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Saturday, June 1, 2013

Recruiting System

Below is my list for how I anticipate my own personal ranking of a recruit. The list goes from 1 to 10, with 10 being the highest. The basic approximation for recruits should look somewhat like a bell curve. So please, don't get frustrated when I say a kid is a 5, that doesn't mean he's failing, he isn't getting a 50%, he's just an average recruit. This ranking is based on how a recruit will play out their eligibility at a BCS-level school.

Ranking

Definition

10

Best in class/best at his position in ~4 years

9

First Team All-American

8

First Team All-Conference in Media and Coaches (Second or HM AA)

7

Second Team All-Conference Media Or Coaches

6

Honorable Mention All-Conference/Above Average
Conference Starter

5

Average Conference Starter

4

Below Average Conference Starter/ Early of Bench

3

Depth Player

2

Non-BCS Depth Player

1

Walk On

If you're looking to figure out how this compares to the standard star system, I would expect something like this:

5 star: 8.5-10

4 star: 6.5-8.5

3 star: 4.5-6.5

2 star: 3-4.5

UR: 1-3

10s, as you may expect, will be exceptionally rare. Actually predicting a recruit to be a 10 would be difficult to do, though having a ceiling of a 10 isn't as difficult. Honestly, the only player in the last decade that I could foresee actually garnering a 10 prediction would be Adrian Peterson, and even his floor would have been around a 7.

It's not a perfect breakdown, because I doubt many teams will be recruiting kids that I expect to be a 2, let's say, compared to recruits I expect to be a 9. But it at least breaks it down in a way that I feel gives a bit more separation and a little better appreciation for how good a recruit really is.