The Ron Paul 2008 campaign is currently having a fundraising contest between the meetup groups. While we don’t know how much money has been raised total, or how much each group has raised, we can take a pretty good guess.

In order to estimate how much these groups have raised, we need some sort of baseline. And one group is likely to provide it: The South-central Minnesota Ron Paul 2008 Meetup Group, who only have 5 people, the bare minimum to win the 2nd part of the contest, most money raised per group member. Since the minimum is 5 people @ $11,500, we’ll assume that this was their plan, and that is how much money they have raised.

So below you can see the chart with the top 25 meetup group fundraisiers and how far behind they are. But we’ve added a column on the right to estimate the total money raised per group, based on the Owatonn, MN group.

Once you use the baseline and how far behind or in front of other groups Owatonna is, we can estimate that the top 25 groups have raised at least $315,460.

Now it is very likely that they raised far more then that. Owatonna members could have kept their numbers at 5, but gotten a spouse to donate money on their behalf in order to push their donations/member ratio even higher. And I know for a fact that other groups have done this same exact thing.

Total Donations

So how far does the rabbit hole go? We’ve only been able to estimate the top 25 groups, and at present there are 806 TOTAL Ron Paul meetup groups. How much did those groups raise? Estimates here are more unreliable, but if you take a look at the graph below, you can start to form a mental picture.

Conclusions

If you extend the trendline, it appears that Donations/group start to flatten out around $7500, and if that holds even into the mid hundred meetup groups, the campaign will have raised a staggering amount of cash. Better yet, there are still 3 days left in the contest, and the groups at the top are desperately contacting their membership base urging ever increasing amounts of donations, in an effort to get Ron Paul to their city.

We’d be interested to hear of any other statistical analysis done based on this data.

What a great time we had in San Antonio last weekend. An enthusiastic bunch of Texans thronged the Alamo for a rally, and then there was a fundraising dinner at an historic museum. More than a thousand people attended one or the other.

San Antonio is a military town. Indeed, I served there myself in the Air Force, and lots of soldiers and airmen came up to offer their support. Some were Iraq veterans, some were headed there, and all supported getting us out.

As I told the crowd, with our non-interventionist foreign policy, there would be 3,600 young Americans still alive, and 25,000 more not badly wounded. It got the biggest response of the evening.

Then a 14-year-old girl told me she was helping the campaign so her daddy, a soldier, would not have to go to Iraq. I told her there are many thousands of us working to that exact end, to keep him and all the others safe. What an outrage that we are accused of not supporting the troops. What a scam when the warmongers claim to be pro-soldier.

Lots of military people turned out to be aware that our campaign got more donations from soldiers, sailors, airmen, and Marines than any other. Funny, that made a big impression in Congress too. Many of my colleagues were amazed and encouraged that you can be against this unconstitutional and disastrous war, and get military support.

This weekend I meet with family, high-school classmates, and local friends and supporters in Pittsburgh. We are really looking forward to it!

Then its a full week in Iowa. On Sunday, theres the ABC debate, and next weekend is the Ames straw poll. Other campaigns seem to be pulling back, to try to lower expectations. We are stepping things up, with more staff, another office, and a significant TV and radio buy. This all costs a lot of money, of course, as does our continuing work in New Hampshire, South Carolina, Arizona, and other states.

But I have been thrilled by the support among Iowa Republicans for our issueson the war, on pro-life, on fiscal conservatism. This is fertile territory for us. Now we just have to work harder than our opponents at recruiting supporters, organizing them, and getting them to the straw poll.

Some media have hinted that a good showing by our campaign would be a bombshell. I dont make predictions, but I am cautiously optimistic about our chances. However, I very much need your help.

We got a lot of good publicity earlier about our prudence in spending. Indeed, I treat every donation with care, since it comes from a good American who shares our hope for the future, and who had to work hard to earn that money.

But all that publicity about our non-spendthrift ways had a blowback effect, if you will excuse the expression. It made some people feel the campaign did not need support, right at the very time we especially need it.

What a day and half in northern California! On Friday, my first appointment was at 6:00 am, and my day ended at 11:00 pm. I did radio and tv interviews in San Francisco, followed by a meeting with the editorial board of the San Francisco Chronicle. The questions were tough but fair: my favorite! Meanwhile, more and more interview requests pour into the campaign. There is a real hunger for our ideas, even in the mainstream media. The message of liberty is popular!

Then I headed for Google, one of Americas great businesses. Some of the young stars who populate that company took me on a tour of a firm that seemed like a university student union. I saw where everyone works, eats, and exercises. Next I did a political YouTube interview with questions submitted from the web. I was told that never had Google, in the entire history of this series, received the sheer number of questions that it had for my interview. People care about freedom.

