Articles and Analysis

A new Pew Research Center national survey of 1,501 adults (conducted 9/12 through 9/16) finds:

Among 568 registered Democrats and those who lean Democratic, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (42% to 25%) in a national primary; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 14%.

Among 467 registered Republicans and those who lean Republican, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads former Sen. Fred Thompson (32% to 21%) in a national primary; Sen. John McCain trails at 15%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 9%, former Speaker Newt Gingrich at 6%.

Comments

Paul:

Compared to Harris poll released today, Democrat numbers are very similar. However, Harris has Thompson up 4 points whereas Pew has Giuliani in a double digit lead. McCain 3rd and Romney 4th is consistent. I wonder why the Thompson numbers could be so different between the two polls? I also would suggest that Romney's national numbers are low because he is concentrating all or almost all of his effort in the very early states, so that after Iowa and New Hampshire, the Republican landscape could be quite different. On the Democratic side, Clinton looks like a lock regardless of what poll you look at.

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