Sub-Saharan Africa: Why hotels, why now?

The receptionist realized her mistake immediately. The hotel was overbooked and there was no room for me.

In almost any other city in the world this would be an annoyance, forcing me to move to the nearest hotel with a vacancy. But in Luanda, Angola, in 2004, this meant I was out of options and found myself sharing a room with a stranger. Today, you wouldn’t expect this to happen in Luanda, or anywhere else in Sub-Saharan Africa, where hotels are no longer in such short supply. Instead, you should expect to pay $350 for a decent hotel in the city.

It’s a remarkable transformation. Sub-Saharan Africa’s hospitality industry has moved from embryonic to emerging in just 10 years.

High economic growth, increasing political and social stability, foreign investment and positive demographic variables have led to favorable real estate development and investment potential across the asset class board.

Africa’s hospitality boom is business-driven. Global corporates are flocking to take advantage of growth in industries such as pharmaceuticals and finance, as well as regional corporate expansion. For the hospitality sector, this has proven particularly profitable as global hotel operators pursue growing levels of business travel dollars.

Bridging the supply gap

As a result, global hotel investors increasingly are turning their attention to the region’s largest developing economies such as Nigeria, Kenya, Ethiopia, Tanzania and Angola, and a number of hotel specific investment platforms are being raised. Four have launched in the last six months. Duet Group, for example, signed a partnership agreement with Bouygues Batiment International to establish Duet Africa Hotels, a hotel investment, development and asset management company.

New global platforms such as this could inject as much as $1 billion of hotel-targeted equity in the region in the next five to seven years. This should create much needed growth in investment grade hotel stock; development, to date has, largely, been led by local and regional players teaming up with international and regional operators. Major hotel groups now are stepping up the pace of development in the region.

In Nigeria, for example, the number of projects in the pipeline from the major hotel parent companies represent more than half of the existing supply, according to HNN sister company STR Global. The same applies in Ethiopia, and project pipelines are picking up pace in markets such as Tanzania, Rwanda and Angola.

Scaling up

As many of the markets emerge from decades of instability and resource dominated economic growth, investors, who are predominantly from Europe and Asia, are still concerned with Africa’s ability to offer them scale. Mature markets like South Africa and the Indian Ocean are thriving, yet they’re competitive. Developing markets such as Kenya and Nigeria are growing, albeit from a low base, but with high potential returns.

While full-service hotels in gateway cities remain in favor among most investors speculating on the Africa growth story, it’s the midmarket segment that demands greater attention. It’s often overlooked by local and regional investors in favor of more prestigious developments.

The lack of transparency and liquidity are key concerns for investors and operators alike. Further to this there is a need for more robust governance; further development of capital markets; development of local talent; infrastructure expansion; and the removal of myriad administrative barriers.

But what cannot be overlooked is the overwhelming potential to participate in what’s widely regarded as the final frontier market for hotel real estate.

About the Author

Xander is Executive Vice President of JLL’s Hotels and Hospitality Group in Sub-Saharan Africa and leads assignments and projects in the region. Xander focuses on delivering Strategic Advisory, Investment Sales, Financing and Asset Management services to local, regional and global clients across the region. Xander has over 11 years of experience in hotel advisory, investment and operations in 20+ countries in Africa and the Indian Ocean region. He is a graduate of Hotel School The Hague and has further education in real estate, company law and finance.

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Which to me was awkward He given his dog and went on a bit, Then asked what I was doing on the weekend break,Then he asked where I was from and I told him I remembered him from the old area but now I live later and he seemed shocked. We hang out once or twice a week now. I can talk to him about anything and I know I can trust him with very really stuff. Ive met some of his friends but not his mother he says he wants us to meet. as the name indicated, Just proclaiming my feels.

