Wednesday, June 06, 2012

On May 30,
Cisco released its annual "Visual
Networking Index Forecast," projecting and analyzing global Internet
growth and trends from 2011 to 2016. Cisco's Index provides a handy guide to
understanding the basic landscape of the future global digital economy.
Summarizing from its White Paper, Cisco's press
release cites five factors in its forecasting that annual global IP traffic
would reach 1.3 zettabytes by 2016, namely:

An
increasing number of devices: The proliferation of tablets, mobile phones, and
other smart devices as well as machine-to-machine (M2M) connections are driving
up the demand for connectivity. By 2016, the forecast projects there will be
nearly 18.9 billion network connections―almost 2.5 connections for each person
on earth, ― compared with 10.3 billion in 2011

More
Internet users: By
2016, there are expected to be 3.4 billion Internet users ― about 45 percent of
the world's projected population according to United Nations estimates.

Faster
broadband speeds:
The average fixed broadband speed is expected to increase nearly fourfold, from
9 megabits per second (Mbps) in 2011 to 34 Mbps in 2016.

More
video: By 2016, 1.2
million video minutes―the equivalent of 833 days (or over two years) ―would
travel the Internet every second.

Wi-Fi
growth: By 2016,
over half of the world's Internet traffic is expected to come from Wi-Fi
connections.

Also,
regarding device connectivity to the Internet, the index forecasts that by 2016
"there will be nearly 18.9 billion network connections―almost 2.5
connections for each person on earth." And for mobile data and Internet
traffic for North America, the Index forecasts that annual total traffic will
grow from 119 petabytes in 2011 to over 1.9 exabytes (that is, 1,964 petabyes)
in 2016. Additional information is also contained in Cisco's companion paper,
"The
Zettabyte Era."