WEBVTT
CANDIDATES ARE STUMPING FOR
LAST-MINUTE VOTES... AS WE HEAD
JASON: NINE DAYS AND COUNTING.
WHERE THE PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATES ARE STUMPING FOR
LAST-MINUTE VOTES AS WE HEAD
DOWN THE HOME STRETCH TOWARD THE
GENERAL ELECTION.
HELLO, AND WELCOME TO THIS
EDITION OF 11 TV HILL.
I'M JASON NEWTON.
A LITTLE MORE THAN A WEEK UNTIL
THE COUNTRY ELECTS A NEW
PRESIDENT.
AND BOTH PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATES, AND THEIR
SURROGATES, SPENT THE LAST WEEK
CRISSCROSSING THE COUNTRY.
FLORIDA, NORTH CAROLINA, OHIO,
AND PENNSYLVANIA.
THE CANDIDATES TAKING NO
CHANCES, HITTING EVERY CORNER OF
THE U.S. CONSIDERED A TOSS-UP.
DEMOCRAT HILLARY CLINTON
JOINED MASSACHUSETTS SENATOR
ELIZABETH WARREN FOR A RALLY IN
NEW HAMPSHIRE.
DONALD TRUMP SPENT MUCH OF LAST
WEEK IN FLORIDA WHERE THE
CANDIDATE MADE SEVERAL STOPS IN
THE SUNSHINE STATE.
HERE ARE SOME POLL NUMBERS FOR
YOU.
THE WASHINGTON POST AND ABC NEWS
RELEASED A NATIONAL POLL THIS
MORNING.
IT SHOWS HILLARY CLINTON WITH A
6-POINT LEAD, 48 TO 42.
THIS CAME OUT ON THURSDAY.
SHE HELD A 4-POINT LEAD IN THE
GROUP'S OCTOBER SURVEY
ANOTHER INTERESTING NUMBER OUT
OF THAT POLL, MORE THAN THREE IN
FOUR CLINTON AND TRUMP
SUPPORTERS SAY THEY ARE VERY
ANXIOUS AT THE THOUGHT OF THE
OTHER CANDIDATE BECOMING
PRESIDENT.
THE PHONE SURVEY INCLUDED A
LITTLE MORE THAN 1700 PEOPLE.
EARLY VOTING IS UNDERWAY HERE IN
MARYLAND.
VOTERS STARTED LINING UP ON
THURSDAY.
THOSE POLLS ARE OPEN DAILY FROM
8:00 A.M. UNTIL 8:00 P.M.
YOU CAN REGISTER AND CAST YOUR
VOTE ON THE SAME DAY.
YOU MUST UPDATE YOUR ADDRESS.
EARLY VOTING CONTINUES THROUGH
THIS THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 3.
REMEMBER, YOU HAVE TO VOTE IN
THE JURISDICTION WHERE YOU'RE
REGISTERED.
THE LIST OF POLLING PLACES CAN
BE FOUND ON OUR FREE WBAL-TV
APP.
JOINING US IS A PANEL OF
EXPERTS.
DR. MILEAH KROMER, POLLSTER AND
HUGHES CENTER DIRECTOR AT
GOUCHER COLLEGE.
DR. MAX HILAIRE, PROFESSOR AND
POLITICAL SCIENCE DEPARTMENT
CHAIR AT MORGAN STATE
UNIVERSITY.
DR. ROGER HARTLEY, DEAN OF THE
COLLEGE OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS AT
UNIVERSITY OF BALTIMORE.
YOU WERE HERE NOT THAT LONG AGO.
HOW HAVE THINGS CHANGED?
>> THINGS HAVE GOTTEN CERTAINLY
REALLY INTERESTING.
I THINK CLINTON HAS PU UP AN
ACTUAL MEASURABLE LEAD ON DONALD
TRUMP AND WHAT I THINK IS
INTERESTING TO LOOK FOR IS THE
IMPORTANCE OF CAMPAIGN
SURROGATES.
