Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all MTGO formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win

%

Limited

Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.35)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article, using treasure chest contents as of April 24th 2019. Play points are calculated as 0.10 each so you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.

Chance

Chest Value

0%

Less than 0.50

73%

0.50 to 2.00

19%

2.00 to 5.00

7%

5.00 to 23.00

1%

More than 23.00

Type

EV

Curated Card

3.01

Modern R/M

0.24

Play Points

2.48

5 Play Points

0.50

Slot

EV

#1

1.47

#2

0.38

#3

0.50

Phantom League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0

150x Play Point (0.10)

15.00

+5.00

2 - 1

100x Play Point (0.10)

10.00

0.00

1 - 2

40x Play Point (0.10)

4.00

-6.00

0 - 3

10x Play Point (0.10)

1.00

-9.00

Draft Competitive League

Entry Cost (-14.90)

5x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

3x

WAR Booster

(3.30)

or

15x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Cards EV (+3.87)

3x

WAR Booster

(1.29)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0

6x WAR Booster (3.24)

34.44

+23.41

150x Play Point (0.10)

2x Qualifier Point (0.00)

2 - 1

3x WAR Booster (3.24)

24.72

+13.69

150x Play Point (0.10)

1x Qualifier Point (0.00)

1 - 1

-11.03

0 - 1

-11.03

Draft Friendly League

Entry Cost (-11.90)

2x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

3x

WAR Booster

(3.30)

or

12x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Cards EV (+3.87)

3x

WAR Booster

(1.29)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0

3x WAR Booster (3.24)

9.72

+1.69

2 - 1

2x WAR Booster (3.24)

6.48

-1.55

1 - 2

1x WAR Booster (3.24)

3.24

-4.79

0 - 3

-8.03

Draft Intermediate League

Entry Cost (-11.90)

2x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

3x

WAR Booster

(3.30)

or

12x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Cards EV (+3.87)

3x

WAR Booster

(1.29)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0

6x WAR Booster (3.24)

19.44

+11.41

1x Qualifier Point (0.00)

2 - 1

2x WAR Booster (3.24)

6.48

-1.55

1 - 2

-8.03

0 - 3

-8.03

Draft RNA Queue

Entry Cost (-7.52)

2x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

3x

RNA Booster

(1.84)

or

12x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Cards EV (+2.94)

3x

RNA Booster

(0.98)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0

6x RNA Booster (1.78)

10.68

+6.10

2 - 1

2x RNA Booster (1.78)

3.56

-1.02

1 - 2

-4.58

0 - 3

-4.58

Sealed Competitive League

Entry Cost (-23.80)

4x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

6x

WAR Booster

(3.30)

or

24x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Cards EV (+7.74)

6x

WAR Booster

(1.29)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0

6x WAR Booster (3.24)

55.44

+39.38

360x Play Point (0.10)

3x Qualifier Point (0.00)

4 - 1

3x WAR Booster (3.24)

33.72

+17.66

240x Play Point (0.10)

1x Qualifier Point (0.00)

3 - 2

1x WAR Booster (3.24)

15.24

-0.82

120x Play Point (0.10)

2 - 3

-16.06

1 - 4

-16.06

0 - 5

-16.06

Sealed Friendly +0 League

Entry Cost (-23.80)

4x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

6x

WAR Booster

(3.30)

or

24x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Cards EV (+7.74)

6x

WAR Booster

(1.29)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0

3x WAR Booster (3.24)

41.72

+25.66

320x Play Point (0.10)

8 - 1

2x WAR Booster (3.24)

37.48

+21.42

310x Play Point (0.10)

7 - 2

1x WAR Booster (3.24)

33.24

+17.18

300x Play Point (0.10)

6 - 3

290x Play Point (0.10)

29.00

+12.94

5 - 4

180x Play Point (0.10)

18.00

+1.94

4 - 5

120x Play Point (0.10)

12.00

-4.06

3 - 6

60x Play Point (0.10)

6.00

-10.06

2 - 7

50x Play Point (0.10)

5.00

-11.06

1 - 8

40x Play Point (0.10)

4.00

-12.06

0 - 9

30x Play Point (0.10)

3.00

-13.06

Sealed Friendly +1 League

Entry Cost (-27.10)

4x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

7x

WAR Booster

(3.30)

or

28x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Cards EV (+9.03)

7x

WAR Booster

(1.29)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0

3x WAR Booster (3.24)

41.72

+23.65

320x Play Point (0.10)

8 - 1

2x WAR Booster (3.24)

37.48

+19.41

310x Play Point (0.10)

7 - 2

1x WAR Booster (3.24)

33.24

+15.17

300x Play Point (0.10)

6 - 3

290x Play Point (0.10)

29.00

+10.93

5 - 4

180x Play Point (0.10)

18.00

-0.07

4 - 5

120x Play Point (0.10)

12.00

-6.07

3 - 6

60x Play Point (0.10)

6.00

-12.07

2 - 7

50x Play Point (0.10)

