FRANÇOIS HOLLANDE ADDRESSES A JOINT SESSION OF THE FRENCH HOUSES OF PARLIAMENT AT 4 PM CET

SARKOZY ADDS POLITICAL FUEL TO THE FIRE: The former President and now leader of the Républicain opposition party has called for the COP21 climate summit to be postponed and for extra surveillance beyond a new surveillance law passed earlier in 2015, for the more than 11,000 people flagged as risky by French security services. Le Figaro: http://bit.ly/1Nyv5jZ

THREE DAYS OF OFFICIAL MOURNING BEGIN TODAY IN FRANCE: As Paris residents continued their silent vigils through the night at the Place de la Republique,“November 15th, 16th and 17th will be days of national mourning to pay tribute to the victims of the Friday attacks,” the Elysée Palace announced, alongside a moment of “contemplation” at noon today and flags at half mast on public buildings.

BUT THE BLAME GAME HAS ALREADY BEGUN: Maïa de la Baume reports on the disagreements over what else could or should have been done, but most agree that there were shortcomings in understanding the threat leading up to Friday’s attacks. “It was a war. A real war. We knew it, but in the end, we preferred to turn a blind eye,” wrote Alexis Brézet, managing editor of the right-leaning Figaro newspaper, http://politi.co/1Su3jbW. There are sure to be complaints, too, after French police in the hours after the attacks in Paris stopped the car of Abdeslam Salah (now the most wanted man in connection with the Paris attacks and the subject of an international manhunt) and let him go.

AND THE POLITICAL SNIPING STARTS: Nicholas Vinocur writes, “Forty-eight hours after France’s worst-ever terrorist attacks, rivals to President François Hollande began Sunday to pick apart the façade of national unity meant to bind the country together behind its leader after a collective trauma.” http://politi.co/1RYca5Q

THE MILITARY RESPONSE TAKES SHAPE WITH MORE AIR STRIKES IN SYRIA: “The French Defense Ministry said in a statement that the air raid, coordinated with American forces, was led by 12 French aircraft, including 10 fighter jets, and had destroyed two Islamic State targets in Raqqa, the radical group’s self-proclaimed capital,” with the help of U.S. information. “The French airstrikes may have been a potent show of defiance, but it was not clear that they represented a major shift in the American coalition’s overall strategy,” report Michael D. Shear and Peter Baker. “We don’t believe U.S. troops are the answer to the problem,” Benjamin J. Rhodes, the president’s deputy national security adviser, told reporters on Sunday at the G20.

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BREAKING — POLICE RAIDS ACROSS FRANCE: At least three people were taken into custody early this morning following a counter-terrorism operation in Toulouse, according to a report from French television network iTele. There were also raids in Grenoble, Calais and the Paris suburb of Bobigny, according to news reports. http://bit.ly/1lqORrb

QUOTE DU JOUR: “The perpetrators are lying if they say they kill in the name of Allah” — Belgian Prime Minister Charles Michel. http://bit.ly/1Yc3sEL

“We understood what was going on. It couldn’t be something else” at the Bataclan theater. “For two hours 25 of us hid in a room all stacked against each other, crouching and hearing Kalashnikov shots, it was as if people were being tortured.” http://bit.ly/1OM56LG

EUROPE — CAULDRON OF CRISIS: “The Paris terrorist attacks have left Europe’s future in a familiar spot: hanging in the balance,” reports Matthew Karnitschnig from the G20 summit in Antalya, Turkey. “What’s at stake in the wake of the attacks are the defining elements of contemporary European identity, from open borders to freedom of movement to the Continent’s joie de vivre.” http://politi.co/1QFUbTf

OPINION — WEST CAUGHT OFF-GUARD BY ISIS DIRECT THREAT: Rasha Elass writes for Reuters, “Until perhaps Friday, the main perception among Western intelligence agencies and Washington policymakers has been that Islamic State poses ‘no immediate threat’ to the United States or the West… Some countries, as naive and misguided as they have been, privately sighed relief to see their own Islamist nationals travel to Islamist territory to meet their fate.”

“‘It’s better than having them stay in our country,’ one Western diplomat told me … ‘Statistically, a newly arrived jihadist to ISIS territory is killed within weeks, so good riddance.’” http://reut.rs/1Yc2f0p

OPINION — FREEDOM OF MOVEMENT IN EUROPE IS DYING: “Borderless travel through Europe is dying, a political victim of mass-murder in Paris,” writes James Kirkup in Britain’s Telegraph. “Seeing the flaws in the Schengen rules, which allow free movement across much of the European Union, is no longer confined to the political Right. That conclusion is based on reports that at least one of the Paris killers arrived in Greece and claimed to be a refugee from Syria, then traveled on from Greece across the EU unchecked before reaching France. Even before Paris, Schengen was crumbling … But anyone rejoicing in the death of Europe’s open borders after Paris should acknowledge that ending Schengen won’t defeat terrorism and will probably make us poorer.” http://bit.ly/1kyk5MN

EU’S FOREIGN MINISTERS MEET IN BRUSSELS TODAY: The meeting starts at 9:30 am CET, with the Paris attacks and their two streams of related actions, migration and Syria, getting top billing. Here is the pre-Paris attacks background briefing on the meeting: http://bit.ly/1MvmGxX. Interior ministers will hold a special meeting Thursday to formulate responses to the Paris attacks, after an initial meeting between French government, Luxembourg EU presidency and EU officials in Paris Sunday night.

