NYC fails to reach 85°F in June – first time since 1916

000
NOUS41 KOKX 012057
PNSOKX
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
455 PM EDT WED JUL 1 2009
...UNUSUALLY WET AND COOL JUNE FOR CENTRAL PARK...
FOR SOME PERSPECTIVE...HERE ARE THE TOP TEN COOLEST AND WETTEST
JUNES ON RECORD SINCE 1869 FOR CENTRAL PARK NY:
COOLEST WETTEST
AVG. TEMP. YEAR INCHES PRECIP. YEAR
64.2 1903 10.27 2003
65.2 1881 10.06 2009
65.7 1916 9.78 1903
66.8 1926/1902 9.30 1972
67.2 1958 8.79 1989
67.3 1927 8.55 2006
67.4 1928 7.76 1887
67.5 2009/1897 7.58 1975
67.7 1878 7.13 1938
67.8 1924 7.05 1871
DUE TO THE UNUSUALLY COOL AND WET CONDITIONS IN JUNE...HERE ARE SOME
INTERESTING FACTS TO NOTE:
THIS JUNE IS TIED FOR THE 8TH COOLEST ON RECORD. THE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE WAS 67.5...3.7 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...WHICH ALSO
OCCURRED IN 1897.
THIS WAS THE COOLEST JUNE SINCE 1958...WHEN THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE
WAS 67.2 DEGREES.
BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OCCURRED ON 23 OUT OF 30 DAYS THIS
JUNE...OR 75 PERCENT OF THE MONTH.
CENTRAL PARK HAS NOT HIT 90 DEGREES IN THE MONTH OF JUNE THIS YEAR.
THE LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS BACK IN 1996.
CENTRAL PARK HAS NOT HIT 85 DEGREES IN THE MONTH OF JUNE THIS YEAR.
THE LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS BACK IN 1916. THIS HAS ONLY OCCURRED
2 OTHER TIMES...1903 AND 1886.
THE LAST TIME THAT CENTRAL PARK HIT 90 OR GREATER THIS YEAR WAS IN
APRIL. THE LAST TIME THAT CENTRAL PARK HIT 90 IN APRIL...BUT NOT IN
JUNE WAS BACK IN 1990.
THE LAST TIME THAT CENTRAL PARK HIT 85 OR GREATER THIS YEAR WAS IN
MAY. THE LAST TIME THAT CENTRAL PARK HIT 85 IN MAY...BUT NOT IN JUNE
WAS BACK IN 1903. THE LAST TIME THAT CENTRAL PARK HIT 85 IN
APRIL...BUT NOT IN JUNE WAS ALSO BACK IN 1903.
THE LOWEST TEMPERATURE REACHED IN CENTRAL PARK IN THE MONTH OF JUNE
WAS 50 DEGREES. THE LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS BACK IN 2003.
THE LOW TEMPERATURE DIPPED BELOW 60 DEGREES 11 TIMES IN THE MONTH OF
JUNE. THE LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS IN 2003 WHEN IT OCCURRED 17
TIMES.
IT WAS THE SECOND WETTEST JUNE ON RECORD WITH 10.06 INCHES OF RAIN.
THE WETTEST JUNE ON RECORD IS 2003 WITH 10.27 INCHES.
THERE WERE 19 DAYS THIS JUNE WHERE THERE WAS AT LEAST 0.01 INCHES OF
RAINFALL. THIS HAS NEVER OCCURRED IN CENTRAL PARK.
AT LEAST A TRACE OF RAINFALL WAS REPORTED ON 23 OUT OF 30 DAYS THIS
JUNE.

It appears as though Realclimate is hedging in light of the recent cooling.
Guest commentary by Kyle Swanson, “We hypothesize that the established pre-1998 trend is the true forced warming signal, and that the climate system effectively overshot this signal in response to the 1997/98 El Niño. This overshoot is in the process of radiatively dissipating, and the climate will return to its earlier defined, greenhouse gas-forced warming signal. If this hypothesis is correct, the era of consistent record-breaking global mean temperatures will not resume until roughly 2020.”

