'Lincoln'

Sure-thing nominations: Best Picture; Best Actor, Daniel Day-Lewis. Probable: Best Director, Steven Spielberg; Best Supporting Actor, Tommy Lee Jones; Best Supporting Actress, Sally Field; Best Adapted Screenplay, Tony Kushner Ideal award: Most Effective Film in Fooling Half-Awake Viewers Into Thinking They've Learned Something and Forgetting That There's A Lot More to the Story

Sure-thing nominations: Best Picture; Best Actor, Daniel Day-Lewis. Probable: Best Director, Steven Spielberg; Best Supporting Actor, Tommy Lee Jones; Best Supporting Actress, Sally Field; Best Adapted Screenplay, Tony Kushner Ideal award: Most Effective Film in Fooling Half-Awake Viewers Into Thinking They've Learned Something and Forgetting That There's A Lot More to the Story

Sure-thing nominations: Best Picture; Best Actor, Daniel Day-Lewis. Probable: Best Director, Steven Spielberg; Best Supporting Actor, Tommy Lee Jones; Best Supporting Actress, Sally Field; Best Adapted Screenplay, Tony Kushner Ideal award: Most Effective Film in Fooling Half-Awake Viewers Into Thinking They've Learned Something and Forgetting That There's A Lot More to the Story