Friday, 2 October 2015

Arc

I attended the London Racing Club preview of Arc weekend last night. Very enjoyable evening. Not surprisingly the members of the panel were pretty keen on the chances of the favourite and dual winner Treve:

Of course the all-important draw was not known last night. Subsequently the favourite has been drawn in eight, an ok draw. With 18 runners declared it is a significant advantage to be drawn in single figures. Here are the draw positions of the winners for the last ten years:

3-15-6-2-8-6-1-6-4-6

The 15 was of course Treve's first win two years ago. It took an exceptional performance to overcome the filly's poor draw.

As for the betting, there is no way I could get involved in an 11/10 chance but such a short price in the field means a bit of value in the ew market. Careful though because as I write Paddy Power and Coral are only offering 1/5 odds 1,2,3 whereas most other firms offer 1/4 odds.

Had my first post draw bet a few minutes ago. Was offered 91p ew by W Hill so played with Unibet instead! I can't recall the panel mentioning Erupt in the preview. The colt is a bit of a forgotten contender following his defeat behind New Bay in the Prix Niel having been unbeaten before that. He's drawn in four on Sunday. I'll record the bet with WH as I'm sure most readers (if you decide to play) would be accommodated for more than 91p and are more likely to have a WH account than a Unibet account. Also you'll get BOG, which Unibet don't offer:

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