Labour on course to get fewer than 200 seats at next election, Fabians say, warning it has 'almost no chance of majority'

Labour has almost no chance of winning a majority at the next general election and so must try to gain enough seats to form a centre-Left coalition with other parties, according to analysis by a think tank.

Shadow housing minister John Healey also admitted today that the polls are "awful", telling BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "The challenge now for me and the shadow cabinet, and the whole of the party and Jeremy Corbyn as leader is to show that we can be a strong opposition and a convincing alternative to the Conservatives and that we can win over and win back public opinion, particularly those voters we’ve lost in recent years."

The Fabian Society, which is strongly associated with the New Labour movement led by Tony Blair, said it was unthinkable the party would win enough votes to govern alone, but Mr Healey said the party should not "team up with the Liberal Democrats, the Greens and a rag bag of other parties."

The society's analysis of polling and election data suggests that the Labour Party is likely to win between 140 and 200 big city and ex-industrial constituencies on as little as 20 per cent of the vote, which would be a further retreat from the 231 seats it currently holds.

And the party must position itself in the centre-ground, as it is losing as many votes to the pro-EU Liberal Democrats as Ukip and the Tories, meaning it must find a way to appeal to both Remain and Leave voters in a political landscape now defined by Brexit.

But the "firebreak" of the UK's first-past-the-post electoral system means it will still have a platform on which to rebuild.

The think tank recommended that it should consider calls to form an alliance with the Lib Dems and SNP or other centre-Left parties as the UK's political system continues to fracture.

Andrew Harrop, Fabian Society general secretary, said: "As things stand Labour is on track to win fewer than 200 seats, whether the next election comes this year or in 2020.

"Even if Labour recovers it has almost no chance of securing a majority in a general election, because it needs over three million more votes than the Conservatives to win.

"Labour's aim for now should be to move forwards not back and win enough MPs to be able to form a governing partnership with other parties."

Jeremy Corbyn, leader of the Labour party, left, with Len McCluskey, general secretary of Unite