Operation “Storm Shadow”: Iran vs USA and England

By Sebastian Sarbu.

PENTAGON SCENARIO: THE PENTAGON IS PREPARING OPERATION “STORM SHADOW” AIMING AT A SUDDEN WAR IN IRAN, CARRIED OUT BY THE UNITED STATES AND GREAT BRITAIN

The Pentagon has already prepared the operational strategic plans to attack Iranian nuclear facilities in case of international diplomacy failure.

As such, initiating Operation “Storm Shadow”, named after the British missile, is envisioned, aiming at a sudden war in Iran, a sort of raid together with Great Britain.

It is possible that France and Italy take part in this military operation as well.

Moreover, an intensification of American military presence in the Persian Gulf area has been planned for the near future.

PENTAGON SCENARIO: THE WAR WITH IRAN MAY BEGIN ANY TIME NOW AS A RESULT OF 2 AMERICAN MARINES BEING WOUNDED IN A NAVAL CONFRONTATION

The USA will at first increase their military presence in the region.

This will lead to escalating provocations on both sides.

The decision will then be up to President Donald Trump.

TRUMP WILL POSTPONE THE PENTAGON’S DECISION TO ATTACK IRAN FOLLOWING OPPOSITION FROM RUSSIA, CHINA, AND NORTH KOREA, BUT THE WAR WILL BE LAUNCHED NONETHELESS

Once Donald Trump is notified of the 2 American marines having been wounded by the Iranian side, he will make some vague statements. It is all part of the script. He will postpone the decision in order to see what international support he has and because of the opposition from North Korea, a country which has also been targeted in a nuclear affair.

Attempt from China at international conflict mediation will result in an increasingly complicated situation.

Trump will postpone his decision to intervene militarily in Iran, thereby creating an international crisis as well as internal controversy, as the American President should risk impeachment. He will nonetheless finally decide to launch Operation “Storm Shadow”, following talks with British Prime Minister Theresa May. He will be able to count on the support of other allies as well.

REMOVING IAEA’S CHIEF FOR IRAN WILL SEAL THE FATE OF THE WAR

The removal of the vice-president of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), responsible for the Iranian nuclear file, was set up by European secret services in agreement with the American ones to allow France, Italy, and maybe even Germany, to intervene militarily against Iran.

It is evident that the new IAEA’s chief for Iran will confirm Israeli and US intelligence proofs for Iranian nuclear weapons, and the great European powers will decide accordingly.

As such, France will intervene militarily later, alongside the United States, while being assured that it will be a fast rather than a long term war.

It is interesting to note that not for no reason the chosen name for the operation will be “Storm Shadow”, the same as the name of the military missiles produced in Great Britain, France, Italy.

It is thus intended to co-opt these countries in the military intervention against Iran for a longer period.

The attack on Iran will be carried out nonetheless in several stages, the first of which will be a US-Great Britain operation only, signaling Israel that it is defended.

THE LIBYAN SCENARIO WILL REPEAT ITSELF IN THE CASE OF IRAN

The UN Security Council will assemble sooner or later. Russia will vote against an intervention in Iran in the second stage of the conflict while being guaranteed an ease on Assad and no economic sanctions against Russia.

Just as was the case with Libya in 2010. The Libyan scenario will repeat itself, with the same lead actors.

Moreover, in the case of an air intervention by the Coalition lead by the USA, a ground intervention could be carried out by Saudi Arabia. In this case, we may have an internationalization of the conflict, its course being decided by the political situation in Turkey.

This scenario is secret. It will not be made available to the public. It is one of the possible scenarios; it does not mean that it will be followed through in every detail.

Sebastian Sarbu

CNR-UNESCO. Researcher, military analist and Vicepresident of National Academy of Security and Defense Planning, member of Transatlantic Press Club