Monday, June 13, 2016

How Many Republicans Will Vote For Donald Trump ?

Yesterday I brought you a poll asking how many Sanders supporters would vote for Hillary Clinton. But the Democrats are not the only party struggling for party unity. The Republicans, by virtue of their choice of Donald Trump to be their presidential nominee, is also having some problems with unity -- and their problem may be worse than the one the Democrats have.

A good portion of the Republican Party is upset with their nominee. Like others, they see him as racist, bigoted, and a crude narcissist they simply cannot support. How many will wind up voting for him. Only about 50% of the general public thinks that most Republicans will vote for him (and the percentage of Democrats and Independents who think most will vote for Trump is even lower).

But most interesting to me is the opinion of Republicans. Only about 70% of Republicans think most of their fellow Republicans would vote for Trump. For a party that starts out with a demographic disadvantage, that could be disastrous if it is true.

The chart above was made from information in a recent YouGov Poll -- done between June 2nd and 5th of a random national sample of 2,000 registered voters, with a margin of error of 3.2 points.

Quote

How can you frighten a man whose hunger is not only in his own cramped stomach but in the wretched bellies of his children? You can't scare him - he has known a fear beyond every other.
-John Steinbeck

Quote

About Me

Quote

What you need is sustained outrage...there's far too much unthinking respect given to authority.-Molly Ivins

Total Pageviews

Comment Policy

I invite anyone who wishes to comment on this blog to do so. I enjoy the comments, whether you agree with what I have said or not. But some people want to abuse the right to comment, and since this is my blog, I have decided to lay down the following rules. If your comment violates these rules, it will not be published.

1. Comments must not be racist, misogynistic, homophobic, or otherwise bigoted.

2. Comments must not involve little more than name-calling and insulting remarks.

3. Comments must not be made by "anonymous".

4. Comments must not try to sneak in some free advertising for themselves (like spam).

Belief

Quote

Religion is an insult to human dignity. With or without it, you'd have good people doing good things and evil people doing bad things, but for good people to do bad things, it takes religion.
-Steven Weinberg