Anybody's Guess

Back when it was brand new, Ethereum underwent a similar split. Now there are two forms of it. There’s Ethereum Classic (ETC) — trading around $14.19 as I type — and Ethereum (ETH) — trading around $218.99.

It’s clear at this point that Ethereum (the newer of the versions) became the favorite of investors as far as the price is concerned.

But when the split took place, it was anybody’s guess as to which would be adopted by digital currency enthusiasts. And it took a solid year before ETH really outpaced ETC in terms of profit growth.

And that’s the issue with a potential split of Bitcoin. Nobody knows which version would take off. Not a big problem for those who already own the currency — they’ll get one of the new version for every one they own of the current version.

It’ll go down just like a stock split, or maybe more like a spinoff, but of half of a company’s resources. They’ll basically go to bed with 100 Bitcoins and wake up with 100 Bitcoins and 100 of the new version.

But anybody trying to buy after the split is going to have to guess which version of the new currency is going to be the one to continue to rise. And that’s not going to be fun.

Imagine if Apple split its company. On the outside, everything about the two companies was the same. But only one of those two companies was going to be profitable for investors.

How do you know which to buy? Do you just go long on both and hope your gains erase your losses? Or do you invest your money in a different company — one you don’t have to guess about?

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Splittsville — Population: Bitcoin

Although Bitcoin temporarily avoided a split last week, it looks like one is coming anyway. And it’s happening as I type.

By the time this article hits your inbox, there’ll be two versions of Bitcoin. The new one will be called Bitcoin Cash. The old one, Bitcoin.

So, which one should you buy? My answer: neither.

You see, yesterday’s split isn’t the only one you’ve got to worry about...

Later this year, the entire Bitcoin community — everyone involved with the currency, from investors to businesses accepting it as payment — must agree on a solution to their debate. And if they don’t, a hard fork will happen.

When that hard fork does happen — as it likely will — there will be three versions of Bitcoin to choose from. And you’ll have to guess again which will be the victor.

Now, I’m not trashing Bitcoin here. It’s the grandfather of digital currency. It’s the oldest and most successful. And it’s shown us that digital currencies can and will be adopted on a global scale.

But just like the first of many new technologies, it’s going to be replaced. It’s got flaws — apparent in the debate about splitting it going on now — and those flaws will be fixed in future generations of digital currency. So, we can thank Bitcoin for that, too.

But just like America Online and Metacrawler, it’s just paving the way for the next generation. And eventually it's going to be obsolete.

Episode Currency IV: A New Hope

But there’s still hope for investors...

First, you can still speculate on Bitcoin. If you’ve got a couple thousand dollars you don’t care if you lose, throw some at both. Or just pick one and bet on it.

She’s also committed to supplying novice digital currency investors with information on trends and market fluctuations. She’s not keeping all the info to herself. Like the rest of us at Wealth Daily, she wants to see you profit from these kinds of investments. And she wants to give you the information you need to become an expert investor, too.

I’ve been reading and writing about and debating these things since Bitcoin cost less than a dollar back when I was at Morgan Stanley. And her explanation of all things digital currency still blew my mind wide open.

You all know me. I’m a traditional investor. I like value investing. I look at a company’s fundamentals and dig into its charts. I hold on for the long run. And she’s even got me convinced I need to get in on this opportunity.

That’s why I’m sharing it with you. After seeing it for myself, I’m adamant that every one of my readers gets the opportunity to view it as well. It’s packed with information that could literally change your life.

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