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TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT SAT NOV 03 2001
OCTAVE HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND TAFB HAS ESTIMATED THE INTENSITY
AT 25 KTS. THE CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO A SMALL AREA NORTH OF THE
EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE SHEAR REMAINS FORMIDABLE AND IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN SO. THE SYSTEM IS NOW DECLARED A REMNANT LOW AND
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO GENERATE A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO AS IT
CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE WEST ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LARGE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION
OCCURS.
FORECASTER JARVINEN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 03/2100Z 18.9N 133.1W 25 KTS...REMNANT LOW
12HR VT 04/0600Z 19.2N 134.4W 20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 04/1800Z 19.7N 136.1W 20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
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