WHAT DONALD TRUMP HAS DONE
BECAUSE HE HAS BURNED A LOT OF
BRIDGES WITH THE REPUBLICAN
ESTABLISHMENT, HE DOES NOT HAVE
THE WIDESPREAD POWER THE
DEMOCRATIC PARTY DOES.
SHE CAN BE IN ALL DIFFERENT
SWING STATES AT ONCE AND THIS IS
A FUNDAMENTAL PROBLEM FOR THE
TRUMP CAMPAIGN.
JASON: WHAT DO Y THINK?
>> I AGREE, I THINK TRUMP WAS
BAD IN THE LAST TWO DEBATES.
THE ACCESS HOLLYWOOD TAPE TOOK A
TOLL ON HIS SUPPORT AMONG DESK
SUPPORT AMONG WOMEN WHICH HE
DESPERATELY NEEDS -- SUPPORT
AMONG WOMEN WHICH HE DESPERATELY
NEEDS TO WIN.
I THINK IT SAYS -- SENDS A BAD
MESSAGE ESPECIALLY OVERSEAS
WHERE WOMEN ARE BRUTALIZED.
TO HAVE A LEADER OF A POWERFUL
COUNTRY LIKE THE UNITED STATES
MAKE SUCH A STATEMENT I THINK
WILL GO DOWN VERY BAD FOR DONALD
TRUMP.
>> WHAT I WOULD ADD ON TOP OF
THAT IS GROUND GAME.
INCREDIBLE ORGANIZATION BY THE
CLINTON CAMPAIGN.
LACK OF SURROGATES FOR THE TRUMP
CAMPAIGN.
THERE ARE BIG, EARLY LEADS
COMING THROUGH IN STATES LIKE
NORTH CAROLINA WHICH ARE MUST
WINS FOR DONALD TRUMP.
THERE WAS SOMETHING LIKE A 20%
DIFFERENTIAL IN THE NUMBER OF
DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS WHO
HAD VOTED EARLY IN THAT TIGHT
BATTLE DOWN STRAIGHT --
BATTLEGROUND STATE.
THEN YOU HAVE ARIZONA AND
GEORGIA MAY BE IN PLAY AND EVEN
UTAH.
JASON: AS YOU TALK ABOUT THESE
NUMBERS, WE ARE RELYING ON
PEOPLE SAYING YES, I WILL VOTE
AND THIS IS HOW I WILL GO.
CAN WE RELY ON THAT?
BY AND LARGE POLLS DO A GREAT
JOB OF PREDICTING ELECTORAL
OUTCOME AND I'M NOT JUST SAYING
THAT.
I THINK THAT THESE ARE THE SAME
POLLS THAT THE TRUMP CAMPAIGN
PUT A LOT OF CREDENCE IN, AND
THEY ARE SHOWING THAT CLINTON
HAS A SUPERIOR GROUND GAME.
JASON: TALK TO ME ABOUT THE
CURRENT ADMINISTRATION.
WE TALKED ABOUT THE OBAMACARE
RELEASE AND JOB UNEMPLOYMENT
NUMBERS.
HOW MUCH IS THE CURRENT
ADMINISTRATION AFFECTING THIS
RACE?
>> I THINK THE PRESIDENT HAS A
GOOD PROBABILITY -- POPULARITY
RATING.
HE IS LEAVING AT A HIGH WE HAVE
NOT SEEN IN MANY DECADES, SO
REGARDLESS OF WHAT THE RESULTS
OF THE NEW FIGURES FOR THE
HEALTH-CARE LAW AND THE ECONOMY,
I STILL THINK WE ARE IN MUCH
BETTER SHAPE THAN WE WERE IN
2008 OR EVEN 2012.
HENCE I THINK IT IS A POSITIVE
FOR THE CLINTON CAMPAIGN.
JASON: SHOULD THE PRESIDENT STAY
OUT OF THE WAY?
IS HE HELPING?
