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Hollinger's Usage Rate Equation

Anyone able to get this working? This is what I have for Paul Pierce: FGA: 239 FTA: 249 AST: 3 TO: 45 MIN: 565 (239+(149*0.44)+(73*0.33)+45)*93.47/(565*95.25)

Message 1 of 3
, Dec 5, 2004

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Anyone able to get this working?

This is what I have for Paul Pierce:
FGA: 239
FTA: 249
AST: 3
TO: 45
MIN: 565

(239+(149*0.44)+(73*0.33)+45)*93.47/(565*95.25) = 0.648969

I've tried it for a few different players/years, and have yet to get
anything close to the values he has in the Prospectus/Forecast.

In the first prospectus it doesn't have the league pace in the
denominator, but just about everyone ends up with a rate of 30-40
points higher.

Can anyone help?

John Hollinger

I somehow left out the Multiply by 40 part. If you re doing a ranking it won t affect the order at all, but it makes the rating a measure of how many

Message 2 of 3
, Dec 5, 2004

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I somehow left out the "Multiply by 40" part. If you're doing a
ranking it won't affect the order at all, but it makes the rating a
measure of how many posesssions a guy uses per 40 minutes.

John

--- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com, sultanoswat@y... wrote:
>
> Anyone able to get this working?
>
> This is what I have for Paul Pierce:
> FGA: 239
> FTA: 249
> AST: 3
> TO: 45
> MIN: 565
>
> (239+(149*0.44)+(73*0.33)+45)*93.47/(565*95.25) = 0.648969
>
> I've tried it for a few different players/years, and have yet to
get
> anything close to the values he has in the Prospectus/Forecast.
>
> In the first prospectus it doesn't have the league pace in the
> denominator, but just about everyone ends up with a rate of 30-40
> points higher.
>
> Can anyone help?

>
> I somehow left out the "Multiply by 40" part. If you're doing a
> ranking it won't affect the order at all, but it makes the rating

a

> measure of how many posesssions a guy uses per 40 minutes.
>
> John
>
>
>
> --- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com, sultanoswat@y... wrote:
> >
> > Anyone able to get this working?
> >
> > This is what I have for Paul Pierce:
> > FGA: 239
> > FTA: 249
> > AST: 3
> > TO: 45
> > MIN: 565
> >
> > (239+(149*0.44)+(73*0.33)+45)*93.47/(565*95.25) = 0.648969
> >
> > I've tried it for a few different players/years, and have yet to
> get
> > anything close to the values he has in the Prospectus/Forecast.
> >
> > In the first prospectus it doesn't have the league pace in the
> > denominator, but just about everyone ends up with a rate of 30-

40

> > points higher.
> >
> > Can anyone help?

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