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Ron Brownstein

The next America

With Obama’s victory, Democrats have quietly won the popular vote in five of the six presidential elections since 1992. That matches the Republican record of winning the popular vote in five of the six elections from 1968 to 1988. (Democrats generally won by smaller margins and had the asterisk election of 2000, when Al Gore lost the Electoral College.) Obama became the first Democrat since Franklin Roosevelt to attract more than 50 percent of the vote in consecutive elections.

The fact that he did so while losing white voters so decisively underscored both his achievement and the social change that the result encapsulated. Before the election, I argued that Obama’s formula for success could be reduced to an equation of 80/40. So long as minorities represented at least 26 percent of voters (their share in 2008), Obama could amass a national majority by winning 80 percent of nonwhite voters and only 40 percent of whites. In fact, pending final adjustments in the exit poll, he hit that mark almost precisely, winning 80 percent of minorities and 39 percent of whites. Obama carried 93 percent of African-Americans, 73 percent of Asian-Americans, 71 percent of Hispanics, and 58 percent of all other racial and ethnic minorities, the exit polls found. He held most of his 2008 margins in white-collar suburban counties with large minority populations such as Florida’s Hillsborough, Virginia’s Henrico, and Ohio’s Franklin…

No Republican presidential nominee has won more than 50.8 percent of the popular vote since 1988. That’s largely because the party has remained almost completely dependent on whites for its support in a rapidly diversifying country. Romney, like John McCain in 2008, relied on whites for nearly 90 percent of his votes in a country with a 40 percent nonwhite population. Romney may have sealed his fate when the words “self-deportation” left his lips during a Florida primary debate. “We are in a position now where we have to—through differences in policy, differences in tone, and differences in candidates—reach out [to minorities] in a way we’ve never reached out before,” says veteran GOP pollster Whit Ayres. “Or we will not be successful as a national party.”

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And thus, all the more reason that freedom lovers (libertarians and conservatives) must now separate ourselves from the rest of America. Secession? Yeah, sure.

But an even better solution, is a simply boycott. Let’s just boycott Blue State America. Don’t give them any more tax dollars. Don’t give them your tourist dollars. Don’t buy products made in those States.

Further, use a personal boycott. Know someone who voted Obama. Write them out of your life. Be nasty about it too. Tell them to just ‘F’ off and die. No longer speak to them.

Got a girlfriend who voted for Obama. Break up with her. Divorce your Democrat spouse.

Don’t attend Thanksgiving Day dinners if any Democrat family members will attend.

We need candidates from these groups who are not afraid to campaign where they are. Herman Cain did this but unfortunately didn’t have his personal life in order.

We can win with a sensible reform minded candidate, but the prerequisite has to be a candidate that the base finds acceptable from the beginning. It’s really been since 2000 when the base has had a candidate that they found acceptable from the beginning. Not coincidentally that candidate was able to win.

IF you don’t put forward candidates the base wants, you will lose. The GOP has not understood this. The Dems have. You don’t win national elections if your base is more excited about your vice presidential pick than your nominee.

Scott Walker/ Susanna Martinez 2016. We are going to need some major reform in 2016 and Walker can deliver.

The GOP still needs to win the white vote. That’s their base and they need to be represented too. Working people and taxpayers still matter in this country and the GOP needs to be the party that support them.

Amnesty and welfare are democratic policies. Any republican supporting those policies is not a republican. Legal immigration and jobs should be the GOP message.

We will win in 2016, but we can’t surrender on core principles, otherwise the nation will go irretrievably to the Left.

Asians are conservative and self-reliant, if we can’t win Asians, then there is something seriously wrong with our strategy. I don’t buy this notion of entitlement, yes they are minorities who depend heavily on Uncle Sam, but there are still some business-minded Hispanics and Asians who will respond to our message.

All we need to do is to cut the democrat margins not carry the group. Bush carried 40% of Hispanics and that made a difference in swing states. We are losing Cuban Americans who have been reliably Republican.
I don’t believe we should change our message or compromise our principles but I think our approach and tone needs to change.

