Tropical Storm ERICK (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM ERICK ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013
800 PM PDT THU JUL 04 2013
...FIFTH NAMED TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PART OF THE SOUTWESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...14.9N 100.0W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
LAZARO CARDENAS TO LA FORTUNA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS
* WEST OF MANZANILLO TO LA FORTUNA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL
STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.0
WEST. ERICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO... FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST BY LATE FRIDAY
OR SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERICK SHOULD
MOVE PARALLEL TO...BUT REMAIN OFFSHORE OF...THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A RECENT SHIP REPORT INDICATES THAT GUSTY WINDS IN
RAIN BANDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES OVER SOUTHWESTERN OAXACA...SOUTHERN
GUERRERO...SOUTHERN MICHOACA...COLIMA...AND SOUTHERN JALISCO
MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
FROM ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD WESTWARD INTO THE WARNING AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WEST OF MANZANILLO BY LATE SATURDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AVILA
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