Projecting the Need for Veterinary Medical Education in Texas

Transcription

1 Projecting the Need for Veterinary Medical Education in Texas A Report to the Texas Legislature January 2009 Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board

2 Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board A.W. Whit Riter III, CHAIR Fred W. Heldenfels IV, VICE CHAIR Elaine Mendoza, SECRETARY OF THE BOARD Charles E. Trey Lewis III, STUDENT MEMBER OF THE BOARD Laurie Bricker Joe B. Hinton Brenda Pejovich Lyn Bracewell Phillips Robert W. Shepard Robert V. Wingo Tyler Austin San Antonio Houston Houston Crawford Dallas Bastrop Harlingen El Paso Raymund A. Paredes, COMMISSIONER OF HIGHER EDUCATION Mission of the Coordinating Board The Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board s mission is to work with the Legislature, Governor, governing boards, higher education institutions and other entities to help Texas meet the goals of the state s higher education plan, Closing the Gaps by 2015, and thereby provide the people of Texas the widest access to higher education of the highest quality in the most efficient manner. Philosophy of the Coordinating Board The Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board will promote access to quality higher education across the state with the conviction that access without quality is mediocrity and that quality without access is unacceptable. The Board will be open, ethical, responsive, and committed to public service. The Board will approach its work with a sense of purpose and responsibility to the people of Texas and is committed to the best use of public monies. The Coordinating Board will engage in actions that add value to Texas and to higher education. The agency will avoid efforts that do not add value or that are duplicated by other entities. The Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, or disability in employment or the provision of services.

4 Executive Summary The goal of this report is to assess the current state of veterinary medical education in Texas and project the need for resources in the near future. The methodology for this study is outlined in the Methodology for Projecting the Need for Professional Education in Texas included as Appendix A-1. Also, this study draws upon a variety of national, state, and institutional sources for data. Information has been selected and compiled by Coordinating Board staff, and the entire report has been reviewed by independent consultants who are professionals in the field. Key Findings Student Opportunity Beginning in the fall of 2004, there has been a steady increase in applicants to U.S. veterinary schools. Applicants to the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine rose over 19 percent from 2004 to 2007, but have decreased over 15 percent by In 2003, the TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine increased its capacity, and enrollments have remained constant ever since. The TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine accepts very few out-of-state students. Minority populations are poorly represented in veterinary schools nationwide and in Texas. The percentages fluctuate between 0 and 9 percent, and African Americans and Hispanics are the most seriously under-represented groups. Since spring 1998, the percent of women earning veterinary degrees in U.S. veterinary schools and at the TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine has steadily increased. Veterinary medicine has recently become one of the few science-oriented fields where women are sustaining a significant majority nationwide. There are almost three times as many applicants as there are available seats at the TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine, and it has sustained a very high acceptance rate. As the Texas population grows and graduation rates remain steady, competition for admission is increasing while student opportunity to attend veterinary school in Texas is declining. Resident tuition and fees at the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine are below the average resident tuition and fees for veterinary schools in the 10 most populous states. Animal Information Texas has more head of cattle than any other state in the country, and most of these cattle are concentrated in the High Plains, South Texas, and Central Texas regions. Texas also has almost three times as many horses than any of the other nine most populous states. i

5 Workforce Texas is ninth among the 10 most populous states in the number of actively practicing veterinarians per 100,000 of the population. Among all of the states and the District of Columbia, Texas ranks 45th in the number of active veterinarians per 100,000 of the population. Texas has more food and fiber animals than any other state, and Texas is last among the 10 most populous states in veterinarians per 1 million head. There are more small animal veterinarians than food and fiber, research, and equine veterinarians combined in every region of the state. Conclusions No new veterinary school is recommended at this time. Texas is meeting the current demand for small-animal veterinarians (the area of highest growth), supplemented by the importation of almost one-third of its veterinary workforce from other states. Enrollment could be expanded at the TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine. Increased enrollment would relieve pressure on the demand for new veterinarians as the Texas population is projected to expand, and if targeted appropriately, may help to send more badly needed food and fiber animal veterinarians to rural areas. Texas cattle ranchers are being constrained by a serious shortage of food and fiber veterinarians. There are limitations to what higher education can do to address the problem, since salary differences among specialists in the workplace often end up determining the patterns of veterinary practice. The College of Veterinary Medicine should be offered the resources necessary to continue and expand their efforts to promote food and fiber animal practice, particularly to non-corporate clients in rural areas. One such effort would be a forgivable loan of up to $25,000 a year payable to students who do large-animal practice in a rural community, which could serve the dual purpose of attracting candidates from under-represented populations who may not otherwise be able to afford veterinary school. Recruiting students from under-represented populations should remain a top priority for the TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine, although it should be recognized that the pool of applicants in Texas and across the nation is very small. Increased funding for the TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine should begin with the baseline of the Coordinating Board s recommended level of formula funding for Increased support from the state should come with the recognition that the TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine has kept its tuition as affordable as possible, over $7000 less than the average veterinary school tuition in the 10 most populous states. ii

