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I live in the Midwest which is Big Ten country. Once conference play starts virtually every Big Ten game is televised in my region and I commit myself to try and watch all of them. I have three televisions set up as some games are being played at the same time. I have no bias or affiliation to any Big Ten team as I am a lifelong Notre Dame fan (I include ND games in my viewing schedule as well). My comments and reports are qualified only by my love of the game and an extreme commitment to watching and following Big Ten football.

ATS STATS '13

As of 12-1-13

LAST SATURDAY

SPREAD RECORD

CLOSEST

PLAYS

WITHIN 7

W

L

W

L

W

L

T

W

L

FROM THE COUCH

3

3

3

4

2

2

1

2

5

WILDCAT (espn)

2

3

1

5

1

1

1

2

4

CARDINAL (espn)

3

2

3

3

0

0

1

3

3

BOILERMAKER (btn)

3

2

3

3

0

1

0

2

4

HORNED FROG
(btn)

3

1

2

3

0

0

0

3

3

WOLVERINE (isportsweb)

3

2

2

4

1

0

0

3

3

SEASON
sorted by SPREAD RECORD

SPREAD RECORD

CLOSEST

PLAYS

WITHIN 7

sprd %

closest %

plays%

7%

W

L

W

L

W

L

T

W

L

FROM THE COUCH

32

31

28

37

15

16

1

30

41

51%

43%

48%

42%

WOLVERINE (isportsweb)

36

36

27

47

14

15

1

26

50

50%

36%

48%

34%

BOILERMAKER (btn)

34

35

27

45

15

14

0

26

50

49%

38%

52%

34%

HORNED FROG (btn)

34

36

29

44

12

7

0

28

48

49%

40%

63%

37%

CARDINAL (espn)

31

38

30

42

6

11

1

25

51

45%

42%

35%

33%

WILDCAT (espn)

26

42

20

49

8

11

1

24

52

38%

29%

42%

32%

SEASON
sorted by CLOSEST

SPREAD RECORD

CLOSEST

PLAYS

WITHIN 7

sprd %

closest %

plays%

7%

W

L

W

L

W

L

T

W

L

FROM THE COUCH

32

31

28

37

15

16

1

30

41

51%

43%

48%

42%

CARDINAL (espn)

31

38

30

42

6

11

1

25

51

45%

42%

35%

33%

HORNED FROG (btn)

34

36

29

44

12

7

0

28

48

49%

40%

63%

37%

BOILERMAKER (btn)

34

35

27

45

15

14

0

26

50

49%

38%

52%

34%

WOLVERINE (isportsweb)

36

36

27

47

14

15

1

26

50

50%

36%

48%

34%

WILDCAT (espn)

26

42

20

49

8

11

1

24

52

38%

29%

42%

32%

SEASON
sorted by PLAYS

SPREAD RECORD

CLOSEST

PLAYS

WITHIN 7

sprd %

closest %

plays%

7%

W

L

W

L

W

L

T

W

L

HORNED FROG (btn)

34

36

29

44

12

7

0

28

48

49%

40%

63%

37%

BOILERMAKER (btn)

34

35

27

45

15

14

0

26

50

49%

38%

52%

34%

FROM THE COUCH

32

31

28

37

15

16

1

30

41

51%

43%

48%

42%

WOLVERINE (isportsweb)

36

36

27

47

14

15

1

26

50

50%

36%

48%

34%

WILDCAT (espn)

26

42

20

49

8

11

1

24

52

38%

29%

42%

32%

CARDINAL (espn)

31

38

30

42

6

11

1

25

51

45%

42%

35%

33%

SEASON
sorted by WITHIN 7

SPREAD RECORD

CLOSEST

PLAYS

WITHIN 7

sprd %

closest %

plays%

7%

W

L

W

L

W

L

T

W

L

FROM THE COUCH

32

31

28

37

15

16

1

30

41

51%

43%

48%

42%

HORNED FROG (btn)

34

36

29

44

12

7

0

28

48

49%

40%

63%

37%

BOILERMAKER (btn)

34

35

27

45

15

14

0

26

50

49%

38%

52%

34%

WOLVERINE (isportsweb)

36

36

27

47

14

15

1

26

50

50%

36%

48%

34%

CARDINAL (espn)

31

38

30

42

6

11

1

25

51

45%

42%

35%

33%

WILDCAT (espn)

26

42

20

49

8

11

1

24

52

38%

29%

42%

32%

SPREAD RECORD-Simply
displays the ATS record.

CLOSEST - It’s
possible to be on the correct side of the spread yet not be as accurate. EX: If
I predict Michigan by 12, the spread is 6, and Michigan wins by 7, I get a win
in the spread record category. I get a loss in the closest category because the
spread (7-6=1) was closer than my
prediction (12-7=5).

PLAYS- I’m not
promoting any type of illegal activity here but if you happened to be in a Las
Vegas sports bar you might want to reconsider making a “play” on a game where
your number varies from the spread by only a few points. I think a seven point
or more differential should instill a reasonable amount of confidence. This
category tracks such instances.

WITHIN 7-This
category tracks how many times a predicted point spread was within seven points
of the actual spread. Why does this matter? Because one can never lose in the
play category if the prediction is within 7 points. 35 percent is about average
in this category. Close to 50 percent is excellent.