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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST THU OCT 29 1998
...MITCH WEAKENS...NOW A TROPICAL STORM...
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENTS OF MEXICO...BELIZE...GUATEMALA
... AND HONDURAS HAVE CHANGED THEIR HURRICANE WARNINGS TO TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE
OFFSHORE ISLANDS. AT 4 PM...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR
THE COAST OF BELIZE. SMALL CRAFT IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT.
AT 4 PM EST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MITCH WAS ESTIMATED BY
THE HURRICANE HUNTERS TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST...OR JUST INLAND BETWEEN TRUJILLO AND LIMON
HONDURAS.
THE CENTER OF MITCH HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD OVER LAND DURING THE PAST
FEW HOURS. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH... 95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF HONDURAS
RECENTLY REPORTED STEADY WINDS NEAR 60 MPH AT TRUJILLO. SOME
FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE INNER CIRCULATION OF MITCH
INTERACTS WITH LAND. ALTERNATELY...REINTENSIFICATION COULD OCCUR IF
MITCH EMERGES FROM THE COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 15 TO 25 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF HONDURAS AND OTHER
PARTS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF MITCH...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. DANGEROUS COASTAL FLOODING DUE TO
STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND WAVES IS ALSO OCCURRING OVER OTHER COASTAL
LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA.
REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...15.9 N... 85.8 W. MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
EST.
RAPPAPORT
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
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