Western Pacific Tropical Update – 1 January 2017

Bottom Line Up Front: Minor disturbance southeast of Mindanao expected to bring showers to Mindanao and portions of Indonesia.

Tropical Analysis – 1 January 2017 0300 UTC

Current Storms: None

5-Day Tropical Discussion: Invest 94W remains at a very low latitude—around 2.5°N—and is centered approximately 800 km southeast of General Santos City, Sarangani, Philippines. Convection with this disturbance remains unorganized and the surface circulation is elongated west-to-east. Expect this disturbance to remain attached to the Intertropical Convergence Zone, spreading rain showers to Mindanao, northern Maluku, and Borneo throughout the early part of the upcoming week before emerging as a weak area of low pressure in the South China Sea by late in the week. Tropical cyclone development with Invest 94W is not anticipated.

Elsewhere in the Western Pacific, tropical cyclone development is not expected to occur over the next five days.

Until next time, have a great day and take care. -Mike

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