N.F.L. Playoff Picture: How the Eagles Can Win the N.F.C. East

With 31 games remaining in the season, there are two billion ways the season could end. Which of those outcomes are best for the Eagles? It’s questions like these that led us to build our N.F.L. simulator, to let you explore which games matter the most for your team’s playoff chances.

Our goal here is to give you the short version: Philadelphia wins its division and grabs the No. 4 seed in the N.F.C. by winning its last two games, at home against Washington this weekend and at the Giants to finish the season.

Below, you’ll find a tree that exhaustively lists all of the ways the Eagles’ season could end. We have listed the games from left to right in order of their importance in determining whether they make the playoffs. The most important game, not surprisingly, is this weekend’s Washington-Philadelphia game.