The American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) has produced more evidence that contradicts Hillary claims after she, once again, whined that Comey cost her the election. AAPOR wrote (emphasis mine):

Based on Figure 6, it appears that Clinton’s support started to drop on October 24th or 25th. October 28th falls at roughly the midpoint (not the start) of the slide in Clinton’s support. What’s more, the lag between when interviewing was conducted and when tracking poll results are released means that the slide in Clinton’s support probably began earlier than estimates in Figure 6 suggest. For example, the ABC News/Washington Post estimate of a tied race on October 31 was based on interviews conducted October 28-31. The IBD/TIPP estimates are based on interviews conducted during the six days prior to the date shown. Factoring in this lag, it is reasonable to speculate that Clinton’s slide began as early as October 22 or 23. There were no notable campaign events on either of those days, though the announcement that Obamacare premiums will increase occurred roughly around that time (October 25th).

AAPOR also found this (emphasis mine):

While Figure 6 indicates that Clinton’s lead was eroding before October 28th, it is possible that the FBI letter news story made that erosion more severe than it otherwise would have been. Another way to analyze a possible impact of the first FBI letter is to check whether, all else equal, the trend in support changed following the release of that letter. To test this, we conducted a regression analysis using all national public polls fielded between September 1st and Election Day. This analysis, which controlled for change over time and methodological characteristics of the polls, indicates that the Comey letter had an immediate, negative impact for Clinton on the order of 2 percentage points. The apparent impact did not last, as support for Clinton tended to tick up in the days just prior to the election.

THUS (again, emphasis mine):

Based on all of the data examined here, we would conclude there is at best mixed evidence to suggest that the FBI announcement tipped the scales of the race. Pairing this analysis with the preceding one on NEP data for late deciders, it remains unclear exactly why late-deciding voters broke for Trump in the Upper Midwest. Anecdotal reporting offered a number of other suggestions (e.g., Republicans skeptical of Trump finally “coming home,” Clinton’s campaign – believing the Upper Midwest was locked up – allocating time and money elsewhere, Democrats lukewarm on Clinton deciding to stay home), but ultimately the data available do not offer a definitive answer to this question.

Hillary in Denial

“If the election had been on October 27, I would be your president,” Clinton told moderator Christiane Amanpour, the CNN anchor, at a Women for Women International event in New York.

Clinton stated broadly that she takes “absolute personal responsibility” for her failure to win the White House. Yet the Democratic nominee declined to fault her strategy or message, nor did she acknowledge her own weak­nesses as a campaigner or the struggles by her and her advisers to at first comprehend and then respond to the angry mood of broad swaths of the electorate.

Instead, Clinton attributed her defeat to a range of external ­forces, including saying she was a victim of misogyny and of “false equivalency” in the news media.

Clinton said she was confident that she was on track to winning the election until two things reversed her momentum: the release of campaign chairman John Podesta’s emails, which were allegedly stolen by Russian hackers, and Comey’s Oct. 28 letter to Congress that he had reopened the bureau’s investigation into her use of a private email server.

She made these same claims in April when she complained that misogyny had something to do with her loss and pushed that everyone just needs to admit this.

Hillary Lost Because She Sucked

The AAOPR poll just repeats what others have found, but as long as Hillary keeps complaining, we have to keep blogging and reporting these points. Misogyny? NO! I blogged about this last month:

They cannot accept the fact that most women care about issues rather than the chromosomal makeup of the candidate:

What mattered most to voters, exit surveys indicated, was the economy, and, to borrow Trump’s words, “draining the swamp” in Washington. Four in 10 voters attested that they were in search of change, and three in five said the country was seriously on the wrong track. About the same proportion of people felt the economy wasn’t working for them, and two-thirds indicated that their financial situation was either the same or worse than it was when President Obama started his second term four years go.

Yet in interviews, some women said that electing the first female president wasn’t a reason to back the Mrs. Clinton. They cited misgivings about her use of a private email server while secretary of state, the fact they didn’t trust her or that they disagreed with her policies to expand government aid, such as her plan for free tuition for certain colleges.

“There isn’t a great deal of evidence that either her positions on issues or her candidacy as a woman [moved] the numbers very much,” said Karlyn Bowman, senior fellow at the conservative American Enterprise Institute in Washington.

She’ll never say it but she wants another crack at it in 2020. You see, it’s not that her campaign strategy was flawed but that America wasn’t ready for her in 2008 and 2016. So she’ll run the exact same campaign again in 2020 as the MSM again declares her unbeatable (rigged primary, of course).

Jeb! will again run as “the ONLY ONE who can beat Hillary” and history because it worked so well in 2008 and 2016. Trump in a landslide over Sanders.

Jeb! and Hillary get married and form their own kingdom on some remote island donated to them by K Street donors who just want them GONE!

The first step in the 12 step program for addiction is acknowledging that you have a problem. hillary has been stuck on step one now for many years and she doesn’t act like she will ever get over her addiction to stupidity!

Well, of course she has to keep claiming that it’s all the fault of various mysterious forces beyond even a dedicated control freak’s influence. The only alternative is to admit that far too many voters know full well that she’s just about the worst person living in American today.

She can’t admit that because it would take a more modest and philosophical person than she’ll ever be to do so … and, more importantly, it means that she can never, no matter how much she lies and how much money she raises and how often she runs, never be America’s First Woman President. The votes simply aren’t there.

I ,Napoleon Trombonaparte, do hereby accept full responsibility for Hillary Clintons loss .
I have spent the last 62 years getting blamed for everything that has ever happened at work and at home.
I therefore feel I am entitled.

Baseball is a great game because it lends itself to so many analogies to life in general.

Let’s imagine a baseball team that finishes the season a half game out of the playoffs. Most people would blame the shortfall on the last loss. But the fact is any loss, even the first loss of the year, could have changed the outcome of the season had the game been won. This points out the fact that it is important to win every game – any single loss can be identified as the one having a decisive effect on the season’s outcome.

Hillary keeps referring to this and that, including Comey and the FBI, as the causes of her loss. Yet she neglects all of the self-induced mistakes that contributed to her loss, any one of which, had they not been made, could have permitted her to win. Like the baseball team that bemoans a losing streak at the end of the year, Hillary doesn’t understand that her loss was the result of every flaw, mistake, and misstep taken by her and her staff during the campaign, and not just those problems she continues to complain about.

I got into an interesting discussion on Facebook with someone yesterday and she had a point I had never considered before in relation to Hillary Clinton. She said that Obama happened because of Clinton and I think she is right. Like Trump Obama seemed a better, more likable or honest alternative to someone who has been disliked by her own party since Bill was president.
At the end of the day she and Bill may have had the pact over his and hers presidencies but they forgot to take into account the American people and their distaste for her. Heaven help America with the likes of these people but the wisdom of crowds theory seems to work again.

Hawkeye42 – that is an interesting comment your Facebook pen pal made for it means Hillary is responsible for up to 16 years of ruin in America, 8 with Obama and Obamacare and potentially 8 with President Trump and fake news. Not bad work for a woman – let’s hope, unlike the folk saying, it’s done

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