NDP MAJORITY

Toronto, May 24th
- In a random sampling of public opinion
taken by The Forum Poll™ among 906 Ontario voters, amongst those decided and
leaning almost half of Ontarians (47%) say that they would support the NDP.

A third (33%)
say they would support the PCs, and one-sixth (14%) say they would support the
Liberals.

Few (4%) say they would support either
the Green Party, or another party (2%).

NDP majority

If the election were held today, we
project these results would see an NDP Majority Government with 79 seats. The
PCs would serve as opposition with 40 seats, and the Liberals would be left
without enough seats to form an official party in the legislature, 5.

Three
quarters say they are unlikely to change their voting intention

Three quarters (TOP2: 77%) say they are unlikely to change their voting
intention, with almost two thirds (59%) saying they are very unlikely to do so.

PC supporters say they are the least likely
to change, with 9 in 10 (BTM2: 90%) saying they are unlikely to do so.

More than three-quarters (BTM2: 79%) of NDP
supporters say they are unlikely to change their support, and just under
three-quarters (70%) of Liberals saying they are unlikely to shift their vote elsewhere.

Just over half (58%) of Green voters say they
are unlikely to change their vote.

About one-sixth (TOP2: 15%) say they are
likely to change their voting intention, but few (3%) say they are very likely
to do so.

One-third of Green party supporters (34%) say
they are likely to change their vote, with about one quarter (22%) of Liberal
voters saying so.

One-sixth (15%) of NDP supporters say they
are likely to change their vote, and few (6%) Conservative voters say they are
likely to change.

Horwath
Approval Steady

Kathleen Wynne’s approval sits at one-fifth
(19%), while her disapproval sits at two-thirds (69%). 1 in 10 say they do not
know (11%). Her net favourable score (approve minus disapprove) is -50

Doug Ford’s approval sits at a third (32%),
with half (51%) saying they disapprove. About one-fifth (17%) say they do not
know. His net favourable score (approve
minus disapprove) is -19.

Andrea Horwath’s approval sits at 4 in 10
(43%), with a quarter (26%). About one-third (31%) say they do not know. Her
net favourable score (approve minus disapprove) is +17.

A third (33%) say
Andrea Horwath would make the best Premier, while a similar proportion (30%)
say this of Doug Ford.

Kathleen Wynne is
seen as best premier by one-sixth (15%), a similar proportion to those who say
none (13%). 1 in 10 (9%) say they do not know.

Half oppose the closure of the Pickering
Nuclear Generating Station

Half (BTM2: 47%) say
they oppose the closure of the Pickering Nuclear Generating Station, with a
quarter (26%) saying they oppose its closure strongly.

One-fifth (TOP2: 21%)
say they support the closure of the Pickering Nuclear Generating Station, with
1 in 10 (8%) saying say support its closure strongly.

A third (31%) say
they do not know.

More than half approve of convenience
stores selling beer and wine

M

ore than half (TOP2:
54%) say they approve of convenience stores selling beer and wine, with a third
(31%) saying they approve strongly.

4 in 10 (40%) say
they disapprove of convenience stores selling beer and wine, with a quarter
(27%) saying they disapprove strongly. Few (6%) say they do not know.

Half disapprove of the NDP government
not using back to work legislation

Half (BTM2: 50%) say
that disapprove of the announcement an NDP government won’t use back to work
legislation, with a third (30%) saying they disapprove strongly.

One-quarter (TOP2: 24%)
say they approve, with 1 in 10 (11%) saying they do so strongly. A quarter
(26%) say they do not know.

"We’ve seen the NDP
gaining momentum since our poll on the first day of the campaign,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff,
President of Forum Research. "But their momentum has now propelled them
into a position to secure a majority government, sapping support from both the
Liberals and the Conservatives.”

Lorne Bozinoff,
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.