Clearly, Labour are either going to have to break their promise on no tax rises, or they're going to have to break their promise on public spending increases. And they're going to have to hope like hell that nothing happens to the economy, such as, for instance, the housing bubble bursting.

Now I don't know about you, but at this point I'm actually suffering from deja vu.

In 2008 the National Party, led by a young charismatic banker, promised a series of tax cuts without spending cuts, in the middle of the worst recession since the 1930s.

But with his winning grin and his "aw shucks" persona, he got away with it.

Will Labour get away with this? Probably not. Not only are the people of New Zealand not nearly stupid enough to fall for the same sort of bribery twice in a row, but even if they were Labour does not have a single politician charismatic or inspiring enough to make us look the other way.

Their leader is indistinguishable from the wall behind him, and while their deputy might get a lot of media attention, the reality is that she has no appeal outside of middle class Auckland and Wellington and isn't going to win over anyone in conservative middle New Zealand.

But at the end of the day, the whole argument is moot and Labour's promise not to raise taxes isn't worth the air that passed through Mr. Little's lungs.

And let's face it: If the Australian Green Party was able to push through an unpopular carbon tax with only one seat in Parliament, then imagine what kind of concessions the New Zealand Green Party will get with a third of the government benches and a few Cabinet posts.

All this begs an important question: Why bother voting for Labour at all? Either you support their tax plan, in which case you might as well vote for National who can guarantee the exact same plan without having to make concessions to the Greens, or you can accept that Labour will inevitably have to adopt the Green Party's tax plan, in which case you might as well just cut the middle man and vote for the Greens.

About the author

A failed artist turned to politics, because when has that ever gone wrong? A right-wing populist, Red Tory, civic nationalist, and Westie, railing on behalf of blue-collar people against the liberal globalist elite.

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