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Jaguars: Reviewing numbers projections

Reviewing five statistical predictions from Sunday’s Jaguars-Packers game at Lambeau Field.

1. RASHAD JENNINGS TOUCHES

Prediction: 23.

Actual number: 23.

It’s always good to start off with a perfect match. Jennings had 17 carries for 59 yards (a long run of 21 yards) and six catches for 56 yards. He did some good things in both areas after contact. But the Jaguars had only 20 rushes, which is disappointing to a want-to-be-run-oriented team.

2. JAGUARS THIRD DOWN CONVERSIONS

Prediction: 3.

Actual number: 5.

A week after going 1-of-15 on third down, the Jaguars went 5-of-16, not great, but a least they showed a pulse. They converted three of their first five before the second half arrived and old habits arrived – nothing much on first- or second-down, resulting in a third-and-tough.

3. PACKERS FUMBLE RECOVERIES

Prediction: 1.

Actual number: 1.

Green Bay became the last team in the NFL this year to post its first fumble recovery. The Jaguars were moving inside the Packers’ 25 when Jennings fumbled – Brad Jones forced it and Morgan Burnett recovered it.

4. JAGUARS’ PASS INTERFERENCE YARDS: 28

Prediction: 28.

Actual number: 38.

A week after getting called for penalties of 33 (Rashean Mathis) and 24 (Aaron Ross) yards at Oakland, Will Middleton was hit with a 38-yard interference penalty on a key third-down play in the fourth quarter. The call was iffy but it allowed Green Bay to equal parts run out the clock and add a field goal to seal the game. It was the longest penalty by the Jaguars this year.

5. AARON RODGERS TOUCHDOWNS

Prediction: 4.

Actual number: 2.

Rodgers had nine touchdowns and no interceptions in his previous two games. But the Jaguars did a nice job negating the explosive play and Rodgers needed 22 completions to reach his 186 yards passing. His touchdowns were 5 yards to Randall Cobb and 8 yards to Donald Driver.