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RSS Feed for FEWS NET ReportsenIncreased seasonal rainfall is forecast to relieve dryness throughout southern Africahttp://fews.net/global/global-weather-hazards/january-18-2019
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Global<div class="field field-name-field-report-type field-type-taxonomy-term-reference field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Global Weather Hazards</div></div></div></div>
Thu, 17 Jan 2019 20:38:33 -050022,567Kenya Enhanced Market Analysis http://fews.net/east-africa/kenya/enhanced-market-analysis/september-2018
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Kenya<div class="field field-name-field-report-type field-type-taxonomy-term-reference field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Enhanced Market Analysis</div></div></div></div>
Thu, 17 Jan 2019 10:34:10 -050022,563World's largest food security emergency continues as conflict enters its fifth yearhttp://fews.net/east-africa/yemen/food-security-outlook/december-2018
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Yemen<div class="field field-name-field-report-type field-type-taxonomy-term-reference field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Food Security Outlook</div></div></div><div class="key-messages field field-name-field-report-key-messages field-type-text-long field-label-above" ><h3 class="label-above lead-text" >Key Messages</h3><ul><li><p>FEWS NET estimates that approximately 17 million people in Yemen would be in need of urgent action (IPC Phase 3 or higher) in the absence of ongoing humanitarian food assistance. Sa’ada and Hajjah governorates are in Emergency (IPC Phase 4), which is associated with large food consumption gaps and/or extreme depletion of livelihood assets. Of the remaining governorates in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), six would be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) in the absence of ongoing assistance.</p>
</li><li><p>Between December 2018 and January 2019, large areas will remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), as large-scale assistance prevents a deterioration to Emergency (IPC Phase 4) in many areas. In the most likely scenario, humanitarian food assistance will continue through early 2019 and large areas will remain in Crisis through May 2019.</p>
</li><li><p>While ceasefires have recently been announced in Al Hudaydah, FEWS NET’s most likely scenario is based on the assumption that conflict will continue. As such, the potential for continued conflict near Al Hudaydah City remains concerning. Damage, closure, or disruption of land routes to the Red Sea ports could significantly restrict staple food availability and lead to sharp increases in staple food prices across the country. In a worst-case scenario, significant declines in commercial imports and conflict that cuts populations off from trade and humanitarian food assistance for an extended period could lead to Famine (IPC Phase 5). In addition, should humanitarian food assistance fail to materialize in 2019, the risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5) would increase, and the number of people in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) or worse would likely exceed 5 million.</p>
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Tue, 15 Jan 2019 18:48:00 -050022,562Rainfall brings relief to dry conditions across South Africa, Botswana, Zimbabwe and Angola http://fews.net/global/global-weather-hazards/january-11-2019
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Global<div class="field field-name-field-report-type field-type-taxonomy-term-reference field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Global Weather Hazards</div></div></div></div>
Thu, 10 Jan 2019 21:40:31 -050022,560Cumulative October to December Deyr 2018 rainfall below average across Somaliahttp://fews.net/east-africa/somalia/seasonal-monitor/january-10-2019
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Somalia<div class="field field-name-field-report-type field-type-taxonomy-term-reference field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Seasonal Monitor</div></div></div></div>
Thu, 10 Jan 2019 15:58:36 -050022,559Below-average Deyr/short rains season concludes with enhanced December rainfallhttp://fews.net/east-africa/seasonal-monitor/january-4-2019
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East Africa<div class="field field-name-field-report-type field-type-taxonomy-term-reference field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Seasonal Monitor</div></div></div><div class="key-messages field field-name-field-report-key-messages field-type-text-long field-label-above" ><h3 class="label-above lead-text" >Key Messages</h3><ul><li><p>At the conclusion of the <em>Deyr</em>/short rains season, there remain large areas of drier-than-normal conditions across Somalia, in parts of eastern and southern Ethiopia, in eastern Kenya, and along the Kenya-Uganda border. However, December rainfall alleviated cumulative deficits in parts of the eastern Horn, bringing short-term but significant relief to pasture and water resources.</p>
</li><li><p>Late seasonal rainfall in December resulted in better cropping conditions during the final weeks of the growing season in much of Uganda, Rwanda, and Burundi, as well as western, central, and eastern Kenya and parts of northern Tanzania.</p>
</li><li><p>The short-term rainfall outlook through mid-January is indicative of dry conditions across most of East Africa, aside from moderate to locally very heavy rains in Tanzania and Burundi. With little or no rainfall expected across the rest of the region, this marks the southward shift of the seasonal rains toward southern Africa.</p>
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Fri, 04 Jan 2019 14:22:01 -050022,555Poor October to December seasonal rainfall and sustained ethnic clashes continuehttp://fews.net/east-africa/ethiopia/food-security-outlook-update/december-2018
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Ethiopia<div class="field field-name-field-report-type field-type-taxonomy-term-reference field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Food Security Outlook Update</div></div></div><div class="key-messages field field-name-field-report-key-messages field-type-text-long field-label-above" ><h3 class="label-above lead-text" >Key Messages</h3><ul><li><p><em>Deyr/Hagaya</em> seasonal rainfall (October to December) in southern pastoral areas has been below average. It has been also erratic in temporal and spatial distribution and the onset was delayed. Southeastern pastoral areas continue to recover from drought in 2016 and 2017 and will remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) through at least May 2019.</p>
