Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Trump the experts

So the media is ejaculating over reports that Trump's campaign has "only" $1.7 million cash on hand, he just fired his campaign manager, and the Never Trump Army is threatening to take its ball and go home.

Just remember, these are the same Bozos (and off blog I use more colorful language) who told us last June Trump would not win the nomination.
Allow me to stroll down memory lane with the predictions from June 2015. I begin with this gem:

Among Republicans -- you know, the people who decide the identity of their party's presidential nominee -- Trump has a net negative 42 rating. As in 23 percent of Republicans had a favorable view of Trump while 65 percent(!) had an unfavorable one. Want even more? Compare the number of Republicans who feel strongly favorable to Trump (11 percent) to those who feel strongly unfavorable (43 percent). No one in the field is anywhere close to those numbers; New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is the only candidate other than Trump to have higher unfavorable than favorable ratings among his own party.

And it's not even (or only) his brutal image problems that doom Trump. Just one in ten Republicans (11 percent) have no opinion of him. So, Trump is both extremely well known and extremely disliked by the members of the party he is running to represent.

You cannot and do not win anything when your numbers look like Trump's. I can't say it any more clearly than that. There's nothing you can say or do -- not that Trump would ever even consider going on an image rehabilitation tour -- to change how people feel about you. Republicans know Trump. And they really, really don't like him.

Carson and Paul lead our also-ran pack in national polls, each at 9.2%, according to Real Clear Politics. Perry is at 2.7%, Fiorina at 1.6%, and Graham at 1.3%. Though New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and real estate developer Donald Trump are at 4.8% and 4%, respectively, they have little chance of making it to the final heat. [SNIP] Jeb versus Kasich is the real race, and it’s too early to declare the winner.

After Donald Trump’s bizarre announcement last week that he was running for president, it occurred to me that many observers are misreading Trump. Many consider him a joke. Not true. Trump knows when he is being outrageous — and acts that way consciously to build his brand. Some consider him a menace, pointing out polls that show he would do well if he abandoned the GOP after the primaries and ran as an independent. But Trump is too smart to waste money on a futile effort to capture 270 electoral votes. He will conclude — like Michael Bloomberg, another billionaire — that American politics is a two-party duopoly.

Many consider him a joke. Not true. Trump knows when he is being outrageous — and acts that way consciously to build his brand. Some consider him a menace, pointing out polls that show he would do well if he abandoned the GOP after the primaries and ran as an independent. But Trump is too smart to waste money on a futile effort to capture 270 electoral votes. He will conclude — like Michael Bloomberg, another billionaire — that American politics is a two-party duopoly.

But just maybe Trump is a double agent for the Left. He is nearly a cartoon version of what a comedian such as Stephen Colbert considers a conservative — the kind of conservative Colbert played on Comedy Central until this year. He reinforces all the Left’s negative stereotypes of conservatives as ignorant blowhards. During his announcement speech last week, Trump said of Mexican immigrants: “They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists, and some, I assume, are good people.”

So now these know-it-all conspiracy theorists are telling you he has no chance to win.

Screw them.

Buy my book and you will see what oafs these experts are.

Coming soon -- "Trump the Press: Don Surber's take on how the pundits blew the 2016 Republican race."

8 comments:

Saw today that Lynch and 0 are havingproblems over his blame of the Orlandocensorship 911 tapes. 0 isn't backing off and the Republicans are nipping at her too. I wonder now if that Pantsuit isn't about to turn into a jumpsuit...

In terms of organization and intellect, hillary could not carry Mr Trump's notebook. A new Trump hotel is opening in downtown Washington right between the WH and Capitol this fall and just before the election. I can only imagine the deal making skills required to pull that off in a federal / GSA owned building. Trump began planning this years ago. Just one example. hillary never has run a lemonade stand and in her first job working on the Watergate case, got canned and labeled as one of the most dishonest people one of the senior attorneys ever had seen. That was before she was 30. She has been a crook and grafter her entire life. But Trump now is lost, and hillary the organizational whiz has it all together. All hillary has going for her is a corrupt worshiping sycophantic mainstream media. Trump is going to clean her clock!

In terms of organization and intellect, hillary could not carry Mr Trump's notebook. A new Trump hotel is opening in downtown Washington right between the WH and Capitol this fall and just before the election. I can only imagine the deal making skills required to pull that off in a federal / GSA owned building. Trump began planning this years ago. Just one example. hillary never has run a lemonade stand and in her first job working on the Watergate case, got canned and labeled as one of the most dishonest people one of the senior attorneys ever had seen. That was before she was 30. She has been a crook and grafter her entire life. But Trump now is lost, and hillary the organizational whiz has it all together. All hillary has going for her is a corrupt worshiping sycophantic mainstream media. Trump is going to clean her clock!