Comments on: Game 54: Phillies at Natshttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/
News, analysis and commentary from someone who has covered the Washington Nationals since Day 1Tue, 31 Mar 2015 20:42:01 +0000hourly1http://wordpress.com/By: JaneBhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38717
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 15:43:28 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38717Scooter, you are awesome. Mr. Consistency, you made me laugh out loud. What a great game, and great to relive this morning.
]]>By: Scooterhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38654
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 05:15:39 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38654Richard, you're probably gone, but here it is. You are absolutely right about one thing: Boswell did try to get BABIP to say a little more than it really says. But only a little.His main point was true: for almost any hitter, guessing "about .300" will get you in the neighborhood. As you add more information — the guy's speed, how many line drives he hits, and his historical BABIP — you can refine your guess. But an extreme number like .209 or .413 is just very, very unlikely to hold up. (Of course, one reason the .209 doesn't hold up is that the guy eventually gets cut. That's one potential pitfall in this kind of analysis. Selection bias at work!)Going even further, there's actually something called expected BABIP (xBABIP): punch in a guy's line drives and speed, and I forget what-all else, and it spits out what the BABIP should be. Crazy.Like any predictive stat, BABIP analysis is going to miss on some guys. But it's useful as an indicator of what's probable.
]]>By: Andrewhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38651
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 04:21:26 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38651I was there tonight. The Phillies fans were leaving by the thousands in the 7th inning. It was a great sight to behold!Real fun game!
]]>By: Golfersalhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38648
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 03:55:56 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38648Went to my first game since the Giants. Shocked that if you listen to the radio you hear fireworks like we are use to.But the real fireworks are gone, supposedly according to Phil Wood the neighborhood complained and forced the Nats to stop the fireworks, thus we have the submarine call. But what bothers me is the "fake" fireworks on the radio, sorry that is a all time low and makes me mistrust the good folks that put in fake effects.Sorry, wonder if anyone else is miffed over this?Great game tonight, wish the Nats could package what this did tonightOn the All-star game, yes Espinosa looks like a good choice, but if Morse continues his hot bat he could be the guy.Just some thoughts
]]>By: FShttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38647
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 03:25:47 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38647Let us not forget that Lannan is pitching tomorrow. I was so happy about tonight's win until I saw Lannan and Phillies in the same sentence at Nats' website.
]]>By: skidgehttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38646
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 03:02:19 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38646Happy happy. That's all for now!
]]>By: Mr. Consistencyhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38644
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:58:01 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38644I'm glad they didn't fire Eckstein last night. I'll let you all know after tomorrow's game if they should fire him today.
]]>By: Richardhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38642
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:54:26 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38642The Boz article re Espinoza's unusually low BABIP and the mention of same above for Rick Ankiel has me wondering whether this stat, though interesting, can be misleading. For example, a guy who hits a lot of flyballs and pop-ups would have a low BABIP, period, vs. a line-drive hitter. Ankiel vs. Espinoza. So we'd have to ask what kind of a hitter a guy was before the stat becomes meaningful, right? Boz used it like it's useful without further analysis, which could render the stat not all that useful.
]]>By: Manassas Nats Fanhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38640
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:40:41 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38640I missed the prediction od 3-2. I had the Phillies right though.
]]>By: Nationals "Rapture" Sharkhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38639
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:27:24 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38639Rick Ankiel looked mighty appetizing after another double-seaweed 0 for 2 night at the plate but Interim Jim always swims fast to rescue him … he won't abandon him.
]]>By: Brutushttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38638
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:20:02 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38638Down with caesar! I heard there was a revolution! Fire Riggleman!What? Not tonight? Oh. Never mind then.
]]>By: Navy Nats Fanhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38637
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:12:35 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38637Old Tar – I'm a bubblehead too – four tours on the boats and still on active duty. Every time I hear it I get chills (or as Chris Matthews would say, a tingle runs up my leg). Plus it means something good just happened!
]]>By: Anonymoushttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38636
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:09:36 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38636Yeah, really brilliant: the Nats' bats woke up because the players read Boz's chat. Brilliant.Speaking of negative … but that's not unexpected from a wonk.
]]>By: Anonymoushttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38635
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:08:08 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38635Yeah, really brilliant: the Nats' bats woke up because the players read Boz's chat. Brilliant.Perhaps not dude. But bet ya a C-note NatsPR straight away and clued in Riggleman and Rizzo. Have to think Riggleman said something to this team before the game … but then again …
]]>By: A DC Wonkhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38634
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:04:33 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38634Yeah, really brilliant: the Nats' bats woke up because the players read Boz's chat. Brilliant.
]]>By: Nationals "Rapture Day" Sharkhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38632
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:01:00 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38632No Stairs … sigh back to the murky depths to await Matty Stair's eventual return!
]]>By: fpcstevehttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38631
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 02:00:10 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38631Unless I'm mistaken, every starter including the SP has at least one hit. The hitting looks like it is starting to warm up. I'm not a Morse fan, but he ought to be getting all of the PT at 1B for the forseeable future. The Phillies came to town, and we got better. You can't make this up.
]]>By: Anonymoushttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38630
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 01:59:04 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38630You are neither…But Boz might be … I think the invasion of the Phillie Phans made the old-time DC native extra feisty. I like it … and it appears to have awoken the Nats offense at least for one night.
]]>By: BowieNathttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38629
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 01:58:15 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-3862910-2 wow, we can do that! Why not more often? PS – No Stairs….
]]>By: A DC Wonkhttp://natsinsider.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats/comment-page-1/#comment-38628
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 01:56:19 +0000http://natsinsider.wordpress.com/2011/05/31/game-54-phillies-at-nats#comment-38628Memo from Pudge to DC fans: I'm _still_ not dead yet.
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