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The Orioles have allowed 35% of their runs this year in the 6th inning

This has been your daily Small Sample Size Adventure. Stat courtesy of baseball-reference.

Also: it seems to me that having one regular starter with an ERA of 8, like Brian Matusz, should induce a tendency to have W-L better than Pythagorean W-L, as the Orioles did last year (by 2 games) and which, for the moment, they do again now. You pile up a lot of negative run differential in those games but you can only lose each one once.