Scars From Hurricane Michael Will Last A Generation

Hurricane Michael was the strongest storm to hit the state of Georgia in over a century. Georgia was especially unlucky during the 1890’s, with a Category 4 storm hitting Brunswick in 1898 It followed a Category 3 storm that made landfall in Florida in 1896 taking damage up the Georgia coast and another Category 3 storm that hit near Savannah in 1893.

Strong storms are not new, but rare. What made Michael different is that its impact didn’t begin on Georgia’s coast, but instead crossed into the state from Florida near Bainbridge, still maintaining Category 3 winds. The impact will be felt for generations.

Pictures don’t do justice when trying to convey the damage done by hurricanes. We’re quite used to seeing boats on dry land, homes without roofs, and inland, trees down on homes and cars. Pictures provide a snapshot. They fail to capture the scale.

The Weather Channel is circulating before and after satellite maps that begin to put perspective on the magnitude of the damage. Approximately 10 days after the storm, a roughly 50-mile swath of land from the Florida coast deep into Southwest Georgia has turned from green to brown. That’s vegetation of various sorts that was alive and vibrant the morning of the storm, that is now likely on the ground turning brown as it begins to decay.

While the immediate impact of the storm was measured in homes and businesses without power – including complete parts of the transmission grid that must be replaced – current measurements are measured in monetary losses. There is significant property damage in Southwest Georgia. The losses to the agriculture industry will impact the area for a generation or longer.

Much of the initial reports focused on the area’s cotton and peanut crops. Farmers were expecting a record year for their cotton. Instead, with just more than 10% of the crop harvested, many farmers fear a total loss. Cotton is Georgia’s second largest cash crop. Loss estimates to farmers are as high as $800 Million. That’s just one crop, in an area of the state least able to afford it.

Peanuts were impacted but were fortunate that the storm contained more wind than rain, as it moved fast enough to avoid major flooding. Damages are estimated at $10-$20 Million.

The damage is much deeper than these two staple crops of Southwest Georgia. Various vegetable crop losses will approach $500 Million. Losses to the poultry industry, including the complete loss of 97 houses and 2 million chickens, will add another $25 million in losses.

All of those represent sizable immediate impacts. Then there’s pecans and timber. They’ve suffered real losses for farmers this year, and for future years.

Seminole county pecan farmers are reporting a 100% crop loss. Decatur County reports 85%, and Grady County reports 35%. Entire pecan orchards up to 1,000 acres report all trees uprooted. That’s not a loss just for this year, but for a decade. It takes 7 years or longer before a planted tree will begin to produce pecans. Damage to this industry is estimated at $560 Million.

Similarly, Georgia’s timber farmers may have lost $1 Billion in timber value. Trees that were knocked down can still be harvested, but there’s a matter of weeks before beetles will begin to infest fallen trees. Add to that the sudden unexpected supply arriving at local mills, and the value of the trees begins to fall rapidly for what can be saved. It can take decades to replace the losses.

Those are some statistics, but like pictures, fail to really convey what our Southwest Georgia neighbors are feeling. Last night I had an exchange with a Facebook friend from Bainbridge, asking him what I was missing or what other Georgians needed to know. This line from our exchange stood out to me:

“Schools are in shambles. Churches are destroyed. Homes are destroyed…the miracle is that there were so few injuries and deaths. For that we are thankful!”

In any community, but especially a rural one, the institutions that hold neighbors together are the churches and the schools. Homes aren’t looked at as a temporary place to put belongings between corporate relocations, but as places with generational memories.

Numbers can attempt to measure the economic damages. Pictures can capture physical destruction. But take away a community’s churches or its schools, and you’ll begin to see how bad people are hurting. It’s deeper than any picture, economic analysis, or column can describe.

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About Author

Charlie

Publisher of GeorgiaPol.com
UGA & GSU degrees in Economics
Executive Director for PolicyBEST
Interests are public policy solutions in Education, Science & Medicine, and Transportation that keep GA competitive and a great place to live.

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Many affected families will be out of the farming and lumber business permanently. Many others will be moving on instead of waiting for their homes to be rebuilt. Businesses which didn’t suffer direct losses will still find their income greatly reduced. The state will have a great responsibility to provide financial as well as educational and medical assistance.

4 months ago

Dave Bearse

A large dose of socialism is in order.

4 months ago

Gregs

Somehow this situation seems underreported and off the radar screen of most people. Maybe it’s the election season or the circus like news cycles but something seems off to me. Keep posting about the after effects of this storm and maybe it will help drive others to donate money or offer in kind help for the communities affected by it.

4 months ago

FreeDuck

Could be the election drama, but also that’s kind of how it is with these disasters. The recovery from these big storms is so much longer than the story news cycle. I don’t hear anything about the Carolinas but I know they’re still recovering from the previous storm. Puerto Rico is still recovering from a storm from last hurricane season, as is Houston, I believe. Feels like, as soon as we catch our breath, here comes another one.

4 months ago

Dave Bearse

Markets are currently glutted with southern pine. Prices are currently 45% less than in 2007, so a significant reduction in supply will nominally benefit those not in the path.

4 months ago

bethebalance

I didn’t realize the extent of damage to the pecan farms. Makes me wonder about the physics of their roots, which I don’t know anything about. But as people and industries figure out how to move forward, I imagine there are serious questions about whether, i.e., it’s worth re-planting those trees. Will another storm just be around the corner waiting to ruin it all again? And as far as building codes? And insurance? What changes are being made to best secure the future? It sounds like everything including chicken coops are going to need upgraded facilities in order to best… Read more »