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18562

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Contributed by

Frederik Wellmann

type of material

A. MS. notebook

description

Published, in part, as 6.88-97 (pp. 8-62). Omitted: the relationship between logic and mathematics independence of logic from metaphysics but not vice versa (pp. 2-7). Doctrine of chances: reference of the word "chance," in all its meanings, to variety chance not a matter of ignorance but of the immense diversity of the universe the tendency of this diversity to grow into uniformities the conception of the "long run" mathematical theory of probabilities probability as requiring some objective meaning CSP's advice to stop talking of probabilities in connection with the doctrine of chances and to talk instead of ratios of frequency the difficulty most people have of understanding why it is not logically impossible that an event whose probability is zero should nevertheless occur and, finally, Hume on miracles (pp. 62-130).