Monday, August 25, 2008

Here is the list for the week of August 25. These are the stocks that are passing at least three of my five filters.

Symbol

Top Ranked

Zacks

PEG

SuppDem

VL

IBD Stock checkup

ARO

1

1

1

1

A+

RIMM

1

1

1

1

A+

FLIR

1

1

1

1

A

AXYS

1

2

1

A+

BUCY

1

1

1

A+

CELG

1

1

1

A+

CF

1

1

1

A+

FSLR

1

1

2

A+

HAL

1

1

1

A+

NOV

1

1

1

A+

URBN

1

1

1

A+

WAB

1

1

1

A+

ACI

1

1

1

A

BTU

1

1

1

A

ESV

1

1

1

A

JOYG

1

1

1

A

MON

1

1

1

A

SOHU

1

1

1

A

VMI

1

1

1

A

XLNX

1

1

1

A

BWLD

2

1

1

A-

EZPW

1

1

1

A-

CSX and KWK are off the core list. (And I so liked trains, but it looks like CSX and Wabtec are trading places.)

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

Symbol

Passing weeks

Earnings

AXYS

10

ESV

10

Earn 23-Oct

HAL

10

Earn 20-Oct

NOV

10

RIMM

10

Earn 25-Sep

ACI

9

BUCY

9

JOYG

9

Earn 3-Sep

MOS

8

Earn 3-Oct

CF

8

MON

8

Earn 8-Oct

XLNX

8

Earn 15-Oct

ARO

7

Earn 21-Aug

FLIR

7

GDI

6

Earn 22-Oct

POT

6

RIG

6

Earn 5-Nov

WAB

6

FLR

5

VMI

5

Earn 15-Oct

moving down this week

moving up this week

new this week

My friend, Patrick, stumbled on this blog, and asked me that great question: why? Great question. Since he's a writer, I answered his question in terms of voice and audience. I am writing this blog because the act of writing helps me channel and direct the conflicting thoughts that I have about the markets. Also, Karen thought that the discipline of a blog would help me keep on a regular schedule of publishing these filters. (It has done so.) I also use the blog to take a position, take responsibility for the position, and admit when I have made a mistake. I believe that recognizing one's mistakes is one of the essential qualities of a successful trader. (And by the way, have a great school year teaching AP Literature, Patrick.)

There's also the possibility that a handful of you are using the core list and finding it useful. I believe that the core list will provide a handful of stocks that will tend to go up in the short-term (say, twenty to sixty days), when combined with your market brain (that is, your beliefs, skills, and timing). That's a good thing.

Darn, I missed I.O.U.S.A last week. Maybe it'll come back to the movie theaters, or maybe I'll have to wait for the DVD. Josiah and I moved a half-ton of solar panels and equipment, and my main thought was to sitting down when I got home, not going out to the movies.

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has remains at a negative two-and-a-half an inflation star ("deflation"), because the CRB, the XLB, and gold all moved under their 6-month historical value. I had to reset my Excel formula because the "deflation" is the lowest it gets. (Now I have a "deflation 2" and a "deflation 3," but it's all deflationary.)

Monday, August 18, 2008

Here is the list for the week of August 18. One might observe that the number of stocks on the weekly list seem to be falling.

Symbol

Top Ranked

Zacks

PEG

SuppDem

VL

IBD Stock checkup

ARO

1

1

1

1

A+

RIMM

1

1

1

1

A+

FLIR

1

1

1

1

A

AXYS

1

2

1

A+

FLS

1

1

1

A+

FSLR

1

1

2

A+

WAB

1

1

1

A+

XLNX

1

1

1

A+

BUCY

1

1

1

A

CF

1

1

1

A

HAL

1

1

1

A

MON

1

1

1

A

ACI

1

1

1

A-

CAM

1

1

1

A-

ESV

1

1

1

A-

NOV

1

1

1

A-

SOHU

1

1

1

A-

FTI and NBL are off the core list. Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (symbol WAB) is new. Also called Wabtec, WAB provides equipment and services for trains.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

Symbol

Passing weeks

Earnings

AXYS

10

ESV

10

Earn 23-Oct

HAL

10

Earn 20-Oct

NOV

10

RIMM

10

Earn 25-Sep

JOYG

9

Earn 3-Sep

MOS

9

Earn 3-Oct

ACI

9

BUCY

9

CF

8

MON

8

Earn 8-Oct

XLNX

8

Earn 15-Oct

GDI

7

Earn 22-Oct

POT

7

RIG

7

Earn 5-Nov

FLR

6

ARO

6

Earn 21-Aug

FLIR

6

CSX

5

Earn 14-Oct

VMI

5

Earn 15-Oct

KWK

5

WAB

5

moving down this week

moving up this week

new this week

I don't usually plug movies, much less ones that have won awards at the Sundance Film Festival. However, I will make an exception for I.O.U.S.A, which you can find out more about from http://www.agorafinancial.com/iousa.html. It is playing one night, August 21, at a movie theatre near you.

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. The Inflation Model has remains at a negative half an inflation star ("deflation"), because the CRB, the XLB, and gold all moved under their 6-month historical value.

Enjoy your trading this week. And do stop in to see the movie, if you can; it will cost between $11 and $20 and will include the sage of Omaha (Warren Buffett) by teleconference, afterward.

Monday, August 4, 2008

Here is the list for the week of August 4. It is comprised of stocks passing at least three of the five filters.

Symbol

Top Ranked

Zacks

PEG

SuppDem

VL

IBD Stock checkup

ARO

1

1

1

1

A+

FLIR

1

1

1

1

A+

RIMM

1

1

1

1

A+

AXYS

1

2

1

A+

BUCY

1

1

1

A+

CF

1

1

1

A+

EZPW

1

1

1

A+

JOYG

1

1

1

A+

MOS

1

1

1

A+

NOV

1

1

1

A+

WAB

1

1

1

A+

X

1

1

1

A+

ACI

1

1

1

A

BIDU

1

1

1

A

ESV

1

1

1

A

HAL

1

1

1

A

MON

1

1

1

A

PCLN

1

1

1

A

RIG

1

1

1

A-

SOHU

1

1

1

A-

XLNX

1

1

1

A-

BRY and MANT are off the core list. There are no new stocks on the core list.

Core list (with n of 10 weeks passing):

Symbol

Passing weeks

Earnings

AXYS

10

HAL

10

Earn 20-Oct

JOYG

10

Earn 4-Sep

MOS

10

NOV

10

RIMM

10

Earn 25-Sep

POT

9

ACI

9

BUCY

9

MON

9

Earn 8-Oct

RIG

9

Earn 6-Aug

ESV

9

Earn 23-Oct

FLR

8

Earn 11-Aug

GDI

8

Earn 22-Oct

XLNX

8

CSX

7

Earn 14-Oct

VMI

7

Earn 15-Oct

CF

7

FTI

6

NBL

6

KWK

5

Earn 6-Aug

MA

5

SWN

5

ARO

5

Earn 21-Aug

NETL

5

moving down this week

moving up this week

new this week

I am continuing to read through Van Tharp's Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom. I am applying this to my search for a Forex system that will suit me well.

The Market remains in Red Light mode according to the 1-2-3 model. It has surprised me in its move to half a star in the inflation model ("decreasing Inflation"), because gold and XLB both moved under their 6-month historical value. Enjoy your trading this week, but keep your guard up.