Top 150

All rankings are for 9-cat H2H leagues unless otherwise noted. All player positions are from Yahoo Fantasy Basketball.

1) Anthony Davis (PF/C) – The decision of who to pick first comes down to one thing. Risk appetite. Anthony Davis’ short career has been both spectacular and record breaking. We haven’t seen these type of numbers from a big since Kevin Garnett’s 2003-2004 MVP season. Unfortunately, there is one number associated with Davis that he is yet to propel into elite territory. That number is games played. Since entering the league in 2012-2013, the young superstar has played, on average, about 66 games per season. Missing 16 games every season is a big deal. None of Davis’ injuries have been of the chronic variety so this is not a trend that is guaranteed to continue. However, it is something that should be taken in account and is why I rank him behind Steph Curry in my Roto rankings. While there is risk, AD’s upside in H2H is simply too high to ignore. He’s a lock to finish first overall on a per game basis, and despite missing 14 games last season, Davis still finished above James Harden (81 games played) and Chris Paul (82 games played) on a cumulative basis. There’s reason to believe we haven’t seen his ceiling yet. New coach Alvin Gentry is fresh off working with two of the best offenses of all-time and has made it well-known that he plans to expand Davis’ offensive role. For those picking 2-12 in standard drafts, that is terrifying. AD has been working on his three-point shot this offseason but that’s not necessarily a good thing for his fantasy value. As we saw with Serge Ibaka last season, an increase in threes is not worth the FG% hit. Regardless of where that wet J is coming from, Davis is set up for a season for the ages.

2) Stephen Curry (PG/SG) – A completely reasonable first-overall pick for those not willing to gamble their season on AD’s health. Steph’s playoff schedule is superior to Davis’ and is coming off a year in which he was significantly more valuable on a cumulative basis than Davis. With the Spurs, Clippers, and Rockets all significantly improved, it’s unlikely that the Warriors’ run away with West once again. This could lead to an increase in the MVP’s relatively low 32.7 MPG. 4.0 3PG is not out of question this season. Curry averaged 4.0 3PG over the last three months of the regular season and 4.7 3PG during the Warriors’ championship run.

3) James Harden (SG/SF) – While Harden is clearly behind Davis and Curry in terms of 9-cat production, he is a legitimate option at the top of the draft in 8-cat. In 2014-2015, Harden was superior to Davis on a per game basis in 8-cat and posted nearly identical value to Curry. Ty Lawson is not a threat to Harden’s numbers. Lawson posted a usage rating of 20.9 in his final year in Denver. That is low for a starting point guard. The offense will continue to run through Harden and his 2014-2015 averages of 27.4 PPG and 7.0 APG are very repeatable.

4) Chris Paul (PG) – Unless you play in a league that doesn’t count assists or steals, there is no reason for Chris Paul to ever fall out of the top 5. Paul had his worst per game finish in eight years in 2014-2015. That would be worrisome if the Clippers’ engine didn’t finish fourth-overall. Despite the huge ceiling and excellent consistency, Paul is ranked 7th in ESPN’s preseason rankings and 8th in Yahoo’s. Both rankings are indefensible. Russell Westbrook’s run at the end of the season deserved all the hype that is received. However, from February 21st (OKC’s first game after Durant re-injured his foot) to the end of the season, Chris Paul was the second-best player in 9-cat leagues while Westbrook, due to his sky-high turnovers and terrible shooting, was only the sixth-best player. Westbrook vs Paul isn’t close.

5) Kevin Durant (SF/PF) – Durant is the only player that could challenge Davis for the per game crown. That is why, despite the risk, I can’t drop him any lower than five. We are only a year removed from Durant posting one of the best fantasy seasons of all-time. Despite being hobbled for most of the games that he did play last season, Durant was still a top-five per game player. His floor, when healthy, is higher than any player’s ceiling not named Davis, Curry, Harden, or Paul. There is a significant drop off in production after Durant. While some of players I have ranked below Durant as safer picks, you are at a huge disadvantage to those picking in the top 4 if you select one of them. A healthy KD makes that disadvantage disappear.

6) LeBron James (SF/PF) – You can’t go wrong picking any of the above five players but it’s at six where things get tricky. The days of LeBron being a top-tier fantasy asset are gone. While he’s still a good bet for first-round value, that is no guarantee given his decreased role and Cleveland’s openness to resting the King. In 2014-2015, for the first time in his career (excluding the shortened 2011-2012 season), LeBron failed to play in 70 games. This season also marked the first time since 2006-2007 in which James didn’t produce first-round numbers. LBJ is still a terrifying player to play against in H2H, but his floor is lower than it has ever been.

7) Russell Westbrook (PG) – Last season was a lot of fun for Westbrook owners but don’t expect a repeat unless Durant’s foot acts up. The league’s most explosive player has never posted first-round value in 9-cat leagues in any year in which Durant has been healthy. He’s counting stats will continue to be spectacular but Westbrook looks like he’ll be drafted too high in the majority of standard league drafts. Those who do want to invest in the mercurial point guard should punt FG%.

8) DeMarcus Cousins (PF/C) – Cousins broke into the top 10 last season despite continuing to have efficiency issues (46.7 FG, 4.3 TOPG). Those numbers don’t bother me as you know what you are getting into when you grab Cousins in first. What should make prospective owners nervous is that Boogie has only played in an average of 65 games over the past two seasons. As always, it will be a bumpy road with Cousins, but the end result should justify the investment.

9) DeAndre Jordan (C) – The biggest issue with fantasy basketball, and in particular snake drafts, is that the top-5 players are significantly better than any player available later in the draft. Only one player outside of my top five cracked the top 3 in any punt build last season. That player was DeAndre Jordan in the FT% punt build. Andre Drummond was suppose to be the heir apparent to Dwight Howard’s punt-FT% crown, but for now, that title belongs to Jordan. DJ’s FG% (71.0%), rebounds (15.0 RPG), and blocks (2.2 BPG) are what makes fantasy owners salivate, but the newly re-signed Clipper also provides sneaky value in steals (1.0 SPG) and turnovers (1.3 TOPG).

10) Kawhi Leonard (SG/SF) – I’m down on most of the Spurs’ roster this season due to their poor playoff schedule and the increased potential of Pop doing Pop things. However, Kawhi’s upside is too high to ignore. The former finals MVP is a true nine-category player. Leonard posted positive value last season in every category except assists. He’s not a perfect pick at the end of the first round due to his limited impact on both percentages, but Kawhi is a great cornerstone for those looking to punt points or assists.

11) Jimmy Butler (SG/SF) – With Fred Hoiberg now on the sidelines in Chicago, expect Butlers league leading minutes (38.7 MPG) and per game production to drop. In my pre-free agency top 40 I had Jimmy in the middle of the second round. Then the 2015-2016 schedule announced that the Bulls will play 13 games over the three fantasy playoff weeks. The fantasy playoffs are as much about quantity as they are quantity. While I expect second-round value from Jimmy this season, his playoff schedule allows for the possibility of top-5 production when it counts the most.

12) Serge Ibaka (PF/C) – Perhaps no early-round player needs to be monitored more closely than Ibaka this preseason. Simply put, if Billy Donovan has him shooting threes, stay away. If not, then Ibaka shouldn’t fall outside of the top 15. Serge’s transition into a stretch four was devastating for his fantasy value. Before the All-Star Break, Ibaka was only posting third-round value thanks to his 45.9% shooting from the floor. After the all-star break, he stopped his Ryan Anderson impersonation and posted top-7 value before having his season ended by a bulky knee. A big man who provides out-of-position threes is a nice luxury to have but not when it comes at the expense of elite FG%.

13) Al Horford (PF/C) – Grabbing Horford around the turn won’t win you any leagues, but it also won’t lose you any. The Hawks’ undersized center has posted top-20 value on a per game basis five of the past six seasons. Horford is an excellent pick in Roto due to his clean line and should see a bump in the 30.5 MPG that he averaged in 2014-2015 as it is extremely unlikely that Atlanta runs away with East once again.

14) Klay Thompson (SG/SF) – Thompson is a tricky player to rank as his top-10 production last season was due to his contributions in two of the easiest stats to find; points and threes. Drafting is not just about finding the best value at each pick. Fit is at least as important as value in H2H. Klay is a solid bet to return top-15 numbers but make sure your team building strategy is rock solid before picking him. Thompson gives you less in the more difficult categories to find than most players available in this range.

15) Marc Gasol (C) – Marc rebounded from a poor 2013-2014 campaign by posting top-20 numbers last season. Last season was the third time in four years in which Gasol has returned top-20 value. His line is as clean as they come and his out-of-position assists (3.8 APG), blocks (1.6 BPG), and solid efficiency (49.4 FG%, 79.5% FT%) make him an excellent fit for almost any team. Marc is solid but keep your expectations in check. His top-10 finish in 2012-2013 was due to his fluky 84.8% shooting from the charity stripe.

16) Paul Millsap (PF/C) – In what was a bit of a suprise, Millsap returned to the Hawks after flirting with the Magic. The versitile big man has returned top-20 value in both of his seasons in a Hawks uniform. As always, his out-of-position threes (1.1 3PG) and steals (1.8 steals) make him a no-brainer pick in the second.

17) Rudy Gobert (C) – Shipping Enes Kanter and his Amar’e Stoudemire-like defense to OKC and building the team’s defense around Gobert was a brilliant move by the Jazz. The results of this move were spectacular for both the Jazz and fantasy owners. Utah went from a poor defensive team to by far the strongest defensive unit in the league after the trade and Gobert went from a mid-round fantasy asset to a top-20 wrecking machine. After the trade, Rudy posted numbers that included 13.4 RPG and 2.6 BPG to go along with his 57.6 FG%. Don’t let Gobert’s lack of track record scare you away. He’s only 23 and we haven’t seen his ceiling.

18) Draymond Green (SF/PF) – Klay Thompson is generally seen as Steph Curry’s sidekick but make no mistake, next to the MVP, no one is more important to the Warriors’ success than Green. The heart and soul of the Warriors posts one of the most varied lines in the league. Fantasy players get excited about players that average one three, one steal, and one block a night. Draymond laughs at those averages as he put up 1.4 3PG, 1.6 SPG, and 1.3 BPG in 2014-2015. There’s still upside here as Green has improved his shooting every year since coming into the league and should see a bump in his relatively low 31.5 MPG.

