David Cameron is heading for defeat in the critical Eastleigh by-election next
week, according to a poll that puts the Liberal Democrats comfortably ahead.

Nick Clegg’s party has a five-point lead over the Tories with five days of
campaigning to go, in a contest that both sides of the coalition need to win.

Mr Cameron could yet be vulnerable to a further surge from the UK Independence
Party, which is attracting former Tory and Lib Dem supporters and is already
beating Labour into third place. The Populus poll for The Times puts
the Liberal Democrats on 33 per cent, the