Reasoning: It’s not like me to eat chalk like this so I will lay that extra run with the far superior team and take my chances. Mike Pelfrey at times can be very good but if you want to see a cheap price that is the Rangers here.

Matt Harrison has been really good this season and I mean really good. The lefthander has also now pitched at Arlington a bunch and is used to this hitter’s paradise unlike Pelfrey who certainly is in for it a little bit more here in this park than at spacious Citi Field. The New York righthander has been a fairly feast or famine type guy throughout his career and I can see the latter rear its head today in this spot.

Jose Reyes is a star and the Mets have been alright this season but David Wright and Ike Davis are still banged up and all in all the New Yorkers really shouldn’t be able to bang away and match the runs production of guys like Hamilton, Young, Kinsler, Cruz and Beltre. Texas always has the potential to put up a crooked number and I just don’t see the extremely mediocre Mets doing enough against Harrison in order to keep pace

Laying that run and a half with a home team is definitely scary, I readily admit that and don’t do it all that often, but at home I am all about a very good hurler in Harrison and the much better Rangers.

Top expert pick on this game: A very sound win from Matt Rivers on the 300,000* Cardinals in yesterday’s lone play. I am now up 5.7 million* over the past 3 ½ months and will increase that number today with a pair of winners as I raise that bar and smack around the Crookie. 400,000* Monster Value Dog of the Year plus a 200,000* winner from US Cellular between the Nationals and White Sox. I absolutely love this dog and will sweep the board yet again! Click now to purchase

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a comp pick Thursday is on the Minnesota Twins (+154) to San Francisco.

Reasoning: There is no doubt in my mind that Tim Lincecum is more than due to be lights out in one of these starts as the former Cy Young award winner is too good to be as bad as he has been at times. With that said though it’s not like this Giant offense without Buster Posey is exactly the 1917 Yankees. Lincecum may be really good and get little support in a tight low scoring defeat. Bruce Bochy’s club has started to struggle a lot of late and unless their pitching is phenomenal they are going to be in trouble pretty much every night out.

Ron Gardenhire’s Twins have played great now for about a month. The first few months to the season were horrific as this team somehow lost almost every single game. But I said then and I will continue to say how the Twinkies are a playoff type team that didn’t just all of a sudden lose it overnight. Morneau and Mauer have been injured but one has pretty much been in the mix throughout and guys like Young, Span, Cuddyer and Casilla have helped this organization get to the playoffs a bunch recently.

Things aren’t going to come easy today as I do think Lincecum looks better tonight but Brian Duensing is a solid enough lefthander who should be just fine against the punch and judy Giants and in the end to get a quality takeback like this is definitely with a shot.

For more information: Nothing too crazy today but I will put a dent in the man’s face and get fully back on track today. 300,000* Phillies-Cardinals. Chris Carpenter is 1-7, is that an aberration or is there a reason for it as he drops to 1-8 without Albert? I know, do you? Click now to purchase

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free winner and it is on the Minnesota Twins (+138) to San Francisco.

Reasoning: This isn’t an easy game traveling across the country and playing under National League rules but Carl Pavano has been in this league for years and with the way Minnesota has picked things of late up I’ll take a stab on the surging Ron Gardenhire’s. Plus Gardy and the Twins are as National League as an American League team could ever be so things shouldn’t be all that foreign here.

The defending World Series champion Giants are in first place and are a team that is dangerous thanks once again to their phenomenal pitching. Madison Bumgarner proved last season that he is a young and talented lefthander who can get the job done. The southpaw has been very good once again as the low 3’s era proves but the Giants’ offense is not good without Buster Posey and therefore the kid is an unbelievable 3-8 despite being great at times.

Bruce Bochy’s club just doesn’t hit the ball that much. Even with their great catcher healthy they are somewhat offensively challenged and now without such a key cog are lacking in a big-time way. Therefore to trust this team when laying some money doesn’t feel right.

The Twins had the horrific first few months to the season. I’m still not sure how this franchise lost as much as it did in that time but the last month has been much improved and right now with Joe Mauer back to go along with Young, Cuddyer, Span and a few others the Twins are once again a quality enough club.

Pavano has been a lights out innings eating beast of late and against such a weak lineup should be just that one more time. I’m sure the pitching will be ahead of the hitting in this thing and it’ll come down to that one swing of the bat or one bounce of the ball.

3-1 Twins in the end!

For more information: Yup, that’s right. Normally I like to back those undervalued pups but today I have spotted and isolated a chalk that is of tremendous value and something that cannot be passed up on that run-line, just cannot. One play is all you need as I continue beating up on the man. One 400,000* run-line Game of the Year resulting in a five run burial, bang! Click now to purchase

OffshoreInsiders.com says that two familiar faces, Florida State and Virginia Tech are the divisional favorites in the Atlantic Coast Conference Atlantic and Coastal divisions. Miami though is also among the ACC Championship favorites.

Rot

To Win ACC Atlantic Division

Moneyline

301

Boston College

+800

302

Clemson

+500

303

Florida State

-300

304

Maryland

+350

305

North Carolina State

+1000

306

Wake Forest

+5000

Winner is team that goes to conference Championship Game.

Rot

To Win ACC Coastal Division

Moneyline

307

Duke

+5000

308

Georgia Tech

+1200

309

Miami

+150

310

North Carolina

+200

311

Virginia

+1200

312

Virginia Tech

+100

Winner is team that goes to conference Championship Game.

Stevie Vincent is the former Executive Editor of the scorephone Tailgate Parties, which were the reports every gambler flocked to in the pre-Internet days. A pro gambler since 1993, his picks went public in 2007. He is the founder of groundbreaking forensic sports handicapping.

It’s become an every year statement. Vegas oddsmakers have Florida and Alabama the favorites to play in the SEC Championship game with the Georgia Bulldogs the most likely spoiler.

Here are the odds to win the SEC West and SEC East divisions:

Rot

To Win SEC East Division

Moneyline

363

Florida

+125

364

Georgia

+175

365

Kentucky

+2000

366

South Carolina

+250

367

Tennessee

+650

368

Vanderbilt

+7500

Winner is team that goes to conference Championship Game.

Rot

To Win SEC West Division

Moneyline

369

Alabama

-150

370

Arkansas

+500

371

Auburn

+1000

372

LSU

+200

373

Mississippi

+1500

374

Mississippi State

+650

Rest assured for those bettors who only purchase Stevie Vincent when he has Level 5 plays, you are doing yourself a gross disservice. Flat out his Level 2, 3 and 4 plays always have and always will win at a much higher rate than Game of the Month or Game of the Year plays elsewhere. He is part of OffshoreInsiders.com

Oklahoma and Alabama top the BCS Championship odds 2011. Also of note, Florida State at (+900) appears to be back in the national championship picture according to the top college football picks website OffshoreInsiders.com.

NFL draftnicks and Heisman watchers alike seem to agree that Stanford’s Andrew Luck is the top player in the country. He tops Denard Robinson as the 2011 Heisman Trophy odds favorite according to OffshoreInsiders.com

Rot

To Win

Moneyline

201

Andrew Luck

+225

202

Denard Robinson

+500

203

Marcus Lattimore

+500

204

LaMichael James

+600

205

Landry Jones

+500

206

Justin Blackmon

+1000

207

Ryan Broyles

+1200

208

Trent Richardson

+1200

209

Knile Davis

+1600

210

Robert Griffen III

+1600

211

Chris Polk

+2000

212

Brandon Weeden

+2500

213

Case Keenum

+2500

214

Michael Floyd

+2500

215

Darron Thomas

+3000

216

Nick Foles

+3000

217

Kirk Cousins

+3500

218

Matt Barkley

+3500

219

Aaron Murray

+5000

220

Danny O’Brien

+6000

221

Greg Reid

+7500

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Reasoning: The only reason why I am not making this a paid play is because Anibal Sanchez can be really really good at times. With that said though the Marlins have played beyond atrocious baseball of late and I’ll therefore back a stud in Jered Weaver and what is right now clearly the better overall team Anaheim.

