The Kansas City Chiefs hold the pick, but the first overall pick remains very much up in the air at this point. It could be Luke Joeckel, Eric Fisher or maybe a wild card like Sharrif Floyd. The fact is, five weeks out, the 2013 NFL draft is far from decided.

Free agency has started, which means teams are crossing needs off their wish lists and narrowing the focus of where they will go with each pick in the draft. But who will the Chiefs draft?

1. Kansas City Chiefs

Every move the Kansas City Chiefs have made this offseason points to the team using the No. 1 overall pick on an offensive tackle. And that offensive tackle should be Luke Joeckel.

The Chiefs filled needs at quarterback (Alex Smith, Chase Daniel), guard (Geoff Schwartz) and on defense (Mike DeVito, Sean Smith, Dunta Robinson) before the first two weeks of free agency were complete. With those holes filled and a new one created by releasing right tackle Eric Winston, it's pretty clear that the Chiefs are looking at the offensive line.

Joeckel is a one-of-a-kind left tackle with rare quickness and pass pro sets coming out of college. He's as NFL-ready in the passing game as any tackle I've seen in my time covering the draft. Anyone who has watched an Andy Reid offense knows he loves to throw the ball early and often, making Joeckel an ideal fit as his left tackle.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jacksonville Jaguars sent the whole front office to the West Virginia Pro Day to see Geno Smith. You might not want to read into pro day visits too much, but that one is telling.

The Jaguars haven't seemed like they were in on a quarterback as early as the No. 2 overall pick this offseason, but with a new general manager and head coach coming to town, it's very likely that they will look to scrap former GM Gene Smith's plan and start fresh. That would mean bringing in Geno Smith while letting Blaine Gabbert and Chad Henne work as backups. They can also try to trade or release Gabbert.

Smith is a talented player, and someone is likely to try and grab him in the top 10. With the Jaguars looking for an identity on offense, Smith could be their man to rebuild around.

3. Oakland Raiders

The Oakland Raiders would love to see Geno Smith on the board here, but instead will shift focus to rebuilding the defensive line with a pass-rusher who can come in and affect the game from day one.

Sharrif Floyd is one of the more electric players in this year's class, and as a true 4-3 defensive tackle, he will be able to give Oakland the inside pass rush it needs next to Lamarr Houston on the defensive line.

Oakland could look at Dee Milliner (CB-Alabama) or a defensive end here, but after signing Jason Hunter in free agency, it's much more likely that cornerback or defensive tackle will be the pick.

4. Philadelphia Eagles

Joe Robbins/Getty Images

The Pick: OLB Dion Jordan, Oregon

Chip Kelly will be building a defense in Philadelphia that's much different than the one employed under Andy Reid. Kelly said he wants "longer, taller" defenders, and a quick look at the roster shows short pass-rushers at outside linebacker.

At first glance, Dion Jordan is not a need in Philadelphia, but Kelly is not tied to any of the team's previous pass-rushers. While Graham had a brilliant 2012 season, he plays the same position as Barwin. The two may split time at weak-side linebacker. That leaves an opening at strong-side linebacker for Jordan.

The Eagles don't have a player like Dion Jordan on the roster. He's a dynamic pass-rusher off the edge and is fluid enough to cover tight ends in space. After signing four new defensive backs in free agency, the Eagles have positioned themselves to add a former Duck at No. 4 overall.

5. Detroit Lions

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The Pick: LT Eric Fisher, Central Michigan

The Detroit Lions have a history of overthinking their draft picks at times. This is a time to not do that.

The Lions lost two starting offensive tackles this offseason, as Jeff Backus retired and Gosder Cherilus signed with the Indianapolis Colts. That leaves them with untested Jason Fox and 2012 rookie Riley Reiff on the roster, but Reiff is much better suited to play guard or right tackle. Fox hasn't been tested and is a restricted free agent this offseason.

Instead of trying to piece together an offensive line from spare parts, the Lions can solidify the left tackle position by drafting Eric Fisher and allowing Reiff to play one of his more natural positions down the line.

Fisher is a stud athlete who is just starting to scratch the surface of his potential. He'll keep Matthew Stafford upright and healthy, which will, in turn, spark the offense.

6. Cleveland Browns

The Cleveland Browns were busy in free agency, adding outside linebacker Paul Kruger and defensive end Desmond Bryant. But now they must complete the process and finish building the defense.

