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SPOILERS WARNING: DO NOT READ THIS UNTIL YOU HAVE SEEN EPISODE 3 OF GAME OF THRONES.

What we have here is a good old-fashioned whodunit.

King Joffrey’s murder throws so many things into question, but before we can dive into the intricacies of succession, we gotta know: who poisoned him? Those who’ve read the books (and/or the Wikipedia page) get to watch the rest of us twist on this one, but for how long? Another episode? The entire season?

Clues are emerging already in Episode Three, which picks up at the moment of Sansa’s flight. Here's what we just found out:

Tywin Lannister supports Cersei’s accusation of Tyrion — but is up to something

As Cersei wonders where Sansa has gone, Tywin barks orders: “Find her! Bar the gates of the city seize every ship in the harbor. No one leaves the Capitol! No one!”

But come on — Tywin is smart enough to know that his son isn’t the killer; he may, in fact, already know full well who did the deed. A short while later, he is advising Joffrey’s younger brother Tommen, suggesting unequivocally that he’ll be the next king. But is this issue really settled? Tywin sure seems to think so.

Lord Baelish knew Joffrey was to be murdered at his own wedding

He had to, obviously, because he arranged for Sansa’s escape days in advance. Littlefinger’s loyalties are utterly indiscernible as usual, but if anyone was going to get that scoop on what was set to happen, it was him.

Just because Baelish knew what was up doesn’t necessarily make him a conspirator. But Whatever he’s up to, he looks awfully guilty from here.

Margaery doesn't seem all that upset, and neither does grandma

“So am I the queen?” she asks Lady Olenna Redwyne, who is equally nonchalant in her answer: “This would not be an opportune moment to press the issue.”

Margaery’s grandmother has an aura of satisfaction, primarily because she knows that her granddaughter was in for it with the L’enfant Terrible giving orders around the house: “Your circumstances have improved markedly,” Oleanna says assuredly.

But presuming her motivation to murder Joffrey would be to have Margaery take the Iron Throne, you’d think she’d wait until her granddaughter was with child. She even says as much to poor Margaery, whose political and maternal ambitions just can’t catch a break.

Cersei really believes Tyrion did it, in case we were wondering

It’s conceivable that Cersei would finger Tyrion just from spite — but it doesn’t appear that’s the case; standing over Joffrey’s body, she repeats the imp’s threat: “He told me he would.”

Cersei seems more clever than that — was it not obvious to everyone that Tyrion just isn’t stupid enough to be holding the cup?

Oh, sure, Prince Oberyn Martell is a poisons expert

… and it’s Tywin Lannister who points it out. “I hear you studied poisons at the Citadel … your hatred for my family is rather well known."

He also suggests that Oberyn spoke with Tyrion at the brothel just days before. Is Tywin the chief inspector now, too? It seems that way — and it doesn’t seem like he really suspects Prince Oberyn. Because then, puzzlingly, he asks Oberyn to be one of Tyrion’s judges, and offers that he sit on the new king’s small council of advisors. A new allegiance between the Lannisters and the Dornes is formed.

Tyrion is reasoning much of this out even as he rots in a cell

Sweet squire Podrick drops in on Suspect Number One, who paces while he tries to sort out who is behind what’s clearly been the work of a conspiracy. “Whoever killed Joffrey wanted me to lose my head for it," Tyrion says.

First, he rules out his wife: “No one had more cause to kill Joffrey than Sansa , but the girl’s no assassin,” he says — despite her most suspicious flight.

He’s also thinking Tywin might be the one: “Maybe Joffrey was to much work for him. Sweet Tommen will be so much easier to handle.”

And finally, he rules out his sister — despite that her shrieking and pointing have put him on the path to heedlessness: “Whenever something bad happens to me I assume my it’s my sister had a hand in it. But say what you will of Cersei. She loves her children. She is the only one I’m certain had nothing to do with this murder. Which makes it unique, as King’s Landing murders go.”

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