Intel may be hoping that 40 per cent of the notebooks that ship in 2012 will be Ultrabooks, but independent research suggests the chip giant will have to wait until 2015.
Forecasts from market watcher iSuppli made public by Samsung puts 2012's Ultrabook tally at just 12 per cent of notebook shipments.
Mind you, that still comes …

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False dichotomy

With things like the Asus Transformer already blurring the distinction between slate and notebook confusion, it's difficult to see that there will be any difference by 2015 with everything being pretty much dual mode and extensible by accessory. With next year's quad-core ARMs getting close to desktop performance and Android "Knickerbocker Glory"* spanning phones, pads and keyboards, Intel and Microsoft are both going to have to come up with something special to stay in the game.

* No idea what code name the next version of Android will have, if it has one at all.