JAN 16: SNOOKER AND OTHER SPORTS TIPS

RONNIE O’SULLIVAN romped into the Masters semi-finals yesterday and is now down to 5-6 with Coral for the title.

I recommended the Rocket in the first four frames market at 3-4 and he did the job with a 6-1 thrashing of Marco Fu. Neil Robertson thumped Ali Carter by the same scoreline and today it’s the remaining quarter-finals.

Shaun Murphy is chalked up as 3-4 favourite when he takes on Scotland’s Stephen Maguire (6-5, totesport) while Mark Allen is 1-2 with Betfred in the earlier clash against Joe Perry
(15-8, Stan James).

There’s also ODI cricket action today as South Africa host India in the first ODI. The South Africans are 2-5 at Boylesports and the Windies 12-5 underdogs with William Hill.

The Abu Dhabi Championship golf continues in the early hours of Friday with one of Ace Venturer’s tips, Branden Grace, two off the lead after round one and there’s also tennis from Down Under as well as the usual NBA and NHL action.

Dont know if any of these have been mentioned yet but 3 tips here for the Africa Cup of Nations
2 of these tips are the same as the 2013 tournament where i got a return on both
also my NAP for the tournament is 40/1

Bet365 go 4 places at 1/4 odds, now that must be massive for a player who scored 5 goals in 6 qualifying games when his team scored a total 8 goals
he got player of the tournament in 2013 & scored 2 goals & i can see him atleast doubling that this time in what is an easy group for Burkina Faso & Gabon because i see EQUATORIAL GUINEA & CONGO as the tournaments weakest teams

Just putting up the weekends NFL bets for the AFC and NFC Championship games. The tickets to the Superbowl. Will post reasoning for bets over the weekend but just getting the picks up early in case any spreads/totals change.

Main Bet

Seattle Seahawks -1
New England Patriots -2

@ 0.95/1 @ WillHill

Main Prop

Russel Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) over 218.5 passing yards @ 5/6 @ PP (Subject to change due to total adjustments/prices at other bookies)

Hudmy, she is now listed on bet365, I don’t know about before. Her odds are 250/1. The main reason I “tipped” her above is because 500/1 is an huge price for someone of her ability and with her ability to improve. If her best price had been 250/1 I’m not sure I would have suggested her though.

@Simon Wright – good stuff with the NHL overs bets! Havnt followed yet cos wanted to see how your first few went but you seem on the money so I’m going to follow the NHL goals doubles going forward. NHL plays during my workday in Australia so I’ve been getting into it a bit lately.

I nearly landed a 5.25 treble but Pavlasek went down 14 games to 12 in the fifth set having saved numerous match point and then served for it himself. So i had to settle for the safer double of Jenkins and Kuznetsov @ 2.72.

Perreira narrowly lost in three sets and had she won it would’ve been another cracking day’s work. Still, there was some profit overall and that’s never a bad thing.

On to today and my main focus will be on picking my way through the Australian open draws.

Ad 250-1 is still huge though is it not and you must feel she has a chance of reaching quarter finals or semis do you get offered cash out on a outright winner at any stage do you know. Thanks for your time dude

No worries Brian. Townsville just came back with 3 points…will be nail biting finish. Apologies now if they don’t win, Sydney havnt beaten them in last 5 h2h’s and lost the last 5 straight games on the road so that was my reasoning there

Jordan the only thing putting me off here is the h2h in Oklahoma 1 from 5 , but they are on fire , and the low spread of two`s is something you wont get to often with gs games.
They are definitely a class above.

I’ve just looked at that Huggy and agree it’s a worry but if form is anything to go by then -2 isn’t bad. Might look at Steph Curry’s points total. Was gutted last night. Kobe’s assists were only 6.5, only got 17, a career high for the Mamba haha

Hudmy- I actually don’t expext her to get to the quarter finals. She is in Serenas quarter! It’s an absolutely long shot as 500/1 suggests, she’s just a player I really like and who I think is worth riskig a couple of quid at huge odds. Her opening match is against Jankovic which she will be underdog for and she could face Muguruza in the third round, but she’s capable of winning both of those in my opinion and If that happens then who knows?! Im not going to worry about cash out, just let it ride for the thrill of it. If she does end up making it really deep then I will look into covering. Some bookies offer cashout on outright winners but they don’t always let you do it in my experience. Betfair exchange does but because this is an australian event im not sure cashout works as you need to transfer funds to their australian wallet and that seems to put s spanner in the works for some reason.

Biggest heavyweight fight in a decade as the undefeated wilder is america’s big hope to become heavyweight champ, the Olympic bronze medalist has a record of 32 fights and 32 ko’s, never gone past 4 rounds, is fighting the champ stirverne who won the title knocking out tough chris arrerola.

