The Quantification of Perception Based Uncertainty Using R-fuzzy Sets and Grey Analysis

Abstract:

The nature of uncertainty cannot be generically defined as it is domain and context specific. With that being the case, there have been several proposed models, all of which have their own associated benefits and shortcomings. From these models, it was decided that an R-fuzzy approach would provide for the most ideal foundation from which to enhance and expand upon. An R-fuzzy set can be seen as a relatively new model, one which itself is an extension to fuzzy set theory. It makes use of a lower and upper approximation bounding from rough set theory, which allows for the membership function of an R-fuzzy set to be that of a rough set. An R-fuzzy approach provides the means for one to encapsulate uncertain fuzzy membership values, based on a given abstract concept. If using the voting method, any fuzzy membership value contained within the lower approximation can be treated as an absolute truth. The fuzzy membership values which are contained within the upper approximation, may be the result of a singleton, or the vast majority, but absolutely not all. This thesis has brought about the creation of a significance measure, based on a variation of Bayes' theorem. One which enables the quantification of any contained fuzzy membership value within an R-fuzzy set. Such is the pairing of the significance measure and an R-fuzzy set, an intermediary bridge linking to that of a generalised type-2 fuzzy set can be achieved. Simply by inferencing from the returned degrees of significance, one is able to ascertain the true significance of any uncertain fuzzy membership value, relative to other encapsulated uncertain values. As an extension to this enhancement, the thesis has also brought about the novel introduction of grey analysis. By utilising the absolute degree of grey incidence, it provides one with the means to measure and quantify the metric spaces between sequences, generated based on the returned degrees of significance for any given R-fuzzy set. As it will be shown, this framework is ideally suited to domains where perceptions are being modelled, which may also contain several varying clusters of cohorts based on any number of correlations. These clusters can then be compared and contrasted to allow for a more detailed understanding of the abstractions being modelled.