The Spurs will be missing Tiago Splitter, who sprained an ankle in Game 3. San Antonio is still without Boris Diaw (back), but with a commanding 3-0 lead, they have very good chance of closing out the Lakers on Sunday.

Key matchup

The Lakers need to find a way to slow Tony Parker, who is averaging 20.3 points through three games on 52.2% shooting from the field with 7.6 assists.

Morris had some success against him, but no one else on the Lakers' roster seemed to deter Parker.

Goudelock scored 20 in 41 minutes but Parker torched him as well.

In three games, Morris is averaging 11.3 points on 56.5% shooting from the field and 42.9% from three. He's the team's best perimeter player currently — at least by attrition.

X-factor

The Lakers need to play defense, which they simply didn't in Game 3. Howard needs to stay out of foul trouble. So too does Morris.

The team needs both Morris and Goudelock to have big scoring nights to help open the floor for Gasol and Howard.

Tim Duncan was a problem for the Lakers. If he's hitting nearly every shot, the Lakers will start their summer vacation on Monday. Even if Duncan doesn't have a good night, it's going to take a near-perfect game for the Lakers to force a Game 5.

Outlook

If the Lakers were at full strength they would be a true challenge for the Spurs.

San Antonio is significantly better than this broken-down Lakers squad. It's not even close.