MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR

Team

Lg

G

GS

IP

W

L

SV

H

BB

SO

HR

oppTAv

PPF

H/9

BB/9

HR/9

K/9

GB%

BABIP

TAv

WHIP

FIP

ERA

cFIP

DRA

DRA-

WARP

2012

ARI

MLB

6

6

29.3

1

3

0

30

13

21

6

.261

100

9.2

4.0

1.8

6.4

36%

.264

.283

1.47

5.90

5.83

130

7.75

131.0

-0.9

2013

ARI

MLB

7

7

38.7

2

3

0

38

15

36

7

.256

104

8.8

3.5

1.6

8.4

45%

.282

.275

1.37

4.83

5.12

103

3.77

100.5

0.6

2014

ANA

MLB

18

18

113.0

5

5

0

107

30

86

9

.261

96

8.5

2.4

0.7

6.8

51%

.293

.256

1.21

3.58

4.30

96

3.73

98.5

1.5

2016

ANA

MLB

10

10

49.7

3

4

0

51

23

50

5

.261

104

9.2

4.2

0.9

9.1

44%

.331

.263

1.49

3.91

4.17

95

4.10

99.6

0.7

Career

MLB

41

41

230.7

11

15

0

226

81

193

27

.260

100

8.8

3.2

1.1

7.5

47%

.295

.264

1.33

4.15

4.60

101

4.33

103.2

1.9

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

BP Chats

What are your feelings about Tyler Skaggs? If healthy can he be a top 30 pitcher next year in fantasy? What about long term outlook?(Mrgrutgers from NJ)

I was extremely encouraged by his comeback, especially the strikeout spike that carried over from his minor-league rehab. The health concerns are never going to disappear. I don't think he has a realistic shot at being a top-30 fantasy starter next season for a few reasons. He's not going to have the volume of innings necessary to build up that type of value, his control is still less than ideal and the Angels are in a rough place overall. Long-term, I think he's interesting if the strikeout gains hold. (George Bissell)

I'm always going to bet on Gerrit Cole (I'm assuming this is the Cole you're referring to), but I think Tyler Skaggs is going to have a much better campaign than people might expect. He is Good. (Nicolas Stellini)

What are your thoughts on the struggles of Tyler Skaggs? Will the Angels leave him in their rotation?(jamesmcevoy from San Diego)

Skaggs has made some positive mechanical improvements since coming back to the Angels' system, but he still tends to fall back on bad habits from time to time. That results in inconsistency, especially when he starts manipulating his release angle (closed stride, elevated arm slot). The Angels have a lot on the line but also need IP in their starting rotation, and his fate could be tied to whether they pull anything else out of the hat before the trade deadline. (Doug Thorburn)

Is there a possibility that Bundy gets some big league innings, probably in a relief role this season? Sure. There's no reason to rush it, really. All depends on how he feels. It's more important that he's healthy in 2015 and beyond. Could make the case that he's the best pitching prospect in the minors. (Jordan Gorosh)

does Martin Perez's mechanics look any better this year? whats his outlook for this year/future?(Jake from Dallas)

He does look better, with marked improvements to both his balance and posture. He joins Bauer as part of a cadre of young arms that have made big improvements to their balance (both lateral and vertical) and posture at release point since 2013, a list that includes Yordano Ventura and Tyler Skaggs. (Doug Thorburn)

What are your current thoughts on Tyler Skaggs in an AL-only fantasy league? Doug T. was pretty exuberant about the mechanical changes implemented during spring training but YTD K/BB ratio is underwhelming.(Michael from Detroit, MI)

He's one of our bigger disagreements, though Doug has seen improvements in his mechanics (from awful to not-so-good, LOL). He's a growth stock, but that means there will be some bumps. Much prefer him as an AL-only guy, so hold tight (Paul Sporer)

Do you have more love for Eddie Butler or Andrew Heaney, and what does the future hold for Tyler Skaggs? Separately, can you rank the three in order for me, in terms of impact?(KJ from PA)

I've come around on Heaney. I wasn't enamored with him coming out of college, but he has really impressed me as a pro. The fastball velocity has been more consistent toward his upper range, and I think he's made some excellent strides in terms of sequencing and his overall approach on the mound. I'm buying Heaney as a really good MLB starter. I like Butler as well, but given their proximity in terms of overall ceiling, give me the lefty.

