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Golden Globe Predictions: Who Will Win, Who Should Win.

Now is the time of year to try to predict how the star power, freshman show loving HFPA will go! I never go back and look at who's winning what in the critics awards before I make these posts. One day I'll be that dedicated. Best Motion Picture -- DramaHacksaw RidgeHell or High WaterLionManchester by the SeaMoonlightWho will and should win: Moonlight.Manchester by the Sea will put up a fight, but Moonlight is far better then any of these nominees that I've seen (Lion is the only one I haven't)Best Director -- Motion PictureDamien Chazelle -- La La LandTom Ford -- Nocturnal AnimalsMel Gibson -- Hacksaw RidgeBarry Jenkins -- MoonlightKenneth Lonergan -- Manchester by the SeaWho will win: Damien ChazelleWho should win: Barry JenkinsI haven't seen La La Land yet, but it still feels pretty unstopable. Chazelle should win here unless they really go star power and give it to Mel Gibson, which would just be weird. As you can tell by my blog header, I'm all about Moonlight winning all the awards.Best Screenplay -- Motion PictureDamien Chazelle -- La La LandTom Ford -- Nocturnal AnimalsBarry Jenkins -- MoonlightKenneth Lonergan -- Manchester by the SeaTaylor Sheridan -- Hell or High WaterWho will and should win: Moonlight.Admittedly, I'm not confident here. Moonlight feels the biggest gamble, which is why it should win. Manchester by the Sea shouldn't be here at all. Hell or High Water has no chance of winning even though it's a great movie. Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture -- DramaDenzel Washington -- FencesCasey Affleck -- Manchester by the SeaJoel Edgerton -- LovingAndrew Garfield -- Hacksaw RidgeViggo Mortensen -- Captain FantasticWho will win: Casey AffleckWho should win: Pretty much anyone else.I get it, Casey has this in the bag, which sucks because all he does is mope for over two hours. Edgerton and Mortensen were amazing in their movies. Garfield was very good too, and I haven't seen Fences as I type this.Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture -- DramaIsabelle Huppert -- ElleNatalie Portman -- JackieRuth Negga -- LovingAmy Adams -- ArrivalJessica Chastain -- Miss SloaneWho will win: Isabelle HuppertWho should win: Amy Adams, or Ruth Negga**I haven't seen Jackie yet, and Chastain has no chance. I think Adams is so overdue for an Oscar at this point I'd just love for her to gain some momentum. Negga was so brilliant in Loving too. Elle just looks so unappealing. Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in any Motion PictureViola Davis -- FencesNaomie Harris -- MoonlightNicole Kidman -- LionOctavia Spencer -- Hidden FiguresMichelle Williams -- Manchester by the SeaWho will win: Nicole KidmanWho should win: ?I've only seen Manchester by the Sea and Moonlight. Harris, I don't think should win. Williams is the best part about Manchester and I'd be happy with her win, but since I haven't seen the other films it's hard to compare. I think Kidman gets it on Star Power. I still wish more people talked about Dakota Fanning in American Pastoral. Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion PictureMahershala Ali -- MoonlightJeff Bridges -- Hell or High WaterSimon Helberg -- Florence Foster JenkinsDev Patel -- LionAaron Taylor Johnson -- Nocturnal AnimalsWho will and should win: Mahershala AliAli is the front runner. I'd be happy with Patel winning just because I love the actor. I'd even be happy with Helberg and Taylor Johnson because they were great in their movies too. If Bridges wins, he should get up on stage and give his Globe to his costar Ben Foster. Best Motion Picture --Musical or Comedy20th Century WomenDeadpoolFlorence Foster JenkinsLa La LandSing StreetWho will and should win: La La LandPart me thinks the HFPA might actually be batty enough to give this to Deadpool. It would be "edgy." If La La Land weren't in this category, they would totally do it. Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture -- Musical or ComedyColin Farrell -- The LobsterRyan Gosling -- La La LandHugh Grant -- Florence Foster JenkinsJonah Hill -- War DogsRyan Reynolds -- DeadpoolWho will win: Ryan ReynoldsWho should win: Collin Farrell. Gosling won't win the Oscar so HFPA can be "cool" and "edgy" and award Reynolds here. I wish Farrell would win, they've awarded him in the past, but I think it's a long shot. Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture -- Musical or ComedyAnnette Bening -- 20th Century WomenLily Collins -- Rules Don't ApplyHailee Steinfeld -- The Edge of SeventeenEmma Stone -- La La LandMeryl Streep -- Florence Foster JenkinsWho will and should win: Emma StoneNo one else is going to touch this. Best Original Score -- Motion PictureMoonlight (Nicholas Britell)La La Land (Justin Hurwitz)Arrival (Johann Johannson)Lion (Dustin O'Halloran, Hauschka)Hidden Figures (Hans Zimmer, Pharrell Williams, Benjamin Wallfisch)Who will win: La La LandWho should win: Moonlight. I LOVE Moonlight's score. I hate that Nocturnal Animals missed here. From what I hear Jackie's score is also amazing. Hidden Figures has some great names in it, so I think that has a good shot too, but ultimately I think this will be a big night for La La Land. Best Original Song -- Motion Picture "Can't Stop the Feeling" - Trolls "City of Stars" - La La Land "Faith" -Sing "Gold" - Gold "How Far I'll Go" - Moana Who will win: "Can't Stop the Feeling"Who should win: "How Far I'll Go"I saw Moana over a month ago and I still have that song stuck in my head. Justin Timberlake wrote the Trolls song though, so they'll probably give