It's going to be very hard to deny Russel Wilson once it's all said and done. I may have been the biggest Russel Wilson homer in existence (thought he should be a top 5 pick) but even I didn't expect him to do what he's done this year.

Andrew Luck has not played at an elite level as consistently as the other two guys have but any other year he'd have my vote but this year Wilson and Griff have been lights out fantastic. I haven't seen RG3 have a 'rookie game' yet and his stats speak for themselves. Seattle has a ton of young talent and are going to be good for a long time. I think the fact that he has so much talent around him may affect voters. Luck keeps getting the benefit of the doubt because the Colts (or Indianapolis Lucks as we should start calling them) keep winning despite sporatic play from their rookie signal caller. Some of it has to do with Luck but I think this team is overachieving, fuelled by their coaches illness. It's a feel good story, but it would be a travesty if he got it over the other two. Breaking the Passing record is great and all but if RG3 were asked to throw as much as Luck he would be in Drew Brees yardage territory if all things stayed true, however if RG3 turned the ball over as much as Luck the skins would be bottom dwellers again and it's not even close. He's had to be almost perfect because of how bad the D is (though they have been very good at forcing turnovers.).

I think Luck's play has been vastly overrated this year. As a team, they've beaten two teams with a winning record. He's a turnover machine. To put it into perspective, Luck throws 1 interception for every 31.3 attempts. Wilson throws 1 interception every 39.2 attempts. Griffin throws 1 for every 87.8 (!!!) attempts. Griffin fumbles more, but can probably be attributed to his running. Luck has fumbled 10 times to Griffin's 11. Wilson has fumbled 5 times.

Total Turnovers:
Luck - 28
Wilson - 14
Griffin - 15

Luck is very good and will be good for many MANY years to come. However, right now I'm giving it to Wilson, with Griffin a close 2nd.

This sounds cute, but the greatest difficulty facing Luck is the amount of times he's asked to throw, not the difficulty level of the throws he's being asked to execute.

Many of Luck's passing errors have been the fault of his own poor decision making, not the fault of the offense he's being asked to run. The fact he's been able to overcome his mistakes and still lead the Colts to wins is a testament to his great ability.

Rookie QBs who have the turnover rate that Luck has rarely win football games, or make the playoffs.

BTW I've heard two sports radio hosts declare Luck their OROTY because he set the passing yardage record, which is about as deep as most casual football fans are going to get in their decision making process. His low completion percentage or high number of turnovers are going to be secondary IMO to making the playoffs and his 4K+ passing.

Then by that token those same fans will misrepresent his turnovers I forget what game it was but he heaved one into the end zone at the half and it was picked off. Also thr interception against the titans that should have never been called.

Then by that token those same fans will misrepresent his turnovers I forget what game it was but he heaved one into the end zone at the half and it was picked off. Also thr interception against the titans that should have never been called.

Okay if we're playing that game we'll just add the 9 ints he's had dropped then too (could be more)

I know I am in the minority but I firmly believe Wilson should be the ROTY or the three should split, it's honest to god near impossible to pick one of those 3 to be the favorite.

Wilson is close to breaking Manning's record for most TD passes, he has been extremely efficient with the ball, not turning it over very much, and has a very young squad around him that didn't do hardly anything on offense last year.

Arguments can be made for all three quarterbacks obviously, I am just most shocked/impressed with what Wilson has done.

It's not any different than simply looking at a stat sheet without any context of what actually happened.

You cant base an individual award on a teams W/L record. Individual stats play a majority of the role in determination. If a team wins 21-14 and the defense had a pick 6 and special teams returned a kick for a TD how can you base that QBs play of the W? He wasn't responsible for that win.