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At the major auctions the sales rates ranged from 18% to 44%

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Barfoot & Thompson achieved sales on a third of the properties at the agency's latest auctions, with more than half of them selling for more than their council rating valuations.

The agency marketed 135 properties for sale by auction last week, achieving sales on 44 of them (33%).

Twenty of those properties sold for more than their rating valuations, 17 sold for less, and either the selling prices or valuations were not available for the remainder.

At the major auctions where at least 10 properties were offered, the sales rates ranged from 18% at the Shortland St auction on 21 September where the properties offered were mainly from west Auckland, to 44% at the Shortland St auction on 19 September, where most of the properties offered were from a mix of central Auckland suburbs such as Glen Innes, Mt Roskill, Remuera, Epsom and Onehunga.

At the Manukau auction, where most of the properties offered where from the southern and eastern suburbs that previously fell within the former Manukau City boundaries, the sales rate was 35% and at the North Shore auction it was 19%.

Details of all the properties offered and the selling prices and rating valuations of most of those that sold are available on our Residential Auction Results page.

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47 Comments

Who chooses to go to Auction? Only those people who know that there is likely to be competition for premium 'product' they are selling. Self selecting group makes the results less pertinent to overall market.

Agree the FBB will take 3-6 months to feel any impact, and whether that legislation is actually effective. Interest rates still down, and Council constraint on development still significant. Could still go either way I guess, especially if Immigration is not slowed further, and bank rates stay at their printing press driven lows. Im personally still bearish.

I told my Dad over breakfast this morning that when I visited The Shore, I thought it had quite a few suburbs that exemplify the Million Dollar Dog Box Syndrome. Sure the coastline strip is great, but inland not so much.

Dad said something about Top Dogs always getting the tasty treat, or some such thing, so I turned up the volume on my bluetooth headset and finished my 5-star health rated nutrigrain (without strawberries).

Lets just say that the pantry has plenty of popcorn, and i'm bookmarking a few Australian property bulls youtube sites.. Glad my friends over there have been in their place a while, and both are on 6 figure incomes, so they'll probably be okay..

Actually, his job is very construction industry related, and hers is in luxury goods.. so might not be so good for either of them.

Auction clearance rates in Auckland have risen markedly since May/June this year. Over this period, there have been numerous auctions that have recorded clearance rates above 40% (and even 50%). For instance, last Saturday's headline reads:

Initially very little. Sellers will be in shock and without the cash from foreigners the level of equity that people will have to trade up will just evaporate. There are very few second time movers because so many up to the eyeballs from buying the first home and the gap will be too great to breach for much of the middle market.

There is already 32,000 listings for sale, that will grow and grow as the mismatch continues and then the stories of people having to sell for a lot less if they want/need to get out will filter through our little communities and the newer stock will eventually start to come on and undercut the unsold / overpriced stuff.

You won't see it in 2 months... There will be two months of very low sales volumes then it will magnify month on month. I can see 20% off the top of the market within 12 months though and money getting much harder to borrow. It already is.

Westpac remain my 'black swan' event that could make things a whole lot worse. New Zealand is about to become the land of opportunity for those that are cashed up.

BLSH you'll like this story from my past life which I've just shared with Nzdan

'I once had some dealings with a Japanese businessman who had got himself in a bit of strife because his wife had found out that the 18 bedroom house he'd bought in the UK wasn't for her exclusive entertainment but was being shared by another female visitor that he liked to spend time with.

Mr X, we'll call him had bought this wonderful house for just over £10,000,000 in 2005 and had spent a cool £3,000,000 on doing it up a bit and getting the 18 acres of grounds manicured. Then in 2007 his wife busted him. In 2008 the house was on the market for £12,500,000. Not a whisper from the market. Price came down to £10,000,000 and in mid 2008 an offer of £8.5 million was turned down by Mr X. There was a bit of a mortgage on this place and my involvement began at the end of 2008. Anyway long and short of it is that in early 2010 with Mr X having lost control of the right to sell himself was relieved of the burden, the banks accepting a bid of £4.5 million (against their £5.25 million mortgage) to get shot of the whole thing. The moral of the story is that Mr X shouldn't have borrowed so much and probably shouldn't have got caught cheating on his wife.'

You learn a lot over the years BLSH, but I wouldn't see that as scary. The chap who bought it for £4.5 million in 2010 sold it in 2017 for £7.5 million.

Leverage can be a vengeful mistress in a downturn. Cash, equities and property have rarely moved in tandem. I actually think we'll see the end of the stock markets bull run first. That'll happen quickly... If you're in cash, there will be money made on that recovery whilst asset prices like housing and commercial tank under the debt burden of households. Then it's just timing the back in or seeing if there is something else that takes your fancy.

