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RG is definitely the GS to win (if he can).
Murrays is total mug there, not a threat.
We dont know how good/bad the Null will back to the tour, it takes time to recover your former level... he can beat him.
Roger only beat DelPo last year in RG because he chocked badly, otherwise JMDP would have won the match in 3 easy sets.

The only threat is Djokovic.

All the main forces are handicapped in Clay compared to HC, it doesnt mean he will win for sure, there is still Djokovic and Ferrer, but still it's RG where DelPo has more chances to win.

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