Trump's margin of victory in Michigan in 2016 was so small that he probably wouldn't have won the state if he hadn't been listed first on the ballot. I discuss the effect in a recent Center for Political Studies Blog Post http://cpsblog.isr.umich.edu/?p=1792.

When Democrats and Republicans see polls that suggest that their favored candidate is losing, they regard those polls as lower quality than polls that suggest a favored candidate is winning. Read more in the Monkey Cage blog at the Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/10/05/if-my-candidate-is-behind-the-poll-must-be-biased/

White and Black Americans couldn't be more divided when it comes to perceptions of what happened or what should happen in Ferguson. Our survey of views on Ferguson just appeared in the Detroit Free Press. Additional data is available here. Update: Our work on Ferguson also covered in: Christian Science…

In two new publications I looked at whether individuals listed first on the ballot received systematically more votes than those listed later. In both North Dakota and California elections, first-listed candidates received a small (less than one percentage point) but consistent benefit from their positions. The articles are available from…

I was asked to write a "Room For Debate" piece for the New York Times on whether racial prejudice was getting worse during the Obama era. See my response here: http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2013/11/20/racism-in-the-age-of-obama/definitely-not-less-racial-prejudice-since-obamas-election.

Results of a new survey I conducted in conjunction with the Associated Press and Stanford University suggest that racial attitudes will likely hurt President Obama's reelection prospects in 2012. In general, we found that the prevalence of anti-Black attitudes increased between 2008 and 2012. Predicting the influence of racial attitudes…

Since before the passage of the Affordable Care Act (a.k.a. Obamacare), it became clear that support for the health care plan (both the bill and the law) was destined to be controversial. Whereas Democrats contended that those who knew more about the bill would be more supportive, Republicans suggested that…