Nathan Forster is back with an upgraded version of the BackCAST system introduced last year. It suggests 2017 is a historically great year for running backs, but pegs Alvin Kamara of Tennessee is a likely bust. We'll expand upon this article next week on FO, explaining the changes in the BackCAST system made since last year.

I think you need to factor fumbles into this metric. Zierlein's scouting report on Marlon Mack notes "Has a very poor fumble rate over this three years and has put the ball on the ground twelve times." That makes him far less attractive to NFL teams than BackCAST suggests.

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