8 Introduction To address planning for education needs related to specific disciplines, the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board (Coordinating Board) adopted a Methodology for Projecting the Need for Professional Education in Texas in April Several subsequent Coordinating Boardadopted reports based on that methodology presented analyses of future need for professional education in medicine, law, pharmacy, and veterinary medicine based on two factors: the need for professional services and the opportunity for students to enter selected professions. The full text of the 2002 Methodology is included as Appendix A-1. This 2009 report presents an update to the Projecting the Need for Veterinary Medical Education in Texas. New information, examples, and perspectives based on demographic and educational changes since 2002 are presented in the body of this report. Additional information and data are available in the appendices. Issues and questions parallel to those for other professions arise in this study: Does the state need more veterinarians? If so, why, what kind, and where? Is there appropriate opportunity for Texas baccalaureate graduates to attend veterinary school, now and in the foreseeable future? If the state decides to educate more veterinarians, how should this best be done? Do residents of all ethnicities, genders, and regions of the state have opportunities to attend veterinary school? Additional questions and challenges arise that are specific to veterinary education and services. For example, estimating the number of veterinarians that Texas will need to serve its increasing population is especially difficult because of a lack of a recommended governmental or professional standard for the desired ratio of veterinarians per human or animal population. Also, the total number of veterinarians in the state may not necessarily be an accurate indicator of total veterinary service: there may be an ample supply of small-animal veterinarians in urban areas, and a severe shortage of food-and-fiber veterinarians in rural areas. While this report includes various cross-state comparisons, these measures alone may not be sufficient to determine optimal or minimal need for veterinary services in the state. The Coordinating Board offers recommendations with the acknowledgement that any decision about the expansion of the existing veterinary school at Texas A&M University, or the creation of a new veterinary school, should be made through an analysis of projected demand for student opportunity and demand for services. Acknowledgements The Coordinating Board would like to thank several individuals for their assistance with this study. Outside consultants Dean Joan C. Hendricks of the School of Veterinary Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania; and David Granstrom, Director of the Education and Research division of the American Veterinary Medical Association provided critical insights and revisions on this report. Richard Adams, Dean of the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine, was highly generous with his time and expertise. Diana Fagen, the librarian of the American Veterinary Medical Association, went to great lengths to provide comprehensive job 1

9 opportunity data. Ina Franz, of the Texas Board of Veterinary Medical Examiners, was consistently prompt and helpful with a steady stream of inquiries. Finally, the Coordinating Board owes a special debt to our research associates Mahyar Entezari, Elizabeth Mayer, and especially Freddie Obregón. 2

10 Student Opportunity Institutional and Student Data Schools Texas has one public college of veterinary medicine, the same as most states with veterinary schools. Only California and Alabama have two. Veterinary School Locations in the U.S. 3

11 Student Data Applicants From fall 2000 to fall 2002, there was a substantial decrease in the number of U.S. applications to U.S. veterinary schools, but beginning in the fall of 2004, there has been a steady increase. Applicants to U.S. Veterinary Schools 8,000 7,000 6,630 6,783 6,695 6,000 5,740 5,920 5,000 5,200 4,453 4,449 4,453 4,581 5,194 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, Source: Association of American Veterinary Medical Colleges. 4

12 Applicants to the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine dropped 12 percent from 2003 to 2004, but rose over 19 percent from 2004 to However, from 2007 to 2008, applicants decreased over 15 percent. Applicants to the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine (Fall Fall 2008) Source: TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine. Application numbers are only given since 2003, since the figures before that time are inflated and misleading. In 2000, the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine withdrew from the Veterinary Medical College Application Service administered by the American Association of Veterinary Medical Colleges (AAVMC). This service made it easy for students to apply to more than one school at the same time for an extra $20, and the average number of applications was 4.5 per candidate. As a result, there is heavy duplication in the number of applications received by schools while they subscribe to the service. In 2000, the TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine concluded that it would be more cost effective for students and the university to use the online application service already established by the Texas A&M Health Science Center. Several other schools dropped out of the VMCAS system around the same time, partially accounting for the drop in application numbers nationwide. 5

14 In 2003, the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine increased its capacity, and enrollments have remained constant ever since. First - Year Entering Enrollment to the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine Source: TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine. 7

