September 23, 2014

Market outlook

Trend is up but is showing signs of exhaustion. The frequency of down days is increasing and number of up days is decreasing.

Good support exits at the region of 7850-7900. Close below this will mean trend reversal (nifty).

This will also lead to formation of lower swing high and break of recent swing low (7925).

However there is a complication from the option writing clues which shows highest support at 8000 levels (OCT series). As of now option writers are bullish in the sense they do not expect 8000 to break in OCT series. This situation will change going forward though.

EOD charts

Hourly charts show support at 7925 and strong resistance at 8160 spot.