Thursday, September 25, 2014

Week 4 Sleepers Studs n Duds

Sorry about the lapse last week. Doot was returning from Lambeau Field forming his very own trail of tears behind him and Seedog was...somewhere being a good father and hubby to his birthday wife...Happy Birthday Kim!

Moving forward, we'll have these babies out to you on Wed or Thursday to help you out (or give you someone to blame.)

So without further adieu, I bring to you the Jersey Dude's Sleepers, Studs n Duds for Week 4. Good luck!

Seedog

Sleepers:

Fitzpatrick could have a good day vs the Bills, Fitz is a nice sneaky start this week, call it a hunch.

Asiata gets to shred the Falcons D this week, he should have a nice start this week.

Blount, not sure why I like him this week, TB D is good, but he might have a chip on his shoulder going up against his old team.

Malcom Floyd Is another nice bye week start, him and Philip Rivers are always on the same page.

Kelce is the passing option in KC, plus they will be playing from behind, they may get steam rolled by the Pats.

Studs:

Brees has a tasty matchup in Dallas, could be a Texas shootout, and I see the Saints showing up armed and dangerous with Bees.

Cousins should keep rolling after last week, plus he gets the Giants D, enough said.

Forte is a stud, as long as he stays healthy plug him in every week.

Murray best RB this season, if he avoids the injury bug, could have a career year, also see Romo blurb.

A Brown most consistent WR to date, he will put numbers up every game, look at his last 14 games going back to last season.

Edelman, meet the new Welker in New England, PPR gold, plug him in, guaranteed points.

Olsen is the forgotten TE, if your not on Jimmy or Gronk, this NJ native should be your guy.

Gronk is Brady's WR2, if he is healthy, play him every week, plus the Pats got KC.

Duds:

Arod and Coach seem to not be on the same page, plus they got a rough division matchup against the Bears.

Romo is off to a slow start, coming back from back from his surgery, plus with way they are running the ball, I see another mediocre week for Tony.

Gerhart was way over drafted, and JAX stinks, MJD was smart to run away.

Bush will have some tuff sledding against the Jets D this week, he may snag a few grabs, but you don't get much YAC out of the backfield against the Jets.

Wheaton faces a tuff TB D, not sure why but I see boring one with some running, and lots of A. Brown.

Cecil Shorts is in for a slow day, think Blake will be on all the young WR's on the team. Look at the Cecil and Blake connection to take some time.

Ertz is off to a great start this season, but he get the Niners D this week, think he may be quiet this week.

Allan is hit or miss, plus TEN D may give them some issues this week.

doot:

Sleepers:

QB Teddy Bridgewater – Playing against a high scoring but
mediocre defense Atlanta team, at home, could mean a big day for Bridgewater. I
wouldn’t bet the house on him, but he could surprise people and will likely be
a good value play for the $$ in Daily lineups. Backup plan: Romo

WR Cecil Shorts – Yes
it’s Bortles's first game, but Jacksonville will likely be playing from behind
early in the game, which means they’ll probably take to the air, and Shorts
should be the #1 target. He’s a good GPP play here. Backup plan: Golden Tate

RB Donald Brown – With Matthews and Woodhead both out and a
favorable matchup vs Jax, I expect big things from Brown. Brown was actually a
sleeper pick for me in my year-long fantasy team too..he has always flown under
the radar, but now as the lead dog, I think his could make it ruff for opposing defenses.
Backup plan: Astiata

TE – Owen Daniels – Pitta’s out for the year, and Daniels
has always been a decent play in years past. The talent’s still there, and I
think the targets might warrant a look for him. At the very least he’s a good
punt option in GPPs. Backup plan: Niles Paul

DEF Oakland is awful, no doubt. And they’re awfully cheap.
Playing against a Dolphins team in a major state of turmoil (since the
offseason and spilling into the regular season. Heck, the coach wont even name
Tannehill the starter for the week.) Plus, both teams are travelling across the pond to play in England. I'm expecting more of a futbol score than a football score.

Studs:

QB/WR Stafford/Megatron – With a depleted secondary that was
of secondary talent when healthy, the Jets are prone to get lit up in the air
yet again this week. Their run defense is stellar, so the Lions will likely
abandon that early and take to the air. I don’t see anyone who can cover
Megatron, and that is bad news for my J-E-T-S…

RB DeMarco Murray – expect to see him continue to pound the
ground and rack up at least 100 yards, a TD, with another 25 yards receiving
and 3-6 receptions against a very mediocre NO defense.

