The Navy has the low pressure in the Bay of Campeche designated 97L, and the NHC has issued a special tropical outlook, upping the system from 10% to 50% chance of development.

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1. UPDATED...THE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR DATA FROMMEXICO SHOW THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILESEAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. WHILE THERE IS LIMITED OPPORTUNITY FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING ATROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE MOVING INLAND LATER TODAY. REGARDLESSOF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO THESOUTHWESTERN GULF COAST OF MEXICO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT15 TO 20 MPH.

SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED FOR THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE BAY OFCAMPECHE.

UPDATED...THE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR DATA FROMMEXICO SHOW THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILESEAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. WHILE THERE IS LIMITED OPPORTUNITY FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING ATROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE MOVING INLAND LATER TODAY. REGARDLESSOF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO THESOUTHWESTERN GULF COAST OF MEXICO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.

An area of thunderstorms that have formed in the past 12 hours in the Bay of Campeche are showing signs of development. A Polar Orbiting Satellite image taken around 8AM EDT shows thunderstorms are starting to curve around a common center near 19.5 north, 95.5 west. The whole feature is moving west at 15 mph and the center of this feature is roughly 50 miles from the Mexican coast east of Vera Cruz, Mexico. This feature is going to move inland in about 2-4 hours. Before that there is some chance this could be classified as a depression or weak storm. Surface observations show a counter clockwise wind flow in this general area. But no observations show low enough pressure or strong enough wind to declare this an organized tropical system. Visible satellite images suggest this feature has a very small area of low pressure that won't show up on the sparse surface data until the feature moves onshore early this afternoon.