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May 23, 2019

Latest On Energy I Oil I Oil plunges 5.7% to $57.91 as US-China trade war raises fuel demand worries

Tom DiChristopher

4-5 minutes

A Petrobras oil platform floats in the Atlantic Ocean near Guanabara Bay in Rio de Janeiro.
Getty Images

Oil
prices tumbled nearly 6% on Thursday, extending steep losses in the
previous sessions, as the market braced for a prolonged U.S.-China trade
war and digested disappointing manufacturing data. Some analysts also
pointed to signs that Middle East tensions are moderating.Brent crude futures
sank $3.35, or 4.7%, to $67.64 per barrel around 2:20 p.m. ET (1820
GMT). The international benchmark for oil prices hit a nearly two-month
low earlier in the session and is on pace for its worst week since
December.U.S. West Texas Intermediate
crude futures settled $3.51 lower at $57.91 per barrel, tumbling 5.7%
to the lowest closing price since March 12. WTI is on track to end the
week 7.7% lower and post the worst weekly performance in five months.
“The $60 level is a critical support point,” said John Kilduff, founding partner at energy hedge fund Again Capital.
“After $60, really it’s right down around $58 or so. Theoretically, if
this thing really becomes a washout, $52 is the downside objective,” he
said, cautioning that the move would not happen overnight.
Crude futures fell with the stock market
as the ongoing U.S.-China trade dispute entered a new phase. A wave of
companies is suspending business with Huawei after the U.S. blacklisted
the Chinese telecom giant.
Washington and Beijing are set to
increase tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars of one another’s
goods, raising concerns about a global economic slowdown and weaker
demand for oil.
U.S. manufacturing activity grew at its slowest pace since September 2009 this month, according to IHS Markit.
Meanwhile,
data released overnight showed Japanese manufacturing activity fell
into contraction in May. Manufacturing activity for the European Union
and Germany also came in below expectations.
Economic forecasting
firm Oxford Economics on Thursday warned that weak crude demand appears
to be spreading from developed nations to developing economies.
“One particular surprise is that China was weak in March, with diesel
demand acting as a significant drag,” Oxford said in a research note.
“We are currently forecasting 4% oil demand growth for this year, but
this assumes a significant acceleration in the remainder of 2019.”

Oil
prices jumped last week on rising tensions in the Middle East after the
Trump administration tightened sanctions on Iranian oil exports.
However, there are signs the White House is trying to prevent further
escalation in the region.
“You’ve got the U.S.-China trade war
just doing its damage across the board,” Kilduff said. “Crude was ready
to take a hit on it all along except for the geopolitical tensions in
the Middle East.”
Politico reported Thursday that Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein met with Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif a few weeks ago during a dinner arranged in consultation with the State Department.
The news follows President Donald Trump’s meetings last week with Switzerland’s president, and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s phone call with Oman. Both countries have served as intermediaries between the U.S. and Iran, sparking speculation that the White House is trying arrange negotiations.
“The president has made clear that at the right time negotiations are important,” Pompeo told CNBC’s “Squawk Box”
on Thursday. “What the president has said is that he’s prepared at the
right time, when the Iranians conclude that it’s in their best interest
to negotiate, we stand ready to take their call.”

Trump
pulled the U.S. out of a nuclear accord with Iran and restored
sanctions on the Islamic Republic last year. His administration has
issued a list of 12 demands that Iran must meet in order for the U.S. to
lift sanctions.
Pompeo said the Trump administration has taken measures to prevent oil prices from spiking while the U.S. attempts to drive Iran’s crude exports to zero.
Still, OPEC members and major oil-producing nations signaled
this past weekend that they will likely keep a lid on production
throughout 2019, even as Trump calls on them to hike output and cut fuel
costs.
Also weighing on oil prices, U.S. crude stockpiles rose by
4.7 million barrels last week, while gasoline inventories jumped by 3.7
million barrels as refinery activity fell.— CNBC’s Fred Imbert contributed to this report.Source: CNBC

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