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Aapl

Thoughts on AAPL? $595 or so at closing today, better than $100 below their peak which was ironically not too long before the highly-anticipated launch of the iPhone5. Couple that with the loss of an exec[cnn.com] - is AAPL out of gas?

I've had AAPL for some time, since well below $100; but frankly I've never been a fan of their tech, just their domination of marketing tactics.

As part of my "play" brokerage.... wondering if I should continue to hold or if the ship is finally sinking.

Hard to say. You are going to see some return of capital in dividend form. But in terms of the growth potential I think it is out of steam at least for the time being.

The higher the price of a stock the harder it is to get that great return. If I were you I would consider eliminating some of my position in the stock. Look at it this way: Are you happy with the return less taxes if you were to cash out now? What if it fell to $500/share? Would you be upset if alternatively it rose to $650 and you cashed out at $595.

The shares haven't fallen this much since the market crash (down 14% over 6 weeks). There is definitely some internal conflicts uprising in the management ranks.

You sell when everyone is buying and you buy when everyone is selling.

AAPL's short float is still under 2% with less than a day to cover which is freakishly complacent. I've been keeping an eye on it for months and it just won't budge even given the recent slide.

Keep in mind part of the "fiscal cliff" for 2013 is higher capital gains taxes esp on dividends which may be one clue as to why there's some scaling out, but truthfully I haven't looked at the inside action so I cannot say if insiders are selling.

As part of your "play" account you *should* be hedged on those long equities anyway IMHO.

I think aapl will soon settle into a price range (which in my opinion will be below 600$).. aapl grew at a ridiculous rate because their innovation was always 2 steps ahead of the competition.. However, the competition is now catching up and AAPL has nothing new to show.. Just take the iPad mini for example.. what innovation was involved in that product? They basically made a smaller replica of the iPad except with an inferior screen and processor ... The profit margins on the ipad mini are also a lot less than that of the iPad so they are in a way causing more harm to their profits (although the arguement can also be made that they are now more competitive with other companies that offer small tablet products).. The fact that AAPL is now offering a dividend is also another sign that they are running out of steam and want to offer investors another incentive to stick with their stock... Not much will change in their products over the next few years.. the iphone's cameras, dimensions etc will improve a little each time but i dont see anything groundbreaking in the near future..

Looks like this is a major fork in the road for the stock, no idea about the company and frankly don't care. No stock is immune to the forces of fear and greed, and by the short interest figures, there is extreme greed. The bears have all but given up. The top is in when everyone who thought its going to $1000 is locked and loaded and there are no shorts to buy back their shares.

P/E is low, all things considered. Not a fan of their products but so many are and they are becoming a status symbol in emerging markets. There are also trends of their devices (IPads specifically) being used in the service and healthcare sector

I opened a small position last week below 600, hoping to ride a post-holiday wave to 700+ again. AAPL is tech and like all tech, it's long-term risky

Quote
from Imerson
:

I don't think experience really matters for a president. My point is that you can't really use his own words from 4 years ago against him.

To try to catch a falling knife and turn and dump for a loss aiding in the waterfall decline? Sure, happens all the time. If there are no shorts to buy back their shares, the stock will vaporize.

The smart money and accumulation phase is over, now it's either blow off top mania which the P&F charts allude to or fall hard and fast. It's only going to grind sideways to the degree to which bulls can force the momentum. Doesn't matter if the company makes cool gadgets or tuna sandwiches; fear is fear, greed is greed.

Disclosure: I don't own the stock but I have more Apple/Mac products than I can count and would buy them in a heartbeat over the competition.

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