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Widespread synoptic rainfall is already organizing around a low pressure disturbance moving into W. Kentucky. It should reach New Jersey as early as later this evening but should clear out before Saturday. This leaves just a single potential washout day for Friday but not for all.

Only SNJ and parts of CNJ should see rainfall from this system. There will be a very sharp precipitation cutoff on the northern side of this system as it slides by to our south. With that said, I would imagine this cut-off line to be anywhere between the Atlantic City Expressway and I-78. To the north of that, you might not see a single drop. To the south of that, expect between .25-1.25 inches of rain with extreme SNJ seeing the highest range of such. While the storm will be just off our coast on Saturday and Sunday, I believe that it will be too far out to sea to bring rain into the coast. I would, however, expect stiff winds out of the N as well as roughed-up surf.

In English: Expect rain later this evening through tomorrow evening/very early Saturday AM. Rain should at least reach the AC Expressway but could possibly push as far north as I-78 (absolute max). Most likely will push to about the ~I-195 latitude. Everything should clear for a dry Saturday and Sunday but not without some light-to-moderate wind out of the N and possibly dangerous surf conditions. Be safe! JC

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