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Multi-purpose port landscape in Southeast Asia in the next 10 years

Author

Koh, Jace Yuan Zhi

Date of Issue

2016-05-12

School

School of Civil and Environmental Engineering

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to project the outlook of Southeast Asia multipurpose port (MPP) landscape for the next decade. The study of the MPP landscape of Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam and Philippines is conducted to draw conclusion for the overall outlook of Southeast Asia’s MPP landscape. Factors driving demand and supply for MPPs service were studied to draw the conclusion for the MPP landscape for the shortlisted countries. Factors affecting demand includes ASEAN-China relation, ASEAN Economic Community development, Transpacific Trade Partnership, forecast of cargo throughput and trade trends. On the hand, factors affecting supply includes port issues and development plans, port investment prospects and hinterland connectivity. Results have shown that trade in the long term is poised to grow strong for Southeast Asia. The slower growth of China will result in near to mid-term moderate growth in trade. However, the long term impact establish by the Transpacific Trade Partnership and ASEAN Economic Community will arguably boost the overall trade in Southeast Asia. On the supply side, prospect for port investment is projected to be positive with existing development ongoing. However, many of the developing countries will continue to be plagued with existing issues such as low hinterland connectivity, uncoordinated development of ports, political instability and corruption. In all, the paper presents a strong outlook for Southeast Asia MPP landscape till 2025, as the market’s potential and the need for development, outshines the negative outlook from the supply side.