As for Skaggs, I wish I knew what the future held there; I'd be a wealthy man if I could predict things like that. I'm still buying the raw talent, but even if things come together, I think he ends up more of a 3/4 starter than anything else. (Mark Anderson)

Enjoyed your analysis in the SP guide. Have you noticed any noteworthy mechanical changes a pitcher has made in the early-going this year?(John from Russia)

Thanks, John!

I noticed a handful of changes on Opening Day alone, and I wrote about it here: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=23225

The biggest takeaways: 1) Strasburg's posture is behind where it needs to be (and where it was at peak), and his new technique to check on baserunners is disrupting his rhythm from the stretch; and 2) Sonny Gray is also a bit behind on timing and balance, but this is common in the early season. I was more intrigued by his addition of a cutter in his first start.

I am also very pleased with Eovaldi's timing consistency so far this year. The biggest mind-blower has been Tyler Skaggs, though ... (Doug Thorburn)

Now that Tyler Skaggs has come up with a 2-seamer, how does that effect his outlook? How long will it take hitters to adjust?(Mark68 from A Mile High)

I think the biggest adjustment has been to his mechanics. Skaggs has made major improvements to his delivery since rejoining the Angels, and the ripple effect has been a boon to his velocity. His momentum is much stronger and his balance/posture have improved, a combination that has done wonders for what was once an extremely shallow release point. The deeper RP will be a key to the deception of his 2-seamer, and his command will also benefit as he learn a new timing pattern that is easier to replicate.

Hi Bret,
Tyler Skaggs gets a lot of ink as an AL SP sleeper. Who else do you think could surprise people out of John Danks, Carrasco, Straily, Keuchel, Hutchinson, etc.?
thanks!(Spencer from London Ontario)

Does Straily count as a sleeper? I think he's very underrated and would make for a very strong pick in AL-only formats. (Bret Sayre)

R.J.,
What type of year do you expect from Tyler Skaggs ? (Harry from San Bernadino)

Solid but unspectacular, Harry. You figure he might be the odd man out if Mark Mulder makes that club, which seems unlikely but who knows. Skaggs still has a chance to become a no. 3 starter type, and though that's not what we envisioned for him a few years ago, that's a mighty fine pitcher. I'm curious to see if the Angels tweak his mechanics a bit this spring. (R.J. Anderson)

RJ,
Tyler Skaggs has been pretty disappointing so far albeit being young for the levels he's pitched at. Do you think he's been rushed and do you see him improving this year as the Angels 5th starter ?(PJ from Oswego, NY)

We talked about Skaggs a bit earlier. I think it was Keith Law who pointed out the D'Backs tweaked his stride a bit last season, which may have hurt him. I suppose it's possible he was rushed on top of that as well. He should improve. The materials are still there for success, albeit at a lesser level than before. (R.J. Anderson)

Mike! Big gan of the podcast. Give me three sleeper pitchers for this season (ideally post-hype guys).(dbrosene from San Mateo, CA)

Hi dbrosene

The sleeper question depends on your league, but I'll go with Tyler Skaggs, Marco Estrada, and Dan Straily. Estrada is probably the biggest stretch as a "sleeper" but I can see all three of these pitchers being undervalued in standard mixed leagues and fitting the post hype description. (Mike Gianella)

Folks seem down on Tyler Skaggs this off-season. What think you?(Mr C from Milwaukee)

I still think he's a solid #3 starter in the end. He has some adjustments to make in terms of controlling his fastball, sequencing his pitches better, and just making an overall adjustment to the level of competition in MLB, so he may not approach that #3 level for a couple of seasons but I do think he will get there. (Mark Anderson)

Thoughts on the Angels/Dbacks/White Sox trade? How do you like Santiago and Skaggs in Anaheim?(Dennis from LA)

Hi Dennis.

