Heller’s no-nonsense but supremely confident team — led by veteran Nevada consultant Mike Slanker and Mac Abrams, a North Carolina native with a Southern drawl — note that Berkley’s favorable rating remains upside down, even after she’s spent more than a million dollars on advertising.

And funny enough, I was on the ground at the same time as the Politico reporter. I was obviously at the AFP bus wreck last Thursday, but I was also at the Nevada State Democratic Party's Henderson field office last Wednesday. And frankly, I find it funny how a conversation with Dean Heller's professional spin team matters more than all the actual facts on the ground.

Pride comes before the fall.

For all the "supreme confidence" bursting at Dean Heller's campaign headquarters, their own actions tell a different story. Why are they stooping to new lows to smear Shelley Berkley? Why did AFP's own internal poll show Heller only barely ahead of Berkley? Why won't Heller run on his record? For all the "supreme confidence" emanating from Dean Heller's campaign, their actions so far this summer suggest something else.