Sunday, July 25, 2010

This presentation from Booz&C0 provides more insight into the Chinese plan to Electrify their transportation system. As we have wrote before, please, make no mistake it is a long term plan with a serious geopolitical implications, they have committed resources and executing it now step by step.

"We have another hint into the recent M&A activity in Lithium space. Talison deal with Salares Lithium confirms real Chinese appetite for Lithium. Now it is time for Lithium Supply - China already controls 97% of Rare Earths market. Lithium output will be increased fivefold in Chinese Lithium province, but the real news is below from Reuters - it is only half of previously expected output and now Chinese companies are on the shopping spree among lithium developers. Who will be at the boardroom table next - only a few lithium brines plays are left without J/V partners and we are following here two of them: International Lithium and Rodinia Lithium. We expect M&A activity in lithium space to be continued during this summer months."

Saturday, July 24, 2010

"Now it is time for Lithium Supply - China already controls 97% of Rare Earths market. Lithium output will be increased fivefold in Chinese Lithium province, but the real news is below from Reuters - it is only half of previously expected output and now Chinese companies are on the shopping spree among lithium developers. Who will be at the boardroom table next - only a few lithium brines plays are left without J/V partners and we are following here two of them: International Lithium and Rodinia Lithium. We expect M&A activity in lithium space to be continued during this summer months."

Hyundai i10

Korean automakers are on offencive and challenge Japanese companies around the world. Hyundai is the new tiger from Asia and could be considered an economic miracle: it managed to raise its market share during recent financial crisis very substantially.

"Hyundai's move into the hybrid space is very important - it is one of the very few companies which gained market share during the recent crisis. Their move directly to lithium based batteries even in Hybrid application shows forward thinking and additional demand for lithium.

Toyota and other Japanese automakers feel the competition from upcoming Korean automakers like Hyundai and Kia now. Recent deal between Korean Kores and Lithium One shows that they are seriously betting on electrification of our transportation system."

The i10 will have a single charge range of 160 km (99 miles) and a top speed of 130 km/h (81 mph). The i10 is due to be in full scale production in 2011, according to SK.

SK Energy uses a lithium manganese oxide cathode material, mixing in NMC material for stabilization; a surface-modified graphite on the anode; a gel polymer electrolyte; and a ceramic-coated proprietary SK separator featuring low shrinkage and high heat resistance. SK cells have a specific energy density of around 140 Wh/kg.

In October 2009, SK Energy was chosen as a supplier of lithium-ion batteries for a hybrid electric vehicle project for Daimler commercial vehicle subsidiary Mitsubishi Fuso; Daimler holds 85% of Fuso. (Earlier post.)

SK Energy is also participating in a one-year technology assessment program of its batteries for electric vehicles with the US Advanced Battery Consortium (USABC). USABC will provide 50% of the funding for the project. (Earlier post.)"

iPad is not sold with branding "almost like your old notebook" - but we agree here - in order to win hearts over the wallet at the initial stage of EV roll out you need to address Range Anxiety and Utility. Early adopters will go for Nissan Leaf if they can and GM Volt and its European version, Ampera, will be for those on the boarder: they are not tree huggers yet, but will consider to be environmentally conscious.

This is what we need to address dire consequences of Peak Oil. There is still time and technology available to us to electrify our transportation system. Electric cars are coming on the roads and Asian conglomerates are busy building Supply Chain for Electric Cars starting with lithium deposits. Will US Corp. finally awaken to this geopolitical problem?"

I have driven the future around the back lanes of Buckinghamshire, and it works – mostly. The Vauxhall Ampera, known to the wider world as General Motors’ Chevrolet Volt, has been proclaimed by GM as the holy grail of low fuel consumption and CO2 emissions.

From its unveiling as a concept car at the Geneva Auto Show in March 2009, this five-door hatchback has been under an industry spotlight like few other cars. If it lives up to its billing when it goes into production (scheduled for next year), it will provide an important bridge between conventional diesel- and petrol-engined cars and whatever fossil fuel-free transportation lies in the distant future. Though still a work in progress, it is hard not to be impressed by petrol consumption of about 170 miles per gallon and zero CO2 emissions for the majority of miles passing under the wheels.

