The demographic profiles display key demographic indicators for selected periods or dates between 1950-2100, for countries or areas with more than 90,000 inhabitants in 2015. In all figures, values for 1950-2015 are estimates and those thereafter are projections (medium variant).

Plots are not available for Regions.
See the PDF.

Line Charts

Population Pyramids

The dotted line indicates the excess male or female population in certain age groups. The data are in thousands or millions.

Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2015). World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision.

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Population

Fertility

Life Expectancy

Child Dependency Ratios

Old-age Dependency Ratios

Total Dependency Ratios

Potential Support Ratios

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/

Total Population

Population Aged 0-14

Population Aged 0-19

Population Aged 0-24

Population Aged 15-59

Population Aged 15-64

Population Aged 20-64

Population Aged 20-69

Population Aged 25-64

Population Aged 25-69

Population Aged 60 and over

Population Aged 65 and over

Population Aged 70 and over

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/TOT/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the total population for countries or areas, geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/0-14/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/0-19/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/0-24/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/15-59/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/15-64/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/20-64/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/20-69/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/25-64/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/25-69/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/60plus/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/65plus/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/70plus/

Explanation: These charts show estimates and probabilistic projections of the specified population age range for countries or areas with a population of 90,000 or more in 2015, along with geographical aggregates and World Bank income groups as defined in Definition of Regions. The population projections are based on the probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth, based on estimates of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. These probabilistic projections of total fertility and life expectancy at birth were carried out with a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. The figures display the probabilistic median, and the 80 and 95 per cent prediction intervals of the probabilistic population projections, as well as the (deterministic) high and low variant (+/- 0.5 child) of the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.

Explanation: These charts of the decline curves are from the Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling (BHM) of total fertility that has been carried out with fertility estimates from the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. Please note that only a small selection of the probabilistic double-logistic trajectories is displayed (gray lines) for illustration. The model is using 600,000 trajectories. The observed five-year decrements by level of total fertility are shown by black dots if they refer to the periods of the fertility transition defined as Phase II (i.e., from high to low fertility). The median projection is the solid bold red line, and the 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively. Phase I data refer to the period before the start of the fertility transition (if it occurred since 1950). Phase III data refer to the low-fertility post-transition period not modelled using the double-logistic model, but by a first order auto-regressive time series model (AR(1)).

Explanation: These charts are from the Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling of total fertility that has been carried out with fertility estimates from the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. Please note that only a small selection of the probabilistic trajectories of total fertility is displayed (gray lines) for illustration. The model is using 60,000 trajectories of projected total fertility. The median projection is the solid bold red line, and the 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively. The high-low fertility variants in the 2015 Revision correspond to +/- 0.5 child around the median trajectory displayed as blue dashed lines. The replacement-level of 2.1 children per woman is plotted as green horizontal dashed line only for reference.

Explanation: These charts of the gains in life expectancy at birth are from the Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling (BHM) of life expectancy at birth that has been carried out with estimates of life expectancy from the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. Please note that only a small selection of the probabilistic double-logistic trajectories is displayed (gray lines) for illustration. The model is using 1,450,000 trajectories.
* For countries having ever experienced 2.4 per cent or more adult HIV prevalence during the period 1980 to 2013, prediction intervals (e.g. 80% and 95%) are based on probabilistic projections of life expectancy at birth (with non-informative country priors) where the median trajectory for each country has been adjusted to the 2015 WPP deterministic projection that incorporates the impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/EX/Male/

Probabilistic Projections of male life expectancy at birth using WPP2015 estimates
Male Life Expectancy at birth: Median, 80% and 95% prediction intervals *

Explanation: These charts are from the correlated male life expectancies at birth that have been carried out with female and male life expectancy estimates from the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. Please note that only a small selection of the probabilistic trajectories of male life expectancy at birth is displayed (gray lines) for illustration. The model is using 100,000 trajectories of projected male life expectancy at birth. The median projection is the solid bold red line, and the 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively.
* For countries having ever experienced 2.4 per cent or more adult HIV prevalence during the period 1980 to 2013, prediction intervals (e.g. 80% and 95%) are based on probabilistic projections of life expectancy at birth (with non-informative country priors) where the median trajectory for each country has been adjusted to the 2015 WPP deterministic projection that incorporates the impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/EX/Female/

Probabilistic Projections of female life expectancy at birth using WPP2015 estimates
Female Life Expectancy at birth: Median, 80% and 95% prediction intervals *

Explanation: These charts are from the Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling of female life expectancies at birth that has been carried out with female life expectancy estimates from the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. Please note that only a small selection of the probabilistic trajectories of female life expectancy at birth is displayed (gray lines) for illustration. The model is using 100,000 trajectories of projected female life expectancy at birth. The median projection is the solid bold red line, and the 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively.
* For countries having ever experienced 2.4 per cent or more adult HIV prevalence during the period 1980 to 2013, prediction intervals (e.g. 80% and 95%) are based on probabilistic projections of life expectancy at birth (with non-informative country priors) where the median trajectory for each country has been adjusted to the 2015 WPP deterministic projection that incorporates the impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/EX/FMGAP/

Probabilistic projections of the gap between female and male life expectancy at birth
Female-Male gap in life expectancy at birth (in years): Median, 80% and 95% prediction intervals *

Explanation: These charts are from the autoregressive model of the gap between female and male life expectancy at birth that has been carried out with estimates from the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects. Please note that only a small selection of the probabilistic trajectories of gender gap in life expectancy at birth is displayed (gray lines) for illustration. The model is using 100,000 trajectories of projected gap in female-male life expectancy at birth. The median projection is the solid bold red line, and the 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively.
* For countries having ever experienced 2.4 per cent or more adult HIV prevalence during the period 1980 to 2013, prediction intervals (e.g. 80% and 95%) are based on probabilistic projections of life expectancy at birth (with non-informative country priors) where the median trajectory for each country has been adjusted to the 2015 WPP deterministic projection that incorporates the impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality.

/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/EX/FMCOMP/

Comparison between male and female life expectancy in the probabilistic projection of male and female life expectancy at birth *

Explanation: These charts show the relationship between probabilistic projections of male and female life expectancies at birth for 2010-2015, 2045-2050 and 2095-2100 that has been carried out with estimates from the 2015 Revision of the World Population Prospects.
* For countries having ever experienced 2.4 per cent or more adult HIV prevalence during the period 1980 to 2013, prediction intervals (e.g. 80% and 95%) are based on probabilistic projections of life expectancy at birth (with non-informative country priors) where the median trajectory for each country has been adjusted to the 2015 WPP deterministic projection that incorporates the impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality.