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Next week is a pivotal episode. Seven players left. Itís do or die. The vote here is critical. You are deciding whom you will go toe to toe with in that final week. Nobody is certain of the right move.

With the end in sight, castaways scramble to solidify a plan for the final three~after a huge blindside, Jeremy and Spencer are worried...Spencer: I'm deeply concerned.Jeremy: I think we're in trouble.Spencer (cam. conf.): I feel my game slipping away.

Probst: But backstabbing isn't the only danger in Survivor.Probst: Whoa, are you okay?Tasha: I need help!

Spencer: It's the final 7, it's a breaking point now...2 episodes to go!Spencer: I just pray I can keep it together!Jiffy: This challenge will kick your butt, Tasha struggling, are you OK?Tasha: I need help!

Another clue is the title: Villains have more fun!. These were the exact words Abi used in her first confessional: When I look back on my season, I made a lot of mistakes. I created a lot of trouble. That was a mistake. I threw coconuts at Skupinís head. That was a mistake. I was too blunt with Lisa. I shouldnít have done that but having a second chance to come back and patch those little mistakes but I like having fun and villains have more fun! Is she saying them in retrospect to her game with Joe, or is she referring to villainous behavior in this episode?

*Also want to mention, in the last episode, Kimmi named the order of the male targets: Joe, then Keith, then Spencer, then Jeremy. Will they stick with that plan?

Vidcap clues:

Jeremy and Spencer walking down the beach alone, and Jeremy has his buff on as he does in the RC. I suspect the walking picture either occurs before the RC, or AFTER?

Thanks to Sheldor, who points out that Keith won the RC, Pole Dancing, in his season, which I do think puts him a leg up for a win with this challenge...If Keith wins, who would he take with him? Kelley (she was in his alliance and seemingly still has Keith with her and he owes her for choosing him for reward with BigD), Kimmi? (Keith has been close with Kimmi, the other parent out there)...If the girls went with Keith on reward, that would leave Spencer and Jeremy to walk the beach in dismay. (With Abi lurking around with Tasha?)

With the title of the episode, villains have more fun, I have to think that Abi may not stick to the plan, and decide to go rogue with her vote? If she does, who would she target? She thinks Spencer is sketchy?

Jeremy and Spencer have to be "deeply concerned" and "I think we are in trouble" regarding the girls alliance. So, both of them will feel like they need to win the IC. Jeremy clearly has the race won, and will most likely get to start the puzzle first, but how well does he do at puzzles? I do recall that he has worked on puzzles during the group challenges, and he seemed to do pretty well? Spencer has an edge on completing the puzzle though.

Just to throw this in the mix, if Jeremy won the IN, would he play his HI on Spencer? We did hear him tell Spencer, "I would do the same for you" after he played his HI on Stephen? If Jeremy and Spencer get through this TC, and editing and confessionals indicates that they WILL, how will they do it, and WHO will they vote for?

I feel as though Tasha is with Jeremy and Spencer, and will not end up voting in the girls alliance. So, I am going to presume that these three are solid. They also have an F3. So, who would they choose to vote for? Who is the biggest threat yet? Abi? Could be, especially if she is being villainous? Kelley Wentworth? YES, she is a very valid choice, but she has an HII, could she play hers this week? Yes, she could! Kimmi: No, just don't see Kimmi going yet as she's easy to beat, and she's been with Jeremy and Tasha most of the game. Keith: I only see Keith as a target because he won the last IC where he took out Joey Amazing, BUT, considering the boys are in an uproar regarding the "girls alliance" , I don't see them voting for Keith either!?

Let's try to put all rational possibilities in this thread....maybe we can NALE it, *hahahahha*

Voting against Tasha last tribal, his tenuous confessional standing, his obvious challenge abilities, being next on the women's alliance 'hit list', having said that seeing his wife is worth more than a million, etc... it's pretty clear whom 7th place belongs to.

