All of which is to say: a. I learned something from Upshot polls, and b. quite different methods are converging on a reasonable expectation of Democratic control of the House with a pickup of over 30 seats.

1 issue at 9 am and 9 pm for House and Senate. 2 retain that continually updated summary until the election 3 on each occasion review 538's "all forecasts" 4 if new data "merits " it, report beneath the summary for that day only.

Mostly for future analysis after the election to question whether movements in 538's data base during this period will then in retrospective be seen to have been predictive value of which we were not currently aware.

Even more for curiosity value I have started to include 538's daily forecasts for the House & Senate for my own amazement to see the extent , if any, this current data is somehow reflected in its daily report of expected

final majorities.

Which in possession of such knowledge,plus $2.50 ,I'll also be able to get an MTA card.

Showing how seriously 538 is taken: people put money where it's mouth is:

BREAKING: 538 said Nevada’s Senate race is the closest in the entire country. If we LOSE here to Trump-backed Dean Heller, we’ll LOSE our chance to take back the Senate! We’re counting on you. Please, chip in NOW to help us win – every dollar will be DOUBLED! Donate NOW >>

538 tells you about the bells& whistles. Not true that a forecast is a forecast. Each one is weighted to correct past partianship . Ancad separately weighted overall as to the extent its included in the final number;

The subtext here is the Wall Street bailouts and foreclosure wave. All Democratic leaders essentially supported it. This is why there’s grumbling, but no alternatives. The Democrats have really just started their internal debate over big money. https://t.co/8XKgqvJYn2

Brookings Institution fellow Elaine Kamarck on Friday compared President Trump's rhetoric on immigration to "the boy who cried wolf. I think that the president at this point with immigration is like the boy who cried wolf," Kamarck, who also directs the Center for Effective Public Management, told Hill.TV's Jamal Simmons on "What America's Thinking."

What Blair had first conceived of as an elaborate joke was beginning to reveal something darker. “No matter how racist, how bigoted, how offensive, how obviously fake we get, people keep coming back,” Blair once wrote, on his own personal Facebook page. “Where is the edge? Is there ever a point where people realize they’re being fed garbage and decide to return to reality?”....“Nothing on this page is real,” read one of the 14 disclaimers on Blair’s site, and yet in the America of 2018 his stories had become real, amassing an audience of as many 6 million visitors each month who thought his posts were factual.