Friday, January 9, 2009

The Army will shortly declare the liberation of Elephant Pass, a garrison lost years ago. It will be a historic victory in this sector and the 53 and 55 have been given the opportunity to raise the lion flag and their share of the victory.

Clearing operations are being finalized at EPS. A Major was killed by a boobytrap but other than that, no serious incidents have occurred since the capture of Soranpattu. The 58 and 53 will not meet up. The former started moving east of Paranthan via Murusamoddai towards Chalai/Mulaitivu.

2,429 comments:

A couple of days ago, I saw an article written by a guy named Arush. His analysis was later followed up in several pro-LTTE media, igniting hope for the LTTE's military campaign. One of the central points of that article was that LTTE hierarchy is allowing the spreading of SLDFs over larger area so that tigers can penetrate through a few weak points in the Army defenses. Unfortunately for the cats, this is highly unlikely to happen. Several reasons for this:

1. Unlike the previous Eelam wars, our battle planners are putting a lot of effort on "defense in depth".

2. The above has been facilitated by force multiplying effects of the SF units, MBRL-ARti units and the armor units (all of which that LTTE lack - LTTE has SF units are not directly compared to our men).

3. LRRP units working in deep-enemy space (these units are now in the Mullativu jungles!). These does not allow the tigers to concentrate cadres for a major assault against us (SLAF, MBRL attacks can be called in by these units as well).

4. Two of the most coveted armored units have not been unleashed as yet (Because of their high mobility and firepower, these units can effectively be used to cover a large open area); and also they can be used to breach the Tiger FDL by using techniques like attacking on a center of gravity. These units can also be made to do "thunder runs" into and out of the Northern Mullativu area, unsettling the cats greatly.

5. Influx of newly trained divisions for both defensive and offensive roles.

6. force multiplier effect of the Navy and SLAF units.

7. Shrinking of the tiger FDL. This gives us a smaller effective area to concentrate on.

You said 58 and 53 will not meet up. Does this mean that 53 and 55 will remain on the peninsula??

Since there is no longer a major threat to the peninsula with the fall of Pooneryn, Paranthan and further east, what is the point of having two offensive divisions (53 and 55) there?? There are two other defensive divisions for protecting the peninsula.

I cant believe ppl in transcurrents.com have internal contacts with either party, esp since they are not overtly pro-LTTE or pro-GOSL. I think both Lankaguardian and transcurrents just scrape off what's on the web...bit like Mahen...LOL!

They're just making use of the situation to make a name for themselves :)

1. this way is unpassable for a large troop and there is no "work" there.]

The SLA does not need to use the entire Div 55 to clear the Chundikulam area; that is a minor task. The main task of Div 55, that I proposed is to move along the East coast, sweeping the region between A35 and the sea, while Div 53 does the same along A-35 and the landward side. Both Divs will move essentially parallel to A35, side-by-side.

Div 55 will meet either one Brigade of Div 59, or the Air Mobile Brigade of Div 53 moving up North along A35 on the seaward side, from the Mullaitivu area. The other Brigades of Div 59 will confront and overcome the Puthukuidyiruppu defences and then move North along A35.

Divs 57 and 58 should shift back into the small unit jungle warfare mode and work on sweeping LTTE cadres from the Northeast, perhaps incorporating the Iranamdu-center of the Mullaitivu-District-Jungle (MDJ) road building project. Div 53 should take over from Div 58 and move along good A-35 road with its armor. Div 55 should move along the narrow East coast road through the Chundikulam Wildlife sanctuary and attempt to clear the East coast of the seaboard parallel to the A-35 route. They will hit the A-35 fortifications towards the sea.

Meanwhile, TF3 should move towards Theravilkulam on A-35, building a road through the MDJ as it goes along.

Div 59 should move along Mullaitivu Lagoon to wards Puthukuduiruppu, and TF4 should sweep in towards the middle of the MDJ building a road from Mulliyawalai towards the center of the MDJ. It will also support the flanks of Div 59 and TF3.

