FFigure 9.15: Simple model
results: Temperature changes from (a) 1990 to 2030 and from (b) 1990 to 2100 for
the six illustrative SRES scenarios and IS92a. The bottom axis indicates the AOGCM
to which the simple model is tuned. For comparison results are also shown for
the SAR version of the simple climate model using SAR forcing with some of the
IS92 scenarios (see Kattenberg et al., 1996). IS92a H/M/L refers to the IS92a
scenario with climate sensitivity of 1.5, 2.5 and 4.5°C respectively. Also
shown are the IS92e scenario with a sensitivity of 4.5°C and the IS92c scenario
with a sensitivity of 1.5°C.