“The surprise announcement that Donald Trump would visit Mexico on Wednesday triggered a deluge of negative reactions here, with many Mexicans criticizing their president for inviting a U.S. candidate who has vowed to seal the border with a wall and deport millions of immigrants,” the Washington Post reports.

“The meeting poses a great risk for Peña Nieto, a former governor and the most unpopular Mexican president in decades. In the best of times, Mexicans feel conflicted about their neighbors to the north. In Trump, many Mexicans see the embodiment of their worst gringo fears: an overbearing and insulting politician happy to trod all over the poorer neighbor to get his way.”

“The super PAC has joined with The Latino Victory Project, El Super Pac Voto Latino and People for the American Way’s Latinos Vote! to air more than $3 million worth of Spanish language TV and radio ads in Florida and Nevada, the groups announced on Wednesday.”

Police say a woman walked into Rep. Danny Davis’ (D-IL) office on Chicago’s West Side, drank out of a bottle of hand sanitizer, poured the sanitizer over herself and set herself on fire with a lighter, the AP reports.

Dan Drezner: “The question is why it is happening. As I’ll explain in a moment, there are so many ways this can go wrong that it boggles the mind. Remember Mitt Romney’s disastrous overseas trip in 2012? Scott Walker’s bumbling overseas trip in early 2015? Multiply that by a factor of 10 and that’s how badly this could go.”

FiveThirtyEight: “Running our polls-only model using only live-interview surveys, Clinton leads Trump by 7 points and has an 86% chance of winning. Running it with only nonlive-interview polls, Clinton leads Trump by 5 points and has a 71% chance of winning.”

Lynn Vavreck: “There is no reason to speculate about whether nominating Donald Trump has cost the Republican Party support in this presidential election. There is plenty of data to demonstrate that it has.”

Politico: “After weeks of Brooklyn telegraphing a competitive race in traditionally red states and making public moves that look like initial investments — boosting staff, holding fundraisers, and promising more investments — Trump is now campaigning in Arizona, which has voted Republican in 15 of the last 16 elections, while his running mate goes to Georgia, a state that’s gone red in seven of the last eight cycles.”

“That’s a deployment of precious resources away from swing states that Trump must win to make the Electoral College math work in his favor.”

Hours after a dominating primary win, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) sent a Wednesday morning challenge to Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-FL): face off in six live televised debates, including one on Spanish-language TV, Politico reports.

“In challenging his rival, Rubio is cutting against the conventional wisdom for winning campaigns, which usually seek to minimize on-stage debates with trailing rivals. Rubio has led Murphy in the last nine polls taken since July 1.”

“That’s the worst image Clinton has had in her quarter-century in national public life. Her previous low favorable rating this year was in July, when it was 42 percent, lower than any mark in historical Post-ABC polls except a few points in the 1990s when a large share of the public had no opinion of her. Her previous high for unfavorable views was in June, when 55 percent disliked Clinton.”

“Donald Trump winning the Republican presidential nomination is the biggest surprise of the election season, but GOP senators’ success in primaries has to be a close second,” Roll Call reports.

“Two years after Pat Roberts, Thad Cochran and Mitch McConnell labored through competitive primaries, four years after Richard Lugar lost his primary in Indiana, and six years after Bob Bennett and Lisa Murkowski lost their primaries, this year’s class of GOP senators have not only survived, but thrived in intra-party contests.”

“Donald Trump is considering jetting to Mexico City on Wednesday for a meeting with Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto, just hours before he delivers a high-stakes speech in Arizona to clarify his views on immigration policy,” the Washington Post reports.

“Peña Nieto invited both Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton to visit Mexico last Friday… Trump, sensing an opportunity, decided over the weekend to accept the invitation and push for a visit this week, according to the people familiar with the discussions.”

Bloomberg: “The trip is a go unless the Secret Service nixes it for safety reasons, a campaign aide said, though Trump has often changed plans without warning.”

About Political Wire

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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