From a Melbourne rail professional who some say, has too much time on his hands, selected news and commentary to help preserve our enduring institutions and values, advance economic liberalism, social conservatism and other, sundry matters ... Online since 1999 ...

Tuesday, October 02, 2012

A useful article detailing exactly how much time it would take for Iran to go from being not merely nuclear but weapons capable ...

ISIS has learned in researching and discussing the new National Intelligence
Estimate (NIE) on Iran that important differences exist from the 2007 NIE on
Iran’s capability to make a nuclear weapon. The 2007 declassified NIE
specifically noted that it did not take into account Iran’s “declared civil work
related to uranium conversion and enrichment” when assessing the status of its
nuclear weapons program. The new NIE does not distinguish between declared and
undeclared enrichment activities when considering Iran’s nuclear weapons
capability. In doing so, the new NIE more accurately values the impact that
Iran’s advancements in its gas centrifuge uranium enrichment program, declared
or otherwise, have on its capability to decide to make highly enriched uranium
for a nuclear weapon. This acknowledges that Iran’s capability to make highly
enriched uranium, as represented by the declared elements of its uranium
enrichment program, influences any political decision to make nuclear
weapons.

The new NIE includes that Iran could be furthering its development of
components for nuclear weapons while reportedly assessing that not enough
activity has occurred on weaponization to justify a determination that Iran has
made a decision to restart its nuclear weaponization program or build a bomb.
1 Both NIEs judge that Iran had a nuclear
weaponization program prior to 2004. Missing in ISIS’s information about the
new NIE is the confidence level that the intelligence community has in its
ability to detect a restart and the level of detected activity necessary to
determine that a restart has occurred. The 2007 NIE judged with moderate
confidence that restart had not happened as of mid-2007. It should be noted
that this assessment about restart was rejected by key European allies and
Israel, which all assessed that Iran was likely continuing to develop its
nuclear weaponization capabilities and that its nuclear weapons program likely
existed after 2003.

About Me

Generally, I'm known to most nearly all as Otto, my everyday designation, though my birth name is Ottavio. In addition to what I have stated in "about blog", I am partial to free market driven economies, free trade principles and the freedom for individuals to structure their own lives without Government interference. I would staunchly advocate that the "individual" is greater than any collective. I am socially conservative and support traditional morality and social structure. I champion fiscally conservative Governments - economic liberalism. However, not the subject of this blog, I also campaign for the continuance and preservation of global American dominance. I enjoy writing about that which interests me; I do so to impart knowledge and understanding, and to put both an individual spin and my own distinctive sensibility and perception on my chosen subject matter.

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This is a free speech zone

I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it.
These words were first used by Hall, writing under the pseudonym of Stephen G. Tallentyre in The Friends of Voltaire (1906). They were not a quote, but a paraphrase of Voltaire's attitudes, based on his Essay on Tolerance where he asserts: "Think for yourselves and let others enjoy the privilege to do so too".
Its ultimate origin may lie in a letter to M. le Riche (February 6, 1770): "Monsieur l'abbé, I detest what you write, but I would give my life to make it possible for you to continue to write." Source