Run The Numbers

So I made it into a monthly chart, and took the overall number of the close of the monthly candle to see if December really is a month where things dry up. If it is, consistently, we can make adjustments if needed.

The following data may not show up well on mobile, fair warning.

But here’s what I found over the past 5 years. Highs and Lows are highlighted Green/Red:

–—- 2018 — 2017 — 2016 — 2015 — 2014

Jan – 8.79 — 8.95 —- 10.11 — 12.68 — 7.90

Feb – 8.33 — 8.68 — 13.05 — 10.25 — 7.05

Mar – 7.05 — 5.65 — 9.46 — 13.78 — 7.11

Apr – 7.23 — 8.96 — 9.35 — 13.52 — 5.90

May – 8.77 — 8.08 — 10.18 — 12.88 — 6.64

Jun – 7.50 — 7.21 — 10.23 — 14.10 — 5.03

Jul – 6.69 —- 8.30 — 7.80 — 10.94 — 5.44

Aug – 8.04 — 8.68 — 7.01 — 13.41 — 6.07

Sep – 7.26 —- 7.58 — 6.66 — 10.92 — 7.56

Oct – 8.31 —– 7.04 — 8.85 — 11.27 — 8.21

Nov – 7.90 —- 7.49 — 12.93 — 13.80 — 9.02

Dec – 6.99* — 6.81 — 11.28 — 10.07 — 9.72

* December 2018 isn’t over yet at the time of posting

So what can we conclude?

Not much unfortunately. Except for 2015 was the shit!! I remember it well.

And summer 2014 was brutal. I sat out most of it. Not fun.

December did come in last place twice, but not by much, and actually came in first in 2014.

If there was a marked difference between December and the other months, I would make adjustments, but there really wasn’t in my opinion.

And if you got caught up in the “Sell in May and Go Away” principle where people abandon summer trading, you missed lot of opportunities.

But in the end….

“It Doesn’t Matter!”

It Doesn’t Matter?

It doesn’t. Wanna know why?

Because we have volume indicators, and tools like the one above to show us day-by-day if we should be trading.

Even during late December, where you can be fairly sure things will slow down, there can still be opportunities.

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