Motivated by the current (2011) political climate in Wisconsin it seems reasonable to devote some time and effort to comment on issues and some of the hyperbole. So we in the public should do what we can to help focus "journalists" on delineating real facts versus spin. If you accept the spin you do not understand the policy implications.

Rebekah wanted CA to be the data engine, which would essentially give her control of the group. And if the venture were successful, she would have an influence over the GOP that no donor had ever pulled off. Theoretically, if the president did something she didn't like, she could marshal his own supporters against him, since it would be her database and her money.

The organization was "founded by a group of Mr. Trump's loyalists — many of them with deep connections to Mr. Pence, including Nick Ayers, a Republican consultant who is regarded as the vice president's top political adviser". [7]

In 2011, Giles-Parscale began working for the Trump Organization, providing website development, design and digital media strategy for Trump International Realty.[1][8]Parscale continued his business relationship with the Trump Organization, providing digital media services to Trump Winery and the Eric Trump Foundation.[9] In early 2015, Giles-Parscale was hired to create a website for President Donald Trump's exploratory campaign, charging $1,500 for the site.[10] Through the entire election cycle, Giles-Parscale was paid $94 million by the Trump campaign.[11]

Parscale utilized social media advertisements with an experiment based strategy of different face expressions, font colors & slogans like "Basket of Deplorables." [12]Parscale's specific roles included heading the oversight of the digital advertising, TV advertising, small dollar fundraising, direct mail, political and advertising budget, and was also the RNC liaison working daily with Katie Walsh who was then the Republican National Committee's chief of staff. He was also the head of the data science and research, which included polling. Parscale claims that after realizing Virginia & Ohio were unable to be swayed, he decided to re-allocate the campaign resources to Michigan & Wisconsin. This shift included the decision to send Trump to Michigan & Wisconsin and focus efforts heavily on the two states. This decision was instrumental in winning the election as as Trump won both the historically democratic states. In terms of digital advertising, Parscale utilized Facebook heavily for the campaign advertisements & staffed Facebook employees to help them navigate the Facebook platform to utilize all of the platform's capabilities. Parscale did not have data scientists or any digital team during the Republican Primary and did much of the social media advertising from his home. [13] He would also stage competitions between tech companies to drive the lowest cost of buying on Facebook (programmatic) as well as other platforms.

Parscale was able to utilize Facebook advertising to directly target voters in swing states. Parscale cited the example on 60 Minutes that he was able to target specific universes (audiences) who care about infrastructure and promote Trump & his message to build back up the crumbling American infrastructure. Parscale utilized Facebook and social media to directly target voters in a much more extensive effort in comparison to the Clinton Campaign.[14]

The Trump campaign initially had solely Donald Trump's personal funding to back his campaign. Parscale set up a major grassroots campaign on Facebook that brought in funding quickly from across the U.S.[15] Parscale attributed the success of his vast social media presence to using the assistance offered by companies such as Facebook, Twitter, Snapchat and Google. He said that because the Trump campaign intended to spend $100 million on social media, companies in that area were prepared to assist the campaign in using that money effectively.[15]

The database of voter information that drove Parscale's social media advertising campaigns in the 2016 election was dubbed "Project Alamo", a name which eventually encompassed all of the associated fundraising and political advertising efforts.

On October 8, 2017, in an interview with Parscale conducted by Leslie Stahl was aired on 60 Minutes, Parscale stated that he was currently working on President Trump's 2020 re-election campaign.

Saturday, December 16, 2017

If he sticks around he will definitely be tainted by the GOP/Trump tax bill disaster. If that does not get him he still wants to be as far away from Trump as he can. Since the GOP is likely in a disaster in 2018 he wants to be able to blame it on not going far enough.

Monday, December 4, 2017

Microeconomics, Macroeconomics, Behavioral Economics ... what do they tell us?

Somethings are reasonably understood. Shock systems and they behave in unpredictable ways. Politicians, democratic political leaders and not so democratic leaders use the chaos they create to take even more unreasonable steps.

The deals that Senator McConnell had to accept to get a bill may moderate or lessen the shock but the impact on individuals and families is going to be very disruptive, remove any certainty about the future and severely restrict "personal consumption".

