We’re all doomed!

Figure 1 – Courtesy of www.wxcharts.eu

Over the last few days the Polar vortex has been well and truly split at 10 hPa or 100,000 feet (fig 1). But what does it all mean for us down here on the surface, particularly in the UK? Well here for what it’s worth is how the Met Office see the next 30 days or so panning out for the UK (fig 2).

Figure 2 – Courtesy of the Met Office

Here’s a bit more information about what the splitting of the polar vortex and the associated SSW will mean in a Facebook video courtesy of the Met Office (fig 3).

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Towards the end of the month, according to the GFS the cyclonic vortex centred over Scandinavia will fill leaving only a single vortex over Arctic Canada and a massive high at 10 hpa over the Barents sea (fig 4).

“The Met Office winter forecast said February will be mild.”
Do you mean “would be mild”?
February is nearly half over and CET is 1c below “normal”.
I seem to recall some forecasters (not UKMO) saying it would be cold.

“The BBC’s New 14 day Weather Forecasts Are Bollocks ”
Of course it is.
I haven’t done any work on the BBC forecast, but even the UKMO forecast for the first 24 hours is little better than 30% reliable and I wouldn’t expect the BBC’s to be any better.

I hate these videos which have no commentary, only subtitles.
I find I can’t concentrate on the subtitles and the video at the same time and I watch the video a few times to take it all in.
Is this the same as “sudden stratospheric warming” that Ben Rich was talking about on the BBC?
I