April 22 is here–Earth Day, and Scorched Earth Day in Pennsylvania. Only fools predict political outcomesÂ this year. I qualify. So here’s what’s going to happen.

Hillary will probably win the primary. If she wins by any more than two percent, she will trumpet her triumph as a come-from-behind victory, even though she started with a 20 point lead and would lose altogether if Obama had a few more days to make nice speeches. (Hillary’s sole skill as an orator is to raise or lower the volume of her voice.)

If she wins by six or seven percentage points, she will claim aÂ landslide and maintain that her candidacy is still alive and well. It is not. She will say that the party still wants a competitive race. It does not. The party leaders are sick to death of her and her divisiveness and sloppy campaign management and her blaming of Obama for the divisiveness she herself initiated, and that he had to respond to in order toÂ proceed with his message.

This started as a very civil race. Hillary stopped all that, and she has consistently condemned Obama for doing things of which she herself is guilty. She played the race card and then whined about Obama’s meticulous, wide ranging speech addressing the issue. She whines about the rules in Michigan and Florida, set by her own party and agreed to by everyone, sobbing now that those voters will not be heard. As for the voters that have been heard, her campaign is trying to convince pledged delegates to change their votes to her, even though those voters chose Obama. And after setting a record for campaign whining, just days ago she told Obama to “quit whining.”

The big Clinton talking point Wednesday morning, whatever the vote, will be the advertising money. If Hillary wins, she will whine about having to do so even though Obama outspent her by a margin of at least three to one. If Obama pulls off an upset (this is possible), she will whine over the fact that Obama outspent her by a margin of at least three to one. If it is a near tie, she will call this a huge victory–and whine over the fact that Obama outspent her by a margin of at least three to one. I only wrote it three times here. You will hear it at least a half dozen times tomorrow.

In all three whining scenarios, she will not address the reason that Obama had more money to spend than she did. The reason is that Barack Obama, the “elitist” candidate, had such broad populist appeal that ordinary, non-elite people identified with him and supported him with countless small contributions over the internet. Hillary calls Obama a “copycat” (sounds like schoolyard carping), but her campaign is already trying to slap together a similar internet operation to raise cash, since her gang of fellow elitists and large contributors are already tapped out, either financially, motivationally, or legally.

You have to wonder what it will take for Hillary to read the political realities of electoral politics and the mood of the nation. How large a defeat in how many states, how much destruction to the Democratic party, how many lame excuses and “misstatements,” how many unpaid bills to ordinary people who shelled out their own resources and labor to set up her campaign events–are the party honchos going to have to strap her to a gurney and carry her off to a rehab center before she gets the picture?

Do the women of this country really want someone of this caliber, with exaggerated claims of “experience,” to represent their gender as the first woman president? If she miraculously muscles out a win and serves one term and blows it, how many skeptical men are going to use this as an excuse to say, “I told you a woman couldn’t handle the job”?

There are a number of highly qualified women, with real experience, with real character, with real judgment, even a few who have dodged real sniper fire, who would make fine presidents. I, and many men like me, are saying, “More power to them–and the sooner the better. We need to join the rest of the world and bring a woman’s perspective into the White House.” But not this woman. She will set back the cause of women for at least two election cycles if she brings her mismanagement, her lack of candor, her spin-mania, and her bottomless ego to the presidency.

Get ready for more whining and spinning late tonight and early Wednesday morning. It’s one of the few predictable certainties of this increasingly ridiculous campaign.

Bravo for the honesty of the words in this statement. If being a First Lady constitutes experience in the White House, then let’s open the campaign to other president’s wives. Hillary has experience in campaign lies, she speaks from both sides of her mouth (at the same time) and she calls Obama her rival. Well, Hillary and other democrats, wake up. McCain is the Democratic Rival, not Obama- There should be no stones thrown at a ‘rival’ of the same party- because you are only providing information to McCain on the dirt. And while you are slinging those arrows at each other, McCain is campaigning.

I find it refreshing that there is honesty from Obama. He says what we think. And by the way, Hillary, YES, when people are stressed, down and out, they are BITTER, and when people are BITTER, they turn to religion and guns. No matter what race a person is, no matter what nationality a person is, this is a truth that has been shown for centuries around the world. If that constitutes an ‘elitist’, then our history books must be the work of an ‘elitist’. And if Hillary does not know that bad conditions, high unemployment and low morale cause bitterness and despair, and when people are bitter and desperate they can become hateful and lean towards negative thinking, then I am scared that you have no background in history or experience at all.

Let’s get someone that is honest into the White House, Someone that can bring our country together, and bring our country into good graces with the rest of the world. Let’s get someone that truly represents the people of the United States. I am tired of being embarrassed by what our politicians do day after day- I want to go back to being proud that I am an American- and have global consensus that this means getting a new face and new thoughts into the white house.

This is not a monarchy- I believe that another 12 years of the Bush Family, and 8 years of the Clinton family are about all this country can take before we plummet to the ground. Move over and let someone with a promise, a vision, and honest talk take over and speak for us; someone the cares about people and the environment; someone that is honest enough to say what he means; someone that will re-unite our country. The only one that wants Hillary to win is McCain, because she will be easy to beat. I hope she will be smart enough to move over and let Barack Obama win this, or the democrats will loose this election.

There is a huge motivation among voters to elect a woman. We need more women to run. Senator Clinton, though, I find a terribly unappealing candidate.

Mark Mercer said,

in April 22nd, 2008 at 5:02 pm

Thank you, VB, Anna, and Jeff for your comments. There was a fourth comment posted less than an hour ago that is now floating around lost in cyberland somewhere. I can’t remember your username, but I did read and appreciate what you said, and I apologize for the mixup. –MM

kcm texas said,

in April 22nd, 2008 at 5:07 pm

This article is the most pro-Obama piece of garbage I have read yet…Obama is the whiner, the race card puller every chance he gets, the one with the questionable Associates, raving maniacical preacher he has clung to for 20 years…If a high priced suit, practiced oratory {with the same messages day after day},someone that when out of their arena cannot answer 4 little questions without their temper flaring..if this is what you see as strenght and want for President of our United States..then definately vote for Obama. Who is Obama??He has not even posted his Birth Certificate and transcripts for the American Public to view as have all other Presidents been required.. HRC is the one that will restore our economy and bring our SOLDIERS HOME…

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