Tuesday, May 29, 2012

UPDATE 2.As the night went on things are got rather interesting. With 99% in Dewhurst dropped below 45% to 44.59 and Cruz continues to edge
up-now at 34.23%. That puts Cruz just than 10.36 points behind. That is
important as he becomes viable for the non-Dewhurst supporters rather than
a seeming wasted vote, and will attract finance. PPP had him trailing by 17 points in their final poll 46-29AT THIS LINK FOR THE OFFICIAL RESULTS FROM TEXAS SEC. OF STATE

UPDATE3.
From PPP (D) Polling who did a Roper/Truman and stopped polling when Dewhurst was so far in front. The answer to their questions as to what the dramatic change is that Palin got involved. But being a Dem pollster that wouldn't have occurred to them.

Dewhurst won early vote by 18 pts but only winning election day by about 6 pts so far...not sure that means anything for runoff or not

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Subsequent to Sarah Palin's endorsement of him, GOP candidate for senator from Texas Ted Cruz has completed the astonishing journey from polling at only 3% to being in the final run-off. Cruz having kept the previously presumed winner Dewhurst below 50% in tonight's primary battle.

PRIMARY RESULT MAY 29th

92% reporting

Ted Cruz

445,483

33.60%

David Dewhurst

593,865

44.79%

Clearly this last minute Tweet by Palin to Texans, and her previous robocall, made a major contribution to Cruz's success in getting into the run-off tonight;

The Cruz rise follows on from Palin's remarkable success in assisting conservative candidates, who were outsiders and initially polling lowly, into becoming winners. Richard Mourdock in Indiana and Deb Fischer in Nebraska are the two latest, whom even Palin's enemies have grudgingly admitted were assisted by her into the winners circle.

If Cruz is the last in the recent trifecta, then his win,or even his getting into the run-off by denying Dewhurst a first round victory, will be perhaps the most remarkable of Palin's picks, and her place as king maker will have to be accepted by the punditry.

Of course not all Palin's picks will win.That would be impossible, as some choices will have so little prospect of winning even though they are of outstanding quality. However her winning percentage is remarkable as is the enthusiasm her endorsments bring.

"Even though Rick Perry's candidate is likely to defeat Sarah Palin's, her endorsement polls much more positively. 36% of voters say they're more inclined to back a Palin supported candidate to 21% who consider it a negative. Perry's stock with Texas Republicans has fallen so far his endorsement is actually a net minus with 24% saying it would make them more inclined to vote for his candidate to 28% who say less likely."