Trading software

Saturday, March 15, 2014

Saturday's bets

Back down to earth after the Cheltenham Festival! Here's today's Irish Independent article:

WYCK HILL
FOLLOWING four days of absolutely top-class racing at the Cheltenham Festival,
it's slightly depressing to flick through today's fixture list in which not a
single graded race is scheduled. We are certainly back to basics today although
money earned from betting at Uttoxeter buys exactly the same amount of pints of
stout as money earned from Cheltenham and a nice winner or two today would
certainly help ease the sense of deflation. We've also got the rugby to look
forward to and some decent football matches on the box so it might not be such
a bad day for punters after all. The feature race of the day is the Betfred
Midlands Grand National (3.50 Uttoxeter) for which 18 horses go to post and the
one that catches the eye is the David Bridgwater trained Wyck Hill, which should go off at an each-way price of 8/1 or
thereabouts. A 4m1f race is not for the faint hearted, but the ten-year-old is
the sole participant in the field proven at the distance, having won the Eider
Chase at Newcastle last month by three-quarters of a length to Smoking Aces. He
had dropped right down to 133 in the ratings beforehand but that Eider victory
has seen his mark shoot back up to 141. That leaves him sitting third in the
weights carrying 10st 6lbs this afternoon but his enthusiasm for a heavy slog
at Newcastle suggests there's life in the old dog yet and he doesn't seem to
have regressed with age. With 10 wins from 16 races, Harry Topper is also highly
respected. Kim Bailey's seven-year-old has plenty of stamina and beat Al Ferof
in the Denman Chase at Newbury last time although his jumping can be a bit
suspect at times, and I've a feeling that the topweight burden of 11st 12lbs
may be enough to hold him back over this distance.
At Fontwell, West Cork Flash looks
overpriced at 7/2 in the 32red Casino Handicap Chase (2.30). He finished eight
lengths behind Itoldyouso in a handicap chase here last month but an aggressive
ride by Richard Johnson that day didn't do him any favours. He's been left on
the same mark and a more patient ride by Jamie Moore here might just do the
trick.
On the all-weather at Wolverhampton,
Arrowzone can finally register his first win after eight attempts in the
five-runner 32Red.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes (7.40). He showed some
promise when placed in a couple of nurseries on the turf in October and I'm willing
to forgive his latest flop at Doncaster in which he finished last of nine
runners. It was clear from the get-go that he wasn't keen to race at all and he
was possibly a little tired after a busy late-summer campaign. That poor
showing at Doncaster has been factored into the odds and I reckon 3/1 is not a
bad price now that he's had a nice break for the winter. Likely favourite Big
Orange (11/10) is sure to present a challenge. A son of Duke
Of Marmalade, Michael Bell's gelding progressed well from his debut when
finishing mid-way down the field in a decent enough maiden at Newmarket back in
October.

Each-way
THE ROMFORD PELE is entitled to be favourite for the Kempton Park Betdaq Silver
Bowl Handicap Chase (3.30) but this looks quite competitive and Rebecca Curtis'
seven-year-old is too short for me at 4/1. Instead, a chance is taken each-way
on 14/1 shot Saved By John from Tim
Vaughan's yard. He shaped well after ten weeks off when fifth in a handicap
chase at Chepstow last time out and now eased 2lbs, he's entitled to go close.

DO THE DOUBLE
RUGBY: FRANCE have beaten Ireland in 11 of the past 14 meetings
of the pair and as we all know, Ireland have apoor record in Paris with just two wins in 42 years. However France
haven't been firing on all cylinders in this championship and Ireland are
tipped to just about edge this evening's encounter at 10/11. The Irish know
that the best way to honour Brian O'Driscoll would be to win the Six Nations,
and the sense of occasion can help see them through today.
RACING: THE Roger Varian trained Jaahiez
keeps improving with every race and he managed to beat the odds-on Premium
Pressure to lose the maiden tag at Lingfield last time. He's been given a mark
of 72 for his first handicap but he looks like one that can progress and early
odds of 4/1 seem generous for the 32Red Handicap at Lingfield this afternoon.
(4.0)

About Me

WAYNE Bailey was born in Dublin where he still lives with daughter. A librarian by profession, Wayne has always had a passion for betting and trading and has spent various periods throughout his life as a professional gambler. In 2007, he graduated from University College Dublin with a degree in social science and information studies and four years later, he completed a diploma in financial trading from the Irish Institute of Financial Trading. More recently, he studied psychology and the behaviour of the human mind. Wayne is a regular contributor to various newspapers and websites in the UK and Ireland, and he currently pens the Betting Ring column which enjoys a large dedicated following every Saturday in Ireland’s largest selling newspaper The Irish Independent. Wayne's book 'Sports Trading on Betfair' was published in 2014. Email: waynebaileyracing@gmail.com