2. After Sept. 24, the historical odds of Texas getting hit by a hurricane are 1-in-50, meaning it's happened three times in the last 150 years. So it's rare.

3. We've already seen one cold front this month, and we're getting another one today.

What fronts do is move into the Gulf as low-pressure systems. Sometimes these systems can return to land as tropical storms or hurricanes. But once we start seeing regular cold fronts this does not happen, and any tropical activity that gets into the Gulf is picked up by frontal systems and moved east-northeast.

Bill Read, former director of the National Hurricane Center, says he doesn't start feeling comfortable until Texas has had about three good fronts.

We're likely to get our third cold front of the season this weekend.

4. The jet stream. Here's what Chris Hebert, of ImpactWeather, had to say on the matter:

"I've been looking at the upper-level wind flow across the Gulf and it reminds me of late September or early October. The jet stream is digging down into the Gulf, producing westerly flow of 60-80 mph from Texas to Florida. As there are no indications of any of any change through the end of the month, I think we can safely say that hurricane season for Texas, and possibly the northern Gulf Coast (Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama), is over. South Florida is not out of the woods yet."

All of this means that, with high confidence, we can say that Texas is done with a significant threat from hurricanes. And yes, I'm prepared to eat a lot of crow if that prediction is wrong.