Sunday, December 28, 2003

Top 10 Technologies of 2003

1. Business Process Execution Language (BPEL) Yep, still a good call. In 2003, it became apparent that BPEL won the digital process language war. Look for adoption in 2004.

2. Web Services II / GXA This referred to the ws-* stack. Good progress was made on standards - not much adoption.

3. Microsoft .Net This was an easy call. MS .Net kicks ass - however their long development cycles on the tooling isn't helping.

4. Flash MXOK, this one didn't really happen to the extent that I was predicting. Instead, I believe that we are seeing a general trend towards richer functionality user interfaces, some leveraging xml or web services.

5. Industry XML Standards This one did OK, but could have done much better. I think that many of the standards bodies advanced their specifications and cleaned up their schemas.

6. Business Process Management (BPM)OK, this was a bad call. BPM has sucked wind due to the 'architecture in a box' syndrome. BPEL with MDA will help.

7. Portlets Portlets did get off the ground - but no where near what I'd hoped. Perhaps next year?

8. Total Value of Opportunity (TVO) Bad call. Does Gartner even promote this? It sure seemed like a good idea...