We will likely see the first round of precip roll thru during the day on Sunday. This could start as rain and then transition to a sleet or freezing rain mixture.

A second round of precip comes in Sunday night into Monday.

There are still big differences in what the newest models are showing. The GFS model is showing a less dramatic winter event for us with some sleet/freezing rain but predominantly a rain event.

The Canadian model shows a worst case scenario with 1″ or more of freezing rain accumulation.

The other models are split with a mixture of sleet and freezing rain and some snow mix.

All areas of North Texas will have impacts from this event. But areas southwest of DFW may see higher amounts of precipitation than others. If you break NTX into four quadrants defined by interstate lines, the area southwest of DFW would be south of I-20 and west of I-35. But again all area will see impacts.

The most likely scenario for the Metroplex looks to be that sleet/freezing rain mixture with an ice accumulation of up to .5″ and/or a sleet accumulation of 1″. But again if other scenarios play out it could be much worse or not as bad.

As for road conditions, if above likely scenario plays out, bridges and overpasses would be icy during day on Sunday once precip starts. But more roads would become icy Sunday night into Monday morning.

There is still the possibility of some snow too.

On Monday the precip will transition to all rain during the day which would melt any accumulation we see. But that won’t happen until late morning or early afternoon.