190.0

NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total

Region Finish

Chance of Finishing

Chance of Advancing

Auto

At Large Selection

No Adv

Auto

At Large

Region Finish

1

2

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

4

5

5

6

6

7

7

8

8

9

9

10

10

11

11

12

12

13

13

14

14

15

15

16

16

17

17

18

18

19

0.4%

0.4

19

20

1.9%

1.9

20

21

6.7%

6.7

21

22

15.2%

15.2

22

23

20.5%

20.5

23

24

27.7%

27.7

24

25

25.0%

25.0

25

26

2.4%

2.4

26

27

0.2%

0.2

27

28

28

29

29

30

30

31

31

32

32

33

33

34

34

35

35

36

36

37

37

38

38

Total

100%

0.0%

100.0

0.0

0.0

Points

At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.