LIVE: West Midlands Mayor – the result

Welcome to our rolling live blog from the election count for the first West Midlands Mayor. Kevin Johnson and Hannah Green reporting.

Please keep refreshing for updates and also follow @ChamberlainFile on Twitter.

Scroll down for the latest updates.

Intro

Voting in the historic election to choose the first West Midlands Mayor took place yesterday, with polls closing at 10.00pm last night.

The count takes place today, starting at around 9.00am. Separate counts will happen in each of the seven districts that make up the ‘constituent’ areas of the West Midlands Combined Authority.

The total votes will then be declared at the Barclaycard Arena in Birmingham, where the city’s own count will also happen.

The election took place using the Supplementary Vote, with voters choosing their first and second preference mayoral candidates.

It is expected that counting of first preference votes across the region will conclude by 1.00pm.

If no candidate secures more than 50% of the total votes, then all but the top two candidates will be eliminated and the second preference votes of those leaving the contest will be re-allocated to the remaining two mayoral hopefuls.

Round Two of voting will commerce at 2pm with the final result expected to be declared by 6.00pm.

Just under two million people in the region were eligible to vote, with nearly 3/4m voters in Birmingham alone.

It had not been anticipated that turnout would exceed 20%, although Tory hopeful Andy Street has long been predicting 30%.

READ: New WMCA chair to take the helm, but what’s it been up to?

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17.47

There are stories within stories in this election.

What were the key factors for Andy Street’s win:

A highly energetic, massively visible campaign from Street – and a low key, core votes campaign from his principal opponent?

An increasingly dominant Conservative party, emboldened by Theresa’s May rising popularity and her approach to Brexit?

Mr Street’s brand of Conservatism, accessible to many people who would not usually vote Tory?

The continuing troubles of a Labour Party under Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership?

The demise of UKIP, a vote level that disappointed the Lib Dem camp and the entry of the Communists?

The SV system and the lack of coherent strategy to maximise it by the Labour campaign?

A big pre-official campaign period spend by Andy Street, much of which did not place the Conservative brand particularly prominently?

A win for the business leader (of cuddly John Lewis to boot) over the “career politician?”

We will muse and discuss on these pages over the coming hours, days and weeks.

But, for now, well done Andy Street and his team. Commiserations to all the other candidates – it has been gruelling for all concerned.

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17.41

We’re hanging on in there as the chairs are stacked around us.

Simon and Street in series of media interviews.

For different reasons, both looking shell shocked.

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17.38

Birmingham and the West Midlands may be the centre of the political world, but we’re being kicked out of the election centre. Media colleagues being chucked out as they prepare to go live to TV and radio networks.

Doesn’t seem very smart PR.

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17.32

In an election where 523,201 people voted, to win by a margin of just 3,766 (albeit on the SV system) is remarkable.

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17.26

Phew. Andy Street – West Midlands Mayor elect – has moved away from our desk so we can get back to the blog.

If you haven’t already picked up from our Twitter feed or elsewhere, Andy Street has sensationally beaten Labour’s Sion Simon to win the West Midlands Mayoralty.

The winning margin was just 3,766 votes.

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16.20

There are a possible 34,476 votes to re-distribute in Birmingham. How many will have exercised that right, and where will they have gone? Simon needs to acquire a little more than 6,000 of them compared to Street.

Either result possible at this point.

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16.14

The back of our ‘fag packet’ has Street ahead by 6431 votes.

That’s quite a lead for Simon to overhaul in Birmingham.

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16.08

Based on the results so far (not all verified), we have:

Street 229,099

Simon 222,485

6615 lead for Street.

Now Wolverhampton:

Simon 1996

Street 1712

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16.06

Dudley 2nd votes in full

Street 3306 (corrected)

Simon 2446

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16.01

Coventry

Simon: 3236

Street 2213

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15.58

3 down, 4 to go. Street’s ahead. Two more coming….

Solihull 2nd result

Simon 2256

Street 2981

Coventry result coming shortly.

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15.55

Walsall 2nd preference result:

Street 2186

Simon 1811

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15.49

Street now 6895 ahead after Dudley 2nd preference votes. He picked up 860 more secondary votes than Simon.

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15.41

On a quick calculation, something like half of those who could have used their supplementary vote in Sandwell elected not to use it.

As well as a better turnout than anticipated, one of the other stories of this campaign is the use (or otherwise) of Supplementary Vote system. We feel another Chris Game blog coming on.

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15.36

The four candidates who have fallen out of the contest have left the building. Only Messrs Simon and Street will be around to take to the stage when the final result is declared.

So far, the two leading candidates have not been seen in the media area.

15.33

So, Simon closes the gap by just 216 votes. 6 more districts to go.

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15.31

Sandwell second preference votes are in:

Simon 2476

Street 2260

Not counted/rejected 4701

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14.42

Labour sources tell us it’s in the lap of the gods.

Whilst Street is head, it’s anyone’s guess what will happen with supplementary votes.

Sources tell Chamberlain Files that Lib Dem and UKIP 1st preference voters split 50/50 on who they gave their 2nd vote to.

Green 1st preference voters – as well as those supporting the Communists – are more likely to vote for Labour as their second vote.

But, how many voters will have used their second votes at all – and, of those, who used them smartly?

Answers on a postcard to the Barclaycard Arena.

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14.39

James Burn lost the Green’s deposit, which seems unfair for a candidate who has impressed many.

He tells Chamberlain Files, though, that outcome is ahead of their objectives when they started. He has successfully raised issues and represented his party well.

He’s going for a long lie down and will not be taking an active part in the General Election campaign.

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14.38

So, it’s Street v Simon in round two with Street around 6,000 votes in the lead.

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14.32

So, those results in full now they have been officially published.

Burn 24260

Nielsen 29051

Simon 210259

Stevenson 5696

Street 216280

Rejected 7268

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14.12

Dudley result – Street ahead of Simon by around 14,000.

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14.10

Sandwell result – Simon ahead (of Street) by just under 15,000.

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14.09

Solihull result – Street ahead by just under 30,000.

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14.04

Solihull is likely to cancel out Labour’s lead, more or less.

Dudley and Sandwell will hold the balance on first Round. Where the UKIP votes go will be key.