Sunday, October 20, 2013

On Tuesday, Indiana became the 19th and final
state agency to reach an agreement with Amtrak to pay more to keep the Hoosier
State running.

The provision in the 2008 law known as PRIIA Section 209
was the source of consternation for many state agencies and rail advocacy
groups alike but it allows all states operating routes shorter than 750 miles
to pay their fair share. Up until this month, Michigan and New York didn't have
to pay a penny for Wolverines or Empire Service because Amtrak deemed both
corridors as part of its system.

Time to Rant

Throughout the year, I have been keeping tabs on how the
states would handle the October 1 deadline, and it appears to me that the
states took it much better than the people who are supposed to represent train
travel or the media.

This is what I read:

·
Washington State seriously considered cutting
Cascades #513 & #516 back to Bellingham nearly two years after those two
trains kept the Vancouver, BC portion that was tantamount to pulling teeth with
the BC government in 2010 and ‘11

·
Conflicting reports during the last two weeks in
August over whether the PA DOT had actually reached a deal with Amtrak to keep
the Pennsylvanian running

·
Newspaper article after newspaper article
detailing how all of these routes would go away on October 1 if the state in
question didn't reach an agreement with Amtrak

·
Most members of the rail community acting like
it was Amtrak or bust when actual options are available for most of the state
agencies—i.e. any corridor that’s outside of the Wolverine and Empire Corridors

Outside of Indiana’s Hoosier State, all of this worrying
was unnecessary and shows how wedded to Amtrak most members of the rail
community really are when they should be advocating improved passenger service
with as many entities the U.S. can bear.

The October Trains Magazine article went into detail
about Section 209, but Bob Johnston also neglected to mention the possibility
of competitors scooping in and replacing Amtrak as the operator of choice in
these states. As a matter of fact, the AIPRO has spent the better part of the
last 2 ½ years trying to get anyone who cares about train travel to listen and
any politician in D.C. to pay attention to Section 214, which allows competition.
As a matter of fact, one of its members expressed an interest in running
California and Midwest routes.

Johnston then went on to mention that as of July, none of
the states had signed a contract with Amtrak for the new fiscal year (that
number went up to seven a month ago and up to 16 two weeks ago).
Based on that Trains article, an Amtrak critic was right when he predicted the
huge price increases for states that continue to contract their services out to
Amtrak—which turned out to be all of them.

California paid an extra $19 million for all three of its
routes while Virginia’s Lynchburg extension of the Northeast Corridor went from
making a surplus to “providing a significant
subsidy” to Amtrak (as Johnston
pointed out). I’m pretty sure that Veolia would have been able to save the Golden State tens
of millions (nine figure savings=profit) if someone in Sacramento had taken the
initiative to speak to the independent operator. As for VA, I’m at a loss for
words since its (now former) money making route is attached to Amtrak’s spine
(aka the Northeast Corridor).

In the end, the states played it safe rather than being
bold—no one wanted to be the first state to dump Amtrak in favor of another
operator. Perhaps, this is based on what happened to one of them a decade ago.

Based on the states agreeing to stick with the status
quo, additional frequencies and extended service will likely be subject to
controversial Amtrak feasibility studies which will be time consuming and
result in the states forking out even
more money to the national carrier. The chief problem will be with the
state DOTs who may get tired of spending lots of money to Amtrak and begin
looking elsewhere if the economy doesn't pick up.

Ironically, states with sparse passenger train service or
none at all may end up as the big winners because they have a template of what
to expect from Amtrak so they could then choose to lease their routes out to independent
operators as the demand grows. Ten years from now, All Aboard Florida could be
such a success that the FL DOT provides corridor service with an AIPRO member
or another non-Amtrak entity while historic leaders like Washington and Oregon could stagnate or become laggards due to them paying extra to Amtrak and those costs busting their states' budgets.

All of this inside the box thinking by True Believers and
state DOTs cannot hide the fact that the old one size fits all, solo entity
model is crumbling and it’s best that they come to terms with multiple entities—just
like how trains are operated in places like the UK, Germany, Sweden and Japan. The pendulum has swung back
in this direction because people are once again demanding top notch train travel. I will say that I am one of the very few people in the reform Amtrak
camp who opposes the company being abolished,
so if anyone thinks that I am harsh to the company, check out almost anyone
else who wants an end to the passenger rail monopoly and you will quickly
realize that I am being quite generous with
my statements calling the company out on its complacency.

What Now?

Now that the federal government has yet again averted a
major crisis, Congress needs to work on a rail reauthorization bill that not
only encourages competition but mandates it. I would suggest that
separate bidding procedures are set up for corridors and long distance service
so there is no confusion on which routes are up for bid whatsoever.

In any case, these new operating agreements could turn
out to be nothing more than one to three year extensions which could allow
states to talk to other operators and subsequently ink deals with them. Older
members of Amtrak’s management team are genuinely afraid of other operators
running existing routes because there’s the potential for a domino effect that could lead to
Amtrak only operating Midwest and Northeast routes outside of the National System (i.e. the long distance routes). Once these operating
agreements expire over the next three years, the next Amtrak president will
need to figure out which (non-NEC) routes it should focus on and which routes
would be better off with someone else.

The Adirondack Scenic Railroadsaga takes an ugly turn
Take: When it comes to the fight to just preserve the tracks on the right of way, it is way beyond preposterous that a loud group of people who are having a hard time masking their hatred of trains. The sabotaging of the railroad's property and locomotive show how low some northern New Yorkers are willing to go just to turn perfect rail pathway into a trail very few people will use.

Bad news for anyone who hates passenger rail competition
Take: While the Labour Party could very well return to the topic of re-nationalizing passenger rail in the future, they aren't going to touch it when Brits have other more important topics on their minds. Mr. Lodge points out how the arguments True Believers use are very misleading. America would be wise to learn from Britain's mistakes once Congress finally gets around to addressing passenger competition as part of a new rail bill.

More All Aboard Floridanews
Take #1: Now, it's time for the construction to get started, and hopefully, I will be one of AAF's first passengers in two years' time.

Take #2: Tampa officials need to understand that Jacksonville is naturally on the FEC route and that it only makes sense for AAF to look northward not westward once the trains are up and running. However, that doesn't mean that Tampa shouldn't get a look from the fledgling passenger entity. Perhaps, there will be some commuter option that eventually stretches into St. Petersburg as part of a future deal to provide that area with intercity service. Of course, there is always the possibility that state of Florida gets off its high horse and provides California-style corridor service that may not require AAF at all.