Comments

You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

My condolences to the families and friends of all the victims.

The facts and tragedy of Bruce Bernor's death stand by themselves.

The tragic deaths in the other two recent incidents on December 25, 2015 and February 2, 2019 share at least six coincidences that may be statistically unremarkable individually but become less likely when combined. Consider just three of coincidences that have been publicly disclosed:

1. Daly City residents.
2. 23-year-old victims.
3. Toyotas.

Combined probability shows that three random probabilities with a hypothetical 1 in 10 chance of occurring jump to a 1 in 1,000 probability when combined ((1/10) * (1/10) * (1/10).
The same hypothetical 1 in 10 chance jumps to a 1 in 1,000,000 probability when combined six times.

Unknown is how many other wrong-way drivers make it from Daly City to Pacifica and safely exit Highway 1 before loss of life or property.

RELATED:
Pacifica (population 39K) shares a northern border with Daly City (population 107K), or 2.74 times our size. It's predictable that southbound drivers might be from Daly City, and by itself it's not statistically unlikely that both drivers might be from Daly City.

23-year-old victims are not the least common car accident victims, with drivers under 20 roughly three times more likely to be represented in fatal car crashes, but California teen drivers are disappearing and comprise only 3. 3% of total drivers. By itself it may not be statistically unlikely that both accidents claimed 23-year-old victims.

Toyota frequently tops lists of most commonly sold vehicles in California and independently both Toyota Corolla and Prius sell well locally, so by itself it may not be statistically unlikely.

In light of the 911 calls reporting the wrong-way Prius, its driver must have entered Highway 1 at the top of hill or even earlier. But it is almost certain that at least one of the driver's two passengers was aware of the impending doom. Therefore, I believe that the Prius driver was suicidal, and his two terrified passengers, who died, may have been trying to intervene. An absence of drugs and alcohol in the passengers' systems would add credibility to my theory.