MANILA, Philippines — It may feel like summer already but the dry season will not be around until March or April, according to the state weather bureau.

The warm, moist easterly winds from the Pacific Ocean have been causing temperatures to rise, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said on Thursday.

These easterlies bring humid air into Luzon and Visayas, especially its eastern sections.

But the northeast monsoon, which has been ushering in cold winds from Siberia, has continued to affect extreme Northern Luzon, lowering temperatures in the region, Pagasa said.

According to Pagasa forecaster Connie Dadivas, a tropical cyclone is least likely to visit the country in February, a month which rarely sees storms. “We expect zero to one tropical cyclone this month,” she said.

Based on Pagasa ‘s 24-hour weather outlook, Batanes and Cagayan, including the Babuyan and Calayan groups of islands, will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains.

“Metro Manila and the rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms,” it added.

Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast to east would prevail over Northern Luzon and its coastal waters would be moderate to rough, Pagasa said.

Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the northeast with slight to moderate seas, according to Pagasa.

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