Good Thursday to one and all. We have some very chilly air in place across the Bluegrass State, and that’s leading to some frosty mornings. We’ve set you up for this potential for the past week, so it’s time to focus on the weekend storm threat.

Showers and storms look to increase Friday night and Saturday. Heavy rainfall appears to be a pretty likely bet, but the wild card will be the potential for strong or severe storms to occur.

The models are disagreeing a bit on the track of the low, and that will make all the difference in the world. The farther north this low tracks, the more likely our chances of seeing some strong storms.

The simulated radar from the NAM shows this model to be the farthest north with the setup:

The European Model is a little farther south with the track of the storm:

Both of those solutions would bring rounds of showers and storms through here from Friday night through Saturday night. They just differ on the potential for some big boomers. It’s a setup for us to watch for in the coming days.

The temperature gradient with this system could be very dramatic, with a 40-degree difference from north to south across our region.