Wednesday, October 30, 2013

The talk

The
Talk –

Exponential progression-

History
of computation –

Computer MIT took
up a whole building in 1956 and cost billions of dollars – IBM 305 RAMAC was
first shared by thousands of people. It was the first computer with a hard disk
drive, weighed over a ton and stored 5mb of data. Now a cell phone is many
thousand times more powerful costing a few tens of dollars.

Exponential
progression was perfectly smooth for the last 110 years. 1890 the first
automated American census. 2001 first live virtual reality performing and
musical artist living in virtual reality.

A few decades from
now, there won’t be a clear distinction between real and virtual reality.

The future an
explosion of human knowledge, explosion of
music-art-poetry-science-engineering.

The law of accelerating returns –

Information
technology grows exponentially right now doubling every year but even that is
increasing over time.

A few hundred
years ago, people didn’t even realize theirs was change at all.

Industrial Revolution

Now everyone say,
“The only thing that’s constant is change”.But even now, that is changing.It’s going to get to a point where change is so fast that we won’t be
able to follow it without enhancing our own – intelligence – WE refer to that
as “The Singularity”.

The singularity to
me is the point where the exponential rising curve of our technology suddenly
becomes the exponential rising curve of ourselves. It’s the point where our
technology and ourselves are no longer two different things. Everything –
communication- technology – energy – ourselves will transform itself in the PIE
(post-information-era) and be subject to this law of accelerating returns.

Early in the decade,
we will have Avatars popping up in our field of view. We’ll talk things over
with them. They will play a wide variety of roles. They’ll help us conduct all
our transactions, help collect information. Unlike todays Search Engines, it
won’t wait to be asked if they see we are struggling with something. Over time
they’ll become increasingly intelligent –more importantly they’ll have
increasingly engaging personalities. If they didn’t have one they’d be quite
annoying. (talking to computers on the phone.) These virtual people are going
to entertain us. They are going to educate and entertain our kids. Take care of
the elderly. Ultimately, they will become our companions, our lovers. That’ll
play the role that human’s play- they’ll become human-like.

Primitive virtual life – video games (pong, to
games that look realistic & getting more realistic all the time.)Today’ in just a few years, images will be
written to our retinas from our eyeglasses. The army uses them; surgeons use
them today to actually be in a virtual environment. So if they’re doing surgery
on the eye that looks like a very large eye. In addition, they can actually
carry out surgical maneuvers. Computers
watch their movements and translate that to the very fine movements of a very
small robotic surgeon.

In just a few
years from now, we will be online all the time. Moreover, if we want to we can
enter into a virtual realty environment. We can cut out all of the visual
signals, beam images to our retinas – beam sound to our ears and be in a visual
& auditory full immersion virtual reality environment. We’ll actually merge
the virtual world with the real world.

Our emotional
intelligence is actually the cutting edge of human intelligence. But it’s
something the human brain does we’re going to understand it in the same precise
way that we already understand for instance the skill information – such as
catching a fly ball. That’s done by the cerebellum which comprises more than
half the neurons in the brain (psychomotor learning) the cerebellum actually
does these equations of course without us even being aware of it. How does a
small boy catch a fly ball? All he has to do is solve a dozen differential
equations – most ten-year-old kids haven’t taken calculus – but we have models
and working simulations of the cerebellum. We now understand how that works.

In addition, we’ve
modeled some other working areas of the brain like the auditory & visual
cortex of the brain. And we’ve tested these simulations and they compare with
human performance.Ultimately, we will
have models and simulations of the brain that are responsible for our emotions
& machine emotions.

We just have to
appreciate how profoundly social and emotional we as human beings are and
there’s a lot to be understood about these robot & human relationships when
these machines start to exhibit these sorts of qualities.

I don’t think that
these distinctions between emotion and thinking is useful. I think its blocked
psychology for years. Each emotional state is a configuration of mental
activities in which you think in a different way. The idea is to create the
powers of human intelligence in machines.

People say well
where’s the big AI application, they don’t realize that when they go to Google
that’s AI intelligence they’re engaging.

There are hundreds
of examples of what I call “Narrow AI”.

Automatic diagnoses of electro cardiograms

Interpretation of blood cell images

Fly & landing of airplanes “by wire”

Intelligent weapons guidance systems

Credit card fraud detection

Control of just-in-time inventory levels

Robotic factories

Automatic circuit inspect

Solving mathematical theorems & formulae

Routing electronic messages

Connecting cell phone calls

Intelligent computer assisted product design

Energy efficient power plant operation & distribution

Large vocabulary voice recognition

Weather forecasting

Natural disaster early warning systems

Financial transactions

Stock market trading

Where artificial
intelligence programs are doing tasks that used to require human intelligence
just as well and usually much better than human performance & if all these
AI programs stopped working tomorrow our economic eco-structure would grind to
a halt. That was not true 25 years ago – this artificial intelligence we’re
creating is not some alien invasion that’s coming from mars to invade us. WE
are the human machine in civilization. We’ve created machines; we’ve always
used them to extend our physical/mental reach. Its part of who we are – were
going to have artificial intelligence in our brains.We’re going to have artificial
intelligence. We’re going to be biologically enhanced with artificial intelligence.We are literally going to merge with this technology. If we ask you
know, what are we – we will be much more machine than we are biological.

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About Me

I'm a semi-retired musician/entertainer who creates and performs his/her own music, writer, artist, painter, photographer, mathematician and I’m into making movies with high def video cameras. My taste in music is eclectic I listen to and can play most contemporary genres.
Before my musical career I’ve been an RN, phlebotomist, and was successful in a number of blue collar professions. I have several college degrees but mastered in mathematics. Also I'm very into computer science and the Internet. I’m a voracious reader, reading about two nonfiction books a week.
My goal for 2015 is to create a solid presence for both me and my works on the internet.
Personally I’m extremely atypical with a strong sense of self. I also have a genuine mind-set regarding the human condition. I don’t hate but rather feel love for everything except for humanities inhumanity it seems for every existing thing on the planet.
At this time I’m searching ubiquitously for my soul mate.
I hope that this epistle finds you and yours both healthy and in high spirits.
Cheers,
Adrian Alexis