Inside Unmanned Systems

APR-MAY 2018

Inside Unmanned Systems provides actionable business intelligence to decision-makers and influencers operating within the global UAS community. Features include analysis of key technologies, policy/regulatory developments and new product design.

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51 April/May 2018 unmanned systems
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vehicles produced and by the value of
those air vehicles, according to Teal,
followed by Europe, the Middle East,
Africa and the Americas (see Table 1 for
the numbers). The study estimated that
UAV production would increase from
current worldwide UAV production of
$4.2 billion annually in 2017 to $10.3
billion in 2026—that is $80.5 billion in
total spending on just the unmanned
aircraft over the next 10 years (Note:
this is slightly different from the FY18
to FY27 time frame mentioned earlier.
The value of each unit is standardized
using cost ranges to enable practical
forecasts. Those ranges ref lect a por-
tion of system costs. See Table 2).
Though micro UAVs didn't make the
cut, there is real activity in the next lev-
el up—the mini UAVs, which Teal cat-
egorizes as costing $50,000-$65,000.
There were some 2,530 of these pro-
duced in the U.S. in 2017 with a value
of about $189 million. That is expected
to rise to 4,439 units with a value of
$363 million by 2026.
Teal forecast that the biggest slice of
the UAV market, at $27.2 billion, would
be centered on the development of new
Uninhabited Combat Air Vehicles or
UCAVs—unmanned aircraft that could
perform at least some of the roles of
combat aircraft. Zaloga believes the
Air Force already has a classified ver-
sion of such a program in the works as
a replacement for the now-retired F-117
Nighthawk stealth attack plane—a UAV
that could slip past sensors to take out
air defenses without risking a pilot.
"My belief is that the Air Force is
either f lying that right now or on the
verge of f lying it—or certainly has a
requirement," Zaloga said.
Those working on UCAVs as true
combat aircraft, however, have some
real challenges ahead, he said. "I think
that one is a lot further down the road
because it's much more difficult to re-
"I WAS SHOCKED AT THE RAPID
DEVELOPMENT OF UAS IN CHINA.
THE NUMBER OF SYSTEMS OUT THERE
IS ASTONISHING—AND THE GROWING
SOPHISTICATION OF THE SYSTEMS."
Steven Zaloga, study co-author, Teal Group
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