"It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong." ~ George Soros

Monthly Archives: March 2015

I’ve been getting inquiries and requests on seminars and mentorship programs for quite some time already.

I decided it’s time I help those who are willing to learn a thing or two from me.

I’m not an expert, nor a guru. I’m just a real practitioner. This is what I do for a living.

I’m not the best, but I think I am consistent and experienced enough to provide direction for souls who want to take trading seriously.

Details

Where & When:

Event will be held at our resto “Rufo’s – Paseo Branch” (we have a closed area there for presentations and meetings) on April 18, 2015 (Saturday) 4 – 8pm

Who should attend:

First of all. This is a Trading 101 Session. You should be a Trader–not a long term investor. At least 6 months of experience. I can consider aspiring (zero-experience) traders, given that you have already a basic sense of market mechanics, and if I see that you are really willing to take trading as a serious aspect of your life.

If you are still challenged with regards to how to consistently make money in the markets, then this session is for you.

What you’ll LEARN:

We shall be going through the whole thought-process of trading, the Imbang Klaseway.

I shall be covering the Core of Technical Analysis (what you need to know, pretty much discarding what you do not need). You will be surprised that some of the most profitable systems are the SIMPLEST.

I believe in this quote: “If you wanna be a winner, learn from a winner”. Thus, it is important that we discuss how SHARKS and FISHES behave differently in the market.

I shall also share what I think is “The Right Trading Mindset“. Something very critical to a trader’s success.

Lastly, we shall be applying everything that we have learned in simulations and historical examples. Theories alone are useless, right?

Fees and Reservation:

Fee is Php 1800, which I think is fairly cheap for someone who wants to take trading seriously. I believe that you can easily recoup that 1800 after I’ve blown your minds. (kidding)

First of all,(in the short-term) it is the interaction of supply and demand that moves a stock.. kahit ano pang insider shit, fundamental magic ng isang stock… IF THAT DOES NOT REFLECT IN THE MARKET… then the market clearly does not agree or SEE your proposition yet.

Also.. kahit ano pang technicals at Funda nyan, eh bound to be disrupted dahil may Follow-on Offer. (which is dictated by the Investment Bankers, the owners, and how the market reacts to the offer)

(Why is the price going down despite previous rumors of 3-4+ FOO?)

Simple, you already have clues. If the DEMAND for the FOO is strong then market price should be rising now, institutions would just buy at the market if the current price is lower vs the FOO.

If institutional demand for this stock was strong then they would’ve been able to FOO this 7-15% discount when it was doing 3.30? 3.00? 2.80? lol.

Also, the fact na-delayed, and na paliit ang size ng FOO gives you a big clue that demand on the stock is withering or weak. Obviously if there’s strong demand, investment bankers would do what they can to cater to it ASAP.

Lastly, kahit gaano ka pa ka galing, mag TA, mag Funda.. you have to protect yourself from the downside. Problem with most investors and traders is they seem to like RIDING the downside all the way to the BOTTOM. (harsh truth)

Always put into plan what you’re gonna do if in case your trade goes wrong.

It just pisses me that some people are so dependent, and gullible Yes rumors , tips, fundamentals CAN help you given the right circumstances, but that doesn’t mean you won’t be implying a risk-control parameter (in case your trade goes wrong)

As for $FNI, yup end of day earnings will still prop the stock–so at some point magiging pwede yan (specially if FOO is cleared). Unfortunately those who had this at 2.50++ lost a lot of opportunity already. (time wise / vs other stocks) ok lang kung LONG TERM investor ka.. problem is there seems to be lots of long term investors who are troubled with their high prices. (know yourself, know your strategy, know your risk)

Here are some stocks that I have sniffed–sensing some trails of SHABU potentialwithin them.

You may be wondering where the hell I get these stock picks. Sometimes I use my favorite dart set to hit on my wall filled with stock codes. Sometimes I use my proprietary SHABU system to identify plays, I just don’t post my methodology inpublic because my momma will get mad

All that you will see in SHABU ANALYSISare merely Price + Volume, some lines, and some ranges in the form of rectangular boxes, because most of the time I’m too high and drunk to look at complicated indicators.

After all the bad news from China trying to fight off global gaming, and what not… I think the gaming sector will be revived soon.

