Teddy_Covers's Blog

We’re two weeks into the marathon baseball season, but there
hasn’t been a lot that stands out thusfar in the standings. The Milwaukee Brewers are riding a nine game
winning streak into the new week, a ‘surprise’ team with the best current
record in baseball. And the defending
World Series champs, the Boston Red Sox, have slumped out of the gate, sitting
in last place in the AL East.

Frankly, we should expect these sorts of anomalies in early
season play – in fact we should expect more of them than we’ve seen thusfar. But there’s not much we can expect to
accomplish from riding hot teams out of the gate and fading
underachievers. Based on two weeks worth
of results, I wouldn’t recommend betting on the Brewers or against the Red Sox
on a daily basis moving forward. A hot
or cold start is not necessarily a ‘leading indicator’ for a hot or cold
season.

But MLB totals are a very different story. I’ve written several previous articles about
why I look to bet MLB totals – particularly Overs – all summer long. To summarize three key points from those
previous articles, the betting markets don’t notice streaks of Overs or Unders
at anywhere near the level that the markets notice wins and losses, making
streaks easier to ‘ride’ without laying a hefty price.

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