Posts Tagged ‘Silver’

Gold is the preeminent monetary metal & throughout history, has projected the most enduring images of wealth. Silver is in its shadows, but as an asset, it contains similar wealth-protecting qualities, perhaps with even greater return potential. Here’s why, silver, a quasi-industrial metal with a rich monetary history, may be about to step out of gold’s shadow & shine brightest in the years ahead.

Unlike its big brother, gold, physical silver is coveted for both investment purposes and industrial usage. Right now, silver prices seem poised to really take-off sharply after being in a bit of a slump lately, in other words, it’s the perfect time to load up on this precious metal while it’s down. Here are some good reasons why silver should be on every investor’s radar.

Gold is rare enough to be a true store of value. There’s no danger of it becoming ubiquitous, even if a dozen super-high-grade deposits were discovered tomorrow. If ever the lights go out, due to an electromagnetic pulse, either as an act of war or through a strong solar flare, Bitcoin will vanish instantly. Physical gold, on the other hand, will still be there and ready to use as needed.

Debt around the world is in the trillions & has never been higher in history. Financial Armageddon is waiting in the wings. At some point, it will be unable to be controlled & financial disaster will prevail around the world. At that point, the price of gold will no longer be in control, and it will become subservient to the value of both gold and silver. But, when will prices begin to reflect reality?

The Large Specs have finally given up on silver in recent weeks and their positions have shrunk steadily & rather dramatically. It is unlikely that silver’s COT readings will ease much more, if at all. We are, therefore, thought to be either at or close to an important intermediate bottom here, a time to buy silver and the better silver stocks for the sizeable rally that should follow.

In 2016, silver was very strong in the first half of the year and weak in the second half. The first half of 2017 has been something of a wash, setting up something potentially big in the next half of the year. The silver chart shows prices winding up within a huge wedge pattern. A few more weeks of consolidation are still possible before a decisive break out from the pattern.

Should we see the usual seasonal dip in the precious metals sector during this month and possibly into July, it won’t alter the Big Picture set out here, and it should be seized upon as a buying opportunity, although what we are seeing in the US dollar now suggests that the seasonal dip in gold and silver may just not happen this year.

Most investors who have been concerned about the massively inflated Bubble Markets and the Greatest Financial Ponzi Scheme in history, have been investing in gold and silver. However, a new kid on the block, called Bitcoin and the other crypto-currencies, have gained a lot of attention due to the huge increase in their prices over the past few months. So which would you choose to invest in?

There aren’t many constants in the world of investing, and certainly not many things that rise in value like clockwork. In times of rate hikes, industrial metals rise fastest, and in today’s world, the type of metals in highest demand by China are going to rise the most. Silver is one metal that’s poised to move up & Zinc is trading for less than half of what it did in 1980.

Why is silver the kryptonite to the banking and financial system? Gold, while the market has been proven to be rigged as well, has at least been able to climb higher than in 1980. The current global “price” of gold does not reflect it’s true value, however, it is still higher than 37 years ago. Silver is 66% cheaper than it was in 1980. Why is that? How can that be?

History repeats itself – maybe not to the letter, but more or less – that’s the key principle of technical analysis. The price swings in silver now are almost identical to its moves in 2008, not only in relative terms, but also in terms of the (almost) exact prices. What does the above suggest? Is it imminent? Does silver have to slide to or below $10? Of course not.

History shows that bear markets in stocks have sprung major bull markets in Gold and gold stocks. The conditions for such are in place once again and only the timing is uncertain. It is quite logical from both a historical & fundamental perspective. Gold and gold stocks may be struggling now & it could continue, but they are perfectly setup for a massive move higher once the stock market peaks.

Even Greenspan admits this is the case with debt: “We would never have reached this position of extreme indebtedness were we on the gold standard, because the gold standard is a way of ensuring that fiscal policy never gets out of line.” Certainly, debt loads have taken off since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971, breaking the last link with gold.

The fact silver prices have managed to accelerate higher while the dollar has been strengthening is noteworthy. With base metals generally rallying too, it looks as though silver is attracting industrial buying. A show of dollar strength may act as a headwind, so we would not be surprised to see prices consolidate at lower numbers; but we expect dips will be well supported.

The confluence of bullish indicators & constructive price action confirms that a bullish outcome is a real possibility for silver prices. Add the prospects of a weaker US dollar & these factors create the perfect ingredients that send this precious metal soaring. Technical indicators & price patterns seen here on the silver price chart clearly suggest that a rally is likely to ensue.

The recent upsurge in gold and silver does point to a possible correction on Wall Street. Share prices have been hitting new all-time highs repeatedly in recent times without any further fundamental support. With US stock indices near record high levels, we are hesitant to turn bearish yet & its impossible to predict the timing of the upcoming crash. But the stage looks set, so be prepared.

Scientists are creating a new silver catalyst to purify the air that can decompose toxic carbon monoxide and other harmful substances into harmless components, an advance that could help fight smog in cities like New Delhi and Beijing. In addition, the catalyst can be adapted to neutralise the gas discharges of chemical plants and the exhaust systems of automobiles.

Trump’s plan is both inflationary and an injection into the industrial component of the economy, which are both aspects of where silver derives its luster. It’s not to say that this sort of rhetoric isn’t going to benefit gold as well, especially on the economic uncertainty front, but there are multiple upward forces in play to benefit silver.

The gold market is starting to look extremely oversold, so what does this mean for gold focused investor? For those with a more aggressive investment philosophy, a stomach for buying dips at support levels and a strong conviction that gold is going higher in the long term, the next few weeks may offer up a good buying opportunity.

Hike or no hike, there is no place for the gold and silver bulls to hide. Silver is slower to move than gold, but it has more room to move and this delivers better profits. The similarity in the patterns on the gold and silver charts means the silver price follow the behaviour of the gold price. The best trade is to watch gold and execute the trade on the same price move in silver.