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Given the popularity of the 2012 version (over 10,000 downloads!), very little changes have been made to the 2013 version.

One change you may notice is the introduction of a Trading Degrees of Freedom analysis. Given the new substitute trade feature that was introduced last year, the number of degrees of freedom for each line informs you how many players from other lines may be switched across when trading. This feature is a vital game strategy and was used to great affect by last years winner. I would expect it to play a most important role for your team when it comes to trading in the ruck this year.

M/s Business Business Associates is a register Forex Firm with Registrar of Firm in Islamabad and Franchise by under the shelter of State Bank of Pakistan, Exchange Policy Department Karachi.

Well, as concerned to the AA Exchange company this is A Category Foreign Exchange Company registered with SECP, and Permission by State Bank of Pakistan and Further We are allowed to Exchange all sort of Foreign Currencies the best

rate in Pakistan.

AA Exchange Company is working as a Master Agent of renowned Money Transfer Company WESTERN UNION.

AA Exchange is allowed to Pay Remittances and send remittances via Western Union Unique and a large network in the World. more than 70% people prefer to transfer and receive Money Through Western Union.

AA Exchange Company have the Facility to Remit Money through all of Pakistani Banks through FTT (Foreign Telegraphic Transfer) to all over the World but not India and Israel.

AA Exchange Company have the permission to Issue Bank Draft, Pay Orders by all Banks working in Pakistan.

In 70's Hundred of thousands of Pakistani Nationals left for Middle East, Europe, and USA for better prospect and to earn livelihood. After about two years, inward Foreign Exchange remittances increased manifold and during next decade, it become necessary to have Money Exchange business regularized, Therefore, the Money Changing business was granted legal status and State Bank of Pakistan authorized Money Changers to conduct Money Changing business in year 1991. Since then M/S. Bostan International, was incorporated on 30th Dec, 1992 and has been doing business of Money Changing.

M/S. Bostan International being a reputed Money Changer having good market reputation and Position. During the period of Economic Sanctions imposed by World community on the eve of Nuclear Detonation on May 28th 1998, Key member of Forex Association of Pakistan (Representative body of Authorized Money Changers) M/S. Bostan International was the highest Tax Payer among Authorized Money Changers. Outstanding tax liability up to 30-06-2003 (Assessment year 2003-04) is nil.

After the sad mishap of 11th September 2001 in New York, USA. Every Government started emphasizing on documentation on any intra country deals, bank transactions, etc. Responding to the call of day and changing global environment, State Bank of Pakistan played important role in the documentation procedure in Financial Institutions including the Foreign Exchange dealers like, Authorized Money Changers. Formulation of Currency Exchange Companies was a first step towards strict documentation procedures.

Under the directive of State Bank of Pakistan, (F. E. Circular No.9 Dated 30th July,2002 Promulgation of Ordinance No. XXX of 2002 for the amendments in Foreign Exchange Regulation Act. 1947) for establishment of Exchange Companies, which were required to replace the existing system of Authorized Money Changers, last date mentioned as 30th July, 2004.

In the light of above fact, M/S PAKISTAN CURRENCY EXCHANGE COMPANY (PVT) Ltd. was incorporated under the Companies Ordinance 1984 in Karachi, Pakistan to cop with the present working environment. SECURITIES & EXCHANGE COMMISSION OF PAKISTAN, Vide Company Registration No issued certificate of Incorporation: K-09411 of 2002-2003 Furthermore, State Bank of Pakistan has also issued Exchange Company License No: 13, under state Bank of Pakistan Letter No: EPD/9180/24(31) EC-/2003 dated 14th Nov, 2004 and renewable after three years.

The ability to add additional material to the simulation has been central in the design of the simulation. Rail Simulator allows easy inclusion of add-on material covering new routes, rolling stock and additional missions. We are currently working with third party developers and expect to have additional add-ons for the game available shortly after its release. Of great importance to the more enthusiastic railway fan is the ability to create their own additional routes, so included with Rail Simulator is an editor that allows the creation of new environments. These tools have been developed with simplicity in mind, so as to encourage the development and exchange of user-generated content, which can be shared and used by other railway enthusiasts.

Back in the early part of the 20th century, Livermore made and lost millions shorting the market.

"Reminiscences of a Stock Operator " by Edwin Lefevre, a fictionalized account of Livermore's path from small-time bucketeer to big-time stock trader, is one of the most widely-read and revered books on trading.

In the introduction to a recent edition of "Reminiscences ," William O'Neil, founder of Investor's Business Daily. wrote that, "in my 45 years of experience in this business, I have only found 10 or 12 books that were of any real value — Reminiscences is one of them."

Today, many in the market know Jesse Livermore from the pseudonymous Twitter account of the same name.

And while the modern "Livermore" offers some some great market commentary, the real Jesse Livermore offered the most incisive commentary on markets, all of which still holds up today.

Back in early 2013, Raymond James strategist Jeff Saut reflected on Livermore in his weekly commentary. writing that, " Years ago I studied the tactics of Jesse Livermore, along with a number of other stock market operators, and have found many of those strategies to be as valid today as they were decades ago."

In that commentary Saut included Livermore's 21 trading rules, written in 1940.

More than 70 years later, these are rules every trader needs to keep in mind:

Nothing new ever occurs in the business of speculating or investing in securities and commodities.

Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year.

Don’t trust your own opinion and back your judgment until the action of the market itself confirms your opinion.

Markets are never wrong – opinions often are.

The real money made in speculating has been in commitments showing in profit right from the start.

At long as a stock is acting right, and the market is right, do not be in a hurry to take profits.

One should never permit speculative ventures to run into investments.

The money lost by speculation alone is small compared with the gigantic sums lost by so-called investors who have let their investments ride.

Never buy a stock because it has had a big decline from its previous high.

Never sell a stock because it seems high-priced.

I become a buyer as soon as a stock makes a new high on its movement after having had a normal reaction.

Never average losses.

The human side of every person is the greatest enemy of the average investor or speculator.

Wishful thinking must be banished.

Big movements take time to develop.

It is not good to be too curious about all the reasons behind price movements.

It is much easier to watch a few than many.

If you cannot make money out of the leading active issues, you are not going to make money out of the stock market as a whole.

The leaders of today may not be the leaders of two years from now.

Do not become completely bearish or bullish on the whole market because one stock in some particular group has plainly reversed its course from the general trend.

Few people ever make money on tips. Beware of inside information. If there was easy money lying around, no one would be forcing it into your pocket.

Perhaps no other market in the world has the universal appeal of the gold market. For centuries, gold has been coveted for its unique blend of rarity, beauty, and near indestructibility. Nations have embraced gold as a store of wealth and a medium of international exchange; individuals have sought to possess gold as insurance against the day-to-day uncertainties of paper money.

CME Group gold futures and options provide an important alternative to traditional means of investing in gold such as bullion, coins, and mining stocks.

Gold futures contracts are also valuable trading tools for commercial producers and users of the metal. Commercial concentrations of gold are found in widely distributed areas: in association with ores of copper and lead, in quartz veins, in the gravel of stream beds, and with pyrites (iron sulfide). Seawater contains astonishing quantities of gold, but its recovery is not economical.

The greatest early surge in gold refining followed the first voyage of Columbus. From 1492 to 1600, Central and South America and the Caribbean islands contributed significant quantities of gold to world commerce. Colombia, Peru, Ecuador, Panama, and Hispaniola contributed 61% of the world's newfound gold during the 17th century. In the 18th century, they supplied 80%.

Following the California gold discovery of 1848, North America became the world's major gold supplier; from 1850 to 1875, more gold was discovered than in the previous 350 years. By 1890, the gold fields of Alaska and the Yukon were the principal sources of supply and, shortly afterwards, discoveries in the African Transvaal indicated deposits that exceeded even these. Today, the principal gold producing countries include South Africa, the United States, Australia, Canada, China, Indonesia, and Russia.

The United States first assigned a formal monetary role for gold in 1792, when Congress put the nation's currency on a bimetallic standard, backing it with gold and silver.

During the Great Depression of the 1930s, most nations were forced to sever their currency from gold in an attempt to stabilize their economies.

Gold formally reentered the world's monetary system in 1944, when the Bretton Woods agreement fixed all the world's paper currencies in relation to the U. S. dollar which in turn was tied to gold. The agreement was in force until 1971, when President Nixon effectively cancelled it by ending the convertibility of the dollar into gold.

Today, gold prices float freely in accordance with supply and demand, responding quickly to political and economic events.

Gold is a vital industrial commodity. It is an excellent conductor of electricity, is extremely resistant to corrosion, and is one of the most chemically stable of the elements, making it critically important in electronics and other high-tech applications.

A broad cross-section of companies in the gold industry, from mining companies to fabricators of finished products, can use the CME Group gold futures and options contracts to hedge their price risk. Furthermore, gold has traditionally had a role in investment strategies, and gold futures and options can be found in investors' portfolios.

Gold Direction Starts Chart

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

Tracking your workouts with a workout log template is one of the most effective and simple ways to help ensure you maximize your results. If you are working out for fun, or to maintain your health and fitness, a workout log can be overkill. But if you want to change your body, whether its to improve strength, build muscle, lose fat, or increase performance, tracking every set of every exercise of every workout is the fastest way to help you get the best results.

Over the years, Ive used tons of different workout log templates to help track my workouts. Ive also experimented with several different workout logs as I was creating my BuiltLean Program. While there are endless fitness apps that make workout logs digital and dynamic, call me old fashioned, but I prefer writing everything down on a sheet of paper.

The workout log templates below are my favorites, but I am biased because I created them from scratch and tweaked them for years.

Heres some more information so you can understand how to fill out each workout log properly along with some tips:

Workout Log Training Calendar

The first workout log isnt really a workout log, but a 12-week training calendar to plan out your workouts. Again, if you are just working out to stay fit, this is probably unnecessary. But if you are trying to create a specific result, planning out your workouts and adding progression is absolutely essential!

In a perfect world, your training regimen would change overtime so as to keep the body guessing and prevent overuse injuries. So over a year long period you could change your regimen from an endurance focus, to strength, to hypertrophy, to power. You could consider focusing each 3 month period on a certain theme, or change the theme every month (technically this is called a macrocycle, mesocycle, and microcycle periodization approach).

How to use the training calendar fill in the workout name under each day you plan to complete it, then mark days where you will not be working out as rest.

Workout Log Template #1: Daily Workout Template

The most common way of creating a workout log is to have a single workout on one sheet. So for example, if you are doing a full body workout, than all the exercises, sets, reps, rest periods for just that workout is included in the sheet.

In this particular log, I include a section for workout parameters such as primary muscles used, total # of sets, total # of reps, and length of workout, a warm up section, an aerobic/intervals/stretching section, and a comment/notes section.

The downside of this template as you will learn from the next workout template is that each workout is on a single sheet. If you do a workout 4x, then you will have 4 different sheets, which can become annoying as you need to flip back and forth between the sheets to see how you are progressing.

How to use the daily workout template before starting your workout, fill in the sheet with all your workout information, leaving just the boxes in the center of the sheet under Exercises blank. When you are at the gym, fill in all the blank boxes.

Workout Log Note . TR stands for Targeted Reps, or the number of reps you plan on completing for a given exercise set, AR stands for Actual Reps you complete, and W stands for the weight you used, and RBS stands for Rest Between Sets. Finally, brackets are used to connect exercises that are completed as circuits. If all these terms are getting you confused, check out this list of strength training terms on BuiltLean.

Workout Log Template #2: Monthly Workout Template

What if there was a way to combine most of the information in the preceding daily workout log, but include the same workout 4 times on one sheet for easy comparison?

Well, thats exactly what my monthly workout log template is able to accomplish.

The reason I call it the monthly workout log template is that if you complete 1 workout per week, then you are done with the sheet after one month. Given that research has shown the effectiveness of a given workout can diminish in as little as 4 workouts (for those in shape), 4 is a great number of times to complete a given workout before recycling.

