Hurricane MANUEL

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013
800 PM PDT WED SEP 18 2013
...MANUEL HUGGING THE COAST OF MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...24.6N 108.0W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W OF ALTATA MEXICO
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SE OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO...AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM MAZATLAN TO LA CRUZ...AND THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MANUEL WAS
ON THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.0
WEST. MANUEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MANUEL WILL MOVE
GRADUALLY INLAND OVER WESTERN MEXICO BUT NOT TOO FAR FROM THE
COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT.
MANUEL IS A VERY SMALL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SHOULD BE OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE
COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF SINALOA AND EXTREME
SOUTHERN SONORA WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA.
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MANUEL IS ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE STATE OF NAYARIT.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
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FORECASTER AVILA
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