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Friday, March 28

Spring feel today, & then back to winter it looks like for Saturday night & Sunday. It looks like just enough cold air will drain in tonight into Saturday to set the stage for more of a wintry scenario Saturday night, especially over the high terrain, but quite possibly for everyone. I believe colder air will also be sucked into the storm as the low deepens Saturday night, which should ensure all of getting at least some snow with the greatest snowfall accumulations of several inches most likely to occur over the higher terrain south & east of the Rochester area. With that said, even the Greater Rochester area could pick up several inches if enough cold air drains in & with the right storm track. Stay tuned to News 8 for updates this evening & again Saturday evening with Meteorologist Stacey Pensgen. Highs both Saturday & Sunday will be up near 40, with a gusty, cold wind expected to blow Sunday.

The weather will turn much nicer early next week with highs likely getting back into the 50s with some sun too!

Have a great night & weekend everyone & be careful if you have travel plans Saturday night through early Sunday.

Posted by
News 8 Weather

21 comments:

I always prefer to take a cautious approach with out-of-season snow events, so I'm resigning myself to there being a minor coating of slush at lower elevations with several inches at higher elevations. These marginal events are very tough to forecast from what I've seen, so I'm holding myself to conservative expectations. None of this precludes higher amounts, just pointing out that the bust potential is high.

Yes, the ski areas have had a great season. As an avid skier I can attest to that. But the resorts in WNY are really in wind down mode, so any new snow now is really at the point of diminishing returns.

If I could control the weather I'd have it snow starting around Thanksgiving and end March 15 or a bit sooner. Then transition very quickly to 60's by early April.

KW said 4 hours ago he was thinking it would be minimal advisory criteria and could reach warning criteria. So now the NWS has issued Winter Storm Watches for counties south and east of us. He's also been talking about concern for this storm for days. Of course as CCCC says, it has bust potential, but I wouldn't bet against KW this year. He's been on somewhat of a roll.

Winter Storm Watch now in effect. Calling for 6+ inches of heavy wet snow for Saturday into Sunday. Winter is still not done with us, and we might go past the 110+ mark for snow this year. Would be nice to have a Winter Storm in April, for snow and winter lovers -- it would be the perfect ending to Winter. Fingers crossed!!!!

Talk now of major icing for weekend. Blogger who keeps predicting Historic Ice Storm for the Flower City might be right, as he/she was concerning the Blizzard. Seriously a week without shoveling as pretty boring -- bring on the Winter Storm -- more snow, more snow, cold, and wind. Can't wait to see what the weekend brings. Put it out there in the universe that we want one more Winter Storm with significant inches of snow. We need to break the 110-115 inch snow mark.

If the majority of the snow falls at night, it could add up a bit more, especially if adiabatic cooling takes place. Although thermal profiles may be cold enough to the point where we won't even need this cooling to stay all snow... Definitely a sneaky little event trying to unfold.

The first notable winter event of the season was a storm that hugged the coast and dumped heavy wet snow across the region, after the models were originally in agreement that it would slide out to sea.

The (hopefully) last notable winter event of the season will be a storm that hugs the coast and dumps heavy wet snow across *parts* of the region, after the models were originally in agreement that it would slide out to sea.