The latter will cause businesses to hesitate to expand -- that promised job growth will never happen. Trickle down does not really work, businesses do not pass on "profits" to employees -- the very idea of competition makes businesses "hoarders" of cash unless they see spending as a way to achieve competitive advantage. The cash will not be transferred to wages.

Returning for a moment to "personal consumption" -- just what is it? A few possible components:

Disposable income

Discretionary income

Non-Discretionary income

Gross Income

Net Income

Adjusted gross income

Standard deduction

Itemized deductions

FICA tax

Tax Credit

If you were given a multiple choice test ... how many can you define or at least offer an explanation.

GOP politics has been dominated by a philosophy of "disruption" to achieve their ideology still more rooted in "Ayn Rand" than anything else.

In THE SHOCK DOCTRINE, Naomi Klein explodes the myth that the global free market triumphed democratically. Exposing the thinking, the money trail and the puppet strings behind the world-changing crises and wars of the last four decades, The Shock Doctrine is the gripping story of how America’s “free market” policies have come to dominate the world-- through the exploitation of disaster-shocked people and countries.

More likely a pretext for cutting Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid in the near future. More restriction of "personal consumption".

MADISON - A conservative law firm sued state schools Superintendent Tony Evers Monday, seeking to rein in his rule-making authority at a time when the Democratic official is running for governor.

The Wisconsin Institute for Law and Liberty filed the lawsuit directly to the state Supreme Court, opening the latest skirmish in a more than two-decade long battle in which Republicans have sought to limit the power of the Department of Public Instruction.

Only last year, a divided Supreme Court ruled in Evers' favor in a similar case, but Monday's lawsuit essentially asks Wisconsin's highest court to revisit the issues in that earlier ruling.

Gov. Scott Walker is blocking political opponent State Schools Superintendent Tony Evers from choosing a lawyer to represent him in a lawsuit brought by a conservative law firm seeking to diminish Evers’ power.

Attorney General Brad Schimel and other Department of Justice attorneys notified the Wisconsin Supreme Court on Tuesday that they were replacing the state Department of Public Instruction’s attorney in the case.

The conservative Wisconsin Institute for Law and Liberty alleges Evers violated a new law that requires state department officials to ask Walker for permission to craft administrative rules. WILL is asking the state Supreme Court to take the case.

Today the Republican politics may seem to be about teachers and public servants but I think it is a flanking attack on public education from kindergarten to college. Force school districts to lower their standards by reducing funding for teachers, increase class size, diminish special programs, sports, arts, music, libraries, etc. so that we all give up. Parents with the means will get their kids educated and the rest can fend for themselves. This is the real strategy … see it for what it really is!

Perhaps this is a familiar scene: You’re standing in line at the coffee shop when suddenly you get the urge to check your phone. Perhaps it was a phantom vibration that prompted it, or a desire to see how many people liked your most recent Instagram post. Like an addict in need of a quick hit, the itch grows stronger and stronger the longer you delay.

For those who compulsively check their phones, it can often feel like an addiction, but science writer Sharon Begley offers another explanation. She says it’s rooted in a desire to alleviate anxiety.

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Is #Trump #Twitter #Politics compensation for anxiety coping - both his own and his supporters? WI 1848 Forward:

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

I doubt calling President Trump a liar is as effective as calling him an "untruth teller" or perhaps a "fake-truth teller". I am probably wrong but maybe not.

I may not be doing it correctly but it is my feeble attempt to operationalize discoveries of two Nobel winners about us humans as "choice/decision makers", Thaler and Kahneman, and another man, George Lakoff.

Did you ever wonder how someone makes up their mind? How they then become so resolute in what they "believe" to be the real truth or fact?

Over the past several years, especially since Scott Walker was elected governor of our state, I have been among the wandering wonderers. Pragmatically people had beliefs, that although I felt were wrong, they held those beliefs nonetheless. How does one go about affecting beliefs or changing a person's mind let alone a group? So I kept the question in my mind and passively went about creating a record, in a blog, collecting facts over time to see if I could find "facts" that changed my mind or to say more accurately, refined my thoughts.

Along the way I collected so many stories from different people and disciplines that were independently interesting. As I collected those stories it seemed they were only related to some small part of my question.

