Tuesday, August 02, 2016

Mirror imaging and election fraud

It's clear by now that the Trump candidacy -- covertly led by trickster-in-chief Roger Stone -- engages in the practice of "mirror imaging" -- that is, the practice of ascribing one's own sins to one's foes.

For example, in order to cover up the (by now painfully obvious) Putin/Trump conspiracy, Trump and his surrogates trotted out some truly surreal claims that the Clintons were somehow in league with Evil Vlad. The argument used to justify this absurd accusation was, of course, laughable and illogical.

Over the last 48 hours Trump's allies, surrogates and now Trump himself have forcibly injected the topic of voter fraud or 'election rigging' into the election. Longtime TPM Readers know this topic has probably been the publication's single greatest and most consistent focus over fifteen years. The subject has been investigated countless times. And it is clear that voter fraud and especially voter impersonation fraud is extremely rare - rare almost to the point of non-existence, though there have been a handful of isolated cases.

Vote fraud is clearly the aim in what is coming from Trump allies. But Trump's own comment - "I'm afraid the election's gonna be rigged, I have to be honest" - seems to suggest some broader effort to manufacture votes or falsify numbers, to allude to some broader conspiracy. Regardless, Trump is now pressing this issue to lay the groundwork to discredit and quite possibly resist the outcome of the November election.

I'll go further. If Trump is accusing Clinton of rigging the vote, we should conclude that he has his own means of doing the very same dirty deeds.

We've seen various examples of questionable vote tallies in recent times. The Brexit vote, for example. The Democratic primary in Michigan was obviously reeky, even if proof is lacking. It has been established beyond reasonable argument that pro-Hillary Hispanics were purged in Brooklyn, a move which favored Bernie Sanders.

(Sanders supporters, in a classic example of mirror imaging, used this occasion to accuse Hillary of vote manipulation. This episode gave me a big clue that Trump's team was helping Sanders. It soon came out that Tad Devine, Sanders' political hit man, worked with Paul Manafort in Ukraine.)

I don’t think Stone ever says what policy he is for in this memoir, and he might well consider a focus on policy a distraction. There is only winning and losing an election, and five methods for achieving a victory recur again and again in races that Stone is involved with, four methods that create a mirror maze of confusion, misdirection, and elimination.

The first is through association, by having a candidate receive an endorsement from a person or group who potential supporters of the candidate are predisposed to view as an opponent, or through association with something unquestionably malevolent made via protesters, pamphlets, or other means funded by Stone’s campaign but without any fingerprints.

The second is by having a group, funded by allied interests, oppose a candidate or policy due to some larger moral principle that everyone can agree on – the issue is not candidate A versus B, but opposition to crime, gambling, or child abuse.

The third is the smear, saying your opponent is corrupt, weak, racist, a rapist, a murderer, a pedophile, always helpfully done not through you, the opponent on which this tar might stick, but through a phantom proxy. This last is used very, very often by Stone.

The fourth, and one of the most effective, is through fragmentation of the vote. There is, say, overwhelming support for candidate A, who will raise the minimum wage, versus candidate B, who won’t. You split this overwhelming vote by funding another candidate, who wants to raise the minimum wage even higher, and who chastises candidate A for compromising their principles and being beholden to business interests for not asking for a higher wage. Through a vote split, candidate B, the one who says he believes the condition of workers must be improved, but not through easy sounding solutions like a higher minimum wage, scores a victory. At the same time, you make great efforts to keep the votes for your own candidate or issue from being fragmented.

The fifth is vote suppression, of black and latino voters, who tend to poll democrat. The first four have been employed in elections that Stone has been involved in, with Stone often taking credit. The fifth has been employed alongside Stone’s efforts, though perhaps without the collusion of Stone.

(Emphasis added.) But we know that suppression of minorities is not the only means of manipulating the vote. As long as the pre-election polls are reasonably close -- within, say, a three-to-five-point margin -- much hugger-mugger is possible. (I'm not talking about voter impersonation, which is a ridiculous canard used by the GOP to justify their actions against minority voters.)

To prove the point, we need nearly turn our attentions to recent elections in Ukraine.

A key tactic that helped Yanukovich get away with it was mirror imaging -- he went into the 2010 elections accusing his opponents of practicing fraud.

Remember: The man running Yanukovich's political fortunes in 2004 and 2010 was the same Paul Manafort who is now running Donald Trump's campaign.

Manafort's history in Ukraine suggests that he feels quite comfortable with election fraud -- and with mirror imaging. Whenever Team Trump launches a new claim against Clinton, be wary -- and reach for your mirror.

At the rate Trump's going, manipulating the vote is going to get very, very tricky. He could be down 15 points by November.

I can't imagine how he'd overcome that.

posted by OldCoastie : 12:33 PM

I have seen no reason to think there was anything suspicious about the Brexit vote. Apart from the fact that every major party in the country was on the losing side, it would be almost impossible to rig an election which is run entirely through pencil and paper and hand-counting. The bad losers in the Remain camp have suggested having another voter with different win conditions, and stopping old people voting, and various other things which would allow them to overturn the result, but no claims of fraud that I've seen.

Bullshit (I just wanted to type that for no reason based on something previous, it has no reference here)

Anyway, I do have a sincere question and I am probably a retard for not knowing the answer but here it is. There is about as much proof or Russians working for Trump as that super interesting bit of time-lined tin foil about the DNC guy who got killed and discussed on Reddit but my query is who cares? Didn't Obama go try to influence Brexit vote recently? Isn't that stuff normal? Hasn't the US influenced the Political structure of other Countries like Forever?

Anyway, the latest polls I heard show Hillary has everything comfortably on track so there is no need for any concern.

My theory is Stone doesn't care who wins the election as long as republicans retain a victory in both legislative branches. To achieve this goal, vote total reduction for both candidates is the plan. The lower the vote total, the more likely republican's win congressional races even if they lose the White House.Stone's goal maybe to keep increasing the percentage of voters that dislike both candidates but will still vote for their congressperson.