Isnt that the whole thing of a stash, you see what’s in it and every draw is a grab at an item inside.

Im still trying to figure out what it would look like if you did a large number of draws because once you depleted the 9 x Elite Item Tokens or 9 x 4* weapons, you could still be drawing them and NOT the 3YT?

Itd be like lining up to pick teams, being last picked, and still more people are being picked in front of you.
smh

The posted odds won’t make sense once you start pulling, because they aren’t adjusted for pulls done. But that’s different from what you’re originally talking.

What you’re talking about is the quantity of items, having equal odds, not matching the supposed odds.

You’re thinking 21/60 items means that 35% chance to get a Y3 token, or simply, each item, regardless of what it is, has a 1/60 chance, or 1.66667%.

What’s actually happening is 0.7% chance for each individual Y3 token. (1/21 * 15%). Also, that’s not factoring in the fact that the 100 Y3 token pull is likely going to have lower odds than the 5 Y3 token pull.

So in reality, this is what the odds are for getting each item individually.

The odds above are simplified and does not account for the varying amounts of tokens that can get gained in pulls. So, for example, for simplicity sake, I’m assuming 100 Y3 token pull and 5 Y3 token pull share the same weight, within that 15% chance. Same applies to the other 3 token types.

Also notice how to 100 3 year token’s odds are baked into the other 5 3 year tokens’. So, of the 15% it could be even odds for the 100 or it could be minuscule. We have no way of knowing. Just more smoke and mirrors.