Before you do that, read up on flow of Federal tax dollars. You might notice hanging to Texas’s tit alone would not be enough. Most of Red States will starve to death.

Federal tax dollars go to get politicians elected and crowd out the private sector. If red states could opt out of federal taxes, they would come out well ahead. The only government spending that’s necessary takes place on the local level.

Without blue states pumping dollars you would have to eat dirt, literally.

You just suggested that red states – red states – would have to eat dirt without the federal government. Red states.

Before you do that, read up on flow of Federal tax dollars. You might notice hanging to Texas’s tit alone would not be enough. Most of Red States will starve to death.

Without blue states pumping dollars you would have to eat dirt, literally.

lester on November 11, 2012 at 10:29 AM

While I think a boycott of “blue” states would not be a great idea, I would tend to disagree with your notion that “red” states would “eat dirt.” Most of your food comes from “red” states. Grains, vegetables, livestock are all huge in flyover country. If NYC didn’t import food from “red” states, it would be like a scene from Soylent Green.

I’m in California. We’d love to keep our tax dollars here, rather than paying for infrastructure in Alabama, Mississipi, Georgia, etc. California, New York, Massachusetts, etc, pay almost 20% more in federal tax dollars than we receive in federal services.

This is the same thinking that says “Keep the government out of my Medicare.”

Elections are now controlled by huge communist urban areas filled with government dependents and illegals.

darwin on November 11, 2012 at 10:36 AM

My secret identity revealed!

Urban “Che” Elitist.

While I think a boycott of “blue” states would not be a great idea, I would tend to disagree with your notion that “red” states would “eat dirt.” Most of your food comes from “red” states. Grains, vegetables, livestock are all huge in flyover country. If NYC didn’t import food from “red” states, it would be like a scene from Soylent Green.

I’m in California. We’d love to keep our tax dollars here, rather than paying for infrastructure in Alabama, Mississipi, Georgia, etc. California, New York, Massachusetts, etc, pay almost 20% more in federal tax dollars than we receive in federal services.

This is the same thinking that says “Keep the government out of my Medicare.”

RINOs are people too on November 11, 2012 at 10:44 AM

We’d love it if you kept your tax dollars too.

Fact is – the Southern States would do just fine without Federal dollars. Yeah – we’d have to make major “rearrangements” but it’s totally doable.

How’s your state debt in California? Will you ever pay it? Before you start dumping on the Southern States – you may want to consider they’ll be the ones paying your sorry ass out of bankruptcy.

I’m in California. We’d love to keep our tax dollars here, rather than paying for infrastructure in Alabama, Mississipi, Georgia, etc. California, New York, Massachusetts, etc, pay almost 20% more in federal tax dollars than we receive in federal services.

This is the same thinking that says “Keep the government out of my Medicare.”

RINOs are people too on November 11, 2012 at 10:44 AM

The good news is, with California being home to so many of “teh Rich,” many of you will have the opportunity to help by contributing more money to the nation. Thanks, y’all are such good sports about all of this. Maybe we can send you a basket of flowers or something.

I’m in California. We’d love to keep our tax dollars here, rather than paying for infrastructure in Alabama, Mississipi, Georgia, etc. California, New York, Massachusetts, etc, pay almost 20% more in federal tax dollars than we receive in federal services.

This is the same thinking that says “Keep the government out of my Medicare.”

RINOs are people too on November 11, 2012 at 10:44 AM

I’m sure we can work out a deal: you let us go our own way peacefully, and you can keep your tax dollars.

Republicans are seen as the nativist, white Christian party. That’s the root of the problem.

DarkCurrent on November 11, 2012 at 10:49 AM

Maybe we should all convert to Islam then we would be the white Muslim party and everyone would love us. We could implement any law we choose by force. In fact, we could use the sword in dealing with Congressional democrats. No one would say anything because you know, the sword, killing … all that stuff … it’s cultural man. Any attempt to stop us would be offensive to our religion and we just can’t have that.