Will Betting the Dodgers Blindly Remain Profitable?

WILL BETTING THE DODGERS BLINDLY REMAIN PROFITABLE?

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been by far the most dominant team in the majors this season. They are currently owners of a 79-32 record for a winning percentage of 71.2 percent.

$100/game bettors that have bet the Dodgers every single game have have earned a total of $3,057, with the bulk of the profits coming when they play at home at Chavez Ravine. They have banked a healthy $2,347 in profits at home, compared to $710 when they play on the road.

In other words, betting the Dodgers each and every game this season would have been auto-money, but can we expect that to hold true throughout the rest of the season?

LET’S CRUNCH SOME NUMBERS

At their current winning percentage of 71.2 the LA Dodgers would end up with a 115-47 record, by far the best since Seattle Mariners’ 116-46 season back in 2001.

The average line for the Dodgers has been -186, which by using the Odds Converter here at Covers.com gives us an implied win probability of 65 percent.

The Dodgers have 51 games left of the regular season, 21 at home and 30 on the road. That includes two three-game series at Arizona, a three-day stay at Washington and closing out the season with a three-game set at Coors Field. Not easy series at all, and as previously noted, the Dodgers have been far stronger at home than outside of LA.

We can also note that virtually each and every one of the Dodgers’ starters have over-performed in the sense that they have a higher xFIP than ERA, most of them by almost half a run. Those things tend to even out.

Let’s also not forget the fact how tough it is to play at top level throughout a season, no matter how good you are.

The Dodgers have lost three consecutive games just three times on the season, have never been swept, and they’re a phenomenal 18-3 since the All Star break. That’s remarkable consistency, but also not sustainable. I can almost guarantee a dip will come sooner or later, and you better not be chasing the Dodgers gravy train when it happens.

THE VERDICT

The Dodgers would have to go 33-18 through their last 51 games in order to beat the implied win probability of 65%. Not impossible, but that is assuming the books will keep the average line at -186.

Surely with every win the bookmakers will have to consider adjusting the price, and you can expect to pay significantly more to back LA if they keep winning.

There will still be some money to be made by backing the best team in baseball, but you really need to be careful and pick your spots from now on.

How about their chances of winning the World Series? The 2001 Mariners were knocked out in the ALCS in five games by the defending champion Yankees, a team that finished 21 games behind Seattle in the regular season.

Just another reminder that regular season and postseason baseball are two completely different animals.

Sign up for Premium Picks now!

Mike Lundin

Stop gambling and start investing. The easy money is there to be made sports betting, and Mike's got the picks to make it happen.

Premium Packages

**#10 ranked CBB handicapper on this site.****#10 ranked Overall handicapper on this site.**

**#7 ranked CBB in 2016-17 and #8 ranked Overall in 2014**

Mike Lundin is working an absolutely stunning 45-19 (70%), +$22,644 run with all NCAAB picks dating back to March 25. 2018! Can you afford pass up on this opportunity to build your bankroll with one of the best in the business? Invest in this TOP RATED 10* MID-AMERICAN BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL and make your bookie pay the price.

While Mike may be better known for his incredible profits with moneyline/spread selections, his conservative approach has proven to be deadly accurate with totals. He CASHED IN BIG with his last NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on February 7 and has another BIG WINNER lined up here Friday night.

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

The Houston Rockets are just 2-7 ATS through their last nine games, but I think they'll come flying out of the gates here after the All Star break and put a beating on the LA Lakers. Houston may not have covered the spread of late, but it has still won the majority of the games which is more than can be said of the Lakers who dropped 10 of their final 15 games before the All-Star break, including four of their last five.

Houston All Star guard James Harden has scored at least 30 points in each of the last 31 games and here starting center Clint Capela (thumb) is expected back in the lineup after missing the last 15 games.

With the Rockets 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings with the Lakers at Staples Center I think this looks like a very manageable spread to cover.

8* play on Houston Rockets.

SERVICE BIO

A former poker pro, Mike Lundin made his picks available to the public in June of 2014. The late start didn't stop him from finishing as the #8 handicapper overall for the year with a profit of $34,970 for $1,000/game clients! He has since racked up multiple Top 10 finishes across several sports.

Betting Philosophy

Mike Lundin's experience as a professional poker player has proven to be an immeasurable asset in sports handicapping. He's a numbers guy, with a keen eye for spotting trends and stats that just don't jive with the odds offered by the books. Mike's plays will rarely be on huge favorites, he prides himself at finding value in close match-ups and although Mike's considered a moneyline/spread specialist, when he releases totals play you better believe he's got something special cooking.

***Mike's Picks***

All Mike's plays included in his premium packages come with high quality analyses. Mike rates his plays between 1-10* with 10* being the maximum. Most plays will be 8-10* as he advocates more of a flat betting approach in order to minimize the variance.

Be sure to check out his long-term subscription offers to get the most bang for your buck.

***Accomplishments***

Soccer 2014 - Finished the year 77-61, +$17,530

MLB 2014-2016 - Earned $1,000/game betting clients a total of $20,880

NBA 2016/2017 - Finished the season 176-149, +$11,340

CBB 2016/2017 - Finished the season 62-42, +$16,300

NFL 2016/2017 - Finished the season 51-41, +$5,250

He finished the year as the #1 soccer handicapper in 2014 and is once again at the top of the leaderboard here in 2017.

There is no better time than RIGHT NOW to jump on board with this rising star in the sports handicapping industry, so what are you waiting for, invest in a subscription and start turning a profit right away.