@TheSleepingGiant
Yeah players like Verratti etc potentially is who I'm thinking. But there's probably a few cheaper players I think they'll let go. they'll try to keep as many bigs names as possible.
Could certainly be some value there though with who they might decide to let go.

@FranklynMary yes and we have seen some of the twitteratti try and use this to cause a panic sell. Last time I noticed it I think they got badly burned as it was morata and he was already low value so I think loads of people started buying and they cancelled in 5 mins.

I know its not transfers but ings is another example. He bounced 30p off the back of it being announced he would play.

That is utterly illogical... he couldnt win media and had a very low chance of winning pb and would probably drop after .... its the same thing , people thought he shoukd rise so he did. People who bought at 75p and sold at 85p will have bought something overpriced but still made money.

Ive said it before .... there is nothing wrong with buying something worth 30p for 60p if you can sell it for 90p.

Getting out at right time is essential though ...

%100 agee mate and i know we haven't always in the past but thats irrelevant, people on the index always buy into not sure best way to put it, but pointless irrelevant short term news, like ibra ibrahimovic probably the best example i dont need to go into break down, or another good exile bit a bit different, Tops tip today (not saying it was bad or good thats irrelevant to my point ) the guy rose 18p on the back of Tom tipping him to be in for a good chance of PB tonight, rough math this i a ball part figure, he has a 1/20 chance of winning 4p maybe 6p yet people have bought in at 18p in last 24hrs, wheres the logic (unless am missing a transfer rumour,) so at any point you both in and have had a 6p raise that is more than what you could win on PB, that he will probable not win, why in a million years would you not sell sell sell. maybe that was semi off topic apologies if so.

I see Toby Alderweireld has a safe haven currency of football.... I only hold 60 of him now after making good profit. However he’s about 6/4 to go to united and will be in the Belgium squad a Spurs defender Sanchez or Jan both worth £1.70 without transfer talk so at what £1.80 he seems safe being the best of the three a good World Cup and a transfer will help his price rise... any signs of Barca or Madrid and sell before the bubble rises and gets ready to pop he’s only a defender remember and rule of thumb would be like for like with VVD so maybe upto £2-75 and popping back to £1-75 £2 he may get back to three quid if he performs like a otimendi too

Lewandowski is a tricky one.... Based on ability, goalscoring record, being consistently his team & countries top player and one of the world's greatest strikers... He should be worth a lot more than he is.... But being 30 this year and being at Boring Brian Munchen people just don't lump on like they would a younger more fashionable and sell-able model...

I actually think the dynamics of Football Index is changing (previously nobody would look at a player coming to the latter years of his career) and this bigger interest in 'todays' market makes Lewandoski a lot more attractive. A good World Cup for Poland perhaps? Remember your cap is three years so whilst Lewandowski should play for Bayern next season, who's to say he won't get a move within the three years? Now whether that be China, USA or England will have a massive reflection on his price... But I could certainly imagine Mourinho tapping him up for United and having a short Sheringhamesque stint at Old Trafford that would probably soar his value (like it did with Zlatan & Lukaku) to double what it is now??

As for Firmino.... I think he's a steady hold but he's in that 'boring' category for me... He's not his clubs best player, but the second or third best player and that's why he don't get the buzz he deserves... Because he plays for a 'buzz' club any move overseas will have a negative effect... Will he go up in value if his form continues though? Yes, probably. But there are players around the £1 mark that would also do the same and you can get more of them for your money?

I really don't think there will be that many three-year-old shares around. I've been on less than three months and have sold all the first shares I bought already. If FI communicate upcoming expiry properly it might even have the opposite effect: a few people who bought shares early on and forgot about the whole thing might log on to see their shares have considerably increased in value and decide to become active traders again ...

Wouldn't say that the players left in Europe or those expected to go well at WC are over valued at all... The prices are rising due to reduced player pools for PB (CL for instance gives treble PB for two games - 12p forward div might be between two players). Future value is inherently linked to expect dividend return, I think we can all agree on that? So it therefore follows that Griezmann for example is worth every penny of his £6 buy price. Whether or not he was £5 last monfh is irrelevant because the price increase is driven by the fundamental market condition i.e. access to increased dividends? If a player is considered to be overpriced, yet increases by 20% in a month I think that the rationale behind the first statement is wrong. But to answer the your question I fully intend on milking Kane dry until the wc at which point I will be getting rid! Was too risky at that point but until then he's gonna give a nice return, certainly more than these huge spreads that are theorised (BTW Neymars spread after his injury, about 50p, was 4.5%... Walker Peters is currently 6.5% while De Ligts is 5.6%).

You do make good points, however I am going to challenge your example not so much the example more the player you chose, So we have 2 players in similar positions (ok one has no WC) IMO who are about to change directions and positions on the price scale Griezman has topped out at £6,only the last 8 of the CL and WC are propping that price up, and is 1/2 on to join Barcelona suggesting its all but done, his price will start falling (just look at Coutinho) then we have Gareth Bale also in the last 8 of the CL, ok no WC but his strong links to UTD and other top English clubs will see his price cross over and over take Griezmans. Maybe I have gone off topic there, if so apologies.

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