Tropical

10/27/2014

This morning we've been monitoring a new tropical storm over the Caribbean named Hanna. This tropical storm won't last long as it is very close to making a landfall. Maximum sustained winds are now at 40 mph and the system should weaken as it makes a landfall over Nicaragua later today. One of the big concerns with Hanna will be the potential for flooding. Parts of Nicaragua and Honduras could receive up to a foot of rain with maximum totals in the 15" range!

Tropical depression number 9 has developed to the west of the Yucatan Peninsula and is forecast to briefly strengthen into a tropical storm Hanna before making landfall as it tracks eastward. The National Hurricane Center shows this system staying on an eastward track, weakening as it cross over the peninsula and emerging to the east of it by Sunday.

We'll have to watch TD #9 closely because some of the computer models show it curving northward towards Florida. Spaghetti plots are all over the place with half the models showing a southwest movement and the other half showing an eastward movement.

10/18/2014

Hurricane Gonzalo made landfall in Bermuda at 8:30pm as a category 2 hurricane with winds of 110 mph. It's the second time this week that Bermuda was hit by a tropical cyclone. Gonzalo downed trees, caused flooding and knocked out power to thousands. The system continues to weaken and race off to the northeast thanks to the jet stream and the fact that the system is moving over cooler water. By Tuesday, Gonzalo will be an extra tropical low and bring rain and gusty winds to the United Kingdom.

10/17/2014

As of 10:00 AM, major hurricane Gonzalo has maximum sustained winds of 125 mph, which is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. Slow weakening is forecast today along with increased forward speed. Gonzalo is still expected to be a dangerous hurricane when it moves near or over Bermuda. Tropical storm conditions begin this afternoon and hurricane conditions are expected to reach Bermuda by the evening hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of the hilly terrain can expect stronger winds than at the surface. Storm surge will be dangerous and life-threatening and is expected to produce significant coastal flooding. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Gonzalo is also expected to produce 3-6 inches of rain over Bermuda.

10/16/2014

I wanted to share this impressive view of category 4 hurricane Gonzalo in the Atlantic. The system that brought us stormy weather earlier in the week is helping to turn this major hurricane away from the United States. Bermuda however is under a hurricane warning. The latest forecast track shows Bermuda right in the middle of the cone of uncertainty.

TROPICAL STORM ANA:This has been a very active tropical season for Hawaii. Another strengthening tropical cyclone named Ana is threatening the state with winds of 60 mph. The system is expected to become a hurricane tomorrow as it passes near the big island.

09/12/2014

What is already bringing heavy rain and storms to Florida needs to be watched once it tracks over the Gulf of Mexico this weekend.

Check out the spaghetti model of computer tracks.... Is your head hurting yet? ;)

According to the NHC, the broad area of low pressure has moved westward and is now located over southern Florida just south of Lake Okeechobee. Shower activity is currently poorly organized, and strong upper-level winds as well as interaction with land will likely inhibit development of this system today.

Once the low moves over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, conditions could become a little more conducive for tropical cyclone formation over the weekend while the system moves westward at around 10 mph. Regardless of development, this low will continue to bring locally heavy rains to portions of southern Florida and the Florida Keys today and Saturday.

09/11/2014

The National Hurricane Center just posted advisories on Tropical Depression Six. Low pressure was detected and you can clearly see the organized system on satellite imagery. Wind speeds are at 35 mph and are forecast to increase to 40 mph by later today which would mean tropical storm status. By next Tuesday, the system could strengthen to a hurricane. As of now, all computer models indicate a westerly track at first and then northwesterly with time. This system doesn't pose a threat to the U.S. at this time.

09/09/2014

This week marks the average peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season and I’m happy to report that there are no named systems in the Atlantic Basin. This time of the year is also known as the Cape Verde Season as long track tropical cyclones often intensify and develop over the eastern Atlantic and track westward. We are keeping an eye on one system (Invest-91) over the eastern Atlantic. This system could become better organized in the days ahead but the models are favoring a northwest turn towards the central Atlantic. Another disturbance has popped up near the Bahamas and there is a very low (10%) chance for further development within the next 48 hours.

Search

Sign up to have our daily weather forecast sent to you by text message!

Text WBRCFORECAST to 20566 or visit www.myfoxal.com/alerts to sign up.**Message and data rates may apply. You will receive1 msg/day. You can text STOP at any time to cancel your subscription, text HELP for more information, call 877.571.0774 for support.