As the Welsh party gathers in Llandudno for its conference, it is timely that Political Betting is reporting the latest voting intention figures for Wales, as revealed in a YouGov poll commissioned by ITV Wales.

The parties are on the following shares of the vote (with 2005 general election performance in brackets):

This is equivalent to a swing from Labour to the Conservatives of 6.6%, which - if repeated across every seat in Wales - would deliver five gains for the party. Even more could be gained if there is a higher than average swing in the battleground marginals, as is being seen across other polls.

Here is the list of the top Conservative targets in Wales, all of which are Labour-held apart from Brecon and Radnorshire, which has a Lib Dem MP; those in bold are the ones which would be gained based on the latest poll:

Following a recent flurry of announcements of retirements by sitting Labour MPs vulnerable to a swing to the Conservatives, here is news of another who is stepping down at the next election.

Martyn Jones, MP for Clwyd South since 1987, has announced his decision to go this week, citing his desire to become a lager brewer.

This was the seat that Boris Johnson fought in 1997 and would be won by Conservative candidate John Bell (pictured) on a Labour to Conservative swing of 9.92%. John has been in place as candidate since November 2007.

John Bell the local candidate was selected for Clwyd South, John stood for the Constituency in the Welsh Assembly Elections achieving a 6.6% swing from Labour to Conservatives and increased our share of the vote by 10.2% whilst increasing the Conservative vote by some 60%. He faces a projected Labour majority of 6,185.