Teams that are home before a bye week and are favored by between (and including) 6.5 and 13.5 points are 27-3 ATS.

The reasoning for this is that a team that is favored by this much is generally a bit better than their opponent. They don't want to go into practice for 2 weeks listening to their coach how they barely beat a weaker opponent or, God forbid, how they got beat by a weaker opponent.

Since week 7 2007 home dogs with an over/under line of 44 or greater are 0-9 ATS vs. divisional opponents

Since 1990 week 1 AFC teams favored by not more than 4 points are 10-0 ATS vs. divisional opponents.

Teams that are home before a bye week and are favored by between (and including) 6.5 and 13.5 points are 27-3 ATS.

The reasoning for this is that a team that is favored by this much is generally a bit better than their opponent. They don't want to go into practice for 2 weeks listening to their coach how they barely beat a weaker opponent or, God forbid, how they got beat by a weaker opponent.

Since week 7 2007 home dogs with an over/under line of 44 or greater are 0-9 ATS vs. divisional opponents

Since 1990 week 1 AFC teams favored by not more than 4 points are 10-0 ATS vs. divisional opponents.