The NFL has its red zone, but the “money zone” in fantasy is actually the area closer to pay dirt — inside the opponent’s 10-yard line.

A touchdown is scored on 9.5 percent of plays between the 19-yard line and the 10. Inside the 10, that rate spikes to 32.4 percent of plays, according to Pro-Football-Reference. This is obviously more weighted the closer you get, increasing steadily from 13 percent of plays from the 9 to 54.4 percent of plays from the 1. So our instincts are correct: we get closer to the edge of our seats in fantasy as the ball — in Hank Stram parlance — matriculates closer to the end zone. Last year, this area of the field, the money zone, accounted for 585 of 1,113 total offensive touchdowns — 52.6 percent.

Noting last year’s play-calling splits and efficiency in the money zone relative to the league average can help us identify regression candidates in fantasy, both positively and negatively. And because touchdowns make up...