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El Niño is defined by above-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific Ocean. These sea-surface temperatures cycle from warm to cool, relative to average, over a several-year period. When the sea-surface temperatures in the same area of the Pacific Ocean are cooler than average for a few months, a La Niña pattern has developed.

“El Niño will transition to neutral conditions early this summer, then perhaps toward a weak La Nina during August or September,” according to AccuWeather Chief International Meteorologist Jason Nicholls. “Because of this and other factors, we expect rainfall to return toward average over a large part of India, Malaysia and Indonesia.”