Mr Fixit’s Top Tips: Ligue 2 back in all its glory

Greg Browning was having the shakes with no French football to bet on and really all there was to look at apart from friendlies was Leganes v Real Madrid with the favourites playing their cup team and winning 1-0 late on.

The good news for Greg and others is there’s a full French Ligue 2 card to consider on Friday so watch out for his tips.

Elsewhere we have a cracker in the Championship between Derby and Bristol City and County fan nathan will put his thoughts. I fancy Derby as City’s thoughts could be on their EFL Trophy Cup semi-final and that’s been a distraction to them in recent weeks.

Since beating Man United to reach the last four they’ve won one in seven and have lost their last five. They were superb at Man City and the late 2-1 defeat keeps them in with a chance of making the Final.

Derby on the other hand are fully focused on picking up a league points and have climbed to second – five points ahead of the Robins. I’d have liked bigger than 21-20 but bookies expect a home win.

Other games to look at Hertha Berlin v Dortmund in Bundesliga, Caen v Marseille in Ligue 1 and Porto v Tondela in Portugal.

There are also Jupiler league games so could be a good night for those who like goals and there are plenty of tips on the site with the games at Almere, De Graafschap and Dordrecht the ones favoured.

I’ve not had time to study goals bets as I’ve been concentrating on Saturday’s card but I’ve picked out a double – which was a treble – and decided to chance Derby as the Super Single.

Start with Marseille at Caen where locals are more worried this season about losing the Bayeaux Tapestry than going down. The Normandy men sit mid-table but have lost five in a row at home to Marseille who have climbed to third on a run four wins in row while Caen have lost three out of four. Just under evens on the away is a decent price.

Add Sporting and again going by form and stats they should win at Setubal. They have won on their last four trips and taken maximum points from four of the last five.

I was going to complete the treble with Cove Rangers at Formartine in the all-Highland League Scottish Cup tie but as I placed the bet it was called off – there could be a few more casaulties tomorrow.

2pts Super Single

2pts Daily Double

January Super Singles Total

Profit/loss: +8.6pts (8 bets, 5 winners)

January Advised Accas Total

Profit/loss: -0.1pt (21 bets, 6 winners)

£30 New Customer Welcome Bonus at Unibet

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Wsw v Melbourne victory
I’ve already highlighted above what I think there will be in the way of goals, but I can see cards in this game too. I can’t find a fair play table for the a league but I’d be willing to bet the victory would be at or near the bottom of it this year. Over 2.5 team cards looks good value at 5/6.
Not been on pens their last 2 games and i was proved correct, that’s now 3 games without one in their matches, but I’ve a gut feeling there will be one today. Usual 4 outcomes pay 7/1, 8/1, 20/1 and 25/1

Agree with you on cards and pens Sean, was gonna try and find info on that just now. Looking at the recent stats I’m thinking WSW could be the more likely for over 2.5.

As others have pointed out recently, often a spate of cards in the second half if the game is nicely poised. I think I’ll have a look at half time and get on 2nd half cards if it looks good. Will join you on the pens.

Morning all from a sunny Dubai.
Possible early bird of BTTS in the Aus W-League WSW (L) v Mel V (L).
Both like to concede goals – more than they score.
2 leaky defences playing one another – and recent H-2-H have shown goals both ends.
Not available market at the moment – may be an in-play bet available (ko 06:20 uk time).
Don’t fancy the o2.5mgs currently on offer at 13/20 – will look for some in-play value.
GL

In-play markets are a bit rubbish (b365) on the Aus W League WSW v Mel game
Have had a few shillings on HT/FT Draw – Draw @ 5/1 for morning interest as I read the papers and look at the stats for later.

Thanks @simpledxb never thought of looking for cards on a website called total corners 😂😂😂
Surprised to see the victory mid table, maybe it because they’ve had a fair few recently that edged me towards that. However I see today’s opponents are top which reaffirms my thinking that today’s game will be a dirty one

In-play markets are a bit rubbish (b365) on the Aus W League WSW v Mel game
Have had a few shillings on HT/FT Draw – Draw @ 5/1 for morning interest as I read the papers and look at the stats for later.

Had Oss and Telstar on the short list, could be worth a punt on all matches over 2.5 mg at 28/1 although there are a couple of iffy matches with lower teams playimg each other which tend to be tighter affairs.

A couple of decent winners on the Aussie game but a lack of second half cards and MV corners cost me. Put too many bets on really…kept seeing things I liked the look of. Little harm done though luckily. Summary:

Haven’t had a chance to tally up totals for the month for a while (for bets posted on here). Currently sitting at +10 points. I’ll take that, nearly makes up for a 15 point deficit over the last 3 months of last year!

