I can't buy a win right now, as I lost last night's game by one point. I like the Lakers tonight; they're 8-2-2 against the spread in their previous 12 games, while the Raptors have not played good basketball lately.

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It hasn't been a good idea to bet against the Warriors this year, but I'm going to do that tonight. I believe they'll be distracted for two reasons: First, they have a long road trip coming up after this contest, and second, they go against the Blazers tomorrow night. The Bullets lost last night, but it seemed like they were looking ahead to this contest.

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The Clippers haven't played very good basketball lately, as their win versus the Kings was their sole cover since March 11. The Bullets, meanwhile, have caught fire after struggling for a while. I like them to cover tonight.

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Sorry for disappearing for a week; free agency and Selection Sunday kicked my a**, and I didn't like any of the games yesterday. I do want to pick Boston though. The Celtics are hot, so they should be able to compete with an Oklahoma City team that could be distracted with Atlanta on the horizon on Friday.

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The Suns have not been good since the All-Star break, going just 4-7, as they just haven't played well since making some questionable trades. The Timberwolves don't have a good record in that span either, but they've been more competitive for the most part recently.

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Both teams have been playing better lately, so it's surprising to me that so much money is on Miami. The Celtics are 5-3 in their previous eight games, and two of their losses were against the Cavaliers and Warriors. I like them getting a field goal tonight.

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These teams have similar records, but the Jazz are the better team. they're 6-2 since the All-Star break, having beaten the Spurs, Blazers and Grizzlies in that stretch. The Nets, on the other hand, have dropped two in a row since beating Golden State. They definitely did a bit too much celebrating after that victory.

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The Nuggets are actually trying now that they fired their head coach. How great of them. I like them to cover tonight against the Spurs, who have been a good fade this season. San Antonio has games coming up against Chicago, Toronto and Cleveland, so the focus may not be here.

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I just can't catch a break lately. I still have no idea how the Pelicans didn't cover on Monday. Hopefully I'll have better luck with the Jazz tonight. Utah is 5-1 since the All-Star Break, having beaten Portland, Memphis and San Antonio, which is impressive. The Celtics just had a tough game last night against the Cavaliers, so they may not be able to go 100 percent in this contest.

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My apologies for not posting a pick since Friday; my laptop's hard drive crashed, and I was working on a slow computer for the past two days, and it was just too difficult to do research. I needed a break anyway. I do like New Orleans though. The Hornets are a hot team, while Dallas hasn't been performing well amid controversy.

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The sharps are taking the Timberwolves, as this spread has dropped two points despite there being equal action on both sides. Minnesota has played well lately, having won five of eight. The Bulls, meanwhile, are obviously not as good without Derrick Rose.

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The 76ers are the laughing stock of the NBA, but they're 8-2-1 against the spread in their previous 11 games. This spread is way too high, so I like their chances of covering. The Bucks, meanwhile, haven't been playing very good basketball lately. They're 1-2 since the break, with the sole victory being an eight-point win over lowly Denver.

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The Pacers, almost out of nowhere, have been red hot. They're 8-3 in their previous 11 games. I like them to cover this spread, especially with Kevin Durant out. Indiana will be completely focused for this contest because the team doesn't play again until Friday.

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The Celtics, despite their dismal record, play hard most nights. They lost to the Lakers yesterday, but it seemed like they were looking forward to this matchup, as it's hard to play 100 percent in back-to-back contests. The Suns, meanwhile, shouldn't be eight-point favorites, as they are just 1-7 in their previous eight games.

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The All-Star break did not cool down the Raptors. They are on fire, having gone 11-3 in their previous 14 games. The way they were able to dismantle the Hawks last night was very impressive. The sharps took notice, betting this down from +3.5 to +2. The Rockets just aren't the same without Dwight Howard.

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The Suns were the laughing stock of the NBA trade deadline. Everyone has been trashing them over the past 24 hours, so I think that could serve as motivation going forward. Phoenix is still a better team than Minnesota, even in the wake of its crappy deals, so it shouldn't be an underdog in this matchup. The Suns should be able to pull off this "upset."

