2013 NBA Fantasy Basketball Projections

In one of my previous hubs, "2012-13 Fantasy Basketball Rankings," I highlighted my top 100 fantasy basketball players. In this hub, I will give you projections for each player with a few added adjustments.

I mentioned how Durant has established himself as the #1 fantasy player. He's versatile, helps in all the percentages and contributes across the board. The one downside is his turnovers, but other than that, he's the best of the best.

Arron Afflalo gets a major upgrade in value. Moving up four rounds than where he would have went had he stayed in Denver. Jrue Holiday also sees a slight uptick.

2013 Fantasy Basketball Projections 1-25

PTS

FG%

FT%

3PM

REB

AST

STL

BLK

TO

MIN

1. Kevin Durant, OKC

29.7

50%

88%

2.3

7.8

4.6

1.4

1.5

3.5

39.2

2. LeBron James, MIA

27.7

51%

78%

0.9

7.8

7.1

1.7

0.9

3.2

37.5

3. Chris Paul, LAC

19.9

49%

85%

1.4

4.2

10.1

2.5

0.1

2.4

36.7

4. Kevin Love, MIN

25.2

45%

83%

2.2

14.4

2.6

1.1

0.5

2.5

38.5

5. Russell Westbrook, OKC

20.7

44%

82%

1.0

5.4

7.2

1.7

0.4

3.6

36.5

6. Deron Williams, BKN

18.9

45%

84%

1.9

3.1

9.8

1.1

0.3

3.5

35.1

7. Andrew Bynum, PHI

20.1

56%

65%

0.0

11.5

1.4

0.5

2.1

3.0

36.2

8. Pau Gasol, LAL

17.4

58%

81%

0.0

10.3

3.7

0.5

1.5

2.0

37.4

9. Josh Smith, ATL

19.7

44%

64%

0.7

9.3

4.1

1.5

1.8

3.0

35.5

10. Dwyane Wade, MIA

22.4

48%

77%

0.5

5.1

5.2

1.5

1.4

2.7

34.1

11. Dwight Howard, LAL

19.5

60%

55%

0.0

14.7

1.9

1.4

2.4

3.7

39.4

12. Al Jefferson, UTA

20.1

50%

78%

0.0

10.2

2.3

0.7

1.9

1.1

36.3

13. DeMarcus Cousins, SAC

19.9

44%

73%

0.1

12.2

3.2

1.7

1.9

3.0

35.7

14. Kobe Bryant, LAL

25.2

45%

85%

1.1

4.7

5.7

1.1

0.5

3.2

33.2

15. Kyrie Irving, CLE

20.1

47%

87%

1.5

4.1

7.1

1.5

0.3

3.3

35.1

16. Dirk Nowtizki, DAL

24.6

46%

89%

1.1

7.2

2.7

0.8

0.8

2.1

34.7

17. LaMarcus Aldridge, POR

21.4

49%

77%

0.0

8.1

2.5

1.1

1.1

2.1

38.4

18. Paul Millsap, UTA

17.5

51%

78%

0.1

8.7

2.8

1.7

1.0

1.9

33.5

19. Marc Gasol, MEM

15.5

53%

77%

0.0

8.8

3.5

1.1

2.2

1.8

34.6

20. James Harden, OKC

17.5

45%

85%

1.5

4.1

4.1

1.5

0.4

2.3

32.5

21. Ty Lawson, DEN

16.6

48%

82%

1.3

3.7

6.7

1.7

0.1

2.7

35.2

22. Stephen Curry, GSW

18.7

49%

90%

2.5

4.4

7.3

1.9

0.4

3.7

34.2

23. Carmelo Anthony, NYK

25.7

45%

79%

1.2

6.8

3.2

1.1

0.3

3.1

36.1

24. Rudy Gay, MEM

19.3

44%

75%

0.8

5.8

2.9

1.7

0.9

2.5

38.7

25. Brandon Jennings, MIL

18.5

41%

82%

2.4

3.5

5.7

2.1

0.3

3.4

37.5

It's really quite simple. All Stephen Curry has to do is stay healthy. Just stay healthy, Curry.

