He had the best rookie season of all QBs and is coming off a serious injury. That makes him a safe bet, because he has the shortest distance to "fall" to be seen as struggling and his knee is an obvious risk that he will do so.

Wilson has the best team surrounding him, so he is facing the least amount of pressure and can screw up the most without anyone noticing (since his team will make up for it). Tannehill struggled this year so I don't think people have high expectations for him next year.

It basically comes down to Luck and RGIII.

Given that, I can see why people might lean toward RGIII and predict that he'll underperform next year relative to the big expectations people have for him.

I still think they are wrong, though. The Colts had a W-L record that vastly outperformed everyone's advanced stats. That is, they were a relativley "lucky" team last year, something that is unlikely to repeat itself. Since they are a prime candidate for serious regression next year, that means Andrew Luck is highly likely to be perceived to be struggling, almost regardless of his actual performance.

"I’m never under the assumption that you draft for need. You draft the best available football player on the board. ... Because, in the long run, they are the ones who will help you win the most games." - Scot McCloughan

cleg wrote:I wonder what they will say when he is handed the Lombardi on the Giants 50 yard line a year from now?

That they knew he would have an AP type comeback.. that his work ethic was a clear indication to all that he'd make progress instead of regress.. you *know, the opposite of what they have already said Smfh