Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts potential renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2013-14 season in May, 2014. (includes results from September 16-October 27, 2013):

-Hostages is a "limited series" because it has a limited number of episodes (<22) per season. What that means to the Cancellation Bear is that if the series has good ratings it will be renewed next season (like, Sleepy Hollow), and if it has bad ratings (like, Hostages) it won't return, and CBS PR will spin it as "Hey, it was just a limited series".

Since the show is obviously doomed and destined for #bearchow, a more interesting question is whether it will air all its ordered episodes at its original timeslot, or whether it will be moved somewhere else in the calendar (or online). With so little experience with broadcast "limited series" the bear won't hazard a guess, he'll wait and see.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. You can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

Notes:

- certain to be cancelled by May, 2014

:cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2014

- toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2014

- more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2014

- certain to be renewed by May, 2014

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

Why did CBS give Mom a full season order they have other comedies waiting??

Mitchell

@jonay

They probably think the other comedies suck. They were held for midseason for a reason!

Valentin

Because they believe in Mom! + As TAAHM is doing bad, if it gets cancelled (I don’t think so) they still have 2 comedies from Chuck Lorre.
So happy to see The Crazy Ones safe!

CBSviewer

Of course Hostages will air all its episodes on Monday at 10. They have nothing to replace it until Intelligence premieres on February 24.

CBSviewer

Plus CSI is certain to be Renewed !

DSC

I still say that The Good Wife has a chance of renewal over TM. While TM seems to be at its natural end, and it’s older by a year, TGW seems to be at a creative peak this season. And it seems to be getting back some critical love for its story lines that had somehow faded over the last couple of seasons, although it’s list of guest actors remained impressive. Both shows have mediocre ratings, but I’d bet on TGW over TM if there’s space for any of them on the schedule. 6 years is a good run. that’d be enough.

Nikki

Its to bad its not doing well.. i really like this show. Maybe its to complex for some to follow. Great stories, great actors.. i like it.

Patrick Ausgewahlt

I am very surprised they did not announce that Unforgettable would return with 6 episodes on November 4th with Mike & Molly. That would have filled that time slot through sweeps with at LEAST equal ratings.

Shepherd

Hostages will finish airing its episodes on Mondays.

Rebecca

I really like Mom so I hope it lasts a while. My other CBS shows seem safe (HIMYM final season, TBBT, and The Millers).

Davejostef

It’ll wind up on Saturday, no doubt.

AJT

Hostages needs to get new writers pronto. I’m impressed that the actors can say most of their lines without gagging.

AdamP

I think The Mentalist should be moved down to a likely cancellation.

Nope

Sunday shows should have a handicap like Friday shows

Ultima

@jonayWhy did CBS give Mom a full season order they have other comedies waiting??

Mom has decent to good ratings. The chance that one of the replacement comedies could outperform it in the same timeslot is very small (most new shows fail).

k:Alex

Only 2 episodes to go, it will air all of it’s episodes.

http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

“Only 2 episodes to go, it will air all of it’s episodes.”

Only 8 episodes were ordered? I don’t keep track of such things, but that doesn’t seem right.

Ultima

@CBSviewerOf course Hostages will air all its episodes on Monday at 10. They have nothing to replace it until Intelligence premieres on February 24.

I agree that Hostages will air all of its episodes in its current timeslot, but I think there’s a possibility that they move the Intelligence premiere up to as early as 13 January.

I think a better question from the bear would have been “Will CBS stick to their original plan of a February (or January) finale for Hostages or run it straight through in December?”