MEXICO & CENRAL/SOUTH AMERICA

By far the most regionally challenging crisis dominating the western hemisphere is the impact of illegal drug trade on weak political institutions that dominate Mexico, Central/South America. Iran continues to exert significant regional presence, especially along the souther corridor linking Brazil to Uruguay pushing inside the interior along both the Pacific and Atlantic coastlines.

The rise of Mexican middle class is the most significant contribution to regional stability. Given how the drug trade was defeated in Colombia, its forward thrust north inside the Central American corridor has exacerbated domestic and bilateral relations among nation states that possess historical & cultural affinity.

Political rhetoric against illicit drug trafficking is originating among weak center-right governments with extremely weak political economies, particularly Guatemala, where big drug cartels have multiplied into smaller more agile, lethal organizations that dominate the Peten Jungle along the Suchiate River, a river bordering Mexico and Guatemala. Traffickers are finding easy supply routes throughout Central America since the Caribbean and Colombia have made strides in closing down narcotic markets.

The collapse of political institutions throughout Central America resembles an insurgency. This is especially true given how the murder rate throughout Central America is double that of Mexico. Re-establishing State authority in urban areas, establishing independent judiciaries, and targeting criminal regimes through U.S. bilateral cooperation is key to dismantling illegal drug markets, exceedingly high homicide, extortion and kidnapping.

Restoring order requires that State authorities begin reforming the performance of political & monetary institutions to serve regional interests.

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