This workout log is my favorite because you are easily able to track the sets, reps, and weight you complete from workout to workout for a given exercise, which makes creating progression in your workout a breeze! In fact, this makes the sheet downright brilliant! I must give credit where credit is due because this template was based off a workout template created by Alwyn Cosgrove in his The New Rules of Lifting book.

How to use the monthly workout template before starting your workout, fill in the exercises you plan to complete along with the targeted sets and reps. Within the first Workout 1 row, you will write down the actual weight and reps you completed for each set. You will then move on to the next exercise and fill in the weight and reps for each set for the row Workout 1. If you intend to pair exercises together in a circuit, you can use brackets as I show in the example sheet, which I filled in.

Workout Log Note . Youll notice that I have 10 exercise rows and with 5 sets across, which equates to 50 total sets that can be completed on this sheet. For your workout, you will likely only use about half, or less of the sheet. I included these extra exercise ows and columns to give you more flexibility when creating your workout.

Sign Up To Get The Log Below

Put your first name and email in the secure form below to access the free workout log. You are also added to our weekly newsletter, which you can unsubscribe from at anytime. We have a strict privacy policy and our website is Norton Secured and BBB Accredited.

Printable Workout Logs - Create Your Own!

Create a personalized workout log you can print for free on your computer!

Smart bodybuilders keep track of each and every workout. You have to know that the last time you did bench presses you did 205 pounds for 8 reps. That way, you can make sure you go up and hit at least 205 pounds for at least 9 reps.

You can't keep doing the same weight and reps or you will not keep growing! A training log can also tell you if certain days or times are not working for you. It is also fun to look back on your old logs and see what you used to do way back when!

Keeping track of your workouts is easier than you might think. Simply use the tool below to create customized workout sheets, then print them out.

Smart Bodybuilders Keep Track Of Each And Every Workout.

How To Use Printable Workout Logs

Fill out each section of the log each day to get the full benefits!

Write the date (day of week, month, day, year) and time of workout in the appropriate sections.

If you can, weigh yourself daily or as often as possible before each workout. Weight is not the best way to see if you are getting results (you may be gaining muscle and losing fat, but staying at the same weight) but it can be helpful.

Did you do cardio today? Before or after the workout? Write this down in the section marked "Cardio". You might find that your workouts are less intense if you do cardio before a workout. This section can help you keep track.

Mood: How are you feeling today? Tired? Energized? Depressed. Frustrated with work? Sad because of bad news? Write it down here! Maybe every Wednesday at noon you are feeling tired and not realizing it. Now you will know!

Exercise: This is the name of the exercise you are performing.

Set #1, Set #2, etc. Write the weight and reps that you did for the first set here. If you did 200 pounds for 10 reps you can simply write "200 X 10". If you have a partner and they helped you with the last rep because you couldn't do it, write something like "200 X 9 1/2". This way you can shoot for 10 reps by yourself next time!

Length Of Workout: Write down how long the workout took you from start to finish. You can look back and see if you are working out intensely or socializing in-between sets.

Comments: Important! How did the workout go? What happened that was interesting? What supplements did you take today? Learn anything? Write it all here!

Workout Location: This is for people who work out at different locations often.

Create Your Personalized Workout Log

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Legend has it that Joseph Kennedy sold all the stock he owned the day before Black Thursday, the start of the catastrophic 1929 stock market crash. Many investors suffered enormous losses in the crash, which became one of the hallmarks of the Great Depression.

What made Kennedy sell? According to the story, he got a stock tip from a shoeshine boy. In the 1920s, the stock market was the realm of the rich and powerful. Kennedy thought that if a shoeshine boy could own stock, something must have gone terribly wrong.

Now, plenty of common people own stock. Online trading has given anyone who has a computer, enough money to open an account and a reasonably good financial history the ability to invest in the market. You don't have to have a personal broker or a disposable fortune to do it, and most analysts agree that average people trading stock is no longer a sign of impending doom.

В­The market has become more accessible, but that doesn't mean you should take online trading lightly. In this article, we'll look at the different types of online trading accounts, as well as how to choose an online brokerage, make trades and protect yourself from fraud.

Review of Stocks Markets

Review of Stocks Markets

Before we look at the world of online trading, let's take a quick look at the basics of the stock market. If you've already read How Stocks and the Stock Market Work. you can go on to the next section .

A share of stock is basically a tiny piece of a corporation. Shareholders -- people who buy stock -- are investing in the future of a company for as long as they own their shares. The price of a share varies according to economic conditions, the performance of the company and investors' attitudes. The first time a company offers its stock for public sale is called an initial public offering (IPO), also known as going public.

When a business makes a profit, it can share that money with its stockholders by issuing a dividend . A business can also save its profit or re-invest it by making improvements to the business or hiring new people. Stocks that issue frequent dividends are income stocks . Stocks in companies that re-invest their profits are growth stocks .

Brokers buy and sell stocks through an exchange, charging a commission to do so. A broker is simply a person who is licensed to trade stocks through the exchange. A broker can be on the trading floor or can make trades by phone or electronically.

An exchange is like a warehouse in which people buy and sell stocks. A person or computer must match each buy order to a sell order, and vice versa. Some exchanges work like auctions on an actual trading floor, and others match buyers to sellers electronically. Some examples of major stock exchanges are:

Worldwide Stock Exchanges has a list of major exchanges. Over-the-counter (OTC) stocks are not listed on a major exchange, and you can look up information on them at the OTC Bulletin Board or PinkSheets .

When you buy and sell stocks online, you're using an online broker that largely takes the place of a human broker. You still use real money, but instead of talking to someone about investments, you decide which stocks to buy and sell, and you request your trades yourself. Some online brokerages offer advice from live brokers and broker-assisted trades as part of their service.

If you need a broker to help you with your trades, you'll need to choose a firm that offers that service. We'll look at other qualities to look for in an online brokerage next.

How Online Trading Works

Lots and Day Trading

A block of 100 shares of stock is called a round lot . Any other number of shares is an odd lot . Before the development of electronic exchanges, many brokers charged a fee for trading in odd lots.

You may remember stories of people becoming millionaires as day traders during the early days of online trading and the tech stock bubble. Some people still use online brokerages to make their living as day traders. But capital gains taxes, commissions and fees for trades can significantly reduce a day trader's profit. In fact, most new day traders lose money for several months before they give up or learn to gauge the market well enough to make a profit.

Making Trades

Once you've opened and funded your account, you can buy and sell stocks. But before you do that, you want to get a real-time stock quote to confirm the current price of the stock. Your brokerage may provide real-time quotes as part of your service. Many free financial news sites offer delayed quotes . which are at least twenty minutes behind the market. If the market is moving quickly, a delayed quote can be substantially different from the real trading price.

Once you've gotten your quote and decided you want to make a trade, you can choose to place a market order or a limit order . A market order executes at the current market price of the stock. A limit order, however, executes at or better than a price you specify. If the price doesn't reach the limit you set, your trade will not go through.

Some brokerages offer additional options, often used to prevent high losses when a stock price is falling. These include:

Stop order - A form of market order, this executes after the price falls through a point that you set. The order executes at market price, not at the stop point.

Stop limit order - These are like stop orders, but they execute at a price you set rather than market price. In rapidly moving markets, the broker may not be able to execute your order at your set price, meaning that the stock you own may continue to fall in value.

Trailing stop order - Like a stop order, a trailing stop executes when the price falls through a point you set. However, its selling price is moving instead of fixed. You set a parameter in points or as a percentage, and the sale executes when the price falls by that amount. If the price increases, though, the parameter moves upward with it. So, if a stock is trading at $20 per share, and you set a trailing stop order with a three-point parameter, your initial selling price would be $17 per share. But if the price then increases to $25 per share, your new selling price would be $22 per share.

You must also select whether your order stays active until the end of the day, until a specific date or until you cancel it. Some brokerages allow you to place all or none or fill or kill orders, which prevent a partial rather than complete exchange of the stocks you want to trade.

Contrary to many people's perceptions, making trades online is not instantaneous, even if you're placing a market order. It can take time to find a buyer or seller and to electronically process the trade. Also, even though you can access your account and place buy and sell orders twenty-four hours a day, your trades execute only when the markets are open. An exception is if your firm allows after-hours trading . which is riskier due to the reduced number of trades taking place.

How Online Trading Works

The advent of online trading has changed the world of trading forever; it has been a great leveler. Now trading in primary markets and secondary markets is simpler and faster and what’s more you have access to accurate and up to date information. Small and individual investors are no more at the mercy of intermediaries and brokers which means greater transparency and lower transaction costs.

Understanding Online Trading and How it works ?

Most of the investment in stock markets nowadays for retail investors happens online. Online trading as the name suggests is buying and selling of financial instruments online.

This means that you hold these instruments in an electronic form instead of holding them in physical form. Does that sound confusing?

Illustration

Just compare it with your savings account; when you see your savings statement you see the net balance in your account but you do not have that cash physically. Similarly if you buy 40 shares of Infosys and 15 shares of Reliance Communications and then you sell 10 shares of Infosys and buy 5 more shares of Reliance Communications over a month; at the end of the month your statement will show a net balance of 30 shares of Infosys and 20 shares of Reliance Communications without you having either bought or sold these shares physically.

Components of a Trading account

An online trading account is made up of three components, these are the

savings account,

demat account and

actual trading account or the e-broking account.

Savings Account: The savings account is linked to the trading account. So when you want to buy online the money from your savings account is used to make the purchase and in case you sell online then the proceeds from the transaction are directly credited to your savings account.

Demat Account: The demat account is the account which reflects the balance of the various instruments you hold electronically. In case you have physical shares you can send them to the respective company registrar and get them dematerialized (converted to electronic form). Theses dematerialized shares will also reflect in your account even if you have not bought them online.

Trading Account: The third component is the actual trading account which provides you a platform for trading. It is an agreement that you have with a portal of your choice so that you can use their platform for trading in the primary and the secondary market.

The type of account that you get will vary according to the portal you choose; some like 5paisa do not have a savings account of their own, so they allow you to link your savings account from HDFC, ICICI, CITI Bank etc while ICICI and AXIS Bank offer you all three accounts under one umbrella.

Opening a Trading Account

For opening a trading account the first thing that you will have to do is choose a portal that you want to register yourself with. Here the choice is huge which can be a vice and a virtue as well. The large choice helps you in getting good rates and a user friendly portal but at the same time trying to find a safe and reliable choice can be a daunting task. Most private and public sector banks offer this service and some NBFCs (Non Banking Finance Company) also do it. You need to do your homework well before you make your choice. The service providers listed below are known to be amongst the best in the market and are market leaders in terms of volume of the total business:

Most popular names

ICICI Direct from ICICI Bank)

Indiabulls

Kotak Securities from the Kotak Mahindra Group

Sharekhan

HDFC Securities from HDFC Bank).

5 Paisa from India Infoline

You would be required to comply with a set of guidelines for account opening. These are more or less similar irrespective of the financial institution and are laid down by SEBI (Securities Exchange Board of India) which is the governing body for stock markets, depositories and depository participants.

Documents required for account opening include:

PAN Card

Identity Proof

Proof of Residence

Photograph

Apart from this you will also require an internet connection and some basic knowledge about markets before you start trading. Most sites offer tips and tutorials online so these can help you in familiarizing yourself to the world of trading. All the sites also have helpline numbers listed and the address for your nearest branch as well; you could choose to visit the branch or ask for a representative to visit you to complete the account opening formalities. Alternatively you could fill in the form online and a representative will visit you to collect the required documents.

How Much Do I Pay?

Again this factor will vary with the service provide you choose. There is a onetime cost which is the account opening cost and there is recurring cost which is based on the volume of your transaction. As of this article print date. here are some illustrative costs

Account opening

ICICI charges a onetime fee of Rs. 750 for their three in one account

Indiabulls charges Rs. 1200 which includes charges for a demat account, a trading account and charges for software

5paisa charges Rs. 500 for account opening.