PRESIDENTS ALWAYS GET IN THE
WAY WITH EITHER THEIR POPULARITY
OR LACK OF POPULARITY.
HE HAS BECOME AN INCREDIBLE
SURROGATE FOR THE CAMPAIGN.
AS NUMBERS THAT CAME OUT
RECENTLY ABOUT THE HEALTH CARE
PLAN GIVES THE REPUBLICANS A LOT
TO TALK ABOUT, NOT JUST AT THE
TOP WITH TRUMP BUT WITH THE DOWN
BALL RACES.
IT IS A WAY TO CHANGE THE
SUBJECT ABOUT DONALD TRUMP TO
SOMETHING THEY CARE DEEPLY ABOUT
AND THEIR BASE CARES DEEPLY
ABOUT.
DEMOCRATS HAVE A LOT TO SAY
ABOUT WHY THAT IS THE CASE.
I ALSO THINK IF THE
REPUBLICANS ARE GOING TO TALK
ABOUT OBAMACARE THEY NEED TO
COME UP WITH AN ALTERNATIVE.
IF YOU O INTO DEFUND IT OR
REPEAL IT YOU HAVE TO COME UP
WITH SOMETHING BECAUSE WE HAVE
HAD MILLIONS OF PEOPLE WHO DID
NOT HAVE HEALTH CARE INITIALLY
NOW REGISTERED, AND IF YOU WERE
TO TAKE AWAY THEIR HEALTH CARE,
WHAT DO YOU REPLACE IT WITH?
JASON: THE BARRIER FOR TRUMP,
FEMALE VOTERS AND THE BARRIER
FOR CLINTON IS TRUSTWORTHINESS.
AND THEY COMBAT THIS IN SO FEW
DAYS?
>> IF YOU LOOK AT THE CLINTON
GROUND CAMPAIGN YOU CAN SEE
WHERE SHE IS TARGETING.
SHE IS SENDING PEOPLE TO THE
PHILADELPHIA SUBURBS WHERE THERE
ARE COLLEGE EDUCATED, WHITE
WOMEN WHO WILL SOMETIMES BREAK
REPUBLICAN.
JASON: STAY WITH US.
WE HAVE MORE TO TALK ABOUT.
LET'S TALK ABOUT THE
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES AND
FOCUSING IN ON SOME
CONGRESSIONAL RACES AS WELL.
THIS AS BOTH PARTIES REALLOCATE
RESOURCES IN THE FIGHT FOR
CRUCIAL HOUSE AND SENATE SEATS.
HERE I MARYLAND, DEMOCRAT CHRIS
VAN HOLLEN AND REPUBLICAN KATHY
SZELIGA ARE VYING FOR THE SEAT
BEING VACATED BY RETIRING
SENATOR BARBARA MIKULSKI.
THE TWO SQUARED-OFF IN A DEBATE
LAST WEEK AT THE UNIVERSITY OF
BALTIMORE, AND KATE AMARA WAS
THERE.
KATE: IF YOU WATCH THE ENTIRE
DEBATE YOU WILL LIKELY COME AWAY
REALIZING JUST HOW MUCH COMMON
GROUND THESE TWO CANDIDATES
SHARE.
AND IT WAS EVIDENT, EVEN BEFORE
THIS DEBATE BEGAN.
>> VOTERS SHOULD HEAR FROM DR.
FLOWERS.
KATE: WEDNESDAY'S U.S. SENATE
DEBATE BROUGHT A FIRST, FOR
MANY SEASONED
POLITICAL-WATCHERS.
A CANDIDATE CRASHED THE STAGE.
>> WE SHOULD HAVE A FULL
DISCUSSION.
PEOPLE DO NOT KNOW WHAT THEIR
CHOICES ARE.
KATE: THE GREEN PARTY'S DR.
MARGARET FLOWERS, ESCORTED OUT
AFTER PLANTING HERSELF BETWEEN
THE PODIUMS.
