Friday, December 14, 2012

At the start of the offseason,
Chuck Richter, the founder and Executive Director of AngelsWin.com asked me
what the Angels should do in the offseason. Without question I said that the
Angels should sign Josh Hamilton after they fixed the bullpen. That was a
minority position at that time.

My reasoning was simple. There
were four main reasons to sign Hamilton. First, signing Hamilton would provide
the left-handed bat that the Angels sorely lacked. The Angels needed to balance
an extremely right-handed lineup, and Hamilton was the best left-handed hitter
available. While the offense performed very well last year, it did so with an
MVP-worthy performance from Mike Trout, a career year by Torii Hunter, an
exceptional first half from Mark Trumbo and an exceptional second half from
Albert Pujols. By no means was it a lock to repeat what it did in 2012. Any
reversion in the offense in 2013 would negate the gains made in the rotation.

Second, adding Hamilton would
greatly weaken Texas. Any chance a team has to improve itself and greatly
weaken its main foe, it needs to do that. There’s no doubt that Texas will be
feeling an extreme power outage with the loss of Hamilton and Napoli. Hamilton
carried the Rangers in April and May last year. If the Angels had a start to
the season like Hamilton’s, they would have been playing in the post-season
instead of watching it on TV. Texas may be forced to overpay for a trade to
respond to this move, and that could hurt Texas for a long time, giving this
deal an even greater payout.

Third, signing Hamilton would
provide the depth to make a trade for starting pitching in the event that
Greinke signed elsewhere. Looking at the landscape, there were far more teams interested
in pitching than in hitting. The likelihood of signing Greinke seemed remote
compared to Hamilton, whom many teams considered a risk. More importantly, when
factoring in the potential for an injury in a long-term deal for a starter, and
the length of time to recover, it seemed more risky to sign Greinke to a 6 year
deal than to sign Hamilton to a 5 year deal.

Trading for a starter, however, would
be a more secure way to improve the rotation rather than focusing entirely on
the best free agent pitcher available. The dropoff between Greinke and the
remaining free agent pitchers was such that missing out on Greinke would almost
guarantee the Angels would have to trade for a starter. Without Hamilton, the
Angels would be hard pressed to make a trade for a pitcher because they would
give up important pieces of their offense just to improve their pitching. With
him, they Angels could trade Bourjos, Morales or Trumbo (not likely) to get
another quality arm for the rotation.

Finally, adding Hamilton would be
the best way to capitalize on the investments the Angels already made in
Pujols, Weaver, and Wilson along with the emerging timelines for Trout and
Trumbo. There’s no doubt that the Angels’ best shot to win the World Series
again is in the next 3-5 years. So, the need to continue to invest in the club
was readily apparent. If the Angels failed to get to the World Series during
the next few years, this era would forever be viewed negatively by the fans.

Yes, pitching wins championships.
But, the Angels already have an ace in Weaver. The pitching the Angels truly
needed was in the bullpen, not so much in the starting rotation. It was all the
blown saves that hurt the Angels the most. The Angels already went about
improving their bullpen, and appear to have turned their major weakness into a
source of strength.

What the Angels really needed to
do was to change their overall game-plan for how to win. Looking at how the
Angels won the World Series in 2002, the Angels needed to fortify the offense
to generate early leads and bolster the bullpen to lock them down in the win
column. Instead of giving wins away, they needed a team that could secure
victories in both the short and long haul. A killer offense, a nails bullpen,
and solid pitching does that substantially better than an elite rotation, a
solid offense, and a weak bullpen.

The best part about the Hamilton
signing is something that could not have been foreseen at the start of the
offseason. With Greinke landing with the Dodgers, and Hamilton coming over from
the Rangers, the Angels have just elevated the importance of several series
throughout the year. Doubling the number of rivals greatly enhances the value
of the team from a marketing standpoint. And, as much as the Dodgers thought
that they were going to dominate the offseason in Southern California, it’s the
Angels who are making the most thunder.

Last year, during Spring Training,
Mr. Moreno spoke to the fans at AngelsWin.com and answered our questions—the
questions that fans want to know. Tonight, as I reflect on an Angels lineup
with Josh Hamilton, Mr. Moreno’s answer to one of our questions stands out. Asked
if he had accomplished all of his goals in making the Angels the number one
team in Southern California, Mr. Moreno had this to say:

The way I view modern day baseball is 1900 on. So this is
2012 so we are somewhere in that 112 years into modern day baseball. When
you’re looking at an 8 or 9 year period, you’re only looking at a little blip
on a long scale. The question is can we take that little blip and open it up so
it goes up here [raises hand] and we stay there. So the real objective for me
to—obviously I want to win—but to be successful, we need to be able to produce
at a very high level over a very long period of time. So when anybody ever
comes to our house they know they have got to play. Those are the kind of
things to me I’m really interested in -- obviously in the younger generations of kids
getting the opportunity to come to the ball park as see some of the best
players. Get to see first, major league baseball, get to see their players and
have part of that experience with their family, or mom, or their dad, brother,
etc.

Signing Josh Hamilton to play
along side Albert Pujols, Mike Trout, Mark Trumbo and Jered Weaver means that Mr.
Moreno has continued to expand that blip for a second decade Anyone coming to
our house will know that they have got to play because the Angels have
the hitting and the pitching to beat them every night of the week.

Listen to "A Fish Like This" Tribute song to Mike Trout's Greatness

<a href="http://timstiles.bandcamp.com/track/a-fish-like-this">A Fish Like This by Tim Stiles</a>

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