Re: Romney 46% - Obama 31%

So there exists a set of outcomes where Obama beats Romney; that, combined with the remaining 23% of the sample who were presumably undecided, shows there's insufficient evidence at whatever the level of significance was for this poll that Romney beats Obama.

And that's only among self-identified independents. The overall poll result was Romney 46%, Obama 46%.

It gives any state with a less than 50 percent approval rating from 2011 Gallup polls to the presumptive Republican nominee (can't even say Romney, since the race hadn't been decided by then). That's ridiculous.

Re: Karl Rove electoral map Obama 220 Romney 93

The bottom line is all the graphs and polls at this point are meaningless. I just like to watch this particular lemming wiggle and squirm through results she doesn't like. Sort of like watching Curley of the 3 stooges running with the ball.

Re: Romney 46% - Obama 31%

If you make all the assumptions that statisticians tend to make (whether justified or not), one standard deviation in your expected results is apporximately 1 divided by the square root of the sample size.

That's why the error for the overall result is 3% while that for the result on independents is 8%.

Re: Karl Rove electoral map Obama 220 Romney 93

For some reason Easy, along with Railman718 who is on his RDO, is attacking you this evening. Shotspotter Flex is tremendous.

... ShotSpotter, a high-tech gunshot detection system that Suffolk recently installed, reported 517 alerts from December to March. It picked up 186 shots in Wyandanch; 112 in Huntington Station; 112 in Brentwood; and 91 in North Bellport.