While the pending arrival of the Ampera has been much heralded, confusion remains about what, precisely, it is. To clarify, it is on target to become the first “range extender” electric vehicle to reach world markets in large production volumes.

Its technology overcomes both the daunting drawbacks of purely battery-powered electric cars and the relatively limited contributions conventional “hybrid” cars such as Honda’s Insight and Toyota’s Prius make to reduced fossil fuel consumption and CO2 emissions. This is despite their “green” image and the benefits they receive such as exemption from London’s £8 per day congestion charge. In the real world, both cars do well to achieve a (still laudable) 50-60 miles on a gallon of petrol and can go only very short distances on CO2-free battery power alone, mostly at crawling speed in stop-start urban traffic. On the open road, even though their modestly sized electric motor and battery pack drive in parallel with a petrol engine, the latter has to work almost as hard as a conventional car’s to maintain a satisfactory rate of progress.

According to GM data, the Ampera will travel 40 miles on its fully-charged 16kW-hours, lithium-ion battery pack alone. That is far enough, EU research shows, to satisfy the majority of Europe’s driver needs, since 80 per cent of motorists travel only 30 miles a day. The driver can also make full use, when appropriate, of the Ampera’s claimed performance of nine seconds to 62mph from standstill and top speed of 100mph.

So far, then, it is not much different from other battery-powered cars which, like the Ampera, can be plugged in at the office during the day in order to increase commuting distances.

The crucial difference becomes apparent when long distances are involved. I found when testing the £92,000 Tesla battery-powered sports car that the claimed 200-mile range fell closer to 100 when its power was used to the full, with 16 hours required for a full recharge using a household socket. BMW’s prototype battery-powered Mini had only slightly greater range (at the cost of losing the rear seats to make way for the battery pack).

Both will thus go considerably further than the Ampera without recharging. The crucial difference, however, is that when the Ampera’s batteries are in danger of running out of puff, it simply activates its own on-board petrol generator simultaneously to power the electric drive unit and to recharge the batteries. GM engineers insist this provides 350 miles of range using full performance before refuelling for generator or battery pack is required. But the Ampera’s advantage grows further in that even a three-hour dalliance with a conventional household socket is enough to kick the batteries back to full life and another 350 miles can be put under the wheels.

Unlike conventional hybrids, the Ampera’s wheels are driven exclusively by electricity. Its startlingly brisk performance is down to the 150 horsepower-equivalent electric drive motor, delivering its full, thumping 370 newton metres of torque from standstill. According to a GM spokesman, the per-mile cost of the Ampera using standard-rate electricity should be only about one-fifth that of a similar-sized conventional car.

Little of the above matters, however, if the Ampera turns out to be rotten to drive or, like the Tesla, costs several arms and legs more than its rivals. But GM has little to worry about on the drive experience.

The Ampera looks appealingly dramatic and executive sector-ish from the front, but is based on the same engineering platform as the Vauxhall Astra family car range built at Merseyside’s Ellesmere Port. It even drives like the comfortable but agile Astra, except on three counts. One is that the division of electric motor and battery pack between front and rear gives it almost 50-50 weight distribution, and thus even greater agility. The second is the liveliness of the acceleration thanks to maximum torque being available at any time. The third is the weird absence of mechanical noise when using battery power alone, and the tiny margin by which noise is increased when the petrol generator kicks in.

But the overwhelming sense in which the Ampera works is its lack of demands upon driver and passengers. Its interior space and seating are no different from conventional, similar-sized cars. The dashboard looks mildly futuristic and has some instruments, such as battery status and energy drawdown, which take a few seconds to learn. But otherwise it’s simply hop in, turn the key, engage the automatic gearshift and go. Refuelling the generator is straightforward via the garage petrol pump and the electric plug-in is likely to be problematical only to those who have to park in the street.

Where it only “mostly” works lies in pricing. Vauxhall, which is pitching hard to be allowed by GM to build Europe’s Amperas at Ellesmere Port, is projecting a UK launch price of about £30,000 if hopes of government “green” cash incentives of up to £5,000 per car go unrealised, as seems likely. That puts it well into BMW 3 Series territory and some £7,000 more than the most expensive Astra.

But factor in exemption from London’s congestion charge, zero road tax and the 300-plus gallons of fuel a year Vauxhall reckons can be saved compared with a 40mpg car by a driver covering 15,000 miles a year, and the gap looks considerably less formidable. The smug smirk of a green CO2 “hero” comes for free."

