Windows XP just won't go away

NEW YORK – Windows XP, which debuted nine years ago in 2001, will continue to be with us for yet another decade.

Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) announced late Monday that it would allow some Windows 7 customers to buy Windows XP “downgrade” licenses until January 2020. Those licenses allow customers to swap out the newer operating system and instead install a legal copy of the older one.

Microsoft initially planned to let Windows 7 customers downgrade to Windows XP only through April 2010, but that end-date was quickly extended until October 2011. Now, the company says it will extend the downgrade option through the entire Windows 7 sales cycle, which is scheduled to last until January 2020.

The move is intended to appease business customers, many of whom skipped an upgrade cycle by ignoring the widely panned Windows Vista.

Though the software giant said its customers are moving quickly to adopt the newest Windows version, it acknowledged that some still want the option to downgrade. A full 74% of Microsoft’s business customers are still using the outdated Windows XP, Windows marketing head Tami Reller said this week at Microsoft’s Worldwide Partner Conference in Washington, D.C.

The extension means that Windows XP will live for 19 years — about four times longer than most computers last. For context, downgrading to XP at the end of this decade would be like a current Windows user downgrading to Windows 3.1, which went on sale in 1992.

“XP has survived in large part because of Vista, which was an unmitigated disaster,” said Daniel Ruby, research director at Chitika Inc. “Corporate IT departments are wary of doing anything until they’re sure things are going to work. They’re not willing to go from something that works to something that doesn’t work as well.”

Still, it’s unlikely that many customers will stick with Windows XP for too much longer: Microsoft’s support for the operating system is set to end in April 2014.

Ruby said he expects most large corporations to migrate to Windows 7 in 12 to 18 months. The operating system has been available for eight months, but companies typically wait more than a year before adopting a new Windows release, he said.
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In the meantime, Microsoft said corporate demand for new computers that can run XP remains high. “Our business customers have told us that the removing [of] end-user downgrade rights to Windows XP Professional could be confusing,” Microsoft said in a company blog post.

That’s because sticking with an October 2011 downgrade-to-XP deadline would have forced corporate IT departments to migrate by then or deal with a mishmash of operating systems and licenses. While PCs purchased before October 2011 with Windows 7 preinstalled would be able to be downgraded to Windows XP, new machines bought after that date would not legally be able to run the aging software.