Wednesday, September 5, 2012

ON HORSE RACE HANDICAPPING AND MEDICAL RESEARCH

Brian DiDonato and
Steve Sherack were able to achieve a wagering profit at Saratoga because, as
seen in their blogs, they managing complex and contradictory information, applying
unconventional thought processes.

A friend of mine who
is both a handicapper and a medical researcher confirms my suspicion that there
is much in common with deciphering a horse race and searching for the cure for
a disease.

We desperately need more
unconventional thinking, along with the funding to support it, in order to
decipher an extremely complex medical puzzle; in autoimmune diseases our own
defense system turns against a part of our body, like that uniformed Afghan
soldier who turned around and shot the people he was supposed to defend.

In the case of Crohn’s
and ulcerative colitis, the two major inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs), the
defense system attacks the intestines. Until now, these remain incurable
diseases. In the worst cases, the patient will lose a part or all of their
intestines.

But for medical
researchers, it is easier to discover a defense against a foreign invader than
against negative forces from within.

Most of those who
suffer from Crohn’s and ulcerative colitis don’t like to talk about their
plight. It’s not trendy to chat about long and painful hours on the toilet
seat, bleeding and resulting anemia, Draconian diets, medication side effects, or
the extreme difficulty of holding a job or sustaining social relationships.

My son is among those
who suffer from ulcerative colitis.

The poet-horseplayer
Charles Bukowski also warns to not overdo it, in his poem called “Don’t Try”. For
years I have tried to promote horse
racing in the mainstream culture with little success. But with this campaign
against IBDs, without even trying, I have made inroads in gaining respect for
horse race handicapping. On one website, for example, they wrote:

“Mark's two-day ride ends on both days at horse-racing tracks –
appropriate for a racing journalist, but also appropriate because he has linked
his theme to his chosen charity.”

In not trying, I have
gotten a good response about horse racing. But in trying, I have thus far not
been able to generate many donations for medical research to fight IBDs.

My biking partner Alan
Kennedy and I are not Lance Armstrong, whose foundation continues to receive
donations in spite of the serious questions being raised, by his former teammates
and anti-doping authorities about the legitimacy of his Tour de France
victories. Since we are not celebrities like Armstrong, our challenge is
greater. Few people have heard about the gravity of ulcerative colitis and
Crohn’s disease, as if it were taboo.

That’s only one
obstacle. At age 67 (Mark) and 61 (Alan), it is more of a challenge to cycle
200 kilometers in two days than it is for Armstrong to cycle 200 kilometers in
five hours.

But we now have
support from a younger cycler. Michael Ahrens, fresh from a Pick 4 score at
Saratoga, is now embarking on a 300 mile ride in Upstate New York to help gain
donations for IBD medical research.

Yes, Bukowski says
“Don’t try”, but I can’t help it. Knowing that you have hundreds of worthy
charities around you, I am still trying
to convince you to make a donation to this one, because IBDs are not “popular”
diseases and don’t attract donations on their own.

The association we are
supporting, called AFA (Association François Aupetit), is a non-profit that
finances research. Though this is a French association, research is worldwide,
and AFA is associated with the international community of medical researchers.
Our son, for example, is a research subject for a product being developed by an
American pharmaceutical company. There are no borders when it comes to medical
knowledge.

We hope you will support our race against IBD
diseases by making a donation. Here’s the link:

http://2012defimici.alvarum.net/markcramerClick on the upper right, where it says DONATE
or FAIRE UN DON in French. If the next page comes up in "français"
(upper right hand corner), just click on the down arrow next to
"français" and you will have the English version. The instructions
are really simple. (At this writing, 10 Euros is 12.55 US$ and that exchange
rate has not been fluctuating too much.)

At both the Tours track and Longchamp
for the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, Alan and I will make a designated wager with
our own money, whose winnings (if we win) will be added to the overall pool of donations.

These wagers make a symbolic
connection between the uncertainty of a horse race bet and the uncertainty of
the current crop of IBD medications, where the patient and his doctor must
handicap the benefits and side effects of a “field” of medications and then
choose the one most likely to succeed, with uncertain results.