JUNE 18: MR FIXIT’S TOP TIPS

GERMANY remain favourites to win the European Under-21 Championship despite starting with a laboured draw against Serbia.

They are 11-4 with 888sport and BetVictor with England and Portugal joint 5-1 favourites ahead of their meeting on Thursday night.

Germany were unimpressive even before going down to 10 men so let’s hope England live up to their billing although it won’t be easy.

I lost 11pts on the Super Single by putting my faith in Germany and it’s a pity I didn’t instead back Denmark at 29-20 after tipping them to beat hosts the Czech Republic. But hindsight is something all punters would love to have – and it’s only trolls who have been blessed with that quality.

Much of the focus will be on England U-21s and while I’m tempted to back Gareth Southgate’s men at a best 28-17 with 888sport it might pay to go with both to score instead at 5-6 with bet365.

England of course have Harry Kane, the Premier League’s top scorer, as well as Liverpool new boy Danny Ings and even Jesse Lingaard but Saido Berahino has been ruled out through injury and that’s a concern. There is strength throughout the side but the absence of Everton’s John Stones for the first two matches after he suffered concussion is a blow.

Kane is 11-2 with bet365 to score first and it’s difficult to resist but the Spurs man’s reputation will go before him and he’ll be closely watched. To score at any time Kane is 15-8 at bet365.

England beat Portugal 3-1 on a friendly at Burnley last year but their rivals have some decent players including Monaco’s Bernardo Silva, Porto’s Ricardo Pereira and Sporting’s Carlos Mane.

The other group game sees Italy take on tournament outsiders Sweden and the Italians are 20-21 at Betfred. Sweden deserve a bit of respect after shocking a powerful France side in the play-offs.

I considered btts at Degerfors v Syrianska in the Swedish Superettan but the only previous meetings at Stora Valla haven’t brought up the market so I’ll leave it.

Elsewhere there’s too much on the go until Peru-Venezuela in Copa America unless anyone’s doing their homework on the Icelandic Cup matches.

I’m golfing in the morning so will be away all day.I have two tips on the England game – and please remember I won’t be dragging you to the bookies to put them on.

It’s your choice – but what were Brazil all about last night? Bookies are liking this Copa America more than men.

Remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for more video tips and chat.
And don’t miss their excellent Copa America guide and tips with contributions from Tim Vickery.

Meanwhile, Raaljaca’s goals thread started recently and he’s asking for donations to two cancer charities. In June we’re supporting another cause in the shape of Projects Abroad who send volunteers to work in poor countries all over the world. All Buy a Beer donations (£3 minimum) will be passed on to Projects Abroad so click the button if you want to help.

Waiting for team news for a few of the MLS sides in tonights US Open Cup ties. DC United and Columbus Crew are playing weaker line ups so I’m leaving them. Will post if I fancy anything.
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I don’t want to preach but as someone who used to lose time and time again I would like to say, Don’t bet every day just for the sake of it. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket and Don’t attempt to chase a loss. If only one person listens to this then this post was worth it. I’ve made steady profit in the last 2 and a half years by being patient and disciplined. I also lost year after year for 15 years prior to this. I can see so many people on here making the mistakes i made and it’s sometimes painful to witness.

Iceman dave, in a way I’m a victim of the site’s success. I had made up my mind to do very little in June after a busy season but it’s difficult to do that when so many people are on looking for tips and advice. I’ll definitely calm it down a bit at the end of next week when the schools stop – I won’t have the time for one thing. And I’m looking forward to the site changes in September when there will be less emphasis on what I do and more on the community in general.

I agree entirely with iceman dave .sometimes it’s not knowing what to bet…it’s knowing not to bet.I have been growing my account slowly but surely for the last six months or so,with all of the predictable ups and downs.However the last two weeks have been worse than bad and I have decided to do what I’ve done before and give it a rest for a while.That’s the only way I know to break a losing streak.Perhaps next year I’ll ignore June altogether.

j-bcfc, well done with the btts double but didn’t see your Serbia tip on here. Didn’t see much of the game but was out but they didn’t look like they were going to score once Germany went down to 10 men. Main problem was Germany 2 stars – Hoffman and Volland – didn’t turn up. Anyway it’s gone now and I move on.