It has a been pretty cool June here in Ohio, too. Three days at ninety or above, yet the average temp for the month of June was 71.2. The lowest temp was 44. On the 2nd of July, we tied a very old record for lowest high temp.

Randall (20:50:25) :
It appears as though Realclimate is hedging in light of the recent cooling.
Guest commentary by Kyle Swanson, “We hypothesize that the established pre-1998 trend is the true forced warming signal, and that the climate system effectively overshot this signal in response to the 1997/98 El Niño. This overshoot is in the process of radiatively dissipating, and the climate will return to its earlier defined, greenhouse gas-forced warming signal. If this hypothesis is correct, the era of consistent record-breaking global mean temperatures will not resume until roughly 2020.”
Freaking Idiots

Roughly 2020. What’s going on in 2020?
SC24 will be wrapping it up, heading into the next minimum.
That’s interesting. Seems like they might have jumped the gun a bit. That’s quite the extended outlook.
Nice bit of history, though.

Just a thought but I’ll guess we will start to see a few (and then many, maybe) reports on cognitive dissonance in the next few years. I suppose the pro-AGW folks in the funding agencies and editorial boards may not approve of this so those with professional interest in such studies may want to get their requests for funding submitted soon.

We wanted hot tea this morning so we put the pot on the burner yesterday and waited until it got warmer, turned off the burner and by this morning the pot was boiling. Or not.
Are there really competent scientists postulating this sort of thing?

“At least they acknowledged the record vs deciding not to say anything”
————————————-
Yabut, did the NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY have permission to post this data from Jimbo? If not they’ll be a few less NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE workers in NEW YORK NY soon. And don’t fret about the low temperatures above, once Jimbo gets finished massaging them it’ll be the third warmest June on record!

I have been watching the temperatures on the west coast of America and it looks to be cooler than normal from LA to SF so far,whats going on and why?
I have visited the west coast a few times and always found the june/july temperatures higher, is it going to affect the growing season?

I expect the AGW zealots can explain what is happening quite irrationally. I fully expect to see something along the lines of:
“Recent exogenous events have suspended, for the short-term, the ever upward climate trend that is the response to man-made CO2. The real concern is that current observations now mask an underlying warming trend. Our modelling shows that the warming trend will return with a vengeance once the current exogenously caused cooling expires; and its worse than we originally expected.”

“We hypothesize that the established pre-1998 trend is the true forced warming signal, and that the climate system effectively overshot this signal in response to the 1997/98 El Niño. This overshoot is in the process of radiatively dissipating, and the climate will return to its earlier defined, greenhouse gas-forced warming signal. If this hypothesis is correct, the era of consistent record-breaking global mean temperatures will not resume until roughly 2020.”
Yes but if it doesn’t start warming again until “roughly” 2020, because of the last 10 yeras temperature decline that will mean “roughly” a rise of only 0.3C in “roughjy” 120 years, which is certainly not enough to get your knickers in a knot over even if it was man made, which of course it’s not.
What do these people expect, perfect climatic stability, unbelievable!

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8146995.stm
I think WUWT should devote a segment to this article. If hundreds of children died from something that could remotely be tied to global warming, do you think we would have heard about it? I imagine we’d have days of emotional stories, pictures, journalists interviewing the families of the dead in the prime-time and the IPCC leadership pounding their fists on their podium saying, “I TOLD YOU SO!” Yet, winter comes three months early and kills hundreds of children and we hear nothing. The GW movement and their media buddies now have blood on their hands as far as I am concerned. I’d have sent a blanket or some $$$ had I known what was happening over there… and there is no doubt it was (and remains) newsworthy.
I think WUWT should give this story a wider audience, as a matter of fact, forget this post and run with it – this deserves much more than being buried in a blog post.

Yeah even the world’s best Weatherologist (and oldest, 275 witout a cryo chamber)
Ugly Dave Nightshow remarked the Rats had come out of their Temperature cooled sewers to have icy pole on a spring day.

