NFL Week 4 Betting Recap

NFL Week 4 Betting Recap

– Favorites went 7-6 ATS in Week 4 but are still just 27-32 ATS for the season. Home teams went 8-4 ATS in Week 4 but are also below .500 this season with a 28-30 ATS record. Teams coming off a loss in the Week 3 were just 6-7 ATS this week but have gone 24-20 ATS on the season.

– Underdogs went 6-7 straight up this week, and betting every dog on the moneyline would have resulted in a gain of +3.22 units won. On the year, betting every underdog in the moneyline has resulted in a net gain of 5.35 units won.

– In Week 4 the Over went 10-3 (+6.46 units) bringing the record to 33-28 (+3.6 units) on the season.

– For early Super Bowl betting, the NFC is currently a 3-point favorite against the AFC with a total of 51.5. On the moneyline the NFC is listed at -145 | AFC +130.

– The Oakland Raiders have fired head coach Dennis Allen after the team’s 0-4 start. Before the season Allen has the third best odds (+600) of being the first coach to be fired.

– Heading into the week, these were the likeliest Super Bowl matchups at Sportsbook.com:

SEA-DEN +550

SEA-NE +800

SEA-CIN +1300

NO-DEN +1900

GB-DEN +2000

SEA-SD +2000

SF-DEN +2300

– The most bet NFL games this weekend all consisted of NFC teams:

Falcons/Vikings

Saints/Cowboys

Eagles/49ers

Packers/Bears

– Key injuries to monitor for Week 5:

Bears WR Brandon Marshall, Ankle, Probable

49ers TE Vernon Davis, Back, Questionable

Titans QB Jake Locker, Wrist, Questionable

Vikings QB Teddy Bridgewater, Ankle, Probable

Texans WR Andre Johnson, Ankle, Probable

Cardinals QB Carson Palmer, Shoulder, Probable

Packers LB Clay Matthews, Hamstring, Questionable

Colts S LaRon Landry, Suspension, Out

Panthers RB DeAngelo Williams, Ankle, Doubtful

Bucs WR Mike Evans, Groin, Out

Raiders QB Derek Carr, Knee, Out

– It was an up-and-down week for back-up quarterbacks with Minnesota and Teddy Bridgewater (+3.5 vs. Atlanta) winning 41-28 and Tampa Bay and Mike Glennon (+7.5, at Pittsburgh) winning 27-24. However, Jacksonville and Blake Bortles (+13 at San Diego) lost 33-14 and Charlie Whitehurst and Tennessee (+7.5 at Indy) lost 41-17.

– Speaking of back-ups, there’s a new quarterback in Buffalo with Kyle Orton replacing E.J. Manuel behind center this week. The Bills are currently receiving 25% of spread bets as 7-point underdogs in Detroit.

– Looking ahead to Week 5, the Browns/Titans game is currently off the board as it is unknown weather Jake Locker (Wrist) or his back-up Charlie Whitehurst will get the start.

– There was only one O/U in the NFL this week where the public majority was on the Under (NE-KC), but that total has increased from 45 to 46.5. The bettors following that reverse line movement covered easily as the teams combined for 55 points (41-14 Chiefs).