Connolly, Brett

Wow, what a night. Things went to plan for three picks and then everything descended into slow moving chaos. The Blue Jackets took the guy I, personally, thought the Lightning would end up with at the fourth pick, the Islanders took the guy half the internet thought was going to the Lightning with the fifth pick, and then the Lightning decided not to take the guy everyone thought they would take with the sixth pick, as Brandon Gormley and Cam Fowler spiraled down the draft board in the mild hockey equivalent of an Aaron Rodgers/Brady Quinn draft free fall.

What to make of Brett Connolly, though? There's absolutely no doubt his athleticism and skill are world class, or at least they were prior to his injuries. Connolly's agent wouldn't allow teams to perform an MRI on prior to the draft to verify its soundness, so one wonders how the Lightning made an informed decision about it. Between his hips and some talk of structural weakness in his hand, I seriously wonder if the Lightning have drafted a guy who will end up being a part time player like Buffalo's Tim Connolly. Adding to my fears was a post-draft interview on TSN that did nothing to disspell whispers I've heard about Connolly's attitude. He looked annoyed and bored, all at the same time, and I'm wondering what is going on in his head. Is he going to carry a chip on his shoulder into the rest of the offseason and training camp to show the world that not only are his hips healthy, but that he was indeed the best player in this draft class? Or is Connolly already a little burned out by the scrutiny that comes with being a premiere prospect? Seriously, after watching the interview and after my making a big deal of how badly Connolly came across, the BoltProspects staff reviewed several pieces of interview footage, and we've come to the unnerving conclusion Connolly may be incapable of emoting genuine happiness.

Scouting Comments:
"(Connolly) makes an impact on the game without looking like he's even breaking a sweat." - Red Line Report

Strengths:
Prior to his hips injuries, Connolly was a blend of great top end speed, agility, and world class hockey sense. He finds seams in the offensive zone and buries his chances with ruthless efficiency. He's also an underrated penalty killer.

Weaknesses:
Injuries. Connolly has had serious hip flexor problems in both of his hips which cost him much of his draft season, and there's some question if his skating ability will ever recover. He's also slight of build and needs to get bigger to win one-on-one puck battles. He's not terrible defensively, but his game in the defensive third does need refinement.

Projection:
If he's healthy, the Lightning have a first line scoring winger for the next ten years. Red Line compares Connolly to Sharks star Patrick Marleau in terms of his skills package. But, it's also a possibility that Connolly's injury problems never go away and he's a part time player a la Buffalo's Tim Connolly. High risk. High reward.

Connolly grew up in Prince George, British Columbia, and was drafted by his hometown Cougars 10th overall in the 2007 WHL Bantam draft. He made his WHL debut as a 15-year-old for the Cougars, playing in four games. As a 16-year-old, Connolly was one of the brightest young stars in Canadian juniors, earning WHL and CHL rookie of the year honors after becoming the first 16-year-old to score 30 goals in the WHL since Patrick Marleau. At 16 he frequently played on the same line as Lightning draftee Dana Tyrell before Tyrell suffered a knee injury. Tyrell’s first point of his final junior season was an assist earned on Connolly’s second career WHL goal.

Connolly had two hat tricks in his rookie year, November 1 vs. Kamloops and February 13 vs. Chilliwack.

Connolly’s draft year was marred by hip injuries that limited him to 16 games. He managed 10 goals and nine assists in those games, including a hat trick vs. Chilliwack in September.

Once thought to be a top-3 pick, he “fell” to No.6 overall in the 2010 NHL Entry Draft, where he was taken by the Lightning.

He appeared in two preseason games with Tampa Bay prior to the 2010-2011 season, going scoreless with a minus-1 rating and two penalty minutes.

Re-assigned to Prince George, Connolly was named captain of the Cougars for the season and earned at least a point in his first 14 games, including one stretch where he scored at least two goals in four out of five games. He had 11 two-goal games, but never any hat tricks on his way to 46 goals in 59 games – good enough for third in the league.

Connolly would have hit the 50-goal mark if not for two prolonged absences from his Cougars squad. The first, he was named to Team Canada for the World Junior Championships, a great honor for any young Canadian. Connolly earned three assists in seven games as Canada took home the silver. Connolly played mostly a third or fourth line role in the tournament.

The second absence came when he suffered a knee injury against Chilliwack January 12. He was expected to miss a month, but came back two weeks later and had a career best four points (two goals and two assists) in a win over Kamloops. He was a career worst minus-5 the following game vs. Kelowna, however.

The quick recovery from a knee injury would have gone a long way to prove he was not “injury prone,” but in the Cougars’ first playoff game against Kelowna he was hit into the boards awkwardly and separated his shoulder. The Cougars were swept in the series without him. Reports later said Connolly could have played had the Cougars advanced.

Connolly was invited to Canada’s national team development camp in the summer of 2011 and fared well, but again scared his fans when he was tripped in a scrimmage, hurt his leg, and was helped off the ice. It turned out to be a bad bruise and he played in both the Red vs. White games in the days that followed. He did not score in either contest.

As one of the few returning players from Canada’s 2011 world junior club, Connolly is expected to make the team and be one of its leaders.

Scouting Report

Scouting Comments:

"(Connolly) makes an impact on the game without looking like he's even breaking a sweat." - Red Line Report

Strengths:

Prior to his hip injuries, Connolly was a blend of great top end speed, agility, and world class hockey sense. He finds seams in the offensive zone and buries his chances with ruthless efficiency. He's also an underrated playmaker and penalty killer.

Weaknesses:

Injuries. Connolly has had serious hip flexor problems in both of his hips which cost him much of his draft season, and there's some question if his skating ability will ever recover. He's also slight of build and needs to get bigger to win one-on-one puck battles. He's not terrible defensively, but his game in the defensive third does need refinement.

Projection:

If he's healthy, the Lightning have a first line scoring winger for the next 10 years. Red Line compares Connolly to Sharks star Patrick Marleau in terms of his skills package. But, it's also a possibility that Connolly's injury problems never go away and he's a part time player a la Buffalo's Tim Connolly. High risk. High reward.