Gaza: Deterrence and Proportionality

Last Friday, the IDF struck out against the Iranian controlled Popular Resistance Committees which our intelligence discovered were orchestrating another attack on the Egyptian border. Zuhair al Qaisi, the Secretary-General of the PRC (who had orchestrated the previous terror attack a few months on the Egyptian border near Eilat) and his collaborator Mahmoud Hanani, recently released in the course of the Schalit exchange, were both killed…writes Isi Leibler

Isi Leibler

Gaza terror groups immediately responded and in the space of a few days over 200 rockets were launched against the South, one grad missile reaching as far as Gedera, only 40 kilometers from Tel-Aviv. Scores of Israelis throughout the South were injured. One rocket In Beer Sheva landed in an empty school courtyard, narrowly missing an apartment building. Subsequent Israeli responses destroyed numerous rocket launching cells and killed scores of terrorists.

We can take pride in the fact that our Iron Dome interceptor missiles have been extraordinarily successful and intercepted 90% of missiles directed towards the major cities. But even setting aside the immense cost of $50,000 for each intercept, at this stage Iron Dome is still far from foolproof and it only takes one missile to penetrate and cause tragic civilian casualties.

But besides that, it is outrageous to enable the terrorists from Gaza, at their discretion, to have the ability to force over a million inhabitants in the South in major cities like Beer Sheva, Ashkelon , Ashdod, and other regional councils from constantly to become hostages to their whim and obliged to disrupt their lives, effectively living for days on end underground and closing schools involving over 250,000 children.

There is no disputing that overcoming the existential threat of a nuclear Iran must remain our primary objective. And, yes, we also have sensitive issues which must concern us in relation to our Egyptian neighbors.
But it will be unconscionable for our government to enable these considerations to inhibit adequate responses to missiles being launched against its citizens. It must be willing to take drastic action to deter even a single rocket being deliberately launched. Otherwise we doom ourselves to a new war of attrition and destroy the quality of life of increasing numbers of our citizens.

At present, Hamas would not consider the timing appropriate for them to confront us in another all-out war. The instability in Syria, Egypt and most of the Arab world would not enable them to effectively exploit their relationships with these countries.

But the reality is that our government is being derelict in its duty if it continues to restrain itself and responds “proportionately” to rocket launches on its citizens, awaiting a catastrophe before employing genuine deterrence (which by definition cannot be “proportionate”).

The inevitable outcome of the absence of a decisive response will mean that God forbid, one of these hundreds of rockets will one day ultimately culminate in a catastrophe involving many tragic casualties. At that point the government will feel obliged to respond harshly and will invariably find itself engaged in another Gaza war. No self-respecting country should hold back awaiting such an eventuality.

What is currently required are not threats and bluster but a clear warning from the government that if Hamas fails to control terrorist initiatives against us stemming from the region under its jurisdiction, we will protect our civilians by responding far more harshly than killing a few terrorists. We will state that that rocket attacks which oblige large numbers of Israelis to live in shelters are totally unacceptable and emphasize that we are no longer going to play the game of tit-for-tat and will exercise maximum deterrence.

And if deterrence does not work it will be in our interests to confront the problem now rather than in the future and eliminate the rockets and weapons in Gaza that were obviously assembled for use against us at a time best suited for the genocidal Hamas bent on our destruction.

