Saturday, October 04, 2008

Muslims not interested in getting involved in terrorism.

We have been running operation " sub rosa" for a few months, we deployed several thousand BSU's to random Muslim indivuals in countrys that had strong al Qaeda support and mostly Sunnis.

Selection rules out anyone in the ummah without access to the WWW.

All records except 4 deleted.

Our Intel Paradigm and metrics indicated the vast majority of Muslims are not interested in supporting terrorism or violence.

The positive indicators for terrorism Involvement, support of terrorism
or violence runs at less than 0.012 % ( thats about 1 in a thousand. ) in areas where al Qaeda has realitively strong support.

The paradigm also indicates Arabic Muslims are also afraid of the
terrorists, and remain silent out of fear.

If there were a way for them to fight terrorism in what they feel is
relative safety they would be interested.

That would seem to point to a failure of al Qaedas information war.

Now that I have some metrics my view of the terrorists success in
the Info war would seem to be in question?

While its true USA is not winning the Info war it doesn't seem the
USA is loosing it either. 1 /1,000,

I may have underestimated the impact of the civilian effort on the
Information war. While the governments efforts at the Info war has
been minimal, al Qaedas efforts have not lead to the level of
success I had anticipated.

But there are sucesses and then there are successes.

Our metrics indicate 99.082 % of Muslims have no interest in terrorism or violence.

That is a WIN, of sorts.
al Qaedas info war seems to have been a failure, a rate of about one out of
a thousand are willing to support or get invooved in terrorism.

. A success or failure?

1,200,000,000 Muslims in the world. 1.2 Billion.

Thats 1,200,000 Muslims world wide interested in getting involved in or supporting

terrorism or violence. 1.2 million, thats about 1 per thousand.

.IS THAT A SUCCESSFUL INFORMATION WAR?

Will banner type metrics paradigm apply to Info War metrics? Indicators point to YES.

If we flip the terrorist metrics to our side, which may or may not be a valid hypothesis.

The Paradigm suggests a possibility of a Info war ( if as effective as the
terrorist ), could raise an Army of Muslim cyber Warriors from a pool
of 1,200,000 anti al qaeda Muslims.

Drug lords ARE terrorist

CIA wet ops against drug cartels dealing with Afghan narco terrorist will increase the risk in the risk reward ratio, making buying drugs in South America safer, thereby cutting off the terrorist funding ( Cartels would quit buying drugs in Afghan, it would be safer to buy from S America. ).By defining drug cartels dealing with the Taliban as terrorists, we would have legal precedentto use military force and WAR "rules of engagement " against those drug cartels.ie Kill the drug cartel heads on sight.

That would rebalance the risk/reward ratio."

the current drug paradigm works in favor of the drug cartels and terrorists.

Iranian fools

Ayatollah Jannati In Iran Friday Sermon: U.S. Economic Woes 'Divine Punishment' – 'The Unhappier They [Americans] Become, The Happier We Get'; 'Americans Should Wait To Be Slapped In The Face By Islam, Muslims, And The Islamic Revolution'

We're slowly entering into a stage where RBN bullet proof hosting franchises are vertically integrating, and due to the requests from their customers are starting to offer that they refer to as "mirrored hosting" which in practice is plain simple fast flux network consisting of RBN-alike purchased netblocks, and naturally, botnet infected hosts.

Actually, it takes ips around the world and our powerful control panel just rotates the ips every 15 minutes. though all these ips you will see will be fake no one can trace the orignal ip where files are hosted. Sometimes the ip is from China, Korea, USA, UK, Japan, Lithuania etc."

The concept has always been there for cybercriminals to take advantage of, but once it matures into a managed service it would undoubtedly lower down the entry barriers allowing yesterday's average phishers to take advantage of what only the "pros" were used to.

Thursday, October 02, 2008

Irans nukes

“The British newspaper The Guardian on Thursday quoted European officials as saying that the United States earlier this year refused to agree to an Israeli strike on Iranian nuclear facilities.

“According to the report, European diplomatic sources said that Israel gave serious thought this spring to launching a military strike on Iran’s nuclear sites but was told by President George W. Bush that he would not support it and did not expect to revise that view for the rest of his presidency.” Read more

Iran Almost at “Virtual” Nuclear Weapon Status

“By the time we inaugurate our next president, Iran is likely to achieve virtual nuclear weapon status. This means that it will be able to produce, within a few months of deciding to do so, enough weapon-grade uranium to fuel a bomb.

“But how is that possible? After all, about the only thing the Bush administration and our European allies seem to agree on regarding Iran is that there is a lot more time for diplomacy and sanctions to work before the ayatollahs can cross the nuclear line. Unfortunately, that’s no longer the situation.” Read more

most youth hate Islam

From our source in the Iranian resiatance. G.

"There is hardly any religious fundamentalist left these days.Only those who benefit directly form it ...like the Mullahs and their relatives or in the Arab world those who are really attached to Hezbollah...