it to him. Best Animated Motion PictureKubo and the Two StringsMy Life as a ZucchiniMoanaSingZootopiaWho will and should win: ZootopiaFirst of all, Sing can get fucked. That movie was so terrible that I'm embarrassed for the HFPA for nominating it. Zootopia should rightfully ride this wave all the way to the Oscars. ​Best Motion Picture Foreign LanguageDivinesElleNerudaThe SalesmanToni ErdmannWho will win: Toni Erdmann or ElleWho should win: ?I haven't seen any of these, but Toni Erdmann is getting talked about the most, aside from the rapefest that is Elle. I suppose either of those could win. Best Television Series -- DramaThe CrownGame of ThronesStranger ThingsThis is UsWestworldWho will win: This is UsWho should win: Westworld or Game of ThronesThis is tough, every single one of these noms aside from Game of Thrones is a freshman show, and the HFPA love those. Obviously, I think Westworld deserves it, but it might be too weird for them. The Crown and Stranger Things will put up a fight for it. HFPA have yet to award Game of Thrones, so I wouldn't count them out either, especially after all the Emmys they won this year. Ultimately, I think they'll go This Is Us as that's the most "for everyone" type of show here. ​Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series -- DramaCaitriona Balfe -- OutlanderClaire Foy -- The CrownKeri Russell -- The Americans Winona Ryder -- Stranger ThingsEvan Rachel Wood -- WestworldWho will win: Claire FoyWho should win: Evan Rachel WoodI think they will want to give The Crown something and it will narrowly miss for Best Drama Series, so Foy will probably win here. Wood should take it all, she deserves it. Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series -- DramaRami Malek -- Mr. RobotBob Odenkirk -- Better Call SaulMatthew Rhys -- The AmericansLiev Schreiber -- Ray DonovanBilly Bob Thornton -- GoliathWho will win: Billy Bob ThorntonWho should win: Rami MalekRami didn't win last year, but he should've. Billy Bob is the newbie, so I'm going with him, even though of all the freshmen noms, he seems to be the weakest. Best Performance by an Actress in a Support Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for TelevisionOlivia Colman, The Night ManagerLena Headey -- Game of ThronesChrissy Metz -- This is UsMandy Moore -- This is UsThandie Newton -- WestworldWho will win: Thandie NewtonWho should win: Thandie or LenaLena should have an Emmy by now, but that's none of my business... I think Newton has the best shot here. Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for TelevisionSterling K. Brown -- The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime StoryHugh Laurie -- The Night ManagerJohn Lightgow -- The CrownChristian Slater -- Mr. RobotJohn Travolta -- The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime StoryWho will and should win: Sterling K BrownI see him repeating his Emmy win here. Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for TelevisionAmerican CrimeThe DresserThe Night ManagerThe Night OfThe People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime StoryWho will win: The People vs OJ SimpsonWho should win: The Night OfPeople vs OJ is such a powerhouse, I think it'll win here too. The Night Of was a wonderful series, I'd be happy if they won.Best Television Series -- Musical or ComedyAtlantaBlack-IshMozart in the JungleTransparentVeepWho will win: AtlantaWho should win: VeepI have no idea why they put Transparent here, they don't have the same rules the Emmys do. They could stick this in drama where it belongs. Regardless, Atlanta is the new show so it'll win. Best Performance by an Actress in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for TelevisionFelicity Huffman -- American CrimeRiley Keough -- The Girlfriend ExperienceSarah Paulson -- The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime StoryCharlotte Rampling -- London SpyKerry Washington -- ConfirmationWho will and should win: Sarah PaulsonAnother that will keep her Emmy momentum.Best Performance by an Actor in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for TelevisionRiz Ahmed -- The Night OfBryan Cranston -- All the WayJohn Turturro -- The Night OfTom Hiddleston -- Night ManagerCourtney B. Vance -- The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime StoryWho will win: Courtney B VanceWho should win Riz AhmedI think Riz has a good shot, but I like I said earlier, People vs OJ is a juggernaut. Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture Made For TelevisionAmerican CrimeThe DresserThe Night ManagerThe Night OfThe People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime StoryWho will win: The People vs OJ SimpsonWho should win: The Night Of.Netflix really needs to stream People vs OJ so I can finally see what it's all about. Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series -- Musical or ComedyAnthony Anderson -- Black-ishGael Garcia Bernal -- Mozart in the JungleDonald Glover -- AtlantaNick Nolte -- GravesJeffrey Tambor -- TransparentWho will win: Donald GloverWho should win: ?I love Glover. This is a hard category because I don't actually watch any of these. Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series -- Musical or ComedyRachel Bloom -- My Crazy Ex-GirlfriendJulia Louis-Dreyfus -- VeepSarah Jessica Parker -- DivorceGina Rodriguez -- Jane the VirginTracee Ellis Ross -- Black-ishIssa Rae -- InsecureWho will win: Sarah Jessica ParkerWho should win: JLD, or from what I hear, Issa Rae.I need to watch Insecure, that's on my list. I think SJP will take it. They've awarded her four times in the past. I think they'll be happy to have her back.

