ENSO

El Niño set to have a devastating impact on Southern Africa’s harvests and food security; Forecasts suggest a scenario of extensive, regional-scale crop failure

Joint statement by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET), the European Commission's Joint Research Centre (JRC) and the World Food Programme (WFP).

Based on the latest models, the chance of an El Niño developing during the current December-February season is over 80%, up slightly from last month. These odds for the current season are also higher than those issued by the NOAA Climate Prediction Center/IRI forecast on December 4.