Chinese space station expected to crash to Earth within weeks

10/03/2018

Website Satflare, which provides online 3D tracking of more than 15,000 satellites, has calculated what it thinks are the chances of the space station entering the atmosphere during the next three months.

It's important to keep in mind that when the Chinese space station makes contact with Earth, it will be pretty much incinerated.

The Tiangong-1 or Heavenly Palace lab was launched in 2011 and described as a "potent political symbol" of China - part of a scientific push to become a space superpower.

The European Space Agency is now predicting the descent as happening somewhere between March 27 and April 8, which, while still a large window, is significantly smaller than what we were able to predict previously. For your safety, do not touch any debris you may find on the ground nor inhale vapors it may emit, ' said a warning from Aerospace Corporation's Center for Orbital and Reentry Debris Studies (CORDS).

"Once it starts to break apart, each of the pieces will fall along the track, but they can be spread out by several hundred miles", he added.

It warned that the space station might be carrying a highly toxic and corrosive fuel called hydrazine on board.

In any case, he said, his agency was coordinating closely with global peers and they have asked China how much hydrazine was left in the spacecraft. Scientists could offer a better prediction if they knew exactly what was on the station, but the only people privy to that information seems to be Chinese authorities.

Tiangong-1 is now at an altitude of 150 miles and is the focus of multiple space agencies looking to predict when and where it will crash.

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NASA's 77-ton Skylab space station came hurtling to Earth in an nearly completely uncontrolled descent in 1979, with some large pieces landing outside Perth in Western Australia. The delay of re-entry into the earth's atmosphere, which Beijing said would happen in late 2017, had led some experts to suggest the space laboratory may be out of control.

In recent days the US-funded Aerospace Corporation, a research organisation that advises government and private enterprise on space flight, also updated its re-entry window.

"It will burn up on entering the atmosphere and the remaining wreckage will fall into a designated area of the sea, without endangering the surface", he said.

For now, ground stations are able to track Tiangong-1 as it speeds along at 16,000 miles an hour some 180 miles above Earth.

Re-entry was delayed in September 2017 in order to ensure that the wreckage would fall into an area of the South Pacific ocean where debris from Russian and United States space stations had previously landed, the paper said.

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