Nate Cohn: “Absent a possible but unlikely last-minute shift in the polls between now and Election Day, Romney’s chances will come down to the low but existent risk that the polls are and have been completely wrong. As Senators Harry Reid and Michael Bennet can attest, the polls have been wrong before and could be wrong again. But the Romney campaign’s revival of August’s welfare attack and their recent Jeep outsourcing antics suggest that Boston’s numbers don’t show something too different, while Chicago has unwaveringly maintained that they hold a modest and clear lead in Ohio. With Obama near 49 percent and just six days to go before the polls close, Romney’s window for a comeback is getting vanishingly narrow.”

Meanwhile, 78% rate the President’s response to Hurricane Sandy as excellent or good, while 8% view it negatively. It’s good press for the President, and in fact it is good governance, but I doubt it moves the polls that much. The polls were already moving in the President’s way before the Hurricane struck, both nationally and in the battleground states.

We once again have a lot of polls today. The only major change is moving North Carolina back to a Tied status, from LEAN ROMNEY.

Key finding: 78% rate Obama’s response to the hurricane positively (as excellent or good), while just 8% see it negatively.

Erickson at Red State has an elegaic post up on the campaign, and his commenters are all locking arms and getting ready to do a Thelma and Louise. They actually used the phrase “the only poll that counts is on Election Day,” which I expect we will hear from Romney himself this weekend.

No comments along the lines of “Romney wasn’t conservative enough” – I guess they aren’t at that stage of grief yet.

My concern is this: Republican voter shenanigans like voter suppression and voter fraud in OH and FL, both states of which have a history of such, if successful, would move their combined 47 electoral votes to Romney. Combine these with NC going red, your 333 blue votes becomes 271, so that one more state, like CO or WI, elects Romney.

i agree, wagon. I also trust Rick Scott and his ilk even less than Jeb Bush. Maybe all of this “the polls are wrong, Romney is actually leading in all these states” are the set-up so when they cheat to win, there can be a big “see? he was winning the whole time” Conspiracy theory, yes….. one that has actually happened twice before? yes.

Yeah, but in that same Daily Kos post, it is shown that Obama is leading in the polling averages of Wisconsin by more than he is in Ohio. So if Ohio is gone, then so is Wisconsin. And Obama leads by nearly the same amount in New Hampshire and Colorado and Virginia. Sure, if Mitt Romney spent the next month in those states, maybe he can move the polls to his direction, but the election is Tuesday.

The Right

Archives

CONTACT DL

If you wish to contact Delaware Liberal, you can do it two ways. The first is to click the Got A Tip link at the top of the page. Or, if you would like to contact a DL contributor directly, just send an email to the contributors name (Cassandra_M, DelawareDem, Nemski or Pandora) followed by @delawareliberal.net.