The Conquest of the West

On Oct. 31, the U.N. Population Fund marks the arrival of the 7 billionth person on Earth and raises the population estimate for the planet at mid-century to 9.3 billion people.

There is a possibility, says the United Nations, that, by century’s end, world population may reach 15 billion. What does this mean for Western civilization?

It may not matter, except to identify who inherits the estate. For while world population is exploding, Western peoples are dying. Not a single European nation, except Muslim Albania, has a birth rate that will enable it to replace its present population.

By mid-century, Western man will be down to 12 percent of world population. By century’s end, he will be a tiny fraction, roughly equal to the white population of Rhodesia when Robert Mugabe came to power.

The demographic winter of the West has set in.

Between now and 2050, Russia, a nation of roughly 140 million, down from nearly 150 million at the breakup of the Soviet Union, is on schedule to lose an additional 24 million people.

“Hypermortality” is a word demographers use in discussing Russia.

Germany is to lose 8 million of her 82 million people. Ukraine has lost 6 million people since liberation in 1991 and will lose another 10 million by 2050. The population of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, 8 million in 1990, will by mid-century have fallen by 30 percent to 5.7 million.

Britain, however, is to add 12 million. But since emigration from Britain is bleeding the population and the birth rate of her native-born has been below zero population growth for 35 years, the U.N. has to be factoring in immigration from the old colonies in the Caribbean, the Middle East, the sub-Sahara and South Asia.

With the median age of European nations rising toward 50 and above, and a growing share of the population over 65, the continent is going to need millions of young immigrants to maintain the labor force and cope with seniors and elderly in retirement centers, assisted living facilities and nursing homes.

Where will they come from? Continents and countries with population surges and surpluses.

By 2050, Africa’s population will double from 1 billion to 2 billion people. Where today the six most populous Islamic nations — Indonesia, Egypt, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Nigeria and Turkey — have a combined population of 885 million, by 2050 their populations will have increased by 475 million to 1.36 billion. Of the 48 fastest-growing countries in the world, 28 are majority Muslim or have Muslim populations of more than one-third of the national population.

And since it is the Muslim nations of North Africa and the Middle East that are closest to Europe, with easiest access to the continent, Muslims will likely furnish most of the multitudes who are coming.

What will this mean for Europe? Religious and racial conflict.

On Sept. 11, 2001, after the twin towers fell and Germany expressed her anguish and solidarity with America, a strange event occurred. In the Turkish districts of Berlin, bottle rockets were fired all night in celebration.

In the banlieues around Paris and other French cities, Arab riots, assaults on police and mass arson of vehicles regularly occur. This summer in London, the immigrant enclaves exploded and poured out into the city night after night.

Angela Merkel of Germany, seconded by David Cameron of Britain and Nicolas Sarkozy of France, declared multiculturalism had “utterly failed.”

What is the future of Europe? What is the future of Western man? Houari Boumedienne, Algerian revolutionary and president of his country, predicted it at the United Nations in 1975.

“One day, millions of men will leave the Southern Hemisphere of this planet to burst into the Northern one. But not as friends. Because they will come in to conquer, and they will conquer by populating it with their children. Victory will come to us from the wombs of our women.”

Boumedienne’s words were spoken just as European and Western birth rates plunged below ZPG.

What, then, is the future?

A Russia with not one-tenth China’s population will not hold on to a continental nation twice China’s size. Already the Russian Far East is being invaded by Chinese crossing the Amur and Ussuri rivers to work, even as Mexicans cross the Rio Grande to reoccupy lands torn away from their ancestors in 1836 and 1848.

What is the future of the West?

China will retrieve all the lands lost to Russia in the 19th century and slices of Russia that China never owned. Mexicans and Hispanics will dominate from the Floridas to the American Southwest the lands Spain and Mexico lost to the United States in the 19th century.

Africans, whose lands were colonized and exploited by Europeans, and Muslims and Arabs, whose ancestors were turned back at Poitiers and Vienna, will succeed in the final conquest of Europe.

Demography is destiny.

Patrick J. Buchanan is a TAC founding editorand the author, most recently, of Suicide of a Superpower. Copyright 2011 Creators.com.

24 Responses to The Conquest of the West

Russia losing territory to China? I’m not worried about the prospects of that. Russia is rising from the ashes of the Soviet Union as we speak. The Holy Theotokos (Virgin Mary) will protect Russia as she always has even in the darkest days of WWII when it looked as if nothing could stop Hitler’s Germany from taking Moscow. As we speak Russian Orthodox Churches are being restored to their former glory and others are being built. As I said I am not worried about Russia in regards to China.

As for the West. The West has been digging it’s own grave since the Protestant Reformation and the sectarian conflicts that followed. Once Western Europe was no longer unified by Roman Catholicism then it left the door open for all kinds of beliefs and eventually the secular humanism and radical individualism that is so common in the West today. It is only natural that the immigrants in the West will one day want to shed their role as the “cheap labor” that does the jobs that Westerners do not want to do and cut out a piece of the pie for themselves.

