The Simpsons Cancelled Or Renewed? – TV By The Numbers by zap2it.comhttp://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com
Fri, 18 Aug 2017 03:16:59 +0000enhourly1http://wordpress.com/http://s2.wp.com/i/buttonw-com.pngThe Simpsons Cancelled Or Renewed? – TV By The Numbers by zap2it.comhttp://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com
Cancel Bear vs. FOX, week 33: Final predictions for ’24: Legacy,’ ‘Brooklyn Nine-Nine’ and 12 othershttp://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-33-final-predictions-for-24-legacy-brooklyn-nine-nine-and-12-others/
http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-33-final-predictions-for-24-legacy-brooklyn-nine-nine-and-12-others/#commentsTue, 09 May 2017 14:41:39 +0000http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/?p=507493]]>The broadcast networks announce their 2017-18 schedules the week of May 15, so it’s time for the Bear’s last predictions for renewal or cancellation. Nearly every series still in limbo will know its fate by the end of this week.

Renewal chances for FOX shows are below. The Bear stands by the prediction that “24: Legacy” will get another shot, as will “The Last Man on Earth,” “Brooklyn Nine-Nine” and “New Girl.” “Son of Zorn” is just barely on the right side of the line, while the likes of “Sleepy Hollow” and “Making History” are on their way out. The Status column will update as decisions come in.

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

The Bear is standing pat with his predictions for FOX. Some chatter has bubbled up about “The Exorcist” getting a second season, but the Bear isn’t buying it. He sees that, “Scream Queens,” “Rosewood,” “Making History,” “Sleepy Hollow” and limited series “Shots Fired” being gone next year.

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

]]>http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-32-no-changes-for-gotham-the-exorcist-or-brooklyn-nine-nine/feed/1gotham-renew-cancel-wk-32tvbnrickCancel Bear vs. FOX, week 31: ‘Shots Fired’ will live up to limited series billinghttp://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-31-shots-fired-will-live-up-to-limited-series-billing/
http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-31-shots-fired-will-live-up-to-limited-series-billing/#commentsTue, 25 Apr 2017 14:37:25 +0000http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/?p=506998]]>FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 31 of the 2016-17 season say a rookie show will live up to its billing as an event series.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

FOX has only ever referred to “Shots Fired” as an “event series.” But let’s face it: Had the show become a runaway hit, the network and the show’s creators would probably have figured out a way to make a second season.

Ratings haven’t taken off — the show is just under a 1.0 thus far, a little below FOX’s scripted average. It’s also probably a long shot in terms of awards recognition as it will compete in a stacked limited series field opposite “The Night Of,” “Fargo,” “Big Little Lies” and others.

As it stands, then, “Shots Fired” is unlikely to return. FOX will be true to its initial word and not stretch the definition of limited series.

One other note: The Bear isn’t attaching a prediction to the “Prison Break” reboot. If the show’s ratings hold up, it will likely get the “X-Files” treatment in which the network’s willing to make more episodes when cast and crew are all able to do so.

Key:

DSW

Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing

sure bet to be canceled by May 2017

likely to be canceled by May 2017

tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017

likely to be renewed by May 2017

sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

The Bear is still in tossup-removal mode, and two more FOX shows are getting downgraded to likely cancellations this week: rookies “APB” and “Pitch.”

“APB” has been barely keeping its head above water since the early going. After three straight weeks at sub-replacement level ratings, though, it’s time to put the cop show in lockup.

“Pitch” is now also looking like a goner. The show wasn’t the lowest-rated of FOX’s first-year dramas this season — though that’s damning with faint praise — but it has faded from view since finishing in December. There have been reports as well that staff are being released from contracts.

That adds up to “Pitch” being put on waivers, and thus the Bear downgrades it along with “APB.”

Key:

DSW

Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing

sure bet to be canceled by May 2017

likely to be canceled by May 2017

tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017

likely to be renewed by May 2017

sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

]]>http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-30-apb-and-pitch-destined-to-strike-out/feed/2apb-renew-cancel-wk-30tvbnrickCancel Bear vs. FOX, week 29: ‘Son of Zorn’ has done enough for renewalhttp://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-29-son-of-zorn-has-done-enough-for-renewal/
http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-29-son-of-zorn-has-done-enough-for-renewal/#commentsTue, 11 Apr 2017 14:43:41 +0000http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/?p=506586]]>FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 29 of the 2016-17 season note that bad news for one show can be good news for another.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

Two weeks ago the Bear downgraded “Making History” to a likely cancellation at FOX. Its loss is another show’s gain: “Son of Zorn” is getting bumped up to a likely renewal.

