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NBA draft week is a time of infinite hope, even in a year when the prospects are considered relatively weak. Fans begin to speculate on whom would fill that hole in the rotation, how that "piece" is out there if their GM is just savvy enough to obtain him.» more

The surfeit of discussion about how teams should best utilize their relative position in the draft begs the question: what do historical trends tell us about the probability of successful outcomes given even broad parameters? Obviously it still comes down to the evaluation of the individual, but even broadly, are there types of players who tend to do better than others?» more