" When on song he is a smart horse and he has been running very well this season. He drops back into C3 here and this will be easier than his last two runs – two decent veteran’s chases. The last race was a right old slog and not many completed – but he did, and kept plugging on for 4th. I don’t think this ground will be as heavy as that day, and this race is nowhere near as deep. He stays well and ‘normal’ heavy is fine. I tries to lead/race prominently and he should be able to have the position he wants. The fav likes to get on with it as well. If he can stay in touch he should out-run his odds. There is a chance that last race took quite a bit out of him but the odds allow the chance – as does the fact that he can mentally switch off every now and then – as evidenced by the changes/combos of headgear over the years. But, don’t forget, he won a Festival handicap and while not as good as then, still has a touch of class – certainly in a c3."

I backed two of last weeks with Bet365 and I'd so much in my account that yesterday I drew £300 out. Then today I hit them with the 14/1 winner, and I was just thinking they're going to be restricting my account thanks to Josh, when I noticed I'd received an email from them. It looked ominous and I expected it would be the end of my BOGs at the very least, but when I opened it they were 'rewarding my loyalty' with a £5 bonus.

Cloudy Too is slowly becoming a cliff horse of mine and this could be the final time I ever back him, who knows. A slightly smaller field would be ideal but he has track form, stays, and should relish the conditions. Having stared at him for a time I have concluded that this has been the season’s target! He has come down quite a way in the weights and in the context of this race, his last race here is interesting. If this is the target you wouldn’t want to ruin his mark and the main jockey returns. He also carried 11-5 that day, in the mud also. Today he has 10-4 on his back, 15lb less. In this swamp, that will surely help. The trainer is in decent enough nick and all things considered, if this is to be my final bet on him, I wanted to go out in a blaze of glory.

Donny 3.15 his race today, "It is unusual for me to go for three in one race but I couldn’t decide which one to leave out and given the month we have had on the blog I thought why not back all of them!"

So I did and ended up with,

Ziga Boy WON 10/1,
Coologue 2nd 12/1,
Gullinbursti 8th 15/1

He's nearly 90 points up this month now, and I've been on all of them.

"I think we should get a run for our money from this one if all is well. He was pulled up the last day over fences when I backed him and I don’t know what went wrong there. He was travelling well just off the pace before dropping back through the field quickly. I can only think there was an issue. NTD has a decent enough record with horses that have a PU next to their name LTO. This horse is unexposed over hurdles (1/4) and there could be more to come. He will relish the ground and he will stay – they are two things that I can’t say with too much confidence about any others in here. He is also a prominent racer/front runner and I hope they try and make all. NTD has won this race before so he could well out-run his odds. The jockey booking has me scratching my head a bit and I dont really know what to think about it in truth! But, at 12/1 i am happy to take a chance. Hopefully he just keeps ploughing through the mud when others have given up."

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