Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)Cleveland at Kansas City | 19:10 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Dayton Moore’s somewhat mysterious confidence in Ervin Santana has been justified thus far, as the right-hander has posted an 86 xFIP- and 0.5 WAR and 0.9 RA/9 WAR (that is, WAR based not on FIP but on runs allowed) through four starts. Santana’s swinging-strike rate has been about two percentage points above his career average so far — and much of that seems due to his slider. Always his best pitch by pitch-type value, Santana’s slider has been even better than usual, worth about 3.5 runs above league average for every hundred thrown. He’s also throwing it 40% of the time, which is rather often, actually.

Los Angeles AL at Seattle | 21:10 ET
It’s reasonable to say that tonight’s starter Felix Hernandez is a pleasure — both for his ability to prevent runs and also for his method of so doing. Anyone choosing to watch this game must deal with two Impediments to Amusement, however: both the Mariners center-field camera (which is less than ideal for watching Hernandez) and the Mariners offense (which is a cauldron of disappointment).

Today’s Game Odds, Translated into Winning PercentagesNote: the very proprietary and also critically acclaimed NERD game scores will become available again on Monday, April 29.

Here — for purposes entirely of entertainment and not for gambling, which is a Scourge of Propriety — are all of today’s games with moneyline odds (from relatively “sharp” sportsbook Pinnacle Sports) translated into projected winning percentages (and adjusted to account for the vigorish).

Games are listed in Eastern Time, and presented as they appear at Pinnacle — which appears to be in order of (a) National League and then (b) American League and, finally, then (c) interleague play.