PPP's final polls in Ohio and Virginia find Barack Obama ahead in both states, 52/47 in Ohio and 51/47 in Virginia. PPP has conducted four polls in each of these states over the last three weeks and has found an average lead of 3.75 points for Obama in Ohio and an average advantage of 3.5 points for him in Virginia.

In Ohio Obama's already built up a large lead during the early voting period. He's up 60/39 with those who already cast their ballots. Romney's ahead 51/48 with people who plan to vote on election day but he's going to need a much wider margin than that to take the state.

Obama's winning thanks to leads of 54/44 with women, 86/11 with African Americans, and 61/33 with voters under 30. And although he trails Romney with independents (49/47) and white voters (51/47), he's holding Romney to margins well below what he would need to win those groups.

It's a similar story in Virginia. Obama's up 56/43 with women and 92/8 with African Americans and he's holding Romney to a 58/40 advantage with whites, which is below what we've generally been finding for him nationally recently. When you combine Obama's relative strength among white voters with Virginia being one of the more racially diverse states in the country it's the formula for a lead.

Democrats are also well positioned to win the US Senate races in each of these states. Tim Kaine leads George Allen 52/46 in Virginia's open seat race and Sherrod Brown's up 54/44 for reelection against Josh Mandel. It's a similar story in both states. Voters like the Democratic candidates- Brown has a 48/43 approval rating and Kaine has a 50/40 favorability rating. They don't much care for the Republican contenders- Mandel's favorability is 36/50, Allen's is 42/48.

+8 is ridiculous. +7 in 2008 was the largest turnout advantage in history if I’m not mistaken. Republicans are much more energized and likely to vote this time. Furthermore, although Obama holds an edge in early voting the Democrat turnout numbers are way down from 2008.

Well we’ve had a CNN poll today with +11 Dems and now this silly poll with +8 Dems.

MSM is really desperate to conceal Romney’s momentum. How do we know his Mo is still going? Look where Romney is campaigning (Blue states) and the size of his crowds in Dem territory (30K+). That’s all you need to know.

PPP...thanks for the laughs..what next, a poll from the Daily Kos..hey how about they poll the idiots who work at MSNBC..PPP is a far left polling group I am laughing right now at these poll results thanks for the laughs

Reince Preibus was just on Hannity and demonstrated that the early vote numbers for Obama in Ohio are down 260,000 from 2008. Obama only won by 250,000 votes in 2008. So even if Romney only performs the same as McCain on election day he would still win by 10,000 vote...I think Romney is going to perform substantially better than McCain in Ohio...

Dems are quietly fearful of losing a few more seats in the House. No media poll or MSM analyst is predicting that the Dems gain the House or even come close. So how is it possible that Republicans increasing seats in the House could happen at the same time when enthusiasm (as set by a D+7 or D+8 turnout model) is supposed to be higher for Dems than in the unusual wave election of 2008? This is pure hogwash!!

And all of these polls will be cassetted without question into the Real Clear Politics average. Then every MSM outlet will simply state the “RCP average for Virginia shows Obama holding a 2.4 point lead...”

This stupid PPP poll, and all the others like it, are a last ditch attempt to suppress the GOP vote. But it ain’t gonna work. And these polling companies will be laughed at Tuesday, and, hopefully, out of business on Wednesday.

Rasmussen: Iowa remains neck-and-neck in the closing days of Election 2012, with Mitt Romney now showing a one-point lead.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds the Republican challenger with 49% support, while President Obama earns 48% of the vote. Two percent (2%) like someone else in the race, and one percent (1%) is undecided.

Rasmussen has Romney at 50%, Obama at 48%. Wisconsin a tie, Ohio tied and PA tied and trending Romney.. Florida is solid Romney. Even Oregon is a toss up, trending Romney.

With left leaning newspapers, all over the country, making last minute Romney endorsements, it looks like election night may be disappointing for Democrats.

The poll is good news in VA and Ohio, PPP Democrat Poll, always review the internals. In both state -2 view of Obama +2 on Romney. Sampling way off. I am at the point I think Ohio is safer than VA which I had felt good about for some time. Bottom line, these polls and CNN are all positive indicators. Again look where the candidates are. Heck PA has to be looking good if Dems are sending Clinton back for four stops. Think about it NOT OBAMA , Clinton, because he is more popular their than Obama

Rasmussen: Iowa remains neck-and-neck in the closing days of Election 2012, with Mitt Romney now showing a one-point lead.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds the Republican challenger with 49% support, while President Obama earns 48% of the vote. Two percent (2%) like someone else in the race, and one percent (1%) is undecided.

