Also needed to request access to Google Docs. I'm gonna go for broke here. Don't have the bankroll as you guys. Might just bet $55 per 1st half or maybe $100. Haven't decided yet. Let's hope we make some monster cash. Just need to stick with the system.

i did this last year but a little different. and that is my plan this year. at least for first round. i do first half under and full game over on each game. i hit 6 on friday last week. i noticed last year the first round i killed it then it came back to earth so its great for thursday and friday but trend carefully on sat and sun.

Man that's a lot of games to be betting on. I used this theory before but I only bet on the televised games and made a good profit on it. The only difference between your theory and the one I used was if 1h didn't go under u double up 2h on the under

Ok, gents. This is what I am going to do. Every game starting TUES all the way thru the national championship I am betting UNDER in the first half and OVER in the 2nd half. The UNDER on the 1st half will always be for $500. The OVER bet for the 2nd half will vary on the outcome of the 1st half.

1st half UNDER for $500....

if it wins I will bet 2H OVER for 200.

if it pushes or loses I will bet 2H OVER for 750.

Reasoning: Teams come out nervous obviously, and need to feel out the other team cause in most tourney games they are not familiar with the opponent.

2nd half most of the time, has alot more scoring as nerves are gone, halftime adjustments, and ofcourse, the foul shots at the end in a semi-close game.

Will post picks on here throughout. You may tail or fade, doesnt matter to me. But made a nice chunk of change doing this for the conference tourney games.

Either way, best of luck to all and enjoy the madness.

You started out with this post, saying that tournament teams start out tight. The issue with that is, a hand full of posts later, you are checking to see how the theory would have worked last year. You used a faulty scheme to measure the halftime totals. 1st half and 2nd half lines do not hold true to the game total numbers. There is always a ball park of where a line will open but half totals don't always follow it dead on.

Now you are on track with the right idea though. You are just getting there in the worst way possible. Taking 1H unders on every game is just a waste of time and more importantly money. Let's say your faulty lines were spot on for both halves, you are only going 21-13 in the 1st round of the tourney. Each win may have been a basket going in or out, too many losses and plays for a system. The best system is the under 1H, bet 2H over. Your faulty numbers say it went 10-3. So it goes from a 61% system play for 1st halves to 76% system play for 2nd halves. The real money is in the 2nd halves. I run a system where if the 1st half total goes under by 12+ points, I automatically take the 2H over. It hits throughout the season around 72%.

If you want to make the most money and bet smart, you do not bet with a shot in the dark that these games will play to the under across the board. 61% has no value. The value is betting up the 2H at 76%.

So like I said before, your numbers and lines mean nothing since they weren't true lines. At the same time, you were on the right track.

Dajal10 I agree with what you say about the 2 nd 1/2 being a better bet. But my question is the 12 point difference .....If the game total is around 120 like the Bama game or around 160 like the Oakland game. I would think a certain % would work better!! Have you seen a tread .......if a lower total cashs more. Thanks for bringing up a good angle and GL on your games.

You started out with this post, saying that tournament teams start out tight. The issue with that is, a hand full of posts later, you are checking to see how the theory would have worked last year. You used a faulty scheme to measure the halftime totals. 1st half and 2nd half lines do not hold true to the game total numbers. There is always a ball park of where a line will open but half totals don't always follow it dead on.

Now you are on track with the right idea though. You are just getting there in the worst way possible. Taking 1H unders on every game is just a waste of time and more importantly money. Let's say your faulty lines were spot on for both halves, you are only going 21-13 in the 1st round of the tourney. Each win may have been a basket going in or out, too many losses and plays for a system. The best system is the under 1H, bet 2H over. Your faulty numbers say it went 10-3. So it goes from a 61% system play for 1st halves to 76% system play for 2nd halves. The real money is in the 2nd halves. I run a system where if the 1st half total goes under by 12+ points, I automatically take the 2H over. It hits throughout the season around 72%.

If you want to make the most money and bet smart, you do not bet with a shot in the dark that these games will play to the under across the board. 61% has no value. The value is betting up the 2H at 76%.

So like I said before, your numbers and lines mean nothing since they weren't true lines. At the same time, you were on the right track.

Dajal10 I agree with what you say about the 2 nd 1/2 being a better bet. But my question is the 12 point difference .....If the game total is around 120 like the Bama game or around 160 like the Oakland game. I would think a certain % would work better!! Have you seen a tread .......if a lower total cashs more. Thanks for bringing up a good angle and GL on your games.

There has been really no discernible difference at all. I was surprised since I went into it thinking that the larger game lines (145+) that had low 1st half totals, would have been the best bet. My thinking was that Vegas is usually right based on pace and that the overall total would correct itself with a bigger 2nd half. Surprise, surprise. Still in the 70-75% range.

I use this system throughout the whole season. When it comes to the tourney, I am not sure how I will play it yet. (I have held off using it the past 3 years in the tournaments.) I will probably do a cold run this year and work out the right formula then back test it on the past 5 years.

Thanks D 10 I could be looking at it wrong but..... Using your angle so far tonight you would be 1-0 a winner on Flor. St. Correct me if I'm wrong but if u played that so far......100%. Good start give us a final # if I would

Thanks D 10 I could be looking at it wrong but..... Using your angle so far tonight you would be 1-0 a winner on Flor. St. Correct me if I'm wrong but if u played that so far......100%. Good start give us a final # if I would

Yes sir...1-0 on the night.

I am going to cap the tournaments at a 10-point difference. Meaning if the 1H goes UNDER by double digits, I will be doing the 2H OVER. I am decreasing the number since these games are do or die for their season. I expect most teams to play through the end for the most part, so the ends of 2nd halves should have decent fouling. I will be starting a thread for this system.

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