Our newest poll finds Martin Heinrich leading Heather Wilson 48-43 and Hector Balderas with a 44-43 advantage. Both match ups have seen only a small change from when PPP polled the state in December. At that time Heinrich led Wilson 47-40 and Balderas and Wilson were knotted at 43%.

PPP found Republican Heather Wilson remaining competitive even though her showing with independent voters isn't as dramatic as independent voter support for Republican Governor Susana Martinez in 2010.

[Wilson's] favorability with them [independent voters] is 36/45, worse than her overall spread of 40/45, and she basically ties both Democrats with them. She's up 37-34 on Balderas, but down 40-37 to Heinrich. For a Republican to win New Mexico pretty much requires not just winning independents, but winning them by a healthy margin.