19) Kyle Lowry (PG) – Kyle O’Quinn posted a picture on Instagram earlier in the summer that shocked the fantasy world. Kyle Lowry is in shape. The formerly plus-sized point guard started the season looking like a mix of Chris Paul and Steph Curry. He finished the year looking like Smush Parker. Neither form is the real Lowry but this is a player, who when healthy, has been top-20 play since being given the reins in Toronto. He comes with more risk than most players in this range but his improved fitness should allow the All-Star starter to last longer this season. I was skeptical of Lowry at the beginning of the summer, but his newfound dedication and dominant preseason has me hopeful. Lowry, as always, is an excellent fit for the punt FG% build.

20) LaMarcus Aldridge (PF/C) – LMA’s days of being a first-round asset are gone now that he is wearing silver and black. Only Kawhi played more than 30 MPG last season for the Spurs and no player reached that mark in 2013-2014. Aldridge’s first-round numbers came in 35.4 MPG last season so a regression is guaranteed. He’ll still be a very good source of points (23.4 PPG), rebounds (10.2 RPG) out-of-position FT% impact (84.5%) but due to the minutes reduction, this ranking could prove to be too aggressive.

21) Blake Griffin (PF/C) – Blake has improved his free-throw shooting (72.8%) to a point where he’s a reasonable pick for those choosing not to punt freebies. Although viable outside of the build, I still prefer to punt FT% with him as his out-of-position assists (5.3 APG) are exactly what is needed for those looking to have success while ignoring free throws. Don’t worry about Josh Smith’s presence. He won’t see more than 20-25 MPG behind Blake and DeAndre. Blake’s FG% (50.2%) has been on a downward trend for the last three years but expect improvement there as many of the Clippers’ new additions are excellent playmakers.

22) Nerlens Noel (PF/C) – Andrew Wiggins won Rookie of the Year, but it was Noel who was the clear standout rookie both on the court and in the fantasy realm. Despite only being 20, Noel posted Anthony Davis-like defensive numbers in his rookie campaign with averages over the last three months of the season that included 9.1 RPG, 2.0 SPG, and 2.2 BPG. We’re looking at a future Defensive Player of the Year. With the addition of Jahlil Okafor, the Sixers should be improved on offense this season. This should help Noel improve on his middling efficiency from the field (46.2 FG%). There’s first-round potential here. Managers looking to punt points or FT% should pay extra attention to Noel.

23) Paul George (SG/SF) – I expect some rust and early on in the season George likely won’t see close to 36.2 MPG that he averaged in 2013-2014. However, Coach Vogel has stated that the usually deliberate Pacers (19th in pace in 2014-2015) will play much faster this season. Their trade of Roy Hibbert to the Lakers confirms that the Pacers are serious about the change in style. The faster pace should help all of the Pacers and offset any dips in efficiency that George may experience. I wouldn’t expect second-round returns early in the season, but as the focal point of what should be an improved offense, George should be close to his old self by the time the fantasy playoffs roll around.

24) Nikola Vucevic (PF/C) – Vucevic still doesn’t block shots (0.7 BPG), but that hasn’t stopped the young Magic big man from becoming an early-round asset. With averages of 19.3 PPG and 10.9 RPG, Vucevic is a prime target for those punting blocks as productive big men who don’t derive a large chunk of their value from blocks are rare. The young center does come with some injury risk as Vucevic is regularly dinged up and has missed an average of 14 games over the past four seasons.

25) Damian Lillard (PG) – The counting stats will be very, very pretty. The efficiency…well let’s just say 40% from the field will be an accomplishment for Lillard this season. As the only returning starter on a team that is now devoid of offensive talent, Lillard should see his already stellar averages of 21.0 PPG and 6.2 APG rise. Of course, what will determine if he will be able to come close to the second-round value that he posted in 2014-2015 is his FG%. Lillard shot 43.4% from the floor last season but that already shaky number was inflated by a red-hot start. Over the last three months of season, the All-Star lead guard’s FG% was only 41.6%. With the additional defensive attention that he will be receiving, owning Lilllard will likely necessitate a FG% punt. What worries me most about Lillard is his propensity to fade over the course of the season. In both 2013-2104 and 2014-2015, Lillard only posted fourth-round value over the second half of the year. With all the additional heavy lifting that he’ll have to do this season, expect Lillard’s late-season struggles to continue.

26) John Wall (PG) – Wall has never posted second-round value in 9-cat leagues, yet he continues to be ranked around the turn in most preseason rankings. Wall’s popcorn stats are very useful (17.5 PPG, 10.0 APG, and 1.7 SPG) but what stops Wall from becoming elite is that he hurts you in areas where a PG should not hurt you. Wall is about to enter his sixth year in the league but the Wizards’ franchise player still can’t shoot. Wall only made 0.8 3PG last season and shot a disappointing 30.0% from deep. Next to Westbrook, Wall is perhaps the best athlete in the league, but until he learns to shoot his efficiency will continue to be a drag on fantasy teams. Wall shouldn’t be considered until the late-second-round but will likely be gone well before then.

27) Andre Drummond (PF/C) – The breakout that everyone was expecting didn’t happen, but that doesn’t mean you should give up on Drummond just yet. Greg Monroe is now a Buck and that means more room for Drummond to operate. Don’t expect a return to 2013-2014 FG% levels (62.3%) as the other AD isn’t talented enough to maintain that efficiency with his increased usage but he should improve on last year’s disappointing 51.4%. Even in a down year Drummond posted top-10 numbers without FT% and is an excellent target for those who want to punt FT% and went with Curry or Harden early.

28) Pau Gasol (PF/C) – Pau proved that he plenty left in the tank last season, finishing 16th-overall and suiting up for 78 games. I don’t think either number is repeatable given his advanced age and likely minutes decrease (34.4 MPG) but that incredible playoff schedule guarantees that if healthy, there won’t be many players that you would rather have on your squad come playoff time. There’s been talk of the Bulls switching up their starting frontcourt in order to find more minutes for Nikola Mirotic, but any change would likely come at the expense of the declining Joakim Noah and not Gasol.

29) Carmelo Anthony (SF/PF) – Carmelo will outplay this rank on a per game basis. Possibly by a quite a bit. But none of that matters if he’s in street clothes in late March. The Knicks have improved but with Melo’s knee issues and the possibility of the Knicks being long shots for the playoffs come March, there’s too much risk here to take him within the first two rounds. Expect Anthony to improve on his 24.2 PPG as he becomes more comfortable playing in the triangle.

30) Hassan Whiteside (C) – I could see Whiteside posting close to first-round value this season. I could also him glued to the bench by January. Whiteside is the biggest boom/bust pick in the draft but his upside makes him worth the gamble. You can’t ignore a player that can average 2.5 BPG and shoot 62.8% from the field. I wouldn’t heavily invest in Whiteside in a keeper or dynasty league but in a redraft, you’re getting an incredibly talented player who is in a contract year. For those punting FT%, and picking early, a start of Curry or Harden with Drummond and Whiteside is both very doable and very terrifying for the rest of your league.

31) Kevin Love (PF/C) – Love was regulated to the Chris Bosh role in his first year in Cleveland, and like Bosh, saw his fantasy value dip. Even with the decreased role, he was still very useful and posted top-35 value in 9-cat leagues. Love should be a better per-minute player as he becomes more accustomed to his role, but with the Cavaliers’ improved depth, it’s unlikely that we see anything more than a small jump from Love. The stretch four is an interesting option for those punting blocks. He does you give you the rebounds that you need (9.7 RPG) and loses very little value without blocks (0.5 BPG), but FG% is a category you need to focus on in that build and Love is a negative there (43.4 FG%).

32) Rudy Gay (SF/PF) – Gay has been quietly posting very nice numbers since leaving Dwane Casey’s ISO-focused offense. The former Raptor posted top-25 numbers in his first full season in Sacramento. Gay posted a surprisingly clean line including a very respectable 45.5% from the field. The addition of Rajon Rondo does muddy the water though. Rondo is a clear downgrade from Darren Collison on offense and I expect the switch to have a negative effect on Gay. With Willie Cauley-Stein also likely to join the starting lineup, spacing will be at a premium for the Kings. It’s not a lock that Rondo sticks in the starting lineup all season, but expect a small decrease in Rudy’s efficiency and scoring numbers as long as he does.

33) Gordon Hayward (SG/SF) – Hayward’s three-point shooting normalized last season and we got the breakout that we were expecting in 2013-2014. The Jazz’s top option posted top-40 numbers in 2014-2015 that included 19.3 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 4.9 RPG, 4.1 APG, and 1.4 SPG. 20/5/5 is not out of the question this season. Hayward’s across-the-board production makes him a great fit for almost any build.

34) Kyrie Irving (PG/SG) – I’m putting Kyrie here until we learn more about his timetable. There were rumors that we may not see Irving on the court until January. However, those rumors were quickly shot down by the Cavaliers. Either way, Kyire is looking at an extended absence to start the season. The Cavaliers have already stated that they plan on cutting both Kyrie and LeBron’s minutes. Kyrie is an excellent per minute player (11th best per minute player in 2014-2015), so a drop in minutes is not a death blow but it does likely drop him from the late-first round to the late-second round on a per game basis.

35) Trevor Ariza (SG/SF) – The transition from the Wizards to Rockets went very smoothly for Ariza. Ariza posted third-round value for the second season in a row but his final ranking could have been even better if not for an early season shooting slump. Over the first three months of the season Ariza shot a putrid 37.7% from the floor. He was much better as the year went on and shot 45.2% over the last two months of the season which is in line with his shooting numbers in Washington. With the addition of Ty Lawson, I expect his FG% to be much higher than last seasons 40.3%. Ariza’s 2.4 3PG and 1.9 SPG give the swingman both a very high floor and a top-25 ceiling.

36) Brook Lopez (C) – Lopez will be available at discount once again. This risk is very real but so is the upside. Brook posted top-10 value over the last two months of the season with averages that included 19.7 PPG, 9.2 RPG, 1.8 BPG, 52.5 FG%, and 81.7 FT%. Getting those numbers in the third or fourth round will win you your league. I always recommend chasing upside but you have to make sure that you don’t overdo it. If you’re taking a player like Lopez early, I would try to minimize my risk elsewhere and then take some other shots late in the draft.

