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August 30, 2013

Big Story Weather – August 30, 2013

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redOrbit Meteorologist Joshua Kelly

Big Story Weather from August 29:

The heat continued to bake the Plains yesterday from Dallas to North Dakota with temps in the 90’s and 100’s along with heat index values near 110. Severe weather was limited, however there were two tornadoes both in Minnesota. The largest hail was reported in Minnesota as well at 1.75 inches. The strongest wind gusts came from Montana and Utah in the 70-80mph range.

Big Story Weather Discussion for August 30:

Surface Map: Low pressure moving through the Great Lakes will be the focus of severe weather again today along with heavy rainfall. High pressure over the Southeast will bring partly cloudy skies to the region. This will extend into the Gulf Coast as well. The warm front will extend across the Northeast bringing showers to the region. High pressure over the Rockies will bring another warm and dry day with high fire hazards to the region. Low pressure over the Baja will bring a few thunderstorms to Arizona and New Mexico.

Severe Weather: There will be three areas of concern today. The first will be along the frontal boundary over the Great Lakes. This region will have a slight chance for tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds along with flooding rains. The second area will be along the Southeast coast where there will mostly be briefly heavy rainfall. The third location will be over the Southwest. This region will see both damaging winds and heavy rainfall.

Tropical Weather: This morning there are two locations in the Atlantic that we are watching for potential tropical development. The first is over the open Atlantic and is moving westward with winds around 20kts and pressure near 1010mb. The second is just along the coast of Africa with winds around 25kts and pressure near 1008mb.

Select City Forecast:

Boston MA: Mostly cloudy today with periods of showers. High temps around 65F, and lows near 59F. Total rainfall around 0.15 inches.

Atlanta GA: Partly cloudy and mild with a high near 86F and lows near 73F.

Omaha NE: The region will be partly cloudy with an isolated afternoon thunderstorm. High temps around 92F and low temps near 66F. Total rainfall around 0.25 inches.

Billings MT: Partly cloudy with a high near 85F and lows near 68F.

Boise ID: Partly cloudy and hot with high temps around 94F and lows near 77F.

August 30, 2013 Storm Tracker Update:

Eastern Pacific Ocean: Tropical Depression Juliette continues to track northward towards the Baja with winds around 25kts and pressure of 1008mb. The storm should continue to weaken. Low pressure moving over the Gulf of Alaska will bring another day of showers to the region.

Atlantic Ocean: Low pressure moving through the Great Lakes will bring showers and thunderstorms to the region. Low pressure moving along the East Coast of the US will bring showers to the Northeast. Low pressure moving towards Iceland will bring showers to the region. Low pressure moving through Central Russia will bring showers to the region. Two tropical waves moving over the Atlantic are being watched for possible tropical development.

Western Pacific: Tropical Depression Kong-Rey is forecasted to gain strength and return to tropical storm strength before making landfall in Japan. Winds are around 40kts and pressure near 993mb. Low pressure moving through Northeast Russia will bring showers to Northern Japan and also over Central Japan.

Indian Ocean: Low pressure moving over the open Indian Ocean will need to be watched for possible tropical development.

Southern Hemisphere: Multiple areas of low pressure moving through the basin again today with impacts being felt over South Africa with winds and rain showers. Another low pressure is impacting Southwest Australia with showers and wind.

Five-Day Storm Index Outlook for August 30- September 3:

Boston MA: The region will have slight impacts today associated with showers. There will be slight to moderate impacts from September 2-3 as another cold front moves through the region.

Atlanta GA: The region will start out impact free. A frontal boundary will move through on September 1 bringing slight to moderate impacts to the region associated with thunderstorms.

Omaha NE: There will be slight to moderate impacts today and then again on September 3 associated with thunderstorms.

Billings MT: The region will be impact free though September 3 when an area of thunderstorms will develop creating a slight to moderate impact in the region.

Boise ID: The next five days will be impact free for the region.

Climate Watch for August 25-29:

Boston MA: The period started with temps around 5-6 degrees above normal and then finished with temps around 2-11 degrees below normal.

Atlanta GA: The period started with temps around 1-5 degrees below normal and then finished the period around 3-5 degrees above normal.

Omaha NE: The past five days temps have been around 13-15 degrees above normal.

Billings MT: The past five days have seen temps around 8-13 degrees above normal.

Boise ID: The past five days temps have been around 4-10 degrees above normal .

Major Weather Impacts Discussion for August 30, 2013.

Day 1-3: A warm front will bring showers to portions of the Northeast, while the low pressure moves through the Great Lakes bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. High pressure over the Southeast will bring nice weather to the region. This will extend into the Gulf Coast and also over into the Southern Plains. High pressure over the Northern Rockies will bring another warm, dry and high fire danger day to the region. The West Coast will be dry and warm as well today. Day two a storm system will be moving along the East Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. A second low pressure area will be moving through the Plains, while the southwest monsoon will increase in coverage from Arizona to Colorado bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. The period will finish with low pressure along the Northeast Coast and also the frontal boundary over the Northern Plains.

