Archive for November, 2012

The pattern is becoming very zonal across the country and that means mild air will dominate the Lower 48 for probably the next 7 days. However, while there will be a chance of record warmth, a system crossing the Northern Tier next week will pull down cold air out of Canada bringing chilly weather back […]

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Scotland An area of rain and hill snow has been slowly working south through this afternoon and has now brought some cold, low level rain to the Central Belt. Enough warmth aloft is supporting rain despite surface temperatures around freezing. Through tonight, as the mid levels cool, the rain may turn to snow […]

First of all I want to take a look at the next 48 hours which is a real headache as it’s complicated. The complicating factor is that we have a weak Atlantic frontal system trying to make inroads into the Northern UK but the question is, how does this interact with the cold air in place. Does it warm it enough […]

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Scotland It’s been a cold day with many areas holding on to the frost and ice all day as temps rise to only 1-2C. Sheltered areas failed to crack the freezing mark. This ‘cold base’ sets the stage for another very cold late November night but there are subtle changes compared to last night’s widespread […]

Over the next 7 days there are two potential systems which could present UK snowfall, the first being Friday of this week and the second being next Monday. In between, there will be plenty of bright, sunny weather but cold with daytime highs held at between 0-4C and where skies are clear by night, a frost […]

A messege to all you cold weather fans across the US. Do not start crying about the frying that starts December. Yes, it’s going to get mild, how mild? 1, 2 even 3 day departures of 10-20F ABOVE normal, ouch! The good news is however that there is a ton of frigid air over a large chunk […]

While the cold air is here, a lot of uncertainly lies in the forecast as mild Atlantic air tries to erode the cold over the UK late tomorrow and Friday. The question is, will the cold win out by either keeping the front back west or will it allow the front to penetrate inland but turn rain over the […]

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Scotland It’s been a beautiful but chilly day across the majority of Scotland and plenty of blue skies, although in the shade it remained cold with frost lingering, highs have only risen to between 2-5C today, wintry showers have affected the north and east. With the cold base temperature, now that the sun has dropped, so too is the […]

While the 1-2, 2-4 inch snows are beginning to wind down from VW to MA, the attention now turns to California where a set-up known as an ‘Atmospheric River’ begins to setup with the perfect alignment of weather systems. This presents real concern for significant multi-day rainfall and consequencial flooding. A trough developing off the West Coast will have multiple […]

I have been on top of this end game to November since the beginning of the month and even extending back to September and since then stated countless times that I DID NOT believe a huge cold surge was coming but rather a fight would evolve between incoming Arctic air with Atlantic air. A few ‘milder’ runs isn’t […]