The fact is that as the Mullahs in Iran have embarked in derailing the real Islamic tolerance and peace promised in its ideology and turned to fundamentalism, people get fed up: like in Iran..most youth hate Islam. They blame everything on Islam and the Arabs.

It is of course a misunderstanding, a predicament of what Khomienism has done in the whole region. Please do not under estimate Iranian mullahs. Although they are extremely fragile and weak in authority and have to exert extreme suppression to control the situation inside, and have to bribe their way even in the groups affiliated to them, but they are demagogues, mixing religion and polics. Which means you shall never find a specific trend or rhythm or any logical out come of a rhythmic politics. Khomeinism means , using religion to buy your way through with every means. The only language effective to them is FORCE."

From an Iranian insider.

Gerald

MORE:

Let the Dissidents Challenge the Jihadists

By Walid Phares

Counter Jihadists win

In contrast, findings show that the activities by counter-Jihadist Muslim groups and similar cadres are the leading factors to help resist the advance of radical mobilization. The equations I have tested for over twenty years are verifiable: every time Jihadists and counter-Jihadists engage in a battle of ideas, counter-Jihadists win. Every time Jihadists are alone on the scene, obviously, they win.

It is now imperative that a renewed debate about radicalization in Europe, particularly in light of an EU Czech Presidency for half a year, restructures the engagement process to include the democracy segments within Middle Eastern and Muslim communities on the continent. Czech and central European experience in dissidence-dynamics and counter totalitarian processes is a needed component in the wider European effort to contain the Salafist and Khomeinist ideological expansion.

"The Jihadists' Revolt Against Al Qaeda"

By Andrew Cochran

On September 23, the Counterterrorism Foundation and New America Foundation held a live panel discussion on Capitol Hill with Peter Bergen, CTB Contributing Experts Evan Kohlmann and Paul Cruickshank, and guest commentator Maajid Nawaz to discuss "The Jihadists' Revolt Against Al Qaeda: Why Some of Al Qaeda’s Old Allies Have Turned Against It." You can view New America's video of that panel, and you can download a transcript, thanks to Assistant Newslink Editor Brett Wallace. Here are excerpts from the panel:

Peter Bergen: "There are two central fronts in the war on terror, Iraq and the Pakistan-Afghanistan border. What happened with Al Qaeda in Iraq, it was an assisted suicide, we helped their suicide and so did the Sunni awakening. They had five problems. First they have terrible leadership. Al Masri who runs AQI is not Zarqawi, Zawahiri or Osama Bin Laden, he is a bad leader. Second is organization. Third is ideological problems, they can’t make compromises. They also have made a lot of enemies such as the 1920’s Brigade. Many of the recruits that have come to Iraq are gone because they commit suicide. The fact that we have seen female suicide attacks is a sign of weakness, not strength.

We know what these groups are against but what are they for? There is no al Qaeda minister of employment, Al Qaeda school, or Al Qaeda social welfare organization. There is not a category of government they have said they are not against, Russia, China, the West, Israel, Shiites and so on. Because of this problem they can’t turn themselves into political movements."

Even Kohlmann: "Arguably over any other issue, the predominant topic of discussion, controversy—and often schism—within the Salafi-Jihadi discourse has revolved around the justifications for deliberately killing other Sunni Muslims, including both innocent civilians and competing mujahideen fighters.

Nowhere else has that debate become more evident and problematic for Salafi-Jihadi leaders than in Iraq, where the insurgency has recently undergone a series of fundamental shifts. First, a wide array of prominent Sunni insurgent factions—including the Islamic Army in Iraq (IAI), the 1920 Revolution Brigades, Iraqi Hamas, and Asaeb al-Iraq al-Jihadiya (to name just a few)—have become embroiled in bitter public feuds with Al-Qaida’s “Islamic State of Iraq” (ISI) over the latter’s aggressive insistence that all Sunni insurgent groups join together under the banner of the ISI. The combined impact of this has undeniably had a debilitating impact on the long-term political viability of Al-Qaida and the ISI."

Taliban: Baitullah Mehsud alive;

Taliban: Baitullah Mehsud alive; US strike in North Waziristan

The Taliban denied that its commander in Pakistan died of natural causes. Baituallah Mehsud, the leader of the Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan and warlord in South Waziristan, was reported to have died yesterday of complications related to diabetes.

The Taliban "media felt annoyed by some media reports about death of Baitullah Mehsud," Geo TV reported. Instead, the news agency said Baitullah "offered Eid prayers in some undisclosed area of Waziristan."

Sources told The Long War Journal yesterday that the reports were false and designed to spread misinformation. The Taliban spokesman said the reports were false. "Some elements were spreading false news on instructions of agencies," Geo TV paraphased the Taliban spokesman as saying, indicating that Pakistani intelligence was spreading misinformation.

Taliban leaders are rumored to be vying to succeed Baitullah in case he does die. Qari Hussain, a senior lieutenant to Baitullah, is said to be lobbying for the position. Qari ran a suicide camp in Spinkai in South Waziristan, where children were trained to conduct attacks in Afghanistan and Pakistan. The Pakistani military destroyed the camp in an operation in January.