AMD’s first Financial Analyst Day since 2017 has just wrapped up. In the last three years AMD has undergone a dramatic change, launching its Zen CPU architecture, and greatly improving the trajectory of a company that was flirting with bankruptcy a few years ago. And now that AMD’s foundation is once again secure, the company has gathered to once again talk to its loyal (and looking at stock prices, now much richer) investors and how it’s planning to use this success to push into bigger and better things.

We’ve been covering FAD 2020 throughout the afternoon, and we have seen AMD make a number of announcements and roadmap reveals throughout the event. The individual announcements are below, and meanwhile now that the event has wrapped up we want to provide a quick summary of what AMD is going to be up to over the next five years.

The big takeaway from the financial side of AMD is of course that the company is profitable. After at one point having more debts than cash, careful spending on AMD’s part along with the success of their Zen CPUs and recent GPUs has lifted AMD’s fortunes greatly. The company is now consistently profitable, revenues are growing, and at the same time it’s able to deliver results to shareholders while still using their new success to increase investments in critical R&D.

As a result, the AMD of 2020 is a much different company than the AMD of 2017. Instead of needing to survive, as was the case in 2017, AMD in 2020 gets to thrive. And as a result CEO Dr. Lisa Su is looking to taking AMD on to bigger and better things; to leverage AMD’s strengths to grow the company’s market share and take advantage of new opportunities, all while continuing her successful strategy of focused execution.

The big focus here (though far from sole) is on the data center market. Long the breadbasket of Intel and increasingly NVIDIA as well, it’s a highly profitable market that continues to grow. And it’s a market that slipped away from AMD, and which they’re now clawing back on the strength of their EPYC processors. Over the next 5 years AMD wants to take a much bigger piece of the total data center pie, and in fact the company expects to cross 10% market share of data center CPUs this next quarter. Which, by our reckoning, would be the first time they've hit that kind of market share in a decade (if not more), showing just how much things have changed for AMD.

The biggest tool here of course will be pushing the envelope with future EPYC processors. Showing off an extended roadmap for EPYC processors that goes out to AMD’s Zen 4 CPU architecture, the company is hard at work on its Milan and Genoa. Genoa in particular is a hot topic, as the United States Dept. of Energy just selected it to be used as the CPU in the forthcoming, 2 exaflop El Capitan supercomputer.

And the GPU? A part based on AMD’s forthcoming CDNA 2 compute GPU architecture.

Revealed today as part of AMD’s roadmaps, CDNA is AMD’s new designation for their compute-focused GPU architecture. A successor of sorts of the GCN architecture used in previous server GPUs like Vega 20, AMD’s server GPUs are now a distinct family separate from AMD’s RDNA architecture and the consumer GPUs that come from that branch of the family. By focusing on compute features, machine learning performance, and multi-GPU scalability, AMD has ambitious plans for their server GPU architecture. The CDNA family will see its first dedicated GPU released later this year, while GPUs based on the CDNA 2 architecture are due by the end of 2022.

Along with great GPU performance, the other big upgrade for the CDNA family is incorporating AMD’s Infinity Architecture (née Infinity Fabric). Already extensively used in AMD’s EYPC CPUs, the interconnect technology is coming to AMD’s GPUs, where it will play a part both in AMD’s multi-GPU efforts, as well as AMD’s grander plans for heterogeneous computing. With the third generation of the technology scheduled to offer full CPU/GPU coherency, allowing for a single unified memory space, the Infinity Architecture will be how AMD leverages both their CPU and GPU architectures to secure even bigger wins by using them together.

And not to be left out of all of this are AMD’s consumer products. While admittedly not receiving quite the same focus today as their server products – there isn’t quite the same opportunity for profit growth – AMD is hard at work for new consumer CPUs and GPUs.

On the GPU side of matters, AMD dropped a few more details on their previously revealed RDNA 2 architecture. With GPUs (and game consoles) using the architecture due to arrive later this year, RDNA 2 and the Navi 2X GPUs based on it will offer a mix of new features and efficiency improvements. With regards to features, the updated architecture will add hardware ray tracing as well as variable rate shading, closing the feature gap with rival NVIDIA. Meanwhile AMD is touting a 50% improvement in performance-per-watt, a sizable jump in efficiency that would be on par with the original RDNA architecture.

And AMD is aiming high, as well. After playing second-fiddle to NVIDIA for the past few years in terms of the performance of their top GPUs, AMD is planning to offer video cards with top-tier performance, capable of delivering “uncompromising” 4K gaming. AMD’s rivals won’t be standing still, of course, but AMD believes they have the technology and the energy efficiency needed to deliver the extreme performance that enthusiasts are looking for.

