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The enemy appears driven and motivated by something other than ideology or funding. Every one of these events (could have) occurred as a result of a failure of imagination. The job is not to predict tomorrow based on yesterday. That's what academics do. The job is to prevent the end of tomorrow by using your brains and your imagination. If you don't identify and find the threat before it's too late, you might be held responsible for the single largest intelligence fumble since a flight instruction school in Florida failed to grasp the significance of a 19-year-old Al-Qaeda terrorist saying he didn't need to learn how to land.

Imminent Terror Alert ! Update January 11 2019

By simultaneously flooding the targeted countries with Mujahideen activities the Islamic State seeks a guarantee success of high Profile Terror Attacks by ISIS in Europe, Australia, Canada and even the US.

November 2014 an Anti Money Laundering and risk assessment operation in the Maghreb, Egypt and other parts of the Middle East. Discovering an imminent threat to major cities in Western Europe, as a prime target for the ISIS network, reason for a 90-days terror alert.

"Recently intercepted encrypted messages between members of the ISIS network mentioning elements of the coordination for a high profile terror attack."

- earlier small "lone wolf" attacks after February 2013 were trial runs (the only true lone wolf terrorist were the Unabomber and Anders Breivik)

- targets are to be chosen in line with its vision and mission, not only establishing fear by random killings but preferable also aiming to hurt financial services, their affiliates, personnel and an already weak economy

- Baghdadi expects to claim attacks around the globe in a personal message, emphasizing the scope of his power.

Update Nov. 09 , 2018 - Alert !

Update Nov. 06 , 2018 - Alert !

Iran will to lash out to make the western allies pay a price for the renewed sanctions. Typically for Iran it will not be conventional military action that justifies a conventional (American) response. Iranian action will start with unconventional and deniable actions by proxies like Houthi rebels, Hezbollah and al Qaeda that will make it impossible to respond directly.

Update Oct. 18 , 2018 - Alert !

Recent travel patterns, intercepted encrypted messages and monitored conversations during meetings of members of the (al Qaeda) ISIS network, indicating a threat in Australia (Sydney) October 2018 - see map

Update October 13 and 18, 2018 - Alert !

Al Qaeda Sets Sail - Intercepted communications in the night of October 12 and 13, 2018 referring to this threat as managed by 8 persons and monitored travel patterns, indicate that an imminent threat window opens. see map

Update Oct. 11, 2018

Fear Index VIX has exploded upward as stocks around the world plummet

Update Oct. 10, 2018

During "Muharram" it is not allowed for Muslims to be involved in military conflicts, this means that "religious" persons can not be involved in terror attacks for jihad before the sunset of October 11th. But then from the start its clear that the Nexus Terrorism Organized Crime perpetrated the attacks in Paris and Barcelona, all the perpetrators were (small) criminals who financed themselves with fraud, drugs and arms trade. Not religious work.

Update Oct. 02, 2018 - Alert!

Recent travel patterns - AQ/ISIS travelers visited Amsterdam on September 28, 29 and 30 2018. The same travelers visited:
- Paris on January 3, 4 and 5 2015
- Paris on November 11, 12 and 13 2015
- Barcelona on July 1, 2 and 3 2017
- etceteras
Analysis of visits by AQ/ISIS travelers, indicate coordination for multi cell, multi target and related attacks in the city visited.Concerning earlier Threat Alerts based on AQ/ISIS travelers (for example for Paris and Barcelona), the attacks were either disrupted or took place within hours, days or weeks, after their visits.

Update Sep. 26, 28 and 30 , 2018 - Alert!

Recent travel patterns, intercepted encrypted messages and monitored conversations during meetings of members of the (al Qaeda) ISIS network, mentioned elements of the coordination for a high profile terror attack in October 2018.Quotes from recorded conversations
"allal .. (inaudible) October there is an attack on Amsterdam ... the stock exchange will lose 10% 6 billion dollar no Euro ... the script will be read from Iran ... it is already known what Baghdadi will say in response to the attack, emphasizing our global reach ... they never saw me coming"see map

- Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi the Caliph of the Islamic State (ISIS) is in Iran and adamant to strike in Europe.

- that the target city Amsterdam, is hosting Transnational Organized Crime (TOC) of which the lower (unwary) echelons synergize the 'Nexus Crime Terrorism' by facilitating transport, accommodation and arms.

- targets are chosen in line with its vision and mission, not only establishing fear by random killings but also aiming for an economc blow (simultaneously make a killing on the stock exchange).

- in a prepared statement by Baghdadi they claim the attacks, emphasizing the global reach of his power.

The intelligence services do not expect a major terror attack in the Netherlands

The intelligence services do not expect a major terror attack in the Netherlands within the time frameuntil Christmas, contrary to what can be assumed from the above-mentioned sound recordings of conversations.

And this U.S. State Department Travel Advisory for The Netherlands - Exercise increased caution in the Netherlands due to terrorism

Update Aug. 26 , 2018 - see map - Alert!

Update Aug. 12 , 2018

see map

Update Aug. 02 , 2018

see map

Update July 25 , 2018

Indonesia see map

Update July 18 , 2018

South of France see map

Update July 12 , 2018

Western Europe see map

Update June 28 , 2018 - Alert!

