He is not well known yet. Once the voters of IL see the writing on the wall and see the giveaways to the GOP in IN, and ND the Dems will pull it off. I know Obama is very popular in his state and will have a comeback this summer. If this is not a good Democratic year in general, Dems will focus on this race a lot. They can concede DE, ND and IN, so they can work hard to preserve good senators like Feingold.

Kirk looks like the stronger candidate and that is obvious he has more charisma, but he is a Washington person unlike Scott Brown and Chris Christie in NJ; Giannoulias can come across as the guy who has not been corrupted by Washington. I predict, Giannoulias will campaign against Washington and present a populist message. IL also has a 15 point Democratic over Republican edge. Dems should win this one.

Giannoulias is only polling 49% in a seat that last elected a senator by a 70% to 27% margin in a state that elected the othter Illinois senator by a 63% to 33% margin.

That shows that the democrat edge has dried up even in Illinois. Giannoulias should have started out polling at least 60%. I'd watch to see if this race is moved to "leans democrat" from "solid democrat" soon.

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