The Data Driven Beltway

Monday, March 2, 2020

I've worked on campaigns or in public policy for...egad...over two decades.

I'm a progressive, not a moderate. I want everyone to have health care and I want rapid action on climate change and a better tax base.

But I don't want Senator Bernie Sanders.

Why, some will ask.

Well, briefly, here is why.

1) Sanders doesn't own progressive plans. His plans are simple; easy; no nice person will have to sacrifice anything, ever. Only a couple dozen billionaires will need to pay more taxes, don't worry about it...

Well, that's not how the real m****r f*****g world works. This is worth repeating. This is NOT how the real m****r f*****g world works.

Change is complicated and there is no plan, ever, without unintended consequences or some degree of sacrifice. And if we want European style programs (I do) I must expect European levels of taxation. ON ME, TOO. Yes, my taxes will need to rise. There is no free lunch.

2) Sanders' health care plan is massively underestimating the real costs. He isn't even considering how to deal with some of the difficulties in quickly trashing all private insurance, including what to do with the 2 MILLION job losses, turning some small cities into Flint Michigan overnight, the damage to rural hospitals or how we'll tell doctors and nurses they'll be taking BIG pay cuts. We can get to universal coverage but it will, in the real world, be hard as hell.

Better idea: Get uninsured folks covered with Medicare now and transition away from all private health insurance. that would be more popular and would allow us to gradually shift costs and build consensus for the plan. And that would give us time to actually study how to do this.

Remember, the ACA was much easier to pull off and we TOTALLY screwed up the implementation. TOTALLY. We couldn't even get the website to work. And it cost more than we thought it would. A LOT MORE. In particular, Sanders vastly overestimates the admin savings. Generally, the government has a hard time doing admin cheaply. I don't like that but that doesn't make it less true. So let's not lie about it.

3) Sanders' staff, his Senate staff, from my personal experience, were awful. I don't mean a bit young or naive. Not to put too fine a gloss on it, they sucked. They didn't know the issues and were not especially interested in learning about them in any serious way. For a guy who has been on the Hill in Congress, for 37 years, that's just not OK. You MUST have good staff.

4) Sanders has neither a clue nor the inclination to build coalitions or to talk to people who DISagree with him. The President in the US is a PROFOUNDLY WEAK EXECUTIVE. You need coalitions to pass laws through Congress and you have to compromise and work a lot of angles. Sanders never once did this as a Senator or House member. He passed no major laws and all this "amendment bernie" stuff is mostly smoke and mirrors. Most of his amendments were at best very minor and often came with a lot of consensus. You don't find things in which he had to work HARD to pass on the floor.

5) Sanders cares about the adulation of his supporters, not the issues. Remember the mess the Veteran's Admin was in, where lots of Veterans were not getting the care they needed? Who was the chair of the Veteran's committee in the Senate? Sanders. Was he warned about the issues? Yes. Did he bother to hold hearings? No. He isn't interested in the hard work of being a Senator, and was certainly not interested in admitting to the public he screwed the pooch on HIS responsibility to be a good committee chair.

6) Sander's ideas for combating climate change are naive. I worked on renewable energy policy for years; Sanders doesn't really understand how the lights stay on, and he has clue zero about what the federal government can legally demand. Fact: TEXAS has 28 time the wind power on the grid that New England has and we didn't get that by calling West Texans anti progressive thugs. We didnt even mention climate change, we focused on the jobs.

In New England, Sanders can't even convince a farmer he doesn't need an AR-15 to shoot a possum eating the tomato plants. Sanders REFUSES to ever disagree with a supporter or his base, but sometimes we gotta tell hikers "sorry, trees are coming down for a transmission line" or "this wind farm will obstruct your view of that mountain" or "yes, in the short to mid term, your electric bill WILL go up." Clinton got windmills in upstate New York by talking to GOP voting farmers who didn't want them. Sanders doesn't do that.

7) Sanders encourages the belief in conspiracy theories. The DNC didn't "steal" the 2016 election. Love her or hate her, Clinton won 58% of the primary vote, and nearly 80% of the votes of blacks and hispanics.

Encouraging the belief in conspiracy theories, allowing sexist "bros" to dominate social media, and refusing to admit any of your colleagues might disagree with you and still be progressive don't make better politics, they add to the general disillusionment of things. That's not leadership, it's populist crap. On this point, Sanders is Trump in liberal clothing.

8) Promising the moon, and then not delivering, adds to the progressive problem of low voter turnout. And no, don't buy the myth that young voters turn out in droves for Sanders. They never have, and they haven't in the first 4 contests we've seen so far.

