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Saturday, December 21

Ice forecast remains uncertain tonight into Sunday morning. My gut tells me that enough freezing rain will fall in some towns to cause some power outages and poor driving conditions. Temperatures are expected to fall into the lower 30s this evening for many within 15-20 miles of Lake Ontario. At the same time, steady to heavy rain will be surging north as the next wave of low pressure rides the front.

I know many would like absolutes but in this type of setup, there are none. The impact will vary greatly town to town with many getting mostly plain rain while others in western Monroe, Orleans and Genesee counties may get 0.5" or more of ice.

We will continue to update the forecast here and on air

Posted by
News 8 Weather

37 comments:

I do not know where the freezing rain line goes but man look at the radar it is one impressive wave of moisture coming up. Does anyone know how much we would get if it was all snow? It has to be an impressive amount.

We would not have all of this moisture if we were on the cold side of this storm. This is the warm conveyor belt of moisture associated with the warm side of the system. If it where a snow storm 8-12 would probably do it.

The front may be on the move south. The breeze has just started to kick up again out of the north here in North Hamlin. The temp has been 35 to 36 all day, but is now on the fall again. The temp is now 34 with light rain. We still have a few inches of snow on the ground.

Penfield started the week with about a 7-8" snow depth. 80% of that is now gone. Up at my cabin in Oswego County, what was feet of snow has been decimated by 45 degree temps and continuous rain. Still a large amount of snow remains, but more 50% has gone.

The Watertown area is going to see a crippling Ice storm. 1.5- 2 inches of ice is expected there and they will never get above freezing. They are going to have a lot of damage and power outages. I am glad that is not going to happen here. So close though.

Wunderground radar is indicating frozen precip in parts of the region. Temps on the lake plain are in the low to mid 30s with mid 40s and higher dominating the higher elevations. Still looks like it'll go down to the wire for a lot of us.

When the lights go out tonight it's gonna be days before they turn back on. Roads will be impassable around here. A few hours of 40 tomorrow (I doubt temps will ever get above 35 actually) is not going to do much to melt 0.5+ in. of ice. It's going to get real cold real fast inside the houses. We are screwed.

Watching downstream radar, it looks like those of us who are still a few degrees or less above freezing are still far from out of the woods. That is one impressive feed of precipitation heading our way.