The monsoon may remain in weak phase with reduced rainfall activity over central and adjoining northwest India during next two days, an India Meteorological Department (IMD) outlook said on Sunday.

But this phase would witness a calibrated increase in the rainfall activity over south peninsular India, the North-eastern States and along the foothills of the Himalayas.

IDENTIFIED PATTERN

This is a pattern identified with a ‘weak phase' of the monsoon, however brief, wherein rains scale up over parts of the southeast coast (including Tamil Nadu) and along the foothills of the Himalayas.

In fact, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts sees the possibility of a cyclonic circulation spinning up close to the Tamil Nadu coast and entering land.

It would later go on to set up a trough that straddles the corridor between Vidarbha and north Tamil Nadu.

Looking to grow further west, it would presumably set up some piloting rains ahead of a likely surge of flows across the peninsula from mid-week this week.

SATELLITE IMAGERY

In fact, the IMD has forecast the possibility of scattered rain or thundershowers breaking out over south peninsular India on Monday before consolidating thereafter.

Forecast for this week (24-Jul to 30-Jul)::
Monsoon may remain in weak phase with reduced rainfall activity over central and adjoining
northwest India during next 24 hours. However, rainfall activity would increase over south
peninsular India, northeastern states and along foot hills of Himalayas.