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31673Sports Reference Logo8/2: FootballPerspective.com- Expected Rushing Touchdowns Based on Rushing Yardshttp://www.footballperspective.com/expected-rushing-touchdowns-based-on-rushing-yards/
Last weekend, we looked at the league-average ratios between receiving yards and touchdowns, and which players scored far more touchdowns than we would expect. Today, we do the same but for rushing yards. For whatever reason, Jerome Bettis&#8217; 2005 has become etched in the memories of many folks.2015-08-02 00:37:537/16: FootballPerspective.com- Most Dominant Fantasy Players Since 1950: Running Backshttp://www.footballperspective.com/most-dominant-fantasy-players-since-1950-running-backs/
Yesterday, we looked at the most dominant quarterbacks in fantasy history. Today, the running backs, using the methodology described yesterday. Let&#8217;s look at the three best seasons in fantasy history, since all shed light on the formula here. Those three are LaDainian Tomlinson, 2006, which is2015-07-16 00:37:576/24: FootballPerspective.com- Career Leaders In Yards Per Carry (Era-Adjusted)http://www.footballperspective.com/career-leaders-in-yards-per-carry-era-adjusted/
In 2008, Jamaal Charles had 67 carries and averaged 5.33 yards per carry. Those 67 carries represent 5% of Charles&#8217; career attempts to date (excluding playoffs). That season, the NFL league average was 4.20 yards per carry, which means Charles was 1.12 (after rounding) YPC above average in 2002015-06-24 00:37:556/18: FootballPerspective.com- Single-Season Leaders in Yards From Scrimmage (Percentage of Team Total)http://www.footballperspective.com/single-season-leaders-in-yards-from-scrimmage-percentage-of-team-total/
In 1999, Marshall Faulk set the NFL record for yards from scrimmage in a season with 2,429. That mark still stands as the 2nd best in NFL history, and Faulk was truly dominant that season. But while Faulk may have been the key cog in the St. Louis machine, he wasn&#8217;t the whole machine. St. [&#82015-06-18 00:38:076/3: FootballPerspective.com- Career Yards From Scrimmage Over &#8220;Worst Starter&#8221; Baselinehttp://www.footballperspective.com/career-yards-from-scrimmage-over-worst-starter-baseline/
Last week, we looked at the career leaders in rushing yards over worst starter; today, we use the same methodology but with yards from scrimmage. Let&#8217;s use Walter Payton&#8217;s 1977 season as an example. That season, the NFL had 28 teams, and the 28th-ranked player in yards from scrimmage gai2015-06-03 00:35:466/1: FootballPerspective.com- Single Season Rushing Yards Over &#8220;Worst Starter&#8221; Baselinehttp://www.footballperspective.com/single-season-rushing-yards-over-worst-starter-baseline/
On Friday, I looked at the career rushing leaders in &#8220;yards over worst starter.&#8221; Today, let&#8217;s look at the single-season list. In 1963, Jim Brown rushed for 1,863 yards in a 14-team NFL. The baseline that year was 541 yards, which represents the 14th highest individual rushing total2015-06-01 00:35:535/29: FootballPerspective.com- Career Rushing Yards Over &#8220;Worst Starter&#8221; Baselinehttp://www.footballperspective.com/career-rushing-yards-over-worst-starter-baseline/
Last year, DeMarco Murray led the NFL with 1,845 rushing yards. The 32nd-ranked rusher last season rushed for 570 yards, which means Murray rushed for 1,275 yards more than the Nth-ranked rusher, with N representing the number of teams in the NFL. That&#8217;s obviously excellent, although not quite2015-05-29 00:35:485/24: FootballPerspective.com- Steven Jackson and Running Back Records When Carrying 20+ Timeshttp://www.footballperspective.com/steven-jackson-and-running-back-records-when-carrying-20-times/
A quick data dump today. Since 1960, players who record 20+ carries in a game were on the winning side of things 72.7% of the time. Steven Jackson, however, is just 30-31-1 in his 62 games where he has had at least 20 carries. Given that we would &#8220;expect&#8221; a player to win 45.1 games [&#822015-05-24 00:35:462/18: BuffaLowDown- Buffalo Bills History: Who Wore It #28http://buffalowdown.com/2015/02/18/buffalo-bills-history-wore-28/
Continuing with our series of Who Wore It for the Buffalo Bills and taking a look back at the history and who was part of it with the Buffalo Bills, we take a look at those players that wore the number 28 for the Bills. During the years, there have been 15 players that have wore the number 28...2015-02-18 15:38:0112/21: FootballPerspective.com- Alfred Morris and Production Through Three Yearshttp://www.footballperspective.com/alfred-morris-and-production-through-three-years/
Alfred Morris was just a sixth round pick. During his rookie season, he happened to play alongside the eventual offensive rookie of the year. Since then, RG3 has continued to dominate headlines, while Morris continues to plug away without garnering a fraction of the attention. For example, did you k2014-12-21 01:35:589/29: The Pesky Pole- Pulling for Tony Romo and the Dallas Cowboyshttp://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ThePeskyPole/~3/jpyG3p47ub8/pulling-for-tony-romo-and-dallas-cowboys.html
