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Texas Men's Basketball 2012 NCAA Tournament Capsule

Texas has lost a lot of players early to the NBA Draft over the last couple of seasons, but they have been relatively disappointing in March despite that talent. The attrition due to early entry to the professional ranks has left the Longhorns extremely young and extremely inexperienced. However, Coach Rick Barnes has done a great job with this group and turned them into a team that has won some big games.

Why They Can Surprise:Coach Barnes can recruit and he brought a lot of good talent to Texas this season. Point guard Myck Kabongo is one of the better freshmen in the nation and he just keeps improving. Over the course of the 2011-2012 season he has gone from a steady passer to a dynamic scoring threat. He has enough of an outside shot to keep the opposition honest and now he is not afraid to take the ball to the rim and finish himself. Sheldon McClellan, another freshman, is not much of a shooter, but he can score by slashing to the basket. J’Covan Brown is not a freshman and he knew he would have to score more this season. He has not disappointed. Not only did he boost his scoring output to about 20 points per game, but Brown has picked up his defensive intensity and can help out Kabongo with the point guard duties. Julien Lewis and Sterling Gibbs are a couple more freshmen who could make an impact on any given day. Lewis has been extremely inconsistent with his shot and Gibbs just does not shoot that much, but both can have decent outings. The frontcourt scoring is not nearly as prolific as that of the backcourt. Freshman Jonathan Holmes is emerging as a decent interior scorer and Clint Chapman is a big body who will score a little bit, but expecting much offensively from them is asking a bit much. Alexis Wangmene is out for the year with a wrist injury after starting 26 games this season. While he was not the big scorer in the paint, Texas is running out of options.

Why They Can Disappoint:Coach Barnes runs a nine man rotation and six of those players are freshmen. Kabongo has done a fine job running the point and keeping the turnovers down, but this is a group that not does always make the right decisions. The defense can have major lapses and foul way too much. The offense can break down pretty quickly and turn into Brown, McClellan or Kabongo trying to beat somebody one-on-one and hoisting up a tough shot. The Longhorns have the talent to score, but they do not share the ball particularly well. Their talent works sometimes when things go wrong and somebody has to force up a shot as the shot clock winds down, but that is not an ideal way to finish a possession. The good news is that it is March and all of these freshmen are practically sophomores. The bad news is that this is their first March and those little mistakes will be magnified.