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Mel Kiper can't even predict which teams go with what based on their need.

Those doing the picking (NFL teams) get who they want...and not what everyone else thinks they should get. The fallacy of those draft boards is they try to align everyone into some kind of pecking order....but it fails big time in assessing what the teams want/need/plan for/can afford.

It's so much more complicated than just making comments on a prospect's game clips and rating them accordingly.

But all this guessing must be making someone $$ because they keep doing it and it appears to be growing.

You are right. To be drafted is the luck of the draw. Go to a team loaded at your position greatly diminishes your chances of sticking. Free to sign on your own gives you a chance to shop for the team with the greatest needs at your position.

Correct me if I am wrong but being drafted in the later rounds just guarantees that you have a spot at training camp.

...along with a bunch of UDFAs...including walk-ons.

Picking up free agents is as important as the draft...this is where a lot of the lower picks get left out...they have to compete with legacy roster guys, high draft picks, and new free agents that got signed in the off-season for 53 roster spots.

To be completely honest, its starting to look kind of dim for Connor to get drafted, each day that goes by where I don't even see Ellington come off the board makes me worry for Connor.

Well good thing Bruce got taken by San Fran, as for one player that hasn't been selected yet which is a head scratcher to me is Kelcey at DT. I've seen some DT's selected that I KNOW KQ is better than.

The draft is a weird thing. It is not all about how good you are. You have to be playing the position a team needs when their selection comes up.
There may be a team right now already planning on letting Connor on board through free agency so they don't use up a draft selection on him.

The draft is a weird thing. It is not all about how good you are. You have to be playing the position a team needs when their selection comes up.
There may be a team right now already planning on letting Connor on board through free agency so they don't use up a draft selection on him.

I hope not, he at least deserves to have his name called. I don't care if it is last.