The fact that even warmists admit that there will be a lull in warming must mean that there are forcings, or even chaos, that are not accounted for within their models. What are those assumptions that were missed?…and will the models be updated to allow for those missing forcings?

This is what I have to say about the ‘Realclimate’ gobbledygook:
——————
“Abuse of words has been the great instrument of sophistry and chicanery, of party, faction, and division of society.”
~ John Adams ~
——————

I knew I had heard that year 2020 quoted somewhere, found it:
From a transcript of the hearing to confirm Holdren,
Holdren actually reaffirmed that he
still believes one billion people may
die within the next 11 years from a
climate-related drought:
Vitter: So you would stick to that
statement?
Holdren: I don’t think it’s likely. I
think we should invest effort
– considerable effort – to
reduce the likelihood
further.
Vitter: So you would stick to the
statement that it could
happen?
Holdren: It could happen, and …
Vitter: One billion by 2020?
Holdren: It could.

Sorry, Flanagan, but no record highs in California, except for a malfuntioning sensor here or there. Unless one throws out 50 years or more of weather records, one will not get new highs. On average, this year is cooler than last, which was cooler than the year before. Above average doesn’t get you a record. It gets you above average temps.

The summer here in Portugal has been cool, temperatures below the usual 30’s Cº. They usually stay in the mid to high 20’s Cº. The Portuguese Weather Office compares present temperatures with a 1971-2001 period, which makes it hard to compare with the last years. However, it doesn’t take a genius to tell that last winter was much colder than usual and that this summer still hasn’t arrived in full force like it does.

Flanagan (00:25:57) : “What will be interesting is to follow the situation after the el nino starts. Rightnow, the global anomalies are “exploding””
Exploding?!? 1/2 of one degree Farenheit now constitutes an “explosion”. Get out of your parent’s basement and get a life.

Kristinn (23:03:49)
I reckon you’d get a job in ‘climate science’ any day as you obviously have it sussed!
Seriously, I don’t ever remember seeing so many stories of cold weather in the NH summer before. I don’t ever remember hearing much about cold SH winter weather either.

RexAlan (23:07:49) :
“We hypothesize that the established pre-1998 trend is the true forced warming signal, and that the climate system effectively overshot this signal in response to the 1997/98 El Niño. This overshoot is in the process of radiatively dissipating, and the climate will return to its earlier defined, greenhouse gas-forced warming signal. If this hypothesis is correct, the era of consistent record-breaking global mean temperatures will not resume until roughly 2020.”
What do these people expect, perfect climatic stability, unbelievable!
—
Now what could be more “flat earth” than believing in perfect stability.
It seems Gavin Schmmmmmmmidt is British-born. Please, please, please, etc., don’t send him back when youv’e finished with him.
===
UK Sceptic (00:24:41) :
New York is not alone. Knott End on Sea has also failed to live up to high summer temperature expectations despite all of the Met Office’s efforts to the contrary. 😀
—
Wow! The gnat must certainly have relieved itself in the jungles of Borneo for something interesting to happen in Knott End! Why did they ever have the ferry to Fleetwood?

Kristinn (23:03:49) :
Furthermore, Kristinn, I’m sure Gavin et al’s models foresaw this 10 year cooling period which we have now had but that it’s not cooling as fast as they expected so in reality global warming is still happening even faster than they feared.

Randall (20:50:25) : Guest commentary by Kyle Swanson, “We hypothesize that the established pre-1998 trend is the true forced warming signal, and that the climate system effectively overshot this signal in response to the 1997/98 El Niño. This overshoot is in the process of radiatively dissipating, and the climate will return to its earlier defined, greenhouse gas-forced warming signal. If this hypothesis is correct, the era of consistent record-breaking global mean temperatures will not resume until roughly 2020.”
This sounds like an admission that the famed hockey stick is wrong?

OK, under the heading of weather is not climate, I won’t rehash the cool summer stuff, but. This morning I saw a flock of about 20 or 30 migratory ducks. These are not the kind of ducks we usually see around here except in spring and fall. At first I assumed they were commerants, but they didn’t look right for that. I thought it might be a mother duck with ducklings from a distance, then I got closer and realized it was a flock of adult ducks, of a species that doesn’t summer here, in a fall behavior pattern.

