This is the former blogging site for Next Century Foundation articles on Iraq. We have migrated to a new website and blogging platform, and can now be found at:
https://nextcenturyfoundation.wordpress.com/category/iraq/

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Malaki Wins by one seat!

The announcement of the final results of the Iraq elections by the IHEC is scheduled for Friday 26th March. The IHEC web team is working on gradually uploading the results on the three pages on its website: www.ihec.iq .

Our analysis of those results (by NCF Senior Fellow Justin Alexander) gives a final predicted result of a Dawa win with 90 seats to Dawa and 89 to Allawi. Justin still forecasts that Allawi will win slightly more of the popular vote, and he could still just about pick up an extra seat in Baghdad or Salahadin to draw level. However, as it stands SLA will lead by one seat (although others put them exactly level). This will be a photo-finish.