</li><li><p><em>Meher</em> harvests are generally average throughout much of the country. Over parts of eastern Oromia, southern Tigray, eastern Amhara, and northern SNNPR, however, rainfall was below-average, leading to reduced production. Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in affected areas, as well as in many northern pastoral areas.</p>
</li><li><p>While the country continues to respond to the needs of drought affected populations, large populations are also displaced by conflict throughout the country. Areas where intercommunal clashes are having the most significant impact on food security outcomes include parts of Oromia, SNNPR, Somali, and Benishangul Gumuz regions.</p>
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Mon, 31 Dec 2018 17:46:38 -050022,552Sudan Price Bulletinhttp://fews.net/east-africa/sudan/price-bulletin/december-2018
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Sudan<div class="field field-name-field-report-type field-type-taxonomy-term-reference field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Price Bulletin</div></div></div></div>
Mon, 31 Dec 2018 14:31:46 -050022,549FSNAU Quarterly Brief - Focus on Post-Deyr 2018 Season Early Warninghttp://fews.net/east-africa/somalia/food-security-outlook-update/december-2018
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Somalia<div class="field field-name-field-report-type field-type-taxonomy-term-reference field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Food Security Outlook Update</div></div></div><div class="key-messages field field-name-field-report-key-messages field-type-text-long field-label-above" ><h3 class="label-above lead-text" >Key Messages</h3><ul><li><div>According to the consensus forecast from Greater Horn of Africa Climate outlook Forum (GHACOF50) issued at the end of August 2018, there was a greater likelihood of normal to above normal 2018 <em>Deyr </em>(October – December) rains across Somalia. Above-average <em>Deyr</em> rains were also expected to cause flooding in flood-prone low-lying and riverine livelihoods of the country. However, actual <em>Deyr</em> season rainfall between October and early December 2018 turned out to be below average in most parts of the country.</div>
</li><li><p>Livestock holdings among poor pastoral households in northeastern and central Somalia remain below baseline. Livestock body conditions, reproduction, and milk production and availability are below average to poor in areas that received below average <em>Deyr</em> rains. With few saleable animals, poor pastoralists will not be able to meet their food needs, payback accumulated debt and cover increased expenditure on water during the forthcoming dry <em>Jilaal </em>(January – March 2019) season.</p>
</li><li><p>In Northwest Agropastoral livelihood zone, the 2018 <em>Gu/Karan </em>cereal harvest was estimated at 11,000 tonnes. This is 43 percent lower than the amount projected in July 2018 and 76 percent lower compared to the <em>Gu/Karan</em> average cereal production for 2011 – 2017. The main reasons for poor production are below average and poorly distributed <em>Gu/Karan</em> rains, dry spells, pest infestation, and bird attacks.</p>
</li><li><p>Due to below-average rainfall amounts and its poor temporal and spatial distribution during the current <em>Deyr </em>season, the overall cereal harvest in southern Somalia is expected to be 30-40 percent below the long-term average. In low potential agropastoral areas, production will be significantly below average to failed.</p>
</li><li><p>Prices of local and imported food commodities remain stable and there have been slight to moderate reductions in the cost of the Minimum Expenditure Basket (MEB). There have also been some improvements in the labor-to-cereal terms of trade which measures purchasing power among poor households. However, as market supplies from the forecast below-average 2019 <em>Deyr </em>harvest are expected to be short-lived, local food prices will likely start to increase in February 2019, which will likely adversely impact food security outcomes.</p>
</li><li><p>Current food security outcomes are broadly consistent with the food security outlook for August to December 2018 that was released in late August 2018, with most rural and urban livelihood zones of the country classified as Stressed (IPC Phase 2) or Minimal (IPC Phase 1). The major exceptions are Guban Pastoral, which is classified as Emergency (IPC phase 4), and Northern Inland Pastoral (NIP) of Northwest, which is classified as Crisis (IPC Phase 3). In addition, most of the main IDP settlements are classified as Crisis (IPC Phase 3), according to results of the integrated food security and nutrition assessments conducted by FSNAU in November 2018. However, food security conditions are expected to deteriorate to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) between January and May 2019 in Togdheer Agropastoral and NIP of Northeast livelihood zones in northern Somalia, Addun Pastoral and Coastal Deeh Pastoral and Fishing livelihood zones in central Somalia, and Bay-Bakool Low Potential Agropastoral livelihood zone in southern Somalia. The proportion of households facing food consumption gaps and therefore Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes is also likely to increase in other agropastoral livelihood zones in Gedo, Hiraan, Bay and Bakool, as well as coastal areas of the Shabelle regions and riverine livelihood zones of Jamame district in Lower Juba. Food security outcomes in these areas, however, are expected to be Stressed (IPC Phase 2).</p>
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Mon, 31 Dec 2018 12:19:01 -050022,547Drought develops in eastern Africa as dryness strengthens across southern Africahttp://fews.net/global/global-weather-hazards/december-28-2018
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Global<div class="field field-name-field-report-type field-type-taxonomy-term-reference field-label-hidden"><div class="field-items"><div class="field-item even">Global Weather Hazards</div></div></div></div>
Sun, 30 Dec 2018 15:25:02 -050022,546