May 2 marks the third birthday of Prince William and Kate Middleton‘s only daughter. Traditionally, the couple have marked their children’s birthdays by sharing a new set of photos — typically taken by their own mother, who is a keen photographer — which the public promptly gushes over before storming the shops in search of the kids’ designer clothes.

Of course, it’s always possible that the royals will release more photos later on and that the birthday girl is currently covered in cake and presents. Or perhaps the nursery school shoot was intended to double as a birthday portrait, as some have noted that Middleton sometimes shoots her photos months in advance.

The family released an official portrait for the princess’s second birthday in 2017. (Photo: HRH the Duchess of Cambridge via Getty Images)

Or maybe Prince Louis has just ruined everything for one particular toddler and will pay the price if she beats him to the throne. Nothing says sibling payback like a night in the Tower…