>> CAN WE?
CAN WE OPEN THIS PODIUM FOR HER?
>> I WELCOME HAVING DR. FLOWERS
ON THE STAGE.
THESE ARE DECISIONS MADE BY THE
ORGANIZERS.
KATE: IT BECAME THE FIRST OF
MANY ISSUES DEMOCRAT CHRIS VAN
HOLLEN AND REPUBLICAN KATHY
SZELIGA AGREED ON ON THIS DAY.
THERE WAS ALSO THE ECONOMY,
EDUCATION, AND SYRIA.
>> NO, I WOULD NOT SUPPORT AT
THIS CURRENT TIME PUTTING OUR
MILITARY MEN AND WOMEN ON THE
GROUND.
I DON'T THINK THAT WE HAVE A
CLEAR MISSION.
>> I BELIEVE THAT PUTTING
AMERICAN GROUND COMBAT TROOPS IN
SYRIA WOULD BE A HUGE MISTAKE,
AND WOULD JUST MAKE MATTERS
WORSE.
KATE: BUT THERE WERE PLENTY OF
PARTISAN ELBOWS THROWN.
AFTER ALL, THIS IS A FEDERAL
CONTEST IN AN ELECTION YEAR
WHERE TOP-TIER-RACES, ACROSS T
COUNTRY, HAVE PROVEN WILDLY
CONTENTIOUS.
AND SO, WE SAW EXCHANGES LIKE
THIS.
>> I RESPECT A WOMAN'S RIGHT TO
CHOOSE, AND THE RIGHT TO
REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM.
AND SENATOR MIKULSKI I CAN
ASSURE YOU, WOULD NOT HA
SUPPORTED ME IF SHE DID NOT
THINK I WOULD BE CONTINUING THAT
FIGHT.
>> I CAN TELL YOU WHAT WOMEN
LOVE AND THAT'S WHEN PEOPLE
MANSPLAIN THINGS TO US, WHAT
WOMEN WANT AND WHAT WOMEN NEED.
MY OPPONENT IS SUPPORTING
PROBABLY THE MOST UNQUALIFIED
PERSON FOR PRESIDENT.
I AM SUPPORTING THE MOST
QUALIFIED PERSON WHO ACTUALLY
HAPPENS TO BE A WOMAN.
I THINK TEACHER AND NURSE ARE
GREAT CAREER OPTIONS BUT I ALSO
THINK WOMEN CAN BE ANYTHING.
WHAT A SHAME IT WOULD BE IF
MARYLAND DID NOT HAVE A WOMAN
REPRESENTING THEM IN WASHINGTON.
KATE: EXPECT THESE TWO
NARRATIVES UNTIL ELECTION DAY.
FOR VAN HOLLEN?
I'M THE GUY WHO CAN GET THE JOB
DONE.
FOR SZELIGA?
YOU CAN VOTE FOR A CAREER
POLITICIAN, OR YOU CAN VOTE FOR
ME.
FOR 11 TV HILL, I'M KATE AMARA.
JASON: TALK TO ME ABOUT THE
MOMENT FLOWERS COMES UP ON STAGE
AND DOES SHE HAVE A POINT,
HAVING ROOM FOR MORE CANDIDATES?
>> INCREDIBLE, AND IT WAS REALLY
EXCITING.
THE UNIVERSITY OF BALTIMORE
ABOVE ALL VALUES FREE SPEECH AND
THE EXCITEMENT OF DEMOCRACY AND
THAT IS EXACTLY WHAT OCCURRED AT
THE DEBATE.
THE ANSWER TO YOUR QUESTION IS
ABSOLUTELY YES, THERE ARE HUGE
DISADVANTAGE IS PLACED IN FRONT
OF THIRD-PARTY CANDIDATES.
BALLOT ACCESS LAWS AND PETITIONS
THAT HAVE TO BE GATHERED, TRYING
TO GET YOUR MESSAGE OUT WITH A
LACK OF MONEY, TRYING TO GET
BEYOND POLITICAL NETWORKS NOT
DESIGNED FOR YOU, AND THRESHOLDS
TO GET INTO A DEBATE.