Reference to the 2017 CVs took a while to be reported in sales results. The earliest email I can find was for the February results. The sales levels were low in each Eastern Bays suburb so the prices/CV were all over the place. However, on a Bays wide basis, 63 properties sold for a total of $107 million and averaged 98% of the 2017 CV.

It would appear that prices in these areas are slightly higher / flat over the last six months, although I can see that numbers for Kohimamrama could support a more bullish conclusion. Waiting for Nictradamus Johnson’s 20% collapse with bated breath.

FWIW: Core Logic estimate my Kohimarama home at CV, where it was 101.28% as at 2/9/18

Ex Expat, on another thread you said your home had reverted back to the 2017 CV. What September spot valuation were you using then? Your fridge door must be looking awfully cluttered by now! Market forces say it's pointless reflating when it suits you to do so.

Retired Poppy, I’m entirely consistent. Look above where I say the current Core Logic value is at CV. I only noticed the Core Logic value in the last few months.

Edit: Just checked the app and a new estimate came out on 23/9. It’s now 99.1% of CV. That’s a drop of $21,000.

BTW: I only post these to present a consistent source of info. The comments here are all over the place with some very ordinary efforts like the one last week that didn’t bother to look at the S13 sales aspect. Meanwhile some like my niece are getting on with life buying a new build 2 bedbroom unit for $589,000. She bought small and close to work as the COL fuel price gouge is going to kill the properties with long commutes. They won’t vote COL n3xt time if they have a brain.

I have a standby home loan facility with ANZ. On their Go Money app there’s a tag next to the facility with the Core Logic estimated value of their security and date it applied. I don’t access any reports or sites that require payment. I find it interesting that ANZ is dynamically valuing its security.

I would have thought every bank should do this. What I find interesting is that they make this information accessible to the customer. I suppose it's a good lead in for extra lending during good times.

That really is an interesting development by the largest lender in NZ.

Remember that this works both on the upside and on the downside.

This is equivalent to a mark to market valuation approach in financial markets, and it has led to forced sales by asset holders when the LVR becomes too high, and the equity cushion is too small. Property investors who are at high LVR's could be forced with loan top ups or pledge additional collateral to ensure banks are covered by the value of the collateral. This behaviour could magnify any downturn in prices.

I wonder if the other big banks are undertaking this valuation process.

About 20% more homes going to auction for this year as compared to last year. Even with many more homes going to auction, there were 28% fewer sales this year than last year. The trend isn't currently very favorable.

A brief aside. Just about to turn out the light in my hotel suite in San Diego. Great place and been having a right time of it. Could easily move here and think I found my spot in Coronado. However the sheer volume of homeless, vagrants and the plainly unhinged is impressive on a scale that simply overwhelms Auckland even when you consider that the San Diego population is less than that of our greater city. It’s a very sad indictment of modern society to see the way in which some people see fit to simply waste their lives away in the gutter. The only answer I can see is making such behaviour a criminal act with the ensuing punishment so heinous it actively deters it. Unfortunately you cannot save everyone. Some people are just what they are but that should not mean we have to tread lightly over them in fear of unleashing a violent outburst from them or their earnest yet woefully misguided enablers. Aucklanders should take a good look at the situation and before we lose all perspective by resorting to euphemisms such as rough sleepers start by calling them what they are - an urban blight which should not be tolerated, permitted or assisted to continue. Anyways, my rant over. Time for a well deserved nap.

There is a portion of society that is basically incapable of looking after themselves. Helen Clark's government decided to 'set them free' so they're now all on the streets with 'the community looking after them'.

We need to bring back the institutions that look after people who can't look after themselves.

I think the real impact of the FBB is already being felt in Auckland due to the de-commoditising of houses.
At the height of speculation there is ample evidence of OSBs selling to each other with no intention of occupation or renting, This effectively changed the housing stock into a means to get money out of the buyers country into another currency and to speculate in the same way one would on gold or bitcoin or any other commodity. The effect on the local house market was to fix new upper prices on a street by street basis on the LBI scale. This activity decoupled housing from wages and affordability and linked it to the commodity bubble which was fuelled by cheap money domestically and overseas. Existing homeowners saw immediate and rapid equity growth and many either traded up or invested in the housing commodity market themselves. The bubble was further strengthened by a stable economy and a strong NZD. The slowdown in price growth stopped/slowed the inter OSB market and the domestic speculation was curtailed by bank lending and legislative changes.This has brought Auckland back,albeit slowly, to pricing housing on a wage/affordability basis. A number of Kiwi's have paper profits . some geared against some not, that were created by the housing market being confused with the commodity market. The downward pressure on house prices will continue from the economy, the FBB and legislative changes. This must result in the valuation basis on houses adjusting to a non commodity basis. Additionally, I think the LBI scale will reset prices on a street by street basis as evinced by the current price trend.
We live in interesting times!.

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