The long-term budget outlook

By Jonathan Lutton

Aug 19, 2014

When the Congressional Budget Office released its recent report, the immediate emphasis was on fiscal 2014 and the fact that no additional cuts would be required in the final weeks. However, CBO also projected the discretionary budget caps for each year between now and FY 2021 -- as mandated under the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 and amended by the Budget Control Act of 2011.

Here's what agencies can expect in terms of funding levels for the next several years, unless or until Congress crafts a new long-term budget deal.

Discretionary Budget Estimates for 2014 - 2021

*The 2014 discretionary cap has been adjusted to account for all of the following expenditures: overseas contingency operations, disaster relief, program integrity initiatives, emergency requirements, and estimating differences. These expenditures, as a whole, increased the initial caps by $99 billion. A breakdown for each of the adjustments is listed on the second page of the CBO's report.

Discretionary Breakdown

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Defense (billions)*

$606

$521

$523

$536

$549

$562

$576

$590

Nondefense (billions)*

$505

$492

$492

$504

$515

$529

$543

$555

Totals (billions)*

$1,111

$1,014

$1,015

$1,040

$1,065

$1,092

$1,119

$1,145

*All of the numbers in each of these rows have been rounded to the nearest billion.

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