A.J. Schugel, A Light In the Wilderness: Top Prospect Performances of 2012

Halos Heaven | Jan 29

Keep in mind that this is not a traditional top prospect list because it focuses entirely on 2012 contributions. I rank guys according to advanced metrics which, for position players, include batting runs above average, positional adjustment, defense, and a replacement level calculation that scales the total to "Wins Above Replacement" (though the concept of replacement level doesn't really apply to minor leaguers). I use a standard "runs allowed based" WAR formula for pitchers.

Consensus has it that, after Kaleb Cowart and Nick Maronde, the Halos' system is a barren wasteland. Following those top guys is a mish-mash of flawed position prospects and talented-but-underperforming rookie and A-Ball arms. The main criticism is that there isn't another decent starting pitching prospect anywhere above... Well, anywhere, since even the best of those lower-level arms project as relievers.

All of that isn't exactly true, because A.J. Schugel is better than most folks realize. He's no budding superstar, but he is a solid B- prospect who will contribute at the major league level within the next year or two. You can take that to the bank.