Well, it’s probably safe to say after the Bears last two home games, we very well may be talking about the worst 4-3 team in the history of the NFL. That said, the only stats that matter in the NFL are wins and losses and if the Bears win this week, they will move to 5-3 at the halfway point, on pace for a 10-6 finish and a playoff berth. Looking at the Bears second half schedule, a 10-6 final record seems about as likely as Jay Cutler not throwing another interception for the rest of the year. Not to mention the fact that the Bills are coming off back to back OT road losses in games they should have won. Considering the Bills were one play away from winning at Baltimore and a missed FG away from winning at KC (two first place teams), it’s surprising that the Bears are favored by 3 points in this neutral site affair taking place in Toronto.

You can’t say enough about how good the Bears defense has been this year. It’s the third best defense in the NFL in terms of points allowed, (the only stat that matters) trailing only the Steelers and the Jets. What makes this even more impressive is the fact that they are constantly on the field as a result of their 27th ranked offense. The Bills counter with a significantly improved passing offense due to the emergence of quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick. In 5 starts this season, Fitzpatrick has thrown 12 touchdown passes while averaging 240 yards per game and a 91.0 QB rating. It would not be surprising to see Fitzpatrick have his way with a Bears D that has struggled to get pressure on the quarterback all season. Despite their overall defensive success, the Bears rank 25th in the NFL in sacks. It’s hard for any Bears fan to get too excited about this game considering their downward spiral, my prediction, Bills 20 Bears 17.