37) Nicolas Batum (SG/SF) – Batum had a torn ligament in his wrist last season and it showed. His FG% dropped for 46.5% in 2013-2014 to 40.0% in 2014-2015. His usage dropped from 16.5% to 14.6%. This lead to Batum barely posting top-70 numbers on the year and being difficult to own at different points in the season. Ignore last season and draft Batum with confidence. The Frenchman is still only 26 and will have a larger role on offense in Charlotte than he did in Portland. He is another player who is an especially excellent fit for the punt points build (9.4 PPG in 2014-2015, 13.0 PPG in 2013-2014), but he fits nicely with almost every strategy. Batum provides above-average production at his position in rebounding (5.9 RPG), dimes (4.8 APG), and blocks (0.6 BPG).

38) Al Jefferson (PF/C) – Big Al is coming off a terrible year, one that saw him drop from a top-15 player to a top-50 player. While his per minute numbers did dip, most of that drop is due to playing five less minutes per game. With the addition of Spencer Hawes, Jefferson’s minutes will likely remain around 30 MPG. What makes me confident that Jefferson will be better than just a top-50 player this season is his FT%. Jefferson is a career 71% shooter from the line but only managed to hit 65.5% of his shots from the charity stripe last season. If that normalizes, you have a top-40 player.

39) Eric Bledsoe (PG/SG) – Since coming to the Suns, Bledsoe hasn’t been the per minute beast that he was with the Clippers’ but has still be very good. Bledsoe gives you out-of-position blocks (0.6 BPG) and is a very strong rebounder for a point guard (5.2 RPG). His numbers didn’t change much after the Dragic trade but he did see a small uptick in minutes from 33.9 MPG before the trade to 35.8 MPG. Even small increases in minutes can lead to solid bumps in value. Bledsoe should return at least top-50 value for the third season in a row.

40) Danny Green (SG/SF) – Green will be slept on this season due his to low PPG (11.7). To be honest, I’m nott sure that I’m not sleeping on the Spurs’ sharpshooter. Green was a top-10 per minute player last season and averaged a droolworthy 2.4 3PG, 1.2 SPG, and 1.2 BPG. His upside is through the roof. Unfortunately, due to Popovich refusing to play any of his starters heavy minutes, that upside is unlikely to be realized. Green is a dream pick for those punting points. Without points, Green provided first-round value last season and was a top-5 per-minute player.

41) Kyle Korver (SG/SF) – Korver has posted top-40 value three years in a row and is an excellent target in the middle rounds. I find that most drafts turn into a game of chicken with Korver. He’s always ranked too low and everyone knows it. Don’t be afraid to go a round earlier than what feels right for Korver. His threes (2.9 3PG) are obviously the main attraction, but the three-point bomber is also a sneaky source of out-of-position blocks (0.6 BPG).

42) Tim Duncan (PF/C) – Father Time may be undefeated but Tim Duncan is giving him a heck of a run. Duncan is 39 but still managed to post second-round numbers in 2014-2015. The addition of LaMarcus Aldridge will hurt Duncan’s rebounding (9.2 RPG), but I don’t see any of his other very solid numbers (13.9 PPG, 3.0 APG, 1.9 BPG) taking much of a hit. I expect Duncan to be better than this ranking on a per game basis, but the Spurs’ poor playoff schedule and the fact that Aldridge’s presence making it easier to rest him, makes The Big Fundamental only a borderline top-40 asset in 2015-2016.

43) Mike Conley (PG) – Conley has taken on an expanded role on offense since the departure of Rudy Gay and it has actually hurt his fantasy value. After looking like he was about to reach elite status, Conley has seen his value decline four years in a row, bottoming out last season with a 52nd-overall finish. The additional offensive responsibility has lead to a sharp decline in his defensive play and swipes (1.3 SPG). It’s unlikely that Conley returns to close to two steals a night and that means Conley is no more than a fourth-round target with third-round upside.

44) Marcin Gortat (C) – The Polish Hammer is coming off back-to-back top-50 seasons but is somehow ranked 76th on Yahoo and 104th on ESPN. I actually had problems finding Gortat on each site because I assumed that he couldn’t possible be ranked that low. If those rankings hold throughout the preseason, and I hope they do, owners need to aggressively target Gortat. The Wizards’ big man posted first-round value over the last two months of the season with averages that included 9.3 RPG, 1.4 BPG, and a sparkling 61.8 FG%. Grabbing Gortat anytime after the fourth is an absolute steal.

45) Greg Monroe (PF/C) – After a very promising start to his career, Monroe went into a two-year slump, failing to post top-85 numbers in both 2012-2013 and 2013-2014. Monroe looked like he was on his way to another disappointing season until he exploded over the last three months of the campaign. Over that period, Monroe posted borderline top-25 numbers and averaged 16.9 PPG, 10.8 RPG, and 1.5 SPG. The steals are not sustainable but Monroe is still a lock for over one swipe a night. Those scoring numbers and rebounding are a reasonable expectation for Monroe in his first year in Milwaukee. More than anything, what will determine Monroe’s value is his FT%. Monroe is a 69.3% career free-throw shooter but in 2014-2015 the former Piston shot 75.0% from the line. Whether or not that improvement is permanent will determine if Monroe is a top-30 player or just a top-60 asset.

46) Dirk Nowitzki (PF/C) – Dirk is still a very good player but it’s hard to put up big numbers when you’re not playing heavy minutes. Dirk was a top-25 per-minute player but saw his per game ranking drop outside of the top 40. The big German will continue to be a solid source of points (17.3 PPG), out-of-position threes (1.4 3PG), and FT% impact (88.2 FT%) but unless he sees an uptick in minutes, that’s all he’ll be. Dirk only played 29.6 MPG last season and that number is unlikely to see an uptick in 2015-2016.

47) Derrick Favors (PF/C) – Rudy Gobert is the new darling of the Jazz frontcourt, and deservedly so, but don’t forget about Favors. The former third-overall pick showed significant improvement on offense last season and saw his PPG jump from 13.3 in 2013-2014 to 16.0 in 2014-2015. Unlike many young players, Favors has increased his scoring while maintaining solid efficiency (52.5 FG%). When you pair those scoring numbers with very strong rebounding totals (8.2 RPG) and excellent defensive stats (0.8 SPG and 1.7 BPG), you have yourself a top-50 pick with top-30 upside.

48) Victor Oladipo (PG/SG) – Oladipo is the opposite of Dirk. The young Magic shooting guard has been a poor per-minute player in his two years in the league, failing to crack the top-110 players on a per game basis since entering the league. Luckily for Oladipo, per minute numbers don’t matter much when you play 35.7 MPG. The former Hoosier posted top-60 per game numbers last season with averages that included 17.9 PPG, 4.1 APG, and 1.7 SPG. New coach Scott Skiles can be difficult to read and fantasy managers will want to play close attention to the Magic’s rotations in preseason. The addition of rookie Mario Hezonja puts some of Oladipo’s minutes at risk.

49) Jeff Teague (PG) – The 2014-2015 All-Star finished 26th-overall in 9-cat leagues last year but owning the point guard was a roller coaster ride. After an impossibly hot start, Teague only posted top-60 value over the last three months of the season. Teague had similar issues in 2013-2014 when he played very poorly for half the season. Clearly there is upside here but his inconsistency and Atlanta’s poor playoff schedule makes me vary of grabbing Teague early.

50) Chandler Parsons (SF/PF) – Parsons had a poor 2014-2015 season, only managing to post top-60 numbers after back-to-back top-35 finishes. With Rondo in Sacramento and Deron Williams now running the point in Dallas, there’s a good chance that the Mavericks’ lead recruiter’s value looks more like it did in 2012-2013 and 2013-2014 than it did last season. Parsons struggles from the line (72.0 FT%, but is fairly efficient from the floor (46.2 FG%) for a guy who hits 2.0 3PG.

51) Thaddeus Young (SF/PF) – Ignore Thad’s early season struggles. That was simply a case of a player struggling to adapt to a new system. After the slow start, Thad was back to his old self, posting top-55 value over the last three months of the year. With the Nets extremely thin up front, Young is looking at an expanded role in 2015-2016. The former Sixer was a borderline top-30 asset in both 2012-2013 and 2013-2014. He may not reach those lofty heights with the Nets, but it’s hard to find that kind of upside in the middle rounds. As always, Thad will be an outstanding source of out-of-position steals (1.6 SPG).

52) Tobias Harris (SF/PF) – While Harris hasn’t become the fantasy superstar that many predicted he would be become after his first year in a Magic uniform, he’s continued to improve and just missed cracking the top 50 in 2014-2015. Now a full-time small forward, Harris produces a well-rounded line that includes 17.1 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 6.3 RPG, and 0.5 BPG. If you need a points boost in the middle rounds, Harris is your man.

53) Khris Middleton (SG/SF) – With Jabari Parker returning to the Bucks lineup and Greg Monroe now manning the post, many are questioning whether Middleton can keep repeat last season’s top-50 finish. I think he can. Middleton will see his FGA drop this season but he should also see the quality of his looks increase. The breakout 3-and-D specialist is already an efficient player (46.7 FG%) and should see an increase in his 1.4 3PG.

54) Nikola Miortic (SF/PF) – Miortic will be near the top of everyone’s sleeper list and for good reason. The talented sophomore was extremely productive when given minutes in his rookie season. Over the last two months of the season, Miortic posted top-60 value despite only playing 26.0 MPG. Over that stretch he averaged 16.0 PPG, 1.7 3PG, 6.3 RPG, 0.9 SPG, and 0.9 BPG on 41.4% shooting from the field and 82.2% shooting at the stripe. Those numbers and poor FG% makes Mirotic a great target for those punting FG%. Mirotic’s minutes should be close to 30 a night this season and that gives the young Bull early-round upside. He’ll be expensive, but it’s unlikely he doesn’t return value if taken outside of the top 50.

55) Terrence Jones (SF/PF) – Jones took a small step back in 2014-2015 as his per 36 numbers dropped almost across the board but you should still target the young Rocket aggressively. Despite only playing 27.0 MPG last season, Jones was able to post top-70 per game numbers for the second season in row. With Josh Smith in a Clippers uniform, and Dwight Howard becoming increasing injury prone, I think we see Jones come close to cracking the 30 MPG mark this year. That could mean very big things for a player who averages 2.4 BP36. The versatile big man has top-30 potential. Reach for him.

