Bleary-eyed and maybe a little puffy after having a good cry about the last two minutes of the Indiana game, Michigan staggered into the United Center wondering why everything was so bright and loud and wondering if a hot dog would make them feel better or worse. A few minutes later, they were down 14-3 and every Michigan fan had a personal reckoning with their panic tolerance.

Did you run around screaming "everything is over?" Did you stuff 35 multivitamins down your esophagus in a cry for help? No, don't tell us. Down 11 a few minutes into a tournament game against Penn State a man finds himself in a place he never thought he'd be. What happens down there is something we should hit with a shovel and bury deep. If you were more animal than man at 2:45 PM yesterday, well… so be it. Character is about recovering from your impulse.

The team did this. Michigan spent the first couple of breaks smacking themselves and screaming "SNAP OUT OF IT," and thanks to the utterly unflappable Trey Burke and Mitch McGary—a man who seems to be productively deficient in human emotions like doubt or restraint—they did. In these moments I like to go check out the Kenpom prediction (which is almost always the Vegas line, give or take a point) and think about how points are worth the same whether you score them early or late. It was 16 in this one; Michigan beat it by a point.

It's strange how frustrating it is to pull away late or recover like Michigan did against Purdue. Or, rather, it's not strange at all. You have to try as hard as you can to say the order in which the points came is not a reason to run around, ripping chunks of hair from your head and shouting "my basketball team ate this."

No rest for the weary; on to demon Wisconsin. Death to backboards, half court, and everywhere in-between.

Bullets

Zone? Hi. If you follow me on twitter you may have noticed me, um, ranting about Michigan's refusal to even try out a zone defense despite a team that shoots 30% from three gutting the interior of Michigan's defense to the tune of 11/17 shooting from two by Sasa "Pretty Much Shaq" Borovnjak and DJ Newbill in the first half. In the second half we then suffered through five to eight minutes of Penn State keeping pace with Michigan's blistering offensive pace.

For the game, Penn State put up 1.1 PPP. Defense remains a huge issue. At least there's some sort of upper bound on how bad it can be, right? That's the ticket.

Grrr aarrgh. Jordan Morgan came out with the weight of a barely-missed Big Ten championship not so much weighing on his shoulders as burying him neck-deep in misery. Trey Burke's abnormally low assist output—three—was almost entirely on Morgan's four missed bunnies. Morgan was also out of sync defensively as Michigan's pick and roll D was gutted by Sasa "Basically Pau Gasol" Borovnjak. Morgan was the guy who Borovnjak drove from almost the three-point line on.

Enter Mitch McGary, in full on Big Puppy mode. He ripped down boards, he went 5/6 from the floor, he had a steal, block, two assists, and escaped the wrath of the scorer on a turnover that was obviously his fault but seemed to escape the box score entirely. After one hardman board, he let out a simian bellow—an entirely justified one.

When Morgan struggled at the start of the first half, he got a quick hook and his minutes were given to Jon Horford. A strange phenomenon ensued: Gus Johnson started talking about how incredibly impressive Horford had been in the first half, an opinion with no basis in reality. Horford then demonstrated that Gus Johnson is aging backwards through time or something. Horford chucked in 11 points in 10 minutes, blocked a couple shots, grabbed various rebounds, and went 3/3 from the line(!).

I'd guess Morgan still starts, but Beilein will have a quick trigger a la the second half. Michigan won't be able to crawl out of 14-3 holes with as much ease the rest of the year.

blouses (Dustin Johnston/UMHoops)

Not just a shooter. Stauskas had 15 points on nine shot equivalents plus two assists and zero TOs. Sometimes I think Michigan would be better off moving some of Hardaway's usage to Stauskas. He's got a better handle and seems to create shots a bit better. This may not be the best time to argue that when Hardaway had five assists.

Stauskas also did a much better job on Jermaine Marshall this time around. He torched Michigan behind the line in the last game; in this one he scored 8 points on 14 shot attempts—basically the only PSU player to have a bad day.

Hardaway check. After the Wisconsin game on February 9th, Tim Hardaway was shooting 54% from three in 11 Big Ten games. Since he is 9 of 45, 20%. Michigan's offense has survived admirably in that absence; it would be nice if he was to start hitting some dang shots. I am not sure what to say about this other than "make your threes," but I can say it very loudly if that is required.

A thing that leaps off Hardaway's season box score at Kenpom: his FTAs have evaporated. Up until the Minnesota game Hardaway had gone to the line in every game and had at least six FTAs in 8 games. Since he has been shut out entirely 7 times. Three games in which he was not were against the hackmasters in Happy Valley; other than those games the only times he's been to the line: 3/5 against OSU, 4/5 against Illinois, 1/1 against Purdue, 0/2 against Indiana.

I will repeat my grand desire to see Hardaway commit between one to three charges every game.

GRIII check. If Morgan wasn't struggling so badly I bet we would have seen some dual post action; as it was I was surprised that Bielfeldt didn't get some run early when Penn State was grabbing a bunch of offensive rebounds and Ross Travis found himself having a nice day offensively. Travis shoots 39% from the floor. He was 5/9 in this one.

I'm not sure where Big Ten Geeks grabbed this stat, but I retweeted it since it was in line with my eye test:

McGary has grabbed 11 of the 14 chances he's had for a rebound. GR3 is 2 of 10.