Now we can put our Lithium M&A fever into another prospective. Talison taking out Salares Lithium is a clever entry point by Chinese business backing Talison into the Lithium Brine business without making two many waves before they can secure new deals in the sector. Our idea about Second Leg of this Bull market in Canadian Lithium developers receives more confirmation on fundamentals and now we need to see the action in the market place. With all junior companies at the low base valuation from last year run we can have rally in the making already. Listen to Shai Agassi interview on video below, he has a good listeners already among Better Place's backers - HSBC, Lazard Asset Management and Morgan Stanley:"

Now it is time for Lithium Supply - China already controls 97% of Rare Earths market. Lithium output will be increased fivefold in Chinese Lithium province, but the real news is below from Reuters - it is only half of previously expected output and now Chinese companies are on the shopping spree among lithium developers. Who will be at the boardroom table next - only a few lithium brines plays are left without J/V partners and we are following here two of them: International Lithium and Rodinia Lithium. We expect M&A activity in lithium space to be continued during this summer months.

"Bill wants half of U.S. vehicles electrified by 2030This is what we need to address dire consequences of Peak Oil. There is still time and technology available to us to electrify our transportation system. Electric cars are coming on the roads and Asian conglomerates are busy building Supply Chain for Electric Cars starting with lithium deposits. Will US Corp. finally awaken to this geopolitical problem?"

Jul. 23, 2010 (China Knowledge) - Southwest China's Qinghai Province plans to increase lithium output by five times to 30,000 tons over the next five years, as demand for electric vehicles powered by lithium cells surges, the Xinhua News Agency reported, citing a senior official from Land and Resources Department in the province.

The province has the largest reserves of lithium in China, with estimated reserves of over 17.65 million tons, and nearly 90% of the nation's total lithium production.

Reportedly, Citic National Security Lithium Technology Corp and Qinghai Lithium Co will be responsible for the production of the 30,000 tons capacity.

China recently surpassed Japan as the world's largest lithium battery provider. It also has about one-tenth of the estimated global lithium reserves, and is the world's third-largest producer of the metal."

BEIJING July 23 (Reuters) - China's principal lithium-producing province plans to boost output of the metal fivefold in the next five years, half the level of its previous target, the China Daily reported on Friday.China is the world's No.3 miner of lithium, used in the production of batteries, after Chile and Australia, and nearly 90 percent of its output comes from salt lakes in Qinghai province.

Qinghai produced 6,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate last year and planned to raise that to 30,000 tonnes over the next five years, the newspaper quoted Liu Shanqing, director of Qinghai's Land and Resources Department, as saying.

"The original plan was to have a capacity of 60,000 tonnes by 2015, but since extraction technologies are not that mature we have scaled it down to 30,000 tonnes," he said.

Liu said the bulk of production -- 25,000 tonnes -- was expected to come from Citic National Security Lithium Technology Corp, with Qinghai Lithium Co the other main producer. (Editing by Chris Lewis)"

Do you remember this mobile communication devise above? Price tag was more than 10000 USD and it was 20 short years ago. This is the power of progress and technology, we can not make new Oil, but we can use available technology and store electricity now with enough power to keep the world moving even when the oil will be gone. It is simple, it is groundbreaking, it is here.

Electric Motorcycles are not toys any more - this message is the most important for our investment opportunity of the decade. Once disruptive technology is out of the Oil addiction cage progress will be made very fast with increased power capacity and durability of Lithium ion batteries and lightweight superpower electric motors.

EV mass market is starting right now, when semiconductors' laws will be ruling the time to market and price. We predict that lithium ion batteries will fall in price 50% within next 5 years gaining twice as much power per unit. With range over 200 miles on one charge for an Electric Car priced below 30000 USD true green mobility revolution will be happening overnight.

Electric motorcycles no longer need be thought of as slow and boring. When the BrammoEmpulse, successor to last year's Enertia, goes on sale early next year it’ll be capable of reaching speeds in excess of 100 mph with an average range of up to 100 miles.