56) Jonas Valanciunas (C) – Whether or not Jonas ever becomes the second-round fantasy asset that he is capable of being is completely up to Dwane Casey. Valanciunas is entering his fourth year in the league but still hasn’t gained his famously stubborn coach’s trust. The big Lithuanian won’t be the most consistent player on this list, but when a player can average 12.0 PPG, 8.7 RPG, and 1.2 BPG on elite efficiency (57.2 FG%, 78.6 FT%) in only 26.2 MPG, he can’t go any lower than the fifth round. Unleash the beast Casey! Please.

57) Goran Dragic (PG/SG) – It’s too bad all the rumors surrounding Dwyane Wade turned out to be bogus. If Wade had left South Beach, we’d be looking at a top-30 option. Now that Wade and his absurd 34.7% usage are back with the Heat, Dragic is no more than a run-of-the-mill, mid-round point guard. Dragic just won’t have the ball in his hands enough to produce early-round value. While his upside is capped by his teammates, solid point guard stats that come with 50.1% shooting from the field are always useful.

58) Monta Ellis (PG/SG) – Ellis has been extremely consistent over the past four years. Over that span the newest Pacer has never been better than a top-50 play but has also never been worse than a top-65 play. His floor is higher than most players in this range, but his upside is also lower. His line is fairly limited and Monta only provides positive value in points, assists, and steals. Expect his previously decent FG% (44.5%) to drop now that he is in Indiana. He’s a decent mid-round target for those punting FG%.

59) Karl-Anthony Towns (C) – Towns was made for fantasy basketball. The 2015 Draft’s top pick has all the makings of a future first-rounder. Towns projects to be a shot blocking monster (2.3 BPG in only 21.1 MPG in his only year at Kentucky), is an excellent free-throw shooter (81.3 FT%), and is even more efficient from the floor (56.6 FG%). If those numbers don’t excited you, there’s already talk of Towns expanding his range beyond the three-point line. Like most rookie bigs, he’s likely to start slow and struggle with foul trouble, but even as a rookie, Towns has early-round upside.

60) Kemba Walker (PG) – Midway through the season Kemba went down with a torn lateral meniscus and never fully recovered. Walker returned to the court in mid-March but didn’t look like himself and was only a top-120 play over the final stretch of the season. Things get a little murky for Kemba this year as the Bobcats added both Jeremy Lin and Nicolas Batum. Batum worries me more than Lin. Charlotte has been lacking a secondary ballhandler in recent seasons and the Frenchman’s arrival means Walker will be playing off the ball more. This is probably a good thing for his efficiency (38.5 FG%) but is bad news for his counting stats. His ceiling is lower than usual in 2015-2016 but the undersized lead guard should still be targeted aggressively by those punting FG%.

61) Tyson Chandler (C) – The Suns’ big free-agent signing flirted with third-round value last season but now finds himself in a much less fantasy-friendly situation. Not only is Chandler moving from one of the best offenses in the league to an average one, he is also about to enter a nasty timeshare with impressive third-year player Alex Len. Chandler’s line is very fantasy friendly (11.5 RPG, 1.2 BPG, 66.6 FG%, 72.0 FT%, 1.4 TOPG) which keeps his floor high. Unfortunately, neither Chandler nor Len can play or will likely to see more than spot minutes at the four which makes it unlikely that Chandler matches last season’s 30.5 MPG. On the plus side, the oft injured center is now in the hands of the best medical staff in the league.

62) Chris Bosh (PF/C) – Bosh was one of the bigger busts of 2014-2015 even before his season was cut short by blood clots. After looking like the Toronto version of himself over the first two months of the season, Miami’s 1A option proceeded to fall off a cliff. Bosh struggled to handle his increased role and only shot 43.8% from the field in the New Year. His increased focus on offense also led to his defense slipping. After averaging over a block a game in each of the two prior seasons, Bosh only managed 0.5 BPG in 2014-2015. Now 31, it’s safe to wonder if Bosh is declining. The Boshtrich ended up posting top-40 per game numbers last season but that was in 35.4 MPG. With Miami’s depth much improved and Bosh coming off such a serious illness, I expect his minutes to be closer to 30 a night. It would be a small surprise if the All-Star big man posted top-50 value this season.

63) DeMar DeRozan (SG/SF) – The 2014-2015 season was a tough one for DeRozan. The shooting guard struggled to stay healthy and didn’t really find his groove until the final stretch of the season. DeRozan’s final ranking of 82nd in 9-cat leagues was underwhelming but he did post top-50 numbers over the last two months of the season. DeMar is an ideal fit for the punt threes build as his 20.1 PPG is achieved almost entirely inside the arc (0.4 3PG). The Raptors’ leading scorer is also one of the better middle-round sources of FT% impact (83.2 FT% on 7.2 FTA).

64) Danilo Gallinari (SF) – A gentle breeze could knock Gallinari out for a week and that is why I am ranking a player with first-round upside in the seventh round. First-round upside is not an exaggeration. Over the last two months of 2014-2015, Gallinari produced top-10 value and looked both better and healthier than he has in years. The Nuggets are badly lacking scoring options and should look to Gallinari to shoulder the load this coming season. It’s doubtful that he stays hot enough to reach elite status in 2015-2016 but his 2013-2014 averages of 16.2 PPG, 1.9 3PG, and 5.2 RPG are very attainable. That season Gallinari finished ranked 46th-overall in 9-cat leagues.

65) Giannis Antetokounmpo (SF/PF) – The “Giannis is going to play point guard” nonsense that was being floated last preseason turned out to be exactly that, but The Greek Freak did manage to greatly improve his fantasy value in his sophomore year. Much of this improvement can be credited to his decision to stop shooting threes. Giannis saw his 3PG drop from 0.5 3PG in 2013-2014 to 0.1 3PG in 2014-2015. This lead to a huge increase in his field goal efficiency (49.1 FG%) which more than offset the drop in threes. Don’t overpay for the exciting young stud as his line still contains a number of holes. Aside from the lack threes, Giannis is also a surprisingly poor thief (0.9 SPG) and struggles at the line (74.1 FT%).

66) George Hill (PG/SG) – Hill is another player who struggled with injuries last season but was phenomenal when he was on the court. Hill posted top-35 per game numbers in 2014-2015 but only managed to suit up 43 times. Even if he remains healthy this year, he’s extremely unlikely to come anywhere near last season’s averages of 16.1 PPG, 1.6 3PG, and 5.1 APG. With Paul George returning and Monta Ellis joining the Pacers, there won’t be enough ball to go around. The last time Hill played beside George and another high usage player was 2013-2014 with Lance Stephenson. That season Hill only barely cracked the top 100 on a per-game basis. He’s improved as a player so he should be much better than that, but his teammates limit his upside.

67) Gorgui Dieng (PF/C) – Minnesota’s frontcourt is crowded…for now. Dieng will lose minutes to Nikola Pekovic and Kevin Garnett but both are on the shortlist of players most likely to miss significant amounts of time this season. We won’t see a repeat of last season’s top-50 finish due to presence of Karl-Anthony Towns, but Dieng still has solid upside thanks to his defensive stats (1.0 SPG, 1.7 BPG) and efficiency both from the field (50.6 FG%) and at the line (78.3 FT%). He’s currently ranked far too low on both Yahoo and ESPN and savvy owners need to take advantage of that. Dieng is someone I will be targeting in all of my leagues.

68) Robert Covington (SG/SF) – Covington’s role is up in the air despite a surprisingly strong sophomore year. Covington put up averages that included 13.5 PPG, 2.4 3PG, and 1.4 SPG last season but is not guaranteed to start due to the Sixers wanting to improve their starting lineup’s defense. Regardless of where Covington begins the game, he should see heavy enough minutes to post at least top-80 value. The Sixers have next to nothing on the wing and Covington is clearly their most talented swingman. Like Kobe, he is a nice target for those punting FG% (39.6 FG%).

69) Ty Lawson (PG) – The newest Rocket is one of the more difficult players to rank this year. Usually we get excited when an above-average point guard is surrounded by as many topflight options as Lawson is. However, with Harden being such a usage hog (31.3% usage), Lawson’s counting stats are guaranteed to take a hit. The inevitable drop in points and assists should be at least partially offset by an increase in 3PM and a decrease in turnovers, but it’s difficult to say by how much. There’s not a ton of upside here and the league’s most dangerous driver has a much lower floor than he did in Denver.

70) Dwight Howard (PF/C) – While still a dominant force, Dwight is coming off his worst statistical season since his rookie year. His averages of 10.5 RPG, 0.7 SPG, and 1.3 BPG were all either career lows or the second lowest average of his career. Now of course those are still excellent numbers, but when you factor in Howard’s inability to stay healthy, he’s no longer anywhere near the punt FT% must-have that he once was. In 2014-2015, Dwight was only the 34th-most valuable player on a per game basis without FT%.

71) Bradley Beal (SG) – Would the real Bradley Beal please stand up. Beal has been spectacular in both of his playoff appearances and utterly average during the regular season. His struggles with both consistency and injuries has stopped the fourth-year player from ever being better than a top-85 player. That should change this season. With Paul Pierce in a Clippers uniform and with the Wizards likely to trot out more small-ball lineups this season, Beal is in the best of position of his career to put up big numbers. There’s not a lot of out-of-position contributions here and his efficiency is below average (42.7 FG%, 78.3 FT%) but I would be surprised if Beal didn’t crack 2.0 3PG and average close to 18 PPG in 2015-2016.

72) Isaiah Thomas (PG) – It doesn’t matter whether Thomas starts or comes off the bench, the diminutive point guard gets his in any situation. The less-famous Isaiah Thomas managed to produce top-75 numbers last season despite only playing 25.8 MPG. His upside is capped due to the low minutes but Thomas’ elite per minute production (18th best in 2014-2015) means IT should be able to match last season’s 16.4 PPG, 1.9 3PG, and 4.2 APG.

73) Deron Williams (PG) – Deron is hard to trust after so many disappointing seasons in a Nets uniform, but his stock has dropped to the point where he could actually provide fantasy owners with some decent value. Williams is moving from a below-average offense to one of the best offenses in the league and now has one of the best pick-and-roll partners of all-time in Dirk. The newest Maverick is a huge injury risk but has a very good shot at equaling his top-55 2013-2014 finish. Expect over 1.5 3PG and 6.5 APG in 2015-2016.