McGary went through a stretch in which he couldn't grab a rebound to save his life, like the rest of the team. Robinson has been pretty weak on the boards since the start of Big Ten play. Against the top four teams in the league, Robinson's rebounding has looked like this:

@ OSU: 38 minutes, 0 OREB, 1 DREB

@ Indiana, 40 minutes, 2 OREB, 2 DREB

OSU: 41 minutes, 33 minutes, 3 OREB, 1 DREB

@ Wisconsin: 1 OREB, 2 DREB

@ MSU: 21 minutes, 2 OREB, 0 DREB

MSU: 31 minutes, 2 OREB, 1 DREB

Indiana: 37 minutes, 1 OREB, 4 DREB

In one(!) of those seven games GRIII has acquired more than two defensive rebounds despite playing huge minutes at the four in all of them. He's done a bit better against the rest of the league; when the going gets tough he's been found wanting. Ace looked at in detail and found that Robinson was frequently a culprit. I'm getting progressively more frustrated with him as Michigan's defensive rebounding continues its glide path down to last year's numbers. In this one Michigan won the board war but still allowed Penn State to grab 34% of their misses, with Ross Travis grabbing 4 OREBs. Borovnjak was 0 (OREB) and 2 (DREB) going up against the fives.

The bad thing about the way that went down. Michigan is facing down four games in four days if they are fortunate enough to get that far. Because of the slow start starters not named Morgan played 34, 35, 35, and 33 minutes. I generally downplay the idea that a few minutes extra is going to kill an 18-20 year old who spends his entire existence in a gym, but once the games come rapid-fire—and you're going up against teams who had today off—that's a situation in which wilting legs seems like a real issue.

I guess the good bit is Michigan is playing Wisconsin's tortoiseball today. If there's a team less well-positioned to take advantage of their opponent's heavy legs, I don't want to perceive their existence. I don't want to perceive Wisconsin's, man.

it's more frustration on Morgon missing easy layups. For a player who shoots 60% for the season(and in the last 2 season), he sure miss a ton of layups. He's always been like it since he started here. I love Morgan for his defense, but he's not much of a threat offensively. Yes, you have to respect him as a roll man since you don't want to give up easy layups/dunks.

I don't think we'll see tired legs today. Last year, Burke was certainly tired agaist OSU, but he had a huge usage and energy game to rally the team from a bunch down against Minnesota the night before. And the team had to come back 24 hours later to play a team that was more talented. That was almost an autoloss.

Here, at least it was a day game and they get a full 24 hours to recover. And I think Burke put his game on energy conservation mode once we had that run at the 10 minute mark. I will say, though, that I don't think Wisconsin's slow pace makes this an easier game in terms of energy expended, because it's pretty exhausting having to defend 33 seconds every time down the court. (If we win [knock, knock, knock on wood], I think we'll see some energy issues against Indiana. Perhaps they'll be counteracted by some "yo, I'm so pissed off about the end of that game you guys" effects.)

And rebound the damn ball. I really don't want to lose this game because Mike f'ing Bruesewitz and that dork with the glasses pull down double-digits OREB combined.

I don't know if this makes any sense, but oftentimes it appears as though GRIII is loafing it out there. I know he's not really loafing, but his demeanor and movements make it look like he is doing just that until he explodes to the basket for a dunk 2-3 times a game. If I put that appearance of loafing together with Brian's rebounding stats, it makes me think he's loafing. And then I go back and re-read what I've just written and it makes me think I am incapable of expressing my thoughts on the internets.

He's probably over-thinking a lot of things and freezing while he does it, which makes him look like he's loafing. I think he's he's wasting energy and time by analyzing everything instead of just reacting. I think we'll see less and less of this as he gets older.

But let me add a Stephen A. Smith howeva. Morgan is consistently and notoriously bad at the lay ups. Mental? Physical? I don't understand it. This is a research project waiting to happen - how many missed lay ups does this man have in his career?

They have access to the SportVU spatial tracking cameras that are present in about half of NBA arenas. They measure lots of advanced things - essentially every movement a player makes is a data point from which you can measure things like out of area rebounds, contested v non contested shooting %, player acceleration, etc. it's pretty much the future of advanced basketball stats

1. Let Staukas play more with the ball in his hand. 2. Mc Gary, Robinson, Hardaway, Burke, Staukas all lead in offensive rebounds. Morgan is a non factor. Don't play him. 3. Chemistry is an issue on this team. Hardaway with the ball in his hand slows down the offense. He needs to be a third option. See #1. 4. Play the 1-3-1 We are long and that defense can make it difficult for teams like Wisconsin inside and out. Props for not pulling this out in the B1G tourney to coach B. The reason for making the change is simple. Michigan is terrible on its weakside rotation no matter who it is Morgan, Robinson, or Hardway are terrible at getting into position and blocking out. The 1-3-1 will make us better since we are more athletic and not yet as strong as some senior laden teams. 5. Burke has the ball to much. I hate to say it but over 50% of our possessions have something to do with Burke. We run the High pick and roll and let Hardaway, GR3, and Staukas just stand around. See #1. Let's get Hardaway, GR3 and Staukas more involved in the offense. 6. Loss to Wisconsin was leg weariness and experience. This team is playing 3 freshmen a ton of minutes and their legs are weary. "No Excuses" Props to the evil darth vader "bo"

7. Down goes Indiana as the Evil Darth Vader "Bo" uses the force to defeat them.