The idea is to have no gaps between the forces while sweeping the MDJ towards A-35, and to arrive along A-35 about the same time, to trap the LTTE in a pocket oriented along A-35, from all sides.

While Div 59 is moving towards Puthukuduiruppu, it should assault A-35 supply route to Mullaitivu with artillery, supplemented by the SLAF.

The Div 53 Air Mobile Brigade could be used to capture the strip of land between the Mullaitivu Lagoon and the sea, but they will have to be careful of getting hit by LTTE cadre from both the South (from Mullaitivu) and the North (from Puthukuduiruppu). The SLA is very risk averse to these kinds of operations, and may instead stick to the broad front sweeping strategy they have successfully deployed so far.

I am very concerned of a counterattack on Div 59 in strength by the LTTE, before Divs 53 and 55 become available from the Jaffna front.

I was about to joke that the LTTE killed the sunday leader guy. Then i realised some pro mahindha mama lackeys were trying to spin that story in LNP and i could have fallen off my chair laughing. I mean why not kill somebody in mcns or daily mirror or other mahindha papers. Only kill the one who reports against the government line.

I realised mahindha took over media ministry as he needs to build a propaganda front. I should ask mahindha mama whether my goonda limited can be listed and also whether i can offer 25% intrest for deposits.

LTTE is only withdrawing because it needs to wait for things to change. I guess see how gotas lap dog defencewire gets a free rein to report while people like lalith can blown away. Are you sure these guys are unbaised.

"I thought let them die for their land". Looks like LTTE is letting the SLA die for the land they want.If after all this thanks to the BJP there is a eelam, will you kill yourself.

Rover, unless, the Army can manouver successfully within the Mullaitivu triangle, the fighting will be intense and the advance slow. The ability to use LRRPs and other SF troops will also reduce as the triangle shrinks. These units need space as they are relatively lightly armed, and as more Army and SLAF support fire is thrown into a smaller area, the SF troops will be endangered. Also, 'thunder runs' like the US Army did in Baghdad isn't possible here. The A35 and the Oddusuddan-Puththukudiyiruppu road are in terrible condition and a lot of the areas flanking the roads are still flooded or marshy. The A34 runs through a built-up area and armour will be very vulnerable. Infantry has to secure areas before armour can move in, so 'thunder run'-style raids are very unlikely.

Looks like the rupee is going to fall off the cliff soon. Sri Lanka is heading towards economic degradation. Fortunately Mahindha has taken over the media ministry and soon others. I used to hear people tell this about Prabha,

"he has killed all those who opposed him including moderate tamils"

Looks like he has given that gift to Sri lanka. I said this way back, at the start mahidnha looks like he is doing good and at the end of the day he will be your greenspan.

A U.S. Senator recently called Greenspan "the greatest central banker who ever lived." Jolly till the shit hits the fan.http://www.capmag.com/article.asp?ID=4574

Bro, no offense meant but your suggestion of 55 moving down on east coast of P'sula is suicidal for 55 unless Jaffna lagoon is fully clear. Otherwise they will be attacked by the sea, lagoon amd ground. It will be like a sitting duck.

For sure, most of the special units attached to 53 (Including Mecs and Air mobile) will join the feast with 58 and 57.

I sure hope so too machan (can't imagine SF created the mech's for nothing). Getting out of that Muhamalai killing field must be a big relief for 53rd and 55th BTW. Now that they're finally out in the open, we can anticipate the best of 53rd in the coming weeks (if not days)

Rana,How about some 55 troops moving in land southwards and then making their way east and then up north around chundikulam trying to cutoff and surround any LTTE concentrations while 58 makes eastward and south eastward movement?

we better start collecting old charlie chaplin & mr. bean comedy movies soon. with LTTE & vesapillai outa the way even mahen (with his penchant for fiction) will find it difficult to make patriots laugh.

I was about to joke that the LTTE killed the sunday leader guy. Then i realised some pro mahindha mama lackeys were trying to spin that story in LNP and i could have fallen off my chair laughing. I mean why not kill somebody in mcns or daily mirror or other mahindha papers. Only kill the one who reports against the government line.

THIS IS WHY WE SAY THESE ATTACK AND KILLING OF LW ARE NOT DONE BY THE GOVT.

AT THE MOMENT THE WORLD MEDIA FOCUS IS ON ISREAL - PALESTINE WAR NOT SRI LANKA.THE LTTE KNOWS THAT INDIA AND OBAMA ARE NOT GOING TO HELP THEM.

BY DOING THESE KILLINGS AND ATTACKS LTTE ( LEADING TAMILS TO EXTINCTION ) WILL GAIN SO MANY THINGS...

(1).THEY CAN SHIFT THE CURRENT MEDIA FOCUS FROM ISREAL TO SRI LANKA.

(2). SRI LANKA WILL GET THE LABEL "THE WORST PLACE FOR JOURNALISTS"

(3). SRI LANKAN RUPEE WILL DEGRADE

(4). IT WILL EFFECT THE GOVERNMENTS WAR EFFORTS SERIOUSLY AND THE DIASPORA WILL TRY TO RESCUE THE LTTE.

(5). LTTE'S FAVOURITE PARTY THE UNP WILL TRY TO TOPPLE THE GOVERNMENT.

(6). EUROPEAN UNION WILL NOT GIVE US THE GSP PLUS AND SO MANY GARMENT FACTORIES AND WORKERS WILL SUFFER.

(7). ECONOMY WILL COLLAPSE.

(8). THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY WILL SEND UN PEACEKEEPERS TO SRI LANKA.

Joking apart guys, some Eelamish people believe that VP is a prophet and saviour sent by the Almighty and some believe that he is a reincarnation of Hindu deity sent to earth to banish Ravana's descendants to hell. The people believing in these utter bull crap (goma) are not just fishermen / barbers / toilet cleaners, they are actually doctors, engineers, lawyers and other proffessionals.

Naveendran, Mahen, Upul (All the LTTP fanatics), When I read your comments sounds very much like Nazi’s during their final days. You first hoped for the great comeback fight by your commandos which will devastate the govt troops. Then you hoped for the great attack on economic targets in Colombo which will cripple the economy. Now you hope that the economy will slide itself even if LTTP does nothing. Similarly when defeats were piling up, Nazi’s were talking about their ‘great come back strikes’ and the ‘devastating new weapons the world was yet to see’. Then they though Russian/American/British economies will not be able to sustain the war for long. Finally, Hitler thought that the death of F.D. Roosevelt will turn the tide. The facts of the matter however was that the Nazis were gone for good and nothing was gonna revive them. After all the defeats they have suffered, that seems to be the case of LTTP too bro. There will be no phoenix rising from the ashes. Just take it like men and face the truth!!

i feel pity for that degamboda bastard. once we confronted two guys mugging a group of gals. we beat them up and one bugger pleaded that he has family, kids, xmas, blah, blah. so we stopped bashing him. i went to his place and saw the mess. we gave some bucks and a year later also i visited them with presents.

if these jokers can't take it, why the fcuk they pick up fights? bloody mutts.

With the fall of Paranthan and the capturing of the entire A9 Highway south of Elephant Pass, the Tigers on the Jaffna Peninsula were being increasingly isolated. The GoSL’s so-called National Front on the Kilali-Muhamalai-Nagarkovil axis had always been a holding action, in spite of widespread opinion that it would be the jumping-off point for the advance on Elephant Pass.-From Blacklightarrow

So the mind of SF is understood at last.

53rd and 55th was never intended to be on the offensive until the 58th reaches EPS. They merely were holding units that launched sporadic harassing attacks on the enemy and kept the LTTE held up at National front while the 58th, 57th and 59th nibbled away from below.

