Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.

Race

Date

Team Rating

Winny Koskei

Jordan Maestas

Yazmine Wright

Gabriela Reyna

Tangy Wiseman

McKenna Paintin

Rita Schnacker

Celia Biel

Suzie Wright

Deidra Walker

Missouri Southern Stampede

09/16

1144

20:34

21:43

21:39

21:38

22:00

22:05

21:45

22:22

22:30

Joe Piane Invitational (Gold)

09/29

1211

21:10

21:32

21:41

21:48

22:05

22:30

22:18

22:39

23:05

OSU Cowboy Jamboree (Orange)

09/30

Rim Rock Farm Classic

09/30

23:29

Bradley Pink Classic

10/13

1177

20:51

21:24

21:41

21:39

22:14

23:15

23:04

22:30

23:40

AAC Championship

10/28

1169

20:50

21:31

21:43

21:20

22:44

22:05

22:27

22:36

23:18

Midwest Region Championships

11/10

1214

21:29

21:35

21:10

21:47

22:39

22:59

22:46

NCAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

Advances to Round

Ave Finish

Ave Score

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

NCAA Championship

0.0%

Region Championship

100%

23.2

612

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.2

0.8

1.2

1.9

2.9

2.9

4.0

5.3

7.1

9.5

10.3

12.3

13.0

12.6

11.1

3.3

1.2

0.3

0.1

NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results

Regional

Ave Finish

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

Winny Koskei

60.7

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.3

0.1

0.4

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.4

0.7

Jordan Maestas

119.6

Yazmine Wright

124.4

Gabriela Reyna

130.4

Tangy Wiseman

180.5

McKenna Paintin

196.8

Rita Schnacker

197.7

NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total

Region Finish

Chance of Finishing

Chance of Advancing

Auto

At Large Selection

No Adv

Auto

At Large

Region Finish

1

2

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

4

5

5

6

6

7

7

8

8

9

0.1%

0.1

9

10

0.1%

0.1

10

11

0.1%

0.1

11

12

0.2%

0.2

12

13

0.2%

0.2

13

14

0.8%

0.8

14

15

1.2%

1.2

15

16

1.9%

1.9

16

17

2.9%

2.9

17

18

2.9%

2.9

18

19

4.0%

4.0

19

20

5.3%

5.3

20

21

7.1%

7.1

21

22

9.5%

9.5

22

23

10.3%

10.3

23

24

12.3%

12.3

24

25

13.0%

13.0

25

26

12.6%

12.6

26

27

11.1%

11.1

27

28

3.3%

3.3

28

29

1.2%

1.2

29

30

0.3%

0.3

30

31

0.1%

0.1

31

32

0.1%

0.1

32

33

33

34

34

35

35

36

36

37

37

Total

100%

0.0%

100.0

0.0

0.0

Points

At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.