Wednesday, August 7, 2013

Financial Analysis

It is a method used to evaluate the viability of a proposed project by assessing the value of net cash flows that result from its implementation. Such analysis are routinely carried out in private and public sectors. Private sector uses it to assess whether investment projects are commercially profitable or not. In public sector financial analysis is conducted to sold and charges imposed e.g. light urban rail, water charges, electricity charges etc. This analysis helps to assess the budgetary impact of project, for appraising PPP (Private Public Partnership) projects, large projects with complex financing structures and for assessing net return of projects developed by commercial semi-state companies.

Purpose of financial analysis

Identifying and estimating financial cash flows

Assessing financial sustainability

Determining that part of investment cost which won't be recovered by net revenue

Assessing the funding sources such as public, private and donor partners for projects and examining the return on capital

Economic Analysis

An economic analysis such as Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) typically considers all the social and economic impacts on society and not just the cash flows directly affecting the sponsoring body. This analysis is mainly used by the public sector in order to focus on net benefit for society.

Purpose of economic analysis

Assessing the short to medium term determinants of price developments.

To find out real activity and financial conditions in the economy.

To analysis the effects on cost and pricing behavior.

Why are private sectors interested in financial analysis and public sector in economic analysis?

Private sectors are just profit oriented so they are interested in financial analysis but public sector are more responsible for quality service, improvement of nationalities/citizen's work rather than profit, so public sector focuses on an economic analysis to broadly survey on people's social and economic status.

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Best (Optimal) combination of debt and equity in capital structure management

Capital structure refers to the mixture of equity and debt finance used by the company to finance its assets. Companies may use different mixes. Some companies could be all equity financed and have no debt at all, even though others could have low levels of equity and high levels of debt.

The biggest questions on capital structure are that do structuring of capital matters for the value of organization? Whether capital structuring has any relevancy for organization's value or it is just irrelevant matter? Such type of decisions as what mixture of equity and debt capital is to have is called the financing decision.

The financing decision has a direct effect on the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). The WACC is the simple weighted average of the cost of equity and the cost of debt. The weightings are in proportion to the market values of equity and debt; therefore, as the proportions of equity and debt vary so will the WACC. Therefore the first major point to understand is that, as a company changes its capital structure (i.e. varies the mixture of equity and debt finance), it will automatically result in a change in its WACC. Latest and well agreed objective of corporate finance is maximizing shareholder's wealth. And wealth is the present value of future cash flows discounted at the investors' required return, the market value of a company is equal to the present value of its future cash flows discounted by its WACC. The lower the WACC, the higher the market value of the company because market value of the firm is calculated as future cash flows divided by WACC.

Hence for optimal or best capital structure we need lowest WACC because when the WACC is minimal, the value of the company/shareholder wealth is highest. So, finance managers make effort to find the optimal capital structure that result in the lowest WACC.

Now another big question is that what mixture of equity and debt will result in the lowest WACC. As the WACC is a simple average between the cost of equity and the cost of debt, one may simply think that the less of expensive one is to be increased the high costly should be decrease. It means that debt capital should be increased as cost of debt is cheaper than cost of equity because debt is less risky than equity and thus required return needed to compensate the debt investors is less than the required return needed to compensate the equity investors. Debt is less risky than equity, as the payment of interest is often a fixed amount and compulsory in nature and it is paid in priority to the payment of dividends, which are in fact discretionary in nature. Another reason why debt is less risky than equity is in the event of liquidation, debt holders would receive their capital repayment before shareholders as they are higher in the creditor hierarchy, as shareholders are paid out last. Debt is also cheaper than equity from a company's perspective is because of the different corporate tax treatment of interest and dividends. In profit and loss account, interest is subtracted before the tax is calculated; thus, companies get tax relief on interest. However, dividends are subtracted after the tax is calculated; therefore, companies don't get any tax relief on dividends. So, it's better to replace expensive equity with cheaper debt to reduce WACC. However, issuing more debt means that more interest is paid out of profits before shareholders can get paid their dividends. The increased interest payment increases the volatility of dividend payments to shareholders, because if the company has a poor year, the increased interest payments must still be paid, which may have an effect the company's ability to pay dividends. This increase in the volatility of dividend payment to shareholders is also called an increase in the financial risk to shareholders. If financial risk to shareholders increases, they will require a greater return to compensate them for this increased risk, thus the cost of equity will increase and this will lead to an increase in the WACC.

