Diabetes and Cause-specific Mortality in a Prospective Cohort of One Million U.S. Adults

Epidemiology Research Program, American Cancer Society National Home Office, Atlanta, Georgia

Corresponding author: Peter T. Campbell, peter.campbell{at}cancer.org

Abstract

OBJECTIVE Diabetes is a major predictor of death from heart disease and stroke; its impact on nonvascular mortality, including specific
cancers, is less understood. We examined the association of diabetes with cause-specific mortality, including deaths from
specific cancers.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS A prospective cohort of 1,053,831 U.S. adults, without cancer at baseline, enrolled in the Cancer Prevention Study-II in
1982 and was followed for mortality until December 2008. At baseline, participants completed a self-administered questionnaire
that included information on diabetes, smoking, physical activity, height, and weight. Multivariable-adjusted relative risks
(RRs) (95% CI) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS During 26 years of follow-up, 243,051 men and 222,109 women died. In multivariable models that controlled for age, BMI, and
other variables, diabetes was associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality (women RR 1.90 [95% CI 1.87–1.93]; men 1.73
[1.70–1.75]). Among women, diabetes was associated with higher risk of death from cancers of the liver (1.40 [1.05–1.86]),
pancreas (1.31 [1.14–1.51]), endometrium (1.33 [1.08–1.65]), colon (1.18 [1.04–1.33]), and breast (1.16 [1.03–1.29]). Among
men, diabetes was associated with risk of death from cancers of the breast (4.20 [2.20–8.04]), liver (2.26 [1.89–2.70]), oral
cavity and pharynx (1.44 [1.07–1.94]), pancreas (1.40 [1.23–1.59]), bladder (1.22 [1.01–1.47]), colon (1.15 [1.03–1.29]),
and (inversely) prostate (0.88 [0.79–0.97]). Diabetes was also associated with higher risks of death involving the circulatory
system, respiratory system, digestive system, genitourinary system, and external causes/accidental deaths.

CONCLUSIONS Diabetes is associated with higher risk of death for many diseases, including several specific forms of cancer.