has some numbers from before the weekend. It also had Wisconsin as a 1 seed 5 times - preNebrasketball. Once these get updated there will some slight modifications.

I think the seeding all depends on the conference tournaments. Obviously WSU is done and a #1, but I think results of the tourneys will have a huge influence .... including a potential 1 seed for Michigan if we win the B1G tournament ...

Go Blue!

No place on earth I'd rather be on a football Saturday than Michigan Stadium !

Granted, UM has been playing some really good basketball lately but Florida has been quite impressive over the past several months (I believe they have won 23 straight games). They get scoring from every position and can play multiple styles of basketball. Overall, you are right, though - that would be a very nice set up for UM. The Midwest bracket, on the other hand, looks brutal.

And before talking about shit conferences - while it's not everything, which conference has more NCAA Championships in the last 10 years, the SEC or B1G? The Big Ten has made it there 4 times in the last 10 years which is really good probably, except winless in those attempts. Big Ten is clearly better as a whole, by far, but that doesn't mean Florida can't be the best team in the country.

"It would be a travesty, it would be ridiculous to all of a sudden come back and get the feeling back, get the health back, feel good again and then all of a sudden go throw some other colors on my shirt and go coach."

So me saying I wouldn't mind Michigan being in the same region as Florida equates to "weird homerism"? Got it.

I think Michigan matches up very well with teams that play smaller lineups, like Florida does. It is the teams will large, athletic PF's that give UM the most trouble (think Ashley from Arizona). Much like last year, I like the way Michigan matches up with Florida.

I'll say this about Florida. This year's Senior Class has been to 3 Elite 8's and 3 times has watched another team get to cut down the nets. I don't think you can understate how horrible that must feel and I wouldn't bet against them in a similiar situation.

"At worst we failed at trying to do the right thing rather than succeed at doing the wrong thing.."

"This year's Gators have watched another team cut down the nets in two previous years. No way it happens a third time" and ESPN was often pointing out that no team had every lost three straight Elite 8 games. They still lost; they can do it again

Seth Davis seems to believe that if UM wins the BTT they will get the final 1 seed. I honestly believe Michigan has already wrapped up a 2 seed and can only go up from here. On a side note, there is no way 4 teams out of the SEC make the tournament. I can't believe Lunardi has Arkansas in the field still, especially after they lost by 25 to 13-18 Alabama.

A few sites are going with only three teams from the SEC, which makes a little more sense to me. I don't even know that Arkansas is in "first four out" territory at this point - they might be further away than that now. At any rate, It's probably Florida, Kentucky and Tennessee and that's all from the SEC - a 1, 7 and 12-seed respectively, per TeamRankings.

"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."

I thought the same about Arkansas, but then I started looking at teams behind them. The only team that makes a real case(at the moment) is Minnesota. But the Razorbacks have a better record(in a bad conference, I know), a better record against RPI top 50(Ark 4-3/Minn 3-8), and they beat the Gophers head to head on a nuetral floor earlier in the year. Hard to argue that.

I'd think even a mid-major like Green Bay or Southern Miss (if they lose in their conference tourney) would be more deserving. The SEC is so bad I just don't see 4 bids coming from that league. You certainly make a good point about them over Minnesota, though.

I agree, but the mid-major teams Lunardi has in is whole different issue with me. I am not sure how he doesn't have the two teams you mentioned, winning their respective conferences. It seems he is bringing subjective opinion to braketology, where I thought it based more on numbers, rank, SOS, etc...

His three * New Teams To The Bracket in the this edition are all pretty much WTF?

That's not true. Michigan played UNC in the tournament 3 years in a row - lost in the 2nd round in '87, lost in the Sweet Sixteen in '88 and won in the Sweet Sixteen in '89 on the run to the NC. We also played Temple in back to back years with the Fab 5 - won in the 1st round in '92 and won in the regional finals in '93.

Yeah but UNC had to play NCAA games in between those matchups (first two round games in 88 and 89) so it wasn't consecutive. Similarly Temply played 3 games in between 92 and 93 matchups. Kansas would have lost to us last year and then would play the "Wolverines" of Utah Valley immediately in the next game. It's a completely meaningless, arbitrary point, but I thought it was mildly interesting.

"At worst we failed at trying to do the right thing rather than succeed at doing the wrong thing.."

Don't like that draw at all. Besides Eastern there isn't a single gimme in there. OKSt just pushed ISU to the brink in Ames where we lost. UVA won the ACC. And Florida's been #1 for a while (yes in a weak conference), but realistically UNC could upset them and be a tough out in the elite eight. I really hope the regions are more balanced than this.

they used to put things into consideration like not having early games that are rematches from the regular season, or giving consession to conference champs for better regional placement / spreading out the major conf. champs, etc. Now they're not supposed to do that and are going off straight seeding.

I still highly doubt they'd do that overall, anyway, as these are just projections.

I is confuzed. I don't really understand how he is predicting Michigan to play EMU in the first(second) round. EMU? LOL WUT? Since when does Lunardi pick underdogs to win conference tournaments? I guess I always thought his picks were based on the assumption that the highest ranked (RPI, AP, BPI, etc...) team in the conference, wins the conference auto-bid.

One win locks up a 2 seed and maybe even not that. No way we need to win the BTT to hold onto 2.

EDIT: Also it would be total BS if the B1G season champ got stuck with #1 Florida. We (or some other team if it hadn't been us) deserves a Villanova or WSU. I know UF has played a weakass schedule, but that would still be baloney.

He saw God's foot upon the treadle of the loom, and spoke it; and his shipmates called him mad.

How do they put Eastern Michigan in? There is no way Eastern Michigan will beat Western Michigan or Toledo. WMU is playing some good basketball as of late plus they have the #1 seed in the MAC tourney so i think it might be looking good for them to win it. GO BRONCOS

Lunardi normally goes with either the leader of the conference standings or the highest RPI rating if ties are in place. As you said, WMU is the #1 seed in the MAC tourney, so my guess is this is supposed to be Western instead of Eastern.

Just fyi guys - Lunardi is like the brand name bracketologist based on who he works for. His track record versus a lot of other bracketologists is actually very average. Due to his "brand" (ESPN) he gets all the hype (and Palm is average too). Some of these smaller sites in that bracketmatrix have a far better record at picking things correctly. Of those almost all the ones i looked at have UM on the 2 line playing in the South or West, opening in Milwaukee or Buffalo. (UF or AZ as the #1 seeds)

Maybe I'm wrong, but I think Lunardi is one of the best at predicted which teams are in and out (and so he's a good guy to go to if your team is on the bubble), but perhaps there are better ones in terms of predicting seeds.

It's super easy to predict what teams are in or out every year... you can get 64 of 68 teams just by glancing through the end of the season. Last year over half of the matrix picked all 68 teams correctly and over 80% had 67 of 68 teams.

How teams will be seeded is much more delicate and takes some degree of reverse-engineering how the NCAA committee is going to decide things that year.

Lunardi is not a revered name among bracketologists. View http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html for the guys who get it right at a much higher level.

I would love that bracket for us. Of all the #1 seeds, Florida is who I would most like to be paired up with. Same goes for Virginia and the #3 seeds. Even the lower seeded teams in the region are more favorable matchups IMO.

Sorry if this has been discussed a lot in other threads, but what do you think are the possibilities of Michigan getting a 1 seed IF: A) Michigan win the BTT B) Kansas and 'Nova don't win their conference tourneys.