Rasmussen has Romney at 50%, Obama at 48%. Wisconsin a tie, Ohio tied and PA tied and trending Romney.. Florida is solid Romney. Even Oregon is a toss up, trending Romney.

With left leaning newspapers, all over the country, making last minute Romney endorsements, it looks like election night may be disappointing for Democrats.

Here's what's interesting to me. In OH Obama's only winning 86% of Blacks, while he's winning 92% of Blacks in VA?

What were the 2008 numbers in those two states again? Nationally Obama got 98% of Blacks. According to CNN (am I looking in the right place here?) Obama drew 97% of the Black vote in Ohio and 92% in VA.

Virginia is consistent (although Black turnout will probably be lower this year) but Obama dropping 11 points amongst OH Blacks? Is that anything other than a collapse of support?

“Rasmussen has a tie in Ohio, Minnesota, Wisconsin and I think PA. He has Romney up one in Michigan and Romney clearly ahead in VA and Florida.”

While it would be nice if true, I think your facts regarding MN, PA and MI are not correct. Could you provide links to Rasmussen demonstrating these figures? Last MI poll at Rasmussen shows Romney down 5. I’ve yet to see a recent MN or PA poll from Rasmussen.

Any poll that shows Oblahblah up more in Ohio and Virginia than in Iowa is suspect.

Who knows, maybe the libs are right and the country is even more in love with the Kenyan this time than they were in 2008? If so, then he will win just like these polls predict, and our country will continue its stampede towards the economic toilet.

I’m just not seeing it though. I’m really not.

32
posted on 11/04/2012 7:33:08 PM PST
by comebacknewt
(Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)

Unless it’s a propoganda arm of a party or cause a political polling firm’s main purpose would be making money.If such a firm is wildly inaccurate one would think it would cut into profits...unless,perhaps,they know that they have a built in customer base.Or maybe the “real* money is made doing the “internal” polls that the general public never sees.

33
posted on 11/04/2012 7:34:21 PM PST
by Gay State Conservative
(Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)

Then why post it? this is one poll that really should be banned from this site. We have a ton of other polls to look at why give this bunch any attention. All it does is make people frustrated or anxious.

I have a question about posting. I didn’t think that any of my posts that I made tonight went through because all I got was a blank page. I was just about to give up, but wanted to post that Rasmussen poll.

So, if we get a blank page, we should just assume that the post went through. Forget accessing the response page, won’t ever happen.

Maybe FreeRepublic should ditch the side bar and simplify the posting until after the election.

PPP is the same polling company that back in 2008 showed that Obama would win...ALASKA..LOL..their polling is actually quite funny..see that is the mantra now, make Obama look like the winner..to keep Republicans from voting on Tuesday..we are ENERGIZED..Obama is going DOWN

Unless it’s a propoganda arm of a party or cause a political polling firm’s main purpose would be making money.If such a firm is wildly inaccurate one would think it would cut into profits...unless,perhaps,they know that they have a built in customer base.Or maybe the “real* money is made doing the “internal” polls that the general public never sees.

41
posted on 11/04/2012 7:37:06 PM PST
by Gay State Conservative
(Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)

If all of these polls are correct, this will be nearly as big a blowout as McCain suffered. Does anyone actually believe that?!!? I just can’t see it. If so, our only hope going forward would be to scrap the GOP and infiltrate and moderatize and split the Democrat party.

It’s not the percentage of blacks Obama gets, but how many show up to vote. Hate to sound cliche, but it’s ALL ABOUT TURNOUT. Dem voting in Ohio in 2008 was down from 2004. We lost because the bottom fell out of GOP participation.

The poll is good news in VA and Ohio, PPP Democrat Poll, always review the internals. In both state -2 view of Obama +2 on Romney. Sampling way off. I am at the point I think Ohio is safer than VA which I had felt good about for some time. Bottom line, these polls and CNN are all positive indicators. Again look where the candidates are. Heck PA has to be looking good if Dems are sending Clinton back for four stops. Think about it NOT OBAMA , Clinton, because he is more popular their than Obama

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