Meg Whitman versus Jerry Brown and voter turnout

The PPIC poll doesn’t predict turnout, but it does includes some indicators.

Hector Amezoua, AP

Who really wants to vote for these two?

If you think Prop. 19 will help Democrats as young voters seek marijuana legalization, you may be wrong. PPIC found that 49 percent of likely voters oppose the measure, while only 44 support it. Voters who plan to vote against the measure “are more likely to consider the outcome very important (67 percent) than those planning to vote yes (40 percent).

Bad news for Meg Whitman: She is in virtual tie in the Central Valley where 42 percent of likely voters support Jerry Brown, 41 support her. In contrast, Carly Fiorina is beating Barbara Boxer in the valley 48-35. Among likely GOP voters, 68 percent of votes are unhappy with their choices in governor’s race, as opposed to 34 percent in Senate race.

Democratic pollster Paul Maslin sent me this email: “Think its less relevant here than any other state because REP candidates are so awful and have been rejected.”

I talked to veteran GOP pollster Steve Kinney before the PPIC poll came out. He told me, “Republicans are going to show up.” They’re “10 to 20 more points more interested in this election than their Democratic counterparts.” As for the Obama voters of 2008, “they’re just not motivated, friend.”