It’s nearly the same on our terrace fifty yards across the beach from the Med. in southern Spain. Strange that the sea has been fifty yards away ever since I bought the place thirty years ago, when we are supposed to be seeing catastrophic sea level rise. I wonder if the scientists could be wrong?

Someone should dig up links from a few winters ago when we were experiencing a series of “polar vortexes.” I seem to recall the warmist camp – wasn’t it Gavin Schmidt? – explaining in a slick video how this is “just what one should expect” in a warming world, as the warm tropical winds push and pull the cold-air mass over the pole into ever more contorted bulges and waves, ever further south. Extending that logic to the current El Nino winter, shouldn’t we be experiencing even more polar vortexes further south than ever before?… But no, this is the first (and likely the last) of the winter. It used to be that it took a decade or more to disprove conjectures in climate science. The half-life of explanations in climate science seem to be getting shorter and shorter.

Sorry – I was having a really bad day when I wrote this last month.
I was tired of all the “”warmest year evah!!!” alarmist nonsense during an El Nino. So I called down the cold on you Eastern warmists…
Now I feel really, like, totally, I mean, y’know, bad.
I won’t do this again. Promise.
Apologies, Allanhttp://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/01/22/friday-funny-probable-cause/comment-page-1/#comment-2126823
OK – enough!
I’ve had it with you Eastern warmists.
So in February, I’m calling down some brutally frigid winter weather on you.
Mark you calendars and get out your long woollies…

Allan MacRae February 13, 2016 at 11:11 am
As one from New England how do I respond? Perhaps something old, ,,from Salem town. More weight
(truthful this has defined the whole skeptical movement)
michael

Told ya so, a month ago…
Seriously, I think we will see a global cooling trend, starting as early as 2H2017.
By this statement I mean that temperatures will drop below the zero anomaly and actual global cooling will commence then, not just the reversal of the El Nino warming, which has probably already started. It will take several years of data before this global cooling trend can be differentiated from natural variation.
We predicted this cooling trend in an article written in 2002, to commence by 2020-2030. We now think global cooling will commence by 2020 or sooner.
Hope to be wrong. Cold weather kills – about 20 times as many people as hot weather.https://friendsofsciencecalgary.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/cold-weather-kills-macrae-daleo-4sept2015-final.pdf
Best to all, Allanhttp://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/12/24/1800s-poverty-diseases-malnutrition-surge-in-green-britain/comment-page-1/#comment-2106109
[excerpt]
UK politicians have been warned again and again about their destructive and dangerous energy policies, based on false global warming alarmism.
Cheap, abundant reliable energy is the lifeblood of society – it IS that simple. However, green fanatics have destroyed this vital principle with their egregious “green energy” falsehoods.
We wrote with confidence in 2002 during our debate with the Pembina Institute, when we opposed the Kyoto Accord.:
“The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”
We also wrote in the same debate:
“Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
All of our 2002 statements have now proved correct except one. Our sole remaining prediction from 2002 is for global cooling to commence by 2020-2030. We now think global cooling will be apparent by 2020 or sooner, possibly as early as 2017 after the current El Nino runs its course.

I was told by a Mainer years ago about “25 snd 25.” When it’s -25 and blowing 25 mph, if your spit into the wind, it will free nd crack before it hits the ground. In Iowa, in the early 80s, it got so cold the dashboard in my car cracked up the middle, there was frost on the screws of the light switch on inside of the wall near my front door, and I bought an electrically-heated dipstick to put into my car’s oil pan on very cold night—made a big difference getting my car started in the morning.

When I was going to college in the 1950s in St.Paul Minnesota I used to bring in the car battery on cold nights(-10 or colder). It helped a lot. (I parked in the street and could not plug in a heater.)

Call that cold? When I were a lad, it were so cold we ‘ad to buy fur coats for all t’ sheep, and we ‘ad ter piddle into a bowl standing right by fire, or else yer pee would freeze afor it hit t’ground. We ‘ad to send me little bruvver aht to fetch more firewood, and they found ‘im days later just a few feet down path .. stiff as a board, ‘e was. Run down by a skiddin’ ice cream van.Terrible days, them were. I can still ‘ear sound of grandma’s teef chatterin’, even after they fell out.
Last time we take a holiday in Puerto Rico, that’s for sure

Call that cold? In the US Virgin Islands when it clouded over and the wind picked up we’d have wind-chills down to 75F/24C. Only tourists left at the beach. We’d shudder when we remember the all-time low of 1999 (52F/11C). People drove down from the mountains to escape that one. Now I live in a cold place and work outside and often get wet and find that I can endure it better than many natives because my body is still in denial.

live here in central maine and not actually true but it sure feels like it would
I have had good windshields crack in it though, was -28f with 20+ mph wind and as soon as car warmed enough to toss heat through defrost vents (climate control waits until engine warm before turning on blower) within seconds I had crack going full width.
tonight mean temp supposed to be around -15f and windy, no idea what wind chills will be.

