By most indicators, it would seem that The Shape of Water is destined to win Best Picture -- it's got the most nominations by far, and it's the only film that was also nominated for Director, Screenplay and Film Editing -- *but* it was never even nominated for the SAG ensemble award, and in the 20+ years that SAG has been handing out that award, only one film has ever won Best Picture without that nomination (said film being 1995's Braveheart).