74) Ersan Ilyasova (SF/PF) – Let’s give Ersanity one more chance. Yes, there’s a chance that he’s glued to the end of Stan Van Gundy’s bench when the fantasy playoffs roll around but the former Buck is stepping into a role that helped Ryan Anderson post first-round value in in 2011-2012. Last year’s final ranking of 122nd-overall isn’t pretty, but that ranking hides the fact that Ilyasova posted top-60 numbers over the last two months of the season despite uncharacteristically struggling from the line (67.2 FT%). Over those two months Ersan averaged 14.5 PPG, 1.9 3PG, and 6.2 RPG. With the opportunity he’s being given, it’s not impossible that those numbers end up being his season averages in 2015-2016.

75) DeMarre Carroll (SF/PF) – Carroll is coming off back-to-back top-60 finishes but is unlikely to complete the hat trick after signing with the Raptors in the offseason. Carroll is leaving the team that finished first in AST% and moving to the team that finished third last in that same category. For a player that is very dependent on his teammates generating good looks, that is very bad news. He’ll still be a solid source of threes (1.7 3PG) and steals (1.3 SPG) but should see his overall value drop a round or two due to a likely decrease in efficiency (48.7%).

77) Wes Matthews (SG/SF) – The track record of players coming back from a torn Achilles is not good. Kobe is the most recent high-profile example. These days, a torn Achilles is actually a more difficult injury to return from than a torn ACL. Don’t expect another top-40 per game finish as Matthews is likely to start slow and have his minutes monitored. However, despite the intensity of the injury the former Blazer is recovering from, his floor is fairly high due to his elite three-point shooting (2.9 3PG).

78) Ricky Rubio (PG) – 2014-2015 was a lost season for Rubio as the Wolves milked his ankle injury all season long for the sake of their successful tank. The flashy Spaniard is an injury risk but is still brimming with upside, especially when you consider the weapons around him. Rubio posted top-60 value in 2013-2014 and has a good shot at repeating that season’s averages that included 8.6 APG and 2.3 SPG. Ricky is a tricky player to build around but those punting points or FG% should pay close attention during their drafts.

79) Robin Lopez (C) – Lopez failed to follow-up on an excellent 2013-2014 campaign but this is a good spot for a player who is only a year removed from a top-40 finish and posts an extremely clean line (53.5 FG%, 77.2 FT%, 1.2 TOPG). If Lopez sees his minutes rise to their 2013-2014 levels (31.8 MPG), he has an outside shot at posting top-50 value. Rolo’s efficiency dipped last season but his per 36 counting stats were very similar in 2014-2015 to what they were the season before.

80) JJ Redick (SG) – The sharpshooter was excellent in 2014-2015, posting top-60 numbers and averaging 16.4 PPG and 2.6 3PG while having a top-25 impact on FT% (90.1% on 2.6 FTA). Due to the Clippers’ new additions he’s unlikely to match that finish in 2015-2016, but if you miss out on Korver earlier in the draft, Redick is a fine consolation prize.

81) Reggie Jackson (PG/SG) – Jackson is the type of player that casual players overrate. While his popcorn stats are often excellent (17.6 PPG, 4.7 RPG, and 9.2 APG after the trade to the Pistons) he has a number of holes in his line that limit his usefulness. Despite those impressive popcorn stats, Jackson was only able to post top-90 value in his time with the Pistons due to his average threes (1.0 3PG), low steals (0.7 SPG), poor shooting (43.6 FG%), and high turnovers (3.5 TOPG). With Brandon Jennings returning at some point this season, Jackson’s ceiling is much lower than most assume.

82) Ryan Anderson (PF/C) – The arrival of Alvin Gentry should mean good things for every member of the Pelicans. The offense should be improved and play at a faster pace. A faster pace could mean more minutes for Anderson whose 2.0+ 3PG will always keep him interesting. Last year’s poor shooting (39.9 FG%) should prove to be a fluke and owners can expect that number to be closer to his career average of 42.2% in 2015-2016.

83) Andrew Wiggins (SG/SF) – This ranking assumes that Wiggins will make a fairly large jump this season. The Canadian won Rookie of the Year but didn’t have much of an impact on the court or in the fantasy realm. Wiggins only posted top-135 value in his rookie year and struggled when Kevin Martin was in the lineup. His rookie year was up and down but his line does project as fantasy friendly. Wiggins has a shot at being a one three, one steal, one block player this year and will obviously post strong scoring numbers (16.9 PPG).

84) J.R. Smith (SG/SF) – You may never hire J.R. to be your life coach or teach your kids calculus but that doesn’t mean the man doesn’t deliver the fantasy goods year after year. Smith hasn’t finished outside of the top 100 since 2009-2010. Mo Williams is a threat to his minutes, but with how much the Cavaliers are likely to rest some of their older players and Kyrie Irving, Smith should be able to come close to matching the 29.7 MPG that he played last season. His 2.3 3PG and 1.2 SPG make him an absolute steal at his current ranking of 201 on Yahoo.

85) Kobe Bryant (SG/SF) – The Black Mamba looked pretty cooked in his 35 appearances in 2014-2015. The all-time great failed to post top-100 per game value due to his atrocious shooting (37.3 FG%) on massive volume (20.4 FGA). While that ranking and FG% are hard to look at, when on the court Kobe was still a top-30 asset for those punting FG%. Bryant still brings the heat when it comes to counting stats and his 22.3 PPG, 1.5 3PG, 5.7 RPG, 5.6 APG, and 1.3 3PG are a very nice addition to any team ignoring FG%.

86) Markieff Morris (PF/C) – Regardless of whether Markieff remains in Phoenix or is in a new uniform when the season starts, the versatile big man is worth a pick anytime after the sixth-round. If his situation becomes more clear by opening night, I will be bumping him up in my rankings. Morris gives you a little bit of everything and while he won’t quite join the one three, one steal, one block club, he is no slouch in those categories (0.7 3PG, 1.2 SPG, 0.5 BPG). The disgruntled big man finished within the top-75 last season due to those averages and his 15.3 PPG.

87) Tyreke Evans (PG/SG) – Tyreke posted top-80 numbers last season but that was mostly due to Jrue Holiday missing over half the year with a stress fracture in his leg. Fortunately for Evans, Jrue is still recovering from his stress fracture and is only expected to play 15 MPG until January. As long as Jrue is limited, Evans should be able to approach his 2014-2015 averages of 16.6 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 6.6 APG, 1.3 SPG, and 0.5 BPG. Those are very useful counting stats, but due to his below-average efficiency (44.7 FG%, 69.4 FT%, 3.1 TOPG) and lack of threes (0.9 3PG), his ceiling is only a top-70 play.

88) Wilson Chandler (SG/SF) – The Nuggets are in very rough shape right now with Chandler and Gallinari being the only proven scorers on their roster. While that is very bad news for the Nuggets, it can be very good news for fantasy owners. Chandler is coming off of a top-85 finish and somehow managed to play 78 games without spontaneously combusting. The injury-prone swingman has only missed less than 10 games in a season twice in his eight-year career. Chandler can outplay this ranking as he provides all-around production (13.9 PPG, 1.8 3PG, 6.1 RPG) but he does have a lower floor than most players in this range. Watch out for his poor FG% (42.9%) as it comes with somewhat high volume (12.5 FGA).

89) Kenneth Faried (PF/C) – Faried is badly overrated both on the court and in fantasy drafts. He’s undersized, isn’t much of a defender, and can’t create for himself. Fantasy-wise, Faried is ranked just outside of the top 50 on Yahoo and just outside of the top 40 on ESPN. Those are some ridiculous rankings for a player who has never cracked the top 80. His FT% weakness is his most obvious flaw (69.1 FT%), but Faried’s defensive stats are also below-average (0.8 SPG and 0.8 BPG) and he barely registers an assist per game (1.2 APG). Faried is an easy pass at his current price.

90) Elfrid Payton (PG) – Like his backcourt mate Oladipo, Payton’s value is heavily dependent on his minutes played. Payton posted top-85 value over the last two months of the year but that ranking was propped up by the his 35.4 MPG average. On the year, 278 players posted better per 36 numbers than Payton. With Scott Skiles now walking the sidelines and C.J. Watson now coming off the bench behind Payton, his minutes should be closer to 32 a night. His major weakness (0.1 3PG, 42.5 FG%, 55.1 FT%) make any minutes hit potentially very damaging. Payton will improve, but he’s terrible value at his current ranking of 48 on Yahoo.

91) Otto Porter (SF) – Porter played a major role in the Wizards taking down the Raptors and giving Atlanta a serious scare. The former third-overall pick will see plenty of time at both the three and the four as Coach Wittman has already talked about phasing out Nene and playing a stretch four more often. Porter is especially interesting because he has the potential to join the one three, one steal, one block club. He’s not Draymond Green, but Porter did average 0.9 3P36, 1.1 SP36, and 0.8 BP36. Otto is only 22, so those already very intriguing per minute numbers should improve. If Porter gets more than 30 minutes a night, and all indications are that he will, there won’t be many better picks late in the draft.

92) Zach Randolph (PF/C) – After three years of teetering on the edge of fantasy irrelevance, Z-Bo returned to mid-round value in 2014-2015. Randolph returned sixth-round value in 9-cat thanks to his highest FG% shooting since 2010-2011 (48.7 FG%) and his highest steals rate since 2009-2010 (1.0 SPG). At 34, I’m skeptical that we’ll see a repeat performance. Randolph is still a very good source of points (16.1 PPG) and rebounds (10.5 RPG) but doesn’t contribute in enough categories to have a high floor or a high ceiling.

93) Ed Davis (PF/C) – Jordan Clarkson received quite a bit of hype for posting commendable numbers on last seasons’ train wreck that was the Lakers. Lost in that hype was that Ed Davis was doing something very similar. The former eighth-overall pick has been a journeyman but has flashed serious potential wherever he has been. Over the last three months of the season, Ed posted top-90 value despite only playing 22.5 MPG. That ranking is even more impressive when you consider that Davis is one of the worst free-throw shooters in the league (45.7 FT%). Without FT%, Davis’ rank over that time frame jumps to 42nd-overall. Ed is a great late-round option for those punting FT% and has outstanding potential thanks to his new role that should see him play close to 28 MPG and his impressive per minute numbers (11.7 RP36, 1.9 BP36, and 60.1 FG%).

