Looking around a little bit, we did very well compared to most (especially Lunardi - he cheated, still did terrible, and then lied about it on TV, saying he got 55 of 65 teams within a seed line when in reality he got 48 of 65). Congrats to Bracket Project for being the only bracket to got 64 out of 65 and for having the most exact seeds with 34. CBS Sportsline also had a strong showing in all three stat categories.

Overall we are a little disappointed and kicking ourselves for leaving Illinois out for Drexel. We thought it might be difficult for the committee to leave a 29 RPI out from a major conference and I guess it was. We went with Drexel because we thought the committee would give a little more love to the small conferences and in the back of their minds would be George Mason's run from last year out of the CAA. We also should have just copied Lunardi's Arkansas last minute inclusion (just like last year with George Mason). It really wouldn't have made a difference though because we wouldn't have taken Syracuse out to include them anyways.

There are a few seedings we are kicking ourselves about. We had Duke the top 8 and they ended up getting a 6. We should have put them a 7 so we'd only be one spot off. Also we seriously considered Eastern Kentucky being a 16 (our last 15) and North Texas a 15 (our first 16).

As for the committee some of their seeds we think are way off (Butler, UNLV, Indiana, Purdue) but there is always going to be some teams. The committee really seemed to use the Conference RPI in their decision making. For example, the SEC got 5 bids because they are the 2nd rated conference, while the Big East only got 6 out of 16 because they are the 5th rated conference. There are also some examples in the seedings of where a conference RPI is the only thing that justifies a seed.

34 comments:

Hey guys, I know you're an NCAA site, but if you can explain this about the NIT selection.. Mississippi State was given a 1-seed, and FSU was given a 2.. I would not have expected MSU to be seeded ahead of FSU.. any thoughts on this??

I'm one of the few without a rooting interest who thought Arkansas would make it. I also thought I'd have egg on my face. I was about to take them out because of Charles Thomas' injury. Lunardi should get the sack for doing that two years running.

Spot on with Team November (Butler) and the other teams you mentioned. I would add the John Paul Jones's to that list. UVa with a 4 seed is unreal. Does that mean they were a 3 seed or better before they lost to NC State and went to 3-9 on road/neutral courts?

uva probably would have been a 3 with a finals appearance, you forget that they did share the regular season title with non other than the 2nd number 1 seed North Carolina in the ultra-balanced ACC, the hardest conference in the nation with the number 1 rpi to go with nonconference wins over arizona and gonzaga (by more than 20 when they had heitvelt), they also came close to winning at bc with sean williams, at purdue, and at carolina (outscored them from the field but unc shot 30 more freethrows), and 1 loss at home by one point to stanford, also a tournament team...4 wins against the rpi top 25 and 7 against the rpi top 50 (9 against the top 54)

I forgot no such thing. Even in the "ultra-balanced" ACC, unbalanced scheduling exists. That partly explains their 11-5 conference record.

Using the sabermetrics of the game, UVa was a less impressive 9-7 in the final adjusted conference standings, according to an article at SectionSix (http://sectionsix.blogspot.com/2007/03/final-adjusted-conference-standings.html)

Anyways, it is what it is, and they have an awesome draw considering their body of work.

As for the NIT seeding the committee pretty much did whatever the hell they wanted. I think a lot of it is done to set up home games for the teams they want to have home games and where they expect to have good crowds.

I agree Buffalo66...I know it's a relatively minor gripe, but there is no absolutely no reason why Niagara should have been placed in the play-in game. Jackson State comes to mind as one team that should have been chosen for the spot over Niagara. My only guess for Niagara's inclusion was the 1-6 start in non-conference play when the team was missing two of its regulars but it seems as if their current eleven-game winning streak was completely ignored. A bad decision on the committee's part in my opinion.

UVa as a 4 is a joke. Their schedule strength in the unbalanced ACC schedule (thank you football) was ludicrously easy. They had some really bad non-con losses (App St and Utah) that balanced out their good wins (AZ and Gonzaga). A 6 or 7 seems about right.

As for Niagara in the play-in game, Lunardi made a comment on ESPN about the NCAA not wanting to put the worst two teams (Jackson St and FAMU) in the play-in game for political reasons (i.e., schools from the 2 historically black conferences). IMO, if they are the two worst teams stick them in the play-in game. Since Lunardi seems to have a mole at the NCAA, I'll take his word for it. Why Niagara got picked, I have no clue.

