What to Expect This Week

This week, in the United States, GDP growth for the first quarter should be revised slightly up due to a rise in exports. Also, housing market may show some signs of improvement as new and existing home sales growth may pick up in April boosted by the ending tax credit. In addition, durable goods orders are expected to surge in April due to an increase in aircraft orders.

In the Euro Area, investors attention is likely to be still focused on fiscal sustainability of the zone. In Japan, exports may rise for the third consecutive month in April. However, the consumer price index is expected to stay unchanged at -1.1%. Also, the labor market should stabilize and the unemployment rate stay at 5% in April. In the United Kingdom, GDP growth in the first quarter was probably stronger than previously estimated. Finally, in New Zealand trade balance for April is likely to stay in surplus supported by higher export prices.

TradingEconomics.com5/23/2010 6:56:51 PM

Recent Releases

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, a report is likely to show that consumer confidence dropped in July on worries the ongoing economic recovery is slowing down. Yet, the second quarter GDP may still rise modestly supported by government spending and a rise in corporate investments. Published on 2010-07-26

What to Expect this Week
This week, Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve Chairman, will deliver his Semi Annual Monetary Policy Report to the House of Representatives. In the data releases front, housing data will be in focus. Existing home sales probably declined further in June as the home buyer tax credit expired. Building permits and housing starts are also likely to stay depressed since the overall economy has not performing very well during recent months.Published on 2010-07-18

What to Expect this Week
This week, in the United States, the earnings season starts. It is expected that several large corporations will report strong profits for the second quarter of 2010 as record-low interest rates continue to help the economy. Moreover, inflation may rise slightly. However, retail sales are likely to drop in June as consumers spending deteriorated due to uncertain economic conditions.Published on 2010-07-11

What to Expect this Week
This week, in the United States, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) nonmanufacturing index probably went down in June as construction activity deteriorated. In addition, initial jobless claims may drop slightly following the previous week’s unexpected jump.Published on 2010-07-05

What to Expect this Week
This week, in the United States, labor data will be in focus. The unemployment rate may drop slightly. However, non-farm payrolls are expected to decrease by at least 100K as temporary census jobs disappeared in June. Still, consumer confidence is likely to have improved in June supported by a drop in gasoline prices. Published on 2010-06-27

What to Expect this Week
This week, in the United States, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meets but we don't expect any changes in the current monetary policy due to renewed global growth risks. In terms of data releases, new home sales probably fell in May as the housing tax credit expired.Published on 2010-06-19

What to Expect this Week
This week, in the United States, we are looking for another drop in inflation caused by decline in gasoline prices. Also, May industrial production likely to go up as manufacturing payrolls increased and average workweek extended. In addition, housing starters and building permits data should give better overview what's going on in the housing sector. Published on 2010-06-13

What to Expect this Week
This week, in the United States, we expect Chairman Ben Bernanke to reaffirm the Federal Reserve policy to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged since the labor market is still weak as show by last's week payrolls data. Still, retail sales are likely to show some gains in May due to an improvement in consumer's confidence. Also, the trade deficit may widen in April with imports rising and exports unchanged.Published on 2010-06-06

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, non-farm payrolls are expected to jump 150K as the government continued to hire Census workers and private employment picked up in May. We also expect the jobless rate to edge lower. In addition, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Activity index is likely to remain solid as production and new orders have risen recently.Published on 2010-05-29

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, GDP growth for the first quarter should be revised slightly up due to a rise in exports. Also, housing market may show some signs of improvement as new and existing home sales growth may pick up in April boosted by the ending tax credit. In addition, durable goods orders are expected to surge in April due to an increase in aircraft orders.Published on 2010-05-23

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, inflation probably remained stable in April as lower energy prices made up for increases in other components. Also, housing starts and building permits should pick up as weather improved and sales at building supply stores increasedPublished on 2010-05-16

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, retail sales is likely to drop slightly in April due to a decline in car sales. Also, the trade deficit may widen in March as higher oil prices prompted growth in imports. In addition, industrial production probably edged higher in April as manufacturing payrolls rose.Published on 2010-05-09

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, labor data will be in focus. It is likely that payrolls will post a sizable gain for April and unemployment rate drop to 9.6% boosted by hiring for the 2010 census but also by private services. Also, we are looking for another gain in the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Survey as new orders and production picked up recently. In addition, personal income and consumption may increase.Published on 2010-05-01

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, the Federal Reserve meets but we don't expect any changes in current monetary policy. Also, after a significant inventory rebuilding spike in last three months of 2009, GDP for first quarter should show a moderate growth. In addition, consumer confidence is likely to go slightly up as there are signs that economy is getting better. Published on 2010-04-25

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, the housing market will be once again in focus. Existing home sales may have picked up in March. Yet, new home sales, which haven’t been supported by tax credit, are likely to stay depressed. Moreover, durable goods orders probably little changed in March as aircraft and cars sales dropped. Published on 2010-04-17

