NEW DELHI: The assembly elections in the 5 states have concluded. And if effects are any sign, a single point is obvious: The rural and Dalit voters in three Hindi heartland states-Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh- are not delighted with the BJP and have shifted towards the Congress.

RURAL DISTRESS Hurt BJP

Farmers discontent is being deemed the principal reason powering BJP’s reduction in the not too long ago concluded 2018 assembly elections. Think about this: Of a overall of 424 rural seats in the Hindi heartland states of Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Rajasthan, the BJP won just 153 seats this time as in comparison to 294 in 2013. Which is practically 50 for every cent fewer seats. Here’s a condition by state account to take a look at the place rural seats charge the celebration the most.

Considering that 2014, the condition farmers have been experiencing a host of agricultural issues in the point out. They consist of a global glut in make, insignificant enhancements in minimal guidance rate, demonetisation and collapsing farm selling prices. The effects clearly mirror their resentment. The BJP rural seat tally came down to 84 from 122 in 2013. On the other hand, the Congress upped its rural seat tally from 56 to 95.

In Rajasthan also, the farmers’ discontent, due to slow implementation of personal loan waiver course of action and non procurement of their generate by govt, labored against the ruling BJP. Result: BJP could gain only rural 56 seats when compared to 131 rural seats in 2013.

The most important loss of rural seats for the BJP has arrive in the Chhattisgarh. The celebration shed much more than a third of its rural voters. As per the ultimate tally, the BJP seat rely in rural regions was just 13 from 41 in 2013.

HOW CONGRESS Identified Ease and comfort IN SC SEATS

In 2013, the BJP had won 68 out of 78 reserved SC seats throughout the Hindi heartland states of Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Rajasthan. In 2018, the tale was various, the BJP’s tally dropped to 31 seats. Again, the Congress arrived on best, in 2018 the Congress bagged 43 reserved SC seats a vast advancement around the 5 it experienced bagged in in the a few states in 2013.

This is astonishing specified the simple fact that the Congress has never ever been a occasion that the Dalit local community actively supports. In accordance to the Lokniti CSDS study as of May possibly 2018, it was barely above the BJP in conditions of Dalit assist. It observed the assistance of only 23% of Dalits in contrast to 22% supporting BJP.

Clearly, Dalits unhappiness in excess of the atrocities meted out to them has performed out in the outcomes. Additional, the the Congress tactic of deciding on to highlight atrocities in opposition to Dalits in BJP dominated states on social media, as an alternative of attractive to Dalits specifically, paid off — the bash was ready to position by itself as a much better choice.

In Madhya Pradesh, Congress has upped its SC seat tally from the final assembly elections from 4 to 17. On the other hand, the BJP managed to get just 18 reserved seats as against the 28 SC seats it received in 2013.

In the same way, in Rajasthan, the Congress gained 19 SC seats in 2018, a substantial acquire as it could not get even a one seat in 2013. BJP suffered massively with its seat depend lowering to around a 3rd of the previously tally of 31 in 2013.

In Chhattisgarh, the SC vote much too swung massively in the favour of Congress which bagged 7 seats in comparison to just a person in 2013. On the other hand, the BJP, which had gained 9 SC seats in 2013, was able to bag just two seats in 2018.