Tag Archives: EUR

The EUR/USD has perfectly rejected from both POCs after the setup and analysis shown on Weekly Recap and at this time it is very clear that the equidistant channel is trapping the price keeping the range bound market still in play. After a fake-out that happened yesterday 1.1720-1.1690 (which was still good to trade as a breakout trade, and what I showed during the Live Trading webinar) we can see two POC zones within the equidistant channel that might push or tank the price. If the price spikes above 1.1778 (EMA89, D H3, channel high) the target is 1.1798 and 1.1825. Above 1.1832 we should see a continuation towards more…

On the daily chart of EURUSD we can see a nice rising price activity since start of 2017, which can be labeled as a higher degree wave C) in the making. We know that wave C) is an impulse, which means it must consists out of five sub-waves. Well, here we already see three, which means once the upcoming wave 4 correction unfolds, a new push higher into final wave 5 of C) may start to develop. We also see Fibonacci ratio of 261.8 being touched, which can act as resistance for wave 3 and push prices lower into wave 4. more…

Good day traders! Today we’re gonna take a look at some intraday charts. The first one is EURUSD. The EURUSD is trading nicely higher today, probably in final stages of a higher degree bullish impulse. Ideally current rally since 28th of July is the final push of a black wave v of v), that will search for limited upside near the middle or upper channel line. From the mentioned region a new change in trend can come in play. more…

EURJPY can be trading in final stages of a higher degree impulse, which means a three wave reversal lower can be in view. Current rally can be final wave 5) in the making, that is more and more looking like an ending diagonal pattern. An ending diagonal pattern is a powerful reversal pattern, that can after its completion push prices in the opposite direction. Hopefully, current Fibonacci ratio of 261.8 will act as a resistance and also push prices lower. more…

The USD is showing some nice strong price action since yesterday against EUR, GBP, CHF and JPY, but not so much against commodity currencies which are still acting very strong despite lower gold and oil prices. Our special attention is still on EURUSD and USDJPY. more…

Short Term EURJPY Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from 4/16 low is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from 4/16 (114.8) low, Intermediate wave (W) ended at 125.81 and Intermediate wave (X) ended at 122.53. A break above 125.81 however is still needed to add conviction that the next leg higher has started. more…

Emmanuel Macron won the presidential election last Sunday, defeating Marine Le Pen, a far-right nationalist who wanted to take France out of the European Union. Markets had feared that Le Pen’s win could threaten the EU project, but Macron’s win has eliminated uncertainty regarding France’s membership of the Euro and removed the risk of near-term severe political shock to France and wider Europe. The Euro went above $1.10 briefly, but since then has pulled back. The upwards move was not dramatic than the first round of French elections as many traders have anticipated Macron’s victory and thus victory was already well priced in. more…

The EUR/GBP has formed a rounding bottom shaped pattern at the support and is rejecting from W H3 camarilla pivot. 0.8435-50 is POC zone (D L3, ATR pivot, EMA 89, 50.0, trend line) and rejection from POC could target 0.8510. Have in mind that if target is reached, the pair could possibly spike to 0.8550 during next few days. This bullish scenario is negated if the pair drops and stays below 0.8400, rounded bottom low. more…

The EUR/JPY had formed a huge marubozu candle (purple highlight) on 4h time frame after it was announced that Emmanuel Macron won the first round of the French presidential elections. If you followed my Price Action Trading School, than you should know that marubozu candle appears during high momentum in the market. Equities and EUR/USD went bullish, especially CAC40 as I predicted and analysed in the blog post before the elections. more…

EURUSD is slow and choppy because of holidays, so we think that pair is still trapped in a corrective price movement. We are tracking a complex structure which is expected to unfold in seven swings. We are tracking a double zigzag which may see limited upside this week near 1.0690-1.0710. Bearish turn may show up from there in impulsive fashion. more…