Thursday, July 12, 2012

These are the warmest 12-month periods on record for the contiguous
United States. During the June 2011-June 2012 period, each of the 13
months ranked among the warmest third of their historical distribution
for the first time in the 1895-present record. The odds of this
occurring randomly is 1 in 1,594,323.

This is very interesting especially when looking at the ice reports up north. Spring came roughly 3 full weeks early this year and we had record highs in March with temps up near 90 degrees at the end of the month into April. This has now translated to the northern ice pack which just happens to be 3 full weeks ahead of the summer melt season. Coincidence? Hardly. La Nina has been replaced by El Nino. Temperatures are climbing again. Look for record numbers of boats again transitting the infamous Northwest Passage, now very much ice-free.

According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Arctic ice retreated very quickly in June. "The last three Junes (2010-2012) are the three lowest in the satellite
record. June 2012 ice extent was 140,000 square kilometers (54,000
square miles) above the 2010 record low. Ice losses were notable in the
Kara Sea, and in the Beaufort Sea, where a large polynya
has formed. Retreat of ice in the Hudson and Baffin bays also
contributed to the low June 2012 extent. The only area of the Arctic
where sea ice extent is currently above average is along the eastern
Greenland coast."

Monday, July 9, 2012

I've been monitoring the ice in the north this summer for the Northwest Passage season and it looks like it could surpass the 2007 season for loss of ice. Things are going south quickly and Baffin Bay is now open which is just absolutely crazy. The mouth of Lancaster is open so the situation will now develop very quickly and there will probably be an ice-free lane through the traditional passage this summer. I'd say you can put it in the bank.

Again, good for explorers, not so good for the planet... here is the latest ice chart for Baffin Bay. Warm waters flowing north have opened up the entire West coast of Greenland-

Next, let's go into the warm temperatures. I believe there have been a few records happening lately if my mind is clear on this one. Let's see what the science says and if there is some linkage with the above trends and ice charts. More coming for sure.