Meanwhile, in the Great White North, not so far from NYC, as we speak on the qwerty this comes up:
Summer is not cancelled says AGW modeller/forecaster.
The perfect models of the modern major AGW modellers.
>>> “”When I look at the models for mid-July to mid-August, I see no significant area showing colder than normal, I see only normal and warmer than normal,” he said. “There’s no guarantee with it, but at least the models are suggesting that we haven’t cancelled summer — we’ve delayed it.”
Translation:
>>> AGW is in the pipeline; it’s coming ’cause global warming causes global cooling, er global cooling causes ….. modellers to freeze up.
…-
“Be patient with summer, says climatologist
Cooler than normal in most parts of country
July is only half-over and already Canadians are grumbling about cold temperatures and miserable weather –but a Canadian weather guru maintains it’s too soon to write off 2009 as the year that summer forgot.
Most of Canada — with the exception of B. C., Yukon and some parts of Atlantic Canada — are experiencing colder than normal temperatures this summer. Environment Canada climatologist David Phillips says recent outbursts of extreme weather might actually indicate a turning of the tide.”http://www.nationalpost.com/most-popular/story.html?id=1785341

maz2 (05:21:42) :
>>> “”When I look at the models for mid-July to mid-August, I see no significant area showing colder than normal, I see only normal and warmer than normal,” he said. “There’s no guarantee with it, but at least the models are suggesting that we haven’t canceled summer — we’ve delayed it.”
——————————–
I wonder who’s keeping that modeler’s wife happy, cause I’m sure the models will tell him NOT TO because of the dangerous CO that they will produce doing the act.

Flanagan: There is a cold anomaly hovering over some parts of the US…
Really? Where? Should we be afraid?Rightnow, the global anomalies are “exploding”
So, first they hover, then they explode. This does sound serious. Better alert the media.

Gore said this would happen, the oceans are boiling in another part of the world, can you show us that data? Hum, it’s seems to be missing, we will find it or maybe the data needs to be changed to fit the models.
LOL

As many WUWT have been urging, it is not the cold or the warm at the heart of our existence today, it is the falsity that human-origin CO2 or incorrectly labeled Greenhouse Gases (get rid of that term and people’s confusion would lessen) has much of anything to do with climate change, or CO2 with pollution.
I think we should relax about our Sun, the bringer of warmth to Earth. Every hundred years or so (~Gleissberg), for the last few hundred years, it cycles down. Leif Svalgaard has pointed to 1912-13 as being similar to today — so far. Also take a look at the early 1800s. I counted the months in all three periods with less than 4 and less than 2 sunpots. 1807-1813 less than 4, 44 months; less than 2, 37 months. 1911-1914 less than 4, 25 months; less than 2, 12 months: 2007-xxxx less than 4, 20 months, less than 2, 10 months. We have had no months at 0 sunspots — yet, I think. In the 19th C there were 3; in the 18th C, 26. Also, we do not know exactly how a lower number of sunspots affects temperature/climate.
If I am correct in my other internet readings, Leif finds somewhat significant cycling on 108 years — don’t know how far back he goes. Basil finds some significance at 104 years.
I am still interested in Ann V’s question — what are the conditions that enabled to emerge from the “Little Ice Age”.
Re Real Climate’s K Swanson claiming that after this cooling, we will return to the dirty warming deeds of CO2 (Randall 20:25), remember the 1930s. How long was that after 1911-1914? The main issues seem to be the essential nature of CO2 and what makes for a “warm period”. How long might this one continue? Can we help it along in any way?

Western NY has not been much better. Temps in the Rochester area for July are running 6.2F below mean so far and they’re reporting the possibility of a record low tonight, the current record being 48F.

I’m looking for a place where I can get my hands on the daily temp records for my city here in the US. I’d like to look for equally interesting stats since it’s been much cooler than normal here. An excel file – or something similar is what I’m looking for.

