Month: November 2017

A large number of equity mutual funds in the country has underperformed against their respective benchmark indices over the last five years.

Around 44% of the open-ended diversified equity mutual fund schemes failed to beat their benchmark in the last year. Nine schemes underperformed their benchmarks by over ten percentage points. 31 schemes underperformed by five to ten percentage points. There are 275 open-ended diversified equity schemes.

Even the schemes that managed to beat their benchmarks in the last year, 26 schemes outpaced their benchmark by only up to two percentage points.

Moving to specific categories, out of 65 large cap schemes, 30 schemes underperformed their benchmark.

The mid-cap category was the worst hit, with 62 percent schemes underperforming. We had a total of 34 mid-cap schemes on our list.

Around 50 percent multi-cap schemes failed to beat their benchmark. Four in seven small-cap schemes remained under-performers.

Sectoral schemes, which are considered risky because of their focused sector exposure, had 11 under-performing schemes out of 49 schemes in total.

We have compiled a set of top under-performing funds in one-year period across equity categories given in the following table.

The scorecard reveals a majority of large-cap equity funds failed to beat the S&P CNX Nifty, the benchmark for large caps, with 53.33 percent underperforming their benchmark over the last five years, 57.14 percent during the previous three years and 52.63 percent over the previous year.

The percentage of actively managed equity funds underperforming the benchmark indices has seen a declining trend since December 2010. However, their number still exceeds those outperforming the index.

Many actively-managed equity mutual fund schemes have failed or struggled to beat their benchmarks. Always place a lot of emphasis on consistency of performance while choosing a scheme to invest. As a rule, ignore short-term scorching performance while picking a scheme.

However, data from the diversified funds and equity-linked saving schemes (ELSS) suggests a percentage of funds outperforming the benchmark in both one-year and three-year period is stable as compared to five-year period.

Active managers of equity-oriented hybrid funds have also fallen behind benchmarks over both the one-year and five-year time frames.

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

LIC had launched its second health insurance related plan which is named as LIC Cancer Cover (Plan-905) on 14th November 2017. LIC’s Cancer Cover is a regular premium payment health insurance plan which provides financial protection in case the Life Assured is diagnosed with any of the stages of Cancer during the policy term. This plan covers both the early stage cancer and significant stage cancer.

It is an online health insurance plan which has low premiums, and it comes with some benefits and add-on features.

Features-

It comes with numerable benefits like lump sum benefit, premium waiver benefit, income benefit which would be paid till ten years every month, and many more.

This plan has one month grace period.

Loan facility is not available in this policy as the policy will not acquire any paid-up value or surrender value.

The term period of policy is 10-30 years.

Tax rebate available under Income Tax under section 80D for premium amount paid.

The basic sum insured will remain the same throughout the policy term period.

Increasing Sum Insured –

The sum insured increases by 10% of basic sum insured each year for first five years starting from the first policy anniversary or until the diagnosis of first event of cancer, whichever is earlier. On diagnosis of any specified cancer as mentioned above, all the claims will be based on the increased sum insured at the policy anniversary coinciding or prior to the diagnosis of the first claim and further increases to this sum insured will not be applicable.

Benefits-

Lump sum Benefit-

Early stage cancer– In this stage, the early stage cancer is diagnosed, 25% of sun insured would be paid immediately to be insured.

Major stage cancer– in this stage of cancer, 100% sum insured would be paid on being diagnosed.

Premium Waiver Benefit-

Early stage cancer– In this stage of cancer, first three years premium would be waived and later the premium payment to be continued.

Major stage cancer– In this stage, all future premium payments would be waived off.

Income Benefit-

Early stage cancer benefit is not available.

Major stage cancer– In this stage, 1% of basic sum insured would be paid every policy month for ten years irrespective of the policy term, i.e., even if policy tenure is over, this benefit amount has been paid.

If the diagnosis of a Cancer was made within 180 days from the Date of issuance of policy or date of revival of risk cover whichever is later.

For any medical conditions suffered by the life assured or any medical procedure undergone by the life assured if that medical condition or that medical procedure was caused directly or indirectly by Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS), AIDS-related complex or infection by Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV).

For any medical condition or any medical procedure arising from the donation of any of the Life Assured organs.

For any medical conditions suffered by the Life Assured or any medical procedure undergone by the Life Assured, if that medical condition or that medical procedure was caused directly or indirectly by alcohol or drug (except under the direction of a registered medical practitioner).

