Flash Flood Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Flash Flood Warnings Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

We continue to see thunderstorms producing severe weather and heavy rains over parts of the area. The satellite loop also shows a blow up of thunderstorms across Northern Pennsylvania and Southern New York that is now pushing eastward. This has the potential to bring substantial rains overnight to a large portion of the area from Northern New Jersey and the Hudson Valley eastward to Connecticut and Long Island.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
* UNTIL 1145 PM EDT
* AT 849 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
MIDDLETOWN...PORT JERVIS...MONROE...WALDEN...WARWICK...GOSHEN...CHESTER...
MONTGOMERY...FLORIDA...HARRIMAN...UNIONVILLE...OAKLAND...KIRYAS JOEL...
WASHINGTONVILLE...MAYBROOK...PINE BUSH...HIGHLAND MILLS...SCOTCHTOWN
AND CENTRAL VALLEY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY...
SOUTHWESTERN SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
* UNTIL 1230 AM EDT
* AT 823 PM EDT...THE NESHANIC RIVER AT REAVILLE WAS 8.2 FEET AND
RISING. FLOOD STAGE AT REAVILLE IS 6.5 FEET. WHILE HEAVY RAIN HAS
MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...SOME STREAMS SUCH AS THE NESHANIC
RIVER REMAIN OUT OF THEIR BANKS. THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS
THEREFORE BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

Flash Flood Severe Thunderstorms Overnight

Latest HRRR Model Rainfall Forecast

The very latest HRRR model shows parts of the Hudson Valley getting 6 inches or more of rain between now and 12 noon Friday. All of this should be done by daybreak. Heavy pockets of rain shown over parts of Northern New Jersey & Long Island. This could be drought denting in a big way.

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