Tuesday, December 7, 2010

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Bobcats, -1.5, 203

When the Nuggets take the floor Tuesday night, they will be playing mostly for George Karl and that is not just because he is their head coach; Karl will be going for his 1000th win. The Nuggets have covered 4 of their last 5 match ups with the Bobcats, while Charlotte is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game. The Nuggets are 13-6 so far this season, but where they have struggled has been covering spreads, where they are 6-11-2.

Another trend for these two teams has been the over in their past few games with it going 5-1 in their past 6 match ups. In Denver’s last 5 games, the Nuggets are averaging over 111 points per game and with that trend, I think the over is a good pick because the Nuggets are allowing over 100 points as well in their last 5. Charlotte Bobcats guard Stephen Jackson sat out of practice Monday due to a cramp in his left calf, he is expected to play in this game but I really think it will affect the way the Bobcats will run their offense and how the Nuggets will have to defend players like Gerald Wallace and D.J. Augustin.

In this game I have two separate leans, I think the Nuggets and the over are two very safe plays in this match up, especially with the home team going 5-1 straight up in their last 6 meetings.