The partial shutdown will take place on Dec. 7 if Congress does not pass legislation, creating the last chance for Trump to win wall funding before Democrats take over the House majority in January.

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Trump has threatened to veto a spending bill that does not include funding for the wall. If he follows through, the partial shutdown would hit the Homeland Security, Justice and State departments, among other government entities.

“This would be a very good time to do a shutdown,” Trump told reporters at the White House earlier this month. “I don’t think it’s going to be necessary, because I think the Democrats will come to their senses, and if they don’t come to their senses, we will continue to win elections.”

Many think that Congress will get a bill past the finish line despite Trump’s talk.

The president has threatened to shut down the government over the wall on numerous occasions since taking office, only to acquiesce to Congress and sign funding legislation.

That was the case in September, when Trump signed five bipartisan spending bills into law that covered roughly three-quarters of annual congressional spending. He also signed a stopgap measure extending funding on the remaining seven bills.

Congressional aides say they expect a similar outcome this time, but warn extenuating circumstances that could change the president’s thinking.

The main inflection point is Democratic control of the House in January. This will cut into Trump’s leverage to win funding for the wall going forward, though he may want to use the issue — and Democratic opposition — ahead of his 2020 reelection bid.

It’s also possible Trump loyalists in the House will want to dig in on the wall in their final weeks in power.

The partial shutdown wouldn’t completely close the government. Even in the departments that would be affected, workers considered “essential” would report through the shutdown.

Still, even a partial shutdown would provide unwelcome headlines for whichever side is blamed by voters for failing to meet the basic function of government.

And it could cost Trump politically.

A new poll from Morning Consult found that 55 percent of registered voters opposed shutting the government down over funding for the wall, while only 31 percent supported it.

Among Republicans, however, just below half supported a shutdown for the wall, while 34 percent opposed it.

Respondents also chose funding the wall last on a list of 10 priorities for the next Congress, behind health care, infrastructure, reforming mandatory spending programs and passing immigration reform.

Lawmakers are working to find a compromise on the Homeland Security funding bill, which would cover the wall.

The House version of the spending bill allocates $5 billion for the wall and was approved without Democratic support. A Senate bill, which has bipartisan support, would provide less — just $1.6 billion. The Senate bill, which is in line with the administration’s original funding request, would build 65 miles of pedestrian fencing along the Rio Grande Valley.

Trump has pushed for as much as $25 billion in wall funding, but those close to negotiations believe that the final compromise in Congress will be close to the Senate bill, or marginally higher.

And congressional Democrats say the prospects of a spending deal are good, provided that Trump keeps out of the delicate negotiations.

But the real wild card is Trump, who has given different signals on how hard he’ll push for wall funding. If the president insists that now is the time to get the wall, he has the potential to trigger a standoff that could lead to a shutdown.