not sure what world we're living in where folks thinks Casey's performance in Manchester by the Sea is better than Denzel's performance in Fences, or even Joel's performance in Loving. Like, no (and i typically like Casey's performances).

I would like Nocturnal Animals to win best screenplay.

I wasn't crazy about Amy's performance in Arrival, when it comes to deserving an Oscar.

Mahershala should absolutely win in that category. I love Dev, but he is NOT supporting. He is the lead.

Honestly, Annette should win over Emma. Her performance was more technically difficult and nuanced.

I hate Elle SO MUCH. A Neruda win would be great.

Sterling K. Brown and Sarah Paulson for ALL THE PRIZES.

I would love to see either The Night Of or the OJ series win, because I know it would have gone to an amazing series either way.

Have you seen Mozart in the Jungle? I tried to get into it, but couldn't (and I love Gael).

I would be kinda stunned if SJP wins, not because I don't like her on the show. But because I don't know anyone else who does. I think Issa should win (she's great)!

I have a feeling you love Moonlight:) I have heard of the films but haven't seen any which is typical. I really want to see La-La Land and will. These films all sound good and we always know some should have won when they didn't and vice versa. I have seen This is Us and liked it but now I have missed quite a few. As for the other tv shows....no clue since almost all are on channels I don't get.

To be honest I'm to up in the air to even attempt to guess who will win. Moonlight feels like the film that is going to win this year for a variety of reasons. But I adore La La Land and feel it is an incredible achievement. I would love to see it rewarded as such. I feel Chazelle has made something special.

I also can't imagine a performance better than what I saw from Denzel Washington and Viola Davis. They were electrifying and were on an entirely different level. Pure brilliance.

As for other nominees, I still don't care for Zootopia. Its second half took it down for me. I still think it will win though. Watch out for The Salesman in the Best Foreign Language category. I haven't seen it (desperately want to but these stupid release schedules) but Farhadi makes tremendous movies that Oscar notices.

Viola Davis will take supporting actress here and at Oscar. I have almost no doubt. Unless Oscar actually puts her in Leading Actress.

Casey Affleck will and should win. He has been one of the most consistently underrated actors around for years (see: Gerry, Assassination of Jesse James, now Manchester by the Sea). He was right to play it "mopey" if that's what you want to call it. That's the role. The most tortured a man could possibly be. He nailed every single nuance of the malaise, the awkwardness, the pain that hangs over a grieving soul. So good.

I have not yet seen Moonlight or Hell or High Water, and those may still turn up to be major surprises. La La Land has a lock in score and best song category. I hope Winona Ryder wins for Stranger Things

LAMB #753

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