first of all, if you believe that Game 7 is a sure thing win for Memphis, you would be better off betting the ML tonight, then rolling it over onto Memphis ML in Game 7 for a better than (+165) payout...

secondly, Game 7 isn't a sure thing win for Memphis! not sure where all the ridiculous amount of love for Memphis on this forum comes from (or maybe just hate for the Clippers), but this Memphis team is not some unbeatable juggernaut... the Clips won in Memphis already, and they could do it again... fact is, beating a team 3 straight times in the playoffs is not easy, and if the Clips go into Memphis on a 2 game skid, with a healthier Paul and Griffin, they definitely can beat the Grizz on their home court...

thirdly... the Clips are 4-0 ATS their last 4 as a home favorite, and the Grizz are 0-6 ATS their last 6 as a road favorite... i don't see any reason that changes tonight... the Clips have a home 6 elimination game to give them a chance to get to the 2nd round of the playoffs for the first time in EONS... to think the Grizz should be favored in this game is a farse, and you can pretty much bank on the fact that the late sharp money will come in on the Clippers and that they will most likely end this series tonight...

Griz seem to have control over this series over the last 2 games. I wouldn't be surprised if they come back and beat LA.

I feel the same way about the Nuggets.

Clips don't have the beauty of having CP3 and Griffin flop all over the place anymore - at least to the extent that has been shown. Griz could very well be going for the close out game tonight if it weren't for that BS in Game 1.

first of all, if you believe that Game 7 is a sure thing win for Memphis, you would be better off betting the ML tonight, then rolling it over onto Memphis ML in Game 7 for a better than (+165) payout...

secondly, Game 7 isn't a sure thing win for Memphis! not sure where all the ridiculous amount of love for Memphis on this forum comes from (or maybe just hate for the Clippers), but this Memphis team is not some unbeatable juggernaut... the Clips won in Memphis already, and they could do it again... fact is, beating a team 3 straight times in the playoffs is not easy, and if the Clips go into Memphis on a 2 game skid, with a healthier Paul and Griffin, they definitely can beat the Grizz on their home court...

thirdly... the Clips are 4-0 ATS their last 4 as a home favorite, and the Grizz are 0-6 ATS their last 6 as a road favorite... i don't see any reason that changes tonight... the Clips have a home 6 elimination game to give them a chance to get to the 2nd round of the playoffs for the first time in EONS... to think the Grizz should be favored in this game is a farse, and you can pretty much bank on the fact that the late sharp money will come in on the Clippers and that they will most likely end this series tonight...

otherwise i agree with everything you said...

thanks for the post - you, David Stern, and one of my favorites to tail on tennis convinced me that a small play is worthwhile tonight on the Clips closing the series. Only the Lakers stink enough to drop the ball in this position at home.