Below is a quote from a thread I had going the other day. If ya click on the link drop down to tablle III...If Nin`s math is correct then this will be interesting

:<<LOOK`n thru Funny I was just reading about some of this..The carrington event`s CME reached earth in 14.6 hours after the flare..Most of the stronger ones since then have taken a minimum of 17 to 21 hours to reach earth...see table III on link..alot of interesting info there

also, the carrington event happened because there was a previous CME the hit earth and made the magnetosphere weakThis is why the main CME that caused the carrington event caused so much damagenot fear mongeringjust stating facts so we have them all

Below is a quote from a thread I had going the other day. If ya click on the link drop down to tablle III...If Nin`s math is correct then this will be interesting

:<<LOOK`n thru Funny I was just reading about some of this..The carrington event`s CME reached earth in 14.6 hours after the flare..Most of the stronger ones since then have taken a minimum of 17 to 21 hours to reach earth...see table III on link..alot of interesting info there

also, the carrington event happened because there was a previous CME the hit earth and made the magnetosphere weakThis is why the main CME that caused the carrington event caused so much damagenot fear mongeringjust stating facts so we have them all

How can we determine how weak the magnetosphere is going to be at the time that this new CME hits? Will it still be weakened from the latest CME? I can do my own research, just not sure where the best info would be. ty!

"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them."-- Thomas Jefferson

As the strongest Solar Radiation Storm (S3) since May, 2005 continues, the associated Earthward-directed Coronal Mass Ejection is expected to arrive about 1400 UT (9am EST) Jan 24. SWPC has issued a Geomagnetic Storm Watch with G2 level storming likely and G3 level storming possible, with the storm continuing into Wednesday, Jan 25. All of this activity is related to a moderate (R2) Radio Blackout x-ray flare that erupted Sunday night (11pm EST). Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.

Below is a quote from a thread I had going the other day. If ya click on the link drop down to tablle III...If Nin`s math is correct then this will be interesting

:<<LOOK`n thru Funny I was just reading about some of this..The carrington event`s CME reached earth in 14.6 hours after the flare..Most of the stronger ones since then have taken a minimum of 17 to 21 hours to reach earth...see table III on link..alot of interesting info there

also, the carrington event happened because there was a previous CME the hit earth and made the magnetosphere weakThis is why the main CME that caused the carrington event caused so much damagenot fear mongeringjust stating facts so we have them all

Quoting: NiNzrez

How can we determine how weak the magnetosphere is going to be at the time that this new CME hits? Will it still be weakened from the latest CME? I can do my own research, just not sure where the best info would be. ty!

Quoting: DoomingItUp

the effects of the Jan 19th CME lasted for 24hrs!

It was a very large CME that arrivedwe doccumented the effects of the Jan 19th CME arrival on our blog, where you can see how strong it was [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

we can see by looking at the nict that at around 06:00 Jan 23rd (today), we see the very last of the Jan 19th CME [link to www2.nict.go.jp]

depending on the math you accept on todays CME, it will arrive anywhere from 16hrs to 30hrs after the last of the Jan 19th CME leaves Earths magnetospherethat does not give our magnetosphere much time to recuperate from CME effects

would successive hits to the magneto weaken it a bit more with each hit?

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1289696

yes

Quoting: NiNzrez

not exactly sure "weak" is the best adjective here...

think in terms of transformers coming into resonance: there is no 'weak' or 'strong' : simply interaction. Obviously, rapid variations in Gaia's geofield could cause large ground based currents wrecking possible havoc on human electronic fabrications..

but 'damage' to our field, i don't think is the place to focus, tho i will say that She sure has had her 'bell' rung .

As the strongest Solar Radiation Storm (S3) since May, 2005 continues, the associated Earthward-directed Coronal Mass Ejection is expected to arrive about 1400 UT (9am EST) Jan 24. SWPC has issued a Geomagnetic Storm Watch with G2 level storming likely and G3 level storming possible, with the storm continuing into Wednesday, Jan 25. All of this activity is related to a moderate (R2) Radio Blackout x-ray flare that erupted Sunday night (11pm EST). Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.

Quoting: DoomingItUp

questionwhy does their title state its expected Jan 23rdbut the body of their post says Jan 24th?

As the strongest Solar Radiation Storm (S3) since May, 2005 continues, the associated Earthward-directed Coronal Mass Ejection is expected to arrive about 1400 UT (9am EST) Jan 24. SWPC has issued a Geomagnetic Storm Watch with G2 level storming likely and G3 level storming possible, with the storm continuing into Wednesday, Jan 25. All of this activity is related to a moderate (R2) Radio Blackout x-ray flare that erupted Sunday night (11pm EST). Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.

