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Topic: Politics (Read 13727 times)

We'll have to wait and see. I don't think 'The UK is doomed' like so many are claiming, but it will be difficult. The interesting thing about the SNP pondering on another independents ref is the actual results on the night. Sure, many did want to remain, but many also wanted to leave (38% of the vote).

Despite all this, I don't think they will leave. Right now, their biggest financial asset (oil) is worthless and being in the EU won't help with that.

5 other countries have now at least played around with the idea, but I suspect many will be waiting to see what happens to the UK.

The problem there though, is the UK is in a far better place than some. Even after the pound dropped we're still stronger than the Euro. Our financial markets are heading up already and even the EU have said they want to continue working with us.

Germany IS the Eurozone.If they leave the EU, it collapses on the spot.

That being said, Germany won't cause World War III by leaving the EU.

World War I started because of Rampant Nationalism aided by a dozen different treaties in conflict with each other.World War II started because of people being dummies after World War I and German aggression against its neighbors. Germany has no nuclear deterrent, if it tries to start anything it will probably be wiped out by France or Britain, proceeding either or both don't steamroll the dormant German military.

Some interesting develops. Our (er, UK) government will not trigger the start of leaving till they are ready. For those who don't know, in order to leave the EU, you need to tell them you're leaving in the form of a letter or verbally while in the presence of each EU country - through media doesn't count.

I think one of these could be the outcome:

1, the government can just say to the people 'no'. It'll probably end their political career, but if things are that bad, I personally don't think it would. They are in charge to look after our wellbeing after all.

2, As Scotland and NI didn't vote to leave, they could block the entire exit - meaning the UK stays in the EU.

3, We'll leave the EU with 'Leave' voters disappointed as in order to access the single market, we'd need free movement of people.

4, We leave and somehow come to a agreement that allows access to the single market without free movement.

The markets have took a huge hit, but it's not been as bad as many thought. The Pound and the FTSE will jump up once we have more a plan set out anyway.

So the next PM will be either May or Leadsom. The second women PM since Thatcher.

May wanted to stay in the EU, Leadsom didn't. However, Leadsom is apparently the likely winner and she didn't even want to leave till recently, which people find odd.

More interesting however, both have said they'll only trigger A50 when they're ready. Sounds to me like neither are feeling brave enough to do it and there's a lot of pace gathering to the idea that the UK won't leave now. Things like it needs to go through Parliament first (most there didn't want to leave), then there's legal action against the gov about the certain things.

So, Leadsom has stepped out making May the only candidate for the PM of the UK. Guessing it'll take a few days to transfer power.

Update: May to be Prime minister on Wednesday. The markets and pound here is getting stronger for it and the question now turns to who will be her team. Once that's done, it'll be brexit. I'm not so sure of when that will happen though. It's pretty obvious everyone we can are going around the world making trade deals as we speak for the country once article 50 is triggered.