The Code Instructs Israel to Take No Pity on Iran (2/2/2012)

On the matrix below the axis term is MISSILE BASE at its only ELS in wrapped Torah. At the same skip (-21,427) is one of two transliterations for IRAN. Centered on IRAN is ISRAEL in the open text. The (probable) attack by Israel destroyed a key Iranian rocket base killed 17 Iranians including Gen. Hassan Tehrani Moghaddam, the head of Iran’s missile program. Running through MISSILE BASE and IRAN, above ISRAEL is YOUR EYE SHALL NOT PITY,LIFE FOR LIFE. Coverage of the story in the New York Times from December 4, 2011 follows the matrix with a statistical analysis of the matrix after it.

Published: December 4, 2011

WASHINGTON — The huge explosion that destroyed a major missile-testing site near Tehran three weeks ago was a major setback for Iran’s most advanced long-range missile program, according to American and Israeli intelligence officials and missile technology experts.

Photos released by the Institute for Science and International Security show an Iranian missile-testing site near Tehran before an explosion destroyed the base. It is unclear what caused the explosion at the base. In interviews, current and former officials said surveillance photos showed that the Iranian base was a central testing center for advanced solid-fuel missiles, an assessment backed by outside experts who have examined satellite photos showing that the base was almost completely leveled in the blast. Such missiles can be launched almost instantly, making them useful to Iran as a potential deterrent against pre-emptive attacks by Israel or the United States, and they are also better suited than older liquid-fuel designs for carrying warheads long distances.

It is still unclear what caused the explosion, with American officials saying they believe it was probably an accident, perhaps because of Iran’s inexperience with a volatile, dangerous technology. Iran declared it an accident, but subsequent discussions of the episode in the Iranian news media have referred to the chief of Iran’s missile program as one of the “martyrs” killed in the huge explosion. Some Iranian officials have talked of sabotage, but it is unclear whether that is based on evidence or surmise after several years in which Iranian nuclear scientists have been assassinated on Tehran’s streets, and a highly sophisticated computer worm has attacked its main uranium production facility.

Both American and Israeli officials, in discussing the explosion in recent days, showed little curiosity about its cause. “Anything that buys us time and delays the day when the Iranians might be able to mount a nuclear weapon on an accurate missile is a small victory,” one Western intelligence official who has been deeply involved in countering the Iranian nuclear program said this weekend. “At this point, we’ll take whatever we can get, however it happens.”

In addition to providing a potential deterrent to attackers, Iran’s advances in solid-fuel missile technology, and the concern it could eventually have intercontinental reach, have been at the heart of the Obama administration’s insistence on the need for new missile-defense programs...

One of the many theories swirling around the explosion at the missile base is that it could have been hit by a weapon, including one fired from a drone, setting off the huge explosion that followed. But since no outsiders can approach the base or gather evidence, it is unclear whether it will ever be known publicly what triggered the explosion.

Even if the cause was an accident — and the United States has suffered some with its own solid-fuel motors — several officials said that it was a major setback for Iran’s effort to focus much of its industrial prowess on that kind of missile. Missiles powered by solid fuels rather than liquids have no need for trucks to fill them with volatile fluids, and can be fired on short notice, making them hard for other nations to destroy before they are launched. That would add to Iran’s ability to protect its nuclear sites from an Israeli strike — a subject of renewed debate in Israel in recent weeks — because Iran could threaten to retaliate before many of its missiles were struck. Solid-fuel missiles are also easier to hide. For those reasons, modern militaries rely on solid fuels for their deadliest missiles.

Moreover, at a time Iran is being squeezed by sanctions, the country has succeeded in making the solid-fuel engines with indigenous technology. For liquid-fueled engines, many key components come from abroad.

In a recent report, the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London called Iran’s shift to solid-fuel engines “a turning point” with “profound strategic implications” because the technology also brings Tehran closer to its goal of making long-range missiles. In its report three weeks ago, the International Atomic Energy Agency laid out, for the first time in public, detailed evidence it says suggests that Iran worked at some point in the past decade on designing a nuclear warhead that would fit atop its missile fleet.

Partly for that reason, Western officials said, many of the sanctions imposed on Iran by the United Nations Security Council seek to block its import of rocket parts. Last week, the Institute for Science and International Security, a private group in Washington, released a commercial satellite image of the destroyed base. It called Iran’s labors there integral to “a major milestone in the development of a new missile.”

Government and private analysts described the blast at the military base, which occurred Nov. 12 and killed Gen. Hassan Tehrani Moghaddam, the head of Iran’s missile program, as a major setback — not just because of the extensive damage to the site but also because of the loss of expertise from the specialists working there.

General Moghaddam’s funeral was attended by Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. “That was a statement of how central Moghaddam’s work was,” one American intelligence official said.

The sprawling complex where the blast took place has expanded dramatically in the last few years. Michael Elleman, a main author of the International Institute’s 148-page report on Iranian missiles, examined the public images of the destroyed base and said in an interview that the damage and other evidence was consistent with solid-fuel technology.

STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE OF THE MATRIX. There was just 1 chance in 403 that IRAN (two spelling checked) at a special case skip (+/- 1 or the absolute skip the axis term) would be in the 42 letters shown with the white background on the matrix around MISSILE BASE. But such a small matrix does not suggest anything beyond the fact that a missile base exists in Iran. We need to see more to learn if this particular based was deliberately attacked by Israel (or America). By expanding the matrix 2 columns to the left for a total of 56 letters (white and light blue backgrounds) we see thatISRAEL in the open text crosses Iran. The chance that Iran would be at special case skip and that Israel would be in the 56-letter matrix with MISSILE BASE was about 1 in 2,943. But why would Israel attack the Iranian base? The question seems rhetorical, given Iran's announced intention to wipe Israel off the face of the Earth, however by expanding the matrix to 119 letters, we read YOUR EYE SHALL NOT PITY,LIFE FOR LIFE. Iran has long been funding and supplying Hamas with rockets to attack southern Israel. So the 119-letter matrix supplies not only the source of destruction of the Iranian missile base (ISRAEL), but also the motivation for it to do so. While the combined statistical value of IRAN and ISRAELfor a 119-letter matrix is reduced to about 1 chance in 693, the a-posteriori phrase YOUR EYE SHALL NOT PITY,LIFE FOR LIFEallows us to see the message sent to us by the Code's Author. There are limits to the power of statistics. Sometimes we just need to read the cross-print to understand the real meaning of a matrix.