Wednesday, October 26, 2016

New AP/GfK Polls Shows Hillary Clinton With 14 Point Lead

The Associated Press is reporting results of a new national Associated Press-GfK poll giving Democrat Hillary Clinton a huge lead over Republican Donald Trump.

Overall, the poll shows Clinton leading Trump nationally by a staggering 14 percentage points among likely voters, 51-37. While that is one of her largest margins among recent national surveys, most show the former secretary of state with a substantial national lead over the billionaire businessman.

The AP-GfK poll finds that Clinton has secured the support of 90 percent of likely Democratic voters, and also has the backing of 15 percent of more moderate Republicans. Just 79 percent of all Republicans surveyed say they are voting for their party's nominee.

With voting already underway in 37 states, Trump's opportunities to overtake Clinton are quickly evaporating — and voters appear to know it. The AP-GfK poll found that 74 percent of likely voters believe Clinton will win, up from 63 percent in September.

To be fair and to show you how widely these things can swing, a new Fox News poll shows Clinton only THREE points ahead of Trump - 44% / 41% respectively.

So, it's wise to take all these polls with a grain of salt. I suggest looking at an averaging of good polls like you get at FiveThirtyEight.