Scholars Day Student Work

Moon & Crime Relationship Using an Econometric Model

by Molly Kruse
Economics
Faculty advisor: Dr. Stan Ullerich

Throughout history, there has been an assumption that the synodic cycles of the moon can impact the behavior of humans specifically in aggression and criminal behavior. Ever wonder if tendency to act crazy during a full moon has some truth to it? This econometric model will test whether a full moon has a statistical relationship with violent crimes. Analysis and various tests will examine for omitted variables, outliers, and other factors that will affect the variability and/or bias of the equation. Will we bust the myth or will the results show otherwise?