Here are some names

$PLC

Seems to hold 1.45-1.50, I expect a re-test of 1.65-1.70. I hope it doesn’t go to fast though as I haven’t bought enough yet. 🙂

$RWM

The underdog.. if you notice.. while market was weak and shit it was still holding above 7.00 I think anywhere between 7.20-6.80 this would be attractive. Just place stops 6.60-6.50 below.

Check its earnings 🙂

$BLOOM

One of the most volatile gaming stocks, but if you know how to play it, you can easily be rewarded with easy 10-20% trades.

For me it seems to be forming a bottom.. See if it can hold above 11 and re-test 12, congrats to those who got near 10

JAP stocks.

Early on we were speculating that 2015 will be the year of the JAP. Our cover was posted on Feb 12, 2015 in this issue of Shabu Analysis™ (click for link)

Here are some stocks that I have sniffed–sensing some trails of SHABU potentialwithin them.

You may be wondering where the hell I get these stock picks. Sometimes I use my favorite dart set to hit on my wall filled with stock codes. Sometimes I use my proprietary SHABU system to identify plays, I just don’t post my methodology inpublic because my momma will get mad

All that you will see in SHABU ANALYSISare merely Price + Volume, some lines, and some ranges in the form of rectangular boxes, because most of the time I’m too high and drunk to look at complicated indicators.

I’ll be covering some speculative names I find interesting.

$IS

Held .30

Now within trigger level .33

Aiming at initially .38-.40

Watch the rainbows and unicorns

$UNI

Still hovering .58-.60

May re-test .65 and .70

Past that things may be interesting

$FED Daily

Sudden gap up after a big block crossed at around 18 levels (last 2 trading days ago)

I wonder what’s up..

Must hold above 20.00

Re-test 22.00

We may see it back at 26-28+

$OM

FED‘s mother

If there’s really something

must hold above .80

re-test .85

Then if we see some magic .90-1.00+ (IF)

$TUGS

Inverse HnS

Seems like low oil environment is here to stay.

This is the slower ship (vs 2GO), but I think it has potential as well

Expect re-test of 1.70-1.75 range.

If its really strong 1.80-1.90+ ain’t far

I like to keep my shit simple, no need to make it fancy.

Note: this aint a reco to BUY/SELL, take these as references, and for entertainment.

Act on your ownJUDGEMENT
Your money is yourRESPONSIBILITY
Always have a TRADING PLAN

Here are some stocks that I have sniffed–sensing some trails of SHABU potentialwithin them.

You may be wondering where the hell I get these stock picks. Sometimes I use my favorite dart set to hit on my wall filled with stock codes. Sometimes I use my proprietary SHABU system to identify plays, I just don’t post my methodology inpublic because my momma will get mad

All that you will see in SHABU ANALYSISare merely Price + Volume, some lines, and some ranges in the form of rectangular boxes, because most of the time I’m too high and drunk to look at complicated indicators.

Been looking at Andrew Tan names since last month ago.

Let’s see where they are.

$EMP

This is my conviction play for the 2015-2016 (and onwards). I’m mainly a technical / system trader.. but I go really hard when I like the story or the fundamental trigger behind a stock’s potential move.

What I like about this is that (if I’m not mistaken) almost NO institutional broker has an overweight call on this one. Basically, mainstream flow isn’t here yet.. wait till you see them change their views.. that’s where the momentum will really spike–once things are obvious.

My group knows I’ve been eye-ing this for a long time.. 11.00-11.20 major break for me signal wise. Confirming range 11.40-11.60 is good as broken in my opinion.

Don’t be surprised to see it near 12.50 soon.

$AGI

This is basically the same shit with $EMP . Again.. move on this I believe is EMP driven.. not unless RWM shows something magical.

We’ll see this near 27-28 soon.

Major resistances at 30

$RRHI

These stocks has been really strong. If you’re a trend follower, you’ve got nothing else to do besides riding the flow. Break past 88-90, what’s next? the 100 mark is just 10% above that. lols

$SSI

Broke out after slumping for a while. Should hold 10.20-10.40 (and if it gets back there I’ll be buying more). Family marts sprouting like freakin mushrooms… I think it will break past 11.00 soon.

I’ll be covering some speculative names soon. It’s just that I don’t want them to gain attention YET… 😉

I like to keep my shit simple, no need to make it fancy.

Note: this aint a reco to BUY/SELL, take these as references, and for entertainment.

Act on your ownJUDGEMENT
Your money is yourRESPONSIBILITY
Always have a TRADING PLAN