Here's the problem with the Jacksonville Jaguars' offense -- it looks pretty awful on paper. And it's probably going to be mostly awful in practice. And fantasy football owners are almost certainly going to be adverse to drafting Jacksonville players.

And that's definitely how it should be.

Toby Gerhart (AP Photo)

Tight end Marcedes Lewis and wideout Cecil Shorts III are still there, and there's some buzz around rookie Marqise Lee since Ace Sanders (substance abuse) will be suspended the first four games of the season, but with a rookie quarterback in Blake Bortles, it's tough to trust any of Jacksonville's receivers.

So, all roads lead to running back Toby Gerhart, which is the first time anyone has ever said that ... ever.

Gerhart has been solid in his four years as Adrian Peterson's backup in Minnesota, averaging 4.7 yards per carry (including a whopping 7.9 on 36 carries last year). He came up big down the stretch in 2011 when Peterson was out, averaging 13.1 fantasy points per game over the final six contests. He's a fairly adept receiver, too, and Jaguars offensive coordinator Jedd Fisch has already said he plans on Gerhart being a "workhorse" and playing all three downs.

What's not to like? Well, his probable lack of carries, for one. Jacksonville finished 28th in carries last year, rushing just 378 times. Even worse, the Jags averaged just 3.3 yards per carry (31st) and didn't do much to upgrade their O-line this offseason. Jacksonville's lack of scoring is another concern, as it was tied for 28th in rushing TDs with seven.

So, yes, Gerhart is in position to potentially get a lot of touches and post good numbers, but we're probably looking at more 14-carry, 55-yard games (with another three catches for 20 yards) than anything else. If he gets a touchdown, it will be a bonus.

That's not bad in standard leagues -- it's consistent, if nothing else -- but it's not great. Again, the potential is there for more, so it wouldn't be shocking if Gerhart had a top-15 season, but it's tough to expect more given the circumstances.

Still, the fact Gerhart's ADP is fairly mediocre means he presents good value as a flex or RB3. You could do a lot worse -- like pretty much any other member of the Jaguars.