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Beat the Streak Report: Monday, June 27

So, the weekend brought good news and bad news for the folks atop the season leaderboard. Which do you want first? Bad news? You got it!

Season leader Sebringt‘s inspired run petered out of gas at 37 games, meaning that we’re still looking for our first 40-game streak of the 2011 campaign.

The good news: sebringt converted with Adrian Gonzalez yesterday, meaning they’re now just 36 days from matching their season-high streak.

Hang on, that was just the appetizer to our three-course good news meal. The entree: jonroy73 made it through the weekend unscathed and is now chillin’ at 36 games. A correct pick on Monday would give him his own share of the season lead. Three more weeks of correct picks would mean a $5.7 million all-you-can-eat buffet.

And for dessert: bclark2779 is just a few games behind Mr. Roy, currently holding down second place with a 32-gamer.

60 Comments

Anyways, I’ve only posted here once this year after doing it consistently from July-August of last year. Now that I have a respectable streak of 11 and my name will appear under LaV’s List, I’ll at least show myself and prove that I exist. My strategy this year has been not over-thinking my picks or checking splits. Just finding a player with decent stats all around that isn’t always a big name player. Nothing new to most pickers, but not personally putting more than 3-5 minutes into my pick has been very beneficial.

Today I’ll be going with Miguel Cabrera whom I’m 2/2 with this season. Good luck, everybody!

Gotta say that I hope Cabrera goes 0-2 with 2 walks today. Leader has him.
If Helton gets a hit today, the wife may be in the Top2500 tomorrow. Since she started this game this month; a significant accomplishment for her.

I find it difficult to be happy too. Though, at the same time, whatever she is doing is working for her. I won’t try to interject or sway her either for other reasons (i.e., if she does win anything, no collusion between her & I can take place else we both break the BTS rules). Additionally, her luck at getting a good streak together with nearly no knowledge whatsoever about the sport kind of rejuvenates my resolve. Gotta remember, I’m married to the woman after all and am hoping this game might bring baseball, my favorite sport, into her life a bit.

Maybe, maybe not. Taking no chances. We don’t share pick info until after games lock. She uses only her computer to make picks, I use only mine. We don’t look over each others’ shoulders. Bottom line, we play the game as if we were 2 people living in different countries — no collusion whatsoever. For tomorrow, I have no clue who she picked other than it will be 1 of 4 picks o’day and probably one of the top picks of the day.

Collusion: “A secret agreement between two or more parties for a fraudulent, illegal, or deceitful purpose.”
If my wife’s account was just a dummy account for me, by me influencing her picks (i.e., pick this person for me) would be collusion. Granted since she is making her own picks, me discussing potential future picks couldn’t be considered collusion based on that definition. Like I said, taking no chances, & she’s having a bit of fun as it is. Not going to influence her one way or the other.

If feel your pain but if Helton (currently 0 for 2) goes O fer while the 3 “Thank me later” picks have hit safely that is a true Beat the Streak crime! I would have to believe that 4 for 8 coming in is > 1 for 8. In addition the game total is 11 or 11½, the Rockies are slight -109 favorites and their Team total is 5 or 5½. If that is the case they are supposed to get 10+ hits. They only have 2 after 4 innings and we well know who those 2 are from. Let’s go Rockies, crank up the offense!

Highest “No Selection” 😛 pg# 14 with streak of 14 back to zero.
Yesterday’s Top2500 Reset rate was 9.81% with VOTTO-BOT reseting the most.
There was also 8.04% PPD due to players not playing. These streakers do not reset, but did not increase either.
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Only reason I picked CarGo today (had Choo as place keeper) was the wind blowing at 18mph out towards left. (thx Keith or Drag, whoever posted the dailybaseball link)
Good luck to all our bloggers today.

Let me just say the leader has a big one going with Miggy today who has never faced Stewart before so this is going to be very interesting today since most of the time pitcher dominates and shuts the team down.

The reason was quite simple Holmes. Pitcher’s opposing batters average was somewhere near 330, though less than 20 innings pitches. Cabrera is a quality hitter. Favorable overall numbers is the reason; though those numbers have nothing to do with pitcher vs. batter history. We’ve seen this time & time again in BTS. It’s a faith pick. As I mentioned earlier, I’d like to see him go down today and if he does, it might be a combination of walks (a bit wild maybe), timing being off for Cabrera, and just bad luck for those that picked him. The cards have been dealt, now we just wait and see.

Miggy due up top of 2nd. So far pitcher has shown just an average fastball and a slider with little speed differential. If he doesn’t get a some good calls on the black or shows Miggy a different pitch for the out, I’d say Miggy pickers should start feeling a bit confident.

Everything happens for a reason. Miggy is a good hitter but most of the people who play BTS go by averages and that isn’t what it should be about. If I see a pitcher facing a team for the first time I stay away.

Different topic: ESPN’s Streak for the Stash. I’ve seen you guys post stuff about that in the recent past. Some questions if you don’t mind:
1. If I understand it correctly, the jackpot for next month may be at $350K?
2. Highest streak at end of month, at or greater than 27 wins?
3. You don’t have to have an active streak at end of month to win?
4.The rules are similar to Survivor, but you don’t have to pick everyday and can pick more than once a day?

Nah. There’s only 9 or10 of us and Gamara had the best streak of the month at W10.
As for a strategy if I have no streak going or a losing streak I’ll pick anything and everything, but once I get streak going I stay away from soccer golf and tennis. Throughout spring and summer I mostly pick baseball. Winter time they have NFL, NBA, NHL, college basketball and football. A little bit of everything. There was a prop on whether Punk Phil would see his shadow or not. There’s been NFL draft, NBA draft cricket.

Really? Interesting. I can see a strategy similar to what you said, regarding getting a streak going. For me, it will be a bit more difficult. I can’t play while at work — any fantasy/game URLs are filtered (government facility). So, best case is get up early enough to make an early pick and continue a later pick when I get home. Therefore, trying to compete for the other game (most in a month) is pointless for me — just can’t get to the site enough during daytime hours; besides that game is just not that important to me. P.S. Tried it today — 2 for 3 picks & a 4th pick (the Nats) later tonight for the fun of it.

I got both soccer picks right this morning but messed up with the first baseball prop. Got the 7th or 8th inning prop right and am going with Braves tonight. And if you have a smartphone, theres an app for that.

If you have a smarthphone you can download the app for the game. Also, I must agree with Liber, I pick randomly sort of at the beginning to try and get something going. Once I reach 7 or 8 then I try to put some thought into it. Unfortunately I’ve only reached 8 twice. It’s fun and I feel like I have a much better chance of winning that then BTS. I like both though and will continue to play both. Good luck and we look forward to having you in the group!

Will it be 50K or 350K? Looks to be a couple have an outside chance for the big pot; but will have to be lucky enough with multi-picks over the next 3 days.
Back to BTS: This could be the lowest reset-rate this season, especially if Ichiro gets a hit later. If it winds up being that, then those that fell gotta be kicking themselves.

With the finished games, reset rate is 3.8% and not many batters left with 10 or more picks that haven’t gotten a hit yet as of right now: Ichiro (4 ABs left?), Kendrick (4 ABs left?), Cuddyer (2 ABs left?) & A.Gordon (4 ABs left?)

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