Africa Great Lakes Democracy Watch

Welcome toAfrica Great Lakes Democracy Watch Blog.Our objective is to promote the institutions of democracy,social justice,Human Rights,Peace, Freedom ofExpression, and Respect to humanity in Rwanda,Uganda,DR Congo, Burundi,Sudan, Tanzania, Kenya,Ethiopia, and Somalia. We strongly believe that Africa will develop if only our presidents stop being rulers of men and become leaders of citizens. We support Breaking the Silence Campaign for DR Congo since we believe the democracy in Rwanda means peace inDRC. Follow this link to learn more about the origin of the war in both Rwanda and DR Congo:http://www.rwandadocumentsproject.net/gsdl/cgi-bin/library

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

RWANDA-DRC:Congo's Blood Spilling into Rwanda?

Around 3AM, I woke up to unusual calls from Rwanda. "The FDLR has attacked and Gisenyi is evacuating" the callers said.

A few minutes later, I logged into my Twitter account to seeking more
verification on this disturbing brief. In this day and age, if news is
not on Twitter then it might not exist. Indeed, I noticed that a number
of Twitter accounts had already started circulating it. What seemed
strange is that most of these Twitter accounts seemed to be the usual
suspects whose work is to regurgitate Rwanda's official propaganda. A
simple search using the #FDLR hashtag will reveal them!

However, several western journalists seemed to have bought the story--at
least initially. In fact, Phili Gourevitch might have been the first to
break the story. Below is a screenshot from his timeline some nine
hours ago.

At this point, I have no doubt that shots were fired around
Rwanda-Kibumba border. It is also true, as my sources allege, that
several Rwandans fled the areas of Bugeshi. The villagers also continue
to claim that the FDLR are the main attackers. But is there truth to
this?

FDLR is a rebel group in eastern Congo whose fighting elements include
some of the brutes who participated in the Rwandan genocide. However, according to Amnesty International,
the majority of its fighters are said to be too young to have
participated in the genocide. In other words, it is one among many rebel
groups in the region whose strategy seldom match their said objectives.

So why would FDLR attack Rwanda at this time? Is it even logistically feasible?

Without scrutiny, the fog of war tends to allow many rumors to pass as
truth. However, just a little brain exercise would show that this FDLR
attacks were actually stage managed by Rwanda. There are several reasons
behind my conclusion.

First, the attackers (Rwanda says close to 200 of them) are said to have
originated from Kibumba. The entire territory from Rutshuru to Goma is
under the direct control of the Rwandan aided M23 rebel group. Moreover,
since the M23 rebellion started, journalists have noted that Rwanda
reinforced deployments along its border with DRC. It would be suicidal
and strategically stupid for 200 rebels to risk entering the Rwandan
territory.

And even if they did, what would be the goal of sending in 200 troops to
face the super equipped Rwandan army? Rwandan government sources claim
that the "enemy was quickly liquidated?" Hardly unpredictable. The rest
of the rebels are said to have taken to the heels.

Everything does read like a well choreographed script. An enemy attacks
Rwanda to prove to the international community that Rwanda has genuine
security interests in DRC. This, they hope, will spin international
opinion to their favor. But can anyone fall for such an amateurism ploy?

Second, why would the FDLR attack at this time? Any observer knows that
FDLR hasn't launched any attacks on Rwandan territory for the last ten
years. The reason is, in part, because they lack the capacity to do
that. They also seem to believe that fighting against Rwanda would cause
so much of their kins (red: Hutu) to die. Hence, their strategy has
been to stay in the DRC forests where we are told they deal primarily in
the sell of Marijuana.

Third, the FDLR does not have a good working relationship with Joseph
Kabila's government. They believe Kabila betrayed them by allowing
Rwandan special forces to come in hunting for them. Moreover, the
Congolese army has been launching attacks against them for several years
now. Why would they agree to cooperate with Kabila? Who cooperates with
someone who wants them dead? This seems very unlikely.

In short, Rwanda is trying to resurrect an old script that has, in the
past, worked in their favor. The world tends to see the conflict as a
battle between good and evil. The Hutu forces, having participated in
genocide, are irredeemably evil. This is the script that has legitimized
Kagame's tyranny in Rwanda even to the embarrassment of his western
allies. Residents of this region haven't forgotten though. We know that
this is an excuse that Kagame has used to interfere in the Congo were he
has left with a huge loot of minerals, leaving behind a long trail of
blood.

The script is getting tired and old. To many people are suffering in
the process. The world must not allow Kagame to joke with our conscience

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