as they come. >> this race isabsolutelyrazortight. >>the look at other national polls confirmit'srazortight.>> we've seen the polls razor tight. >> this race remains razor tight. >> stephen: yes, this race is razor tight. that means no margin for error or correct use of metaphor. i mean it's banana up for grabs. but-- folks every prediction out there, every prediction needs a pooper. in this case, "new york times" polling jedi nate silver who in 2008 correctly predicted 49 out of 50 states. but you know what they say, even a stopped clock is right 98% of the time. the silver's got a computer model that uses petroleum bo jumbo like weighted polling average, trend line adjustment and linear regression analysisment but ignores proven methodologies like flag pin size, handshake strength and intensity of debate glare. and as of tonight, folks, silver is predicting that obama has an 86.3% chance of winning re-election. (cheers and applause) >> stephen: yeah. i don't buy it either. where does he get off predicting something other than the agreed narrative? i mean what part of razor tight do

, the sound is even worse. >> he can't help it, he was born with a silver foot in his mouth. >>arazortightrace.>> we've given all people need to know. >> do you know who mitt romney is. >> we know he doesn't want to answer. >> there's going to be a civil war in the republican party. >> he is the worst republican in the country. >> are you calling mitt romney a liar? >> yes. >> are you think there's an issue on the flip flops. >> pick any other republican in the country. >> no, he can't beat obama. >> republicans talking about excuses. >> well i'll put it in a nutshell. if we don't run chris christie, romney will be the nominee and he'll lose. >>> in this final day of campaigning, president obama began the day in madison, wisconsin, where he spoke before an estimated crowd of 18 thousands. then he headed to columbus ohio where he spoke before an estimated crowd of over 15,000. within the hour the president will make his final campaign speech of his career as a candidate in des moines, iowa. we will bring that to you live as well as michelle obama's introduction. >> today our businesses ha