Water makes its way through ground coffee, passes through a filter of some sort, and, BOOM, coffee is made.

The equation becomes infinitely more complex when you consider coffee’s approximately 1,800 chemical components, which are altered and affected by brewing parameters including but not limited to bed dimensions, flow rates, grind size, grind consistency, distribution of grounds, pressure drop, brew ratio, brew time, water quality, water temperature, etc., etc.

It all becomes quite the math problem. In the end, most coffee professionals and consumers alike will rely on their own experiences and palates to determine what the optimal brewing parameters are for a given application.

Following up their own previous work as well as other mathematical work in the field of coffee extraction, math scientists Kevin M. Moroney, William T. Lee, Stephen B.G. O’Brien, Freek Suijver, and Johan Marra have a paper coming out next week in the SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, a journal by the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics.

Titled “Asymptotic Analysis of the Dominant Mechanisms in the Coffee Extraction Process,” the paper turns its attention to automatic drip filter brewers. In it, if we may grossly oversimplify, they ask, “What’s the most important stuff about extraction that affects taste?”

“Most of the models of coffee extraction we found in the literature either focused on batch extraction in a well-mixed system, or derived general transport equations without proposing specific extraction mechanisms or validating with experiments,” Moroney said in an announcement made by SIAM. “In comparison, our model describes flow and extraction in a coffee bed, specifies extraction mechanisms in terms of the coffee grain properties, and compares the model’s performance with experiment.”

Researchers suggested the number of coffee variables and relative dearth of existing research into the mathematics of extraction led toward the “asymptotic” analysis approach, in which certain variables were simplified or ignored entirely in order to find what they describe as “dominant terms” that can then be modeled for “approximate solutions” before other variables — in this case, variables such as brew ratio, brew time and water temperature — are brought into the fold.

Said Marra, “The research work is ultimately aimed at improving our understanding of the brewing process and understanding the relation between brewing process parameters and perceived coffee taste.”

Nick Brown
Nick Brown is the editor of Daily Coffee News by Roast Magazine. Feedback and story ideas are welcome at publisher@dailycoffeenews.com.