I foresee a similar picture to what happened during the European elections in 2009. The UKIP vote will hold up, and possible increase due to voter essentially voting on a single issue - the UK's membership of the European Union. Also I think Labour will do much better this time around, with the Conservatives and Lib Dems losing seats.

The PR system opens up the European elections to smaller parties. The voting is proper representative of democracy. I would like to see the British National Party take more seats, as they are the only party committed to the interests of Britain.

UKIP have their best chance ever, with the euro crisis and a possible transfer of vote from some of the eurosceptic Conservatives. Their biggest advantage lies in their ability to mobilise their support for EU elections, which is greater than any of the other parties, as the EU elections are UKIP's main election. They will find fertile ground in blaming the economic climate on the Eurozone collapse, while the rise of extreme nationalist parties in the Greek and Finnish elections will provide them with a good basis to claim that the EU is failing in its initial mission, that of avoiding a repeat of the conditions which lead to world war II.

Right wing voters will be divided between UKIP and the Tories. So I suspect that the Tories will only manage a narrow lead, followed by UKIP and Labour in that order, each party having similar results (ranging around 20%). UKIP and Labour will gain the most ground, the Conservatives will lose some percentages, yet the biggest losses I suspect will be by the Lib Dems. Still 2 years away though so too early to tell. (accidentally voted Labour, but my vote should be on the Conservatives)

(Original post by chrisawhitmore)
UKIP have their best chance ever, with the euro crisis and a possible transfer of vote from some of the eurosceptic Conservatives. Their biggest advantage lies in their ability to mobilise their support for EU elections, which is greater than any of the other parties, as the EU elections are UKIP's main election. They will find fertile ground in blaming the economic climate on the Eurozone collapse, while the rise of extreme nationalist parties in the Greek and Finnish elections will provide them with a good basis to claim that the EU is failing in its initial mission, that of avoiding a repeat of the conditions which lead to world war II.

You do know that the Finnish party in question is of a similar mould to UKIP, right? Even belonging to the same European parliamentary group as UKIP. Hopefully they won't say that as it would very likely anger their partners in the European parliament and possibly backfire.

(Original post by Brandmon)
Right wing voters will be divided between UKIP and the Tories. So I suspect that the Tories will only manage a narrow lead, followed by UKIP and Labour in that order, each party having similar results (ranging around 20%). UKIP and Labour will gain the most ground, the Conservatives will lose some percentages, yet the biggest losses I suspect will be by the Lib Dems. Still 2 years away though so too early to tell. (accidentally voted Labour, but my vote should be on the Conservatives)

You do know that the Finnish party in question is of a similar mould to UKIP, right? Even belonging to the same European parliamentary group as UKIP. Hopefully they won't say that as it would very likely anger their partners in the European parliament and possibly backfire.

Well, Farage already mentioned the True Finns in vague connection to the return of National Socialism http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-18014553,
though I think their more moderate though leftist approach would be less problematic than Golden Dawn, a neo-nazi party, gaining support in Greece.

(Original post by chrisawhitmore)
Well, Farage already mentioned the True Finns in vague connection to the return of National Socialism http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-18014553,
though I think their more moderate though leftist approach would be less problematic than Golden Dawn, a neo-nazi party, gaining support in Greece.

The True Finns are a Social Conservative party with nationalistic and populist elements, and he hardly stated that it is an extremist party - indeed he directly supports it. His statement regarding Greece however is rather exaggerated. Golden Dawn only gained 7% of the votes, compared to the Nazi's 35% as was the case in Germany in 1932 as he mentioned. And the Greek public is too left-wing leaning to let this happen, after all being one of the only European nations having a Communist party with solid enough support (9%), and indeed the votes shifted mostly towards the left-wing SYRIZA (17%), who's policies are a far cry from those pursued by Adolf Hitler in 1932.

I'll be voting SNP in 2014 (once again as a party member after a brief hiatus...), and I'd wager they'll 'win' again because Labour tends to do really, really badly in all but one national election. In local elections they do artificially better due to STV where they really, really understand it well. Some sections of the SNP really struggle with the voting system, I was cringing at my local campaign where they seemingly thought it was like a FPTP campaign but with numbers.

Overall... Conservatives will probably do best across the UK, with labour doing badly.

I think the Tories have some good MEPs
It's a shame the party as a whole doesn't reflect this. On a whole the Tories seem to be dodging around Europe and this makes the Tory MEPs look bad too. But if you look at Dan Hannan, for example, he's very Eurosceptic and right wing. He had some strong views regarding the ECHR during the Abu Qatarda incedent and he's generally a good person to represent us in Europe. Hopefully Tory MEPs will win back support by standing out from the rest of the party

(Original post by Aek-94)
I foresee a similar picture to what happened during the European elections in 2009. The UKIP vote will hold up, and possible increase due to voter essentially voting on a single issue - the UK's membership of the European Union. Also I think Labour will do much better this time around, with the Conservatives and Lib Dems losing seats.

Labour are very pro EU though.

I think pro EU parties, Labour the Lib Dems will do badly. Whilst the Conservatives will likely lose votes too since they seem fairly pro EU right now.

UKIP will be the winner if things continue as they are going right now.