THAT ONE WAS QUITE HIGH AT 15%
AND WE DID NOT HAVE ANY ABILITY
TO DO ANYTHING.
THE RULES WERE SET EARLIER ON
BUT IT WAS A PEACEFUL PROTEST.
DR. FLOWERS WAS COMPLETELY KIND
ON HER WAY OUT.
THE POLICE DID A WONDERFUL JOB,
AND I GOT PEOPLE TALKING.
JASON: IN A RACE LIKE THIS ONE,
IS IT SHAPING THE PRESIDENTIAL
BASE -- RACE?
>> I DO NOT THINK THE SENATE
RACE IN MARYLAND HAS THAT GREAT
AN IMPACT.
THIS IS A SAFE STATE.
THE DEMOCRATS WILL CARRY THE
STATE AND THAT IS
NOTWITHSTANDING THE FACT THAT WE
HAVE A REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR IN
THE STATE.
IT IS A HEAVILY BLUE STATE.
THE DEMOGRAPHICS AND MARYLAND
LEAN TOWARDS DEMOCRATS BECAUSE
THERE IS A SIZABLE
AFRICAN-AMERICAN AND HISPANIC
POPULATION IN THE STATE, AND A
SIZABLE WOMEN'S POPULATION AS
WELL.
JASON: IS THERE ANYTHING THAT
SHE CAN DO TO MAKE UP GROUND?
I THINK TO FIRST NOTE, WHEN
IT HAVE BEEN GREAT IF WE HAD
MORE DEBATES?
I THOUGHT KATHY SCHWAGER WAS A
PARTICULARLY GREAT DEBATER.
THE PROBLEM AGAIN, TALKING ABOUT
THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIO, IT
HAS CERTAINLY OVERSHADOWED OUR
SENATORIAL RACE AND I THINK NOT
A LOT OF PEOPLE GOT TO KNOW BOTH
OF THE CANDIDATES.
CHRIS VAN HOLLEN IS WELL-VERSED
IN POLICY ISSUES AND DEFINITELY
CAME ACROSS AS SOMEBODY WHO HAS
A FULL COMMAND OF A WIDE RANGE.
THE OVERSHADOWING OF THE
CAMPAIGN DID NOT GIVE MARYLAND
VOTERS AND ENOUGH OF AN
OPPORTUNITY TO LOOK AT THESE
LETTERS.
JASON: TYPICALLY THE DEMOCRATIC
CANDIDATE GOES IN CRUISE
CONTROL.
WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?
>> LOTS TO TALK ABOUT HERE
FRANKLY.
I ATTEMPTED TO TO THE POLLS
TODAY TO VOTE ON DAY ONE AND
THERE WERE LITERALLY HUNDREDS AT
THE COLD SPRING SITE.
I TRIED LIKE HECK TO GET THROUGH
THE LINE AND I BOLTED TO BE HERE
WITH YOU.
THERE WAS A HUGE PRESENCE OF
SHEILA DIXON.
THERE WERE PEOPLE GREETING
PEOPLE AND HUGE SIGNS IN THE
BACK.
HER SUPPORTERS ARE OUT AND
TRYING TO GET PEOPLE ACROSS.
I DO NOT KNOW WHAT GROUND GAMES
ARE LIKE BUT TYPICALLY I THINK
APRIL WAS TYPICALLY THOUGHT OF
AS THE END OF THE ELECTION.
PERHAPS THE DIXON VOTE -- FOLKS
ARE THINKING WHILE EVERYONE IS
NAPPING THEY CAN DO SOME HARD
WORK AT THE END.
I DO NOT THINK VOTERS ARE BEING
DETERRED AT ALL.
THAT IS JUST ONE POLLING PLACE
IN MARYLAND, HUNDREDS OF PEOPLE,