Many things were mulled over and then I encountered the following which I posted in January, 2012. My interest stemmed from curiosity about "Behavioral Economics". The use of the word "moral" in the title also intrigued me since the politics of many to the right seem to believe they have "a better moral compass" than others. (see the link for the full context)

Give credit to Kahneman, Thaler, Lakoff and I would add Dan Ariely and E.O. Wilson.

It seems we humans have a strong sense of "fairness" and we will penalize those that are "unfair". We won't buy a needed umbrella in a rain storm if the merchant has jacked up the price.

So the premise of calling out the behavior is more important than calling out the act. President Trump is being "unfair". He has so many advantages: command the world's attention, nuclear arsenal, executive orders, power of appointment, twitter, an army of "untruth tellers". President Trump is doing this himself - he is identifying "the media" as "unfair".

He is not being fair and portraying himself as the victim (rather viciously). The media needs to emphasize this politely and perhaps turn the "fake-news" label into the label of being the "underdog" versus President Trump.

As an example of the narrative, "I know my voice won't be heard over the commander-in-chief''s voice but this is so unfair and untruthful."

It's worth a try ... isn't it? I gather from what I have read that the phrase "predictably irrational" is an apt description of President Trump and every other human being. He is taking severe advantage of our human foible to demonstrate how unfairly he is being treated and shouting it from the rooftops. None of us can replicate his "power" but President Trump is using it radically to disparage people who are a lot smaller than him who have none of his power.

Thaler studies describes this as predictably irrational (the phrase may actually originate with Dan Ariely) ... almost seems like an oxymoron.

... Lakoff gave a talk recently at the Center for Right-Wing Studies and pointed out that students who become Democratic operatives tend to study political studies and statistics and demographics in college. “Students who lean Republican study marketing. “And that’s his point,” Rosenthal said. “It’s a very different way of thinking.”

We need to remember where President Trump consciously learned the skill he amplifies and exemplifies.

How the " #FakeNews " can deal with a " #PredictablyIrrational" President #Trump - #UnFairness Practices #VictimHood

How the " #FakeNews " is really the " #Underdog ". #PredictablyIrrational" President #Trump - is #UnFair

Any consumer in Wisconsin may place a security freeze on his or her credit report by requesting it
in writing. The consumer reporting agency is not allowed to charge a fee to victims for placing,
removing for a specific period or specific party, or removing a security freeze on a credit report. To
prove victim status, you must include a copy of a report to a law enforcement agency regarding
identity theft. For all other consumers, a charge of $10 will be applied for each placing, removing,
or for each temporary lifting of a security freeze. A security freeze prohibits, with certain specific
exceptions, the consumer reporting agency from releasing the consumer’s credit report or any
information from it without the express authorization of the consumer. The freeze goes into effect
five (5) business days from receipt of the consumer’s letter by the consumer reporting agency.

WRITTEN BY

On Aug. 13, Ecuadorian authorities intercepted a Chinese ship crossing the Galapagos Marine Reserve, one of the most heavily protected nature reserves in the world. In its freezers they discovered 300 tons (270 metric tons) of fish, of which more than half were sharks—mostly illegal hammerheads and threatened silky sharks.

Yet the Fu Yuan Yu Leng 999 was not a fishing boat. Its crew, who now face jail time in Ecuador for environmental crimes, were likely not the fishermen. To fish commercial quantities of shark, you need tens of thousands of meters of thick fishing line, big, motorized winches, and piles of hooks, each the size of an adult finger. That sort of gear was not on board.

Rather, the Chinese ship was a carrier vessel, whose job was to collect and deliver to port the illegal catch of other fishing boats. Its capture, likely one of the biggest seizures of illegal sharks in recent years, opens a rare window into the murky world of maritime poaching. And it has triggered an international hunt to piece together the puzzle: Where was it heading? Who was making money off of the smuggling? And, most of all, who were the fishermen and where did they catch the sharks? ...

We all need to be concerned about preserving the Earth as we know it. Some think that is irrelevant ... markets will solve the problems. The question is for whom? The middle-class American? How is that working out for you? The venture capitalists were interested in themselves not you.A total disruption of the oceanic eco-system will lead us to where?

Tuesday, August 8, 2017

1/16/2018

A newly released memo projects the public cost for a planned Foxconn manufacturing project near Racine could near $4.5 billion -- nearly 50 percent more than the $3 billion cost initially cited by the project's chief proponent at the state Capitol, Gov. Scott Walker.

