Thursday, 13 September 2012

By Syed Zaid Zaman
HamidBrassTacks Threat analysis and Situation report which the
treacherous media, idiotic politicians and the naive judiciary will NOT tell
you:Whatever we wrote in the last few weeks is rapidly being unfolded on all
threat axis for Pakistan.

The US is now well and truly aggressive to provoke more wars within Pakistan
and to force the Pak army to into a head-on collision with the tribes in North
Waziristan and against Afghan resistance. The panic has already started to set
in the tribes who are pondering over mass migration and exodus from the region,
even towards Afghanistan where these Pakistani tribals would be easy prey for
NATO and Indian military psy-ops operators to ignite their anger into rage
against Pakistan and Pak army.
On the other hand, NATO is literally raining
missiles in North Waziristan against pro-Pakistan tribals and against Afghan
resistance.

The Drone warfare is now creating a major crisis for Pakistan army as the
military leadership is coming under severe pressure and criticism from the
nation over their failure to stop this blatant abuse of national dignity and
slaughter of innocent citizens.

“The strategy deployed by NATO/CIA/RAW is:

1. To attack and destroy Pakistan’s surveillance and early warning
systems of the Navy, PAF and army to incapacitate their military capability to
forewarn of any invasion on the country.

2. The second axis is to ignite the sectarian wars in Pakistan, just as
in Syria and Lebanon. Dozens of Shias are being assassinated in macabre style
killings all across the country. Not just that it would ignite the local
sectarian wars, it would also destroy Pakistan’s relations with Iran.

3. Massive attacks on Pakistan army continue in FATA, tribal areas and in
Baluchistan to keep the army bogged down in internal high intensity wars and to
bleed the military’s resources to weaken it substantially so that it is not able
to resist the external invasion.

4. NATO is also testing the waters and challenging the Pakistan’s defenses on
the Western theatre. After the attack on Salala check post last year, NATO had
stopped coming close to the Pakistan border. But now, they are aggressively
intruding closer and even attacking close to the Pakistan border.

5. NATO/CIA drone strikes have become more frequent, lethal and
destructive. The objective is to ignite the tribes into open rebellion against
Pakistan army for being “collaborators” of the US which is killing women and
children of the Pakistani tribals as massive “collateral damage”.

6. In Baluchistan, security forces are being targeted in a renewed and
bloody campaign led by both TTP and the BLA. The sudden upsurge in violence and
its vicious intensity is coordinated with the other axis of violence in the
country. In addition to the attacks on the forces, trains, buses and energy
infrastructure is also being attacked to cripple the provincial administration
and critical services.

7. Chinese assets, interests and personnel in Pakistan are being targeted
to disrupt the strategic relationship between Pakistan and China.
8. The panic and chaos which this urban war has created is now breaking the
back of national economy and morale, throwing the entire country into fits of
panic and chaos. The desperate measures being adopted by the PPP regime are only
adding to the meltdown and panic.
9. Pressure is also being increased on Pakistan to declare war on the Afghan
resistance and against friendly own tribes in North Waziristan. The US strategy
is to deploy Pakistan to do the fighting for the NATO. As the violence touches
the red hot levels in the country and the army is already over stretched, US is
forcing the army leadership to open new deadlier fronts which would totally
destroy not just the army but also any prospects of Pakistan having any
strategic assets in the Afghan Pashtuns. The war in North Waziristan would not
hurt any TTP assets which may be there as they would simply draw the army in but
them melt back into Afghanistan, leaving the army to fight the local tribes and
afghan resistance.
10. Massive propaganda, information war and Psy-ops have also been launched
by the Indians as well as the CIA to prove that Pakistan’s nuclear assets are
unsafe, the country is in a meltdown and that Pakistan is involved in spreading
violence and terrorism in the neighboring countries especially against US forces
in Afghanistan and India.
The war against Pakistan is now crystal clear. It has reached the last stages
of deployment while the Pakistan army is well and truly surrounded but still not
responding on the entire axis. Every day lost in removing this regime will be
paid in massive bloodshed and destruction of the state, society and the
army.

Within the government, the anarchy reigns supreme. The government and the
judiciary at war with each other oblivious of the grave existential threats the
nation faces. Army has remained a silent spectator of this political and
judicial war and this has indeed brought the country to the brink of
annihilation. Pakistan army is the last hope in this total and complete anarchy
and chaos.
While the Pakistan army is indeed aware of the fatal encirclement of the
state and the army, it is still reluctant to decisively intervene into the
political chaos to salvage the country. The military leadership is still
deliberating the crisis and has not made up their mind. In the next few weeks,
they may not have the luxury of controlling the dynamics of the events, even if
they want to then. Today, they can. After just a few weeks, the events would
become out of control and then events would decide the destiny of the nation and
the fate of its leaders.
Saddam, Qaddafi, Mubarak and now Bashar ul Asad also thought that they have
infinite amount of time at their disposal. For Pakistani leaders the moment of
truth just seems around the corner now.Pakistan army is only fighting back
at the military axis but have no response strategy for political chaos, economic
meltdown, media war and ongoing social chaos. On the military axis, they have
achieved some major success in recent days.
The following news report about the assassination of a major TTP leader in
Afghanistan is a clear indication that TTP is well and truly protected in
Afghanistan and their wounded are being treated in Afghan military hospitals.
The news report that he has been killed in a Drone strike is non-sense as CIA
does not do drones in Kunar. The militant has been eliminated by a Pak army
strike after he was returning to Afghanistan from an attack inside
Pakistan.
The encirclement of Pakistan is rapid and total. Now the UN is planning to
send in a mission to Baluchistan to observe HR violations. Baluchistan is the
prized target of the US policy towards Pakistan to cut a strategic corridor to
Afghanistan bypassing the mainland. In the past also, US has been taking great
interest in the internal chaos of Baluchistan to use it as a pretext to
intervene. The anarchy in Baluchistan is not total also with hundreds of
training camps and terrorist bases operating from Afghanistan.

Within Pakistan, the political chaos is at its peak. 27th August would be
another day of infamy in Pakistan’s history as the battles between the Supreme
Court and the Government threatens to bring down the state itself.Pakistan
is not too far from becoming another “Syria”. The global media war, regional
encirclement, UN intervention, support to insurgencies in FATA and Baluchistan,
urban war through political terrorist gangs in Karachi, psychological warfare
through the paid media and direct interference into Pakistan’s social and
religious circles through US AID is now tightening the grip of US and India on
Pakistan’s entire social, political, economic and military fabric.
The following picture is from Syria but it may pass as from being Pakistan
also. This is what happens when armies are forced to fight urban high intensity
wars within own cities. This is the 4thGW, where fighting lines are not on the
borders but in the major cities and towns. The soldiers are not uniformed
opponents from regular armies but rag tag urban insurgents backed by regional
powers. You DO NOT fight a war within your own cities or else get what the
Syrians are getting now and Iraqis and Libyans tasted before them. This is what
is planned for Pakistan now but the leadership and the judiciary is stone dead,
deaf, dumb, blind and even collaborative to the collapse. I only wonder how the
history would judge this nation which saw it coming but decided to fiddle only
??
Now even if Pak Army intervenes, the cost of recovering the nation from this
anarchic state would be staggering. If the army still does not intervene, then
it will be all over within the next 4 months.Khair inshAllah. Pakistan Zindabaad.