Demystifying the Science and Art of Political Polling - By Mark Blumenthal

That Immigration Speech Instant Reaction Poll

May 18, 2006

dHere is a less than instant reaction to an instant-reaction survey fielded Monday night following the immigration address by President George Bush. CNN conducted the survey (story, results) among Americans who reported viewing the immigration speech by President George Bush....[More...]

SOTU Update: Putting it Into Context

February 6, 2006

I cannot help adding one more footnote to our discussion about "instant reaction" polls conducted after the State of the Union (SOTU) speech last week. One highly valued MP reader emailed to say I had wrongly implied that the networks...[More...]

SOTU Instant Reaction Update

February 1, 2006

As expected, both Gallup and CBS News conducted instant analysis surveys among debate watchers last night. Last night, Gallup called back respondents they had interviewed a few days ago (1/29-30) and interviewed 465 who said they watched the speech (the...[More...]

SOTU: On Bounces and Spin

January 31, 2006

From the polling perspective, if recent history repeats itself, we can assume two things will occur after the President's State of the Union (SOTU) speech tonight. First, CNN/USAToday/Gallup and perhaps CBS News will conduct instant reaction polls among speech watchers...[More...]

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