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"There is a chance that the Ignatieff-led Liberal-Bloc Quebecois-NDP coalition may force an unwanted and unnecessary election on Canadians in 2011," says the invitation to the Feb. 9 reception.

A recipient of the invite, who asked to remain anonymous, noted the change in tone: "Two weeks ago it's to help John prepare now it's to come celebrate or vilify the nasty coalition."

The soiree is being held at a private home by supporters. In last month's invitation, it advertised there would be "numerous Conservative Party of Canada Ministers and caucus colleagues" at the event. Well, now we know who they are.

In addition to Mr. Baird, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, Treasury Board President Stockwell Day and Marjory LeBreton, the Government Leader in the Senate will be on hand as the "special guests."

"It is essential that John Baird MP - our Conservative Party of Canada House Leader - once again be victorious in the riding of Ottawa-West Nepean," the invitation says. "A re-election campaign for John Baird will cost upwards of $100,000. This reception will play a major role in ensuring John has sufficient funding to wage a winning campaign."

This second invitation comes after several weeks of heated election speculation. It has not abated as MPs returned to work in the Commons Monday and as the government's March budget approaches.

Mr. Baird has come under some scrutiny for this event; opposition MPs criticized him for "peddling access" to cabinet ministers. But it seems all rules are being followed.