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Currently republicans control every branch of government and trump’s popularity has risen to the low 40’s according to 538, right where he was when elected over Hillary in the first place. They have strong structural advantages in the electoral college and through gerrymandering that bring them to parity with democrats. It really doesn’t matter how many more liberals are showing up in coastal cities- the key is the upper midwest and Florida.

There hasn’t been a new party in the US that’s been successful since republicans replaced the whigs in the 1850s. A third party in this country just weakens the party it is most closely aligned to by siphoning votes from it. Republicans might be on a path to lose the complete lock on power they currently hold, but they’ll continue to represent the geographic areas that currently support them.

The key is whether national opinion will change on certain issues, like it did for gay marriage. Will the majority of Americans start to think of basics like health care and housing as a right for all? I don’t know, but I think that’s where to focus your ideas about generational change. The parties are hopelessly entrenched, but their policies change with popular opinion.

I had a drunken conversation about the future of the two parties and (with “drunken” being a key word) came to the conclusion that the American Right will become NatSoc, and the American Left will become Communist.