Brokerage may vary as per the product and the bank; charges vary depending on the type of trade as far as ICICI is concerned,

5paisa charges .05% and .20% additional in case the trade results in delivery.

Sharekhan charges .1% for intra day and .5% for inter day transactions.

The rates offered by Indiabulls and 5 paisa are quite competitive.

What all Can I Buy Online?

Below mentioned is a list of what all you can buy through your online trading account. Please remember each bank will not offer all products so you must check exactly what all you can do with your account before you open one. Reliance money offers the largest range of products that you can purchase online.

Stocks

Initial Public Offers (again stocks, etc)

Mutual Funds

Government of India Bonds

Postal Savings Schemes

General Insurance

Life Insurance

Derivatives Trading

Commodity Trading

Why Should I Trade Online?

Online trading offers you the following benefits:

Lower transaction cost

Access to real time information

Transactions are faster

Transparency in deals

No paper work involved

Advice from experts and help available

Can access you account anytime and anywhere.

The need to be cautious while operating an online account cannot be overemphasized; that is why it is important to choose a reputed portal and be extra careful with your user id and passwords.

This is not a familiar Nifty Trading strategy, today it earned very decent return and the trade lasted less than 2 hours. It isnt the duration of trade that matters as much as what the strategy is and how it was executed.

Here is a screen-shot of todays activity in the live support section

*Stop and Risk has been edited out of the screenshot above.

You can see that we have a fixed exit point, this is by far the second most important thing to me after getting a fair grip on your entry strategy. The market has still a little over half hour to go before it closes but

Nifty Trading Strategy Exits

when exiting a stock/futures or any trading instrument you must have a fixed plan of action for things to be consistent. Now it goes without saying that without a plan you cannot expect consistent and progressive results.

The world of quantitative trading relies of numbers and lots of them. The biggest hedge funds in the world trade relying on data and its analysis.

You need to take one route either.

Fixed Exits

This is the underlying basis on which MarketScientist alerts its premium members to exit. It relies on heavily tested Risk Reward ratios over hundreds if thousands of bars. You can and should do this yourself, if you dont know how consider googling or visiting popular forums on the internet to get an idea of how this is to be done. Alternatively if you require a professional suite you can take the MarketScientist webinar course

1) Look for an ideal exit point. For example you can see that 35 points seems to be a sweet spot for nifty using the newton method. However during less volatile times this number decreases to 18pts. Could you construct a method which could partly/full take profits at these levels?

Trailing Stops

1) Ask yourself if you are a patient man willing to walk over months of trading with just a few trades.

If you are then you should consider trailing your stops to the latest swing lows (for longs).

You will need to experiment with lower timeframes, special exits such as reversal bars etc. This is the most rewarding but probably the most difficult way to exit, it requires tons of patience and ability to not miss a single trade.

I remember 5 years ago when I was trailing my stops for 400 pts in Nifty but missed 1 trade out of 5 trades in that month. The trade I missed yeilded 550 pts profit.

In the End

What matters most is that you find your niche, your setup, your comfort zone and then stick to the plan.

Keep risk below 1% per trade and trade for 3 months before you change your strategy.

I guarantee you will have to change before that, chances are you overlooked something,

Learn change evolveAll the best

Want To Learn How To Trade?

Visit the Video Tutorial Library! Visit the courses section to get you started with the basics of trading, like most good things in life this one is free too. Also Checkout the Premium Section

Please note that ALL Nifty trades are trades taken live by our Live Support premium members. To learn to trade the other stocks shown please subscribe to the Learn and Earn service

While it might be a stretch to put collectible (or trading) card games in the same family as MMORPGs, it's hard to deny that their audiences are pretty similar and quite open to a little crossover between genres. Massively has made mention of TCGs as their numbers and popularity seems to be on the rise online. That led up to the day that my editor came into my office, smacked an Elmer Fudd Pez dispenser out of my hand, and told me that I better do a top 10 list on card games "or else."

"Or else what?" I chirped before thinking.

"Or else you'll be our full-time Darkfall columnist," my editor said.

So hey! We're talking about card games today! How about, I don't know, 10 of them?

Magic: The Gathering has been a geek card game staple for two decades now, beloved for its mana wheel, fiendishly complex deck-building, meta-game strategies, and that totally rad artwork. The online version has been around for a good portion of that time, and while it's dealt with many issues pertaining to coding, different developers, and an ever-expanding rulebook, it's still the one place you can go online to get the full buying, pack-opening, trading, deck-building, and card-playing experience. Just be careful: You will go broke if you lack self-control.

This Kickstarter project is an interesting mash-up between a CCG and a deck-builder game, forcing players to "buy" their cards each match and develop new decks on the fly. Perhaps the fantasy setting and tri-faction approach seem a little forgettable, but if it plays as well as the devs claim it does, who really cares?

Just be sure not to confuse this with Omens of War. Totally different thing.

The makers of Solforge want you to know that Magic: The Gathering creator Richard Garfield was involved with the development of this mobile-and-PC app. I know this because Garfield is name-dropped all over the Solforge website as if his name alone were a talisman against evil and bankruptcy.

Garfield aside, this TCG launched in 2013 and boasts a smooth multi-platform experience that can be played for free. The team has ambitious plans to grow the title in 2014.

It's an MMO! It's a CCG! It's from the makers of the World of Warcraft TCG! It's a money pit! Wait, that shouldn't be in the official press release, should it? Nevermind! This crowdfunded blend of MMO and CCG already has an ardent following as it's promised classes, dungeons, deck-building, card modification, robust trading, and (drumroll) "the most aggressive organized play infrastructure ever offered for a digital TCG ."

I have no idea what that last bit means, but after I read it I was bestowed with the ability to speak to see through time.

Card Hunter is one game that I personally recommend. It takes the aesthetic of a pen-and-paper board game dungeon crawl in a friend's basement and marries it to a deck-building game of sorts. Instead of collecting cards, you collect and equip gear that comes with a handful of cards apiece. Movement and combat is all drawn from this pool of cards, and there's both a single-player and multi-player mode available. It's also kind of funny in a very nerdy way.

Legends of Norrath is for gamers who exist in the middle of the Venn diagram of " EverQuest players who just can't get enough of this game" and "TCG fans who like playing with only 16 other people in the world." I kid, I have no idea how many people play this. I didn't even know it existed, although I remember it had a big brother in Star Wars Galaxies way back when. Hey, what ever happened to that game?

What is this now? Don't they know Blizzard has a trademark on "hearthstone?" Don't expect this one to last too long, people!

In doing "research" for this article (95% looking up animated gifs, 5% reading official websites) I've realized that pretty much all of these games are trying to appeal to a sense of nostalgia among the die-hard CCG crowd. "Remember those card games you used to play at summer camp? Ours is just like those! Except that you have even less of a chance of making out with a hottie when you play ours than you did back in the 8th grade."

So Infinity Wars -- what can be said? Generic title, appeal to days of yore, multi-platform offering, currently in beta. Excuse me, time for more animated gifs!

9. Might and Magic: Duel of Champions

Obviously, standing out from the rest of the crowd is highly important for TCGs. They want long-term loyalty for a river of money to flow from the You Mountains to their Accounting Delta. If you can't boast a unique angle because you're a blatant Magic clone, then slap on a popular IP and hope for the best. Personally, I feel the Might and Magic name has been spread a little thin over the years, but maybe there's enough juice left in it for a good hit.

The last spot on this list will go to Elemental Kingdoms . which gets a mention not because it drew two random cards from Apples to Apples and went with it for a name but because it's from Perfect World Entertainment. which seems so darn chipper about it. Or you could take Beau's testimony, in which he calls Elemental Kingdoms "almost a unique game ." Sold!

Wizard101 . Clone Wars Adventures . and Free Realms should all get a special mention here for incorporating card game elements into the larger scope of their gameplay. If you complain about my leaving them out, then I'll know you didn't read to the end of this column!

Justin "Syp" Olivetti enjoys counting up to ten, a feat that he considers the apex of his career. If you'd like to learn how to count as well, check out The Perfect Ten. You can contact him via email at justinmassively or through his gaming blog, Bio Break .

Price Action Trading (P. A.T.) is that the discipline of constructing all of your commerce choices from a stripped down or “naked” worth chart. this implies no insulation indicators outside of perhaps some moving averages to assist establish dynamic support and resistance areas and trend. All money markets generate information concerning the movement of of a market over varied periods of time; this information is displayed on price charts. worth charts replicate the beliefs and actions of all participants (human or computer) commerce a market throughout a specific amount of your time and these beliefs square measure delineate on a market’s worth chart within the kind of “price action” (P. A.).

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Since a market’s P. A. reflects all variables moving that marketplace for any given amount of your time, mistreatment insulation worth indictors like stochastics, MACD, RSI, et al. is simply a flat waste of your time. worth movement provides all the signals you may ever ought to develop a profitable and high-probability commerce system. These signals put together square measure known as worth action commerce methods and that they give how to create sense of a market’s worth movement and facilitate predict its future movement with a high enough degree of accuracy to provide you a high-probability commerce strategy.

In the following video you will see a very detailed explanation of forex grid trading system. This is a very controversial strategy. Some forex traders like it and some consider it very risky.

Author of the video shows you in 5 steps how to use forex grid trading system. He talks about rules for establishing of grid sizes, lines and grip gaps. According to the video author, this system can by used for any investments with random market moves, with no stops because of full or partial hedging. There is no reliance on market direction. He consider it to be more an investment than trading and therefore it requires a trader?s paradigm shift. Also note that the system requires no charts or indicators and can be traded mechanically with low supervision. It should be noted that this strategy can experience a big drawdowns during trending markets and so it requires enough patience from traders. However, author also explains a risk management.

To see detailed step by step explanation of Forex Grid Trading System watch video below.

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One of the most basic time-based trades is buying the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP 500 the last two days of the month and selling it on the first or second day of the new month. The trader who introduced this strategy to me called it the “turn-of-the-month trade.” The first four months it was used, it worked every time. It seemed like the best-kept trading secret.

Research followed. This was before 2000, and it was not as simple as it is today. Now, in the age of the Internet, this strategy is more widely known, and variations abound. Some say to buy 10 days before, five days before or three days before, and then sell on the fourth day of the new month. Despite its simplicity, the strategy can be confusing, especially to new traders.

After 15 years of trading at a professional level, the importance of breaking every trade down to a granular level has become self-evident. For long-term and repeatable success, it’s critical to know the exact moment to get in and get out. You want the highest probabilities with quantified data in your favor.

When Wei Xu and John J. McConnell from Purdue explored this concept in their 2006 paper “Equity returns at the turn of the month,” it sparked new interest in the strategy. Then, Victor Niederhoffer’s coverage of it in his book The Education of a Speculator . particularly with respect to the timing and the probability of the trade, drove home the importance of precision at the time of execution.

This trade makes sense because it corresponds to the timing of monthly cash flows received by pension funds, 401(k) contributions, stock purchase programs, IRA contributions and stock dividends—all of which get reinvested in the stock market.

Using Bloomberg API and Microsoft Excel, you can figure out the exact moment to get into a trade and when to get out based on historical data. In addition, you can identify the months in which you should employ this strategy and when you shouldn’t. A lot of traders use a blanket approach and always stick to the same trade and method. But if you examine the E-mini futures or SPY, you can identify certain months from January 2009 through June 2014 when this strategy works 100% of the time, whereas certain months there is a 17% chance of it working.

Also, while it may seem insignificant, the difference between your entry and exit strategy is monumental over the long term. Opening imbalances, closing imbalances or Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) orders are important concepts. When someone sends an order in to buy pre-market, they get the opening price. When someone sends in a market-on-close order, they get the closing price. If someone says “buy 100,000 XYZ and VWAP it,” they’re going to have their order slowly bought or sold with the volume throughout the day, and at the end they’ll get the VWAP.

