I considered I need my 3 point for structure. But the 6 I palyed was awful. I need a spare on my 8 both for construction and for flexibility, a hit on my 2 is costly, I dont, need my 2 point, I need to extricate my straggler both for flexibility and to disengage.

Move 7 White

Pip: 189

Pip: 150

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

21/10

-0.161

2

3

21/16 13/7

-0.189 (-0.029)

3

3

24/13

-0.215 (-0.054)

Move 8 Orange

Pip: 178

Pip: 150

Cube action equity

Alert: Correct decision not to double

3-Ply

Money equity:

0.152

0.5% 13.8% 55.4% 44.6% 9.6% 0.3%

Double decision

Good enough:

0%

Too good to double:

0%

Take decision

Current Cube

Doubled Cube

Borderline

Equities

0.154

0.155

0.550

Proper cube action: No double, take

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

13/8

0.113

2

3

22/17

0.100 (-0.013)

3

3

13/9 2/1*

0.066 (-0.047)

Move 8 White

Pip: 178

Pip: 145

#

Ply

Move

Equity

1

3

13/7 10/6

-0.147

2

3

10/4 10/6

-0.197 (-0.050)

*

3

3

13/3*

-0.203 (-0.056)

Alert: Blunder (0.056)

Move 9 Orange

Pip: 168

Pip: 148

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

2

bar/22* 2/1*

0.293

2

2

bar/24 17/16(2) 2/1*

0.176 (-0.116)

3

2

bar/22* 3/2

0.169 (-0.124)

Move 9 White

Pip: 191

Pip: 144

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

1

bar/20 bar/23

-0.276

Move 10 Orange

Pip: 184

Pip: 144

Cube action equity

Alert: Correct decision not to double

3-Ply

Money equity:

0.257

0.7% 18.1% 58.0% 42.0% 8.8% 0.2%

Double decision

Good enough:

5%

Too good to double:

0%

Take decision

Current Cube

Doubled Cube

Borderline

Equities

0.263

0.264

0.557

Proper cube action: No double, take

#

Ply

Move

Equity

1

3

8/5* 6/1

0.206

*

2

3

22/14

0.176 (-0.031)

3

3

22/17 6/3

0.174 (-0.032)

I still like my purer play better. I need a flexible position and I do not care about safetying my blot on the ace point or attack whith small forces on my 5 point.

Move 10 White

Pip: 184

Pip: 136

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

20/14 13/11*

-0.128

2

3

13/11*/5

-0.145 (-0.017)

3

3

21/15 13/11*

-0.161 (-0.033)

Move 11 Orange

Pip: 176

Pip: 147

Cube action equity

Alert: Correct decision not to double

3-Ply

Money equity:

0.124

0.6% 16.0% 53.8% 46.2% 11.3% 0.4%

Double decision

Good enough:

0%

Too good to double:

0%

Take decision

Current Cube

Doubled Cube

Borderline

Equities

0.127

0.128

0.552

Proper cube action: No double, take

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

1

Can't move

0.024

Move 11 White

Pip: 176

Pip: 147

#

Ply

Move

Equity

1

3

23/14

0.004

2

3

21/15 14/11

-0.014 (-0.018)

*

3

3

14/11 10/4

-0.034 (-0.038)

Move 12 Orange

Pip: 167

Pip: 147

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

1

Can't move

-0.053

Move 12 White

Pip: 167

Pip: 147

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

23/18

-0.010

2

3

10/5

-0.024 (-0.013)

3

3

23/21 10/7

-0.024 (-0.014)

Move 13 Orange

Pip: 162

Pip: 147

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

bar/20 13/3 6/1

0.039

2

3

bar/20 13/8(3)

-0.043 (-0.081)

3

2

bar/20 13/8 8/3(2)

-0.094 (-0.133)

Move 13 White

Pip: 162

Pip: 127

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

21/20(2) 6/5*(2)

-0.081

2

3

10/9(2) 6/5*(2)

-0.115 (-0.035)

3

3

11/9(2)

-0.130 (-0.049)

Move 14 Orange

Pip: 158

Pip: 132

#

Ply

Move

Equity

1

3

bar/19

0.082

*

2

3

bar/23 8/4

0.044 (-0.038)

3

1

bar/23 17/13

-0.150 (-0.232)

Moving the back checker has merits here, but I was disgusted at leaving a blot on his platinum point.

