From my most recent NRO article, on Putin’s overreach and the future of Ukraine: “Ukraine will be independent, possibly after a partition to save Russia’s ill-favored face, possibly even after repulsing a general Russian assault, and it will join the West. German influence will prevail over Russian in Eastern Europe, and the West will ultimately show Russia the way to being a great nationality not only in cultural, folkloric, and geographic terms, but as a civil society.”

Whether you agree or disagree, your comments are, as always, most welcome.