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31673Sports Reference Logo7/23: Bear Goggles On- 1985 Chicago Bears Run Past Detroit Lions, 24-3http://beargoggleson.com/?p=62834
Greetings, Bears fans. With this being the 30th anniversary of the Super Bowl-winning Chicago Bears of 1985, here at Bear Goggles On we&#8217;ll be revisiting the regular season and playoff games &#8212; including re-watching them when possible &#8212; and posting information about a game each Throw2015-07-23 09:40:267/16: Bear Goggles On- Walter Payton Leads 1985 Chicago Bears Past Packers, 16-10http://beargoggleson.com/?p=62453
Greetings, Bears fans. With this being the 30th anniversary of the Super Bowl-winning Chicago Bears of 1985, here at Bear Goggles On we&#8217;ll be revisiting the regular season and playoff games &#8212; including re-watching them when possible &#8212; and posting information about a game each Throw2015-07-16 11:41:157/14: FootballPerspective.com- Which Quarterbacks Have Passed The Most: Career Ratingshttp://www.footballperspective.com/which-quarterbacks-have-passed-the-most-career-ratings/
On Sunday, I calculated the average number of pass attempts (including sacks) per game for each season since 1950, and then looked at which were the highest era-adjusted passing games in football history. On Monday, I looked at the single seasons that were the most and least pass-happy, from the per2015-07-14 09:37:577/13: FootballPerspective.com- Which Quarterbacks Have Passed The Most: Single Seasonshttp://www.footballperspective.com/which-quarterbacks-have-passed-the-most-single-seasons/
Yesterday, we looked at which teams had the most pass attempts (including sacks) in individual games relative to league average. Today, we will analyze things on the season level. Let&#8217;s use Tobin Rote as an example. As Brad Oremland noted, Rote was stuck playing for terrible Packers teams in t2015-07-13 00:37:557/12: FootballPerspective.com- Which Quarterbacks Have Passed The Most: Individual Gameshttp://www.footballperspective.com/which-quarterbacks-have-passed-the-most-individual-games/
Let&#8217;s take a look at the league average dropbacks (pass attempts + sacks) per game for each year from 1950 to 2014. Obviously there has been a significant amount of variation, with the passing game being on life support in 1956 and peaking in recent times. As a result, we must adjust for era w2015-07-12 00:38:587/9: Bear Goggles On- 1985 Chicago Bears Blast Minnesota Vikings, 27-9http://beargoggleson.com/?p=62017
Greetings, Bears fans. With this being the 30th anniversary of the Super Bowl-winning Chicago Bears of 1985, here at Bear Goggles On we&#8217;ll be revisiting the regular season and playoff games &#8212; including re-watching them when possible &#8212; and posting information about a game each Throw2015-07-09 12:40:257/7: FootballPerspective.com- Guest Post: Brad Oremland’s Best QBs in History: 1-5http://www.footballperspective.com/guest-post-brad-oremlands-best-qbs-in-history-1-5/
Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Bradâs latest work on t2015-07-07 00:35:497/6: Bear Goggles On- Chicago Bears Quarterbacks: Top 10 All-Timehttp://beargoggleson.com/?p=61728
A rich one their QB history is not. In contrast to the storied and revered football lineage of this NFL-founding franchise, the position of quarterback for the Chicago Bears hasfrequently been occupied by names easily forgotten. Since 1919 and the days of the Decatur Staleys until now, the teamhas l2015-07-06 08:37:496/26: Bear Goggles On- Latest Chicago Bears News: Most Overrated Bear and Much Morehttp://beargoggleson.com/?p=61408
TGIFBears&#039; fans&#33; We&#039;ve hit the last Friday in June and keep trudging through the most boring part of the sports calendar, but there are still plenty of Chicago Bears stories to follow. Check out our latest installment of Bear Dawn for FridayJune 26th, your one stop shop for all the lat2015-06-26 07:40:326/25: Bear Goggles On- #TBT: 1985 Chicago Bears crush Montana and the 49ers, 26-10http://beargoggleson.com/?p=61388
Greetings, Bears fans. With this being the 30th anniversary of the Super Bowl-winning Chicago Bears of 1985, here at Bear Goggles On we&#8217;ll be revisiting the regular season and playoff games &#8212; including re-watching them when possible &#8212; and posting information about a game each Throw2015-06-25 12:40:216/22: EndZone Score- Father and son tandems that made a lasting impact on the NFLhttp://www.endzonescore.com/father-and-son-tandems-that-made-a-lasting-impact-on-the-nfl/18762
No Father&#8217;s Day would be complete without looking back over the NFL archives and discussing the numerous father and son tandems that have made lasting impacts on the game of football. Let&#8217;s take a look at some of the better duos or in some case trios of dads and their sons that have had 2015-06-22 00:40:336/17: FootballPerspective.com- Guest Post: Doug Flutie Was A Great Quarterbackhttp://www.footballperspective.com/guest-post-doug-flutie-was-a-great-quarterback/
Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. He&#8217;s contributed today&#8217;s guest post, and we thank him for that. This one is certainly thought-provoking. I recently ranked Doug Flutie 31st among the greatest quarte2015-06-17 00:38:416/11: Bear Goggles On- #TBT: 1985 Chicago Bears Down Redskins, 45-10http://beargoggleson.com/?p=60866
Greetings, Bears fans. With this being the 30th anniversary of the Super Bowl-winning Chicago Bears of 1985, here at Bear Goggles On we&#8217;ll be revisiting the regular season and playoff games &#8212; including re-watching them when possible &#8212; and posting information about a game each Throw2015-06-11 12:40:095/26: FootballPerspective.com- Guest Post: Brad Oremland’s Best QBs in History: 49-101http://www.footballperspective.com/guest-post-brad-oremlands-best-qbs-in-history-49-101/
Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad&#8217;s latest work 2015-05-26 00:35:475/21: Bear Goggles On- Throwback Thursday: Chicago Bears top Bucs 38-28http://beargoggleson.com/2015/05/21/throwback-thursday-chicago-bears-top-bucs-38-28/
Greetings, Bears fans. With this year being the 30th anniversary of the Super Bowl-winning Chicago Bears of 1985, here at Bear Goggles On we&#8217;ll be revisiting the regular season and playoff games &#8212; including re-watching them when possible &#8212; and posting about a game each Throwback Th2015-05-21 14:38:214/30: FootballPerspective.com- Mariota/Winston or the Field? Which Produces The Top QB From The 2015 Draft?http://www.footballperspective.com/mariotawinston-or-the-field-which-produces-the-top-qb-from-the-2015-draft/
Yesterday, I was a guest on the Wharton Moneyball show on SiriusXM Channel 111 (@BizRadio111), discussing the NFL draft. As always, it was a lot of fun, but the hosts threw me a curveball in the final seconds: Which will produce the best quarterback from the 2015 Draft &#8212; the Jameis Winston/Mar2015-04-30 00:35:514/17: FootballPerspective.com- Guest Post: Brad Oremland, Quarterback Rankings, and Requesting Feedbackhttp://www.footballperspective.com/guest-post-brad-oremland-quarterback-rankings-and-requesting-feedback/
Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. Today, he&#8217;s contributed this guest 2015-04-17 00:35:483/29: FootballPerspective.com- Average Points Differential Per Game in Games Started By Each Quarterbackhttp://www.footballperspective.com/average-points-differential-per-game-in-games-started-by-each-quarterback/
I previously looked at points per game by each quarterback in his starts and points per game allowed by each quarterback in his starts. Please check there for the fine print. Today, we put it all together, for a list of points differential per game in games started by each quarterback. Again, I&#8212015-03-29 00:35:533/28: FootballPerspective.com- Average Points per Game Allowed in Games Started By Each Quarterbackhttp://www.footballperspective.com/average-points-per-game-allowed-in-games-started-by-each-quarterback/
Please see yesterday&#8217;s post for the fine print. The table below shows the average points per game allowed in games started by each quarterback, minimum 15 games (but the ranks only count for quarterbacks with 50 or more starts). Again, I will leave the commentary to you guys.2015-03-28 00:35:593/27: FootballPerspective.com- Average Points per Game Scored in Games Started By Each Quarterbackhttp://www.footballperspective.com/average-points-per-game-scored-in-games-started-by-each-quarterback/
Aaron Rodgers has started 114 games (including playoffs) in his career. In those games, the Packers have averaged 28.5 points per game (including non-offensive scores), the highest average for any quarterback in his team&#8217;s starts in NFL history. The table below shows the PPG average in each qu2015-03-27 00:38:483/26: FootballPerspective.com- Quarterback Records When Their Team Scores 21+ Pointshttp://www.footballperspective.com/quarterback-records-when-their-team-scores-21-points/
On Tuesday, I looked at quarterback records when their team allows 21 or more points.Â Today, a look at records when scoring 21+ points.Â I&#8217;m short on time, so today&#8217;s post will just be a quick data dump.Â I leave the comments up to you! Here&#8217;s how to read the table below. Tom B2015-03-26 00:36:063/24: NFL Spin Zone- Chicago Bears: From Da to Duh?http://nflspinzone.com/2015/03/24/chicago-bears-from-da-to-duh/
They remain one of the most revered and storied franchises in the 95-year history of the National Football League. And it was that long ago that the Chicago Bears were not only within one game of a third Super Bowl appearance but possibly on course for a 10th NFL title. In 2010, then-head coach L...2015-03-24 17:38:323/24: FootballPerspective.com- Quarterback Records When Their Team Allows 21+ Pointshttp://www.footballperspective.com/quarterback-records-when-their-team-allows-21-points/
Back in November, Cian Fahey tweeted me a simple question: &#8220;What is Alex Smith&#8217;s record in games where his D gives up 21 or more points?&#8221; I made a note to run the numbers in the off-season, and guess what? It&#8217;s the off-season. Smith now holds a career record of 7-38-1 (includ2015-03-24 00:35:513/23: FootballPerspective.com- Career RANY/A Rankingshttp://www.footballperspective.com/career-ranya-rankings/
Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt is my preferred basic measurement of quarterback play. ANY/A is simply yards per attempt, but includes sacks and sack yardage lost, and provides a 20-yard bonus for touchdowns and a 45-yard penalty for interceptions. RANY/A, or Relative ANY/A, measures a quarterback&#82015-03-23 00:35:543/20: NFL Spin Zone- NFC North: Ranking the 15 biggest icons in division historyhttp://nflspinzone.com/2015/03/20/nfc-north-ranking-15-biggest-icons-division-history/
The NFC North has had its share of historic icons andI have ranked the15 biggest of them all. An icon, in NFL standards, is a player or coach that transcended the game; a person that became a part of NFL folk-lore and po**** culture. The names of NFL icons are known by non-football fans and usuall.2015-03-20 12:38:133/17: NFL Spin Zone- NFL: Chris Borland Retirement a Sign of Things to Comehttp://nflspinzone.com/2015/03/17/nfl-chris-borland-retiring-in-prime-the-sign-of-things-to-come/
&#34;Player safety? Roger Goodell needs to stop changing the game that we love.Heshouldn&#039;t sacrifice a defender&#039;s ability to make a play.&#34; &#34;Why don&#039;t we just remove contact altogether? This is stupid. It&#039;s football. The players know whatthey&#039;resigning up for....2015-03-17 07:38:052/24: Da Windy City- Dan Hampton Praises Jay Cutler, Bashes Jim McMahonhttp://dawindycity.com/2015/02/24/dan-hampton-praises-jay-cutler-bashes-jim-mcmahon/
