Sunday, April 23, 2017

Trump would beat Hillary again in a rematch-and this time in both Electoral College and popular vote 43-40, per Washington Post ABC News Poll. Trump approval rating stands at 94% among his voters, 96% say they'd vote for him again, 62% say he's been better than expected-Washington Post, 4/23/17

(continuing): "And, in fact, it shows more buyer's remorse
for Trump's opponent in the 2016 election, Hillary Clinton. And were the
2016 election held again today, it shows Trump would avenge his
popular-vote loss.

That 15 percent is split between those
who say they would vote for Trump (2 percent), Gary Johnson (4 percent),
Jill Stein (2 percent), and either other candidates or not vote (7
percent).

It's not hugely surprising that the losing candidate in an election
would see this kind of drop-off. People don't like voting for losers,
and if you look closely at polls after an election, some voters won't
even admit to having cast their ballots for the losing candidate. The winning margin for the victor is generally exaggerated.But
against the backdrop of stories about how Trump hasn't deliveredwhat
his supporters thought he would, it's notable how much his backers are
sticking by their candidate, relative to his opponent. There is
basically no real defection to the one candidate who could have
delivered a different result.

That's
not disillusioned Trump supporters; that's quite the opposite. And we
have yet to see a poll that suggests there are a bunch of disgruntled
Trump voters out there, stewing over their decision to install a reality
show star as president."