Why Wisconsin is in Play

MOUNT HOREB, Wis. – At first, Jeff Millard was undecided about who to vote for in November.

“I am not particularly happy with Obama,” the retired auto-parts storeowner said of the man he supported in 2008.

His wife, walking beside him on the Military Ridge state trail, overheard him voicing doubt. She let him know it was not an option.

“What about my reproductive rights?” she asked, clearly upset. “No, we are voting for Obama!”

Discussing his uncertainty, the retired couple walked off along the popular recreational trail in this small town, once known for the National Mustard Museum and an obsession with all things related to trolls.

By all rights, President Obama should easily win this state, with its “progressive” activism and elected liberals such as former U.S. senator Russ Feingold.

Obama won the state within an inch of 14 percentage points in 2008.

Today, he leads Republican Mitt Romney in state polling. But, based on his Chicago campaign headquarters’ reaction to any questioning that support, his lead may be as solid as quicksand.

The Badger State illustrates the political divide gripping segments of America, thanks largely to the reaction of organized labor and Democrat activists to Republican Gov. Scott Walker’s collective-bargaining reform bill.

Since 2011, Wisconsin has endured an unprecedented rash of statewide elections, including recalls of GOP state senators, a February primary for local offices, an April presidential primary, a May gubernatorial-recall candidate primary among Democrats, and then June’s gubernatorial recall election.

Despite millions of dollars spent by Washington Democrats and unions, Walker and Republicans shocked pundits by prevailing in most of those contests.

On Saturday, Obama made his first appearance in 220 plus days in a state that may be politically spent: Less than 19 percent of its eligible voters showed up for an August primary to choose both parties’ U.S. Senate candidates.

An hour’s drive southeast of here, Janesville was put on the national radar by Tobin Ryan’s brother, Paul, the Republican congressman picked as Romney’s running mate.

Like many Midwesterners, Tobin and his family live a block from his brother and his family, and all of them within a stone’s throw of where they grew up.

Tobin is incredibly proud of his younger brother, who he calls “P.D.” He points to their father’s sudden death as the moment that defined his brother’s character: