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According to the National Hurricane Center, the broad area of low pressure is moving toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

Cloudiness and showers associated with the system are showing signs of organization and a tropical depression could form before the disturbance reaches the Yucatan Peninsula on Thursday.

After that, the NHC said the system is expected to move over the Gulf of Mexico where upper-level winds will likely be less favorable for development.

The system has a high chance -- 70 percent -- of forming into a tropical cyclone in the next two days and a 80 percent chance over the next five days.

Regardless of whether the or not a tropical cyclone forms, the center said, heavy rain and gust winds are forecast to spread over the Yucatan Peninsula and Belize during the day or two.

The path this system will take is still uncertain since it's not a tropical cyclone as of Wednesday afternoon.

In addition, the ultimate intensity is not immediately known due to the lack of organization. Models depict anything from an open wave to tropical storm developing over the next five days, and without true center for the models to initialize of off, there will continue to be uncertainty when it comes to the intensity forecast.

If this disturbance becomes a tropical storm it will be named Erin -- the fifth named storm of the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season.

Across the Atlantic Ocean near the west coast of Africa, another area of low pressure is being monitored by the NHC.

That system had a 80 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone on Wednesday.

The center said conditions are favorable for additional development during the next two days.

However, the conditions don't appear to remain conducive for the disturbance to remain organized. The center said the system will enter a "less favorable environment," which will limit its development.

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