New poll gives Boris a 12% lead, biggest of campaign

With just two full days until polling day Populus have released their poll on the London Mayoral election and are saying that Boris Johnson is on course for a big win.

In a poll for The Times, Populus put Boris Johnson 46% to 34% ahead of Ken Livingstone in the first round and and 54% to 44% in the second round. In other words the Mayor has a 12% lead in both rounds in his bid for what would be a spectacular re-election.

I say "spectacular" because the Conservatives are 11% behind Labour across London in the same poll, by 44% to 33%. Boris Johnson is out-performing his party by a massive margin. By the same token, of course, Ken Livingstone is badly under-performing his party.

A total of one-in-six Labour voters tell Populus that they'll be voting for Boris.

If Populus is accurate the Liberal Democrat Brian Paddick is set to come a humiliating fourth in the first round with just 5% of the vote. Green Jenny Jones could finish third, with 6% of support.