In an interview conducted in January, Hall of Fame Chicago Bear Dan Hampton took time out to praise the play of current Bears quarterback Jay Cutler. He also had some critical words for former Bears quarterback Jim McMahon. McMahon, of course, shot back. Well, things have certainly been strange an..2015-02-24 08:38:042/20: FootballPerspective.com- Trivia: Teams where the Rushing Leader > Passing Leaderhttp://www.footballperspective.com/trivia-teams-where-the-rushing-leader-passing-leader/
Since 1950, there have been only 24 seasons where a team&#8217;s rushing leader rushed for more yards than its passing leader gained through the air. The last team to accomplish this feat was the 2009 Titans, when Chris Johnson rushed for 2,006 yards. That year, the Titans split the duties at quarte2015-02-20 23:36:521/12: FootballPerspective.com- Guest Post: Are Interceptions Overrated?http://www.footballperspective.com/guest-post-are-interceptions-overrated/
Guest contributor Adam Steele is back again. You can read all of Adam&#8217;s articles here. Are Interceptions Overrated? Thereâs nothing worse than throwing an interception. Everyone seems to agree on this, from fans to media to advanced stats guys. But is it really true? In this quick study, I l2015-01-12 17:36:111/6: FootballPerspective.com- Odell Beckham, and Winning Awards Despite Missing Gameshttp://www.footballperspective.com/odell-beckham-and-winning-awards-despite-missing-games/
Odell Beckham was the best rookie in the NFL this year despite missing a quarter of the season. Over the last eleven weeks of 2014, he led the NFL in receiving yards, and finished second in receptions and receiving touchdowns. He will very soon be named the Offensive Rookie of the Year, which made m2015-01-06 11:35:5511/8: Lombardi Ave- Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears: 1985 and a bunch of horse manurehttp://lombardiave.com/2014/11/08/green-bay-packers-chicago-bears-rivalry-history/
As we take a trip down memory lane of the rivalry between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers today, we describe a game from 1985might not be the game or the outcome many fans would have in mind ... But to me, this Oct. 21, 1985, game played at Lambeau Fieldjust about perfectly sums up th...2014-11-08 11:42:4110/16: The Baltimore Wire- Baltimore Sports: Remember to Enjoy the Great Seasonshttp://thebaltimorewire.com/2014/10/16/baltimore-sports-remember-enjoy-great-seasons/
It was very easy to feel a bit gloomy after the quick departure of the Orioles from the American League Championship Series. And Baltimore sports fans felt the same way at the end of a pretty average 2013-2014 NFL season, as the Baltimore Ravens failed to make the playoffs. But local fans need to...2014-10-16 15:37:3810/6: FootballPerspective.com- 500 touchdown passeshttp://www.footballperspective.com/500-touchdown-passes/
Yesterday, Peyton Manning threw four touchdown passes against Arizona. In the process, he joined Brett Favre as the only players in NFL history to throw 500 career touchdown passes. In previewing that game, Mike Tanier noted that it would require us to travel back to 1987 to collect 500 Cardinals to2014-10-06 00:35:539/19: Section 215- Semi-coherent Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Redskins previewhttp://section215.com/2014/09/19/semi-coherent-philadelphia-eagles-vs-washington-redskins-preview/
After coming away with comeback victories in each of their first two games, the Philadelphia Eagles are 2-0. Their next opponent is the Washington Redskins which means that, based upon preseason expectations, 3-0 is a realistic possibility. Then again, the Redskins looked very good last week. Pla...2014-09-19 10:38:209/3: NFL's Greatest- Estimated Career QBRhttp://nflsgreatest.co.nf/2014/09/estimated-career-qbr/
In my last post, I introduced a pretty simple method for accurately estimating ESPN&#8217;s Total QBR for historical seasons. We looked at the top and bottom 100 seasons since the merger. Today, we&#8217;ll use the same methodology to find career numbers for every quarterback&#8217;s post-merger car2014-09-03 11:39:378/31: FootballPerspective.com- For First Time Ever, 25% of Week 1 Starting QBs Have A Ringhttp://www.footballperspective.com/for-first-time-ever-25-of-week-1-starting-qbs-have-a-ring/
A full one-quarter of all NFL teams have opening day starters who have won a Super Bowl: New England (Tom Brady), Pittsburgh (Ben Roethlisberger), Baltimore (Joe Flacco), Denver (Peyton Manning), New York Giants (Eli Manning), Green Bay (Aaron Rodgers), New Orleans (Drew Brees) and Seattle (Russell 2014-08-31 17:35:488/27: Lombardi Ave- 8 days to Packers football: Ryan Longwellhttp://lombardiave.com/2014/08/27/8-days-packers-football/
With 8 days left until the start of theNFLseason, our countdown to the big day continues. Thursday, Sept. 4, is the day whentheGreen Bay Packerstravel to Seattle to take on the Super Bowl ChampionSeahawks. Over the course of the next 8 days we focus on the number that represents the days remainin...2014-08-27 10:40:328/26: Lombardi Ave- Nine days to Packers football: Jim McMahonhttp://lombardiave.com/2014/08/26/nine-days-packers-football-jim-mcmahon/
With 9 days left until the start of theNFLseason, our countdown to the big day continues. Thursday, Sept. 4, is the day whentheGreen Bay Packerstravel to Seattle to take on the Super Bowl ChampionSeahawks. Over the course of the next 9 days we focus on the number that represents the days remainin...2014-08-26 12:40:148/19: FootballSavages.com- I wrote a Johnny Manziel column that isn&#8217;t for for clicks, so don&#8217;t read it&#8230;http://www.footballsavages.com/wrote-johnny-manziel-column-isnt-clicks-dont-read/
I see you there, dear reader, drowning in an ocean of Johnny Manziel coverage and over-coverage; analysis, sub-analysis and punditry. I see you treading water. I see you struggling to keep your head above water. Â Let me throw you a life preserver&#8230;made of lead.
