Climate Prediction Task Force

Mission

The Climate Prediction Task Force is an initiative of NOAA's MAPP Program to achieve significant new advances in current capabilities to understand and predict intra-seasonal to inter-annual (ISI) climate variability. The Task force brings together MAPP-funded scientists from universities, research laboratories, and NOAA centers and labs. It is envisioned that MAPP Climate Prediction Task Force research objectives will contribute to efforts to advance NOAA's ISI climate prediction capability and to further quantify the limit of predictability. The Task Force includes investigators from the NMME Experiment, a NOAA-led interagency/multi-institution research project in the framework of MAPP-NCEP Climate Test Bed activities, as well as other MAPP investigators with research projects to advance ISI predictions based on dynamical/statistical methodologies. The Task Force will coordinate with other relevant national and international research efforts working on ISI climate prediction (e.g. WCRP/WGSIP activities).

Start date is September 1st 2012 and duration of this group activity is 3 years.

News & Events

The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Prediction, and Projections (MAPP) program hosted a webinar on the topic of Seasonal Prediction: Achievements and New Frontiers on Wednesday, October 29, 2014. The announcement is provided below; you are invited to remotely join the session.

The Virtual Workshop on "Bias Corrections in Subseasonal to Interannual Predictions" organized by the Climate Prediction Task Force (CPTF) took place from September 30 - October 2, 2014. The main goals of this Virtual Workshop were to review current practices and challenges in bias correcting sub-seasonal to interannual predictions and to foster new strategies particularly for non-stationary prediction systems. Click here to view all of the presentations and WebEx recordings.

The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Prediction, and Projections (MAPP) and Earth System Science (ESS) programs will host a webinar on the topic of climate extremes and efforts to better understand and predict them on Tuesday, April 8. During this webinar, speakers will touch on tropical cyclones, tornadoes, and drought, focusing on improved scientific understanding of these phenomena and their variability in a climate context as well as efforts to better simulate and predict them on various time scales. This work is directly relevant to the NOAA Societal Challenge “Reducing the Nation’s Vulnerability to Extreme Weather and Climate.” The announcement is provided below; you are invited to remotely join the session.

The NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Prediction, and Projections (MAPP) program will host a webinar on the topic of climate predictability and predictions on Tuesday, March 18. During this webinar, speakers will discuss the National Multi Model Ensemble, other subseasonal to seasonal prediction efforts, and predictability of Asian Summer monsoon precipitation. This work is relevant to ongoing activities of the NOAA Climate Prediction Task Force, which will also be discussed.

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The Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program's mission is to enhance the Nation's capability to understand and predict natural variability and changes in Earth's climate system. The MAPP Program supports development of advanced climate modeling technologies to improve simulation of climate variability, prediction of future climate variations from weeks to decades, and projection of long-term future climate conditions. To achieve its mission, the MAPP Program supports research focused on the coupling, integration, and application of Earth system models and analyses across NOAA, among partner agencies, and with the external research community.