Despite recent rainfall, seasonal rain remains below-average across much of East Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

Below-average rainfall accumulations since late February have resulted in significant moisture deficits, which have already negatively impacted agricultural and pastoral activities in many parts of southern South Sudan, Kenya, Ethiopia, southern Somalia, and northern Tanzania.

Below-average and erratic rainfall since December has resulted in strong moisture deficits and degraded ground conditions. However, above-average rainfall since March has helped to alleviate seasonal dryness.

Despite an increase in moisture following the passage of Tropical Cyclone Enawo during early March, long- term moisture deficits remain due to very poor rains earlier in the season throughout central and eastern Madagascar.

Below-average and erratic rainfall since December has resulted in strong moisture deficits and degraded ground conditions across parts of northeastern Mozambique.

Despite a robust increase in rainfall following the passage of Tropical Cyclone Enawo during early March, considerable long-term moisture deficits remain due to well below-average rains earlier in the season throughout northern Madagascar.

Below-average and erratic rainfall since December has resulted in strong moisture deficits and degraded ground conditions across parts of northeastern Mozambique.

Despite a robust increase in rainfall following the passage of Tropical Cyclone Enawo during early March, considerable long-term moisture deficits remain due to well below-average rains earlier in the season throughout northern Madagascar.

Very poor rainfall since February, combined with five consecutive weeks of virtually no rainfall since midMarch, has led to large moisture deficits and rapidly deteriorating ground conditions in Ethiopia, Djibouti, and eastern Eritrea.

Seasonally above-average rainfall, combined with heavy rainfall forecast across eastern Ethiopia and Somalia, is expected to increasethe risk for localized flooding along the Jubba and Shabelle River basins in Somalia.

Drought continues in central and northern Ethiopia, with abnormal dryness in Djibouti and Eritrea

Africa Weather Hazards

Very poor rainfall since February, combined with five consecutive weeks of virtually no rainfall since mid March, has led to large moisture deficits and rapidly deteriorating ground conditions in Ethiopia, Djibouti, and eastern Eritrea.

Erratic, below-average rainfall in February and early March, followed by four consecutive weeks of little to no rainfall since mid-March has led to large moisture deficits and rapidly deteriorating ground conditions in Ethiopia. The absence of mid-season rainfall is likely to adversely affect cropping activities in Belg-producing areas of the country.

Rainfall continues to be below-average across several local areas of southwestern and east-central Ethiopia. Further delay of rainfall during April is likely to adversely affect cropping activities for several Belgproducing areas.

Despite an increase in rainfall during the last week, ground moisture remains below average parts of southwestern and east-central Ethiopia. Moderate to heavy rains are forecast in southern and western Ethiopia, while below-average rainfall is expected in the central parts of the country during the next week.

Despite an increase in rainfall during the last week, ground moisture remains below average parts of southwestern and east-central Ethiopia. Moderate to heavy rains are forecast in southern and western Ethiopia, while below-average rainfall is expected in the central parts of the country during the next week.

Below-average rainfall since February has resulted in rainfall deficits in southwestern Ethiopia.
Rainfall forecast during the next week should help alleviate deficits.

Below-average rainfall over bi-modal northern Tanzania during the past several weeks has increased rainfall deficits and affected crop conditions. A significant increase in rainfall is expected across Tanzania and neighboring countries in late March.

Below-average rainfall since February has resulted in rainfall deficits in southwestern Ethiopia.
Rainfall forecast during the next week should help alleviate deficits.

Below-average rainfall over the past several weeks has increased rainfall deficits, which have impeded crop development across the bimodal region of northern Tanzania. Little to no rainfall is forecast during the next week, which may worsen the situation.

Below-average rainfall since February has resulted in rainfall deficits in southwestern Ethiopia. Dry weather is expected to continue during the next week, which is likely to increase moisture deficits in the region.