I'm no mother f******g moderate, but I know change takes hard work and big coalitions Sanders is zero for two. He doesn't own progressive values, he screws those of us working for them by lying about how hard they are to implement in the real world and by defecating on the heads of those willing to admit to, and deal with, the complex real world.

Wednesday, February 21, 2018

LOBBY FOR YOUR LIFE: A Kit for Effective Action to
Prevent Gun Violence

The youthful activism coming out of
Florida in the aftermath of the Parkland shooting could be a game changer in
the fight for sensible gun laws in America. Or, it could fizzle out after a
march or two, as it has after so many mass shootings, leaving us with the
status quo. Progressives tend to flit from issue to issue. What
incenses this morning is forgotten at dinner after it falls three
screens down the Facebook feed. The NRA doesn’t beat us with money (more on
that below) they beat us with discipline. They show up to fight, and they push
their agenda to their base and to Congress every day of every year. We show up a couple
times a year, scream for two days, then move on. NRA’s supporters vote, in every election. They
don’t wait for the perfect candidate or storm off in a fit of pique when their
favorite candidate loses a primary. DISCIPLINE. That’s the key. This is a long
battle and we need to be tougher.

A complete gun ban is presently impossible due to two recent Supreme Court cases (DC v. Heller and McDonald v. Chicago), in which the right of an individual to possess a gun for self protection was asserted. So, don't focus on the impossible. We can't ban all guns until those two decisions are overturned, which is unlikely for many years. We can ban assault rifles, we can limit ammunition, we can ban bump stocks and we can vastly improve background checks. Focus on the possible.

THINGS TO READ

It's not really about money. While you should pressure elected officials to stop taking campaign
contributions from the NRA, don’t delude yourself. The NRA derives power from conservative culture far
more than from money. The environmental movement often provides significantly more contributions
to politicians in a two-year election cycle than the NRA, but we don’t
have comprehensive climate change legislation to show for it. Money matters,
but it is by no means everything: http://behranalytics.blogspot.com/2015/12/the-nra-myth-of-money-monster.html

BOOKS TO WONK OUT ON

This is part of the Oxford University ”Everyone Needs to Know” series on public
policy issues. It is fact filled and presented in a question/answer format that
makes it a useful reference work. It’s also balanced and level headed
throughout. The numbers here are real, and are presented without any hyperbole.

A UCLA professor’s thoughtful book on the history of the Second Amendment.

ORGANIZATIONS TO JOIN AND DONATE TO

Everytown for Gun Safety. Former NYC Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s organization, primarily focused on passing sensible gun laws at the state and local level. http://everytown.org/

Gabby Gifford's Law Center and PAC. Founded by former Arizona House Representative Gabrielle Giffords after she was wounded in an assassination attempt in Tucson, Arizona on January 8, 2011. The Law Center has good coverage of existing firearms laws, divided by topics. https://giffords.org/

Candidates and Campaigns. Give to our smart crop of candidates running for Congress, and volunteer to make calls and knock on doors.

KNOW THINE ENEMY

The National Rifle Association. Yes,
this site will raise your blood pressure, but get to know the opposition. https://home.nra.org/

LANGUAGE MATTERS

When writing a letter to Congress or discussing gun issues with a Congressional
staffer, use language they recognize and relate to. Lobbying is persuasive
communication, it’s not venting personal spleen. When a Congressional staff
member reads your letter, they should not be able to immediately discern if you
are a Democrat or a Republican. If they don’t see you as a latte sipping, Birkenstock
wearing. doobie toking opponent, your words will carry more weight.

DON’T SAY: Gun Control

DO SAY: Common
Sense Gun Laws

DO: Talk in the moral language of the right. ***“Common Sense gun laws are the right thing to do to uphold FAMILY VALUES.” ***“ Common sense gun laws are the CHRISTIAN thing to do.”***“The Second Amendment refers to a citizen militia. We need to focus on the Commandment: Thou Shalt Not Kill. Children are dying; we have a moral obligation to stop this madness.”

BONE UP ON BILLS AND LEARN THE LAWS

The Brady Act of 1993. Named after President
Ronald Reagan’s Press Secretary Jim Brady, who was permanently
disabled in the attempt on Reagan’s life by John Hinckley at the Washington Hilton
in 1981. The Act forbade gun sales to any person who was a “fugitive from
justice." The FBI interpreted the law to
include anyone with an outstanding arrest warrant. Since 1998, when background
checks were formally put in place, 180,000 gun sales to fugitives were
successfully blocked.

