The Incremental Trader

Sunday, February 16, 2014

Today I have solved, at least inside myself, the dilemma iper-inflation vs deflation.

Iper-inflation is the building of a lie out of control (debt and
entitlements into the system), it feeds on itself and like a lie it
brings to more lies to cover up and to mislead from the inconvenient
truth (i.e. that the system does not support all its debt and entitlements).

But eventually, the truth is inevitable (it can take years), but the
reality cannot be escaped, the system has to reset and the reset
mechanism can be pure deflation or induced deflation by war.

Friday, February 14, 2014

The words trader and traitor have the same latin root, "tradere" or "to offer".

Have you ever noticed that, the market is the perfect traitor, perfectly able to mislead, change direction, betray expectations, exactly when those same expectations arise to consciusness in the trader?

Wednesday, January 1, 2014

Last night 31.12.12 closing print propelled all 4 major US markets (SPX, DJIA, RUT and NDX), above their 2007 peaks (for SPX, DIJA and RUT, that means also above their previous all-time high), by such a margin that a minimum fib retracement (23.6%), would still be above their previous peaks.

Will the central planners at the FED allow for some weakness now that they might think escape velocity has been achieved?

Saturday, July 13, 2013

The cycle repeated
As explosions broke in the skyAll that I neededWas the one thing I couldn't find

And you were there at the turn
Waiting to let me know

We're building it upTo break it back downWe're building it upTo burn it downWe can't waitTo burn it to the ground

The colors conflictedAs the flames climbed into the cloudsI wanted to fix thisBut couldn't stop from tearing it down

And you were there at the turnCaught in the burning glowAnd I was there at the turnWaiting to let you know

We're building it up
To break it back down
We're building it up
To burn it down
We can't wait
To burn it to the ground

You told me, "Yes"You held me highAnd I believed when you told that lie
I played soldier, you played king
And struck me down, when I kissed that ring
You lost that right, to hold that crown
I built you up, but you let me downSo when you fall, I'll take my turn
And fan the flames
As your blazes burn

And you were there at the turn
Waiting to let me know

We're building it up
To break it back down
We're building it up
To burn it down
We can't wait
To burn it to the ground

When you fall, I'll take my turn
And fan the flames
As your blazes burn

We can't wait
To burn it to the ground

When you fall, I'll take my turn
And fan the flames
As your blazes burn

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