Just recently it moved above a key resistance level and started to show an upward trend. Nickel prices are starting to move higher. You are into a good position technically and seasonally these stocks do well now.

This has gone into the tank, and the balance sheet has fallen away as they have taken off write-offs. It is now rallying with the metals. They are scheduled to lose another $.89 a share this year, which could erode the BV even further.

Management has done a great job in doing the things that are necessary. However, a tough problem to overcome is that they have a market cap of over $3 million, which needs to get to $1 billion before institutions get on board. They’ve fixed their debt, but they have to fix the mine in Madagascar. The only pure play in the nickel market, but unfortunately, too small of a market cap for many companies.

You have issues with it being leveraged, issues with nickel and political issues in Madagascar. It could be interesting as a lottery ticket. They re-structured some of the debt, but that does not mean the equity is going to be worth anything at the end of it.

Had owned the 8% bonds for very specific reasons. Cuba is essentially a ringed fence and so is the Manitoba smelter. There was $600 million in debt, and he thought the coal assets in Western Canada were worth $1-$1.5 billion. Bond agencies wouldn’t rate this because they didn’t know how to rate the Cuban risk. He didn’t care about that risk because it was offset by the Western Canadian coal. On the hint the company was going to sell the coal, he got rid of the bonds as fast as he could. You are now exposed to the Cuban issue, which is a wildcard. Madagascar, depending on the nickel price, might never make money.

For 3 to 5 years? A very interesting company. Not overly diversified and sitting on a fairly good chunk of cash. Has some assets, nickel mining and oil/gas and power, in Cuba which have been phenomenal. Has fallen down on its nickel mine in Madagascar. The CapX, which is mostly behind them right now, has kind of blown their brains out. They have 3 bonds outstanding, 2018, 2020 and 2022, and are trading at roughly $.50 on the dollar, very, very distressed with a high yield. They are in a position where they could, and should, buy back debt in the open market. If the nickel market turned around, this has a lot of leverage to nickel.

We are getting a rebound in a lot of commodities, which could be the beginning of the inflationary wave that he has been waiting for. However, this would not be the way he would play it. He would use Teck Resources (TCK.B-T) as it is a much bigger leveraged type company. His company has this as a sector outperform with a $1.07 target.

Not comfortable with management. Debt load is too high. Has a big project in Madagascar that has not worked out. It is always one of the dangers when you put a lot of money into something that is far away. As commodity prices come back, it should help them. The company has tremendous upside, but feels bankruptcy is not out of the question.

It has had its ups and downs, and mostly downs. The commodity price has been a huge detractor. There are regulatory issues in Madagascar now. The Cuba businesses are safer, but you have the uncertainty of a new US government coming in.

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