That projection doesn’t seem all that unrealistic, since netbooks didn’t really start taking off in earnest until mid-2008. Up until that point, only a handful of vendors including Asus, HP, and Everex were even selling low cost mini-laptops. So all computer makers would have to do to double netbook sales in 2009 is do a bit more than twice the business they did during the second half of 2008.

Otellini says demand for netbooks remained high during the first quarter of 2009, and that he expects larger thin and light laptops to do well this year as well.

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Sales of netbooks doubling is not a difficult prediction. Predicting what percentage will have an Atom processor is.

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