August 4 MLB DFS Picks: Sale Your Way To Victory

Michael Leone 12:08 pm, August 04th, 2015

August 4 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

It's another exciting night in MLB DFS as both DraftKings and FanDuel are offering six figure prize pools! Drew Dinkmeyer of the DailyRoto Daily Fantasy Rundown shares some picks and analysis to help get you started with your lineups.

Chris Sale (CHW) – At first glance, I was even a bit surprised to see Sale ahead of Scherzer in our model, but even more surprising was the magnitude. Sale is comfortably ahead of the rest of the tier one starters and once again it’s fueled by a massive expected K Rate. Our model views the Rays offense as very swing and miss, projecting six members of last night’s lineup for a K Rate above 20 percent and all members of the line over a 17 percent K Rate against LHP. For comparative purposes, the expected lineup the Diamondbacks are running out likely will have just four hitters with a projected K Rate above 20 percent (including the pitcher’s spot) and three hitters below 15 percent. The expected strikeout projection gap between Sale (35 percent) and Scherzer (30 percent) accounts for all of the gap in our rankings. With Sale a bit more affordable around the industry, he’s a stronger play in our opinion.

Adrian Gonzalez (LAD) – First base is very deep but if you need a little salary relief at the position in order to emphasize high end pitching, Gonzalez is your best bet. Gonzalez gets a nice park shift in Philadelphia and faces Jerome Williams who has allowed a .353 wOBA and 31.5 percent hard hit rate to LHBs since 2013. Williams is also backed up by a depleted Phillies pen that lost their two best bullpen arms at the deadline. The Phillies are down to just one LH reliever which means we should expect Gonzalez to have the vast majority of his plate appearances against righties. A Top 25 hitter in our model, Gonzalez’s price tag is a bit more affordable than the other elite options at the position.

Like what you see? We go way more in-depth at DailyRoto.com, with advice from Drew Dinkmeyer, Mike Leone, and others, that produced three Millionaire Maker winners in 2014