Through 12 starts Ray has strikeout and walk rates that are both a bit better than average. But they’re not so much better than average that he can be expected to continue posting an ERA around 3.00. His xFIP sits at 3.94, and once his 3.8 percent HR/FB rate normalizes a bit, his ERA may end up closer to four than three. He’s good, he’s just not this good. He’ll go again Friday against Cincinnati.Analysis: Brett Talley