Since 2008, an independent look at challenges and opportunities in sports and financial investing, with occasional diversions as my mood takes me. Nothing is for sale, and this not a Profit and Loss report either. They're boring.

Sunday, 20 April 2014

I am off to San Francisco tomorrow, so expect a delay in this week's FTL update and posts in general. A quick look at today's results show that the Cassini Value Selections had a bad weekend with all four selections losing. Unfortunately at this time of year, motivation is a factor and three dead-rubber matches in Serie A all lost and Levante, with nothing to play for, where held by Getafe, with everything to play for. Whether the motivation factor is real or an example of perceived wisdom being wrong is a good topic for debate. Football Elite's Matt produced some numbers in his email this week that it is the latter, but the minuscule sample size today didn't add anything to that finding unfortunately.Not too many draws still, (8 from 28) but the XX Draws and others had a few hits in England, Wales and Spain today. On last week's Draw update, Betslayer commented:

You have missed off sotdoc / sotdraw, how did he do?

Although these selections are not in the FTL, I did take a look and it was another losing weekend for them - down 0.7 points for a running total of -25.19 and a negative ROI of -33.14%.

1 comment:

Now you have done it... "SoTDraw will no longer be providing draw picks on sotdoc.co.uk and I would like to thank SotDraw for doing an excellent job this season.

It is a relief that SoTdraw is stopping as the misrepresentation of Sotdraw’s brilliant work ( for free ) on the green all over blog site was boring me rigid ."

Dear oh dear what have you done, how will the World survive without these selections each week?

I can only assume that SoTdraw was in fact just another pseudonym of Jonny Fart Pants and that the dummy has been well and truly spit.. AGAIN.

I would like to thank Mr. Fart Pants for providing us with some excellent entertainment over the past few months with his numerous Twitter meltdowns, keep up the good work Farty the men in the white coats will be along soon..

About Me

I have had a life-long interest in sports and after studying Pure Mathematics with Statistics at secondary school, have been fascinated by odds and probability.
The first system I came up with was a simple one - back the favourite and double up after a loss until a winner. Simple enough in theory, and I told my Dad about it. Not being a betting man himself, he ran it by some of his colleagues, and came home to tell me that it wouldn’t work because a long losing run would mean that the bank would be empty. Then there was always the possibility that the winner would be returned at odds-on, meaning that the total returns would not match the outlay. Not what a ten year old wants to hear! Only slightly daunted, I then went on a search for the Holy Grail, the secret to riches that I knew was out there somewhere. Finally in 2004 I stumbled across an article about Betting Exchanges and four years on I am able to make a steady profit. I am at that age where I can start thinking about retirement and anything I make from trading sports will bring that day forward.