Wednesday, October 14, 2015

bam diggity (and week 6 picks)

Hillary looks like she might ruin EP's life for the next year or so. His head my literally explode.

Baseball playoffs have been fun. I've really enjoyed the cubs and the astros.

Picks have been good the last two weeks, i was 8-4-2 last week, EP was 7-4-2, bringing the total for me to 37-22-2 (i'm so money and i don't even know it), and EP up to 31-24-2. Fucking ties. Stupid pushes, who sets a line without a half point anyway. Vegas sucks, so does Reno, and laughlin.

Here are my unbelievables:
unbelievable that Todd Gurley is the second coming of AD. If the Rams had a QB they'd be good.

unbelievable that I keep picking the texans and they keep letting me down.

unbelievable that Cutler has led two straight last minute drives to win games (where are his gut wrenching interceptions???)

unbelievable that the Lions are the only winless team...wouldn't have been in my first 20 picks of teams to be winless after 5 games.

On to the picksFalcons -3.5 over Saints
Falcons just keep finding a way to win. Every game is tight, they've been behind in the 4th quarter of every game, and yet they're still undefeated. Team of destiny? probably not, eventually that evens itself out. But it was encouraging to see the Falcons win when Matty Ice had a bad game. Saints are garbage, their defense stinks, something is wrong with Brees, and they won't be able to keep it close. Falcons 38-21Broncos -4 over Browns
Browns offense hasn't been that bad really. McCown put up some crazy numbers last week. Well they have to play against a little better defense this week. Broncos offense has been awful. I can't describe how bad it's been, but kind of like the Falcons, the defense finds a way to make big plays and win in the end. Broncos luck will run out soon enough, but not against the hapless Browns. I don't like going east and playing an early game for the Broncos, and i'm probably jinxing them here, but I can't justify taking the browns. Broncos 17-10.

Redskins +7 over Jets
I just think that's too many points for the Jets. Jets are the better team, they'll harass Kirk Cousins into making mistakes for sure. I think the skins run the ball and play clock management game and keep it low scoring and close. Jets win in a skunk fest, 10-9.

Steelers +3 over Cardinals
Bruce Arians will have something special for the Steelers i'm sure. But early game again, traveling east. Steelers might have Ben back, doubtful, but maybe. I still think the cardinals are not that good on the road outside..so i'm taking the steelers here, 21-20 on a leveon bell fake field goal

Vikings -4 over Chiefs
Chiefs season ended when Jamaal Charles went down. Just pack it up and go home. Try and get the first overall pick and draft a QB, or even get a top 3 pick, there should be enough good QBs. I think you'll see a steady diet of AD this week for the Vikings. They are sneaky good on defense and should be able to handle the chiefs no problem. Vikings 24-10

Bengals -3.5 over Bills
I thought about this one a long time. But in the end Cincy is the better team. I wouldn't be surprised to see Buffalo win this game, they are awesome at home, but i'm riding this year's early season team of destiny (that's not named the patriots). Bengals are the scariest team in the AFC, even though I think the Bills get to Dalton a few times, much like the seahawks did. Bills won't have shady, they won't have Karlos, they may not have Tyrod, they probably won't have Sammy, who the heck do they have...because Percy Harvin can't be the answer. Bengals 21-7

Lions -2.5 over Bears
Another tough one. I think the Lions get it done this week though. Finally a winable game for them, and while Cutler has been good enough the last few weeks, eventually he'll come back down to earth. Bears defense just isn't good enough to keep the lions to 17 points that they'd need to win. Lions win the game 24-18

Jaguars (pick'em) over Texans
I'm not picking the Texans the rest of the year. Jags 28-24

Dolphins +1 over Titans
A winnable game for the Titans, but I think with a new coach the fins come out pissed and play their asses off. It's embarrassing to get your coach fired 4 games into a season. They have too much pride and talent. They'll get a boost for a few weeks, but it will be fools gold. Dolphins 28-21

Panthers +7 over Seahawks
The line just seems a little big. Seahawks probably win the game. Carolina just doesn't have enough on offense but a very stout defense. Seahawks haven't blown anyone out other than the Jimmy Clausen led Bears so I think it'll be closer than the 7 points. Beast Mode is back but so is CAM. I'll go with the seahawks to win and not cover 21-20.

Packers -11.5 over Chargers
Not sold on this Chargers team, and think the packers bounce back at home this week. A-Rodg can't be happy about the way he played. They'll get Eddie Lacy involved and cram it down the chargers throat. nothing about the chargers makes me think they can keep it close, and i usually don't give the double digit points in the NFL, but here's the exception. Packers 35-21.

49ers +1 over Ravens
Both of these are teams I keep taking when I shouldn't and they keep letting me down. I like the 49ers here, just because they are home dogs. No steve smith for the ravens, no bueno. 49ers win to quiet the critics for a week, 24-20.

Patriots -8 over Colts
I don't think you could make this line big enough. This is the epitome of the revenge tour. It could be 20 and i'd lay the points. Colts have been awful this year, and yet keep winning games somehow, pulling them out of their asses. I think LG Blunt* has a big game again this year, and Brady has this game over by halftime. I'm taking the Pats in a rout, 42-17.

Giants +4.5 over Eagles
This line boggles me. Eagles are favorites because they looked good against the saints? To heck with that. Giants have been solid all year, probably should be 4-1 other than Eli and Coughlin losing their minds that first week against Dallas. Eagles don't have anything worth a damn. Chip Kelly could be coaching in Texas or South Carolina or Southern Cal next year. He's probably already cleaning up his resume to circulate Giants win 24-20.

51 comments:

Trying to work a trade in my $$ league. Which RB would you refer for the rest of the season, Doug Martin or Arian Foster? I'm trying to unload Alshon Jeffery for one of those. Only thing that sucks with Martin is he is off this week so he'll sit for a week before I can use him.