Simply put, FOX doesn’t have a ton of options. Moving “The Mick” to Sundays would weaken an already shaky Tuesday block, and maybe one of the comedy pilots FOX is developing sounds like a Sunday show.

“Zorn’s” ratings weren’t great, and they were inflated by the NFL for about half of its season. But they’re likely good enough to earn a second season. Remember the Bear’s maxim: A show doesn’t have to be the fastest to outrun the Bear; it just has to make sure it’s not the slowest.

Key:

DSW

Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing

sure bet to be canceled by May 2017

likely to be canceled by May 2017

tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017

likely to be renewed by May 2017

sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

]]>http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-29-son-of-zorn-has-done-enough-for-renewal/feed/1son-of-zorn-renew-cancel-wk-29tvbnrickCancel Bear vs. FOX, week 28: ‘Sleepy Hollow’ is done and should stay that wayhttp://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-28-sleepy-hollow-is-done-and-should-stay-that-way/
http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-28-sleepy-hollow-is-done-and-should-stay-that-way/#commentsTue, 04 Apr 2017 14:34:44 +0000http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/?p=506364]]>FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 28 of the 2016-17 season look at one of the lowest-rated shows on the network.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

“Sleepy Hollow” is over — for the season, at least. FOX should make it a permanent thing.

The Bear predicted a cancellation for the show last season, but it held on thanks in large part to its being an in-house production for FOX. With four seasons, 62 episodes and barely replacement-level numbers for Season 4 under its belt, it’s time for the network to retire “Sleepy Hollow.”

Consider: “Sleepy Hollow” switched to Friday nights midway through last season. Its Friday episodes averaged a 0.75 rating in 2016. This year, it fell by a third to 0.5. It’s the third lowest-rated show on the Big 4 networks, behind only “American Crime” and “Ransom.”

It’s unlikely FOX will try to squeeze another year out of the show to get it to 75 or so episodes. Even with a streaming deal at Hulu already in place, the economics of such a weak show probably won’t make sense. It’s likely to be canceled.

Key:

DSW

Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing

sure bet to be canceled by May 2017

likely to be canceled by May 2017

tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017

likely to be renewed by May 2017

sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

]]>http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-28-sleepy-hollow-is-done-and-should-stay-that-way/feed/1sleepy-hollow-renew-cancel-wk-28tvbnrickCancel Bear vs. FOX, week 27: ‘Making History’ is likely to be historyhttp://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-27-making-history-is-likely-to-be-history/
http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-27-making-history-is-likely-to-be-history/#commentsTue, 28 Mar 2017 14:35:46 +0000http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/?p=506123]]>FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 27 of the 2016-17 season check back in with a rookie show, and the news isn’t good.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

A few weeks ago, the Bear rated FOX’s new comedy “Making History” as a tossup pending more data.

More data has come in, and it’s not good. After posting a 0.9 rating for its premiere — the basis for that early tossup ranking — “Making History” has put up 0.7s for three straight weeks, pulling its average down to just above replacement level.

The show is also now coming in below “Son of Zorn’s” average, even if you take out the artificial inflation “Zorn” enjoyed on NFL lead-in weeks. “Making History” is therefore downgrading to a likely cancellation.

Key:

DSW

Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing

sure bet to be canceled by May 2017

likely to be canceled by May 2017

tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017

likely to be renewed by May 2017

sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

Spring training has begun in Major League Baseball, and in a couple of weeks teams will start playing games that count. Had FOX stuck to its initial plan for this season, now is also around the time we’d all be seeing a new drama set in and around MLB called “Pitch.”

Instead, FOX — maybe influenced by critical praise for the “Pitch” pilot — rejiggered its schedule to put the show on in the fall, where it almost instantly took up residence on the bubble.

That, in the Bear’s opinion, was an unforced error. We’ll never know how “Pitch” would have performed in the spring had FOX stuck with its initial plan, but its 0.8-0.9 ratings might have looked better after a bunch of other broadcast shows pulled similar or worse numbers.

FOX’s parent company owns “Pitch,” which could help its chances a bit come May. It remains a tossup, however, and it may come down to how much FOX likes its pilots for next season.

