>Subject: Re: Conditional Probability Question>From: Virgil vmhjr2@home.com >Date: 9/29/01 5:24 PM Central Daylight Time>Message-id: <vmhjr2-B18A42.16335629092001@news1.denver1.co.home.com>>>In article <9p5cca$gshuu$1@ID-99058.news.dfncis.de>,> "David Lloyd-Jones" <davidlj@sympatico.ca> wrote:>>> "Mensanator" <mensanator@aol.com> wrote>> >>> > Are you aware of the basic fact that the sum of probabilities must be 1?>> >>> >> Mensanot,>> >> The sum of probabilities for simultaneously and exhaustively possible>events>> must sum to one.>> >> At each stage of the investigation of the parts, bad and good is an>> exhaustive list of the possibilities. The chance of part i being bad is>> 1/(101-i). The chance of the part being good is {1-[1/(101-i)]} , for>> a total of 1.>> >> Why don't you trot off and help Harris with his FLT proof?>> >> -dlj.>> >Are you 2 aware that you are both beating the same dead horse?

Yeah, but since he called me stupid and dopey, I insist on having the lastword.

But you are right, there is no point in pursuing this argument any further.