AFAP manages the Australian-Pacific Centre for Emergency and Disaster Information (APCEDI) to provide news on natural disaster events in the Asia-Pacific region and to help with rapid disaster response assessment. This was originally a communications network that was activated during a disaster to disseminate information to our Asia-Pacific NGO offices. Now APCEDI has a much wider application across the Asia-Pacific Region.

TROPICAL CYCLONE JONI 11F [995HPA] CENTRE WAS ANALYSED NEAR 21 DECIMAL 6 SOUTH 158 DECIMAL 6 WEST AT 111200UTC OR ABOUT 41 NAUTICAL MILES WESTNORTHWEST OF MANGAIA AND 72 NAUTICAL MILES EASTSOUTHEAST OF RAROTONGA. JONI IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS AND IS EXPECTED TO CURVE SOUTHWARDS IN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM 10 MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS. ON ITS CURRENT TRACK, JONI WILL BRING DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER RAROTONGA, MANUAE, MAUKE, MANGAIA AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

FOR RAROTONGA: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS GUSTING 40 KNOTS, POSSIBLY INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. WINDS EASING AND TENDING WEST TO NORTHWEST LATER TODAY. PERIODS OF RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SQUALLY THUNDERSTORMS. FLOODING OF LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS. VERY ROUGH SEAS. MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELL DEVELOPING.

THE NEXT SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE SOUTHERN COOK ISLANDS WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 111600Z OR EARLIER.

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APCEDI will continue to monitor the progress of this system, although this will likely be the last APCEDI Alert for this minimal system as it passes into the Southern Ocean.___________________________________________Kevin VangAPCEDI Coordinatorhttp://www.afap.org/apcedi/

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APCEDI

APCEDI is a service of AFAP
- the Australian Foundation for the Peoples of Asia and the Pacific and FSPI
- the Foundation for the Peoples of the South Pacific International.

Disclaimer: This service provides indicative alert information
and should only be construed in conjunction with other sources of information
such as local and regional weather services. Reports are as accurate as possible,
but as the information is indicative, external confirmation should be sought.