With 90 days until Opening Day it is time to publish the first edition of the projected final standings of the MLB 2015 Regular Season.

In this first version the projections are have not been adjusted and are simply the result of simulating each game 1000 times. Current depth-chart, projected playing time for each player and the schedule of each team is used in team construction. Each team consists of a five-man-rotation, a batting lineup of nine batters (eight + league average pitcher in games where NL-team is the home-team) and an eight man bullpen.

I think Cincinnati is about where they should be in the projections. Looking at their projected starting rotation (Johnny Cueto, Homer Bailey, Mike Leake, Tony Cingrani and Anthony DeSclafani) and ranking them by projected ERA (earned runs against), the Reds rank 16th in MLB and last in NL Central. Their projected lineup ranks 27th in MLB and last in NL Central in projected wOBA (weighted on-base average).

Reply

Ethan C.

9/2/2015 19:11:27

Funny how Jays are 3rd best. Even better projected than Nats. For the Jays to do better than the Nats and others, they need a bullpen. But I agree, they have a chance to get back to the playoffs