Archive for the ‘UNSUB’ Category

As the day progressed yesterday with the news on Sirius XM on throughout, I listened as the details came in. A serial bomber had begun a terror campaign with pipe bombs that may or may not be inert but still serving the desire of creating terror. As the day progressed it became clearer that the targets (now 8 of them with DeNiro) all were people who had crossed paths with Donald Trump and had been attacked by him in rhetoric and name calling. While on the face of it the terror plot seems pretty clear per the narrative of the bomber (e.g. sending Trumps self pronounced enemies bombs) it may be too early to really say for sure what the motivation is, if there is any, politically or socially from the UNSUB here and this is a point everyone needs to understand. As the days progress and more details are given by the FBI we will get a better picture once the investigation becomes clearer. Until then though, here are some thoughts on the UNSUB and the plot given the details we have.

UNSUB Profile:

UNSUB is male (I don’t believe we have seen a female serial bomber yet)

UNSUB age likely to be in their 20’s to early 30’s

UNSUB in this plot is likely alone in this but more than one in a Folie A Deux cannot be discounted.

UNSUB is new to bomb making but has a history with fireworks and black powder uses

Crude PVC bombs

Materials were easy to get and work with (basic)

Trigger mechanism is still TBD but all bombs failed to trigger and detonate (by design or by mistake? As devices were live I am leaning towards mistake)

Bombs, while crude seem to try to emulate sophistication with timer device (trigger) but in the end are basic

Packages had excessive postage and have all the hallmarks of classic signs of parcel bombs (easily visually discernible as bombs)

Misspellings on labels show lack of attention to detail and likely flow into design flaw that led to bomb failures

Device construction (TBD) will determine the level of detail orientation of UNSUB and as time will tell may yield forensic evidence that could lead right to them (DNA/Prints)

UNSUB seems to be from the Tri-Sate area of NY given posting of packages and access to Soros home.

Motive Profile:

Victimology suggests political motives (Democrats and those who have angered Trump)

UNSUB use of Wasserman Shultz address fits profile of narrative by Qanon/MAGA accolytes of false flag operation by the Democrats (this had already been spun up but the use of the address leads to a higher probability of this being a motive)

UNSUB may be trying in their own way to intimidate Democrats and people who would vote for them in the midterms upcoming

IF we start seeing packages to polling places this will cement this line of thought.

UNSUB is doing this to feel some power that they lack in their lives

Target choices and political motivations on the face of this indicate that they idolize Trump

Imagery and target choices also indicate that they are conspiracy oriented individuals

Placement of the fist bomb in Soros mailbox indicates they see Soros as the head of the snake (this is a common Qanon/MAGA conspiracy plotline that Trump espouses)

UNSUB motivations other than political (personal) are to revel in the “spectacle by destruction” or in this case, with the failure of detonation, to cause chaos and sow conspiracy

Motive may become clearer if there are any communications from the UNSUB

UNSUB may feel compelled to speak online about motivation and or to cause more fear since detonation failures did not finish the plot as anticipated

UNSUB’s connection to Trump and feelings of loss of status, power, place lead to emulation of Trump and or feelings of outrage against those Trump attacks

This attention seeking may in fact lead to direct communication attempts with Trump in the past

As we get more information I guess we will see where my armchair profiling hits the mark or is way off. I personally do not buy that this is a “false flag” like so many with cognitive dissonance out there seem to be spewing. I can afford the following ideas however on that line of thinking:

IF this individual was groomed by someone to carry out these acts it may well have been a nation state actor doing so.

Use of these bombings will in fact be made by the RU and other actors as we have already seen on social media with the cacophony of narratives and meme’s to date.

I do not believe that this is a plot by a foreign nation though. No, this seems more your run of the mill unbalanced individual with issues who aligns themselves with Trump and MAGA and is acting out for their own desires. The actions so far show an individual without nuance and experience and I suspect they will be caught soon by the FBI/USSS because they were inattentive to details that will in the end lead investigators right to him