Monday, November 24, 2014

Hello happy streamers, we had a pretty good week 12 for
defenses.We still have two games to
play tonight thanks to Mother Nature, but only the Bills hold any interest to
streamers, and they were highly owned last week.Here’s the outcome sans the Bills outcome:

Week 12

Team

Projected

Actual

Colts

14

17

Chiefs

10

6

Packers

10

8

Chargers

10

17

Average

11

12

AVG of all teams

10

AVG of high % 0wned

9.9

AVG of Recommended
high % owned

13.5

AVG of Sits high %
Owned

3.3

As you can see with the results, we had some winners in the
Colts and Chargers, and a couple of so-so calls.But even the Chiefs and Packers performed
better than the highly owned recommended sits of the Broncos, Lions, and Dolphins
who averaged only 3.3 points this week.So at the very least you should listen to the recommendations on
sits.The recommended starts of the
highly owned teams averaged 13.5, a pretty good week for them, with the Eagles
still playing highly effective defense and 20 points.The recommended streamers averaged 12 points,
which was higher than the overall Defs average.So, a good week for you streamers, especially if you picked the Colts or
Chargers.

Here’s this week’s analysis and recommendations…

Player

Pts

Avg

% Owned

Opp

Comment

Seahawks

106

9.6

93%

@SF

4th best start of highly owned, even on the road, starting to
get their swagger back

49ers

126

11.5

92%

SEA

Tough matchup, but 49ers averaging almost 14 points in last 3
games so you have to start them.

Eagles

165

15

89%

@DAL

5th best start of highly owned, expect a tough DEF effort
against the vulnerable Boys

Cardinals

139

12.6

87%

@ATL

6th best start of highly owned with upside against terrible ATL

Bills

126

12.6

87%

CLE

The Browns don't give up points easily, but the Bills are tough
at home, so you start them, but temper expectations

Chiefs

104

9.5

85%

DEN

Don't start against high offensive team

Patriots

129

11.7

84%

@GB

Don't start against high offensive team

Texans

128

11.6

82%

TEN

3rd best start of highly owned, against a rookie QB

Lions

127

11.5

78%

CHI

2nd best start of highly owned, CHI gives up too many pts to
DEFs

Packers

138

12.5

75%

NE

Don't start against high offensive team

Broncos

101

9.2

73%

@KC

Tough matchup against a team that doesn't give up points easily,
temper expectations

Colts

113

10.3

71%

WAS

1st best start of highly owned, expect some sacks and turnovers,
WAS is a mess

Dolphins

138

12.5

63%

@NYJ

1st best stream against a generous Jets off, Mia regains its DEF
swagger

Giants

75

6.8

9%

@JAC

2nd best stream against the generous Jags.

Rams

96

8.7

42%

OAK

3rd best stream, Rams are showing a little of last year’s form
on DEF

Bengals

88

8

52%

@TB

I don't trust the Bengals Def lately, especially on the road,
don't buy the recommendation.

The highly owned teams have some good matchups, with six
being recommended highly.There are two
matchups where you should not expect high returns, and there are three you should not
start at all.So to make up for those
three teams we are recommending some new streamers.

The Dolphins are pretty highly owned but should be available
since they were dropped against the Packers.They have a good matchup against the lowly Jets one of our favorite
targets for Def points.I think the
Dolphins regain a little of their earlier magic and get 14 points this week.

Welcome to the club, Giants.They draw the number one target this week, and even though they haven’t
played stellar Def lately, they will shine against the haphazard Jags, expect
12 points.

The Raiders are getting better on offense lately as
exhibited by their upset over KC in week 12.But STL is also getting good numbers on defense and keep getting a key
play or two a game even against good teams, like the Broncos.You can expect a respectable 12 points this
week.

There you have it, Dolphins, Giants, and Rams, for those of
you that don’t own some of the top six matchups this week.

2 comments:

Ha! That's all me (Sara) - just trying to mess with all of my opponents, right?! That sounds like a good excuse for my brain lapse. I updated all my references to Week 12...sorry about that and thanks for the heads up, Joe!

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So why Fantasy Football Librarian? I have been playing fantasy football now for 12 years. I'm also a librarian at a museum in New York City (though my family and I now live in Knoxville, Tennessee) and I love to research stuff. What could be better than combining my love for football and research? So in September 2006, I launched FFLibrarian to try and create one place for fantasy football fans to find the info they need to succeed in their leagues.
From 2007-2013, I conducted an accuracy analysis of the experts' rankings with support from the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, and have written columns for The New York Times' Fifth Down blog and the Bruno Boys.
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