ALP (55%) has biggest lead over L-NP (45%) since October 2010 after Government proposes a ‘deficit levy’ and an increase in the pensionable age to 70

Finding No. 5566 – This multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention was conducted via SMS and face-to-face interviewing on the weekends of April 26/27 & May 3/4, 2014 with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,077 Australian electors aged 18+, of all electors surveyed 2.5% (up 1%) did not name a party.

If a Federal Election were held today the ALP would win easily (55%, up 3% over the past two weeks) over the L-NP (45%, down 3%) according to today’s multi-mode Morgan Poll.

This Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted over the last two weekends (April 26/27 & May 3/4, 2014) with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,077 Australian electors aged 18+. The L-NP primary vote is 37.5% (down 1% to the lowest since the Election) now just ahead of the ALP 37% (up 3%).

Among the minor parties Greens support is 12% (down 1%), support for the Palmer United Party (PUP) is 5.5% (up 0.5%) and support for Independents/Others is 8% (down 1.5%).

Analysis by Gender

Analysis by Gender shows that ALP support remains strongest amongst women with the ALP 59% (up 4%) well ahead of the L-NP 41% (down 4%) on a two-party preferred basis. Support amongst men is much closer with the ALP 50.5% (up 1.5%) ahead of the L-NP on 49.5% (down 1.5%).

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has fallen to 96.5 (down 9.5pts). Now 39.5% (down 4%) of Australians say Australia is ‘heading in the right direction’ and 43% (up 5.5%) say Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

The Morgan Poll surveys a larger sample (including people who only use a mobile phone) than any other public opinion poll.

“This coincides with public discussion of proposed changes such as a lower cut off for paid parental leave and a temporary ‘deficit levy’; and generally bad economic news regarding Australia’s ability to fund its retirement.

“To understand which of these issues is really driving the drop in Consumer Confidence and support for the L-NP Government, subscribe to Roy Morgan detailed analytics – analysis by age, gender, State, income, employment status, education level, marital status, occupation and more for a fee of $4,800.”

Finding No. 5566 – This multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention was conducted via SMS and face-to-face interviewing on the weekends of April 26/27 & May 3/4, 2014 with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,077 Australian electors aged 18+, of all electors surveyed 2.5% (up 1%) did not name a party.

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Latest in Store

Links

Social

Roy Morgan

Roy Morgan Research gives you the power of the world's best market research data in ready-made reports and profiles with latest research statistics, information and news. This includes consumer satisfaction reports, customer profiles and industry reports relevant to your target audience.