Had we won it we'd be in the final four. Yes OSU went without winning it but if we had won it that means we've beaten OSU and Wisconsin (again) we're a 2nd seed in the tourny and preparing to play Clemson.

I think that's because it's hard to project their abiity to put on "good" weight as they mature. Most skill position players enter and leave school about the same weight (well....except for Derrick Green) but the average linemen's body changes a LOT during the five years they're in school.

That's why most OL redshirt IMO. And if you want to see wild before and after pics look at O lineman when they enter at 18 vs when they leave at 22. Night and day difference in their body mass. And the net effect of those changes is a challenge to project in many cases.

I was stating you dont take a shot at a subordinate when the supervisor was the real problem. He obviously doesnt make decisions on the football staff make-up but he knew enough about the football team's struggles to basically call out Hoke as the issue - not Helfrich.

What he SHOULD have said is something like "Welcome to Oregon football. The expectations here are high - we're confident we've chosen the right man to meet them" and not take the opportunity to slam an assistant coach in public.

Jesus....how on earth did I become the guy sticking up for Brady Hoke?

Or maybe they'll have to start signing waivers that say something like "In return for paying you an obscene amount of money for a few years in your youth you have to accept the following probable consequences:

1. Loss of some measure of motor control and mobility beginning as soon as your career ends and extending until you pass away.

2. Loss of cognitive reasoning skills at an early age and the probable onset of early dementia

It would be interesting to see how many would still sign up anyways. The prospect of being able to live like a God on earth, even for a short while, is pretty alluring to most people. Especially if their homelife growing up was rough.

What do you think of this? Just a few random thoughts I tossed together today I thought I'd share with the board....

That is a large spread. Michigan is favored by 6.5 against FSU. S&P+ has Michigan by 11.8 and with a 75% shot at victory. Other lines that are already up: Wisconsin –7.5 against WMU and PSU +7 against USC.

S&P+ lines for other Big Ten games:

OSU-Clemson: OSU by 4.9.

Wisconsin-WMU: Wisconsin by 8.

Iowa-Florida: Iowa(!) by 4.6.

USC-PSU: USC by 3.4.

Nebraska-Tennessee: Nebraska by 1.1.

Utah-Indiana: Utah by 1.9.

Pitt-NW: Pitt by 5.1

Washington State-Minnesota: WSU by 0.5.

Maryland-BC: Maryland by 0.1.

Michigan State-Dignity: Dignity by 35.

I thought a sure consequence of four Big Ten teams getting pulled up into NY6 bowls would be the rest of the conference getting set on fire, but S&P+—which was 56% against the spread this year—thinks almost everything is a tossup at worst. I did not know that the Big Ten would lose the Citrus (which is LSU-Louisville, yes please) if they got the Orange, but they rather sensibly do.

Good to see that the bowl revamp has added flexibility and created a bunch of good matchups.

Center Mason Cole, speaking to reporters Sunday evening, suggested that he will return, though the junior was hesitant to commit to anything.

"Not right now," Cole said of thinking about the NFL. "I'm focused on this next game and getting the win. I'll take a look at everything, but as it stands now, I'm definitely leaning towards coming back."

Chris Wormley volunteered a return for Maurice Hurst as well. Both guys will be critical starters on next year's team should they follow through on those statements. (Hurst had previously said he'd be back.)

So we've got that going for us, part zillion. Per PFF Michigan is the best team left out of the playoff and one of the top four overall:

All four of the teams that will be in this year’s playoff rank in the top five of PFF’s cumulative grades for 2016. Alabama ranks first, Washington second, Ohio State fourth and Clemson fifth.

The No. 3 team in the country? The Michigan Wolverines. ...

In particular, when looking at a team that could match up best with top-seeded Alabama, the Wolverines appear to be one of the best candidates. They rank third in PFF’s run-defense grades, second in pass-rush and 12th in coverage – giving them a defense that could go toe-to-toe with Alabama’s and perhaps put enough pressure on Crimson Tide’s freshman quarterback Jalen Hurts (more on him in a bit) to spark an upset.

They seem to think that Clemson should be favored over OSU, with two bullets talking up Deshaun Watson and talking down OSU's pass protection. We've got that going for us, too.

Peppers stock. Also in PFF things, Jabrill Peppers took a tumble in their latest mock draft:

When targeted in coverage this season, he has yielded receptions on 20 of 26 targets and does not have a single pass defended when he is the primary defender (his lone interception against Ohio State was a case of him being in the right place at the right time off a pass tipped in front). He also lacks the size to consistently take on and shed blocks going forward, as the majority of his impact plays this year have come when he has been unblocked.

PFF has always had him in the 10-15 range right next to Lewis and not a top 5 pick, so this isn't a huge tumble. I'm still confused by those pass completion numbers. Namely where any of them came from. I'm sure Peppers has been targeted more than the two times I remember, but 26? I don't know where that comes from.

On the postseason. I've been saying this for ten years and will say it until they destroy the dream by going to 8 teams: a 6-team playoff is the best one available most of the time. Six teams emphasizes the regular season since there are home games and byes up for grabs; it keeps the field sufficiently constricted so that make-weights are extremely unlikely.

