Survery says: 19% of U.S. consumers are thinking about buying a Windows Phone in the next three months

On the eve of the introduction of BlackBerry 10, a new survey reveals information that might show the kind of battle that lies ahead for third place in the U.S. smartphone platform wars between Windows Phone and BlackBerry. A survey conducted by Prosper Insights and Analytics shows that 19% of the U.S. consumers surveyed said that they are thinking about buying a Windows Phone sometime in the next three months. While these numbers might change after tomorrow, 11% said that they are considering a BlackBerry model over the same time period. If RIM's unveiling of BlackBerry 10 turns out to be a home run for RIM, that 11% number is going to look awfully low.

The introduction of BlackBerry 10 could change these numbers

What about the leaders? 53% of those asked say that they will go after an Android model through March 2013 while 35% are planning on buying an Apple iPhone. But the problem is even worse than those numbers suggest for Cupertino. As we noted before, the teens are moving away from iOS. 63% of Millennials looking to buy a phone over the next three months are leaning toward Android while 37% are thinking iOS. The Gen-X'ers, those born between 1965 and 1982, are favoring an Android purchase (59%) over the Apple iPhone (32%) in the first quarter.

Once we get into the older generations, the disparity between Android and iOS melts away. While both the Boomers (1946-1964) and Silents (pre-1946) show a tendency to be looking more at an Android purchase over the next three months, the difference between the two platforms is much smaller. This might be more a result of the popularity of iOS among older users. For many older users, Android might see daunting to them.

As far as BlackBerry is concerned, if tomorrow's event provides a spark and more U.S. buyers decide that they want a 'Berry over the next three months, which OS will lose the business that BlackBerry gains?

I have serious doubts about this survey as a whole. Do a Google search for "Prosper Insights and Analytics" (the company credited for the survey) and you're hard-pressed to find a web site or any business information - just links to copies of this survey story. Does this company actually exist?

Thinking and doing are two different things. In those next three months the Xperia Z, the Oppo Find 5, the Galaxy S4, the Huawei D2, the ZTE Grand S will be out with the Droid DNA already available, the Nexus 4 getting an update and the Motorola X possibly arriving, and in that pack last year's W8 line-up hardly stand a chance - Nokia needs to come up with it's own fullHD phone and fast.

Comparing the 720p screen on a One X and the 1080p on the DNA, the One X will come ahead in every subjective comparison save the screen size difference. Unless, I suppose, you use your phone 6 inches away from your face. 1080p on a phone is a marketing ploy.

But yes. Which is odd, because you would think older folks would get a large-screened phone with big buttons, lightweight body, and inexpensive being on a fixed income, which to me means android or Windows Phone, not iphone

Yeah the Lumia 920 has qc issues. Mine buzzes on vibrate and makes a load noise and when you shake it the battery inside is slapping around. Also the top near headphone jack is squeaky and creaky. Now the ear piece speaker is staticy now. I do not think I will buy anymore Nokia products. The HTC 8x is way better in quality. Wish I would have kept it.

Love the interest in both BB 10 and WP 8. I feel BB10 will launch to very good numbers. The CrackBerry crowd has been sitting on a ton of upgrades waiting so impatiently and are dying to prove the nay-sayers wrong. I, in case you missed it, loves me some WP and am a happy WP 7 user. I am loving WP8, and am pumped for the next update and next set of devices. This third place race will be interesting, mostly because there are so many rumors about RIM that there may be huge changes coming that will dictate so much.

Android will be #1 for the foreseeable future. But I truly doubt Apple is going anywhere. As soon as they feel like it, they will grab a sack of coin and just throw money at advertising on MTV and other youth oriented outlets. It is the advantage of being stupid, rotten, stinking rich.

I will go about this completely unbiased. First and foremost I have owned in the past year a iphone 4,4s,5 as well as an sgs3 and an HTC dna and a HTC 8x. Out of all the phones and operating systems on them I can say without hesitation that Windows Mobile is the easiest and most importantly responsive os to date on a mobile device. Now that aside the main issue is the app market here and I will focus on that for the remainder of this message. The app market you have to look at as a result of being a child beginning to learn how to ride a bike. Slow initially but with time and effort will be fully equipped to ride along with the more advanced riders over time. I I have been contacting major developers for some of the more popular apps out there such as instagram, square payment, Pandora, etc. Pandora has already announced that they plan to release a Windows Mobile app and give a year subscription for free exclusively for Windows Mobile Phones. Square is less receptive and has stayed at this time there is no development planned. Instagram has also said that they are working on something. So as you can see its a slow start but you must learn to crawl before you walk. The more Windows Mobile gets out there the more the app development will progress so this is just an example of weak marketing and advertising. Give Windows some time and then see what happens.