In 2017, the Trump Administration weakened the Brady Act by siding with the
Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms Administration, who favor a far weaker regulatory approach than
that of the FBI. Now, the law only blocks gun sales to individuals who have fled across state lines to avoid prosecution.
This removed 500,000 individuals from the background check database.

The Brady Act further imposed a five day waiting period for gun purchases.

The Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of 1994. This law actually
banned semi-automatic weapons, like the AR15! The law specifically made it
“unlawful for a person to manufacture, transfer, or possess” a semi-automatic
assault weapon. Unfortunately, to garner enough votes to pass the law, Congress
put in a 10 year sunset clause. Congress failed to reauthorize the law in 2004.
The ban expired, and assault weapons again flooded our streets. These weapons
are now legal unless banned by state or local laws. Both this law and the Brady
Act were supported by former President Ronald Reagan.

It is
perfectly legal and Constitutional to ban AR15s and other semiautomatic assault
weapons. We did it before and we can do it again.

National Firearms Act, 1934: This
law makes it difficult to obtain a “suppressor” or “silencer.” A suppressor
muffles the noise of the gunshot and reduces the muzzle flash. By so doing, it
is much more difficult for law enforcement to find the location of a shooter.
The SHAPE Act in the House would weaken this law.

THREE COURT CASES; READ 'EM AND WEEP

1939, US v. Miller. The court ruled that owning a sawed off shotgun was not protected under the Second Amendment because it had nothing to do with a well-regulated militia. This held until...

2008 District of Columbia v. Heller. DC had a complete handgun ban. The court ruled this unconstitutional because they found the Second Amendment allowed a right to own a gun for self defense. This was affirmed in...

2010 McDonald v. City of Chicago. For the second time, the court over-ruled a total gun ban and asserted a right to own a gun for self defense.

These recent cases do not mean we cannot ban assault weapons, but they do close the door on banning ALL guns in society, at least until a new court decision overturns Heller and MacDonald. Furthermore, both Heller and MacDonald were very narrow in scope, allowing leeway for local and state bans of certain weapons to stand.

LEGISLATION AND ADMINISTRATIVE RULES

HR3999. A bipartisan bill to ban “bump
stocks,” introduced by Carlos Curbelo (R-FL) and Seth Moulton (D-MA). This bill is stalled in
the House, as is companion legislation introduced in the Senate by Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-CA). Bump stocks turn semi-automatic weapons into defacto fully
automatic weapons, vastly increasing their firepower. The Bump Stock was the
primary reason the Las Vegas shooting was the deadliest in US history. Obama Administrative Rule on Social
Security, Mental Health and Gun Ownership. In December, 2016, the Obama
Administration passed a rule that added persons to the National Instant Criminal Background Check
System who were receiving Social Security
checks for mental illness, and who further had been deemed incompetent to
handle their own affairs . The Trump administration overturned the Obama rule. While the rule
only impacted about 75,000 Americans, it nonetheless runs contrary to GOP
lawmakers who insist we must focus on mental health, and then weaken what few
checks we actually had in place to screen for mental health.

The Sportsmen’s Heritage and Recreational Enhancement
Act (SHAPE).This bill would make it far easier to buy a
gun silencer (or “suppressor” in more formal parlance). Ironically, hearings on
the bill have been delayed twice due to gun violence. The original hearing was scheduled on the day
a gunman opened fire at a Congressional baseball practice, seriously wounding
GOP Majority Whip Steve Scalise. It was delayed for a vote after the mass
shooting in Last Vegas last October. This bill would disembowel the National
Firearms Act of 1934.

Silencers mask a gun's muzzle flash and the sound of the shot. Silencers make it far harder for law enforcement to find the location of a shooter. Silencers are useless when hunting. The “Sportsmen’s Heritage” reference in the
name of the bill is frankly a smokescreen.

KNOW YOUR INCIDENTS

1999 Columbine High School, Columbine, CO: (15 dead, 24
injured)

2012 Sandy Hook Elementary School (28 dead, 2
injured). Point to make with your Congress critter: the Shooter’s mother was an
NRA member and gun enthusiast. She believed arms training would help her
mentally disturbed son, who stole her gun, turned it on her and killed her,
then massacred 6 and 7 year olds at the local elementary school.NRA rifle range practice runs made this
shooter a more effective mass murderer.

2012 Movie Theater, Aurora, CO: (12 dead, 58
injured).

2016 Pulse Nightclub, Orlando FL: (49 dead, 58
injured)

2017 Las Vegas Route 91 Harvest Music
Festival: (58 dead, 520 injured). The shooter in Las Vegas used both semi-automatic weapons and bump stocks. His arsenal is what made this the worst mass shooting in US history.

