Federer can profit from Wimbledon and the clay Masters the most. He suffered early exits in Monte-Carlo and Rome (I don't think he's even playing MC this year). He did the bare minimum of defending his SF at AO, but he needs to make up for a lot of lost ground. If he can get close, the fall events can push him over the top if he adds maybe one or two more.

Yeah, it wouldn't be a shock if Federer wins Indian Wells or Miami, the way he's playing on hardcourts since late last year.