For any medical condition or any medical procedure arising from nuclear contamination; the radioactive, explosive or hazardous nature of nuclear fuel materials or property contaminated by nuclear fuel materials or accident arising from such nature.

DISCLAIMER

All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

China is the 2nd largest economy in the whole world and carries substantial economic hit with its trading partners. However, the slight fall in China’s equity market on 23rd November 2017 has set a fret in financial markets of China.

The current year, China’s bond yields have risen by 93 bps and are trading at 3-year highs. The sharp rise in China bond yields specifies the government’s determination to control corporate debt, which involves them in a talk that Chinese economy could fall in the coming future.

China CSI 300 Index

The top stock on Hang Seng was WH Group Ltd which stood up 1.69% and the stock which suffered loss was AAC Technologies Holdings Inc which sustained a downfall of 4.24%.

The 3 biggest H-shares percentage decliners were China Pacific Insurance Group Corporation Ltd which had a downfall of 4.73%, New China Life Insurance Corporation Ltd which has 4.7% and China Merchants Bank Corporation Ltd down by 4.1% while the biggest stocks which perform well were China Minsheng Banking Corporation Ltd which stood up 2.41%, Great Wall Motor Corporation Ltd which gained 0.98% and China railway Construction Corporation Ltd who stood up 0.77% in the Chinese financial market.

China 10 Years Bond Yields

The CSI 300 index is moving smoothly by 3.3% and closed down at 3% which is its biggest loss since June 2016 i.e., within 17 months. The ChiNext Index stood down by 3.2% which is its highest downfall in 4 months. The other two stocks, i.e., Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Composite Index fell more than 2% that day.

According to the report, China’s five years corporate bond yields had risen by 33 bps in November 2017, which has hit a three year high of 5.3%. In China, there is more than 1 trillion dollar of local bonds which are going to get matured in the coming year 2018-2019, therefore, it is going to be expensive for these firms to roll over financing.

There is very fine line said by Dan Jensen that, ‘The only goal is to be better than myself, my biggest competition is with no one but myself only.’that simply means that one should not compare himself with others in any aspect of life but try improving his own work and skills and same applies while making an investment and expecting positive results from it.

In other words, comparing yourself with others can be a very futile and caustic act as we all have our own different goals and skills and we all are not in the same race, our ways to make investments are dissimilar.

Have you ever seen Warren Buffett making anyinvestment with Carl Ichan strategies or Peter Lynch making any investment in David Tepper’s style? The answer is a clear No because they all have their own rules and strategies to make investments and create positive results out of it. Some ways of investing are for long-term, some are short-term, some are for value, some are for growth, some bet on the change and some bet on the things that won’t. It’s even more captivating to hear the different opinions from the two value investors looking at the same company. So, the key point is not making a comparison with others instead compared you with yourself one or two years ago.

Also, one must keep in mind that to be a good investor he must follow more discipline and try to make less investment decision as possible. That simply means you have to believe in your investment decisions that will do good without your involvement. Not comparing yourself to other investors and their performance is not enough for you; you must not worry about other’s opinion also. If you are a contrarian investor, you should not even listen to and worry about people’s opinion about yourself. If you listen to their opinion, it is because you are having more confidence in them than you have in yourself.

Here are three key points that can help you in making beneficial results from the investments-

Believe in yourself

If you see yourself as a successful investor in future, you must believe in the rules made by you for you. You must have proper planning and strategies for different investments, and you have to believe in that philosophy and the strategies even during tough times. The thing is if you are not willing to take risks and you do not have courage and patience then you can never be an investor.

Do not make unnecessary investments

It is mandatory to know that every investment is not going to give you positive results, so you do not have to invest in all kinds of opportunities or environment. For example, in 1999 the technology is in boom period but Warren Buffett did not make any investment in it, and people said, ‘that’s it for Buffett, he’s too old now.’ And at that time Warren said that ‘I don’t do tech because I don’t understand it and I think it is not for me. I am going to sit it out.

Have the guts to face the failure

The more you get experience in making investments you will come to know that discipline is a must in investing. Sometimes you have to sit out and watch other investors making money in the exact investments that you have already passed on. It is not necessary to follow the trend and invest in everything; you only have to make investments in the things you really know about and then stick to your process with confidence.

Access to higher education is easier now, with good colleges in India and foreign universities wooing students. But, parents must plan and start saving early to build a corpus for their children’s higher studies. And, while it is an important financial goal, such saving should not be prioritised over other goals like saving for retirement.

