If he's active in the union, as you imply, lean Obama. Remember that Obama is also pro-death penalty and supports securing the borders (more immigrants deported and more boots on the border than ever).

Yes, they all lost their jobs and houses long ago, and many have died off due to the ailments and mishaps which do beset the poor. The few that do survive now live under the freeway-overpass, and voting is the furthest thing from their minds.

If he loses his job between now and the election, he'll stay home and won't vote

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"It would misunderstand these men and women to say that they disrespect the idea of marriage. Their plea is that they do respect it, respect it so deeply that they seek to find its fulfillment for themselves. Their hope is not to be condemned to live in loneliness, excluded from one of civilization's oldest institutions. They ask for equal dignity in the eyes of the law. The Constitution grants them that right."—Hon. Anthony Kennedy, Obergefell v. Hodges

I feel like this all reads out as the stereotype profile of the Reagan Democrat. This is what I'm aiming for in this thread and basically most blue collar workers are in line with Dawson political positions.

Depends how susceptible he is to BS... he probably voted for Clinton and Gore, didn't for Kerry or Obama 08... my gut is he probably votes Romney... although if he knew what Romney wants to do... he'd vote Obama, but I think the Romney economic BS and the social issue rhetoric will pull him right.

But I disagree that all blue-collar workers think the same as this... plus he seems more... KY, WV, TN than PA.

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Dogma is a comfortable thing, it saves you from thought - Sir Robert Menzies

Not entirely... it makes you MORE likely to vote Democratic but look at the PA Senate race in 2010... Toomey got 44% of the Union vote. Obama did well, but McCain still won 32% of Union people in PA... and I'll bet they're social Conservatives from W PA. Bush got 38% of the Union vote in 2004...

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Dogma is a comfortable thing, it saves you from thought - Sir Robert Menzies

Go forth, real people, and speculate as to the voting habits of these imaginary people:

Jenna - age 21. Part-time waitress, earns and receives about $13,000/year and pays nothing in tax. White, comes from a working-class family. High-school education and is taking classes in Criminal Justice at a local community college. Receives food stamps and the Earned Income Tax Credit. Volunteers for her church youth group, has pledged abstinence until marriage.

Sam - age 19. Private in the US Army, earning about $20,000/year before taxes. White, comes from a working-class family. High-school education, joined the army in the hopes of being able to attend college. Only sometimes goes to church, but when he got his girlfriend pregnant he proposed to her and asked her to keep the baby (she refused and didn't).

Larry - age 66. Retired autoworker, receiving about $55,000/year before taxes from Social Security and his pension. White, comes from a middle-class, blue-collar family. High-school education. Stopped paying his union dues several years ago, and owns three guns. Divorced, has 3 children, all of whom are grown, and 2 grandchildren. Only sometimes goes to church.

Wesley - age 39. Associate at a law firm, earning about $90,000/year before taxes. Parents were upper-middle to upper class. Went to private school, and attended state university for both his undergraduate studies and law school. Unmarried and without children. Irreligious.

Arturo - age 44. Owns a landscaping business, earning about $125,000/year before taxes. Immigrated from Honduras at age 6, parents were wealthy for Honduras but middle-class in America. High-school education. Many of his employees are illegal immigrants, his clients are wealthy McMansion owners. Married and has 2 children, wants to send both to college. Very religious and attends church weekly.

David - age 52. Neurosurgeon, earning about $750,000/year before taxes. Comes from an upper-middle class family. Graduated from Columbia and the NYU School of Medicine. Married, has 2 children in college and a third in private school. Jewish, attends a Reform synagogue most weeks.

Education: Will send his kids to public school, or private school. Will do research on public schools based on teachers performance.

Civil rights: Thinks people should have equal rights.

Hobbies: Watching TV golf/gambing, listening to modern rock/smooth jazz, drinking wine or imported beer, hanging out with his close friends, spending time at the country club. Taking kids to Disney World, or other family events. Going to church a few times a year.