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Is GLD Really As Good As Gold?

Gold bars in Fort Knox, many chose the GLD ETF as an alternative to physical gold - reddogreport.com

In 2004, the launch of the SPDR Gold Trust exchange-traded fund, under ticker symbol GLD, leveled the playing field of gold investing by allowing for a less expensive option than buying the physical metal. Ever since, many have come to equate GLD with actually owning gold, but the reality is a bit more nuanced.

GLD has grown to become the second-largest exchange-traded fund by assets, valued at $72.4 billion and backed by 40.8 million ounces of physical gold. The subject of much fascination, GLD has also been targeted by skeptics who question the ETF’s secretive methods and even doubt it holds all the gold in HSBC’s vault in London. Jason Toussaint, the managing director and principal executive officer of World Gold Trust Services, spoke to Forbes and sought to dispel rumors by explaining how GLD works.

Since GLD debuted on Nov. 12, 2004, it has risen more than 280% to over $170 a share. “The whole thesis [behind GLD] was creating an efficient market for gold trading,” explained Toussaint. The price discovery mechanism wasn’t working effectively: storage, insurance, and transport costs and logistics problems prevented efficient markets. “The analog [to GLD] is that to buy one share of GE I don’t have to go to their sales guy, I press a button on my computer and I own it,” Toussaint said.

Investors, then, are drawn to GLD because it allows them to “own” physical metal. Suzanne Hutchins, for example, Newton’s investment manager for global funds and head of their real return investment team (which is part of BNY Mellon), said they like gold as an inflation hedge in the face of currency debasement. She sees GLD as one of the ways to gain exposure to the yellow metal and likes it because it is physically backed. She told Forbes her team’s been to the vault and seen the actual bars.

But how does GLD work? It’s actually a lot more complicated than simply allowing investors to “own” gold. GLD is a trust, sponsored by the World Gold Council (through World Gold Trust Services), which oversees the performance of the trustee, which is Bank of New York Mellon (note Hutchins works for the trustee).

The trust seeks to reflect the price performance of gold bullion by holding gold bars and issuing shares backed by their holdings of physical metal. The gold bars are held in HSBC’s vault in London, and shares are sold in baskets of 100,000. The ETF is marketed by State Street. Where most investors are confused about GLD, though, is about redemption.

Even though GLD is “physically backed,” ordinary investors can’t just go to London and redeem their bullion. Only “authorized participants” are allowed to create or redeem shares. Authorized participants are registered broker-dealers or other securities market participants which have entered into agreements with the trustee and sponsor (these include major Wall Street names like Citi, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, and Merrill Lynch-Bank of America, among others), allowing them to deposit either gold or shares in exchange for the other at unallocated accounts until the operation is completed.

Regular shareholders have no rights of redemption and the gold is not required to be insured by the Trust, which is not liable for loss, damage, theft, nor fraud. Shares are bought in the open market, only after Authorized Participants decide to place or sell them. Therefore a retail investors doesn’t actually “own” gold, but an asset that is backed by gold and represents a certain quantity of the yellow metal.

Skeptics have raised doubts over the trust’s management of its physical gold, with questions over how much is actually held. HSBC, the custodian, is very secretive regarding its vault. Earlier this year, CNBC’s Bob Pisani was allowed to see the vault only after surrendering his cell phone and taken in a van with blacked out windows to an undisclosed location. Once in the vault, Pisani held up a gold bar and explained they were all numbered and registered. Astutely, ZeroHedge noted the bar Pisani held up was missing from the current bar list, fueling further speculation and skepticism.

Toussaint defends GLD by noting they are regulated by the SEC. “We are filing 10-Qs [quarterly reports with the SEC], on a regular basis,” he said, then added “I also think the world’s largest hedge fund managers take their due diligence seriously,” referring to investments in GLD by world-renowned hedge fund managers like John Paulson and George Soros, among others.

Another major criticism of GLD, which pertains to the whole ETF industry, is that it distorts prices in underlying markets by offering “on-demand liquidity to investors while they are in some cases based on much less liquid underlying assets,” according to a report by the Financial Stability Board.

“GLD has professionalized gold investment and positioned gold within the menu of viable asset classes,” responds Toussaint. “Gold ETFs have expanded the investor base and the overall market,” explained Toussaint, “but they still represent less than 10% of total demand for gold, I don’t think it has affected price in the market.”

Global gold markets are now “extremely price effective” and “hugely diversified,” as the market feeds on several sources of demand, not just speculative investment demand. Not only is gold a financial asset, it is also decorative, which becomes all the more important as discretionary incomes rise in India, China, and elsewhere in the developing world, where physical demand runs rampant. “How many people buy a convertible bond and wear it around their neck, or use a stock certificate as adornment? There is no other asset class like gold,” says Toussaint. Central bank diversification, another major source of demand, has taken a new role as central banks become net buyers of the yellow metal, according to a study by the World Gold Council.

It is difficult to pin down the exact reasons behind gold’s 10-year bull run, but the reality is that interest in gold is as old as money itself. Be it an inflation hedge, a bet on an alternate monetary asset, or a move into a safe haven, GLD is one of the most popular ways to gain exposure to the yellow metal.

Owning GLD is clearly not the same as owning physical gold, it just serves different purposes. GLD allows investors to play the physical metal without facing the underlying costs and logistical problems, but it doesn’t entitle one to an actual amount of gold. GLD helped make the market more democratic, to a certain extent, but also injected liquidity, thus fueling further price volatility. No matter what Toussaint or anyone else says, there will always be skeptics, but as long as gold maintains its trajectory, GLD will continue to thrive.

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If there is skeptism about GLD, what are the alternatives, other than direct ownership of the bars? Are other Gold ETFs or closed end funds equally as vulnerable? What about Sprott or Central Fund of Canada or IAU?

“Has anyone tried contacting State Street Global Advisors (the manager of GLD) and asking if their underlying physical assets are insured? I contacted them at 866-320-4053 to ask if the physical gold bars are insured but they just side stepped the question and said HSBC bank has “some sort” of insurance on their holdings. They won’t say directly that the GLD physical gold bars are insured but yet they also won’t say they are not insured too.

One other question that SSgA dodged was when I asked them when they plan to readjust the GLD price to reflect the actual amount of physical gold in the HSBC vault. They sell off a portion of the physical gold to pay off expenses so as time goes on, the GLD price becomes less and less accurate in tracking the actual gold price.

With all this lack of transparency, one has to wonder why not just own physical gold yourself? At the very least you would stay away from GLD’s hemorrhaging storage fees.”

They are pretending to have insurance when they really didn’t properly insure their physical gold. Not only do they dodge the question over the phone but they even avoid a direct answer in their FAQ here: http://www.spdrgoldshares.com/sites/us/faqs

There aren’t many ways for investors to verify the underlying assets in GLD for security reasons which is understandable. This, however, increases the danger of fraud. As we’ve all seen from the rogue UBS ETF trader to MF Global bankruptcy, fraud unfortunately comes up far too often in this line of business. The danger GLD faces is without the extra line of credibility – insurance.

As Gerald Celente said after the MF Global Heist: the GOLD IS NOT THERE. As he and other individuals and companies who bought precious metals contracts discovered after the so-called “trustee” companies nullified their contracts and in effect stealing any profits they would have received if they either re-sold them or redeemed the physical Gold. Celente said he had already scheduled a delivery date.

There probably is some gold in those glistening vaults, but like Timeshare Companies Selling the same Timeshare over and over again, calculating (and hoping) everyone won’t want to rent THAT particular one at once, how does the public know these Global Banks aren’t just backing up various “Gold” paper over and over again across different products, exchanges, markets and countries? You can’t walk up to a gold bar and ask it if it’s already spoken for! It would be interesting to see how much Tungsten is in those vaults.

Many people are highly suspicious of banking instruments these days, and for demonstrated reasons.

And there’s a lack of transparency in market funds that allows firms to suck off ridiculous fees, despite the investor’s individual strategy. When the market was supposedly delivering 40% returns on the energy sector a few years back, you were lucky to see 10% from your Fidelity account.

Gold is harder to game; it’s a consistently desirable commodity…but maybe that’s no longer the case.

Gold seems to have moved in reaction to different fundamental reasons as of late, making it difficult to pinpoint what exactly is driving investors. Gold has rallied as a safe haven asset, but it has also fallen hard after bad news coming out of Europe (acting more like a risk asset). I like to say gold has a dual nature, much like light which in physics is seen both as a wave and as a particle.

Yes,you are correct about some mining techniques being despicable.Others are not as destructive.I look forward to the day that a miniscule piece of gold can purchase a car.The most successful mine in America right now is leased to a Canadian company for a few dollars with the help of a lobbyist.It is on public land so they pay no royalties.

Perhaps some mining is not so bad, but any buying of gold functions as a vote for the worst abuses because it increases the demand that encourages all gold mining. And unlike coal, or other environment destroys, gold has no socially redeeming features. It doesn’t keep people warm or conduct electricity…it just sits in a vault doing nobody any real good. Effort put into gold acquisition is effort that is robbed from more worthwhile pursuits.