Opinion Pool

The Expert Opinion Pool summarizes subject-matter and regional experts’
current beliefs about a country’s risks of mass atrocities and other events of
interest or concern. Individual experts are often unreliable forecasters of
rare and complex events, but crowds of experts, even small ones, usually do
much better. Our opinion pool is a structured way of putting this “wisdom of
the crowd” principle into action to assess and then track change over time in
risks of mass atrocities around the world.

Select a country below to see real-time results from our current public
Opinion Pool hosted by Good Judgment Inc: