Bush initially had a 3 point lead, 49 percent to 46 percent, in the four day rolling poll of 1,000 likely voters nationwide. Bush's lead increased to 50 percent while Kerry went up one point to 45 percent on Sept. 28.

The Sept. 29-30 data had Bush at 51 percent and Kerry down 2 to 44 percent. Five percent said they were undecided each night the survey was in the field.