Will 16 days of shutdown change anything?

FILE - In this Oct. 16, 2013, file photo Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, talks to reporters on Capitol Hill in Washington after House leaders reached a last-minute agreement to avert a threatened Treasury default and reopen the government after a partial, 16-day shutdown. Cruz made a name for himself by leading the tea party charge toward shutdown. About half of the respondents in a recent Associated Press-GfK poll knew enough about Cruz to form an opinion, impressive for a senator elected less than a year ago. The bad news for Cruz? Their opinion was negative by a 2-1 margin. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster, File)

WASHINGTON (AP) — Sixteen days in October could change everything, or not much at all.

Will the partial government shutdown prove to be the turning point after three years of partisan skirmishing in Washington? Or was it just a halftime show to fire up the players?

With federal employees back at work for now, lawmakers are getting a chance to find a compromise on spending cuts and settle their vast differences. If they fail, they risk a repeat shutdown in mid-January, followed a few weeks later by the recurring danger of the government defaulting on its debts.

A look at where things stand after the shutdown:

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THE PLAYERS

—President Barack Obama won a round by refusing to back down. The public didn't applaud his handling of the crisis, but scored congressional Republicans even lower. Obama's overall approval rating held steady, and so did the nation's divided opinion of his health care law. He strengthened his hand for next time.

—House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, conceded a loss for his party. But personally he came out OK. Boehner placated his boisterous tea party-backed members by letting them take a doomed stand against the health law, then got credit for finally allowing the shutdown to end on mostly Democratic votes.

—Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, made a name for himself by leading the tea party charge toward shutdown. About half of the respondents in a recent Associated Press-GfK poll knew enough about Cruz to form an opinion — impressive for a senator elected less than a year ago. The bad news for Cruz? Their opinion was negative by a 2-1 margin.

—Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky is catching heat for helping reopen the government. McConnell agrees with many of his fellow GOP senators that the shutdown was bad strategy and must not be repeated. That puts him on the wrong side of the party's tea party wing, and a tea party-backed candidate is challenging McConnell in the primary for his Senate seat.

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TEA PARTY

The tea party, billed as a movement of the people, is getting slammed in national polls. Democrats say its belligerent tactics have been discredited. Much of the Republican establishment agrees.

Tea party lawmakers don't care.

Tea party favorites in Congress are more focused on the opinions of voters back home, their big money supporters and outside groups, such as Heritage Action, that influence elections.

Cruz, criticized by many fellow Republicans for fomenting the standoff, says he's content to be "reviled in Washington, D.C., and appreciated in Texas."

Cruz says he remains as determined as ever.

"I would do anything, and I will continue to do anything I can," he said, "to stop the train wreck that is Obamacare."

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BIG VERSUS SMALL GOVERNMENT

Did Americans learn anything from the partial shutdown?

Obama says it showed just how many things, large and small, the government does to help people.

Conservatives saw the opposite lesson — that federal workers can disappear without being missed.

There's some evidence for both ideas.

Lots of people were inconvenienced and some lives were seriously disrupted, but most Americans weren't personally touched by the shutdown. Less than one-third said someone in their home was affected, according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted Oct. 7-9.

That doesn't mean they shrugged off the effects beyond their front door.

About two-thirds in that poll felt the shutdown was harming the economy. Consumer confidence dropped to its lowest level in more than a year, according to Gallup polling.

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THE ECONOMY

Forget turkey dinners and sleigh bells in the snow. Washington's new tradition is scaring holiday shoppers.

Last year politicians slowed sales by hanging the threat of a "fiscal cliff" over the holiday season, before working out a deal in the new year.

This year, the government shutdown already has taken a toll. Economists and Standard & Poor's estimate that it cost the economy $24 billion, or about $75 for every U.S. resident.

Consumers may stay worried, especially if they hear bad news from Republican and Democratic lawmakers who are meeting over the next two months in hopes of reaching a spending deal to avert another fiscal standoff in January.

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AMERICA'S IMAGE

Sure, it's embarrassing. America's image took a hit. Other countries are snickering.

Obama says the latest spectacle depressed the nation's friends and heartened its enemies. But it shouldn't have surprised them much. The world has witnessed three years of stalemates and standoffs between Democrats and Republicans since the GOP won control of the House in 2010.

In the long view, the U.S. reputation, and especially its appeal for investors, doesn't dent easily. After all, where else can the world park its money? Treasury bonds have scant competition as the safest place to stash reserves.

The latest brouhaha should fade quickly because it stopped short of the feared outcome — a default on Treasury bonds that would tarnish their spotless image.

If that threat remerges in January, the world will be watching.

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HEALTH CARE LAW

Conservatives again failed to drive a stake through the heart of "Obamacare."

Indeed, the health law may have been strengthened by their latest attack.

The government shutdown was designed as a megaphone for critics of the law, but their timing was off. The uproar ended up distracting the public from the bungled rollout of a key portion of the health program — the website people use to shop for insurance.

Despite computer problems that are keeping many would-be customers from signing up, overall impressions of the health care law have held steady in polls.

That doesn't mean the law is popular. It remains controversial, with Americans just as likely to say it was a bad idea as a good one.

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is that due to the government shut down by the House Republicans that accomplished nothing, taxpayers got to pay federal workers for not working (they get paid for the period of time they were furloughed) and the shut down and restart, plus lost productivity, is costing us billions of our tax dollars. Senator Isakson was completely correct - the shut down was stupid. While the Tea Party may have some good points, our representatives allowing themselves to be held hostage to stupid extremism should result in their defeat come election time.

I state my opinion. I do not ask anyone to approve or disapprove of my comments. I have stated in the past....just pass me by if you don't agree or you don't have a serious response.

There seems to be an intolerance by some posters at this newspaper. It is usually the same 2 or 3 posters who seem immature and can't seem to have a discussion without being insulting. They attack and harrass anyone who does not agree with them. I left at one time because I got tired of their assaults constantly....the conversation was so banal, that it became boring. These people always seem to "Cherry Pick" portions of comments and answer the easy questions. I now try to completely ignore them.

"I left at one time because I got tired of their assaults constantly....the conversation was so banal, that it became boring."

No, you left because, "I have decided to cancel and stop posting on here because I have never met a more UNINFORMED group of people than on here in Savannah!"

The conversation hasn't changed one bit and you came back because I'm guessing you can't find anybody IRL who will listen to your incessant rants.

"I state my opinion."

Yes, but you also post what you believe are facts and when challenged, become defensive and run off like a spoiled brat and hurl insults at those who would ask for nothing more than simple proof. Even when you do provide "proof", your links never work and are usually just right-wing bloggers who parrot whatever the Tea Party tells them is the "truth".

Nulifier....I have no idea what you are talking about. I had no coversation where I called tea party people "American Patriots"
I came into the coversation long past that entire comment. Sorry I think you mean Space Cowboy?

opinions are like ........ and everyone has one. If you are half as smart as you believe you are, than you would understand that. Anything can be faked and we might find out the truth someday, and than again, we might not. The person who refuses to believe everything is no more a fool than the one who believes anything they want to believe.

True, but we've been over this repeatedly and nobody has come up with any verifiable proof to the contrary. Anybody today that still believes Obama isn't a citizen is someone who isn't worthy of attention.