Jason Gough's forecast: Just how cold are we talking?

1of8Dogs Cali, left, and Koda seem like they're dancing as they play in the dog park on Friday, Nov. 8, 2019 in Saratoga Springs, N.Y. (Lori Van Buren/Times Union)Lori Van Buren/Albany Times Union2of8Dogs Koda, left, and Cali play in the dog park on Friday, Nov. 8, 2019 in Saratoga Springs, N.Y. (Lori Van Buren/Times Union)Lori Van Buren/Albany Times Union3of8Dogs Koda, left, Cali, center, and Bella play in the dog park on Friday, Nov. 8, 2019 in Saratoga Springs, N.Y. Sharon Kohler, in background, was in town from Massachusetts visiting someone and took Bella to the dog park to get some exercise. (Lori Van Buren/Times Union)Lori Van Buren/Albany Times Union4of8Tomar Fantroy of Albany assembles one of the 125 displays and scenes for this year's Capital Holiday Lights in the Park on Friday Nov. 8, 2019, at Washington Park in Albany, N.Y. The 23rd annual event is scheduled to run from November 29 until January 3, 2020. Proceeds benefit the juvenile crime prevention programs of the Albany Police Athletic League. It is sponsored by Price Chopper/Market 32. (Will Waldron/Times Union)Will Waldron/Albany Times Union5of8Workers assemble one of the 125 displays and scenes for this year's Capital Holiday Lights in the Park on Friday Nov. 8, 2019, at Washington Park in Albany, N.Y. The 23rd annual event is scheduled to run from November 29 until January 3, 2020. Proceeds benefit the juvenile crime prevention programs of the Albany Police Athletic League. It is sponsored by Price Chopper/Market 32. (Will Waldron/Times Union)Will Waldron/Albany Times Union6of8Displays and scenes from this year's Capital Holiday Lights in the Park add some extra flare for people walking through Washington Park on Friday Nov. 8, 2019, in Albany, N.Y. The 23rd annual event is scheduled to run from November 29 until January 3, 2020. Proceeds benefit the juvenile crime prevention programs of the Albany Police Athletic League. It is sponsored by Price Chopper/Market 32. (Will Waldron/Times Union)Will Waldron/Albany Times Union7of8

Displays and scenes from this year's Capital Holiday Lights in the Park add some extra flare for people walking through Washington Park on Friday Nov. 8, 2019, in Albany, N.Y. (Will Waldron/Times Union)

Will Waldron/Albany Times Union8of8Fog settles around the buildings in Albany as the sunrises on Wednesday, Oct. 23, 2019, in a view from Rensselaer, N.Y. (Paul Buckowski/Times Union)Paul Buckowski/Albany Times Union

It's the coldest one so far this season but the thing is, I'll be able to say the same thing this time tomorrow. Let's not get ahead of ourselves, though.

TODAY

Temperatures in the teens to middle 20s, with wind chills down into the teens. Please be careful out there this morning, as any leftover water on the roads or on walks has frozen. Patchy black ice will be an issue through mid-morning.

For the balance of the day, it'll be windy and cold with a mix of sun and clouds. There will be a few flakes flying around as you head west of the Hudson Valley, too. Highs today will be in the upper 20s to mid-30s, with a gusty northwest wind making it feel colder.

Wind comes down tonight, as do the temperatures. We'll settle into the single digits to upper teens for lows.

Tomorrow will be better, despite still being colder than average for Nov. 9. We'll have a bit more sun and a lot less wind, with highs in the upper 20s to 40 degrees.

Clouds will slowly return on Sunday and with more of a southwest breeze, temperatures will push their way into the middle 40s in the Hudson Valley and Capital Region, upper 30s in the higher elevations.

VETERANS DAY

As a temperature boundary sets up to our north for Veterans' Day, we'll see some showers breaking out to the northwest of the Capital Region as we get into the afternoon. Those showers will be mainly rain, but snow will mix in as you get higher into the Adirondacks.

It's later in the day when everyone will get in on the showers and eventually, steadier batches of rain and snow. Deeper into the night, we'll have transitioned everyone to all snow, which will taper off through Tuesday morning.

Like this latest batch, this system is now looking more progressive, meaning faster-moving and lighter amounts.