For Venezuela, the Most Likely Scenarios Are a Coup or Civil War

Tensions rose exponentially in Venezuela on Tuesday evening, when a police helicopter took to the skies of Caracas in an operation aimed at bringing an end to the rule of President Nicolas Maduro. It is not clear if the attackers’ intention was to directly overthrow the government or to send a message to the president and the public that it’s time for Maduro to step—or be pushed—aside.

What is clear is that the most likely scenarios for Venezuela’s future are increasingly becoming a coup or a civil war. ...

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