Running regression analysis on SPY alone, if you were to buy the open four days prior to the end of the month and sell it on the open on the fifth day of the new month, history suggests a 53.86% cumulative return over the study period. Whereas if you used a market-on-close order and bought the close five days prior to the new month and sold your position on the fifth day on the close, you might expect a 66.42% cumulative return, with an average move of 1.02%. The biggest move was 8.73% on November-December 2011, and the biggest loser was 10.27% on July-August 2011 (see “Best worst,” below).

Disclaimer . The Connors Group, Inc. ("Company") is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. The analysts and employees or affiliates of Company may hold positions in the stocks, currencies or industries discussed here. You understand and acknowledge that there is a very high degree of risk involved in trading securities and/or currencies. The Company, the authors, the publisher, and all affiliates of Company assume no responsibility or liability for your trading and investment results. Factual statements on the Company's website, or in its publications, are made as of the date stated and are subject to change without notice.

It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results of any individual trader or trading system published by Company are not indicative of future returns by that trader or system, and are not indicative of future returns which be realized by you. In addition, the indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features of Company's products (collectively, the "Information") are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Examples presented on Company's website are for educational purposes only. Such set-ups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the Information in making any investment. Rather, you should use the Information only as a starting point for doing additional independent research in order to allow you to form your own opinion regarding investments. You should always check with your licensed financial advisor and tax advisor to determine the suitability of any investment.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING AND MAY NOT BE IMPACTED BY BROKERAGE AND OTHER SLIPPAGE FEES. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER - OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

All analyst commentary provided on TradingMarkets is provided for educational purposes only. The analysts and employees or affiliates of TradingMarkets may hold positions in the stocks or industries discussed here. This information is NOT a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Your use of this and all information contained on TradingMarkets is governed by the Terms and Conditions of Use. Please click the link to view those terms. Follow this link to read our Editorial Policy.

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In forex trading, hedging is sad to give beneficial system so traders can buy and sell in a currency in the same time. However, it can be tricky as well. We need expertise and experience before we start using this. Experts even still need tips to use them. Here are the tips and we hopefully can learn from these following tips.

1. No Newbie is Allowed

Hedging is not made for newbie. So if you are new on forex trading, you will need to postpone your desire to try it. You need to be used to current system and be good at it first.

2. With Certain Brokers

Several brokers do not allow you to use hedging. They have their own reasons for this. Therefore, you must make sure first that your broker is fine with the fact that you are going to use hedging.

3. Automatic Execution

When you use hedging, you will need to make automatic execution. EA will be able to provide you with appropriate solutions for this. Learn first about it before you start using hedging.

Hedging only works on several timings. It works well when market is going sideways or when the movements are practically limited to the current range. So, watch your timing and use the method wisely or you are trapped.

5. Large Pip Range

Remember that you will finally need to pay for commission from your profit. Therefore, you should try to make larger leap on it. You do not need extraordinary leap but make it bigger than you usually make.

6. You Need to be Patient

Being patient means you should wait if your market does not make any performance yet. Later, in the meantime, certain move will make the balance, and that is your time. Do not force or push too much or you will break the system.

7. Evaluation Again and Again

Make continuous evaluation. This will help you recognizing your mistakes, and you can make calculation and prediction for your next step. Make multiple evaluations.

Those 7 tips are based on expert suggestions and experience of senior traders. If you are about to try hedging on forex trading, you should memorize the tips and apply it on your trading actions. This can be tricky but you have to give yourself some time to be able to work with it. Hedging is helpful. Good luck with it!

Forex trading carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before you engage in trading foreign exchange, please make yourself acquainted with its specifics and all the risks associated with it. All information on ForexBrokerz is only published for general information purposes. We do not present any guarantees for the accuracy and reliability of this information. Any action you take upon the information you find on this website is strictly at your own risk and we will not be liable for any losses and/or damages in connection with the use of our website.

Spread betting allows you to bet on the price fluctuations of various financial markets. Spread Betting accounts operate similar to the standard FXCM LTD accounts, but enjoy special tax-free 1 status in the UK and Ireland. The minimum to open a live account is ?2,000.

1 Only available to residents of the UK and the Republic of Ireland. The UK tax treatment of your financial betting activities depends on your individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future, or may differ in other jurisdictions.

Spread betting is not being offered in any country outside the UK or Ireland, or to any non-UK or non-Ireland residents. It is not intended for distribution to, or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

How can I practice Spread Betting?

FXCM offers Spread Bet practice accounts on both the Trading Station and MetaTrader4 platforms:

Do I need a different platform to Spread Bet?

You can Spread Bet on the Trading Station and MetaTrader4 platforms, however, there are separate download links:

How do I Spread Bet with FXCM?

Spread Betting at FXCM is done in standardised bet sizes called lots. A lot is the smallest available bet size that you can place on your account. With FXCM the default forex lot is 1,000 units of currency, meaning the smallest bet you can place is 1,000 units. You can place larger bets, but the bet size must be in increments of 1,000.

Video How to Spread Bet with FXCM (3:01)

To open a Spread Betting account, check the box to make your account a Spread Betting account on the FXCM application page. Note that spread betting is not offered in any country outside the UK or Ireland, or to any non-UK or non-Ireland residents. It is not intended for distribution to, or use by any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

If you are currently an FXCM account holder and would like to request an FXCM Spread Betting account, please complete the Spread Betting transfer form .

Spread Betting with AvaTrade - for Residents in the UK and Ireland only

Enjoy tax-free trading on our full range of markets with an AvaTrade Spread Betting Account.

As an AvaTrade client you can place long or short spread bets on more than 200 different financial instruments with leverage of up to 400:1.

Spread betting is available exclusively to traders in the UK and Ireland.

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Open a spread betting account today get a new client bonus of up to $10,000 . You can also try spread betting with 21-day demo account.

What is Spread Betting?

Financial spread betting works in a similar way to traditional Forex CFD trading, but instead of buying and selling ‘lots the trader places a bet per point movement in the underlying market.

You are here

What is financial spread betting?

Spread betting provides the ordinary investor a tax efficient opportunity to speculate on fluctuations in the prices of thousands of global market instruments. These include individual shares, equity indices, foreign exchange, commodities, interest rates and bullion.

Spread betting offers four key advantages over other more traditional investment methods;

Tax free profits

Spread betting is exempt from tax (no capital gains or income taxes and no stamp duty) so any profits you make from trading are yours in full.

Greater Profit Opportunities – Going long and short

You can choose which way you think the market will go so you aren’t restricted to just buying and waiting for the price to rise. You can buy or sell (go long or short) giving you more flexibility in your decision making and ultimately giving you greater opportunities to profit from a price movement within the market.

The power of margin

Margin trading gives you the opportunity to leverage your trade, meaning a significantly reduced initial deposit than would be traditionally required to obtain a similar exposure to the markets.

International market exposure with no currency risk

Spread betting allows you to trade on international markets without having to worry about converting any profits back in to your home currency. Each transaction produces a profit or loss in a single currency nominated, in advance, by you.

How does it work?

Financial Spread Betting uses the same fundamental trading techniques that are used when trading most traditional assets.

The major difference with Spread Betting is that you do not physically take ownership of the underlying asset, you simply ‘bet’ on the direction of the price movement instead.

The direction they believe the market will move

The stake, i. e. the amount they would like to make for every point that the market moves in that direction

Choosing the instrument

We offer real-time prices in thousands of markets, which of those you trade is solely your decision. For example, you may wish to take a short term view on an index or have a longer-term view on a share or commodity, you can even do both at the same time. Our platform has real-time charts with built-in indicators and analysis to help you decide.

The only other thing you need to consider when choosing an instrument is the type of bet that you wish to place on that market. WorldSpreads offer a range of bet options that are available to suit the desired duration of your trade. These range from only a few minutes, to a single day, to 3 months in length, and even one where there is no defined end date.

Daily Cash Bets - designed for the short term trader and are settled at the end of the day.

Daily Rolling Cash Bets - these bets do not expire at the end of the day and are automatically ‘rolled over’ to the next trading day (subject to overnight financing charges)

Daily Rolling Future Bets - these bets do not expire at the end of the day and are automatically ‘rolled over’ to the next trading day (subject to overnight financing rolling charges)

Quarterly Bets - expire on a set date three months in the future and do not incur financing (or rolling) costs – it is all built into the price, up front.

It is important to note that a bet can be closed at any time before the bet’s initial expiration date.

Choosing the Bet Direction

If the investor believes the value of an asset is set to rise in the future they would place a ‘buy’ (or ‘up’) bet, this is known, in market terminology, as ‘going long’. Conversely if they feel that the asset price is likely to fall in value, they would enter a ‘Sell’ (or ‘down’) bet, otherwise known as ‘going short’.

Going Short (or “shorting”) is a major advantage of spread betting and describes the practice of selling a borrowed asset with the intention of buying it back later at a cheaper rate than at which they initially sold. The short seller is looking for the price of the asset to fall before buying it back at a cheaper price. This concept opens up the possibility of making profit when the price of an asset is falling in value.

Choosing the Stake

When placing your bet you will be asked the stake/amount you would like for the bet. For every point that the asset moves in the correct direction the investor will profit by the stake amount. So as an example, if you had placed a buy bet at ?1 per point and the asset value rose by 10 points the bet would be worth ?10. It really is that simple. Obviously, if the market moves in the other direction, then those profits turn into losses.

The stake amount is an indication of the level of risk you are prepared to take on that trade. The larger the value of the stake amount, the greater the potential reward, however, there is clearly also the potential for larger losses.

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There are many option trading books worth reading. Before you consider one, you should have a basic understanding of technical and fundamental analysis. I believe you need to be a good stock trader before you can become a good option trader.

Here are a few of my favorite option trading books in order of complexity.

Options: Essential Concepts, Third Edition by The Options Institute. The Options Institute was formed by the various option trading exchanges to educate retail and institutional clients. This option trading book gives an overview on the history, pricing, strategies, floor operations and Market Making. It is easy to read and it provides an excellent foundation.

Options for the Stock Investor, by James Bittman. This option trading book goes through many of the basic option trading concepts and the terminology. James is an instructor at The Options Institute and he has decades of experience. He is one of the most knowledgeable authors in the industry.

Options As a Strategic Investment, by Lawrence McMillan. In short, this book is known by many as the option trading Bible. I have read it cover-to-cover many times. It is detailed and comprehensive. It explains every option trading strategy and every option pricing concept. If you read it and understand half of it, you will know more than 90% of the people engaged in option trading.

McMillan on Options, Second Edition by Lawrence McMillan. Larry is one of the foremost authorities on option trading. In this option trading book he rolls up his sleeves and dives into some of his favorite option trading strategies. He uses examples to illustrate his approach.

Option Volatility and Pricing: Advance Trading Strategies and Techniques, by Sheldon Natenberg. This option trading book gets into serious option trading strategies and you need to have a good understanding of the basics.

As I mentioned before, to be a good option trader, you need to be a good stock trader first. Start with basic books on technical and fundamental stock analysis and then work your way up.

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You see a nice potential trade that perfectly fits your system. Before hitting the Trade button, you want to perform another test: does the direction of the trade fit a longer term trade?

And now the question is: how high should you look? Here are a few suggestions.

Make the trend your friend is a cliche youve heard many times in the past. Yet this cliche is true. In a perfect world, you would want all the charts to point in one direction: from a one minute chart to a monthly chart.

Life and also forex trading arent perfect: you often have conflicting signals. This applies to fundamentals as well.

First of all, its better to start with a higher time frame. Are you basing your trades on a 1 minute chart? Think again. This chart usually includes a high amount of noise that may be misleading.

A one hour chart is better. 4 hour charts are popular as well, but also 15 minute and 5 minute charts.

If youre using a 5 minute chart, please check the trend with at least a one hour chart. The proportion is X12, but its important in this case.

If 15 minute charts are applied, please take a look at 2 hour charts. The proportion here is X8.

For 30 minute charts and for one hour charts, a comparison with 4 hours charts is sufficient. The proportion is going down as time frames rise.

For 2 and 4 hours charts, 8 hour charts will be nice.

