Events in the Arctic deserve all the attention they can get. One original way of doing so is regularly being undertaken by commenter scarlet p, also known as the Freewayblogger. He puts up signs on the freeways of California and the western United States to increase awareness of several issues, ...

The Australian heat wave extremes reminds me of the much lower temps this year in Kansas which were still high enough to kill the corn in the field. 112 F is high enough to kill corn. And Kansas got to 114 F.
I'm unfamiliar with Australian agriculture. What crops are threatened by its 50 C temps?

It started one and a half year ago with the suspension of Arctic scientist Charles Monnett, which quickly turned out to be a Kafkaesque witch hunt. It is becoming increasingly clear that the 'investigation' was fuelled by fossil fuel, and the person that explains the whole saga best is none othe...

We were in Alaska while that was happening. Watching glaciers calve ice bergs! Except ours were little dinky things: the biggest was maybe 50 ft across its face. Even so, as small as they were, they all had that characteristic crack and grumble sound as they broke free of the main glacier. I can't imagine how loud the calving in that movie was -- the db limiters of the micrphone would reduce the End Times to a cricket chirp.

Greenland's glaciers and ice sheet have become an integral part of this blog. Perhaps it should be renamed to ASIGIS blog? ;-) This clip from the Chasing Ice documentary has been doing the rounds lately. It's showing the largest iceberg calving ever filmed, with 7.4 cubic km of ice crashing off ...

1. It does not come from St. Joseph, Missouri. 2. It is not made in a brewery located where there used to be a stockyard. 3. It is not drunk by workers at a stockyard. Instead, it is from San Jose, California. Well, "Wichita Lineman", "Galveston", and "By the Time I Get to Phoenix" were all writt...

Tim Noah asks: >Why Won’t Conservatives Denounce Voter Suppression? Either this is false naiveté on the part of Tim Noah--in which case I find it annoying--or Tim Noah genuinely does not understand that in the eyes of American conservatives an America in which fewer poor and Black people vote is ...

Kudos to @glennkesslerwp who once again calls something flatly true false. Inequality and deregulation didn't lead to the financial crisis?— Ryan Grim (@ryangrim) October 7, 2012 I swear, at this point Glenn Kessler really needs to change his name and start over...

Catherine Rampell: The Math on the Romney-Ryan Tax Plan: >On Fox News Sunday, Paul Ryan said that he didn’t have time to explain the math behind his tax proposal. Fortunately I have a few minutes to spare, so I thought I’d pitch in…. Mr. Ryan was asked to explain how the proposal can be revenue n...

I've never understood the "cycles" people. Where does the energy from the extra greenhouse gases go? It seems to me that you would have to deny the Greenhouse Effect to be a "cycles" person. The amount of energy from the increase in greenhouse gases can be calculated, and that energy has to do some work.

Talking about cool, yet depressing vids: Peter Sinclair from the Climate Denial Crock of the Week blog has produced a new video for The Yale Forum on Climate Change & The Media (link) that covers this melting season and shows the reactions from several experts: Great stuff. Thank you, Peter!

1976-1977 appears to have been the bulk of the genocide. A drop of 1.5 million people. A ~300,000 decline over the next 3 years could be from the war or continuing genocide. Almost 2 million is quite enough horror for me. Nothing "inept" about it.
http://www.populstat.info/Asia/cambodic.htm
In 10 years, the population returned to pre-genocide levels and has continued to grow dramatically. If the US population had grown at a similar rate, we'd have a population now of ~500,000,000.

I had zeroed out all memory of "Counterpunch". Alex Tabarrok brings knowledge of it and its Alexander Cockburn memorial issue back. I suppose he is doing a good deed: I should not forget that such things as "Counterpunch" and its Cambodian Holocaust deniers exist: >Israel Shamir: Pol Pot Revisite...

I once applied for a job in Weatherford, OK. Only a telephone interview, I was told by the interviewer, because almost everyone made up their mind about the job if they saw the place before they got an offer.

Some things are up to date--and Internet connections are about to be a generation in the unequally-distributed future--here along the not-so-wide Missouri where the women do not look especially crazy, but the rabbits definitely are... Yes, I am in Kansas City: this year I am on sabbatical as a Vi...

Aviva Shen on the remarkable Todd Akin: >Todd Akin: Constituents Who Want My Attention Should 'Write Me A Decent Check': A new recording released by his opponent, Democratic incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO), won’t do much to help him…. Akin suggests that the best way to get his attention is...

The interesting thing about Republican economics is that if TexOklaKan were to become a reality, it would devolve into Northern Mexico, and Missouri would pass immigration laws that would let their cops shoot anything in a cowboy hat.

Some things are up to date--and Internet connections are about to be a generation in the unequally-distributed future--here along the not-so-wide Missouri where the women do not look especially crazy, but the rabbits definitely are... Yes, I am in Kansas City: this year I am on sabbatical as a Vi...

Temps above 112 kill corn. The El Nino that would have ended the Great Plains drought apparently is stillborn. I don't think things will get better next year.
Hey, but that will be irrelevant as the debt crisis and the Tea Party led debt default pushes the country into the Seventh Level of Hell Depression. Keep your passport up to date.

Some things are up to date--and Internet connections are about to be a generation in the unequally-distributed future--here along the not-so-wide Missouri where the women do not look especially crazy, but the rabbits definitely are... Yes, I am in Kansas City: this year I am on sabbatical as a Vi...

