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2009
OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2009 Issue 2

This November 2009 issue of OECD's twice-yearly OECD Economic Outlook provides analysis of recent economic developments and economic projections for OECD and major non-OECD countries through the end of 2011. This issue contains a special chapter entitled “The automobile industry in and beyond the crisis”. It examines how closely the automobile and business cycles are related, how the automobile industry been affected by the crisis and what are the prospects for car sales.

Russian Federation

After an initial sharp rebound from the deep recession of the past year, real GDP is projected to converge on potential. The decline in inflation seen since early 2009 is expected to continue into 2010 before flattening out. The current account surplus will increase in 2010 as a result of terms of trade gains, but it will decline in 2011 as strong trend import growth reasserts itself. Net private capital flows should strengthen, allowing a rebuilding of reserves.