For 8 hour charts and higher, a comparison with the next level is nice to have, but youre already on much more stable ground, so this is not a must just a bonus.

As the time frames rise, not only do comparisons with higher time frames fall, but also the importance of fundamentals rise. Long term moves are more dependent on majors shifts in economies, interest rates and also politics.

Short term moves can happen due to a random speculation by a random hedge fund.

If you have the dough, you may want to roll the dice and see if your returns grow.

It you’re looking to gamble and place your bets on a high-roller investment, who better to talk to than a financial advisor based in Vegas, baby?

“As an investor, looking at situations where the risk-reward possibilities are dramatically in your favor can result in some potentially lucrative results,” says Yale Bock, founder and president of YHC Investments in Las Vegas and a manager of two portfolios on Covestor, an online investment management platform.

Note the words “can result.” Bock and other investment mavens caution that there’s never a sure thing when it comes to big returns. But if you have the stomach for rolling the dice, you might just reap returns that are nice – really nice. Here are 10 investments primed to either rock your portfolio or sink it like a stone in 2015:

1. Liberty Broadband (symbol: LBRDA). This spinoff of Liberty Media has a 25 percent stake in Charter Communications, and that’s where it gets interesting. “Charter has an agreement with Comcast to buy and swap cable assets, as long as Comcast’s buy of Time Warner Cable gets regulatory approval,” Bock says. “If it goes through, Charter will eventually become the second-largest cable company in the U. S. and their subscriber numbers will nearly triple.” If it doesn’t go through, Bock thinks Charter may look for another acquisition opportunity, but it will also face the risk of erosion in its core cable business.

2. Energy-related junk bonds. The bonds of many exploration and production companies are selling at huge discounts, says David Twibell, president and founder of Custom Portfolio Group in Englewood, Colorado. “Buying these bonds now at discount prices not only locks in their high yields, but provides an opportunity for capital appreciation when oil prices recover. Don’t expect energy bonds to recover overnight. You’ll likely need to hold onto these for a year or more. But for capital gains that could top 10 percent, along with a similar yield for the duration of the bond, that’s not a bad bet.”

3. Bet the dollar against the yen. Foreign exchange is always trickier than it looks. But the Japanese currency is in crisis, says John O’Donnell, chief knowledge officer of the Online Trading Academy, based in Irvine, California. “I think the yen is going to decline, so I want to be short on the yen and long on the dollar,” he notes. “Japan’s in deep, deep financial trouble. They’ve been in and out of serious deflation pockets for 24 years. Their total debt as a percentage of [gross domestic product] is a disaster. We’re now at about 115 yen to the dollar, and I see no reason why we won’t go to 200. The Japanese economy is a bug in search of a windshield.”

4. Bet the dollar against the euro. The hot news is that the European Central Bank will begin quantitative easing. And that presents a hotter opportunity, says Jeff Sica, founder, president and chief investment officer of Circle Squared Alternative Investments in Morristown, New Jersey. “With the U. S. already finished with its own easing program, I expect the dollar to gradually strengthen, especially versus the now-weakened euro,” he says. As for the time frame, “I see this short of the euro working now and throughout 2015,” Sica says.

5. Gold, silver and platinum. These precious metals are already conducting a stealth rally in 2015, says Paul Irvine, the Kleinheinz endowed chair in international finance and investments at Texas Christian University’s Neeley School of Business. “As ‘permabear’ [and Swiss fund investor] Marc Faber puts it, he’d like to short central banks in 2015 but can’t do that directly. The best way to short central banks is to own gold, silver or platinum. You should already be positioned,” Irvine says.

6. Alibaba (BABA). The $25 billion initial public offering of China's biggest online commerce company made history in 2014 as the largest on record. But there’s more history to be made, says Ron Weiner, founder, president and CEO of the RDM Financial Group in Westport, Connecticut. and Boca Raton, Florida. “Alibaba is the next Amazon on The Street, without having inventory,” Weiner says. While it’s a mid-term investment, he still thinks Alibaba could see “returns in excess of 30 percent over the next 12 to 24 months, and there could easily be more.

7. Seventy Seven Energy (SSE) . When you're making a gamble, it’s hard to resist betting on sevens. Heavy insider buying of stock in this oil field supply and services firm is the key here, according to Jim Osman, CEO of The Edge Consulting Group in London and New York. “Insiders continue to accumulate SSE at lower levels,” Osman says. “But the market is valuing SSE more in relation to the steep fall in the crude oil prices and expectation of even lower prices in the near future.” His advice is to ignore the naysayers and trust the insiders, who’ve paid as little as $6.18 a share in December for a stock he predicts could hit $16.37.

8. Classic cars. Who says high-rolling can’t be fast-rolling, too? “Classic cars are a passion investment likely to produce enormous returns,” says Paige Stover Hague, a principal in Crowninshield Consulting in Boston. Data from the Historic Automobile Group International shows that “rare historic” cars appreciated by nearly 16 percent in 2014. “This large appreciation rate is thought to be due simply to supply and demand. The amount of classic car investors is on the rise, and the amount of collectible cars is staying pretty much the same,” she says.

9. Biglari Holdings (BH). Do you like Steak ’n Shake or Cracker Barrel? You may want to take a bite out of this San Antonio company, which owns all of the former and 20 percent of the latter. “The interesting part of this position is you’re aligning with CEO Sardar Biglari, who has built a very good short-term record with undervalued companies,” Bock says. “But many investors don’t like his compensation structure and his absolute control of capital allocation.” Characterized as combative and controversial – his move to standardize Steak ’n Shake menus prompted lawsuits from some franchisees, for example – Biglari is also a Warren Buffett acolyte. So perhaps some of that Omaha Oracle pixie dust will supercharge his holdings, which also include Maxim magazine.

10. Contemporary art. You don’t have to be an art lover to fall for the potentially enormous returns. Hague points out that the market came off a record-breaking stretch in 2012 to 2013, when sales rose 33 percent. Over the last 10 years, the market has seen a 1,078 percent increase, according to Hague, who cites Artprice’s Annual Global Index report for 2013-2014. But you have to be very wealthy to afford the work of established artists such as Jeff Koons. That could mean speculating on lesser-known names. “Just as with any form of investment, good decision-making requires a great deal of research and consultation with key people who have their finger on the pulse of the market,” Hague advises.

Time series momentum strategies are about as old and ubiquitous as the CTA community that uses them, yet there has been surprisingly little recent academic work done in this space. Notable exceptions to this are two papers produced in 2012 and 2013 by Dr. Nick Baltas and Prof. Robert Kosowski of Imperial College London. Automated Trader talks to the authors about their work and some of the conclusions, which run counter to established thinking.

Automated Trader: What are the origins of your work in the field of time series momentum?

Nick Baltas: It has its origins in work I was doing a couple of years ago when I was preparing for my PhD and Robert was my supervisor. At the time, there was not a vast amount of material on momentum strategies in published academic literature. We felt that there was potential for making the strategy more robust as regards both volatility estimation and signal generation.

Automated Trader: What started as one paper now appears to be two. Why?

Robert Kosowski: In March 2012 we decided to split the original paper into two parts partly for reasons of space, but more importantly because we felt that there were further issues to be examined that would naturally cover distinct features of time-series momentum strategies. The paper 'Momentum Strategies in Futures Markets and Trend-Following Funds' examines matters such as the prevalence of time-series momentum strategies among CTAs by using benchmark strategies that have high explanatory power in the time-series of CTA index returns. It also considers (and rejects) the hypothesis that high flows of capital into CTA strategies cause capacity constraints.

The second paper, 'Improving Time-Series Momentum Strategies: The Role of Trading Signals and Volatility Estimators' is primarily focused on the mechanics of the time-series momentum strategy. In particular, it considers how two specific changes might enhance the overall profitability of a momentum strategy. One change was that the introduction of a more efficient volatility estimator could reduce unnecessary portfolio rebalancing and thereby also reduce transaction costs. The paper also examines how the quality of the momentum trading signal affects performance and posits an alternative model that in addition to long/short signals incorporates a stay flat/exit signal.

We feel that both papers are of interest to practitioners (including fund of funds) and academics.

Automated Trader: What was the motivation for investigating capacity constraints in the first paper .

CTA performance since 2009 has generally been weak, with various conventional CTA indices (e. g. BarclayHedge, Newedge indices) reporting negative yearly returns for 2009, 2011 and 2012. Yet over the same period flows into CTAs have been positive. That would superficially suggest that there are capacity constraints in the industry. We therefore decided to test this hypothesis, and in order to do so we needed to find some strategies that had explanatory power for CTAs that could be used as a proxy for their activity.

Automated Trader: Surely determining that those strategies should be momentum-based was a given, in view of their well-documented proliferation among CTAs?

Nick Baltas: That may be a widespread assumption, but it is interesting that previous studies which have asserted this have not actually provided any empirical evidence in support. We decided to remedy this by building a time series momentum strategy that we applied across monthly, weekly and daily time frames (which we termed Futures-based Trend-following Benchmarks or FTBs 1 ) and regressing this against a CTA index.

Dr. Nick Baltas

Automated Trader: What was your methodology for constructing the FTBs?

Robert Kosowski: We first tested for and found evidence of return predictability in the lagged returns across monthly, weekly and daily frequencies of our dataset. We then created a series of overlapping portfolios that were rebalanced at the end of each day/week/month, and tested for momentum profitability. The results showed that the momentum strategy generated an economically significant alpha and return at all three frequencies and were in the majority of cases significant at the 1% level. Several combinations of lookback and holding periods exhibited Sharpe Ratios greater than 1.25.

No dealing desk (NDD) brokers allow access to the interbank market without passing through local dealing desk. With these brokers a no re-quotes on orders and no order confirmation is possible. No Dealing Desk brokers are either STP or ECN+STP. The differance between the two is that STP (Straight Through Processing) brokers send orders directly from clients to the liquidity providers and ECN (Electronic Communications Network) forex brokers additionally allow client orders to interact with other clients orders.

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A forex account is an account used to hold and trade foreign currencies. Typically, you open an account, deposit money denominated in your home country currency, and you can buy and sell pairs at will.

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You buy or sell the pair and hold until you think the rise or fall of the pair is over.

A forex account typically fluxuates in value due to open positions, so it tends to increase or decrease in value.

Opening a forex account is similar to opening a bank account. If you have an ID and minimum deposit, you can probably open an account. It typically takes a few days and you have to fill out a questionaire about your intentions due to financial regulations.

A standard for most forex trading accounts is leverage.

Forex leverage allows you to make trades on the open forex market using only a fraction of the actual trade amount. For instance, if you wanted to buy 10,000 units of currency, you could typically do that with only 200 units of currency in your account if you were using 50:1 leverage.

The upside to this is that you can make trades larger than amount you have in your account. The downside to this is that you can easily lose a large amount of money if you dont trade carefully and tread lightly.

Forex trading is an interesting venture.

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Its not one that you should take lightly. In order to make money while trading forex, you need to manage your risk, and keep your emotions in check. There is a lot of sales material out there that will tell you that you can get rich quick and easily trading forex. Youll need to see your way around that attitude in order to actually make some progress and make money.

If youve learned anything from this, or have questions, feel free to write me at forextrading@aboutguide.

One of the best times to set up an options strategy is just before a company announces earnings. Today I would like to share our experience doing this last month with Facebook (FB) last month. I hope you will read all the way through – there is some important information there. If you missed them, be sure to check out the short videos which explains why I like calendar spreads . and How to Make Adjustments to Calendar and Diagonal Spreads.

How to Set Up a Pre-Earnings Announcement Options Strategy

When a company reports results each quarter, the stock price often fluctuates far more than usual, depending on how well the company performs compared both to past performance and to the market’s collective level of expectations. Anticipating a big move one way or another, just prior to the announcement, option prices skyrocket, both puts and calls.

At Terry’s Tips, our basic strategy involves selling short-term options to others (using longer-term options as collateral for making those sales). One of the absolute best times for us is the period just before an upcoming earnings announcement. That is when we can collect the most premium.

