Re: We rolled a D20 again If the Dinosaurs were this lucky... Posted on: Wed Jul 04, 2012 11:10 am

I'm not worried. We only have maybe a few decades, a century at most, until we will be able to protect ourselves from any asteroid. There's not much chance of humanity getting wiped out in the interim.

_________________“Once you have tasted flight, you will forever walk the earth with your eyes turned skyward, for there you have been, and there you will always long to return.” -Anonymous

Re: We rolled a D20 again If the Dinosaurs were this lucky... Posted on: Wed Jul 25, 2012 3:34 am

That's not how probability works. Just because there is a 1:1,000,000 chance of something happening on a given day, does not mean it's not going to happen for a million days. It could happen tomorrow. No prorated refunds either.

Plus, we have insufficient data to make the above prediction as well. Everywhere we look, we see more stuff floating around us, be it co-orbital or eccentric orbit comets and et., and that does not include the possibility of new stuff being swept into the solar system as the Sun cruises thru the local cloud.

Re: We rolled a D20 again If the Dinosaurs were this lucky... Posted on: Wed Jul 25, 2012 3:54 am

You are right, that anything we predict is an educated guess, but then you could say that about anything - including the prediction of a given chance that an asteroid will hit the Earth. In any case, barring a world war that puts back civilization, at the current level of tech growth, we should be able to protect ourselves within a few decades. Also, the chance of being hit during the next few decades is much smaller than the chance of being hit during the next few millenium.

_________________“Once you have tasted flight, you will forever walk the earth with your eyes turned skyward, for there you have been, and there you will always long to return.” -Anonymous