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Suitability of key Central American agroforestry species under future climates

Scientist: Roeland Kindt (ICRAF)

June 13, 2017, 5 p.m.

Donor : None

Grant Ref : None

Members : None

The atlas provides habitat suitability maps for 54 species that are widely used in Central America for shade in coffee or cocoa agroforestry systems. The 54 species represent 24 fruit species, 24 timber species and 6 species used for soil fertility improvement. Suitability maps correspond to the baseline climate (1960-1990) and 2050 climates predicted for Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5. Habitat was classified as suitable in future climates if a minimum of 12 out of 17 downscaled Global Circulation Models predicted suitable climates. Details of the methodology of ensemble suitability modelling with the BiodiversityR package are provided in the atlas.Authors:Kauê de Sousa, Maarten van Zonneveld, Pablo Imbach, Fernando Casanoves, Roeland Kindt and Jenny C. Ordoñez. Donors: This work has been possible by the financial support of the CGIAR research program on Forests, Trees and Agroforestry (FTA; supported by the CGIAR Fund Donors); the CGIAR research program on Climate Change Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS; supported by the CGIAR Fund Donors) and HIVOS.Suggested citation: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017, Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species Under Future Climates: An Atlas.ICRAF Occasional paper No. 26. Turrialba-Costa Rica. http://www.worldagroforestry.org/output/suitability-key-central-american-agroforestry-species-under-future-climates-atlas

Psidium guajava L.
Guayaba, Guava
EN
This layer has been created by comparing the future with the current species distribution and describes suitability changes under future climate conditions -2050- RCP 8.5. Grid values range from -1 to 2. Value= -1 represent areas that will probably no longer be suitable for the species; Value= 1 represents areas where the species is predicted to maintain its current distribution; Value= 2 represents areas that could be potentially suitable for the species in the future (the species appears in areas where does not exist now). Value= 0 correspond to areas that are no suitable for the species. For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species Under Future Climates: An Atlas.

Platymiscium dimorphandrum Donn.Sm.
Coyote (NI), Hormigo (HN), Granadillo (BZ, SV, NI)
EN
Distribution of the species, showing all suitable areas in 2050 under climate change scenario RCP 8.5. Layer contain range of values that indicate the degree of suitability where the larger the value the the greater likelihood that the species is present. Low values represent low probability of occurrence of the species (less suitable places). For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species Under Future Climates: An Atlas.

Psidium guajava L.
Guayaba, Guava
EN
Distribution of the species, showing all suitable areas in 2050 under climate change scenario RCP 4.5. Layer contain range of values that indicate the degree of suitability where the larger the value the the greater likelihood that the species is present. Low values represent low probability of occurrence of the species (less suitable places). For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species Under Future Climates: An Atlas.

Handroanthus ochraceus (Cham.) Mattos
Cortez amarillo
EN
Distribution of the species, showing all suitable areas in 2050 under climate change scenario RCP 4.5. Layer contain range of values that indicate the degree of suitability where the larger the value the the greater likelihood that the species is present. Low values represent low probability of occurrence of the species (less suitable places). For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species Under Future Climates: An Atlas.

Psidium guajava L.
Guayaba, Guava
EN
Distribution of the species, showing all suitable areas under current climatic conditions. Layer contain range of values that indicate the degree of suitability where the larger the value the the greater likelihood that the species is present. Low values represent low probability of occurrence of the species (less suitable places). For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species under Future Climates: An Atlas.

Psidium guajava L.
Guayaba, Guava
EN
Distribution of the species, showing all suitable areas in 2050 under climate change scenario RCP 8.5. Layer contain range of values that indicate the degree of suitability where the larger the value the the greater likelihood that the species is present. Low values represent low probability of occurrence of the species (less suitable places). For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species Under Future Climates: An Atlas.

Psidium guajava L.
Guayaba, Guava
EN
This layer has been created by comparing the future with the current species distribution and describes suitability changes under future climate conditions -2050- RCP4.5. Grid values range from -1 to 2. Value= -1 represent areas that will probably no longer be suitable for the species; Value= 1 represents areas where the species is predicted to maintain its current distribution; Value= 2 represents areas that could be potentially suitable for the species in the future (the species appears in areas where does not exist now). Value= 0 correspond to areas that are no suitable for the species. For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species Under Future Climates: An Atlas.

Platymiscium dimorphandrum Donn.Sm.
Coyote (NI), Hormigo (HN), Granadillo (BZ, SV, NI)
EN
Distribution of the species, showing all suitable areas under current climatic conditions. Layer contain range of values that indicate the degree of suitability where the larger the value the the greater likelihood that the species is present. Low values represent low probability of occurrence of the species (less suitable places). For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species under Future Climates: An Atlas.

Platymiscium dimorphandrum Donn.Sm.
Coyote (NI), Hormigo (HN), Granadillo (BZ, SV, NI)
EN
Distribution of the species, showing all suitable areas in 2050 under climate change scenario RCP 4.5. Layer contain range of values that indicate the degree of suitability where the larger the value the the greater likelihood that the species is present. Low values represent low probability of occurrence of the species (less suitable places). For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species Under Future Climates: An Atlas.

Platymiscium dimorphandrum Donn.Sm.
Coyote (NI), Hormigo (HN), Granadillo (BZ, SV, NI)
EN
This layer has been created by comparing the future with the current species distribution and describes suitability changes under future climate conditions -2050- RCP4.5. Grid values range from -1 to 2. Value= -1 represent areas that will probably no longer be suitable for the species; Value= 1 represents areas where the species is predicted to maintain its current distribution; Value= 2 represents areas that could be potentially suitable for the species in the future (the species appears in areas where does not exist now). Value= 0 correspond to areas that are no suitable for the species. For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species Under Future Climates: An Atlas.

Platymiscium dimorphandrum Donn.Sm.
Coyote (NI), Hormigo (HN), Granadillo (BZ, SV, NI)
EN
This layer has been created by comparing the future with the current species distribution and describes suitability changes under future climate conditions -2050- RCP 8.5. Grid values range from -1 to 2. Value= -1 represent areas that will probably no longer be suitable for the species; Value= 1 represents areas where the species is predicted to maintain its current distribution; Value= 2 represents areas that could be potentially suitable for the species in the future (the species appears in areas where does not exist now). Value= 0 correspond to areas that are no suitable for the species. For a full description of methods see: de Sousa K., van Zonneveld M., Imbach P., Casanoves F., Kindt R., Ordonez J.C., 2017. Suitability of Key Central American Agroforestry Species Under Future Climates: An Atlas.

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