23. It is the campaigns that buy advertisements.

Not people looking at public polls published in newspapers and other media. The campaigns do not pay attention to public polls. They have their own private polling which they never release to the public. So if they are buying ads they must think it is close.

18. Spot on!

3. The best part: Obama leads 52-41 among swing state voters...

I don't quite understand the dynamics of this poll. I can only guess that Obama is doing remarkably bad in deep red states in the South to only lead by two nationally but hold significant leads in swing states.

14. Southern white working class: 40 point margin for Romney. So yes, Obama is doing bad in deep red

states.

...poll conducted a few weeks ago by the Public Religion Research Institute in Washington, D.C., ... that poll found that in the South, among white working class voters, Republican Mitt Romney leads Obama by the astounding vote of 62-22 percent ó a 40 percentage point difference.

The poll defined working class as having less than a bachelorís degree and being paid by the hour or by the job.

No other region in the country had anywhere near that differential. In the West, Romney led by just 5 percentage points among white working class voters. In the Northeast, he leads by 4 percentage points. And in the Midwest, Obama leads Romney by 8 percentage points among white working class voters.

27. Seriously. The biggest group of welfare recipients are white people in the South. Period. nt

29. How do you know? the demographic being discussed is the southern white WORKING class

And as for southern whites, overall, in what way are they the "biggest group of welfare recipients"? Just wondering where you get your statistics - you seem so sure "Seriously .... Period".

Is it because whites are still the majority of the population (nationwide 64%)? What about the welfare recipient RATE? To me, that's the more relevant measure.

Nationwide, according to an AP 8/8/12 article about the welfare caseload, "The latest statistics show the welfare caseload is divided thus: 33 percent black, 31 percent white and 29 percent Hispanic."

So, at least nation-wide, whites are not the biggest group of welfare recipients, even though they constitute 63.7% of the population.

Also, according to the 2010 census, 63.7% of the population is non-Hispanic white, 16.3% is Hispanic, and 12.6% is black. Doing the math, the black welfare rate is 5.4 times the (non-Hispanic) white rate, while the Hispanic rate is 3.7 X the (non-Hispanic) white rate.

To me, it is not progressive to deny that income inequality hit minorities the hardest.

19. Yep, you're right. Robme's margin in RED states is much greater than Obama's margin in BLUE

states. Hence, the vote suppression targeted to some of these populous BLUE states and a little going on in RED states with BLUE populations like the Atlanta area, Houston and Dallas, and South Carolina. If the voters in populous BLUE areas in these RED states are disenfranchised, that also chips away at the popular vote margin.

25. My thought was that the Dems would think they were registered, when they are not ...

In the case of a Republican-funded voter registration drive, they might (and no doubt sometimes do) go ahead and register the Democrat (DemTard or DemocRAT in their parlance), but then throw away, err, "lose" their registration later. Anyway, because the Democrat thinks he/she is registered, he would be telling a pollster that he is. But come election day, complications begin, "Sir, sir, I'm sorry sir, your name is nowhere on our voter rolls. But if you register now, you will be able to vote in the 2013 city council elections ".

11. bad link....

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26. 250 million dollars and polls

Some of us Independent types watched the GOP primaries and a lot of tricky stuff happened. Expect more of the same here in the General Election. 47 percent of Americans are going to vote for Mitt Romney? The Numbers do not add up.