About The Good Judgment Project™The Good Judgment Project™GJP_63f8c01d-cef4-11e3-b344-20690ef76435The Good Judgment research team is based in the University of Pennsylvania and the University of California Berkeley. The project is led by psychologists Philip Tetlock, author of the award-winning Expert Political Judgment, Barbara Mellers, an expert on judgment and decision-making, and Don Moore, an expert on overconfidence. Other team members are experts in psychology, economics, statistics, computer science and interface design.University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of California BerkeleyPhilip Tetlockauthor of the award-winning Expert Political JudgmentBarbara Mellersan expert on judgment and decision-makingDon Moorean expert on overconfidenceGJP ResearchersPavel AtanasovU. of Pennsylvania Jon BaronU. of Pennsylvania David BudescuFordham University Eva ChenU. of PennsylvaniaKathryn Cochranindependent consultantJason DanaYale UniversityRichard HerrmannOhio State UniversityMichael HorowitzU. of PennsylvaniaYuan HouU. of PennsylvaniaRob MacCounUC BerkeleyEd MerkleU. of MissouriTerry MurrayUC BerkeleyScott PageU. of MichiganDrazen PrelecMITPhil SchrodtIndependent ConsultantDavid ScottRice UniversityEmile Servan-SchreiberLumenogicMark Steyvers, UC IrvineSam SwiftUC BerkeleyElizabeth R. TenneyUC BerkeleyJay Ulfelderindependent consultantLyle UngarU. of PennsylvaniaTom WallstenU. of Maryland - College ParkMichael WardDuke UniversityGJP AdvisorsScott ArmstrongU. of PennsylvaniaAaron BrownAQRRobert JervisColumbia UniversityDanny KahnemanPrinceton UniversityHoward KunreutherU. of PennsylvaniaMichael MauboussinCredit SuisseCarl SpetzlerStrategic Decisions GroupNassim TalebNYU Polytechnic InstituteJustin WolfersU. of MichiganGJP PartnersDavid Wayrynen Systems Consulting IncInkling MarketsLumenogic, LLCIARPAWe are participating in the Aggregative Contingent Estimation (ACE) Program, sponsored by IARPA (the U.S. Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity). The ACE Program aims "to dramatically enhance the accuracy, precision, and timeliness of forecasts for a broad range of event types, through the development of advanced techniques that elicit, weight, and combine the judgments of many intelligence analysts." The project is unclassified: our results will be published in traditional scholarly and scientific journals, and will be available to the general public.Intelligence AnalystsGood judgments_63f8c01e-cef4-11e3-b344-20690ef76435To enhance the accuracy, precision, and timeliness of forecasts for a broad range of event types_63f8c01f-cef4-11e3-b344-20690ef76435JudgmentsDevelop advanced techniques to elicit, weight, and combine the judgments of many intelligence analysts_63f8c020-cef4-11e3-b344-20690ef76435_63f8c021-cef4-11e3-b344-20690ef764352014-04-28http://www.goodjudgmentproject.com/about_project.htmlOwenAmburOwen.Ambur@verizon.net