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Missouri Corn Yields Decline

(COLUMBIA, MO) - "Hotter than normal August temperatures
across Missouri coupled with below normal rainfall has diminished producer’s
corn yield expectation since August 1st," said Gene Danekas, Director,
USDA-Missouri Agricultural Statistics. "Despite these conditions
Missouri producers are on track to harvest a record rice crop, along with
the second largest soybean crop in history.”

Based on conditions as of September 1, Missouricorn
yield per harvested acre is forecast at 143 bushels, 10 bushels below
a year ago and 7 bushels per acre below the August 1 forecast. Production
is forecast at 458 million bushels, 2 percent above a year ago but down
5 percent from the August 1 forecast. If realized, this would be the third
largest Missouri corn crop on record following 2004 and 2007. Acres for
harvest for grain are forecast at 3.20 million acres, up 10 percent from
2009 but unchanged from the August 1 estimate.

Soybean yield in Missouri is forecast
at 42 bushels per acre, 1.5 bushels below 2009 and unchanged from the
August 1 forecast. Production is forecast at 229 million bushels, 1 percent
below 2009 and unchanged from August 1. This would be the second largest
Missouri soybean crop on record. Harvested acres are expected to total
5.45 million acres, 3 percent above last year but unchanged from the August
1 forecast.

A record yield of 7,100 pounds per acre is forecast for Missouririce, 390 pounds per acre above last year, and 100 pounds
per acre above the August 1 estimate. If realized, this would result in
a record production of 17.8 million hundredweight, 33 percent above last
year and 18 percent above the August 1 estimate. Planted acres of rice
are estimated at a record 253,000 acres, 37,000 acres above the previous
record in 2005. Rice harvested acres are also a record at 251,000 acres,
37,000 acres above the previous record of 214,000 acres in 2005. Long
grain rice planted acres are estimated at 250,000 acres while harvested
acres are forecast at 248,000 acres. Medium grain rice planted and harvested
acres are expected to be 3,000 acres. Cotton planted
acres in Missouri are estimated at 315,000 acres, up
16 percent from last year and a 5 percent increase from the August 1 estimate.
Producers expect to harvest 313,000 acres, 20 percent above last year
and 5 percent above the August 1 estimate. A yield of 966 pounds per acre
is forecasted, a decrease of 17 pounds per acre from the August 1 estimate.
The resulting 630,000 480-pound bales would be 25 percent above last year
and 3 percent above the August 1 estimate. A yield of 95 bushels per acre
is expected for Missouri sorghum for grain which would
result in a production of 4.28 million bushels, 16 percent above 2009
but unchanged from the August 1 estimate. Sorghum to be harvested for
grain is forecast at 45,000 acres, up 2,000 acres from last year and unchanged
from August 1. Missouri summer potato planted acres are
estimated at 7,500 acres, up 200 acres from 2009 but 200 acres below the
July 1 estimate. Harvested acres are forecast at 7,400 acres, up 300 acres
from a year earlier but 200 acres below July. Production is forecast at
2.15 million cwt., 10 percent above last year but 6 percent below the
previous estimate on July 1. Yield is forecast at 290 cwt. per acre, up
15 cwt from last year and unchanged from the July 1 forecast.

United States Crops

U.S. Corn production is forecast at a record 13.2 billion
bushels, down 2 percent from the August forecast, but up from the previous
record of 13.1 billion bushels set in 2009. Based on conditions as of
September 1, yields are expected to average 162.5 bushels per acre, down
2.5 bushels from the previous month and 2.2 bushels below last year’s
record of 164.7 bushels.

U.S. Soybean production is forecast at a record high
3.48 billion bushels, up 1 percent from August and 4 percent above last
year. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average
a record high 44.7 bushels per acre, up 0.7 bushel from both last month
and last year. Area for harvest in the United States is forecast at 78.0
million acres, unchanged from June but up 2 percent from 2009.

U.S. All cotton production is forecast at 18.8 million
480-pound bales, up 2 percent from last month and up 55 percent from last
year’s 12.2 million bales. Yield is expected to average 839 pounds
per harvested acre, up 62 pounds from last year. Upland cotton production
is forecast at 18.3 million 480-pound bales, 56 percent above 2009. Rice
production in the U.S. is forecast at 255 million cwt,
up 4 percent from the August forecast and up 16 percent from last year.
Based on administrative data, planted area now totals 3.64 million acres,
up 4 percent from the June estimate and up 16 percent from 2009. Area
for harvest is expected to total 3.62 million acres, up 4 percent from
August and up 17 percent from 2009. As of September 1, the average United
States yield is forecast at 7,047 pounds per acre, up 8 pounds from the
previous forecast but down 38 pounds from last year. U.S. Sorghum
production is forecast at 376 million bushels, down 2 percent from both
last month and last year. Expected area for harvest as grain is forecast
at 5.18 million acres, unchanged from August but down 6 percent from 2009.
Based on September 1 conditions, yield is forecast at 72.7 bushels per
acre, down 1.4 bushels from August but up 3.3 bushels from last year.
U.S. production of summer potatoes is
forecast at 11.8 million cwt, down 10 percent from the July forecast and
19 percent below 2009. Harvested area is estimated at 37,100 acres, down
4 percent from the July forecast and 13 percent below last year. Average
yield is forecast at 317 cwt per acre, down 22 cwt from July and 23 cwt
below 2009.