Hit rate by predicted match outcome until matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

Predicted victory of home team: 119 out of 190 / 63%Predicted victory of away team: 40 out of 78 / 51%Predicted draw: 27 out of 112 / 24%

Hit rate by table positions in the Primera Division 2015/16 from matchday 2 to matchday 38 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):

For teams within the table positions 1-6: 126 out of 222 / 57%For teams within the table positions 7-14: 138 out of 296 / 47%For teams within the table positions 15-20: 96 out of 222 / 43%

Hit rate for the exact match result until matchday 38: 40 out of 380 / 11%.For 173 out of 380 matches (46%) we missed the exact match result by just 1 single goal.Sum (perfect forecast + missed by just 1 goal): 213 out of 380 matches (56%).

Opposite result (prediction of a victory of team A, but team B wins – or vice versa): 44 out of 380 matches (12%). Less is better!

Hit rate by weekday until matchday 38 of the Primera Division 2015/16 (“by chance” would be ø ~33%):