I'm glad somebody asked this.

Let's start with the White Sox. A lot of the smart baseball folks on my Twitter timeline were enthused by Adam Eaton, but I'm not all that excited. Even if you see him as a starter and not a fourth outfielder, Eaton's upside seems limited to me. His batting averages in the minor leagues were PCL driven and I see more of a .260 hitter here with not enough power to make a huge splash. From a needs perspective, I can see why the Sox gave up Hector Santiago, but I think the Sox could have done a little better.

The Diamondbacks made the play for a big power hitter, but while Mark Trumbo might hit 35-40 home runs for Arizona he has a number of flaws. He isn't a good on base option, and his defense in the outfield is going to be a big downgrade for the D-backs. Moving an outfielder made sense for Arizona but moving Eaton for another outfielder isn't necessarily the right play. Trumbo is an overall upgrade on Eaton, though, so even though the Diamondbacks are paying a lot for the right to this upgrade, it is an improvement overall.

However, the Diamondbacks didn't just give up Eaton. They also gave up on Tyler Skaggs. A number of scouts/scouting types are down on Skaggs now, but he's still very young and could develop into more than just a #3 or #4 starter. The Angels give up Trumbo and lose out on a power hitter but gain some considerable upside in both Skaggs and Santiago...and avoid paying a pitcher like Ubaldo Jimenez $15-16 million per year in this crazy free agent market. Maybe Skaggs and Santiago work out and maybe they don't, but I like the play that the Angels made here. From a fantasy perspective, the park is going to help both of those pitchers out a lot, but from a baseball perspective the Angels suddenly look a lot stronger than they did yesterday. (Mike Gianella)

So I'm walking around the hotel in my Birkenstocks, thinking about taking a bath, when I hear about todays three-team trade. Who are the trades fantasy winners/losers?(Jeff Passan from #BathEvening)

Hi Jeff:

I already answered the three-way-trade question a couple of questions ago, but looked at it more from an MLB perspective. From a fantasy standpoint, Adam Eaton probably figures to gain more playing time, while Alejandro de Aza could lose time or get traded. Mark Trumbo should see a home run boost moving from Anaheim to Arizona. Tyler Skaggs and Hector Santiago both benefit moving to pitchers' parks. Archie Bradley is the sneaky winner; he might have seen his timetable moved forward with the trade of Skaggs out of the organization. (Mike Gianella)

Do you think Tyler Skaggs can return to the form that made him a top prospect last year?(Josh from Chicago)

I have never been a big fan of Skaggs, as his delivery poses a ton of roadblocks to success. His closed stride and blatant over-the-top limit his release distance, and he has a tendency to release the breaking ball very early in the rotational sequence. Topping it off, he shortened his stride this past season, which further shrunk his release distance. The net result of these elements is that batters get a very long look at the baseball, which more than counteracts any advantages imposed by his deception. He did make some improvements to balance last season, so he could be on the road to improvement, but he has a steep hill to climb and his stuff is not enough to cover for the mechanical lapses. (Doug Thorburn)

Should I be as put off by Tyler Skaggs as I am? He's highly touted but color me unimpressed, when I've seen him pitch. Stuff seems so-so and he really "shows the ball" to RH hitters. Thoughts?(Matt from Chicago)

That's interesting because he's had a (SSS) gnarly platoon split in the majors. He's young, he'll have to be crafty and rely on his potential to extend and pitch downhill for his stuff to play up. I like the guy, I took him as my 5th starter in the Under 90 MPH Draft with Sam and Ben. (Harry Pavlidis)

My contention is that Skaggs has a ton of work to do. He does so many things that are intended to manipulate his arm angle - from a closed stride that is directed at the left-hand batter's box to his excessive spine tilt - that he is minimizing his potential effectiveness. The tricks might survive in the bullpen, but as a starter they create serious obstacles to pitch repetition. The techniques also give Skaggs a very shallow release point, which actually functions to limit his deception. I don't know that the D'Backs are trying to make any adjustments, but I feel that his ceiling is severely limited until he makes a drastic change to approach.

