Betting against Favourite Teams

Sports Betting Strategy of Ben

This is a betting strategy I tried out this autumn season with much success in Italian football.
It could be other championship too, like Spanish or German, but I
preferred the Italian one, because I can watch its matches regulary.
The strategy consists of looking up when the championships' strong
teams like Inter, Juventus, AC Milan, Roma have important
(and possibly decisive) matches in the CL, which are much more
important for them than their weekend matches with lower ranked
Italian teams, because they receive a lot of money if they get
a result or even one goal more in the CL, so they will fill
their B or even C team for the previous weekend's Italian match,
to rest their key players.

Based on this I place a medium sized bet (in a betting exchange,
where I can lay it back when needed) on their weaker opponent's
win before or at the beginning of the match, then wait to see
how things shape. As the weaker team players know they have a
chance to get something out of the match because the absence
of the big teams rested players, they will be more concentrated
than usual, and try to hold 0-0 and score the first goal from
counterattacks, which would bring their win's odds drastically
down, from 8-9 to 2-3, where I lay it back for caution, because
then the big team will certainly try to get a draw at least,
and would bring in more quality players. If I see that the weaker
team just can't score either for about 30 minutes, I lay them back
with a bit better odds, at about 6-7.

This strategy also works for cup-matches too, which are considered
by the big teams as less important and they use them to see how their B-team players perform.