Last week, I approvingly linked the Daily Kos report on the PPP poll it commissioned when it showed Mitt Romney leading by two point, 49/47. Markos Moulitsas responded with some snark on Twitter, wondering if Id link future polling from his site, and I said I probably would. Since I am a man of my word, here is the latest Daily Kos/PPP weekly polling result  which turned out to be even more painful than the first for Markos:

Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos & SEIU. 10/12-14. Likely voters. MoE ±2.5% (10/4-7 results) The candidates for President are Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If the election was today, who would you vote for?Obama 46 (47) Romney 50 (49)

At a time when other polls are moving back in the presidents direction, our own weekly poll by Public Policy Polling saw the oppositea two-point Romney gain. Per day:

That Sunday sample, about a quarter of the total, was entirely responsible for Romneys favorable numbers. Thats why the good pollsters collect data over multiple days, to smooth out such irregularities. And at 400 respondents (or so), Sunday had a single-day MoE of 4.9 percent. Lots of polls float around with worse. On the other hand, Saturdays sample MoE was 3.92 percent, while Fridays was 3.97 percent. And with no external news even suggesting the big Sunday collapse, it certainly smells like an outlier.

This lends some credence to the Mitt-mentum theory of a preference cascade already beginning. Thats not to say the election is over, but it does mean that its no longer Mitt Romney that needs a game changer. Its Barack Obama..........Exactly my thoughts.

obama is sticking with his class warfare/attack the rich game. People aren’t buying it. As an example: I work in midtown where a new high rise building has been under construction for the past couple of years. Those are all union workers putting that building up. I can assure you that it’s not government built. The average middle class American knows that it’s the innovators, entrepreneurs, investors and capitalists who keep the economy going. The government simply borrows and prints money. That’s why we can’t get ahead. 1.3% GDP four years in to his administration is disgraceful.

Are we now trusting a PPP/DailyKos poll? Just for a debate? Just before the BIG OBAMA COMEBACK?

I tend to agree with you. We should not even have poll threads here on FR, they are less than useless. It's been explained ad naueseum how they are not statitically reliable, even Rassmussen. There is one fact, this is not 2008 and Obama is in real trouble, enough trouble where I think he will be soundly defeated. The wipeout is coming for the Democrats.

I think the setup is in for tonight. Romney is walking into a meat grinder.

That doesn’t mean the libs will get what they are hoping for, but it does mean that Romney will have to perform at 100%. I have a feeling this “moderator” is going to be trying to set him up all night. She will be Obama’s surrogate hit man.

Put another way, about 4 million fewer people are working today than when Obama took office. And as you can also see, since Obamas recovery began there are even fewer people working then in the worst of the recession he inherited. And Obama claims he created 5 million jobs. That is a lie , maybe in China but LOST 4 million jobs and the workforce grew by 8 million so it should have created 12 million jobs instead of losing 4 million( this is just to break even with the great depression it inherited). yet the media and Obama’s burro of labor statistics says the unemployment rate going down. amazing.

BTW CC has been put on notice by legal authority to not take that kind of tack on the debate. She is to only moderate time and recognize citizens to ask questions. Nothing more, nothing less.

I hope you are correct. The way I read it, she was told to do that, but they admitted that if she ignored them, not much could be done about it. And we can be sure the audience and questions will be selected to hurt Romney.

I agree with the AOS piece on how Romney can pretty much stuff Bengazi way far up Obozo's butt. And do it politely.

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