I am fascinated by the massive growth in mobile phone penetration globally. This must be one of the biggest social changes that humans were ever submitted to. I am sure that this social phenomena, will eventually impact the way that we trade and pay as well. This is what I am writing about. See disclaimer at the bottom of blog.

Wednesday, June 06, 2012

Kamal Quadir is a Bangladeshi American entrepreneur, probably best known for starting CellBazaar. Last year, Kamal got involved with mobile banking in emerging markets and was instrumental in the launch of bKash in Bangladesh. In January the Bangladesh Bank Governor Dr Atiur Rahman inaugurated bKash for GrameenPhone (see photo and Read here). This was a major milestone in the provision of full mobile banking services to the underbanked in Bangladesh.

Bangladesh is a large country with a large unbanked population. Because of the high levels of poverty and a large rural population, it is difficult to offer commercially viable services to this sector of the community. The more than forty banks offer limited electronic access to financial services and customers have to visit branches (predominantly in the cities) to be served. The functionality of existing mobile payment services are limited (typically only offering bill payment and airtime top-up). (Read the following source).

That is why the new bKash service launched in collaboration with BRAC bank, conforming to the central bank guidelines, backed by Visa and offering a comprehensive service is such a big step forward. Utilisation of an extensive agent network through small retailers, this service is available in all parts of the country and has already shown good growth since it was launched in July 2011. (Read here and here)

When Nokia announced the end of the road for Nokia money earlier this year in March (Read here), it did not come as a major surprise for many practitioners in the industry. The sad thing was that it had to take the best part of five years and tens of millions of dollars for the realisation to set in.

I was doubtful about the ability of Nokia to successfully enter the mobile banking space in a number of blog-entries on this blog (Mar 2009 and again in Sept 2009) and so were others. What has gone unnoticed was that Nokia was involved in a number of mobile payment initiatives prior to Nokia money, all of them failed. Most famous venture was the Meridea initiative started in about 2003 with other partners (including Accenture, Sampo and venture capital firms). Meridea filed for bankruptcy in Aug 2007. (Read here).

At about the same time (in 2005 until 2007) a number of groups within Nokia were planning mobile payment initiatives. These groups ranged from teams based in Helsinki, Munich and India. The merger of the Nokia infrastructure group with Siemens, killed some of the initiatives; but the India plans prevailed. After considering a number of approaches, Nokia invested $70m in Obopay in March 2007 (Read here) and selected the US company (with relatively little experience in emerging markets) as their technology partner. I believe that this was the first mistake - selecting a partner with little applicable experience.

In Nov 2009 Teppo Paavola (vice president mobile financial services) announced that the services will be commercially available in Q1 2010 (Read here). Only a pilot was deployed in Pune with Yes bank during Feb 2011. Soon afterwards, Nokia announced that it would acquire Obopay India operations (Read here). This basically meant that all operational expenses would be for Nokia's account going into the future. While this might not have looked as a mature mistake, it created a cash-flow commitment into the future, that would drain resources for the next few years.

Soon afterwards, Nokia realised that it would be difficult to follow a similar strategy into other emerging markets. An approach where Nokia would rather partner with successful deployments in other regions became apparent with the announcement of a relationship with MCB in Pakistan (July 2011) (Read here). MCB successfully launched their own mobile banking service on the Fundamo platform and has won a number of awards for this service on global platforms.

Nokia finally launched the service commercially in India in Nov 2011 (Read here) - almost two years late. The service was a well designed consumer-facing service with rich features running on any Nokia phone (independent of the carrier). The service reportedly started showing good traction by the end of the year, but was still at negative cashflow only a few months later when the plug was pulled.
This is really a very sad story, specifically because the initiative was suspended just at the point when the possibility of a successful business was actually real. I think that many lessons can be learned from this tragedy, and maybe history will show that this would be the main benefits that Nokia money will bring to the industry. For me, the two main lessons are: not to pick an inexperienced partner and to be careful about major, future cashflow commitments - especially if these are motivated on too ambitious targets.

Monday, June 04, 2012

I have often said that mobile payments is probably not a good name for what is happening. One should rather think of it as digitising cash payments. As we know the majority of payments today in the world is carried out by the exchange of something physical: cash. The mobile payment revolution is about turning this into a digital exchange. This in itself can add significant value to the world of many.

However it is the fact that systems can now access the digital nature of payments that will really lead to drastic innovation. The fact that individuals can now be charged for something (immediately, directly and in small quantities) will trigger more and more innovation.

We are already seeing this in countries where mobile payments have taken root. Innovative solutions to distribute money, to pay for diverse things like solar power, to distribute grants and to collect small contributions are already being deployed by small companies with great plans and exciting visions. Some of these companies are tackling important issues like health and unemployment, while others are working on social media solutions. Much is happening, but this is just the beginning.

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This is my personal blog. It is not my intention to distribute news that is available elsewhere, but rather comment on it or provide the reader with my own thoughts. Unless otherwise stated, the views expressed on this blog are mine alone. I expressly disclaim any and all liability of any kind or nature with respect to any act or omission based wholly or in part in reliance on anything contained on this blog. Any links that appear on this blog are purely for your information. I'm not making any representations as to their content or, in fact, any other matter concerning them. Follow all links at your own risk.