Good Monday evening, everyone. Most of the snow we picked up on Sunday didn’t want to last long. Despite some afternoon clouds and a cold afternoon, we did have some sunshine and temperatures above freezing today to help get rid of most of the snow. Today has been a quiet day as we watch how our next system unfold as we roll into Tuesday. The radar below may look quiet in our area, but some spots in southwestern Missouri could see some freezing drizzle through the early evening hours…

Beyond a quick window of freezing drizzle, it will be quiet and cold for the rest of the night ahead of us. Tuesday starts quiet in the morning and we look to stay quiet to start the afternoon out. By late Tuesday afternoon and into Tuesday evening, that’s when our next system will work in from the west. You can see that with the kink in the contour lines at the 500 mb level out near the CO/KS line…

Before anything gets going on Tuesday, it’ll be a cold start to the day with lows dropping into the upper teens. Despite mostly cloudy skies, we’ll be back above freezing for afternoon highs. We should top out around 36°…

Other than a few possible slick spots from spotty freezing drizzle in SW MO, the overall look at the Tuesday AM commute looks okay. It’s the afternoon and evening that we’ll need to be careful on the roads. What may start as drizzle/light rain in the afternoon will transition to some freezing drizzle/light freezing rain and sleet by the start of the evening…

As temperatures continue to drop throughout the entire column of the atmosphere, we’ll have any wintry mix chances turn into a quick shot of snow going into Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning…

Given the nature of this system (how it’ll start to develop right on top of us) and how quick our window of opportunity is for wintry weather with this system, we’re keeping any expected accumulations on the light side. If any freezing rain/sleet can accumulate, expect light amounts from a minor glaze up to a tenth of an inch. Not a big ice storm, but any accumulating ice can be tricky to navigate on the roads…

As far as snow amounts with this system, the picture changed quite a bit from the other day when we were looking at the setup. Most spots that see snow could see a dusting to half an inch. Going north from 44 & along and east of 49 in Missouri, spots could see half an inch to an inch of snow…

After this system moves out, Wednesday looks to shape up quiet, partly sunny and still on the cold side. After a cold start Wednesday, though, we’ll go back above freezing for the afternoon…

If any changes to Tuesday’s forecast need to be made, we’ll pass it along to you all. Don’t forget that Doug has you covered with his latest long-range forecast and latest thoughts on the pattern over at headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Tuesday!

Nick

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