TE Jimmy Graham – he is expensive, no doubt, but I’m not
sold on Dallas’s defense not being as bad as we expected at the start of the
year. Expect a high scoring game here, and expect Graham to be a big part of it.

Def – Carolina – Their defense is gooooood, really good, and
should be a top choice this week if you want to pay for them. Also consider San
Diego.

Duds:

QB Brady – he’s just not clicking with his offense now, and
I’ve got a hunch Arrowhead will get the most of him and limit his productivity.
We shall see. I could be totally wrong, but I’m going with my gut here (and it’s
a big gut to go with..)

WR Brandon Marshall – he was held out of practice again
today, Thursday, and didn’t look to be himself at all last week vs a porous
Jets secondary. I’m staying away…if he has a good game, good for him, and good
for anyone with enough balls to play him. It wont be me..

RB Bush/Bell – as much as I poo-poo the Jets secondary,
their run defense is pretty kickass. Expect that trend to continue on Sunday

Note: As you can see, one man's trash is another man's treasure...and that's the beauty of fantasy sports. Let's see who nailed it and who got nailed..

Saturday, September 13, 2014

Well, Week 1 results left a lot of people scratching their heads. Sadly, NFL news left us scratching our heads even more, for all the wrong reasons.

Thankfully, our focus will be back ON the field tomorrow, with actual football, where physical abuse is encouraged and legal (usually).

So without further adieu, I bring you our Week 2 Sleepers Studs n Duds...

Seedog:

Studs:

Luck-my top playPeyton-he is good, if you can afford.McCoy-will shred the ColtsGio-PPR gold AJ Green- ATL secondary Jets like (meaning weak)D Thomas- he is good, play if u can affordA Johnson- Safe solid playM Floyd- 2 words Gmen DefenseGronk- he's healthy, and he's Brady's only option besides EdelmanOlsen- my top playSleepers:Brady- good valueGeno- should but up great 2nd half numbers playing from behindFoster- still has it, has pretty good matchupMcFadden- no MJD and cheapCJ2K- my top sleeper, love him in GBJ Hunter- like him a bunch this week.J Matthews- Chip Kelly, cheapK Rudolph- cheap solid play if you don't want to pay,Duds:Rivers- Seattle DEli- his football skills are gone,presumably buried with Jimmy Hoffa in the old Giants Stadium.R Bush- Scrappy CAR DR Jennings-see ELi, will be behind and chuckingK Allen-SEA DCrabtree - Still a little banged upDJax- not quite fitting in yet in WASJ Cameron- not feeling him against a decent Saints DL. Green-not only did he play like a bum last week, he was drafted too early, plus he also gets SEA D.Defense/ST Report:A few I like:HoustonTBArizona GB*Don't over pay for a K if the site makes you play one, find the cheapest serviceable option:R Bullock

M Lee – Shorts is doubtful, meaning Lee should get ample
looks on Sunday. He is still underpriced, and will likely be utilized often in
this week’s matchup vs. Washington. Pick him up while he’s still cheap.

Boykin – Rodgers likes to share the wealth. Although Jordy
and Cobb seem to get all the attention, Boykin might get some love this week at
Lambeau vs. a weak Jets secondary. I wouldn’t be surprised if he lands 50+
yards and a TD as the #3 receiver GB. He is high risk, high reward, but a damn
good punt WR pick this week with tons of up-side.

Jeremy Kerley – Sometimes I just have a hunch on someone.
With Geno likely playing from behind shortly after kickoff vs the Packers, I
suspect they’ll utilize the passing game early and often. As a solid slot receiver,
I’ve got an inkling that Kerley might have a big game. Tis just a hunch, but my
hunches seem to pan out more often then they should, so I’m going with it and
plugging him into a couple of my GPP lineups this week.

Terrence West – Tate is out, meaning West will be leading
the charge. NO let up 5 YPC last week vs Atlanta. That trend could continue
this week.

Studs:

A Rodgers - After an underwhelming start last week vs.
Seattle, Aaron Rodgers is underpriced this week. Add to it the Jets solid run
defense and JV Secondary and you’ve got a recipe for a big big game from
Rodgers.

