quote:i dont think that will be enough to get us in the tourny this year because of the sec. However, I dont see how people have us at below 50 % for the nit.

That's great.

quote:Conference is terrible. They'll be lucky to get 5 teams in

And that's great.

I found my post from last year.

I was off on the .500 part. It's "a game above .500", and it's conference record that mattered, not overall.

quote:Over the last 10 years:

The SEC has failed to get AT LEAST 5 teams in twice (2010, 2009)

Over the last 10 years:

9-7 has been lower than 5th place once (6th place, 2006... you may recall, the SEC had two Final Four teams that year.) Some seasons, 9-7 can get you third, but 5th place is usually where it puts you.

Over the last 10 years:

71 of the 80 SEC tournament semi-finalists made the NCAAs. Of the nine that didn't make it, all but three had records below 9-7. The interesting thing is that those three semifinalists (with records 9-7 or better) came in the last three seasons: Alabama @ 12-4 last year, State at 9-7 in 2010, and Auburn @ 10-6 in 2009.

And that was before last year's tournament.

Last season, the SEC only got four teams in (and Tennessee was the "odd man out" at 10-6 conference, 18-13 overall.) 3 of the 4 SEC tournament semifinalists made it to the NCAAs. (9-7 Alabama made it over 8-8 semifinalist Ole Miss.) I'm pretty sure if Tennessee would have made the semis, they would have gone to the tourney.

So, if LSU finishes above .500 in conference, and makes it to the semis of the tournament, they have a pretty good shot to make the NCAAs.

I think both of those are possible, though they'll have to hold home court and steal one on the road to get above .500.

ESPN Has our RPI around 99. Assuming we win today (and if not, we have major problems) and go 3 and 3 down the stretch. That puts us at 18-11 (9-9). Win one in the SEC Tournament and we are 19-12 and probably in the NIT.

If we win out and finish 21-8 we would probably be on the bubble. Assuming we win one at the SEC Tournament we finish 22-9 and will have won 9 of 10 with top 50 wins against: Mizzou (twice); Ole Miss (assuming Kennedy doesn't implode) and then maybe Alabama. Also the four point loss at Marquette is looking better. Bad Losses: South Carolina and Auburn. That is a bubble resume.

Given all that my prediction is that we finish 20-12 and make the NIT.

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?(Posted by Drex on 2/16/13 at 5:33 pm to Tiger1242)

Our chances are improving with each game down the stretch. We're getting better as a team with every game. How important is a strong finish and what are our odds now ? NCAA ? Still slim to none unless we win out but NIT? 80-90%

Man,if we can win @ tenn.,we've got bama,arky,&ole miss @ home.we need at least 3 wins in the s.e.c. and a good game against florida if they're in the title game.still may not be enough though.losses to s.carolina and auburn look horrible.

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?(Posted by gotygers on 2/16/13 at 6:59 pm to lsuallen)

Why would we split our games?

Bama barely beat us at home you don't think we can beat Bama and Ole miss at home? You don't think we can win at Missouri ?

The toughest game may be Tenn on the road.

By the way the team Florida played no longer exist , this team has so improved !

We can run the table . Our two toughest games will be at Tenn and at Missouri . Allot IMHO depends on what happens Tuesday night . If we win and it will be tough we could run the table and make the NCAA with 2 wins in the SECT.

Does anyone recall the dog shite non conference schedule we played? 6 of our OOC wins are vs teams with an RPI of 214 or worse. Our marquee win? You got it. Northwestern State with an RPI of 87. And we have a loss to a 200's RPI team in South Carolina. There is nothing about our resume that even remotely merits NCAA consideration. If we win out, then come talk to me, but even then there won't be much to see. The SEC is horrible compared to past years.