That bests the Enertia's 60 mph ceiling over a range of 45 miles. The key to the performance boost is a new liquid-cooled motor a little bit similar to the one used on the 2010 MotoCzysz E1pc, but unlike that futuristic, one-off race bike, this one will be available at Best Buy and will be surprisingly affordable. Prices will run from $9,995 to $13,995, but a raft of electric vehicle tax breaks could bring that more expensive figure as low as $7,000 depending on which state you live in and which breaks you qualify for.

The Empulse puts out 55 HP and 59 Lb-Ft of torque while weighing just 390 Lbs. That should give it performance on par with a 650cc Suzuki Internal Combustion Engine motorcycle, which is to say it’ll accelerate faster than most sports cars.

Three models will be offered, with battery pack capacities the only thing separating them:

•BrammoEmpulse 6.0: 6kwh battery capacity, 60-mile average range, $9,995•BrammoEmpulse 8.0: 8kWh, 80-mile average range, $11,995•BrammoEmpulse 10.0: 10kWh, 100-mile average range, $13,995Those ranges have been calculated using an equal mix of city and highway riding. Stick to slower surface streets and the 10.0’s range will increase to 130+ miles, while long periods of high-speed cruising could see it shrink to 60-70 miles.

The big technology breakthrough here is the price-to-energy density ratio of the battery packs. While Brammodoesn’t plan to say much about the proprietary technology before the Empulse goes on sale early next year, expect some sort of Lithium Polymer chemistry. To put that ratio into perspective, Brammo’s biggest competitor, Zero Motorycles, offers bikes with a 4kWh capacity for $9,995.

Unfortunately, that new technology isn’t going to do much for recharge times. Using a standard 110v outlet, expect the 10.0 to take between six and eight hours for a full charge. Battery charge times aren’t linear though, a quick top-up of a half or three-quarters full battery should only take a couple hours.

Like all other electric motorcycles, the Empulse will be virtually silent and there’s no tailpipe to spew harmful emissions.

The bike you see in these photos is actually a pre-production unit fitted with a lower-spec motor. The guy riding it is Brammo’s designer Brian Wismann who says, “even with 40 HP, the bike has no problem reaching 100 mph.”

“It’s not the fastest thing on the road,” continues Wismann, “but it is really fun to ride and is plenty fast to get yourself into trouble.”

The Empulseisn’t just going to be a straight-line performer though. Its stiff aluminum frame and top-drawer suspension mean its designed to go around corners too. Brammo actually plans to unveil the Empulse to the public by racing it against the MotoCzysz at California’s LagunaSeca Raceway later this month. It might not win, but it will be the only race bike there you’ll see in a Best Buy showroom in six to seven months time."

Warren Buffet mentioned along the lines, that in order to be the great investment story the business behind it should be really boring. Canada Zinc Metals with its Zinc deposit in Canada will pass this test at the first glance. What can be duller than Zinc in times of Twitter, Tesla and iPads? In order to get our idea you need to have a look at three things here: chart above with exponential growth in Car sales in China, Chart below with Zinc priced for a Double Dip and CZX.v corporate structure. Chinese Tongling holds now close to 20% in the company. Latest placement was with another Chinese investor at 0.6CAD with premium to the market of more than 30% (CZX.v now is at 0.45CAD). This investor controls now more than 10% of Canada Zinc Metals according to filing. With good odds for deposit to be expanding and blue sky potential of the new discoveries we think that the company is very close to more aggressive move by Tongling in order to secure the potential of this region play in Canada. For us it will be very interesting to see the destiny of investment stake by CZX.v in TNR Gold in this case, when Togling will become a partner with strategic opportunities in Lithium and REE investment and can be potentially involved in huge Argentinian Copper play at Los Azules."

"Will we wait until it is too late? You would expect that with all recent news from the Gulf about Oil Spill there will be a very intensive discussion about alternative way of powering our lives and Green Revolution in transportation will be in focus of mass media. It is not the case yet - there will be a tough road ahead of us.

"This report: "Global Energy Crunch: How different parts of the world would react to a peak oil scenario" by Joerg Friedrichs is a must read for all investors and Obama administration. We guess that actually Obama knows better than many others that there is NO More Cheap Oil Left. With Oil Spill in the headlines and late realisation about the scale of this catastrophe all dreams about cheap oil will vanish, but question remains open: what Obama will be able to chose? Are we grown up enough to push him to endorse new technologies and get off from the Oil addiction or we will witness the Crash of Empire fighting wars which will benefit only few and destroy lives of billions?"