The figures were compiled by the nonpartisan Legislative Fiscal Bureau in a memo requested -- and released Tuesday -- by Assembly Democratic Leader Gordon Hintz. The individual cost figures are not new but had not previously been compiled in a single document.

10/18/17 Now what's the swindle?

8/8/17

It would take 25 years for state taxpayers to see a return ... LFB

Hold him accountable ...

"I did some research looking at their (Foxconn) California plant. Their assemblers are making $9.20 an hour," Representative Chris Sinicki notes at the public hearing on the Foxconn incentives bill. "Is it possible, Mr. Secretary, then, if they already said that they'd be starting at $20 an hour, can we get that in writing in a bill?"

It would take 25 years for state taxpayers to see a return on the billions Gov. Scott Walker wants to invest in a project that would bring Taiwanese electronics giant Foxconn to Wisconsin, new state estimates show.

Walker has proposed to give Foxconn nearly $3 billion in refundable tax credits as part of an incentive package state lawmakers are considering to convince the company to build its first U.S. plant in the southeastern part of the state -- a campus that is projected to employ 13,000 and create a supply chain that could employ more than 30,000 statewide.

A new analysis released Tuesday by the nonpartisan Legislative Fiscal Bureau shows taxpayers would pay about $1 billion more than the state received in revenues during the first 15 years of the project, and that the state will start to recoup those payments starting in 2043 -- or a quarter of a century after the project starts.

That estimated break-even date assumes the workforce produced by Foxconn is 13,000 employees entirely composed of Wisconsin residents. The more out-of-state workers that commute to the plant, the farther away the break-even date will be, according to the analysis.

Let’s review. Even under Foxconn’s own analysis, depending on how many of the estimated 3,000 to 13,000 are actually created, Wisconsin taxpayers would subsidize each job to the tune of $230,000 to almost $1 million. And these jobs would pay about 31 percent of what it would take a family of four to live a normal middle-class lifestyle. (A family of four needs to earn $131,000 to maintain the equivalent of a 1970’s middle-class lifestyle.) It turns out that hourly workers would only make about $41,600 a year, not the $53,000 in initial reports. Apparently, that higher average amount includes all salaries, even high-paid managers. To add injury to insult, the deal would allow the company to move streams, fill wetlands and pollute water without so much as telling us what they might destroy through an environmental impact statement.

Wisconsin’s current deficit at $137M

Itemizing the shortfall in the current budget.
The deficit for the state of Wisconsin is $136.7 million for the current biennial budget, according to new figures from the State Budget Office. River Hills Republican Senator Alberta Darling co-chairs the Legislature’s budget committee. “We are looking at a real challenge and the governor has been very clear … we are not going to raise taxes, so this leaves making some really tough decisions based on some really difficult priorities.”

Governor Scott Walker released a breakdown of the numbers, which includes $58.7 million that’s owed to Minnesota for the terminated tax reciprocity agreement, a $153.2 million deficit in Medical Assistance Programs, and $21.7 million deficit in the Department of Corrections.

More than $137 million spent in recalls, nearly $81M in Walker race

Candidates, special interest groups and political committees spent more than $137 million on the historic wave of 15 recalls over the last two years, the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign said Wednesday.

Of that amount, nearly $81 million targeted the failed attempt to recall Republican Gov. Scott Walker. It more than doubled the record-setting $37.4 million spent for a statewide office in the 2010 governor's race. And Walker more than tripled his previous spending record, doling out about $36 million leading up to his June 5 recall victory. ...

For all 15 of the recalls in 2011 and 2012, Republican candidates, groups and committees outspent their Democratic opponents $84.5 million to $52.6 million, according to WDC.And outside special interest groups spent nearly $76 million in the 15 recalls, including $39.8 million by groups that supported the GOP and $36 million by those that backed Democrats.

Saturday, July 29, 2017

9/17/2017 ... Lets be sure to keep Walker and GOP accountable: 0 jobs and counting plus taxes given to corporations and other impositions on environment

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~LFB says 25 years but a simple analysis says:

What's the annual payroll going to be? My guess $90M for 3000 jobs ... these are only going to be well paying for a few ... even $30000 a year is probably as an average pay ... kind of high. After all this is to be a manufacturing facility ... mostly robots?