TOP EU DIPLOMAT CALLS FOR RESTRAINT: David O’Sullivan, a former European Commission secretary-general and now EU ambassador to the U.S., says in an interview with Foreign Policy: “Most of those who are running are running precisely from the same terrorists who were active in Paris … We must push back on those in our societies who are tempted to exploit these situations to take us back to those dark days of extreme nationalism and hatred.” http://atfp.co/1WTS6rT

NATO LATEST: NATO has responded to speculation over NATO consultations under the Washington Treaty for an emergency meeting of the North Atlantic Council, a NATO official telling Playbook:

“There has been no such request at this stage. We support the French authorities in their determination to deal with the terrorist threat. Allies continue to exchange information and assessments. All NATO allies are focused on the fight against terrorism. All are involved in the global coalition to counter ISIL. NATO is playing its part in fighting terrorism, together with our international partners.”

THE BRUSSELS CONNECTION: At least two of the attackers are confirmed to have lived in Brussels (both died Friday night). One resided in central Brussels and the other in the neighborhood of Molenbeek, the Belgian federal prosector said in a statement after consulting with French forensic experts. There have been seven arrests in Brussels in connection with the attacks, and documents seized by the police are being examined by Belgian and French authorities. POLITICO | FT

INSIDE MOLENBEEK — THE BELGIAN RADICALS’ DEN: Hans von der Burchard and Laurens Cerulus spent Sunday in the now infamous Brussels suburb the Belgian justice minister says he doesn’t have a grip on — and a terrorist den barely a couple of kilometers from the city’s European quarter. “Many houses are run-down. Poverty is rampant. Molenbeek has the highest unemployment rate of any region in Belgium, at 30 percent.” The consequences? “In this environment, where young Muslim have little to be optimistic about, radical messages offer strength and heroism,” said Magnus Ranstorp, a terrorism expert at the EU Radicalization Awareness Network.

“Young Muslims in our neighborhoods are radicalized by imams that come from abroad. Unfortunately, the local and regional political authorities did not respond to our requests to intervene,” says Redouane Ahrouch, a representative of the Islam party in Anderlecht, which neighbors Molenbeek.

“Belgium is known as an international hub for illegal arms trade,” said Nils Duquet of the Flemish Peace Institute, which maps and monitors arms trade for the Flemish Parliament, and Brussels is the biggest market.

Jihadi radicals often connect with criminal gangs in Belgium after spending time together in prison. http://politi.co/1SSOalq

WHAT PLAYBOOK READERS HAVE TO SAY ABOUT RADICALS IN BRUSSELS: Whether pinpointing problems that are cultural, structural or economic, the one thing everyone I spoke to agreed: Brussels has a big problem, but the problem is easier to find than solutions.

“Just look at unemployment figures, school drop out rate and lack of social housing… ”

“We are scared to engage with people different from us and they feel rejected in their identities. and so it goes on and we tumble into a war no-one can win.”

“Brussels has a problem of unemployment, poor housing, alienation and radicalization, and it needs sorting out. Abolishing the communes and having one city government and one city police force would help.”

GERMAN PRESIDENT LABELS PARIS ATTACKS ‘A NEW KIND OF WAR’: Germany’s President Joachim Gauck says “We are living in times in which we mourn the victims of a new kind of war.”

LEBANON — FORGOTTEN VICTIMS? OR DIFFERENT DYNAMIC? It is a fact that the Paris attacks received far more global attention, and almost certainly sympathy, than attacks that killed 40 just a day earlier in Lebanon. Is it because of the world’s love affair with Paris? Is it racism? It is because millions of Lebanese support Hezbollah, which is listed as a terrorist organization in parts of Europe and in the United States? I am interested in your thoughts. Anne Barnard for New York Times addresses the disparity here: http://nyti.ms/1j24IKP

G20 — OBAMA AND PUTIN AGREE ON SYRIA ACTION: “The United States and Russia have reached consensus at the G20 on the need for ‘a Syrian-led and Syrian-owned political transition,’” mediated by the United Nations following a ceasefire, in a sidelines meeting between Barack Obama and Vladimir Putin on Sunday. Guardian: http://bit.ly/1SSPNQf

1) European Commission President Juncker to G20 leaders, “1 in every 122 people is now either a refugee, internally displaced or seeking asylum … It is a global problem.”