With Alabama's Dee Milliner still on the board, the Browns have an easy decision to make.

Milliner will line up opposite Joe Haden, instantly giving the Browns a young cornerback duo to rival the best in the game. In a division featuring Ben Roethlisberger, Joe Flacco and A.J. Green, that's a good thing to have.

There's no question that the Browns have needs other than cornerback, but thanks to smart spending in free agency and good, young depth on offense, Joe Banner and Michael Lombardi can afford to draft Milliner and build a strength on defense.

7. Arizona Cardinals

Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

The Pick: DL Star Lotulelei, Utah

The Arizona Cardinals could go many directions here as one of the true wild cards of the top 10 picks, but the best move would be to strengthen the defensive line over reaching for an offensive lineman.

I've loudly proclaimed all offseason that the Cardinals should add a left tackle here, but I wouldn't be comfortable drafting Lane Johnson at No. 7 overall. Same with offensive guard Chance Warmack—a very good player, but not one worth drafting this high.

Two weeks ago, I would have said a quarterback was possible here, but after adding Drew Stanton and tendering Brian Hoyer in restricted free agency, the team isn't likely to invest a first-round pick on the position.

Lotulelei would be the Cardinals' answer to the poor play of Darnell Dockett on the defensive line. Lotulelei is versatile enough to move around between nose tackle, 3-technique and defensive end in the team's hybrid defense. As opposed to reaching for an offensive lineman, the Cardinals can turn their defensive line into a strength and look to fill in other needs in subsequent rounds.

8. Buffalo Bills

Scott Cunningham/Getty Images

The Pick: DE Ezekiel Ansah, BYU

The Buffalo Bills already have one big, strong, athletic defensive end in Mario Williams, but they need another.

Ezekiel Ansah has the athletic ability and potential to become another Williams-type of pass-rusher. He's long, shows very good quickness and the strength to shed blockers. Lining Ansah up across from Williams—and with Kyle Williams and Marcell Dareus in the middle—would give Buffalo a defensive line good enough to annoy the best NFL offensive lines.

The Bills will need to add a quarterback at some point, but that could happen in Round 2. Building up the defensive line takes priority here. Ansah is one of the top players still on the board, and no quarterback is worthy of the No. 8 pick.

9. New York Jets

Joe Robbins/Getty Images

The Pick: OLB Barkevious Mingo, LSU

Finding a pass rush has been the need of the New York Jets for several seasons now, and with Rex Ryan committed to building a team his way this offseason, it's likely that the team will finally address that need for an outside linebacker in its 3-4 scheme.

Barkevious Mingo is an exciting edge-rusher coming out of a conservative LSU scheme that rarely asked him to pin his ears back and attack the quarterback. You see that ability from Mingo, though. The production isn't on film to know he's a surefire stud, but with his athletic ability, there's a chance he's the best fit in a 3-4 scheme among this year's class of talented pass-rushers.

10. Tennessee Titans

Erich Schlegel/Getty Images

The Pick: FS Kenny Vaccaro, Texas

The Tennessee Titans have remade their defense over the last few seasons, but there are still holes that need to be addressed.

The free safety position is the weak link on the Titans defense currently, with former first-round pick Michael Griffin struggling in both coverage and run support. The Titans could move on from Griffin by drafting his replacement in the first round.

Vaccaro is a special player with the coverage ability to drop down and play in the slot or drop deep as a center fielder. Vaccaro might not be a big hitter, but the team has George Wilson and Bernard Pollard for that duty.

11. San Diego Chargers

The San Diego Chargers have made moves to improve their offensive line this offseason, but may have gotten worse in the process.

Adding Chad Rinehart and King Dunlap doesn't cover the loss of Louis Vasquez. Heading into the draft, the offensive line is still the biggest need for the Chargers. A new front office is likely to move away from oft-injured Jared Gaither at left tackle, opening the doors for Lane Johnson at pick No. 11.

Johnson isn't a finished product, but he is an elite athlete at left tackle. He played quarterback, defensive end and tight end before settling in as a blindside protector this season. His quickness, strength and natural agility make him the best pick the Chargers could possibly hope for.

12. Miami Dolphins

Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

The Pick: CB Desmond Trufant, Washington

The Miami Dolphins were one of the NFL's most active teams in free agency, adding stars like Mike Wallace, Dannell Ellerbe and Dustin Keller to the roster. The loss of Jake Long will hurt, but the team has Jon Martin ready to play one of the tackle spots and right tackle Eric Winston visiting.

