If the four-sided meeting in Geneva will take place at all, then let me make a little prediction about the results.

No tensions will ease. Why?

To ease tensions the Russian side should have an intension to ease tensions.

Russias plan is to escalate tensions under the mask till the outbreak of killing people and then taking in the army.

Have you ever played the famous computer game Civilization? If you have then you know how the situation looks for mr. Putin and his comrades. Why should someone who is planning to invade new countries stop right now when the plan is just half-way.

The real fighting as a reason to bring in real army is just going to happen. It is the sweetest and most exciting point for Russian leaders. The few hundred people who are going to be killed, it does not matter, its a tiny thing.

Russia is pushing Ukraine to the civil war. Then the army will enter and occupy the eastern Ukraine.

What do you think what have the 40000 troops been doing near the Ukrainian border.

West should stop playing a fool and should start acting strongly. Russia cares only about raw force.

Every diplomacy is a sign of weakness for Russia. Putin has been lying now for a long time. Everybody knows it but nobody really responds to these lies. Words do not protect from Russian military. He sees clearly that that type of war (based on lies and masked militants) works. And he needs the war equipment for further missions. So it is better to get as much as possible with losing as little as possible. That is simple.

Now the question is – If Ukraine is once lost, what is left of Europe and NATO morally? How can anybody trust such a big weak complicated and soft creature?

Who can stand for the values of West if West cant? Putin is only laughing at your face.

The method of Russia has always been making little countries and states quarrel with each other to weaken them and then take each country one by one. This is what would be a very bad scenario and would show the very weak character of Western block.

The chance would be to act together and stand all together as one man against the agression.

This russian man said, that what Ukrainians did during Maidan is a bravery and admirable decisiveness. Ukrainians had courage to say “No!” to a group of bandits exploiting people.

And inside Russians are jealous because of that and the government is very much afraid.

And these brotherhood nations who share very similar sufferings and history are now thorn apart and agains each other by Putin.

But in Russia these people, just normal people are beeng shown and accused as fascists, radicals and bandits. People in Russia believe (and they really do) that maidan people were constantly on drugs. Family members from Russia call to Ukraine and ask if people in Ukraine have food and shelter. And if Russians are surpressed and abused.

Why is this huge propagandistic net of lies necessary? Probably Putin might have a bigger plan in mind. Why to provoke the whole nation to anger?

Putin would not do it just for fun or even to just scare Europe and Ukraine.

I think everything is ready for an attack. The next step is arranging strong enough provocations in Ukraine. Killing a few pro-russians, bombing their centre or something like that. Russia would be most happy, if a bigger conflict would start.

In the circumstances described previously, Russia and Putin would not care about the promise to mr. Hagel that Russia will not invade.

Russia can use what ever cheap lies or tricks to fake whatever it takes to find a reason.

The Russian soldiers without insignia was one cheap trick, and a very transparent one. The “tourists” who are big, strong men crossing the borders in groups and going to Ukraine, are provocateurs, as the local people report.

When will West finally start understanding, that Russia never deep inside accepted any treaties or is trustworthy.