16 Graduates The 4 percent attrition rate at the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine is relatively low, and the number of graduates has been steady during the last 10 years without any substantial cumulative increase or decrease. The Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine Graduates Source: TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine. 9

17 Minority populations are poorly represented in veterinary schools nationwide and in Texas. The percentages fluctuate between 0 and 9 percent, but the Asian/Other population is the only one that has made cumulative gains over the last 10 years. African Americans are the most seriously under-represented group. The Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine does not keep data on the ethnic breakdown of its applicants. There is data that divides all applicants into white and combined minority categories, with students self-identifying their ethnicity and 1-7 percent declining to answer. Based upon available data, the TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine accepts and graduates approximately half the number of combined minority applicants who apply. Over the last two years, combined minority applicants have peaked at percent. 30% The Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine Graduates by Ethnicity 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 6% 1% 5% 4% 0% 0% African American Hispanic Asian/Other* Source: TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine. *"Other" includes Native American, International, and Unknown. 10

18 The Hispanic and African American populations are significantly under-represented among the graduates of U.S. veterinary schools and at the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine. 100% Comparison of U.S. Population and U.S. Veterinary School Graduates by Ethnicity (2006) 90% 91.00% 80% 70% 69.90% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 11.54% 5.85% 12.71% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% White African American Hispanic Asian/Other* U.S. Population (2006) Veterinary Degrees Conferred ( ) Sources: U.S. Population: U.S. Census Bureau. Veterinary Degrees Conferred: National Center for Education Statistics. *"Other" includes Native American, International, and Unknown. 100% Comparison of the Texas Population and the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine Graduates by Ethnicity (2006) 90% 90.40% 80% 70% 60% 50% 48.19% 40% 36.10% 30% 20% 10% 0% 11.69% 5.60% 4.02% 4.00% 0.00% White African American Hispanic Asian/Other* TX Population (2006) The Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine Graduates (2006) Sources: Texas Population: Texas Department of State Health Services. Graduates: TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine. *"Other" includes Native American, International, and Unknown. 11

20 Educational Pipeline Admission to the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine is highly competitive, and almost all entering students graduate. Based upon a 10-year ( ) average attrition rate of 4 percent, 96 percent of the class of 2012 at the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine is expected to graduate. Educational Pipeline to Obtaining a Veterinary Degree in Texas ( ) Applicants Offers of Admission First - Year Entering Enrollment Estimated Graduates in 2012 Sources: Applicants, Offers of Admission, and First-Year Entering Enrollment: TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine. Estimated Graduating Students 2012: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board. Note: Degree estimate is based upon an attrition rate of 4 percent, which is the current average attrition for Texas veterinary students. 13

21 Applications to the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine went down when the institution transitioned away from the AVMA multiple-application system in Applications for the most recent year are down for the first time since 2004, but there are still almost three times as many applicants as there are available seats. The Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine has sustained a very high acceptance rate. 800 Applicants, Offers, and First-Year Entering Enrollment to the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine ( ) Total Applicants Total Offers Total First - Year Entering Enrollment Source: TAMU College. of Veterinary Medicine. 14

22 Tuition and Fees Resident tuition and fees at the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine are below the average resident tuition and fees for veterinary schools in the 10 most populous states. Average Veterinary School Tuition and Fees in the 10 Most Populous States ( ) $35,000 $30,000 $31,287 $32,902 $25,000 $25,100 $23,832 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $16,775 $13,222 $21,392 $20,510 $10,649 $13,742 $20,941 $5,000 $0 Source: TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine. *Average is for the 10 most populous states. 15

24 The opportunity for Texas residents to attend the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine is measured by calculating the ratio of the number of veterinary medicine school seats available in Texas to the total number of bachelor s degrees awarded in the state. Competition for admission is rising while student opportunity to attend veterinary school in Texas is declining. 2.5 First - Year Entering Veterinary School Slots in Texas per 1,000 Baccalaureate Degrees * 2015* Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board. *Projected data. 17

26 Texas has almost three times as many horses as the other nine most populous states. Perhaps surprisingly, many of the state s horses are in the regions of Texas with large urban centers. Horse Population in the 10 Most Populous States (2002)* 450, , , , , , , , ,000 50, ,951 99,911 74,008 59, ,949 75,270 64, , ,400 0 Source: U.S. Census of Agriculture. *More recent data were unavailable. Horse Population by Texas Region (2002)* 80,000 70,000 72,742 60,000 59,294 59,351 50,000 50,649 40,000 36,836 30,000 26,859 26,890 20,000 10,000 18,322 15,234 6,164 0 Source: 2002 U.S. Census of Agriculture. *More recent data were unavailable. 19

