City Council Speaker Christine Quinn leads the pack for the Democratic nomination for New
York City mayor with 25 percent, with former U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner at 15 percent,
followed by Public Advocate Bill de Blasio and former Comptroller William Thompson in a
horse race for third place, according to a Quinnipiac University poll today.

This compares to Speaker Quinn's 28 percent top position in an April 19 survey by the
independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Weiner's 15 percent of the Democratic vote is unchanged. Today, Thompson and de
Blasio are at 10 percent each, with 6 percent for Comptroller John Liu, 2 percent for former
Council member Sal Albanese and 27 percent undecided.

A total of 32 percent of voters say they "definitely" or "probably" would vote for Police
Commissioner Ray Kelly, if he runs as an independent candidate, while 56 percent say they
would "probably not" or "definitely not" vote for him.

A total of 12 percent of voters say they "definitely" or "probably" will vote for former
Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion, running as the Independence Party candidate, while 69
percent say they "probably" or "definitely" won't vote for him.

If former Metropolitan Transportation Authority Chair Joseph Lhota wins the Republican
nomination for mayor, only 13 percent of voters are more likely to vote for him in the general
election, while 61 percent are more likely to vote for the Democratic candidate.

"Can we color New York City blue and throw away the crayons? At this stage of the
mayoral campaign, none of the non-Democrats - the popular police commissioner, the
Republican or the independent - lays a glove on the Democrats," said Maurice Carroll, director
of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"With former Congressman Anthony Weiner seeking the Democratic nod, it still looks
like Council Speaker Christine Quinn against the guys," Carroll said. "But where she once was
brushing up against the magic 40 percent number that could get her past a run-off, the wear and
tear of the campaign, and possibly the addition of Weiner, are taking a toll on the front-runner.

"This poll says there's a run-off. It just doesn't say who's in the runoff."

New York City voters say 45 - 38 percent that Kelly should run for mayor.

Weiner should not run, voters say 49 - 38 percent. On April 19, 44 percent said he
should not run and 41 percent said he should run. Today, women say 52 - 35 percent Weiner
should not run. Men say 46 - 43 percent he should not run.

"Should Kelly run? A slim yes. Should Weiner run? More, especially women, say no,"
Carroll said. "Weiner has been at 15 percent two polls in a row. Can he get to 16 percent?"

Looking at how issues affect support for mayoral candidates, 45 percent of voters are
more likely to support someone who would create a Police Department inspector general, while
18 percent are less likely and 32 percent say it won't affect their vote. On other issues:

"Will there be a Bloomberg legacy? More voters than not like a candidate who would
keep the public health initiatives and mayoral control of the school," Carroll said. "One thing
voters like that is not part of Mayor Michael Bloomberg's legacy is raising taxes on rich folks."

From May 14 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,082 New York City voters with a
margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The survey includes 701 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us
on Twitter.

1. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were John Liu, Christine Quinn, William Thompson, Bill de Blasio, Anthony Weiner and Sal Albanese, for whom would you vote?

TREND: (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were: John Liu, Christine Quinn, William Thompson, Bill de Blasio, Anthony Weiner and Sal Albanese, for whom would you vote? (Data from May 2012 available upon request)

3. How likely are you to vote for Adolfo Carrion for Mayor, who is running as the Independence Party candidate; do you think you will definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?

4. If Ray Kelly runs for Mayor as an independent candidate, how likely are you to vote for him; do you think you will definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?

19. If a candidate for Mayor supports - continuing Mayor Bloomberg's public health initiatives, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?

TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports continuing Mayor Bloomberg's public health initiatives, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?

20. If a candidate for Mayor supports - keeping Ray Kelly as Police Commissioner, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?

TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports keeping Ray Kelly as Police Commissioner, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?

21. If a candidate for Mayor supports - continuing the Police Department's 'Stop and Frisk' policy, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?

TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports continuing the Police Department's 'Stop and Frisk' Policy, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?

22. If a candidate for Mayor supports - a ban on supersized sodas and sugary drinks, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?

TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports a ban on supersized sodas and sugary drinks, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?

23. If a candidate for Mayor supports - continuing Mayoral control of public schools, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?

25. If a candidate for Mayor supports - creating the position of inspector general to independently monitor the Police Department, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?