UK is very persistent in sounding an alarm about coming Peak Oil and what it means to the world economic system. Electrification of transportation is the only commerciallyavailable option to survive our life style now. It is well under way now in Asia and hopefully US corp will not lose this opportunity to reignite growth and save its economy from the Oil Shock. Access to Lithium and REE supply will gain a geopolitical significance as strategic advantage for basis of new electricity based mobility.

"Jim Puplava has made a segment with James Dines on Uranium, Gold and Rare Earths recently. James Dines gave a very interesting description about beginning stage of the real Bull market. We think that Lithium is exactly at the same stage now: people look at the sector, but do not realise its real potential. James Dines has already started the fire in REE market space in Spring 2009."

Britain is “very likely” to face an oil shock within the next decade, triggering economic volatility as fraught with “nasty surprises” as the 1970s, the energy secretary has warned.

Chris Huhne told the Financial Times that Britain was in danger of becoming as vulnerable to price spikes as before the discovery of big North Sea oilfields, leaving the economy open to “very severe blows”.

His forecast of a looming energy crisis came in an interview where Mr Huhne admitted that “nuclear is going to play a part in the energy mix”, but declined to guarantee state support for low carbon manufacturing.

The energy secretary is a pivotal figure in the coalition who must implement a nuclear policy his own party has opposed, while fighting his corner in one of Whitehall’s toughest budget negotiations to protect cherished green policies from the Treasury axe.

Mr Huhne is pushing to toughen the European Union’s emissions-cutting target from 20 per cent by 2020 to 30 per cent, angering some businesses and Tories, who fear rising costs.

But when asked whether energy bills must increase to meet the government’s green agenda, Mr Huhne instead highlighted the dangers of an era of erratic oil prices.

“The world we’re going into isn’t going to be a world where the oil price will be $80 a barrel flat for ever, or $150 a barrel flat for ever,” he said. “It will be a world where we will have very substantial oil price spikes, which have an enormous capacity to provide shocks to the domestic economy and to the world economy, exactly as they did in the 1970s and 80s.”

The only way in which to avoid such shocks, he said, was to invest heavily in energy efficiency and renewable sources of power.

“What worries me ... is that we’re moving from a world where the UK is dependent on imported energy for only 27 per cent of our needs, to a world where it’s going to be anything from 46 per cent to 58 per cent within 10 years,” he said.

“That puts us right back into the scale of energy import dependence that we were in back in the 1970s, when we suffered very, very severe blows as a result of the oil price shock.”

One of Mr Huhne’s biggest challenges is offering financial backing for low carbon, while at the same time finding 20 to 40 per cent savings from a budget that is in danger of being overwhelmed by nuclear decommissioning costs. Some “green” technology companies planning offshore wind turbine manufacturing facilities and carbon capture and storage plants are having second thoughts over investing in Britain because of the risk of the state withdrawing support.

Even so, Mr Huhne was unable to provide any assurances from a government that is borrowing “£1 of every £4” it spends. “Most businesses will recognise that when you are in that sort of situation with your cash flow, you have to take some pretty tough decisions,” he said.

However, Mr Huhne was confident that a new generation of nuclear power stations would be built, even without state subsidies – a condition of enforced austerity which some Lib Dems expected to scupper the programme.

“Nuclear will go ahead if investors come forward with proposals, as I think they will,” he said. “It’s very clear to me that nuclear is going to play a part in the energy mix, precisely because of the commitments that we’ve made in the coalition agreement.”

Rather than raising prices or imposing tough new laws, Mr Huhne promised to encourage take-up of energy efficiency measures and low-carbon technology through “a system of incentives, triggers and nudges”.

But government insiders admit that without a generous settlement from the Treasury, Mr Huhne will be forced to choose between ditching fuel poverty targets and his green ambitions or raising energy bills through increasing levies.

Mr Huhne said only that he would like to “simplify” the levies charged to businesses and consumers to help pay for low-carbon power."

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Jim Puplava has made a segment with James Dines on Uranium, Gold and Rare Earths recently. James Dines gave a very interesting description about beginning stage of the real Bull market. We think that Lithium is exactly at the same stage now: people look at the sector, but do not realise its real potential. James Dines has already started the fire in REE market space in Spring 2009.

