Description

The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of potential political security in an effort to fill in two foregoing research gaps in international tourism. To investigate the relationship between political security and international tourism, a simple regression model was employed. Secondary data were collected from a variety of sources, such as international tourist arrivals (130 countries) from Statistical Yearbook of Tourism by World Tourism Organization and their political security index from Euromoney aggregated by polling risk analysts, risk brokers and bank credit officers. The result found that the regression coefficient of political security turned out to be statistically insignificant (p=0.23). Only 9% of total variance in international tourist arrivals is explained by the political security. However, according to the scatter plot, the outlier clusters of 18 underestimated countries and 5 overestimated countries revealed important patterns explained in terms of the political security.