Ed. The WinProbability for Green Bay has been revised downward since Tuesday morning. Ranks, expected points, and confidence intervals have been revised accordingly. 11/5/2013 12:53 PST

Game

Victor

Win Probability

Confidence

Washington@Minnesota

Washington

56.8%

5

Seattle@Atlanta

Seattle

64.4%

8

Detroit@Chicago

@Chicago

50.7%

1

Philadelphia@Green Bay

@Green Bay

54.8%

3

Jacksonville@Tennessee

@Tennessee

84.0%

14

St. Louis@Indianapolis

@Indianapolis

77.8%

13

Oakland@N.Y. Giants

@N.Y. Giants

70.9%

12

Buffalo@Pittsburgh

@Pittsburgh

61.8%

7

Cincinnati@Baltimore

Cincinnati

54.8%

2

Carolina@San Francisco

@San Francisco

68.8%

9

Houston@Arizona

@Arizona

57.2%

6

Denver@San Diego

Denver

70.1%

11

Dallas@New Orleans

@New Orleans

68.9%

10

Miami@Tampa Bay

Miami

55.1%

4

Possible points:

105

Expected:

72.3

Likely range:

48 to 94

The table lists WinThatPool’s recommended Confidence pool picks for this week. If you want to maximize your chance of winning a year-end payout, use these picks. (If you want to maximize your chance of winning a weekly prize, you should deviate from one or more of these picks.)

Below the top table is a summary of the possible points available this week, the expected points from these Confidence weights, and the likely range (90% confidence interval) of possible points.

Win Probabilities could have changed since being posted.Note the date/time stamp of this post.