In summary, when trying to find the lowest WACC, we may issue more debt to replace expensive equity; this reduces WACC but more debt also increases WACC due to increase in financial risk.

Financial Derivative

A derivative is a financial contract, between two or more parties, which is derived from the future value of an underlying/existing asset. Derivatives are financial assets and can be used as an item of investment portfolio. The following figure shows the asset classification with derivatives. Generally, the transactions on derivatives are carried out through private contact and in over-the-counter market but there are also exist some organized market for some derivatives securities like option exchange, future exchange etc.

Why are they called derivatives?

Because financial derivatives derive its value from the value of underlying entities such as an asset, index or interest rate which has no intrinsic value in itself.

Main features of derivative instruments

Option:

An option is a contract between two parties wherein one party grants the right to another party to purchase or sell specified asset at specified price on or before certain exercise date. The buyer pays the seller a fee called the option premium, which is also known as initial price of option. The seller grants the right to buy or sell the asset at a fixed price. The asset on which the option contract is made is called the underlying asset. Option contract is a financial asset and can be sold in market. There are organized option exchanges to facilitate and guarantee the performance of each party's in the contract.

Types of options

1. Call options and put options:

A call option gives the holder of the option the right to buy an asset by a certain date for a certain price. A put option gives the holder of the option the right to sell an asset by a certain date for a certain price.

2. American and European options:

Features

The buyer has right to buy or sell the asset.

To acquire the right of an option, the buyer must pay a price called option price or premium.

The exercise price is also called fixed price or strike price or strike and is determined at the beginning of the transaction.

The expiration date is final date that the option holder has to exercise his right to buy or sell the underlying asset.

There are organized option exchanges to facilitate and guarantee the performance of each party's in the contract.

Swap

A swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange sets of cash flows over a period in the future. The payments from one party to another are based on some specific principal amount. One party pays certain percent of this amount and another party pays another percent on this amount at each payment date. This amount is called notional principal. The parties that agree to swap the cash flows are known as counter parties.

Types of Swap

1.Interest rate swap

2.Currency swap

3.Equity swap

Features

•Swap contract involves the payments on different dates.

•The date on which the swap contract is entered into is known as initiation date.

•The date on which the swap contract terminates is called termination date.

•The dates on which payments occurs are called the settlement dates.

•The period between settlement dates is called the settlement period.

Futures:

Future contract or futures are exchange-traded derivatives with standardized terms. That means futures trading is organized around the concept of a futures exchange. A futures exchange is normally a corporate entity comprised of member.

Features

Future contracts are standardized in terms of quantity, expiration date and settlement procedures. Only price is negotiated and maturity dates are limited.

Future contracts are more liquid than forwarded contracts.

There is less default risk in the futures contract because the exchanges clearing house guarantees all payments of profits.

It needs security deposits initially and marking to the market regularly.

Nature of financial sector reform in Nepal

Nepalese economy was liberalized since mid 1980's. Even though, Nepal Bank Limited (NBL) in 1937 was the first bank in Nepal that provided financial services to the general public. Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB), the central bank of Nepal was established in 1956 under the NRB act 1955. Nepal Arab Bank Limited was the first joint-venture bank of Nepal established in 1984, under the Government's liberalized policy. After then, three institutions of diverse nature were established under the full ownership of Government of Nepal. They were Nepal Industrial Development Corporation (NIDC in 1959), Rastriya Banijya Bank (RBB in 1966) and Agriculture Development Bank, Nepal (ADB/N in 1968). Weak supervisory and policy measures failed to address the fundamental problems of three state-owned banks (NBL, RBB and ADB/N). So, it is realized to revitalize, reform and modernizing the financial sector because a large pie of the financial sector is accounted by NBL, RBB and ADB/N. The share of NBL and RBB was 43.7% and 39.4% in the entire commercial banking sector deposit and lending activities in 2002.