It would actually be a smart thing for Tasha to act like she's with the women's alliance and steer them to go after Keith vs. Jeremy/Spencer. The girls will feel that they are taking out a guy, but it also helps T/J/S too since Keith is in Kelley's pocket.

Then the big showdown could be at F6. The women will think they're up 4-2, but Tasha could vote with J/S then if it's in her best interest. Maybe that's why the finale starts at 6? More dramatic.

Will be interesting to see if/when the HIIs get played. There is possible foreshadowing that Jeremy would play it for Spencer.

There is possible foreshadowing that Jeremy would play it for Spencer.

I think that Jeremy will. And, with that, paint an indelible image of the nature of the relationship between the two for a Jury already top-heavy with Spencer's saviors (or direct witnesses to his chronic neediness).

>Will be interesting to see if/when >the HIIs get played. There >is possible foreshadowing that Jeremy >would play it for Spencer.

There's nothing in the promos that FP relayed that mentions a huge surprise at TC. As for foreshadowing, I think the preponderance of clues point to Jeremy returning home with that idol to give to Val. It's Val's idol after all.

>There's nothing in the promos that >FP relayed that mentions a >huge surprise at TC. >As for foreshadowing, I think >the preponderance of clues point >to Jeremy returning home with >that idol to give to >Val. It's Val's idol >after all.

Haven't seen the Sunday football promo yet, but I think if Jeremy plays his HII it will be next week during the finale, not this week at F7.

If he can keep it until the end and say it's a souvenir for Val, that would certainly give him bonus points with the jury. And if he does happen to play it for Spencer, then as Georganna mentions below, most likely it's game over with the jury for Spence.

At this point seems like the jury is stacked against Spencer, so unless he goes on an immunity run or makes a big play at the end, I think the Bayon majority on the jury + all the firefighter w/baby on the way emotional stuff will favor Jeremy. Still hoping Spencer and Kelley will team up again and boot Jeremy vs. targeting each otherÖ.but all signs seem to be pointing to Jeremy and Spencer sticking together vs. women's alliance. Perhaps Spencer feels his best shot with the jury is getting Kass' and the witches' coven votes, which he clearly wouldn't do if he's sitting next to Kelley. Hard to see a path for Spencer where he's able to boot BOTH Jeremy and Kelley and end up in the F3, given the current alliances, HIIs, and Tasha's loyalty to Jeremy.

Going with the editing clues, I think it could be Keith or Kimmi. She had a big uptake in visibility so maybe she pays for proposing the women's alliance.

Keith should be on everyone's radar after that big win and even more if he wins this week's RC but would Jeremy admit that he's worried about Keith? Kelley may want a women's alliance but she's been much closer to Keith than Tasha.

I think it will be Kimmi. All six players should target Jeremy instead but they won't...

I think that their collective reluctance to target Jeremy is the direct result of his very successful, Season-long campaign to establish one-on-one fraternal partnerships - bro-ships, if you will - with the majority of Cambodia's players. So that each of them, individually, consider Jeremy still to be either a non-critical or contributing component of their own more clinically-defined grand strategy.

For instance:

I don't think that it was at all incidental that the opening shot of the Episode immediately following Stephen's boot was one of Jeremy and Stephen's usurper/successor, Spencer.

OMG, your tuk tuk sig is amazing! That is definitely one of my favorite moments of this season.

Re targeting Jeremy. I do think it is (was) Spencer's intention. In fact, Stephen Fishbach said on twitter that the jury was fully expecting Jeremy, Tasha or Kimmi to be booted next vs. Joe. But it seems that the women's alliance is scaring Spencer to stick with Jeremy and Tasha -- at least for now.

