February 20, 2014

China: More H7N9 deaths than previously announced

Over the past month we’ve seen roughly 100 more cases reported, and an extrapolation would put the number of deaths in the upper 70s, but today we learn from China’s Ministry of Agriculture that the number of deaths is quite a bit higher.

A big hat tip goes to Tetano and Sharon Sanders on FluTrackers for picking up a pair of reports (one directly from the MOA) indicating that – so far – H7N9 has resulted in 347 reported cases and 109 deaths.

A (tentative) CFR closer to 31.4% - or 40% higher than previously disclosed.

Comments

Over the past month we’ve seen roughly 100 more cases reported, and an extrapolation would put the number of deaths in the upper 70s, but today we learn from China’s Ministry of Agriculture that the number of deaths is quite a bit higher.

A big hat tip goes to Tetano and Sharon Sanders on FluTrackers for picking up a pair of reports (one directly from the MOA) indicating that – so far – H7N9 has resulted in 347 reported cases and 109 deaths.

A (tentative) CFR closer to 31.4% - or 40% higher than previously disclosed.