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I realize Bradford is out but its more about Sea being in a bad spot. STL is 6-0-1ATS at home vs teams with winning records. Sea is playing back to back road games so I look for them to be a little flat. I believe Kellen Clemons is starting for the Rams and is nothing to brag about but I feel the Rams do enough to keep it within 10.

NCAA

TEMPLE +14

I think the line is inflated for whatever reason but TEMPLE covered vs Cin on the road 2 weeks ago and beat ARMY at home last week. Cin is better than SMU so I think TEMPLE can keep it close. SMU has not beat any opponent at home by more than 1. Unless I am missing a major injury for TEMPLE I'm a little puzzled on the large line. After looking more into this game I believe the large line is due to SMU air attack and Temple's suspect secondary. SMU gives up a lot of points per game so if it becomes a shoot out I think Temple can still cover two touchdowns.

How far are you going back on the St. Louis stat of being 6-0-1 against the spread at home versus teams with winning records? They've only played 3 games at home this year.

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I pulled the stat off covers so I didn't back test it. I would assume it dates back to last season and the stat should read 6-0-1 ATS at home vs teams with winnng road records. These stats are not the reason I like this play but they sweeten my pick.

Wilson also had a horrible game last year in St.Louis throwing 3 INT's...I know it's past tense but it sweetens my pick. I just think the line is a bit high even with the injuries.

I realize Bradford is out but its more about Sea being in a bad spot. STL is 6-0-1ATS at home vs teams with winning records. Sea is playing back to back road games so I look for them to be a little flat. I believe Kellen Clemons is starting for the Rams and is nothing to brag about but I feel the Rams do enough to keep it within 10.

NCAA

TEMPLE +12.5

I think the line is inflated for whatever reason but TEMPLE covered vs Cin on the road 2 weeks ago and beat ARMY at home last week. Cin is better than SMU so I think TEMPLE can keep it close. SMU has not beat any opponent at home by more than 1. Unless I am missing a major injury for TEMPLE I'm a little puzzled on the large line.

I'm not saying bet or don't bet STL but if you're basing your wager upon some stat, SF went into StL and blew them out and SF had a winning record at the tme.

edit- SF did not have a winning record at the time they were 1-2

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My play isn't based on this stat. It only supports my pick. I look for teams in bad spots vs teams in good spots. Last week was the colts and Hou in college that were in good spots. This week is STL and TEMP.

I pulled the stat off covers so I didn't back test it. I would assume it dates back to last season and the stat should read 6-0-1 ATS at home vs teams with winnng road records. These stats are not the reason I like this play but they sweeten my pick.

Wilson also had a horrible game last year in St.Louis throwing 3 INT's...I know it's past tense but it sweetens my pick. I just think the line is a bit high even with the injuries.

Do you like Sea?

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Seattle also lost to the Cardinals last year against John Skelton and Kevin Kolb in Week 1 so if you're taking last year into account Seattle probably shouldn't have covered last week when they were down in Arizona.

In all seriousness though, Seattle will most likely win this game, it's just a matter of if they'll cover. Okung and Giacomini still being out worries me as Russell has been under a lot of pressure this season already. I doubt Percy will be back for the game even though he did start practicing yesterday. I have a feeling that we're going to be running the ball a lot against a Rams defense that is 30th in rushing yards allowed. On the offensive side, the Rams are 29th in rushing yards going against a Seattle defense that is very, very stingy against the run. Combine that with an opportunistic secondary that is second in the league in interceptions going against a backup QB in Kellen Clemens and I just don't see the Rams being able to keep it close.

If I had to bet the game I would probably go with Seattle, final score of 27-13.

Also, for the Rams fans out there...what the hell is going on with Tavon Austin? I figured I'd hear more from him this year.

Tavon Austin had an 75 yard TD catch from Bradford called back last week because of a tripping call on LT Jake Long.. I agree they need to get him the ball... but he has also had some drops this year as well.

Tavon Austin had an 75 yard TD catch from Bradford called back last week because of a tripping call on LT Jake Long.. I agree they need to get him the ball... but he has also had some drops this year as well.

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Yeah, I seen that. Didn't he also have a KO or punt return for a TD called back earlier this year? Fun player to watch.

I've thought a little about the Seattle/St Louis game and I think I would have to side with Seattle minus the points. They are in a dog fight right now for home field advantage so I don't see them letting up if they get on top.

I have a feeling that we're going to be running the ball a lot against a Rams defense that is 30th in rushing yards allowed. On the offensive side, the Rams are 29th in rushing yards going against a Seattle defense that is very, very stingy against the run.

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Wrong and wrong. Seattle couldn't run the ball and STL pounded the ball against the Seahawks.

I must be a soothsayer because our line was AWFUL tonight. Our O-Line got used and Russell got abused because of it.

Wrong and wrong. Seattle couldn't run the ball and STL pounded the ball against the Seahawks.

This was the only thing that I was really right about as Irvin and Sherman both had interceptions.

I hope nobody listened to me!

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A couple of winners including a parlay. Sea looked flatter than a pancake as I predicted. 1 yard gained in the 1st quarter! Wow! If Clemons didn't throw the 2 INT's and the missed FG, STL had a shot at the upset.

Sea is still an awesome team that will go deep in the playoffs but they were just in a bad spot this week. B2B road games and 4th road game in 5.