WHAT FLORIDA CAN EXPECT: Whether it develops into a full-flown tropical system or not, it holds potential to bring South or Central Florida heavy rains.

"It's something to watch, given the time of year," said meteorologist Dan Gregoria of the National Weather Service in Miami.

PARTICULARS: At 2 a.m. Wednesday, the National Hurricane Center gave the disturbance a 70 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm within the next two days and a 80 percent -or high - chance within the next five days.

The system poses another major flood threat to eastern Mexico, particularly after that region already has been deluged by Tropical Storms Ingrid and Manuel.

The next tropical storm will be named Jerry.

LOCATION: Over the Yucatan and Belize

MOVEMENT: Northwest

OTHER SYSTEMS: Resurrected Tropical Storm Humberto continues to move north in the central Atlantic. Although earlier projected to return to hurricane strength, that now appears unlikely because of wind shear. It poses no threat to land.