2018 Parkland High School, FL: (17
dead, 14 injured)

KNOW YOUR AMMO AND YOUR EXTRAS

High Capacity
Ammunition Clips: Generally, any ammunition “clip” that contains more than
10 bullets (10 “rounds”) is defined as high capacity. These clips allow
shooters to fire faster, killing more people.The Sandy Hook, Columbine and Vegas shootings were far more deadly due
to high capacity ammunition clips. Forcing a shooter to reload after just 10
rounds makes surviving a mass shooting far more likely and makes capturing the
shooter, as his attention is on reloading, far more likely.

Bump Stocks: A bump stock allows a
shooter to turn a semi-automatic weapon into an automatic weapon. A semi-automatic
weapon fires a bullet each time the shooter squeezes the trigger. An automatic
weapon files a stream of bullets with one push of the trigger. The shooter in
Las Vegas used bump stocks to kill 58 and injure over 520, spraying a crowd with
a constant hail of bullets.

GUN VIOLENCE IS MORE THAN JUST MASS SHOOTINGS

Common sense gun laws aren’t just about mass shootings. Guns are used every
day of the year in robberies, homicides, domestic violence incidents, and suicides. Every day in America, guns kill. Unregulated bulk purchases of semi-automatic rifles at Texas gun shows contribute to the appalling
violence of Mexico's drug cartels. No one law is a panacea, so it is senseless to
focus on how one bill might not have prevented the latest mass shooting.
Background checks have prevented murders, and when we outlawed semi-automatic rifles, they disappeared from our streets. When you meet with or write to Members of Congress, point out the variety of problems with guns. Mention recent incidents, perhaps a high school student murdered the week before or a toddler who killed another toddler with an improperly stored weapon, or a boyfriend who slaughtered his girlfriend and their children. Sadly, you will not have to look hard or long to find a plethora of recent incidents.

SAMPLE
ACTION FOR TEACHERS AND EDUCATORS

Specifically for Nevadans, but it’s easy to customize. Call your GOP
representative and find out which staffer handles education issues, then
contact them.

Here's what you do. Call Dean
Heller's Education/Arts/Humanities/Family/Child/Women's issue staffer. Plan on a long conversation. Don't leave a message. The key here is to force the Congressional office to really address this issue with you.

Her name: Rachel GreenHer Number: 202 224 6244

Let her know why you are calling:
"I am a teacher. Under no circumstances do I want to carry a gun to
protect my students. The very suggestion that I need to run my classroom like the wild west is deeply offensive and insulting to my profession and my personal ethics. I go to my school to teach not to shoot to kill, nor do I believe more armed adults at my school make me or
my students safer. I want Congress to take action now against the epidemic of gun violence in our society. The Second Amendment refers to a well-regulated militia, not disturbed students carting high capacity semi-automatic rifles gunning down my students in the hallways.
We can and should pass sensible laws to end the threat of violence in our schools.".

Present specific asks and actions for the Member: "I want my
Senator/Representative to address to me, in writing, the following specific
items:"

***Is my Senator/Representative willing to support andco-sponsor a
bill to ban AR15 style semi-automatic assault weapons? No one needs an assault weapon for self
protection. President Reagan wanted these weapons banned, and if my Senator/Representative disagrees with President Reagan, I need them to explain why.

***Is my Senator/Representative willing to support House Resolution 3999
or the companion Senate proposal to ban bump stocks?Bump stocks were the sole reason so many
Americans lost their lives in Las Vegas and no law-abiding citizen ever needs to own
one. We do not need to wait months for the Department of Justice or the Administration to Act. Congress can ban bump stocks now.

***Is my Senator/Representative willing to enact a system of background checks that has real teeth?

***Is my Senator/Representative willing to immediately
stop taking campaign donations from the National Rifle Association? If not, I need an explanation why.

***If your Senator/Representative has taken donations
from the NRA, ask if they will donate those funds to assist victims of gun
violence and mass shootings.

If you get voice mail, simply say "I am a teacher in NV and I mustspeak with you about an education issue as
soon as possible." Then leave your name and number. Elsewise, she'll be
likely to wiggle out of calling you directly. Make her call you back if you
don't speak with her directly.

If you don't get a specific letter, call Ms. Green EVERY DAY until you get your
letter.