If this doesn’t come in I’ll be extremely surprised. Jamaica went from playing well against Uruguay to one of the worst performances I’ve seen in a while against Paraguay. I mentioned after the game I counted on one hand the amount of times they strung more than 4 passes together. With the table tight for first place Argentina will have to go gun ho and a 2-0 for a void I will take every day of the week.

I wasn’t Capone mate I looked at it before it started but thought the -7AH was a bit too high. It went down to -3AH before the home side scored and I thought I’d see how the second half went at 3-0. Just kept backing out as I had been done by the Brazil women earlier in the day. P*ssed off, they were 11/4 to score the 11th but I thought na they’re all done. Low and behold, 11-0 haha

robbo, work it out if you want but the profit and loss figures don’t take into acouunt many cover or cash out bets. How I do overall with bets, including shop ones, is none of your business to be honest. The singles doubles/trebles have figures against them and I don’t advise doing anything else.

Degefors v syrianski btts is my nap of the day I bet it last night 8/11 hills.bth teams scoring in all but one of ther last 5 and that was only degefors.they sit nxt one n other in league and even tho ther last meeting finished 2-0 that was a yr ago mr f the 3 previous to that saw btts.get on. Gl

Kane, beraniho, ings… I sort of already feel sorry for portugals back line. Camt remember seeing an under 21 sides front line looking so impressive. Pace goals skill we got the lot. Beat portugal 3-1 last time in november 2014. Think the draw no bet at 1.90 is real value and will take kane anytime.
portugals no mugs but its hard not to expect england to do well in this

Happy I agree with you re England and it’s not patriotic betting because it’s England. I attended the friendly between these too at burn ley a while back and I believe seven of portugals players that night are playing. Accept it was a cold night in burnley and not the favourites of many Portugal players but England could score at will if they wanted too and that was without the formidable attacking line. England all the way but back of the mind is what happens to us at major tournaments and after a few points down at the minute may be cautious too but have taken the England win.

Kanes desire to play for the u21s for this tournament before hes a fully fledged full international makes you think just how much this squad wants to win it. May be a good spirit within and germany obviously not in the form they have been its very winnable. Id love to see him at united alongside rooney but doubt thats going to happen.

Cheers WasClueless, that 6-fold cruised in. Germany are the most impressive team I’ve seen so far in the tournament. Hopefully they can play well for the rest of the games, if so they have a pretty good chance of lifting the cup. Fingers crossed for use both.

Daniel jst reading ur comment bout england u21 CLD IT GO WRONG?lol in the month of june ad say most punters hav took a football hammering everything’s went wrong and this game aint any different. The only way to hav made money lately is study hard pick wot u really fancy then bet the complete opposite.

Woke up to see Brazil failed to net although I pointed out cover for my treble and cash out was available for at least 80% profit. Unfortunately I did neither so out of pocket but well done if anyone did, seemingly not many of us on good form with these international tournaments so today sticking to one bet in Sweden

If this doesn’t come in I’ll be extremely surprised. Jamaica went from playing well against Uruguay to one of the worst performances I’ve seen in a while against Paraguay. I mentioned after the game I counted on one hand the amount of times they strung more than 4 passes together. With the table tight for first place Argentina will have to go gun ho and a 2-0 for a void I will take every day of the week.

Now out to 1.96. If anybody in their right mind even watched the Jamaica game the other night, they would not be touching them, but for some reason they are being backed. To me this is blind punters taking a chance on the poor performances from Argentina thus far. Big mistake.

Ultimately you can get the Zalgiris team goals @ 19/20 @ 888 for Over 2.5 but I’m taking the AH. The 2-0 correct score has been backed from 8’s to 4’s. Could be a fishy one as judging by the price changes there might have been some news floating about Lithuania at 8 this morning. A point on 2-0 @ 5/1 @ PP might not be a bad shout. Not a tip. I’m on the AH.

As I sit here with a bit of hash brown on my chin while chewing on bacon, I wonder how Lahti didnt score yesterday with more possession, more shots, more shots on target, more corner kicks. My analysis was correct, they would try and get something out of the bottom dwellers, but it wasnt to be.

Not much value today from my usual markets, but bookies cant get every scrumptious market right, right?
I stumbled across the match in the Lithuainian A Lyga between Paruojo Kruoja and VMFD Zalgiris at 4pm. Cutting into a cumberland sausage, I was pleasantly surprised at Zalgiris’goalscoring form and away form in general. 15 goals in last 5 away game and 20 in last 8. They’ve scored 43 goals overall and 20 of those are away from home. Fantastic. Must be their top striker holding the fort, the Brazilian Elivelton. Nope, he was benched last game in a shock 4-2 defeat and sits 4th on the goalscoring league, a good 8 goals behind the leader. This team is a free for fall.

