Basically, I think democrats pick up NV and AZ, but republicans flip ND. I'm predicting that Donnelly and McCaskill will hold on by the skin of their teeth, but I could easily see both going the other way. I'm especially unsure about Missouri, but it seems like Air Claire may have some last minute momentum there.

It’s been a while, and this will most likely be my last update before the election unless something changes dramatically.

(IA = MN-Special, AL = MS-Special)

47 Republicans, 47 Democrats, 6 Toss-ups

AZ: Likely D -> Lean D (Likely D was probably a bridge too far, but I’d say Sinema's still a slight favorite here. I could definitely see this and/or MT going Republican [narrowly] if the GOP has a better than expected night, though.)

OH/WV: Lean D -> Likely D (I don’t think an explanation is needed, honestly. Democrats should win both states unless 2018 turns out to be a 2014-style R year. Morrisey and Renacci have been major disappointments, honestly.)

In Mississippi special, I expect Espy to finish narrowly in front of Hyde-Smith 40-38-20, while Hyde-Smith wins by 10-15 (57-43 is my prediction) in the runoff. I expect it to be very similar to Louisiana '14.

In my bold prediction this cycle, establishment Democrats get the biggest scare in California where Feinstein wins only 52-48 against de Leon.

MS-S: Not bad so far... (Overestimated McDaniel and underestimated Hyde-Smith by about 3 points)

CA: Looks like I'll be about 6 points off on my bold prediction, but still it should've been clear that Feinstein isn't very popular.

My overall average is slightly overestimating Democrats by 2-3 points. Better than my 2016 predictions for sure but still not factoring in the fundamentals of each race enough and still relying too much on polls, even though I tried to factor that in minimally this year. Still pretty decent all things considered.

I have only just found the login details for the prediction page (which I thought I had lost) and therefore missed the boat, but my general view was the same as the forum. One Dem pickup in Maine from Independent, so at least I know that I was as wrong as everyone else

Okay you guys, I dug through all the predictions. Several people got the seat change (R +2) correct, and most of those people got Arizona and Florida wrong but every other state right. 11 people made up the maps with the exact winners, the earliest of these 11 maps was apparently made on May 17th. Out of 11 of them, none were Democrats. None of these people got the predictions right in every state, with only two predicting that nobody would get 50% in West Virginia, and both of those people predicted that no one would get 50% in Florida (come on guys, there were two people on the ballot). I didn't use any other litmus test besides those two states for the percentages, so I don't know who was the most accurate overall. Here are all the perfect predictions, listed from oldest to newest

I didn't know there were only two people on the ballot in Florida, and i thought it was going to be a very / extremely close election, so i thought that it was going to be obvious that no-one would hit 50%... I thought it was normal that every senatorial election would have had third parties in them.

I made more mistakes though in voting percentages so i certainly didn't win. I wish i had paid more attention to exact percentages... . But apparently many made the same mistakes, but having Maryland wrong will hurt me... I hope i'll make up for it by having Braun over 50%.

I didn't know there were only two people on the ballot in Florida, and i thought it was going to be a very / extremely close election, so i thought that it was going to be obvious that no-one would hit 50%... I thought it was normal that every senatorial election would have had third parties in them.

I made more mistakes though in voting percentages so i certainly didn't win. I wish i had paid more attention to exact percentages... . But apparently many made the same mistakes, but having Maryland wrong will hurt me... I hope i'll make up for it by having Braun over 50%.

Florida was going to have a Libertarian in both races, but they both dropped out to speak out against the Florida Libertarian Party (as someone who’s had to work with them before, I don’t blame them). One of those two later revealed that he had developed heart problems based on the stress of campaigning. And the really sad part is the Senate candidate was a janitor who was campaigning to “clean up DC”, so he might’ve done well just off of humor

I didn't know there were only two people on the ballot in Florida, and i thought it was going to be a very / extremely close election, so i thought that it was going to be obvious that no-one would hit 50%... I thought it was normal that every senatorial election would have had third parties in them.

I made more mistakes though in voting percentages so i certainly didn't win. I wish i had paid more attention to exact percentages... . But apparently many made the same mistakes, but having Maryland wrong will hurt me... I hope i'll make up for it by having Braun over 50%.

Florida was going to have a Libertarian in both races, but they both dropped out to speak out against the Florida Libertarian Party (as someone who’s had to work with them before, I don’t blame them). One of those two later revealed that he had developed heart problems based on the stress of campaigning. And the really sad part is the Senate candidate was a janitor who was campaigning to “clean up DC”, so he might’ve done well just off of humor

they no they got no chance of winning right? they oculd have just kept them on the ballet.