Monday, October 27, 2014

Greetings and hope you all are enjoying some Monday Night Football. Bob is back with some more streaming defense brilliance - seriously, the guy was a soothsayer last week and I hope you all reaped the benefits. Read on for ideas for Week 9.

Hello fellow streamers!
How did it go last week? Well, if you followed the FFLibrarian advice
last week, you probably did pretty well.
In fact, you couldn’t have gone wrong with the four
recommendations. All four did remarkably
well. Using Fantasy Shark League
scoring: Miami put up 26 points, Bill 20, Vikings 22, and Browns with a respectable
13. I’m pretty sure Miami helped many of
you win your match up this week.

Now how do I follow up that kind of sorcery? The answer is that I probably won’t. That was a remarkable week, and this week is
very scary for defenses with 6 byes, and some big matchups. So temper your expectations, but I think
there are some jewels out there this week.

To begin, I want to further expand on the Streaming
strategy. Recommendations for Streamers
intentionally leave out top defenses that are considered every week
starts. For instance, at this point, I
can’t recommend the Lions or Houston, because they are just really, really
good. And you would be foolish to stream instead of starting them unless there
is a particularly bad match up. Also,
recommendations will not include teams that are owned in over 70% of
leagues. Obviously, they won’t be
available most of the time. So the
streamers I list are teams to pick up if you don’t have an obvious starting DEF or
no chance to pick them up on the waiver wire.
So, with that, here’s this week’s best available streamers….

At this point, I’m still targeting the four following teams
to start against: JAC, OAK, TB, NYJ.

This week I want to look at the top-owned teams and see how
they might fair this week. Here they
are…

Note: Proj is from Yahoo, Pts Rank is from MyFantasyLeague,
Owned is from Yahoo.

Seattle is going to kill OAK so don’t hesitate if you have
them. This will be your reward for
holding on to them this long. HOU you
still start them but they won’t put up big numbers, same with their opponent
PHI. SF has a good match and you start
them. But DET and BUF and are BYEs, so
you’ll need a replacement. And I’d stay
away from the DEN/NE matchup, the points are going to fly there in the marquee
matchup of the week. MIA and BUF are only owned this high due to last week’s
pickups from last week recommendations.
BUF is on a BYE and MIA has a really bad matchup. And I don’t know what to say about
IND!!! ARI has a tough matchup too, so
temper expectations. So there are five highly owned teams that need to make a
change and pick up a team that will help them out this week: DET, BUF, NE, DEN, and MIA. That’s a tough week to be sure.

But look who CIN is playing.
And since they’re owned in only 66% of leagues, they qualify as the
number one Streaming DEF this week.
Projected, 16 points.

Second best streamer this week is KC. They are playing the Jets, who gave up 20 DEF
points to BUF last week, ouch. KC is
only owned in 58% of leagues. Don’t hesitate
and pick them up. Projected, 14 points.

Third best streamer this week, is CLE. They make the list for the second week in a
row. They are playing the vulnerable TB
this week and they’re home. So go ahead
and hit that waiver button and expect 12 points for your efforts.

Now the picks get a bit murkier. I’m not big on the next two, but if you don’t
have any better choices than the above here’s a couple of fliers…

MIN had a great week last week, but they were playing TB and
as expected put up big numbers. But this
week they have WAS. I would like to see
how WAS does tonight before making a call.
But since we are committing to getting this out during the game, I’m
going to go out on a limb and put MIN as the 4th best pickup. WAS has a new QB, although he has past
experience and a pretty good start last week, I think MIN can give him problems
in MIN as the 7th points ranked DEF this year so far. So MIN is a flier as the 4th best
pickup. Projected points, 10 plus
upside.

Finally, who to pick up as the 5th best? I only include this because there are five
teams that need replacement out of the top 12 highest owned DEFs this
week. And if I were forced to pick one,
I’d get PIT. They haven’t been very
consistent, but they just got 14 points against an offensive juggernaut. They only got 2 points against BAL in week 2,
but they are home this week, and their defense has improved. So if I had to pick, I’d take PIT, and expect around
10 points.

There you have it,
three great picks and two fliers. Don’t
kill the messenger if the fliers don’t work out…

About Me

So why Fantasy Football Librarian? I have been playing fantasy football now for 12 years. I'm also a librarian at a museum in New York City (though my family and I now live in Knoxville, Tennessee) and I love to research stuff. What could be better than combining my love for football and research? So in September 2006, I launched FFLibrarian to try and create one place for fantasy football fans to find the info they need to succeed in their leagues.
From 2007-2013, I conducted an accuracy analysis of the experts' rankings with support from the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, and have written columns for The New York Times' Fifth Down blog and the Bruno Boys.
Please feel free to contact me if you have any questions or suggestions. Here's to the 2016 season!