15 It shows variations – ups and downs – but no trend. The combined observational records (in mm/year) for the last 300 years.It shows variations – ups and downs – but no trend.For year 2100, INQUA gives predictions in line with this record,whilst the IPCC scenarios lie far above – way off – observational data

37 7.Tuvalu and VanuatuBoth island-groups claimed already to be in the process of becoming flooded

38 Tuvalu – tide gauge record8 years of slow rise (installation subsidence?) is followed by years of stability – i.e. no sea level rise the 3 low levels represent ENSO-events

39 Vanuatu, another notorious site of ”flooding”, The Vanuatu News Port Vila Press Online, December 2005 declaired that”a small community living on Vanuatu has had to be formally moved out of harms”as an effect of the proposed sea level rise and flooding concept.Vanuatu, another notorious site of ”flooding”,shows, in fact, no sign of any ongoing sea level rise

40 Venice - a good test site8Venice - a good test siteLocated in the slowly subsiding Po delta any sea level rise or acceleration would be easily detected

41 Sea level (pink) fluctuated around this line from 1870 to 1970. Venice, built on delta deposits, experiences a long-term subsidence (blue line).Sea level (pink) fluctuated around this line from 1870 to 1970.No eustatic sea level rise is seen,and from 1970 there even is a sea level lowering recorded

42 9.North-west Europeland subsidence long the North Sea coasts and the periphery of uplift in the Kategatt Sea

46 COXAHVEN 160 YEARS TIDE-GAUGE RECORDA mean-sinosidal relative sea level rise is composed of a long-term subsidence (red) of ~1.4 mm/year and a sinosoidal eustatic rise up to 1960 followed by a slight lowering

48 10.Satellite AltimetryA wonderful new tool to measure the ocean level but from where does the tilt come?

49 Satellite altimetry – after all physical corrections – showedIn 2000Satellite altimetry – after all physical corrections – showedNO rising trendJust a variability around a zero level (blue) + a major ENSO event (yellow).This data set was presented on the TOPEX/POSEIDON web-page, in their publications, and used by me in my paper in Global and Planetary Changes, vol. 40, 2004, p

50 In 2003 a totally new record appearedNow there was a trend of 2.3 mm/year.This trend is inferrend – not measured

59 CONCLUSIONS No sea level rise recorded: – in the Maldives – in Tuvalu – in Vanuatu – in Bangladesh – in French Guiana – in Venice – in NW Europe Thermal expansion – is small <10 cm – zero at shore Satellite Altimetry – records no or just a small rise

74 The Maldives the tree has a delicate position (at least since the 1940s) the slightest sea level rise would have destroyed it This indicates: No Sea Level Rise in 50 yearsBangladesh The tree trunks indicate a significant coastal erosion The horizontal roots indicate the same growth level as in the forest behind This indicates: No Sea Level Rise !