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Saturday, May 05, 2007

Chicago Versus Detroit Preview

Eastern Conference Second Round

#1 Detroit (53-29) vs. #5 Chicago (49-33)

Season series: Chicago, 3-1

Detroit can win if…the backcourt duo of Chauncey Billups and Rip Hamilton gets the best of Ben Gordon and Kirk Hinrich and if Detroit is able to score in the paint either off of pick and roll plays or postups by Rasheed Wallace, Antonio McDyess or Chris Webber.

Chicago will win because…Ben Wallace is on a mission to prove that he was THE key component to Detroit's recent postseason success and he will have a monster series on the boards and defensively. Neither Chris Webber nor Flip Saunders have a history of distinguishing themselves much past the first round.

Other things to consider: Sometimes, regular season head to head games matter and sometimes they don't. I know that sounds like a cop out or an Almond Joy commercial ("Sometimes you feel like a nut, sometimes you don't...") but it's true. Factors like injuries, trades or playing for the fourth time in five nights can all cloud the meaning of regular season games as harbingers of what will happen in a playoff series--but, as Golden State just showed, sometimes a team really does have another team's number, based on style and matchups. Chicago took three of the four regular season games against Detroit and the Pistons needed a big comeback in the other game to eke out a win. Yes, Chris Webber did not play in all of the games, but Chicago poses some real matchup problems for the Pistons. Also, there is no getting around the fact that Ben Wallace was arguably the most important player during the Pistons' two trips to the Finals; the four-time Defensive Player of the Year is not only no longer with Detroit but he will be playing against Detroit in this series. Chicago improved markedly this season and just swept the defending champions, while Detroit's record got worse and the Pistons basically sleepwalked against a near-comatose Orlando Magic team. Look for the Bulls to win one of the first two games in Detroit and to take the series in six games.

3 Comments:

While I obviously made a mistake picking against Chicago in Round 1 (by way of excuse, I hadn't seen what kind of state Wade was in post injury), I have to worry about their ability to win in Game 2, where they have to neutralise TWO scoring guards. Sure, you can put Thabo in with Hinrich, but who scores then? Even though Wade is better than Billups, ironically I think Billups is a worse matchup for Kirk (strength over quickness). Prince vs Deng will be fascinating. I think it's Detroit in 7.

detriot in 7 bulls arent quite ready yet and what worked against miami and gonna work aginst the pistons pick and roll and deng killing them like he did. billups and hamilton will play well and so will webber etc it wiil be great but i think pistons will win

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