High chance for a tropical system to form in the Gulf

The center of the storm was located about 100 miles south-southeast of Cozumel, Mexico, and 195 miles south-southwest of the western tip of Cuba as of the National Hurricane Center's 8 p.m. EDT update. That's a typical trait of subtropical storms, which have maximum winds far from the center, rather than clustered tightly around the center like a tropical storm.

The difference between a "subtropical' and "tropical storm" is just a structural one that scientists used to distinguish the storms". The chances of this tropical depression developing over the next five days are up to 80 percent, according to the National Weather Service. Alberto would mark the first named storm of the 2018 Atlantic season. It's also possible Alberto will transition into a more standard tropical storm.

At the meeting, Gov. Scott urged Floridians to watch the weather closely and make a plan. Similar rain totals are possible from southeastern Louisiana to central Georgia, with the coasts of Alabama and the western FloridaPanhandle in a bullseye to receive the most rain.

Tropical storm watches are in effect for Tulum to Cabo Catoche, Mexico, and the Cuban province of Pinar del Rio.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.

Finally, the rainfall forecast from now until early next week from the National Weather Service shows the extensive area with the potential for heavy rain covering all of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast, including South Florida.

This storm isn't a direct threat to Virginia or North Carolina, but it could eventually steer some remnant rainfall into our region late next week. Other parts of the South would likely be affected as well.

Forecasters from AccuWeather believe the depression could make landfall in the USA by Memorial Day, potentially ruining the holiday weekend for millions of Americans. It's too early to pinpoint those areas along the Gulf Coast yet, if even an issue in Northwest Florida. Because the ground is already saturated due to all the recent rain we've had, the flooding concern is high.

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