borger, david gergen and chief nationalcorrespondent,johnking. john, thecampaigns say they are ready for late night waiting for ohio returns. what do the latest polls tell us? >> if you look at our new poll today, it tells you the campaigns are right. we've got essentially a dead heat. the president has a 50% to 47% for governor romney lead among likely voters. that's within the margin of error. if you look deep into the poll, they're tied among independents. the president is doing very well in cleveland and columbus, where he has to do well. governor romney's doing pretty well down here in the southwest corner of the state where i am and in the rural areas. where he needs to do well. both candidates are doing well where they need to do well. now they're just trying to turn up the energy and turn up the intensity which is why they're both here in the state today. they will both be back in the state today. if you look deep into our poll, you have a classic dead heat in the classic swing state. >> david, you were saying a couple days ago you thought the president was an odds-on favorit

nationalcorrespondentjohnkingisjoining us right now. he's in ohio aswell.john, takeus inside these numbers. >> wolf, they are fascinating when you look deep in this poll. the president you just showed he's here in ohio. governor romney will be here tontd. they expect some 35,000 republicans at his rally. in this part of the state i'm in cincinnati tonight. when you look deep in our poll you see this one will be fought out through the last poll closing on election night. look at these two candidates among independents. governor romney with a slight edge 48% to 46%. again, that's a statistical tie well within the margin of error. the auto bailout is one of the things the president thinks will help him here in ohio. you heard him mention that in this speech. look at this in the industrial northern part of the state, across northern ohio where you have many auto-related direct factory plants, the president leads 52% to 45%. some evidence there especially among white blue collar workers the president is doing better than he might have done otherwise without the auto bailout. what

it turn now to our chief nationalcorrespondentjohnking, whois in southwest of me, in the town of cincinnati, ohio. so, john, it is very good to see you. i've been wanting to talk to you about this for a while now. so mitt romney is there, going to be there later on. and he is in -- going to be in ohio. was in wisconsin earlier. the latest cnn poll of polls shows that obama is up by 3 points. so take a look at that. what can we read, if anything, into those numbers? is that sort of within the margin of error or not? is it enough to -- for the obama campaign to feel safe or no? >> well, it is close enough, don, for the romney campaign to overcome an election day if they have a significant turnout. a significant intensity, a significant energy event. one of the things that is interesting about ohio, some of the other swing states have gone up and down. the president was up 3, then tide, then governor up was up 1 or 2 or the president's lead has fluctuated. ohio has been steady throughout the general election season. if you go back to april, we knew governor romney would be the no

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