‘Third Man’ Mélenchon can no longer be ignored

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the radical Left Front’s Presidential candidate, has gained four percentage points in two weeks in opinion polls, a result that would see him take the third spot in the first of the two round vote for France’s head of state.

He would win 15% of the first round on April 22, the LH2/Yahoo poll suggested, overtaking far right Marine Le Pen who was on 13.5%.

The same poll gave Socialist Francois Hollande victory in the first round with 28.5% of the vote, against 27.5% for incumbent right-winger Nicolas Sarkozy. For the 6 May second round vote, Hollande would garner 54% and Sarkozy 46%. Hollande has lost one point since 18 March, while Sarkozy has gained one.

Mélenchon’s success suggests his radical leftwing programme and moves to steer Hollande’s agenda left are having an impact.

The Socialists are reacting to Mélenchon’s rising star by showing an hitherto unseen openness to dialogue with him and the Left Front.

In an interview Saturday, Arnaud Montebourg, Hollande’s ‘spécial représentative’ believed it would be possible to ‘negotiate with Jean-Luc Mélenchon’ when it came to legislative elections in June.

‘The Socialists don’t know what to do,’ says François Delapierre, head of Mélenchon’s campaign. ‘Their strategy was ‘let’s ignore him’ but they are now forced to change that.’

The Left Front (Front de Gauche) is an alliance of the Communist Party and Left Party, which in turn is formed of former Socialists, people who hadn’t been members of a political party before and dissidents from the Green Party. They first stood in the 2009 European elections.

The former teacher and government minister’s programme calls for control over the banks, a completely new relationship between France and other European countries, ‘ecological planning’ and dismantling Nato.

It also calls for stronger workers’ rights, new powers for workers ‘to pre-empt’ or ‘requisition’ plants faced with closure, a ban on lay-offs for companies that have paid dividends to shareholders and measures to make it unattractive to relocate industries to countries where the cost of labour is lower.