Elizabeth Murphy is a hydrologist with the USGS. She co-authored the study.

Murphy says new data shows fertilized Asian carp eggs can incubate in waterways that are only 16 miles long. That’s a lot less than the 62 miles scientists thought the drifting eggs needed.

“That was a big surprise. If you’d asked me… I would’ve said ‘no I don’t think something could spawn and then hatch in that length of river.’ But it looks now from our study that it could,” Murphy said.

Murphy says the asian carp eggs could also survive in slower moving conditions than previously thought. Colder temperatures of rivers that empty into the Great Lakes would be a factor in the eggs’ survival. But Murphy says the research shows the eggs could survive given the right conditions.

She couldn’t say exactly how many rivers in the Great Lakes region could serve as spawning grounds for Asian Carp if they escape Chicago-area waterways. But she says it’s likely ten times the number experts had previously predicted.

She says it’s bad news for those responsible for making decisions about Asian Carp.

“They’re just going to have a lot more rivers where spawning can take place and it’s going to be a lot harder to control,” Murphy said.

“The U.S. Geological Survey is a science agency. So we put the science out there and we hope it helps people make more informed decisions in the future,” Murphy said.