Johnny Manziel is a 21 year-old 2014-08-19 13:40:147/26: FootballPerspective.com- Steve Grogan is the Yards Per Completion Kinghttp://www.footballperspective.com/steve-grogan-is-the-yards-per-completion-king/
In 2013, the average completion went for 11.63 yards. That&#8217;s a pretty low number historically, although it&#8217;s actually a bit higher than some of the recent NFL seasons. Take a look at how Yards per Completion has generally been declining throughout NFL history: If you want to discuss the 2014-07-26 00:35:567/24: FootballPerspective.com- Quarterback Wins: Outlier Seasonshttp://www.footballperspective.com/quarterback-wins-outlier-seasons/
The 1998 season was one of my favorite years in NFL history. It was also a pretty weird one. We had Terrell Davis rushing for 2,000 yards, rookies Randy Moss and Fred Taylor making defenses look silly, and a quartet of old quarterbacks stun the football world. Doug Flutie came out of nowhere Canada 2014-07-24 00:35:447/18: NFL's Greatest- A Well Balanced Diethttp://nflsgreatest.co.nf/2014/07/a-well-balanced-diet/
After the Seahawks manhandled the Broncos in the Super Bowl, we looked at the top fifty scoring offenses and defenses in NFL history to determine if oppressive defenses really win championships more often than do monster offenses. The results were pretty much even, with offensive teams winning more 2014-07-18 13:39:397/18: FootballPerspective.com- The Best Adjusted Rushing Teams of All Timehttp://www.footballperspective.com/the-best-adjusted-rushing-teams-of-all-time/
A couple of weeks ago, I posted a list of the best rushing teams in 2013 using Adjusted Yards per Carry. That metric, you may recall, is calculated as follows: Rushing Yards + 20*RushingTDs + 9*RushingFirstDowns We can use the same formula to grade every team across history. To account for era and q2014-07-18 00:35:537/14: FootballPerspective.com- The Top Receivers And The Men Who Threw It To Them IIhttp://www.footballperspective.com/the-top-receivers-and-the-men-who-threw-it-to-them-ii/
One of my first posts at Football Perspective was one of my favorites: the top receivers and the men who threw it to them. I like referencing that post from time to time, so I decided to update the numbers through the 2013 season. I looked at all regular season games since 19601, and calculated [&#82014-07-14 00:35:477/5: FootballPerspective.com- Trivia: Pro Bowlers on NFL Champions, Part IIhttp://www.footballperspective.com/trivia-pro-bowlers-on-nfl-champions-part-ii/
Last weekend, we looked at the team with the most Pro Bowlers to win a championship. Today, we look at the reverse: the team with the fewest Pro Bowlers to win it all. As a technical matter, the Pro Bowl hasn&#8217;t always been around, so some pre-1950 teams and the 1960 Oilers (there was no [&#8232014-07-05 00:36:047/3: FootballPerspective.com- Best AV-Weighted Winning Percentages of Offensive Playershttp://www.footballperspective.com/best-av-weighted-winning-percentages-of-offensive-players/
Yesterday, I looked at the weighted career winning percentages for running backs, with the weight being based on each player&#8217;s yards from scrimmage in each season of his career. Today, I want to do the same thing but for all offensive players, using PFR&#8217;s Approximate Value ratings. By th2014-07-03 00:35:446/20: Old North Banter- NC Ready To Become Quarterback Factory?http://oldnorthbanter.com/2014/06/20/nc-ready-become-quarterback-factory/
T.J. Yates was traded by the Houston Texans to the Atlanta Falcons two days ago. Ordinarily the trade of a third-string quarterback would not need to elicit much comment, but Yates is unique. On his shoulders rests the entirety of the UNC Tar Heel quarterback legacy in the NFL. Others have been on l2014-06-20 17:37:046/18: Factory of Sadness- What Was Wrong with Brady Quinn's Advice for Johnny Manziel?http://factoryofsadness.co/2014/06/18/wrong-brady-quinns-advice-johnny-manziel/
Brady Quinn and Johnny Manziel got similar starts to their NFL careers. Both were highly-touted college quarterbacks who slipped in the draft, only to be snagged with the 22nd pick by the Cleveland Browns. Quinn was chewed up by Cleveland&#039;s quarterback graveyard and has been relegated to a b...2014-06-18 10:37:246/13: Lombardi Ave- Brett Favre: Winning, titles, ringshttp://lombardiave.com/2014/06/13/brett-favre-green-bay-packers-hall-of-fame-2/
Turn back the pages to the year 1992, when Brett Favre ruled Packers Nation. He started out good enough, then as time moved on he showed his moves. Things looked better. Within a year, they all loved him. He was leading them back into the seldom seen NFL playoffs, with the likes of John Madden in...2014-06-13 18:37:566/13: FootballPerspective.com- The Greatest QB of All-Time V, Part III: Adjusted Dropbackshttp://www.footballperspective.com/the-greatest-qb-of-all-time-v-part-iii-adjusted-dropbacks/
The comments to Parts I and II of this series have been great, so let me start with a thank you. One of the more difficult parts of this process is comparing players across eras not just for efficiency, but for gross volume. In 2013, teams averaged 38.0 pass attempts (including sacks) per game, comp2014-06-13 00:35:526/10: FootballPerspective.com- The Greatest QB of All-Time V, Part II: Career Rankingshttp://www.footballperspective.com/the-greatest-qb-of-all-time-v-part-ii-career-rankings/
Yesterday, I explained the methodology behind the formula involved in ranking every quarterback season since 1960. Today, Iâm going to present the career results. Converting season value to career value isnât as simple as it might seem. Generally, we donât want a player who was very good for 12014-06-10 00:35:555/23: FootballPerspective.com- Are First Round Quarterbacks Starting Earlier?http://www.footballperspective.com/are-first-round-quarterbacks-starting-earlier/