Then I spent an hour answering questions from Google employees, crowded into a large room with overflow rooms overflowing too. Next was fascinating briefing from some of the technical heads of Google Earth, Google Maps, Google Apps, and other extraordinary innovations. Then there was a press conference for the media gathered in a company courtyard, and then a fundraising reception that a group of Google employees had organized off-site. In the evening there was another successful fundraiser.

Saturday morning was the Silicon Valley Meetup in a park right next to Google. A huge and enthusiastic crowd was there to hear about our ideas, and the diversity was astounding. There were bikers in leather and hippies, young parents and grandparents, high-tech workers and business owners, and so many young Americans.

I talked about all our ideas: marching out of Iraq just as we marched in; no more meddling in the Middle East; bringing the troops home, from hundreds of expensive bases all over the world, so that we could have the money we need for the transition to freedom in social programs, and to abolish the personal income tax and the IRS. They are not compatible with a free society.

In a Ron Paul administration, we would also repeal the Patriot Act and the Military Commissions Act, restore habeas corpus and stop the spying on Americans. No more eavesdropping on our emails and bank accounts, our phone calls, home and businesses. No national ID — just the bracing freedom of the Constitution.

We must have sound money, and not a giant counterfeiting machine called the Federal Reserve that causes recessions and inflation. We must have private property rights, with no pollution or other attacks on property. We should enforce the Second Amendment, and all the Bill of Rights. We can have privacy for us, not secrecy for a corrupt bureaucracy.

It is all within our grasp, the restoration of the republic and our sovereignty — no UN, no North American Union, no Nafta, no WTO, no World Bank, no IMF. Just federalism, free enterprise, peace, prosperity, and the kind of future we all want for our families, ourselves, and our fellow Americans.

The dream can be a reality. You can help make it so. Please: make your most generous donation to this effort for America’s future (https://www.ronpaul2008.com/donate/). Instead of wars and inflation and spying and poverty, we can have peace and freedom and the blessings for our children and grandchildren of doing better than we have, of secure retirements and childhoods. No more theft — of our savings or our liberty.

I’ve been paying a LOT of attention recently to the Federal Election Commission’s Report of Receipts and Disbursements for the current candidates for President of the United States. What has become apparent to me as I sift through the data is that they reveal a high degree of corruption. I would like to compare the candidates using some mathematical analysis based on employer contributions. I hope to derive a “corruption quotient” (CQ) by revealing the percentage of each candidates contributions that are in some way illicit.

To do this is a simple matter. I will take the number of campaign dollars received by each candidate for which no employer was reported. If this was a simple matter of some private donors failing to fill out a form properly or choosing to omit their employer, the rate should be at least approximately the same for each candidate. But as we will see, this is not how it turns out at all.

To derive a final “corruption quotient,” I will divide the number of “no employer was supplied” dollars and divide it by that candidate’s total received funds for the quarter. This will tell us what portion of each candidate’s funds require such secrecy that the donor must remain anonymous. The breakdown is as follows:

An astounding level of corruption from all of the front-runners. Even Clinton’s 7.8% leaves me feeling slightly queasy. But there’s no such thing as an honest politician, and this is to be expected, right? I mean, who could possibly set a better example than Hillary Clinton? Your answer is right here:

Not one percent. Not one tenth of one percent. Not one hundredth of one percent. An astounding four and a half THOUSANDTHS of a percent. How often do you get to use the word thousandth? Thank you, Dr. Paul, for giving me the opportunity to use one of the only two words in the English language containing the string “dth.”

But as I compiled these data I thought to myself, perhaps there’s a scale bias occurring? Maybe these kind of tremendous numbers only occur when you start talking about total contributions of a scale that only the front-runners show? To test this theory, I calculated the “corruption quotient” of the Senator from my home state, Senator Joe Biden, who happens also to be a Presidential candidate. Here’s what I found:

Okay, sure, it’s not measured in the THOUSANDTHS of a percent, but at least he’s under one percent, right? He may be 130.5 times more corrupt than Ron Paul, but at least he’s well below Billary Clinton. Perhaps it is just a matter of scale, to some degree, since Biden ranks so far below the front-runners as well in CQ.

Brownback! How COULD you? Nearly half of your campaign contributions don’t list an employer? So much for the theory that proportion doesn’t hold in this calculation.

Ron Paul is a staunch defender of American liberty, a bulwark against the corruption that plagues Washington, and perhaps our last chance to save our government from the poisonous involvement of special interests and political action committees.

