Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.

Race

Date

Team Rating

Brenda Kigen

Joyce Kimeli

Faith Bett

Andonet Cheruiyot

Cassie Bebout

Mercy Kiprop

Presley Weems

Emily Mills

Louisa McPherson

Bulldog SEC Preview

09/09

19:59

21:27

Louisville Classic (Gold)

09/30

829

19:48

20:15

20:48

21:07

22:02

22:07

22:16

21:42

22:33

Crimson Classic

10/13

795

19:51

20:25

20:28

20:56

22:04

22:08

22:08

21:28

SEC Championship

10/27

991

20:44

20:25

20:43

21:28

21:47

22:37

22:28

22:54

South Region Championships

11/10

811

19:32

20:22

20:46

21:15

21:18

21:36

22:11

NCAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

Advances to Round

Ave Finish

Ave Score

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

NCAA Championship

0.5%

27.9

660

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.1

0.2

0.1

Region Championship

100%

6.9

226

0.3

2.4

7.7

13.1

16.5

19.2

20.5

15.6

3.8

0.9

0.2

0.1

Individual Results

NCAA Championship

Advances to Round

Ave Finish

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

Brenda Kigen

72.1%

87.9

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.1

0.2

0.1

0.2

Joyce Kimeli

9.9%

143.6

Faith Bett

0.9%

173.0

Andonet Cheruiyot

0.5%

223.0

Cassie Bebout

0.5%

241.0

Mercy Kiprop

0.5%

248.3

Presley Weems

0.5%

250.2

Regional

Ave Finish

Finishing Place

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

Brenda Kigen

5.1

4.2

5.7

13.5

13.1

12.5

10.6

7.3

6.2

5.1

4.4

3.9

2.8

2.3

2.1

1.9

1.0

1.0

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.1

Joyce Kimeli

16.6

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.8

1.4

2.6

2.8

3.5

3.8

4.2

4.1

4.6

4.5

5.0

4.7

5.0

4.6

3.6

3.9

4.7

4.1

3.5

2.7

2.7

2.2

Faith Bett

33.3

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.4

0.2

0.4

0.3

0.6

0.7

0.8

1.3

1.1

1.7

1.9

1.6

1.6

2.4

2.3

3.0

2.9

2.9

Andonet Cheruiyot

66.8

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Cassie Bebout

97.7

Mercy Kiprop

129.2

Presley Weems

132.7

NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total

Region Finish

Chance of Finishing

Chance of Advancing

Auto

At Large Selection

No Adv

Auto

At Large

Region Finish

1

2

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

1

2

0.3%

100.0%

0.3

0.3

2

3

2.4%

6.3%

0.1

0.1

0.1

2.3

0.2

3

4

7.7%

0.7%

0.1

7.6

0.1

4

5

13.1%

13.1

5

6

16.5%

16.5

6

7

19.2%

19.2

7

8

20.5%

20.5

8

9

15.6%

15.6

9

10

3.8%

3.8

10

11

0.9%

0.9

11

12

0.2%

0.2

12

13

0.1%

0.1

13

14

14

15

15

16

16

17

17

18

18

19

19

20

20

21

21

22

22

23

23

24

24

25

25

26

26

27

27

28

28

29

29

30

30

31

31

32

32

33

33

34

34

35

35

36

36

37

37

38

38

39

39

40

40

41

41

42

42

43

43

44

44

45

45

46

46

47

47

Total

100%

0.5%

0.3

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

99.5

0.3

0.2

Points

At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.