Ongoing intelligence, AML operations, surveillance and counter surveillance of current and recent TRAVEL PATTERNS, from Serbia (persons traveling under Serbian ID) and via Albania to Western Europe. Revealed Support and Elevated Threat Levels by the Al Qaeda - ISIS Affiliates - for Western Europe (DISR) -

Update June 13 , 2018

Update on the alert of February 18, 2016 Al Qaeda Sets Sail - Cross reference of recently Intercepted communications and monitored travel patterns for this threat, indicate that another threat window opens with a focus on June 16th and 23rd. (The threat is veiled by a 'big party' on 'a ship' that ends with a shooting and bombing incident(s))

Update June 08 2018 - Alert !

Communications and current travel patterns confirm culminating threat levels for Barcelona (AQ/ISIS travelers arrived on June 07 and 08, planned to stay for 3 nights in AirBnB's. On previous alerts, attacks were disrupted or took place within hours, days, weeks, after travellers left) - see map

Update June 04 2018 - Alert!

Recently intercepted encrypted messages between members of a Jihad network, mentioning elements of the coordination for high profile terror attacks revealed: Jihadi meetings in Spain, France and the Netherlands aimed for martyrdom in order to activate female suicidals in the EU.

Ongoing HUMINT and AML

analysis, regarding this Terror Alert, confirmed Imminent Threats for Western Europe: local women (some of Moroccan descent) who've been radicalized and groomed for suicide bomb attacks.

Update May 08 2018 - Alert!

Update May 07 2018 - Alert!

Update April 23 2018 - Alert!

Ongoing intelligence, AML operations, surveillance and counter surveillance of current and recent TRAVEL PATTERNS, from and via Albania to Western Europe. Revealed Support and Elevated Threat Levels by the Al Qaeda - ISIS Affiliates - for the Netherlands - Threat window for (likely) simultaneous attacks in Europe opens April 26, peaking towards May. 17 (DISR) - see map

Update April 21 2018 - Alert!

Ongoing intelligence, AML operations, surveillance and counter surveillance of current and recent TRAVEL PATTERNS, from Malaysia via Switzerland (Spiez) in Western Europe. Revealed Support and Elevated Threat Levels for access to WMD - possible by the Al Qaeda - ISIS Affiliates - for professional conferences in Switzerland and France see map

Update September 22, 2017 - Alert!

threat windows open between September 12 and 26th , 2017 - culminating threat levels peaking on september 22 , 2017 - see map

Update September 12, 2017 - Alert!

China has challenged Al Qaeda and ISIS related terror-groups during the recent BRICS meeting. Ongoing Intelligence, AML operations and (recent, current and ongoing) travel patterns, Surveillance and Counter Surveillance revealed: In retaliation, preparations for terrorists attacks in China are taking place between sept. 12th and 26th. Although foreigners have not been specifically targeted, attacks may occur in places visited by foreigners.- threat windows open between September 12 and 26th , 2017 - culminating threat levels peaking on 22nd - see map

Update July 21 st 2017

Update June 27, 2017 - Alert!

Ongoing Intelligence, AML operations and (current) travel patterns, indicate Support, and Elevated Threat Levels from the Al Qaeda / ISIS Affiliates - for Western Europe - e.g. The Netherlands from June 26, Spain Barcelona from June 30, UK London from June 28 see map

Update June 1 st 2017 - Alert!

Update May 23 rd 2017

see map !

Update May 4th 2017

South of France e.g. La Ciotat, May 5th from 13:30 hours (DISR) - and from May 17th e.g. Cannes, Antibes, Nice, Monaco. see map

Update April 27 - May 1st 2017

The 'Al Qaeda Sets Sail Threat' increased from becoming 'topical' to imminent - Cross reference of recently intercepted communications, monitored money laundering and travel patterns, indicates for this threat a focus on the Eurotunnel and ferries between France and the UK. (the weekend of April 29 - 30th | May 1st and 3rd)

Update April 06 2017

The 'Al Qaeda Sets Sail threat' increased from becoming 'topical' to imminent - The threat is veiled by 'a big party' and 'a ship' that ends with a shooting and bombing incident(s) - In recent weeks the monitoring of communications and money laundering shows the recruitment of party invitees accelerated.

Update March 04, 2017

Monitoring the communications and travel patterns revealed the existence of small groups of Iranian fighters in the West, possible an imminent threat. During an early morning observation in March 2017 we monitored a small group of al Qaeda fighters in the Netherlands, experienced soldiers, not the typical returnees

Update February 18, 2017

Intercepted (recent) communications and monitored (current) travel pattern CONFIRM high threat levels in London the U.K., Ceuta Spain and Naples Italy for the Al Qaeda - ISIS Affiliates - Threat window open from February 18 2017 - - see map

Update January 26, 2017

Global Islamic Terrorism Surge - The radical change of U.S. foreign policy, to 'eradicate' 'radical Islamic terrorism' 'from the face of the Earth' by aggressively moving on the global jihadi conspiracy, persuades extremists to attack and widen their scope - see map

Update November 12, 2016 - Alert 1

Update November 10, 2016

Update on the alert of February 18, 2016 Al Qaeda Sets Sail - Cross reference of recently Intercepted communications and monitored travel patterns for this threat, indicate that another threat window opens with a focus on November 12th.

