The ScottRasmussen.com daily Generic Ballot update for September 14th shows the Democrats leading by five percentage points.

Each night we ask approximately 1,000 Registered Voters a standard question: “If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican or the Democrat from your District?” We report the results on a three-day rolling average basis.

Today’s numbers show that 42% of would vote for the Democrat and 37% would vote for the Republican. Five percent (5%) would vote for some other party, 4% would not vote, and 13% are not sure (see crosstab results).

The Democratic lead on the Generic Ballot has remained fairly steady all year (see daily topline trends).

It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).Sign up HERE to receive the latest numbers in our daily email update. You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

In the run-up to an election, the Generic Ballot provides a ballpark sense of how the popular vote for the House of Representatives will turn out. In 2018, our final Generic Ballot poll showed the Democrats with an 8-point advantage among the most likely voters. That matched the actual popular vote margin of victory for Nancy Pelosi’s party.

In between elections, the Generic Ballot can give us a sense of which way the political tides are flowing. As the new Congress settles in, it will give us a benchmark for measuring how well or poorly the new Democratic House majority is being received.

Our daily Generic Ballot updates are based upon daily interviews with approximately 1,000 Registered Voters and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The surveys are conducted by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the demographic profile of our sample).