Tuesday, January 31, 2012

My Prediction for the January UAH Temperature

My prediction for the UAH January lower troposphere global temperature anomaly is -0.14°C, which would be rather cold.

Basically all I did was take the daily AMSU Channel 5 temperatures from here (2002-2012), and compare the monthly averages to the announced values. It seems to be pretty linear for January, but not if you include all the months. I'm not going to put up a lot of pictures and plots -- if this works I'll try that next month, and if it doesn't I'll never mention this again.

The thinking on Spencer's blog, from him and commenters, is that the correlation isn't great.