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Interview for “Morning Briefing” on Sirius XM

Yesterday I was an in-studio guest on “Morning Affair POTUS” at one of my favourite radio stations, Sirius XM, interviewed by Tim Farley.

This was a particularly enjoyable interview, giving me the chance to explain my analysis of Super Tuesday. Whereas the immediate consensus was that Trump had swept the board, I argued that his numbers actually suggested a significant dip over the past week, and that we were likely headed for a brokered convention.

In the hours afterwards, Trump’s odds drifted markedly – down from 77% to 64% for the nomination – after Mitt Romney laid out a comprehensive attack on his party’s front-runner in a keynote speech.

I’ve thoroughly enjoyed your analysis on the US election for months. As you well know, betting here in America on the US election is illegal. As I can’t access Betfair, I bet months ago on Bovada.com. I wagered on Cruz (My personal favorite) and hedged by also betting Trump when I saw he was gaining traction. Would appreciate your opinion on my plays:
June 25/2015 – Cruz to win POTUS — 40 to 1 — $100 to win $4000.
July 9/2015 – Trump to win POTUS — 33 to 1 — $125 to win $4125.
Nov 24/2015 – Cruz to win POTUS — 7 to 1 — $250 to win $1725.