Move 14 White

Pip: 158

Pip: 126

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

18/10

-0.047

2

2

18/16 10/4

-0.144 (-0.097)

3

3

20/14 20/18

-0.147 (-0.101)

Move 15 Orange

Pip: 150

Pip: 126

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

13/8

-0.093

2

3

6/3 6/4

-0.105 (-0.012)

3

3

4/1 3/1

-0.164 (-0.071)

Move 15 White

Pip: 150

Pip: 121

Cube action equity

Alert: Correct decision not to double

3-Ply

Money equity:

0.088

0.5% 12.3% 53.9% 46.1% 11.3% 0.4%

Double decision

Good enough:

2%

Too good to double:

0%

Take decision

Current Cube

Doubled Cube

Borderline

Equities

0.088

0.088

0.551

Proper cube action: No double, take

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

2

10/5 4/2*

-0.010

2

2

10/3

-0.115 (-0.104)

3

2

13/11 10/5

-0.119 (-0.109)

Move 16 Orange

Pip: 143

Pip: 123

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

bar/22 13/7

0.031

2

3

bar/19 13/10

-0.018 (-0.049)

3

3

bar/22 8/2

-0.086 (-0.117)

Move 16 White

Pip: 143

Pip: 114

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

10/9 5/3*/2

0.160

2

3

13/12 5/3*/2

0.149 (-0.011)

3

3

11/10 5/3*/2

0.072 (-0.088)

Move 17 Orange

Pip: 139

Pip: 117

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

2

bar/17

0.020

2

2

bar/22 7/2

-0.111 (-0.131)

3

1

bar/22 8/3

-0.318 (-0.338)

Move 17 White

Pip: 139

Pip: 109

#

Ply

Move

Equity

1

3

11/6 11/10

-0.195

2

3

9/3

-0.214 (-0.020)

*

3

3

10/5 10/9

-0.216 (-0.021)

Move 18 Orange

Pip: 133

Pip: 109

Cube action equity

Alert: Correct decision not to double

3-Ply

Money equity:

0.216

0.4% 7.8% 59.8% 40.2% 5.9% 0.3%

Double decision

Good enough:

0%

Too good to double:

0%

Take decision

Current Cube

Doubled Cube

Borderline

Equities

0.217

0.217

0.546

Proper cube action: No double, take

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

2

8/4 7/6

0.266

2

2

7/2

0.168 (-0.097)

3

2

8/4 3/2

0.134 (-0.132)

Move 18 White

Pip: 133

Pip: 104

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

11/3(2)

-0.118

2

3

9/1(2)

-0.197 (-0.079)

3

2

13/9(2) 11/7(2)

-0.220 (-0.102)

Move 19 Orange

Pip: 117

Pip: 104

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

2

17/9

0.061

2

2

6/1 4/1

-0.098 (-0.159)

3

2

17/14 6/1

-0.106 (-0.167)

Move 19 White

Pip: 117

Pip: 96

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

5/2

-0.313

2

3

9/6

-0.322 (-0.008)

3

3

9/7 5/4

-0.347 (-0.034)

Move 20 Orange

Pip: 114

Pip: 96

Cube action equity

Alert: Correct decision not to double

3-Ply

Money equity:

0.311

0.2% 6.2% 64.4% 35.6% 4.0% 0.1%

Double decision

Good enough:

8%

Too good to double:

0%

Take decision

Current Cube

Doubled Cube

Borderline

Equities

0.312

0.312

0.547

Proper cube action: No double, take

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

9/6 3/2

0.286

2

2

9/8 4/1

0.208 (-0.078)

3

2

9/6 4/3

0.207 (-0.078)

Move 20 White

Pip: 114

Pip: 92

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

2

9/3 9/4

-0.304

2

2

13/2

-0.452 (-0.148)

3

2

20/9

-0.453 (-0.149)

Move 21 Orange

Pip: 103

Pip: 92

21.