94) Roy Hibbert (C) – Hibbert is entering a contract year, and with the cap about to explode, expect the former All-Star to be very motivated this season. He’s also joining a team that is fairly rich in playmakers, something last season’s Pacers were lacking. The towering big man also has limited competition for minutes and Coach Scott has been hesitant to go small for extended stretches. Hibbert won’t light the world on fire, but I would expect a return to top-100 value. As always, his blocks (1.6 BPG) and poor efficiency (44.6 FG%) make him a very good fit for the punt FG% build.

95) Myles Turner (C) – Outside of Karl-Anthony Towns, Myles Turner is my favorite rookie target. Turner’s game is extremely fantasy friendly. At Texas, Turner blocked 2.6 shots per game despite only playing 22.2 MPG. The blocks alone make him intriguing, but it’s his ability to stretch the floor (0.5 3PG) and hit his free throws (83.9%) that makes him my number two rookie target. It appears that the opportunity will be there as well. Coach Vogel has been very complimentary of Turner and has already stated that the 6’11 rookie will see major minutes this season. It’s difficult to project what Turner’s ADP will be, but as long as it is reasonable, I would target Turner aggressively.

96) Brandon Knight (PG/SG) – The newly re-signed Knight’s final ranking of 55th overall is inflated by his time in Milwaukee. In the 12 games that Knight did play with the Suns, he failed to post top-200 value. Normally I wouldn’t read too much into such a small sample size. It usually takes some time for a player to adjust to a new team, especially when he’s changing positions. However, when you look at Knight’s history, it’s hard not to be worried. Excluding his time with the Bucks last season, Knight has been a very poor per minute player and poor fantasy option in general since coming into the league. Only once in his first three years has the former Buck managed to crack the top 200 on a per minute basis. The move to shooting guard also complicates things as Knight will undoubtedly see his career high 25.9% usage drop. Last season could prove to be a fluke and I wouldn’t touch Knight until the last three or four rounds of the draft. With his ADP likely falling inside of the top 70, I highly doubt Knight will be on any of my teams next season.

97) David Lee (PF/C) – Boston’s frontcourt is loaded with mediocre players but as of now, Lee looks like most likely of the group to return decent fantasy value. Lee is only a year removed from posting top-60 value and while he’s unlikely to see enough minutes to repeat that kind of finish, his game is fantasy friendly enough that he will likely be very useful this year. Lee is a solid, late-round target for those punting blocks (0.4 BP36 for his career) and looking for a late percentage boost (52.3 FG% and 78.0 FT% in 2013-2014).

98) Zaza Pachulia (C) – Zaza was outstanding over the last month of the year posting top-60 numbers in only 26.8 MPG. Now a clear starter for the Mavericks, Zaza is in the best position he has ever been in to post serious fantasy value. His lack of blocks limit his upside (0.3 BPG), but DeAndre Jordan’s replacement gives you above-average steals (1.1 SPG), assists (2.4 APG), and free-throw shooting (78.8 FT%) from the center spot.

99) Dwyane Wade (PG/SG) – It feels strange ranking a player who is coming off a season in which he averaged 21.5 PPG, 4.8 APG, and 1.2 SPG outside of the top 100, but this is Dwyane Wade we’re talking about. Even before his per game numbers began to slip (Wade finished 96th-overall on a per game basis in 2014-2015), it was hard to justify spending an early, or even a mid-round pick on a player who is a lock to miss around 20 games. His inability to stay healthy and fading athleticism has led to major decreases in both his efficiency (47.0 FG%) and defensive stats (1.2 SPG, 0.3 BPG). Those numbers aren’t terrible, but they no longer make up for the holes in Wade’s line (0.5 3PG, 76.8 FT%, 3.4 TOPG). Let someone else deal with this headache.

100) Darren Collison (PG) – I have no faith in Rajon Rondo and this ranking of Collison speaks volumes about how terrible Rondo was in Dallas. Placing Rondo in a situation as messy as Sacramento’s is just asking for trouble. Due to his lack of shooting, the former Celtic is a poor fit for the Kings and I expect that to be very evident early on. Even if Collison doesn’t eventually replace the Kings’ “prize” free agent in the starting lineup, he could hold late round value due to his all-around contributions (16.1 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 5.6 SPG, and 1.5 SPG). Not many players available this late have the upside Collison does.

101) Jarrett Jack (PG/SG) – The Nets giving up on Deron Williams was long overdue. With Deron now in Dallas, Jack steps into a starting role and immediately becomes a decent target for those who missed out on the inevitable point guard run that takes place in the middle rounds of every draft. In January, Williams had a stretch where he missed 12 of 13 games. Over that period, Jack stepped in and posted top-80 value. Top-80 may be a stretch due to some of the holes in line (0.5 3PG, 0.9 SPG), but the Nets’ new starting point guard should see major minutes and continue to be a sneaky source of FT% impact (88.1 FT%).

102) Joakim Noah (PF/C) – Noah looked dangerously close to being done in 2014-2015. Despite only being a year removed from posting top-20 value, he’s no more than a late-round flier for those in need of big man stats (9.6 RPG, 1.1 BPG). The Bulls want to find more minutes for Nikola Miortic and I expect those minutes will come at the expense of Noah. The emotional leader of the Bulls should still be a very good source of out-of-position assists (4.6 APG), but doesn’t have more than top-85 upside this season.

103) Meyers Leonard (PF/C) – It feels like half of the league’s potential breakout players will be wearing a Trail Blazers’ uniform this season. The Blazers’ big man is actually fresh off of a 50/40/90 season. Of course, that impressive efficiency came on low volume, but it also allowed Leonard to post top-65 per 36 numbers. Leonard’s biggest issue is that his line includes close to zero defensive stats. Meyers is 7’1 but only averaged 0.6 BP36. He’s an excellent late-round pick for those punting blocks and hunting for upside.

104) Jared Sullinger (PF/C) – It’s likely to be bumpy ride for Sullinger owners. Early indications are that Coach Stevens is going to start veterans David Lee and Amir Johnson at the two frontcourt spots. This does hurt Sullinger but his upside and per minute production is high enough that he still deserves a look late in drafts. The (very) big man posted top-50 per 36 numbers last season and averaged close to a three (0.9 3PG), steal, (0.8 SPG), and block (0.7 BPG) per game. He is a good fit for both the punt blocks build and the punt FG% build (44.0 FG%).

105) Kevin Martin (SG/SF) – Martin is a funny fit for the rebuilding Timberwolves but that hasn’t stopped the veteran from posting top-65 per game numbers in both his seasons in Minnesota. The problem is that per game numbers don’t matter if you’re never on the floor. Over his two years with the Wolves, the scrawny guard has missed 57 games. The Wolves haven’t been shy about resting their veterans at the end of the season, and with the young team likely to be out of the playoff race very early on, it’s hard to bank on having Martin’s 20.0 PPG, 1.9 3PG, and top-5 FT% impact (88.1 FT% on 4.9 FTA) in your lineup when it matters the most.

106) Patrick Patterson (PF/C) – With Amir Johnson in Boston, Patterson has a huge opportunity in front of him. The only other four on the roster is Luis Scola so the starting power forward spot is Patterson’s for the taking. He won’t win you any categories by himself but he doesn’t hurt you anywhere (78.8 FT%) either and is a very good source of out-of-position threes (1.3 3PG). Patterson has a very good chance to improve on both his 26.6 MPG and top-90 2014-2015 finish.

107) Jae Crowder (SF/PF) – Despite starting most of his games on the bench, Crowder was very useful over the last two months of the season, posting top-115 numbers that included 11.5 PPG, 1.0 3PG, 5.8 RPG, and 1.0 SPG. Like many young players he is held back by his lack of efficiency (41.9 FG%), but expect Crowder to improve on his strong finish. He’s a very strong late-round target for those punting FG%.

108) Joe Johnson (SG/SF) – The 34-year-old has aged fairly well, somehow managing to make the All-Star team in 2014-2015 and post top-95 fantasy numbers along the way. Johnson still provides owners with adequate points (14.4 PPG), threes (1.5 3PG), and assists (3.7 APG). Despite his advanced age, ISO Joe is still durable, only missing a total of five games over the past two seasons.

109) Lou Williams (PG/SG) – The reigning Sixth Man of the Year is a better bet for useful fantasy production than Jordan Clarkson and D’Angelo Russell as he’ll be the only one playing the majority of his minutes with Kobe on the bench. Don’t expect a repeat of 2014-2015’s top-75 finish as he won’t have the freedom to throw up as much junk as he did in Toronto, but the gunner should still provide above-average production in points (15.5 PPG), threes (1.9 3PG), and FT% impact (86.1 FT% on 4.9 FTA).

110) Enes Kanter (C) – Kanter, despite the flashy popcorn stats, is someone fantasy owners should be very wary of. Kanter posted top-35 numbers after the trade to OKC with averages of 18.7 PPG and 11.0 RPG. Those are great numbers, but came largely without Serge Ibaka and Durant in the lineup. When those two are healthy, Kanter won’t see the minutes, or shot attempts, to come close to his 2014-2015 production. The former Jazz is not someone who can produce value in limited minutes. He is far too limited defensively (0.5 SPG, 0.4 BPG) and is a major drag on a team’s assist count (0.7 APG).

111) Kyle O’Quinn (PF/C) – O’Quinn showed flashes of potential in Orlando but was never given the opportunity to consistently play starters’ minutes. That could change in New York as O’Quinn is a very good fit for the triangle due to his underrated passing ability and increased range. Regardless of whether or not O’Quinn starts at PF, I expect his minutes to be in the mid-20s. That has been enough minutes for O’Quinn to be valuable in the past. It’s early, but O’Quinn is one of my favorite late-round targets.

112) Paul Pierce (SG/SF) – Pierce, as we saw in the playoffs, still has something left in the tank. The California native posted top-115 value last season despite only playing 26.2 MPG. I expect his minutes to remain in that range as Coach Rivers will try to keep Pierce fresh for the playoffs. However, even with low minutes, Pierce should post top-100 per game value. What keeps him out of my top 100 is the inevitable rest days. Matt Barnes posted top-90 value last season in 29.9 MPG. While Barnes played more minutes, he’s not the player that Pierce is, even at The Truth’s advanced age. Pierce is also going from the 22nd-ranked offense that finished 18th in pace to the best offense in the league. Expect a rise in Pierce’s threes (1.6 3PG) and FG% (44.7%).

