The subjectivist interpretation of probability and the problem of individualisation in forensic science

Details

The subjectivist interpretation of probability and the problem of individualisation in forensic science

Journal

Science & Justice

Author(s)

BiedermannA., GarbolinoP., TaroniF.

ISSN

1355-0306

Publication state

Published

Issued date

06/2013

Peer-reviewed

Oui

Volume

53

Number

2

Pages

192-200

Language

english

Abstract

This paper presents and discusses further aspects of the subjectivist interpretation of probability (also known as the 'personalist' view of probabilities) as initiated in earlier forensic and legal literature. It shows that operational devices to elicit subjective probabilities - in particular the so-called scoring rules - provide additional arguments in support of the standpoint according to which categorical claims of forensic individualisation do not follow from a formal analysis under that view of probability theory.