Orange

Double

White

Take

Cube action equity

Alert: Wrong double

3-Ply

Money equity:

0.343

0.3% 7.3% 65.0% 35.0% 3.2% 0.1%

Double decision

Good enough:

16%

Too good to double:

0%

Take decision

Current Cube

Doubled Cube

Borderline

Equities

0.345

0.346

0.547

Proper cube action: No double, take

I am a favorite, but 2 point contact is an easy take. Holding me from my five point gards him from gammons. Doubling here is an apparent mistake as I can double next turn more profitably.

Move 22 Orange

Pip: 103

Pip: 92

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

2

6/2

0.388

2

2

6/3 2/1

0.281 (-0.108)

3

2

6/3 4/3

0.170 (-0.218)

Move 22 White

Pip: 103

Pip: 88

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

20/18(2) 13/11(2)

-0.258

2

3

13/9(2)

-0.280 (-0.022)

3

3

20/16(2)

-0.280 (-0.022)

Move 23 Orange

Pip: 95

Pip: 88

#

Ply

Move

Equity

1

3

8/4 8/5

0.208

*

2

3

6/2 6/3

0.137 (-0.072)

3

3

6/2 4/1

0.122 (-0.086)

Alert: Blunder (0.072)

I must not destroy two assets (race and board) at the same time. If I play 8/5,8/4 only some 6s will leave a shot next turn.

Move 23 White

Pip: 95

Pip: 81

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

1

4/1 2/1

-0.032

2

1

4/1 3/2

-0.224 (-0.192)

3

1

18/15 2/1

-0.313 (-0.281)

Move 24 Orange

Pip: 91

Pip: 81

#

Ply

Move

Equity

1

3

8/3 8/6

0.134

*

2

3

6/1 3/1

0.056 (-0.078)

3

1

6/1 4/2

-0.164 (-0.297)

The same thinking applies here

Move 24 White

Pip: 91

Pip: 74

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

18/11

-0.055

2

3

11/5 11/10

-0.130 (-0.075)

3

2

11/5 3/2

-0.172 (-0.117)

Move 25 Orange

Pip: 84

Pip: 74

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

1

8/4 8/5

-0.066

2

1

17/10

-0.345 (-0.279)

3

1

8/1

-0.362 (-0.296)

Move 25 White

Pip: 84

Pip: 67

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

11/6 3/1

0.158

2

3

11/4

0.129 (-0.029)

3

3

18/16 11/6

0.054 (-0.103)

Move 26 Orange

Pip: 77

Pip: 67

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

2

5/1 4/1

-0.101

2

2

17/10

-0.288 (-0.187)

3

1

17/13 5/2

-0.624 (-0.523)

Move 26 White

Pip: 77

Pip: 60

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

11/1(2)

0.239

2

3

18/13 11/6(2) 6/1

0.164 (-0.075)

3

1

18/13 11/6 6/1(2)

-0.231 (-0.470)

Move 27 Orange

Pip: 57

Pip: 60

#

Ply

Move

Equity

*

1

3

17/9

-0.398

2

3

17/12 17/14

-0.466 (-0.068)

3

1

17/12 4/1

-0.554 (-0.157)

Move 27 White

Pip: 57

Pip: 52

White

Double

28.

Orange

Take

Cube action equity

Alert: Wrong double

3-Ply

Money equity:

0.388

0.2% 4.3% 67.3% 32.7% 0.3% 0.0%

Double decision

Good enough:

87%

Too good to double:

2%

Take decision

Current Cube

Doubled Cube

Borderline

Equities

0.391

0.380

0.568

Proper cube action: No double, take

I was nervous about my doubling mistake and my bear in mistakes, but I knew to take this. Meyburg could redouble next turn too.