Premier League 2010/11 Week 12 - Results

Date

TeamA

TeamB

Bet

Weight

Odds

Outcome

Net

Score

9.11.10

Stoke

Birmingham

Stoke-0.25

3.5

1.82

Win

2.87

3

2

Pre-Match Comments

Stoke have had an unlucky run of results, but now find themselves getting into trouble in the league table. Birmingham have steadied but are not as good as previous seasons, and below potential, however they are a match for Stoke. Stoke are tough to break down at home and the chosen bet partially insures against the draw.

9.11.10

Tottenham

Sunderland

Spurs

6

1.62

Lose

-6

1

1

Pre-Match Comments

Spurs return to the relative safety of their home ground after a 4-2 mauling in Bolton. Sunderland have tentatively improved but are far from convincing on the road, so Spurs should get the edge in this match.

10.11.10

AstonVilla

Blackpool

Villa

6

1.67

Win

4.02

3

2

Pre-Match Comments

Villa have been creeping back to form but aren't too threatening - Blackpool have faced and beaten better teams. Low scoring Villa should have enough to win, but there are some generous handicap odds available on the visitors.

10.11.10

Chelsea

Fulham

Fulham+2

4.5

1.75

Win

3.375

1

0

Pre-Match Comments

This is certainly an opportunity for Fulham against an under strength Chelsea, yet the champions haven't even conceeded at home this season let alone lost a match. Fulham aren't yet showing the kind of form to get a victory but a draw is possible (remotely) in this derby match. The +2 goals handicap has to be given a look.

10.11.10

Everton

Bolton

Everton

6

1.67

Lose

-6

1

1

Pre-Match Comments

Bolton are flying high after beating Spurs, but should get a tougher test at Everton. Everton have a good home record and will be keen to avoid any more dropped points. The teams do seem more evenly matched than the odds indicate, but the pointers still show a home win.

10.11.10

Man City

Man Utd

Draw

1.5

3.3

Win

3.45

0

0

Pre-Match Comments

The big game of round 12 sees the Manchester derby, with City and Utd well matched. City gained an away win but have not exactly found a stable footing yet. United on the other hands are wobbling but still getting the points. Given the high stakes occassion there's a reasonable likelihood of a feisty score draw.

10.11.10

Newcastle

Blackburn

Newcastle-0.25

6

1.67

Lose

-6

1

2

Pre-Match Comments

Despite Blackburn's good record at St. James Park and their win last weekend, the emphasis has to go on Newcastle for this game largely due to their form and the home advantage. Newcastle are an amazing 5th - the points allocated would be higher were it not for their inconsistent showings to date.

10.11.10

WestHam

WestBrom

WestHam-0.25

6

1.98

Lose Half

-3

2

2

Pre-Match Comments

West Ham are showing resiliemce, something which can carry them into the next season in this division. West Brom are having their first testing period, and this won't be an easy encounter in London. If the Hammers can continue to show the determination as in their last two matches then they should edge this match.

10.11.10

Wigan

Liverpool

Liverpool

5

1.8

Lose

-5

1

1

Pre-Match Comments

Liverpool's bounce is ostensibly due to Torres, but there are signs that Hodgson could have his players performing as a team, with enthusisam and enjoyment. A trip to Wigan is another test but Wigan have entered another dubious phase of the season and look shaky. The odds aren't exactly generous though.

10.11.10

Wolves

Arsenal

Wolves+1

3.5

1.8

Lose

-3.5

0

2

Pre-Match Comments

Arsenal need to prove a point after losing at home to Newcastle. A trip to Wolves wouldn't be their first choice as Wolves have been fighting hard and sometimes getting points off the back of their efforts. It could be a cold night in the Midlands for them.

The odds used reflect those
attainable at the time of writing

Total Points bet

48

Profit

-15.79

-32.9%

*Bets are presented the in Asian Handicap format. If just a team name appears then bet on that team to win (Home/ Away format)

7

1.10.10

Wigan

Wolves

Wigan-0.25

4

2.02

Win

4.08

Wigan have been hot and cold this season, but improved from their poor opening matches. The two differing styles of play will battle for supremacy and that could work in Wigan's favour as Wolves tend to pick up cards. The game could be tight but favour Wigan.

7

1.10.10

Birmingham

Everton

Birmingham+0.25

3.5

1.85

Lose

-3.5

This match looks like being low scoring. Given that Birmingham haven't lost at home for a year, a positive handicap for the home team at the displayed odds is a bonus. Everton have the edge on paper but playing at St. Andrews this match should be all square or tilt towards the home side. Low weight because of Birmingham's unconvincing start to the season.

7

1.10.10

Stoke

Blackburn

Stoke 0

5

1.6

Win

3

Stoke are a solid unit, slightly weakened by the absence of Fuller, but still equal to the visitors. Blackburn have had an OK start to this season and will be up for a physical match.

7

1.10.10

Sunderland

Man Utd

Sunderland +1

4

1.6

Win

2.4

A large handicap here for the home side at decent odds. Whilst United have been showing signs of hitting top form, they have just played away in Europe and have a squad with injuries. Sunderland are currently on a roll and will provide ManUtd with a tough game.

7

1.10.10

Tottenham

AstonVilla

Tottenham

3.5

1.9

Win

3.15

Spurs are continuing to confirm that they are a part of the top 6. Were it not for the fact that they played midweek, this bet would've been 6 or more points on the home win. Villa are settling under Houlier and have a good squad, however this would be a test in any circumstances.

7

1.10.10

WestBrom

Bolton

WestBrom-0.25

3

1.83

Lose Half

-1.5

WestBrom have impressed so far and the match could become a decent game with Bolton also playing attractive football. The factors in this game cancel each other out, with the home advantage and momentum of last week's win at Arsenal being enough to balance Bolton's superior side.

7

1.10.10

WestHam

Fulham

WestHam-0.25

4

2.08

Lose Half

-2

Fulham's lack of attack means they could be hoping for just a point at the Boleyn. The Hammers have sprung back and will fancy this London derby - the home support could be the deciding factor if enough momentum can be built. Low-ish weighting as the jury is still out.

7

2.10.10

Man City

Newcastle

ManCity-1

7

1.78

Level

0

Man City might have palyed midweek but their momentum and quality will be too much for the visitors. Newcastle have been inconsistent, but would require an amazinf performance to get any points from this match.

7

2.10.10

Liverpool

Blackpool

Liverpool-1.5

2

2

Lose

-2

Liverpool have stumbled a few times this season and will take more time to crystalise into a dependable squad. Blackpool are capable of an upset but the most likely outcome is a more perdictable scoreline in favour of the hosts

7

2.10.10

Chelsea

Arsenal

Chelsea

5

1.75

Win

3.75

Chelsea and Arsenal are both on form, recording wins in their Champions League matches and sitting at/ near the top in the league. Arsenal have some defensive issues which will further disadvantage them. The big match (and derby) feel will level the teams slghtly, meaning that Arsenal could take advantage of decisions and opportunities going their way, but all indicators point to this being a home win.