Sunday, September 16, 2012

NOAA: 20% Chance 2 New Tropical Cyclones Form

MIAMI, Florida -- As of 2:00 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Sunday September 15,
2012, NOAA's National Hurricane Center in Miami,
Florida, issued its tropical weather outlook due to the presence of Hurricane Nadine located in the central Atlantic plus an area of low pressure just east of the Caribbean, and another system off the coast of Brownsville, Texas.

NOAA believes that some gradual development of this disturbance is possible over the next couple of days as it moves northeastward at 10 to 15 miles per hour. This system has a
low chance (20%) of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48
hours.

Regardless of development, this system could produce periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle on Monday and continuing into Tuesday.Another area of low pressure located about 325 miles east of the Lesser Antilles (marked as #2 above) is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for development to occur, NOAA says that conditions could become more conducive for development in the next few days. This system has a low chance (20%) of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at around 15 miles per hour into the southwest Caribbean.

Meanwhile, Hurricane Nadine is located 985 miles west-southwest of the Azores with maximum sustained winds
of 80 miles per hour, with higher gusts, as it moves east at 23 miles per hour.

There are no Tropical Storm Warnings or Watched in effect for Hurricane Nadine. However, Hurricane Nadine is producing long-period swells that have elevated the rip current risk along the Florida Atlantic coast.