It's going to have gone extra tropical by the time it reaches that part of the Atlantic. it's pretty common for that happened this time of year and the Atlantic systems can get surprisingly strong when this happens

The bigger issue with this gfs run is the fact that it has it so far east so quickly. compare where has it in 132 hours with the NHS forecast position at 120 hours, they are leagues apart, it's so rapid!

P.s., if you want to see something really funky take a look at the 12 Z ecm run. It has Leslie heading-back westwards around 25n into the central Atlantic!

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If the EC and GFS solutions pan out, Leslie would definitely be the craziest system on record in NATL. Transition from ex-tropical to sub-tropical and back to ex-tropical again then becomes a tropical hurricane while looping around in the middle of nowhere . Finally it tracks SW to make landfall on Africa/Portugal or dip into MDR and do a classic Cape Verde track...

Latest GFS going the way of the earlier Euro and takes Leslie back towards the west as a strengthening system after 120 hours.

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The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products. ---My comics.http://tba.cfw.me/http://tbakids.cfw.me/

The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products. ---My comics.http://tba.cfw.me/http://tbakids.cfw.me/

Euro starting to hint at moving Leslie back west. My desired track is a turn back west and then obliterated by a front, keeping Leslie alive a few more days. Hard to say exactly what will happen at this point.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.