As most of you probably know, I have been expecting the CRB to form a major three year cycle low sometime next summer. However I’m now starting to see some things that might indicate that major cycle bottom is going to occur earlier than I expected.

In a country that celebrates “Oil Industry Nationalization Day,” the energy package approved last night has automatically become Mexico’s most significant and controversial economic reform since the NAFTA.

The good news was that our short trade on the equities market was up 10% from our entry point last week. The bad news was that the stock market overseas was selling off big and so were US stocks. It was a black Monday in both the sky and on the screen…