Quoting: DoomingItUp

questionwhy does their title state its expected Jan 23rdbut the body of their post says Jan 24th?

Quoting: NiNzrez

I don't know enough to know why it says that, but I know that there are geomagnetic storms expected of some level or another up until the 26th...

would successive hits to the magneto weaken it a bit more with each hit?

Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1289696

yes

Quoting: NiNzrez

not exactly sure "weak" is the best adjective here...

think in terms of transformers coming into resonance: there is no 'weak' or 'strong' : simply interaction. Obviously, rapid variations in Gaia's geofield could cause large ground based currents wrecking possible havoc on human electronic fabrications..

but 'damage' to our field, i don't think is the place to focus, tho i will say that She sure has had her 'bell' rung .

As the strongest Solar Radiation Storm (S3) since May, 2005 continues, the associated Earthward-directed Coronal Mass Ejection is expected to arrive about 1400 UT (9am EST) Jan 24. SWPC has issued a Geomagnetic Storm Watch with G2 level storming likely and G3 level storming possible, with the storm continuing into Wednesday, Jan 25. All of this activity is related to a moderate (R2) Radio Blackout x-ray flare that erupted Sunday night (11pm EST). Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.

Quoting: DoomingItUp

questionwhy does their title state its expected Jan 23rdbut the body of their post says Jan 24th?

As the strongest Solar Radiation Storm (S3) since May, 2005 continues, the associated Earthward-directed Coronal Mass Ejection is expected to arrive about 1400 UT (9am EST) Jan 24. SWPC has issued a Geomagnetic Storm Watch with G2 level storming likely and G3 level storming possible, with the storm continuing into Wednesday, Jan 25. All of this activity is related to a moderate (R2) Radio Blackout x-ray flare that erupted Sunday night (11pm EST). Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.

Quoting: DoomingItUp

questionwhy does their title state its expected Jan 23rdbut the body of their post says Jan 24th?

Quoting: NiNzrez

interesting huh nin

i`ve got quakes on my mind from others awareness , not my own

Quoting: aether

hiya aether :)thanks, were watching those close as wellsure is starting to feel like were back in March 2011

As the strongest Solar Radiation Storm (S3) since May, 2005 continues, the associated Earthward-directed Coronal Mass Ejection is expected to arrive about 1400 UT (9am EST) Jan 24. SWPC has issued a Geomagnetic Storm Watch with G2 level storming likely and G3 level storming possible, with the storm continuing into Wednesday, Jan 25. All of this activity is related to a moderate (R2) Radio Blackout x-ray flare that erupted Sunday night (11pm EST). Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.

Quoting: DoomingItUp

questionwhy does their title state its expected Jan 23rdbut the body of their post says Jan 24th?

As the strongest Solar Radiation Storm (S3) since May, 2005 continues, the associated Earthward-directed Coronal Mass Ejection is expected to arrive about 1400 UT (9am EST) Jan 24. SWPC has issued a Geomagnetic Storm Watch with G2 level storming likely and G3 level storming possible, with the storm continuing into Wednesday, Jan 25. All of this activity is related to a moderate (R2) Radio Blackout x-ray flare that erupted Sunday night (11pm EST). Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.

Quoting: DoomingItUp

questionwhy does their title state its expected Jan 23rdbut the body of their post says Jan 24th?

Quoting: NiNzrez

+/- time figures in (I would say)

Quoting: Isis7

or in other words..they have no clue...or maybe they wanna show us they have no clue

As the strongest Solar Radiation Storm (S3) since May, 2005 continues, the associated Earthward-directed Coronal Mass Ejection is expected to arrive about 1400 UT (9am EST) Jan 24. SWPC has issued a Geomagnetic Storm Watch with G2 level storming likely and G3 level storming possible, with the storm continuing into Wednesday, Jan 25. All of this activity is related to a moderate (R2) Radio Blackout x-ray flare that erupted Sunday night (11pm EST). Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.

Quoting: DoomingItUp

questionwhy does their title state its expected Jan 23rdbut the body of their post says Jan 24th?

Quoting: NiNzrez

+/- time figures in (I would say)

Quoting: Isis7

or in other words..they have no clue...or maybe they wanna show us they have no clue

The Jan. 22nd CME also disturbed Earth's ionosphere. In Atlanta, Georgia, radio engineer Pieter Ibelings monitored a 4.5 MHz CODAR (coastal radar) signal as it bounced off layers of ionization along the US east coast. "The moment of impact can be clearly seen on the CODAR radar plot," he points out: