BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE TIPS?

UNDER/OVER 2.5 GOALS TIPS?

What’s It All About?

If you’re not familiar with the basics of under/over goals betting then make sure you check out our quick guide (click here) before continuing. If you feel comfortable with the concept then read on…

It’s easy to understand why Under/Over 2.5 goals is a popular bet with football fans, as punters get decent odds for a modest level of risk.

In last season’s Premier League, 53% of games finished with over 2.5 goals scored, in the Bundesliga that figure was even higher at 56%. A typical £10 bet on an English Premier League match to finish over 2.5 goals is likely to be quoted at odds of ‘Evens’, in other words, you’ll win back roughly the same amount as you risk.

However, ‘Even Money Betting’ isn’t everyone’s idea of fun. If you’re looking for bigger returns, then the ‘over 4.5 goals’ might be the market for you.

Risk Vs Reward

Typically the odds on over 4.5 goals scored in a game will range from 4/1 all the way up to 9/1. Obviously, the bookies aren’t in the habit of throwing money away, so these big odds reflect the risk involved.

The truth is very few games end in over 4.5 goals or more. For example in the 2018/19 Premier League season only 14.47% of games ended in over 4.5 goals.

Nevertheless, some teams are more likely to be involved in high scoring games than others. Statistics from the 2018/19 season show very little difference between the top European Leagues in terms of the number of games which see over 4.5 goals scored, with the average being 13%.

However, big differences do appear at the individual team level. It’s worth noting that placing a wager on over 4.5 goals to be scored is one of the hardest bets to land, having said that it can also be one of the most profitable if you get your match selections right.

Each week we will feature our top tips for the games that we think will produce 4.5 goals or more. The selections will form a betting ‘double’ but feel free to back the selections individually or use our table to find teams who are regularly involved in big scoring games.

Teams To Watch

Barcelona FC – Often involved in games totalling over 4.5 goals

Under/Over 4.5 Goals Stats 2018/19

HOW TO USE THE STATS TABLE:
The table includes match data for 2018/19 season from the top European leagues: Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga 1&2 and French Liga 1.
If you want to bet in the OVER 4.5 goals market look for teams with higher percentage numbers ( 20% – 100% ).
If you're backing UNDER 4.5 goals then look for teams with lower percentage numbers ( 0% – 10% ).