2) No fence-sitters Slovenia. Delo newspaper’s latest opinion poll shows that while in September 70 percent opposed a fence along the Croatia border, as of early November almost 60 percent of Slovenians support the fence.

EU BUDGET — A GRIM CONCLUSION TO 2016 BUDGET NEGOTIATIONS: By 1 am Saturday negotiators had a deal. But as talks wore on during Friday night, their disagreements were suddenly put into perspective. http://politi.co/1kXfFys

ROMANIA — NEW CABINET GETS A BRUSSELS FLAVOR: Carmen Paun reports new Romanian Prime Minister-designate Dacian Cioloș (a former EU Commissioner) “on Sunday announced his technocratic government, following the November 4 resignation of his predecessor Victor Ponta, who was forced out after a deadly nightclub fire that killed 55 … Anca Paliu Dragu, an economic data analyst at the Commission’s Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs, will become finance minister.” http://politi.co/1QFSwNz

ITALY — THE PROSECCO MOMENT: Italy’s sparkling wine has never been more globally popular or mass produced, as it moves from a celebration drink to the every day. Lydia Mulvaney for Bloomberg: http://bloom.bg/1MvmmPN

FINLAND — SHRINKING ECONOMY 12 OF LAST 14 QUARTERS: Throw in government instability and a recent biggest strike in decades, and Jason Karaian concludes: “On current evidence, things are going to get worse before they get any better.” http://bit.ly/1MvIA3Z

SOUTH KOREA — MASSIVE PROTESTS AGAINST GOVERNMENT IN KOREA: Tens of thousands spill out onto the streets in massive anti-government protests that turned violent over the weekend. http://bit.ly/1MvFpcC

BURUNDI — EU EVACUATES STAFF: The EU is to move officials and their families out of Burundi to escape increasingly violent clashes in the East African country. The security situation has deteriorated since disputed elections in June. Laurens Cerulus: http://politi.co/1OLTatD

TECH — NEW ALLIANCE FOR ‘FAIR STANDARDS’ LAUNCHED: Members of this new group include BMW, Cisco, Dell, Lenovo, and they are seeking to make the notoriously vague and self-regulating world of “standard-setting” fairer and more transparent. The upshot: They want to keep but improve the prevailing idea of paying license fees to use the intellectual property of others. http://bit.ly/1NUCy1a

TECH — ELIO DI RUPO BACKS SHARING ECONOMY: The former prime minister of Belgium and the man never seen without his trademark bow-tie, will be talking about why the Left loves the sharing economy at a debate at the Committee of the Regions on Wednesday. The meeting is hosted by Catiuscia Marini, president of the Umbria region in Italy, and will also feature German MEP Evelyne Gebhardt, Swedish MEP Jens Nilsson and Khushboo Balwani of Ouishare. http://bit.ly/1OLSPa8

DAVOS 2016 — CO-CHAIRS AND THEME ANNOUNCED: Mastering the fourth industrial revolution is the challenge; here are two articles to get you started on the theme:

There will be six co-chairs in Davos to shepherd the thousands of elite thinkers to meet the challenge when they gather at the Swiss alpine resort town January. Mary Barra (CEO General Motors), Sharan Burrow (head of the International Trade Union Confederation), Satya Nadella (CEO, Microsoft), Hiroaki Nakanishi, (Chairman and CEO, Hitachi), Tidjane Thiam (CEO, Credit Suisse) and Amira Yahyaoui, Founder and Chair, Al Bawsala). http://bit.ly/1kxTteQ

JUST FOR FUN — ALANIS MORISSETTE UPDATES ‘IRONIC’ FOR THE DIGITAL AGE: 20 years after her un-ironic song topped music charts globally, it’s back. VIDEO: http://bit.ly/1QEHs3c

MOVING ON — AND A VERY SPECIAL THANK YOU MESSAGE: POLITICO Editor-at Large Bill Nichols is joining Freedman Consulting as a vice president. Bill spent more than 20 years covering U.S. politics, including helping to build POLITICO, and now POLITICO Europe and every day this Playbook you have been reading. Editor-in-chief John Harris wrote to staff overnight about nine years of invaluable bar-raising work by Bill: “This publication would never have made it in those harrowing early days without Bill’s professionalism, his passion for getting the job done against all obstacles, his calmness and poise under pressure, his humor and decency … On many occasions, Bill served as our compass.” Thank you from me to you, Bill.

THANKS to Craig Winneker, Laura Kayali and all the POLITICO Europe team for their ongoing Paris-related efforts.

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