Following day 4 finals at the 2016 FINA Short Course World Championships in Windsor, Canada, Team USA and Russia have maintained their top 2 spots in the medal count, while Japan has moved up into 3rd.

Tonight, Andrew made the transition from national age group and world junior records to a world champion by defeating 100m IM world record holder Vlad Morozov. Andrew pushed over the last 10-meters to emerge victorious in a time of 51.84.

Of primary interest to our audience will be the procedures for open water swimming, which remain unchanged from the 2012 Olympics. Further, the IOC confirmed that the 10km will remain the only open water race in the Olympics, despite the continued expansion at the World Championship level now up to 4 per gender including the 5km team event.

There has been a big push to either expand the overall field for open water swimmers, which seems to be international. The strong open water countries have also pushed to expand the per-nation quota system, because as we’ll explain in a minute, the current system makes it very difficult to get more than one male or female open water swimmer into the Olympics.

First Qualification: 2015 FINA World Championships

10 men and 10 women

This one is pretty simple. The top 10 swimmers in the 10km swim at the 2015 World Championships will qualify automatically for the 2016 Olympics. Putting two swimmers into the top 10 here is the only way for nations to qualify multiple open water swimmers in a gender to the Olympics.

For some perspective, had the 2013 World Championships been the selection meet instead of 2015 in Kazan, the only countries eligible to send two to the Olympics would be:

By this point in the selection process, nations with swimmers in the top 10 at Worlds are done. They no longer participate in the process, whoever was in that top 10 are their qualifiers and that’s it.

Every other country can send up to 2 men and 2 women to the FINA Olympic Marathon Swim Qualifier (site not yet announced) in early 2016. At this qualification event, each country can only qualify 1 per gender, so the top 9 finishers from unique countries will go to the Olympics.

Each continent is ensured of 1 female and 1 male. After the top 9 are worked through, FINA will then again pull out every swimmer who has already qualified, and every second finisher from a country already qualified, at the 2016 Marathon Swim Qualifier meet.

With the remaining list, they will then go through and select the top finisher from each continent.

Finally, The Host Country Gets Auto Bids

The home country, in this case Brazil, automatically gets one male and one female bid to the Olympics in Olympic tradition. If the host team already has qualifiers, then their spots will be reallocated back to the next-best finishers in step 2.

EXAMPLE

This can be confusing, so we’ve laid out a hypothetical finish scenario. Note that there is no prediction here, we’ve tried to set up certain illustrative scenarios.

If this is the nationalities of the top 10 at Worlds in the men’s 10k:

Have any questions about the above? Just ask, and we’ll work through a scenario with you.

So, there’s some traps here. If a country’s goal is to send the athlete(s) most likely to medal at the Olympics, then they would perhaps prefer to have no qualifiers out of 2015 Worlds and instead jump into the 2016 Olympic Marathon Qualifier, where they know they’ll be able to select their best swimmers.

The United States women in 2012 is a perfect example of this. Haley Anderson wasn’t on the Worlds team in 2011, nor was the United States’ 2nd-best open water swimmer in 2012 Ashley Twichell. Had the Americans put a swimmer in the top 10 at Worlds in 2015 (Christine Jennings and Eva Fabian were the two representatives), then Anderson couldn’t have earned her way to London where she won silver.

Now, we don’t expect anybody to throw the 10k at Worlds just for this reason, however, this catch-22 of sorts has been one of the biggest complaints about this qualifying procedure, and why many hoped for a change.

I really wish FINA would open up the race field for the 2016 Olympics 10km open water event. World Cup races with 60+ swimmers are so exciting to watch and I get that they are trying to limit the numbers but something closer to 40 swimmers would be better.

Will FINA re-think their decision on Kazan hosting the 16th FINA World Championships in 2015? With the political turmoil brewing and the fact that BOTH Canada and the USA have now officially boycotted the latest World Health Organization’s meeting in Russia is this not a signal that FINA should consider for the World Championships?

I would not like to see some sort of political action preventing American and Canadian athletes from qualifying for the 2016 Olympic games.

Vote Up

0

0

Vote Down Reply

2 years 1 month ago

About Braden Keith

The most common question asked about Braden Keith is "when does he sleep?" That's because Braden has, in two years in the game, become one of the most prolific writers in swimming at a level that has earned him the nickname "the machine" in some circles.
He first got his feet …