HAPPY THANKSGIVING YA'LL!!!! I would like to quickly recap an exciting game that gave the number one-ranked team in the PFC, the Enforcers, a devastating and heartbreaking loss. Nightmares pushed through week 11's game with 105.65 points while only giving up 67.75 points to the Enforcers. Nightmares had four starters who scored more points than the highest-scoring starter for Enforcers. The 105.65 points by Nightmares was their lowest winning score of the season. It was the lowest score of the season for Enforcers. Their 67.75 points were also last in the league in scoring for the week. Enforcers had their three-game win streak snapped in the loss. The WRs on Enforcers collectively had their worst week of the season with only 21.60 points. Nightmares got 21.30 points from their TEs, the highest combined scoring output from the TE position for any team this week. Again, what a great game and win for the Nightmares.

With just two weeks left in the regular season, only one manager has clinched a playoff spot: Finch. His Hard Targets are 9-2 after beginning the season 0-2. It looks like Rivalry Week will determine a lot of playoff spots this season.

In the previous 11 weeks, we've had one of two teams in first place: Brosh's Vultures or Lynn's Brewmasters​(who play each other this week). But this week there is a new team in first place. Congratulations to Fitzgerald's Steel Reign on beating a tough Doughboys team. It was a great week in terms of matchups. Several teams used the Monday Night Football game to complete a comeback. The Cocks won their second game of the year, and won by less than two points. The Negligent Discharges own the longest current losing steak; that might be something to keep our eyes on.

We had a record broken in the OIL in week 11, but it's not a record Jessen should be proud of. His DominationStation now hold the OIL record for longest losing streak (nine games). His loss means four managers who held the record together can now have a sigh of relief. Meanwhile, Finch won his ninth straight game. That puts him one victory away from tying the all-time OIL record for most wins in a row (10). Who holds that record? Cliburn (me). And who do the Hard Targets play this week? Cliburn's Arrogant Americans. My season is all but over. There will be no playoffs. There will be no third OIL Bowl championship. But we can pull out all the stops to protect our record (set in 2010). If Finch wants a piece of our record, he's going to have to take it from our cold, dead hands.

Forgive Finch if he doesn't actually care too much about this week though. He clinched a playoff spot last week (the first team to do it) and may not have time to think about silly trivialities like league records. Still, this game is important to Cliburn, so the Targets​ better bring it.

On a league-wide note, it wasn't record-breaking, but there were a lot of low scores this week. So many fantasy players disappointed, and it's reflected in the totals this week. But things will be better next week. Week 11 was the last of the bye weeks so every team will be at full strength from here on out (aside from injuries, of course). Here's last week's matchups. Week 12 analysis after the jump.

Tick, tick, tick . . . the playoff clock is ticking close to zero. No one has yet clinched a playoff spot, but it certainly looks like we have an idea of who will make it to the "second season." The Enforcers, Xtreme, and Drifters look like playoff locks. Meanwhile, the Vandals have been winning on pure luck all season . . . until now. Their squad dropped 186 points on McKay last week. The Vandals just may be a playoff contender after all. Week 11 analysis after the jump.

Playoff Odds

Two of week 10's matchups were separated by just one point. The Brewmasters squeaked by War Pony, and Steel Reign avoided the upset beating the Negligent Discharge by less than a point. The next three weeks will be vital as the playoff picture is starting to take shape. There are a few mus- win games this week, and the number two team takes on the number three. This should be an exciting week.

Playoff Odds

The first playoff odds have been calculated, and it looks like the playoff picture is all but resolved. The only thing left is to see who gets Rivalry Week bragging rights and who secures the first-round byes. Week 11 analysis after the jump.

These are courtesy of StatisticalFantasy.com. They take the average score and standard deviation for every team in the conference and then run 10,000 simulations. The results are above, including the likelihood of a team making the playoffs and a team securing a first-round bye. Below are their "magic numbers" based on those 10,000 simulations.

Magic Numbers

Last weeks matchup between the top two teams was and might be the defining game in the league yet. Enforcers smashed The Xtreme by +69.85 point and was awarded the "Biggest Blowout " for week 9. Is there another team in the PFC League that can stop the Enforcers commanding lead? Stay tuned and find out.... Let's take a look at week 10 matchups.