An Ohio Bellwether

By Allysia Finley

We don’t know yet whether Republican Jim Renacci will steal Ohio’s 16th district from freshman Democrat John Boccieri, but here are some indicators that he might. Boccieri hasn’t gotten above 40 in the last two polls, and he’s representing a district that favored both McCain and Bush (by 12 points in 2000). Boccieri was one of the few Democrats to vote against ObamaCare in November and to switch his vote when the health bill came up again in March. That said, by March he may have already realized he was a goner since he had supported the politically toxic cap and tax and stimulus bills. But if he manages to pull it out, Democrats may be in for a better than expected night.