Ashcroft polls - Wednesday, 4 March, 2015

Constituency Surveys

A super poll of the YouGov Scottish samples since the referendum shows the following
party support (changes on 2010 in brackets):

SNP 40.1% (+20.2%)

Lab 27.9% (-14.1%)

Con 17.8% (+1.1%)

LD
6.2% (-12.7%)

UKIP 4.1% (+3.4%)

Green 3.2% (+2.5%)

Total sample size is: 4,845

Fieldwork: 21st
September - 17th October 2014

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20th Feb. 2014

The gap between the Yes and No camps is down
to nine points, with the independence campaign on 38 points, while the pro-Union side is on 47 per cent, according to the
poll by Survation. The narrowing gap is down from 20 points in a survey by the same pollster last month.

The poll also shows the SNP is 13 points clear
of Labour in voting intentions for the Holyrood elections in 2016. The Nationalists are on 44 per cent compared with Labour
on 31 per cent. The Tories are on 13 per cent, with the Liberal Democrats struggling on 6 per cent, according to the survey.

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With 18 months to go it's Yes 44% No 56%

Polling company 'Panelbase' interviewed 885 adults in Scotland between March 18-22
for the Sunday Times and Real Radio Scotland:

Support for the SNP hits 50% as the party stretches its poll lead over Labour (Ipsos-MORI poll December 2011)

Backing for the SNP has slightly increased, yet again, giving the party double the support enjoyed by Labour in the
latest Holyrood poll.

Among those certain to vote, half (51%) would back the SNP in an election to the Scottish Parliament, up by 2 percentage
points from the last IPSOS-Mori poll in August and by 6 points from May’s election victory. While support for the
Conservatives and Liberal Democrats remain largely unchanged (at 12% and 8% respectively), Labour’s support now stands
at 26%, down 2 points from the August poll.

The SNP’s lead over Labour is particularly strong among men, where they have a 37-point lead, and those in rural
areas, where they have a 30-point lead.

Satisfaction with party leaders

First Minister Alex Salmond continues to rate highly among voters. Three in five Scots (62%) say they are satisfied with
his performance as First Minister compared to just over a quarter (27%) who say they are dissatisfied, giving him a net satisfaction
rating of +35%, up a single point from the last poll in April.

For the two opposition parties with new leaders, the issue is mainly one of public recognition. Over half of voters (57%)
could not say whether or not they were satisfied with new Conservative leader Ruth Davidson as she is not yet well known enough;
this includes nearly half (48%) of Conservative supporters, suggesting that many of the parties’ backers are yet to
make their minds up about her leadership.

Similarly, 52% of voters could not comment on new Liberal Democrat leader Willie Rennie, suggesting he has similar issues
of public recognition to overcome.

Ipsos-MORI Poll Sept 2011

Following the SNP’s landmark overall majority in May’s Scottish Parliament elections, the honeymoon
period continues as voters back the party in Westminster and Holyrood poll.

The latest poll shows that, among
those certain to vote, the SNP’s share of the Holyrood constituency vote stands at 49%, up 4 percentage points on their
election result. The strength of SNP support has come at the expense of the three other main parties, none of whom have shown
signs of recovery since the election. Labour now stands at 28%, down four points from May and 21 points behind the SNP,
while the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats stand at 13% and 7%, each down a single point.

The SNP’s lead over
Labour is particularly strong among men, where they have a 31 point lead, and those aged 55 and over, where they have a 25
point lead.

The SNP’s current popularity is also reflected in Westminster voting intentions, where the party
enjoys a nine point lead over Labour. Among those certain to vote, the SNP’s share of the vote stands at 42%, some 19
points up on the party’s performance at the 2010 General Election. Labour are currently on 33%, down 9 points,
while the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are on 16% and 6%, down 1% and 13% respectively.

