Demographics isn't destiny in Los Angeles

Gregory Rodriguez / Los Angeles Times /

Published Jan 13, 2013 at 04:00AM / Updated Nov 19, 2013 at 12:31AM

Eight years ago, after former California Assembly Speaker Bob Hertzberg was knocked out of the L.A. mayor’s race in the primary, urban critic Joel Kotkin and political consultant Arnie Steinberg bravely predicted that the chances of a Jew ever being elected to the mayoralty had been greatly diminished.

They agreed that the demographic writing was on the wall. The “growing dominance of Los Angeles by Latino politicians and public employee unions” and the diminishing Jewish percentage of the Los Angeles electorate were “limiting the options for Jewish politicians.”

Even the briefest glance at the major 2013 mayoral candidates should convince you of how deeply wrong those gentlemen were. Right now, I’d put the chances that the next mayor of Los Angeles will be intimately tied to Jewishness or Judaism by blood, conversion or marriage at about, um, 100 percent. Eric Garcetti is Mexican Italian Jewish. Jan Perry is an African-American who converted to Judaism 30 years ago. Wendy Gruel is married to a Jewish man and is raising her son in her husband’s faith.

Kotkin and Steinberg weren’t the only ones to misread the long-term ethnic significance of Antonio Villaraigosa’s election in 2005. Four years earlier, labor leader Miguel Contreras had suggested out loud what so many other civic observers just assumed: that James Hahn, who was elected in 2001, would be the last white mayor of Los Angeles.

There’s no doubt that Villaraigosa’s victory in 2005 was a historic milestone. His election signaled that Latinos at last had a seat at the table politically and were becoming more socially integrated. It marked a new era, as L.A.’s Mexican-Americans got to experience the political coming-of-age that so many other ethnic groups achieved in a variety of U.S. cities before them.

But somewhere in all the hoopla we mistook the milestone for the end of the road. We wrongly thought that the political emergence of Latinos was a juggernaut that would eclipse all other comers in a zero-sum game.

We should have known better than to think that demography was destiny. After all, blacks never made up a large percentage of Angelenos, and we had an African-American mayor, Tom Bradley, for 20 years (and two black police chiefs). Likewise, since the 1970s Jewish politicians have played a role in the city’s civic life that has belied their numbers in the population. In the 1990s, L.A. had half a dozen Jewish state Assembly members. In 2010, Southern California elected seven Jewish politicians to Congress.

The election of a Mexican-American mayor in L.A. didn’t so much signal the end of the process of fully including Latinos in the city’s establishment as its beginning.

And the more important issue may be what happens outside City Hall. Constant demographic change requires ongoing efforts to integrate the new with the long established. A healthy society is an inclusive one, a place where a broad cross-section of stakeholders feels represented at the highest levels. Politics is certainly one means of inclusion. But it’s not the only one.

Look around, and except in the Catholic Archdiocese, there are too few local Latinos at the helm and even the mid-level of the city’s major institutions. One head of a philanthropic foundation. No heads of museums or universities. No Latino surnames on the current masthead of the Los Angeles Times. And never a Mexican-American police chief.

L.A.’s civic elites bemoan the city’s embarrassingly low rates of engagement and political participation. But other than fretting about what the region’s ongoing demographic change will mean for their hold on power, it’s not clear what they are doing to make the broadest cross-section of Los Angeles feel like part of the city’s civic life.

Villaraigosa’s mayoralty has been a significant moment in the history of modern Los Angeles. But it can’t be a substitute for a concerted effort to integrate the city’s social and cultural life. Remember that word “integration”?

So, no matter what the next mayor’s background turns out to be, the need to bring the many disparate parts of the city together remains the same. Making Los Angeles’ institutions look like L.A. is not just about symbolism, politics or the mayoralty. We’ll never be a great city if native-born members of the emerging majority can’t imagine themselves growing up to one day become — not just a breakthrough mayor — but its everyday, year-in-year-out movers and shakers.

Connect with The Bulletin

Popular stories for News

Easter is just around the corner, which means that local venues and organizations are gathering, scattering and hiding colorful eggs for their yearly hunts. All you need to do is round up the kids and swing by one of the following locations for some egg-collecting fun. The following hunts, submitted to The Bulletin, are free unless otherwise noted. SATURDAYEASTER EGG HUNT: Children ages 12 and…
... more

SAN JOSE, Calif. — The precious stone weighs 840 pounds, or 180,000 carats, if you were thinking of polishing it up and putting it on your finger. It has been appraised for as much as $925 million, and sold for as little as $60,000. But how do you put a price on misery? Which, as we know, loves company — and there has been plenty…
... more

The holiest plant of the Christmas season may be a raggedy shrub with peeling bark that seems to grow best in a dusty backyard in Tempe, Ariz. This is Boswellia sacra, better known as the frankincense tree. The shrub’s gum resin is one of the three biblical gifts that the wise men bestowed on the infant Jesus. Until recently, Americans who wished to cultivate their…
... more

The reality: That is not true, said Dr. Richard Koller, a Bend neurologist. A sneeze does increase the pressure inside the skull a little bit, he said. People have worried that sneezes may kill brain cells because other things that increase pressure on the brain, such as some types of stroke, can lead to brain cell death or even the death of the person. However,…
... more

Visiting Steelhead Falls requires a certain doggedness. The lovely stretch of the Deschutes River isn't listed in William Sullivan's books chronicling myriad hiking trails in Oregon. The U. S. Bureau of Land Management owns the parcel but doesn't say much about it on its website. Getting to Steelhead Falls requires navigating the maze that is Crooked River Ranch. Our outdated directions left us searching for…
... more