The betting websites that are assessing this game will provide two particularly good reasons to take Pittsburgh. First of all, the chances of Ben Roethlisberger playing in this game have been upgraded to 50-50. This was not the outlook a few weeks ago, when it was felt that Roethlisberger's combination of rib and shoulder injuries would sideline him for a much larger period of time, and for at least three weeks at minimum. If Roethlisberger can play this weekend, his recovery period would wind up being ahead of schedule. He would wind up missing only two games, not three. When one realizes that Baltimore beat Pittsburgh by only three points, 13-10, on a night when Roethlisberger was out of the lineup, the mere presence of Big Ben in the Pittsburgh huddle could be enough to swing the outcome of this rematch, even though it's being played in Baltimore.

One thing that also has to be said about this game is that Baltimore's offense is not playing well at all. The Ravens' recent 55-20 win over the Oakland Raiders is emerging as a decidedly more aberrational event, one attributable to the Raiders' complete team collapse and not the Ravens' offensive firepower. Baltimore has slogged past Cleveland and San Diego in recent weeks, not to mention the Steelers, with a very indifferent offense in tow. Pittsburgh doesn't have to score a lot of points to win this game. Even if Big Ben is out, this game is still winnable.

Why Baltimore Will Win

When playing online poker, you have to take chances at times, but on other occasions, the safe approach is merited. Baltimore might not have a dynamic offense, but the Ravens were able to win at Pittsburgh with Ben Roethlisberger out of the lineup. One must also come to grips with a very simple reality about Big Ben's injury status for this game: Even if Roethlisberger does in fact play, can you imagine that he'll be spry enough to dance out of the pocket and be evasive? Probably not.

Roethlisberger needs to be able to scramble out of the pocket and buy extra time to make plays out of disrupted or broken situations. He has made so much money – and won two Super Bowls – based on that specific ability over an extended period of time. If Roethlisberger is playing but can't demonstrate his full range of skills, the Steelers won't really benefit all that much in the end. Baltimore can contain Pittsburgh's offense and win with a pedestrian point total, as was the case two weeks ago. Playing at home will also help the Ravens here.

Who Will Win

The fact that Baltimore is playing at home will be a big boost to the Ravens, but the more fundamental reality to account for in this game is that even if he plays, Roethlisberger will probably be unable to move very well in the pocket. He'll be a sitting duck, and the Ravens will move in for the kill.

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