Peak Oil and following Energy Crunch will drive our investment landscape for years to come. Lithium gives us chemistry to make storage of energy possible even for mobility application. Source of energy is important and Peak Oil will be addressed with Nuclear, Wind, Solar and other alternative sources, but we need to have the efficient Energy Storage solution to use it in Green Mobility and now we have it with Lithium ion batteries.

We were running on Oil for the one hundred years, now we have means to store electricity and run on it. It is simple, but groundbreaking statement - this disruptive technology will change our world and provide investment opportunity of the generation.

Here comes the Royal endorsement of the Green Mobility. Our Next Big Thing is officially in action now and most lithium junior miners are rising today with the markets. We are preaching here already for another about Green Mobility and these days this thing is taking off in mass media finally.

Our Generational Investment Opportunitybased on Electrification of our transportation system depends not only on economics and technological advance, but on the simple "IF" - what if people decide that it is Cool To Drive Electric Cars? Adoption rate could change dramatically and our Lithium and REE plays will enjoy multiples to recent rock bottom valuations.

Prince Michael of Kent, a keen car enthusiast took quickly to the car after he was shown how the it operates and performs. According to its maker, Vauxhall, the Prince was impressed by the cars strong performance with its electric range of 350 miles and 0-62mph time of 9 seconds.

After a quick spin in the new model, the Prince expressed how pleased he was with the ride and was keen to discover if the car would also be available in black.

Vauxhall now has high hopes that the Ampera, the European version of the Chevrolet Volt, might soon become the Royal Household’s electric car of choice.

Set to hit the roads in 2012, the Ampera is capable on running on electric power alone, but has a back-up combustion engine to replenish the batteries once they are depleted. This allows the model to travel further and should help buyers overcome the dreaded ‘range anxiety’."

We are testingZemanta today. Interesting to find out whether we can increase productivity for our blogging and make content more appealing to our audience. Image library, cross referencing and linking are the most promising propositions for us and we will find out what exactly we can incorporate in our posts shortly. With Lithium on the rise in mass media we need to be prepared to be at the forefront of technological advance in blogosphere as well.

"This is what we need to address dire consequences of Peak Oil. There is still time and technology available to us to electrify our transportation system. Electric cars are coming on the roads and Asian conglomerates are busy building Supply Chain for Electric Cars starting with lithium deposits. Will US Corp. finally awaken to this geopolitical problem?"

A hybrid version of the VW golf will be one of the first models in the new green range

Everybody is rushing to remind about their EV models in electric space these days. Just last few days we saw announcements from Honda, Hyundai and now Volswagen. Obama must has been driven all other automakers jealous sitting in GM Volt.

The VW Golf or the Up! city-car will be launched as an all-electric vehicle in the US by 2013 under the new plans. The Touareg sport-utility vehicle will go on the market as a petrol-electric hybrid later this year, followed by a Jetta hybrid in 2011.

The low-carbon cars will account for three per cent of the German manufacturer’s sales by 2018, according to Martin Winterkorn, the chief executive.

“Our goal is clear and ambitious,” he said on Monday at the company’s research laboratory in Palo Alto, California. “Volkswagen will be the automaker to mass produce the electric car for everyone.”

Volkswagen is Europe’s largest carmaker and spends more than 5 billion euros (£4.25bn) a year on research and development.

But competition for domination in the green market is fierce. Honda, the Japanese carmaker, announced plans on Monday to launch a hybrid version of its Civic compact powered by lithium-ion batteries within a year. An all-electric car will be on sale by 2012, Honda said.

General Motors plans to build 10,000 units of its new Chevrolet Volt electric car next year, and Nissan Motor Co. will begin selling its all-electric Leaf compact.

Toyota bought a $50 million (£33m) stake in Tesla, which sells the all-electric Roadster sportscar, in May and the carmakers plan to cooperate on developing battery-powered cars."

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SRSrocco reports on further deterioration of the COMEX Gold inventories available for deliveries. You can guess who is taking now a...

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Dedicated to all those brave men who have been fighting the bear market in 2000 and buying the dips without understanding that they were looking straight into the abyss. Do not trust your money in anybody, for you are the one who is going to be rich or poor, not those that are advising you: always do your DD. Disclosure: We are putting our money where our mouth is.