In early October, multiple polls shows Carmona leading Flake by a similar margin. A PPP poll from October 1-3, 2012, had Carmona up 2. A behavioral research center poll had him up by 4. Flake would end up winning by three.

In early October, multiple polls shows Carmona leading Flake by a similar margin. A PPP poll from October 1-3, 2012, had Carmona up 2. A behavioral research center poll had him up by 4. Flake would end up winning by three.