Pogba, Hold or sell

@Dan-The-Man you’re using returns from a summer when Kane captained England to a World Cup semi-final. You really think that’s applicable to now?

This summer Kane captains the Nations League semi-final against Holland, every man and his dog will be boozed up for it and it's a week after him captaining Spurs in the Champions League, against Liverpool. It doesn't get much more high profile than that.

Throw in Kane's return from injury, Van Dijk vs Kane, and you've got a large amount of media, during a time period where there's 5 media slots. It's safe to say, Kane will be living in the media from the night before the Champions League Final, to the day after he packs his England shirt away.

The simple fact is Pogba’s dividend returns blow Kane’s out the water.

Well they didn't blow Kane out of the water last summer... and Pogba won the world cup, tried to force a move to Barcelona and was stripped of Vice Captaincy by Jose... so why would this summer, where Pogba has nothing and Kane has huge match ups for his club & country... why would that result in a bigger difference than last year?

You’ve picked a time period where Pog has declined due to links to Real whilst Kane has a surprise champions league final (he’s odds on to lose).

Oh, so links to other clubs causes Pogba to decline does it? Every Pogba article for the next 2 months is going to be that. How far will he decline? And I picked the last month because it's the most recent and relevant.

We are talking about buying today and Pogba is undervalued if he remains at United. Growth has been held back by that potential move which is rational.

@Dan-The-Man you can’t seriously argue Kane is anywhere near Pogba in terms of media dividends. Look at the data. You’ve picked Harry’s best ever time period to compare to a fairly mediocre one for Pogba and Pog still returned more. I mean he was an England captain and Golden boot winner at a World Cup!

I have plenty of Kane and he’s a good hold for the summer but there’s no comparison 90% of the time.

The initial point was that if Pogba is still at United at the end of the summer he’s heavily undervalued.
Comparison between Pogba’s and Kane’s prices and returns shows that.

Pog has his price compressed currently by the transfer uncertainty. He stays he rises and you double win if you buy now and collect all those dividends (which yes I’d wager would be significantly more than Kane’s unless he scores the winner in the Champions League).

That was the point I was making, he stays and you’ve picked up an undervalued player which is a scenario most were ignoring.

@Ellisandro
lol. Been a lot of shitposts but also some pretty deep analysis by some people. One of the more interesting threads around imo.
However I'm a little bit scared for the 'i told you so' phase, could get real ugly, downvotes and everything.

@Dan-The-Man you can’t seriously argue Kane is anywhere near Pogba in terms of media dividends.

I've never disputed that Pogba is the king of MB but earning more divs does not automatically mean earning more money.

The Maths
If you buy £1,000 of each player you get 208 Kane and 129 Pogba.

If over the next 30 days, they both rise 50p, your Kane's become worth £1104, but your Pogba's only rise to £1064.50

And lets say Kane picks up 10p worth of MB, Pogba would need 47p worth of MB to earn more money than Kane.

Do you think Pogba will earn 4.7x more dividends than Kane?

Pog has his price compressed currently by the transfer uncertainty. He stays he rises and you double win if you buy now and collect all those dividends (which yes I’d wager would be significantly more than Kane’s unless he scores the winner in the Champions League).

That was the point I was making, he stays and you’ve picked up an undervalued player which is a scenario most were ignoring.

Having been reading this thread for a while now over the course of a few days the first thing I have to say is y'all need to chill out and show each other some respect. There any many users here with many different players in their portfolios bought at different times for different prices for different reasons. Just because User A thinks selling Player A for Price A is a good idea, doesn't mean that fits with User B's strategy. It's great that such a lengthy thread is on-going, but let's not behave like children in the playground please. I'm here to make money, talk football and occasionally have some banter. There are a few in here who have crossed the line in my personal opinion.

@Dan-The-Man and @Ericali I have no complaints with your theories and it's great to see people using evidence and maths to back-up their opinions. Your tactic is your tactic and it's clearly worked out well for you both - especially where Kane is concerned Dan. I think anyone who DOESN'T have Kane in their portfolio is missing a trick personally, but each to their own (I even said so in this comment here dated 12th April https://forums.footballindex.co.uk/topic/7341/kane/52 )

Personally, I hold 5 times as many Kane as I do Pogba. I'm 91pps up on Pogba in cap-app alone, and 83pps up on Kane in cap-app alone. Seeing as though pretty much every transfer market/window in the world other than ours doesn't open for another 2 weeks, I won't be selling Pogba just yet. I do have an exit strategy in place though 👍

@LukeMalla It's not about when it opens mate, when it closes should be the date to keep an eye on, IF Pogba was going to leave M.U then it would be a long old process, hence the reason he should rake in a fair few MB's.

@Dan-The-Man Why are you asking me this? I hold more Kane than Pogba, this topic has zero to do with Kane regarding my comments, I won't be predicting anything because i have absolutely no idea.

I just think it's getting boring reading your negative points over and over and over again, I'm not sure why I'm still getting notifications, I pressed ignore, I guess being tagged still shows up.

Please please please stop tagging me on this topic after this message, that goes to everyone not just Dan, I'm not interested anymore, we're all just guessing anyway, if we knew these answers then we'd be billionaires now.

With Jovic going to Real for £60 million, Hazard looks almost a done deal which you could guess will be in the £80-100 million range. Real are now being linked with Salah(can't see that happening) either way Real Madrid are not a pot of endless money anymore. So with each high priced signing Real make, surly it makes Pogba leaving the Prem less likely. I've not really heard of any other team in for him, apart from weak Juve stories the other month.