What is your ideal future AI era? What changes will happen to various industries and personal life in the next 25 years? How should we prepare?

What is your ideal future AI era? What changes will happen to various industries and personal life in the next 25 years? How should we prepare?

2018-10-29

In the past few decades, the Internet has changed life, and everyone has a personal experience. Whether it is work and study, or life and entertainment, modern civilization can not do without the Internet.

There is an example of shocking foreign countries: even China’s beggar began to beg with scan pay!

Compared with the Internet, AI's change in life, we still do not feel deep. Personally, there are two main reasons:

On the one hand, human beings, as "native intelligence" on the earth, are very adaptable to new intelligence.

On the one hand, human beings, as "native intelligence" on the earth, are very adaptable to new intelligence.

In the same way, AlphaGo defeated the human Go champion, and after a few months of stunned, everyone was used to it. Ten years ago, I also felt that speech recognition was difficult to recognize, and now Siri's ability to recognize dialects is better than me.

This is the case with humans. When you see new intelligence, you will soon feel that it is not very smart.

On the other hand, the development of AI depends on the Internet infrastructure.

Wang Jian, chairman of the Alibaba Technical Committee, believes that AI can develop rapidly when the Internet becomes the infrastructure of human beings.

In the next 25 years, it is not 25 years of "the end of the Internet, the beginning of artificial intelligence", but 25 years of smart interconnection and mutual promotion.

a car that is neither intelligent nor connected internet

To cite the simplest example, map navigation, the basic function of the Internet, is closely related to car travel and should be realized by the car itself.

Some people have installed a large-screen Android system in the car. Even SAIC has independently developed the InKaNet system 10 years ago, but it is not easy to use it. Consumers vote with their feet and find the best way to use them.Use a bracket with your phone and navigate with your phone.

It's a great irony that hundreds of thousands yuan of automobiles depend on thousands yuan of peripherals to connect their smart networks. This also explains the status quo of the automobile from a certain angle: neither intelligence nor interconnection.

People life, intelligent interconnection is getting higher and higher. When entering the car, this contrast is getting stronger and stronger. Fortunately, in the next 25 years, AI (Intelligent) and the Internet will simultaneously sweep a storm in the automotive field.

In the past, all the future will come back.

The next 25 years of car intelligent interconnection

In the end, what is the intelligent networked car, what will it develop in the future? From a personal point of view, I think it can be summarized as three trends:

Autopilot, keyword artificial intelligence

Car system, keywords are people-oriented

Energy interconnection, keyword energy revolution

First, talk about autonomous driving.

For more than 100 years, the first car invented by Benz. the only seat left for the driver. For a hundred years, whether it is a four-seater, a seven-seat MPV or a dozen-seat bus, there must be a driver's position. Correspondingly, driving has become a skill, and the society has created a driver profession .

SAE divides the automatic driving into five stages, and the current car is between L2 and L3. These five stages can be interpreted explicitly as:

L0 – You come, I (AI) don't participate.

L1&L2 – I can step on the throttle brake or help you with the steering wheel (L1), even both of them help you (L2). But in case of an accident, I am not responsible.

L3 – I will help you drive it and you deal in an emergency. If I can't handle it, I will tell you to take over immediately, so you can call and write the document, but don't leave the driver's seat.

L4 – I will help you drive it, and I will help you with any situation. If you can't handle it, at least it will help you stop the road, and save you a small life, you will take over. So you can sleep, drive the car, play games, you can leave the driver's seat.

L5 – I will help you drive, nothing to do with you. It’s hard to say that your driving level is just like amateur 0 and AlphaGo playing chess, letting AI drive is harmful to public safety. Do you have to drive? Sorry, I have already unloaded the steering wheel and throttle. There is no driver seat. You can't drive it if you want to drive. If you have made a driving addiction, go out and turn right 200 meters to the travel agency, there is a three-day tour of Inner Mongolia Hulunbuir grassland, and you can choose one of the special items for horse riding and driving.

In the next 25 years, when autonomous driving progresses from the L1 phase to the L5 phase, driving is like riding a horse, more like an entertainment than a skill. Undoubtedly, this will be the biggest revolution in the history of the automotive industry in the past 100 years!

This revolution is mainly brought about by AI (intelligence), but it relies heavily on interconnection!

On the one hand, the sensing system information such as radar and camera is connected to the traditional driving system. The evolution of this car information architecture can be said to be data fusion, and it can also be called "local interconnection" inside the car.

On the other hand, one of the reasons for the delay in the L3 and L4 phases is that the amount of information and computing power inside the car alone may not be enough. It is likely to be combined with the data and computing power of the cloud. This is called V2V (vehicle-vehicle interconnection), V2R (vehicle-road interconnection), V2I (vehicle-infrastructure interconnection), relying on high reliability, low latency. High-speed 5G network interconnection (or stronger network) can be achieved.

The realization of the L5 stage automatic driving can not only save the driving time, but also eliminate the driver's career.

At that time, in addition to hobbies, everyone no longer had the need to buy a car. AI cars form a network of interconnected traffic and become the capillary of the city, which not only meets the travel needs of people, but also greatly improves the logistics efficiency of goods.

If we say that the emergence of cars a hundred years ago has brought the distance between cities closer, profoundly changing the face of the city, the logic of business, and the structure of society; then the emergence of AI self-driving cars will be for cities, businesses, Society has brought about a bigger change.

Second, then talk about the car system

In fact, I think the car system is inextricably linked to the interconnect/smart technology, but the key point lies in two words: experience.

For example, when Tesla first came out, its door handle was hidden. Don't think about forcing the door handle to pull it out, then it's old-fashioned. When the person carrying the car key is close to the car, the hidden door handle will automatically pop up, just like expressing the welcome, this kind of humanized design captures many people and willingly pay for it.

Intelligent interaction: When driving, it is not convenient to operate the screen by hand, so the most important thing is voice interaction, listening to people, helping people to open windows, open wipers, check routes, take photos, and preferably have enough intelligence and people.if boring you can Chatting . Of course, the Tesla door handles like the one above are also a kind of intelligent interaction.

Third, talk about energy interconnection

Before the automotive industry started its intelligence and the Internet revolution, it has continued the wave of electrification for nearly 50 years. The ultimate goal of this electrification wave is to achieve clean energy. One of the steps is to change the internal combustion engine drive to electric drive.

Electric vehicles can achieve “zero emissions” on the surface, but most of the electricity they drive comes from fossil energy (70% in China), which has caused a fierce controversy: Is the electric car really clean?

As long as the power industry continues to increase the proportion of solar, wind, and nuclear power generation, electric vehicles have achieved clean energy after achieving clean power. Some people think that the process of cleaning electricity is the responsibility of the power industry, and has nothing to do with electric vehicles. Is it really?