Population Projections

A population projection is a forecast of future population growth. BC Stats applies the Component/Cohort-Survival method to project the population. This method "grows" the population from the latest base year estimate by forecasting births, deaths and migration by age. These forecasts are based on past trends modified to account for possible future changes and, consequently, should be viewed as only one possible scenario of future population.

B.C. level projections are usually updated in January or February each year, with sub-provincial projections following a few months after. All population estimates and projections are as of July 1st.

Custom detailed regional population projections by age and gender are available for purchase. For details please contact the demographic analysis section @ 250-216-2291.