I'm about 30 miles west of Cincinnati. If the turnout here is any indication of what the turnout will be in Hamilton County, where Cincinnati is, I think Romney takes Hamilton county. Just has to take up north where Cleveland is.

Heavily Democratic Cuyahoga County (Cleveland) shows turnout on track to surpass 2008, which kind of crushes Romney hopes in Ohio. When combined with the Democratic early voting advantage, it's hard to see how Romney can close the gap.

In general, the early exit polls show turnout near 2008 levels. Slightly better percentages for the Republicans, but that's still exactly what the polls called. That would mean the polls were right, and if the polls were right, Obama wins. There is no magical Republican turnout advantage happening.

Heavily Democratic Cuyahoga County (Cleveland) shows turnout on track to surpass 2008, which kind of crushes Romney hopes in Ohio. When combined with the Democratic early voting advantage, it's hard to see how Romney can close the gap.

In general, the early exit polls show turnout near 2008 levels. Slightly better percentages for the Republicans, but that's still exactly what the polls called. That would mean the polls were right, and if the polls were right, Obama wins. There is no magical Republican turnout advantage happening.

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That's a very good point. All I've been hearing are the polls are wrong, in large part due to calculating for 08 turnouts, which wasn't going to be the case this year. I admit, I bought that line.

If numbers surpass 08... Well damn, I think this could end up being a landslide(though not necessarily for Obama)

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