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KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i ONE VISION Preferred Definition “Sustainability is the possibility that human and other life will flourish on the planet forever.” “It is an emergent property which only appears when the whole system is functioning properly.” “ U n - s u s t a i n a b i l i t y is an unintended consequence of our ‘ s y s t e m b l i n d n e s s ’ . • We fail to understand the systems at play in the world. • We rely on technological quick fixes that ignore underlying causes.” John R. Ehrenfeld author of “sustainability by design” interviewed in MIT Sloan review, july 14, 2009 Executive Director of the International Society for Industrial Ecology; former Director of the MIT Program on Technology, Business, and Environment.The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

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KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FOUR CONDITIONS From The Natural StepTM In a sustainable society, nature is not subject to systematically increasing: 1: Concentrations of substances extracted from the earths crust. 2: Concentrations of substances produced by society. 3: Degradation by physical means. AND... people are not subject to conditions that systematically: 4: Undermine their capacity to meet their needs. These four basic principles for sustainability are deeply rooted in science and in systems thinking. And it also follows that these four basic principles are something that everyone can agree about.The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

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KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FOUR POSSIBILITIES EARLY ACTION ON GLOBAL WARMING? (Illustrating the Precautionary Principle) ACT NOW? VERDICT? The precautionary principle, crudely summarized, states that where the potential impact is significant and we have insufficient confidence to choose between two future scenarios, prudence demands that we plan for the more pessimistic.The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net Source: Greg Craven, "Whats the Worst That Could Happen? A Rational Response to the Climate Change Debate", gregcraven.com

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KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i FOUR DIMENSIONS INTEGRAL FRAMEWORK FOR SUSTAINABILITY Adapted from The Four Worlds of Sustainability, by Barrett BrownThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

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KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i PEAK OIL? 70% DECLINE US oil supply is likely to begin its terminal decline sometime between 2011 and 2020, from a peak of 7.5 to 7.7 billion barrels annually, at an average annual rate of between 2% and 3%. By 2030. Our available supply of oil will probably range between 4.2 and 6.3 billion barrels. Source: The Oil Drum, “On American Sustainability - Anatomy of Societal CollapseThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

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KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i Dominant model Sustainable model infinite competitive growth life cycle of the organism MAXIMUM ENTROPY ZERO ENTROPY bigger fish swallowing the smaller self-similar fractal structure laying waste to everything in its path cycles turning within cycles like a hurricane the secret of sustainability no closed cycle to hold resources within dynamically closed cycle or to build up stable organized structures enables stable organized structures to build up and in a balanced way from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan HoThe Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

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KAUA`I COUNTY Management Training Applied Sustainability on Kaua`i THE SUSTAINABILITY IMPERATIVE “In designing pathways for the future, we need to make them: • AT SCALE Interesting new tech may be hard to bring to scale • IN TIME Things that are very far out, will be helpful far out, but right now we need some good things • FOR ALL Between the rich and poor, an equilibrium, particularly in terms of the environment David Hunter Marks David Hunter Marks MIT Professor Coordinator of the Alliance for Global Sustainability (AGS) At the Annual AGS Conference, Feb ‘08The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net