Good Monday and Happy New Year! We are wrapping up a wild year of weather on a very wintry note as we track our third winter storm in a week. This storm is going to bring another round of snow, mix and rain to the bluegrass state and figuring out where those lines set up will be the challenge of the day.

Today will be another day of nowcasting the system moving into the state as some areas will be walking the fine line between snow and the mix. Some quick thoughts:

– Western parts of the state may get in on a touch of light snow early today. That should then taper off a bit as we go through the afternoon.

– The radar today will have more bark than bite as it should show a lot of snow that’s not reaching the ground.

– A wave of low pressure develops to our south and works eastward to our south. Moisture will slowly increase later this evening and overnight and last into New Year’s Day.

– The NAM has a colder profile than the GFS, but the GFS is much wetter than the NAM. If you could get those two to combine, you would have a nice little snowstorm. Regardless… I think the GFS is a bit too wet and has too much of a warm layer aloft.

– Here is a rough outline of what I’m expecting to happen in terms of precipitation type…

– Areas that are mainly snow could pick up 1″- 3″. Any mixing of sleet or freezing rain where you live will cut down on those totals.

– As I said earlier, this will be another one to nowcast so I can see exactly how the temps today and tonight are playing out and then adjust accordingly.

– I expect moisture to linger into Tuesday night across southern and southeastern Kentucky and that should turn to mostly snow. That may be enough to put down some light accumulations in those areas.

3 storms in a week? Where have I been? I missed all 3 of them and the third one hasn’t arrived yet. (I just confused myself too…lol)
As I pointed out in previous snow call maps, Morgan County is always split and it is happening once again. So, again I will predict light dry snow and no accumulation in my garage. Morgan County heads back to school on Wednesday, Jan. 2nd and based in Chris’ thoughts, I would advise those kids to hit the bed early Tuesday night.

Not looking good a little further down the road…Gulf of alaska looks to be a mess so no +pna….Nao looks to go slightly postive also …Hopefully this pattern won’t stay around too long…Still should have some hit and miss of cold air so you never know..

BTW, I used to listen to this double album a LOT when we got snowed in back in 77/78. All the electronics we had then was our music and about seven TV channels. We were out of school for almost a month in Floyd and Johnson county.

one of my buddies got in a fight with a marine in floyd co.around that time at a hamburger joint named Scottys..Remember you saying you were in the marines….Needless to say my buddy got his rear end kicked good….Always thought scottys had the best hamburgers there ever was…

Usually when he says that the is wanting a local NWS office to issue some kind of advisory based upon impact rather than specific criteria. My guess he doesn’t think LMK and JKL have advisories far enough south for tonight. But that is a total guess.

Think he means the NWS should issue weather advisories based on travel impact, not necessarily expected amounts of precip. It’s New Year’s Eve so lots of people on streets = more possible slide offs, wrecks even with minor amounts of ice.

Yep, remember how a few days ago I was talking about the AO index going strongly positive in January? We’re already seeing that being reflected in the GFS runs from today…January looks very quiet over at least the first couple of weeks. Better get some snow tonight because it may be a long stretch of boring weather around here after tomorrow.

Some of you people KILL me… All you do is complain, complain, complain. You all need a hobby or 2… Sheesh.

Once again, Mr. Bailey, THANK YOU for all you do. Rather it snows or ices, or just rains, I am happy to have been thoroughly informed via your blog. Keep on doing what your doing because some of us really do appreciate it.

I disagree!! I love getting on here to read the friendly bickering and amateur forecasting! (Not CB of course). If you don’t like the comments then stick with the main page. But thanks for stopping by and making me giggle! 😉

I agree with you 110%. I like reading the comments, but there are a few people who spew nothing but negativity. They post so much it makes it hard to read. I’m not sure if they need a hobby, or to visit their doctor about getting on some antidepressants.

Saying “Ahh man, we didn’t get any snow this go around”… Heck, even “*&$%, I want some snow!!”… but the whole thing that it could literally be snowing outside and some people on here are so negative, they would still say “Nope, not going to snow, DOME rules, blah blah blah.” That is what makes me say what I say. Pure rudeness and negative attitude.

I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that if KY could cut back slightly on the meth production, the “Dome” might diminish ever so slightly.

PS – I don’t doubt the dome. I would love a snow “a-hole deep”, as my dad always used to say, but I know when to complain and whine like a little kid and when not to. Chris works very hard and I just feel like so many on here don’t respect/appreciate what all he does and if they do, they have a funny way of showing it. Maybe I am wrong on that, but my guess is that I am not completely alone in thinking this.

1 inch or less in the forecast for Frankfort, seems a stretch calling this a winter storm, but this is New Year’s Eve and the people will be more impaired than the weather 😉 be safe folks and Happy new year blogger buddies!

This storm isn’t going to be anything much, but what depresses me most is the quiet extended forecast. Yawn boring! Hopefully it won’t last. This blog will be quite the next week or so (relatively speaking)

On the positive side, this is the coldest by far for the last five New Years Eves. It is usually on the warm side, but mid 30s at the moment. About 20 degrees cooler than several of the last NYEs. Some were so warm there were wiggly swarms earth worms wiggling around. Really.

40 atm in Berea but feels like 60. I’m in shorts and firing up the grill. How do you want your burgers? Drink-wise, I’ve got plenty of margarita mix but I’ve been out of wintry mix for weeks now, sorry.