There has to be a balance between funding short-term and long-term goals. When we speak of long-term goals, families should put retirement as the first priority and then children’s education. For, if children’s education is partly unfunded, there are several options like scholarships or educational loans. But, if your retirement is unfunded, no institution will come forward to fund it. So, parents should not put the child’s education at the mercy of their own retirement planning.

“Some parents also invest in land or property, hoping to sell this when a need arises. However, immovable assets might be illiquid. At the time of need, these might not fetch the amount of money one hopes for. It is risky to depend solely on these.”

“The most important factors to consider are safety of the corpus and the rate of return on your investment. The returns should outperform the rate of increase in the cost of education,”

“Given that education inflation is much higher than consumer inflation, we assume an inflation of 12 per cent for children’s education. This means there has to be some allocation to a high risk/return asset class like equity, as per the family’s comfort level and risk appetite.”

The quarterly report by Knight Frank India, Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce & Industry (FICCI) and National Real Estate Development Council (NARDECO) captures the perceptions and expectations of industry leaders in order to judge the sentiment of the real estate market.

HDFC Standard Life Insurance Company Ltd ( HDFC Life ) (Incorporated in 2000) is life insurance provider in India. HDFC Life offers a wide range of individual and group insurance solutions.

The Company is a joint venture between HDFC and Standard Life Aberdeen plc. Standard Life is an Edinburgh based investment company offering a wide range of financial services across the world. Standard Life is a public company established in 1825.

The Company sells Insurance policies through a multi-channel network, which includes direct sales through own branches, Insurance agents, Partner Banks and through other financial institutions. The company has more than 414 branches and 15,406 full-time employees located across India. It has more than 58,147 individual agents.

Invest in digital platforms to establish leadership in the growing digital space.

Continue to build economies of scale to ensure profitability and cost leadership.

Negative

HDFC Life may be unable to implement its growth strategies and develop and distribute an appropriate product mix for specific customer segments through its multiple distribution channels.

Any termination of, or any adverse change to, its relationships with or performance of its bancassurance partners, including HDFC Bank, could have a material adverse impact on its business, profitability, results of operations and financial condition.

Changes in regulation and compliance requirements could have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

Misconduct by its agents, employees, distribution partners or other third parties is difficult to detect and deter and could harm our brand and its reputation, or lead to regulatory sanctions or litigation against us.

Its Company and certain of its Subsidiaries, Directors, Promoters and Group Companies are involved in certain legal proceedings which, if determined against us, may adversely affect its business and financial condition.

HDFC Life’s results are dependent on the strength of its brand and reputation, as well as the brand and reputation of other HDFC group entities.

Variation in its persistency experience from its estimates, as well as concentrated surrenders, may materially and adversely affect its cash flows, results of operations and financial condition.

If actual claims experience and other parameters are different from the assumptions used in pricing its products and setting reserves for its products, could have a material adverse effect on its business, results of operations and financial condition.

HDFC Life depends on its leadership and key management and its actuarial, information technology, investment management, finance, frontline sales staff, underwriting and other personnel, and its business would suffer if we lose their services and are unable to adequately replace them.

Adverse market fluctuations and economic conditions would have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

Failure to secure new distribution relationships, as well as any termination or disruption of its existing distribution relationships, may have a material adverse effect on its competitiveness and result in a material impact on its financial condition and results of operations.

Higher expenses than expected could have a material adverse effect on its business, financial position and results of operations.

There is a risk that customer data could be lost or misused.

In the event that HDFC and/or Standard Life Mauritius reduce the percentage of their respective shareholding in its Company, or the Name Usage Agreement or the Trademark Agreement is terminated, we may not be permitted to use the “HDFC” and/or “Standard Life” trademarks as part of our brand and name for our business.

Catastrophic events, such as natural disasters, which are often unpredictable, may materially and adversely affect its claims experience, investment portfolio, financial condition and results of operations.

Valuation

HDFC Standard Life Insurance Company is among the top three life insurers in India by terms of market share in new business premium one of the most profitable life insurers based on the VNB margins, and among the top five private life insurers in India. The overall total premium recorded a CAGR of 14.5% to Rs.19445 crore between FY2015 and FY2017. The VNB margins improved from 18.5% in FY2015 to 22.0% in FY2017 by improvement in cost-efficiencies, increasing persistency ratios and selling a balanced product mix. Profit after tax registered a CAGR of 6.3% to Rs 886.92 crore in FY2017 from FY2015.