The animation which shows the thinning of multi-year ice near the start of Sinclair's piece is an amazing bit of work. It shows the decline and the process of decline. It's like watching a fuse burn down.

Talking about cool, yet depressing vids: Peter Sinclair from the Climate Denial Crock of the Week blog has produced a new video for The Yale Forum on Climate Change & The Media (link) that covers this melting season and shows the reactions from several experts: Great stuff. Thank you, Peter!

Talking about cool, yet depressing vids: Peter Sinclair from the Climate Denial Crock of the Week blog has produced a new video for The Yale Forum on Climate Change & The Media (link) that covers this melting season and shows the reactions from several experts: Great stuff. Thank you, Peter!

At the Brookings Panel [Michael Klein](http://www.brookings.edu/about/projects/bpea/latest-conference#ref-id=20120913_wolfers_polarization) presented a paper: "Capital Controls: Gates and Walls: Central Banks’ Recent Experiments with Capital Controls Not Very Effective". During his presentation h...

Richard Green: >Richard's Real Estate and Urban Economics Blog: A question for Joel Kotkin: What happened to choice?: Joel Kotkin, who often correctly defends auto-oriented suburbs as reflections of many people's preferences, has written that he opposes a new zoning code for Hollywood that would ...

In 5-10 years, there will be a hit movie or a best selling book with a plot the involves assassins from countries beset by climate change. The assassins will come disguised as legitimate immigrants but will really be in search of the powerful deniers: industrialists, politicians, media figures, and academics. They will pursue a "little fish first" strategy and it will take some time before the phenomenon (Death Visits the Climate Denier Community) is acknowledged by the public. At that point, paranoia becomes a political force with a consequences-beyond-tomorrow effect. By the end of the book/movie, the hero -- a straight arrow, do-your-duty kind of guy -- will realize how compromised he has become, but he'll save the big target -- a foul, morally-bankrupt billionaire industrialist -- anyway. Because that's what straight-arrow, do-your-duty heroes do. Then, he'll kiss his Prius and drive off into the sunset.
At that point, we'll do something about climate change. Because there needs to be an attractive model for action.

With records being shattered all over the place, some names in the cryospheric community are gaining in prominence. One of those names is Peter Wadhams, professor of Ocean Physics at the University of Cambridge, who has been predicting for years the things we are currently witnessing. He alrea...

: >Gov. Mitt Romney's campaign toasted its top donors Wednesday aboard a 150-foot yacht flying the flag of the Cayman Islands. >The exclusive event, hosted by a Florida developer on his yacht "Cracker Bay," was one of a dozen exclusive events meant to nurture those who have raised more than $1 ...

"http://www.scotese.com/miocene1.htm What's so awfull in it?"
You know the future climate is going to be peachy? Fantastic. I didn't know anyone who could be sure of the future. The Greek gods couldn't even foresee it.

The sea ice is leaving us a bit more every year. It's time to start contemplating its absence, which is why I teamed up with Kevin McKinney to write an extended version of the shorter piece you might see pop up here and there. Because you know, disappearing sea ice isn't without consequences. An...

The sea ice is leaving us a bit more every year. It's time to start contemplating its absence, which is why I teamed up with Kevin McKinney to write an extended version of the shorter piece you might see pop up here and there. Because you know, disappearing sea ice isn't without consequences. An...

"the sd can't be used to determine the frequency of the event in that way."
Fine. I'm not a statistician. Exceeding 5 standard deviations on one side of the mean should happen around .000031383349 times.
Whatever the "times" means. When the issue has been discussed recently the "per/year" number has always been significantly smaller than my understanding of what it should be. To me a 2 sigma event shouldn't be all that rare. Once a decade or so. Discussion on the web make it seem rarer than that. I used my 1 in 30,000 because that seemed more conservatively scaled because at that point, it's back into the ages of glaciation and the real world meaning seems blurred. At any rate, it's rare enough that you need to account for it outside of natural variation.

There are several scientific organisations that keep an eye on the Arctic sea ice cover and put out graphs to inform us of the amount of ice that is left. You can see most, if not all, of them on the ASI Graphs webpage. I expect the record on most of these graphs to be broken in weeks to come. -...

And while we're on the subject of Jewish wisdom literature, let me quote Freud urging on his readers to embrace his realism:
"Those of our fellowmen who are dissatisfied with this state of things and who desire something more for their momentary peace of mind may look for it where they can find it. We shall not blame them for doing so; but we cannot help them and cannot change our own way of thinking on their account."

There are several scientific organisations that keep an eye on the Arctic sea ice cover and put out graphs to inform us of the amount of ice that is left. You can see most, if not all, of them on the ASI Graphs webpage. I expect the record on most of these graphs to be broken in weeks to come. -...

I'm just eyeballing a graph, and I know how inaccurate such things are, but the NSIDC graph on its front page to me looks 5 standard deviations from the mean. Maybe more. In other words, around 1 year in 30,000.
I'm reminded of the parable of Dives and Lazarus when Abraham rebukes Dives in Hell. Dives has just asked Abraham to send Lazarus back to warn his brothers. Abraham says, "They have Moses and the Prophets. If they don't believe them they won't believe if a man were to rise from the dead."
5 Standard Deviations.

There are several scientific organisations that keep an eye on the Arctic sea ice cover and put out graphs to inform us of the amount of ice that is left. You can see most, if not all, of them on the ASI Graphs webpage. I expect the record on most of these graphs to be broken in weeks to come. -...