Blake Bortles, Johnny Manziel, and Teddy Bridgewater were selected in the first round of the 2014 Draft. The Jaguars seem intent on giving Bortles a redshirt year, but it seems likely that the Browns and Vikings will hand their rookie quarterbacks the reins at some point early this fall. From the fi2014-05-23 00:36:055/16: FootballPerspective.com- Who is the Best Backup Quarterback Ever?http://www.footballperspective.com/who-is-the-best-backup-quarterback-ever/
Determining the best backup quarterback ever is really complicated. Steve Young and Aaron Rodgers backed up Joe Montana and Brett Favre, respectively, but neither Young nor Rodgers morally feel like they belong in the discussion of best backup quarterbacks. There are a couple of ways to measure how 2014-05-16 00:36:174/30: FootballPerspective.com- Remembering Earl Morrallhttp://www.footballperspective.com/remembering-earl-morrall/
Five days ago, Earl Morrall passed away at the age of 79. His story is well-known to many, but it&#8217;s one worth recounting for the uninitiated. Born in Muskegon, Michigan, Morrall was a star quarterback and baseball player at Michigan State.Â He made it to the College World Series in 1954 as an2014-04-30 00:36:023/24: FootballPerspective.com- Expected Quarterbacks Wins Based On Passing Efficiencyhttp://www.footballperspective.com/expected-quarterbacks-wins-based-on-passing-efficiency/
On Friday, the Jets released Mark Sanchez. I don&#8217;t have much in the way of a post mortem, but it felt odd not to have at least some post on the subject. And despite watching every Sanchez start for four years, it still takes me by surprise when I see that his career record is [&#8230;]2014-03-24 00:36:213/20: Bear Goggles On- If History Repeats Itself, Peppers Will Flop in Green Bayhttp://beargoggleson.com/2014/03/20/peppers-will-flop-in-green-bay/
We're a fickle bunch, Bears fans. Â Admit it, ever since the offseason started, you've been campaigning for the Bears to dump the washed up, over-...2014-03-20 08:37:322/16: FootballPerspective.com- The Contrasting Statistical Profiles of Geno Smith and Mike Glennonhttp://www.footballperspective.com/the-contrasting-statistical-profiles-of-geno-smith-and-mike-glennon/
We were very spoiled last year. Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, and Russell Wilson had outstanding rookie seasons in 2012, and perhaps that set expectations a bit high for the 2013 class. No one will confuse those three with EJ Manuel, Geno Smith, and Mike Glennon, all of whom struggled for most of2014-02-16 23:35:541/27: FootballPerspective.com- The Best Playoff Quarterbacks In The Super Bowl Erahttp://www.footballperspective.com/the-best-playoff-quarterbacks-in-the-super-bowl-era/
On Friday, I explained the idea behind Playoff Leverage. That post is required reading before diving in today, but the summary is that the Super Bowl counts for more than the conference championship games, which count for more than the division round games, which count for more than the wild card ga2014-01-27 23:36:131/24: FootballPerspective.com- SB XLVIII Is The Best Offense/Defense Super Bowl Everhttp://www.footballperspective.com/sb-xlviii-is-the-best-offensedefense-super-bowl-ever/
This year, the Broncos averaged 37.9 points per game, 14.5 points more than league average. Seattle, meanwhile, allowed just 14.4 points per game, 9.0 points better than league average. That means this is a true clash of the titans in one sense: when the Broncos offense is on the field against the S2014-01-24 11:36:341/23: FootballPerspective.com- Super Bowl Leverage And the Best Postseason Passers Since 1966http://www.footballperspective.com/super-bowl-leverage-and-the-best-postseason-passers-since-1966/
Even for Football Perspective, this is a very math-heavy post. I&#8217;ve explained all the dirty work and fine details behind this system, but if you want to skip to the results section, I&#8217;ll understand. Heck, it might even make more sense to start there and then work your way back to the top2014-01-23 23:36:311/17: FootballPerspective.com- Championship Game Preview: New England at Denverhttp://www.footballperspective.com/championship-game-preview-new-england-at-denver/
Someone needs to say it. I know, I know, it&#8217;s Manning/Brady XV. But someone needs to remind people that Peyton Manning threw 30 more touchdown passes than Tom Brady in 2013. He threw for over 1,000 more yards. He threw one less interception. He was sacked 22 fewer times. And did I mention that2014-01-17 23:36:221/3: FootballPerspective.com- Wildcard Preview: New Orleans at Philadelphiahttp://www.footballperspective.com/wildcard-preview-new-orleans-at-philadelphia/
Kansas City/Indianapolis Preview New Orleans Saints (11-5) (+2.5) at Philadelphia Eagles (10-6), Saturday 8:10 PM ET We&#8217;re fully immune to the Saints offense at this point. Drew Brees just threw for for 5,162 yards and 39 touchdowns and it didn&#8217;t even register on most radars. One reason 2014-01-03 23:36:3412/19: FootballPerspective.com- Eli Manning in elite INT territoryhttp://www.footballperspective.com/eli-manning-in-elite-int-territory/
After a five-interception performance against a dominant Seattle pass defense, Eli Manning now has 25 interceptions this season. The odds are extremely low, but it&#8217;s not impossible that he throws ten more interceptions and ties the modern record set by Vinny Testaverde in 1988. That year, a 252013-12-19 23:38:3912/13: FootballPerspective.com- Records With and Without A Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers Editionhttp://www.footballperspective.com/records-with-and-without-a-quarterback-aaron-rodgers-edition/
Green Bay started the season 5-2 and seemed on its way to another playoff berth. But in the first quarter of the team&#8217;s eighth game, Aaron Rodgers broke his collarbone. The Packers lost that game (technically on Rodgers&#8217; ledger as the starter), and have struggled ever since. In his stead2013-12-13 23:36:0712/2: FootballPerspective.com- Where does Brees-Wilson rank among shortest QB matchups?http://www.footballperspective.com/where-does-brees-wilson-rank-among-shortest-qb-matchups/
