Democrats: He's going to win! I can finally, finally, finally relax for once in a campaign.

...

Look, it's simple. When the American people hear Obama talk, without a filter, they support him. When the American people are talking about the issues that matter to people, rather than stupid sideshow drivel, they support Obama.

Those two elements will converge in the upcoming slate of Presidential debates.

In 2004, John Kerry's support grew substantially after the debates, and the only reason he didn't win then was because he was starting from a lower level of support before those debates. The worst it will be for Obama is behind by 1-2 percent.

McCain knows that he's going to start losing ground in a hurry once the debate season kicks in. And if the best he can do right now is pull to a tie, or maybe the slightest of leads, then he is going to find himself making a call of congratulations to the Senator from Illinois on November 4th.