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ARCHIVED - The chances of ANYTHING happening are 50/50

Right now there is a 50/50 chance that an asteroid will smash through my roof.
it will either happen. or it wont.
its like heads or tails.
there is also a 50/50 chance that a unicorn will appear in my kitchen in the next 5 minutes.
It will either happen. or it wont.
its like heads or tails.
my logic is undeniable.

[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] MyNameIsCharlie
Why is he reported? He's trolling, sure, but not breaking the rules...[/quote]
I'm not even trolling. As I have said before. I do know that in terms of reality saying that there is a 50/50 chance of all events is invalid and stupid.
This thread is just an interesting way of thinking about things. for example. If I wanted to roll a die and get a 1 It will either happen or it won't. I don't care about the other outcomes.
So for me. my outcome is a 50/50 if you know what I mean.
And as I have said before. If threads like this make you mad that's your problem. and you should look into other threads for your own benefit.

[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] funkbrotha10
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Wikked Navajoe
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Bearded Elf
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] funkbrotha10
my logic is undeniable.[/quote]No, there's only a 50% chance its undeniable.[/quote]Paradox?
OT: I have no idea why you haven't bought two lottery tickets and won yet with your logic, but I have no examples to disprove you with tonight, so I'll leave it to others.[/quote]
buying 2 lottery tickets would not guarantee a win. flipping a coin is a 50/50 chance of heads and tails.
but if I flip a coin twice am I guaranteed to get heads and tails? no.
[/quote]
The odds of flipping a coin and getting a heads once is 50/50. The odds of you flipping a heads twice in a row is 25/50. If you keep dividing you will eventually reach zero, but you cannot divide forever. However the odds that you win the lottery isn't 50/50, otherwise the odds of you getting two wins in a row is 25/50. I should get my Degree-level statistics teacher to sort you out, but I can't. But, however, I can say that if you get three wins of the lottery ticket within a short space of time, you would be supremely lucky. But, however, you seem to forget that there are millions of lottery tickets and that only a few of those are winners, so the odds of winning isn't "Will, or won't", it's more like how many of those will win. In which case it is approximately one in a million, not 50/50. The odds of you getting a winning lottery ticket or not is one in a million, but obviously your not going to say anything other than that it is 50/50, however you are wrong. Otherwise, if you were right, statisticians, need not exist.
As for a meteoroid hitting an Earth, its not whether it will or it won't, because there's more than one meteoroid in the universe, there's millions. You have to take into account the number of meteoroids there are. There isn't one, so its not a 50/50 chance. Whether it will or won't has to take into account how many meteoroids there are and what are the odds that one will hit is compounded by the number of meteoroids, so even the odds of one hitting, out of all those meteoroids is one in a million, not 50/50. You are oversimplifying things.

Good thread. I completely agreed with OP until I thought of this:
If my girlfriend is on all fours with her ass perked up waiting for my entry, is it 50/50 that I will enter? No, it is 100%. Yes, I will enter. Every. Time.

Why are people reporting this? He's not violating any rules? He's not going against them by being stupid, is he? He's not a troll, just an idiot. Anyway, its not 50/50. There is not necessarily even odds that something will happen. The odds of something happening that isn't zero can still be infinitesimally small, but it will happen millions of times more than it won't. It's not even split, because, for example, we don't get meteoroid shower every day, only every millions of years. Therefore it can't be 50% because it doesn't happen 50% of the time, only
10^(-1,000,000)% of the time. Therefore the probability that it will happen must be very much far less than 50%. Flipping a coin is even only 49% and 51% because of the printing being heavier on one side than the other. Therefore not everything, in fact hardly anything is 50/50. Because the fact that it will happen is sometimes far less likely than it will, not the same. Therefore OP is an idiot. If he studied very basic statistics like I have, he would know this.

[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Wikked Navajoe
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Bearded Elf
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] funkbrotha10
my logic is undeniable.[/quote]No, there's only a 50% chance its undeniable.[/quote]Paradox?
OT: I have no idea why you haven't bought two lottery tickets and won yet with your logic, but I have no examples to disprove you with tonight, so I'll leave it to others.[/quote]
buying 2 lottery tickets would not guarantee a win. flipping a coin is a 50/50 chance of heads and tails.
but if I flip a coin twice am I guaranteed to get heads and tails? no.

[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] Bearded Elf
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] funkbrotha10
my logic is undeniable.[/quote]No, there's only a 50% chance its undeniable.[/quote]Paradox?
OT: I have no idea why you haven't bought two lottery tickets and won yet with your logic, but I have no examples to disprove you with tonight, so I'll leave it to others.

[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] funkbrotha10
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] shahrose10
But there's a 100% change that I will disagree with your statement. [/quote]
nope. the chances of you disagreeing are 50/50.
you either will agree. or you will not.[/quote]
There are two possible outcomes.
But those two possible outcomes do not share equal probability. One is more probable than the other. While both outcomes exist, one of them is more likely to happen. That's the whole point of probability.
How this thread got this long is beyond me.

[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] A 3 Legged Goat
[quote][b]Posted by:[/b] PURE HALO 95
If the question is "Will it happen or not", then yes.
Everything falls under the 50/50 chance.
Because you are asking a question with only 2 possible outcomes.
But if someone is rolling a di, there are 6 possible outcomes.
If I want a 3, then there's a 1/6 chance of it happening.
And if I want either a 2 or a 4, there's a 1/3 chance of it happening.
Because the di has 6 sides, 6 answers.
And the only way to divide the answers is by asking a different question.
So you are right and wrong.
It doesn't depend solely on the question.
The answer also effects it. [/quote]
/thread[/quote]
What happens if when you roll the dice it breaks into pieces?

There is no such thing as chance, everything is 100%, it's just there are too many factors to accurately predict most outcomes.
The more factors you understand and take into account, the greater the chance, until you understand every possible factor and 'chance' doesn't exist, only certainty.