Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Total

Last week 11/7/17

2 weeks ago 4/7/17

4 weeks ago 20/6/17

Election 2 Jul 16

Liberal

33%

33%

35%

35%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

36%

36%

38%

38%

42.0%

Labor

38%

36%

36%

35%

34.7%

Greens

10%

11%

11%

9%

10.2%

Nick Xenophon Team

3%

3%

3%

3%

Pauline Hanson’s One Nation

7%

7%

7%

9%

Other/Independent

6%

6%

5%

5%

13.1%

2 party preferred

Liberal National

46%

46%

47%

48%

50.4%

Labor

54%

54%

53%

52%

49.6%

NB. Sample = 1,830. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Total

Last week 2/5/17

2 weeks ago 25/4/17

4 weeks ago 11/4/17

Election 2 Jul 16

Liberal

35%

35%

34%

35%

National

2%

2%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

37%

38%

37%

37%

42.0%

Labor

38%

37%

36%

36%

34.7%

Greens

10%

9%

10%

10%

10.2%

Nick Xenophon Team

3%

3%

3%

3%

Pauline Hanson’s One Nation

6%

7%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6%

6%

6%

6%

13.1%

2 party preferred

Liberal National

46%

47%

47%

47%

50.4%

Labor

54%

53%

53%

53%

49.6%

Sample = 1,795. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Total

Last week

17/5/16

2 weeks ago

10/5/16

4 weeks ago

26/4/16

Election 7 Sep 13

Liberal

38%

39%

38%

36%

National

3%

3%

4%

4%

Total Liberal/National

41%

42%

42%

40%

45.6%

Labor

37%

38%

38%

39%

33.4%

Greens

9%

9%

10%

10%

8.6%

Nick Xenophon Team

3%

3%

na

na

–

Palmer United Party

na

na

1%

1%

5.5%

Other/Independent

9%

8%

9%

11%

6.9%

2 party preferred

Liberal National

49%

49%

49%

48%

53.5%

Labor

51%

51%

51%

52%

46.5%

NB. Sample = 1,794. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Total

Last week

5/4/16

2 weeks ago

29/3/16

4 weeks ago

15/3/16

Election 7 Sep 13

Liberal

39%

39%

39%

39%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

42%

42%

43%

42%

45.6%

Labor

35%

37%

38%

36%

33.4%

Greens

11%

10%

9%

11%

8.6%

Palmer United Party

1%

1%

1%

1%

5.5%

Other/Independent

10%

10%

10%

9%

6.9%

2 party preferred

Liberal National

50%

50%

50%

50%

53.5%

Labor

50%

50%

50%

50%

46.5%

NB. Sample = 1,792. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q: If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

(sample size = 1,774 respondents)

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago

8/09/15

2 weeks ago 22/09/15

Last week

29/9/15

This week 6/10/15

Liberal

36%

37%

40%

41%

National

4%

4%

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

41%

44%

44%

Labor

33.4%

38%

37%

35%

35%

Greens

8.6%

11%

11%

11%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

2%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

9%

9%

9%

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago

8/09/15

2 weeks ago 22/09/15

Last week

29/9/15

This week 6/10/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

49%

52%

52%

Labor

46.5%

52%

51%

48%

48%

NB. Except The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,781 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 9/6/15

2 weeks ago 23/6/15

Last week 30/6/15

This week 7/7/15

Liberal

38%

38%

38%

38%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

41%

41%

41%

Labor

33.4%

40%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

11%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

8%

9%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 9/6/15

2 weeks ago 23/6/15

Last week 30/6/15

This week 7/7/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,796 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 19/5/15

2 weeks ago 2/6/15

Last week 9/6/15

This week 16/6/15

Liberal

38%

38%

38%

39%

National

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

41%

41%

42%

Labor

33.4%

39%

40%

40%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

8%

9%

8%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 19/5/15

2 weeks ago 2/6/15

Last week 9/6/15

This week 16/6/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.