Connecticut lived up to its reputation as a blue state in the 2016 elections. It gave Hillary Clinton a solid 14-point margin of victory, a small drop from Obama’s 17-point margin in 2012 but still a solid victory. However, the winning coalition that Clinton put together in Connecticut was markedly different from Obama’s 2012 coalition. … More What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 2 – Connecticut statewide elections

New Hampshire is known for its close elections, and in that respect, the 2016 elections certainly did not disappoint. Though Barack Obama won New Hampshire by a solid 6 percent margin in 2012, Hillary Clinton won New Hampshire by a margin of only 0.3 percent. Thus, New Hampshire was the closest state in the 2016 … More What on Earth Happened in 2016, Part 1 – New Hampshire statewide elections

On June 7, 2016, the final group of states held their presidential primaries for the 2016 election cycle. While the media coverage of the primaries that day focused almost entirely on California, perhaps the more revealing primary, in terms of using the results to draw conclusions about the political demographics of the state and how … More Analysis and Maps of the 2016 New Jersey Democratic Presidential Primary

Pardon the lateness; I’ve had a very busy past few months. -Gregory Unlike in 2008, when Connecticut held its Democratic presidential primary relatively early (on February 5), in 2016 Connecticut’s Democratic primary was held in the second half of primary season, on April 26, alongside primaries in four other states: Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Delaware, and … More Maps and Analysis of the 2016 Connecticut Democratic Presidential Primary

The 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary in Massachusetts featured a close race between Hillary Clinton, the Democratic frontrunner, and Bernie Sanders, from the neighboring state of Vermont. After heavy campaigning in the state by both candidates, Clinton ended up winning by approximately 17,000 votes, or 1.4 percent. But how did she do it? How did a … More Maps and Analysis of the 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary in Massachusetts

This is an overview of the 2016 state senate elections in Maine. In this diary, I will go through every race, discussing the candidates and the outlook of each race. A small note of warning: Independent candidates have not yet filed for these elections, and if they do they could have a significant impact on … More Analysis of 2016 State Senate Elections in Maine

New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation presidential primary took place on February 9, 2016. On the Republican side, there were eight major candidates remaining in the race: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump. In the run-up to the election, polls consistently showed Trump in the mid-30s, with … More Maps and Analysis of the 2016 New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary