Now we'll look at the Colleges and how their players have performed in the NBA!

To recap a few principles, since B-R provides career games, and then per game points, rebounds, assists and minutes, I have gone with an admittedly highly simplistic look on things with:

Rating = points/game + rebounds/game + assists/game

Why use this definition? It's the only data I have easily on hand, which while not a good player rating system is a decent wag for these purposes. Keep in mind the stats are career per game averages so lower than the peak performance years of a player. Moreover, there is also some bias in that using recent years some of the current players may well spike up their career 'standing' with more years under the belt.

To calculate value I compare the Player's career stats to the average stats for his draft pick number. For example, Gilbert Arenas averages 22.8 pts per game for his career, but the average for a #30 pick (including Gilbert) is just 5.2 pts per game so he is +17.6 points per game in this category, and so on.

** Colleges with at least 5 players taken in the NBA Draft 1989-2008

Pick Performance

vs. Expected (+/-)

College

Picks

Gms

Pts

Reb

Ast

Rtg

Gms

Pts

Reb

Ast

Rtg

Star

Solid

RoleP

DeepB

Bust

DNP

Wake Forest

7

414

11.8

4.9

2.8

19.5

64

3.4

1.0

1.3

5.7

3

1

2

1

Texas at El Paso

5

505

7.3

3.4

2.0

12.7

317

2.4

1.4

0.9

4.7

1

1

2

1

Marquette

7

261

7.1

2.3

1.8

11.2

79

2.6

0.5

0.7

3.8

1

4

2

Xavier

8

389

7.0

4.5

1.0

12.4

156

1.8

2.0

-0.1

3.7

1

3

1

1

1

1

Clemson

6

593

7.5

4.0

1.5

13.0

343

1.6

1.4

0.2

3.2

3

1

2

Kentucky

15

438

8.5

3.6

1.8

13.9

134

1.8

0.7

0.5

3.0

2

5

3

2

1

2

Alabama

13

379

7.7

3.3

1.5

12.4

127

1.9

0.6

0.1

2.6

3

1

5

1

1

2

DePaul

6

238

6.6

3.1

0.9

10.5

8

1.6

0.8

-0.1

2.4

3

1

1

1

Purdue

6

221

7.1

2.7

0.9

10.8

33

2.0

0.4

-0.1

2.4

1

1

2

2

Pittsburgh

6

175

5.0

3.1

1.0

9.1

2

0.9

1.2

0.1

2.1

2

4

Michigan

16

481

9.3

3.7

1.8

14.8

152

1.5

0.4

0.2

2.1

5

3

1

5

1

1

UC Berkeley

11

320

6.9

3.5

1.5

11.9

68

0.8

0.9

0.2

1.9

2

1

2

5

1

Connecticut

21

367

9.0

3.6

1.6

14.2

43

1.5

0.3

0.0

1.8

7

2

4

5

1

2

Arizona

28

314

7.6

2.8

1.8

12.2

33

1.2

-0.1

0.4

1.6

8

2

5

4

7

2

Iowa State

9

258

5.9

3.3

1.7

10.9

2

0.2

0.7

0.4

1.4

1

1

2

4

1

UCLA

26

228

6.5

3.0

1.7

11.2

-22

0.5

0.3

0.5

1.3

3

3

9

7

4

Villanova

9

325

8.0

2.7

2.2

13.0

12

0.9

-0.3

0.6

1.2

1

4

1

1

2

Oklahoma State

9

229

6.6

2.8

1.0

10.4

-23

1.1

0.1

-0.1

1.2

1

2

1

3

1

1

Florida State

10

345

6.8

2.3

1.9

11.0

74

0.7

-0.2

0.5

1.0

2

1

2

2

2

1

Syracuse

15

283

7.5

3.1

1.4

12.1

4

0.7

0.2

0.0

0.8

3

1

3

4

3

1

Georgetown

12

447

8.6

4.7

1.1

14.4

93

0.4

1.0

-0.5

0.8

3

1

4

2

1

1

Georgia Tech

19

382

7.9

2.9

2.0

12.8

58

0.7

-0.3

0.4

0.8

3

5

2

6

2

1

Cincinnati

13

299

6.1

3.0

1.3

10.4

57

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.7

2

2

2

4

3

Michigan State

16

280

6.1

2.7

1.3

10.0

32

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.5

3

1

2

6

2

2

New Mexico

5

319

7.5

3.7

1.2

12.4

-2

0.3

0.4

-0.4

0.4

1

1

1

1

1

Utah

7

344

7.8

4.0

1.9

13.7

6

-0.2

0.2

0.3

0.4

3

3

1

Virginia

5

242

5.6

1.9

1.4

8.9

-1

0.5

-0.5

0.4

0.3

1

3

1

Arkansas

9

342

7.2

2.4

1.6

11.2

45

0.5

-0.4

0.2

0.3

1

3

2

1

2

Ohio State

9

227

8.4

3.4

1.4

13.1

-100

0.5

-0.1

-0.2

0.2

2

2

2

1

1

1

Providence College

11

262

4.5

2.4

1.2

8.1

65

-0.2

0.2

0.1

0.2

2

3

2

4

UNLV

8

482

8.8

3.7

1.8

14.3

80

0.1

-0.1

0.2

0.2

2

1

3

1

1

St. John's

9

227

5.7

2.7

1.2

9.5

-23

-0.1

0.4

-0.2

0.1

1

2

2

4

Temple

8

414

6.4

2.9

1.4

10.6

120

0.1

-0.2

0.2

0.1

1

3

3

1

North Carolina

22

449

8.9

3.6

1.8

14.3

70

0.1

-0.1

-0.1

0.0

5

4

5

5

1

2

Tennessee

6

179

5.7

2.2

1.0

8.8

-81

0.3

-0.2

-0.2

-0.1

1

1

2

2

Washington

7

128

7.1

2.7

1.4

11.2

-166

0.3

-0.3

-0.1

-0.2

1

1

2

2

1

Maryland

16

311

6.2

2.9

1.3

10.5

34

-0.2

0.0

0.0

-0.2

1

3

3

6

2

1

No College

191

177

5.3

2.5

0.9

8.7

-55

-0.1

0.1

-0.2

-0.3

24

20

26

36

27

58

Illinois

13

252

6.2

2.3

1.9

10.4

-22

-0.3

-0.4

0.4

-0.3

3

2

4

3

1

Boston College

7

312

5.7

2.6

1.4

9.8

31

-0.3

-0.2

0.2

-0.3

1

2

3

1

Texas at Austin

16

117

6.6

2.1

1.7

10.3

-148

0.1

-0.8

0.3

-0.4

3

2

2

4

2

3

Florida

14

235

6.4

4.0

1.3

11.7

-78

-1.0

0.9

-0.3

-0.4

3

1

5

2

2

1

Oklahoma

8

284

4.1

1.7

1.5

7.3

95

-0.5

-0.4

0.4

-0.5

1

3

1

3

Fresno

9

162

4.2

1.8

1.3

7.4

-57

-0.4

-0.4

0.3

-0.5

1

1

5

1

1

Stanford

12

313

5.6

3.4

1.3

10.3

1

-0.9

0.4

0.0

-0.5

1

2

1

6

2

Georgia

9

211

3.5

1.7

0.6

5.8

32

-0.2

-0.1

-0.2

-0.5

3

1

2

3

Notre Dame

6

376

6.9

3.8

1.1

11.8

53

-0.8

0.8

-0.6

-0.6

2

2

2

Kansas

22

253

5.9

2.8

1.4

10.1

-38

-0.6

-0.1

-0.1

-0.7

3

3

2

9

2

3

Southern California

9

113

5.9

1.6

1.2

8.7

-137

0.0

-0.9

-0.1

-1.1

1

2

3

2

1

Louisiana State

13

256

7.0

3.4

1.0

11.4

-43

-0.6

0.0

-0.6

-1.1

2

5

4

1

1

Oregon

8

211

5.2

1.3

2.0

8.5

-39

-0.8

-1.3

0.8

-1.3

1

1

2

1

3

Memphis

12

246

6.9

2.4

1.9

11.2

-63

-0.8

-0.9

0.3

-1.3

2

1

3

3

3

Miami

6

138

2.9

1.2

0.6

4.6

-15

-0.6

-0.6

-0.3

-1.4

2

2

2

Duke

28

296

7.2

3.1

1.6

11.9

-43

-1.0

-0.3

-0.2

-1.5

7

3

2

8

4

4

Seton Hall

6

277

5.9

3.7

1.2

10.7

-67

-1.7

0.4

-0.3

-1.5

1

3

1

1

Wisconsin

5

272

6.7

1.7

1.5

9.9

-50

-0.3

-1.2

-0.1

-1.6

1

1

2

1

Minnesota

10

288

5.4

2.4

0.9

8.7

15

-1.0

-0.5

-0.3

-1.8

2

2

5

1

Arizona State

6

205

4.2

2.0

0.6

6.8

-11

-0.9

-0.5

-0.4

-1.8

2

2

2

Texas Tech

5

203

3.8

2.2

0.8

6.8

-3

-1.3

-0.2

-0.3

-1.8

1

2

2

Iowa

10

224

3.9

1.5

0.8

6.2

-1

-1.0

-0.6

-0.2

-1.9

1

1

3

2

3

Missouri

9

260

5.1

1.7

0.9

7.8

-2

-0.8

-1.1

-0.3

-2.1

4

2

1

2

North Carolina State

9

219

4.3

2.4

0.9

7.6

-47

-1.7

-0.3

-0.2

-2.2

1

5

3

Mississippi State

6

156

2.8

2.3

0.9

5.9

-61

-2.1

0.1

-0.2

-2.3

1

2

1

2

Indiana

13

186

4.7

1.8

0.9

7.4

-88

-1.2

-0.9

-0.3

-2.4

1

3

5

2

2

Gonzaga

5

127

4.1

1.5

1.1

6.7

-99

-1.5

-0.7

-0.3

-2.5

2

1

2

Vanderbilt

5

53

1.6

0.9

0.2

2.8

-78

-1.6

-0.6

-0.5

-2.6

1

2

2

Colorado

5

204

4.5

1.3

1.3

7.1

-32

-1.5

-1.3

0.0

-2.8

1

1

1

2

Louisville

11

253

5.4

3.0

1.0

9.4

-71

-2.1

-0.4

-0.3

-2.8

1

6

3

1

Now in some ways this is more for entertainment value than any real purpose since we're dealing with trivial sample sizes in most cases and one mega-star coming along can change a college's standing dramatically.

Nevertheless since the college hoops fanatics do send in a lot of requests for some kind of comparison of which school produces the most NBA ready players, or NBA stars, this goes some ways towards at least giving a basis for discussion.

Up top is Wake Forest and of course these days people have Chris Paul on the mind, but Duncan, Josh Howard (taken #29) and even Rodney Rogers have been notable NBA successes for the Demon Deacons.

UTEP gets second place thanks to Tim Hardaway (taken #14) and Antonio Davis (#45). While Marquette is basically a one hit wonder in third thanks to Dwyane Wade. So yes, don't take any of the college rankings too seriously!

Still, when you get down to the big powerhouse schools with say 20+ draftees taken in the last twenty years, it's not Duke or North Carolina with the best track record of value picks, but UConn with Ray Allen, Okafor, Caron Butler, Rip Hamilton, Ben Gordon, Gay, and Clifford Robinson all offering star value beyound their draft pick number.

Arizona is right behind with Arenas, Bibby, Richard Jefferson, Iguodala, Terry, Stoudamire, Sean Elliott, and the injury prone Michael Dickerson all qualifying as "stars" under this simpleton rating system.

So why doesn't Duke come in higher since they have Brand, Grant Hill, Boozer, Deng, Maggette, Laettner, Dunleavy in the NBA stars matrix? Well they have too many poor value picks in the history: Jay Williams (#2 and a motorcycle mishap), Danny Ferry (another #2), Shelden Williams (#5), Bobby Hurley (#7), Trajan Langdon (#11), J.J. Redick (#11), Cherokee Parks
(#12), and William Avery (#14) as 'lottery picks' that couldn't live up to the expectations.

At the bottom of the value play list for colleges with at least five players taken is Louisville on the basis of Pervis Ellison (#1), Felton Spencer (#6), Samaki Walker (#9), Reece Gaines (#15), Clifford Rozier (#16), LaBradford Smith (#19), and Kenny Payne (#19)...seven high first round picks with no star ratings to show for it.

Among the smaller schools, the top values have been complete one hit wonders:
- Butler County Community College (Stephen Jackson, taken #42)
- Santa Clara (Steve Nash, #15)
- Trinity Valley Community College (Shawn Kemp, #17)

...and at the tail end of the list:
- University of the Pacific (Olowokandi, taken #1)

Again, I will shortly have another page with the full list of players so you can review all your favorite college's hits and misses...

Next up, the record of NBA head coaches in setting up their incoming draft picks for a successful NBA career!