His stand up is decent and he carries power but Jones is Jones. I don't see smith dropping him and also don't see how smith will be able to keep Jones off of him. The grappling is a huge advantage for Jones imo.

Rockhold let Bisping get close enough to land a punch that dropped him.

Jones can land a kick to the legs, body or head that makes Luke beg for mercy from another Zip code.

Rockhold is nowhere near quick or strong enough, let alone good enough everywhere, to give Jones any issues. Only thing is a dislocated/broken toe like in the Chael fight.

Point was that Luke would be a tougher style test then Smith, since JBJ likes to fight at Kickn range & thats Luke's forte .. ontop of his ttd being much better

Now if you said JBJ would just muscle em, clinch / pin em up against the cage (i.e branch) & work em inside w/those vicious elbows, that would of made much more sense.. & thats prob how it would go down

There's probably more unexpected huge wins in title fights but my point remains.

I don't think Anthony will bring anything that Jones hasn't seen before and I think he will lose, but if Jones sleeps on the guy's hunger or power or confidence, he will be embarrassed. It's definitely possible, important point Kezza made here IMO

I like Smith alot he has improved immensely and has a good reach and power to counter cheating Jones but he's gonna need some takedown defense and hard/heavy and frequent leg kicks.Dont know why Gus didn't use the shit outta them and basically choose to try almost the exact same thing but with less imagination which was just to predictible. Of course Gus did say that groin strike messed him up so maybe that's why.