The Campaign For DA

5.02.2012

The Rangers gave up two home runs last night that hit the top of the wall and bounced over. I've got a buddy who will go nuts today if someone says, "What were the odds of that happening?" He'll reply that it's the same odds of the ball being hit to any two other random places on the field. He told me that 25 years ago, and I still ponder it.

The President's "secret" visit to Afghanistan has to be "secret." You don't exactly want to publicize that flight ahead of time.'

Deion Sanders is going to be on Good Morning America today. Is there no one that will simply tell him he needs keep quiet and keep his dignity.

Someone referenced the old show Blind Date which I used to love, but I'm struggling to remember the format.

I haven't read much of anything about the Cleveland Bomb A Bridge Plot but I'm guessing it's another roundup of a bunch of knuckleheads by the FBI who could never have pulled it off.

Man, I bet you could get beaten down by the conversation coming from the guys who hang around this "pool lounge" that has opened in the Uptown area of Dallas.

The video of Kate Upton doing the "Cat Daddy" got banned by youtube yesterday. You'll have to do The Google.

Mrs. LL appealed a call at her softball game last night and got it overturned. I'll be.

In cold blood: Two people got shot in their home in Dallas last night in front of their children who were left unharmed. It almost sounds like it was a hit.

The Messenger has an editorial today wondering why its "Wise County Crime Reports" never gets a Texas Monthly "Bum Steer Award." It's for the reason I mentioned two weeks ago: You intentionally try to trick them up.

If the EPA "non-attainment" status for Wise County means more expensive inspections, get ready. What's it add? $30?

I understand and tend to agree with your comment about the Cleveland bridge knuckleheads and if I remember correctly you've made it before about a couple of other FBI takedowns. But there are those who would argue that the guys who bombed the OKC Murrah building would have been knuckleheads who never could have pulled that off.

A pool lounge is actually a great idea. It's a means to get all the Chris-Chris D-bags together in one spot so that they can irritate each other and leave the rest of us alone

Of course inspections will be more expensive - they have to pay for the fancy equipment required. Then there's the $$ for repairs that will be needed to pass inspection. If it's such a great idea, why don't they test all vehicles in the entire country, instead of just the ones in certain areas?

Blind Date had two show types.1. Ball Buster who belittles her date all evening.2. Two folks in heat who grope in the hot tub at the end of the evening of double entendres.Both types were entertaining.

If the question is, "Given the entire hypothetical area in which a fair ball could drop, what are the odds that in one game two different balls will drop onto the top of the outfield wall?" .... then one way to approach the calculation would be to calculate the area occupied by the top of the outfield wall, and divide that by the entire hypothetial area in which a fair ball could drop. That is going to yield a pretty small number, while his other number - the odds that two fair balls will drop somewhere in that entire hypothetical area - is 100%.

If he's wanting to narrow that and say "Pick any two spots within the entire hypothetical area in which a fair ball could drop. The odds of two balls in one game dropping on those 2 spots is the same for every pair of spots you pick" ... well, then he's closer to right. But there is still the matter of range to consider. That is, it is far more likely for two balls to drop in the short outfield than at the very back, on the fence.

1. What is the total area of the top of the wall? Let's assume the top of the wall is 6 inches front to back. It stretches from foul pole to foul pole(include the foul pole, because even though it's called a foul pole, it's considered fair territory) and remember that outfield walls are not all symetrical. Center field and the power alleys(depending on the particular stadium) are different distances from home plate than the foul poles(which as we know, are fair). Just for fun, let's assume the length of the wall is 600 feet from foul pole to foul pole(fair poles, really) 600 ft X 6 inches = 300 Square feet. (Barry, please do not attempt this calculation on your own)

2. Now that we have the assumed area covered by the top of the wall, what area are you comparing it to? Remember, the top of the wall is the closest area for a home run ball to land in if the outfield wall is a symetrical arc. Many parks have non-symetrical outfield walls, like where the Rangers play meaning that there is more area covered by the top of the wall. In most ball parks, the top of the outfield wall is closer to home plate than any seat in the stadium that a home run could land in so selecting seats beyond the wall will eliminate a percentage of hitters that cannot hit a baseball that far. An example of an exception would be Fenway park, where in right field, beyond the "Pesky Pole"(which is fair) there are many seats in fair territory much closer to home plate than the top of the great majority of the outfield wall in that park.

3. Since the top of the outfield wall is, in most parks, the closest home run territory to homeplate, a higher percentage of hitters are able to hit a baseball that far. More players can hit a ball the 360 feet to the left field foul(fair) pole than can hit a 410 foot bomb do dead center. So the top of the outfield wall is the closest target area for the highest percentage of hitters.

4. Many other factors could influence the calculation, such as wind speed, wind direction, height of the wall, jumping ability of the outfielder, fast ball or change up, real grass or artificial turf, temperature, number of beers consumed and a host of other factors.

Conclusion:

I would hypothesis that the top of the outfield wall is actually more likely to be the landing spot for a home run blast than any other randomly selected area that matches the square footage of a given wall for a given park(with some exceptions, like Fenway) because a higher percentage of hitters are able to reach that target area than any other randomly selected target area in a given park.

Increased inspection fees, added fees here and there, no need for new taxes, just increase the fees. "If you want to drive on government roads, then you will pay the fees." Bureaucracies are ruining this country. No need for fascist dictators when you have board members and leaders for everything imaginabel.

UGH, the messer-upper and their wannabe awards. they already think they are some kind of great paper by winning awards from press associations that are not even north texas. crying over awards? no surprise there.

The EPA did not include Wise and Hood county to Tarrant/Dallas county to raise costs for inspections for emissions! Trucks, cars, boats, lawnmowers, chainsaws, etc. are the source of the majority of VOC emissions; however, the EPA is at war with the oil/gas industry. Even though vehicles and high traffic create smog and ozone alert days, they will keep over regulating the fossil fuel industry. Why? Because they want to force us to drive electric cars and buy solar panels! Just because fracking can make us energy independent from geo-political forces who hate us, create jobs and provide low cost energy for a robust economy doesn't fit Obama's agenda! If you are against clean natural gas, please go ahead and get your electric car and solar panels!