Monday, October 26, 2015

Armenia and Iran After the Nuclear Deal: The Quest for Broader Cooperation

By Erik Davtyan

The agreement on Iran’s nuclear program, which
Tehran reached with the P5+1 powers (the United States, the United Kingdom,
France, China, Russia and Germany) on July 14, has provided new perspectives for
Iran’s wider engagement in the South Caucasus—especially with Armenia, the only
state in the region that actively promotes a close partnership with the Islamic
Republic.

In August 2015, Iran and Armenia had already
signed an agreement on the construction of the third high-voltage electricity
transmission line connecting the two countries. This new planned electricity
link will cost an estimated $120 million (Azatutyun.am, August 13). The Iranian
nuclear agreement and the promised gradual lifting of sanctions apparently
increased mutual interest in maintaining a more active political dialogue and
reinforcing economic cooperation between Iran and Armenia. These issues were
discussed during last month’s (September 17) meeting between Armenian Ambassador
to Tehran Artashes Tumanyan and Iranian Minister of Industry, Mines and Trade
Mohammad Reza Nematzadeh (Armenpress.am, September 18). The energy aspect of
bilateral relations was discussed on October 3–5, when the Armenian delegation,
headed by Minister of Energy and Natural Resources Ervand Zakharyan, visited
Iran and held talks with the co-chair of the Armenian-Iranian Intergovernmental
Commission, Hamid Chitchian, Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zangane, and the
chairman of Iran’s Export Development Bank, Ali Salehabadi (Minenergy.am, October
5).

The next and, in fact, the most important recent event
(after the nuclear deal) for bilateral Iranian-Armenian relations was the
official visit to Yerevan of the First Vice President of Iran Eshaq Jahangiri (October
14–15). After Iranian then-president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s visit in 2011, this
is the highest-level visit to Armenia by an Iranian official. At the airport, Jahangiri
was welcomed by Armenian Prime Minister Hovik Abrahamyan, along with the ministers
of energy and natural resources, culture, and transport and communications, as
well as the deputy minister of foreign affairs. Clearly, the Armenian
authorities attached great importance to this official visit and expect positive
developments in bilateral relations (Armenpress.am, October 14).

On October 15, Jahangiri and Abrahamyan took part
in the Armenia-Iran Business Forum, which was attended by nearly 300 Armenian
and 80 Iranian businessmen. Commenting on the importance of boosting trade
relations, the Iranian vice president stated that “it is important for us to
sign a number of memorandums of understanding, including a preferential tariff
agreement” (Gov.am, October 15). As to Armenia’s transit role in Iran’s foreign
policy, he underlined that “Armenia is the only country to provide a gateway
for exporting Iranian goods toward the Eurasian Economic Union. Besides,
Armenia has an important role to play as a transit zone. We have the North–South
Transport Corridor; we should settle the railroad issue, which is of regional
significance”. Vice Presdent Jahangiri also held meetings with Armenian President
Serzh Sargsyan and the president of the Armenian National Assembly (parliament),
Galust Sahakyan.

Certainly, the realization of joint economic plans
highly depends on completing large-scale transport projects to more fully
connect the two states. The North–South Road Corridor is already under
construction; but the Iran-Armenia railway project faces financial challenges. In
his interview to Azatutyun, Iranian
Minister of Transport Abbas Ahmad Akhoundi said that Iran is ready to start the
construction of the Iranian part of the railroad as soon as Armenia covers at
least one third of the estimated cost of $3 billion for this project (Azatutyun.am, October
15). Indeed, the railway may have regional and even interregional importance;
therefore, Armenia aims to attract large investments from abroad. Back in June
2015, the China Civil Engineering Construction Corporation (CCECC) had
expressed interest in this project. During the Armenian prime minister’s recent
visit to China (in September), the issue of the possible engagement of Chinese
companies was discussed with the premier of China’s State Council, Li Keqiang,
and the chairman of the CCECC, Wu Wanliang (Panarmenian.net, September 22).

So far, no practical agreement has been reached on
the Iran-Armenia railway project. Yet, following the breakthrough of the
Iranian nuclear program accord, the chances of realizing this project have
increased, at least in the political realm. Thus, the appeal of large-scale investments
in bilateral projects will continue to grow over the coming months for both
Armenia and Iran.

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