Welcome to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch. All scripted, primetime shows are included in the prediction table below once they have premiered for the season. An analysis of any new prediction changes or observations follows. My current predictions are as of January 23, 2015.

The key to the right indicates which colors are associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows that have not already been officially renewed or canceled. These are provided for reasoning with and understanding my predictions. The shows are ordered by their season averages against only other scripted CBS shows.

Rank

Show Title

Season Low/ High/Average

Y2Y Change

1

The Big Bang Theory

--

--

2

NCIS

2.1 / 2.7 / 2.27

-5.4%

3

Life in Pieces

1.8 / 2.6 / 2.01

--

4

Scorpion

1.7 / 2.2 / 1.85

-19.6%

5

Supergirl

1.5 / 3.1 / 1.85

--

6

NCIS: New Orleans

1.5 / 2.5 / 1.75

-16.7%

7

Criminal Minds

1.5 / 2.0 / 1.73

-30.8%

8

Mom

1.5 / 1.8 / 1.67

-27.4%

9

2 Broke Girls

1.5 / 1.7 / 1.64

-18.0%

10

Mike & Molly

1.6 / 1.7 / 1.63

-16.4%

11

Limitless

1.2 / 1.9 / 1.48

--

12

Angel from Hell

1.3 / 1.6 / 1.43

--

13

Madam Secretary

1.0 / 2.0 / 1.33

-7.6%

14

NCIS: LA

1.1 / 1.6 / 1.32

-17.5%

15

Code Black

1.1 / 1.5 / 1.28

--

16

Blue Bloods

1.1 / 1.5 / 1.24

-4.6%

17

Hawaii Five-0

1.0 / 1.4 / 1.14

-5.00%

18

The Good Wife

0.9 / 1.4 / 1.09

-9.2%

19

Elementary

0.8 / 1.2 / 1.02

-21.5%

20

CSI: Cyber

0.7 / 1.1 / 0.87

-37.9%

With Julianna Margulies speaking out this week about being unemployed come April, it sounds like The Good Wife is losing its leading lady by the end of its current season. This news comes shortly after co-creators Robert and Michelle King announced that they won't return as showrunners, should the legal drama be picked up for an eighth season. The Kings have been forward about their seven season plan since the beginning, and they now have their attention set on another CBS project, BrainDead. Does the loss of its lead and creators/showrunners signal the end of The Good Wife? I am thinking so. It's a low-rated, seventh-season show. This thing won't float anymore without the titular Good Wife in action. It's "Certain to be Canceled."

The progressive downward trend for Limitless is a bit worrying, as it hit a series low 1.2 this week. This isn't a great result, seeing as though it was CBS's second lowest rated show of the entire week. Even Code Black managed to top it (1.4). I'm placing the drama "On the Bubble" for the time being. It has a full season in its favor, but its recent ratings delivery is not convincing as far as a second season goes. It was once considered a very decent new player for CBS, but I think Supergirl has stolen that consideration from it. We'll see how it holds up in the coming weeks.

With that said, I have decided to upgrade Hawaii Five-O to "Likely to be Renewed." The show has been remarkably consistent (albeit very low) and a nearly perfect counterpart to Blue Bloods. I think both shows returning is a safe bet, considering CBS has bigger problems across the schedule. Its current 1.14 average is down only 5 percent from last season, which had a 1.2 average and got renewed. Spring ratings could dampen that average, but we're taking it one day at a time here.