The PAD System Report

The PAD (Patience and Discipline) System Report is based on Dan Seiver’s book Outsmarting Wall Street (3rd ed, Probus/McGraw Hill, 1994), which was a Fortune Book Club Alternate Selection. Earlier editions of the book won praise from Nobel Prize winners Paul Samuelson and James Tobin, and legendary investor John Templeton. The PAD System Report applies rigorous stock-selection rules and a long-term timing system, described in Outsmarting Wall Street, to an actively managed portfolio, Model Portfolio–C. The Hulbert Financial Digest, leading rater of investment newsletters, reports that Seiver’s Model Portfolio-C outperformed the Wilshire 5000 on a risk-adjusted basis for its entire 21-year rating period, January 1989 – December 2009. This portfolio has also far outpaced the market over the last 10 years. The philosophy of the PAD System can be summarized as “growth at a reasonable price.” The PAD System Report also includes expert commentary on the economy and economic policy, and their long-term effects on the stock market. Full issues of the report appear quarterly, with briefer monthly updates.

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Market Update

From Cabot Top Ten Trader

To say it’s been a topsy-turvy week has been an understatement. The rotation that we started to pick up on a couple of weeks ago was unleashed late last Friday and the first couple of days of this week, with just about any stock and sector that’s enjoyed a good run this year coming under pressure—including more than a few names that flashed abnormal intermediate-term action. Right now is basically the definition of an environment where you should take things on a stock-by-stock basis. If your loss limits are tripped, sell. If a decent winner you had is back to breakeven, put in a tight stop. And if you have a good-sized winner that’s tripped its stop, sell at least some of your shares, if not all.