Just to share some very interesting links on predictive modelling in politics (and overlapping areas with crowd-based research) from Jay Ulfelder’s excellent and well written blog „Dart-throwing Chimp„:

The above quote is from mark Galeotti’s blog „In Moscow’s Shadows“ and he refers to his recent lecture in London on „The Military Dimension of Russia’s Policy toward Ukraine: Should the West Be Worried?“

Of course, there is still an abundance of expert opinions on Russia, Ukraine, and the future of both and Crimea, but I especially like his expertise at the interface of politics and security and the way he is going to present his analyses. Have a look for Yourself!

And there is another related link: Recorded Future is going to re-polish a – at least for some observers – slightly tarnished reputation, as this well set-up prediction machine didn’t fare better than a great bunch of analysts who hadn’t expected the unfolding of the Crimean crisis, either.

Find here and here some interesting background pieces on tech giants and their links to surveillance and defense. Of course, not a problem per se, but something that might easily get problematic, if you publicly say one thing and do the other … .