(Note: This mock draft, and this column, were completed prior to Week 16)

The second round of our Athletic 2019 Fantasy Football Mock Draft kicked off with Patrick Mahomes (2.1) getting drafted. He seems like a lock to continue to flood fantasy football with touchdown passes. But so did the prior touchdown-pass kings: Peyton Manning (2013), Tom Brady (2007), Manning again (2004), Dan Marino (1984, the best Mahomes comp), Drew Brees (2001) and Aaron Rodgers (2011). But that group, ignoring Brady’s injury-plagued 2008 seasoning and counting 2009 instead for him, saw about a 30 percent decline in touchdown strikes. So it’s difficult to expect more than about 35 TD passes next year from Mahomes, unless you think he is more likely than not to beat the base rate (I always bet the base rate, but that doesn’t make me...