An at-the-money call (stock price and strike price are the same) for a call with a month of remaining life onFacebook (FB) trades for about $3 ($300 per call). If that call expires shortly after an earnings announcement, it will trade for about $4.80. That is a significant difference. In options parlance, option prices are “high” or “low” depending on their implied volatility (IV). IV is much higher for all options series in the weeks before the announcement. IV is at its absolute highest in the series that expires just after the announcement. Usually that is a weekly option series.

Here are IV numbers for FB at-the-money calls before and after the November 4th earnings announcement:

These numbers clearly show that when you are buying a 4-month-out call (March, IV=35) and selling a one-week out call (IV=57), before an announcement, you are buying less expensive options (lower IV) than those which you are selling. After the announcement, this gets reversed. The short-term options you are selling are relatively less expensive than the ones you are buying. Bottom line, before the announcement, you are buying low and selling high, and after the announcement, you are buying high and selling low.

You can make a lot of money buying a series of longer-term call options and selling short-term calls at several strike prices in the series that expires shortly after the announcement. If the long and short sides of your spread are at the same strike price, you call it a calendar spread, and if the strikes are at different prices, it is called a diagonal spread.

Calendar and diagonal spreads essentially work the same, with the important point being the strike price of the short option that you have sold. The maximum gain for your spread will come if the stock price ends up exactly at that strike price when the option expires. If you can correctly guess the price of the stock after the announcement, you can make a ton of money.

But as we all know, guessing the short-term price of a stock is a really tough thing to do, especially when you are trying to guess where it might end up shortly after the announcement. You never know how well the company has done, or more importantly, how the market will react to how the company has performed. For that reason, we recommend selecting selling short-term options at several different strike prices. This increases your chances of having one short strike which gains you the maximum amount possible.

Here are the positions held in our actual FB portfolio at Terry’s Tips on Friday, October 30th, one week before the Nov-1 15 calls would expire just after FB announced earnings on November 4th:

Foxy Face Book Positions Nov 2015

We owned calls which expired in March 2016 at 3 different strikes (97.5, 100, and 105) and we were short calls with one week of remaining life at 4 different strikes (103, 105, 106, and 107). There was one calendar spread at the 105 strike and all the others were diagonal spreads. We owned 2 more calls than we were short. This is often part of our strategy just before announcement day. A fairly large percent of the time, the stock moves higher in the day or two before the announcement as anticipation of a positive report kicks in. We planned to sell another call before the announcement, hopefully getting a higher price than we would have received earlier. (We sold a Nov1-15 204 call for $2.42 on Monday). We were feeling pretty positive about the stock, and maintained a more bullish (higher net delta position) than we normally do.

Here is the risk profile graph for the above positions. It shows our expected gain or loss one week later (after the announcement) when the Nov1-15 calls expired:

Foxy Face Book Rick Profile Graph Nov 2015

When we produced this graph, we instructed the software to assume that IV for the Mar-16 calls would fall from 35 to 30 after the announcement. If we hadn’t done that, the graph would have displayed unrealistically high possible returns. You can see with this assumption, a flat stock price should result in a $300 gain, and if the stock rose $2 or higher, the gain would be in the $1000 range (maybe a bit higher if the stock was up just moderately because of the additional $242 we collected from selling another call).

So what happened? FB announced earnings that the market liked. The stock soared from about $102 to about $109 after the announcement (but then fell back a bit on Friday, closing at $107.10). We bought back the expiring Nov1-15 calls (all of which were in the money on Thursday or Friday) and sold further-out calls at several strike prices to get set up for the next week. The portfolio gained $1301 in value, rising from $7046 to $8347, up 18.5% for the week. This is just a little better than our graph predicted. The reason for the small difference is that IV for the March calls fell only to 31, and we had estimated that it would fall to 30.

You can see why we like earnings announcement time, especially when we are right about the direction the stock moves. In this case, we would have made a good gain no matter how high the stock might go (because we had one uncovered long call). Most of the time, we select short strikes which yield a risk profile graph with more downside protection and limited upside potential (a huge price rise would yield a lower gain, and possibly a loss).

One week earlier, in our Starbucks (SBUX) portfolio, we had another earnings week. SBUX had a positive earnings report, but the market was apparently disappointed with guidance and the level of sales in China, and the stock was pushed down a little after the announcement. Our portfolio managed to gain 18% for the week.

Many people would be happy with 18% a year on their invested capital, and we have done it in a single week in which an earnings announcement took place. We look forward to having three more such weeks when reporting season comes around once again over the course of a year, both for these two underlyings and the 4 others we also trade (COST, NKE, JNJ, and SPY).

I have confidence in your systemI have seen it work very wellcurrently I have had a first 100% gain, and am now working to diversify into more portfolios. Goldman/Sachs is also doing well up about 40%

First Saturday Report with October 2015 Results

Monday, November 2nd, 2015

This week I would like to share with you (for the first time ever) every option position we hold in every stock-based actual portfolio we carry out at Terry’s Tips. You can access this report here. If you missed it last week, be sure to check out the short videos which explains why I like calendar spreads. and How to Make Adjustments to Calendar and Diagonal Spreads.

There is a lot of material to cover in the report and videos, but I hope you will be willing to make the effort to learn a little about a non-traditional way to make greater investment returns than just about anything out there.

First Saturday Report with October 2015 Results

Here is a summary of how well our 5 stock-based portfolios using our 10K Strategy performed last month as well as for their entire lifetime:

First Saturday Report October Results 2015

While it was a good month for the market, the best in 4 years, our 5 portfolios outperformed the market by 166% in October.

This is the final 2009 archive post covering indicators and trading methods. It covers November and December posts; see the separate archives for August. September. and October.

Indicator and Trading Pattern Posts - Volume Three

Indicator and Trading Pattern Posts - Volume One

Saturday, December 19, 2009

Creating Your Learning Culture

If I had to identify one characteristic that separated successful traders from their less successful counterparts, I would say that the successful ones maintained what I call a learning culture.

A learning culture is one in which there is an explicit philosophy and set of procedures to reflect upon recent experience, extract lessons from that experience, and use those lessons to guide future experience.

While such a culture can be maintained individually, it becomes exponentially more powerful when it is shared. Imagine a small group of people, each of whom is extracting lessons from experience and sharing them with all the others. The net effect is to condense time: a person has gained a week's worth of experience in a day, simply by assimilating the lessons of others.

This condensation of time is essential to a field such as trading, in which the learning curve may outlast one's bank account. Most of us have heard of the "ten year rule", which states that expertise in any performance field requires a minimum of ten years of learning and deliberate practice. Clearly, most of us cannot afford ten years of our lives to learn to master financial markets; few trading firms could or would support such an extended process.

Within a learning culture, however, a trader can gain ten years of experience in a fraction of that time. The key is learning from others and making use of proper tools for exploiting that learning.

Imagine, for example, that I am trading with a group of four other people. At the end of every trading session, each of us shares, via video and with annotation, his or her best trade of the day. Those videos and explanations are reviewed intensively, providing high-yield access to multiple trading patterns. Over time, those patterns are reinforced--and each of the traders is seeing many times the patterns of the average trader.

Sadly, few trading firms make concerted efforts to embody such learning cultures. Whatever mutual learning occurs is the result of informal conversations and occasional collaborations. Because the traders don't hang together, too many hang separately.

Just one learning colleague can double one's rate of growth; conducting learning in groups can turn a 10-year rule into a several year one. It is no accident that the same training facilities--whether in boxing, chess, college sports, or the arts--produce leading performers year after year. Nor is it an accident that the world's leading laboratories produce consistent world-class discoveries; that the world's leading educational institutions generate the best scholarship.

Culture counts. When you're surrounded by high performers, it brings out the best in you.

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3 Basic Forex Trading Strategies For Beginners | FXCM Digital Expo

Buying and selling world currencies is the largest financial market in the world. Known as the forex market, it sees an average daily turnover of about $4 trillion, as reported by the Bank of International Settlements in April 2010.

The forex market sees more trading volume than the NASDAQ and New York Stock Exchange combined. Trading forex is similar in basic principle to trading other instruments like stocks, options, and futures: buy low and sell high.

Beyond that, trading strategies come into play. The possibilities are endless; here are three simple forex trading strategies for beginners

1. News Fade strategy

Forex market movement can be influenced by the economic releases from many countries; forex trading opportunities are generated from the volatile short-term moves caused by these news events. In volatility generated from news events, a trader is not only trading the historical/expected statistical data, but also dealing the markets reaction to that number. News events that have market-moving potential are tracked on our calendar: DailyFX/calendar

Events rated High on our calendar hold greater potential for market volatility, which brings opportunities and risks for traders.

In fading, we wait 15-20 minutes after the news release for a reversal to trade. In the aggressive approach, at the open of the 4th candle, enter and place a stop above the previous high/low, on the premise that the market will revert to previous levels. The conservative approach is to enter a trade in the same direction if/when the market trades through the level at which it was trading before the news release.

The high volatility news event of non farm payroll reports released on the first Friday of every month by the Dept of Labor measures the number of jobs added to the economy during the prior month in all areas except seasonal agriculture jobs. Timing is the critical component of the news fade strategy, key is to wait 15 minutes before entering a trade, this will be at the open of the 4th 5-minute candle after the news release. At the open of the 4th candle, trade in the opposite direction of the most recent price action, based upon the anticipation that price will revert to previous levels before the news release. Set profit target at the levels the pair traded prior to the announcement and/or at 1:2 Risk:Reward ratio, and set a stop just outside of the most recent high/low after the news event.

2. Inside Day Breakout strategy

This second simple forex trading strategy follows the trend where the daily candle stays contained within high/low of the previous day candle. Trader buys 1 pip above/below previous days high/low, and the strategy becomes more reliable when multiple candles stay within the high/low of previous days candle. Keep in mind that this strategy does not setup all that often. A trader must exercise patience and discipline and allow it to set up properly, the more consecutive candles in the pattern, the more effective it will be.

3. 2-Hour Moving Average Convergence Divergence Crossover strategy

This third simple forex trading strategy says to buy when price action is above the 200 day simple moving average and the MACD line crosses above the signal line, and to sell when price action is below the 200 day simple moving average and the MACD line crosses below the signal line. Position should be closed when the MACD line crosses the signal line in the opposite direction of the entry signal.

Remember no strategy is perfect or will work every time. Test trading strategies in a demo account to be sure you are comfortable with them. Get the feel for forex trading first. Start with small entry trades, and step up position size gradually upon validation of signal and trend.

Forex Trading Strategies, Signals, and Analysis

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MT4 Partial Close and Trailing Stop EA Forex Exit Strategies

May 24th, 2014 | Author: admin

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The US Dollar rallied to fresh multi-month highs versus the Euro and other major counterparts as investors bought into the previous weeks breakout. Yet a mediocre week for US economic developments kept the Greenback well-contained, and indecision reigns supreme in the Euro/US Dollar exchange rate in particular. What could realistically get the US Dollar back on track?

A drop in short-term FX volatility prices suggests it could be another quiet week for the Dollar, but it will be important to keep an eye on a number of scheduled speeches from US Federal Reserve officials as well as a potentially market-moving US Consumer Price Index inflation report.

We look to inflation data and Fed speeches for a simple reason: any surprises could materially affect interest rate expectations heading into the US central banks highly-anticipated December policy meeting. And indeed last weeks Dollar surge came as sharply-better-than-expected US labor data singlehandedly sent the odds of a December Federal Reserve interest rate hike from 30 percent to 70 percent. Yet we cant shake a strong feeling of déjà vu; weve seen Fed rate forecasts surge countless times and yet interest rates remain near zero.

Markets remain at something of a standstill given the clear uncertainty, and it seems as though no one truly knows what the Fed is doing —even Fed officials themselves.

