Steve Modena said:
>>> With the exception of one open post, Una could be making those numbers up.
>>> Why are there 14 offline expressions of opinions to two online?
then pnh at fcsparc6.ncifcrf.gov (Paul N Hengen) said:
>> ...I trust her; don't we all?
and then tim at ccwf.cc.utexas.edu replied:
>Hmmm ... if analysis of the {Marilyn vos Savant/Monty Hall/Let's Make a Deal}
>problem is used as a benchmark for assessing skill at manipulating numbers,
>then perhaps not ... :)
Hey, even a brilliant, articulate person like myself can make mistakes
sometimes. ;-) Monty Hall is right: if the MC gives you the choice
of switching after one of the two doors you didn't pick is opened, then
you should switch. I was wrong! Satisfied? Can we get on with science?
--
Una Smith una at phy.duke.edu Department of Biology
Yale University
New Haven, CT 06511-7444