Worst Case Climate Projections Likely: Study

“When examining the impact of future increases in heat-trapping gases, we find that the simulations with the best fidelity come from models that produce more warming,” says study co-author Kevin Trenberth. (photo: Horizon2035 via flickr)

The worst case projections for global warming may be the most likely, according to an analysis from scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR).

The NASA-funded research by NCAR scientists John Fasullo and Kevin Trenberth was published Thursday in the journal Science.

Fasullo and Trenberth analyzed how 16 leading climate models reproduce observed relative humidity, a major influence on global temperatures, focusing on the subtropics.

6. Link deleted.

(Immoderate pointed out that the scientists in the study cited known anti-AGW 'skeptic' Roy Spencer, a fact that I had unintentionally overlooked when first browsing the document. In the interest of maintaining intellectual honesty, I've decided to eliminate the link.)