This year, I assume that the committee made some changes to the rankings to give the appearance of deliberative thought when there was none. That makes the six-team playoff deeply weird:

Clemson jumped OSU, and that did not matter. PSU jumped Michigan, and that did not matter. The former was a meaningless admonishment to win your conference; the latter was a meaningless admonishment to win your conference. If Clemson or Washington did not win their title games I wonder if they would have had the cojones to put PSU in over a team with the same record who beat it 49-10.

Anyway, in a six-team world I bet a dollar the committee finagles it such that there is not an immediate rematch of M/OSU—or leaves a third Big Ten team out entirely.

This is bunk. There is an enormous Bloomberg article on officiating out there that I keep seeing, because it purports to show that there is a class of "protected blue bloods" that get favorable calls. Oddly, it leads with Florida State getting hosed against Clemson—which one is the blue blood?—and then hits their thesis statement:

“This is an incestuous situation,” says Rhett Brymer, a business management professor at Miami University in Oxford, Ohio. He spent more than a year parsing almost 39,000 fouls called in games involving NCAA Football Bowl Subdivision teams in the 2012-2015 seasons. His researchfinds “ample evidence of biases among conference officials,” including “conference officials showing partiality towards teams with the highest potential to generate revenue for their conference.”

Refs are partial towards teams "with the highest potential to generate revenue." In other words, good teams. They throw fractionally fewer flags on those teams:

Brymer’s data suggest something more insidious. Across the 3,000-odd regular-season and bowl games he studied, a bit less than half of the fouls called were what he terms “discretionary”—holding, pass interference, unsportsmanlike conduct, and personal fouls like roughing the passer. Refs were on average 10 percent less likely to throw discretionary flags on teams that enjoy both strong playoff prospects and winning traditions. Brymer calls these teams “protected flagships.”

There is a less than insidious explanation: avoiding penalties is a skill. Flagship teams are more likely to have firebreathing truckzillas; Purdue is more likely to have a peasant wielding a pitchfork. In such situations the penalty scales are naturally out of balance; news that Purdue gets 14% fewer "discretionary" calls than OSU fails to move hte needle. That seems about right. This is immediately proposed by the NCAA's national coordinator for officiating and then largely ignored.

About 3/4ths of the way through the thing we get the big reveal:

While earning his Ph.D. at Texas A&M, he came to sympathize with Aggie fans who believed that all close calls favored the University of Texas. “I reached a breaking point,” Brymer says. Weary of fans whining about refs without empirical evidence, he decided to see if he could find any. “At least I’m bringing myself peace,” he says.

Yes, but think of all the bloggers you're forcing to write skeptical items in their link roundup pieces.

Prepare to be asked whether you went to Michigan. The Ringer's Kaite Baker got into Michigan football this year, which was fun until it wasn't.

Harbaugh isn’t for everyone, but to me, he’s like a combustible acquaintance: As long as you never get tooclose, you can sit back and just let the theatrics endlessly entertain you.

But it’s possible I’m getting too close. The past few weeks have been a rougher ride, a mere glimpse into the tumultuousness of a typical college football season. Winning the national championship seems like an impossibility: Just getting the chance to try requires a constantly evolving team of near-children remaining close to perfect over the course of a 12- or 13-game season. (NFL teams, meanwhile, can barely squeak past .500 and still win Super Bowls.) Even in a post-BCS world, the scope and sprawl of FBS football means that it will forever be hostage to subjective decisions by conflicted parties.

Having been kicked in all available places, Baker is probably hooked. Welcome! Here is your pillow to scream into.

He carried 15 times for 106 yards (7.1 yards per carry) and two touchdowns as the offense exploded, scoring on eight of 11 possessions. In the first quarter, Rawls found a cutback lane and hurdled into the end zone for an 8-yard score. In the second, he showed his big-play ability by outrunning defenders for a 45-yard touchdown.

On the one hand, Fred Jackson recruited the guy. On the other, he got three carries as a junior and transferred. Mike Cox getting drafted and having a cup of coffee was one thing; Rawls turning into Marshawn Lynch 2.0 is quite another. He's the most successful Michigan NFL running back since at least Tim Biakabutuka and he'll pass the effective but constantly injured Biakabutuka in a year or two if he remains hale.

That's worth a read. The heavy insinuation in that piece is that it wasnt player injuries and his lack of proper care/concern that led to the termination but rather something else. And he makes a pretty compelling case for why he thinks that "something else" is something the University was aware of and that Wilson did NOT want others to be aware of as he began his job search.

Look. Harbaugh doesnt suffer fools gladly and when somebody fucks up he doesnt have the persona to sit quietly and go "oh gosh darn it. We got screwed over by the incompetence of someone. Perhaps they'll do better next time."

Which is why I put it third on the list of considerations. They may talk strength of schedule but the when it as crunch time they all said "only one loss" when pointing at Washington.

And their SOS was second worst in the country. SOS does NOT matter. Wins and losses matter which is why getting boned by the refs in the OSU was so painful. Everybody knows we got jobbed. But it doesnt matter - we got the L and they got the W

What possible reason is there to vote other than to pump money into the espn.com coffers by hitting their site repeatidly. Once both Washington & Clemson won our fate was sealed so who cares if they put PSU above or behind us. The committee sent a strong message, IMO, to the country that they care about: the items below in that order: