Final Score Power Index - an objective evaluation of NFL teams, based on final scores of games played.

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

NFL Week 12 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (4-4-1)

Right:

Saints @ FalconsPanthers @ Dolphins49ers @ Redskins
Jets @ Ravens

Wrong:

Buccaneers @ Lions

The Bucs QB Mike Glennon (14/21, 247 yards and 2 tds) had a really
good day passing, and Matt Stafford (26/46, 297 yards, 3 tds and 4
ints) did not. I said this before, but the Buccaneers are not as bad
as their 8-loss record would suggest, and now that Glennon is
starting to have some good games, they're really a much tougher team
to beat.

Chargers @ Chiefs

The Chiefs held the Chargers to just 10 points in the first half,
but then allowed 31 second half points, nearly all coming on
sustained drives. Really a stunning breakdown for a team with a
defense that had pretty much carried them to a 9-0 record.

Jaguars @ Texans

The Texans and the Raiders are the only teams this season not to
score at least 24 points on the Jaguars. The Texans had 7 drives
that didn't go 10 yards. At this point, I have to wonder if there's
any team in the leage the Texans could beat.

Broncos @ Patriots

The Broncos used turnovers to sprint out to a 17-0 lead. But
Peyton Manning (19/36, 150 yards, 2 td and 1 int) had a bad day
passing, so when Knowshon Moreno wasn't on the field, their offense
pretty much dried up. And when the Patriots stopped turning the ball
over, they started scoring points, and the Broncos didn't have
enough to hold their lead for 2 quarters and overtime.

Vikings @ Packers (Tie)

Christian ponder threw for 233 yards and a touchdown, Peterson and
Gerhart (!) combined for another 237 yards on the ground. Twice the
Vikings started a drive inside their own 5 yard line, and twice they
drove for a field goal. The Packers have a really bad defense.

Split Picks: (APR 4-1, SRS 2-3, Line 2-3)

Bears (APR, SRS) @ Rams (Line)

The Bears had their troubles on offense (two lost fumbles and an
interception), but their real trouble was on defense. The Rams put
together 5 drives of at least 69 yards, all ending with scores. With
their sputtering offense, the Bears didn't have a chance to keep up.

Cowboys (APR, SRS) @ Giants (Line)

Like I
said in
the game picks, I think the Giants weren't as good as their 4
game winning streak made them look. The Cowboys nearly managed to
screw it up anyway, but they were able to control the ball well
enough at the end of the game to kick a winning field goal as time
expired.

Titans (APR, SRS) @ Raiders (Line)

Well, a close game featuring a couple of mediocre teams. The
normally very reliable Sebastian Janikowski missed a couple of field
goals, which as much as anything was the difference in the game.

Steelers (APR) @ Browns (SRS, Line)

A big part of this was that Jason Campbell got knocked out of the
game early, and Brandon Weeden continues to look like something
other than an NFL quarterback. The Steelers didn't have a great day
offensively, but with all the mistakes the Browns made, including a
pick 6 and a lost fumble returned deep in their own end, the
Steelers had enough for an easy win.

Colts (SRS) @ Caridnals (APR, Line)

The Colts offense really hasn't looked good since Reggie Wayne got
hurt, and this game was another good example. The Colts only had one
drive longer than 40 yards until deep into garbage time, and Andrew
Luck had a pretty miserable day passing. Meanwhile, Carson Palmer
seems to be settling into his role as game manager, and the
Cardinals are looking less and less like an easy win for their
opponents.

Totals

Thanks to correctly picking a three road dogs, APR is the only one
with a winning record this week.