Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost and patchy fog, mainly in the east. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 14.

Today Weather

Downside

Now

10.9°c

Feels Like:

8.5°

Wind:

WSW 7km/h

Gusts:

7km/h

Humidity:

70%

0°

Min

13°

Max

Today in Downside

Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost and patchy fog, mainly in the east. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 14.

Tomorrow

-1°

Min

15°

Max

Areas of frost in the morning, mainly in the south. Areas of morning fog. Sunny afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 2 and 1 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching around 14.

7 day forecast

Downside 7 day forecast

Today:
Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost and patchy fog, mainly in the east. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 14.

Issue Notes

The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

Summary:

Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 June to 17 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 5 July to 9 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 June to 27 June.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 June to 16 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 2 July to 6 July.

Forecast Explanation

This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

12 Month Rainfall Forecast

Downside Rain Forecast

Downside 12-month Rainfall Forecast

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

2020

2021

5

8

6

8

7

7

8

10

8

7

4

5

10

5

0

1

2 - 3

4 - 7

8 - 9

10

Well below normal

Below normal

Near normal

Above normal

Well above normal

Issue Notes - Issued May 13

ENSO status: Neutral
IOD status: Neutral
SAM status: Trending neutral
Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month.
The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring.
To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter.
In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics.
Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their â€˜drierâ€™ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesnâ€™t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

Issue Notes

The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

Summary:

Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 June to 17 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 5 July to 9 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 June to 27 June.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 June to 16 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 2 July to 6 July.

Forecast Explanation

This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

Downside Rain Forecast

Downside 12-month Rainfall Forecast

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

2020

2021

5

8

6

8

7

7

8

10

8

7

4

5

10

5

0

1

2 - 3

4 - 7

8 - 9

10

Well below normal

Below normal

Near normal

Above normal

Well above normal

Issue Notes - Issued May 13

ENSO status: Neutral
IOD status: Neutral
SAM status: Trending neutral
Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month.
The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring.
To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter.
In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics.
Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their â€˜drierâ€™ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesnâ€™t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

