Congressional rivals eager to face off but hold their best punches for later

08:43 PM CST on Saturday, January 17, 2004

By DAVE LEVINTHAL / The Dallas Morning News

The "No. 1" race in the nation. The "tip of the spear" among big-money contests.

With the Martin Frost vs. Pete Sessions congressional contest all of two days old, political observers  and the candidates themselves  are hyping its significance as if boxing promoter Don King had been advising them.

To be sure, the race between the sitting congressmen will, by all accounts, be expensive and passionately partisan.

During the state's bitter redistricting process, Texas Republicans molded Mr. Frost's Democrat-friendly 24th District into a Republican stronghold designed to squeeze him from office. He's still livid.

Mr. Sessions is painting Mr. Frost as a "hard-core liberal" who can't win in his district. He's not planning on letting a Democratic interloper infiltrate his domain without an all-out counteroffensive.

But don't expect this race to become a January-to-Election Day bloodbath, political consultants say. The campaign will take the form of sustained and growing disharmony between the men, building toward a November crescendo of all-out partisanship.

"The gloves won't come off until the fall," said John Marlow, an Austin-based lobbyist who ran Mr. Sessions' first winning campaign in 1996. "Until about Labor Day, both of these candidates will run against each other from a fund-raising perspective."

Said Mr. Frost: "This is a nine-month marathon, and in it, I don't mind being a little bit of an underdog. There's a lot of time."

And Mr. Sessions: "I'm surprised that Mr. Frost decided to run against me ... but I welcome him, red carpet rolled out. It won't be easy."

Enlisting aid

Both candidates' histories and stature suggest they'll woo plenty of big-name politicos and big-time donors to North Texas this year.

Mr. Frost is the former head of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which exists primarily to elect Democrats and defeat Republicans, and he counts his congressional tenure as among the longest in the nation among Democrats.

Clout? Plenty.

Mr. Sessions is a Texas Republican running against a man whom national-level Republicans want to see voted out of Congress.

It isn't a stretch to believe a former Republican Texas governor who now lives in the White House might swing through the 32nd District once or twice this year.

"And there's really no love lost there at all between them," Mr. Marlow said of the two candidates. "It's been Martin Frost's job to try to beat Pete Sessions before. And Pete Sessions can rely on the full faith of the Republican National Committee."

When candidates publicly report their finances at the end of January, Mr. Sessions says he will have $750,000 cash on hand. Mr. Frost said he would report $700,000. Both candidates predict the other will raise at least $2.5 million through the election.

For Mr. Frost, his challenge is primarily twofold: raise those millions of dollars while also making inroads into swaths of the district populated with Republicans wary of any Democrat, no matter how moderate or experienced. Such areas include the Park Cities and parts of North Dallas.

An established fund-raiser with a database filled with thousands of supporters, the latter of the two challenges may prove more daunting. In November, Mr. Frost's campaign staff, housed in an office building in Dallas' Oak Cliff section, was already mailing out thousands of personalized letters, piled atop several desks, to past donors.

"He's always had a very good, effective campaign structure," said Dallas Mayor Pro Tem John Loza, a Frost supporter. "And in this district, he'll have a base among voters of color, Jewish voters, younger voters. He's not too far to the left with the rest."

But he had little base of support in their districts, which are even more solidly Republican than Mr. Sessions', where four of 10 voting-age residents are black or Hispanic. Blacks overwhelmingly vote Democratic in Texas, as do Hispanicsalthough to a lesser degree.

"He figures he starts there and then has to go looking for the rest," said political scientist Cal Jillson of Southern Methodist University, adding that the challenge for Mr. Frost will be to make inroads in North Dallas, which for years has voted about 70 percent for Republicans.

"The Democrats have been cowed for a decade, but if they had a strong, articulate, well-funded candidate, i.e. Frost, saying, 'Come on, get up on your hind legs and defend yourselves,' that would change."

Mr. Frost will campaign in Democrat-heavy Oak Cliff and the most Republican tract of Highland Park with equal fervor, he said Saturday.

Contrasting records

When it comes to the political makeup of the district, both candidates say the advantage is theirs.

Mr. Sessions panned Mr. Frost as "a hard-core liberal" out of step with most 32nd District voters.

"He'll be selling his can of goods as a liberal," Mr. Sessions said. "I have a large base here, I believe. I'm confident."

Voters in this district "aren't ideologues. They aren't to the extreme right," Mr. Frost said. They care about improving education, bolstering their public transportation network and ensuring the nation's military is strong, he said.

On these key points, Mr. Frost says he trumps Mr. Sessions. ' record.

Nonsense, said Mr. Barton, who said Mr. Frost's decision to run at all is foolhardy.

"Smart politicians reputed to be intelligent  and Mr. Frost is very intelligent  don't usually do stupid things," said Mr. Barton. "There is no reasonable set of circumstances where he beats Pete. It would take an absolutely cataclysmic political upheaval."

What Mr. Sessions possesses that Mr. Frost doesn't is a positive image in the 32nd District, Mr. Barton said. Too many voters in the district won't vote for a candidate who supports abortion rights, and civil unions among for gays and has a more liberal fiscal philosophy than Mr. Sessions, regardless of his stances on education, transportation and the military, Mr. Barton said.

