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Re: Doc sez Krivsky FIRED!

Daugherty did not know Krivsky before he was hired. If you look at the same time line being discusses I believe Daugherty and McCoy are talking about exactly the same thing.

It's absolutely pathetic that people can't have an opinion from actually watching games and supplementing that with stats. If you voice an opinion that doesn't fit into a black/white box you will get completely misrepresented and basically called a tobacco chewing traditionalist...

Re: Doc sez Krivsky FIRED!

Originally Posted by flyer85

... or traded or allowed to walk.

Until talks have been initiated there is NO reason to believe Dunn will be back in 2009.

Castellini likes Dunn and wants him back. It was Krivsky's job to negotiate with Dunn and he had yet to do that which leads me to believe he was going to let Dunn walk at the end of the season. Dunn seems like a Jocketty type player, so I wouldn't be too surprised if one of the first things he does is contact Dunn and his agent about a LTC.

Re: Doc sez Krivsky FIRED!

A rather surprising move.
I have to agree with what some others have said here: Looking at the very strange timing of this move, I would have to say there is a lot more than meets the eye. Dumping your GM in late April seems a rare move.
I liked Wayne - I thought he made some excellent pickups (Phillips, Arroyo, Burton, Hamilton, Vosquez), but he also had a lot of head scratchers (Castro, Stanton, Sarloos). Then again, what GM has ever been perfect?

Re: Doc sez Krivsky FIRED!

Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine

It will be very interesting to see how Dunn's contract situation is handled under Jocketty. I had the feeling that this was Dunn's last season in Cincy if Krivsky remained the GM. Now that Jocketty is in charge, I could see him being re-signed to a three or four year deal.

My wild guess is that the opposite will happen and that Jocketty will consider trading Dunn sooner rather than later.

Krivsky was headed to the deadline with Dunn. For Dunn's July - September services this year, WK wasn't going to be offered much. So he probably would have played out the string and let Dunn walk as a free agent.

Most GMs re-structure major league teams to their own taste. O'Brien didn't at all. Krivsky did to a limited extent, but didn't rip the core apart.

I think Jocketty will. My guess is that he will change the offensive core of the team and that Dunn, a potential free agent, is the obvious place to start. My guess is that by mid-season, the outfield of this team will be Griffey in right, Bruce in center, new guy good righty hitter in left.

Re: Doc sez Krivsky FIRED!

Originally Posted by Triples

Who hired Krivsky...I thought Cast did. doesn't that make Krivisky HIS guy too?

Jocketty wasn't available at the time...

Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.

Re: Doc sez Krivsky FIRED!

I have no idea how the Reds get a [good righty hitter] in the near future. And with Jr unlikely to be around in 2009 that is now a 2nd rabbit Jocketty will have to pull out of a hat.

I think a guys like Stubbs and Jr now have a much higher potential of being traded since likely have little future in Cincy anyway.

They make a trade. I'm not suggesting they acquire Hank Aaron, but there are often situations around in which a good hitter can be obtained for, say, prospects (of which the Reds have many) and veterans. Adam Dunn himself would have some value -- if he walks away he turns into draft choices -- and packaged with others can indeed get a good hitter in return.

The decision to give Dunn $60 or 70 million in a long-term deal is a major one and is very debatable. If Jocketty doesn't intend to go that route, I would expect a deal in the first half of this season to move Dunn.

On the other hand, Jr. would probably accept a shorter, cheaper contract and may be more likely to stay at reduced rates. Stubbs is not a factor in this, he's a young player, and will either be included in a deal or continue his development as a Reds prospect.

Re: Doc sez Krivsky FIRED!

Originally Posted by Kc61

They make a trade. I'm not suggesting they acquire Hank Aaron, but there are often situations around in which a good hitter can be obtained for, say, prospects (of which the Reds have many) and veterans. Adam Dunn himself would have some value -- if he walks away he turns into draft choices -- and packaged with others can indeed get a good hitter in return.

Dunn has little trade value and can effectively block any trade even after the middle of June.

And if he walks the ability to trade the picks and others can't realistically happen until after June 2010 ... a little late.

On the other hand, Jr. would probably accept a shorter, cheaper contract and may be more likely to stay at reduced rates.

and is unlikely to be worth it.

PECOTA predicts a MORP of $2.3M in 2009 and $1.2M in 2010 for Jr.

2 things are very likely
1) if signed, Dunn will be overpriced
2) his trade will not bring an adequate replacement

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