San Jose St
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San Jose returns 6 starters on offense. they are breaking in a new QB,
but havent chosen a starter. the battle includes David Fales (juco),
dasmen Stewart (very athletic dual threat QB who is very elusive and
fast) and Blake Jurich (only a few attempts last year)

San Jose has physical RB Deloen Eskridge who transfered from the U. of
Minn. and produced very sucessful numbers in his 2 years playing for the
Goofs. (led team in rushing in 2010 and had almost 1200 career yds in
the B10.)

San jose returns a good group of WR led by Noel Grigsby who is a top
25-30 WR in college football. LY he had 89 catches for 889 and he had
882 yds in 2010 as a freshman. they also have chandler jones, jabari
carr and a stud TE in Ryan Otten. Ryan otten is an NFL Tight End at 6-5
245lbs and he is very versatile, catching passes for 750 yds LY and
contributing in the run game.

san jose returns 66 career starts on the OL (average) and are starting 3
Jrs. and 2 Srs. all with experience. while they dont have a starter
over 300 lbs on the OL, this group is quick and should allow for plenty
of big running plays around the outside. they are also very good in the
screen game.

San jose returns a Jr. Kicker, who was the supplementary kicker last
year going 2/5 on FGs but had a net 42.8 punting average. he will be
asked to do all of the kicking this year. on kickoffs, he had 8 TBs in
65 Kickoffs.

Defensively the spartans return 5 on D, and they have a very underrated
DL, which should have improved numbers. the Linebacking Corp. should be
solid as they return 2nd team WAC LB keith smith, along with their 2nd
leading tackler from LY in Vince Buhagiar.

the secondary for SJSU should be as good as last years team who only
allowed 221 Pass Yds per game. their top interception guy from last year
James Orth ( 4 picks, 50 int ret. yards) is back along with experienced
corner ronnie yell.
their punter is also thier placekicker and he avg. 42.8 on the net punting average LY.

they obviously lose andrew luck, and look to replace him with Brett
Nottingham. (5-8 LY with a TD pass and 78 yds.) Nottingham is unproven
as he only played in garbage time.

stanford used a RB by committee last year, but are going to make Stepfan
Taylor the feature back this year. he had 242 carries for 1333 last
year and 10 tds.

stanford loses their top 4 pass catchers from last year and their
leading returning catcher is their full back ryan Hewett (34 catches,
282 yds. also they return a solid TE in Zach Ertz (27 catches for 343)
but this is a very inexperienced unit overall and should have
significantly less production with the new QB and i would expect minimal
continuity right away.

the offensive line for stanford is down their two best OL from last year
and only return 37 career starts (weak). this OL will undoubtably give
up more sacks this year and thier run average should suffer as well, as
their heaviest OL is 308.

the stanford DL has 2 starters back and should be as productive as they
were last season. the LB corp returns Jarek Lancaster and Shayne Skov.
they do lose two of thier top 3 tacklers from LY but should have no
problem in the P12 sustaining their defensive numbers, although i look
for thier run stopping production to decrease.

the stanford secondary is very inexperienced and they project to start a
guy at corner in wayne lyons who has never played a snap in college.
they lose a 1st team all P12 corner in Delano howell, and their numbers
should be about what they were last year in the secondary ( 61.7% comp.
percentage, only 3 picks!!)

stanford returns a senior punter and a very solid sophomore kicker.
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my take on the game:
i truely believe stanford will come back down to reality this year. in
this game, san jose should be able to load 8 in the box and dare the new
QB to beat them, with inexperienced WR's. i think stanford will score,
but they will be long, methodical drives and some might stall and
result in FG's. I think San jose will suprise many this year with a very
improved offense that should spread the ball around nicely to 4-5 WR's.
( who should all have 30+ catches as seasons end, even with grigsby
getting 90+)

i think the spread is way too high. stanford should score about 35 in
this game, but i think sanjose will score enough to cover the number. i
think the 1st half will be extremely low scoring and with both teams
having solid punters, field position will be at a premium.

I like San Jose State +25.5 in this matchup and will call for a 35-16 final.

Do you have a write up coming for SMU JD? I think I may like them plus those points now that Im looking at it just solely off the fact that I think RG3 was the crux of that team. Without them they will not be that same team scoring 60 points here n there and SMU staying within 13 looks pretty good. But I dont know anything about SMU

SMU @ BaylorLine: 11 (I have 13)Total: 60Date/Time: Sunday, Sept 2nd, 530pm--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------SMU: 3 starters return on offense, 7 on defenseSMU is replacing QB's Kyle Padron and JJ Mcdermott. They elect to line up in the spread offense and use the run and shoot passing scheme which isolates Linebackers and allows for Receivers to choose what route they want to run after the play has started (usually they have 2 or 3 route options Ex. IN, OUT, Hitch)they are probably going to start Garrett Gilbert, who started 14 games at Texas before quickly realizing that he was a little out of his league. thier backup will be stephen kaiser who has 1 pass attempt in garbage time.

