DraftKings NFL Football: Week 1 Quarterback Salary Analysis

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I understand the NFL season is still 3 weeks away, but I couldn’t help it.

Analyzing fantasy sports is what I do. And when I see DraftKings already with a slew of fantasy NFL contests to join with player salaries posted, well, I get a little giddy.

So we’re going to take an early look at some of those salaries, break them down, analyze them and see what we like and don’t like.

We’ll get started with the quarterbacks. I didn’t list every single starter below, but did most of them. And I certainly got the top QBs in this. But let’s be honest, I don’t think any of us are going to be using Brian Hoyer or the Bills or Browns eventual starter in Week 1. Sorry, Johnny Football. Maybe they’ll make me eat my words.

Bookmark our fantasy football rankings 2015 page to keep up-to-date on the latest projections and rankings heading into the season.

Keep reading for a breakdown and analysis of DraftKings’ Week 1 quarterback salaries:

Aaron Rodgers, Packers: at Bears, $8,600 — The biggest drawback to Rodgers is the Jordy Nelson injury. Those two absolutely destroyed the Bears in 2014, but without Nelson, you really shouldn’t be plunking down this much for Rodgers when we don’t know if anyone is going to step up.

Andrew Luck, Colts: at Bills, $8,300 — Luck was the highest-scoring DraftKings QB last year at 23.7 fantasy points per contest. Buffalo, though, allowed the fewest passing TDs and now with Rex Ryan in the fold, expect them to be even stingier. I’m avoiding Luck in Week 1.

Peyton Manning, Broncos: vs. Ravens, $8,200 — Baltimore doesn’t have the pass defense it used to, but Manning is a year older. Still, though; Manning at home in 2014: 21 TDs vs. 4 interceptions. He’s on my short-list for Week 1.

Drew Brees, Saints: at Cardinals, $8,000 — Drew Brees lost all-world tight end Jimmy Graham and receiver Kenny Stills, leaving the veteran QB with a relatively unknown and unproven cast. While Arizona struggled vs. the pass in 2014, giving Brees the nod in Week 1 might be a bit premature with his newbie receiving corps. That could come back to bite me.

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Russell Wilson, Seahawks: at Rams, $7,800 — Wilson had his best (43.12 points) and worst (9.26) fantasy games vs. the Rams in 2014. The Seahawks added Jimmy Graham in the offseason and Wilson did average the 3rd-most fantasy points among all QBs last year (21.9), but that Rams defense is on the rise. I’m leaning elsewhere Week 1.

Cam Newton, Panthers: at Jaguars, $7,600 — Now that stud WR Kelvin Benjamin is out, I’m not going with Newton. Certainly not in Week 1. Even against the Jags.

Matt Ryan, Falcons: vs. Eagles, $7,500 — The Eagles had one of the worst pass defenses in the league in 2014, but they will have 2 new starting cornerbacks this year. Still, at $7,500 we should be taking a long look at Ryan, who averaged 300 yards passing and nearly 2 TDs per game at home. The Ryan/Julio Jones combo is intriguing for Week 1.

Eli Manning, Giants: at Cowboys, $7,400 — I’ve been thinking of using Eli for weeks now. Good value price, against a team he has been crushing (12 TDs vs. Dallas in the past 2 seasons) and his best receiving corps probably ever. Manning the younger is the early favorite to get the Week 1 nod.

Ryan Tannehill, Dolphins: at Redskins, $7,400 — Tannehill has a revamped (better, also) receiving corp and is facing a Redskins team which gave up 35 TD passes in 2014. Washington added 2 new safeties, but Dashon Goldson and the unproven Jeron Johnson aren’t really going to scare opposing QBs. Tannehill is definitely in the mix for Week 1 honors.

Tony Romo, Cowboys: vs. Giants, $7,300 — Romo is coming off his best season and routinely torches the Giants (21 TD passes in the past 8 games). Great price, too. Thinking hard about ordering a Romo-Dez Bryant combo for Week 1.

Philip Rivers, Chargers: vs. Lions, $7,100 — The price is nice, but without TE Antonio Gates (suspension), I don’t think it’s a wise decision to use Rivers, even though he started last season with a bang. There just seems to be better options for Week 1.

Matthew Stafford, Lions: at Chargers, $7,000 — Same can be said for Stafford, although it shouldn’t be. With Calvin Johnson, Golden Tate and Eric Ebron, you’d think Stafford would be a viable candidate every week. Unfortunately, Stafford seems to be regressing. Look elsewhere in Week 1, but keep a close eye to see if he rounds into early career form.

Colin Kaepernick, 49ers: vs. Vikings, $7,000 — From a fantasy-perspective, and I guess also in real life, Kaepernick was wildly inconsistent in 2014. He lost Michael Crabtree and gained Torrey Smith. That’s likely not vaulting him into must-start status.