Thoughts on 1-25

Durant could flirt with 30 a game because he's just that good. The offense will be ran more through him and that should lead to a spike in assists. It's hard to believe that Durant could become an even better fantasy player, but it's entirely possible. This is also assuming that Westbrook plays more like a point guard, and allows Durantula to run the offense more.

You already know about Cousins' upside. It's immense. If he can stay out of foul trouble and get his head straight, the sky is the limit.

I can understand why anybody would be afraid to draft Stephen Curry. But think about this, if you can get 70+ games of Curry, you will probably get elite numbers. With Monta Ellis out of the picture, and less ball handlers around him, he will have many big asts games and he'll help you all across the board as usual. It also doesn't hurt that he will have flame throwers like Klay Thompson and Harrison Barnes, and the pick-and-roll with David Lee to pad his assist numbers. The thing is, he has to stay healthy.

2013 Fantasy Basketball Projections 26-50

PTS

FG%

FT%

3PM

REB

AST

STL

BLK

TO

MIN

26. Al Horford, ATL

14.9

55%

79%

0.0

9.1

2.7

0.7

1.8

2.0

32.5

27. John Wall, WAS

16.7

42%

82%

0.1

4.5

8.7

1.5

0.9

3.5

39.2

28. Serge Ibaka, OKC

10.1

59%

73%

0.0

8.9

1.1

0.8

3.3

1.5

31.2

29. Goran Dragić, PHO

16.9

47%

83%

1.4

3.2

8.4

1.5

0.1

3.2

37.4

30. Monta Ellis, MIL

22.1

44%

78%

1.6

3.5

5.1

1.8

0.1

3.4

38.7

31. Rajon Rondo, BOS

15.4

50%

65%

0.3

5.5

11.2

1.7

0.4

4.1

38.4

32. Greg Monroe, DET

19.9

50%

75%

0.0

10.2

2.2

1.2

1.2

2.1

35.2

33. Blake Griffin, LAC

23.4

53%

55%

0.0

12.1

2.8

0.7

1.0

2.1

37.7

34. Marcin Gortat, PHO

17. 3

57%

69%

0.0

10.5

1.0

0.8

1.8

1.9

34.3

35. David Lee, GSW

18.7

45%

78%

0.0

9.8

2.5

0.8

0.5

2.1

36.4

36. Paul Pierce, BOS

17.7

48%

85%

1.3

5.7

4.5

1.1

0.7

2.3

32.7

37. Andre Iguodala, PHI

14.4

43%

66%

0.9

6.1

5.8

1.5

0.8

2.7

38.7

38. Kyle Lowry, TOR

18.6

44%

84%

1.5

5.3

8.7

1.8

0.5

3.2

35.5

39. Danny Granger, IND

19.3

42%

85%

2.1

5.5

2.7

1.3

0.9

2.1

37.4

40. Arron Afflalo, ORL

19.7

47%

84%

2.2

4.5

3.1

1.0

0.4

2.0

37.7

41. Kevin Garnett, BOS

15.5

55%

85%

0.0

8.9

2.4

1.1

1.0

1.9

31.0

42. Mike Conley, MEM

13.9

44%

78%

1.1

3.2

7.1

1.8

0.1

0.1

35.9

43. Steve Nash, LAL

10.2

52%

90%

1.4

3.0

9.9

0.5

0.1

3.5

29.8

44. Marcus Thornton, SAC

19.8

45%

84%

1.9

3.5

3.1

1.5

0.4

2.5

37.4

45. Tony Parker, SAS

20.1

50%

75%

0.6

3.4

7.5

1.0

0.1

2.8

34.5

46. Eric Gordon, NOH

21.2

45%

82%

1.8

3.7

4.1

1.1

0.3

2.4

35.8

47. Roy Hibbert, IND

15.6

49%

75%

0.0

8.5

2.1

0.5

2.2

2.0

32.2

48. Chris Bosh, MIA

18.5

49%

78%

0.5

7.9

1.9

0.8

0.9

2.1

34.3

49. Paul George, IND

14.7

44%

81%

1.5

6.4

2.7

1.5

0.9

2.5

33.5

50 Anthony Davis, NOH

13.9

55%

70%

0.0

10.7

2.1

1.0

2.8

1.5

34.3

George is a great young talent, and could soon become the best fantasy player on the Pacers.

Thoughts on 26-50

Greg Monroe can improve coming off a terrific sophomore season. He plays on a mediocre team, and if his coach gives him 35 mins a game like he should, he can put up 20 and 10 almost every night.

Paul George is someone you should watch closely. He has unlimited upside, and his game is versatile. If he makes a leap forward, he could become a legitimate top 25 player.

Don't sleep on Paul Pierce. Never sleep on him. Every time someone thinks he's done, he has another incredible season. He'll be healthy for training camp, and Paul Pierce will be Paul Pierce.

Arron Afflalo goes into an incredible situation. He's the best player on a very bad team. He'll be asked to carry the load offensively, although Jameer Nelson will try his best to eat into his numbers. Afflalo is a legitimate 20 point scoring threat on a nightly basis on such an atrocious team. He's already coming off a pretty stellar season where he averaged, 15.2 points per game, 3.2 rebounds per game, 2.4 assists per game, 1.4 three pointers made, and 47% shooting on a balanced Denver Nuggets team. Draft him with confidence.

