3. High Bar:

The first Potter set an opening-weekend mark with a then-record $90 million Friday-Sunday debut. While The Hunger Games is expected to clear that number, and maybe with room to spare, it’s not expected to set a new opening-weekend record. The bar has been raised, and can The Hunger Games rise to the challenge?

2. Higher Bar:

If 2001’s Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone had sold tickets at 2011 prices ($7.93 instead of $5.65), then, assuming attendance remained the same, the movie would have posted a $126 million debut. That would be a very high estimation for how The Hunger Games will fair this weekend.