Pretty excited?? Ha ha, they are going nuts. I think the site has more hits in the past 30 minutes than in the past 3 months.

I didnt know you read that too. When those weenies are getting amped up you know its something that has potential!

Quote:

Originally Posted by bdlawncare

While this winter has been far from great... It is still a huge improvement over last year! I am hoping we will get an actual storm friday, while I don't think it will be anything over 4" I hope we at least get enough snow where I can plow my entire route. Keeping the fingers crossed. Does anyone have anything going on in their region later tonight? Weatherbug, was saying possibly an inch or so, but they have been moving the accumulations around.

Tonight should be a repeat of last. And why dont you think we arent getting more than 4"???

Vscapes- Because at least the models i looked @ had bergen in the 1-3" range... And not to mention every time they say we are going to get any decent accumulation the storm winds up taking a different path and we get next to nothing... Also temps aren't looking great for heavy accumulation. I am definitely hoping we get a decent storm, but I will not judge 3 days in advance, I may take their word come friday afternoon, when its already snowing.

At least they aren't over hyping the snow amounts. In my experience it takes a long time to drive the temps up after such a prolonged period of cold plus column cooling. Thursday night still staying cold....seriously doubting 41 for me on Friday.

Come on this is Plow Site
A "good" or "favorable for snow" pattern is emerging towards the end of this week.
The teleconnections are looking good (AO/NAO, PNA, MJO) We are starting to see more blocking in the North coupled with a stronger Southern stream which will provide the necessary element's (Cold Canadian Air, Southern Moisture) to produce some decent events.
Hopefully everything stays in place and we can salvage what is left of this season over the next month or so.

Come on this is Plow Site
A "good" or "favorable for snow" pattern is emerging towards the end of this week.
The teleconnections are looking good (AO/NAO, PNA, MJO) We are starting to see more blocking in the North coupled with a stronger Southern stream which will provide the necessary element's (Cold Canadian Air, Southern Moisture) to produce some decent events.
Hopefully everything stays in place and we can salvage what is left of this season over the next month or so.

I hope so...... I stopped looking at the weather. A buddy of mine told me it was going to get warm and rain. I hope he is wrong and we make up with some good storms.

All the news stations say it will be snow then rain then maybe some more snow so that'll keep the accumulations down but it's really anyone's guess this far out. im not getting my hopes up until Thursdays forecast p

Right now we need to look for a stronger HP up in Canada to provide some blocking to keep the temps down... In 2011 they were consistently stronger than modeled and lead to more snow over mixing or rain. Option 2: Stronger and more dominant northern stream.

Even if this works out to be a backend snow with 2-4 possibly 3-6 it would still be a nice thing to have over these underperforming clippers that have turned our roads completely white with the state salt.

Right now we need to look for a stronger HP up in Canada to provide some blocking to keep the temps down... In 2011 they were consistently stronger than modeled and lead to more snow over mixing or rain. Option 2: Stronger and more dominant northern stream.

Even if this works out to be a backend snow with 2-4 possibly 3-6 it would still be a nice thing to have over these underperforming clippers that have turned our roads completely white with the state salt.

If the Northern stream stays dominant, then we get a more southerly flow and will see more rain and less precipitation overall. If the Northern stream can dig far enough south and can transfer to/phase with the Southern stream early enough allowing it to close off, the flow comes out of the North and we see significant snows courtesy of the cold conveyor belt. This is the big wildcard right now.

Overnite modeling showed some slowing of the system near Montauk which would be great for the area if it came to fruition.

I don't know what it's going to do. Suffice it to say everything is on the table from measuring with toothpicks to yardsticks in parts of the state.