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In the past 25 years, only two second year players have ever won MIP, Gilbert Arenas and Monta Ellis. And this was largely because both were second round picks with zero expectations. With this in mind, I wouldn't count on any second year players, especially lottery picks, to win MIP. I could see someone like Jamal Murray or Lauri Markkanen getting it this upcoming season.

If you look at general overarching trends of MIP recipients, the most common threads are:

The player is in either his third or fourth year

They had a positive impact their previous season, aka they don't jump to being great after being terrible previously

The player has a pretty solid jump in USG. Basically, kinda like ROY, MIP can somewhat be defined as a PPG driven award. Generally the player winning the award has a significant uptick in PPG.

With these three qualifiers in mind, I would look for a player that is going to have more touches than they had in previous years, is in their third or fourth season, and had a positive impact on the court this past season. As fun as it would be for Dennis Smith Jr. to win it, I can't see him doing that strong of a 180 after being pretty bad this past season.

If you look at general overarching trends of MIP recipients, the most common threads are:

The player is in either his third or fourth year

They had a positive impact their previous season, aka they don't jump to being great after being terrible previously

The player has a pretty solid jump in USG. Basically, kinda like ROY, MIP can somewhat be defined as a PPG driven award. Generally the player winning the award has a significant uptick in PPG.

With these three qualifiers in mind, I would look for a player that is going to have more touches than they had in previous years, is in their third or fourth season, and had a positive impact on the court this past season. As fun as it would be for Dennis Smith Jr. to win it, I can't see him doing that strong of a 180 after being pretty bad this past season.

Bla bla bla you and your own stats, post some link or source, at least do the job properly.