Another evidence of Peak Oil: Suncor’s CEO said today that it requires $75 crude price just to break even due to increased difficulty in exploration and production. Guess what? A few years ago a typical oil sand project only costs about $30-$40 per barrel. It’s certainly getting harder and harder to extract the black gold out of the rigs.

Peak Oil is certainly coming. What does it mean to ordinary people like you and me? Not much to worry about except higher pump price? That’s what I thought too. What about Black out, Food Shortage? What about $400 Oil, 100% Unemployment Rate, 1000% Inflation? What about Civil Unrest, Global Resource Wars? What about Civilization as we know, may enter a new age that some calls PISA (Post Industrial Stone Age)?

I was threaten by the picture laid out by LATOC (Life After The Oil Crisis). Our food production, our construction sector, transportation sector, technology, highway, modern city, even financial system – everything is dependent on petroleum product. Dark age lies ahead, if we were not able to find alternative energy source, in time.

Wait a second – we already have Solar power, nuclear power, bio-fuel and etc. What about the fact that none of these scales up to a few million people, much less than the current 6.5 billion of our species? What if these ‘alternative’ energy source, is actually ‘derivative’ of oil? The fact is that we need oil in order to be able to set up the infrastructure of these energy source.

We’ve already passed discovery peak 40 years ago and are finding less and less new reserves. If we’re not able to find more and more, we’re certainly not able to produce more and more, it’s just as simple as that.

To me there’s no doubt that it’s coming. It’s just a problem of how mankind, as a whole, will maneuver it. Deal with it, or it will deal with us. We have hope, we need to act. The next 50 – 100 years, mankind faces it’s biggest challenge ever. It’s up to us to save the cruise ship of the civilization, before we give it up for a few tiny lifeboat.