Economy

This multi-decade study sketches a broad guide for anticipating phases in wealth-related social action. Robert Prechter and Alan Hall team up to discuss how four cyclical phases of social psychology influence attitudes on tax rates, financial regulation, relative financial wages, credit market debt, and wealth inequality.

Using real estate price data from North America, Japan and Holland, Alan Hall reveals a common underlying psychological motivation behind real estate manias. The audio comes with five charts so you can see what Alan is talking about. PDF Download Running Time: 19 min 18 sec

Socionomist Alan Hall continues his discussion with radio journalist Tom Jeffries about negative social mood and epidemics. Part II explores how changes in mood impact human immunity. Hall discusses potential threats on the horizon and provides charts that illustrate the timing of epidemics and their similarity to financial manias. Running […]

Socionomics teaches us that people behave differently when making a financial decision to buy a stock or a home as compared to making an economic decision to buy a pair of shoes or a loaf of bread. Understanding the difference can have a huge impact on one’s success in the […]

Residential mortgage foreclosures are skyrocketing. The subprime sector of the market is being particularly hard hit. Even worse, did the artificial demand created by hocus pocus financing inflate the price you paid for your house? Knowledge of Socionomics and the Wave Principle can help keep these types of things from […]

That’s right. You owe the government $516,000 plus another $112,000 to your own creditors. That’s a lot of debt to pay off. How did we get here and where are we going? Socionomics offers some insights and answers.

One way to identify the effects of inflation and deflation is to observe significant changes in the money supply and in producer and consumer prices. One would think that as such measures rise, experts would be concerned about increasing inflation, and as those measures fall, they might begin to fear deflation. Is that what actually happens?

How does one apply socionomic techniques to economic forecasting? A socionomist knows that the stock market is a meter of social mood, which is the engine of social progress and regress. Therefore, the current-time change in the stock market is an immensely useful indicator of upcoming economic change.

The Enron Scandal: A Case in Point. The socionomic insight is that the conventional assumption about the direction of causality between social mood and social action is not only incorrect but the opposite of what actually occurs.

Since the Great Depression, we have had immense improvements in science and technology. Given seven additional decades of data collection and progress in econometric techniques, one might presume that the forecasting tools of macroeconomics have become vastly more effective than their predecessors of 1929. Yet as recently as 1988, some leading economists went on the record about the profession’s lack of progress.

New Issue

The Socionomist enables you to see trend-shaping waves of social mood, as reflected by the stock market — and capitalize on them The February issue looks at technological forecasts and baby names. Mood Riffs topics include DNA and music. We also reveal the stories we’ll be watching in 2019. Read the February issue instantly when you join the growing ranks of Socionomics Members.

Testimonials

See What’s Happening

Professor Dennis Elam
March 13-16, 2019
The Southwest Academy of Management’s 2019 Annual Conference
Houston, TX
Presentation: “Organizational Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Enacted Environments and the Unrecognized Role of Social Mood”