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Interesting spot on the bubble I think. I would consider to push here, but on the bubble a fold is most likely better indeed. I expect you’re $EV line would be a indication on long run how much money you will win, but variance is off course enormous in those games.

Congrats! My red line is 3000$ above! When can I try to crush 888 server? lol

Moreover, my HM2 and SnG wiz isn't fixed yet.. I sent my log files so I hope they can find the bug.
I want to filter calling hand, but I can't use filter while I try to evaluate my hand with SnG wiz, is it terrible, right?

Actually, I'm very frustrated by SB, he seemed to be almost 100% shover from SB.
However, even he is doing 100% shove here( and I think he shove at most 80%), I couldn't call my hand, it was because bubble factor.

Yesterday, I made some too tight fold but today is too loose call.
Let's improvement more tomorrow!

I got -100$ swing at 1 session yesterday, it was so sad( I wide-shoved as usual then opponent could call 3 times more with premium hands..)

Anyway, I found interesting promotion in twitter.

It said that today's PS promo is insanely good, and it was about tournament game.

Ok, I haven't tried 180 man SnG so I was not confident about this game's ICM but very simple calculation that I only have to play at most 360 games( and it is lowest stake, I didn't think I'm latter side among all player in 1$ game) so I tried.

Here is my result for finishing this challange

Maybe I got lucky, but I could achieve my challenge quickly( or not? lol)

You're right, there are a lot of loose overcall spots when you have less than 6 big blinds because the antes bloat the pot. The initial preflop pot is 3.3 big blinds at a full table, thus the 'effective big blind' is equal to 2.2 times the nominal big blind

The fact that you were playing in the chip EV mode at final tables (if I've understood you right) was even in your favour because finishing in the first place had so much value than other prizes should have been ignored anyway. However, your opponents, especially 180-man regs, might have been playing according to the ICM, so they were giving you extra dead chips because they were playing tight (in order to maximise their regular prize equity, but not the promo bonus equity).

So you were set to win tourneys more often than once in 180 games, but your real non-promo ROI was likely slightly negative or not very big due to 'ICM mistakes', so you definitely ran hotter than the sun with regard to the prizes of the tourneys themselves.

All in all, due to the specifics of the promotion (the huge overlay provided by the bonus), my strategy was not to think too deeply about ranges but just to keep loading as many hyper tables as there were in the lobby and flip in the cEV mode

I basically played 6max hyper-turbo game so I used ICM, (ICM tax is too low when 180 man game early phase so I gonna use chip-ev here though)

Yea, and I completely agree with the opinion that I have to care about more when I play 180 man seriously.
Moreover, I actually thought I'm playing pokeish game, not poker when I played 15 table+ in unfamiliar game lol(It worked
)

Anyway, Today's news is very sad..

I contacted HM2 support so many times and finally they said HM2 has bug around $ev in 888.

That means that I followed wrong stats($ev was relatively accurate stats to determine my grind is good or bad).

They said that $ev bug is lower priority, but this bug remains over 1 year,WTF.

Now 888 has 2nd best traffic, never minor room, also this room has good traffic for SnG.

My request was I want to see true stats, true evaluation, is it excessive?

I'm so sad that it is good time to switch another tools, although I never want to invest more even I already bought decent tool(what I thought decent.)

This post has been edited 4 time(s), it was last edited by tonypmm: 19.12.2015 18:07.

If you're going to play SnGs for long, then I advise you to switch to PT4. HM2 is notorious for miscalculating $EV in many SnG formats of many sites. But the PT4 team usually corrects any mistake in $EV calculation within a few business days of receiving a support ticket from me with relevant hand history files attached.

This difference is surprising because HM and PT are now owned by the same company, but that's how it is.

As I wrote yesterday, I'm trying to switch to new tools, PT4 and ICMIZER.

I'm waiting for withdrawal for payment, but I can use PT4 trial now.

When I firstly opened PT4, I couldn't activate my HUD.
After some tuning up, my PT4 started working.

Here is my test-session's result

Wow, it was test-session from my view but my result is insane!

I heard 2x- or 3x- turbo tournament is very juicy so I tried today, but I never thought I can get some result. I'm so happy that I can purchase these tools comfortably!

However, I'm never confident my play considering my first 2x-turbo game and my score at SnG coach, I'm looking forward to this tool then improve my play to at least actual decent.( I thought my play is decent but SnG coach showed it is wrong directly lol)

Then finally I got driver license today!( It took around 1 month, isn't it quick?

Moreover, now I can go work next January because I could take driver license this month.(Without saying, I'm not eager to go work although..)

These factor means that I need to adjust the relationship between me and poker from next month.

I've tried MTT for 1 week, and I noticed something.

1 A bit harder to calculate my real ev because of higher variance.

2 Game time also has high variance. When I won 2nd place at 300 man game, it took around 3 hours.

3 It has much more larger dream, 1 1st prize gave me 1 month profit which I earned from HT lol

4 I found some tournament which has some edge mechanically. When I join Rebuy & Addon tournament then survive until addon, I already has some edge compared to who retired before it.

In summary, MTT has some edge but it seems difficult to play on working day.

So, I'm considering some plans for it.

1 HT 6 table around as I've played around 2 month, + some juicy MTT, such as add-on or guarantee tournament, it seems most comfortable grind.

2 HT 12 table+ at lower buyin. I think I had at least 5 ROI( though I noticed my red line was fake.) so if I can continue this ROI, I can get decent profit from multitabling. It also fit the demand for flexible time.

3 Switching to MTT main. It may have best ROI. However, still I have to overcome some disadvantage as I wrote.

What plan do you think it is best for guys who can play 2 hours around per day because of work while earning some profit?