Poor India got another hiding in the 2nd Test…and this time on a flat surface with their best chance to win. The Indian batsman choking against the SA quicks again! South Africa just far too good right now and the series is over just like that. For the 3rd test I’ll be on no Hundred in the 1st innings again (6/5). Risky as this is a dead rubber but this has come in for both tests and done me well so far. Also on Kohli & Markram runs when the market comes out. Rugby tomorrow: Exeter & Clermont double (4/5). Double: Racing & Toulon +12.5 (11/10). Double: Wasps & Montpellier +5.5 (21/20). Sarries, Bath, Wasps and La Rochelle totals in-play. All bet365. Will pop up some UFC 220 tips later

Last time out, Derby took all 3 pts from an improved Birmingham side that went in to that match with 3 straight wins. The 3 nil score line to the rams did not tell the full story. Birmingham made a quick start to setting the pace, dominating possession and having a decent go at us. They hit the post earlier on but the ricochet was never going to go in. Derby had a quick break around 25 mins in from a menacing Johnny Russell and Derby got a tiny deflection to beat the Birmingham keeper on the near post. Vydra ran on to a looped pass and fending off a couple of players, with rather a lot to do, he fired in. He made it look easier than it actually was. 2 nil. Birmingham did seem to be a bit slow out of the blocks at ht and I suggested in game that Derby looked more likely to add. Birmingham did try to respond and shots/possession/corners stats were all in their favour, but no end product. Weiman got an easy tap in at the death to make it a 3 nil win and back up to 2nd spot.
All 4 of my tips came in + a few odds and sods were there or thereabouts.

On to tonight:
Bristol were the last team to beat us away from home on 16th Sept. Vydra opened the scoring from the spot, only for Bristol to hit us for 4 in the 2nd half. There were a few things going for us going into that game, and a few more going against us. We’d just beaten Hull 5 nil and I think that bred complacency. Bristol also had a blistering start to the season and the suggested relegation scrap that the pundits expected was well and truly busted. Derby gave them far too much of the ball, never paid them enough credit and I feel the Derby team just expected they only had to turn up to grab the points. Bristol ratted at Derby till the final whistle and deservedly gave us a much needed wake up call. This sounds like an excuse but we had Johnson playing in the holding role with Huddlestone because Thorne was still out. Huddlestone had/has been maybe 1 yard short – he still is, but Johnson is a left midfielder/winger and that battle in front of our back 4, well we came off badly – hence the possession/shots/goals we conceded. Possibly our worst performance of the season.
Derby went and grabbed Joe Ledley on a freebie and he’s slotted into that role nicely. Since he’s been on the books, I think Reading have beaten us at pride park and we’ve not lost to anyone else. 2 losses in 21 games, 1 to Bristol away, 1 to Reading at home. Ledley has been absent through injury recently but Thorne has come back in and his performances are steadily improving. So when Ledley gets fit, will he get his place back from Thorne? Probably not, I think we’d be better dropping Huddlestone.
Even though we’ve just signed Cameron Jerome for an undisclosed sum from Norwich, we still have lots of options up front. Martin is barely getting match time, it seems that its either Winnall or Nugent that gets that striker role. So how/where/if he gets his chance, will he make the most of it? Time will tell.
Depends on what contradicting stats site you belive, Vydra is on either 15 or 16 league goals, joint with Leone Clarke of Sheff Utd. Bobby Reid is probably Bristols best bet for goals, I think he’s on 12.
The problem with Bristol is they’ve had a bit of a slump. Winless in 5, but 2 were in cups. I think they last won on boxing day. I also read a stat about Bristols leaky defence. Something like 13 goals in 5 matches. I’d expect that includes the 2 cup games.
I think this match will be completely different to the 4-1 scoreline back in September. Bristol have not beaten Derby at Pride park in both games Rowett has been in charge. Derby also have 7 clean sheets from our last 11 matches, conceding 3 goals. Ledley has signed a contract extension, as has Scott Carson. We have Thorne hovering up in front of the back 4 alongside Huddlestone, so that area of the pitch should be more secure.
We cannot allow Bristol the chance to get as much time on the ball as we’ve been allowing teams lately, and especially the shot numbers Bristol managed against us at Ashton Gate.
We do seem to have a much more organised unit and nobody can argue that the football we’ve been playing this past 4 months has been of a higher standard to that which we started the campaign with.
8 of our 11 victories at home has seen us win to nil, but I think only 25% of home matches or thereabouts have gone over 2.5 tmg’s. If memory serves me right, we’ve had 3x 2 nil wins in those 8 games.
Russell seems to of been on the red-bull, linking well with Wisdom, Forsyth seems to of grabbed his shirt back from Olsson on the opposite side of defence. Keogh and Davies in the middle in front of Carson have partnered well. Thorne and Huddlestone as holding midfielders seem very much more capable and Russells opposite number on the other wing – Lawrence is regularly putting in a shift. Vydra has already earned his £8 million price tag in his new role off the shoulder of our front man, and Nugent seems about the best man to spearhead that frontal attack. I’d just like a few more goals from him.
I look at the fixture list ahead and I have to remind myself that we are not the only team in the league that has a tough run in of games around February and March. We’re all in the same boat. With Bristol having a wobble, I guess there is no better time to play them. We MUST be beating them and keep this momentum going, but we’ve got to cut the amount of ball time they get and should we take the lead, we cannot take the foot off the gas. I think tonight’s side should see 4 or even 5 faces different to the side that got humiliated back in September.

