Saturday, July 30, 2016

David M. Rubenstein, co-founder and co-CEO of The Carlyle Group, the private-equity and investment-management firm, will join the Harvard Corporation in July 2017.

Two weeks prior to the news release on Rubenstein's appointment Bloomberg reported:

Harvard University disclosed Friday that former investment chief Jane
Mendillo received $13.8 million, reflecting 18 months of compensation
at the largest endowment in higher education.

Mendillo, 57, ran
Harvard Management Co., the university’s nonprofit investment arm, for
more than six years, leaving at the end of 2014. Mendillo declined to
comment on her compensation.

With a $37 billion endowment, Harvard is known for paying top dollar
to investment staffers. Its top six endowment managers earned a
combined $50 million in 2014, up slightly from $49.3 million in 2013.

Rubenstein will join the board that manages the Harvard endowment. It operates much like a private equity underwriter (PEU) in trying to maximize investment profits on behalf of the University. Harvard's announcement gave a shout out to other alumni who benefit from America's perverse taxation of private equity and other investment firms.

Unusually among private-equity managers, Rubenstein is outspoken on
certain public issues, perhaps reflecting his prior experience in
private law practice and in government.

A recent New Yorker-ProPublica “Letter from Washington,” focusing on the favorable tax treatment of private-equity and hedge-fund managers’ “carried interest,” reported on Rubenstein’s leadership role for his industry in defending that tax provision.

Due to Rubenstein's success secretaries, chauffeurs and gardeners can continue paying a higher tax rate than their billionaire PEU employers.

Carlyle is having a hard time generating returns according to comments made last week on Q2 earnings. That fits with Harvard's Management Co.'s experience:

After years of missteps, controversy and even crisis, Harvard
Management Corp., which oversees the university’s $37.6 billion
endowment, began assembling a new corps of equity traders and analysts
in 2014, in hopes of recapturing a part of the investment magic that had
once made the fund the envy of the world.

Only now, just two years later, that plan has collapsed.

Harvard has a year to right the ship before Rubenstein joins their investment arm as a board member.

Harvard decided to dismantle the in-house equities team after concluding
that it would lean more on outside money managers “who have the
resources, skill and experience,” Paul Finnegan, chairman of HMC’s
board, said in a statement Wednesday.

Carlyle might even help in between as HMC invests between 13 and 23% of its assets in the PEU space.

Update 1-25-17:ZeroHedgereported Harvard's endowment will fire half its staff as it turns to outside money managers. Their story said the endowment managed just shy of $36 billion. That's a drop of over $1.5 billion.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

WSJpresented evidence of difficulties facing private equity underwriters. They failed to mention loss of investor confidence as The Carlyle Group's assets under management fell to levels not seen since 2013.

WSJ reported:

“Right now, it is tough to earn returns of 20% or more in the
private-equity business,” Mr. Conway said on an earnings call Wednesday,
referring to the returns historically achieved by the industry’s
top-performing funds.

Not long ago Carlyle's co-founders bragged of 30% annual returns.

Investors are “willing to take lower rates of return than the kinds that
we’ve averaged over our history,” Mr. Rubenstein said. “It’s just so
difficult now with low interest rates and low equity market appreciation
to get these kind of returns anywhere else.”

Sunday, July 24, 2016

In 2007 Virginia Governor Tim Kaine refused to share a study used by Health and Human Services Secretary Marilyn Tavenner to reform the state's healthcare system. Tavenner used the privately funded but publicly used document in fulfilling her charge to Governor Kaine.

"With more than one million Virginians lacking health care coverage and
growing shortages of health professionals in all disciplines across the
commonwealth and the nation, we must look for creative ways to further
improve the delivery of health care to all Virginians"--Gov. Kaine

As there is no report to review the public can't look for ways in which healthcare companies stood to profit from actions taken by Governor Kaine and Secretary Tavenner.

Teva Pharmaceuticals gave him $12,000 for travel to the August 2006
Democratic Governors Association meeting in Aspen. The Israeli drug
company lobbied the state government and later bought a facility in
Forest, Virginia.

Americans know health care has become increasingly unaffordable and
unavailable under high deductible plans where the individual is
responsible for a greater portion of health care bills as employers shed their traditional responsibility to insure workers and retirees. For most workers rising health insurance costs quickly ate up paltry wage increases employers infrequently doled out.

If Mrs. Tavenner's name sounds familiar she was head of President Obama's HHS. Many will recall Congressman grilling her over the abysmal rollout of public health insurance exchanges. She's now the head of AHIP, the health insurance lobbying group. That group had undue influence in reforming our healthcare system. PPACA passed in part due to President Bill Clinton.

