Tropical Depression JIMENA

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
800 AM PDT FRI SEP 04 2009
JIMENA HAS BEEN VOID OF ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION SINCE AROUND
0600 UTC...AND IF IT DOES NOT RETURN SOON...JIMENA WILL BE DECLARED
A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY. MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS
THE LOW DISSIPATING IN ABOUT 48 HOURS...AND THAT IS REFLECTED IN
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.
JIMENA HAS BEEN MOVING VERY LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT THE
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE FOR THIS ADVISORY IS A SLOW DRIFT
TOWARD THE WEST...270/02. THE CYCLONE SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST LATER TODAY...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TAKES THE
CENTER BACK OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA BEFORE DISSIPATION.
THERE IS STILL THE POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF WESTERN MEXICO AND THE CENTRAL PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 04/1500Z 27.7N 111.8W 25 KT
12HR VT 05/0000Z 27.7N 111.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 05/1200Z 27.5N 112.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 06/0000Z 27.3N 113.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 06/1200Z 27.4N 114.1W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
72HR VT 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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