As Europe and USA brace for more frigid weather, some are asking if this is what we need to expect to cope with in the future.

Now it’s clear that the recent “record warm” 2 years had little to do with CO2, and instead were almost entirely due to the well-known El-Nino phenomenon over the past two years.

And now that the recent El Nino has disappeared, temperatures globally are in a free fall and back at levels of the previous decade and indications show a further drop.

The ENSO now in cool phase

Unfortunately even that enhanced layer of CO2 we have in the atmosphere was not able to trap any of the recent heat. The 20-year pause remains pretty much intact, and will be extended as the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) hovers near the cooling La Nina territory.

Note that it will take the cooler equatorial Pacific surface temperatures a few months to make there way into the lower tropospheric satellite data. Don’t be surprised if this year we see a repeat of 1999.

According to global warming theory, the earth is supposed to warm some 2.0 to 4.5°C by 2100, which means 0.2 – 0.45°C per decade. So shouldn’t the recent El Nino have warmed the globe some 0.4 to 0.8°C more than 1998? Not even close, as the speedometer below shows! For hardcore warmists, it is increasingly becoming a huge challenge to explain the glaring lack of warming so far this century.

The IPCC climate models for the temperature development have been way too high with their estimation as the comparison of the model calculations to the real, observed development recorded by satellite for January 2001 to Juni 2016.

The Global Warming Speedometer for January 2001 to June 2016 shows observed warming on the HadCRUT4 and NCEI surface temperature datasets as below IPCC’s least prediction in 1990 and somewhat on the low side of its 1995 and 2001 predictions, while the satellite datasets show less warming than all IPCC predictions from 1990 to 2001. Later IPCC predictions are too recent to be reliably testable. Source: Is the Reuters “news” agency committing fraud?“

Solar activity is also now at a low point as the current cycle winds down. meanwhile a majority of scientists are confident the next cycle will also be a weak one. Periods of weak solar cycles are associated with periods of global cooling.

Trend over one solar cycle (sunspot number). Now we are ending solar cycle 24.International sunspot numbers.

Greenland on record ice mass rampage

And although Arctic temperatures have been well above normal this winter, Greenland’s surface ice mass continues at its rampage record level:

Top: The total daily contribution to the surface mass balance from the entire ice sheet (blue line, Gt/day). Bottom: The accumulated surface mass balance from September 1st to now (blue line, Gt) and the season 2011-12 (red) which had very high summer melt in Greenland. For comparison, the mean curve from the period 1990-2013 is shown (dark grey). Source: DMI.

Greenland ice mas is now some 100 gigatons (cubic km) above normal.

Intense cold across Europe and North America

Currently Europe is being gripped by an intense cold wave, one that has sent temperatures in Germany to as low as -27°C this morning.

One small correction. The current forecast is for the next solar cycle to be slightly stronger than this one has been though that is using an early forecasting mechanism that will need to be verified by additional means as we get farther along.

When wind comes to Greenland from the south [your ‘nullschool’ capture], more or less, it comes from over the Atlantic Ocean and carries more moisture than it would if it was a West or North wind.
When going up-slope over Greenland the air expands, cools, and water vapor changes to solid. Latent heat of fusion is released and air warms while snow forms.
Temperature along the wind path, that is the Arctic Region, goes up.

These are the same number in a system that purports to have an accuracy of 0.1ºC

TLT has been shown to be a near perfect match trend for the only untampered surface data in the world, USCRN over the USA, thus validating the use of over TTT which is not trend matched and has a spurious warming trend.

RSS4.0 is TTT, which is a warmist’s attempt to fudge the data.. It has been shown to have “issues” and doesn’t represent the near surface like TLT does.

UAH is the same. The difference is 0.02.. so well inside the stated error

2016 is NO WARMER than 1998.

December 2016 is the 5th warmest December in UAH

and the NINTH warmest December in RSS

After the El Nino transient, we have had the most rapid cooling in the whole satellite data period.

Artic news has all the info on what’s happining. Jet stream snaking crazy. 10 years left. And remember they are Geoengineering like crazy everywhere and u know what happens when the gov’s try to fix. It’s extinction plain and simple. Explain away but it’s happening and faster till the big methane burp then goodby.
Trees all dying here in n Wisconsin along with incect world from nano aluminum they spray. Good luck