A tropical wave located about 950 miles south-southwest of thesouthern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producingdisorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditionsare expected to be conducive for gradual development of thissystem later this week as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to15 mph.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent