Liverpool vs Manchester City expert betting tips, predictions and head to head

Liverpool host Manchester City in the top of the table clash on Sunday at 4:30pm local time. Both sides have amassed 19 points from a possible 21 so far this season, with Manchester City edging to top spot courtesy of a slightly superior goal difference. Manchester City have an awful record at Anfield though, and they will want to put that record straight when the sides meet in a mouth-watering tie.

Home Team: Liverpool

Liverpool will see their last match in the Premier League against Chelsea as a point gained, rather than two points dropped. For the majority of the game, Liverpool were 2nd best to Chelsea but in the last half an hour they started to create some guilt-edge chances, but were unable to find the equaliser. With minutes remaining on the clock, substitute and former Chelsea player Daniel Sturridge was able to score a sublime equaliser from 25 yards out to get a crucial point for Liverpool.

If Liverpool are able to win the league this season, they’ll look back at games like that where they were given a tough test, but managed to come back and get something from the game. Liverpool have had to travel to Chelsea and Tottenham this season so far, and could argue they have had slightly more difficult fixtures than their upcoming opponents. A win here for Liverpool would send out a huge message to the league, and could even make themselves slight title favourites.

Away Team: Manchester City

Manchester City are in the same position now as they were at this time last season. In the opening 7 matches, they had won 6 out of 7, drawing just the one match. It appears to be the standard for Manchester City now, and if they continue with this momentum, it would be hard for Liverpool, Chelsea or Tottenham to keep up with them. Manchester City are top due to their superior goal difference, having scored 21 goals and only conceded three.

Out of the 38 games last season, Manchester City lost only twice, but one of them came in this fixture in January this year. Not only that, but they also lost 3-0 here in the Champions League when they met a few months later, so Pep Guardiola may have triumphed everything in English football, winning at the likes of Old Trafford, Stamford Bridge, the Emirates, Wembley and others, but he has lost three times on his trips to Anfield. If Manchester City can overcome their toughest test, and win here, then surely they would be overwhelming favourites to lift back to back Premier League trophies?

Head to Head

In the 210 previous fixtures between the two clubs, it’s fair to say that Liverpool have dominated the proceedings. They have won 104 times compared to Manchester City’s 54 successes. As it has already been allured to, Manchester City have a shambolic record at Anfield, and continue to lose their even in their recent Premier League winning seasons. In 2014, Liverpool had famously beat Manchester City at home 3-2 in what was built as the title decider, only for them to bottle the title a few weeks later to Chelsea and Crystal Palace, which then saw Manchester City become champions. In 2012, the two sides drew 1-1 at Anfield, as Manchester City went on to become champions, and of course last season, it was an enthralling match that finished 4-3 to the home side, but the away side were once again crowned champions in May.

In fact, Manchester City have only won once at Anfield in the Premier League era, and that was back in 2003. Manchester City have failed to win in the last 15 attempts at Anfield. Liverpool have run out victorious in the last 5 home league meetings between the two sides, and 6 if you include the Champions League win in April too. Those Manchester City fans will only make a short trip to Liverpool, but they will hope that their journey home will be happier than usual in recent times.

Predictions and Expert Betting Tips

The odds are very even with Liverpool slight favourites at 6/4 to get the win, with Manchester City at 13/8. A draw for the game is at 13/5. With Manchester City’s dreadful record at Anfield, it would be hard not to be tempted by the generous odds of Liverpool to win this crucial league clash. However, I think that Pep Guardiola will have learned from his previous mistakes, and will hope to end that barren run and get a vital victory here. Manchester City to win 3-1 at 18/1 sounds promising to me, and that would be my go to score prediction, with a 2-2 score line at 11/1 my secondary bet.

I cannot see a repeat of the goal scoring frenzy that occurred last season when Liverpool were 4-3 victors. Due to the significance of the fixture, for both clubs, I expect it to be more of a cagey affair with defenders not wanting to make mistakes. Manchester City will not want to be caught out by Liverpool’s high pressing so Pep Guardiola may amend tactics accordingly. I think goals are more likely to happen in the second half so betting on both teams to score in the second half is at 7/4, but if you like a bit of risk, then bet on both teams to score in both halves at 11/2 – lightening can strike twice.

Finally, when it comes to picking the first goal scorer, it’s hard to look past the likely lads of Mohammed Salah (7/2), Roberto Firmino (5/1) and Sadio Mane (11/2) to get that first goal for the home side. For the away side, Sergio Aguero (4/1) and Gabriel Jesus (11/2) are the favourites, but let’s not forget who has scored the first goals of this fixture in the last two seasons – midfielders Georginio Wijnaldum and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain. It may be worth having a punt on some of the midfielders, or even defenders of the teams to get the first goal.

A penalty from James Milner against his old club has a ring to it, and he is at 20/1 to get the first goal, or even put a punt on Virgil Van Dyke at 40/1 to get a goal from the set-piece. Last but not least, Raheem Stirling will be desperate to score on his return to Anfield, and he is at 13/8 to score at any time.

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