27 Texas has more head of cattle than any of the other nine most populous states, and more than any other state in the country. ( Food and fiber animals are those used for commercial, rather than companion, purposes. It excludes horses. For a full definition of the term, see Appendix A- 4.) Food and Fiber Animals in the 10 Most Populous States (2007) 20,000,000 18,000,000 17,225,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 11,134,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 6,339,000 5,682,500 2,931,000 5,427,210 4,000,000 2,000,000 1,805,100 1,499,000 1,636,500 2,210,100 3,290,900 0 Cattle Hogs and Pigs Sheep Goats Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture - National Agricultural Statistics Services. *Numbers of sheep for Florida and Georgia were unavailable. 20

29 Workforce Veterinarians in Practice Texas is ninth among the 10 most populous states in the number of actively practicing veterinarians per 100,000 of the population. Among all of the states and the District of Columbia, Texas ranks 45th in the number of active veterinarians per 100,000 of the population (see Appendix A-5). Veterinarians per 100,000 Population in the 10 Most Populous States (2007) Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, and States' veterinary boards. Texas Population: Texas State Demographer. Average: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board. *Average is for the 10 most populous states. 22

30 The Texas Workforce Commission projects that the demand for veterinarians will increase by 18 percent to Nationwide, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the demand is projected to increase at almost double that rate. There may be an even greater future need for veterinarians than indicated below, since the projections do not adjust for the baby boomers who are expected to retire over the coming decade. In 2007, Texas imported 1,668 veterinarians from other states. It may prove difficult to maintain this level of imported veterinarians if current trends continue, as only one new veterinary school has opened in the United States over the last 25 years. Enrollment at the TAMU College of Veterinary Medicine is currently at full capacity Comparison of Projected New and Replacement Positions to the Number of TAMU Veterinary Graduates Projected New and Replacement Positions TAMU Veterinary Graduates Sources: TAMU Graduates: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board. New Positions: Texas Workforce Commission and Texas Veterinary Medical Association. Ratio of Veterinarians to Texas Population Year Ratio : : : : : : : 4783 Sources: Population: Texas State Demographer. Graduates ( ): Institution. Veterinarians: Texas Department of State Health Services. Graduates and Veterinarians ( ): Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board. 23

31 Texas has more food and fiber animals than any other state, and Texas is last among the 10 most populous states in veterinarians per 1 million head. Texas has 11 times fewer veterinarians per 1 million food and fiber animals than Florida, the state with the highest ratio. 4,000 Veterinarians per 1,000,000 Food and Fiber Animals in the 10 Most Populous States (2007) 3,500 3,000 3,420 3,144 2,500 2,177 2,000 1,500 1, , , ,064 1, Sources: Food and Fiber Animals: U.S. Department of Agriculture- National Agricultural Statistics Services. Veterinarians: States' Veterinary Boards. *Numbers of sheep for Florida and Georgia were unavailable. 24

32 There are wide disparities in the distribution of veterinarians across Texas. The Upper East Texas region has the highest number of veterinarians per 100,000 in the state (42), while the Upper Rio Grande region has the lowest (4). The Central Texas region includes College Station, home to the many licensed veterinarians associated with the Texas A&M University College of Veterinary Medicine. Veterinarians per 100,000 Population by Texas Region (2007) Sources: Populations: Texas State Demographer. Veterinarians: Texas State Board of Veterinary Medical Examiners. 25

33 Texas has more male than female veterinarians than the national average. Demographics are likely to change in the coming decade, however, as the baby-boomer generation retires and is replaced by members of the majority-female graduating classes of American and Texas veterinary schools. Veterinarians in the U.S. by Gender (2007) Male 48% Female 52% Source: American Veterinary Medical Association. Veterinarians in Texas by Gender (2007) Female 35% Male 65% Source: Texas Veterinary Medical Association. 26

34 There are more small animal veterinarians than food and fiber, research, and equine veterinarians combined in every region of the state. Most large animals are cared for by mixed practice veterinarians, not those who identify food and fiber or equine animals as their primary specialty. Region Veterinarians by Specialty by Texas Region (2008)* Small Animal Food and Fiber Research Equine Mixed Practice High Plains Northwest Metroplex Upper East Texas Southeast Texas Gulf Coast Central Texas South Texas West Texas Upper Rio Grande Total *Self-reported data; duplication is likely, as a single veterinarian can report multiple specialties. See Appendix A-4 for a further breakdown of sub-specialties used to generate this table. Source: Texas State Board of Veterinary Medical Examiners. 27

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