Generic ballot polls

The generic ballot is a poll based on the question of which party voters would support in a congressional election. Because of gerrymandering, voter suppression, and concentration of Democratic voters in cities, Democrats need a big edge to win in Congress. A new Quinnipiac poll has the Democrats at +9 but this has fluctuated and varied in other polls.

Quinnipiac finds generic ballot going from +6 to +9 D since last month. Statistically flat, but striking considering the weeks of "ARE DEMS BLOWING IT ON IMMIGRATION?" talk. https://t.co/rLsdrA8a3n

If that holds in TX, Dems would likely only pick up one congressional seat (23rd). They would need a +10 spread to even start competing for more seats. Gerrymandering is a helluva drug.https://t.co/LThXuhZXyb

Democrats continue to have a lead in generic ballot polls that is 6 points ahead of the average margin for the opposition party since 1946. Their margin has traced a historical pattern of movement in generic ballot polls that points to a ~9% win in Nov.https://t.co/BSgfhQkgQgpic.twitter.com/9R5Z2ST350

The current 538 generic ballot is Dems plus 7.2%. And they very well might not win the House at that margin. In 1994, when Gingrich’s Republicans destroyed the Dems and ushered in a new era of politics, the national margin was…7.1%. https://t.co/89qREsyKz9