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Week #10: Jan 7/18

THE OFFICIAL HOLLYWOOD TOP 35 #10

to Jan 7/18

Welcome to the first OHT35 of the new year! Having a semester break allows a chance to look very closely at every team's record. In doing so, and in seeing the glob of teams in the OUA West, after going over the numbers numerous times it became apparent that the categories needed more balance. Hopefully there will be fewer changes between categories going down the stretch. After all was said and done, 6 teams went down, 4 teams went up, and we have a new #1 in the rankings. And that comes after they suffered quite an upset loss.

* indicates total includes a tie gameConf. indicates overall conference recordCon-x indicates exhibition record within conferenceCIS-x indicates exhibition record within CIS but outside conferenceCIS indicates regular season and exhibition record against CIS teamsOther indicates record against non-CIS teamsTotal indicates record against all teams∞ In the official standings, Calgary were penalized 2 wins against UBC, a win and OTL against Lethbridge, and an OTL against Alberta for use of an ineligible player.

One useful rankings measure at this time of the season is the “average of averages” method. This system becomes more reliable as the number of games played against each category increases. That is, one game can have a dramatic effect on your record against a given category. This time, there were only a few necessary changes to the result of this method:

1. Lethbridge is ahead of UBC in the CW rankings and therefore jump ahead despite their lower table score.

2. Same thing in the AUS where Moncton jumps ahead of Dalhousie.

3. Though not in the same conference, UPEI jumps ahead of Regina due to a better record and a somewhat stronger strength-of-schedule.

Here's the table:

I ran the numbers based on the prior rankings and applying the new results. That caused a change to the rankings, which in turn altered the categories, and so on and so on until I wound up here.

At the end, we arrived at what should closely reflect the final comparative rankings skew:

Since there is just one non-conference game left on the schedule (RMC v Army), here is the inter-conference table: