Victor Davis Hanson: The great new-year stampede

There is a new-year stampede developing that we have not seen for a long time.

Gun stores are swamped with panicking customers. They are looking for handguns, semi-automatic rifles and as much ammunition as they can afford. But buyers are not just camouflaged hunters, conspiracy theorists and gun hoarders. Instead, many of those purchasing firearms and ammo are so-called ordinary people, convinced that this administration will soon begin to centrally register — and then ban — far more than assault rifles.

There were probably lots of reasons why Adam Lanza shot 26 innocent children and adults at the Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Conn. But so far the government and media are not focusing much on his prior obsessions with violent video games, on society’s seeming inability to hospitalize the unstable, or on the crude violence peddled in Hollywood and through popular music that portrays shooting people as a sort of cheap fantasy without consequences.

Instead, the administration is zeroing in on the ability of Lanza’s mother to legally buy semi-automatic weapons that her son then stole to murder her and the schoolchildren and employees.

The result is a pandemic of fear that the Second Amendment will be reinterpreted and redefined as never before.

With the resolution of the fiscal cliff, taxes on those who make more than $400,000 are going to rise considerably, as they will revert to the Clinton-era income tax rates. But this time the landscape is radically different.

There will not be much deficit reduction and certainly no balanced budgets, adding insult to injury for those who must pay the government far more.

The new, higher rates also come on top of state income tax hikes in many states — all in addition to further increases in capital gains taxes and new Obamacare taxes. The result is not just a 3 percent to 5 percent increase on the well-off, but for some payers various aggregate hikes of 7 percent to 8 percent or even more.

No wonder many companies are rushing to pay dividends now to beat rising capital-gains tax rates. Likewise, many individuals are considering expensive new life-insurance policies to protect their heirs from losing small farms and business to federal estate taxes that may soon increase dramatically. Red states will attract even more refugees fleeing high-tax and near-insolvent blue states.

Most Americans are already seeing their health insurance premiums shoot up, in anticipation of the 2014 federal takeover of health care. To pay for the vast Obamacare programs — whose details still remain a mystery for most — money will be raised in all sorts of bizarre ways, from reducing Medicare coverage to taxing new medical devices and some drug makers.

A sense of foreboding hangs over the currently insured. Almost everyone is unsure whether the new federal statutes will still cover currently covered procedures — or whether they will be rationed or curtailed altogether.

Expect many people to schedule check-ups and major medical procedures in 2013 before Obamacare kicks in.

There is a common denominator that underlies all this multifaceted uncertainty. Fairly or not, there is a sense that those who played by the rules and did well instead have done something wrong, or at least are under suspicion — and it is now time for their government to seek atonement from them. Worse still is the dread that the government’s new policies and taxes will not solve problems but may make them worse and prompt even more government engineering.

For the law-abiding gun owner, the federal government may make it more difficult to buy legal arms — even though there is little evidence that gun restrictions per se have stopped shootings, and some evidence that states with lots of armed citizens have lower crime rates. If the semi-automatic rifle ban does not work, what gun is next to be banned to stop violence?

Most well-off taxpayers add up their local, state, federal, payroll and capital gains taxes and feel they really have paid their “fair share.” They all know that handing over more won’t solve the fiscal crisis, but instead only empower more government deficit spending. If new taxes on some won’t stop deficits, what’s next?

Finally, those who budgeted and provided their own health insurance feel that the new restrictions and higher taxes on their coverage are the costs of subsidizing many who could have bought, but chose not to buy, their own health insurance.

The ability of citizens to protect their households, to keep at least half their earnings safe from various government taxes, and to use their own judgment in making health-care decisions is central to a free people. No wonder the fear that a radically growing government will infringe on such traditional freedoms is stampeding millions of panicky Americans in all directions.

■

Victor Davis Hanson is a classicist and historian at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and the author of the just-released “The End of Sparta.” You can reach him by emailing author@victorhanson.com.

ADVISORY: Users are solely responsible for opinions they post here and for
following agreed-upon rules of civility. Posts and
comments do not reflect the views of this site. Posts and comments are
automatically checked for inappropriate language, but readers might find some
comments offensive or inaccurate. If you believe a comment violates our rules,
click the "Flag as offensive" link below the comment.

Laura, you can keep your head in the sand and repeat "la-la-la-la" all day long, but everything Mr. Hanson has stated is FACT. You can refute it all you want, but your day of reckoning will come, you can take that to the bank!

"Gun stores are swamped with panicking customers." I could have copied the rest of that argument, but I'll paraphrase it. "Wolf! Wolf! Wolf!"
"...society’s seeming inability to hospitalize the unstable..." There have been reports in the media that suggest that what set Lanza off were his mother's efforts to do just that, have him hospitalized. Of course, his rampage was made easier by ready access to her guns.
And if there is a "pandemic of fear" the first thing to do is stop crying "Wolf!"
I admit I'm not an expert on taxes, but, courtesy of mondaq.com: "The exemption remains at $5 million, indexed for inflation since 2011, which places it at $5.25 million for gifts made and the estates of decedents dying in 2013."
My wife has a small farm, 42 acres. If it were worth anything near $5 million, she wouldn't have a small farm, anymore.
"A sense of foreboding hangs over the currently insured. Almost everyone is unsure whether the new federal statutes will still cover currently covered procedures..." Now, now, as my mother used to say, "Just because you say it's so, doesn't make it so."
I know no one who has brought up this supposed "sense of foreboding". Except Mr. Hanson. And this isn't a government takeover of health insurance. Show me one insurance company whose board of directors has formally given control to the government.
"Fairly or not, there is a sense that those who played by the rules and did well instead have done something wrong, or at least are under suspicion — and it is now time for their government to seek atonement from them." Why, Mr. Hanson, you couldn't be talking about the boards of certain corporations who re-wrote the rules with their incestuous, "serving on interconnected boards", relationship let the big guys vote each other ever higher compensation (whether or not the company made money or the workers wages were stagnant to pay for the boss's needs)? Surely not, are you?
"Finally, those who budgeted and provided their own health insurance feel that the new restrictions and higher taxes on their coverage are the costs of subsidizing many who could have bought, but chose not to buy, their own health insurance."
Oh, you mean those people BEFORE Obamacare who were paying for the uninsured who were guaranteed hospital treatment.
Enough with this. Hanson is a hack crying WOLF so he can show a fear of wolves. By doing so, he establishes his place in the pack.

"But buyers are not just camouflaged hunters, conspiracy theorists and gun hoarders. Instead, many of those purchasing firearms and ammo are so-called ordinary people, convinced that this administration will soon begin to centrally register — and then ban — far more than assault rifles."

WOLF! WOLF! indeed.
Remember 2009 when Obama 'wuz a-comin' t' take ar gunz!'? Lots and lots of easily-frightened mouthbreathers raced to the gunstores to maintain their 2nd amendment and all that. Ask them what laws Obama passed to take their guns and you'll get a mindless blank stare followed by a semicoherent rant about this or that.
Sounds like more of the same.

"But so far the government and media are not focusing much on his prior obsessions with violent video games, on society’s seeming inability to hospitalize the unstable, or on the crude violence peddled in Hollywood and through popular music that portrays shooting people as a sort of cheap fantasy without consequences."

Lyin' Vic breaks out all the rightwing bogeys with the ease of falling off a log. video games and dat bad ol' Hollywood and (unnamed but hinted at) rap music. Nice he brings up mental health but no surprisingly he's dishonest enough to forget mentioning how his hero Reagan cut funding for psychiatric services.
Well, a half truth is a little better than a no truth and for the Hoover Liars that's about all they can manage.