The Remain campaign would have us believe that economic activity would suffer if Britain left the EU. All kinds of statistics are being used in an attempt to make their case, which leads directly to the overlooked reality in the Brexit debate. Regardless of the differing predictions made about the economy by both sides, the fundamental underlying reality being generally ignored is that no one can predict the future.

Politicians are not soothsayers. Nor is the IMF. If they were they would have predicted the 2008 financial collapse. So it is therefore impossible for anyone to claim whether the economy will be stronger, weaker of unchanged if Britain remains in the EU or leaves.

The reality is that the vote should centre on one simple question. Does Britain want complete control over its destiny, or is it prepared to cede some control to unelected bureaucrats in Brussels? Thus, what the vote really comes down to is Britain’s sovereignty and the democratic control over its own future.

Given that the future cannot be predicted, the economic scaremongering of the Remain campaign can be dismissed. That gives the Leave campaign the upper hand because leaving the EU would return control to Parliament in two key areas:

To pay for its cost of membership, Britain sends £350 million every week to the EU as its share of the EU’s overhead. About half of this money comes back to Britain as a rebate and various EU grants, but the EU – and not Britain – determines where those refunds are spent. So the Leave campaigners correctly claim that Britain would be better off by keeping the £18 billion it sends each year to the EU, and directing that money to where it is needed, like education, some areas of farming, public health services, and/or reducing taxes.

As an EU member, Britain has no control over immigration from the EU. Anyone with an EU passport can travel to Britain, take up residence, begin to work and/or claim welfare benefits. Because Britain’s social security net is more generous than that of many EU countries and because jobs are more plentiful in Britain as a result of its economy being much stronger than much of the EU, immigration has soared to the extent that schools and other public services in many parts of the country are overburdened. These service providers are finding it difficult to cope because increased services to provide for immigrants are required in an environment where the government is aiming to control costs to keep its budget deficits from exploding.

The Leave campaigners are focusing on the above points, whilst Mr Cameron and Chancellor George Osborne continue trying to predict the future with scare tactics about the economy.
The ensuing uproar within the Conservative Party has left Mr Cameron demonstrating Shakespeare’s wisdom that “Misery acquaints a man with strange bedfellows”. In what appears to be an act of desperation, Mr Cameron is befriending Remain campaigners within the Labour Party leadership for support in his search for votes.

That gambit seems destined to fail when compared to Mr Farage’s effort. He has been explaining to Labour’s rank and file why it is becoming increasingly more difficult for them to find jobs with the rise in immigrants from the EU.

Mr Farage and other Leave campaigners recognise that uncontrolled immigration is clearly emerging as an important focal point of the upcoming vote. And with so-called boat people now trying to enter Britain illegally in dinghies launched from the migrant camps across the Channel in Calais, it appears that the momentum to leave the EU is building, given that the Brexit camp led in one recent poll.

Pollsters have had some notoriously bad predictions of late, but that fact further highlights the overlooked reality about Brexit – the future is unpredictable. Nevertheless, there is no question whatsoever that the British themselves can successfully manage an uncertain future by Great Britain voting Leave and thereby returning its sovereignty to its people and their duly elected representatives in Parliament.

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