I’ll skip the “anything’s possible” response and move on to Vince’s checklist.

A. A year under his belt to provide the contingent with some name recognition.
B. Victories against Charleston Southern, Troy, and FIU (2009 non-conference opponents)
C A record of 11-1 or better heading into the postseason
D. 1700 yards rushing on the season, averaging about 131 a game including the SEC championship.

Of those, I’d say A is accomplished, B is a lock to happen, C is a decent possibility and D is a pipedream. Last season, the Gators averaged 200 yards on the ground. And that’s a good number – 23rd nationally and 3rd in the SEC. Assuming a similar number this year, does anyone think that Florida is going to give almost 2/3 of its rushing yards to Moody?

Look at it this way: the Gators’ leading rushers in ’07 were Percy Harvin and Tim Tebow, neither of whom averaged 70 yards per game. How many rushing attempts does Meyer take away from these two, assuming they stay healthy, to give to Moody? Keep in mind that Kestahn Moore, who was the closest thing on last year’s roster to a traditional tailback, averaged less than 45 rushing yards per game.

And don’t forget that Meyer has to make room not just for Moody, but also for Chris Rainey.

Barring injuries or a rash of overtime games I don’t see where the carries and the yardage will come from.

With the publication of this year’s APR numbers by the NCAA and the resulting penalties associated with those academic institutions that failed to meet the established standards, I’ve seen a certain theme crop up in stories and opinion pieces on the matter – the APR is another way The Man is keeping the little guy down, even it it’s unintentional.

… Of the 37 football programs penalized by the N.C.A.A. on Tuesday, only two were from the six major conferences that comprise the Bowl Championship Series. Washington State lost eight scholarships, and Kansas two.

“There’s such a difference between the B.C.S. schools and those who are not,” Tomey said. “I don’t think it’s an intended difference, but it highlights financial things like not being able to throw money at the problem and solve it very quickly.”

Not exactly sure what Myles Brand has accomplished in his tenure as Grand Poobah of the NCAA outside of collecting a fat paycheck. He likely would point to his fraudulent Academic Progress Report, which was released Tuesday.

And TSN’s Spencer Hall (aka EDSBS’ Orson Swindle) has this to say about the APR story:

… In practice, the APR’s effects are less “pinpoint bombing run” accurate in terms of hitting intended targets than they are “cluster-bomb random.”

Schools might escape punishment via a wide and colorful variety of dodges. First, if a team’s academic score is weak it might selectively put walk-ons on scholarship to boost its score. Second, a team can, seemingly by random fiat, get “forgiveness” for its score. In short: The bigger your overall budget as a program, the more likely “forgiveness” will come your way.

Worse still, the punishment of football programs seems to follow Bobby Knight’s old dictum that went something like this: “The NCAA got so mad at Indiana, it punished Ball State.” Of the 37 programs docked scholarships or practice time, only two (Washington State, Kansas) affected in the 2008 season come from BCS conferences.

The rest come from the exurbs of the college football map: San Jose State, New Mexico State, Florida Atlantic and Florida International.

The NCAA surely did not set out to create a policy making the midget class of college football even less competitive than before by forcing small schools to divert even more of their limited resources to academic support for athletes. There was no meeting of the Ohio States and Floridas in a secret island lair beneath a volcano where, after toasts and evil laughing, they devised a plan to eliminate the threat of smaller schools looking to field competitive football teams.

Rather than some sort of conspiracy, the APR and its sanctioned, slow strangulation of smaller schools unable to pay for massive academic support centers is the result of something even more unstoppable and faceless: bad policy.

The NCAA and its members, faced with the legitimate issue of measuring how well schools balance athletics and academics, created a well-intentioned system. Like many well-intentioned systems — such as President Bush’s No Child Left Behind Act — its actual effects are disastrous.

Much of this smacks of damned if you do, damned if you don’t, quite frankly. Even taking as a given the disparity of resources in college athletics programs across America, exactly how is it a bad thing that the NCAA has forced its member institutions to focus on making an effort to see that their student-athletes are given attention towards working to earn a degree?

