From my keyboard...

A sampling of some of the analysis I've made that has come to pass is or happening now...

"The volatility we saw in 2007 is not likely to subside in the short run... I believe that the problems at Bear Stearns are the tip of the iceberg regarding problems that are likely to emerge in the financial sector."

"2012 marks the year that the United States accelerates its transformation from a military super power... to a natural resources super power which is able to support peace without as much use of its armed forces."

"Oil just entered a new bull market phase by rising 20% in price since I started imploring people to buy oil stocks a few months ago... make no mistake about it, oil is going to rise dramatically in the next few years... until electric vehicles take hold."

"...investors have two opportunities for asymmetric gains emerging. The first is to position trade... oil investments made now. The second opportunity is to find companies that will thrive in an EV, solar and smart grid future..."

From My View...

Welcome. The content below is free to the public. It might be worth what you are paying for it. Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain - that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view - publishing Monday and Friday afternoons.

In real estate it is "location, location, location." In stocks it's quality, quality, quality. The problem is that in the stock market, basically everybody knows who the quality stocks are. There are certain companies that only go on sale once or twice a decade, usually during correlated market corrections when "everything" falls in price.

T2 is seeking to fill an unmet need for Sepsis testing. Sepsis has been dramatically on the rise the past two decades killing many.

The company has a date with the FDA closing in for its T2 Bacteria panel. If approved, the company would take a lead in the testing for Sepsis.

I have not had the time to do a deep dive recently, but the story remains the same. If the T2 Bacteria panel gets FDA approval, it's already in use in Europe, it will be a sizable improvement over existing blood based tests for Sepsis which can take 2-3 days to render a diagnosis vs the 6-8 hours for T2.

Why is that time delay so significant? Because by the 3rd day Sepsis often kills you.

I have a very small position in the stock. With the drop today, I am considering taking a call position on speculation they get FDA approval.

It is very rare that I use levered ETFs. The opportunity has to be striking. In most cases I greatly prefer options to levered ETFs due to the expenses related to levered ETFs and other structural issues.

Right now however, there is a compelling argument to use a levered oil fund.

As you know, I believe President Trump is going to end the Iran nuclear deal. That in conjunction with supply constraints on oil and the summer driving season are a lining up the perfect storm for oil prices to rip higher to about $80 per barrel. See this article for some of the technicals:

I have discussed Occidental Petroleum (OXY) in brief a few times. I originally recommended the stock for subscribers around $60 per share based on a combination of fundamentals and price trend analysis. The share price is about to test recent highs. If it breaks through, it could see old highs again near $100 per share in the next year or two - it currently trades around $76.

Occidental pays slightly above a 4% dividend yield right now and has recently become profitable on the back of quarterly YoY revenue growth at 25%.

Sierra Wireless (SWIR) is a company that I first investigated a couple years ago, liked, but didn't buy shares in as the share price took off on me. The stock subsequently doubled, but has since round tripped back to me. We have been accumulating shares for about two months. Here's why.

The stock market is testing the February correction lows and the S&P 500 (SPY) (VOO) 200-day moving average today. This is a key support level.

While we could see the first real bear market in a long time, per my chart from a couple months ago, I think the bear sleeps just a little longer.

Depending on your risk tolerance, I think now is a time to put some cash to work. Not all of it, but enough to get more exposure to stocks than you had last week - presuming, you have been following my advice and raised some cash the past few months.

I am at 32% cash, with almost half committed to cash-secured puts. I'm going to commit about half of what I have left in cash to more cash-secured puts and leave the rest for buying stocks or LEAPs if the S&P drops to that next support line.