Our embassies should be clearly outlining our position in advance, especially in the United States and Europe.
Last Friday, the IDF struck out against the Iranian controlled Popular Resistance Committees which our intelligence discovered were orchestrating another attack on the Egyptian border. Zuhair al Qaisi, the Secretary-General of the PRC (who had orchestrated the previous terror attack a few months on the Egyptian border near Eilat) and his collaborator Mahmoud Hanani, recently released in the course of the Schalit exchange, were both killed.
Gaza terror groups immediately responded and in the space of a few days over 200 rockets were launched against the South, one grad missile reaching as far as Gedera, only 40 kilometers from Tel-Aviv. Scores of Israelis throughout the South were injured. One rocket In Beer Sheva landed in an empty school courtyard, narrowly missing an apartment building. Subsequent Israeli responses destroyed numerous rocket launching cells and killed scores of terrorists.
We can take pride in the fact that our Iron Dome interceptor missiles have been extraordinarily successful and intercepted 90% of missiles directed towards the major cities. But even setting aside the immense cost of $50,000 for each intercept, at this stage Iron Dome is still far from foolproof and it only takes one missile to penetrate and cause tragic civilian casualties.
But besides that, it is outrageous to enable the terrorists from Gaza, at their discretion, to have the ability to force over a million inhabitants in the South in major cities like Beer Sheva, Ashkelon , Ashdod, and other regional councils from constantly to become hostages to their whim and obliged to disrupt their lives, effectively living for days on end underground and closing schools involving over 250,000 children.
There is no disputing that overcoming the existential threat of a nuclear Iran must remain our primary objective. And, yes, we also have sensitive issues which must concern us in relation to our Egyptian neighbors.
But it will be unconscionable for our government to enable these considerations to inhibit adequate responses to missiles being launched against its citizens. It must be willing to take drastic action to deter even a single rocket being deliberately launched. Otherwise we doom ourselves to a new war of attrition and destroy the quality of life of increasing numbers of our citizens.
At present, Hamas would not consider the timing appropriate for them to confront us in another all-out war. The instability in Syria, Egypt and most of the Arab world would not enable them to effectively exploit their relationships with these countries.
But the reality is that our government is being derelict in its duty if it continues to restrain itself and responds “proportionately” to rocket launches on its citizens, awaiting a catastrophe before employing genuine deterrence (which by definition cannot be “proportionate”).
The inevitable outcome of the absence of a decisive response will mean that God forbid, one of these hundreds of rockets will one day ultimately culminate in a catastrophe involving many tragic casualties. At that point the government will feel obliged to respond harshly and will invariably find itself engaged in another Gaza war. No self-respecting country should hold back awaiting such an eventuality.
What is currently required are not threats and bluster but a clear warning from the government that if Hamas fails to control terrorist initiatives against us stemming from the region under its jurisdiction, we will protect our civilians by responding far more harshly than killing a few terrorists. We will state that that rocket attacks which oblige large numbers of Israelis to live in shelters are totally unacceptable and emphasize that we are no longer going to play the game of tit-for-tat and will exercise maximum deterrence.
And if deterrence does not work it will be in our interests to confront the problem now rather than in the future and eliminate the rockets and weapons in Gaza that were obviously assembled for use against us at a time best suited for the genocidal Hamas bent on our destruction.
Our embassies should be clearly outlining our position in advance, especially in the United States and Europe.

By any logic or comparison such a position is unassailable. There is no other country in the world which would be displaying “restraint” or applying principles of proportionality when their neighbors provide a safe haven and enable terrorists to launch hundreds of potentially lethal rockets against our citizens. They would find it difficult to deny the reality that a state which enables missiles to be launched against its neighbor would under any circumstances be deemed to have effectively declared war.
I have no doubt that if we acted resolutely in this manner the US Congress and all open-minded people would overwhelmingly endorse our position.

By any logic or comparison such a position is unassailable. There is no other country in the world which would be displaying “restraint” or applying principles of proportionality when their neighbors provide a safe haven and enable terrorists to launch hundreds of potentially lethal rockets against our citizens. They would find it difficult to deny the reality that a state which enables missiles to be launched against its neighbor would under any circumstances be deemed to have effectively declared war.
I have no doubt that if we acted resolutely in this manner the US Congress and all open-minded people would overwhelmingly endorse our position.

Isi Leibler lives in Jerusalem. He is a former president of the Executive Council of Australian Jewry.

Comments

Of course, you are totally correct Isi, no nation has ever shown the restraint, patience, and perseverance that Israel has shown in the face of the fanatical hatred and murderous assaults on the people of Israel, but patience must come to an end. A straw poll of our non-Jewish friends has shown that right-thinking people in Australia and I dare say, around the world, a) applaud Israel for its very restrained response, b) would support Israel for whatever action the civil and military authorities of Israel deem necessary to deal with this ‘State-sponsored’ terrorism from Gaza, Iran and the other ‘rat-bag’, so-called ‘Islamic’ countries. Blessings on you all.

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