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I usually pick underdogs, but I'm laying the points tonight. LeBron James lost to the Heat in his first meeting against them earlier this year, but he'll get revenge this time. Cleveland is red hot, having won 13 of 14, and the team's success will continue. The Cavaliers have eight double-digit wins during this span, while Miami has dropped five of seven, most recently losing to the Spurs by 13.

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I picked the Hornets a few times recently, but I'm backing off them now; they've dropped two in a row to the 76ers and Pacers, so they don't look the same. The Pistons, meanwhile, have won three of five and seem to be playing better basketball right now.

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I'm buying low here. Everyone is piling on the Clippers today in the wake of their blowout loss last night and Blake Griffin's injury. The Clippers have dropped four in a row, but three of their losses were against good teams. This number is too high, so I like them to cover tonight.

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What an awful week. I hope things can turn around soon. Perhaps tonight with the Blazers. This line is a bit high, as Portland played last night. However, the Blazers are 3-3 ATS on no rest when battling a team with rest, so I don't think that's much of a factor. The Rockets, meanwhile, have built up victories against bad teams like the Celtics and Bucks lately.

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The Jazz are coming off five extremely difficult games, including a tough loss to the Suns last night, so I don't know if they're in a good position as a moderately sized favorite. The Kings, meanwhile, have dropped 10 of 11, but check out some of the teams they've lost to: Mavericks (2x), Clippers, Blazers, Warriors (2x), Raptors and Cavaliers. Sacramento is not a good team, but it's not bad enough to usually go 1-10 for a stretch, so I like its chances of covering tonight.

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The Spurs haven't played well lately, failing to cover their previous four games. They've barely beaten the likes of Orlando, Charlotte and Milwaukee. This number is pretty high, so Miami should be able to cover it. It's also worth noting that the Spurs are going on an East Coast trip after this contest, so they could be a bit distracted.

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I'm still trying to figure out how the Mavericks blew a 24-4 lead last night. I'll try the Suns tonight; they've played better than the Blazers lately, as Portland is just 3-8 in its previous 11 games. The Blazers' only victories in that stretch have been against the Jazz, Bullets and Kings. They'll also be looking ahead to this weekend, given that they have to battle Dallas and Houston on the road.

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I've been going against Washington recently, but I'm taking them this time. This is more of a fade of Atlanta, however. No one should've been surprised that the Hawks lost to the Pelicans; they had not been playing well, failing to cover against the hapless 76ers. They could lack energy following that defeat, and they could also be looking forward to their matchup against the Warriors on Friday.

The Warriors, likewise, could be looking ahead to the battle against Atlanta on Friday, and they might be tired after playing last night. Adding to that, Golden State's upcoming East Coast road trip could serve as a distraction. The Mavericks, meanwhile, have begun winning lately after struggling, so I like them to cover tonight.

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I'm taking the Hornets once again. They've won 10 of 13, yet no one is paying attention to them. The Bullets, meanwhile, have dropped four of six, and their two wins were slim victories against the Lakers and Nuggets. It's also worth noting that Washington has to take on Atlanta in two days, so the team could be looking ahead.

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The sharps are all over the Kings, and I was wondering why; they've lost eight games in a row and have failed to cover their previous four. Looking deeper into it, however, check out six of the teams they've battled during their losing streak: Mavericks, Clippers, Trailblazers, Warriors, Raptors, Cavaliers. That's a tough slate, so taking on a pedestrian Indiana squad will be an easier task.

I did not like how the Nuggets looked in their loss to Memphis. They lost all the energy they had been playing with. Now, they're home for the first time in a week and they have to go on the road again for a while after this contest, so there could be plenty of distractions. Charlotte, on the other hand, has won nine of its previous 12 games, yet no one is talking about it. The Hornets should not be six-point dogs in this matchup.

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I'm sure some will look at this game and fade the Bulls because this is their third contest in four nights, but I'm looking at it from a different angle: I don't think they tried very hard versus the Lakers last night, and they don't play again until Wednesday, so there's plenty of incentive for them to be close to 100 percent in this game. The Suns, meanwhile, have Golden State tomorrow night, so this matchup may not mean as much to them.