Need of financial sector reform in Nepal

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Performance Audit Report May 17, 1995 concluded the basic causes of weakness of financial sectors as:

a.The lack of commitment by the Government

b.No significant changes in the managerial culture to ensure professionalism, autonomy and accountability

c.Fundamental reforms to achieve a major improvement in financial and operational performance of the banks were not specified

Similarly, KPMG/Barents study 1999/2000 was performed to find out the actual position of NBL and RBB

a.Bank's management basically dysfunctional (बेकार)

b.No reliable data on loan portfolio

c.Financial accounting is primitive and not in international standards

d.Business strategies are not in place

e.Human resource policy is weak and counterproductive

f.MIS and record keeping are very basic

g.Governance and management are politically driven

Implications of financial sector reform in Nepal

To develop a healthier financial sector in Nepal, the Second Financial Sector Restructuring Project (SFSRP) was approved by World Bank board by March 9, 2004. The four components of this project are:-

1.Voluntary Retirement Schemes

2.Hiring of Sales Advisors

3.On-going Nepal Rastra Bank Re-engineering

4.Management Team Support

After completion of this project, right now the current status of NBL and RBBL are as follows:-

NBL

It is under the reform program since 2058 Chaitra 1st

It consists 116 computerized and network branches

2790 employees as in 2069 B.S.

Issues 1:9.5 right shares to comply with the capital regulation for commercial banks

Government's proportion in right share amounting to NPR. 1392.4451 million has already been received

RBBL

Professional management team started to work since Jan 16, 2003

141 network branches having Pumori III CBS System

2600 employees are working

Recent capital adequacy ratio is -2.44%

Government's proportion in right share amounting to NPR. 1392.4451 million has already been received

Sunday, August 4, 2013

Financial Statement Analysis

It is a process of understanding the risk and profitability of a company by analyzing reported financial information, especially annual and quarterly reports. Financial statement analysis is a study about accounting ratios among various items included in the balance sheet such as asset utilization ratios, profitability ratios, leverage ratios, liquidity ratios and valuation ratios. Financial statement analysis can also define as a quantifying method for determining the past, current and prospective performance of a company.

Advantages:

1.It provides ideas to investors to decide on investing their funds in a particular company or not.
2.Ensuring a company that it is following required accounting standards or not.
3.It is helpful to the government agencies in analyzing taxes on any firm.
4.To analyze a company's performance over a specific time period.

Thursday, August 1, 2013

Perfect Competition

It
is the market structure in which there are large number of buyers and sellers
of a homogeneous product. So, an individual buyer or seller doesn't have market
power. It is extreme case of competitive structure in which each firm has zero
market power i.e. the firm is only price taker.

Features/Assumptions of Perfect Competition

1.Large number of sellers and buyers

2.Product homogeneity of every firms

3.Free entry and exit of firms

4.Profit maximization is the main objective of all firms

5.No government regulation

6.Perfect mobility of factors of production

7.Perfect knowledge of market among the sellers and buyers

Differences between Perfect Competition and Monopoly

Perfect Competition

No. of sellers and buyers are very large i.e. infinite. The price of commodity is determined by the market forces of demand and supply and firm is price taker.

Both AR and MR are represented by a same straight line parallel to output axis. i.e. the demand curve of a firm is perfectly elastic.

In equilibrium MC=MR=AR

In equilibrium MC must cut MR by its rising part.

In long-run, there is normal profit to the firms due to free entry and exit of the firms in the industry.

The long run equilibrium rests on AR=MR=LAC=LMC=SAC=SMC=P

Monopoly

Only one firm. The firm behaves as industry and monopolist has right to fix the price level as he leaves the market to determine the quantity of output.

Both AR and MR fall downward from left to right and AR>MR. The demand curve shows higher the price lower the demand.

In equilibrium MC=MR and AR>MR

In equilibrium MC may cut MR by its rising, falling or constant part.

In long run, there is super normal profit due to strong barrier to entry of new firms.

The long run equilibrium rests on SMC=LMC=MR

Monopolistic

No. of sellers and buyers are large but smaller than in perfect competition. The price of commodity is determined by the market forces of demand and supply and firm is price taker. However, the market power is lower than as in monopoly but higher than as in perfect competition.

Both AR and MR fall downward from left to right and AR>MR. The demand curve shows higher the price lower the demand.

In equilibrium MC=MR and AR>MR

In equilibrium MC curve cuts MR curve from below.

In long-run, there is only normal profit to the firms and no firm can get super normal profit. It's due to free entry of the firms in the industry.

The long run equilibrium rests on LMC=MR and Price (AR) = LAC but > LMC