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Wright won't take this, it's like when Milwaukee offered CC and then Prince $100 million dollar deals. $100 million is enough to make it look to some fans like you're trying to re-sign a guy, but not enough to actually retain a top talent.

I think he stays, too. Maybe it's just me but I don't think anyone is going to give him $200 million. I also don't see him as a 4-win player anymore. He had a great first half this year but other than that he hasn't been a 4-win player for the last four seasons.

I think it's as likely that the DVR-driven boom in TV money is a one-off than a long-term trend. And I think the odds of serious real-world inflation in the near future is basically zero. Our central banking overlords will allow crisis-level long-term unemployment in order to prevent even 3-4% inflation.

But there's a very good case to be made for starting at $6M per free agent win.

I think he stays, too. Maybe it's just me but I don't think anyone is going to give him $200 million. I also don't see him as a 4-win player anymore. He had a great first half this year but other than that he hasn't been a 4-win player for the last four seasons.

If you prorate 2011, Wright has generally been worth 3-4 win player every year since 2009 except for last year when he was significantly better. Wright actually saw basically a 3 win jump upgrade in defense this year if you prorate 2011. Now is Wright really that good defensively? Nope. Is he really as bad as his 2011 suggests? Nope. When he's healthy, Wright IS an average defender and I think that means he's been a 4-5 win player the last four seasons.

Adrian Beltre got 6y/96m after one 141 OPS+ season in a good hitter's park for him after years of mediocrity offensively. Wright, in a park that isn't great for him, has put up a 130 OPS+ the last four seasons. Let's not include last year if you think the first half was a fluke. He still put up a 124 OPS+ in 2009-2011.

Beltre got 6y/96m. I think Wright gets more than that because of inflation and because there's going to be someone who thinks he's better than that because of Citifield.

Really? Reyes signed for 6 and $100 mill. Seems like a decent starting point.

This is true, although a six-year contract will only take Wright through his age 36 season. If they really want him to be a Met "for life," it's going to take either a longer deal or Wright taking less than $16.5 (or so) per year. And the latter seems unlikely.

I'm of the view that the Mets should trade Wright. A lot of that is because I just don't understand him as a player any more. In every year he usually finds a way to do something to bring a fairly significant level of value to the team, but over the past few years there have seemed to be weird fluctuations in his skills that cause me to question whether he's a good bet to maintain any aspect of his production (of course there's always the chance he could put everything together in any given year). But I'll be really annoyed if they take the same cowardly path with Wright as they did with Reyes, and lose him for the equivalent of Kevin Plawecki.