Growth and Immigration Scenarios: Turkey-EU, Winter 2004

This study estimates the probable magnitude of immigration from Turkey to the EU when Turkey becomes a full member and restrictions on movement of labor are removed. Alternative methods and scenarios are scrutinized in forecasts for the period 2004 to 2030. The analyses are based on the experience of countries that have already joined the EU. Special attention was paid to the experiences of the southern “cohesion” countries - Greece, Portugal and Spain - and Turkey’s own emigration record. Potential emigration from a slower growing Turkey without membership is also examined, and the result is that this yields greater numbers of immigrants...

CONTRIBUTOR

Refik Erzan & Umut Kuzubaş, Nilüfer Yıldız

We are proud to present our readers with this special issue of TPQ, published in collaboration with Atlantic Council IN TURKEY, which revolves around energy dynamics in Turkey and its neighborhood, in the context of a shifting geopolitical landscape. This issue’s authors evaluate key trends and drivers that are shaping the regional energy landscape—from the Caspian to the...