New York City Population Projections by Age/Sex and Borough, 2000-2030

This report presents population projections by age and sex at 5 year intervals for 2000 through 2030, for each of New York City’s boroughs. The population projections presented here use standard demographic techniques that take today's men and women in different age groups ("age/sex cohorts") and move them forward through time based on assumptions about future birth, death and migration patterns. This "cohort component model" not only projects total population but creates a new age/sex distribution at each five-year interval between 2000 and 2030.

The projections focus on the total, school-age, and elderly populations, discussed in the context of New York City’s recent demographic past. The appendix tables, however, provide projected populations for all age/sex groups. A section on methodology discusses the underlying fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used to construct the projection.

Full Report (680 k) – A detailed analysis of the total population projected to 2030, as well as the projected school-age and elderly populations. Includes an in-depth description of the projection methodology.

Briefing Booklet (720 k) – an illustrated guide to the projection methodology and to the major findings.

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