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I'm guessing/hoping wind.. I also just watched a new fantasmic video on mousetimes, and the river didnt light up into flames.. So it's probably either just a glitch there trying to fix, or wind conditions.

~ Here you leave today and enter the world of yesterday tomorrow and fantasy ~

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The Matterhorn does not shut down for the fireworks and they will not use the in park pirate's shells if the winds are to strong.

Are you sure? I've encountered the Matterhorn Bobsleds temporarily closed around the time of the fireworks numerous times. Usually, just as the show is winding down or just as it ended. Maybe it was just closed to get Tink down, but I dont know... I thought they closed the Matterhorn for the fireworks though ...

If they're launching shells off the structure, just as they are in Fantasyland, why wouldn't they need to close it?

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well, not once but a few times I have seen soldering mortar shells in some of the trees around matterhorn, that could be a fire hazzard also possibly the cause for no more fireworks shooting off the Matterhorn.