OVERVIEW
Euro slips under 1.1800 against the Dollar for the first time in a month.
Sterling slips as EU President Tusk say Brexit negotiations are not ready for the next stage yet.
Euro is set for its worst day this year on political instability in Germany.
HIGHLIGHT
The instability in the political environment in Germany has sent the Euro tumbling since the German election on the weekend.
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The dollar was on the uptick through the morning session, then rallied broadly following Yellen's comments, where she left a December rate hike firmly on the table, saying the Fed should be "wary of moving too gradually." EUR-USD initially moved up to 1.1795 from 1.1780, before falling to new one-month lows of 1.1758.
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The dollar has been in rally mode today, especially against the euro and kiwi dollar, currencies that have both been left reeling following weekend election results in Germany and New Zealand, respectively. EUR-USD dove to a one-month low of 1.1793.
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USD-JPY tumbled to around 111.50 after North Korea said Trump's threats of last week were tantamount to a declaration of war. EUR-JPY and other yen crosses also dropped as the yen's safe haven premium came back into play. We expect USD-JPY, which is coming out of a five big figure rally from early September levels near 107.0, to remain heavy for now.
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OVERVIEW
Sterling opened lower today after Moody's downgraded the UK's sovereign rating late on Friday.
The Euro is firmly on the backfoot after the German election results over the weekend.
FED member Dudley says US economy is in a pretty good place.
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The dollar firmed up some in N.Y. on Monday, taking the DXY to 92.72 highs, levels last seen on September 5. The notable exception was USD-JPY, which fell from over 112.30 to under 111.50 as N. Korea equated Trump's recent comments to a declaration of war, saying it had the right to shoot down U.S.
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The euro has come under across-the-board pressure following the German election result, which has left Merkel in place as Chancellor but in a weakened position, heralding a lengthy period of coalition-building talks. The September German Ifo business confidence survey also underwhelmed.
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The euro has come under pressure following the election in German, which produced the expected win for Merkel but saw her party and the SPD coalition partner lose ground to the nationalist AfD, the upshot of which is political uncertainty as there is no easy coalition options.
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The OECD released their latest global growth forecast this week, calling for a slight uptick in overall activity. OECD GDP is projected to be 3.5% this year – the highest in four years. Russia and Brazil are projected to grow as well. But global structural issues remain.
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