2013 Fantasy Basketball Projections 51-75

PTS

FG%

FT%

3PM

REB

AST

STL

BLK

TO

MIN

51. Joe Johnson, BKN

18.7

44%

81%

1.5

4.1

4.4

1.0

0.4

2.4

37.4

52. Gerald Wallace, BKN

13.4

48%

75%

0.9

6.9

3.2

1.7

1.0

2.1

35.5

53. Joakim Noah, CHI

11.9

51%

74%

0.0

10.4

2.9

1.0

1.7

2.1

32.5

54. Tyreke Evans, SAC

16.2

43%

76%

0.7

5.1

5.5

1.6

0.6

3.1

38.5

55. Jrue Holiday, PHI

15.4

47%

82%

1.1

3.2

6.9

1.8

0.5

2.9

35.1

56. Amar'e Stoudemire, NYK

20.1

49%

77%

0.0

8.1

2.2

0.7

1.5

3.1

36.2

57. Manu Ginobili, SAS

14.7

46%

88%

1.7

3.7

4.8

1.6

0.4

2.7

30.1

58. Danilo Gallinari, DEN

13.8

43%

85%

1.5

5.7

2.4

0.9

0.8

2.0

33.2

59. Tyson Chandler, NYK

10.5

60%

72%

0.0

9.9

1.1

0.8

1.5

1.5

31.4

60. Kris Humphries, BKN

12.5

50%

71%

0.0

11.1

1.7

0.5

1.1

1.9

32.4

61. Andrea Bargnani, TOR

24.1

45%

80%

1.5

5.4

1.9

0.5

0.9

1.8

35.1

62. Nicolas Batum, POR

14.3

46%

77%

2.1

5.8

2.7

1.5

1.1

2.0

34.5

63. Carlos Boozer, CHI

18.1

49%

72%

0.0

9.7

2.5

0.6

0.6

2.1

33.1

64. Javale McGee, DEN

11.4

51%

66%

0.0

9.5

1.1

0.7

2.1

2.5

27.5

65. Zach Randolph, MEM

18.9

48%

78%

0.1

10.5

2.1

0.5

0.7

2.2

34.2

66. Ricky Rubio, MIN

9.8

39%

81%

1.0

4.9

10.2

1.9

0.5

3.4

34.7

67. Kenneth Faried, DEN

12.3

54%

74%

0.0

8.7

1.7

0.8

1.2

1.5

28.2

68. Nene, WAS

14.7

52%

65%

0.0

8.1

2.4

0.9

0.9

2.1

31.2

69. Gordan Hayward, UTA

13.5

45%

86%

1.1

4.5

3.5

1.0

0.7

2.0

32.2

70. Wesley Matthews, POR

16.1

44%

85%

2.1

3.2

1.9

1.3

0.3

1.9

34.9

71. Ersan Illyasova, MIL

14.8

48%

78%

1.0

8.5

1.0

0.8

0.9

1.0

27.5

72. Mo Williams, UTA

15.7

44%

84%

1.5

3.2

6.1

1.1

0.3

2.7

30.1

73. Brook Lopez, BKN

18.7

50%

80%

0.0

7.5

1.2

0.5

1.8

1.9

32.9

74. Jason Terry, BOS

16.2

45%

85%

1.7

3.1

3.7

1.2

0.1

2.2

28.4

75. Jeremy Lin, HOU

16.5

46%

75%

0.8

4.1

7.1

1.4

0.5

3.5

34.2

Houston has a problem, and it's Linsane. | Source

Thoughts on 51-75

Jrue Holiday. Probably should have him higher on this list. I really like him to excel without the threat of Andre Iguodala. There's still Evan Turner to worry about, but I don't think you have to worry too much. Bynum and Jrue are both full of fantasy goodness in Philadelphia this season.

Don't give up on Amar'e. He's a good bounce-back candidate. You could get great value for him in this draft. He's a legitimate 20 point scoring threat. Don't let him slip past you.

Jeremy Lin is intriguing. If he can stay healthy, he can put up some pretty big fantasy numbers in Houston. An All-Star season isn't out of question.