Read More From Heavy

Fantasy Football Rankings 2015: Top 5 Sleepers Quarterbacks

$6,900 & Below

Honestly, there probably aren’t many viable options from this price range, but I did find a potential gem or two. If you go all out with your salary cap on your receivers and running backs, though, you’ll need to find a bargain quarterback. Some in this range could include:

Sam Bradford, Eagles: at Falcons, $6,900 — The Chip Kelly offense worked wonders for Nick Foles, now Bradford gets his shot to put up some big numbers. And he’ll be doing so at a bargain price against one of the more generous pass defenses in the league (Atlanta). Bradford could be your guy in you’re in a salary cap pinch.

Jay Cutler, Bears: vs. Packers, $6,800 — Cutler without Brandon Marshall is a little worrisome as he’s being replaced by rookie Kevin White. But the main reason I’d stay away is Cutler tends to have stinkers vs. the Packers.

Joe Flacco, Ravens: at Broncos, $6,700 — Flacco threw 27 TDs a season ago, but was inconsistent fantasy-wise, mixing in 25 point games with 12 pointers. Not exactly what you’re looking for. But this Week 1 matchup vs. Denver could be a shootout. And the price is right. It would be an upset if I did use Flac, though.

Teddy Bridgewater, Vikings: at 49ers, $6,600 — Bridgewater came on strong at the end of 2014, averaging nearly 19 points per contest. This Week 1 tussle with the Niners on the road isn’t exactly an ideal situation, though. While San Fran’s D might take a step back, you might want to monitor Bridgewater a bit before inserting him in your lineup.

Carson Palmer, Cardinals: vs. Saints, $6,500 — Palmer was off to fast start in 2014 before getting injured. We know he’ll throw it. And we know the Saints ain’t great at pass defense. There are worse options if you’re looking to save cash on your QB.

Andy Dalton, Bengals: at Raiders, $6,100 — Dalton took a step back in 2014 after throwing 33 TDs the prior year. Fortunately for Dalton, he’s getting back WR Marvin Jones and TE Tyler Eifert, who combined to play less than a full game last year. Jones caught 10 TDs in ’13, Eifert 2. Paired with a healthy AJ Green and Mohamed Sanu, and Dalton could be the sleeper play of Week 1 against the Raiders, who have allowed 90 passing TDs vs. just 29 INTs over the past 3 seasons. Don’t look too much into Dalton’s Preseason Week 2 performance. I’m not even going to share his stats (they were horrendous).

Others of note, though gambles to say the least:

Robert Griffin III, Redskins: vs. Dolphins, $6,400

Alex Smith, Chiefs: at Texans, $6,200

Derek Carr, Raiders: vs. Bengals, $6,100

Marcus Mariota, Titans: vs. Buccaneers, $6,000

Jameis Winston, Buccaneers: at Titans, $6,000

Blake Bortles, Jaguars: vs. Panthers, $5,900

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jets: vs. Browns, $5,500

Nick Foles, Rams: vs. Seahawks, $5,300

Editor’s note: Heavy’s partners at DraftKings are gearing up for another football season. Sign up now with DraftKings promo code HEAVY and get a $600 deposit bonus with no season-long commitment.

Other articles

Top 10 Winningest NFL Quarterbacks

Top 10 Winningest NFL Quarterbacks

From: Internet Comment Copy link November 10

[Summary] List of most wins by a National Football League starting quarterback 2016 NFL season Playoff records Most consecutive starts In the National Football League, the quarterback is the only position that is credited with records of wins and losses. At th List of most wins by a National Football League starting quarterback

2016 NFL season

Most consecutive starts

In the National Football League, the quarterback is the only position that is credited with records of wins and losses. At the time of the 1970 NFL–AFL merger, Johnny Unitas held the record for most regular season wins as a starting quarterback with 103. He retired after the 1973 season with 118 wins, and was later surpassed by Fran Tarkenton with 124 in 1978. John Elway moved ahead of Tarkenton during the 1996 season, and retired after the 1998 season with 148 wins. During the 2007 regular season, Brett Favre surpassed Elway to become the starting quarterback with the most regular season wins in NFL history, and his record stands at 186. Peyton Manning tied this record in 2015, and has fewer losses.[1]Tom Brady holds the record for the highest winning percentage amongst the top 50 quarterbacks with the most wins in NFL history, and Otto Graham holds the record for the highest winning percentage overall (min 35 wins) with .810. Tom Brady holds the record for the most wins with a single team. This is a list of quarterbacks with the most regular season wins by a starting quarterback in NFL history; wins in playoff games are not included.[2]

