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The materials provided in this presentation have been prepared by ACIL Allen Consulting for the exclusive purpose of providing advice to the RET Review Panel. This materials are supplied in good faith and reflect the knowledge, expertise and experience of the consultants involved.

In conducting the analysis in these materials ACIL Allen Consulting has endeavoured to use what it considers is the best information available at the date of publication, including information supplied by various government agencies, AEMO and the IMOWA.

ACIL Allen Consulting does not warrant the accuracy of any forecast or prediction in the materials. Although ACIL Allen Consulting exercises reasonable care when making forecasts or predictions, factors in the process, such as consumer demand and future market behaviour, are inherently uncertain and cannot be forecast or predicted reliably.

ACIL Allen Consulting accepts no responsibility whatsoever for any loss occasioned by any person acting or refraining from action as a result of reliance on the materials.

Note: Other renewable technologies such as biomass and geothermal not shown, but account for a very small proportion of development. Figures exclude projects committed or under construction as these are treated as existing capacity.

Note: Excludes non-scheduled generation in NEM regions, own-generation in the SWIS, off-grid generation. Capital and refurbishment costs are pro-rated down when modelling period does not cover economic life. NPV calculation uses a 7% real discount rate

Note: LGC prices under ‘Closed to new entrants’ scenario assumes a fixed $40/LGC (nominal) price. Projected prices from the model assume that the scenario settings are known with perfect certainty and prices immediately adjust which explains why prices are well above current levels for 2014.