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I'm picking the Nuggets again; they're playing very well right now and don't deserve to be double-digit underdogs. They did play last night, but I don't think that's a negative, since they can keep their momentum going. Besides, Denver hasn't lost a game by more than 10 points in which it hasn't had any rest, so this spread is inflated a bit for no reason. It's worth noting that the Grizzlies have to take on the Thunder and Suns after this game, so they could be distracted.

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The Nuggets came through for me on Monday, so I'm hoping that'll be the case again tonight. Denver has played relatively well lately, nearly beating the Clippers and Bullets. The Pelicans, meanwhile, have won four in a row, but three of their victories have come against the Lakers, Timberwolves and 76ers. Plus, they have the Clippers, Hawks and Thunder (twice) after this contest, so they may not be focused for it.

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The Bucks have been a covering machine lately, covering 14 of their previous 21 games. The sharps have recognized that, as they've pounded Milwaukee throughout the afternoon. Miami, meanwhile, is coming off a big victory against Chicago, so there could be a letdown tonight.

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This spread is too high. Sure, the Nuggets aren't any good, but they've lost by more than 10 points just once since Jan. 3. The Clippers have a long road trip coming up after this game, so they could be too preoccupied with making plans.

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The Hawks have covered a billion games in a row, so it may not seem wise to go against them. They just haven't been favored by this much during their winning streak; the largest number they've laid was 11.5. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, have just two losses by this margin since Christmas.

The Pistons were blown out last night, but I feel as though they were looking ahead to this game. They should be able to cover this number, as Toronto hasn't been playing well lately; the Raptors have lost eight of their previous 12 contests, so they shouldn't be favored by this much.

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I took the Nets over the Kings a few days ago because I liked how they had time off to fix some things. They covered that game, but were blown out the following night against the Clippers. That was just a talent mismatch, however, so I like their chances of bouncing back against a poor team that should not be favored by this many points.

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I normally don't like taking road favorites, but I'm going to do that tonight. This isn't a high-volume game, so I don't think the high betting percentage on New Orleans matters all that much. The Pelicans should be able to win this game easily, as the Timberwolves have been awful since losing three of their starters.

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The Blazers haven't been playing well lately. They've lost four of five, and their one victory was just a four-point triumph over lowly Sacramento. Portland lost a tough battle last night at Phoenix, so the team could be gassed for this contest. The Celtics, on the other hand, should be fresh, coming off two days of rest.

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I like the Thunder tonight. The team is on fire and should continue to stay hot. Oklahoma City would be favored if it didn't play last night, but that's not a big deal because the team is 5-1 against the spread on no rest when playing a team with rest.

The Nets have been struggling for a while now, but they've had a rough schedule with very little rest. They just had three days off, however, which may have allowed them to work on stuff. The Kings, meanwhile, haven't won in a while either, so I don't think they deserve to be favored by this much.

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The Lakers have dropped four in a row, so this spread has been inflated to compensate for that. Most of their losses have been close though, and they even battled tough opponents like the Cavaliers and Blazers. The Suns, meanwhile, have a three-game stretch coming up against the Blazers, Rockets and Clippers, which they could be looking ahead to. They may look past the lowly Lakers.

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Detroit is hot, but no one has been paying attention to the 76ers, who have covered five of their previous seven games. I think this spread is too high; the Pistons have failed to beat the number the last two times they were favorites.

The Nuggets are coming off two tough games against the Mavericks and have another taxing battle coming up against Golden State on Monday. They may look past the Timberwolves, who have covered four of the past five times they were double-digit underdogs.

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These teams are about even, but I think Miami has a big edge tonight in that it doesn't play again until Tuesday. The Kings, on the other hand, have to take on the Clippers tomorrow night, so they could have one eye on that game.

