Tyreek Hill prop bets for Super Bowl LIV: 49ers vs Chiefs predictions

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As one of the fastest players in the NFL, there could be some value in Tyreek Hill prop bets for Super Bowl LIV. (Photo credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports)

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Tyreek Hill prop bets: First reception 13.5 yards

While something of a fluke bet, Tyreek Hill’s first reception in the AFC Championship Game was a 26-yard play from the arm of quarterback Patrick Mahomes. In the AFC Divisional Round, Hill’s first reception was a 17-yard catch via Mahomes.

In two playoff games, Hill averaged exactly 13.5 yards per reception. That number was below his season average of 14.8 yards per reception.

Maybe there’s something to this wager.

Let’s make the over (-112) the first of our Tyreek Hill prop bets for Super Bowl Sunday.

Prediction: Tyreek Hill first reception over 13.5 yards (-112)

Tyreek Hill any time touchdown scorer (+105)

Although he only appeared in 12 games, Hill led the Chiefs in touchdown receptions during the regular season with seven. He has since added two more in the playoffs.

At +105, Hill is the third choice on the Chiefs to score a touchdown in the Super Bowl. Those are pretty good odds considering his production.

Prediction: Tyreek Hill any time touchdown scorer (+105)

Tyreek Hill any time touchdown scorer/Kansas City Chiefs win (+230)

With Hill’s ability to find the end zone, consider this prop bet if you think the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl outright as a way to increase your return.

Both parts of this bet must hit in order to receive a payout.

Tyreek Hill prop bets: 5.5 total receptions

Despite the fact Hill has gone over this total just four times in 14 total games this season, there’s some value here in the over (+116). Hill had exactly five receptions in five of the games where he fell short. While that would still count as a loss for this prop bet, Hill was targeted 7.4 times per game during the regular season – the second most chances on the Chiefs. That’s a lot of opportunities.

It’s not asking too much for him to grab one extra reception for a respectable payout.

Prediction: Tyreek Hill over 5.5 receptions (+116)

Most receptions handicap

One of the fun Super Bowl game props FanDuel is offering is the ability to bet head-to-head matchups.

For this particular bet, we will focus on Most Receptions Spread – A, which matches 49ers receiver Deebo Samuel with Hill. Hill is -1.0 (-115) to have more receptions than Samuel.

For example, if Hill has a six-reception day and Samuel records four or less receptions, Hill would win the bet.

Let’s place a small wager on Hill to win this matchup.

Prediction: Tyreek Hill -1.0 (-115)

Tyreek Hill prop bets: 75.5 receiving yards

I’m not as high on Hill having a lot of receiving yards in the Super Bowl.

Hill last had more than 75 receiving yards on Nov. 10, failing to do so in his last eight games. The four times Hill had 75+ receiving yards in a game all came during his first six games.

The 49ers allowing just 169.2 passing yards per game during the regular season – the lowest total in the NFL. It’s asking a lot for Hill to have a 75-yard performance against such a stingy defense.

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