An economic multiplier of 3 would boost indirect economic benefit to $270M.

Waving all kinds of safeguards shifts external costs to those proverbial "grandchildren". What will cleanup or even current hazards cost.

The fact that this has to be "fast-tracked" in the legislature means the deal is really not done. So let's change it and really analyze costs short and long and see how the "grandchildren" are really going to do! Is the LFB going to really be able to do their job.

BTW - How does Walker and this help the imbalance faced by rural counties? Last time I checked Kenosha-Racine counties were semi-urban

Gee, with all of the environmental damage and the massive write-offs and costs that your property taxes will make up the difference for, wouldn’t it be swell to live in the communities around this development over the next few years? UGH!

Can you believe the Ernst & Young study? I'm a little skeptical ... this might better be called a"Public Relations" promo piece. You would think FOXCONN would know their "own facts" ... why does Ernst & Young have to tell them to all of us, including FOXCONN. It still does not include what is being promised to them and what "skin" they have in the game!

Foxconn's proposed LCD manufacturing complex in Wisconsin will need a great deal of water to operate — millions of gallons per day — and the Taiwan-based company has positioned itself to get it from Lake Michigan. It's likely that Foxconn planners thought ahead about the complex legal structure governing municipal use of Great Lakes water. Once the company can legally access this water, it has to actually get it to and from the complex. That infrastructure will be a major engineering and construction project in its own right. ...

Put this on your timeline ... 2020 or 2022 before even begins to operate significantly

Foxconn hasn't said exactly how much water it will need for a factory in Mount Pleasant. But one electronics manufacturing analyst estimated that it could be as much as 15 million gallons per day — almost double what Waukesha proposes to use at its thirstiest. If Foxconn's needs are anywhere close to that figure, it will take capacious pipes and a fair amount of energy to pump all that water.

Sunday, July 2, 2017

Anytime huge lists are created you need to wonder and worry about ... "What for!" I once found out that my name appeared at least 23 times in United Airlines "Frequent Flyer" list, and we were all different individuals by United's criteria. It is easy to use them as unsubstantiated evidence for blocking you or inconveniencing you because you are on the list ... and have been marked as suspicious. Homeland Security did (probably still does) this kind of thing with no-fly lists.

There is frequently no review and no accountability of someone who may have the authority to "mark" you as "detain and interview".

When you cross this with data from the U.S. Census and/or the IRS ... data which is suppose to be confidential ... it is ripe for abuse. Potential intimidation by radical GOP directed bureaucrats should make libertarians, conservatives and those most interested in preserving individual and collective freedoms cringe.

The Real Purpose: Voter Suppression - it worked so well for the GOP in 2016

... “This entire commission is based on the specious and false notion that there was widespread voter fraud last November,” Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) said in a statement. “At best this commission was set up as a pretext to validate Donald Trump’s alternative election facts, and at worst is a tool to commit large-scale voter suppression.”

California, a state Trump singled out for “serious voter fraud,” also refused to participate. Alex Padilla, the California secretary of state, said providing data “would only serve to legitimize the false and already debunked claims of massive voter fraud.” ...

Vice President Pence, who is chairman of the commission, hosted a conference call with the group’s members Wednesday morning, three weeks before they are scheduled to have their first meeting in Washington. During the call, Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach (R), the vice chairman, told the other members about the letters.

A spokesman for Pence defended the letters, noting they seek information that is available publicly under state laws. ...

... “It looks like they’re putting together a database of who people voted for,” said Jason Kander, a former Missouri secretary of state who runs the nonprofit group Let America Vote. “Democrat, Republican, independent, everybody should be outraged by that. This is from the same people, from Kris Kobach to Donald Trump, who’ve tried to make it harder for people to vote, and this seems like a step in the process. If the Obama administration had asked for this, Kris Kobach would be holding a press conference outside the Capitol to denounce it.”...

... Other states have said that they do plan to hand over information, albeit less than the broad sweep outlined in the letters. Wisconsin’s elections commission administrator said that the state would give the public information for the standard $12,500 fee, but was not allowed to release other details such as dates of birth. Ohio Secretary of State Jon A. Husted, a Republican, said his state would be handing over most of the requested information — noting that it is publicly available — though he said they would not provide portions of Social Security numbers and driver’s license numbers because those are not.