New Orlean&#8217;s Drew Brees is officially listed as six feet tall. Seattle&#8217;s Russell Wilson is officially listed as 5&#8217;11. That means the average height of the starting quarterbacks in tonight&#8217;s game is 71.5 inches, tied for the shortest average in any game since 1964. In fact, it2013-12-02 17:36:1710/20: FootballPerspective.com- Multiple Pick Sixes by a Defensive Player against the Same Quarterbackhttp://www.footballperspective.com/multiple-pick-sixes-by-a-defensive-player-against-the-same-quarterback/
On Tuesday, I look at the quarterbacks who have thrown the most pick sixes. As a follow-up, I wondered: what&#8217;s the record for pick sixes by a defensive player against a quarterback? Rod Woodson is the career leader in interception return scores with twelve, but only two of those came against t2013-10-20 00:36:0310/15: FootballPerspective.com- Most Pick Sixes Thrown in NFL Historyhttp://www.footballperspective.com/most-pick-sixes-thrown-in-nfl-history/
Three years ago to the day, I crunched the numbers to see which quarterbacks had thrown the most pick sixes thrown in NFL history. With three more years of data, a robust play-by-play database, and, ya know, Matt Schaub, I figured it was time for an update. In case you haven&#8217;t noticed, Schaub 2013-10-15 00:36:1210/7: FootballPerspective.com- Where Does Manning/Romo Rank Among Great QB Games?http://www.footballperspective.com/where-does-manningromo-rank-among-great-qb-games/
Peyton Manning and Tony Romo staged a classic yesterday afternoon in Dalllas. The Broncos won 51-48, and the two quarterbacks put up ridiculous stat lines. Manning went 33 of 42 for 414 yards, and threw four touchdowns and just one interception. He wasn&#8217;t sacked, giving him an impressive 10.692013-10-07 12:36:459/29: FootballPerspective.com- Sam Bradford, and Ranking Quarterbacks by Yards per Completionhttp://www.footballperspective.com/sam-bradford-and-ranking-quarterbacks-by-yards-per-completion/
As a rookie, Sam Bradford ranked last in the league in yards per completion. That year, he averaged 9.92 YPC, 1.61 yards per completion lower than the league average of 11.53. In his second and third years &#8212; 2011 and 2012 &#8212; Bradford was a little better in that metric, but he still finish2013-09-29 00:36:269/20: BearsHistory.com Blog- 2013 Chicago Bears Friday 5: at Steelershttp://www.chicagobearsweblog.com/blog/index.php/chicago-bears-opinions/2013-chicago-bears-friday-5-at-steelers/
The Pittsburgh Steelers and Chicago Bears have a long history, since the Steelers have been around since 1933. But since the Bears-Steelers game in 1980 was the first I watched, I&#8217;ll start there. That year the Bears were coming off a playoff appearance when they entered Three Rivers Stadium to2013-09-20 11:36:148/27: FootballPerspective.com- Is Russell Wilson the next Ben Roethlisberger?http://www.footballperspective.com/is-russell-wilson-the-next-ben-roethlisberger/
On the surface, Russell Wilson and Ben Roethlisberger have almost nothing in common. Wilson was an undersized, overlooked, third-round pick, while Roethlisberger was a first round pick who is one of the most physically imposing quarterbacks in NFL history. But both players had pretty similar rookie 2013-08-27 00:36:138/24: FootballPerspective.com- Tony Gonzalez is good at not fumblinghttp://www.footballperspective.com/tony-gonzalez-is-good-at-not-fumbling/
Do you remember Robert Thomas? He was selected by the Rams with the 31st overall pick in the 2002 draft. He started 30 games at linebacker for the team in three years, grabbed a cup of coffee in Green Bay, and then had three forgettable years with the Raiders during the nadir of the Al [&#8230;]2013-08-24 00:36:168/8: FootballPerspective.com- Is Sam Bradford poised to to have a breakout season?http://www.footballperspective.com/is-sam-bradford-poised-to-to-have-a-breakout-season/
Since Sam Bradford was drafted by the Rams in 2010, the only consistent force in St. Louis has been change. Tackle Rodger Saffold, drafted in the second round of the same draft, is the only other player on the 2010 Rams offense who is still on the team. Bradford has already played under three offens2013-08-08 00:36:067/28: FootballPerspective.com- Matt Ryan has most wins through five years, ranks 7th in Winning Percentagehttp://www.footballperspective.com/matt-ryan-has-most-wins-through-five-years-ranks-7th-in-winning-percentage/
An interesting tweet from Adam Schefter today: Matt Ryan has 56 regular season wins in his first five seasons, the most in NFL history. Ryan has started 78 games, one of only three quarterbacks (Peyton Manning, Joe Flacco) to start at least 75 games in their first five seasons. I thought it would be2013-07-28 16:36:237/27: FootballPerspective.com- Receivers with 1,000 yards with multiple quarterbackshttp://www.footballperspective.com/receivers-with-1000-yards-with-multiple-quarterbacks/
While reading the always excellent Football Outsiders Almanac, I was reminded that Brandon Marshall has had 1,000-yard seasons playing with Jay Cutler, Kyle Orton, Chad Henne, and Matt Moore (and, of course, Cutler again in Chicago). That&#8217;s pretty impressive for a player in his twenties, altho2013-07-27 00:36:157/26: FootballPerspective.com- Having the worst game of your career in the playoffshttp://www.footballperspective.com/having-the-worst-game-of-your-career-in-the-playoffs/
Scott Kacsmar recently wrote about how Daunte Culpepper had the worst performance of his career in his biggest game. In his only NFC Championship Game appearance, Culpepper went 13-of-28 for 78 yards with three interceptions and four sacks. Which made me wonder: how many other great quarterbacks hav2013-07-26 00:36:317/23: Lombardi Ave- The best of &#8216;Because You Can&#8217;t wait for the Green Bay Packers&#8217;http://lombardiave.com/2013/07/23/the-best-of-because-you-cant-wait-for-the-green-bay-packers/
