Championship Week in Review: Trifecta, Props Surge Into Super Bowl

The CHFF Trifecta has surged into positive territory with a huge late run, while the Cold, Hard Football Facts Real and Spectacular Picks stand on the cusp of their fifth straight money-making postseason in their five-year history.

But our Real and Spectacular Picks need a Super Bowl victory to keep that streak alive. Our flagship picks – we have picked every single NFL game straight up and against the spread since 2009 – stand at 5-4-1 ATS here in the 2013 postseason.

A Super Bowl victory will end our postseason at 6-4-1 ATS. Our championship weekend was highlighted by nailing the exact score of Seattle 23, San Francisco 17 in the NFC title game.

Our Real and Spectacular Super Bowl pick will be posted next week, and we arrive in New York City midweek to report to you from the scene of what will probably be a frosty Super Bowl XLVIII.

We have produced a Real and Spectacular postseason record of 34-19-1 (.642) ATS picking every playoff game for five years.

The big winner in the championship round, meanwhile, was the CHFF Trifecta. It powered through a perfect 3-0 slate of ATS and over-under picks in the two conference title games and have climbed over .500 for the season, making up plenty of lost ground with from a sluggish start to the season with a huge surge down the stretch.

Powerful Late-Season Results

All three of our portfolios of picks are poised to produce money-making results in the 2013 postseason. Our flagship Real and Spectacular Picks, meanwhile, have produced big money-making performances late in the year here in 2013 and over the five-year long haul of their existence.

Some of the highlights:

65-48-6 (.575) ATS since Week 11

28-13-1 (.683) ATS since Week 16

136-76-2 (.642) ATS Week 16 through Super Bowl (2009-present)

34-19-1 (.642) ATS in the postseason (2009-present)

85-41-2 (.675) ATS Week 16 through Super Bowl (2011-present)

20-11-1 (.645) ATS in the last three postseasons (2011-present)

We’ve known for some time that our Quality Stats grow more valid as we get later in the season. And we now have five seasons of proof.

The late-season surge here in 2013 is part of a long-term trend of big-money-making late-year success dating back to 2009, when we began picking every game, every week, both straight up and ATS.

New England’s Tom Brady and Julian Edelman were each on the losing side of the scoreboard. But they proved winners for the King of Props: Brady (Over 269.5 passing yards) totaled 277 yards through the air; Edelman (Over 6.5 catches) led all players with 10 receptions.

In the NFC title tilt, the King of Props anticipated a tough day getting the ball into the end zone (Under 4.5 total touchdowns). The 49ers and Seahawks combined for four touchdowns, the prop victory not secure until Richard Sherman’s famed tipped ball in the end zone to preserve the victory for the Seahawks and the King of Props.

Those struggles by the 49ers handed the King of Props his only loss for the week (Vernon Davis Over 40.5 yards receiving). The San Francisco tight end was held to 2 catches for 16 yards.

The King of Props is a scorching 52-27-1 (.658) in 2013, and over the second half of the year produced an electrifying record of 32-13 (.711), since Week 9.

The CHFF Trifecta went 3-0– its fourth straight slate of winners, a period during with the Trifecta has gone 11-3 (.727). That record includes a 9-2 mark here in the postseason.

The Trifecta, after a slow start to the year, has rapidly made up lost ground and moved into winning territory for the season.

The Seahawks (-3.5) held on to cover in their dramatic 23-17 win, while San Francisco and Seattle scored just enough points to earn the Trifecta another victory (Over 39.5).

The high-scoring Patriots and Broncos (Under 57), meanwhile, each fell well below their regular-season scoring averages, totaling 42 points and handing the Trifecta its easiest win of the week.

The Trifecta is 9-2 (.750) in the postseason and 30-29-3 (.508) overall in 2013.

The Intelligence Index has not offered any postseason picks – with largely only smart teams advancing to the playoffs, there are few opportunities to find those “Mental Mismatches” that served us and CHFF Insiders so well all season.