CH. Bayer, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, Option Pricing in Affine Generalized Merton Models, in: Advanced Modelling in Mathematical Finance -- In Honour of Ernst Eberlein, J. Kallsen, A. Papapantoleon , eds., Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, Springer International Publishing Switzerland, Cham, 2016, pp. 219--239, (Chapter Published).AbstractIn this article we consider affine generalizations of the Merton jump diffusion model Merton (1976) and the respective pricing of European options. On the one hand, the Brownian motion part in the Merton model may be generalized to a log-Heston model, and on the other hand, the jump part may be generalized to an affine process with possibly state dependent jumps. While the characteristic function of the log-Heston component is known in closed form, the characteristic function of the second component may be unknown explicitly. For the latter component we propose an approximation procedure based on the method introduced in Belomestny, Kampen, Schoenmakers (2009). We conclude with some numerical examples.

Artikel in Referierten Journalen

V. Krätschmer, M. Ladkau, R.J.A. Laeven, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, M. Stadje, Optimal stopping under uncertainty in drift and jump intensity, Mathematics of Operations Research, 43 (2018), pp. 1177--1209, DOI 10.1287/moor.2017.0899 .AbstractThis paper studies the optimal stopping problem in the presence of model uncertainty (ambiguity). We develop a method to practically solve this problem in a general setting, allowing for general time-consistent ambiguity averse preferences and general payoff processes driven by jump-diffusions. Our method consists of three steps. First, we construct a suitable Doob martingale associated with the solution to the optimal stopping problem %represented by the Snell envelope using backward stochastic calculus. Second, we employ this martingale to construct an approximated upper bound to the solution using duality. Third, we introduce backward-forward simulation to obtain a genuine upper bound to the solution, which converges to the true solution asymptotically. We analyze the asymptotic behavior and convergence properties of our method. We illustrate the generality and applicability of our method and the potentially significant impact of ambiguity to optimal stopping in a few examples.

D. Belomestny, H. Mai, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, Generalized Post--Widder inversion formula with application to statistics, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, 455 (2017), pp. 89--104.AbstractIn this work we derive an inversion formula for the Laplace transform of a density observed on a curve in the complex domain, which generalizes the well known Post-Widder formula. We establish convergence of our inversion method and derive the corresponding convergence rates for the case of a Laplace transform of a smooth density. As an application we consider the problem of statistical inference for variance-mean mixture models. We construct a nonparametric estimator for the mixing density based on the generalized Post-Widder formula, derive bounds for its root mean square error and give a brief numerical example.

Z. Grbac, A. Papapantoleon, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, D. Skovmand, Affine LIBOR models with multiple curves: Theory, examples and calibration, SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, ISSN 1945-497X, 6 (2015), pp. 984--1025.AbstractWe introduce a multiple curve LIBOR framework that combines tractable dynamics and semi-analytic pricing formulas with positive interest rates and basis spreads. The dynamics of OIS and LIBOR rates are specified following the methodology of the affine LIBOR models and are driven by the wide and flexible class of affine processes. The affine property is preserved under forward measures, which allows to derive Fourier pricing formulas for caps, swaptions and basis swaptions. A model specification with dependent LIBOR rates is developed, that allows for an efficient and accurate calibration to a system of caplet prices.

M. Ladkau, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, J. Zhang, Libor model with expiry-wise stochastic volatility and displacement, International Journal of Portfolio Analysis and Management, 1 (2013), pp. 224--249.AbstractWe develop a multi-factor stochastic volatility Libor model with displacement, where each individual forward Libor is driven by its own square-root stochastic volatility process. The main advantage of this approach is that, maturity-wise, each square-root process can be calibrated to the corresponding cap(let)vola-strike panel at the market. However, since even after freezing the Libors in the drift of this model, the Libor dynamics are not affine, new affine approximations have to be developed in order to obtain Fourier based (approximate) pricing procedures for caps and swaptions. As a result, we end up with a Libor modeling package that allows for efficient calibration to a complete system of cap/swaption market quotes that performs well even in crises times, where structural breaks in vola-strike-maturity panels are typically observed.

S. Balder, A. Mahayni, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, Primal-dual linear Monte Carlo algorithm for multiple stopping --- An application to flexible caps, Quantitative Finance, 13 (2013), pp. 1003--1013.AbstractIn this paper we consider the valuation of Bermudan callable derivatives with multiple exercise rights. We present in this context a new primal-dual linear Monte Carlo algorithm that allows for efficient simulation of lower and upper price bounds without using nested simulations (hence the terminology). The algorithm is essentially an extension of a primal-dual Monte Carlo algorithm for standard Bermudan options proposed in Schoenmakers et al (2011), to the case of multiple exercise rights. In particular, the algorithm constructs upwardly a system of dual martingales to be plugged into the dual representation of Schoenmakers (2010). At each level the respective martingale is constructed via a backward regression procedure starting at the last exercise date. The thus constructed martingales are finally used to compute an upper price bound. At the same time, the algorithm also provides approximate continuation functions which may be used to construct a price lower bound. The algorithm is applied to the pricing of flexible caps in a Hull White (1990) model setup. The simple model choice allows for comparison of the computed price bounds with the exact price which is obtained by means of a trinomial tree implementation. As a result, we obtain tight price bounds for the considered application. Moreover, the algorithm is generically designed for multi-dimensional problems and is tractable to implement.

