Another week, a new set of Donald Trump proposition betting odds. If you were with us last week you’ll recall that we’re considering going back to a monthly update format with the Trump prop odds plus updates ‘as needed’. The market has cooled dramatically in Europe with little variety at most books other than the general ‘Will Trump finish his first term?’ proposition. The weekly updates will continue to the end of the month and the situation will be reassessed.

There are some interesting subplots going on–the ongoing effort to end Obamacare, the White House wiretapping situation and a semi-testy visit with German Chancellor Andrea Merkel. You’ll recall that former President Obama ordered the wiretapping of Merkel’s cellphone according to allegations by Der Spiegel magazine. Trump make reference to that and depending on who is doing the reporting her reaction was either ‘bemused’ (according to the European media) or ‘disapproving (according to the United States media). There’s some interesting ‘grist for the mill’ but so far few if any sportsbooks are doing anything with it in terms of propositions. It could be that now Trump isn’t the ‘cash cow‘ he was a couple of months ago that they’re going to be done with the US Presidential props. There is much more interest in the many elections all over the world during the next year or so, particularly the contentious French Presidential Election.

AFFORDABLE CARE ACT (ACA)/OBAMACARE PROPOSITIONS

There’s several European sportsbooks offering prop bets on the repeal of ‘Obamacare’ aka the Affordable Care Act. The problem with this is that it’s highly unlikely that the entire ACA will be repealed in ‘one fell swoop’. For that reason, we’ve divided it up into its various components with odds for each:

Will the ACA Preexisting Condition Provision be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: +600
No: -750

Will the ACA Individual Mandate be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -210
No: +180

Will the ACA Income Tax Subsidy be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: +210
No: -250

Will the ACA Employer Mandate be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -130
No: +110

Will the ACA Medical Device Tax be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -180
No: +160

All markets and prices current as of March 20, 2017

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.