Hans Rosling, one of the foremost minds in statistics and medicine, shows us an incredible presentation about the transforming power of capitalism in the world of public health and debunks the myths of the “third world” and the aid flow between the rich and the poor. With profound evidence of the driving power of the middle class in changing the way the world works, Hans Rosling leaves no room for cynicism about the growth of world markets and the profound effect these markets have on improving the lives not only of Westerners, but of people everywhere.

The way Hans dances around the screen, sending data bubbles flying through time and across axes makes him look less like a scholar, and more like a marvelmadmangeniusWIZARD. This truly has to be seen to be believed!

Ron Paul appeared on July 14th, 2007 before an overflowing room of Google employees and delivered a STUNNING interview following what can only be described as a profound ovation. Ron Paul enumerates his stances on the supremacy of the Constitution (calling it the best Constitution ever written), the irrationality of the US foreign policy of “nation building” and the inevitable failure of the US if it continues to police the world.

Paul spends a good amount of time talking about problems with NAFTA and the problems of government-imposed tariffs (which he calls a tax on the poor) and government management of trade economics. He compares economic voluntarism to sexual and interpersonal voluntarism, enumerating for the first time that this author has seen his stance that gay marriage should be honored as a form of voluntarism (“whatever you’d like to call it,” says Paul).

Citing Houston as an example of a city constructed without zoning laws, Ron Paul sounds more Libertarian in this interview than I have ever seen. Ron Paul supports the 2nd Amendment fiercely, saying that gun laws most strongly hurt inner-city minorities who aren’t allowed to defend themselves, and further says that gun deregulation may well have prevented 9/11, since terrorists might have thought twice about hijacking a plane with armed citizens on it.

Paul would like to slash the defense budget to about 1/3 of the level it is at now, but only because he’d like to do away with the military-industrial complex. He would like the taxes for national defense to come from a UNIFORM tariff (not a specialized tariff), eliminating the income tax and thereby freeing American citizens from having their lives “owned by the government.”

If you really care about people, says Paul, it’s capitalism that eliminates famine and poverty. Paul blames the dissolution of charity healthcare and the rise of university costs on government intervention. Paul attacks America’s currency policy, essentially calling our current prosperity an illusion created by a constant flow of lending from China and Japan — lending which *will* run out and bring our country to its knees if we do not return to basing our currency on a gold standard or some other form of hard assets.

In response to a question about requiring collective action to protect the environment, Paul calls environmental destruction a failure on the part of the government’s role in protecting private property (and thereby allowing companies to destroy rivers with toxic dumping). Paul supports local city ordinances to protect individuals from environmental damages just like local noise pollution laws with the advent of the automobile. He finds significant flaws with environmental lobbies which become entities that begin to live for themselves and fund bureaucrats and lose their purpose. Paul advocates for environmental groups to behave like consumer groups, advocating for environmental reform by reporting on companies that commit environmental atrocities to remove popular support for those companies (instead of relying on an administrative bureaucracy which is, by nature, inefficient).

Ron Paul goes on to answer a number of questions about Don’t Ask Don’t Tell, illegal immigration, his campaign strategy, and the American defense of Taiwan, and the rights of pharmacists to deny birth control on religious grounds, the decriminalization of marijuana, and opening up medical care without licensure. Ron Paul is written a check by a Google employee *on the spot* during his interview — do you see that happening for other candidates? No, you don’t.

The US Federal Election Commission has released the Selected Presidential Reports for the 2007 July Quarterly, and there are a few surprises. No surprise, of course, is that people in the armed services and veterans overwhelmingly support the Republican Party. However, after digging through individual candidates’ contributions by employers, we find an elating (or disturbing, if you’re rooting for Rudy McRomney) trend. The breakdown? Here you go.

Army

Navy

USAF

USMC

VET

TOTAL

Ron Paul

6975

7765

4650

1500

1250

22140

McCain

6225

6480

1570

1600

800

16675

Romney

2051

0

1500

0

1000

4551

Giuliani

1450

370

250

0

250

2320

Hunter

0

1000

0

0

0

1000

Richardson

50

750

0

0

0

800

Huckabee

250

0

500

0

0

750

Tancredo

350

0

0

0

0

350

Brownback

71

0

0

0

0

71

T. Thompson

0

0

0

0

0

This table expresses in dollars the total campaign contributions that each candidate has received from individuals who marked “Air Force,” “US Marines,” “USMC,” “Army,” “Navy,” or some other such permutation of letters as their employer that gives the appearance that they are a member of the armed services. The “veteran” column was derived by looking for “retired ______,” “______ retired,” or anything containing the word veteran, with the exception of Veterans’ Affairs (or the like).