As DB said, 53rd and 55th always gave the false impression that would jump out from National Front. There was always the expectation that they would make a move at any time....i.e.Machanized Div would flatten muhamalai, am amphibious landing at Pooneryn, ect ect...all turned out to be false leads finally.

Raising a Machanized Div quite early in the war and giving it good publicity(and mind you, not using it up not now) could also have been a part of psy ops to keep LTTE engaged in National Front :)

>>> Raising a Machanized Div quite early in the war and giving it good publicity(and mind you, not using it up not now) could also have been a part of psy ops to keep LTTE engaged in National Front :)<<<

Congrats to SLA for a job well done. We always knew it was only a matter of time before well oiled SL war machine makes its way through to EPS. Still it gives us immense please to hear it being archived. This is the fortress where 100's of our heroes have valiantly fought died in the past.Jaya wewa!

For your entertainment..Although Paranthan has fallen, supply lines to EPS and the MKN axis are intact as the LTTE never used the A9 to service defences north of Paranthan. As well as using covert land routes, EPS and MKN are being serviced by the sea tigers.

Blacklightarrow, Thanks for your comment. I also read your article, which was quite informative, thanks for that excellent effort too.

Yes, the thunder runs may not be possible under the current climatic conditions, but it is always good to have specialized options that could work as the battle environment changes.

LRRP units, yes I agree, they would not be as useful in an area with a greater density of enemy combatants. But still they can play a defensive/intelligence role (without providing an offensive one). This, I think, we are already seeing.

One of the points you made in your blog was interesting. About the high casualties that are anticipated among the civilian population. Yes, it is likely that the future FDL will become more and more impregnable to civilians who want to come out. This is a concern, and I can't really see how this can effectively be addressed, except going for well planned decapitation strikes of the LTTE leadership, hoping that there will be structural failure within their system.

Regarding the comment about sending out the special LTTE units to cleared areas to carry out subversive acts: if enough cadre can be killed right now (especially the senior ones - decapitation strikes), on their earth bunds (and trenches when the rain subsides) and away from the civilians, there is a high propensity for the units that are sent into cleared areas to surrender to us.

Providing some form of hope to the entrapped masses and the Tamils in general, at least by protecting the rights of the minorities while addressing the will of the majority will be the way to go. This is of course a difficult act, but doable, if MR GOSL is ready to give up the extremists like JHU within their ranks. In short, we should strive to be a liberal democracy.

However, if it is true (i.e. VP in SF's custody), I vow to donate US$ 200 to Ranaviru Fund when I get immeadiate confirmation. I will post the proof here (with my personal and account details blanked out). Mark my words.

I never posted anything on here b4.But checked it everyday for every1s comments and that.

Why would I want to lie to my own Sri Lankan people.

This is very good news and I thought you guys need to know what I know.

Why would MR address the nation at 3pm. He is not gona gloat about capture of EPS...! I can assure you that he is not going to be talking about SL finances, government issue or the kiiling of media people!!!!!.

if that fails, go to www.wwitv.com and search on Sri Lankan channels and you will get Rupavahini, you will need to install a plug in called Octoshape to watch. The plug is in the main page of www.wwitv.com. After installing the plug in, you need to restart the computer to watch.

Let's not jump to conclusion with Nuts. Allow him to come up with goods, if he doesn't we can make fun of him and he is going to lose his crediblity.

Don't write off Nuts just yet, I suspect I know who he is ;-)

By the way Kili captured story wasn't fake. SLA did move into Kili in November, journalists were taken there and shown the town. However, it was an LTTE ploy, the pigs had moved out of Kili and blasted the Iranamadu bund, the town got flooded and SLA left as they felt it was a trap. It was then that SLA decided to secure Iranamadu before capturing Kili.

Not really. TF1/Div 58 advances from the Northeast towards the Southeast direction

Div 57 advances from the West towards the East

TF2 advances from the Southwest to the Northeast

TF3 advances from the South towards the North

TF4 advances from the Southeast towards the Northeast

Div 59 advances North

Div 53 Air Mobile Brigade advances from North of Mullaitivu to the North along A35 (if deployed thus)

Div 55 Advances from the North along A35 to the South

Div 53 (except the Air Mobile Brigade) advances from the North to the South on the seaward side of A35 to meet the Air Mobile Brigade of Div 53 coming up towards it.

Div 55 and Div 59 would meet in the middle of A35

All other units would sweep the Mullaitivu-District-Jungle and advance towards A 35

I don't expect every unit to proceed coordinated in this way, because of differences in resistance levels. Also, LTTE may collapse long before these moves come to fruition, and will flee like headless chickens to join the "imprisoned civilians"!

Also, there is rumor flying around that VP has surrendered to SF, and that MR is going to announce it at 3.00 pm.

In one sense, it would save soldiers lives. On the other hand, I would like VP to die and disappear from the scene altogether.

If you know something, please do not keep us in suspense, this is getting unbearable. If you are just monkeying around, then it is very unpatriotic of you to do something like this to take the focus away from EPS and A9 liberation.

PS, I have no faith in RAW. If RAW is this good, how did they allow gunmen to come in boats to Mumbai and shoot close to 200 people to death? And why did lit take like over a week to capture and kill the gunmen?

MTV/NBC attackers were identified. As I again and again mentioned, it was done by a gang of thugs who are related with a J'Pura Urban council. It seems that Ravi Karunanayake is behind it so the picture is clear right

"LTTE is only withdrawing because it needs to wait for things to change. I guess see how gotas lap dog defencewire gets a free rein to report while people like lalith can blown away. Are you sure these guys are unbaised."

Congratulations Navindran.After years of development using suicide bombers, you people have now found a technique for your progress.

"specialforceSenior Member Joined: Jul 2005Posts: 5023Member Profile 9 Jan 2009 11:49:18 GMT Report for Abuse HE IS WITH US...:))...ND I CANT BELIEVE THIS...TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE BUT ITS LIKE THAT FOLKS...

congrats...i dont know whether the NEWS WILL BE BROKEN OR NOT....but THATS THE CASE folks...

"The megalomaniac PRBHAKARAN, mad over fall of his terrorist fortresses one by one in the past few days has been reportedly radioing threatening and distress calls to his confidantes by himself as victories of our valiant soldiers are now poised to salvage hundreds of besieged Tamil civilians from the grips of terrorism."

Now that Mahinda is in charge of the media, and after the fall of Kili and Paranthan, Sirasa has been attacked and Lasantha W. has been killed. I wonder who is next in line for assassination when Elephant Pass falls?

[Bro, no offense meant but your suggestion of 55 moving down on east coast of P'sula is suicidal for 55 unless Jaffna lagoon is fully clear. Otherwise they will be attacked by the sea, lagoon amd ground. It will be like a sitting duck.]

Rana, you are jumping to conclusions about what I said.

Where did I say in my write up that the right flank of the one Brigade of Div 55 clearing the Chundikulam area would not be protected, or that they would be sent before that protection is available? I didn't go into that level of detail on the coordination of unit movements. What I did give was a very high-level description of what I had in mind.

What do you think Div 53 and the other brigades of Div 55 would be doing in my high level description? They would clearing and moving along the Lagoon to the East of course, and the one brigade of Div 55 clearing the Chundikulam area would keep pace with the movement on the opposite shore of the Lagoon.

Also, Div 58 would quit moving East on A35, and turn off A35 to the Southeast into the Mullaitivu District Jungle area, and hand over the Eastwards movement to Div 53 and and the other Brigades of Div 55, which after moving East at first, would turn and go South along A 35 on the landward and seaward sides, respectively.

Are you drunk. We didn't insult any tamils here and WONT unlike those LTTE supporters. How can a sinhalese person insult a tamil person, I really can't understand since we both sides live very happily here in SL. You might be from another country who heard the BS from those LTTE disapora saying that sinhalese are carrying guns when they are traveling on roads and whenever they see a tamil person they kill him just like that ...