On the jukebox: Rage Against the Machine, "Killing in the Name of" (Doug Thorburn)

Thoughts on Tyler Skaggs? What do you see as his floor / ceiling?(DS from LA)

It's been a slightly disappointing season, no doubt. I think the floor is as a back-end rotation guy and the ceiling is as a mid-rotation (#3) guy. Still think there's a decent chance he gets to #3 status. (Jason Cole)

Kyle Gibson and Tyler Skaggs have been a little underwhelming results-wise this year, though, of course, they are still in the infancy stages of their MLB careers. Which do you like better, and what do you see their respective floors/upsides to be? Thank you for your great work!(Dennis from LA)

I definitely prefer Gibson, largely because I just can't stand Skaggs' delivery. Skaggs has a very closed stride and an extreme over-the-top delivery, as if he is trying to reach for the top-left corner of the hitter's visual window. It might be deceptive with respect to angles and downhill plane, but he makes major sacrifices to pitch repetition and depth at release point. Batters get a long look at his pitches despite the deception, and he doesn't throw hard enough to get away with such poor command.

Gibson has some red flags in his delivery as well, including a posture change that is not nearly as dire as that of Skaggs. I also prefer Gibson's pitch mix, but he has some room for growth, given that he has a stable delivery early in the sequence that loses efficiency after foot strike.

It depends on if your league has contracts or allows you to slot guys into rounds if you have a draft league. Cueto is a potentially strong keep assuming health and Skaggs has a nice ceiling. I've seen leagues where getting Cueto and Skaggs will net you four players, and it's not like Dickey or Dunn have been anything close to elite. It sounds like this is atypical for your league, though. The answer to these types of questions often depend more on your league culture than anything else. (Mike Gianella)

Of the top Minor League arms, who's mechanics impress you the most/least?(Shawnykid23 from Newington)

We are really in a renaissance of young pitchers right now with respect to mechanics. I usually have many reservations with prospects, but the top arms right now are legit.

I really like Bundy because of the combination of stable baseline + room to improve. Taijuan Walker is fascinating, and though he is currently more volatile than Bundy, his peak delivery is even more impressive (I also dig the frame). Jameson Taillon has an incredibly advanced delivery for his age, and while Gerrit Cole has excellent mechanics and might have the higher ceiling, I believe Taillon will enjoy more immediate success when he is promoted to the bigs.

The one delivery that drives me nuts is Tyler Skaggs. He is completely inefficient in the effort to create deception, and I think that MLB hitters are going to expose his weaknesses. (Doug Thorburn)

I've inherited a last place team in a H2H dynasty league. I have 1st pick in supplemental propsect draft(initial 5 rd prospect draft was last year so most of the usual suspects are already gone). Thoughts on Buxton and Addison Russell? Is thier ceiling worth the wait, or should I take someone closer such as Tyler Skaggs?(Shawnykid23 from CT)

I'm super happy to answer all fantasy questions, because they're quick and fun and specific, but a caveat that if I were *actaully* making this decision for your team a) I'd want to look at a thousand variables that I am not currently privy to and b) my decision would ultimately not probably matter cause mostly this is coin flipping between comparable options.

