Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 7, 2013):

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In what may be the only real disagreement this season between the Cancellation Bear's Renew/Cancel Index and Robert's Bubble Watch, the bear is once again moving his Beauty & The Beast prediction back to "likely to be renewed".

Three reasons why the bear's making the move. Beauty & The Beastratings relative to other CW scripted shows continue to hold in the 90%+ range which is typically signals "likely to be renewed" (retentionistas may begin their howling now). As noted in previous weeks, the CW has never begun a 10 hour Fall schedule without at least six hours of "veteran" scripted shows, and canceling Beauty & The Beastwould leave them with just five. Finally, Beauty & The Beast is the only 100% CBS produced show currently on the CW schedule that's able to be renewed (Hart Of Dixie is CBS&WB). Although he doesn't have historical records to back it up, bear guesses that joint venture quid pro quo is likely to carry at least a little decision making weight.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old" Fall predictions in the table.

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

why would CW move Arrow and SPN to Friday at all let alone in favour of leaving the low rated HOD and should be cancelled Carrie Diaries on the much more favourable Tuesday? More realistic on your shedule would be for HOD and Carrie to be dumped on Friday.

Based on the shows you have in your shedule I see this as the most realist outcome

I honestly dont see The Carrie Diaries being renewed but on the off chance that it is I would think it would be a mid season replacement again with only a short order again.

Abigail

My predictions for next schedule

Monday
8pm: Company Town
9pm: Hart of Dixie

Tuesday
8pm: Oxygen
9pm: Supernatural

Wednesday
8pm: Arrow
9pm: The Tomorrow People

Thursday
8pm: The Vampire Diaries
9pm: The Originals

Friday
8pm: Nikita
9pm: Beauty and the Beast

Mid-season:
The Hundred

Colin

You would think CBS would air new seasons on The CW since CBS half owns the network, it’ll help draw more viewers.

Colin

You would think CBS would show new shows coming to The CW during CBS commercial breaks so The CW would draw more viewers since CBS owns half.

Beth

Yoo Who !!! It looks like we might have done it. GO Beasties! Much love to Jay ryan and Kristen Kurek I hope the bear is right and we get another season with you guys can’t think about thursday nights with out you.
Thanks CW.

person

@ voices

TVD and Arrow are NOT being syndicated on WGN America. The Tribune Broadcasting Company, which owns several CW affiliates but not the actual CW network, owns WGN America and can accordingly broadcast marathons of TVD and Arrow. WGN America has not purchased these episodes and is not syndicating them.

TVD and Arrow can and likely will be sold in syndication to other cable networks such as TNT, which has bought and syndicated episodes of Supernatural.

Anonymous Fangirl

Oh my god! I’m so happy right now to see those 4 smiley faces on BATB, right now. The cw can not just let a show into my heart and just cut it off, they just can’t. I really hope the show gets renewed for a second season…or third… or sixth. I’m kind of sad The Carrie Diaries has an unlikely chance but, if that’s the sacrifice that has to be made to keep BATB running, then I’m willing to accept that. I’m a beastie all the way and I’m sorry Carrie Diaries.

Also, YES! Arrow’s renewed!…and… NO! No more Emily Owens : (

Bliss

@ hades

The reason I had supernatural and arrow on fridays is because they are strong shows and since they paired well together this year I thought that possibility might continue. Besides I believe that Supernatural will do the same thing Smallville did. Smallville’s last two seasons were on fridays. The writers are planning on there being a season 10 and have gotten the actors to sign on for a season 10 assuming the ratings are good. I think that season 10 will occur and be the final season. I think that after supernatural ends, Arrow might find a new night. But since they have high ratings, they can work on fridays and I don’t think that the ratings would change.

Die!CWDie!

After perusing some of the comments here, I’m so glad I no longer watch anything on the CW.

Granny’s pod

I love Beauty&the Beast, Arrow and Nikita !!!! The characters show compassion, intelligence and strength of character!!!

Rebecca Hindle

sorry folks I shall be pissed if BATB gets renewed they should never of cancelled TSC had better ratings and was 3 highest ratings.

If BATB gets renewed it will be because Pedowitz likes it or not not on ratings you got to hope he likes it ratings are irelevant to him this is why CW have problems

I only watched TVD, Arrow the only really good shows CW have.
seen a episode of Nikkita out of interest its pretty good so i want that to be renewed thats it.

Renew Nikkita get rid of rest.

Ember

Nikita will be renewed for a final season. it’s gonna annoy me so much if batb gets renewed

biggestBATBever!:)

WHOOP WHOOP WHOOP!!!! WIN I CAN NOT EXPALIN MY EXCITMENT!!!:D SOOO EXCITED! IT DESERVES ANOTHER SEASON SO MUCH!!!!! MY FAVORITE SHOW ON TV!…..and for people who dont like it dont watch it, that simple. i dont get why you are so pathetic that you hate on a show when no one is telling you you have to watch it… stupid that yall are taking time out of your short lives to look it up/ then go to the trouble to actuaaly post a comment on how much you hate it. dumb. just plain dumb.

biggestBATBever!:)

@jacobrates

uhhh you dont know what your talking about i check the ratings after every episode and they are almost always risen from the week before if not the same but most of the time higher then before so whoever told they havent lied or your just mentally challenged.

Dusk

Beauty and The Beast or as i call it Guy with Scar on face with Lana Lang, is a big waste of time. Meanwhile Carrie Diaries gets canned although it’s ratings are WAY higher that Nikita. CW you’re just DUMB!!!! Do yourselves a favor and just give up because you guys are already failures. Oh, BRING BACK THE SECRET CIRCLE!!!