The Jaguars have no opening-drive touchdowns this year. The Patriots have outscored opponents 103-57 in the first quarter. They’ll come out determined to get an early lead.

2. Cecil Shorts receiving yards: 119.

Shorts is 75 yards from 1,000 for the year and he’ll past that milestone today. A better statistic should be his receiving yards pre-garbage time and then in the fourth quarter.

3. Tom Brady passing yards: 287.

Brady has eight 300-yard passing games, including 443 last week when the Patriots rallied from 28 points down against San Francisco only to lose. New England won’t need to run a ton of plays via its no-huddle today so that will impact No. 12’s numbers.

4. Jaguars turnovers: 3.

The Jaguars are plus-1 this year, committing 20 turnovers in 14 games. New England leads the NFL with a plus-22 ratio and its 36 takeaways are second in the league. If the Patriots do as expected (lead early), that will force the Jaguars’ offense to take more chances and that leads to turnovers.

5. Wes Welker catches: 8.

Welker is third in the NFL with 100 catches and today draws Jaguars rookie cornerback Mike Harris. He has 10 games of at least six catches.

Brady may well break the single game record for TD passes and passing yards. I would guess that he passes for 400+ tards today and will probably have 4 TD passes before halftime if not in the first quarter.

You give the Jags way too much credit. They have no running attack, no passing attack, no run defense, no pass defense, but they have a premier kicker and a good punter. That said, maybe the Jags will play an inspired game. Maybe there will be a Festivus miracle!