Meteorologists predict a weak-to-moderate El Niño will still develop over the tropical Pacific later this year.

Weather agencies around the world are backing off on their forecasts of a strong El Niño in the Pacific later this year.

The U.S. Climate Prediction Center says that while there is an 80 percent chance El Niño will take hold later this year, forecasters say it will be only “weak to moderate” at its peak.

Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology also said that it is “increasingly unlikely to be a strong event.” Officials in Peru, where the phenomenon got its name, say water temperatures off the coast peaked in June, but have since retreated and are likely to return to normal by August.

Many had hoped a return of El Niño could help end a parching drought in California and the southwestern United States.