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NFL Picks

NFL Week 3 Picks & Consensus Report - Who Got It Wrong?

Let’s look at the Vikings vs Panthers game and the Bears-Cowboys SNF under the premise that these early point spread moves against these two NFC North underdogs is wrong, with NFL picks on both.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone an NFL-best 16-3 ATS their L19 games but playing Cam Newton and the defending NFC champion-Panthers at Home at Bank of America Stadium where they’ve averaged over 40 ppg their L7 will be quite the challenge or the defending NFC North champs. Let’s look at that game and the Bears-Cowboys SNF under the premise these early Point Spread moves against these two NFC North underdogs is wrong, with picks on both.

Movement Analysis: The Point Spread here has actually gone up 1 point since its Offshore opening Sunday night, with the host and NFC champion Carolina Panthers (+975 to win Super Bowl, Bookmaker, BetDSI) now laying a TD or more (7½, 5Dimes) against the Minnesota Vikings (+1850 to win Super Bowl, Heritage) at Bank of America Stadium on Sunday where the hosts have averaged a healthy 40.4 ppg in their L7 games. Although the odds for this high-profile NFL Week 3 game seem to be moving the wrong way against a team—the Vikings—who are 16-3 ATS in their L19 games (84.2%)—the Consensus polls seem to have it right midweek with a healthy disparity now.

With Minnesota starting QB Teddy Bridgewater suffering a season-ending Injury before the Regular Season began, the Vikings (+325, to win NFC North, 5Dimes) and HC Mike Zimmer (26-9 ATS) turned to backup Shaun Hill and then traded for Oklahoma-product Sam Bradford from the Philadelphia Eagles and he looked pretty good in a 17-14 SNF win over the rival Packers in Minneapolis. The Under is 8-4 the L12 in this series.

Movement Analysis: The Point Spread for this NFL Regular Season Week 3 game from AT&T Stadium In Arlington, Texas on Sunday night has risen a whopping 4 points over the L2 days to its current high of DAL -8 -125 at popular Offshore sportsbook 5Dimes, a combination of the public’s reaction to how poorly Chicago (125/1 to win NFC, Bookmaker, BetDSI) played on MNF losing to the Eagles and the rash of Injuries Chicago sustained in that Loss. But it’s hard to back the Cowboys at Home where they are just 1-8 SU the L9, 1-3 ATS the L4 vs. Chicago and Dallas is a pathetic 2-14 its L16 without usual starting QB Tony Romo (Back) in there. If aiming to back Da Bears here, maybe wait and see how how this will go?

The heavy Consensus early money is on the Cowboys (42/1 to win Super Bowl, Heritage) with Mississippi State-product Dak Prescott showing Dallas (+1900 to win NFC, Bookmaker, BetDSI) definitely made the right move in drafting him this Spring.