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08 April 2012

Let’s Be Honest

For whatever reason, it is unfashionable to be realistic about reality. Even among conservatives.John Derbyshire is being lambasted for this article.Most people practice what Derbyshire preaches, yet everyone seems to be offended by him making simple observations about a reality which most people not only acknowledge, but practically live by.Since Derbyshire’s accurate assessment of reality offends so many, I feel compelled to link to it and quote it:

(6) As you go through life, however, you will experience an ever larger number of encounters with black Americans. Assuming your encounters are random—for example, not restricted only to black convicted murderers or to black investment bankers—the Law of Large Numbers will inevitably kick in. You will observe that the means—the averages—of many traits are very different for black and white Americans, as has been confirmed bymethodical inquiries in the human sciences.

(9) A small cohort of blacks—in my experience, around five percent—isferociously hostile to whites and will go to great lengths to inconvenience or harm us. A much larger cohort of blacks—around half—will go along passively if the five percent take leadership in some event. They will do this out of racial solidarity, the natural willingness of most human beings to be led, and a vague feeling that whites have it coming.

(10) Thus, while always attentive to the particular qualities of individuals, on the many occasions where you have nothing to guide you but knowledge of those mean differences, use statistical common sense:

(10c) If planning a trip to a beach or amusement park at some date, find out whether it is likely to be swamped with blacks on that date (neglect of that one got me the closest I have ever gotten to death by gunshot).