Orange juice climbs as hurricane season approaches

General Comments: Futures closed higher in light volume trading. No one wants to sell much with the most active part of the hurricane season just in front of them. The tropics remain quiet for now. Growing conditions in the state of Florida remain mostly good. Showers and storms are reported and conditions are said to have improved in almost the entire state. Ideas are that the better precipitation will help trees fight the greening disease. Temperatures are warm. Brazil is seeing near to above normal temperatures and mostly dry weather, and there are reports of stress to trees and the potential for lower production.

Overnight News: Florida weather forecasts call for some showers. Temperatures will average near normal.

Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are mixed. Support is at 143.00, 141.50, and 140.00 September, with resistance at 147.00, 148.00, and 149.00 September.

General Comments: Futures moved lower as traders worry about demand, especially from China. It was a quiet session. Temperatures are warmer again in Texas and it has been dry. Conditions in Alabama, Mississippi, and Missouri are better and these states will see some showers this week as temperatures are somewhat cooler. It is possible that futures can continue to work lower over time as demand has turned soft and as the weather is getting better in almost all US production areas. Weather for Cotton still appears good in India, Pakistan, and China.

Overnight News: The Delta and Southeast will see showers off and on all week. Temperatures will average near to above normal. Texas will see dry weather this week and maybe some showers in the north. Temperatures will average near to above normal. The USDA spot price is now 80.71 ct/lb. ICE said that certified Cotton stocks are now 0.152 million bales, from 0.160 million yesterday.

Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are mixed. Support is at 85.00, 84.30, and 84.00 October, with resistance of 86.00, 86.50, and 87.00 October.

About the Author

Jack Scovilleis a veteran futures market analyst specializing in grains, softs, rice, oilseeds, and tropical products such as coffee and sugar. His industry contacts in South America, Europe, Asia, and North America provide him with a unique and comprehensive view of these markets. Jack began working in the futures industry over 30 years ago and spent 10 years working on the floor of the Chicago Board of Trade in various roles, starting with The PRICE Futures Group since it was established in 1988. Jack writes daily commentaries - Morning Grains and Softs, in both English and Spanish and is regularly quoted around the world by news & wire services including Dow Jones, AP, Bloomberg, and Reuters. You can contact Jack by phone at (312) 264-4322 or by email at jscoville@pricegroup.com. Learn even more on our website at www.pricegroup.com.

Futures and options trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. The information presented by The PRICE Futures Group is from sources believed to be reliable and all information reported is subject to change without notice.