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, retail sales is expected to rise significantly due to a rebound in auto sales and strong store sales results. In addition, inflation data for March may indicate a light increase in consumer prices despite a small decline in rent prices. Also, trade balance may show a smaller deficit as customs data indicates a drop in imports. Published on 2010-04-10

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, several members of the Federal Open Market Committee, including Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will be speaking. Investors will be looking for any indication of a possible interest rate increase before the end of the year. Also, initial jobless claims are likely to fall after a significant gain in March nonfarm payrolls.Published on 2010-04-03

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, a government report is likely to show that non-farm payrolls improved in March due to Census hiring and unemployment rate probably dropped. In addition, the national purchasing managers’ index (PMI) may show further growth as manufacturing sector rebounded this month. Published on 2010-03-27

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke testifies to the US Congress in a rescheduled hearing. In addition, the release of existing and new home sales data will give us a better view on the housing market recovery.Published on 2010-03-20

What to Expect This Week
This week, the United States Federal Open Market Committee is likely to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged. In addition, we will have new figures for Inflation but we don't expect any increase in headline and core prices for February as weak growth continues to temper increases. Published on 2010-03-13

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, we should see a fall in initial jobless claims after better than expected nonfarm payrolls. Also, the U.S. trade deficit may narrow slightly in January as exports dropped less than imports. Still, retail sales is likely to be lower in February due to severe weather conditions. Published on 2010-03-06

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, we expect payrolls to decline sharply due to severe weather conditions. Also, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Activity index is likely to be negatively affected by the heavy snow that fell in February. Published on 2010-02-27

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, the Federal Reserve's Chairman Ben Bernanke will deliver his semi-annual monetary policy report to the Congress. After Thursday's discount rate hike investors will be looking for further signs of monetary policy tightening. We are also expecting an upward revision to the fourth quarter GDP.Published on 2010-02-20

What to Expect This Week
This week, all eyes will be on Europe's troubles with government debt. After a disappointing EU summit on Thursday, it is expected that by this Tuesday it will become more clear if the Euro Area members will step in and support Greece. Published on 2010-02-14

What to Expect This Week
This week, concerns over European debt will continue to dominate global markets as the European Commission is expected to meet and discuss the condition of public finances in many member states. Published on 2010-02-06

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, labor data should be in focus. We expect a 50K gain in payrolls in December due to mild weather. Yet, the unemployment rate may stay unchanged as more people start looking for jobs. Elsewhere, purchasing managers index (PMI) is likely to rise in January supported by growth in new orders. Also, consumer spending may pick up modestly.Published on 2010-01-30

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting will be in focus. Although we don't expect any changes in the interest rate, the FOMC may reveal more details about an exit strategy from quantitative easing. Elsewhere, fourth quarter GDP estimate may surprise us on the positive side, showing over 5% growth. Also, consumer confidence may rise slightly in January. Published on 2010-01-23

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, housing starts and building permits will probably fall below investor's expectations. Yet, the Conference Board’s leading economic index is expected to rise for the ninth consecutive month in December. Published on 2010-01-17

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, we expect trade deficit to have widened in November, probably due to a rise in oil imports. In addition, consumer sentiment is likely to improve further since job losses declined in recent months and stocks made year-to-date highs. Published on 2010-01-09

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, we expect a 30,000 decline in non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate to spike up to 10.2%. In a positive note, the manufacturing Institute for Supply Management (ISM) index is likely to signal further expansion in factory output. Published on 2010-01-02

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, we expect the third quarter GDP estimate to be revised lower from 3.5% to 2.5%. In addition, personal income probably edged higher in November.Published on 2009-12-20

What to Expect This Week
This week, the United States Federal Open Market Committee will hold its last monetary policy meeting of 2009. We don't expect any change on the benchmark interest rate. Also, inflation may risen again in November due to higher gasoline prices and industrial production to continue its recovery from recessionary levels. Published on 2009-12-13

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, we should see a fall in initial jobless claims after a surprising improvement in last week's nonfarm payrolls. Elsewhere, trade deficit should narrow slightly in November helped by a more competitive dollar exchange rate which is boosting exports and making imports less affordable. Also, November retail sales probably jumped on higher vehicle purchases.Published on 2009-12-05

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, unemployment rate is expected go up to 10.3% and non-farm payrolls are projected to have drop by another 140K in November. Elsewhere, Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Survey and Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), are likely to show some expansion, but at a weaker pace. Published on 2009-11-28

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, we are looking for a considerable downward revision to the third quarter GDP, triggered by updated figures for exports and business inventories. In addition, consumer spending likely rebounded in October boosted by car sales.Published on 2009-11-22

What to Expect This Week
This will be a busy week in the United States with speeches by Federal Reserve officials likely to give clues about an highly anticipated exit strategy for quantitative easing. Elsewhere, October retail sales are expected to show another gain and headline inflation will likely pick up but remain slightly negative. Published on 2009-11-14

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, trade deficit probably widen in September as higher commodity and energy prices more than offset the benefits of a more competitive dollar exchange rate. In addition, jobless claims should remain unchanged confirming the difficult situation in the labor market.Published on 2009-11-08

