I still think they will both be dead in five years. Sorry for being a pessimist, but once downloads and servers take off, in full 1080p with uncompressed audio, they are done. A few stalwarts like myself will keep players for both formats or universal players for the discs we own, but most people will simple download their content.

Look at the new MacBook Air, NO optical drive..... Some might think it's crazy, but it is likely the wave of the future.