Today's abysmal, overly expensive healthcare system is a product of both political parties putting corporate will and welfare over that of citizens. Tim Kaine helped this change happen in Virginia behind closed doors. Obama's White House did the very same.

Bankrupt teen retailer Aeropostale may rue the day it partnered with private equity underwriter (PEU) Sycamore Partners. In 2013 Sycamore purchased nearly 8% of the company as an activist investor. Aeropostale then borrowed $150 million from Sycamore in 2014. This loan gave Sycamore two board slots and committed Aeropostale to use Sycamore affiliate MGF Sourcing. At the time Bloombergreported:

The financing agreement also includes a strategic partnership with MGF
Sourcing, an affiliate of Sycamore, that will diversify Aeropostale’s
clothing production.

Aeropostale's relationship with MGF Sourcing deteriorated according to Bloomberg'spiece from March 2016:

The dispute with MGF is adding to Aeropostale’s woes. When Sycamore
helped connect the two companies, it was seen as a way to diversify
Aeropostale’s clothing production. But the retailer said on Thursday
that MGF is disrupting its supply of merchandise and violating the terms
of their agreement. The problem could widen losses by $5 million to $8
million if shipping delays continue, Aeropostale said.

Sycamore's Stephen Kaluzny unloaded 6.1 million shares of Aeropostale stock in February for 17 cents per share.

Aeropostale declared bankruptcy in May and asked the court for permission to investigate the role Sycamore Partners playing in Aeropostale's demise. Sycamore bought Aeropostale stock through Lemur LLC and provided debt financing via Aero Investments LLC.

While Aeropostale searches for a white knight to take it out of bankruptcy the company fired back at Sycamore. Reuter'sreported:

Bankrupt U.S. teen retailer Aeropostale (AROPQ.PK) filed a motion against its lender, private equity firm Sycamore Partners, in bankruptcy court late on Friday, accusing it of plotting a "loan to own” scheme to push the chain into bankruptcy.
Aeropostale asked a U.S. bankruptcy court judge to bar Sycamore from using the $150 million it is owed as credit to bid on the company, which is up for sale in a court-supervised auction.
Aeropostale also wants the judge to reduce how much Sycamore would be repaid on its loan.

“Calling our society a democracy is very misleading,” Thiel went on. “We’re not a republic; we’re not a constitutional republic. We live in a state that’s dominated by these technocratic agencies.”

Government isn't sclerotic, it's been overrun by a toxic virus of
"technocratic agencies" looking to optimize Uncle Sam's trillion dollar
budget for their personal gain.

It delivered for
Peter Thiel. The CIA funded Palantir, his startup security company.

A
Palantir is a seeing rock. Thiel's firm uses massive secret
databases for spying purposes. That can't happen in a functioning
constitutional republic with a 4th amendment protecting the public from illegal search and seizure.

Palantir protects the annual global tamperer confab, also know as Bilderberg. This technocratic agency warranted its own "no fly zone"
in the Swiss Alps. It produces positions its attendees are supposed to
advance. Participants are required to maintain absolute secrecy.

This
makes Bilderberg what, a governing body, a cult or a terrorist group? Peter Thiel endorsed Trump as the next Chief Executive for Technocratic Agencies.

GovCon 8 was Palantir's largest and most successful conference to date
with over 1,500 attendees from government, military, intelligence, and
financial sectors.

Update 7-30-17: The past is predictive of the future until it's not. Hedge funds and banks now make use of Palantir's seeing eye to make billionaires richer. That's our bipartisan democracy in America in 2017.

On CCC’s use of 30 times or more borrowed money: “It was highly leveraged but I didn’t think the risks were going to happen, the risks that led to the downfall of CCC, the systemic market collapse.”

On 2007’s credit crunch: “I certainly did not think it was something that was going to lead to the end of Lehman Brothers, the end of Bear Stearns, the end of Wachovia, the end of Merrill Lynch as companies.”

Conway admitted CCC was a canary in the coal mine of financial crisis. The WSJ piece also has a series of e-mails between Carlyle chiefs as CCC approached implosion. Creditors no longer trusted Carlyle to make good on its bets.

Corporate debt, much of it private equity sponsored, ballooned since the financial crisis. Just like CCC got overrun in 2007 private equity loans could be at risk.

Carlyle recently sold Brazilian lingerie maker Scalina for a huge discount in order to pay creditors something. The Carlyle Group is also down $25 billion in assets under management in the last year. Darkness looms as Carlyle reminds us of their shenanigans during the last financial crisis.