Stirverne is a boxer/puncher with KO power himself, his record shows a KO loss which is misleading, ive watched the fight and its a terrible stoppage, stirverne was not hurt and was firing back at the time it was stopped.

The main problem with wilder is although he has reach and height advantage and his power is very real, he doesnt have the technical skills stirverne has.

and the biggest one for me is his record, which is very misleading, he has fought taxi drivers and tomatoe cans, the only legit boxer he fought was malik scott who, most boxing fans agree most probobly took a dive against wilder with the first punch of the round ( which didnt even connect) the fact he and wilder are close friends is even more suspicious.

Also i have seen amaeteur fights of wilder where hes been knocked down by nobodies, all this leads me to believe that wilder will be knocked out, even though everything on paper says wilder by KO…

Stirverne loves to counter and will connect as wilder is throwing those winging punches, and those thin legs wont hold up that massive frame.
One thing is for absolutely certain, this fight is not going 12 rounds.

brian vera on paper appears to be a journeyman, its been close to a decade since he got his career best win against current champion andy lee, though he’s only lost to high level opposition, hes still tough/skilled boxer.
willie monroe is the young favourite he has 1 loss on his record, agaisnt a journeyman.. he’s still the faveourite and has good speed/skills.
this has monroe points written all over it, since there isnt odds for that im taking a gamble with the old dog:

wow GSW only -1.5 seems like a gift!
I like the look of the Wizards to cover the -10 but 10 points is a lot but the nets are bad.
My lakers under bet didn’t come I’m on Golden state tonight.
Good luck everyone

Sunday NFL Packers @ Seahawks
Im hoping for a good close game, but if the seattle D get a few quick hits on Rodgers early, i reckon it cud be curtains!! My early bet is Beast Mode to get over 88.5yrds rushing against a weakish run defense. Murray ran for 123yrds against them & i reckon Beast Mode will break tackles for a few nice runs.

Gonzalez is no world beater but he is a handy enough player. If Fabio turns up to compete and win then this should be a fairly comfortable days work. But that is never a given with him. He’s played 4 lost 4 this year so he has no form to draw on, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him crash and burn again. One for smallish stakes as he will win this if he wants it enough, but one I can’t leave alone all the same.

I’ve taken Huggy’s NAP as I also agree the -1.5 is tiny for the ATS specialists bring GS Warriors.

As for the early Double, I’m sticking with the Pistons run and will treat their last round loss as a forgive. 8 wins from last 10 games still impresses me & against Pacers side who aren’t performing well at all, inc again the line of -1.5 seems too low. Struggling Bulls should easily take care of Celtics who have traded even more players away & are tanking the rest of the season in preparation for the lottery.

The late Double, well, same again.. Timberwolves tanking the season away. They are rubbish on the road and Suns are red hot at home..I see a blowout win for Phoenix. Also, Clippers at home against a tired & banged up Cavs side will easily do it. Yes Cavs won yesterday, but that was against the lowly Lakers. Clippers is a different class + Clippers are rested.

Note: I’ve placed the SS & Early Double, but lines are dropping for Clips & Suns so will hold off and place later as less points are a gift here (suns already gone from (-14.5 to -13.5 & I expect Clips line to drop by at least 1 point too).

Will be on ur tips @attila @huggybear… Was extremely tired yesterday so missed out on the 2 of 3 bets won… Still have a ton of work too do, so used my 5min break too see wats happening here.. Cheers u guys !!

@Simon Wright – no worries mate ill wait til you’ve got the criteria met
I got on Iceland DNB @ $1.40 earlier (Canada do draw a lot) but I went with double stake so equivalent of a $1.80 bet with normal stake. 2-0 at half time, should be safe I think!

Penguins & Islanders game will be a tight top of table clash. I don’t see either team winning by more than 1 goal but I have a lean towards Penguins as they’ll want revenge after Islanders beat them in Pittsburgh last time out. Stats also show Islanders are generally winning home games by only 1 goal, & Penguins are losing away games by only 1 goal.

As for the Carolina & Vancouver game, 4 of the last 5 H2H’s have seen 5 or more goals. Both teams also generally have high scoring games with 4 or more goals in majority of their matches.

Stakhovsky was so poor against Delpotro I have to bet against him here. I think Lajovic is a very decent and underrated player. He has a good serve and dangerous enough baseline game to get the better of a sub-par Stakhovsky, and even an on form one if he plays to his potential.

I’m a little pissed I didn’t get on this one earlier. Baksinszky opened at 7/4 and I knew she would start big and get backed down as soon as I saw the draw. Unfortunately I just forgot about it, what with all the excitement! Still, I think she is favourite against a wayward Jankovic so can’t turn my nose up at an odds against price.

Gulbis has yet to win a match this year, hasn’t fared very well in Melbourne historically (never making it past 2nd round) and faces a talented and hard hitting opponent with home crowd advantage here. Upset potential for sure.