North Korea Agrees to Nuclear Moratorium

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After decades of economic mismanagement and resource misallocation, North Korea since the mid-1990s has relied heavily on international aid to feed its population while continuing to expend resources to maintain an army of approximately 1 million soldiers.

North Korea’s history of regional military provocations, proliferation of military-related items, and long-range missile development – as well as its nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons programs and massive conventional armed forces – are of major concern to the international community. [Kim Jong-il was an oppressive dictator who forced his people to call him “Dear Leader”]

(by Jay Solomon in Washington DC and Evan Ramstad in Seoul, South Korea, The Wall Street Journal, WSJ.com) – North Korea has agreed to freeze the development of its nuclear-weapons arsenal and long-range missile program and allow international inspectors to return, a potentially significant gesture aimed at improving bilateral relations with the U.S., the State Department said Wednesday.

North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un, center, visits an army unit in this undated picture released by the North Korean army this week.

In turn, the Obama administration has agreed to move forward with distributing 240,000 metric tons of food aid to the isolated Communist state and publicly stated that Washington isn’t seeking to overthrow the government of North Korea’s new leader, Kim Jong Eun.

The deal, confirmed by North Korea’s official news agency, KCNA, was greeted both with relief over the possibility of progress, and a degree of skepticism because of North Korea’s record of accepting international aid without adhering to agreements.

“Years of getting duped by North Korea should tell us that verification on their turf is extremely difficult, if not impossible,” said Rep. Ed Royce (R., Calif.), a longtime critic of U.S. policy toward Pyongyang [the capital of North Korea – refers to the North Korean government]. “That applies to food-aid distribution, where the military has stolen food aid, or nuclear disarmament.”

The State Department said the agreement followed two days of talks between the U.S. and North Korea last week in Beijing, which received little fanfare at the time, and which U.S. officials over the weekend said had yielded little progress. It marked the first direct encounter between Washington and Pyongyang since the death of Mr. Kim’s father, long-serving North Korean dictator Kim Jong Il, in December.

The U.S. stressed the agreement with the North marked only a “limited” gain in improving relations between the historical cold war foes. But they also said it could amount to an important step in countering the North Korean proliferation* threat. [*proliferation is to increase the number of nuclear weapons]

“The United States still has profound concerns regarding North Korean behavior across a wide range of areas, but today’s announcement reflects important, if limited, progress in addressing some of these,” State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said in a statement.

The agreement appears to answer the main condition set by the U.S. for the resumption of the aid-for-disarmament process known as the six-party talks, which was that North Korea demonstrate a sense of seriousness about its state willingness to re-enter that process. North Korea formally abandoned the talks, which also involve China, Japan, Russia and South Korea, in 2009 to protest United Nations penalties following a long-range missile test [they conducted]. …

Konstantin Kosachev, a senior Russian parliamentarian from the main pro-Kremlin party said: “We’ll need to be patient to be sure whether these are really positive moves in the policy of the new North Korean leadership or just the latest game on the part of Pyongyang to attain its goals,” he said.

The U.S. and North Korea notably did not agree on another condition sought by Washington to move ahead with the talks: an end to hostilities between North and South Korea. North Korea has been angry at South Korea since 2008, when the South ended its few-questions-asked aid policy that provided [the North] with nearly $1 billion annually. In 2010, Pyongyang sank a South Korean warship and fired rockets on an South-controlled island, though it denies involvement in the sinking, [and] in [the] attacks that killed 50 South Koreans. …

[Ms. Nuland of the State Department] added that North Korea had specifically agreed to a moratorium on nuclear-weapons and long-range missile tests and to freeze the nuclear activities at its Yongbyon facility north of Pyongyang, including the enrichment of uranium. She said that Pyongyang has also agreed to allow inspectors from the United Nation’s nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency, to return to Yongbyon after a multiyear absence.

However, because uranium enrichment* can occur in multiple locations, the agreement didn’t appear to include a way for the U.S. and other outsiders to verify Pyongyang was not proceeding with a uranium program, which it revealed to a U.S. scientist in 2010. [*Enriched uranium is used to make nuclear weapons.]

In a joint statement agreed to with Pyongyang, the Obama administration formally stated that the U.S. “reaffirms that it does not have hostile intent toward [North Korea] and is prepared to take steps to improve our bilateral relationship in the spirit of mutual respect for sovereignty and equality.”

As part of the agreement, North Korea accepted the amount of food assistance the U.S. had been offering in talks the two countries held last year before the death of Kim Jong Il. Just after Kim Jong Eun took charge, North Korea issued a media statement pressing the U.S. to provide up to 500,000 tons and saying it doubted “the U.S. will for confidence-building.”

The Jan. 11 statement indicated that a deal was on the table for North Korea to halt its uranium-enrichment program in return for food and a suspension of other U.S. sanctions. The [Obama administration] for months has insisted there were no links between food assistance and its effort to curtail North Korea’s pursuit of weapons of mass destruction.

4. How does the U.S. State Department view its latest agreement with North Korea?

5. What condition requested by the U.S. did North Korea refuse to agree to?

6. What problem do nuclear inspectors now allowed into North Korea face?

7. The WSJ reporters state at the end of the article: “The [Obama administration] for months has insisted there were no links between food assistance and its effort to curtail North Korea’s pursuit of weapons of mass destruction.” What do you think of the administration’s claim and the conditions that have now been agreed to?

