Madrid Masters Free Picks – Berdych and Djokovic on semi-final course

Madrid, Spain – Arguably, the clash between Djokovic and Ferrer in the Madrid Masters quarters will be the highlight on the day’s tennis-betting card because Djokovic remains undefeated this season, and Ferrer is on hot form and has home advantage going his way as he attempts to accomplish what his peers (Nadal and Federer, namely ) have failed to do: beat Djokovic.

Meanwhile, Tomas Berdych is a win away from the Madrid Masters semis where he could face either Novak Djokovic, only the hottest player on the tour, or David Ferrer, the home favourite.

Hard to say which option would be better? But that is looking to far ahead.

Berdych’s more immediate challenge is Brazilian rising-star, Thomaz Bellucci, who is just after recording the biggest win of his career after beating Andy Murray in the R16 – a result that was an upset in terms of ranking but hardly shocking in the context of surface advantage.

Tennis Betting Verdict: The clash between Berdych and Bellucci is poised to be an interesting encounter now that Bellucci finally has a top ten scalp to his name. Nevertheless, it is a match that Berdych should win seeing that he’s the top-ten player and outright favourite.

They’ve met previously and both times Berdych won but neither win came on clay. Berdych beat Bellucci in Brisbane last year, with some effort required 7-6(4), 2-6, 7-6(3). And he beat him earlier this year at Indian Wells, a touch easily 6-3, 6-2.

This is the first-ever clash on clay, a surface that suits Bellucci more than it does Berdych –albeit Berdych is an all-court player. Clay is where Bellucci plies his trade, the surface that yields his best results. He beat Murray, so that should send him into this clash with optimism. Nevertheless, beating Berdych will take something extra special from him. I am not saying he can’t do it.

Anything is possible. However, let us not pretend that this match is on any other racquet but Berdych’s. It is his match to lose.

Tennis Betting Verdict: This will be the first meeting between David Ferrer and Novak Djokovic this season when they clash for a spot in the Madrid semis. Both players come into this match on some serious form and with tons of confidence. Yet, Ferrer’s 25-6 mark, which includes two titles, pales in comparison to Djokovic’s form that stands at an untouchable 29-0 going into the quarters and includes five titles on the season. But who says Ferrer needs to have exactly the same stats on the season to have a perceived chance at winning. When did tennis matches just come down to cold hard stats? Ferrer only needs to be the better player on that day, for the duration of the match, to win. That is certainly within his scope. Of course, beating Djokovic is easier said than done. Taking it one-step further, it even seems unlikely when he’s playing so well. Winning streaks end though; it’s inevitable. And why not to Ferrer who’s enjoying a standout season.

Tennis Free Picks: Ferrer in three sets

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