List of most wins by a National Football League starting quarterback

2016 NFL season

Most consecutive starts

In the National Football League, the quarterback is the only position that is credited with records of wins and losses. At the time of the 1970 NFL–AFL merger, Johnny Unitas held the record for most regular season wins as a starting quarterback with 103. He retired after the 1973 season with 118 wins, and was later surpassed by Fran Tarkenton with 124 in 1978. John Elway moved ahead of Tarkenton during the 1996 season, and retired after the 1998 season with 148 wins. During the 2007 regular season, Brett Favre surpassed Elway to become the starting quarterback with the most regular season wins in NFL history, and his record stands at 186. Peyton Manning tied this record in 2015, and has fewer losses.[1]Tom Brady holds the record for the highest winning percentage amongst the top 50 quarterbacks with the most wins in NFL history, and Otto Graham holds the record for the highest winning percentage overall (min 35 wins) with .810. Tom Brady holds the record for the most wins with a single team. This is a list of quarterbacks with the most regular season wins by a starting quarterback in NFL history; wins in playoff games are not included.[2]

All-Time Winningest Quarterbacks

All-Time Winningest Quarterbacks

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Peyton Manning has accomplished a lot in his NFL career. But which record means the most to the quarterback? The Around The NFL team explores.

Joe Montana, Tom Brady among best NFL quarterbacks ever

Johnny Unitas was, quite simply, the man -- but was he the best quarterback of all time? Elliot Harrison lists the top 20 signal-callers to play in the NFL.

[Further reading]

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A letter to my flag football quarterback - The Utah Statesman

A letter to my flag football quarterback

Just wanted to write you to let you know I’m here. Yelling didn’t help, and the fact that I was open like a Denny’s at three in the morning didn’t get your attention either. So here’s a nice notice in written form.

No one is supposed to not score any touchdowns in flag football, but you managed that yesterday. I would say ‘we managed that’ but I don’t feel any sense of responsibility at all for offensive struggles that our team had.

Let me just get it out of my system…

I was wide open on every play and never got as much as a look from you.

For the first half, I understood that all of us were a little scatterbrained, so I thought maybe you would get into the groove and find me open down the field. I decided not to say anything then.

The second half was baffling. Never mind the fact that we were already down 44-0. We were playing the reigning champs, we were down a few players. No one really expected to win that game. Expecting to score, though, shouldn’t have been so far out of our minds.

Regardless of my not seeing the ball, we still should have scored at least once. A team scoring 69 points is more believable than a team not scoring any at all in intramural flag football.

But that’s how it ended. Sixty-nine to a big whopping zero.

As much as the score wouldn’t allude to it, we didn’t struggle as bad defensively like we did last week, so props to your coaching skills.

Offensively, however, I think the other team caught on quick to you only passing to one or two very obvious targets.

I get that I’m a girl and you might think that’s a legitimate reason to not feel as confident in my receiving abilities, but if that was your real reason then you wouldn’t have thrown it to your favorite target – also a girl – so many times without her completing the majority of those plays.

The girl guarding me noticed she didn’t have to work anymore because even if she got burned I still wouldn’t get a pass my way. She even went as far as to ask me why you weren’t throwing to me.

I honestly didn’t know how to respond.

My decision not to say anything to you directly resulted in me swearing in frustration, play after play, as the ball was literally dropped on the other side of the field while I ran deep, wide, sideways and every other way only to find myself waiting, wide open.

It also resulted in me writing this very passive letter.

I’ll be expecting more at our next game.

See you there… and hopefully this time you’ll see me.

Quarterback, Flag Football Central

QuarterbackQB Position

The QB (quarterback) position in flag football is one that requires the ability to throw, run and lead the offense on the field. Due to the pass-heavy playing styling in flag football, most QB’s take the snap in shotgun formation. This gives the play a chance to develop while the pocket forms around the QB as they make their downfield reads.

Since the players are more spread out on the field than American football (fewer number of players on the field at one time), it is always advantageous to have a QB that not only has a strong arm, but can run the ball effectively as well. And since contact is limited, you don’t have to be concerned about injury to your QB when they take off with the ball.

Though most playing calling happens in the huddle, it’s important to be prepared to make audible calls at the line to catch the defense off-guard or when operating in hurry-up mode. Audible should include basics routes for the receivers to run, along with changes to the snap count to draw the defense into an off-sides penalty.

Leader on and off the field

Strong arm

Accurate passer

Quick decision maker

Shifty in the pocket

Able to run downfield

Pro Tip: Some leagues do not allow QB’s to take the snap while under the center in an attempt to make the game safer. A variation of this rule is that the QB cannot run past the line of scrimmage if they take the snap while under the center – they must either hand the ball off or pass it to another player. If this rule is in place, an effective strategy against a strong pass rush is to move the pocket by rolling the QB towards the sideline. To help the QB get past the edge rusher, line up a wide receiver in the slot – tight to the offensive line – and have them provide a crack-back block on the defensive end.