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#BokoHaram

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In 2011, at a time #BokoHaram assassinates people that criticize them, as a reporter based in Maiduguri then, I penned a scathing article on the Islamic Faith of Boko Haram. I was asked to leave town, but I stayed back. salkida.com/tasking-the-ba…

In this 2012 report I asked, how does operating and living in denial of the existence of a nightmare help society or advance national security? Sadly, not much has changed since then. #LakeChadsalkida.com/reporting-terr…

In 2015 I argued in this report that ‘Regional military cooperation must improve to defeat #BokoHaram.’ Four years later, we’ve not seen the leadership that unified the countries in the #LakeChad region working towards a common military target & objective. salkida.com/regional-milit

It's bn a brutal holiday season in many parts of #Nigeria. In the NE, #BokoHaram ambushed a military convoy monday, on highway linking Maiduguri, capital of Borno state, with Damaturu in neighbouring Yobe state, killing 13 soldiers & a @PoliceNG officermsn.com/en-xl/africa/t…

Unsurprising, reports emerged shortly thereafter indicating that up to 167 @policeNG personnel in preparation for posting to counter-insurgency frontlines in NE #Nigeria have absconded before deployment, taking their weapons with thempremiumtimesng.com/news/headlines…

In July 2009, during, under OBJ's successor, #UMYA, Yusuf Mohammed, the founder of #BokoHaram was executed extra-judicially by @PoliceNG. His killing became the proximate cause of an insurgency that has triggered multiple forms of lethal violence in #Nigeria

This thread focuses on @Reuters reporting of land-related violence in Nigeria's Middle Belt which killed thousands of people in 2018. We tracked land use by analysing satellite data and visited the region throughout the year. tmsnrt.rs/2GrBm9U 1/11

Over 1,300 people were killed in the Middle Belt in the first 6 mths of 2018, @CrisisGroup estimates - six times more than #BokoHaram in that period. And @amnesty says more than 3,600 people have been killed in clashes since 2016, mostly this year. reut.rs/2A4Y4PB 2/11

Reuters journalists studying satellite data found a massive expansion of farming in Nigeria meant open grazing land available in Nigeria's Middle Belt declined by 38% between 1975 and 2013 while the area dedicated to farming nearly trebled. 3/11

He had clearly seen the unemployment figures, and knew the 43% disaster that was en route, hence the very disgusting behaviour...

But there's another aspect to this nonsense the man tried to pull: asides undermining the integrity of the one organisation that is VERY important for us to climb out of our economic morass, Mr. Shehu's behaviour offered us an insight to how the current government solves problems

Rather than trying to understand the issues, what these characters do is to obfuscate, and try to divert attention.

Mr. Shehu's claim of 12 million people employed by rice alone does not stand up to any scrutiny whatsoever, but he made it anyway.

The brooding festive mood did little to stifle the fact that electoral reform was stumped, our worst fears about the north-east are real, a forex ban list got longer and regulatory immaturity persists.

Honourable Mohammed's remarks about #BokoHaram underscore the gulf between official propaganda regarding the north-east and the realities on the ground.

The region has been described previously by @TheEconomist as "a failed state within a failed state" and boasts some of the worst socio-economic and developmental indices in #Nigeria.

At the ongoing #ASP2018, @FatuBensouda, Prosecutor of @IntlCrimCourt just released the rpt on Preliminary Examinations (PE), which addresses many countries, including #Nigeria.
file:///H:/Chidi/Documents/IJ/AFRICA-ICC/2018%20Preliminary%20Examination%20Report%20-%20English.pdf

In her Preliminary Examination rpt, @FatuBensouda reports that "from January to June 2018, over 1,300 ppl were killed" by farmer-herder violence in Adamawa, Benue, Nasarawa, Plateau & Taraba States "& about 300,000 persons were displaced."#ASP2018

During the past yr, according to @FatuBensuouda, @IntlCrimCourt received allegations of new crimes by the #BokoHaram Insurgency, violations by Nigerian Security Forces (NSF) & "with respect to communal violence in #Nigeria's North Central & NE geographical zones"#ASP2018

The Nigerian government has shown unwillingness to use hindsight for the benefit of foresight to address the #BokoHaram/#ISWAP conflict. At every stop the insurgents seem more determined to kill than the government's determination to stop the killings.

The insurgents are no longer faceless as the previous Govt often said, their origins, locations and plans are known in the region. The civilian population of BH/ISWAP is more than the combatants. Therefore, Non military intervention is equally important as a military campaign.

Non military intervention does not mean dialogue with the insurgents, the prospects of a peace settlement in the #LakeChad is near impossible, at this stage. It is Nigerian govt that must dialogue with itself, to bring all its institutions to speed to complement the military.

In View Of Recent Developments & The Protracted Nature Of The #BokoHaram Conflict, I Believe That The FG Now Need To Escalate A Political Process To New Highs. The Takeoff Point Has To Be The Appointment Of A "Special Rapporteur On The NE Conflict"

The obdurate leadership of BH+ISWAP will not readily accede to a peace process BUT there are aprroach roads at the lower level which can be escalated at the level of the populace to create a better operational backdrop for those who are tasked with security operations in that AoR

Even as that did not stack up to the NE Insurgency in terms of intensity, we have seen this pan out in the equally long standing conflict on the Jos Plateau, an area which was already stablilized enough as of 2014 as NOT to warrant fears of an inability to hold elections there

#BokoHaram: Pres @MBuhari Reaction
Shortly after the 157 Task Force battalion came under intense enemy attack, the President activated multiple strategies in restoring the morales of the troops & assuring the citizenry of govt resolve in dealing effectively with the crisis.

The Pres, was able to calm the citizenry & acted in the nation’s defence. In a statement by @GarShehu on Nov 24, he assured Nigerians that “ In the coming days, I am engaging the Military & Intelligence Chiefs in extensive discussions on the next steps we shall be taking”

After receiving situation briefing from the Min of Defence, the (CnC) on Nov 25, deployed the Min of Defence in continuation on consultations with Ministers of Defence of the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJF) Troops Contributing Countries (TCC) which includes Cameroon.....

@HQNigerianArmy 1. None to the exclusion of the other, the operations are as intensely dogged by issues which stem from the human factor ( MANPOWER) as they are majorly constrained by issues of logistics and ewuipment (MATERIEL)

@HQNigerianArmy We shall xray the storied human factor subsequently but let us begin from the area of materiel where we shall be making some revelations that are as in-depth as they are unprecedented...never been broached with such specificty

Is the military carrying out reprisal attacks, last Friday, village traders in Kasuwan Gamma in Magumeri LGA claimed that soldiers burnt down a market with everything in it, because #BokoHaram also make use of the market, said a local vigilante. This shld be further investigated.

According to the Vigilante, the villagers are distressed by the loss of their valuables, as it is their sole means of livelihood. Many villagers are, increasingly, avoiding coming between the military and BH, as they are invariably at the receiving end, said the Vigilante.

At a time like this, military/civilian relations should be at its best, not lowest, the military can't afford to lose local support, at a time #ISWAP is reportedly supporting poor communities to win them over. The military must not lose the non combat aspect of this war.

#ISWAP in Al-Naba news confirmed that it carried out attacks on a military base in Metele, on 18th and a second one on 19th/20th, when the military went to collect the fallen comrades. In all, the terror group claimed to have killed 100 soldiers.

THREAD

What is most alarming is, #IS weekly infographic on its operations (persons killed and injured etc.) in Al-Naba weekly magazine in Arabic. The week of 15 to 21st November, #ISWAP was clearly the 1st in the world in all of #IS Wilaya for the number of dead and wounded.

On the infographic 2nd is Iraq, 3rd is Sham, 4th is Khorasan, 5th, East Asia, 6th is Sinai. The rating varies, depending on the attacks in the week. But it is now clear that ISWAP has a growing strategic partnership beyond media collaboration with #ISIS. Are we still in doubt?

I always report and tweeted about #BokoHaram captives and was called an alarmist, a BH sympathizer. Today, it's about the #ZamfaraTwins, that I am silent. We MUST know that every captive needs our care, it doesn't matter who their captors are, insecurity affects us all.

There were and still are thousands of #BokoHaram captives and victims that we may never learn about. Across the country, insecurity bites; almost every part of #Nigeria is insecure, life is caught short by greed, hate and the breakdown of law and order. This must be stopped.

Every citizen has a responsibility to condemn and report crime, wherever it happens and whomever it affects, if you are indifferent because you are unaffected, you may be the next victim. What affects one, must concern us all, this is what humanity and citizenship is all about.

