Tropical Storm Karl has begun to strengthen this morning, as the storm’s circulation has now become more aligned with its convection. It may not take long for Karl to approach hurricane strength now that intensification has begun. A tropical storm warning is in effect for Bermuda, and hurricane conditions could be possible if Karl continues strengthening and passes close enough to the island early Saturday morning. At the moment, Karl is expected to pass about 100 km southeast of Bermuda, but even small changes in its track could bring it closer. Tropical Storm conditions are expected to reach the island sometime tonight.

That wave only just exited Africa. It’s impossible to know anything about it until/if it starts developing. The pattern in the Caribbean in general may be favorable, but there’s no guarantee yet that this wave will be able to take advantage of it.