Obama beat McCain 52.9% to 45.7%, or about exactly the same drubbing he's predicted to give to Mitt Romney. The anticipated destruction of a Palin candidacy begins to approach the the 58.8%-40.6% beatdown that St. Ronnie administered to Walter Mondale in 1984.
If Obama actually won 55% or more of the popular vote, he'd probably have very significant coattails. And I think we need to remind ourselves that these numbers are coming in the context of a pretty negative overall public attitude to the Democrats as a whole. Some recent polling has showed a congressional ballot preference for the Republicans and (some) net-negative ratings for Obama's job approval. We have to wonder how Palin would fare against a resurgent president and Democratic Party. I don't think it's a stretch to imagine a Reagan-Mondale style blowout.
It's an odd political climate. It's like nothing I've ever seen before.

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