Key:

DSW

Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing

sure bet to be canceled by May 2017

likely to be canceled by May 2017

tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017

likely to be renewed by May 2017

sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

]]>http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-26-baseball-season-brings-pitch-back-up-to-bat/feed/1pitch-renew-cancel-wk-26tvbnrickCancel Bear vs. FOX, week 25: ‘The Last Man on Earth’ inches up to a likely renewalhttp://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-25-the-last-man-on-earth-inches-up-to-a-likely-renewal/
http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/renewcancel/cancel-bear-vs-fox-week-25-the-last-man-on-earth-inches-up-to-a-likely-renewal/#respondTue, 14 Mar 2017 14:51:33 +0000http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/?p=505664]]>FOX’s renew/cancel standings for week 25 of the 2016-17 season bring good news for a third-year show.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

Note: Because of Nielsen delays, averages for Sunday shows are through March 5. March 12 ratings will be factored in next week.

“The Last Man on Earth” was off FOX’s schedule for three months, and it wasn’t exactly a smash to begin with, hovering at or just below a 1.0 among adults 18-49. The long layoff, however, didn’t really send viewers drifting away for good.

The show returned last week to slightly better numbers than when it left. That steadiness, and the fact that FOX owns the show that will be at 50 or so episodes by season’s end, is enough to bump “The Last Man on Earth” up to a likely return next fall.

None of FOX’s live-action comedies are big draws, but if it’s likely that “New Girl” and “Brooklyn Nine-Nine” will return (and it is) with similar ratings, then it’s likely “Last Man” will as well.

Key:

DSW

Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing

sure bet to be canceled by May 2017

likely to be canceled by May 2017

tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017

likely to be renewed by May 2017

sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

The series debut of “Making History” was the highest-rated time-travel show on TV Sunday night. Then again, its competition was “Time After Time,” so the Bear is damning with faint praise a bit.

The comedy’s 0.9 premiere rating puts it squarely on the bubble for now, as a tossup pending more data. The good news is that it held onto its “Simpsons” lead-in reasonably well. The bad news is that it’s starting below the season average for “Son of Zorn.” But the good news is that “Zorn” also averaged about a 0.9 on Sundays when FOX didn’t have the NFL running into primetime.

You get the idea. The Bear will wait and see what the trend for “Making History” is for the next few weeks. But even in this era, starting below 1.0 is not a great place to be.

Key:

DSW

Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing

sure bet to be canceled by May 2017

likely to be canceled by May 2017

tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017

likely to be renewed by May 2017

sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

FOX handed out renewals to three shows — “The Mick,” “Lethal Weapon” and “Star” — last week to go along with previous pickups “Empire,” “Lucifer,” “The Simpsons” and “Bob’s Burgers.” Assuming that “Star” once again airs in between the two halves of “Empire’s” run next season, the network has about a third of its weekly schedule for 2017-18 locked down.

None of the pickups is a huge surprise; the Bear had all but “Lucifer” (a tossup) rated as likely renewals or sure things prior to their being renewed. With “Lucifer” and “Star” in particular, however, it may be a signal that FOX is taking a long look at somewhat marginal shows.

That could be good news for, say, “Son of Zorn” or “24: Legacy,” the latter of which didn’t get any kind of Super Bowl honeymoon after moving to its regular night. It also suggests FOX is nowhere near done with the post-“American Idol” rebuilding job it began this season.

FOX’s bubble is looking rather soft this season. It won’t be soft enough to save the likes of “Scream Queens,” but most other shows are probably still in play.

Key:

DSW

Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing

sure bet to be canceled by May 2017

likely to be canceled by May 2017

tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017

likely to be renewed by May 2017

sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.

*The index number for “Rosewood” is a weighted average of its performance on Thursdays and Fridays.

After “APB” had a pretty decent premiere on Feb. 6, the Bear listed it as a likely renewal.

After episode 2, the Bear realizes maybe he was a little hasty. The show is knocked back to a tossup this week.

Why? Its ratings dropped by a third in week two, falling from 1.5 to 1.0 in adults 18-49. That’s a worrisome decline right out of the gate. Leaving out shows that had post-NFL premieres, only three of the 25 other new series on the Big 4 networks had as big a decline in week 2 — and two of those, “The Good Place” and “Ransom,” aired with better lead-ins outside their usual night. (“The Exorcist” was the other.)

If this is the floor for “APB,” it might be OK, considering it’s a 20th Century Fox show. History suggests it’s not the floor, however, which could be bad news. For now “APB” in limbo.

Key:

DSW

Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing

sure bet to be canceled by May 2017

likely to be canceled by May 2017

tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017

likely to be renewed by May 2017

sure bet to be renewed by May 2017

The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.

Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 7 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number.

Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.

(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.