“Playing at home, Atletico have a small advantage, which I expect to lead them to a win. I will be surprised if they win by more than one goal, but I do expect them to win”. This is what I wrote three weeks ago, before the first leg between these two, and Atletico Tucuman did end up winning that game, 1-0, paying the 2.40 their victory came with. Ever since then, Independiente have picked up four points in two Argentina Superliga (new name) matches, beating Huracan 3-1 at home, and drawing 1-1 at Olimpo last weekend. Leandro Fernandez and Martin Benitez have scored two goals each in Independiente’s last two matches, looking great.

Four days after beating Independiente 1-0 in the first leg of their Copa Sudamericana last 16 tie, Atletico Tucuman beat Godoy Cruz as well, 2-1, again at home, but as soon as they left their… castle, their fortress, they fell rather easily to Velez Sarsfield, losing 2-0 last weekend. It’s no news, it’s common knowledge that Atletico Tucuman rely heavily on their home power to succeed in any competition, and this is a chance to prove that they can handle the pressure away from home as well, playing against one of the most historic and successful clubs not just of Argentina, but of the whole South America.

Previous five matches:

Olimpo vs Independiente 1-1

Independiente vs Huracan 3-1

Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente 1-0

Independiente vs UAI Urquiza 4-1

Deportes Iquique vs Independiente 1-2

Velez Sarsfield vs Atletico Tucuman 2-0

Atletico Tucuman vs Godoy Cruz 2-1

Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente 1-0

Arsenal vs Atlético Tucumán 1-2

Atlético Tucumán vs Oriente Petrolero 3-0

Independiente’s next game is on Saturday, at home, against Lanus. A day later, Atletico Tucuman will be hosting Chacarita Juniors, both Argentina Superliga matches.

Club Atletico Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman: Head to head Stats

Atletico Tucuman have back-to-back wins at Independiente, 2-0 last year, and 3-1 back in 2014. Before that, they hadn’t played in Avellaneda since 2010, when Independiente had won 3-1.

Club Atletico Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman: Prediction

Three weeks ago I backed Atletico Tucuman to get the result they wanted at home. I’m taking it a step further, backing them to avoid losing in Avellaneda, and to qualify for the quarterfinals.

Club Atletico Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman: Betting Tips

Atletico Tucuman’s double chance is at 2.37 betting odds. Obviously you can skip Atletico’s win and stick to a simple draw, at 3.40, but even 2.37 is great, I reckon, all the more since we’re “taking” about a double chance.