Friday, June 30, 2006

Third Poll Agrees: Approval at 41%, LA Times

The third poll in two days has checked in with an approval rating of 41%. The LA Times/Bloomberg poll has approval at 41%, disapproval at 56%. The 41% matches polls by Hotline and Fox that were released yesterday. The LATimes poll was conducted 6/24-27, while the Hotline was done 6/21-25 and Fox 6/27-28. Gallup and ABC/WP produced polls ending 6/25 with approval at 37% and 38% respectively.

The addition of the LATimes brings my estimated approval trend to 38.98%, exactly a 5 point gain from the low of 33.98% on May 12. President Bush's approval rating fell from a 2006 high of 42.34% on January 5, losing 8.36% over 128 days, a rate of one point each 15.3 days. From May 15 to June 28 he has gained one point each 9.0 days, an impressive rate of gain.

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About Me

I am co-founder of Pollster.com and founder of PollsAndVotes.com.
I am also a professor of political science at the University of Wisconsin, where I teach statistical analysis of polls, public opinion and election results. Data visualization is central to my approach to analysis.
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