8. Reacting to North Korea’s agreement, even the Russian official involved said: “We’ll need to be patient to be sure whether these are really positive moves in the policy of the new North Korean leadership or just the latest game on the part of Pyongyang to attain its goals.”

The majority of WSJ reader comments were skeptical of North Korea’s sincerity, responding to the agreement with the following thoughts:

“So they give us another ‘gesture’ and we send them 240 tons of food. Haven’t we heard this all before? When will this administration catch on? Dismantle the entire complex of facilities, and then we will offer to teach them how to develop an agriculture industry with the money they don’t spend on their nuclear weapons programs. The US isn’t the country with the ‘hostile intent’.” (WSJ reader Terry K.)

“Lucy and the football, take #567. But hey, somebody’s got to feed their army. And don’t forget, Iran’s not developing nuclear weapons…” (WSJ reader Rob S.)

“Unfortunately though this isn’t the first time North Korea has run this game on us. Or the second, or the third, and so on. Every time they are about to go over the precipice they agree to halt everything and be good. Once they get the food and their time on the international stage they’ll head back to Yongbyon, bulldoze away the rubble from the old cooling tower that they destroyed in early 2012, and have it back up and running by early 2013. It’s sad that we fall for it every time. Maybe they’re serious THIS time.” (WSJ reader James B.)

“How about demand that North Korea also end their counterfeiting of US Dollars, drug smuggling, kidnapping and assassinations.” (WSJ reader Mike E.)

“We’ve seen it before – in 1994 Bill Clinton sent them piles of money in exchange for cessation of their nuclear pursuits and the ink wasn’t even dry on the agreement before they had broken it and continued construction. This is a farce.” (WSJ reader James J.)

OR an opposite reaction from WSJ reader Ellery K.: “How about a little trust. North Korea and South Korea need to move towards a more symbiotic relationship. This is the first big step. North Korea should be congratulated on taking this step to normalize relations with its southern counterpart and the United States. Mutual respect and cooperation will be to everyone’s advantage on every level.”

What do you think – will North Korea live up to their end of the bargain and truly put a hold on their nuclear program (and/or ultimately agree to end their proliferation of nuclear weapons)? Explain your answer.

Background

NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION TREATY:Under the United Nation’s NPT (Non Proliferation Treaty), countries are not allowed to make nuclear weapons (except for the 5 that had nuclear weapons prior to the treaty – the U.S., Russia, China, France, the United Kingdom). Safeguards are used to verify compliance with the Treaty through inspections conducted by the UN’s IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency).

NORTH KOREA’S NUCLEAR WEAPONS PROGRAM and THE SIX-PARTY TALKS: (portions of this informaiton are from wikipedia.org.)

The six-party talks are a series of meetings with six participating states – the U.S., Japan, China, South Korea, North Korea and Russia.

These talks were a result of North Korea withdrawing from the U.N.’s Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in 2003. North Korea is led by dictator Kim Jong-Il, who starved and imprisoned millions of his own people.

The aim of the talks was to find a peaceful resolution to the security concerns raised by the North Korean nuclear weapons program.

After five rounds of talks from 2003 to 2007, little progress was made.

In September 2005, as a result of illegal acts committed by the North Korean government, including the counterfeiting of U.S. money, the U.S. froze North Korea’s overseas bank accounts. The North Korean government then refused to participate in further six-party talks.

April 2006, North Korea said they would resume talks only with the U.S. (not six-party), if the U.S. released recently frozen North Korean financial assets held in a bank in Macau. The U.S. did not comply with the request.

October 2006 North Korea conducted a test of a nuclear weapon.

A week later (Oct. 2006), the U.N. passed a resolution demanding that Pyongyang abandon its nuclear-weapons programs. The resolution also ordered all countries to prevent North Korea from importing or exporting any material for weapons of mass destruction or ballistic missiles.

In December 2006 North Korea returned to negotiations through the six-party talks.

In February 2007, North Korea agreed to shut down its nuclear facilities in exchange for fuel aid and steps towards the normalization of relations with the U.S. and Japan. Negotiations then stalled through July.

In October 2007 an agreement was made among the six countries negotiating the end of the North’s nuclear program. Under the agreement, North Korea would start getting energy and other economic assistance from the U.S. and others, as well as begin normalizing relations with the United States and Japan. In exchange for this, by Dec. 31, 2007 North Korea was supposed to provide a written declaration disclosing all of its nuclear materials and capabilities as well as disable its main reactor at Yongbyon. North Korea did not fulfill their part of the agreement.

In June 2008, the U.S. reached a deal with North Korea to provide 500,000 metric tons of food aid but insisted on supervision, fearing that much of it was going to the military.

In March 2009 in advance of its missile launch, North Korea announced it was refusing to take any more food aid from the U.S.

Also, go to wsj.com for a graph detailing negotiations with North Korea.

Resources

For a clear explanation of the history of North Korea’s nuclear program, read John Podhoretz’s 2007 commentary at nypost.com.