200736 - Kevin Kolb - Houston - Eagles - Five starts in 2010, lost job to Michael Vick, lots of suitors.40 - John Beck - BYU - Dolphins - Three teams, no starts in last three seasons.43 - Drew Stanton - Michigan State - Lions - Three starts last year after injury to starter Matthew Stafford.

200856 - Brian Brohm - Louisville - Packers - Started one game in each of last two seasons for Buffalo.57 - Chad Henne - Michigan - Dolphins - Starting QB last two seasons, 26th in passer rating in 2010.

200944 - Pat White - West Virginia - Dolphins - Cut after one season and retired from NFL.

Jake Locker is considered to be toward the top of a second tier of quarterbacks for the first round April 28.

Reading the NFL Draft tea leaves, the Jaguars appear poised to try to beat the odds this year.

The Jaguars, who haven't drafted a quarterback since they took Byron Leftwich in 2003, need to start searching for a quarterback of the future to replace David Garrard.

But with the 16th overall pick, they're not likely to take one in the first round. The top two quarterback prospects, Cam Newton and Blaine Gabbert, are expected to be gone before the Jaguars make their first selection.

The remaining quarterback prospects are generally considered late first-round or second-round candidates, so the Jaguars would have to reach to select one with the 16th pick.

The problem is the second round has been a minefield for quarterbacks for more than a decade.

The list of good quarterbacks selected in the second round since 2000 begins and ends with Drew Brees, who was selected with the top pick of the second round by San Diego in 2001 and led the New Orleans Saints to Super Bowl XLIV.

None of the other 11 quarterbacks taken in the second round during that span made an impact, although Kevin Kolb is still considered a good prospect and Jimmy Clausen could rebound from a frustrating rookie year. The list includes Brian Brohm, Drew Stanton, Tarvaris Jackson and Marques Tuiasosopo.

Because quarterback is the game's most important position, teams often reach in the first round for quarterbacks who have second-round talent. That can push third- or fourth- round quarterbacks into the second round.

Still, Terry McDonough, the Jaguars' director of player personnel, isn't daunted by the challenge of taking one in the second round this year.

He thinks there is more depth at quarterback this year than usual.

"It's a unique year," he said. "Last year, you were talking about two, three or four guys. This year, we're talking about seven, eight or nine guys."

Of the players likely to be late first-rounders or second-rounders, he named Kaepernick, Ponder, Dalton and Ricky Stanzi (Iowa). Locker would likely be in that group, too.

"I don't know about Mallett. He's a wild card. He could go anywhere in the first or second round," McDonough said.

Mallett is a question mark because of the rumors about drug use. According to Pro Football Weekly, he admitted using drugs in the past during interviews at the NFL combine, but he never tested positive in college at Arkansas, although he was arrested for public intoxication.

Jaguars offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter said he graded 13 quarterbacks and ranked four as first-round selections and two more as second-rounders, but Koetter stressed those were his evaluations and not the team's rankings.

"That's off the film," Koetter said. "I didn't go to all the pro workouts."

The record for quarterbacks selected in the first round is six in 1983. Five were drafted in 1999. Four other times, three were selected.

But this quarterback group isn't being compared to the 1983 draft, when three (John Elway, Jim Kelly and Dan Marino) made the Hall of Fame.

In fact, ESPN draft analyst Todd McShay said, "I don't think there's a Matt Ryan or a Sam Bradford in this class. I just had no doubt in my mind those guys were ready mentally and physically to contribute to the NFL and could handle everything that went on and were prepared to do so from a scheme standpoint coming out of college.

"There are a lot of good quarterbacks in this class, but not many great ones. I think when you start to look at it, there's Cam Newton, Blaine Gabbert, then there's a drop-off. Then it's kind of 'pick your poison.' "

Added longtime ESPN draft analyst, Mel Kiper Jr.: "These quarterbacks all have red flags, every one of them. There are no consensus quarterbacks in this draft that everyone agrees on."

Former general manager turned TV analyst Charley Casserly said Ponder is the "hot guy at the top of the second round."

Casserly said Dalton was ranked as a third-rounder in January but will go higher because too many teams need quarterbacks.

Of course, this doesn't mean the scouts are right. After all, Tom Brady fell to the sixth round in the 2000 draft.

As Casserly said, "It's humans picking humans. Both sides of the equation have some risk in it. All you can do is make an educated guess. We all know we're guessing at the end of the day."

If the Jaguars hit on a quarterback in this draft, they could be set at the position for the next decade. If they miss, they could be back in a year or two looking for a quarterback in the draft or free agency.

"I've always said quarterback is the toughest position to evaluate," McDonough said. "Other positions kind of define themselves. There are so many things that go into it [playing quarterback] that there's a little bit of a greater risk," he said.

Those in the know say Mallett is psychologically not stable. I'd like to see us take the best player available and get a back up for Garrard in free agency. We do not have to have a great quarterback to win our division. Winning the division puts us into the playoffs.
I suspect this will be Del Rio's last year unless we win our division and one playoff game.

My favorite memories of watching college football the last 40+ years has been watching Tim Tebow. Heart, character, drive, determination are just some of the traits that made him a champion at the college level.

With that said, 24 NFL teams with expert talent evaluators passed on him. The guy that picked him was fired. John Elway has serious doubts about him. Denver may pick ANOTHER QB in the 1st round AGAIN! All of these people could be wrong, but that is a HUGE risk just to sell a couple season tickets.

Instead, Gene Smith picked what will be a key to our defense for a long time. Alualu had a great first year and will only get better.

Support who we are or just continue to bellyache and set unrealistic conditions to buy tickets you'll probably never buy anyway.