Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 280853
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 AM CDT FRI OCT 28 2005
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE WRN
STATES...PROVIDING FOR COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND
SCATTERED PRECIPITATION TO MUCH OF THE REGION. THE PRESENCE OF
MODERATE WSWLY FLOW OVER THE ROCKIES WILL SUSTAIN THE SURFACE LEE
TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. MEANWHILE...A BROAD AREA OF SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE...REINFORCED BY A STRONG UPPER LOW OVER THE ERN
SEABOARD...WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF MUCH OF THE COUNTRY EAST OF THE
PLAINS. A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST BETWEEN THE LEE
TROUGH AND THE HIGH PRESSURE...AIDING IN BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER MUCH
OF THE PLAINS STATES. LOW RH READINGS WILL BE PRESENT ESPECIALLY IN
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FROM TX ENEWD
INTO THE OH VALLEY/SERN STATES. PRESENCE OF GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS IN
THIS REGION WILL OFFSET THE LOW RH READINGS TO LIMIT ANY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
...PLAINS STATES...
MODERATE /20-25 MPH/ SLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS
ALONG THE LOW LEVEL JET AXIS FROM NWRN OK INTO ERN SD/WRN MN.
ALTHOUGH DEWPOINTS WILL BE SEASONABLY LOW /30S TO 40S/ TEMPERATURES
WILL GENERALLY AVERAGE IN THE 60S WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR MIN RH
READINGS TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 35-40 PERCENT.
...TX EWD INTO THE SERN STATES...
ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE...TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE /70S/ AND COMBINED WITH
DEWPTS IN THE 30S TO 40S WILL LEAD TO MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35
PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE
HIGHER THAN THE LAST FEW DAYS /AVERAGE AROUND 10 MPH/ DUE TO THE
PRESENCE OF A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAVE OVER THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO.
SOME AREAS NEAR THE COAST MAY REACH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 MPH
FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN THESE GENERALLY LIGHT
WIND CONDITIONS...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
..CROSBIE.. 10/28/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 280855
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 AM CDT FRI OCT 28 2005
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD ACROSS THE WRN STATES.
UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH SCATTERED PRECIPITATION CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS MUCH OF THE ROCKIES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM. A WEAK
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES/PLAINS.
THIS WILL AID IN SHIFTING THE LEE TROUGH FURTHER SOUTHEAST INTO THE
CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS. THUS BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WHILE INCREASING IN AREAL COVERAGE
OVER THE SRN PLAINS AS A BROAD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
OVER THE OH VALLEY/SERN STATES. LOW RH READINGS WILL AGAIN BE
PRESENT OVER THE SERN STATES. BUT AS ON DAY ONE...SUSTAINED WINDS
WILL GENERALLY AVERAGE 10 MPH OR LESS PRECLUDING ANY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER THREAT.
...SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
SUSTAINED SLY WINDS...WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH...WILL OCCUR
OVER MUCH OF OK AND THE TX PANHANDLE NEWD INTO KS/WRN MO.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WARM...WITH READINGS INTO THE
LOWER-MID 70S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. WITH LITTLE TO NO INCREASE
IN DEWPTS EXPECTED AS A RESULT OF LIMITED GULF MOISTURE RETURN...MIN
RH READINGS WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN DAY ONE /30-35 PERCENT/. A
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE MARGINAL
RH READINGS.
..CROSBIE.. 10/28/2005
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...