Friday, 7 November 2014

#GE2015 ELECTION FORECAST (NOVEMBER 7TH)

Little change in the polling average this week: Labour continue to
hold a slim one-point lead over the Tories, 33% to 32%. What movement
there is comes further down the order, with UKIP dropping a point to 15%
and the Liberal Democrats gaining one to 8%.
That small improvement for the Lib Dems translates into them holding
onto an extra two seats in our central forecast (for a total of 28, up
from 26 last week),
and knocks two off the Tories’ total (300, down from 302). That’d leave
the Tories as the largest party, with 9 seats more than Labour on 291,
but 26 short of a majority.
The effect is to slightly reduce the chances of a Tory majority (from
27% last week to 25% now) and slightly increase the chances of a Hung
Parliament (up from 54% to 56%). The Tories are still the favourites to
win the most seats, with a 54% chance to Labour’s 46% (compared to
55%-45% last week).

UK GENERAL ELECTION 2015 SEATS WON

WAYS YOU CAN FOLLOW THIS BLOG

HOW YOU CAN HELP THIS BLOG

Thank you for looking at our blog, No donation is needed keep your money for yourself. BUT! If you could share a link for this blog on your own blog or sites you visit, or leave a comment on this blog or become a follower on Twitter, Facebook or Google+. That would be very gratefully appreciated.