113) Michael Carter-Williams (PG) – MCW was beyond horrendous with the Sixers, failing to crack the top-230 in 9-cat. He turned things around after the trade to the Bucks and was able to post top-90 value over the two months he spent in Milwaukee. His value fluctuates wildly from team build to team build. In the punt FG% build, MCW was a top-60 player with the Bucks. In punt turnovers, MCW was a top-75 player with the Bucks. Those are the only two builds in which I would consider Carter-Williams. Pass on him in punt FT% as his lack of threes and high turnovers are not ideal.

114) Derrick Rose (PG) – When a player is coming off a season where he only played in 51 games and only posted top-185 value on a per game basis, he probably shouldn’t be considered until the end of the draft. Yahoo and ESPN apparently disagree and have the former MVP at 69 and 43 respectively. If you’re passionate enough about fantasy basketball to seek to out this site, you already know how ridiculous those rankings are. Easy pass.

115) Jordan Clarkson (PG) – Clarkson was awesome down the stretch of 2014-2015, posting top-50 value over the last two months of the season and top-30 value over the last month. While Clarkson clearly has a nice ceiling, the Lakers did the right thing in drafting potential superstar D’Angelo Russell. Clarkson will start at shooting guard and play most of his minutes next to Russell and Kobe. That’s very bad news for his fantasy production as the sophomore won’t approach his 2014-2015 23.0% usage rate. Clarkson will still provide owners with a reasonable amount of points (11.9 PPG) and assists (3.5 APG), but is more of a stash than a reliable weekly contributor as long as Kobe is health.

116) Jusuf Nurkic (C) – The feisty Bosnian isn’t a guarantee to be healthy by the time the season opener rolls around, but his upside makes him worth a look in the last three rounds of the draft. As a starter, Nurkic averaged an impressive 8.3 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 1.0 SPG, and 1.4 BPG in 23.2 MPG. Nurk will likely continue to struggle with foul trouble this year but his upside is undeniable. Managers looking at the punt FG% build should pay close attention as Nurk provides the big man stats you need for the build but on low efficiency (44.6 FG%).

117) P.J. Tucker (SG/SF) – Tucker is continually underrated due to his lack of scoring (9.1 PPG) and has managed to return top-90 value two years in a row due his production elsewhere (1.1 3PG, 6.4 RPG, 1.4 SPG, 1.3 TOPG). TJ Warren will push him for the starting small forward role but expect the former Longhorn to come out on top in that battle as Tucker is by far the Suns’ best perimeter defender.

118) Luol Deng (SF/PF) – Deng will outplay this ranking but I’d rather roll the dice on higher upside options at this point in the draft. Deng posted top-90 value last season but will hard-pressed to repeat that finish with rookie Justise Winslow in town. Expect Winslow will eat into his 33.6 MPG. Deng doesn’t hurt you anywhere, but he doesn’t help much either.

119) Andrew Bogut (C) – Next to Nikola Pekovic, no player is more likely to miss significant time this season than Bogut. You know a player has issues with injuries when playing 67 games like he did in 2014-2015 is considered a win. What makes Bogut worth a late pick is that he’s actually pretty useful when he does play. He gives you the big man stats you would expect (8.1 RPG, 1.7 BPG, 56.3 FG%) and is an underrated passer (2.7 APG). His FT% is scary (52.4%) but has little impact on his value due to his microscopic 0.6 FTA.

120) Mason Plumlee (PF/C) – Plumlee is competing with Leonard for the Blazers’ starting center spot and should be worth a look late if he can carve out 25 MPG. The former Net is a FT% punt-only player (49.5 FT%) as the only full-time players who had a larger negative impact on the category were Dwight Howard, Andre Drummond, and DeAndre Jordan. If you’re punting FT% and go heavy on guards early, grab Plumlee late and enjoy his 10.6 RP36, 1.3 SP36, 1.3 BP36, and 57.3 FG%.

121) CJ McCollum (PG/SG) – McCollum is still ticketed for a bench role due to the arrival of Gerald Henderson but that doesn’t mean fantasy owners should shy away from taking a flier on the combo guard late. McCollum played heavy minutes over the final two weeks of the season and gave us a taste of what to expect in 2015-2016. Over that stretch, he posted top-40 value with averages of 16.0 PPG, 1.1 3PG, and 1.4 SPG on 51.1 FG%. That FG% is extremely unsustainable and it’s likely that McCollum will be a liability from the field (43.6 FG% on the year). There’s potential for a J.R. Smith-like line from the third-year pro.

122) Mo Williams (PG/SG) – Mo can play both guard positions and with Kyrie expected to start the season on the sideline, and Shumpert a good bet to miss some time at some point during the season, I expect Williams’ minutes to be high enough to allow him to flirt with top-100 value. Over the last two months of the season, despite coming off the bench for the majority of his games, Mo posted close to top-100 value with numbers that included 17.2 PPG, 2.2 3PG, and 6.0 APG. While he won’t come close to those scoring numbers and dimes in Cleveland, expect his poor efficiency (39.7 FG%) to rise due to the LeBron effect. Williams is an excellent grab at the end of the draft as he should be very valuable for the first month or so of the season.

123) James Johnson (SF/PF) – Johnson was in and out of Dwane Casey’s doghouse in 2014-2015 and there’s a good chance that he fails to gain the trust of Casey this season too. However, there is serious upside here, especially with the hole the Raptors have at power forward. Despite not even cracking the 20 MPG mark last season, JJ posted top-130 numbers due his awesome per minute production (1.4 SP36, 1.8 BP36) and outstanding out-of-position FG% contributions (58.9 FG%). If he was to ever get extended run, the former redhead would be a fantasy difference maker.

124) Eric Gordon (SG) – Due to various lower body injuries, Gordon no longer has the athleticism that caused many to call him a future star. While his upside isn’t what it used to be, Gordon will be a key piece of what should be a much improved offense. Last season, under Monty Williams, Gordon posted top-115 value with averages of 13.4 PPG, 2.3 3PG, and 3.8 APG. Unfortunately, he is as injury prone as ever as he only played in 61 and 64 games over the past two seasons.

125) Donatas Motiejunas (SF/PF) – Motiejunas should see plenty of time behind Terrence Jones and Dwight Howard but his game isn’t fantasy friendly. Donut does provide you with a respectable amount of points (12.0 PPG), out-of-position threes (0.7 3PG), and rebounds (5.9 RPG), but his poor foul shooting (60.2 FT%) and lack of defensive stats (0.8 SPG, 0.5 BPG), limit his upside even when give extended minutes. Howard is a lock to miss games but Motiejunas doesn’t have the game to fully take advantage of the opportunity.

126) Marcus Smart (PG) – Isaiah Thomas is the man in the Celtics’ backcourt but Smart is the likely starter and has shown flashes of being a useful fantasy asset. Smart failed to crack the top-150 in his rookie year but did average some interesting numbers including 1.4 3PG and 1.5 SPG. What held Smart back was his horrendous efficiency (36.7 FG%, 64.6 FT%). Both efficiency numbers will likely be terrible again but his even a small improvement in both categories would bump Smart into the top 120.

127) Harrison Barnes (SF) – One of Steve Kerr’s many impressive accomplishments last season was turning Barnes into a useful fantasy asset. After failing to crack the top-200 during his two years under Mark Jackson, Barnes produced top-110 numbers during the Warriors’ championship season thanks to a huge improvement in his efficiency (48.2 FG%). The fourth-year player is a poor ISO player and Kerr recognized that. Now that he is playing off the ball more, Barnes has top-100 upside. He’s a better Roto target than H2H target as the Black Falcon doesn’t have a single category in which he provides more than slightly above-average production (1.1 3PG, 5.5 RPG).

128) Jose Calderon (PG) – The entire Knicks roster struggled to adapt to the triangle but from a fantasy standpoint the switch to the Tex Winter’s system hurt Calderon the most. The formerly supremely efficient lead guard saw his averages drop almost across the board in 2014-2015 but should be rebound in 2015-2016 as he will now be setting players who can actually finish his passes. The Knicks drafted Jerian Grant but Jose should remain the starter as long as he plays well. Calderon is a more natural fit for the triangle than Grant due to his shooting. While the triangle limits Calderon’s assists (4.7 APG), he should still provide enough dimes and threes (1.4 3PG) to be useful to standard league managers, especially those punting points (9.1 PPG).

129) Alex Len (C) – The Suns have seemed content to take a run on the treadmill the last couple years and their signing of Tyson Chandler confirms that they don’t intend to get off anytime soon. Len had some very useful stretches last season but apparently the Suns weren’t impressed enough with sophomore to commit to his development in 2015-2016. Chandler is injury prone so Len should get a shot to start at some point during the season, but until then, he’ll be no more than a low-end source of big man stats (10.8 RP36, 2.5 BPG, 50.7 FG%).

130) Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (SG) – KCP doesn’t provide the most varied line in the world, but not many players available this late in the draft do. The gunner is a solid source of points (12.7 PPG), threes (1.9 3PG), and steals (1.1 SPG), but that’s about it. KCP hurts you both from the field (40.1 FG%) and at the line (69.6 FT%) and doesn’t provide any boards (3.1 RPG) or dimes (1.3 APG).

131) Amir Johnson (PF/C) – The Celtics have a bevy of offensively talented big men but Amir is the only one of the group who provides NBA-level defense. The Celtics’ likely starting center should see close to the 26.4 MPG that he saw in his final year in Toronto. Johnson has a fairly fantasy-friendly game (three top-100 finishes in the last five years) but is held back by his propensity to lead the league in ankle sprains. Expect over six rebounds and a block a night from Johnson to go along with his always excellent FG% (57.4 FG%).

132) Avery Bradley (PG/SG) – The Celtics combo guard is a great target for the punt assists build (1.8 APG) as he has point guard eligibility and provides the stats that those punting dimes need (1.6 3PG, 1.1 SPG). He doesn’t have middle-round upside due to how few categories he contributes in, but Bradley did produce top-100 over the last three months of 2014-2015.