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, highly anticipated labor data will provide more evidence the Obama administration stimulus plan is not being translated into more jobs. Indeed, unemployment rate is expected to have risen to 10% in October and nonfarm payrolls drop by nearly 200K. Published on 2009-10-31

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, third quarter GDP is expected to show a return to growth. Elsewhere, business sentiment shown by the Chicago PMI and ISM manufacturing figures should improve further. Published on 2009-10-25

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, housing starts, building permits and existing home sales are expected to show some gains. Elsewhere, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will be speaking and investors will be looking for details about an exit strategy for quantitative easing. Published on 2009-10-18

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, inflation is expected to remain in deflationary territory but rise slightly as the US economy picks up momentum. In addition, retail sales may surprise many investors to the upside.Published on 2009-10-11

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, a survey on business sentiment among non-manufacturers is expected to print above recessionary levels. This is an exceptionally good leading indicator released monthly by the Institute for Supply Management.Published on 2009-10-03

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, we are looking for a 150K decline in Non-Farm Payrolls and a slight uptick in unemployment rate to 9.8%. Yet, consumer confidence is likely to improve further as well as ISM business sentiment. Published on 2009-09-26

What to Expect This Week
This week, the United States Federal Open Market Committee holds its monthly meeting. We don’t expect any changes in the current monetary policy.Published on 2009-09-20

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, economic activity numbers should validate expectations the world’s largest economy is stabilizing. Investors are looking for advance retail sales to improve significantly, industrial production to rise and headline inflation to decline at a slower pace. Published on 2009-09-13

What to Expect This Week
This week, financial markets in the United States are closed on Monday due to the Labor Day holiday. Later in the week, US Trade deficit for July is likely to have stayed at June low level and consumer confidence should pick up in September due to second round effects of the ongoing government stimulus plan.Published on 2009-09-06

What to Expect This Week
This week, the United States Labor Department is likely to announce a 200 thousand drop in non-farm payrolls for August and a possible deterioration in unemployment rate to 9.5%. Published on 2009-08-31

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, the second estimate for Q2 GDP is expected at negative 1.5% q/q annualized. In the Euro Area, industrial new orders are likely to improve and economic confidence should increase for a fifth consecutive month. Published on 2009-08-23

What to Expect This Week
This week, there are few data releases for major economies. In the United States, investors will be focus on the Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke speech about "Reflections on a Year of Crisis" at the Kansas City Fed's annual symposium.Published on 2009-08-16

What to Expect This Week
This week, the United States Federal Reserve holds a meeting on monetary policy. The Fed is expected to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged. However, it will be more interesting to see if Ben Bernanke and its peers disclose any exit strategy for quantitative easing. Published on 2009-08-09

What to Expect This Week
This week is packed with employment indicators and it will be interesting to see if money spend by the government but paid by tax-payers will at last start stimulating the job market.Published on 2009-08-02

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, advanced GDP reading for second quarter is likely to confirm some mild signs of improvement in the world’s largest economy. Still, July consumer confidence may fall again and June durable goods orders are expected to decrease due to a drop in transportation orders.Published on 2009-07-26

What to Expect This Week
This week’s major economic event is the Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke’s two day semi-annual monetary policy testimony before Congress. Investors will be looking for clues about a possible exit strategy for quantitative easing.Published on 2009-07-18

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States, investors will be focused on second quarter earnings as several financial institutions are set to report. Published on 2009-07-13

What to Expect This Week
This week, economic data in the United States is relatively light. The only major release is the trade balance which probably narrowed in May due to a huge drop in imports that mirrors one of the largest declines in customs duties on record. Published on 2009-07-06

What to Expect This Week
This week, in the United States labor data is the main release. It is expected that May unemployment rate will rise further and non-farm payrolls shrink by around 400K. Published on 2009-06-27

What to Expect This Week (Oct 26-Nov 1)
While stock markets have been falling all over the world, policy makers along with central bankers have been trying to find the best solution for a sudden deteriorating in economic conditions. Yet, even though it’s hard to admit, any government imposed measure, will probably fail and the best decision is to leave the markets alone correct any bad allocation of capital. Published on 2008-10-26

What to Expect This Week (October 19-25)
After another explosive week in the world’s financial markets, economic data in the the week ahead is expected to reflect a frightening deterioration of the global economy.Published on 2008-10-17

What to expect this week (Oct 12-18)
After one of the most volatile week in the financial markets history, it seems we are still in the eye of the credit storm and the worst part is yet to come. Next week, risk aversion sentiment rather than fundamental triggers are expected to continue driving the markets and we expect economic data releases to have limited impact on markets assessment. Published on 2008-10-11

What to expect this week?
Next week, following the successful vote on the $700 billion rescue package in the U.S. House of Representatives, the market will be watching plans for its implementation. Published on 2008-10-03

What to expect this week?
Next week the market will be focus on the details of the United States government rescue plan that will enable financial institutions to clean up their balance sheets from bad investments in credit derivatives. Published on 2008-09-27