Orlando the worst FT% team in 33 years and just outside the bottom 10 of all-time. Near bottom third or in it on at the rim shots and inside FG%. 2nd lowest on mid-range attempts but the worst at them. The offense is mainly just 3 point shooting.

At lineup level the Magic's starting lineup is one of the worst performing for lineups used 150+ minutes on raw and adjusted +/-. There are a number of next most used lineups doing terrific. Make a change? Nelson's injury forced one and that may help them.

There are 7 teams doing better than any of us guessed, and 9 which are doing worse. This leaves 14 teams that are within the range of our predictions. Ranked by avg error (either too high or too low) -

While Kevin P seems to dominate the worst predictions, he's also got the best guess (or virtual tie) on Mem, Mia, Min, Phx, and Uta.Crow has only one worst guess: picking Mem to win 40, and they're headed for 33-34.

If you're higher in the left columns than in the right, then you've been lucky (or you're influencing games).Avg error now 4.34 in Pyth+

The most shocking team is Cha, headed for 9 wins. Hollinger is closest at 13. On avg, we are off by 12.4The only other team with such a large best-guess error is Hou, headed for 38. Crow and JE guessed 34.

Philly's projection (41) is now within 3 of JE's guess.The sinking Celts (33) are 3 below KP's bottom guess.The recovering Pacers (41) are 3 better than my high guess. I also had lowest hopes for Mil, and they're 3 wins below that (27).Nets (19) look 3 wins worse than dis guessed, and Okl (48) looks 3 wins better than any but Vegas.

With an 0-5 night, the East is now less than .400 vs the West, for what it's worth.

If Hollinger beats me it could be considered to come from my not expecting Charlotte and New Orleans to be as awful as he did. My low expectation of Orlando might figure into it as well or make the ultimate difference.