Brad Penny (R) (0-0) (0.00) vs. Alfredo Simon (R) (12-7) (3.065)

TV: FSN-FL, FSN-OH

The Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds play game two on Saturday at the Great American Ball Park.

The Marlins have lost six of their last nine games and are three games below a .500 record. The Marlins offense is struggling mightily during this stretch, producing three or less runs in nine of their last 10 games. The Marlins have lost six of their last eight games when scoring three or less runs. Giancarlo Stanton has homered five times in his last nine games and Casey McGehee has three hits in his last two games. The Marlins pitching staff has an ERA of 3.90, which is 20th in baseball. Brad Penny gets the nod, and this will be his first major league game in two seasons. Penny is 7-4 with a 3.68 ERA in 16 career games against the Reds.

The Reds are 5-3 in the month of August and two games above a .500 record. The Reds pitching staff has been dominant lately, allowing three or less runs in eight of their last nine games. Overall, the Reds have an ERA of 3.38, which is seventh in the league, and they’ve won seven of their last nine games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Todd Frazier has scored four runs in his last two games and Jay Bruce has a hit in seven of his last 10 games. Starting is Alfredo Simon, who is 12-7 with a 3.07 ERA and has 85 strikeouts in 138 innings. Simon is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in six career games against the Marlins.

The Marlins are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter and 16-36 in their last 52 vs. National League Central. The Reds are 4-1 in Simons last 5 starts vs. National League East and 0-4 in Simons last 4 starts overall.

There's no line yet due to Penny just being labeled the starter for the fish. However, I'm taking the Reds simply because Penny hasn't pitched in forever and god knows what he has left in the tank.

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