Never seen the models show such power consistently this far north in a believable range. Hope the east coast people are prepared and take every wording seriously.

0 likes

The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

wxman57 wrote:This has the potential to a historic storm for the northeast. Something we'll talk about decades from now (I hope I'll be around decades from now). A very large subtropical storm with hurricane-force wind striking south of Long Island/NHC nearly head-on into the coast would be an extremely rare event. This could set the record for the number of people without power from a single storm. Flooding will be like nothing many have seen in their lifetimes. Very, very bad...

wxman, I've been a member here for around 7 years now, and I have never seen you speak like this. I've never seen you this worried. And that worries me.

This even more worrisome than the post by wxman that I replied to. So I am not the only one......

wxman57 wrote:This has the potential to a historic storm for the northeast. Something we'll talk about decades from now (I hope I'll be around decades from now). A very large subtropical storm with hurricane-force wind striking south of Long Island/NHC nearly head-on into the coast would be an extremely rare event. This could set the record for the number of people without power from a single storm. Flooding will be like nothing many have seen in their lifetimes. Very, very bad...

wx, as long as I have seen you here, I've never heard you so concerned. My question to you and other mets, is if there is a possibility of freezing weather impacting the region after the storm passes, which would be doubly devastating. Once the power is out with a wind swath like this, we could see folks without heat for upwards of a month and right into the start of winter.

Any snow that falls will be well inland over the interior Appalachian areas of Pennsylvania and western VA. This would not be unusual for them. They can get snow and freezing weather in late September so it wouldn't be historic. And the overall jet flow after this moves out is forecast to be zonal so there should be a return to normal or above normal temps for any areas that get snow. Having said that I would agree with wxman57 that this is surely looking like a really bad, and yes historic storm for the mid-Atlantic to northeast. It's the amount of coastal water damage, flooding damage and widespread wind damage that will be historic if the model forecasts are right.

I read a lot but don't post much here; love reading and learning. I, too, have never seen such a post from Wxman57. I'll be calling and emailing our relatives up and down the Eastern Seaboard, especially those on Long Island and in New England, to make sure they are prepping and taking this seriously. Thanks for all the good info y'all! And hope all in this storm's path stay safe.

wxman57 wrote:This has the potential to a historic storm for the northeast. Something we'll talk about decades from now (I hope I'll be around decades from now). A very large subtropical storm with hurricane-force wind striking south of Long Island/NHC nearly head-on into the coast would be an extremely rare event. This could set the record for the number of people without power from a single storm. Flooding will be like nothing many have seen in their lifetimes. Very, very bad...

wxman, I've been a member here for around 7 years now, and I have never seen you speak like this. I've never seen you this worried. And that worries me.

This even more worrisome than the post by wxman that I replied to. So I am not the only one......

Yeah..this isn't hype either..it's genuine concern for people further up the east coast. I live in Charleston SC but all my family is in southern NE, so I am very concerned. They seem to be downplaying in Rhode Island but people just need to be aware and prepared. That's how lives are saved.

wxman57 wrote:This has the potential to a historic storm for the northeast. Something we'll talk about decades from now (I hope I'll be around decades from now). A very large subtropical storm with hurricane-force wind striking south of Long Island/NHC nearly head-on into the coast would be an extremely rare event. This could set the record for the number of people without power from a single storm. Flooding will be like nothing many have seen in their lifetimes. Very, very bad...

Don't you remember the 1938 new england hurricane striking long island? That's historic. It killed over 680 people - directly.

Last edited by Weatherguy173 on Thu Oct 25, 2012 5:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.

0 likes

Nothing I say is intended to be a forecast; it's only food for thought and friendly advice!

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Aric Dunn wrote:whole lot of reports of wind gusting well in to the 50's things getting worse SE fl winds reports well inland too not just on the coast.

This and all of the other posts coming in now show how the wind field is expanding. Boy is this going to be a rough storm and for so long. Wxman57 I have to chime in that your post was chilling but the models are converging towards just such an historic event. It reminds me of the superstorm of 1993 when all of the models converged on an historic event and they were right. This one looks like it will join that club of truly historic storms. I don't mind telling you that people here in the New york city area are starting to get worried. That, at least, makes me hopeful that people will take heed.

Let me add my own two pesos into the mix and tell you all that I can count on one hand the number of times I have seen wxman57 speaking of a weather event in such terms. And his voice joins a growing chorus of recognized national meteorologists who concur. I hope and pray that folks along the East Coast (and inland areas) take this serious and spend their weekend preparing for this event.

0 likes

Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.

NWS just upgraded the forecast for winds drastically in Miami, and went back to TS conditions possible.

0 likes

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Wind has picked up here in northern palm beach county as well (I'm a little less than a mile from the coast as the crow flies). Hope that cyclonic loop that some of the models are forecasting in the NW Bahamas doesn't push Sandy too close to the SE FL coast.