Good Morning Gang! First off let me say that most models are in agreement that Bertha heads WNW followed by a north turn then heads NE to go fish the Great Outer Banks of the North Atlantic.BUT! and you know me by now I always have them for the reason Hurricanes are fickle......

We have a very complicated atmosphere full of outliers the models could miss and that could deviate the future path .

We can get a good feel for the flow by the water vapor loop

You can see a Winter like zonal flow over the United States that flow and the trough embedded in it should be what lifts Bertha to the Northeast sparing Florida and the Southeast U.S. her wrath.Right now Bertha is embedded in an Easterly flow from the Bermuda high and is nearing the Western edge of the high which means Bertha should move a little more to the NW soon.

As you can see there is an ULL to Bertha's NE ,that ULL is decaying the West side of the Bermuda high some which should turn Bertha even more towards the North sooner if the trend continues...