The lack of clarity leaves us with little option but to turn defensive as the US Dollar trades near major highs. This isnt to say that we would suddenly shift in favor of selling the Greenback— the opposite is mostly true as our sentiment data points to USD gains. Yet the Fed has bred an air of uncertainty and unease that makes traders (including us) skittish. Recent CFTC Commitment of Traders data shows that large speculators bought aggressively into the sudden USD rally, and any signs of disappointment could lead to a similarly dramatic run for the exits and a US Dollar decline.

Any major shifts in rhetoric could provide the catalyst for a Dollar correction as a total of eight Fed officials are scheduled to speak from 11/17 through 11/21. The heavy weight of expectations on the December meeting makes any positive surprises relatively unlikely, while it would take a sharp topside surprise from October CPI inflation numbers to materially improve rate forecasts.

Momentum clearly remains in the US Dollars favor as it trades near key multi-year peaks, and we head into the coming trading week cautiously bullish. Yet it is likewise clear that markets could shift in an instant, and it will be important to remain nimble in what looks to be another indecisive week of price action.

- The latest EUR/USD dive has enticed a wave of dip buyers in the retail crowd.

- Have a bullish (or bearish) bias on the Euro. but dont know which pair to use? Use a Euro currency basket.

In a week without major domestic-driven influences, it's not surprise that the Euro had a mixed performance. Indeed, with the two major 'divergence' currencies moving in opposite directions, FX markets had a lot to grapple with in the first full week of November. On one hand, the Euro was a beneficiary: after the Bank of England's dovish shocker, EUR/GBP rallied by +0.0 2% to close the week at £0.7137, but only after trading as low as £0.7042 ; after the blowout October US Nonfarm Payrolls report. EUR/USD slumped by - 2.47 % to close the week at $1.0733.

Last week in this column, we wrote how there would need to be greater signs of policy divergence in order for EUR/USD to continue its decline ; at that time, US economic data was middling, while Euro-Zone data was improving. Indeed. this condition was fulfilled with the exceptionally strong US NFPs. It must be understood that the entire upswing in the USD-complex is predicated on rapidly shifting rate expectations, which are now pricing in over a 70% chance of a 25-bps rate hike in December by the Federal Reserve. Yet EUR/USD's decline isn't foreshadowing the Euro's performance more broadly.

With EUR/USD back on the decline, and EUR/GBP remaining near its yearly lows despite the BoEs dovish shocker on Thursday, the European Central Bank is probably pleased with recent developments along the FX front: the Euro will not be a strong headwind to inflation, assuaging nascent concerns after the late-summer rally.

In turn, with Euro-Zone economic data having been on the upswing recently the Citi Economic Surprise Index for the Euro-Zone reads +22.1, whereas its US counterpart is flat at 0.0 the ECB may not feel pressure from the market to go ahead and unveil its ‘big bazooka at the December meeting. ECB President Mario Draghi has already started to try to temper expectations of the ‘big bazooka being unveiled in December: a deposit rate cut alongside an enhancement to the current QE program (operating at a €60 billion/month run rate through September 2016).

Last week, he said in regards to the extraordinary easing program. “Those asset purchases are proceeding smoothly and continue to have a favorable impact on the cost and availability of credit for firms and households. But even though domestic demand remains resilient, concerns over growth prospects in emerging markets and other external factors are creating downside risks to the outlook for growth and inflation.” The translation: but for foreign economic issues, the Euro-Zone is humming along just fine for now and would be in a better place. With that outlook, why would the ECB be readying to introduce not one, but two extraordinary stimulus measures? It seems highly unlikely; well probably see a deposit rate cut or an enhancement of the QE program in December, but not both.

With that said, even as EUR/USD sees renewed downward influence, the changing dynamics of prospective central bank easing leave other EUR-crosses in much less certain terms. For starters, now that the Euro, on a trade-weighted basis, is falling again, a lack of urgency on behalf of the ECB may provoke traders to tone down optimism as expressed by increased exposure to higher yielding currencies funded by the Euro. Factor in a Fed that is seemingly more and more ready to tighten in December, then all of the sudden the stimulus environment looks a little bit softer than it did at the beginning of the quarter. So, while EUR/USD could see further downside pressure as markets continue to price in a December rate hike, other EUR-crosses may find some pause as investors seek to reexamine the central bank stimulus backdrop over the coming weeks. CV

USD/JPY Stuck in Continuation Pattern Ahead of Japan GDP, BoJ Meeting

Fundamental Forecast for Yen: Neutral

The long-term outlook for USD/JPY remains bullish as the Federal Reserve remains on course to remove the zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP), but the key developments coming out of Japan may produce a larger correction in the exchange rate should the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continue to endorse a wait-and-see approach at the November 19 interest rate decision.

Despite forecasts for a widening trade deficit in Japan, the regions 3Q Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report may encourage the BoJ to carry its current policy into 2016 amid expectations for an upward revision in the growth rate. As a result, signs of a stronger recovery may prompt BoJ to keep its asset-purchase program JPY 80T, and Governor Haruhiko Kuroda may continue to highlight an upbeat outlook for the worlds third-largest economy as the central bank head remains confident in achieve the 2% inflation goal over the policy horizon.

Nevertheless, the major data prints coming out of the U. S. may fuel expectations for a December Fed rate-hike as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to show a rebound in the headline reading for inflation, while the core rate is anticipated to expand an annualized 1.9% for the second-consecutive month in October. Sticky price growth may generate a growing dissent within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC ) as Chair Janet Yellen sees the central bank on course to meet its dual mandate for full-employment and price-stability, but an unexpected slowdown in consumer price growth may undermine bets for a 2015 liftoff amid the ongoing 9-1 split within the central bank.

In turn, the fundamental developments coming out US/Japan are likely to spark increased volatility in USD/JPY as market participants gauge the next move by the Fed/BoJ, but the pair may consolidate ahead of the major event risk as it appears to be stuck within a bull-flag formation. Nevertheless, the deviating paths for monetary policy accompanied by the continuation pattern in price continues to highlight a long-term bullish outlook for the dollar-yen especially as the pair breaks out of the range carried over from back in September.

GBP/USD Bounces Up to a Lower High Ahead of UK Inflation Data

Fundamental Forecast for British Pound: Bearish

Last week, my colleague David Song reiterated our Bearish forecast on the British Pound. citing the dovish tone taken by the Bank of England during Super Thursday and the fact that it looked as though the Sterling was going to continue getting hit by depressed rate expectations moving forward. As a matter of fact, one of the big takeaways from last weeks BoE announcement was that not only that the Bank of England wouldnt likely be raising rates anytime soon, but that we may even be looking at an extension or increase in QE. The prevailing thought being that the Chief Economist of the Bank of England and voting member on the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Andrew Haldane may eventually bring on a three-way-vote. After numerous 8-1 splits on the MPC, with Ian McCafferty being the sole dissenter voting for a rate hike; many started to think that Mr. Haldane may also dissent, but voting for looser monetary policy to split the vote even further 7-1-1.

This sent the Cable flying lower as rate hike bets out of the UK continued to get priced-out of the market, and when t he blowout NFP report last Friday further firmed up rate-hike expectations for the United States. GBP/USD went into full-on lurch mode as we sank an additional 193 pips after the outsized

200 pip movement from the day before.

Data this week wasnt very encouraging for the UK. We did see a drop in the unemployment rate, but the disappointing wage growth that accompanied that release speaks to the elephant in the room (continued lackluster inflation). And given the recently downgraded inflation forecasts for the UK that came from the BoE on Super Thursday, this disappointment in wage growth only seemed to exacerbate the problem. Monday and Tuesday saw meager moves higher after the outsized-jumps lower of the week before; but the news that we received on Wednesday was a big motivator across markets, as Mr. Haldane soundly put to rest the idea that he was going to back any further accommodation in the near-future. On Wednesday, Mr. Haldane said that looser policy was not his ‘central view. This brought strength into the Sterling against most major currencies, and this strength lasted through Thursday only to see gains cauterized by a Doji candlestick on Friday.

The big item on the docket for next week out of the UK is inflation due out on Tuesday morning. This speaks directly to that pressure point that Mr. Mark Carney has been focusing on throughout the year when discussing that topic of rate hikes. Given the recent scope of UK inflation, its hard to hold out hope for much positivity here. We also get retail sales data on Thursday, and this could be telling towards that future inflationary pressure; as retail sales are often a precursor to stronger growth, which leads to higher inflation, lower unemployment, etc.

From a technical perspective, the Sterling is still confined to the down-trending channel against its US counterpart. Todays Doji formation may be a prelude to an evening star, and should Mondays candle close below 1.5210, the formation will be complete, and this could be an attractive way to sell the pair.

We continue to reiterate our bearish forecast on the British Pound, under the premise that the dovish stance taken by the BoE on Super Thursday is not likely to recede until data dictates otherwise. And were just not there yet.

Gold: Heres What to Look for After this Historic Run

Fundamental Forecast for Gold. Neutral

Gold prices fell for a fourth consecutive week with the precious metal down nearly 0.3% to trade at 1081 ahead of the New York close on Friday. The decline comes alongside a sharp sell-off in equity markets with the major indices off by more than 3.5% on the week. Despite declines in the greenback, bullion has remained under pressure as the Federal Reserve signals that it may be ready to hike the benchmark interest rate hike for the first time in nearly a decade.

A slew of central bank rhetoric from the likes of Fed Chair Janet Yellen, Vice-Chair Stanley Fischer, Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker dominated headlines this week as officials continued to allude to a December rate hike. As markets remain fixated on central bank policy, gold has remained on the defensive as expectations for higher rates weigh on non-yielding assets.

Looking ahead to next week, markets will be closely eyeing the release of the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday. On the back of last weeks stellar Non-Farm Payrolls report, a strong print on inflation is likely to further anchor expectations for higher rates next month. Consensus estimates are calling for core CPI to hold at an annualized rate of 1.9% with the month-on-month figure expected to hold at 0.2%. With the Fed continuing to suggest that they remain on course to achieve the 2% inflation target over the policy horizon, gold prices will remain at risk to changes in the interest rate outlook.

From a technical standpoint, gold prices look to close the week just above the August low at 1081 and although the broader bearish outlook remains unchanged, decline maybe reaching a near-term exhaustion point. Last week we noted that the recent decline had seen an, “eight-day losing streak (longest since July) with prices at risk for further losses..” Since the October 15th highs at 1191 prices have fallen more than 9%, marking losses on 19 of the past 22 trade sessions with the daily momentum signature continuing to flatten out. My colleague Jamie Saettele summed it up best, its simply “ too early to buy too late to sell ”.

Look for interim resistance at 1096/99 on a rebound with only a breach above former TL resistance dating back to the 2015 highs (

1112) invalidating the near-term downtrend. A break below the July low targets objectives at the 100% extension of the decline off the yearly high at 1067 and the broader 61.8% extension of the decline off the 2012 high at 1053. Bottom line: gold prices are at risk for a near-term rebound early next week which may offer more favorable short entries.

CAD Unable to Prevent Slide As Crude Oil Breaks Support

Fundamental Forecast for CAD: Bearish

Canadas Dollar Dragged Down As WTI Crude Oil Trades Near 2-Mo. Low On Oversupply Dampen The Appeal Of The Loonie. Royal Bank of Canada, the nations largest lender and the most accurate forecaster of the CAD advises clients to fund their Carry Trade with CAD, not EUR until BoC acts. For up-to-date and real-time analysis on the CAD, Oil and market reactions to economic factors currently ‘in the air, DailyFX on Demand can help

The Canadian Dollar witnessed a strong drop in the second half of the week thanks in large part to a massive build in DoE and API Crude Oil Inventories this week. Market expectations were set right below

800k for inventories, and Oil bulls were displeased to see a build of 4.22mn barrels and were then quick to sell Oil. The Canadian Dollar followed suit and ended the week as one of the poorest performers to the US Dollar alongside the Norwegian Krone, also heavily tied to the Oil market and Oils market price.

