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Saturday, February 13, 2016

Whatcom County Voter History Database as of 1/27/2016

Editor's note: Are you a WA candidate that needs information like the data and analysis below for your campaign? I am considering marketing my data analytic services this year. If you are interested, you can find me from my blogger profile. -RMF

The data above is from a 1/27/2016 voterdb history. On the left, the rainbow background and the fading shadows in front of it show the per precinct difference between registered voters and participation in the GE 2014 and GE 2015 balloting. (The most recent voter birth years are not included.) Curiously, despite heavy registration of those under 65, voter turnout has collapsed as it heads toward the youngest birth years in Whatcom County. Click on the graphs to enlarge.

The dense band of mean birth years of registered voters between years 1960 and 1970 is a statistical mirage brought about by heavy registration of both boomers and millenials on either side. GenXrs are the bluish trough (far top left chart) between prewars + boomers and millenials, + perhaps Gen "Z". At right, a relatively high SD per precinct helps hide an accurate assessment of voter age in Whatcom County. More age statistics are below. Click on the graphs to enlarge.

[1] "Participation of those currently registered in last GE (2015) for BirthDate >= 1980; e.g. Age 35 or younger."

BallotCounted2015 Count

1 0 27144

2 1 9063

The urban nature of political blocs are critical all over the US. In Whatcom County, whether they be rural, small city or Bellingham proper, many voters self identify with the cities they are near. The top five cities look like this: ResidenceCity n

1 Bellingham 74982

2 Ferndale 14394

3 Lynden 13108

4 Blaine 10419

5 Everson 4993

Despite our reputation as a rural outpost, the numbers below suggest rural and non-incorporated Whatcom County has limited electoral power:

6 Custer 1913

7 Deming 1783

8 Maple Falls 1769

9 Sumas 1429

10 Sedro-Woolley 1245

11 Pt Roberts 917

12 Nooksack 807

13 Lummi Island 715

14 Acme 412

15 Glacier 197

16 Rockport 30

These top three zip codes hold ~ 75K of the ~130K registered voters in Whatcom County. All of these zip codes encompass large parts of Bellingham proper. None these zip codes are more than 20 miles from downtown. The city of Bellingham may not itself be growing by leaps and bounds, but Bellingham's associated voting populace continues to grow.

Women continue to have a strong lead in registered voters. In Whatcom County, 140 out of 177 counties have more women than men. Surprisingly, the strong female electorate occurs in wide ranging locales.