Saturday, July 16, 2016

Lupo SA, a Brazilian
underwear producer, has agreed to buy Scalina SA, a lingerie and
hosiery maker backed by Carlyle Group LP, for an undisclosed
sum.A source with direct knowledge of the deal told Reuters that
Lupo and Scalina's owners - Carlyle, millionaire Artur Grynbaum
and the company's founding Heilberg family - negotiated a price
tag of around 90 million reais ($28 million) for the company.

Six years ago Carlyle acquired a 51% stake in Scalina for 280 million Brazilian reais ($160 million). An earlier Reuter's piece detailed the challenges Carlyle faced in operating Scalina:

In 2010, when Carlyle bought 51 percent of Scalina, revenue was growing at an annual rate of 20 percent.

But one year later, when Scalina's retail strategy foundered, the buyout
firm allowed a new investor group led by Grynbaum to inject cash in the
company in exchange for the minority stake.

Carlyle has been trying to sell Scalina for the past three years, since the economy show signs of cooling, the sources said.

Carlyle is finally out of Brazilian lingerie.

Under the plan, proceeds from the deal will be
used to help repay part of 160 million reais ($48.65 million) in loans
that Scalina took from Itaú Unibanco Holding SA, Banco Santander Brasil
SA and Banco do Brasil SA, the sources added. As part of the agreement,
the banks will take a loss on the principal of the debt.

Carlyle likely got something from the company, management fees, debt for dividend, or a portion of new investor funds. But Carlyle's Brazilian underwear venture shrank significantly.

I find it hard to believe Carlyle recouped their original $68.3 million cash investment in Scalina. If they did it was due to the generosity of the company, a new investor and the final bank subsidy. Carlyle and Scalina know but they aren't talking.

Update: Oddly The Intercept has a story on Brazilian billionaires. It seems Brazil's super wealthy have much in common with our greed and leverage boys.

The $150,000 fine for failing to fulfill Carlyle's original commitment is not coming out of Carlyle's pocket.

A Missoula water company (Mountain Water) has agreed to pay a $150,000 fine over its
unauthorized sale and the new owner has agreed the utility can’t be sold
again without Public Service Commission approval.

Mountain Water is paying the $150,000 fine. The new promise sounds alot like the old promise which Carlyle reneged upon for profit purposes. This is hardly justice.

Just as no reasonable prosecutor would charge Hillary Clinton for her negligent e-mail activity, no reasonable regulator would penalize the PEU that profited handsomely by ignoring their stated regulatory commitment.

Political royal families and private equity underwriters (PEU) share an ability to remain above the law.

Update 7-9-16: ZeroHedgecalled it impunity which fits with The Carlyle Group. IMPEUNITY

Thursday, July 7, 2016

FBI Director James Comey broke the news that Hillary Clinton acted contrary to U.S. laws but will face no accountability.

The FBI is part of the U.S. Department of Justice. That's the "Just Us" Department that turned their gaze away from widespread fraud that caused the 2008 Financial Crisis. Apparently "no reasonable prosecutor" would bring such a case as no Wall Street executives were charged. Citizen Hillary received millions in Wall Street speaking fees after stepping down as Secretary of State.

In late 2007 Hillary Clinton gave banks free passes for abandoning due diligence in packaging/selling loans as AAA rated. President Obama's "Just Us" Department followed Hillary's lead since his 2009 inauguration. Attorney General Eric Holder repeatedly allowed Wall Street firms to settle with fines for breaking the law. Executives used those fines as tax deductions, helping boost their incentive compensation. That leaves more money to donate to candidates. Get the picture.

Wednesday, July 6, 2016

Billionaire private equity guru David Rubenstein
has some advice for those concerned about the the eventual departure of
the United Kingdom from the European Union: Don't panic, it won’t
happen.

Carlyle Group
(NASDAQ: CG) co-founder and co-CEO, speaking at the 2016 Aspen Ideas
Festival in Colorado, said he believes it's highly unlikely Brexit will
actually move to completion.

Rubenstein knows that public opinion, polled or recorded into vote, does not matter to the ruling elite. It's something to be spun to his benefit and to his fellow private equity underwriters (PEU).

He and his PEU ilk retain their preferred carried interest taxation. Ten years ago a majority of the public opposed a secretary or gardener paying a higher tax rate than their billionaire boss. During the same decade wage increases evaporated while employers passed higher benefit costs onto those lucky enough to have a job.

PPACA, designed by PEU Nancy-Ann DeParle, set up healthcare for the next big billionaire profitgasm. It ignored public opinion and foisted bad coverage, which continues to accelerate in price, on citizens.

The general public experienced a decade of stagnation, fundamentally ignored by the political elite. Rubenstein knows this deep in his bones. It's no surprise it emanated from his mandible.

