Friday, 19 September 2014

Tropical Storm "Fung-Wang"

I often find that the CWB's forecasts and predictions are wrong. I also often find that they are right, but I haven't bothered to collate the data to get a sense of overall accuracy. Among their forecast errors in particular, I have found the CWB to be occassionally wrong about the impact of typhoons; I have known several that were predicted to bring strong winds and rain, but which brough little of either. In any case, when they are warning about a possible typhoon making landfall it is probably best to play it safe and assume their predictions are correct. I do not want to be struggling in gale force winds in second gear on my motorbike on the side of a mountain somewhere up in Nantou.