Monday, October 12, 2015

Twin Cities Marathon 2014 vs 2015 Analysis

I'm back from running the Chicago Marathon and already wishing I wasn't back in San Diego (90 degrees by the coast... in mid Oct). I managed to compile Twin Cities last week but this weekend was busy (flying with a toddler in my lap, running a marathon, more flying with toddler).

Someone requested if I could break the margin of qualification by AG so I did that here.

Here is the breakdown of Twin Cities Marathon age group qualifiers, year over year.

AG Group

2014 AG Total

2014 Qualifiers

Percentage

2015 AG Total

2015 Qualifiers

Percentage

M1834

1926

177

9.19%

1800

130

7.22%

M3539

707

70

9.90%

776

62

7.99%

M4044

671

60

8.94%

678

65

9.59%

M4549

564

81

14.36%

521

70

13.44%

M5054

465

68

14.62%

442

66

14.93%

M5559

295

53

17.97%

296

33

11.15%

M6064

140

32

22.86%

148

31

20.95%

M6569

61

14

22.95%

62

15

24.19%

M7074

24

8

33.33%

19

2

10.53%

M7579

3

1

33.33%

8

3

37.50%

M80+

0

0

0.00%

3

1

33.33%

F1834

2119

189

8.92%

1977

183

9.26%

F3539

654

66

10.09%

628

70

11.15%

F4044

537

69

12.85%

502

62

12.35%

F4549

335

72

21.49%

317

65

20.50%

F5054

198

36

18.18%

203

39

19.21%

F5559

109

26

23.85%

105

24

22.86%

F6064

33

11

33.33%

40

7

17.50%

F6569

11

6

54.55%

15

7

46.67%

F7074

1

0

0.00%

2

0

0.00%

F7579

0

0

0.00%

0

0

0.00%

F80+

0

0

0.00%

0

0

0.00%

Totals

8853

1039

16.85%

8542

935

15.92%

Finishers are down. Qualifiers are down, and the percentage of qualifiers are down. Let's look at the margins.

Margin

2014

Percentage

2015

Percentage

<1 minute

70

6.74%

52

5.56%

1-2 minutes

58

5.58%

44

4.71%

2-3 minutes

53

5.10%

40

4.28%

3-4 minutes

44

4.23%

48

5.13%

4-5 minutes

71

6.83%

39

4.17%

5-10 minutes

213

20.50%

197

21.07%

10-20 minutes

256

24.64%

243

25.99%

20> minutes

274

26.37%

272

29.09%

Totals

1039

935

Qualifiers in 2014 over 5 minutes were 71.5%. In 2015 they are 75.7%. So a significant shift towards qualifying with more margin (but... fewer qualifiers).

Alright folks, I really wanted to get the totals done today but I'm just not going to have the time. Will do it tomorrow though - the formatting into the block is the biggest time-suck. I think, though, that I may always separate individual race data with total data into different posts because there's a lot of tables and data for one race alone.

But you can see, just by looking at the totals of St George and Twin Cities, qualifier totals are down, with a shift towards more margin of qualification.