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This isn't /r/pcgaming or some other cesspit, you can leave the crazy anti-Chinese conspiracy theories at the door.

Fucking Christ, calm down. Timmy Tencent is just a common nickname for Epic/Tim Sweeney. You speculated, I gave you a likely answer dictated by common sense. Of course the likes of MS/Soyny/etc are paying publishers/studios in order to giveaway games on their online services. Eg PSN+, Xbox Game Pass, Xbox Games with Gold.

What's really funny about it is when they started hiding these giveaways, me and another guy were speculating what the games would be, and our top three picks were Civ 6, Borderlands Handsome Collection, and Far Cry 5, even in that order.... Just because of course it would be those games.

Hilariously, so far we're 2 for 2. If the third one turns out to be Far Cry 5, then we nailed the hat trick.

It's practically a case of Poe's Law because you could pick those games as a joke (think of the most stereotypical games that would, e.g., plaster itself in the most obnoxious way on the front page of Steam when it's doing some kind of campaign), but they're also what you'd really expect, what you'd bet money on in all seriousness.

Ooohh, so the other guy may have known the next one was Borderlands then.
Ok, well then, I independently guessed Civ 6 would be the first one then, and I agreed with him on Borderlands next, and then Far Cry 5 was anyway my mistaken guess if it's ARK after all.
I can see that ARK game as part of that crowd, as in the way it'd be festooned on the front page of Steam, but still it's a 2nd tier contender.
Not that that's going to stop me from yoinking it.