The set-up: Toledo can become eligible with a victory today, while Kent State enters at 3-5. Both teams enter struggling, with Toledo having lost two of its last three, and Kent State having lost three of its last four. Kent State has faced some stiff competition this year and Dustin Crum has been decent under center for the Flashes. Toledo's strength on the defensive side is its pass defense though.

The pick: Toledo enters off a 3-point OT win over EMU and I think that Eli Peters and company keep the foot on the gas in front of the home town crowd. Kent STate has struggled in this spot as well, going just 11-14 ATS in its last 25 as an underdog and only 1-3 ATS in its last four after a close lss by seven points or less to a conference rival. Conversely note that the Rockets have excelled in this position for bettors, going 9-2 ATS their last 11 as a home favorite. This one has "blowout" written all over it.

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