Weekly Punt: Straight Sets Unlikely

The Weekly Punt had an excellent season so far this year in beating the betting market, but last week’s performance in tipping Geelong on the line and our multi-bet were way off the mark. It was the first time The Weekly Punt did not make profit in consecutive weeks but this was an anomaly and it should make amends this week.

Since the inception of the current final eight system only two teams have ever gone out in straight sets. The least unlikely this week to do so is Collingwood. Do not get enamoured by West Coast demolition of North last week. The difference between the Eagles home and away performances is like night and day. The loss of Beau Waters is massive and therefore Collingwood should have more than the edge here. Betstar is offering -3.5 for the Pies at $1.93 and our bet of the round.

Fremantle last week showed they are the real deal by beating last year’s premier in their first ever interstate finals win. So we expect them to really push the Crows, but given the game is in Adelaide we think the Crows will just get up. Best bet here is to take Fremantle with Betfair who are offering +9.5 line at $1.95.