Clemson could still get to 10-6 in the ACC, all their games are winnable except for the game at Duke. I think they'd be in if they do that and win a tournament game.

Maryland is in deep trouble, they have to go at least 5-1 in their last 6 and pick up a win or two in the ACC tournament. They still don't have a top 50 win, so the game at UNC is probably a must win. Their chances are slim at this point.

I realy think Alabama is going to make the tournament now. Their remaining games are @LSU, Arkansas, Auburn, @Ole Miss, @Florida, Georgia. I expect them to do no worse than 4-2 in that stretch. Does anyone honestly think a team that goes 12-4 in the SEC is not making the tournament?

Look at Kentucky in 2008. They went 6-7 out of conference, including that awful loss to Gardner-Webb, then went 12-4 in SEC play and snuck into the tournament as an 11 seed.

The precedent is there, and I fully expect the committee to include Alabama in the field, bad computer numbers and all, if they get to 12 conference wins.

So you're talking a 16-8 (8-2) team with an RPI of about 85 after today. They have 2 more shots at Top 50 wins in Florida and Georgia, and potentially could gain 1 (2 including today's win) more if Ole Miss sneaks into the Top 50.

Biggest difference between the two cases was that Kentucky's overall SOS was much harder than Alabama's. You're right, the precedent is there for a team with an RPI in the 60's to sneak in. But I think that is best case scenario for them. They won't secure an at-large bid anytime soon with those computer numbers, no matter what their conference record is.

Maryland's in a lot of trouble right now. They are going to have to go 5-1 down the stretch and win at North Carolina to get back in the mix heading into the ACC tourney. Clemson is in a little bit better shape than Maryland, but not by much. They need to finish 4-1 down the stretch, and that's going to be tough with three road games (including a game at Duke) left.

ODU will replace VCU in the bracket on Monday.

Michigan is playing well right now, but they aren't worthy of an at-large just yet. There's still a better chance they finish 8-10, and not 9-9, with the schedule they have left.

Any chance Pitt is the number one overall seed in the next bracket? Nobody has a more impressive set of victories. They now have 6 RPI top 25 wins, including 4 away from home. Ohio St has just 2 top 25 wins, and Kansas only has one.

Losses don't get much more brutal than Kansas State's loss tonight. Not only did the Wildcats think they won the game (only to find out they didn't), but they also might have seen their at-large hopes go up in smoke. They're now seventh in the Big XII pecking order, behind Baylor (who they trail by a game and a half in conference) and Colorado (who beat them twice). They'll need to go at worst 4-2 down the stretch to get a bid, and that's going to be a tough task with games against Kansas, Missouri, and Texas left.

Yes, Pitt has a very good chance to be the top overall seed on Monday.

Terrible break for the 'Noles tonight. We'll have to see how long they will be without Singleton before we give any long-term seed projections, but if they get to 11-5 (Singleton or no Singleton), they'll get a bid regardless of what they do in the ACC tourney.

Ha B101 still hasnt commented on ivy league thing, but i still cant believe Harvard came back from 24 point deficit to win. Princeton had a scare with Cornell too, kind of pathetic for both of em tonight but they still won.

Yeah, those crappy wins over vastly overmanned opponents unable to stay afloat in the terrible CAA really made a difference, I think... They aren't a lock, and probably need to win their last 4 to ensure a spot against a bad tournament showing.

@anonymous... No. Harvard hasn't done anything. 2 top 100 RPI wins, 1 top 50, and no more chances to get top 50 wins, plus no conference tournament... If they lose again they are done, and I think they have to lose again to lose the auto bid

Haha...we're not avoiding the Ivy issue at all. Just trying to get a little sleep.

It's still kind of a long shot, but the Ivy is closer to getting two bids now than they've ever been. For it to happen, Harvard and Princeton have to win out, and Princeton would have to win the one-game playoff that would decide the auto bid.(The Tigers don't have much of an at-large profile.)

If that scenario unfolds, it will be fascinating to see what the committee does. Will they reward a co-regular season small conference champ that had two decent OOC wins (especially for an Ivy League team)? Or will the Ivy's conference RPI (15) be too much for the committee to overlook? A lot will depend on what happens in conference tournaments across the country (bid stealers, etc.) and how Colorado and BC fare down the stretch. If those teams fade, Harvard's chances to get an at-large might fade with them.

How come the schools from the west get no love? I know that the schools that dominate out here are Washington, arizona, and San Diego st. I know ucla is a shoe in, and byu will probably get a 3 seed at worse. St. Mary will be a threat in the big dance. What about washington state and gonzaga?

I highly doubt that princeton will be able to jump into the top 50 since their sos will drop and drop and drop as they keep playing terrible teams. Plus, if they lose to harvard, setting up the one game playoff, they definitely won't be there.

It's not any "East Coast bias" that's keeping Washington State and Gonzaga out; those teams just aren't at-large worthy right now. Washington State still has a chance to get back in, but the Cougars will have to solve their problems on the road and finish at worst 3-2 down the stretch. They'll also have to win at least a game in the Pac-10 tourney. Gonzaga needs at worst a 4-1 finish and a trip to the WCC final.

^About two weeks ago you said that if Gonaga lost either of their games against St. Mary's or Memphis they would have to win out until the WCC Final. They lost both and now they only need to go 4-1 how is that? Who have they beat? And other than them and St. Mary's the WCC is garbage.

Gonzaga hasn't lost "both" of those games yet. They've only played one of them - and lost to Memphis.

A lot has changed in the two weeks since we made those comments. A 4-1 finish might still not be enough to get Gonzaga in, but it has a better chance of getting them in than it did two weeks ago. The bubble is getting softer by the day and it seems that everyday, 1 or 2 teams play their way off of it. If Gonzaga wins out and gets to the WCC final, they're likely going to get in. If they lose to St. Mary's, finish 4-1, and make the final, they'll be one of the last teams in or out on Selection Sunday.

Magik, the fact that we've been talking about the at-large charges of Ivy League(!) teams should indicate that the bubble as a whole is garbage. If a team in the large and amorphus mass of mediocre teams puts together a solid winning streak, it has a good chance of favorable attention in the bubble, simply because winning would distinguish any team from its pitiful peers.

At what point does Tennessee enter the bubble discussion. They already have 10 losses with trips to Kentucky and Vanderbilt, plus home games against Florida and Georgia, still on the schedule. Not to mention the SEC tournament. Could this team break the record for most losses still getting an invite (14+)?

Besides the fact that BYU and SDSU are both good, the losses were only by 1 at a neutral site and by 14 on the road. Also, the Gaels are 6-3/3-1 on the road/at neutral sites this year. Ask Villanova if they're a threat.

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