Ipswich Race 7: Eye Liner Stakes 1350m

12/06/2015: Nite Rocker has to go on top using the Charlie Boy form line and accepting the fact that his wide all the way run last start was forgivable. He gets the gun run either leading or just lobbing on the pace. Neo has to be a top chance on his defeat of Ninth Legion three runs ago considering that horse performed well recently in strong Sydney races. He pulled up sore at this next run and was outclassed as a $151 chance in the Doomben 10000. To err is human to forgive divine so apply this to Neo and his each way odds looks value. Riva De Lago is a tough horse to follow and I question his ability to win two consecutive races in the twilight of his career but his first up win was strong. Gundy Spirit gets back, which is my main worry as per the race map, but with 5.5kg less than Smokin' Joey I believe he will sprint home better. His statistics all look good so here's another at good each way odds that shouldn't be ignored too quickly.

Ipswich Race 7.
RaceTime: AEST 16:27, 13/06/2015

RACEMAP

(Barriers)

Front Runners

Nil.

On Pacers

(1) Black Cash, (4) Nite Rocker, (5) Daph 'N' Alf, (8) Neo.

Mid Fielders

(2) Pillar Of Creation, (6) Ulmann, (9) Riva De Lago.

Get Back

(3) Tokamak, (7) Smokin' Joey, (10) Soros, (11) Gundy Spirit.

PACE COMMENTS

Amazingly my front runners are drawn next to one another and any one of them can lead depending on what happens early and who jumps best. I don't see my on pacers challenging for the lead as they will burn petrol trying to get past all three so there they sit just waiting.

CHANCES

Plus and Minus Factors

Order

Margin

Nite Rocker

PLUS: Charlie Boy form excellent, wide all way last run, three from ten good tracks, can lead.

A

0

MINUS: Hasn't won this class.

Neo

PLUS: Ninth Legion form line, forgive last two runs, three distance wins, ok good tracks, can lead.

B

0.5

MINUS: Nil.

Gundy Spirit

PLUS: Two from two track, four from ten distance, five from fifteen good tracks.

C

1

MINUS: Gets back in dodgy pace race.

Riva De Lago

PLUS: Seven distance wins, five good track wins, two wins second up, on pacer might even lead.

D

2

MINUS: Forty one race starts, seldom wins two in a row, maybe this preparation.

Smokin' Joey

PLUS: Class of race, four distance wins, six good track wins.

E

2.5

MINUS: Gets back with 59.5kg needs pace on.

RISK HORSES

RISKY

Pillar Of Creation (better wet tracker), Daph 'N' Alf (prolific winner at lesser venues), Black Cash ( struggling these days), Soros (terrific first up record but would be better first up in BM race), Ulmann (a big ask for 76 rater this level: Worthy Cause form line not for me this event).