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Buying on bad news is usually a good idea when it comes to stock trading. It also applies to sports betting, and the bad news here is that Cleveland is dysfunctional. The Cavaliers could easily turn things around though, given the amount of talent they have. The Clippers are just favored by too much tonight.

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Too many points. Miami has played well lately, winning three of four, so I like it to cover, even if Dwyane Wade doesn't play. The Warriors have games against the Thunder and Rockets coming up this weekend, so they could be looking ahead. It's also worth mentioning that Golden State is just 3-6 ATS at home as a favorite of 13.5 or more.

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The Spurs have been a great fade this year, but they've quietly been playing better lately, having won four of five. Washington, meanwhile, could have one eye on its game against Chicago tomorrow night.

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The Bulls were just blown out by the Jazz, but they overlooked their opponent. They'll be more focused on this contest, and they should be able to beat the Bullets, who have dropped three of their previous five, which includes a win over the dreadful Knicks by only 10 points.

This spread doesn't make much sense to me, as the Spurs are still inflated based on last year's championship. They haven't played well lately, covering four of their previous 12. The Suns, meanwhile are red hot, so I like them to perhaps win outright tonight.

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I'm upset I missed +10 and +9 - thanks for betting it down, sharps - but I still think Miami is the right side at +8. Portland's recent game saw the team barely beat the Lakers despite Los Angeles being on no rest. That was telling. The Heat, coming off three days off, should be able to cover.

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The Jazz are 6-4 in their previous 10 games, so I don't think Chicago should be favored by so many points. The Bulls haven't been covering against inferior competition, so they may not take Utah seriously following a big win over Houston.

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I'm also taking the 5.5-point underdog in this game. The Hawks have won 18 of 20 since Thanksgiving, while the Clippers haven't been challenged at all since Christmas, so Atlanta could make things difficult for them.

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Maybe I'll have better luck going against the Magic tonight. The Hornets had a stretch in which they won four games in a row. They've suffered five consecutive defeats heading into this contest, but four of their previous opponents have been tough foes. Orlando is a major step down, and Charlotte also has revenge going for it as well.

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The Nets have been hot lately, winning five of six, which includes victories over Chicago and Sacramento. They also don't have a game tomorrow, so they'll be focused. Orlando, conversely, has to play tomorrow night.

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I went with the Spurs last night, which ended up costing me. Maybe going against them tonight will work. They're missing a couple of starters, while the Pelicans have been hot lately, covering four of their previous five.

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The Spurs have not met expectations this year, but they're coming off a nice win versus Houston, so perhaps that's a positive sign going forward. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are struggling as well. They've dropped four of five without Zach Randolph. I like the Spurs tonight.

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This spread is off. The Bucks are a much better team, as they're just a few days removed from crushing the Hawks by 30. The Hornets won four in a row recently, but they've played badly in their previous two contests, both of which were losses. Charlotte beat Milwaukee a week ago, so this is a revenge spot for the latter.

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This is a high number, which is inflated because the Pelicans just played last night. However, they're still a young team, so being on the court with no rest has no effect on them. In fact, they're a perfect 5-0 ATS on no rest when battling a team with rest. The Bulls are hot, but they're favored by too much over a solid New Orleans squad.

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The Hawks have beaten four tough opponents in a row, triumphing over the Cavaliers, Rockets, Mavericks and Clippers. Now, they go from underdogs to favorites, and they've had all Christmas break to hear about how great they are. They could be flat tonight against a Milwaukee squad that has played well recently.

As we've learned, the Thunder isn't the same team without Kevin Durant. It should upset the Spurs yesterday, but San Antonio wasn't taking that game seriously. I don't know if Oklahoma City can cover this spread, especially considering that the Hornets have been hot lately, winning their previous four.

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The Clippers have been in a major funk lately, failing to cover their previous five games. They've generally disappointed most of this season. The Warriors are the better team, and we're getting points with them. That might explain why the sharps have taken them today.

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This seems like a square play to me, but sometimes, the square side is the right side. The Suns haven't been home in more than a week, so they could be dealing with distractions. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are the superior team. They lost last night, so they could be determined to get back on the winning track.