Satisfaction
with party leaders

Along with the continued popularity of his party, Alex Salmond continues to enjoy the backing
of a majority of voters and 62% say they are satisfied with his performance as First Minister compared to just over a quarter
(28%) who say they are dissatisfied, giving him a net satisfaction rating of +34%, up a single point from our last poll in
April.

With Labour and the Conservatives currently without leaders, the only other Scottish party leader included in
the poll was Willie Rennie, recently appointed to lead the Liberal Democrats. His main challenge would appear to be
public recognition with half of the voters unable to rate his performance, as they had no idea who he was. Fewer
than one in five (17%) say they are satisfied with his performance as leader, compared to 32% who are dissatisfied.

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European poll of polls for month of May 2009

After four polls taken between
the 7th and 16th of May where a totalof 771 people in Scotland were polled – the combined results are asfollows
(with changes from 2004 in brackets):

Support for independence has hardened in the face of the global recession, despite Labour predictions that the crisis
would see more Scots turning to the Union for protection.

The latest TNS System Three survey for the Sunday Herald found support for leaving the union rose three points during the
last quarter, while opposition to a separate Scottish state fell to its lowest level since the poll began 18 months ago.

The findings suggest the public has ignored Labour warnings that a breakaway Scotland would be doomed to join Iceland in
the "arc of insolvency".

The poll was taken after opposition parties initially voted down the SNP government's
budget on February 28. Voters were reportedly unimpressed that MSPs could not agree a budget despite the country suffering
the worst recession in decades.

The poll asked 971 adults how they would vote in a referendum on whether the Scottish government should open negotiations
with Westminster on independence.

Support for commencing talks on separation was 38%, compared to 35% in October, while opposition was 40%, compared to 43%.

When TNS System Three began polling on the question, shortly after the SNP entered government, opposition ran as high as
50%. The new survey shows the gap between opposition and support, which widened to eight points last October in the initial
reaction to the banking crisis, has now returned to the two-point difference seen last June.

WHO WOULD MAKE THE BEST SCOTTISH FIRST MINISTERAlex Salmond: 41%Annabel
Goldie: 8%Cathy Jamieson: 7%Tavish Scott: 5%Andy Kerr: 5%Iain Gray: 3%

DO YOU SUPPORT SALMOND'S
PLANS TO SCRAP COUNCIL TAX AND RAISE INCOME TAX TO 23pSupport: 46%Oppose: 31%Don't know: 23%

Note:
A TNS system Three poll between 23-29 April 2008 asked whether people supported or opposed the introduction of a local income
tax to replace the Council Tax, and also found 46% in favour, with 22% opposed, and 32% Don't know.

HOW WOULD
YOU VOTE IN A REFERENDUM ON SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCEFOR: 34%AGAINST: 50%

The SNP would gain the seats of all three Labour leadership contenders - Iain Gray, Andy Kerr and Cathy Jamieson.

A new poll by YouGov has recorded the biggest ever poll lead for the SNP with the party establishing
a 19% lead over the Labour party in Scottish Parliament constituency voting intentions.

The poll, commissioned by the SNP, is the first since John Mason sensationally won the Glasgow East by-election
and shows the SNP on 44% with Labour trailing on 25%. On the basis of these figures all three Labour leadership candidates
would lose their seats to the SNP.

"This is a sensational poll, which gives the SNP an all-time record lead of nearly twenty
points over a Labour Party which is mired in division and disarray.

"Labour had better hurry up with their leadership election, because on the basis of these
figures ALL THREE candidates would lose their seats to the SNP - just as we won Labour's third safest Westminster seat in
Scotland in Glasgow East.

"Trust in and support for the SNP Government and our policies are riding high â€“
while Labour are plunged into crisis at both Scottish and UK levels.

"The SNP government have taken decisive action to help families and business with rising costs
â€“ freezing the Council Tax, cutting business rates, starting the phased abolition of prescription charges, and
restoring free education.

"The people are on the side of the Scottish Government because the SNP are on the
side of the people."

