Just as I mentioned in my last blog these polls vary outside the margin of error all the time and you can't take too much from any one of them. My belief is that you need to run about 5 different polls taken at about the same time all using slightly different methods and all trying to be as accurate as possibleNBC News/Marist July 16th Republican PrimaryRand Paul 14 Chris Christie 13 Jeb Bush 10 Ted Cruz 9 Paul Ryan 7 Marco Rubio 7 Scott Walker 6 New Poll Shows Hillary Clinton with slight lead in head to head match-ups.NBC News/Marist July 16Clinton 46 Paul 43Clinton 47 Christie 42 Clinton 47 Bush 42Clinton 47 Rubio 42Clinton 48 Walker 39Clinton 51 Cruz 38 Paul also doing best in Iowa and Colorado.NBC News/Marist July 16, IowaJeb Bush 12 Rand Paul 12 Paul Ryan 11 Rick Santorum 9 Chris Christie 8 Rick Perry 7Ted Cruz 7Marco Rubio 7 Scott Walker 5Head to Head with Clinton, IowaClinton 45 Paul 45Clinton 44 Christie 43Clinton 46 Bush 42Clinton 49 Rubio 40Clinton 49 Cruz 37Clinton 50 Walker 37

According to a WMUR poll Chris Christie leads a pack of republican contenders who are thought to be prominent and considering a run for the presidency.WMUR Poll July 9thChris Christie 19%Rand Paul 14%Jeb Bush 11%Marco Rubio 8%Mike Huckabee 8%Paul Ryan 5%This is a good result for Christie but you have to keep in mind how erratic poll results can be. This past April WMUR polled Ryan at 13% and now he's down to 5%. Christie was even with Paul at 11%.The interesting story here is how well Romney is doing. He says he is absolutely not running so most polls have not included him. But this latest poll has, it shows him at a whopping 39% with Christie and Paul trailing at 7%.Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah) said on July 7th that Mitt Romney will run and will be the next president in 2016. That has given a little more fuel to the fire but that statement didn't come out in time to help him in the polling.Back in November of 2013 A nationwide poll show had shown that Romney would defeat Obama 51- 47. And a few weeks ago a poll had shown by 45 to 38 percent Romney would be doing a better job than Obama. But Back in November Obama's approval numbers were about -16%. And almost as bad as that in early July. How bad does Obama need to be doing for Romney to come out leading in the polls. I would have to see more nationwide polls to see if Romney would be a good candidate.Chris Christie was running way ahead of the field at one time but but has fallen back since Bridgegate and other allegations. He's looking a little weak in Iowa and somewhat strong in South Carolina. He's way behind Jeb Bush in SC but leading everyone else slightly. In Florida he is a little behind the pack and well behind Jeb Bush. Rubio would also be strong in FL if Bush doesn't run, but he may have a week candidacy when he gets to that point.Christie also needs to be conconerned about allegations of wrong doing related to bridge gate as well as accusations by Hoboken mayor Dawn Zimmer. Even without hard evidence these allegations can harm him. Republican voters will be scared to support someone who they think might be taken down because of a scandal whether anything is proven truthful or not.What Christie needs to doChristie needs to convey that he has nothing to do with any of these allegations. In addition he needs to have people feel that he has been unfairly treated by the media if he continues to get bad press. He also needs to be bringing more attention to himself on issues of the day that are being debated, how he feels on the direction we are going in, what his vision is for the nation, talking about his record in NJ, and basically talking about anything but allegations that have been levied against him by his opponents