The threat is veiled by a 'big party' on 'a ship' that ends with a shooting and bombing incident(s) - see map

Update November 04, 2016

see map

Update October 22, 2016

see map

Update October 13, 2016

Alert with the threat window October 14 to October 16th - see map

Update October 2, 2016

Alert with the threat window October 3rd and 4 to October 11 - Intelligence and Anti Money Laundering operations, monitored communications and (current) travel patterns, confirm a number of imminent, possible simultaneous, threats by al Qaeda and ISIS affiliates as part of their international scope. - see map

Update July 06, 2016

Update June 25, 2016

see map

Update June 08, 2016

Boko Haram - Similar to al Qaeda and ISIS, Nigeria'sBoko Haram see the British as facilitators of all their enemies including e.g. president Buhari, Jonathan, Obasanjo, leaders and militants in the Niger Delta. Boko Haram plan to attack these enemies where they least expect it, London.

Update June 05, 2016

Imminent threats - During ongoing Intelligence and Anti Money Laundering operations, monitored communications and (current) travel patterns confirm culminating high threat levels on June 12, 13 and 14, three days of terror. Indicating attacks by Al Qaeda and ISIS affiliates in e.g. Africa - South Africa, West Africa, US, Turkey and in the EU - Spain Gibraltar, Valencia, Ibiza - South of France - and in the UK London. (for all locations, see Google map)

Update April 25, 2016

Only Bombs - Suicide bombs and active shooters in terror attacks, led counter terrorism operations to focus on suspects befitting that Modus Operandi. The disruption of active threats and the perceived inability to strike in the UK and some other European countries, forces ISIS and al Qaeda to consider different tactics and cells from their networks, inducing space and time between attackers, targets and attacks.

The threat is veiled by a 'big party' and 'a ship' that ends with a shooting (fireworks) and bombing incident(s).

The planning and travel patterns show similarities with the bomb attacks on planes in Egypt and Somalia. Its not clear which AQ or ISIS affiliate will claim the attacks.

Update February 17, 2016

Traffic in the Caribbean e.g. the British Virgin Islands (BVI) between January 07 and February 10 and more recent to Puerto Rico (the United States) indicate a terrorism threat ....see map

Update February 12, 2016

current clear and present danger signals show that a resurgence of violence will pop up over night. Intelligence sources report that efforts to quell violent sectarian, tribal and economic extremism in South Africa can expect a type of Pan African militia to join in the clashes. ....see map

Update January 22, 2016

Update January 07 - 21, 2016

Recent traffic to and in the Caribbean e.g. the British Virgin Islands (BVI) indicate a terrorism threat ....... see map

Update January 07, 2016

Caraïbes - There is a surge in illegal money streams (from China) via the Caribbean, rapidly distorting local real estate markets (in the EU). Ongoing AML intelligence operations show that Hezbollah, Al Qaeda and in recent years also Boko Haram and al Shabaab offer(ed) competitive money laundering services via the Caribbean (BVI, Nassau, ... ). Providing a 'legal' cover and hiding ultimate beneficiaries in Transnational Organized Crime creates a bond of trust in the nexus with terrorism but also the need for both to visit the Caribbean.

Update December 23, 2015

Nigerian terrorist organization Boko Haram is planning attacks around the time of Christmas with the help of diaspora in the U.S. and Europe.

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Cargo Bicycle Frames Bomb Threat - alert Feb. 2014 - Dec. 2015

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Update December 14, 2015

.... see map

Update December 10, 2015

There will be significant terrorist attacks in the coming weeks and months. The attacks will be spectacular maybe multiple. The intention is disruption of democracies. To sow division and discord inside their enemies, exploit and reinforce the divides in civilian populations, Muslim vs. non-Muslim, Migrant versus Native. Cause public outrage and extremist opposition from local movements by inducing fear in civilian populations.

Update October 11, 2015

Update October 2nd 2015

The strategic choice for children as attack or suicide weapon has proven success on a local scale in an increasing number of countries. The global scope of Jihad now adds a transnational dimension to this weapon. Children between 10 and 15 years old are transferred abroad to (Europe and other) target countries.

Ongoing Intelligence, HUMINT and Anti-Money-laundering (AML) operations within the core of Al Qaeda network have revealed a group of mainly Egyptian nationals (from Europe and Egypt) that aims to strike at the heart of Egypt and the Russian Egyptian alliance

Update September 1st 2015

Currently we see a surge of jihadist recruited in jails and refugee camps (in MENA) through UBL Rapid Radicalization Programs, just before they are trafficked further. Already arriving in the EU.

Update August 20th 2015

see map

Update July 8th 2015

Repeat

Update April 16th 2015

Threats increased significantly in recent weeks and appears to culminate in the coming weeks, targeting national festivities and commemorations