Severe Weather

3 snow systems in the next 9 days

Happy New Year.....By the look of the temperatures over the next couple of weeks, the CPC forecast of normal to above normal temps for January over 95% of the country for January may be a huge bust.Current indications are brutal cold by early next week to be followed by another blast of cold mid month.I have been saying all along that for early next week, if we have a snow cover, we are going well below zero. If there is no snow cover, the temperature will still drop to the single digits.

So...what about the snow..........

STORM #1
One to 2 inch amounts are likely from Louisville on north with some 3 inch amounts.

The snow will be lighter south of Louisville.

Advisories and warnings are in effect from Kansas to the east coast.DARK PURPLE: Winter Weather ADVISORYPINK: WInter Storm WARNINGRED: Blizzard WARNING... for Long Island, NYHere are some forecast amounts from various NWS offices.....Kansas City 2-4St. Louis 3-5Indianapolis 3-5Cincinnati 2-4Columbus, OH 2-4Cleveland 5-9Pittsburgh 3-5New York City 6-8Boston 8-14

As of 8:30 PM... 4 inches has fallen at Elkhart, IN.

Our heaviest burst of snow will be just after sunrise.With falling temperatures, roads will become somewhat icy while the snow is falling.
Because of the icy road possibility and falling temps, I will give this 3 slices on a scale of 1-10.

STORM #2Sunday......The models have shown this to be going north. However, As the trough coming in digs deeper, I think there is a chance the track goes further south.The NWS is going for mostly rain.I like Jared's call of rain to snow.If this goes all snow on Sunday.....accumulations would be at least in the 3-6 range. Again, that is if it is all snow. Any rain would lower that forecast.Right now here are the model calls.....ECMWF: mostly rainCANADIAN: Rain to a little snow.... 10 inches of snow 50 miles north of Louisville.GFS: about 4 inchesWe will watch for any signs of the storm track shifting south a bit. This would increase our chance for snow.

STORM #3This is about Thursday of next week.The GFS warms it up for rain, however, the models have been too warm with their forecasts a week out lately and it may be hard to scour out the low level cold air so we could be talking about an icing or snow situation.Stay tuned for further updates on a wild start to the new year.

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