This storm will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across Metro Manila, Southern Tagalog Provinces, Bicol Region, Mindoro, Visayas, and Palawan today. Breezy conditions & mostly cloudy conditions w/ occasional to sometimes continuous rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along the abovementioned areas. The seas along the coastal areas facing the West, East and North Philippine Seas will be moderate to rough.

Meanwhile, a weak Tropical Disturbance (LPA) tagged as 97W has formed over the West Philippine Sea - about 258 km West of Iba, Zambales (15.4N 117.8E), as observed on recent satellite images. This disturbance is embedded within the strong monsoonal flow which is enhanced by SAOLA and will be closely monitored for further consolidation.

Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon, Taiwan and Southeastern China should closely monitor the progress of Saola (Gener).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

SAOLA (GENER) is expected to resume moving NNW for the next 24 to 48 hours with a decrease in its forward speed, and will slightly bend NW-ward after 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of SAOLA will remain over the open sea (North Philippine Sea)...passing well to the ENE of Basco, Batanes Monday evening, and approaching the coast of Northeastern Taiwan on Tuesday evening.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 85 km/hr (45 knots) with higher gusts. More strengthening is forecast during the next 3 days, and SAOLA is expected to become a Category 1 Typhoon on Monday.

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) - over water (Central Philippine Sea)...not yet affecting any land areas.(click here to know more about CDO).INNER RAINBANDS - over water (Central Philippine Sea)...not yet affecting any land areas.Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-100 kph) will be expected along these bands. OUTER RAINBANDS - its western outer rainbands affecting & spreading across Cagayan and Isabela.Cloudy/Rainy Conditions with moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 500 mm (high to very high) along areas near the center of Saola (Gener). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING - possible 1-3 ft (0.3-0.9 m) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Cagayan, Isabela, & the Batanes Group of Islands. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the rest of the beach-front areas of Eastern Philippines.(click here to know more about Storm Surge).

TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH

Tropical Storm (TS) DAMREY (11W) situated over the far Western Pacific Ocean has remained almost stationary...still no threat to land. Its center was located about 401 km ESE of Chichi Jima or 466 km ENE of Iwo To (25.8N 145.8E)...with maximum sustained winds of 75 kph and is forecast to move WNW slowly towards the sea south of Japan. To view the latest information on this storm kindly click this link.

CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY:STRONG >> Cloudy skies with occasional to widespread showers, rains or thunderstorms w/ squalls will be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, MINDORO, BICOL REGION, VISAYAS and PALAWAN. Light to moderate SW'ly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.