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One narrative we’ve been building on for quite some time is the idea that both stocks and bonds have been propped up by a perpetual bid from price insensitive buyers. Put simply, it really doesn’t matter how overvalued something is if your primary concern is something other than maximizing your return on investment. Take corporate buybacks for instance. Both equity-linked ...

There are two events this week that will shape the investment climate potentially for the rest of the year. The first is the Bank of England meeting. The following day is the US employment report. Both events take on added significance. The Bank of England enters a new era. The Monetary Policy Committee meets as usual, but shortly ...

It was back on January 31 of this year, long before the "game theoretical" approach of Greek negotiations with the Eurogroup and ECB in particular and the Troika, and now Quadriga in general was revealed, that we first forecast with absolute accuracy just what the middle, and end game, of the Greek negotiation with Europe (and vice versa) will be: ...

Overall, the U.S. dollar has rallied this year, with the Dollar Index (DXY) now up by roughly 8 percent year-to-date, according to Bloomberg data. But the gain hasn’t been steady. Instead, the dollar has been on a rocky ride, as investors have repeatedly re-calibrated their expectations for U.S. growth and the timing of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike. Indeed, ...

George Orwell once wrote in ‘Animal Farm’ ‘all animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others’. This famous sentence is now valid more than ever before as surprisingly, the IMF will continue to cut Greece out of potential funding, whilst it’s embracing Ukraine by offering that country billions of dollars in hard cash as support. In a ...