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Fact or Fiction: Offseason analysis debate

A prospect’s roof is some-more critical than his building in evaluating potential.

JOHN SCHMEELK: Fiction – This is a good doubt that isn’t asked enough. Too many people usually demeanour during a prospect’s roof though looking during what a worst-case scenario, or what a building is for a player. Often times, a many critical initial doubt to ask about a actor is: What do we know that he can do with some high turn of certainty? Dalvin Tomlinson was a high building player. The group was sincerely certain he would be a unequivocally good run defender with a possibility he could rise pass rush skills. When we cruise a player’s floor, there’s a smaller possibility of drafting a finish bust, even if there is a somewhat smaller possibility we don’t get a superstar. A player’s building is positively a partial of a breeze analysis that isn’t talked about enough.

DAN SALOMONE: Fact – Especially when you’re articulate about a tip 5 breeze collect like a Giants have this year, franchises can't means to skip on a P-word. Potential is a trickiest partial of crew analysis in sports and is what creates a NFL Draft so fascinating. For a many part, we know what college players are going to be All-Stars in a NBA. In football, we could go from being a Heisman Trophy leader to usually anticipating to get drafted. That’s since what we know (i.e. a floor) is some-more important.

LANCE MEDOW: Fiction – The easy response here is “Fact” given a group eventually wants a awaiting to strech his ceiling, though raised a building rightly is some-more critical since that represents a misfortune box scenario. If your projections are off with a ceiling, it’s not a finish of a universe as that awaiting could still finish adult being a unequivocally prolific player. But if we make a mistake on a floor, it competence be formidable to deliver a collect or get anything in lapse after on. When we breeze a player, we have to cruise either we can live with that preference in a eventuality he ends adult closer to his building than his ceiling.

If we could acquire an All-Pro using behind or a Pro Bowl pass rusher, we would select a pass rusher.

JOHN SCHMEELK: – It Depends (Yes, I’m copping out): This is a installed doubt since we don’t know what turn of Pro Bowler a defensive finish is. If a defensive finish is a starter in a Pro Bowl any year — and not a third swap damage deputy — he is many some-more valuable. If you’re articulate about a 7-10 pouch defensive finish or Adrian Peterson, I’ll go with a using back. If we are articulate about a tip pass rusher like Khalil Mack, we will go with a pass rusher since there is distant some-more longevity during that position. Even a best using backs competence usually final 5 to 7 seasons, though a good defensive finish competence get to 10 to 12 years during a sincerely high level. Dave Gettleman pronounced there are 3 things a good group contingency do: run a ball, stop a run, and rush a passer. Drafting both an All-Pro using behind and a Pro Bowl defensive finish will accomplish that, though I’ll go with a finish since they will be during their rise turn for a longer duration of time.

DAN SALOMONE: Fiction – If a extraordinary box of Damon Harrison has taught us anything, it’s that Pro Bowl nods can be flattering suspect. The truly chosen players are All-Pros. I’ll make it simple. Would we rather have a Le’Veon Bell or a Melvin Ingram?

LANCE MEDOW: Fact – Although a NFL is a pass happy league, a using diversion is still intensely critical as it can cover adult other issues on offense and even strengthen your defense. With that being said, even if we breeze a destiny All-Pro using back, a prolongation of that actor is still contingent on a accumulation of factors, not a slightest of that is a play of a descent line, a lineup that will no doubt change over time. That’s not indispensably a box for a Pro Bowl pass rusher, who can still be disruptive notwithstanding other issues on defense. I’ll gaunt toward a actor that doesn’t have to rest on so many other parts.

Coming from a powerhouse college module is overrated for NFL prospects.

JOHN SCHMEELK: Fact – The form of module a actor comes from doesn’t matter scarcely as many as a foe he played against, a complement he played in, and a coaching he perceived during a college level. we would rather breeze an descent lineman from Iowa since they play in a large discussion in a pro complement and have been coached good than an descent lineman from a powerhouse like Oklahoma that runs a widespread complement and doesn’t ask their linemen to do things NFL teams will ask them to do.

DAN SALOMONE: Fiction – From Morehead State’s Phil Simms to Texas Southern’s Michael Strahan and Michigan’s Amani Toomer, we can find greats from non-powerhouse schools. Okay, that final one was a shot from a Buckeye to a Michigan Man. But seriously, players from a bigger schools do – and should – get a advantage of a doubt in many cases. They played a aloft turn of foe while contrast their eagerness on large stages in front of 100,000 people week in and week out. That creates a burst to a biggest theatre of all – a NFL – reduction overwhelming.

LANCE MEDOW: Fiction – Have many successful NFL players come from tiny college programs? Yes, though those players are still deliberate risks given a foe they face on a collegiate level. Coming from a powerhouse module doesn’t pledge we success, though it positively doesn’t harm your batch when it comes to a draft. Case in point, of a 32 initial turn picks in a 2017 Draft, usually dual were from schools outward a Power 5 conferences. From a scout’s perspective, it’s many easier to sign how a actor from a high-level college module will interpret to a NFL than a actor from a reduce turn of competition.

The NFC is some-more far-reaching open than a AFC in a remaining playoff field.

JOHN SCHMEELK: Fact – This is a easiest answer of a week. we consider everybody would be repelled if a Patriots don’t play in a AFC Championship diversion subsequent Sunday. The Steelers are also favorites, notwithstanding their detriment to a Jaguars in a unchanging season. The NFC, meanwhile, facilities a No. 1 seed in Philadelphia that is an loser to a Falcons. In a other NFC game, both a Saints and Vikings have picturesque paths to victory. The NFC is distant some-more wide-open. You didn’t ask, though I’ll give my prophecy anyway: Falcons over Eagles, Vikings over Saints. Steelers and Patriots accommodate in a AFC Championship Game.

DAN SALOMONE: Fact – I could speak about how we wouldn’t be astounded to see any of a 4 remaining teams in a NFC make it to a Super Bowl, though it unequivocally comes down to one thing. One discussion has a Patriots, and a other does not. Have a good weekend.

LANCE MEDOW: Fact – In a NFC, all 4 remaining teams won during slightest 10 games during a unchanging season, and we can simply make a box for any of a 4 to get to a Super Bowl. Even if we don’t wish to put many batch in Nick Foles or Case Keenum, both a Eagles and Vikings have clever run games and plain defenses. The same can be pronounced for Drew Brees and a Saints and Matt Ryan and a fortifying NFC champion Falcons, a lowest remaining seeds in both conferences. While a Patriots and Steelers are both clever contenders with maestro quarterbacks, a Titans and Jaguars have their satisfactory share of questions and not scarcely as many change as a 4 NFC teams.