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SUNDAY HERALD

Sunday 13 April 2008

Agree or disagree to Scottish independence (changes since last August in brackets)

April 2008

Agree: 41% (+6)Disagree: 40% (-10)Don't know: 19% (+4)

December 2007

Agree: 40%Disagree: 44%Don't Know: 16%

August 2007

Agree: 35%Disagree: 50%Don't Know: 15%

The TNS System Three poll reflects the proposed question for an independence referendum that the Scottish
Government contains in the National Conversation White Paper on Scotland's future. TNS System Three have asked the same question
twice previously, with support for independence moving forward from a 15 point deficit last August to being ahead for the
first time since last year's Scottish Parliament election now. The poll was sampled between 26 March and 4 April.

YouGov poll, conducted from 2-4 April, sample 1,070

Scottish Parliament constituency vote (change since 2007 in brackets)

SNP: 40% (+7)

Lab: 32% (-)

Con: 12% (-5)

Lib: 13% (-3)

Oth: 4%

Scottish Parliament list vote (change since 2007 in brackets)

SNP: 33% (+2)

Lab: 30% (+1)

Con: 13% (-1)

Lib: 12% (+1)

Oth: 13%

Holyrood seats projection:

SNP: 49 (+2)

Lab: 44 (-2)

Con: 15 (-2)

Lib: 15 (-1)

Oth: 6 (+3)

Westminster General Election (change since 2005 in brackets)

SNP: 31% (+13)

Lab: 35% (-5)

Con: 17% (+1)

Lib: 12% (-11)

Oth: 4%

Support for a referendum on Scottish independence:

Immediate referendum: 11%

Within the next year: 28%

In 2010: 26%

Should not be referendum: 21%

None of these: 4%

Don't know: 11%

65% SUPPORT A REFERENDUM WITHIN THE LIFETIME OF THIS PARLIAMENT

Support or oppose country becoming a country independent of the rest of the UK

Support: 34%

Oppose: 50%

Don't know: 15%

The SNP have been in power 11 months. Do achievements make you more or less likely to vote for independence:

Much more likely: 17%

A little more: 15%

No difference: 35%

A little less: 8%

Much less: 19%

Don't know: 7%

SNP support at all-time high

The MRUK Cello poll published in the Sunday Times (16th March '08) shows that: * The SNP's lead over Labour has soared
to 8% on the constituency vote and 10 points on the regional list vote * The SNP are projected to win 57 seats - 13 more than
Labour *

The poll's findings showed that:

Scottish Parliament constituency vote:

SNP: 39% (+6)

Lab: 31% (-1)

Con: 15% (-2)

Lib: 12% (-4)

Oth: 3% (+1)

Scottish Parliament regional vote:

SNP: 40% (+9)

Lab: 30% (+1)

Con: 13% (-1)

Lib: 11% (-)

Oth: 5% (-10)

Projected seats:

SNP: 57

Lab: 44

Con: 16

Lib: 12

How is Alex Salmond doing as leader of the Scottish Government?

Well: 70%

Badly: 17%

Don't know: 13%

POSITIVE RATING: +53

How is Wendy Alexander doing as leader of the Scottish LabourParty ?

Well: 30%

Badly: 52%

Don't know: 18%

NEGATIVE RATING: -22

Among Labour voters, 66% say Alex Salmond is doing a good job, compared with 39% who believe Wendy
Alexander is doing well.

Three times as many Scots trust Salmond over Alexander to deal with all the main areas of devolved
government.

40% of Scots are less likely to vote Labour as a result of Wendy Alexander's illegal donation problems.

A quarter believe they are serious enough to warrant her resignation, while a further 15% think she
should quit for other reasons.

Two-thirds of Scots say that they would vote for independence in certain circumstances.

"There is no good news for Wendy in this poll," says Ivor Knox, of MRUK Cello. "The first 10 months of SNP government
has clearly strengthened its support. On the key issues of the economy, education, health and law and order, far more
voters trust Salmond rather than Alexander to look after their interests."

