The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Power Rating

Estimate

Edge

VALPARAISO

MICHIGAN ST

-9

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

VALPARAISO - Recent ATS Trends

Against the spread

Over/Under

Straight Up

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

W-L

W-L

O-U

O-U

O-U

W-L

W-L

W-L

in all games

18-12

48-45

107-95

4-5

31-37

89-78

26-7

71-32

316-200

in all lined games

18-12

48-45

107-95

4-5

31-37

89-78

23-7

64-31

111-96

as an underdog

3-2

17-13

56-46

1-1

11-12

47-39

3-2

15-15

33-71

in all neutral court games

0-1

2-4

15-16

0-1

2-4

10-14

1-0

6-1

38-27

as a neutral court underdog of 9.5 to 12 points

0-0

0-0

1-1

0-0

0-0

0-1

0-0

0-0

1-1

in March games

1-2

3-7

12-16

1-2

4-6

13-12

3-0

6-4

30-20

when playing with 7 or more days rest

0-1

2-3

5-9

0-0

2-2

4-9

0-1

2-3

13-17

after a conference game

12-5

32-23

63-56

4-3

22-25

62-49

15-2

43-16

191-99

when playing on a neutral court

0-1

2-4

15-16

0-1

2-4

10-14

1-0

6-1

38-27

in non-conference games

7-5

17-19

45-42

0-3

9-13

29-33

11-4

27-17

121-104

off a win against a conference rival

9-5

22-18

31-37

4-3

15-20

35-29

12-2

30-13

49-33

after allowing 60 points or less

6-5

15-16

28-32

2-2

11-12

29-18

9-3

21-12

82-55

in all tournament games

0-2

7-9

21-25

1-1

6-8

20-19

2-0

11-5

35-31

in first round tournament games

0-0

0-3

3-9

0-0

2-1

6-5

0-0

1-2

3-9

in a NCAA tournament games

0-0

0-0

3-4

0-0

0-0

1-3

0-0

0-0

2-5

when playing against a team with a winning record

11-10

30-29

70-62

3-4

19-23

58-49

16-5

38-22

110-132

when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games

Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO since 1997

MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against VALPARAISO since 1997

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VALPARAISO in this game

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (88-74)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-35)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (187-217)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-43)

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