Day

Yep, What’s the point of Houston playing an Oklahoma, winning by 10, going undefeated the rest of the season, winning they’re conference & conference championship & not making it to the CFP? It really depends on how (if) Oklahoma can run the table, how they win their games, scores, did they struggle…etc. The eye ball test will play a big factor in this at the end of the season, if Houston can beat their opponents by 30+ a game & beat a very good Louisville team, they still have to over come the other conference champions & favoritism from the Bama’s, Sooners, Clemson…etc, fans that will travel like the article says but if the Cougars loses then it is over for them anyways.

Mazarati

Stuart

The question is would a 12-0 Houston get in over a 12-1 Stanford, Washington, Florida State, Michigan, say Georgia or take your pick from Baylor/Oklahoma/Texas/TCU winning the Big 12.

The answer is no. Houston’s SOS require OU to run the table and Louisville to be a 10 game winner, and for the SOS of all those P5 to be well below norm. That wont happen. The SOS will kill UH as will the lack of quality opponents. And even if they manage to be 3rd or 4th in the polls the committee and computers will push UH to the 5th slot.

The entire system is designed to lock out a hot G5 school like Boise State under Petersen (now UW coach) or Houston under Herman (who’s P5 coach will he be in January?). That wont change.

Shep

“First, the Sooners will play five times, think about that, five times more Power opponents than will the Cougars. If both teams are playing at the same level, it means, theoretically, that Oklahoma has a five times greater chance of losing in 10 of the 12 weeks than does Houston.”

So every P5 school is 2x as difficult as every G5 team? Gimmie a break. Yes, they’re in no question.

lost in Va.

David

I’d say the committee can say the same thing they said before. Houston, you won a Conference Championship Game. That’s an extra data point. The XII doesn’t have a conference championship game, and that matters.

Patrick Ray

One thing to think of is the human element. While the stats regarding SOS may back up your point, the committee may take Houston instead due to the critical backlash (and potential political backlash) that would occur in this scenario. Remember that when Utah was left out of the BCS, Senator Orin Hatch got involved to press the case which eventually led to changes in G5 access. With the committee now in place, do they risk a similar situation.

Patrick

schedule doesn’t matter as much as head to head takes care of it…And this is biased. Power 5 team doesn’t automatically mean good. There were 5 teams ranked in the top 25 from the AAC last year. That doesn’t come easy as voters always want teams to prove it if your from the G5 (unlike teams like Florida who get gifted rankings). By the end of the Year USF will also be ranked and high too so that’s another ranked opponent Houston faces. No way Oklahoma hops Houston (assuming Houston goes undefeated and OK runs the table).

Robert

Vox

Don’t think your plan accounted for Louisville crushing FSU 63-20. If both remain undefeated UofH can knock off 2 top 5 opponents. That should be plenty to give them a much deserved shot at the playoffs.