+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 04W is expected to continue intensifying under favorable atmospheric conditions. This system shall move in a generally steady NW'ly track for the next 3 to 5 days. It shall be passing about 300 km to the NE of Yap Island early Tuesday morning, July 10 as a Category 1 Typhoon, with pro-jected 1-min. sustained winds of 140 km/hr. Majority of the computer forecast models continues to show a Taiwan-Okinawa trajectory sometime July 13-15. Based on its current speed, 04W is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibi-lity (PAR) around Wednesday morning, July 11.

+ MONSOON INTENSITY FORECAST: The advance 4 to 5-day long-range forecasts suggest a surge of moderate to strong South-west (SW) Monsoon which is likely to affect the Philippines sometime July 12-14 (Thu-Sat) due to the passage of 04W, which is expected to enhance the Monsoon system. Cloudy skies with intermittent passing rains or thunderstorms can be expected across the country w/ SW'ly winds of 20 km/hr or higher, becoming more intense along Western Luzon & Wes-tern Visayas including Metro Manila. Stay tuned for more Monsoon updates in the coming days.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (90W/LPA/1008 MB) over the South China Sea has dissipated due to unfavorable atmospheric conditions over the area.

Important Note:Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!_______________________________________________________________________

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near its center.__________________________________________________________________________________________>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff: