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NBA Picks

NBA Picks: Tuesday Night Value Plays

Tuesday brings us three NBA Playoff matchups, and I am seeing some great NBA betting value based off of the current lines. With playoff games well underway, who should we back tonight with our free picks?

Bucks vs. Heat

Game 1
saw the Bucks play valiantly for about three quarters, but the Heat were too
much and for too long this past Sunday evening, and now the Heat come into Game
2 as -14 favorites with a total of 197. As tempted as I am to take the points
with the Bucks here, I’m seeing a lot more value on the total which is set at a
manageable 197.

The Heat
don’t need to exert themselves on the defensive end to beat Milwaukee. They are
saving themselves for later runs. However I also think the Bucks will be able
to score more than 87 points in Game 2, leading me to think the over is where
we need to go with our NBA picks.

The
under is trending with these two teams and has cashed in the last four games or
three of the last four depending on the book.
The Heat should hit 110 or more in Game 2 once again, and I have a
sneaking suspicion that the Bucks will be able to score tonight as well. The
Bucks scored over 100 points twice against Miami in the regular season.

My NBA Pick: OVER 197

[gameodds]5/226782/43/us[/gameodds]

Nuggets vs. Warriors

After a
thrilling Game 1, these two are back at one another on Tuesday evening. The NBA
Odds have the Nuggets favored by -8 with a total of 207 points. Once again, I
am really tempted to take points with the Warriors here, but the injury to
David Lee will be too much to overcome for the young Warriors.

Instead
I’m siding with the total again in this one, and I’m once again going over. The
over has cashed in three of the last five times these two have played one
another, and even though Saturday was a low scoring game, I think they bounce
back and each top 100 points.

Neither
one of these teams play an ounce of defense, and with the loss of David Lee,
the Nuggets should get even more opportunities to get fast break and easy
baskets. Andrew Bogut is unreliable as a post scorer right now and that means there
will be even more threes hurled up by Golden State. This is going to lead to
long rebounds and fast break points by the Denver.

I have two free picks on offer for this game, as I believe that both the total and the spread hold solid value. Along
with siding with the over in this game, I am going to lay the points with the
Nuggets for a slight lean bet. David Lee’s absence will not only put the
Warriors in a bind on offense but on defense as well. Even though he isn’t a
great personal defender, he does take up space and grab a ton of rebounds,
which now Golden State will have to get from unproven sources. I think Denver
wins this one by ten to twelve points in this one, as well as adding plenty of
points to cash the over.