Dalton – Atlanta gave up a ton of receiving yards last week
vs. NO, and I think the trend continues this week when they take on the Bengals.
Expect big numbers from Dalton this week.

SF Defense – Chicago has B Marshall and Jeffrey both
questionable, and lost two offensive linemen. This could lead to big points for
SF’s defense.

Duds:

P Rivers – Seattle’s defense is good. Damn good. I’m staying
away.

K. Allen – See above.

A. Gates – See above.

Well, in the words of the late great Mel Blanc, until next time....that's all folks! Good luck!

Sunday, September 7, 2014

Welcome to the JerseyDudes!

Each week (and during the week), we will be sharing our thoughts and opinions on all things sports (baseball, football, even some hockey!), in both season-long fantasy, DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports), and on our favorite teams.

JerseyDudes consists of two dudes, Seedog and doot, life-long friends from Glen Rock, N.J. More on us later...

There's a good shot the Lions offense will steam roll the Giants on MNF, which could mean a good fantasy day for Eli and Cruz.
If you're looking to save money, look no further than Hill, Stacy, Austin and Britt. The money you can save with a few of these guys should be more than enough to help you get that extra stud in your lineup.
Since I think Min will be playing from behind and Patterson is about a decade younger than Jennings, I think Patterson might be a good play, and you can plug in Rudolph if you don't want to pay for Graham.

Not only do I love Julio Jones this week, but he could be the #1 WR
this Season in Fantasy. Pay for him in weekly games now while his price
isn't too high.
Forte will be in BEAST mode. Pay for him; he is good.
Jimmy Graham HAS to be in your lineup; look to punt elsewhere this week and play him!
Oh, and if you can find a way to pay up for Brees, start him. In case you missed it: 1. He is good. B. He likes domes.

Houston's D is a little underrated and not being talked up like it has years back. With that said, it could be a long day for the 'skins..

Due to the fact that Mike Wallace will be a VIP guest on Revis Island, I think he's in for a long day and do not expect him to

Pick of the Week: Stacy/T. Austin

doot

Sleepers:

M. Lee - I suspect Philadelphia will roll today; with Shorts out and Jax prob playing from behind, making Lee a super-sleeper
Maclin, Ertz - with Philadelphia racking up the points, I think Maclin and Ertz will be targeted early and often, making them both solid and relatively cheap plays today. And if you go with Maclin and Ertz, might as well go with Foles as well.
Cooks - See below on New Orleans
Vereen - I'm calling him a sleepy stud. I'll call him a sleeper today, but I think after a few weeks he'll have elevated himself to Stud Status. Especially in PPR leagues, I suspect Vereen to have a big game vs the Fins.

Studs:

Everything New Orleans - Brees, Graham, and Cooks. Stills is questionable, which makes Graham even more valuable, and Cooks a good sneaky play this week.
Jones - As Seedog said, Jones will be a stud all year; I suspect this Atl/NO game will be a shootout, so I think Jones is fine for today and for the long run.

Duds:

I agree with Seedog that Wash may struggle this year, and Houston has a solid defense, so I'm thinking *the NFL team from Washington* may struggle today.
Eli & the G-men - I don't say this because A. I'm a Jets fan 2. I think Eli is overrated, I say this because it sounds like they've been really struggling in camp. They're having a hard time adapting to the new playbook, their O-line is questionable, Eli and Randle seem out of sync, Beckham is still out, and who's their TE? Ugg, with all that said, I think the Lions will keep 'em scrambling and will be putting up points, and I dont think the Giants offense is capable of countering. I'm staying away.

Pick of the Day: Jets Defense - now I'm going to contradict myself a bit here and say there's a remote chance that Carr will pick apart the Jets weak Secondary, but more likely than not Rex will be throwing the kitchen sink at the Raiders and Carr will be scrambling, out of sync, and lost. I think the Jets offense is good enough to keep the Raiders off the field, and they could score some tasty fantasy points from Sacks, perhaps an Int or two, and low scoring.

Good Luck Everyone!
May the balls bounce your way and our suggestions get you over the edge. Win your Head to Heads and cash in your Dailies!

Later this week we'll do our Monday Morning QB in Hindsight and analyze our picks to let you know where we excelled and where (and why) we failed.

Until then, bear with is while we get some order and consistency going.