With so many needs filled through free agency, where do the Dolphins go in the draft?

The one area not filled in free agency is at cornerback, where the team lost Sean Smith. With the No. 12 pick in the draft, Jeff Ireland and Joe Philbin must look to grab the best available corner.

Desmond Trufant is game-ready, more so than any other cornerback in the 2012 class, Trufant has the speed, instincts and coverage ability to have an impact right away. He may not have Dee Milliner's upside, but Trufant will hit the ground running.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Joe Robbins/Getty Images

The Pick: DT Sheldon Richardson, Missouri

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers might not hold this pick when the 2013 NFL draft kicks off if their interest in Jets cornerback Darrelle Revis is legit. But if they do keep the pick, what direction will they go with No. 13 overall?

The Bucs will look at a number of positions here, including cornerback, but they are in a good position to draft the best player available on defense, and that's Sheldon Richardson.

The Missouri defensive tackle moves like an outside linebacker coming off the ball, with the strength to stuff the run and beat blockers to the hole. Richardson is a complete defensive tackle, and paired with Gerald McCoy, he'd give Tampa a terrifying inside presence on defense.

14. Carolina Panthers

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The Pick: WR Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee

A top 10 player on my board, the Carolina Panthers get lucky to find Cordarrelle Patterson still available.

Patterson is a game-changing wide receiver with the ball in his hands. If any player at the position will reach a Julio Jones-type ceiling, Patterson is that player. With size, speed and moves in the open field, Patterson can be a playmaker as a receiver and return man. That's what the Panthers need.

Put Patterson on the field with Steve Smith, Greg Olsen and Cam Newton, and you have the makings of a very potent passing attack.

15. New Orleans Saints

The New Orleans Saints will move to a 3-4 defense in 2013, but as of now, they have no outside linebackers on the roster that are a fit for the pass-rushing role. Sean Payton knows he has to find edge-rushers.

Cornellius Carradine has the potential to be a top-five pick depending on how healthy he is after coming off a torn ACL. He could also fall to the third round if his pre-draft workout doesn't go well. As of now, Carradine looks like a safe mid-first-round selection.

16. St. Louis Rams

Joe Robbins/Getty Images

The Pick: OG Chance Warmack, Alabama

One of the draft's best players falls to pick No. 16, and the St. Louis Rams couldn't be happier.

Chance Warmack ranks as my No. 2 overall player in the 2013 class, but as an offensive guard, it's unlikely that he will be drafted in the top 10. After all, the last time a guard went in the top 10 was 1997.

Warmack will immediately come in and make the Rams offensive line a strength, especially now that they have Jake Long at left tackle. A line of Long, Warmack, Scott Wells, Harvey Dahl and Rodger Saffold is good enough to deal with the pass-rushers in San Francisco, Seattle and Arizona.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers

Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

The Pick: OLB Jarvis Jones, Georgia

There are enough question marks surrounding Jarvis Jones that he could be a realistic pick at No. 17, or he could be moved down to Round 2 (or later). The Pittsburgh Steelers, and every team, will have to take into consideration several factors.

The first and most serious is a spinal stenosis condition that caused Jones to leave USC after his first season there. Some teams will see this as more of a risk than others.

Jones also chose to not workout at the NFL Scouting Combine, waiting until his March 21 pro day at Georgia. That did not go well, as he ran a 4.88 in the 40-yard dash after a hamstring injury. Pro day times won't kill a player's draft stock as a stand-alone number, but with so many other factors, it's easy to see why Jones stock hasn't been very high.

The Steelers are in a good position to sit and wait for Jones. If he's there, and they trust that he's healthy, he could be a nice fit in the 3-4 defense, replacing James Harrison.

18. Dallas Cowboys

The Dallas Cowboys were weak in the middle of the offensive line this season, leaving Jerry Jones questioning the moves made last offseason to shore up the middle.

Jonathan Cooper is a versatile prospect who could play guard or center in the middle of the Dallas line—both areas of need. As the most athletic interior lineman in this year's class, Cooper could be a fit at left guard or as the team's center. He shows great ability to move off the ball and impact the defense in the run game.

While his pass protection does need some work, Cooper has the ability to be an instant starter for the Cowboys.