2013 Fantasy Basketball Projections 76-100

PTS

FG%

FT%

3PM

REB

AST

STL

BLK

TO

MIN

76. Kevin Martin, HOU

20.2

43%

87%

1.9

3.4

2.2

0.9

0.3

2.5

33.1

77. Klay Thompson, GSW

17.7

45%

85%

2.1

3.1

2.1

1.0

0.4

2.0

34.4

78. Derrick Favors, UTA

12.5

53%

69%

0.0

10.1

1.4

0.5

1.2

1.8

30.1

79. Jeff Teague, ATL

12.8

44%

79%

0.8

4.1

5.4

1.8

0.7

2.5

31.2

80. José Calderón, TOR

10.8

48%

85%

1.0

4.1

7.5

1.0

0.3

1.8

26.5

81. Rodney Stuckey, DET

17.4

44%

85%

0.8

3.3

4.9

0.9

0.2

2.0

32.4

82. Ryan Anderson, NOH

14.2

43%

82%

2.4

6.8

1.1

0.6

0.5

1.5

27.2

83. Evan Turner, PHI

12.4

45%

72%

0.5

5.9

3.2

0.9

0.7

2.0

28.2

84. Derrick Rose, CHI

22.5

43%

87%

1.4

3.5

7.2

0.9

0.6

3.0

34.2

85. Tim Duncan, SAS

13.4

49%

73%

0.0

9.1

2.5

0.7

1.4

1.8

28.1

86. Nikola Pekovic, MIN

14.8

55%

75%

0.0

8.2

0.9

0.5

0.9

1.8

30.1

87. Andrew Bogut, GSW

12.2

50%

51%

0.0

9.2

2.3

0.5

2.5

2.0

29.4

88. Isaiah Thomas, SAC

13.4

45%

83%

1.4

2.9

6.2

1.5

0.1

2.3

28.5

89. Anderson Varejao, CLE

11.5

53%

65%

0.0

10.9

1.5

0.7

1.0

1.5

27.4

90. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, CHA

14.9

44%

75%

0.5

6.5

2.1

1.1

0.8

2.4

33.5

91. Raymond Felton, NYK

12.8

43%

80%

1.5

3.5

6.5

1.1

0.4

3.0

29.5

92. Luis Scola, PHO

14.7

50%

73%

0.0

7.5

2.0

0.5

0.5

2.2

30.1

93. Luol Deng, CHI

16.3

43%

78%

1.5

6.9

3.1

1.0

0.8

1.8

37.5

94. DeMar DeRozan, TOR

18.2

45%

82%

0.7

4.5

2.1

0.9

0.5

2.0

35.1

95. Chris Kaman, DAL

11.8

48%

72%

0.0

8.7

1.7

0.5

1.1

1.9

29.4

96. Elton Brand, DAL

10.4

49%

75%

0.0

7.2

1.5

1.0

1.3

1.8

27.2

97. Harrison Barnes, GSW

13.5

44%

75%

1.1

4.5

1.9

0.9

0.2

2.2

26.5

98. Darren Collison, DAL

11.7

46%

85%

1.0

3.2

6.1

1.0

0.2

2.3

31.4

99. David West, IND

13.9

49%

81%

0.0

7.4

2.2

1.0

0.9

2.0

29.2

100. George Hill, IND

12.3

45%

80%

1.0

4.4

4.6

1.1

0.3

1.5

30.1

Kevin Martin is a nice high-risk/high-reward type player you can nab later.

Finals Thoughts on 76-100

Kevin Martin is a player here with top 35 upside. The question is, can he stay healthy, and can he coexist with Kevin McHale. Kevin McHale won't hesitate to bench KMart, so when you take him, realize there's the possibility that he could lose playing time. But if KMart is like the old one, he'll pad your FTs, hit a lot of threes, and score a lot of points.

