Good Monday to one and all. We need to say a big thank you to all the clouds and rain we had for most of Sunday. That helped keep the lid from totally popping off on our severe weather. Unfortunately, that was not the case in Western Kentucky, Illinois and Indiana, where folks saw a history-making outbreak of deadly tornadoes.

The weather chills down and clears out for a few days, but the pattern is about to transform into one that might get winter off to a pretty early start for much of the country.

Highs today will be in the upper 40s and low 50s, under a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will be pretty gusty, but nothing like what we had Sunday.

Current temperatures

Winds

Tuesday will be colder, with highs in the low and mid 40s after we start the day in the 20s. Calm weather will remain through early Thursday. That’s when our next front arrives from the northwest. This will have a push of very cold air behind it, but the models slowly bleed that air in here as we head into the weekend.

They do set up some overrunning moisture that could take on a wintry flavor before the real cold blows in. You can see that well on the European Model:

This looks to be the first of several systems that try to deliver wintry stuff over the next few weeks.