Two Realities

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Two roads diverged in a wood, and I—

I took the one less traveled by,

And that has made all the difference.

–Robert Frost

Our contemporary world is host to two coexisting but fundamentally different—and, in at least one crucial respect, contradictory—realities. One of these might be termed Political Reality, though it extends far beyond formal politics and pervades conventional economic thinking. It is the bounded universe of what is acceptable in public economic-social-political discourse. The other is Physical Reality: i.e., what exists in terms of energy and materials, and what is possible given the laws of thermodynamics.

For decades these two realities have developed along separate lines. They overlap from time to time: politicians and economists use data tied to measurable physical parameters, while physical scientists often frame their research and findings in socially meaningful ways. But in intent and effect, they diverge to an ever-greater extent.

The issue at which they differ to the point of outright contradiction is economic growth. And climate change forces the question.

* * *

The voice of political reality tells us that economic growth is necessary. We need it for job creation; we need it to enable poor people to become wealthier, to maintain technological progress, to provide returns on investments and to increase tax revenues so as to make essential government services available. Growth is even required to address environmental problems: after all, we need ever more money to fund disaster relief and renewable energy transition efforts. Only by growing the economy now can we become wealthy enough to afford to fix the problems created by past growth. Meanwhile population growth must continue because it is an essential component of GDP growth.

Within the realm of political reality, anybody who questions the importance of growth is not to be taken seriously. Such a person is obviously not a humanitarian, nor a responsible participant in mainstream political and economic discussions.

It wasn’t always this way: as I’ve explained in my book The End of Growth, and in a brief essay on the history of consumerism, economies tended to grow slowly or not at all prior to the fossil-fueled industrial revolution. Cheap, concentrated energy enabled industrial expansion and overproduction, which in turn laid the groundwork for consumerism, globalization and financialization. Economies and governments came to expect high rates of growth, and to rely on them to fulfill increasingly extravagant promises.

The result has been—I’m choosing my words carefully—the gradual accretion of a set of widely shared assumptions that constitute a bounded ideational realm with rigidly consistent internal rules. Deviate from these rules, and there are predictable consequences. When any public person (writer, economist, scientist, whatever) demonstrates a disconnection from political reality by questioning the desirability or possibility of continued growth, the minders of the mainstream media turn their attention elsewhere.

How different physical reality is. Simple arithmetic shows that growth in population and consumption cannot continue indefinitely. In his book The No-Growth Imperative, Gabor Zovanyi offers an illustration: “If our species had started with just two people at the time of the earliest agricultural practices some 10,000 years ago, and increased by 1 percent per year, today humanity would be a solid ball of flesh many thousand light years in diameter, and expanding with a radial velocity that, neglecting relativity, would be many times faster than the speed of light.” Today’s global population growth rate of 1.1 percent per year is obviously unsustainable over any significant time frame. Growth in consumption levels faces similar practical limits.

Progress on: Petition to Demand a WORLD WAR TWO STYLE MASSIVE, ALL OUT EFFORT to transition to 100% Renewable Energy within a DECADE

Dr. v. E. Perkins, CO Jul 19, 18:02 # 315

This is our obligation to God and to our descendants and to our fellow creatures who should not be suffering at our hands.

Mr. Larry Gibson, CA Jul 19, 08:17 # 311

Stop the insane & corrupt oil industries (Koch brothers their minions. The Gift that is the Earth cannot sustain & in the short term heal this massive assault to all species on land & sea. These masters of insanity care only for themselves. We should be able to arrest them & their wealth they are using as an atomic bomb against Life on Our Earth.

Mr. Ron McCullough, TN Jul 18, 19:51 # 304

We as a nation have to free ourselves from the tyranny and boundless greed of the fossil fuel oligarchs that keep us in the Dark Ages of renewable energy. How is it good governance to destroy the Earth for short term gains for the 1%? It’s not. It’s the result of corruption and cowardice of elected officials and it must stop!

Mr. Troy Kilbourne, MN Jul 18, 18:48 # 303

A “Manhattan Project” for renewable energy is, I believe, the only thing that can reverse our course towards catastrophic climate change. We did it back then, and we can do it now.

