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Inflation, as measured by the rate of change of the Consumer Price Index (CP1), has slowed substantially in recent years. Since 1990, it has averaged less than 3 percent, compared with an average rate of about 5 percent in the previous three years (see figure 1). Similarly, other measures, designed to exclude transitory special factors and focus on the so-called core or underlying rate of inflation, have also slowed to around 3 percent. From the perspective of this rear-view mirror, it seems evident that the deceleration in prices has stopped, as both measures have tended to stabilize around the recent lower mean levels.

Inflation, as measured by the rate of change of the Consumer Price Index (CP1), has slowed substantially in recent years. Since 1990, it has averaged less than 3 percent, compared with an average rate of about 5 percent in the previous three years (see figure 1). Similarly, other measures, designed to exclude transitory special factors and focus on the so-called core or underlying rate of inflation, have also slowed to around 3 percent. From the perspective of this rear-view mirror, it seems evident that the deceleration in prices has stopped, as both measures have tended to stabilize around the recent lower mean levels.

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This Economic Commentary studies the behavior of colleges when they are asked to list a set of comparison group
colleges in annual data reporting for the US Department of Education but are given little direction on how to do so. I find that, relative to themselves, colleges tend to list for comparison colleges that are more selective, are larger, and have better resources. One possible interpretation of these findings is that colleges overestimate where they stand relative to others, although an alternative interpretation is that colleges have accurate views but list comparison institutions based on aspirations.
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Most studies of the persistent gap in wealth between whites and blacks have investigated the large gap in income earned by the two groups. Those studies generally concluded that the wealth gap was “too big” to be explained by differences in income. We study the issue using a different approach, capturing the dynamics of wealth accumulation over time. We find that the income gap is the primary driver behind the wealth gap and that it is large enough to explain the persistent difference in wealth accumulation. The key policy implication of our work is that policies designed to speed the closing of the racial wealth gap would do well to focus on closing the racial income gap.
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Though the need to remediate lead seems to be a public health issue with a housing-based solution, the impacts of this crisis are far-reaching. Lead poisoning impacts all of us. The more people and organizations see themselves as part of the solution, the more likely we’ll find success.
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05.16.19

The economic conference will provide researchers from academia and central banks an opportunity to exchange new ideas on modeling inflation and inflation expectations and their relationship to the macroeconomy.