133) Jordan Hill (PF/C) – Hill was a flop with the Lakers in his first real opportunity to see extended minutes but finds himself in another fairly promising position. Hill is replacing David West in Indiana and should see plenty of playing time both as the backup power forward (Paul George is likely to start at the four) and at center. Indiana is planning on playing faster this season, so he’s unlikely to see the 28.7 MPG that West saw, but if Hill can earn close to 25 minutes a night, he should be a valuable source of rebounds (7.9 RPG) and blocks (0.8 BPG).

134) Patty Mills (PG) – With Corey Joseph in Toronto, Mills should monopolize the Spurs’ backup point guard minutes and has a chance to approach 24 MPG. That may not seem like much, but when a player is as good a per minute player as Patty, and is playing behind a declining player like Tony Parker, he’s worth a look late in drafts. In two of the past four seasons, Mills has posted top-15 per 36 numbers. He doesn’t post a traditional line (3.9 AP36), and like Bradley, is a good, cheap target for those punting assists. The takeover likely isn’t happening in 2015-2016 but it doesn’t have to for Mills to hold late-round value.

135) D’Angelo Russell (PG) – It’s a shame that Russell ended up in LA and not in Philadelphia. If he landed with the Sixers, he likely would have been worth a top-90 pick on draft day. Now that he’s in purple and gold, he’s no more than a late-round flier. Russell has a couple of major issues working against him. The first, and most obvious, is that Kobe and his 34.9% usage is going dominate the ball for the majority of the minutes that Russell is on the court. The list of point guards who have been strong fantasy assets playing beside Kobe is exactly zero players long. The second thing working against Russell is that he’s only 19-years-old. The second overall pick looked overmatched in summer league, and will likely struggle to start the season. He may not be worth a roster spot early in the season but the rookie’s potential is too high to ignore and should be drafted and stashed. His line projects to very varied. Not only did Russell provide exceptional traditional point guard stats at Ohio State (2.7 3PG on 41.4 3P%, 5.0 APG, and 1.6 SPG), he was also an excellent scorer (19.3 PPG) and a very good rebounder for his position (5.7 RPG).

136) Timofey Mozgov (C) – Mozgov is another high floor, low ceiling player. After his trade to Cleveland, Mozgov provided borderline top-100 value with averages of 10.6 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 1.2 BPG, and 59.0 FG%. Until Anderson Varejao has his annual season-ending injury, the big Russian will see a small decrease in those averages but what really hurts Mozgov’s standing in H2H, is the game-to-game inconsistency. With all the options David Blatt has at his disposal, the former Nugget will see his minutes fluctuate based on the opponent. Over the last month of the season, Mozgov only played at least 24 minutes in seven of the Cavaliers’ last fourteen contest.

137) Aaron Gordon (PF) – Last year’s fourth-overall pick had a rough rookie year missing nearly half the season and failing to have much of an impact when he was on the court. Before summer league I doubt anyone expected Gordon to be relevant to standard league players. Summer league changed all that. You don’t want to overreact to summer league performances, as they obviously come against inferior competition, but the way that Gordon dominated was very eye-opening. The Magic’s likely starting power forward averaged 21.7 PPG, 2.0 3PG, 11.7 RPG, 1.3 SPG and 1.7 BPG while shooting 50% from the floor. Those averages came in only three games but the variety of his contributions, especially the threes which were completely nonexistent in 2014-2015, is exciting. Due to his poor rookie year and lack of playing time, it’s hard to make any strong predictions regarding Gordon but if you looking to swing for the fences late, Gordon is your man.

138) Jamal Crawford (SG/SF) – The perennial Sixth Man of the Year contender has been a consistent fantasy asset since joining the Clippers. Last season’s 88th-overall finish was actually Crawford’s worst finish since arriving in Los Angeles. Unfortunately, things aren’t looking as rosy as they have in past now that Lance Stephenson and Wes Johnson are in town. Crawford will likely struggle to match last season’s 26.6 MPG and could end up being no more than a streaming option for those chasing points (15.8 PPG), threes (1.9 3PG), and FT% imapct (90.1 FT% on 3.9 FTA). What makes Crawford draftable is Stephenson’s unpredictability. Doc Rivers apparently likes what he sees in Born Ready, but if Stephenson falls on face once again, Crawford would return to the role that allowed him to be so useful the past three seasons.

139) Tony Parker (PG) – Parker hasn’t been very good for a couple years now and the Spurs have noticed, cutting his minutes to the lowest rate of his career (28.7 MPG). While I don’t think we’ll see a full takeover by Mills this season due to the Spurs’ loyalty, I expect Parker’s role to continue to be minimized. At this point in his career, Parker doesn’t give you exceptional production in any category. His averages in three categories are decent (14.4 PPG, 4.9 APG, and 48.6 FG%) but the holes that have always been there (0.6 3PG, 1.9 RPG, 0.6 SPG) are much less manageable now that his points, dimes, and FG% impact have declined. The Spurs know this may be their last chance and Parker is going to have to earn his minutes this time around. His floor is very low this season.

140) Jabari Parker (SF/PF) – Jabari is esentially a rookie this year and that allows me to drop my one of my favorite fantasy facts. Over the last six years, only two rookie wings have managed to post top-100 value (Kawhi Leonard and Landry Fields). Andrew Wiggins didn’t come close and I expect Parker to fall short as well. Like all rookies, expect Parker to struggle with efficiency both from the floor (47.3% in his last year at Duke) and at the line (74.8% in college). Parker also projects as a below-average three-point shooter this season and won’t contribute much outside of points and rebounds.

141) Bogdan Bogdanovic (SG/SF) – The 26-year-old sophomore finished his rookie campaign with a flourish, averaging 15.6 PPG and 2.4 3PG on 53.9% shooting from the field over his last eight games of the year. Those averages came in 29.7 MPG, a number that he should approach in 2015-2016 as Bogdanovich has all but been confirmed as the starter beside Joe Johnson on the wing. He doesn’t project to give you much on the defensive end (0.7 SP36 and 0.2 BP36) but those threes that should come on reasonable efficiency (45.3 FG%) will make the Croatian relevant in standard leagues all year long.

142) Emmanuel Mudiay (PG) – Mudiay is locked into a very large role with the Nuggets but that doesn’t necessarily mean he will provide much value to owners. Mudiay’s jumper is shaky and his free throw stroke is no better. He struggled from the line in summer league and shot 57% from the charity stripe in China. It’s hard for a guard to have much value when he has a large negative impact on your FG%, FT%, threes, and turnovers. He’ll post some flashy counting numbers but should be treated as no more than a dart throw at the end of your draft.

143) Gerald Green (SG/SF) –Dwyane Wade is a lock to miss large chunks of the season and Green will be the primary benefactor when the former superstar is in a suit. The athletic freak is only a year removed from posting top-70 value and managed to do so in only 28.4 MPG. He won’t see that kind of run when Wade is healthy, but even 25 MPG would make him relevant to standard league owners. Green is a potentially major source of points (22.0 PP36) and threes (3.4 3PG) available for next to nothing. Just watch out for his poor FG% (41.6%).

144) Tony Allen (SG/SF) – Allen’s steals (2.0 SPG) are what make him relevant in 9-cat leagues, but the elite defender also gives you above-average blocks (0.5 BPG) and FG% (49.5%) from the shooting guard position. There’s not much to say here. If you need a steals boost late, pick Allen.

145) John Henson (PF/C) – The Bucks have a lot of big names in their starting lineup but it’s hard to see a team starting Jabari Parker and Greg Monroe up front and not struggling on defense. Enter John Henson. Unlike Zaza Pachulia, Monroe can play the four so Henson should see minutes both beside and behind the newest Buck. Henson is capable of explosive performances thanks to his 4.0 BP36 and this could be the year we see some consistency from the Tar Heel.

146) Jahlil Okafor (C) – Philadelphia’s offense will run through Okafor, but I wouldn’t expect much fantasy value here. The former Blue Devil is terrible from the line (51.0 FT%), and with how much Okafor will likely be featured, the impact of those bricks will be Donald Trump-level huge. Foul trouble will likely also be a very serious issue for Okafor. Opposing teams will target Okafor’s terrible pick and roll defense which will lead to quite a few nights of the young big being glued to the bench. His defensive rotations in general are very poor and it’s going to take some time for Okafor to get used to the speed of NBA. The number three pick will be a good source of points, rebounds, and blocks but is only a flier for those punting FT%.

147) Rajon Rondo (PG) – Rondo was horrendous for the Mavericks last season and for fantasy owners. Despite playing just under 30 MPG, Rondo barely cracked the top-200 on a per game basis. His line is chalk full of holes (8.9 PPG, 0.4 3PG, 42.6 FG%, 39.7 FT%, 3.1 TOPG) making him a difficult pick even in the last round of the draft. While Rondo would be a question mark anywhere, Sacramento is an especially poor fit. The team lacks shooters and spacing in it’s starting lineup which will hinder his only above-average offensive skill. There’s a good chance that Darren Collison, a player who was significantly better than Rondo in 2014-2015, takes Rondo’s starting spot at some point this season.

148) Jrue Holiday (PG) – Jrue posted top-30 numbers last season but the injury risk outweighs the upside. For the second year in a row, Holiday had his season ended by a stress fracture in his leg. Alvin Gentry’s arrival should mean great things for Jrue whenever he is on the floor, but that may not be often. The Pelicans have already spoken about limiting his minutes to 15 a night until January so while Holiday will likely be an excellent per minute player, he won’t see enough minutes to repeat last season’s performance even if avoids another stress fracture.

149) Stanley Johnson (SF) – The only rookie who has been more impressive than Johnson this preseason is Karl-Anthony Towns. Through five preseason games, Stanley is averaging an impressive 15.2 PPG, 1.4 3PG, and 4.8 RPG. He remains behind Marcus Morris, but the physically imposing rookie should be able to carve out about 25 MPG. Johnson is worth a look late, but don’t reach for him. Only two rookie wings have cracked the top-100 over the last six seasons.

150) Anthony Morrow (SG/SF) – Morrow was outstanding in limited minutes last season with Thunder. Over the last three months of the year, Morrow posted top-80 despite only playing 23.7 MPG. Those minutes look repeatable even with Kevin Durant returning to the lineup. He’s not a lock to start, but his 2.8 3P36 allow him to be effective in limited minutes.