If they don't go after Jeremy soon (and there appears to be no indication or promo indicating a blindside this next episode), then I think Keith will most likely be voted out before Abi or Kimmi because:

- He's the only one of the F7 who didn't have a confessional in the season opener 9-min. introductory segment- He's a challenge AND jury threat (Kimmi is just a jury threat because of her family story; Abi is neither)- His vote for Tasha may come back to bite him- Jeremy will probably still try to woo Kimmi back as a number; and given that the women's alliance has not been publicly "outed" yet, he might fear it would make him look bad and lose votes w/his old alliance peeps like Wiggles, Savage and Stephen if he boots her before others like Abi or Keith.

OMG, your tuk tuk sig is amazing! That is definitely one of my favorite moments of this season.

It is my favorite moment of Survivor!

Tribe dropped the Tuk Tuk off for me. All gassed and ready to go. And it is amazing, isn't it? I only wish it could be a bit larger. I'm begun to experience the effects of macular degeration a little more acutely so bigger is definitely becoming better and better ...

But, unfortunately (for all of the reasons that you've noted) I think that Keith is going to be the easy boot for virtually everyone this coming week. And, if he doesn't win Individual Immunity - and the upcoming Immunity Challenge is not age-appropriate for Keith - and is voted out, I will so hate seeing him leave before the Finale.

ETA:

Then the big showdown could be at F6. The women will think they're up 4-2, but Tasha could vote with J/S then if it's in her best interest. Maybe that's why the finale starts at 6? More dramatic.

I think that you're probably very right. And I think that Tasha will remain loyal to her F3 committment. Tasha loves to bear witness to her own obvious superiority. So, appearing before the Jury is important to her. And she is 4th - rather than 3rd - on the other totem pole.

And I think that this is where we will see Jeremy play his second HII for himself or for Spencer. For several reasons.

Among them:

At F6 a tied TC vote can well end in drawing rocks. And that isn't a pleasant prospect when you're one of only four who will do the drawing.

Yes, Squid, I agree with you regarding Spencer and his intentions. He stated at the top of the episode last week: I blindsided Stephen, but I canít become the gamebot who treats people like pawns, so even though Jeremy isnít someone I want to go to the end with, heís probably someone I need to keep a relationship with. Here he tells us that he DOES NOT want to go to the end with Jeremy.

But, as the show progresses, and he gets wind of the Girls Alliance, it forces him to work with Jeremy. The girls alliance polarizes them.

Now regarding Keith: This is what gives me pause. Taking into consideration how they are so worried about the girls alliance, why do they target a guy? Well, it may be clear to them, if Keith wins the RC that: a. He's a challenge threat, b. He's in tight with Kelley. I noted that Kelley is the only one left of his "5 person alliance", and he was the first one that Kelley picked to join her on the Family visit RC.

In the last episode when Kimmi and Kelley were discussing the all girls alliance, it was interesting to note the boot order that the girls spoke of. Kelley's boot order was: Jeremy, Spencer, Keith. Kimmi's boot order was: Spencer, Keith, Jeremy.

So, I suppose if Spencer and Jeremy figure that Keith is far more with the girls than with them, they will have no problem voting Keith, as he is the more threatening with challenges. So, there is good rationale to vote Keith out for Spencer and Jeremy. So, what about the girls? Do they hold Keith more threatening than Jeremy or Spencer. Kelley does NOT, we saw that in how she named her boy targets. (Jeremy, Spencer, Keith). So, I suppose, especially if Keith wins the RC, that it's front and center that he is seemingly the biggest threat.

But, only one of Jeremy and Spencer can win the IN. So, if Spencer wins, will Jeremy feel secure enough with Tasha telling him the girls vote, to NOT play his IN? That's the question.

I agree, except Kelley must misplay her idol. I can't see how one of the women would be bounced with her idol play, since it would be whomever Kelley's coalition is targeting, since there aren't enough people left for a split vote.

F6 - The girls will trust Tasha and she get them to split the vote between Jeremy and Spencer. But instead vote with Jeremy and Spencer. So the vote would be 3 Abi, 2 Jerem/Spencer, 1 Jeremy/Spencer. ( I'm assuming Kelley wins Immunity or they vote Abi for least likely of having an idol.)

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