Poll: Clinton Set to Win in Georgia

A poll taken in early April by the Democratic consulting firm Lake Research Partners shows Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump in Georgia, 50% to 37%. Clinton is slightly less strong against Ted Cruz, but still leads 47% to 40%. The poll of 400 likely voters was conducted with live interviewers, and has a margin of error of 4.9%. It also found that Georgians were split on Clinton’s favorability, with 49% viewing her favorably and 48% viewing her unfavorably. They were much more negative about Donald Trump. 64% viewed him unfavorably, more than twice the percentage with a positive favorability of 31%. 50% of those polled had an unfavorable view of Ted Cruz, while 36% looked at him positively.

In addition to polling the standard horse race questions on the candidates, pollsters also looked at the issues important to Peach State voters. From the polling memo:

Georgia voters are also highly supportive of a progressive economic issue agenda for the next president. More than seven-in-ten voters (72% rate ‘10’ on a scale from 0-10) believe protecting Social Security and Medicare benefits is extremely important for the next president. This crosses all party lines and is an extremely important priority for Democrats (78%), independents (69%), and Republicans (68%). Georgia voters also want the next president to focus on tough enforcement of equal pay for women (53% rate ‘10’) and closing corporate tax loopholes and making the wealthy, big corporations pay their fair share (48% rate ‘10’).

The pollsters say that a majority of Georgians would vote for a candidate who supports the progressive agenda listed above, including 61% of Republicans.

THe polling memo provided no information on the demographic breakdown of those polled, so it’s impossible to tell what the assumed November turnout would be. And, one would assume that once the Republicans settle on a candidate, that candidate would be able to consolidate support following a fractured primary season. Still, if these poll results are anywhere near accurate, Georgia is well on the way to turning purple, if not blue.

Share this:

Related

About Author

Jon Richards

Neither Trump nor Cruz threaten social security or Medicare, that clock can’t be rewound. Trump said on SS a deal is a deal to be kept and is looking for funds elsewhere and cutting fraud. He doesn’t even propose slowly raising the retirement age as Cruz.

Trump is looking to improve the efficiencies in Medicare like bidding out drugs and reducing fraud. Same for Cruz.

Computer programs are a disaster. Even Microsoft stopped supporting the IRS magnetic tapes years ago. Systems are a honeypot mother load for fraud.

On taxes what Democrats don’t like is the GOP candidates will try to close loopholes by attempting to get a lot more folks with skin in the game at lower rates. A good thing. Loopholes come about with poorly “negotiated” tax changes and very expensive lobbyists on both sides.

Closing loopholes without reducing the overall rate will have very bad consequences for the economy.

The problem with Social Security is that benefits needs to be squeezed at little (chained CPI), and taxes increased a little, and neither can happen in the current environment. Disability is an element of the program increasingly out of control.

“[C]losing corporate tax loopholes and making the wealthy, big corporations pay their fair share” is in order, but that won’t be the deficit spending panacea many seem to think.

They might not realize it but the perfect America for many is the corporations to be foreign owned by billionaires and the managers and workers here in their own tax and welfare mess. No candidate is championing that goal better the Hillary Clin Ton.

Good news the billionaires will hedge by buying property here and local App geniuses will have their multi billion Roth or Apple Bucks overseas.

I wouldn’t put money on it but I wouldn’t be surprised if he didn’t break 100. Georgia going blue would make 175 dang near impossible. And if Georgia goes blue, that would indicate several others are likely to go too.

“Waste. fraud and abuse.” The typical answers when it comes to entitlements. Nothing bold like allowing younger workers to pay a lower SS tax in exchange for lower benefits, or investing some in private accounts. Instead, we’ll redouble our efforts to be sure the 111-year-old receiving Social Security are actually—111 years old.

As for Clinton winning Georgia, she’d probably have to sweep metro Atlanta—and I mean the 29-county metro Atlanta area, not the 10-county ARC region. I can’t see rural Georgia voting for her. Obama only barely broke even in metro Atlanta last time but lost badly in the rest of the state. Rural and smaller city Georgia still packs a punch…just ask Roy Barnes.