SAMPLE ACTION: MAKE THE TROLL PAY THE TOLL

If you insist on arguing with trolls online,
as far too many of us do, be polite but tough. Focus your comments on morality,
don’t get sucked into endless debates about the Second Amendment. State simply that the Second Amendment refers to a well regulated militia. We banned assault weapons for a decade, and we could legally, constitutionally, ban them again. There is no legal argument here, so don't engage in one. Call an assault weapons ban the Christian thing to do. Seriously, bring religion into the discussion. These trolls aren't on the side of family values on this issue, so hammer that point home.

If trolls threaten you, which they do far too often,
make a complaint to Facebook, or report the posts as abusive if you are on a news media site. If you are tangling with a troll on a Congressional Facebook page, take a screen shot of offensive comments and
send the offensive quotes to your Congressional Representative. Ask them why they don't speak out against the hate speech on their page. Call the Congressman's office and ask to speak to the staff member in charge of the page. Urge them to moderate comments and to add official comments, on the Facebook or social media page, to directly address the folks spewing the bile.

When you write members of Congress, include quotes from their abusive supporters.
Elected officials should be speaking out
against hate speech among their political base; they do not because we don’t push
the issue with them. Point out that NRA commentators are many things; fine upstanding Christian family values people is often not one of those things. Point out that NRA supporters never show sympathy for victims. They want a gun filled society; we want one teeming with compassion, not AR15s. Ask them why they are willing to take campaign money from these hateful trolls.

Most of these actions only
take a few minutes longer than engaging with the troll. If we cannot resist feeding trolls, we can at least try to up our
efficacy a tad.

TAKE THE FIGHT TO THE SOURCE: CALL THE NRA

Call the f*****g NRA after every shooting.
Fuggetabout "it won't help." It actually will. The NRA's members are
older and less likely to give online. So, the NRA is old school in their
fundraising, and they rely on their call
center to get their low dollar donations, the $100 and under gifts that are
their bread and butter. If we made that call center chaotic for three or four
days after every mass shooting, we'd make the price of getting donations a lot more expensive.

(800) 672-3888

In my toothy youth, between
campaigns, I once worked in a call center as a manager. My employer was a long
distance phone carrier. Their number one cost: training and keeping good customer service representatives. You
get nasty calls. It doesn't take many to totally demoralize the team and the staff turnover was gigantic. The NRA never hears from its detractors. They need to. Demoralize the NRA team.

(800) 672-3888

Make that call center
a distinctly unpleasant place to work. Talk to the beast. Don't scream like a liberal and hang
up after 30 seconds. That's a losing strategy. Engage the person who answers your call. Start with
questions about what the NRA does. Do you guys lobby? Do you weigh in on campaigns?
Don't sound like an opponent for the first two minutes. Get and keep them
talking. It frankly wastes their time. When you pivot to "how can you
[rep's name] in good conscious work for an organization that kills our
kids?" Don't yell. Seriously, make the call as long as possible.

(800) 672-3888

Waste their time, those customer representatives are on the NRA dime These folks are the front lines of the
most immoral organization in the country, and we never call them out for it.

(800) 672-3888

Two weeks from now, when
we have another mass shooting, which we will, call the NRA again. Over the years,
I've convinced two representatives in that call center to resign. One even voted for
Obama. You can have an impact on the beast, but only if you engage the beast directly.

MEET WITH YOUR MEMBER
OF CONGRESS

(It’s “common sense
gun laws” not “gun control”).

The single most
powerful thing you can do is meet with your Representative or Senator or a member of their staff
to discuss their opposition to sensible gun laws. If you can, bring young
adults and teenagers who care about the issue with you. Bring the grandparents.

(It’s “common sense
gun laws” not “gun control”).

Office visits require more work than a simple phone call to the front desk. A quick call, at best, results in a staff member dashing off a vague form letter that they send to several thousand complainers. End of discussion. A meeting sends a stronger message: it’s
far harder to dismiss you face to face and your are sending a message to the Congressional office that you really care deeply about this issue. Take an in person meeting seriously. Dress like you are going to a job interview.

(It’s “common sense
gun laws” not “gun control”).

Some offices don't offer "issue meetings" at local district offices, but others do. If they won’t
schedule an issue meeting locally, schedule a phone call with a staff member in
DC. Insist that this cannot be covered in a 30 second message you could leave at the front
desk. You want a longer conversation and want to talk to their staff expert on this issue.

(It’s “common sense
gun laws” not “gun control”).

DO: Be flexible scheduling a time. Staff members are busy.DO: Be upfront about who will be in the meeting or the conference call. Don't blindside a staff member with 6 high school students. Let the staffer know they'll be there.
DO: Come prepared. Know the Member’s voting record and know which bills you
currently support.