You had windows eh ? There was no frost on the inside of our windows because we didn’t have any glass or panes, just holes. We used to dream of havin’ windows, none but Southern softies had windows when I was a lad….
H/T to Monty Python’s Yorkshireman Sketch

We used to say Jack Frost visited, but some fool used that as a movie title or some such thing. Now one has to actually write and search images with frost on windows to see what Pamela is recalling from her childhood.

I will get home from work after 6 in the morning and cuddle up to my LLW (Lovely Lady Wife) and get moaned at for being cold as happens most mornings after working a night and will say where’s the fun in getting warmed up first before the cuddle?
James Bull

I’ll see your “warming is climate/ cooling is weather” and raise it.
Watching a David Attenborough documentary at the moment. “These mountains were carved during the last ice age. We are due for another but there seems to be subtle changes that can’t be explained by nature.”
Brilliant. Big changes are natural. Subtle changes are human induced.

Sad as Attenborough used to command respect for his work but now spouts the warmist drivel. Of his own freewill I believe although all his programmes are by the BBC where global warming is the official religion.

It’s almost here.6:36 PM EST Friday 12 February 2016
Special weather statement in effect for:
City of Toronto
Occasional Poor visibilities in sudden bursts of snowfall this evening.
A vigorous cold front is moving southwards across southern Ontario. Ahead of this cold front convective snowshowers have developed and are producing locally intense bursts of visibility reducing snow. At their worst visibilities could be as low as 250 metres. Motorists should proceed with caution in these heavier snow showers.
The snow is not expected to linger at any one place for a long period of time thus local snowfall amounts are not expected to be much more than 5 cm.
As conditions clear up later this evening bitterly cold air is expected to create extreme wind chill values after midnight.https://weather.gc.ca/data/radar/temp_image/WKR/WKR_PRECIP_SNOW_2016_02_13_00_10.GIF

They won’t be able to, the new govt (Libtards) have kicked the military off their bases and filled them up with Justin’s People.
So the equipment will be held hostage by our latest “refugees”.
Just another factoid you will not see on CBC.
Must be really tough for canadian troops serving in Iraq, to hear your loved ones have been kicked ouit of their homes to house the relatives and co-religiants of those you are sent to fight.
Nothing quite says “We support our troops” like Liberal treachery..

How was Toronto back in December when the average was 8 degrees above normal?
Or January when they were 1.5 degrees above normal?
Or the first 9 days of February when you were averaging 10.5 above normal?

It’s not just going to be cold in the U.S. but also in Canada where all that “imported” (to the U.S.) cold air comes from. Forecast low for Toronto tonight is -23°C (-9°F) and the high for tomorrow -17°C (1°F). Average low temperature this time of year for Toronto is -10°C (14°F), average high -2°C (28°F). It’s going to “warm up” for Valentine’s Day to a balmy -12°C (10°F). At least this February has been warmer (so far) than 2015. Last February was the Coldest on record in Toronto, although the news reports claimed February globally was the Warmest on record – and pigs can fly. Of course we all know that temperatures that are below average AND above average are caused by AGW.

Here in central Virginia the drums are beating to tell us of the approaching cold, with the chill being deepest on Sunday. However, I’d be surprised if a new cold record is set here, since the current record is 5 degrees F and so far the predictions are around 12 F. Now, out here in the rural wilds of Mechanicsville, it gets colder than in Richmond; but even here, colder than 5 degrees would be a surprise. Last year we had down to -1 F at least once, and I’ve seen it at -6 some years ago (all-time record is -12 for Richmond). So–yes, it’s getting cold, and I’d just as soon it would moderate a bit; but it doesn’t look like anything exceptional.

When traveling to New York in the colder months I’ve noticed that most people are completely unprepared for anything below, roughly, 28 degrees. They don’t wear hats, they have funny little calf-skin gloves, and their over coats have gaps in the closures that allow cold air to pour in. I also found that a face cord of seasoned hardwood goes for upward of 400 bucks, not including delivery, (yes, that’s a face cord)…
I would pity the poor souls for their ignorance if not for their constant arrogance about all things natural and scientific,

I don’t often encounter 28F, but I did last month in Shanghai. I had no hat, no coat and no gloves. It was a bit warm for walking but then we got a nice light drizzle to cool things down – perfect walking conditions.

