According to the most recent Des Moines Register poll, Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton in Iowa by 7 points, 46% to 39%. This is usually an accurate and trusted poll in Iowa. In 2008Obama won Iowa 54% – 45% and in 2012 Obama won it 52% to 46%.; however, it would seem by all indications that Donald Trump has flipped Iowa red.

Donald Trump has surged to a 7-point lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton among Iowa voters, firmly establishing the Republican presidential nominee as the favorite to win the state’s six electoral votes on Tuesday.

Trump is the top choice for 46 percent of Iowans who have already cast a ballot or plan to do so on Election Day, according to the latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, compared to 39 percent who say they’re for Clinton.

That makes the state Trump’s to lose, political analyst Amy Walter said.

Trump leads among several key demographic groups, including men, self-identified independents, young and middle-aged voters and those without a college degree.

Forty-one percent of independents support Trump, compared to 34 percent who back Clinton. Trump likewise leads by 5 percentage points — 43 to 38 — among voters under 35.