With the exciting first two rounds of March Madness 2014 in the books, let’s see how the pundits are faring with their brackets so far. We are scoring 28 experts from ESPN, Yahoo, Sports Illustrated, and CBS Sports this year, throwing in President Obama for good fun.

Our scoring system assumes you placed $1 Futures bets on each bracket slot at Vegas Moneyline odds based on the pundit’s picks. Here are the rankings for the first two rounds: the Hit Rate represents the % of picks that were correct, while the Yield is the average payout of those picks.

Pundit

Rd of 32
Hit Rate

Rd of 32
Yield

Sweet 16
Hit Rate

Sweet 16
Yield

Cumulative
Hit Rate

Cumulative
Yield

Average

74%

$1.06

64%

$1.17

71%

$1.09

Luke Winn, SI

88%

$1.43

75%

$1.86

83%

$1.57

Dennis Dodd, CBS

69%

$1.11

69%

$1.64

69%

$1.28

Jon Rothstein, CBS

81%

$1.13

75%

$1.57

79%

$1.27

Pat Forde, Yahoo

78%

$1.22

69%

$1.35

75%

$1.26

Brad Evans, Yahoo

75%

$1.00

81%

$1.74

77%

$1.24

Jeff Goodman, ESPN

78%

$1.12

69%

$1.43

75%

$1.22

Steve Lappas, CBS

72%

$1.09

75%

$1.48

73%

$1.22

Jerry Palm, CBS

78%

$1.23

69%

$1.16

75%

$1.21

Jeff Borzello, CBS

78%

$1.11

69%

$1.29

75%

$1.17

Andy Katz, ESPN

75%

$1.00

75%

$1.48

75%

$1.16

Joe Lunardi, ESPN

81%

$1.27

56%

$0.85

73%

$1.13

Brian Hamilton, SI

72%

$0.98

69%

$1.38

71%

$1.11

Doug Gottlieb, CBS

78%

$1.09

63%

$1.03

73%

$1.07

Pete Gillen, CBS

69%

$0.89

75%

$1.43

71%

$1.07

Seth Greenberg, ESPN

72%

$1.06

63%

$1.07

69%

$1.07

Pete Thamel, SI

72%

$1.09

50%

$1.03

65%

$1.07

Barack Obama

81%

$1.13

56%

$0.84

73%

$1.03

Gary Parrish, CBS

72%

$0.94

63%

$1.19

69%

$1.02

Jay Bilas, ESPN

75%

$1.03

63%

$0.98

71%

$1.01

"Chalk"

75%

$1.01

63%

$0.98

71%

$1.00

Seth Davis, SI

78%

$1.11

50%

$0.75

69%

$0.99

Colin Cowherd, ESPN

69%

$1.02

56%

$0.88

65%

$0.98

Dick Vitale, ESPN

69%

$0.86

69%

$1.16

69%

$0.96

Jeff Eisenberg, Yahoo

75%

$0.97

56%

$0.85

69%

$0.93

Mateen Cleaves, CBS

72%

$0.94

56%

$0.90

67%

$0.92

Fran Franschilla, ESPN

69%

$0.91

44%

$0.76

60%

$0.86

Gregg Doyel, CBS

66%

$0.89

50%

$0.75

60%

$0.84

Matt Norlander, CBS

63%

$0.87

50%

$0.78

58%

$0.84

Overall, the pundits have done quite well so far, with the majority returning a positive yield as well as outperforming “Chalk” (always picking the higher seeds). Luke Winn of SI leads the pack, followed by Dennis Dodd of CBS; they were the only two experts to have Dayton in the Sweet 16. Luke Winn had the best first round hit rate (28/32), while Brad Evans was 13/16 with his Sweet 16 picks, including Tennessee.

Here is how the pundits did collectively with their Sweet Sixteen predictions. No one had Stanford, while only Pete Gillen, Brad Evans, and Jeff Goodman had Tennessee.

Sweet 16 Team

# of Pundits Correct (out of 28)

1. Florida

27

4. Louisville

27

1. Virginia

26

4. Michigan St.

26

1. Arizona

26

2. Michigan

25

3. Iowa St.

24

2. Wisconsin

23

4. UCLA

21

4. San Diego St.

19

7. Connecticut

11

6. Baylor

8

8. Kentucky

7

11. Tennessee

3

11. Dayton

2

10. Stanford

0

We will update the rankings as we proceed throughout the tournament.

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