DON’T: Sound partisan. If they think you are a latte sipping, Rachel Maddow watching liberal, they’ll dismiss you. Be calm and forceful. Leave the staffer
believing you could vote for their boss, if only they’d pay attention to this
issue. This is deadly serious: leave them thinking they’ve annoyed a
constituent that can cost them on election day.DO: Couch your arguments in terms of traditional family values. Using language the
staff is used to hearing from friendly supporters is critical. It gives your arguments
far more persuasive weight.DO: Demand that your call or meeting be followed up by a letter from the Member
(Representative or Senator) specifically addressing your concerns. Don’t take a vague form
letter. If they send you one, call them back and demand something specific in
writing. DO: Demand the Representative meet with you and your neighbors about this issue
when they are in the District. They won’t want to do that. Push them. Children’s
lives are at stake.DO: Follow up your meeting or call with a letter outlining what was discussed
and what you expect from the office.DO: Take the moral high ground. Assault weapons aren't Christian. Bump stocks are not a family value. The NRA is not a moral or ethical organization.DO: Make your meeting about more than mass shootings. Come prepared with a list of gun victims in your city over the last month, especially those that involved innocent bystanders. Guns kill every day.

RESPONSES TO STAFF MEETING
COUNTERARGUMENTS

THE BIGGIE: The Court cases of Heller and McDonald, discussed above, allow citizens to own guns.

Your response: Yes, Heller and McDonald assert the right to own a gun for self defense, but the decisions were narrowly drawn. We can and should ban assault rifles. These are not designed for personal protection, they are weapons of war. And language matters, always say "Weapons of war."

We have a moral obligation to uphold life. Our children should not fear walking down the hallway of their school.

1) “The old saw “it’s too soon to talk about gun
laws.”

Your response: Too many Representatives and Senators said this in 2012 after Sand Hook, and again after the
October 1, 2017 Las Vegas shooting and several times in between, after every
massacre. Is it time to talk about sensible gun laws with regard to the Sandy Hook
shooting yet? It’s been nearly 6 years. People are dying, and you have a moral,
ethical and Christian obligation to have a public policy discussion now.

Mass shootings are the tip of the iceberg. We have shootings every day, and
every day abusers use weapons to terrorize their girlfriends or spouses.

2) We must protect the freedoms of gun owners.

Your response: I am here today to
protect the lives of children. The Second Amendment refers to a citizen army, a well regulated militia, it does not reference kids carting around weapons of mass destruction in our schools. The Heller and McDonald decisions don't change that. No moral, law-abiding American needs to
own an AR15. Frankly, my children’s lives are more important than the “freedom”
to own a firearm that can slaughter two dozen of our citizens in a minute's time.

We legally banned these filthy weapons for 10
years, and the ban was both perfectly legal and perfectly Constitutional and we can and should do it again. We need to focus
on the Biblical proscription here: THOU SHALT NOT KIL and not the NRA's gross misinterpretation
of the Second Amendment. The high
school students calling “BS” on this argument are right; you need to act to
make them safer.

3) Laws won’t work, or [a given law] would not have prevented Parkland [or whatever shooting
is the most recent].

Your response: If we never pass any laws, we’ll never know if they'll prevent future massacres,
will we? Ask the staffer if they are familiar with the The Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of
1994.
If they don’t know the law, and many younger staffers will not, it’s helpful to
discuss it to gain the upper hand in the conversation.

This law was passed as a result of the assassination attempt on Ronald Reagan.
It had the support of Reagan, Bush Sr. , Gerald Ford, and Bill Clinton. It banned assault weapons for 10 years. In a joint letter to the Boston Globe, Gerald
Ford and Reagan wrote “While we
recognize that assault weapon legislation will not stop all assault weapon
crime, statistics prove that we can dry up the supply of these guns, making
them less accessible to criminals."

Those Presidents were right. Let’s look at the impact:

According to the Department of Justice, the
percentage of crimes that utilized assault weapons declined by 32% once the law
was enacted. By 2004, assault weapons were just 10% of recovered crime guns.
Then, Congress was foolish and let the ban expire. By 2014, assault
weapons were 22% of recovered crime weapons and mass shootings, with increasingly alarming casualties, soared to epidemic proportions.

