Friday, July 17, 2009

Coming next week

On Monday we're going to have our monthly national poll looking forward to 2012. Obama's actually steady with independents from last month but continuing to lose the little crossover approval he had to begin with. But do Republicans need a new face from the well known quartet most discussed as possible nominees if they're going to be able to knock him off?

Tuesday and Wednesday we'll have the Louisiana poll. Bobby Jindal is a popular dude. Barack Obama is not. There are mixed messages on David Vitter.

None of that seems shocking, and to the commenters who say that Obama is a failure (and Hillary should have been the nominee), I'd just like to point out that Reagan's approval dipped below 50% in his first term, but he came back to win every state but Minnesota. That doesn't mean Obama's gonna win like that (he won't), but it does mean that literally seven months into his term, with an approval rating in the mid-50s to low 60s, you can't say he's dead yet.IMHO, these 2012 are mainly about the GOP candidates, to see which one does better in a matchup. I'm thinking Romney will be the most solid nationally, with Huck a close second, Palin far behind and with more negatives, and Pawlenty and Barbour with low numbers, but also low name recognition, meaning that even if they're polling badly, it could easily change once they become more well-known.