SMU returns RB Zach Line who is extremely physical at 6-1 230 lbs. Line averaged 5.9 a carry LY running for 1224 and 17 TDs out of the spread set. also they will spell line with rishard wimbly who avg. 4.4 ypc LY. they might have the best backfield in CUSA.

the receiving corp for SMU is going to have similar sucess to LY, due to the return of Darius Johnson 79 catches, 1118 and 8 scores. he is very fast and a very legit deep threat. Derrick Thompson has plenty of experience as he grabbed 30 balls LY for 441 and 3 scores. the other 3 guys have 30 catches between them, but they should step up and the passing numbers will be just fine.

SMU only returns 1 on the OL (only 34 career starts return (weak)). although only 1 started last year, others have starting experience and blake mcjungen was granted a 5th year. SMU's season will ride on the continuity of the offensive line, which has 4 guys at 300 lbs. pressure should not be an issue as the majority of SMU's passes are 3 step throws (no drop out of the shotgun) and the ball is released quickly.

smu returns a JR kicker in chase hover (8/10; 38/40 xp)

SMU is inexperienced on the DL as just one starter returns from LY (margus hunt) BUT all three starters on the DL are seniors with game reps under thier belt.

the LB unit is the most experienced they have had in recent history, with 3 seniors starting and 6 upper classmen in the 2 deep.

the secondary is very inexperienced as far as starts go, but 3 are seniors and they should fill in nicely and continue the success of LY (222 pass ypg,) Daniel roundtree is a very physical free safety and the corners (cover) should be put in good situations if the DL and LB's get pressure on the QB as expected.

SMU is movingMike Loftus to punter after he handled kickoffs ly, 13/62 TB's)overall 5 of the top 6 tacklers are back and should have a solid defensive season once again

SMU has stephen F Austin (weak D-1aa team) after baylor

BAYLORBaylor returns 6 starters on offense and 8 on DBaylor runs the spread, zone running scheme that requires sound QB decision making and 0 hesitance in making the read. they also use a combination of play action pass, spring out, and vertical stretch passing. Baylor is looking to replace 98% of its total passing yards after the Departure of Robert Griffin #3. they are filling the yield with Nick Florence who was 9/12 with 2 tds and 0 picks LY in garbage time. florence has sat behind RG3 for 3 years waiting for his chance to shine or garbage the bed, and either way he will have a fair shot at both.

Baylor is looking to replace 79% of its rushing offense from last year with RG3 leaving along with Terrance Gannoway. they look to Lache Seastrunk (no logged stats LY) and 2nd stringer Jarred Salubi (very fast) to fill the void.

Baylor does return 4 of their 5 top pass catchers from LY including Terrance WIlliams (59/957/11) Tevin Reese (51/877/7) and Laneer Sampson (42/572/3) so the receivers are in place to have a sucessful passing season, QB willing.

Baylor returns 3 on the offensive line (77 career starts) but the two they lost were very good (C and RG, both 1st Team All B12) the offensive line is very big and physical and the entire 2-deep is 285+ (7/10 over 300) HOW WILL THE LEFT TACKLE HOLD UP? the projected starter has never played a snap in college.

Baylors Defensive line is less experienced with the loss of DT Jean baptise and will replace with Sr. Nick Johnson who saw an average number of snaps LY. the rest of the DL will be a work in progress and their numbers should still be as bad as LY (197 Rush ypg, 5.2 ypc!!)

the LB corp is very good with 5 of their top 6 back including Ahmad Dixon (56 tackles, 3 fumble recoveries)

in the secondary they return 2 studs in Sam Holl and Mike Hicks. also the return of chance casey should help improve on LY's 63% completion percentage and 297 pass YPG given up.

baylor returns spencer roth at punter who avg'd 40.5 ypp and had 6/29 inside the 20.

they are so bad on defense and Must improve or this team will not make a bowl game IMO.

my take on this game is that we have two teams that seem to be mirror images of eachother as to what they stress importance on. these teams like offense. SMU is very efficient on offense and baylor loves the Big play. Both QB's are going to have to play well in this game, as the defenses might not provide much help. the game is in waco which is an advantage to Baylor, but im not sure that SMu will be that rattled. Baylor is 9-0 vs SMU lifetime but the last game was a 28-23 win in 2005 (irrelevant) i think 13 is way too many points here, as i think the team with the ball last will have the best chance to win. 38-31 someone wins. really like SMU +13, would play 11like the over at 60

at $20 bucks i guess its worth a shot gl bud...but i dont think wash st is a live dog, smu has very little chance beating baylor too imo, wmu is a live dog but just dont see it, they played a mediocre illinois team tight last year with all their weapons they are gone now and illinois d is top 25-30 imo...but like i said gl!

daaaamn it moved up 3 points before I could even view the fuckin total on my account lol. With that being said JDN you still like it over 68? When theres that much of a line movement the line usually covers right?

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