Certainly the Angels are not the team they used to be and in the end should be around that .500 mark but the way Florida has performed over the past month is as bad as they could ever come. The fish went from two games out of first place to the cellar in about the quickest I have ever seen a team perform such a feat. They have lost 18 of their last 19 games and just watched their manager Edwin Rodriguez throw his hands up and give in. This team has talent with Stanton, Ramirez, Sanchez and Morrison but they are right now a total dead team.

The Marlins bats have not done much and today face a guy in Weaver who is lights out a lot of the time against 9 regular hitters. Now throw in a pitcher hitting and I’m sure Weaver will be very very good, if not great. Sanchez has the stuff to match Weaver but in the end the fish have been floundering and it’s asking a lot to see a 180 today against a potential Cy Young award winner.

Anaheim isn’t great but Kendrick, Abreu, Trumbo, Wells and Hunter are professional hitters who combined with a horse on the mound should be too good in the end.

For more information: The real Matt Rivers has had 64 of the last 106 days have been winning, as in 64 winning days vs. 42 losing ones netting a grand total of 6.9 million* of profit. I’m “Raising that Bar” today with a major 400,000* underdog release of which I have hit six of the last eight along with a bonus winner. A pair of dogs in all led by that 400,000* and a bonus 200,000*. Feeling great and ready to bash that Crookie upside his head one more time. Trust me, you want in! Click now to purchase

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has an MLB free pick for Father’s Day on the Kansas City Royals (+175) to St. Louis.

Reasoning: Why not back the pesky Royals here? Sure Jaime Garcia at home has been beyond belief and is a legitimate stud lefthander that could dominate anybody when on but Tony LaRussa’s Cardinals have not been very good of late and at this price I’ll back the semi capable Royals. Matt Holliday did hit that eighth inning home run last night but take that away and St. Louis would literally still be winless over the last few weeks. Things are still not fully right and I can see them falling flat once again today.

Obviously Kansas City isn’t a good team just yet but they have a few players that are alright. Both Butler and Gordon are very good major leaguers and the kids that have recently been brought up in Hosmer and Moustakas could be special. Of course when push comes to shove the Redbirds at home with Pujols, Holliday and Berkman are clearly the superior team that is going farther in the end but things have not been very good of late and at this price I’m alright with young Danny Dufffy and the visitors.

It’s definitely asking a lot here as we are well behind the eight ball in most categories from the get go, including the all important starting pitching, but Garcia is overdue to give up some runs at Busch as he can’t possibly keep up this pace and with the recent shoddy play I’ll grab this number and fade the still struggling Cardinals.

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OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has free pick Saturday is on the Red Sox (-1.5 +115) on the runline to Milwaukee.

Reasoning: Randy Wolf has been very good, especially in that last start against the Cubs and the Brewers are a dangerous and hard-hitting club that can bash away. With that said though the Red Sox have been ungodly of late and with a stud in Jon Lester on the bump I just don’t give Milwaukee much of a chance today.

Wolf is an experienced veteran who has been there and done that. The lefty could hold his own but he is up against a ferocious lineup that just keeps on destroying pitcher after pitcher and I can’t help but back Terry Francona’s sizzling squad today at Fenway Park assuming that nothing changes. Gonzalez is the MVP to this point and Crawford, Pedroia, Ortiz, Youkilis and Ellsbury form by far the best offense in the game today and to be honest it’s not even all that close. Take out that horrific first week to the season and Boston would be heads and shoulders above everybody else. Plus the Sox have gotten next to nothing out of two key starters in Lackey and Dice-k.

Lester is a stud that can hurl a complete game shutout anytime he takes the mound. The guy has beaten Cancer and won pressure packed World Series clinching games so I have no qualms whatsoever about him here against very good hitters, if not great, in Braun, Fielder and Weeks. Milwaukee always has a chance to put up a crooked number or two with their bashers but in the end I still see this game as a mismatch and the way the Sox have been rolling I’ll continue to ride that train here.

For more information: A 2-1 winning Friday and I’ve now won 63 of the last 104 days for a ridiculously high quality 6.4 million* of profit. Both the Red Sox and Rangers turned the trick with ease yesterday and a pair of plays today. Another major 400,000* involving the Rangers and Braves plus a 200,000* Phillies and Mariners. 2-0? You bet your arse! Click now to purchase