Djokovic leads their previous matches 2-1. The last time they met was in the round robin matches this week. Djokovic won in straight sets but Zverev was able to push Djokovic’s price to 1.59 from a starting price of 1.20. His other win was in the Shanghai

Djokovic

semi final last month. Djokovic lost just 3 games in that one.

Zverev won on clay in Rome in May 2017.

Djokovic hasn’t lost a set this week. In fact he has only faced break points in 1 of his 4 matches. It has been like the sports teacher playing his pupils. A year ago his confidence was in tatters but he is

very much back to his best.

Zverev has also served well but has had to work pretty hard for many of his holds. He raised his level in the semi final win over Federer. He will have to lift it another couple of levels to beat Djokovic. Hopefully he wasn’t too affected too badly by the terrible behaviour of Federer’s fans yesterday who booed him during a post match

Zverev

interview.

At this price we can place a small lay on Djokovic. Both his wins over Zverev were in the last 6 weeks and were both comfortable. If we lay at 1.15 look to remove liability at 1.30

Federer leads their previous matches 4-3. Their most recent meeting was in the Hopman Cup exhibition in December. Federer won the final in 3 sets on an indoor court. Federer also beat him at this tournament last year in 3 sets.

Both have very strong results in 2018. Federer’s are stronger.

Federer’s first match of the week ended in defeat to Nishikori in straight sets. That seemed to focus his mind and he played 2 very strong matches to beat Thiem and Anderson in straight sets.

Roger Federer

Zverev’s only loss so far this week was to Djokovic. Both Cilic and Isner kept the opening sets tight and Zverev took them in tie breaks. He has held serve 83% of the time compared to 88% for Federer but Zverev has had to work harder for his holds.

Federer has a strong record at the Tour Finals and I would have to favour him but I don’t expect him to have an easy match. Stats for the week all favour Federer.

Back Federer around 1.70.

Update: A late break gave Zverev the first set. Federer won an early break in set 2 but was immediately broken back. Unlucky for Federer in the 2nd set tie break. He was about to win the point for 5-3 but the point had to be replayed as the ballboy dropped a ball. Deserved win for Zverev in straight sets, 7-5, 7-6