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That was the Narrowing that was

The Week 2 Newspoll shows the lead back at 58-42 2PP, 51-38 on the primary (PDF graphic here). Shanahan has commentary, but even he is reduced to noting that pretty much all of the numbers have moved, if anything, away from Team Howard. Note that the sample size was larger than usual – 1,700 respondents.

So, let’s put to bed the idea of a magical “Narrowing” that would result simply from calling the election. The situation is now this: Team Howard must manage to convince a substantial proportion of the electorate that they deserve another term in office, or they are gone on 24th November.