Like the ladies wearing winter boots with stiletto heels or no treads…not good on ice.
Being from ‘northern’ Ontario, I’m use to having ‘squared’ tires on my way to work in the mornings and needing to run my vehicle at lunch hour so it will start at end of the day since there were no electrical outlets for day time parking spots in the little city I was residing in. Also noticed the younger tend to want to be fashionable over practical in winters…the youth eh.
Not looking forward to the expected cool cycle we’ll be heading into next few decades…brr-r.

Sounds like you were in New York city, not New York State. There is a big difference. A full cord of split seasoned hardwood, delivered is around $200. People inside where I work where hats to keep warm. I have not worn my arctic coat this winter because until today it wasn’t needed. The gloves, well you don’t need heavy gloves until it is 10 degrees F or less. As for the coats with the slits, that is something a city person would where.

Brandon or Nick will be along to explain that one to you soon, I’m sure.

Start with:http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/01/01/2015-in-review/#comment-2111066
I’m sure Nick knows the particulars better than me, but my basic understanding is that it’s not unreasonable to expect turbulent flows to develop when one part of a system is a net energy gainer and another part is a net energy loser. It follows then that a net energy gain over the entire system would tend to increase flow and thus turbulence. Also stands to reason that something like polar vortexes would get a bit more wobbly, venture to slightly lower latitudes slightly more often. Conversely, warmer air from lower latitudes increasingly makes it to higher latitudes in other parts of the increasingly wobbly vortex.
Very noisy process, weather. One event doesn’t “prove” a climatic trend one way or another, but noisier weather is certainly not inconsistent with a climate system that is on balance gradually accumulating more energy over time.
FTOP_T,

Get the popcorn popped.

You ever notice that it pops faster with the lid on rather than off while holding the burner at the same setting?

We’ve been down this road before: Don’t bring my name into the conversation if you don’t want me to reply. Surely you’re not so feeble-minded as to not understand this very simple principle. Thank you for your consideration.

Except Brandon, what you claim is wrong, Since most of the heat gain is supposed to be at the poles, this reduces the temperature gradient and calms the weather – the appropriate prediction is less arctic breakout, not more.

… what you claim is wrong, Since most of the heat gain is supposed to be at the poles, this reduces the temperature gradient and calms the weather – the appropriate prediction is less arctic breakout, not more.

While that seems intuitively correct, it doesn’t account for why the poles are supposed to warm more quickly. [1] Albedo feedback seems most commonly cited, but hypotheses invoking changes to general circulation have also been proposed. It’s those latter kind of mechanims I was thinking of when I wrote my first post.
Also keep in mind, much of the energy moved about by weather is latent heat contained in water vapor, and surface warming due to any cause puts more of it in the atmosphere.
The science is NOT settled on global warming, Arctic amplification and boreal winter cold snaps:
===============https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/06/120606132420.htm
Arctic ice melt is setting stage for severe winters
Date:
June 6, 2012
Source:
Cornell University
Summary:
A dramatic melt-off of Arctic sea ice due to climate change is hitting closer to home than millions of Americans might think – triggering a domino effect leading to increased odds of severe winter weather outbreaks in the Northern Hemisphere’s middle latitudes, according to new research.
—————https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/06/140615143834.htm
Arctic warming linked to fewer European and U.S. cold weather extremes, new study shows
Date:
June 15, 2014
Source:
University of Exeter
Summary:
Climate change is unlikely to lead to more days of extreme cold, similar to those that gripped the United States in a deep freeze last winter, new research has shown. The Arctic amplification phenomenon refers to the faster rate of warming in the Arctic compared to places further south. It is this phenomenon that has been linked to a spike in the number of severe cold spells experienced in recent years over Europe and North America.
—————https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/05/150520122844.htm
Climate change does not cause extreme winters, experts say
Date:
March 27, 2015
Source:
ETH Zürich
Summary:
Cold snaps like the ones that hit the eastern United States in the past winters are not a consequence of climate change. Scientists have now shown that global warming actually tends to reduce temperature variability.
—————https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/05/150520122844.htm
Severe weather may be linked to Arctic warming
Date:
May 20, 2015
Source:
University of Sheffield
Summary:
New evidence has linked Arctic warming with severe weather in countries including the UK and US. The studies are adding to the growing weight of evidence linking increased Arctic temperatures with changes in mid-latitude weather patterns.
===============
As I said in my first post, weather is noisy and one extreme event doesn’t “prove” a climatic trend one way or another. It also makes sense to me that research would be all over the map at present becuase of limited availability of high-quality, high-resolution data to work from. Nothing says good science to me more than a robust debate in literature.
—————
[1] In point of fact, only Arctic is warming faster than the global average. The Antarctic, ever the outlier, is actually cooling slightly according to RSS TLT.http://data.remss.com/msu/graphics/TLT/plots/RSS_TS_channel_TLT_Northern%20Polar_Land_And_Sea_v03_3.pnghttp://data.remss.com/msu/graphics/TLT/plots/RSS_TS_channel_TLT_Global_Land_And_Sea_v03_3.pnghttp://data.remss.com/msu/graphics/TLT/plots/RSS_TS_channel_TLT_Southern%20Polar_Land_And_Sea_v03_3.png