While taking dosages of the Pfizer’s anti-smoking medicine chantix, you might encounter certain Chantix side-effects such as vomiting, headache, nausea, gas et al but if you continue with the medication without paying heed to the side-effects, it would definitely yield results in the long run. Just log in to http://www.chantixmagic.com and acquaint yourself with the tidbits on Chantix side-effects.

your number one source for Free Poker Bankrolls, free poker money Freerolls, no deposit bonusescollection of advanced free online poker tips, advanced free ... Playing at full tiltfree starting capital titan poker here strategy of uides and rakeback to make YOU the most money room titan If you're not a rules money_

We suggest you to buy chantix to quit the very dangerous 'nicotine' addiction by having the anti-smoking magic pill 'Chantix' which is Pfizer manufactured and approved by FDA on May 11,2006.For more sophisticated information about the side-effects of smoking and the treatment of it,Please logon to Chantix Online.

With the Final Four taking place this weekend in Detroit, the need for licensed bracketologists is coming to an end. sportsbook The industry is set to see massive layoffs following the conclusion of March Madness, which will add further to the economic problems facing the country and the hometown of American automobiles. bet nfl The bracketology industry is notoriously volatile, but this year could be one of the worst on record. "I have doctorate degrees from Princeton in both bracket physics and seeding psychology, and I'm not sure I'm going to be able to find a job come April," said Dr. sportsbook Owen Richards, a practicing bracketologist. "People come to me all the time needing help picking what that cinderella team is going to be that captures the imagination of the entire nation, before being crushed two days later in the second round. If I can't make a living, http://www.enterbet.com who is going to be there next year to tell them what to do?"

Predicting the NCAA tournament bracketFor the past four years, Chris Kulenych and Craig Gately of Bracketology 101 have been the most accurate bracketologists in the country.sportsbook Their “projection-prediction” model is not based on the season ending today. Instead, it takes into account what teams have done so far and factors in future results as well. For more analysis of their weekly bracket and to read their daily content, please visit Bracketology 101.Joe Lunardi (ESPN) - Feb. 26 BracketOn Monday it was Purdue-Wisconsin, today it's a potential Duke-Maryland match-up in the SECOND round? Joe, all kidding aside, we're starting to get a little worried about you.march madness(UPDATE: Nice job fixing the Duke-Maryland screw up...too bad we had already spotted it and our readers had already posted comments about it this morning. You can't get anything past our Bracketing Principles mafia.)UConn and Mississippi State in? SDSU out? That sounds very familiar.oh wait, it's our bracket from five days ago.BYU's up to a 3 seed now? Is it because of their impressive total of two wins over tourney teams? OK, we understand then.How mad were you when Northeastern lost to Hofstra? So much for keeping them in as the Colonial "automatic" and avoiding making a tough decision on the bubble.www.canadacasino.com

Bracketology 101 has been featured in the New York Times, the Washington Post, the San Francisco Chronicle, the Wall Street Journal and on ESPN Radio affiliates across the country. The site is designed to serve as a more reliable, more accurate alternative to the Bracketology selections of other major sports websites.
Rather than predict teams based on the season ending today, or make wild predictions of the future, Bracketology 101 uses a unique "projection-prediction" method of selecting teams, giving fans a much more realistic idea of where their favorite teams stand in the eyes of the selection committee.
While other bracketologists favor conferences or teams or rely entirely on RPI rankings in making their picks, we factor in a team's resume as a whole - big wins, bad losses, in and out-of-conference wins, upcoming schedules, conference tournament sites, and each team's overall strengths and weaknesses compared to other teams on the bubble. Our "Field of 68" is updated every Monday throughout the season, with daily updates coming during Championship Week.

Join The B101 Team!

Do you want to advertise on Bracketology 101 during March Madness? Do you want to sponsor one of our upcoming daily brackets? E-mail us at bracketologyblog@yahoo.com for ad rates and details.

Follow B101 On Twitter

Bracketology 101 is now on Twitter! To follow B101 on Twitter, just click on the Twitter logo above.

How B101 Stacks Up

The numbers speak for themselves: Over the last five years, Bracketology 101 is the most accurate bracketology site on the Internet. We produced the best bracket in 2006, the second best in 2007 and 2008, and the fifth best in 2009. We are the only bracketologists to produce a Top 5 bracket four of the last five years. No other bracketologist has placed in the Top 5 more than twice. For a complete breakdown of our bracket stats from the last four years, click on the “We’re #1!” logo above.

The 40-60 Club

On top of correctly predicting 64 of the 65 tournament teams in 2008, Bracketology 101 also became the first bracketology site to ever seed 40 teams exactly and 60 teams within one seed line of their actual seed. Through 2010, we are the only bracketology site to earn this distinction.