The Cycles of the Sun

Always look beyond the things we are being told, towards the things we aren’t being told.

NASA forecasts the next solar cycle, cycle 25, to be even lower than the cycle we’re now in, cycle 24, which is itself much lower than the recent preceding cycles. If the prediction is correct, cycle 25 will be the lowest since the Dalton minimum 200 years ago.

Interestingly, the last time I looked, the relevant NASA website only talked about how this predicted long period of low Solar activity will provide a safer environment for astronauts on space missions. It gives none of the detail provided in the video link below. It is my belief that this video will in time have implications that will reach far beyond the health and safety of a small number of space-faring astronauts.

So, if NASA’s prediction turns out to be correct, what can we expect to see happen?

Low solar activity is associated with high cosmic ray levels which increase cloud nucleation and therefore cloudiness. This in turn increases rainfall and also increases the Earth’s albedo, having a cooling effect.

Furthermore, when solar activity is low, incoming EUV (Extreme ultraviolet) is much reduced. It can be ten times lower at Solar minimum than at Solar maximum. EUV heats the upper atmosphere in the high and low latitudes so when the Sun is quiet the upper atmosphere in the far North and South cools and contracts. This disrupts the polar jet streams and causes them to wander. This in turn results in cold polar air plunging into temperate and even tropical regions and warm, moist, tropical air streaming polewards.

The change in EUV is quite small compared with total Solar irradiance, which, when averaged out, does not change much at all over a Solar Cycle. It therefore seems likely that when EUV, which is blocked by the upper atmosphere, is low it is compensated for by a slight increase in lower frequency radiation resulting in an increase in ocean heating.

The contraction (thinning) of the atmosphere in the temperate and to a lesser degree, subtropical zones might also have other effects. Here I’m thinking of atmospheric rivers which lead to severe local flooding while depriving surrounding areas of normal rainfall and extremely large hail. (Hail melts on the way down. Less atmosphere, less melting.)

Writings and paintings from the time of the Maunder and Dalton Minimums, which, when taken together, are known as the little ice age, depict a frozen Thames and snowy scenes and describe famines, floods and droughts. (Like the failure/late arrival of the Indian monsoon.) Drawings which show arrows shooting down from sky are now thought to depict deadly hail.

One can, even during the minimum of a normal Solar cycle, often see the signature of a solar minimum in the weather. E.g. an unusually snowy period in winter in the UK. Such events are not confined to the actual minimum itself and may occur in the seasons before or after the minimum. (This is not weather forecasting!)

However, we are now near or in the minimum of a very low cycle and apparently, in approximately 11 or 12 years’ time, will be at the bottom of a cycle predicted to be even lower than the one we’re in now.

Although here in the UK we have not (so far) seen much in the way of a Solar Minimum impact on our weather, with the possible exception of the Beast from the East cold spell, in Canada and the US there is no doubt whatsoever. The last winter started early and ended late with, e.g., temperatures in Chicago falling to North Pole levels. Snowfall was very heavy with long time and all-time records being broken and has been followed by a record cool, cloudy very wet summer resulting in catastrophic record flooding in the Mississippi catchment area. Not only has this delayed or prevented planting this season’s crops in many areas, but much of the grain stored from last season has been destroyed by the floods.

A short while ago a paper was published demonstrating beyond reasonable doubt that there is correlation between past solar cycles and the movements in their orbits of our planets in their never ending, possibly never repeating, complex dance about our heavens. I find it tantalising to think, given enough time and computing power, that from this it might one day be possible to predict future solar cycles with complete confidence and accuracy.

Finally, in this regard, while focus has naturally been on the gravitational interaction between the gas giants and the Sun I would like to suggest that consideration be given to the huge electric currents that flow through space to and from the Sun and the possibility that planetary alignments, including those of the smaller planets, provide conductive stepping-stones for these current flows and therefore might play a part in the cycles of the Sun.

8 Comments

Kim
on June 22, 2019 at 9:15 am

Without the ability and time to do a lot of reading and also the ability to understand and retain the information read it becomes very difficult to keep up with theories and evidence of the subject of Climate Change.
I have noticed that it is possible to draw certain conclusions without the wherewithal to understand all the scientific detail. It appears quite clear that there is an awful lot going on that is little understood. Here I can be productive with my opinion adding to the direction of thought.
The cost of pursuing zero emission policies will damage the continued development and wellbeing of those in the First World countries. But the perception can be misleading. The Third World countries would stand to be even more disadvantaged if these policies were to be adopted globally. The balance here, if these descritions are used, is to see a distortion of natural development towards Second World status for a growing number of countries. This would fit the general assumption that there is push towards Global Totalitarianism.
The danger I see is that those who are trying to join up dots may be going too far to plausibly explain the picture that is developing to those who have not considered the subject in any depth. To put the brakes on the brainwashing that we, (those who question), see, simple messages have to be disseminated. Unfortunately the only way I can figure to do that is to challenge with slogans and short truths that can sow the seeds of doubt to encourage awareness. Eg. ‘CO2 is not toxic it is plant food!’ Or, ‘Green the planet with CO2’.
Besides giving people something to think about, hopefully, adding some sanity, and, according to our thinking, some hope, posing the sensible alternatives relieves our frustration of what is going on. On another note what a disaster for Extinction Rebellion and the Green Party if they found their purpose being totally undermined and the lies exposed, now that would be fun!! They would all be awash with Cognitive Dissonance .