Day 4-7: The period will start with low pressure over the Great Lakes with the frontal boundary extending through the Gulf Coast and into the Southern Plains. High pressure will build into the Northern Plains. The Southwest monsoon will bring increased moisture from Arizona to Colorado and into New Mexico. Day six low pressure will be along the East Coast with a frontal boundary extending all the way back to the Gulf Coast. Expect to see showers and thunderstorms along this boundary. High pressure will be building in over the Northern Plains and Great Lakes. The period will end with a weak boundary over the Eastern Great Lakes, while high pressure will be over the Northern Plains and the Great Lakes extending into the Southeast and Gulf Coast. A new storm system will be pushing into the Rockies bringing showers to the region. High pressure will keep the West Coast dry.

Day 8-12: The period will start with high pressure along both coasts. A powerful storm system will move into the Northern Plains. Day nine high pressure will be along both coasts. The low pressure will push into the Great Lakes, while return flow sets up over the Gulf Coast. Day ten the storm system will move into the Northeast and the frontal boundary will extend all the way to the Gulf Coast. Expect to see showers and thunderstorms along the boundary. The remainder of the country will be dry. Day eleven will have a tropical feature moving up along the East Coast of Florida bringing heavy rainfall to the region. A frontal boundary will drape across the entire East Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the area. High pressure will be over the Plains. The Southwest monsoon will begin to resurge over portions of Arizona. The period will end with a storm system moving up the East Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. There will also be a possible tropical feature in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico during this time. High pressure will bring nice weather to the Plains and the West Coast.

Long Range Outlook: The period will begin with a storm system along the East Coast bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. A tropical feature will be moving into the Central Gulf of Mexico bringing an increase in moisture northward. High pressure will dominate the rest of the country from the Plains to the West Coast. The middle of the period there will be plenty of moisture along the Gulf Coast associated with the surging tropical feature, while the majority of the rest of the country will be dry. The period will finish with a tropical in the Gulf of Mexico moving slowly northward.

Today's Spotlight Forecast is for New Orleans LA:

Friday: Partly cloudy with a high near 92F. Winds from the southwest 5-10mph. Overnight lows near 76F.

Saturday: Partly cloudy with an isolated afternoon thunderstorm. High temps around 93F. Winds from the southwest 5-10mph. Overnight lows near 76F. Total rainfall around 0.05 inches.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with an isolated afternoon thunderstorm. High temps around 92F. Winds from the southwest 7-12mph. Overnight lows near 75F. Total rainfall around 0.10 inches.

Monday: Partly cloudy and warm with a high near 92F. Overnight lows near 76F. Winds from the southwest 9-14mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a high near 94F. Winds from the southwest 2-7mph. Overnight lows near 77F.

Ask The Weatherman for August 30, 2013:

Question: What is a warm core weather system?

Answer: A warm core weather system is just that. It means that from the surface to the upper levels, the air inside the storm is warm and very humid. The best weather features that we have on the weather map that represent this are the Bermuda-Azores high pressure in the Atlantic Ocean, the Pacific High pressure in the Pacific Ocean, and of course tropical weather systems.

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Green Energy Weather Report for August 30, 2013:

Wave Energy: There will be moderate to extreme amounts of energy over the Northeast ahead of the frontal boundary and low pressure area. The Mid-Atlantic will see moderate amounts of energy. The Southeast and Northern Gulf Coast will see light amounts. The Southwest will have moderate amounts of energy along with the Northwest.

Solar Energy: There will be ample amounts of energy from the Mid-Atlantic to the Southeast and back into the Gulf Coast. There will also be ample amounts of solar energy from the Southern Plains into the Northern Plains. The Rockies and the West Coast will also enjoy ample amounts of solar energy today.

Wind Energy: The best places for wind energy today will be over the Eastern Great Lakes behind the frontal boundary and then over the Northern Rockies.

Hydro-Energy: There will be light amounts of energy over the Northeast. There will also be moderate amounts of energy over the Great Lakes back into the Mid-Mississippi River Valley. There will be light amounts of energy over the Southwest associated with afternoon thunderstorms.

August 30 Weather and Your Wallet (Baltimore MD):

High pressure to the southwest will keep the region dry and mild today.

Dining: A perfect day to enjoy lunch at the park or a nighttime meal along the harbor.

Transportation: There should be no weather impacts on air or road travel today.

Shopping: Today will be a nice day to get out and enjoy those end of the summer sales.

Electricity: There will be a small demand this afternoon for cooling as high temps rise to around 88F. The forecast is for 13 CDD’s.

Yard Work: Today will be a nice day to get out work on the lawn.

Construction: There will be no issues with outdoor projects today.

Outdoor Venues: There will be no issues with enjoying a walk along the boardwalk today.