During the past month or so we were so tired of waiting around for the start of training camp that we decided to start a series here at Lombardiave, &#8220;Because You Can&#8217;t Wait for the Green Bay Packers.&#8221; Using the topic to have a little fun as we twiddled our thumbs and dreamed of Lom2013-07-23 18:35:357/18: FootballPerspective.com- Matt Stafford has a 17-28 record, which has little predictive valuehttp://www.footballperspective.com/matt-stafford-has-a-17-28-record-which-has-little-predictive-value/
Longtime readers of this blog know that I&#8217;m not a big fan of Matt Stafford. Last year, when most people were praising his breakout 2011 season, I questioned whether he was as good as his backers claimed. And, of course, his 2012 performance only raised more questions. Stafford has a 17-28 care2013-07-18 00:36:057/5: Lombardi Ave- Because you can&#8217;t wait for the Green Bay Packers: Bears vs. Packers rivalryhttp://lombardiave.com/2013/07/05/green-bay-packers-chicago-bears-rivalry/
&#160; &#160; July 25 is the date circled on all of us Green Bay Packers fans&#8217; calendars &#8230; that&#8217;s the day the rookies and veterans report to training camp and start preparing for the 2013 regular season &#8211; a season that will once again feature the NFL&#8217;s longest continuin2013-07-05 21:35:225/1: FootballPerspective.com- Where Does Tim Tebow Rank in the Pantheon of Great Quarterbackshttp://www.footballperspective.com/where-does-tim-tebow-rank-in-the-pantheon-of-great-quarterbacks/
With the Jets releasing Tim Tebow, it appears that his NFL career may be over. If that&#8217;s the case, it&#8217;s time to reflect on a great career that never ceased to captivate the nation. While there are many ways to grade a quarterback, probably the best and simplest measure would be &#8220;pr2013-05-01 00:35:554/16: FootballPerspective.com- Do NFL teams properly value age when drafting quarterbacks?http://www.footballperspective.com/do-nfl-teams-properly-value-age-when-drafting-quarterbacks/
For the most part, age is rarely discussed when talking about college quarterbacks. Outside of the Brandon Weedens and Chris Weinkes of the world, you generally don&#8217;t hear much from the draft community about the age of a prospect. But we do know that age matters, and that all other things bein2013-04-16 00:35:524/13: FootballPerspective.com- Fourth Quarter/Overtime Game-Winning Passing Touchdownshttp://www.footballperspective.com/fourth-quarterovertime-game-winning-passing-touchdowns/
Yesterday, I looked at the career leaders in 4th quarter (and overtime) game-winning touchdowns from scrimmage. Today I will do the same thing for passing touchdowns. As a reminder: tracking things like game-winning touchdowns is only interesting in a trivial sort way. I looked at all games, regular2013-04-13 00:35:473/9: FootballPerspective.com- Is Ray Lewis the Best Player to Retire after winning the Super Bowl?http://www.footballperspective.com/is-ray-lewis-the-best-player-to-retire-after-winning-the-super-bowl/
Today&#8217;s title gives a pretty good hint as to what today&#8217;s post is about. The table below shows the career Approximate Value for the top 50 players whose last game happened to be a Super Bowl victory. For reference, I&#8217;ve also includes things like number of games, Pro Bowls, 1st-team2013-03-09 23:35:483/3: Johngy's Beat- Celebrity Jersey Cards #132 Anna Kournikova & Jim McMahonhttp://www.johngysbeat.com/2013/03/celebrity-jersey-cards-132-anna.html
This is a regular series which attempts to combine my lifelong obsession with bubblegum cards with my semi-professional interest in celebrities. &nbsp;I am in Detroit to see my beloved Blackhawks play their rival Detroit Red Wings.As much as I would like to dump on the Red Wings, their success is un2013-03-03 19:35:402/11: BearsHistory.com Blog- Jim Harbaugh Chicago Bears Super Bowlhttp://www.chicagobearsweblog.com/blog/index.php/non-bears-related/jim-harbaugh-chicago-bears-super-bowl/
Such mixed emotions seeing Jim Harbaugh lead the San Francisco 49ers into Super Bowl 47. The 49ers, a team I hated from around 1983 to 2003. I actually remember watching &#8220;the catch&#8221; by Dwight Clark in the 1981 NFC Championship game. And amazingly, I was happy for the 49ers at the time, b2013-02-11 13:37:172/4: FootballPerspective.com- Are the Super Bowl-Winning QBs Getting Worse?http://www.footballperspective.com/are-the-super-bowl-winning-qbs-getting-worse/
Now that we live in a world where Joe Flacco and Eli Manning have quarterbacked 3 of the last 6 Super Bowl-winning teams, you might be tempted to think that winning a Super Bowl as a QB doesn&#8217;t mean what it used to. After all, the playoffs are getting more random &#8212; as Aaron Schatz [...]2013-02-04 11:35:581/27: FootballPerspective.com- How Super Bowl XLVII could impact the HOF chances of certain Ravenshttp://www.footballperspective.com/how-super-bowl-xlvii-could-impact-the-hof-chances-of-certain-ravens/
Being a Super Bowl champion is a pretty nice bullet to place on your Hall of Fame resume. For players like Jerry Rice or Peyton Manning (or say, Steve Largent or Dan Marino), the failure to acquire a ring wouldn&#8217;t have prevented their induction; on the other hand, would Lynn Swann or Paul Horn2013-01-27 01:35:501/22: FootballPerspective.com- The Manning Index (and The Brady Effect)http://www.footballperspective.com/the-manning-index-and-the-brady-effect/
Eight years ago &#8212; almost to the day &#8212; our old PFR colleague Doug Drinen wrote a Sabernomics post about &#8220;The Manning Index&#8221;, a metric designed to roughly gauge the clutchness (or chokeitude) of a given quarterback by looking at how he did relative to expectations (he revived t2013-01-22 23:35:431/21: FootballPerspective.com- Is Joe Flacco elite?http://www.footballperspective.com/is-joe-flacco-elite/
