Fantasy football risers and fallers: July 29-Aug. 4

Now that we’ve had some time for summer drafts to produce patterns in a substantive manner, trends are developing in flows in stock.

Using data from MyFantasyLeague.com, based on 12-team, PPR, redraft-only leagues, we’ve broken out which players have moved the most either direction in the past week.

You’ll notice more drastic swings for risers than fallers, mostly because when players free fall, it tends to be due to missing significant time from suspension, injury, demotion, etc. Many times, these players entirely fall out of the draft results.

Risers

Ov ADP rk

Pick

Player

Avg. Pick

Up

137

12.05

Ballage, Kalen MIA RB

137

17.5

200

17.08

Butler, Hakeem ARI WR

178.7

16.7

168

14.12

Arcega-Whiteside, JJ PHI WR

156.2

16.5

193

17.01

Smith Jr., Irv MIN TE

176.5

15

214

18.1

Lock, Drew DEN QB

189.7

13.5

170

15.02

Jackson, Justin LAC RB

156.9

13.4

215

18.11

Pollard, Tony DAL RB

190

11.7

136

12.04

Moncrief, Donte PIT WR

136.7

11.1

18

2.06

Hill, Tyreek KCC WR

19.4

10.6

93

8.09

Ekeler, Austin LAC RB

95.8

9.7

184

16.04

Jones, Daniel NYG QB

170

9.6

216

18.12

Witten, Jason DAL TE

190.1

9.3

217

19.01

Anderson, C.J. DET RB

190.5

9.2

150

13.06

Brown, John BUF WR

145.8

9

123

11.03

Sanders, Emmanuel DEN WR

126.1

8.8

201

17.09

Thompson, Darwin KCC RB

180.1

8.3

212

18.08

Bernard, Giovani CIN RB

187.5

8.3

174

15.06

Isabella, Andy ARI WR

158.8

8.2

155

13.11

Lewis, Dion TEN RB

147.8

8.1

220

19.04

Goodwin, Marquise SFO WR

193

8

98

9.02

Hunt, Kareem CLE RB

102.2

7.8

203

17.11

Sanu, Mohamed ATL WR

181.7

7.7

173

15.05

Brown, Marquise BAL WR

158.2

7.4

110

10.02

Allison, Geronimo GBP WR

116.4

7.1

226

19.1

Callaway, Antonio CLE WR

196.2

6.9

205

18.01

Jones, Zay BUF WR

183.5

6.8

196

17.04

Lee, Marqise JAC WR

177.4

6.7

207

18.03

Crowder, Jamison NYJ WR

185.7

6.3

182

16.02

Williams, Tyrell OAK WR

165.9

6.3

171

15.03

Smith, Tre’Quan NOS WR

157.1

6.2

103

9.07

Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR

108.3

5.9

67

6.07

Landry, Jarvis CLE WR

70

5.7

122

11.02

McCoy, LeSean BUF RB

124.7

5.5

74

7.02

Jeffery, Alshon PHI WR

79.3

5.4

138

12.06

Olsen, Greg CAR TE

138

5.2

167

14.11

Samuel, Deebo SFO WR

155.8

5.1

94

8.1

Howard, Jordan PHI RB

96.8

5

164

14.08

Mattison, Alexander MIN RB

154.1

4.9

211

18.07

Williams, Jamaal GBP RB

187

4.9

111

10.03

Westbrook, Dede JAC WR

116.7

4.8

148

13.04

Jackson, DeSean PHI WR

144.8

4.8

62

6.02

Boyd, Tyler CIN WR

65.2

4.7

158

14.02

Brown, A.J. TEN WR

149.1

4.6

152

13.08

Singletary, Devin BUF RB

147.2

4.5

Several of the names are quite obvious — Kalen Ballage, Justin Jackson/Austin Ekeler, Tyreek Hill, Donte Moncrief, Tony Pollard, C.J. Anderson. Ballage has earned a share of the primary workload. Hill escaped punishment from the league. Moncrief opened camp as a starter. Theo Riddick’s release opens the door for Anderson to climb, while Pollard benefits (temporarily?) from Zeke’s absence.

Others make require a closer eye on the news: Hakeem Butler has stood out in camp. Devin Singletary has earned some first-team reps. JJ Arcega-Whiteside has impressed in the red zone. Irv Smith Jr. has been picking up the offense well. None of these rookies should make or break your fantasy season, but it is always interesting to watch how gamers have reacted to the news. Butler probably is the best target of the lot, and Singletary could be a force if something happens to LeSean McCoy.

Fallers

Ov ADP rk

Pick

Player

Avg. Pick

Down

160

14.04

Dalton, Andy CIN QB

149.4

-14.9

238

20.1

Fitzpatrick, Ryan MIA QB

202.5

-12.7

131

11.11

Allen, Josh BUF QB

129.9

-12.4

108

9.12

Jackson, Lamar BAL QB

113.8

-10.9

115

10.07

Trubisky, Mitchell CHI QB

118.8

-10.9

99

9.03

Prescott, Dak DAL QB

104.9

-10.5

149

13.05

Mariota, Marcus TEN QB

145.6

-10.5

135

12.03

Stafford, Matthew DET QB

136.7

-10.3

143

12.11

Carr, Derek OAK QB

140

-10.2

169

15.01

Foles, Nick JAC QB

156.3

-10.1

121

11.01

Rivers, Philip LAC QB

124.6

-9.8

89

8.05

Watkins, Sammy KCC WR

92.5

-9.6

78

7.06

Murray, Kyler ARI QB

82.5

-9.2

69

6.09

Wilson, Russell SEA QB

71.6

-9.1

128

11.08

Darnold, Sam NYJ QB

129

-9

107

9.11

Roethlisberger, Ben PIT QB

113.5

-8.8

229

20.01

Foster, Robert BUF WR

197.8

-8.5

117

10.09

Garoppolo, Jimmy SFO QB

120.8

-8.4

239

20.11

Wilson, Albert MIA WR

202.8

-8.4

112

10.04

Cousins, Kirk MIN QB

117

-8.2

120

10.12

Brady, Tom NEP QB

123.7

-7.7

92

8.08

Brees, Drew NOS QB

95

-7.2

79

7.07

Newton, Cam CAR QB

82.8

-7.1

91

8.07

Winston, Jameis TBB QB

95

-7.1

84

7.12

Goff, Jared LAR QB

88.4

-7

70

6.1

Wentz, Carson PHI QB

73.1

-7

180

15.12

Flacco, Joe DEN QB

165.3

-5.8

40

4.04

Luck, Andrew IND QB

43.9

-5.3

66

6.06

Ryan, Matt ATL QB

69.3

-5.3

45

4.09

Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB

50.6

-5.2

179

15.11

Herndon, Chris NYJ TE

163.9

-4.5

130

11.1

Washington, James PIT WR

129.9

-4.3

46

4.1

Green, A.J. CIN WR

51

-4.2

47

4.11

Mayfield, Baker CLE QB

51.7

-3.9

34

3.1

Watson, Deshaun HOU QB

37

-3.9

186

16.06

Hardman, Mecole KCC WR

172.1

-3.8

25

3.01

Kittle, George SFO TE

27.8

-3.6

20

2.08

Gordon, Melvin LAC RB

20.8

-3.2

Far more players drastically move up than down in fantasy trends, because many of the players taking a fall end up being removed entirely. Several no-brainers here, too, with Melvin Gordon holding out, A.J. Green set to miss games, and Andrew Luck’s calf strain lingering into training camp. Sammy Watkins takes a tumble with the return of an unpunished Hill, and the same going for Mecole Hardman.

A massive devaluation of quarterbacks is intriguing — perhaps more gamers are finally catching on. My guess, however, is we’ll see this reverse course as the month wears on and more inexperienced players draft. We will revisit this as we march through the month of August.