No other team has a more than 1% chance of winning. The U.S. has
a 0.4% chance of winning the whole thing and a 36% chance of
getting out of Group G.

Brazil is a favorite for some obvious reasons. They're in
an
incredibly easy group with Mexico, Croatia, and Cameroon
(Silver gives them a 95.2% chance of advancing to the knockout
rounds). They're also playing at home, where they haven't lost in
more than a decade.

Even if they were in a tough group and were playing outside South
America, they'd be one of the favorites because of the
overwhelming strength of the team. Contrary to the team's
reputation in past World Cups, Brazil probably has the best
defense in the tournament. They also have a bunch of creative
midfielder players and a world-class playmaker in Neymar.