In December last year, bulldozers demolished homes and schools in 21 IDP settlements on the outskirts of Mogadishu, forcing more than 5,000 families to flee further from the city some to al-Shabaab-controlled areas

Few of AMISOM’s backers want to shoulder the burden of Somalia’s long term stability, several – including Ethiopia – have begun to withdraw their troops. Al-Shabaab will probably quietly wait them out.