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Sunday, February 19, 2017

EURs -- Bakken 2.0 -- February 19, 2017

Disclaimer: this data in this table has not been quadruple-checked nor certified by outside agencies. In a long spreadsheet and a long note like this, there are bound to be typographical and factual errors. In addition, the data in column 5 of the table below (EURs) was taken from graphs which in some cases were hard to read. The data could be very, very incorrect. If this is important to you, go to the source which is linked above.
A random look at the EURs of recent Whiting wells in the Bakken. In the early days we were talking about EURs of 300,000 and getting excited about EURs of 500,000. Then Mike Filloon started noting EURs of 1.5 million and there was even talk of some wells with EURs of 2 million bbls of oil.

Again, just a random look at the EURs of recent Whiting wells in the Bakken. There are fourteen Whiting wells in this list, arranged by EURs, in descending order. The Carscallen well at the top has a EUR of 2 million bbls of oil. The Rolla Federal well at the bottom has an EUR of 1.5 million:

Group Description

Group

Permit

Well

EUR (1,000’s)

Sand (lbs)

Field

County

N

32340

Carscallen 31-14-4H

2000

10 million +

Truax

WMS

O

32338

Carscallen 31-14H

1700

5 million +

Truax

WMS

O

32368

Carscallen 31-14-2H

1700

5 million +

Truax

WMS

Rolla Federal Group A

Q

31712

Rolla Federal 21-3-1H

1700

7 - 15 million

Twin Valley

MCK

Rolla Federal Group A

Q

31710

Rolla Federal 21-3-1TFH

1700

7 - 15 million

Twin Valley

MCK

Rolla Federal Group B

R

31711

Rolla Federal 21-3-2TFH

1700

7 - 15 million

Twin Valley

MCK

Rolla Federal Group B

R

32329

Rolla Federal 11-3-1TFHU

1700

7 - 15 million

Twin Valley

MCK

Rolla Federal Group B

R

31715

Rolla Federal 21-3-3TFH

1600

7 - 15 million

Twin Valley

MCK

Rolla Federal Group B

R

32326

Rolla Federal 11-3-1H

1600

7 - 15 million

Twin Valley

MCK

Banks Field

T

32764

Chameleon State 31-16HU

1600

7 - 15 million

Banks

MCK

N

29693

P Bibler 155-99-16-31-30-1H

1500

10 million +

Epping

WMS

Rolla Federal Group A

Q

31706

Rolla Federal 31-3-3TFH

1500

7 - 15 million

Twin Valley

MCK

Rolla Federal Group B

R

32328

Rolla Federal 11-3-2TFH

1500

7 - 15 million

Twin Valley

MCK

Rolla Federal Group B

R

31705

Rolla Federal 31-3-2TFH

1500

7 - 15 million

Twin Valley

MCK

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The Book Page

The Art of Beatrix Potter: Sketches, Paintings, and Illustrations
by Emily Zach, Steven Heller (Foreword by), Linda Lear (Introduction), Eleanor Taylor (Afterword), c. 2016. I don't find it at Amazon.com. At the big box store, it's priced at $40 (of course, less expensive for members and those with coupons) but through B&N on-line, $26 and free shipping.

The Ancestor's Tale: A Pilgrimage to the Dawn of Evolution, Richard Dawkins and Yan Wong, c. 2016.

The book I would like to see: DAPL: Letting Things Play Out. In fact, there could be a series of "Letting Things Play Out" just like the book series for "dummies." Other examples of letting things play out: Baltimore riots; Benghazi; and, the emergence of ISIS.

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Dreamliner

From Quantum Fizz, linked above, p. 318:

Boeing Company may have staked its future on carbon-fiber-reinforced polymer (CFRP) technology in developing its model 787 Dreamliner, the most advanced new generation in commercial aircraft ...

Following test performed earlier in relation to military aircraft design, wings and fuselage are no longer made from sheets of aluminum but instead use CFRPs to from a super-strong lightweight component...

... Boeing has been able to improve range and fuel efficiency (by 20 percent) without increasing the size of the aircraft, bucking the historical trend.

The longest-range variant of the 787 can fly over 9,000 miles (from NYC to Hong Kong) without refueling.

As of March, 2016, Boeing had orders for 1,139 aircraft from 62 customers.
But this is a competitive world. Responding to the threat that the Dreamliner posed to its business, Airbus in January, 2015, introduced its A350, an aircraft of comparable capacity that is made of 53% of composite structures, as opposed to Boeing's 50%.

Variants of the two aircraft seat 225 to 350 passengers at a cost per aircraft ranging from $225 million to $356 million.