In pre season, the hosts were tipped to have a stunning season, but it seems they’re not the team they were last year. 1 win in 7 home games is not the trait of a successful team. Mourinho is likely to testify. So wheres the meaty value? 1/5 for Zalgiris to win? No. read on fellows.

Zalgiris will be relishing the Europa league draw soon and nows the time to put a marker on proceedings. Their last 5 away games has seen atleast 1.5 goals in the first half, bringing up that market 3 times themselves.
Kruoja have seen 1.5 first half goals in 3 of their last 5 home games, and although they have not brought the market up themselves, Zalgiris should do the job here.

So why are the following odds so gorgeous? It appears the bookies still think Kruoja are a team of yesteryear. H2H shows low scoring games with Zalgiris winning most of them. Zalgiris sit 2 points clear at the top and after a mauling in their last game, they’ll be mad men. There should be goals.

Jordan, I read about Zalgiris training on grass pitches recently, probably for the Europa league. Also, general consensus is they’ll score atleast 3 but at 19/20, it didnt really appeal for that many goals.

england under 21 double chance is the last of my treble that i lumped heavily on, starting to worry now berahaino pulled out along with john stones, ings will come in but also portugal are strongest by far in midfield and we just seem to have playmakers? apart from loftus cheek, though he’s only just got his first cap, and will beon the bench..

Hi All, a very quick very simple betting strategy/tip for anyone who is interested in goalscorer bets. Especially relevant today as Mr F has tipped an anytime scorer in Kane.

I have had quite a bit of success taking my “anytime scorer” picks and working in a “first Goalscorer” bet as well. I have done this pretty much all season with Ronaldo and made decent and steady profit, you will see why in a moment.
You will need to use a bit of initiative on how you would like to split the points. For example today, if I were to stick 3 points on Kane anytime. I will wait and do it in-play after the first goal has gone in. What I will do instead is put 1 point on him being first goalscorer. If he scores first at 5/1 with bet365 i’m 4 points up, pretty much what I would be up taking him anytime at 15/8 with 3 points. This effectively reduces any potential loses if he gets subbed, injured, doesn’t start for any reason, gets played out of position or if England don’t score.

If Kane does not score first, by waiting until the first England goal goes in, you can then make more of an informed decision on how to play the second part of the bet. If the first goal goes in early it does slightly disadvantage you as anytime prices will be relatively what they would be pre-game. If it goes in later in the first half, or even in the second half. The price of Kane “Anytime” should be greatly improved. Meaning I then put my remaining 2 points on him “Anytime”. Or, if the first goal goes in late I can choose not to play the second part of the bet at all and walk away with only a 1point loss.

Please don’t pick this strategy apart based on tonights example of Kane. This is the same strategy I use for all my “anytime” scorer bets. The reason I started it is because Ronaldo is often as low as 1/4 to score anytime for Madrid. By using this strategy I have greatly improved my odds as he scores first a lot, when he doesn’t I find the odds are often close to evens for the “anytime” part of the bet.

This is just a friendly note on MY strategy, that works for ME. If you don’t agree then please dis-regard the comment and move on. I wont be around to defend it as I’m working all afternoon now.
If you like it. I hope you can find a way to incorporate it and adapt it for your bets and start making steady profit from the bookies.

One last note on this. Betfred often offer enhanced odds if you your first pick scores a second or third time. Their odds for first goalscorer are often slightly lower than other bookies as a result, but if you think your pick might get 2 or 3 then your can be ££££s in. Personally I usually use 365 for the in-play part.

I like them bets “the cheif” is excellent with his tips, I won a few bob on the w.c and my only strategy was to cover both 1st and anytime with most points going on the anytime as it happens that if you only cover 1 bet you will likely lose.

