The Pirates are swinging hot bats as part of their under-the-radar 8-1 Run to the Over in their last nine ballgames. Pittsburgh produced five runs or more in seven of those nine contests; bad news for Adam Wainwright tonight. Wainwright has been bombed twice in his last four starts. Current Pirates have hit him well and he doesn’t have a win against Pittsburgh since 2016. Behind him, the Cardinals bullpen isn’t fresh, a team that hasn’t had an off day since April.

But the Cardinals bullpen is in much better shape than the Pirates pen today – none of the Pirates last three starters has been able to record an out past the fourth inning. The pen gave up a walk-off grand slam on Sunday, then three different relievers got bombed in relief of Joe Musgrave yesterday. Starter Trevor Williams has been hit hard in each of his last two starts following a strong start to the season. Current Cardinals have hit .333 against him in their respective careers in a significant 144 at bat sample size. Expect runs in bunches! Take the Over