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U.S. Economic Recovery Within the Foreseeable Future

Article Category: Business Management

Author Name: Amanda xzh

U.S. Department of Labor's November non-farm population, the unemployment rate of 9.6% over 10 months, hitting a 4-month high. Subsequently, the U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Sunday, do not rule out further purchase of government bonds to boost the possibility of the U.S. economy. The market for the U.S. Open third round of the quantitative easing policy of the instantaneous wind of rumors, analysts have pointed out that the deterioration of the data shows the problem of weak U.S. economic recovery remain, entirely possible to restart the quantitative easing policy, which will further reduce our future monetary policy space. Affected by this dollar rally blocked, rubber, cotton futures extend rally, oil prices also hit new highs recently.

U.S. economic recovery also need 3 to 5 years?

U.S. November non-farm employment increased by only 39,000 chain, while the market had widely expected U.S. jobs data growth will continue to heat up in October, economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected payrolls to increase by 15.5 over the ring million.

October employment data, to improve I think there are seasonal factors, and this month, many U.S. economic data are also part of the upcoming Christmas season by the impact of weak U.S. economic recovery, the problem has not been fundamentally resolved. In the absence of new economic growth point, the United States to rely on economic growth in money supply to drive, the dismal employment data reflect the United States itself is still not much improvement in the manufacturing sector.

U.S. economic recovery also need 3 to 5 years, before that, all kinds of data are insufficient to change the trend of change in society as a whole individual investors are still watching.

Bernanke said that quantitative easing may restart

In this context, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke in the CBS 5 News program "60 Minutes" in the statement becomes "natural." When asked about the second round of the Fed policy of quantitative easing will scale when more than 600 billion U.S. dollars, Bernanke replied: "Of course it could!" He said later of 2.5% in third quarter U.S. economic growth can only maintain the unemployment rate stability, the situation is slightly worse, the economy of converting self-sustained recovery, and long-term unemployment rate is the destruction of much of the market confidence, is the current primary threat to the U.S. economy.

The lingering high unemployment and slow economy is the U.S. policy of quantitative easing to the second round of the main reasons, Nov. 3, the Fed announced a 600 billion U.S. dollars of treasury bonds purchase program. Goldman Sachs economists estimate was done, if the Fed in response to the issue of deflation and unemployment rates continue to "take the old road", may also need to purchase a 4 trillion debt, so the Fed is entirely possible follow-up action.

If the unemployment rate is high again, the United States may well launch the third round of the quantitative easing policy, which is the idea and had the same strain, but the policy is to increase dosage. The third round of equivalent or consistent with the second round, will also take the form of a monthly purchase of government bonds, a little bit to observe the effects of policies, until the unemployment rate stabilized.

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