Following RDNA 2 will be RDNA 3. AMD isn’t saying much about the architecture other than that the chips for it will be the Navi 3X family, but it will iterate on RDNA2 by delivering even greater improvements in performance and efficiency. The architecture is slated to use a new process node – so not the 7nm variant used in RDNA 2 – but AMD is not disclosing that node at this time, opting to simply label it as “advanced node.” RDNA 3 GPUs will show up by the end of 2022.

As for AMD’s consumer CPUs, as mentioned previously, the development of their Zen 3 CPU architecture remains on track. So fourth generation Ryzen processors based on the updated CPU architecture are expected by the end of this year (though, we suspect, after Zen 3 ships for EPYC).

Finally, along with specific product updates, AMD also talked briefly about some of their general technology focuses over the next 5 years. As Moore’s Law is continuing to slow down, newer and more exotic chip packaging methods are required to keep chip performance improvements going. And AMD, who is already well-versed in 2.5D technologies thanks to its use of chipsets on Zen 2 processors, is also looking at 3D stacking.

Dubbed “X3D”, the company wants to use a hybrid of 2.5D and 3D stacking to achieve a significant increase in bandwidth density. All told, AMD is touting a potentially better than 10x improvement in bandwidth density over today’s chiplets if their plans come to fruition.

Finally, the focus on future technologies has also required that AMD take a bit more care in what they say regarding future manufacturing nodes. AMD’s 2020 roadmaps have scrubbed any mention of “7nm+”, which was on their future roadmaps, in order to avoid any confusion with TSMC’s EUV-based “N7+” node. To be sure, AMD’s so-called second generation of 7nm parts will still be using an enhanced version of 7nm versus the variant used on current Zen 2 and Navi chips, but AMD is being a little more careful as to not imply that it’s going to be EUV-based.

And with that, that’s a wrap on AMD’s 2020 Financial Analyst Day. The company has laid out an aggressive roadmap with regards to both technology and what it means for their financial performance, so now it will be up to Dr. Lisa Su and the rest of AMD to deliver on those lofty goals. Coming off of a remarkable turnaround over the last few years, AMD is in perhaps the best position it’s seen in almost a decade, and if AMD’s efforts can match their aspirations, then the next five years will undoubtedly launch them into a bigger and better place.

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53 Comments

So then you think NVIDIA and Intel are wasting billions of dollars. In other words, they are stupid. That's what you have to believe to believe AMD can reach their lofty goals with their current R&D spend.Reply

come on Yojimbo its time intel dropped their current architecture, and came out with a new one, not based on one from 2015 or what ever, its been almost 3 years, and intel still hasnt come out with something new. or even hints there is a new architecture coming out ?" So then you think NVIDIA and Intel are wasting billions of dollars " for nvidia, no, for intel yes. as i just said, intel is just rehashing the same architecture they have been using since 2015, its time they dropped it, and came out with something new. if you can say that intel has been using their billions wisely, then i dont know what to say.Reply

The reason they have been is because of their process problems. Didn't you read what I wrote? And you're making a logical mistake by arguing that because Intel made a mistake (it was because of process execution, but even ignoring that fact) then they are so inept that AMD can consistently succeed with a vastly smaller R&D spend. Frankly, AMD has not shown itself to be the company that can pull that off, if there were to be one.Reply

You only don't understand because you refuse to try. Yes, they can't put their new architecture on 14nm because it was designed for 10 nm. Hence the recent stress on the option to backport architectures on processes going forward, something that people say will be difficult and are even wondering if it will actually work in practice. See the Anandtech articles on the issue, for example. Here is the most recent one, search for "back-port": https://www.anandtech.com/show/15580/intel-cfo-our...

You'd have a better idea of actually knowing what's going on if you stopped making stupid sarcastic comments and read stuff instead.Reply

oh.. so when intel realized say 4 years ago that 10nm, wasnt going to be ready, and then amd releases zen, they couldnt of started to back port so they could of put it on 14nm ?? BS. come on man, and you accuse me of closing my eyes ?" You'd have a better idea of actually knowing what's going on if you stopped making stupid sarcastic comments and read stuff instead. " and the same goes to youReply

Finally hitting 10% in DC, That is excellent news, even though it is a quarter late. But Good News indeed. And with the roadmap laid out, while their expectation of 20% CARG is still a little too low, but knowing AMD being extremely conservative this is still a very good target.

While Intel is finally waking up which causes quite a bit of concern ( and excitement ), it seems AMD will still have the upper hand for a few years. Reply