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Wil Myers to the Rays

"The Royals have traded No. 1 prospect Wil Myers, No. 3 prospect Jake Odorizzi, No. 6 prospect Mike Montgomery and IF Patrick Leonard to the Rays for pitchers James Shields and Wade Davis and a player to be named."

Re: Wil Myers to the Rays

Re: Wil Myers to the Rays

REALLY bad trade for the Royals.

You aquire James Shields and Wade Davis..both above average pitchers..but nothing remarkably special. It's obvious there trying a win now approach..but I feel like James Shield is nothing more than a number 2/3 pitcher..Obviously the royals are still lacking an ace, and some star position players as well.

They had some strong prospects, especially Will Myers..now what? This could end up being another decade of disaster for royals fans.

Re: Wil Myers to the Rays

Wow, KC gutted the farm for a solid but not great starter and a reliever. Wade Davis was good as a reliever last season but was only so-so as a starter. Tampa Bay's pitching has greatly benefited from all the visibility of repeatedly been involved in trade rumors the last few seasons.

Re: Wil Myers to the Rays

People over value prospects just go look at team Top-10 prospects lists over the years or even how many Top-100 guys fail to live up to the hype. I like this deal for the Royals they think they have a window to win now before the prospects that actually panned out cost to much and are going for it.

They picked up two winners from the most stacked offensive division in baseball and put them in the far weaker AL Central. The Royals can already hit finishing 7th in MLB in BA and have a solid pen finishing 6th beast in ERA but they had a 26th worst ERA at 5.01 from SP.

Re: Wil Myers to the Rays

Originally Posted by HometownHero

People over value prospects just go look at team Top-10 prospects lists over the years or even how many Top-100 guys fail to live up to the hype.

I agree with this premise to an extent, though I still hate giving up six years of Meyers, especially when the Royals are not a championship contender even with this trade. The Royals offense is already below league average.

Moreover, despite acquiring Shields and Davis, the Royals rotation is not exactly elite. Shields may be a #1, but Davis has shown nothing to indicate that he's a #2. He is probably better suited for the bullpen, given what he did this past year.

Guthrie is a poor man's Bronson Arroyo, and Ervin Santana looked God awful last year (and his peripherals suggest that he might have been even worse). And any time your best option as a fifth starter is Bruce Chen, well, l'm already pulling out my lollerskates.

Re: Wil Myers to the Rays

Originally Posted by MBZags

I agree with this premise to an extent, though I still hate giving up six years of Meyers, especially when the Royals are not a championship contender even with this trade. The Royals offense is already below league average.

Moreover, despite acquiring Shields and Davis, the Royals rotation is not exactly elite. Shields may be a #1, but Davis has shown nothing to indicate that he's a #2. He is probably better suited for the bullpen, given what he did this past year.

Guthrie is a poor man's Bronson Arroyo, and Ervin Santana looked God awful last year (and his peripherals suggest that he might have been even worse). And any time your best option as a fifth starter is Bruce Chen, well, l'm already pulling out my lollerskates.

The Royals can expect an offensive upgrade due to everyone being a year older and guys being healthy. Salvador Perez will be there for more than half the year, Eric Hosmer should post better than a .663 OPS, Moustakas better than .709, and Jeff Francoeur better than .665. They hit .265 as a team good for 7th in baseball even with those 3 hitting .232, .242 and .235 and the replacement for Perez hitting .236 over 1/3 of the teams total ABs.

The 2012 rotation has tons of potential and that's why they are now heading to people sleep team of the year for next year. Chen was 24-15 with a 3.96 ERA over 2011-2012 for KC if he gets back to that he will be a very good #5 starter. Jeremy Guthrie turned it around for KC going 5-3 with a 3.16 in 14 starts for the Royals if he can keep it around 4 like his early days with the O's they have something working.

Ervin Santana is a former All-Star who is about to turn 30 the start of next week so there is plenty left in the tank. He's either good or terrible and last year was one of the bad years but between the good years he has 3 years of 16 wins or more not counting 2011 when he had a 3.38 ERA. Big Game, James has a 3.15 the last two years despite pitching in the AL East so he is legit and Davis just turned 27 and from age 23-25 held his own with a 4.22 ERA as a young SP in the Al East a year seasoned and moving to a weaker division should let him slide under a 4 ERA.

All 5 of these guys could easily get under a 4 ERA in 2013 while giving around 200 IP and all 4 of the new guys have ERA under 4 in their career vs the Tigers. You never know what will happen on the field but the 2013 Royals have a very good shot and making the Playoffs if they see decent bounce back years form several talented players.

Re: Wil Myers to the Rays

From a pure talent perspective, this isn't a horrible trade. Shields is a solid front of the rotation arm and Davis is probably an above average 4/5 starter with the potential to become a decent #3. The main problem is that Shields is 31 and under contract for just two more years, and Davis has only his 3 arbitration years left.

Meanwhile, the Rays get 6 years of both Odorizzi and Myers. Odorizzi is probably better than any pitcher currently in the Reds system and Myers is what Jay Bruce was to Reds fans when he was a prospect.

If the Royals were 2 starting pitchers away from being a World Series contender, this might make sense. I still think they'd be lucky to sneak into a Wild Card slot with their current roster. They've still got quite a few holes to plug.

Re: Wil Myers to the Rays

Impact arms like Shields are hard to come by, especially ones as durable as his. They control him for 3 more years at a fairly reasonable price. Add to that a guy in Davis who looks like he could become one of the more dominant middle relief guys in the game. It is hard to bring in guys like this via free-agency to a place like KC.

Myers looks like a talented kid, but he's still just a talented kid. I would've kept him, but I could see this deal being a win for KC if Shields anchors the staff and carries them into a WC spot in the next few years.

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