The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

Power Rating

Estimate

Edge

LOUISVILLE

-16

S FLORIDA

Team Trends and Angles

All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends

Against the spread

Over/Under

Straight Up

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Current

Last 3

Since 1997

Description

W-L

W-L

W-L

O-U

O-U

O-U

W-L

W-L

W-L

in all games

12-13

53-38

251-237

7-8

35-48

159-198

20-5

75-25

357-173

in all lined games

12-13

53-38

251-237

7-8

35-48

159-198

20-5

69-25

323-172

when the total is 119.5 or less

0-0

0-1

1-1

0-0

0-1

1-1

0-0

0-1

1-1

as a favorite

12-13

41-32

186-179

7-8

25-39

123-148

20-5

61-14

282-88

as a road favorite of 12.5 to 15 points

0-0

0-0

2-2

0-0

0-0

1-3

0-0

0-0

3-1

as a road favorite of 12.5 or more points

0-0

0-0

5-2

0-0

0-0

3-4

0-0

0-0

6-1

in road games

5-3

17-12

97-71

2-4

13-14

50-72

5-3

15-14

89-82

in road lined games

5-3

17-12

97-71

2-4

13-14

50-72

5-3

15-14

87-82

in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

0-0

against conference opponents

5-7

31-24

155-136

2-6

21-30

96-118

8-4

36-19

186-108

in February games

2-2

10-9

60-57

1-2

7-11

43-46

3-1

13-6

76-43

after a conference game

5-6

31-23

152-136

2-6

20-31

99-123

7-4

34-20

184-109

off a win against a conference rival

5-2

24-11

98-84

2-3

16-17

69-78

5-2

21-14

117-68

after allowing 60 points or less

8-6

30-15

94-78

6-3

25-16

74-73

12-2

41-9

121-60

when playing against a team with a losing record

0-1

5-4

40-30

0-0

5-4

18-26

1-0

15-0

87-9

when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games

Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

LOUISVILLE is 14-4 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1997

LOUISVILLE is 15-3 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997

8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

LOUISVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

LOUISVILLE is 2-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at S FLORIDA since 1997

LOUISVILLE is 7-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1997

LOUISVILLE is 6-1 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997

5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons.

LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Shooting

3pt shots

Free Throws

Rebounds

Date

Teams

Score

Line

Result

Half

FGM-A

Pct

FGM-A

Pct

FTM-A

Pct

Tot.

OFF

TO

1/12/2013

S FLORIDA

38

15

12-45

26.7%

3-17

17.6%

11-21

52.4%

24

4

17

LOUISVILLE

64

-18.5

SU ATS

38

23-60

38.3%

3-18

16.7%

15-17

88.2%

49

19

15

2/29/2012

S FLORIDA

58

119.5

SU ATS

22

22-49

44.9%

4-10

40.0%

10-16

62.5%

40

10

18

LOUISVILLE

51

-8.5

Under

17

18-53

34.0%

5-22

22.7%

10-14

71.4%

29

8

14

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring S FLORIDA in this game

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (207-198)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 53.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-36)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (184-161)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 47.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-38)

No Edge.

&nbsp

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game

The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 45.1% of the time since 1997. (138-168)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 49.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-38)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (106-118)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 41.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-40)

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