A. Papapantoleon, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, D. Skovmand, Efficient and accurate log-Lévy approximations to Lévy driven LIBOR models, Journal of Computational Finance, 15 (2012), pp. 3--44.AbstractThe LIBOR market model is very popular for pricing interest rate derivatives, but is known to have several pitfalls. In addition, if the model is driven by a jump process, then the complexity of the drift term is growing exponentially fast (as a function of the tenor length). In this work, we consider a Lévy-driven LIBOR model and aim at developing accurate and efficient log-Lévy approximations for the dynamics of the rates. The approximations are based on truncation of the drift term and Picard approximation of suitable processes. Numerical experiments for FRAs, caps and swaptions show that the approximations perform very well. In addition, we also consider the log-Lévy approximation of annuities, which offers good approximations for high volatility regimes.

D. Belomestny, A. Kolodko, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, Pricing CMS spreads in the Libor market model, International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 13 (2010), pp. 45--62.AbstractWe present two approximation methods for pricing of CMS spread options in Libor market models. Both approaches are based on approximating the underlying swap rates with lognormal processes under suitable measures. The first method is derived straightforwardly from the Libor market model. The second one uses a convexity adjustment technique under a linear swap model assumption. A numerical study demonstrates that both methods provide satisfactory approximations of spread option prices and can be used for calibration of a Libor market model to the CMS spread option market.

D. Belomestny, Spectral estimation of the fractional order of a Lévy process, The Annals of Statistics, 38 (2010), pp. 317--351.

D. Belomestny, S. Mathew, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, Multiple stochastic volatility extension of the Libor market model and its implementation, Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, 15 (2009), pp. 285-310.AbstractIn this paper we propose a Libor model with a high-dimensional specially structured system of driving CIR volatility processes. A stable calibration procedure which takes into account a given local correlation structure is presented. The calibration algorithm is FFT based, so fast and easy to implement.

D. Belomestny, G.N. Milstein, V. Spokoiny, Regression methods in pricing American and Bermudan options using consumption processes, Quantitative Finance, 9 (2009), pp. 315--327.AbstractHere we develop methods for efficient pricing multidimensional discrete-time American and Bermudan options by using regression based algorithms together with a new approach towards constructing upper bounds for the price of the option. Applying sample space with payoffs at the optimal stopping times, we propose sequential estimates for continuation values, values of the consumption process, and stopping times on the sample paths. The approach admits constructing both low and upper bounds for the price by Monte Carlo simulations. The methods are illustrated by pricing Bermudan swaptions and snowballs in the Libor market model.

O. Reiss, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, M. Schweizer, From structural assumptions to a link between assets and interest rates, Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 31 (2007), pp. 593--612.AbstractWe derive a link between assets and interest rates in a standard multi-asset diffusion economy from two structural assumptions ? one on the volatility and one on the short rate function. Our main result is economically intuitive and testable from data since it only involves empirically observable quantities. A preliminary study illustrates how this could be done.

J.G.M. Schoenmakers, B. Coffey, Systematic generation of parametric correlation structures for the LIBOR market model, International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 6 (2003), pp. 507-519.AbstractWe present a conceptual approach of deriving parsimonious correlation structures suitable for implementation in the LIBOR market model. By imposing additional constraints on a known ratio correlation structure, motivated by economically sensible assumptions concerning forward LIBOR correlations, we yield a semi-parametric framework of non-degenerate correlation structures with realistic properties. Within this framework we derive systematically low parametric structures with, in principal, any desired number of parameters. As illustrated, such structures may be used for smoothing a matrix of historically estimated LIBOR return correlations. In combination with a suitably parametrized deterministic LIBOR volatility norm we so obtain a parsimonious multi-factor market model which allows for joint calibration to caps and swaptions. See Schoenmakers [2002] for a stable full implied calibration procedure based on the correlation structures developed in this paper.

M. Redmann, Ch. Bayer, P. Goya, Low-dimensional approximations of high-dimensional asset price models, Preprint no. 2706, WIAS, Berlin, 2020, DOI 10.20347/WIAS.PREPRINT.2706 .Abstract, PDF (363 kByte)We consider high-dimensional asset price models that are reduced in their dimension in order to reduce the complexity of the problem or the effect of the curse of dimensionality in the context of option pricing. We apply model order reduction (MOR) to obtain a reduced system. MOR has been previously studied for asymptotically stable controlled stochastic systems with zero initial conditions. However, stochastic differential equations modeling price processes are uncontrolled, have non-zero initial states and are often unstable. Therefore, we extend MOR schemes and combine ideas of techniques known for deterministic systems. This leads to a method providing a good pathwise approximation. After explaining the reduction procedure, the error of the approximation is analyzed and the performance of the algorithm is shown conducting several numerical experiments. Within the numerics section, the benefit of the algorithm in the context of option pricing is pointed out.