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skepticism: “do you really think North Korea will attack, Rahul Sharma, or

Fareed Zakaria: Rahul, That’s your question, Which is is there an intention here? My own view is that the North Koreans are attempting establish they are a serious nuclear power. There are not just a few bombs in the basement, But real bombs with real missiles with delivery systems and the capability to attack. Which is all meant to send a signal don’t wreak havoc on us. I understand that it is ultimately about deterrence and saying don’t try a regime change. the united states has essentially said that we want to topple this regime. For a number of years, chief executive George W. Bush made North Korea one of the few axis of evil, So they do feel some real sense of being isolated and weak. nonetheless, you come up with, Kim Jong Un is acting more boldy and in a more provocative way than his predecessors, His father and grandfather did, Particularly with the Chinese and that’s what leaves people a brief summary puzzled. Why is he so provocative with the one treaty ally they have in the market?

q: “If north of manchester Korean regime were to fall, Do South Koreans even like to unite the Korean Peninsula? Or would they rather let North Koreans fend individually, Josh Cambell, houston

FZ: Josh, It’s a decent question. For a lot of time, The South Koreans have believed they wanted the eventual unification of the Koreas, As do regarding in the North. That’s the established official position that both sides generally had. I think South Koreans are rapidly very wary of that prospect because if you compare North Korea and South Korea to East Germany and West Germany, North Korea is much poorer a lot more bigger proportionally than East Germany was. It took West malaysia, One of the richest countries all over the world, Two decades to incorporate East Germany. It cost them 5% of GDP every year for two decades and it’s still not properly integrated. establishing North Korea would be a monumental cost for the South Koreans, So they have real second thoughts.

q: “What options do we have left in working with North Korea? Better/more insulating weapons, multiplied pressure by China, Talks with North Korea or business as usual, Craig Burzain, lots of states

FZ: It’s a quite hard question. There is no simple answer but I think everything you outlined are exactly the elements we have to work on. There is just one government that has serious influence with North Korea and that is China. It has not nearly as expensive it used to for a variety of reasons, Partly the Chinese have gotten less interested in buying North Korea and support it less. The North Koreans see that and are as a result more isolated and therefore more invulnerable to Chinese pressure but possibly negotiations finally could be useful. I tend to think the main card it is a Chinese, Because minus the Chinese you can’t do anything. One thing is with certainty, If the Chinese are opposed to what the actual decides its policy is, There is really no serious option and no serious hope of any decision.

queen: “What are one of the most dire consequences if we somehow manage to destabilize the regime, Eric Seaenz, the state of texas

FZ: fantastic question Eric. The most specific real risk I think that we face is if the regime feels uncomfortable. If the actual were to attack, It will likely respond but probably not using its nuclear weapons. North Korea has thousands literally thousands of rockets aimed at Seoul, at which about 15 million, and possibly more, females live. This is within easy range of North Korean artillery and rockets and make use of them, in a way, release a rain of fire on Seoul. South Koreans would then of course be forced to attack, And you would have one of the worst conventional battles that we’ve seen in history. Estimates I’ve seen certainly go over 1 million people that would be dead or wounded in a battle like this. So you’d be looking at something would be pretty grim and scary, But also has potential to escalate because the North has nuclear weapons and the South because of its alliance with the United States can call in, Potentially nuclear weapons if the us agreed. So not only should you watch a conventional battle, any type of which we haven’t seen since WWII, You’re also supposed to see something possibly escalate. too, remedy should a very bad scenario.

q: “do you consider Kim Jong Un believes his own propaganda, christopher Cohen New York

FZ: In a word, no. I think this is a guy who went to school in switzerland at some fancy prep school, So I think he knows about the world. I think it’s a ruthless, challenging, Corrupt system that is simply trying in which to stay power. There is nobody in North Korea that believes in just about any it is that their ideology is, And they don’t even really know what their ideology is by now. It’s a weird blend of communism and kind of family worship of the Kim family.

q: “My understanding is that the working people are nearly starving. How much longer can they hold out and endure this? And are they educated and informed enough to know what is happening in the world and where they fit in, Ric Aguilar, idaho