5.00

-13.07

1 - 8

40x Play Point (0.10)

4.00

-14.07

0 - 9

30x Play Point (0.10)

3.00

-15.07

Sealed Friendly +2 League

Entry Cost (-30.40)

4x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

8x

WAR Booster

(3.30)

or

32x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Cards EV (+10.32)

8x

WAR Booster

(1.29)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0

3x WAR Booster (3.24)

41.72

+21.64

320x Play Point (0.10)

8 - 1

2x WAR Booster (3.24)

37.48

+17.40

310x Play Point (0.10)

7 - 2

1x WAR Booster (3.24)

33.24

+13.16

300x Play Point (0.10)

6 - 3

290x Play Point (0.10)

29.00

+8.92

5 - 4

180x Play Point (0.10)

18.00

-2.08

4 - 5

120x Play Point (0.10)

12.00

-8.08

3 - 6

60x Play Point (0.10)

6.00

-14.08

2 - 7

50x Play Point (0.10)

5.00

-15.08

1 - 8

40x Play Point (0.10)

4.00

-16.08

0 - 9

30x Play Point (0.10)

3.00

-17.08

Future Phantom League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0

150x Play Point (0.10)

17.34

+7.34

1x Treasure Chest (2.34)

1x Qualifier Point (0.00)

2 - 1

100x Play Point (0.10)

10.00

0.00

1 - 2

50x Play Point (0.10)

5.00

-5.00

0 - 3

-10.00

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0

30x Play Point (0.10)

3.00

+1.00

0 - 1

5x Play Point (0.10)

0.50

-1.50

Competitive League

Entry Cost (-12.00)

12x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0

16x Treasure Chest (2.34)

55.44

+43.44

180x Play Point (0.10)

3x Qualifier Point (0.00)

4 - 1

8x Treasure Chest (2.34)

36.72

+24.72

180x Play Point (0.10)

1x Qualifier Point (0.00)

3 - 2

1x Treasure Chest (2.34)

14.34

+2.34

120x Play Point (0.10)

2 - 3

-12.00

1 - 4

-12.00

0 - 5

-12.00

Friendly League

Entry Cost (-8.00)

8x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0

80x Play Point (0.10)

26.72

+18.72

8x Treasure Chest (2.34)

4 - 1

80x Play Point (0.10)

17.36

+9.36

4x Treasure Chest (2.34)

3 - 2

80x Play Point (0.10)

10.34

+2.34

1x Treasure Chest (2.34)

2 - 3

40x Play Point (0.10)

4.00

-4.00

1 - 4

20x Play Point (0.10)

2.00

-6.00

0 - 5

10x Play Point (0.10)

1.00

-7.00

Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Prize EV ()

7 - 0

500x Play Point (0.10)

398.9

+373.9

100x Treasure Chest (2.34)

1x WAR Set (114.99)

6x Qualifier Point (0.00)

6 - 1

500x Play Point (0.10)

225.5

+200.5

75x Treasure Chest (2.34)

5x Qualifier Point (0.00)

5 - 1

400x Play Point (0.10)

157.0

+132.0

50x Treasure Chest (2.34)

4x Qualifier Point (0.00)

4 - 1

400x Play Point (0.10)

98.50

+73.50

25x Treasure Chest (2.34)

3x Qualifier Point (0.00)

3 - 1

300x Play Point (0.10)

53.40

+28.40

10x Treasure Chest (2.34)

2 - 1

250x Play Point (0.10)

25.00

0.00

1 - 1

-25.00

0 - 1

-25.00

Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Prize EV ()

6 - 0

500x Play Point (0.10)

398.9

+373.9

100x Treasure Chest (2.34)

1x WAR Set (114.99)

6x Qualifier Point (0.00)

5 - 1

500x Play Point (0.10)

225.5

+200.5

75x Treasure Chest (2.34)

5x Qualifier Point (0.00)

4 - 1

400x Play Point (0.10)

157.0

+132.0

50x Treasure Chest (2.34)

4x Qualifier Point (0.00)

3 - 1

400x Play Point (0.10)

98.50

+73.50

25x Treasure Chest (2.34)

3x Qualifier Point (0.00)

2 - 1

300x Play Point (0.10)

53.40

+28.40

10x Treasure Chest (2.34)

1 - 1

250x Play Point (0.10)

25.00

0.00

0 - 1

-25.00

Future League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x

Event Ticket

(1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0

150x Play Point (0.10)

40.74

+30.74

11x Treasure Chest (2.34)

3x Qualifier Point (0.00)

5x Format Point (0.00)

4 - 1

120x Play Point (0.10)

23.70

+13.70

5x Treasure Chest (2.34)

1x Qualifier Point (0.00)

2x Format Point (0.00)

3 - 2

100x Play Point (0.10)

12.34

+2.34

1x Treasure Chest (2.34)

1x Format Point (0.00)

2 - 3

50x Play Point (0.10)

5.00

-5.00

1 - 4

-10.00

0 - 5

-10.00

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