Yeah great we’re out of the cup and can concentrate on the league and all that jazz but a cup run is always nice and on the bigger picture our last 3 games have been 0-0, 0-0 and a 2-1 defeat albeit with 2 of those being cup games with huge changes. Don’t want to dip form when Derby are hitting there form.

For what it’s worth I see wolves beating forest tomorrow but won’t tip it.

Derby tonight and this is big for us as they are heaping pressure on us and in danger of making a competition of the league.

See derby winning tonight at evens and having 2.5 points on it.

Skybet have some France league 2 specials also

Goal in both halves 120/1
Goal in first half 16/1
O1.5 goals in each game 17/2

On all those and have seen a 28/1, 12/1 and 80/1 come in this week on Skybet France specials

Just having a little play around with Bet365‘s Bet Builder and it appears you can use it on a lot of the friendlies Could prove to be a great way of extracting value out of big mismatches so gonna try it on a Norwegian friendly

It was a terrific midweek and I’ll do well to have consecutive nights like that again

Lorient v Clearmont Foot KO 7pm

It’s been some some winter for Lorient were goals are concerned. Their last 7 Legaue matches have all been over 2.5 goals and both sides scoring ( 5 of those went over 3.5 goals) – they scored 17 goals in those games but also conceded 15 – they are solid at home losing just once in their last 16 games. Clermont come into this off the back off an impressive 3-0 win against Valenciennes. They don’t travel well and given Lorients scoring prowess and the fact they concede we should see both sides contributing here

Both landed on Tue and Wednesday night and it’s never far away but don’t expect it to come in every week – it’s a market you need to do every week which will deliver decent profit at the end of the season

If you want to go all out Skybet also offer these on the Dutch games tonight 6/1 and 9/4 respectively

Hello everyone, this is my first post here.
First things first, so I want to thank the all community for this amazing place that have been helping me for months.
Now I feel ready to start contributing with something.
I’m from Portugal, so I apologize for any english mistake!

Hi gents. Dutch Eerste action tonight and for the first time I’m taking advantage of the Bet 365 Bet Builder. Much like the RAB and YourOdds markets, 365 let you select your own picks.

FC Oss stunned second placed Nijmegen last time out with three goals from their three shots at goal, and are now a very good price at home to the Utrecht reserves. The Utrecht youth have conceded 2+ in 8 of their 10 road games this season. As mentioned last week, Oss aren’t the goalscorers of last season but have hit some form and will be pumped after their 3-0 win over NEC.

A very disappointing result. All square, so just the Derby clean sheet bet came in tonight.
To be fair, both teams had chances but Derby were the more wasteful in front of goal. Vydra and Russell could easily of netted and I feel the ref missed 2 penalties late on. Definitely the 2nd was a stonewall penalty and on any other day this match could of been laden with goals.
I think Bristol will be happier about the result than Derby. Results this weekend could see Wolves capitalise and the 3rd and 4th spots all tighten up that gap to us still in 2nd spot.

@cockerspaniel I bet since 20 years ago when only market was WDW and over or under 2.5 goals, now almost people bet on overs and goal goal and bookmakers always exploit that , no more values in that , always we need to find sports or markets were we find what we like , ice hockey is the same like football , line 2.5 in football is equal with 5.5 in hockey, plenty of leagues to find over 4.5 goals – odds around 1.40 – 1.60 , Germany 2 , France , Switzerland , Slovakia , Finland 2 . Sweden and KHL(Russia and others)- have better odds on over 4.5 goals , now in football is hard to get a combo on 2 games with odds around 2.00 (even) but in Ice Hockey we have many possibilities. Only we(you) need is to search. GL Pal.
Try and let me know . GL PS(Forget about if Neymar plays or Messi have a s..t) in ice hockey every team have 4 lines of playes to go 😉