“…What will be interesting is to follow the situation after the el nino starts. Right now, the global anomalies are “exploding”…
The only thing exploding is the “reputation” of the builders of the weather models that expected a warming trend.
This reminds me of the Dark Knight from the Monty Python era. Tis a flesh wound…

One of the signs Warmists point to is drastic falls in insect populations, particularly bees and butterflies. Over the last few weeks I’ve seen explosions in both butterfly and bee populations including the virus devastated honey bee. Lots of beetles too, particularly ladybirds (ladybugs). Out walking my dog across the fields this afternoon there were thousands (no exageration) of small tortoisehell butterflies, previously considered endangered. In places the path was smothered in fluttering orange “torties”. Do you think I should send Greenpolice some pictures?

NOAA announced: “Excluding the 23 of 30 days below average, June in Central Park was actually 2 degrees ABOVE average. We are therefore reclassifying the entire region on our map with the color Yellow.”
The National Hurricane Center reiterated: “Despite cooler temperatures, there remains a certain probability that a major hurricane may strike the NYC area with which could potentially cause significant damage.”
NSIDC confidently repeated its forecast that NY harbor will be “Ice Free” this Summer.

In the Monterey NWS CWA:
IN AN IRONIC TWIST OAKLAND AIRPORT TIED A RECORD LOW YESTERDAY OF 51. THE COASTAL STRATUS IS USUALLY SO COMMON BY MID JULY THAT ALL IT TAKES IS A CLEAR NIGHT TO APPROACH RECORD LOWS EVEN AS A HEAT EVENT GETS UNDERWAY.
=====
The pattern we are now experiencing is typical of early Fall in this CWA.

RE: bateman (02:38:59) :
I knew I had heard that year 2020 quoted somewhere, found it:
From a transcript of the hearing to confirm Holdren,
Holdren actually reaffirmed that he
still believes one billion people may
die within the next 11 years from a
climate-related drought
====================
He may be ironically correct but for the wrong reason. Global cooling, if entrenched over the next several years, would cause global failures of monsoonal / ITCZ impingement upon a number of key tropical and semi tropical zones with a wet – dry climate. Having their climate go to dry – dry would kill at least a billion. If we concurrently experience late blights, freezes, floods, etc in our high latitude granaries, one billion may be low balling.

I looked at the AO index posted here already, it seems like the dip went clean off the range of the graph, something that never happened in the period covered by the graph, could it mean something cold heading to some parts of the world?

UK Sceptic wrote:
Over the last few weeks I’ve seen explosions in both butterfly and bee populations.
As I understand it butterflies fly around more because there wings are like solar panels. So any warmist will see signs of global warming in this statement. I did note that the weather forecast for this Friday in the UK is that the weather is going to be more like autumn

UK Sceptic (08:18:04)
“I’ll have you know that Knott End is an illicit hotbed of whist drives and domino rallies.
Excitement happens when the ferry actually runs – usually when the Pilling Pig flies…”
Heh heh
—
Oh! The Pilling Pig flying over the Preesall Mountains. Such untold magnificence.

Overnite low was 46F (~8C) here in west Md on the 13th. Coldest July reading I can remember (and I can remember a long time). Certainly at record-low-for-the-date pace. Dew points were extraordinarily low for this time of yr. I had a damaging frost here too back in late May.
I guess global warming is really beginning to kick in now — only a matter of yrs before we all perish…..

“THIS JUNE IS TIED FOR THE 8TH COOLEST ON RECORD.” is in error, at least according to their data. June was tied for the 9th coolest on record. They screwed up by thinking of 1926/1902 as only a single record.

For permission, contact us. See the About>Contact menu under the header.

All rights reserved worldwide.

Some material from contributors may contain additional copyrights of their respective company or organization.

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on WUWT. If you continue to use this site we will assume that you are happy with it. This notice is required by recently enacted EU GDPR rules, and since WUWT is a globally read website, we need to keep the bureaucrats off our case!
Cookie Policy