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Saturday, October 6, 2018

FIFA ranking: October 2018 probable ranking

Here is the probable October 2018 ranking, to be published on October 25th. This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 136 currently scheduled matches in FIFA's fixture list. A total of 167 matches is scheduled to be played until October 16th.Probable October 2018 rank - Team - Probable October 2018 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1

Belgium

1735

0

6,0

2

France

1734

-1

5,0

3

Brazil

1669

0

6,0

4

Croatia

1643

0

9,0

5

Uruguay

1629

0

-3,0

6

Spain

1609

3

12,0

7

Portugal

1605

0

-1,0

8

Switzerland

1598

0

0,0

9

England

1597

-3

-15,0

10

Denmark

1591

0

10,0

11

Argentina

1573

0

-2,0

12

Chile

1568

0

0,0

13

Colombia

1567

1

0,0

14

Germany

1562

-2

-6,0

15

Mexico

1550

0

0,0

16

Sweden

1549

-1

-1,0

17

Netherlands

1540

0

0,0

18

Poland

1538

0

1,0

19

Wales

1530

0

-6,0

20

Italy

1526

0

0,0

21

Peru

1525

0

0,0

22

Tunisia

1515

1

12,0

23

USA

1510

-1

0,0

24

Austria

1502

0

3,0

25

Senegal

1501

0

9,0

26

Slovakia

1498

0

7,0

27

Romania

1491

0

2,0

28

Ukraine

1489

1

6,0

29

Venezuela

1479

3

3,0

30

Paraguay

1477

1

0,0

31

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1476

3

8,0

32

Iran

1474

1

0,0

33

Republic of Ireland

1473

-3

-5,0

34

Northern Ireland

1472

-6

-15,0

35

Serbia

1463

0

0,0

36

Costa Rica

1460

1

0,0

37

Iceland

1455

-1

-6,0

38

Scotland

1453

1

5,0

39

Turkey

1449

-1

-7,0

40

Montenegro

1448

1

4,0

41

Congo DR

1447

-1

0,0

42

Greece

1439

0

6,0

43

Morocco

1435

2

10,0

44

Russia

1433

2

10,0

45

Australia

1432

-2

1,0

46

Nigeria

1431

2

16,0

47

Bulgaria

1428

-3

-2,0

48

Cameroon

1421

2

13,0

48

Ghana

1421

3

14,0

50

Norway

1420

2

15,0

51

Czech Republic

1406

-4

-12,0

52

Burkina Faso

1402

4

11,0

53

Korea Republic

1401

2

6,0

53

Jamaica

1401

0

0,0

55

Hungary

1400

-6

-9,0

56

Japan

1398

-2

0,0

57

Albania

1384

0

1,0

58

Ecuador

1378

0

0,0

58

Bolivia

1378

0

0,0

58

Egypt

1378

6

14,0

61

Finland

1377

-3

-1,0

61

Mali

1377

2

12,0

63

Slovenia

1375

-2

-1,0

64

Cote d'Ivoire

1368

2

17,0

65

Honduras

1367

-3

-1,0

66

Guinea

1366

-1

13,0

67

Algeria

1351

2

8,0

68

Cape Verde Islands

1350

-1

0,0

69

FYR Macedonia

1345

-1

1,0

70

Saudi Arabia

1339

1

2,0

71

El Salvador

1335

1

3,0

72

Panama

1334

-2

-5,0

73

South Africa

1333

0

8,0

73

Zambia

1333

2

17,0

75

Syria

1320

-1

-2,0

76

China PR

1317

0

4,0

77

Belarus

1315

3

11,0

78

Canada

1310

1

3,0

79

Curacao

1306

2

3,0

80

Lebanon

1305

-3

-3,0

80

United Arab Emirates

1305

-3

-3,0

82

Uganda

1293

1

2,0

83

Oman

1291

2

4,0

84

Congo

1289

0

0,0

85

Gabon

1288

2

14,0

86

Luxembourg

1287

-4

-5,0

87

Cyprus

1272

-1

-11,0

88

Trinidad and Tobago

1269

2

0,0

89

Iraq

1265

0

-7,0

89

Georgia

1265

4

11,0

91

Benin

1264

-3

-9,0

92

Kyrgyzstan

1263

-1

-2,0

93

Faroe Islands

1258

-1

-3,0

94

Qatar

1247

0

0,0

95

Israel

1245

-1

-2,0

95

Uzbekistan

1245

1

0,0

97

Estonia

1244

1

4,0

98

India

1240

-1

-4,0

99

Palestine

1230

1

5,0

99

Armenia

1230

1

5,0

101

Mauritania

1225

2

8,0

102

Vietnam

1220

0

0,0

103

Haiti

1216

1

4,0

104

Libya

1210

-5

-16,0

104

Kenya

1210

3

6,0

106

Azerbaijan

1207

2

5,0

107

Madagascar

1200

-1

-5,0

108

Korea DPR

1196

1

0,0

109

Niger

1195

-4

-12,0

110

Bahrain

1188

2

7,0

111

Jordan

1184

-1

-5,0

112

Namibia

1180

4

10,0

113

Central African Republic

1170

-2

-17,0

114

Philippines

1169

0

-3,0

115

Zimbabwe

1167

2

0,0

116

Mozambique

1162

-3

-13,0

117

Kazakhstan

1159

1

-1,0

118

Sierra Leone

1158

-4

-14,0

119

New Zealand

1157

0

0,0

120

Tajikistan

1156

0

0,0

121

Thailand

1148

1

4,0

122

Togo

1144

1

5,0

123

Chinese Taipei

1139

0

0,0

124

Guinea-Bissau

1132

-3

-17,0

125

Antigua and Barbuda

1126

2

4,0

126

Nicaragua

1125

2

4,0

127

Turkmenistan

1120

3

0,0

128

Latvia

1119

3

3,0

129

Lithuania

1117

-3

-6,0

129

Malawi

1117

-4

-12,0

131

Yemen

1112

2

0,0

132

St. Kitts and Nevis

1109

2

0,0

132