Just a guess, but I think that question will be asked quite a few times over the next couple of weeks. While the inanity of the discussion that usually follows that question is not something I wish to emulate, there&#8217;s no particular reason not to take an in-depth look at Flacco&#8217;s career. 2013-01-21 23:35:421/20: FootballPerspective.com- Super Bowl Historyhttp://www.footballperspective.com/super-bowl-history/
Now that the Super Bowl matchup is set, I thought I&#8217;d start the two-week period with some Super Bow history. The table below lists some information from each of the first 46 Super Bowls. With Joe Flacco and Colin Kaepernick facing off, that ends five-year streak where at least one of the two q2013-01-20 23:35:451/20: FootballPerspective.com- Trivia: Name the last team to start different QBs in consecutive conference championship gameshttp://www.footballperspective.com/trivia-name-the-last-team-to-start-different-qbs-in-consecutive-conference-championship-games/
In 2011, San Francisco made it to the NFC Championship Game with Alex Smith at quarterback; today, the 49ers will face the Falcons with Colin Kaepernick as their starter. This makes them the 9th team since 1970 to make the conference championship game in consecutive years but to start different quar2013-01-20 01:35:431/4: FootballPerspective.com- Checkdowns: Career passing stats in wins and losseshttp://www.footballperspective.com/checkdowns-career-passing-stats-in-wins-and-losses/
Last weekend, I looked at career rushing stats in wins and losses; today I will do the same but for quarterbacks. I looked at all games, including playoffs, from 1960 to 2011, for all quarterbacks with at least 5,000 career passing yards over that time period. The table below lists the following inf2013-01-04 23:35:4811/17: FootballPerspective.com- Checkdowns: QB Playoff Wins by Collegehttp://www.footballperspective.com/checkdowns-qb-playoff-wins-by-college/
Watching Matt Barkley today against UCLA, I tweeted that Mark Sanchez is responsible for 4 of the 9 playoff wins by USC quarterbacks. Since twitter is not a very good medium for showing large datasets, here&#8217;s a quick look at which colleges have produced the quarterbacks with the most playoff v2012-11-17 19:35:4110/18: FootballPerspective.com- When should the Jaguars give up on Blaine Gabbert?http://www.footballperspective.com/when-should-the-jaguars-give-up-on-blaine-gabbert/
One of the most difficult decisions an organization has to make is when to admit its mistakes. The Jaguars drafted Blaine Gabbert with the 10th overall pick in 2011, and his lack of success is even more striking when compared to the rest of the top dozen selections: Rd Pk Tm Player2012-10-18 00:36:2610/4: FootballPerspective.com- Quarter-by-Quarter Team Win Probability Addedhttp://www.footballperspective.com/quarter-by-quarter-team-win-probability-added/
A couple of weeks ago, I wrote about a method of calculating a team&#8217;s win probability at the end of any given quarter, given the pregame Vegas line and the score margin of the game after the quarter in question. Today, I want to break down those numbers in more detail by looking at which [...]2012-10-04 00:36:249/24: FootballPerspective.com- Interceptions per Incompletion (or POPIP)http://www.footballperspective.com/interceptions-per-incompletion-or-popip/
I leave the baseball analysis to my brothers at baseball-reference.com, but I know enough to be dangerous. There&#8217;s a stat called BABIP, which stands for Batting Average on Balls In Play. A &#8220;ball in play&#8221; is simply any at bat that doesn&#8217;t end in a home run or a strikeout. The 2012-09-24 00:36:308/31: FootballPerspective.com- The Greatest QB of All-Time IV, Part III: Playoff Resultshttp://www.footballperspective.com/the-greatest-qb-of-all-time-iv-part-iii-playoff-results/
On Wednesday, I explained the methodology for grading each quarterback in each season. Yesterday, I came up with an all-time career list of the best quarterbacks based on their regular season play. Today, a look at playoff performances. Using the same formula, we can grade each quarterback in each g2012-08-31 01:54:177/22: FootballPerspective.com- Trivia of the Day &#8211; Sunday, July 22ndhttp://www.footballperspective.com/trivia-of-the-day-sunday-july-22nd/
With a 3-4 record, there were a lot of things wrong with the 2008 Colts. Well, at least that&#8217;s what people thought. The Colts ran the table the rest of the season, and then started the 2009 season 14-0. That gave Peyton Manning the NFL regular season record with 23 consecutive wins. In fact, h2012-07-22 01:53:596/13: Steel Curtain Rising- Tomczak to be Pittsburgh (Power) Offensive Coordinatorhttp://steelcurtainrising.blogspot.com/2012/06/mike-tomczak-pittsburgh-power-offense.html
Former Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Mike Tomczak is returning to coach offense in Pittsburgh. No, heâs not joining Todd Haley's staff, but will rather join as the offensive coordinator of the Pittsburgh Power, the Steel Cityâs arena football team.Bill Cowher and Tom Donahoe brought Mike Tomcz2012-06-13 12:53:582/26: qbinskirts.com- The Aikman Prophecieshttp://qbinskirts.com/2012/02/the-aikman-prophecies/
Hall of Fame QB Troy Aikman went all Nostradamus on us in a recent interview by predicting the eventual fall from grace for the NFL. Aikmans&#8217; concerns are that the NFL is becoming an over saturated product and concussion concerns will affect parti**** in youth football and thus erode the f2012-02-26 12:58:522/22: Chicago Sports Memories- Dave Duerson, 1950 - 2011http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ChicagoSportsMemories/~3/zOnCVknHi-I/dave-duerson-1950-2011.html
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DAVE DUERSON
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; When rookie safety Dave Duerson, a third-round draft pick out of Notre Dame, was informed that he had made the Bears' roster at the close of training camp in 1983, he did not receive the good news from defensive coordinator Buddy 2011-02-22 09:52:18