No, the AR15 won’t disappear overnight should we ban them again, but it will
disappear over time. Furthermore, we can ban the sale of high capacity
ammunition clips for any weapon. Without the ammo, the guns are far less
effective. Not passing any law is simply immoral given the steady stream of
massacres on our soil. You owe our children a more responsible response than a
smug “No law can fix this” shrug. That is not only false, it’s disrespectful to
the lives lost to simply throw your hands in the air.

4) The Second Amendment is sacred

Your Response: The Second Amendment
referred, EXPLICITLY, to a “Well Regulated Militia.” Congress enacted the Second Amendment,
in no small part, to explain to the world our justification for overthrowing a
European power. We were a poor bunch of colonies. Dirt poor. In order to have an army, we
had to require that members of the militia bring their own weapon. The Heller and McDonald decisions don't change this. Owning a handgun is not the same as owning an assault weapon, a defacto weapon of war.

In any event, banning bump stocks or assault weapons is perfectly legal. We
legally banned assault weapons in 1994 and could do it again, if your
Representative/Senator shows the courage to buck the NRA and protect our
nation’s children.

If the staffer insists on pushing the Second Amendment argument, push back. Their
argument will be based upon “Original Intent.” That is, we should only pass
laws in line with the original intent of the Constitution. The Constitution is
well over 200 years old. It was a brilliant, but by no means perfect document
in a world very different from our own. The Original Intent of the Constitution
allowed white citizens to own and sell blacks. The Original Intent of the
Constitution denied women the right to vote. The Original Intent of the
Constitution did NOT allow for the popular election of US Senators. Senators
were elected by State Legislators. Over the decades, we recognized the flaws in
the original document and passed laws/amendments to make the document more
just.

The Founders were very firm on the sanctity of human life. Jefferson would not
favor massive civilian ownership of AR15s in light of massacres in our schools,
and we can legally, under the Constitution, ban them TODAY.

Your response: Using the ATF to
“review” bump stocks was suggested by the GOP and the NRA after the Las Vegas
massacre on October 1, 2017.Nearly five
months later, no action has been taken, and now we have dead children in
Parkland, Florida. Both Senator Chris Murphy (D CT) and Lindsay Graham ( R SC)
have stated they believe the ATF will take no action unless directed by the
White House. President Trump has refused to give that direction. This inaction
is unconscionable. No moral American needs to own a bump stock, which turns a
semi-automatic rifle into a hose spraying bullets. We have a moral, ethical and
Christian obligation to outright ban them, now.

If the staffer insists on the “ATF solution” push them. Would their
Representative/Senator be willing to hold a press conference DEMANDING
regulatory action by the ATF and demanding the Trump Administration act. If
they aren’t willing to do that, demand that the Representative or Senator
explain why they will not do so in writing.

President Trump has indicated he would be in favor of banning bump stocks. But he's only asked the Department of Justice to craft a rule. That could take months, and some experts suspect the intent is simply to delay until attention of guns has waned. What we need is an act of Congress.

6) We just need to focus on mental health.

The guys who are grabbing assault rifles and shooting dozens of people aren’t
“sane” in common parlance. But, they are likely not “insane” under established
medical guidelines. The American Psychological Association’s 2016 guide “Gun
Violence and Mental Illness” found 1 percent of fatal shootings involved a
mentally ill shooter. Just 22% of mass shooters might have diagnosed as
mentally ill. Angry or depressed young men aren’t easy to diagnose,
particularly given our very lax background check systems. Adding checks for
mental illness would be a start, it will not and should not be considered a
panacea.

LEAD WITH MORALITY

If your Representative or Senator is Catholic (or particularly religious),
print this letter in the link below. It was penned by a Catholic Bishop, urging Senator Marco Rubio to take sensible
gun laws seriously. Take the letter with you to a meeting with your Congressman, or email it to a staffer so they can read it if you choose to do a conference call. Ask them to comment on the letter. The NRA is many things;
Christian simply isn’t one of them.http://www.cfdiocese.org/cfe/an-open-letter-from-bishop-gregory-o-brewer-to-senator-marco-rubio/

Tell the staffer that you take family values seriously and you demand that your
elected officials do more than thunder about morality while backing groups like
the NRA that are complicit in the murder of children. Tell them you are
disappointed that the GOP is abandoning your children for the NRA’s “right” to
litter America with dangerous, unnecessary weapons.

DEMAND CONGRESS VOTE ON SENSIBLE GUN
LAWS

The GOP has blocked votes on bump stocks, assault weapons bans, and background
checks. Let the staffer know that this is unacceptable. You can oppose a law,
but we should never prevent fellow lawmakers from voting. You want them on the
record on how they stand on these bills. Hiding behind procedural rules that prevent votes on
controversial issues is one of the reasons Congress is so unpopular.

