Article Archive For
Robert Wayman

Detecting the Minimum Tradable Cycle by Robert Wayman

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...TRADING TECHNIQUES Detecting The Minimum Tradable Cycle by Robert Wayman
Cycle theorists will tell you that there may be tradable cycles within market data. Before looking for those cycles, though, you must determine the noise level
within the data. Here are some methods to do so in this, the first of two parts.
The simple moving average (SMA) is the most basic of what can be done to a pricing datastream, whether for
stocks, futures, options or other financial instruments. The simple moving average is easy to calculate and allows us to quickly interpret what prices are doing. If prices a...

Whipsaws, Linear Trends and Simple Moving Averages by Robert Wayman

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...TRADING TECHNIQUES Whipsaws, Linear Trends
And Simple Moving Averages by Robert Wayman
How does whipsaw magnitude affect a simple moving average system? Here's a common solution for the problems of the SMA.
Previously, we looked at cycles and found that there was a noise level-based spectral cutoff point, above which were tradable cycles. We also found that selecting a cycle to trade established the averaging period we need to use in any simple moving average (SMA) crossover trading system. This time, let's look at whipsaws and how whipsaw magnitude actually affects the profitability of ...