Monday, July 4, 2016

Alaskan Dispatch News Publisher Alice Rogoff Rubenstein, the wife of Carlyle Group co-founder Devid Rubenstein, could quickly disclose any interests her family has in Alaskan oil. Reutersreported on December 18, 2015:

Hilcorp Energy
Co, a closely held U.S. independent exploration and production company,
on Friday said it had formed a partnership with private equity firm
Carlyle Group LP to acquire and develop North American oil and gas
properties.

Carlyle's Energy
Mezzanine Opportunities Fund, LP and Carlyle Energy Mezzanine
Opportunities Fund II, LP have agreed to invest up to $1.24 billion in
the newly formed partnership called Hilcorp Energy Development LP.

Houston-based Hilcorp, founded by Jeffrey
Hildebrand in 1989, has operations in the Gulf Coast of Texas and
Louisiana, the U.S. Northeast and Alaska.

ADN missed the founding of Carlyle's joint venture with Hilcorp. A different Hilcorp story stole the headlines that December day of 2015.

"Houston oil and gas company Hilcorp goes viral after giving six-figure bonuses to every employee "

This would lead one to believe Hilcorp put some of its existing energy portfolio into the Carlyle joint venture. An enterprising journalist might enlighten Alaskans on such developments. That is if they want the public to really know.

Sunday, July 3, 2016

This 4th of July elected officials all over the United States are celebrating the freedom of private equity underwriters to profit handsomely from investing public pension funds. The NYTreported:

It began last year as a promising push by a few states to require private equity firms that invest on behalf of public pension funds and university endowments to be more forthcoming. But the effort has hit a wall as bills in California and Kentucky intended to shed light on fees and practices at these powerful firms have been either killed or watered down.
One of the bills proposed in California would have required only modest disclosures: the publication of a handful of pages from confidential limited partnership agreements. It was shot down.
Even worse, another private equity transparency bill in the state was recently amended to eliminate disclosures about related-party transactions between private equity firms and the portfolio companies they oversee. Fees paid by portfolio companies to private equity funds ultimately come out of the pockets of fund investors, so more sunlight in this area would have been beneficial.

Billionaire PEUs like Carlyle's David Rubenstein, Blackstone's Stephen Schwarzman, Apollo's Leon Black and KKR's Henry Kravis have carte blanche access to America's Red and Blue political ruling class. Those elected officials preserved private equity's preferred carried interest taxation for over a decade in direct contrast to public opinion that the super wealthy should not pay a lower tax rate than their gardener or limo driver.

Here's another reason why the public and elected officials should care about the business of private equity, which relies on leverage and financial manipulations to garner outsized returns or cause their affiliate to go bust. Moody's is a credit rating agency and it had this to say about The Carlyle Group's financial practices regarding affiliate Vogue International, which Carlyle is selling to Johnson & Johnson for $3.3 billion.

Moody's Investors Service, ("Moody's") placed
the ratings of Vogue International, LLC (Vogue) under review for
upgrade, including the company's B2 Corporate Family Rating
and B3-PD Probability of Default Rating.

The review for upgrade is based upon Moody's view that, should
the acquisition by Johnson & Johnson be consummated, Vogue will
become part of an enterprise with a significantly stronger overall credit
profile than if Vogue remains a standalone entity.

Vogue's existing B2 Corporate Family Rating reflects its modest scale,
limited operating history at current sales levels, narrow product
focus, and high customer concentration. The rating also incorporates
Vogue's very aggressive financial policies including large debt-funded
shareholder distributions. Revenues and earnings are vulnerable
to changing customer preferences and competitor actions.

Vogue International LLC (Vogue), headquartered in Clearwater,
FL, develops, markets, and sells hair care products
marketed as having natural ingredients primarily through mass market retailers.
The company is 51%/49% owned by founder Todd Christopher
and The Carlyle Group. Revenue for the 12 months ended March 31,
2016 was approximately $319 million.

Aggressive financial policies brought us more than one asset bubble, which later burst badly. The business and buying and selling companies becomes the public's business when PEUs are investing public funds.

PEU freedom means the greed/leverage boys are above paying regular taxes and making proper disclosures regarding their fees. Fireworks both please and divert the attention of the masses.

Insider Architect of the Implosion

"I had a choice. I could be an insider or I could be an outsider. Outsiders can say whatever they want. But people on the inside don’t listen to them. Insiders, however, get lots of access and a chance to push their ideas. People — powerful people — listen to what they have to say. But insiders also understand one unbreakable rule: They don’t criticize other insiders."--Larry Summers, Ph.D.

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