I actually decided to focus on the miniseries/TV movie categories this year because of how much attention it's gotten for American Horror Story's committing "category fraud." It's not a miniseries, but then again neither was Downton Abbey, last year's winner in many of these categories. Regardless, Julianne Moore's got this one locked up for her uncanny portrayal of Sarah Palin.

Elba should've won last year (even though, once again, his show does not belong in this category since it is on its second season), so I'm predicting him for this year. A win for Clive Owen would also be welcome and not unexpected.

Hatfields & McCoys is the only true miniseries in contention, so I'd like to see it win for that fact alone. But both HBO films were better, particularly Game Change.

Reality Program - Competition

So You Think You Can DanceThe Amazing RaceDancing with the StarsTop ChefProject RunwayThe Voice

Predicted Winner: The Amazing Race

I can never not predict The Amazing Race, considering it's only lost once (to Top Chef, which has not been nearly as strong since its win). But if it were to lose to anything this year, I'd think it would be The Voice.