Nature_and_Environment.114

It's later than you think

New Report Suggests High Likelihood of Human Civilization Coming to
an End Starting in 2050
The climate change analysis was written by a former fossil fuel
executive and backed by the former chief of Australia's military.
On our current trajectory, the report warns, planetary and human
systems [are] reaching a point of no return by mid-century, in which
the prospect of a largely uninhabitable Earth leads to the breakdown
of nations and the international order.
The scenario warns that our current trajectory will likely lock in at
least 3 degrees Celsius (C) of global heating, which in turn could
trigger further amplifying feedbacks unleashing further warming. This
would drive the accelerating collapse of key ecosystems including
coral reef systems, the Amazon rainforest and in the Arctic.
The results would be devastating. Some one billion people would be
forced to attempt to relocate from unlivable conditions, and two
billion would face scarcity of water supplies. Agriculture would
collapse in the sub-tropics, and food production would suffer
dramatically worldwide. The internal cohesion of nation-states like
the US and China would unravel.
Even for 2°C of warming, more than a billion people may need to be
relocated and in high-end scenarios, the scale of destruction is
beyond our capacity to model with a high likelihood of human
civilization coming to an end, the report notes.
The new policy briefing is written by David Spratt, Breakthroughs
research director and Ian Dunlop, a former senior executive of Royal
Dutch Shell who previously chaired the Australian Coal Association.
"https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/597kpd/new-report-suggests-high-
likelihood-of-human-civilization-coming-to-an-end-in-2050"
also see: Scientists Warn the UN of Capitalisms Imminent Demise
"https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/43pek3/scientists-warn-the-un-of-
capitalisms-imminent-demise"

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