I mean, if my choice is between Dick Tomey’s hand wringing – and consider that by his own admission, his school didn’t have an academic support program for his players as recently as three years ago – and the sanctimonious but ultimately cynical special admissions program put into place at South Carolina (under which Spurrier could have an entire recruiting class of 25 admitted in a given year), sorry, Mr. Tomey, but I’ll take the consequences of having the APR, warts and all.

I live in a state that, historically speaking… well, to call its public education policy one of benign neglect is being kind. So if the University of Georgia wants to direct a fair amount of resources towards seeing to it that a group of kids that got the shaft from a support standpoint in high school are given what they need to get their academics in order to obtain a meaningful college education, all I can say is go, dog, go.

That’s not to say that there aren’t abuses of the system. Hall is right when he criticizes the ease with which waivers are granted to certain programs. To an extent, Tomey’s argument that his program got screwed for honoring the lax academic standards of his predecessor isn’t without some merit. But it’s hard to say that’s a valid defense. It’s just that other schools shouldn’t be allowed to get away with what is most likely similar past bad behavior.

The Wiz makes a telling point when he references favorable professors. No doubt there are schools that tailor courses and professors to game the system so that student-athletes retain their eligibility without going through a meaningful learning process. But that kind of stuff was going on before the APR metric came into play. And it has nothing to do with the “big guys have the resources that the little guys can’t compete with” criticism of APR that is being made.

Here’s the thing: flaws aside, what’s the alternative? None of the three pieces I cited have a different proposition to put forward.

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UPDATE: Orson responds to the last point by noting that column limitations prevented him from making any proposals of his own. Fair enough. But all he has to offer at his blog (where presumably those limits go by the wayside) is this:

… Solutions? We’re not into silly metrics like the APR, especially when unevenly applied. However, if you insist on having one, make sure the mechanism includes viable mechanisms for recovery from poor academic performance and the ability to re-enter D-1 following a period of “demonstrated improvement.” Otherwise, we’d be fine not having one at all, or even–gasp–having a non-quantitative review process not dependent on one silly, easily manipulated metric.

Which, when you boil it down, is really just revisiting the original criticism he made in his column. Oh, and the NCAA monitoring “a non-quantitative review process” for academics? I bet everybody in the state of Alabama would be down with that – it’s been such a crowd pleasing approach to policing recruiting.

The disparity between BCS and non-BCS schools in the NCAA’s hammer this week over Academic Performance Rates got me thinking: is there a process of natural selection at work? After all, of the 37 football programs hit with NCAA penalties Tuesday, only six were from BCS conferences. In a New York Times story on the subject, San Jose State coach Dick Tomey, whose team lost nine scholarships and four weekly hours of practice this season, called it “class warfare” as smaller colleges try to keep pace financially to help academics. “There’s such a difference between the BCS schools and those who are not,” Tomey said in the Times. “I don’t think it’s an intended difference, but it highlights financial things like not being able to throw money at the problem and solve it very quickly.”

So that begs the question: if the resources aren’t there to solve the problem, and there are tons of empty seats at games, is that school meant to be Division I-A (er, the Football Bowl Subdivision)? I mean really. The NCAA has allowed so much expansion in I-A, and many of those universities are set up to fail. They’re allowed to average only 15,000 fans a game–and even if they don’t, it never gets to a sanction stage. A school just creatively counts “tickets sold”, and it’s out of the woods. But there are never enough tickets sold at the 15,000-per-game level to generate enough revenue to compete on a long-term basis. Nobody at the NCAA wants to tell Tomey that maybe I-A isn’t meant to be, though. Especially the WAC. That would be disastrous for the conference…

Quote Of The Day

“It's definitely different not knowing exactly who it's gonna be, but in a way, I feel like that's good,” he said. “One of my old coaches from Valdosta told me that competition is one of the best coaches. And I feel like, as well as each one of those three guys is performing, they're not gonna do anything but make each other better.” -- Jay Rome, The Red & Black, 3/25/15