Introduction

The purpose of this report is to compare the estimated prison admission and population numbers from the Criminal Justice Estimating Conference (CJEC) to the actual prison admission and population numbers. Types of admissions and offenders admitted under special sentencing provisions are also described. The CJEC estimations from January-June 2010 are from the February 19, 2010 conference while the estimations from July-December 2010 are from the October 19, 2010 conference.

CJEC Estimated Prison Admissions Versus Actual Admissions*

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The Criminal Justice Estimating Conference (CJEC) admissions estimate for December 2010 overestimated the actual number of inmates admitted by 217 inmates. The percent difference between the CJEC estimated admissions and actual admissions was 7.34%.

Total Actual Admissions since January 2010 – 36,501

Total Estimated Admissions since January 2010 – 36,465

Cumulative Admissions Difference – 36 (0.10%)

CJEC Estimated Prison Population Versus Actual Prison Population

Using the average daily population, the modified CJEC population estimate for December 2010 overestimated the actual number of inmates in the population by 241 inmates. The percent difference between the CJEC estimated population and the actual average daily population was 0.24%.

Using the maximum daily population, the modified CJEC population estimate for December 2010 underestimated the actual number of inmates in the population by 25 inmates. The percent difference between the CJEC estimated population and the actual maximum daily population was 0.02%.

Using the end of month population, the modified CJEC population estimate for December 2010 overestimated the actual number of inmates in the population by 299 inmates. The percent difference between the CJEC estimated population and the actual end of month population was 0.29%.

Details on Admissions Numbers

Type of Admission

Jan 10

Feb 10

Mar 10

Apr 10

May 10

Jun 10

Jul 10

Aug 10

Sep 10

Oct 10

Nov 10

Dec 10

Total

New Commitments

2,558

2,970

3,462

2,951

2,905

3,057

3,011

2,848

3,074

2,826

2,578

2,828

35,068

Violators of Control Release with New Sentences

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Violators of Conditional Release with New Sentences

8

12

11

9

10

10

8

11

8

6

12

8

113

Violators of Control Release without New Sentences

1

0

0

0

0

2

0

0

1

0

0

0

4

Violators of Conditional Release without New Sentences

91

123

125

104

105

109

105

95

137

106

96

120

1,316

Total

2,658

3,105

3,598

3,064

3,020

3,178

3,124

2,954

3,220

2,938

2,686

2,956

36,501

Offenders Admitted with Special Sentencing Provisions

Type of Special Sentencing Provision1,2

Jan 10

Feb 10

Mar 10

Apr 10

May 10

Jun 10

Jul 10

Aug 10

Sep 10

Oct 10

Nov 10

Dec 10

Total

Habitual Offenders

156

179

206

208

166

171

178

166

142

171

149

148

2,040

Violent Habitual Offenders

18

32

36

23

19

34

24

26

16

23

15

20

286

Releasee Reoffenders

52

70

82

63

52

71

41

58

63

71

64

52

739

Violent Career Criminals

4

0

5

3

4

2

1

5

3

1

1

3

32

Three Time Violent Felony Offenders

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Dangerous Sex Felony Offender

3

0

1

2

1

0

2

3

1

2

2

2

19

Total

233

281

330

299

242

278

246

258

225

268

231

225

3,116

Offenders can be admitted with more than one special sentencing provision. Therefore, an offender can be included in more than one group.

These are the special provisions at admission for the current commitment and are subject to change upon audit of sentence structure.

99.5% of December admissions have every component of their sentence covered by the mandatory 85% minimum sentence served law.

Details on Prison Population

Total End of Month Inmate Population

Total Population

Males

Females

HIV Positive Inmates

Inmates 50 Years of Age and Older

Youthful Offenders*

Sentenced Under 85% Law+

January 2010

101,157

94,173 (93.1%)

6,984 (6.9%)

3,194 (3.2%)

15,820 (15.6%)

4,082 (4.0%)

88,629 (87.6%)

February 2010

101,467

94,431 (93.1%)

7,036 (6.9%)

3,169 (3.1%)

15,993 (15.8%)

4,085 (4.0%)

88,937 (87.7%)

March 2010

102,026

94,888 (93.0%)

7,138 (7.0%)

3,149 (3.1%)

16,118 (15.8%)

4,098 (4.0%)

89,475 (87.7%)

April 2010

102,019

94,892 (93.0%)

7,127 (7.0%)

3,157 (3.1%)

16,248 (15.9%)

4,068 (4.0%)

89,614 (87.8%)

May 2010

102,086

94,957 (93.0%)

7,129 (7.0%)

3,112 (3.0%)

16,298 (16.0%)

4,030 (3.9%)

89,708 (87.9%)

June 2010

102,232

95,088 (93.0%)

7,144 (7.0%)

3,077 (3.0%)

16,386 (16.0%)

3,967 (3.9%)

89,974 (88.0%)

July 2010

102,374

95,208 (93.0%)

7,166 (7.0%)

3,107 (3.0%)

16,483 (16.1%)

4,017 (3.9%)

90,199 (88.1%)

August 2010

102,191

95,010 (93.0%)

7,181 (7.0%)

3,089 (3.0%)

16,564 (16.2%)

3,957 (3.9%)

90,177 (88.2%)

September 2010

102,440

95,238 (93.0%)

7,202 (7.0%)

3,078 (3.0%)

16,665 (16.3%)

3,966 (3.9%)

90,309 (88.2%)

October 2010

102,397

95,169 (92.9%)

7,228 (7.1%)

3,070 (3.0%)

16,732 (16.3%)

3,981 (3.9%)

90,441 (88.3%)

November 2010

102,220

94,999 (92.9%)

7,221 (7.1%)

3,073 (3.0%)

16,817 (16.5%)

3,997 (3.9%)

90,349 (88.4%)

December 2010

102,138

94,907 (92.9%)

7,231 (7.1%)

3,063 (3.0%)

16,882 (16.5%)

4,021 (3.9%)

90,389 (88.5%)

* Section 958.04, F.S., authorizes the court to sentence as a youthful offender any person:

Who is at least 18 years of age or who has been transferred for prosecution to the criminal division of the circuit court pursuant to chapter 985;

Who is found guilty of or who has tendered, and the court has accepted, a plea of nolo contendere or guilty to a crime that is, under the laws of this state, a felony if the offender is younger than 21 years of age at the time sentence is imposed;

Who has not previously been classified as a youthful offender under the provisions of this act; and

Who has not been found guilty of a capital or life felony.

Section 958.11(4), F.S., authorizes the Department to classify as a youthful offender any person:

Who is at least 18 years of age or who has been transferred for prosecution to the criminal division of the circuit court pursuant to chapter 985;

Who has not previously been classified as a youthful offender under the provisions of this act;

Who has not been found guilty of a capital or life felony;

Whose age does not exceed 24 years; and

Whose total length of sentence does not exceed 10 years.

In addition to the above, s. 958.11(6), F.S., authorizes the Department to assign inmates 19 or younger (except capital or life felons) to youthful offender facilities if the Department determines that the inmates mental or physical vulnerability would substantially or materially jeopardize his or her safety in a non-youthful offender facility.

+ This number represents those inmates which have every component of their sentence covered by the mandatory 85% minimum sentence served law.