Dan, your analysis of Federer is way off the mark. Have you watched any of the Aussie Open? Look at the results http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/tennis/scoreboard?tournamentId=154&year=2008&matchType=1

In the third round against Janko Tipsarevic he was down 2 sets to 1 going into the 4th set, and finally won the 5th set 10 games to 8! 10-8! He nearly lost in the third round!

Sure, he coasted through the first two rounds against a couple of patsies, but then again in the quartfinals he beat Blake 7-5, 7-6 (7-5), 6-4. Sure, straight sets, but hardly a dominating performance. In fact, I would argue that Federer has looked the most beatable he has looked in a long time. After seeing that 5th set marathon I knew he wasn't winning this tournament.

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DanShanoff.com is a sports-blog spin-off of my long-time ESPN.com column, "The Daily Quickie." Anchored by an early-morning post of must-know topics, the blog is updated frequently throughout the day with new posts and user comments.