Domestic data last week did little to support USDCAD this week even though Monday Thursdays housing data came out in line with expectations. Next week will turn focus to more important news events on Friday. The CAD Consumer Price Index is expected by economists to fetch a reading of 1.0%, and the Bank Canada Consumer Price Core YoY is expected to bring 2.1%. Once again, unless the market is surprised by a large CPI beat (unlikely due to Oil, but housing could help), we expect CAD to be driven more from oil prices and external factors.

On the charts this week. USDCAD matched the late August high of

1.3450, and now eyes are set on 1.3452, the YTD high. This trend could continue as Canada's largest bank by market cap states FX traders should fund their carry trades through the Canadian Dollar as the subdued growth outlook for Canada will likely keep the Bank of Canada on hold for rates shortly. If banks take note, this would have the Canadian Dollar replacing the Euro as the carry trade funder, and likely add to the pressure on the Oil-driven currency to continue to see the largest capital outflow of G10FX.

The forecast remains bearish on the Canadian Dollar moving forward.

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The Australian Dollar mounted a spirited recovery last week after an impressively strong set of employment figures crossed teh wires. The economy added a net 58.6k jobs in October, dwarfing economists forecasts calling for a 15k increase and producing the largest monthly increase in since March 2012. The jobless rate dropped to 5.9 percent, the lowest in 19 months.

The currency pushed higher alongside a surge in front-end bond yields, suggesting the upbeat report undermined RBA easing speculation. Indeed, the priced-in probability of a rate cut at next months meeting has plunged to just 8 percent, down from 67 percent just a week ago. The longer-term outlook has also shifted, with traders pricing out the probability of another 25 basis point reduction in the cash rate over the coming 12 months.

The move higher may prove short-lived however as external forces re-take the spotlight. Minutes from the Federal Reserves October meeting are in focus. The policy announcement seemed decidedly hawkish and markets interpreted it as such, with the US Dollar soaring and Fed Funds futures shifting to imply that traders now see the probability of a December rate hike as close to 70 percent. The tone of subsequent Fed commentary likewise leaned in favor of liftoff.

More of the same on display in the Minutes document may amplify Fed vs RBA policy divergence policy divergence bets, regardless of a more supportive outlook for the Australian monetary authority. US core inflation is expected is expected to register at 1.9 percent for the second consecutive month and may reinforce this dynamic. A print in line with forecasts would fall within a hair of the Feds 2 percent target, hinting that headline price growth readings are poised to recover once overhang from last years crude oil plunge re-base out of calculations. This threatens to cap Aussie gains and put the currency back on the defensive.

Fonterra Milk Auction To Put Spotlight on RBNZs Next Move

Fundamental Forecast for the Kiwi. Bearish

New Zealand Dollar Ends The Week Nearly Flat Against a Mixed USD Speculative Longs Outweigh Shorts By 20% Vs Previous 18% Showing Speculative Positioning Is Still Convincingly Long-Kiwi, Increasing the Risk if USD Moves Higher in Near-Future For up-to-date and real-time analysis on the Kiwi and market reactions to economic factors currently ‘in the air, DailyFX on Demand can help .

Halfway through the month of November, the New Zealand Dollar has retraced much of its October gains. In fact, across the G10, NZD is lower vs. the USD than even the Oil-driven Canadian Dollar and Norwegian Krone. Month-to-date, the New Zealand Dollar is lower by 3.70%. However, the Australian Dollar is the most resilient vs. the USD due to a mid-week AU employment report that moved AU rates substantially. That type of divergence rarely lasts meaning either the NZD will soon strengthen or the AUD weaken vs. the USD. Many investment bank research notes favor the later as a likely December Federal Reserve liftoff looms.

The main domestic data this week came in the form of the Financial Stability Report, which was followed by a Wheeler conference that reinforced the view that RBNZ is on hold for the time being. A holding RBNZ and consistently weak milk auctions continue to put downward pressure on the NZD. Another milk auction next week will be looked to either reverse the trend or confirm the dropping demand for premium milk products. Another underwhelming auction could further encourage traders to sell the NZD as the milk industrys troubles could influence the RBNZ to move forward with another cut down the road. The dairy industry accounts for roughly 25% of GDP for New Zealand, so the demand and direction of the dairy industry are worth watching if you hold exposure on NZD.

Focus next week will be on Tuesdays Reserve Bank of New Zealand 2-Year Inflation Expectation, which will be judged vs. the prior reading of 1.94%. Lastly, the trend in other commodities has driven commodity currencies lower (save AUD though that could change), as the post-August bounce in many commodities like Crude, Copper. Gold. Iron Ore, and Milk have failed to retain buyers. If this story picks up steam and markets continue to sell commodities, NZD would likely feel the pinch as well and continue to move lower as it has through November vs. the USD. The Commitment of Traders (CoT) report showed that speculative NZD longs recently outweighed shorts by 20% vs. previous 18%. This positioning data shows that speculative positioning, which is notoriously fickle, is still convincingly long-kiwi, and that increases the risk of a sell-off if USD moves higher in near-future. T. Y.

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Video is the original rapid instructional design and development tool. It may be far more practical than you think, especially when you follow the six simple steps outlined in this article!

Like most instructional designers, Im very excited about the possibilities of what will become the future of online education. One day, immersive online worlds and serious games might be the future of online adult education.

Today, however, these technologies are more buzzwords than practical options, mainly used in small demographics and in limited situations. Until the day comes that immersive learning is the norm, think video.

Why video? Your learners are used to watching TV and Internet videos. With the popularity of video sites such as YouTube, which now accounts for 25 percent of all Google searches, the consumption of video training is a reality in most organizations and colleges. These accessible online video forums have made it easier for organizations to distribute online training videos.

On top of that, video is the fastest means currently available to create engaging online learning experiences, especially for the masses. Using video is an easy way to make a connection between the instructor and the learners. In this article, I provide a step-by-step guide for creating great instructional video design, and producing such experiences. This is not a technical guide for shooting and editing video.

Six steps to great instructional video

While video technology is available to anyone, companies must take the time to ensure the high instructional quality of the training videos they produce.

Step 1: Planning the video

Here is an example of a simple video plan I use to get started on a project:

Course learning goals

Course outline

Suggested length of total video

Top three subject matter expert ( SME ) choices

Practice run date

Shoot date

Shoot location

Crew needed? Cameraman, editor, producer, grip

Budget

Step 2: Understanding video-based instruction design basics

Creating great online video instruction can be intimidating, but it really is quite simple. In most cases you are still teaching based on the adult learning model. with a few additional guidelines for video. Start the video by introducing the subject matter expert, the “SME,” and then tell the learner what they are going to learn. Next, show the instruction. Finally, through a summary, tell the learner what they just learned.

One of the biggest mistakes people make with video is the length. Would you sit down and watch a 52-minute video segment? The optimal video segment should be two to seven minutes long.

The second mistake people frequently make with video is not engaging and connecting to the learner. If you are teaching a software program, most instructional designers only show the software screen and not the instructor. This creates disconnect between the instructor and the student. Believe it or not, most of the time when youre teaching software, you are not moving your mouse around. Instead you show how to do something, and then you spend most of the remaining time talking about the theory behind what you just did. So, if youre just showing the screen with voiceover, the video becomes boring. On the other hand, if the instructor looks right at the learner when he is talking, it creates a connected bond similar to being in a classroom with an instructor. (See Figure 1.)

Figure 1 Great instructional video is still based on the adult learning model.

Also, pick the right talent for your video. Make sure that your SME personally works well on video and for your demographic. If your SME is boring in person, this will be amplified on video! Make sure that your SME is a thought leader in the subject matter youre teaching.

Step 3: Pre-production and practice

The easiest way to fail with online video training is to have your SME show up the day of the shoot and wing it. The SME may be an industry pro who speaks and teaches weekly, but even the smallest of problems or frustrations can throw off someones game. Once your SME is upset by something, its very difficult to reset the mood and get quality training. The best approach is to give your SME an outline and desired learning goals, and to have a practice run before the day of the shoot. As simple as that sounds, having both parties agree on a game plan is 90% of the battle.

The day of the practice run, give your SME options. Some people need a teleprompter; some people are horrible with them. It is up to you to understand how the SME will best deliver training. I would suggest experimenting before the day of the shoot. Make the SMEs personality shine, and don't worry about perfection. The more comfortable the instructor, the more engaged the learner. Having a few mistakes gives the SME more humanity and personality. If the SME is prepared, it will show through in the video and your learners will benefit.

Step 4: The role of the Instructional designer /producer

Once the camera starts rolling, you have to be several different people at once. You must produce the course like a television show, and you must make sure that the instruction is solid and clear. Help your SME play the role of an EDUTAINOR (combination of an educator and an entertainer). (See Figure 2.) Again, having an outline and a list of desired learning goals makes this task simple.

Figure 2 On camera, the subject matter expert must be a combination educator and entertainer: an Edutainor.

The best advice I can give you is to make your SMEs happy and comfortable. You want them to be who they are. Try not to make your talent feel like they have to act; after all, this is not Hollywood. Explain to your talent that if they mess up, don't stop; let them keep on going.

I also suggest that you record each video in segments that are just two to seven minutes long. This allows the SME to take a breath and doesnt put as much pressure on them. You can always go back to redo a few segments. Make sure beforehand that youve tested your video and audio equipment, and that you have all the bugs out before the talent arrives. Dont over-think; creating training video should be simple and fun.

Step 5: Post-production

Make sure that during Step 3 you take good notes; this will be helpful when editing the video and when uploading the course to your LMS. I suggest debriefing after the shoot with your team. Write down anything that might be important. Having another set of eyes and ears on the shoot is very helpful. Finally, I suggest that the editor also be the cameraman, which is a great way to educate the editor on the course. Don't forget to consider the disabled learner; create closed captions for all video training. Closed captions are also a good way to optimize your video for Google search results.

Step 6. The online learners experience

Having quality video is great, but that does not matter if the learners experience is poor. Understanding how your learners learn is great information to ensure a positive experience. If you are creating video for the Web, you must compress the video based on how much bandwidth your typical student has. Video compression can be a very complicated matter. To keep things simple, I suggest making your videos FLV or H264 files playing through a Flash 9 or higher player (I recommend the open source JW Media Player). The best way to make sure everyone can watch your videos is to use a content delivery network (CDN) to host your video files.

Keep your videos simple to access and easy to watch. It would be great if the learners could pick up where they last watched. Two of the best examples of a good viewing experience are on hulu and tv. adobe.

Offering quizzes or tests after the video helps the learner complete the learning cycle and reinforces learned concepts. I also recommend that you give your learners hands-on projects to further reinforce the learning. Finally, if possible, use social media in your design so your learners can share experiences, questions, and course work.

Remember that people are used to watching TV. Keep your video simple and to the point. Make sure your videos are no longer than 10 minutes: if needed, segment them. If you have one hour of video based training, find seven to ten main points and break up the training into those points. Keep the training simple. Occasional close-ups with the instructor looking at the camera help to create and maintain a connection to the learners.

Make sure the subject matter expert is prepared on the day of the shoot, otherwise everyone will be wasting time. Capturing the SMEs passion for the subject will help to engage learners. Try not to script or control the shoot too much or the passion might be lost. Always think about what you would be willing to watch. If the presentation becomes boring, your audience might not engage in the content and they will not learn.

Dont get caught up in technology. Whether you have a $200 camera or a $10,000 camera, make sure the video is worth watching. It's simple to do this: as long as the video looks good, thats all you need. If the video shakes or has poor quality, poor lighting, or poor audio, dont use it. If you are creating a training program for Fortune 100 companies, you might want a professional video crew. If you are shooting a training video for a small course or a non-profit, buy a camera, tripod, wireless mic, and lighting, and start experimenting. Today, a $600 camcorder is typically all most will need. Make sure that you check the camcorder reviews, and especially verify that it has a place for the wireless mic system to plug-in.

Finally, treat video instructional design like any other instructional design. Always use your standard formula of creating course material, whether you use ADDIE or other methods.