Production prospects look broadly favourable for Ethiopian agriculture over the long term. This will largely be due tomore investment in the sector along with higher incomes contributing to consumption growth. We believe that the sugar sector hasthe most potential, as investments in new sugar refineries will make sugar one of the few reliable agricultural exports over theforecast period. Even with recent multinational interest in the country's farmland, Ethiopia is most likely to remain a net grainsimporter over the medium term.