If you needed any proof that rasmussen is a republcian nut who follows trends rather than do his own work then this is it. Its like they are disappointed that beebe leads. but when steele leads its GOP Maryland Gains but the numbers are virtually the same.

If you needed any proof that rasmussen is a republcian nut who follows trends rather than do his own work then this is it. Its like they are disappointed that beebe leads. but when steele leads its GOP Maryland Gains but the numbers are virtually the same.

Excellent Beebe is turning out to be a far more credible and competitive candidate than a lot of people initially gave him credit for, once the campaign really gets started in the summer and fall I think this contest will remain very tight and with any luck Beebe will be sufficiently secure by then so that Huckabee’s efforts don’t have to much of an effect.

I really don't trust a poll that lists Beebe and Hutchinson as candidates for Maryland Senator. What little credibility Rasmussen had with me is now eliminated. If they can't get the state and office right, how possibly can their numbers be accurate? Perhaps that explains their strange Maryland results, actually; they could have just reversed the numbers in their sloppiness.

EDIT: Looking through the Rasmussen site, there are TONS of errors, both typos, mis-labeling of races, misleading statements, and statements that are just wrong. I'm no longer giving these people any credence.

I think that Arkansas has grown sick of Bush. Asa Hutchinson's only real experience in a leadership position was working for George W. Bush.

For reference: The last SUSA survey had 90% of Arkansas Democrats disapproving of Bush's job performance, compared to 7% of Arkansas Democrats approving of Bush's job performance. In Massachusetts, the breakdown is 88/9 disapprove amongst Massachusetts Democrats.

In conclusion: Arkansas Democrats dislike Bush even more than Massachusetts Democrats.

To be fair, Hutchinson is an experienced politician and would probably not do a poor job as Governor of Arkansas. However, Beebe will have a definite edge as the state has had a Republican Governor since 1994. Who is Lieutenant Governor and why are they not a candidate for either party nomination?

For reference: The last SUSA survey had 90% of Arkansas Democrats disapproving of Bush's job performance, compared to 7% of Arkansas Democrats approving of Bush's job performance. In Massachusetts, the breakdown is 88/9 disapprove amongst Massachusetts Democrats.

In conclusion: Arkansas Democrats dislike Bush even more than Massachusetts Democrats.

perhaps because a large number of arkansas democrats tend to be black?

a large number of massachusetts democrats tend to be catholic and blue collar...two groups bush has done well with over his term.

For reference: The last SUSA survey had 90% of Arkansas Democrats disapproving of Bush's job performance, compared to 7% of Arkansas Democrats approving of Bush's job performance. In Massachusetts, the breakdown is 88/9 disapprove amongst Massachusetts Democrats.

In conclusion: Arkansas Democrats dislike Bush even more than Massachusetts Democrats.

perhaps because a large number of arkansas democrats tend to be black?

a large number of massachusetts democrats tend to be catholic and blue collar...two groups bush has done well with over his term.

Actually, Arkansas Democrats went 82/18 for Kerry.

And the African-American population of Arkansas isn't really that large.

What were his polls for 2000 like? Shame about Rockefeller I hope he soon recovers. Maybe he can run in 2010 if Beebe does win or run for the Senate in that year or 2008.

Waste if time for anyone to challenge Pryor or Lincoln... hell Pryor won in 2002 against an incumbent! (Dems forget about that win).

They sure do. Arkansas has always been ripe for the picking. It would obviously be easier to win Arkansas in a national election than Florida. Except for that NW corner, the state is Dems.--if they want it. It also doesn't look to be losing EV's--at least in the next 30 years. This is one of the few states in the entire country where a Democrat can win a majority of whites...and they don't have to be bigots to do it.

For reference: The last SUSA survey had 90% of Arkansas Democrats disapproving of Bush's job performance, compared to 7% of Arkansas Democrats approving of Bush's job performance. In Massachusetts, the breakdown is 88/9 disapprove amongst Massachusetts Democrats.

In conclusion: Arkansas Democrats dislike Bush even more than Massachusetts Democrats.

perhaps because a large number of arkansas democrats tend to be black?

Less than elsewhere in the South. AR is easily the state with the largest remaining White Religious Democrat vote.

Logged

"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally

"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya

Interesting analysis. Could Kerry have carried it in 2004 with persistent targeting? I see what you mean as the Democrats seem to have a strong base here, stronger than in some Northern states which still voted for Kerry.

Interesting analysis. Could Kerry have carried it in 2004 with persistent targeting? I see what you mean as the Democrats seem to have a strong base here, stronger than in some Northern states which still voted for Kerry.

I think yes ... the question is, would it have been worth the expense? I think no.

Logged

"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally

"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya