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Fed stimulus hopes lift S&P 500 to another record

By STEVE ROTHWELL AP Markets Writer

Posted:
10/22/2013 09:15:30 AM CDT

Updated:
10/22/2013 04:13:27 PM CDT

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Traders Richard Scardino, left, and Luigi Muccitelli work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange Tuesday, Oct. 22, 2013. Stocks gained in early trading Tuesday as investors bet that the Federal Reserve would keep up its economic stimulus for longer after the government reported a slowdown in hiring last month.

NEW YORK—The prospect of more economic stimulus from the Federal Reserve pushed the Standard & Poor's 500 index to a fourth consecutive record close Tuesday.

Investors also were encouraged by strong earnings from major U.S. companies such as Whirlpool, Delta Air Lines and Kimberly-Clark.

The U.S. economy added 148,000 jobs in September, the Labor Department reported Tuesday, lower than the 180,000 jobs forecast. The report was delayed for 2 1/2 weeks because of a 16-day partial government shutdown.

Analysts are also expecting the upcoming jobs report for October to be weak because the shutdown may have dampened hiring.

In the absence of stronger jobs growth, the economy will struggle to grow quickly and that means the Fed is unlikely to stop its stimulus effort anytime soon.

"We've probably got another relatively soft report ahead of us," said Jeff Kleintop, Chief Market Strategist for LPL Financial. "That's likely to keep the Fed on hold for some time and the market seems to like that."

The Fed has been buying $85 billion of bonds a month to keep long-term interest rates low and spur economic growth. The stimulus has been a key driver of a 4 1/2-year rally in stocks that has pushed the S&P 500 index and Dow Jones industrial average to record levels this year.

S&P 500 companies are forecast to report average earnings growth of 3.5 percent for the third quarter, according to the latest estimate from S&P Capital IQ. That would be the slowest rate of growth since the third quarter a year ago.

While growth has slowed, about two-thirds of companies are reporting earnings that are beating forecasts from Wall Street analysts.

The company's stock opened higher after Netflix reported late Monday that its earnings quadrupled and it attracted more subscribers in the third quarter. The gains faded throughout the day and the stock closed down $32.47, or 9 percent, at $322.52.

The stock has gained 248 percent this year, making it the second-best performer in the S&P 500 after Best Buy. Despite the good results, analysts at Jefferies Group say Netflix's valuation is hard to justify given the cost of content, heavy competition and likelihood that the company will have to raise capital to fund its operations.

In government bond trading, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 2.52 percent, its lowest level since late July, from 2.60 percent late Monday.

The yields on long-term Treasury notes are used to set the rates on consumer loans such as mortgages. Falling rates should help the housing sector by keeping the cost of home financing low.

The drop in yields "is very much supportive for the mortgage markets," said Anastasia Amoroso, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Funds. "That is definitely a tailwind for the housing market and the consumer."

Stocks of homebuilders also got a boost from a report that showed spending on U.S. construction projects rose at a solid pace in August, helped by further gains in residential building.

In commodities trading, the price of crude oil fell $1.42, or 1.4 percent, to $97.80 a barrel as recent data indicated there is plenty of supply to meet current demand. The price of gold rose $26.80, or 2 percent, to $1,342.60 an ounce.

Among stocks making big moves:

— Whirlpool rose $15.22, or 11.6 percent, to $146.19 after the company said its third-quarter net income more than doubled.

— Delta Air Lines rose 80 cents, or 3.2 percent, to $25.49. The airline made more than a billion dollars in the third quarter as more passengers paid a little bit extra to fly. Delta also said it was seeing strong holiday bookings.

— Kimberly-Clark rose $4.14, or 4.2 percent, to $102.97 after the maker of Kleenex tissues and Huggies diapers said its third-quarter net income rose 6 percent.

— Coach fell $4.08, or 7.5 percent, to $50.10 after the maker of luxury handbags and accessories said its quarterly net income fell. The company is struggling with weaker sales in North America.