Yup, and iffen someone could prove that the earth’s atmosphere has a lid on it then they could easily prove that all the CAGW claims are NOT “junk science”.

Thank you for confirming that FTOP_T’s original argument was ridiculous.
People who think “easy proof” is common feature of “real science” are probably least equipped to know it from “junk science” when they see either.

around average zero point, which is actually abnormal for a strong El Nino… it should be normally be 1 million km² below normal at least to have the “normal el nino effect”
what strikes me is that the DMI old fashioned 30% rate and coastal regions masked out measurements do just show the opposite: most ice cover of the last 10 yearsold DMI sea ice cover graph
to phrase their words:
“Current Sea Ice extent
Total sea ice extent on the northern hemisphere since 2005. The ice extent values are calculated from the ice type data from the Ocean and Sea Ice, Satellite Application Facility (OSISAF), where areas with ice concentration higher than 30% are classified as ice.
The total area of sea ice is the sum of First Year Ice (FYI), Multi Year Ice (MYI) and the area of ambiguous ice types, from the OSISAF ice type product. However, the total estimated ice area is underestimated due to unclassified coastal regions where mixed land/sea pixels confuse the applied ice type algorithm. The shown sea ice extent values are therefore recommended be used qualitatively in relation to ice extent values from other years shown in the figure. In late 2012 sea ice climatology and anomaly data will be available here.”
it’s a shame they gonna discontinue this graph anytime soon. but maybe this year is showing the why: it shows a very unconveiniant truth about the arctic

It was 82F today in Tucson Arizona. Took the pup hiking to 9000′ on Mt Wrightston. It was cold up there. She loved it. I froze.
And we worry about 1-2 deg C. People, animals, ecosystems have evolved to adapt.

February is usually pretty brutal – I remember quite a few in which the wind blew incessantly for 2 weeks with temps in the single digits and lows well below zero. Pipes freezing were a constant concern. Of course those who are afraid of global warming obviously have no such memories and never had to deal with such issues, or they’d gladly welcome warmer winters.

Reblogged this on 4timesayear's Blog and commented:
February is usually pretty brutal – I remember quite a few in which the wind blew incessantly for 2 weeks with temps in the single digits and lows well below zero. Pipes freezing were a constant concern. Of course those who are afraid of global warming obviously have no such memories and never had to deal with such issues, or they’d gladly welcome warmer winters.

Have you ever wondered way the Eskimo can live so far north: Because they eat lots and lots of Saturated Fat. Montreal will go down to -28c tonight ;University of Cape Town deputy vice chancellor and law professor Danie Visser calls emeritus professor Tim Noakes a “force in the world”. Day 5 Bhoopchand was powerless to stop Noakes in full sail as he waded into these vested interests worldwide, showing how they are embedded in academia, have bought off top scientists and academics, sponsor dietitians’ associations – including the Association for Dietetics in SA (ADSA), whose former president http://www.biznews.com/low-carb-healthy-fat-science/2016/02/13/tim-noakes-i-wont-practise-medicine-of-failure-banting-lchf/ Please read.

P.S. It has been much colder than usual in South Colorado this winter, almost very day, for two months. We were very tired of cold, especially early in the morning. Only recently, during the last week, weather “normalized.”

It is cold here in the Bahamas also. It was cool in January but Feb has been horrid, 59 to 62 at night, high sixties to low 70’s in the day. Remember we do not have heat. The weather is hurting restaurants because it is too cold to sit outside. I may have to move further south though my friend in Mexico is screaming because of the cold. I think my other friend in Nicaragua is okay. Not hearing any screaming from Canada. I think they are all frozen.

A good cold snap still reminds me of the 1977-78 winter in Ohio. Got cold in November, single digits in December and snow piling up, occasioned by multiple episodes of “-20’s with 20’s” that continued through February. Sat in a utility control room one night, watching electrical demand spike to unanticipated heights when phone calls came in from generating units that the coal stockpiles had frozen and dozers couldn’t keep up. A widespread outage could have killed hundreds.
Ask anyone who has experienced such extremes and they’ll vote heatwave everytime.