Popup - Daily historical

Time

Wind Dir

Wind spd

Wind gust

Tmp

Dew pt

Feels like

rh

Rain

Pres

EST

km/h

km/h

°C

°C

°C

%

mm

hPa

Sat 17:00

SSW

4

4

6.8

3.9

4.7

82

0.2

-

Sat 18:00

N

0

0

4.8

3.8

3.4

93

0.2

-

Sat 19:00

S

6

6

3.8

3.1

1.2

95

0.2

-

Sat 20:00

N

0

0

3.0

2.4

1.4

96

0.2

-

Sat 21:00

S

4

4

2.3

2.0

-0.1

98

0.2

-

Sat 22:00

SSW

2

4

1.6

1.3

-0.6

98

0.2

-

Sat 23:00

S

7

7

1.0

0.7

-2.3

98

0.2

-

Sun 00:00

N

0

0

0.6

0.5

-1.3

99

0.2

-

Sun 01:00

N

0

0

0.2

0.1

-1.8

99

0.2

-

Sun 02:00

N

0

0

0.7

0.6

-1.2

99

0.2

-

Sun 03:00

N

0

0

1.3

1.2

-0.5

99

0.2

-

Sun 04:00

N

0

0

0.6

0.5

-1.3

99

0.2

-

Sun 05:00

N

0

0

0.7

0.7

-1.2

100

0.2

-

Sun 06:00

SW

4

4

1.0

1.0

-1.6

100

0.2

-

Sun 07:00

N

0

0

0.5

0.5

-1.4

100

0.2

-

Sun 08:00

N

0

0

0.2

0.2

-1.8

100

0.2

-

Sun 09:00

N

0

0

1.0

1.0

-0.8

100

0.2

-

Sun 10:00

N

0

0

4.9

4.9

3.8

100

0.0

-

Sun 11:00

SSW

2

6

7.6

7.6

6.7

100

0.0

-

Sun 12:00

N

0

0

10.4

7.3

9.8

81

0.0

-

Sun 13:00

NNE

2

6

10.8

5.8

9.5

71

0.2

-

Sun 14:00

WSW

4

6

12.1

5.5

10.4

64

0.2

-

Sun 15:00

N

0

0

11.5

5.8

10.5

68

0.2

-

Sun 16:00

W

4

9

11.6

6.3

10.0

70

0.2

-

1591462800

Sat#17:00 # EST

5

SSW

4,unit_km/h

4,unit_km/h

6.8,unit_°C

3.9,unit_°C

4.7,unit_°C

82,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591466400

Sat#18:00 # EST

6

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

4.8,unit_°C

3.8,unit_°C

3.4,unit_°C

93,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591470000

Sat#19:00 # EST

7

S

6,unit_km/h

6,unit_km/h

3.8,unit_°C

3.1,unit_°C

1.2,unit_°C

95,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591473600

Sat#20:00 # EST

8

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

3.0,unit_°C

2.4,unit_°C

1.4,unit_°C

96,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591477200

Sat#21:00 # EST

9

S

4,unit_km/h

4,unit_km/h

2.3,unit_°C

2.0,unit_°C

-0.1,unit_°C

98,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591480800

Sat#22:00 # EST

10

SSW

2,unit_km/h

4,unit_km/h

1.6,unit_°C

1.3,unit_°C

-0.6,unit_°C

98,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591484400

Sat#23:00 # EST

11

S

7,unit_km/h

7,unit_km/h

1.0,unit_°C

0.7,unit_°C

-2.3,unit_°C

98,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591488000

Sun#00:00 # EST

12

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

0.6,unit_°C

0.5,unit_°C

-1.3,unit_°C

99,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591491600

Sun#01:00 # EST

1

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

0.2,unit_°C

0.1,unit_°C

-1.8,unit_°C

99,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591495200

Sun#02:00 # EST

2

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

0.7,unit_°C

0.6,unit_°C

-1.2,unit_°C

99,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591498800

Sun#03:00 # EST

3

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

1.3,unit_°C

1.2,unit_°C

-0.5,unit_°C

99,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591502400

Sun#04:00 # EST

4

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

0.6,unit_°C

0.5,unit_°C

-1.3,unit_°C

99,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591506000

Sun#05:00 # EST

5

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

0.7,unit_°C

0.7,unit_°C

-1.2,unit_°C

100,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591509600

Sun#06:00 # EST

6

SW

4,unit_km/h

4,unit_km/h

1.0,unit_°C

1.0,unit_°C

-1.6,unit_°C

100,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591513200

Sun#07:00 # EST

7

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

0.5,unit_°C

0.5,unit_°C

-1.4,unit_°C

100,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591516800

Sun#08:00 # EST

8

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

0.2,unit_°C

0.2,unit_°C

-1.8,unit_°C

100,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591520400

Sun#09:00 # EST

9

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

1.0,unit_°C

1.0,unit_°C

-0.8,unit_°C

100,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591524000

Sun#10:00 # EST

10

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

4.9,unit_°C

4.9,unit_°C

3.8,unit_°C

100,unit_%

0.0,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591527600

Sun#11:00 # EST

11

SSW

2,unit_km/h

6,unit_km/h

7.6,unit_°C

7.6,unit_°C

6.7,unit_°C

100,unit_%

0.0,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591531200

Sun#12:00 # EST

12

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

10.4,unit_°C

7.3,unit_°C

9.8,unit_°C

81,unit_%

0.0,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591534800

Sun#13:00 # EST

1

NNE

2,unit_km/h

6,unit_km/h

10.8,unit_°C

5.8,unit_°C

9.5,unit_°C

71,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591538400

Sun#14:00 # EST

2

WSW

4,unit_km/h

6,unit_km/h

12.1,unit_°C

5.5,unit_°C

10.4,unit_°C

64,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591542000

Sun#15:00 # EST

3

N

0,unit_km/h

0,unit_km/h

11.5,unit_°C

5.8,unit_°C

10.5,unit_°C

68,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

1591545600

Sun#16:00 # EST

4

W

4,unit_km/h

9,unit_km/h

11.6,unit_°C

6.3,unit_°C

10.0,unit_°C

70,unit_%

0.2,unit_mm

,unit_hPa

Past 5 Days

We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Downside