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@Fertweetssake 5h5 hours agoMoreReplying to @AngelaRaynerMay's avoiding vote as if MPs vote as their constituents desire, vote will be lost. If they vote with the government, it won't go down well with consituents & local election results, already predicted to be poor, may suffer. Avoiding a vote is least bad of 3 bad options.#Syria

@Fertweetssake 5h5 hours agoMoreReplying to @AngelaRaynerMay's avoiding vote as if MPs vote as their constituents desire, vote will be lost. If they vote with the government, it won't go down well with consituents & local election results, already predicted to be poor, may suffer. Avoiding a vote is least bad of 3 bad options.#Syria

All assuming, of course, that Donald Trump actually takes some kind of action.

Which can't be relied upon.

And even if he does take some action, it is by no means certain it would be any more extensive than his previous response to use of chemical weapons and thus May's support without a vote may not be such a risk.

The Russians and Russian point of view are getting a lot of airtime today. Why is that?

Not exactly what you would call a watertight case, but in the absence of any other plausible explanation, I still feel it's more than enough circumstantial evidence to enact the Magnitsky amendment asap

@Fertweetssake 5h5 hours agoMoreReplying to @AngelaRaynerMay's avoiding vote as if MPs vote as their constituents desire, vote will be lost. If they vote with the government, it won't go down well with consituents & local election results, already predicted to be poor, may suffer. Avoiding a vote is least bad of 3 bad options.#Syria

I wish governmental leadership would act in the best interests of country and people

Garvan Walshe‏@garvanwalshe 20m20 minutes agoMore2. The trap is the anti-immigrant ratchet. Immigration is not a problem in the UK, only its perception is, and it’s a perception not related to reality.

All assuming, of course, that Donald Trump actually takes some kind of action.

Which can't be relied upon.

And even if he does take some action, it is by no means certain it would be any more extensive than his previous response to use of chemical weapons and thus May's support without a vote may not be such a risk.

The Russians and Russian point of view are getting a lot of airtime today. Why is that?

@Fertweetssake 5h5 hours agoMoreReplying to @AngelaRaynerMay's avoiding vote as if MPs vote as their constituents desire, vote will be lost. If they vote with the government, it won't go down well with consituents & local election results, already predicted to be poor, may suffer. Avoiding a vote is least bad of 3 bad options.#Syria

I think dodging a vote in the Commons will also be highly unpopular.

Also, if there's no vote, and it all goes tits up, Theresa May and the Government will be the can-carriers.

Tory backbenchers fear the minority government could be at risk if May acts without MPs’ support and things go wrong. Photograph: Neil Hall/EPA

Theresa May is under increasing pressure from her own backbenchers to cancel Monday’s business in parliament to make time for a full-scale debate and vote on intervention in Syria.

“The government owes it to parliament to come and explain,” said Bob Seely, the Isle of Wight Conservative MP who says he is sceptical about intervention. “Articulating their case in a chamber full of critical voices is good for the government. If it can’t, then maybe it shouldn’t be doing it.”

Tory backbenchers fear that if May approves a military strike without parliamentary support and it goes wrong, perhaps through civilian casualties or the loss of a British plane, she could jeopardise her minority government.Syria mediators take centre stage as moment for rapid strike passesRead more

Dominic Grieve, the former attorney general, said on Friday: “If it all goes terribly wrong then the government will be in difficulties. It will then have chucked at it that it hasn’t consulted parliament.(Guardian)

It's the first I've seen on this topic that has cast this squarely against the backdrop of UKIP topping the EU elections in 2014 and the subsequent push to Brexit. The Tory party bowing to minority pressure from the right, trying to prove their Ukippy credentials to stem the flow of votes. I don't think anyone doubts those credentials now.

Tory backbenchers fear the minority government could be at risk if May acts without MPs’ support and things go wrong. Photograph: Neil Hall/EPA

Theresa May is under increasing pressure from her own backbenchers to cancel Monday’s business in parliament to make time for a full-scale debate and vote on intervention in Syria.

“The government owes it to parliament to come and explain,” said Bob Seely, the Isle of Wight Conservative MP who says he is sceptical about intervention. “Articulating their case in a chamber full of critical voices is good for the government. If it can’t, then maybe it shouldn’t be doing it.”

Tory backbenchers fear that if May approves a military strike without parliamentary support and it goes wrong, perhaps through civilian casualties or the loss of a British plane, she could jeopardise her minority government.Syria mediators take centre stage as moment for rapid strike passesRead more

Dominic Grieve, the former attorney general, said on Friday: “If it all goes terribly wrong then the government will be in difficulties. It will then have chucked at it that it hasn’t consulted parliament.(Guardian)

Tory backbenchers fear the minority government could be at risk if May acts without MPs’ support and things go wrong. Photograph: Neil Hall/EPA

Theresa May is under increasing pressure from her own backbenchers to cancel Monday’s business in parliament to make time for a full-scale debate and vote on intervention in Syria.

