In the midst of sifting through the office desk mess, I happened upon the preseason SuperPrep magazine from 2008. That's just long enough for the top prospects to either pan out or flame out.

Speaking of which, Tate Forcier is on the cover.

For every Matt Barkley (rated No. 1) and Aaron Murray (No. 3), there's a Garrett Gilbert (No. 5, who transferred from Texas) and Tyrik Rollison (No. 12, who went from Auburn to Sam Houston State to off the grid).

The success rate for top recruits and their transition to the college level typically falls below the career average of a Shaquille O'Neal trip to the foul line. In this case of skill positions, this group has fallen well short of that mark.