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Newsom’s first win as SF mayor was narrow; he barely won over a gay Green candidate, and had some hard feelings to face in the gay community. His campaign to issue marriage licenses turned that around, making him a San Francisco gay hero. Did he calculate the whole thing? Perhaps we’ll never know, though I personally would have my money on ‘yes’.

I guarantee with the number of Hispanic and black voters in CA – who voted in large part against SSM, like they did in Texas and other states where DOMA came up – Twosome Newsome’s taking a big risk in alienating this segment of lockbox voters.

All it takes is ONE pastor or preacher at the pulpit to decry his actions, and it’s over.

I honestly don’t know if Gavin can win (the primary). San Francisco’s “progressive” wing still hates Newsom; beyond his gay support, Gavin is perceived of as to the “right” of Jerry Brown. He’s more supportive of business concerns and will desperately need the support of Silicon Valley democrats, who he is simultaneously pissing off over the fight over the 49ers. I’m not sure who will win the Latino vote in the primary, though, and that will likely decide it.

@ILove – THe SF gay community was pretty split in 2003′s Newsom v. Gonzalez election. The “progressive” gays backed Gonzalez and the rest backed Newsom, much like the rest of the electorate. I don’t think either really dominated the gay vote in 2003.

from the article: It becomes increasingly clear that his decision to direct city authorities to issue marriage licenses to gay couples in 2004 was a ploy to curry favor with the gay community in anticipation of a future gubernatorial bid.

DaveO, just as I said: Newsom “barely won over a gay[-backed] Green candidate, and had some hard feelings to face in the gay community”. I remember the election, DaveO, though I did not have the privilege of voting in it. Who are the loudest people in the SF gay community, with the longest memories and hardest memories, the ones Newsom needed to make himself a hero to? The progressives.

Gadzooks, the thought of Newsom as our Governor is horrifying! Although our state is in such a mess anyway, how much worse could it get? (I just jinxed us, didn’t I?)
Meg Whitman (former CEO of eBay) is running, but I think she voted Yes on 8, so I doubt she’ll be supported by many in the gay community. I’ve heard Tom Campbell is a decent candidate, but am not sure where he stands on the gay marriage issue.
Too bad Newsom’s ex-wife Kimberly Guilfoyle at FOXNews doesn’t move back to Cali and run against him! That would be an excellent smackdown that I’d pay to see!

@ILove – I continue to state that it’s incorrect to say that Gonzalez was “gay-backed”. Newsom was supported by the Alice B. Toklas LGBT Democratic Club, Mark Leno, Susan Leal and Bevan Dufty. Gonzalez was supported by the Harvey Milk club and Tom Ammiano. I looked at 2003 election returns and, even in the heart of the Castro, Gonzalez barely came out ahead.

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