1. Andrew Gelman (with co-authors) has a new and important paper on general-election polling, showing that many (most?) swings during the course of the campaign may only be changes in how likely people are to talk to pollsters.

2. Some skepticism about that finding from Aaron Blake. I haven't read the paper; I've only read Gelman's blog post.

7. I love this idea: Huffington Post puts together a "Ferguson Fellowship" to keep covering what happens after everyone else leaves. Ryan Grim with the details. Will it work? Who knows -- but we need more schemes such as this one.