Mr. Stephen Spaulding, NH Jul 17, 06:00 # 302

The fossil fuel industry knows its stranglehold on us inevitably has to end. It’s feverishly trying every way it can to lock us into dependence for another half-century. We cannot allow this to happen.

Ms. Jean Elliott, IL Jul 16, 09:44 # 300

This is an emergency. Climate and pollution disasters loom unless we get off fossil fuels.

The German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU) has issued a
public document proposing the “de-carbonization” of the world energy
economy, that is, the complete elimination of all fossil fuels (oil,
coal and gas) by 2050, and the immediate renunciation of nuclear fission
and of further research on thermonuclear fusion energy. Titled “World
in Transition—A Social Contract for Sustainability,” the WBGU document
demands a “Great Transformation” over to the exclusive utilization of
so-called renewable energy by the year 2050.

This so-called “Great Transformation” is supposed to effect a change
comparable to the transition from hunter-gatherer to agrarian society,
and from an agrarian to industrial society. This change, however, would
mark a dangerous step backward, in the course of which Germany would no
longer exist as an industrial nation. On a worldwide scale, the low
energy- flux density of so-called renewable energies corresponds to a
maximum population potential of 1 to 2 billion people.

For the developing sector this transformation means quite simply a
massive population reduction. For this reason, the developing nations
rejected such a “suicide pact” proposed at the December 2009 United
Nations Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen.

The “global social contract” proposed by the WBGU means nothing else
but an imperial, global eco-fascism, based upon a view of humanity
filled with contempt for Man, that proceeds from ideological, rather
than scientific premises.

On these and further grounds we, the undersigned, condemn this malicious proposal and call for the dissolution of the WBGU.

Please sign: Name, Affiliation, City and Country: sign up here!

ThisOldMan

You are so god damn stupid that if you knew how stupid you are, even you would be embarrassed. But you don’t, won’t and can’t.

Kath Cotrell

The keyword to your fallacious stance is “industrial society.” Try to consider the construct of sustainable production in local communities. Try to identify the necessary vs. the optional and downright unhealthy and unsustainable. Those who would attempt to modify our attitudes and behavior in order to ensure that we have a healthy, sustainable future are not “eco-fascists,” they are visionaries. They are not contemptuous of humanity; rather, they hold a reverence for all life.

It appears that your fears have won out over your powers of analytical thinking. Take a deep breath and try to imagine a future different from the one towards which we are currently headed. There. Now, isn’t that better?

ProsperityForRI

ProsperityForRI.com totally supports Heiberg’s words and deeds on this issue. My goal is to get Rhode Island politiicians to understand that thrashing around for growth will be much more harmful to our community than a smart contraction. I am still a pariah but making slow progress.

Here is my follow up to a mayoral candidate forum in my neighborhood.

And none of the candidates were actually willing to talk about it last night. I have personally met with 4 of the 7 candidates we saw last night and spoken to those 4 about how the economy is not going to work in RI under the neoliberal model. I reminded them we have to directly address inequality, globalization/localization, climate change, ecological healing and food security if we are to create an economy that creates livelihoods in our communities in the 21st Century. All we were offered is more real estate speculation and meds and eds despite that real estate specualtion fosters inequality and is an easy way to crash the economy. And meds and eds are some of the leading causes of bankruptcies and debt and among the biggest stifflers of innovation.

As for regualtion, the anti regulatory fervor is mostly around building in wetlands (very dumb when you are getting ever more damaging flooding over time) and allowing companies like GM that knows it has cars that are likely to have catastrophic failures and kill people to get off with a slap on the wrist because they keep so many palms greased.

City economies seem to unfortunately be dependent upon speculation. Therefore it is hard to move towards being more self sufficient with affordable farmland and housing, but that is where our future prosperity lies. Economic growth that actually reaches our neighborhoods has not happened for 40 years and is never coming back (121% of all the growth in income in 2011 went to 1% of the population, yes the rest of us got poorer desite economic growth being trumpeted). The thrashing around for growth (tax breaks which no self respecting capitalist would even ask for unless he were a simple rent seeker) that all of the candidates trumpeted last night is a recipe for disaster. Climatic and economic. Having met with 4 of them previously, and setting up a meeting with a 5th, I am not holding my breath that any candidates for office in RI this year understands that the military industrial complex is not a boon for RI, but a money pit that costs us both blood and treasure. So it might not be fair to believe that they would get how much inequality in an economy grinds it to a halt in many of the same ways that ecological destruction does. But I will keep trying to educate them. greg

Seeoh2

I wouldn’t worry too much. I’ve spent enough time in RI, MA, CT, NJ, NY, CA, IL and other states governed by enlightened Progressives to know that you are already going through your contraction, and you all brought it on yourselves, planned or not.
You don’t have to do a thing differently. Just sit back and watch the economic decay continue!!!

oceanstater

One trouble with this debate is it those suggesting a solution focus so much on energy. First, even so-called clean renewable energy has impacts (from manufacturing, construction, maintenance, disposal, transmission, birdkills..) Second, we are colliding with resource limitations that more energy can worsen (deforestation, loss of biodiversity, soil and water depletion…) Then there is a political reality. Its not just well heeled climate deniers, its voters in places such as Australia, Canada, Oklahome etc that freely elect leaders who cater to the fossil fuel industries because they oppose any short-term costs. It is billins of consumers in poor countries that understandably want to significantly increase their consumption. It iss places such as China, Iran, Japan, Russia, France, Israel… that want to increase their birth rate and an army of religious zealots and spokespeople on the right and on the left who oppose any effort to promote measures to limit population growth, oppositon that has scared off almost all the environmental movement from even talking about population.
Any serious discussion of staving off collapse has to explain how to overcome all that.

http://www.sustainablebusiness.com/ Ron Benenati

Did the debate focus on energy? It included energy, but I heard the focus being on the illusion of perpetual growth and all that comes with it.

Scott Medwid

Robert Hargrave, the author of “Thorium: Energy Cheaper than Coal” adresses many of these issues with hope for a world of prosperity for all 9 billion on us. Cheap, clean fossil fuel free baseload 24 hour, 7 day a week advanced nuclear power. This is a major path not taken over the last 30 to 40 years Mr. Hienberg.

Mr. Hargrave spoke at The Shanghai Institute of Science and Technology in October of 2012 after the Chinese government announced thier plan to develop advanced liquid fueled thorium to U233 breeder reactors (meltdown proof). Have a look dear reader: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ayIyiVua8cY#t=82
Concider reading Mr. Hargraves fine book. Thier are paths that take us ALL out of the troubled future we can all see. There is hope and happiness with the right combinations of fossil free energy production methods.
Solar, wind work on the edges, hydro works where you can dam moving water, but only nuclear power plants can replace coal, oil and gas fossil fuel base load electrical generation in reality.

http://www.sustainablebusiness.com/ Ron Benenati

Profound. I agree completely.

tdk

One essential part of our survival plan that is seldom discussed is the cooperation it will take to implement the economic, energy and food transitions. Cooperation is a function of a fully developed human brain. The simplest and most accessible way to cultivate a mature human brain, and thus the emotional technology to deal with our enormous challenges, is meditation. The data is piling up that cultivating mindfulness through meditation initiates physical brain changes in several important parts of the brain. Dr. Sara Lazar, a Harvard neurologist, has demonstrated through her MRI study of the brains of meditators that 30 minutes of meditation for eight weeks increases the size of the hippo campus and parietal lobe while shrinking the amygdala. The hippo campus helps regulate learning, memory and emotional management. The parietal lobe is the site that controls empathy. The amygdala is the home of fear, fight and flight. The neuroplasticity of the brain is amazing. It’s ability to change for the better, quickly, is equally amazing. Developing our emotional technology is essential to our survival. As Jesus said, “The meek will inherit the earth.”

Gadsden Purchase

Despite collectivism’s failures, socialists maintain that centralized government must control people in the name of improving “society”.

Al Amo

Collectivists claim that particular forms of collectivism, like “democratic socialism” or “social democracy” will eliminate the problem, identified by Lenin, of who decides for whom.

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