If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.

Overall death rate in US is down.

March 30th, 2020, 07:07 AM

We are being told that the coronavirus is killing people relentlessly and we need to live in fear of dying. The following article shows that even with the coronavirus deaths fewer people are dying this year than in previous years. In other words, the odds of you dying this year are less than they were previous to the coronavirus.

The United States death toll from the novel coronavirus has steadily increased in the last few days, with over 2, 200 COVID- 19 deaths, and more than half of the deaths in the last three days alone. The death toll is expected to only get worse in the coming weeks as cases increase and the capacity of the health care system is stretched. However, one silver lining might be that the death toll could be lower than anticipated due to individuals changing their behavior during the coronavirus pandemic. We use CDC data (detailed below) to analyze weekly US deaths over the last five years (as accessed on March 28 , 2020 ). Figure 1 shows weekly deaths for all ages. For the year 2020, we have data through week 10, or through the week of March 7, 2020.

There is a clear strong downward sloping trend in the number of deaths at all ages for the current year as compared to the previous 5 years. Moreover, the current year appears to be a break in trend from the previous 5 years. Comparing the difference of the previous 5 -year average with 2020 deaths through March 7 and we find that for week 10, there were close to 9000 fewer deaths – this is nearly a 20 percent decrease in the number of the deaths! The decrease is most evident after week 7 (week ending February 15 , 2020 ).

Weekly deaths in the US down by 7,000 - 10,000 for the week ending March 7 2020! Silver lining with people changing their behaviors during COVID-19? Raw weekly death numbers taken from @CDCgov: pic.twitter.com/Y7tzG5TSTU

Comment

ero Hedge or ZeroHedge has been described as a libertarian or far-right financial blog, that presents both in-house analysis, and analysis from investment banks, hedge funds, and other investment writers and analysts. Zero Hedge, per its motto, is bearish in its investment outlook and analysis, often deriving from its adherence to the Austrian School of economics and credit cycles. While often labeled as a financial permabear, Zero Hedge is also seen as a source of "cutting-edge news, rumors and gossip in the financial industry".

Over time, Zero Hedge expanded into non-financial analysis, advocating what CNN Business called an anti-establishment and conspiratorial worldview, and which has been associated with alt-right views, and a pro-Russian bias. Other sources describe Zero Hedge as libertarian. Zero Hedge's non-financial commentary has led to a number of Site bans by various global social media platforms, some of which have been overturned (e.g. 2019 Facebook ban), while others remain (e.g. 2020 Twitter ban).

On 12 March 2019, Bloomberg reported that Facebook had banned users from sharing Zero Hedge posts three days earlier. MarketWatch, noting that Zero Hedge is a "frequent critic of Facebook", reported that the ban was lifted later that day with Facebook saying that the ban was a "mistake with our automation to detect spam". Business Insider, describing Zero Hedge as "a favorite of City and Wall Street traders, known for its anti-establishment and bearish slant on financial topics", noted thatDonald Trump Jr. and Nigel Farage raised objections to Facebook's censure of Zero Hedge.

On 20 January 2020, Bloomberg News reported that Zero Hedge's Twitter account, which then had 670,000 followers, was "permanently suspended" from Twitter for "violating our platform manipulation policy". Bloomberg reported that Zero Hedge had been informed by Twitter that the suspension was as a result of an article titled: "Is This The Man Behind The Global Coronavirus Pandemic?", regarding a Chinese virologist at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, which was picked up in an article by BuzzFeed News, who made the complaint to Twitter.

The source that the OP chose was ZeroHedge which has a checkered past to put it charitably!

"ZeroHedge" is part of ABC Media Limited and owned by Daniel Ivandjiski, a Bulgarian and former hedge-fund trader who was barred from the securities industry in 2008 tor insider trading!

Ivandjiiski attempted to evade these media bans by operating under the pseudonym of "Tyler Durden" - one can come to their conclusions as to why President Trump Jr. would intervene on behalf of someone with such a questionable background!`

Nigel Farage is a British politician, broadcaster and the leader of the Brexit Party since 2019 - apparently Ivandjiiski has friends in high places on both sides of the Atlantic!

Comment

The following article shows that even with the coronavirus deaths fewer people are dying this year than in previous years. In other words, the odds of you dying this year are less than they were previous to the coronavirus.