The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Power Line

Team

Pitcher

Estimate

Edge

ATLANTA

MAHOLM

-107

CINCINNATI

ARROYO

+107

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

ATLANTA team trends

Win/Loss record

Over/Under

Current Year

Last 3 Years

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

O-U

O-U

O-U

after a win

11-5

+5.4

117-81

+17.6

847-675

-58.9

8-8

87-104

697-743

when playing against a team with a winning record

8-5

+2.8

78-67

+7.3

689-582

+11.9

7-6

69-70

614-583

in all games

18-12

+3.3

201-154

+15.5

1523-1165

-22.5

16-14

159-180

1263-1290

on the road with a money line of -100 to -125

2-3

-1.4

34-39

-10.7

180-170

-14.1

3-2

28-42

147-189

in road games

9-7

+1.8

97-81

+14.8

719-622

+8.6

9-7

83-88

634-649

in May games

1-3

-3.8

32-29

-3.1

267-189

+18.3

2-2

29-28

218-220

when playing on Monday

3-0

+3.2

17-27

-19.2

149-129

-29.9

1-2

18-26

130-139

in games played on a grass field

18-12

+3.3

199-153

+14

1397-1088

-47

16-14

158-178

1166-1196

in night games

13-8

+3

137-111

-1.2

1035-818

-62.1

12-9

107-128

841-909

against right-handed starters

10-9

-1.3

140-97

+20.2

1115-838

-24.4

10-9

107-119

907-941

CINCINNATI team trends

Win/Loss record

Over/Under

Current Year

Last 3 Years

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

W-L

Units

O-U

O-U

O-U

in night games

8-8

-2.4

121-107

-6.2

834-872

-21.9

7-9

97-116

798-821

against left-handed starters

7-4

+2.4

59-45

+7.1

362-372

-8.9

6-4

50-47

339-359

after a win

11-6

+2.8

100-97

-17.3

626-663

-31.6

11-6

84-95

582-629

after 3 or more consecutive wins

1-3

-4.6

28-23

-3.5

151-161

-13.4

2-2

18-28

134-160

when playing against a team with a winning record

4-4

-0.2

73-75

-2.8

546-675

-11.2

4-3

67-70

557-596

in all games

18-14

+0.5

197-165

+2.2

1289-1348

-24.5

18-13

165-172

1235-1255

at home with a money line of -100 to -125

3-1

+1.8

30-19

+8

171-163

-15.8

3-1

27-15

160-157

in home games

12-4

+5.4

105-77

+0.3

667-653

-81.6

9-7

88-78

649-597

in May games

3-1

+2

34-27

+4

229-230

-3.5

3-1

32-25

216-220

when playing on Monday

4-1

+3.2

21-22

-4.6

138-139

+6.3

2-3

18-24

143-126

in games played on a grass field

18-14

+0.5

195-164

+0.4

1058-1134

-14.8

18-13

165-170

1015-1050

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games

Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

Games over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI is 8-4 (+4.9 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons

7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

Games this season

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI is 6-1 (+5.2 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons

4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

Games played at CINCINNATI this season.

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History

PAUL MAHOLM vs. CINCINNATI since 1997

MAHOLM is 7-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.338.

His team's record is 12-8 (+6.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-10. (-2.0 units)

PAUL MAHOLM recent starts vs. CINCINNATI

Date

Opponent

Score

Line

Total

Result

Dec

IP

R

ER

H

HR

BB

SO

Opp Starter

4/21/2012

CINCINNATI

6-1

+120

7.5

Win,Under

W

6

1

1

4

0

3

5

LEAKE(R)

9/10/2010

at CINCINNATI

3-4

+190

8.5

Loss,Under

7

3

3

6

0

3

8

BAILEY(R)

8/3/2010

CINCINNATI

7-6

+115

8

Win,Over

W

6

4

4

9

0

2

2

LEAKE(R)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. ATLANTA since 1997

ARROYO is 6-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.36 and a WHIP of 1.640.

His team's record is 9-6 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-6. (+2.8 units)

BRONSON ARROYO recent starts vs. ATLANTA

Date

Opponent

Score

Line

Total

Result

Dec

IP

R

ER

H

HR

BB

SO

Opp Starter

5/23/2012

ATLANTA

2-1

+100

8.5

Win,Under

6.7

1

1

4

1

2

7

HANSON(R)

7/22/2011

ATLANTA

4-6

+105

9

Loss,Over

6.7

4

4

9

3

2

2

JURRJENS(R)

5/28/2011

at ATLANTA

6-7

+135

7.5

Loss,Over

3

5

5

9

2

1

0

LOWE(R)

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ATLANTA in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1032, 7.0 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 56.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (170-130, +27.9 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (1076-1083, -107.0 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (143-158, -28.9 units)

Edge=CINCINNATI

&nbsp

The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (830-834, -114.4 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 51.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (88-83, -4.3 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (836-759, -27.2 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 54% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (109-93, +5.4 units)

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