Map of the Decade

Scenario framework for 2030

For one of our clients in the global infrastructure industry that wished to look a couple of decades into the future we used scenario planning methodologies to create a framework to support their strategic thinking.

Below is a highly simplified framework derived from that project.

SCENARIO FRAMEWORK FOR THE WORLD IN 2030

A traditional scenario process identifies two dimensions to uncertainty, that when combined produce a matrix of four scenarios. Once the framework is created, the full richness of trends and uncertainties uncovered in the research process are integrated into the scenarios. Here the two dimensions selected are: