Royal Dutch Shell just outlined a scenario in which, by 2070, we would be using far less of the company's own product - oil - as cars become electric, a massive carbon storage industry develops, and transportation begins a shift toward a reliance on hydrogen as an energy carrier.

The company's Sky scenario was designed to imagine a world that complies with the goals of the Paris climate agreement, managing to hold the planet's warming to “well below” a rise of 2 degrees Celsius, or 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit, above pre-industrial levels. Shell has said that it supports the Paris agreement.

The scenario, which finds the world in a net-zero emissions state by 2070, is based on the idea that “a simple extension of current efforts, whether efficiency mandates, modest carbon taxes, or renewable energy supports, is insufficient for the scale of change required,” the oil company document reads.

“The relevant transformations in the energy and natural systems require concurrent climate policy action and the deployment of disruptive new technologies at mass scale within government policy environments that strongly incentivize investment and innovation.”

The company also cautioned that Sky is only a scenario - a possible future dependent on many assumptions - not a reality that will definitely be realized.

Shell is one of the globe's largest publicly traded oil companies and produced 3.7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day last year. But the company's own recent investments reflect a slight change in focus or, at least, a hedging of its bets. In October, it purchased NewMotion, an electric-vehicle charging company. Shell now operates a small number of stations providing hydrogen fuel to vehicles in the United States and Europe, and is involved in pursuing carbon capture and storage technologies through its Quest project in the Canadian oil sands and the enormous Gorgon project in Australia.

The company has also acquired BG Group, a major natural gas company, as part of placing greater emphasis on producing natural gas, which releases fewer greenhouse gases during combustion than oil or coal. The company is being pressured by some shareholders to do more on climate change, though some investors support the current state of the company.

“Anytime we see a forecast looking out many decades, it can be an interesting talking point but does not seriously influence investor decisions,” said Pavel Molchanov, energy analyst at the investment firm Raymond James, said in an email. “Even for long-term-oriented investors, that is simply too distant a time frame.”

Royal Dutch Shell chief executive Ben van Beurden in past interviews with The Washington Post has acknowledged that “climate change is real” and that “action is needed” but has asserted that the world will need to keep burning fossil fuels even if renewable energy catapults forward.

“It doesn't mean we have to kiss hydrocarbons goodbye. In fact, we can't,” he said.

In November, the company said it would cut the carbon footprint of making (not burning) its own petroleum products by 20 percent by 2035 and by about half by 2050. Shareholder groups, however, have noted that if Shell increases its overall fossil fuel production, then it will undercut some of those gains. Last year, shareholders overwhelmingly rejected a proposal by an environmental group calling for Shell to set and publish annual targets to reduce carbon emissions.

In the Sky scenario, the world's consumption of oil would rise through 2025 before starting to decline. Global oil consumption would begin to drop in 2030 and fall below current levels in 2040.

“Liquid hydrocarbon fuel consumption almost halves between 2020 and 2050 and falls by 90 percent by 2070 in the sector,” the document says.

“It is striking that a company built on energy flow commodities sees them declining permanently after 2040,” said Peter Fox-Penner, director of the Institute for Sustainable Energy at Boston University, in an emailed comment on the scenario.

Other changes are just as massive. Nuclear power would triple, the total use of electricity would expand fivefold, and the world would be equipped with 10,000 carbon capture and storage (CCS) installations.

Crossbow Communications is an international marketing and public affairs firm. It specializes in issue management and public affairs. It's also promoting sustainable, resilient and livable cities. Please contact Gary Chandler at gary@crossbow1.com to join our network.

The Sports ER and Urgent Care Center Inc is a dedicated medical center catering to the needs of athletes, by providing athletic training therapy and the treatment of injuries. We offer urgent care medicine for our community in South Florida. Let us help you perform at your best with our team focused approach. Exercise is medicine, and being active is the key to staying healthy.

The Sports ER and Urgent Care Center Inc is a dedicated medical center catering to the needs of athletes, by providing athletic training therapy and the treatment of injuries. We offer urgent care medicine for our community in South Florida. Let us help you perform at your best with our team focused approach. Exercise is medicine, and being active is the key to staying healthy.

MD Sports Inc is the marriage of medicine and sports. MD Sports believes that health and wellness can be achieved through living an active lifestyle. Medicine, health and exercise are intimately related and together, they comprise the correct approach to warding off disease and staying healthy.

Solving customer problems is our top priority at Apstra. Customer success is a goal we’re passionate about. We have generated revenue globally since 2016, and while we have hundreds of nodes in production it is with excitement and pride that we share a very special customer case study: Yahoo Japan.

The Association of 3D Printing is your source for 3D printing videos and articles on the new technology of additive manufacturing, 3D printers, digital fabrication, 3-D printed objects, startups and businesses providing consulting and services to the 3D printing industry.

The Association of 3D Printing is your source for 3D printing videos and articles on the new technology of additive manufacturing, 3D printers, digital fabrication, 3-D printed objects, startups and businesses providing consulting and services to the 3D printing industry.

The Association of 3D Printing is your source for 3D printing videos and articles on the new technology of additive manufacturing, 3D printers, digital fabrication, 3-D printed objects, startups and businesses providing consulting and services to the 3D printing industry.

The Sports ER and Urgent Care Center Inc is a dedicated medical center catering to the needs of athletes, by providing athletic training therapy and the treatment of injuries. We offer urgent care medicine for our community in South Florida. Let us help you perform at your best with our team focused approach. Exercise is medicine, and being active is the key to staying healthy.

The Sports ER and Urgent Care Center Inc is a dedicated medical center catering to the needs of athletes, by providing athletic training therapy and the treatment of injuries. We offer urgent care medicine for our community in South Florida. Let us help you perform at your best with our team focused approach. Exercise is medicine, and being active is the key to staying healthy.

The Sports ER and Urgent Care Center Inc is a dedicated medical center catering to the needs of athletes, by providing athletic training therapy and the treatment of injuries. We offer urgent care medicine for our community in South Florida. Let us help you perform at your best with our team focused approach. Exercise is medicine, and being active is the key to staying healthy.

Solving customer problems is our top priority at Apstra. Customer success is a goal we’re passionate about. We have generated revenue globally since 2016, and while we have hundreds of nodes in production it is with excitement and pride that we share a very special customer case study: Yahoo Japan.

Sharing your scoops to your social media accounts is a must to distribute your curated content. Not only will it drive traffic and leads through your content, but it will help show your expertise with your followers.

Integrating your curated content to your website or blog will allow you to increase your website visitors’ engagement, boost SEO and acquire new visitors. By redirecting your social media traffic to your website, Scoop.it will also help you generate more qualified traffic and leads from your curation work.

Distributing your curated content through a newsletter is a great way to nurture and engage your email subscribers will developing your traffic and visibility.
Creating engaging newsletters with your curated content is really easy.