New Hampshire

Polling the Granite State Since 2003

The Suffolk University Political Research Center has been covering Presidential Primaries and General Elections in New Hampshire for over a decade. SUPRC bellwethers and tracking polls have made national headlines.

Nov. 3, 2014

Massachusetts & New Hampshire General Election Bellwethers

November 3, 2014

Statement of Methodology: The Waltham and Gloucester bellwether IDs each included 300 likely voters randomly selected from a list of voters who indicated that they were very likely to vote or had already voted. The Massachusetts field was conducted Saturday, November 1, through Sunday, November 2, 2014. The margin of error for each of the four bellwethers is +/- 5.65 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.

Statement of Methodology: The Manchester and Epping bellwether IDs each included 300 likely voters randomly selected from a list of voters who indicated that they were very likely to vote or had already voted. The New Hampshire field was conducted Thursday, October 30, through Sunday, November 2, 2014. The margin of error for each of the four bellwethers is +/- 5.65 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Bellwethers are designed to predict outcomes, not margins.

Oct. 20, 2014

New Hampshire Governor & US Senate

October 20, 2014

Statement of Methodology: The statewide Suffolk University survey used a split sample of landline and cell phone numbers and a screen to filter out low voter intensity. The field of 500 likely voters was conducted Thursday, October 16, through Sunday, October 19. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

June 19, 2014

New Hampshire Governor & US Senate

June 19, 2014

Statement of Methodolgy: The statewide Suffolk University survey used a split sample of landline and cell phone numbers and a screen to filter out low voter intensity. The field of 800 likely voters was conducted Saturday, June 14, through Wednesday, June 18. The margin of error is +/-3.5 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The subset of 419 likely Republican Primary voters carries an error rate of +/-4.8 percent.

March 6, 2014

Statement of Methodology: The statewide Suffolk University survey used a split sample of landline and cell phone numbers and a screen to filter out low voter intensity. The field of 800 likely voters was conducted Thursday, February 27, through Wednesday, March 5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The subset of 426 likely Republican Primary voters carries an error rate of +/- 4.8 percent.

New Hampshire & Ohio Presidential Bellwethers

November 5, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The IDs of 300 likely voters for each bellwether were conducted November 1-4 using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5.65 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Oct. 15, 2012

New Hampshire Presidential General Election

October 15, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 500 likely New Hampshire voters was conducted Oct. 12-14, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 10, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 10, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 8 and Jan. 9 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 9, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 9, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 7 and Jan. 8 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 8, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 8, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 6 and Jan. 7 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 7, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 7, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 5 and Jan. 6 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 6, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 6, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 4 and Jan. 5 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 5, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 5, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary. This track was conducted Jan. 3 and Jan. 4 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 4, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 4, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary. This track was conducted Jan. 2 and Jan. 3 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 3, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 3, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary. This track was conducted Jan. 1 and Jan. 2 using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 2, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 2, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary. This track was conducted Dec. 31, 2011-Jan. 1, 2012, using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jan. 1, 2012

New Hampshire GOP Primary Tracking Poll

January 1, 2012

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey includes two nights of 250 likely respondents for a two-day tracking total of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary. This track was conducted Dec. 30-31, 2011, using live telephone interviews with landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Dec. 14, 2011

New Hampshire Statewide GOP Primary

December 14, 2011

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted Dec. 10-13, 2011, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Nov. 21, 2011

New Hampshire Statewide GOP Primary

November 21, 2011

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted Nov. 16-20, 2011, using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Sep. 21, 2011

New Hampshire Statewide GOP Primary

September 21, 2011

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted September 18-20, 2011, using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

Jun. 28, 2011

New Hampshire Statewide GOP Primary

June 28, 2011

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted June 25-27, 2011, using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

May 4, 2011

New Hampshire Statewide GOP Primary

May 4, 2011

Statement of Methodology: The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted April 30-May 2, 2011 using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

New Hampshire General Presidential Election & Selected Bellwethers

October 30, 2008

Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University/7News poll was conducted Monday, Oct. 27, 2008, through Wednesday, Oct. 29, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the New Hampshire statewide survey were likely voters. There were 301 respondents from the bellwethers of Epping and Tamworth, N.H., identified separately from the statewide poll.

Sep. 25, 2008

New Hampshire General Presidential Election & Selected Bellwethers

September 25, 2008

Statement of Methodology: The Suffolk University/7News poll was conducted Sunday, Sept. 21, 2008, through Wednesday, Sept. 24, 2008. The margin of error on the study of 600 is +/- 4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. All respondents from the New Hampshire statewide survey were likely voters. There were 221 respondents from the bellwethers of Epping and Tamworth, NH, identified separately from the statewide poll.

Jan. 8, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 8, 2008

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 6 and Jan. 7. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire presidential primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Jan. 7, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 7, 2008

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 5 and Jan. 6. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire presidential primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Jan. 6, 2008

New Hampshire GOP & Democratic Primary Tracking Polls

January 6, 2008

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 4 and Jan. 5. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire presidential primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 3 and Jan. 4. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire presidential primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 2 and Jan. 3. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire Presidential Primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Jan. 1 and Jan. 2. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000-respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents were likely voters for the respective New Hampshire Presidential Primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Statement of Methodology: The 7NEWS-Suffolk University tracking poll was conducted Dec. 31, 2007, and Jan. 1, 2008. The margin of error for each party subsample of 500 respondents is +/- 4.38 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 1,000 respondent margin of error is +/- 3.10 percent. All respondents are likely voters for the respective New Hampshire presidential primaries on Jan. 8, 2008.

Statement of Methodology: This 7NEWS-Suffolk University poll was conducted from Dec. 27 to Dec. 31, 2007. The margin of error for each party subsample of 300 respondents is +/- 5.65 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. The 600-respondent margin of error is +/- 4 percent. All respondents were likely voters in the Jan. 8, 2008, New Hampshire presidential primary.