BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE TIPS?

UNDER/OVER 2.5 GOALS TIPS?

What’s It All About?

If you’re not familiar with the basics of under/over goals betting then make sure you check out our quick guide (click here) before continuing. If you feel comfortable with the concept then read on…

It’s easy to understand why Under/Over 2.5 goals is a popular bet with football fans, as punters get decent odds for a modest level of risk.

In last season’s Premier League, 53% of games finished with over 2.5 goals scored, in the Bundesliga that figure was even higher at 56%. A typical £10 bet on an English Premier League match to finish over 2.5 goals is likely to be quoted at odds of ‘Evens’, in other words, you’ll win back roughly the same amount as you risk.

However, ‘Even Money Betting’ isn’t everyone’s idea of fun. If you’re looking for bigger returns, then the ‘over 4.5 goals’ might be the market for you.

Risk Vs Reward

Typically the odds on over 4.5 goals scored in a game will range from 4/1 all the way up to 9/1. Obviously, the bookies aren’t in the habit of throwing money away, so these big odds reflect the risk involved.

The truth is very few games end over 4.5 goals or more, for example in the 2015/16 Premier League season only 13% of games ended in over 4.5 goals.

Nevertheless, some teams are more likely to be involved in high scoring games than others. Statistics from the 2015/16 season show very little difference between the top European Leagues in terms of the number of games which see over 4.5 goals scored, with the average being 13%.

However, big differences do appear at the individual team level. It’s worth noting that placing a wager on over 4.5 goals to be scored is one of the hardest bets to land, having said that it can also be one of the most profitable if you get your match selections right.

Each week we will feature our top tips for the games that we think will produce 4.5 goals or more. The selections will form a betting ‘double’ but feel free to back the selections individually or use our table to find teams who are regularly involved in big scoring games.

Teams To Watch

Barcelona FC – Often involved in games totalling over 4.5 goals

Under/Over 4.5 Goals Stats 2018/19

HOW TO USE THE STATS TABLE:
The table includes match data for 2018/19 season from the top European leagues: Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga 1&2 and French Liga 1.
If you want to bet in the OVER 4.5 goals market look for teams with higher percentage numbers ( 20% – 100% ).
If you're backing UNDER 4.5 goals then look for teams with lower percentage numbers ( 0% – 10% ).