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The Grizzlies have predictably fallen back to Earth following their impressive wins over the Warriors and Spurs. They've dropped two in a row, including a game last night against the Cavaliers. On a quick turn-around, they could be gassed against a Jazz squad that has covered four of its previous five games. Utah doesn't play again until Saturday, so it'll be focused for this contest.

The sharps have bet the Kings tonight, and it's easy to see why. This spread is just way inflated because of Golden State's recent success. The Warriors have another game tomorrow night, so they could have one eye on that. The Kings, meanwhile, have been playing better lately. They've dropped two of three, but their two losses were both very close against quality opponents.

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The Pacers seem like the right side. They've had a couple of days off, while the Nuggets played a tough game last night. They beat the Clippers and seem like they're due for a letdown. The sharps agree, as they've bet down Indiana despite an overwhelming amount of action on Denver.

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The Spurs have been a nice fade lately. They're 2-4 in their previous six games, with their wins coming against the terrible Knicks and Nuggets. They have to be exhausted following their triple-overtime loss to Memphis, and they have another game tomorrow night at Dallas and the newly acquired Rajon Rondo.

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The Warriors appear to be in a funk, and I like the Thunder to win this game. Oklahoma City is a desperate team because it knows it needs to rack up as many victories as possible to get back into the playoff picture. There's sharp action on the Thunder.

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I normally don't like to pick teams that have to play the following night, but the Bucks are 6-1 ATS in such situations, so they're fine. With that in mind, this spread is too high. A lot is being made over the Jabari Parker injury, but the Bucks should still be OK. Portland, meanwhile, is a bit overrated. The Trailblazers haven't beaten a quality opponent in more than a month. They defeated San Antonio a couple of nights ago, but all the Spurs' regulars were out. The Bucks should be able to give them a tough game.

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This is being billed as a big game, but the Grizzlies could have one eye on tomorrow's matchup against the Spurs. The Warriors could be more focused, so I like getting three points with them versus a Memphis team that barely beat Charlotte and Philadelphia recently.

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I've been stuck on 19 wins for a while, so I need to get on the winning track. I think the Bucks are the right side tonight. Phoenix had a tough game yesterday against the Thunder, while the Bucks have been playing well, covering seven of their previous 10 games.

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The sharps have bet this from +4 to +3, probably because they think Orlando is a good play in the wake of the Hawks' win over the Magic the previous night. What I think they're missing is that road favorites are an OK 71-65 ATS versus a team they just beat as home favorites. The Hawks are simply better than the Magic, so I'm going to take the value and wager a unit on Atlanta.

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NBA Pick: Hawks -3 (1 Unit) -- Incorrect; -$110

Tuesday, Dec. 9, 2014 (0-1, -$110)

New York Knicks at New Orleans Pelicans. Line: Pelicans by 6.5. 8:05 PM ET (Game 707-708)

The Knicks are an awful team, but this seems like the right time to take them. They've been playing hard and covering spreads, as they are desperate for a win. The Pelicans, meanwhile, have a big game at Dallas tomorrow night, so they probably won't be up for this contest.

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I'm going to try the Pelicans again. The Clippers, following their victory over the Dwight Howard-less Rockets, have beaten some pretty pedestrian teams, which has improved their record and increased this spread as a result. It also must be noted that home teams have losing records with all three refs in this game.

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I went against the sharps last night, but I'm with them this time. The Bucks are coming off two brutal losses to the Cavaliers and Mavericks, so they could be spent. Miami has dropped three of four, but it has lost to some pretty decent teams. The Heat should cover against an easier foe. Also, home teams are just 202-237 ATS when Zach Zarba officiates.

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The sharps have bet up the Warriors, but that has created some line value with the Pelicans. Golden State has an awesome record, but guess how many teams it has played this year that currently have a winning record? TWO! The Warriors have beaten up on crap teams all season, and the Pelicans are a solid team (albeit at .500) that can steal a win here. Also, home teams don't have winning records with any of the three NBA refs in tonight's contest.

