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Let’s face it, this winter will be as just as bland as many before. I’m sick of seeing the MOD thread showing mediocre potential 2 weeks away. I said, 2 weeks ago, nothing special would happen (and was mocked for saying it), but look where we are....I rest my case!!

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Let’s face it, this winter will be as just as bland as many before. I’m sick of seeing the MOD thread showing mediocre potential 2 weeks away. I said, 2 weeks ago, nothing special would happen (and was mocked for saying it), but look where we are....I rest my case!!

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Also, if we do get the MJO into a favourable phase the lag will be approximately 10 days. The further this heads into February, the stronger the sun gets, so it’s then game over for our neck of the woods....

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Temperature defently dropping but the raIn had joe cleared , no luck It seems so far this year with the snow , those up north have had it good , just seen a beautiful sky , the picture does not do it justice .

Edit , I can’t get it to up load anyway .

Edited January 20 by Mark wheeler

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Also, if we do get the MJO into a favourable phase the lag will be approximately 10 days. The further this heads into February, the stronger the sun gets, so it’s then game over for our neck of the woods....

I’d say up to mid March this region can do reasonably well for wintry weather.

Possibly it’s gameover for sustained snow cover but February is very much a proper winter month, more so than December I’d say despite the lengthening days. There has been incidences like 1947 rare as hens teeth of snow being on ground till latter side of March that winter only really got going in late January. In the spring months we actually tend to see the highest frequency of northerlies and easterlies - sod’s law really. We could still manage a snow event fairly late into March enjoy it and get out there while it is there. It has been an age since we have had a proper cold February. In 2012 we sort of got a glimpse of it in the first half, I’m slightly hopeful next month will feature something we have been looking for.

Edited January 20 by Daniel*

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Temperature defently dropping but the raIn had joe cleared , no luck It seems so far this year with the snow , those up north have had it good , just seen a beautiful sky , the picture does not do it justice .

Edit , I can’t get it to up load anyway .

Some patience is needed well we’ve needed a lot of that in the tank with it being five years. We’re not even in the closing third yet, I’ve always fancied our chances more deeper into winter.

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I’ve not been monitoring NMM so I can’t say whether this is new however for tomorrow’s snow has some decent intensity PPN falling as snow in this region. Potentially 1-3CM to low levels, and then back to rain.

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Not quite models have actually ‘upgraded’ for us further south especially for East Anglia. Even the less keen GFS has some leading snow for most of us. A few hours of snow 1-3 falling perhaps accumulating if it’s heavy enough and then back to rain resulting in no trace. North of Crawley and east of west London IMO I see snow falling.