Ronaldo was a bet i did last season using the martingale system as he would rarely go 2/3 games without scoring, it did take a little bottle and i did take the money after every 3 or 4 games on the bounce of scoring i was finding he was evens to 2/1 for first so was worth the risk

Women’s world cup 12/1 japan and 10/1 Brazil each way as the two strongest on that side of draw to reach final. Canada , England and Norway also on that side but japan who won all games and Brazil both technically better . saw yesterday England were technically inferior and again conceded late on against better opposition they will come unstuck. Similar to senior men’s . I think some of the stuff Colombia played was excellent and England won through a bit f help from ref and two set plays ? That said they have had momentum but then so are other teams and they are 25/1 for a reason. I be weary of the continued bias commentary and the lack of criticism or acknowledgment to opposition. If England beat Norway they would then go on to play winner of hosts Canada or Switzerland then semis likely to be Brazil or japan . one thing that could b tomlook out is the goals market and btts and wins as teams now have to go for it.
American, France , and Germany are on other side of the draw. So for me that further reason to rate japan and Brazil as finalists if not winners! CCameroon and Norway would be outside gets on either side of the draw.

Cameroon are a very dangerous team…theyre physical and possess a lot of pace. Id back them to score against the best. Have they got enough quality to win it? Probably not but I think they can reach the semis with a bit of luck

FRanko, the short answer is why do you want to criticise any tip. Read about it, decide whether to back it or not and if it doesn’t come it’s because it’s a tip. Ask every bookie if they thought Germany would win yesterday and you’ll get one answer.

You’ve already got the answer that there’s never an acceptable time to criticise a tip…however, if you don’t agree with a tip no one (I think it’s fair to say) will object if you say you don’t agree with it because <>.

For example if you know about team selection, injuries etc then and feel it influences the tip then share it. As long as you keep it objective (and respect other people’s opinions) then it tends to work both ways and is well received. The problem is some people like to criticise just because someone specific tipped it or they dont like a team.

Only had 1 or 2 bets since the champs league final like the write up mate again great work. I do like the look of the U21 tonite gonna put some of the winnings on it. My mates portuguese and even hes jumped on england dnb.

I accept your point, but the reason the bookies had them favourites is simply because its Germany, but looking at both teams recent results, i wouldnt have fancied it atall, i thought we could debate tips and not just to critisize or trolling, but constructive critisism to help each other out. But it was your bet and your money on it i know that.

I can see why people criticize tips posted, especially the one like mine that is about to lose. Nobody likes losing money. But lets be honest. What use is having a moan about a losing bet after the final whistle is blown? It’s all a guessing game and we can only go by what we think is a good bet. Doesn’t deserve any hindsight feedback saying it was a bad tip. It’s 50/50, win, lose.

What I tend to see is plenty of people quick to criticize, but are nowhere to be seen when bets win.

I find the football thread the worst place for it too. Although johnb gets a lot of it, tipping horses is by far harder than football (imo). It’s just hindsight at the end of the day, which is no use to anyone.

There you have it. The tip I posted was backed down to below EVS and the final result was a draw @ 11/2 or Krouja DC @ 9/2 at best. I would have been ridiculed for posting either of those if they lost.

Completely off of subject. But I’ve just seen Neymar and Bacca both received red cards after the final whistle last night. Neymar was already suspended for the final group game because of his yellow in the first half, so is that an even bigger ban into the playoff game, if they qualify? Interesting.

Also, its a lot easier to be critical when you don’t even research someone’s tips. If you want to follow at least check form and head to heads on soccerway. I also look at a teams twitter to get info, and local news pages. Take responsibility for your losses instead of blaming someone else.

Jordan – I had looked at the stats on the Zalgiris game before you put up any tip … and thought I would see a good Zalgiris win. Seeing you tip it helped me decide to go for it. Made some money on the tip Satoshi put up on FHGs. Watched most of the second half and Zalgiris had plenty of chances. So for me was another good tip mainly stuffed up by a Lithuanian keeper who decided to become De Gea for the afternoon!! I also have no idea why people criticise ANY tips … I think this site is great and thanks to all that take the time to put up tips /ideas and their thinking.

Jordan, it was a bit tame. I’m cleaned up after the golf and off or a night out. Might even run into one or two of the Ladbrokeslads who are up from London for tomorrow’s SPFL fixtures launch. Hopefully we’ll get some prizes to give away. Check in much later but good luck Harry Kane.

I’ve learned my lessons on these games Skippy – at least 4 times Bet 365 have listed games from the Norwegian lower leagues that screamed goals that have been 0-0 at half time. They pick and choose what matches they feature in these divisions so I reckon they must know something we don’t.

I don’t think I have ever seen this whole community beeing in such bad form as now.
The ratio of winners / Loosers is no happy reading.
The amount lost over all forums over last days must be quite high.