I agree. My 8x is the best phone I've owned, and I've had an iPhone, Samsung Captivate, Samsung Focus, Motorola Photon, Droid Charge and a One X. As much as I enjoy it though, as you've stated it's not without its drawbacks. I think the biggest two misses are not capitalizing properly on Xbox Live and Zune (Xbox) Music.

Microsoft needs to invest into first party support for quality Xbox live games and promote API's for gaming that showcase the networking and cross platform opportunities. They also need to rework the current Xbox music experience into something that is more cohesive, as it is now it is too fragmented and makes it difficult/confusing to quickly access content.

I've had to deal with all of these platforms too. It's really interesting to discover that each OS has both its advantages and disadvantages.

The best working OS is Windows Phone IMO. BUT the app market is the biggest drawback. If apps are important to you, you should go for either Android or iOS. However, I can't help thinking that iPhones are utterly overpriced products. Android, on the other hand still feels like a buggy product. It's got lots of options and possible tweaks, but sudden crashes, reboots and sluggishness (even in Jelly Bean - especially since 4.2) have been irritating me. But due to its possibilities and the availability of many apps in the Play Store, I seem to prefer Android for now.

If however, MS is able to bring all the common apps someone can need into the market place, I'd definitely go with WP8. You can find good alternatives in the market place already, but I'd really like to see the real thing. What bugs me foremost is that the little and local but sometimes convenient apps like from your bank or another local business are usually there for iOS or Android, but never for WP.
I'd also like WP8 to be able to be personalized more. Semi-transparant live tiles on a background perhaps? Being able to chose a ringtone or alert for each individual app? (I am not able to chose a personal ringtone for Whatsapp, which bugs me because I don't hear that alert that often).

Fair statement, but Windows MOBILE died a few years ago; Windows PHONE is a different OS. I wouldn't want to own a Windows Mobile phone (except an HD2 for its hackability), but I would like to continue owning Windows Phones.

this is really a 4 platform competition... but im sure that iOS will loose more market if they wont start innovating with iOS looks and everything! and they should stop making only small changes on the nes iDevices!

and im aso sure that in ecosystem war, i think iOS, android and BB10 will be a winner especially BB10, since it is able to port android and even iOS apps on its ecosystem!

but WP will be a sure winner if nokia will release a real camera phone monster!

but still pity the symbian and meego platform, now nokia will pay MSFT for license...

Windows Phone 8 is great. Windows 8 on the other hand... not so well received. I think it was a huge mistake for Microsoft to combine the naming schemes. Consumers are pretty dumb. Most get the two mixed up (hence negative vibes towards WP8).

"Worldwide, IDC pointed that Windows Phone had a 50% quarter-over-quarter decline in Q3 2012, thus having a total 2.0% global market share.

The low market share of Windows Phone might be explained by a study by Bernstein Research that concluded that consumers don’t want Windows Phones. The research points out: "The lack of consumer interest for Windows-based phones has been very consistent in marketing surveys we have carried out across the globe over the last several years." and that "The situation of Windows in mobile phones is now very unlikely to revert." This view stems from the idea that the current ecosystems hold too much of the market for the windows phone to get noticed in the proverbial popularity contest."

and yet somehow the survey referred to above found that 19% of people planning to purchase a smartphone in the next three months would consider Windows Phone. Who'd of thunk it ??

Care to explain why android's market share in the US has gone from 60% in 2011 to 42% at the end of 2012 ?? Well one explanation is that both IOS and Windows Phone have a higher "satisfaction" rating than android.

Great data, however the wP8 devices didn't start shipping until Q4 and the Lumia 920 was launched to selected markets on exclusive carrier deals. In fact it is only just about to launched across all of the major UK carriers tomorrow.

I think you're using the wrong info there, champ. Read it again: the market share for Windows MOBILE dropped. Windows PHONE has been gradually increasing since its launch. If you combine the two stats it will look like a decrease because of the widespread installed base of Windows MOBILE replacing their phones with something else (and the market getting bigger as more folks buy smartphones).

I was a long time WinMo user, who was really looking forward to WP. It took too long to get to market, and WinMo 6.5 just wasn't cutting it. So I went with Android for the time being.

Then WP dropped, and I couldn't have been more disappointed. They copied all the worst aspects of iOS (closed ecosystem, no customization, etc...) it was the anti WinMo. Add in the ugliest UI I've ever seen on a mobile device, and I stuck with Android.

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