In a week where the North East got yet another military commander, we got a better look at overburdened infrastructure.

Elsewhere, as MTN gears up to enter the banks’ turf, concern over Nigeria's food import practices conjures a picture of a recently painted but creaking house.

The @MTNGroup's announcement is a positive for #Nigeria's economy as it substantiates previous comments by MTN that it has no plans to exit Nigeria despite its spat with @cenbank over alleged illegal fund repatriation.

The announcement ties into @MTNGroup’s strategy to become the biggest provider of mobile financial services in #Africa.

The telecoms-led drive to provide mobile money services will introduce a new interesting chapter in #Nigeria’s financial services sector.

Lt. Lirfa Dashe was to wed last month. He'd bn in MNJTF since 2015. In March 2018, he was given off. 2 months later, in May, he was ordered back to frontlines. In July, he was killed in Jilli. He's 1 of 1,307 #Nigerian soldiers, victims of #BokoHaram buried in Maimalari Barracks

Lt. Lirfa Dashe was with the 22 Task Force Bgde of the 81 Div in Lagos. All that his family received was "a token 1-time payment from the 22nd Brigade equivalent to $140 & a #Nigerian flag." As the world mark(s) their Rememberance(s), let's not forget ppl like Lt. Dashe. #RIP

In the Great Wars of the colonial era, black soldiers were very expendable, their sacrifices air brushed from history & forgetable. It's not much changed - In #Nigeria's fights with insurgency, soldiers on the frontlines are still treated as expendabletheguardian.com/world/2018/nov…

In a week where Nigeria’s government outmanoeuvred trade unions but inevitably booted the ball up the pitch, questions still arose about its budget.

Meanwhile, security dominates the discussions next door, amid concerns that Nigeria may be inadvertently breeding a militia.

On the minimum wage palaver, the key point to note is that @AsoRock has been unable to fund salary payments at the ₦18,000/month level from its revenues, and most states need to be bailed out periodically at that amount.

An analysis by @BusinessDayNg projected that an acceptance of ₦30,000 minimum wage (a 66% rise) by @MBuhari will cost @AsoRock an additional ₦1.25 trillion annually, a move which renders the proposed #budget2019 obsolete, and plunges #Nigeria deeper into the debt conundrum.

This is going to be a very long thread on #ISWAP, recent negotiations that went wrong and the controversial #BokoHaram ‘technical defeat’ bubble that was created to achieve political value rather than address the conflict indicators in the #LakeChad.

Apparently, Shekau has not recovered from the fallout of his extreme and tight fisted rule, which led to a split in 2016. Many may argue that the splinter group (ISWAP), is now as extreme as Shekau, but insiders disagree, that there is freedom of expression in ISWAP.

To many insiders, the execution of an overrated Mamman Nur and two aid workers would have been carried out by Shekau if he was faced with similar situations. It is also on record that Shekau has executed dozens of his associates and has been the largest beneficiary of ransom...

“For months now, we’ve not been paid our allowance. How would we have survived if not for the small money that we see from this sport betting?” Gandoki asks, smiling his way to a bar close to where his unit is camped. bit.ly/2QP6z8o via @thecableng

This is not a capture. Nearly every village or town ISWAP attacked has a military facility. Meanwhile, as attention has shifted to #ISWAP, #Bokoharam may recuperate, this was how ISWAP became what they are and the factions have given up killing themselves. Read between the lines.

The insurgents no longer have the resources to capture and hold new territories. They are more secure in the limited areas they held and maintained from start. They are using the raining season to build up arms before the dry season, when air and ground troops are hard-hitting.

The insurgents have no doubt embraced the global jihad movements and are now regarded as important players, with growing ties, but the war strategy is local, to confront it requires street knowledge, which internationals don't know about and the govt seems to ignore at its peril.

US prepares to reduce troops and shed missions in #Africanyti.ms/2n11gVo The drawdown in Africa, Gen Waldhauser said, will include the departure of hundreds of Special Operations troops and their support forces.

It will begin in #Cameroon “where American war planners believe their efforts to train that country’s special operations forces have been largely successful” (!!!!!!!!) US has 300 troops in #Cameroon a country whose army has been systematically involved in human rights violations