Second Poll breakdown: Likud – Union of right parties – UTJ – Shas – Kulanu – Yisroel Beitanu = 60. A scenario that has never happened and will be fascinating to see how it would turn out. In this scenario, Bennet remains at 0 – below the threshold – which can change after adding soldiers votes in.

As explained, this analysis includes Kulanu and Avigdor Leiberman’s Yisroel Beitanu party. They are natural allies to Netanyahu – but any ‘good deal’ from Gantz could change loyalties. Kulanu’s Kahlon has previously said he will support Netanyahu even with charges filed against Bibi. In 2/3 scenarios, Netanyahu can even afford to lose Lieberman and will still have a majority.