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That economic recovery in the U.S. – the engine for growth in far away places, like Ireland, the hope of the IMF, the beacon of the dream that debt stimulus is a fine way to repair structurally weakened (let alone devastated – as in the Euro […]

Following yesterday’s proof-positive that “everything is awesome,” today (and overnight) we find, everything is not so awesome. Following the unleashing of The Warsh on CNBC, markets are starting to turmoil. Crude has erased all its late-day ramp and then some dropping back to a low $47 […]

The euro has brought a balance-of-payments crisis to Europe, just as the gold standard did in the 1920s. In fact, there is only one difference between the two episodes: During today’s crisis, huge international rescue packages have been […]

Latest Eurocoin (Banca d’Italia and CEPR) leading growth indicator for euro area economy came in at a slight improvement in March to 0.26 from 0.23 in February, posting the highest reading since July 2014. The average quarterly growth forecast now implied by Eurocoin is at around […]

While the euro itself has recovered a bit from its worst levels in recent sessions, euro basis swaps have fallen deeper into negative territory. In order to bring the current move into perspective, we show a long term chart below that includes the […]

The greenback staged a reversal yesterday, and there has been follow through buying in Europe after a quiet Asian session. It seems that after last week’s dramatic reaction to the FOMC, the market is probing for the new range, and this has been complicated by […]

Lastweek the FOMC essentially removed forward guidance and placed all options back on the table, and at the end of the day they’ve opened the door for further tightening. As Yellen recently explained in advance, the removal of […]

This Great Graphic was composed on Bloomberg. It is a monthly bar chart of the real and theoretical euro prior to the launch of monetary union. The euro is in its third major bear market since the end of Bretton Woods. The first bear market […]

Today the man who remarkably predicted the collapse of the euro against the Swiss franc warned King World News that worldwide markets are going to see total panic as the massive derivatives bubble implodes!

Egon von Greyerz: “Eric, there are four people whose words and actions are considered to […]

The Eurozone’s recovery is now blazing forward into practically uncharted territory. Just today we learned that Eurozone business activity in March, as measured by the Composite PMI, which includes manufacturing and services, showed moderate growth that hit a 46-month high. It was fueled by new orders. […]

The US dollar is mixed as the market continues to search for a new range post-FOMC. The relentless rise of the dollar has been broken with the help of a softer US rate environment. The seemingly relentless push of the euro toward parity has been […]

Three interesting charts outlining the big themes in Euro area economy:

First the ‘limping leg’ of the euro recovery: credit. Chart below shows decomposition and dynamics in corporate credit, with Q1 2015 reading so far pointing to a very robust demand for credit, and (even […]

The US dollar opened broadly lower in Asia but trended higher through the first half of the European morning. The euro peaked just above $1.0880 and fell a little more than a cent (~$1.0770) before finding a reasonable bid. Sterling approached $1.50, could not sustain […]

Has the tide begun to turn for the precious metals, notably silver and gold? In our view the turn began last year and if pressed to pinpoint one event, it would be following the failure of the Swiss referendum when the SNB de-pegged the franc from the […]

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"The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary." - H. L. Mencken