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Charles Clay said the Bills "don't want me coming off the field."

Clay better be an every-down player considering the Bills made him the NFL's highest-paid tight end over the next two seasons ($11.5M per). That doesn't mean he'll be a statistical force. Clay will block a lot in Rex Ryan's run-centric offense and when the Bills do pass, it will be spread around by shaky quarterbacks. Sammy Watkins, Percy Harvin and Robert Woods will be chirping for targets. Mar 26 - 8:08 AM

Bills signed TE Charles Clay, formerly of the Dolphins, to a five-year, $38 million contract with $20 million guaranteed.

The Dolphins refused to match the exorbitant offer sheet, instead letting Clay, 26, head to Western New York. Miami recently signed Jordan Cameron to a two-year, $15 million deal and is happy with Dion Sims behind him. In Buffalo, Clay replaces Scott Chandler as the starter, but can do a lot more than his predecessor as a "move" tight end with the ability to line up in multiple spots. Still, making Clay the league's fourth-highest paid tight end at $7.6 annually and guaranteeing a whopping 52.6 percent of his contract is a questionable call by the Bills. Mar 19 - 11:30 AM

Dolphins transition player Charles Clay signed a five-year, $38 million offer sheet with the Bills.

The deal includes a whopping $20 million guaranteed, and $24.2 million over the first two years. Per NFL.com's Ian Rapoport, the offer is "structured to attack" Miami's cap space in 2016. The Dolphins now have five days to match. They will receive no compensation if they pass. It's the culmination of a week-long odyssey that's seen the AFC East rivals jockey over the H-back whilst remaking their rosters at tight end. The Bills cut Scott Chandler, while Miami signed Jordan Cameron. The Buffalo News previously reported there's a "90 percent chance" Clay ends up a Bill. NFL Network's Mike Silver reports the Dolphins' final offer to Clay was for four years and $27 million, and included $15 million guaranteed. Mar 17 - 7:21 PM

A source with knowledge of the situation told the Buffalo News the Bills have a "90 percent chance" of landing Dolphins transition player Charles Clay.

We do wonder if this "source" is Clay's agent, using the Buffalo News to threaten the Dolphins into a higher long-term contract offer. The Bills are reportedly taking their time to devise a deal that the Dolphins would be unable to match. We still feel like this situation isn't predictable enough to make a confident forecast, but the Bills look like the favorites at this point. Mar 16 - 5:39 PM