Friday, June 17, 2011

Neven has headed out on vacation just when the Arctic sea ice extent is getting interesting. It is taking a dive, the Northern Route is about half way open, the main channel in the Northwest Passage is emptying and the next week or so should tell the tale

11 comments:

With sun spots disappearing, the ice melts faster and June gets hot has H during ENSO neutral. Year-to-date rankings have gone from 17th warmest year in January, 2011 to 12th warmest year January to through May, 2011.

With all these indications of global cooling, I can see AGW is slipping away all righty.

Neven got back from vacation a day or so ago, Eli, and is posting away.

I have to disagree strongly about the next week telling the tale (of how the rest of the year will go, I assume you mean). Notwithstanding how primed things the ice is, favorable weather conditions (the Beaufort gyre in operation and reduced cloudiness) will be needed for anything amazing to happen.

Don't forget to check Uni Bremen's extent rate graph either, Eli (featured on the Arctic sea ice graphs page). It has just dipped below 2010 - which had quite a big rate of decrease - for the first time and if it stays that way...

Main area of focus now - for me - is Nares Strait and its amazing ice plug. I will start doing animations on the NWP in a couple of days I think.

And Nares Strait remains blocked. Neither of these make a significant difference to the central pack, which is where the action is (and which is looking very flaky indeed this year). It's going to be an interesting season.

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Eli Rabett

Eli Rabett is a not quite failed professorial techno-bunny, a chair election from retirement, at a wanna be research university that has a lot to be proud of but has swallowed the Kool-Aid. The students are naive but great and the administrators vary day-to-day between homicidal and delusional. His colleagues are smart, but they have a curious inability to see the holes that they dig for themselves. Prof. Rabett is thankful that they occasionally heed his pointing out the implications of the various enthusiasms that rattle around the department and school. Ms. Rabett is thankful that Prof. Rabett occasionally heeds her pointing out that he is nuts.