In brief

We expect the president, Danny Faure--who took office in October 2016--to complete his term, which is due to end in 2020. The opposition secured a rare parliamentary majority at the 2016 legislative election, which will increase pressure on the People's Party-dominated administration. Growth will average 3.4% in 2019-20, as a strong tourism sector performance helps to offset the weak growth in tuna canning.