What conclusions can be drawn from this surprising, exciting information? One might jump to the conclusion that the troops are tired and demoralized and angry to be fighting in the desert sand, and willing to leap on the only Republican candidate who wants an immediate end to the war. But that’s an insufficient explanation, since veterans favor Ron Paul as well.

Our military forces have a strong tradition of valorization and an implicit belief that they have served to protect the freedom of private citizens in the United States. So profound is this belief that it ranks as the #1 reason that veterans and active duty say they joined (even though education ranks as the #1 reason prior to enlistment).

This culture of pride in service particularly to safeguard American liberties and freedoms — regardless of whether it is true or not — disinclines those in service to contribute to candidates like Romney and Giuliani who want to expand Executive power and increase spying on Americans. This is why Ron Paul and John McCain are the clearest front-runners in terms of contributions. Well, that and the fact that McCain was a Captain in the Navy and Ron Paul was a flight surgeon.

Or … (one final thought) … does it run in the other direction? Does the military favor Paul and McCain because they were military, or do Ron Paul and John McCain have a favorable set of values for military servicemen and women because they themselves have served?

🙂 Look for more analysis of these contribution schedules in the upcoming days!

About

As you inferred from the URL, this blog is dedicated to Ron Paul, Republican contender for the party’s endorsement for President. This blog’s author, David Armor, enjoys many different activities, including strategy games, reading textbooks, making hummus and sushi, and blogging when he finds the time. Ron Paul, however, is much more interesting. Rather than a droll attempt to explain Ron Paul to you, I will emulate nearly exactly his campaign site’s “About Ron” page right here:

Congressman Ron Paul is the leading advocate for freedom in our nation’s capital. As a member of the U.S. House of Representatives, Dr. Paul tirelessly works for limited constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, and a return to sound monetary policies. He is known among his congressional colleagues and his constituents for his consistent voting record. Dr. Paul never votes for legislation unless the proposed measure is expressly authorized by the Constitution.In the words of former Treasury Secretary William Simon, Dr. Paul is the “one exception to the Gang of 535” on Capitol Hill.

Ron Paul was born and raised in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. He graduated from Gettysburg College and the Duke University School of Medicine, before proudly serving as a flight surgeon in the U.S. Air Force during the 1960s. He and his wife Carol moved to Texas in 1968, where he began his medical practice in Brazoria County. As a specialist in obstetrics/gynecology, Dr. Paul has delivered more than 4,000 babies. He and Carol, who reside in Lake Jackson, Texas, are the proud parents of five children and have 17 grandchildren.

While serving in Congress during the late 1970s and early 1980s, Dr. Paul’s limited-government ideals were not popular in Washington. In 1976, he was one of only four Republican congressmen to endorse Ronald Reagan for president.

During that time, Congressman Paul served on the House Banking committee, where he was a strong advocate for sound monetary policy and an outspoken critic of the Federal Reserve’s inflationary measures. He was an unwavering advocate of pro-life and pro-family values. Dr. Paul consistently voted to lower or abolish federal taxes, spending and regulation, and used his House seat to actively promote the return of government to its proper constitutional levels. In 1984, he voluntarily relinquished his House seat and returned to his medical practice.

Dr. Paul returned to Congress in 1997 to represent the 14th congressional district of Texas. He presently serves on the House Committee on Financial Services and the House Committee on Foreign Affairs. He continues to advocate a dramatic reduction in the size of the federal government and a return to constitutional principles.

Congressman Paul’s consistent voting record prompted one of his congressional colleagues to say, “Ron Paul personifies the Founding Fathers’ ideal of the citizen-statesman. He makes it clear that his principles will never be compromised, and they never are.” Another colleague observed, “There are few people in public life who, through thick and thin, rain or shine, stick to their principles. Ron Paul is one of those few.”

Brief Overview of Congressman Paul’s Record:

He has never voted to raise taxes.
He has never voted for an unbalanced budget.
He has never voted for a federal restriction on gun ownership.
He has never voted to raise congressional pay.
He has never taken a government-paid junket.
He has never voted to increase the power of the executive branch.

He voted against the Patriot Act.
He voted against regulating the Internet.
He voted against the Iraq war.

He does not participate in the lucrative congressional pension program.
He returns a portion of his annual congressional office budget to the U.S. treasury every year.

Congressman Paul introduces numerous pieces of substantive legislation each year, probably more than any single member of Congress.