Good afternoon, and welcome to MarketWatch’s live coverage of the New Hampshire primary. We’ll provide updates throughout the afternoon, and bring you the announcements of the winners in today’s first-in-the-nation primary.

New Hampshire polls have been open since early this morning, and most close at 7 p.m. Eastern. Some close at 8 p.m., though, so if one of the races goes down to the wire (or both do), those late-closing polls could take on extra importance.

Both the Democrats and Republicans are competing in today’s contests. Let’s have a look at the polls — the opinion polls, that is — before voting concludes. (With the caveat that polls can be misleading. This very good piece on Newsday highlights a few poll misses — e.g., one poll in 1996 showing Bob Dole winning New Hampshire by 16 points. Patrick Buchanan won that year’s GOP primary by one point.)

With polls’ flaws in mind, here’s where we stand: On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton appears to be heading for a double-digit loss to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. She’s down by more than 13 points in the latest average from RealClearPolitics.

For Republicans, Donald Trump is the man in the lead. And quite a lead it is: the real-estate mogul has more than 17 points on his nearest competitor, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio.

The Wall Street Journal is reporting Trump is staying at a Best Western in Manchester tonight. That’s actually newsworthy — Trump rarely stays in the states where he’s campaigning. Is this the start of a new trend?

MSNBC says 64% of Republican primary voters told their exit polls that the debate on Saturday was “very important” or more to their decision. That can’t be good news for Rubio, who got pummelled by Chris Christie and has been mocked for it since.

Hillary Clinton’s campaign has done a lot to downplay expectations of her winning tonight. They’ve said Sanders, a Vermont senator, has an advantage given his state’s proximity to neighboring New Hampshire. So, No. 1, watch to see for certain if he does win, and No. 2, by how much. A blowout victory could raise even more questions about her strength after her razor-thin win in Iowa last week.

After tonight, the map starts to look better for Clinton, in Nevada and South Carolina. But at least one analyst is cautioning that the Democratic race could go “well into the spring.”

Astonishing fact: The man overall in charge of running the New Hampshire primary, Secretary of State Bill Gardner, has held that office continuously for forty years, since 1976. When I met him eight years ago he recalled his first year in the office, when an unknown southerner called Jimmy Carter turned up at his office one day to register as a candidate for president.

Folks, please take note of the useful graphic nearby from our friends at The Wall Street Journal. As you can see, very few results are in, but Sanders is blowing Clinton away and Trump, Cruz and Kasich are in a three-way tie. No Rubio in sight among the top three Republicans.

The betting markets are running strongly for John Kasich to be the GOP runner-up in today’s primary. The latest odds at Predictit.org are 65% on the Ohio governor to come in second to Trump. The markets are giving Texas Sen. Ted Cruz a 21% chance. Rubio’s way back at 10%.