INFORGE is a macro-econometric forecasting and simulation model. Its specific strength is the analyses, explanation and forecast of structural change. Behavioral equations are determined on a very low aggregation level and individually for enterprises, households and state. Since 1996, the IAB/INFORGE model is used to forecast longterm labour demand. On a regular basis, the model is updated, improved and adjusted to current developments.

Development and application of analytical tool based on Input-Output table

Project description:

The aim of the project is the (further) development of an analytical tool based on Input-Output table to evaluate effects of possible governmental programs supporting the development of the private sector of the Ukrainian economy.

By using the Ukrainian Input-Output table and employment data, the approach allows to analyze the effects on production and employment. During an on-site workshop, the client is trained in input-output analysis. The tool is developed together with the participants and used for real-life problems.

Study on human resources development with regard to demographic change and the German Energiewende

Project description:

Demographic change and the prospective shortage of skilled personnel in the energy and water industry require associations to take according measures, especially in recruitment and training, in order to secure the required expertise in future. The GWS supports the energy and water associations’ vocational education committees in finding solutions to this challenge by means of industry-related analyses and trend descriptions. The outcome of the QuBe project on future professions and qualifications substantially supports the search for solutions.

The project constists of a feasabilty study. The aim is to provide a set of different possibilites to measure the economic importance of the silver economy. As the term "silver economy" is neither clear cut nor part of any international classification system a definition is given. Available statistical information is analysed considering on the one hand differentitation opportunities and on the other hand the economic content of the silver economy. Given the available data base different quantification methods are proposed. The offered set of measures for the silver economy was finally assessed considering the usability for impact analysis, the evaluation of policy measures etc.

The National Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians (KBV) commissioned the research project that aims at answering the question whether there are enough physicians in the next 15 years. Due to the time range of the projection labour supply and demand have to be equally considered. The GWS is responsible for modelling the demand side that differentiate in 24 special fields. The number of patients (differentiated by age and sex) and the related treatments are forecasted until 2030 und determine the demand number of physicians. The most important driver is the demographic change influencing the number and the kind of medical treatments.