000
FXUS63 KSGF 310819
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
319 AM CDT Fri Jul 31 2015
...Humidity Will Slowly Return This Weekend...An Unsettled Weather
Pattern May Return Middle of Next Week...
.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 253 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015
All is relatively quiet across the Missouri Ozarks and southeast
Kansas this morning. The center of a weak surface high pressure
was currently just east of Springfield this morning. Surface
dewpoints were in the lower 60s across most areas with the
exception of the far southwest corner of the state where a weak
surface boundary currently resides. The overall trend for today
will be another relatively comfortable day with highs near 90 and
low humidity.
.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 253 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015
The humidity and surface dewpoints begin to slowly return
starting tomorrow with light southwesterly winds. Temperatures
will stay around average through this weekend but the overall
mugginess will increase once again...especially by the end of the
weekend. The main storm track will continue to stay just north of
the area through the weekend.
The upper level ridge will stay out across the desert southwest
and western Texas through early and middle of next week. This will
put the Missouri Ozarks region in a pseudo northwest flow in the
mid and upper levels. Medium range models continue to indicate
somewhat of an unsettled weather pattern possibly returning to the
area starting Tuesday night and Wednesday lasting through the end
of next week with a weak frontal boundary near or across the area.
The first of a series of mid and upper level impulses will begin
to impact the area late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
Forecast model indicate that PW values will approach 2 inches by
the middle and end of next week. This means there will be plenty
of moisture for convection to work with. Will not get too precise
on timing with the rain chances yet...but will mention scattered
thunderstorms in the forecast Tuesday night through at least
Thursday and slightly cooler temperatures with highs middle to upper
80s.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1210 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015
VFR conditions will persist through Friday evening with mostly
clear skies. Winds will remain light and variable.
&&
.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Schaumann