But CO2 has absolute control of climate-weather, natural climate-weather variations only exist in skeptics minds. With these high levels of CO2 the models say we shouldn’t even now what cold-climate-weather is.
BwaaaaHaaaahaaaaHaaa

Mark from the Midwest, stop with the NYC bashing. 🙂 Some of us know how to dress, and we don’t show all our secrets to outsiders.
Yes, I have little “ladyboots” with stiletto heels and minimal tread, a fashionable coat, and lightweight gloves, which I wear when I can, which is most of the time. And I *also *have thick-soled insulated boots and mittens and a proper zip up parka for the actually cold days.

It’s the Daily Mail, therefore is must be complete nonsense. There are a few light snow showers forecast for Eastern England. It will be cold, especially at night with frost. Daytime temps are likely to be 4-6 c , Positively balmy weather compared to what they get in North America. Remember this though, we all know the Daily Mail and Express routinely lie about the weather. If they are so comfortable lying in this subject, how reliable are the rest of it’s news stories?

ToddF
February 13, 2016 at 8:25 am
Have you not heard yet, science is settled in that one, the climate or weather OR WHATEVER…..all is AGW,……. “record breaking” lows or highs or neither,,,,, no record breaking or even “no records” at all, warming or cooling and even neither…..everything and enything left right up or down or nether or whatever and ever after is indisputably confirming AGW these days as all that happens at present and ever after is due to it……..the AGW….
If you don’t believe this….please try and ask any scientist…….97% chance there you have for a confirmation… it is not a joke……….or is it! 🙂
cheers

Here in Glen Rock, Pa. it’s a balmy 5 degrees F. I like it when it gets this cold, it helps to kill the ticks and chiggers. Unfortunately, all the snow we had lately is insulating the little buggers from the bitter cold.

Dr. Ryan Maue says it’s going to be one for the century old record books:
and…

… it’s all due to Man increasing the atmosphere’s CO2.
Change the world’s spellcheckers. “Cold”‘s new proper spelling is “CO2ld”.
(Back in the 70’s when the scare was a new ice age, the scare failed because they didn’t blame it on Man. Now they can.)

This morning I was reading the electronic versions of the NY Times and Washington Post. Nary a word about the predicted record cold for NYC or DC. Were the Progressives editor’s minds frozen out by this reality? or was it just that their warming schtick got stuck in the ice?

May I make a suggestion? Try lying on your left side and curling up into a fetal position. It will help with your ‘beano’ problem, and give you a comforting position to nurse your fears over weather. Win-win!

Not that cold up here in the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont this year. Only expect temperatures to drop to -20F tonight with wind chill only to -40. Now last year was cold, -27F on Valentines Day and -35F the following week without wind chill. Winters just aren’t as cold as they used to be – at least in the last twelve months.

“There’s a reason why Torontonians say ‘we the north.’
Toronto is currently colder than Yellowknife, the city known to be the coldest in Canada. Yellowknife is sitting at -14 C today as Torontonians are facing temperatures at -26 C with wind chills at -39 C.
Today is the coldest Feb. 13 since 1979, says climatologist Dave Phillips of Environment Canada.
In 1979, temperatures went as low as -23.2C.
With wind chills approaching -40 C, exposed human flesh can freeze in around 20 minutes, Phillips says.
However, this year, temperatures have not been as bad as what we saw last year, says Phillips.
“Last year, we had 37 days in a row where we didn’t get a melting temperature in Toronto,” Philip says.”http://www.metronews.ca/news/toronto/2016/02/13/toronto-is-colder-today-than-the-coldest-city-in-canada.html

“The results of this study showed that the relation
between a cloud state at midlatitudes and GCR fluxes
on long time scales is indirect, i.e., caused by GCR
effects on extratropical cyclogenesis variations. A pos
itive correlation between the cloud amount and GCR
intensity, which was observed from 1983 to the early
2000s, is due to the intensification of cyclonic activity
when GCR fluxes intensify during the period of a
strong polar vortex. Since the GCR effects on the
development of extratropical cyclones weaken and
reverse the sign when the vortex gets weak, the viola
tion of the indicated correlation in the early 2000s can
be related to a change of the polar vortex state. The
obtained results give evidence for a rather important
role of cosmic ray variations as well as for a modulating
effect of the stratospheric polar vortex in solar–atmo
spheric links.”https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282102403_Nature_of_long-term_correlations_between_cloud_state_and_variations_in_galactic_cosmic_ray_flux

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