Abstract

This paper analyzes spurious regression phenomenon involving AR(p) stable processes with trend breaks. It shows that when those time series are used in ordinary least squares regression, the convenient t-ratios procedures wrongly indicate that the spurious relationship is present as the pair of independent stable series contains trend changes. The spurious relationship becomes stronger as the sample size approaches to infinite. As a result, spurious effects might occur more often than we previously believed as they can arise even between AR(p) stable series in present of trend breaks.

Refbacks

If you have already registered in Journal A, then how can you submit another article to Journal B? It takes two steps to make it happen:

1. Register yourself in Journal B as an Author

Find the journal you want to submit to in CATEGORIES, click on “VIEW JOURNAL”, “Online Submissions”, “GO TO LOGIN” and “Edit My Profile”. Check “Author” on the “Edit Profile” page, then “Save”.

2. Submission

Go to “User Home”, and click on “Author” under the name of Journal B. You may start a New Submission by clicking on “CLICK HERE”.

We only use the following emails to deal with issues about paper acceptance, payment and submission of electronic versions of our journals to databases: caooc@hotmail.com; office@cscanada.net; office@cscanada.organs@cscanada.net;ans@cscanada.org