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Friday, May 26, 2017

Tropical Cyclone Likely to Form in Bay of Bengal; Potential Threat to Bangladesh, Myanmar

Jon Erdman
Published: May 26,2017
A tropical cyclone is expected
to form in the Bay of Bengal this weekend and may eventually pose a
danger to Bangladesh, Myanmar and perhaps parts of eastern India by
early next week.
Currently, convection is festering near a broad area of low pressure, dubbed Invest 94B in the central Bay of Bengal.
(MORE: Hurricane Central)

Current Infrared Satellite Image

With
little wind shear overhead, and warm water, it appears probable Invest
94B will organize into a depression first, then into what is locally
known as a cyclonic storm, the equivalent of a tropical storm, by
Sunday. Once it develops, it will gain the name "Mora."
(MORE: What is an Invest?)
Beyond
that, assuming it forms, the tropical cyclone would likely get pulled
north by the upper-level steering winds. On that course, the
intensifying cyclone could make landfall later Monday or Tuesday in
Bangladesh or Myanmar.
The threat of torrential, flooding rainfall
is most certain along, north and to the east of the track of this
future tropical cyclone, including Bangladesh, northeast India and
western Myanmar, if not more of that country.
(MORE: Heavy Rain Triggers Deadly Sri Lanka Landslides)

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