Makroekonomiczne uwarunkowania upadłości przedsiębiorstw w Polsce

The main purpose of this work is to analyse the phenomenon of enterprises’ bankruptcy in Poland in 2004-2013 and attempt to build regression models defining the relationship between the number of bankrupted companies and selected macroeconomic parameters of the national economy. The analysis is based on Coface Poland reports presenting the phenomenon of bankruptcy in Poland of branches, provinces, legal forms of companies and types of bankruptcy proceedings. Studies have shown that the greatest risk of bankruptcy refers to metals production and fabricated metal products enterprises, manufacture of food products and beverages, wholesale trade, construction, micro and small enterprises, enterprises under the age of 10 years and companies from Mazovia region, Silesia and Lower Silesia. The estimated parameters of the regression models showed that the number of bankruptcies in Poland is strongly determined i.a. by the number of registered companies, GDP growth, dynamics of changes in fixed capital formation and changes in FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES.

Bankruptcy prediction and business cycle. Contemporary Problems of Transformation Process i the Central and East European Countries. 2011. Proceedings of the 17th Ukrainian-Polish--Slovak Scientific Seminar held on September 22-24, 2010, Lviv Academy of Commerce,Lviv, 9-24.