As you look at this poll, there are two very important factors to take into account. First, Hillary has spent millions of dollars on ads attacking Trump while he hasn’t yet spent a cent. Second, these numbers don’t reflect the bump Donald Trump can expect from the Republican convention.

In other words, these numbers should frighten Hillary Clinton’s campaign and supporters.

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are virtually tied in the polls as the Republican National Convention convenes in Cleveland this week. Clinton now just barely edges out Trump in a direct head-to-head match-up, 46 percent to 45 percent. This is slightly down from the 3-point lead she held in last week’s tracking poll numbers.

The contest is also competitive in a four-way general election scenario between Clinton (39 percent), Trump (40 percent), Libertarian Gary Johnson (10 percent) and Green Party candidate Jill Stein (5 percent). These results are according to the latest from the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll conducted online from July 11 through July 17, 2016 among 9,353 adults who say they are registered to vote.

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