Will history repeat itself in September?

In September 1938, Hitler escalated his diplomatic assault on the Czechoslovak government. After Nazi elements in the Sudetenland, an area of Czechoslovakia with a majority of ethnic Germans, held violent demonstrations, Hitler demanded that the Sudetenland be ceded to Germany. The Sudeten Germans were being slaughtered, he said.

On September 30, France, the UK, Italy and Nazi Germany signed the Munich Pact. It gave Czechoslovakia two options: either cede the Sudetenland to Germany as Hitler desired, or the French would not honor their prior commitment to protect Czechoslovakia. In return, Hitler promised to leave the rest of the country alone and signed a peace treaty with the UK.

Czechoslovakia, which was not invited to the conference, had little choice. It allowed the Germans to occupy the Sudetenland, which meant that it lost “its defensible border and fortifications,” 70% of its iron and steel industry and 70% of its electricity (Wikipedia). In November, more pieces of the country were bitten off and by March 1939 what was left became a German protectorate. And as we all know, a few months later Chamberlain’s ‘peace’ evaporated.

This September will mark 73 years since the Munich Pact, which has become emblematic of the failure of appeasement to bring peace. And Europe is eerily preparing to repeat history, with the Arab world as the Third Reich:

Several European countries are threatening to recognize an independent Palestinian state — on the basis of the pre-1967 boundaries to include the West Bank, Gaza, and with East Jerusalem as its capital — if Israel refuses to return to the negotiating table with the Palestinian Authority by September. Given the new “reconciliation deal” between the rival Palestinian factions Fatah and Hamas, Europeans are effectively demanding that Israel negotiate with Hamas, an Islamist terrorist group unambiguously committed to Israel’s destruction …

In France, President Nicolas Sarkozy, in an interview with the L’Express newsmagazine on May 5, said: “If the peace process is still dead in September, France will face up to its responsibilities on the central question of the recognition of a Palestinian state. The idea that there is still plenty of time is dangerous. Things have to be brought to a conclusion” before September. Sarkozy also said that during the next few months, European countries would try “to relaunch the peace process along with the Americans, because Europe cannot be the main one paying for Palestine and yet remain a minor figure politically in the matter” …

In Britain, Prime Minister David Cameron told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on May 3 that Britain is prepared to formally recognize an independent Palestinian state in September unless Israel opens peace talks with the Palestinians. That warning came after Netanyahu told Cameron that the so-called unity pact between rival Palestinian factions Fatah, which rules the West Bank, and Hamas, the Islamic resistance movement that rules Gaza, is a “tremendous blow to peace and a great victory for terrorism.” Palestinian leaders say the deal is a major step towards an independent state, but Israel fears the reconciliation will open the door to Hamas militants being deployed in the West Bank.

In other words, with the Palestinian Arabs playing the role of the Sudeten Germans, Europe is trying to force Israel to give up its defensible borders, in return for what will clearly not be “peace in our time.”

True, they are not demanding immediate cession of the territories, just that Israel will “return to the negotiating table.” But it is the Arabs who have refused to negotiate, insisting on prior concessions such as a freeze on all construction in Judea/Samaria and eastern Jerusalem. This means that what is really being dictated to Israel is that it must agree to whatever conditions are demanded by the Palestinian Authority — which today includes the genocidal Hamas.

Of course analogies are just analogies. Israel isn’t Czechoslovakia — it is capable of defending itself against the Arabs and Iran. And while Chamberlain likely really believed that the piece of paper he received from Hitler would bring peace, it’s hard to imagine that today’s European governments are stupid enough to believe that forcing Israel to expose its soft underbelly to Hamas will result in anything other than war.

Unlike in 1938, the US is engaged in this conflict, and what it does could have a great effect on the outcome. The US President is expected to make a speech about the Middle East in the near future, and what he says will probably have a profound effect on what happens between now and September.

This entry was posted on Thursday, May 12th, 2011 at 3:59 pm and is filed under General. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.
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One Response to “Will history repeat itself in September?”

It was announced on the FOX ticker today – at least that’s where I saw it – that George Mitchell will resign as Obama’s special envoy to the Middle East effective May 20th: the day Netanyahu arrives from Israel.

The message is about as subtle as a battleship.

Obama will give a speech on Mideast policy on Sunday, May 22 – two days before Netanyahu was to address a joint session of Congress.

The clear aim of both these moves – Mitchell’s resgination and Obama’ speech – is to put as negative spin on Israel’s position as represented by Netanyahu as possible. The clear intent is to place ALL the blame for the failure of the talks on Israel.

It will be this PR cloud that Netanyahu will be under, when he gives his speech to Congress, a speech that will probably not be accurately reported on in any event.

I say again, as I’ve said before, and I’ve never been more convinced of this than I am now:

Obama is nothing but a Saudi stooge Manchurian Candidate anti-Israel political robot cruise missile. He was groomed for this role from way back, along with many of his cohorts hailing from “elite” academia (e.g,. Samantha Powers). Never mind that the Saudis are mad at him now over abandoning Mubarak and not doing anything about Iran; this only indicates that they have succeeded only too well in his “programming”, kind of like a ‘Frankenstein monster’ run amok, or “HAL” from Kubrick’s 2001 flick.

Per his programming, the only foreign policy issue that really matters to him is screwing over Israel. All the rest is mere detail, incidental. However confused his foreign policy may appear, the most accurate predictive model for his behavior is to ask yourself how what he may or may not do would impact Israel: If it impacts negatively, he’ll do it or support it. If it impacts positively, he’ll undermine it.

I only hope that Netanyahu sees this situation clearly for what it is, and is strong in the face of it.

Much of the hostility of the Europeans is also due to Arab/Moslem intimidation, but strong American leadership could have counteracted this.

Imagine how much differently things would have looked if McCain had won.

He MUST be defeated in 2012, and Saudia’s “plan B”, Ron Paul, MUST be prevented from getting the Republican nomination.

If Obama is re-elected, or if Ron Paul gets the nomination – in which case, it doesn’t matter who wins – it is curtains for U.S.-Israeli relations, and Israel will enter into a period of unprecedented danger.