Conventional thought suggests that a good defense trumps a good offense. This is true, especially when you’re talking about Pac-12 football. Oregon QB Justin Herbert has been excellent so far, while K.J. Costello for Stanford has been up-and-down, showing a propensity to turn the ball over. As good as Bryce Love is for the Cardinal, there’s always a chance that he could miss a series or two because of injury concerns. There are too many questions for the Cardinal to believe in them in this game. Oregon plays the same frenetic speed all game long, and has the advantage at the most important position.

The Saints have yet to cover this season, but I think that changes Sunday against the banged-up Falcons. Drew Brees has been better on the road lately (100-plus passer rating last three away games), and last year he threw for 682 yards and five TDs with no INTs in two games versus the Falcons. Grab the points.

Case Keenum has more picks (4) than TDs (3), but he’s also got two come-from-behind home wins to start the season. The defense has been coming up with big plays in key moments and allows just 78 ypg on the ground. But perhaps the most impressive change for Denver has been the running game, averaging 157 yards between the two games. Rookie RBs Philip Lindsay and Royce Freeman are getting frequent openings and taking advantage. Broncos can win this game, but I’ll take the points.

Kansas City’s combination of horrendous defense and efficient offense has been a perfect recipe for shootouts, as their games have averaged a combined 72.5 points. That is with the Chargers dropping two open touchdowns in week 1! KC grades as PFF’s worst coverage and tackling team so far, and the pass rush has been invisible. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for 677 passing yards out of clean pockets against KC, which is the most in the NFL by over 100 yards. That’s great news for Jimmy G and company, as Garoppolo’s passer rating climbed from 63.3 (25th in the NFL) when under pressure in 2017 to 110.1 (6th) when kept clean. With little pressure coming from KC’s defense, Garoppolo should have no problem picking them apart. Pound that OVER.