League

Team

Pd

%

Eredivisie

Ajax

17/34

50%

Eredivisie

Willem II

14/34

41%

Eredivisie

Den Haag

13/34

38%

Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

13/34

38%

Eredivisie

Heerenveen

13/34

38%

Bundesliga

Dortmund

12/34

35%

Eredivisie

Excelsior

12/34

35%

Bundesliga

Leverkusen

11/34

32%

Eredivisie

Heracles

11/36

31%

Bundesliga

Augsburg

10/34

29%

Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

10/34

29%

Eredivisie

FC Emmen

10/34

29%

Eredivisie

Graafschap

10/34

29%

Eredivisie

VVV

10/34

29%

Eredivisie

Vitesse

10/36

28%

Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

9/34

27%

Bundesliga 2

FC Koln

9/34

27%

Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

9/34

27%

Bundesliga 2

Paderborn

9/34

27%

Ligue 1

Paris SG

10/37

27%

Eredivisie

Zwolle

9/34

27%

Eredivisie

Utrecht

9/36

25%

Premier League

Arsenal

9/38

24%

La Liga

Barcelona

9/38

24%

Premier League

Cardiff

9/38

24%

La Liga

Celta

9/38

24%

Eredivisie

Feyenoord

8/34

24%

Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

8/34

24%

Serie A

Sampdoria

9/37

24%

Serie A

Atalanta

8/37

22%

Serie A

Empoli

8/37

22%

Bundesliga 2

Bochum

7/34

21%

Premier League

Bournemouth

8/38

21%

Bundesliga 2

Duisburg

7/34

21%

Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

7/34

21%

Bundesliga

Freiburg

7/34

21%

Premier League

Fulham

8/38

21%

Bundesliga 2

Heidenheim

7/34

21%

Bundesliga

Hertha

7/34

21%

Bundesliga

Mainz

7/34

21%

Eredivisie

NAC

7/34

21%

Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

7/34

21%

La Liga

Real Madrid

8/38

21%

La Liga

Sevilla

8/38

21%

Ligue 1

Nantes

7/37

19%

Serie A

Parma

7/37

19%

Serie A

Roma

7/37

19%

Premier League

Crystal Palace

7/38

18%

Bundesliga 2

Darmstadt

6/34

18%

Bundesliga 2

Greuther Furth

6/34

18%

Bundesliga

Hannover

6/34

18%

Bundesliga 2

Holstein Kiel

6/34

18%

La Liga

Levante

7/38

18%

Premier League

Liverpool

7/38

18%

Bundesliga 2

Magdeburg

6/34

18%

Premier League

Man City

7/38

18%

Bundesliga 2

Regensburg

6/34

18%

Bundesliga 2

St Pauli

6/34

18%

La Liga

Vallecano

7/38

18%

Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

6/34

18%

Eredivisie

Groningen

6/36

17%

Serie A

Bologna

6/37

16%

Serie A

Fiorentina

6/37

16%

Serie A

Frosinone

6/37

16%

Ligue 1

Lille

6/37

16%

Ligue 1

Lyon

6/37

16%

Premier League

Man United

6/38

16%

Serie A

Napoli

6/37

16%

Ligue 1

Nimes

6/37

16%

Serie A

Sassuolo

6/37

16%

Serie A

Torino

6/37

16%

Premier League

Watford

6/38

16%

Bundesliga

Ein Frankfurt

5/34

15%

Bundesliga

Stuttgart

5/34

15%

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

5/34

15%

Serie A

Inter

5/37

14%

Ligue 1

Marseille

5/37

14%

Serie A

Spal

5/37

14%

Ligue 1

St Etienne

5/37

14%

Ligue 1

Strasbourg

5/37

14%

La Liga

Betis

5/38

13%

Premier League

Burnley

5/38

13%

La Liga

Girona

5/38

13%

Premier League

Huddersfield

5/38

13%

Premier League

Southampton

5/38

13%

Bundesliga 2

Bielefeld

4/34

12%

Bundesliga 2

Erzgebirge Aue

4/34

12%

Bundesliga 2

Hamburg

4/34

12%

Bundesliga 2

Ingolstadt

4/34

12%

Bundesliga

Nurnberg

4/34

12%

Bundesliga

Schalke 04

4/34

12%

Ligue 1

Amiens

4/37

11%

Ligue 1

Angers

4/37

11%

Premier League

Brighton

4/38

11%

Premier League

Chelsea

4/38

11%

Serie A

Chievo

4/37

11%

Serie A

Genoa

4/37

11%

Ligue 1

Guingamp

4/37

11%

La Liga

Huesca

4/38

11%

Serie A

Lazio

4/37

11%

Premier League

Leicester

4/38

11%

Serie A

Milan

4/37

11%

Ligue 1

Montpellier

4/37

11%

Ligue 1

Reims

4/37

11%

Ligue 1

Rennes

4/37

11%

Premier League

Tottenham

4/38

11%

Serie A

Udinese

4/37

11%

La Liga

Valladolid

4/38

11%

La Liga

Villarreal

4/38

11%

Premier League

West Ham

4/38

11%

Bundesliga 2

Dresden

3/34

9%

Bundesliga

M'gladbach

3/34

9%

Bundesliga 2

Sandhausen

3/34

9%

Bundesliga 2

Union Berlin

3/34

9%

La Liga

Ath Bilbao

3/38

8%

La Liga

Ath Madrid

3/38

8%

Ligue 1

Bordeaux

3/37

8%

Premier League

Everton

3/38

8%

Serie A

Juventus

3/37

8%

Ligue 1

Monaco

3/37

8%

Premier League

Newcastle

3/38

8%

Ligue 1

Toulouse

3/37

8%

La Liga

Valencia

3/38

8%

Ligue 1

Caen

2/37

5%

La Liga

Eibar

2/38

5%

La Liga

Espanol

2/38

5%

La Liga

Leganes

2/38

5%

La Liga

Sociedad

2/38

5%

Premier League

Wolves

2/38

5%

La Liga

Alaves

1/38

3%

Ligue 1

Dijon

1/37

3%

Serie A

Cagliari

0/37

0%

La Liga

Getafe

0/38

0%

Ligue 1

Nice

0/37

0%

ADDITIONAL USER INFORMATION:
1. You can find a specific team quickly by typing the club name into the search box at the top righthand side of the table.
2. You can filter teams by League and Percentage % (click the table header marked LEAGUE or %).
3. Use the ‘Show' and ‘Next' tab to view more teams.
4. The first number in column marked PD (example:10/12) is the total number of games ending over 4.5 goals and the second number is total games played.

It will come as no surprise to find out that Barcelona FC enjoys the best over 4.5 goal stats in La Liga. Giant teams often thump weaker opposition home and away. In 2018/19 over 24% of Barcelona games ended with 4.5+ goals. Real Madrid was still scoring high but had one less big win and ended the season on 22%.

Punters will often place a bet on over 4.5 goals with Bayern Munich. The German giants are rightly perceived as the strongest side in the Bundesliga, thus logically they are more likely to record high-scoring wins. However, in the 2018/19 season, it was actually Dortmund that recorded the most wins with 4.5+ goals – 35% of their games.

If you want a solid Over 4.5+ goals market, check out the Dutch League. 50% of Ajax's games ended in over 4.5 goals in the 2018/19 season!

Where To Bet

Nearly all bookies will take bets on Under/Over markets. Whilst you’re unlikely to find a big difference in odds between the major bookmakers it’s still worth shopping around before placing your betting.

I use Betfair and Paddy Power for the majority of my football bets, their odds are usually competitive and both bookies offer a ‘cash out’ option. This option allows you to take a profit before the end of a game. New customers can also claim MATCHED FREE BET PROMOS when joining both bookies online.

Place 5 bets of £10 or more and get a £20 free bet. You can do this 5 times.

The 2019/2020 English Premier League will soon be underway and looks to be one of the greatest seasons in the history of the Premier League. With Euro 2020 on the way, we are all ready to get back into the new season. Keep your eyes peeled for our updated Premier League review section, packed full of Betting tips and Predictions.

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