Regular season totals, through Week 17

Revised as of 3/27/2015

These are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings for 2014, measured by our
proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system that
breaks down every single NFL play and compares a team's performance to
a league baseline based on situation in order to determine value over average.
(Explained further here.)

OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted based on strength of opponent as well as to consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. SPECIAL TEAMS DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season.
NON-ADJUSTED TOTAL VOA does not include these adjustments.

As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE. LAST YEAR represents 2013 rank.

TEAM

TOTALDVOA

LASTYEAR

NON-ADJTOT VOA

W-L

OFFENSEDVOA

OFF.RANK

DEFENSEDVOA

DEF.RANK

S.T.DVOA

S.T.RANK

1

SEA

31.9%

1

27.3%

12-4

16.8%

5

-16.8%

1

-1.7%

19

2

DEN

29.5%

2

29.4%

12-4

20.0%

3

-13.2%

4

-3.7%

27

3

GB

23.3%

20

23.0%

12-4

24.7%

1

-1.0%

16

-2.3%

22

4

NE

22.1%

5

20.1%

12-4

13.5%

6

-3.0%

12

5.7%

5

5

BAL

21.9%

23

25.7%

10-6

9.4%

9

-4.6%

8

8.0%

2

6

DAL

13.7%

17

16.3%

12-4

16.8%

4

4.0%

22

0.9%

13

7

PHI

12.8%

8

10.3%

10-6

1.1%

13

-3.3%

10

8.3%

1

8

PIT

12.1%

15

13.3%

11-5

22.5%

2

11.3%

30

0.9%

12

9

BUF

10.5%

18

10.0%

9-7

-11.2%

26

-15.5%

2

6.2%

4

10

KC

10.4%

6

9.4%

9-7

5.0%

12

1.3%

19

6.7%

3

11

SF

6.6%

7

1.2%

8-8

-0.4%

16

-10.1%

5

-3.0%

24

12

CIN

5.0%

9

3.9%

10-5-1

-1.4%

18

-2.3%

14

4.2%

6

13

IND

4.5%

13

7.0%

11-5

-1.1%

17

-2.3%

13

3.3%

8

14

DET

4.4%

16

9.1%

11-5

-3.8%

19

-13.9%

3

-5.7%

31

15

MIA

3.5%

22

6.8%

8-8

10.1%

8

0.5%

17

-6.1%

32

16

SD

-0.6%

12

-0.3%

9-7

7.0%

11

4.9%

25

-2.7%

23

TEAM

TOTALDVOA

LASTYEAR

NON-ADJTOT VOA

W-L

OFFENSEDVOA

OFF.RANK

DEFENSEDVOA

DEF.RANK

S.T.DVOA

S.T.RANK

17

NO

-0.9%

4

-1.7%

7-9

10.6%

7

13.1%

31

1.6%

11

18

STL

-3.8%

14

-5.1%

6-10

-11.1%

25

-3.8%

9

3.5%

7

19

HOU

-4.5%

30

3.5%

9-7

-6.8%

21

-6.2%

6

-3.9%

28

20

ATL

-5.4%

25

-3.0%

6-10

7.2%

10

15.7%

32

3.0%

9

21

NYG

-5.8%

27

-9.7%

6-10

-0.3%

15

4.9%

24

-0.6%

15

22

ARI

-6.4%

10

-7.5%

11-5

-9.3%

23

-5.0%

7

-2.2%

21

23

CLE

-6.7%

28

-5.0%

7-9

-10.2%

24

-3.0%

11

0.4%

14

24

CAR

-8.5%

3

-9.4%

7-8-1

-4.7%

20

-1.7%

15

-5.5%

30

25

MIN

-8.7%

26

-6.7%

7-9

-7.4%

22

4.3%

23

3.0%

10

26

CHI

-13.8%

11

-18.7%

5-11

-0.1%

14

10.6%

28

-3.1%

25

27

NYJ

-15.5%

24

-18.6%

4-12

-11.2%

27

3.5%

21

-0.8%

16

28

WAS

-27.0%

29

-26.3%

4-12

-11.8%

28

9.9%

27

-5.4%

29

29

OAK

-27.4%

31

-35.6%

3-13

-19.4%

30

6.3%

26

-1.7%

18

30

TB

-28.3%

19

-24.4%

2-14

-26.3%

32

1.1%

18

-0.8%

17

31

TEN

-29.3%

21

-25.8%

2-14

-16.4%

29

11.2%

29

-1.8%

20

32

JAC

-29.5%

32

-26.0%

3-13

-24.3%

31

1.5%

20

-3.6%

26

ESTIMATED WINSuses a statistic known as "Forest Index"
that emphasizes consistency as well as DVOA in the most important specific
situations: red zone defense, first quarter offense, and performance in the
second half when the score is close. It then projects a number of wins
adjusted to a league-average schedule and a league-average rate of
recovering fumbles.

WEIGHTED
DVOA is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important.
It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.

2014 SCHEDULE lists average DVOA of opponents played this season, ranked from hardest
schedule (#1, most positive) to easiest schedule (#32, most negative).

PYTHAGOREAN WINS represent a
projection of the team's expected wins based solely on points scored and allowed.