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Sunday, November 26, 2017

Week 12 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are John Trifone's Week 12 NFL picks against the spread:

Denver Broncos +4.5 over Oakland Raiders (4 units)

The Broncos have been incredibly disappointing and now are going to Paxton Lynch to try and turn things around. He’ll get the worst pass defense in the league in Oakland, who may be the most disappointing team of the year based on expectations coming in. They are coming off an embarrassing loss against the Patriots where they were not even competitive. I like the Broncos outright here so I’ll take the points.

Miami Dolphins +16.5 over New England Patriots (3 units)

This one doesn’t require too much analysis. The Patriots are the far superior team and the Dolphins aren’t very good. I consider Matt Moore an upgrade over Jay Cutler, and both Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski are banged up. Ultimately, this one just comes down to it being too many points. New England could blow them out and still give up a backdoor cover. I like the Dolphins and the points.