Everton manager David Moyes (okay, scrap that bit about excitable) has spent the last few years of his tenure as the Premier League’s poor relation as Skint Bill Kenwright (I think that might catch on, what do you think?) takes his begging bowl round the world looking for investment in the Merseysiders.

Yet for a club with no money, big debts and poor long-term prospects, Everton have had their best January window in recent memory.

In shipping out Diniyar Bilyaletdinov and Louis Saha (oh Harry!) and bringing in Darron Gibson, Nikica Jelavic and Steven Pienaar (oh Harry!), Moyes has replaced deadwood with quality and even if it is a short-term effect, Everton have a bit of feel-good factor about them.

They face a Chelsea side at Goodison Park on Saturday for whom the feel-good factor has been an alien concept this year.

Manager Andre Villas-Boas is in so much trouble that Roman Abramovich has stalked the club’s Cobham training ground this week and told him failure to qualify for the Champions League will result in the sack – although I could have told him that – and it makes this tricky away trip of vital importance.

Bwin make Chelsea the favourites to win the match at 6/5, with the draw priced up at 11/5 and Everton quoted at outsiders at 23/10 and these odds show Chelsea’s decline – you must go back to the pre-Jose Mourinho era to find a time when Chelsea were not odds-on to win at Goodison Park.

Moyes’ boys have done most of their damage after the interval this season and the statistic is remarkable. An incredible 80% – 80%! – of Everton’s goals have come in the second half of games.

What makes it even more of a damning indictment is that this is as average an Everton team for a few years as well. Lack of investment has taken its toll and not even a great win over Manchester City can mask what has been a pretty poor season, especially at home.

The Blues have a 4-3-5 record at Goodison and have scored only 12 goals all season – by way of comparison, Everton lost only three games at home in all of 2010/11.

But having said that, they don’t concede many either – just 13 all year – so it makes for an interesting match. Chelsea have scored eight and conceded eight as they’ve won just two of their last six and all the stats point to a match of few goals.

I’m not sure it will turn out as dour as the prospects imply. Chelsea have failed to score in just three league games all year, while for all of Everton’s striking problems they have actually only failed to score in seven of their 24 games.

With Chelsea looking dodgy at the back – Manchester United could have scored a few more than the three they got on Sunday – and with injuries, new players to bed in and Sideshow Bob’s continued presence to contend with, Everton can keep up their record of a goal a game at home and I like the 9/5 that Everton score more in the second half than they do in the first.

Moyes’ boys have done most of their damage after the interval this season and the statistic is remarkable. An incredible 80% – 80%! – of Everton’s goals have come in the second half of games.

Chelsea have kept just six clean sheets all season and when you see that the average time of the first goal they concede in away games is the 46th minute, coupled with Everton’s first goal coming on average in the 55th minute, the 9/5 that Everton score more in the second half looks a good shout to me.

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