Waking up to a world of white bloggers! Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow! Looks like our snowfall forecast is going to be close to spot on by the time this system is all finished up.

Lafayette is currently sitting at 3.00" inches. Reports out of West Lafayette, of just under 3" inches.

This radar image was taken at 2pm EST. You can see the heaviest of the snow is starting to make it's way to the east of the viewing area. We will have continued snow showers as the day continues. Light mostly however a few moderate bands of snow are still likely. You can see a few darker radar spots as we zoom in on my local radar below.

We may pick up that last inch out of this system however it is such a wet and heavy snow I don't expect us to pick up more than my forecasted 4" inches in the Lafayette, area.

There is a Winter Weather Advisory in effect for the following until 7PM EST.

Latest data is in bloggers. I'm out and about so I can't currently share a map however this is looking like more of an all snow event. Based on the snowfall map in my last post I'm going to up the Lafayette amounts to 2" to 4" inches. North of Monticello and up around Remington areas to 3" to 5" inches. Timing still the same for this system.

Friday, November 20, 2015

Alright bloggers, The first snowflakes of the season are on the way. They're moving in closer and closer as I type. Take a look at the system we're tracking just off to our west in this radar image below.

This image was taken at 6:26pm EST. You can see the rain and snow knocking on our door. We will definitely see snow from this system however the question everyone wants to know is "How much?". Well that depends on where the 540 line is going to set up. AKA The freeze line.

Right now I have models showing us seeing more snow then we would rain. Take a look at this model below.

The yellow line is the 540 line. If it sets up where this model is showing then I believe we could see snowfall between 1" and 3" inches staying a mostly snow event here in the Lafayette, area. However if we do not cool off below that freezing line soon enough then our 1" to 3" inches could easily fall to a less than an inch event. This is tricky. For snow lovers, the good news is two out of three models show more snow than rain.

We will see the rain / snow start after midnight tonight. As the temperatures drop the rain will begin to change over to snow as we continue to head into Saturday morning / mid day. It will be breezy tonight and Saturday with winds between 15 and 20 mph gusting to 25 + mph at times. Expect a low tonight around 27* degrees with a high tomorrow reaching 36* degrees. A low taking a deep drop Saturday night into the teens around 15* degrees!

So how much snow do I think we'll see based on the current model runs? Well I'm trying to be generous with my first snowfall forecast of the year. So lets take a look.

I like 1" to 3" inches north on Monticello, where an all snow event is much more likely. I'm going with .75" to 2" inches around the Lafayette, area. And lower totals the more south you go south of Montgomery county and around the Indianapolis area. Like I said this is subject to change based on that 540 line. However I feel like this is a pretty good start.

Monday, November 16, 2015

Well, as you can see above we are seeing some light rain across the area this evening. This will be a kind of off and on event as we head into the overnight. This is only the beginning of the rain to come.

Showers and breezy conditions across the area as we head into tomorrow and Wednesday. Take a look at this prog chart below.

This is looking into about 8pm Tuesday evening. A wave of showers move through the area before another line of rain moves in later on Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning ahead of a cold front.

As we look into the morning of Wednesday we can see that cold front approaching along with the final round of rain.

Rain may be heavy at times along with some gusty winds. No storms to be worried about which is great news. Lets go ahead and break down your Tuesday and Wednesday forecast below.

Alright so rain showers will be off and on tonight. Light with a total rainfall between 0.10" and 0.25" possible.

Tuesday,the showers continue. Breezy conditions with winds between 10 and 20 mph gusting to around 30 mph at times. I expect us to pick up rainfall between .50" and .65" possible. Highs around 60* degrees with a low around 56* degrees.

Wednesday,That final round of rain will move into the area in the early morning hours. We could pick up another .50" to .65" of rain in areas. Again it will be breezy with that passing cold front with winds between 15 and 20 mph. Gusting to around 30 mph at times. Expect a high around 61* early and falling through out the day. Low Wednesday night around 37* degrees.