The company is valued at Rs 58260 crore at the upper price band of Rs 290 per share. With embedded value (EV) at Rs 14010 crore end September 2017, the scrip is offered at 4.2 times the EV.

Comparison with Peers:

ICICI Pru. Life: PE 33.40, RoNW : 28.70%

SBI Life PE 69.40,RoNW : 18.60%

HDFC Std.Life: PE:65.91 ,RoNW:25.70%

Grey market premium

Current Grey market premium is Rs.11/-

Conclusion

Strnogly avoid.

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

The Company is one of the leading footwear brands in India, with a two-pronged focus on retail and distribution of footwear. It is the second largest footwear retailer in India in terms of number of exclusive retail stores operating under the ‘Khadim’s’ brand, with the largest presence in East India and one of the top three players in South India, in fiscal 2016. It also had the largest footwear retail franchisee network in India in fiscal 2016. Its core business objective is ‘Fashion for Everyone,’ and it believes that the Company has established an identity as an ‘affordable fashion’ brand, catering to the entire family for all occasions. As at March 31, 2017, it operated 829 ‘Khadim’s’ branded exclusive retail stores across 23 states and one union territory in India, through its retail business vertical. Further, it had a network of 357 distributors in fiscal 2017, in its distribution business vertical.

Khadim India has allocated shares worth Rs 157.5 crore to 13 anchor investors at the upper end of the Rs 745 – 750 price band set for the IPO.

Pre-payment or scheduled repayment of all or a portion of term loans and working capital facilities availed by its Company.

Negative

Khadim is subject to risks associated with expansion into new geographic markets. Any inability to expand into new geographic markets or penetrate existing markets may adversely affect its growth and future prospects.

Any delay or default in payment from its franchisee-operated stores or distributors could adversely impact its profits and affect its cash flows.

Khadim may not be able to obtain sufficient quantities or desired quality of finished products from outsourced vendors in a timely manner or at acceptable prices, which could adversely affect its retail business, financial condition and results of operation.

Khadimrely on its franchisees with respect to its retail business and on its distributors with respect to its distribution business. Any failure to maintain relationships with such third parties could adversely affect its business, results of operations and financial condition.

Khadim’s Directors and Promoters are involved in certain legal proceedings, which, if determined against us could have a material adverse effect on its financial condition, results of operations and its reputation.

Khadim cost of procurement of products from outsourced vendors or cost of manufacture of products using contract manufacturers may increase in the future. Any inability to pass on costs to consumers and distributors, may result in a reduction in its margins.

Khadim’s inability to maintain an optimal level of inventory in its stores may impact its operations adversely.

If Khadim is unable to maintain and enhance the ‘Khadim’s’ brand, the sales of its products may suffer which would have a material adverse effect on its financial condition and results of operations.

Any inability to increase its market share in premium products may have an adverse effect on its business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

Khadim results of operations may be materially adversely affected by its failure to anticipate and respond to changes in fashion trends and consumer preferences in a timely manner.

Khadim depends on third parties for a major portion of its transportation needs. Any disruptions may adversely affect its operations, profitability, reputation and market position.

Khadim’s Promoters will retain a majority shareholding in its Company following the Offer, which will allow them to exercise significant influence over us and may cause us to take actions that are not in the best interest of its other shareholders.

Valuation

Net sales increased 16% to Rs 621.25 crore and the operating profit margins were up 80 basis points to 10.6% in FY 2017. Net profit jumped 22% to Rs 30.75 crore. .Net sales (net of discount and taxes) of the retail business rose 14% to Rs 456.49 crore and those of the distribution business by 36% to Rs 134.7 crore.

Net sales stood at Rs 178.43 crore and the OPM at 9.3% in the June 2017 quarter. Net profit stood at Rs 7.10 crore. Net sales (net of discount and taxes) of the retail business stood at Rs 124.9 crore, in line with the growth of existing stores and revenue contributions from 28 new stores and of the distribution business was Rs 48.38 crore, primarily from growth in the distribution base.

At the upper band of Rs 750, P/E works out to 43.8 times EPS of Rs 17.1 (on post-IPO equity) for FY 2017. On a comparable basis, Bata India is trading at a P/E of 57.5 times FY 2017 EPS of Rs 13.5, Liberty Shoes at a P/E of 63.6 times FY 2017 EPS of Rs 3.88 and Relaxo Footwear at a P/E of 51.7 times FY 2017 EPS of Rs 10.24.

Grey market premium

Currently Grey market premium is Rs.19/-

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.