FZ: Ric, It’s a great question because it’s any of the great puzzles about North Korea. They carry on almost a near subsistence level, One of the poorest countries across the world right next to one of the richest countries available: mexico, Which has had one of the most wonderful economic rises from poverty in the last 30 years, And I don’t think the average North Korean knows much about the exterior. they don’t know much about what life is like and information is very tightly controlled. I don’t know if the stories are still true but it used to be that charmdatescamreviews.wordpress.com if you went to a North Korean family’s home there was a radio in wouldn’t and it was always turned on, And it was a crime to turn off the radio. It was the put out system that the regime used, And so all you heard all day was regime propaganda, And you couldn’t power it down. It was something specifically out of Orwell’s 1984.

q: “What is the likelihood of North Korea selling nuclear weapons or technologies to others? Is this a threat that some use as a bargaining chip, ben Dehner, Iowa

a meaningful: ben, It’s a really good question simply did it in the past. We know that the North Koreans certainly have engaged in the buying of nuclear technology and it appears to have come from Pakistan and maybe some other areas. Would they most likely sell it? sure, It’s undoubtedly possible. The danger is mankind are everyday people. i’m not sure if the Pakistani government intended to sell its secrets, But we do know there were certain Pakistani scientists and some military people who might have on their own profited and done it. So the systems can leak and I wouldn’t want to underestimate the fact that you have a danger. But so far I have not seen much evidence of the North Korean government available offering up its nuclear technology or its nuclear weaponry in any way on an open black market.

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internet dating is going mainstream. This week just in time for Valentine’s Day the Pew Research Center released a new study on online dating and found that 15% of American adults have used online dating services and/or mobile dating apps, Up within 11% in 2013. Adults that was executed in summer 2015.

And the rapid growth in online dating service personals is as much about money as it is love.

Young adults are leading the surge in online dating, With usage among 18 to 24 year olds almost tripling since Pew’s 2013 uniform dating study. think of it as the Tinder factor: 22% of young adults used a mobile dating app, investing in a just 5% just two years earlier.

But young people aren’t the only ones in pursuit of the digital get down. The study reveals that 55 to 64 year olds are also flocking to online dating site, With 12% of older adults having tried it double the amount 6% reported back in 2013.

online dating services is a big market. this can help explain why IAC/InterActiveCorp (IACI) Decided to spin off its online dating latino dating assets last year with the Match Group (pink sheets,dow jones:MTCH) initial public offering.

uniform dating is also gaining traction overseas, especially in China, Where revenue is forecasted to total $1.6 billion for the year towards the end of 2016. Investors have an interest in the market’s potential: yr after, German media firm Bertelsmann used $5 million in dating app Tantan, While Sequoia Capital and Vertex business venture Holdings put $20.5 million easily into Qingchifan, one more thing app.

going to remain, Despite the ever increasing popularity of online dating, Concerns remain over the industry’s ability to form a profit. the primary issue is that, When the apps work and people discover partners, They stop by using the service. thus, Dating apps must be adept at acquiring clients. changed, As the Wall Street Journal indicates, Most dating apps don’t experience the same meteoric rise that Grindr and Tinder have, And users generally don’t recommend the particular apps to their friends.

Match’s first quarterly earnings illustrate the possibility hurdles within the online dating industry. While the company beat objectives with $0.24 earnings per share when compared to the consensus estimate of $0.19, revenue came up short. Analysts had imagined $272 million for the fourth quarter, And Match constructed $267.6 million. pursuing the earnings report, Barclays reduced the stock, And both JPMorgan and Merrill Lynch lowered their price marks.

Keeping these trials in mind (amazing industry’s growth), Let’s give some thought to what analysts expect to see from online dating companies when they next report earnings.

Analysts provide estimates many different aspects of a company’s operations, Including its net gain, incomes per share and revenue. The consensus estimate, might be the average of the provided figures, Is then used as a standard come earnings season. If a company exceeds estimates, That’s a beneficial earnings surprise and can boost a stock. on the contrary, Missing estimates is an unfavorable earnings surprise and can tank a stock. Just look at tweet (new york stock exchange:TWTR).

Below is a list of international dating stocks and analyst estimates for their next quarterly earnings and revenue.

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