NFL Week 7 Lines and Betting Picks

The sixth week of the NFL concludes as the Detroit Lions travel to take on the Green Bay Packers on Monday Night Football. While we wait for the final game of the week, let’s take an early look at NFL Week 7 lines and betting picks.

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All odds referenced herein are from FanDuel Sportsbook and accurate as of Monday morning unless otherwise stated.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos +3.5, O/U 49

The Chiefs have dropped two home games in a row for the first time since 2015. Kansas City’s defense and offensive line continue to be their biggest weaknesses. Patrick Mahomes ankle has been a casualty of bad blocking in both losses. I’m not concerned enough to bet against them, yet. Keep in mind, the Chiefs turned the ball over in their own red zone in the final seconds of the first half, leading to a Texans touchdown. In the second half, Patrick Mahomes threw his first INT of the season in what he thought was a free play. Instead, the refs made a mind-boggling decision to overturn the flag. Expect Kansas City to get back on track against Denver. Considering the Chiefs’ losing streak combined with Broncos winning their first two games of the season, I think there’s some recency bias to take advantage of in Week 7. Less than a week ago the lookahead line was Kansas City -5.

Early Lean: Kansas City -3.5

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants -3, O/U 49.5

The New York Giants come off a long weekend after losing 35-14 to the New England Patriots on Thursday Night Football. First-year head coach Kliff Kingsbury earned the second win of his NFL career as the Arizona Cardinals edged out the Atlanta Falcons by one point in a high-scoring affair on Sunday. Kyler Murray continues to progress, throwing for 340 yards and 3 touchdowns. We still have Barkley news to wait for so I want to wait before taking a side. Though the Cardinals offense is beginning to mesh under Kingsbury’s fast-paced spread system, this spread is too high for some of the sloppiness we’ve seen from these teams during the season.

Early Lean: under 49.5

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Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts -1, O/U 48

In a combined effort between their offense and defense, the Houston Texans limited Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs to 20:12 in time of possession on Sunday. Houston won’t have as easy of a time moving the ball against Indianapolis.

Early Lean: Colts -1

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals +3, O/U 43.5

Gardner Minshew threw his first interception of his career. Not bad for a sixth round rookie, eh? Well, what was bad was Jacksonville’s offense. The Jaguars continued their massive Leonard Fournette usage, giving the running back 26 touches and 118 total yards but the offense couldn’t find the end zone in a 13-6 loss to the New Orleans Saints. If you’re going to bet Jacksonville then you want to hop on this early as the public will be all over them. At the same time, keep in mind A.J. Green is due to return any week.

Early Lean: Jaguars -3

Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons +3, O/U 54

Atlanta is bad. Real bad. Matt Ryan completed 30-of-36 passes for 356 yards and 4 touchdowns. Somehow the Falcons still lost 33-34 to the Cardinals, of all teams. The Rams haven’t lost to a team as bad as Arizona, but right now the defending NFC champions are on the outside looking in when it comes to the NFC playoff standings. I’m going to take Falcons at home but I expect better value later in the week.

Early Lean: Falcons +3 (wait for line movement

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills -16, O/U 39.5

The Bills are 16-point favorites after the lookahead lines opened at -14. The Dolphins will likely roll with Ryan Fitzpatrick after replacing Josh Rosen witt the veteran in the second half of their loss to the Redskins. Two touchdowns is close, but I think 16 is too much. On the other hand, Buffalo’s stout defense might not give up more than one touchdown this Miami offense.

Early Lean: Dolphins +16; Under 39.6

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions +1, O/U 44.5

Three weeks ago Vikings receivers were calling out Kirk Cousins for his poor QB play. Cousins answered by throwing consecutive 300-yard games. On Sunday, he added 4 TDs to his stat line and three of those were to Stefon Diggs. That might help temper Diggs’ trade demands but I’m expecting regression for Cousins in Week 7. The Lions secondary is allowing the third-lowest completion percentage to opposing teams. I’m not sold on Detroit yet so I’m just sticking with the Under for the time-being.

Early Lean: Under 44.5

Oakland Raiders vs. Green Bay Packers -6.5, O/U 46.5

Let’s wait to see what happens Monday night before doing anything here. Check out our in-depth Monday Football betting preview in the meantime.

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins +9.5, O/U 42.5

Turns out the 49ers are contenders, not pretenders. San Francisco dominated the Browns last Monday night and followed up with a dominate win against the Los Angeles Rams. The 49ers are now 5-0 for the first time since 1990. GM John Lynch has put together a hell of a defense, especially up front. While the defense is one of the best in the conference, there’s a lot to be desired offensively, but Kyle Shanahan is getting the best out of an offensive unit that lacks much talent beyond George Kittle. The Redskins ran the ball 33 times against the Dolphins and interim head coach Bill Callahan will use Adrian Peterson as a workhorse going forward. I’m not expecting many points in this one.

Early Lean: Under 42.5

Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans -1, O/U 38

Both teams suffered embarrassing losses in Week 6. Sitting at 2-4, neither fanbase has much hope in making the playoffs. The Titans do have an impressive young defense to look forward to but Mariota clearly is not the answer, not that their porous offensive line has done him any favors. I’ll go with the bad team that is playing at home.

Early Lean: Titans -1

Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks -4, O/U 50.5

This is quite the interesting cross-conference showdown. The Ravens have a comfortable lead in the NFC North after beating the Bengals 23-17. Russell Wilson as emerged as an MVP candidate, leading Seattle to a 4-1 record. This is a high total for two teams that prefer to run the ball.

Early Lean: Under 50.5

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New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears -3, O/U 39.5

A bye week is just what the doctor ordered for the Chicago Bears who come off an upset loss to the Oakland Raiders at Soldier Field in Week 5. Mitchell Trubisky practiced Monday, indicating he’ll be returning against the Saints. The Bears still have arguably the best defense in the league and they’ll give Teddy Bridgewater more than he can handle.

Early Lean: Bears -3

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys -3, O/U 48.5

After starting the season 3-0 the Dallas Cowboys are now 3-3 with a huge division game against the Philadelphia Eagles. The winner will take the lead in the NFC East, which won’t be good for the loser. At this point, it’s tough to imagine an NFC East team getting a wild card spot. The Cowboys will look to attack the Eagles through the air, but they might be without their No. 1 receiver Amari Cooper. If Cooper does sit out then I’m backing the Eagles. It’s never a good sign when Tavon Austin is your leading receiver as he was against the Jets on Sunday. Also consider the fact that PointsBet had the Cowboys as 1-point favorites a week ago before their loss to the Jets.

Early Lean: Eagles +3

About the Author

Matt Schmitto is the sports betting editor for RotoGrinders. He grew up in Texas, graduating from Texas Tech University. He has played high stakes DFS since 2013, and enjoys betting on golf, basketball, football and whatever else is put in front of him. Schmitto is an advocate of The Bettor’s Oath.

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