Since 1912, This Professor's Model Has Predicted Every Election And He's 97 Precent Certain Of This Year's Winner

Last Updated on February 25, 2016

A professor of Political Science at Stony Brook University thinks he knows, with almost perfect certainty, who will win the presidential election and his result is frightening.

Many of us first heard of Professor Helmut Norpoth during the 2012 election, when he predicted that Barack Obama would emerge the winner. Okay, he was an incumbent and, well, look who he was running against, but still, his model has accurately predicted elections going back more than a century, with the exception of one. Now, he's predicting that the winner will be Donald Trump.