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The decision to pull out NATO forces from Afghanistan by 2014 has created a new strategic situation in Central Asia, Novikov suggested.

"The entire terrorist and guerrilla activity in Afghanistan after 2014 may be related to extra-economic control over its resources," he said.

The projected terrorist and domestic military-political activity in Afghanistan will be rooted in the re-division of natural resources and connection of Afghanistan and Pakistan to the energy transit system.

"We are dealing with a new type of state crises, whose models and techniques have been tested. These are the permanent "Arab Spring" and crises of the "Syrian scenario"; actually, we are witnessing local armed conflicts," Novikov said.

Terrorism is increasingly used for settling problems in rather large scale projects and in economic relations between clans, he noted.