Home of the Handicapper's Champion

Oak Tree at Hollywood for Saturday 16 Oct 20106

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Recommended Play:
3rd race: 1-3-4 perfecta and trifecta boxes

Race 1 - Average Clarity2 - McCovey Cove - ran 2 credible races against open company, albeit at the fairs..moves to Cal breds off 2 good works4 - Shane Daniel - obvious chalk has early seconditis, making him a suspect play at odds-on6 - Woodmans Luck - looks like he will relish the extra 1/2 panel..needs one of the firsters to add to the pace scenario

Race 3 - Above Average Clarity3 - Late Cuddle - last was not as big a bounce as it looks..training well since..should get a good rail trip4 - Dreamed to Dream - nice move forward in last..solid interim works and 3rd race in cycle say more improvement is there1 - Catsalot - deep closer needs a legitimate pace to run at..if she gets it, look out

Race 4 - Average Clarity1 - Stormy Linda - already broke her maiden but win was revoked..drops to lowest level to get it back7 - Warren's Rose - tested the MSW turf waters and found them too deep..returns to a more suitable trip with Raffy aboard4 - Kahlua Mist - best tries have come fresh, including a better-than-it-looked effort at this trip..value play3 - Warrens Move Maker - regressed in 2nd out, but it was only a week after debut..time off and P.Val should lead to improvement

Race 5 - Slightly Below Average Clarity1 - El Merito - both U.S. Efforts very strong..working steadily for return off long layoff..gets nod in very competitive race6 - Winsome Charm - last a dirt workout for today's turf go..it looks like Talamo had choices and ends up here5 - Muny - has numerous powerful Top Turf figs but the pace scenario does not look promising..Mitchell phenomenal with layoffs

Race 6 - Average Clarity7 - Switzers Da Man - strong debut run..good works since for solid 2nd out trainer..big chalk4 - Arousal - expensive yearling has been working well for debut..poor firster trainer stats..interesting that P.Val lands here2 - Bryan Daniel - another firster working well, including several works beyond today's distance..Hollendorfer obviously a plus6 - Eric the Ram - very fast recent works at the end of a long series..small barn and low % jock should mean big price

Race 7 - Average Clarity2 - Stunning Ally - looks ready to roll off 10.5 month hiatus..Canani off to a great start and has done well with layoffs5 - U Turn Me Crazy - Miller has really raised this one's game since claiming her 3 back..blinks on will help stalking trip3 - Light of a Star - win machine will try what she does best, wire-to-wire

Race 8 - Slightly Above Average Clarity6 - Blue Panis - French invader appears to be the speed in a rather paceless affair..totes lowest weight ever..Talamo strong on the engine8 - Make Music for Me - off since Triple Crown but working extremely well..lone turf fig fits in here3 - Kid Edward - showed improved pace in last but tired and was beaten by others in here..strong interim works say tables will be turned7 - Royal FJ - still eligible for nw2 but has hit the board 11 for 11 on the lawn..figs fit

Race 9 - Below Average Clarity7 - Kenter Canyon - won nicely at first asking, then had a troubled trip 2nd out..O'Neill claim should get a good stalking trip5 - Three Pointer - given time off since solid maiden score..big work last week says ready to go again8 - Single Shot - another given time to recover after a strong maiden win..done nothing wrong in all 5 starts12 - Warrens Bigthunder - surprise winner in February had a very troubled trip in last..clean trip might get him there at a price2 - Swingin Jim - appeared to have things figured out 2 back..rank in last..huge interim work