Deputy First Minister and SNP Depute Leader Ms Nicola Sturgeon MSP said: "These are fantastic poll ratings for the SNP
and the Scottish Government. As we approach the anniversary of our first year in office, the poll shows that our fast pace
of delivery continues to gain the trust of the people with sky high approval ratings under the leadership of Alex Salmond.
Alex Salmond's +53% rating demonstrates his outstanding leadership of the Scottish Government. By contrast, Wendy Alexander's
leadership is in deep crisis."

3rd December 2007

The Scottish National Party released polling figures commissioned from YouGov on support for the Scottish Government
and political leaders:

1. The SNP has been in government in Scotland for just over 6 months.How do you think the
SNP Government has fared so far:

Well: 63%Badly: 26%Don't know: 12%

Among Tory voters it is 56% well
to 32% badly; among Labour voters 52% to 38%; and among Lib Dem voters 64% to 32%.

The last time YouGov polled on Scottish
Government satisfactionratings, 60% of Scots thought it was doing a good job, and 27% a bad job (1-4 October) –
so approval for the Scottish Government isactually INCREASING six months into government.

2. Thinking about the
performance of Gordon Brown as Prime Minister and Alex Salmond as First Minister of Scotland, which one do you think is doing
a better job?

Alex Salmond: 50%Gordon Brown: 22%Neither: 21%Don't know: 7%

3. Thinking about the
performances of the political party leaderssince the Scottish election in May, who has impressed you most?

The Scottish National Party today [Sunday] released findings from aYouGov opinion poll commissioned
by the Party, which sampled Scottish opinion at the end of the UK conference season. Its key findings are:

*
SNP support for a Westminster election is up some 10 points since2005. Lib Dem support is halved.

* By more than
2 to 1, Scots believe that the Scottish Government isdoing a good job.

* First Minister Alex Salmond is more popular
among Labour voters than Wendy Alexander, and more popular among Lib Dem voters than Nicol Stephen.

* More people believe
that the SNP are positive about Scotland thanall of the other parties added together.

YOUGOV POLL COMMISSIONED BY THE SNP, SAMPLE 966, 1-4 OCTOBER

The Scottish National Party commissioned a poll from YouGov at the end of the UK Conference season.

WESTMINSTER
PARTY RATINGS

The poll shows that the SNP is the big gainer – notwithstanding thepublicity benefits
of conference which gave both Labour and the Tories a surge. SNP support is around 10 points up compared to the last
election, while Lib Dem support is halved.

This reflects the Strathclyde University Election Study whichconcluded
that the SNP won the Scottish election, "by persuadingenough voters that it had a positive agenda for governing Scotland".

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10th August 2007

SENSATIONAL POLL RESULTS FOR SNP

HIGHEST
EVER POLL RATING AND 16 POINT LEAD

SNP 48% - LABOUR 32%

Commenting on the poll
in the Daily Mail by Progressive Scottish Opinion which puts the SNP at 48% to 32% for Labour and also shows 40%
of the public are satisfied with the new SNP Government with only 12% unfavourable a spokesperson for the the Scottish
National Party said:

"These are sensational figures, showing SNP support up 15 points since the election
- and clearly there is no 'Brown bounce' in Scotland. The poll underlines the success of the SNP government in
delivering our programme for the first 100 days at a pace that has left the opposition parties gasping, and unable to
keep up.

"This is the highest opinion poll rating we have ever recorded.

"The SNP
has build credibility and competence in government, and that is reflected in the satisfaction figures running at over
three-to-one in favour. No previous Scottish government has build up such a solid platform of support in its first
100 days.

"Support for independence depends on how you ask the question - with as many polls in favour
as against - and the important thing now is that we will lead a national conversation on Scotland's constitutional future
which will galvanise further support."

Details

The results from Progressive Scottish
Opinion are:

If a Holyrood election was held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?