The thing is that you really have to ask yourself how confident you are in the other league owners. If this is a league that is likely to hold on for 10 years, yes, patience is an undervalued commodity. If there's any chance at all that it's going to dissolve in three years, don't put yourself through the potential agony of watching it fold just when you're on the cusp of cashing in. (I'd probably take Russell though) (Sam Miller)

Do you see any of the top pitching prospects a future injury risks, specifically Walker, Cole, Fernandez, Wheeler and Bundy?(cal guy from cal)

We are fortunate to be witnessing a renaissance of young talent on the mound. I typically have many reservations about the mechanics of young pitchers, but the mechanical profile of every pitcher that you mentioned is incredibly advanced for his age. There are a couple of risky guys out there - Tyler Skaggs stands out as an inefficient pitcher - but the majority of the other top prospects are well ahead of the standard development curve. I haven't been able to say that for years, but beyond the five that you mentioned, I have also been impressed by Shelby Miller and Kyle Zimmer, among others.

My pet player is Jose (J.O.) Berrios. He had the best mechanics in the 2012 draft, in my opinion, and the #32 overall pick exemplifies the change of approach that we are seeing in Minnesota. I am very high on his future, and would buy Berrios stock if he were a publicly-traded commodity.

In a dynasty league I'm looking to deal my Tyler Skaggs for Billy Hamilton. I need a CF (for next season), and I have plenty of SP depth. I should take this deal and squeal with joy, right?(Francois from Toronto)

Yes, even if you didn't have the pitching depth. Hitting over pitching when dealing with fantasy prospects is definitely the way to go as a rule of thumb, but then you have a situation where the fantasy value of Hamilton is much higher (potentially, of course) than Skaggs' even if Skaggs gets pretty close to his high ceiling. (Paul Sporer)

Looking back at Tyler Skaggs' 2012 season. He seemed to struggle getting the third out of an inning. Is this a skill that a younger pitcher can learn or is it something that you either can do or not? Thanks in advance for the response.(Jim from Milwaukee)

Skaggs struggles with repetition in any count, given the inconsistencies with his stride and the extreme angles he uses for deception, but getting third out certainly should not be an issue in and of itself, unless he has some psychological block when he gets to two outs. I expect him to struggle for awhile against advanced hitters (who will sit on their pitch), which will force him to gain consistency and command.

do you expect Bauer to get called up by June 1st or sooner?(Pablo from NJ)

The walks are a concern with Trevor Bauer, because they spike his pitch count early and prevent him from going deep into games. He has the stuff to miss bats in the majors right now, and I would not be surprised if he could already outpitch Josh Collmenter, but it's worth giving him some time in Double-A to work on the control. I do think we'll either see Bauer or his teammate Tyler Skaggs by June 1. (Daniel Rathman)

Hey Derek, thanks for the chat. Many people know I am better performer in the second half of season career-wise. Would you mind name more players you consider worth monitoring or even prospects who could have a big showing?(Adam Laroche from National Capital)

Hey Jason, with Drew going down for the year I'm left with Chipper (DL) and Peralta for my SS/3B who are some available pick ups to see me through?(Brian from Rhode Island)

I lost Drew too and was immediately offered Ryan Theriot and Tyler Skaggs for Shelby Miller. Um, no. I'm not sure you're going to find anyone better than Peralta on the pickup pile; Peralta is hitting .351 over the last 20 or so games with 12 runs and 11 RBI. (Jason Collette)

Cheslor Cuthbert is 18 years old, hitting .329 with a .869 OPS at a third. Have other people caught on yet?(Travis from KC)

KG has him in his Top 50 midseason and had him in his Top 15 even after the Grienke deal. He's obviously taken a big step to actualizing the talent. But it's very tough for most to get too excited about a player before they do it at AA. Remember: Jerry DiPoto got crushed at the deadline for the Dan Haren deal last year because the best player in it was at Low A. Tyler Skaggs has turned into a really good prospect, but, most want success at a higher level before going, well, ape over them. (Mike Ferrin)

BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

Tyler Skaggs has thrown 4,053 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2011 and 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph) and Curve (77mph), also mixing in a Change (86mph). He also rarely throws a Cutter (85mph).