Thursday, September 11, 2008

Week 3 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the expected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the expected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

About

Brian Fremeau is a college football writer, stats analyst, and data visualization designer. His work can be found on FootballOutsiders.com and ESPN Insider, as well in the annual Football Outsiders Almanac and various Maple Street Press college football publications.

Infographics

Lou Groza Award Finalists

More from BCF Toys

Ratings and Stats Glossary

Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI)College football rating system based on drive-based Game Efficiency data that rewards playing well against good teams, win or lose, and punishes losing to poor teams more harshly than it rewards defeating poor teams.

Game Efficiency
Measurement of the success rate of a team scoring and preventing opponent scoring during the Competitive Possessions of a game.

Competitive Possession
A non-garbage-time possession in a game, calculated as a function of the score margin and remaining game possessions.