“The government owes it to parliament to come and explain,” said Bob Seely, the Isle of Wight Conservative MP who says he is sceptical about intervention. “Articulating their case in a chamber full of critical voices is good for the government. If it can’t, then maybe it shouldn’t be doing it.”

Tory backbenchers fear that if May approves a military strike without parliamentary support and it goes wrong, perhaps through civilian casualties or the loss of a British plane, she could jeopardise her minority government.Syria mediators take centre stage as moment for rapid strike passesRead more

Dominic Grieve, the former attorney general, said on Friday: “If it all goes terribly wrong then the government will be in difficulties. It will then have chucked at it that it hasn’t consulted parliament.(Guardian)

Tory backbenchers fear the minority government could be at risk if May acts without MPs’ support and things go wrong. Photograph: Neil Hall/EPA

Theresa May is under increasing pressure from her own backbenchers to cancel Monday’s business in parliament to make time for a full-scale debate and vote on intervention in Syria.

“The government owes it to parliament to come and explain,” said Bob Seely, the Isle of Wight Conservative MP who says he is sceptical about intervention. “Articulating their case in a chamber full of critical voices is good for the government. If it can’t, then maybe it shouldn’t be doing it.”

Tory backbenchers fear that if May approves a military strike without parliamentary support and it goes wrong, perhaps through civilian casualties or the loss of a British plane, she could jeopardise her minority government.Syria mediators take centre stage as moment for rapid strike passesRead more

Dominic Grieve, the former attorney general, said on Friday: “If it all goes terribly wrong then the government will be in difficulties. It will then have chucked at it that it hasn’t consulted parliament.(Guardian)

Tory backbenchers fear the minority government could be at risk if May acts without MPs’ support and things go wrong. Photograph: Neil Hall/EPA

Theresa May is under increasing pressure from her own backbenchers to cancel Monday’s business in parliament to make time for a full-scale debate and vote on intervention in Syria.

“The government owes it to parliament to come and explain,” said Bob Seely, the Isle of Wight Conservative MP who says he is sceptical about intervention. “Articulating their case in a chamber full of critical voices is good for the government. If it can’t, then maybe it shouldn’t be doing it.”

Tory backbenchers fear that if May approves a military strike without parliamentary support and it goes wrong, perhaps through civilian casualties or the loss of a British plane, she could jeopardise her minority government.Syria mediators take centre stage as moment for rapid strike passesRead more

Dominic Grieve, the former attorney general, said on Friday: “If it all goes terribly wrong then the government will be in difficulties. It will then have chucked at it that it hasn’t consulted parliament.(Guardian)

South Northamptonshire DC - Tory hold, though the LibDems ran them fairly close in their first outing here in modern times. This two member ward split 1Ind/1C in 2003 before electing the same combination unopposed in 2007 before the Tories took the Independent seat in 2011, again without any actual contest. This at least changed in 2015 when the Tory slate saw off a sole Indy by about 60-40, compared to which they dropped by nearly 20 points this time. LibDems not that far behind as already said, followed by Labour who had some success here into the 1990s but now had to be content with almost exactly 20% in their first appearance here since 2003. Greens last with a relatively modest 20%.

Chichester DC - LibDems went a bit better in this one, taking a previously safe Tory ward with 55% of the vote. This single member division has had various opponents since being created for the 2003 elections, but until now the common factor has been its unvarying reliability for the Tories (this includes an unopposed return for them in a previous 2010 byelection) but despite not having stood here since 2007 the LibDems stormed home now as the Tories dropped by over 25 points compared with 2015. Labour got less than 3% in this deeply unpromising terrain, but that was still almost twice what the Greens achieved - a massive drop since around 20% and second place three years ago.

St Edmundsbury DC - Labour hold with close to 60 per cent of the poll in a ward which split 1Ind/1Lab last time with the Tories only just behind. In 2003 and 2007 two Labour members had been safely returned here in straight fights with the Tories, but one of their councillors then defected to the Greens and in 2011 split the "left" vote sufficiently to let an Independent in - they duly consolidated their position in the most recent 2015 contest. This time round, though, Tories dropped to less than a quarter of the vote - beaten by well over 2 to 1 - and the sitting Indy failed to add much lustre to their hopeful this time as they finished a poor third. LibDems failed to perform any miracles here in their first showing since the 1990s, last with a pretty modest 5%.

Three contests again next week, which concludes things until the regular elections at the beginning of May.

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