Business Directories

Oil falls towards $77 on US inventory data

Singapore, June 17, 2010

Oil retreated by 0.8 per cent towards $77 on Thursday, slipping from its highest since early May, as the pace of demand growth was questioned following mixed economic and inventory data from the US.

US industrial production rose faster than forecast in May, while housing starts fell more than expected. And the nation's demand for distillate fuel including heating oil and diesel jumped over the past four weeks, while crude inventories posted a surprise increase last week.

Renewed concerns about Spain's credit and banking system toppled the euro from a two-week high against the dollar on Wednesday. The greenback extended gains on Thursday, up about 0.3 per cent against a basket of currencies.

US crude for July fell 59 cents to $77.08 a barrel at 0300 GMT, having touched $78.13 on Wednesday, the highest intraday price since May 10. ICE Brent for August slid 13 cents to $78.01.

'The poorer than expected housing data and the unexpected gains in crude inventories are weighing on prices,' said Serene Lim, a Singapore-based oil analyst at ANZ.

'Investors will be quite jittery about the euro, and the strength of the dollar will cap gains in oil,' Lim said.

A stronger dollar makes imports more expensive for holders of other currencies.

European Union leaders hope to agree on ways to strengthen budget discipline and economic policy coordination on Thursday to show financial markets they can manage the euro zone debt crisis.

Oil prices have recovered by about 19 per cent from this year's low below $65 on May 20. Some analysts say the rebound responds to a clearer perception that the effect of Europe's debt crisis on energy demand will be limited.

'The true likely importance of European debt concerns has perhaps now been better quantified, and the focus seems to have shifted to threats that might moderate growth in specific regions, rather than fears that the entire global economic recovery will be derailed,' Barclays Capital said in a weekly report.

'With economic fears abounding, the second quarter has proved something of a lost quarter for oil prices,' the bank said.

Overall oil product demand in the US advanced by 1.9 per cent in the past four weeks, the Energy Information Administration said in a weekly report on Wednesday. Distillate use jumped almost 14 per cent in the same period.

But the nation's crude stockpiles rose unexpectedly last week by 1.7 million barrels on the back of higher imports and lower refinery utilisation, the EIA said. – Reuters