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BULLETIN
HURRICANE MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST TUE OCT 27 1998
..MITCH REMAINS A VERY DANGEROUS SLOWLY-MOVING HURRICANE...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF
HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM
CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...AND FOR SWAN ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160
KM...NORTHEAST OF LA CEIBO HONDURAS. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 60
MILES...95 KM...NORTH OF THE NEAREST HONDURAS COAST.
MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...
AND A WEST-SOUTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME SPEED IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 155 MPH...250 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT
MITCH IS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN A VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. A
REPORT OF A WIND GUST TO 80 MPH WAS RECENTLY RECEIVED FROM THE
ISLAND OF ROATAN NEAR THE HONDURAS COAST.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 929 MB...27.43 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF HONDURAS AND OTHER PARTS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
DANGEROUS COASTAL FLOODING FROM STRONG ON-SHORE WINDS AND BATTERING
WAVES IS OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN. THE WORST
CONDITIONS ARE ALONG THE COAST OF HONDURAS AND SWAN ISLAND...AND
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN ARE ALSO EXPERIENCING
DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.
REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...16.8 N... 85.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
155 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 929 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
EST.
LAWRENCE
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
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