League

Team

Pd

%

Eredivisie

Heerenveen

13/26

50%

Eredivisie

Ajax

11/26

42%

Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

10/26

39%

Eredivisie

Den Haag

9/26

35%

Bundesliga

Dortmund

9/26

35%

Eredivisie

Excelsior

9/26

35%

Eredivisie

Heracles

9/26

35%

Eredivisie

Willem II

9/26

35%

Eredivisie

FC Emmen

8/26

31%

Bundesliga 2

Paderborn

8/26

31%

La Liga

Barcelona

8/28

29%

Serie A

Sampdoria

8/28

29%

Bundesliga 2

FC Koln

7/25

28%

Premier League

Arsenal

8/30

27%

Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

7/26

27%

Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

7/26

27%

Premier League

Cardiff

8/30

27%

Eredivisie

Graafschap

7/26

27%

Eredivisie

NAC

7/26

27%

Eredivisie

VVV

7/26

27%

Serie A

Atalanta

7/28

25%

La Liga

Celta

7/28

25%

Ligue 1

Paris SG

7/28

25%

Bundesliga

Augsburg

6/26

23%

Bundesliga 2

Darmstadt

6/26

23%

Eredivisie

Feyenoord

6/26

23%

Premier League

Fulham

7/31

23%

Bundesliga

Hannover

6/26

23%

Bundesliga

Leverkusen

6/26

23%

Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

6/26

23%

Serie A

Fiorentina

6/28

21%

La Liga

Real Madrid

6/28

21%

Serie A

Roma

6/28

21%

La Liga

Sevilla

6/28

21%

Bundesliga 2

Greuther Furth

5/25

20%

Premier League

Man City

6/30

20%

Premier League

Man United

6/30

20%

Bundesliga

Freiburg

5/26

19%

Eredivisie

Groningen

5/26

19%

Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

5/26

19%

Bundesliga 2

Holstein Kiel

5/26

19%

Bundesliga 2

Magdeburg

5/26

19%

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

5/26

19%

Bundesliga 2

St Pauli

5/26

19%

Eredivisie

Utrecht

5/26

19%

Eredivisie

Vitesse

5/26

19%

Eredivisie

Zwolle

5/26

19%

Serie A

Empoli

5/28

18%

Serie A

Frosinone

5/28

18%

La Liga

Girona

5/28

18%

La Liga

Levante

5/28

18%

Ligue 1

Nimes

5/28

18%

Serie A

Sassuolo

5/28

18%

Ligue 1

Lyon

5/29

17%

Premier League

Bournemouth

5/31

16%

Premier League

Burnley

5/31

16%

Bundesliga 2

Duisburg

4/25

16%

Premier League

Liverpool

5/31

16%

Bundesliga 2

Bielefeld

4/26

15%

Bundesliga 2

Bochum

4/26

15%

Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4/26

15%

Bundesliga 2

Heidenheim

4/26

15%

Bundesliga

Hertha

4/26

15%

Bundesliga

Mainz

4/26

15%

Bundesliga 2

Regensburg

4/26

15%

Bundesliga

Stuttgart

4/26

15%

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

4/26

15%

Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

4/26

15%

La Liga

Betis

4/28

14%

Serie A

Chievo

4/28

14%

Serie A

Genoa

4/28

14%

Serie A

Inter

4/28

14%

Ligue 1

Marseille

4/29

14%

Serie A

Milan

4/28

14%

Ligue 1

Nantes

4/28

14%

Serie A

Napoli

4/28

14%

Serie A

Parma

4/28

14%

Ligue 1

St Etienne

4/29

14%

Ligue 1

Strasbourg

4/29

14%

Serie A

Torino

4/28

14%

La Liga

Valladolid

4/28

14%

La Liga

Vallecano

4/28

14%

Premier League

Chelsea

4/30

13%

Premier League

Crystal Palace

4/30

13%

Premier League

Southampton

4/30

13%

Premier League

Tottenham

4/30

13%

Premier League

Watford

4/30

13%

Bundesliga 2

Dresden

3/25

12%

Bundesliga

Ein Frankfurt

3/26

12%

Bundesliga 2

Erzgebirge Aue

3/26

12%

Bundesliga 2

Hamburg

3/26

12%

Bundesliga

M'gladbach

3/26

12%

Bundesliga

Nurnberg

3/26

12%

Bundesliga 2

Union Berlin

3/26

12%

Serie A

Bologna

3/28

11%

Serie A

Juventus

3/28

11%

Serie A

Lazio

3/27

11%

Serie A

Spal

3/28

11%

Ligue 1

Amiens

3/29

10%

Premier League

Everton

3/31

10%

Ligue 1

Guingamp

3/29

10%

Premier League

Huddersfield

3/31

10%

Premier League

Leicester

3/31

10%

Ligue 1

Montpellier

3/29

10%

Ligue 1

Reims

3/29

10%

Premier League

West Ham

3/31

10%

Bundesliga 2

Ingolstadt

2/26

8%

Bundesliga

Schalke 04

2/26

8%

Ligue 1

Angers

2/29

7%

La Liga

Ath Madrid

2/28

7%

Ligue 1

Bordeaux

2/29

7%

Premier League

Brighton

2/29

7%

La Liga

Eibar

2/28

7%

La Liga

Espanol

2/28

7%

La Liga

Leganes

2/28

7%

Ligue 1

Lille

2/29

7%

Ligue 1

Monaco

2/29

7%

Premier League

Newcastle

2/31

7%

Ligue 1

Rennes

2/28

7%

La Liga

Sociedad

2/28

7%

Ligue 1

Toulouse

2/29

7%

Serie A

Udinese

2/27

7%

Premier League

Wolves

2/30

7%

La Liga

Alaves

1/28

4%

La Liga

Ath Bilbao

1/28

4%

La Liga

Huesca

1/28

4%

Bundesliga 2

Sandhausen

1/26

4%

La Liga

Valencia

1/28

4%

La Liga

Villarreal

1/28

4%

Ligue 1

Caen

1/29

3%

Serie A

Cagliari

0/28

0%

Ligue 1

Dijon

0/29

0%

La Liga

Getafe

0/28

0%

Ligue 1

Nice

0/29

0%

ADDITIONAL USER INFORMATION:
1. You can find a specific team quickly by typing the club name into the search box at the top righthand side of the table.
2. You can filter teams by League and Percentage % (click the table header marked LEAGUE or %).
3. Use the ‘Show' and ‘Next' tab to view more teams.
4. The first number in column marked PD (example:10/12) is the total number of games ending over 4.5 goals and the second number is total games played.

It will come as no surprise to find out Barcelona and Real Madrid enjoy the best over 4.5 goal stats in La Liga. These giant teams often thump weaker opposition home and away. In 2015/16 over 30% of Real Madrid games ended with 4.5+ goals, whilst Barcelona’s games ended in 4.5 goals 26% of the time.

Punters will often place a bet on over 4.5 goals with Bayern Munich. The German giants are rightly perceived as the strongest side in the Bundesliga, thus logically they are more likely to record high-scoring wins.

However, the stats from 2015/16 show that Bayern are not involved in high scoring games (4.5+) as often as you’d think – just 13% of their games go over 4.5 goals, which is slightly lower than the league average.

Where To Bet

Nearly all bookies will take bets on Under/Over markets. Whilst you’re unlikely to find a big difference in odds between the major bookmakers it’s still worth shopping around before placing your betting.

I use Betfair and Paddy Power for the majority of my football bets, their odds are usually competitive and both bookies offer a ‘cash out’ option. This option allows you to take a profit before the end of a game. New customers can also claim MATCHED FREE BET PROMOS when joining both bookies online.

Place 5 bets of £10 or more and get a £20 free bet. You can do this 5 times.

The 2018/2019 English Premier League is well underway and so far it looks to be one of the greatest seasons in the history of the Premier League. After the World Cup we are all ready to get back into the new season and all the clubs seem to be spending big to reinforce their teams. Keep your eyes peeled for our new Premier League review section, packed full of Betting tips and Predictions.

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Information appearing on FootballAcca.tips does not constitute professional advice or recommendation.