For Gov. Kasich, the new figure would seem to be good news, even though 6.5% is still considered higher than desired historically. While unemployment statistics come with numerous components that can be painted in one way or another—for instance, the total number of jobs declined in the state in February—the 6.5% mark, assuming it remains or drops in the coming months, will provide the governor with another bullet point to support his case for reelection.

Overall, Kasich’s case is pretty straightforward. He won election in a time of economic chaos, and while conditions are not yet ideal, the direction is mostly positive, and the progress clear.

More than three years into Kasich's term, conditions have improved markedly. The current 6.5% unemployment rate is below the national average, meaning that Ohio has gone from above to below the national unemployment mark in that time. (Ohio currently ranks first in job growth.)

Kasich, of course, has critics with legitimate axes to grind. Organized labor will never—ever—forget the Senate Bill 5 affair, which landed Kasich with an early (and perhaps only major) political wound.

Still, Kasich’s case for reelection is strong. The numbers point in the right direction, and he’s the incumbent. His prospective opponent thus far seems a weak candidate, although it is too early to say that with any degree of certainty. Plus, 2014 is shaping up to be a good year for the GOP at the ballot box, with a second-term Democrat holding the White House. For now, John Kasich’s chances look promising.

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Joshua Todd is a Wright State graduate, a former Army intelligence analyst and Iraq veteran, and an avid writer. Accustomed to quick, timely, and regular analysis, his pieces are informative and thought-provoking. Josh currently works in the credit union industry.