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I'm taking the Mavericks tonight. Chicago is playing its first home game in a couple of weeks, so there could be distractions for the players. Derrick Rose will also be on the court tonight, but with another contest tomorrow, he could be a bit limited. Keep this in mind as well: Home teams are just 178-244 ATS when Tony Brothers officiates.

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The oddsmakers haven't adjusted this spread for Nene's injury. The Bullets haven't covered a game since Nene has gotten hurt, and he's doubtful for tonight's contest. Miami is playing better basketball right now, so I'm taking them. I'm not a fan of the fact that they played yesterday, but the Heat is 2-1 ATS this year when on no rest and battling a team with rest. Also, all three NBA refs assigned to this game have a negative ATS record pertaining to home teams.

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Like the other two games this weekend, this spread has been inflated because the favorite has beaten up on crappy teams. The Suns have won five of seven, but their victories have come against the Celtics, Pistons, 76ers, Pacers and Nuggets. That's not impressive at all. Orlando, meanwhile, has dropped four straight, but three of its foes have been tough (Heat, Cavaliers, Warriors). Also, we get another opportunity to fade Scott Foster; home teams are now an alarming 188-251 ATS when he officiates.

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The sharps have bet this up from pick to -3, but I'm going the other way. In addition to the spread value created by the line movement, we have a situation like last night in which an inferior team that has beaten up on crappy opponents is favored over a superior foe. Additionally, all three NBA refs tonight have a negative record pertaining to hosts.

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The Grizzlies and Blazers have similar records, but one team is clearly better than the other. Whereas Memphis has victories over tough opponents like the Rockets, Kings and Raptors, eight of Portland's previous nine wins have come against the Hornets (twice), 76ers, Celtics, Bulls (without Derrick Rose), Nets and Nuggets (twice). The toughest team they've beaten in this stretch was 7-6 New Orleans. On top of that, all three NBA refs tonight have a negative record pertaining to home teams.

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In another opportunity to go against Scott Foster, I'm taking the Hawks. They floundered for a couple of games because they played the Cavaliers and then were flat after the loss. They should be up for this game, whereas the Bullets will be looking ahead to battling Cleveland tomorrow night. Washington will be without Nene, and the team has really struggled when he's been injured in the past.

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The sharps are fading the Cavaliers once again, and so am I. This spread has dropped from +10 to +9, so we're not getting as much value on Orlando. However, the Magic is 7-2 against the spread in road games this year, while the struggling Cavaliers are still trying to figure themselves out. Also, keep in mind that Brent Barnaky is another ref you want to fade; home teams are only 94-120 ATS when he officiates.

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The sharps bet this down from +4.5 to +3, but I still think the Raptors are the right side. The Cavaliers will be dominant as this season progresses, but they're still finding themselves, just as Miami did a few years ago. This is a bigger game for Toronto, anyway. Oh, and I'd be remiss if I didn't mention that home teams are just 188-248 against the spread when NBA ref Scott Foster officiates games.

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The Mavericks are playing great basketball, having won five in a row, but they have to travel to Houston tomorrow night for a big game, so they could be distracted. The Lakers have been better lately. They just won at Houston and Atlanta, so I don't see why they couldn't hang this number.

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There's more money on the Clippers than any other team tonight, and I can't figure out why. Has anyone watched the Clippers play this year? There's a reason they are 1-8 against the spread. They also have to battle Miami tomorrow night, so they won't be fully focused. Meanwhile, the Magic have performed well lately, winning three of four. They have no distractions on the horizon, so they can fully concentrate on beating the Clippers tonight.

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The Clippers have covered just one game this year. That was against Phoenix after four days of rest when the Suns didn't have any. The Bulls, meanwhile, have been OK without Derrick Rose, and they don't have any tough games on the horizon, so they can fully concentrate on the Clippers tonight.

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There's so much money on a team that only beat the Sixers by one point. The Rockets are getting all of the action, but they've been sloppy ever since defeating the Spurs. The Thunder haven't been good either, but they haven't been as bad as their record indicates. They've only played four home games this season. In those contests, they've beaten the Nuggets and Kings, and they lost a close game to the Grizzlies. They did have a bad loss recently, but I like them to cover this contest.

