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Over the last quarter I've been warning about the significant weakness in retailers and the retail real estate that most occupy (links supplied below). Now, Bloomberg reports: Manhattan Landlords Are Offering...

Note: Subscribers should reference the paywall material here for stocks that should give a good risk/reward scenario for bearish trades.
The Trump administration's legislative outlook is effectively a political desert, with...

Donald Trump's recent Tweet discusses how Russia has gotten stronger at the behest of President Obama.
For eight years Russia "ran over" President Obama, got stronger and stronger, picked-off Crimea and…

"Following Standard and Poor's announcement today that it had reduced the credit rating of ACA Financial Guaranty Corp. from "A" to "CCC", CIBC confirmed that ACA is a hedge counterparty to CIBC in respect of approximately U.S. $3.5 billion of its U.S. subprime real estate exposure."

ACA is a small player. Those guys insured by Ambac are in for a RUDE awakening. This includes several of the I banks in this article that I am commenting on. Just go through the pdf file in the Ambac analysis follow up to see who's gettin' who.

"It is not known whether ACA will continue as a viable counterparty to CIBC. Although CIBC believes it is premature to predict the outcome, CIBC believes there is a reasonably high probability that it will incur a large charge in its financial results for the First Quarter ending January 31, 2008."

"As CIBC disclosed on page 52 of its Investor Presentation dated December 6, 2007, the mark of the hedge protection from the "A-rated" counterparty (ACA) as at October 31, 2007 was U.S. $1.71 billion. As at November 30, 2007, this mark was US$2.0 billion. If the charge in the First Quarter were to be U.S. $2.0 billion (US$1.3 billion after tax) CIBC currently projects its Tier 1 capital ratio to remain in excess of 9% as at January 31, 2008."

Expect to see a lot more of this. Moody's should be ashamed of themselves for even considering AAA status for MBIA and Ambac. Institutions who are fragile, like Morgan Stanley threaten a daisy chain effect, and it may be ignited by one of the monolines.