Watching The Gulf

There is a slight chance for tropical development for an area of rain and storms along the coast of Texas. This upper low is forecast to move onshore along the lower Texas Coast Thursday. The system is over warm water, but is dealing with dry air and some stronger winds aloft which are not conducive for development. More tropical moisture will move towards the North Central Gulf Friday into Saturday.

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Updated: 10:38 PM CDT Aug 27, 2014

Watching The Gulf

There is a slight chance for tropical development for an area of rain and storms along the coast of Texas. This upper low is forecast to move onshore along the lower Texas Coast Thursday. The system is over warm water, but is dealing with dry air and some stronger winds aloft which are not conducive for development. More tropical moisture will move towards the North Central Gulf Friday into Saturday.

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Updated: 10:38 PM CDT Aug 27, 2014

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WEBVTT Gulf of Mexico. The NationalHurricaneCenter says there is a 20%chance tropical developmentwithin48 hours and 20% in 3-5 days.Recon flight went in there todayand could notfind a well defined circulation.It actually looks like more of atrough oflow pressure. II see an upperlevel low which shows up in ourExact LiveRadar at about 18 thousand feet.Upper lows tend not to develop.Thesystem is dealing with dry airaloft. The rain along the coastof Louisianahas just about dissipated, andthere is more rain closer to theareaof lower pressure. It isforecast to move towards thelower Texas Coastand move onshore Thursday. Weare also tracking Cristobalwhich is320 miles WNW of Bermuda. It has75 mph winds and is moving NE 20mph. It will move northwest ofBermuda tomorrow and out intotheAtlantic. We're also watching atropical wave east of the LesserAntilles.There is a 10% chancedevelopment within 3-5 days.There issome potential that in time itcould move into the WestCaribbean or maybethe south Gulf and develop. Willkeep you posted. There is amajor wave moving off the coastof Africa. It could become astorm or even ahurricane, but it would be afish storm. Right now there isa 40%chance development for 3-5 daysout. It's nice out now.Temperatures are running in theupper 70s to low 80s. The windis light out ofthe southeast. Lows will be inthe low to mid 70s Northshore tomidto upper 70s south. Discussion:The weak low in the Gulf ismovingslowly southwest towards theTexas Coast. We have an onshoreflowsending in moisture. Daytimeheating will help fire up somerainThursday. It's a 30% rainchance Thursday with highs nearto thelow 90s, but rain chances go upFriday into the weekend astropical moisture moves our wayfrom the South Gulf. Say itisn't so, but40% rain Friday. 60-70% Saturdayand 50% Sunday. Rain chances godown for Labor Day to a 30-40%chance.STATE TROOPERS WHO HAVE BEEN INPLACE IN THE FRENCH QUARTER

Watching The Gulf

There is a slight chance for tropical development for an area of rain and storms along the coast of Texas. This upper low is forecast to move onshore along the lower Texas Coast Thursday. The system is over warm water, but is dealing with dry air and some stronger winds aloft which are not conducive for development. More tropical moisture will move towards the North Central Gulf Friday into Saturday.