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Now how about we look ahead a little?

That's right bloggers after this cold front moves through the area we will see some cooler temperatures set in if only for a little while. I have a couple weather models already showing the chance for our first snowflakes of the season by Friday night into Saturday possible. It wouldn't be anything to write home about so no need to break out the snow shovels just yet. Still I found this exciting of course and what better timing than with winter weather preparedness week!?

It is winter weather preparedness week here in Indiana bloggers. Time to go over the check list and make sure everyone is ready to go.

With an El-nino winter like the one we're having, forecasters are expecting us to see a more mild winter with warmer temperatures and below average precipitation. Still with that said it doesn't rule out that possibility of cold snowy weather at times. So we need to be ready!

So today the Indiana department of homeland security and the Red Cross demonstrate that the best way to stay safe from winter weather is to have a disaster plan and an emergency preparedness kit ready. Main concerns are loss of heat and power and also lack of supplies.

Here is a message from the National Weather Service on how to be ready. Take a look. I'll be back with more later.

AT HOME OR WORK...HAVE EXTRA FOOD STOCKED THAT REQUIRES NO REFRIGERATION OR COOKING IN CASE OF
POWER FAILURE. HAVE AN EMERGENCY WATER SUPPLY IN CASE WATER PIPES FREEZE. HAVE EXTRA BATTERIES
AVAILABLE FOR FLASHLIGHTS...RADIOS...SMOKE ALARMS AND CELL PHONES. HAVE EXTRA MEDICINE...FIRST AID...AND
ANY SUPPLIES YOU MAY NEED IN CASE YOU ARE UNABLE TO LEAVE HOME FOR A FEW DAYS.
HAVE AN ALTERNATE HEATING SOURCE...LIKE A FIREPLACE...WOOD STOVE...SPACE HEATER OR WARM BLANKETS
AVAILABLE IN CASE YOUR PRIMARY HEATING SOURCE FAILS. HAVE A PROFESSIONAL CHECK ALL HEATING SOURCES FOR
CORRECT OPERATION AND VENTILATION AND FOLLOW ALL MANUFACTURERS OPERATING INSTRUCTIONS. IF YOUR
HOME REQUIRES HEATING FUEL OR PROPANE...ENSURE YOU HAVE PLENTY OF FUEL IN CASE YOUR SUPPLIER CAN NOT
REACH YOU DURING A WINTER STORM. MAKE SURE YOUR FIRE EXTINGUISHERS AND SMOKE ALARMS ARE WORKING
PROPERLY.

ON THE FARM... MOVE YOUR ANIMALS TO SHELTERED AREAS...HAUL EXTRA FEED TO FEEDING AREAS...HAVE WATER
AVAILABLE AND KEEP IT FROM FREEZING. MOST ANIMAL DEATHS IN WINTER ARE FROM DEHYDRATION.

IN VEHICLES...ITEMS TO CARRY SHOULD INCLUDE BOTTLED WATER...BLANKETS OR EXTRA CLOTHING. A FIRST AID KIT...A
FLASHLIGHT...NON-CLUMPING LITTER SAND OR GRAVEL TO CREATE TRACTION IF YOUR VEHICLE GETS STUCK... A SMALL
SHOVEL...BOOSTER CABLES...AND CANDY BARS ARE GOOD KIT ITEMS AS WELL. YOU MAY WISH TO CARRY PAPER
PRODUCTS FOR SANITARY PURPOSES...WATER PROOF MATCHES...A METAL CAN AND CANDLE FOR HEAT AND LIGHT.

HEED WEATHER FORECASTSAND TAKE ACTION WHEN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ISSUES A WATCH...WARNING
OR ADVISORY. LET/S BE A WEATHER-READY NATION. ON TUESDAY WE WILL DISCUSS WINTER WEATHER TRAVEL SAFETY.