For an explanation of how the probabilities are calculated see Guide. Because there is some randomness
to the histogram, there is'not an exact linear relationship between the sum and itsprobability. That
is, there may be a case where a teamhas a lower sum but higher at-large probability.
The Division I Men s Lacrosse Championship is an 18-team, single-elimination tournament. Ten conferences
are eligible for automatic qualification. However, the four lowest-ranked AQ teams, regardless of conference
RPI, will compete in play-in games to determine the final two teams in the 16-team bracket.
The remaining teams are selected at large.
Since 2012, when the method was introduced the results in predicting at-large teams is:
2012: 8-8 or 100%
2013: 8-8 or 100%
2014: 8-8 or 100%