2016 Election Poll Update: Here's Where Clinton and Trump Stand After the DNC

The Democratic National Convention just wrapped up, and it left social media with high hopes for another Clinton in the White House.

Dang. Hillary got me clearing MY throat. #DNCinPhilly

Crying bc of all the things I have been told I could never do as a woman & thinking of the lifetime of this that #Hillary has endured

I did not pack tissues for this. So I will be entering this era of feminist history with racoon eyes. #DemsInPhilly

@HillaryClinton wow have we come a long way! You make us proud #ImWithHerhttps://twitter.com/historytolearn/status/758841163566637056 ...

So where do the voters stand now? At the end of the Republican National Convention, a poll from CNN had Trump leading Clinton by 3%. That poll also had a 3.5% margin of error — and polled adults generally (i.e.: not necessarily registered voters who planned to vote). Other polls showed different results:

The latest polls are split — some show Trump leading, others show Clinton with the majority. According to the Huffington Post's poll-tracking model, Clinton is likely leading, with 45% of the opinion polls favoring her versus Trump's 42.9%.

The tricky thing here is that, as Voxpoints out, summer polls around the conventions tend to be erratic. It isn't until August that poll predictions start to tell the real story.

"The polling averages just don't move much more than two or three percentage points after the conventions," Jonathan Ladd, a professor at the McCourt School of Public Policy at Georgetown University, told Vox. "Especially since the conventions are in July, the person in the lead in August will have a really good chance of winning."