President Obama holds a six-point lead over Mitt Romney in a new Inquirer Pennsylvania Poll with just over nine full days of campaigning left for the Republican nominee to make a play for the state.

Obama was the choice of 49 percent of likely voters, to 43 percent who backed Romney in the survey conducted for the newspaper by a bipartisan team of pollsters.

The new numbers came out as one Republican group made a television ad buy on Friday that might signal a last-minute Romney push in Pennsylvania.

The poll's margin represents a net swing of two percentage points in Romney's favor since the last Inquirer survey, which found the president ahead 50 percent to 42 percent in the first week of October.

I drove around “Bite Me’s” adopted home of Scranton, PA last week and the Romney yard signs were 3-1 over Obummer. Last election I hardly saw any McCain yard signs.Also, many vehicles sporting “ Don’t Tread on Me” stickers.

90% of the state is probably like any rural state, but the cities of Philadelphia and Pittsburgh are probably 95% Democrat, and Philadelphia alone usually provides a 350,000 to 600,000 + vote margin alone in Democrat votes, which have to be overcome by rural or suburban Republicans.

The big counties to watch in the Philadelphia are would be:

Bucks County outside NE Philadelphia,
Delaware County and Chester County outside South Philadelphia
Montgomery County west of Philadelphia

If the Romney can win big in the above highly populated Phila suburban counties, he might have enough from the rest of the rural counties in the rest of the state to pull it through.

I don't know much about Pa except I understand there is no early voting. With the storm coming up the East Coast most of the Dems. will probably just stay home. Unless they have voted absentee I doubt most will vote. Is God taking care of matters? We shall see.

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