Hope you have the DRF for last Saturday, Stephen Foster day, if so this will make more sense.

First acknowledge, that some horses are deep closers and prefer turf. Then, for now, accept this premise; when the race is on the hedge (deep) closers enjoy a faster pace and do not lose as much ground around the turns. Accordingly, when the rail is out, the pace is slower (horses run slower around turns). This leaves the closers with a tough challenge; close into a slow pace, while losing ground. Basic enough.

The Regret was contested Saturday and we will spotlight 3yo filly NOTTAWASAGA. She is a 700K yearling in good hands.

Sept. Woodbine. Huge come from behind try giving up big weight with the rail way out. She had to give both fillies that beat her ten pounds each (apprentices) and rallied stoutly with the rail out but hung and probably bled. Future SW with any luck and a filly to watch. Surely, when she gets the hedge she wins!!

March Two nice works 3/20 and 3/27. Then a modest 3/8's April 4 at Keeneland.

April 7th 1X Rail out. No rally.

April 23rd 1X Hedge Tons best getting us a juicy win price and hitting a four digit pick 4.

In conclusion, most are not this textbook, but the tenet works both ways. Anotherwords a speed horse that has been on the hedge, then gets the rail can be double tough. The midwest AP, CD, FG, Kee, etc is a goldmine for this angle. Hope this helps, if not I can go into much more depth. BBB

I dont understand why the pace would be faster because the turns are tighter. A 1/4 or 1/2 mile is still a 1/4 or 1/2 mile no matter where the rail is placed. Please explain the logic behind the pace argument.

Wheres Bellsbendboy? Yesterday the turf rail was moved to 10 feet inside lane one. I believe that might be the farthest it can be moved in. According to Bells theory, closers should be rolling home. Instead speed is holding well. Whats going on Bellsbendboy?