Mr. Sessions says he's dedicated to an agenda that allows citizens to empower themselves through tax cuts, business incentives and conservative economic polities.

Is the past prologue?

Prodded by House Majority Leader Tom DeLay, R-Sugar Land, who insisted on targeting Mr. Frost even if that made the remap's legal prospects less certain, the Republican-dominated Legislature put Mr. Frost in difficult straits.

The new version of his 24th District is tailored to state Rep. Kenny Marchant, R-Coppell, for whom state lawmakers had drawn the 32nd District in 2001. But Mr. Sessions claimed it, trading in the sprawling 5th District he had held for three terms for one that is far smaller, closer to home and Republican.

In the 5th District, Mr. Sessions averaged 54.28 percent of the general election vote during his three successful races between 1996 and 2000.

"He'll be selling his can of goods as a liberal," Mr. Sessions said. "I have a large base here, I believe. I'm confident."

Voters in this district "aren't ideologues. They aren't to the extreme right," Mr. Frost said. They care about improving education, bolstering their public transportation network and ensuring the nation's military is strong, he said.

On these key points, Mr. Frost says he trumps Mr. Sessions. ' record.

Nonsense, said Mr. Barton, who said Mr. Frost's decision to run at all is foolhardy.

"Smart politicians reputed to be intelligent  and Mr. Frost is very intelligent  don't usually do stupid things," said Mr. Barton. "There is no reasonable set of circumstances where he beats Pete. It would take an absolutely cataclysmic political upheaval."

What Mr. Sessions possesses that Mr. Frost doesn't is a positive image in the 32nd District, Mr. Barton said. Too many voters in the district won't vote for a candidate who supports abortion rights, and civil unions among for gays and has a more liberal fiscal philosophy than Mr. Sessions, regardless of his stances on education, transportation and the military, Mr. Barton said.

Please let me know if you want ON or OFF my Texas ping list!. . .don't be shy. No, you don't HAVE to be a Texan to get on this list!

There will be some interesting races this time out because of the realignments.... This race will be the most prominent and get the most attention... But others will feature races between regional sides of a district.... Example, # 2 will pit the Houston area against the East side of the district, Beaumont/Port Arthur.... #11 will pit the Midland/Odessa area versus the northeast side, Brownwood, etc. And then there are the Austin/San Antonio to the Border strips..... It will be interesting.

Silly me. All this time I thought that the ,ost significant race (symbolically) in the nation was to defeat Barbara Boxers, that prototype shrill thinly disguised socialist. that little fish in the big pond who, although ineffective on a national level, reinforced in a big way dirty politics. The politics of personal destruction.

The ppular buzz these days is that she "has" $5 million fr her re-election campaign. My fondest hope is that whichever Republican candidate has the best chance to defeat her can accumulate twice that amount, minimum. It should be no contest, but she has somehow managed to be the stealth socialist behind the scenes way too many years now.

10
posted on 01/18/2004 8:50:10 AM PST
by Publius6961
(40% of Californians are as dumb as a sack of rocks.)

You're right, those will be interesting battles, although they're basically going to occur in the party primaries. I think the only race which might be competitive in November is not the Martin Frost/Pete Sessions battle. It's the Charlie Stenholm/Neguebauerwhatizface matchup.

I don't know a thing about any of the six or so candidates.... And I doubt many in the B/PA area do... Moore is sending out a slick two page color flyer already... I guess it's time as there is only some 7 weeks or so to the primary....

Clint Moore is trying to make a name for himself, but he's kind of an arrogant sort. You should see his business card. He's turned it into something like a resume, listing previous honors and industry offices he's held. He certainly has a high impression of himself.

Yep ! Ralph Hall, a long time East Texas Democrat with an 83 Lifetime ACU rating, recently switched to GOP.

Currently, we are 16-16 GOP/'RAT U.S. Reps after the RH switch. With the new map, we should be able to make that about 21-11 or thereabouts. This new map makes it almost a cinch for the GOP to hold the House and likely pad the numbers. Pinch me, I wanna make sure I'm not dreaming ! lol !

I not only remember the article on Ralph Hall switching to our side, but also a delicious comment by someone from Texas stating something like "redistricting has already worked even before the election."

20
posted on 01/18/2004 9:41:27 AM PST
by onyx
(Your secrets are safe with me and all my friends.)

Martin Frost is flaming liberal (not quite to the Pelosi, Waxman, et.al. levels) and I'm glad he's out of Arlington BUT we should be prepared for EVERY black, hispanic, ane Jew in Texas to be campaigning HARD for Frost's survival before it's over.

We're also going to be getting every single, noisy-assed black in the U.S. coming into North Texas on Frost's behalf. He won't be going away easy so, if you really want to help Frost's demise come to be...support Pete Sessions financially, and push the national GOP committee to support Pete Sessions as well.

This is going to be more than just getting rid of Frost, the demonRATs are going to make this a referendum vote against the GOP!

Did you mean EVERY left wing, every liberal, every Democrat every fraud loving union member in the country? There are MANY, Hispanics, Blacks and Jews that will be voting for Sessions. He is a super decent human being.

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