With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Ohio remains one of eight Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama won the Buckeye State in 2008 by a 52% to 47% margin.

At the beginning of the week, Romney held a slight 50% to 48% advantage. It was the first time Romney has taken even a modest lead in the race of Ohio's 18 Electoral College votes since late May, but the two candidates have been within two percentage points of one another since then.

Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead.

Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Because 0bama handled Benghazi so well? Because goods and services to Hurricane Sandy victims are abundant? Because the jobs data looks stellar? Because 0bama acts so presidential? Sounds like the media is setting us up for an ‘outrageous election result’ in Ohio when Romney kicks 0bama’s commie azz.

Sadly it’s all but over now. Romney supposedly had a double digit lead with independents and its been erased in mere days. The media has finally tipped the scales. We’ll never win another presidential election unless we run a minority.

Well Obama bought them off with the auto bailout. Socialism may be a gigantic economic loser, but it is a very big election winner. About half of American are going to march off to the polls and vote themselves some freebies - and that number is only going to grow as dependency spreads.

You are right. I have withheld judgment on Christie’s actions this week but if Obama wins by a hair, Christie is done in the Republican Party. He gave the media the exact optics they wanted this week to change the narrative. Romney had this won on Monday. It would appear to be tightening up, even if we still have an edge.

25
posted on 11/02/2012 11:57:45 AM PDT
by ilgipper
(Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)

Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots

You see, this is why polls are unreliable, even one as meticulous as Rasmussen. The actual early vote is at about 29% of expected turnout, not 40%, and that early vote has been concentrated in Democrat-leaning counties, as a result of the Obama campaign emphasis on early voting. These numbers just aren't accurate.

26
posted on 11/02/2012 11:59:26 AM PDT
by TonyInOhio
(O-H-I-O, Barry - misspell our name and we kick you out!)

Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead. Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Well, we don't know that yet, but it's a bit grimmer than the last one. We'll see. It's not like R is trailing big here.

Bingo. Not necessarily that Ras was lying, but MANY media pollsters had Romney way up with “independents” weeks ago. I predicted in a thread then that it was just a ploy so that they could show him crashing back down at the end.

As far as Bonzo’s big lead among those who have already voted in Ohio, the math majors on this site have been telling us for weeks that early voting in Ohio and pretty much everywhere else has trended *significantly* toward the Republicans when compared to 2008. A spreadsheet says so.

Nevermind that Romney is still far, far behind in early voting in Ohio (not as far as McCain was though — whoopee!) and that Josh Mandel is getting absolutely stomped by the dirtiest, slimiest Democrat bastard in the Senate, and has been all along, and doesn’t seem to be fighting back much if at all.

31
posted on 11/02/2012 12:00:35 PM PDT
by PermaRag
(If Trayvon had a father, he'd look just like Obama)

Since that news hit, market has fallen 60 points...guess some are selling before the coming tax increases or need to leave the country.

My cousin works for a firm that is held by a venture capital group (not Bain). They have been trying like mad to get it sold before the end of the year just due to the uncertainty of the coming tax increases and their desire to pay as little tax as possible on the sale. I was always told to not worry about taxes when doing an investment but this clown and his party have me avoiding doing anything to boost their coffers on my back so they can buy more votes. I am tired of carrying the non producers and malingerers, the bums and the lazy. My word for His Excellency, I am tired of being a dormat, go find someone else to support your stash if you get elected. Call me selfish or whatever, but I am done...over and out and you can reach me at the beach.

34
posted on 11/02/2012 12:02:22 PM PDT
by Mouton
(Voting is an opiate of the electorate. Nothing changes no matter who wins..)

At most 1.5 million votes have been cast. Gmu shows 1.25 as of 10/30. Turnout will be 5.7 million. Mark my words 5.7 million. 1.5 million out of 5.7 million is 26% not 40%.

It helps to have hard data when interpreting early vote percentages. All polls have been off with regards to the amount of early votes being cast. People are obviously lying to pollsters by saying they have voted when they havent.

Help me on this one as I can’t follow the math...tied at 49% but Obama ahead 56%-41% of the 40% who have already cast ballots, and Obama up 50% to 41% with independents and more than 90% support the candidate of their party. Either this is a +R poll or this statement is backwards-—”The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.”

While the early voting numbers are not encouraging the Independent numbers are awful. Romney can’t win any crap in any swing state that has him down 9 with independents. And in order for Rasmussen to show a tie in Ohio with Independents +9 for Obama he is giving the R’s all the benefit of turnout. This one ruined my day.

Sadly its all but over now. Romney supposedly had a double digit lead with independents and its been erased in mere days. The media has finally tipped the scales. Well never win another presidential election unless we run a minority.

Geeze, and people call me a pessimist....

I think we're seeing a little bit of a Sandy bounce for Obama. Mitt had momentum and it appears to have been stopped for the moment. Unfortunately, we had an act of God, hurricane Sandy, at the last moment of this election cycle and it was one that seems to have helped Hussein.

It's very possible this little bounce will fade and Romney's poll position will improve the last couple days.

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