Posts Tagged ‘Federal Reserve Policy’

Confidence is slippery, even when you are a metals investor sitting atop the best performing assets of 2016. It doesn’t help when 4 years of a miserable bear market remains fresh in our memories. Any weakness in gold and silver prices & it can feel like they are ready to plunge. World events are unpredictable. In bull markets some of the biggest moves happen suddenly, when people least expect it.

There are three ways out of debt. One is default, which is not a good option. One is growth, but it’s not happening. The third way is inflation. The government has to have inflation. If it doesn’t, there’s going to be a crack-up in the national debt. But we’re not getting inflation from monetary policy. There’s another option & that’s to bid up the price of gold.

While the Fed has been successful at intentionally promoting yield-seeking speculation since 2009, a century of evidence demonstrates that current valuation extremes also imply a stock market collapse that is now baked in the cake, and that Federal Reserve policy has much less ability to prevent than investors seem to believe.

The IMF decision to possibly eliminate U.S. veto power and, thus, influence over IMF decisions may come as early as the first quarter of next year. All of these measures are culminating in what I believe will be a more official announcement of a dump of the U.S. dollar as world reserve currency & bring the BRICS into the SDR fold.

A skeptic would have to be blind not to see bubbles inflating in junk bond issuance, credit quality, and yields, not to mention the nosebleed stock market valuations of fashionable companies like Netflix and Tesla. The overall investment picture is one of growing risk and inadequate potential return almost everywhere one looks.

If we were to cobble together the advice from Mr. Mminele, Mr. Draghi and the ‘Nospeak’ implications from the Chinese, we can create a ‘how-to-manage’ your own portfolio manual just as central banks do.