Husted said in an interview Friday that his office had conducted reviews after previous elections, saying that these investigations have determined that “voter fraud exists, it’s rare and we hold people accountable when we catch them.”

Earlier this year, Husted announced that his office found 82 noncitizens of the United States who illegally voted in a recent Ohio election. According to his office, more than 5.6 million people cast ballots in last November’s general election.

The following direct twitter message was sent to me 9/28/2017 ... I'm not sure which of my posts it related to because I have quite a few where the phrase "voter suppression" is used. There may be a more appropriate place to include this information. If you disagree with me or this individual do not harass us but do present your facts.

Sauk County Circuit Court judge Michael Screnock, who once worked on a team of lawyers to defend Gov. Scott Walker's collective bargaining law against lawsuits, is joining the 2018 race for a seat on the state Supreme Court.

Screnock, who was appointed to his judgeship in 2015 by Walker, announced his bid for the state's highest court Friday — a day after Justice Michael Gableman, whose first term on the court expires in 2018, said he would not be seeking re-election.

June 2, 2015Republican Gov. Scott Walker has appointed two attorneys to circuit court judgeships who helped the Walker administration and legislative Republicans consolidate power. They defended laws that slashed public employee collective bargaining rights, redrew legislative districts that enabled Republicans to increase their control of the legislature, and require citizens to present a photo ID to vote.Walker’s appointees are Middleton attorney James Troupis, who will replace a retiring judge on the Dane County bench, and Michael Screnock, a former Michael Best and Friedrich attorney, who will replace a retiring judge on the Sauk County bench.Screnock has not made campaign contributions to any legislative or statewide candidates, including Walker. Troupis contributed about $27,000 between January 2000 and Oct. 20, 2014, to numerous Republican legislative and statewide candidates and officeholders, but not to Walker.Both Troupis and Screnock were on a team of lawyers that successfully defended the governor’s effort to sharply cut public employee union bargaining rights before a state appeals court and the Wisconsin Supreme Court. They were also among the lawyers hired in 2011 by majority Republican lawmakers to successfully defend a plan that redrew legislative district boundaries to generally favor Republicans in elections through at least 2020. Troupis also helped successfully defend the state’s voter identification law sought by Walker and legislative Republicans.

A judge?! ... One of the "gerrymanderists" ... becomes a judge and now wants on our Supreme Court ..

... Assembly Speaker Robin Vos and other top Republicans have announced a new leadership center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison that Vos said will "offset some of the liberal thinking" on campus.

The speaker’s remarks came as UW-Madison Chancellor Rebecca Blank pledged that the new Tommy G. Thompson Center on Public Leadership would promote nonpartisan research....

MADISON – Yesterday, the Republican-controlled Joint Finance Committee allocated $3 million in state funds in an unprecedented move to use taxpayer money to fund a partisan, conservative think tank at UW-Madison called the Tommy G. Thompson Center on Public Leadership. Republican Assembly Speaker Robin Vos stated in media accounts that this Center was designed to counter “left-leaning” research organizations and “liberal thinking” on campus.

This comes on the heels of a bill Vos is attempting to push through the legislature that unconstitutionally punishes students for exercising their First Amendment rights by the threat of expulsion.

The think tank will actually be controlled by a board dominated by exclusively Republican political appointees without a single Democratic appointment. According to press accounts, UW Political Science Professor Ryan Owens, a former staffer to Governor Thompson who has received funding from the conservative Bradley Foundation, is vying to lead the Center. A significant portion, $500,000, must be used to pay speakers for engagements at other UW campuses.

MADISON, Wis. - Newly released emails show University of Wisconsin political science professors involved in the creation of a publicly funded policy center raised concerns about an emphasis on conservative speakers.

The Tommy G. Thompson Center on Public Leadership was announced in May and it received $3 million in the state budget.

E-mails obtained under the state open records law by the liberal advocacy group One Wisconsin Now, provided to The Associated Press on Wednesday, show that professors involved with the planning raised red flags early on.

One concern was over a tentative speaking list for a leadership event next month that was all Republican.