To play the game, here are your submission choices:1) "Renew (Not Confident)" or "Cancel (Not Confident)": +1 point for a win, 0 points for a loss. 2) "Renew (Confident)" or "Cancel (Confident)": +2 points for a win, -2 points for a loss.

These choices must be locked by Thursday, October 9 at 6:00 am ET.

3)
You may also guess "Renew" or "Cancel" after the deadline, up to
exactly one week later. ALL guesses in this period will be worth +1
point for a win and -1 point for a loss. You can NOT change a guess after the deadline if you submitted before the deadline.

This show will drop to be the lowest rated Wednesday comedy. As I imagine ABC will cut one hour of comedy programming, only three singlecams will be renewed, with the 9:30 spot still being the best launchpad.

Even if ABC drops a comedy hour, there are plenty of sitcoms lower on the totem pole to be canceled (Selfie, Manhattan Love Story, Last Man Standing). With Galavant being thrown into the Sunday breach, that leaves Cristela and Fresh Off the Boat. The former's on Fridays and the latter could replace the former if it's a disappointment. It may end up being a face-saving renewal, especially if ABC wants to continue touting diversity in its lineup, but that's irrelevant for these purposes.

I'd expect Spot's call here last year would be defer. I'm going to take a shot because I'm not sure how much clarity tonight's number will provide, but I'm not feeling enough conviction to go for the two-point conversion here.

Erring on the side of optimism mostly because the risk of the show falling headlong into a racist trap seems to have been avoided (if it hadn't, I'd have heard as much from the black feminists I follow on Twitter). Creative execution could be a big deal for this show going forward, which makes me scared to back it with any risk, but right now I have reason to believe in it.

Frankly, even with the drop, what other comedy does ABC have that will do better? Tuesdays are DOA, Last Man Standing is possibly on its last year, is doing poorly in that it will give Cristela a rough lead-in, Galavant is on Sunday by its lonesome outside of Ressurection, and Fresh Off the Boat could go anywhere, but seeing how it was only picked up to get Last Man Standing doesn't give a bright future. And ABC has for the past few years renewed at least one new comedy, no matter how marginal (2010-11 Happy Endings, 2011-12 Suburgatory, Apt. 23 2012-13 Neighbors, 2013-14 Goldbergs)

I could see it getting off the Super Fun Night track tonight. I could see it staying on said track, too, although I think the chances of that are lower since the shows are better matches (allegedly). Hence the above.