Objectives: Enhanced quantitative drug development (EQDD) is a global initiative at Pfizer to promote the development of integrated analysis (models) of available data (internal and external sources) and their application to inform strategy, trial design and decision-making in drug development1. This quantitative approach was used in the development of UK-369,003, a selective PDE5 inhibitor. The Phase 2 program (2 studies) was complex with multiple endpoints to meet the objective of delivering proof of concept for male lower urinary tract symptoms. These endpoints included traditional assessment for overactive bladder (OAB), erectile dysfunction (ED) and benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). Traditionally, the joint analyses of the two Phase 2 studies would be used to inform the Phase 3 ‘go/no go' decision. However, this was not the first time Pfizer had investigated a NCE for the treatment of OAB, ED or BPH nor was it the first indication investigated for UK-369,003. In addition, there was much published literature giving study summaries of other such investigations. It was therefore logical to use these additional sources of information to help support any UK-369,003 Phase 3 decision. The aim of this presentation is to discuss how EQDD was successfully implemented and delivered on time for a more informed ‘go/no go' Phase 3 decision for UK-369,003. For brevity details will focus on the EQDD activities related to the treatment of BPH.

Methods: EQDD building blocks:

EQDD sub-team: Core to implementation and timely delivery of EQDD at Pfizer is the early formation of an EQDD sub-team. Consisting of at least one Clinician, Statistician, Pharmacometrian and Clinical Pharmacologist from the UK-369,003 study team (see Pfizer author list), the team met on a weekly basis to discuss and manage the EQDD strategy, responsibilities and timelines.

Decision criteria: Based on both regulatory and commercial profiles, quantitative decision metrics were developed for the UK-369,003 ‘go/no go' criteria.

Dataset creation: Patient-level internal datasets were produced by our internal programming group and specified external literature data was extracted by an outside vendor.

Restricted access repositories: Unblinded UK-369,003 datasets were developed and stored in restricted access folders (CDARS). All modeling and simulation activities were undertaken in our ePharmacology grid repository or by restricted access folders set-up by external consultants.

Modeling & simulation: A non-linear PK model and exposure/AE models were developed using internal data collected from 21 UK-369,003 Phase 1 and 2 studies2. Internal and external efficacy datasets were merged into a LIKE dataset and integrated using a model based meta-analysis. The efficacy response (IPSS) was described by a non-linear hierarchical random effects model and probability of technical success was predicted using simulation3,4.

Results: No clear decision could be made using just the data from the two Phase 2 studies. However, combining additional internal and external data with timely delivery of EQDD enabled a more informed ‘go/no go' decision. Although UK-369,003 would meet the regulatory guidelines for the treatment of BPH it was unlikely to meet the target commercial profile. As a result, further development of UK-369,003 was stopped.