A new poll predicts the Liberals will just barely edge out the Progressive Conservatives and New Democrats to win Thursday’s election.

The Ipsos Reid survey asked Ontarians who they would vote for or who they voted for if they cast their ballot in an advanced poll. Among decided voters, 33% say they will vote Liberal, 31% support the Progressive Conservatives and 30% support the NDP.

Five per cent said they would vote for another party, including the Green Party, according to the poll conducted for CTV and CP24.

The winner of the predicted photo finish will depend on which party can get the most supporters out to vote Thursday, the poll predicts.

Among those who are most likely to vote, the Tories captured the support of 36% of voters, while the Liberals and the NDP each have 30% voter support. Other parties would receive 4% support.

Meanwhile, EKOS Research and Forum Research polls, have put the Liberals in a six-point and seven-point lead, respectively, over the PCs.

In the EKOS poll for iPolitics, the Liberals have a substantial lead in likely voters, 41.2% to 33.2%, due to a late change in the pollster’s voting model.

“While looking at our likely voter model, we felt that we might not be giving enough weight to the role of education or age in shaping turnout,” wrote EKOS president Frank Graves on iPolitics, noting that the Liberals have a educated base that is more likely to vote.

The NDP only has the support of 17.1% of likely voters, according to EKOS.

Ipsos Reid says the Greater Toronto Area will be the election battleground.

As of Wednesday, Ontarians are still split on which party they think will win on election day. Half think the Liberals will win, while the other half are divided on whether the PCs or NDP will win.

Nearly 90% of Liberal supporters think their party will win, possibly suggesting that Liberal voters may be complacent. Meanwhile, only 77% of Tories this they will win, which could mean supporters are more motivated to get out and vote.

Four in ten Ontarians believe NDP Leader Andrea Horwath would make the best premier. She was declared the most likeable leader in a previous Ipsos Reid poll.

According to the EKOS poll of 1,332 eligible voters over three days, their data puts the Liberals near majority territory.

Majority territory is also where Forum Research finds the Liberals. Their most recent survey (released June 10) has the Liberals at 42%, the Tories at 35% and the NDP at 19%.

Forum says their data suggests the Liberals could take 61 seats in the 107-seat legislature, compared to 35 for the PCs and 11 for the NDP. In the 2011 election, the Liberals won 53, the PCs took 37 and the NDP, 17.

According to Threehundredeight.com, a poll aggregator, the Liberals only hold a 1-point lead over the PCs, 37.3% to 36.5%.

However, Threehundredeight.com suggests a weak NDP turnout, even with near tie between Hudak and Wynne’s parties, could result in a Liberal majority.