DON'T GET DISCOURAGED

This will be a long fight. Don't get discouraged. If you can, join a march or rally. There is nothing more cathartic than yammering about the NRA with thousands of your close friends. Public opinion is on our side, we just need to keep up the discipline.

Sunday, January 15, 2017

Next weekend is the first big test for those of us dedicated
to fighting the Twittering Twit the GOP is installing at 1600 Pennsylvania
Avenue. You don’t have to travel to or live in DC to partake, there are marches planned
all across the county. SHOW UP. Numbers matter. Seriously, SHOW UP. We have an
opportunity to turn coverage away from pomp and circumstance and back to the
issues that actually matter. Trump is an existential threat to our Democracy. Don’t run
to the beach or the mountains or hide in your house binge watching some TV
series. SHOW UP. If you don’t feel comfortable marching, think of it this way:
how comfortable is a 17 year old Mexican girl whose parents brought her over to
the US at age 2, and who recently discovered she isn’t a citizen?

SHOW UP.

Ten years from now, when your children ask what you did to stop Trump, do you
really want to say “nothing”?

SHOW UP.

As a veteran of a lot of marches, I offer a few humble suggestions on how to
ruckus right.

1) Signs
and posters should be painted on BOTH SIDES. One of the more amusing
things in DC is to see a rally or protest from afar, and approaching from the
rear, you gaze upon a sea of blank poster board because the slogans are only on
one side. Paint your slogan on BOTH sides of your poster board.

2) Don’t
use a stick as a base for your poster. In some areas, sticks won’t be
permitted.

3) Wear comfortable shoes. Marches aren’t
fashion shows and you’ll be on your feet for a long time, especially if you are
attending the events in DC.

4) Stay engaged: Chant and make noise,
and take your nose out of your IPhone.

5) Remember
your audience. This isn’t just for us, we need to send a strong message
to Team GOP and the press. The paramount message is that the
Republicans are NOT the team that stands for Family Values; the press
has given them a pass on this point for far, far too many years. Family Values
Presidents don’t grab women by the pussy and they don’t call all Mexicans
rapists and they don’t blow off critical national security briefings. It’s time
to take that phrase “Family Values” back. Many in the GOP are worried about
Trump, even if they’ll never admit it publicly, at least not yet. They are
beginning to see the size of the moral abyss they just elected. Calling them
out will get us noticed.

If you are interviewed by the media, draw a distinction between the GOP and
actual morality. The question they’ll ask is almost always the same:

Q: “Why are you out here today?”

A: " I have grown tired of being told the
GOP stands for family values. Donald Trump and Congressional Republicans don’t
support family values. They don’t. Trump is a disgusting ill-informed racist,
sexist pig and Congressional Republicans need to call him out on his outrageous
behavior.”

6) Chant and sign suggestions. The press delight in the ironic chant; try some of these “best
of the Anti-Trump movement” signs and
slogans below. If you have other suggestions (we need all the slogans we can
get, it’s going to be a long day) put them in a comment.

For the family values message:

GOP, NOT FOR ME, ANTI-CHRISTIAN FILTH.
FAMILY VALUES YES. THE GOP, NO.
DONALD TRUMP IS A RACIST CHUMP

HATE IS NOT A FAMILY VALUE
DUMP TRUMP, RACIST CHUMP

DUMP TRUMP, SEXIST CHUMP
LOVE NOT HATE MAKES AMERCIA GREAT

JOHN LEWIS IS MY HERO; TRUMP IS JUST A RACIST ZERONO TRUMP, NO KKK, NO FASCIST USA

And don’t forget
Russia….

DONALD TRUMP IS PUTIN’S CHUMP
THE GOP, THE GOP, WHOLLY OWNED BY THE KGB

And the wall….

CAN’T BUILD A WALL, HANDS ARE TOO SMALL

BUILD A WALL AROUND TRUMP, I’LL PAY

Or the hair…

WE SHALL OVERCOMB

THERE WILL BE HELL TOUPEE

Or Twitter…

IMPEACH THE TWITTERING TWIT

Or the aggressive
sexism…

MAKE MYSOGYNY GREAT AGAIN

Or the immigrants,
with maybe a nod to Boradway's Hamilton:

IMMIGRANTS: WE GET THE JOB DONE

Have more ideas? Post them in the comments. And happy ruckusing. We should remember that Martin Luther King, Jr. had to march down a lot more dangerous roads than what is required of us. SHOW UP, Let's get the job done.