Donald Trump and the president of the Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas, on Tuesday in Bethlehem. THOMAS COEX (AFP)

The countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) – with the exception of Saudi Arabia, tried, in February of this year, an approach with the Islamic Republic after Saudi Arabia and Bahrain were cutting the diplomatic relations with Iran in January of 2016, after the manifestations that provoked the fire of Saudi embassy in Teheran. While Kuwait, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates withdrew his envoys in a sample of solidarity with Riyadh, Oman only expressed his sorrow for the assault.

The aim of this approximation was “the cooperation with the neighboring States” being this “one of the priorities of Iran” and that they all have to “bear in mind the danger of the common enemies “, as the terrorism yihadista, commented Rouhani, according to the Agency of News of the Islamic Republic (IRNA).

Nevertheless, moths later, the daily American The Wall Street Journal published that the Gulf States would be ready to improve and check his relations with Israel to re-throw the process of peace in a zone so refined as Middle East.

The principal obstacle that it presents at the moment of guaranteeing Israel’s relations with the petroleum monarchies is the sealed off Israeli conflict – Palestinian. According to the Wall Street Journal, the Gulf nations are ready to establish links with Israel in his nets of telecommunications and allow the overflight of Israeli aircraft, as well as the raising of some commercial restrictions. In exchange for it, they ask to the Government of Benjamin Netanyahu gestures of opening towards the Palestinians, who might include the cessation in the construction of Israeli accessions in certain areas of West Bank and liberate the trade with the Gaza strip.

The new president Trump declared repeatedly that for him is “very important to solve the conflict”. And in his first international trip seems to confirm the above mentioned will. This could suppose a new door of hope for his resolution. In the press conference that there granted the prime minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, together with Trump, this one remained the need to do concessions in altars of to peace, and requested him, in very diplomatic terms, that stop the construction of accessions. In addition, and in opposition to what has spread, Trump did not reject the solution of two States.

The same Netanyahu raised in a diaphanous way his two requirements: the recognition of Israel as a Jewish State and to support the safety in the border with Jordan, none of which is, a priori, incompatible with a future Palestinian State. The question of the capital shared between both States in Jerusalem, continues being the most complex problem of resolving.

The regional stage created sine the irruption of the Arab spring, the civil war of Syria, the Iranian expansionism in Arabic lands, the extensive cooperation in safety between Israel and countries of the region and the initiative of peace of the Arabic League, they might be creating a “perfect storm” to obtain a successful process of peace between Israel and Palestine, which only can be sustained on the solution of two States.

This volition of Israel to improve the current situation and to achieve the definitive solution of the conflict can been seen reflected in the end of the hunger strike, after 40 days and carried out by a thousand of Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails, when this dawn comes to an agreement with the Israeli authorities on some conditions that they were demanding.

Thought also this approach might see since other perspective: that of the “common enemy”. The States of the Gulf share with the government of Netanyahu his worry on Iran and the Islamic State. And this approximation has allowed to Trump to prepare a strategy orientated to initiating a process of peace, in that the principal aim is to reach a status quo of dialog between Israelis and Palestinians.

But the real and principal problem of the region would not be so much the conflict between Palestinians and Israelis, but rather the increasing presence of Iran. In repeated occasions, Israel has accused to the Persian country of destabilizing the neighbors by means of the smuggling of weapon and money. “Iran is the principal sponsor of the world terrorism”, considered the founder of the party an ultranationalist Our Home Israel.

The repeated support that has expressed Iran so much to Hamas (the last one after the choice of the new leader of Hamas, Ismail Haniya) as to Hezbollah (with which, close to Russia, they installed a joint command in support to the Syrian president) and the possibility that the Islamic republic has in a medium term of nuclear armament, it might have generated unease in the Jewish State, which has met in addition frightened by the approximation between the new authorities of Egypt and Hamas, being able to worsen the situation in his borders. The surveys show that nowadays more than 50 % of the Egyptians pronounce themselves for annulling the agreement of peace with the Jewish country.

Therefore, Israel would have taken advantage of this approximation for the creation of the front anti Iranian. A front that would be very supported by the Saudi regime, which began a war of words against Iran, in which both powers were threatened mutually of his destruction.

Therefore, with the arrival of Trump, starts seeing increasingly viable the solution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. But this, paradoxically, has supposed an increase of the tensions between the powers of Middle East, which would avoid the direct war between both nations, by means of a series of indirect conflicts in countries as Syria, Iraq or Yemen, to debilitate the enemy, impeding much more the creation of a stable and, government consequently, the regional stability.

In the 70s and 80s of last century, The United States and the Soviet Union, they used these tactics of fighting in “the back court”, using as stages of the general conflict countries as Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Namibia or Angola (where Cuba, paid for Moscow, managed to have 30.000 soldiers supporting Marxist regime of José Eduardo dos Santos). The results are known: thousands of dead men, unviable countries and an enormous cost for both contenders, in exchange for practically no advantage. To date, there is a high probability that this will be the stage for the Middle East. Many have to change the tables so that they do not repeat what has been lived 37 years ago.