The continued suppression of rainfall suggests an early cessation of the monsoon over parts of southern Africa.

Increased rains observed over the Afar and highland regions of Ethiopia during late March.

1) Heavy and above-average rains over the past few weeks have increased rainfall surpluses and resulted in flooding across the Omusati region along the Angola-Namibian border. The inundation has led to the closure of several schools in the area. Moderate to heavy rains are forecast to continue during the next week.

2) The passage of Tropical Cyclone “Hellen” in northwestern Madagascar has led to flood inducing rainfall as well as damages to crops and infrastructure, displaced populations, and fatalities in Mahajanga province of Madagascar. Additional rainfall during the upcoming week may also exacerbate ground conditions.

3) Locally heavy rainfall throughout central Tanzania during the last seven days has resulted in isolated flooding, damages to infrastructure, displaced populations, and damages to crops and livestock in the Kagera, Singida, and Dodoma provinces.

4) Poorly distributed rainfall over both the short-term and season have led to deteriorating ground conditions in western Angola. These moisture deficits may negatively impact developing crops and pastoral areas.