19. New York Giants

Sometimes, being patient pays off. The New York Giants have built two Super Bowl championships on that belief in the front office, and in the 2013 class, general manager Jerry Reese can sit back and wait for the dominos to fall.

With pick No. 19, the Giants can go a few directions.

The Giants need pass-rushers—which may sound odd with the household names they have on the roster, but they do. Justin Tuck has battled injuries and looks like a shell of his former self, while Osi Umenyiora hasn't been re-signed yet in free agency. That leaves All-Pro Jason Pierre-Paul as the only impact rusher for a team that loves speed at end.

Bjoern Werner is a complete, all-around 4-3 defensive end. He's likely to slip a bit in the draft due to his projection as purely a 4-3 end, but the Giants would love to pair him with JPP and give the front four a facelift heading into 2013.

20. Chicago Bears

The Chicago Bears will be loading up at linebacker in the 2013 draft after losing Brian Urlacher and Nick Roach in free agency. They can hope and pray Arthur Brown is available at pick No. 20.

Brown is an active, aggressive inside linebacker with the speed and athletic ability to excel in the Bears' 4-3 defense. Replacing Urlacher won't be easy for anyone, but the team will love Brown's attacking style of play and the speed upgrade in the middle of the defense.

21. Cincinnati Bengals

Thanks to smart drafting and team building, the Cincinnati Bengals come into the draft without many needs. Yes, you read that right; these aren't your daddy's Bengals.

After two consecutive playoff berths, the Bengals are to a point where they can fill in a hole or two while increasing the overall talent of the team.

With pick No. 21, the Bengals would ideally add speed on defense—assuming they aren't drafting to replace right tackle Andre Smith. If they're able to get a right tackle signed, the front office can invest in a hard-hitting strong safety here who can add a level of intimidation to the defense.

Jonathan Cyprien has been a hot riser in the pre-draft season following a superb Senior Bowl week. The FIU product has range and the power to put runners on the ground. In the Bengals secondary, he'll be an enforcer who allows Taylor Mays to move to a backup role.

22. St. Louis Rams (from Washington)

Danny Amendola went to New England in free agency, so the St. Louis Rams draft his replacement while getting younger, faster and healthier at a key position.

By adding Jake Long in free agency and Chance Warmack with pick No. 16, the Rams will shift focus with their second first-round pick by looking for speed at the wide receiver position. The team has young projects in Brian Quick, Austin Pettis and Chris Givens, but Austin gives quarterback Sam Bradford a go-to target over the middle and in space.

Austin will need to be a playmaker in the St. Louis offense, but he has that ability as long as the team can get him the ball in space.

23. Minnesota Vikings

Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

The Pick: CB Xavier Rhodes, FSU

By trading Percy Harvin to the Seattle Seahawks, the Minnesota Vikings have two first-round picks and the money to sign Greg Jennings to fill the void at receiver. With their first pick in the 2013 draft, they have to find someone to fill the void created when the team cut cornerback Antoine Winfield.

Xavier Rhodes is an excellent man-coverage cornerback with good size and speed to press at the line and then turn to bail with the receiver. Rhodes' instincts are a bit untested coming out of the FSU defense, but his raw ability makes him look like a future star at the position.

24. Indianapolis Colts

The Indianapolis Colts pulled off an improbable turnaround in 2012, going from two wins in 2011 to the playoffs just one season later. Thanks to general manager Ryan Grigson and coach Chuck Pagano, the team has a chance to be even better in 2013.

Looking at the needs on the roster, the Colts did a great job filling in most holes through free agency. They've found a right tackle, a left guard, two key cogs to the defensive line and a physical cornerback.

What's left? How about a wide receiver?

The Colts need to start thinking about life after Reggie Wayne, and with California's Keenan Allen on the board, they can add a wide receiver with the size and open-field vision to make plays with Andrew Luck at quarterback.

Allen falls a bit down the board due to an MCL injury that limited him in the offseason, but Indianapolis will gladly stop his slide and pick up a potential stud at receiver.

25. Minnesota Vikings (from Seattle)

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The Pick: ILB Alec Ogletree, Georgia

Adding Xavier Rhodes at pick No. 23 fills one of the biggest needs on the Minnesota depth chart, but it is't done addressing the defense. With pick No. 25, the front office goes back down south for a middle linebacker with top 10 potential.