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The Spurs don't give it their all in some games during the regular season because they know they have to pace themselves to thrive in the playoffs. This might be a night where they take it easy, given that they played yesterday. The Kings, meanwhile, are a pretty decent team that has blown big leads on the road. They could have more success at home, and I think they'll take this game more seriously than San Antonio. Also keep in mind that there's a high percentage of action on the Spurs.

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I normally don't like going with publicly backed teams with the Heat, but they seem like the right side tonight. The Hawks, as I mentioned, are overrated following their sweep of the Knicks. Miami won at Dallas recently, so it could easily upset Atlanta tonight.

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The Grizzlies have an impressive 7-1 record, but they haven't played very well lately. They've barely squeaked by awful teams like the Thunder and Lakers, and they also lost at Milwaukee. The Kings should be able to hang this number.

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This spread is too high. The Mavericks have not been playing good basketball lately, failing to cover three of their previous four. The Kings, meanwhile, are 5-2. They are coming off a loss, but they were battling a desperate Thunder team. Sacramento will perform better tonight.

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The public is on the Knicks. The sharps are taking the Hawks. I'm with the sharps. The Knicks are still overrated following their fluke victory over the Cavaliers; their only other victory this season has been against the Hornets by three in a non-cover. Atlanta is the better team, and isn't favored by enough.

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The Heat and the Timberwolves are two pretty average teams, so this spread seems like it's too high - especially with Miami having a big game against Dallas tomorrow. The Heat may not take this contest seriously.

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I feel like a square by taking the Cavaliers, but I think they're the right side tonight. Much is being made of their losing streak, but they've lost to a couple of decent teams in the Jazz and Blazers. The Nuggets are not a good squad; they even lost to the Thunder last weekend. The Cavaliers will be focused to get back on the winning track, so I think they'll get it done tonight.

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The Spurs don't give it their all in most of their regular-season games, which means that fading them can often be profitable. This spread is just too high; the Hawks are a solid team, and it seems like a victory would mean more to them than it would to San Antonio.

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This spread is ridiculous. Raptors by 12? They are not that good. Everyone is overreacting to Oklahoma City's loss yesterday, yet the Thunder has beaten the Nuggets and took the Clippers down to the wire without Russell Westbrook.

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The Clippers are not as good as everyone thinks they are. They barely beat the Kevin Durant- and Russell Westbrook-less Thunder and horrible Lakers, and then they lost to the Kings yesterday. The Jazz are closer to the Clippers than this spread indicates, yet the public continues to pound Los Angeles at a 70-percent clip.

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The Clippers are 2-0, but they've underachieved in both games, failing to cover their double-digit spreads. I don't see why they'd suddenly do it. The Kings aren't terrible, so they should be able to play close. I also have my eye on the Hornets today, but I want them at +4.

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Overreaction, much? The public has bet up the Bulls from -2.5 to -3.5 in the wake of Cleveland's loss to New York last night. We're getting some value with the Cavaliers, who were simply distracted. It was a bad loss, but the Knicks deserve credit for getting up for a game after being embarrassed. I think Cleveland bounces back tonight.

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Not a good start to the season, but hopefully I can rebound tonight. This spread is an overreaction to Oklahoma City's loss last night, as the public bet up the Clippers from -9.5 to -13. There's been sharp action on Oklahoma City +13. Don't be concerned about a revenge spot; I doubt the Clippers view this as an opportunity to make for their playoff loss because Kevin Durant won't be on the court.

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I can't believe the NBA is back already. I figured I'd start on time this year. The Lakers look like the right side in this matchup; this definitely seems like a "no one believes in us" type of dynamic. Kobe Bryant has spent the entire offseason hearing about how he's a waste of money right now. I think he and his team come out strong with a victory here, though the Lakers will ultimately fade away into oblivion by January or February.

It's also worth noting that Vegas has a liability on this game, as there is more action on the Rockets tonight than any of the six NBA sides.

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