The Reason: Jaime Garcia takes the mound for the St. Louis Cardinals tonight, and he will pitch against the San Francisco Giants’ Madison Bumgarner. Both pitchers have been reasonably effective this season, with Bumgarner taking a larger advantage in ERA (2.80 over Garcia’s 4.09)…

The Daily Gambling Fix – 5/16/21 – Richaele Long

The Reason: Jaime Garcia takes the mound for the St. Louis Cardinals tonight, and he will pitch against the San Francisco Giants’ Madison Bumgarner. Both pitchers have been reasonably effective this season, with Bumgarner taking a larger advantage in ERA (2.80 over Garcia’s 4.09). Garcia’s ERA, however, is inflated by his above-average batting average on balls in play (BABIP), which is .342. This would indicate that he is due for a lights out start to regress toward the league average in that category, and the Giants offense is one that will definitely give him that opportunity. Look for Garcia to pitch well and the Cardinals to come out with a win at home.

The Reason: The ageless wonder Jamie Moyer pitches for the Colorado Rockies tonight at home against the young Patrick Corbin of the Diamondbacks. Both of the teams are 2-8 in their last ten, so neither of them have any real momentum coming into this game. Moyer has pitched reasonably well all season long, with a 4.66 ERA that is really inflated by a .341 BABIP. Corbin’s ERA on the season is no better at 4.50, with no real inflation from his BABIP. One of these teams will come alive tonight, and the Rockies will be the one to do it. Look for Moyer to earn the 269th win of his career at home.