Michael Keal
on June 22, 2019 at 11:30 pm

Kim, thank you for your comments. You’ve made some very good points. Firstly, as an Electrical Engineer who started work at a coal-fired power station more than 40 years ago I have an interest in electricity generation and an understanding of just how counter-productive, indeed potentially dangerous, the deployment of intermittent and extremely expensive forms of power generation such as windmills and solar panels in an electrical grid is. Also, rather fortuitously, thanks to my education as an electrical engineer, I also happen to have the theoretical knowledge in radiative physics and thermodynamics needed to determine that there are serious flaws in the rationale underpinning global warming.

So, due to my background, it was easy for me to come to the realisation that the problem was, in essence, political. For me it was a no-brainer. Anyone with a different background would find it a difficult, time-consuming journey.

Which is why your second point is so important. “The cost of pursuing zero emission policies will damage the continued development and wellbeing of those in the First World countries.”

Exactly so. This is where the politics comes in. No need to disprove the Global Warming hypothesis. (Its been done already many times and in many different ways.) All we need to do is look at the logic.

I gather that, at the moment, every year, China is building coal-powered electrical generating plant equivalent to America’s total installed capacity. If rising carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere really was going to trigger a ‘climate crisis’ in ten year’s time, surely the world’s governments would not allow this and be demanding that measures to curtail carbon dioxide release be put in place and be strictly enforced uniformly across the globe?

While we’re being told that carbon dioxide is the control knob for the world’s climate, in reality it appears that it is actually being used to control Western, mostly English speaking, economies.

The first effects of the severe solar minimum we are now experiencing is already causing world-wide crop failures. If NASA’s prediction is correct we could also expect severe cold spells in the future. A mid-winter cold snap in the UK, with no wind or solar power, could trigger power blackouts which would have serious consequences for many.

Stuart Johnson
on June 21, 2019 at 8:35 pm

I have been reading elsewhere about this supposed ‘Grand Solar Minimum’ and it has become very thought-provoking.

One of the goals of UN Agenda 21 / Agenda 2030 is supposedly a mass reduction in global population.

It becomes more and more apparent that those behind the great ‘climate change’ fraud know full well what is going to happen in the next few years if the Grand Solar Minimum does result in some serious Earth cooling. Perhaps that’s why they stopped calling it ‘global warming’?

I don’t believe it would be totally cataclysmic, however it is claimed that the reduction in temperatures would affect the production of crops in temperate climate regions and make places like northern Europe less hospitable. While on the other hand, areas closer to the Equator such as Northern Africa would become more temperate and potentially fertile, as well as more hospitable.

So one starts to wonder again about the current need to shift huge numbers of North Africans into the European continent – in the long-term could this be a way to decimate a large proportion of the ‘undesirable’ population, and thus leave ‘new’ potentially desirable habitats such as the Sahara Desert for the remainder of the population to live in?

Anna Zimmerman
on June 20, 2019 at 4:59 pm

Great to see the impending Grand Solar Minimum being discussed on this site. For those who seek further information, the youtube channels Adapt2030 and Ice Age Farmer are excellent sources. Piers Corbyn’s site is also well worth a visit. Anthropogenic Global Warming is a con, and needs to be exposed as such.

Suthringa
on June 20, 2019 at 1:17 pm

Therefore anthropormorphic Climate Change is complete nonsense!
But rather than talk about real issues, immigration, education, housing, social services, fiscal policy, all under the control of theEU our politicians just respond with “You are a racist and Xenophobe, let’s talk about the weather and extra taxes on fuel and rubbish.”

Norman'.
on June 20, 2019 at 3:18 pm

If the temperate climate moves south so that it includes much of the north African continent would that then allow these regions to become a ‘new’ wheat belt and food producing area? If that is so and crop yields begin to fall in Europe as predicted by some, does this then go someway to explain the e.u’s unhealthy interest in expanding into the continent. Is the money looking not only for the oil but the food production as well?

flyer
on June 20, 2019 at 9:34 am

I’m quite familiar with the Maunders cycles as I’m a Ham Radio operator, something I used to use on long sea passages to keep in contact with people. All Hams are familiar with these cycles but I’m sure that many folk will just think it’s gabbledegook.

At the last Maunders peak the sun was throwing out bursts of radiation strong enough to fry satellites, there was even concern that it would take out power grids and it has happened in the past.

This stuff is very real and there’s much to be learned about it, our solar system is a very volatile place and changing climates are very much a part of that, unfortunately it seems that certain charlatans have spotted an opportunity, packaged and sold it as global warming.

Certainly there have been crop failures all over the world recently and I’m sure Maunders cycles have had their part to play.

Just think what the effect of something like this would be on densely populated, diverse, multicultural Europe and it’ll be worse for the UK, yet were allowing our population to increase at an alarming rate. Actually this is one of the main reasons I refuse to live in the UK, I just know this is going to end badly, it isn’t a safe place to live.

r1b1
on June 22, 2019 at 3:24 am

“…I refuse to live in the UK, I just know this is going to end badly, it isn’t a safe place to live.”

iirc this first started being circulated online around 2014. Then it’s forgotten, then it gets recirculated. Bit like all the 90s/00s internet “Mark of the Beast” conspiracy stuff that rarely seems to be aired now that it’s actually started happening i.e. people being deplatformed, demonetized, access to PayPal etc withdrawn, China enforcing conformity via “Social Credit” (theft of a great name from a concept developed by a greater mind and also distracts from the Social Credit Movement of the 1930s).

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