Archive for November, 2015

Folks traveling in the Mid-Atlantic states on this Thanksgiving Day will not encounter any issues from the weather with the exception of some early morning fog in some locations. High temperatures here in Hampton Roads will be in the 60’s, which is a little above normal. Friday will be a similar day, and it may be a little warmer…. I wanted to comment on the weather this past Sunday. That day turned out very wet as low pressure developing along a cold front brought much more rain than was previously forecasted. My rain gauge recorded 1.10 inches of rain. The rain fell heavier than expected and it lasted much longer than was forecasted. It was a very raw day as temperatures stayed in the 40’s for the most part… Well, no weather worries today or tomorrow (Black Friday). The nice weather should continue into Saturday. A slow moving cold front approaching from the northwest may bring us a shower on Sunday. Rain chances go up somewhat Sunday night and it may stay unsettled for a few days after that as the front is expected to stall. There is some computer model disagreement as some paint a wetter picture than others for us on Monday and Tuesday. I’ll try to post an update on Saturday morning…. Have a Happy Thanksgiving, and if you are traveling, please be safe! Thanks for reading!

After a warmer than normal period earlier this past week, temperatures have dropped to near normal levels. The frontal system that moved through this past Thursday brought about a quarter of an inch of rain to my neighborhood. Today (Saturday) will be a nice day with seasonal temperatures. A cold front will be approaching tonight possibly causing a few showers. Early Sunday morning, weak low pressure system developing along the frontal boundary to our south and east may bring parts of the region a period of light rain/showers. The highest chance of rainfall on Sunday will be near the coast. Then, the real chilly weather moves in. On Monday, we may not get out of the 40’s! Temperatures will slowly moderate as we progress through mid-week. As of now, the forecast indicates that dry weather is expected to continue through Thanksgiving Day. That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!

In my post on Saturday, I mentioned that another wet weather system was coming Monday night and Tuesday and that Monday should be a “decent day”. It appears now that most of the computer models bring moisture to our area earlier than previously expected. As of now, rain might be knocking on our door as early as Monday afternoon. This is a result of another inverted trough near the Carolina Coast and a low pressure system moving out of the Gulf of Mexico along the frontal boundary to our south and east… The system that brought rain to our area on Saturday brought 1.25 inches of rain to my neighborhood. It rained quite heavily for about an hour. If this pattern continues, predictions of a wet November may be correct for our region. El Nino may be causing this wetter than normal pattern. Today (Sunday) still looks nice, albeit on the cool side. So, that’s it for now. Have a great day and thanks for reading!

I want to start off by saying that the forecast for the mid-week period this past week wasn’t exactly correct. The forecast called for a dry and warmer than normal period. Well, for parts of Hampton Roads, it wasn’t dry at all. Low level moisture left behind from a system that brought us nearly an inch of rain last Monday combined with an inverted trough along the Carolina Coast to cause rain showers in parts of the region. Computer models sometimes don’t pick up on low level moisture in the extended forecast… Now to the current and future weather forecast… A cold front will slowly move through the region later today (Saturday). Rain/showers are expected as the front approaches. Thunder is also possible. Rainfall totals are expected to range between a quarter of an inch to three quarters of an inch. However, some higher amounts are possible in some locations. Behind the front, northerly winds will usher in cooler air. It will also be breezy behind the front. High temperatures on Friday were around 80 degrees, but on Sunday, we may not get above 60 degrees! Monday should be a decent day, but indications are now that a low pressure system may bring more rain on Tuesday. There’s a lot of uncertainty with that system. Wednesday (Veteran’s Day) should be nice as the low moves away from the region…. In the tropics, there are two areas that are being watched although cyclone development is not imminent. One is in the Gulf of Mexico and the other system is east of the Lesser Antilles. Both systems are being sheared by upper-level winds, especially the Gulf system. That’s it for now. Thanks for reading and have a great weekend!