Max Holloway $3.21 vs Conor McGregor $1.40- I love and hate this fight so much. I love what both of these fighters bring to the cage and what a matchup of the two of them represents. I hate that one of them is going to lose this fight. Either Holloway will be on an undeserved 2 fight losing streak (I picked Bermudez, but felt Max was robbed) or McGregor losses in his second UFC appearance and people jump all over his ‘hype’ train derailment. Both guys are excellent strikers with improving ground games. The major difference that I am keying on is that McGregor packs a greater knockout punch then Holloway. If you look at the Holloway/ Schilling fight, Max brutalized the inferior striker but could not put him away over the full 15 minutes. He did stop Lawrence, but that win was more typical of a knockout by damage accumulation type victory. Conversely, when McGregor starts to land on his opponents, like Marcus Brimage, he puts them away. He has 12 wins by knockout, with most coming inside the first or at the latest 2nd round meaning that most opponents can only endure so much of his striking onslaught. Holloway gets hit a lot and that’s when he has the reach advantage, but here he won’t which should allow McGregor to land with regularity. I am not as confident in McGregor at $1.40 as I am in Lauzon, but I still think he wins this fight. I would think that using Connor in your parlays is the way to go and maybe consider doubling him up with Lauzon or another decent paying favourite.

Michael Johnson/ Joe Lauzon Total Rounds Under 2.5- This is totally riding on the Lauzon submission, he should get it inside of 2 rounds. Play the Under.