What is to be done when 'Harper is us'?

There is one basic, foundational ground on which all politics in Canada must find traction, or not have any effect.

This is it. Less than 15% of the people are "political" as part of their daily thinking and activity. They are the few to whom the actions of politicians, and their words and opinions, matter. The rest are not going to bother with politics until an election.

Bill 22 in BC? Bill 78 in Quebec? The Ontario act that legalized police illegalities during the G20 last year? The new federal budget? They matter to me, and to you the reader of this, but to how many others?

I know that Bill 22 is an attack on collective bargaining, on union functions, and on education. I know Bill 78 is an attack on constitutional rights of protest and assembly. I know the G20 protest policing was grossly wrong. I know Harper is using the budget to re-engineer this nation's political and social culture with massive changes "under the radar." And so do the media writers and journalists, and the people who read them and talk about it.

But.... There is more to life than politics, as so many working and middle class people will tell me. Job, family, health, recreation, sport, and friendships are not less interesting than politics.

The meaning of politicians' "agendas" is not something a majority of people care to decode or spend time thinking about. Stephen Harper is a new kind of conservative in Canada, but not so outrageous as to mobilize street actions by tens of thousands of Canadians across the land in all major cities.

At election time, there will be immensely well-planned strategy by each major leader to "control the message" and "frame the ballot question" --- and these strategies will or will not work at that time. But for certain, what is happening today, years before the election, will not loom large in the electorate's mind then.

Abstract issues of "values" or "vision" will not be decisive to make people vote for or against Harper. Many will not vote, perhaps as many as 48% will not, because the effort to understand politics is arduous, or because a person feels they live life in ways that politics do not make an impact on them. I feel differently. My good friends feel differently. We are interested and we read and hear and analyse news on a pretty regular basis.

So--the events in Quebec, the tactics of Harper in his budget, the intent of the BC Liberals towards teachers, and Ontario's policing record in 2011, just do not matter to many, many Canadians. Democracy is having a vote, right? We have elections, so things are fine.

Opposition parties will try to make them matter at election time. The federal Liberals last year tried to make us care about Harper being found in contempt of Parliament, and we gave him a majority. Abstract notions of democracy matter less than a job, a sense of security, a feeling that Canada is a haven of peace and prosperity in a very dangerous and troubled world.

Obama mobilized tens of millions of Americans to his hope and change message four years ago. He won, and people in the bottom half of society rejoiced, and many affluent liberals too. But politics is more than the election campaign, and he soon had to compromise his best intentions because the massive support he needed in the streets to back up his big changes--close Guantanamo, regulate Wall St., give public-option health insurance--was not there. People cannot be politically mobilized daily.

Occupy is another movement that dissipates energy fighting an entire system of economics, politics and law by trying to make it simply a fight against one percent, when it is far from that simple.

Quebec will come through this present crisis without a revolution, just as France in 1968 overcame its student revolt. The forces of law, order, property and corporate norms, will prevail. The culture is on their side.Canada will be altered by Harper's incremental conservatism, not because he conspires with banks, and manipulates us, but because he understands Canadians are willing to go along that path with him.

"People get the government they deserve." Or, as Nelson new age speak would say, "We manifest this reality. Harper is us."

True words, but disheartening ones for those who take an active (or activist) interest in their communities. The rock bottom truth is that we will watch our system degenerate in the hands of the greedy until a certain point is reached, at which point the people will force a change. The problem is, the further we sink, the more radical and volatile that change is likely to be.

As to exactly where that point is, it's hard to say. Some believe last year's riots in England were a sign that things are a little too far gone across the pond; some think that Occupy was another such flash point, though that movement appears--for now at least--to have almost completely deflated.

Watching the presidential campaign in the US, I'm more than a little disheartened as I realize more than more than NOTHING of substance is at stake in that election: the US will continue to stagger down the road to nowhere until things are very far gone indeed.

As for Canada, the existence of the NDP tends to give some cold comfort to humanists, but they'll never govern unless they merge with the Liberals--and if that happens, then we're into pure Republican/Democrat terrain.

I suppose the real politik value of activism is to hope to move the date when the people will force change slightly forward...and to make the changes slightly less destructive when they inevitably arrive.

The die was cast in December 2005 when the NDP's egotistical Jack Layton supported Conservative/Reformer Stephen Harper in voting to defeat Paul Martin's minority Liberal government.

Harper vowed to crush Liberals and change Canada. He won a minority govt with the NDP's help.

Layton, too, was single-minded in crushing the federal Liberals. At the last election he won an incredible number of seats in Quebec Harper owed him a lot! When Layton succumbed to cancer, Harper gave him an unprecedented state funeral. And why not. Harper owed his majority in part to Layton.

Harper knows that he will govern forever if the NDP continues to take votes away from the Libs.

Mulcair is positioning to remain Official Opposition which means Harper rules, like it or not.

Can Libs recover lost ground? Not if they don't win a substantial number of seats in the West and rural/suburban Ontario. And not if provincial NDPers vote federal NDP.

So, ya, the die is cast to shape Canada to a Social Democrat vs Republican system. Belckkkk!