South Dakota: John Thune, current Congressman, (articulate, affable, attractive in an August debate with Johnson) running against Tim Johnson, current Senator. Last poll: 40%-40% announced just before the debate

New Jersey: Doug Forrester (bio: former assistant state treasurer, now small businessman and university instructor) is running against Senator Robert Torricelli, who got a reprimand from the Senate Ethics Committee and may be vulnerable. Forrester creamed the Torch in a recent debate, and he was ahead of Torricelli in the last poll.

New Hampshire: U.S. Representative John Sununu, son of former Governor, defeated current Senator Bob Smith in the September 10th primary and faces current Democrat governor, Jean Shaneen, in the general election for Senator. (Smith disaffected too many Republicans when he changed his party registration to Independent a few years ago and then changed his mind and came back.) Sununu has less than two months to knit the party back together for the general election to retain the seat against a tough opponent, who probably would have defeated Smith.

Missouri: Jim Talent, former Congressman from St. Louis, against current Senator Jean Carnahan (who was appointed when her dead husband narrowly "won" in 2000 election over John Ashcroft). There is talk that if Talent wins he may be allowed to take the seat immediately. last Zogby poll: Talent 47%-46% Carnahan

Arkansas: Senator Tim Hutchinson challenged strongly by state attorney general Mark Pryor. Sen. Hutchinson, a former Baptist minister, is in trouble for reelection because of his divorce and remarriage after winning the Senate seat in 1996 on a platform of family values. He won his primary by 70% against another Christian conservative so the voters may be starting to forgive him, but he was down 10 points in an August poll. Without help, this is our most likely loss.

Texas: State Attorney General John Cornynis running close in the polls to Democrat Ron Kirk, former mayor of Dallas. Current Senator Phil Graham is retiring. Democrat Kirk is getting lots of financial support from outside the state because he is black and because Democrats want to embarrass Bush in his home state of Texas.

In order to get conservative judges approved by the Senate, we need to win the Senate majority. Please pick a few candidates and send them contributions via the links provided, or via the U.S. Postal Service. If Talent can win in Missouri we might get control of the Senate in time to vote for the invasion of Iraq, as Carnahan was only appointed to serve "until the next election."

I was having trouble uploading www.saxby.org, which is why I don't have a postal address for Chambliss. If anyone has a better URL for that race, please post it.

PLEASE PING your friends who might be able to help. And please BUMP this thread so that it is brought to the attention of as many FReepers as possible.

Finally, will those who run across polls for these races please post them here, or if you see another Senate race where we are in trouble please let us know.

I fully support all of these Republican nominees, and have done some work to help all of them.

However, they are all fully funded by the National Party...in fact, they are awash in cash.

Perhaps some FReepers might be more interested in supporting someone the powers-that-be are ignoring; fellow FReeper Jay Wolfe of West Virginia, who is running a very strong, but underfunded, effort against incumbent Dem Senator Jay Rockefeller.

Newspapers and others sometimes have polls done that come into the public domain, so I was not implying he should have done them himself.

I think that the Democrats have made a HUGE error in shifting the debate to Iraq in the last two months before the election. And I think it means that some places we couldn't have anticipated before as being vulnerable, like West Virginia, will come into play as a result of this stupid tactical move by the Dims.

I am seriously considering your call to donate to the West Virginia race. I'm not a fat cat, so it won't be a lot, but maybe others will consider supporting your candidate.

You need to add CO as a possible GOP loss, and I think it's safe to remove NC as at risk. TN is more worrisome to me than NC, though I think Lamar will pull it out. There are a ton of polls on all these races, from a variety of sources. I have a spreadsheet with over 185 Senate polls, but it's not something you can post here. But here's a link that might help. Senate Polls

My husband agrees with you that the Colorado Senate race is under the radar and shouldn't be. We just watched a debate between the environmental, corporate crimes lawyer and Allard, the veterinarian current Senator.

Opponent appeared with mustache and no tie and a flag pin in his lapel. Allard was, well, "low key" might be a way to put it, in his demeanor for this debate in the Western, rural half of the state, and not as sharp and aggressive as the Republican governor had been in his debate just before this one, but he had positions and answers and proof he had been working for the State and did okay.

Luckily, his opponent isn't a down home guy but a lawyer who leans a touch toward environmental wacko. Hopefully Colorado isn't totally inundated with Aspen liberals yet, so Allard may hold on despite the apparently vicious ad campaign the Dems are running against him.

Still, vicious ads may back fire against the Dems in Western Colorado like it may be backfiring against the Dems in Southern North Carolina.

so Allard may hold on despite the apparently vicious ad campaign the Dems are running against him.

The obvious braindead observation here is that the Republican Party continues to fail to realize that KEY swing voters (those that actually decide an election) are attracted to candidates that come out swinging. Even some Dems will say "this guy's got balls" or something to that effect and vote Republican.

There is a fine line between running a negative ad and balancing it with taste. THAT IS where these elections will be won.

McBride will do exactly that against Jeb Bush in Florida and he will win (unfortunately)- and all because the Republican Party is stupid in campaigns- don't get it.

The most important thing for Republicans (other than actual effective strategy and tactics that CONNECT with people) is for Republicans to set up phone banks to get out the vote in recod numbers.

This has to be a serious effort if we want to bring the Senate back to Repubs. Make each local precinct an attempt to have a RECORD NUMBER of Republicans show up at the polls.

North Carolina: Elizabeth Dole, former U.S. Transportation Secretary under Ronald Reagan, former Labor Secretary and former CEO of the American Red Cross, is running against Erskine Bowles, former Clinton chief of staff. This is Jesse Helms old seat, so we need to retain it.

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