POAMA stands for predictive ocean atmosphere model for Australia. POAMA is an intra-seasonal to inter-annual climate prediction system based on the Bureau of Meteorology coupled ocean/atmosphere model and an ocean data assimilation system. The first version (POAMA-1) has been run operationally by the Bureau of Meteorology since 2002. Following the successful development of POAMA-1, a new atmospheric and land initialization scheme (ALI) has been developed recently and this new system is now on operational trial phase and has been producing real-time forecasts since beginning of July this year.

An overview of the POAMA system and its performance will be presented in this talk. The system's ability to predict ENSO with particular focus on the detailed structure of the tropical Indo-Pacific SST, that is critical for affecting Australian rainfall, will be described in detail. Australian rainfall forecast skill from POAMA is to be compared with a statistical model in order to assess the potential utility of dynamically-based prediction. Finally the potential of using POAMA system for climate variability studies will be discussed.

The security procedures to all interested non-NOAA attendees
for entry into WWB are: You need to give your name, affiliation, and phone # to the security at the front desk when you arrive. You need to
have a valid photo ID upon entry. Moreover, you need to be accompanied during your stay here. I am sorry for the inconvenience. It may help to make
a printout of this announcement and show to the guards for your purpose of visit when u come. If u are interested in giving a seminar at CPC, or for
further information, please call (301-763-8000 ext. 7546) or email me (Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov).

Directions from Washington Beltway 495: Take exit 7B (Branch Ave),
make a right at first signal, and the building is immediately on your left.