As is normal with interest rates, once rate pricing moves one way for an extended period of time, we will see a correction back. Rates hit 5 month lows on Friday October 2nd, but since then have steadily moved a little higher almost every day. The Mortgage Backed Security market closed 4 of the 5 days last week down, closing the week trading down – 34 bps.

Interest rate pricing is still very good, but is about .5 pts higher in pricing at the same rate then the prior week.

Not a ton of new data out this week so I expect interest rates to remain relatively stable barring an unforeseen event.

TRID mortgage regulations are now in place. Gone are the GFE and the HUD and now we have the Loan Estimate and Closing Disclosure. The new documents are meant to make it easier for a borrower to understand their loan. Borrowers now also have a 3 day period to review loan documents before they are legally allowed to sign.

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Interest rates haven’t moved much since the FED announcement to not raise the Federal Funds rate last Thursday. The Mortgage Backed Security (MBS) market traded down – 25 bps last week. This correction was somewhat expected after the MBS market went up so much after the FED announcement.

Interest rate pricing is still very close to their lowest levels in 4 months with the MBS market trading up + 16 bps so far on Monday.

Today the NY Fed President Bill Dudley spoke and stated that the FED will likely raise the Federal Funds rate by the end of the year. This week is employment week with the September Non Farm Payroll report due out on Friday. That report is always a big one and could cause rate volatility up or down depending on how the numbers compare to forecasts.

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This is welcome news after interest rates went higher 4 of 5 days last week. The MBS market closed down – 67 bps last week. The week was capped by a stronger than expected November employment report where non-farm payroll job creation rose 321,000 compared to estimates of 230,000.

Most US economic reports have been positive recently – but rates have held up remarkably well due to economic weakness in other parts of the world. Although the FED’s Quantitative Easing program is coming to an end, many expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to initiate an asset purchase program which would be beneficial for interest rates.

Interest rates improved to 1.5 week lows after October’s employment report was released on Friday. Non Farm Payroll jobs increased 214,000 in October but were lower than expectations of 235,000 plus. The Mortgage Backed Security (MBS) market closed up + 46 bps on Friday alone – taking back the losses from earlier in the week and closing the week positive + 25 bps.

On Monday the bond market pulled back taking some of the gains from Friday – closing down -31 bps on the Day. The bond Market is closed for Veterans day. Thank you to all the Veterans out there that have served our country.

Interest rates are very similar to where they started last week. Retail sales will be the biggest report of the week on Friday.

With Fannie Mae’s new version of their underwriting system DU – mortgage bankers and their clients are seeing a welcome change in the return of the PIW

PIW stands for Property Inspection Waiver.

When running a Fannie Mae Approval – sometimes Fannie Mae’s system grants a PIW which allows us to complete the loan without getting an actual appraisal. These No appraisal refinances are not for upside down homes, lower credit borrowers, cash out loans, etc. They are typically granted when there is a decent amount of equity based on average prices in the area and they are usually granted for higher credit score borrowers.

The purpose is to allow someone that has equity and great credit to get a loan without having to physically get an appraisal.

This is a welcome return – as it allows well qualified customers to complete a refinance without an out pocket expense and we can usually close the loan very quickly.

Since rates hit their lowest levels since June of 2013 two to three weeks ago, interest rates have slowly drifted higher. The Mortgage Backed Security market (MBS) closed last week trading down -17 bps, and the previous week down – 15 bps. This is a common reaction when rates go quickly one way, there is usually a pull back the other way. Even with the rise in rates, interest rates are still lower than they have been for a long time before the recent drop.

On Friday, Japan announced a large increase in their quantitative easing program – equivalent to over 720 billion in US dollars. This caused stocks to rise, but the MBS market, which normally would be hit hard by this news, only closed down – 6 bps. This shows that the current level of mortgage interest rates is quite strong.

Interest rates will be tested again this week. On Thursday, The European Central Bank will release a policy statement. On Friday – the US employment report will be released for October. If you are looking for safety, I would lock rates before Thursday.

Interest rates continued their strong move lower last week and this Tuesday – dropping approximately .25% over the past 6 days. The Mortgage Backed Security (MBS) market closed last week trading up + 84 bps, and Tuesday trading up + 38 bps – pushing interest rates to the lowest levels we have seen since June of 2013.

Interest rates had been gradually improving and then we saw big movements lower in the past week and a half. Typically when rates go one way for an extended period of time – they will eventually get a strong correction the other way.

My recommendation is to lock in now. You will be locking in at the lowest rates in 1 year and 3 months – not bad.

Interest rates continued to gradually move slower last week. The Mortgage Backed Security (MBS) market finished the week trading up + 45 bps – pushing interest rates in line with their lowest levels in a month.

On Friday, the September employment report was released. Job creation beat all expectations but the good news was interest rates stayed firm and the MBS market only closed down – 9 bps. This is an interesting development, as typically a strong labor report results in interest rates moving higher in a hurry.

The MBS market is also doing well this week, closing Monday up + 19 bps. Right now we are hitting a level of resistance in the bond market where over the past year – rates haven’t moved much lower than. This trading will likely continue unless a major event propels the bond market lower.

There is not a lot of economic data coming out this week – so interest rates should remain relatively stable for the rest of the week. 30 year fixed are currently at 4.125% paying .125 pts, and 15 year fixed are currently at 3.125% paying 1 point.

Interest rates continued to steadily improve over the past week. The Mortgage Backed Security market (MBS) closing last week up + 35 bps, and closed Monday up + 14 bps.

The effect on interest rates is lower costs available at each rate.

30 Year Fixed rates settled in at 4.125% costing .1 points, and 15 year fixed rates remained at 3.25% with lower fees – .5 points.

The MBS and interest rate markets are still being helped by Europe’s economic situation and various geo-political concerns across the globe. On Friday – the most important economic report of all – the September non farm payroll jobs report will be released. I always recommend locking in before this is released because interest rates have the opportunity to move quickly depending on the results of job creation versus market expectations.

Mortgage interest rate pricing is a fickle market to follow. Last week, mortgage interest rate pricing had moved higher – pushing mortgage interest rates to some of their highest levels in close to 4 months. The rates pricing wasn’t that much higher, but since interest rate pricing has stayed in a narrow range for most of 2014 – it was some of the highest pricing we have seen in a while.

On Wednesday, the FOMC statement came and went with no real surprise news. The FED will continue to tighten their monetary policy and will eventually raise the Federal Funds rate – but without an exact date mentioned.

Because many expected an announced date to raise the Federal Funds rate, interest rate pricing has gradually improved since Wednesday. In fact, interest rates have improved 4 days straight going into Wednesday and are at their lowest levels in 2 weeks.

30 Year Fixed rates have moved to a level where 4.125% is only costing a portion of a point. All the other Conforming, FHA and VA pricing options have improved as well. Now could be a good time to lock in as rates will usually rebound the other way after multiple day improvement.