Alec Ogletree could be a seen as a top player in this year's class, and may still be, but off-field issues have checkered his past and will definitely come up on draft day. Teams who believe they can support Ogletree will get a linebacker with exceptional range and a violent, attacking presence on defense.

26. Green Bay Packers

Te'o still looks like a first-round linebacker to me. Even with the fake girlfriend hoax. Even with the poor 40 time. Even after Alabama whipped him (and the entire Notre Dame defense).

Te'o may not be the top-five pick some wanted him to be in early December, but he's still a very talented inside linebacker. He will be at his best in a 3-4 defense, much like what the Green Bay Packers run.

After watching the San Francisco 49ers and other offenses dominate the Packers, the front office has to be looking to any and every option for improving the defense in 2013. Te'o may not be a popular pick, but his ability to shut down the run and impact the game with heads-up plays in coverage will be a welcomed addition.

27. Houston Texans

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The Pick: WR DeAndre Hopkins, Clemson

The Houston Texans do a great job of keeping key talent in place while moving around pieces to replace second-tier free agents. They've done that again this offseason while showing a more aggressive spirit to bring in guys like Ed Reed. But this is still a team that builds through the draft, and it'll have options at pick No. 27.

The Texans desperately need a big wide receiver opposite Andre Johnson, someone younger and faster who can draw attention from defenses. DeAndre Hopkins has the size and speed to be a deep threat who can open up the Texans offense while preventing defenses from focusing too much on the run or overloading Johnson in coverage.

28. Denver Broncos

The Denver Broncos have been active in free agency, and even though they added Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, the team needs another young player at the position to play behind the aging Champ Bailey.

Johnthan Banks is a physical, man-coverage cornerback who has the skill set to attack the ball as a cover man and a tackler. Banks could easily be the team's No. 3 cornerback in 2013 and then make his move to the starting lineup in 2014 as Bailey's replacement. Talk about a smooth transition.

29. New England Patriots

The New England Patriots need speed and strength on defense after shuffling their wide receivers and offensive line in free agency. Now it's time to get back to Bill Belichick football with a commanding defense.

Datone Jones was one of the most impressive players at the Senior Bowl, and wrapped that up with a good combine. With the size of a 3-4 defensive end and the speedy moves of an outside pass-rusher, Jones will be a great fit in the Patriots defense as they move between a 3-4 and 4-3 set.

Jones would complete a very good defensive front seven in New England.

30. Atlanta Falcons

It's no secret that the Atlanta Falcons need pass-rushers, and with pick No. 30, the front office should be solely focused on adding a defensive end.

Alex Okafor is a balanced defender with good ability in the run game and the speed to be an asset as a pass-rusher. He moved around between left and right end at Texas and didn't always have the opportunity to show off his pass-rushing skills, but a stunning bowl performance and a solid week at the Senior Bowl keep Okafor in the top 32 picks.

The Falcons would do backflips if they could land a 4-3 defensive end with Okafor's ability at the end of Round 1.

31. San Francisco 49ers

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The Pick: FS Eric Reid, LSU

Dashon Goldson left town for Tampa, leaving a big hole at free safety. With 14 picks in the 2013 draft, the 49ers have room to add a replacement, and with so few identifiable needs, they will look to do that sooner rather than later.

Eric Reid is a big, physical free safety who fits the mold of what the 49ers have wanted to do in the secondary. He won't make a ton of big plays on the ball, but is good in coverage and has the size to put down defenders over the middle. If allowed to freelance more in coverage, Reid has the hands to convert interceptions.

Cornerback could be a need for the 49ers with pick No. 31, but the team is in better shape there than at free safety.

32. Baltimore Ravens

Bob Levey/Getty Images

The Pick: WR Quinton Patton, Louisiana Tech

Free agency has gutted the Baltimore Ravens roster, but the fans can take solace in the fact that Ozzie Newsome is one of the best general managers in the game. If anyone can rebuild this team, Newsome can.

With pick No. 32, the Ravens can go best player available, which is their preference in most drafts, and be just fine. On my board, that player is Quinton Patton from Louisiana Tech.

Patton is a deep threat with the ability to become a better underneath receiver on an offense that already features downfield threats in Jacoby Jones and Torrey Smith. If Patton can learn to be a threat underneath, the Ravens won't miss Anquan Boldin as much as most expect in 2013.