Remember guys, taking a break day or two is very well needed sometimes.

Had a bit of a love affair with The Icelandic leagues and goals over last couple of seasons…they have served me very well for the most part. Looking more and more that bookies are reigning in prices so this one may not appeal to some!

Expecting goals here – not going to give reasoning but amongst other sources I use to triangulate basis for bets look at the previous here:

Appreciate the observation Daniel but 99% will not take notice. Admit its been a hard month as far, but I can still claim profit on this thread 18 days into June, and won my biggest bet of the year on the other sports thread yesterday where I have profited month after month on the NBA. It’s going fine. Comments like that aren’t need on a tipping site mate.

Just noticing Mr F having a hard time, John Bs Ascot start not so fancy and the corner kings form mildly said a little low right now and also regulars Iike You Jordan Mate, Harry and our guru Raal seems to be struggling keeping numbers in profit.

I am quite sure the percentage of punters online here in profit this week is quite low.

Just think more people should consider a few days off when it feels hard to find a good flow with the betting.

It has been slow and I think everyone is struggling Daniel but such is the case when we have little fixtures to gamble on. You might know that I’ve already posted big stakes on the Argentina handicap Saturday night, the Norwegian double on Sunday the Ljungskile goals on Monday. Other than that I probably won’t be having a bet tomorrow as its more of the worst cards I’ve seen this week.

Im playin smaller stakes as you know in the off season but soon be august and a new season I will be all over the sports thread too whenever the new nfl season starts had some good fun last season even though I only got involved with it in the playoffs, the tips were superb, the reasoning spot on and the Cheerleaders were bang tidy and as for Katy Perry I am still smiling now 😉

kicking back with a 12 pack hoping our young lions can roar like Katy Perry and our fluff last neet

DANIEL-you do have a fair point tbh but clever punters like the usual lads on here will go small stakes/points.This helps reduce losses until form returns.When im at work i see bus drivers buying/spending allsorts of shite from the canteen,the money their spend during the week would give me a months worth of bets!Punters like me like to bet most days but not for high stakes or anything serious

Until English football has an overhaul at grass roots level . They will keep producing garbage at every level from youth to senior team. Tournament experience is only good if you learn from it . We have had decades to put quality info structure in place with quality coaches . We will never progress until we get that sorted. Look at Germany and Spain and Holland always have great plans to coach from very young age

do not see england with the lonely star in a harry kane as favorites tonite. portugal have more experienced team with players from portuguese and french top division and they should not lose here.
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0-1 FT, WIN
W25,L17,P2
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To be fair Danny I said last night that England should not have been the favourites for that game but I was never going to back Portugal as its not Patriotic. Had enough chances to score but that’s another hindsight moment. Hardest game out of the way but we’ll see what happens from now.

Right then,Iceland 1 Delid Haulage v Grotta tomorrow 19.15. BTTS No.Best price 5/4 PP. Now the science bit, the away side have played six games and have yet to win,scoring once,the home side sit three places above Grotta and have played two home games and won both scoring three times and conceding once,I am willing to take the gamble on btts no at odds against. I am no resident of Iceland and no not of their league’s however this is based purely on stats alone and a pinch of luck just hope it lands!

Danny t couldn’t agree with you more, all of them too much to young, all are young kids wanna do is jumpers for goal posts,were as other countries teach is control pass a move from an early age, we are still decades behind technically

8 of the last 10 H2H have seen btts
6 of Figueirense’s last 10 at home in the league have seen btts with them scoring in 9 of them
7 of Internacional’s last 10 away league games have seen btts with them also scoring in 7 of them (in fact it’s 7 of the last 8)

Took them before kick off Kev but Engerland game 1.5 MGs already busted me
Am thinking BTTS(2.5 too maybe)in Peru v Venezuela game has a great chance but no really up for decent size stakes which it need be after I got in profit eventually today.
Still tempted but. 😛
FarFan and Rondon goals?

Hullshaker any idea what happened with the vasco u20 game? Had vasco to acore 3 goals or more but paddy power suspended and removed the match at 2.1 to vasco, can’t find any trace of the game on the interweb either. Any help would be great!

Andrew, the game finished 2-1. I had them to win along with under 8 corners in the Lybia game and Venezuela HT draw FT win. Thanks to the poor decision by the ref to send a player off, it looks like my 70/1 long shot has had it. Not even a cover available!