Sunday, January 2, 2011

NIFTY AT 20000 IN 2020

---NSE launched Nifty Index on 3rd Nov.1995 with base Index at 1000.---From that year I have tried to find return on nifty index and compare it with actual closing so as to judge the expected future return on our investment.---During 1995 to 2000, I have expected 12% Return as our GDP growth during that period was around 4-5%.---During 2001-2005, I have expected 13% return as our GDP growth increased to 5-7%.---During 2006 to 2010, I have increased return expectation to 14% as our GDP growth increased to 8-9%.---Now from 2011 to 2015, I have scaled down return expectation to 13% for no reason.---Same way from 2016 to 2020, I have further scaled down to 12 % return expectation.---Please note that this analysis is usefull for long term investors only.

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