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mart.j

posted : 06/12/11 08:23 pm

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Lara

posted : 23/09/12 01:48 pm

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Agricultural Commodity Markets Inflationary Peak Forecast 2013

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Hi vador

Lara

posted : 23/09/12 01:48 pm

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Hi vador

Lara

posted : 23/09/12 01:52 pm

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013 is forecast to be the solar maximum, and if history repeats, we should see an inflationary peak close to the solar peak. As the chart shows, peaks in inflation correspond to solar maximums and troughs in inflation to solar minimums, historically. The biggest peaks in inflation corresponded to secular commodities peaks, as we might expect due to commodity prices fuelling inflation. These secular commodities peaks all occurred close to the solar maximums, with one luni-solar cycle between each, which is around 33 years. These ultimate peaks in inflation / commodity prices were preceded by a shadow peak 5 years prior.

The last secular commodities peak was 1980. One luni-solar cycle later is 2013. The solar maximum for solar cycle 24 is forecast for 2013, 5 years later than 2008, when we experienced a (shadow) inflation/commodities peak. Drawing together secular, solar and inflation history, I can therefore forecast a secular commodities peak and an inflation peak in 2013. Regular readers know this is a forecast that I have held for some time, and as we close in on the end of 2012, we see increasingly supportive evidence for its fulfillment, as documented above: forthcoming food price inflation from current soft commodity price rises; social conflict from food price inflation; central bank policies of reflation and paper/hard asset revaluations.

This table shows how close the inflation peaks were in relation to the official solar peaks: between 2 months before and 4 months aft Hi vador

Luck i m your father

posted : 25/10/12 05:33 pm

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Chart above is of the stock price trends of the top tier Agri-Equities. These companies are generally larger, multinational companies or firms dominant in their industry. That price index of Tier One Agri-Equities closed out September at a new high, albeit not a major one. Over the same time as that chart shows the equity market has been generally stagnant.

For most of modern times economists and strategists have always warned that Agri-Commodity prices go up and down. That statement is

Tier One Agri-Equities

true, but ignores an important new factor. Agri-Commodity prices now have a secular uptrend about which they move. That underlying, positive trend is due to the rising population of middle class consumers in Asia and Pacific that now earn sufficient incomes to eat as they please. Those with the money dictate the prices. Western consumers, with incomes crushed by Keynesian nonsense, will get what is left, if they can afford it.

Investors can continue to read redundant drivel on the next over priced technology product or such nonsense as Facebook. Or, they can research Agri-Equities which may allow them to continue to afford food in the future. No shortage of tablets is to occur, but a shortage of palm oil seems inevitable. Which companies produce that all important vegetable oil?

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mart.j

posted : 10/08/15 09:11 pm

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Agricultural Commodities Prices Prepare To Launch Higher Again

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