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Scientists Surf the Seas of Space to Catch an Atmospheric Wave

A study by NASA and university scientists is shedding new light
on a mysterious, cyclical wave in Earth's atmosphere that at times
profoundly affects our planet's weather and climate.

Using satellite data from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (Airs)
instrument on NASA's Aqua spacecraft, a research team led by Dr.
Duane Waliser of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif.,
and Dr. Baijun Tian of the California Institute of Technology, also
in Pasadena,, set out to study the structure and evolution of the
Madden-Julian Oscillation.

This slow, eastward-moving wave of clouds, rainfall and large-scale
atmospheric circulation anomalies spans nearly half of Earth's equator,
primarily over the Indian Ocean and western Pacific. Because it can strongly
influence long-term weather patterns and has far-reaching global effects,
scientists want to incorporate it more accurately in the general circulation
models used by agencies around the world for weather prediction and climate forecasts.

Ebbing and flowing in cycles of about 40 to 50 days, the Madden-Julian
Oscillation triggers showers and thunderstorms as it forces air to rise,
and it inhibits clouds and rainfall in its subsiding phase. Its impacts
are widespread. It triggers Asian and Australian monsoon wet and dry spells
in the Indian and western Pacific oceans. It affects the winter jet stream
and atmospheric circulation in the Pacific/North America region, causing
anomalies that can lead to extreme rainfall events. It can also change
summer rainfall patterns in Mexico and South America and may trigger
variations in the El Nino climate phenomenon.

The Airs analysis revealed the oscillation results in an elegant interplay
between rainy and clear conditions over the tropical Indian and western
Pacific Oceans. Warm and moist conditions near the surface eventually give
way to rainy and cloudy conditions aloft. These disturbed conditions are ultimately
squelched by the introduction of dry, cool air near the surface, leading to clear
skies. The rainy, clear and transitional periods in between them last 10 to
12 days each.

"Details such as these are critical for evaluating weather prediction models and
improving our theoretical understanding of the oscillation phenomena," said Waliser.
"Temperature and moisture data from sparse weather balloon readings and atmospheric
models are simply not sufficient to properly represent many important features of
the oscillation. Satellite-based observations such as those from Airs are therefore
fundamental to gaining a fuller understanding of the processes at work."

The research team combined 3-D atmospheric moisture and temperature profiles from
Airs from September 2002 to January 2005 with rainfall data from the joint NASA/Japan
Aerospace Exploration Agency Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission from January 1998
to February 2005. The rainfall data were used to identify Madden-Julian
Oscillation events.

Waliser said that until recently, modeling the wave's hydrological components such
as water vapor and clouds, condensation and evaporation processes has been difficult.
With the launch of Airs in 2002, however, scientists gained a far greater ability to
examine the wave's structure in 3-D and study its evolution over space and time.

"The high-quality Airs water vapor and temperature profiles provide new information
on the vertical structure of the Madden-Julian Oscillation," said Tian. "This new
information allows us to study the meteorological components that make up the
oscillation in a way never before possible."

Airs is a high-spectral resolution infrared instrument that gathers 3-D profiles
of atmospheric temperatures, water vapor and trace gases. It is the first in a series
of advanced infrared sounders that will provide accurate, detailed atmospheric temperature
and moisture observations for weather and climate applications. It views the atmosphere
through nearly 2,400 different spectral channels, collecting 144,000 data retrievals
daily around the globe.

The Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission monitors tropical rainfall. The mission is the
first space-based platform that uses microwaves along with precipitation radar to probe
through clouds to reveal their vertical structure and estimate how much rainfall they are
producing. The data are invaluable in areas with no rain gauges, such as the open ocean.

Study results were presented this week at the American Meteorological Society
86th Annual Meeting in Atlanta.