The global oil surplus will be bigger than previously estimated in the first half, increasing the risk of further price losses, as OPEC members Iran and Iraq bolster production while demand growth slows, according to the International Energy Agency. Source: Bloomberg

GEFIRA provides in-depth and comprehensive analysis of and valuable insight into current events that investors, financial planners and politicians need to know to anticipate the world of tomorrow; it is intended for professional and non-professional readers.

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Gefira tracks the global players in Europe, the USA, Russia and China and anticipates the consequences of their policies

Gefira No. 9 is now available at a discount. 160 euros for 10 issues a year plus access to our archives.

Europe's geopolitical situation resembles that of 1913.

The enlargement of the European Union to the east, Germany's Ostpolitik, economic power and its reluctance to align its policy with France's and Italy's make the break-up of the Union unavoidable.
While Germany is gaining a status of a financial superstar, German society is starting to disintegrate.

Nobody dares to ask, but the ECB board is bracing itself for the upcoming break-up of the euro.
The Gefira team explains why France or Italy will leave the euro and we investigate how the ECB is preparing for the looming euro collapse.

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