As of Sunday morning, the point spread on this game has fallen from Baylor by 10.0 to 7.5. The late money in favor of SMU could probably be attributed to the public having less confidence in a Baylor team without RGIII. However, senior Bear’s QB Nick Florence is fully capable of running an offense that still has an abundance of talent returning from an impressive 2011 campaign. The Bears usually play well at home, and they are 21-13 ATS as a home favorite under Art Briles. Meanwhile, SMU only has three starters returning on offense led by Texas transfer QB Garrett Gilbert. They will face a Baylor defense that should be improved, returning its entire secondary from last season. SMU will have a difficult time keeping up with a still potent Baylor offense. Take Baylor -7.5.