Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Here is the fourth CFB SBPI installment of the 2015
season.To read more about how I
calculate my ratings look back at last
week's entry that also has links to other entries surrounding this topic.

Without further ado here are the Top 25 rankings through
action on Saturday October 24.The
columns OFF/DEF/TOTAL represent where each team statistically ranks across 128
teams in the FBS; we also include the AP Poll, USA Today Poll, ESPN’s FPI &
Sagarin’s rankings which can all be used as a solid comparison tool followed by
each team’s SOS adjusted RATING and RANK:

UNIT RANKS RAW

RANKS

SOS ADJ #'s

Team

OFF

DEF

TOTAL

AP

USAT

FPI

SAG

RATING

RANK

Clemson

16

5

1

3

6

8

2

282.5

1

Alabama

52

4

8

7

7

6

1

273.6

2

Iowa

20

11

4

10

11

29

14

262.1

3

Oklahoma

8

28

10

14

13

2

4

255.6

4

Stanford

5

39

13

8

8

11

7

254.6

5

LSU

13

34

14

4

4

7

8

245.4

6

Notre Dame

6

53

21

9

9

9

9

243.8

7

Florida

57

17

24

11

12

13

11

240.3

8

Utah

42

34

33

13

14

21

16

238.8

9

Georgia

42

12

12

30

23

14

21

238.4

10

TCU

2

47

11

5

3

3

6

237.5

11

Ohio State

21

15

7

1

1

4

5

236.3

12

USC

21

53

35

28

32

5

10

234.1

13

Pittsburgh

49

17

18

23

24

41

33

233.9

14

Boise State

42

3

5

37

30

30

232.8

15

Arkansas

11

71

38

27

37

232.7

16

Oklahoma State

30

14

8

12

10

19

15

229.4

17

BYU

37

27

24

29

34

48

36

228.7

18

Mississippi

21

34

19

19

21

10

13

228.0

19

West Virginia

21

56

36

23

28

226.6

20

Michigan

92

2

31

15

17

15

12

225.3

21

California

27

58

39

34

30

25

27

223.8

22

Florida State

30

29

19

17

15

17

17

223.7

23

Wisconsin

61

7

15

29

28

19

222.4

24

Tennessee

45

59

50

12

22

221.8

25

Breakdown of Top
25 by conference:

AAC

0

ACC

3

B10

4

B12

4

CUSA

0

IND

2

MAC

0

MWC

1

P12

4

SEC

7

SUN

0

Here are
additional teams of note that did not make the SBPI Top 25 but were ranked
inside the Top 25 of at least one of the other four sources I use for
comparative purposes:

#28 Mississippi State (#25 AP, #20 FPI, #20 SAG)

#29 Michigan State (#6 AP, #5 USAT, #22 FPI, #18 SAG)

#30 Houston (#18 AP, #19 USAT)

#31 Duke (#22 AP, #18 USAT)

#32 Memphis (#16 AP, #16 USAT)

#33 Baylor (#2 AP, #2 USAT, #1 FPI, #3 SAG)

#35 North Carolina (#24 FPI, #25 SAG)

#36 UCLA (#24 AP, #25 USAT, #18 FPI, #23 SAG)

#41 Temple (#21 AP, #22 USAT)

#44 Texas A&M (#16 FPI, #24 SAG)

#50 Toledo (#20 AP, #20 USAT)

Let’s take a look
at the relationship between SBPI & record in matrix form (currently there
is a 78% correlation between SBPI ranking & wins, UP from 77% last week):

Of the Top 25 SBPI teams 6 are undefeated, 14 have at worst
one loss & just 2 are under .500 – Arkansas & Tennessee, who have
played the 4th & 2nd toughest schedules in the
country, respectively, which boosts their rating.Of the SBPI Top 50 almost half (23) of the
group has a one or zero losses.The
SBPI, and looking at it in this sort of breakdown, can add value by seeing
which teams have suffered perhaps from “bad luck” so far [playing better
football than their record indicates], or teams that may have been “lucky” this
year [rating lower on the SBPI scale than their record suggests].

Here are the five
lowest rated SBPI teams that have a winning record:

#98 Rice 4-3 (faced 113th toughest schedule)

#91 Georgia Southern (faced 110th toughest
schedule)

#90 Marshall (faced the worst schedule [128th] in
the country to date)

#84 Kentucky (faced the 35th toughest schedule)

#83 Auburn (faced the 21st toughest schedule)

Strength of each
conference taking average RATING of ALL TEAMS:

SEC

81.23

IND

80.77

ACC

79.52

P12

78.62

B10

78.10

B12

76.81

AAC

72.16

MWC

70.86

MAC

70.25

CUSA

66.84

SUN

64.51

Next up let’s look
at the Top 10 non-Power 5 conference teams (excluding Notre Dame):

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