Andorra

1109

-4

-12,0

134

Sudan

1105

-2

-9,0

135

Angola

1101

0

-7,0

136

Kosovo

1099

2

7,0

137

Equatorial Guinea

1091

4

5,0

138

Tanzania

1088

2

-1,0

138

Swaziland

1088

-2

-13,0

140

Myanmar

1086

-2

-6,0

141

Rwanda

1080

-4

-13,0

142

Solomon Islands

1073

2

0,0

143

Botswana

1068

-1

-9,0

143

Afghanistan

1068

3

0,0

143

Lesotho

1068

2

-2,0

146

Hong Kong

1066

-3

-10,0

147

Guatemala

1064

0

0,0

148

Ethiopia

1054

1

-6,0

149

Comoros

1050

0

-10,0

150

Burundi

1049

-2

-12,0

150

Maldives

1049

1

0,0

152

Dominican Republic

1045

0

5,0

153

Suriname

1040

0

5,0

154

New Caledonia

1032

0

0,0

155

Liberia

1022

0

-1,0

155

Mauritius

1022

1

0,0

157

Tahiti

1020

0

0,0

158

Kuwait

1015

1

1,0

159

Belize

1010

1

6,0

160

Indonesia

1009

4

12,0

161

South Sudan

1005

-3

-14,0

162

Nepal

1001

-2

-3,0

163

Vanuatu

1000

0

0,0

163

Barbados

1000

-1

-3,0

165

Singapore

991

1

9,0

166

Papua New Guinea

984

-1

0,0

167

Fiji

981

1

0,0

168

Cambodia

978

1

-1,0

169

St. Lucia

977

-3

-5,0

170

Malaysia

975

1

3,0

171

Grenada

968

-1

-8,0

171

Gambia

968

0

-4,0

173

Moldova

961

0

3,0

174

Chad

956

0

0,0

175

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

955

0

0,0

175

Puerto Rico

955

0

0,0

177

Cuba

954

2

8,0

178

Dominica

950

-1

-3,0

179

Liechtenstein

944

-1

-3,0

180

Guyana

943

2

6,0

181

Laos

942

-2

-4,0

182

Bermuda

940

-1

0,0

183

Macau

925

1

0,0

184

Aruba

924

1

0,0

185

Sao Tomé e Príncipe

920

2

0,0

186

Malta

919

-3

-9,0

187

Mongolia

918

-1

-4,0

188

Bhutan

917

0

0,0

189

American Samoa

908

2

0,0

189

Cook Islands

908

2

0,0

191

Guam

907

2

0,0

191

Bangladesh

907

2

0,0

193

Timor-Leste

905

-3

-4,0

194

Seychelles

904

-5

-9,0

195

Brunei Darussalam

903

0

0,0

196

Samoa

896

0

0,0

196

Djibouti

896

0

0,0

198

Sri Lanka

890

1

0,0

198

Pakistan

890

1

0,0

200

Gibraltar

888

-2

-3,0

201

US Virgin Islands

887

0

-2,0

202

Cayman Islands

873

0

-5,0

203

Tonga

868

3

0,0

203

Eritrea

868

3

0,0

203

Somalia

868

3

0,0

206

British Virgin Islands

867

-3

-5,0

207

Montserrat

864

-2

-6,0

207

Anguilla

864

-1

-4,0

209

San Marino

862

-5

-9,0

210

Bahamas

858

0

-4,0

211

Turks and Caicos Islands

855

-1

-7,0

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

The match Myanmar - Afghanistan was already NOT included in the above probable ranking. See the match-list in probable results, the zero as first digit indicates that the match is not included in the calculation.

Hi Ed,I was wondering what would be the current ranking if the new FIFA ranking system had been applied before World Cup 2014 when France was 18th, Croatia 19th and Belgium 11th. Which place would they have reached today after World Cup 2018 ? And what if we go back to 2009 when Belgium was 70th in the ranking ? Would they have reached the top of the ranking ?I'm wondering if the new system will evolve as slow as it seems it will be the case due to low K (I) factors.

Indeed, Bulgaria's September ranking is a 'fine' example of FIFA's rounding method. To be even more precise Bulgaria had 1430,4969 in September, so rounded on two decimals 1430,50 and in their world that's 1430 :)

Those two matches are not included in FIFA's fixture list and that list is still leading, not the list on elo ratings.

Hello Ed and Michael, I also have a ranking here: http://elofifa.blogspot.com/ I´ve included points exchange of every game since June 4th. Michael, I also have Palestine with 1233 pts, unlike the website FCTables. They have Palestine with 1237 pts. I guess they did not calculate Palestine´s win after penalties (0.75 pts). What do you think?

If you use excel, here´s a file I created where you just have to copy paste from the fifa fixtures results web site, and the formulas will do all the math, exchange points and rank teams. I´ll be happy to explain how it works. Take a look: https://1drv.ms/x/s!Anvei7RxJKLQkI5f0uF9TsgInaE7Vw

The author portrays distinctive football rankings, examinations the points and upsides and downsides of each positioning framework. One of the principle subjects of the article is to uncover the contrast between authority football appraisals and informal open positioning.