Latest updates

Friday, March 31, 2017

First of all, I must say I'm against the expansion - and I'm saying this as a fan of a team that hasn't been to the World Cup since 1998. Further more, to quote the late David Taylor, I would like to disabuse anyone of the notion that I would embrace the expansion idea as it would give Romania a better chance of qualifying. More on this later in the post.

Friday, March 17, 2017

Brazil
will be the next No. 1 if they win against Uruguay (away) and Paraguay
(at home). However, the odds are not in their favor. Argentina (home vs.
Chile, away to Bolivia) were 1st in 57.95% of the 10000 simulations I
ran, with Brazil with only 42.05%. Of course, Elo ratings don't take
into account high altitude.

Friday, March 3, 2017

Weighting for the FIFA ranking part of the formula dropped from 30% to 10%. The MA ranking at the end of the club season (November 2017) will be used to determine the slot allocations for the 2019 and 2020 seasons.