It is a fallacy that Europe and America must replace ENTIRELY their existing population numbers. They were just fine (or better in fact) 50, 100, 150 years ago with far fewer people. The problem in fact is immigration and OVERpopulation. Sans immigration, births below replacement are not necessarily a bad thing.

Birth rates are nose diving world wide, not just in Europe. China’s one child policy with resulting disproportionate number of males will lead to spectacular demographic collapse by the second half of the century. The US, currently at long term replacement level (thanks to Hispanic immigration and fertility), is in better shape to ride out the demographic winter than any developed country other than Israel. Countries like Iran and Brazil are currently below long term replacement level.

Rising standards of living world-wide would decrease the perceived need to migrate to other parts of the world.

Rising education levels for women world-wide would decrease the fertility rate in developing countries, as does a rising standard of living.

Even rising standards of living (wages that support one income families where women can stay at home if they prefer as opposed to economic necessity), could increase the fertility rate in the West to population replacement levels.

The Club of Rome claims of increasing scarcity are false.

There are enough resources world-wide for increasing standards of living world-wide.

Seems a bit simplistic. Islam appears to be in the early stages of its own 30-year war, which like Christendoms version, will likely discredit both sides of that war and make the survivors settle for the same sort of no-hassle comfortablelife Europeans now enjoy. The flu pandemic the world is due will kill most prolificly in Asia and Africa and both India and China are sitting on an African-type AIDS timebomb.

“On Sept. 11, 2001, after the twin towers fell and Germany expressed her anguish and solidarity with America, a strange event occurred. In the Turkish districts of Berlin, bottle rockets were fired all night in celebration.”

Do you have a source for that? I’m not a great fan of Germany’s Turkish minority but I’ve never read that claim before and I seriously doubt it’s true. Making such sweeping accusations against entire groups without evidence doesn’t really help the credibility of the article (and I say that as someone who actually shares much of the concern about Europe’s demographic future and believes the immigration policies of countries like Britain are suicidally insane).

It was not a conquest, more like a self inflicted death wish. I don’t resent the non Western world taking over the old Western world, they are not conquerers, they are merely doing what any reasonable society would do.

The EU is now approaching China to bail it out, who would have thought that a hundred years ago this was even conceivable. The West killed itself, no one else. I wish all the best to the Chinese, Indians and even the Muslims, at least they want to keep civilization alive. The savages squatting in America protesting against wall street, these are not the worlds future leaders, more like the worlds future losers.

If our culture is all that great it will survive. Having the smaller population often works out well. I am from Montreal, and the English population was, maybe, 20% in its heyday. The French were Catholic, and tended to have very large families, which they could not afford to send to post-high school education. The English were protestant and tended to have smaller families, which they could afford to provide post-high school education to. The result was an English minority that had all the best jobs. It is better that we take care of the people we have than to push towards having more and more children.

I think the demographic challenge to the territorial integrity of the Russian Federation comes more from the Muslim areas of the North Caucasus rather than in the Russian Far East, with Chinese immigration.

Clearly the EU needs to limit sharply the number of immigrants coming in from North Africa. And North Africa itself is on the edge of being inundated by sub-Saharan Africans.

This entire discussion is rather pointless until we honestly face and determine the West’s cultural goals. Unfortunately, the essential questions antecedents to resolving these questions are now off limits in public dialogue. The blinders we now must wear under the progressive PC agenda has, and will continue to assure a result destructive of Western culture. Until we restore intellectual and scientific honesty, there will be no “solution” but theirs.

These economic arguments, made without regard to cultural value or consequences become circular. An aging white population that needs new blood to continue drawing its entitlement checks, only to be replaced by a brown population that will repeat the same pattern, only to be replaced by a black population that will repeat the same pattern…meanwhile, the West’s unique cultures that were so attractive in the first place are long gone. Instead, the West should have been less influenced by the progressives’ culturally suicidal tolerance-diversity agenda and more concerned about long-term solutions consistent with self-preservation and respect for their own cultures. Of course, this is all but impossible given the self-deprecating distortions and drivel that now pass as intellectual thoughts in Western academia and politics. By keeping the West focused only on economic issues and guilting them into avoiding honest discussion about the adverse consequences of ignoring underlying cultural differences and realities, there can be no healthy solution for a Western culture that is hell-bent on sacrificing its heritage for a job or an entitlement check — another tragic example of the moral hazard of the welfare-entitlement state if there ever was one.

Kirt Higdon – – China is most fortunate to have reined in the growth of the population. There remains a need to reduce the population of the country by several hundred million. Ditto with India, where there is not much chance this will happen.

How do you define “Western”? The Russians don’t see themselves as Western at all (in fact, Putin frequently denounces what he sees as Western godlessness and decadence, as did Solzhenitzyn before him).

Also, what about Israel? I understand Pat Buchanan is no fan of the country, but its Jewish birthrate is extremely high thanks to its Haredi population. In fact Israel’s birthrate is higher than that of most of its Muslim neighbors now. “Greater Israel” could become a reality if trends continue and the settlers become audacious enough to start building wildcat settlements in Syria, Jordan, etc.