When I was a kid I was a huge Dallas Cowboys fan. I was actually a bigger Cowboys fan than I was a Boston Red Sox fan. It made no sense, I was a kid living in Upstate, NY and had the Bills, Browns, Giants, Jets and Patriots all much closer to my house.&nbsp;Most of those teams were pretty bad though2014-09-29 17:41:564/27: FootballPerspective.com- Turnover Among Targets, Part IIhttp://www.footballperspective.com/turnover-among-targets-part-ii/
Yesterday, I looked at team turnover in the passing game for every team in 2013. You can review the pretty complicated1 formula in that post, but the short version is to give each player credit for the lower of two values: his percentage of team receiving yards in Year N and his percentage of team [2014-04-27 00:36:014/25: FootballPerspective.com- Percentage of Team Rushing Yards by Running Backhttp://www.footballperspective.com/percentage-of-team-rushing-yards-by-running-back/
Peyton Manning&#8217;s time in Indianapolis was peppered with record-breaking moments that have been very well-publicized. But a relatively unknown record occurred during the nascent days of the Manning Era. In 1999, Edgerrin James rushed for 1,553 yards, an impressive accomplishment in any era. But2014-04-25 00:35:5811/1: FootballPerspective.com- Chris Johnson is the career leader in average length of rushing touchdownhttp://www.footballperspective.com/chris-johnson-is-the-career-leader-in-average-length-of-rushing-touchdown/
Not too surprising, I suppose. This includes all rushing touchdowns, including in the postseason, but does not include rushing touchdowns for 2013, not that it matters very much for Chris Johnson. :rimshot: All players with at least 30 rushing touchdowns are included since 1940. Finally, statistical2013-11-01 00:36:1510/26: FootballPerspective.com- Trent Richardson and 400 carrieshttp://www.footballperspective.com/trent-richardson-and-400-carries/
Trent Richardson has been a frequent topic of discussion at Football Perspective. In about 14 months, I&#8217;ve written the following articles: How often does the first running back selected in the draft become the best running back from his class? The field is always a better bet than one player: 2013-10-26 00:36:488/25: FootballPerspective.com- The Best &#8220;Real-Life&#8221; Fantasy Teams Since the Mergerhttp://www.footballperspective.com/the-best-real-life-fantasy-teams-since-the-merger/
More than a decade ago (on a side note: how is that possible?), Doug wrote a series of player comments highlighting specific topics as they related to the upcoming fantasy football season. I recommend that you read all of them, if for no other reason than the fact you should make it a policy to [&#82013-08-25 00:36:178/10: FootballPerspective.com- The Biggest Fluke Fantasy Seasons Ever (Part II)http://www.footballperspective.com/the-biggest-fluke-fantasy-seasons-ever-part-ii/
Yesterday, I set up a method for ranking the flukiest fantasy football seasons since the NFL-AFL merger, finding players who had elite fantasy seasons that were completely out of step with the rest of their careers. I highlighted fluke years #21-30, so here&#8217;s a recap of the rankings thus far: 2013-08-10 00:36:042/24: FootballPerspective.com- Projecting Trent Richardson and Alfred Morris, a year laterhttp://www.footballperspective.com/projecting-trent-richardson-and-alfred-morris-a-year-later/
In the pre-season, I wrote three pieces on Cleveland Browns rookie Trent Richardson.Â As part of a thought experiment, I wondered who would lead the NFL in rushing yards from 2012 to 2021? I narrowed my finalists to LeSean McCoy, Beanie Wells (was I drunk?), DeMarco Murray (ouch), Richardson and th2013-02-24 23:35:431/7: FootballPerspective.com- Jamaal Charles&#8217; 2012 was one of the most inconsistent seasons in RB historyhttp://www.footballperspective.com/jamaal-charles-2012-was-one-of-the-most-inconsistent-seasons-in-rb-history/
A couple of weeks ago, I heard my buddy and co-worker Sigmund Bloom say on the Footballguys Podcast that Jamaal Charles was having one of the craziest seasons ever. As Sigmund noted, Charles has been an incredibly frustrating fantasy player. This year, he had three games with 10 or fewer rushing yar2013-01-07 23:35:4812/29: FootballPerspective.com- Checkdowns: Career rushing stats in wins and losseshttp://www.footballperspective.com/checkdowns-career-rushing-stats-in-wins-and-losses/
Yesterday, I noted that Adrian Peterson is averaging nearly two more yards per rush in losses than wins. He&#8217;s also averaging a nearly identical number of rushing yards per game in wins and losses. As you&#8217;re about to see, that&#8217;s pretty rare. We all know that wins are correlated with2012-12-29 23:35:4510/10: FootballPerspective.com- Career Rushing Yards over 50 yards in each gamehttp://www.footballperspective.com/career-rushing-yards-over-50-yards-in-each-game/
Career statistics can be very misleading, since a player can hang around for a bunch of meaningless years but really pad his totals. Six years ago, Doug came up with a system that only counted the receiving yards a player recorded after his first 1,000 receiving yards each season. I&#8217;m going to2012-10-10 00:36:36