This could be a big year for Favors. If only we could trust Ty Corbin. Cross your fingers and hope he gets 30 minutes a game.

Luol Deng should have had that wrist surgery. He could be too low on this list, but it's hard to like him for next season even though the Bulls will be without Rose. It is set up perfectly for him to be a great fantasy player without Rose in the picture for the first half of the season, but there's a huge but. Deng is a risky play this season by not opting to have that surgery. He could have many games this year where he sits out because of his wrist flare ups, and if it gets too bad, you could have him sitting on your IR for months if he has to have surgery. Avoid if you can.

Speaking of Rose, if you are in a keeper league, and his owner didn't keep him, don't hesitate to take him 3-5 rounds before he's going in standard leagues this season. He'll probably be out all of the first half, but you are getting an outstanding keeper back, and if you are still in the playoff hunt or have a shot at winning your roto league, that's even better. Even if you are in a standard league, it won't hurt to stash Rose on your IR. He could help you win in the fantasy playoffs(if you make it), or help you make up some ground in roto leagues.

Darren Collison versus George Hill. Go with Collison because he's in an offense that fits him more. Indiana wasn't suited to his talents. He will run more pick and rolls in Dallas, and should see a slight uptick in assists. He should be a better fantasy player than Hill.

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Comments

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Angel Flores 4 years agofrom Santa Ana, California

Ill be honest, if i'm not lucky enough to draft LeBron, KD or KLOVE im going with JSmoove... He's always been a fantasy monster. Also Iggy's numbers should be insane. Tony Parker is going to finish higher than your ranking. Melo is a top 10 fantasy player with that ISO offense, that LIllard/LA/Batum combo is going to be nice to watch... Klay's #'s are going to be inflated... Nice list... about Pau thou.... haha

Author

Ray Williams 4 years agofrom Little Rock, Arkansas

Thank you.

dontaytte 4 years agofrom Palos Hills

Great hub

Author

Ray Williams 4 years agofrom Little Rock, Arkansas

LOL, I know a lot of people who don't like Stuckey.

Javier 4 years ago

Good list, I think Rodney stuckeys projection is way too high tho, that guy totally blows