Why we know we’re right: Coach Derek Dooley has talked about returning to the Tennessee way. After the instability at the top, it’s easy to see how the Vols’ confidence might have been shaken in recent years. That’s likely all behind them now and it’s all about the product on the field. That’s good for UT. As a freshman, QB Tyler Bray showed a lot of promise (and no shortage of confidence) as the starter the last five games of the year. However, he ended spring with a poor performance. Still, he is one of 13 starters back on the team. The Vols lost their most experienced receivers, but Justin Hunter is back and will welcome the addition of stellar recruits Da’Rick Rogers and DeAnthony Arnett. Tauren Poole, a 1,000-yard running back, is back, as is a still young, but experienced offensive line.

Why we might be wrong: There are still questions on defense, such as, will safety Janzen Jackson be a part of this thing? Jackson planned to transfer, then, days later, was back but not without a caution warning from Dooley. In any case, Janzen makes this team much better if he is around. Only one starting defensive lineman is back, but ends Corey Miller and Jacques Smith are potential stalwarts. The linebacker unit must also rebound from graduations.

Our confidence level in this pick: Solid. A seven-win season isn’t all that bad considering what they are up against. The Vols meet LSU, Alabama and Arkansas from the SEC West. That could very well be the toughest schedule for any team in the East.

Judgment day: Oct. 8 - Georgia. Considering the problems Florida has, a win in the Swamp might not be telling. More can be gleaned from the Georgia game, which is in Knoxville. It will show how far Bray has come, and give a real glimpse of things to come.

Coach’s job security: Solid. Dooley feels like the right man for the job. After so much drama, he can settle in. He’ll be given a little time to build on last year and do it, over time, with his own recruits.