I am curious how 5Dimes decides which college and NFL teams to match in these most win props.
Arizona State and the Arizona Cardinals
, and Florida State and Miami I can
obviously understand. But Georgia and Indianapolis? What ties do those teams have? The Colts are just behind New England (+390) to win the AFC title this
season at +400, while Georgia is the +475 second-favorite behind Alabama (+305) to win the SEC Championship Game. The Colts are -125 on the wins prop with
the Bulldogs at -105.

The Dawgs haven't played for the SEC title since 2012, a close loss to No. 2 Alabama, and haven't won it since 2005. How much longer is the school going to
give Coach Mark Richt? Georgia is always good but not really an elite program these days.

Georgia finished a solid 10-3 last year and ninth in the final Associated Press Top 25. It could have easily been a 12-win season as the Dawgs lost by just
three at South Carolina early in the season and by six in overtime against Georgia Tech to close the regular season. Alas, that USC defeat coupled with a
loss to Florida was enough to keep UGa from winning the SEC East even though it destroyed the team that did, Missouri, 34-0. Georgia closed the season with
a pretty impressive 37-14 win over Louisville in the Belk Bowl.

The star of last year's team was supposed to be running back Todd Gurley. He got off to a very strong start in the first five games, rushing for at least
131 yards in four of them and stamping himself a Heisman favorite. But then he was suspended four games for accepting money for his autograph. Gurley
returned for only one game, a 34-7 rout of Auburn, and rushed for 138 yards and a touchdown but suffered a season-ending knee injury. The Rams still took a
shot on him at No. 10 overall in this year's draft. It would still be an upset if he's ready for Week 1.

The bright side of Gurley being sidelined so often was the emergence of true freshman tailback Nick Chubb. He rushed 219 times for 1,547 yards and 14
touchdowns. Chubb rushed for at least 113 yards in each of his final eight games. That was capped by a school and SEC bowl record 266 yards rushing in the
win over Louisville. Chubb is a +1225 third-favorite to become Georgia's first Heisman winner since a guy named Herschel Walker. Chubb's only weakness?
He's blind as a bat without his contact lenses: "If they come out, I'm coming out," Chubb joked if that happened in a game.

Chubb clearly will be the focal point of the UGa offense, although fellow sophomore Sony Michel, a very touted recruit himself, will also get some carries.
We still don't know who will start at quarterback with Hutson Mason having moved on. It's down to Brice Ramsey and Virginia transfer Greyson Lambert. Faton
Bauta has clearly moved to third in the pecking order. Georgia holds its final scrimmage on Thursday, so we might have an announcement soon after. Or maybe
Richt plays both in the season opener against Louisiana-Monroe. Georgia brings back 12 starters overall, seven on offense.

Georgia should be 4-0 when it hosts No. 3 Alabama on Oct. 3 in likely the most important SEC crossover game of the season. The Dawgs will roll UL Monroe in
the opener and then at Vanderbilt in Week 2. They shouldn't have too much problem beating visiting South Carolina on Sept. 19 and then get a warm-up
scrimmage vs. Southern ahead of the Tide.

That Alabama game starts the toughest stretch of the season for Georgia as
it's followed by: at No. 25 Tennessee, vs. No. 24 Missouri and against Florida in Jacksonville. The Gators pounded the Dawgs last year. The slate concludes
vs. Kentucky, at No. 6 Auburn, vs. Georgia Southern and at No. 16 Georgia Tech.

Clearly the Dawgs got hosed in their crossover schedule in having to face both Alabama and Auburn. So they could win every other SEC game yet still miss
out on a trip to Atlanta if they lose both of those, which is quite possible. Missouri, by comparison, plays neither the Tide nor Tigers. Georgia has an
"over/under" wins total of 9, with the over a -135 favorite.

As for the Colts, many believe they could be the top seed in the AFC playoffs this season with an easy schedule and the fact New England's Tom Brady, we think, will be suspended
the first four games of the season. Indianapolis became Miami Hurricanes North this offseason in adding free-agent receiver Andre Johnson (Houston) and
running back Frank Gore (San Francisco) as well as taking Hurricanes receiver Phillip Dorsett with its first-round pick. Dorsett has looked good in camp.

So clearly the Colts got plenty of toys for QB Andrew Luck to play with; I just worry that the defense was largely ignored. Indy might have to win a lot of
31-27 games or the like. As for that schedule, it's ranked as the second-easiest in the NFL with an opponents' combined 2014 winning percentage of .416.
Pencil in five AFC South wins immediately: two vs. Titans, two vs. Jaguars and at home vs. the Texans. Maybe Houston can beat the Colts in Texas. The 2014
playoff teams on the Colts' schedule are: Week 6 vs. Patriots (Brady's season debut if suspension stands), Week at 8 Carolina, Week 9 vs. Denver and Week
13 at Pittsburgh. And this is a first-place schedule? Easy.

Here are the 5Dimes win totals for the Colts: 11.5 (over +148, under -168), 11 (-103/-117), 10.5 (-150/+130), 10 (-260/+220) and 9.5 (-314/+281). I'd give
Indianapolis a ceiling of 12 and floor of 10, obviously assuming Luck stays healthy. I'd say Georgia's ceiling is 10 with a floor of 8. Thus this is an
easy call for Indianapolis.

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Free Play from Doc's Sports.
Take #231 Minnesota Golden
Gophers +6.5 over Georgia
Tech Yellow Jackets
(5:15p.m., Wednesday,
December 26) The Paul Johnson
era will come to an end after
this game and I do not think
he will go out with a blowout
victory. Generally team can
fare well against the option
when they have a month to
prepare for it and that will
be the case with the Golden
Gophers. Minnesota is coming
off their best game of the
season last time out beating
Wisconsin and getting back
the ax for the first time in
well over a decade. Minnesota
has covered 5 straight
nonconference games. Georgia
Tech is 1-4 ATS in their last
5 nonconference games. Take
the points in this game. Do
not miss out on Doc's Sports
Weekend card featuring picks
in basketball, hockey, &
football. Bowl Game of the
Year is coming in late
December and now is the time
to jump on board and let Doc
close out this holiday season
with a bang.Read MoreRead Less

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